textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 223 AM CDT Fri May 22 2026

- Widespread rainfall will continue on a daily basis through the first half of next week.

- As soils become saturated from repeated rounds of showers and thunderstorms, the risk of flash flooding will become a concern.

- Also, an isolated strong the severe thunderstorm can't be ruled out during this period.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 223 AM CDT Fri May 22 2026

Most the forecast area saw some much needed rainfall yesterday. Some of this convection continues to linger across portions of our Southwest and South-Central Arkansas zones, along with portions of our Northeast Louisiana zones at this hour. This is in response to a sfc low along a lifting warm front stretched across the Interstate 20 corridor of the region. The front and associated sfc low will continue to lift north through the region during the remainder of the overnight period, but some wrap around convection will remain possible along and north of I-20 today, as the front and sfc low is expected to stall across Central Arkansas. Current thinking is that the remainder of the region will remain mostly dry, but with 1.5" PWAT's in place and marginal instability, some isolated to widely scattered convection could develop with daytime heating. So, decided to keep Slight Chance POPS in those areas, with higher rain chances for the previous mention areas subject to the wrap around convection. An active southwesterly flow weather pattern will continue as we move into the upcoming weekend, with another potent disturbance bringing additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms and locally heavy rainfall on Saturday. With saturated soils in place from the recent rainfall, flash flooding could become a concern.

Starting Sunday through all of next week, a couple of upper-level troughs will move into the Southern Plains. This will likely result in daily multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms, and and a continued elevated risk for flooding. The threat for organize severe weather should remain low during this period, but an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm can't be completely ruled out. /20/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1242 AM CDT Fri May 22 2026

For the 22/06Z TAF update, MVFR/IFR vis/cigs are expected through 22/18Z as lingering, stagnant air near the stationary frontal boundary across the airspace. Ongoing -RA/TSRA convection across the eastern airspace will taper off by 22/15Z before the next round of convection and -SHRA/VCTS starts with the onset of daytime heating after 22/18Z through most of the rest of the period. The surface winds that do return (outside of TSRA gusts) will be light southwesterlies near 5-10 kts through 23/00Z. /16/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 223 AM CDT Fri May 22 2026

Although spotter activation is not expected over the next 24 hours, moderate to heavy rainfall could lead to flash flooding. Also, an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm can't be ruled out. /20/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 85 68 85 68 / 30 20 60 70 MLU 85 68 86 68 / 30 20 60 80 DEQ 81 62 82 64 / 40 20 70 50 TXK 83 65 85 67 / 40 20 60 60 ELD 83 64 85 65 / 40 20 70 70 TYR 84 68 84 67 / 20 20 70 50 GGG 84 68 85 67 / 20 20 70 60 LFK 87 69 85 68 / 20 20 70 80

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.