textproduct: Tulsa
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1145 AM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026
- Cool morning lows, warm afternoon highs prevail through the end of the week.
- Rain is not expected through this weekend. Low rain and thunderstorm chances could return the middle of next week.
SHORT TERM
(Through tonight ) Issued at 1145 AM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026
It is another dry and abnormally warm day across the region as high pressure continues to dominate. Highs in the upper 80s and lower 90s can once again be expected areawide with light E to SE winds. Calm conditions persist into tonight with temperatures similar to last night, generally within a few degrees of 60 (mid 50s possible in sheltered valley locations).
LONG TERM
(Tomorrow through Thursday) Issued at 1145 AM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026
High pressure/mid-level ridging will continue to be the primary influence on our weather through this weekend. High temperatures remain nearly steady in the upper 80s and lower 90s, falling to into the 50s and 60s overnight. Moisture associated with Hurricane Isaias should still remain east of the local area, though the western periphery may provide some increase in clouds across W AR Saturday. High pressure slides slightly eastward over the weekend, allowing for an increase in southerly winds, especially across NE OK. This will promote at least limited fire weather conditions, especially along and west of Hwy 75 in NE OK. Mid-upper level ridging will then reintensify over the Southern Plains Sunday and Monday. The net effect will be more of the same, with well above average temperatures, dry conditions, and breezy afternoon winds promoting limited fire weather concerns. Meanwhile, low pressure will extend southward along the West Coast and merge with what is currently Tropical Storm Rachel in the eastern Pacific.
By Tuesday, this trough will move eastward, with the remnants of current tropical storm Simon potentially advecting north-northeast within the flow. The timing and phasing of each of these systems will be important to determining exact impacts to our area next week. Rain/thunderstorm chances may begin as early as Tuesday for our area, with higher potential Wednesday and Thursday as a cold front impinges on the region. Details will become more clear over the coming days, but a pattern change does appear likely next week resulting in higher rain chances and cooler temperatures.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1145 AM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026
VFR conditions and light south or southeast winds will continue through the TAF period. There is low potential for brief, MVFR fog at KFYV around sunrise Friday morning, but confidence was too low to mention in the TAF at this time.
Mejia
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 91 61 91 62 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 91 61 93 61 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 91 58 91 60 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 91 56 91 57 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 90 56 90 57 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 89 60 90 59 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 90 59 90 59 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 89 60 89 60 / 0 0 0 0 F10 90 59 90 59 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 90 59 89 59 / 0 0 0 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...None. AR...None.
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