textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1231 AM CST Tue Feb 24 2026
- Today will see elevated south winds and continued dry air, contributing to elevated fire weather conditions. A Fire Danger Statement and Wind Advisory are in effect.
- A warming trend will quickly develop and continue through the remainder of the week, with highs returning to the 70s and 80s and lows in the 50s and 60s.
- Scattered showers and storms will be possible Thursday east of I-49, and across our northern zones Sunday, with otherwise quiet conditions prevailing.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1231 AM CST Tue Feb 24 2026
This resurgent gasp of winter which has ushered in this week across the ArkLaTex is nearly done with us and soon to be a memory, as upper level flow ushers in a dramatic warming trend. This will be the last near-freezing night, as temperatures range from the upper 20s east to middle 30s west, indicative of the building influence of the southerly flow under the ridge which is nudging in from the west. As this pattern shift begins to unfold, winds will become light to nearly calm overnight tonight. However, upper level clouds are pushing in from the north, which in tandem with the still very dry airmass, should inhibit the development of fog, but patchy frost will be possible, particularly across our eastern zones towards daybreak.
The south winds which develop overnight will increase in speed through the day today, particularly across northeast Texas where sustained speeds may reach 20 mph with gusts of up to 30 mph possible. A Wind advisory will be in effect from noon to 6 PM. This, in tandem with afternoon relative humidity values below 30%, will make for elevated fire weather conditions this afternoon. A Fire Danger Statement will be in effect. Highs will climb quickly into the middle 60s east to lower 70s west.
The trough and ridge which steered our northwest flow as this week started will begin to lose their definition today, flattening out more noticeably by Wednesday, influencing the warming trend which looks to continue for the remainder of the week. The southerly surface flow will be accompanied by an emerging shortwave in the upper level flow making for a chance of scattered showers across eastern zones of the ArkLaTex Thursday. Friday and Saturday will remain warm and dry, with another hint of scattered showers across our northernmost zones Sunday, potentially becoming more widespread to usher in next week and close out this extended forecast period.
/26/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 553 AM CST Tue Feb 24 2026
For the 24/12Z TAF period, VFR conditions prevail this morning with dense cirrus expected to increase throughout the day today. The primary aviation concern today will be the increasing winds at 12-18 kts from the S/SW as they become gusty by late morning through this afternoon, averaging between 20-30 kts before they gradually drop off around or shortly after 25/00Z. Otherwise, looking at the return of some low stratus along and south of I-20 terminals very late in the period around 25/09Z through 25/12Z. This may bring MVFR cigs along with the potential for some LLWS conditions as SW wind speeds will remain quite strong at between 40-50 kts down as low 1.5Kft through early Wednesday morning.
/19/
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 553 AM CST Tue Feb 24 2026
Concern remains elevated across our Four State area with very low afternoon humidity and strong and gusty south to southwest winds. Wildfire growth and spread will be even more likely to occur today as the dry air mass lingers across our area despite the return of southerly winds. The safer conditions of the rich Gulf of America humid air have been displaced well offshore and will take much of Wednesday to move back inland. Thus, we have issued another Fire Danger Statement for today. In addition, burn bans are returning as enacted by several counties and parishes across our Four-State area. Refer to your local area jurisdictions for the most updated information on burn ban status for your area.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 553 AM CST Tue Feb 24 2026
Spotter activation is not expected throughout this week. However, elevated fire danger conditions will ramp up again today through Wednesday with very low relative humidity values and gusty south to southwest winds. Therefore, relaying information on wildfire activity is encouraged areawide.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 68 54 80 62 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 65 50 76 61 / 0 0 0 10 DEQ 67 46 75 52 / 0 0 0 10 TXK 69 52 78 59 / 0 0 0 10 ELD 64 48 74 57 / 0 0 0 10 TYR 71 56 81 62 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 70 53 81 60 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 69 55 80 63 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...Wind Advisory from noon today to 6 PM CST this evening for TXZ096-108>111-124-125-136-137.
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