textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1210 AM CDT Fri Mar 20 2026

- Anomalously warm temperatures continue into the weekend. Near record or record high temperatures are forecast each day.

- Limited fire weather threat each afternoon through Saturday. Elevated to near critical fire spread potential behind a cold front Sunday.

- No meaningful rain chances over the next seven days.

SHORT TERM

(Thru Friday) Issued at 1117 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026

A quiet night is in store tonight with some passing high cloud. Lows will drop into the 50s most areas. On Friday, the LLTR will strengthen over the region ahead of an approaching weak front from KS. Expect high temps a few degrees above the already warm numbers that were observed today, which were 20 to 25 degrees above average for this time of year. A record high was set at KFYV today, and more records are expected to be tied or set on Friday. The gradient will be weak, thus lighter winds will limit fire weather concerns.

Lacy

LONG TERM

(Saturday through Friday) Issued at 1117 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026

The anomalously strong upper ridge over the Southwest will weaken and flatten out a bit over the next several days, though some ridging is expected to persist to our west through the forecast period. At the surface, the gradient will tighten on Saturday and especially Saturday night as a pre-frontal trough approaches. More near record or record highs can be expected. A slight uptick in winds/gusts will increase fire spread rate potential, though still looking limited overall. A cold front will make its way across the region Sunday, with a wind shift to the north and a tightening gradient suggesting a definite uptick in winds/gusts by Sunday afternoon, especially across NE OK. Near record or record highs remain possible ahead of the front Sunday as well. Current forecast spread indices/rates and low humidity would argue for an eventual Red Flag warning, given the favorable and abundant fuels that are in place. No precip is expected with this front owing to poor moisture return ahead of it with surface ridging over the Gulf. After a relatively cooler day Monday, winds turn back around to the south on Tuesday and will likely be gusty, so fire weather concerns will be on the rise again. A weak boundary will weaken the gradient/winds for Wednesday before winds pick back up again Thursday ahead of the next notable cold front Thursday night into Friday. Ensemble guidance has some chance for precip with this front, though chances look small at this point.

Lacy

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1210 AM CDT Fri Mar 20 2026

VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals through the forecast period, with continued light southerly winds.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 57 93 63 92 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 58 94 60 94 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 58 93 63 94 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 50 93 58 90 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 57 91 61 91 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 58 89 66 90 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 58 91 63 93 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 55 90 64 90 / 0 0 0 0 F10 58 93 65 95 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 58 89 63 91 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.