textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1238 AM CDT Fri Mar 13 2026

- A brief warmup will continue through the rest of the week into the weekend across the Four State Region.

- The next frontal boundary on Sunday will introduce the main chance of rain in the next 7 days with severe thunderstorms becoming more likely.

- Some near to below freezing temperatures are likely on Monday night, especially in Oklahoma and Arkansas.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1238 AM CDT Fri Mar 13 2026

Southerly return flow will begin overnight and continue through the next 60-72 hours, setting the stage for a brief warmup before the next chance of rain arrives on Sunday. Temperature maximums above normal in the 70-80 degree range will not be uncommon as a result. Aloft, zonal flow will continue through the same time period before troughing begins over the Intermountain West. As troughing emerges into the Great Plains, some lee cyclogenesis will amplify the delivery of more upper-level divergence across the area by Sunday afternoon. Medium-range guidance suggests ingredients like mid-level lapse rates near 8 C/km, already hinting at a large hail/damaging wind threat that afternoon with any storms developing along the frontal boundary.

A significant post-frontal cooldown is also becoming more likely, with a greater than 60 percent chance of freezing temperatures on Sunday night north of I-30. Long-range guidance suggests that the rollercoaster ride will continue with another warming trend through next week (mid-to upper 80s are not out of the question by next Friday). /16/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1255 AM CDT Fri Mar 13 2026

For the 13/06z TAF period...Expect VFR conditions with clear skies to prevail through the period. Southerly winds will return areawide by late morning, with gusts as high as 15-20 mph across our East Texas sites, and possibly at KSHV & KTXK. These winds should diminish by sunset, but remain from the south. /20/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1211 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 74 51 78 60 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 72 47 77 57 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 72 43 77 53 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 75 51 79 59 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 72 46 77 55 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 75 52 80 61 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 75 49 79 59 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 75 50 79 60 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.