textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 517 PM CST Sun Feb 22 2026 - Cooler temperatures through Monday.

- Above normal temperatures and mostly dry weather returns next week.

- Elevated fire weather concerns develop Tuesday with the return of warm weather and gusty south to southwest winds.

SHORT TERM

(Through tonight) Issued at 1120 AM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

Cool and breezy conditions continue today in the wake of an exiting shortwave dropping into the southeast CONUS. Northerly winds will continue to usher a drier airmass into the region through the afternoon. The breezy conditions combined with the dry air will result in limited fire weather conditions for a few hours this afternoon before winds begin to subside toward sunset. Highs will generally be in the mid to upper 40s with some lower 50s possible across the south.

Surface high pressure will settle over the region this evening, allowing winds calm with continues clear skies. The result will be the coldest temperatures overnight into Monday morning with lows in the teens and 20s across the region.

Bowlan

LONG TERM

(Tomorrow through Sunday) Issued at 1120 AM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

The surface high will slowly shift eastward during the day Monday, leading to generally light winds through the day with seasonably cool highs in the upper 40s to lower 50s. South to Southwesterly winds return by Monday evening and become gusty again by Tuesday morning. Gusts of 25 to 35 mph will be common Tuesday afternoon. Much warmer temperatures will be the result on Tuesday as highs rebound back into the upper 60s to 70s. Moisture will be slow to return to the area as well, meaning another day of elevated fire weather concerns Tuesday afternoon.

Fire concerns ease a bit on Wednesday as a surface boundary sets up across the region allowing winds to relax along with an increase in surface moisture. A mid-level shortwave is progged to drop southeast through the Plains Wednesday night into Thursday which will bring some low rain chances, primarily to northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Rain amounts look light if anything unfortunately. Warm and dry conditions continue to round out the week into the weekend with fire weather concerns remaining due to lack of appreciable rainfall. A stronger front could be in the offing for next weekend sometime, though guidance still remains highly divergent in solutions regarding the evolution of this system.

Bowlan

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 517 PM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 20 49 36 71 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 23 51 29 69 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 22 53 36 70 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 15 47 29 70 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 15 47 28 66 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 16 44 28 63 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 20 49 33 69 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 16 44 29 65 / 0 0 0 0 F10 21 51 35 70 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 26 55 33 68 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.