textproduct: Topeka

KEY MESSAGES

- Small (20 percent) chance for very light precipitation north late tonight into Thursday morning.

- Dry beyond midday Thursday with cool weekend nights though warming afternoon highs this weekend into early next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 138 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

Skies should continue to clear into this evening as the old upper low makes slow northeast progress over the upper Mississippi Valley. This system isn't quite done with the local area yet however as its southwest flank rotates through late tonight into early Thursday with minor height falls occurring. Moisture and lift may be enough for some very light rain or drizzle near the Nebraska state line. Southern areas should see some increase in cloud too as a weakening upper trough shifts southeast out of the central Rockies and into the Southern Plains. Precipitation with this still looks to stay to the south. Another modest cold frontal passage with the aforementioned wave keeps highs in the mid to upper 50s Thursday with a slow modification of this nearly stagnant airmass into early next week under split nondescript flow aloft with highs back around 70 by Monday. Many locations that have not yet seen a fall freeze could do so this weekend with light winds and clear skies dominating.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1132 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

VFR conditions are expected. The stratus deck has pushed east and north of the terminals and see little reason for a limiting amount to return in the short term. There are indications of stratus potentially returning after 14Z behind a weak cold front but confidence is too low to include it. Winds should be strong enough to prevent diurnal BR formation.

TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.