textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1155 PM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

- Hot temperatures are expected through the week with dangerous heat likely by Wednesday.

- Low to medium rain chances return to the northern half of the area Wednesday to Saturday, with the best chance late Thursday into Friday morning.

SHORT TERM

(Through Tuesday) Issued at 1112 PM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

Mostly clear and quiet conditions expected for the remainder of the overnight hours with a light southerly breeze. Low temperatures will be be near to slightly below normal, in the upper 60s to low 70s.

With strengthening upper level ridging, temperatures will increase again Tuesday, with highs in the mid 90s to low 100s. Some scattered clouds are expected, but probably not enough to impact temperatures much. Dew points will continue to run a bit below average, with only a modest affect on afternoon heat indices. It appears that it'll be at or just below Heat Advisory criteria, so for now opted not to issue any heat products, but this will be evaluated again during the morning hours. Some passing mid and high level clouds are expected, but no rain.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday Night through Monday) Issued at 1112 PM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

A strong area of high pressure will remain just west of the area Wednesday through Friday. This will keep temperatures hot, with highs in the mid 90s to low 100s each day. Both Wednesday and Thursday have a good chance of Heat Advisory issuance for at least portions of the area. A surface cold front will stall out near the OK- KS border late Wednesday into Thursday, with a few showers and storms forming near it. Considering the hot surface temperatures and somewhat lower than typical dew points, any storms will have the potential to be wind producers. Overall coverage will be quite isolated.

A better chance of rain arrives later Thursday into Friday as a shortwave trough passes through, with ensembles showing a good chance of showers and storms. This would be the best and only chance for meaningful rain for most locations. Some guidance suggests a few high terrain showers or storms could linger into Saturday over Arkansas, but otherwise hot and dry weather will then extend through the weekend and into early next week.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1155 PM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

VFR conditions will continue with any ceilings being mid to high clouds. Generally light winds through the forecast period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 73 101 78 102 / 0 0 0 10 FSM 72 99 74 100 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 73 100 76 102 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 68 100 73 101 / 0 0 0 10 FYV 67 95 72 96 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 67 95 72 96 / 0 0 0 10 MKO 70 99 74 99 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 70 97 75 97 / 0 0 0 10 F10 71 101 75 103 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 71 97 74 98 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.