textproduct: Reno
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
* Dry conditions will persist through the rest of the week as high pressure builds in the area.
* A slow, gradual warming trend into this weekend will bring above average temperatures by Saturday.
* A weak system on Sunday may bring breezy winds and precipitation chances to NE CA and N NV, but confidence remains low.
DISCUSSION
Taking a look at satellite this afternoon we can see there's mostly mid-upper level clouds hovering around the western US. A shortwave trough in the NW off the coast is what's behind all these clouds. They will hang around through Sunday, eventually flushing out Sunday night. There's also quite a bit of haziness around Reno from the prescribed burns that are going on. That haziness may linger into the weekend, with the winds on Sunday eventually mixing everything out.
High pressure has returned to the region, keeping us dry and warm through this weekend. Temperatures increase to near 60 in lower valleys and upwards of 55 in Sierra communities by Friday, about 10 degrees above average. Mornings will still be pretty chilly, with low temps this weekend around 30-35 degrees for lower valleys and 25- 30 degrees for Sierra valleys.
There looks to be another shortwave trough passing through this Sunday, and most of the CAMs and long range models have us on the southern end of the precip. Just our northern CWA has the greatest chances for precipitation at 10% or less. We'll see some breezy winds out of it too, with gusts up to 10-20 mph Sunday afternoon for Lassen and far eastern Modoc counties. There's a lot of variability in the models still, but this cold front has been trending drier and drier for our area. After Sunday, high pressure settles in again and we dry out, warm up, and valley inversions could once again come back.
-Justin
AVIATION
VFR conditions and light winds return to the region today through Saturday. Haze will linger around KRNO and possibly KTRK and CXP through this weekend. Mid-high level clouds will also stay over our area through Sunday afternoon.
-Justin
REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories
NV...None. CA...None.
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