textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 154 PM CDT Thu Jul 2 2026

- Summertime heat and humidity will persist through the holiday weekend as we remain on the margins for heat advisory conditions.

- Upper ridging will remain anchored to our to NE over the OH and TN Valleys while weak easterlies continue to undercut the ridge to the south along the Gulf coast, supporting low-end rain chances through at least the first half of the upcoming weekend.

- The pattern will likely become even more favorable for rainfall by Sunday into early next week as the ridge weakens and northwest flow sets up over the eastern half of the CONUS.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 154 PM CDT Thu Jul 2 2026

Warm and humid conditions remain across the region today. Most of the area should remain below heat advisory criteria, but heat indices will still climb to between 100-105 degrees, so please continue to take heat safety precautions. The previously mentioned upper ridge across the Ohio & Tennessee Valley area will expand southwestward into the SE CONUS and Lower Mississippi Valley today. Despite this, rain chances will return across the region today, as an active easterly wave pattern remains in place. In fact, isolated convection has already formed across Deep East Texas this morning. However, due to the placement of the ridge, the low-level moisture influx off the Gulf has shifted westward. This will result in the bulk of the precipitation forming in the western half of the region today, generally for locations along and west of the I-49 corridor. This will include all of East Texas, western Louisiana, McCurtain County in Oklahoma, and adjacent portions of southwest Arkansas. Although an isolated strong to severe storm, with damaging wind gusts, can't be ruled out, the mesoscale features for severe weather are a bit lower today. Friday should be pretty similar to today, but the upper ridge is expected to start an eastward shift along with the afternoon rain chances.

By the upcoming weekend, the ridge will start to weaken as it shifts eastward off the east coast of the CONUS. A more broad weaker ridge will develop across the southern half of the CONUS in wake of the departing ridge, which will allow daily convection to develop with daytime heating. Although widespread severe weather isn't expected, the environment could still be favorable for damaging wind gusts. A more defined ridge will form across the southwest CONUS for the first half of next week. At the same time, an upper trough will backdoor into the SE CONUS and Lower Mississippi Valley, setting up a northwest flow type pattern. This will keep widespread rain chances in the forecast, as disturbances move through the flow.

Despite the potential rain chances, it will remain warm and humid across the region. Please continue exercise heat safety precautions, especially with the increase outdoor activity expected for the upcoming holiday weekend. Also remember, When Thunder Roars, Go Indoors. /20/

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 608 PM CDT Thu Jul 2 2026

For the 03/00z TAF update...VFR conditions currently prevail for all our terminals this evening. We are seeing some isolated convection on radar, so I have mention of VCTS for KTYR, KGGG, and KLFK through the rest of the evening. Still seeing a fairly widespread SCT to FEW CU field around 5k feet for most terminals, expecting this to end later this evening as storms start to die off. Aside from the storms moving through, the only other impact we are anticipating will be for KLFK where CIGs could drop to MVFR/IFR towards Friday morning. /33/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 154 PM CDT Thu Jul 2 2026

Although spotter activation is not expected at this time, spotter reports may be needed with scattered afternoon thunderstorms over the next several days, including the possibility of some isolated strong to severe thunderstorms.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 76 92 77 93 / 20 20 0 30 MLU 76 95 77 95 / 0 0 0 20 DEQ 73 91 73 92 / 10 20 0 30 TXK 75 94 76 94 / 10 20 10 30 ELD 75 93 75 93 / 0 10 0 30 TYR 76 94 78 95 / 20 20 10 20 GGG 76 93 77 95 / 20 20 10 20 LFK 75 94 76 95 / 20 20 10 20

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.