textproduct: Tulsa

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1209 AM CDT Sun May 3 2026

- South winds and a warming trend return Sunday.

- Thunderstorm chances return for the first part of the work week. Some severe weather potential may exist with details to be refined in later forecasts.

- Below normal temperatures briefly return mid-week.

SHORT TERM

(Through Sunday) Issued at 1133 PM CDT Sat May 2 2026

Gusty south winds return Sunday, and temperatures will respond by warming to above normal levels. Afternoon highs will mostly be in the upper 70s to lower 80s.

LONG TERM

(Sunday Night through Saturday) Issued at 1133 PM CDT Sat May 2 2026

Another windy and warm day is on tap Monday, with an increase in high level cloudiness and a gradual increase in low level moisture as well. Shower and thunderstorm chances return to parts of northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas Monday night and early Tuesday, but the better chances will likely remain north and east of our area. Elevated instability may be sufficient for hail with any storms that do develop Monday night.

A strong cold front will move across the area Tuesday and Tuesday evening, with shower and thunderstorm chances increasing both ahead and behind the frontal boundary. Some severe weather potential will exist at this time, but the quick movement of the frontal boundary makes the extent of the threat unclear at this time.

Rain chances linger into the day Wednesday, with temperatures well below normal for early May. After a chilly night Wednesday night, a quick warmup begins Thursday, with above normal temperatures returning by Friday into next weekend. Rain chances may also increase next weekend as another frontal boundary approaches from the north.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1209 AM CDT Sun May 3 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. Clear skies will continue through Sunday afternoon, with just a few high clouds possible by late evening. Winds will be light and variable tonight, becoming breezy out of the south to southwest during the day Sunday. Areas of low level wind shear may begin to develop Sunday evening.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 83 61 82 66 / 0 0 0 30 FSM 82 58 82 64 / 0 0 0 20 MLC 82 59 81 68 / 0 0 0 10 BVO 83 58 83 61 / 0 0 10 30 FYV 78 54 80 63 / 0 0 0 40 BYV 77 58 79 63 / 0 0 0 50 MKO 82 59 80 66 / 0 0 0 20 MIO 79 59 79 62 / 0 0 10 50 F10 82 59 80 67 / 0 0 0 20 HHW 81 56 80 66 / 0 0 0 10

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.


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