textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Rain-free conditions with warming temperatures expected this week.

- Chances for some late night and early morning fog return this week.

UPDATE

Issued at 812 PM EST Sun Feb 8 2026 It's another quiet evening across the region as a dry air mass remains in place, though there will be a very slight increase in mid/upper level moisture overnight as a weak shortwave trough dives into the lower MS valley. This may result in a few mid to high level clouds overnight into Monday but otherwise no impacts are anticipated as lows fall to the 30s/low 40s across the Nature Coast and mostly 40s for the remainder of the area other than some coastal areas in the low 50s.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 127 PM EST Sun Feb 8 2026 High pressure remains over the region this afternoon with sunny skies and very pleasant temperatures. We'll have a couple of cool mornings to start the week, but then temperatures will warm by a few degrees each day as we settle into a quieter weather pattern. There are a few shortwaves that move overhead later this week, but this will really only serve to give the far northern Nature Coast region a very slight chance for showers. Overall, a nice week coming up, albeit a little on the warm side for this time of year.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 624 PM EST Sun Feb 8 2026 VFR conditions will prevail throughout the period as high pressure remains in control. Light NE winds overnight will shift to the NW Monday afternoon as the sea breeze develops with winds around 5-7 kts tomorrow.

MARINE

Issued at 127 PM EST Sun Feb 8 2026 High pressure will dominate keeping winds rather light with no headlines expected. Winds will shift to onshore each afternoon as the sea breeze develops.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 127 PM EST Sun Feb 8 2026 Dry high pressure will keep relative humidity values near critical levels for the next couple of days, but winds will remain less than 15 mph so no Red Flag conditions are expected.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 48 73 50 74 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 50 76 50 77 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 47 75 48 79 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 46 71 47 72 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 38 74 38 77 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 54 71 55 72 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.


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