textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1140 AM CDT Thu Sep 3 2026

- An extended period of hot and dry weather will persist through the upcoming week. Heat headlines will be needed at times.

- Rain chances remain very low through the forecast period.

- The ongoing drought situation will continue to worsen. Localized fire weather concerns will develop each day.

SHORT TERM

(Through tonight) Issued at 1140 AM CDT Thu Sep 3 2026

Slightly cooler but still hot and humid conditions persist today across the forecast area. Some cloud cover across southeast Oklahoma will keep temps down a bit there, generally in the lower 90s this afternoon, while the rest of the area climbs into the mid to upper 90s with heat indices from 100 to 109 across the area. A stray shower or two could creep into Choctaw County, but chances remain pretty low through the afternoon. Clear and warm conditions continue tonight areawide.

Bowlan

LONG TERM

(Tomorrow through Thursday) Issued at 1140 AM CDT Thu Sep 3 2026

Upper ridging will hold strong over the forecast area through at least the next week, with unseasonably hot conditions continuing through the forecast period. Heat headlines will likely continue as highs stay near the triple digits with heat indices in excess of 105 degrees for many locations through the middle part of next week. Rain chances will remain very low during the period as well, though an isolated shower or two will be possible each afternoon, especially in the higher terrain areas with some deeper moisture streaming over the region. Widespread meaningful rainfall remains outside the range of the forecast however. Thus, drought conditions are expected to worsen and localized higher fire concerns will continue under occasionally breezy conditions during the afternoon hours.

Bowlan

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1151 AM CDT Thu Sep 3 2026

MVFR ceilings ongoing at MLC should persist for another couple of hours given the appearance on satellite, with decreased coverage at the lowest heights likely continuing until late afternoon into early evening. Gusty winds this afternoon will diminish early evening, with highest confidence in the gustiness returning to BVO and TUL mid to late morning tomorrow.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 98 76 99 77 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 101 76 102 76 / 0 0 10 0 MLC 96 73 99 74 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 100 72 100 72 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 99 72 100 73 / 0 0 10 0 BYV 97 74 98 74 / 0 0 10 0 MKO 98 73 99 73 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 98 74 99 74 / 0 0 0 0 F10 97 72 99 73 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 92 72 96 73 / 10 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for OKZ055>062-064>067- 070-071-074-154-176-254-272-276-354.

Heat Advisory from noon to 7 PM CDT Friday for OKZ055>068-070- 071-073>075-154-176-254-272-276-354.

AR...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for ARZ129-219-220-229.

Heat Advisory from noon to 7 PM CDT Friday for ARZ129-219-220- 229.