textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Near-normal temperatures for the next several days. - The next cold front will be late this week into next weekend, bringing some cooler conditions.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 204 PM EST Sun Nov 8 2026 A near-zonal flow is in place aloft across Florida today with surface high pressure building over the southeast behind yesterday's cold front. After a cooler start this morning, temperatures have warmed up nicely into the upper 70s/lower 80s with sunny skies. The pattern doesn't change much through tomorrow, then for Tuesday, the dry high pressure starts to shift eastward in response to a developing trough and this will allow for a slight increase in humidity though highs remain rather steady in the lower 80s. This trough really deepens across the eastern U.S. Wednesday and especially Thursday, eventually pulling a cold front through Florida late Thursday into Friday. This front does look to bring us our next chance for rain, though recent trends have been drier with rather unimpressive rainfall amounts currently forecast. Behind the front for next weekend, we're still on track to see our coolest temperatures so far this season, with lows in the 40s and 50s.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 204 PM EST Sun Nov 8 2026 VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period.

MARINE

Issued at 204 PM EST Sun Nov 8 2026 High pressure over the region will keep winds and seas below headlines for the next several days. The next cold front will move through the area late Thursday into Friday, bringing a chance for rain along with increasing winds and seas into next weekend.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 204 PM EST Sun Nov 8 2026 No fire weather concerns as relative humidity values will remain above critical levels. Some patchy fog is possible across the Nature Coast tonight into Monday morning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 62 83 65 83 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 66 85 69 85 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 61 84 64 84 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 64 82 66 83 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 56 84 59 84 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 66 80 68 81 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.

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