textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Critical RH values across the region the next few days.

- Above average temperatures continue through the week.

- Moderate to extreme drought conditions continue.

UPDATE

Issued at 753 PM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Surface high pressure building in from the north has kept warm and dry conditions in place today, with the warming trend forecast to continue through the rest of the week. The biggest forecast concern overnight is the possibility of patchy fog developing by early Wednesday morning, mainly over the Nature Coast under light winds and dew points in the upper 50s. However, HREF guidance continues to show that the probability of dense fog developing is too limited to include in the forecast at this time.

Overall, the forecast looks on track, and no significant changes are planned for the evening update.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 753 PM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

VFR conditions should continue through the next 24 hours. There is an outside chance of some patchy fog late tonight/early Wednesday morning, but confidence is too low to mention fog in the TAFs at this time.

MARINE

Issued at 206 PM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Strong ridging over the area will keep our winds out of an easterly direction through Saturday. Winds will be little higher today and tomorrow around 10 to 15 knots. These winds will calm down for Thursday through Saturday and sit around 5 to 10 knots.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 65 86 65 86 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 63 87 63 88 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 61 87 62 88 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 63 85 63 85 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 56 88 56 88 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 70 87 70 86 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.