textproduct: Reno
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
* Seasonally hot and dry conditions prevail through midweek with afternoon breezes up to 20-25 mph.
* Warming trend brings highs into the triple digits by the weekend, introducing areas of Major HeatRisk for lower valleys.
* At this time, there is no precipitation anticipated the next 7 days.
DISCUSSION
Current synoptic setup features a large ridge of high pressure over the central CONUS with a long-wave trough off the British Columbia coast. We're right in the middle of both features, giving us dry southwest flow aloft. Temperatures today are near-average in western NV, northeast CA, and the eastern Sierra. Skies will remain generally clear the rest of the day, and the typical west breezes will pickup this afternoon and evening. There is some smoke from the Elephant Fire (per camera networks and satellite) that may impact air quality the Reno area through the evening. Otherwise, the greatest potential for smoke impacts is toward northern Washoe County and the Surprise Valley due to all the fires in Oregon, Idaho, and Washington.
Heading into the rest of the week, the ensembles are in good agreement that the aforementioned high pressure ridge will slowly strengthen and shift west. This will lead to a gradual warming trend into the weekend. Temperatures remain near average into Thursday, then further increase between 5-10 degrees above average from Friday through at least next Monday. By the weekend, Major HeatRisk will become wider in areal coverage. The typical afternoon zephyr breezes of 20-25 mph will continue each day this week. Combined with low RH values, pockets of elevated fire weather conditions are likely. Ensembles are hinting that the ridge will break down by this weekend. In terms of weather, the region remains dry with above average temperatures. -McKellar
AVIATION
VFR conditions prevail through the week with westerly wind gusts of 20-25 kts each afternoon. Increasing high temperatures may introduce density altitude concerns for KRNO/KCXP/KMEV by the weekend.
-Giralte/McKellar
REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories
NV...None. CA...None.
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