textproduct: Tulsa

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1111 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026

- Below normal temperatures through Thursday.

- Warmer temps Friday with thunderstorm chances returning.

- Uncertainty with frontal boundary into the weekend however thunderstorm chances continue.

SHORT TERM

(Through Thursday) Issued at 1111 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026

Overall decrease in cloud cover expected overnight with light winds promoting chilly temperatures overnight, with lows dropping into upper 30s and 40s. Some mid 30s possible in colder spots across NE OK and NW AR. Mostly sunny skies and lighter winds lead to a nice afternoon Thursday, with warmer temperatures.

LONG TERM

(Thursday Night through Wednesday) Issued at 1111 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026

A light south component to winds Thursday night will keep overnight lows milder, with winds increasing further from the south on Friday. Temperatures will warm back above normal with increasing dew points as well ahead of an approaching cold front. The degree of moisture return is not substantial, however it should be sufficient for a narrow corridor of instability ahead of the front by mid to late afternoon. Most guidance shows potential for a broken line of storms with the front late Friday afternoon into the evening, with strong enough wind fields to support some organization. In any case widespread severe weather is not likely and storm should wane later in the evening.

Active NW flow aloft will continue through the weekend at least with a stronger wave and cold front expected late Saturday. Again moisture quality could be better, but still expect thunderstorms to accompany the cold front Saturday evening into at least part of Sunday. Brief cool down will follow early next week with another possible disturbance in NW flow bringing thunderstorm chances back by mid-week.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1157 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the period. While winds switch from light and variable to west on Thursday to south tomorrow night, speeds should not be impactful.

Lacy

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 41 73 53 82 / 0 0 0 40 FSM 47 73 48 82 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 44 73 50 81 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 36 72 50 82 / 0 0 0 50 FYV 38 70 48 79 / 0 0 0 10 BYV 41 68 49 77 / 10 0 0 20 MKO 42 70 49 79 / 0 0 0 20 MIO 38 68 50 77 / 0 0 0 50 F10 42 72 50 80 / 0 0 0 10 HHW 50 72 50 78 / 0 0 0 10

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.

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