textproduct: Charleston

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Cancelled the advisories in the northeast mountains due to the threat ending. Also, let the rest of the advisories further south expire as the threat has ended as well. However, there will still be light snow possible and roads could have slick spots, especially ones that have not been treated. More snow is expected south of the advisories but the band has diminished some with the threat and impacts being minimal at this point. Have issued an SPS to the rest of the southern portions of the CWA that will be affected with more light snow tonight.

KEY MESSAGES

- 1) A weak clipper system pulls away this morning, but another disturbance will keep precipitation chances today into tonight for southern and eastern WV and southwestern VA. - 2) A cold front Friday brings precipitation. Higher elevations of the northern WV mountains could need Wind Advisories Friday night into Saturday and Cold Weather Advisories at times over the weekend.

- 3) A significant warm up next week.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...

A weak clipper system will pull away from the area this morning, causing precipitation to taper off. However, another upper level short wave will allow for more precipitation today into tonight over southern and eastern West Virginia and southwestern Virginia. In the far southern areas this precipitation could be a mix during the daytime, but would turn back to snow late in the day or this evening. Precipitation will be light overall, so any snow accumulations will generally be under an inch, although a couple of locations might be slightly higher.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

A cold front will push through the region on Friday. This will bring a mix of precipitation, changing to snow in the colder air behind the front Friday night. Wind Advisories may be need for the higher elevations of the northern West Virginia mountains Friday night into Saturday. Models continue to disagreement with the intensity of the cold air behind the front for the weekend, but Saturday will be on the colder side. The highest elevations of the northern West Virginia mountains could need some cold weather headlines this weekend during the nighttime hours.

KEY MESSAGE 3...

A significant warming trend can be expected next week. All locations will get well above freezing with some lowland locations expected to reach the 50s.

AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

Conditions should slowly improve this morning from northwest to southeast. Snow over southern West Virginia and southwest Virginia should gradually end this morning.

Another disturbance will increase chances of precipitation today into tonight over southern and eastern West Virginia and southwestern Virginia. This will cause a return to IFR conditions in those areas.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY... FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing of improving conditions this morning could vary. Location and intensity of returning IFR conditions today could vary.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS. L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

DATE WED 02/04/26 UTC 1HRLY 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 EST 1HRLY 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 CRW CONSISTENCY H L L L L L L L L L M L HTS CONSISTENCY H L L L L M L L L M M M BKW CONSISTENCY L H H H H H L L L L L L EKN CONSISTENCY L L L L M L L L L L M M PKB CONSISTENCY H M M M M H M M M M H H CKB CONSISTENCY L M M M M M M M L M H H

AFTER 06Z THURSDAY... IFR conditions possible Friday and Friday night with snow.

RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

WV...None. OH...None. KY...None. VA...None.