textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1140 PM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026

- While it will remain hot for the foreseeable future, heat index values will remain mostly below hazard criteria at least through Monday.

- Scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms will remain possible through the weekend, which could produce some gusty winds at times.

- Fire weather and drought conditions are expected to worsen with the warm and generally dry conditions. Take caution during outdoor activities to prevent fire starts.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1140 PM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026

Radar has been dying down over the past few hours with the loss of daytime heating and storms gusting out. The previous forecast discussion mentioned models highlighting a low risk of severe weather from a cluster of showers overnight tonight. With the rapidly weakening storms, it is unlikely that anything will reintensify enough to become severe before daybreak Saturday. Recent HRRR runs have had better initialization compared to runs from earlier today and have showers from this MCV continue to dissipate almost without exception. Some light showers could continue to hang around until Saturday morning but nothing like previously anticipated.

Expect temperatures to remain in the mid 90s through this weekend before climbing into the upper 90s by the middle of next week. Daily showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop during the afternoon hours, with our southern and eastern zones having the greatest risk. These areas should have deeper southerly flow as the western extent of the subtropical high reaches the Southern Plains, but any areas could see some brief rumbles of thunder. WPC does have northern portions of the Ark-La-Tx under marginal ERO's the next few days for urban flooding should any showers develop over them. There is plenty of available moisture that could contribute to efficient rain makers, but will be dependent on where showers form. Rain chances taper off as we get into next week, making worsening drought conditions likely.

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AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 522 AM CDT Sat Aug 8 2026

For the 08/12z TAF period...Some lingering showers and isolated thunderstorms remain across portions of SW Arkansas this morning and could move in and around KELD/KTXK. Otherwise, expect VFR conditions to prevail this morning with mid and high clouds over the region. By this afternoon, isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop across the airspace. The exact location remain in question, so decided to go with VCTS in the TAFs at this time and amend if needed. Brief gusty winds could accompany this convection along with locally heavy rainfall. This activity should diminish this evening with the loss of daytime heating. /20/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 107 PM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 95 75 94 76 / 40 20 30 0 MLU 94 73 94 74 / 60 20 20 10 DEQ 93 71 95 72 / 30 0 0 0 TXK 94 74 95 75 / 40 10 10 0 ELD 90 71 92 72 / 60 20 30 10 TYR 97 75 96 75 / 30 20 10 0 GGG 97 74 96 74 / 40 20 10 0 LFK 96 74 94 74 / 20 20 20 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.