textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1201 AM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

- Ongoing showers and thunderstorms will continue into this afternoon, mainly for areas north of I-20.

- A strong cold front will move through the region on Saturday, bringing more widespread rain chances to the area.

- Below normal temperatures will follow in the wake of the cold front from Sunday through Tuesday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1201 AM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

Radar imagery early this morning continues to show areas of showers and thunderstorms for areas north of I-30, mainly across far southeast Oklahoma and southwest Arkansas. These storms have been sub-severe and should remain this way through the next few hours. Short range models indicate that this activity should be out of the area by around 06-08z. That being said, there NBM continues to maintain some low PoPs for our northern areas into this afternoon. Mostly dry conditions then settle in for Thursday night and most of Friday, before precipitation chances increase again as a strong cold front begins to approach the area from the northwest by Friday evening. This cold front will bring more widespread rainfall to the area starting early Saturday morning and exiting the area to the southeast by Saturday night. There are some pretty decent indications that this could be a good soaking rainfall for most locations. Drier conditions move in behind the cold front and will limit precipitation chances through at least Monday, after which , some low end PoPs return to the forecast but right now will remain low end.

Temperatures today will range from the lower 80s to around 90 degrees across the region, which is roughly 8-12 degrees above seasonable normals. MIld temperatures remain for tonight, with lows in the lower to mid 60s. Friday will be similar to today in terms of high temperatures, however, Friday night is when things begin to "cool" down. We will see a wider variety of temperatures on Friday night as the cold front begins to enter the northwest portions of the area, where lows Saturday morning will be in the lower to upper 50s, while the remainder of the area will be in the lower to upper 60s. With the rain expected through the day Saturday, and the advancing cooler air, we will see a wide variety of high temperatures that afternoon as well, with ranges from the mid 60s across our northern zones to the mid 80s across our southeast zones. Saturday night will be chilly, or pleasant depending on how you like it, with lows ranging from around 40 degrees to the north and 50 degrees to the south. We could even see some upper 30s across our far northern zones. Sunday will be nice, with highs in the lower to mid 70s, followed by another chilly night Sunday night into Monday and then another pleasant day on Monday. From here we will see temperatures slowly start to rise again, returning to the lower to mid 80s by the middle of the week. /33/

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 211 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

For the 16/18z TAF period...VFR conditions have returned across the region, with a few isolated showers, mainly across our Central and Northeast Louisiana Parishes. Decided to add VCSH at KMLU to account for this. There is also a slight chance for an isolated thunderstorm or two to develop near KTXK, but confidence is too low to include in TAF at the moment. Otherwise, expect VFR conditions through the remainder of the day. However, low MVFR cigs will return overnight and spread to all the TAF sites by daybreak. These cigs should start to lift and scatter out towards the end of the period. Winds will remain from the south, with gusts 15-20 mph, especially during afternoon hours and towards the end of the TAF period. /20/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 647 AM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight. /15/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 66 88 68 78 / 0 0 10 70 MLU 65 90 66 83 / 0 0 0 60 DEQ 63 85 55 69 / 10 10 40 60 TXK 67 88 64 73 / 10 0 20 70 ELD 63 88 64 76 / 0 0 10 70 TYR 67 86 62 73 / 0 0 20 70 GGG 66 87 64 75 / 0 0 10 70 LFK 66 87 67 81 / 0 0 0 60

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.