textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1224 PM CST Sat Feb 28 2026

- High temperatures in the 80s expected areawide through the weekend into next week across most locations.

- We will be looking at a pattern shift as we enter the upcoming workweek more conducive for showers and thunderstorms.

- Severe weather may be possible on Wednesday across the northwest half of the ArkLaTex with increased rain chances areawide continuing thereafter.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1224 PM CST Sat Feb 28 2026

Southeast winds around 10 mph prevailing areawide this morning as a surface high shifts east of the region. Warm air returning from the gulf will allow temperatures to climb into the into the lower 80s this afternoon. Moisture to gradually increase overnight into Sunday with dewpoint values in the low to mid 40s this morning to surge into the upper 50s by Sunday afternoon. Increased moisture will help in decreasing the wildfire threat as we move into Sunday. However, breezy conditions across east and northeast Texas could offset any gains from the slight increase in moisture with a minor wildfire threat remaining.

A weak frontal boundary across Oklahoma into Arkansas, combined with some mid-level forcing within a northwest flow regime aloft, could allow for a few showers overnight across these areas.

Upper-ridge will exit the region to the east on Monday setting the stage for a pattern shift that will persist through most of next week. Southwest flow aloft will help to generally destabilize the atmosphere ahead of an low approaching the Central Plains. At the surface, a frontal boundary will move east into northeast Texas and southeast Oklahoma through Wednesday. SPC has posted a 15% probability for severe thunderstorms across the northwest half of the ArkLaTex from Wednesday into Wednesday night with the passage of the upper-trough. Large hail, damaging winds and locally heavy rainfall will be possible.

Front to lift back north into Oklahoma and central Arkansas by late next week with another axis of heavy rainfall expected to set up along the boundary Friday into Friday night. Additional rounds of convection are expected along and north of the I-30 corridor through Friday night. /05/

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1224 PM CST Sat Feb 28 2026

VFR conditions will continue across much of the region through the 28/18Z TAF period. Some AC cigs will be possible this afternoon across portions of E TX/SE OK, but gradually spread E into SW AR/Wrn LA by mid and late afternoon, and persist through the evening and overnight hours through much of the morning Sunday before eventually thinning/scattering out by afternoon. A weak cu field may also develop over portions of Deep E TX into the Lower Toledo Bend Country of Wrn LA this afternoon as well, before diminishing around sunset. Areas of LIFR cigs and FG should again develop after 09Z Sunday over Cntrl and S LA, gradually spreading N into portions of Deep E TX/NCntrl LA through daybreak, which may affect mainly the LFK terminal. Confidence is high enough to insert mention of LIFR cigs here, but not crater vsbys in FG just yet but did reflect some vsby reduction before lifting by 15Z. Whatever low cigs can develop late tonight should lift/scatter out by mid to late morning as they try to lift N towards the I-20 terminals of E TX/NW LA, but did reflect mention of some stratus and stratocu here before a scattered cu field develops beneath the elevated cigs over much of the region by afternoon. SSE winds 5-10kts this afternoon will become light after 00Z, except around 5kts over E TX. /15/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1008 PM CST Fri Feb 27 2026

Spotter activation is still not expected through the upcoming weekend. However, please continue to relay information on wildfire activity across the Four-State area, to help our first responders protect life and property.

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PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 56 83 55 81 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 52 81 53 80 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 53 79 49 78 / 20 20 20 10 TXK 57 82 54 81 / 10 10 10 10 ELD 52 80 51 80 / 10 10 0 0 TYR 58 83 56 80 / 0 10 0 10 GGG 56 83 54 82 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 56 82 55 80 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.