textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1228 AM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026

- Near normal temperatures continue through Friday for most locations.

- Periods of low rain chances, mainly across northeast Oklahoma, through Saturday morning.

- Another stretch of dangerous heat likely late this weekend into next week.

SHORT TERM

(Through Thursday) Issued at 1145 PM CDT Wed Jul 22 2026

Cooler and drier conditions have filtered in behind the frontal boundary that moved through the region today. Lower dewpoints and light winds will allow temperatures to drop into the lower 70s and upper 60s across the forecast area by Thursday morning. Increasing cloud cover and low rain chances will arrive, mainly along the OK/KS border during the morning hours Thursday as remnants from an overnight complex of showers and storms drops southeast across Kansas around the periphery of the upper ridge. This activity will be in a weakening state, with mainly some brief downpours and lightning expected with any storms across northeast Oklahoma. Showers and storms should dissipate toward midday, but lingering cloud cover over the region will keep temperatures in check for tomorrow afternoon. Otherwise across the rest of the forecast area, clear skies and temperatures in the low to mid 90s will be common. Temps could hold in the upper 80s across the north, where cloud cover lingers into the afternoon hours.

Bowlan

LONG TERM

(Thursday Night through Wednesday) Issued at 1145 PM CDT Wed Jul 22 2026

A stronger mid level wave will round the top of the ridge and drop into the Central Plains Friday morning and progress southeastward through the afternoon hours as the ridge retrogrades westward a bit. The result will again be increasing cloud cover and at least low to moderate rain chances over much of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. The trough axis remains in the region through Saturday morning with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms continuing through this period. Rain amounts generally look to be light for most locations with some locally heavier amounts possible within any thunderstorms. Southerly winds return on Friday as well with dewpoints increasing, pushing heat indices back near headline criteria Friday afternoon and especially by Saturday as temperatures begin to warm above normal again.

Upper ridging builds back into the region in the wake of the exiting shortwave this weekend. Hot and humid conditions will once again return through the rest of the forecast period, with very limited rain chances through much of next week. Triple digit temperatures become more likely areawide by Sunday through mid week, with heat headlines likely needed through the rest of the forecast period. Ridging could then shift westward again by late week allowing some slight relief to the heat and low rain chances to return to parts of the area.

Bowlan

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1228 AM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 92 77 93 81 / 10 0 20 20 FSM 94 75 94 79 / 0 0 10 10 MLC 95 77 94 80 / 0 0 10 0 BVO 89 74 91 78 / 20 0 30 40 FYV 89 71 90 76 / 0 0 20 10 BYV 86 69 89 75 / 10 0 20 20 MKO 92 75 93 78 / 0 0 20 10 MIO 87 73 90 77 / 20 0 20 50 F10 92 74 93 78 / 0 0 10 10 HHW 93 76 92 77 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.