textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1210 PM CST Wed Dec 31 2025

- S/SW winds will make for a nice warm-up through this week.

- Slight chance for a brief shower or drizzle with a weak upper disturbance,followed by a cool front arriving on Friday.

- Slightly cooler weekend, but still above average. Little if any rainfall will renew concerns for wildfires and drought monitor.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 932 PM CST Wed Dec 31 2025

South/southwesterly flow has begun to take hold of the region and begin to gradually warm the area over the next day or so. Temperatures for New Year's Day will mostly be in the upper 60s to low 70s, with some slight improvement in RH compared to the past several days. Friday will be even warmer, with areas south of I-20 flirting with 80 degree highs once again.

A series of shortwave troughs in the flow aloft could bring some temporary relief going into the weekend. The first shortwave would move over the Ozark Mountains early Friday morning and bring some vorticity. The lift from this vorticity looks to keep any showers mostly to the north and east of the Ark-La-Tx, but some far edges of our forecast region could see some sprinkles. The second shortwave will be drier as it moves through on Saturday morning. Recent model runs are showing that this second shortwave trough will have greater vertical extent, with a weak surface low pressure associated with it. This28 setup should bring a northerly wind shift and cooler temperatures for Saturday afternoon.

Northwest flow aloft will give way to a more zonal pattern by the beginning of next week. Surface winds will shift back to a southern orientation and restart another warming trend. Temperatures in the 60s on Sunday should gradually increase to the 70s by midweek with conditions staying dry. There may be a Colorado Low developing towards the latter half of next week. Current long-range models have this low pressure system developing on Thursday and propagate northeastward towards the Great Lakes over the next several days. This system is likely the earliest the Four State Region will see widespread rain chances for the foreseeable future, so it will be a primary focus over the next week or so.

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AVIATION

Correction (12Z TAFS) Issued at 623 AM CST Thu Jan 1 2026

For the 01/12z TAF period...VFR conditions will prevail through most of the TAF period. However, clouds will stream over the region during the period, with high cigs eventually becoming MVFR cigs. The exception would be at KELD/KMLU, where VFR conditions are expected to remain through the end of the period. There is also an outside chance of some light rain across the terminals as the lower cigs move in, but confidence isn't high enough to include in TAFs at this time. Winds will remain from the southwest during the period, eventually gusting above 15 mph at KTYR/KGGG by daybreak Friday. /20/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1124 PM CST Wed Dec 31 2025

Spotter activation is not expected through the end of this week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 70 56 78 52 / 0 10 0 0 MLU 69 52 76 52 / 0 10 10 10 DEQ 65 46 69 42 / 0 20 0 0 TXK 69 53 74 49 / 0 10 0 0 ELD 67 50 71 47 / 0 20 10 0 TYR 69 57 77 47 / 0 10 0 0 GGG 70 55 78 47 / 0 10 0 0 LFK 70 55 79 49 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.