textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Isolated to scattered showers and storms this weekend, mainly away from the coast.

- Warming trend through the weekend into early next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 219 PM EDT Sat Apr 25 2026 Weak troughing aloft will continue through the weekend and into early next week while at the surface, weak high pressure remains in place with a developing surface low off the mid-Atlantic coast moving a back-door frontal boundary across the region on Monday. We will keep about a 20-30% chance for rain each afternoon through Monday, with the best chances away from the coast as the sea breeze moves inland. Drier weather persists Tuesday and Wednesday, then another weak frontal boundary approaches the area for Thursday into Friday, with slightly higher rain chances for the Nature Coast.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 219 PM EDT Sat Apr 25 2026 VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period. Slightly higher fog chances tonight, but low confidence for any of the terminals.

MARINE

Issued at 219 PM EDT Sat Apr 25 2026 Benign conditions will continue over the waters for the next several days with no headlines expected.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 219 PM EDT Sat Apr 25 2026 Relative humidity values will remain above critical levels with no Red Flag concerns over the next few days. A few showers or storms are expected away from the coast each afternoon through Monday, but dry conditions persist otherwise. No widespread significant fog is anticipated, but patchy fog is possible each night.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 70 85 70 88 / 0 10 0 10 FMY 68 88 68 89 / 10 10 0 10 GIF 66 90 67 90 / 10 30 10 30 SRQ 67 83 68 87 / 0 10 0 10 BKV 60 88 64 91 / 0 20 10 20 SPG 73 85 74 88 / 0 10 0 10

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.