textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1100 AM CST Mon Dec 29 2025
- A cold and dry airmass continues to build into the region, resulting in sub-freezing lows and below normal highs through Wednesday morning.
- Gradual rebound to near normal temperatures as early as Wednesday afternoon, with a return to 60's and 70's by New Year's Day.
- Rain chances remain incredibly limited through the next 7 days, increasing drought concerns.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1100 AM CST Mon Dec 29 2025
If it was not obvious by the chill in the air early this morning, we are now post frontal as the cold front from yesterday evening now sits over the central Gulf. In the wake of the boundary, a cold airmass is slowly filtering in as surface high pressure will be overhead by early Tuesday morning. Not only will this continue to usher in the airmass but also allow for winds to taper off from the gusty and breezy conditions of the last 24 hours. By Tuesday AM, it will be colder when compared to this morning as out the door temperatures linger in the low and middle 20's across the I-30 corridor, with upper 20's to near freezing from Texarkana down to Lufkin.
Similar to today, many will struggle to climb out of the 40's, with a select few climbing to or just above 50 deg F. With winds falling off almost entirely Tuesday night through Wednesday AM, expect for another cold night with lows in the 20's and low 30's. Though winds will be light, we will have a shift in direction as the northerlies of Monday and Tuesday become west to southwesterly by sunrise. This will allow for the temperature rebound to begin as highs on Wednesday return to the middle and even upper 60's for many, with upper 50's scattered across SW Arkansas. We double down on this for New Year's Day as 60's and 70's are in the forecast areawide.
Rain chances remain low through the next seven days as the best chance for any measurable precip appears to be across the extreme eastern tier of the forecast area late this week. Though moisture return will be in place around the western edge of the departing surface high, sufficient upper forcing looks to be delayed until a shortwave kicks into the eastern parishes of LA, and into western MS. Given the lack of rainfall, drought conditions will only continue to deteriorate. As indicated by the Fire Danger Statement currently in effect for this afternoon, fire danger concerns, especially when combined with the dry post frontal airmass and tight pressure gradient winds, will need to be taken seriously.
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AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1135 PM CST Mon Dec 29 2025
VFR conditions will continue through the 30/06Z TAF period. Extensive AC/cirrus cigs in place across much of the region to start the period will quickly diminish from NW to SE overnight, clearing Deep E TX/N LA into SE TX/Cntrl and S LA by/shortly after 12Z. Afterwards, SKC is expected through the remainder of the TAF period, although some additional thinning cirrus cigs may spill S across SE OK/SW AR prior to 12Z Wednesday. NNW winds 5-10kts overnight will become NW and diminish to around 5kts after 15Z. /15/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 541 PM CST Mon Dec 29 2025
Spotter activation will not be needed through Tuesday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 30 51 32 65 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 27 47 28 61 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 21 48 25 58 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 26 49 31 62 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 24 46 27 59 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 29 50 32 64 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 27 50 30 63 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 29 52 28 63 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.
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