textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Some fog development is likely north of Highway 54 and also across portions of south central Missouri early this morning.

- Patchy drizzle/fog will be possible again at times Tuesday evening into Wednesday morning.

- Steady warming trend with record highs possible mid- to late week. Clouds may result in temperatures being a little cooler than forecasted.

- Gusty winds return for Christmas Eve and Christmas, with sustained southwest winds of 15-20 mph and gusts up to 20-30 mph.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 230 AM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

A low-level stratus cloud deck is moving across portions of far southern Missouri early this morning. The clouds should continue to increase across the area this morning then start to dissipate some this afternoon. Some patchy fog will be possible this morning, mainly locations northwest of Highway 54 and also across portions of central Missouri. Visibilities could drop to below one mile at times in these locations, but at this time widespread dense fog is not expected.

A warmer air mass is in place across the area as temperatures are currently in the 50s across to even low 60s across the area early this morning. Highs will range from the mid 60s across central Missouri to the lower 70s across southern Missouri this afternoon. Temperatures could approach record highs in a few spots this afternoon.

Low-level clouds will increase across the area again this evening into Wednesday morning. Some low-level lift will occur at times within the low-level moisture and clouds, leading to period of drizzle this evening into Wednesday morning. Lift may move across the area in waves, so the drizzle may be on and off again at times through this period. Visibilities could drop within the drizzle, but widespread dense fog is not expected across the area at this time. Mild conditions will occur again tonight into Wednesday morning, as lows only warm into the 50s which is above normal highs for this time of year.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/

Issued at 230 AM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

The upper-level ridge and warmer air mass will remain in place across the area through much of the week with well above-normal temperatures, with some record high temperatures possible Wednesday through Saturday. 850mb temperatures will warm well into the teens (C) through this period, which will support highs in the 70s each day. Some low-level clouds will be possible each night/morning, but as temperatures warm during the day, breaks in the clouds should develop each afternoon. If clouds hold on longer, highs could be slightly cooler, but will still be well above normal.

Lows each night will only cool into the 50s, with some locations remaining in the 60s for lows through Friday night. Some record warm lows will also be possible each day this week. There could some periods of light drizzle under the low-level clouds that develop during the overnight/morning hours, but overall dry conditions expected this week.

Southerly winds will occur across the area through much of the week, with gusty winds at times on Wednesday and Thursday, with gusts up to around 30 mph at times.

The ensemble model members then show a split flow upper-level pattern setting up late this weekend into early next week. An upper-level trough will move east over the Plains to the Great Lakes region as an upper-level low remains off the southwest coast. A front will move through the area and could bring some rain to portions of the area, but overall chances look to be 20% or less. A cooler air mass will move into the area with highs in the 30s and 40s. Monday looks to be the coldest day, as the colder air mass will advect over the region behind the front that moves through late Saturday into Sunday morning.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1125 PM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

A MVFR stratus cloud deck is currently moving across portions of southern Missouri. The northern edge of this cloud deck could affect the KSGF and KJLN sites but the better chances will be south including the KBBG site through the overnight hours. Early Tuesday morning some MVFR and possibly IFR ceilings will move over the entire area, then will dissipate during the afternoon hours. Some patchy fog could be possible late tonight into Tuesday morning mainly across portions of south central Missouri and also northwest of the area. Low level wind shear will also impact the area overnight into early Tuesday morning.

CLIMATE

Issued at 230 AM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

Record High Temperatures:

December 23: KSGF: 72/1982 KJLN: 73/1982 KVIH: 68/1904 KUNO: 68/1996

December 24: KSGF: 74/1955 KJLN: 75/2021 KVIH: 72/2021 KUNO: 74/1955

December 25: KSGF: 74/1889 KJLN: 72/2016 KVIH: 71/1971 KUNO: 74/2021

December 26: KSGF: 68/2008 KJLN: 75/2021 KVIH: 72/1971 KUNO: 73/1971

Record Warm Low Temperatures:

December 24: KSGF: 54/1889 KJLN: 58/2021 KVIH: 52/1982 KUNO: 54/2023

December 25: KSGF: 58/1889 KJLN: 52/2016 KVIH: 46/2019 KUNO: 47/2021

December 26: KSGF: 54/1942 KJLN: 56/1954 KVIH: 55/1971 KUNO: 50/2019

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.