textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 204 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2026

- A gradual warm-up from seasonable conditions will continue through the middle of this week.

- Near-daily rain chances return by Tuesday, with more rain falling by next weekend for widespread 1-inch totals likely in the next 7 days.

- Our environment will become more conducive for another round of severe weather by the end of the week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 204 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2026

Active weather will continue through most of this week with a brief quasi-lull from surface ridging that shifts further eastward across the Mississippi River. This will place the Four State Region on its western periphery, re-introducing onshore flow and surface moisture. The 60-degree isodrosotherm will return from the southwest through the area by early Wednesday as a result, coinciding with the next chances of rain. Aloft, the synoptic pattern will begin to reload the atmospheric column with moisture as longwave troughing across the Intermountain West starts to eject into the Great Plains. As it does so, it positions the subtropical jet stream across the western Sun Belt states and boosts moist mid-level southwesterly flow across Texas (PWAT values likely at 1.2 to 1.6 inches). By the middle of the week and through the end of the week, this difluent flow will maintain and aid the atmospheric environment in the promotion of sustained convective rounds. While mostly diurnally-driven by Thursday, long-range guidance suggests these convective rounds becoming more widespread by the end of the week into next weekend, including by Friday as enough CAPE and MUCAPE (likely around 1500 J/kg) could exist for the formation of robust convection. This is all along and ahead of the next frontal boundary anticipated by Friday to instigate periods of convective initiation. Until then, temperatures will gradually return above normal through the middle of the week (maximums/minimums in the low-to-mid 80s/mid-60s), while regional Day 1-7 QPF rainfall totals will range at 0.5-1.25 inches. /16/

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 518 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2026

VFR conditions will prevail across our terminal airspace through the next 24 hours. Cirrus is increasing however from the southwest as will AC ceilings as we move into Monday. Look for mostly light east to variable winds overnight with winds becoming ESE to SSE near 10kts on Monday.

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SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1205 AM CDT Sun Apr 19 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 47 77 53 75 / 0 0 0 20 MLU 46 78 51 80 / 0 0 0 10 DEQ 40 75 47 73 / 0 0 0 10 TXK 46 78 51 76 / 0 0 0 10 ELD 42 77 47 77 / 0 0 0 10 TYR 48 75 55 70 / 0 0 20 40 GGG 46 75 52 71 / 0 0 10 30 LFK 48 74 53 68 / 0 0 10 50

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.