textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1132 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

- Temperatures in the low to mid 90s will continue through the weekend and into early next week.

- Isolated rain chances are expected through this weekend and become slightly more expansive next week.

- Little accumulation should accompany the showers this period, although some isolated severe hazards could come with any stronger pop-up convection.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1132 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

Observational analysis this evening depicts a weak upper-level ridge over the region with a trough over much of the Intermountain West. The ridge should weaken through the weekend before another stronger ridge builds in from the southwest by the beginning of next week. Despite the presence of these ridges, models are suggesting that afternoon convection will be possible through the weekend. Models generally highlight our eastern and northeastern zones as the focus for these showers, but these pop-up showers could develop anywhere in the region with afternoon temperatures reaching the low to mid 90s. The general lack of upper-level support minimizes the risk of widespread severe weather but isolated severe thunderstorms can't be ruled out. The scattered nature of these showers should also keep the flooding risk limited.

Rain chances slightly increase both in likelihood and coverage with the beginning of the building ridge on Monday and continue through the work week. These showers should be a combination of afternoon convection and some pockets of forcing in the upper- level flow, which can make pinning exact locations difficult. Any rain that does fall looks like it will produce little in terms of accumulation, as WPC D1-7 QPF in the region is limited to around an inch. Severe potential with these also look to be minimal right now, but will be monitored. Temperatures are likely to stay in the 90s through much of the week thanks to the ridge. Some areas might get enough of a cooldown to make it into the upper 80s in the latter half of the week, but relief will be minuscule.

Long-range models are beginning to suggest a pattern shift coming next weekend that would plant the Ark-La-Tx in northwest flow. This regime has the potential to bring more organized rain to the area with any disturbances that propagate down this flow, assuming that this pattern shift does occur.

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AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 554 AM CDT Sat May 30 2026

For the 30/12z TAF period...Some patchy fog at KELD should lift over the next couple of hours. Otherwise, expect VFR conditions to prevail through most of the period with some passing mid and high cloud, along with some afternoon CU. There is a chance for some isolated convection to develop this afternoon into the early evening hours across our Southern Arkansas and Northern Louisiana airspace, so decided to add VCTS at KSHV/KMLU/KTXK/KELD during this period. /20/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 148 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 94 76 94 75 / 10 10 10 0 MLU 91 74 92 74 / 20 20 30 20 DEQ 91 73 92 71 / 0 10 10 10 TXK 93 75 94 73 / 10 20 10 10 ELD 91 72 91 72 / 20 20 30 10 TYR 93 76 94 76 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 93 76 94 75 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 94 74 94 75 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.