textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1144 PM CDT Sun May 31 2026

- A chance of showers and thunderstorms are expected on Monday before increasing during the day Tuesday and into Tuesday evening, especially across Louisiana and East Texas south of Interstate 20.

- Very warm temperatures are expected Monday and Tuesday. Most locations across the western half of the ArkLaTex have a medium chance (45 to 75 percent) of high temperatures above 95 degrees F during the daytime on Monday and Tuesday. A few locations have high chances (greater than 75 percent).

- Somewhat cooler temperatures will return for the latter half of the week. More widespread chances for showers and thunderstorms return Friday and into next weekend, which should help keep temperatures in check.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1144 PM CDT Sun May 31 2026

Weak upper-level ridging will continue to keep much of the area dry through the day on Monday with the exception of some diurnal convection in our eastern zones. There could also be a greater push of rain from the north during the evening and overnight hours. Mid-range models are disagreeing on initiation of the showers, but still end up with rain in parts of southern AR and north central LA. Right now things don't look like they will be severe without the upper-level support, but urban and flood prone areas could see some puddles. The ridge will also keep temperatures in the 90s on Monday and Tuesday. With elevated dew points, heat indices are likely to hit 100 during the afternoons. A cold front is expected to backdoor into the region from the northwest Tuesday afternoon and bring more widespread rain chances to areas along and south of I-20. These scattered showers should continue for much of the overnight hours and end before daybreak Wednesday. Temperatures will be slightly cooler behind the front, in the mid to upper 80s, from Wednesday through the rest of the week.

The upper-level ridge that has been suppressing most of the rain looks to weaken in the latter half of the week, shifting us towards southwest flow. Long-range models are suggesting a shortwave trough moving through the Southern Plains in the wake of this shift, bringing some rain chances to the entire region on Friday. The spatial extent could be overdone this far out, as is common when confidence is low. Exact timing and locations should be pinned down with future forecasts.

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AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 656 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

For the 01/12z TAF Period...Some patchy BR at KELD for the next couple of hours. Otherwise, VFR conditions should prevail through most of the TAF period. Short-term progs continue to suggest some isolated convection will develop across NE Louisiana this afternoon, so decided to add VCTS at KMLU. There is also some hint of some additional convection moving into our SW Arkansas and North Louisiana TAF sites after sunset, but confidence is too low to include in TAFs at this time. /20/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 109 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026

Spotter activation is not expected through tonight.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 94 75 93 71 / 10 20 20 20 MLU 93 74 90 70 / 20 30 20 10 DEQ 95 72 91 66 / 0 20 20 10 TXK 96 74 92 68 / 10 20 10 0 ELD 93 72 88 66 / 10 40 10 0 TYR 94 75 95 72 / 0 10 10 30 GGG 95 74 95 71 / 10 10 10 30 LFK 93 74 94 72 / 10 20 20 50

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.