textproduct: San Angelo

KEY MESSAGES

- Daily, and potentially Monthly, record high temperatures will likely be tied or broken through the weekend, with highs approaching or reaching 100 degrees. This will increase the risk of heat related illnesses.

- Elevated fire weather conditions are forecast across all of West Central Texas today. Elevated to Critical fire weather conditions are likely on Sunday. This will bring the potential for rapidly spreading wildfires.

- A cold front will bring cooler temperatures for Monday, with above normal temperatures returning by mid week.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Sunday) Issued at 1227 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026

Early this afternoon, satellite imagery shows clear skies across the region while surface observations are showing that the forecast is on track for the unusually hot (for March), likely record-breaking temperatures for today. As of 12pm, temperatures are already in the mid 80s to low 90s. The daily record highs for today Abilene and San Angelo are 98 and 95 respectively. All-time highs for the month of March for Abilene and San Angelo are 98 for both sites. Potentially we could reach 100 at one or both locations, which would be the earliest either location has reached 100 degrees in any calendar year, and also the only time either location will have recorded temperatures reaching the century mark in the month of March.

A surface and short-wave trough aloft developing tonight across the Central and Southern Plains will help induce a stronger surface pressure gradient and also a stronger nocturnal low-level jet. This will result in gusty south to southwest winds tonight through tomorrow afternoon in the 20-25 mph range. The low level jet will support some stronger gusts of 35 mph mixing to the surface, mainly during the late morning and afternoon Sunday. The winds will also keep lows tonight on the milder side, with lows in the upper 50s to upper 60s. Meanwhile, a cold front will be approaching from the north tomorrow afternoon. A still strong 850 mb thermal ridge and compressional warming ahead of the cold front will make for another hot day tomorrow, with highs in the mid 90s to low 100s. Skies will remain clear.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through next Saturday) Issued at 134 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026

A surface cold front will move through the area Sunday night and early Monday, which will bring some relief to the unseasonably hot temperatures the past few days. High temperatures behind the front Monday afternoon will range from the upper 70s across the Big Country, to the mid and upper 80s elsewhere.

The cooler temperatures will be short lived however, as a strong ridge of high pressure over the Desert Southwest builds eastward into Texas through mid week. This will result in dry and unseasonably warm temperatures once again Tuesday through Thursday. Highs Tuesday will be in the upper 80s and lower 90s, warming into the low to upper 90s for Wednesday and Thursday, coolest across southern sections. Models show another cold front by Friday, with cooler temperatures for the start of next weekend.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1216 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026

VFR conditions will continue through 18Z Sunday. Breezy S to SW winds of around 8-12 KT will continue through around 03Z Sunday. 03Z- 18Z Sunday, S to SW winds and VFR conditions will continue through 18Z Sunday. Breezy S to SW winds of around 8-12 KT will continue through around 03Z Sunday. 03Z- 18Z Sunday, S to SW winds increase to generally around 15-20 KT with gusts of 25+ KT over much of the region. Locations where surface winds are lighter (such as KJCT and KSOA) will see LLWS due to S to SW 35-40 KT winds aloft at 1000-2000 ft AGL. Winds increase to generally around 15-20 KT with gusts of 25+ KT over much of the region. Locations where surface winds are lighter (such as KJCT and KSOA) will see LLWS due to S to SW 35-40 KT winds aloft at 1000-2000 ft AGL.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 229 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026

Elevated fire weather conditions will continue this afternoon due to relative humidities falling to 6 to 18 percent across the area, combined with hot temperatures (94-101) and breezy south to southwest winds. On Sunday, Elevated to Critical fire weather conditions are expected Sunday late morning through late afternoon, due to stronger south to southwesterly winds 15-25 mph with gusts of 30-35 mph, minimum relative humidities once again in the upper single digits to mid teens, and another day of hot temperatures in the mid 90s to low 100s. A Red Flag Warning has been issued for Sunday for most of the West Central Texas area.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Abilene 67 99 56 80 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 63 97 54 87 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 57 94 53 89 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 58 95 53 82 / 0 0 0 0 Sweetwater 67 100 56 80 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 56 95 53 87 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 63 93 56 84 / 0 0 0 0

SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Red Flag Warning from 10 AM to 8 PM CDT Sunday for Callahan-Coke- Coleman-Concho-Crockett-Fisher-Haskell-Irion-Jones-Nolan-Runnels- Schleicher-Shackelford-Sterling-Sutton-Taylor-Throckmorton-Tom Green.