textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1228 AM CST Mon Dec 29 2025

- Cold front has already cleared our entire Four-State region as strong and gusty N/NW winds continue overnight through Monday, increasing fire danger concerns over the next 24 hours.

- Strong cold air advection will result in temperatures dropping off some 40-50 degrees following frontal passage, maintaining below average highs and lows through Wednesday morning.

- A warming trend will commence during the day on Wednesday with winds trending back S/SW through the end of the week on Friday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1228 AM CST Mon Dec 29 2025

The stark contrast in air masses we've been talking about for days now has finally come to fruition with the passage of a strong cold front earlier last evening. Post-frontal temperatures have already plummeted to near freezing in our extreme NW zones with a few more degrees to fall prior to daybreak as skies clear behind the front. Farther SE, clouds continue lag quite a bit compared to the front but gradual clearing is expected over the remainder of the region through early this morning. Although the clouds continue to exit, gusty N/NW winds will prevail throughout the day with very dry air filtering in behind the front. The resulting low relative humidity values combined with the gusty winds will create an elevated fire danger across the entire region. Thus, a Fire Danger Statement has been issued through 6 PM today to account for these conditions. In these conditions, persons should refrain from outdoor burning and any activities that involve open sparks or flames like fireworks.

Aside from the fire danger today, the other major weather story involves the very cold temperatures that will follow tonight and again on Tuesday night. An areawide freeze is expected both nights with low temperatures ranging through the 20s to near 30 degrees. Daytime temperatures today and Tuesday won't see much in the way of recovery as highs will struggle to get out of the 40s if at all in most locations. If we do manage to reach lower 50s, it would most likely be in our southern zones this afternoon and Tuesday. Fortunately, winds will subside rather quickly tonight and remain rather light through the middle of this week as strong Canadian high pressure settles across the region.

A warming trend will finally commence as we move through the day on Wednesday and high pressure shifts east of the region. At the same time, the upper-level pattern will also be shifting back to a more zonal flow through the end of the week and weak upper ridging by later next weekend. This will only serve to propel temperatures even higher on Thursday and Friday with highs climbing back into the 60s and 70s. A weak shortwave disturbance and associated cold front look progged to arrive as we close out the week late Friday into Friday night. Although rain chances appear to be quite meager for now, cannot rule out some isolated convection across our far eastern zones during this late week to early weekend timeframe. Otherwise, don't expect much fanfare with this disturbance or the sfc front as temperatures look to remain above average on through next weekend.

/19/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1144 PM CST Sun Dec 28 2025

VFR conditions will continue through the 29/06Z TAF period. A strong cold front has shifted out of the region late this evening into Cntrl LA into far Ern LA, although extensive 4-8kft cigs will linger in wake of the front through a portion of the overnight hours, gradually diminishing from NW to SE through and shortly after daybreak. Meanwhile, cirrus cigs will spread E across the region during the day, with AC cigs possible across E TX from mid- morning through the afternoon and evening. NNW winds 12-20kts with gusts to 25-30kts overnight will diminish slightly to 12-15kts with gusts to 25kts after 15Z. /15/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1228 AM CST Mon Dec 29 2025

Although severe weather is not expected this week, assistance from spotters may be helpful today with an elevated fire danger and hot spot monitoring for wildfires.

/19/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 50 29 51 30 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 48 27 47 28 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 42 21 47 25 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 47 26 49 30 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 45 24 46 26 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 47 28 51 31 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 48 27 50 29 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 51 29 52 28 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...Wind Advisory until 6 AM CST early this morning for ARZ050-051- 059>061-070>073.

LA...Wind Advisory until 6 AM CST early this morning for LAZ001>006- 010>014-017>022.

OK...Wind Advisory until 6 AM CST early this morning for OKZ077.

TX...Wind Advisory until 6 AM CST early this morning for TXZ096-097- 108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.