textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Coolest conditions of the season tonight with lows in the upper teens to mid 20s.

- Warming trend this weekend through next week, with highs in the 60s for the last half of next week. 10-20% chance of light rain over the far southwest on Sunday.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 749 AM CST Fri Nov 13 2026

The current mid-level pattern features deep lows over the eastern half of the CONUS and off the Pacific NW Coast. Between these systems is a ridge that extends across the western Plains and well into Canada.

Northern flow between these systems has brought a much colder and very dry airmass to the region, resulting in lows in the mid 20s to low 30s last night, highs in the mid 40s to low 50s today, and lows in the upper teens (typical cold spots in the eastern Ozarks) to the mid 20s tonight.

After a cold and calm deer season opener Saturday morning, the rest of the day will see highs around 50, light E/SE winds and increasing high level clouds.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 749 AM CST Fri Nov 13 2026

The current pattern will shift east through the long term period. The upper ridge will shift into the area through the weekend as a weak shortwave moves southeast of the area on Sunday. Look for the ridge to remain over the central CONUS through the middle of next week before SW flow returns as ensemble guidance and tools show troughing becoming established over the western CONUS.

Overall, the pattern will favor a warming trend, with Sunday starting having lows in the 20s/30s and highs in the 50s, increasing to lows in the 40s/50s and highs in the 60s to low 70s for the middle to end of next week.

Precip chances: The Sunday shortwave could bring some light rain to the area as it moves southwest of us. The track of the shortwave and very dry airmass over the area will not favor our area to receive rainfall. Current forecast features 10-20% chance of rain over the far SW CWA, basically along the KS/OK and MO/OK borders. This is backed up well by the NBM probability of >= 0.01 inches of QPF being 15-25% over that area.

Otherwise, the rest of the forecast features minimal rain chances. We will see some 15-30% chance for rain enter the picture late next week in the more active SW flow pattern, but predictability of any shortwave tracks and resulting rain chances is very low at that time frame.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1122 AM CST Fri Nov 13 2026

VFR conditions and light winds will persist through the TAF period.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.