textproduct: Shreveport

DISCUSSION

Issued at 245 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

A noticeable change from yesterday's record warmth across the region today in wake of last night's cool front. Many locations will see highs this afternoon as much as 15-20 degrees lower than yesterday. These dry conditions will continue through the early portion of next week, as upper ridging is expected to quickly settle into the region for the next several days. However, the cooler conditions will be short-lived, as the recent cool front will return back northward as a warm front on Sunday. Expect highs on tomorrow and Monday to return back into the mid to upper 70s.

These warmer conditions will remain for most of next week, but the upper pattern will start to shift. The upper ridge will slide east of the region late Monday evening ahead of a closed upper trough shifting eastward out of Baja & Northern Mexico. The flow aloft will become southwesterly, while southeasterly surface winds will bring an increase in low-level moisture into the forecast area. Although the closed trough will weaken and open up as it rides the flow towards our region on Tuesday, the ingredients should be sufficient enough for widespread showers and isolated thunderstorms to develop across the region. Rain chances may linger into Wednesday, as the upper trough slowly pushes out of the region. Dry, and possibly cooler conditions, are forecasted to return by Thursday. But, another upper trough is expected to move across the Southern Plains by the end of the work week into early next weekend, bringing additional rain chances to the area.

/20/

DISCUSSION

Issued at 245 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

A noticeable change from yesterday's record warmth across the region today in wake of last night's cool front. Many locations will see highs this afternoon as much as 15-20 degrees lower than yesterday. These dry conditions will continue through the early portion of next week, as upper ridging is expected to quickly settle into the region for the next several days. However, the cooler conditions will be short-lived, as the recent cool front will return back northward as a warm front on Sunday. Expect highs on tomorrow and Monday to return back into the mid to upper 70s.

These warmer conditions will remain for most of next week, but the upper pattern will start to shift. The upper ridge will slide east of the region late Monday evening ahead of a closed upper trough shifting eastward out of Baja & Northern Mexico. The flow aloft will become southwesterly, while southeasterly surface winds will bring an increase in low-level moisture into the forecast area. Although the closed trough will weaken and open up as it rides the flow towards our region on Tuesday, the ingredients should be sufficient enough for widespread showers and isolated thunderstorms to develop across the region. Rain chances may linger into Wednesday, as the upper trough slowly pushes out of the region. Dry, and possibly cooler conditions, are forecasted to return by Thursday. But, another upper trough is expected to move across the Southern Plains by the end of the work week into early next weekend, bringing additional rain chances to the area.

/20/

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 530 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

Expecting almost entirely VFR conditions through the 00Z TAF period (now through early tomorrow evening), although LFK could be an exception in the morning hours tomorrow. At that site, and across much of Deep East TX, there will be the potential for at least patchy MVFR visibility restrictions with even a chance for a brief period of IFR ceilings (mainly from 7 AM CDT to 10 AM CDT). A tempo group in that time window was used at LFK to help express this uncertainty. Otherwise, low level moisture return through the rest of the Four State region will be very marginal through the TAF period, although a weak incoming disturbance aloft will spill in from the west a decent coverage of mid to high level clouds (based between 12 and 25 kft) during the day tomorrow. Finally, anticipate light ESE surface winds from 5 to 10 mph tonight across the region, veering around to SSW through the morning to midday hours tomorrow. Winds will be a bit stronger tomorrow with ranges from 10 to 15 mph and some higher gusts up to 20 mph cannot be ruled out - especially at TYR, TXK, and GGG. /50/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 245 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

Spotter activation is not expected over the next 24 hours.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 45 77 54 78 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 39 73 52 75 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 38 71 43 76 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 43 75 51 78 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 38 73 49 75 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 49 77 55 78 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 46 77 54 78 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 46 75 54 77 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.