textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Hot conditions will continue for the next several days with max temperatures in the low to mid 90s and heat index values approaching advisory levels. - Rain coverage will be below normal on Sunday, then rain chances will increase again from north to the south through the first half of the week.

UPDATE

Issued at 754 PM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026

With deep moisture over much of the forecast area, scattered to numerous storms were able to develop during the late morning and early afternoon hours today over southwest Florida, and then more isolated coverage developing over the northern half of the forecast area later in the afternoon and evening. The early start to the rain and clouds over the southern portions of the area spared much of that region from the elevated heat index values that were previously advertised, although patchy heat index values of 108+ were reported farther to the north.

Rainfall has now quickly dissipated across the area, with drier conditions expected to hold overnight and through the day on Sunday. The forecast looks on track through Sunday, with warm and mainly rain free conditions expected. No changes planned for the evening update.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 754 PM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026

The last few remaining showers and storms have largely dissipated, with mainly rain free conditions expected to hold overnight and through the day on Sunday. While thunderstorm chances are too low to mention in the TAFs, an isolated afternoon storm or two cannot be completely ruled out.

MARINE

Issued at 141 PM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026

Winds will remain easterly today around 5 knots before slowly shifting north on Sunday and Westerly by Monday. Winds will remain out of the westerly direction through much of next work week. Storm chances through the period will remain low as we are seeing drier through Tuesday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 80 94 80 93 / 10 10 0 10 FMY 77 96 78 96 / 10 0 0 0 GIF 77 96 76 97 / 10 20 10 10 SRQ 77 93 78 93 / 10 10 0 0 BKV 75 94 76 93 / 10 10 10 10 SPG 80 93 80 92 / 10 10 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.