textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1054 PM CST Tue Feb 24 2026 - Well above average temperatures, periodic breezy winds, and low relative humidities promote limited fire weather concerns Thursday into this weekend.

- Low chance of rain late Wednesday night into Thursday across far NE OK and NW AR. Any rainfall will remain light. Additional rain chances arrive late this weekend into early next week.

SHORT TERM

(Through Wednesday) Issued at 1054 PM CST Tue Feb 24 2026

Warm conditions will continue Wednesday, with increasing dew points and much lighter winds keeping fire weather concerns in check. Partly cloudy skies will prevail, with afternoon high temperatures ranging from the upper 60s to mid 70s.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday Night through Tuesday) Issued at 1054 PM CST Tue Feb 24 2026

An upper level disturbance will move across the area late Wednesday night and early Thursday along with a weak surface cold front. A few light showers will be possible across far northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas, but any rainfall will remain light. Temperatures will not cool much following the passage of the front, but north winds will increase a bit and dew points will fall off, raising fire weather concerns somewhat by Thursday afternoon.

Warm and dry weather will continue Friday and Saturday, with occasionally breezy winds raising fire weather concerns. A stronger frontal boundary looks to push into the area by Sunday and remain in the vicinity through the first part of next week. Shower and thunderstorm chances will increase during this time frame, and temperatures will cool to the north of the frontal boundary, with large uncertainty at this time as to just how far south the front will advance and how much cool air will make it down into our area.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1054 PM CST Tue Feb 24 2026

Light winds between southerly and easterly are forecast through the TAF period for eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas as a surface boundary sags into the region. Winds aloft tonight are forecast to remain gusty across southeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Thus, will continue with low level wind shear into early Wednesday morning for those locations. Cloud cover through the period should vary between scattered and overcast high clouds for the majority of the TAF period. However, there remains a potential for MVFR ceilings to reach KMLC and KFSM Tuesday morning and will carry few/scattered MVFR for a period. The greater potential still remains southeast of these TAF sites. Otherwise, VFR conditions are forecast for the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 71 43 74 46 / 0 0 0 10 FSM 67 44 73 47 / 0 0 0 10 MLC 69 50 75 48 / 0 0 0 10 BVO 70 36 72 40 / 0 0 0 10 FYV 65 45 71 42 / 0 0 0 10 BYV 63 47 69 46 / 0 0 0 10 MKO 69 46 74 47 / 0 0 0 10 MIO 65 41 70 43 / 0 0 0 20 F10 69 48 75 47 / 0 0 0 10 HHW 67 51 75 51 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.