textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Scattered showers will move across portions of the area west of a Branson to Springfield to Osage Beach line and especially west of I-49 at times today. - There are 20-60% chances for showers and isolated thunderstorms across portions of the area at times Monday into Tuesday. - Below-average temperatures are likely through the beginning of September.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 245 AM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

An upper level shortwave trough is over the northern Plains early this morning and will slowly move to the southeast today into Monday night. Some isolated sprinkles/light rain showers are occurring across portions of the area early this morning with better coverage of light rain shower northwest of the area in Kansas. The showers across Kansas will move east this morning and will move into portions of the area mainly northwest of a Pittsburg, Kansas to Warsaw, Missouri line. This activity will bring only a few hundredths of an inch to one quarter of an inch of rainfall this morning. Southeast of this line some isolated sprinkles/light showers will remain possible as well. The activity will decrease later this morning, then additional scattered showers will be possible later this afternoon into tonight west of a Branson to Springfield to Osage Beach line and especially west of I-49 as upper level energy moves across the area ahead of the shortwave. The better upper level support and instability will remain west of the area so overall the activity will weaken as it moves east completely dissipating over the eastern portions of the area. Instability will be very limited today so most of the area will not be impacted by any lightning, but there may be just enough instability for an isolated rumble of thunder along and west of I-49 late this afternoon into tonight.

Highs will range from the middle/upper 70s across southeastern Kansas and west central Missouri to the middle 80s across south central tonight. Winds will be out of the southeast today and could see some gusts up to around 15 mph at times this afternoon.

The shortwave trough will move south across the central Plains on Monday and across the region Monday night into Tuesday. Scattered showers will again develop and move across the area at times Monday morning through Monday night. Will likely be non stop rain all day for any given spot, but multiple scattered showers could impact the same locations through the day. Instability will again be limited across area the area but there may be just enough for a rumble of thunder or two at times Monday afternoon and evening west of Highway 65. Rainfall amounts will be light with up to one quarter of an inch possible. Below normal temperature will occur again on Monday as highs warm into the middle 70s to around 80 degrees.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 245 AM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

Scattered rain showers and maybe a few rumbles of thunder will continue into Tuesday as the shortwave trough moves across the region. An upper level low will move out of the northern Plains into the Great Lakes region during the middle to the end of the week. The low will push a cold front south through the region Wednesday into Thursday. Additional scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will be possible along the front.

Highs in the upper 70s expected on Tuesday and Wednesday and some middle 80 readings could be possible across portions of the area on Wednesday. A cooler air mass will move over the area on Thursday behind the front with highs expected to warm into the upper 60s to the middle 70s. Lows Thursday and Friday mornings will cool into the upper 40s to the lower 50s, and few of the cooler spots across the eastern Ozarks could dip into the lower 40s by Friday morning. There is potential for some record lows to occur Friday morning, see the Climate section for more details. The low will move off Friday into next weekend and we will likely see highs return to the lower to middle 80s.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/

Issued at 623 AM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

VFR through the period with southeasterly winds gusting up to 10 knots this afternoon. Expect light intermittent rain showers this morning with partly to mostly cloudy skies.

CLIMATE

Issued at 245 AM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

Record Low Maximum Temperatures:

September 4: KSGF: 66/2008

Record Low Temperatures:

September 5: KSGF: 47/1974 KVIH: 44/1902 KUNO: 44/1997

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.