textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 526 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026 - Notable warming trend continues Monday.

- Low rain chances Monday night into Tuesday mainly across far SE OK into west- central AR. Temps cool slightly for mid week.

- Much warmer and dry weather resumes Thursday into next weekend.

SHORT TERM

(Through Monday) Issued at 1038 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

The influence of snow / sleet melt is becoming less and temperatures are expected to continue the warming trend on Monday. Patchy fog or freezing fog may develop across portions of NE OK by sunrise Monday but confidence is low on both coverage and fog intensity. Breezy winds by afternoon with temperatures in the mid 50s to low 60s will further speed along the remaining snow melt.

LONG TERM

(Monday Night through Sunday) Issued at 1038 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

Cold front passes late Monday night through early day Tuesday. A few showers are likely to develop along the frontal boundary from SE OK into western AR before they quickly push east of the local region by Tuesday afternoon. The post frontal cool down will be minor on Tuesday but more so on Wednesday with increasing cloud cover as a fast moving wave passing through the Plains. This feature may spread a few flurries or sprinkles across E OK but measurable precip chances remain very low.

The pattern by late week will maintain the high amplitude ridge across the western CONUS with heights quickly expanding eastward across the local area in wake of the passing mid week wave. Guidance is in good agreement on temps warming above normal by late week and likely continuing through next weekend. Dry weather also remains through this forecast period.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 533 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

VFR conditions likely prevail through the forecast period for all sites. Mid and high clouds will increase this afternoon areawide, with southerly sfc winds. A cold front will push through the region tonight into Tuesday morning, bringing a northerly wind shift. Cigs are forecast to lower across SE OK and NW AR ahead of the front, perhaps into MVFR category just after the TAF period. Additionally, a period of LLWS is expected ahead of the front, mainly between 02-10z.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 58 33 51 30 / 0 10 0 0 FSM 59 37 52 30 / 0 10 20 0 MLC 63 39 56 31 / 0 20 10 0 BVO 55 28 50 25 / 0 0 0 10 FYV 57 35 48 26 / 0 10 10 0 BYV 56 38 46 25 / 0 10 10 0 MKO 59 37 51 29 / 0 10 0 0 MIO 53 32 45 26 / 0 0 0 0 F10 63 38 54 30 / 0 10 0 0 HHW 60 46 59 32 / 0 20 30 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.