textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 200 PM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

- Widespread near to below freezing temperatures are likely tonight and unprotected sensitive vegetation may be adversely impacted.

- A gradual warmup will continue through most of the rest of the work week with dry conditions. Plan accordingly for well above temperatures by the end of the week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 151 PM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

The weather event yesterday brought a lot of severe weather reports, but unfortunately beneficial rainfall was not nearly widespread enough to put a significant dent in the long term area drought. To make matters worse, the potential for rainfall through this weekend is quite low, and this will of course not help the drought and associated fire concerns.

A bit of good news in the short term portion of the forecast is that the combination of gusty northwesterly winds and very low relatively values will ebb after this afternoon as high pressure moves overhead tonight. Some high clouds around at times will prevent absolutely perfect radiational cooling conditions tonight, but the light winds and dry lower atmosphere will still make for quite good radiational cooling and low temperatures are anticipated to range from the mid 20s to near 30 in most areas (on the colder side north, as is usually the case). A Freeze Warning, for mainly sensitive vegetation concerns, was already issued for tonight and looks on track. There is decent potential for tying or breaking many area daily record lows for tomorrow.

But the cold temperatures in the near term look to turn around to warmer than normal from the middle to end of the work week as an anomalously strong upper ridge of pressure begins developing and slowly pushing east into the Four Corners region of the CONUS. Expect high temperatures in the upper 50s to near 60 tomorrow to evolve to the 80 to 85 degree range by Thursday and Friday and to the 85 to 90 range by this weekend. Quite the turn-around! There is some potential in the breadth of NWP solutions for a back door cool front to cool things off a bit early next work week, but the prospect and timing of beneficial rainfall chances peaking back up next week is highly uncertain at this time. /50/

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 631 PM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

VFR conditions will continue through the 17/00Z TAf period. Cirrus cigs rounding the base of the upper trough over the MS and OH Vallies will begin to diminish from N to S this evening, with these cigs shifting S of the area by/shortly after 06Z Tuesday. Some additional thin cirrus will spill SSE into the region by daybreak Tuesday, accompanied by some scattered AC cigs which may impact portions of SE OK/extreme NE TX/SW AR. Cirrus cigs should again increase across the region Tuesday evening/night. Gusty NW winds to start the TAF period will quickly diminish and become Lt/Vrb by 03Z, and persist through at least mid-morning Tuesday. Winds should eventually become SSE 5-8kts after 16Z. /15/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1224 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 29 58 42 73 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 27 55 38 71 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 21 57 37 72 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 27 59 44 74 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 24 56 38 70 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 30 62 45 76 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 27 60 42 75 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 29 61 40 74 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for ARZ050-051-059>061- 070>073.

Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 9 AM CDT Tuesday for ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073.

LA...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for LAZ001>006-010>014- 017>022.

Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 9 AM CDT Tuesday for LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022.

OK...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for OKZ077.

Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 9 AM CDT Tuesday for OKZ077.

TX...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ096-097-108>112- 124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.

Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 9 AM CDT Tuesday for TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.