textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 759 PM EDT Thu Sep 24 2026

- Very limited rain chances across the area Friday through Monday. - Slightly cooler and less humid air will fill into the area tonight through early next week.

UPDATE

Issued at 759 PM EDT Thu Sep 24 2026

Drier air filling into the region kept rain coverage limited today, with just a few light showers pushing into the interior and parts of southwest Florida during the afternoon. Early evening surface observations are showing dew points have already dropped into the low to mid 60s over parts of the Nature Coast, and this drier and slightly cooler air is on track to continue filtering south into the forecast area overnight and into the weekend. The forecast looks on track with mainly rain free conditions Friday through the weekend with cooler morning temperatures. No changes planned for the evening update.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 759 PM EDT Thu Sep 24 2026

A few patches of MVFR ceilings are still present early this evening around KLAL. There is an outside chance that MVFR or patchy IFR ceilings could re-develop overnight, but with drier air moving into the area, chances of reduced flight categories are not high enough to include in the TAF at this time. Any low ceilings that develop should lift out by early Friday afternoon.

MARINE

Issued at 230 PM EDT Thu Sep 24 2026 Northeast winds will continue across the waters for the next several days, with exercise caution wind speeds increasing to advisory levels tonight. Winds remain elevated through Friday night then gradually subside Saturday through the rest of the weekend. Rain chances remain low with drier air in place.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 71 86 67 86 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 73 88 69 87 / 10 0 0 0 GIF 71 87 65 87 / 0 10 0 0 SRQ 72 87 68 86 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 69 87 63 86 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 73 87 70 86 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT Friday for Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM- Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.


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