textproduct: Tampa Bay Area
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 802 PM EDT Mon Jun 8 2026
- Above normal temps with limited shower and storm chances early this week with heat indices reaching 100+ degrees in the afternoons. - Increasing shower and storm chances gradually spread northward across the area, particularly from around mid week into next weekend.
UPDATE
Issued at 802 PM EDT Mon Jun 8 2026
It has been another rain-free and hot day across the area this afternoon. Temperatures were well above average across west central and southwest Florida with daytime high temperatures topping out in the mid to upper 90s. Fort Myers Page Field (98 degrees), Sarasota Bradenton International Airport (96 degrees) and WFO Ruskin (97 degrees) set or tied record highs for today. Rain-free conditions expected to continue overnight. Overnight lows will dip into the low to mid 70s with daytime highs on Tuesday reaching the mid 90s once again. Some record high temps possible once again on Tuesday afternoon. I trimmed the POPs over SW Florida, otherwise the forecast looks good with no other changes needed to current forecast.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 802 PM EDT Mon Jun 8 2026
VFR, rain-free conditions and winds less than 10 knots expected through the period.
MARINE
Issued at 802 PM EDT Mon Jun 8 2026
Pleasant marine conditions continue through the week with flow mainly out of the east-northeast. An afternoon/evening shift onshore is expected with the sea breeze development. A few showers over southwest Florida could drift over the coastal waters the next few evenings as they push westward.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 77 92 78 91 / 0 10 10 50 FMY 77 94 76 90 / 20 30 30 70 GIF 74 92 75 91 / 0 10 10 60 SRQ 77 93 76 90 / 0 10 20 50 BKV 72 93 74 92 / 0 10 10 50 SPG 78 93 78 91 / 0 10 10 40
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. Gulf waters...None.
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