textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 627 AM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

- Widespread showers and a few thunderstorms Saturday through Sunday. Heavy rain and localized flooding are the main concerns.

- A few storms could become marginally severe mainly Sunday afternoon. Main hazards will be damaging wind gusts and large hail.

- Hot and humid weather arrives next week, with heat headlines likely.

SHORT TERM

(Through Saturday) Issued at 1135 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

An upper low will lift north northeast across western Texas during the day Saturday. This will result in showers and a few thunderstorms overspreading the area from south to north the rest of tonight into Saturday morning, with the activity possibly tapering off from west to east by late Saturday afternoon. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible, which may result in some localized flooding concerns. With all the rain and clouds, temperatures Saturday will only warm into the upper 70s to lower 80s.

LONG TERM

(Saturday Night through Friday) Issued at 1135 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

A brief respite from the widespread rainfall may occur Saturday evening before another round of showers and a few thunderstorms overspreads the area later Saturday night and Sunday. The upper low will continue to lift north northeast into eastern Nebraska by Sunday afternoon, and conditions may become slightly more favorable for a couple strong to severe storms Sunday afternoon to go along with the threat of locally heavy rainfall.

As the upper low continues to lift away from the area Sunday night into Monday, the rain will taper off and end from west to east, and the heat and humidity will begin to build as an upper ridge builds over the southern plains during the first part of next week. Afternoon highs in the 90s and dew points in the mid to upper 70s will push afternoon heat index values to near or above 105 degrees in some places, with heat headlines likely to be needed for much of next week.

A cold front may bring some relief from the heat by next weekend, and possibly a few showers and storms as well.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 633 AM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

Not a straight forward forecast today, with low clouds and weather to contend with. Guidance is trending toward MVFR cigs overspreading the region, along with showers and some storms. VFR cigs should return this afternoon. Storm coverage is uncertain owing to lots of cloud cover, so used prob30 groups for the most part to convey thunder threat. Looks like a bit better shot at KFSM, so an afternoon TEMPO was used there. There should be a break at some point this evening and overnight before spotty showers break out ahead of a low pressure system toward daybreak Sunday. MVFR cigs should return as well.

Lacy

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 79 69 83 74 / 90 70 90 50 FSM 82 71 86 73 / 90 60 80 60 MLC 82 71 85 75 / 90 60 80 30 BVO 79 67 83 71 / 80 80 80 50 FYV 80 68 82 70 / 90 60 90 70 BYV 78 68 82 69 / 80 50 80 70 MKO 79 69 83 72 / 90 60 80 50 MIO 79 68 83 70 / 90 70 90 70 F10 80 68 84 73 / 100 60 90 30 HHW 81 71 84 73 / 90 70 70 30

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.