textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Patchy mist or fog potentially developing early this morning. - Slightly cooler conditions coming over the weekend and into next week following a weak cold front.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 217 AM EST Thu Nov 5 2026

Low level moisture has led to areas of low clouds overnight and could aid in the development of patchy fog this morning. However, dry air will move over the area this afternoon and tomorrow thanks to high pressure over the area. The drier air will limit afternoon showers and storms today and tomorrow.

Meanwhile, a weak cold front associated with an upper level shortwave continues to move towards FL. The front is expected to push through Saturday into Sunday. No significant rain chances are expected with this frontal boundary as it moves through. Slightly drier and cooler air is expected to filter in following the frontal passage, with morning lows dipping down into the low 50s to the north and mid 60s south. High temperatures will hover in the upper 70s through most of the following week. Overall, after the mostly dry, weak cold front moves through this weekend, the outlook for next week is looking pleasant.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 703 AM EST Thu Nov 5 2026

Some patchy fog across the interior will burn off quickly in the next hour or two. After that we can expect VFR conditions through the period with winds generally staying below 10 knots.

MARINE

Issued at 217 AM EST Thu Nov 5 2026

Pleasant marine conditions continue today and tomorrow as winds remain below 10kts. A cold front will move over the waters this weekend, bringing slightly increased northerly winds. Winds remain 10- 15kts through most of next week.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 217 AM EST Thu Nov 5 2026

Fire weather concerns remain minimal as RH values remain above critical

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 85 71 84 70 / 10 10 0 0 FMY 86 71 86 71 / 10 0 0 0 GIF 87 69 88 68 / 10 0 0 0 SRQ 84 71 83 70 / 10 10 0 0 BKV 87 69 86 67 / 20 10 10 0 SPG 82 72 81 71 / 10 0 0 10

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.

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