textproduct: Tulsa
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1137 PM CDT Wed Sep 2 2026
- An extended period of hot and dry weather will persist through the upcoming week. Heat headlines will be needed at times.
- Rain chances look very low through the forecast period, though a slight chance of showers exists across far southeast Oklahoma Thursday.
- The ongoing drought situation will continue to worsen. Localized fire weather concerns will develop each day.
SHORT TERM
(Through Thursday) Issued at 1137 PM CDT Wed Sep 2 2026
The remnants of Edouard will bring increasing cloud cover to parts of southeast Oklahoma Thursday, along with a slight chance for a few showers into parts of Choctaw county. Otherwise, dry weather will continue along with hot and humid conditions, although not quite as hot as the past couple days in most spots. The current configuration of the heat advisory looks good so will keep it as is.
LONG TERM
(Thursday Night through Wednesday) Issued at 1137 PM CDT Wed Sep 2 2026
Unseasonably hot and humid weather will continue through the forecast period and likely beyond as a strong upper ridge remains in control. There will be very little chance of any meaningful rainfall although an isolated shower or storm is possible just about any afternoon, especially in the higher terrain areas. After another slightly "less hot" day Friday, temperatures will return to triple digit levels just about everywhere Saturday into next week.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1206 AM CDT Thu Sep 3 2026
Short-term model data indicates potential for low cloud to stream north from TX up to the Ouachitas in far SE OK Thursday morning. There is a chance that MVFR cigs could develop for a short time at KMLC and a TEMPO will be added to this site with the 06Z update. Aside from this, more of the same can be expected. VFR conditions with scattered cu and intermittent gusty winds during the day, clearing off with light winds by evening.
Lacy
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 77 99 77 101 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 76 101 74 103 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 73 98 73 101 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 71 100 71 101 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 71 99 71 100 / 0 0 0 10 BYV 74 98 72 99 / 0 0 0 10 MKO 72 99 73 101 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 74 98 74 99 / 0 0 0 0 F10 72 98 72 100 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 71 96 72 99 / 0 0 0 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...Heat Advisory from noon today to 7 PM CDT this evening for OKZ055>058-060>062-066-067-070-071-074-176-254-272-276-354.
AR...Heat Advisory from noon today to 7 PM CDT this evening for ARZ129-219-220-229.
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