textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1045 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

- Cooler and mostly dry weather follows a frontal passage through the weekend.

- Pleasant conditions persist into next week with a warming trend and minimal rain chances.

SHORT TERM

(Through Friday) Issued at 1045 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

Scattered showers associated with a weakening mid level wave will continue to lessen in coverage and intensity through the overnight hours across southeast Oklahoma and west central Arkansas. Any additional rain amounts will stay below one tenth of an inch. An associated cold front has made its way through most of the region this evening, with breezy northerly winds and noticeably cooler temps following in its wake. As a brief period of clearing follows the dissipating showers tonight, temperatures will drop into the lower 40s to upper 30s north of I-40, while lows will drop to near 50 across the southern half of the forecast area. Increasing cloud cover is expected to filter into the northern half of the forecast area Friday morning. This will keep temperatures near steady in the upper 40s to lower 50s into the early afternoon, before some breaks in the clouds later in the day could bring a brief jump in temps into the mid to upper 50s. Highs will likely climb into the mid to upper 60s across the south where more sun will be prevalent. Some light drizzle is also not out of the question north of I-40 from mid morning through early afternoon, otherwise dry conditions will prevail.

Bowlan

LONG TERM

(Friday Night through Thursday) Issued at 1045 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

Mid level ridging will dominate through the weekend while a Canadian surface high settles over the area Friday night through Sunday. Clearing skies will allow for a couple of chilly Fall nights across the region, with temperatures likely dropping into the 30s both Saturday and Sunday morning across the north. Areas of frost or a possible light freeze will be possible for some of the normally colder locations, especially by Sunday morning. Dry conditions persist through the weekend under the influence of high pressure.

The surface high will gradually shift east by early next week, allowing southerly surface winds to return to the region. This will kick off a warming trend through mid week as temperatures rebound back above normal. Mostly dry conditions are forecast through the end of the period. A slow moving cutoff mid level low will meander across south Texas late this weekend. Guidance diverges on the evolution of this wave by early next week. Some indications are that it could lift northeast across southern Oklahoma sometime early to mid next week, which could bring some scattered showers to the area along with more cloud cover and cooler highs than currently forecast. Otherwise, pleasant conditions will be the rule through much of the next week.

Bowlan

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 429 AM CST Fri Nov 6 2026

MVFR ceilings along the Kansas and Missouri borders will continue to push southward this morning, impacting all terminals except MLC and FSM. A brief period of IFR ceilings is possible, particularly at BVO/XNA/ROG. Ceilings should improve to VFR at the NE OK sites midday into early afternoon and at the NW AR sites mid afternoon. A low chance of reduced visibilities will exist late in the period, which will not be included in the terminals at this time. Winds should remain under 10kts and from a northerly direction.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 58 39 61 37 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 66 43 65 41 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 62 41 64 39 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 56 34 60 33 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 58 34 62 34 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 59 39 59 37 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 61 39 62 36 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 57 36 59 34 / 0 0 0 0 F10 59 39 62 36 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 70 47 68 44 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.