textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 819 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026

- Near to slightly above normal temperatures will continue through the next week.

- Rain coverage will be limited today and Wednesday, then chances for afternoon showers and thunderstorms increase Thursday through the weekend.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Mainly VFR conditions to continue with decreasing SSW winds tonight and SCT cu AOA 03K ft and a few brief ISOLD SHRA from E Gulf moving ashore through the morning. SW winds increase and become gusty again aft 16Z Wed.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 126 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026

Strong southwesterly flow will remain in place through the work week. This will keep most shower activity inland and along the east coast of Florida. The southwesterly flow also tends to give us warmer lows as the winds come off the warm Gulf Waters. This along with less shower activity results in higher temperatures in the afternoon and evening hours.

We do see an increase in moisture which should result in more shower activity across the state. However, we will still see a southwesterly flow keeping most of that shower activity away from the west coast.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 126 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026

Summertime humidity and heat will continue however we are expecting dry conditions for the west coast of Florida for much of our work week.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 126 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026

Summertime humidity and heat will continue however we are expecting dry conditions for the west coast of Florida for much of our work week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 81 92 82 93 / 20 0 10 10 FMY 78 94 80 95 / 10 20 10 20 GIF 76 96 77 96 / 20 20 10 50 SRQ 79 92 80 94 / 10 10 10 10 BKV 76 95 78 96 / 20 10 10 20 SPG 81 92 82 93 / 20 0 10 10

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.