textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1149 PM CST Sun Nov 8 2026

- High pressure is modifying warmer now with the weakening upper low still over Texas providing partly to mostly cloudy skies. - A warming trend will unfold through midweek with highs and lows ready to elevate back above mid November averages.

- Our next cold front is stronger and more direct with a swift change back to below average highs and lows by week's end.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1149 PM CST Sun Nov 8 2026

Chilly night out with our T/Td spreads a little closer than lately as the surface high we have been enjoying continues to modify warmer and a little more humid with some patchy fog observed after midnight. The 1023mb loose high pressure center is over E OK and W AR, and will continue to hold position and weaken today. Our skies will remain partly to mostly cloudy with the upper low on slow approach, filling and keeping rain over central and south Texas. Our closet passing of rain last night did result in a several observations of a trace or several hundreths of rainfall. Tyler was the big winner with just under a tenth of an inch. The next wave of energy lifting out of the Rio Grande Valley and should remain just out of our reach after daybreak.

The mix of clouds will persist with highs today a tad bit warmer. The models swing the low closer along the upper Red of OK/TX, but continue to weaken it, with limited moisture feeding in to change our conditions. We will see lows continue to warm too over the next few mornings, while highs warm even better with a little more sun and less focused NE winds. Our winds will be a little more variable to start this week, allowing our highs to get back toward the 80s degree mark by midweek. Here is where our peak of heating so to speak will fall, as our next cold front will begin to shift winds briskly to the N/NW during early Thursday. Parts of I-30 will see the NW winds arriving overnight Wednesday, but they will become gusty while spreading across the majority of our Four-State area by lunchtime on Thursday.

So, likely still warm by comparison on Thursday for highs, but cooler 60s will set in for Friday and all of the coming weekend. The core of this next air mass is fresh out Canada at 1030mb and will spread down the MS River Valley from N to S, bringing the biggest chill to our mornings this weekend. Generally speaking, Shreveport is often last to freeze along with Tyler, but Nov 15th is Shreveport's first freeze official average. So it is safe to say we running late again this year and will not freeze west of I-49, but the current numbers in the low temp grid are for a light freeze in at least S Arkansas on Saturday daybreak.

In fact, for 5 of the last 6 years, the first freeze in Shreveport has been a week or two late with the ongoing drought and La Nina's influence. The good news is that while will we will remain on the dry side of averages this week and part of next, the outlook from the CPC has started to shift above average rainfall into western Louisiana on their 8 to 14 day outlook. So one thing at a time, because the drought is still large and in charge. The chilly temperatures this weekend, look to get back to likely above average as the El Nino brings the wet season closer. /24/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1122 PM CST Sun Nov 8 2026

For the 09/06z TAF update...I introduced some fog potential for KTXK tonight towards morning with mention of some lower CIGs and visibility. There is some potential we will see some additional patchy fog that could impact other terminals, but I had the most confidence in Texarkana to at least add it, so while I left mention out elsewhere, there is at least the potential of some patchy fog across the region tonight and towards morning. Otherwise, widespread VFR conditions will prevail despite BKN to OVC skies across the region through this TAF period. /33/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1149 PM CST Sun Nov 8 2026

Spotter activation is not expected today or tonight. /24/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 70 50 73 52 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 69 43 73 47 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 71 38 72 43 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 70 44 72 49 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 69 39 73 43 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 71 51 73 55 / 10 0 0 10 GGG 72 48 74 51 / 10 0 0 0 LFK 70 51 72 49 / 10 10 10 10

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.