textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Above normal temperatures occur through Tuesday, then slightly cooler weather returns for the middle to end of the week with colder conditions this weekend.

- Elevated fire weather conditions this afternoon and again on Tuesday especially for areas along and south of I-44. Southwesterly winds will gust up to 15 to 25 mph and afternoon minimal humidity values in the 25-35% range.

- Scattered light rain potential (20-40%) Tuesday evening and night as a strong upper disturbance and cold front move through. Rainfall amounts will be light.

- Gusty northwesterly winds on Wednesday and again on Friday with gusts up to 35 mph at times.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/

Issued at 145 PM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

Warm air advection is occurring across the area as temperatures are currently in the middle to upper 50s across the area early this afternoon. Temperatures will continue to warm a degree to two more over the next couple of hours. A dry air mass is also in place across the area as humidity values are in the 25 to 35 percent range. The strongest winds of the day have already occurred and winds will continue to weaken into early this evening. A few gusts up to 20 mph will still be possible through this afternoon which will lead to elevated fire conditions while combined with the dry conditions.

Lows tonight into Tuesday morning will remain above normal with readings in the upper 30s to lower 40s.

Warm and dry conditions will remain in place again on Tuesday. Highs will warm into the lower to middle 60s as afternoon humidities again drop into the 25 to 35% range. Southwesterly to westerly wind gusts up to 15 to 25 mph will occur on Tuesday and will lead to elevated fire weather conditions again, epically along and south of I-44 where the drier conditions will occur.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/

Issued at 145 PM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

An upper level trough and a surface cold front will move south through the region Tuesday evening and night. Moisture return will be limited but strong forcing will result in some scattered light rain showers occurring across the area as the front and trough move south through the area. Rainfall amounts will remain light with just a trace to less than one tenth of an inch expected. Temperatures in the lower levels of the atmosphere will be warm enough for all rain to occur with this system.

Lows Tuesday night will drop into the middle 30s to around 40 degrees. The cooler air mass will start to advect south into the area on Wednesday into Thursday. Highs on Wednesday will be around to slightly above normal as highs warm into the lower to upper 40s. Gusty northwesterly winds will occur on Wednesday ushering the cooler air mass into the region. Wind gusts up to 25 to 35 mph will occur at times on Wednesday. Lows on Wednesday night into Thursday morning will drop into the middle to upper teens with highs on Thursday warming into the upper 30s to the middle 40s.

The trough will start to move off to the east on Friday as upper level ridging will be over the west coast. This will leave the area in a northwest upper level flow pattern. Another upper level trough and front will move through the region on Friday with highs in the lower to upper 40s occurring again. Gusty northwesterly winds will again occur on Friday with gusts up to 25 to 35 mph occurring at times. A colder air mass will then move into the area for the weekend behind the trough and front with highs in the 30s and lows in the teens to lower 20s occurring both days.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 540 PM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

VFR conditions with mostly clear skies to prevail for the entire TAF period. Main aviation concerns regard slightly breezy west-southwesterly winds at 10-15 kts with gusts up to 20-25 kts, especially between 06-23Z, and some marginal low-level wind shear around 40 kts between 06-14Z.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.