textproduct: San Diego
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
SYNOPSIS
Periods of light to locally moderate precipitation expected through Monday, most widespread today. Dry conditions return Tuesday and will prevail through the rest of the week. Periods of breezy winds expected in the afternoons and evenings through Monday and again mid- week. Near to below average temperatures expected for much of this week with warmer conditions this weekend.
DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES...
The main cold front is making it's way across the Inland Empire and San Diego county as of 11:30 AM. The front is expected to weaken as it continues to move east. Light to locally moderate rain is expected with the frontal passage, with peak rainfall rates 0.20-0.30 inches per hour. A rainfall summary has been headlined on our weather.gov/sandiego homepage to capture the rainfall totals today. After the passage of the front, scattered light to locally moderate showers may develop around the coastal basin this evening into Monday morning. The next shortwave is expected to move across Southern California mid-day Monday which will spark another round of scattered light to locally moderate precipitation. Peak rainfall rates on Monday are expected to be 0.20 inches per hour or less.
At higher elevations in the mountains, snow can be expected. Snow levels are currently around 7500 ft and are expected to drop to 6000 ft by tonight, lingering at 5500-6000 ft on Monday. Around an inch of snow is expected below 7000 ft, with up to 4 inches above 7000 ft. Periods of breezy winds over the mountains and into the deserts is expected through Monday. Peak gust of 35-55 mph will occur in the afternoons and early evenings.
Cooler and dry conditions with weaker winds expected on Tuesday. Another trough of low pressure is expected to dig into the Pacific Northwest sometime Wednesday into Thursday. The broad troughing pattern will keep temperatures near to slightly below average for most locations and increase westerly winds in the mountain and desert again. This low is expected to stay inland, which will keep us dry and bring chances for Santa Ana winds for the end of the week. Weak ridging combined with offshore flow is expected to bring warmer conditions to the area next weekend.
Mountains/Deserts
West to southwest winds gusts 30-45 kt to persist in mountain passes, along deserts slopes and locally into the deserts, weakening gradually after 02z this evening, though remaining elevated into Monday morning (20-35 kts) and increasing again into Monday afternoon. SHRA/SNSH activity to slowly taper off this afternoon from north to south, remaining isolated thereafter through Monday afternoon. VIS down to 0-5SM in mtns with FG where clouds and terrain meet; SHSN may reduce vis locally above 6500 ft MSL. Local areas BLDU (vis 3-5SM) expected. Moderate up/downdrafts in lee of mtns.
MARINE
Periods of increased northwest winds with gusts 15 to 20 kts, especially near showers, and choppy seas throughout today. Showers taper off Monday.
SKYWARN
Skywarn activation is not requested. However weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions.
SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...None. PZ...None.
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