textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1211 AM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

- Temperatures will remain in the 90s, with heat index values in the lower 100s through the end of the week.

- Rain chances return to the forecast starting mid-week, and continue into the weekend.

- Independence Day forecast looks like it will be hot and muggy.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1211 AM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

Upper-air analysis early this morning is showing the large ridge has centered itself over the western Kentucky/Tennessee border, leaving our area on the western peripheral. While the center of the ridge will continue to slowly push eastward this week, the western portion of the ridge will keep temperatures hot through the rest of the week. Speaking of the heat, it wouldn't be another discussion if we didn't talk about how close we will get to reaching Heat Advisory criteria but not quite reaching a point where we have to actually issue one. Guidance tonight came in slightly lower again with dewpoints for Tuesday, and we will still see some lower amounts of Saharan Dust across the region. So, once again, I think we will be close, and we might have a few locations reach a heat index of 105 to 106 degrees, but it is still not long enough and I am not confident enough that we will need one. So I am going to hold off once again with the caveat that it is still going to be hot, and precautions should be taken if you are to be outdoors for an extended period of time.

Precipitation chances return to the area as Gulf moisture begins to filter back into the area from the south. Tonight's guidance says that Wednesday will be our best chance of seeing any accumulating rainfall, and these chances will be greatest across central Louisiana. Lower but non-zero chances for Thursday and Friday and then a slight upward trend again on Independence Day. Not expecting any widespread convection on any day, more isolated diurnally driven showers at best. One change to the models tonight though, maybe more widespread convection possible on Sunday and into the start of next week, although confidence is pretty low.

/33/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1244 AM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

For the ArkLaTex terminals, VFR overnight with MVFR cigs around daybreak and for a few hours. We are starting to dry out a little and should break 15-17Z and back to VFR. S/SW winds 5-10KT with a few higher gusts, but the pressure gradient of the last few days of breezy conditions has relaxed and will continue to do so over the next few days with some sea breeze convection possible by mid to late week and through the Holiday weekend. /24/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1211 AM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 95 78 95 77 / 0 0 10 10 MLU 96 77 96 77 / 0 0 30 10 DEQ 93 74 94 75 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 96 77 97 77 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 95 76 95 76 / 0 0 20 10 TYR 96 76 97 77 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 95 77 96 78 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 95 76 96 76 / 0 0 10 10

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.