textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1235 AM CDT Thu Sep 3 2026

- Edouard's remnants continue to linger across east Texas through Thursday morning.

- Oppressive heat looks to return as clouds and precipitation gradually push out of the area into the weekend.

- Afternoon showers and thunderstorm chances will remain for at least portions of the area through through next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1235 AM CDT Thu Sep 3 2026

We are continuing to see the impacts from the remnants of Edouard, which remains centered near Henderson County in east Texas early this morning. Rain has been ongoing for much of deep east Texas from Angelina, San Augustine, Nacogdoches, and Cherokee counties through the day today, and now this activity is spreading northward into Smith County. Expecting this trend to continue in these areas through the remainder of the overnight hours. One thing of concern, a handful of 00z model guidance this morning came in showing some bullseyes of around 4-6 inches and isolated pockets higher across Cherokee, Angelina and adjacent counties into FWD and HGXs forecast areas. As a result, I have maintained the Flood Watch for these areas through early Thursday morning. So far the ground has been able to soak up the majority of the rainfall today, with minimal flooding impacts actually observed. We could even see some lingering showers across these areas through the day Thursday, although the impacts should be less. Hopefully models are onto something by kicking this system out of the area by Thursday night into Friday.

Once the rainfall from Edouard end, we will move back into a more regional pattern where we will see more summertime heat and daily diurnal thunderstorm chances. The upper-level ridge currently anchored over the Mid-South will gradually weaken, with ridging redeveloping farther west across the southern Plains. This will help our area reach back above climatological normals, with afternoon highs increasing ever so slightly each day through the weekend and remaining warm well into next week. I don't think we will quite make it to Heat Advisory criteria, although we will be close across our eastern zones of north central Louisiana. Being that it remains borderline for today, I have elected not to issue any heat headlines at this time, although it is looking good that we will need one later this weekend or into next week.

Looking farther out, guidance continues to advertise a fairly low-amplitude pattern, with generally westerly/zonal flow aloft along the southern periphery of the developing ridge. In other words, there is not a particularly exciting synoptic-scale feature waiting in the wings. Instead, precipitation chances should become increasingly governed by the daily heating cycle, with afternoon and evening convection favored primarily across areas south of I-20. Outside of any lingering rainfall directly associated with Edouard, WPC continues to only suggest another tenth to a quarter of an inch of rainfall across any portions of the area. The overall takeaway...Edouard exits the stage to the left, the ridge rebuilds, the thermometer remembers what summer is supposed to feel like, and the diurnal thunderstorm machine gradually cranks back up. /33/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 658 AM CDT Thu Sep 3 2026

IFR/low MVFR cigs have developed across across portions of E TX/Wrn LA, near and just N and E of the remnants of Edouard centered between DFW and TRL. Convection continues to develop near and just E of the remnant center over ECntrl and Deep E TX, and will continue to affect the TYR/LFK terminals through much of the morning before diminishing, and as the convection continues to slowly drift back W. Thus, MVFR cigs with reduced vsbys and occasional gusty winds will remain possible here, with the MVFR cigs farther N and E expected to expand and affect the SHV terminal through mid-morning before lifting and scattering out. Isolated to widely scattered convection may develop farther E across extreme Ern TX/Wrn LA this afternoon and shift N before diminishing prior to 00Z, but low confidence precludes VCTS/VCSH mention in for the GGG/SHV terminals attm. Some residual cu/AC may linger across the area this evening/overnight, but VFR conditions should continue through the remainder of the TAF period. Some patchy FG can not be ruled out by daybreak Friday across Deep E TX/WCntrl LA, and may be needed in the LFK TAF in later TAF issuances. S winds 5-11kts today, with occasional higher gusts to 25kts at TYR, will become SSE 5kts or less after 00Z. /15/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1235 AM CDT Thu Sep 3 2026

While widespread spotter activation is not needed, some assistance might be needed today across portions of East Central Texas as the remnants of Edouard continue to move through this area.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 94 74 96 75 / 20 0 10 10 MLU 97 75 96 74 / 10 10 40 10 DEQ 94 70 96 70 / 10 0 0 0 TXK 94 74 96 74 / 10 0 0 0 ELD 97 73 97 72 / 10 0 30 10 TYR 87 73 92 74 / 60 10 10 0 GGG 92 72 95 73 / 30 0 10 10 LFK 89 72 94 73 / 50 10 40 10

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...Flood Watch until 4 PM CDT this afternoon for TXZ136-149-150-152- 165-166.