textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1208 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026

- Radar remains quiet early this morning, but that should change during the overnight hours as isolated showers and thunderstorms return to portions of the area.

- Today will be our last good chance for rainfall in portions of the area through at least the middle of next week.

- The heat returns this weekend and into the start of next week, with heat headlines possible as early as Sunday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1208 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026

We have seen a few showers and thunderstorms across portions of southeast Oklahoma and central Arkansas this evening, however, they all managed to stay away from our area so far. Short range model guidance continues to suggest some additional showers and thunderstorms developing between now and morning across the northeast half of the area, mainly for far northeast Texas, southeast Oklahoma, southwest Arkansas and north central Louisiana. With the amount of rainfall the area has received over the past several days, it still shouldn't take much rainfall to lead to some flash flooding concerns, similar to what we saw Wednesday morning. That being said, we have maintained the Flash Flood Watch through early Thursday afternoon, though we did trim it back some, we removed most of our Texas counties and then some of our northwest Louisiana Parishes. These are the areas that models are not indicating much in the way of heavy rainfall, although some of the models aren't too keen on any of our region getting any rainfall today.

While any rainfall this morning remains uncertain, one thing that most of the models are picking up on is that the thermostat is going to get cranked all the way up to miserable by the weekend and into the start of next week. Like most years, once the faucet is turned off, the heat cranks up, and this year will be no different. Temperatures today will range from the upper 80s, our northern areas, the lower and mid 90s elsewhere. Similar conditions will be seen on Friday and then Saturday we begin to see temperatures slowly increase a few degrees with the entire region in the 90s by Sunday. Heading into Monday and Tuesday, temperatures will be in the mid to upper 90s across the region with no relief into the middle of the week either. While these ambient temperatures seem manageable, our heat index values will be the main concern. Sunday will be borderline for reaching Heat Advisory criteria with a few locations across deep east Texas reaching near 105 degrees. By monday, we see more widespread heat index values in reaching the mid to possibly upper 100s and then even warmer on Tuesday. So heat headlines could return to the area as early as Sunday, and could continue well into middle of next week. /33/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 652 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026

A weak stationary front extending from SE OK into Srn AR and NE LA has finally begun to lift slowly N this morning, with LIFR cigs and FG having recently developed near and just N of the front across SE OK/N of TXK to near ELD/MLU. S of the front, scattered areas of low MVFR cigs have recently begun to develop across portions of Lower E TX, with brief cigs possible through mid- morning across this area into portions of N LA, before lifting/scattering out. VFR conditions will return across SW AR by late morning as the front lifts N out of the area and washes out, with a scattered cu field developing areawide through the afternoon beneath a thinning cirrus shield spilling SE from OK/NW TX. Scattered convection has also developed this morning NE of the front across Cntrl and Srn AR, but should remain N and E of the ELD terminal this morning before diminishing by mid to late morning. VFR conditions will continue through much of tonight, although a tightening pressure gradient will result in an enhanced low level flow such that low MVFR cigs should develop/spread N into Lower E TX S of I-20 after 09Z, possibly affecting the E TX/SHV terminals between 09-12Z Friday. These cigs should scatter out by mid-morning, with VFR conditions returning through much of Friday. SSW winds 6-11kts with occasional gusts to 20kts across the Wrn sections of E TX are expected through the TAF period. /15/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1242 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026

Spotter activation may be needed this morning for the potential of heavy rain and localized flash flooding across Southeast Oklahoma, Southwest Arkansas, and portions of extreme Northern Louisiana. /15/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 94 75 93 77 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 94 74 93 77 / 20 0 0 0 DEQ 90 73 90 76 / 30 0 0 0 TXK 93 74 93 77 / 20 0 0 0 ELD 92 73 92 76 / 40 0 0 0 TYR 94 75 94 77 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 93 74 93 77 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 95 74 94 76 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...Flood Watch until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for ARZ050-051-059>061- 070>073.

LA...Flood Watch until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for LAZ003>006-012>014.

OK...Flood Watch until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for OKZ077.

TX...Flood Watch until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for TXZ097.