textproduct: Tampa Bay Area
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Hazardous marine conditions continue into Wednesday. - Warming trend through the week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 122 PM EST Tue Jan 20 2026
After this morning's cold start, temperatures will begin to moderate through the remainder of the week thanks to high pressure dominating the pattern. In fact by the end of the week and into the weekend, the 80s are back in the forecast. Enjoy the reprieve from the cold, because another cool down is expected the start of next week. A cold front will move through the area Sunday into Monday allowing another cool, dry air mass to filter in behind it. A chance of showers will push out ahead of the front Sunday night into Monday morning, mainly for areas north of I4. By Tuesday, many areas will be back in the 30s and 40s for lows.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 122 PM EST Tue Jan 20 2026
VFR conditions prevail through the period. Gusty NE winds will diminish overnight, but another surge tomorrow mid morning is expected.
MARINE
Issued at 122 PM EST Tue Jan 20 2026
hazardous marine conditions continue through the day and into tonight as advisory level winds remain over the waters. Conditions will begin to quiet by Wednesday with pleasant conditions expected through the remainder of the week. Another cold front is expected to push through Sunday into Monday bringing increased winds and a chance of showers.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 122 PM EST Tue Jan 20 2026
Fire weather dangers remain elevated today as a dry air mass lingers over the area today, bringing widespread below critical RH values, especially along the nature coast. Elevated winds around 15 mph are also occurring throughout the area. Moisture begins to increase tomorrow, helping to limit fire weather dangers.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 48 75 57 77 / 0 0 0 10 FMY 51 78 60 81 / 0 0 0 10 GIF 47 75 56 78 / 0 0 0 10 SRQ 48 76 57 79 / 0 0 0 10 BKV 38 75 49 79 / 0 0 0 10 SPG 54 74 61 76 / 0 0 0 10
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Wednesday for Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Tampa Bay waters- Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM.
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