textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 728 PM CDT Tue Mar 24 2026

- Fire Weather Watch issued for parts of northeast Oklahoma Thursday afternoon and evening.

- Near record heat Wednesday and Thursday.

- A cold front moves through the region Thursday night and early Friday, bringing low rain chances and cooler temperatures.

UPDATE

Issued at 728 PM CDT Tue Mar 24 2026

Quiet weather will prevail tonight. Some moisture return happens tonight but more so on Wednesday as the old front either retreats north or washes out. Stuck with the model blend for lows tonight as it already leaned on the cooler side of the median.

Lacy

SHORT TERM

(Through tonight ) Issued at 1212 PM CDT Tue Mar 24 2026

Cloud cover will generally decrease from west to east today as a mid-upper level wave exits the region. While clouds have delayed heating across NW AR, high temperatures should still end up in the mid 60s to mid 70s across the FA. We will remain on the western periphery of sfc high pressure today, maintaining southeast winds at 10-20 mph. By tonight, winds will gradually become more southerly, leading to another mild night with lows in the 50s.

LONG TERM

(Tomorrow through Tuesday) Issued at 1212 PM CDT Tue Mar 24 2026

Mid-upper level ridging intensifies across the southern plains over the next couple days, allowing temperatures to soar back to near record values Wednesday and Thursday. In addition to the heat, min RHs in the 20 to 35 percent range and strong southerly winds will promote increasing fire weather concerns across the area, especially on Thursday ahead of an approaching cold front. The worst fire weather conditions are likely to occur along and west of Highway 75, where the greatest overlap between low RHs and strong winds occurs (gusting up to 35 mph). While increasing low level moisture should prevent RHs from falling as low as they did over this past weekend, fuels remain quite dry and dense. As a result, a Fire Weather Watch has been issued for parts of NE OK Thursday afternoon.

The cold front moves through the CWA Thursday night and early Friday, bringing strong northerly winds with it. Moisture appears sufficient for the development of some showers/isolated thunderstorms along the front in NE OK and NW AR. Unfortunately, any rainfall with this system still appears to be on the light side and wetting rains are unlikely. Temperatures Friday and Saturday will end up much closer to average in the cooler airmass, with gusty north-northeast winds persisting through much of the day Friday. By Saturday night, southerly winds return, initiating a warming trend through early next week. Western US troughing is forecast to develop early next week, potentially setting the stage for increasing rain chances going into early April.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 551 PM CDT Tue Mar 24 2026

VFR conditions will prevail. SErly winds will become light tonight. South to southwest winds will increase from mid-morning onward Wednesday, with gusts in the 20-ish knots range.

Lacy

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 56 90 67 93 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 52 90 62 93 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 59 90 65 90 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 49 91 62 94 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 51 86 63 89 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 51 84 66 88 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 54 87 64 89 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 52 85 65 89 / 0 0 0 0 F10 56 89 65 89 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 56 85 62 85 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Fire Weather Watch from Thursday morning through Thursday evening for OKZ054-055-059-060-064>066.

AR...None.