textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1219 AM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026

- Dry conditions remain in place for the start of the week, along with hot temperatures.

- Rain chances return towards the middle of the week, but will not produce much accumulated rainfall.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1219 AM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026

We have been talking for days now about how Monday and Tuesday were going to be our hottest days and we would likely need some heat headlines. While looking over the forecast tonight for tomorrow, I ultimately decided against it. The main justification for not going with one for today is a light to moderate Saharan Dust plume streaming northward from the Gulf. While it is not the most impressive plume, I think that it will be enough to suppress daytime surface temperatures by a few degrees due to the light solar shielding. Typically these plumes track with very dry air masses, and this will reduce our PWAT values on Monday, compared to slightly higher amounts on Sunday. So, considering all of these factors I think we are going to be borderline once again for reaching Heat Advisory criteria, and could remain slightly below, so I will not be issuing one for today and will allow day shift to monitor trends and go from there.

Despite this, it is important to note that 103-104 degree heat index values are still dangerous and caution should be used if you are outside for an extended period of time. Take breaks often and know the signs of heat related illnesses. Just because we don't have a product out, doesn't mean that impact can't be felt from the heat. The heat will linger through the remainder of the week, although I think we will remain borderline with no "slam dunk" chances for heat headlines. Moisture does return to the region from the Gulf towards the middle of the week and will result in the return of showers and thunderstorms for portions of the area into the weekend. That being said, QPF amounts will remain light across the region over the next 7 days. /33/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1240 AM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026

For the ArkLaTex terminals, Fair skies overnight will see MVFR cigs 09-15Z for many sites with VFR back by around noon. The prevailing winds remain S/SW 5-15KT with some higher gusts early and through mid afternoon. Really consistent pattern lately and one which lingers well into the new work week. We may see some hazy skies from Saharan dust on Monday aftn, thinning Tuesday and still looking for some diurnal convective activity lifting inland off the Gulf mid to late week mainly along and east of I-49. /24/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1219 AM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 95 77 95 77 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 95 77 95 77 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 93 75 93 74 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 96 77 96 77 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 94 75 95 76 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 96 75 96 76 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 95 76 95 77 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 95 75 95 75 / 0 0 10 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.