textproduct: Springfield
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Record high temperatures possible today and Sunday.
- Elevated fire weather concerns through Sunday.
- Record high temperatures possible Wednesday and Thursday.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
Issued at 1223 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026
Record high temperatures possible today and Sunday. - Impacts: None. - Details: Forecast highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s today and 80s to low 90s on Sunday (lower 80s over the northwestern CWA). See the climate section below for records. - Confidence: High - Meteorological Analysis: As has been well advertised, a strong upper ridge extending from a high over the desert SW is bringing very warm air to the region. A cold front moves through Sunday afternoon/evening, resulting in cooler conditions (still highs in the low to mid 80s).
Elevated fire weather concerns through Sunday. - Impacts: Elevated fire weather, especially Sunday. - Details: Much above normal temperatures and dry conditions (previous several days have also been dry). Light winds today with minRH values of 15-30, resulting in elevated fire risk. SW winds of 15-20 mph gusting to 25-35 mph, turning northwesterly Sunday afternoon and evening behind a cold front. Sunday minRH values of 20-35%. Unlikely to see Red Flag conditions Sunday, but high end, widespread elevated conditions expected. - Confidence: High. - Meteorological Analysis: HREF joint probability of Red Flag conditions (sustained winds > 20 kts and RH < 25%) is < 20% and those values are short lived. The strongest winds are offset from the lowest RH values. However, it is worth stressing that this will be a higher end elevated fire weather day.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
Issued at 1223 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026
Record high temperatures possible Wednesday and Thursday. - Impacts: Potential for elevated fire weather conditions. - Details: Highs in the 80s Wednesday and 80s to low 90s Thursday. See the climate section below for records. - Confidence: Medium. - Meteorological Analysis: A very similar pattern to this weekend sets back on for Wednesday and Thursday as the upper ridge builds back in from the persistent upper high over the desert SW. Similar temperatures/moisture is expected, resulting in record highs being threatened and possibly elevated fire weather conditions.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
Issued at 1211 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026
Winds will increase out of the south to southwest late tonight into Sunday. LLWS is expected at KSGF and KBBG early Sunday. A cold front will pass through late Sunday, but no preciptiation is expected. VFR conditions will persist through this TAF period.
CLIMATE
Issued at 100 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026
Record High Temperatures:
March 21: KSGF: 88/1916 KJLN: 91/1907 KVIH: 85/1904 KUNO: 79/2011
March 22: KSGF: 88/1907 KJLN: 90/1995 KVIH: 78/1904 KUNO: 85/1997
March 25: KSGF: 83/1910 KJLN: 88/1910 KVIH: 80/1959 KUNO: 79/2012
March 26: KSGF: 82/2020 KJLN: 86/1910 KVIH: 83/9999 KUNO: 86/2020
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...None. MO...None.
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