textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Today will be the last day of southwest to west flow with scattered morning showers and thunderstorms near the coast moving inland by afternoon.

- Pattern changes during midweek with east to southeast flow setting up and the more typical mainly afternoon and evening thunderstorms each day through the weekend.

UPDATE

Issued at 748 PM EDT Tue Aug 4 2026

Some activity is still present across the CWA and this will continue for a least a few hours as outflow boundaries push west supporting additional development near coastal areas. This activity should diminish overnight and push offshore. Overnight lows will be a degree or two lower but still in the low to mid 70s area-wide. Ample cloud coverage is anticipated on Wednesday with light and variable winds early becoming southeasterly. Then, winds will shift onshore behind the sea breeze in the afternoon. Shower and storm chances gradually increase during the afternoon and evening with outflow boundaries pushing convection that develops inland back towards the coast during the evening. Highs will peak in the upper 80s to low 90s.

No changes were made to the forecast as it remains on track.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 748 PM EDT Tue Aug 4 2026

An outflow pushing back towards the coast may support showers and storms over the next few hours. Then, rain chances decrease overnight and VFR conditions prevail. On Wednesday, the winds begin to transistion into southeasterly supporting more convection later in the day. Periods of MVFR/IFR cigs and vis are possible near thunderstorms, especially after 18Z.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 77 88 77 90 / 20 50 30 80 FMY 76 90 75 91 / 30 80 20 90 GIF 74 89 75 90 / 30 60 30 70 SRQ 75 89 74 92 / 20 50 30 80 BKV 72 89 72 91 / 20 60 30 70 SPG 78 87 78 90 / 20 40 30 80

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.