textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- A warmup to above normal temperatures begins Monday then cooler again by the middle to end of the week.

- Elevated fire weather conditions on Tuesday especially for areas along and south of I-44. Southwesterly winds will gust up to 25 mph and min RH values will be in the 30-40% range.

- Gusty northwesterly winds on Wednesday with an incoming cold front with gusts up to 35 mph.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 123 PM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

Highs today will reach the lower 40s with sunny skies as surface high pressure sits over the central US. Skies remain clear tonight and lows will dip into the mid 20s. Winds switch out of the southwest after midnight and will bring a slight uptick in moisture for tomorrow.

Zonal flow will return for the start of the week. Temperatures will rise above normal into the 50s and 60s for Monday as warm air advection increases.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 123 PM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

The next low pressure system will start to move into the Great Lakes region on Tuesday and will send out a shortwave trough to central MO late Tuesday night. There is a 15-20% chance for rain mostly over central/eastern MO. During the day on Tuesday, winds will start to increase as the main trough slowly pushes south. Southwesterly winds will gust up to 25 mph with minimum RH values in the in the 30-40% range. Thus, elevated fire weather conditions will be a concern primarily along and south of I-44 on Tuesday. Burning is discouraged.

Then, a cold front moves through on Wednesday bringing even stronger northwesterly winds with gusts up to 35 mph. Model ensembles are still inconclusive on how strong the cold air advection will be that moves in with that front next week. For example, the range for Thursday's high temperature for Springfield is either a high of 37 or 50 degrees. Despite not knowing the exact strength of the front, temperatures return to more seasonal values for the end of the week with highs in the 40s and overnight lows in the 20s.

Another cold front will drop southeast into the area on Saturday which will bring another shot of cold air. Highs in the 30s are expected for Saturday. It's still forecast for most of the moisture and precipitation with the front will be south and east of the area.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1118 PM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

For the 06z TAFS, VFR conditions are expected through the period with a dry air mass in place. The surface ridge will shift to the southeast of the area and we'll have a return to a southwesterly to south wind. Some gustiness may occur this afternoon with gusts up to 20 kts.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.