textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 252 PM CDT Tue Aug 4 2026

- The next 48 hours will be the hottest days of the workweek before a gradual cooldown to near-normal summertime heat (mid-90s).

- Chances of rain gradually return through the rest of the week into the weekend, mainly in the form of typical summer afternoon thunderstorms.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 252 PM CDT Tue Aug 4 2026

Yet another day ensues under the ridge with some deviations in its strength yielding just enough room for convection to start percolating across central Louisiana (and along I-49) this afternoon. This ridge, centered across the Desert Southwest with an axis of subsident air extending eastward across the southern Great Plains. As it does so, the fading strength of this axis will open certain spatiotemporal windows of opportunity for convection to blossom each afternoon for the rest of the week. Current persistence trends and high-resolution guidance also continue to suggest more efficient mixing and dewpoints in the mid-to-upper 60s that might preclude the area from heat advisory thresholds through the rest of the workweek. These drier conditions have also enhanced surface fuels for wildfire development, especially across East Texas. Travelers should remain cognizant of anything that could spark a fire, such as a dragging tow chain or a discarded cigarette.

Long-range guidance suggests the next synoptic pattern change taking shape in the form of broad troughing as the Four State Region sits between ridging centered across the Desert Southwest and the Atlantic Ocean into the Southeast U.S. coastlines. This will enhance the diurnally-driven convective pattern across the area to yield WPC QPF values of 0.1 to 0.5 inch, mainly distributed along and east of I-49. A relatively dry pattern is expected as a result. /16/

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1219 PM CDT Tue Aug 4 2026

For the 04/18Z TAFs, VFR conditions will prevail for the duration of this forecast period. This afternoon's Cu field will begin to dissipate after sunset, with BKN to SCT lower VFR to high clouds through the night. Southwesterly winds of about 5 kts will continue this afternoon, becoming light and variable overnight, before increasing to 5 kts from the southwest by the end of this forecast period.

/26/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1233 AM CDT Tue Aug 4 2026

Spotter activation is not expected over the next 24 hours. /20/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 77 96 77 96 / 0 20 0 10 MLU 73 97 75 97 / 0 20 0 10 DEQ 71 97 73 96 / 0 10 10 10 TXK 75 98 76 98 / 0 20 10 10 ELD 72 96 74 95 / 0 20 0 20 TYR 77 98 77 98 / 0 20 0 10 GGG 75 98 76 98 / 0 20 0 10 LFK 75 96 75 95 / 0 20 10 10

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.