textproduct: Springfield
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Chances for some rain and a few rumbles of thunder (20-50%) tonight into Sunday. Severe weather is not expected at this time.
- Highs in the 80s today. Brief period of cooler temperatures then occurs Sunday and Monday before 70s and 80s return for the rest of next week, with well above normal temperature possible late week into next weekend.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
Issued at 107 PM CDT Sat May 9 2026
Sunny skies are occurring across the region, and temperatures will continue to warm into the lower to middle 80s the rest of this afternoon. West to northwesterly winds around 5 to 10 mph will continue the rest of this afternoon into early this evening.
A weak upper-level disturbance will move across central/northern Missouri this evening into tonight. There will be some weak uncapped instability, so some isolated showers and maybe a rumble of thunder will be possible north of Highway 54 this evening. Most locations should remain dry.
A cold front will move south into the area tonight and through the area on Sunday as an upper-level trough moves across the Plains. An area of showers will develop and push into portions of the area late tonight into Sunday morning. The better coverage will be along and south of a south of Highway 54 and west of Highway 65. MUCAPE will increase across the far southwestern Missouri late tonight/early Sunday morning. So a few embedded storms will be possible. Lightning and some hail will be the main risk with any storms Sunday morning.
The front will move south of the area Sunday afternoon with a cooler air mass advecting into the region. Highs on Sunday will be in the middle 60s to the lower 70s. Lows Sunday night into Monday morning will drop into the 40s.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Issued at 107 PM CDT Sat May 9 2026
An upper-level ridge will build into the central Plains on Monday as highs warm into the 70s then back into the 80s on Tuesday as the ridge continues to move east. An upper-level disturbance and weak front will move through the region Tuesday night into early Wednesday. A drier air mass will be in place and coverage in the showers and a few storms may be limited.
Slightly cooler temperatures in the 70s will occur behind the front on Wednesday. The upper-level ridge then moves east over the region late week into next week. Highs will likely warm well into the 80s, with some locations approaching 90 degrees possible on Friday into early next week.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/
Issued at 535 PM CDT Sat May 9 2026
Confidence is high that VFR conditions will prevail through this evening and overnight. Winds will be light out of the south to southwest with a turn to the northeast on Sunday morning with increasing speeds. There is a 30 percent chance of rain at BBG Sunday morning into early afternoon. Ceilings will likely begin to drop down close to or perhaps in MVFR at SGF and BBG during the afternoon.
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...None. MO...None.
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