textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Breezy winds will result in near single digit wind chills Sunday morning as colder air moves into the Ozarks. - A system will bring a 30-50% chance of precipitation Monday into Monday night. Models favor snow for precipitation type, but a wintry mix of snow, light freezing rain, and/or sleet could occur over far southern Missouri. Confidence in precipitation amounts is limited, with potential for some areas to only see trace amounts.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 1254 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

Behind the system that is exiting the area this evening, look for temperatures to drop into the low 20s tonight into Sunday morning. NW winds will gust to 25-35 mph this evening into tonight, gradually diminishing with time, but will result in single digit to low teen wind chills into Sunday morning.

Rain is already ending over the far western CWA. The cutoff will push east this evening, leaving the entire area dry by around 9pm. Precip type should be all rain, but a brief period of drizzle is possible on the back side (temperatures will still be above freezing at that time).

For the rest of Sunday, look for gradually decreasing clouds and highs in the 30s.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/

Issued at 1254 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

30-50% chance of light wintry precip Monday into Monday night:

The overall message for this system has not changed since the previous discussion. Of note is a slight northward shift with the clipper, more favoring the EAX CWA and northern portions of our CWA now. Also, the warm nose that could cause some mixed precip over far southern Missouri has shifted slightly southeast in the latest NBM run. This resulted in lower (mainly trace) snowfall amounts along the I-44 corridor, and slightly higher (still minor) snowfall accumulations across west central to central Missouri. Also, ptype probabilities shifted slightly from freezing rain toward light sleet over the far south. Not confident that these will be persistent trends given limited predictability with this type of setup, so stay tuned for later updates. The probabilistic Winter Storm Severity Index generally shows 20% or less chance of minor impacts in the CWA, with much of the I-44 corridor at 5-10% chance, spelling out low risk for noteworthy impacts from this evening. Highs Monday still look to be in the low 30s.

Below normal temperatures to prevail:

Main story for the rest of the long term is that temperatures will bounce around but remain generally below normal. Look for lows mainly in the upper teens to mid 20s. Highs will bounce between the 30s Tuesday and Thursday and the 40s Wednesday and Friday.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1139 AM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

Ongoing rain showers and borderline MVFR-IFR ceilings will come to an end after the cold front associated with this system moves through. That will occur earliest at KJLN, with improvement to VFR conditions expected overnight tonight. At KSGF, MVFR ceilings should stick around through much or all of tonight before improving further Sunday morning. KBBG will see a rebound to VFR conditions overnight tonight.

Gusty winds will gradually weaken this afternoon into Sunday morning while becoming northwesterly behind the cold front.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...Wind Advisory until 3 PM CST this afternoon for KSZ097-101. MO...Wind Advisory until 3 PM CST this afternoon for MOZ058-070-071- 077-079>083-088>095-101>103.