textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1132 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

- Frost/freeze headlines will be issued for tonight/Friday morning. Frost/freeze expected again Saturday morning.

- Rain chances return late Saturday night and Sunday.

SHORT TERM

(Through tonight ) Issued at 1132 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

Mostly clear skies will continue today and tonight. This will allow good radiational cooling tonight, and the northeast winds tonight will usher in drier air/lower dewpoints allowing temperatures to get quite cool tonight. Freezing temperatures will be likely in far northeast Oklahoma and possible in some of the valleys farther south. Freeze/Frost headlines will be issued soon for Friday morning.

LONG TERM

(Tomorrow through Thursday) Issued at 1132 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

Even cooler temperatures are expected on Saturday morning with good radiational cooling, lighter winds and lower dewpoints, so another freeze is expected likely including areas farther south than who will see freezing temperatures Friday morning.

The surface ridge moves east Saturday with surface winds becoming southeasterly again. A storm system approaches the area this weekend with rain moving into the area on Saturday night and persisting into Sunday evening. This storm moves east of the area and an upper ridge establishes itself from south Texas towards the Ozarks Tuesday/Wednesday. Although a southerly component of the surface winds return and temperatures start a warming trend, the area is still under the influence of the large post-frontal surface high keeping forecast high temperatures mid-week close to seasonal normals. Another shortwave in southwesterly flow looks to approach later in the week that could bring additional precipitation chances Wednesday night into Thursday, although the medium range models show variability on how strong this wave will be.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1141 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the period as mostly clear skies dominate into tomorrow. Some wind gusts around 20 knots will be possible through this afternoon across NW AR sites as a reinforcing shot of cooler air pushes in. Drier conditions should limit any fog formation again tonight. Wind will slightly veer to more northeasterly overnight into tomorrow, but will generally remain 10 knots or less through that time.

Bowlan

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 65 35 54 31 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 66 37 57 33 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 66 36 55 33 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 64 29 53 26 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 60 28 52 25 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 58 31 49 27 / 10 0 0 0 MKO 64 33 53 32 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 60 30 50 27 / 0 0 0 0 F10 66 36 54 34 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 72 42 62 39 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Friday for OKZ055>058-061>063-068-069-154-254.

Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Friday for OKZ059-060-064>067-070-071-073>075-172-176-272-276-354-376.

AR...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Friday for ARZ001-002-010-011.

Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Friday for ARZ119-120-129-219-220-229.