textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- 40-70% chances of rain return Friday and last into early next weekend. Monitoring for limited flooding potential. - Temperature and precipitation favored to be above normal for next week, but hazardous conditions are not expected at this time.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 250 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

High clouds are overhead tonight due to the convection over NE OK. We are caught in between a surface trough to our west and a surface high pressure system to our east. So far, the high pressure system is winning over our area. Drier air has moved in and east-southeast flow has kept convection in OK. Dewpoints are in the 50s early this morning and will stay there for most of the day bringing us a pleasant day ahead. Expect mostly sunny skies with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s today.

Thursday will also remain dry but will feel warmer with winds turning more southerly throughout the day. Dewpoints start to increase as well and will end up in the mid 60s with highs in the 80s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/

Issued at 250 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

A mid-level trough will move through the Great Lakes region this weekend with a sweeping cold front bringing us showers and a few rumbles of thunder. Due to the track of this low pressure system, the higher rainfall totals will likely fall near central MO around 1" with localized heavier amounts possible. As we move through the start of next week, another mid-level trough (this one located over OK) will move through the area and drop rain over southern MO. Areas could see around 1" with localized higher amounts possible. With the track of these two lows, everyone at least should see some rain over the next week.

A moist airmass creeps in as the surface low starts to push further east towards eastern OK. Dewpoints creep into the upper 60s to lower 70s for this weekend with our rainy pattern returning. Right now, chance for rain is about 40-70% for Friday through Sunday. Not everyday will be an all day washout, but there will likely be intermittent rain showers and maybe a few rumbles of thunder. No widespread severe weather is expected at this time. As mentioned in the previous discussion, PWATs will be high once again in the 1.5" range for this weekend. That means that any showers we do see will likely be efficient rainfall producers and could lead to flash flooding within brief heavy downpours. The Weather Prediction Center has issued a Marginal Risk for flash flooding for most of the area by Saturday and Sunday. This is likely to account for the elevated river levels and saturated soils due to last week's convection.

As for temperatures to start next week, expect a warm and muggy start with highs in the mid 80s and dewpoints in the mid 70s. Lows for the long term period also stay fairly warm in the mid 60s.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 615 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

VFR through the period with southeasterly winds and mostly clear skies.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.