textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1159 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

- The Ground Hog & Claude the Crawfish saw their shadows implying 6 more weeks of Winter. Which is actually true either way technically with Spring 45.4 days away.Friday 3/20 at 9:46a.m. - Our next cold front and upper level low will begin spreading showers across our NE TX zones in the predawn hours on Tuesday with increasing coverage & limited intensity ending overnight. - Below average 50s for highs and 30s for lows return in the wake of the front for Wednesday and Thursday. Then warmer above average temperatures for Friday and upcoming busy weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1159 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

Finally, a warm period and plenty of time to melt the ice that remained so well in the shaded areas. And this process continues overnight with warmer mid 40s to lower 50s. In addition, the wind is stirring and will help in that same regard not being saturated until daybreak, and even if by then. Not looking for much fog per say. The S/SW winds will be brisk enough and will keep for just a short period of daylight before shifting to NW with the surface front mid morning to noon across I-30 and through the afternoon for our I-20 corridor for Tyler and Texarkana shortly after lunch and Longview and Shreveport by mid afternoon and Lufkin and Monroe to follow by sunset.

The rain clouds will be possible after daybreak with the warm air advecting in with some light showers, then heavier elements of needed downpours, associated with heating and the frontal passage. Rainfall amounts will range from maybe a tenth north of I-30, to a quarter to half inch along I-20, but near one inch amounts may occur in deep east Texas and CenLA where the moisture off the Gulf of America deepens aloft the most as the southerly winds persist. So it follows, this is where our higher totals are anticipated ahead of the coming NW wind shift. Rain tapers to light showers ending during the evening down our I-49 corridor. And skies will clear overnight with the freshly cold and dry NW winds. Look for temps to end up just below seasonal for a couple of days. Then we'll reboot Warm and Dry for the weekend, despite a secondary frontal passage? More like a glancing blow of NE winds early on Saturday morning that will shifting back to SE before even nightfall.

Then we can look forward to well above average 70s for highs this weekend. However, before we get there, behind today's rain and frontal passage, a 1032mb surface high fresh from Canada will briefly spread over the Lone Star state and knock our lows back below freezing for I-30 and north, with a cooler than average range of 30s elsewhere during mid to late week, but some 40s inch back in over our TX counties by Friday on the back side of the chilly air mass. Then our lows for the weekend will run up through the 40s to low 50s by early next week. And perhaps our next wet period which has eyes for the middle of week, on & off through Valentine's Day and perhaps our local Mardi Gras with a Pacific bowling ball Upper Low on the horizon over the Sea of Cortez. /24/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 553 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

A mix of VFR and MVFR this morning as SHRA is quickly filling in across the airspace. Convection aside, CIGs remain the main reason for the drop to MVFR for most terminals as BKN/OVC sub 2kft will likely remain the theme through much of the day. SHRA will grow in coverage through the morning with the chance for some TSRA across the I-20 terminals and south. As the associated frontal boundary pushes through, this will help to displace the convection east of the airspace with some lingering low clouds expected into early Wednesday AM.

RK

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1159 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

Thunderstorms remain focused on Tuesday and through the evening for the entire ArkLaTex, and yet still with no widespread expectation of reaching severe limits. Spotter activation is not expected at this time. /24/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 65 40 56 34 / 90 10 0 0 MLU 62 38 52 31 / 90 50 0 0 DEQ 62 31 53 26 / 70 0 0 0 TXK 64 36 55 31 / 80 0 0 0 ELD 62 34 52 28 / 90 10 0 0 TYR 67 38 56 33 / 70 0 0 0 GGG 67 37 58 32 / 80 0 0 0 LFK 67 41 58 35 / 90 30 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.