textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 336 PM CST Mon Jan 19 2026

- Near-normal temperatures will continue through the workweek with rain chances returning by Wednesday.

- By Friday, a colder Arctic air mass will shift southward in combination with a disturbance which could introduce a wintry mix of precipitation across all of the area this weekend.

- With any wintry precipitation that falls, melting and refreezing will maintain travel concerns into early next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 336 PM CST Mon Jan 19 2026

Dry, seasonable conditions will continue for the next 36-48 hours before the next chance of rain returns for the Four State Region. This is due to a disturbance channeling subtropical moisture across south Texas on Wednesday (a classic theme that will return again through this month). This initial batch of liquid precipitation will produce uneventful 0.5-1 inch totals into Thursday. The synoptic situation evolves by Friday as an robust Arctic airmass (1040mb+) proceeds southward across the Eastern US, introducing some of the coldest air of this winter into our area. The prolonged nature of this cold air advection/intrusion will set the stage for a winter weather event starting on Friday as another overrunning disturbance funnels subtropical moisture across the dense, cold air that will be in place.

Forecast confidence continues to increase from very low to medium- low (40%) as synoptic players line up in a classic fashion for a winter storm across the area. What we are more confident of at this time is in the occurrence of wintry precipitation within a temporal window of Friday morning through Sunday evening. What we are less confident of is the types of wintry precipitation, distribution and axes of that precipitation, and the accumulation of that precipitation. Subsequent melting and refreezing of whatever falls across elevated roadways will be concern into early next week as long-range guidance currently suggests highs in the 40s and lows in the 20s into Tuesday morning. /16/

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 535 PM CST Mon Jan 19 2026

For the 20/00z TAF update...Satellite imagery from this evening is showing some BKN to FEW high clouds across the region which will continue through the rest of the evening and into the overnight hours. Light and variable winds are expected throughout the night tonight. /33/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1157 PM CST Sun Jan 18 2026

Spotter activation is not expected through at least midweek. /15/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 31 58 44 56 / 0 0 30 90 MLU 28 55 39 56 / 0 0 10 80 DEQ 20 52 34 53 / 0 0 50 70 TXK 27 55 41 54 / 0 0 40 90 ELD 23 53 36 51 / 0 0 20 90 TYR 32 60 47 57 / 0 0 40 90 GGG 30 60 44 57 / 0 0 30 90 LFK 34 62 47 62 / 0 0 20 80

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.