textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1213 PM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

- An upper level disturbance today, followed by a cold front tonight into Wednesday, will bring some slight rain chances across portions of the region.

- Mostly quiet weather will resume following the front through early next week, with a series of frontal boundaries keeping temperatures near seasonal normals.

- The prolonged dry period could cause some wildfire concerns.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1213 PM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

Clouds will continue to stream over the region today in association with a closed upper trough moving into Central Texas. Ahead of this trough, high pressure has shifted east of the region, yielding the return of southerly winds and warmer conditions today. Despite the cloud cover, most of the region has already climbed into the lower 60s, which is about 5 to 7 degrees warmer than yesterday at this time. Over the next couple of hours, a large area of rain, which has developed across Southeast Texas in association with the upper trough, is expected to shift northeast into our Deep East Texas zones. Although the upper trough is expected to open up and weaken through the evening hours, short- term progs are still holding this area of precip together as it pushes into and across our region. At this time, the majority of rain is expected to linger and fall from this afternoon into the overnight hours for locations generally along and south of the I-20 corridor.

The rain chances should end in our southern zones just before daybreak tomorrow, as the remnants of the upper trough finally shifts east of the area. However, a cold front will quickly push into the region in wake of the trough. Can't rule out some additional light rain developing along the front, mainly across our South-Central Arkansas and Northeast Louisiana forecast zones. Strong northwest winds will follow in wake of the front, with gusts up to 25 mph possible. Wind Advisories are not expected at this time, as sustained winds should remain below 20 mph, but it will be borderline across portions of our East Texas zones. Regardless, the public should still exercise caution on area waterways, as those winds will make for choppy conditions.

Dry and cooler conditions will return on Thursday as high pressure settles over the region. Morning lows should fall to near and below freezing areawide, with highs struggling to reach 50 degrees. A slight warm-up can be expected for Friday, as the high shifts east of the region and southerly winds return. However, this warming trend will be short-lived, as another cold front will move into the region Friday night, bringing a return of sub- freezing morning lows and highs in the 50s through early next week. One thing of note, wildfire conditions could be on the increase with mostly dry conditions and low afternoon RH values expected through early next week. Please follow all local and state ordinances on outdoor burning and activities that involve open sparks or flames. /20/

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 557 PM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

For the ArkLaTex terminals, upper low riding along I-20E and has middeck cigs and some VFR strato cu 5-8kft. The rain did Trace at KLFK and a trail of virga is stretching from KTYR across Toledo Bend and VCSH for KSHV/KMLU/KELD 09-15Z W-E respectively. Not expecting vsby issues, but MVFR cigs still along and E of I-49 once the fropa 12-15Z passes and may see IFR cigs for a time at KMLU, esp. if rain does fall. SW wind overnight 5-15KT shifts to W/NW 12-15Z and increase to 10-20G30KT all aftn, bcmg VFR. /24/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1213 PM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

Spotter activation is not expected through early next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 46 63 33 51 / 20 10 0 0 MLU 45 59 30 48 / 30 20 0 0 DEQ 39 57 23 49 / 10 10 0 0 TXK 45 60 28 50 / 10 10 0 0 ELD 42 58 26 47 / 10 20 0 0 TYR 44 62 31 53 / 20 10 0 0 GGG 43 63 30 52 / 20 10 0 0 LFK 43 64 34 54 / 20 10 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.