textproduct: Shreveport

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1230 AM CST Wed Feb 18 2026

- Quiet and warm weather will continue through midweek as highs climb into the mid to upper 70s.

- Rainfall returns to southeastern zones Thursday, with areawide showers and storms Friday into Saturday.

- Cool down in store early next week, with near or below freezing morning lows and highs in the 50s, while quiet conditions prevail.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1230 AM CST Wed Feb 18 2026

Skies will remain mostly cloudy overnight, while sustained southerly winds look to limit the possibility of fog development, and temperatures remain on the warmer side of mild, dropping only into the middle 50s to lower 60s by daybreak. Under southwesterly flow aloft with southerly winds prevailing through the daytime hours, conditions will remain quiet and warmer Wednesday afternoon, climbing into the middle to upper 70s, with a few sites even taking aim at the 80 degree mark. Guidance is resolving some clearing across our northwest late in the day, followed by overcast skies rebuilding by dawn Thursday morning, accompanied by another round of upper 50s and lower 60s.

On the synoptic scale, upper level southwesterly flow will continue through much of the week, as developing troughs to our north struggle to make much of a dent in this pattern. This set up will be conducive to funnel moisture into the region, and sure enough, Thursday afternoon will see adequate forcing to kick up some showers across our southeast. These rainfall chances will dwindle overnight before returning in force Friday across a larger portion of the region, with some embedded thunderstorms possible overnight into Saturday morning.

By late in the weekend, a more progressive pattern finally gets into motion, with a trough at last sweeping out the surface frontal boundary responsible for the rainfall. Latest timing estimates keep Saturday afternoon rainy areawide before showers come to an end during the evening. Upper level ridging will quickly build in overhead, making for a quiet conclusion to this extended forecast period, while high temperatures drop from the 70s to 50s with the frontal passage Sunday, gradually warming into early next week. Low temperatures look to fall back to near or slightly below freezing behind the front next Monday and Tuesday morning.

/26/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1147 PM CST Tue Feb 17 2026

For the 18/06z TAF period...Low cigs are starting to develop across our East Texas terminals. This trend will continue across the remaining TAF sites overnight, producing MVFR conditions. These clouds should slowly move out of the terminals from west to east by mid to late Wed morning, although some progs are keeping low clouds into the afternoon hours at KMLU/KLFK. VFR conditions, with high clouds will move in behind the departing low stratus. Eventually, low clouds will return by the end of the period areawide. Winds will remain from the south with gusts 15-20 mph at times during the period. /20/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1222 AM CST Tue Feb 17 2026

Spotter activation is not expected through the end of this week.

/19/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 64 81 53 72 / 0 10 10 20 MLU 62 79 56 73 / 0 20 20 30 DEQ 56 77 41 66 / 10 0 0 10 TXK 63 80 48 69 / 0 10 0 20 ELD 59 77 47 68 / 0 10 10 20 TYR 64 81 51 72 / 0 10 0 10 GGG 62 81 50 73 / 0 10 0 20 LFK 64 79 58 76 / 0 20 10 20

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.


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