textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Freezing temperatures tonight into Monday morning from around I-4 northward, with dangerous feels like temperatures areawide.

- Hazardous marine conditions continuing into the middle of the week.

UPDATE

Issued at 703 PM EST Sun Jan 18 2026

Early evening IR and water vapor satellite imagery are showing drier air and clear skies filling into northern Florida in the wake of the cold front that is now pushing through southern Florida, while layers of stratus that are still covering much of the forecast area gradually push south. Along and just behind the front, strong and gusty winds were felt across the forecast area today, but automated surface observations are showing that these winds have now significantly calmed down. However, winds overnight are still strong enough to continue the cold air advection that started with the frontal passage earlier today, with temperatures still on track to drop into the upper 20s to mid 30s over the interior by Monday morning, and upper 30s to low 40s along the coast. A Cold Weather Advisory remains in effect for the entire area tonight, with a Freeze Warning in effect for Polk County and interior portions of Hillsborough and Pasco counties northward.

The forecast looks on track overall, and no significant changes are planned for the evening update.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 703 PM EST Sun Jan 18 2026

Some MVFR ceilings are lingering behind the recent frontal passage, and could impact area terminals through around midnight. After that, clear skies and VFR conditions are expected to fill in and hold through Monday as north winds subside.

MARINE

Issued at 240 PM EST Sun Jan 18 2026

Small Craft Advisory conditions will gradually end from north to south tonight into early Monday, but a tight pressure gradient will keep winds around Exercise Caution levels, possibly Advisory levels at times, through midweek. Another chance of rain arrives Thursday as another frontal system moves across the waters.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 38 60 40 65 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 39 65 43 72 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 35 60 38 66 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 39 60 41 68 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 29 60 29 64 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 45 60 46 66 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...Cold Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to 9 AM EST Monday for Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Citrus-Coastal Hernando- Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Levy-Coastal Manatee-Coastal Pasco-Coastal Sarasota-DeSoto-Hardee- Highlands-Inland Charlotte-Inland Citrus-Inland Hernando- Inland Hillsborough-Inland Lee-Inland Levy-Inland Manatee- Inland Pasco-Inland Sarasota-Pinellas-Polk-Sumter.

Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 9 AM EST Monday for Coastal Citrus-Coastal Hernando-Coastal Levy-Inland Citrus- Inland Hernando-Inland Hillsborough-Inland Levy-Inland Pasco-Polk-Sumter.

Freeze Watch from late Monday night through Tuesday morning for Coastal Citrus-Coastal Hernando-Coastal Levy-Inland Citrus- Inland Hernando-Inland Levy-Sumter.

High Rip Current Risk through Monday morning for Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee- Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM- Tampa Bay waters-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.

Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Monday for Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM.

Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Monday for Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM.