textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 143 PM CDT Sun Mar 29 2026

- Temperatures will remain well above normal throughout the upcoming week.

- An upper-level pattern shift will bring a return of more widespread precipitation chances to the area this week.

- Some strong storms may be possible Wednesday night into Thursday and on Saturday night into Sunday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1218 AM CDT Mon Mar 30 2026

Surface ridge across the northern Gulf of America coast to maintain southerly flow areawide today. Winds to increase to around 10 mph across most locations with afternoon high temperatures forecast to climb into the mid 80s. An upper-level trough to become established across Texas on Monday and linger through Tuesday allowing for upper- level southwest flow to provide increased instability across the ArkLaTex resulting in periods of mostly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms across mainly portion of north Louisiana each day.

A progressive pattern is expected to take shape from midweek onward, characterized by a series of upper-level troughs forecast to swing across the region both on Wednesday night into Thursday and again on Saturday night into Sunday. Each of these disturbances will be accompanied by a surface frontal boundary and sufficient deep-layer moisture to generate widespread rainfall across the region during both weather events.

On Wednesday night, a surface low will deepen along an approaching surface boundary across the Red-River Valley of north Texas. Low- level moisture advection to increase in the warm sector ahead of the low. The combination of increasing low-level instability and height falls aloft with the approaching upper-trough will lead to increased buoyancy across the ArkLaTex with thunderstorms possible late Tuesday afternoon. Despite several parameters for severe thunderstorms seeming to fall into place, displacement of the front from the main upper-trough combined with misaligned forcing limits confidence in an organized severe weather threat.

On Friday night, a surface low across the Texas panhandle is forecast to race northeast along a frontal boundary that will be slowly inching eastward toward the ArkLaTex. By Saturday night into Sunday, convection is forecast to increase along the front across the region. Despite a somewhat elevated heavy rainfall threat along the front, the threat for severe weather seems to be limited by the fact that most of the necessary forcing will have shifted into the Great Lakes Region leaving the ArkLaTex in a generally southwest flow regime oriented along the front. Synoptic pattern to become somewhat stagnant allowing for increased rain chances to persist through Sunday night. /05/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 531 AM CDT Mon Mar 30 2026

For the 12z TAF period, MVFR ceilings were noted across portions of NE TX as well as most of N LA to start the period. Look for this cloud cover to continue expanding northward but by mid to late morning, this cloud cover should continue lifting to low VFR heights or scatter out altogether with VFR conditions returning to all terminals. That trend will continue through the evening hours tonight before we see a return to MVFR ceilings after midnight across most terminal locations. Look for south winds sustained near 10kts with higher gusts, especially across our NE TX terminals.

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SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1214 AM CDT Mon Mar 30 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 85 62 86 66 / 0 0 10 0 MLU 85 64 87 65 / 10 0 20 0 DEQ 83 57 83 60 / 0 0 0 10 TXK 85 62 86 66 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 84 59 86 62 / 0 0 10 0 TYR 85 63 86 67 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 85 62 86 65 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 84 63 86 66 / 0 0 10 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.