textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 136 AM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

- Severe weather round two is expected late Saturday afternoon through Sunday morning with this next round potentially more impactful than Friday night's event.

- The area of greatest concern with this next round is again along and north of I-30 where an Enhanced to Moderate Risk is highlighted for the threat of significant hail and tornadoes.

- The forecast will remain largely unsettled into next week, but we may see a brief lull in convection early in the week before rain chances increase once again by mid to late week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 136 AM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

Sub-severe convection remains ongoing early this morning along and south of the I-20 corridor in what remains of our first round of active weather. Sporadic hail and wind damage was observed farther upstream of the current convection, generally along and north of the I-30 corridor earlier last evening before the storms gradually weakened closer to midnight up through the current hour. For the remainder of the overnight, ongoing convection will continue to bring very beneficial and much needed rainfall to areas of East Texas and North Louisiana before eventually exiting the region altogether around daybreak.

For much of today, we'll enjoy a nice spring day with very warm temperatures generally ranging through the 80s for most locations. Unfortunately, this spring warmth will only allow the atmosphere to reload with the next round of storms expected to bring severe weather once again by very late this afternoon and especially this evening through the overnight hours into early on Sunday morning. To set the stage for this next round, the cold front that spurred our first round of storms will begin a slow retreat back northward before becoming quasi-stationary while it bisects the region from west to east. The boundary is expected to lay up roughly along the Red River eastward invof the AR/LA border with increasing warm air advection and instability south of the boundary as moist southerly flow prevails over the vast majority of the region.

So by late afternoon into early this evening, the next shortwave embedded in the upper-level flow pattern will quickly accelerate SE across the Southern Plains into the Middle Red River Valley. This will allow for rapid convective initiation along and east of the I-35 corridor of OK and North TX, with numerous supercells expected initially just to our west along with increasing storm clusters developing along the boundary and moving into our NW zones along and north of I-30 by early evening if not slightly sooner. These storms will have the potential to contain very large hail up 3" in diameter, damaging straight-line wind gusts of 60+ mph, and even a few strong tornadoes. For this reason, it is this area of the I-30 corridor that is highlighted in an Enhanced to Moderate Risk in the SPC Day 1 convective outlook. Farther south and east, this risk drops off to Slight and Marginal as the fuel of daytime heating wanes and sfc instability begins to decrease. However, the severe threat will persist throughout the overnight period into early Sunday with all modes still in play south of the boundary. The severe threat should finally begin to diminish by mid to late Sunday morning as the shortwave shifts east of the MS River.

A brief lull in convection is expected for the early part of next week before the pattern looks to become more active once again by late Tuesday under increasing SW flow aloft. In addition, another cold front will be poised to shift south into the region and usher in more unsettled weather from mid to late week. This may include the threat of additional severe weather, but forecast confidence remains low for now on the overall timing and evolution of this next system, especially as it relates to the next trough ejection from the SW CONUS. If nothing else, at least it appears that more rainfall is on the horizon to help mitigate our ongoing drought.

/19/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 136 AM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

For the 25/06Z TAFs, showers and thunderstorms continue to impact portions of ArkLaTex airspace. The line is currently pushing south of the I-20 corridor, producing heavy rainfall, frequent lightning, and damaging wind gusts. These storms are expected to clear out of the region overnight, followed by CIGs dropping to MVFR and IFR levels by daybreak. VSBY reductions are also possible, but confidence in winds calming sufficiently is not yet high enough to prevail. South winds will be variable in the vicinity of intensifying storms, with locally gusty conditions in excess of 30 kts expected. Light and variable winds will resume in the wake of these storms, at max sustained speeds of 5 to 10 kts late in this forecast period.

/26/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 136 AM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

Spotter activation will likely be needed late Saturday afternoon through Saturday night and early Sunday for the threat of severe thunderstorms.

/19/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 87 67 88 71 / 10 60 30 10 MLU 86 65 88 69 / 30 50 50 20 DEQ 79 61 82 66 / 20 80 30 20 TXK 84 66 86 70 / 20 70 30 20 ELD 81 61 85 66 / 20 70 50 20 TYR 88 69 88 72 / 10 40 10 10 GGG 88 68 88 71 / 20 50 20 10 LFK 90 69 90 71 / 0 10 10 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.