textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1123 PM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026

- Fire danger will continue to affect the Ark-La-Tx during the day on Saturday. North Central Louisiana parishes will be included in a Red Flag Warning for continued very low humidity and elevated winds.

- Cooler than average temperatures this weekend will be followed by a steady warming trend into next week, with dry weather throughout.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1123 PM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026

Temperatures and dew points will remain low through the day on Saturday after today's cold frontal passage. With temperatures only climbing into the upper 60s and low 70s, RH's will be bottoming out in the 25 to 35 percent range during the afternoon. The dry airmass will continue to work with the elevated northeasterly winds to keep fire danger the primary concern for this weekend. Ongoing drought has resulted in very dry fuels that will easily catch fire and spread. Fire danger should diminish along with the winds beginning on Sunday but dry conditions are expected to continue into next week.

Broad upper-level ridging will begin to redevelop over the Gulf Coast states Sunday and amplify through the week, leading to another warming trend. High temperatures in the low to mid 70s Sunday will climb back into the mid to upper 80s by Thursday afternoon. Widespread subsidence and the dry airmass will work to keep any shower development at bay and work to worsen drought conditions through the end of the forecast period.

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AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 542 AM CDT Sat Oct 17 2026

For the 17/12z TAFs...VFR and breezy conditions will continue at most terminals for much of this TAF cycle, but winds should stay below Wind Advisory criteria. However, gusts from the north between 20 and 25 kts will be possible before winds start to diminish during the late afternoon into the evening hours. I did keep the mention of LLWS at KMLU. By this evening, surface high pressure will settle across the region yielding SKC skies and light winds. /20/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1123 PM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026

Spotter activation may be needed through the day Saturday in the event of wildfire development.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 70 47 72 48 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 70 46 73 46 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 71 41 72 42 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 69 44 71 44 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 70 42 73 42 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 69 46 70 48 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 69 45 71 46 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 71 49 73 48 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...Red Flag Warning from 9 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening for LAZ005-006-013-014-018>022.

OK...None. TX...None.