textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 204 PM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

- Drier air and breezy winds, combined with dry soils, will maintain elevated wildfire development potential through Friday.

- Next week will begin cold and wet with the next chance of rain most likely producing 0.5-1 inch rainfall totals by the middle of the week.

- A gradual warm-up returns by the middle of next week, pushing temperature maximums/minimums back to near seasonable lower 70s/lower 40s, respectively.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 204 PM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

Visible satellite imagery continues to confirm the ongoing northwesterly flow and anticipated cold air advective pattern across the Four State region. The cooler air mass (1030mb ridge) will continue a backdoor push of colder air around the Ouachita Mountain range with temperature minimums in the mid-30s across South Arkansas and the Ouachita River Valley through the weekend. Aloft, little change is expected to the general synoptic-scale pattern through the forecast period with troughing along the East and West coastlines framing ridging across the Great Plains. Mid- level troughs will continue to break up the flow, ejecting eastward occasionally (Sunday/Monday's rain source), or northeastward (by the middle of next week) according to long-range guidance. Sunday/Monday rainfall totals will likely be closer to or above 1 inch west of I-49. Ridging will return in a more longitudinal fashion through the middle of next week, setting up a southwesterly flow pattern and a gradual warm-up pushing temperature maximums/minimums back to near seasonable lower 70s/lower 40s, respectively. /16/

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 524 PM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

For the 13/00Z TAFs, VFR conditions are expected to prevail throughout this TAF period with SKC conditions across area airspace aside from a few high clouds late overnight, dissipating into the morning. Northwest winds will become light overnight, pivoting to northeasterly by daybreak and achieving maximum sustained speeds of 5 to 10 kts with gusts of up to 15 kts possible.

/26/

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1157 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

A Fire Danger Statement is in effect today from 10 AM to 6 PM, as min RH values between 30 to 35%, North-Northwest wind gusts up to 25 mph, and critically to extremely dry fuels will create elevated wildfire conditions. Outdoor burning and activities that involve open sparks or flames are discouraged. Please report all wildfires to local law enforcement as soon as possible. /20/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1142 PM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

Spotter activation is not expected through tonight.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 47 64 41 60 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 42 62 37 58 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 38 63 36 57 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 43 61 38 57 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 38 60 34 58 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 48 68 44 62 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 44 66 41 61 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 47 72 45 64 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.