textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 531 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026

- Life threatening cold persists through Monday morning for any prolonged exposure. - Travel conditions will be slow to improve as cold temperatures persist through early week, though some temperature moderation is expected. Sleet and snow pack will impact temperature trends through at least mid week.

- Pattern by late week favors reinforcing cold front but dry weather is most likely at this time.

SHORT TERM

(Through Monday) Issued at 1011 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Extreme and life threatening cold remains the immediate issue across all of eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas, with temperatures late this evening having already fallen into the single digits across much of the northern half of the area. A similar drop is expected across the remainder of southeast Oklahoma and into west central Arkansas once the residual mid cloud and light snow/flurries associated with the disturbance in East Texas shift fully to the east after midnight. When the wind is factored in, widespread subzero wind chill values, potentially as low as 20 below, will result. Have decreased the low temperature forecast a couple of degrees in most areas given how quickly temps can plummet with this kind of snow/sleet pack given even a short window of clear skies and lighter winds. Another batch of mid and high cloud, along with scattered flurries will move in from the west toward daybreak with the approach of another disturbance moving through the panhandles.

Into the daylight hours on Monday, clearing skies are expected, although that should only have a modest effect on temperatures. Highs are likely to only warm into the upper teens and 20s, despite the sunshine and a return to west and southwesterly winds during the afternoon.

LONG TERM

(Monday Night through Sunday) Issued at 1011 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Temperatures are going to be the main forecast problem for much of the week ahead, largely driven by changes in the snow/sleet pack. Dry weather looks likely during the extended. Extreme cold conditions are likely to occur again Monday night and into Tuesday morning, with another warning likely needed for most, if not all, the area. Thought was given to extending the existing warning all the way through to Tuesday morning, but given the degree of the warmup on Monday afternoon, decided against that path. Above freezing temperatures remain expected for most areas Tuesday afternoon, as well as Wednesday and Thursday afternoon, with a couple of weak wind shifts during that period serving to keep any prolonged southerly flow from developing. A stronger boundary looks to come through Thursday night and into Friday, with cooler temperatures extending into at least the early part of the weekend. Noticeably warmer conditions may be in the offing for the latter part of next weekend and into the following work week.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 531 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 23 7 34 8 / 10 0 0 0 FSM 24 4 34 11 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 25 3 37 11 / 10 0 0 0 BVO 23 4 34 2 / 10 0 0 0 FYV 20 6 35 9 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 21 10 36 7 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 22 5 34 7 / 10 0 0 0 MIO 20 8 32 3 / 0 0 0 0 F10 23 5 34 8 / 10 0 0 0 HHW 27 7 38 15 / 10 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Extreme Cold Warning until noon CST today for OKZ049-053>076.

AR...Extreme Cold Warning until noon CST today for ARZ001-002-010-011- 019-020-029.