textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1139 AM CST Thu Dec 25 2025
- Above average warmth continues through Sunday afternoon, with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s. Morning fog will remain possible.
- Rain returns to the region late Sunday, pushing through overnight and concluding by Monday morning. A few rumbles of thunder are possible.
- Much colder weather next week, with areawide lows below freezing Tuesday and Wednesday mornings and highs in the 40s and 50s. Precautions should be taken for sensitive persons and vegetation.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1139 AM CST Thu Dec 25 2025
The broad area of upper level ridging which stretches across the southern CONUS will remain in place through the end of the week and into the weekend , with its axis draped across the ArkLaTex. Therefore, the next three days will see a continuation of the well- above average warmth and quiet weather pattern which has defined this week so far. As pseudo-zonal to variable to variable upper level flow and southerly surface flow continues, no rainfall is expected, but the warm and moist airmass will continue to allow the possibility for the development of patchy fog in the predawn hours for the next several mornings. Visibility reductions should be brief, but based on the last few mornings, the associated cloud cover may be stubborn, taking much of the morning to fully dissipate. With little in the way of variation, the next few afternoons will see highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s for area sites, with lows in the upper 50s to middle 60s.
By this weekend, an emerging upper level trough over the west coast will amplify as it advances eastward over the Four Corners region, developing a positive tilt as it does so. Upper level flow looks to cause the trough to stall over the Front Range before getting absorbed into a larger trough to its north, but it will still manage to swing a potent cold front into the ArkLaTex late Sunday overnight into Monday.
This front will kick up showers across our northwest beginning in the late afternoon to early evening Sunday, spreading across the ArkLaTex through the evening and overnight, with a few rumbles of thunder possible. The last of the showers should exit the region to the southeast by or shortly after sunrise Monday morning. Behind the front, cold air will rapidly advect into the Four State Region, dropping temperatures to near freezing northwest by daybreak Monday, and into the lower 40s south and east. Monday afternoon will see little in the way of recovery, as highs range from near 40 north to the lower 50s south.
Monday night into Tuesday morning looks to see sub-freezing temperatures areawide, ranging from the lower 20s north to upper 20s south. It will be advisable to make preparations to have precautions in place for sensitive persons, outdoor pets and vegetation, as well as exposed pipes. Tuesday will see a near carbon copy of Monday, with highs in the 40s and another night of sub-freezing lows to follow before Wednesday sees the beginning of a warming trend with highs returning to the 50s to close out the last afternoon of 2025.
/26/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1151 AM CST Thu Dec 25 2025
For the ArkLaTex terminals, IFR hanging on for KELD/KMLU, with all other sites MVFR and working toward VFR with SCTvBKN 3-5kft 19-21Z. Repeating VLIFR/IFR daybreak pattern under a deep upper ridge axis stretching over DFW/KLIT. Our next fropa arrives late on Sunday with scat/num showers/isold Thunderstorms. Until then, S/SW winds 5-12G18KT will slack and back at bit overnight with IFR restrictions 09-17Z. We have similar expectations for VFR by early aftn Friday/Saturday, but sub VFR decks for much of Sunday. /24/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 935 PM CST Wed Dec 24 2025
Spotter activation will not be needed through the remainder of the Christmas Holiday week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 79 66 81 66 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 75 63 79 63 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 77 60 78 57 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 79 65 80 64 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 75 61 78 61 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 79 65 80 65 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 79 64 80 64 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 78 63 79 64 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.
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