textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1130 PM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026

- Fire weather will remain the primary forecast concern through the next 7 days as conditions remain dry and warm.

- Following proper fire weather precautions, such as obeying local burn bans and refraining from activities that could generate sparks/flames will help mitigate fire starts and spreads.

- Temperatures will moderate through the work week, and will be above-normal for this time of year by mid-week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1130 PM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026

Weak upper-level ridging is already beginning to build back over the southeast CONUS after an area of low pressure brought some cooler temperatures to the region this weekend. This ridge will continue to build in strength but should stay relatively low amplitude. The ridge will work to keep skies mostly clear and begin another warming trend through this week. Expect temperatures to climb back into the mid to upper 80s by Thursday and stay there for the remainder of the forecast period.

One aspect of the forecast that could change through the week are the dew points, and not for the better. Persistant easterly surface flow will continue to usher in dry continental air, keeping dew points in the 40s. With the warming temperatures, RH's will likely drop through the week and keep fire weather concerns at the forefront. Min RH's in the afternoons could drop into the 20 to 25 percent range, with some parts of southeast AR possibly dropping below 20 percent by Thursday. Fire Danger Statements or other fire products could be issued daily through the week as a result of these dry conditions. Members of the public should continue to heed the guidance of local officials on outside burning and monitor local weather conditions.

The upper-level ridge will shift west slightly by Thursday and continue to intensify. This will do little to change conditions for the Ark-La-Tx, but will likely be a strong factor in whether or not a strengthening closed low on the West Coast is able to bring any relief through cooler temperatures or rain. At this time, odds look slim that this low will be able to overtake the ridge that will be stretching over most of the Great Plains by next weekend, leaving the foreseeable future dry and warm.

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AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 140 AM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026

For the 19/06z TAF period...Expect VFR conditions with passing SCT to BKN high clouds during the period. Surface Winds will range from light/variable during the evening/overnight periods to ESE between 5-7 mph during the daytime. /20/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1130 PM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026

Spotter activation may be needed through the upcoming week in the event of wildfire development.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 51 78 52 82 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 49 79 48 84 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 48 81 47 84 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 48 78 49 83 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 46 80 46 85 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 52 78 53 80 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 49 77 50 81 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 53 80 53 83 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.