textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 137 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

- Daily rain chances begin their return tomorrow after an increase in tropical moisture.

- Impactful, potentially hazardous heat will continue into Independence Day weekend with some temperature maximums likely in the upper 90s.

- A slightly wetter summertime pattern will return by early next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 137 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

Ridging continues to intensify across the Mid-South today with the Four State region firmly in its western periphery. The prolonged establishment of onshore flow, both aloft and near the surface will be the predominant influence on weather conditions over the next several days. Imported on this onshore flow and combined with upstream retrograde flow from the east is an increase in atmospheric moisture with PWATs above 1.5 inches, and increased vorticity advection from troughing embedded in this flow. This process begins tomorrow and continues in earnest by the end of the week, producing a modest increase in the allowance of convection, and subsequent increases in chances of showers and thunderstorms. Medium-range guidance suggests a diurnally-driven convective temporal window, with a spatial window distributed more favorably across eastern zones (30%-50% chance of >0.01 inch east of I-49). By early next week, spatiotemporal convective distributions become more widespread as ridging breaks down and long-range guidance hints at some cyclogenesis over Texas. This will confine more impactful and potentially hazardous summertime heat to now through the holiday weekend with a 50 to 75 percent chance of temperature maximums greater than 95 degrees for Independence Day.

I will continue to reiterate this message below as a summer safety reminder: With dew points expected to remain mostly in the low-to- mid 70s through this time, hazardous heat will be impactful for all groups of people and not just heat-sensitive groups over time. Adequate precautions and awareness are encouraged now against the elevated potential for heat illnesses. This includes (and is not limited to) altering outdoor plans, taking frequent breaks if you must be outside, checking the backseat of your vehicle, and knowing the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion in addition to heat stroke. /16/

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 627 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

For the 01/00z TAF update...VFR conditions look to prevail throughout this TAF period, with some BKN to FEW mid to high level clouds at times. Winds should remain under 10 kts throughout this TAF period. Models were hinting at some patchy fog overnight, but confidence was not high enough to mention anything at this time. /33/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1211 AM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 77 95 77 93 / 0 10 10 10 MLU 77 96 77 95 / 0 10 20 10 DEQ 74 94 75 93 / 0 0 0 10 TXK 76 96 76 95 / 0 0 0 10 ELD 75 95 75 94 / 0 10 0 10 TYR 77 96 77 96 / 0 0 0 10 GGG 77 96 77 95 / 0 0 0 10 LFK 75 96 76 94 / 0 10 10 20

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.