textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Warming trend this week, with above normal temperatures returning. Highs in the middle to upper 70s, near 80. Mostly dry weather expected to persist this week. - The CPC gives a 70-80% chance for above normal temperatures to persist through the end of October.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 100 PM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026

Today-Tonight: A broad area of high pressure continues to drive the weather pattern across the area to begin the week. This pattern is characterized by drier and warmer weather, with a trough displaced west of the region. Subtle shortwave energy translating through the mid- levels, supporting scattered cloud cover today, though minimal moisture to work with has kept us dry. Highs today reach near average for mid October, ranging from upper 60s to lower 70s. Scattered to broken cloud coverage persists through tonight, with lows a bit warmer than previous nights. Lows will generally be around middle to upper 40s, near 50, with a bit lower temperatures across the eastern Ozarks into the 30s again. Any patchy frost would be confined to the valleys and sheltered areas across the eastern Ozarks.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/

Issued at 100 PM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026

Tuesday-Wednesday: Additional weak shortwave energy translates through the mid- levels into mid-week, though moisture return remains limited. Some guidance suggests a touch better saturation into the mid- levels may support a few isolated showers or sprinkles on Tuesday evening into Tuesday night, though confidence remains low. Any activity would occur west of Highway 65, where 10-15% PoPs were introduced. Otherwise, the forecast remains rather quiet with most areas remaining dry. A gradual warming trend towards the middle to upper 70s occurs on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Thursday-Sunday: A ridge further amplifies into the later part of this week, supporting high temperatures in the upper 70s to around 80. This is anywhere from the 5 to 10 degrees above normal for mid to late October. Additionally, the trough and associated shortwave energy become displaced further west of the area. Thus, any PoPs will remain well west of the area through late this week and this weekend. The signal for above normal temperatures (70-80% chance) persists into late October, as captured by the latest CPC 8 to 14 day outlook.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 609 PM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026

VFR conditions expected through the period. Light southeast surface winds remaining below 10 kts. Broken high clouds above 20kft.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.