textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1006 PM CST Sat Dec 13 2025

- Coldest temperatures of the season expected across the region tonight.

- Temperatures in the teens and 20s tonight may damage or kill sensitive vegetation and could pose a threat to persons vulnerable to the cold.

- Temperatures will trend much warmer by midweek, with increased rain chances.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 940 AM CST Sun Dec 14 2025

Arctic high pressure continues to build across the region this morning with most locations across the ArkLaTex in the 30s and 40s along with northeast winds around 15 to 20 mph with higher gusts. Based on recent model guidance, winds have likely peaked and will gradually diminish to around 10 mph by mid-afternoon. Wind chill values from the upper 20s into the 30s expected today.

CLearing skies from the north expected today. The combination of clear skies and light winds tonight will yield the coldest temperatures of the season with lows in the upper teens across SW AR and the low to mid 20s elsewhere. Conditions still remain just above criteria for a Cold Weather Advisory as light winds will keep wind chill values close to ambient temperatures. However, could see a pocket of wind chill values in the mid to upper teens across portions of north Louisiana near daybreak.

Surface high to shift east on Monday, allowing for southeast winds to return with warmer afternoon highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Expect another night of subfreezing temperatures across southeast Oklahoma, southwest Arkansas, and north Louisiana on Monday night with lows from the mid 20s to lower 30s and slightly warmer elsewhere.

On Tuesday, a broad upper-trough to emerge into Texas and Oklahoma as the surface high across the ArkLaTex shifts eastward. Surface and upper-level moisture to increase across the ArkLaTex with showers possible by Tuesday evening.

Mid-latitude cyclone to develop and push a cold front through the region on Wednesday night into Thursday, increasing rain chances areawide. Because most of the stronger forcing will remain ahead of the upper-low across the Great Plains, not expecting much in the way of strong convection or heavy rainfall across the ArkLaTex. Cooler temperatures expected on Friday as high pressure builds behind the front with afternoon highs in the 50s and lower 60s and lows in the 40s with temperatures rebounding once again through the weekend. /05/

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1128 AM CST Sun Dec 14 2025

The back edge of the MVFR cigs will continue to rapidly diminish from NE to SW across portions of E TX/Wcntrl LA through mid- afternoon, with VFR conditions (SKC) expected in their wake this afternoon and evening. Some areas of thin cirrus may spill SE across the area after 06Z Monday through the end of the TAF period, before thickening from the W late Monday afternoon into Tuesday morning. NE winds 10-15kts with gusts to 25kts this afternoon will quickly become ENE and diminish to 5kts or less after 00Z. /15/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1006 AM CST Sun Dec 14 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 44 26 50 35 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 39 22 45 29 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 41 20 45 28 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 41 23 47 33 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 37 19 45 27 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 46 27 51 39 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 45 24 50 34 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 52 26 53 34 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.