textproduct: Springfield
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Rain returns Tuesday through the end of the week. Localized, minor flooding will be a concern for locations that see multiple rounds of rainfall.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Issued at 1146 AM CDT Mon May 25 2026
Quiet and seasonal weather continues through tonight. Look for lows in the mid to upper 50s.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Issued at 1146 AM CDT Mon May 25 2026
Rain returns Tuesday through the end of the week. Localized, minor flooding will be a concern for locations that see multiple rounds of rainfall: - Impacts: Localized risk for minor flooding. - Details: Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected Tuesday into the weekend. Ample moisture will allow for isolated heavy rainfall and localized flooding. - Confidence: Confidence in periods of rain this week is high. Confidence in details related to flooding is low. - Meteorological Analysis: A deep upper low will settle over the western CONUS by late Tuesday, leaving a large scale ridge over the central CONUS that is interrupted by a persistent stalled upper trough near or just south of the CWA. This feature will result in scattered showers and thunderstorms Tuesday into the weekend, but coverage, amounts, and location of greatest rainfall is not settled. Thinking once the western CONUS low becomes established late Tuesday, details may become more clear.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 1031 PM CDT Mon May 25 2026
VFR flight conditions will continue through at least 14Z before a system filters into the area from the southeast. Between 14Z-18Z, light rain will be possible at KBBG before more isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms push into the area, potentially affecting each TAF site. As it stands, there's still only a 30-40% chance at KSGF and KJLN, with a 40-60% chance at KBBG. Therefore, went with PROB30 group with -TSRA for now, and will monitor trends for the next issuance.
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...None. MO...None.
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