textproduct: Tampa Bay Area
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 757 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
- Near to slightly above normal temperatures will continue through the next week.
- Onshore flow will continue through the first half of the week, keeping the highest storm chances over inland areas each day, mainly in the afternoon and early evening hours.
UPDATE
Issued at 757 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
High pressure holds over the eastern Gulf waters off of southwest Florida. This has kept an onshore flow over the region this afternoon and evening. Showers and storms have been limited in coverage with only a few popping up over the interior and east coast counties. A few showers possible over the next couple of hours over eastern Polk and Highlands Counties, then rain-free conditions expected overnight. With this onshore flow continuing on Monday, a stray shower will be possible along the west coast early morning. Overnight lows will be warm and muggy in the mid 70s to around 80 with daytime highs on Monday reaching the low to mid 90s. Forecast looks good with no changes needed at this time.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 757 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
VFR, rain-free conditions and winds less than 5 knots expected overnight. For tomorrow, onshore winds around 8-12 knots expected with some stray showers possible near the coast in the morning. Activity will then shift eastward through the rest of the day.
MARINE
Issued at 757 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
High pressure will hold south of the waters through Wednesday, keeping mainly westerly and southwesterly flow in place. As the ridge starts to lift north Wednesday night and Thursday, winds will become more southerly. Winds and seas will generally remain less than headline criteria, although occasional thunderstorms could bring locally higher winds each day.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 81 91 81 91 / 0 20 0 30 FMY 78 91 79 92 / 10 20 0 10 GIF 76 94 76 94 / 10 20 10 40 SRQ 80 91 80 91 / 0 20 0 20 BKV 78 92 78 92 / 10 20 0 30 SPG 81 91 81 91 / 0 20 10 20
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. Gulf waters...None.
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