textproduct: Springfield

KEY MESSAGES

- A few scattered thunderstorms will be possible across far southern Missouri this afternoon into early this evening. Better chances will remain south of the area.

- Relatively drier with near-normal temperatures next week.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 243 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

Scattered storms have develop just south of the area in Arkansas along surface boundary. An upper level trough is currently moving south across the region and some uncapped instability has developed across far southern Missouri. As the trough moves south some scattered storms will be possible across far southern Missouri this afternoon into early this evening but over all coverage should be more limited. The better severe risk will remain south of the area, but there is the potential for a few strong storms with gusty winds and small hail the risk, along with locally heavy rainfall. Any activity that can develop across the area will move south of the area this evening. Clouds are increasing across central Missouri with the upper level trough. A few light shower could be possible across portions of central Missouri this afternoon.

Highs will range from the lower 80s across central Missouri where more clouds are in place to the lower 90s across extreme southeastern Kansas this afternoon. Lows tonight into Sunday morning will drop into the 60s. Highs will warm into the middle 80s to around 90 again on Sunday. Dewpoints will be slightly lower on Sunday with readings in the middle to upper 60s resulting in heat index in values in the upper 80s to the lower 90s Sunday afternoon.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/

Issued at 243 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

Highs will warm into the middle 80s to around 90 with heat index values in the upper 80s to the lower 90s Monday through Wednesday.

The ensemble model members show an upper level low moving into region from the southeast Tuesday into Wednesday and could bring some rain chances to the area at times these days to portions of the area. There are still some difference on the exact track between the members, if the low takes a more southerly track the rain chances would decrease across the area versus a more northerly track. Overall rainfall amounts should remain light with this system even with a more northerly track.

Late next week an upper level ridge will move towards the area with highs in the lower to middle 90s occurring.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1200 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

A surface boundary is moving south through southern Missouri early this afternoon. Westerly winds will continue south of the boundary with northerly winds to the north. Some scattered rain showers will be possible across portions of central Missouri this afternoon. Scattered showers and storms are expected to develop near the Missouri Arkansas border this afternoon with the activity pushing south of the are this afternoon.

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. MO...None.