textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1133 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
- Widespread triple-digit high temperatures will continue through midweek, maintaining an elevated risk for heat-related illnesses.
- Increasingly dry soils and parched vegetation resulting from flash drought will support the threat of quick fire starts and rapid fire spreads. - Although rain will be hard to come by, a few opportunities will exist on Monday across SE Oklahoma and SW Arkansas.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1138 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Upper-level heat ridge to remain centered across the ArkLaTex on Monday allowing for high temperatures to again climb to around 100 degrees across most locations, with portions of east and northeast Texas up to 103 degrees. As has been the case over the past few days, a pocket of drier air across east and northeast Texas could mix down during the afternoon bringing dewpoint values down into the 60s, limiting heat index values to near 105 degrees across these areas. However, the remainder of the ArkLaTex may not be so lucky as dewpoint values in the 70s will drive heat index values to 105 to 110 degrees, especially across northeast Louisiana and south-central Arkansas. Based on these numbers, the ongoing Heat Advisory will remain unchanged at this time.
A weak frontal boundary acrsos Oklahoma into Arkansas will shift south overnight. With the front being oriented across the I-30 corridor on Monday, could see a few storms developing across these areas during the time of peak heating.
Upper-ridge to build west on Tuesday signaling the beginning of a pattern shift that will become a little more evident from Wednesday onward. By Thursday, most of north Louisiana and Arkansas will struggle to reach 100 degrees, which has not been the case through this weekend and most likely into the middle of the upcoming workweek. Additionally, an upper- level trough swinging southeast along the northern periphery of the ridge could produce enough instability and mixing to restrict afternoon high temperatures across Arkansas and Louisiana to the mid 90s by Saturday. /05/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 612 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
For the 17/00z TAF update...VFR conditions will continue to prevail throughout this TAF period. Satellite imagery is not showing much in the way of cloud cover, however, I maintained FEW100 through 07/06z before I bring back SKC for all terminals. Winds are expected to remain light throughout this TAF period, generally under 10 kts throughout. /33/
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 133 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
A combination of dry fuels, low afternoon relative humidity in the 25-40 percent range, and S to SW winds sustained near 10 mph with some higher gusts in the afternoon hours will maintain an elevated wildfire threat across all of our fire districts. These conditions will persist through early this evening with conditions beginning to slowly improve after sunset with RH values recovering and wind speeds gradually diminishing.
/19/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1133 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Spotter activation is not expected at this time, but spotters are encouraged to report any wildfire activity to your local officials and fire department personnel.
/19/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 79 102 81 103 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 79 101 80 103 / 0 0 0 10 DEQ 74 103 73 104 / 0 10 10 10 TXK 78 100 78 103 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 77 100 77 102 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 76 103 79 102 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 76 103 78 104 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 74 101 76 101 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Tuesday for ARZ050-051-059>061- 070>073.
LA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Tuesday for LAZ001>006-010>014- 017>022.
OK...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Tuesday for OKZ077.
TX...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Tuesday for TXZ096-097-108>112- 124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.
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