textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 201 PM CST Thu Jan 22 2026

- Wintry precipitation will make travel treacherous and possibly result in power outages across the ArkLaTex starting Friday night for northern zones, spreading south and continuing through Saturday and much of Sunday.

- Confidence is increasing in snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches between I-20 and I-30, with 4 inches or more north of I-30, and ice accumulations of between one-third of an inch and 1 inch between US-82 and US-84, with the highest accumulations near the I-20 corridor.

- Dangerously cold conditions expected early next week, with lows in the lower teens and single-digits Monday and Tuesday morning.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 201 PM CST Thu Jan 22 2026

The main story for the upcoming winter weather impacts to the ArkLaTex remains largely unchanged. With continued confidence as the onset of impacts draws near, have upgraded the northern two-thirds of the region to a Winter Storm Warning which will be in effect starting Friday evening. Additionally, issued an Extreme Cold Watch for the entire region for early next week.

Low temperatures tonight will be similar to those experienced last night- and the last remotely mild lows for the remainder of this forecast period- ranging from the middle and upper 30s north to the middle and upper 40s south. The region looks to remain almost entirely dry through the overnight hours, with the first signal of moisture arrival now encroaching on our westernmost zones of east Texas near or just before daybreak. Rainfall will spread eastward through the day Friday, while highs climb into the lower 40s north to 50s along and south of I-20.

The big question with these latest forecast cycles surrounds exactly when and where Friday's precip will begin the transition from liquid to wintry mix, driven by the arrival of the frigid northern airmass. As of this morning's NBM run, the onset and southward push of wintry precip has continued to show signs of slowing somewhat, now keeping north of I-30 through Friday evening, only reaching the I-20 corridor somewhere between midnight and daybreak Saturday. Keep in mind, exact timing remains a point of uncertainty between solutions, and the best consensus guidance may still swing slightly earlier or later as new model runs come in.

Through Saturday morning, wintry mix will advance further south towards approximately the US-84 corridor. Uncertainty remains regarding if our southernmost counties and parishes will see a true transition to wintry precip Saturday, or see more of a rain-freezing rain mixture, but guidance suggests that by overnight Saturday into Sunday, the entire CWA will be experiencing frozen precip of some type. Once wintry precip begins, it looks to proceed near- continuously until the event comes to an end during the daytime hours Sunday, likely making its exit during the afternoon or early evening hours.

As previously advertised, accumulation values and position of highest totals continues to migrate slightly from one run to the next, but the latest solutions depict 1 to 3 inches of snow between I-20 and I-30, with totals of 4+ inches possible north of I-30. Storm total ice accumulations range from one-third of an inch to 1 inch, generally bounded by US-82 in the north and US-84 in the south, with the highest accumulations along and near the I-20 corridor. Our zones along I-20 in north central Louisiana may see ice accumulations exceeding 1 inch.

Given these forecast values, not to mention the potential for wind impacts only adding to the number of downed tree limbs, time is running out to make preparations for lengthy power outages concurrent with very cold conditions. Those located within the Winter Storm Warning should prepare to hunker down Friday night and to stay off the roads through the weekend if at all possible. Those to the south of the Warning should prepare to do the same by Saturday night.

In addition to the effects of the winter weather itself, the associated cold will pose a hazard, especially into early next week. From Friday afternoon, temps will plunge below freezing overnight, into the teens north to upper 20s along I-20 and near freezing south, climbing only into the upper 20s north to middle 30s south Saturday as the wintry precip continues. Values trend colder into Sunday as impacts continue, plunging dramatically into the lower teens and single digits, even approaching zero degrees north by daybreak Monday and again on Tuesday, followed by a warming trend and quieter conditions into the middle of next week.

/26/

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 526 PM CST Thu Jan 22 2026

For the 23/00z TAF update...Seeing a mixture of MVFR to IFR ceilings this evening across much of the area. Not expecting much in the way of improvement during the rest of the evening and into the overnight hours and actually think more widespread MVFR to IFR conditions will take hold. We will see some BR develop overnight for portions of the area in addition of some -RA for portions of east Texas. Winds will be light through most of the period, increasing towards the end of the period in advance of our incoming storm system. /33/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1259 AM CST Wed Jan 21 2026

Spotter activation is not expected through at least Thursday. /53/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 44 52 28 33 / 10 30 70 100 MLU 44 50 29 34 / 0 20 40 90 DEQ 35 43 18 25 / 10 50 100 100 TXK 40 45 22 25 / 10 50 90 100 ELD 37 44 19 25 / 0 30 70 100 TYR 45 51 28 32 / 20 50 90 100 GGG 43 51 26 32 / 10 40 80 100 LFK 50 58 34 42 / 10 30 60 100

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...Winter Storm Warning from 6 PM Friday to noon CST Sunday for ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073.

Extreme Cold Watch from Sunday evening through Tuesday morning for ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073.

LA...Winter Storm Warning from 6 PM Friday to noon CST Sunday for LAZ001>006-010>014.

Extreme Cold Watch from Sunday evening through Tuesday morning for LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022.

Winter Storm Watch from Saturday morning through Sunday morning for LAZ017>022.

OK...Winter Storm Warning from 6 PM Friday to noon CST Sunday for OKZ077.

Extreme Cold Watch from Sunday evening through Tuesday morning for OKZ077.

TX...Winter Storm Warning from 6 PM Friday to noon CST Sunday for TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>151.

Extreme Cold Watch from Sunday evening through Tuesday morning for TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.

Winter Storm Watch from Saturday morning through Sunday morning for TXZ152-153-165>167.