textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Low-end precipitation chances (10-20%) tonight across central/eastern Missouri. Dominant precip type will be rain with possibly a few flurries mixed in. No impacts expected.

- Northwesterly winds will gust up to 35 mph tonight especially near central/eastern Missouri.

- A warmup to above normal temperatures early next week then cooler again by the end of the week.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 117 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

Clouds have moved east of the area as a drier air mass settles in. Highs today will be in the mid to upper 40s with minimum relative humidity values in the 30-40% range. Skies are now mostly clear and northwesterly winds have stayed elevated near 25 mph for most of the afternoon. Winds will decrease to about 15 mph for a short period of time later this evening before becoming gusty once again overnight.

A mid-level low pressure system is churning over the Great Lakes region today and the comma head will slowly start to wrap around later tonight. This will bring a low chance (10-20%) for rain to central and eastern MO and a tightening of the pressure gradient as well. There could be a few flurries mixed in too if the timing of the trough moves in just as the temperatures drop to near freezing in those areas tonight. Though, we do have a dry air mass in place with dew points in the high teens and low 20s. Therefore, even though the trough is bringing in plenty of lift to cause showers to form, there may not be enough moisture in the air for those showers to materialize. This is why we have kept the precipitation chances low with little to no accumulations expected. Northwesterly winds will likely become gusty after 10 PM with the highest gusts up to 35 mph occurring in the areas that are most favorable for precipitation (central/eastern MO).

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

Issued at 117 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

The cooler air mass will continue through the remainder of the weekend. Sunday will feature highs in the lower 40s and lows in the 20s with clear skies for the day.

Zonal flow moves in and winds flip back out of the southwest by Monday morning. Warm air advection returns for the start of next week. Temperatures will rise above normal into the 50s and 60s for Monday and Tuesday.

The next front will move through on Wednesday but it is forecast to be a dry front with the lack of moisture in the area. Model ensembles are still inconclusive on how strong the cold air advection will be that moves in with that front next week. For example, the range for Thursday's high temperature for Springfield is either a high of 37 or 50 degrees. Despite not knowing the exact strength of the front, temperatures return to more seasonal values for the end of the week with highs in the 40s and overnight lows in the 20s.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1149 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

VFR through the period with northwesterly winds gusting up to 25 knots this afternoon. Winds begin to diminish near sunset and will remain below 10 knots for the rest of the day and through Sunday morning.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.