textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 458 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

- Cold front passes Wednesday with gusty winds increasing grassland fire spread rates.

- Reinforcing cold front Thursday with cooler weather through the weekend. Frost/freeze headlines likely needed.

- Rain chances return late in the weekend into early next week.

SHORT TERM

(Through Wednesday) Issued at 1035 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

Wind shift will move into eastern OK before sunrise Wednesday with winds turning more northwesterly and becoming gusty through the day area wide. A brief period of patchy fog is possible ahead of the front tonight. Otherwise drier air will quickly spread southward behind the front and couple with gusty winds to raise grassland fire spread rates through the afternoon.

LONG TERM

(Thursday through Tuesday) Issued at 1035 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

Cooler temperatures near seasonal normals expected Thursday ahead of the stronger colder front which will push temperatures below normal Friday into the weekend. A light freeze appears likely across much of NE OK into far NW AR both Thursday and Friday nights.

Guidance remains similar with the expected pattern evolution from late week into early next week. An amplified weather ridge and eastern trough pattern will allow for the arrival of the colder and drier late week airmass. However, the upper ridge is undercut by a strong shortwave trough into the southwest CONUS by Saturday with the wave moving steadily eastward with rains expanding from west to east Saturday night through Sunday. Minimal moisture return ahead of the wave will keep wet bulb temps cool and, given the expected widespread light rains, a cool and damp Sunday is expected. Below normal temperatures continue into early next week in wake of the weekend wave.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 501 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the period at most sites. At KBVO and KRVS, morning fog could reduce conditions to IFR or blo for a short time before a front pushes through. Behind a fropa today, NW winds will gust up to 20 kts. Winds subside this evening.

Lacy

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 74 44 67 33 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 76 46 67 37 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 75 46 69 37 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 73 40 65 29 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 70 40 61 28 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 69 43 58 33 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 72 43 65 34 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 70 42 60 30 / 0 0 0 0 F10 74 45 68 36 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 80 49 74 42 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for OKZ055>059- 061-062-154-254-354.

AR...None.