textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 126 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026

- Near to slightly above normal temperatures will continue through the next week.

- Rain coverage will be limited today and Wednesday, then chances for afternoon showers and thunderstorms increase Thursday through the weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 126 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026

Strong southwesterly flow will remain in place through the work week. This will keep most shower activity inland and along the east coast of Florida. The southwesterly flow also tends to give us warmer lows as the winds come off the warm Gulf Waters. This along with less shower activity results in higher temperatures in the afternoon and evening hours.

We do see an increase in moisture which should result in more shower activity across the state. However, we will still see a southwesterly flow keeping most of that shower activity away from the west coast.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 126 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026

VFR conditions through the period with west to southwesterly winds.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 126 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026

Summertime humidity and heat will continue however we are expecting dry conditions for the west coast of Florida for much of our work week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 91 81 92 82 / 20 20 10 0 FMY 92 78 94 80 / 10 10 10 0 GIF 95 76 96 78 / 30 10 20 10 SRQ 91 80 92 81 / 20 10 10 0 BKV 93 77 94 78 / 30 20 10 0 SPG 91 81 92 82 / 20 20 10 10

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.