textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1227 AM CDT Mon Apr 6 2026 - Cooler and drier conditions continue into early this week.

- Unsettled pattern returns late this week, with multiple opportunities for showers and thunderstorms into the next weekend. Heavy rain and severe weather may occur during this time frame.

SHORT TERM

(Through Monday) Issued at 1124 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Surface high pressure continues to dominate the weather across eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas this Sunday night into Monday morning, with light winds and cool conditions expected. High clouds continue on the eastern fringes of the forecast area, but given satellite trends, will shift east of the area early Monday morning. With clear skies and light winds, lows in the mid to upper 30s will again occur in parts of far northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Patchy frost will be most likely to develop in parts of far northwest Arkansas, and a mention has been added to the forecast. Southerly winds have already made a return to northwest Oklahoma on the backside of the high and should spread into eastern Oklahoma after daybreak, increasing in speed during the afternoon hours particularly across northeast Oklahoma. Afternoon highs will be a few degrees higher than today/s, mostly in the lower 70s.

LONG TERM

(Monday Night through Sunday) Issued at 1124 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Seasonable temperatures and low impact weather will prevail Tuesday, with a front making a run toward northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas before stalling. An upper level disturbance will bring an increase in cloud cover during the day Tuesday and into Wednesday, but continued dry air across the area should prevent precipitation development. Winds remain expected to increase from the south on Wednesday ahead of a stronger cold front associated with an upper low along the Canadian border with the Northern Plains states. Trends in the eventual location of this front indicate a more northward stall point than shown the last couple of days, which would limit how far south the shower and thunderstorm potential along it extends on Thursday and Thursday night. The potential for showers and thunderstorms will continue to increase from Friday into the next weekend with southwest flow aloft developing in response to an upper low on the West Coast. The overall pattern supports both heavy rain/flooding and severe weather threats during the period.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1227 AM CDT Mon Apr 6 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 72 45 73 50 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 73 45 74 50 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 72 45 72 53 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 72 41 73 45 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 72 41 71 50 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 70 43 70 47 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 71 43 71 50 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 70 43 71 49 / 0 0 0 0 F10 71 44 71 49 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 70 43 70 51 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.