textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1042 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026 - Slightly cooler Tuesday to Wednesday behind a weak cold front.

- Low rain chances Tuesday morning across SE OK into west- central AR, then a slight chance for mixed rain and snow west of Highway 75 Wednesday morning.

- Much warmer and drier weather Thursday into next weekend.

SHORT TERM

(Through Tuesday) Issued at 1042 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

Cold front has moved into NE OK and will continue steadily southeastward clearing the local forecast area by late morning Tuesday. Scattered showers are likely along the frontal boundary from SE OK into western AR with rainfall amounts remaining light. Drier weather returns across the forecast area by Tuesday afternoon with temperatures slightly cooler in wake of the front.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday Night through Monday) Issued at 1042 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

A fast moving wave within the strong NNW flow aloft will bring a reinforcing surge of cooler air and increased cloud cover on Wednesday marking the coldest temps of this forecast cycle. Guidance generally agrees on a narrow band of light precip late Tuesday night into Wednesday passing near or west of the Highway 75 corridor. A brief light rain snow mix will be possible with little to no snow accumulations and no impacts expected.

Sfc high quickly pushes southeast of the region with gusty southwesterly winds and warmer temps on Thursday. This will mark a period of above normal temps and dry weather which continues into next weekend. Low rain chances may return to the forecast by early next week as the upper ridge across the western CONUS begins to break down.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 442 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

Low clouds are expanding northward slowly to the south of an approaching front. Given satellite trends and recent near-term model data, believe the bulk of the MVFR ceilings will remain to the south of both MLC and FSM. Given their current proximity to both sites, however, will include TEMPO groups for a couple of hours before the northerly wind shift moves through both sites and greatly diminishes any remaining potential. Shower potential this morning is highest to the south of both sites also, although there is a low potential that mainly FSM could see one on-station prior to 18Z. Mainly mid and high cloud should prevail thereafter, although northern terminals will see an increasing potential for lower clouds at VFR heights late in the period. Additional rain/snow at this same time has a high likelihood of remaining west of the terminals.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 51 30 47 28 / 0 10 10 0 FSM 57 31 50 28 / 20 0 0 0 MLC 57 31 50 28 / 10 0 10 0 BVO 49 26 47 23 / 0 10 10 0 FYV 51 25 44 25 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 49 26 41 24 / 10 0 0 0 MKO 52 29 47 25 / 0 0 10 0 MIO 45 26 42 24 / 0 0 10 0 F10 55 30 50 26 / 0 10 10 0 HHW 60 33 52 29 / 30 0 10 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.