textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1251 AM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

- Increasing thunderstorms are expected today, from the south this afternoon and from the north into the evening. Heat in the middle 90s is expected again ahead of these storms.

- Widespread showers and thunderstorms will continue tomorrow and into early next week. Stronger storms may produce damaging wind gusts.

- A return to quieter and warmer conditions is expected by mid to late next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1251 AM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

Dry and quiet conditions will prevail overnight once again, as lows drop into the middle to upper 70s under mostly clear skies, with increasing clouds towards daybreak. Today will see the beginning of the advertised pattern shift which will result in more widespread unsettled conditions ahead for the Four State Region.

As upper level ridging oriented around a broad closed high over the Four Corners region amplifies northward over the Rockies and northern Plains, a positively tilted trough over the Great Lakes and adjacent areas of the Midwest will become further tilted by steering on the eastern side of the ridge, becoming somewhat latitudinal by late tonight into Sunday, while it develops a closed low over the Ohio and Tennessee Valley regions. The southwestern extent of this trough's amplitude will reach as far as Arkansas, setting the stage for weather impacts late today.

By late morning, widespread Cu field development should be well underway, as sea breeze driven convection pushes north into the Toledo Bend country by early afternoon. These storms look to advance as far north as the US-84 corridor before weakening. Meanwhile, a wave of organized convection to the northeast, driven by a frontal boundary associated with the aforementioned trough, will sweep south across Arkansas, reaching our northern zones by early evening and reaching the I-30 corridor near sunset and pushing south towards I- 20 overnight. The closed low over the Tennessee Valley will remain in place through the weekend, sustaining areawide chances for further rounds of showers and storms through the day Sunday.

The upper level pattern and its effect on ArkLaTex weather remains a matter of uncertainty going into next week, but as of this writing, the Tennessee Valley low looks to broaden and open up by late Monday into Tuesday, ultimately getting absorbed into a transitional pattern aloft taking the form of an inverted trough over the lower Mississippi Valley and eventually a new area of ridging centered over western Texas. As the low loses its organizational structure, showers and storms will remain possible, particularly for the southern zones of the ArkLaTex Monday and Tuesday, with trends indicating a drier pattern from Wednesday through to the end of next week, aside from a few isolated to scattered afternoon storms. Highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s this weekend will rebound into the middle 90s by mid to late next week. Overnight lows in the 70s will continue throughout.

/26/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1251 AM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

For the 11/06Z TAF period, VFR conditions prevail to begin the TAF period but will be watching for some patchy low stratus near KLFK around daybreak with tempo MVFR cigs. These low clouds should be even more patchy in coverage farther north so have held on to just SCT coverage around 2Kft elsewhere through much of the mid to late morning hours. This will eventually lift and scatter into a robust cu field by midday through the afternoon with another round of sea breeze convection in our southern airspace. Therefore, have added mention of VCTS at KLFK throughout the afternoon hours. Otherwise, will maintain S/SW winds averaging between 5-10 kts throughout the period and possible higher gusts invof convection.

/19/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1251 AM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

Limited spotter activation may be requested this evening along and north of the I-30 corridor. Even if activation is not locally requested, any reports of hazardous weather to the National Weather Service are appreciated. /26/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 95 77 92 74 / 10 20 60 70 MLU 96 77 93 74 / 10 40 70 70 DEQ 95 74 91 71 / 0 50 40 40 TXK 96 76 93 73 / 0 40 50 60 ELD 95 75 90 71 / 0 50 60 60 TYR 96 78 94 75 / 0 10 40 50 GGG 95 77 93 74 / 10 10 50 60 LFK 94 76 93 75 / 30 10 40 40

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.