textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Gusty northeast winds will produce hazardous marine conditions over the eastern Gulf waters starting late Monday and continuing through most of the week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 138 PM EST Sun Nov 15 2026

Another beautiful day today thanks to high pressure holding over the eastern U.S. This system will linger through the week. However, moisture will begin to increase as a shortwave moves over the northern Gulf coast tomorrow into Tuesday then shifting over FL into the Atlantic. The extra moisture will lead to increased cloud coverage starting tomorrow. A few showers could also accompany the shortwave as it moves across FL Monday night into Tuesday morning.

Otherwise, breezy northeasterly flow is expected through the majority of the week with the high pressure holding to the north. With moisture flowing in from the Atlantic, a few showers will be possible each afternoon, mainly inland. Temperatures will be near normal through the week.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 138 PM EST Sun Nov 15 2026

VFR conditions prevail through the period. Breezy northeasterly winds expected with cloud cover increasing tomorrow morning.

MARINE

Issued at 138 PM EST Sun Nov 15 2026

Marine conditions are expected to deteriorate tomorrow evening as winds increase to advisory levels. Small craft will be likely beginning tomorrow evening through the end of the week as high pressure to the north will keeps the northeasterly winds elevated

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 138 PM EST Sun Nov 15 2026

Though a dry air mass currently holds over the area, RH values remain above critical. Moisture increases through the week as do the northeasterly winds.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 58 77 64 77 / 0 0 10 10 FMY 61 81 67 79 / 0 0 10 20 GIF 58 77 64 77 / 0 0 20 10 SRQ 59 79 65 78 / 0 0 10 10 BKV 52 77 58 77 / 0 0 30 20 SPG 61 77 65 77 / 0 0 10 10

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.