textproduct: Tampa Bay Area
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Improving marine and beach conditions continue overnight and into next week.
- Pleasant weather with rain-free conditions and lower humidity expected through the middle of the week.
UPDATE
Issued at 803 PM EDT Sun Oct 11 2026
As the front pushed through the region, some areas through Sarasota County received a radar estimated 5+ inches of rainfall this morning and afternoon where some localized flooding was reported. Otherwise, the weather has been quiet with most of the area seeing less than 1 inch of rainfall through the day. Rain-free conditions have set up over the area and will continue overnight into Monday. No changes needed to current forecast.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 803 PM EDT Sun Oct 11 2026
VFR and rain-free conditions with light northerly winds less than 10 knots expected at all terminals through the period.
MARINE
Issued at 803 PM EDT Sun Oct 11 2026
High pressure building into the region will allow winds and seas to continue to subside through Monday. Surface high pressure will remain over the waters mid week with generally east to northeast winds each day below cautionary levels.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 70 85 69 86 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 75 87 69 87 / 10 10 0 0 GIF 67 87 66 88 / 10 0 0 0 SRQ 72 86 70 86 / 10 0 0 0 BKV 64 85 63 87 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 73 85 72 86 / 0 0 0 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. Gulf waters...None.
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