textproduct: Springfield
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Gradual warming trend and a dry stretch of weather through Wednesday, featuring temperatures in the lower/middle 70s.
- Shower and thunderstorm chances (60-80%) return Thursday evening into Friday. Low to medium confidence in the potential for strong to severe thunderstorms in addition to localized heavy rainfall. There are still remaining uncertainties.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Issued at 103 PM CDT Mon Apr 20 2026
High pressure has settled in over that state bringing us sunny skies and highs reaching the lower 70s across the area. Southwesterly winds have been breezy gusting near 20 mph. Tonight will be another clear and cool evening with SSW winds remaining elevated near 10 mph and lows dropping into the upper 40s to lower 50s.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Issued at 103 PM CDT Mon Apr 20 2026
Winds stay southwesterly through mid-week as 500mb high pressure stays overhead. The southwesterly winds will work to bring in moisture and clouds to the area. Highs will reach the mid to upper 80s with winds steadily increasing near 30 mph by Thursday. Our severe weather chances return Thursday night into Friday with a 60-80% chance for rain. SPC has us still outlooked for those two days. The latest outlooks have expanded a bit further east for Thursday and now the area includes areas as far east as Monett. As for Friday, the outlook area has shifted a bit further west to include most of southwestern MO and includes the Springfield area. It's too soon to determine hazard types at this time. Expect this pattern change to continue through the weekend with a 20-40% chance for showers and thunderstorms both on Saturday and Sunday. We have not been outlooked for severe weather on either of those days at this time.
With the pattern change coming up at the end of the week, flooding will be a concern once again. This is primarily because of the path the previous storms have taken the past couple of weeks where the same areas are receiving a large amount of rainfall in a short amount of time from thunderstorms. Right now, WPC has most of the area outlooked for Thursday and the eastern Ozarks outlooked on Friday for a Marginal Risk (1/4) for flooding. We'll continue to monitor the forecast and river levels over those areas to assess our flooding risk as we get closer to the end of the week.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 555 PM CDT Mon Apr 20 2026
High confidence in VFR conditions prevailing through the TAF period. Mostly clear skies through this evening before scattered mid to high level clouds overspread the area into Tuesday morning. Southerly winds around 5 to 10 knots overnight, becoming more south-southwest on Tuesday at 10 to 15 knots, with wind gusts around 20 to 25 knots.
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...None. MO...None.
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