textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 550 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

- Cooler and drier weather is expected through Monday before warmer weather returns through mid week.

- Low to medium thunderstorm chances Tuesday night. - Unsettled pattern returns late next week with additional storm and heavy rain chances.

SHORT TERM

(Through tonight) Issued at 1202 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

The precipitation has shifted south of the forecast area this afternoon, with only some light sprinkles/drizzle hanging around portions of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas through the afternoon. Additional light showers may try to develop across southeast Oklahoma later this afternoon and evening as the mid level trough axis remains over the region. any precipitation should remain light, with the heavy rain threat remaining well south of the area. Cooler and drier air will continue to filter in behind the passing frontal boundary with lows dropping into the 60s for most areas tonight. Some locations across the north that can clear out of cloud cover could dip into the 50s by early tomorrow morning. As surface high pressure settles overhead, any areas that do clear out will have a chance at some fog development late tonight owing to the recent rainfall over the region. Better chances to see clearing skies will be across the north, so have mentioned some patchy fog for late tonight in these areas. Otherwise, partly cloudy and calm conditions will prevail over much of the region with just low chances for some showers across far southeast Oklahoma through the night.

Bowlan

LONG TERM

(Tomorrow through Sunday) Issued at 1202 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Northwest flow aloft will remain planted over the region through much of the next week. Monday should stay dry and relatively cool as surface ridging remains overhead. Stronger southerly winds return on Tuesday as the surface high shifts eastward allowing dewpoints to climb back into the 60s by afternoon as temperatures climb back to near average for mid June. A shortwave trough moving across the Central and Northern Plains Tuesday afternoon could generate a cluster of thunderstorms across Kansas. The resulting MCS could make a run at northeast Oklahoma overnight Tuesday into Wednesday morning. The severe threat looks rather minimal by this point, but a few areas could see some thunderstorms late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. The rest of Wednesday should be dry, with more typical heat building back into the region. Highs will creep back to near 90 while heat index values push back to near and above 100 degrees Wednesday afternoon.

The pattern turns a little more unsettled again heading into the latter half of the week. A stronger trough moving across the Great Lakes Region will push another frontal boundary toward the local region. At the same time, a tropical low if progged to lift northward out of the Gulf and into the ArkLaTex. This will pull more tropical like moisture northward and interact with the aforementioned frontal boundary. Shower and storm chances will increase beginning Thursday, with periods of rain possible through Friday as well. More rain chances may arrive by late weekend as another frontal boundary and storm system track across the Plains. The various frontal boundaries and storm chances will keep temperatures somewhat in check, near seasonal norms for this time of year.

Bowlan

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 550 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Low clouds will continue to break up this evening across the area with VFR conditions expected for much of the overnight hours. Winds will be light out of the north to northeast. Later overnight, a few areas of low clouds or fog may develop, particularly north of I-40 which could break brief ceilings and lower visibility. During the day Monday skies will be party cloudy with east to northeast winds at or below 10 kts. A couple of showers towards KMLC cannot totally be ruled out, but confidence was too low to include in the TAF at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 61 80 61 86 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 66 81 63 89 / 10 0 10 0 MLC 65 81 62 88 / 20 10 0 0 BVO 57 81 58 86 / 0 0 0 10 FYV 59 78 57 84 / 10 0 0 0 BYV 58 77 56 83 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 62 80 60 85 / 10 0 0 0 MIO 58 78 59 83 / 0 0 0 10 F10 61 79 59 86 / 10 0 0 0 HHW 68 79 65 87 / 40 20 10 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.