textproduct: Tulsa

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 506 PM CST Sun Nov 8 2026

- Patchy fog possible again tonight into Monday morning across NE OK and NW AR. Patchy frost also cannot be ruled out in the colder valleys of NW AR and far NE OK.

- Warming trend through early week with low chance of showers mid week. Overall, dry conditions are likely.

- Cooler weather likely by late week into the weekend.

SHORT TERM

(Through tonight ) Issued at 1046 AM CST Sun Nov 8 2026

Fog has eroded this morning with mostly sunny skies now prevailing across the region. This will allow temperatures to warm nicely into the mid-upper 60s/lower 70s this afternoon. High pressure begins to slide east tonight and with a gradually modifying airmass, temperatures will not be quite as cold tonight as we observed this morning. Still, effective radiational cooling is likely as winds remain very light or calm. While much of the area will bottom out in the lower 40s or upper 30s, colder valleys/drainage areas in NW AR/far NE OK could fall into the mid 30s with patchy frost potential again. Short range guidance also continues to indicate fog potential again tonight, so this was maintained in the forecast as well.

LONG TERM

(Tomorrow through Sunday) Issued at 1046 AM CST Sun Nov 8 2026

Any fog is likely to burn off by mid-morning Monday with mostly clear skies likely through the afternoon. High clouds will become more common across SE OK by late day as an upper low navigates east across N TX. It still appears most or all rainfall associated with this system will stay south of the local area as it moves along the Red River Tuesday. With southerly low level flow returning to the FA, a warming trend is likely Monday through early Wednesday. Two quick-moving shortwaves and associated cold fronts will then drop south across the C Plains/midwest Wednesday and Thursday, dropping temperatures back to near or below normal. Post-frontal high pressure and dry NW flow aloft will maintain cool and dry conditions through this weekend.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 506 PM CST Sun Nov 8 2026

Ongoing VFR conditions will largely persist through the forecast period. The exception will be any fog and associated visibility impacts through sunrise Monday. Majority of guidance suggests fog coverage will be less than this morning, however locally dense and highly variable visibilities do appear likely especially across western AR. VFR conditions return once any early morning fog dissipates.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 42 73 48 76 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 41 71 46 74 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 40 72 49 75 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 35 73 44 75 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 33 71 43 73 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 40 71 46 72 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 41 71 48 74 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 38 70 47 73 / 0 0 0 0 F10 42 73 51 76 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 45 73 52 76 / 0 0 0 10

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.


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