textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1200 AM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026

- Much drier air will continue filtering into our region Thursday into Friday allowing for somewhat milder temperatures across most of the region, especially Thursday Night.

- Along with this drier airmass, there will continue to be an elevated wildfire threat across at least our southwest half on Thursday. Therefore, a Fire Danger Statement has been made for extreme western Northwest Louisiana and the southern 2/3rds of Northeast Texas.

- Temperatures begin moderating once again by the upcoming weekend and into early next week ahead of our pretty good rain chances across our entire region late Tuesday through at least Wednesday of next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1200 AM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026

A reinforcing surface boundary has backdoored its way south and west through our region late this evening but some higher PWATs were pooling in the vicinity of this boundary, across our far western, southwest and southern zones late this evening. Meanwhile, a much drier atmosphere, indicative of very low PWATS was observed across our north and northeast zones. This drier airmass will continue bleeding into our region during the day Thursday which will help somewhat with afternoon high temperatures with values ranging from the middle to upper 80s northeast to the middle 90s west and southwest. While the pressure gradient will not be especially tight across our region on Thursday, this drier airmass will allow for lower afternoon relative humidity and sustained northeast winds near 10 mph with some stronger gusts will result in an elevated fire threat, especially across our west and southwest zones where wind gusts could be a little stronger. Therefore a Fire Danger Statement has been made for this region for Thursday. This drier airmass will have really bottomed out across our entire region Thu Night and with light winds in place, temperatures will likely fall well into the 60s with lows in the upper 50s possible across our far northern zones.

While upper ridging will try to build back into our region from the southwest for the upcoming weekend, it does not appear to be quite as pronounced in these most recent progs, at least not until early next week with weak ridging dominating the Upper Midwest into the Lower Miss Valley. A longwave trough will begin moving out of the Intermountain West on Tuesday and into the Southern Plains Tue Night into Wed. This is a little later than earlier progs suggest which will put a slight delay on the higher pops we've been advertising for next week. Upper forcing appears significant enough in advance of this trough axis and the atmosphere should have had enough time to moisten up enough such that likely pops are warranted across our entire region for the Tue Night/Wed timeframe next week. It's been quite sometime since our region has seen widespread rain chances of this magnitude and will be much appreciated...along with the cooler temperatures this trough appears to bring with it as well.

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AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 640 AM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026

For the 24/12Z TAF period, post-frontal dry air will maintain VFR conditions throughout the period. Clouds will be limited to high thin cirrus lingering throughout much of the period along with a modest cu field expected to develop and expand by midday before diminishing by sunset. E/NE winds will prevail between 5-10 kts with slightly higher gusts possible during the afternoon hours, dropping back to near 5 kts or less late in the period as winds decouple.

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SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1200 AM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

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PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 91 65 91 69 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 88 65 91 66 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 89 58 89 63 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 88 62 89 67 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 87 61 90 64 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 95 66 91 69 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 94 64 93 68 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 94 67 92 68 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.