textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 850 AM CDT Mon Apr 27 2026

- Thunderstorm and severe weather chances linger through Tuesday from southeast Oklahoma into western Arkansas.

- After a break from active weather on Wednesday, rain chances return late week.

- Below normal temperatures expected Wednesday into the weekend.

SHORT TERM

(Through tonight ) Issued at 1211 PM CDT Mon Apr 27 2026

A cold front will move into eastern Oklahoma this afternoon and evening before temporarily stalling later tonight. Isolated thunderstorm development remains possible south and east of the boundary late this afternoon and this evening, but the better storm chances will be east of our area. If any storms can develop, they will pose an all-hazards severe risk late this afternoon and evening.

Better shower and thunderstorm chances develop later tonight from southeast Oklahoma into western Arkansas, with some severe risk continuing with this activity as well.

LONG TERM

(Tomorrow through Monday) Issued at 1211 PM CDT Mon Apr 27 2026

Showers and thunderstorms will become more widespread during the day Tuesday, with the greatest coverage to the southeast of Interstate 44. Severe weather chances will ramp up by afternoon near and south of the stalled front from southeast Oklahoma into western Arkansas, with all severe hazards possible. The front will begin to accelerate to the southeast late Tuesday afternoon and evening, with storm chances ending from north to south Tuesday night.

After a quiet day Wednesday, rain chances will increase by late Thursday and Friday as an upper level storm system moves into the area from the southwest. A cool and stable airmass over the area will keep any storm chances low with this system. Below normal temperatures will prevail Wednesday into the weekend, with a gradual warmup expected by Sunday and Monday.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1239 PM CDT Mon Apr 27 2026

Patchy MVFR cigs will improve to VFR areawide this afternoon. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop across NW AR by mid to late afternoon along a progressing cold front. However, the overall potential for impacts at any one site remain low and the better storm potential lies to the east. Regardless, PROB30 groups were maintained to cover this potential. Following the front, winds will gradually shift from southwest to northerly by tonight. The front will hang up across SE OK and W-Central AR tonight, with low clouds increasing from south to north. MVFR cigs are expected for much of the area by mid to late Tuesday morning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 55 69 50 71 / 0 50 20 0 FSM 63 79 55 75 / 30 80 60 10 MLC 62 78 53 72 / 20 70 40 10 BVO 50 66 45 71 / 0 30 10 0 FYV 55 74 49 70 / 20 80 50 10 BYV 55 74 51 69 / 20 80 60 10 MKO 58 72 50 72 / 10 70 30 0 MIO 51 67 48 68 / 0 50 30 0 F10 58 74 50 71 / 10 70 30 0 HHW 67 79 58 72 / 30 80 60 10

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.