textproduct: Tampa Bay Area
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Near-normal temperatures for the next several days. - The next cold front will be late this week into next weekend, bringing some showers along with much cooler conditions.
UPDATE
Issued at 640 PM EST Mon Nov 9 2026
Early evening IR satellite imagery is showing mostly clear skies apart from a thin cirrus deck and a few patches of cumulus clouds developing along the I-75 corridor in southwest Florida and up towards Tampa. Mainly quiet weather conditions are forecast to hold overnight with the exception of a small chance for some patchy fog developing during the early morning hours, mainly over southwest Florida.
The forecast looks on track through tomorrow, with a bit more cloud cover developing and some isolated afternoon showers developing over southwest Florida and up into the interior towards I-4 along the sea breeze boundary. No changes planned for the evening update.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 640 PM EST Mon Nov 9 2026
Mainly VFR conditions will hold through the next 24 hours. The possible exception will be with the outside chance of some patchy fog late tonight into Tuesday morning, but confidence is too low to mention in the TAFs at this time. Isolated showers are also forecast to develop Tuesday during the late afternoon hours, with the highest chances around southwest Florida near KRSW, KFMY, and KPGD, and across the interior north towards KLAL.
MARINE
Issued at 226 PM EST Mon Nov 9 2026 High pressure over the region will keep winds and seas below headlines for the next several days. The next cold front will move through the area late Thursday into Friday, bringing a chance for rain along with increasing winds and seas into next weekend.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 226 PM EST Mon Nov 9 2026 No fire weather concerns as relative humidity values will remain above critical levels. Some patchy fog is possible over the Nature Coast tonight into tomorrow morning.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 67 83 70 82 / 0 10 10 10 FMY 70 86 72 85 / 0 20 20 20 GIF 65 85 69 84 / 0 10 10 30 SRQ 67 83 70 81 / 0 10 20 20 BKV 59 85 66 82 / 0 0 10 10 SPG 69 81 71 79 / 0 10 10 10
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. Gulf waters...None.
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