textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1123 AM CST Thu Jan 8 2026
- A Wind Advisory remains in place through this afternoon for portions of northeast Texas.
- Near-record warm temperatures continue through Friday. Mixed with the dry conditions, we continue to have fire weather concerns with multiple burn bans in effect.
- Thunderstorm chances increase this afternoon and will continue for portions of the area through Friday afternoon.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1123 AM CST Thu Jan 8 2026
Radar imagery late this morning shows some isolated light showers across portions of the area with more robust convection well north of our area in eastern Oklahoma. Thinking that showers and thunderstorms will remain isolated in nature through the remainder of the afternoon. Short range guidance is indicating that there could be some more intense convection across portions of our northern zones later this evening and through the overnight hours as a cold front begins to move through that could produce some strong to severe storms mainly after 00z.
The cold front will be slow to move through the region, with it lingering into the day Friday. This will bring an additional chance for some convection during the late afternoon hours and into the overnight hours Friday. This convection could be much more robust than today, with damaging winds, severe hail, isolated tornadoes, and some heavy rain potential from training storms. Once this convection moves out of the region late Friday into Saturday morning we will see an improvement in conditions. Behind the passing front we will get some decent CAA that will set the stage for more seasonable temperatures starting Saturday and continuing through the middle of next week with some sub-freezing temperatures Sunday night into Monday morning.
Surface observations are picking up on the tighter pressure gradient over central and eastern Texas where winds have been sustained around 15-20 mph and gusts have peaked between 30-40 mph. Thus, a Wind Advisory remains in place through 4 PM for our far western counties in east Texas. /33/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 547 PM CST Thu Jan 8 2026
Many sites have MVFR/IFR cigs prevailing at the beginning of the period. In general, ceilings should improve over the next several hours until they begin to fall overnight tonight. Surface winds are also dying down to a more manageable speed out of the S/SW until they shift northerly and then easterly beginning around 09/09z with the cold frontal passage. There may be some fog development in areas tomorrow morning. However, there is much less confidence on this compared to the high confidence of low ceilings areawide. Central and eastern sites are likely to see LIFR cigs around and after daybreak Thursday that will be slow to lift. Another round of showers and thunderstorms will become more of a focus Thursday afternoon that will likely continue past this period's conclusion. /57/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1200 PM CST Wed Jan 7 2026
Spotter activation may be needed Friday as thunderstorm chances increase along and ahead of a strong cold front. Severe weather may be possible.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 65 74 50 59 / 30 70 80 10 MLU 67 74 55 63 / 50 80 90 20 DEQ 46 68 40 54 / 10 30 40 0 TXK 57 70 47 56 / 30 50 60 0 ELD 60 71 47 57 / 50 60 90 10 TYR 56 71 44 56 / 10 60 40 0 GGG 59 73 44 57 / 10 70 60 0 LFK 64 74 47 59 / 10 70 80 10
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.
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