textproduct: Springfield

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Rainfall coverage and amounts continue to decrease through Friday, but additional rounds of showers are expected. Flooding threat is minimal.

- Dry weather and more seasonable temperatures will then occur this weekend through the majority of next week.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/

Issued at 1147 AM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026

While some areas of SE KS have already received over 2 inches of rainfall from this system, many areas have seen minimal amounts. The overall trend has been less coverage and amounts of rainfall through the end of the event on Friday. This is due to subsidence downstream of the rapidly weakening cyclone currently over the panhandle of OK. The system is expected to continue to weaken/fill as it moves as a trough over the area tonight into Friday. For the rest of today, mainly looking at isolated to scattered light showers, but some heavier scattered showers and perhaps thunderstorms are possible mainly east of Highway 65 where 500-1,000 J/kg of SBCAPE has developed thanks to decreased cloud cover and temps in the mid to upper 80s. Shear will be weak, so not expecting and severe chances, but could see some brief moderate to heavy rainfall. The passage of the mid- level trough will coincide with a cold frontal passage, bringing increased rain chances of 80-100% (mainly along and south of I-44) tonight into Friday morning. Precip then ends from NW to SE during the day Friday.

Overall, look for additional rainfall amounts of 0.25-1.50", with potential for locally higher values of 1-2 inches possible. This is not expected to cause any flooding issues outside of localize nuisance flooding.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1147 AM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026

Dry weather with closer to normal temperatures takes hold this weekend into next week. Look for highs in the 70s for the most part through Monday, then 70s to mid 80s Tuesday and Wednesday.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 1147 AM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026

Isolated to scattered showers and potentially some thunder will continue into Friday until a cold front passes through and a trough exits the area. Look for lowering conditions to IFR tonight into Friday morning, then gradual improvement Friday afternoon and evening.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.

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