textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 543 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

- Cool morning lows, warm afternoon highs through the week.

- Rain is not expected through the forecast period.

SHORT TERM

(Through Tuesday Night) Issued at 1130 PM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

Crisp overnight conditions will give way to above normal afternoon temperatures across the area today as low impact weather continues. The normally cooler locations could again dip into the 40s Tuesday morning. Patches of valley fog will also once again be possible through just after sunrise Tuesday morning, but widespread impacts are not expected.

Surface ridging remains in place over the region, meaning light winds and dry conditions continue, under ample amounts of sunshine Tuesday afternoon. Highs largely in the low to mid 80s are expected areawide with little to no cloud cover. Lows Tuesday night will trend a couple degrees warmer than tonight.

Bowlan

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through Monday) Issued at 1130 PM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

Surface ridging will gradually slide eastward from the latter half of the week into the weekend while modest mid level ridging builds back eastward and flattens out of the southern states. All in all, this will lead to near persistent conditions across the forecast area through the late half of the workweek and through the weekend. Dry conditions, with clear skies and generally light southeast to southerly winds expected to continue. The dry conditions will continue to favor near normal, cool overnight lows in the 50s, warming into the mid to upper 80s for most places by the afternoon.

A tropical wave will lift north out of the Gulf through the weekend, but guidance continues to indicate this system will stay to the east of the forecast area, with little to no impact for us. A few showers could affect portions of western Arkansas Saturday night into Sunday, but chances and amounts remain low for now. Winds look to pick up during the back half of the forecast, which could again raise fire weather concerns as drought continues its hold on much of the forecast area. A stronger storm system and associated cold front could bring increasing rain chances toward the middle part of next week, but that remains outside of the forecast package at this time.

Bowlan

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 543 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast with light winds.

Lacy

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 85 59 88 59 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 85 54 87 56 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 84 53 86 55 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 85 55 89 56 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 81 51 84 54 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 81 54 85 55 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 84 54 85 56 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 83 55 86 57 / 0 0 0 0 F10 84 55 86 55 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 84 55 85 57 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.