textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1143 AM CDT Thu May 28 2026

- Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are continuing across our far east, northeast and northern zones today as a weak upper level trough continues to advance northward from the Ouachitas in Southeast Oklahoma to the Lower Miss Valley.

- Weak upper ridging builds into the region from the west for the upcoming weekend and that should allow for temperatures to soar.

- The strength of the upper ridge is uncertain as we move into the upcoming work week and that will keep at least small storm chances in the forecast.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1132 PM CDT Thu May 28 2026

An upper-level shortwave trough remains around the southern Central Plains, impeded by the high amplitude ridge over the eastern CONUS. This trough will act as a focus for another round of rainfall Friday afternoon, mainly in our eastern zones, as it progresses northeast through the day. Some of these showers could be briefly severe, but the general lack of organization will keep widespread severe hazards at bay. Rain should end by sunset or soon after and leave lows in the upper 60s to low 70s.

The influence of the larger ridge will return after the shortwave's departure and bring drier and warmer conditions for the weekend. Temperatures will return to the low to mid 90s through the weekend, rounding out the month with slightly above average warmth. One positive is that this heat looks like it will be drier both in terms of lack of organized rain and in humidity values. Recent runs of the NBM have pulled back on the PoPs for this weekend, likely not picking up on as many pockets of ascent in the ridge as before. There could still be afternoon pop-ups with the increasing heat as is typical for an Ark-La-Tx summer, however. As for humidity, tonight's sounding depicted the return of a dry pocket aloft, which has been less defined as of late. Models are suggesting that this trend will be felt closer to the surface this weekend with a southwesterly sfc wind shift. Min RH's could be closer to 40-50% during the afternoon hours, which will help the heat feel less oppressive.

The ridging pattern over us is likely to stick around through early next week, but the exact location and intensity of the ridge has been inconsistent among recent models. The current forecast has daily rain chances beginning again on Monday with temperatures coming back down into the upper 80s Wednesday. This scenario is more in line with a weakening ridge, which would be preferred in order to get the large-scale pattern propagating again. Either way, models will need to align more than they currently are in order to communicate any forecast of confidence.

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AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 227 AM CDT Fri May 29 2026

For the 29/06Z TAF Period...A mix of VFR and IFR conditions across the region. The low cigs and fog will push east overnight into the other TAFs, with LFK and possibly TYR being the exceptions. The low cigs will eventually lift by mid to late morning, with scattered CU and high cigs to follow. Some isolated to widely scattered convection will be possible with daytime heating, with the best chances at KELD/KMLU. This convection should diminish after sunset. /20/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 706 PM CDT Thu May 28 2026

Spotter activation should not be needed through tonight. /15/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 73 93 75 94 / 10 0 0 0 MLU 71 92 74 93 / 10 10 10 10 DEQ 69 91 71 92 / 10 0 0 0 TXK 72 93 73 95 / 10 0 0 0 ELD 69 91 72 92 / 10 10 0 10 TYR 74 92 75 94 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 73 92 75 94 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 73 94 74 94 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.