textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Cautionary-level marine winds evening and overnight through the middle of the upcoming week.

- Moderate to extreme drought conditions continue.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 231 AM EDT Sun Apr 12 2026 Benign pattern across west central and southwest Florida through the upcoming week. Surface high pressure will hold over the region while an U/L ridge will build over the forecast area. The increased large scale subsidence will cause temperatures to climb a few degrees, otherwise little overall change with mostly sunny days/mostly clear nights and warm dry conditions through the period. Patchy late night/early morning fog will be possible each night, mainly across the nature coast. High temperatures each day will generally be in the mid to upper 80s...with overnight lows in the mid 50s north to the mid 60s south.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 231 AM EDT Sun Apr 12 2026 VFR conditions at all terminals through the remainder of the night and Sunday. Skies generally FEW040-050.

MARINE

Issued at 231 AM EDT Sun Apr 12 2026 High pressure will hold over the waters through the period. Winds will generally be below cautionary levels through the upcoming week...except an easterly surge of wind may create a few hours of cautionary level winds during the evening hours for the next several days...otherwise, no hazards are expected.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 231 AM EDT Sun Apr 12 2026 Near critical minimum relative humidity values will develop across the nature coast this afternoon and again on Monday. However, sustained winds are expected to remain below 15 MPH. Minimum relative humidity values will drop into the lower 40s across the remainder of west central and southwest Florida each afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 87 64 87 65 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 87 62 88 65 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 84 61 86 63 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 87 62 87 64 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 86 56 88 58 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 87 67 87 69 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.