textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1230 AM CST Wed Feb 18 2026

- Quiet and warm weather will continue through midweek as highs climb into the mid to upper 70s.

- Rainfall returns to southeastern zones Thursday, with areawide showers and storms Friday into Saturday.

- Cool down in store early next week, with near or below freezing morning lows and highs in the 50s, while quiet conditions prevail.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1224 PM CST Wed Feb 18 2026

Cloud cover will be a continuous tide for the next several periods, with much of our southeastern zones staying cloudy while northern ones fill in and out beginning tonight. A tightening sfc pressure gradient should keep southerly winds elevated overnight and keep fog development at bay. Winds will be a bit gusty through the day, shifting southwesterly/westerly late in the morning. Afternoon highs should climb into the upper 70s with a few 80s across the region.

On a larger scale, upper-level lows will work their way around each other. This should work to occupy the synoptic flow and keep the Ark- La-Tx in southwest flow for the next few days. The continued moisture advection from the previous few days will prime the area for some shower development as early as Thursday evening and continuing through Saturday afternoon. D1-5 QPF remains pessimistic on rain totals: generally staying below 0.5". There may be some embedded rumbles of thunder in these showers, but model severe parameters look to be too lackluster for any severe thunderstorm development as of now. This potential will be monitored over the next several days as it gets into the short term.

Once the upper-level lows are able to propagate eastward late this weekend, a cold front will sweep through the region and temporarily knock our temperatures back into the 50s and 60s on Monday. After which conditions are expected to stay pretty benign. A ridge will begin to build over the western CONUS early next week and leave the Four State Region in a dry northwest flow pattern. With this pattern will come another warming trend that will bring temperatures into the upper 70s by the end of the long term period. There will continue to be eyes on fire weather and drought conditions with the limited rain expected during the forecast period. /57/

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1224 PM CST Wed Feb 18 2026

Low VFR cigs will persist this afternoon across Deep E TX into much of N LA/SW AR, before eventually scattering out late in the day beneath persistent cirrus cigs. While the cirrus cigs may diminish from W to E this evening, MVFR cigs are expected to redevelop after 06Z Thursday over Deep E TX/NCntrl LA, and quickly shift back N across the remainder of the region through the overnight hours. These cigs will linger through much of the morning, before a sfc dryline mixes E into extreme SE OK/ECntrl TX by late morning, thus scattering the low cigs out at the TYR/GGG terminals just before the end of the 18Z TAF period. A return to VFR conditions are expected elsewhere by 18Z or shortly afterwards, although VFR cigs in an extensive cu field will persist across portions of Deep E TX into N LA/Srn AR. SW winds 9-12kts this afternoon will become SSW 7-11kts after 00Z. /15/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1222 AM CST Tue Feb 17 2026

Spotter activation is not expected through the end of this week.

/19/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 65 79 55 76 / 0 10 10 10 MLU 64 78 58 75 / 0 10 20 20 DEQ 56 76 42 67 / 10 10 0 10 TXK 65 79 49 71 / 0 10 0 10 ELD 61 76 50 70 / 0 20 10 20 TYR 65 80 53 75 / 0 0 0 10 GGG 64 80 53 75 / 0 10 0 10 LFK 65 79 60 78 / 0 10 10 20

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.