textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Critically low relative humidity values over the interior for the next couple of days.

- Warming trend continues through through the week.

- Next chance of rain is on Tuesday and Wednesday.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Light winds and clear skies for VFR conditions to continue through the forecast period.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 222 PM EDT Sun Mar 22 2026 Surface high pressure over the state this afternoon will generally remain in place through tomorrow before shifting south some on Tuesday as a frontal boundary moves south over the region. This will keep warming and dry conditions across the local area through the start of the work week before rain chances come back into the forecast for Tuesday and Wednesday with the front. Best chances are for northern and interior locations, though most places that do see rainfall will likely not even get a quarter of an inch. We dry out again for the end of the week as high pressure settles back in, then another boundary moves through this weekend, with another chance for showers on Sunday.

MARINE

Issued at 222 PM EDT Sun Mar 22 2026 High pressure will remain over the region through Monday, with light winds and seas continuing over the waters. A frontal boundary will then move through on Tuesday, with winds turning northeast behind it for mid-week. No headlines are expected.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 222 PM EDT Sun Mar 22 2026 Relatively drier air remains over the region for the next couple of days, with critically low relative humidity values expected for parts of the interior each afternoon. Winds will remain light, however, so no Red Flag conditions are anticipated. Some patchy fog is expected for the next few mornings.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 60 79 63 82 / 0 0 0 20 FMY 57 83 58 85 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 58 85 60 86 / 0 0 0 30 SRQ 56 78 61 81 / 0 0 0 10 BKV 50 80 56 84 / 0 0 0 30 SPG 65 79 66 82 / 0 0 0 10

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.


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