textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1232 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026

- Rain gradually decreasing this evening, leaving much of the area dry overnight

- So one last cooler day for all, but lower 90s will return with less rain and more sun for Father's Day with breezy SW winds.

- Early next week remains warm with another weak front to our north and then another upper level impulse on the light NW flow will arrive for midweek.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1232 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026

Rain is ongoing at the time of writing, although much of the heaviest rain has moved southward out of the region. There has been some backbuilding showers along the I-20 corridor in East Texas which could continue to bring a risk of flash flooding. This area has seen less rainfall over the last 7 days and has much drier soils than much of the rest of the region right now. The thinking is that soils could accept more water and reduce the likelihood of excessive runoff this afternoon. With the worst of the rain from this morning's MCS moving to the southeast, the Flood Watch will be allowed to expire at 3pm unless radar trends necessitate an extention.

Any lingering showers are expected to push southeastward this evening as the front moves on, leaving dry conditions overnight. Southerly winds and mostly clear skies tomorrow will make for a warmer Sunday with temperatures climbing into the 90s. Most sites' heat indices will be borderline Heat Advisory criteria. Even if an advisory isn't issued, take caution for any outdoor Father's Day activities planned and take steps to reduce the risk of heat- related illness. There could be some pop-up showers and thunderstorms from the sea breeze

Rain chances will return to the region early Monday morning with an upper-level shortwave. Guidance is suggesting that another front will stall across southeast OK and southern AR on Tuesday. This would limit the rainfall to the rough northern third of the forecast area. The extent on the rainfall this week will heavily depend on the placement of this boundary. Because of the already heavily saturated soils from this past week, at least part of the region is included in an ERO through Wednesday with potential for upgrades to higher risk categories. Rain could potentially continue through the end of this week.

In addition to rainfall this week, heat will have to be monitored. The current NBM run has the warmest days being Monday and next Saturday, but there tends to be a warm bias in the extended period. Monday could be closest to heat advisory criteria that we will get and will be monitored in the coming packages.

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AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 626 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026

For the 21/00Z TAFs, scattered pop up thunderstorms may briefly impact terminals at KLFK and KTXK in the next hour or two, diminishing after sunset with quiet conditions prevailing overnight. CIGs will lower to MVFR and IFR levels after midnight, along with potential patchy fog development at saturated and sheltered terminals. South winds will be light overnight at sustained speeds of less than 5 kts, becoming southwesterly and elevated into the day with gusts of 20 to 25 kts by early afternoon. Another round of afternoon pop up thunderstorms is expected by the end of this forecast period.

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SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1240 AM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026

Spotter activation may be needed early today with the focus for the day along and south of I-20.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 75 90 78 93 / 10 20 0 10 MLU 74 90 77 93 / 10 40 10 10 DEQ 72 90 76 89 / 10 20 60 60 TXK 74 91 77 91 / 10 10 40 40 ELD 72 90 76 91 / 10 20 20 20 TYR 75 91 77 93 / 10 20 0 10 GGG 74 90 77 93 / 10 20 0 0 LFK 76 91 77 95 / 10 30 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.