textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Light patchy fog into this morning. With low temperatures below freezing, any dense patches of fog could freeze on elevated surfaces.

- Dry conditions and above normal temperatures expected through Wednesday.

- A pattern change brings our next chance of widespread precipitation Thursday and possibly into Friday.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 209 AM CST Sun Jan 4 2026

Large scale pattern over the next 7 days: - 500mb pattern features a ridge over the central CONUS and a trough over the west and east east. - The ridge will shift over the area Monday while flattening to zonal flow by mid week, with southerly low level flow. - Pattern shifts late week as models continue to show mid level energy moving through the area. - Low confidence in the pattern for next weekend as models vary significantly.

Fog into this morning: - Patchy light fog is ongoing in some locations, which will dissipate this morning. - Locally dense fog is possible, mainly near the MO/AR border lakes. Where dense fog develops, freezing fog may result as temperatures are below freezing. This may cause some localized slick spots.

Temperature trends: - No rain or impactful weather expected through the rest of the short term. - Today: Highs mid 40s to mid 50s. - Tonight: Lows in the 30s to low 40s - Monday through Tuesday: Highs in the 60s. Lows in the upper 30s to upper 40s. - May get within a few degrees of record highs but not forecasting any records to be broken at this time.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 209 AM CST Sun Jan 4 2026

Above normal temperatures Wednesday and Thursday: - Highs in the upper 50s to upper 60s Wednesday and Thursday, but Thursday could end up cooler if rain develops. - Lows in the 40s Wednesday night.

Widespread rain potential Thursday into Friday: - Still forecasting a 30-50% chance of rain Wednesday night into Thursday night (greatest east). - <20% chances linger into Friday. - Confidence is limited in timing, coverage, and amounts. - NBM probabilities of >= 0.5" of precip is 30-50%. Probabilities of >= 1.0" is 10-30%. - Minimal potential for noteworthy impacts at this time.

Next weekend: - Models vary significantly in the pattern with potential for a deep upper low to move over the upper midwest that may bring cooler temperatures into the area (NBM probability of MaxT <= 32F is 20-30% on Sunday). - For now, kept the NBM deterministic temperatures with highs generally in the 40s and lows in the 20s to 30s over the weekend.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1140 PM CST Sat Jan 3 2026

Light fog will continue into the morning at KSGF and KBBG, while KJLN remains VFR. Otherwise, look for VFR conditions and light winds after fog dissipates.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.