textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Above normal temperatures will continue across the area this week as highs warm into the middle 70s to around 80 degrees.

- Other than the potential for a few sprinkles on Tuesday, the next widespread rain chances for the area will be next weekend.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 302 AM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026

It's a slightly cloudier night tonight than we saw over the weekend as moisture advection continues aloft. This may result in a slightly warmer night by a couple of degrees in some places, but generally still expecting lows in the upper 40s in south-central Missouri and the mid 50s north and west of the plateau. The primarily low to the southwest will lift north and east through the Plains today, slowly losing amplitude. Heights fall slightly as it passes by, which should keep highs today below 80, and even below 75 in the cloudiest areas. The most dense cloud cover will stick around throughout the morning hours, beginning to clear from west to east around midday before more clouds move in tonight. Persistence forecast for lows again tonight.

A shortwave passes through Missouri Tuesday, temporarily disrupting the influence of the high pressure. A few sprinkles may be possible (~15% PoP) on the western fringes of the region with the passage of the shortwave trough, but widespread rain chances will be precluded by the dry air in place. Highs will be similar to Monday, if tempered by a couple of degrees. Winds remain light and relatively southerly. Lows Tuesday night will be warm, from the upper 40s to mid to upper 50s.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 302 AM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026

Ridging takes hold again in the wake of the shortwave Wednesday, and a slightly tighter pressure gradient enhances surface WAA out of the south. Highs will once again reach the upper 70s to around 80 Wednesday and Thursday with mostly clear skies.

A weak frontal boundary may support low rain chances for northern/central Missouri Thursday evening, which could sag southward and begin to affect the northern portions of the SGF CWA. Another shortwave continues the train of shortwaves Friday, and rain chances look to exist over an extended period of time as waves of support pass through. Current timing shows widespread chances holding off until Saturday, with 40-60% PoPs area-wide. The NBM has been disagreeing with itself run-to-run, lowering and then raising precipitation potential again, but the general consensus lands around those probabilities. CAPE will be quite low, and this rain should feel like a gentle, seasonal type of event. Rain chances linger into Sunday and potentially increase again to start next week.

Long-term models depict a deeper, more dynamic system dropping southeast through the area, bringing more rain to start November.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 622 AM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026

VFR conditions expected through the period. Light SSE winds below 10 kts. Scattered to broken cloud cover increasing between FL200-FL250.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.