textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1154 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026

- Dry weather will continue across the region through the remainder of the work week into the first half of the upcoming weekend, along with above normal temperatures.

- A pattern shift will bring a return of rain chances by the end of the weekend into early next week.

- Rain chances could increase by the middle of next week, as a cold front moves into the region.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1154 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026

Current synoptic analysis continues to depict deep troughing across most of the CONUS east of the Mississippi River, along with a large upper ridge extending from the Southern Plains northward across the Rocky Mountain States and Central & Northern Plains. This has resulted in a northwesterly upper flow pattern settling over our region for most of today through the current writing of this forecast discussion. Within the flow, northwesterly winds continue to drive a weak cool front into the region, which currently stretches from extreme Northeast Texas southeastward to just south of the Arkansas/Louisiana border. Moisture is very limited with this boundary, so no precipitation is expected. However, you can see evidence of the front due to the clouds that have develop near and along the boundary. The front will continue to backdoor into the region overnight, but the eastward movement of the aforementioned ridge will likely result in the front stalling just west of our forecast area or across our Deep East Texas zones by lunchtime tomorrow. This could yield some compressional warming across our East Texas and exteme Western Louisiana zones, resulting highs in the lower 90s. Also, because the front is expected to stall, the lagging drier and slightly cooler airmass will only make it into the northeastern portions of our forecast area. This generally includes areas north and east of a line from Clarksville Texas to Monroe Louisiana, which essentially is extreme Northeast Texas, Southeast Oklahoma, Southwest Arkansas, and extreme Northern & Northeastern Louisiana. However, the slight cooling trend for those areas will be short-lived, as the frontal boundary will quickly lift back through the area by tomorrow evening as a warm front. Upper ridging will continue to slide eastward into the region Thursday afternoon into Friday, while gradually flattening out. This will keep dry conditions in place, along with warm conditions, as southerly flow ramps up in response to sfc cyclogenesis across the Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles. Expect southerly winds on Friday between 12-17 mph, with gusts 20-25 mph, along with afternoon highs ranging from the upper 80s to lower 90s.

By Saturday, the flat ridge will continue to shift east of the region. In wake of the ridge, the upper pattern will shift into a southwesterly flow. Southerly flow will remained ramped up, but winds should remain below Wind Advisory criteria. Dry conditions will also continue, but rain chances are forecast to return on Sunday and Monday, as disturbances are expected to move across the region along the southwesterly flow. Rain chances could be on the increase by the middle portion of next week, as long-term progs are suggesting a cold front could move into the region. /20/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1225 AM CDT Thu May 14 2026

For the 14/06Z TAFs, VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the course of this forecast period, with mostly clear skies at area terminals, punctuated only by a possible increase in high clouds. Winds will remain light and variable throughout with a general easterly component, shifting to southeasterly. The only possible exception to VFR throughout will be, like previous nights, at sheltered terminals where clear skies and calming winds may allow for brief fog development and VSBY reductions in the pre-dawn hours, most likely at KLFK and KMLU, improving by or shortly after daybreak.

/26/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1154 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026

Spotter activation is not expected through the remainder of the week. /20/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 89 69 91 72 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 86 65 91 69 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 83 64 88 69 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 87 68 92 71 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 85 64 91 70 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 91 69 90 71 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 91 69 90 71 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 92 68 92 70 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.