textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Warm temperatures through the week...chance of daily afternoon and evening showers, with higher chances toward the interior and lower chances toward the coast.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 127 PM EST Mon Mar 2 2026

High pressure coupled with an upper level ridge this week will make conditions very summer like. We can expect temperatures to rise to the mid to upper 80s each afternoon. Today, showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected to remain over SWFL. Through the remainder of the week showers developing along the east coast will push inland in the afternoon increasing rain chances along the interior with some showers possibly making if to the west coast. This pattern remains on repeat through the remainder of the week and into the weekend. There is a low chance of early morning patchy fog, especially along the nature coast and inland.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 127 PM EST Mon Mar 2 2026

VFR conditions prevail through the period with gusty easterly winds diminishing overnight. There is a low chance of a shower or thunderstorm for the southern sites later this afternoon/evening. However, confidence was too low to include in TAFs at this time.

MARINE

Issued at 127 PM EST Mon Mar 2 2026

High pressure will hold over the waters through the period. The gradient will tighten a bit over the next couple of days, with an evening surge of easterly winds which could reach SCEC levels for a few hours each day. Otherwise, no headlines are expected.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 127 PM EST Mon Mar 2 2026

Fire weather concerns remain minimal. RH values will remain above critical through the period. Winds will be mostly out of the east through the week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 63 84 66 86 / 0 10 0 30 FMY 63 86 66 87 / 20 10 0 40 GIF 62 83 65 85 / 0 10 0 30 SRQ 63 83 65 85 / 10 10 0 30 BKV 55 85 58 87 / 0 10 0 20 SPG 67 83 69 84 / 10 10 0 30

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.