textproduct: Shreveport

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1134 PM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

Not much has changed from the previous forecast package. Expect temperatures in the mid to upper 90s with scattered rain chances in the afternoons for much of the next week. The exact rain locations will be hard to pin down with the lack of available forcing.

The upper-level ridging over the Desert Southwest remains in place this evening with the far eastern fringes reaching the Ark- La-Tx. The easterly flow aloft from this high was evident on the 00z observed sounding. This will work to inhibit most organized rainfall apart from the typical summertime convection. Models have been focusing on North/Central LA and Deep East TX as the most likely areas to see rain during the afternoons, but accumulation estimates remain low. The one exception may be on Friday afternoon. The GFS has been suggesting an upper-level disturbance will move along the high and southward into the region. This could provide enough forcing to organize showers into something more substantial. There isn't a severe or flooding concern for Friday at this time, but will be closely monitored for more model agreement.

By the beginning of next week, the high out west is expected to return to its previous position while the subtropical high in the Atlantic strengthens and cuts the Southern CONUS off from the larger zonal upper-level flow. This won't bring much in the way of change for our long-term forecast: more warm temperatures with rain limited to afternoon pop-ups. Groups spending time outside should be aware of heat-related illnesses and wildfire conditions and work to mitigate risks.

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AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 655 PM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

VFR conditions will continue through much if not all of the 07/00Z TAF period. Isolated convection will persist across portions of the region through mid-evening before diminishing, but should not affect any of the area terminals with the exception of ELD. Considerable elevated convective debris will also linger across N LA/Srn AR/portions of extreme Ern TX through much of this evening before thinning, with some residual elevated cu also persisting across portions of the region as well. Should see low MVFR stratocu develop again over portions of Deep E TX/NCntrl LA by/shortly after 12Z Friday, which may result in brief cigs across these areas (and possibly LFK), before lifting into a scattered cu field areawide by late morning/midday. Isolated convection will again redevelop by the mid and late afternoon hours but should have reduced coverage to what was observed earlier this afternoon. Given the low confidence and brevity of this occurring at the area terminals, have omitted VCTS mention in the TAFs attm. SSW winds 3-7kts tonight will become SSW 5-8kts after 15Z. /15/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 132 PM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

Spotter activation is not expected through tonight.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 96 75 95 76 / 30 20 10 10 MLU 96 74 95 75 / 40 20 10 10 DEQ 98 73 96 73 / 10 10 10 10 TXK 96 76 95 76 / 30 20 10 10 ELD 97 73 94 74 / 30 20 10 10 TYR 98 76 97 76 / 0 0 10 10 GGG 98 74 96 74 / 10 10 10 10 LFK 96 74 95 74 / 10 10 10 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.