textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1150 PM CST Thu Feb 26 2026

- Weak cold front will continue to make slow but steady progress south and east through our region tonight.

- Maybe a few degree cool down for portions of the region on Friday but high temperatures for the weekend are right back into 80s across most locations for the upcoming weekend. - Still monitoring the extended forecast for increase rain chances by mid and especially late next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1000 PM CST Thu Feb 26 2026

Our slowing cold front was located as of 10 pm this evening just south of the I-20 Corridor in NE TX to near Shreveport to just north of Monroe. Isolated showers and thunderstorms in association with this feature have since dissipated across NE LA and with any remaining upper level forcing being well east and northeast of our region, have decided to remove remaining pops overnight across our east. With the slower nature of the front, did add some patchy fog across our far southern zones tonight but the boundary should have caught these areas near/after sunrise. Look for a beautiful Friday across the entire region with afternoon highs ranging from the middle 70s northeast to the lower 80s southwest. While post frontal winds will be primarily from the east to northeast near 10 mph on Friday, afternoon minimum afternoon relative humidity values will be in the 20s and lower 30s across most locations, thus the fire danger for Friday will be elevated but not as high as it could be if we were expecting stronger post frontal winds.

Winds quickly turn around to the southeast and south for the upcoming weekend which will really help to warm temperatures with highs both days well into the 80s across most locations. Still cannot rule out some small rain chances Sat Night thru Sun Night across our far northern zones as there will be weak upper forcing in a WNW flow aloft regime across our north during this timeframe but not completely sold on this.

Weak upper ridging will dominate the Middle Red River Valley into the Lower Miss Valley Monday into Tuesday but it will remain warm with the aid of southerly winds. This southerly flow will also aid in low level moisture return early next week and that will set the stage for increasing rain chances by mid to late week. The players in this upper level pattern change will be a series of upper level troughs across the southwest Great Basin and a blocking upper ridge across the Southeast CONUS. The first of these disturbances across the Four Corners Region of the Country on Tuesday will likely eject out to our north and west. GFS has come in much drier for Wed compared to earlier runs but will have to wait on upcoming ECMWF runs to see if it follows suit. NBM pops are more heavily weighted to the wetter ECMWF and thus we will continue to advertise chance pops on Wed but would not be surprised to see this increase in pops get pushed back a little to perhaps Thu into Fri. By Friday, the trough to our west reloads and migrates quickly into the Southern Plains and this should result in increasing rain chances to end the work week.

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AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1150 PM CST Thu Feb 26 2026

For the 27/06Z TAF update, MVFR cigs will continue to develop across the eastern airspace through 27/12Z. Isolated MVFR/IFR low cloud cigs are more likely to develop south of I-20 and east of I-49 once again over light northeasterly surface winds. Patchy FG is also more likely to develop in the same parts of the airspace from 27/08Z- 15Z.

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SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1000 PM CST Thu Feb 26 2026

Spotter activation is still not expected through the upcoming weekend. However, please continue to relay information on wildfire activity across the Four-State area, to help our first responders protect life and property.

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PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 79 52 82 55/ 0 0 0 0 MLU 77 49 79 52/ 0 0 0 0 DEQ 77 45 79 50/ 0 0 10 20 TXK 79 51 82 56/ 0 0 0 10 ELD 76 47 79 51/ 0 0 0 0 TYR 81 54 83 57/ 0 0 0 0 GGG 80 51 83 55/ 0 0 0 0 LFK 81 52 83 54/ 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.