textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- Patchy fog and drizzle will be possible tonight into Wednesday morning ahead of a cold front.

- Warming trend continues today, with temperatures 10 to 15 degrees above normal.

- Northwesterly winds will become gusty behind the incoming cold front on Wednesday afternoon, gusting near 30 mph.

- Cooler conditions will occur late week into early next weekend with lows in the 20s and 30s expected Friday and Saturday mornings.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1155 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

An upper level trough is located across the southern Plains with another one moving southeast towards the central/northern plains currently. A head of the trough, a warm air mass is in place. Highs will once again warm into the lower to middle 70s this afternoon. Moisture is starting to advect into the area from the southwest, but will be slower to reach the eastern Ozarks where RH values will drop to around 35% this afternoon. Across the western portions of the area, RH values will be around 50 to 55% as moisture slowly increases from the southwest. Wind will be light out of the south to southwest this afternoon into this evening.

The troughs will continue to move southeast today into Wednesday. As the northern trough moves to the southeast tonight, an associated front will also move southeast through the area tonight into Wednesday morning. Ahead of the front, moisture will continue to increase from the southwest. Some patchy fog will be possible late this evening into Wednesday morning, mainly across the southwestern portions of the area ahead of the front. As the front moves through the area later tonight into Wednesday morning, a band of drizzle and lower visibilities will likely develop and also move southeast through the area as low level moisture increases ahead of the front and lift occurs with the front. The band of moisture will be in the low levels as drier air in the mid levels will limit cloud ice, so not expecting much rain with the front. A drier air mass will move into the area behind the front ending any fog/drizzle risk behind the frontal passage. West to northwesterly winds will develop behind the front Wednesday morning and afternoon. Wind gusts up to 30 mph will be occur at times late Wednesday morning into the afternoon hours as the pressure gradient increases behind the front-associated area of surface low pressure moving off to the east. The air mass right behind the front will not be all that much cooler as highs will still warm into the middle 60s to the lower 70s on Wednesday. The warmest readings will be across the southern portions of the area. Therefore, due to the drier air mass and still above normal temperatures, afternoon RH values could drop into the 35 to 45% range as the gusty winds occur on Wednesday afternoon. Cannot rule out some locations dropping to near 30% if the air mass remains a little warmer and therefore drier.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/

Issued at 1155 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

A secondary upper level trough and cold front will move south through the region Wednesday night into Thursday. A cooler air mass will advect into the region before the front late this week. Highs on Thursday will range from the upper 40s across central Missouri to the upper 50s across the far southwestern portions of the area. Lows Thursday night into Friday morning are expected to drop into the upper 20s to the lower 30s. Highs on Friday will warm into the middle 40s to around 50 as lows Friday night into Saturday morning drop into the lower 20s to around 30 degrees. The coldest temperatures will occur across the eastern Ozarks.

Highs will warm into the 50s to near 60s this weekend as an upper level ridge moves over the region. The ensemble model members then show an upper level trough moving southeast across the plains and moving to the south of the area late this weekend into early next week. Moisture return will be limited ahead of this system and the better lift will be to the west of the area, but there will be a low, 20-30% chance for a few scattered showers mainly west of Highway 65 with this system. Some of the model members keep the rainfall associated with this system west and south the area, so there is the potential much of the area remains dry. Highs in the 50s to near 60 are expected to continue into early next week.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1054 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

VFR conditions will prevail across the area through this afternoon with light southerly winds. A front will move through the region tonight into Wednesday morning. Low level moisture is advecting into the area ahead of the front and some patchy fog will be possible later this morning into this evening. Along and ahead of the front, a band of low level clouds, drizzle, and lower visibilities will be possible. Behind the front, any fog will end as a drier air mass advects into south into the region. Gusty westerly winds will develop behind the front Wednesday morning and afternoon.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.