textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Near freezing temperatures across the Nature Coast Sunday morning with patchy frost.

- Rain-free conditions and a warm up expected next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1254 PM EST Sat Feb 7 2026 Northwest flow continues aloft over the region this afternoon with low pressure over the northeast and high pressure to our west. At the surface, a dry cold front is moving across the peninsula, with breezy northwest winds area-wide. The rest of the day will be cool and pleasant under sunny skies. Tonight into Sunday, high pressure will build in and bring another brief cooldown with lows tonight around 10 degrees lower than today, though highs will be about the same with sunny skies prevailing. Another cool start is forecast for Monday morning, but then the rest of the week will feature temperatures warming by a few degrees each day along with rain-free conditions.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1254 PM EST Sat Feb 7 2026 VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period.

MARINE

Issued at 1254 PM EST Sat Feb 7 2026 A cold front is moving through the region today, with northwest winds of around 15 knots over the waters today becoming northeast to east tonight. For the rest of the weekend into early next week, winds remain rather light with a turn onshore each afternoon and no headlines expected.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1254 PM EST Sat Feb 7 2026 Dry high pressure will keep relative humidity values near critical levels for the next couple of days, but red flag conditions are not expected. No significant fog is forecast.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 44 70 48 72 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 45 75 49 75 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 42 71 46 74 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 43 70 46 70 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 34 70 37 73 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 51 69 54 70 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.