textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1057 PM CST Mon Feb 23 2026 - Above normal temperatures and only periodic low rain chances return Tuesday through Saturday.

- Widespread elevated to near critical fire weather conditions develop Tuesday with the return of warm weather and gusty south to southwest winds.

SHORT TERM

(Through Tuesday) Issued at 1057 PM CST Mon Feb 23 2026

Fire weather conditions will deteriorate late Tuesday morning through the afternoon as gusty south to southwest winds develop, and warm temperatures return. Afternoon humidity values will fall into the 15 to 25 percent range. The Fire Weather Watch has been upgraded to a Red Flag Warning for northeast Oklahoma, and a fire danger statement has been issued for the rest of the forecast area. Afternoon high temperatures Tuesday will range from the lower 60s to lower 70s.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday Night through Monday) Issued at 1057 PM CST Mon Feb 23 2026

Winds will relax later Tuesday night and Wednesday as a weak frontal boundary approaches the area. An increase in moisture will also occur by Wednesday, so fire weather concerns will be much less despite the continued warm temperatures. An upper level disturbance will combine with the weak frontal boundary to result in low rain chances late Wednesday night into early Thursday across parts of northeast Oklahoma and western Arkansas, but any rain amounts will remain on the light side.

Above normal temperatures will continue Thursday through Saturday with increasing winds likely raising fire weather concerns again by the end of the week. A stronger cold front looks to arrive later in the weekend bringing somewhat cooler temperatures along with increased rain chances.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1057 PM CST Mon Feb 23 2026

Ongoing scattered to overcast high clouds are forecast through the TAF period across the CWA. Southerly winds will increase from west to east overnight tonight and become gusty in the 20-30KT range late morning through the afernoon hours Tuesday. Winds should begin to weaken Tuesday evening. VFR conditions should persist through the TAF period.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1057 PM CST Mon Feb 23 2026

A Red Flag Warning has been issued for much of northeast Oklahoma for Tuesday afternoon and early evening. The combination of low afternoon relative humidities and gusty winds addressed above is bad enough on its own, but when considering the very dry and high loading of fuels, worse than typical fire behavior under similar weather conditions may result.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 34 71 45 73 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 27 67 45 73 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 35 69 50 75 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 28 70 38 70 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 27 64 42 70 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 27 62 45 69 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 31 69 47 74 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 28 65 42 70 / 0 0 0 0 F10 34 69 48 75 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 32 67 51 75 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Red Flag Warning from 10 AM to 8 PM CST Tuesday for OKZ054>067.

AR...None.