textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Cautionary-level marine winds evening into overnight through mid week.

- Patchy late night/early morning fog possible mainly across the Nature Coast.

- Moderate to extreme drought conditions continue.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 228 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2026 Fairly typical benign April pattern across the Florida peninsula for the next several days. Strong high pressure surface and aloft will hold over the region through the remainder of the week and the upcoming weekend. The large scale subsidence created by the U/L ridge will cause temperatures to climb a few degrees over the next several days. Otherwise little overall change with mostly sunny days/mostly clear nights and warm dry conditions each day. Patchy late night/early morning fog will be possible each night, mainly across the nature coast. High temperatures each day will generally be in the mid to upper 80s, with highs around 90 to the lower 90s later in the week. Overnight lows will be in the mid to upper 50s north to the mid to upper 60s south.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 228 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2026 VFR conditions at all terminals through the remainder of the night and Monday. Skies generally FEW040-050.

MARINE

Issued at 228 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2026 High pressure will hold over the waters through the period. Winds will generally be out of the east below cautionary levels through the week...except an easterly surge of wind may create a few hours of cautionary level winds during the evening hours for the next several days. Otherwise, no hazards are expected.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 228 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2026 Critical minimum relative humidity values are likely to occur this afternoon and Tuesday afternoon from the Tampa Bay area and north...and will hover around 35 percent across the remainder of west central and southwest Florida. Sustained winds will be near critical levels, but primarily will be less than 15 MPH with gusts above 15 MPH. The SFP is in the low risk category across the entire forecast area with the exception of Levy county which is designated as moderate risk, where winds should be the lightest. Because of this, no RFW will be needed today...and shouldn't be needed on Tuesday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 87 65 88 65 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 88 64 89 64 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 86 62 87 61 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 87 64 87 63 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 87 57 89 57 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 87 69 88 68 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.