textproduct: Springfield

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Temperatures near normal in the middle to upper 70s this weekend, before a gradual warm up into next week a return of 80s.

- High confidence in dry weather through next week.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 200 AM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

Today-Tonight: Zonal flow builds into Pacific Northwest with a ridge displaced over the Four Corners region. This keeps the central CONUS is zonal to northwest flow, supporting a rather quiet period ahead. Return flow behind the departing system will give way to a bit warmer temperatures this afternoon, with highs into the middle 70s. This is right around normal for early October. Some locations may struggle to reach this mark across southern MO where additional cloud cover expands back over the area today. Nonetheless, drier weather is in the forecast for today. Clouds gradually clear this evening into tonight, with lows falling into the 50s.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

Issued at 200 AM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

Sunday-Next Week: The ridge across the Four Corners will slowly build east into early next week, with a gradual warm up in the forecast. This gradual warm up will feature highs returning to the lower to middle 80s by Wednesday. Confidence is high in the return of above normal temperatures, with small interquartile spreads depicted in the NBM. Furthermore, increasing mid-level heights beyond Wednesday will support highs into the middle to upper 80s by late week. This pattern will support temperatures 10+ degrees above normal in addition to dry weather. No mentionable PoPs exist through the end of next week, which will further amplify drought conditions across portions of the Ozarks. This is especially true for locations that missed out on recent beneficial rainfall. CPC hints at the dry and warm weather persisting through early to mid October.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 545 AM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

VFR flight conditions prevail at KSGF and KJLN, while MVFR ceilings continue to envelope KBBG through this morning. The MVFR ceilings around 1500 to 3000 feet will persist at KBBG through early afternoon, before gradually lifting. Otherwise, mid to high level clouds overspread the other TAF sites today. Light easterly winds around 5 to 10 knots, becoming variable tonight.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.

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