textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 520 PM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

- Overall quiet weather will persist through the next week.

- Above average temperatures will return and persist through the first part of next week. A cold front will drop temperatures back near normal to close out the week.

- Periodic fire weather concerns as winds pick up mid week.

SHORT TERM

(Through tonight) Issued at 1038 AM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

Seasonably cool and quiet conditions will last through tonight under clear skies and light winds as surface high pressure settles over the region. Highs will top out in the upper 40s to mid 50s across the area, with lows tonight dropping into the upper 20s to lower 30s areawide.

Bowlan

LONG TERM

(Tomorrow through Sunday) Issued at 1038 AM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

The overall pattern of the last several weeks will remain unchanged through this forecast period. We will remain largely in the transition zone between a stubborn ridge centered near the Pacific Coast, while mid level troughing stays planted over the eastern two thirds of the country. This keeps our area in predominately dry northwesterly flow aloft resulting in periodic cold fronts dropping temps back to near normal for a couple days followed by a warming trend as mid level ridging and southerly winds return.

The first warming trend will commence on Monday as the surface high shifts southeastward and southwesterly downslope flow develops over the Southern Plains and temperatures rise back into the 60s. Southwesterly flow intensifies on Tuesday and highs will again approach 70 which combined with the wind will provide an uptick in fire weather concerns for some locations. A more amplified upper level flow will take shape for the last half of the workweek as a mid level shortwave drops southeast along the western periphery of the larger scale trough. This will push a backdoor cold front through the area, knocking temps back closer to normal. Gusty northerly winds and dry air filling in behind the frontal passage will also create an elevated fire weather day across portions of northeast Oklahoma. Moisture will be limited with this front and rain chances remain below mentionable at this point. However, a few very light showers or drizzle could accompany the frontal passage on Wednesday morning across far NE OK or NW AR.

Temperatures moderate near or slightly above normal through the last part of the week. A stronger shortwave and associated cold front is progged to drop south through the area late Friday into Saturday, perhaps bringing a day or two of below normal temperatures. Moisture will once again be rather meager across the region and precip chances remain below mention. The weekend system will bear some watching though as temperatures will likely be cold enough for some wintry precipitation if more moisture can make it into the area.

Bowlan

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 520 PM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

VFR conditions will continue through the TAF period with just some high clouds at times. Light southerly wind will develop tonight with some marginal low level wind shear for portions of northeast OK but not enough to include in the TAFs. Breezy southerly wind will then develop during the day Monday with gusts of 15-25 kts.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 32 62 38 67 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 28 61 35 68 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 29 63 37 69 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 27 61 32 66 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 28 58 38 64 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 30 57 42 65 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 29 61 37 67 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 30 57 36 63 / 0 0 0 0 F10 30 64 37 68 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 30 59 35 66 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.