textproduct: Tampa Bay Area
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Hazardous to dangerous marine conditions will continue through this morning. Inexperienced mariners should remain in harbor until conditions improve.
- A prolonged and significant cooldown will last into next week. While this morning will be the coldest, another front moving through on Sunday will bring a reinforcing bout of similarly cold temps early next week. Protect sensitive vegetation and exposed outdoor pipes, dress appropriately, and know the signs of hypothermia.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1233 AM EST Fri Jan 16 2026
Dry VFR through the period with NE winds 5-8 knots or less as high pressure drifts across the northern and central peninsula on Friday, with weak onshore flow across northern terminals in the afternoon with the sea breeze while southern terminals remain NE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 60 46 71 55 / 0 0 0 30 FMY 65 49 75 57 / 0 0 0 10 GIF 61 44 72 53 / 0 0 0 20 SRQ 62 44 72 54 / 0 0 0 20 BKV 61 34 72 45 / 0 0 0 30 SPG 61 51 71 59 / 0 0 0 30
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...Cold Weather Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Citrus-Coastal Hernando-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Levy-Coastal Manatee- Coastal Pasco-Coastal Sarasota-DeSoto-Hardee-Highlands- Inland Charlotte-Inland Citrus-Inland Hernando-Inland Hillsborough-Inland Lee-Inland Levy-Inland Manatee-Inland Pasco-Inland Sarasota-Pinellas-Polk-Sumter.
Freeze Warning until 9 AM EST this morning for Coastal Citrus- Coastal Hernando-Coastal Levy-Coastal Pasco-DeSoto-Hardee- Highlands-Inland Charlotte-Inland Citrus-Inland Hernando- Inland Hillsborough-Inland Levy-Inland Manatee-Inland Pasco- Polk-Sumter.
High Rip Current Risk through this afternoon for Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee- Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.
Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST early this morning for Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Tampa Bay waters-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EST early this morning for Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM- Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM.
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