textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1237 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

- Above average high temperatures and predominantly dry weather will continue through Thursday.

- Rain chances increase late Friday into Saturday.

- Potential for stronger storm system early next week but uncertainty remains high.

SHORT TERM

(Through Wednesday) Issued at 1237 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

Clearing skies in the wake of the passing mid level wave will continue into the overnight hours. Plume of deeper moisture to the west of the local region will spread NNE overnight with a more subtle wave possibly aiding late night elevated convection in or near NE OK. Overall chances remain very low but a few showers by sunrise Wed would not be surprising. Otherwise temperatures well above normal will continue with slightly stronger and gusty winds across NE OK by Wed afternoon. These conditions will locally raise grassland fire spread rates through Wed. afternoon.

LONG TERM

(Thursday through Tuesday) Issued at 1237 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

Near persistent conditions extend into Thursday with high temps 10 to 15 degrees above normal. Attention will become the tropical remnants and associated mid level wave lifting into west TX on Friday. Widespread rains will initially remain west of the local area through much of Friday before expanding east across the forecast area Friday night into Saturday. Bulk of guidance keeps rainfall amounts rather light during this time frame but any amounts will be welcome in the ongoing drought conditions. Instability is likely to remain low with the wave passage so any coverage of thunderstorms will remain low with minimal impact to outdoor events on Saturday. Precip timing across the forecast area remains similar with the latest guidance and favors rains ending from west to east mid Saturday afternoon through late Saturday evening.

A brief dry period is forecast for Sunday before influence from a potentially stronger storm system returns precip chances to the region Monday. The early week storm system has high uncertainty at this time range but early trends in guidance have been for a widespread influence across the central CONUS. The forecast will reflect this by maintaining fairly high precip chances for early next week.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1212 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the period, with a general decrease in mid cloud cover through today. South winds may gust around 20 knots across NE OK this afternoon, and similar or a little stronger gusts developing toward the end of this forecast.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 61 82 62 84 / 10 10 0 10 FSM 56 84 58 85 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 58 82 61 84 / 0 10 0 0 BVO 57 82 57 84 / 10 10 0 10 FYV 52 80 54 81 / 0 10 0 0 BYV 56 80 57 82 / 0 10 0 0 MKO 57 82 59 84 / 0 10 0 0 MIO 57 80 60 83 / 10 10 0 0 F10 58 82 62 85 / 0 10 0 10 HHW 56 83 61 83 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.