textproduct: Tampa Bay Area
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Warm and humid conditions will continue through early next week.
- Scattered to widespread showers and storms will develop each day through the next week, with the highest rain chances in the afternoon and early evening hours.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 250 PM EDT Tue Aug 25 2026
A little more moisture today helped to bring some showers along our coastal areas during the morning and early afternoon hours. However the southwesterly winds has pushed much of the precip north of I-4 over to the other side of the state. While south of I-4 we are seeing drier air with little to no rain shower activity occurring.
Trends start to change tomorrow as we shift to a more southerly flow. This will help to bring moisture back in the mid to upper levels and help to produce scattered showers and storms during the afternoon and evening through Friday. Due to the mainly southerly flow we will not see the storms favor one coast over the area.
As we get into the weekend the ridge pushes north bringing us into a more traditional southeast to easterly flow. This will bring more favorable shower chances over the west coast of Florida each day through Monday.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 250 PM EDT Tue Aug 25 2026
Most shower activity along and north of I-4 should be done for the day as drier air has filtered in. Expect VFR conditions through the period with winds mainly out of the west and southwest.
MARINE
Issued at 250 PM EDT Tue Aug 25 2026
Winds will stay light through Saturday coming out of the souther. Best storm chances will be along the coast in the afternoon and evening hours.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 250 PM EDT Tue Aug 25 2026
Moisture returns tomorrow bringing higher storm chances back into the forecast. No major fire weather concerns.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 90 77 92 77 / 30 10 30 20 FMY 95 77 94 76 / 20 20 70 40 GIF 94 74 95 74 / 30 20 60 50 SRQ 92 76 93 75 / 10 10 30 30 BKV 91 72 93 72 / 60 10 30 10 SPG 90 78 91 77 / 20 10 20 30
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. Gulf waters...None.
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