textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1226 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026
- Heat index values will approach or briefly exceed 100 degrees through the coming afternoons. Sensitive groups should take necessary precautions and limit outdoor exposure.
- Mostly dry conditions will continue through Thursday, before scattered thunderstorms return to our northern zones Friday and Saturday.
- More widespread showers and storms will return Sunday and continue into early next week, putting a dent afternoon heat and potentially providing some relief from drought conditions.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1226 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026
A few isolated light showers have been developing across portions of east Texas through this morning, to an extent which short range models have been struggling to capture. Thus expanded PoP coverage north to I-20 and eastward into the afternoon to account for effects of additional daytime heating. Not anticipating significant impacts with these showers. This evening will see temperatures drop into the middle to upper 70s, and another chance for patchy fog near or just before daybreak in the vicinity of Toledo Bend and adjacent sites across our southernmost counties and parishes.
While upper level high pressure over the Gulf Coast states remains in control, dry and hot conditions will prevail through tomorrow, as highs again take aim at the low to middle 90s. Dew points in the 70s will again cause heat indices to take aim at the century mark, with sites potentially exceeding "feels like" values of 100 degrees for a couple hours, but values are not sufficiently high nor widespread enough to merit a Heat Advisory at this time. A couple isolated pop up showers cannot be ruled out, but widespread rain chances will remain negligible through Thursday evening.
This ridge-dominated upper level pattern will begin to change late in the week, as the ridge contracts and retrogrades westward enough to allow for upper level forcing along a southward moving boundary to return thunderstorms to the ArkLaTex overnight Thursday into Friday, arriving from the northwest late and remaining largely north of the I-20 corridor through the day Friday, based on the latest guidance surrounding the position of the aforementioned boundary. Rainfall chances look to linger Saturday across our northeastern zones, primarily southwestern Arkansas.
By late in the weekend, the persistent upper level ridge looks to break down completely, opening the door to weak disturbances drifting through pseudo-zonal flow aloft. Such a forcing mechanism moving in from the north will join with a surface boundary and sufficiently moist environment to yield scattered to numerous storms Sunday, continuing through to the tail end of this extended forecast period and making for a soggy start to next week. While the ridge holds together, and rainfall coverage remains scattered, afternoon highs still look to reach the low to middle 90s through the weekend, before persistent widespread rains early next week return highs to the 80s Monday and Tuesday, while morning lows trend from the middle to upper 70s back into the lower 70s and upper 60s.
/26/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1242 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026
For the 10/18Z TAF update, the late spring/early summer pattern continues with VFR vis/cigs and another round of MVFR cigs by 11/09Z through 11/15Z. While some VCSH may linger until 11/00Z, southerly winds gain speed near 15 kts (gusting to 20kts) by the end of the period. /16/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1234 AM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026
Spotter activation is not expected over the next couple of days. /24/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 77 95 79 94 / 0 0 0 20 MLU 77 96 79 95 / 0 0 0 10 DEQ 78 93 76 89 / 0 0 60 60 TXK 78 96 79 93 / 0 0 20 50 ELD 77 94 78 91 / 0 0 10 50 TYR 77 95 78 95 / 0 0 10 10 GGG 77 95 78 95 / 0 0 0 10 LFK 75 94 76 95 / 0 0 0 10
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.
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