textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- A few areas of drizzle through late this morning, dissipating into early afternoon.

- Freeze Warning and Frost Advisory introduced for portions of the area late tonight into Saturday morning. Lows in the mid/upper 20s to mid 30s.

- Cooler temperatures this weekend, with additional areas of frost and freeze on Sunday morning.

- Warming trend returns early next week, with temperatures 5 to 10 degrees above normal.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 215 AM CST Fri Nov 6 2026

This Morning-This Afternoon: A front has cleared the area, with cooler air filtering into the area this morning. Behind the frontal passage, low-level moisture remain present with upslope lift occuring along the Ozark Plateau. This will support a few areas of drizzle through this morning, with coverage generally confined to the spine of the plateau and north. Confidence is lower in drizzle making it into far southern MO, but it remains plausible and captured with 10-15% PoPs. Drizzle should gradually come to an end early this afternoon as low-level moisture erodes. As this occurs, low- level clouds will also begin to dissipate with highs progged to reach into the 50s to near 60.

Tonight: As clouds scattered into this evening and tonight, calm winds will give way to a cold night across the area. NBM guidance continues to depict lows in the middle/upper 20s to lower/middle 30s, with the lowest temperatures focused east of Highway 65. This sets the stage for areas of frost and freeze tonight into Saturday morning. The latest probabilistic guidance suggests the highest probabilities (60-90%) for below freezing temperatures are focused from Lake of the Ozarks through West Plains, and east. It is here, that a Freeze Warning is in effect. There is even the potential for lows in the lower/middle 20s across the eastern Ozarks. Meanwhile, a Frost Advisory has been introduced for the remainder of the counties west of the Freeze Warning. It is plausible that sheltered locations and valleys within the Advisory reach below freezing, though confidence is a bit lower. Overall, this will bring the area one step closer to the official end of the growing season. Some increasing cloud cover towards sunrise on Saturday may keep a few locations a bit warmer in the middle 30s, though the extent of cloud coverage is not expected to be widespread at this time.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 215 AM CST Fri Nov 6 2026

Saturday-Sunday: Cooler and dry weather persist into the weekend. As high pressure settles overhead, highs remain in the 50s to near 60 on Saturday afternoon. Another cold night into Sunday morning, with areas of frost and freeze likely again. Additional headlines will be assessed as needed, as we come to the end of the growing season.

A touch warmer into Sunday with seasonable highs back into the middle 60s. This will mark the beginning of a warming trend into next week.

Next Week: A ridge overspreads the central CONUS into next week, with increasing mid-level heights supporting a warming trend. Confidence is high in temperatures 5 to 10 degrees above normal, with daily highs in the upper 60s to around 70. Overnight lows in the upper 30s to middle 40s. There is some uncertainty in the extent of the mild temperatures late in the week, as ensemble guidance begin to diverge.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 450 AM CST Fri Nov 6 2026

A few areas of drizzle build into the area over the next few hours, with the chances focused on KSGF and KJLN through mid to late morning. Reduced visibilities around 4 to 6 miles accompany any of the drizzle. MVFR to IFR ceilings around 700 to 1500 feet can be expected to prevail this morning and early afternoon, before improving to VFR as clouds scatter and dissipate. Northerly winds around 5 to 10 knots through this evening, becoming light and variable overnight.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Saturday for KSZ073-097-101. MO...Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Saturday for MOZ066>068-077>080-088>091-093>096-101>105. Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Saturday for MOZ055>058-069>071-081>083-092-097-098-106.