textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1201 AM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

- Wrap-around convection will continue to linger as a closed low has slowed the trough ejection, maintaining numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms overnight though Sunday morning.

- Dry conditions return to start the new work week as well as a warming trend that will extend throughout much of the week.

- Low-end rain chances may return across parts of the region by the end of the week, but widespread rain is not anticipated.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1201 AM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

Although the severe weather threat has ended across the region, additional convection continues to spread eastward as a closed upper low has slowed the trough ejection. As colder air begins to wrap in behind the closed low and forcing is enhanced once again, isolated thunderstorms will accompany the expanding showers over the next several hours. The bulk of this activity will generally reside along and near the I-20 corridor with lesser coverage as you move farther south of the corridor as well as north of I-30. This convection will gradually begin to wane before diminishing altogether by mid to late morning for the vast majority of the region, but clouds will linger areawide with high temperatures generally ranging through the 60s.

Gradual clearing of clouds is expected by Sunday evening through the overnight hours, promoting post-frontal cold air advection with temperatures falling off into the 40s for most areas under good radiational cooling. Another seasonably mild day is expected on Monday with high temperatures reaching the 60s to lower 70s. By Tuesday, a warming trend will commence with upper-level ridging advancing into the mid-section of the country and southerly winds returning. As a result, look for temperatures to surge well above average once again with daily afternoon highs in the 70s to lower 80s through Thursday. By Friday, a weak cold front will approach the region, bringing an increase in cloud cover and at least some low-end rain chances to parts of the region to end the week and likely linger into next weekend as medium-range guidance suggests the front briefly stalling out before getting reinforced through the region late in the weekend.

/19/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 536 AM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

For the 15/12z TAF update...Radar imagery this morning is still showing some light wrap around moisture across south central Arkansas and northeast Louisiana so I have maintained mention of light rain for KELD and KMLU for the next few hours. We will see OVC skies continue through much of the day today, with some clearing late this afternoon, only to be followed up by the potential for patchy fog to develop overnight. So for some terminals I have MVFR prevailing throughout this TAF period, and a few locations returning to VFR this afternoon, only to drop back to MVFR tonight with the fog. Winds will remain breezy through the day with gusts up to 30 kts possible before they start to calm again by around 15/22z. /33/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1201 AM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

Spotter activation is not expected through this upcoming week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 67 48 72 52 / 10 0 0 0 MLU 69 48 69 50 / 70 0 0 0 DEQ 66 39 69 45 / 10 0 0 0 TXK 67 45 71 51 / 10 0 0 0 ELD 67 43 69 47 / 50 0 0 0 TYR 66 47 72 51 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 66 47 72 50 / 10 0 0 0 LFK 67 50 73 51 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.