textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1123 AM CST Thu Dec 18 2025

- Rain chances end this afternoon; only light rain amounts expected.

- Higher grassland fire weather conditions develop this afternoon with gusty northwest winds behind a front.

- Dry and mild conditions continue into the weekend. Much above normal temperatures likely early to mid next week.

SHORT TERM

(Through tonight ) Issued at 1024 AM CST Thu Dec 18 2025

A cold front has pushed through the forecast area with breezy north to northwest winds behind it. Wind gusts as high as 40 mph will continue through the afternoon, then diminish after sunset. A Wind Advisory is in effect for portions of northeast OK and northwest AR through 6 PM. In addition to the strong winds, dry air will continue to move into the area this afternoon, promoting fire weather potential. Borderline Red Flag Warning conditions may exist for a few hours today, but will hold off on issuance for now.

Cool air will move in tonight with skies clearing and winds becoming calm. This should allow for fairly chilly overnight lows. Went a few degrees below NBM for most locations.

LONG TERM

(Tomorrow through Thursday) Issued at 1024 AM CST Thu Dec 18 2025

Southwesterly flow returns Friday with temperatures quickly warming back into the mid to upper 50s by the afternoon under mostly sunny skies. Breezy southerly flow continues into Saturday, with temperatures continuing to climb. Some patchy low clouds could develop across southeast OK Saturday as low level moisture values begin to climb, but it will probably be too little too late as another dry cold front moves through.

Temperatures cool into Sunday, but remain above normal for this time of year. Winds will diminish Sunday, and gradually flip around to the south by Monday.

Much of next week will be characterized by an anomalous and expansive area of high pressure sprawling across much of the country, and centered over the southern Plains. With several days of breezy southerly winds and a warming atmosphere, temperatures will climb to well above normal readings. Highs in the low 60s Monday will increase into the 70s Tuesday through Christmas (Thursday). Low temperatures may remain in the low 60s on the warmest nights for a few spots. Some record highs and record high minimums may be broken. Looking beyond day 7 there is some indication of temperatures cooling off closer to normal with perhaps a chance of rain.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1123 AM CST Thu Dec 18 2025

Corridor of primarily VFR ceilings will continue to pass across portions of E OK / NW AR through mid afternoon with clearing skies from west to east. Winds become strong and gusty into early evening with a gradual decrease thereafter.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 60 28 56 45 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 64 30 56 41 / 50 0 0 0 MLC 63 28 58 46 / 10 0 0 0 BVO 59 23 55 38 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 61 24 53 41 / 20 0 0 0 BYV 59 26 52 41 / 30 0 0 0 MKO 62 27 55 44 / 10 0 0 0 MIO 60 25 53 42 / 10 0 0 0 F10 61 28 58 46 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 63 32 58 43 / 10 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for OKZ054>063.

AR...Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for ARZ001-010.