textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1138 AM CST Thu Feb 26 2026
- Surface boundary and upper-level disturbance will bring a chance of showers and thunderstorms across mainly South Central Arkansas into Northeast Louisiana this afternoon and this evening. Small hail and gusty winds possible.
- Seasonably warm temperatures in the lower 80s expected areawide during the weekend with small chances for showers and thunderstorms across our northern third beginning Saturday Night, continuing through Sunday Night.
- Better rain chances by midweek next week with a series of upper- level disturbances poised to eject out into the Southern Plains.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1138 AM CST Thu Feb 26 2026
A progressive weather pattern taking shape across the ArkLaTex as a series of frontal boundaries and weak-upper level disturbances could allow for periods of increased rain chances across portions of the region through the middle of next week.
A weak boundary across northeast Texas into southwest Arkansas this morning will gradually shift southeast through the afternoon. Gulf moisture south of the boundary will allow for increased buoyancy across north Louisiana and south Arkansas resulting in a chance for showers and thunderstorms later today into this evening. Some storms could produce small hail and gusty winds ahead of the front. The front will exit the region overnight with high pressure to build in its wake.
Under the influence of surface and upper-level ridging on Friday, dry conditions to prevail areawide with afternoon high temperatures forecast to climb into the upper 70s.
Generally northwest flow to prevail aloft through the weekend with high temperatures forecast to climb into the lower 80s areawide on Saturday. Similar conditions expected on Sunday with the exception of slightly cooler temperatures across the I-30 corridor as a weakness moves southeast within the overall northwest flow regime aloft. Increased instability associated with the upper-level disturbance will also bring increased rain chances with showers and thunderstorms across these areas Sunday afternoon into the overnight hours.
A weak frontal boundary will linger across the Red River Valley of north Texas into Arkansas on Monday into Tuesday. With upper-flow becoming zonal along the front, cloudy skies to prevail areawide with increased rain chances mainly across south Arkansas, southeast Oklahoma, and northeast Texas through Tuesday evening.
Increased rain chances to expand eastward across much of the ArkLaTex by Wednesday as upper-flow becomes southwest and a surface and upper-low translate northeast across the Southern Plains. /05/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1138 AM CST Thu Feb 26 2026
Brief MVFR cigs may continue to hang tough across portions of E TX/N LA along and S of the I-20 corridor, but otherwise, VFR cigs are expected to persist across the region through the afternoon and a portion of the evening near a weak sfc front that will drift S through the area from extreme SE OK/NE TX and SW AR. Isolated to scattered convection may develop along the front after 23Z across portions of NCntrl/NE LA, possibly affecting the MLU terminal where VCTS was bumped back to 00Z, and extended through mid-evening. Any residual cu field should gradually diminish from N to S with the fropa this evening, although low MVFR/IFR cigs may develop by 09Z Friday over portions of NCntrl LA, with patchy FG developing farther S into Cntrl LA and possibly portions of Deep E TX, which may linger through mid-morning before lifting. Once they do, mostly SKC should return over much of the region by the end of the TAF period into Friday afternoon/evening. S or Vrb winds around 5kts this afternoon will become light N with the fropa later tonight. /15/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1145 PM CST Wed Feb 25 2026
Spotter activation is not expected throughout this week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 82 54 78 51 / 20 20 0 0 MLU 79 53 75 48 / 30 30 0 0 DEQ 78 44 75 44 / 0 10 0 0 TXK 80 50 77 50 / 10 10 0 0 ELD 78 48 75 45 / 20 10 0 0 TYR 83 53 80 54 / 0 10 0 0 GGG 83 52 79 51 / 10 10 0 0 LFK 81 56 80 54 / 10 10 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.
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