textproduct: Shreveport
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KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1255 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026
- Scattered showers and thunderstorms are back in the forecast Today and especially Tonight with the aid of returning southerly low level flow and an upper level disturbance. - Unsettled weather will remain in the forecast for some areas Saturday through Sunday with periods of thunderstorms continuing.
- At this time, much of next weeks appears to be dry with a warmup commencing by mid to late next week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1255 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026
Mid to high clouds remain plentiful across our entire CWA early this morning but low level moisture will begin returning in earnest near or shortly after sunrise. Isentropic forcing combined with weak upper level ascent in rather benign west to east upper flow to produce scattered convection today, especially south of the I-20 Corridor. Not too concerned about any severe weather potential through the daytime hours today but that could change overnight as a complex of thunderstorms are expected to develop late this afternoon/this evening across Central Oklahoma with the aid of a disturbance embedded in a broad upper level trough axis across the Southern Plains and the Mid Miss Valley. This is supported by some CAM output along with the latest HREF run but just how strong to severe this convection will be as it moves into the Middle Red River Valley late Friday Evening/overnight is anyone's guess, not to mention the degree of storm coverage. Per conversations with SPC, the new Convective Day One Outlook will likely contain a Slight Risk for our far northwest zones for the Friday evening and overnight for the possibility of damaging wind gusts.
Saturday's forecast is complicated by the remnants of the above mentioned shortwave and any convectively induced boundary we will be dealing with after daybreak, not to mention a filling upper level trough moving our way from the Tx Hill Country that will get absorbed into the parent upper trough. There is very little agreement with CAM/deterministic output so have decided to advertise Sat/Sat Night with chance pops for now. For Sunday, we will be dealing with yet another upper level disturbance moving our way in the parent upstream longwave trough with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms impacting at least our northern half during the day with the remainder of our region seeing increasing storm coverage late in the day/overnight before a cold front sweeps all this convection south and east of our region overnight Sunday Night.
Beyond the weekend, upper ridging will remain anchored across the Four Corners Region of the Country and into the Texas Hill Country with broad troughing across the Great Lakes and into the Ohio/Tenn Valleys. The upstream ridging will likely amplify into the Intermountain West by mid to late week. All this to say we look dry most if not all of next week with a warming trend commencing by midweek.
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AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1255 AM CDT FRI May 8 2026
For the 08/06Z TAFs, mid and high level cloud decks will continue overspreading ArkLaTex airspace through the night. Between 08/09Z and 08/12Z, further lowering of decks will arrive from the south, as CIGs deteriorate to lower MVFR and IFR levels. Where decks drop by daybreak, any recovery will be limited and gradual through the remainder of the morning hours. Showers and thunderstorms may begin to return to the I-30 corridor during the morning, most likely impacting KTXK before potentially spreading further south. Light and variable winds overnight will become southeasterly and southerly tomorrow at speeds of 5 to 10 kts with limited gusts possible in the vicinity of storms.
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SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1255 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026
Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible late in the day Today but especially during the late evening and overnight hours across portions of the Four State Region. Therefore, spotter activation may be required.
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PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 77 63 82 64 / 40 40 40 20 MLU 77 63 82 64 / 30 50 40 20 DEQ 78 55 83 59 / 0 30 20 20 TXK 79 60 84 64 / 10 40 30 10 ELD 77 58 82 61 / 10 40 40 20 TYR 77 63 82 65 / 40 40 40 20 GGG 77 63 82 64 / 40 40 50 20 LFK 76 65 82 66 / 70 70 60 30
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.
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