textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1145 AM CDT Sun May 10 2026

- Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, some strong to severe will be possible across most of the Four State Region Today through this evening.

- Cooler temperatures expected on Monday as a reinforcing surface high builds areawide.

- We begin to dry out late on Monday with a warming trend in the mid to late week timeframe.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1145 AM CDT Sun May 10 2026

A shortwave trough will move southeast out of New Mexico this afternoon, eventually pushing through the ArkLaTex late this evening. The upper-trough will phase with a surface boundary across central Texas this afternoon. A moist surface airmass along and east of the frontal boundary along with ample daytime heating will further aid in destabilizing the environment with lapse rates forecast to steepen areawide. Thunderstorms are forecast to develop along the front at the time of peak heating across Texas and begin shifting eastward toward the ArkLaTex through this evening. Models generally agree that a bowing convective complex could be pushing into east and northeast Texas late in the evening with severe weather possible. Hail and damaging winds will be the highest threats along with an isolated tornado threat. However, outflow boundaries resulting from ongoing convection across north Texas could stabilize the atmosphere enough across portions of northeast Texas, southeast Oklahoma and portions south Arkansas to mitigate a widespread organized severe weather risk prompting SPC to remove these areas from the Day 1 slight risk outlook.

Severe threat to wane overnight with lingering showers and isolated thunderstorms possible through mid-morning Monday as the upper-trough finally translates east across the region. Conditions to improve through Monday afternoon with upper-level northerly flow becoming established across the Southern Plains.

Cool surface high pressure expected to build areawide on Monday with afternoon high temperatures in the mid 70s. Overnight low temperatures Monday night are forecast to average in the 50s. Otherwise, upper-level ridge to build across the region allowing for a warming trend with high temperatures late in the workweek approaching 90 degrees in some areas. /05/

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 648 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026

Most sites are near or at VFR cigs at the beginning of this period before the next push of lower cigs moves in from the northwest with the next round of rain. There may be some embedded thunder with this line, but severe potential should be lower once night falls. The frontal passage driving these showers are likely to keep winds elevated apart from a few eastern sites, but low ceilings should keep fog development at bay. Expect brief worsening conditions in pockets of heavier rainfall. Showers are expected to move eastward as cigs lift late tomorrow morning and into the afternoon hours. /57/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1145 AM CDT Sun May 10 2026

Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible Today through at least this evening. Therefore, spotter activation will likely be needed during this timeframe.

13

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 65 75 58 82 / 70 50 0 0 MLU 65 78 58 82 / 70 40 0 0 DEQ 58 77 50 80 / 60 20 0 0 TXK 62 76 54 82 / 70 40 0 0 ELD 60 75 53 82 / 60 50 0 0 TYR 64 75 59 81 / 70 30 10 0 GGG 64 76 58 81 / 70 40 0 0 LFK 67 79 62 84 / 70 40 10 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.