textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Severe thunderstorm redevelopment this afternoon and evening, with a greater risk of all severe weather hazards east of Highway 63. Large hail to the size of baseballs, damaging winds to 70 mph, and tornadoes are all possible.

- Slight (2 of 5) Risk for severe thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon in far south-central Missouri. Large hail is the main hazard with a secondary damaging wind risk.

- Localized flooding may occur with any training storms through Tuesday. A corridor of slightly higher flooding potential could develop along and north of Highway 54 tonight into Monday.

- Mostly dry with cooler than average temperatures Wednesday and onward.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/

Issued at 214 PM CDT Mon Apr 27 2026

Satellite and radar imagery this afternoon indicates a rapidly destabilizing environment ahead of an approaching mid-level shortwave feature and cold front. Agitated cumulus fields have begun to develop. The 12z cap has largely eroded, as confirmed by our 18z sounding, leaving little to no inhibition for robust storm development as the front pushes into our western counties.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect for the eastern and central portions of the CWA.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued for areas west of the existing Tornado Watch. Storms in this region are anticipated to intensify very quickly. Very large hail will be the primary concern initially with these western storms along with damaging wind gusts.

Storms will generally track eastward across the Missouri Ozarks through the remainder of the afternoon and evening hours. Localized flash flooding will also be a threat particularly if storms train over the same locations.

This cold front will sweep through the remainder of the CWA this evening pushing the convective activity and severe threat east of our area by the mid-to-late evening hours. Behind the front, skies will rapidly clear from west to east.

Winds will sharply veer toward the north and remain breezy through the first half of the night before gradually relaxing and shifting to the northeast by sunrise Tuesday.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 228 AM CDT Mon Apr 27 2026

Tuesday: Behind the mid level shortwave, we remain in southwesterly flow which will keep the front from making it too far to the south, possibly stalling over northern AR or southern MO. Additional convection will be possible Tuesday afternoon and evening across southern sections of Missouri. A large hail and damaging wind risk would be the main risks with any severe storms on Tuesday.

A drier air mass will then move into the area on Wednesday as the cold front shifts south of the area. This should keep the remainder of the long term mostly dry with the main qpf associated with a late week system remaining to our south.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1236 PM CDT Mon Apr 27 2026

For the 18z TAFs, gusty south-southwest winds will persist this afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front, with gusts generally around 25 to 30 kts. Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop along and ahead of the front later this afternoon into the early evening. While VFR weather conditions will generally prevail, any storms moving directly over the terminals will bring the potential for brief MVFR/IFR reductions in ceilings and visibility. In the wake of the front this evening, convection will push east, VFR weather conditions return and winds will veer sharply to the north, eventually becoming northeasterly by sunrise Tuesday.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.