textproduct: Shreveport
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1122 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2026
- A Heat Advisory remains in effect through 7 PM this evening, with further extension possible.
- Temperatures will remain in the mid to upper 90s through much of the weekend, although drier air moving in may provide some relief.
- Widespread rain chances could return to the region as soon as Monday and potentially continue through the remainder of the forecast period.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1122 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2026
Upper-level ridging remains over the Southeast and southern Appalachia, continuing to keep the Ark-La-Tx warm. The upper-level high is expected to retrograde westward in the latter half of the week. This will keep temperatures elevated while also working to inhibit any showers that try to develop. We may still get some pop-up showers break through in the afternoon hours, but nothing that will bring any meaningful change to the current drought conditions. The shifting high could bring some relief to the heat indices over the next few days, even with temperatures stuck in the upper 90s. Short range models are suggesting that drier air will accompany this high and could be able to mix down toward the surface, which would help keep heat indices further away from advisory criteria. The area is already hovering on the edge of Heat Advisory criteria Thursday afternoon but the final call on extending the current product will go to the overnight shift.
The high should begin to weaken as we start the next work week, which will open up the potential for a front to sweep through the region. Current guidance has an upper-level trough pushing eastward towards the Northern Plains by the end of this weekend and pushing southward by Monday. If this trough is able to push far enough south, the region could see some comparatively cooler temperatures in the mid 90s and some widespread rain chances. We are excited for any break from the heat and will be watching this setup over the coming days.
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AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 643 PM CDT Wed Sep 16 2026
For the 17/00Z TAF update, VFR vis/cigs are expected to prevail through the period with some light southeasterly winds at 5-10 kts. Cu fields and FEW/SCT250 will remain as the main cloud deck evolutions expected as low clouds remain away from our southern airspace. /16/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1122 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2026
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 77 97 74 98 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 75 98 71 100 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 71 98 70 99 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 76 97 73 99 / 10 0 0 0 ELD 73 98 71 100 / 10 0 0 0 TYR 76 98 74 98 / 10 0 0 0 GGG 75 99 73 99 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 75 95 72 94 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for ARZ050-051-059>061- 070>073.
LA...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for LAZ001>006-010>014- 017>022.
OK...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for OKZ077.
TX...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ096-097-108>112- 124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.
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