textproduct: Shreveport

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1249 AM CDT Tue Mar 17 2026

- An areawide freeze will occur overnight into the early morning hours on Tuesday.

- A gradual warmup will continue through most of the rest of the work week (temperatures in the upper 80s are likely by the end of the week).

- Dry conditions will persist, reintroducing drought development and wildfire potential through the weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1249 AM CDT Tue Mar 17 2026

Winds are finally relaxing across the Four State Region, allowing for some maximization of radiational cooling with only some lingering high clouds holding back more time from the radiation process. After the overnight freeze and continuing through the rest of the week, is a very gradual warmup with no significant chance of rain through next weekend. This is due to persistent ridging with a ridge axis that shifts along and east of the Mississippi River Valley by Wednesday, positioning southerly flow and subsequent warm air advection across the Four State Region into the weekend (mid-to upper 80s, even some 90s are not out of the question by next Friday).

Long-range guidance is beginning to gain some certainty on the next frontal passage by early next week as ridging breaks down. A reprieve from near record 90-degree temperatures this weekend is slowly becoming more likely next week. What remains much less certain is any impactful convection or precipitation associated with that frontal boundary as it approaches the area. /16/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 653 AM CDT Tue Mar 17 2026

For the 17/12z TAF period...Expect VFR conditions throughout the TAF period with mid and high clouds moving across the region. Light & variable to calm winds this morning will become southerly between 5-10 mph by this afternoon. /20/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1249 AM CDT Tue Mar 17 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 58 42 72 51 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 55 37 71 48 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 57 37 71 44 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 58 43 73 51 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 55 38 70 47 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 61 45 74 53 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 60 42 74 50 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 60 40 74 49 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT this morning for ARZ050-051- 059>061-070>073.

LA...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT this morning for LAZ001>006- 010>014-017>022.

OK...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT this morning for OKZ077.

TX...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT this morning for TXZ096-097- 108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.


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