textproduct: Tampa Bay Area
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Patchy fog potentially developing this morning. - Slightly cooler conditions coming over the weekend and into next week following a weak cold front.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 634 AM EST Sat Nov 7 2026 Mainly VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period. There is a low chance of brief cig restrictions for the next couple of hours, but recent obs and guidance do not support adding a TEMPO group. No other concerns at this time.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 229 AM EST Sat Nov 7 2026
A cold front will continue to move south over Florida through the rest of the morning. The development of low clouds and patchy fog has been occurring along the frontal boundary and may continue to be a nuisance throughout the morning, especially inland areas. The frontal passage will likely remain mostly rain-free though an isolated shower developing is possible.
As the front moves south, out of the area later today, high pressure will build back in. A drier air mass will begin to filter in over the area throughout the day. Slightly cooler conditions are expected overnight tonight with areas north of I-4 dropping into the low 50s with low 60s expected elsewhere.
The quiet and pleasant conditions continue into next week. Moisture begins to increase mid week ahead of a second front that is expected to move through Thursday into Friday. This front will bring a slightly higher chance for showers. Even cooler air is expected to move in following the front next week. Current models are indicating some of the lowest temperatures so far this season occurring next weekend. Northern portions of the forecast area could dip down into the 40s.
MARINE
Issued at 229 AM EST Sat Nov 7 2026
A cold front continues to push through the area this morning, though marine impacts remain minimal. Winds will shift more northerly following the front and increase to 10 to 15 kts. Winds will likely remain 10 to 15 kts through the week.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 229 AM EST Sat Nov 7 2026
Fire weather concerns remain minimal even considering the drier air that will filter in following the front moving through today.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 82 62 81 64 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 85 68 84 66 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 85 61 83 62 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 82 64 80 64 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 83 56 82 58 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 81 65 79 66 / 0 0 0 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. Gulf waters...None.
IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.
textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.