textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1218 PM CST Sat Jan 24 2026

- Snow and sleet accumulations increase this afternoon through Sunday afternoon. Travel will become near impossible at times during the most intense precipitation Saturday night.

- Life threatening cold tonight through Monday morning for any prolonged exposure. Lows Monday morning will be near or below zero. - Travel conditions slow to improve as cold temperatures persist through early week. A slow moderation in temps by mid to late next week which will be impacted by the final snow and sleet footprint.

SHORT TERM

(Through Sunday afternoon) Issued at 1218 PM CST Sat Jan 24 2026

Precip has expanded from W TX through central OK early this afternoon within a broad fetch of strengthening upglide. This precip will continue eastward with deteriorating conditions across E OK and NW AR through the afternoon. Precipitation shield will further solidly this evening to our west as the primary wave axis begins to track east. Precip coverage and intensity is expected to increase area wide from late evening and continue overnight before diminishing from west to east Sunday afternoon.

Precipitation type remains a challenge especially along and south of Interstate 40. Substantial warm nose sampled in 12z RAOBS across N TX and guidance favors the ongoing warm advection pattern advecting this warmer layer northward into the overnight hours all while the near sfc layer remains very cold. Expectation remains predominate sleet through a corridor across SE OK through late tonight with snow most likely from Interstate 40 northward. Freezing rain and sleet mix remains the favored typed across extreme SE OK where localized ice accumulations have already produced some impacts to the power grid. A transition to all snow is likely by early Sunday morning as the entire column cools with the wave passage.

Heavy snow and sleet accumulations remain forecast especially from Saturday evening through late Sunday morning with peak intensities likely in the midnight to early morning hours. Heaviest snows north of Interstate 40 and extending across all NE OK into NW AR with localized 12 plus inch totals likely especially into the higher terrain of NW AR. The snow sleet transition zone will reduce overall totals where sleet is predominant however treacherous travel will remain a hazard. Any additional icing remains forecast to be light with a note that any more prolonged icing would quickly become an issue if freezing rain dominates the precip type across far SE OK.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through Saturday) Issued at 1218 PM CST Sat Jan 24 2026

Snow tapers off across western AR by Sunday evening. The widespread sleet and snow footprint will largely influence temperatues through at least mid next week. Sunday night and Monday night both offer potential for extremely cold overnight low temps and dangerous wind chill values which could be life threatening with any prolonged exposure. A slow moderation in temperatures is forecast mid to late week but likely below normal temps into next weekend.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1218 PM CST Sat Jan 24 2026

Ongoing mix of VFR to MVFR conditions will begin to deteriorate this afternoon with widespread flight impacts tonight into Sunday afternoon. Periods of heavy snow likely for NE OK into NW AR terminals with a sleet snow mix for SE OK into west central AR terminals especially late evening through overnight with only a minor improvement beginning toward the end of this fcst period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 7 15 0 20 / 100 80 10 0 FSM 13 19 3 23 / 100 80 10 0 MLC 10 16 -2 23 / 100 80 10 0 BVO 4 14 -3 19 / 100 70 0 0 FYV 9 15 -3 20 / 100 90 10 0 BYV 7 14 -3 18 / 100 90 10 0 MKO 9 16 -2 19 / 100 80 10 0 MIO 6 13 -4 16 / 100 80 10 0 F10 7 16 -2 21 / 100 80 10 0 HHW 12 18 5 24 / 100 60 10 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Winter Storm Warning until 3 PM CST Sunday for OKZ049-053>076.

Extreme Cold Warning until noon CST Monday for OKZ049-053>076.

AR...Winter Storm Warning until 3 PM CST Sunday for ARZ001-002-010- 011-019-020-029.

Extreme Cold Warning until noon CST Monday for ARZ001-002-010- 011-019-020-029.