textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 952 PM CST Thu Jan 1 2026

- Some light showers in our far north and east zones early Friday morning with the rest of the region staying dry for much of the next week.

- Slightly cooler temperatures on Saturday before another warming trend gradually increases temperatures through next week.

- The next chance for widespread rain could be from a system moving through the Central CONUS late next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 952 PM CST Thu Jan 1 2026

Mostly clear skies and southerly flow has brought back some warmth and will continue to do so through the day Friday. The upper-level shortwave is still expected to move just north and east of the region early Friday morning, with some rain showers possibly clipping our outer areas on the way through. The rest of the Ark-La-Tx should stay dry while temperatures climb into the upper 60s and 70s. Overnight lows should generally be in the upper 40s to low 50s before another disturbance moves through early Saturday morning.

This disturbance on Saturday morning looks like it will be free from rain but bring a NW wind shift and cooler temperatures behind it. Highs on Saturday afternoon will still be a bit warmer than average with temperatures in the 60s. The region should remain above freezing for the most part over the next several nights and gradually warm again as surface winds shift back to a southerly orientation by Sunday evening.

Another dry series of days with gradually warming temperatures will stretch into mid next week until it is broken by a deeper low pressure system. Current long-range models are taking this upper- level low from the Central Plains up into the Great Lakes during the latter half of next week. Should this scenario play out, the Ark-La-Tx could see some widespread showers as soon as Wednesday night and continue through the end of the forecast period. Until then, stay aware of local guidance surrounding outdoor burning and fireworks as fire danger could increase in the meantime.

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AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1159 PM CST Thu Jan 1 2026

VFR conditions will continue through at least a portion of the overnight hours, although MVFR cigs now developing over portions of SE TX are expected to spread NE into portions of Deep E TX/NCntrl LA between 09-12Z. These cigs may affect LFK after 09Z, with greater likelihood affecting the N LA/ELD terminals around or shortly after daybreak, persisting through at least mid to late morning before slowly lifting/scattering out. VFR cigs should return to MLU/ELD by midday/early afternoon, and while they may scatter out at MLU by mid-afternoon, cigs should linger at ELD until 00Z Saturday. A sfc low traversing the middle Red River Valley of N TX/Srn OK Friday will become absorbed into a developing cold front by late afternoon/early evening, which will begin to drift back SSW into Srn AR/extreme NE TX shortly after 00Z, which may allow for low MVFR cigs to develop just N of the front and drift S with the fropa by the end of the TAF period. S winds 5-10kts overnight will become SW 8-13kts after 16Z, with gusts to 25kts possible over portions of Lower E TX/N LA. /15/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1159 PM CST Thu Jan 1 2026

Spotter activation is not expected through the end of this week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 57 78 52 65 / 10 0 0 0 MLU 52 76 52 62 / 10 10 10 0 DEQ 47 68 44 63 / 20 0 10 0 TXK 54 73 49 64 / 20 0 10 0 ELD 51 72 46 59 / 10 10 10 0 TYR 56 77 49 67 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 55 78 49 67 / 10 0 0 0 LFK 55 80 51 70 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.