textproduct: Rapid City

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

-Mild and dry through early next week with high temperatures 15-25F above normal

-Semi-active flow returns by the middle of next week with chances for precip at times and cooler conds

DISCUSSION

(This Evening Through Thursday) Issued at 844 PM MST Thu Feb 12 2026

Semi-amplified zonal split flow will continue to bring mild and dry weather to the region. The pattern does breakdown next week as a deep trough pushes east into the western CONUS, supporting cooler and semi-active flow by mid week as a mean trough propagates slowly east into the CONUS. Expect mostly sunny skies the next two days with highs generally in the 50s and 60s, some 15 to 25 degrees above seasonal norms. Clouds will increase by Sunday as the deep upper trough pushes east with ample high level moisture advecting into the region, supporting thick high clouds. This may limit temp potentials some Sunday, but still quite mild. Mild weather will persist into Tues, with cooler weather arriving by mid week as a sfc cold front slides through the region, along with increasing chances for precip. Overall, no significant weather expected.

AVIATION

(For the 12Z TAFS Through 12Z Saturday Morning) Issued At 438 AM MST Fri Feb 13 2026

VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period.

UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

SD...None. WY...None.

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