textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1258 PM CDT Tue Mar 17 2026
- Another night of chilly lows in the 30s and 40s is in store for the ArkLaTex, followed by highs in the 60s and 70s tomorrow.
- A significant warming trend will develop this week and continue into the weekend, with near record highs possible Saturday and Sunday.
- Quiet weather conditions are expected throughout.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1258 PM CDT Tue Mar 17 2026
Dry conditions will persist across the ArkLaTex throughout this extended forecast period. A deep trough over the eastern CONUS this morning will lift quickly to the northeast through the remainder of the day, opening the door to northwest flow aloft and continued southerly flow returning at the surface. This upper level pattern will revolve next around a large dome of high pressure aloft over southern California, which will grow in reach and intensity, moving very little over the next several days. This feature is resulting in record warmth for the Desert Southwest, and by late in the week, such warmth will reach the ArkLaTex, driven by the upper level dome reaching the Four State Region, coupled with the aforementioned southerly surface flow. The high looks to lose its organization and structure as the weekend continues, but the continued effects of the remaining ridge will result in potentially near record warmth for the last weekend of March, followed by a slight cool down into early next week resulting from the passage of a dry frontal boundary across our northern and eastern zones.
Tonight's temperatures will still be fairly chilly, but southerly flow should help keep lows above freezing areawide, ranging from the upper 30s to middle 40s. Tomorrow will see a noticeable warmup as highs reach the upper 60s to middle 70s. By Thursday, the ridge will be making itself known with a return of upper 70s and lower 80s, warming only further into the end of this week and the weekend ahead, as widespread middle 80s are expected, with upper 80s and even lower 90s possible at sites south and west, returning to the lower 80s into next week, with lows in the 50s and 60s throughout.
/26/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 630 PM CDT Tue Mar 17 2026
VFR conditions will continue through the 18/00Z TAF period. Cirrus cigs will continue to spill SSE into the region this evening/overnight, with some low AC cigs possible over portions of Srn AR/NCntrl LA after 06Z Wednesday. These elevated cigs should gradually thin/diminish from NW to SE Wednesday afternoon, with SKC possibly returning by the end of the TAF period or shortly thereafter. S winds 3-8kts tonight will become SSW and increase to 10-15kts with gusts to 25kts possible after 16Z. /15/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1249 AM CDT Tue Mar 17 2026
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 42 73 51 82 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 38 71 49 80 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 37 72 44 82 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 44 74 52 83 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 38 71 48 80 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 45 75 52 84 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 41 74 50 83 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 40 73 49 80 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.
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