textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1153 AM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

- Mostly quiet weather expected over the next week, with a series of frontal boundaries keeping temperatures near seasonal normals through early next week.

- The cold front Tuesday night into Wednesday will bring some slight rain chances, mainly in our southern zones.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1153 AM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

Other than some high clouds streaming over the region ahead of a closed upper trough in northern Mexico, quiet conditions remain under surface high pressure. Afternoon temperatures should be very similar to yesterday, with highs ranging from the mid 50s to around 60 degrees. Overnight lows will fall into the 30s areawide again tonight, but cloud cover should keep the lows in the mid to upper 30s. The few exceptions could be McCurtain County, OK and in adjacent areas north of I-30 in SW Arkansas, where temps could still fall to near freezing. Not much change is expected with the sky coverage over the next 24 hours, as high clouds will continue to develop and stream over the region ahead of that trough as it shifts east towards the area. However, high pressure is expected to start slowly pushing eastward by late tomorrow morning, resulting in the return of southwesterly winds and slightly warmer afternoon temperatures. Highs should climb back into the low to mid 60s areawide. The previous mentioned closed trough is expected to open up and weaken as it moves into the region by tomorrow afternoon. Despite this, models still hint at a slight chance for some light rain across our Deep East Texas and adjacent Central Louisiana zones tomorrow afternoon. This could yield some slightly cooler afternoon temperatures in those zones if the rain materializes. Expect the warming trend to continue Tuesday night, with lows in the low to mid 40s.

Eventually, the upper level pattern will drive another front into the region by Wednesday morning. The forecast remains dry based on past model runs, but a few isolated showers can't be completely ruled out along the boundary as it sweeps through the region based on this morning's model runs. Strong northwest winds will follow in wake of the front, with gusts up to 25 mph possible. At this time, Wind Advisories are unlikely, as sustained winds are expected to stay below 20 mph. The public should still exercise caution on area waterways, as those winds will make for choppy conditions.

Cooler temperatures will return on Thursday, with morning lows near and below freezing areawide, and highs struggling to reach 50 degrees. Freezing temperatures should return for most of the region on Friday morning, but a slight warm-up can be expected for Friday's highs as southerly winds return to the region. However, this warming trend will be short-lived, as another cold front will move into the region on Saturday, bringing a return of sub-freezing morning lows and highs in the 50s through early next week. One thing of note with Saturday's frontal passage is the potential for precipitation. There has been some hint that some light wintry precipitation could form with the front as it pushes across the area. However, confidence is low at this time, as long range guidance has been very inconsistent from run to run with this scenario. Because of this, decided to keep forecast dry during this period, as it's our belief that moisture will be very limited. Please continue to stay tuned in for any changes. /20/

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 604 PM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

For the ArkLaTex terminals, cool air mass to our east now with light E/SE wind overnight under SCTvBKN cirrus. We will see some middeck edge across E TX early on Tuesday with the weakening upper low approaching. VCSH possible overnight Tuesday into early Wednesday with our next fropa. Until then, S/SW winds after daybreak with speeds picking up to 10G18KT by late afternoon. SW shifts to NW15KT early on Wednesday 12-16Z with clearing skies for most, perhaps MVFR E of I-49 until late day as winds ease. /24/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1153 AM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

Spotter activation is not expected through the remainder of the current work week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 39 64 46 62 / 0 10 10 0 MLU 34 61 44 60 / 0 0 10 10 DEQ 30 65 39 57 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 38 65 45 60 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 33 62 41 58 / 0 0 0 10 TYR 40 63 44 62 / 0 10 0 0 GGG 37 64 43 63 / 0 10 0 0 LFK 38 60 42 64 / 0 20 20 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.