textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 203 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

- Isolated rainfall will remain possible today, with much drier conditions heading into next week.

- Temperatures will gradually increase heading into next week, with some of the warmest temperatures of the season possible.

- Upcoming dry spell and continued hot temperatures will increase drought and fire weather concerns.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 203 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

Radar imagery is starting to show some isolated convection across portions of the area, generally south of the I-30 corridor. I did extend PoPs northward for this afternoon, but I am concerned I might not have gone far enough, something that might need to be adjusted here in a bit. Short range guidance still suggests all convection will remain isolated in nature before dissipating by this evening. There will remain some low chances for more showers and thunderstorms Monday afternoon, mainly across the southern portion of the forecast area, but after that, things really start to dry out as high pressure takes more control of the region.

Upper-air pattern today continues to show our area between two high pressure systems, one centered over the Four Corners region, with the other centered just off the southeast CONUS. We will remain between these two features on Monday, which is why we will keep some precipitation chances in the forecast. However, as we move into Tuesday, the eastern high will begin to retrograde back towards the west and begin to merge with the western high pressure system. By Wednesday, these two area of high pressure will have become one, ultimately creating one large area of high pressure aloft, generally centered over our area. Unfortunately, long term models don't show much movement in this feature well into next weekend and even beyond. The result, increasing temperatures in an already hot time of year, possibly some of the hottest temperatures of the season, and limiting our isolated thunderstorm potential to almost nothing.

I really hate to say it, but if today or tomorrow seem hot to you, buckle up, because they are going to be the "coolest" days for the next week. Monday will be similar to today, with afternoon highs hanging out right around the mid 90s and heat index values in the upper 90s to lower 100s. By Tuesday, add a few degrees onto what we see on Monday and then add a few more degrees for Wednesday's high temperatures. The result, the entire area returning to the upper 90s to near 100 degrees and heat index values returning to dangerous levels, at or above 105 degrees. The bad news, this trend is going to continue all the way into next weekend. Lastly, the upcoming warming trend, along with the much drier forecast with models this afternoon for all of next week, drought and fire weather concerns will only increase. /33/

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 203 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

For the 09/18Z TAF period, convection has begun to develop this afternoon but is mostly isolated in coverage such that only VCTS is warranted through around 10/00Z this evening. Some convective debris clouds may linger through the evening hours, but expect mostly SKC conditions to return overnight as upper-level high pressure remains largely dominant across the region. Can't rule out some patchy fog closer to daybreak, but it should remain concentrated south of our airspace closer to the coast. Light and mostly variable winds will prevail this afternoon with a primary S/SW component throughout the period.

/19/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 203 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 76 94 77 95 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 74 96 76 97 / 0 10 0 0 DEQ 71 95 72 95 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 75 96 76 96 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 73 95 75 95 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 75 95 76 96 / 10 0 0 0 GGG 73 96 75 97 / 10 0 0 0 LFK 73 93 74 95 / 0 20 10 10

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.