textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1229 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

- Elevated afternoon dew points together with highs in the low to middle 90s will result in heat indices above 105 degrees for portions of northeast Texas, southeast Oklahoma, and southwest Arkansas. A Heat Advisory will be in effect from noon through 8 PM.

- Quiet and dry weather will continue through the end of the week, with areawide highs in the low to middle 90s.

- Showers and storms are expected to return this weekend north and east, likely to continue into early next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1229 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

After a prolonged unsettled and challenging pattern lately, the ArkLaTex looks to remain dry and quiet today and through the end of this work week. Without rain cooling effects, areawide heat will prevail as highs take aim at the lower to middle 90s. Guidance has lately underestimated dew points across our northwestern quadrant, and accounting for recent patterns, these seasonal temperatures will result in heat indices of 105 degrees or greater for several hours this afternoon. A Heat Advisory will be in effect for the impacted counties from noon through 8 PM today. Precautions should be taken to limit outdoor exposure, stay hydrated, and have access to air conditioning.

As this week draws to a close, the ArkLaTex will see little in the way of upper level steering in the wake of this week's trough, while upper level ridging amplifies to our west. Friday looks to remain mostly dry across the region, though some afternoon sea breeze driven convection may just barely manage to make it into our southernmost zones. Otherwise, expect more highs in the middle 90s, and another round of lows in the middle to upper 70s.

By early Saturday into Sunday, ridging over the western CONUS will amplify, forming a closed high over the Four Corners region. Recent solutions are suggesting that as this ridge amplifies, an emerging trough over the Midwest will be tilted as it gradually stalls over the Appalachians. The westward extend of latitudinal amplification of this trough will determine ArkLaTex weather this weekend and into early next week. The latest consensus indicates that the trough will provide forcing upon which moisture impulses will develop and result in an unsettled pattern for the weekend and into early next week, with areawide rainfall chances at times, and the most likely repeated impacts across our northern and eastern zones. At this point, highs in the 90s look to remain entrenched in place, with the only potential exception being upper 80s in southern Arkansas with repeated rainfall and cloud cover. Lows will continue in the 70s throughout.

/26/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 451 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

VFR conditions prevailing just before sunrise this morning and those conditions should continue through the daytime hours and overnight tonight as well. Just some thin cirrus being observed across the eastern half of our airspace, remnants of late night convection across SC/SE AR. Should see developing cu field through the day across our airspace but we shouldn't have to deal with much if any convection unlike previous days. Stronger low level pressure gradient in place today which should result in SSE to SSW winds sustained near 10kts areawide with some stronger gusts possible across our NE TX terminals.

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SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1229 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time. /26/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 96 77 95 78 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 96 77 96 78 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 95 75 94 75 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 97 77 96 78 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 95 76 95 77 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 97 78 96 78 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 96 77 95 78 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 96 76 95 77 / 0 0 10 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ050-051-059-070.

LA...None. OK...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for OKZ077.

TX...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for TXZ096-097-108>112.