textproduct: Tulsa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1200 PM CDT Wed Sep 2 2026

- An extended period of hot and dry weather will persist through the week. Heat headlines will be needed at times.

- Rain chances look very low through the forecast period, though a slight chance of showers exists across far southeast Oklahoma late Wednesday into Thursday.

- The ongoing drought situation will continue to worsen. Localized fire weather concerns will develop each day.

SHORT TERM

(Through tonight) Issued at 1200 PM CDT Wed Sep 2 2026

Another hot and primarily dry day is in store across the region as deep layer ridging hold firm over much of the southern states. An uptick in low level moisture will be noted this afternoon as the remnant of Tropical Storm Edouard slowly drift northward across east Texas. The result will likely be high temperatures a degree or two cooler than previous days, though heat index values will trend near or slightly higher. Therefore, a more expansive Heat Advisory remains in effect for this afternoon across eastern Oklahoma into west central Arkansas. Rain chances remain very low, though a shower or two could slip into far southeast Oklahoma as Edouard continues north through the afternoon. As this happens, some stronger wind gusts will also be noted across the area this afternoon as the pressure gradient tightens in response to the tropical low. Therefore, an uptick in fire concerns will occur this afternoon as vegetation continues to grow increasingly stressed due to the ongoing drought conditions.

Bowlan

LONG TERM

(Tomorrow through Wednesday) Issued at 1200 PM CDT Wed Sep 2 2026

A few showers or thunderstorms will be possible during the day Thursday across far southeast Oklahoma as Edouard more or less dissipates over northern Texas. Meaningful rain amounts are not expected, but at least a brief reprieve from the excessive heat is possible for locations south of I-40 as cloud cover becomes more expansive Thursday. Better chances for excessive heat look to continue generally north of I-40 as higher cloud cover remains across the south. Therefore, will issue another Heat Advisory for Thursday afternoon across the north and into the Arkansas River Valley. Beyond Thursday, persistence will be the theme of the forecast through the extended periods. Excessive heat will likely be the main impact through the upcoming holiday weekend with more heat headlines possible through the period. Isolated afternoon shower or storm chances will become possible within the terrain areas through the weekend, owing to an uptick in moisture streaming northward from the tropics over far eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas. Upper ridging expands back over the Southern Plains into early next week, with hot and dry trends continuing for the foreseeable future. The ongoing drought conditions look to worsen through the period, with occasionally gusty winds worsening fire weather conditions at times.

Bowlan

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1141 AM CDT Wed Sep 2 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the period. Modest gustiness to the winds at generally less than 20 kts at a few of the NE OK and far NW AR terminals will drop off with sunset.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TUL 100 77 98 77 / 0 0 10 0 FSM 102 76 101 76 / 0 0 10 0 MLC 100 74 96 75 / 0 0 10 0 BVO 100 74 99 72 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 99 72 98 73 / 0 0 10 0 BYV 97 74 97 74 / 0 0 10 0 MKO 99 73 97 73 / 0 0 10 0 MIO 99 75 98 75 / 0 0 10 0 F10 99 72 96 73 / 0 0 10 0 HHW 97 73 93 73 / 0 10 20 10

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for OKZ049-053-055>062- 064>067-070-071-073>075-154-176-254-272-276-354-376.

Heat Advisory from noon to 7 PM CDT Thursday for OKZ055>058- 060>062-066-067-070-071-074-176-254-272-276-354.

AR...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ129-219-220-229.

Heat Advisory from noon to 7 PM CDT Thursday for ARZ129-219-220- 229.