textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1252 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026

- With ongoing drought conditions across the region, elevated fire weather conditions will remain of concern through the end of the work week.

- The lack of appreciable rainfall and growing rainfall deficit will result in further drought degradation through the end of this month and likely into early November.

- Scattered showers at the end of the work week into early this weekend could bring temporary relief to rain starved soils until widespread appreciable rainfall returns.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1252 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026

Upper ridging, reinforced by a broad area of surface high pressure across the eastern half of the CONUS, continues to keep dry conditions over the region. These dry conditions, along with ongoing Severe to Exceptional drought has also resulted in elevated fire conditions and a Fire Danger Statement over the region through 7 PM Tuesday. Other than an increase in mid and high clouds over the region, not much is expected to change in terms of the synoptic set-up over the next 24-36 hours. Afternoon highs today and Tuesday will top out in the lower 80s, with overnight lows tonight in the low to mid 50s. As we move into Wednesday, the upper ridge will not be as pronounced, as the Omega block pattern that has kept upper ridging over the area will start to erode. However, with some weak ridging still in place, along with continued influence of surface high pressure over the region, dry conditions will remain over the forecast area through at least Thursday. We anticipate a slight warming trend during this period, with afternoon highs on Wednesday and Thursday in the mid 80s, along with morning lows Thursday through Friday ranging from the mid 50s to lower 60s.

By Friday, the flow aloft will become more southwesterly ahead of a short-wave disturbance ejecting into the Central Plains from New Mexico. Additional disturbances will move along the flow over the region Friday afternoon through Saturday evening, bringing chance POPs across the entire region. Although this potential rainfall will be greatly appreciated, total precipitation amounts will likely not be significant enough to reduced drought conditions. Mostly dry conditions are anticipated to return on Sunday. The good news is that more rain chances could return by Monday, as a cold front moves into the region. /20/

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 615 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026

For the 27/00z TAF update...Bottom line up front, VFR conditions will continue to prevail throughout this TAF period. BKN to FEW at 250 will prevail through the rest of the evening, followed by some OVC to BKN at 250 around 27/06z and then BKN250 to round out the period. Winds will generally be light throughout the entire TAF period. While I don't have mention of it, there is still some potential that some lower CIGs move in during the overnight hours, but it should not impact flight conditions. /33/

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1252 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026

Elevated fire weather conditions will continue across the region over the next 24-36 hours, due to ongoing drought conditions and min RH values between 25 to 35%. Therefore a Fire Danger Statement remains in effect through 7 PM Tuesday.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1252 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026

Spotter activation may be needed this week in the event of wildfire development. /20/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 55 82 56 84 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 52 83 54 85 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 50 83 49 85 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 53 81 54 84 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 48 82 51 85 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 57 82 57 84 / 0 10 0 0 GGG 52 81 54 84 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 52 82 55 84 / 0 0 10 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.