textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Near-normal temperatures for the next several days. - The next cold front will be late this week into next weekend, bringing some cooler conditions.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 623 AM EST Mon Nov 9 2026 VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 301 AM EST Mon Nov 9 2026

The pleasant weather trend continues today to start the work week with seasonable temperatures and sunny skies. The high pressure system responsible for the nice weather, will begin to shift eastwards as a trough develops and an associated cold front approaches, which will allow for more moisture to enter the area. Rain chances will slightly increase by Wednesday in response.

The cold front is expected to move through the area Thursday into Friday. Showers and isolated storms will be possible ahead of the front, though widespread rain is not expected. Behind this front, a reinforcing blast of cooler air will filter in, bringing some of the coolest temperatures of the season so far. This weekend low temperatures are expected to drop into the low to mid 40s with high temperatures struggling to get into the 70s. Could be time to break out some of the thicker jackets.

MARINE

Issued at 301 AM EST Mon Nov 9 2026

Pleasant marine conditions continue through the beginning of the week as high pressure remains in control. However, a cold front will move through Thursday into Friday and the winds will begin to increase to cautionary levels and possibly advisory levels through the remainder of the week.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 301 AM EST Mon Nov 9 2026

Fire concerns remain minimal as RH values continue to run above critical levels.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 83 66 83 69 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 85 69 86 71 / 0 0 0 10 GIF 84 64 85 67 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 82 67 83 70 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 83 59 84 65 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 80 68 81 71 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.