textproduct: Tampa Bay Area
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop near the coast during the morning hours and will push inland during the afternoon and evening for the next several days.
- Daily maximum heat index values of 100 to 106 degrees will occur through the weekend and into next week.
UPDATE
Issued at 926 AM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026
It has been an active morning across the eastern Gulf waters and west coast of Florida with storms and showers rolling through the area. The highest winds recorded were 42 mph near the mouth of Tampa Bay early this morning. Showers and storm coverage will slowly traverse eastward through the day with more storms expected over the interior this afternoon and evening hours. No major changes needed to current forecast.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 926 AM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026
Showers and storms have been pushing through some of the terminals this morning and will continue to traverse eastward through the late morning and afternoon. Will keep TEMPO and PROB30 for TSRA at all terminals through 16Z, then mostly rain-free through the evening hours. More showers and storms possible during the early morning hours on Monday.
MARINE
Issued at 926 AM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026
The only marine impact expected will be some scattered showers and storms, which may produce some gusty erratic winds and rough seas. Otherwise, pleasant boating conditions expected through the weekend and into next week with winds around 10 knots or less and seas 2 feet or less.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 91 81 91 81 / 40 30 40 10 FMY 92 78 92 78 / 40 30 50 10 GIF 93 76 94 76 / 60 20 60 30 SRQ 91 79 92 79 / 40 30 40 10 BKV 93 74 93 74 / 40 20 50 10 SPG 91 80 91 81 / 40 30 40 10
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. Gulf waters...None.
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