textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Elevated to locally significant fire weather conditions today with dry, and breezy conditions. Additional Elevated fire danger through the upcoming weekend.

- Showers and thunderstorms move through during the remainder of the overnight into Friday morning with the best coverage over central Missouri.

- Much cooler temperatures today and Saturday behind the front before warming back up for the later half of the weekend into early next week.

- An active pattern builds into the region by the middle of next week featuring daily rain chances.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 136 AM CDT Fri Mar 27 2026

Synoptic overview and current conditions: Upper level analysis and water vapor imagery show a flattened ridge from the 4 corners region across the southern plains and into the southeast U.S. with the main polar jet across the northern CONUS. Temperatures were once again hot in the upper 80s to low 90s with record highs across the area, however a surface cold front was making its way through the CWA as of midnight. There are some showers and storms over east central KS in an area of elevated instability with MU CAPES around 1000 j/kg which was north of the surface front.

Rest of the overnight into Friday: Area of convection is expected to slide east mainly across central MO during the rest of the overnight into Friday morning, with more scattered activity over southern MO. As the front pushes further south, some gusty northerly winds will develop as surface high pressure pushes into the area. During the afternoon, humidity levels will dip into the 30s to around 40 for most of the area with some upper 20s possible in our far northwest. Combined with the gusty northerly winds, this will lead to elevated and locally significant fire weather conditions during the mid to late afternoon and early evening. Temperatures will be quite a bit cooler today than the past few days with highs generally in the upper 50s to low 60s.

Tonight: Winds should diminish after sunset as the surface high begins to move over the area. Overnight lows will dip into the low to mid 30s with some areas at or slightly below freezing.

Saturday: Surface high pressure moves off to the east and we return to southerly winds. Temperatures will return to more normal readings for this time of year for highs in the low to mid 60s. Humidity levels will dip into the teens to mid 20s during the afternoon on Saturday with elevated fire weather conditions.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 136 AM CDT Fri Mar 27 2026

Warming temperatures again: We'll see rising upper heights as the upper trough shifts further east and a stronger southerly flow of air in the lower levels which will allow temperatures to rise back into the 70s on Sunday and in the 80s early next week.

Unsettled period from mid to late week: An upper wave and surface front will begin to push into the central U.S. by late Tuesday with rain chances increasing by Tuesday night into Wednesday across the area. We remain in an unsettled pattern through the later part of the week as another strong system begins to push into the area late in the week. Temperatures are expected to remain in the above normal category through the long term period with generally 70s and 80s.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1221 AM CDT Fri Mar 27 2026

For the 06z TAFS, surface front was pushing through the area at the onset of the 06z TAFS. Convection was occurring behind the front in an area of elevated instability with the majority of the convection expected to be north of the TAF sites. We will maintain some prob30 groups for shower activity into Friday morning which takes flight categories into MVFR, but should be mostly VFR outside of the shower activity. Winds will become gusty out of the north behind the front with some gusts up to 25 kts possible, but should diminish after sunset this evening.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.