textproduct: Shreveport

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1254 PM CDT Fri Apr 3 2026

- Showers and thunderstorms will increase after midnight northwest of the I-30 corridor, become more widespread Saturday while providing beneficial rainfall as they spread across the remainder of the region with the passage of a cold front.

- Cooler and drier conditions will spill southeast in wake of the cold front Saturday night in time for Easter Sunday and to start the new work week.

- Springtime temperatures should continue, albeit gradually rise, to reach near 80s by the end of next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1254 PM CDT Fri Apr 3 2026

An upper-level low pressure system is currently seated over the Northern Rockies, and expected to propagate eastward into the Great Lakes region over the next day or so. A cold front will accompany this system and sweep through the Ark-La-Tx beginning overnight tonight. Scattered showers and thunderstorms from this afternoon are expected to still be ongoing before the the line enters southwest OK around or after midnight, which will bring heavier rainfall and potentially severe weather.

Come daybreak on Saturday, the cold front is expected to be stretched across northeast TX through southwest AR. The showers along this line are likely to restrengthen as they enter a more favorable airmass combined with the return of daytime heating. The main severe hazards with these storms will be large hail and damaging winds, but a tornado or two could also be possible as the line moves through Deep East TX and north central LA. The front and the associated rain look to be fairly slow moving through the day on Saturday, not fully exiting our southeastern zones until mid SUnday morning. WPC is remaining optimistic with the rain from this system, as their recent D1-2 QPF is generally between 1-2 inches for much of the region. This rain is very needed with the recent dry conditions, but it will take more steady rainfall to make a true dent in the region's drought.

A more zonal upper-level pattern will be in place over the region once the front passes through. With the frontal passage and the rainfall, temperatures are expected to hover around 70 across the region Sunday afternoon. The upper-level flow should work to keep things dry while northeasterly sfc flow will help keep temperatures from immediately jumping back into the upper 80s as has been common recently. The NBM still has a slow warming trend occurring through late next week, but Thursday afternoon temperatures are only expected to be around 80.

Long-range guidance is suggesting another round of rain could be on the horizon with some disturbances in the upper-level flow late Thursday and into the day Friday. This will be something to watch for both more rain and potentially some severe weather as we get further into Spring.

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AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1245 PM CDT Fri Apr 3 2026

For the 03/18Z TAFs, MVFR CIGs continue to prevail while showing signs of improving to broken lower VFR decks through the early afternoon hours. Meanwhile, increased scattered shower activity is developing across southern ArkLaTex airspace, trending northward in the coming hours, reflected by VCSH and VCTS at impacted terminals. These showers and storms will dissipate after sunset, with OVC high clouds persisting through the night and lowering by daybreak. An organized line of showers and potentially strong thunderstorms looks to arrive in our northwestern airspace by 04/12Z, with impacts spreading south and east through tomorrow morning. South winds will continue for the majority of this forecast period at maximum sustained speeds of 10 to 15 kts with gusts of up to 25 kts possible and locally higher gusts in the vicinity of storms. By midday tomorrow, winds will pivot to northerly with the passage of the cold front.

/26/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 101 AM CDT Fri Apr 3 2026

Spotter activation should not be needed today, but may be needed late tonight over Southeast Oklahoma, portions of extreme Northeast Texas and Southwest Arkansas. /15/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 68 75 52 70 / 30 100 40 10 MLU 67 80 54 69 / 20 100 60 10 DEQ 58 65 43 70 / 80 100 10 0 TXK 68 69 49 71 / 60 100 20 0 ELD 66 76 49 69 / 30 100 40 0 TYR 67 73 50 70 / 50 100 20 0 GGG 67 73 50 70 / 40 100 30 0 LFK 68 79 56 70 / 20 100 50 20

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.


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