textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Drizzle late this evening into Friday.

- Increasing confidence in the potential for areas of frost and freeze this weekend. Lows each morning in the mid 20s to mid 30s.

- Warming trend returns early next week, with a return of temperatures 5 to 10 degrees above normal.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/

Issued at 1223 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

he shortwave currently over the OK panhandle is expected to shift southwest of the area this evening, resulting in a few sprinkles or brief light shower or two over the far southwestern CWA at worst.

A trough and cold front are passing through the area. Northerly flow behind the front will bring low level moisture that will result in cloud cover and drizzle late this evening into Friday. The drizzle is expected to be most prominent along the higher terrain of the Ozarks Plateau where northerly winds will lead to upslope lift. On the flip side, the least coverage/intensity of drizzle is expected just south of the plateau. Exactly when drizzle ends is still in question, but think it will wrap up by early afternoon Friday as low level moisture gets scoured out some. The cloud cover will take longer to clear, leading to temperatures Friday being on the cold side of the ensemble spread. Official forecast calls for highs Friday in the upper 40s to mid 50s.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1223 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

After a cool day Friday, clouds are expected to clear by Friday night, allowing for lows in the mid 20s to mid 30s. Similar conditions are expected each night through Sunday night. Frost/freeze conditions are expected across much or all of the area, with the worst of it being over the typical cold spots in the eastern CWA. There are models (especially the REFS and RRFS) showing high clouds moving in Friday night and keeping temps a few degrees warmer, so that will have to be monitored. Frost/freeze headlines will be addressed in future shifts if the forecast stays on track.

The rest of the long term is dry.

Temperatures will trend warmer through the long term, starting with highs in the 50s. Highs will be closer to normal in the 60s on Sunday, then upper 60s to around 70 through the rest of the long term forecast period.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 1146 AM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

VFR conditions will persist until low level moisture brings lowered ceilings and drizzle late this evening into Friday. Lowest confidence in seeing drizzle is at KBBG due to downsloping northerly winds, and highest is at KJLN and especially KSGF.

Expect drizzle to dissipate by mid day Friday as ceilings lift some, but an inversion will trap moisture and keep MVFR ceilings around into the afternoon and possibly evening.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.