textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Warming trend expected to continue through Tuesday.

- The next cold front approaches and moves through the area Tuesday/Tuesday night bringing the next chance of showers and thunderstorms.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 113 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025

Forecast remains on track with warming expected today and tomorrow before a cold front moves through Tuesday. A few isolated showers could materialize tomorrow as the frontal boundary stalls across north Florida, increasing moisture. By Tuesday, this front will push south, increasing rain chances further. Some thunderstorms could also be possible Tuesday as the front moves through. Behind the front, slightly cooler and drier air will move in as high pressure builds back in. Temperatures moderate once again heading into next weekend, before another frontal boundary moves towards the area.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 113 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025

Mostly VFR conditions prevail through the period. Less than VFR ceilings are possible overnight into tomorrow morning especially around LAL, PIE, and TPA.

MARINE

Issued at 113 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025

East, northeast winds remain around 10-15kts over the waters today and tomorrow. Tuesday, a cold front will move through bringing a line of showers, possible thunderstorms, and increased winds.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 113 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025

Fire weather concerns remain limited with RH values above critical levels. A cold front moves through Tuesday with dry air filtering in behind it. However, RH values will remain above critical.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 66 83 69 80 / 10 10 20 60 FMY 66 84 68 82 / 10 10 10 30 GIF 64 82 67 82 / 10 20 10 60 SRQ 64 84 68 80 / 0 10 20 50 BKV 59 83 63 80 / 10 10 30 70 SPG 67 81 70 78 / 10 10 20 60

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.