textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1137 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026

- Upper-level ridge will limit precipitation chances across the area an bring the warmest temperatures of the year this weekend.

- While precipitation chances will be limited, they will not be zero. Some areas will continue to see daily afternoon diurnally driven thunderstorms into early next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1137 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026

Many of the Gulf states are currently under a weak ridge that will bring the warmest temperatures of the year. Temperatures are expected to be in the low to mid 90s across the region through Tuesday afternoon. But southerly winds at the sfc will be keeping dew points in the 70s for the remainder of this weekend and Monday, which will result in heat indices above 100 in places. This is currently below advisory criteria at 105, but people should take caution while outside to prevent heat-related illness. Temperatures will still be solidly in the 90s on Tuesday with the influence of a growing ridge from the southwest. The main factor that is making heat index estimations for Tuesday afternoon lower is a sfc wind shift to the northeast expected early Tuesday morning. This shift would advect relatively drier air into the region. It wouldn't be enough for temperatures to feel much cooler in comparison to this weekend, but may drop heat indices a degree or two further from advisory criteria. This heat will be a particular focus for upcoming forecast packages in case an advisory becomes necessary.

This weak ridge will keep much of the Ark-La-Tx dry apart from some diurnal thunderstorm development in our eastern zones Sunday and Monday afternoons. There could be isolated small hail and gusty winds as is typical for summer afternoon pop-ups, but widespread severe potential isn't expected. Long-range models are showing slightly cooler temperatures beginning on Wednesday, mostly in the mid to upper 80s, that would continue through to next weekend. Models are also showing increasing rain chances and coverage going into the long term period. Current D4-5 QPF has accumulations less than a quarter inch areawide from these showers should the NBM verify, but there is room for some error this far out.

57

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 552 AM CDT Sun May 31 2026

For the 31/12z TAF period...Expect VFR conditions during most of the TAF period, with passing mid and high clouds, along with some afternoon CU. Can't rule out some low cigs at KLFK in the next couple of hours, but confidence too low to include in TAFs at this time. There is also a chance for some isolated thunderstorms across Southern Arkansas during the afternoon and early evening hours, so decided to carry VCTS at KELD. Low clouds could return by the end of the period, mainly at KLFK. /20/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 109 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 94 76 95 75 / 0 0 0 10 MLU 92 75 94 74 / 20 10 10 20 DEQ 92 72 95 72 / 10 0 0 10 TXK 94 75 96 73 / 10 0 0 10 ELD 91 73 94 72 / 20 10 0 20 TYR 95 75 96 75 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 94 76 96 75 / 0 0 0 10 LFK 94 74 94 74 / 0 0 0 10

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.