textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1211 AM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

- Temperatures will remain in the 90s, with heat index values in the lower 100s through the end of the week.

- Rain chances return to the forecast starting mid-week, and continue into the weekend.

- Independence Day forecast looks like it will be hot and muggy.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1211 AM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

Upper-air analysis early this morning is showing the large ridge has centered itself over the western Kentucky/Tennessee border, leaving our area on the western peripheral. While the center of the ridge will continue to slowly push eastward this week, the western portion of the ridge will keep temperatures hot through the rest of the week. Speaking of the heat, it wouldn't be another discussion if we didn't talk about how close we will get to reaching Heat Advisory criteria but not quite reaching a point where we have to actually issue one. Guidance tonight came in slightly lower again with dewpoints for Tuesday, and we will still see some lower amounts of Saharan Dust across the region. So, once again, I think we will be close, and we might have a few locations reach a heat index of 105 to 106 degrees, but it is still not long enough and I am not confident enough that we will need one. So I am going to hold off once again with the caveat that it is still going to be hot, and precautions should be taken if you are to be outdoors for an extended period of time.

Precipitation chances return to the area as Gulf moisture begins to filter back into the area from the south. Tonight's guidance says that Wednesday will be our best chance of seeing any accumulating rainfall, and these chances will be greatest across central Louisiana. Lower but non-zero chances for Thursday and Friday and then a slight upward trend again on Independence Day. Not expecting any widespread convection on any day, more isolated diurnally driven showers at best. One change to the models tonight though, maybe more widespread convection possible on Sunday and into the start of next week, although confidence is pretty low.

/33/

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1223 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

A relaxed pressure gradient to maintain south to southwest winds up to 10 knots today across area terminals. Winds to diminish to near 5 knots overnight and remaining light and variable across most sites on Wednesday with the exception of TYR which could remain southerly and increase to near 10 knots. Otherwise, VFR conditions to prevail across most sites through the period except for MVFR ceilings possible at LFK near daybreak. /05/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1211 AM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 78 95 77 94 / 0 10 10 10 MLU 77 96 77 95 / 0 30 10 10 DEQ 74 94 75 92 / 0 0 0 10 TXK 77 97 77 95 / 0 0 0 10 ELD 76 95 76 94 / 0 20 10 10 TYR 76 97 77 97 / 0 0 0 10 GGG 77 96 78 95 / 0 0 0 10 LFK 76 96 76 94 / 0 10 10 20

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.