textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1126 AM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026

- Warming trend continues through at least Saturday ahead of our next best chance for rain on Sunday.

- Cannot rule out the possibility of some strong storms during the day Sunday across at least the western half of the Four State Region.

- Unsettled weather continues into much of next week but timing and impacts of any potential severe weather is still very uncertain.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1126 AM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026

Good cu field has developed across the entire Four State Region this afternoon with the aid of daytime heating and abundant low level moisture return. A weakness aloft hugging the NW Gulf Coast will provide weak upper level support for the development of isolated to scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms that could impact portions of Deep East Texas into West Central Louisiana later today before this activity dissipates later this evening. Didn't change much to our pop forecast for the remainder of the day with low end chance and slight chance pops across this region. The upper level disturbance shifts eastward overnight and we are left with upper ridging for Saturday into Saturday Night. Did add the potential for patchy fog across our southern zones overnight tonight given the low level moisture in place. Saturday appears to be our warmest day of the next several given the upper ridging in place with forecast highs on Saturday ranging through the 80s, perhaps approaching 90 degrees across a few locations to our east.

The upper ridge centered across our region on Saturday pivots eastward on Sunday and thus, our region becomes more under the influence of southwesterly flow aloft. Increasing PVA advancing from the west Saturday Night should provide the necessary forcing to produce scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorm across at least the northwestern half of our region Sunday/Sunday Night. Currently, SPC has outlooked our far northwest zones in a Marginal Outlook for severe weather and I could see that marginal threat being expanded a little further eastward with their updated outlook later today. Also cannot rule out the possibility of the Slight Risk on Sunday currently west of our region expanding eastward as well, perhaps encompassing our northwest zones given deterministic instability parameters but by far, the bulk of any widespread severe thunderstorm activity should remain west of our region where better upper level support will exist.

The upper flow will remain from the southwest through much of the upcoming week and this will result in a rather unsettled yet uncertain forecast period coming up. Uncertainty exists because the apex of the longwave trough will remain locked across the Intermountain West with upper ridging anchored across the Lower Miss Valley into the Southeast U.S. Our weather in this kind of flow will be highly dependent on ejections of these weak perturbations coming our way out of the Texas Hill Country and progs traditionally have a difficult time handling these features both spatially and temporally. Ensemble guidance continues to trend on a more stagnant upstream longwave trough as well and that could mean a drier upcoming work week than we are currently depicting. Needless to say, the forecast for next week will continue to be modified as we go through the weekend but I'm not seeing anything beyond Sunday that would suggest an excessive heavy rainfall threat across any of our region until we see a breakdown of the upper ridge and a more progressive upstream longwave trough.

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AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 659 AM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026

Brief MVFR cigs (although sporadic) will remain possible across portions of E TX and adjacent sections of SW AR, and while they may fill in some through mid-morning, these cigs will quickly lift/become VFR by late morning. Have tempoed in these cigs at the TYR/LFK terminals only, with some low AC cigs also possible across portions of E TX alongside a diminishing cirrus shield. While cu cigs will be possible through mid afternoon, these should scatter out before mostly diminishing shortly after sunset. Isolated to widely scattered convection should develop this afternoon over portions of Deep E and SE TX, which may spread N and affect the LFK and near/W of TYR. However, low confidence precludes VCSH mention in the TAF's attm. Some residual convective debris will linger this evening/overnight across portions of E TX, with any MVFR cig development waiting closer to 12Z Saturday before developing, with this occurring mainly over portions of Deep E TX. SSE winds 5-8kts after 15Z will become SE and diminish to 5kts or less after 00Z. /15/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1126 AM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026

Spotter activation is not expected through Saturday. However, some strong to severe thunderstorms cannot be ruled out Sunday into Sunday Night across the Middle Red River Valley of Northeast Texas, Southeast Oklahoma into Southwest Arkansas.

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PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 62 86 64 83 / 0 0 0 30 MLU 60 87 61 86 / 0 0 0 10 DEQ 56 83 61 79 / 0 10 0 60 TXK 61 86 66 83 / 0 0 0 40 ELD 58 85 62 84 / 0 0 0 20 TYR 63 84 65 81 / 0 10 10 60 GGG 62 85 64 81 / 0 10 0 50 LFK 62 84 64 81 / 10 10 0 30

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.