textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Warm and humid conditions will continue with scattered showers and thunderstorms, generally moving from west to east through the next several days.

- Marginal Risk of Excessive Rainfall mainly in urban areas with the stronger thunderstorm activity.

UPDATE

Issued at 633 PM EDT Fri Sep 4 2026

Onshore winds prevail across the peninsula pushing showers and storms throughout the day. Most of the convection has been over interior counties, but it should dissipate over the next few hours. Overnight there could be a few showers near the coast and there will be small chances into the early morning hours. Model guidance brings slightly drier air, however, this may only limit coverage with higher possibilities across SWFL and interior locations. Temperatures on Saturday will be in the 90s area-wide with heat indices in the triple digits. Onshore flow continues.

No changes were made to the forecast as it remains on track.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 633 PM EDT Fri Sep 4 2026

Scattered showers and storms remain near terminals. Most of the convection should continue to dissipate over the next few hours. Light and variable winds prevail overnight with winds becoming southerly to then westerly. Storms will begin to develop earlier near the coast, but should become more widespread inland. Pockets of drier air may limit storm coverage. The highest chances will lay inland and across SWFL sites.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 78 91 78 91 / 10 30 10 40 FMY 78 93 77 92 / 20 60 20 60 GIF 75 94 75 94 / 30 60 20 60 SRQ 77 91 78 91 / 10 30 10 30 BKV 73 92 74 92 / 10 30 20 40 SPG 79 91 79 91 / 10 30 10 30

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.