textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Warm and humid conditions will continue with numerous to widespread showers and thunderstorms each day through the week.

- Marginal risk of excessive rainfall mainly in urban areas with the higher thunderstorm activity each day through much of the week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 156 PM EDT Mon Aug 31 2026

Deep moisture in place across the area in easterly flow will allow for numerous late afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms through much of the week. Flow will become a bit more SE by the end of the week, with trough from the remnants of Dolly potentially bringing some additional tropical moisture. This deep moisture will allow for a marginal risk for flooding, generally in urban areas with the thunderstorms.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 156 PM EDT Mon Aug 31 2026

Light winds in place at the terminals with a weak sea breeze beginning to set up at the coastal sites. Thunderstorms should be moving near the terminals over the next couple of hours and continue through around 02Z. VFR will prevail, but MVFR to IFR is possible in storms. Light and variable winds overnight as skies gradually clear, with winds returning to the east.

MARINE

Issued at 156 PM EDT Mon Aug 31 2026

Light east to southeast flow will be in place through the period, with a later afternoon sea breeze close to the coast each day. Scattered to numerous thunderstorms will be possible each day, mainly pushing offshore in the evenings and lingering over the waters through the overnight hours.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 156 PM EDT Mon Aug 31 2026

Deep moisture will keep RH values and rain chances high through the week. No concerns except for lightning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 77 90 77 89 / 40 50 40 80 FMY 76 92 76 92 / 40 70 30 80 GIF 75 92 75 92 / 40 60 30 80 SRQ 76 91 75 91 / 30 60 40 70 BKV 73 91 72 90 / 40 60 40 80 SPG 77 89 78 89 / 30 50 40 70

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.