textproduct: Shreveport

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1043 AM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

- Showers will increase in coverage today and overnight tonight, continuing through Friday night.

- Rainfall accumulations of up to 2-3 inches are possible, and may lead to flash flooding hazards.

- The weekend is shaping up to be quiet and cooler than average, followed by a warm-up early next week and scattered storms by the middle of the week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1043 AM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

The frontal boundary that has been bringing rain to the region recently has pushed southward and has stalled along the Gulf Coast. Even with this front clear of the Ark-La-Tx, it will continue to act as a lifting mechanism and bring more showers to the area through late Friday night/early Saturday morning. These showers will be persistant thanks to the ample low-level moisture available. WPC QPF still has estimations of 1-3 inches of additional rainfall being possible through Friday, with the higher amounts towards the south where the boundary is settled. There is some concern with flash and urban flooding, especially on Friday. The hope is that all the rain will help the ongoing drought conditions, but the high rainfall rates could create short-term flooding problems. Luckily, the environment is largely worked over from days of severe weather, so further widespread severe weather isn't expected.

The rain will work to cool us down even further for Friday afternoon, with many places struggling to reach 60. The rain should end in the early hours of Saturday morning when an upper- level low can push the stalled front eastward and out of the region. Without the front, there isn't much to speak of for lifting mechanisms, giving us a break from the rain. Temperatures will begin to warm again once the rain stops on Saturday and zonal/northwest flow returns. Things should remain dry through the first half of next week, with temperatures climbing back into the low to mid 80s by Tuesday afternoon.

Long-range models are trying to suggest a negatively tilted trough could move through the Central CONUS by mid next week, bringing rain chances back into the forecast as early as Wednesday. There are plenty of model uncertainties this far out, but additional severe and hydro concerns could certainly be possible. Model solutions aren't too concerning yet but this will be monitored over the next week.

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AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1234 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

For the 30/18z TAF update...Watching a cluster of showers and thunderstorms approaching the area from the west. Main impacts over the next few hours will be to KLFK where some thunder and lightning will be possible near the terminal. Gradually, -RA will fill in for our other east Texas terminals before widespread showers are expected on very early Friday morning. While most terminals will bounce in and out of VFR to MVFR conditions over the next 24 hours, KLFK will see IFR to LIFR conditions throughout this period. /33/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1208 AM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

Spotter activation is not likely through tomorrow, but any reports of hazardous weather to the National Weather Service are appreciated.

/26/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 55 60 50 72 / 60 80 60 0 MLU 55 62 51 72 / 60 80 80 0 DEQ 50 66 45 72 / 30 30 30 0 TXK 54 65 50 73 / 40 50 40 0 ELD 51 63 47 71 / 40 60 60 0 TYR 55 59 50 71 / 70 80 50 0 GGG 54 60 49 72 / 60 80 60 0 LFK 57 61 50 72 / 80 100 70 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.


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