textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 522 PM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

- Fire weather concerns will remain heightened Friday and Saturday due to gusty winds behind dry frontal passages.

- Several mostly dry cold fronts are expected during the next week, with below normal temperatures favored Saturday through Monday.

SHORT TERM

(Through tonight) Issued at 1143 AM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

Fire weather concerns highlight the forecast this afternoon, with strong and gusty northwesterly winds and relative humidities expected to fall into the 25 to 35 percent range behind the cold front. The weather conditions will lead to widespread elevated to locally near critical grassland fire spread rates through the afternoon, all in combination with the persistently dry conditions. A Wind Advisory has also been issued for the rest of the day, given multiple Oklahoma Mesonet and ASOS sites recording near to above 40 mph gusts late this morning. Wind speeds will trend downward through the evening as the surface ridge approaches, with light west to southwesterly winds returning to parts of the area by daybreak Thursday. With good radiating conditions overnight, expect temperatures to be noticeably cooler, including some teens in parts of far northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.

LONG TERM

(Tomorrow through Wednesday) Issued at 1143 AM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

With consistent northerly winds aloft, dry cold fronts remain expected to move through the region every couple of days, with gusty post-frontal winds signaling an uptick in fire weather concerns. Friday remains likely to be one of these heightened fire weather days, following a Thursday night cold frontal passage. Northwesterly winds behind the front on Friday should be fairly similar to today, with gusts near 40 mph especially along and north of I-40. Afternoon relative humidities across much of eastern Oklahoma will fall into the 20 to 30 percent range. Near critical grassland fire spread rates are currently forecast west of Highway 75 in northeast Oklahoma. Given the fuel states, a Red Flag Warning may be necessary.

Another cold front will follow quickly on the heels of the Thursday night/Friday one, set to move through Saturday with another increase in northwesterly winds, continued low relative humidities areawide and locally near critical fire weather conditions possible. Below normal temperatures will prevail for the weekend, despite a return to southwesterly winds on Sunday.

Yet another shot of cold air will move through the region Sunday night and into Monday, with some model discrepancies regarding how much of it will move into the area as opposed to a glancing blow to the northeast.

Once we get toward the middle part of next week, more westerly flow aloft looks to take hold, which would signal warmer conditions.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 522 PM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

VFR conditions are likely to prevail through the forecast period for all sites. Breezy NNW winds decrease this evening, becoming light and variable overnight. Winds shift Thursday morning, becoming south-southwesterly 10-20 kts ahead of an approaching frontal boundary. Mostly clear skies forecast tonight, before FEW to SCT mid/high clouds approach from the north Thursday morning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 24 54 35 51 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 24 51 31 54 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 24 54 36 54 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 20 53 31 49 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 19 48 31 49 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 20 45 33 47 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 22 52 34 52 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 20 48 32 47 / 0 0 0 0 F10 24 55 36 53 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 25 53 36 55 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for OKZ054>072.

AR...None.