textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 649 AM EDT Fri Sep 25 2026

- Very limited rain chances across the area today through Monday. - Slightly cooler and less humid air will fill into the area tonight through early next week.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 649 AM EDT Fri Sep 25 2026 MVFR cigs will be possible at all TAF sites through the morning hours, then VFR will return for the rest of the period. Winds remain northeast with occasional gusts.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 254 AM EDT Fri Sep 25 2026

Cooler and drier air will continue to filter over the area today and into the weekend thanks to a cold front that has shifted south over Florida. Morning lows will be in the upper 60s to the north and low 70s to the south. The big difference over the next few days will be the lower dew points, making conditions quite pleasant. Recent guidance has been suggesting northern parts of the forecast area could dip down into the upper 50s Saturday and Sunday morning. with wide spread low to mid 60s elsewhere. High temperatures will also run slightly below average through the weekend maxing out in the mid 80s.

As the new week arrives, the pattern begins to shift once again as high pressure moves off the east coast, shifting the flow more southerly. This will allow more moisture to move over the area, increasing rain chances by mid week. Temperatures and dew points will also bounce by to near or slightly above normal.

MARINE

Issued at 254 AM EDT Fri Sep 25 2026

Hazardous marine conditions continue through the afternoon as northeasterly, advisory levels winds remain over the waters. Winds will begin to drop below advisory levels this afternoon, but choppy conditions could linger through the evening.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 254 AM EDT Fri Sep 25 2026

Elevated, northeasterly winds continue today, but should begin to decreases over the weekend. RH values will also dip close to critical levels this weekend as dry air moves in, but winds should remain less than 15mph.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 86 67 85 66 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 88 69 87 67 / 10 10 0 0 GIF 87 65 86 63 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 87 68 86 66 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 86 63 85 61 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 87 70 86 70 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM- Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.