textproduct: Reno
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
* Warm and dry conditions with typical afternoon breezes will persist this week and much of next week.
* Plan on typical breezes this afternoon with increased breezy conditions on Tuesday.
* No indications of significant rainfall or winds in the 7-10 day forecast.
DISCUSSION
* The benign weather pattern persists this week and may extend into the following week. Only notable item will be the increased breeziness this afternoon and Tuesday, with another 'shot' for winds on Thursday afternoon. Westerly winds will kick up this afternoon and shift northwesterly by midday Tuesday with wind gusts 25-30 mph (60%+), with locally higher gusts to 40-45 mph on the ridges. The most windy spots will be in eastern Lassen, northern Washoe, and Mineral counties. Outside the brief uptick in winds, temperatures will cool on Tuesday a touch, but will remain 5-10 degrees above average.
* Drying and warming trend resumes after the brief cooldown and breezes on Tuesday. An anomalously strong ridge intensifies and takes temperatures up into the mid to upper 70s by Thursday in western NV, and mid to upper 60s for many eastern Sierra communities. The temperatures will be more reminiscent of late May than early March. The blended guidance looking ahead to late this week into early next week shows a 50-70% chance for lower elevation areas to hit 80 degrees. Keep in mind that for Reno the average 1st 80 degree day is typically April 30th with the earliest recorded on March 12 in 2007. The first 80 degree day for Reno last year was March 25th, so we're a bit ahead of schedule if it pans out. The ensemble cluster analysis bolsters our confidence in the warm spell as it highlights an anomalously strong ridge across the West through the 7-10 period. Time to get out the shorts, sunglasses, and extra sunscreen!
-Edan
AVIATION
* VFR conditions prevail through much of the next week for all terminals. Chances for FZFG at KTRK remain low (less than 20% chance) through this morning.
* Increasing westerly winds this afternoon will become northwesterly on Tuesday afternoon, with surface gusts between 15-20 kts likely for all western NV terminals. Westerly FL100 winds will be between 20-30 kts on Tuesday 9z-Wednesday 6z.
* Mid to high level clouds will accompany the brief uptick in winds on Tuesday, but no precipitation is forecast. -Edan
REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories
NV...None. CA...None.
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