textproduct: Springfield

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Cooler temperatures today behind a cold front.

- A warmup to above normal temperatures begins Monday then cooler again by the middle to end of the week.

- Elevated fire weather conditions on Tuesday.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 147 AM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

Current conditions and synoptic overview: An upper low was situated over the LP of Michigan with a trough axis extending southwest of the low through Missouri. Shortwave energy was pushing through our CWA with a band of mid level clouds and some light precipitation(rain/snow). This quick moving system will be short-lived and should end prior to sunrise. West of the upper low, a ridge axis extended from Manitoba in Canada into southern California. Strong onshore flow across the Pacific northwest will bring a series of shortwaves that will track southeast and eventually into the region over the course of the upcoming week and into next weekend.

Rest of the overnight: Shortwave energy will shift southeast through the area while a surface cold front pushes south across the forecast area. With the colder air mass moving in from the north, once the mid level cloud cover clears out, temperatures will dip into the low to mid 20s.

Today: Plenty of sunshine is expected today, but colder air will remain in place with highs only reaching the low to mid 40s.

Tonight: The surface high will shift southeast of the area and we'll see a return to a southerly wind and low level warm advection will start up. Western areas will be warmer with lows in the upper 20s to near 30, with low to mid 20s in the southeast CWA.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 147 AM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

Monday and Tuesday: Low level warm advection will continue with high pressure to our south and southeast which will also keep Gulf moisture along the Gulf coast. Temperatures will warm into the 50s on Monday and in the low to mid 60s by Tuesday. Some gusty winds and low afternoon RH values in the 30s on Tuesday may lead to some elevated fire weather conditions.

Tuesday night: The next shortwave will begin to push into the area on Tuesday night. While deep moisture is not expected, there will be enough lift for some light precipitation to develop with the shortwave and associated surface front. We currently have low pops(15-20%). Temperatures would be warm enough for rain at this time.

Wednesday-Friday: Behind this strong shortwave, colder air will move back into the area with highs on Wednesday-Friday in the 40s and lows generally in the teens and 20s.

Saturday: The next shortwave will drop southeast into the area on Saturday which will reinforce the colder air. Highs in the 30s are expected for Saturday. At this point, most of the moisture and precipitaton with this front and shortwave will be south and east of the area.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1123 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

For the 06z TAFS, an upper level shortwave and surface front were positioned over the area. Some mid level VFR cloud cover was affecting the northeastern 2/3 of the CWA including the SGF terminal. Light precipitation was remaining northeast of the terminals. The clouds and precipitation associated with this quick moving shortwave will exit to the southeast during the overnight hours with a generally clear sky at SGF thereafter. Northwest winds behind the front will gradually veer to the southwest and become light later in the day.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.


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