textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Frost Advisory in effect until 8AM. Low temps will fall into the lower to middle 30s.

- Patchy fog is expected to develop overnight across the area with the highest chances west of Highway 65. Visibilities may drop below one mile at times.

- Warming trend returns early next week, with temperatures 5 to 10 degrees above normal. There is a 20-40 percent chance of rain on Wednesday.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 1250 AM CST Sun Nov 8 2026

Satellite imagery as of 1230AM shows mostly clear skies across the forecast area, with the exception of some high-level clouds both north and south of the CWA. Observations showcase a chilly night in store, with temperatures already ranging in the 30s. With calm/light winds and a saturated to near-saturated airmass, the Frost Advisory that is currently in place through 8AM will likely verify as radiational cooling takes over.

Additionally, observations show visibilities already dropping below 3 miles west of the I-49 corridor so far, with the latest REFS guidance suggesting a 40-70% chance of visibilities <1 mile across portions of southwest Missouri (especially along/west of I-49). Probabilities of <0.25 miles has slightly increased from the previous forecast, showing 20-40% mainly along/north of I-44 and up to 65% along/west of I-49. It's still not enough confidence to issue a Dense Fog Advisory, but we'll be closely monitoring observations and trends over the next several hours to determine if a short-fused headline will be warranted.

Otherwise, the rest of today will be dry, with temperatures climbing into the mid to upper 60s. With high pressure over the area, clear skies can be expected.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 1250 AM CST Sun Nov 8 2026

Taking a look at the synoptic patterns heading into the work week, northwesterly flow aloft looks to continue over us, with an upper level low pushing into the Southern Plains southwest of the forecast area. This upper level energy looks to continue sliding south of us on Tuesday, with guidance continuing to keep any rain chances away from us. We may not be able to stay completely away from precipitation chances however, as another system pushes in from the northwest by Wednesday, increasing rain chances to 30-40% (slightly higher than previous forecasts). This is still a low-confidence scenario, as ensemble discrepancies still exist, so we'll just keep monitoring it for now.

Otherwise, temperatures will climb into the 60s and 70s through midweek before cooler air filters in from the north by late week.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/

Issued at 457 AM CST Sun Nov 8 2026

Areas of patchy fog can be seen on satellite imagery, with KBBG and KJLN affected the most. Visibilities will continue to drop below 1SM at times, creating IFR/LIFR conditions periodically before the fog clears by 14Z-15Z. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail through the remainder of the period with light winds.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for KSZ073-097-101. MO...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for MOZ055>058- 066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106.