textproduct: Tulsa
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1155 PM CDT Tue Sep 1 2026
- An extended period of hot and dry weather will persist through the week. Heat headlines will be needed at times.
- Rain chances look very low through the forecast period, though a slight of showers exists far southeast Oklahoma late Wednesday into Thursday.
- The ongoing drought situation will continue to worsen. Localized fire weather concerns will develop each day.
SHORT TERM
(Through Thursday) Issued at 1155 PM CDT Tue Sep 1 2026
The trend toward higher dewpoints and slightly lower high temperatures is underway and will remain in place through at least Thursday. The result will be a larger footprint of higher heat index values and the heat advisory has been adjusted accordingly. The tropical remnants will move slowly northward through E TX on Wednesday with the deeper moisture plume drawing nearer SE OK and possibly allowing for a few showers to enter the forecast area. Meaningful rainfall amounts are not likely and the dry weather returns area wide by Friday.
LONG TERM
(Friday through Tuesday) Issued at 1155 PM CDT Tue Sep 1 2026
Similar daily trends are expected through the upcoming holiday weekend with excessive heat continuing to impact outdoor activities. While a low chance of precip may eventually develop across the higher terrain of SE OK into western AR, the region will remain well below normal for rainfall trends and the ongoing drought conditions will worsen into early next week. This will also impact fire weather conditions during any period of gusty winds.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1208 AM CDT Wed Sep 2 2026
VFR conditions will prevail through the period. Near persistent forecast with daytime cu and a few mid clouds at night. Winds may be gusty at times across NE OK and may exceed 15 kts at times.
Lacy
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 78 98 77 100 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 76 101 74 102 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 75 97 75 99 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 74 99 73 100 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 73 99 73 99 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 74 98 74 98 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 74 98 74 99 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 76 99 74 99 / 0 0 0 0 F10 73 97 73 99 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 74 95 73 97 / 0 20 0 10
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for OKZ049-053-055>058-060>062-064>067-070-071-073>075-176-254- 272-276-354-376.
AR...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ129-219-220-229.
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