textproduct: Springfield
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Seasonably pleasant and dry conditions with near-normal temperatures in the 70s to mid-80s continuing through the rest of the week.
- Continuing to monitor pattern trends of 50-70% rain chances this weekend.
- Round of showers and thunderstorms expected sometime early to middle of next week, with the greatest chance of occurrence late Tuesday into early Wednesday at 60-70%. Severe weather potential is currently very low, but will need monitoring.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/
Issued at 134 AM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026
Overall quiet weather through the short term as upper ridging gradually builds across the area. There is a 20-30% chance for showers and perhaps thunderstorms over the northwestern CWA Friday afternoon as shortwave energy begins impacting the region. Look for highs in the mid 70s to 80s.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 134 AM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026
A passing shortwave this weekend will bring periods of showers with slight chances for thunderstorms with 50-70% PoPs. The highest chances for rain are late Saturday into Saturday night. NBM probabilities for >0.50" of rain through the weekend is 20-50% north of I-44 and <20% south of I-44, so rainfall amounts are expected to be light.
Uncertainty increases into the middle of next week as models generally show a deep trough moving through the central CONUS, with the average timing of greatest precip among model guidance being late Tuesday into early Wednesday at 60-70%. Depending on details that can't be resolved yet, or are below a reasonable level of confidence, there could be a severe weather threat given the general setup. AI/ML severe weather probabilities do highlight the time frame for a low end risk, so will continue monitoring and updating as necessary. NMB rainfall probabilites are 60-70% of >= 1", 40-50% of >= 2", and 20-30% chance for >= 3".
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/
Issued at 1235 AM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026
VFR conditions and light winds will persist through the TAF period.
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...None. MO...None.
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