textproduct: San Diego

SYNOPSIS

Weak high pressure over the region will bring warmer weather with highs up to 10 degrees above normal. The marine layer will continue to bring low clouds each night and morning across parts of the coastal basin for the foreseeable future. An area of low pressure will move near the area Sunday through Tuesday. This will bring cooler and breezier weather by Sunday, with the chance of light rain showers by Monday and Tuesday. Drier weather with a warming trend is expected for the latter half of next week.

DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE

SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES...

Low clouds will continue to clear most areas, though some will linger near the beaches through the afternoon as a deep marine layer is in place. High temperatures will be warmer than yesterday as the area of low pressure impacting the region has moved to the east and a weak area of high pressure has made its way over our area. Highs will reach into the 70s/80s this afternoon for inland valleys and the high desert. Temperatures will not change too much into tomorrow as the high slowly slides eastward.

A closed low will move near California by Sunday. This will bring cooling to inland areas up to 10 degrees along with windier conditions across the mountains and deserts. Confidence is moderate to high in seeing wind gusts 35 mph or more Sunday afternoon and evening across the desert slopes into the deserts. As the low draws closer, the marine layer will continue to deepen. This may lead to some drizzle / light showers across western San Diego County. Though PWAT values increase slightly, the system does not look to have much moisture. The best chance of light rainfall will be Monday evening into Tuesday morning for places along and west of the mountains. Areas of San Diego County have the best chance to see rainfall, especially along the coastal slopes. Whatever (if any) falls will be light. The coolest temperatures of the week will occur as this system passes through the region on Monday and Tuesday with highs 5 to 15 degrees below normal. Big Bear has around a 25-40% chance of reaching 50 degrees, Julian a 60-70% each day. Highs in the 60s will prevail for areas west of the mountains with 70s to near 80 degrees across the lower deserts.

Ensemble models are in fair agreement of this low moving out of the region by Wednesday, where a ridge will take its place. This will bring drier and warmer weather to the region. Inland valleys are expected to warm about 7-12 degrees from Tuesday to Wednesday. This may occur again by next Thursday as the area of high pressure expands later into the week.

Mountains/Deserts

Areas of elevated westerly winds 20-30 kts, with gusts to 35 kts through mountain passes and into adjacent deserts this evening, weakening after 07z Saturday. Areas of up/downdrafts and isolated LLWS in lee of mountains. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail through the period.

MARINE

No hazardous marine conditions are expected through Wednesday.

SKYWARN

Skywarn activation is not requested. However weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions.

SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CA...None. PZ...None.