textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Above normal temperatures are expected each day through the weekend.

- Rain chances increase each day through the weekend, with mainly afternoon and early evening showers and thunderstorms possible each day into next week.

- Severe to extreme drought conditions continue for most areas.

UPDATE

Issued at 742 PM EDT Fri May 15 2026

It has been another pleasant and hot day with rain-free conditions this afternoon. Temperatures were well above average across west central and southwest Florida with daytime high temperatures topping out in the low to mid 90s. Rain-free conditions expected to continue overnight. Overnight lows will dip into the upper 60s to low 70s with daytime highs on Saturday reaching the low to mid 90s once again. No changes needed to current forecast.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 742 PM EDT Fri May 15 2026

VFR and rain-free conditions expected through the period. Light winds less than 10 knots expected overnight, then winds will pick up a bit on Saturday afternoon to around 10-15 knots.

MARINE

Issued at 742 PM EDT Fri May 15 2026

Northwest winds continue this evening with high pressure over the region. By this weekend, southeast to east flow will establish, turning onshore at the coast each afternoon with the sea breeze. Winds will generally remain below headlines, but thunderstorms could shift offshore during the late afternoon and evening hours each day, leading to locally higher winds and seas.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 75 92 76 91 / 10 20 10 60 FMY 73 94 74 94 / 10 10 10 80 GIF 72 92 73 91 / 0 30 20 70 SRQ 73 92 73 92 / 0 10 0 60 BKV 69 94 70 92 / 0 30 20 60 SPG 75 92 76 93 / 0 10 10 50

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.