textproduct: Rapid City

KEY MESSAGES

-Mild and dry into next week, breezy at times

DISCUSSION

(This Afternoon Through Sunday) Issued at 942 AM MST Mon Nov 9 2026

Mean western NOAM ridging will support mild and dry weather into next week as Pac flow continues aloft. Weak/skirting impulses will support cool fronts at times to knock temps down a few degrees and support passing breezy days. Temps will be above normal in the period. Departing cool front has knocked temps down 10 to 15 degrees for today, but still mild and above normal with highs in the 50s/60s. The next system will move into the region tomorrow with warmer temps expected per frontside SW flow. This system will force another trough through the region, with breezy NW winds expected by afternoon. A few gusts over 40 mph can be expected esp on the NW SD Plains and into the lee of the Black Hills. A back door cool front will slide into the region later Wed, which will knock down temps across the SD Plains Thur, esp toward central SD. However, any cool down will be short lived as the western NOAM ridge quickly rebuilds into the region, supporting a very mild and dry weekend with mild weather continuing into next week.

AVIATION

(For the 18Z TAFS Through 18Z Tuesday) Issued At 1025 AM MST Mon Nov 9 2026

VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period. A dry front will begin passing through the region towards the end of the TAF period, bringing gusty northwest winds into the region for Tuesday.

UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

SD...None. WY...None.