textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1202 AM CDT Sat Sep 5 2026

- An extended period of hot weather will persist through the upcoming week. Heat headlines will be needed most days.

- Low afternoon rain/storm chances are now in the forecast for the weekend and again late next week. What rain that does fall is not likely to reverse recent drought trends.

- Localized fire weather concerns will exist most days due to the worsening drought.

SHORT TERM

(Through Saturday) Issued at 1131 PM CDT Fri Sep 4 2026

The unseasonable heat will continue Saturday, with record or near record highs at some locations, especially KFSM and KFYV. Afternoon highs look to be slightly hotter than Friday in most places, with readings topping out in the 100 to 105 degree range. Afternoon heat index values will reach or exceed 105 in most places, and have expanded the heat advisory to include the entire forecast area. A few isolated showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop during the afternoon and early evening, with far eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas seeing the greatest coverage. Any rainfall will be brief and will provide only temporary relief from the heat.

LONG TERM

(Saturday Night through Friday) Issued at 1131 PM CDT Fri Sep 4 2026

Isolated shower and storm coverage may be slightly greater Sunday and may also extend farther to the west. Otherwise, more of the same is expected with regards to the heat. The extreme heat will continue through at least the middle of next week, with heat headlines likely to be required each day.

The upper ridge may retrograde to the west enough to allow a backdoor cold front to move into the area by late next week, but uncertainty is high on just how far south and west any cooler air makes it. Shower and storm chances will also increase if the boundary does make it into our area, but rainfall amounts are not likely to be significant.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1202 AM CDT Sat Sep 5 2026

VFR conditions will continue with near persistent daily trends. Expected coverage of any afternoon showers and storms is expected to remain too low to warrant mention across western AR terminals.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 102 79 102 79 / 0 0 10 10 FSM 105 77 105 77 / 20 20 20 20 MLC 102 76 102 75 / 10 10 20 20 BVO 103 71 102 72 / 0 0 10 10 FYV 103 71 103 72 / 20 20 20 20 BYV 101 75 100 71 / 20 20 20 20 MKO 103 74 103 75 / 10 10 20 20 MIO 102 74 101 74 / 10 10 20 20 F10 101 75 102 74 / 10 10 10 10 HHW 100 74 101 75 / 10 10 20 20

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Heat Advisory from noon today to 7 PM CDT this evening for OKZ049-053-055>071-073>075-154-172-176-254-272-276-354-376.

AR...Heat Advisory from noon today to 7 PM CDT this evening for ARZ001-002-010-011-119-120-129-219-220-229.