textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 515 PM CST Fri Feb 6 2026 - Mainly warm and dry weather from Friday into early next week with limited fire weather danger each afternoon.

- A little more unsettled next week with at least some low rain chances around Tuesday and again late week.

SHORT TERM

(Through tonight ) Issued at 1022 AM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

Wind shift associated with push of colder air is currently near or just south of I-44, while the colder air remains well north of the local region. Effects of this cold front will mainly be the wind shift and an increase in speeds through today with temperatures reaching levels at or above those observed yesterday. Gusts in the 20-25 mph range this afternoon along with lowering RH in the 25-35% range will once again support a few hours of limited grassfire spread potential through most of the area. We expect to see cooler air arriving later tonight with temperatures falling into the upper 20s and 30s. However the primary surge of Canadian air should remain to our east.

LONG TERM

(Tomorrow through Friday) Issued at 1022 AM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

Temperatures Saturday will be cooler, but will remain above normal with the Canadian sfc high becoming centered more over the eastern U.S. and winds actually returning to southerly by later in the day for most of the area. This will lead to a quick warm-up for Sunday and especially Monday.

Expectation remains for shortwave energy presently off southern CA coast to eventually be picked up in the southern stream and move toward Southern Plains by late Monday and Tuesday. System will be in a weakening state by that time but should force some light rainfall near a weak frontal boundary. At this time most amounts are expected to be very light. As the weak boundary pushes south temperatures will cool off a little by Wed/Thu but still several degrees above average. Consensus remains for a more substantial upper wave by late in the week which could offer better chance of wetting rainfall.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 520 PM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

VFR conditions are forecast through the period. Breezy northerly winds will lessen and gradually veer through the night into the day tomorrow, becoming southeasterly at most sites by mid morning. Winds should be less tomorrow, generally around 10 knots through the afternoon, though some sporadic higher gusts will be possible. Some passing high clouds will spread over the region through the period, and a few low level clouds could creep into NE OK and NW AR sites during the morning hours tomorrow... but the probability of impactful cig conditions is low at this time.

Bowlan

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 33 60 43 70 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 34 59 37 69 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 35 63 46 72 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 28 58 38 69 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 29 56 38 66 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 30 55 38 66 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 34 60 43 70 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 30 57 41 66 / 0 0 0 0 F10 34 62 46 72 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 39 62 42 72 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.