textproduct: Springfield
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Much cooler and drier conditions for the start of next week with highs mostly in upper 60s to lower 70s and lows in the 30s and 40s. Wind gusts up to 35 mph are likely on Monday. - Will monitor for elevated fire weather conditions from Monday through Wednesday due to gusty winds and low RH values in the 20-30% range.
- Another cold front will move through on Thursday/Friday bringing the next chance for rain (40-60%).
SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/
Issued at 212 AM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025
The low pressure system that brought us our rain yesterday is still slowly moving northeast out of the state. Partly cloudy skies are still occurring as the low continues to push out. The cold front has made its way through Springfield and has steadily dropped our dewpoints and temperatures down by a couple of degrees each hour. Northerly winds have also increased behind the front with a few gusts reaching 35 mph. Lows tonight will bottom out in the mid 40s making it a chilly start to Sunday morning.
Sunday will be a pleasant day with sunny skies and highs in the mid 60s. Winds will diminish by Sunday afternoon making it feel a bit more like fall across the area. Sunday night will be cooler with lows in the low to mid 40s and clear skies.
LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
Issued at 212 AM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025
Surface high pressure will move to our southeast on Monday with a surface low digging over the Great Plains region. This will lead to a strengthening pressure gradient over the Central Plains and bring us gusty winds for Monday. Winds will start to turn southerly by early Monday and could gust up to 35 mph by the afternoon hours. Skies will be sunny with highs in the mid 70s and that'll be the warmest day of next week. Another front will move through Monday night, but due to the dry air mass that's already in place, rain is not expected with that frontal passage.
The drought is still ongoing even with the recent rainfall. This could lead to an early start to the fire weather season. We'll have to watch for elevated fire weather concerns for the start of next week as winds will be breezy at times with low RH values in the 20-30% range through Wednesday.
Northwest flow persists through Thursday with highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s and lows in the 30s and 40s. Then, on Thursday, the next disturbance moves through the area. A mid- level shortwave will move through the Central Plains region bringing our next chance for rain Thursday evening into Friday. Right now, we have a 40-60% chance of rain Thursday and Friday. This time period for rain may be narrowed down as we get closer towards the end of next week. Another front will move through during that time as well bringing another round of cold air advection to the area. Our daytime highs will be a bit cooler in the low 60s for next weekend.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/
Issued at 612 AM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025
VFR through the period with gusty northwest/west winds up to 25 mph through the morning. Winds begin to diminish through the day with southerly winds increasing again tonight back up to 25 mph.
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...None. MO...None.
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