textproduct: Tulsa
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1135 PM CDT Thu Sep 17 2026
- Near record temperatures continue Friday and Saturday.
- Fire weather concerns will continue during periods of stronger winds, especially on Saturday across eastern Oklahoma.
- Shower and thunderstorm chances return Saturday night and increase Sunday through Sunday night as a slow moving cold front passes.
- Noticeably cooler temperatures arrive next week.
SHORT TERM
(Through Friday) Issued at 1135 PM CDT Thu Sep 17 2026
Near persistent daily trends expected Friday though dewpoints may be slightly drier and keep most places below heat advisory levels. While an isolated afternoon shower or storm may develop, overall coverage is expected to be less than recent days.
LONG TERM
(Saturday through Thursday) Issued at 1135 PM CDT Thu Sep 17 2026
Sfc low advances eastward into the central Plains on Saturday with the corresponding pressure gradient and mixing of the early day low level jet leading to stronger winds. Near record temperatures and drier dewpoints will also be in place resulting in a broader region of heightened fire weather concerns for Saturday afternoon. Ongoing drought conditions will for rapid fire spread in both grassland and larger timber fuels. Remain aware of ongoing county level burn bans.
Storms will develop west of the local region by Saturday evening and spread eastward into early Sunday morning. The eastward advance of the precip will stall by Sunday morning before the actual cold front marks another uptick in shower and storm coverage by Sunday afternoon and evening spreading eastward through early Monday.
A period of post frontal cloudiness and rain chances may persist into Monday with cooler sfc high pressure building southward and persisting across the region through much of next week. This will mark a notable cool down with readings much more typical of late September.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 430 AM CDT Fri Sep 18 2026
VFR conditions will prevail through the period. Expect scattered afternoon cu. Rain chances too low to mention in TAFs. Surface winds out of the south to southwest should stay largely blo impactful levels. An occasional gust to around 15 kts is possible at KBVO.
Lacy
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 99 77 99 76 / 0 0 10 10 FSM 102 74 102 73 / 10 0 0 0 MLC 101 74 101 74 / 10 0 0 0 BVO 99 71 99 70 / 0 0 10 40 FYV 97 70 97 69 / 10 0 0 0 BYV 97 73 97 72 / 10 0 0 0 MKO 98 72 98 72 / 10 0 0 0 MIO 97 73 97 72 / 10 0 10 20 F10 99 72 99 72 / 10 0 0 0 HHW 99 72 99 72 / 10 0 0 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...None. AR...None.
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