textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 328 AM EDT Sun Sep 27 2026

- Very limited rain chances area wide through Monday, with slight chances returning on Tuesday across far southern locations. - Drier and relatively cooler air mass remains across the area into early next week before gradually moderating.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 328 AM EDT Sun Sep 27 2026

If you enjoyed yesterday's break from the heat and humidity, you're in luck as today will feature much of the same! In fact, these conditions will continue for the next couple of days. This morning will likely be the coolest in this series of pleasant days. Low temperatures will drop to the upper 50s to low 60s for the nature coast and the low to mid 60s elsewhere. Warm Gulf temperatures will moderate temperatures directly along the coast keeping the low temperatures closer to the upper 60s low 70s. High temperatures today will continue to run a few degrees below normal, topping out in the mid 80s. Low humidity will contribute significantly to today's comfortable conditions. RH values will likely run around 30- 40 percent.

The pattern begins to change by midweek as high pressure begins to build off the east coast. The northerly flow over the next couple of days will switch more E/SE as the high pressure builds. This will allow moisture to gradual increase. By Wednesday, more typical rain chances return, especially south of I4. By the end of the week, more widespread coverage of showers and storms is expected. Easterly flow later in the week will favor showers and storms develop inland in the afternoon, then pushing towards the west coast in the evening. Temperatures will also rebound to near normal, reaching the low 90s once again.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 328 AM EDT Sun Sep 27 2026

Dry, VFR conditions prevail through the period.

MARINE

Issued at 328 AM EDT Sun Sep 27 2026

Marine conditions will continue to improve over the next couple of days as winds diminish. By mid week, shower and storm chances begin to increase. Towards the end of the week, easterly winds will increase again, possibly reaching cautionary levels.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 328 AM EDT Sun Sep 27 2026

A drier air mass positioned over Florida, will lead to RH values close to critical. However, winds are expected to remain below 15 mph through the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 85 69 88 72 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 86 69 88 71 / 0 0 0 10 GIF 85 65 89 68 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 84 69 87 71 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 84 63 88 67 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 85 72 87 75 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.