textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 618 AM CDT Thu Mar 26 2026

- Red Flag Warning in effect much of northeast Oklahoma Thursday afternoon and evening.

- Record to near record heat Thursday.

- Strong cold front passes Thursday night and early Friday with low rain chances. Any rainfall amounts remain light. Strong post frontal winds with sharply cooler temperatures behind the front.

SHORT TERM

(Thursday through Friday) Issued at 1105 PM CDT Wed Mar 25 2026

Dangerous fire weather conditions expected Thursday with record to near record high temps by afternoon across the forecast area. Winds will strengthen and become gusty through the day with frequent 30 to 40 mph gusts from late morning through afternoon. Higher dewpoints will moderate the afternoon humidity fall with the possible exception across Osage, Pawnee, and Washington counties where guidance is more prone to allowing more substantial drying. Additionally, several fires remain ongoing across this same region tonight and a quick re-intensification is likely after sunrise. Any new fire starts could quickly become problematic across NE OK given the landscape of abundant fuels. Winds will be slow to subside through Thursday evening with attention turning to the advancing strong cold front. The front is expected into NE OK after midnight and clearing SE OK and west central AR by early Friday afternoon. A low chance of light precip will develop north of the front but meaningful wetting rains are not expected. Strong and gusty post frontal winds along with a sharp wind shift will complicate any ongoing fire suppression efforts.

LONG TERM

(Friday Night through Wednesday) Issued at 1105 PM CDT Wed Mar 25 2026

Winds relax on Saturday with temperatures nearer normal. The cool down is short lived with dry weather and above normal temperatures returning by early next week. The pattern may become more favorable for rain chances by mid to late next week as longer range guidance favors more pronounced troughing through the western CONUS.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 618 AM CDT Thu Mar 26 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through most of the period at all terminals. Generally light south winds will continue early this morning, with LLWS also present for NE OK terminals. Winds will quickly increase and become gusty out of the south mid-morning, with gusts 30-35 knots possible through afternoon. Approaching strong cold front will shift winds to the north by 06z Friday at KBVO and at other NE OK and NW AR terminals by 12z, with gusts in the 30-35 knot range. Also expect lower ceilings with MVFR conditions becoming likely post-frontal.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 94 53 61 37 / 0 20 10 0 FSM 92 59 68 41 / 0 0 20 0 MLC 90 60 65 43 / 0 0 20 0 BVO 96 46 61 31 / 0 40 0 0 FYV 91 52 59 34 / 0 20 40 0 BYV 89 54 59 36 / 0 20 50 0 MKO 90 54 60 40 / 0 10 20 0 MIO 90 49 58 35 / 0 40 20 0 F10 91 54 60 42 / 0 10 10 0 HHW 86 59 73 49 / 0 0 20 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Red Flag Warning until 10 PM CDT this evening for OKZ054>067.

AR...None.