textproduct: Tallahassee

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 846 PM EST Sun Nov 2 2025

- Small craft advisories are hoisted in waters west of Apalachicola late tonight through Monday morning and exercise caution conditions in waters east of Apalachicola.

- Below normal temperatures continue Monday but a warming trend begins Tuesday with temperatures back to normal and above normal beginning midweek.

UPDATE

Issued at 846 PM EST Sun Nov 2 2025

No updates made to the forecast this evening.

SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM

(This Evening through Saturday) Issued at 125 PM EST Sun Nov 2 2025

Cold front will reach our western counties in the next few hours then move east and out of our eastern counties later tonight. Regional radars show some light precipitation/virga over the northeast Gulf waters moving inland, but with dewpoints in the mid 40s and dry low levels, may be hard pressed to get appreciable rainfall to the surface. Maintaining 20% rainfall chances into early evening with any amounts on the light side.

The area sits between two mid level troughs; one over Tennessee moving east over the Carolinas Monday morning while the other located over the west central Gulf moving southeast. As these features head east, surface high pressure builds east from the southern Plains. Reinforcing northerly flow will keep temperatures below normal Monday with highs in the upper 60s to around 70 degrees. As surface high pressure heads east towards the east coast Tuesday, and mid level ridging elongates across the Gulf coast, winds clock around to the east by midweek and southeast towards next weekend. This will kick start the warming trend with temperatures gradually back to normal and slightly above normal. Highs will reach the upper 70s to lower 80s mid to late week while lows reach back into the 50s. This setup will also keep conditions dry this week.

LONG TERM

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 728 PM EST Sun Nov 2 2025

VFR conditions expected through the TAF period with winds becoming northwesterly through the overnight hours.

MARINE

Issued at 125 PM EST Sun Nov 2 2025

A cold front will sweep through the Gulf waters this evening with fresh to strong northerly winds in its wake. Hoisted a small craft advisory in waters west of Apalachicola later this evening through Monday morning as winds will be around 20 knots, whereas exercise caution will be in effect for the remainder of the northeast Gulf waters. Exercise caution conditions will likely persist into Tuesday morning before winds relax and clock northeast to east as high pressure will be situated near the east coast. Mainly dry conditions are anticipated into next weekend.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 125 PM EST Sun Nov 2 2025

Winds turn northerly behind a cold front passage tonight with some gusty surface winds reaching 15-20 mph on Monday. High pressure slides to the east coast Tuesday with winds diminishing while clocking to the east. Dispersions will generally be favorable over the next few days while afternoon relative humidities will fall into the 30-45% range. Dry conditions are anticipated through the upcoming week.

HYDROLOGY

Issued at 125 PM EST Sun Nov 2 2025

No flooding is expected for at least the next 7 days.

There is a low chance of rain through Monday morning. Where rain occurs, amounts will be light and will not be hydrologically significant. The rest of the week ahead will be dry.

Drought conditions will therefore worsen this week. For more drought information, visit www.weather.gov/tae/LocalDrought.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Tallahassee 46 70 46 75 / 0 0 0 0 Panama City 46 70 48 75 / 0 0 0 0 Dothan 41 68 43 74 / 0 0 0 0 Albany 43 69 43 74 / 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 45 70 44 74 / 0 0 0 0 Cross City 48 72 45 76 / 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 48 68 51 71 / 0 0 0 0

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. GA...None. AL...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to noon CST Monday for GMZ751-752-770-772.