textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 240 PM CDT Mon Mar 30 2026

- Temperatures will remain well above normal through mid-week.

- An upper-level pattern shift will bring a return of more widespread precipitation chances to the area by mid-week and again this upcoming weekend. Some strong to severe thunderstorms can't be ruled out during these periods.

- Cooler and more seasonal type temperatures are expected to return by the end of the weekend into the first of next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 240 PM CDT Mon Mar 30 2026

Generally dry conditions remain across the Four State Region under upper level ridging. However, southerly flow has settled into the region on the backside of surface high pressure across the Eastern Gulf. Once this morning's low stratus burned off, temperatures have quickly warmed into the upper 70s and low 80s so far today. Also on the backside of the surface high, there has been enough weakness aloft for isolated showers and thunderstorms to develop with the onshore flow across Southeast Louisiana. Some of this precipitation could make it into our southeastern forecast zones this afternoon, which generally includes LaSalle and Caldwell Parishes, along with areas nearby. Most of this activity should diminish by sunset due to the loss of daytime heating. We should similar conditions on Tuesday. Expect morning low stratus over most of the area, along with some patchy fog across Deep East Texas and portions of adjacent North and Central Louisiana. More afternoon convection could return to our extreme southeastern zones again, possibly moving as far north as Monroe, LA and as far west as Natchitoches, LA. By Wednesday, there could be just enough push to get this afternoon diurnal convection as far north as the I-20 corridor of East Texas and North Louisiana.

The pattern will start to shift as we move into Wednesday evening. The flow aloft will become southwesterly. At the same time, an upper trough will start to eject out of the Rockies into the Northern Plains. This will send a weak cold front towards to the region. Models are suggesting the front will washout as it moves into the area Thursday, but not before bringing us some decent widespread rain chances. Most of the dynamic energy will likely be across the Midwest, but we can't rule out a chance for some severe weather with this system. Long-term progs are trying to keep some diurnal driven rain chances on Friday, but better rain chances will return on Saturday as a stronger trough ejects out of the northern Rockies into the upper Plains, pushing a stronger cold front across the area. The best dynamics will still likely be north of the area, but with this being a stronger system, severe weather could be in play again. Please continue to monitor our forecast over the next several days as details should become clearer as we get closer to each of these events. Behind Saturday's front much cooler and seasonally normal type temperatures will return to the area for Sunday and the first portion of next week, with morning lows in the 40s and highs around 70 degrees. /20/

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1239 PM CDT Mon Mar 30 2026

The low cigs from this morning are beginning to scatter out for most terminals. Those that haven't should become VFR over the next hour or two, leaving mostly clear skies. Winds will be southerly through the period, gusting up near 20kts late this afternoon before weakening closer to 8kts overnight. Another low stratus deck should begin to develop from the south as soon as 31/08z for KLFK that will clear through the morning. There is uncertainty on how far north this deck will travel, but all sites were included in this package to be safe. Winds are expected to stay elevated enough to keep fog from being a major concern around daybreak. /57/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 240 PM CDT Mon Mar 30 2026

Spotter activation is not expected over the next 24 hours.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 63 86 66 86 / 0 0 0 10 MLU 64 87 65 88 / 0 20 0 10 DEQ 57 84 60 83 / 0 0 0 10 TXK 62 87 65 87 / 0 0 0 10 ELD 59 86 62 86 / 0 0 0 10 TYR 64 85 66 87 / 0 0 0 10 GGG 62 86 65 86 / 0 0 0 10 LFK 62 85 66 85 / 0 10 0 20

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.