textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Showers will develop and move into the area Friday evening and night with periods of showers occurring into Sunday morning. Some embedded thunderstorms are possible with this activity.

- Rainfall amounts will be around 0.75-1" with localized pockets up to 2.5" with the higher amounts falling along and south of I-44.

- Probabilities favor above-average temperatures next week with highs in the 60s and 70s returning.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/

Issued at 121 PM CST Thu Feb 12 2026

Cloud cover has formed over southern MO today due to the presence of a stationary front just to our west over southern KS. Cloud cover is expected to dissipate later this afternoon as the front pushes south. Though, clouds have kept us a bit cooler today as temperatures sit in the upper 40s to lower 50s. Minimum relative humidity values are in the 20-30% range with localized elevated fire weather concerns. Clouds break up tonight with lows in the 30s and light southeasterly winds.

Skies will be partly cloudy tomorrow with highs in the upper 60s with south to southwesterly winds. Moisture return starts tomorrow with RH's coming back up into the 30% range and mostly eliminating our elevated fire weather concerns for Friday.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 121 PM CST Thu Feb 12 2026

A large surface low will bring our next chances for rain this weekend with the help of a stationary front. Rain starts Friday night and continues intermittently through Sunday morning with rain chances up to near 90-100% for most of the area. The highest rainfall amounts will fall along and south of I-44 with a range of 0.75-1" with localized pockets up to 2.5". There will be periods of dry weather, but everyone is expected to see some rain. The best chance to see rain will be during the day/evening hours on Saturday. We may hear a few rumbles of thunder near the MO/AR border closer to where the center of the low travels (central AR). We are in a Marginal risk for excessive rainfall across southern MO for Friday and Saturday, though due to the recent drought conditions, no widespread flooding is expected.

Highs will be in the 50s and 60s each day this weekend into Sunday with mostly cloudy skies and lows in the upper 30s to lower 40s. Clouds will start to clear out by the afternoon on Sunday. Ridging will move in to start the week but a trough quickly moves in on Tuesday bringing more cloud cover. Though, despite a few clouds, we will still be well above average this year as far as daily high temperatures are concerned. Highs will be in the 60s and 70s for the start of next week with little to no rain chances expected at this time.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 450 PM CST Thu Feb 12 2026

High confidence in VFR conditions to prevail through the TAF period. Scattered mid to high level clouds through the period, with increasing cloud cover late in the TAF period on Friday afternoon. Light southeast winds at 5 to 10 knots into Friday.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.