textproduct: Tampa Bay Area
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Weather pattern changes over the next couple of days with east to southeast flow setting up and the more typical summertime mainly afternoon and evening thunderstorms each day through early next week.
UPDATE
Issued at 634 PM EDT Wed Aug 5 2026
Outflow boundaries will continue to support scattered showers and storms across the CWA over the next few hours. Most of the activity is pushing west to northwest and will push offshore during later this evening and tonight. Overnight conditions will remain clear with lows staying in the 70s area-wide. The regime pattern will be more easterly on Thursday with convection developing along the east coast and south and gradually moving west. A non- zero chance for showers and a stray storm or two is possible as the sea breeze develops during the late morning to early afternoon. Nonetheless, convection is expected to become more widespread later in the afternoon and early evening hours. Afternoon temperatures will be a degree or two higher near coastal areas given the delay in storms but still remain in low 90s, while areas inland struggle to reach 90 degrees. Easterly winds prevail before shifting onshore along the immediate coast.
No changes were made to the forecast as it remains on track.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 634 PM EDT Wed Aug 5 2026
Showers and storms remain near terminals over the next few hours as outflow boundaries move west to northwest. There is uncertainty on the timing of the convection making it back to TPA and PIE tonight but a TEMPO line was added TPA for now. Most of the convection should diminish during the evening hours with VFR conditions prevailing overnight. Easterly winds prevail with the sea breeze struggling to make it too far inland.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 77 87 77 88 / 30 70 50 90 FMY 75 89 76 90 / 30 90 50 90 GIF 75 87 76 87 / 30 70 40 90 SRQ 74 89 75 90 / 30 80 50 90 BKV 72 88 72 89 / 30 70 50 80 SPG 77 88 77 88 / 30 70 40 90
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. Gulf waters...None.
IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.
textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.