textproduct: Shreveport

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1106 AM CST Sun Dec 28 2025

- A robust cold front will move across the region, supporting the chance for showers and few thunderstorms late this afternoon. - A surge of cold air and gusty northerly winds will arrive in the wake of the frontal boundary as temperatures return to near normal for this time of the year.

- The Wind Advisory set to go into effect at 6 PM CST for portions of East Texas, Southwest Arkansas and Southeast Oklahoma has been expanded to cover the entire forecast area.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1106 AM CST Sun Dec 28 2025

Partly to mostly cloudy skies and temperatures already climbing into the middle and upper 70's this afternoon as gusty southerlies prevail in advance of a robust cold front. This boundary will continue to work into the NW zones over the next 1-2 hours before advancing further south through the late afternoon and early evening. Along and ahead of the front, showers and isolated thunderstorms will be possible, with some lingering precip expected just behind the front, likely stemming from the delayed arrival of the 850 boundary. Hi-res this afternoon continues to dial in on precip wrapping up just after midnight for most, though a weak stray shower or two can't be ruled out.

As previously mentioned, gusty southerlies ahead of the front are already in progress with sustained 10-15 mph winds and gusts between 20-25 mph. Behind the boundary, a tight pressure gradient will continue to support gusty northerly sustained winds between 15-20 mph, with gusts between 30-40 mph. With this in mind, and additional confidence aided by this mornings guidance, the previously issued Wind Advisory has been expanded to now cover the entire forecast area. No changes have been made to the start and expiration times as the advisory is set to go in effect at 6 PM CST this evening, and expire at 6 AM CST Monday. Breezy winds will still exist through the mid and late morning hours of Monday, but not to the degree as those in the immediate wake of the front.

Overnight and into Monday, the airmass associated with the fropa will begin to settle in as many wake up to temperatures in the 30's and low 40's. Daytime highs will struggle to climb out of the 40's for many locations, with a select few seeing a brief period of temperatures around 50 deg F. As the winds begin to drop off and high pressure behind the front begins to influence the region, overnight lows Monday night into Tuesday morning will be a dramatic difference from the 60's last week. Sub-freezing 20's and low 30's will start Tuesday before another day where afternoon highs struggle to exit the 40's. Temperatures are progged to rebound back into the 50's and low 60's by Wednesday with the first day of 2026 averaging in the middle 60's areawide.

/53/

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 550 PM CST Sun Dec 28 2025

VFR conditions are expected through the 00Z TAF period, although various cu and AC cigs will be possible this evening along a strong cold front that will quickly move through the region through 06Z Monday. This front, extending along a HOT, to just SE of a DEQ, to OSA/JDD to NW of CRS line as of 2330Z, will reach a DKR, to SHV, to ELD line between 01-02Z, before reaching MLU by 04Z. A narrow band of SHRA may develop along and just ahead of the front this event, with any -SHRA becoming more post-frontal as the front moves into Lower E TX/N LA. While the lower cu cigs will lift with the fropa, low AC cigs between 9-11kft will linger even behind the front through much of the evening, before diminishing from NW to SE after 06Z. Even as these cigs clear, cirrus cigs will persist over much of the region through the end of the TAF period, although some high based AC cigs may affect portions of E TX from mid morning through the afternoon/evening. SW winds 8-11kts ahead of the front early this evening, will quickly become NW and increase to 15-20kts with gusts to 35kts possible especially with and shortly behind the fropa. /15/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 550 PM CST Sun Dec 28 2025

Spotter activation is not expected through Monday morning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 40 50 30 50 / 40 0 0 0 MLU 40 49 28 46 / 60 0 0 0 DEQ 29 43 22 47 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 34 46 26 48 / 20 0 0 0 ELD 33 45 24 45 / 50 0 0 0 TYR 36 46 29 50 / 20 0 0 0 GGG 36 47 28 49 / 40 0 0 0 LFK 40 52 31 51 / 40 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...Wind Advisory until 6 AM CST Monday for ARZ050-051-059>061- 070>073.

LA...Wind Advisory until 6 AM CST Monday for LAZ001>006-010>014- 017>022.

OK...Wind Advisory until 6 AM CST Monday for OKZ077.

TX...Wind Advisory until 6 AM CST Monday for TXZ096-097-108>112- 124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.


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