textproduct: Western and Central Wyoming

KEY MESSAGES

- Record-breaking warm temperatures continue today across the state.

- Warm temperatures continue through the upcoming weekend with highs 20 to 30 degrees above normal.

- Pattern change still expected early next week, with a return closer to normal for temperatures, along with a round of snow for higher elevations.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 141 AM MST Fri Feb 6 2026

The last of the H5 ridge dominates overhead the next few days, continuing the pattern of much above normal temperatures for most of the state. Forecast highs today again reach the 50s and 60s east of the divide and well into the 40s for western valleys. Temps east of the divide will easily break daily record highs, and will be on the threshold of breaking monthly record high temperatures. Warm temperatures continue into Saturday and Sunday, with highs staying in the 50s and 60s. A small wave moves by to the north on Saturday, bringing a tighter pressure gradient across the state. This will bring a day of gustier west winds from Rock Springs to Casper. The warm and dry air along with gustier winds may bring some elevated fire weather concerns for a few hours during the afternoon.

The ridge finally starts to flatten and break down on Sunday, opening the door for a more active weather pattern for the upcoming week. Models and ensembles show the more active pattern bringing several weather systems through next week, bringing along a much better chance for snowfall for the mountains. The difficult part of the forecast is whether snow will reach into the lower elevations. Probabilities for at least an inch of snow still stand around 50% for most of central WY, but this has decreased with latest runs. The active pattern continues through the rest of the week into the weekend, so there are still multiples opportunities for precip expected.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 300 AM MST Fri Feb 6 2026

VFR conditions will occur through 12Z Saturday. Wind should remain at 11 knots or less at most TAF sites. The exceptions will be in vicinity of KCPR where gusts to 25 knots will be possible starting this afternoon and in vicinity of KCOD where gusts to 18 knots will be possible after 06Z Saturday.

Please see the Aviation Weather Center and/or CWSU ZDV and ZLC for the latest information on smoke, icing, and turbulence forecasts.

RIW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.