textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Slight risk for heavy rain and flooding across much of the Nature Coast through Sunday. Marginal risk for the remainder of West Central and Southwest Florida.

- Flood Watch now in effect for Levy, Citrus, and Hernando counties through 8 PM Monday.

- High risk of dangerous rip currents at area beaches through the weekend.

- A Small Craft Advisory is now in effect from 11 AM to 8 PM on Sunday.

UPDATE

Issued at 818 PM EDT Sat Aug 1 2026

Unsettled weather conditions prevailed once again today across the Peninsula. This will continue on Sunday as onshore flow remains in place. Overnight/early morning showers and storms will be possible with on and off activity anticipated once again during the day. Pressure gradient will gradually increase through the day supporting breezy winds especially near the coast. Ample cloud coverage will keep temperatures from going over 90 degrees, so at least we get a break from the intense heat. A high risk for rip currents in local beaches remains during this time.

A Small Craft Advisory is now in effect from Sunday morning to the evening hours across northern waters. Mariners should exercise caution if navigating the central as well waters during this time.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 729 PM EDT Sat Aug 1 2026

Most of the convection has dissipated or is trending in that direction across TAF sites. Westerly flow will continue to bring potential for showers and storms again overnight and through the day on Sunday. Winds are forecast to increase by midday, especially for TPA and PIE. MVFR/IFR cigs and vis possible near thunderstorms.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 78 86 78 87 / 80 80 40 50 FMY 77 89 77 90 / 30 30 20 40 GIF 76 87 75 89 / 40 70 30 70 SRQ 77 88 77 89 / 60 70 40 50 BKV 73 86 73 88 / 80 80 40 50 SPG 79 86 79 87 / 80 80 50 50

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday evening for Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee- Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

Flood Watch through Monday evening for Coastal Citrus-Coastal Hernando-Coastal Levy-Inland Citrus-Inland Hernando-Inland Levy.

Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM EDT Sunday for Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM- Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.