textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1200 AM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026

- Unseasonably warm temperatures in the 90s will return to the Ark-La-Tx through the latter half of this week.

- Rain chances from Hurricane Isaias are dropping as recent forecasts continue to place landfall further east on the Gulf Coast.

- High pressure is expected to return early next week, keeping things warm and dry through at least the middle of next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1200 AM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026

Northeasterly flow continues to hang over the Ark-La-Tx to start this forecast period, with little synoptic points of interest to cover. Skies should stay mostly clear with temperatures reaching back into the low 90s for Thursday and Friday afternoon.

In the tropics, recently upgraded Hurricane Isaias is continuing to move northeast through the Gulf. The latest NHC advisory has Isaias further intensifying before making landfall somewhere along the Mobile Bay to the Florida Panhandle late Friday night. NHC continues to favor models depicting an eastern track such as the Google DeepMind. Other models like the GFS and Euro are favoring a track further westward, which would result in rain from this system reaching the Ark-La-Tx. To better align with the NHC track forecast and updated WPC QPF, I've pulled back PoPs for many areas east of I- 49 for Friday night through Saturday afternoon. There is still plenty of time for uncertainty in Isaias's track, but the chance of meaningful rainfall over the region seems to be dwindling as we approach landfall.

Temperatures could be briefly knocked back into the upper 70s and 80s by Isaias on Saturday before high pressure sets back in over the Gulf States. Expect temperatures to climb back into the 90s by early next week with little rain on the horizon to bring relief.

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AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 454 AM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours. Will continue to see some 5-7kft moisture near and especially south of our I-20 terminal locations that could briefly result in a ceiling through the mid morning hours but again, any ceilings would remain above 3kft. Likewise, will likely see some increasing thin cirrus move from west to east across our airspace as well during the day. Look for mostly NE winds with speeds generally near or below 10kts thru the TAF period.

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SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1200 AM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 91 65 90 67 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 91 62 91 66 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 91 61 91 61 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 90 61 91 63 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 92 60 92 63 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 91 65 89 66 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 91 63 90 64 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 91 65 89 66 / 0 0 20 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.