textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 153 PM CDT Sat Aug 8 2026

- Best chances for decent rainfall over the next 7-days will be this afternoon. While chances won't be zero outside of today, they will certainly be limited.

- Summertime heat will continue through the weekend, while heat index values will remain below hazard criteria, they will be borderline and it will be hot nonetheless.

- Drought conditions and fire weather concerns will continue to increase as the hot and mostly dry weather continues.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 153 PM CDT Sat Aug 8 2026

The radar has been very active today, mainly around and near the I-30 corridor, where a very slow moving line of showers and thunderstorms has dropped a decent amount of rain. While this activity did cover a large area from west to east, there remains large portions of counties that got no rain. For example, 6-hour flash flood guidance has estimated upwards of 3-5 inches of rainfall across central Howard county, with no rainfall across the northern portion of the county. So while it will give some relief in drought and fire weather concerns, it will not be enough to bring widespread help. Short range models hint that the convection will gradually come to an end late this afternoon and into the evening, however, they have not been handling this very well, so I kept PoPs going till around midnight. Today looks like our last good chance for some widespread precipitation across the region. We still have some low chances across portions of the area for Sunday and Monday, but models are showing much drier conditions heading into next week.

Temperatures: It's the south, its halfway between the start and middle of August...it is going to be hot. The main question is how hot. In terms of ambient afternoon highs, the story continues that we will be stagnant, meaning not much variability in daily afternoon high temperatures, at least through Tuesday. Similarly, low temperatures will follow in the same trend. As we move into the middle of next week, afternoon highs will return to the the upper 90s across the region, with some 100s sprinkled in across portions of the area. All indications are that these increased temperatures (compared to what we see through Tuesday) will last into next weekend. So I guess to sum that up, it is going to be hot through Tuesday and then get hotter from there into next weekend. Heat index values will remain elevated each day, reaching into the lower to mid 100s, but still not seeing enough to issue any sort of heat headlines for at least Sunday. Moving into Monday and next week will be a different story. /33/

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 153 PM CDT Sat Aug 8 2026

For the 08/18Z TAF period, convection continues to blossom across our airspace this afternoon due to an upper-level disturbance and the addition of strong daytime heating. As a result, thunderstorms will likely expand farther south from the I-30 corridor where KTXK is already experiencing TSRA to begin the period. In addition, some sea breeze convection is also noted across our southern airspace so all sites are on the hook for at least a mention of VCTS and likely will require tempo TSRA later in the period. For now, will account for this will amendments as needed given the more erratic nature of these storms and their movement. Otherwise, look for this convection to diminish not long after sunset this evening with some mid and high-level debris clouds lingering overnight. Can't rule out some patchy low stratus and fog closer to daybreak, but it should remain concentrated south of our airspace. Light and variable winds will generally prevail this afternoon with much higher gusts associated with any convection. Outside of convection, VFR conditions prevail.

/19/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 153 PM CDT Sat Aug 8 2026

Widespread spotter activation is not expected at this time, but any reports of flooding would be appreciated.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 76 95 77 95 / 20 10 0 0 MLU 74 95 75 96 / 10 30 0 10 DEQ 70 96 72 97 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 74 96 75 97 / 10 10 0 0 ELD 71 93 73 95 / 20 20 0 10 TYR 76 97 76 97 / 10 10 0 0 GGG 75 97 74 97 / 10 10 0 0 LFK 74 95 74 94 / 20 10 10 10

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.