textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1226 AM CDT Sat Mar 14 2026

- Severe thunderstorms (carrying damaging winds and tornadoes) are likely with the next frontal boundary on Sunday. This the main chance of rain in the next 7 days.

- Some near to below freezing temperatures are likely on Monday night, especially along and north of I-20.

- Another dry and warm week is ahead after Monday (mid-to upper 80s are not out of the question by next Friday).

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1226 AM CDT Sat Mar 14 2026

Southerly return flow will continue through the next 24-36 hours, setting the stage for active weather on Sunday. Temperature maximums above normal in the 70-80 degree range will not be uncommon as a result. Aloft, zonal flow will continue through the same time period before troughing begins over the Intermountain West. As troughing emerges into the Great Plains, some lee cyclogenesis will amplify the delivery of more upper-level divergence across the area by Sunday afternoon. Confidence continues to increase on the potential for a fast-moving complex of storms to develop, carrying the predominant threats of damaging winds and quickly-forming tornadoes. Short range guidance suggests ingredients like mid-level lapse rates near 8 C/km, and 0-1 km SRH at 150-200 m2/s2 for a large hail/damaging wind/tornado threat that afternoon with any storms developing along the frontal boundary.

A significant post-frontal cooldown is also becoming more likely, with a greater than 60 percent chance of freezing temperatures on Sunday night north of I-30. Long-range guidance suggests a pattern change to ridging, that continues the rollercoaster ride with another warming trend through next week (mid-to upper 80s are not out of the question by next Friday). /16/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 550 AM CDT Sat Mar 14 2026

For the 14/12z TAF period...Low cigs are moving into the region this morning, bringing reduced flight categories. These cigs may hold off at KMLU, and possibly at KELD. VFR conditions will return as the low clouds scatter out by mid to late morning, with more passing high clouds expected to move in by this afternoon. However, low cigs and reduced flight categories will return after midnight. Winds will remain from the south between 7-12 mph, eventually increasing to between 10-15 mph by the end of the period, with gusts approaching 20 to 25 mph at times. /20/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1226 AM CDT Sat Mar 14 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 77 60 84 35 / 0 0 50 40 MLU 77 58 84 36 / 0 0 30 70 DEQ 76 54 76 25 / 0 0 70 20 TXK 78 60 82 32 / 0 0 70 20 ELD 75 56 80 30 / 0 0 60 50 TYR 79 61 84 34 / 0 0 30 10 GGG 78 59 84 32 / 0 0 50 20 LFK 78 60 85 36 / 0 0 30 40

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.