textproduct: Tallahassee

NEAR TERM

(Today and tonight) Issued at 223 AM EDT Wed Jun 11 2025

A seasonably moist and unstable air mass will continue today. Deep- layer shear will weaken to 10 knots or less, so we will mainly be looking at pulse convective development along the seabreeze and other subtle boundaries. Coverage is expected to be slightly higher across the western half of the area where precipitable water values near or slightly above 2 inches are expected this afternoon. However, most of the area can expect to see storms nearby this afternoon. Locally heavy rain, frequent lightning, and some gusty winds can be expected with storms this afternoon in this typical summer air mass. High temperatures are expected to range from the upper 80s to lower 90s.

For tonight, the coverage of storms will wane after sunset with overnight lows generally in the low to mid 70s.

SHORT AND LONG TERM

(Thursday through Tuesday) Issued at 223 AM EDT Wed Jun 11 2025

An upper level ridge from the Atlantic slowly builds westward through the period while surface high pressure also builds westward into the upcoming weekend. A very ill-defined trough of low pressure, currently in the Bahamas, will likely round this upper level ridge into the weekend as it slowly moves west, northwest, and then north by the weekend. While plenty of tropical moisture will be in place, noted by 1.8 to 1.9 inch preciptable waters (PWATs), this area of low pressure will likely juice up our PWATS to around 2" or even higher. This pattern will lead to daily chances for scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms are forecast, but as the trough moves northwards we'll likely see even higher rain chances thanks to the abundant tropical moisture.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 149 AM EDT Wed Jun 11 2025

Some brief patchy fog and low ceilings are possible early this morning. This should lift and scatter out with VFR expected areawide by mid-morning. However, scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are also expected to develop across the area today from late morning through the afternoon hours with gusty winds near storms. Outside of storms, VFR conditions are expected.

MARINE

Issued at 223 AM EDT Wed Jun 11 2025

Light winds are expected this afternoon and a turn to southeast flow is expected by tomorrow, as the ridge axis migrates north of area waters. Daily chances for showers and storms, especially in the overnight and morning hours, can be expected every day into at least early next week.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 223 AM EDT Wed Jun 11 2025

A seasonably moist and unstable air mass will be in place this week with daily chances of showers and thunderstorms. Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal outside of gusty and erratic winds near thunderstorms along with lightning.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Tallahassee 92 73 91 74 / 80 30 70 30 Panama City 89 76 90 76 / 70 30 50 30 Dothan 89 72 91 73 / 80 30 60 40 Albany 90 72 91 73 / 70 40 60 50 Valdosta 92 72 92 73 / 70 50 70 50 Cross City 92 72 92 71 / 70 40 80 50 Apalachicola 87 77 87 77 / 50 20 50 40

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. GA...None. AL...None. GM...None.