textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Seasonably pleasant and dry conditions with near-normal temperatures in the 70s to mid-80s continuing through the rest of the week.

- Continuing to monitor pattern trends of 20-40% rain chances this weekend.

- Round of showers and thunderstorms possible around Tuesday next week. Can't pinpoint severe weather potential, but will need monitoring.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/

Issued at 216 AM CDT Wed Sep 23 2026

Overall quiet weather through the short term as upper ridging gradually builds across the area. Look for highs to increase from the low 70s-low 80s today to the upper 70s-upper 80s Friday.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/

Issued at 216 AM CDT Wed Sep 23 2026

Models depict a wide range of outcomes with a passing weak shortwave this weekend, resulting in 20-40% chances for showers and perhaps some thunderstorms. Greatest chances are Saturday night into Sunday. Look for highs generally in the 80s.

Uncertainty increases into the middle of next week as models generally show a deep trough moving through the central CONUS, with the average timing amongst model being on Tuesday. NBM PoPs are around 60%, but confidence in details is lower than that. Depending on details that can't be resolved yet, or are below a reasonable level of confidence, there could be a severe weather threat given the general setup. AI/ML severe weather probabilities do highlight the time frame, so will continue monitoring and updating as necessary.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 614 AM CDT Wed Sep 23 2026

Early morning MVFR ceilings will dissipate as the morning progresses. Otherwise, look for VFR condition with light winds.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.