textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 300 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

- Little change in our expectations with gusts late, but ramping up over the next 24 hours. Fire Danger Statement from 10a-6p. - The NHC track shift E has precluded any rain for us with a windy day on tap and still low humidity through the weekend.

- Southerly winds next week will boost lows back into the muggy range of lower 70s while highs keep a late summer pace going.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 300 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

Just a few areas of high clouds milling about with the tropical cu field just edging in across the boot heel of LaSalle Parish now. Winds are gusty under this cu field and our gusts are late in coming, but the winds will be picking up over the next 24 hours. In fact, guidance is a little stronger for tomorrow compared to yesterday's output. Once again we have issued a Fire Danger Statement for much of our area, leaving out along and south of I-30 this time, just out of reach of the storm's influence.

The latest Hurricane track on Isaias from the NHC is for the FL panhandle around daybreak, with this added time and distance to landfall is part of the reason we are later today with our gusts. Saturday will be bordering on Windy here with caution needed to help mitigate the threat of wildfire activity. Sunday looks much more benign with variable winds 5 to 10 mph and much better for boating and fishing too, with choppy conditions on our lakes and open waters a good bet now on Saturday. The wind may help shave a little of our heating too, but overall we are looking like late summer all over again.

Highs from Sunday and through next week will continue 10 degrees above average and potentially near record level. The upper ridge reforms overhead early in the week for us as the deep long wave digs in across the west coast. The heat dome will build from 591 to 594dam by Thursday ahead of our next cold front. GFS is calling it near sweater weather for Friday night football, while ECMWF is now much much slower, but still in the process. Climatology inputs into the models may be the big difference. At any rate, our chances for any rain hang in the balance with both models lacking luster in that regard. We could set up a super dry month and another warmer than average effort at this pace. /24/

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1229 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

For the 09/18z TAF update...No major changes to the forecast for today, moments of gusty winds around 10-20 kts will be possible throughout the afternoon, before relaxing some during the overnight hours. More widespread gusty winds will be possible on Saturday for all terminals. Aside from the wind, VFR conditions will continue to prevail throughout. /33/

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 300 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

We have issued a Fire Danger Statement for Saturday from 10 am until 6 pm, when the surface winds will be brisk and potentially gusting from the NE at 20 to 30 mph. Also, the relative humidity will be falling off to the lowest levels for the daylight period. Caution is advised and remember to check with your county or parish for burn ban information. /24/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 300 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time for any weather. However, please report any wildfires to local officials as soon as possible, with gusty surface winds and lowering relative humidity, capable of growth and spreading of wildfires on Saturday afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 64 89 65 93 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 63 85 61 94 / 0 10 0 0 DEQ 59 90 57 92 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 61 89 61 93 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 58 87 58 94 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 64 91 65 92 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 61 91 63 93 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 64 90 64 92 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.