textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1124 AM CST Sun Jan 11 2026
- Mostly quiet weather expected with temperatures remaining near seasonal normals through next weekend.
- A weak cold front Tuesday night into Wednesday may bring isolated light rain chances.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1124 AM CST Sun Jan 11 2026
A quiet and largely uneventful weather pattern will prevail across the Four State Region through much of this upcoming week with temperatures remaining near seasonable normals. This afternoon and tonight will feature partly cloudy skies with highs generally ranging from the lower to upper 50s followed by lows falling into the upper 20s to mid 30s. Weak ridging aloft and a lack of meaningful moisture will keep conditions dry through Tuesday, with little day-to-day temperature variability. Overall, this portion of the forecast is dominated by benign, late-winter conditions and minimal sensible impacts.
Attention will then turn to a weak frontal boundary expected to move through the region Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. While this front will bring a reinforcing shot of slightly cooler air, temperature changes will remain modest, and readings will still hover close to climatological averages for mid February. Low-end precipitation chances will accompany the frontal passage, but limited moisture return and weak forcing suggest any rainfall will be light and scattered at best. Behind the front, surface high pressure settles in for the rest of the week, reinforcing dry conditions.
Looking ahead to the end of the forecast period, there are signals within some model guidance that suggest a more interesting pattern may attempt to evolve. However, deterministic and ensemble solutions have been notably inconsistent, with models oscillating between showing and not showing anything. Given this variability and the extended time range, confidence remains very low, and details are far from resolved. As always, it is important to rely on trusted and official forecast sources rather than speculative, amplified, or a single model run that can circulate. /33/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 540 PM CST Sun Jan 11 2026
For the ArkLaTex terminals, SFC high pressure is edging E with our light N/NE wind overnight to veer to E/SE this cycle; not much speed around 5KT or less. Meanwhile, an upper low is weakening on approach and now movg over Mexico spreading over S Texas, increasing our cirrus through daybreak. Moisture will be sufficient for some VFR low cigs ahead of our next fropa early on Wednesday. We could see VCSH E of I-49 night before. Until then, sfc winds ramp up and especially Tuesday with gusty S/SW shifting to NW15KT by 14/12-18Z. /24/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1124 AM CST Sun Jan 11 2026
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 34 57 38 64 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 30 53 34 61 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 26 57 30 64 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 32 57 37 65 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 28 54 33 61 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 34 59 40 64 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 32 58 37 64 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 35 58 37 60 / 0 0 0 10
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.
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