textproduct: Seattle/Tacoma

SYNOPSIS

A broad upper level trough will continue to produce mostly cloudy and cool conditions across Western Washington into Thursday along with chances for mainly mountain showers. Drier conditions and a small warming trend are expected Friday into the holiday weekend as the flow aloft becomes first more zonal then southwesterly by Monday.

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

Satellite imagery shows cloudy skies over the lowlands of Western Washington this morning. Temperatures at 3 am/10z were in the 50s.

Little change in the pattern for the next three days. Weak upper level trough over the area with onshore flow through Thursday. The onshore flow will keep plenty of low level moisture over the area resulting in cloudy mornings with slight clearing in the afternoon. Could see a light shower or a little drizzle in the lowlands during the morning commute along with a light late day shower in the mountains. Temperatures will remain well below normal with highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Felton

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/

Weakening front fizzles out as it moves into the area Thursday night. Weak trough overhead gets replaced by zonal flow aloft beginning Friday with the zonal flow aloft continuing into Sunday. 500 mb heights rising over the weekend into the mid to upper 570s dms. Low level flow remaining onshore which will keep temperatures from warming too much. Warmer Friday with highs in the mid 60s to mid 70s. Temperatures remaining in that range over the weekend. A little more warming Monday as an upper level trough digs well offshore turning the flow aloft southwesterly. Highs Monday in the 70s over the interior with the warmer locations pushing 80. Highs on the coast with the continued onshore flow in the mid 60s.

AVIATION

Troughing inland is keeping northwesterly flow present through the TAF period. Most locations are at least under MVFR ceilings with KPWT under IFR conditions. KBLI VFR at 11z. There is a 75%-80% probability KBLI ceilings lower to MVFR by 15z. Conditions will once again improve to VFR ceilings through the late morning and afternoon. South to southwest winds 5-10 kt will continue through the TAF period as well.

KSEA...MVFR cigs are at the terminal this morning. Periods of IFR cannot be ruled out, with a 65-70% probability of IFR ceilings 14z-17z. The pattern repeats today with a slow lift of cigs up to VFR in the afternoon with some breaks in the cloud cover. Southwest winds 5-10 kt will continue today.

MARINE

Broad high pressure will continue over the northeast Pacific with lower pressure inland. High pressure will weaken Thursday as a low moves towards the British Columbia coast with a weak front over the coastal waters. High pressure will rebuild later Friday into the weekend.

Small craft advisory for the outer coastal waters through Wednesday. Small craft advisory winds today and tonight with seas 10 to 13 feet. Winds and seas easing Wednesday but seas still near 10 feet.

Small craft advisory for the inner coastal waters through tonight for choppy seas 9 or 10 feet with a 9 or 10 second period. Felton

FIRE WEATHER

Little in the way of fire weather concerns in the week ahead. Upper level troughing maintaining cool conditions with high relative humidity values and a slight chance for showers through Thursday. Drier and more seasonable temperatures beginning Friday continuing into early next week. Low level onshore flow will keep good humidity recoveries going in the late night and morning hours. Felton

SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

WA...None. PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM PDT Wednesday for Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm- Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 Nm.

Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM PDT Wednesday for Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm- Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm.