textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1241 PM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

- Lingering showers and thunderstorms will be possible in our southeastern zones this evening before another round of showers moves in from the north tomorrow morning.

- Warm conditions will continue for the foreseeable future, although cloud cover and rain could work to chip away at our Heat Advisory.

- Drought and fire weather concerns remain high in areas that have stayed dry.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1241 PM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

Recent trends this morning point towards a break in the triple-digit temperature streak. At the time of writing, the latest hourly ob at KSHV showed 84, where temperatures on previous days had broken 90 by this time. The combination of the increased cloud cover and outflow from ongoing convection east of the region are keeping the greatest heat at bay. However, if cloud cover can break, expect temperatures to climb rapidly as has been seen recently. This is more of what's going on in East TX where skies remain clear. Afternoon temperatures in AR and LA have been pulled back further into the mid 90s this package to account for the disparity.

The 1630z D1 severe outlook has shifted the area of concern for destructive winds this afternoon further south. But areas could see some localized flash and urban flooding from the persistant rain, especially in the eastern half of the CWA this afternoon and evening. Rain could linger around Kisatchie in the early evening with the next round of rain coming from the north in the early hours of Tuesday morning.

In a similar manner to today, the cloud cover and rain will make temperatures slower to rise in the afternoon hours. In addition, dewpoints have been mixing down into the upper 60s around SHV over the past several days. The NBM dewpoints have been a tad high and have been pulled back a tad for the short term period. The combination of the recently lower temperatures and the decent mixing lead to the thinking that a heat advisory may not be necessary for tomorrow. But new data this evening could change thoughts enough to issue a heat product.

Persistant northwest flow over the Ark-La-Tx is expected to bring another disturbance along the flow on Wednesday, which has already sparked a D3 marginal from SPC for our eastern zones. Rain chances could linger along our southern zones late this week before drying up through the weekend. Long-range models are suggesting the upper- level ridge bringing the recent major heat will retrograde toward the Four Corners region before strengthening again. This would bring warm and dry conditions back to the Ark-La-Tx for the remainder of the forecast period.

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AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 611 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

For the 24/12Z TAF period, VFR conditions should prevail across all but the eastern third of our airspace where late morning, afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms could possibly impact the ELD and MLU terminals. Across the remainder of our airspace, increasing elevated ceilings above 12kft will spread from southward across our airspace with ceilings a little harder to come by across the TYR and LFK terminals. Convection should dissipate across our eastern half during the late evening hours Look for mostly S to SW winds near 10kts with some higher gusts across our airspace with the exception of the TXK/ELD and MLU terminals where winds will be mostly variable, at least through mid morning.

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SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1241 PM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time, but report any flooding to local officials.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 79 100 79 100 / 10 10 0 10 MLU 75 97 75 99 / 20 20 0 20 DEQ 72 101 72 99 / 10 10 0 10 TXK 77 99 76 99 / 10 10 0 10 ELD 74 98 74 98 / 20 20 0 20 TYR 79 102 79 102 / 10 10 0 10 GGG 78 102 78 102 / 10 10 0 10 LFK 77 100 76 101 / 10 10 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ050-059-070-071.

LA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for LAZ001>003-010>013- 017>022.

OK...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for OKZ077.

TX...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for TXZ096-097-108>112- 124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.