textproduct: Salt Lake City

KEY MESSAGES

- A roughly 70-90% chance for measurable precipitation (>0.01") exists across northern UT, the Wasatch Mountains, and the Uintas this Wednesday.

- Otherwise, dry conditions continue through the next week at a minimum.

DISCUSSION

To kick off the period, ridging aloft persists with generally westerly flow prevailing. Gradually, this ridge will amplify and shift east through Wednesday ahead of an upper shortwave trough, grazing across northern UT through Thursday morning. This will bring northern UT's first shot at precipitation in what feels like forever, though it will likely not be substantial. This system is weak and moisture starved, though chances for > 0.01" / a trace of precipitation (considered measurable), generally range from 70- 90% on Wednesday. Chances will be favored across higher terrain as orographic ascent will aid in squeezing some more precipitation out. Regarding any snowfall from this, even across our higher terrain, amounts will likely remain less than an inch at best.

Following this system, the ridge will once again strengthen against our will bringing yet another extended dry period with unseasonably warm temperatures. As we approach the weekend, temperatures will run around 10-15 degrees above average with areas along the Wasatch Front perhaps seeing temperatures in the 50s develop as early as Saturday. Some long range ensembles indicate some relief around the middle of next week, though given the distance til then, not a whole lot of certainty exists regarding those solutions.

REST OF UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING

VFR conditions will persist for the entire airspace through the period. Dry conditions will continue with mid level clouds clearing this morning before high clouds increase this afternoon. Winds will remain mostly light and diurnally driven.

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SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

UT...None. WY...None.