textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Light drizzle and freezing drizzle possible through the afternoon. Little to no impacts expected.

- Much colder conditions later today into early Monday. Coldest time period is tonight into Sunday with minimum wind chill values of -10F to 0F (coldest over central Missouri).

- Strong warm up this week with temperatures swinging to well above normal.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 127 PM CST Sat Dec 13 2025

Current conditions and synoptic overview: Upper level analysis and water vapor imagery show a deep trough from the plains into the Ohio and Tennessee valley regions south of a low pressure system centered over the upper Great Lakes region. To the west of the low was a high amplitude ridge axis which extended from California northward into B.C. and Alberta Canada. The deep upper trough and north to northwest flow on the back side of the low was driving a couple of cold fronts through the area today along with an Arctic air mass. A large area of stratus was trapped underneath a large low level temperature inversion across the area. As lift has been increasing this morning with the approach of the second front, some light drizzle/freezing drizzle was occurring. Temperatures were ranging from the low 20s in central MO behind the 2nd front to the upper 30s in far southern Missouri.

Rest of the afternoon: CAMS continue to indicate best chance of drizzle and freezing drizzle will be during the afternoon, but tracking southward with the lift ahead of the 2nd front and should come to an end by the late afternoon or early evening. The colder air will continue to slide south with the 2nd front to near the U.S. 60 corridor by 00z. Areas north of this may have a freezing drizzle potential, however the best lift will be pushing south and any freezing drizzle is not expected to have an impact.

Tonight: The drizzle potential should push to the south of the area by early evening as the 2nd cold front moves through. This will bring some gusty northerly winds with it, with some gusts of 25 to 30 mph possible. In addition, temperatures are expected to drop into the single digits to teens with wind chills of 5 above to -10 below. The coldest temperatures and wind chills (below -10) will remain east of our area where a cold weather advisory remains in place.

Sunday: The upper trough will swing east into the northeast U.S. with the center of the surface high will shift over us into the Ohio Valley. While we will start to see more sunshine on Sunday, highs are only expected to rise into the low 20s in the northeast to near freezing in the southwest.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 127 PM CST Sat Dec 13 2025

A sharp warming trend will begin to take place on Monday and Tuesday as the upper ridge begins to shift eastward and we get some southwest to westerly low level flow. Highs should warm to more normal readings in the 40s on Monday and into the 50s by Tuesday. We may even see some 60s on Wednesday and Thursday.

Rain chances will move back into the area by late Wednesday into Thursday with the next upper wave and surface cold front. The colder air behind this front will not be as pronounced as the current air mass moving into the area with temperatures remaining near normal to slightly above by Friday.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/

Issued at 518 PM CST Sat Dec 13 2025

Drizzle conditions are expected to persist for a couple more hours, continuing the IFR/LIFR ceilings and visibilities at the terminals. By ~05Z-07Z however, conditions are expected to improve back to VFR and prevail through the remainder of the period. Otherwise, northerly winds continue to range between 12-14kts before diminishing overnight and becoming light by the end of the period.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.