textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1137 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

- Above average warmth will continue Thursday, with highs in the lower 90s and mostly dry weather prevailing.

- A powerful cold front will cross the ArkLaTex Friday, bringing significantly cooler temperatures and much drier air.

- Very low humidity and gusty winds will produce elevated fire weather conditions Friday and likely into the weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1137 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

Southerly flow around a subtropical high will keep unseasonably warm temperatures in the lower 90s for the Ark-La-Tx Thursday afternoon. At the same time, the closed low over the Four Corners will merge back with the greater trough and propagate eastward toward the Great Lakes. A strong cold front associated with this trough is still expected to push through the region during the day on Friday, resulting in high temperatures as low as the upper 60s for some. Areas of Central LA could still see temperatures in the 80s before the front sweeps through in the afternoon.

In addition to the sharp dip in temperatures, strong winds and dry air are expected to follow this front. Winds across the region could easily gust above 30 mph on Friday with RH's dipping into the 20-30 percent range. Even with the cooler temperatures, the dry air and gusty winds will compound on an already dire drought situation in terms of fire weather. Fuels are extremely dry with the lack of consistent wetting rainfall and are prone to catching fire from any sort of spark. The conditions on Friday will make these sparking fires spread much more quickly and be harder to contain. Most counties and parishes remain under burn bans due to the ongoing drought, but increased caution must be taken to prevent sparking wildfires and report any that begin quickly to proper authorities. As such, a Fire Weather Watch has been issued for the entire region from Friday morning through the evening hours. This watch merely outlines the extremely favorable weather conditions for fire spreading that will likely be in place on Friday and may be upgraded to a Red Flag Warning with a future forecast.

The cooler air behind the front Friday is expected to linger through the day on Saturday before another upper-level ridge sets up another warming trend. Temperatures in the lower 70s on Sunday will quickly return to the low to mid 80s by midweek with little relief in sight.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1251 AM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026

For the 15/06Z TAF update, another round of MVFR/IFR vis/cigs are likely across the southern airspace as a frontal boundary approaches. Southerly winds will remain near 5-7 kts, while VCTS remains further north for this period. /16/

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 345 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

A powerful cold front will cross area fire districts on Friday, with unseasonably cooler temperatures to follow. This front is not expected to produce any significant rainfall. The post-frontal airmass will also be very dry, dropping relative humidity values into the upper 20 to 30 percent range. North-northwest winds behind the front will be very breezy, maintaining sustained speeds of 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Together with critically dry fuels, these conditions merit a Fire Weather Watch for all area fire districts beginning Friday morning.

/26/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 139 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 90 65 71 50 / 0 10 0 0 MLU 93 65 77 49 / 0 0 10 0 DEQ 91 53 67 43 / 0 10 10 0 TXK 91 60 68 47 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 93 60 72 46 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 87 60 67 49 / 0 20 0 0 GGG 89 59 69 48 / 0 20 0 0 LFK 90 64 74 51 / 0 20 20 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...Fire Weather Watch from Friday morning through late Friday night for ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073.

LA...Fire Weather Watch from Friday morning through late Friday night for LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022.

OK...Fire Weather Watch from Friday morning through late Friday night for OKZ077.

TX...Fire Weather Watch from Friday morning through late Friday night for TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.