textproduct: Shreveport

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1224 AM CST Fri Dec 26 2025

- Unseasonably warm to near record temperatures will continue on Friday with only a slight drop off into the weekend ahead of a strong cold front.

- Cold front will arrive late Sunday into Sunday night with rain chances returning, including some isolated thunderstorms while severe weather appears unlikely at this time.

- Post-frontal conditions will send temperatures plummeting with areawide lows below freezing on Tuesday and Wednesday mornings and highs in the 40s and 50s before moderating by mid-week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1224 AM CST Fri Dec 26 2025

Our streak of well above average temperatures in this early winter season will continue for a few more days with today almost certain to be the warmest before major changes manifest as we wrap up the weekend. Until then, unusually strong and persistent upper-level ridging for late December will maintain very warm temperatures and potentially threaten record territory once again this afternoon with highs expected to top out from the upper 70s to lower 80s. However, we will have to scour out some low cloud cover and patchy fog early on before that occurs. Confidence is higher compared to yesterday that we will gradually erode the cloud cover from NW to SE throughout the day as drier SW winds increase and become a bit gusty this afternoon.

As winds gradually relax overnight, low clouds and patchy fog will become more prevalent once again on Saturday morning as warm air advection prevails. Clouds may struggle a bit more to scour out by comparison to day so temperatures will likely be at least a few degrees milder on Saturday afternoon. This pattern appears likely to repeat on Sunday ahead of a strong cold front that will sweep SE across the region from Sunday evening through Monday morning. This will will bring increasing chances for showers and isolated thunderstorms late in the day on Sunday through Monday morning as it rapidly shifts eastward along with a highly amplified longwave trough.

Post-frontal conditions will present a stark contrast to what we have experienced more recently with temperatures plummeting some 25-30 degrees or more, comparatively for highs early next week. In fact, highs on Tuesday will likely struggle to climb out of the 40s for the vast majority of the region. Meanwhile, overnight low temperatures will result in a widespread freeze on Monday night and again Tuesday night, ranging through the 20s for nearly all areas both nights. Temperatures will begin a gradual moderation by mid-week with eastward advancing high pressure and southerly winds coming back around, then prevailing through the end of next week.

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AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1115 PM CST Thu Dec 25 2025

High pressure across the north central gulf to maintain southerly flow across the ArkLaTex with increased moisture advection to bring MVFR ceilings through the remainder of tonight becoming IFR/LIFR near daybreak. Conditions to improve to VFR after 26/18Z. Light south winds tonight to become southwest and increase to 10 to 15 knots with gusts on Friday. Winds to become south around 5 knots after 27/00Z.

/05/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1224 AM CST Fri Dec 26 2025

Spotter activation is not expected through the upcoming weekend.

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PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 81 66 79 66 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 78 64 78 62 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 78 58 77 62 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 81 64 79 65 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 78 61 76 61 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 81 65 79 66 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 81 64 79 63 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 79 65 80 63 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.


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