textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Gusty winds and dry air today leading to elevated to locally significant fire danger, especially north of I-44 and west of Highway 65.

- Increasingly active pattern late this week through the middle of next week. Increasing potential for severe thunderstorms and flooding from late this week into the middle of next week.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 301 AM CDT Wed Apr 8 2026

Fire Weather and Gusty Winds Today: - Impacts: Elevated to locally significant fire weather. - Details: After RH values of 25-35% with southerly winds gusting to 25-40 mph. Strongest winds and worst fire weather conditions north of I-44 and west of Hwy 65. - Confidence: High. - Messaging: Elevate fire weather graphic. - Meteorological Analysis: A tighter pressure gradient and mixing into dry low to mid level air will allow for the combo of dry air and gusty winds. Fuels are the biggest question mark given recent rainfall and ongoing greenup.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/

Issued at 301 AM CDT Wed Apr 8 2026

Severe Weather and Flooding Potential: - Impacts: Typical severe and flooding threats are possible. - Details: Showers and thunderstorms Friday into Sunday, with a marginal severe risk Friday, then the pattern will become more favorable for severe and flooding threats Monday through Tuesday or Wednesday. - Confidence: Confidence in the pattern becoming generally more favorable for severe and flooding threats is medium to high. Confidence in smaller scale details required to have a better understanding of severe chances, timing, threats, etc is low. - Messaging: Continued severe/flooding graphics. - Meteorological Analysis: The pattern will become more active with a front stalling in the region late this week into the middle of next week as shortwave energy moves through. This will lead to periods of mainly non-severel showers and thunderstorms Thursday night through the weekend. However, Friday may see some marginally severe storms with MLCAPE of 1,000-1,500 J/kg and 20-30 kts of deep layer shear, leading to a 1 inch hail and 60 mph wind threat. The pattern becomes pronounced in the first half of next week as an upper trough moves over the western CONUS with a ridge over the east, resulting in increased SW flow aloft and southerly low level flow. While the smaller scale details are unknown at this time, the pattern favors CAPE/Shear combos with shortwave energy and fronts also in play. The severe threat is well highlighted by SPC outlooks and model AI/ML severe probabilities. Stay tuned for later updates.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 530 AM CDT Wed Apr 8 2026

Gusty southerly winds are expected today. Otherwise, look for VFR conditions.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.