textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1140 PM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026
- While it will remain hot for the foreseeable future, heat index values will remain mostly below hazard criteria at least through Monday.
- Scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms will remain possible through the weekend, which could produce some gusty winds at times.
- Fire weather and drought conditions are expected to worsen with the warm and generally dry conditions. Take caution during outdoor activities to prevent fire starts.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1140 PM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026
Radar has been dying down over the past few hours with the loss of daytime heating and storms gusting out. The previous forecast discussion mentioned models highlighting a low risk of severe weather from a cluster of showers overnight tonight. With the rapidly weakening storms, it is unlikely that anything will reintensify enough to become severe before daybreak Saturday. Recent HRRR runs have had better initialization compared to runs from earlier today and have showers from this MCV continue to dissipate almost without exception. Some light showers could continue to hang around until Saturday morning but nothing like previously anticipated.
Expect temperatures to remain in the mid 90s through this weekend before climbing into the upper 90s by the middle of next week. Daily showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop during the afternoon hours, with our southern and eastern zones having the greatest risk. These areas should have deeper southerly flow as the western extent of the subtropical high reaches the Southern Plains, but any areas could see some brief rumbles of thunder. WPC does have northern portions of the Ark-La-Tx under marginal ERO's the next few days for urban flooding should any showers develop over them. There is plenty of available moisture that could contribute to efficient rain makers, but will be dependent on where showers form. Rain chances taper off as we get into next week, making worsening drought conditions likely.
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AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1227 AM CDT Sat Aug 8 2026
For the 08/06z TAF period...Some lingering showers and isolated thunderstorms remain in and around KELD/KTXK at this hour, but this activity should diminish over the next couple of hours. Otherwise, expect VFR conditions to prevail overnight through Saturday morning. But, there will be mid and high clouds over the region. By Saturday afternoon, isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop across the airspace. The exact locations remain in question, so decided to go with VCTS in the TAFs at this time. Brief gusty winds could accompany this convection. This activity should diminish with the loss of daytime heating. /20/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 107 PM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 75 94 76 94 / 10 30 0 10 MLU 73 94 74 94 / 20 30 10 10 DEQ 71 95 72 96 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 74 95 75 96 / 10 10 0 0 ELD 71 92 72 94 / 20 30 10 10 TYR 75 96 75 96 / 20 10 0 0 GGG 74 96 74 95 / 10 10 0 0 LFK 74 94 74 92 / 20 20 0 20
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.
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