textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1020 AM CST Wed Feb 4 2026 - Cool and mostly cloudy conditions will prevail today.

- Much warmer and dry weather Thursday into next week.

- A little more unsettled next week with at least some low rain chances.

SHORT TERM

(Through tonight ) Issued at 1020 AM CST Wed Feb 4 2026

Northern stream shortwave continues to drop south across the local area this morning. Band of light precipitation forced by this feature has remained to the west, and main impact for us remains extensive cloud cover. Eventual southward extent of clouds lends some uncertainty to temperatures forecast this afternoon, but most will remain in the 40s with some lower 50s farther south where more extensive breaks in cloud cover anticipated. Skies should clear from the north tonight with lows falling into the 20s.

LONG TERM

(Tomorrow through Wednesday) Issued at 1020 AM CST Wed Feb 4 2026

Overall theme of the longer range forecast will be warmer with low-impact weathert. Notable warm-up starts Thursday as sfc winds take on a downslope component with an expanding low level thermal ridge into Friday. Low-end fire wx concerns develop for a short duration both afternoons with low RH below 30% om parts of eastern OK and sfc winds potentially gusting around 20 mph. Weak frontal boundary will push through late Friday but will only bring a modest drop in temps and for Saturday before it warms right back up Sunday.

The next chance of precipitation could develop as early as Monday night or Tuesday, but at this point any rainfall looks light and temperatures should remain well above normal.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 430 AM CST Wed Feb 4 2026

Low clouds, mainly at VFR heights, will persist for most of the TAF period. The NE OK and far NW AR terminals will see a window later this morning into the early afternoon where MVFR ceilings will be possible, given model guidance and current upstream observations. Given the expected short duration, this potential will continue to be covered with TEMPO groups. The chance at MLC and FSM is much less, albeit nonzero, and therefore, no mention will be included in the TAFs there for now. Northerly winds may gust 15 to 20 kts at MLC and FSM during the day, with all sites becoming light and variable late in the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 47 29 63 38 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 47 29 62 37 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 50 29 66 39 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 46 24 62 32 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 42 26 57 35 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 40 25 55 35 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 46 28 64 36 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 42 26 57 32 / 0 0 0 0 F10 48 29 66 38 / 10 0 0 0 HHW 53 30 62 38 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.