textproduct: Tampa Bay Area
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Cautionary-level marine winds evening and overnight through the weekend.
- Moderate to extreme drought conditions continue.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 232 AM EDT Sat Apr 11 2026 COC weather through the period. Surface high pressure over the southeast U.S. and Florida will hold over the region through the weekend. The area of high pressure will begin to shift east over the western Atlantic next week, but will continue to extend across the Florida peninsula.
Carbon copy weather each day with mostly sunny warm dry days and mostly clear nights. Some patchy late night fog will be possible each night mainly across the nature coast and interior. Daily temperatures will also change little through the period with highs generally in the mid 80s each day...overnight lows in the mid 50s north and the lower to mid 60s central and south.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 232 AM EDT Sat Apr 11 2026 VFR conditions at all terminals through the remainder of the night and Saturday. Skies generally FEW040-050 SCT-BKN250.
MARINE
Issued at 232 AM EDT Sat Apr 11 2026 High pressure will hold over the waters through the period. The gradient will weaken a bit today with winds generally below cautionary levels over the weekend and into next week. An evening easterly surge may create a few hours of cautionary level winds during the evening hours for the next several days...otherwise, no hazards are expected.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 232 AM EDT Sat Apr 11 2026 Combination of slightly warmer temperatures and drier air on today and Sunday will cause minimum relative humidity values to drop into the upper 30s across the northern nature coast today...and in the 40s elsewhere. Minimum relative humidity values will drop to near critical values across the nature coast on Sunday, with upper 30s to mid 40s elsewhere.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 85 63 86 64 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 85 63 87 63 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 83 61 84 61 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 85 62 87 62 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 85 55 87 56 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 85 67 86 68 / 0 0 0 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. Gulf waters...None.
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