textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1110 AM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

- Temperatures increase again this week with dangerous heat possible Tuesday but more likely by Wednesday.

- Mostly dry conditions are favored for the next few days, but low to medium rain chances return to parts of northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas Wednesday, peaking in coverage and magnitude Thursday and Friday.

SHORT TERM

(Through tonight) Issued at 1110 AM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

Today brings an end to the all-too-brief period of more pleasant temperatures and dew points that the area enjoyed this past weekend. Temperatures are currently running 2 to 4 degrees above yesterday at this same time in most spots, with dew points also a few degrees higher. Afternoon highs remain expected to warm to near normal in most spots, with overnight lows tonight running about 5 degrees above this mornings temperatures given a continued southerly wind.

LONG TERM

(Tomorrow through Monday) Issued at 1110 AM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

Above normal temperatures make a return on Tuesday, along with heat index values that will be marginal for a Heat Advisory in the warmer locales. No advisory will be issued with this package given the spotty nature of the forecast 105 heat indices, instead choosing to let later shifts get another look at it before tomorrow. Tuesday night and into Wednesday, a weak cold front will approach the Kansas border before becoming quasi-stationary. This front will serve as a focus for isolated to widely scattered showers and storms on Wednesday afternoon, as well as leading to warmer temperatures on Wednesday due to pre-frontal warming. Heat headlines will likely be needed on Wednesday. The front will move into portions of the area on Thursday, leading to shower and thunderstorm chances southward to near I-40 during the afternoon and slightly cooler temperatures. Shower and thunderstorm chances look to peak Thursday night into Friday, with Friday also likely to be the coolest day of the period. Upper level high pressure over the southwestern United States will extend eastward into the Central Plains for the weekend and into early next week, bringing a return to largely dry conditions and above normal temperatures.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1158 AM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the period with light winds.

Lacy

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 73 100 78 102 / 0 0 0 10 FSM 72 98 75 100 / 0 0 0 10 MLC 73 100 77 100 / 0 0 0 10 BVO 67 99 74 101 / 0 0 0 20 FYV 68 94 73 96 / 0 0 0 10 BYV 68 94 72 96 / 0 0 0 10 MKO 71 99 74 100 / 0 0 0 10 MIO 70 96 74 97 / 0 0 0 20 F10 70 100 75 102 / 0 0 0 10 HHW 71 98 75 97 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.