textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1139 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026

- Dry and windy conditions in the short term will contribute to increased fire danger. A Fire Danger Statement will be in effect from 10am to 7pm Friday to highlight this hazard.

- Temperatures are expected to climb back into the low to mid 90s next week as a ridge builds back over the region.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1139 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026

High pressure remains over much of the southern CONUS, bringing warm and dry conditions to the Ark-La-Tx. Afternoon highs should be returning to the low 90s for Friday afternoon through much of next week with very little in terms of rainfall.

Hurricane Isaias is on track to make landfall somewhere along the Alabama coast or Florida Panhandle Friday evening as a low-end Category 3 Hurricane. Direct impacts from Isaias will stay far east of the region as the storm moves ashore. However, fire danger concerns will likely be heightened Friday afternoon and possibly into Saturday due to stronger gradient winds. Areas could see winds occasionally gusting around 25 kts with drier continental air moving in from the northeast, which could contribute to easy fire starts and fire spreading. A Fire Danger Statement has been issued for areas along and south of I-30 for much of the day Friday to highlight these conditions in addition to the continued drought across the region. Depending on how Isaias behaves once it moves onshore Saturday, this statement could need an extension.

Upper-level ridging is expected to rebuild across the southern Plains in the wake of Isaias and spread across TX and LA early next week. This will bring back unseasonably warm high temperatures in the low to mid 90s. The northwesterly wind shift immediately behind Isaias should push more dry air into the region Sunday, but eventually give way to tropical southerly flow that will feel closer to summer than it would to mid-October.

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AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 102 AM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

For the 09/06Z TAF update, subsident, dry air remains as predominant weather influence as the easterly surface wind field around Hurricane Isaias begins to shift east of the Mississippi Rive valley. As it does so, VFR vis/cigs are expected to prevail through the period with easterly winds at 5-10 mph. /16/

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 145 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026

We have issued a Fire Danger Statement for Friday from 10 am until 6 pm, when the surface winds will be brisk and potentially gusting from 15 to 25 mph. Also, the relative humidity will be falling off to the lowest levels for the daylight period. Caution is advised and remember to check with your county or parish for burn ban information. Similar conditions may exist for our area again on Saturday, mainly west of I-49. /24/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 145 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time for any weather. However, please report any wildfires to local officials as soon as possible, with gusty surface winds and lowering relative humidity, capable of growth and spreading of wildfires on Friday afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 92 63 87 63 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 92 64 81 60 / 0 0 40 10 DEQ 92 59 89 57 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 91 60 86 59 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 93 59 84 56 / 0 0 20 10 TYR 91 63 89 64 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 91 60 88 60 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 91 63 89 62 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.