textproduct: Tampa Bay Area
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Critical RH values across the region the next few days.
- Above average temperatures continue through the week.
- Moderate to extreme drought conditions continue.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 223 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026
Pleasant and warm weather will continue through the week. This is all attributed to persistent upper ridging extending over Florida as well as surface high pressure near Bermuda ridging west- southwestward over Florida and into the eastern Gulf waters. PWAT values will remain below 1 inch through the week and into the weekend resulting in rain-free conditions and well above average temperatures through the week. Daytime highs will top out in the mid to upper 80s the next couple of days, then reaching the 90s in some areas late week and into the weekend. Mild overnight temps with lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s expected through the forecast period.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 824 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026
VFR conditions through the period with winds generally staying below 15 knots.
MARINE
Issued at 223 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026
High pressure ridging across Florida and into the eastern Gulf waters will keep a persistent east-southeast wind flow 15 knots or less and seas 2 feet or less over the region through the week and into the weekend. Winds will turn onshore during the afternoon and evening as the sea breeze sets up along the coast. This high pressure will also keep rain-free conditions over the Gulf waters through the forecast period.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 223 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026
High pressure ridging over the area will keep rain-free conditions over the area through the week. Some critical RH values below 35 percent expected during the week, but light winds below 15 mph will preclude the need for any Red Flag Warnings.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 88 65 88 65 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 88 62 88 64 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 87 61 88 61 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 87 63 85 63 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 88 55 89 56 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 87 68 87 68 / 0 0 0 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. Gulf waters...None.
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