textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Relatively drier with near-normal temperatures through mid week with warming trend late week into next weekend.

- Limited potential for showers and storms for the middle of the week.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/

Issued at 225 PM CDT Sun Jul 12 2026

Surface high pressure is over the region with the high centered over northern Missouri into Iowa. The high will remain over the region into the start of next week. Highs will warm into the middle 80s to around 90 degrees this afternoon and again on Monday. Heat index values will be around 90 both days as dewpoints are in the middle to upper 60s. Lows will drop into the middle to upper 60s tonight into Monday night. A dry airmass is in place across the area and instability will remain limited so now convection is expected today and Monday.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 225 PM CDT Sun Jul 12 2026

The upper level trough that moves southeast through the region last night continues to move off to the southeast. Tuesday into Wednesday the trough will move back to the west into the region. Some scattered showers and storms will be possible across south central Missouri on Tuesday and mainly along and south of I-44 on Wednesday. If the upper level low tracks further to the south chances for rain will decrease across the area where a more northerly track would bring better rain chances to the area. There is still potential for the track to shift some to the north or south.

Temperatures will remain in the upper 80s to the lower 90s through mid week. An upper level ridge will start to move east towards the region late week into next week. Highs will warm into the 90s with heat index values around 100 possible by next weekend.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1100 AM CDT Sun Jul 12 2026

VFR conditions are expected across the area this afternoon into Monday. North to northeasterly winds will occur across the area this afternoon. Light and variable winds will occur tonight with east to southeast winds will then occur on Monday.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.