textproduct: Tampa Bay Area
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Isolated showers and storms for Sunday and Monday, mainly away from the coast.
- Sunny and dry conditions for Tuesday through Friday
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 745 AM EDT Sun Apr 26 2026 Mainly VFR conditions are expected. Some showers and storms are expected this afternoon, but are forecast to remain east of the terminals.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 252 AM EDT Sun Apr 26 2026
The set up is about the same today as it was yesterday. We will continue to see PW around 1.25 and 1.5 allowing some isolated thunderstorms along the sea breeze boundary in the afternoon and evening hours. Highs will top out in the mid 80's once again.
On Monday a weak cold front will push through the area. This will allow some isolated showers and storms once again in the afternoon and evening. Thanks to the front we will see drier air in the mid levels for the rest of the week. This will allow for sunny skies and highs near 90 degrees each day.
By the weekend will see a more significant cold front head our way. As it does so we will see an increase in moisture on Saturday helping be bring isolated showers and storms back into the forecast.
MARINE
Issued at 252 AM EDT Sun Apr 26 2026
We will once again see light winds just around 5 knots out of the south today. A weak cold front will push through on Monday shifting winds to the north but staying around 5 knots. For Tuesday through Thursday we will see winds shifting slowly from the east to the west with speeds around 5 to 10 knots.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 252 AM EDT Sun Apr 26 2026
RHs will remain just above critical levels each afternoon from Sunday through early next week. A small increase in upper level moisture will bring some isolated showers to our interior areas Sunday and Monday. After that we will remain dry Tuesday through Thursday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 85 71 89 68 / 10 0 10 0 FMY 87 68 90 68 / 10 0 10 0 GIF 90 67 89 66 / 30 10 30 0 SRQ 83 68 88 67 / 10 0 10 0 BKV 87 63 90 60 / 10 0 20 0 SPG 85 73 89 72 / 0 0 10 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. Gulf waters...None.
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