textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1227 PM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

- Cold front continues to make southward progress into the region this afternoon with gusty SW winds veering NW, presenting some elevated fire danger conditions as RH values drop off sharply.

- Increasing cold air advection behind the front will really ramp up late tonight through Saturday with bitterly cold overnight temperatures in the teens and 20s on Saturday night.

- Rain chances return by the middle of next week as temperatures moderate closer to seasonal averages in southerly return flow.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1227 PM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

The latest in a series of cold fronts is making steady progress SE as it clears the I-30 corridor early this afternoon. Ahead of the front, temperatures have warmed nicely into the 60s with mid and upper 50s farther north where the cold front has already cleared. Modest moisture recovery also continues south of the boundary as dew points have risen into the 40s near and south of I-20. As a result, a spotty cu field has begun to develop invof of the front and farther south. Although rain is unlikely with fropa across the remainder of the region this afternoon, cannot rule out a few showers in our extreme SE zones by early this evening before the front completely clears the region along with any lingering cloud cover. Temperatures will fall off sharply tonight in wake of the front with overnight lows expected to range from the mid 20s to mid 30s from north to south.

A cold and blustery day will follow on Saturday despite a fair amount of sunshine, but cloud cover will increase throughout the day with an embedded shortwave shifting SE within the deepening longwave trough. However, a deep dry layer in the lowest 5Kft of the atmosphere should preclude any precipitation as guidance has continued to trend dry with no mentionable PoPs through Saturday night. This feature will quickly pivot eastward late Saturday and early Sunday with our coldest night of the next 7 days to follow. From Saturday night through Sunday morning, expect a prolonged freeze of several hours with low temperatures ranging from the mid and upper teens in far northern zones to lower and mid 20s farther south. This could be our coldest night so far this winter season so remember to take the necessary precautions to winterize around your home ahead of this extended period of sub-freezing temperatures.

Below average temperatures will prevail through early next week with another reinforcing dry cold front passing through the area on Monday. This will also maintain low relative humidity values so fire danger concerns will persist with no rainfall expected until the mid-week timeframe. The increasing rain chances by Wednesday will come as a result of an increasingly active SW flow regime with the first in a series of disturbances expected to impact the region on Wednesday into Thursday. This should bring widespread rainfall with additional signals pointing to an extended period of unsettled weather into next weekend, certainly a promising sign to help combat our ongoing drought and fire weather concerns.

/19/

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 546 PM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

VFR across the airspace this evening as some mid and high cloud remains in place. The eastern third of the region will continue to see BKN/OVC mid level CIGs through the first few hours after sunset, but by the time we get towards midnight, trends point towards clearing skies for all heading into the overnight. Into Saturday, cold temperatures overnight may support some frost on parked aircraft through sunrise. The morning will start VFR with mostly SKC along the I-20 terminals, with SCT/BKN mid level coverage across the I-30 terminals. This will spread south through the afternoon as as another weak boundary cuts across the airspace. Northerly winds at the terminals are expected through the period, averaging around 10kts.

RK

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1227 PM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

Spotter activation will not be needed through early next week.

/19/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 35 51 26 52 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 36 51 26 49 / 10 0 0 0 DEQ 27 44 16 49 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 32 47 22 51 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 31 47 21 47 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 33 49 25 54 / 0 10 0 0 GGG 32 49 23 54 / 0 10 0 0 LFK 36 53 27 54 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.