textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1042 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026 - Slightly cooler Tuesday to Wednesday behind a weak cold front.

- Low rain chances Tuesday morning across SE OK into west- central AR, then a slight chance for mixed rain and snow west of Highway 75 Wednesday morning.

- Much warmer and drier weather Thursday into next weekend.

SHORT TERM

(Through Tuesday) Issued at 1042 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

Cold front has moved into NE OK and will continue steadily southeastward clearing the local forecast area by late morning Tuesday. Scattered showers are likely along the frontal boundary from SE OK into western AR with rainfall amounts remaining light. Drier weather returns across the forecast area by Tuesday afternoon with temperatures slightly cooler in wake of the front.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday Night through Monday) Issued at 1042 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

A fast moving wave within the strong NNW flow aloft will bring a reinforcing surge of cooler air and increased cloud cover on Wednesday marking the coldest temps of this forecast cycle. Guidance generally agrees on a narrow band of light precip late Tuesday night into Wednesday passing near or west of the Highway 75 corridor. A brief light rain snow mix will be possible with little to no snow accumulations and no impacts expected.

Sfc high quickly pushes southeast of the region with gusty southwesterly winds and warmer temps on Thursday. This will mark a period of above normal temps and dry weather which continues into next weekend. Low rain chances may return to the forecast by early next week as the upper ridge across the western CONUS begins to break down.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1042 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

High clouds over the CWA will mix with low and mid level clouds lifting into southeast Oklahoma and western Arkansas overnight ahead of a cold front moving through the region. The greater potential for MVFR conditions continue to be KFSM with lesser potential for KMLC/KFYV/KXNA/KROG early to mid morning Tuesday. A slight chance of light rain also develops ahead of the front, though the greater chances should remain southeast of the CWA. The front exits by late morning Tuesday. Behind the front, a period of scattered high clouds are forecast before increasing high clouds return Tuesday afternoon/evening. There is also potential for mid clouds dropping southward into the CWA late in the period ahead of another approaching shortwave. Winds through the period start out southerly for most locations and become west to northerly behind the frontal passage.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 34 51 30 47 / 0 0 10 10 FSM 38 57 31 50 / 10 20 0 0 MLC 40 57 31 50 / 10 10 0 10 BVO 29 49 26 47 / 0 0 10 10 FYV 37 51 25 44 / 10 0 0 0 BYV 38 49 26 41 / 0 10 0 0 MKO 37 52 29 47 / 0 0 0 10 MIO 32 45 26 42 / 0 0 0 10 F10 37 55 30 50 / 0 0 10 10 HHW 44 60 33 52 / 30 30 0 10

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.