textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 154 PM CDT Thu Jul 2 2026

- Summertime heat and humidity will persist through the holiday weekend as we remain on the margins for heat advisory conditions.

- Upper ridging will remain anchored to our to NE over the OH and TN Valleys while weak easterlies continue to undercut the ridge to the south along the Gulf coast, supporting low-end rain chances through at least the first half of the upcoming weekend.

- The pattern will likely become even more favorable for rainfall by Sunday into early next week as the ridge weakens and northwest flow sets up over the eastern half of the CONUS.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 154 PM CDT Thu Jul 2 2026

Warm and humid conditions remain across the region today. Most of the area should remain below heat advisory criteria, but heat indices will still climb to between 100-105 degrees, so please continue to take heat safety precautions. The previously mentioned upper ridge across the Ohio & Tennessee Valley area will expand southwestward into the SE CONUS and Lower Mississippi Valley today. Despite this, rain chances will return across the region today, as an active easterly wave pattern remains in place. In fact, isolated convection has already formed across Deep East Texas this morning. However, due to the placement of the ridge, the low-level moisture influx off the Gulf has shifted westward. This will result in the bulk of the precipitation forming in the western half of the region today, generally for locations along and west of the I-49 corridor. This will include all of East Texas, western Louisiana, McCurtain County in Oklahoma, and adjacent portions of southwest Arkansas. Although an isolated strong to severe storm, with damaging wind gusts, can't be ruled out, the mesoscale features for severe weather are a bit lower today. Friday should be pretty similar to today, but the upper ridge is expected to start an eastward shift along with the afternoon rain chances.

By the upcoming weekend, the ridge will start to weaken as it shifts eastward off the east coast of the CONUS. A more broad weaker ridge will develop across the southern half of the CONUS in wake of the departing ridge, which will allow daily convection to develop with daytime heating. Although widespread severe weather isn't expected, the environment could still be favorable for damaging wind gusts. A more defined ridge will form across the southwest CONUS for the first half of next week. At the same time, an upper trough will backdoor into the SE CONUS and Lower Mississippi Valley, setting up a northwest flow type pattern. This will keep widespread rain chances in the forecast, as disturbances move through the flow.

Despite the potential rain chances, it will remain warm and humid across the region. Please continue exercise heat safety precautions, especially with the increase outdoor activity expected for the upcoming holiday weekend. Also remember, When Thunder Roars, Go Indoors. /20/

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1226 PM CDT Thu Jul 2 2026

For the 02/18Z TAFs, VFR conditions will prevail through the afternoon as a Cu field develops with CIGs of 4000 to 5000 ft. Scattered storms are developing and will move into deep east Texas airspace through the afternoon, with impacts expected at KLFK in the next hour or so, spreading north and east towards I-20 by mid to late afternoon, dissipating after sundown, with high clouds prevailing overnight before CIGs drop to IFR ar KLFK by daybreak. Southeast winds will continue at 5 to 10 kts with locally higher gusts possible in the vicinity of storms, becoming light and variable overnight.

/26/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 154 PM CDT Thu Jul 2 2026

Although spotter activation is not expected at this time, spotter reports may be needed with scattered afternoon thunderstorms over the next several days, including the possibility of some isolated strong to severe thunderstorms.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 94 76 92 77 / 20 20 20 0 MLU 93 76 95 77 / 10 0 0 0 DEQ 93 73 91 73 / 20 10 20 0 TXK 93 75 94 76 / 20 10 20 10 ELD 92 75 93 75 / 10 0 10 0 TYR 94 76 94 78 / 30 20 20 10 GGG 94 76 93 77 / 30 20 20 10 LFK 91 75 94 76 / 40 20 20 10

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.