textproduct: Rapid City

KEY MESSAGES

-Mild and dry weather can be expected through most of next week

DISCUSSION

(Today Through Friday) Issued at 109 AM MDT Sat Nov 1 2025

Progressive westerly Pac flow will support mild conditions through most of the period. Sfc high over the region this morning with light winds and clear skies most places. The exception is toward central SD where some lower clouds are lingering. Shortwave ridging can be expected today with WAA. This will support some passing cirrus as well as warmer conds, esp the western third where the warmest temps will be. However, with progressive flow, cool fronts will move through the region about every other day, with the first expected Sunday morning. Models have trended toward stronger flow behind the front Sunday, esp across NW SD where adv levels may be possible. Not much cool air with this system, just enough to knock temps down about 10 degrees for Monday compared to Sunday. Dry weather expected most of the period given lack of any appreciable moisture with any of these systems. A stronger mid- level trough will progress through the region Thur and again later Friday into Sat. These systems may support enough lift to support some rain or snow then, esp over the northern Black Hills.

AVIATION

(For the 18Z TAFS Through 18Z Sunday) Issued At 1126 AM MDT Sat Nov 1 2025

VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period.

UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

SD...None. WY...None.