textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1048 PM CDT Fri Mar 20 2026

- Near-record warmth will be possible across the region for both Saturday and Sunday.

- We will still be watching a weak cold front that will backdoor its way into our region from the northeast Sunday Night into Monday that may cause a slight dip in temperatures for Monday and Tuesday.

- No precipitation is forecast with this frontal boundary and thus, our region will continue to see dry conditions into much of the upcoming work week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1048 PM CDT Fri Mar 20 2026

Recent satellite imagery depicts mostly clear skies across the Ark-La-Tx this evening, which should largely continue through the night. Low-level moisture return is likely to bring low cloud cover and some patchy fog for areas south of the I-20 corridor, as was the case last night. These clouds are expected to begin to mix out around daybreak Saturday, leaving mostly clear skies for the afternoon. Afternoon highs are likely to climb into the mid to upper 80s and possibly break some more records. Winds will largely be southwesterly around 10 mph with gusts in excess of 20 mph possible.

The high pressure system in the Desert Southwest that is maintaining northwest flow aloft will begin to weaken on Sunday, allowing for another day of near-record temperatures before zonal flow returns. A perturbation in the flow will manifest in a weak cold frontal boundary that will move southward into our northern zones as early as Sunday night. Models remain divided on how far south the front will move, with some medium-ranged models being more optimistic about cooler temperatures on Monday afternoon than the GFS. Regardless of the extent of the cooler temperatures, another warming trend is set to begin on Tuesday with the return of southerly surface flow.

The high pressure over the Desert Southwest is forecast to restrengthen by midweek and bring northwest flow back to the Four State Region. Temperatures will be quick to rebound into the 80 and continue to climb through the end of the period, especially as this high propagates eastward into parts of West Texas Thursday. The NBM is trying to bring a few rainshowers back to our northern zones on Friday, which would be a welcome sight after prolonged dry conditions.

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AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 133 AM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026

For the 21/06Z TAF update, a round of MVFR low cigs are expected to develop across most of the airspace from 21/12Z-15Z. Otherwise VFR vis/cigs are expected through the period with southerly winds at 10-15 kts waning after 22/00Z. /16/

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 100 PM CDT Fri Mar 20 2026

There will continue to be an elevated wildfire threat across most of the Four State Region through the upcoming weekend. This is due in part to ongoing drought conditions which has resulted in very dry fuels, the warming trend temperature wise and sustained south to southwest winds near 10 mph with gusts near 20 mph. These conditions and thus, the elevated wildfire threat will become maximized during the late morning and especially afternoon hours during peak heating. Therefore, the current Fire Danger Statement in place across the Four State Region Today will be extended into Saturday.

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SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 100 PM CDT Fri Mar 20 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time but the wildfire threat will continue to increase across the entire Four State Region due to the ongoing drought conditions. Please report any wildfire activity to your local fire department and other local officials.

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PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 87 62 88 62 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 87 61 87 60 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 87 58 89 57 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 89 64 90 62 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 86 61 88 59 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 89 63 89 61 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 88 62 88 59 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 85 60 86 59 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.