textproduct: Tampa Bay Area
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Late night and early morning patchy mist/fog potential next few days.
- Above normal to near-record high temperatures over inland areas through the weekend.
- Afternoon and evening shower and storm chances Friday through Sunday for the northern Nature Coast and interior before area wide chances with a cold front on Monday.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 225 PM EDT Fri May 8 2026 A few shortwaves move across the northern Gulf Coast today through this weekend as a surface frontal boundary lingers across and north of the region. This setup will bring increased moisture with slightly higher rain chances for the Nature Coast and interior locations over the next few days and will also be more conducive to additional fog and low clouds each morning. The front will try to push farther southward late Monday into Tuesday as a trough swings eastward, with another round of scattered showers and thunderstorms Monday afternoon before drier air moves starts to move in on Tuesday. Rain chances then remain lower through the end of the week as high pressure builds back in. Temperatures will go down a couple of degrees early next week with the front, but then slowly go back up through the rest of the week.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 225 PM EDT Fri May 8 2026 VFR conditions are expected through the rest of today, then MVFR/IFR cigs will affect mainly Tampa Bay area terminals, though chances are non-zero elsewhere. Some patchy fog is also likely and could briefly lower vis. VFR will return by mid morning.
MARINE
Issued at 225 PM EDT Fri May 8 2026 No headlines are expected through the next several days with winds mostly from the south/southwest. A frontal boundary will bring just a slight chance for rain for mainly the northern waters this weekend, then rain chances increase for Monday as the front moves southward. The rest of the week will then feature drier conditions.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 225 PM EDT Fri May 8 2026 No Red Flag concerns as relative humidity values will remain above critical levels. Some patchy fog is expected.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 74 90 76 90 / 0 10 10 0 FMY 74 93 75 94 / 0 10 0 0 GIF 73 95 74 94 / 10 10 10 20 SRQ 73 89 74 90 / 0 10 10 0 BKV 69 92 71 92 / 0 0 10 0 SPG 76 90 77 91 / 0 10 10 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. Gulf waters...None.
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