textproduct: Tampa Bay Area
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1008 AM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026
- Heat Advisory today for most of the area for heat index values up to around 110 degrees. Daily heat index values of 105+ degrees continue into the weekend.
- High rip current risk today into Friday, with lingering moderate rip current risk into the weekend before diminishing. - Afternoon showers and thunderstorms increase through the weekend.
UPDATE
Issued at 1008 AM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026
Scattered high clouds spreading out over the peninsula this morning associated with what is left of TS Arthur. Temperatures across the area are on track to reach 90 degrees already and dewpoints in the upper 70s. A Heat Advisory is still in effect today through 7pm. This morning's sounding showed ample instability and PWs just below 2 inches. However, the current wind regime most of the showers and storms to develop inland behind the sea breeze. Breezy west to southwesterly winds prevail this afternoon.
No changes were made to the forecast as it remains on track.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 758 AM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026
VFR conditions are anticipated through the period. Winds become west to southwest and gusty during the afternoon and prevail going into the evening hours. Rain chances remain low, however, a nonzero chance of some activity near LAL late in the afternoon. Not confident enough to add it to the forecast.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 92 83 92 81 / 10 10 20 10 FMY 94 80 95 79 / 10 10 20 10 GIF 96 78 96 77 / 40 20 40 10 SRQ 93 81 93 80 / 10 0 20 0 BKV 96 79 94 77 / 10 10 20 10 SPG 93 82 93 81 / 10 10 20 10
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...Heat Advisory until 7 PM EDT this evening for Coastal Charlotte- Coastal Citrus-Coastal Hernando-Coastal Hillsborough- Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee-Coastal Pasco-Coastal Sarasota- DeSoto-Hardee-Highlands-Inland Charlotte-Inland Citrus- Inland Hernando-Inland Hillsborough-Inland Lee-Inland Manatee-Inland Pasco-Inland Sarasota-Pinellas-Polk-Sumter.
High Rip Current Risk through Friday morning for Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee- Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.
Gulf waters...None.
IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.
textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.