textproduct: Great Falls
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Breezy today across the plains, with strongest wind gusts localized to the immediate Rocky Mountain Front. - Warm through Friday, then trending cooler over the weekend and into next week. - Turning unsettled next week, with a potential pattern change to a more wintry pattern.
DISCUSSION
/Issued 219 PM MST Tue Nov 10 2026/
A quick moving and weak upper level shortwave trough continues to push through the area today, which is resulting in a breezy day across North Central Montana, with Southwestern Montana seeing a calmer day today. This system will exit the area later this afternoon, after which upper level ridging will quickly build across the Rockies and up into Central Canada, which will result in a short-lived omega block over much of Canada and the United States. On the surface, expect temperatures to soar to 15-20 degrees above climatological norms for mid-November Wednesday through Friday, with slightly cooler, but still above average, temperatures over the weekend when the ridge axis shifts a bit further eastward.
As we head into the weekend and beyond, a series of strong upper level lows will move across the Pacific and into the West Coast. While how exactly this plays out is a bit uncertain, but overall expect a period of unsettled weather pattern with multiple opportunities for mountain snow and valley rain or snow as multiple systems embedded in the upper level flow push onto the west coast. Looking further into the middle of next week, the overall trend is for some version of a cooler pattern as cold air surges southward. Ludwig
AVIATION
11/00Z TAF Period
VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the TAF period. windy conditons will decrease throughout the evening across North-Central MT, but breezy southwest winds prevail at times through the rest of the TAF period. Light precipitation will be confined to the northern Continental Divide through the rest of the evening. -Wilson
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GTF 43 66 42 66 / 0 10 0 0 CTB 39 63 39 63 / 0 0 0 0 HLN 37 59 33 57 / 0 0 0 0 BZN 33 60 32 59 / 0 0 0 0 WYS 24 49 23 55 / 0 0 0 0 DLN 32 57 31 57 / 0 0 0 0 HVR 36 66 38 63 / 0 0 0 0 LWT 37 66 40 70 / 0 0 0 0
TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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