textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 247 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026

- Wintry precipitation will make travel treacherous and possibly result in power outages across the ArkLaTex starting this evening for northern zones, spreading south and continuing through Saturday and much of Sunday.

- Confidence is high in snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches between I-20 and I-30, with 3 inches or more north of I-30, and ice accumulations of between half an inch and 1 inch across the southern two-thirds of the region, with the highest accumulations near and south of the I-20 corridor.

- Dangerously cold conditions expected early next week, with lows in the lower teens and single-digits Monday and Tuesday morning, posing threats to exposed pipes, outdoor pets, and vulnerable persons.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 247 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026

Confidence in primarily freezing rain impacts has prompted the upgrading of the southern two-thirds of the ArkLaTex to an Ice Storm Warning. Zones to the north remain in a Winter Storm Warning. The entire region has been upgraded to an Extreme Cold Warning for early next week.

Showers continue to move into the ArkLaTex from the west this afternoon, and conditions will deteriorate noticeably from the north over the next 6 to 12 hours as liquid precipitation begins to transition over to wintry mix. The first areas to see impacts will be in the elevated regions of McCurtain county and southwest Arkansas, potentially before sunset this evening. As the evening continues, freezing air will advance southward, with impacts reaching Texarkana as frozen precip pushes across and south of the I-30 corridor.

The further progression of tonight's southward advance of the frozen conditions has shown signs of slowing compared to recent runs, making incremental movement through the night, arriving at the I-20 corridor around daybreak tomorrow. Tyler, Longview, Shreveport/Bossier and Monroe should be prepared for frozen precip to be in progress or about to begin by sunrise. Once wintry conditions begin, travel will quickly become treacherous, with little to no improvement expected. Those located within the aforementioned areas should prepare to hunker down tonight and to stay off the roads through the weekend if at all possible.

Through tomorrow morning, the wintry mix will advance further south through deep east Texas and Louisiana. Our southernmost counties and parishes, including the cities of Lufkin, Nacogdoches and Natchitoches, should expect to see a transition to wintry precip by the end of the day tomorrow if not during the afternoon hours. As advertised above, once wintry precip starts, travel is strongly discouraged.

Short-range guidance has continued to resolve two distinct "waves" of winter weather, with Saturday's initial advance being the first wave, followed by another round overnight Saturday into the early hours Sunday. The projected precip rates with this second wave in particular indicate convective intensity enough that a few rumbles of thunder may be heard overnight Saturday into Sunday, concurrent with the ongoing wintry precip. Guidance has been reasonably consistent in bringing the event to an end during the day Sunday, as precip tapers off from the west early, exiting the region altogether by Sunday evening.

The storm total accumulation values have changed slightly, but the overall trend remains consistent, with 1 to 3 inches of snow between I-20 and I-30, with totals of 3+ inches possible north of I-30. Storm total ice accumulations range from half an inch to one inch across the southern two-thirds of the ArkLaTex. The highest ice accumulations and most significant impacts look to be along and south of the I-20 corridor, where lengthy power outages concurrent with very cold conditions are increasingly likely.

While the precip concludes by the end of the weekend, dangerous cold will remain a particular hazard into early next week, with low temperatures plunging dramatically into the lower teens and single digits, even approaching zero degrees north by daybreak Monday and again on Tuesday, which will pose a threat to exposed pipes, outdoor pets, and vulnerable persons. The middle of next week will see quiet conditions and a slight warming trend- to above-freezing values- followed by a return of cooler temperatures and moisture returns by the end of this extended forecast period.

/26/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1142 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026

For the ArkLaTex terminals, the first big rain area has cleared our terminals, with lighter -FZRA/DZ lingering. The HRRR picks up on coverage and intensity again along I-30 overnight with this focus shifting down to along I-20 shortly after daybreak. Meanwhile, air temps continue falling with the NE wind 10-20KT bringing in the Arctic cold. The freezing line meanders just north of I-20 at this time from KASL to KBQP. Brief patches of PL/SN will occur, but generally we are looking for -FZRA to dominate for much of this TAF cycle. As we move closer to saturation by daybreak, our visibility will see greater reductions with DZ and BR/FG? during early Saturday. This next big push will continue to ramp up through the afternoon per HRRR and then slowly taper off during Sunday. SFC and low level winds NE5-15G30KT with moist Pacific SW flow ABV 4kft. /24/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 602 AM CST Fri Jan 23 2026

Spotter activation will be needed tonight through Sunday for accumulation reports of ice and snow across the Four State Region. /15/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 26 30 23 30 / 70 100 100 70 MLU 27 32 23 30 / 30 100 100 90 DEQ 16 22 14 25 / 100 100 100 70 TXK 19 23 20 28 / 100 100 100 70 ELD 16 24 14 28 / 80 100 90 80 TYR 23 29 21 26 / 90 100 90 50 GGG 22 29 20 29 / 80 90 100 60 LFK 31 38 23 34 / 70 90 100 60

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM CST Sunday for ARZ050-051- 059>061-070-071.

Extreme Cold Warning from 6 PM Sunday to noon CST Tuesday for ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073.

Ice Storm Warning until 6 PM CST Sunday for ARZ072-073.

LA...Extreme Cold Warning from 6 PM Sunday to noon CST Tuesday for LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022.

Ice Storm Warning until 6 PM CST Sunday for LAZ001>006-010>014.

Ice Storm Warning from 6 AM Saturday to 6 PM CST Sunday for LAZ017>022.

OK...Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM CST Sunday for OKZ077.

Extreme Cold Warning from 6 PM Sunday to noon CST Tuesday for OKZ077.

TX...Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM CST Sunday for TXZ096-097- 108>112-124>126.

Extreme Cold Warning from 6 PM Sunday to noon CST Tuesday for TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.

Ice Storm Warning until 6 PM CST Sunday for TXZ136>138-149>151.

Ice Storm Warning from 6 AM Saturday to 6 PM CST Sunday for TXZ152-153-165>167.