textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1043 AM CST Sun Nov 8 2026
- Seasonal temperatures will stick around for another day before a short warming trend brings temperatures back into the mid to upper 70s by Wednesday.
- A dry but strong cold front will sweep through the region late Wednesday into Thursday morning, bringing temperatures back into the 60s and low 70s for the remainder of the period.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1043 AM CST Sun Nov 8 2026
Surface high pressure and westerly flow aloft will prevail over the next few days ahead of a cutoff low in northwest Mexico. This pattern will keep seasonal temperatures in the forecast for another day before a warming trend kicks off. The slow moving low that we've been tracking continues to slowly shift to the northeast during this time and bring rain to much of south central Texas. Recent models still have weakening CVA as the low reintegrates with the dominant flow further east later this week, which is likely why rain chances for the Ark-La-Tx are more limited. This morning's KSHV sounding depicted a PWAT around our 75th percentile for this time of year, so there is no limit on moisture. That being said, there is still an area of low pressure present, which brings a chance that an area of lift could take advantage of the available moisture and form some stray rain showers on Monday and Tuesday.
Come Wednesday afternoon, temperatures should be back in the mid to upper 70s before another strong cold front moves through beginning Wednesday evening/night. The timing of the front is well agreed upon between the Euro and GFS right now, pushing through the bulk of the region by daybreak Thursday morning. Temperatures behind the front should drop into the low to mid 70s Thursday afternoon, with the accompanying air mass dropping temperatures further for Friday and beyond. There are some long-range models suggesting temperatures in the mid 30s for Saturday morning east of I-49. Estimations this far out are subject to change but it could be a sign to look out for our first frost of the season.
57
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 521 PM CST Sun Nov 8 2026
For the 09/00z TAF update...VFR conditions are expected to continue to prevail throughout this TAF period. While BKN high clouds prevail, most terminals will see OVC conditions settle in towards the end of the period. Winds will be light and mostly variable throughout this period. /33/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1235 AM CST Sun Nov 8 2026
Spotter activation is not expected through tonight. /24/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 50 73 52 76 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 43 73 46 78 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 39 73 45 76 / 0 0 0 10 TXK 44 72 49 75 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 40 74 44 78 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 51 73 55 76 / 0 0 10 0 GGG 48 74 51 77 / 0 0 10 0 LFK 51 73 50 79 / 10 10 10 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.
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