textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1101 AM CDT Wed May 6 2026

- Strong cold front continues south and east across the region today. - Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible along and ahead of the frontal boundary across much of the region this afternoon and evening.

- Rain chances remain in the forecast for Friday and through the the early part of the upcoming Mother's Day Weekend.

UPDATE

Issued at 223 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026

Just sent out a quick update to make mention of Tornado Watch 186 until 11 PM. The watch covers portions of north Louisiana and Deep East Texas along and south of the southward progressing frontal boundary. /05/

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1055 AM CDT Wed May 6 2026

A frontal boundary currently extending from Nacogdoches to Shreveport and northeast to El Dorado will serve as the trigger for convection through the afternoon hours. Convection already beginning to develop north of the frontal boundary across the I-30 corridor. Quite a spread in temperatures across the boundary ranging from the upper 50s to lower 60s across southwest Arkansas and northeast Texas to near 80 south across Deep East Texas and north Louisiana.

An upper-level trough across the Desert Southwest will swing east throughout the day allowing for a strengthening of the mid-level jet across the southern Plains including the ArkLaTex. 70 dewpoints south of the boundary across north Louisiana will allow for increased buoyancy ahead of the approaching upper-trough. As the atmosphere continues to destabilize with increased daytime heating, convection is expected to ignite along and south of the boundary allowing for some supercell development. Large hail will be the primary threat with some storms with a secondary tornado and damaging wind threat. The severe weather threat will diminish as storms push east into Mississippi later this evening with lingering showers and thunderstorms possible through the predawn hours Thursday.

Upper-flow to become nearly zonal on Thursday allowing for mostly cloudy skies areawide. The combination of ceilings and prevailing cool surface high pressure will limit afternoon high temperatures to the mid 70s. Overnight lows on Thursday night will average in the mid 40s to upper 50s.

Rain chances to increase on Thursday night into Friday across mainly deep east Texas and north Louisiana as low-level southerly moisture overspreads the cooler surface airmass just north of the lingering frontal boundary.

An upper-trough will slowly progress east across the ArkLaTex through the early part of the weekend allowing for widespread showers and thunderstorms areawide. Conditions to gradually improve from the west on Saturday night into Sunday as northwest flow increases aloft behind the trough.

Otherwise, mainly dry conditions to prevail from early to midweek as the region will be dominated by upper-level ridging. /05/

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1241 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026

For the ArkLaTex terminals, IFR/MVFR post frontal cigs for most sites with KMLU coming down now with the front just to the N. KLFK has S/SW5-10KT with a tempo for fropa in the next few hours as heating has slowed progress. We still have the upper level front at 850mb/5kft scouring moisture with -SHRA/VCTS in at several sites - 03-07Z. Cigs will not budge much overnight and may loose ground descending back to IFR, but by daybreak MVFR/VFR will unfold with intermittent aftn sun and N/NE winds 5-15KT. /24/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1201 AM CDT Wed May 6 2026

Spotter activation may be requested today and this evening across portions of the Four State Region due to the development of severe thunderstorms. Any reports of hazardous weather to the National Weather Service are appreciated.

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PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 57 74 58 78 / 50 0 10 20 MLU 58 75 57 78 / 80 0 0 20 DEQ 49 74 48 79 / 10 0 0 0 TXK 54 74 54 80 / 20 0 0 10 ELD 51 74 52 78 / 60 0 0 10 TYR 57 73 58 78 / 20 0 10 30 GGG 57 73 57 78 / 30 0 10 40 LFK 62 74 62 77 / 40 10 30 60

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.