textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1233 AM CST Sun Nov 15 2026
- Rain has started to fall across the western portions of the area early this morning.
- Rain will gradually push eastward throughout the day today before ending into Monday morning.
- Dry and warmer conditions will return as we move into next week, returning to the mid 70s by the middle of the week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1233 AM CST Sun Nov 15 2026
Radar imagery is showing some rain starting to move into the area from the west. Right now it is confined to portions of deep east Texas and areas along the I-30 corridor. Rainfall should increase in coverage throughout the rest of the morning, and then lingering through the day as an upper-level disturbance pushes east. While much of the area will see some measurable rainfall, the higher amounts will be confined to our east and deep east Texas zones. High end amounts will be around an inch to an inch and a half across those area, while the remainder of the area will see below a half an inch. With the cloud cover and the rainfall, temperatures today will remain in the 50s across the area, with some guidance showing a few areas unable to make it out of the upper 40s. Another chilly night tonight, with temperatures ranging from the upper 30s to lower 40s.
Starting on Monday, we will see a warming trend commence as high pressure begins to move in from the west. We will return to the lower and mid 60s on Monday, increasing a few degrees each day before widespread 70s return to the area that will linger into next weekend. High pressure should weaken with another disturbance coming through towards the end of the period. /33/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1223 PM CST Sun Nov 15 2026
For the 15/18z TAF period...Currently BKN to OVC VFR conditions at all sites, but light rain continues to move into the airspace from the west. There is a ton of dry air at the lower levels, especially across North Louisiana and South Arkansas. This will likely keep the lower cigs associated with the rain out of the aforementioned areas. The one exception could be KSHV. The East Texas sites should see the heavier of the precipitation, along with lower cigs and vsbys, so reduced flight categories will be possible at those locations today (KTYR/KGGG/KLFK). The lower cigs should start to improve by late evening and into the overnight hours, as dry air works into the region. This should diminish the rainfall coverage and intensity. The one exception could be at KLFK. Otherwise, expect east winds to become more northeasterly by the end of the period. /20/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1233 AM CST Sun Nov 15 2026
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 53 45 64 42 / 90 40 0 0 MLU 60 44 66 39 / 20 30 0 0 DEQ 55 38 64 35 / 50 20 0 0 TXK 54 43 64 40 / 60 20 0 0 ELD 58 39 66 34 / 20 20 0 0 TYR 49 44 61 42 / 100 20 0 0 GGG 50 42 62 40 / 100 30 0 0 LFK 53 44 62 42 / 90 40 10 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.
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