textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1031 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026 - Slightly cooler conditions will continue through Wednesday. A few sprinkles or flurries could be seen throughout the day Wednesday into Thursday morning.

- Much warmer and dry weather Thursday into next week.

- A little more unsettled next week with at least some low rain chances.

SHORT TERM

(Through Wednesday Night) Issued at 1031 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

A mid level shortwave will slide through the region today. The most impact to the CWA will be a reinforcing shot of cooler air and an increase in cloud cover through a good chunk of the day. This will allow for cooler temperatures than those seen on Tuesday, with highs generally ranging from the lower 40s to upper 40s. Breezy northerly winds will make it feel even cooler. A few sprinkles or flurries can't be ruled out, but much of the precip looks to stay well west of the local region. Lows Wednesday night will drop into the 20s for most locations. A few flurries could again be seen Wednesday night into early Thursday morning on the backside of the exiting trough, but no impacts or accumulations are expected.

Bowlan

LONG TERM

(Thursday through Tuesday) Issued at 1031 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

Mid level ridging will build back over the region beginning Thursday with predominately southerly flow lasting through the weekend. This will allow a robust warmup through the latter part of the forecast. Well above normal temperatures in the 60s to lower 70s and dry weather will dominate into early next week. Occasionally breezy southerly surface winds could begin to locally raise fire weather concerns on some days, but this looks to remain rather limited through the period. A couple of weak, transient boundaries could briefly change wind direction but won't affect temperatures much if any.

The pattern could become a bit more unsettled toward the end of the forecast period as a mid level low could slip under the dominate ridge and bring at least some low end rain chances to the region by the middle part of the week.

Bowlan

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 430 AM CST Wed Feb 4 2026

Low clouds, mainly at VFR heights, will persist for most of the TAF period. The NE OK and far NW AR terminals will see a window later this morning into the early afternoon where MVFR ceilings will be possible, given model guidance and current upstream observations. Given the expected short duration, this potential will continue to be covered with TEMPO groups. The chance at MLC and FSM is much less, albeit nonzero, and therefore, no mention will be included in the TAFs there for now. Northerly winds may gust 15 to 20 kts at MLC and FSM during the day, with all sites becoming light and variable late in the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 47 29 63 37 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 47 28 60 36 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 48 30 64 39 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 46 24 62 33 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 42 25 56 35 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 41 24 54 37 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 46 27 62 37 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 42 25 56 34 / 0 0 0 0 F10 48 28 65 40 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 50 30 60 37 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.