textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Increasing rain chances through midweek.

- Hazardous marine conditions expected Tuesday through Thursday.

- Moderate to extreme drought conditions continue.

UPDATE

Issued at 803 PM EDT Sun Apr 5 2026

With abundant moisture, daytime heating and the sea breeze pushing inland, it has been a bit more active this afternoon and evening with scattered showers and storms firing up over the area. The highest coverage and strongest storms were over the interior and from the I-4 corridor southward. Radar estimates show some beneficial rainfall with amounts around 1-3 inches in some areas over the interior and southwest Florida. A line of showers and storms remain stretched from north to south from Polk County to Lee County, but will diminish over the next 2-3 hours with mostly rain- free conditions expected overnight. No significant changes needed to current forecast for the overnight period.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 803 PM EDT Sun Apr 5 2026

We've seen a bit more showers and storms this evening, especially over LAL/PGD where the sea breeze pushed inland. Conditions will quiet down over the next couple of hours with rain-free conditions and light winds expected overnight. Similiar conditions expected on Monday so will hold VCSH and VCTS after 18Z at all terminals. Some MVFR/IFR CIGs and VSBY restrictions will be possible in the showers and storms that do develop during the afternoon and evening hours. Winds will pick up a bit as well with winds around 8-12 knots expected during the afternoon and evening on Monday.

MARINE

Issued at 803 PM EDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Rain-free conditions and light winds expected overnight. Conditions will begin to deteriorate as a cold front moves southeast into the waters Monday and Monday night, with wind speeds increasing to Exercise Caution levels, then Advisory levels by Tuesday morning. Small Craft Advisory conditions are expected to persist through Thursday and will possibly increase to Gale Warning criteria at times. Rain and thunderstorm chances will also increase through the first half of the week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 69 85 66 77 / 10 40 70 60 FMY 68 86 67 81 / 40 50 70 70 GIF 67 86 65 76 / 50 70 70 70 SRQ 68 84 66 77 / 20 40 70 60 BKV 62 85 60 75 / 10 50 70 60 SPG 72 86 70 79 / 10 30 70 60

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.