textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1140 PM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

- Given the ongoing drought across the region, wildfires will remain of concern through the end of the work week.

- The lack of appreciable rainfall and growing rainfall deficit will result in further drought degradation through the end of this month into early November.

- Scattered showers at the end of the work week into early this weekend could bring temporary relief to rain starved soils until widespread appreciable rainfall returns.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1121 PM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

Southwest flow aloft has brought widespread high clouds to the region this evening. Clouds to remain in the forecast through Tuesday as a weak upper-level disturbance translates northeast within the mean flow aloft. With increased cloud-cover areawide, slightly cooler afternoon highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s expected both days.

Surface high pressure centered across the Great Lakes to shift east allowing for an adjustment to the prevailing ridge axis across the ArkLaTex, resulting in a wind shift to the east- southeast. The southerly component of the winds will allow for a gradual increase in low-level moisture through the workweek, which could improve the wildfire threat across the region and will also lead to a gradual increase in overnight low temperatures from the lower 50s tonight to around 60 degrees by the weekend.

Long-range forecast models are in better agreement with bringing beneficial rainfall to the region from Friday night through the weekend as mid-latitude cyclogenesis spins up across the northern gulf coast. Decent rain chances and widespread cloud-cover will result in mild high temperatures on Friday and Saturday ranging from the upper 70s to lower 80s. /05/

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1211 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026

Very little has changed from the last TAF package. Still have some cirrus moving over the region over the next several hours and persisting through the period. Some lower cloud cover around 10k and 5k ft is still a possibility for several sites according to NAM cross sections, but confidence is too low to put it back in the forecast. Expect prevailing VFR, with weakening southeasterly winds overnight that restrengthen back around 5 kts for most sites by late morning tomorrow. /57/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 150 PM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

Spotter activation may be needed early this week in the event of wildfire development.

/19/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 55 80 57 83 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 52 82 54 84 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 51 82 50 84 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 55 81 56 83 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 49 81 51 84 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 57 81 59 82 / 0 10 0 0 GGG 53 81 55 82 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 53 81 57 83 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.