textproduct: Tallahassee

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 640 AM EST Tue Nov 3 2026

- Hazardous boating conditions continue through this afternoon with a high risk of rip currents in Walton and Franklin County beaches.

- Another round of rain is expected to arrive Wednesday and Thursday as a cold front approaches the region from the west. Some thunderstorms are also possible.

- Unseasonably warm/muggy conditions give way to cooler weather late this weekend.

SHORT TERM

(Today and Tonight) Issued at 108 AM EST Tue Nov 3 2026

Surface high pressure scooting off the Mid-Atlantic coast ahead of an approaching frontal system ushers in moist southeasterly low- level winds across the region. This confluent moisture return is producing SE-NW-moving showers late tonight over FL that will move into the Tri-State area later today. The axis of precipitation then shifts west of the Apalachicola-Flint River basin tonight as the front's Parent Low pulls in a moisture plume from the Eastern Gulf while starting to lift to the NE.

The front is expected to be draped south-north over the MS Valley by by early Wednesday morning with broken lines of showers and isolated embedded thunderstorms along/ahead of the boundary. High temperatures are forecast to be in the low 80s while lows merely drop to the upper 60s. The latter are roughly 15-20 degrees warmer than normal for early November.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through Monday) Issued at 108 AM EST Tue Nov 3 2026

Eastward-moving frontal boundary crosses the Tri-State area with its attendant Parent Low continuing its lift to the NE on Wednesday. Fleeting upper-level support implies minimal severe weather concerns, so we are mainly looking at scattered showers and thunderstorms focusing the most over our Central Timezone Counties and SW GA with perhaps a secondary convective band setting up along the I-75 corridor down to the Suwannee Valley during the afternoon.

Rain chances diminish substantially Wednesday night as forcing continues to weaken. Only some lingering showers are expected on Thursday until the front gains more eastward progress. From Friday through the weekend, additional shortwave troughs/impulses rounding the base of the mean upper Eastern US trough digging looks to spark additional showers streaming in from the SW. However, overall precipitation coverage appears limited, so rain chances are on the low side.

High temperatures are forecast to be mostly in the low 80s for the remainder of the work week, followed by readings more in the 70s this weekend. Lows in the 60s are expected through Friday with readings in the 50s being more common Saturday-Sunday.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 640 AM EST Tue Nov 3 2026

Low cigs remain through the late morning and early afternoon before gradually improving towards VFR. Rain chances increase from west to east late in the afternoon into the overnight hours. MVFR to IFR conditions will be possible overnight as pockets of moderate to heavy rainfall will be possible ahead/along an approaching cold front.

MARINE

Issued at 108 AM EST Tue Nov 3 2026

An ASCAT pass late last night showed widespread easterlies of 20+ kts mainly west of Ochlockonee River where a Small Craft Advisory remains in effect (until this afternoon).

CWF Synopsis: Moderate to fresh easterly breezes continue through tonight before becoming more gentle to moderate out of the south mid- to-late week.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 108 AM EST Tue Nov 3 2026

A moist airmass and rain in the forecast precludes fire weather concerns the next 3 days. Pockets of wetting rains are possible on Wednesday when a weakening front limps through the region. Winds are from the east to SE today, southerly tomorrow, and southwesterly on Thursday.

HYDROLOGY

Issued at 108 AM EST Tue Nov 3 2026

Light rainfall amounts are forecast over the next several days. Locally heavy rainfall is possible late tonight through tomorrow, which may produce nuisance flooding or ponding of water in urban, low-lying, and poor-drainage areas. There are overall no significant hydrological concerns.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Tallahassee 84 69 81 68 / 40 20 30 10 Panama City 82 71 80 69 / 30 50 40 0 Dothan 82 67 79 66 / 40 30 70 20 Albany 82 67 81 67 / 30 10 60 40 Valdosta 83 67 84 67 / 20 0 60 10 Cross City 84 68 84 68 / 50 10 30 10 Apalachicola 79 72 79 70 / 30 40 50 10

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...High Rip Current Risk through this evening for FLZ108-115.

GA...None. AL...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST /noon CST/ this afternoon for GMZ751-752-755-770-772-775.