textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1136 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026 - Cooler and drier conditions Sunday into early next week.

- Unsettled pattern returns late next week with multiple opportunities for showers and thunderstorms into the next weekend.

SHORT TERM

(Through Sunday) Issued at 1106 PM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026

Surface high pressure will continue to dominate the weather across eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas tonight and into Sunday, leading to quiet weather conditions. A few high clouds persist this evening across the eastern fringes of the forecast area, with additional clouds filtering into southeast Oklahoma from the west. Temperatures overnight will drop into the mid and upper 30s across parts of far northeast Oklahoma and far northwest Arkansas, but enough wind should remain to prevent much in the way of frost. Northerly winds will pick up a bit during the afternoon hours on Sunday, but speeds and gustiness will be reduced compared to today. Near to slightly below normal afternoon highs should be expected.

LONG TERM

(Sunday Night through Saturday) Issued at 1106 PM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026

Quiet weather will prevail into the early to middle part of next week, with a more active weather pattern developing once again toward the latter part of next week into the next weekend. The influence of the aforementioned surface high pressure will extend into Monday morning, leading to another morning with lows in the mid and upper 30s for parts of northeast Oklahoma and far northwest Arkansas. Winds may be more supportive of patchy frost development Monday morning, particularly across the cooler spots in northwest Arkansas. The surface high will shift east of the area Monday, with a return to southerly winds across the area that will persist through most of the work week. Near to just above normal temperatures should return Monday and continue Tuesday. Wind speeds and gusts will uptick on Wednesday as the pressure gradient increases ahead of a front approaching from the north and west. Southerly gusts near 30 mph may occur in the afternoon. The front itself remains likely to stall near the Kansas border in the Wednesday night to Thursday time frame, leading to low shower and thunderstorm chances into northeast Oklahoma. Shower and thunderstorm chances will increase areawide Friday and into next weekend, as an upper level low drops southward along the West Coast and eventually moves onshore in the southwest United States/Baja region. This will lead to southwest flow aloft and potential for active weather tied to waves in this flow ahead of the main system to the west.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1136 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

VFR conditions will continue through the TAF period. Initially breezy north to northeast winds this morning will wind down during the afternoon, with light and variable winds tonight. Southerly winds will begin to develop across northeast OK Monday morning, but will mostly remain below 10 kts. Skies will be clear to mostly clear through the forecast period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 67 44 73 45 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 68 42 74 45 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 68 41 73 45 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 67 39 73 40 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 64 38 73 43 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 62 40 70 43 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 67 42 71 43 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 64 39 71 42 / 0 0 0 0 F10 68 42 71 42 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 68 43 70 44 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.