textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Daily afternoon shower and thunderstorm chances through the end of the week. While severe weather is not expected, lightning and locally heavy rainfall will be possible.

- Temperatures climb back to around 90 by midweek, continuing to gradually increase into the lower 90s through the weekend. Heat index values will gradually increase this week, reaching the 100-105 degree this weekend into early next week.

- Temperatures and heat index values gradually trending upward, possibly becoming hazardous by this weekend and especially next week.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 224 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

Continued isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening, similar to previous days this week. Main hazards will be lightning and locally heavy rainfall due to slow storm motion. HREF LPMM values highlight potential for very localized rainfall amounts up to 2-4 inches.

For tonight, mostly dry with lows in the upper 60s to mid 70s.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/

Issued at 224 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

Wednesday looks very similar to today as far as precip hazards go, with isolated to scattered showers and storms. Precip looks to be most focused along and southeast of I-44. Main hazards are lightning and locally heavy rainfall, along with very isolated flooding.

Thursday looks to have increased chances/coverage of showers and thunderstorms, along with an outside shot at severe weather. Morning convection north of the area may drop into the CWA, but the evolution is low confidence. A front drops into the area in the afternoon as instability is on the rise and shear is increasing. Quite a bit of uncertainty based on how morning convection/cloud cover evolve. Think severe risk would be marginal at best given current guidance.

Friday into Monday: Isolated to scattered showers and non-severe storms will decrease in coverage and probability through this time range as an upper high builds into the region.

Temperatures: Highs in the upper 80s to around 90 through Thursday, then increasing this weekend into next week as an upper high builds into the region. By the weekend, look for high in the low to mid 90s with heat index values of 100-105. Similar, or slightly warmer, conditions are possible early to mid next week.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1232 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue this afternoon and early evening. Expect similar conditions during the day Wednesday. Look for VFR conditions when not in showers or storms.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.