textproduct: Tulsa
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1208 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026
- Above average warmth and dry weather will prevail into early next week.
- Fire weather concerns will increase late this weekend and early next week as stronger south winds return.
- Confidence is increasing that some unsettled weather will occur toward the middle of next week, possibly lingering into the latter half of the week.
SHORT TERM
(Through Saturday) Issued at 1145 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026
Unseasonably warm weather will continue Saturday, with afternoon high temperatures once again warming into the upper 80s to lower 90s under sunny skies.
LONG TERM
(Saturday Night through Friday) Issued at 1145 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026
Unseasonable warmth will continue through Tuesday, and humidity levels will also be on the rise early next week. South winds will strengthen Sunday into early next week, which will raise fire weather concerns for a couple days before humidity levels show a more significant rise by Tuesday.
Southwest flow aloft and an approaching cold front will result in increasing shower and thunderstorm chances late Tuesday through Thursday. The GFS continues to bring a stronger upper system out of the southwest U.S. into the plains which would suggest some severe weather threat in our area, but both the ECMWF and UKMET hold the main upper system back west, which would limit the severe weather threat. Either way, a surface cold front moves through the area by late week bringing cooler temperatures, although the eventual evolution of the upper trough will dictate whether we see some cool fall mornings for a change by next weekend.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1208 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026
VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals through the period. Winds will remain southerly, mainly 10 knots or less.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 65 91 70 91 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 62 93 64 92 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 62 90 68 90 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 58 90 65 91 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 55 89 62 89 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 61 89 68 88 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 63 91 68 90 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 62 88 68 88 / 0 0 0 0 F10 64 90 68 90 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 63 89 66 89 / 0 0 0 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...None. AR...None.
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