textproduct: Tulsa
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 627 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026 - Cooler and drier conditions continue into early this week.
- Unsettled pattern returns late this week, with multiple opportunities for showers and thunderstorms into the next weekend.
SHORT TERM
(Through tonight ) Issued at 1230 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026
Cool temps again tonight with sfc high settling over the region and clear skies. Valley locations of SE OK and western AR will likely fall into the mid 30s. Any late night fog will again be isolated and variable in density.
LONG TERM
(Tomorrow through Sunday) Issued at 1230 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026
Dry and mild conditions continue through Wednesday. Weak reinforcing cold front keeps low dewpoints in place through Tuesday with increasing winds on Wednesday marking the ensuing warm up and associated moisture return.
Cold front moves into southern KS by late Thursday. Showers and storms along this boundary may move into portions of NE OK Thursday afternoon into Thursday night but southward advance is uncertain keeping rain chances low at this time.
The pattern aloft will become increasing unsettled by late week and continuing through next week. Multiple shortwave troughs are forecast to eject across the Plains downstream of a slow moving upper low tracking slowly across the southwest CONUS through early next week. Additionally, low level moisture will steadily increase across a broad sector of the southern Plains and multiple periods of showers and storms are expected. Details regarding severe weather potential will be better defined with later forecasts, however the likelihood of some flooding potential does increase with the expectation of multiple periods of high rain chances.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 627 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026
VFR conditions are expected at all sites through this forecast period. Northerly wind will become light and variable early this evening, and then veer to the southeast most sites on Monday as high pressure ridge over the area shifts to the east tonight. Wind speeds will remain less than 10 knots on Monday at all sites.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 44 73 45 73 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 42 74 45 74 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 41 73 45 73 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 39 73 40 73 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 38 73 43 71 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 40 70 43 68 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 42 71 43 71 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 39 71 42 71 / 0 0 0 0 F10 42 71 42 72 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 43 70 44 71 / 0 0 0 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...None. AR...None.
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