textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 252 PM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

- Seasonal to above average temperatures and mostly dry conditions through the end of the workweek as ridging builds in from the intermountain west.

- Southerly winds will reintroduce higher dew points by Wednesday with more humidity outdoors. Isolated precipitation chances (< 20%) will return each afternoon later this week, with higher chances over the weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 252 PM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

GOES-19 satellite analysis reveals a typical summertime Cu field from daytime heating, yielding partly cloudy skies this afternoon. Ridging will continue its influence centered across the Desert Southwest, extending an axis of subsident air eastward across the southern Great Plains. As it does so, the strength of this axis will dictate certain spatiotemporal windows of opportunity for convection to blossom (mainly within a diurnally-driven pattern). Current persistence trends and high-resolution guidance continues to suggest more efficient mixing and dewpoints in the mid-to- upper 60s that precludes the area from heat advisory criteria at least through tomorrow. These drier conditions have also enhanced surface fuels for wildfire development, especially across East Texas. Travelers should remain cognizant of anything that could spark a fire, such as a dragging tow chain or a discarded cigarette.

Ridging will continue to build further eastward Tuesday onward and low- level return flow (southerly winds) brings moist Gulf air back over the Four State Region. As dew points are progged to rise back into the 70s, and temperatures remain in the mid-to-upper 90s even breaking 100 in some spots, there is increasing confidence (30-50% chance of > 99 degrees) that some point this week there will be a return of heat related headlines as indices approach advisory criteria. Exactly where these products may be issued are still uncertain and will be resolved in future forecasts. Gulf moisture that finds its way overhead will help to support isolated to scattered afternoon showers or thunderstorms, which have continued to be hinted at across mainly our southern and eastern zones through Thursday afternoon. The best rain chances areawide appear to be over the weekend as the intermountain west ridge jogs back to the west, with long range models hinting at some seabreeze related convection making it all the way through the Four State Region. Otherwise, continue to expect temperatures to remain in the mid- to-upper 90s through this time next week.

Cassel/Ozimek

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 644 PM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

VFR conditions will continue through the 04/00Z TAF period. The scattered cu field should continue to diminish early this evening with the loss of diurnal heating, with SKC expected for much of the evening through a portion of the overnight hours. Should see some scattered cu redevelop after 08Z Tuesday across portions of N LA/far Srn AR, with lower cu developing by 15-16Z elsewhere across the region. Could even see some patchy stratocu cigs develop over SE/Deep E TX by/shortly after 12Z, lifting into a scattered cu field here by mid-morning. Look for the scattered cu field to diminish again shortly after 00Z Wednesday. Light ESE or Lt/Vrb winds tonight will become SSW 4-7kts after 15Z. /15/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1230 AM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

Spotter activation is not expected through midweek. /20/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 75 97 77 96 / 0 10 0 10 MLU 72 97 73 97 / 0 0 0 10 DEQ 70 97 72 98 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 74 99 75 99 / 0 0 0 10 ELD 71 96 72 95 / 0 0 0 10 TYR 76 99 78 98 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 74 99 76 98 / 0 10 0 10 LFK 74 97 75 96 / 0 0 0 10

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.