textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 238 PM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026

- Rain chances will remain near zero percent through the next 7 days.

- An extended period of dry conditions will boost and maintain already elevated wildfire development risks.

- Temperatures will remain near or slightly above normal for this time of the year.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 238 PM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026

Surface ridging remains in place to start the workweek, and forecast trends are for ridging to remain as the predominant weather influence across the Four State Region. This synoptic setup will suppress rain chances throughout the 7-day forecast period (near 0% all week) and keep temperature maximums/minimums near or just above normal (maximums/minimums in the lower 80s/lower 50s, respectively). Combined with dry antecedent soils and an expansion of severe to extreme drought conditions being maintained, fire weather will continue to be a top forecast concern/impact, especially for areas north of I-20. Long-range guidance suggests that surface ridging will very gradually evolve in shape and speed, developing an axis across the Mississippi River Valley by the end of the week. In the process, the dry airmass will reinforce light easterly winds or calm winds through the week (a welcome reprieve from more critical fire weather conditions). Extended outlooks continue to paint a dry outlook for the rest of October with signals for ridging and dry weather to persist later into next week. /16/

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1220 PM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026

Only high thin clouds are all that we will have to contend with through the TAF period. Winds are either light southeasterly to near variable at times today, becoming near calm tonight and light east to east northeast after sunrise with speeds generally under 10kts.

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SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1130 PM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026

Spotter activation may be needed through the upcoming week in the event of wildfire development.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 52 79 53 82 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 49 79 49 84 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 46 81 48 84 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 49 79 50 83 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 46 80 47 84 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 53 79 53 81 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 49 78 51 81 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 52 80 53 83 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.