textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Patchy fog potentially developing late tonight/early tomorrow morning, mainly inland. - Slightly cooler conditions coming over the weekend and into next week following a weak cold front.

FOR THE EVENING UPDATE

Issued at 659 PM EST Thu Nov 5 2026 High pressure will hold over the region tonight with skies becoming mostly clear across west central and southwest Florida. Patchy late night and early morning low clouds and fog will develop, mainly over the interior.

A weak and overall dry cold front will push across the forecast area late Friday and Friday night with winds shifting to the northwest. Surface high pressure will build over the region behind the front over the weekend with drier slightly cooler air advecting across the area.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 151 PM EST Thu Nov 5 2026 High pressure overhead is bringing quiet and warm conditions with highs once again getting into the mid 80's. This warm weather will continue through Friday.

A cold front will push through during the day on Saturday. No rain is expected with its passage but drier and cooler air will start to filter in throughout day. By Sunday morning our lows will return to the low 60's with highs around 80 degrees.

High pressure and cooler air will remain for the first half of our work week. Temperatures will remain slightly below average with lows in the low 60's and highs in the upper 70's.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 659 PM EST Thu Nov 5 2026 Mostly clear skies expected at all terminals overnight. Patchy late night/early morning low clouds and fog will develop with the best chance impacting LAL/PGD for a few hours with relatively brief MVFR CIGs/VSBYs.

MARINE

Issued at 151 PM EST Thu Nov 5 2026

Winds will generally stay below 10 knots through the rest of our work week as ridging moves overhead. As we head into the weekend a cold front will start to push through the state shifting winds northerly around 10 to 15 knots.As we head into our Monday are winds will shift more easterly and increase to 15 to 20 knots.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 151 PM EST Thu Nov 5 2026

A few showers will be possible along the Nature coast today. Besides that we can expect dry conditions through next Monday with no fire weather concerns.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 71 83 70 83 / 0 0 10 0 FMY 71 85 71 86 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 70 87 69 86 / 10 10 0 0 SRQ 71 82 71 83 / 0 0 10 10 BKV 69 85 67 84 / 0 10 10 0 SPG 72 81 71 80 / 0 0 10 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.