textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1138 AM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

- Scattered showers will dissipate overnight tonight, leaving clear skies through the middle of next week.

- Fire weather conditions will worsen on Sunday due to low humidity and elevated winds. Monitor local guidance for outdoor burning guidance.

- Cooler conditions will be in place on Sunday and Monday, before warming up into the 70s and 80s by midweek.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1138 AM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

The frontal boundary just to our south continues to sit without sufficient forcing. As such, some scattered shower development will be possible in our southern and eastern zones through this evening until an upper-level shortwave clears the area overnight tonight. The drier airmass behind the shortwave will clear the skies and maximize radiational cooling overnight, allowing for seasonal low temperatures in the mid to upper 40s for areas south of I-30. There may be some patchy areas that hit freezing along and north of the I- 30 corridor, but nothing that isn't unseasonable.

The drier airmass moving in will create a fire weather concern with the moderate to extreme drought in place across the region. Min RH values tomorrow afternoon could fall to the 20-25% range across the entire Four State Region that will persist for several days. The wind speed component of fire danger will be shy of a Red Flag Warning, with criteria being 25+ mph. That being said, winds of 15 mph with gusts of 20 mph will be enough for any fire start to spread quickly. Fire danger could stay elevated through Wednesday afternoon until the next rain chances appear on Thursday.

Outside of fire concerns, temperatures are expected to be cooler on Monday with highs in the 50s. Overnight lows Monday night will be hovering around freezing with northern zones dipping into the upper 20s. Upper-level riding developing to our west and clear skies will begin another slow warming trend on Tuesday with most areas seeing afternoon highs in the 60s. Wednesday should be the warmest with parts of East TX and the western I-20 corridor potentially seeing 80s.

Another low pressure system moving through the lower midwest on Thursday could bring back some rain chances for our eastern zones. Unfortunately, WPC QPF is displaying less than 0.25 in of rain through this event which is unlikely to put a dent in the persistant drought. This system should help cool things off briefly, bringing afternoon highs back into the mid 70s going into next weekend.

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AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1134 PM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

For the 22/06Z TAF update, VFR vis/cigs will continue through the period with some SCT120 decks now clearing the airspace. Robust northerly winds will continue behind the frontal boundary at 10-15 kts, gusting to 20-25 kts at 22/15Z before slackening (below 15 kts) after 23/00Z through the end of the period. /16/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 622 AM CST Fri Feb 20 2026

Spotter activation is not expected through this weekend.

/19/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 69 40 58 33 / 20 0 0 0 MLU 67 38 57 31 / 20 10 0 0 DEQ 64 30 53 24 / 10 0 0 0 TXK 66 37 56 30 / 10 0 0 0 ELD 61 34 55 27 / 20 0 0 0 TYR 68 38 58 32 / 10 0 0 0 GGG 70 38 58 31 / 20 0 0 0 LFK 73 39 60 33 / 20 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.