textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 219 PM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

- Dry frontal boundaries will deliver breezy and cold conditions through the end of the week into the weekend.

- Drier air and breezy winds, combined with dry soils, will maximize wildfire development potential through the day on Thursday.

- Next week will begin cold and wet with the next chance of rain most likely producing 0.5-1 inch rainfall totals by the middle of the week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 219 PM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

A fairly dry pattern continues for the Four State Region as longwave troughing persists across the eastern U.S., producing dry northwesterly flow aloft. This pattern will hold through the first half of the forecast period as troughing to the east and ridging to the west (Omega-blocking) remains a trend with some mid-level troughs passing underneath, including the next chance of rain by Sunday and Monday. Until then, dry cold fronts will arrive on Thursday into Friday, ushering in some of the coolest air of the Fall ranging at or 2-3+ degrees cooler than normal. By Sunday into early next week, temperature maximums/minimums will remain at the lower 60s/lower 40s (some upper 30s likely in south Arkansas), respectively. Combined with rain chances, a cold and wet start to the workweek is also becoming more likely by next Monday. Long- range guidance suggests a gradual warm-up with the return of ridging and dry weather through the middle of next week. /16/

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1129 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the period with gradually clearing skies as a cold front pushes in from the northwest tonight. Surface winds should shift from the west to the northwest behind the front, generally staying around 5 kts until winds come back up to 5-10 kts late tomorrow morning. Despite clear skies overnight, fog development isn't expected with the much drier air following the front. There could be some wind shear to watch for around the frontal boundary but nothing is standing out at this point. /57/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1146 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 53 73 47 65 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 52 73 43 63 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 46 72 39 64 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 50 72 44 62 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 47 73 40 62 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 52 75 48 69 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 50 74 46 67 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 51 77 48 73 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.