textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Hazardous marine conditions over the eastern Gulf waters over the next several days.

- A cooler and drier airmass with below average temperatures will continue through most of next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 221 PM EDT Sun Oct 18 2026 Drier and cooler air has moved over the region behind yesterday's cold front, with a really nice afternoon ongoing across the forecast area. These pleasant conditions will remain in place through much of the upcoming week, with lower rain chances and humidity and temperatures running several degrees below normal. Winds will remain gusty out of the northeast, but that's more of a concern for marine interests. Overall, a nice October week up ahead.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 221 PM EDT Sun Oct 18 2026 VFR conditions are expected through the period with gusty northeast winds continuing.

MARINE

Issued at 221 PM EDT Sun Oct 18 2026 A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for all coastal waters through Monday night with gusty northeast winds continuing. Through the rest of the week, winds will decrease some each afternoon, but still in the 15-20 knot range and close to advisory levels, and will then increase once again each night. Marine conditions will remain rather hazardous through the week and into next weekend as elevated winds and seas persist.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 221 PM EDT Sun Oct 18 2026 Relatively cooler and drier air is in place across the region and will persist over the next several days, though relative humidity values will remain above critical levels. The only fire weather concern will be breezy northeast winds for the next few days.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 67 81 61 80 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 70 84 66 83 / 0 10 0 0 GIF 67 82 61 82 / 20 0 0 0 SRQ 67 83 63 81 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 62 80 56 80 / 10 0 0 0 SPG 68 82 64 81 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM EDT Tuesday for Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Tampa Bay waters- Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.