textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Below average temperatures today. Warming trend incoming with highs in the 70s and 80s for the weekend.

- Chance for thunderstorms (30-60%) Friday afternoon/evening. Storms are expected to be sub-severe at this time.

- Another chance for thunderstorms (40-70%) returns Saturday night into Sunday morning. Storms could be severe, continue to monitor the forecast for updates.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 230 AM CDT Wed May 6 2026

Current infrared satellite is showing a couple of frontal boundaries over the area. The state is positioned between two surface fronts this morning. There's a front draped over northern MO and and front just south of the MO/AR border. Rain has nearly ended over our northern counties and will continue to push northeast. Stratiform clouds are covering most of the state and will slowly dissipate through the day. Expect today to be partly cloudy with highs only reaching the upper 50s to lower 60s. Winds will be out of the east-northeast and will stay just under 20 mph this afternoon. Clouds mostly clear out overnight and winds become light. Radiational cooling will take over and bring us down into the upper 30s to lower 40s tonight.

High pressure moves overhead for Thursday which will bring us a wind shift and warmer temperatures. Thursday will be sunny with southwesterly winds and highs in the mid 60s. Skies remain clear for Thursday night and temperatures will sit in the mid 40s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/

Issued at 230 AM CDT Wed May 6 2026

The next frontal passage moves through on Friday and brings us a chance for showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon/evening hours. Right now, SPC has most of the area in a general thunder outlook. That means that widespread severe weather is not expected at this time. One reason why we may not see severe weather on Friday is because of how weak of a frontal passage this will be. Our winds won't even entirely turn out of the north before high pressure moves back into the area. The cold air advection will also be rather weak and doesn't persist for long as we get back into southwesterly flow for Saturday and temperatures are actually warmer than Friday's with highs in the 80s. There just may not be enough lift to produce severe weather from this front, but we'll welcome the rain.

Another low pressure system moves through the area on Saturday evening and will bring us our next chance for thunderstorms. Timing will become clearer as we get closer to the weekend, but storms may initiate Saturday evening and continue into the early Sunday morning hours. We are not yet outlooked by SPC for severe weather at this time. Though, the machine learning products (CIPS/CSU) are still hinting at the potential for severe weather west of Hwy 65. More details to come over the next couple of days. Highs stay in the 70s and 80s for the rest of the weekend and into early next week with Monday and Tuesday looking mostly dry for now.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 621 AM CDT Wed May 6 2026

Ceilings are starting to lift out of MVFR levels, but may oscillate between MVFR/VFR for the next few hours while cloud cover continues to break up throughout the day. VFR ceilings are expected by this afternoon with northeasterly winds gusting just under 20 knots. Winds become variable tonight.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.