textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Pleasant weather with rain-free conditions and lower humidity expected through midweek.

- Moisture increases late in the week leading to scattered mainly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms.

UPDATE

Issued at 745 PM EDT Mon Oct 12 2026

Early evening IR and water vapor satellite imagery is showing a very dry air mass is in place across the forecast area, with clear skies and quiet weather conditions forecast to hold overnight and into Tuesday morning.

The forecast looks on track, with temperatures tonight forecast to be a few degrees cooler than last night, with lows in the low 60s north and mid 60s to low 70s central and south. No changes planned for the evening update.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 745 PM EDT Mon Oct 12 2026

VFR conditions are expected to hold through the next 24 hours.

MARINE

Issued at 745 PM EDT Mon Oct 12 2026

High pressure north of the waters will keep east and northeast winds in place through the rest of the week. Easterly surges will bring winds up to near or above Exercise Caution thresholds each night beginning Tuesday, mainly over southwest Florida where the pressure gradient will be tighter. Increasing moisture from the south during the second half of the week into the weekend will lead to chances of showers or storms each day.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 68 87 69 87 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 68 87 70 89 / 0 0 0 10 GIF 65 88 68 89 / 0 0 0 10 SRQ 67 87 69 88 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 60 87 63 88 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 70 86 71 87 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.