textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- There is a high probability of late night and early morning fog each day through the week, with areas becoming locally dense. Fog will impact both land areas as well as coastal waters.

- Above normal temperatures and humidity continue through the week.

- Cooler weather will return next week.

UPDATE

Issued at 625 PM EST Tue Jan 6 2026 A warm and moist air mass remains over the region this evening and with light winds, fog is very likely to develop overnight (and for the next few nights). There is also likely to be some sea fog mixed in with the land fog and this should lead to low visibilities for most locations across the forecast area through tomorrow morning, improving at least for land areas. The current forecast handles all of this well, so no updates are needed this evening.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 625 PM EST Tue Jan 6 2026 Fog will be the main concern tonight, with a high probability of impacts across all sites. Highest confidence is with lower visibilities, but some low cigs are likely enough that they were included in the TEMPO groups. As mentioned in the previous forecast, sea fog is also likely to at least be near Tampa Bay area sites, and could also have an impact. Either way, there is a high chance for fog for all sites, and this is shown with the latest forecast. Improvement is expected by around 15Z or so, but then another round of fog and low clouds is expected tomorrow night.

MARINE

Issued at 625 PM EST Tue Jan 6 2026 Sea fog is the primary impact across coastal waters through the weekend as high pressure keeps otherwise light winds and seas in place until Sunday. Particularly during the overnight and early morning hours, there is a high probability of visibilities being reduced to less than 1 NM across inshore, nearshore, and offshore waters. Even during the day, some patches will linger with a light WSW flow. On Sunday, the next cold front will move through the region, leading to a period of elevated winds and seas and perhaps some storms as the front moves through.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 62 77 61 80 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 59 80 59 82 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 58 80 59 82 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 61 77 59 80 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 54 78 53 82 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 65 75 63 78 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.


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