textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 100 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026

- Warming trend will continue across the Four State Region through the upcoming Weekend.

- A weak cold front will backdoor its way into our region on Monday helping to temper temperatures slightly but that cool down won't last long with the warming trend continuing again by mid to late next week.

- With no precipitation in the forecast through at least the next 7 days, wildfire concerns will continue growing through the forecast period.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 100 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026

Another beautiful yet dry day across the Four State Region after we lost the morning mid-level cloud cover. Temperatures have warmed to near 70 degrees across most areas with the aid of southwest winds. Not seeing the gusts to 25kts like we were seeing at this time on Wednesday though some gusts near 20kts were noted as of late morning across portions of NE TX.

Overnight tonight, the boundary layer pressure gradient may be strong enough to return some low level moisture, at least to our southern third and I would not be surprised to see low cloud cover impending on the I-20 Corridor Friday Morning but the sun will win over with the first of our warm days planned with highs Friday Afternoon mostly in the middle 80s.

Upper ridging currently centered across the Southwest Great Basin will slowly inch its way towards the Southern Plains by Saturday and into Sunday. Low level thickness will respond accordingly and as a result, high temperatures this weekend will range from near 90 to the lower 90s across our northwest half which will approach record highs for late March. All other regions should climb to at least the upper 80s this weekend. Despite weak upper ridging to our west by late weekend into early next week, weak shortwave energy will slide south and east overtop the ridge during this period and there will be a surface reflection to this feature in the form of a weak cold front. This frontal boundary will attempt to backdoor its way into our region from the northeast but confidence is not there to suggest it will move completely through our region. Guidance is supporting a slight cool down behind this feature concerning high temperatures on Monday but temperatures rebound again by Tuesday through at least Thursday of next week with the aid of returning southerly winds. A stronger cold front may approach the region at the end of this 7-day forecast cycle but there is considerable model spread on the degree of cold air behind this boundary and just how far south this cooler airmass could make it into our region towards the very end of next week.

Until then, these much above normal temperatures and diurnally driven wind speeds with occasional gusts to go along with dry fuels will keep the wildfire threat elevated through this forecast period.

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AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 640 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026

VFR conditions will continue through the 20/00Z TAF period. Areas of thin cirrus should continue to increase from the NNW late this evening/overnight, with cigs possible over portions of Srn AR/NCntrl LA. Areas of FU from prescribed burns over portions of Deep E TX/NCntrl LA may also settle down to the sfc this evening once mixing ceases, and may result in some vsby reductions mainly at LFK/MLU through mid to late evening. Otherwise, the cirrus cigs should diminish through the morning Friday, although some low stratus with patchy FG will be possible after 10Z mainly over Lower Toledo Bend Country and Cntrl LA, but should not affect the LFK terminal. This moisture lyr will remain quite thin, and will quickly mix out by mid-morning. S winds 3-8kts tonight will become SW 8-12kts after 15Z. /15/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 100 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time but the wildfire threat will continue to increase across the entire Four State Region due to the ongoing drought conditions. Please report any wildfire activity to your local fire department and other local officials.

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PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 57 85 60 87 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 54 85 59 88 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 51 85 54 89 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 58 86 61 90 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 54 85 58 88 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 58 87 61 91 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 57 86 59 90 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 54 84 59 87 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.