textproduct: Shreveport

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1158 PM CDT Tue Jul 7 2026

- Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible overnight across east Texas and the I-30 corridor, becoming more widespread during the late morning and afternoon hours.

- Quiet and dry weather will return Thursday and continue through the end of the week, with areawide highs in the low to middle 90s.

- Unsettled weather looks to return Sunday and continue into early next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1158 PM CDT Tue Jul 7 2026

Convection has largely diminished across the ArkLaTex this evening, and while high resolution short range models have struggled to resolve development of new storms, particularly in regards to position and timing, additional redevelopment overnight cannot be ruled out. Based on high precipitable water values, the most likely regions to favor convection will be across east Texas and along the I-30 corridor. Guidance suggests this overnight impulse of moisture will propagate southeast into southern Arkansas and northwest Louisiana near daybreak, followed by another afternoon of areawide storm chances driven by the lingering axis, diminishing by mid evening.

Overnight tonight, lows look to drop into the low to middle 70s, followed by highs in the low to middle 90s tomorrow at the majority of sites, aside from those where cloud cover and precipitation limit warming. Overnight Wednesday into Thursday, the upper level trough over the arkLaTex will lift north and east over the Mississippi and Ohio Valley, taking the axis with it and leaving the region dry through the end of the work week and beginning of the weekend.

By early Saturday into Sunday, ridging over the western CONUS will amplify, forming a closed high over the Four Corners region which will drift north over the northern Plains. Steering around this high will at least open the door to afternoon sea breeze convection reaching our southern zones Saturday, followed by more widespread convection Sunday into early next week as easterly flow delivers a series of weaknesses our way, assuming we remain to the southeast of the ridge. The proximity of this upper level ridging looks to help sustain our summertime heat, though presence of convection may manage to limit runaway heating. At this point, highs in the 90s look to remain entrenched in place, with more sites aiming at the middle 90s. Lows will continue in the middle to upper 70s throughout.

/26/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1158 PM CDT Tue Jul 7 2026

VFR conditions currently prevailing across our entire airspace attm as we are seeing some remnant debris cloud cover from previous convection across portions of SW AR as well as NE TX and NW LA. If we see any nocturnal convection overnight, it will likely be tied to the I-20 and 30 Corridors of NE TX, perhaps spreading eastward into SW AR and NW LA near or just after sunrise Wed Morning so have accounted for this in the 06z TAF package. Otherwise, another day of diurnally driven mostly scattered convection across the remainder of our airspace before convection dissipates during the mid to late evening hours on Wed. Also cannot rule out patchy MVFR VSBYS the closer we get to sunrise in the morning with mostly clear skies areawide currently. Winds will be varying from SE to SW with speeds generally under 10kts during this TAF package except variable and more gusty in and around convection.

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SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Issued at 1158 PM CDT Tue Jul 7 2026

Spotter activation may be needed this morning and afternoon across the region. /26/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

SHV 86 72 93 77 / 60 30 30 10 MLU 92 73 94 76 / 20 30 40 10 DEQ 92 70 93 73 / 20 10 20 10 TXK 92 73 95 76 / 20 20 20 10 ELD 90 71 92 74 / 20 20 30 10 TYR 95 74 96 78 / 50 30 20 10 GGG 89 74 95 77 / 50 30 30 10 LFK 94 75 95 76 / 60 40 20 20

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None.