textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1047 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

- Showers and thunderstorms, with the potential for isolated strong to severe storms, will spread east across the region through the day along a cold front, exiting the area tonight.

- Cooler and drier air will spill east-southeast behind the front, with more seasonal temperatures expected Wednesday. - Another cold front will move through the region Friday, reinforcing the cool and dry air mass already in place by week's end into next weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1047 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

This morning's cold front is currently draped across the region from Deep East TX to Southwest AR and slowly pushing eastward. These storms have generally weakened over the past few hours from their intensity overnight. This is only in terms of severe winds and hail, as ample deep layer shear has allowed for several embedded spots of developing rotation that are being monitored. In addition to the wind and tornado threat, heavy rainfall will raise a concern for areas of flash and urban flooding this afternoon. PWAT values up to an exceeding 2 inches will be enough to produce showers with high rain rates. In addition, the showers along this cold front are moving northeast along the bulk shear vector. This movement combined with a relatively slow forward progression of the cold front raises concern with training showers. There may still be reintensification of the shower and thunderstorm activity this afternoon once peak daytime heating gets going, although the exact extent is still uncertain due to the lingering cloud cover.

Current guidance still has showers lingering in our southeastern zones until around midnight tonight. Slightly cooler temperatures, in the low to mid 70s, should come on the coattails of the cold front for Wednesday afternoon. Another cold front will push through late Thursday/Friday that will reinforce the cold and dry airmass, keeping mid to upper 60s into the weekend. Any rain chances associated with this front in previous forecasts has been pushed south of our area this run. However, some chances to our northwest from the main trough axis could persist and clip our northwesternmost zones.

Dry conditions and cooler temperatures are expected to persist into the weekend. Long-range models are struggling to resolve another upper- level trough moving through the Central and Southern Plains on Sunday but this system is still likely to be dry. If current RH predictions are accurate that far out, fire weather may become the primary concern again early next week.

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AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 523 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

For the 03/12Z TAF period, a cold front will move across E TX between 12Z-15Z and across the remainder of the terminals from 18Z-00Z. SHRA and TSRA conditions to accompany the front. IFR/LIFR ceilings possible this morning ahead of the front, increasing to MVFR/VFR during the afternoon. Southerly winds 10 to 15 knots ahead of the front to become northwest 5 to 10 knots behind the front this afternoon, relaxing to around 5 knots overnight. Otherwise, VFR conditions expected areawide after 04/00Z.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1245 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

Spotter activation may be needed today through this evening across the region, for the potential of isolated strong to severe thunderstorms. /15/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 76 54 73 50 / 100 0 0 0 MLU 82 56 74 48 / 100 80 0 0 DEQ 76 50 73 46 / 90 0 0 0 TXK 74 52 73 46 / 100 0 0 0 ELD 78 51 73 44 / 100 20 0 0 TYR 76 52 74 52 / 90 0 0 0 GGG 75 51 73 48 / 100 0 0 0 LFK 77 52 76 49 / 100 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.