textproduct: Tampa Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

- Above normal temperatures will continue through Saturday before a cold front brings in milder temperatures Sunday.

- A few showers will be possible over the Nature Coast today and Friday, then much better rain chances across the entire region late Saturday through Sunday night.

UPDATE

Issued at 814 PM EDT Thu Apr 30 2026

Another quiet afternoon across the peninsula. There was plenty of instability, but not enough moisture for any rain to make it down. Overnight lows should stay in the upper 60s to around 70 degrees. Low clouds and patchy fog are possible during the night and into the morning hours. An U/L trough and associated frontal boundary approach the region increasing rain chances across northern portions of the Nature Coast. Ample cloud coverage is anticipated is expected for central and SW portions of the state with most of moving south on Saturday. Highs still warm up into the 90s with west to southwesterly winds prevailing.

No changes were made to the forecast as it remains on track.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 706 PM EDT Thu Apr 30 2026

VFR conditions anticipated through most of the period. Model guidance bring in lower ceilings and vis overnight as low as IFR, however, confidence is not high enough at this point to go any further. Additional terminals may need to be added to the list as some of the guidance spreads low clouds area-wide during this time. Light and variable winds prevailing overnight and increasing out of the west through the day on Friday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

TPA 73 87 73 88 / 0 0 0 40 FMY 70 89 70 90 / 0 0 0 10 GIF 69 93 69 92 / 0 10 0 20 SRQ 71 85 70 87 / 0 0 0 30 BKV 65 89 65 90 / 0 10 0 50 SPG 76 87 76 87 / 0 0 0 40

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.