textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 520 PM CST Tue Feb 10 2026 - Low to medium rain chances near a cold front this afternoon into tonight, mainly along and south of I-40.

- Cooler temperatures tonight and Wednesday behind the cold front.

- More substantial storm system impacts the area Friday night and Saturday, with potential for heavy rainfall and thunderstorms.

SHORT TERM

(Through tonight ) Issued at 1137 AM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

A cold front located near the Interstate 44 corridor late this morning will continue to push southeast across the area this afternoon and evening. A few light showers will remain possible into tonight from southeast Oklahoma into western Arkansas, but rainfall amounts will remain light, generally less than a tenth of an inch. Gusty north winds will prevail this afternoon following the frontal passage before diminishing this evening. Temperatures will be much cooler tonight, with overnight lows ranging from the upper 20s near the Kansas border to the mid 40s near the Red River.

LONG TERM

(Tomorrow through Tuesday) Issued at 1137 AM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

Wednesday will see cooler temperatures, but still above normal for mid February, with afternoon highs ranging from the upper 50s to upper 60s. South winds will return Thursday, with temperatures warming again as a result.

Another frontal boundary will sag south across the area Thursday night and Friday, with low chances for precipitation. A closed upper level low will move out of the Baja region across northern Texas during the Friday night to Saturday night time frame, bringing widespread showers and possibly a few thunderstorms to eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Rainfall amounts of 1-2 inches will be common, with locally higher amounts.

Once this system passes, a return to unseasonably warm weather is expected heading into next week, with no sign that winter will return any time soon.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 520 PM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period, but a low probability of brief MVFR ceilings will remain for a few hours this evening at KFSM/KMLC as scattered light rain showers continue. Overall coverage of high and mid clouds will decrease tonight. Cold front continues to push through the area this evening with north to northeast winds all areas through the rest of the forecast period, and a few gusts around 20 knots remain possible this evening.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 34 60 39 68 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 43 64 38 66 / 30 0 0 0 MLC 39 64 39 70 / 30 0 0 0 BVO 29 59 31 66 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 34 60 32 62 / 10 0 0 0 BYV 36 57 35 60 / 10 0 0 10 MKO 38 63 39 68 / 10 0 0 0 MIO 33 58 35 62 / 0 0 0 10 F10 37 63 39 70 / 10 0 0 0 HHW 44 67 41 70 / 40 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.