textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1155 PM CDT Fri May 8 2026

- Scattered showers and thunderstorms expected this afternoon and tonight with the aid of returning southerly low-level flow and an upper level disturbance. - Unsettled weather will remain in the forecast for some areas Saturday through Sunday with periods of thunderstorms continuing.

- At this time, much of next weeks appears to be dry with a warmup commencing by mid to late next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1152 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026

Near zonal flow aloft above a weak frontal boundary stretched across the northern gulf coast will support scattered showers with embedded thunderstorms throughout the remainder of the day with the greatest coverage across mainly Deep East Texas and north Louisiana. This evening, a shortwave trough over Kansas will dive southeast, intersecting a frontal boundary stretching across Oklahoma, at a time when the atmosphere is sufficiently destabilized by diurnal heating. Steep lapse rates resulting from the approaching upper-level shortwave and warm surface temps will support thunderstorm development along the front. Storms are forecast to move into southeast Oklahoma and northeast Texas around midnight with large hail and damaging wind gusts possible.

An upper-low across north Texas will open into a broad trough that will linger just west of the ArkLaTex on Saturday. A weak frontal boundary across the northern gulf coast will be the focus for showers with embedded thunderstorms across much of north Louisiana and Deep East Texas on Saturday.

Weather pattern remains active through Sunday evening as another round of strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible across northeast Texas and adjacent counties and parishes in Arkansas, Oklahoma, and Louisiana. A shortwave trough will dive southeast through the Central Plains intersecting a frontal boundary across Oklahoma on Sunday afternoon. With dewpoint values in the lower 70s south of the front and steepening lapse rates with the approaching upper-trough, sufficient buoyancy will exist to trigger convection along and ahead of the frontal boundary. Large hail and damaging winds will be possible as the convective system moves southeast. Conditions forecast to gradually improve from midnight onward.

Northwest flow to prevail aloft through the remainder of the forecast period from Monday onward allowing for mainly dry conditions and a gradual warming trend with highs by the middle of next week in the mid 80s and overnight lows in the 60s. /05/

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1258 PM CDT Fri May 8 2026

Look for mostly VFR conditions to persist through the afternoon, although elevated cigs now will begin to gradually lower by mid to late afternoon as a deeper low level moisture plume begins to lift N along and behind a a Nwd moving warm front. IFR/low MVFR cigs will persist at LFK through the afternoon given air mass saturation from the morning convection, as well as the proximity of the front over Upper SE TX and Cntrl LA. Low MVFR cigs will eventually advect N into much of E TX/N LA by early evening, with some consensus now existing that scattered convection could develop generally along the I-20 corridor of E TX/N LA between 03-06Z, with additional decaying convection shifting SE into the region from N TX/SE OK/Wrn AR late this evening/overnight as well. Have added VCTS for the area terminals to account for this, and while cigs may lift in wake of this convection late tonight, IFR/LIFR cigs in patchy FG should develop by or shortly after daybreak, persisting through mid-morning before slowly lifting. However, MVFR cigs may linger into the afternoon Saturday before eventually returning to VFR. Dry conditions are expected through the afternoon and evening as well, before the remnants of convection again begin to slide SE towards the region late Saturday night. ESE winds 5-10kts this afternoon will become light SSE after 00Z. /15/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1255 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026

Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible this evening across portions of the Four State Region. Therefore, spotter activation may be required.

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PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 64 83 65 86 / 40 40 10 40 MLU 64 83 64 86 / 50 40 10 40 DEQ 56 84 61 80 / 30 10 20 80 TXK 61 85 65 85 / 30 20 10 80 ELD 59 83 62 85 / 40 20 10 60 TYR 65 83 67 86 / 40 30 10 60 GGG 64 83 66 86 / 40 30 10 50 LFK 66 83 67 88 / 50 40 20 20

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.