textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1220 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026

- Near to slightly below normal temperatures continue through Friday for most locations.

- Periods of low rain chances, mainly across northeast Oklahoma, through Saturday morning.

- Another stretch of dangerous heat likely late this weekend into next week.

SHORT TERM

(Through tonight ) Issued at 1220 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026

Persistent cluster of showers and thunderstorms continues across Osage/Pawnee counties this morning, with expectation of gradual weakening through the afternoon as they move east. Most rain amount's will by light but isolated amounts of a half inch or so are possible. Lingering cloud cover may keep temps down slightly along OK/KS border and perhaps part of northwest AR this afternoon with rest of the area rebounding into the lower 90s.

A more organized shortwave currently moving across the Central Rockies will slowly move atop the upper ridge tonight through Friday, with an additional round of more organized convection this evening to our north, which potentially could build into parts of northeast OK by late tonight.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 633 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026

- Near to slightly below normal temperatures continue through Friday for most locations.

- Periods of low rain chances, mainly across northeast Oklahoma, through Saturday morning.

- Another stretch of dangerous heat likely late this weekend into next week.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 644 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026

VFR is expected to prevail at all TAF site through this evening and much of the overnight period, with mostly scattered mid/high clouds. Guidance continues to suggest broken low/mid level clouds will develop/stream into the area early Friday morning, mainly impacting locations along and south of I-40. Maintained TEMPO groups at KMLC and KFSM, where highest probabilities of seeing low level stratus are. Impacts should be brief, with clouds lifting by late morning. By mid to late morning, a shortwave trough will move across far NE OK and far NW AR. Maintained a PROB30 group at KBVO for chances of light to moderate rain through mid- afternoon. There was low confidence on how far east the precipitation associated with the shortwave will push. PROB30/TEMPO groups may need to be added at KXNA, KROG, and KFYV by mid/late afternoon if rain persists.

Mejia

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 77 93 81 99 / 0 20 30 20 FSM 75 93 79 98 / 0 10 10 0 MLC 77 94 80 97 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 73 90 78 98 / 0 30 40 10 FYV 71 89 76 94 / 0 20 20 20 BYV 69 89 75 94 / 10 20 20 20 MKO 74 92 78 96 / 0 10 10 10 MIO 72 88 77 96 / 0 20 40 20 F10 74 93 78 96 / 0 10 10 10 HHW 76 92 77 94 / 0 0 0 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. AR...None.