textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1116 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

- Dry weather will continue, with morning lows in the 50s and 60s, and highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Incremental warming will continue through the end of the week.

- Rainfall chances return to the eastern ArkLaTex this weekend as a tropical disturbance approaches the Gulf coast. Flash Flooding cannot be ruled out across south central Arkansas and north central Louisiana.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1116 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

A relatively benign pattern is in place over much of the CONUS: a broad ridge over the western CONUS with a tight pressure gradient stretching from the Pacific Northwest into the Great Lakes and towards the northern Eastern Seaboard. Other than a shortwave trough trying to develop over Texas, there isn't much in the way of synoptic forcing over the Ark-La-Tx. Expect sunny skies and temperatures in the 80s and 90s to prevail over the next few days with very little in the way of rain until this weekend.

The 10 CDT update from NHC has classified Nine as a Tropical Depression, but otherwise remains fairly similar to previous discussions. TD Nine is forecast to continue to the northeast before turning northward and moving toward the Gulf Coast. There is still model uncertainty on strength, speed, and track of this storm, but some intensification is expected over the next 36-48 hours. The latest official track guidance is favoring more of an eastward track compared to some tropical models and is slightly slower than the previous track. This storm is expected to expand over the course of the coming days and still bring rain to parts of the Ark-La-Tx despite the eastward track shift and slower movement. As of now, rain could begin to impact portions of north central LA and south central AR as early as late Friday night or early Saturday morning. This is earlier than the previous discussion had highlighted, likely due to some greater system expansion expected compared to earlier forecasts.

As far as rainfall amounts go, they remain fairly unimpressive. WPC QPF remains around or below 1" of rain between now and Sunday evening in our eastern zones. With that being said, the low QPF could change with greater agreement on TD Nine's track in the coming days, especially if the track shifts westward. Interests in the region should monitor the forecast over the next few days for any changes.

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AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1215 AM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026

Seeing some 5-6kft and 12-15kft moisture across our extreme southern airspace currently and while we can't rule out some ceilings in association with this moisture in the LFK vicinity, VFR conditions will prevail overnight. For that matter, VFR conditions will prevail during the day Wednesday into Wednesday Evening as well. Look for mostly N to ENE winds with speeds near or below 10kts thru the period.

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SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 118 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time. /26/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 65 90 64 90 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 63 93 62 93 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 57 90 60 90 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 60 90 62 90 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 59 92 60 92 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 65 89 65 89 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 63 90 62 90 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 66 91 65 90 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.