textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1158 PM CDT Tue Jul 7 2026

- Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible overnight across east Texas and the I-30 corridor, becoming more widespread during the late morning and afternoon hours.

- Quiet and dry weather will return Thursday and continue through the end of the week, with areawide highs in the low to middle 90s.

- Unsettled weather looks to return Sunday and continue into early next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1158 PM CDT Tue Jul 7 2026

Convection has largely diminished across the ArkLaTex this evening, and while high resolution short range models have struggled to resolve development of new storms, particularly in regards to position and timing, additional redevelopment overnight cannot be ruled out. Based on high precipitable water values, the most likely regions to favor convection will be across east Texas and along the I-30 corridor. Guidance suggests this overnight impulse of moisture will propagate southeast into southern Arkansas and northwest Louisiana near daybreak, followed by another afternoon of areawide storm chances driven by the lingering axis, diminishing by mid evening.

Overnight tonight, lows look to drop into the low to middle 70s, followed by highs in the low to middle 90s tomorrow at the majority of sites, aside from those where cloud cover and precipitation limit warming. Overnight Wednesday into Thursday, the upper level trough over the arkLaTex will lift north and east over the Mississippi and Ohio Valley, taking the axis with it and leaving the region dry through the end of the work week and beginning of the weekend.

By early Saturday into Sunday, ridging over the western CONUS will amplify, forming a closed high over the Four Corners region which will drift north over the northern Plains. Steering around this high will at least open the door to afternoon sea breeze convection reaching our southern zones Saturday, followed by more widespread convection Sunday into early next week as easterly flow delivers a series of weaknesses our way, assuming we remain to the southeast of the ridge. The proximity of this upper level ridging looks to help sustain our summertime heat, though presence of convection may manage to limit runaway heating. At this point, highs in the 90s look to remain entrenched in place, with more sites aiming at the middle 90s. Lows will continue in the middle to upper 70s throughout.

/26/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 607 AM CDT Wed Jul 8 2026

Some isolated convection has been developing and dissipating all night near and north of the I-20 Corridor of NE TX into SW AR and we will continue seeing this to start the 12z TAF package as well. Decided to prevail VCTS at the TYR/GGG and TXK terminals as a result, delaying VCTS to mid to late morning at the SHV terminal and not beginning VCTS til early afternoon at our remaining terminals. Should see convection dissipating in the 00z-03z timeframe with VFR conditions prevailing overnight tonight. Winds will be varying from SE to SW with speeds generally under 10kts during this TAF package except variable and more gusty in and around convection.

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SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1158 PM CDT Tue Jul 7 2026

Spotter activation may be needed this morning and afternoon across the region. /26/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 93 77 95 77 / 40 10 0 0 MLU 94 76 95 77 / 40 10 10 0 DEQ 93 73 95 76 / 30 10 0 0 TXK 94 76 97 77 / 30 10 0 0 ELD 91 74 94 76 / 40 10 10 0 TYR 96 78 97 78 / 30 0 0 0 GGG 95 77 96 77 / 40 0 0 0 LFK 95 76 96 76 / 20 10 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.