textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1137 PM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

- Hot and humid weather will continue through Thursday with potential heat impacts each day.

- Thunderstorm chances and a severe weather threat return late Thursday into Friday.

- Multiple rounds of potentially heavy rainfall and some severe weather risk will continue through the weekend. Saturday evening and overnight will likely see the greatest severe weather potential.

SHORT TERM

(Through Wednesday) Issued at 1137 PM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

Wednesday will be another hot, humid, and breezy day, with afternoon high temperatures once again in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Heat index values will reach near or just above 100 degrees in some places, but are expected to remain below advisory levels.

A few sprinkles will be possible Wednesday morning across mainly northeast Oklahoma as a band of higher mid level moisture moves across, but measurable rainfall is not expected.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday Night through Tuesday) Issued at 1137 PM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

Thursday will be very similar to Wednesday, but perhaps a couple degrees warmer just ahead of an approaching cold front. This will result in afternoon heat index values from 100 to 105 degrees in many locations. Shower and thunderstorm chances will increase by late afternoon across northeast Oklahoma as the cold front enters the area, and a few of the storms may become strong to severe.

Shower and storm chances will progress south and east with the frontal boundary Thursday night into early Friday, with the severe weather threat diminishing with time overnight. Locally heavy rainfall will remain possible through the night. This activity may linger into Friday morning across the southern part of the forecast area.

The frontal boundary will wash out by Friday night and Saturday, with hot and humid conditions returning for Saturday. Shower and storm chances will also be on the increase, especially by Saturday evening and overnight when there are signals in the data that an organized convective complex may move southeast out of Kansas and across some or all of our forecast area. Severe weather and heavy rainfall will both be possible if this scenario plays out.

Another cold front will sweep across the area by Sunday night and Monday, with storm chances finally starting to wind down by Tuesday once the frontal boundary clears the area. Some cooler and drier air may also filter into the area behind this front next week.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1230 AM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

Generally, VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the forecast period. Patchy stratus may develop close to sunrise this morning across portions of SE OK and W-C AR. Highest confidence of this occurring is at KMLC, with a TEMPO group being maintained from the previous forecast. Confidence is lower for other TAF sites at this time. Modest LLJ and LLWS will persist over portions of NE OK through about sunrise or so. There is a low chance of a few showers developing later this morning across NE OK, but impacts should stay minimal if this verifies. Gusty southerly winds will develop again later this morning, persisting through the afternoon.

Mejia

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 91 79 93 68 / 0 0 30 80 FSM 93 78 94 74 / 0 0 0 90 MLC 91 78 93 74 / 0 0 0 90 BVO 92 78 94 64 / 0 0 50 50 FYV 90 75 91 68 / 0 0 0 90 BYV 89 75 90 67 / 0 0 10 90 MKO 91 78 92 70 / 0 0 10 90 MIO 90 77 91 63 / 10 10 40 80 F10 90 78 92 70 / 0 0 10 90 HHW 91 78 92 76 / 0 0 0 60

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.