textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1200 PM CST Mon Jan 5 2026

- Burn bans remain in place across portions of the ArkLaTex as fire weather concerns continue.

- Near-record high temperatures in the mid-upper 70s to near 80 degrees possible through late week. - Confidence is beginning to increase in strong to severe thunderstorm potential late week area-wide.

UPDATE

Issued at 542 AM CST Wed Jan 7 2026

Expanded our Dense Fog Advisory for another row of Counties and Parishes until 10 a.m. Zones updated with headlines and graphics.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 957 PM CST Tue Jan 6 2026

A weak frontal boundary across Arkansas into the Red River Valley of north Texas will drift southeast into the ArkLaTex overnight before stalling across the I-20 corridor on Wednesday afternoon. Increased gulf moisture south of the boundary to allow for patchy dense fog development overnight mainly from El Dorado to Lufkin with isolated pockets of fog elsewhere along and behind the front. Fog is forecast to dissipate by mid-morning.

A closed upper-low off of the Baja peninsula will shift east across the desert southwest allowing for upper-flow to become southwest across the ArkLaTex by Wednesday afternoon. As deep- layer moisture increases areawide, could see just enough cloud cover to limit high temperatures to the mid to upper 70s, slightly shy of record-breaking territory.

With relative humidity values in the mid 30s behind the frontal boundary across northeast Texas, southwest Arkansas, and southeast Oklahoma, an isolated wildfire threat may be possible during the mid to late afternoon hours. However, with light winds prevailing, not expecting much in the way of significant wildfire spread across these areas.

Surface cyclogenesis across the upper-Mississippi River Valley on Thursday to allow for an increased pressure gradient across the ArkLaTex with breezy south winds advecting low-level gulf moisture areawide. A trailing frontal boundary from the aforementioned low will drift southeast across the ArkLaTex on Thursday afternoon. Increased deep-layer moisture, combined with steep lapse rates resulting from upper-level height falls ahead of an approaching longwave trough could generate a few strong to severe thunderstorms across the ArkLaTex during the evening hours. Hail, gusty winds and possibly isolated weak tornadoes may be possible with some storms.

Cold front to deepen into a closed low across the region by Friday afternoon supporting increased instability across mainly the eastern half of the ArkLaTex. A high amplitude trough approaching from the west, combined with a deep-layer fetch of Pacific moisture could allow for the possibility of severe thunderstorms on Friday.

Conditions to improve on Friday night with cold high pressure building in the wake of the departing front. Could see near freezing overnight lows across the portions of the region through the weekend with highs in the 50s each day. /05/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 542 AM CST Wed Jan 7 2026

For the ArkLaTex terminals, high pressure over E TX, but a stalled front has dense fog for LA/AR from KLFK to KMLU, which has seen some improvement over the last few hrs. We should keep that diagonal across the area with FG/BR lifting to IFR/MVFR clouds today. Wind are calm and may vary NE for a short time this morning, before resuming S/SE flow 5-10KT and lifting out the front back to our north ahead of our next fropa late on Friday. Scattered convection Thursday and embedded TS during Friday. /24/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1100 AM CST Tue Jan 6 2026

Spotter activation may be needed late this week as thunderstorm chances increase along and ahead of a strong cold front. Severe weather cannot be ruled out at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 76 62 77 66 / 0 0 50 40 MLU 75 59 77 67 / 0 0 30 40 DEQ 70 52 72 53 / 0 20 70 30 TXK 73 59 75 62 / 0 10 70 40 ELD 72 54 73 62 / 0 10 50 60 TYR 78 64 77 61 / 0 10 30 20 GGG 77 61 77 62 / 0 10 50 30 LFK 78 63 77 64 / 0 0 40 30

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CST this morning for ARZ071>073.

LA...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CST this morning for LAZ001>006- 010>014-017>022.

OK...None. TX...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CST this morning for TXZ151>153- 165>167.