textproduct: Rapid City

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Showers and thunderstorms are tracking southeast through the area this afternoon.

- These thunderstorms have produced wind gusts upwards of 35 to 45 mph and lightning.

- These storms will continue to slide southeast through the early evening before fading out late this evening.

- Clear skies and warmer temps return to finish the work week.

DISCUSSION

(This Evening into early next week) Issued at 224 PM MDT Wed Apr 29 2026

The forecast is still overall on the quieter side. That being said, there are some concerns centered around the thunderstorms that are tracking through the area this afternoon.

These thunderstorms have produced confirmed wind gusts upwards of 35 to 45 mph, lightning, and one shower that passed over the office here in Rapid City produced ice pellets. These storms will continue through the afternoon and early evening before fading out late this evening. No severe weather is expected at this time but we'll continue to monitor the situation.

Then a ridge of high pressure will give clear and sunny skies Thursday night through Saturday. Low-end PoPs return to the area late Saturday night as the ridge breaks down and northwest flow returns. Those precip chances will last into Sunday, especially over the Black Hills but not so much in the plains.

Temperatures are still expected to rise as we head into the weekend. Overnight lows will be stuck in the upper 20s to low 30s through Thursday night with warmer overnight lows expected for the weekend. Thursday is looking at highs in the 50s to near 60. Friday, Saturday, and Sunday will be warmer with highs in the 60s to low 70s. Warmer weather trend continues into next week.

AVIATION

(For the 00Z TAFS Through 00Z Thursday Evening) Issued At 525 PM MDT Wed Apr 29 2026

VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period. Scattered light rain showers are ongoing across the forecast area, however low confidence in putting -shra at the TAF sites. Expect VFR conditions to remain even in light showers. Showers will dissipate this evening.

UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

SD...None. WY...None.

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