textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1104 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026

- A line of showers and thunderstorms will impact much of East Texas through daybreak and continue east Wednesday morning.

- Slowly climbing temperatures and continued rain chances will remain the main focus for most of the forecast period.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1104 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026

At the time of writing, a line of thunderstorms is moving through the Fort Worth CWA towards the Ark-La-Tx. Impacts to our East Texas counties is expected to begin soon after midnight tonight and continue eastward towards I-49 by daybreak tomorrow. There still is uncertainty on the intensity of the line as it enters our CWA tonight, especially with the southern half of the line that would mainly impact Deep East Texas. Hi- res models have been hinting at the line staying strong and organized until it reaches I-49, while other runs have the line weakening as it enters East Texas. One confidence booster is that there are no convective products currently issued for the line. This hopefully means that even with the better thermodynamics, the line is subsevere. This doesn't mean that these storms couldn't restrengthen, however. So make sure you have a way to receive warnings nearby tonight. Recent rainfall and high PWATs will also lead to a flash flooding risk with these showers, especially in urban environments. Motorists should take care during the Wednesday morning commute for any flooded spots.

This line will continue to move eastward post-sunrise tomorrow and be accompanied later by some more development in the afternoon. The upper-level ridging in place should keep these storms to the typical pop-ups from daytime heating, but that makes exact locations tough to pin down. Due to the uncertainty, I've pulled rain chances back regionwide tomorrow and Thursday. Any storms that do pop will have plenty of moisture to work with thanks to the southerly sfc flow. Expect temperatures to slowly climb along with the humidity going into the weekend. Current estimations have much of the region in the upper 80s by Friday, even with the continued scattered showers.

Long-range models have a blocking pattern taking hold of the CONUS early in the period and continuing into the early part of next week. If this verifies, much of the central CONUS would be under a ridge, us included. This will make broad forcing less likely, but lower-level features and daytime convection could still be enough to initiate scattered showers as we start the new work week.

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AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 711 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026

VFR conditions will continue this evening through a portion of the overnight hours, as the scattered convection ongoing across portions of extreme NE TX/SE OK/SW AR/I-20 corridor of N LA continues to diminish by mid-evening with the loss of daytime heating. AC/cirrus cigs from this convection will also linger through the evening before thinning, although additional cirrus from a MCS over WCntrl and SW TX will begin to spread NE into the region by early to mid-evening as this complex marches E. This convection should hold together long enough as it enters E TX after 08Z Wednesday, just as low MVFR/IFR cigs begin to develop and spread N into E TX/N LA. Have maintained VCTS for the E TX terminals between 09-11Z, with continued mention for the remaining SW AR/N LA terminals by/after 12Z. MVFR cigs, reduced vsbys, and wind gusts to 30kts will be possible with the convection, although some improvement in cigs is expected from W to E by mid/late morning as VFR cigs return with the -RA falling out of low AC cigs. Patchy FG may again develop prior to daybreak at MLU/ELD before the convection arrives, with the lower cigs expected to linger through the day here as the convection persists. The convection should begin to diminish from W to E across E TX during the afternoon. Lt/Vrb winds tonight will become S 5-8kts after 14Z. /15/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1250 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026

Can't rule out the possibility of spotter activation becoming necessary late tonight during the predawn hours as a complex of strong storms moves our way from Central Texas, otherwise the severe weather threat will be isolated at best thru the day Wednesday.

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PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 88 70 83 69 / 40 40 60 30 MLU 86 70 84 70 / 40 30 50 30 DEQ 84 66 83 66 / 40 30 50 30 TXK 87 68 83 68 / 40 30 50 30 ELD 85 67 83 67 / 40 30 50 30 TYR 89 70 83 69 / 40 60 60 30 GGG 89 70 83 68 / 40 60 60 30 LFK 90 70 83 69 / 50 60 70 30

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.