textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Warm temperatures will continue through the rest of the week, with high temperatures running about 5-10 degrees above normal.

- There is a high chance for late night and early morning fog formation each day into the weekend, along with sea fog over the coastal waters.

- Hazardous marine conditions and much cooler temperatures return early next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1246 PM EST Thu Feb 19 2026

Current weather pattern remains on repeat through Saturday as high pressure holds over the area. High temperatures will continue to run 5-10 degrees above normal with inland areas getting close if not to, 90 degrees by Saturday. Sea fog will also be a concern the next couple of days as a warm southerly wind blows over the cool Gulf Waters. Along with the sea fog, radiational fog will also be likely inland, impacting morning commutes. Be sure to use caution when visibilities are low. Inland fog should lift by mid morning, however the sea fog will likely linger out in the Gulf through most of the day.

The cold front over the weekend will bring a shift in the pattern for next week. A chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms will be possible Saturday night through Sunday as the front makes its way through the state. Behind the front a much colder air mass will filter in dropping temperatures back into the 30s/40s to start the week. Tuesday and Wednesday morning are expected to be the coolest mornings, and a cold weather advisory will likely be needed for many. High temperatures will top out in the 50s and 60s Monday and Tuesday then gradually increase through the remainder of the week.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1246 PM EST Thu Feb 19 2026

VFR conditions prevail through the afternoon. Fog likely to develop overnight into the early morning, impacting most, if not all, sites. Conditions should improve by mid morning and return to VFR.

MARINE

Issued at 1246 PM EST Thu Feb 19 2026

Quiet marine conditions expected this afternoon. Sea fog likely to develop this evening across the waters and bays. Sea fog will possibly linger in the Gulf through most of the day tomorrow. A cold front moves through Sunday, brining a line of showers and possible thunderstorms Saturday night into Sunday morning. Winds and seas increase quickly behind the front, reaching advisory levels Monday continuing into Tuesday. conditions begin to improve by Wednesday next week.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1246 PM EST Thu Feb 19 2026

Warm and dry conditions continue through Saturday. RH values will remain above critical levels. however increased winds today and tomorrow afternoon will keep dispersion indices on the high side. A cold front will move through Saturday night into Sunday morning bringing some rain to the area before drying out once again.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 64 82 63 82 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 63 85 62 85 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 62 88 62 88 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 62 80 61 80 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 58 85 56 85 / 0 0 0 10 SPG 67 79 67 80 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.