textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1200 AM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026

- Unseasonably warm temperatures in the 90s will return to the Ark-La-Tx through the latter half of this week.

- Rain chances from Hurricane Isaias are dropping as recent forecasts continue to place landfall further east on the Gulf Coast.

- High pressure is expected to return early next week, keeping things warm and dry through at least the middle of next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1200 AM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026

Northeasterly flow continues to hang over the Ark-La-Tx to start this forecast period, with little synoptic points of interest to cover. Skies should stay mostly clear with temperatures reaching back into the low 90s for Thursday and Friday afternoon.

In the tropics, recently upgraded Hurricane Isaias is continuing to move northeast through the Gulf. The latest NHC advisory has Isaias further intensifying before making landfall somewhere along the Mobile Bay to the Florida Panhandle late Friday night. NHC continues to favor models depicting an eastern track such as the Google DeepMind. Other models like the GFS and Euro are favoring a track further westward, which would result in rain from this system reaching the Ark-La-Tx. To better align with the NHC track forecast and updated WPC QPF, I've pulled back PoPs for many areas east of I- 49 for Friday night through Saturday afternoon. There is still plenty of time for uncertainty in Isaias's track, but the chance of meaningful rainfall over the region seems to be dwindling as we approach landfall.

Temperatures could be briefly knocked back into the upper 70s and 80s by Isaias on Saturday before high pressure sets back in over the Gulf States. Expect temperatures to climb back into the 90s by early next week with little rain on the horizon to bring relief.

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AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1224 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026

For the 08/18z TAF update...VFR conditions are expected to prevail throughout this TAF period. Satellite imagery is showing clear skies across the region this afternoon and this should continue into the evening hours. Models were hinting at some patchy fog possible for KLFK or KELD overnight, but I didn't have enough confidence to add it at this time. Light winds throughout today, with some stronger winds possible on Friday. /33/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1200 AM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 64 93 65 86 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 61 92 65 79 / 0 0 20 40 DEQ 61 93 61 89 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 61 93 62 86 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 59 93 61 82 / 0 0 0 20 TYR 64 92 64 89 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 61 92 61 88 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 64 91 64 88 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.