textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Marginal risk for heavy rain into the weekend with localized flooding possible.

- High risk of dangerous rip currents at area beaches into the weekend.

- Scattered to numerous thunderstorms with dangerous lightning into the weekend.

UPDATE

Issued at 755 PM EDT Thu Jul 30 2026

Storms have dissipated for the most part across the CWA though a few remain over Levy Co. This trend should continue over the next few hours. Westerly winds remains in place, which will keep supporting showers and storms near the coast early and moving across the Peninsula through the day. Afternoon highs will reach the upper 80s to low 90s as ample cloud coverage remains in place. Additionally, this pattern will continue to bring a high risk of rip currents the local beaches over the next few days.

Otherwise, no changes were made to the forecast as it remains on track.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 742 PM EDT Thu Jul 30 2026

VFR conditions anticipated over this evening and portions of the overnight hours. Model guidance brings the potential for some scattered showers near the coast that could be near terminal during the early morning hours, however, most of the activity should be after around 11Z. Most of the convection should move east by the afternoon with showers potentially lingering into the early evening hours. Westerly winds prevail through the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 79 87 78 87 / 50 60 60 60 FMY 78 90 78 91 / 20 30 30 40 GIF 76 90 76 89 / 60 70 40 80 SRQ 78 89 77 89 / 40 50 40 50 BKV 74 87 74 87 / 70 70 70 80 SPG 80 87 79 87 / 40 60 60 60

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Saturday evening for Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee- Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

Gulf waters...None.