textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Freeze Warning in effect tonight for most of the area. Low temperatures in the upper 20s to lower 30s could cause impacts to vegetation/agricultural interests.

- Elevated fire weather conditions expected this weekend. Very low humidity is expected Saturday with wind gusts around 20mph. Low humidity continues Sunday with wind gusts increasing to 30 mph.

- A large warm up occurs again Monday and Tuesday with near record breaking temperatures. Windy conditions are expected Monday and Tuesday approaching wind advisory criteria in the west.

- An active pattern builds into the region by the middle of next week featuring daily rain and thunderstorm chances.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 134 AM CDT Sat Mar 28 2026

Current conditions and synoptic overview: Northwest flow has developed aloft as an upper level trough shifts into the eastern CONUS with a ridge axis to our west from west TX into the northern Rockies. The surface front has pushed south to near the Gulf coast with high pressure building into the area. Cooler and drier air has moved into the region with midnight temperatures from the upper 30s to mid 40s and RH values only in the 30s and 40s.

Rest of tonight and Saturday: Surface ridge will move overhead during the remainder of the overnight and then shift east of the area during the day today. Temperatures are expected to drop to near freezing or slightly below for much of the CWA by morning and we have a freeze warning in effect for all but the far southern CWA. RH values are not expected to recover much during the remainder of the night and will likely drop into the upper teens to 20s during the afternoon hours. While winds are not expected to significantly increase today, the very dry air will put us in an elevated fire weather status this afternoon and early evening. Highs will be closer to normal with readings in the low to mid 60s for most locations.

Saturday night and Sunday: Low level warm advection will start to set up with the surface ridge to our east and developing low pressure in the high plains. Lows tonight will not be as cold as this morning with lows from the upper 30s in the east to the mid 40s out west. Winds will become gusty on Sunday, especially in the west where gusts of 30 to 35 mph will be possible. Humidity levels will be a bit higher, but will still be dry and maintain us in the elevated fire weather status. The stronger warm air advection will lead to highs back into the low to mid 70s for the area.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/

Issued at 134 AM CDT Sat Mar 28 2026

Windy conditions with near record breaking temperatures Monday and Tuesday: The pressure gradient will tighten Monday into Tuesday ahead of a frontal boundary and low pressure system developing to our west and high pressure off the Atlantic coast. We may approach wind advisory criteria in the western CWA with gusts of 35 to 45 mph both days. Temperatures will again approach record values, especially on Monday where record values are slightly lower than on Tuesday. Both days will likely see highs in the low to mid 80s(see climate section).

Active pattern from mid to late week: A northern stream shortwave will track east across the northern plains into the upper Mississippi valley during the middle of the week with a surface front moving into the area. This will bring initial precipitation chances to the area late Tuesday into Wednesday. Additional rain chances will persist through the end of the week as upper level energy moves in from the west with southern stream jet energy, with an eventual larger trough moving through the area early in the weekend. Temperatures will likely cool down closer to seasonal norms for the middle of the week(Wed- Thu) before rebounding to above normal on Friday.

CLIMATE

Issued at 134 AM CDT Sat Mar 28 2026

Record High Temperatures:

Monday March 30: KSGF: 82/1963 Forecast: 84 KJLN: 84/1904 Forecast: 84 KVIH: 80/1978 Forecast: 83 KUNO: 82/1968 Forecast: 82

Tuesday March 31: KSGF: 87/1974 Forecast: 84 KVIH: 84/2010 Forecast: 84 KUNO: 85/1981 Forecast: 84

Record Warmest Minimum Temperatures:

Tuesday March 31: KSGF: 62/1967 Forecast: 63 KJLN: 65/1967 Forecast: 66 KVIH: 61/1967 Forecast: 65 KUNO: 58/1967 Forecast: 61

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1219 AM CDT Sat Mar 28 2026

For the 06z TAFS, most of the cloud cover has shifted south of the forecast area with a few mid/high level clouds still at JLN/BBG. High pressure was moving over the area early this morning and will gradually see winds veer around to the east and then south later in the day as the high slides off to the east. VFR conditions are expected through the period.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT this morning for KSZ073-097-101. MO...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT this morning for MOZ055>058- 066>071-077>083-088>096-098.