textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Above normal temperatures are expected each day through the next week.

- Thunderstorms are expected to develop each day this week, mainly in the afternoon to early evening hours.

- Severe to extreme drought conditions continue for most areas.

UPDATE

Issued at 725 PM EDT Mon May 18 2026 Scattered storms linger around the Tampa Bay region this evening and these will slowly move offshore through the next few hours. Another round of showers and storms closer to the west coast is expected tomorrow afternoon and evening. No updates needed to the forecast.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 725 PM EDT Mon May 18 2026 Scattered storms will affect mainly KPIE and KTPA for the next hour or so, then VFR conditions are expected overnight. For tomorrow, a very similar pattern is expected, with more scattered storms near coastal sites in the afternoon and evening.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 75 91 74 91 / 30 60 20 40 FMY 74 93 74 93 / 10 60 10 60 GIF 73 91 72 91 / 0 30 10 30 SRQ 73 93 73 92 / 30 70 20 40 BKV 70 94 69 93 / 10 40 10 30 SPG 75 94 75 93 / 30 70 20 40

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.

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