textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 246 PM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

- Above-normal temperatures will continue through the rest of the week.

- Thunderstorms, including some severe thunderstorms could develop by Valentine's Day Saturday afternoon.

- Showers and thunderstorms that do form this week will deliver enough moisture for a heavy rain threat (>40% chance of 1.5 in. of rain north of I-20).

DISCUSSION

Issued at 246 PM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

Ridging (and warm, uneventful weather) will remain in place across the Four State Region through the rest of the week, with the next weather producer (longwave trough) about 1000 miles off the coast of California. The base of this trough will wrap around to dig across the Baja California coastline and eject into West Texas by Friday afternoon. As it does so, surface winds will gradually return from the south during the day on Friday. With the duration of moisture advection below 48 hours, the ingredients for a more bonafide severe weather environment remain somewhat out of reach. Mid-level lapse rates will remain mostly below -8C/km, while SFC-1km shear around 30-40kts (the most conducive/favorably high amount for this round of storms). That said, ingredients for heavy rain are more favorable in the same window with precipitable water amounts above 1.0-1.5 inches through Saturday night. Efficient rainfall is likely to produce a >40% chance of 1.5 in. of rain north of I-20 that ends by Sunday afternoon. Post-frontal temperatures will remain above-normal into the middle of next week. /16/

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 554 PM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

Still dealing with some lower ceilings across S AR into N LA and some of these cloud height are near or just under 3kft and impacting the TXK/ELD and MLU terminals currently. These ceilings should continue to scatter out as we go through the evening with VFR conditions returning to these terminals overnight. Elsewhere, VFR conditions will prevail through this terminal period. Look for NE winds overnight with speeds generally under 10kts. Winds across our NE TX terminals will veer around to the northeast on Thu with speeds again near 10kts or less. Look for increasing high thin cloud cover across our airspace on Thursday.

13

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1221 AM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

Spotter activation is not expected through Friday.

/19/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 48 73 53 78 / 0 0 0 10 MLU 45 70 50 75 / 0 0 0 10 DEQ 38 67 44 70 / 0 0 10 30 TXK 43 70 49 74 / 0 0 0 20 ELD 39 68 45 73 / 0 0 0 10 TYR 48 74 54 78 / 0 0 0 10 GGG 47 74 51 78 / 0 0 0 10 LFK 52 76 55 78 / 0 0 0 10

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.