textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1200 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
- Isolated to scattered thunderstorm coverage this afternoon and across mainly east and northeast Texas and southeast Oklahoma. - Dry conditions expected from Friday through the middle of next week as an upper ridge builds areawide.
- Gradual warming trend expected with high temperatures in the upper 90s by Tuesday.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1202 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
Upper-level ridge in the north-central Gulf of America to retrograde west through this evening becoming more established across the ArkLaTex. A few showers and thunderstorms may be possible late this afternoon across portions of northeast Texas and southeast Oklahoma as the influence of an upper-low across Texas may still maintain an influence across these areas.
On Friday, Upper-level ridge to become firmly established across the region setting the stage for a drying trend that will persist through the middle of next week. High temperatures are forecast to climb into the mid 90s through the weekend with overnight lows in the mid 70s.
A stronger upper-level ridge across the Rockies will strengthen and merge with the prevailing high across the ArkLaTex, driving high temperatures into the upper 90s to near 100 degrees by Tuesday. Accordingly, heat headlines will likely be needed early next week.
Light southerly winds will maintain dewpoint values in the upper 60s to lower 70s through the weekend into next week. A dry frontal boundary may move into the region on Tuesday, possibly bringing lower dewpoints to the I-30 corridor by Wednesday. /05/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1247 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
VFR conditions will continue across the region this afternoon and tonight, with a scattered cu field now developing beneath elevated AC/cirrus cigs expected to diminish by/shortly after sunset. Isolated to widely scattered convection have recently begun to develop over portions of ECntrl TX, and may affect the TYR/GGG terminals this afternoon, and thus have tempoed thunder mention for both of these terminals with the convection diminishing during the early evening hours. Elsewhere, low confidence in convection affecting the remaining terminals precludes VCTS mention attm and will amend as needed. AC and cirrus cigs should linger across much of the region tonight, with low MVFR cigs expected to develop by/shortly before 12Z across portions of Lower E TX, affecting the E TX terminals before scattering out by mid-morning. A scattered stratocu field should develop elsewhere by mid and late morning, with a scattered cu field developing areawide Friday afternoon. Any convection that develops Friday afternoon should remain isolated, diminishing by early evening. SSW winds 5-7kts this afternoon will become light SSE or Lt/Vrb after 00Z. /15/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1200 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
Spotter activation is not expected through tonight.
/05/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 75 93 76 95 / 20 10 10 0 MLU 76 96 77 97 / 10 10 10 0 DEQ 71 91 72 92 / 20 20 10 0 TXK 74 94 75 96 / 20 10 10 0 ELD 73 94 74 95 / 10 10 10 0 TYR 75 93 76 94 / 20 10 10 0 GGG 74 93 75 95 / 20 10 10 0 LFK 73 94 74 95 / 20 10 10 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.
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