textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1246 AM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026

- Showers will gradually taper off through the daytime on Sunday, with a 40% to 60% chance of greater than 0.25 inch (mostly south of I-20) by Monday.

- Drier air will warm up/cool down more efficiently as it returns through most of the rest of the week with some temperature maximums/minimums in the lower 90s/lower 60s respectively.

- Rain chances return gradually by next weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1246 AM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026

Post-frontal isentropic upglide remains as the primary weather influence of the day with some troughing that moves coastward overnight. Drier air will filter in by Sunday night into Monday. This drier air will boost efficient heating/cooling (dew points in the 50s) for a warming trend through Thursday with above average temperature maximums in the lower 90s. A preview of regular Fall weather still continues at night with temperature minimums in the lower 60s/upper 50s by the middle of the week. Remaining WPC QPF values range at 0.25-0.75 inches in an increasing gradient south of I-20 as a result of this week's expected activity. Long-range guidance suggests a return of wet weather with increasing convective potential thanks to a developing trough in northwesterly flow that exits the Intermountain West and eventually ejects northeast once again. /16/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1115 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

Beginning the 06z TAF period with a myriad of ceilings ranging IFR to VFR and just about everything in between along with spotty showers near and northwest of the I-30 Corridor. As we go through the night, feel like anything above IFR ceiling wise will become IFR and we should see an uptick in convection, especially near and to the southeast of the I-30 Corridor which will encompass most, if not all of our terminal locations. Have trended ceilings, and weather this way pre-sunrise and continued this through mid to late morning for the I-20 terminals and by afternoon at the LFK terminal. Should see ceilings quickly improve once we lose the precipitation from northwest to southeast with drier air quickly infiltrating our region but that improvement in ceilings should begin by late morning/early afternoon at the TXK/ELD terminals, and more likely afternoon for the TYR/GGG/SHV and MLU terminals with LFK not improving to VFR conditions until late afternoon/early evening on Sunday. Look for mostly northeast winds near 10kts with an occasional higher gust at times overnight and through the daytime hours on Sunday.

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SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 225 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

Spotter activation should not be needed through tonight. /15/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 86 66 85 63 / 40 10 0 0 MLU 87 66 86 63 / 40 10 0 0 DEQ 87 58 84 54 / 10 0 0 0 TXK 84 61 82 57 / 10 0 0 0 ELD 86 61 85 57 / 20 10 0 0 TYR 83 66 83 63 / 20 10 0 0 GGG 83 64 84 61 / 30 10 0 0 LFK 83 68 86 66 / 50 10 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.