textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1043 AM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026
- Showers will increase in coverage today and overnight tonight, continuing through Friday night.
- Rainfall accumulations of up to 2-3 inches are possible, and may lead to flash flooding hazards.
- The weekend is shaping up to be quiet and cooler than average, followed by a warm-up early next week and scattered storms by the middle of the week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1043 AM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026
The frontal boundary that has been bringing rain to the region recently has pushed southward and has stalled along the Gulf Coast. Even with this front clear of the Ark-La-Tx, it will continue to act as a lifting mechanism and bring more showers to the area through late Friday night/early Saturday morning. These showers will be persistant thanks to the ample low-level moisture available. WPC QPF still has estimations of 1-3 inches of additional rainfall being possible through Friday, with the higher amounts towards the south where the boundary is settled. There is some concern with flash and urban flooding, especially on Friday. The hope is that all the rain will help the ongoing drought conditions, but the high rainfall rates could create short-term flooding problems. Luckily, the environment is largely worked over from days of severe weather, so further widespread severe weather isn't expected.
The rain will work to cool us down even further for Friday afternoon, with many places struggling to reach 60. The rain should end in the early hours of Saturday morning when an upper- level low can push the stalled front eastward and out of the region. Without the front, there isn't much to speak of for lifting mechanisms, giving us a break from the rain. Temperatures will begin to warm again once the rain stops on Saturday and zonal/northwest flow returns. Things should remain dry through the first half of next week, with temperatures climbing back into the low to mid 80s by Tuesday afternoon.
Long-range models are trying to suggest a negatively tilted trough could move through the Central CONUS by mid next week, bringing rain chances back into the forecast as early as Wednesday. There are plenty of model uncertainties this far out, but additional severe and hydro concerns could certainly be possible. Model solutions aren't too concerning yet but this will be monitored over the next week.
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AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 618 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026
For the 01/00Z TAF update, MVFR/IFR vis/cigs are set to prevail through the period due to ongoing northerly surface winds at 5-10 kts and VCSH/-SHRA overrunning post-frontal air across the airspace. Some IFR cigs will continue through the end of the period. /16/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1208 AM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026
Spotter activation is not likely through tomorrow, but any reports of hazardous weather to the National Weather Service are appreciated.
/26/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 55 59 51 71 / 60 90 70 0 MLU 56 61 51 72 / 50 90 90 0 DEQ 51 66 46 72 / 10 40 20 0 TXK 55 63 50 73 / 30 60 40 0 ELD 52 62 47 71 / 40 70 60 0 TYR 55 58 50 71 / 70 90 60 0 GGG 55 58 49 71 / 60 90 60 0 LFK 56 60 50 72 / 70 100 80 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.
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