textproduct: Rapid City

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Mild weather with highs 15 to 20 degrees above average through this week

- Low chances (10-20%) for light precip over the Black Hills and southwestern SD on Wednesday, otherwise mostly dry conditions through the end of the week

DISCUSSION

(Tonight Through Monday) Issued at 921 PM MST Mon Feb 9 2026

Current sfc analysis shows cold front has pushed through the CWA and into NE. KUDX scans show some lingering rain/snow showers over southwestern and south central SD. Temperatures have dropped into the upper 20s to low 30s.

There really isn't much to discuss for the remainder of this week. Weak ridging builds back into the region for Tuesday with temperatures into the 40s to low 50s. The next shortwave impacts the region Wednesday, though the bulk of the moisture and lift will be to our south. What this means is the CWA will experience breezy southerly winds and low chances for light precip to the Black Hills and southwestern SD (LREF probs have 10-20% chances for QPF >0.01" for this system).

Near zonal flow will then persist over the CWA through the end of the week with sensible weather impacts being dry weather and temperatures remaining 15 to 20 degrees above average.

AVIATION

(For the 06Z TAFS Through 06Z Tuesday Night) Issued At 1000 PM MST Mon Feb 9 2026

VFR conditions expected through the TAF period.

UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

SD...None. WY...None.

IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.

textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.