textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 145 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026

- Peaking our high temperatures back to well above average with wall to wall sunshine today. Lows continue to rise as well.

- Friday is a repeat with a bit more wind and low RH again, so keep in mind the burn bans in place. We have a fire danger statement issued for Friday to mitigate the wildfire threat. - A weak cool front will shift the winds from E/NE back to NW for Sunday briefly before the upper ridge returns for more hot and dry Summer-like heat in the Four State area during next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 145 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026

Just a few elevated low clouds remaining over near Tyler and Jacksonville, moving W/SW in the mean flow. Our sounding shows E/NE winds up to near 20kft or 500mb. (half the weight of the atmosphere) So, the air is drier today (PWATs) as we had that stratocu over our much of our area yesterday. All the sunshine early today had our temps warming on a fast track with some late morning readings some 4 to 5 degrees warmer on the 24 hr change plot. So we did bump highs from the previous forecast to include slightly warmer max's in the lower 90s. This is looking like late summer again in our Four-State area for the late weekend and much of next week.

The official NHC track remains headed for the Gulf coast, near Mobile Bay with GFS and ECMWF now in good agreement. We are hanging on to a slight chance to chance PoPs over our far eastern parishes and counties to start the weekend. The QPF amounts are low just as they should be on the NW quadrant of a cyclone around here anyway. More than rain will be winds and fire danger concerns. We had some gusts today around 20 mph and tomorrow will bump those numbers a bit into the mid 20s mph range. We have issued a Fire Danger Statement for Friday from 10am to 6pm. Please remember we still have several burn bans in effect and the wildfire threat will be elevated with the gusts and lowering RH during the afternoon especially. Similar conditions may require a partial statement for our TX counties on Saturday. Remember the Labor Day weekend and Tropical Storm Lee back in 2011 responsible for the biggest wildfire disaster we have even seen in our neck of the woods. These conditions may be similar on this side of the cyclone with the ongoing severe and extreme drought conditions.

The NHC continues with little change from the 10am morning update. We will have the new graphic on our home page when it's available after 4pm. At 1pm, Hurricane Isaias was wrapping in 85 mph gusts around the clouded eye. Sheer has been evident on the southwest quadrant and is/will likely keeping the system moving to the ENE at 10 mph. As the storm moves inland Friday evening and overnight, our influence will be some showers possible over our far eastern zones during Saturday. And again the winds picking up tomorrow will continue for Saturday as well. So keep that in mind if fishing and or boating on Saturday, we will be a little choppy on our lakes and open waters. In the wake of Isaias remnant, which lifting N/NW and does a Fujiwara over Memphis before lifting away again to the N/NE, while downgrading to a depression is expected by Saturday late. This push inland will send down a weak cool front for Sunday with a wind shift from E/NE back to NW briefly. No cooler air, but somewhat drier air to keep the heat index down.

Much of next week will see a little more muggy, southerly winds return as the upper ridge rebuilds over the deep south, with a long wave synoptic push into the intermountain west. It may be some time before the Westerlies will regroup for us with another good rain and cold front. So look for some potential record highs or warm morning lows to be possible, until later this month. /24/

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 611 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026

High pressure across the region to maintain light and variable winds overnight. As a tropical system moves into the north-central gulf, winds to become northeast up to 8 knots across the region on Friday. Otherwise, VFR conditions to prevail across area terminals through the forecast period ending 10/00Z. /05/

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 145 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026

We have issued a Fire Danger Statement for Friday from 10 am until 6 pm, when the surface winds will be brisk and potentially gusting from 15 to 25 mph. Also, the relative humidity will be falling off to the lowest levels for the daylight period. Caution is advised and remember to check with your county or parish for burn ban information. Similar conditions may exist for our area again on Saturday, mainly west of I-49. /24/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 145 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time for any weather. However, please report any wildfires to local officials as soon as possible, with gusty surface winds and lowering relative humidity, capable of growth and spreading of wildfires on Friday afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 64 93 65 86 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 61 92 65 79 / 0 0 20 40 DEQ 61 93 61 89 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 61 93 62 86 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 59 93 61 82 / 0 0 0 20 TYR 64 92 64 89 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 61 92 61 88 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 64 91 64 88 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.