textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1227 AM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

- A passing cold front overnight will bring more seasonable temperatures for Saturday.

- The frontal boundary will eventually lift back northward as a warm front later on in the weekend, pushing temperatures much higher once again.

- Above average temperatures will prevail through much of next week with rain chances increasing slightly for Tuesday into Wednesday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1227 AM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

After unseasonably warm temperatures and even a few record highs set on Friday, a cold front advancing through the region overnight through early this morning will allow temperatures to settle back closer to seasonal averages later today. Most of the region will see a range of 60s for highs this afternoon under mostly sunny skies followed by a seasonably cool night with overnight lows ranging from the mid 30s to mid 40s from north to south. However, these cooler temperatures won't be sticking around for very long as that frontal boundary will eventually begin to lift back north later on this weekend so expect warmer temperatures to return for Sunday. All in all, it looks to be quite pleasant for all of our weekend Mardi Gras festivities across the region.

The warming trend will continue into early next week as an upper level ridge settles across the region. As the ridge shifts east on Tuesday, a closed upper low lifting slowly NE from the Baja region into northern Mexico will become an open wave with the associated trough bringing our next chance of rain to parts of the region by Tuesday into Wednesday. Unfortunately, forecast rainfall amounts are quite meager at best with some areas possibly missing out on the rain altogether given the lack of any surface fronts to help provide additional forcing. Consequently, don't expect any change in air mass either with above average temperatures prevailing through late next week.

By the end of next week into early next weekend, another trough will likely arrive in some form with additional rain chances for our region. However, significant timing differences along with the strength and evolution of this trough in the medium range guidance continue to bring much uncertainty to this part of the forecast at this time. For now, NBM guidance is trending with the highest rain chances for late Friday into Friday night and gradually tapering back through the day on Saturday for next weekend. This scenario will warrant more fine tuning of the forecast as greater consensus comes into focus over the next week.

/19/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 554 AM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

For the ArkLaTex terminals, surface high over the midWest extends light NE winds down the entire MS River Valley. Skies will remain SKC with few cirrus occasionally. The sfc high is drifting E overnight after this touch and go today. Our NE5-15KT will veer to E/SE light and even calm overnight, resuming SE5-10KT early on Sunday. Warmer trend into next week with increasing mid and high clouds. Some convection for late Tuesday and overnight with a weakening upper low in the SW to NW flow aloft this midweek. /24/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1227 AM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

Spotter activation is not expected through this weekend.

/19/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 66 43 75 55 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 60 37 72 52 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 61 36 71 46 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 63 41 74 53 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 59 36 72 50 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 69 47 76 55 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 68 44 76 54 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 70 45 75 53 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.