textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1100 AM CST Mon Dec 29 2025
- A cold and dry airmass continues to build into the region, resulting in sub-freezing lows and below normal highs through Wednesday morning.
- Gradual rebound to near normal temperatures as early as Wednesday afternoon, with a return to 60's and 70's by New Year's Day.
- Rain chances remain incredibly limited through the next 7 days, increasing drought concerns.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1100 AM CST Mon Dec 29 2025
If it was not obvious by the chill in the air early this morning, we are now post frontal as the cold front from yesterday evening now sits over the central Gulf. In the wake of the boundary, a cold airmass is slowly filtering in as surface high pressure will be overhead by early Tuesday morning. Not only will this continue to usher in the airmass but also allow for winds to taper off from the gusty and breezy conditions of the last 24 hours. By Tuesday AM, it will be colder when compared to this morning as out the door temperatures linger in the low and middle 20's across the I-30 corridor, with upper 20's to near freezing from Texarkana down to Lufkin.
Similar to today, many will struggle to climb out of the 40's, with a select few climbing to or just above 50 deg F. With winds falling off almost entirely Tuesday night through Wednesday AM, expect for another cold night with lows in the 20's and low 30's. Though winds will be light, we will have a shift in direction as the northerlies of Monday and Tuesday become west to southwesterly by sunrise. This will allow for the temperature rebound to begin as highs on Wednesday return to the middle and even upper 60's for many, with upper 50's scattered across SW Arkansas. We double down on this for New Year's Day as 60's and 70's are in the forecast areawide.
Rain chances remain low through the next seven days as the best chance for any measurable precip appears to be across the extreme eastern tier of the forecast area late this week. Though moisture return will be in place around the western edge of the departing surface high, sufficient upper forcing looks to be delayed until a shortwave kicks into the eastern parishes of LA, and into western MS. Given the lack of rainfall, drought conditions will only continue to deteriorate. As indicated by the Fire Danger Statement currently in effect for this afternoon, fire danger concerns, especially when combined with the dry post frontal airmass and tight pressure gradient winds, will need to be taken seriously.
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AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1158 AM CST Mon Dec 29 2025
For 29/18Z TAF period, VFR vis/cigs are expected through the period with FEW250/SCT250 clearing after 30/12Z and slackening northerly winds after 30/06Z. /16/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1228 AM CST Mon Dec 29 2025
Although severe weather is not expected this week, assistance from spotters may be helpful today with an elevated fire danger and hot spot monitoring for wildfires.
/19/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 30 50 33 64 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 28 47 30 60 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 21 48 26 58 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 26 49 32 61 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 23 46 28 58 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 28 51 34 64 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 27 51 30 64 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 30 52 29 63 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.
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