textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1230 AM CDT Wed Sep 9 2026
- Heat headlines persist today as the expansive upper ridge maintains a stranglehold on much of the southern CONUS.
- A gradual weakening of the upper ridge is expected by the end of this week, making way for a trough to drop south with rain chances increasing areawide on Friday.
- The ridge will eventually regain its footing across much of the SECONUS by late weekend, limiting daily convection to diurnally driven activity mainly during peak heating hours.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1230 AM CDT Wed Sep 9 2026
The late summer doldrums continue uninterrupted for the time being as the upper ridge maintains an expansive footprint across a large chunk of the southern CONUS. Therefore, heat advisory headlines remain with us for yet another day with further issuances possible into Thursday. Little in the way of heat relief is expected today in terms of convection, but those chances do begin to increase as we move into Thursday and especially Friday.
This slight pattern shift will begin with a weakening of the upper ridge on Thursday as it breaks off, opening the door for a weak upper trough to drop south into the region through the end of the week. As a result, we should at least expect a slight drop-off in high temperatures for Friday with low-end rain chances increasing areawide. Although not everyone can count on seeing any rainfall, Friday is likely to be our best chance over the next 7 days with decent coverage, especially during the afternoon through the early evening hours.
Unfortunately, it appears that the ridge will gradually build back strong as we move later in the weekend. That will begin to greatly limit our rain chances once again while pushing temperatures back higher through early next week. Any convection will generally be diurnally driven for much of next week before early indications of the upper ridge beginning to retrograde farther out to the west by the end of next week. That would certainly be a welcome change and possibly our first real sign of the changing seasons to come if it indeed comes to fruition. /19/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1211 PM CDT Wed Sep 9 2026
VFR conditions to prevail across area terminals through the forecast period ending 10/18Z. South winds 5 to 10 knots today to become 5 knots or less tonight. Winds to become southwest at 5 to 10 knots on Thursday. Otherwise, a few showers and thunderstorms may develop this afternoon but coverage too low to mention in Tafs and will be handled with amendments as needed. /05/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1217 AM CDT Wed Sep 9 2026
Spotter activation is not expected at this time. /19/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 76 97 76 96 / 0 20 0 20 MLU 75 98 74 97 / 0 20 0 20 DEQ 72 98 70 96 / 0 20 30 20 TXK 76 97 74 96 / 0 10 20 20 ELD 73 99 72 97 / 0 10 10 20 TYR 75 97 75 97 / 0 0 0 20 GGG 74 98 74 97 / 0 10 0 20 LFK 73 92 73 91 / 0 20 0 20
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for ARZ050-051-059>061- 070>073.
LA...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for LAZ001>006-010>014- 017>022.
OK...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for OKZ077.
TX...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ096-097-108>112- 124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.
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