textproduct: Springfield
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Temperatures gradually warming up into next week with a return of highs in the 80s.
- High confidence in dry weather through next weekend.
- Monitoring for fire weather threat 7-10 days out (late next weekend into early next week).
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Issued at 230 AM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026
Today-Tonight: Light north winds persist through today, with an area of clouds gradually clearing to south through this morning. A few degrees warmer this afternoon, with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s. Ample amount of sunshine can be expected. A clear night will give way to lows in the upper 40s to lower 50s.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Issued at 230 AM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026
Monday-Next Weekend: A quiet week of weather ahead as a ridge gradually builds east out of the Four Corners region, supporting a trend towards above normal temperatures and persistent dry conditions. Temperatures are expected to reach towards the middle to upper 80s by mid to late week. This is 10+ degrees above normal for early October. Confidence is high in this stretch of warm weather, as seen with small interquartile spreads in the NBM.
The main storyline looking ahead this week into next week will be the persist dry and warm weather that may support some fire weather concerns. Daily minimum relative humidity values are progged to be around 30-40%. The lowest values will be focused east of Highway 65, where NBM may be struggling to capture even lower values around 20-30%. Given the conditions in place, localized areas of elevated fire weather by mid to late this week. However, winds do remain rather light through the week and should limit the extent of fire weather concerns.
It will be important to keep an eye on the forecast into early next week, as ensemble guidance continues to highlight a dry period of weather. Minimal rainfall with recent systems will continue to amplify the drought and early Fall fire weather conditions.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/
Issued at 545 AM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026
High confidence in VFR flight conditions prevailing through the TAF period. Mid to high level clouds are clearing northwest to southeast this morning, with mostly clear skies later today. Light north winds at 5 to 10 knots.
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...None. MO...None.
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