textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Relatively drier with near-normal temperatures this week.

- Limited potential for showers and storms for the middle of the week and then again into next weekend.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/

Issued at 145 AM CDT Sun Jul 12 2026

A look at the satellite and surface observations early this morning showed showers and storms south of the Ozarks in northeastern Oklahoma and northern Arkansas. Surface high pressure to the north of the area will begin to slide south into the region providing a period of dry and seasonable mild weather.

With mainly sunny skies today, thanks to the high pressure moving into the area, afternoon highs will warm into the middle 80s to around 90 degrees. With slightly lower dewpoints today in the middle to upper 60s, heat index in values will be in the upper 80s to the lower 90s this afternoon.

Tonight into Monday will continue to be on the mild and dry side with overnight lows tonight in the 60s and highs on Monday similar to today in the 80s to around 90 degrees. Monday night low will be in the 60s.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 145 AM CDT Sun Jul 12 2026

Highs will warm into the middle 80s to around 90 with heat index values in the upper 80s to the lower 90s through Wednesday as an upper level ridge builds over the Plains and into the Ohio Valley and surface high pressure remains over the area.

Model do continue to show an upper level low moving underneath the upper ridge and surface high late Tuesday night into early Wednesday that may bring some light showers into region. Overall rainfall amounts should remain light with this system even if the system has a more northerly track. The upper ridge then begins to retrograde to the west which will place the Ozarks in upper level northwesterly flow on the eastern edge of the ridge. While this pattern may allow for a bit cooler weather, it will also bring the potential for clipper system to slide down the eastern edge of the ridge and bring potential storms to the region. This is hinted at by the synoptic models for Thursday afternoon into Friday morning.

By the end of the week, the upper level ridge begin to move east again towards the area with highs in the lower to middle 90s occurring along with additional chances for showers and storms into next weekend.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/

Issued at 606 AM CDT Sun Jul 12 2026

High pressure will move into the region allowing for mostly clear skies and light surface winds. This will produce VFR flight conditions through the next 24 hours.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.