textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1219 PM CDT Tue Apr 28 2026

- Another round of thunderstorms and severe weather is expected this afternoon.

- A cold front will usher in cooler and drier air tonight, marking the beginning of an extended break from severe weather that is expected to last into the first part of May.

- A storm system is forecast to track east across Texas during the latter part of the week, increasing rain chances across the region, mainly near and south of Interstate 40.

SHORT TERM

(Through tonight ) Issued at 1200 PM CDT Tue Apr 28 2026

Showers and thunderstorms are ongoing early this afternoon as an upper wave passes overhead. Large hail and damaging wind gusts will continue to be the primary hazards associated with storms north of a warm front in southeast Oklahoma and NW AR. Along and south of the warm front, all severe hazards will be possible. Over time, the front will be forced back to the south with a decreasing thunderstorm and severe threat for our area.

LONG TERM

(Tomorrow through Tuesday) Issued at 1200 PM CDT Tue Apr 28 2026

Precip ends entirely by tonight with high pressure filling into the region for Wednesday. This provides a break in the active weather pattern with drier and cooler conditions. Rain chances increase again late in the day Thursday as moist SW flow overruns the region ahead of an approaching western trough. This system eventually ejects east Friday into Friday evening with continued precipitation chances, mainly near and south of Interstate 40. Instability will be lacking with this feature and little in the way of thunder is expected with no severe threat. This weekend looks quiet weather-wise with near average temperatures returning by Sunday. Eastern troughing sets up for early next week with a weak disturbance providing low rain and thunder chances Monday night into Tuesday. For now, the severe weather potential through the extended period looks to remain low.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1230 PM CDT Tue Apr 28 2026

MVFR and periodic IFR cigs will continue to prevail through this afternoon. Ceilings should improve from west to east late this afternoon and into this evening. Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue to overspread eastern OK and northwest AR early this afternoon. Additional storms are expected to to develop later this afternoon near a cold front that will pushing through the area. Storms that are able to move over any TAF site will be capable of producing erratic wind gusts, large hail, and heavy rainfall, with IFR and LIFR cigs/vsbys. Storms will gradually shift south and east with the cold front this evening. Aviation conditions and ceilings should improve late tonight and overnight tonight. However, conditions may be slower to improve at the northwest AR TAF sites.

Mejia

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 49 69 47 70 / 0 0 0 10 FSM 55 73 52 70 / 40 10 10 10 MLC 53 70 52 70 / 20 10 10 20 BVO 44 69 42 70 / 0 0 0 10 FYV 50 69 44 69 / 40 0 0 0 BYV 51 68 44 68 / 50 0 0 0 MKO 51 70 49 70 / 10 0 0 10 MIO 47 66 43 68 / 20 0 0 0 F10 50 69 48 69 / 10 0 0 10 HHW 56 70 56 69 / 50 10 10 30

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.