textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1255 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026

- Scattered showers and thunderstorms are back in the forecast Today and especially Tonight with the aid of returning southerly low level flow and an upper level disturbance. - Unsettled weather will remain in the forecast for some areas Saturday through Sunday with periods of thunderstorms continuing.

- At this time, much of next weeks appears to be dry with a warmup commencing by mid to late next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1255 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026

Mid to high clouds remain plentiful across our entire CWA early this morning but low level moisture will begin returning in earnest near or shortly after sunrise. Isentropic forcing combined with weak upper level ascent in rather benign west to east upper flow to produce scattered convection today, especially south of the I-20 Corridor. Not too concerned about any severe weather potential through the daytime hours today but that could change overnight as a complex of thunderstorms are expected to develop late this afternoon/this evening across Central Oklahoma with the aid of a disturbance embedded in a broad upper level trough axis across the Southern Plains and the Mid Miss Valley. This is supported by some CAM output along with the latest HREF run but just how strong to severe this convection will be as it moves into the Middle Red River Valley late Friday Evening/overnight is anyone's guess, not to mention the degree of storm coverage. Per conversations with SPC, the new Convective Day One Outlook will likely contain a Slight Risk for our far northwest zones for the Friday evening and overnight for the possibility of damaging wind gusts.

Saturday's forecast is complicated by the remnants of the above mentioned shortwave and any convectively induced boundary we will be dealing with after daybreak, not to mention a filling upper level trough moving our way from the Tx Hill Country that will get absorbed into the parent upper trough. There is very little agreement with CAM/deterministic output so have decided to advertise Sat/Sat Night with chance pops for now. For Sunday, we will be dealing with yet another upper level disturbance moving our way in the parent upstream longwave trough with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms impacting at least our northern half during the day with the remainder of our region seeing increasing storm coverage late in the day/overnight before a cold front sweeps all this convection south and east of our region overnight Sunday Night.

Beyond the weekend, upper ridging will remain anchored across the Four Corners Region of the Country and into the Texas Hill Country with broad troughing across the Great Lakes and into the Ohio/Tenn Valleys. The upstream ridging will likely amplify into the Intermountain West by mid to late week. All this to say we look dry most if not all of next week with a warming trend commencing by midweek.

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AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 641 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026

For the 08/12Z TAFs, an unsettled day of weather looks to be in store, as scattered showers are already in progress along and north of the I-20 corridor. Additional convection will push into the I-30 corridor from the west in the coming hours, with storms also approaching our southern airspace from the south this morning. Included TEMPO groups accounting for most likely precip impacts this morning. Lower to mid VFR cloud decks will continue outside of storms, followed by widespread deterioration to MVFR and IFR decks overnight. Light and variable winds will become southeasterly and southerly through the day at speeds of 5 to 10 kts with isolated higher gusts possible in the vicinity of storms.

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SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1255 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026

Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible late in the day Today but especially during the late evening and overnight hours across portions of the Four State Region. Therefore, spotter activation may be required.

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PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 78 64 83 65 / 20 40 40 10 MLU 77 63 82 64 / 30 50 40 10 DEQ 78 56 83 60 / 20 30 20 10 TXK 80 61 85 64 / 20 30 20 10 ELD 77 59 83 61 / 20 30 30 10 TYR 77 65 83 66 / 30 40 30 10 GGG 77 64 83 65 / 30 40 30 10 LFK 77 66 83 66 / 50 50 40 20

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.