textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Warm and humid conditions will continue with scattered showers and thunderstorms, generally moving from west to east through the next few days.

- Marginal Risk of Excessive Rainfall for portions of the region through Monday with the stronger thunderstorm activity.

UPDATE

Issued at 715 PM EDT Sat Sep 5 2026

A lot less activity this afternoon and evening compare to what the area experienced yesterday. This was sponsored by relatively drier air sneaking into the area. ACAR soundings showed PWAT values near 1.6 inches compared to yesterday it was near 2 inches. There could still be a shower or two near the coast overnight and early morning, however, most of the if any of the activity is anticipated across SWFL and interior locations on Sunday. Afternoon temperatures will be a degree or two warmer with plenty of sunshine. If you plan to spend time outdoors, remember to take breaks from the sun, use protective wear/sunscreen, stay hydrated. Light and variable winds prevail.

No changes were made to the forecast as it remains on track.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 715 PM EDT Sat Sep 5 2026

A few showers remain near LAL but should gradually dissipate. VFR conditions are anticipated overnight. Westerly flow could support a some showers during the morning hours, but there is low confident on the timing. Drier air should limit showers and storm coverage on Sunday with the highest rain chances expected during the afternoon, especially across SWFL terminals.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 79 91 79 90 / 10 30 40 70 FMY 77 92 78 92 / 30 30 20 60 GIF 75 94 75 94 / 10 30 10 90 SRQ 78 92 78 91 / 10 20 30 50 BKV 74 91 74 91 / 10 30 50 80 SPG 80 91 80 90 / 10 30 30 60

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.