textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Warm temperatures through the remainder of the weekend and the upcoming week...chance of daily showers, mainly over the interior.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 147 PM EST Sun Mar 1 2026

Today has turned to a warm and mostly sunny day after a more gloomy start to the morning with low clouds lingering through the area. The remnants of yesterday's cold front linger over south Florida as high pressure builds back in from the north. As we move into the work week the forecast becomes very repetitive. The flow will continue to be out of the east northeast through the week which will help push moisture towards the east coast and into central Florida. With the added moisture, there will be a chance of afternoon showers and a possible thunderstorm especially over the interior each afternoon, almost like a summertime pattern. Temperatures will also run above normal for early March with highs getting close to 90s in some areas and lows in the 60s.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 147 PM EST Sun Mar 1 2026

Some below VFR ceilings still linger over SWFL this afternoon, but should continue to improve as the evening approaches. VFR conditions expected overnight and into tomorrow for most areas. However, there is a chance of below VFR ceilings early tomorrow morning, especially for SWFL once again.

MARINE

Issued at 147 PM EST Sun Mar 1 2026

Mainly quiet conditions over the waters through the week as high pressure holds over the area. As the week continues winds could become a bit stronger in the evenings reaching near SCEC levels before diminishing in the overnight hours.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 147 PM EST Sun Mar 1 2026

Plenty of moisture through the week will minimize fire weather concerns.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 62 82 64 83 / 0 20 10 30 FMY 65 84 64 86 / 30 30 20 30 GIF 61 81 62 82 / 0 20 10 40 SRQ 62 82 63 83 / 10 30 10 30 BKV 53 83 56 84 / 0 10 0 30 SPG 66 82 67 82 / 10 20 10 30

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.