textproduct: Topeka

KEY MESSAGES

- A few cool nights ahead with lows in the 30s tonight and tomorrow night.

- High temperatures around normal for this time of the year with 60s to low 70s.

- A more active pattern sets up for the last half of the week and precipitation chances increase through the weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 106 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Surface high pressure will remain over the area through tonight. This will lead to a clear and cool night. Patchy frost will once again be possible, especially across northern Kansas. A baroclinic zone sets up across the area tomorrow through Tuesday, with cooler temperatures to the northeast and warmer to the southwest. Models have been consistent in bringing light precipitation to the northeast of the zone. Many deterministic model runs keep this activity north and east of our area, but ensembles still show some chances (30-50%) for areas north of I-70. With temperatures in the low to mid 30s Tuesday morning, some light snow may mix in with any precipitation that develops. Nothing would accumulate should snow develop though. Wednesday, a southern and northern stream trough phase over the central Plains. We may see more widespread precipitation chances as a result. We then transition to more southwesterly flow aloft as a slow moving/developing longwave trough digs across the western CONUS. This is typically a wetter pattern for us, with several shortwaves rotating around the larger longwave trough and moving into the Plains. With southerly flow at the surface, ample Gulf moisture should be available to any system that moves through.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 535 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

VFR conditions prevail through the period. Mid clouds generally increase into midday tomorrow with an increasing NE wind into the afternoon.

TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.