textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 136 AM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

- Severe weather round two is expected late Saturday afternoon through Sunday morning with this next round potentially more impactful than Friday night's event.

- The area of greatest concern with this next round is again along and north of I-30 where an Enhanced to Moderate Risk is highlighted for the threat of significant hail and tornadoes.

- The forecast will remain largely unsettled into next week, but we may see a brief lull in convection early in the week before rain chances increase once again by mid to late week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1146 AM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

Recent hi-res model guidance has the main round of convective initiation occurring along an OK warm front this evening, northwest of McCurtain Co, OK. These storms are expected to move southeastward into the Ark-La-Tx this evening and continue through the overnight hours. An increasingly unstable environment will be building this afternoon, which increases the concern for severe weather impacts, especially in our northwest zones. Large hail (possibly exceeding 3 inches), damaging wind gusts, and some strong tornadoes will all be possible for the region. SPC's outlook highlights our northwestern zones as being the highest risk for severe hazards due to the favorable environment and the storm mode leaning toward supercells. The storms are expected to morph into more of a QLCS as it moves into Deep East TX, northwest LA, and southern AR later in the night with the loss of daytime heating. A marginal risk still exists for much of these areas due to the risk of severe wind gusts that this line could still be capable of. Due to this event occurring in the evening and overnight hours, be sure you have multiple ways to receive weather information and be woken up, if necessary.

There may still be some lingering convection from Saturday night that bleeds into Sunday morning and clear by midday. The sfc southerly flow that has been funneling in moisture over recent days will continue to help keep us warm, with many places seeing afternoon highs in the mid to upper 80s for the first half of the work week.

A continuously active pattern will keep rain chances in the forecast through the end of the week. SPC has a portion of the forecast area included in 3 of the next 4 outlooks, highlighting the potential for more severe weather to be included with the additional rainfall. More detail will come with future forecasts, but expect a warm and rainy next few days. The added rain will hopefully work to help the drought conditions across the region and bring high temperatures back into the 70s by the end of the week.

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AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 632 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

For the 26/00Z TAF update, a lingering round of -TSRA/SHRA will pass through the airspace from 26/06Z through 26/18Z, producing MVFR vis/cigs as a result in this timeframe. Surface winds will remain out of the south, gaining speed to near 10 kts through the end of the period. /16/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 136 AM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

Spotter activation will likely be needed late Saturday afternoon through Saturday night and early Sunday for the threat of severe thunderstorms.

/19/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 68 89 71 90 / 50 30 10 20 MLU 67 88 70 90 / 40 50 10 10 DEQ 61 83 67 84 / 80 30 30 30 TXK 66 86 71 87 / 70 40 20 30 ELD 63 85 68 87 / 70 50 20 20 TYR 71 88 72 88 / 40 20 10 20 GGG 69 88 71 88 / 50 40 10 20 LFK 70 89 71 90 / 20 10 0 20

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.