textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1223 AM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026

- We can expect a continued warming trend with 80s for highs and our lows will be back to mid April averages or slightly above.

- The weekend will get a better chance for showers or some thunderstorms each day, especially for our OK/TX Counties.

- The Storm Prediction Center Outlooks have posted a General and Marginal Risks edging into our Four-State area that will bump up to increasing coverage of Slight Risks during next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1223 AM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026

Some changes will be seen with our air temperatures over the next week with our highs warming and keeping above average 80s for most afternoons. Our lows will also be getting back to average this morning for some, with that trend seeing further gains as some mid 60s arrive by Sunday and even upper 60s during early to mid of next week. Isolated to perhaps areas of scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will be expanding over deep E TX today and for much more of our TX Counties by late this weekend and parts of LA during next week. The SPC Slight Risks will hold off until next work week, but the WPC does have posted a Marginal Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook across our I-30 corridor for Sunday and overnight. This is due to the expected slow movement of convection arriving into and along our I-30 corridor.

Overall, we have seen little change in the big picture aside from deepening southerly flow off the Gulf. The slight upper ridging continues for the MS River Valley in the wake of our last chilly air mass departing. The long wave troughing over the west coast continues as several core upper lows dig in, but all end up weakening/filling as they cross the continental divide. In addition, the now semi-permanent upper ridging over the eastern Gulf and Florida will build to a 591dam closed upper core, while the axis pushes off the mid Atlantic by Sunday with the long wave slowly encroaching.

This is the battle zone for convection with that needed SW flow of Pacific and Gulf moisture aloft over the western half of the country by Sunday, but still buffering on the upper ridge over the eastern Gulf. So, the rainfall our Four-State's receive will be greatly varied with a NW to SE gradient for days as the pattern only slowly advances, which is typically experienced this time of year. Longer days and warmer temperatures will keep a steady course through the Spring months.

There is a note worthy change in the matter of rainfall as the LaNina has officially ended, shifting to an ENSO-nuetral water temperature range in the Pacific Ocean. And expectations are for rapid warming to an El Nino or even Super El Nino coming soon to our rain gauges. For now the subtle change is on pace for only a little drought improvement for the remainder of April, but likely beyond, leaning average to slightly above rainfall on the CPC 8 to 14 day outlook by the last week of this month. /24/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1223 AM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026

For the 10/06Z TAF period...

VFR conditions are expected across N LA and SW AR through the 10/06Z TAF period, but MVFR cigs are expected to develop between 07-10Z across portions of Deep E TX, and spread N towards the I-20 terminals by 12Z, affecting LFK, TYR, and possibly GGG. These cigs should linger through mid to late morning as they lift, before eventually returning to VFR by 16-17Z. A scattered cu field should develop elsewhere by late morning/midday, before mostly diminishing by or shortly after 00Z Saturday. Isolated convection should develop this afternoon across portions of Deep E and SE TX, and could affect LFK and areas just W of TYR between 21-00Z. However, low confidence precludes VCSH mention at those terminals attm. Some elevated cu/low AC from this convection may linger this evening though across portions of E TX. Any MVFR cigs development again tonight should await until just after the end of this TAF period before developing, possibly affecting the LFK/TYR terminals once again. ESE winds 3-7kts overnight will become more SSE 5-8kts after 15Z. /15/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1223 AM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026

Spotter activation is not expected through Saturday. /24/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 83 63 85 65 / 10 10 0 0 MLU 84 61 86 60 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 82 57 83 61 / 20 10 10 0 TXK 83 62 86 66 / 10 0 10 0 ELD 83 59 86 61 / 10 0 0 0 TYR 83 63 83 65 / 20 10 10 10 GGG 83 62 85 64 / 20 10 10 0 LFK 80 62 83 65 / 40 10 20 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.