textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Above-average temperatures will occur across the area today through the weekend as highs warm into the 50s and 60s each afternoon. Friday is expected to be the warmest day during this period.

- Rain chances return Friday evening through Sunday morning. Higher rainfall amounts expected south of I-44. Some embedded thunderstorms are possible with this activity.

- Probabilities favor above-average temperatures next week with highs in the 60s and 70s returning.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 1237 PM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

High clouds are overhead as a surface high pressure sits over the area. Temperatures are sitting in the lower 50s with mostly sunny skies. Winds are light out of the east and will shift out of the southeast later tonight. Relative humidity values are in the 20-30% range making it a good day for prescribed burns.

Tonight, mid to high level clouds will continue to filter into the area and winds will remain light. Low temperatures will be in the 30s overnight.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1237 PM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

Ridging will stay put over the area through Friday. Clouds will filter in and out through the end of the week with Friday reaching into the 60s across the area. Winds will be out of the southeast around 15-20 mph.

A large 500mb trough will move through the southern portion of the CONUS later this week and bring our next chance for rain. Rain chances start to increase Friday afternoon and stay elevated (50-80%) through Sunday morning. There will be several rounds of rain with breaks in between. There could also be a few rumbles of thunder, especially near the MO/AR border where the center of the low will traverse. No widespread thunderstorms are forecast at this time. The highest chance (80%) for widespread rainfall will occur Saturday morning-afternoon. The bulk of the rain is forecast to fall along and south of I-44 with lesser amounts falling towards central MO. This trough could continue to push further south, so keep that in mind as we get closer to the weekend. Deterministic rainfall totals may change and rainfall amounts may decrease over the next couple of days. Right now, areas north of I-44 would see around 0.5-1.5" and areas south of the interstate could see 1.5-2.5" of rain. Since these amounts may still change, will keep in probabilistic rainfall totals in this discussion. Probabilistic rainfall amounts are as follows:

Joplin: >0.5": 80% >1": 60% >2": 35%

Springfield: >0.5": 80% >1": 70% >2": 35%

Branson: >0.5": 80% >1": 70% >2": 35%

Rolla: >0.5": 60% >1": 50% >2": 30%

Highs will be in the 50s and 60s each day from Thursday to Sunday with partly to mostly cloudy skies and lows in the upper 30s to lower 40s. Clouds will start to clear out by the afternoon on Sunday. Early next week upper level troughing will setup over the west coast with long wave upper level ridging over the central U.S. This will setup the potential for well above normal temperatures returning early next week. Some areas on Monday could see highs nearing 70 degrees!

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 501 PM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

VFR through the period with winds turning southeasterly overnight. Winds remain out of the southeast through Thursday with gusts up to 10 knots.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.