textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1147 AM CST Mon Feb 16 2026

- A gradual warming trend is expected through much of this week with many areas approaching 80 degrees during midweek. - A weak cold front will arrive by the end of the work week, briefly stalling, then shifting across I-20 with increasing rain chances Friday through Saturday, then cooler for Sun day.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1147 AM CST Mon Feb 16 2026

The thick fog from daybreak is still lingering a bit for a few locales and there is still an impressive stratus deck east of I-49. Temeratures today varied, but overall we still on track for a nice warm up through this work week with increasing southerly flow. We will likely become fair overnight with more fog to start the school week. The warmer 50s will limit some of the fog density and then 60s later in the week willA N-S band of IFR/low MVFR cigs over E TX/adjacent SW AR is expected to gradually lift/scatter out through the afternoon, and should scatter out at the TXK/GGG terminals by 20Z. While mostly SKC should prevail this afternoon/evening at LFK/TYR/SHV, A more extensive area of IFR/low MVFR cigs will linger through the afternoon/much of the evening and overnight hours over SCntrl and SE AR into much of NCntrl/NE LA, primarily affecting the MLU/ELD terminals. Additional low MVFR cigs should develop after 08Z Tuesday and spread N through daybreak across E TX/N LA, briefly becoming IFR in some locales after 12Z. These cigs should slowly lift/scatter out by the end of the 18Z TAF period, although VFR cigs may linger through the afternoon Tuesday over portions of N LA/Srn AR. SSE winds around 5kts this afternoon will become S after 00Z, increasing to 6-10kts late over E TX. /15/ feel spring like in the morning. High temps today varied with the fog depth and the still low sun angle, but less fog will yeild more 70s on Tuesday, which will edge into 80s for Wednesday and especially Thursday.

Our next weather maker will be a cool front parked on I-30 Friday, leaning backdoor overnight, with increasing rain along and ahead of the stationary front. A secondary air mass of 1050+ mb spreads into the northern tier of the U.S. fresh out of Canada with Arctic continental origin that will be arriving overnight Saturday, driving out the rainfall and northerly winds cooling our temperatures back down to mid February norms or below with more sub freezing readings, at least into S AR from this distance early by next Tuesday morning. /24/

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 844 PM CST Mon Feb 16 2026

For the 17/00z TAF period...Clear skies have moved into most of our locations except, KMLU/KELD. There could be some brief clearing at KMLU/KELD before midnight, but low cigs are expected to move back into those locations and eventually across the remaining TAF sites by daybreak. We could even see some BR/FG at times. The low cigs will hold on through the morning hours, before scattering out during the afternoon. Although, progs are trying to keep these clouds in at KMLU/KELD through the entire period. Can't rule out some light rain/drizzle with the low cigs during the morning, but confidence isn't high enough to include in TAFs at this time. Winds will become southerly during the period, with gusts 15-20 mph, especially across our East Texas sites.

/20/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not expected through this upcoming week.

/19/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 52 72 60 78 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 49 72 58 77 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 44 69 55 74 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 50 71 60 77 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 46 70 55 74 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 53 74 61 79 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 51 74 59 78 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 51 74 60 79 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.