textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 706 AM EDT Tue Sep 15 2026

- Scattered showers and thunderstorms today and tomorrow. Heavy rainfall and gusty winds will continue to be the primary concerns with storms that develop.

- Gusty northeast winds will produce hazardous marine conditions by mid-week across eastern Gulf waters.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 706 AM EDT Tue Sep 15 2026

VFR conditions expected through the morning into the afternoon with a light easterly flow. Storms will begin to develop inland this afternoon before drifting towards the west coast in late afternoon to the early evening. Quiet conditions return overnight.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 91 77 90 74 / 60 20 40 0 FMY 92 76 91 75 / 60 30 70 20 GIF 92 76 90 74 / 60 10 50 0 SRQ 93 76 92 74 / 70 30 60 10 BKV 93 74 91 71 / 60 10 20 0 SPG 92 78 91 76 / 60 20 40 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 5 PM EDT Thursday for Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.

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