textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Hazardous fire weather conditions today.

- Hazardous marine conditions over the waters into Wednesday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 228 PM EDT Tue Apr 21 2026

Pleasant, though breezy, conditions continue today. Dry air has filtered in behind yesterday's frontal boundary. This coupled with the breezy conditions has led to elevated fire weather concerns throughout the area. A red flag warning remains in affect until 8 pm this evening. Winds will gradually diminish as the week continues and moisture levels will increase, though rain chances will still be limited. As the weekend approaches, the chance for isolated afternoon showers increases slightly, especially for interior locations. Otherwise, quiet conditions expected through the remainder of the week with afternoon high temperatures gradually increasing each day. After enjoying the low to mid 80s through the week, the 90s will once again make an appearance by the weekend.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 228 PM EDT Tue Apr 21 2026

VFR conditions prevail through the period. Breezy E/NE winds continue the remainder of the day before decreasing overnight.

MARINE

Issued at 228 PM EDT Tue Apr 21 2026

Hazardous marine conditions continue through early tomorrow morning. Winds are expected briefly drop below advisory levels this afternoon, before bouncing back later this evening. Conditions are expected to improve beginning tomorrow afternoon as winds and seas begin to subside.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 228 PM EDT Tue Apr 21 2026

Fire weather hazards remain elevated as RH values continue to be below critical levels and winds stay above 15 mph. Moisture slowly starts to creep back in tomorrow, though many areas will still have RH values right around or just below critical levels, especially north of I-4.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 63 84 66 85 / 0 0 0 10 FMY 61 85 64 85 / 0 0 0 10 GIF 60 83 62 85 / 0 0 0 20 SRQ 60 84 64 84 / 0 0 0 10 BKV 53 85 57 86 / 0 0 0 10 SPG 69 85 70 85 / 0 0 0 10

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...Red Flag Warning until 8 PM EDT this evening for Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Citrus-Coastal Hernando-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Levy-Coastal Manatee- Coastal Pasco-Coastal Sarasota-DeSoto-Hardee-Highlands- Inland Charlotte-Inland Citrus-Inland Hernando-Inland Hillsborough-Inland Lee-Inland Levy-Inland Manatee-Inland Pasco-Inland Sarasota-Pinellas-Polk-Sumter.

Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Wednesday for Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Tampa Bay waters- Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM.


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