textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry mild conditions through the weekend and into next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1128 PM EST Fri Dec 19 2025 High pressure will build over west central and southwest Florida today with mostly clear skies through the weekend with only a few high clouds over the region. High temperatures will range from the lower 70s north...mid to upper 70s central...and around 80 to the lower 80s south.

The area of high pressure will move to the mid Atlantic coast tonight which will cause boundary layer winds to veer to the northeast and east. Strong radiational cooling will develop tonight with clear skies and light winds. Significant spread in lows as much drier air over the nature coast with dew points in the 30s will allow overnight temperatures to drop into the mid to upper 40s, as compared to the southern forecast area where dew points will be in the upper 50s to lower 60s which will only allow lows to drop into the lower 60s. Patchy fog will also develop during the late night/early morning hours away from the coast.

As boundary layer winds veer to the east off the Atlantic, low level moisture will recover causing the airmass to modify. High temperatures on Sunday will run a few degrees warmer as will overnight lows Sunday night...with continued mostly clear skies, with only a bit of high cirrus over the area.

A reinforcing area of high pressure will build over the mid Atlantic coast early next week with breezy east to northeast winds developing. The area of high pressure will sink south over the Florida peninsula during the week with continued mild dry conditions each day with light winds. Patchy fog will be possible mid week during the late night and early morning hours away from the coast.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1202 AM EST Sat Dec 20 2025 VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours with FEW-SCT250 at all terminals.

MARINE

Issued at 1202 AM EST Sat Dec 20 2025 High pressure will hold over the waters through the period. Tighter pressure gradient will develop on Monday with enhanced east to northeast winds which may reach cautionary levels...which will subside Monday night and Tuesday.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1202 AM EST Sat Dec 20 2025 Minimum afternoon relative humidity values will drop below 35 percent across portions of the nature coast this afternoon. However, winds are expected to remain less than 15 MPH. Moisture will begin to recover on Sunday with sufficient moisture to keep minimum afternoon relative humidity values above critical levels across the region, which will persist into early next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 77 60 80 60 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 82 63 84 63 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 78 58 81 59 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 77 60 80 62 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 77 47 80 51 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 75 63 79 62 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.