textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1144 AM CDT Thu May 7 2026 - Locally heavy rainfall may be possible with storms on Friday into Friday evening across portions of Deep East Texas and north Louisiana

- Periods of convection are forecast to continue through much of the weekend.

- Can't rule out at least some strong storms this weekend with mainly dry conditions expected from early to mid week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1144 AM CDT Thu May 7 2026

A weak frontal boundary across the northern gulf will lift north and stall across east Texas and central Louisiana on Friday. Low to mid level southerly flow to increase allowing for moisture to surge north across the region. High moisture values ahead of an upper-low translating east across south Texas will allow for the possibility of heavy rainfall in the vicinity of the front across mainly Deep East Texas and north Louisiana on Friday afternoon into Friday night.

A series of shortwave troughs to move east across the region bringing continued chances for showers and thunderstorms on Saturday into Saturday evening and again on Sunday night.

Late in the weekend, upper-level flow to become northwest bringing a mainly dry pattern characterized by mostly sunny skies through midweek. However, there are some indications that weak impulses translating southeast within the mean flow aloft could allow for a few convective complexes to dive into the Ozarks and into the Lower-Mississippi River valley on Tuesday and again on Thursday. Mesoscale convective signals within northwest flow aloft reflected in the models several days out should be seen as more of a suggestion rather than a certainty. However, the overall pattern will need to continue to be monitored for the possibility of strong convective storms that may impact the northern parts of the ArkLaTex next week. /05/

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1248 PM CDT Thu May 7 2026

Mostly VFR conditions will continue through the 07/18Z TAF period. The back edge of the stratocu cigs will be clearing NCntrl LA by mid-afternoon in wake of a cold front that has settled into the Nrn Gulf, although areas of elevated AC/cirrus cigs will persist areawide this afternoon and tonight. A weak cu field has developed over portions of SE OK/SW AR/extreme NE TX, but should make only minimal headway farther S this afternoon with the continuation of mixing of the much drier air aloft, and will diminish around or shortly after 00Z Friday. Low AC cigs should begin to increase from the SW this evening and affect the E TX/N LA terminals, before eventually spreading NE into Srn AR after 06Z. A Srly low level return flow will commence across E TX late tonight, which should result in the return of MVFR cigs at LFK by or shortly before 12Z, which will eventually spread NNE into E TX/WCntrl LA through mid-morning. Ahead of these low cigs, a low VFR cu field should develop and spread NNE into E TX/Wrn LA after daybreak Friday, with isolated to scattered -SHRA developing along this returning moisture/attendant warm front after 12Z. Have added VCSH for the E TX terminals, although the potential exists for this to spread elsewhere across the region Friday afternoon. NNE winds 5-10kts this afternoon will become Lt/Vrb after 00Z. /15/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1207 AM CDT Thu May 7 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

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PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 75 58 77 63 / 0 10 40 40 MLU 75 56 77 63 / 0 10 30 50 DEQ 74 47 78 55 / 0 0 0 30 TXK 74 54 79 60 / 0 0 10 40 ELD 74 51 77 58 / 0 0 10 40 TYR 73 57 77 63 / 0 10 40 40 GGG 74 57 77 63 / 0 10 40 40 LFK 75 61 76 65 / 0 10 70 70

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.