textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1013 AM CST Thu Feb 5 2026 - Much warmer and dry weather from today into next week.

- A little more unsettled next week with at least some low rain chances.

SHORT TERM

(Through Tonight) Issued at 1013 AM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

Increasing downslope flow in the boundary layer will lead to a notable warm-up this afternoon. A corridor of low-end fire spread potential may develop during mid to late afternoon across eastern OK where RH values fall to around 25% and winds gust in the 20-25 mph range. Skies will remain mostly clear tonight with light west winds keeping temps milder overall.

LONG TERM

(Friday through Thursday) Issued at 1013 AM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

Low level thermal ridge expands further Friday, but will be suppressed a bit south as the leading edge of a shallow colder airmass nudges south into the region. Temperatues will still be warmer across most of the area as the colder air will lag well behind the initial wind shift, though the degree of warming will likely be capped in areas near the KS and MO borders. Shallow cold airmass will push south through the local area Saturday and bring a modest cool-down, likely cooler than blended guidance suggests, but still a little above normal.

Winds will quickly shift to the south by late Saturday and Saturday night leading to a quick return to well above normal temperatues early next week. Fire weather concerns will be tempered by an increase in RH despite warm and breezy conditions. The pattern still looks to become increasingly unsettled from the middle of next week with an initial southern stream system sliding under the prevailing upper ridge and bringing some light rainfall by Tue/Wed. Models are trending toward a stronger upper level low by the end of next week, though main impact should remain just beyond this forecast.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 506 PM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

VFR conditions prevail through the period. Westerly winds through the evening and overnight hours will become northwesterly to northerly during the morning tomorrow. Winds could gusts around 20 knots across all sites during the afternoon tomorrow.

Bowlan

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 40 67 32 56 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 38 69 34 58 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 41 72 34 60 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 35 64 27 55 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 37 64 28 52 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 38 62 29 51 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 38 67 33 58 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 35 61 28 53 / 0 0 0 0 F10 42 70 33 59 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 40 75 38 59 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.