textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 112 AM CDT Fri May 15 2026

- Above normal temperatures will continue across the region on Friday and Saturday, along with dry conditions.

- A more unsettled weather pattern will take shape Sunday afternoon and continue through much of next week, with the potential for daily scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 112 AM CDT Fri May 15 2026

Current surface analysis shows a weak sfc front along the Interstate 49 corridor of Louisiana and Arkansas. This frontal boundary will continue to lift back ENE across the region overnight as a warm front, bringing an end to slightly cooler and less humid conditions that moved into portions of the region on Thursday. In wake of the warm front, upper ridging will continue to push into the region, while gradually flattening out. This will keep dry conditions in place for today, along with warm conditions, as southerly flow ramps up in response to developing sfc cyclogenesis across the Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles. Expect southerly winds from 12-17 mph today, with gusts 20-25 mph at times. Temperatures this afternoon will also top out well above normal, with highs climbing into the upper 80s to lower 90s.

Friday night into Saturday, the flatten ridge will continue to shift east of the region. The upper pattern will then become more southwesterly. Southerly flow will remained elevated, but winds should remain below Wind Advisory criteria. We should see mostly dry conditions, but some progs are hinting at some slight POPs north of Interstate 30 on Saturday morning, as a weak disturbance moves across the flow. On Sunday, models have trended towards some seabreeze convection moving into our Louisiana zones, mainly east of Interstate 49 during the afternoon hours. But, this convection is expected to diminish after sunset. Long-term progs suggest the southwesterly flow will ramp up by Monday and continue through a good portion of next week, bringing us daily shower and thunderstorm chances. However, there is still some uncertainty among the models with timing and placement of convection. Also, with this being May, we can't rule out the possibility of severe weather, so continue to monitor the forecast for updates as we approach next week. /20/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 548 AM CDT Fri May 15 2026

Thin cirrus will continue to infiltrate our region through the TAF period with some increase in high AC by this afternoon through tonight. Starting to see some low level stratus with ceilings near 1kft in the vicinity of the TYR terminal so will keep the TEMPO through 15z to account for this at both the TYR and LFK terminals. We should see a cu field develop across at least the western half of our airspace through the late morning and afternoon hours. With a tightening pressure gradient in place and continuing to tighten through the day, look for sustained winds near 10-16kts with gusts upwards of 18-25kts by late morning and continuing through the afternoon. Look for the strongest southerly winds across the western half of our airspace as well.

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SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 112 AM CDT Fri May 15 2026

Spotter activation will not be needed through this weekend. /20/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 93 72 88 71 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 91 71 87 68 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 89 70 88 68 / 0 10 0 0 TXK 92 71 90 70 / 0 10 0 0 ELD 90 71 87 68 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 90 71 87 72 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 93 71 88 71 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 92 70 88 73 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.