textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1140 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026

- With ongoing drought conditions across the region, elevated fire weather conditions will remain of concern through the end of the work week.

- The lack of appreciable rainfall and growing rainfall deficit will result in further drought degradation through the end of this month and likely into early November.

- Scattered showers at the end of the work week into early this weekend could bring temporary relief to rain starved soils until widespread appreciable rainfall returns.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1127 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026

The upper-level ridge that has been responsible for the ongoing dry pattern will move east, bringing a slight pattern shift over the next couple of days. Southwest flow aloft will tap into Pacific moisture which will result in increased cloud-cover areawide. Surface high pressure across the Appalachians will maintain east-southeast winds allowing for a gradual increase in low-level moisture. Otherwise, aside from the slight surge in RH values along with periods of cloudiness, the overall pattern to remain rain free with high temperatures continuing to remain above average in the 80s through Thursday.

An areawide elevated wildfire threat will persist through at least Tuesday with conditions improving throughout the week across east Texas into southeast Oklahoma as low-level moisture increases and drives afternoon relative humidity values upwards to near 50 percent. Unfortunately, relative humidity values across south Arkansas and north Louisiana may not respond as quickly, prompting a lingering wildfire threat across these areas through mid to late week.

All eyes on this weekend as a surface and upper-low deepen across Texas and translate northeast across Oklahoma on Friday night into Saturday bringing beneficial widespread rainfall to the ArkLaTex. However, rainfall totals will remain insufficient to make significant improvement to the ongoing drought. /05/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 528 AM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

VFR ceilings are as low as 10kft just west of our airspace with some light returns showing up from mosaic radar analysis coming into our northwest airspace as well. Don't think this will be a big deal but did lower ceilings to near 12kft to begin the 12z TAF package at the TYR/GGG and TXK terminals only. Cannot rule out these lower VFR ceilings creeping into the SHV terminal as well but feel like they will likely avoid the other remaining terminals. Otherwise, 20-25kft moisture will continue to invade our airspace, mainly during the day today before we lose this moisture near or soon after 00z tonight.

13

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1252 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026

Elevated fire weather conditions will continue across the region over the next 24-36 hours, due to ongoing drought conditions and min RH values between 25 to 35%. Therefore a Fire Danger Statement remains in effect through 7 PM Tuesday.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1252 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026

Spotter activation may be needed this week in the event of wildfire development. /20/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 81 56 84 57 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 83 54 85 52 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 83 49 86 52 / 20 0 0 0 TXK 81 54 85 56 / 20 0 0 0 ELD 82 50 85 50 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 82 57 84 61 / 20 0 0 0 GGG 81 54 85 57 / 20 0 0 0 LFK 82 55 84 56 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.