textproduct: Springfield
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Warm and mostly dry this weekend with highs returning to the 90s and heat index values around 100 degrees. Hottest conditions expected Monday and Tuesday with highs in the mid 90s to around 100, lows in the mid to upper 70s, and heat index values around 100-105.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/
Issued at 311 AM CDT Fri Jul 17 2026
Today: Looking at another day with some showers and storms, but less coverage than previous days. Expecting around 15-25% coverage. Lightning is the only hazard. Look for highs in the upper 80s to low 90s.
Saturday: Saturday may also see some showers and storms, but coverage should be less than 20% so most locations should remain dry. Warmer air starts pushing into the region with highs in the upper 80s to mid 90s and heat index values of in the mid to upper 90s.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
Issued at 311 AM CDT Fri Jul 17 2026
Sunday: Heat continues to build on Sunday, with highs in the low to mid 90s and heat index values around 100. Could again see showers and storms Saturday night into Sunday (15-25% chance).
Monday and Tuesday: These will be the hottest days in the forecast period as a plume of even hotter air (850mb temps possibly exceeding 24C) moves overhead ahead of a cold front. Look for highs in the mid 90s to around 100 with heat index values of 100-105. HeatRisk shows values of moderate to major.
Wednesday and Thursday:
A cold front moves through later in the day Tuesday, bringing highs in the mid 80s to low 90s. NW flow looks to become established, so thunderstorm complexes may become an issue. At this time, there is enough uncertainty on that aspect of the forecast to not get into specifics.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 619 AM CDT Fri Jul 17 2026
There is a 15-20% chance for isolated showers and storms this afternoon and evening, which is too low to include in the forecast. As such, mainly expecting VFR conditions, but could see temporary lowered conditions under any convection.
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...None. MO...None.
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