textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 711 PM EDT Sun Oct 4 2026

- Rain coverage will become more widespread Monday through the rest of the week, with higher rainfall totals

- Marine winds over the northeastern Gulf will increase late Tuesday through the rest of the week, creating hazardous boating conditions.

UPDATE

Issued at 711 PM EDT Sun Oct 4 2026 A few leftover showers and storms over the area will continue to diminish over the next few hours with a quiet overnight period expected. Scattered convection is then expected starting tomorrow afternoon as a frontal boundary approaches the area. No changes are needed to the forecast this evening.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 711 PM EDT Sun Oct 4 2026 Convection continues to diminish and only vicinity showers are expected near any terminals over the next hour or so. A quiet overnight is expected, then storm chances increase starting around 18Z.

MARINE

Issued at 711 PM EDT Sun Oct 4 2026 Southeast to south winds will remain in place through early Tuesday, with no headlines expected. Winds will turn more northeast to east late Tuesday through the rest of the week, with wind speeds over the northern waters increasing to cautionary or advisory levels at times. Otherwise, thunderstorm coverage will increase starting Monday, with widespread storms expected each day through the rest of the week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 76 87 75 83 / 40 50 50 80 FMY 76 89 76 87 / 40 20 20 70 GIF 75 90 74 86 / 50 60 50 90 SRQ 75 88 75 85 / 30 30 50 80 BKV 72 88 71 83 / 40 50 50 90 SPG 77 87 76 84 / 30 40 50 80

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.