textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 203 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026
- A drier and hotter weather pattern begins its return to the Four State Region through the weekend.
- Hazardous heat returns later this weekend into early next week.
- Rain chances return by the middle of next week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 203 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026
Ridging is set to build in further across the Four State Region through the end of the week and into the weekend, finally displacing thunderstorms back to our north. This pattern shift will favor a lingering stationary front lifting away as a warm front and mid-level flow becoming briefly quasi-zonal. The tradeoff is for a warming trend over the same time period as this new synoptic setup maximizes warm air advection with temperature maximums in the low-to-mid 90s on Saturday, then mid-to-upper 90s on Monday. The center of the ridging will gradually form and shift over the Ohio River Valley early next week, allowing onshore flow to return and rebuild Gulf moisture. Diurnally-driven convective modes are most likely by later next week when rain chances return, according to long-range guidance.
Long-range guidance also still gives a 60 to 70 percent chance of temperatures greater than 95 degrees by next Tuesday. With dew points expected to remain in the low-to-mid 70s by this time, hazardous heat will be impactful for all groups of people and not just heat-sensitive groups, likely prompting Heat Advisories by that time. Adequate precautions and awareness are encouraged now against the elevated potential for heat illnesses. This includes (and is not limited to) altering outdoor plans, taking frequent breaks if you must be outside, checking the backseat of your vehicle, and knowing the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat stroke. /16/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1228 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026
VFR conditions expected this afternoon with southeast winds across the east Texas terminals up to 15 knots gusting to near 20 knots with slightly lesser amounts elsewhere. Winds to relax to near 10 knots throughout the evening and overnight areawide, increasing to 10 to 15 knots. Otherwise, MVFR ceilings are expected from 26/10Z to 26/15Z mainly across east Texas. /05/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1142 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight. /05/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 75 93 77 94 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 73 93 77 94 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 73 90 76 91 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 75 93 77 94 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 73 91 77 93 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 76 94 77 95 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 75 93 76 94 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 74 94 76 95 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.
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