textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 627 AM CDT Wed Apr 15 2026 - Severe storms remain possible Wednesday afternoon and evening.

- Warm, humid, and breezy southerly flow continues for much of the rest of this week.

- Another chance of showers and thunderstorms, some potentially severe, is expected Friday into Saturday before cooler air arrives behind a cold front.

SHORT TERM

(Through Wednesday) Issued at 1137 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

A warm and humid airmass will remain over the area through Wednesday, with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms expected through the day as an upper trough approaches from the west. Severe storms will again be possible Wednesday afternoon and evening, with the extent of the severe weather threat largely determined by how much festering convection remains earlier in the day, which may limit the amount of instability. Afternoon high temperatures Wednesday will mostly be in the upper 70s to around 80 degrees.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday Night through Tuesday) Issued at 1137 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Shower and storm chances will continue into early Thursday, with the severe weather threat waning with time later Wednesday night. Warm and humid conditions will continue Thursday, but additional storm development Thursday afternoon and evening appears unlikely due to subsidence behind the departing upper trough.

Another upper trough will move across the plains late Friday into Saturday, with an accompanying cold front moving across the area Friday night and early Saturday. Showers and thunderstorms will likely accompany the front, with severe weather possible late Friday afternoon into the night, mainly in the form of damaging winds.

Much cooler and drier air will filter into the area behind the front this weekend, with near normal temperatures returning for the first part of next week. Rain chances look to return around the middle of next week.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 630 AM CDT Wed Apr 15 2026

MVFR cigs will trend toward VFR by midday. Scattered afternoon thunder will be covered by prob30 groups at the various sites. Eventually, the storms grow upscale and shift east into western AR this evening. It is here where VCTS and TEMPO groups were used to convey the threat. Storm chances wane toward the end of the forecast. MVFR cigs will probably return to many sites as well.

Lacy

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 78 62 85 67 / 70 60 10 10 FSM 80 65 85 66 / 70 80 30 10 MLC 78 64 85 67 / 80 60 0 10 BVO 79 59 84 65 / 70 60 0 0 FYV 77 60 81 63 / 70 80 30 10 BYV 77 61 80 64 / 70 80 30 0 MKO 78 61 84 66 / 80 60 10 10 MIO 76 60 81 65 / 80 80 10 0 F10 78 61 85 66 / 80 50 0 10 HHW 78 63 83 65 / 70 70 0 10

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.