textproduct: Springfield
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Chance of light precipitation late tonight mainly in the north(20-60%). - Temperatures will cool closer to seasonal averages in the 40s for the weekend.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Issued at 154 AM CST Fri Jan 9 2026
Water vapor imagery and upper level analysis show a fairly amplified ridge axis along the west coast with a phased trough from the Rockiest into the mid Mississippi valley. Several embedded shortwaves were within the broad trough region. A cold front was tracking across the area at the surface from west to east with the convection having pushed east of the area shortly after midnight. Stratus has moved in from the west behind the front and will continue overnight.
Today and tonight: The moisture axis will shift east of the area and we should remain dry today with the stratus eroding. An upper shortwave will begin to push into the area late tonight and will bring a chance of light precipitation to the northern half of the CWA by late evening through the overnight. Forecast soundings would indicate that this precipitation should mostly be in the form of light rain, but could mix in a few snowflakes late before ending. No snow accumulation or wintry impact is expected with this system, with overall rainfall amounts of a tenth of a inch or less. Best chances will be north of the I-44 corridor.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Issued at 154 AM CST Fri Jan 9 2026
Behind this system, the southern edges of a colder air mass will move into the area, dipping temperatures more of a normal range over the weekend with highs in the 40s and lows in the 20s.
As the colder air mass shifts east of the area, temperatures will warm back into the 50s by Monday and Tuesday as we get back into a low level warm advection pattern. In the upper levels, the upper ridge out west will continue to amplify and bring northwest to northerly flow to the area and eventually another trough with cooler air by the middle of next week. At this time it still looks like temperatures only dipping back down towards normal for this time of year for Wednesday into the later part of the upcoming work week. Gulf moisture will be kept well south of the area through the period with fairly dry air over the region, so any chances of precipitation with these shortwaves embedded within the northwesterly flow aloft look to be minimal at this time.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 511 AM CST Fri Jan 9 2026
For the 12z TAFS, a large stratus deck was positioned across the CWA and will likely linger through at least the morning before some clearing takes place at JLN. SGF may stay in the stratus for much of the day with additional stratus which will move in with the front tonight. Generally expecting MVFR conditions with the stratus and some VFR for any clearing that takes place.
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...None. MO...None.
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