textproduct: Springfield
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Relatively drier with near-normal temperatures through mid week with warming trend late week into next weekend.
- Limited potential for showers and storms for the middle of the week.
- Warming trend for the end of the week through the weekend with heat indices around 100 degrees.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
Issued at 215 AM CDT Mon Jul 13 2026
Surface high pressure over the region will bring quiet and dry weather to the area today into Tuesday. Highs will warm into the middle 80s to around 90 degrees this afternoon and again on Tuesday with heat index values around 90 with dewpoints in the middle to upper 60s. Overnight lows will fall into the middle to upper 60s tonight and Tuesday night.
A dry airmass will remain over the area limiting instability and any potential for storms until at least late Tuesday night into Wednesday.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
Issued at 215 AM CDT Mon Jul 13 2026
High pressure will remain in the vicinity of the area into Tuesday night and Wednesday suppressing a surface low to the south. Between the two will be an area of convergence that is expected to wobble north/south allowing for some showers and storms to develop Tuesday evening into Wednesday. Some scattered showers and storms will be possible across south central Missouri mainly along and south of I-44 as a result. This will remain dependent on the track of the upper level low which synoptic models across the area. However, if the track is farther south, this will limit rainfall potential.
Temperatures will stay in the upper 80s to the lower 90s through mid week, however, an upper level ridge will move towards and over the region by the end of the week and into next week brining the start of a warming trend. Highs will warm into the 90s with heat index values around 100 possible the next weekend.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
Issued at 1237 AM CDT Mon Jul 13 2026
VFR conditions and light winds will persist through the TAF period.
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...None. MO...None.
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