textproduct: Tulsa
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 533 AM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026
- Dangerous heat conditions Sunday and likely continue through at least Tuesday.
- Potential minor cool down and some chance of showers and storms from mid to late week but uncertainties remain.
SHORT TERM
(Through Sunday) Issued at 1130 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026
00z soundings and 24 hr dewpoint change plots show the westward expanding drier air along with the increasingly warm thermal profiles. The result will be hotter temperatures and somewhat lower afternoon dewpoints which yield similar afternoon heat index values to those observed on Saturday. As such the heat headlines have been adjusted to follow a similar footprint.
LONG TERM
(Monday through Saturday) Issued at 1130 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026
Monday and Tuesday are likely to see continued dangerous heat levels. The weak mid week frontal boundary continues to be shown in guidance with varying degrees of influence both in cooler temperatures and associated precip chances. A gradual westward shift of the upper high from mid to late week seems more likely and this would also keep temps a few degrees cooler. While forecast details contain uncertainty, the over arching theme of hot weather through much of the upcoming week remains in place.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 533 AM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026
VFR conditions are likely to persist through the forecast period for all sites. Light south winds will increase out of the south- southwest this afternoon, but generally remain between 5 and 15 kts for most locations. Light south winds return through the overnight period. Otherwise, FEW to SCT mid and high cloud are expected today with dry conditions likely.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 102 81 103 81 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 101 79 102 78 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 100 78 100 79 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 102 79 103 78 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 97 77 98 76 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 98 76 98 76 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 99 78 100 78 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 99 78 100 78 / 0 0 0 0 F10 100 77 101 78 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 99 76 99 76 / 0 0 0 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for OKZ049-053-058-059-063>065-068-069-073-075-154-172-254-276- 354-376.
Extreme Heat Warning from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for OKZ055>057-060>062-066-067-070-071-074-176-272.
AR...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ001-002-010-011-119-120-229.
Extreme Heat Warning from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ129-219-220.
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