textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1134 AM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026
- Flood Watch is in effect through for much of the ArkLaTex until 7 AM Wednesday morning.
- Temperatures will climb into the mid 90s by late week into the weekend possibly prompting Heat Advisory headlines each day.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1119 AM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026
An upper-level disturbance to translate southeast from the Texas Panhandle and western Oklahoma into the ArkLaTex early this evening prompting another round of showers and thunderstorms within the ongoing Flood Watch area. With soils becoming nearly saturated across the region from previous periodic rain events over the past week or two, the flash flood thresholds are becoming much lower, resulting in flash flooding concerns with lesser rainfall rates. Thus, the ongoing Flash Flood Watch has been extended to 7 AM Wednesday morning to account for upcoming overnight convection.
Conditions are forecast to improve areawide on Wednesday afternoon, signaling a pattern shift characterized by hotter and drier conditions as an upper-level ridge builds east across Texas.
Although there may still remain a chance for diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms across portions of southwest Arkansas and southeast Oklahoma on Thursday afternoon, precip chances will become mostly non-existent through the weekend. Afternoon high temperatures will climb into the mid 90s areawide with heat index values exceeding 100 degrees, possibly approaching Heat Advisory criteria. /05/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1241 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026
VFR conditions are expected to prevail for much of the evening with southwesterly winds under 10 kts. There still is significant model uncertainty for early tomorrow morning. The expectation is that a line of showers and thunderstorms will move southeastward into the region and weaken into showers around daybreak. But there are model solutions where this line falls apart before making it into the area, which makes this period difficult to forecast. This package leans toward the former solution in assuming that the storms can hold together. Areas that see thunderstorms are likely to see some relatively higher cigs compared to the norm, but will see worse visibilities and stronger winds. Assuming this scenario plays out, thunderstorms will weaken and leave behind some showers for the late morning hours before beginning to clear by the end of this period. /57/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 651 AM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026
Spotter activation may be needed this evening and overnight for the potential of heavy rain and flash flooding across the northern half of our Four State Region. /15/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 76 93 75 94 / 50 10 10 0 MLU 75 91 75 94 / 50 40 10 0 DEQ 71 88 72 90 / 70 40 30 0 TXK 74 92 75 94 / 60 40 20 0 ELD 72 88 72 93 / 70 40 20 0 TYR 77 94 74 94 / 20 0 0 0 GGG 77 93 74 93 / 50 10 0 0 LFK 76 95 73 95 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for ARZ050-051-059>061- 070>073.
LA...Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for LAZ001>006-010>014-019- 021.
OK...Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for OKZ077.
TX...Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for TXZ096-097-108>112- 124>126-138.
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