textproduct: Springfield

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- High confidence in dry weather and above normal temperatures this week. Highs in the middle to upper 80s through the upcoming weekend.

- Daily humidity values will drop into the 20-35% range however light winds (gusts less than 15 mph) will keep the fire weather threat limited through this weekend. Higher gusts up to 20-30 mph are possible early to middle of next week.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 232 AM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026

A cool front will work its way through the state today but there won't be too much of a difference in temperatures. Winds are currently out of the northeast, but quickly change to southeasterly later today. Highs will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s with winds around 10 mph or less. Skies will be clear with lows in the upper 50s to lower 60s overnight.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 232 AM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026

The first chance of rain makes an appearance later this weekend as the remnants of Hurricane Isaias move into the area. The low pressure system is forecast to move north through eastern LA/AR and could clip the eastern Ozarks Saturday night into Sunday. It won't bring widespread rainfall, and areas west of highway 63 will likely stay dry. Right now we have a 30-50% chance of rain for the eastern Ozarks for Saturday night with rain dissipating by Sunday morning. The track of the system will determine where the rain will fall. Though, models are mostly in agreement that the building ridge over the Central Plains this weekend will keep the remnants east and push it towards the Ohio River Valley. This means it'll be more likely for the system to go further east than shift back towards the west. For this reason, we have kept POPs around 50% or less.

Highs through the weekend and into the start of next week will sit in the mid 80s once again as the high pressure continues to build and stay put over the Central Plains into the start of next week. Though, looking into the end of next week, we could see a pattern change a week from today. There are still model discrepancies, but perhaps fall makes an appearance once again.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 1140 PM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026

High confidence in VFR conditions across the area tonight through the day on Thursday as clear skies and light winds occur through the TAF period.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.


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