textproduct: Tulsa
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 524 PM CST Wed Feb 4 2026 - Cool and mostly cloudy conditions will prevail today.
- Much warmer and dry weather Thursday into next week.
- A little more unsettled next week with at least some low rain chances.
SHORT TERM
(Through tonight ) Issued at 1020 AM CST Wed Feb 4 2026
Northern stream shortwave continues to drop south across the local area this morning. Band of light precipitation forced by this feature has remained to the west, and main impact for us remains extensive cloud cover. Eventual southward extent of clouds lends some uncertainty to temperatures forecast this afternoon, but most will remain in the 40s with some lower 50s farther south where more extensive breaks in cloud cover anticipated. Skies should clear from the north tonight with lows falling into the 20s.
LONG TERM
(Tomorrow through Wednesday) Issued at 1020 AM CST Wed Feb 4 2026
Overall theme of the longer range forecast will be warmer with low-impact weather. Notable warm-up starts Thursday as sfc winds take on a downslope component with an expanding low level thermal ridge into Friday. Low-end fire wx concerns develop for a short duration both afternoons with low RH below 30% om parts of eastern OK and sfc winds potentially gusting around 20 mph. Weak frontal boundary will push through late Friday but will only bring a modest drop in temps and for Saturday before it warms right back up Sunday.
The next chance of precipitation could develop as early as Monday night or Tuesday, but at this point any rainfall looks light and temperatures should remain well above normal.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 524 PM CST Wed Feb 4 2026
Low-end VFR to high-end MVFR ceilings will continue this evening before gradually clearing from north to south late tonight. VFR conditions will then prevail for the rest of the forecast period.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 29 63 38 70 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 29 62 37 70 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 29 66 39 73 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 24 62 32 68 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 26 57 35 67 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 25 55 35 64 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 28 64 36 70 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 26 57 32 64 / 0 0 0 0 F10 29 66 38 72 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 30 62 38 73 / 0 0 0 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...None. AR...None.
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