textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1233 AM CDT Tue Aug 4 2026

- Hot conditions will remain over the region through most of the upcoming work week, with increasing humidity.

- Isolated to widely scattered precipitation chances (20-30%) will return across portions of the region each afternoon, with more widespread coverage by the end of the week into early next weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1233 AM CDT Tue Aug 4 2026

The forecast area will remain on the eastern periphery of a large flat ridge centered over the SW CONUS. The original thought was that the ridge would have enough influence over the region to keep us mostly rain-free. That could still be the case across our western zones, which would generally be portions of East Texas. But, with increasing low-level moisture over the region over the next couple of days, short-term progs suggest this could give us enough instability to generate some isolated to widely scattered convection during afternoon peak heating. Most of this convection is expected to be across our Louisiana zones, but it could push into adjacent portions of East Texas, along with portion of Southwest/South-Central Arkansas. This also leads to questions concerning heat headlines. With humidity/dew points increasing over the area and temperatures in the mid to upper 90s, heat indices could approach the 105 degree heat advisory threshold in some areas. However, rain and cloud cover could keep temperatures down enough to keep heat headlines out of the forecast. At this time, will hold off on any heat products, as forecast conditions remain borderline. But, we will likely revisit this issue daily this week.

As we move towards the latter half of the week into next weekend, models continue to suggest the ridge will shift back west of the region. During this period, the absence of the ridge will allow for more widespread afternoon convection. Models also some hint that an upper trough could get close enough to the region on Friday and Saturday to help enhance precipitation chances across the region. By the first half of next week, we could see the return of drier conditions, as upper ridging tries to build back into the area. /20/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 557 AM CDT Tue Aug 4 2026

Pretty much all is going to plan across our airspace this morning with some AC noted across E TX into N LA and S AR with heights near 7-10kft. Also of note is much lower ceilings near 8hdft to near 15hdft across portions of Deep East Texas, moving northeast quickly this morning. Did add TEMPO 1kft ceilings to the LFK and TYR terminals as a result to begin the 12z TAF package. Otherwise we will await daytime heating for an additional cu field to develop across our airspace. Still cannot rule out some isolated, diurnally driven showers or storms but coverage does not warrant a mention in this TAF package. Any and all storms should dissipate quickly by early evening. Conditions should remain VFR through the overnight hours and towards the predawn hours Wed Morning.

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SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1233 AM CDT Tue Aug 4 2026

Spotter activation is not expected over the next 24 hours. /20/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 97 78 97 78 / 20 0 20 0 MLU 97 74 97 75 / 0 0 20 10 DEQ 97 72 98 73 / 0 0 10 0 TXK 97 76 98 77 / 20 0 20 0 ELD 96 73 96 75 / 0 0 30 0 TYR 100 78 99 78 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 99 77 99 77 / 20 0 10 0 LFK 99 75 97 75 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.