textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1047 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2026

- Isolated to widely scattered afternoon shower and storm chances continue Tuesday.

- Temperatures remain near to slightly below normal through the work week.

- Storm chances and coverage increase Wednesday as another storm system nears the area. Afternoon storm chances may continue Thursday and Friday as well.

- Hotter and mostly dry conditions return this weekend into early next week.

SHORT TERM

(Through Tuesday) Issued at 1047 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2026

The weather Tuesday will be very similar to that seen Monday, with isolated to widely scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms, especially across parts of southeast Oklahoma. Afternoon high temperatures will remain slightly below normal, generally in the upper 80s to lower 90s.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday Night through Monday) Issued at 1047 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2026

An easterly wave will drift west Tuesday night and Wednesday as it moves underneath a large upper ridge centered over the upper Midwest. This will result in greater coverage of showers and thunderstorms, initially in northwest Arkansas Tuesday night and then over the entire forecast area Wednesday. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible with relatively slow westward moving storms.

Later in the week, the upper ridge breaks down some and reforms to our southeast, with the easterly wave from Wednesday becoming nearly stationary over west Texas. This leaves our area in deep layered moist southerly flow and remaining susceptible to mainly slow moving diurnal convection each afternoon. Temperatures will remain near or slightly below the seasonal averages during this time frame.

An upper ridge tries to build more strongly into our area later this weekend and especially early next week which will result in drier and warmer conditions. The NBM appears to be continuing with its summer long warm bias beyond 3-4 days, so the most likely scenario will be for temperatures to be only slightly above the seasonal averages this weekend into early next week.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 625 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2026

VFR conditions are expected through the period for all sites, with the exception of some fog potential early Tuesday morning for KFYV. Isolated thunderstorms remain south of any terminals currently and activity should dissipate over the next couple of hours. Therefore have removed mention of thunder in the TAF. Isolated to widely scattered storms will be possible Tuesday afternoon as well in mostly the same locations. Coverage appears to be lower than today, so have left mention out of TAFs for now.

Bowlan

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 72 91 72 90 / 10 10 0 40 FSM 73 93 72 88 / 20 0 20 70 MLC 71 90 70 88 / 20 20 0 50 BVO 69 90 67 89 / 10 0 0 30 FYV 68 90 68 86 / 10 0 20 70 BYV 66 89 68 85 / 10 0 30 80 MKO 71 91 70 87 / 10 10 0 50 MIO 69 91 70 89 / 10 0 0 50 F10 70 88 68 87 / 10 10 0 40 HHW 70 90 69 88 / 20 20 10 40

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.