textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1250 AM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

- Wetting rains will continue through Saturday, with the best rain chances (40%-60%) lingering mostly across Deep East Texas into Louisiana.

- Lightning and isolated street flooding can't be ruled out as impacts from the strongest thunderstorms south of I-20.

- Drier air will become warmer and cooler more efficiently later next week with some temperature maximums/minimums in the lower 90s/lower 60s respectively.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1250 AM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

A wet pattern continues for the Four State Region as troughing aloft and a weak frontal boundary draped near the surface maintains some convective potential into Sunday before tapering off into early next week. High-resolution guidance suggests an additional trough axis shifting onshore during this time to drive the last predominant batch of showers and thunderstorms to develop mostly across Deep East Texas into Louisiana. Medium-range guidance suggests a pause of the wet weather pattern by Monday into the middle of next week as post-frontal ridging and a dry, quasi-zonal to northwesterly flow aloft sets back in. This drier air will boost efficient heating/cooling (dew points in the 50s) for a warming trend with above average temperature maximums in the lower 90s. A preview of regular Fall weather still continues at night with temperature minimums in the lower 60s/upper 50s later next week. Remaining WPC QPF values range at 0.25-0.75 inches in an increasing gradient south of I-20 as a result of this week's expected activity. /16/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1049 PM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026

For the 06z TAF package...currently seeing some showers trying to progress north and east into our NE TX airspace attm with a little more in the way of convection south of the LFK terminal retrograding westward. Latest highres output suggests the NE TX precip may stick around through sunrise and perhaps until mid to late morning before it begins dissipating. Meanwhile, convection across Central and East Central Louisiana should expand north and west by late afternoon into the evening hours or towards the tail end of this TAF package. Weak cold front across our northern airspace will quick backdoor its way south and west into our region and in the wake of this boundary will be the possibility of MVFR and/or IFR ceilings through at least the mid morning hours. Tried to be optimistic with low VFR conditions returning to most areas by afternoon. Look for mostly NNE to ENE winds overnight and through the day Saturday with speeds generally near or below 10kts through the TAF period.

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SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 225 PM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026

Spotter activation is not expected through tonight. /15/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 82 67 83 65 / 20 20 20 0 MLU 88 67 82 64 / 30 40 40 0 DEQ 77 59 85 56 / 20 20 10 0 TXK 77 62 83 59 / 30 10 10 0 ELD 82 60 84 58 / 20 20 20 0 TYR 78 67 83 65 / 50 10 10 0 GGG 81 64 85 63 / 40 20 10 0 LFK 86 68 83 67 / 30 30 30 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.