textproduct: Tulsa

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 626 AM CDT Fri May 22 2026

- Showers and isolated thunderstorms continue into Friday. Near daily rain chances will continue through next week with periods of heavy rain possible.

- Temperatures warm back to near normal for much of the next week.

SHORT TERM

(Through Friday) Issued at 1133 PM CDT Thu May 21 2026

An increase in shower and isolated thunderstorm coverage is expected overnight into Friday morning as an upper level disturbance moves across the area. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible with this activity. Precipitation coverage will decrease from west to east during the day Friday, with some sunshine returning and allowing afternoon temperatures to warm into the 70s to lower 80s.

LONG TERM

(Friday Night through Thursday) Issued at 1133 PM CDT Thu May 21 2026

Shower and isolated thunderstorm coverage will increase again late Friday night and Saturday as another upper level disturbance moves across the area, with locally heavy rainfall again possible. Somewhat drier air will move into at least northeast Oklahoma Sunday and Monday, with mainly dry weather expected in that area those two days. Upper troughing will remain over the area through the next week, resulting in daily shower and thunderstorm chances Tuesday through the end of the week. Temperatures next week look to remain near the seasonal averages for late May.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 626 AM CDT Fri May 22 2026

Band of moderate to occasionally heavy rain remains oriented from near KMLC-KBVO with expected trend of gradually shifting to the east through the morning. Generally MVFR conditions will prevail within this area of rain with pockets of IFR possible, before conditions improve through the mid to late afternoon. VFR conditions are expected to prevail through most of the evening, though MVFR ceilings may return to p[arts of northwest AR late in the period. Additional showers and isolated storms may also move into eastern OK before 12z Saturday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 79 62 78 62 / 70 30 50 40 FSM 80 63 83 64 / 80 10 60 50 MLC 81 63 81 64 / 40 50 60 40 BVO 78 58 78 58 / 70 30 50 40 FYV 77 58 81 59 / 80 10 60 60 BYV 73 59 80 61 / 70 10 60 60 MKO 79 61 80 62 / 70 30 60 40 MIO 76 59 78 60 / 80 10 60 50 F10 80 61 80 62 / 40 40 50 40 HHW 80 63 80 64 / 30 40 70 50

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.


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