textproduct: Tulsa

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 626 AM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026

- Temperatures will gradually warm but relative humidity values will remain rather low for the next week. Due to light winds fire weather concerns will remain low.

- A weather system may bring a low chance of showers and thunderstorms next weekend, but otherwise the forecast remains dry.

SHORT TERM

(Through Monday) Issued at 1114 PM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026

Some mid and high clouds overnight as a weak disturbance passes to the north of the local area. Clouds plus a light south wind in some locations will result in slightly warmer overnight temps, mainly in the 40s. Mid and high clouds will remain present Monday and there are a few hints of light precip over parts of the area. However the low levels should remain very dry and would not anticipate much more than virga and at most a sprinkle. Temperatures will trend a bit warmer, though the cloud cover will hold the warm-up in check.

LONG TERM

(Monday Night through Sunday) Issued at 1114 PM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026

As upper level high strengthens over the region this week, we will see a continued gradual warming trend with dry conditions. Wind speeds do not look concerning at this point in terms of fire weather, though humidity will be low during the afternoon. By the end of the forecast period there remains potential for a weakening Pacific low to eject into the Plains, possibly bringing a chance of rain next week, though confidence is not high at present.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 626 AM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026

VFR conditions will continue for the entire forecast period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 75 49 77 50 / 10 0 0 0 FSM 81 50 81 51 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 76 48 78 48 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 72 45 74 46 / 10 0 0 0 FYV 77 48 78 49 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 76 47 76 48 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 75 52 76 51 / 10 0 0 0 MIO 73 50 74 50 / 10 0 0 0 F10 74 49 75 50 / 10 0 0 0 HHW 79 51 80 52 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.


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