textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Warming trend and mostly dry weather follows the cold start to the week. Increasing confidence in highs to be near to above normal, ranging from the upper 40s to lower 60s into the end of the week and the coming weekend.

- Next chances for precipitation hold of until the middle to end of next week.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 101 AM CST Wed Dec 31 2025

Surface high pressure over the Gulf Coast, Upper level ridging over the west coast and northwesterly flow aloft over the Plains are all working together to bring mild and quiet weather to the Ozarks. The overall pattern today and into Thursday looks as though with will change little with a slow warning trend as winds from the west to southwest allow for warming to occur.

The pattern will also allow for mostly sunny skies each day with highs this today and Thursday in the middle 40s to middle 50s.

As the region brings in the New Year tonight, slightly warmer weather, in the middle 20s to lower 30s, will occur. This is 5 to 10 degrees warmer than the past two night across the area.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/

Issued at 101 AM CST Wed Dec 31 2025

The ridge over the west coast will begin to shift slowly east as upper level energy from the Pacific impacts the western side of the ridge. This is expected to begin to break down and move the ridge east into the end of the week and the coming weekend.

As some of the energy moves up and over the ridge, a surface low will develop and slide across the southern plains and south of the Ozarks. Models have trended this system south over the past few runs and the Ozarks look like it will remain dry into Friday night and Saturday. Surface high pressure will build in again for the weekend as upper level energy continue to move the ridge east and flatten it. Cold air advection will stick around for Saturday with highs in the upper 40s. Then, highs return to the 50s and 60s for the end of the weekend into the start of next week the the ridge moves over the Central Plains. Rain chances are <10% for the entire long term period.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 531 AM CST Wed Dec 31 2025

With the exception of a few high clouds moving over the Ozarks, the regions terminals can expect VFR flight conditions through the forecast period. A brief period of low level wind shear may impact the SGF and BBG terminal from 05a to 09z as a quick moving 850mb (~5kft AGL) jet streak moves through the region. No other impacts are expected.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.