textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 224 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

- Some improvement to the soggy Holiday Weekend forecast in the wake of the severe early push this morning.

- The Flood Watch remains for now with more convection lifting inland and our soon to be stationary upper low arriving Sunday.

- The parade of upper impulses continues for May with a decent cold front arriving for a nice little break by early June.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 224 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

A wide range of temperatures currently from lower 80s in deep east TX to upper 60s and fog along Hwy 167 from Ruston to El Dorado. The morning MCS is lifting over NE LA at this time and all of our Severe Thunderstorm watch has been cancelled early. The sun is shinning over E TX and will spread across I-49 soon with highs from upper 70s in our far east to muggy mid 80s along and west of I-49. The HRRR is showing some late day or early evening development on a spoke of the departing MCS from near Texarkana to Shreveport this evening. Otherwise, just a few spotty pop ups here and there late day with the sea breeze having a hard time moving into our southern tier of Co/Pa late today.

Our lows will remain with a wide range of 60s with light winds and then highs on Sunday in the upper 70s and lower 80s for a pleasant Sunday. There will be more convection arriving overnight and throughout the day tomorrow with the GFS and NAM in good agreement on high chance to occasional likely coverage of thunderstorms. The WPC fades their Marginal risk for excessive eastward and then back west again for Memorial Day, but the Slight Risk is now over coastal TX/LA and into the southern half of MS, so for now keeping out of our area for Sunday. The SPC continues a General Risk which indicates dangerous lightning and gusty to near 40 mph from additional convection for the balance of our Holiday. Of course subject to change as conditions warrant. So, keep in mind while enjoying the great outdoors and this unofficial start to summer, If Thunder roars, go indoors.

The short work week will continue with convection for all of our Four-State area as the one upper low stalls on Sunday, and lingers toward midweek. Just as the kicker arrives in the SW flow to expand coverage again through midweek. So more needed rainfall remains in the offing with the above average wet pattern likely to finish out the month. Both the GFS and ECMWF have a back door front arriving down the MS River Valley during this timeframe next weekend. And that should bring an end to the wet pattern briefly as we turn the page of the calendar. And perhaps get out of May with little if any 90 degrees readings as the clouds and rain continue to make for a below average temperature range. The CPC 8-14 day outlook carries this same pattern over below average readings and above average rainfall for the first week of June.

/24/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1241 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026

For the 24/06Z TAF update, light and variable winds will allow MVFR/IFR vis/cigs to prevail until 24/18Z as the low cigs gradually break up. With daytime heating, some VCTS could develop across the southern and eastern terminals by 24/18Z-25/03Z, otherwise VFR vis/cigs are expected through the end of the period. /16/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 705 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

Spotter activation should not be needed through Sunday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 83 68 83 67 / 20 20 70 60 MLU 82 67 83 68 / 30 40 80 50 DEQ 84 63 83 63 / 10 0 60 60 TXK 85 66 84 66 / 20 10 70 60 ELD 82 64 81 65 / 30 20 80 60 TYR 85 67 85 66 / 10 0 50 40 GGG 84 67 84 66 / 20 10 60 50 LFK 84 68 86 68 / 20 20 60 40

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...Flood Watch through Monday evening for LAZ010-011-017>020-022.

OK...None. TX...Flood Watch through Monday evening for TXZ152-153-165>167.