textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1025 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025
- Southerly flow to return today with patchy fog possible across Deep East Texas and north Louisiana overnight.
- A gradual warming trend will return by Friday, as southerly winds return ahead of our next cold front. This cold front will arrive by Saturday afternoon/evening, bringing slight rain chances and widespread freezing temperatures by Monday morning.
- Rain chances will return by the middle portion of next week, as an upper trough moves across the region.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1005 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025
Surface high centered across the region overnight beginning to shift east with southerly winds returning areawide. Temperatures this afternoon are forecast to climb into the lower 60s. With northwest flow prevailing aloft, mostly clear skies expected through this evening. Low-level moisture is expected to increase across much of Deep East Texas and north Louisiana with low- clouds and patchy fog possible near daybreak across these areas. Latest high-res guidance suggests visibility reductions near 1/4sm possible through late morning Friday.
A weak warm frontal boundary will linger across the heart of the ArkLaTex on Friday with high temperatures ranging from the low to mid 60s north of the boundary to the low to mid 70s across Deep East Texas. A strong cold front will dive south across the region on Saturday. As the cold front converges with the warmer gulf airmass south of the weak warm front, enough moisture and instability will be in place to generate showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly south of I-20 on Saturday afternoon and evening.
Conditions to quickly improve overnight Saturday as cold high pressure builds from the north in the wake of the cold front. Temperatures on Saturday night to fall below freezing across portions of southeast Oklahoma and south Arkansas. Arctic air to continue to advect south across the region through Sunday with highs ranging from the mid 30s across south Arkansas to around 50 across Deep East Texas. The most significant impacts of the arctic airmass intrusion will occur on Monday morning as overnight lows will range from the mid teens across south Arkansas to the mid 20s elsewhere.
Surface high to shift east on Monday allowing for a gradual warming trend with the onset of southerly flow. However, there will still remain enough cold air in the wake of the departing arctic airmass to allow for one more night of near freezing temperatures across much of Arkansas and Louisiana.
A progressive weather pattern to continue into early next week as rain chances increase on Tuesday evening into Wednesday as an upper-trough exiting the Rockies moves into Texas. /05/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1056 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025
For the 12/06z TAF period...VFR conditions continue across the region, with scattered to broken high cigs streaming over the airspace. As we approach daybreak, expect reduced flight categories, as low cigs and br/fg move into the region from the southwest. VFR conditions will return by late morning as the cigs lift. However, some short-term progs are trying to keep low cigs at KLFK into the early afternoon hours. Eventually, winds will shift to the north, as a weak cool front moves across the airspace tomorrow afternoon. Some low cigs and br/fg may return by the end of the period at KLFK. /20/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 545 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 47 70 48 64 / 0 0 0 30 MLU 42 70 45 62 / 0 0 10 30 DEQ 37 65 38 56 / 0 0 0 10 TXK 43 67 42 59 / 0 0 0 20 ELD 40 65 39 57 / 0 0 0 20 TYR 47 69 48 66 / 0 0 0 20 GGG 44 70 47 65 / 0 0 10 20 LFK 46 74 53 71 / 0 0 10 30
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.
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