textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1115 PM CDT Sat Oct 17 2026

- The coolest temperatures of the season are on deck for much of the region early Sunday morning, with a few patches of frost not out of the realm of possibility.

- Cooler than average temperatures this weekend will be followed by a steady warming trend into next week, with dry weather throughout and a continued background fire weather threat.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1115 PM CDT Sat Oct 17 2026

A chilly morning across the Ark-La-Tx will give way to continued fall-like temperatures thanks to the cooler airmass that has recently settled over the area. Afternoon highs should climb back into the low to mid 70s on Sunday. However, another upper- level ridge is beginning to build back over the Southern Plains and will work to warm things back up into the 80s by midweek. In addition, broad subsidence from the ridge will keep skies mostly clear and prevent any rain from providing relief.

The gusty winds that accompanied the arrival of our current airmass have weakened, which means the Red Flag Warnings have been allowed to expire Saturday evening. We have elected to carry a Fire Danger Statement areawide for Sunday to highlight continued fire danger, even with weaker winds. The dry air will be sticking around despite the expected warming. In fact, RH's during the afternoons are likely to worsen further into the extended period. Parts of south central and southwest AR could see RH's below 20 percent by Wednesday, with most other locations seeing min RH's in the 20 to 30 percent range. On one hand, this will keep heat indices low and make being outside as comfortable as possible. On the other, ongoing drought and already extremely dry fuels will be exacerbated by the dry air and keep fire danger a top concern. Members of the public should continue to follow the direction of local officials on outdoor burning, even without a Red Flag Warning in place.

Rain potential looks extremely slim for the foreseeable future. The only possibility at this point would come from troughing over the western CONUS building over the next few days. Current long- range models have the building ridge keeping any activity that would come off this trough too far north. But plenty could happen between now and then.

57

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1227 AM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026

for the 18/06z TAF period...Expect VFR conditions with some passing SCT to BKN high clouds during the period. Winds will range from light/variable to easterly between 5-7 mph. /20/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1115 PM CDT Sat Oct 17 2026

Spotter activation may be needed through the rest of the weekend in the event of wildfire development.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 48 77 51 80 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 46 78 47 82 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 42 79 45 83 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 45 77 48 80 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 43 79 45 83 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 48 76 51 80 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 46 76 49 80 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 50 77 51 81 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.