textproduct: Topeka

KEY MESSAGES

-Cool temperatures expected today and Friday.

-A warming trend begins this weekend until highs are back up near 70 degrees on Monday.

-Dry weather expected.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 300 AM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

Two areas of cyclonic circulation were noted on water vapor imagery at 08Z, one over eastern IA and the other over far southeast CO. A trough axis between the two low pressure systems is approaching the forecast area early this morning. Precipitation appears unlikely due to fairly weak mid-level ascent and a lack of saturation in the column as the trough moves over the area today, but rain could occur both to the north and south. Cloud cover, however, makes it way back over the area today, with low stratus impacting northeast KS. After starting the day in the upper 30s to near 40 degrees, temperatures will be limited to the mid 50s this afternoon.

Friday will be a chilly day as a surface ridge builds in from the north. Some locations in north-central KS could dip into the mid 30s tonight/Friday morning, while locations to the east will be slightly warmer. Temperatures are then only expected to reach the low 50s for highs. A warming trend commences this weekend and continues into early next week as southerly and westerly flow returns. Models are in good agreement with highs around 70 degrees by Monday afternoon. Temperatures remain around 70 and conditions stay dry through at least midweek.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 513 AM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

Light westerly winds turn more northwesterly and increase to near 10 kts this morning. Cloud cover also moves back in with confidence highest in MVFR CIGs at KTOP/KFOE, but lower at KMHK. Thus, have left KMHK VFR for now. Winds become light this evening and tonight as high pressure moves in. MVFR CIGs at the Topeka airports will likely linger through the night.

TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.