textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1134 PM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

- Heat will continue throughout the forecast period with highs in the middle to upper 90s. Remaining below hazard criteria, but sensitive groups are advised to take routine precautions.

- Scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms remain possible through the weekend and into early next week, particularly south and east. A few gusty winds are possible.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1134 PM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

Not much has changed from the previous forecast package. Expect temperatures in the mid to upper 90s with scattered rain chances in the afternoons for much of the next week. The exact rain locations will be hard to pin down with the lack of available forcing.

The upper-level ridging over the Desert Southwest remains in place this evening with the far eastern fringes reaching the Ark- La-Tx. The easterly flow aloft from this high was evident on the 00z observed sounding. This will work to inhibit most organized rainfall apart from the typical summertime convection. Models have been focusing on North/Central LA and Deep East TX as the most likely areas to see rain during the afternoons, but accumulation estimates remain low. The one exception may be on Friday afternoon. The GFS has been suggesting an upper-level disturbance will move along the high and southward into the region. This could provide enough forcing to organize showers into something more substantial. There isn't a severe or flooding concern for Friday at this time, but will be closely monitored for more model agreement.

By the beginning of next week, the high out west is expected to return to its previous position while the subtropical high in the Atlantic strengthens and cuts the Southern CONUS off from the larger zonal upper-level flow. This won't bring much in the way of change for our long-term forecast: more warm temperatures with rain limited to afternoon pop-ups. Groups spending time outside should be aware of heat-related illnesses and wildfire conditions and work to mitigate risks.

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AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 653 AM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026

For the 12z TAF period...Generally VFR conditions across the region this morning. There could be some exceptions at KLFK over the next couple of hours, where low stratus is expected to move in. As we move into the afternoon hours, isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible. So, decided to add VCTS across the sites, except at our East Texas locations. This convection should diminish with the loss of daytime heating.

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SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 132 PM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

Spotter activation is not expected through tonight.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 95 76 94 76 / 20 10 30 0 MLU 94 74 95 73 / 20 10 40 10 DEQ 96 72 95 71 / 20 30 30 10 TXK 96 75 95 74 / 20 20 30 10 ELD 94 73 93 72 / 20 10 40 10 TYR 97 76 96 75 / 10 10 20 10 GGG 96 75 96 73 / 20 10 30 10 LFK 94 74 94 73 / 20 0 20 10

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.