textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1222 AM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

- Another round of strong to severe storms is expected this afternoon and evening across the southern zones of ArkLaTex, with the hazards of damaging winds, hail, and tornadoes all still present.

- A wet conclusion to the week is in store, with rainfall Thursday and Friday areawide, raising the potential for flash flooding.

- Rain is expected to end by early Saturday, with a quiet and cooler than average weekend to follow, then a warm-up into early next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1222 AM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

Further organized convection is not expected across the ArkLaTex tonight. However, models still suggest scattered showers developing at intervals overnight, thus have retained PoPs between 06Z and 12Z. The cold front draped across north Texas is expected to progress south and east across the region tomorrow, providing the forcing mechanism for another round of scattered thunderstorms. As with previous days, given a favorable environment, the potential remains for storms to become strong to severe. Storm development looks to amplify south of the I-20 corridor during the early afternoon hours, with additional rounds of storms pushing in from the northwest into the evening. Storms will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts, large hail, and a tornado or two cannot be ruled out. Period of torrential heavy rainfall may also result in localized flash flooding.

In the wake of tomorrow's storms, an unsettled pattern will remain, as pseudo-zonal flow holds in place aloft, with sufficient moisture returns to fuel rainfall chances Thursday, in advance of the next organized system. A closed low off the Baja peninsula will open up into a trough as it pushes east across northern Mexico and over Texas late this week, driving high chances for rainfall through Friday and overnight into Saturday. This system may produce between 1 and 3 inches of rainfall across the region, a signal for potential flash flooding which will be watched as the week continues. The most recent timing models usher this rainfall out of the ArkLaTex by daybreak Saturday, midday at the latest.

Prolonged cloud cover and rainfall will keep temperatures mild through the end of the week, and the passage of the next frontal boundary will usher in an unusually cool first weekend of May, with highs only aiming for the 60s and 70s, and lows dropping into the 50s and even 40s Sunday morning. A warm up to more seasonable highs in the 80s is expected to begin the new work week, with mostly quiet weather continuing until a slight chance of thunder returns to our northeastern zones at the tail end of this extended forecast period.

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AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 526 AM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

cold front continues to make slow but steady progress south and east through our airspace early this morning with a northerly component to the wind now at the TYR/GGG/TXK and ELD terminals. Not seeing the IFR ceilings as of yet like model time/height cross section suggests but think this will be just a matter of time once we get some post-frontal precipitation to develop. Otherwise, MVFR ceilings are widespread in advance of the cold front and those may creep up to low VFR heights by mid to late morning before ceilings fall back to MVFR and/or IFR heights in the wake of the boundary. Likewise, still expecting an uptick in precipitation coverage as we go through the day with that activity lingering through the evening and perhaps the overnight hours tonight.

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SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1222 AM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

Spotter activation will likely be needed again this afternoon through tonight for the threat of severe thunderstorms across the region.

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PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 75 61 68 55 / 80 70 60 70 MLU 79 60 72 55 / 80 80 40 60 DEQ 73 53 68 49 / 30 30 30 50 TXK 74 58 69 53 / 50 50 40 60 ELD 74 55 69 51 / 60 60 30 60 TYR 73 62 67 55 / 70 60 70 70 GGG 74 61 68 54 / 80 70 60 70 LFK 83 65 72 58 / 80 70 60 70

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.