textproduct: Tampa Bay Area
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Warm and humid conditions will continue with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms each day through the week.
UPDATE
Issued at 818 PM EDT Tue Sep 8 2026
Early evening water vapor satellite imagery is showing deep tropical moisture holding across the Florida Peninsula as a stalled frontal boundary remains draped across the state. Under this moist environment, scattered to numerous thunderstorms developed across the area this afternoon, leading to a few pockets of heavy rainfall. The majority of the rain has now dissipated with the loss of daytime heating, and the last few lingering showers and storms should come to an end over the next couple of hours. Mainly rain free conditions will then hold overnight and into Wednesday morning.
The forecast looks on track through Wednesday with a similar pattern to today resulting in another rainy afternoon. No changes planned for the evening update.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 818 PM EDT Tue Sep 8 2026
A few showers and storms lingering across the area will dissipate over the next couple of hours, with mainly rain free and VFR conditions holding through the overnight hours and into Wednesday morning. Scattered to numerous storms will develop again Wednesday afternoon and evening, bringing periods of reduced flight categories as storms pass over individual terminals.
MARINE
Issued at 226 PM EDT Tue Sep 8 2026
High pressure setting up to the northeast of Florida will keep an easterly-southeasterly flow over the area through the weekend with winds 10kts or less expected. Sea breeze development each will shift winds onshore each afternoon. Main hazard through the week and into the weekend will be thunderstorms that develop or move over the waters. Frequent lightning, elevated winds and seas will be possible during any storm.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 77 90 77 91 / 50 70 40 60 FMY 77 92 77 92 / 40 70 50 80 GIF 75 93 75 94 / 40 70 50 70 SRQ 76 92 76 92 / 40 70 50 60 BKV 73 92 73 92 / 40 70 50 70 SPG 77 90 78 90 / 40 60 40 60
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. Gulf waters...None.
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