textproduct: Rapid City

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

-Cool front will knock temps down some Tue through Thur, however it will remain mild and dry

-Warming back up Friday and Saturday

-Pattern change next week will bring much cooler weather with some chances for precip

UPDATE

Issued at 922 PM MDT Mon Oct 5 2026

Cool front will move through tomorrow, supporting a slightly cooler day most areas, but still above normal. Expect highs in the low to mid 80s most areas. Flatter flow aloft will support cooler weather Wed and Thur as another backdoor cool front moves through, with highs mainly in the 70s. Staunch upper level ridging ahead of the digging western CONUS upper trough will support very warm weather Fri and Sat before a strong cold front moves through and significantly cools things down for next week. Chances for precip will also return next week. However, large model spreads remain per the track and strength of the upper trough and its resultant local precip chances, with low confidence in this period.

AVIATION

(For the 18Z TAFS Through 18Z Tuesday) Issued At 1119 AM MDT Mon Oct 5 2026

VFR conditions through the TAF period.

AVIATION

(For the 06Z TAFS Through 06Z Tuesday Night) Issued At 1049 PM MDT Mon Oct 5 2026

VFR conditions through the TAF period.

UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

SD...None. WY...None.

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