textproduct: Rapid City

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Unseasonably warm temperatures (25-35 degrees above average) on Thursday with potentially record breaking highs

- Above-average temperatures and dry weather to continue through this weekend

FRIDAY, THE WEEKEND, AND INTO NEXT WEEK

Friday and Saturday will fall shy of the high bar set by Thursday - at least on the South Dakota plains.

For Friday, eastern counties will lose about 20 degrees vs about 5-10 degrees for the foothills. Temps in NE Wyoming should remain nearly unchanged as the cooler air won't make it that far west. Widespread sunshine should help keep the vibe a pleasant one.

Saturday's numbers begin creeping up again with more 60s in SD despite the forecast increase in cloud cover.

The mild temperatures hold until Tuesday when the pattern changes. A cut-off low crashes the Pacific coast and leaves the UNR CWA in a more zonal flow that should bring temps closer to seasonal norms and bring better chances for precipitation. Best chances of precip from this vantage look like early Wednesday when a piece of energy is progged to be ejected from the approaching trof. Current forecast suggests p-types will be determined by timing. Rain and snow are both possible in the lower elevations.

AVIATION

(For the 06Z TAFS Through 06Z Thursday Night) Issued At 927 PM MST Wed Feb 4 2026

VFR conditions are expected through the period.

UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

SD...None. WY...None.

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