textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Hazardous marine conditions continue today. - Warming trend through the week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1207 AM EST Wed Jan 21 2026 Surface high pressure along the mid Atlantic coast will move over the western Atlantic today. This will cause boundary layer winds across the Florida peninsula to shift from the northeast to the east off the Atlantic which will accelerate modification of the airmass currently over the region...with warming temperatures and increasing low level moisture through the end of the week. Temperatures will climb to about 4 to 8 degrees above climatic normals today, which will persist each day into the weekend.

The next cold front is expected to push across west central and southwest Florida late Sunday and Sunday night with a chance of showers, mainly across north and central areas. Canadian high pressure will move over the forecast area in the wake of the front early next week with cooler temperatures on gusty north winds.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 720 AM EST Wed Jan 21 2026

VFR conditions through the period with winds out of the northeast through the period.

MARINE

Issued at 1207 AM EST Wed Jan 21 2026 Gusty northeast winds will continue to create hazardous boating conditions mainly across the central and southern waters today, with advisory levels winds this morning becoming cautionary this afternoon. Winds will continue to subside tonight and Thursday, with relatively benign conditions expected Friday through early Sunday. A cold front will push across the waters late Sunday and Sunday night with gusty north winds developing in the wake of the front into Monday, potentially at advisory levels.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1207 AM EST Wed Jan 21 2026 Low level moisture will begin to recover today. No fire weather hazards are expected through the end of the week as minimum relative humidity values will remain above critical levels each day.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 75 58 77 60 / 0 0 10 0 FMY 78 60 82 62 / 0 0 10 0 GIF 75 56 79 60 / 0 0 10 0 SRQ 77 57 78 60 / 0 0 10 0 BKV 75 48 80 50 / 0 0 10 0 SPG 75 60 77 62 / 0 0 10 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Tampa Bay waters- Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM.