textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1220 PM CDT Thu May 7 2026

- Below normal temperatures through Thursday.

- Warmer temps Friday with thunderstorm chances returning.

- Uncertainty with frontal boundary into the weekend however thunderstorm chances continue.

SHORT TERM

(Through Thursday) Issued at 1111 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026

Overall decrease in cloud cover expected overnight with light winds promoting chilly temperatures overnight, with lows dropping into upper 30s and 40s. Some mid 30s possible in colder spots across NE OK and NW AR. Mostly sunny skies and lighter winds lead to a nice afternoon Thursday, with warmer temperatures.

LONG TERM

(Thursday Night through Wednesday) Issued at 1111 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026

A light south component to winds Thursday night will keep overnight lows milder, with winds increasing further from the south on Friday. Temperatures will warm back above normal with increasing dew points as well ahead of an approaching cold front. The degree of moisture return is not substantial, however it should be sufficient for a narrow corridor of instability ahead of the front by mid to late afternoon. Most guidance shows potential for a broken line of storms with the front late Friday afternoon into the evening, with strong enough wind fields to support some organization. In any case widespread severe weather is not likely and storm should wane later in the evening.

Active NW flow aloft will continue through the weekend at least with a stronger wave and cold front expected late Saturday. Again moisture quality could be better, but still expect thunderstorms to accompany the cold front Saturday evening into at least part of Sunday. Brief cool down will follow early next week with another possible disturbance in NW flow bringing thunderstorm chances back by mid-week.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1220 PM CDT Thu May 7 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the period for all sites. Aside from afternoon cu, skies will remain mostly clear until some mid/high clouds arrive late tonight and Friday morning. LLJ strengthens across N-Central OK overnight, providing a period of LLWS for KBVO, KTUL, and KRVS. WSW sfc winds persist this afternoon at less than 10 kts, becoming light out of the south overnight. Winds then increase late Friday morning and afternoon with gusts near 20 kts possible.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 53 82 55 82 / 0 40 40 0 FSM 48 82 57 84 / 0 0 30 0 MLC 49 81 58 84 / 0 0 40 0 BVO 49 82 49 83 / 0 50 30 0 FYV 47 79 54 82 / 0 10 50 0 BYV 48 77 55 81 / 0 10 50 0 MKO 49 79 56 81 / 0 10 50 0 MIO 50 77 52 80 / 0 50 50 0 F10 50 80 56 82 / 0 10 50 0 HHW 50 77 58 82 / 0 0 30 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.