textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 153 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

- Typical summer heat and humidity will persist through the 4th of July holiday weekend, with near heat advisory conditions.

- Upper ridge axes to our east and west will leave our region in an induced area of weak troughing that will gradually allow for increasing rain chances through the holiday weekend and the first half of next week.

- Forecast uncertainty remains beyond the middle of next of week with some indications of the two ridge axes exerting greater influence across our region late next week, which would mean a trend toward hotter and drier conditions once again.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 153 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

Upper ridging remains northeast of the region, but the center of the ridge has shifted eastward across the Mid-Atlantic states. On the backside of the ridge, an influx of Gulf moisture continues to funnel into our forecast area. This moisture combined with daytime heating has already induced some widespread isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms over the region. With more heating left in the day, expect additional convection to develop through the afternoon, before diminishing in coverage after sunset this evening. For areas that see rain, you could get somewhat of a break from the heat, as temperatures are expected to top out in the low to mid 90s. We should remain just below our heat hazard criteria, but heat indices will still climb between 100-105, so please continue to exercise heat safety precautions. For the 4th of July Holiday, the aforementioned ridge will weaken as it shifts eastward off the Atlantic Coast. In wake of the ridge, a trough axis will dive southward through the Ozarks to near the Louisiana/Arkansas state line, while another ridge axis develops across the Southwest CONUS into West Texas. The presence of the trough axis, along with the continuous advection of Gulf moisture in the region, will likely yield more shower and thunderstorm coverage during peak heating hours tomorrow afternoon. So for those outdoors, please take the appropriate precautions for both heat safety as well as lightning and other hazards from thunderstorms. Remember, When Thunder Roars, Go Indoors!

Rain chances are expected to remain in the forecast through at least the first half of next week, as weak troughing will remain across the region. We could see a break in rain coverage by the end of week, as models hint at the previously mentioned Southwest CONUS ridge sliding eastward towards our region, while upper ridging develops over the Gulf. Many uncertainties remain in the long-term, so continue to monitor the forecast for updates. At the very least, continue to prepare for heat and lightning safety if planning to be outdoors for the remainder of the holiday weekend into next week. /20/

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 624 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

For the 04/00Z TAFs, thunderstorms are trending down, but a few scattered pop up storms are still possible for the next hour or two. After storms dissipate, cloud decks will scatter out and only a few high clouds will prevail through the night. Some light mist is possible near daybreak, but impactful reductions of VSBY/CIGs are not anticipated. VFR conditions will continue with a rebuilding Cu deck by late morning, and scattered storm development by midday, continuing through the end of this forecast period. Prevailing winds will remain light and variable throughout, becoming westerly during the day tomorrow, with localized gusts possible in the vicinity of stronger storms.

/26/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 153 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

Although spotter activation is not expected at this time, spotter reports may be needed with scattered afternoon thunderstorms over the Independence Day weekend, including the possibility of a few isolated strong to severe thunderstorms. /20/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 76 93 77 93 / 20 40 20 40 MLU 76 95 77 93 / 20 30 20 70 DEQ 73 93 73 94 / 20 30 20 20 TXK 75 94 75 95 / 20 40 20 20 ELD 74 92 74 92 / 20 50 20 50 TYR 77 96 77 97 / 20 20 10 10 GGG 76 95 77 96 / 20 30 20 20 LFK 76 95 76 95 / 20 20 10 20

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.