textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 253 PM CDT Thu Sep 3 2026
- Notable impacts from the remnants of Tropical Depression Edouard will end by Friday across the Four State Region.
- Reduced cloud and rain coverage will introduce more above normal summer heat through the weekend into early next week (upper 90s likely).
- Daily chances of showers and thunderstorms will return (mainly south of I-20) later this weekend into most of next week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 253 PM CDT Thu Sep 3 2026
As of 2 PM CDT, the remnants of Tropical Depression Edouard are centered just south of the Dallas/Fort Worth metroplex with attendant rain bands extending further into the Texas Hill Country. As ridging rebuilds westward from the Mid-South to across the Great Plains over the weekend, it will act to shove the circulation further south into Texas/Mexico and away from northeast Texas. This ridge position to our north sets up more zonal This ushers in a gradual return to above normal temperatures (maximums in the upper 90s/minimums in the low-to-mid 70s). With dew points remaining in the low 70s through the weekend, the potential for heat hazard product issuance also remains elevated (especially along and north of the I-30 corridor into south Arkansas).
Medium-range guidance suggests a window of Sunday through Tuesday for our greatest chances (25 to 50 percent) of temperatures reaching or exceeding 100 degrees, especially north of the I-20 corridor where air remains more subsident. Long-range guidance suggests somewhat westerly zonal flow aloft and along the base of ridging that sets up a somewhat uneventful synoptic pattern. That said, the convection that does develop will most likely be in the form of a diurnal pattern with the best chance of rain south of the I-20 corridor under less inhibition from ridging to the north. WPC QPF values still suggest only an additional 0.10-0.25 inches of rain south of I-20 outside of precipitation from T.D. Edouard, making it the last remaining predominant chance of rain across the Four State Region. /16/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 628 PM CDT Thu Sep 3 2026
For the 04/00Z TAFs, some remaining scattered convection moving west may impact KMLU and KELD in the coming hours, but is expected to diminish after sunset. Conditions should remain mostly dry for the remainder of the night and into the morning. Guidance hints at new storms across our southern airspace tomorrow afternoon, but confidence is not yet high enough to prevail impacts. CIGs look to drop to MVFR levels by daybreak, recovering gradually through the morning, with patchy BR/FG development possible at sheltered terminals. Winds will become mostly calm overnight before assuming and easterly to southeasterly orientation onto the day tomorrow at maximum sustained speeds of 5 to 10 kts.
/26/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1235 AM CDT Thu Sep 3 2026
While widespread spotter activation is not needed, some assistance might be needed today across portions of East Central Texas as the remnants of Edouard continue to move through this area.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 75 95 76 95 / 10 10 10 40 MLU 75 96 74 95 / 0 20 20 40 DEQ 71 96 71 98 / 0 0 0 10 TXK 74 96 75 97 / 0 0 0 10 ELD 73 97 73 97 / 0 10 10 20 TYR 73 93 74 95 / 0 0 0 20 GGG 73 96 73 96 / 0 10 10 40 LFK 73 95 73 94 / 0 20 20 70
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...Flood Watch until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ136-149-150-152- 165-166.
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