textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1231 AM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

- Scattered showers will continue for southern and eastern zones overnight and through Saturday afternoon.

- Temperatures will cool down sharply by Sunday morning, with near or below freezing morning lows and highs in the 50s through Monday, while quiet conditions prevail.

- Return of 70s and 80s by the middle of the week, with scattered showers possible east Thursday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1231 AM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

Upper level flow continues to sweep moisture northeast across the ArkLaTex, on the northern side of a frontal boundary draped across our southern zones. Scattered areas of showers have been firing late this evening between I-20 and I-30, largely in southwest Arkansas and extreme northern Louisiana. As this forcing mechanism remains through tomorrow, associated rain chances continue in a scattered nature across southern and eastern zones of the ArkLaTex, from Toledo Bend up towards Monroe. The showers which do manage to develop are expected to clear out of the region by sunset. Lows tonight will range from the middle 40s north to middle 50s south, with Saturday's highs to follow in the middle 60s north to middle 70s south.

An upper level trough pushing east from the Great Plains to the Midwest will amplify and dig south overnight into Sunday morning, at last sweeping our surface boundary out of the area, and ushering in a reinforcing wave of colder air, plunging low temperatures back to near freezing north and the middle 30s south by daybreak Sunday. Persistent northwest flow aloft will sustain cool air advection to close out the weekend and usher in next week, keeping afternoon highs in the 50s to lower 60s Sunday and Monday, with morning lows near the freezing mark areawide through Tuesday.

As the middle of next week approaches, upper level ridging will build in and quickly introduce a warming trend, returning highs to the 60s and 70s and lows to the 50s for the remainder of the week. Southerly surface flow will be accompanied by pseudo-zonal flow aloft, allowing for a chance of scattered showers across eastern zones of the ArkLaTex late Wednesday through Friday.

/26/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 542 AM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

For the 21/12Z TAF period, an advancing shortwave disturbance will help to reinforce a stalled front later today, thereby ushering it southeast toward the coast by this evening. In the meantime, MVFR and IFR cigs will continue to plague area terminals through around midday before returning to VFR this afternoon and eventually going SKC this evening. As high pressure builds in behind the front this afternoon, a tight pressure gradient will result in increasing N/NW winds from 10-15 kts with higher gusts averaging between 20-25 kts this afternoon and early evening at most terminals except for KELD where they will likely be a bit lower. Otherwise, any brief shower activity should be isolated today so have only included VCSH over mainly our SE terminals where convection has slightly higher odds of developing.

/19/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 622 AM CST Fri Feb 20 2026

Spotter activation is not expected through this weekend.

/19/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 70 39 59 33 / 20 0 0 0 MLU 67 38 57 32 / 20 0 0 0 DEQ 64 30 54 25 / 10 0 0 0 TXK 67 36 57 31 / 10 0 0 0 ELD 61 34 56 28 / 10 0 0 0 TYR 68 37 59 33 / 10 0 0 0 GGG 70 37 59 32 / 10 0 0 0 LFK 73 40 61 34 / 20 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.