textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Limited to locally elevated fire weather risk Today. Air will be dry, but winds will be relatively light.

- Warming trend and mostly dry weather follows the cold start to the week. Increasing confidence in highs to be near to above normal, ranging from the upper 40s to lower 60s into the end of the week and the coming weekend.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1246 AM CST Tue Dec 30 2025

With upper level ridging across the west, a deep trough over the east coast thanks to arctic low pressure over the Hudson Bay region the center of the country was conspicuously clear as per satellite imagery, with upper level northwesterly flow. Surface high pressure was centered from Kansas to southern Texas and was aiding in keeping the region clear with generally light winds.

This cool and dry high will allow for low relative humidity values through the day today. With RH's expected to fall into the 20 to 30 percent range this afternoon, fire weather may be a concern. The conditions that should limit any significant wild fire activity will be generally light winds from 5 to 10mph and afternoon highs remaining around 40 degrees to the middle 40s this afternoon. For most locations limited to locally elevated fire weather concerns will be in place this afternoon but with the weak winds, fire spread should not be much of an impact, though with dry fuels and dry air, fire starts may be a bit easier.

A warming trend will then begin tonight and Wednesday with ample sunshine during the day and west to southwesterly winds continuing. This will also slowly bring additional moisture into the region, which will help keep relative humidities in the 40 percents Wednesday afternoon. Overnight lows tonight will be in the 20s with light winds and highs Wednesday in the middle 40s to middle 50s.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/

Issued at 1246 AM CST Tue Dec 30 2025

Upper level northwesterly flow and ridging over the west coast will continue through the remainder of the week with the ridge slowly moving into the Plains during the coming weekend.

Several shortwave troughs and ridges will move through the upper level flow with rounds of high and low pressure riding down the eastern side of the ridge and through the Ozarks through the week. An overall warming trend will occur, though dry cold fronts will move through the region about every 36 hours or so, with a shot of cooler air to temper the warm temperatures into the weekend.

The pattern will also remain mostly dry. The only chance for weather may occur with a short wave and surface low that slides south of the Ozarks. Lift north of the low pressure system could bring some light showers across far southern Missouri, but chances are around <15% and no impacts would be expected with these.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 510 AM CST Tue Dec 30 2025

Clear skies and light westerly winds will occur through today. This will keep VFR flight conditions in place through tonight. A few high clouds may move over the region through this afternoon but will have no impacts on flight conditions.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.