textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Above normal temperatures with a warming trend into the weekend. Highs in the middle to upper 70s, near 80 are likely into the weekend. Mostly dry weather expected to persist. - Medium to high confidence in above normal temperatures to persist through the end of October.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 100 PM CDT Wed Oct 21 2026

Upper level ridging continues to build over the Plains, with northwesterly flow aloft over our area. Models depict subtle shortwave energy shifting southeast over the region today, resulting in scattered mid-level clouds as shown on satellite imagery. Some of these clouds have produced light sprinkles, with the majority of the moisture evaporating before reaching the ground due to the dry airmass in place. Looking at observations however, some locations in southeast KS and southwest MO have shown light sprinkles up to 0.01" reaching the ground in isolated areas within our CWA.

Temperatures as of 1PM range in the mid to upper 60s along/west of Highway 65, and up to the mid 70s further east. As the afternoon progresses, temperatures are expected to climb a few more degrees, topping out in the mid 70s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/

Issued at 100 PM CDT Wed Oct 21 2026

Through the remainder of the week, the upper level ridge will continue building over the region, leading to mid-level heights rising and mostly clear skies. The NBM interquartile spread for temperatures only shows a 2-4 degree difference between the 25th and 75th percentiles, leading to high confidence in above normal temperatures, with afternoon highs in the upper 70s and even reaching 80 in some locations through this weekend and into early next week. Southerly surface winds should remain fairly light, so any fire weather concerns remain limited.

Lots of model variances exist as we look ahead towards midweek next week, with some showing a shortwave trough bringing precipitation chances to the area once again, and others keeping the rain out of the forecast area. Additionally, NBM interquartile spreads increase to a 10-15 degree difference (ranging from the low 60s to upper 70s), leading to low confidence in afternoon temperatures. With this being about a week out, several variables will need to come into better agreement before confidence increases in the forecast.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1208 PM CDT Wed Oct 21 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the entirety of the TAF period. Southwesterly winds will mostly be light and variable through the remainder of the period, with scattered mid-level clouds observed on satellite. Some light sprinkles have occurred this morning, however no impacts are expected if these can reach the ground.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.