textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1025 PM CDT Tue Mar 17 2026

- A significant warming trend will develop this week and continue into the weekend, with near record highs possible Saturday and Sunday.

- Conditions will remain dry through the period, prolonging drought and fire weather concerns.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1025 PM CDT Tue Mar 17 2026

Upper-level northwest flow will be firmly established with the departing low in the northeast and the forming high in the Desert Southwest. This high pressure will gradually strengthen through the week and bring warm, potentially record, high temperatures to the region. The high pressure out west will help keep skies mostly clear and combine with the southerly surface flow to bring temperatures near the 90s by the end of the week. Long range models are highlighting a notable surface thermal gradient setting up across much of the Southern CONUS during the day on Monday once the Western High weakens. This gradient can be seen in the current high temperature forecast for Monday, with parts of southeast OK and southwest AR being 5-10 degrees colder than the low to mid 80s forecasted for the rest of the region. There is still plenty of time for Monday's forecast to change, so this potential boundary will be of interest through this week.

Dry air will also remain in place with the warming trend through the period, with RH values falling into the 30 and 40% ranges daily. The warm, dry conditions with the lack of rain on the horizon will contribute to ongoing drought conditions and fire weather concerns. Luckily, current model solutions suggest that high winds won't be a major concern, minimizing the risk for any fire weather products as of now.

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AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 652 AM CDT Wed Mar 18 2026

For the 18/12z TAF period...Expect VFR conditions throughout the TAF period with mid and high clouds moving across the region. SKC skies will settle in after sunset. Winds will remain southerly, but will increase to between 10-15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph by this afternoon, before diminishing after sunset. /20/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1025 PM CDT Tue Mar 17 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 72 51 81 56 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 71 48 79 55 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 71 44 81 50 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 73 51 82 57 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 71 47 79 53 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 74 51 83 56 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 74 49 82 54 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 74 49 79 54 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.