textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1140 PM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

- Given the ongoing drought across the region, wildfires will remain of concern through the end of the work week.

- The lack of appreciable rainfall and growing rainfall deficit will result in further drought degradation through the end of this month into early November.

- Scattered showers at the end of the work week into early this weekend could bring temporary relief to rain starved soils until widespread appreciable rainfall returns.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1121 PM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

Southwest flow aloft has brought widespread high clouds to the region this evening. Clouds to remain in the forecast through Tuesday as a weak upper-level disturbance translates northeast within the mean flow aloft. With increased cloud-cover areawide, slightly cooler afternoon highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s expected both days.

Surface high pressure centered across the Great Lakes to shift east allowing for an adjustment to the prevailing ridge axis across the ArkLaTex, resulting in a wind shift to the east- southeast. The southerly component of the winds will allow for a gradual increase in low-level moisture through the workweek, which could improve the wildfire threat across the region and will also lead to a gradual increase in overnight low temperatures from the lower 50s tonight to around 60 degrees by the weekend.

Long-range forecast models are in better agreement with bringing beneficial rainfall to the region from Friday night through the weekend as mid-latitude cyclogenesis spins up across the northern gulf coast. Decent rain chances and widespread cloud-cover will result in mild high temperatures on Friday and Saturday ranging from the upper 70s to lower 80s. /05/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 555 AM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026

Cirrus continues to invade our airspace from the southwest this morning and this trend will continue through much of the day and into the overnight hours. Removed any mention of lower cloud cover from our NE TX terminals for later this afternoon. Time/height cross sections are hinting that we could see a late afternoon and/or overnight cu field across our southeast airspace, perhaps in the vicinity of KMLU but decided to leave this mention out until we see some consistency in these moisture progs. Any lower level cloud cover would remain above 3kft or in the 4-6kft level so long story-short...VFR conditions will prevail. Look for winds today near the east to southeast with speeds near or under 10kts.

13

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 150 PM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

Spotter activation may be needed early this week in the event of wildfire development.

/19/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 81 55 80 57 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 81 52 82 54 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 82 51 82 50 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 81 55 81 56 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 81 49 81 51 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 81 57 81 59 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 81 53 81 55 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 82 53 81 57 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.