textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1148 PM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026

- Quiet weather is expected through early next week, with warm temperatures, as afternoon highs return back into the low to mid 90s

- Some rain chances will return to parts of the region from Tuesday through the end of the work week.

- A cold front is expected to push through the region by the start of next weekend, bringing fall-like temperatures into the region.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1148 PM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026

Upper-level ridging, along with surface high pressure, will continue to influence our weather over the next couple of days. Some blowoff cirrus from systems over the Rockies will move across the Southern Plains into our region during this period. Otherwise, expect dry conditions to prevail along with warmer afternoon temperatures, as highs are expected to return back into the low to mid 90s. As we move into Tuesday, upper-ridging is expected to remain over the region, but the surface high will shift eastward. The return of low-level southerly flow will allow an influx of low-level moisture to advect into the region, increasing dewpoints and humidity. Mid-range models continue to suggest this rise in moisture, combined with daytime heating, could yield enough instability to ignite some afternoon convection, mainly for our East Texas and Louisiana zones along and south of Interstate 20 Tuesday afternoon. Although this is not totally out of the question, I do wonder how much convection the atmosphere can generate with a 590+ mb upper-ridge firmly over the region. So, I decided to deviate a tad from the NBM and lower our highest POPs to 30 percent for the aforementioned zones.

For Wednesday and Thursday, we will see a shift in the upper-level pattern, as the center of the upper-ridge will shift eastward into the Lower-Mississippi Valley region. At the same time, a close upper trough will eject out of the Great Basin Region into the Plains. Ahead of the trough, the flow aloft will become more southwesterly, including areas along and north of our I-30 corridor. For the remainder of the region or areas south of the I-30 corridor, the ridge is expected to remain the dominant feature. As a result, areas under the influence of the ridge would continue to see dry weather, while disturbances would bring a chance of rain for areas under southwest flow. Again, some questions still remain with this outlook, as the eastward progression of the ridge will greatly determine if southwest flow will become established over portions of the region. It's not totally out of the question that the rain chances could stay just to the north of our forecast zones. At this time, slight to low chance POPs will remain for areas along and north of I-30 on Wednesday and Thursday. Eventually, the NBM and several long-term progs continue to eject the Great Basin trough into the upper Midwest on Friday/Saturday, which would drive a cold front across the region. Some widespread rainfall could accompany the front, with fall-like temperatures moving in behind it. /20/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1259 AM CDT Sun Oct 11 2026

For the 11/06Z TAF period, VFR vis/cigs are expected through the period as surface high pressure continues to reside over the airspace, slowly drifting eastward. Cu fields will remain mostly suppressed while remnant Pacific tropical cloud cover drifts in as SCT250/FEW250 after 11/12Z through the rest of the period. /16/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1148 PM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time. /20/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 64 92 71 93 / 0 0 0 20 MLU 62 94 66 94 / 0 0 0 10 DEQ 60 91 66 93 / 0 0 0 10 TXK 64 91 69 93 / 0 0 0 10 ELD 61 93 66 94 / 0 0 0 10 TYR 65 91 73 93 / 0 0 0 10 GGG 63 92 71 94 / 0 0 0 10 LFK 64 90 72 92 / 0 0 0 30

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.