textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1200 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026
- Showers and thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon across much of the ArkLaTex. - There will be a chance for more needed widespread rainfall during midweek and along the cold front arriving on Saturday.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1137 AM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026
Surface high across the northeast gulf and a low across the Central Plains will maintain an increased pressure gradient across the ArkLaTex today allowing for southwest winds from 10 to 15 mph this afternoon. Southwest flow at all levels will maintain continued Pacific moisture advection allowing for mostly cloudy skies areawide. A decaying convective complex translating northeast across north Louisiana will serve as the catalyst for convection later today across much of the ArkLaTex. Precipitation to diminish this evening with lingering cloud-cover to persist overnight with temperatures forecast to fall into the mid 60s.
Overall pattern to remain nearly unchanged through Tuesday. With limited low-level forcing to ignite convection, most of the region to remain precipitation free throughout the day. Highs are forecast to climb into the 80s with portions of northeast Louisiana possibly approaching 90 degrees.
An upper-low will swing east across the Midwest on Wednesday evening. Convergence ahead of the trough will enhance the mid- level jet above an already moist and unstable airmass in the vicinity of a weak surface low across Oklahoma. Showers and thunderstorms ongoing across central Oklahoma on Wednesday morning to swing east across the I-30 corridor during the day. Some storms could possibly produce strong gusty winds and small hail during the time of peak heating.
Next impactful weather event will occur late Friday night into Saturday as a frontal boundary moves southeast across the region. Widespread rainfall can be expected through much of Saturday across the ArkLaTex. High pressure building behind the front will allow for an overall shift in the weather pattern with dry conditions to prevail through the remainder of the weekend into Monday along with much cooler temperatures ranging from highs in the 70s and lows in the 40s and 50s. /05/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1243 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026
For the 13/18Z TAF period, a mix of MVFR and low VFR cigs dominate our airspace early this afternoon cu/stratocu decks slowly lift to around 3Kft. This trend will continue through the remainder of the afternoon with spotty showers and isolated thunderstorms starting to develop with a more unstable atmosphere and ample moisture in place. Convective coverage will generally remain scattered at best so have only included VCSH/VCTS wording in the TAFs this afternoon before diminishing shortly after 14/00Z. Otherwise, look for more low stratus to return overnight through Tuesday morning with MVFR and even some intermittent IFR cigs impacting most terminals with the possible exceptions of KELD/KMLU through mid to late morning before gradually improving by the end of the TAF period. Breezy south winds will prevail this afternoon from 6-12 kts on average with higher gusts near 20 kts, then dropping off after 14/00Z.
/19/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1240 AM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026
Spotter activation should not be needed through tonight.
/15/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 66 86 65 86 / 0 0 0 10 MLU 65 88 63 88 / 10 0 0 0 DEQ 62 82 62 80 / 10 10 20 40 TXK 67 86 66 85 / 10 0 0 20 ELD 63 86 61 85 / 10 0 0 10 TYR 68 84 67 84 / 0 10 0 20 GGG 66 84 66 84 / 10 0 0 10 LFK 66 85 66 85 / 0 0 0 10
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.
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