textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 630 PM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026

- Cooler and more pleasant conditions this weekend.

- Temperatures increase by mid next week, with dangerous heat possible again mid to late week.

- Mostly dry conditions are favored for the next week.

SHORT TERM

(Through tonight ) Issued at 1045 AM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026

Cool northerly flow will continue today and tonight, with temperatures several degrees below average. Across eastern Oklahoma, high temperatures will range from the mid 80s to low 90s. A few areas across northwest Arkansas will only reach the lower 80s. Dew points have dropped substantially, with values in the upper 50s to low 60s expected to continue. Skies will be mostly clear except for scattered mid level clouds in northwest Arkansas closer to the upper level low. Overnight tonight, temperatures will drop into the 60s across the area. Enjoy it while it lasts.

LONG TERM

(Tomorrow through Saturday) Issued at 1045 AM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026

Northerly flow will begin to slacken, but Sunday will be another below normal temperature day with relatively dry air for this time of year. Highs will range from the mid 80s to low 90s with mostly clear conditions continuing. Monday will begin the warmup as upper level ridging begins to return and the upper level trough moves east. High temperatures will climb several degrees, mainly in the upper 80s to mid 90s.

Much of the remainder of the forecast period will be characterized by strong upper level ridging with high temperatures in the mid 90s to low 100s, somewhat breezy southerly flow, and mostly dry conditions. Dew points will gradually creep up with time, which will increase the heat index. By the second half of next week, the combination of heat and humidity suggests the return of heat products may be necessary for at least parts of the area.

In terms of precipitation, there is no good forcing mechanism for anything through at least the middle of next week. At that point a weak surface cold front will approach the northern border of the area, but it will be well removed from any upper level support. Accordingly, that will mostly mean just some scattered diurnal storms, focusing across the higher terrain. Though perhaps around next Thursday or Friday there could be a brief window for slightly more organized precipitation activity in the northeast half of the forecast area. If these storms develop, the main impacts would be brief heavy rain and gusty winds. Unfortunately, the overall dry conditions will imply a continued drying of vegetation and potentially some minor fire weather concerns returning to parts of the area.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 630 PM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 68 91 68 95 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 70 93 70 96 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 68 91 67 96 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 65 91 65 94 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 65 88 64 91 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 65 87 63 91 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 67 89 67 93 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 65 88 65 90 / 0 0 0 0 F10 67 91 66 95 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 68 91 68 94 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.