textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1140 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

- Low clouds and fog will diminish this afternoon before reforming across much of the area Saturday morning

- A cold front Sunday morning will result in continued cool weather through Monday but with clearing skies

- Mild weather returns Tuesday onwards, with little to no chance of rain

SHORT TERM

(Through tonight ) Issued at 1140 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

Areas of low clouds and fog have enveloped much of the area today. Model guidance has been nearly useless, but short term observational trends suggest these clouds will mostly diminish by mid afternoon. However, confidence is low. With this in mind, temperatures should still make it into the mid to upper 40s for most locations.

Overnight tonight, lows will drop into the low to mid 30s with widespread low clouds and fog returning. A Dense Fog Advisory will most likely be needed at some point for at least portions of the area.

LONG TERM

(Tomorrow through Friday) Issued at 1140 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

Widespread low clouds and fog will be present Saturday morning over most of if not the entire forecast area. A few areas could see brief freezing fog. In spite of a warming airmass aloft, the surface will remain chilly and inverted during the day Saturday. With continued warm and moist advection above the surface, it will be difficult to break out of the clouds once again. Lowered NBM forecast temperatures substantially from the mid to upper 50s to upper 40s to low 50s. If clouds end up being more stubborn, highs may end up only reaching the mid 40s.

A cold front Sunday morning will clear out the clouds, with high temperatures in the 40s and lows Monday morning in the low to mid 20s. Breezy northerly winds behind the cold front will create a bit of a wind chill factor, with a few areas seeing "feels like" temperatures as low as 20 F on Monday morning. Temperatures rise slightly Monday afternoon, and more substantially Tuesday onwards as a warming downslope (westerly) flow sets up. During that period, well above normal readings will return with some areas approaching 60 F. No rain is expected during the next week, if not longer.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1140 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

Low clouds and patchy low vsby continue across much of eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas currently, and have been slow to erode. Cigs should gradually rise over the next couple of hours before clouds scatter out somewhat this afternoon, improving to mostly VFR conditions by mid afternoon for all sites. Mid level cloud cover will stream back over the region this evening as a weak system moves through the region. Low clouds and fog look likely to develop over much of the area again tonight into Saturday morning, with a medium to high probability (50-70%) of widespread dense fog. Best chances look to be from KMLC northeast into NW AR sites through mid morning tomorrow. NE OK sites could see dense fog as well, but look to be on the fringes of the lower vsbys as of now. IFR to LIFR conditions will be likely from late tonight into tomorrow morning with both cigs and vsbys.

Bowlan

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 31 49 35 43 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 33 53 38 51 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 32 54 37 50 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 27 48 32 41 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 31 51 35 45 / 10 0 0 0 BYV 32 52 37 44 / 10 0 0 0 MKO 31 51 36 46 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 30 48 34 40 / 0 0 0 0 F10 31 51 35 47 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 33 54 39 54 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.