textproduct: Reno

KEY MESSAGES

* Widespread freezing overnight and early morning temperatures are expected again tomorrow across the region.

* Winds from the east to northeast today, with lighter east to northeast winds through the weekend.

* A significant warming trend starts today with temperatures well above average this weekend, then cool air arrives early week ahead of even cooler and showery conditions return mid-week.

DISCUSSION

The clearing skies overhead look enticing from the inside of a building, but the east to northeast breezes and chilly start to the day have this forecaster remaining in sweater mode. Today's breezes will taper in intensity as the afternoon grows into evening. We will have lighter east to northeast breezes through the weekend. This also gives us a hint at the overnight temperatures tonight, while not quite as cold as last night, will still provide widespread freezing and below temperatures through tomorrow morning.

Those of us still in sweater mode after tomorrow will need to reconsider our wardrobe choices by the afternoon, as the warming trend returns under a transient high pressure dome. That transient nature will allow the ridging to bring above average warming temperatures through this weekend, but the trend for warming will relax by early next week due to a minor deflection of a shortwave in the flow that will keep our temperatures from climbing further. Despite the deflecting shortwave that will limit our warming trend, we will still remain above average into the early week.

Our eyes are trained on the next potential weather-maker which is taking aim at northeastern California as early as Wednesday. Current guidance is bringing 10-30% chances by early Wednesday morning to northeastern California, with preliminary looks at the snow levels around 8000 feet to start the show. There are various solutions as to where this goes from there and what it could bring, but for now, there could be snow or a rain/snow mix returning to the Sierra to kick off the next weekend.

AVIATION

VFR conditions, with east to northeast winds at the surface that will trend lighter into the weekend. Today's gusts will approach 20 kts early today, but will relax into 00z this evening. FL100 winds may also approach 35 kts early today, bringing pockets of LLWS and turbulence, but will also continue to relax into 00z.

REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories

NV...None. CA...None.