textproduct: Topeka

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Cool through Monday with highs in the 30s and 40s and lows in the single digits and teens. - Highs in the 60s will return Tuesday through the end of the week.

- A cold front will move through Wednesday into Thursday. Some light rain is possible, but chances are low at this point (30% or less).

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1236 PM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

Surface high pressure moves in tonight, leading to a clear and cold night. Temperatures will fall into the teens and wind chills in the single digits are likely for most of the area. Some breezy northerly wind develops Sunday morning due to a tightening pressure gradient and strong cold air advection. The cold air and high pressure will remain through Monday morning.

Southerly return flow develops Monday evening. By Tuesday, strong warm air advection takes hold and temperatures rapidly rise into the 60s. A fast-moving clipper system moves through the Plains Wednesday into Thursday, bringing a strong cold front through the area. Some light rain is possible, but with limited moisture available and the fast-moving nature of the system, only minor amounts appear possible at this time (30% or less of a few hundredths of rain). Mild temperatures and dry conditions are favored through the rest of the week.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/

Issued at 443 PM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

VFR conditions prevail along with a NW wind. Winds increase overnight into tomorrow morning remaining gusty through the period.

TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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