textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 736 PM EDT Sat May 23 2026

- Above normal temperatures are expected through the weekend and into early next week. - Thunderstorms are expected to develop each day, mainly in the afternoon and evening hours.

UPDATE

Issued at 736 PM EDT Sat May 23 2026

Another fairly active afternoon and early evening. Showers and storms have been developing along the I-75 corridor and east with some trying to move offshore. Boundaries are expected to support additional development as they move towards the coast later this evening and it may continue for portions of the overnight hours. Lows will be slightly cooler but still in the 70s area-wide. On Sunday, afternoon highs will be a degree or two lower, especially over the interior given that showers and storms may begin earlier. Conditions will still be warm with temperatures staying in the low 90s.

No changes made to the forecast as it remains on track.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 736 PM EDT Sat May 23 2026

Showers and storms to continue across the area for the next several hours. Boundaries should further development as they push towards the coast. Intermittent MVFR to IFR cigs and vis possible near storms. After around 04Z most of the convection should have moved out or getting close to existing any TAF sites allowing VFR conditions to return. South to southeasterly winds prevail becoming breezy in some areas on Sunday. Rain chances increase again during the late afternoon and evening.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 76 90 76 90 / 70 60 50 50 FMY 75 93 76 93 / 50 70 30 40 GIF 75 91 75 92 / 80 60 20 30 SRQ 74 91 75 92 / 70 60 40 40 BKV 72 92 73 93 / 80 60 50 60 SPG 76 92 77 93 / 70 60 40 50

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.