textproduct: Tulsa

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1138 AM CST Thu Feb 19 2026 - Dangerous grassland fire weather conditions today with a Red Flag Warning in effect for much of the area.

- Cooler temperatures Friday through early next week. Any rain chances are low and any amounts expected to be very light.

- Above normal temperatures and dry weather returns next week.

SHORT TERM

(Through tonight ) Issued at 1138 AM CST Thu Feb 19 2026

Dangerous fire weather conditions will continue this afternoon and early evening, with warm temperatures, low humidity values, and gusty west winds. Winds will begin to shift to the northwest by late afternoon across parts of northeast Oklahoma, which may impact ongoing fire suppression efforts, with the wind shift progressing south and east this evening. Winds will diminish overnight tonight, with increasing humidity values as temperatures fall behind the cold front. Overnight lows will mostly range from the mid 20s to mid 30s.

LONG TERM

(Tomorrow through Thursday) Issued at 1138 AM CST Thu Feb 19 2026

Much cooler temperatures and lighter winds are expected Friday. Another cold front will move across the area Friday night and early Saturday. Some light rain may occur across far eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas late Friday night, but amounts will be quite light. Yet another reinforcing cold front is expected by Sunday, keeping temperatures below normal through Monday.

Much warmer weather will return Tuesday through late next week, with above normal temperatures expected during that time frame.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1133 AM CST Thu Feb 19 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period. Strong and gusty west to west-northwest surface winds will be the main aviation impact through the day today. Anticipate westerly winds to remain sustained between around 20 knots, with gusts in excess of 30 knots at times through late afternoon. Winds gradually decrease and turn more northwesterly after sunset this evening behind another cold front that will be pushing through the area. Winds will continue to veer through the morning on Friday, becoming north or north-northeast by midday Friday.

Mejia

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 27 52 34 52 / 0 0 10 0 FSM 34 60 41 55 / 0 10 20 10 MLC 31 59 39 54 / 0 10 10 0 BVO 24 49 27 51 / 0 10 10 0 FYV 26 55 36 48 / 0 0 20 10 BYV 28 52 35 46 / 0 0 20 10 MKO 29 56 36 52 / 0 0 10 10 MIO 25 49 31 47 / 0 10 10 10 F10 29 55 36 53 / 0 0 10 0 HHW 37 62 45 58 / 0 10 10 10

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Red Flag Warning until 8 PM CST this evening for OKZ054>074.

AR...Red Flag Warning until 8 PM CST this evening for ARZ001-002-010- 011-019-020.


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