textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1201 AM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

- Ongoing showers and thunderstorms will continue into this afternoon, mainly for areas north of I-20.

- A strong cold front will move through the region on Saturday, bringing more widespread rain chances to the area.

- Below normal temperatures will follow in the wake of the cold front from Sunday through Tuesday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 202 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

Generally benign weather is expected through the next 24-36 hours ahead of the incoming frontal boundary during Saturday across the Four State Region. Confidence continues to gradually increase on a tampered weather event with a 60-80% chance of mostly showers and thunderstorms. That said, the severe weather threat cannot be fully ruled out with any background combination of insolation, CAPE, and shear with the lift of a frontal boundary like this one. A closer look at the severe weather ingredients in short-range model guidance reveals shear of 30-40 kts being the most plentiful, but a storm mode and arrangement that suggests an isentropic upglide setup for most of the convection that develops through the afternoon, spatiotemporally undercutting stronger updraft arrangements.

Rainfall totals of 0.5-1 inch will be common through the area on Saturday, while Day 1-7 QPF values of 0.5-1.5 inches mean the bulk of the rain for this week is also expected to fall on Saturday. Short-range guidance also suggests a concentration of this rainfall along and south of I-20 as showers linger behind the frontal boundary. Post-frontal cold air advection will return for one of the last few times this season on Sunday, bringing temperatures briefly below normal (maximums/minimums in the lower 70s/lower 40s) through the beginning of next week. Until then, temperatures will remain above normal (maximums/minimums in the upper 80s/mid-60s).

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 619 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

For the 17/00Z TAFs, scattered lower VFR CIGs will lift through the next several hours, with a few high clouds prevailing through much of the night, followed by our daily round of MVFR CIGs developing between 17/08Z and 17/10Z, gradually improving by mid to late morning. South winds will continue throughout, becoming southwesterly tomorrow, at maximum sustained speeds of 10 to 15 kts with gusts of up to 25 kts possible tomorrow afternoon.

/26/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 647 AM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight. /15/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 66 88 68 78 / 0 0 10 70 MLU 65 90 66 83 / 0 0 0 60 DEQ 63 85 55 69 / 10 10 40 60 TXK 67 88 64 73 / 10 0 20 70 ELD 63 88 64 76 / 0 0 10 70 TYR 67 86 62 73 / 0 0 20 70 GGG 66 87 64 75 / 0 0 10 70 LFK 66 87 67 81 / 0 0 0 60

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.