textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1214 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

- Unsettled pattern will maintain daily shower and thunderstorm chances through Monday. Heavy rain and localized flooding are the main concerns.

- Organized severe storms are not anticipated, but an occasional strong and/or marginally severe storm cannot be ruled out, especially Saturday through Monday.

- Hot and humid weather arrives next week, with heat headlines possible by midweek.

SHORT TERM

(Through Friday) Issued at 1137 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026

Friday will be quite similar weather wise to Thursday, with scattered showers and thunderstorms once again developing from southeast Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas, especially during the afternoon. High temperatures will once again warm into the 80s across the entire forecast area.

LONG TERM

(Friday Night through Thursday) Issued at 1137 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026

An upper low over Baja will lift northeast across west Texas and into Kansas Saturday and Sunday. Shower and thunderstorm chances will expand across the entire forecast area during the day Saturday, with coverage and intensity likely increasing Saturday night and Sunday. Locally heavy rainfall will be the main threat, but a few strong to severe storms will also be possible, especially Sunday. Shower and storm chances will persist into Monday as well, mainly across the eastern part of the forecast area.

Once this system clears out next week, an upper ridge will build over the area and the heat and humidity will ramp up. Afternoon heat index values may reach or exceed 105 degrees in some places, and heat headlines may be required next week.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1218 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

Low clouds will overspread the region overnight, with MVFR cigs expected at most sites. IFR cigs are expected at KMLC, which makes sense looking at neighboring observations. A return to VFR is expected by midday Friday, with a chance of showers and storms at the NW AR sites in the afternoon. The going prob30 group will be maintained.

Lacy

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 87 72 82 70 / 10 10 50 90 FSM 86 71 85 71 / 40 20 60 80 MLC 85 72 83 71 / 30 30 60 90 BVO 87 70 83 67 / 0 10 40 90 FYV 83 68 82 68 / 30 10 50 70 BYV 83 68 81 68 / 30 10 40 60 MKO 85 70 82 69 / 20 20 60 90 MIO 86 70 83 69 / 10 10 40 70 F10 85 70 82 69 / 20 20 60 90 HHW 83 71 82 71 / 60 30 70 90

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.