textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Increasing rain chances Sunday through midweek.

- Hazardous marine conditions expected Tuesday through Thursday.

- Moderate to extreme drought conditions continue.

UPDATE

Issued at 807 PM EDT Sat Apr 4 2026

It has been a quiet afternoon and evening with only a few sprinkles moving across the area on the persistent easterly winds. The only other noteworthy weather occurring was some record breaking heat at St. Pete, breaking the record high for the date at 91 degrees. Partly cloudy skies with rain-free conditions expected overnight. Forecast looks good with no changes needed.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 807 PM EDT Sat Apr 4 2026

VFR conditions and winds 10 knots or less will prevail through the forecast period. A slight chance of showers or a stray storm possible for LAL/PGD/FMY/RSW, so will cover this with PROB30 -TSRA from 20-23Z on Sunday. Otherwise, rain-free conditions expected.

MARINE

Issued at 807 PM EDT Sat Apr 4 2026

High pressure will continue to ridge into the northeastern Gulf through the weekend, keeping east to southeast flow in place, except becoming onshore each afternoon near the coast with the sea breeze. A cold front will move southeast into the waters Monday and Monday night, with wind speeds increasing to Exercise Caution levels, then Advisory levels by Tuesday morning. The Small Craft Advisory conditions, possibly Gale Warning criteria at times, are expected to persist through Thursday. Rain and thunderstorm chances will also increase through the first half of the week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 69 87 69 86 / 10 30 20 50 FMY 68 88 68 86 / 0 50 30 60 GIF 67 89 67 86 / 0 50 40 70 SRQ 67 86 67 84 / 10 30 20 50 BKV 62 88 62 86 / 0 20 10 60 SPG 73 88 72 86 / 10 20 10 50

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.