textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 755 AM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

- Very limited rain chances across the area through Monday. - Slightly cooler and less humid air will fill into the area through the weekend and into early next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 257 AM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

A beautiful day on tap today thanks to a cooler, drier air mass advecting over the area. Northeasterly flow associated with a closed low off the Mid-Atlantic coast will help keep the cooler, drier air filtering through the weekend. Many this morning will wake up to temperatures in the 60s with a few northern areas in the upper 50s. Highs today will top out in the mid 80s. Lower humidity today will make for a pleasant, fall-like day. These comfortable conditions will hold through the weekend and into Monday.

Early in the week, high pressure will begin to build off the east coast Florida, allowing for the flow to turn more southerly. As the flow turns, more moisture will begin to filter in, raising humidity once again. Rain chances will also begin to gradually increase each day through the end of the week. Temperatures will also increase each day, reaching back to near or slightly above normal. In other words, fall-like conditions will quickly be replaced by more summer- like conditions once again.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 755 AM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

Dry VFR expected through the period with generally NW through NE flow locally in response to a strong surface high over the Great Lakes/SE Canada and a mature Mid-Atlantic/NE U.S. coastal low pressure system. Winds less than 10 knots through the period... NW'ly and highest in the afternoon, and NE'ly and lightest overnight.

MARINE

Issued at 257 AM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

Marine conditions will gradually begin to improve as winds slowly diminish through the weekend. Northeast to north winds will continue through the weekend. Early next week, high pressure off the east coast of Florida will bring more south to south east winds. Rain chances increase by mid week as moisture moves back over the area.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 257 AM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

Dry air over the area will keep RH values low, with northern areas dropping close to critical levels. Winds will remain below 15mph.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 85 66 86 69 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 86 67 86 68 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 86 63 86 65 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 85 66 86 69 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 85 60 85 64 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 85 69 85 73 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.