textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 109 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026

- Upper-level ridge will limit precipitation chances across the area an bring the warmest temperatures of the year this weekend.

- While precipitation chances will be limited, they will not be zero. Some areas will continue to see daily afternoon diurnally driven thunderstorms into early next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 109 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026

Weak ridging aloft will remain in place through the weekend and into the start of next week. This will be most evident in the increasing temperatures expected as we move through the rest of the weekend. Made some slight adjustments to temperatures this afternoon based on trends around 10 am by increasing them by a degree or two. That being said, I may have been a little overzealous as our warming has slowed down some with increasing CU field. Aside from today potentially being our "warmest" day of May so far, dew points range from the lower to mid 70s early this afternoon and should continue this way throughout the rest of the afternoon. Coupled with those ambient temperatures, heat index values will climb above to or slightly above 100 degrees this afternoon, and actually will be borderline Heat Advisory levels through Monday. While we don't meet the curtain criteria for issuing a Heat Advisory, it is important to use caution while outdoors this weekend and into the start of next week.

The aforementioned upper-level ridge over the area should suppress widespread convection across the region. However, models do indicate some very isolated thunderstorms develop, mainly across our far eastern zones, for this afternoon. A similar story can be expected for Sunday and Monday, with just low chances of afternoon isolated pop-up convection across our eastern half of the forecast area. Long range models are starting to become more consistent in showing that ridging will continue over the region well into the middle of next week. Some very slightly cooler temperatures could work into the region by Wednesday, thanks to a surface front approaching from the north, and then there is much less confidence in what the NBM is showing for temperatures for the rest of next week.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 704 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026

For the ArkLaTex terminals, VFR should rule the next 24 hrs outside of a pop-up thunderstorm with the best chance for that over S AR. So we have a VCTS for KELD at 21Z. Otherwise a quiet end to the weekend with SW wind 5-10KT backing a bit to S late. Not much anticipated to start the new week with more weak upper ridging limiting convection for the most part. A weak cool front will approach and back our surface winds to E/NE during Tuesday into Wednesday. We may see an uptick in convection at that time.

/24/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 109 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 76 94 76 95 / 10 10 10 0 MLU 75 93 74 94 / 10 30 10 10 DEQ 73 92 72 95 / 10 10 0 0 TXK 75 95 74 97 / 10 10 0 0 ELD 73 92 73 94 / 20 20 10 10 TYR 76 95 75 96 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 75 94 76 95 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 74 94 74 95 / 0 0 0 10

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.