textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1200 PM CDT Thu Apr 9 2026
- We can expect 80s across the board today as our warming trend continues, and yet not much 24 hour change on our dew points.
- Isolated showers will skirt nearby our southern tier of Parishes and Counties in the short term with an uptick in min RH levels.
- Strong Severe storms may be possible across portions of the ArkLaTex from Sunday through midweek.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1134 AM CDT Thu Apr 9 2026
Southerly flow resulting from high pressure to the east will maintain a continued warming trend along with increasing moisture across the region. High temperatures to climb into the mid to upper 80s across much of Louisiana and south Arkansas by Saturday with overnight lows in the low to mid 60s areawide by Sunday morning. Dry conditions to prevail across much of the ArkLaTex through the early part of the weekend with the exception of scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms possible across portions of east Texas and southeast Oklahoma on Friday afternoon.
Pattern to become more active as we move into Sunday as upper- level ridge shifts east and southwest flow becomes firmly established areawide. This upper-level pattern will remain in- place through the remainder of the forecast period ending Wednesday, resulting in increased atmospheric instability and a continuous fetch of Pacific moisture across the ArkLaTex. At this time, a broad SPC 15% risk area for severe thunderstorms encompasses much of central Texas, remaining just west of the ArkLaTex for Sunday. Considering the degree of uncertainty regarding the different model solutions over the past couple of days, it is not out of the question that a few strong to severe thunderstorms could be possible across east and northeast Texas as southeast Oklahoma on Sunday evening.
On Monday, the mid-level jet is forecast to increase with moisture advection continuing across much of the midwest into the Red-River Valley of north Texas. The combination of steepening lapse rates at the time of peak heating could allow for a severe weather threat across portions of northeast Texas and southeast Oklahoma on Monday afternoon and evening with all modes of severe weather possible.
With the pattern remaining nearly unchanged as we move into Tuesday and Wednesday, an afternoon and evening severe weather threat remains possible both days. At this time, an SPC 15% severe weather outlook clips McCurtain and Red River counties on Tuesday, while on Wednesday the SPC severe weather threat area encompasses the vast majority of the ArkLaTex. Expect adjustments these outlooks are as we move closer to each of these event days.
The main takeaway is that an active weather pattern capable of producing any to all modes of severe weather could be possible each afternoon and evening somewhere in the ArkLaTex from Sunday through next Wednesday. /05/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 523 AM CDT Thu Apr 9 2026
VFR conditions should prevail through much of our airspace through the 24hr TAF cycle. Did tempo MVFR ceilings at the LFK and TYR terminals early this morning as IR Imagery is indicating some brief ceilings near 1kft that could skirt these two terminal locations. We will however see a descent cu field by late morning through the afternoon hours across much of our airspace. Also look for this high clouds to return across our airspace late today and through the overnight hours. With the aid of mixing, winds will become S to SE with sustained speeds near 7-12kt with higher gusts, mainly across our NE TX terminal locations through the daytime hours Today.
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SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1217 AM CDT Thu Apr 9 2026
Spotter activation is not expected through this work week. /24/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 82 61 84 62 / 0 0 10 0 MLU 83 58 85 60 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 80 56 82 57 / 0 0 20 0 TXK 83 61 84 62 / 0 0 10 0 ELD 82 58 83 59 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 82 62 82 63 / 0 0 20 10 GGG 82 61 83 61 / 0 0 20 10 LFK 82 62 80 62 / 0 0 30 10
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.
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