textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Decreasing cloudiness and warmer through the weekend.

- Gusty winds and hazardous marine conditions will continue through early Friday.

- Moderate to extreme drought conditions continue.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 741 AM EDT Fri Apr 10 2026

Prevailing VFR conditions with breezy easterly winds are anticipated through the period. Drier air willin place will keep rain chances low and winds should decrease into the evening.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 228 AM EDT Fri Apr 10 2026 A rather stagnant benign pattern setting up for the weekend and next week. Surface high pressure over the mid Atlantic will sink slowly south today with drier air aloft advecting over west central and southwest Florida. After areas early morning low clouds, skies will become mostly sunny today across the forecast area with slightly warmer temperatures. The area of high pressure will hold over the region through the weekend with mostly sunny skies and dry warm conditions.

Persistent pattern across the Florida peninsula through the middle of next week as the area of high pressure will remain over west central and southwest Florida with mostly sunny warm dry days and mostly clear nights. Temperatures will run several degrees above climatic normal each day through the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 84 64 85 64 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 86 64 85 63 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 82 61 83 62 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 85 63 85 63 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 84 56 85 56 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 85 67 86 68 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Tampa Bay waters-Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.


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