textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Isolated to scattered showers and storms this weekend, mainly away from the coast.

- Warming trend through the weekend into early next week.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 647 AM EDT Sat Apr 25 2026 VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 245 AM EDT Sat Apr 25 2026

For our weekend ridging will remain overhead with highs in the mid to upper 80's. High res model continue to show PW in the afternoon between 1.25 and 1.5. This should be just enough moisture to develop a few showers in the interior of that state along the seabreeze.

As we start our next work week we will see a weak cold front push through the state. Once again we will see a few shower in the interior due to the passage of the front. After that we will see drier conditions in the mid levels cutting off any shower chances for the rest of the week. The drier conditions will also allow for more sunshine and warmer conditions with highs getting into the low 90's each afternoon away from the coast.

MARINE

Issued at 245 AM EDT Sat Apr 25 2026

Strong ridging over the area will keep winds out of the south through the weekend around 5 knots. A weak cold front will push through on Monday. This will shift winds to the north on Monday before shifting east and then southeast through mid week. Speeds will remain around 5 knots.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 245 AM EDT Sat Apr 25 2026

RHs will remain just above critical levels each afternoon through the weekend and early next week. A small increase in upper level moisture will bring some isolated showers to our interior areas however this shower activity is not expected to improve drought conditions.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 87 70 86 71 / 10 0 20 10 FMY 88 68 88 69 / 10 0 10 0 GIF 90 66 89 68 / 20 10 40 10 SRQ 84 68 83 69 / 0 0 10 0 BKV 89 61 86 64 / 10 10 30 10 SPG 86 73 85 74 / 0 0 10 10

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.