textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Showers and thunderstorms possible over eastern Ozarks (15-30%) this afternoon. No widespread severe weather expected. - Near-normal temperatures in the 70s to near 80 beginning Tuesday, with seasonably pleasant and dry conditions continuing through the rest of the week.

- Rain chances return this weekend (20-40%) with the highest chances occurring over central MO.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 1253 PM CDT Mon Sep 21 2026

Low-level clouds are sticking around the area today and keeping us cool in the upper 70s across the area. Highs are forecast to peak in the upper 70s and mid 80s with the warmer temperatures further south where clouds have been sparse. The front has made it through the area and an inverted trough was left in its place. A corridor of meager instability exists southeast of I-44 over the eastern Ozarks of 1500-2000 J/kg. Though, lift will be a bit lacking due to the post-frontal nature of the air mass that's in place now. A few isolated thunderstorms may pop up over in the eastern Ozarks this afternoon (15-30%) but are not expected to be severe. As for the convection ongoing in NE OK at this time, those storms are expected to run into dry air over SW MO and fizzle out before getting into our CWA.

Clouds begin to build back in overnight and a chance for fog returns again for early tomorrow morning. Lows will be in the low to mid 60s tonight with light northerly winds.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 1253 PM CDT Mon Sep 21 2026

High pressure will move in for mid-week and temperatures will really start to feel cooler on Tuesday and Wednesday. Though, this will be more near average for this time of year. Dewpoints will finally dip into the 50s Tuesday night making the evenings/mornings feel nice and cool as temperatures sit in the 50s. Daytime highs will be in the 70s and 80s to end the week with more rain returning this weekend as the next front moves through. Rain becomes more widespread Friday into Saturday with 20-40% POPs as the ridge begins to breakdown. Rain continues in the morning, decreasing through the day (15-20%), then back up to 20-40% Saturday into Sunday as the front slowly moves through. Highs this weekend will be in the 80s again.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1229 PM CDT Mon Sep 21 2026

Ceilings will hover between MVFR/VFR for the next couple of hours. VFR ceilings return this afternoon as clouds become a bit more scattered. Ceilings will drop into IFR/LIFR again overnight into early Tuesday morning around 10z. Winds remain light less than 10 knots out of the northwest and patchy fog is forecast to occur again.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.