textproduct: Springfield
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Showers and thunderstorms will continue to shift across the area during the overnight into Friday morning. A few storms may still be severe however a weakening trend is expected.
- Most of Saturday should remain dry with additional strong to severe thunderstorms Saturday night into Sunday morning.
- Main system will push through Monday with additional strong to severe chances.
- Localized flooding may occur with training storms tonight through Monday.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/
Issued at 200 AM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026
Synoptic overview and current conditions: Upper level analysis and water vapor imagery show a closed low centered over southern Saskatchewan Canada with upper jet energy over the central plains into the upper Mississippi valley. A cold front was located over southeast Kansas. Thunderstorm complex was currently pushing through central into southwest Missouri shifting east.
Rest of tonight-Friday: Thunderstorm complex will continue to weaken through the overnight hours as it pushes east-southeast through the area. Eastern sections of the CWA may continue to have some convection through the remainder of Friday morning with the main redevelopment in the afternoon well to the south of the area. Some training of storms may produced some localized flooding, however the progressive nature of the complex should keep most of the excessive rainfall risk to a minimum.
Friday night - Saturday: The large upper low will remain over Saskatchewan with westerly upper flow continuing south of the low into the area. Instability will increase over the central to southern plains during the day on Saturday with strong to severe storms possible over KS/OK/AR, possibly into far southwest Missouri very late in the day and continuing into Saturday night.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
Issued at 200 AM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026
Storms that develop over KS during the day Saturday may push into southeast KS and western MO Saturday night with the potential of strong to severe storms.
A jet streak will begin to push into the area late Sunday into Sunday night with additional storms possible, however the main wave will move through Monday into Monday night with the better chances of strong to severe storms over the forecast area. Heavy rain will accompany the storms and may pose a localized flooding risk.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 622 AM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026
For the 12z TAFS, shra/tsra has shifted east of JLN/SGF but will still hang on through 13-14z with some tsra. Some stratus in MVFR will be possible behind the rain clearing clearing for a couple of hours before VFR conditions return by late morning at SGF/JLN and in the afternoon for BBG. Chances are too low for a prob30 group for any redevelopment at BBG this afternoon so have not included at this time. Sky will eventually clear out late this afternoon and evening.
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...None. MO...None.
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