textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1233 AM CST Sun Nov 15 2026
- Rain has started to fall across the western portions of the area early this morning.
- Rain will gradually push eastward throughout the day today before ending into Monday morning.
- Dry and warmer conditions will return as we move into next week, returning to the mid 70s by the middle of the week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1233 AM CST Sun Nov 15 2026
Radar imagery is showing some rain starting to move into the area from the west. Right now it is confined to portions of deep east Texas and areas along the I-30 corridor. Rainfall should increase in coverage throughout the rest of the morning, and then lingering through the day as an upper-level disturbance pushes east. While much of the area will see some measurable rainfall, the higher amounts will be confined to our east and deep east Texas zones. High end amounts will be around an inch to an inch and a half across those area, while the remainder of the area will see below a half an inch. With the cloud cover and the rainfall, temperatures today will remain in the 50s across the area, with some guidance showing a few areas unable to make it out of the upper 40s. Another chilly night tonight, with temperatures ranging from the upper 30s to lower 40s.
Starting on Monday, we will see a warming trend commence as high pressure begins to move in from the west. We will return to the lower and mid 60s on Monday, increasing a few degrees each day before widespread 70s return to the area that will linger into next weekend. High pressure should weaken with another disturbance coming through towards the end of the period. /33/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1124 PM CST Sat Nov 14 2026
Very little change from the 00z TAF package. Did prevail VCSH at TYR and LFK to begin the 06z window with TEMPO MVFR ceilings and VSBYs at TYR just prior to sunrise. Expanded the MVFR ceilings and VSBYs to GGG, LFK beginning at 12z and continuing througout the day. Only TEMPO MVFR conditions at TXK and SHV by afternoon on Sunday. Also cannot rule out IFR ceilings at the TYR, GGG and LFK terminals by late afternoon and into the evening hours as well. Did introduce VCTS at the LFK terminal only during the late morning and afternoon hours on Sunday. Did not bring ELD or MLU down to MVFR conditions for this TAF period but did introduce VCSH by 160000z at the MLU terminal.
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SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1233 AM CST Sun Nov 15 2026
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 52 44 63 42 / 80 50 0 0 MLU 59 43 66 39 / 20 30 0 0 DEQ 52 37 63 34 / 50 30 0 0 TXK 52 43 63 40 / 50 30 0 0 ELD 57 38 65 34 / 20 20 0 0 TYR 49 43 59 41 / 100 40 10 0 GGG 50 41 61 39 / 100 50 10 0 LFK 54 43 61 42 / 100 70 40 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.
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