textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Showers and storms will move through the region late Saturday and Saturday night.

UPDATE

Issued at 717 PM EST Fri Jan 2 2026

Early evening IR and water vapor satellite imagery are showing a band of atmospheric moisture and increased cloudiness over the Florida Peninsula, while a weak surface trough develops over the southern Mississippi River Valley. This trough is forecast to quickly move across the southeastern US tonight and Saturday, pulling a weak front into the forecast area Saturday evening. The forecast looks on track with quiet and warmer conditions overnight tonight and Saturday morning under light south and southwest flow, then rain chances spreading from north to south through the area Saturday afternoon through early Sunday morning. Some thunderstorms will also be possible with this system Saturday afternoon and evening. No significant changes are planned for the evening update.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 717 PM EST Fri Jan 2 2026

VFR conditions should hold through at least early Saturday evening. Showers and storms will move into the area of KTPA after 00z Sunday, although there is an outside chance of a few showers moving in earlier than that and impacting Tampa area terminals Saturday afternoon.

MARINE

Issued at 144 PM EST Fri Jan 2 2026

A cold front approaching the area on Saturday will start to increase winds to 10 to 15 knots with gust up to 20 to start our weekend. This front will push through overnight bringing a line of showers and isolated thunderstorms with it. Behind the front winds will shift to the north on Sunday around 10 knots. Winds will shift northeast and then east for the early part of next week with speeds around 5 to 10 knots.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 61 75 63 76 / 0 20 70 10 FMY 56 77 63 79 / 0 0 30 20 GIF 56 76 60 76 / 0 10 50 10 SRQ 58 76 64 76 / 0 10 70 20 BKV 52 76 56 74 / 0 30 70 0 SPG 62 74 66 75 / 0 20 70 10

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.