textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1229 AM CDT Sat Apr 11 2026

- The current warming trend peaks today as added clouds and increasing wind speeds will ease temperatures back a tad.

- A Marginal Risk for strong storms remains for Sunday through the overnight across the western half of the Four-State area.

- Unsettled weather will persist for next week, but timing and impacts of any potential severe weather remains uncertain.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1229 AM CDT Sat Apr 11 2026

A nice end to the work week with several showers and a few isolated thunderstorms moving over deep east TX and cenLA yesterday afternoon, and honestly lingering longer than expected after sundown. This was the closest look to a sea breeze in a good while with an upper weakness over the western Gulf. This feature has largely dissipated now with a drift inland over the coastal bend. Convective activity is modeled to be on our fringe of TX Counties for today. The SPC concurs having drawn their General Risk line just to our west for the Day 1 outlook.

We can expect another nice warm day with highs in the mid 80s for most sites. Our lows continue warming as well with 60s now a fixture for us for this next week in moistening southerly flow. We look to see cooler 50s return by this time next weekend with another Canadian air mass. Until then, hopefully some needed rainfall. However, as discussed yesterday, we will keep a gradient of Wet to Dry across much of our Four-State area. This is due to the clash zone of deep upper longwave trough over the intermountain west and the building upper ridge establishing over the eastern Gulf and Florida. So hopefully we do get to see those cooler 50s return next weekend only after some much needed rainfall across our LA Parishes as well.

Sunday will see more cloudiness and finally the storms edging in from the west. The SPC day 2 continues a Marginal Risk for much of our W/NW with a General Risk line riding NE from Natchitoches up to near Monroe. Our I-30 corridor highs will be cooler in the 70s under the clouds and rain areas with more 80s elsewhere. Then the new work week will see a loss of ground as convection is coming in a bit lighter and even shunted back westward a tad. We may have to wait for that air mass bringing back the cooler air next weekend to give us the needed lift and SW flow aloft for more widespread rainfall across all of our Four-State area. However, the uncertainty of what unfolds is still foretold by solo day 3 ERO from the WPC, that coincides with the better coverage of convection for Sunday into Monday. Beyond that event, we may end up having to hurry up and wait for more, as the well above average heat rebuilds in the push back westward of the modeled clouds and rainfall. /24/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 640 AM CDT Sat Apr 11 2026

Extensive IFR/LIFR cigs have developed and spread N across much of E TX this morning, and should eventually fill in across the remainder of E TX and may briefly affect portions of adjacent NW LA and SW AR through late morning before lifting/returning to VFR. Have tempoed in low MVFR cigs at SHV/TXK through mid-morning, with VFR cigs associated with an extensive cu field expected to persist across much of E TX before eventually scattering out late in the day. Isolated convection may develop this afternoon across portions of Deep E and ECntrl TX, and may affect the TYR/LFK terminals. Have maintained VCSH here between 21-01Z before this convection diminishes early this evening. Some elevated cigs may linger tonight from NE TX into SE OK/adjacent SW AR, with low MVFR cigs expected to again redevelop after 07Z over Deep E and SE TX and quickly spread N through daybreak Sunday, affecting the E TX and SHV terminals between 08-12Z, and possibly TXK shortly thereafterwards. SSE winds 5-10kts are expected today and persist into tonight. /15/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1229 AM CDT Sat Apr 11 2026

Spotter activation will not be needed today, but strong to severe thunderstorms will potentially develop during Sunday afternoon, evening and perhaps through overnight, across northeast Texas, southeast Oklahoma, southwest Arkansas and northwest Louisiana. /24/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 85 65 82 67 / 10 10 40 50 MLU 87 60 87 66 / 0 0 0 20 DEQ 82 61 78 62 / 20 10 70 70 TXK 86 65 83 67 / 10 10 60 70 ELD 85 61 85 63 / 0 0 20 50 TYR 83 65 79 68 / 20 10 70 60 GGG 85 64 81 66 / 10 10 60 60 LFK 85 65 81 66 / 20 10 50 40

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.