textproduct: Tulsa

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 552 PM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026

- Temperatures will gradually warm but relative humidity values will remain rather low for the next week. Due to light winds fire weather concerns will remain low.

- A weather system may bring a low chance of showers and thunderstorms next weekend, but otherwise the forecast remains dry.

SHORT TERM

(Through tonight ) Issued at 1118 AM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026

Sunny skies and light southerly winds will continue through the remainder of the day. Temperatures will warm into the upper 60s to low 70s for most locations. Overnight tonight conditions will remain quiet, with just a few mid to high clouds. Low temperatures will warm a few degrees compared to this morning, mainly in the low to mid 40s.

LONG TERM

(Tomorrow through Sunday) Issued at 1118 AM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026

An upper level high will build in over the next few days with gradually warming surface temperatures. Highs will increase into the 70s and eventually approach 80 F for some areas by late in the week. A transient upper level disturbance will round the high pressure area late Monday into Tuesday, bringing an increase in clouds and slowing the warm up slightly. NBM had no Pops, but a few models indicated at least a slight chance, so added a token 5 percent pop north of I-40. Otherwise conditions will be dry until this weekend. At that time a weakening Pacific trough may eject through the region. Some guidance pulls up sufficient subtropical moisture for showers and storms while other models do not. So this is a low confidence outlook at this time, but meaningful rainfall will not occur until at least then.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 553 PM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026

VFR conditions will prevail with light winds and a few passing high clouds.

Lacy

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 45 74 50 76 / 0 0 10 10 FSM 45 78 48 78 / 0 0 10 10 MLC 44 76 47 78 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 41 72 46 73 / 0 0 10 10 FYV 41 74 45 76 / 0 0 10 10 BYV 42 74 45 75 / 0 0 10 10 MKO 44 74 49 75 / 0 0 10 10 MIO 44 72 48 73 / 0 0 10 10 F10 44 74 48 75 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 46 78 49 78 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.

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