textproduct: Tulsa

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 440 AM CDT Fri Oct 23 2026

- Above average high temperatures and mainly dry weather will continue through early next week.

- Locally enhanced grassland fire spread rates possible northwest of I-44 Friday afternoon.

- Rain chances return by late next week but temperatures will remain above normal.

SHORT TERM

(Through Friday) Issued at 1136 PM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026

Temperatures will remain well above normal Friday despite some increase in high level cloudiness. Afternoon highs will mostly be in the lower 80s. South winds will increase enough to the northwest of Interstate 44 to raise fire weather concerns somewhat Friday afternoon.

LONG TERM

(Friday Night through Thursday) Issued at 1136 PM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026

The warm weather will continue into early next week despite a continued increase in high level cloudiness. An upper level disturbance passing to our north will result in increased mid level cloudiness Monday night into early Tuesday, and a few light showers may brush the northwest corner of the forecast area despite a very dry low level airmass.

Rain chances do look to increase during the latter half of next week although models differ in the details. The consensus suggests that a frontal passage is unlikely during the next week, so temperatures look to remain above normal for most if not all of the rest of the month.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 441 AM CDT Fri Oct 23 2026

VFR conditions will continue through the period with passing high clouds. Southerly sfc winds should remain below impactful levels.

Lacy

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 81 54 81 55 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 84 55 84 55 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 83 53 83 54 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 80 49 80 49 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 82 48 81 48 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 80 53 80 53 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 82 54 82 55 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 80 54 79 54 / 0 0 0 0 F10 82 54 82 55 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 83 54 83 56 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.


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