textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Much colder conditions late Saturday into early Monday. Coldest time period is Saturday night into Sunday with minimum wind chill values of -8F to 5F (coldest over central Missouri).

- Dry through most of the period, with a warm-up starting Monday.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 125 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025

A cold front moved south through the area overnight and a slightly cooler air mass has moved into the area today. Highs this afternoon will range from the middle/upper 30s across central Missouri to the upper 40s across far southwestern Missouri. Mostly cloudy skies will remain over the area the rest of today into tonight. Lows will cool into the middle to upper 20s tonight under the cloudless skies.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 125 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025

Southerly winds will return across the area Saturday morning and a warmer air mass will start to advect back to the north, but another cold front will start to move south into the area Saturday afternoon. Therefore, highs will range from the middle 30s across central Missouri to the middle 50s across southern Missouri Saturday afternoon. Some break in the clouds could occur Saturday morning into the early afternoon hours a head of the cold front across portions of southern Missouri which could allow a few readings in the upper 50s where more sun can occur into the afternoon hours.

Clouds will increase along and behind the frontal passage. There could be some drizzle long the front Saturday afternoon and evening, which will be patchy and brief in nature. The much colder air mass will lag a few hours behind the frontal passage along with a drier air mass. Therefore, much of any drizzle potential will occur with temperatures above freezing, but there could be a very brief period where some drizzle could occur mainly across the north where temperatures may drop to or below the freezing mark before the drizzle potential ends as the drier air mass moves in. This will be very brief and low chances (around 5%) across the area.

The colder air mass and an area of surface high pressure will move over the area Saturday night into Sunday, allowing lows to drop into the single digits to the middle teens Sunday morning with wind chill values dropping to around 3 to -7. Highs will only warm into the lower to upper 20s on Sunday. Lows Sunday night into Monday morning will drop into the teens.

A more zonal upper-level pattern then sets up over the region through the first half of next week. This will allow a warming trend to occur as highs warm into the 40s on Monday and into the upper 50s to the lower 60s by Wednesday.

An upper trough will move across the Plains into the Great Lakes region Wednesday night into Friday. The models differ slightly on just how far south the trough digs. Some of the ensemble members keep the trough north of the area, and others bring it further south across the area. The further south solutions would bring some light rain chances (20-30% mainly east of Highway 65) to portions of the area and slightly cooler temperatures (highs in the 40s lows in the upper 20s/lower 30s) Thursday/Friday. The northern track will limit the rain chances as a drier air mass will be in place and the better upper-level support will remain north o the area, and the warmer temperatures will remain in place through late week.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1102 AM CST Fri Dec 12 2025

Low level clouds have moved south across central Missouri into portions of southern Missouri. The southern edge of these MVFR ceilings will be near to just north of KJLN and KSGF this afternoon into this evening. It's possible ceilings vary at times. Tonight into Saturday morning MVFR to IFR ceilings will then move south over the entire area including all three TAF sites across southwestern Missouri. Northerly winds will occur this afternoon and evening becoming light overnight then becoming southeasterly Saturday morning.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.