textproduct: Tulsa

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1116 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026 - Slightly cooler conditions will continue through Wednesday. There will be a slight chance for mixed rain and snow west of Highway 75 Wednesday morning.

- Much warmer and dry weather Thursday into next week.

SHORT TERM

(Through tonight ) Issued at 1032 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

A cold front has pushed through the forecast area. Areas of clouds and precipitation have moved east with cool and breezy northerly flow now in place. These conditions will persist for the remainder of today and tonight. Highs this afternoon will range from the mid 40s in the far north to the upper 50s in the south.

Overnight tonight, cloud cover will gradually increase as a mid level trough axis approaches. A few sprinkles or flurries may develop west of Highway 75 in northeast OK, but the majority of any precipitation now appears to be west of the forecast area. Low temperatures will mostly be near to slightly below freezing.

LONG TERM

(Tomorrow through Tuesday) Issued at 1032 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

The influence of a trough will remain across the area Wednesday. Cool and breezy northerly winds will continue through the day. A relatively shallow saturated zone at the top of the mixed layer will likely promote persistent cloud cover and maybe a few sprinkles during the day Wednesday. With better confidence on more widespread low cloud cover, lowered temperatures a bit from the NBM, especially for northwest Arkansas where clouds will be most persistent. High temperatures will range from the upper 30s to low 40s in the north to the upper 40s in the south.

Thursday morning will be cool as skies clear behind the trough, mainly in the mid to upper 20s across the area. Then, upper level ridging flexes back into the region. Mostly clear skies with mild southerly flow will prevail into the weekend and early next week, with only minor disruptions as a few weak transitory boundaries brush the area. High temperatures will be in the 60s to 70s with lows mainly in the 30s and 40s.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1116 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

VFR conditions are forecast to prevail through the forecast period with an overall increase in high and mid clouds cover. Of less certainty is the potential for MVFR ceilings to spread into northeast OK and possibly northwest AR mainly after 12z Wednesday. Consensus right now is that the potential will be higher after 18z, but have introduced mention a lower cloud layer at those locations for the last few hours of the forecast.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 51 30 46 28 / 0 10 10 0 FSM 57 31 47 28 / 20 0 0 0 MLC 57 32 49 28 / 10 0 0 0 BVO 49 27 46 24 / 0 10 10 0 FYV 51 27 41 25 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 49 27 40 25 / 10 0 0 0 MKO 52 29 46 26 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 45 27 42 26 / 0 0 0 0 F10 55 31 48 27 / 0 0 10 0 HHW 60 35 52 29 / 30 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.


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