textproduct: Las Vegas

SYNOPSIS

Warm and dry conditions with afternoon breezes will continue through the weekend and into early next week. Temperatures will remain above normal through the period.

LONG TERM

Friday through Tuesday.

There is both good agreement among today's models and good run to run consistency with yesterday's solutions for Friday through Sunday, leading to high confidence in that period. The overall pattern will feature weak low pressure along the Pacific Northwest coast and strong high pressure centered in the vicinity of far southern New Mexico, which will give our area 500 mb heights around 590 dam plus deep mixing due to southwest flow, resulting in dry and breezy conditions with temperatures remaining well above normal for mid June. There is less confidence in the forecast for Monday and Tuesday, as one cluster of models shows low pressure deepening as it reaches the West Coast, which would bring windy conditions with fire weather concerns and some relief from the heat, while the rest of the models are in decent consensus showing a shallower and more progressive low, which would mean less wind and less relief from the heat. The forecast leans toward the shallower low since it is featured in a majority of the solutions, but the deeper low and its associated fire weather concerns should be kept in mind.

AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 06Z Forecast Package

Winds this evening have diminished with gusts ending and speeds generally have fallen to around 8KT across the valley. This should be the trend through the night with south winds around 8KT, however there could be a few more upticks in speed to 10KT with isolated gusts to around 15KT until 09Z. After a lull in the winds Wednesday early morning, increasing south-southwest winds are expected late Wednesday morning and afternoon. Winds will be similar to today but a bit stronger. There is a low chance (30%) for gusts over 30KT from Wednesday 21Z through 00Z. After 03Z, winds should diminish however gusts to around 20KT could persist into the early overnight. Skies should clear and VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period. Temperatures will exceed 100F between 19Z and 04Z.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast California...For the 06Z Forecast Package...Winds will follow typical overnight patterns tonight into Wednesday morning. Gusts at KDAG should end at KDAG around 09Z tonight. Similar wind patterns are expected Wednesday compared today with slightly stronger winds. South to southwest winds will gust 20-30KT in the afternoon in many locations. KBIH will see light winds until after 21Z when a push of southwest to west winds move through the terminals and persist through the evening. In the Colorado River Valley, winds will be south and gust 25-30KT. Winds will diminish after sunset Wednesday evening. It will remain dry on Wednesday with no afternoon precipitation expected to develop and VFR conditions prevailing.

CLIMATE

Numerous climate locations have a forecast high temperature and/or forecast warm low temperature within 3 degrees of the daily record.

The table below shows the daily record maximum temperature and the year the record was last set. An asterisk (*) denotes which records are in jeopardy (within 3 degrees of the forecast).

MAX WED, JUN 11 Record(Yr)

Las Vegas 109(2022)* Bishop 104(2022) Needles 122(1918) Daggett 110(2022) Kingman 107(1918) Desert Rock 105(2022) Death Valley 122(2022)

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotters are encouraged to report any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating procedures.