textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1122 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

- Temperatures warm somewhat through Wednesday before another potent cold front arrives dropping temperatures back well below normal for Thursday.

- Precipitation chances remain low... some light drizzle or freezing drizzle possible Wednesday night into Thursday and low rain chances Thursday near the Red River.

- Warmer by the weekend.

SHORT TERM

(Through Tonight) Issued at 1122 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

Skies have cleared with a return to light south winds, and after a cold start all areas will see afternoon highs in the 40s, with some lower 50s in parts of eastern OK. Light south winds will result in milder overnight lows, though some normally colder spots again will likely drop well below freezing.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through Tuesday) Issued at 1122 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

Most of Wednesday the area will reside ahead of another strong cold front that will move into parts of northeast OK during the afternoon. The frontal passage itself should remain dry with a shift to north winds and a return to notably colder temperatures by Thursday morning for most of the area. Of some concern will be the moisture profiles by later Wednesday evening through a good part of Thursday behind the front, as higher-res models soundings show a shallow near saturated layer beneath frontal inversion, which supports some formation of drizzle or freezing drizzle with the presence of some very subtle shortwave energy. The dendritic growth zone remains dry, with possible exception of a period Thursday afternoon as a more notable mid level wave approaches. Main message here is a low potential for light icing that could impact Thursday morning commute.

The above mentioned wave will also interact with plume of better moisture residing across TX/LA with some light rain potential Thursday and Thursday night generally near and south of I-40. Some light icing potential may develop with this precipitation as well, mainly early Thursday in areas that are still below freezing. and again Thursday night across higher terrain of NW AR and SE OK if any precip can linger as temps fall below freezing. Also appears that this would be of low impact.

Progressive pattern will lead to quick warm up Friday and Saturday. A weaker front is expected by Sunday, but the pattern next week favors dry weather with temps mostly above normal.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1122 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

Skies have cleared across the TAFs sites, with mainly clear skies forecast into tonight. Some fog is expected in the terrain areas tonight in southeast Oklahoma and western Arkansas. Any significant fog is expected to stay east and and southeast of the TAF locations. Some low clouds will develop in parts of eastern Oklahoma tomorrow morning. MVFR ceilings could start to develop toward 18Z, particularly after this TAF period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 29 49 24 36 / 0 0 10 10 FSM 28 53 33 43 / 0 0 0 20 MLC 32 55 30 41 / 0 0 10 20 BVO 25 47 20 34 / 0 0 10 10 FYV 27 50 27 40 / 0 0 10 10 BYV 27 50 25 37 / 0 0 10 10 MKO 30 52 28 40 / 0 0 10 10 MIO 27 47 20 35 / 0 0 10 10 F10 30 52 26 38 / 0 0 10 10 HHW 30 55 36 44 / 0 0 10 30

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.