textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1220 AM CDT Tue Mar 31 2026

- High temperatures in the mid 80s possible today and Wednesday.

- Widespread precipitation will be possible across the ArkLaTex by midweek and again this upcoming weekend. Some strong to severe thunderstorms can't be ruled out during these periods.

- Cooler and more seasonal type temperatures are expected to return by the end of the weekend into the first of next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1219 AM CDT Tue Mar 31 2026

A surface ridge across the southeast and a broad surface low across the Plains will maintain an enhanced pressure gradient across the ArkLaTex through Wednesday. South winds around 10 mph with higher gusts can be expected during the daylight hours on Tuesday and Wednesday with slightly lesser values during the overnight hours. Additionally, prevailing southerly fetch of gulf moisture beneath the nocturnal inversion will advect widespread low clouds across the region through mid-morning. Temperatures this afternoon to climb into the mid 80s.

An upper trough swinging east across the Four Corners region on Wednesday will deepen into a closed low across Kansas on Wednesday night. Mid-latitude cyclogenesis to increase with a surface low forecast to develop in tandem with the upper-low and together race northeast into the Great Lakes Region by Thursday evening.

Dewpoint values in the mid to upper 60s expected across the ArkLaTex on Wednesday evening as low-level moisture converges northward toward the surface low. Increased moisture, combined with steepened lapse rates ahead of the approaching upper-low, will destabilize the atmosphere enough to spark convection across the region mainly on Wednesday evening and continuing into the overnight hours. Most of the forcing to generate any significant severe weather threat will remain north of the ArkLaTex. However, a few strong storms can't be ruled out especially on Wednesday evening across northeast Texas into southeast Oklahoma. A lingering frontal boundary in the wake of the departing surface low across the ArkLaTex, combined with continued southwest flow aloft, will maintain increased rain chances through Thursday afternoon.

A very similar scenario expected again on Saturday night into Sunday as an upper-trough across the Central Plains drives a frontal boundary southeast across the region. Expect widespread showers and embedded thunderstorms across the ArkLaTex from Saturday evening through Sunday with conditions improving from the northwest late on Sunday afternoon. Severe weather threat will be limited as the stronger dynamics will be displaced north of the region. Upper-level southwest flow to persist across the ArkLaTex through Sunday afternoon with upper-level ridging to drive any lingering precipitation out of the region by early Sunday evening. Cool and dry conditions to return by Sunday night with lows ranging from the upper 30s to mid 40s. /05/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1046 PM CDT Mon Mar 30 2026

For the ArkLaTex terminals, VFR for now with more stratus decks of IFR/MVFR 08-16Z with variations on the scattering 17-19Z with VFR cigs to SCT. The winds will become brisk with S/SW 5-10KT early, then increasing to 10-15G20-25KT all aftn. Similar pattern through midweek with a chance at convection impacts late week, early Thurs & again p.m.Sat / a.m.Sun with our next fropa. /24/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1219 AM CDT Tue Mar 31 2026

Spotter activation is not expected over the next 24 hours.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 86 66 86 68 / 0 0 10 20 MLU 87 65 88 68 / 20 0 10 0 DEQ 84 60 83 62 / 0 0 10 40 TXK 87 65 87 68 / 0 0 10 30 ELD 86 62 86 65 / 0 0 10 10 TYR 85 66 87 67 / 0 0 10 30 GGG 86 65 86 67 / 0 0 10 20 LFK 85 66 85 67 / 10 0 20 20

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.