textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1232 PM CST Thu Jan 15 2026

- A brief warming trend will carry into Friday as southerly winds return late today and tonight, allowing for milder temperatures tonight and much warmer tomorrow ahead of our next cold front.

- The next in a series of cold fronts will arrive late on Friday, initially reinforcing the elevated fire danger conditions with gusty NW winds and low RH values before turning sharply colder.

- The deepening longwave trough will dip well south this weekend, sending a weak shortwave into our region, bringing very low-end chances of light rain/flurries briefly on Saturday evening.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1232 PM CST Thu Jan 15 2026

After a rather chilly day today in wake of yesterday's cold front, a brief warm-up is on tap for Friday as S/SW winds are already beginning to make a return across parts of the region. This trend will continue overnight with much milder temperatures as compared to last night as low temperatures will generally range through the 30s to lower 40s. The upper-level pattern will briefly trend more zonal on Friday while southerly sfc winds increase ahead of our next cold front. Given our ongoing drought conditions, an elevated fire danger will exist during much of Friday with wind gusts up to 25-30 mph along with lower RH values. Appreciable rainfall from last week will help to mitigate this concern across our southern CWA, but areas along and north of I-30 saw considerably less rain by comparison. Otherwise, the other weather headline for Friday will be the much warmer temperatures with a majority of the region ranging through the 60s for highs except for our far northern CWA.

As mentioned above, this warming trend will be brief with another strong cold front advancing SE across the region through Friday night. Given the relative lack of moisture return ahead of this front, rain is not expected other than a possible stray shower in our extreme SE zones. Beyond that, the focus of the forecast will quickly turn to the sharply colder air mass overtaking the region with well below average temperatures expected for this weekend. In addition, an embedded shortwave within the major longwave trough will pivot SE from the Southern Plains into the SE CONUS late on Saturday. Increasing lift along and ahead of this feature could induce some very light precipitation across our SE zones, but it still appears that moisture will be lacking below 5Kft. Thus, low confidence and only low-end chances exist for a brief period of light rain possibly mixed with a few snow flurries before the base of the longwave trough shifts east of the region by early Sunday. Otherwise, expect a largely dry forecast with increasingly colder air filtering south into the region with a widespread freeze on Sunday morning.

Beyond the weekend, continued cool and dry conditions will prevail into early next week as another reinforcing cold front is progged to arrive on Monday. As with the previous cold fronts, this front will come through dry with temperatures dropping off slightly on Tuesday before a gradual recovery by mid-week. By Wednesday, look for a return to more seasonable temperatures along with some rain chances as a Pacific shortwave advances from northern Mexico into the western Gulf coast by Wednesday into Thursday, presenting our next best chance for widespread appreciable rainfall across the region.

/19/

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 545 PM CST Thu Jan 15 2026

For the ArkLaTex terminals, SKC overnight with light S/SW winds ahead of our next fropa. SKC generally continues aside from some cirrus late in the cycle. Our next big fropa occurs late Friday afternoon with little fan fare rainwise, but a few showers may crop on the low level boundary with a secondary impulse and some middeck VCSH at KLFK/KMLU or so. NW winds arrive late Friday and veer to N by early Saturday, then back to NW again overnight and backing to SW midday on Sunday. /24/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1202 PM CST Thu Jan 15 2026

Spotter activation is not expected through this weekend.

/19/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 41 67 35 49 / 0 0 0 10 MLU 36 66 36 50 / 0 10 10 10 DEQ 30 57 27 43 / 0 0 0 10 TXK 39 61 34 45 / 0 10 0 10 ELD 34 60 31 45 / 0 10 0 10 TYR 44 63 34 49 / 0 0 0 10 GGG 41 64 33 49 / 0 0 0 10 LFK 41 69 35 51 / 0 0 0 10

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.