textproduct: San Diego
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
SYNOPSIS
A deep marine layer will continue through tonight with high temperatures for today still as much as 15 to 20 degrees below average for the mountains. There could be a few light showers for the coast to the mountains until around sunrise today, and then again for late this evening into early Friday. It will then be dry with a warming trend into next week with the marine layer become shallower. High temperatures will warm to around average on Sunday and to 5 to 10 degrees above average for inland areas for Wednesday of next week.
SHORT TERM (Today through Saturday)
A large closed low pressure system will remain across California and Nevada today. It will begin to weaken and move east on Friday followed by warming and drying into next week. High temperatures for today will remain well below average, as much as 15 to 20 degrees below average for the mountains. High temperatures for today will be mostly in the 60s for the coast, valleys, and high desert, in the 40s and 50s for the mountains, and in the lower to mid 80s for the lower deserts.
There have once again been some light showers for the coast to the mountains since Wednesday evening, but with less coverage than on Tuesday night. Most of these showers are expected to end by sunrise. There could be one more round of light showers for late this evening into early Friday with coverage intermediate between the lesser coverage since Wednesday evening and the greater coverage of Tuesday evening. Dry weather will then follow into next week along with a warming trend.
High temperatures on Friday will warm a few to around 5 degrees for inland areas and then another 10 to 15 degrees for inland areas on Saturday but with Saturday high temperatures still a few degrees below average for inland areas. High temperatures on Saturday will range from around 70 near the coast to the upper 70s to mid 80s for the Inland Empire with the lower deserts in the mid 90s.
The marine layer is around 5500 feet deep early this morning with widespread low clouds and fog on the coastal slopes of the mountains. A deep marine layer will continue into early Friday with the marine layer become shallower for Saturday into next week.
LONG TERM (Sunday through Wednesday)
Dry weather with a warming trend will continue through the middle of next week. High temperatures will warm to 4 to 8 degrees above average for inland areas for Tuesday through Thursday of next week. High temperatures for next Wednesday will range from the lower 70s near the coast to to the mid 80s to lower 90s for the Inland Empire with 104 to 108 for the lower deserts. The marine layer will become shallower with night and morning low clouds spreading into the western valleys late each night.
AVIATION
281200Z...Coast/Valleys/Coastal Mountain Slopes...VFR conditions prevail early this morning, with cloud based varying between 2500- 6000ft. More BKN-OVC clouds at 5000-6000ft MSL can be found along and adjacent to the coastal mountain slopes with FEW-SCT clouds at 2500-3500 filtering in and out for the coasts/valleys. Very sparse DZ/-RA remains possible (<10% chance) until around 14z Thurs. Should any instances of this occur near terminals, brief CIGs near 2500- 3500ft may accompany them. Mostly clear skies expected through the afternoon today, with perhaps FEW Cu ~5000ft MSL. A very similar set up of cloud cover returns by 03z Fri, with clouds near 5000ft up against the higher terrain, and FEW-SCT clouds 2500-3500ft for the coasts/valleys. DZ/-RA is possible again between 06-18z Fri, though chances will be a little higher than tonight, closer to 20-30%.
Higher Mountains/Deserts...Mostly clear skies and VFR conditions expected through the TAF period. Gusty westerly (onshore) winds near 25 kts have retreated to the mountain passes this morning. Widespread gusts pick back up after 18z Thurs, with gusts closer to 20-30 kts, locally up to 40 kts through passes. Winds remain somewhat elevated for many spots into the early overnight hours tonight, but eventually weaken after 12z Fri.
MARINE
No hazardous marine conditions expected through Sunday.
SKYWARN
Skywarn activation is not requested. However weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions.
SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...Wind Advisory until 5 AM PDT early this morning for Riverside County Mountains-San Diego County Deserts-San Diego County Mountains-San Gorgonio Pass near Banning.
PZ...None.
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