textproduct: Tulsa

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1212 AM CDT Sat May 2 2026

- A few light showers or sprinkles north into early Saturday. - Temperatures below normal through Saturday then a warming trend.

- Thunderstorm chances return for the first part of the work week. Some severe weather potential may exist with details to be refined in later forecasts.

SHORT TERM

(Through Saturday) Issued at 1132 PM CDT Fri May 1 2026

A few light showers or sprinkles will remain possible across parts of northeast Oklahoma into early Saturday morning, although a dry low level airmass will make measurable rainfall unlikely. Skies will then clear during the day Saturday, with temperatures remaining below normal. Afternoon highs will range from the mid 60s to lower 70s.

LONG TERM

(Saturday Night through Friday) Issued at 1132 PM CDT Fri May 1 2026

A warming trend will take place Sunday and Monday as gusty south winds return. Afternoon high temperatures will warm back into the upper 70s to lower 80s each day, with a gradual increase in low level moisture Monday.

Shower and thunderstorm chances will return to parts of northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas Monday night and early Tuesday, with better shower and storm chances across the entire forecast area late Tuesday into early Wednesday as a strong cold front moves south across the area. Strong to severe storms may be possible at this time, but details remain unclear.

Much colder weather will follow the passage of this front for the middle of next week, with temperatures moderating again by the end of the week.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1212 AM CDT Sat May 2 2026

A few showers will move into northeast OK for the remainder of the overnight hours. These showers will only produce light brief light rain at best. Otherwise, most areas will scattered mid and high clouds but remain dry. Winds will remain light and variable.

During the day Saturday winds will become northerly with scattered clouds but dry conditions. Skies will gradually clear into the evening hours with winds again becoming light.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 71 49 82 61 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 72 46 80 58 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 73 49 81 60 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 70 41 83 57 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 68 41 78 56 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 66 43 76 59 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 71 47 80 59 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 66 44 78 59 / 0 0 0 0 F10 71 48 80 59 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 72 48 79 56 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.


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