textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1201 AM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

- Ongoing showers and thunderstorms will continue into this afternoon, mainly for areas north of I-20.

- A strong cold front will move through the region on Saturday, bringing more widespread rain chances to the area.

- Below normal temperatures will follow in the wake of the cold front from Sunday through Tuesday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1201 AM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

Radar imagery early this morning continues to show areas of showers and thunderstorms for areas north of I-30, mainly across far southeast Oklahoma and southwest Arkansas. These storms have been sub-severe and should remain this way through the next few hours. Short range models indicate that this activity should be out of the area by around 06-08z. That being said, there NBM continues to maintain some low PoPs for our northern areas into this afternoon. Mostly dry conditions then settle in for Thursday night and most of Friday, before precipitation chances increase again as a strong cold front begins to approach the area from the northwest by Friday evening. This cold front will bring more widespread rainfall to the area starting early Saturday morning and exiting the area to the southeast by Saturday night. There are some pretty decent indications that this could be a good soaking rainfall for most locations. Drier conditions move in behind the cold front and will limit precipitation chances through at least Monday, after which , some low end PoPs return to the forecast but right now will remain low end.

Temperatures today will range from the lower 80s to around 90 degrees across the region, which is roughly 8-12 degrees above seasonable normals. MIld temperatures remain for tonight, with lows in the lower to mid 60s. Friday will be similar to today in terms of high temperatures, however, Friday night is when things begin to "cool" down. We will see a wider variety of temperatures on Friday night as the cold front begins to enter the northwest portions of the area, where lows Saturday morning will be in the lower to upper 50s, while the remainder of the area will be in the lower to upper 60s. With the rain expected through the day Saturday, and the advancing cooler air, we will see a wide variety of high temperatures that afternoon as well, with ranges from the mid 60s across our northern zones to the mid 80s across our southeast zones. Saturday night will be chilly, or pleasant depending on how you like it, with lows ranging from around 40 degrees to the north and 50 degrees to the south. We could even see some upper 30s across our far northern zones. Sunday will be nice, with highs in the lower to mid 70s, followed by another chilly night Sunday night into Monday and then another pleasant day on Monday. From here we will see temperatures slowly start to rise again, returning to the lower to mid 80s by the middle of the week. /33/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1257 AM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

A large band of convection continues to shift E across extreme SE OK into the Nrn sections of SW AR early this morning, but should gradually diminish from W to E over the next few hours. This convection may produce locally gusty winds up to 25kts as it continues to diminish, as well as low AC cigs along and just to the S closer to the I-20 corridor of E TX/NW LA. Have inserted VCSH mention at TXK to start the TAF period, with a brief period of tempo thunder here, while maintaining VCSH at ELD at 09Z, although not expecting thunder to extend this far ESE. Farther S away from this convection, low MVFR cigs have begun to develop across SE and Deep E TX into SW LA, and will quickly shift N into the region overnight, affecting the TYR/GGG/SHV terminals between 08-10Z, and could reach MLU shortly after 12Z. The presence of an outflow bndry from the SW AR convection may inhibit these low cigs from reaching the SW AR terminals through daybreak, although low MVFR cigs should eventually develop here after daybreak once the convection diminishes. These low cigs will again slowly lift and return to VFR by late morning/midday, and eventually scatter out by mid to late afternoon before diminishing shortly after 00Z. Some thin cirrus should increase across the region from the W this evening, with additional low MVFR cigs redeveloping by 06Z over SE TX/SW LA and will quickly shift N into the region through daybreak Friday. S winds 5-10kts overnight will increase to 8-12kts, with occasional gusts to 20kts over E TX, after 15Z. /15/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1251 AM CDT Wed Apr 15 2026

Spotter activation may be needed late this afternoon and tonight across portions of extreme Northeast Texas, Southeast Oklahoma, and adjacent sections of Southwest Arkansas for the potential for isolated strong to severe thunderstorms. /15/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 87 66 88 68 / 10 0 0 10 MLU 89 65 90 66 / 10 0 0 0 DEQ 82 62 85 56 / 20 10 10 40 TXK 85 67 89 65 / 30 10 0 20 ELD 85 63 88 64 / 30 0 0 10 TYR 85 66 86 64 / 10 0 0 20 GGG 85 66 87 66 / 10 0 0 10 LFK 87 66 88 67 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.