textproduct: Springfield

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Low end (20-30%) rain chances return Tuesday evening into Wednesday. No widespread severe weather is expected at this time.

- Temperatures remain warm for the rest of the week in the upper 80s to lower 90s.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 225 PM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

Dewpoints have risen almost 10 degrees since 12z (7 AM) from 60 to 70 degrees and moisture will continue to advect into the area through the rest of the day. Instability is around 500-1000 J/kg of MUCAPE as we've heard a few rumbles of thunder here at the office. Our shortwave trough is beginning to weaken and our lift is dissipating which has helped these thunderstorms turn into showers and bring an end to the rain. Though, most of the area could use some rain with SW MO seeing around 0.5-1.5" of rain over the last 24 hours. This activity did create brief heavy rainfall, but no widespread flooding occurred.

The rest of today will finish out warm and muggy with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s with partly sunny skies with clouds clearing out by later this evening. Tonight will be warm and muggy with lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 225 PM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

Rain chances return again (20-30%) late Tuesday night into Wednesday as a shortwave trough and a weak front moves into the area again. As of right now, no widespread severe weather is expected and no SPC outlooks besides general thunder has been issued. Otherwise, high pressure builds over the desert southwest and over the east coast. Winds will be southeasterly before the front, then east-northeast after the front and for the rest of the work week as we get stuck between two areas of high pressure. The rest of the week into the weekend looks to be dry with this pattern in place. Temperatures stay pretty steady as well with upper 80s to lower 90s.

Looking ahead to the start of September, CPC outlook for the first week of September doesn't bode well for the folks who are eager for fall to arrive. The 6-10 day temperature outlook has a 65% chance for above normal temperatures (avg = 82-87 degrees) and equal chances to see above/below normal rainfall accumulation (avg = 0.73").

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1220 PM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

Lingering showers and thunderstorms will move through the area for the next hour or two bringing brief heavy rainfall. IFR/LIFR may be possible at times with the heaviest rain showers. Ceilings return to VFR early this afternoon with clouds dissipating through the evening. Winds remain southeasterly through the period with gusts around 10 knots or less.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.


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