textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1156 PM CDT Fri Sep 18 2026

- Near record temperatures continue Saturday.

- Fire weather concerns will continue during periods of stronger winds, especially on Saturday across eastern Oklahoma.

- Shower and thunderstorm chances return Saturday night and increase Sunday through Sunday night as a slow moving cold front passes.

- Noticeably cooler temperatures arrive next week.

SHORT TERM

(Through Saturday) Issued at 1156 PM CDT Fri Sep 18 2026

Another hot day is on tap Saturday, with record or near record high temperatures expected once again. Increasing south winds and low afternoon humidity values will lead to heightened fire weather concerns Saturday afternoon for both grassland and timber fuels, especially for the more drought stricken areas. Remain aware of ongoing burn bans across the area. Afternoon high temperatures Saturday will range from the mid 90s to near 102.

LONG TERM

(Saturday Night through Friday) Issued at 1156 PM CDT Fri Sep 18 2026

A cold front will approach the area from the north Saturday evening and overnight, with shower and thunderstorm chances spreading into parts of northeast Oklahoma by late evening into the overnight hours. As the cold front sags south into our area during the day Sunday, additional showers and storms will form in its vicinity by afternoon, with an isolated severe storm or two possible. Shower and storm chances will continue Sunday night into Monday as the front continues to progress southeast across the area.

Much cooler temperatures will prevail next week in the wake of the front, with temperatures much closer to the seasonal averages. A few showers may drift into parts of northeast Oklahoma from time to time later next week, but most places will remain dry.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1230 AM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

A few passing high clouds tonight become more scattered along with a few mid clouds Saturday across the CWA. Toward the end of the period, chances for convection develop with a cold front dropping southeast through Kansas. For now, the greater potential is forecast west and northwest of KBVO through 06z, with higher storm chances just outside of this TAF period. Thus, will hold off on mentioning in the TAF at this time. Winds through the period start out light/variable and become breezy from the south and southwest Saturday. VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 98 75 90 68 / 0 20 50 70 FSM 101 73 98 73 / 0 0 0 50 MLC 100 74 97 70 / 0 0 30 60 BVO 99 69 88 64 / 0 30 60 60 FYV 97 69 94 66 / 0 0 10 60 BYV 96 72 93 69 / 0 0 10 70 MKO 100 72 94 67 / 0 0 40 70 MIO 96 71 89 66 / 0 20 40 70 F10 98 73 94 66 / 0 0 50 70 HHW 100 72 97 71 / 0 0 10 40

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.