textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1043 AM CST Sun Nov 8 2026
- Seasonal temperatures will stick around for another day before a short warming trend brings temperatures back into the mid to upper 70s by Wednesday.
- A dry but strong cold front will sweep through the region late Wednesday into Thursday morning, bringing temperatures back into the 60s and low 70s for the remainder of the period.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1043 AM CST Sun Nov 8 2026
Surface high pressure and westerly flow aloft will prevail over the next few days ahead of a cutoff low in northwest Mexico. This pattern will keep seasonal temperatures in the forecast for another day before a warming trend kicks off. The slow moving low that we've been tracking continues to slowly shift to the northeast during this time and bring rain to much of south central Texas. Recent models still have weakening CVA as the low reintegrates with the dominant flow further east later this week, which is likely why rain chances for the Ark-La-Tx are more limited. This morning's KSHV sounding depicted a PWAT around our 75th percentile for this time of year, so there is no limit on moisture. That being said, there is still an area of low pressure present, which brings a chance that an area of lift could take advantage of the available moisture and form some stray rain showers on Monday and Tuesday.
Come Wednesday afternoon, temperatures should be back in the mid to upper 70s before another strong cold front moves through beginning Wednesday evening/night. The timing of the front is well agreed upon between the Euro and GFS right now, pushing through the bulk of the region by daybreak Thursday morning. Temperatures behind the front should drop into the low to mid 70s Thursday afternoon, with the accompanying air mass dropping temperatures further for Friday and beyond. There are some long-range models suggesting temperatures in the mid 30s for Saturday morning east of I-49. Estimations this far out are subject to change but it could be a sign to look out for our first frost of the season.
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AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1202 PM CST Sun Nov 8 2026
For the 08/18Z TAF update, VFR vis/cigs are expected through the period with some Cu fields reforming at FEW100/SCT100 for western and southern terminals after 9/15Z. Light northerly surface winds will continue at 5 kts through most of the period. /16/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1235 AM CST Sun Nov 8 2026
Spotter activation is not expected through tonight. /24/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 48 71 51 74 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 41 72 45 76 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 37 73 43 75 / 0 0 0 10 TXK 42 71 48 74 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 37 73 42 76 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 50 73 54 75 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 47 73 50 75 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 50 73 48 77 / 10 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.
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