textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1100 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026
- Showers and thunderstorms again possible on Sunday. Those with outdoor activities scheduled should plan accordingly. Remember, when thunder roars, go indoors! - Periods of locally heavy rainfall on Sunday will bring a localized flooding threat across some areas. Remember, turn around, don't drown!
- Peak afternoon heat index values by the middle of next week may approach 105 degrees. Summertime heat safety plans should be reviewed and readied.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1100 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026
An upper-low centered across the Texas Panhandle has been the main driver for convection across the region this evening. With the loss of diurnal heating, overall convective intensity is expected to diminish. However, lingering showers and thunderstorms may remain possible through much of the overnight hours due to an overall unstable atmosphere rich in gulf moisture remaining in place.
The upper-low will move northeast on Sunday with low-level moisture advection continuing. Could see convection redeveloping along and south of I-20 as early as mid-morning, increasing in coverage throughout the afternoon. A few strong storms may be possible north of I-30 during the afternoon and evening.
In the wake of the departing upper-low, an upper-level ridge in the Gulf of America is forecast to build north across the ArkLaTex and remain firmly established through much of the the workweek. Subsidence associated with the ridge will allow for mainly dry conditions and afternoon high temperatures in the mid 90s from Wednesday onward. Afternoon heat index values approaching 105 degrees may also be a concern nearly areawide each day.
A weak frontal boundary to drift south across the region late in the work-week providing enough low-level instability to generate a few afternoon showers and thunderstorms beneath the prevailing upper-ridge on Friday. /05/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 630 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026
VFR ceilings generally prevail this evening despite pockets of convection. Expect these conditions to continue through about midnight where then ceilings will drop to lower-end MVFR and IFR. Ceilings will remain low until around mid-morning on Sunday where they will gradually lift and eventually reach VFR Sunday afternoon. Convection will be a challenge to contend with through the TAF period. Current convection should gradually wane through late evening, however, a squall line may approach western terminals (mainly TYR) around or just after midnight before weakening and pushing east towards GGG, TXK, and SHV. Thereafter, scattered convection is likely to develop toward 12z area-wide and continue through the rest of the TAF period. Winds will be gusty and erratic around thunderstorms and TEMPO groups will likely be needed as trends hopefully become more clear into Sunday. Outside of convection, SE winds tonight will decrease to 5kts or less overnight before shifting S/SW early Sunday and increasing to around 10-12kts with occasional gusts 18-20kts.
CK
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1100 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026
Spotter activation should not be needed through tonight but may be needed on Sunday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 73 87 76 92 / 50 40 10 10 MLU 74 89 76 92 / 30 50 20 30 DEQ 70 85 72 90 / 70 80 40 10 TXK 73 89 75 94 / 60 70 30 10 ELD 72 86 74 91 / 50 70 20 20 TYR 73 88 75 93 / 30 40 10 10 GGG 73 88 75 93 / 40 50 10 10 LFK 73 88 75 92 / 30 40 10 10
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.
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