textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 300 AM EDT Wed Jun 3 2026

- More widespread showers and storms will move south through the area tonight and Wednesday, with the strongest storms capable of producing damaging winds gusts and frequent lightning.

- Drier air filters into the region beginning late Wednesday and into Thursday as a late season front moves through the area.

- Gradual return to more typical summertime pattern over the weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 300 AM EDT Wed Jun 3 2026

A late season front current draped across the Nature Coast will start to push south throughout the day. Ahead of the front we will see scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. North of the front we will see breezy conditions and drier air filtering in.

By Thursday morning the front will be south of Florida and we will see an unusually dry and cooler temperatures with lows in the mid to upper 60's for most of us. Highs will still make it into the mid 80's but the drier air will make it more pleasant. This trend will continue through Friday.

By the weekend we will see temperature and humidity slowly return. We will also be seeing showers chances returning mainly in SW Florida.

As we head into our next work week our normal summer heat and humidity returns. Shower chances will also return with westerly flow still in place. That means the highest storm chances for next Monday and Tuesday will be inland and along the east coast.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 300 AM EDT Wed Jun 3 2026

A front will be pushing through today. Ahead of the front we will see scattered showers and lower CIGS. The front will be pushing north to south. As the front pushes through a terminal we will see winds picking up with gust up to 20 mph and slowly clearing skies.

MARINE

Issued at 300 AM EDT Wed Jun 3 2026

A rare late season front will be pushing through today. Behind it we will see winds picking up out of the east from 15 to 25 knots. These winds will start to come down by Friday and through the weekend, coming down to 5 to 10 knots by Sunday.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 300 AM EDT Wed Jun 3 2026

A front will bring scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms today. After that we will see drier conditions enter the area through the weekend with only low shower chances.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 84 71 86 72 / 30 10 10 10 FMY 85 72 84 71 / 60 20 50 10 GIF 83 69 85 69 / 30 0 0 0 SRQ 86 70 87 71 / 50 10 20 10 BKV 85 64 87 65 / 10 0 0 0 SPG 86 73 88 74 / 40 10 20 10

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM this morning to 2 AM EDT Friday for Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Tampa Bay waters-Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.