textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1130 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

- Cool morning lows, warm afternoon highs prevail through the week.

- Rain is not expected through the forecast period.

SHORT TERM

(Through tonight) Issued at 1130 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

After a crisp start across the region temperatures have quickly climbed into the 70s areawide. Temps will continue to rise and top out in the mid 80s this afternoon under sunny skies with light winds as surface ridging remains over the region. Winds could come up a bit out of the south by this afternoon across northeast Oklahoma as the surface ridge begins to slide east into the Mid Mississippi Valley and Mid Atlantic Regions. Clear skies and light winds will again lead to another cool night generally in the low to mid 50s. A few locations could slip down into the upper 40s again, but overall temperatures should trend a couple degrees warmer than this morning.

Bowlan

LONG TERM

(Tomorrow through Tuesday) Issued at 1130 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

Generally low impact weather is expected through the end of the week and this weekend across eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Surface ridging remains nearby the local region as mid level high pressure builds back eastward and flattens out over much of the southern states through the middle part of the week. The result will be near persistent, dry conditions, with a slight warming trend each day.

By the end of the week and into the weekend, guidance remains consistent in lifting a tropical low northward out of the Gulf, tracking up the Mississippi Valley before lifting northeastward through the Ohio Valley. This track would keep much in the way of impactful weather and rain chances east of the area, though a few showers could creep into western Arkansas Saturday night into Sunday morning. The primary response felt across our forecast area will be an increase in southerly to southeasterly winds in response to the tightening gradient as the low lifts northward across eastern Arkansas. Fire weather concerns could increase during this timeframe with the gustier surface winds and continued drought conditions across the region. A storm system and associated cold front could approach the region toward the middle part of next week, maintaining gusty winds each afternoon ahead of the front. Rain chances begin to increase just outside the range of this forecast package as the front finally moves through the forecast area the latter half of next week.

Bowlan

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 620 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

Mostly clear to a few passing high clouds along with variable to light southerly winds are forecast through the TAF period for the CWA. VFR conditions are currently forecast, though there remains an isolated potential for a brief reduction in visibility for far northwest Arkansas late tonight/early Wednesday morning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 61 89 61 89 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 56 87 58 90 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 56 86 57 89 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 58 90 58 88 / 0 10 0 0 FYV 53 86 55 88 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 56 87 59 87 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 56 86 58 88 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 58 87 59 87 / 0 0 0 0 F10 57 87 57 88 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 56 86 58 89 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.