textproduct: Topeka

KEY MESSAGES

- Midnight brings increasing clouds and temperatures in the low 30s

- Warming trend returns Saturday through Monday with above normal temperatures continuing through mid week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1214 PM CST Wed Dec 31 2025

Abundant sunshine and light westerly winds have brought temperatures toward 50 across much of the area by mid day this New Years Eve. Next cold shot evident on satellite and observations as a cold air mass and low clouds are dropping quickly across South Dakota. This front moves into eastern Kansas, shifting the winds around to the north and bringing colder temperatures in the lower 30s with clouds right around the midnight hour.

Southwest winds redevelop by mid day New Years Day, and should clear out any lingering low clouds to the northeast, and bring high temperatures back into the upper 30s to 40s. A small system slides across Oklahoma on Friday and wraps the airmass back into our area on Friday along with similar highs to Thursday. Warm advection returns for the weekend, with highs in the 40s/50s for Saturday and a few degrees higher on Sunday, with Monday warmer still with many locations likely in the 60s. THe uptick in winds on Monday will bring some increase to fire danger before calming down Monday night. With the broad upper trof on the west coast on the approach into early next week, the Central Plains remain in an above normal temperature pattern, along with low to no chances for rain through mid week.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 516 PM CST Wed Dec 31 2025

A cold front is moving south from Nebraska this evening, and will turn the current light southwesterly winds more northerly by midnight. Behind this front, MVFR to IFR stratus will arrive sometime around 07-08 UTC. Could be a brief period of mist/fog with this as well, though the coverage still remains uncertain. Soundings suggest stratus will clear out sometime around mid-day as winds quickly turn more southerly again.

TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.