textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 118 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

- Dry weather will continue, with morning lows in the 50s and 60s, and highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Incremental warming will continue through the end of the week.

- Rainfall chances return to the eastern ArkLaTex this weekend as a tropical disturbance approaches the Gulf coast. Flash Flooding cannot be ruled out across south central Arkansas and north central Louisiana.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 118 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

Aside from a few scattered clouds over central Louisiana extending into the southeastern ArkLaTex, sunny skies abound once again this afternoon. A few of these cumulus are attaining some vertical definition, such that a few very isolated showers cannot be completely ruled out. Otherwise, dry and warm conditions will prevail this afternoon and through the next several days, with the northwest flow of any substance away north of the Ozarks, ridging over the Rockies and Desert Southwest, and a trough attempting to define itself as it sweeps over the ArkLaTex through mid to late this week, maybe bringing a dry boundary with it but no impacts of any significance.

The remainder of this week will see an incremental warming trend continue, with more of our sites south and east taking aim at the lower 90s tomorrow afternoon and following suit through Friday. Lows overnight will continue to range from the middle 50s north to middle 60s south again tomorrow and Thursday, trending wholly into the 60s by Friday and largely holding steady through the end of this extended forecast period, while highs are moderated slightly by the rainfall potential this weekend and associated cloud cover.

As previously advertised, guidance brings showers back to our eastern zones this weekend as the tropical disturbance taking shape over the southwestern Gulf in the next few days approaches the U.S. Gulf Coast. If the system's sustained winds reach Tropical Storm strength (39+ mph) it will be given the name "Isaias." There still remains uncertainty regarding the storm's intensity and speed, variations in which may result in significant changes to impacts. As of this writing, rainfall may arrive near daybreak saturday for our southeasternmost zones, spreading north into the afternoon and keeping generally east of the I-49 corridor and receding to the east of our area by Sunday. Dry conditions will continue thereafter aside from a few afternoon showers across our southernmost zones Monday afternoon. The highest confidence in rain this weekend is across our easternmost zones, including El Dorado, Monroe and Jena. The WPC is including these areas in a broad Slight Risk for flash flooding potential as the tropical system moves inland this weekend. Potentially impacted zones are advised to monitor forecast developments in the days ahead.

/26/

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 601 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

VFR conditions to prevail across area terminals through the forecast period ending 08/00Z. Otherwise, light and variable winds tonight to become northeast around 5 knots on Wednesday. /05/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 118 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time. /26/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 64 89 65 90 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 65 92 63 93 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 54 88 57 90 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 58 88 60 90 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 59 91 59 92 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 62 87 65 89 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 61 88 63 90 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 66 91 66 91 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.