textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 554 PM CDT Mon Mar 23 2026

- Maybe a few sprinkles tonight into Tuesday morning.

- More near record heat mid to late week, along with increased fire weather concerns.

- Low rain chances late this week with another front.

SHORT TERM

(Through tonight) Issued at 1205 PM CDT Mon Mar 23 2026

Sfc high pressure slides east tonight as a shortwave trough approaches from the northwest. This wave will pass overhead late tonight into Tuesday morning, bringing increased cloud cover and perhaps some sprinkles or light showers to the area. However, any precipitation is unlikely to amount to more than a trace and most locations will remain dry. Increased cloud cover will help prevent temperatures from falling too much tonight, with lows remaining in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Light easterly winds will gradually shift to southeast by late tonight.

LONG TERM

(Tomorrow through Monday) Issued at 1205 PM CDT Mon Mar 23 2026

Our weather through much of the week will be primarily influenced by intensifying mid/upper level ridging across the S Plains. This will ensure dry conditions persist and temperatures warm back to near record territory by Wednesday and Thursday (widespread upper 80s and lower 90s). Additionally, breezy south winds are likely each afternoon through Thursday, prolonging fire weather concerns for the next several days. The highest fire weather potential is expected on Thursday, ahead of an approaching cold front, when winds will be the strongest and RHs the lowest. This cold front is currently forecast to push into the region late Thursday through early Friday. It does appear that moisture will be sufficient to support a low chance of showers and thunderstorms with the frontal passage, mainly far E OK and NW AR, but rainfall amounts are likely to remain light for most.

Quiet and seasonable conditions are forecast over the weekend as post-frontal high pressure and upper level ridging influence the region. By early to mid next week, ridging shifts to the east with increasing western US troughing. Long range guidance suggests increasing opportunities for much needed rain heading into early April.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 554 PM CDT Mon Mar 23 2026

Low-end VFR cigs are expected to overspread the region tonight. Could see some sprinkles or light showers, but chances and impact potential is low so mention was left out of TAFs. Cigs should scatter out from west to east during the midday and afternoon hours. Winds should be largely below impactful levels, and predominantly from the east. Most sites will see a shift to the southeast Tuesday afternoon.

Lacy

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 50 72 54 89 / 10 10 0 0 FSM 49 70 50 89 / 10 10 0 0 MLC 51 74 57 88 / 10 10 0 0 BVO 44 72 49 89 / 10 10 0 0 FYV 45 67 50 84 / 10 10 0 0 BYV 45 67 48 84 / 10 10 0 0 MKO 50 71 52 87 / 10 10 0 0 MIO 47 69 51 85 / 10 10 0 0 F10 51 75 56 88 / 10 10 0 0 HHW 52 74 55 85 / 10 10 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.