textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1216 AM CDT Wed Apr 15 2026

- Scattered showers and thunderstorms remain possible on Wednesday into Thursday.

- A strong cold front will traverse the region on Saturday, delivering some widespread rainfall and some cooler temps.

- Cooler and drier air will settle into the region by Sunday, followed by a slow warming trend into the middle of the week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1216 AM CDT Wed Apr 15 2026

Our region remains positioned under a moist southerly flow as a surface ridge remains in place over the Gulf. This will maintain a steady stream of humidity into the region. For Wednesday and Thursday, a series of upper-level disturbances will interact with this moisture and trigger a few rounds of convection. That being said, short range models have trended a little lower than previous models so I think the NBM could be too excited in regards to the coverage for today. The main area of concern for today will be for areas north of I-20 in east Texas, and then areas along and north of the I-30 corridor. The greatest risk for strong to severe storms today will be across portions of far northeast Texas, southeast Oklahoma, and some western Arkansas. These storms will be capable of producing mainly gusty winds and some hail, but we can't rule out the potential for a tornado or two either.

Probably the more impactful event will come on Saturday as a strong cold front sweeps from northwest to southeast across the region. While there remains some differing opinions on timing, it looks like the bulk of the storms will come Saturday afternoon. This will have the potential to provide more widespread rainfall to the region, along with the potential for some strong storms, something we will continue to monitor. Dry air will follow behind the passing cold front, in addition to ushering in some slightly below normal temperatures for Sunday and into the start of next week before returning to more seasonable levels on Tuesday. /33/

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1251 PM CDT Wed Apr 15 2026

For the 15/18z TAF period...VFR skies have return across the region, but under mostly cloudy skies. The clouds will scattered out more during the afternoon hours today, with exceptions possibly at KTXK/KTYR/KGGG/KLFK. Showers and thunderstorms are possible at KTXK/KELD overnight, followed by the return of MVFR cigs across the region by daybreak. These MVFR cigs should hold on through the remainder of the period. /20/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1251 AM CDT Wed Apr 15 2026

Spotter activation may be needed late this afternoon and tonight across portions of extreme Northeast Texas, Southeast Oklahoma, and adjacent sections of Southwest Arkansas for the potential for isolated strong to severe thunderstorms. /15/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 67 87 67 88 / 20 10 0 0 MLU 65 89 66 90 / 10 20 0 0 DEQ 61 82 62 85 / 70 20 0 10 TXK 67 86 67 88 / 60 20 10 0 ELD 63 86 64 89 / 30 30 10 0 TYR 67 85 67 86 / 50 10 0 0 GGG 66 86 66 87 / 40 10 0 0 LFK 67 87 66 88 / 10 10 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.