textproduct: Sacramento

KEY MESSAGES

- Quick moving system Today-Thursday brings light mountain rain/snow, followed by gusty north to east winds Thursday- early Friday. - Dry weather late week into the weekend with near to above normal temperatures.

- Next weather system brings increasing rain/mountain snow chances and breezy to gusty winds Sunday into early next week.

..Sunday into Next Week

Ensemble guidance continues to indicate another deepening trough arriving Sunday into early next week, but notable timing differences between ensemble suites persist at the moment. In general, a return to active weather is anticipated Sunday into early next week, however; there is potential for precipitation onset to be delayed until Sunday evening/Monday morning. Regardless, increasing chances for rain/mountain snow, isolated thunderstorms, and periods of breezy onshore winds are anticipated by at least early next week. At this time, NBM probabilities for precipitation greater than 1" remain around 50-70% for the mountains/foothills and 30-50% across the Valley/Delta. Snow levels are currently forecast remain around 5500-6500 feet, with most accumulations remaining above 6000 feet.

AVIATION

General VFR conditions at TAF sites next 24 hours. A weak system will bring isolated light precipitation over the northern Sacramento Valley and mountains/foothills after through 12Z Thursday with a 5-10% chance for isolated mountain thunderstorms which may lead to periods of MVFR/IFR conditions. Gusty northerly winds develop after 09Z-12Z Thursday with gusts of 25-35 kts in the Valley. Northeast to east wind gusts of 20-40 kts in the foothills and mountains.

STO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Wind Advisory from 5 AM to 11 PM PDT Thursday for Carquinez Strait and Delta-Central Sacramento Valley-Northern Sacramento Valley-Southern Sacramento Valley.