textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1237 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

- The upper low on the Red River of TX/OK is drifting E/NE and bring a slight chance for some showers for our I-30 corridor. - The much advertised cold front on approach is on track for Thursday with an overall warmer trend unfolding until then.

- The changing pattern will see the synoptic troughing widen it's base over the Gulf coast states, keeping below average temps for us into next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1237 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

Mostly cloudy early this morning with mostly middeck, but a few obs of high end low clouds too. No issues with fog, but looks like east TX will see a window of stars coming with potential for some light fog. The S/SW wind will help in the that regard too as spreads tighten toward dawn. Marshall is saturated already and likes to go first, but many sites are still seeing a 5 degree spread under the clouds. The ground is fairly dried out now anyway, so density will be thin and wont be a big deal.

The lows this morning will be a little warmer and likewise highs today should see a little more sunshine to go along with that light SW wind. We will see a mix of mid to upper 70s today and a wide range of 50s in the morning for Wednesday with highs around 80 for a peak so to speak. The cold front will begin shifting the winds for us to NW late Wednesday and overnight with gusty winds and lowering RH values on Thursday. So while, many burn bans have been dispersed, that combination always bears a lot more caution. The high pressure will surge late Thursday with still a warm range of 70s, but then all 60s for highs on Friday, the weekend and early next week. Lows are still on track for a good frost for Saturday and patchy in AR/LA on Sunday, so moving plants may be premature as we will be warming again. However, at least covering tender vegetation is a good plant saver as even an hour of frost can bring damage.

The surface high core at 1031mb is still reaching down the MS River late Friday, but now the models have a secondary push on a surface core on Sunday toward the Ohio River Valley building to 1035mb. It shifts the upper trough farther eastward and appears to allow the western troughing to get busy a little sooner with some needed rain chances for us, to end the weekend and begin next week. Amounts aren't much, but tenths of an inch may be widespread. Both the GFS and ECMWF have similar players, but onset timing and amounts do vary and consistency for another run will be most encouraging. /24/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 601 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

VFR conditions will continue through the 10/12Z TAF period. AC cigs will continue to develop and spread NE across the region today/tonight, with some additional elevated cu developing by midday/this afternoon over NE TX/SE OK/SW AR/NW LA as a weak closed low begins to open up into a trough late in the day. A few sprinkles also cannot be ruled out today along the I-30 corridor or NE TX/SW AR, as well as Deep E TX/Cntrl LA, but should have no impact to cigs or vsbys at LFK/TXK. As this trough progresses E overnight, drier air will begin to mix E, with the elevated cigs gradually eroding from W to E over E TX after 06Z Wednesday. This trend will continue through the remainder of the morning after daybreak, although at least a scattered cu field will linger across the region through the day. Light/Vrb winds except SW winds around 5kts across E TX/extreme SW AR/NW LA, will persist through the TAF period. /15/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1237 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

Spotter activation is not expected through tonight. /24/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 77 57 79 54 / 10 10 0 0 MLU 79 54 81 51 / 0 10 0 0 DEQ 75 51 80 46 / 20 10 0 0 TXK 75 55 79 50 / 10 10 0 0 ELD 77 51 80 48 / 10 10 0 0 TYR 76 57 80 53 / 10 10 0 0 GGG 77 55 80 50 / 10 10 0 0 LFK 78 53 80 52 / 10 10 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.