textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Hazardous marine conditions across the coastal waters will continue into mid week.

- Breezy areawide with a slight chance of showers.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 225 PM EDT Tue Oct 27 2026

Warm and breezy conditions continue today as the area remains wedged between a low pressure area over the Bahamas and a high pressure system north of Florida. Less rain showers streaming across the state today compared to yesterday. Likely due to less moisture over the area as indicated in this morning's sounding with a PWAT value less than 1 in. However, a few isolated showers could still be possible especially south of I4 this afternoon. Moisture increases Wednesday and Thursday which will likely lead to scattered showers. Winds will also decrease a bit as the high pressure to the north begins to weaken ahead of an approaching low pressure system.

A weak frontal boundary is expected to move across the area over the weekend, bringing another round of scattered showers. High pressure will then build back in behind the front. Unfortunately, no significant cool down is expected to accompany this front.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 225 PM EDT Tue Oct 27 2026

Mostly VFR conditions prevail through the period. A few isolated showers could move across from the east coast early tomorrow morning, possibly moving in the vicinity of southern sites. Otherwise gusty northeast winds continue.

MARINE

Issued at 225 PM EDT Tue Oct 27 2026

Hazardous marine conditions continue through Wednesday night. Winds will begin to diminish slightly on Thursday but are expected to remain elevated through the end of the week. Winds should finally begin to decrease to below cautionary levels over the weekend.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 225 PM EDT Tue Oct 27 2026

Fire weather concerns remain low as RH values remain above critical levels.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 70 84 73 86 / 0 20 10 30 FMY 73 88 74 88 / 20 30 10 50 GIF 71 85 73 88 / 20 40 20 40 SRQ 71 85 73 87 / 0 30 10 30 BKV 67 85 71 88 / 0 10 10 30 SPG 71 83 73 85 / 0 20 10 30

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Wednesday for Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Tampa Bay waters-Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.