textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1133 PM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

- Dry conditions will persist across the region through the weekend, next chances arrive by the middle of next week.

- Above normal temperatures are expected to continue across the region well into next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1133 PM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

Northwest flow aloft remains in place across our region, which will set up one more chilly night before "spring" arrives on Friday. High pressure is currently building across far western Texas, which will quickly move into our region by later this morning. As a result, temperatures will quickly climb into the mid to upper 70s across the region today, and to be honest, would not be surprised if we see some 80s sprinkled throughout for some areas. Keep in mind, these temperatures are near 20 degrees above seasonable averages. A weak cold front will move through the region Friday night into Saturday that will keep us cooler on Saturday than Friday, but still slightly above seasonable normals. Temperatures will once again climb into the lower to mid 70s on Sunday and highs look to follow suit into the middle of next week.

Main thing to talk about for next week will be for the probabilities of rain chances returning to the area by the middle of the week. An area of low pressure currently sitting off the southern California coastline will slowly meander southward into Baja California by Sunday night. On Monday, this feature will begin to shift to the northeast, reaching western Texas by early Tuesday morning. Models are in some better agreement about the increase in rain chances by Tuesday morning, becoming more widespread by Tuesday afternoon/evening and then some residual moisture into Wednesday. I would like to see more consistency in the models for this residual moisture than I do right now before really committing to it, but it does look like the rain chances for Tuesday/Wednesday are looking better. Weak ridging then builds in and then our eyes will turn to another system worth watching towards next weekend. And while it is worth watching right now, there are still many uncertainties to timing and location. /33/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 556 AM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

For the ArkLaTex terminals, this is an SKC cycle and a tale of two areas of high pressure, the current is slipping offshore into the W Gulf with a light SW/W wind early. Then the gradient will tighten a bit with heating and some gusts 14-19kT as fresh high pressure prepares to arrive down the MS River Valley, speeds will slack at sundown with light N winds in the evening that will be shifting to NE and picking up again during the overnight to 5-15KT. /24/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1133 PM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 79 44 64 43 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 76 39 58 37 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 77 36 60 37 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 78 41 62 42 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 76 37 58 36 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 79 45 68 47 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 79 43 67 44 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 77 46 69 44 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.