textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1121 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

- Chilly through tonight, then warmer Friday and Saturday, with another dry cold front Saturday night

- Another warm up is expected early next week with dry conditions persisting

SHORT TERM

(Through tonight ) Issued at 1121 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

The system that brought snow to parts of the area this morning will exit this afternoon, with any lingering rain showers across southeast OK ending. Conditions will generally remain cloudy through this evening, except for northeast OK, where some clearing is anticipated. With continued cold advection at the surface, maximum temperatures will mostly remain in the 30s.

Some additional clearing tonight should allow for sub freezing temperatures across the area, with dry conditions prevailing. There is some potential for patchy fog if clearing occurs where precipitation occurred this morning.

LONG TERM

(Tomorrow through Thursday) Issued at 1121 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

The forecast area will remain under the longwave trough Friday and Saturday, keeping some level of cloudiness in the area, but dry weather is expected. The cold surface high will be south of the area Friday, so southerly flow will result in warming temperatures, with highs close to 50 F for many locations. Southerly flow continues Saturday, but there is a signal in the guidance for low clouds to spread over the area, which could keep temperatures suppressed. Lowered max temperatures a bit to account for this and introduced patchy fog for southeast OK.

A likely dry cold front will move through later Saturday bringing another shot of chilly air to the region. It may not be quite as chilly as the front we just had, so highs will only fall to the low to mid 40s. The trough axis will shift east early next week with a warming downslope westerly flow setting up. This should finally boost temperatures back up above normal readings, with a few locations potentially approach 60 F. Another cold front will push through the area next Wednesday or Thursday. Ensemble guidance strongly suggests this front will be dry as well. It does not appear to be very cold, and may just knock temperatures down closer to average.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1121 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

Low clouds will gradually erode across E OK and NW AR this afternoon, with VFR cigs returning to most sites by this evening. Overnight, redevelopment of low clouds and reduced vsbys are shown by several models, particularly across SE OK and NW AR. There remains enough agreement to forecast this scenario, though there is also at least a low potential for VFR cigs to continue through the overnight period. Regardless, low clouds are forecast to clear out by late Friday morning or afternoon with VFR conditions forecast areawide. Winds remain light through the forecast period, initially out of the north before shifting to southerly overnight and into Friday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 25 50 31 52 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 30 50 32 54 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 27 52 32 55 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 22 50 27 52 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 27 48 31 54 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 26 48 31 51 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 27 50 32 52 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 24 48 30 51 / 0 0 0 0 F10 25 51 31 52 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 29 49 33 54 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.