textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 100 PM CDT Mon May 11 2026

- After several days of active weather, a pattern shift will allow for dry and warmer conditions through the rest of this week.

- Upper-level ridging will become more influential by mid-week with high temperatures near 90 degrees over much of the area.

- The next chance of rain doesn't return until this weekend as the ridge shifts east and is replaced another active SW flow pattern aloft.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 100 PM CDT Mon May 11 2026

Upper-level trough ejection remains ongoing across our region this afternoon, resulting in some isolated to scattered shower activity over parts of North LA and Deep East TX. This activity has seen a slight uptick in coverage over the past few hours with the aid of daytime heating and still cannot rule a few thunderstorms before all is said and done later this afternoon. By early this evening, any lingering convection will be coming to an end over our extreme SE zones with continued clearing of cloud cover from NW to SE over the course of the evening and overnight hours. Light NW winds will prevail with overnight low temperatures dropping back into the 50s to near 60 degrees.

Tuesday will bring seasonably warm temperatures as we bounce back into the lower to mid 80s, kicking off a warming trend that will carry through the rest of the week. In fact, upper-level ridging will gradually expand across the entire central CONUS by mid to late week as our afternoon temperatures surge toward 90 degrees across much of the region. Aside from some afternoon fair weather cumulus, expect mostly sunny conditions even as a mid-week cold front attempts to back door into the region by Wednesday but is largely rebuffed by the expanding ridge. Thus, expect the very warm temperatures to persist with southerly winds eventually returning areawide by Thursday.

This warm advection regime will carry into the weekend as well with prevailing southerly flow, but the upper-level ridge will shift to our east as the weekend progresses. It will be replaced by increasing SW flow aloft with a more active period of weather returning once again, possibly as early as this weekend and into next work week. For now, only low-end rain chances are included in the weekend forecast owing to some uncertainty as to the extent of mid/upper-level forcing for convection and the lack of any supporting sfc features. That being said, the high temperature forecast remains largely persistent with upper 80s to near 90 through the weekend.

/19/

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1235 PM CDT Mon May 11 2026

For the 11/18z TAF update...Mixture of MVFR and VFR CIGs prevail across the region early this afternoon. We are tracking some showers across portions of deep east Texas and central Louisiana but I am not anticipating much impact to any terminals at this time, although I kept mention of VCSH for KSHV, KMLU, KLFK, and KELD through the afternoon. Otherwise, VFR conditions will return later this evening and prevail through the rest of this TAF period with the exception of KLFK where some MVFR CIGs could return tonight. /33/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 100 PM CDT Mon May 11 2026

Spotter activation is not expected throughout this week.

/19/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 59 84 60 89 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 58 84 59 89 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 50 82 54 87 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 54 84 58 89 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 52 83 55 87 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 58 82 60 87 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 58 83 60 88 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 61 84 62 89 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.