textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1132 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

- Temperatures in the low to mid 90s will continue through the weekend and into early next week.

- Isolated rain chances are expected through this weekend and become slightly more expansive next week.

- Little accumulation should accompany the showers this period, although some isolated severe hazards could come with any stronger pop-up convection.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1132 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

Observational analysis this evening depicts a weak upper-level ridge over the region with a trough over much of the Intermountain West. The ridge should weaken through the weekend before another stronger ridge builds in from the southwest by the beginning of next week. Despite the presence of these ridges, models are suggesting that afternoon convection will be possible through the weekend. Models generally highlight our eastern and northeastern zones as the focus for these showers, but these pop-up showers could develop anywhere in the region with afternoon temperatures reaching the low to mid 90s. The general lack of upper-level support minimizes the risk of widespread severe weather but isolated severe thunderstorms can't be ruled out. The scattered nature of these showers should also keep the flooding risk limited.

Rain chances slightly increase both in likelihood and coverage with the beginning of the building ridge on Monday and continue through the work week. These showers should be a combination of afternoon convection and some pockets of forcing in the upper- level flow, which can make pinning exact locations difficult. Any rain that does fall looks like it will produce little in terms of accumulation, as WPC D1-7 QPF in the region is limited to around an inch. Severe potential with these also look to be minimal right now, but will be monitored. Temperatures are likely to stay in the 90s through much of the week thanks to the ridge. Some areas might get enough of a cooldown to make it into the upper 80s in the latter half of the week, but relief will be minuscule.

Long-range models are beginning to suggest a pattern shift coming next weekend that would plant the Ark-La-Tx in northwest flow. This regime has the potential to bring more organized rain to the area with any disturbances that propagate down this flow, assuming that this pattern shift does occur.

57

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 604 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

High cirrus is forecast to build areawide through this evening with low VFR cumulus clouds returning late Saturday morning and persisting through the afternoon. Outside of a stray shower or thunderstorms lingering through the early evening hours near TXK, no mention of convection through the remainder of the TAF period. If any convection does develop on Saturday, it will mainly affect MLU. Light and variable winds tonight will become southwest around 5 to 10 knots on Saturday. /05/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 148 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 73 93 76 93 / 10 0 10 0 MLU 71 92 74 92 / 10 40 20 20 DEQ 69 91 72 92 / 0 0 10 10 TXK 72 94 74 95 / 0 0 10 10 ELD 69 91 72 91 / 0 20 20 10 TYR 75 93 76 94 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 73 93 76 93 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 73 94 74 94 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.