textproduct: Topeka

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Cool today, above average temperatures early next week.

- Dry through Monday, next chance of rain arrives Tuesday into Wednesday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1255 AM CST Sat Mar 7 2026

A cold front has moved through the area, bringing sharply cooler and more dry air to the region. Highs today will be in the lower to mid 50s with clearing sky.

Sunday through Tuesday, zonal mid-level flow and southerly surface flow will bring warmer air back into the area, with highs in the mid to upper 70s Monday and Tuesday. On Tuesday, a southern stream trough across northern Mexico and a northern stream trough across Montana will move eastward into the Plains. These are forecast to phase together somewhere in the central Plains Tuesday into Wednesday. With ample moist advection and lift from these two systems, showers and thunderstorms appear probable across portions of the area by midweek. Behind this system, cooler air is favored to move in. There remains a sizable spread in the ensembles with respect to temperature and precipitation next week, thus confidence in forecast details for next week is low at this time.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 436 AM CST Sat Mar 7 2026

MVFR becoming VFR by 18z at all terminals. Low stratus will clear from west to east later this morning. Breezy northwesterly wind will diminish around sunset.

TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.

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