textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1137 AM CST Tue Feb 17 2026

- Warming trend will continue through Thursday ahead of a cool down by the weekend, continuing into early next week.

- Rain chances will increase by Friday, with additional showers and storms Saturday as a cold front moves through.

- Behind the front, temperatures will lean below normal for both Sunday and Monday, before rebounding by the middle of next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1137 AM CST Tue Feb 17 2026

Overcast skies and cool temperatures across the region this morning as many sit in the low and mid 60's. Expectation is for the cloud coverage to hang around for much of the day, with some brief periods of sun through any breaks. It will be interesting to watch how temperatures trend this afternoon even with southerly winds in play. Ultimately, these southerly winds should allow temperatures to enter into the 70's this afternoon. With southerlies remaining dominate, expect another mild afternoon for Wednesday, with highs in the mid and upper 70's scattered across the FA. Southerlies will continue to play a role in the day to day temperature profile while the synoptic pattern aloft remains in play. The progression of multiple shortwaves north of the FA will spin-up surface lows that will continue to allow for surface southerlies to remain across the region.

While at first, it may appear that an elongated surface cold front attached to a low drifting across the Upper Midwest will have the steam to move across the region by mid-week, this looks to lose the forward momentum and stall out across NE Texas and SE Oklahoma. That being said, a reinforcing shortwave within the mid- level pattern will help spin-up an additional low east of the Rockies that will swing a cold front through the region Friday/Saturday. Rain chances will be minimal for Thursday, with increasing PoPs through Friday AM, into the afternoon hours. This front will take some time to fully clear, and with smaller perturbations embedded within the main flow, rain chances won't completely clear until late Saturday, with a rain free and cool finish for Sunday.

The influence of a building surface high into the CONUS will help introduce cooler temperatures for Sunday and Monday as highs range from the low 50's to near 60 deg F. This looks to be short lived as temperatures look to rebound to near-normal by Tuesday of next week.

RK

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1131 AM CST Tue Feb 17 2026

Aside from brief high-based MVFR cigs across portions of the region to start the 18Z TAF period, VFR conditions are expected areawide this afternoon and evening, as extensive cu cigs will linger. These cigs may scatter out by late afternoon/early evening beneath extensive cirrus cigs that will persist, but MVFR cigs are expected to redevelop by/after 06Z Wednesday over E TX/WCntrl LA before spreading NE across the remainder of the region overnight. These cigs should also lower some/potentially become IFR after 12Z as bndry lyr winds decouple, before slowly lifting by mid to late morning Wednesday. However, MVFR cigs should persist through at least midday before returning to VFR for the afternoon. S winds 10-15kts with gusts to 20-25kts this afternoon will diminish slightly to 10-12kts this evening, and around 5-8kts by daybreak Wednesday. /15/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1222 AM CST Tue Feb 17 2026

Spotter activation is not expected through the end of this week.

/19/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 61 78 63 80 / 0 0 0 10 MLU 59 78 61 80 / 0 0 0 20 DEQ 55 75 55 76 / 0 0 10 10 TXK 61 77 63 80 / 0 0 0 10 ELD 57 74 58 78 / 0 0 0 10 TYR 62 79 63 81 / 0 0 0 10 GGG 59 79 61 80 / 0 0 0 10 LFK 60 79 63 81 / 0 0 0 10

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.