textproduct: Tampa Bay Area
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Daily maximum heat index values of 100-107 degrees continue into the weekend.
- Scattered showers and thunderstorms each day mainly over the interior and southwest Florida.
UPDATE
Issued at 800 PM EDT Fri Jun 26 2026
Light south and southeast flow allowed for scattered thunderstorms to develop this afternoon along sea breeze and outflow boundaries, with weak steering flow keeping storm motion slow. A few of these storms were able to produce strong updrafts, resulting in large hail cores aloft being visible on radar. With the loss of solar heating, these storms are quickly winding down, although a few cells will continue to linger though around midnight, with periods of rain and possible gusty winds and small hail possible.
A few forecast adjustments were made to the rain chances for the next few hours to keep up with radar trends, generally bringing higher rain chances back to the west as the outflow boundaries come back towards the coast. Otherwise, the forecast looks on track, and no changes are planned for the evening update.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 800 PM EDT Fri Jun 26 2026
A few storms are continuing to linger along the west coast, and could cause brief flight category disruptions through around 02z this evening. Mainly rain free and VFR conditions with then hold through the overnight and morning hours. Another round of storms will develop Saturday afternoon, with the highest storm chances over the interior around KLAL, and across southwest Florida around KPGD, KFMY, and KRSW.
MARINE
Issued at 154 PM EDT Fri Jun 26 2026
Marine conditions remain quiet through the period. The only exception will be isolated storms that develop over the waters. Winds remain under 10kts and seas less than 2 ft.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 154 PM EDT Fri Jun 26 2026
Fire weather concerns remain minimal as RH values remain high and winds remain below 15mph.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 79 93 79 93 / 30 40 20 40 FMY 77 95 77 95 / 30 50 40 60 GIF 76 95 76 95 / 20 60 30 40 SRQ 78 94 78 94 / 30 40 20 50 BKV 73 95 73 96 / 20 30 10 30 SPG 80 94 80 94 / 30 30 20 40
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. Gulf waters...None.
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