textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Patchy dense late night and early morning fog into next week.

- A cold front will bring cooler much less humid conditions to the region late in the week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1247 AM EST Sun Nov 23 2025 A weak cold front will sink south across the region today with the only change being that winds will shift to the north and northwest. The front will stall across south central Florida tonight, and return north as a warm front Monday and Monday night. Pooling of moisture in the proximity of the frontal boundary may increase the likelihood of fog development tonight and Monday night across west central Florida.

Winds will veer to the southeast on Tuesday as surface high pressure over the western Atlantic retreats from the region. A cold front will push across the Florida peninsula late Wednesday and Wednesday night. Deep layer moisture will be limited, and dry conditions will prevail...but can't rule out a stray light shower. Much cooler drier air will advect across the forecast area in the wake of the front late in the week with temperatures dropping below climatic normals.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1247 AM EST Sun Nov 23 2025 Areas of fog early this morning which may be locally dense could impact terminals for several hours with generally MVFR VSBYs...but isolated locations could see a period of IFR CIGs/VSBYs. The fog will lift a few hours after sunrise with VFR conditions under mostly sunny skies the remainder of the day.

MARINE

Issued at 1247 AM EST Sun Nov 23 2025 A weak cold front will sink south across the waters today with winds becoming north to northwest. High pressure will build back over the waters on Monday. A stronger cold front will move across the waters mid week. Winds/seas will remain relatively light through Wednesday, but will increase in the wake of the cold front mid week with cautionary levels likely...and may approach advisory levels on portions of the waters.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1247 AM EST Sun Nov 23 2025 No fire weather hazards are expected as sufficient moisture will keep minimum afternoon relative humidity values above critical levels. Light winds will lead to poor dispersion across portions of west central and southwest Florida today.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 82 66 84 66 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 84 65 86 65 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 84 64 84 63 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 81 64 84 64 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 82 58 84 58 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 80 67 82 67 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.