textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1208 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026

- Radar remains quiet early this morning, but that should change during the overnight hours as isolated showers and thunderstorms return to portions of the area.

- Today will be our last good chance for rainfall in portions of the area through at least the middle of next week.

- The heat returns this weekend and into the start of next week, with heat headlines possible as early as Sunday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1208 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026

We have seen a few showers and thunderstorms across portions of southeast Oklahoma and central Arkansas this evening, however, they all managed to stay away from our area so far. Short range model guidance continues to suggest some additional showers and thunderstorms developing between now and morning across the northeast half of the area, mainly for far northeast Texas, southeast Oklahoma, southwest Arkansas and north central Louisiana. With the amount of rainfall the area has received over the past several days, it still shouldn't take much rainfall to lead to some flash flooding concerns, similar to what we saw Wednesday morning. That being said, we have maintained the Flash Flood Watch through early Thursday afternoon, though we did trim it back some, we removed most of our Texas counties and then some of our northwest Louisiana Parishes. These are the areas that models are not indicating much in the way of heavy rainfall, although some of the models aren't too keen on any of our region getting any rainfall today.

While any rainfall this morning remains uncertain, one thing that most of the models are picking up on is that the thermostat is going to get cranked all the way up to miserable by the weekend and into the start of next week. Like most years, once the faucet is turned off, the heat cranks up, and this year will be no different. Temperatures today will range from the upper 80s, our northern areas, the lower and mid 90s elsewhere. Similar conditions will be seen on Friday and then Saturday we begin to see temperatures slowly increase a few degrees with the entire region in the 90s by Sunday. Heading into Monday and Tuesday, temperatures will be in the mid to upper 90s across the region with no relief into the middle of the week either. While these ambient temperatures seem manageable, our heat index values will be the main concern. Sunday will be borderline for reaching Heat Advisory criteria with a few locations across deep east Texas reaching near 105 degrees. By monday, we see more widespread heat index values in reaching the mid to possibly upper 100s and then even warmer on Tuesday. So heat headlines could return to the area as early as Sunday, and could continue well into middle of next week. /33/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1242 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026

VFR conditions will continue across much of the region through the overnight hours, although a scattered cu field will linger near and N of a stationary front that remains draped from SE OK into extreme NE TX and along the AR/LA border into extreme Nrn and NE LA. Should also see IFR/LIFR cigs develop N of this bndry overnight as it begins to lift back NE, with the low cigs primarily affecting ELD. The potential also exists for the redevelopment of isolated to scattered convection across primarily the Nrn and Ern sections of Srn AR, which may affect ELD between 09-12Z. Have inserted VCSH mention here for now, and will amend as needed, although any convection that does develop should begin to shift NE out of the region by midday as the weak sfc front exits the area and washes out. May also see some brief IFR/low MVFR cigs develop shortly after 12Z across portions of Deep E TX, with a scattered stratocu field developing elsewhere, which should lift into a scattered cu field by late morning. This should diminish shortly after 00Z Friday, although some cirrus will linger across the region through the end of the TAF period. Light S winds overnight, except light E winds along the sfc bndry in Srn AR, will become SSW and increase to 6-12kts after 15Z, with occasional gusts to 20kts across the Wrn sections of E TX. /15/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1242 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026

Spotter activation may be needed this morning for the potential of heavy rain and localized flash flooding across Southeast Oklahoma, Southwest Arkansas, and portions of extreme Northern Louisiana. /15/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 94 75 93 77 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 94 74 93 77 / 20 0 0 0 DEQ 90 73 90 76 / 30 0 0 0 TXK 93 74 93 77 / 20 0 0 0 ELD 92 73 92 76 / 40 0 0 0 TYR 94 75 94 77 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 93 74 93 77 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 95 74 94 76 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...Flood Watch through this afternoon for ARZ050-051-059>061- 070>073.

LA...Flood Watch through this afternoon for LAZ003>006-012>014.

OK...Flood Watch through this afternoon for OKZ077.

TX...Flood Watch through this afternoon for TXZ097.