textproduct: Shreveport
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KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 132 PM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026
- Heat will continue throughout the forecast period with highs in the middle to upper 90s. Remaining below hazard criteria, but sensitive groups are advised to take routine precautions.
- Scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms remain possible through the weekend and into early next week, particularly south and east. A few gusty winds are possible.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 132 PM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026
Based on recent diurnally-driven precipitation patterns and expecting similar behavior today, slightly expanded PoPs north from NBM guidance, running along and east of the I-49 corridor this afternoon. Already seeing scattered convection lighting up in central to northern Louisiana, expecting increasing coverage and intensity in the coming hours. As with yesterday, guidance is indicating the potential for elevated wind gusts resulting from decaying storms, particularly across northwest Louisiana. Developing Cu field south and east may limit runaway heating somewhat, but still expecting summer sun to propel temperatures into the upper 90s north and west. Expecting dewpoints to mix out enough to not merit heat headlines at this time.
The upper level pattern keeps the ArkLaTex just beyond the eastern flank of the broad area of high pressure positioned over the Intermountain West and Four Corners region through the end of this week and through the weekend and into next week, thus keeping the forecast in a "rinse and repeat" cycle for the time being, with warm, muggy nights in the 70s, quick warming through the morning to highs in the 90s, and southerly surface a slight chance of scattered afternoon thunderstorms, particularly south and east. This effect may be reinforced by the end of the weekend as a high off the Atlantic coast builds westwards, adding a mid to upper level component to our southerly steering. As of this writing, rain chances have backed off for Friday afternoon, with slight chances just grazing our northern and southern borders, diminishing after sunset and returning each afternoon across our south through at least Tuesday. Afternoon highs look to be moderated slightly tomorrow and Saturday, before warming into next week, especially across east Texas. It remains too soon to assess whether or not heat headlines will be necessary, but will be monitoring closely through the next several forecast cycles. Sensitive groups are still advised to take routine precautions.
Pendleton/Moore
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 655 PM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026
VFR conditions will continue through much if not all of the 07/00Z TAF period. Isolated convection will persist across portions of the region through mid-evening before diminishing, but should not affect any of the area terminals with the exception of ELD. Considerable elevated convective debris will also linger across N LA/Srn AR/portions of extreme Ern TX through much of this evening before thinning, with some residual elevated cu also persisting across portions of the region as well. Should see low MVFR stratocu develop again over portions of Deep E TX/NCntrl LA by/shortly after 12Z Friday, which may result in brief cigs across these areas (and possibly LFK), before lifting into a scattered cu field areawide by late morning/midday. Isolated convection will again redevelop by the mid and late afternoon hours but should have reduced coverage to what was observed earlier this afternoon. Given the low confidence and brevity of this occurring at the area terminals, have omitted VCTS mention in the TAFs attm. SSW winds 3-7kts tonight will become SSW 5-8kts after 15Z. /15/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 132 PM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026
Spotter activation is not expected through tonight.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 75 95 76 94 / 20 10 10 10 MLU 74 95 75 96 / 20 10 10 20 DEQ 73 96 73 96 / 10 10 10 10 TXK 76 95 76 95 / 20 10 10 10 ELD 73 94 74 94 / 20 10 10 10 TYR 76 97 76 97 / 0 10 10 10 GGG 74 96 74 96 / 10 10 10 10 LFK 74 95 74 95 / 10 10 0 10
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.
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