textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1038 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026 - Notable warming trend continues Monday.

- Low rain chances Monday night into Tuesday mainly across far SE OK into west- central AR. Temps cool slightly for mid week.

- Much warmer and dry weather resumes Thursday into next weekend.

SHORT TERM

(Through Monday) Issued at 1038 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

The influence of snow / sleet melt is becoming less and temperatures are expected to continue the warming trend on Monday. Patchy fog or freezing fog may develop across portions of NE OK by sunrise Monday but confidence is low on both coverage and fog intensity. Breezy winds by afternoon with temperatures in the mid 50s to low 60s will further speed along the remaining snow melt.

LONG TERM

(Monday Night through Sunday) Issued at 1038 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

Cold front passes late Monday night through early day Tuesday. A few showers are likely to develop along the frontal boundary from SE OK into western AR before they quickly push east of the local region by Tuesday afternoon. The post frontal cool down will be minor on Tuesday but more so on Wednesday with increasing cloud cover as a fast moving wave passing through the Plains. This feature may spread a few flurries or sprinkles across E OK but measurable precip chances remain very low.

The pattern by late week will maintain the high amplitude ridge across the western CONUS with heights quickly expanding eastward across the local area in wake of the passing mid week wave. Guidance is in good agreement on temps warming above normal by late week and likely continuing through next weekend. Dry weather also remains through this forecast period.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1038 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

Increasing high clouds are anticipated ahead of a shortwave and associated cold front forecast to move into the region just outside of this TAF period. Late tonight into Monday morning, potential remains for patchy areas of reduced visibility and again have maintained a Tempo group for timing at KBVO. Toward the end of the TAF period, ahead of the front, low/mid level clouds could begin to develop over southeast Oklahoma into west central Arkansas. Will add a mention of mid clouds to KMLC/KFSM with the greater potential just outside the TAF period. Winds through the period remain southerly for most locations. Outside of reduced visibility at KBVO, VFR conditions are currently forecast through the TAF period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 26 58 33 51 / 0 0 10 0 FSM 24 59 37 52 / 0 0 10 20 MLC 30 63 39 56 / 0 0 20 10 BVO 21 55 28 50 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 26 57 35 48 / 0 0 10 10 BYV 28 56 38 46 / 0 0 10 10 MKO 28 59 37 51 / 0 0 10 0 MIO 24 53 32 45 / 0 0 0 0 F10 29 63 38 54 / 0 0 10 0 HHW 29 60 46 59 / 0 0 20 30

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.