textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1225 AM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026

- Weak upper ridging will largely suppress convection today, but cannot rule out a few diurnally driven showers or stray storm.

- Warm and moist southerly flow will prevail through the end of the week ahead of a cold front arriving late Friday into the weekend.

- An active weather period is expected through this weekend into early next week, including daily severe weather chances across much of the region from late Friday through Monday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1225 AM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026

In the wake of yesterday's convection, a very warm and muggy night will result in low temperatures in the 60s with low stratus clouds returning in earnest through daybreak this morning. Expect gradual scattering out of these low clouds, eventually yielding partly to mostly cloudy skies by the afternoon with high temperatures in the lower to mid 80s. Any convection should be isolated at best with weak upper ridging now in place following the upper disturbance largely responsible for the scattered convection over the past few days. With prevailing southerly flow, expect the warm temperatures to stick around into Friday with similar highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s.

As we move through the day on Friday, a cold front will approach from the NW and with an embedded trough in the upper-level flow pattern shifting SE through the Southern Plains and the Ozarks. Along the sfc front, convection is expected to become widespread by Friday afternoon as it enters the NW zones in our region along and north of I-30 with additional SE progression expected along and south of I-20 through the evening/overnight hours. A surge in MLCAPE values ranging from 2000-3000 J/kg ahead of this convective complex will promote strong/rapid upscale growth of thunderstorms, promoting a rather broad area of potential severe weather from the Ozarks well south into much of our region from Friday afternoon through Friday night. The damaging wind threat is likely to be the predominant concern, especially with a linear storm mode of rapid acceleration from north to south. However, veering low-level flow ahead of the front will promote modest shear such that individual storms may pose a threat of large hail along with a few tornadoes. For now, SPC's Day 3 outlook highlights much of our area in Slight Risk and this could be expanded/upgraded with future outlooks over the next few days.

As we move into the weekend, the aforementioned cold front will stall invof of I-30 and eventually lift back northward by late Saturday. This will only reinforce warm and moist air advection areawide through the remainder of the weekend as additional upper level perturbations advance through the W/SW flow aloft. As these disturbances interact with the warm and unstable environment still in place, expect the severe weather risk to persist across our NW zones late Saturday and again on Sunday before expanding farther SE on Monday when a broad upper-level trough will swing SE and nudge a cold front deeper into our region by Monday night into Tuesday. Much like the weekend frontal boundary, it doesn't look as if the early week front will clear the region either due to the presence of a strong and expansive upper-level ridge just to our S/SW across northern Mexico and much of the western/central Gulf. Therefore, the forecast is likely to remain unsettled through at least the middle of next week and likely beyond that with another deepening upper trough looming out west.

/19/

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 631 PM CDT Wed Apr 22 2026

For the 23/00z TAF period...Radar imagery continues to show a few lingering showers across our southern zones this evening. These are not really impacting any of our terminals at this time, but I left mention of VCTS in for KLFK as there area some additional storms trying to move through that area. MVFR ceilings will develop this evening and into the overnight hours for all terminals, and there will be some potential for some patchy fog across portions of the area. Winds will begin to increase by Thursday afternoon with some gusts around 20 kts possible. /33/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1225 AM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026

Spotter activation is not expected through Friday morning, but will likely be needed as early as Friday afternoon into Friday evening/overnight.

/19/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 84 69 83 66 / 20 10 50 60 MLU 85 66 86 66 / 20 0 60 80 DEQ 80 64 78 58 / 20 40 80 50 TXK 84 68 82 64 / 20 30 70 60 ELD 83 64 81 61 / 20 10 70 70 TYR 83 69 83 67 / 20 10 30 40 GGG 84 68 83 65 / 20 10 40 50 LFK 84 68 86 68 / 20 10 30 30

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.