textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1243 AM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

- Dry and near-normal weather conditions are expected for the next 24-36 hours.

- Above normal temperatures will return by Wednesday (90s likely) and continue through the rest of the work week.

- Rain chances will gradually increase by the weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1243 AM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

Dry air continues to filter into the Four State Region with the 60-degree isodrosotherm slowly backdooring around the Ouachita Mtns.. This feature will continue to drift south of I-20 through the day, allowing slightly cooler temperatures (especially minimums near the upper 50s in northern zones). Aloft, the synoptic setup--dry northwesterly flow with surface ridging--will maintain fairly uneventful weather through most of the week. Surface ridging will remain as the predominant influence on weather conditions by Tuesday as the As surface ridging will also suppress convection through the week, WPC QPF values remain in a 0.10-0.50 inch range in a gradient from west to east toward the Ark-La-Miss. Long-range guidance suggests mid-level troughing that exits the Intermountain West, gradually advecting Gulf moisture in concert with troughing offshore south of the Louisiana coastline. Uncertainty remains with potential for any tropical development, as the NHC currently has a 40% chance of development. However, direct impact potential to the Ark-La-Tex remains lower due to aforementioned northwesterly flow and upstream troughing providing extra shear (mostly an inhibitor for tropical cyclone development). /16/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 540 AM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

For the 12z TAF package...any low clouds are confined to our extreme southern airspace or well south of our I-20 terminals and even south of the LFK terminal. Otherwise, beginning to see clearing from north to south across our airspace with SKC noted at the TXK/ELD terminals and the AC clearing line infiltrating the I-20 terminals as well. Should see this continue through the day but VFR conditions should prevail today through the overnight hours. Look for NNE to NE winds sustained near 10kts with higher gusts possible.

13

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 245 PM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026

Spotter activation should not be needed through tonight. /15/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 87 64 88 65 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 88 63 88 64 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 86 56 86 55 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 85 59 86 59 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 88 58 89 58 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 84 62 85 64 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 86 61 86 62 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 85 65 87 67 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.