textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 600 AM CDT Thu May 7 2026

- Below normal temperatures through Thursday.

- Warmer temps Friday with thunderstorm chances returning.

- Uncertainty with frontal boundary into the weekend however thunderstorm chances continue.

SHORT TERM

(Through Thursday) Issued at 1111 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026

Overall decrease in cloud cover expected overnight with light winds promoting chilly temperatures overnight, with lows dropping into upper 30s and 40s. Some mid 30s possible in colder spots across NE OK and NW AR. Mostly sunny skies and lighter winds lead to a nice afternoon Thursday, with warmer temperatures.

LONG TERM

(Thursday Night through Wednesday) Issued at 1111 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026

A light south component to winds Thursday night will keep overnight lows milder, with winds increasing further from the south on Friday. Temperatures will warm back above normal with increasing dew points as well ahead of an approaching cold front. The degree of moisture return is not substantial, however it should be sufficient for a narrow corridor of instability ahead of the front by mid to late afternoon. Most guidance shows potential for a broken line of storms with the front late Friday afternoon into the evening, with strong enough wind fields to support some organization. In any case widespread severe weather is not likely and storm should wane later in the evening.

Active NW flow aloft will continue through the weekend at least with a stronger wave and cold front expected late Saturday. Again moisture quality could be better, but still expect thunderstorms to accompany the cold front Saturday evening into at least part of Sunday. Brief cool down will follow early next week with another possible disturbance in NW flow bringing thunderstorm chances back by mid-week.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 600 AM CDT Thu May 7 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the period predominantly. There is a chance of some valley fog at KFYV and have added an MVFR fog tempo there. While winds switch from calm to west during the day today to south tonight, speeds should not be impactful. LLWS conditions develop late in the the forecast at KBVO.

Lacy

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 73 53 82 55 / 0 0 40 30 FSM 73 48 82 57 / 0 0 0 30 MLC 73 50 81 58 / 0 0 0 30 BVO 72 50 82 49 / 0 0 50 20 FYV 70 48 79 54 / 0 0 10 50 BYV 68 49 77 53 / 0 0 20 50 MKO 70 49 79 56 / 0 0 20 40 MIO 68 50 77 52 / 0 0 50 40 F10 72 50 80 56 / 0 0 10 40 HHW 72 50 78 58 / 0 0 10 30

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.