textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 136 AM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

- Severe weather round two is expected late Saturday afternoon through Sunday morning with this next round potentially more impactful than Friday night's event.

- The area of greatest concern with this next round is again along and north of I-30 where an Enhanced to Moderate Risk is highlighted for the threat of significant hail and tornadoes.

- The forecast will remain largely unsettled into next week, but we may see a brief lull in convection early in the week before rain chances increase once again by mid to late week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1146 AM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

Recent hi-rees model guidance has the main round of convective initiation occurring along an OK warm front this evening, northwest of McCurtain Co, OK. These storms are expected to move southeastward into the Ark-La-Tx this evening and continue through the overnight hours. An increasingly unstable environment will be building this afternoon, which increases the concern for severe weather impacts, especially in our northwest zones. Large hail (possibly exceeding 3 inches), damaging wind gusts, and some strong tornadoes will all be possible for the region. SPC's outlook highlights our northwestern zones as being the highest risk for severe hazards due to the favorable environment and the storm mode leaning toward supercells. The storms are expected to morph into more of a QLCS as it moves into Deep East TX, northwest LA, and southern AR later in the night with the loss of daytime heating. A marginal risk still exists for much of these areas due to the risk of severe wind gusts that this line could still be capable of. Due to this event occurring in the evening and overnight hours, be sure you have multiple ways to receive weather information and be woken up, if necessary.

There may still be some lingering convection from Saturday night that bleeds into Sunday morning and clear by midday. The sfc southerly flow that has been funneling in moisture over recent days will continue to help keep us warm, with many places seeing afternoon highs in the mid to upper 80s for the first half of the work week.

A continuously active pattern will keep rain chances in the forecast through the end of the week. SPC has a portion of the forecast area included in 3 of the next 4 outlooks, highlighting the potential for more severe weather to be included with the additional rainfall. More detail will come with future forecasts, but expect a warm and rainy next few days. The added rain will hopefully work to help the drought conditions across the region and bring high temperatures back into the 70s by the end of the week.

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AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 641 AM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

Post frontal low ceilings and fog are hampering a few airports attm including TXK and ELD. Elsewhere, cirrus blowoff from earlier convection is trying to exit our airspace to the east and those VFR airports may see IFR and/or MVFR ceilings return over the next hour or two before we see this low cloud and VSBY restrictions mix out by late morning into the afternoon hours. The big show is still on tap for late this evening and overnight as we should see thunderstorms redevelop as the frontal boundary which backdoored itself into our region last night returns back to the north as a warm front. Tried to handle this by VCTS in the late evening and overnight hours across most terminals with the exception of the LFK terminal who likely will not see convection until just beyond this TAF cycle.

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SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 136 AM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

Spotter activation will likely be needed late Saturday afternoon through Saturday night and early Sunday for the threat of severe thunderstorms.

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PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 87 67 88 71 / 10 60 30 10 MLU 86 65 88 69 / 30 50 50 20 DEQ 79 61 82 66 / 20 80 30 20 TXK 84 66 86 70 / 20 70 30 20 ELD 81 61 85 66 / 20 70 50 20 TYR 88 69 88 72 / 10 40 10 10 GGG 88 68 88 71 / 20 50 20 10 LFK 90 69 90 71 / 0 10 10 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.