textproduct: Tampa Bay Area
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Near-normal temperatures through Thursday, turning colder Friday and over the weekend. - Little in the way of rain expected through the period.
UPDATE
Issued at 719 PM EST Tue Nov 10 2026
A more southerly flow pattern today allowed for cloudier skies across the area, with a few showers managing to develop which are currently pushing east through the interior. As these showers clear out of the area through the next few hours, mainly rain free and quiet weather conditions are expected to hold overnight and into Wednesday morning.
Minor adjustments were made to the rain chances for the next couple of hours to keep up with radar trends. Otherwise, the forecast looks on track with a few more showers being possible Wednesday afternoon, mainly over southwest Florida.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 719 PM EST Tue Nov 10 2026
Mainly VFR conditions are expected through the next 24 hours, although some occasional MVFR ceilings cannot be completely ruled out Wednesday morning into the early afternoon. A few showers will develop Wednesday afternoon, mainly around southwest Florida, but rain chances at area terminals will all be less than 20 percent.
MARINE
Issued at 150 PM EST Tue Nov 10 2026
Light winds will remain over the area through Wednesday. By Thursday we will see a quick moving cold front push through behind it. After frontal passage we will see the winds increase through the afternoon and evening. Winds will peak around 15 to 20 knots Thursday night out of the northwest and stay elevated through Friday. By the weekend we will see winds shifting more north then northwest and they will drop slight but still remain around 15 knots.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 150 PM EST Tue Nov 10 2026
We will see mostly dry conditions through the weekend with no fire weather concerns.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 69 81 67 80 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 72 85 70 81 / 10 10 20 20 GIF 69 84 63 81 / 20 10 0 0 SRQ 70 81 69 80 / 10 10 10 10 BKV 64 81 63 80 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 70 79 69 78 / 0 0 10 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. Gulf waters...None.
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