textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1003 AM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

- Warmer temperatures on tap for this week as we continue to thaw out from last week's Winter Storm.

- Our next upper level disturbance will begin impacting our region late Monday Night and especially on Tuesday before ending Tuesday Night. Showers and thunderstorms with this trough. - A slight retreat in temperatures in the wake of the trough for Wednesday and Thursday but warmer temperatures will conclude the work week and into the upcoming weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1003 AM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

A slow but gradual warmup this morning after a very cold night across the Four State Region. Late morning temperatures mostly above freezing but just barely under mostly sunny skies. It's that solar radiation and returning southerly winds that will aid the temperature return this afternoon. While we will remain mostly clear overnight, light south winds should offset temps somewhat, especially across our western half but did shave NBM temps a few degrees across our northeast and eastern zones where ample radiational cooling conditions will be present.

Southwest winds will return in earnest on Monday and those winds along with a very dry atmosphere in place should result in large diurnal temperature trends with highs Monday Afternoon in the 60s across most locations. Low level moisture will begin returning to our region overnight on Monday as an upper level trough exits the Texas Hill Country and moves towards our region as we wake up Tuesday Morning. Would not be surprised to see some elevated showers returning as early as the predawn hours across our western half Monday Night but a bulk of the upper level ascent associated with the upper trough will be present across our region during the day Tuesday into Tuesday Evening and thus pops increase dramatically during this timeframe as well. Not seeing much in the way of any surface based instability in the Tue/Tue Night timeframe but returning mid-level lapse rates are supporting thunderstorm chances late morning Tue thru Tue Night with the approaching trough. No severe weather is expected. Precipitation should end from northwest to southeast Tue Night with a dry Wednesday as a longwave trough pivots through our region in the wake of the Tue disturbance. While the longwave trough passage will be dry on Wednesday, cooler air will accompany the trough and that will serve to trim temps back into the 50s for highs on Wed and Thu across most places.

Northwest flow should prevail in the wake of our longwave trough passage for Friday and through the upcoming weekend. We may see another weak trough passage late next weekend but attm, that trough passage looks dry.

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AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1151 AM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

For the 01/18z TAF period...VFR conditions will prevail, with some high cigs moving in towards the end of the TAF period. There is a chance for some MVFR cigs near daybreak at KLFK, but confidence isn't high enough to include in this TAF package. Light/variable winds will become southwest between 5 to 10 mph during the period.

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SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1003 AM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

While thunderstorms are forecast for Tuesday/Tuesday Night across portions of the Four State Region, severe thunderstorms are not forecast. Therefore spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

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PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 50 33 67 50 / 0 0 0 10 MLU 45 27 61 45 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 45 23 61 41 / 0 0 0 20 TXK 48 32 65 49 / 0 0 0 20 ELD 47 26 63 45 / 0 0 0 10 TYR 50 35 66 53 / 0 0 0 20 GGG 51 32 66 50 / 0 0 0 20 LFK 52 32 65 52 / 0 0 0 10

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.