textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1012 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026 - Very cold temperatures and wind chills expected Friday night into Saturday morning.

- Steady warm-up expected Sunday through Tuesday.

- Rain chances increase with approaching upper-level system Tuesday into Wednesday.

SHORT TERM

(Through Friday) Issued at 1012 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026

Surface low continues to move east across central AR this evening with north winds bringing initial push of colder air into the local forecast area with north winds in the 10-20 mph range. Wind eventually will relax some, but temperatures will eventually reach teens in most areas, save for a few lower 20s near the Red River. Single digit wind chills also expected by Friday morning in areas near the Kansas and Missouri borders.

Temperatures Friday will rebound somewhat during the day before a more significant push of cold air arrives across northern areas Friday afternoon with an uptick in wind speeds through Friday night. Just enough moisture and lift may be present for a band of flurries to accompany the cold push, potentially even a few light snow showers during the afternoon and evening. At this point any accumulation would be just a dusting at best and shouldn't cause any impacts.

LONG TERM

(Friday Night through Thursday) Issued at 1012 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026

As sfc temps eventually fall into single digits, possibly close to zero near the OK/KS border, wind chills of -10F to zero will become widespread, with some data suggesting a bit stronger winds speeds resulting in values approaching warning criteria (-15F) northwest of I-44 for a short time early Saturday morning. Surface high will quickly become centered over our area by afternoon with winds decreasing, however it will be a cold afternoon as temps struggle to warm into the mid-upper 20s in most places.

The cold snap will be a brief one as the high moves southeast and winds switch back to southerly as early as Saturday night, with temps warming right back above freezing Sunday afternoon. Additional warming takes place Monday with most warming into the 50s. Low level moisture begins to return early next week in advance of an upper wave diving south through the Rockies bringing a Chance of rain for Tuesday. Expectation right now is for precip to move out before post-frontal airmass cools sufficiently for any winter weather with this system. Dry and near to above normal temperatues are presently forecast for late next week.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 942 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026

Guidance this evening has backed off on the potential for morning MVFR cigs in far NW AR. Will carry lower end VFR cigs at most of the sites for the bulk of this forecast. An Arctic front arrives tomorrow evening, and will be reflected in the TAFs with gusty north winds and an MVFR cig as indicated in the latest guidance.

Lacy

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 16 32 7 24 / 0 10 0 0 FSM 22 39 11 27 / 10 0 0 0 MLC 19 38 9 28 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 12 29 1 23 / 0 20 0 0 FYV 16 33 5 25 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 17 30 6 24 / 10 0 0 0 MKO 17 34 8 25 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 14 28 4 22 / 0 10 0 0 F10 17 36 7 27 / 0 0 10 0 HHW 23 42 13 30 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Cold Weather Advisory from midnight Friday night to noon CST Saturday for OKZ049-053>076.

AR...Cold Weather Advisory from midnight Friday night to noon CST Saturday for ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029.