textproduct: Western and Central Wyoming

KEY MESSAGES

- Much above normal temperatures continue into the upcoming weekend, with temperatures today near record high levels.

- Still watching a more potent weather system arriving early next week, with widespread snowfall for local mountains.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 135 AM MST Thu Feb 5 2026

This winter's dominant ridge across the west continues to keep temperatures well above normal, but confidence is increasing that the ridge may finally be breaking down, with a more active pattern setting up across the state.

For today, STill looking at temperatures 15 to 20 degrees above normal, with several record high temps in jeopardy. This is especially east of the divide, where highs will be in the 60s, with Buffalo currently at 50% probability of reaching 70.

Models continue to tear down the ridge over the weekend, opening up the region to westerly flow off the Pacific. This brings a tap of moisture into the western mountains, bringing better upslope moisture for increased snowfall. At that time, another weather system sweeps through somewhere in the vicinity, bringing increased snow chances for the Bighorn Mountains, and is noting a better chance for moisture at lower elevations. This will also bring temperatures back closer to normal for most of next week, While longer term ensembles note that these colder temperatures finally stay in place into the middle of the month.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 432 AM MST Thu Feb 5 2026

VFR conditions through the next 24 hours with minimal to no cloud cover expected. Winds will remain light and variable for all sites except KCPR, which will see southwest winds 15g25kts through the afternoon.

RIW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.