textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1225 AM CDT Fri Aug 28 2026
- Average temperatures will continue over the region for the next few days with no heat headlines expected.
- Little change in the pattern as we move into early September, but the our temperatures will be slowly rising by midweek.
- The outlook for late week and peaking toward the holiday weekend appear to sport more heat concerns as the humidity builds back off the Gulf.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1225 AM CDT Fri Aug 28 2026
Mostly clear in many areas, but there are some mid and high clouds out there from some debris from isolated convection over the Nature State late today. Our radar is clear for our concerns, but there are now a few showers again near Hot Springs, moving SSE in the returning in the full moon light (ha ha ;^). Speaking of rainfall, we did very well on the rains last night except over east Texas. Interestingly, the 18Z run of the GFS yesterday showed a tropical cyclone lifting into coastal bend for Labor Day weekend into over eastern Texas, but now the new 00Z run has this same cyclone headed more toward the state capitol and hill country. While not official, timing wise it very well could be the newly named Tropical Storm Dolly which is out mid Atlantic. She is forecast to weaken back to depression status over the northern Windward Islands in the next few days. The sheared wave however, continues into the Gulf, riding under the upper ridge near the Ohio River Valley and rebuilds strength.
And we talked about that upper ridge last night. Currently the heat ridge is still over Arizona and New Mexico, but as a deep trough moves inland off the Pacific. This will force the upper ridge back toward the MS River Valley late this weekend and then pushes down eastward over the Appalachians, to near the Carolinas by the middle of next week. And this is where our heat headlines likely return, as the NE winds run out of gas soon, it will take a couple more days of SE flow late this weekend and early next week to resume the super muggy feel over our area. And we continue to see the high temps in the mid to upper 90s during this time that added tropical air will make it feel hotter. Our lows will bottom out today or tomorrow and then push back through the mid to upper 70s during this timeframe.
So overall, a nice pattern of summer doldrums with the excessive heat behaving for this weekend and early next week. We will continue to see this nice change from the SW winds and triple digits linger for several days. Hopefully they do not return at all in force this year for another long run of days. However, we will see at least a few more sporadic triples though as the drying soils warm back through the 80s. The drought monitor may hold steady for next week with last night's rain in the mix, but without more widespread rainfall, the D3 extreme drought category is likely to gain a foot hold once again. /24/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 643 AM CDT Fri Aug 28 2026
VFR conditions will continue through the 28/12Z TAF period. Scattered areas of low AC will persist across SW AR attm, which will gradually shift S into N LA through the remainder of the morning. While some scattered stratocu may develop over portions of Deep E TX/WCntrl LA this morning, these should lift into a scattered cu field by late morning/early afternoon by late morning/early afternoon, although a bit weaker across the western sections of NE TX into SE OK. Isolated convection may develop especially by mid to late afternoon mainly over portions of NCntrl LA/Deep E TX, but will dissipate by/shortly after 00Z with the cu field diminishing as well. Mostly SKC is expected through the end of the TAF period. NNE winds 5-7kts today will become Lt/Vrb after 00Z. /15/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1225 AM CDT Fri Aug 28 2026
Spotter activation should not be needed through tonight. /24/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 95 74 96 73 / 10 0 0 0 MLU 93 70 95 69 / 10 0 0 0 DEQ 96 66 95 65 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 95 70 95 69 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 94 68 95 67 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 99 74 99 74 / 0 0 10 0 GGG 99 72 99 71 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 98 74 98 73 / 10 10 10 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.
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