textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1207 AM CDT Tue May 26 2026

- A series of upper level troughs and disturbances will move across the region through next weekend, keeping daily rain chances in the forecast.

- The daily rain chances could result in an elevated flood risk, especially on and after Wednesday, as rain chances increase.

- Although an organized severe weather isn't expected through next weekend, a random strong to isolated severe thunderstorm cannot be ruled out.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1207 AM CDT Tue May 26 2026

A closed upper level trough has settled across East Texas. This resulted in isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms across the region yesterday, with a few showers lingering at this hour, mainly across our Deep East Texas and adjacent Central Louisiana zones. This lingering precipitation should diminish over the next hour or two, with some patchy fog possible through daybreak. For Today/Tuesday, the aforementioned closed trough will shift northward out of East Texas into Eastern Oklahoma/Western Arkansas. This will put the Four State Region in more of a southwest flow aloft pattern. A series of weak disturbances will move along the flow, bringing more rain chances to the area. Progs suggest that most of the rain will occur during the afternoon with the aid of daytime heating, before diminishing in coverage after sunset. Another hot and humid day will be on tap, especially in areas that avoid rainfall, with highs climbing into the upper 80s to possibly the lower 90s. By Tuesday night, another potent upper trough will move across Western Texas. Models are in good agreement that large scale forcing will produce a MCS, that will push eastward into our forecast zones by Wednesday morning. There is some hint that the MCS could diminish as it moves across East Texas, but additional convection is forecasted to regenerate along the upper trough as it continues to shift across the region during the afternoon and evening hours. Some of this convection could continue into the predawn hours on Thursday. A strong to severe thunderstorm can't be ruled out, but the greatest risk will be flash flooding. The Weather Prediction Center has highlighted this with a Slight Risk for Excessive Rainfall on Wednesday. A Flood Watch could be needed across the region during this period.

Widespread rain chances will remain in the forecast through the remainder of the work week into next weekend, and possibly into early next week, as additional upper-level troughs and disturbances move into the region. The threat for organize severe weather should remain low during this period, although an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm can't be ruled. However, an elevated flood risk will likely remain over the Four State Region. /20/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 636 AM CDT Tue May 26 2026

For the 26/12 TAF update, another round of patchy MVFR/IFR vis/cigs is affecting KMLU/KELD/KTXK and likely will until after 26/15 before VFR improvements return through most of the rest of the period. Scattered VCTS/-TSRA (and a chance of MVFR cigs) is likely across the airspace after 26/18Z with light southeasterly surface winds. A round of organized TSRA could reach KTYR/KLFK by 26/09Z through the end of the period. /16/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1207 AM CDT Tue May 26 2026

While an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm cannot be ruled out through Wednesday, widespread severe weather is not expected. Therefore, spotter activation is not expected over the next 24 hours. However, an increasing flood threat could develop Wednesday into Wednesday Night across our region. /20/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 87 71 82 70 / 20 20 70 60 MLU 88 70 85 70 / 40 20 70 60 DEQ 87 66 81 66 / 30 20 70 60 TXK 89 69 83 68 / 30 20 70 60 ELD 87 67 83 67 / 30 20 70 60 TYR 90 70 80 69 / 20 50 70 50 GGG 90 70 81 69 / 20 30 70 50 LFK 90 71 81 69 / 20 40 70 50

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.