textproduct: Salt Lake City
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES, Issued 1236 PM MST Sat Nov 14 2026
- Guidance is trending slightly warmer with the upcoming two storms on Tuesday/Wednesday and Thursday/Friday which will limit the valley snow potential.
- There is still a high amount of uncertainty regarding the late week storm.
DISCUSSION, Issued 1236 PM MST Sat Nov 14 2026
A cold front has moved through the CWA with lingering mountain snow remaining across areas that do well in northwest flow. This period of northwest flow hasn't been as efficient as some of the guidance suggested yesterday so only another inch or two of snow is expected across the terrain before drier air starts to move into the region.
Ridging will quickly build into the area later tonight and persist through Sunday and Monday. The coldest temperatures of the season will develop overnight tonight with most locations, outside of lower Washington county getting near or below freezing. High temperatures will warm back up 3-8 degrees above normal Sunday and Monday before another negatively tilted trough moves in for Tuesday.
The 700 mb temperatures associated with the trough on Tuesday have trended slightly warmer in the most recent guidance. This will limit the valley snow probabilities with current snow levels getting down to 5500-6000 feet by Wednesday morning before conditions start to dry. This trough looks very similar to the one that moved through today. It will be a fast moving trough with a cold front that will bring widespread valley rain and mountain snow to the entire CWA with the highest totals favored across the southern mountains. Snow amounts will be between 3-8 inches with 5-10 inches across the southern mountains.
The Thursday/Friday storm continues to have little run-to-run consistency. ~60% of ensemble members bring a closed low through the area while the other 40% of members have a more progressive open wave. This system has also trended slightly warmer over the last several model runs which will decrease the potential for valley snowfall.
AVIATION
KSLC...High pressure begins to build in as a storm system departs. Any remaining showers quickly diminish through Saturday evening, low clouds will gradually start clearing, and winds will shift to southeast. Southerly winds are then expected to prevail through Sunday, with increasing VFR cloud cover generally above 14 kft or so.
REST OF UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING...As a system departs, high pressure will begin to build into the region for Sunday. Remaining shower activity quickly diminishes, and cloud cover decreases through Saturday evening. Winds will tend to favor a southerly component, if not go light and VRB overnight. If clouds can clear quickly enough where winds relax at sheltered area terminals, some localized patchy fog will likely develop prior to sunrise. Otherwise, will see mid to upper level VFR cloud cover then increase through Sunday.
SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
UT...None. WY...None.
IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.
textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.