textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 153 PM CST Mon Feb 23 2026

- More near and subfreezing temperatures will occur overnight and linger until the mid morning on Tuesday especially east of I-49. - Tuesday will see strong and gusty south and southwest winds with very low relative humidity, returning the elevated condition of these fire growth and spread weather concerns.

- A midweek warming trend will persist through the remainder of the week with scattered showers Thursday and again on Sunday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 153 PM CST Mon Feb 23 2026

Getting toward the 60 degree mark at this hour with still N/NW winds and very low humidity down in the teens for afternoon minimums. This chilly air mass will edge over Arkansas today and settle in for another cold night. Light frost will be possible as the moisture is super low and our soils have also dried out a good bit now since our last wetting rain. The air temperatures were coldest over TX last night and will occur in widespread fashion along and east of I-49 tonight. Dew points are mixing down to teens along the Gulf coast and it will take much of Tuesday to return inland as our winds shift back to S/SW in the wake of the departing air mass.

So along with plenty more sunshine, our highs tomorrow will all see the 60s across our Four-State area, with a few low 70s not outside of the realm of possibility. It's this very dry continental air that allows for these extreme ranges of cold in the morning to so warm in the afternoon. Usually a diurnal range of 20 degrees is more common for us, but with dew points so dry we'll see low to high temperature ranges on Tuesday of 30 to 40 degrees. So get ready for more Spring-like conditions for the mid to late week forecast with highs into the 80s and lows climbing through the 50s into the 60s, before cooling a bit ahead of this weekend as our wind shifts back to N/NW lightly and briefly for Friday behind our Thursday rain chances.

We are still looking at the NW flow aloft and this next upper disturbance in the pattern to bring some showers, and a few isolated thunderstorms generally east of I-49 on Thursday. However, the driving force of this next system will see the surface air mass having eyes for much real estate east of the MS River. We will be on the tail end Charlie of moisture focus as the meager 1018mb surface high settles into the OH River Valley. And now it apprears that the following air mass will be much colder and drier with a strength of 1040+mb of high pressure that will be even farther eastward, moving over the Great Lakes and eventually New England states late this weekend. Once again we will see the only the "fringe" benefits of rain chances in this later weekend scenario.

Finally a better chance in this warm and dry LaNina pattern to see the next core upper low off of the Pacific move over the desert SW U.S. and facilitate needed coverage of rain again for us. This as the soon to be weakening upper ridge moves over Mexico and out into the Gulf of America by weekend after next. This will present a deep SW flow aloft and abundant moisture headed back our way. /24/

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 545 PM CST Mon Feb 23 2026

For the 24/00Z TAF update, VFR vis/cigs are expected through the period with winds weakening to near calm before ridging shifts further east. This will allow southeasterly surface winds to return in an otherwise persistently dry atmosphere. /16/

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 153 PM CST Mon Feb 23 2026

Concern remains elevated across our Four State area with low humidity and some gustiness briefly today. Wildfire growth and spread will be even more likely to occur on Tuesday as the dry continental air mass moves away from our area. The safer conditions of the rich Gulf of America humid air has been displaced well offshore and will take much of tomorrow to move back inland. Thus, we have issued another Fire Danger Statement for Tuesday as our winds will be gusting from the south and southwest on Tuesday, in the wake of the departing air mass. In addition, burn bans are coming back on line as issued by the Counties and Parishes in our Four-State area.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 153 PM CST Mon Feb 23 2026

Spotter activation is not expected during this upcoming week. However, our elevated fire danger conditions will ramp up again on Tuesday with still low RH and gusty S/SW winds. Therefore, relaying information on wildfire activity is encouraged areawide.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 32 68 54 79 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 28 64 50 76 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 26 66 45 74 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 33 68 52 78 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 25 64 48 74 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 36 70 56 82 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 33 69 53 80 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 33 69 55 80 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.