textproduct: Shreveport

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KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 241 PM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

- Warmer conditions will remain through much of the upcoming work week. - A weak disturbance will provide rain chances to much of the region Tue Night through Wednesday.

- A stronger disturbance will begin impacting our region Thu Night with higher rain chances slated for Friday into Saturday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 241 PM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

A quasi northwest flow pattern has developed over the region today, as the recent ridge flatten out. A lead shortwave disturbance is currently moving across the flow in our northern zones ahead of a very weak cool front. We have seen some returns on radar with this disturbance, but the lower levels of the atmosphere are so dry, the precipitation is evaporating before reaching the surface. The remainder of the forecast area has seen a return of warmer conditions today, with highs expected to top out in the upper 70s to possibly lower 80s. The aforementioned cool front will move into our northern zones overnight. It should remain stall near the Louisiana Arkansas state line, and over across adjacent northeast Texas, before washing out near daybreak. Short-term progs are suggesting some fog may develop near this boundary around daybreak, and it could be dense at times. These same progs are also suggesting some advection fog will develop and push into the areas south of Interstate 20 during the same timeframe. This fog could also be dense at times, which could result in a Dense Fog Advisory. Upper ridging will re-establish itself over region on Monday and Tuesday. Expect dry conditions to continue, with afternoon highs ranging from the upper 70s to lower 80s.

By Tuesday afternoon, the upper pattern will start to shift, as a close upper trough will eject out of Northern Mexico into Texas, The upper ridge will slide east of the region and flow aloft will become southwesterly. The trough is expected to weaken as it moves along the flow towards our region Tuesday night. However, I think we should have enough moisture and lift in place for some showers to develop over the area through Wednesday. Dry, and slightly cooler conditions will return by Thursday, but, a stronger trough is expected to move across the Southern Plains by the end of the work week into early next weekend. This will bring additional welcomed rain chances to the area. /20/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1116 PM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

Didn't make much in the way of changes concerning the 06z TAF package compared to the 00z package. Not quite as confident now in our ability to get advection fog northward to the I-20 Corridor at least in NE TX and NW LA but the LFK and MLU terminals will certainly be more possible. Likewise, HRRR has backed off fog development at the TXK and ELD terminals but kept that going for persistence sake and given the uncertainty.

Any low VSBYs and/or very low ceilings should improve and return to VFR conditions by late morning into the afternoon hours on Monday. Look for prevailing VFR conditions to continue into the evening hours and the end of the TAF period Monday Evening.

13

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 241 PM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

Spotter activation is not expected over the next 24 hours.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 55 79 59 77 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 53 77 57 76 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 42 76 53 76 / 0 0 0 10 TXK 51 79 60 78 / 0 0 0 10 ELD 49 77 56 75 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 55 80 60 77 / 0 0 0 10 GGG 53 80 58 77 / 0 0 0 10 LFK 55 79 58 77 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.


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