textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 957 PM CST Sun Jan 4 2026

- Another warming trend kicks off on Monday, with temperatures climbing close to near-record values by midweek.

- Conditions should stay dry for several days until rain returns Wednesday night, sticking around until early Saturday morning.

- Temperatures going into next week look to be much closer to the seasonal average, with many areas in the 50s on Monday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 957 PM CST Sun Jan 4 2026

Patchy fog has been added to the forecast overnight tonight to account for recent trends among short-term models. Areas of Dense Fog haven't been ruled out at this point due to the expectation of the current cloud cover clearing as we get later into the overnight hours. Should Dense Fog become widespread, an advisory may be issued. But early morning travelers should take caution on the roads even without a Dense Fog Advisory in effect, as fog can come upon you very quickly.

Any fog that does develop overnight tonight should mix out through the morning on Monday. At that point, the return to southerly surface flow will be established and another warming trend will begin. Temperatures may only climb into the upper 60s or low 70s on Monday, but near-record temperatures are expected to return for Tuesday and Wednesday.

The long-anticipated upper-level low is still expected to move into the Baja region Wednesday evening,shifting the flow above the Ark-La-Tx from quasi-zonal to more southwesterly. This setup is likely to bring rain in to our northwestern zones beginning early Thursday morning. After which, the low will move towards the Central Plains and bring widespread rain to our forecast area Thursday afternoon. Rain is likely to continue until the upper- level low moves into the Great Lakes on Saturday. The steady rain from this system will hopefully bring some drought relief to the region along with cooling temperatures down a bit. NBM is placing high temperatures in the 50s areawide for Sunday and Monday, which will be the closest to seasonal temperatures we've had in some time.

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AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 620 PM CST Sun Jan 4 2026

VFR just about airspace wide this evening as TXK is the only terminal battling a mix of MVFR given some lower BKN/OVC CIGs below 2kft. Elsewhere BKN/OVC CIGs above 15,000 ft continue to fill in from the west/northwest. Confidence in this pattern staying put through the majority of the night is high, but it is the return of low clouds and reduced VSBY that raises some questions. Hi-res vsby guidance this afternoon continues to be aggressive with BR/FG development through 05/12z for terminals as far north as the three states marker. Given the consistency in the model output, elected to advertise reduced VSBY's through the mid to late morning, with gradual improvement and recovery through the afternoon. Terminal surface winds will increase through the afternoon with sustained southerlies around 10kt.

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SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 957 PM CST Sun Jan 4 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 45 71 60 79 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 42 69 56 77 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 39 68 51 72 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 45 70 57 76 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 40 67 53 75 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 47 70 60 78 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 44 71 59 78 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 44 71 59 78 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.