textproduct: Reno
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
* A warming and drying trend prevails through this weekend with above average high temperatures. * Near record heat is becoming increasingly likely late this weekend into early next week.
* Breezy afternoon winds are likely with a weak system to our north on Friday.
DISCUSSION
A high amplitude upper level ridge from the Eastern Pacific extending north towards the Alaska Peninsula continues through Friday morning resulting in a warming trend. Afternoon highs will increase to 5-10 degrees above average with typical westerly winds the next few days.
On Friday afternoon, a weak upper level shortwave trough pushes through the PacNW, increasing our typical afternoon westerly winds. Gusts will be in the 20-30 mph range with a 10-50% chance of exceeding 40 mph. The main areas of concern will be north of I-80, especially mountain ridges and eastern slopes. Temps will briefly stop their gradual increase with this system.
The ridge quickly returns on Friday evening and continues a slow eastward trajectory towards the Desert Southwest. More warmer and drier air moves in leading to higher afternoon temperatures through early next week. W Nevada and NE California valleys have a high (60-90%) chance of reaching their first 90 degree days of the season on Monday and Tuesday. The NV Basin and Range lowest valleys may reach the mid-90s by Monday. Moderate HeatRisk is very likely over western NV lowest valleys on both days. Temperatures have a 50-60% chance of breaking the record highs.
By next Wednesday, the backside of the ridge starts to pull subtropical moisture from the Gulf of California towards W NV bringing back clouds and low rain and thunderstorm chances (below 10%) into the forecast. Anyway, the cloud cover will help drop temperatures back into the 80s for valley locations, but we remain 10-15 degrees above average.
-HC
AVIATION
VFR conditions prevail through Friday morning. KTRK will have IFR to LIFR between 10-16Z due to FG. Winds will be light and VRB overnight and in the morning, then from the west with speeds to 10-15 kts and gusts up to 25 kts between 19-03Z.
-HC
REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories
NV...None. CA...None.
IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.
textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.