textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- A warm up to above normal temperatures begins today then cooler again by the middle to end of the week.

- Elevated fire weather conditions on Tuesday especially for areas along and south of I-44. Southwesterly winds will gust up to 25 mph and min RH values will be in the 25-40% range.

- Light rain potential(20-30%) Tuesday night as a strong upper disturbance and cold front move through.

- Gusty northwesterly winds on Wednesday with an incoming cold front with gusts up to 35 mph.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 145 AM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

Upper level analysis and water vapor imagery show broad northwesterly flow from western Canada into the plains, mid Mississippi and Ohio valleys. The next wave of energy was pushing into western portions of British Columbia, CA and will be the next upper wave of interest for our area on Tuesday night. Surface high pressure has pushed off to our south and we have light southerly winds in the wake of the high pressure. Temperatures as of midnight were in the upper 20s to low 30s.

Today and tonight: A very dry air mass will remain in place over the area which will bring abundant sunshine to the area today and a clear sky tonight. Low level warm advection will help temperatures rise back into the mid to upper 50s during the afternoon with lows tonight in the mid to upper 30s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 145 AM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

Upper energy associated with the next shortwave will begin pushing into the northern plains and upper Mississippi valley region late Monday into Monday night. On Tuesday, the trough will start to deepen over the Mississippi valley and we'll see a cold front approach from the north. Ahead of the front, low level warm advection will continue and we'll see temperatures rise into the low to mid 60s.

Gusty winds with wind gusts of 25 to 30 mph will be possible Tuesday ahead of the front and we'll see RH values dip into the 25 to 40 percent range during the afternoon. Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible mainly south and east of the I-44 corridor.

The front and upper level energy will push across the area Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning. While good deep moisture will remain south of the area along the Gulf coast, the will probably be enough lift and moisture associated with the system to produce some scattered light rain and sprinkles Tuesday night(20-30%). Thermal profiles suggest that temperatures will be warm enough for any precipitation to be all rain.

Colder temperatures will be advected into the area behind the front and upper wave with highs on Wednesday back in the 40s and lows Wednesday night in the teens. Highs on Thursday may not get out of the 30s.

Another upper wave will be quick on the heels of the first one, by Thursday night into Friday. This will bring a reinforcing shot of colder air to the area for next weekend. Precipitation chances look low at this time with the dry air remaining in place.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 503 AM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

For the 12z TAFS, VFR conditions are expected through the period with a dry air mass in place across the region. Southerly winds may gust up to 15 kts this afternoon.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.