textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 151 PM CDT Mon Mar 23 2026

- The backdoor cold front has delivered with NE wind a little gusty, but still sinking into our southern tier of Co/Pa. - Our brief respite from much above readings climatologically will last another day with more near record heat by midweek. - A stronger backdoor cold front will arrive overnight Friday into Saturday with possibly some cooler than average temps.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 151 PM CDT Mon Mar 23 2026

Dew points are the key to our change in pattern with 72 over 38 now in El Dorado with min RH in the upper 20s and right back on the fire danger precipice. The gusts will relax in a few hours, but the air will remain drier than usual overnight. These NE winds extend up several thousand feet to near 3-5kft depending on one's location. The deeper cool/dry air lies over the Natural State and the axis of the surface ridge will slip away to the east overnight. We will rebuild from the ground up with E/SE around daybreak and deepen the southerly flow back to where it was over the weekend. So one night of cooler temps with a few upper 40s north to mid to upper 50s in our far south. Most locales along I-20 will see low to mid 50s which is still a little above late March averages.

Our highs on Tuesday will resume the lower 80s up to and along I-20, but still the first shall be last, with our Arkansas Counties hanging on to some lower 70s once again. The winds will continue gently shifting from SE tomorrow to SW by Wednesday. We'll see more mid to upper 80s with min RH in the 30% range, renewing a widespread wildfire concern until our next backdoor front this weekend. In fact the air mass associated with today's front is only around 1030mb. The next one Saturday will be stronger with a 1040mb core of the middle MS River Valley by Saturday daybreak.

Here we will see the mid to late week southerly winds lifting along the boundary with a few showers north of I-30 Friday evening or overnight. Overall coverage of the flashy QPF signal dances around most of our Four-State area. None the less, the NE winds will be cooler and stronger this weekend. So we may also hang on to concerns for gusts and lowering RH post front. For now we are off the record temperature pace and the weekend boundary looks to bring in even cooler and dry air with some below average temperatures, both highs and perhaps some lows this weekend. Palm Sunday morning will see a range of 40s areawide with sunrise at 7:06am for early risers. Increasing chances for some needed rainfall are now looking a little more encouraging for early April showers to earn their salt. /24/

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1218 PM CDT Mon Mar 23 2026

For the 23/18Z TAFs, SCT MVFR clouds remain as the surface frontal boundary stalls along the I-20 corridor, but CIGs have begun to climb to VFR levels, expected to continue through the afternoon and early evening hours. VFR conditions will continue through the night, with sky coverage increasing to OVC from the north towards the end of this forecast period. Winds may remain variable longer across our southern airspace, but should finish pivoting to northeasterly by evening. With the passage of the front, winds will become northeasterly at sustained speeds of 5 to 10 kts with gusts of up to 20 kts possible early. By tomorrow morning, winds will become easterly and southeasterly.

/26/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 151 PM CDT Mon Mar 23 2026

Spotter activation is not expected in the short term into midweek.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 56 79 60 85 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 52 75 56 86 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 48 69 49 86 / 0 10 0 0 TXK 54 74 56 87 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 49 71 52 86 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 58 83 63 87 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 56 81 61 86 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 58 83 61 85 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.