textproduct: Tulsa
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1222 AM CDT Fri May 22 2026
- Showers and isolated thunderstorms continue into Friday. Near daily rain chances will continue through next week with periods of heavy rain possible.
- Temperatures warm back to near normal for much of the next week.
SHORT TERM
(Through Friday) Issued at 1133 PM CDT Thu May 21 2026
An increase in shower and isolated thunderstorm coverage is expected overnight into Friday morning as an upper level disturbance moves across the area. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible with this activity. Precipitation coverage will decrease from west to east during the day Friday, with some sunshine returning and allowing afternoon temperatures to warm into the 70s to lower 80s.
LONG TERM
(Friday Night through Thursday) Issued at 1133 PM CDT Thu May 21 2026
Shower and isolated thunderstorm coverage will increase again late Friday night and Saturday as another upper level disturbance moves across the area, with locally heavy rainfall again possible. Somewhat drier air will move into at least northeast Oklahoma Sunday and Monday, with mainly dry weather expected in that area those two days. Upper troughing will remain over the area through the next week, resulting in daily shower and thunderstorm chances Tuesday through the end of the week. Temperatures next week look to remain near the seasonal averages for late May.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1222 AM CDT Fri May 22 2026
Ongoing VFR conditions at most locations will transition back to a mix of MVFR and IFR as showers and a few thunderstorms expand back across the local area over the next few hours. Occasional showers will persist through Friday morning, with gradual improvement in flight conditions by later Friday afternoon.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 79 62 78 62 / 60 30 50 40 FSM 80 63 83 64 / 70 10 60 50 MLC 81 63 81 64 / 40 50 60 40 BVO 78 58 78 58 / 50 30 50 40 FYV 77 58 81 59 / 70 10 60 60 BYV 73 59 80 61 / 70 10 60 60 MKO 79 61 80 62 / 60 30 60 40 MIO 76 59 78 60 / 80 10 60 50 F10 80 61 80 62 / 30 40 50 40 HHW 80 63 80 64 / 40 40 70 50
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...None. AR...None.
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