textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 526 AM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026

- Hot temperatures are expected through the week with a Heat Advisory for portions of eastern Oklahoma and west central Arkansas Friday.

- Rain and storm chances return to the northern half of the area through Friday night, with the best chances Friday.

- Drier conditions expected this weekend into next week with dangerous heat remaining a concern for the next several days.

SHORT TERM

(Through Friday) Issued at 1129 PM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

Thunderstorms are ongoing late this evening across mainly portions of northeast Oklahoma, with signs of additional development west along the outflow boundary generated by the existing storms. Most CAMs have this activity bubbling for a couple more hours before diminishing. Attention then turns northward to Kansas, where additional showers and storms are already bubbling. Timing for this activity to increase and move southward into northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas remains in within a couple of hours either way of daybreak Friday. Isolated to scattered showers and storms may continue to bubble in that same region during the day and low POPs will be maintained into the afternoon. In general, the focus for additional storms should be south of today along residual boundaries, as well as parts of western Arkansas given the expected track of an upper level disturbance. Dangerous heat will remain an issue for parts of the area, albeit a smaller part than the last several days. Tulsa and Wagoner Counties will be added to the existing Heat Advisory for Friday given the updated forecast heat indices.

LONG TERM

(Friday Night through Thursday) Issued at 1129 PM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

Thunderstorms will likely be ongoing Friday evening, with a gradual shift south and eastward through the overnight. As noted yesterday, potential for some low shower and thunderstorm chances to hang on in parts of the area during the day Saturday is now depicted in the NBM data, largely focused across parts of southeast Oklahoma into west central Arkansas. While the POPs from the NBM have been adjusted slightly to more uniformly depict the threat, their message is largely maintained. To the north of this potential activity on Saturday, temperatures will reach the triple digits across a widespread area once again, with heat headlines again possible across a larger part of northeast Oklahoma. With the upper level ridge expanding eastward across the region to close out the weekend and continue through much of the week ahead, dry and hot conditions will prevail once again through at least the middle of the week. There are signs that the ridge shifts southward some for the latter part of the week, with potential for another round of showers and thunderstorms and cooler temperatures.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 526 AM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026

Showers and storms have developed north of the area, but will move into northeast OK through mid morning. These storms may impact areas as far south as the Tulsa area with locally heavy rain and gusty outflow winds. Storms are expected to mostly diminish by late morning.

Partly cloud skies with light southerly wind continues through the day, with another chance of showers and storms during the late afternoon and evening. These storms would also produce locally heavy rain and gusty erratic outflow winds. So although the TAFs generally hold onto southerly winds, outflow winds will likely modify this at times.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 99 75 101 78 / 20 20 10 0 FSM 100 75 98 74 / 30 30 20 0 MLC 100 75 99 75 / 30 30 10 10 BVO 96 71 101 74 / 40 10 0 0 FYV 95 71 95 72 / 30 40 10 0 BYV 94 71 95 71 / 50 40 10 10 MKO 99 72 97 74 / 20 30 10 0 MIO 93 71 98 74 / 30 20 10 0 F10 99 73 100 72 / 20 20 10 0 HHW 98 75 96 74 / 20 30 20 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for OKZ060-064>067-070-071-073-074-176-272.

AR...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ129-219-220.