textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Residual flooding will continue today following rainfall over the last 24 hours.

- Gusty southerly winds of 35-45 mph possible Wednesday.

- 15-30% risk for severe thunderstorms Wednesday night into Thursday morning.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/

Issued at 244 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Residual flooding will continue today following rainfall over the last 24 hours: - Impacts: Minor to moderate stream flooding and residual flash flooding. - Details: Several rivers are above flood stage and overnight heavy rainfall has led to flash flooding that will gradually diminish.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 244 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Gusty southerly winds of 30-45 mph possible Wednesday: - Impacts: Routine strong wind impacts. - Details: Gusty southerly winds up to 30-45 mph, strongest west of Highway 65. - Confidence: NBM probabilities for these gust values is 60-80%. - Meteorological Analysis: A tight pressure gradient will become established across the area between a central plains low and a surface high over the southeastern CONUS.

15-30% risk for severe thunderstorms Wednesday night into Thursday morning: - Impacts: Thunderstorms, some severe, are possible. - Details: Model support timing of late Wednesday into early Thursday. Storm mode and other details are not clear at this time. - Confidence: 15-30% per SPC outlook. - Meteorological Analysis: A warm and unstable airmass looks to overspread the region on Wednesday as a surface low develops over the central to northern Plains in response to shortwave energy. The shortwave and surface cold front are currently modeled to move through the area late Wednesday into early Thursday. LREF joint probabilities for > 2,000 SBCAPE and > 3 kts deep layer shear is 40-70%. Machine learning guidance is also highlighting this period for severe weather. Many details will need to be worked out that are not predictable at this point, so stay tuned for updates.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/

Issued at 619 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Moisture trailing overnight showers and storms will result in IFR conditions this morning, followed by a VFR conditions by early to mid afternoon.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...Flood Watch until 7 AM CDT this morning for KSZ073-097-101. MO...Flood Watch until 7 AM CDT this morning for MOZ055>058-066>071- 077>083-088>098-101>106.