textproduct: Salt Lake City
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES, Issued 1044 PM MST Tue Nov 10 2026
- Dry conditions with valley inversions persisting through Thursday before valley rain and mountain snow arrive this weekend that will help to mix out the inversions.
- Another storm early next week could bring cooler temperatures aloft and more widespread precipitation, but confidence is low on the timing and track.
DISCUSSION, Issued 1044 PM MST Tue Nov 10 2026
High pressure is building back into the area this evening following the weak trough that crossed Utah early this morning. The trough did bring somewhat improved mixing owing to cooler air aloft, although a shallow, elevated inversion layer still exists. With the return of high pressure, which will strengthen into Thursday, expect inversions to strengthen once again, producing some valley haze but otherwise benign weather.
Southerly flow will increase on Friday ahead of the next storm system. These winds may not be strong enough to mix out all valley inversions, but there will be a potential for improvement, especially west of I-15. The storm system itself is still progged to arrive on Saturday as a relatively fast-moving open-wave trough, bringing widespread valley rain and mountain snow to the forecast area. Models are coming into better agreement with this solution, with only around 28% of ensemble members holding on to a weaker trough and drier solution. The NBM now has greater than 0.2 inches of QPF over the mountains and I-15 corridor even at the 25th percentile, compared with yesterday where little to no measurable precipitation was indicated at the 25th percentile. At the 75th percentile, the NBM has many mountain areas exceeding 1 inch with valleys generally greater than 0.2 inches to upwards of 0.75 inches. Snow amounts in the 4-8 inch range is currently forecast for the mountains.
This trough will be the first in what looks to be a fairly active pattern which will continue into late next week. Following a brief break in the weather Sunday into Monday, models have another trough moving into the area on Tuesday. This looks to be a slightly cooler system which has the potential to bring snow to at least the higher valleys (around 5000-6000 feet).
AVIATION
KSLC...The SLC terminal will see VFR conditions with clear skies throughout the day. Light southerly winds are expected to shift to the northwest between 18Z and 20Z.
REST OF UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING...The airspace will see VFR conditions and mostly clear skies throughout the day with generally light and terrain driven winds.
SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
UT...None. WY...None.
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