textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Above normal temperatures are expected through the week.

- Thunderstorms are expected to develop each day, mainly in the afternoon into the evening hours.

- Severe to extreme drought conditions continue for most areas.

UPDATE

Issued at 736 PM EDT Thu May 21 2026

A fairly active afternoon across the Florida Peninsula.Boundary collisions have been relentless along the I-75 corridor and interior areas this afternoon and early evening. Storms are expected to move offshore during the next few hours with quiet conditions overnight. Lows will stay rather warm ranging from the low to mid 70s inland to the upper 70s along the coast. Then, another warm day with storms slightly delayed. Afternoon highs climb up into the low to mid 90s again with southeasterly flow prevailing.

No changes were made to the forecast as it remains on track.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 736 PM EDT Thu May 21 2026

Showers/storms remain near terminals and should move offshore over the next few hours. VFR conditions anticipated overnight and rain chances returning during the evening on Friday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 77 92 78 92 / 30 20 20 40 FMY 74 93 76 93 / 40 40 20 60 GIF 74 93 75 93 / 30 20 10 40 SRQ 75 92 76 92 / 20 20 20 30 BKV 73 94 74 94 / 20 30 30 40 SPG 77 93 78 94 / 20 20 20 30

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.

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