textproduct: Tulsa
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1048 PM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026
- Hot and humid weather will settle in through Thursday with heat impacts likely each day.
- Thunderstorm chances and a severe weather threat return late Thursday into Friday night.
- Multiple rounds of potentially heavy rainfall and a low severe weather risk will continue through the weekend.
SHORT TERM
(Through Tuesday) Issued at 1048 PM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026
Ongoing severe storms across central Kansas are expected to remain north of our area overnight. Otherwise, a hot, humid, and breezy day is on tap for Tuesday, with afternoon high temperatures in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Afternoon heat index values will reach near 105 degrees across parts of northeast Oklahoma and west central Arkansas, and the current heat advisory will remain as is for Tuesday afternoon.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday Night through Monday) Issued at 1048 PM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026
The hot, humid, and breezy conditions will continue through Thursday, with additional heat headlines likely both Wednesday and Thursday. A cold front will enter northeast Oklahoma late Thursday afternoon and push southeast through the area Thursday night before washing out just to our south Friday. Numerous showers and thunderstorms will accompany the front late Thursday and Thursday night, with both a severe weather and heavy rain threat.
Shower and storm chances will continue Friday through the weekend, with another frontal passage likely by Sunday night or Monday. Locally heavy rainfall and some severe weather threat will also persist until the passage of this second frontal boundary.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 630 AM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026
Currently VFR prevails at all TAF sites. There is a low chance that low-level MVFR cigs develop or drift over the OK terminals for a couple of hours after sunrise this morning. Went ahead and included a TEMPO group to capture this potential at these sites through about 15Z. By midday, VFR will prevail at all TAF sites through the remainder of the period. A low level jet develops and strengthens late tonight into Wednesday morning, mainly impacting NE OK TAF sites. Southerly winds will increase and become breeze at most sites through this afternoon, with frequent gusts in excess of 20 knots.
Mejia
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 92 77 91 79 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 93 76 93 78 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 92 78 92 79 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 92 76 92 78 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 89 74 89 76 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 89 73 88 75 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 91 75 91 78 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 91 74 91 77 / 0 0 0 0 F10 91 75 90 78 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 91 76 91 78 / 0 0 0 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM CDT this evening for OKZ055>063-067-154-254-354.
AR...Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM CDT this evening for ARZ129-219-220.
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