textproduct: Topeka

KEY MESSAGES

- Breezy northwest winds into tonight.

- Mainly dry with near-normal temperatures for the remainder of the forecast.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 151 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

Precipitation was slowly ending over the area this afternoon as the upper low makes northeast progress out of the state. Plenty of cloud and northwest winds behind it and this should be the rule through at least the evening with some falling temps likely this afternoon on reasonable cold-air advection. A modest blocking regime aloft pushes the low on north tonight into Wednesday with northwest winds continuing for a cooler day. Weakening upper energy from the west splits under a modest high to its north and moves east into the southern and central Plains Wednesday night into Thursday. This brings modest precipitation chances to the local area with an 80-90 percent chance of dry conditions remaining. The split upper flow pattern continues into early next week with rather benign conditions and near normal temperatures.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1132 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

MVFR conditions dominate this forecast with isolated to scattered showers for at least a few more hours before the storm system pulls away. Cold frontal passage occurs soon after 18Z at TOP and FOE with all stations seeing gusty northwest winds through at least 02Z. Conditions improve with weakening winds and likely VFR conditions by the end of this forecast though confidence in timing of these improvements is not high for either element.

TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.