textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1057 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
- Temperatures will remain slightly above normal today with a cold front bringing near to slightly below normal readings for this weekend and to start next week.
- Any chances for rainfall will remain very low across the region through early in the week and better chances later in the week. Our above normal temperatures return for the afternoons on Monday and then lows by mid to late week before cooling again.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1057 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
Milder evening for some with coolest readings in the mid 50s east of I-49 and a little variable to E/SE wind with low to mid 60s elsewhere, ahead of our approaching cold front. Gusty NW winds in Dallas will keep a weakness of lower pressure or triple point of sorts riding eastward with N/NE winds pouring across Oklahoma. The colder air timing will be arriving for us during heating, so one more warm day for many sites in the mid to upper 70s awaits, but with a fresh breeze.
As the high pressure builds down later today and especially tonight, we will see dew points lower with a backdoor push. The elongated 1027mb surface high is forcing a deep cyclone across the Great Lakes tonight and today. This high pressure will build down into the lower MS River Valley during Saturday as NE winds continue to dry the air with a 1024mb core of Missouri.
Meanwhile, a weakening upper low on approach lies over the northern Sea of Cortez at 568dam. This feature is essentially cut off and riding eastward under a broad ridge over the plains on the back side of this air mass. So we will keep an eye on it, but slow progression and filling to 575dam by Sunday will push some rainfall over southern Texas with a push toward the coastal bend.
Eventually the core upper low at 577dam over NE TX looks dry on the GFS, but the ECMWF is now showing a little QPF signal for the lower Red River Valley with lighter amounts down across Toledo Bend Country on Tuesday. This feature will ease farther eastward during Veteran's Day. Then looking ahead, late next week will see another 1031mb air mass over the southern Canada pouring down the MS River Valley to bring a little more widespread rainfall for us overnight and into Thursday, clearing out on Friday. /24/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1057 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
For the 06/06Z TAF period, VFR conditions prevail with increasing cirrus and some expanding cu/altocu cigs between 6-12Kft as well. This is in association with a mid-level disturbance and decaying convection just to the NW of our airspace. Expect these clouds to linger through much of the period before the disturbance lifts NE away from the region later on Friday. Otherwise, calm to light and variable winds will prevail through late morning before increasing between 5-10 kts from the NE later in the period. /19/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1057 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
Spotter activation is not expected tonight or through Friday. /24/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 78 54 75 52 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 78 48 76 46 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 77 50 75 42 / 0 10 0 0 TXK 78 52 73 46 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 79 45 75 41 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 80 57 76 54 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 79 53 77 50 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 80 53 81 56 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.
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