textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1034 PM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

- Frost/freeze headlines remain in effect through Friday morning. Frost/freeze expected again Saturday morning in many locations.

- Rain chances return late Saturday night and Sunday.

SHORT TERM

(Through Friday) Issued at 1034 PM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

Temperatures near or below freezing in some places Friday morning will warm into the 50s during the afternoon, with some 60 degree readings expected in far southeast Oklahoma. Winds will be from the north at less than 10 miles an hour.

LONG TERM

(Friday Night through Thursday) Issued at 1034 PM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

Additional frost and freeze headlines are expected again Friday night into early Saturday morning, with a larger part of the forecast area likely to see temperatures at or below freezing. A hard freeze may occur in some spots as well, especially in the colder valleys of northwest Arkansas. Will forego headlines for Friday night at this time to prevent confusion with the current frost/freeze headlines in effect through Friday morning.

An upper level storm system remains on track to bring rain to much of the forecast area from late Saturday night through Sunday evening. Drier low level air to the east continues to result in some uncertainty on just how much rain can make it into far northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas, so pops will remain lower in those places. Temperatures Sunday will remain in the 40s in areas that see rain for much of the day.

A warming trend will take place next week, with temperatures returning to near normal levels by the middle of the week. Another storm system may increase rain chances during the latter half of next week, but significant model differences at that time frame results in low confidence in the timing of any precipitation.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1030 PM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

Mostly clear skies remain common over the CWA through Friday afternoon before high clouds begin to increase from the west Friday evening. Northerly winds also continue through Friday afternoon and then start to transition to a more northeast component Friday evening. VFR conditions should persist through the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 35 54 32 56 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 37 58 33 56 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 36 56 32 57 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 29 54 26 56 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 28 52 24 54 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 31 50 27 51 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 33 55 32 56 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 30 51 27 54 / 0 0 0 0 F10 36 55 33 56 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 42 63 38 58 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Freeze Warning until 8 AM CST Friday for OKZ055>058-061>063-068- 069-154-254.

Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST Friday for OKZ059-060-064>067-070- 071-073>075-172-176-272-276-354-376.

AR...Freeze Warning until 8 AM CST Friday for ARZ001-002-010-011.

Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST Friday for ARZ119-120-129-219-220- 229.