textproduct: Springfield
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- A Heat Advisory in effect across the area through 7 PM Tuesday evening as daily afternoon and early evening heat index values from 100 to 110 degrees are expected.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Issued at 1226 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026
Fair weather cumulus have popped up over the area with a bit more vertical development occurring over the eastern Ozarks. That area is the most favorable for convection to occur, if it occurs. Right now there's a 15-30% chance for a pop up thunderstorm over that region through this afternoon. If any convection does occur, it's forecast to pop up closer toward the warm front that's draped over eastern MO. Otherwise, warm temperatures are occurring today with highs reaching the low to mid 90s and heat index values from 100 to 110 degrees. A Heat Advisory remains in effect through Tuesday evening for the entire area. Southwesterly winds stay near 10 mph through the rest of the afternoon. Little overnight relief for us as lows only dip into the mid to low 70s with partly cloudy skies.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Issued at 1226 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026
The heat will stick around through the next few days and a Heat Advisory will be in effect until Tuesday evening. There may also be a few counties over SE KS/SW MO that will need an Extreme Heat Warning as the ridge parks over us and cranks up the heat a bit higher in those counties. Either way, it'll be hot. Expect highs in the 90s and lower 100s and for temperatures to gradually get warmer through the weekend and into the start of next week. Heat index values will range from 100 to 110 degrees with little overnight relief with lows in the mid 70s.
The ridge starts to break down Wednesday into Thursday with low-end (15%) POPs moving in by mid-week with shortwaves attempting to move in to the area. Then, a mid-level trough moves through the area on Friday bringing our best chance for rain at 20-30% and drop our highs a bit into the upper 80s.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
Issued at 1224 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026
VFR through the period with breezy southwesterly winds continuing through the rest of the afternoon. Winds subside tonight, and mostly clear skies persist.
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Tuesday for KSZ073-097-101. MO...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Tuesday for MOZ055>058-066>071- 077>083-088>098-101>106.
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