textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1006 PM CST Sat Dec 13 2025
- Coldest temperatures of the season expected across the region tonight.
- Temperatures in the teens and 20s tonight may damage or kill sensitive vegetation and could pose a threat to persons vulnerable to the cold.
- Temperatures will trend much warmer by midweek, with increased rain chances.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 940 AM CST Sun Dec 14 2025
Arctic high pressure continues to build across the region this morning with most locations across the ArkLaTex in the 30s and 40s along with northeast winds around 15 to 20 mph with higher gusts. Based on recent model guidance, winds have likely peaked and will gradually diminish to around 10 mph by mid-afternoon. Wind chill values from the upper 20s into the 30s expected today.
CLearing skies from the north expected today. The combination of clear skies and light winds tonight will yield the coldest temperatures of the season with lows in the upper teens across SW AR and the low to mid 20s elsewhere. Conditions still remain just above criteria for a Cold Weather Advisory as light winds will keep wind chill values close to ambient temperatures. However, could see a pocket of wind chill values in the mid to upper teens across portions of north Louisiana near daybreak.
Surface high to shift east on Monday, allowing for southeast winds to return with warmer afternoon highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Expect another night of subfreezing temperatures across southeast Oklahoma, southwest Arkansas, and north Louisiana on Monday night with lows from the mid 20s to lower 30s and slightly warmer elsewhere.
On Tuesday, a broad upper-trough to emerge into Texas and Oklahoma as the surface high across the ArkLaTex shifts eastward. Surface and upper-level moisture to increase across the ArkLaTex with showers possible by Tuesday evening.
Mid-latitude cyclone to develop and push a cold front through the region on Wednesday night into Thursday, increasing rain chances areawide. Because most of the stronger forcing will remain ahead of the upper-low across the Great Plains, not expecting much in the way of strong convection or heavy rainfall across the ArkLaTex. Cooler temperatures expected on Friday as high pressure builds behind the front with afternoon highs in the 50s and lower 60s and lows in the 40s with temperatures rebounding once again through the weekend. /05/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 524 PM CST Sun Dec 14 2025
Winds are beginning to calm down this afternoon and continue into the overnight hours. Sites should become variable at less than 5 kts over the next several hours and continue through the day tomorrow. There may be a few light clouds in places tomorrow morning but with otherwise stay SKC until the next round of clouds move in just after this period ends. /57/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1006 AM CST Sun Dec 14 2025
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 26 50 35 59 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 22 45 29 56 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 20 45 28 55 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 23 47 33 57 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 19 45 27 53 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 27 51 39 60 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 24 50 34 60 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 26 53 34 61 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.
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