textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Late night and early morning patchy mist/fog potential next few days.

- Above normal to near-record high temperatures over inland areas through the weekend.

- Afternoon and evening shower and storm chances Friday through Sunday for the northern Nature Coast and interior before area wide chances with a cold front on Monday.

SHORT TERM (TDY-SAT)

Issued at 244 AM EDT Fri May 8 2026

Low clouds and fog are present across the peninsula this morning. Meanwhile, high pressure remains over most of the state as U/L shortwave and associated frontal boundary slowly move south through the weekend. This disturbance will pull higher moisture into the area, which will increase rain chances slightly mostly for the interior and east during the afternoon and evening over the next few days. Additional moisture will also support low clouds and fog overnight and early morning.

In store for today, highs will be in the low to mid 90s in most locations, except for areas along the coast that will stay in the 80s. Westerly winds prevail during this time. Heat indices will climb up into the triple digits given the increase in moisture. The aforementioned boundary slides back and stall across north FL.

LONG TERM (SUN-THU)

Issued at 244 AM EDT Fri May 8 2026

Going into next week, another system will attempt to move over the area region and push the front southward through Tuesday. Showers may make it to the I-4 corridor, however, current guidance keeps shows the boundary falling apart as U/L supports exits the area. Temperatures behind it will be a few degrees lower, especially overnight. This won't last very long as high pressue builds and a warming trend returns.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 131 AM EDT Fri May 8 2026

VFR conditions prevails through the next few hours before low clouds and fog near some terminals. This will result in intermittent MVFR/IFR cigs and vis. VFR conditions should return after sunrise with west to northwesterly winds in place.

MARINE

Issued at 244 AM EDT Fri May 8 2026

Pleasant boating conditions are anticipated in the Gulf waters through the period. Mostly onshore winds from south to southwest over the weekend. A boundary could bring increasing rain chances mainly to offshore and northern waters during this time. The aforementioned boundary will push across next week bringing much drier conditions.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 244 AM EDT Fri May 8 2026

Moisture increases over the next few days with only a few areas over the interior dropping near critical levels, however, winds should remain below 15 mph. Rain chances increase gradually into early next week. Then, drier conditions return towards the end of the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 90 74 90 76 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 93 74 93 75 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 94 73 95 73 / 10 10 10 0 SRQ 88 73 89 74 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 91 70 92 71 / 10 10 10 0 SPG 90 76 90 77 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.