textproduct: Tampa Bay Area
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Late night and early morning patchy mist/fog potential next few days.
- Above normal to near-record high temperatures over inland areas through the weekend.
- Afternoon and evening shower and storm chances Friday through Sunday for the northern Nature Coast and interior before area wide chances with a cold front on Monday.
UPDATE
Issued at 749 PM EDT Fri May 8 2026
Early evening water vapor satellite imagery is showing a band of upper level moisture spreading south through Florida associated with a stalled frontal boundary. Scattered storms have developed over northern Florida along and south of this front, with a few cells still lingering over Levy County. However this convection is forecast to quickly shift east and dissipate over the next couple of hours as daytime solar heating is lost. Otherwise, there is some concern that patchy fog could develop once again this evening and into Saturday morning.
The forecast looks on track overall, with no significant changes planned for the evening update.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 749 PM EDT Fri May 8 2026
Patches of fog and low stratus will develop overnight, and could cause periods of MVFR or IFR/LIFR conditions at area terminals after around 06-08z. VFR conditions will return by around 14z and will hold through the day on Saturday.
MARINE
Issued at 225 PM EDT Fri May 8 2026 No headlines are expected through the next several days with winds mostly from the south/southwest. A frontal boundary will bring just a slight chance for rain for mainly the northern waters this weekend, then rain chances increase for Monday as the front moves southward. The rest of the week will then feature drier conditions.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 225 PM EDT Fri May 8 2026 No Red Flag concerns as relative humidity values will remain above critical levels. Some patchy fog is expected.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 74 90 76 90 / 0 10 10 0 FMY 74 93 75 94 / 0 10 0 0 GIF 73 95 74 94 / 10 10 10 20 SRQ 73 89 74 90 / 0 10 10 0 BKV 69 92 71 92 / 0 0 10 0 SPG 76 90 77 91 / 0 10 10 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. Gulf waters...None.
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