textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 532 AM CST Thu Jan 15 2026

- Fire weather concerns will remain heightened Friday and Saturday due to gusty winds behind dry frontal passages.

- Several mostly dry cold fronts are expected during the next week, with below normal temperatures favored Saturday through Monday.

SHORT TERM

(Through Thursday) Issued at 1025 PM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

Cold start to the day with sfc ridge axis across the region. Southwesterly winds return during the day becoming gusty at times across eastern OK. A quick warm up is expected with temps in the upper 40s to upper 50s by mid afternoon. A short duration window of higher grassland fire spread rates could develop across NE OK where humidity values will be lowest.

LONG TERM

(Thursday Night through Wednesday) Issued at 1025 PM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

The highly amplified pattern of ridging along the West Coast and downstream northwesterly flow through the central CONUS will usher several frontal passages through the weekend. The next front passes late Thursday night into early Friday. Moisture will remain minimal with each frontal passage within this pattern, however a few sprinkles or flurries could develop early Friday measurable precip not likely. Winds will become strong and gusty behind the front along with much drier air and falling humidity values. This will raise grassland fire weather concerns area wide by Friday afternoon. The ongoing dry conditions have resulted in several local burn bans and these should be closely followed as any fire starts could spread quickly.

A reinforcing cold front arrives on Saturday and again is expected to pass dry through the region. Very dry air and below normal temps follow this front. Good radiational cooling expected for Saturday night once winds become light and few colder valleys could see low temps in the single digits by Sunday morning.

The brunt of the coldest air within this pattern likely remains across the eastern CONUS so no prolonged period of below normal temps are expected locally. Another dry front is forecast for early next week but again no impactful weather other than a period of gusty winds which could locally increase fire weather concerns. No meaningful rainfall is currently forecast through the middle of next week.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 532 AM CST Thu Jan 15 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period. South winds will gust to near 20 knots at times late this morning and this afternoon at the northeast Oklahoma sites.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 54 35 52 24 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 51 31 54 27 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 54 36 54 24 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 54 30 51 19 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 48 30 49 21 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 46 33 46 22 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 52 34 51 24 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 48 32 48 21 / 0 0 0 0 F10 56 35 53 24 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 53 36 56 27 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.