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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 521 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 - Very cold temperatures and wind chills expected tonight into Saturday morning.

- Steady warm-up expected Sunday through Tuesday.

- Rain chances increase with an approaching system Tuesday into Wednesday.

SHORT TERM

(Through tonight ) Issued at 1048 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

Cool northerly flow is in place across the area. Low clouds have developed and will largely persist and or fill in through the day, though there will be some breaks at times. These factors will keep temperatures rather chilly, with highs mostly near or below freezing in the north, and in the upper 30s to low 40s in the south where arctic air is less entrenched.

A secondary push of even colder air will arrive this evening along with an uptick in gusty northerly winds. A few flurries are possible at times but with no accumulation anticipated. Temperatures will fall overnight, down to 0-10 F north of I-40 and 8-15 F south of I-40. With breezy conditions persisting, wind chills may fall as low as -10 F. A Cold Weather Advisory is in effect to account for this.

LONG TERM

(Tomorrow through Friday) Issued at 1048 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

The surface high will be directly overhead by midday Saturday, with light southerly flow already returning Saturday evening. High temperatures Saturday will reach the mid 20s to low 30s (warmest south). Temperatures will only decline slightly into Sunday morning before moderating rather quickly during the day, with highs in the 40s. The warming trend continues Monday with widespread 50s to even low 60s.

Another weak front will approach the area Tuesday. Moisture return ahead of the system will allow for a few showers late Tuesday into Wednesday, but these will focus across the southeast part of the area. Precipitation is not expected to be significant, with most areas below a quarter inch. Temperatures will cool somewhat behind the front, but not like the weather we have seen the last week. Warmer and drier air returns once again for the late week period.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 521 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

VFR ceilings in the 4-6 kft range will prevail over most of the area early in the period, with a few snow flurries and possible MVFR ceilings with the passage of an Arctic front this evening. Current observation trends indicate lower probability of low cigs across eastern OK and these should be mainly confined to northwest AR through very early Saturday morning. Clearing skies from the north overnight with gusty north winds diminishing in most areas by sunrise. Further decrease in winds by mid afternoon with some increase in mid and high clouds.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 6 24 17 45 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 10 28 17 45 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 8 28 18 49 / 10 0 0 0 BVO 1 22 12 44 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 4 25 13 41 / 10 0 0 0 BYV 6 23 13 41 / 10 0 0 0 MKO 8 26 18 47 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 3 22 13 42 / 10 0 0 0 F10 8 26 18 49 / 10 0 0 0 HHW 13 31 21 47 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Cold Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to noon CST Saturday for OKZ049-053>076.

AR...Cold Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to noon CST Saturday for ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029.


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