textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1200 AM CST Sat Nov 14 2026

- First Fall freeze & frost are expected for portions of the area tonight.

- Rainfall will return to the area by Saturday night, continuing through the day Sunday before clearing out Sunday night.

- A warming trend continues to look likely heading into the middle of next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1200 AM CST Sat Nov 14 2026

It still looks like it is going to get cold tonight for portions of the area. The coldest temperatures will be across portions of southwest Arkansas and northeast Louisiana. We have maintained a Freeze Warning for Nevada and Union County and then Union Parish for tonight. Temperatures in this area will approach 32 degrees with some falling slightly below. I did make some changes to the Frost Advisory for tonight by adding Caddo, Bossier, Webster and Bienville Parish. Temperatures will fall into the mid to lower 30s in the Frost Advisory area which will result in frost formation. Frost can harm sensitive outdoor vegetation and could kill sensitive plants if left uncovered. Be mindful of your pets tonight as well. Temperatures will range from the mid 50s to mid 60s across the area on Saturday with increasing clouds throughout the day. The cloud cover will keep temperatures slightly warmer on Saturday night into Sunday morning, but it will still drop into the mid 30s to mid 40s across the region.

A disturbance will bring rainfall chances to the area, starting across our western zones as early as late Saturday evening into very early Sunday morning. Rainfall will gradually push eastward throughout the day Sunday, with most of the area getting at least some rainfall. The higher amounts are trending towards being confined to our western and southern zones. Rainfall and cloud cover will keep temperatures quite cool on Sunday, with highs only reaching the upper 40s to mid 50s across most of the region with some upper 50s across our southern zones. So Sunday will truly feel like fall across the area. Unfortunately, temperatures will begin to warm slowly each day as we head into next week, returning to the 70s by Wednesday. There remains some indication through long range models that we will see another round of rainfall by next weekend, something that will continue to be refined as we get closer. /33/

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1142 AM CST Sat Nov 14 2026

For the 14/18z TAF period...VFR conditions continue to prevail across the region at this hour. As we continue to go through the TAF period, mid and high clouds will gradually move in from the west, followed by some rain on Sunday morning. It's possible that the cloud cover and vsby's from the rain could cause some reduced flight categories by the end of the period, especially across our East Texas sites. Otherwise, expect east winds to continue between 7 to 10 kts, with gusts 15 to 20 kts at times during the afternoon hours and with the precipitation. /20/

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1142 AM CST Sat Nov 14 2026

A Fire Danger Statement is in effect today until 6 PM, as min RH values between 25 to 35%, Easterly wind gusts up to 20 mph, and critically to extremely dry fuels will create elevated wildfire conditions. Outdoor burning and activities that involve open sparks or flames are discouraged. Please report all wildfires to local law enforcement as soon as possible. /20/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1200 AM CST Sat Nov 14 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time. /33/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 60 45 53 44 / 0 10 80 60 MLU 59 40 60 44 / 0 0 30 50 DEQ 58 39 52 39 / 0 20 80 60 TXK 57 43 52 43 / 0 10 80 60 ELD 59 36 57 39 / 0 0 50 50 TYR 62 44 49 44 / 0 80 100 50 GGG 61 42 50 43 / 0 40 100 60 LFK 65 45 55 44 / 0 50 100 80

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.