textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1212 AM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026
- While we will remain below heat headline criteria, summertime heat will persist across the region.
- Scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms will remain possible through Saturday across portions of the area.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1212 AM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026
Upper-level ridging remains over the Desert Southwest this evening and will keep the Ark-La-Tx on its eastern fringes at least through the remainder of the week. This ridge will keep heat as the primary concern with little in the way of meaningful rain. Relatively lower dewpoints have been mixing down to the surface over the past several days, which will keep heat indices lower and keep us away from Heat Advisory criteria should the trend continue. Some scattered pop-up thunderstorms are likely during the afternoon hours with the ample low-level moisture present, but WPC D1-3 QPF estimates are still generally less than 0.25 inches. The heat and lack of accumulating rain will continue to keep worsening drought and fire weather conditions a focus for the near future.
By Sunday, the western high and the subtropical high over the Southeast US are expected to strengthen on either side of the Four State Region. Should this happen, the differing upper-level flow could create more of a disparity between the areas that see rain. The NBM is targeting parts of Deep East TX and Central LA as the most likely locations for rain beginning early next week, which could be due to the more southerly flow aloft in these areas. This is only one possible solution, as models continue to disagree on the synoptic setup this far out. The most likely scenario continues to include warm temperatures with some rain chances during the afternoons.
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AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 659 PM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026
VFR conditions will continue through the 06/00Z TAF period. Isolated convection will persist across portions of the region through mid-evening before diminishing, but should not affect any of the area terminals. However, elevated cigs from this convection will likely linger this evening across the region before thinning, with the potential for elevated cu redevelopment possible even into the overnight hours. Brief low MVFR cigs also can't be ruled out by/after 12Z Thursday across portions of Deep E TX and possibly affecting LFK once again, before lifting/scattering out by mid-morning. A scattered cu field should again develop across the region by late morning/midday, with isolated to widely scattered convection again possible by mid and late afternoon. However, low confidence and brevity precludes mention in the TAF's attm. Light SSE or Lt/Vrb winds tonight will become SSW 5-8kts after 15Z, with locally higher wind gusts possible in/near the convection. /15/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 115 PM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 95 76 95 76 / 20 0 10 0 MLU 96 74 96 75 / 20 0 10 0 DEQ 97 73 95 72 / 0 0 0 10 TXK 98 76 97 75 / 10 0 10 10 ELD 95 74 95 74 / 20 0 10 10 TYR 97 75 96 75 / 10 0 10 0 GGG 97 74 96 74 / 10 0 10 0 LFK 94 74 94 73 / 10 10 10 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.
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