textproduct: Shreveport

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 100 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

- Cooler and drier conditions will continue to spill southeast into the region overnight behind a cold frontal passage, with any lingering light rain/drizzle ending by daybreak.

- Beautiful conditions with slightly below normal temperatures and comfortable RH's are expected for your Easter Sunday, which will persist into Monday.

- Another prolonged period of dryness is expected to set up for much of this coming work week, before the potential for scattered showers and storms return by late week into next weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 100 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

The early morning sfc analysis indicates that our advertised cold front has slipped S into the NW Gulf, Acadiana, and into the FLA Parishes of SE LA. Despite this, the latest radar imagery and sfc obs continue to indicate areas of -RA/+DZ that still lingers post-frontal across portions of Deep E TX into WCntrl and NCntrl LA, SE of a line from OCH, to 3F3, RSN to near MLU as of 0530Z, mainly associated with the attendant H850-700 trough and the deeper lyr of colder/drier air well behind the front that is providing enough shallow ascent for this lingering light precip. The short term progs depict that this shallow lyr of forcing will be exiting our Cntrl LA Parishes by daybreak Sunday, and thus have adjusted slight chance to low chance pops through the overnight hours to account for this.

Low cigs will slowly diminish from NW to SE through and after daybreak, although the lingering cu may take a little longer to clear the SE zones around mid morning, with much cooler and drier conditions continuing to spill S and deepen through the day behind the front and ahead of strong sfc ridging that will build SE into the Ozarks to the Gulf Coast later this afternoon. Despite an increase in cirrus currently observed on the early morning satellite spreading E beneath the large upper trough ejecting NE through SE Ontario into the MS Valley, cooler and more comfortable conditions with lower RH's are expected for your Easter Sunday, with breezy NE winds today decoupling after sunset with the loss of mixing and the approach of the sfc ridging from the N. Slightly below normal temps are expected, with some radiational cooling expected tonight as the cirrus shield tries to thin late especially across the Nrn half of the region. Near to below normal temps will return Monday although insolation should begin to increase with the diminishing cirrus, with better radiational cooling expected Monday night resulting in even cooler temps farther S across E TX/N LA than what is expected Monday morning. Secondary sfc ridging remains progged to backdoor SW into the area late Monday night/Tuesday morning, thus maintaining the dry air mass in place through midweek. Bndry lyr winds are expected to gradually veer more SE Wednesday through the remainder of the work week, with low level moisture beginning to slowly increase by late week.

Stronger insolation and low level moisture advection will result in a more discernible warming trend for the latter half of the work week as well, with the approach of a broad shortwave trough over the Srn Plains Tuesday night and lingering over E TX/LA Wednesday and Thursday potentially contributing to isolated shower development over Cntrl and S LA each afternoon. The ensembles suggest that the flow will eventually transition to SW over the Srn Plains and Lower MS Valley by late week, which should contribute to isolated to scattered convection over more of the region. However, considerable model variability continues in regards to the timing of the ejection of perturbations in this flow regime, but in any case, another long duration of dry conditions will again set up over the area for much of this coming week, thus inhibiting any additional improvement to the ongoing drought conditions in place.

15

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 612 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

VFR conditions to prevail across area terminals as high pressure both at the surface and aloft build across the region. North winds around 10 knots at the start of the period to become 10 to 15 knots with higher gusts later this morning, diminishing to 5 knots or less after 06/00Z. /05/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 100 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight. /15/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 70 48 73 46 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 70 48 72 45 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 69 39 72 41 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 69 44 73 46 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 69 42 71 42 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 69 46 73 47 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 69 46 73 45 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 70 47 74 45 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.


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