textproduct: Tampa Bay Area
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Cautionary-level marine winds evening and overnight through the middle of the upcoming week.
- Moderate to extreme drought conditions continue.
SHORT TERM (TDY-MON)
Issued at 153 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2026
Very few clouds decorating the skies with dry airmass and high pressure keeping control over the region. This benign weather pattern will allow temperatures to gradually warm up during today and Monday. Afternoon highs climb up into the mid to upper 80s, especially along the coast. Rain has left the forecast and will be absent for a while. Meanwhile, winds remain out of the east and breezy, but decreasing overnight. Lows tonight drop into the low to mid 60 with areas along the Nature Coast in the upper 50s. Moisture should be high enough though to support night to morning low clouds and patchy fog in some areas during this time.
Similar conditions are anticipated on Monday with slightly warmer temperatures areawide.
LONG TERM (TUE-SAT)
Issued at 153 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2026
The rest of the week, upper level ridge and surface high pressure continue to dominate keeping above normal temperatures and dry conditions in place over the state. Afternoon highs to reach the low to mid 90s. Easterly winds prevail and decrease towards the end of the forecast period. No rain is expected during this time.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 153 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2026
Prevailing VFR conditions continue across terminals through the period. Breezy easterly wind remain this afternoon and gradually decrease overnight.
MARINE
Issued at 153 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2026
Area of high pressure remains in control over the Gulf waters this week. Cautionary level winds are anticipated each day through midweek, especially during the evening and early overnight hours. Very warm and dry conditions will be in place during this time.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 153 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2026
High pressure continue to dominate over the area through the period with breezy winds in place through midweek. Minimum humidity values will range between 30 to 40 percent as dry air prevails. At the same time, high dispersions are anticipated. Temperatures gradually warm up through the period.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 64 87 65 88 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 62 88 65 89 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 61 86 63 87 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 62 87 64 88 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 56 88 58 88 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 67 87 69 88 / 0 0 0 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. Gulf waters...None.
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