textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Hazardous marine conditions through early morning before gradually improving.

- Dry conditions continue remainder of the week before slight uptick in rain chances this weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 227 PM EDT Wed Apr 22 2026 A west/northwest flow continues aloft this afternoon with a few weak shortwaves moving over the region. At the surface, high pressure remains situated over the area and will remain in place before a weak boundary moves into the southeastern U.S. this weekend. Boundary layer flow will become more westerly as the boundary helps shift the high pressure area southward, and moisture will also increase, which will lead to a few showers late this week and this weekend. Early next week then features low rain chances once again along with warming temperatures.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 725 PM EDT Wed Apr 22 2026

VFR conditions will prevail throughout the period with mostly ESE winds, though winds will shift onshore at coastal sites Thursday afternoon as a sea breeze develops. In addition, light SHRA may develop mostly in SWFL by late afternoon or evening tomorrow, but any activity that develops is expected to be light with minimal VSBY impacts.

MARINE

Issued at 227 PM EDT Wed Apr 22 2026 Southeast winds will remain over the waters through the end of the week, with a turn onshore with the sea breeze each afternoon. No headlines are expected.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 227 PM EDT Wed Apr 22 2026 No Red Flag conditions are expected for the next several days as moisture gradually increases and winds remain below 15 mph. No significant fog is expected.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 65 85 67 86 / 0 10 10 10 FMY 63 85 65 87 / 0 20 20 20 GIF 61 85 63 87 / 0 10 10 20 SRQ 63 84 65 84 / 0 10 10 10 BKV 56 87 58 88 / 0 10 10 10 SPG 70 85 71 86 / 0 10 10 10

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.