textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Hot and humid conditions will continue.

- Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms over the Gulf during the late night and early morning hours will move onshore each morning and then shift inland during the afternoon hours through Tuesday.

- Light southerly flow sets up during midweek with a more typical summertime pattern of scattered to numerous mainly afternoon and evening thunderstorms each day.

UPDATE

Issued at 814 PM EDT Mon Aug 24 2026

Most of the convection has dissipated or pushed east this evening. This trend should continue over the next few hours across the CWA with light winds and rain free conditions anticipated overnight. On Tuesday, conditions begin to transition to a more west to southwest to west during the day before the sea breeze begins to push inland. This will support some showers along the coast early with most of the it developing inland even though drier air may limit storm coverage. Temperatures will be in the low to mid 90s, but drier air will help to keep heat indices around 100.

No changes were made to the forecast as it remains on track.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 814 PM EDT Mon Aug 24 2026

VFR conditions prevail overnight with light and variable winds in place. Winds become southwesterly during the late morning to early afternoon when rain chances increase. Pockets of drier air may limit showers and storm coverage, so a PROB30 was added.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 79 90 77 92 / 10 30 10 50 FMY 77 95 77 94 / 10 30 20 80 GIF 75 95 74 94 / 10 30 20 60 SRQ 77 92 76 92 / 10 20 10 40 BKV 73 92 72 93 / 20 50 10 50 SPG 79 90 78 91 / 10 20 10 40

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.