textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Marginal risk for severe thunderstorms across southeast Kansas and southwest Missouri into this morning. Damaging wind to 60 mph and hail to the size of quarters are the primary severe weather hazards. Locally heavy rainfall and isolated flooding are also possible.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 235 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

A difficult forecast given models significant diverging from previous solutions. However, ingredients are still in place for thunderstorms to expand in coverage through the night and linger into Monday morning, some of which may be strong to severe. 60 mph winds and quarter size hail are the potential severe risks, with flooding also possible. 00Z HREF LPMM data continues to show potential for very localized amounts up to 3-6 inches. The greatest potential for convection is south and west of Springfield.

For the rest of the today, look for highs ranging from the low 80s to low 90s, warmest west where heat index values near 100 are possible this afternoon.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 235 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

An upper level ridge will remain west of area this week. Highs will generally range from the mid/upper 80s across central Missouri to the low/middle 90s across extreme southeastern Kansas and far southwestern Missouri each day this week into next weekend. The region will remain in northwest flow this this week. Ensemble data shows an upper level disturbance moving through the northwest flow bringing 20-40% chances for showers and storms Tuesday night into Wednesday.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 616 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

Thunderstorms will continue to develop early this morning, impacting all TAF sites. Expect VFR conditions by this afternoon and persisting through the rest of the forecast period.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.