textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Daily maximum heat index values of 100-107 degrees continue areawide.

- Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms through the remainder of the week mainly interior and southwest.

UPDATE

Issued at 738 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

Weak southerly flow today allowed for increasing atmospheric moisture across the Florida Peninsula, leading to scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over much of the forecast area. A few storms are still lingering along sea breeze and outflow boundary collisions south of the Tampa Bay and over southwest Florida, but this convection is rapidly dissipating with the loss of daytime heating and mainly rain free conditions are expected to fill in across land areas by around 10 PM.

The forecast looks on track with south and southeast flow on Friday producing another afternoon of scattered to numerous thunderstorms. No changes planned for the evening update.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 738 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

Lingering showers and storms could continue to cause flight category disruptions at area terminals through around 02z this evening, then mainly rain free and VFR conditions will hold through Friday morning. Showers and storms will develop again during the afternoon and evening hours, with the highest storm chances over the interior around KLAL, and over southwest Florida around KRSW, KFMY, and KPGD.

MARINE

Issued at 140 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

Mostly pleasant boating conditions persist into the weekend with winds less than 10kts and seas around 2 ft or less.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 140 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

Though conditions remain hot, and mostly dry, fire weather concerns remain low. RH values will stay above critical values.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 79 93 79 93 / 20 30 20 40 FMY 76 95 77 95 / 30 40 30 70 GIF 74 95 76 95 / 40 50 40 60 SRQ 77 94 78 94 / 20 30 20 40 BKV 73 95 73 95 / 10 40 20 30 SPG 79 93 80 94 / 20 30 20 30

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.