textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Near average temperatures the next few days. Isolated to scattered showers and possibly some thunder this weekend. Highest rain chances west of Highway 65. Rainfall amounts generally less than 0.25 inches, but some areas may stay dry. - A more widespread round of showers and thunderstorms (50-70% chance) are possible next week, with the greatest chance of occurrence Tuesday into Wednesday. Severe weather and flooding potential is currently very low, but will need monitoring. Confidence is limited at this time.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 1208 AM CDT Fri Sep 25 2026

Shortwave energy and broad WAA/isentropic ascent may result in a few showers and possibly some thunder today and tonight, mainly across SE KS and west-central MO where a 30% chance is in the forecast. Even where rain is experienced, amounts will be minimal.

Otherwise look for highs in the mid 70s to low 80s today.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 1208 AM CDT Fri Sep 25 2026

Weekend conditions: Shortwave energy will continue to bring isolated to scattered showers and possibly some thunderstorms through the weekend, with the greatest chances of 50-70% being west of Highway 65 Saturday night. Elsewhere, chances range from 10-40% (lowest over south-central Missouri). NBM 48 hour QPF probabilities for >= 0.1" ranges from < 15% over south-central MO to 40% long I-44 to 60-80% over southeast KS and west-central MO. Some areas may stay dry. High temperatures in the mid 70s to mid 80s are expected.

Next system Tuesday into the middle of next week: Continuing to see models shift in how they handle a system that may impact the area. Models are now showing a deeper system, generally closing that off over the SW CONUS while merging with remnants of Hurricane Polo. SW closed lows are notoriously poorly handled by models, which is made even worse by merging with the Hurricane. This leads to significant differences in timing, strength, track, and structure throughout the model spectrum. This leads to low confidence. Will continue monitoring for heavy rainfall and severe threats with this system, both of which are low at this time. Confidence may not increase into early next week as the system becomes more mature.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1158 PM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026

VFR conditions and light winds will persist through the TAF period.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.