textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 522 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

- Above normal temperatures through Wednesday before a cold front passes. Most locations remain dry through the week.

- Cooler weather late week into the weekend. Rain chances return late in the weekend into early next week.

SHORT TERM

(Through Tuesday) Issued at 1022 PM CST Mon Nov 9 2026

Upper low currently centered over west central TX will move slowly eastward before the trough axis pushes east of the local forecast area early Wednesday. The wave will be weakening with time but will increase cloud cover across the region Tuesday along with a low chance of light rain across SE OK. Areas of fog may be ongoing early Tuesday primarily on the periphery of the thicker high cloud across NE OK. Confidence is low in how widespread any impactful visibility restrictions will be and later forecasts will adjust as needed to observations. Temperatures by Tuesday afternoon will be well above normal area wide.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through Monday) Issued at 1022 PM CST Mon Nov 9 2026

Fast moving wave will drop southeastward across the central CONUS downstream of the amplifying western CONUS ridge. The associated cold front will pass the across the area Wednesday and likely remain dry with a period of gusty winds through the day. Temperatures will warm quickly ahead of the front and provide another day of well above normal temperatures.

Pattern aloft becomes more amplified by Thursday with a deepening eastern CONUS trough ushering a reinforcing cold front southward. Temperatures locally will be seasonably mild on Thursday with cooler air arriving by Friday. A light freeze will be possible both Thursday and Friday night primarily in colder valleys.

Upper ridging is quickly undercut by strengthening southern jet stream and an associated shortwave trough moving into the southwest CONUS by Saturday. Southerly winds and more mild temperatures spread across the forecast area ahead of this wave with increasing rain chances Sunday into Monday as the wave tracks eastward.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 522 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

Widespread fog continues to expand across NE OK this morning, with the greatest impact thus far confined to west of the terminals. There is likely to be a period of MVFR to IFR vis at KBVO and KRVS and a lesser extent KTUL through 14-15z, with VFR conditions otherwise. Some lower VFR ceilings in the 4-5 Kft range can be expected today along/south of I-40.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 75 53 72 44 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 74 53 76 47 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 72 53 74 45 / 10 0 0 0 BVO 74 48 72 39 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 72 50 69 41 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 72 55 68 45 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 73 54 70 44 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 71 53 69 44 / 0 0 0 0 F10 74 54 72 44 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 73 56 79 48 / 20 10 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CST this morning for OKZ059- 064>066-154-354.

AR...None.