textproduct: Springfield

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Light rain/sprinkles will continue to move southeast through the region early this morning before exiting by sunrise.

- Cooler weather returns for the middle to end of the week with colder conditions this weekend. Wind chills in the upper single digits and teens will occur Thursday morning with single digit winds chills expected Saturday, Sunday, and Monday mornings.

- Gusty northwesterly winds will occur today and again on Friday, with gusts up to 35 mph at times both days.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 121 AM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

Radar imagery showed widespread light rain that began pushing through the area during the late evening/early morning hours with the passage of a cold front. This activity is expected to continue for the next couple hours before pushing southeast out of the forecast area by sunrise. Although not a drought-buster by any means, observations show many locations received measurable rainfall, with amounts ranging between a few hundredths of an inch to 0.10" near Rolla, and even slightly higher further north/northeast.

With the associated upper level trough pivoting through the region and northwesterly flow aloft, surface winds behind the cold front have shifted out of the north-northwest, which will usher in much cooler air. Unfortunately, the days of seeing highs in the 50s and 60s are over for the foreseeable future, as the warmest temperatures of the day have already been observed during the early morning hours. Temperatures will continue to fall throughout the day, dropping into the 30s for much of the area by late afternoon/early evening.

As the trough continues to dig southeast, a tightened pressure gradient has led to breezy conditions, with observations as of 1AM showcasing occasional wind gusts up to 20mph. As the morning and afternoon progress, winds will continue to increase and peak by late morning/early afternoon, with sustained winds between 15-25mph gusting up to 25-35mph. With minimum humidity levels remaining in the 35-45% range, any fire weather concerns should remain limited.

Tonight will yield a chilly night, with overnight lows dropping into the upper teens, and wind chills in the low teens to upper single digits.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/

Issued at 121 AM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

With the cooler airmass in place and surface high pressure over the region, Thursday's high temperatures will top out in the upper 30s (eastern Ozarks) to mid 40s (increasing further west of Highway 65). We'll get a short period of time Thursday night where mid-level heights will subtly rise, leading to overnight lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.

By Friday, an upper level trough over the Northern Plains will begin to dig southeast into the region, pushing an associated surface cold front through the area. As of now, any precipitation looks to remain northeast of our forecast area as a dry airmass remains in place. There will, however be a tightened pressure gradient, bringing wind gusts up to 35mph to the area once again. With the dry airmass in place, some pockets of Elevated Fire Danger will be likely.

Much colder air will be ushered in behind the front for the weekend, with highs remaining in the upper 20s and 30s both Saturday and Sunday. With the colder temperatures and breezy conditions, wind chill values are expected to drop into the low teens and single digits for Saturday morning, and the single digits into the negatives Sunday morning.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1124 PM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

Radar imagery shows light showers across the area along a cold front, which has already begun to impact the TAF sites. This activity is expected to continue over the next few hours before pushing out of the area generally around ~10Z-12Z. Visibilities shouldn't be affected, however some brief MVFR ceilings could (20-50%) impact KSGF and KBBG between 08Z-14Z behind this activity. Winds have shifted behind the frontal passage to a more northerly direction, and are expected to increase throughout the morning and afternoon hours. Expect sustained surface winds between 15-20kts, with gusts up to 20-30kts, generally peaking between 15-21Z.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.


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