textproduct: Shreveport

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1212 AM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

- While we will remain below heat headline criteria, summertime heat will persist across the region.

- Scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms will remain possible through Saturday across portions of the area.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1212 AM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

Upper-level ridging remains over the Desert Southwest this evening and will keep the Ark-La-Tx on its eastern fringes at least through the remainder of the week. This ridge will keep heat as the primary concern with little in the way of meaningful rain. Relatively lower dewpoints have been mixing down to the surface over the past several days, which will keep heat indices lower and keep us away from Heat Advisory criteria should the trend continue. Some scattered pop-up thunderstorms are likely during the afternoon hours with the ample low-level moisture present, but WPC D1-3 QPF estimates are still generally less than 0.25 inches. The heat and lack of accumulating rain will continue to keep worsening drought and fire weather conditions a focus for the near future.

By Sunday, the western high and the subtropical high over the Southeast US are expected to strengthen on either side of the Four State Region. Should this happen, the differing upper-level flow could create more of a disparity between the areas that see rain. The NBM is targeting parts of Deep East TX and Central LA as the most likely locations for rain beginning early next week, which could be due to the more southerly flow aloft in these areas. This is only one possible solution, as models continue to disagree on the synoptic setup this far out. The most likely scenario continues to include warm temperatures with some rain chances during the afternoons.

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AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 549 AM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

VFR conditions currently prevailing across our airspace to begin the 12z TAF package but IFR/MVFR ceilings are beginning to stream northward across central TX and were located just to the west of our LFK and TYR terminals. For this reason, did TEMPO MVFR ceilings at these two locations for a couple hours beyond sunrise but the remainder of our airspace will need to await daytime heating for the development of a descent cu field today. Given storm coverage on Wed and given the weakness present aloft and the available PWAT, did mention VCTS during the afternoon and early evening hours across all but the TYR terminal. Otherwise, VFR conditions should prevail outside of convection today through tonight.

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SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 115 PM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 98 76 95 76 / 30 10 20 0 MLU 100 74 95 74 / 40 10 20 10 DEQ 99 73 96 72 / 0 0 20 20 TXK 99 76 95 75 / 20 0 20 20 ELD 100 73 94 73 / 20 10 20 10 TYR 100 76 97 75 / 10 0 20 0 GGG 101 75 96 74 / 20 10 20 0 LFK 99 74 94 73 / 20 10 10 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.


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