textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- A few areas of drizzle dissipating into early afternoon. Patchy fog overnight into Saturday morning from Springfield and point southwest.

- Freeze Warning and Frost Advisory introduced for portions of the area late tonight into Saturday morning. Lows in the mid/upper 20s to mid 30s.

- Cooler temperatures this weekend, with additional areas of frost and freeze on Sunday morning.

- Warming trend returns early next week, with temperatures 5 to 10 degrees above normal.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 215 AM CST Fri Nov 6 2026

This Morning-This Afternoon: A front has cleared the area, with cooler air filtering into the area this morning. Behind the frontal passage, low-level moisture remain present with upslope lift occuring along the Ozark Plateau. This will support a few areas of drizzle through this morning, with coverage generally confined to the spine of the plateau and north. Confidence is lower in drizzle making it into far southern MO, but it remains plausible and captured with 10-15% PoPs. Drizzle should gradually come to an end early this afternoon as low-level moisture erodes. As this occurs, low- level clouds will also begin to dissipate with highs progged to reach into the 50s to near 60.

Tonight: As clouds scattered into this evening and tonight, calm winds will give way to a cold night across the area. NBM guidance continues to depict lows in the middle/upper 20s to lower/middle 30s, with the lowest temperatures focused east of Highway 65. This sets the stage for areas of frost and freeze tonight into Saturday morning. The latest probabilistic guidance suggests the highest probabilities (60-90%) for below freezing temperatures are focused from Lake of the Ozarks through West Plains, and east. It is here, that a Freeze Warning is in effect. There is even the potential for lows in the lower/middle 20s across the eastern Ozarks. Meanwhile, a Frost Advisory has been introduced for the remainder of the counties west of the Freeze Warning. It is plausible that sheltered locations and valleys within the Advisory reach below freezing, though confidence is a bit lower. Overall, this will bring the area one step closer to the official end of the growing season. Some increasing cloud cover towards sunrise on Saturday may keep a few locations a bit warmer in the middle 30s, though the extent of cloud coverage is not expected to be widespread at this time.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 215 AM CST Fri Nov 6 2026

Saturday-Sunday: Cooler and dry weather persist into the weekend. As high pressure settles overhead, highs remain in the 50s to near 60 on Saturday afternoon. Another cold night into Sunday morning, with areas of frost and freeze likely again. Additional headlines will be assessed as needed, as we come to the end of the growing season.

A touch warmer into Sunday with seasonable highs back into the middle 60s. This will mark the beginning of a warming trend into next week.

Next Week: A ridge overspreads the central CONUS into next week, with increasing mid-level heights supporting a warming trend. Confidence is high in temperatures 5 to 10 degrees above normal, with daily highs in the upper 60s to around 70. Overnight lows in the upper 30s to middle 40s. There is some uncertainty in the extent of the mild temperatures late in the week, as ensemble guidance begin to diverge.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1107 AM CST Fri Nov 6 2026

A pessimistic and lower confidence TAF forecast exists for today and tonight. Low clouds continue to hang around IFR late this morning and will likely only improve slightly into MVFR this afternoon. However its possible and perhaps likely that IFR remains a little longer than forecast (lasting closer to 20z at SGF and BBG). MVFR ceilings may also last longer into the evening, especially at BBG and SGF (lasting beyond 00z). Some brief improvement will likely occur overnight however a reduction in ceiling and vis looks to occur after 09z. This looks to be either in the form of low clouds or fog. This would reduce flight conditions into at least MVFR. If trends increase for fog, then future updates may allow for IFR conditions for early Saturday morning. Winds will remain light out of the north with speeds generally less than 10kts.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Saturday for KSZ073-097-101. MO...Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Saturday for MOZ066>068-077>080-088>091-093>096-101>105. Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Saturday for MOZ055>058-069>071-081>083-092-097-098-106.