textproduct: Reno

KEY MESSAGES

* Dry weather with warmer than normal temperatures expected throughout the week.

* A wetter pattern may arrive around the middle of December, but confidence remains low.

DISCUSSION

Not too much going on over the next few days with our bubble of high pressure overhead. Light winds, scattered clouds, and relatively warm temperatures are in store this week. There's one day that may be an exception and that's Tuesday this week. There's less than a 15% chance of light rain showers over northern Washoe County, Surprise Valley, and northern Lassen County.

High temperatures will continue to gradually warm up each day through next week, eventually bringing high temperatures into the 60's in lower valleys and Sierra valleys by Tuesday. KRNO will have an 80% chance to tie and 70% chance to break the high temp record of 65 degrees this Tuesday. Wednesday and Thursday we'll still be warm, but the records are too high and just out of reach. Temps aside, winds will stay light (<20 mph) through all of this week.

There are still signs that the storm door may be opening back up again after next weekend. EC and GFS ensembles are showing somewhere around the 15th-17th for the first wave. CW3E's IVT plume shows the possibility of some Pacific moisture working its way as far south as our CWA, so we'll see how that evolves in the next week or so. That far out it's still a "wait and see" scenario for exact details. We'll keep an eye on this throughout this week.

-Justin

AVIATION

Scattered mid-upper level clouds will be passing through today and Monday, otherwise light sfc winds and VFR conditions continue through Monday.

-Justin

REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories

NV...None. CA...None.