textproduct: Topeka
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Seasonably cool and dry weekend. Areas of frost are possible Sunday morning.
- Active westerly pattern brings multiple rain chances mid week onward, highest probability being Friday-Saturday.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 225 AM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026
Today and This Evening
The cold front from earlier in the evening has exited the state this morning. Areas of low stratus will impact portions of eastern KS before sunrise. As drier air filters southward behind the deepening Great Lakes upper low today, northwest winds increase once again from 15-25 mph with gusts around 30 mph. With the exception of far northern KS, most areas see returning sunny skies as highs are in the mid-upper 50s.
As sfc ridge settles into the region this evening, strong radiational cooling will allow for areas of frost to form Sunday morning as lows fall to the low 30s. Headlines will likely be needed later today, especially north of I-70.
Sunday - Tuesday
Sfc ridge holds into Sunday bringing light winds and mild highs in the 60s. A weak mid level perturbation on Monday develops a lee trough and nearly stationary boundary by the afternoon. This should result in a wide range of highs from the mid 50s north to the upper 60s in central Kansas. Another weak embedded trough on Tuesday may bring scattered rain showers, perhaps mixed with light snow briefly early Tuesday near the Nebraska border. No impacts are anticipated. NBM remains on the higher side with pops as ensembles/operational runs keep northeast KS mostly dry.
Wednesday - Friday
Temps warm into the 70s once again as southerly return flow increases winds from 20-25 mph sustained Wednesday and Thursday afternoons. Conditions are likely to remain dry until a stronger disturbance and cold front brings widespread rain chances Friday and Saturday. Details on confidence for stronger storms is low this far out.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/
Issued at 548 AM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026
Broken MVFR stratus gradually lifts to VFR deck from 3-5kft aft 15Z as northwest winds behind the front increase from 12-17 kts sustained, gusting to near 30 kts thru 00Z.
TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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