textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1206 AM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026

- Unsettled pattern and plentiful moisture return to maintain daily shower and thunderstorm chances Thursday through the weekend and into early next week. Heavy rain and localized flooding are the main concerns. The most widespread rain looks to be in the Saturday night and Sunday time frame.

- Organized severe storms are not anticipated, but an occasional strong and/or marginally severe storm cannot be ruled out almost each day.

- Hot and humid weather arrives next week, with heat headlines possible by midweek.

SHORT TERM

(Through Thursday) Issued at 1132 PM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

An increasingly moist airmass will spread back across the area Thursday as the first in a series of upper level disturbances moves across the area. Shower and thunderstorm activity will increase as a result, especially from southeast Oklahoma into Northwest Arkansas during the afternoon, with locally heavy rainfall possible. Afternoon high temperatures will mostly be in the low to mid 80s.

LONG TERM

(Thursday Night through Wednesday) Issued at 1132 PM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

Daily shower and storm chances will continue Friday into early next week as upper level disturbances continue to move across the area. Most of the precipitation Friday will once again be focused from southeast Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas, with chances increasing area wide over the weekend. The strongest system looks to impact our area Saturday night and Sunday, and this will be the period of most widespread and likely heaviest rainfall.

Upper level ridging looks to take over during the early to middle part of next week, with lessening rain chances and building heat and humidity. Heat headlines may eventually be required in some places by the middle of next week given current forecast temperatures and dew points.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1206 AM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026

Mainly quiet weather expected overnight with scattered mid and high clouds but dry conditions. Winds will be light, favoring the east. Ceilings will develop and lower after sunrise, down to 3-5 kft for most areas. Showers and storms will develop, but coverage will focus in northwest Arkansas. Any storms may result in lowered visibility, heavy rain, lightning, and gusty winds. Skies are expected to clear out by the evening.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 86 71 87 72 / 20 10 10 10 FSM 86 70 88 71 / 60 20 20 20 MLC 86 71 87 72 / 40 10 20 30 BVO 86 69 88 70 / 20 10 0 0 FYV 84 68 85 69 / 50 10 20 10 BYV 83 66 84 68 / 30 10 20 10 MKO 85 69 87 70 / 40 10 20 20 MIO 86 69 87 70 / 30 10 10 10 F10 85 69 86 70 / 20 10 10 20 HHW 84 70 85 71 / 60 20 30 40

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.