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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

* Gusty north winds bringing chances for localized areas of blowing dust continue this afternoon after the passage of yesterday's cold front.

* Sub-freezing temperatures will pose impacts to agriculture and irrigation tonight into Friday morning.

* Unsettled weather returns Sunday into early next week with renewed chances of gusty winds and showers.

DISCUSSION

An upper trough is gradually making its way east through the W CONUS today with a Pacific ridge trailing it. Forecast guidance depicts the CWA having a N-NW flow aloft by this evening as the rear portion of the trough moves over it. At the surface, area winds continue to blow generally out of the north behind yesterday's cold front with gusts up to around 25-35 mph this afternoon. Portions of the W NV Basin and Range south of Lovelock may see some gusts up to around 45 mph with blowing dust possible through this evening. Dry conditions are persist today with the exception of areas along the OR border seeing a 15-25% chance for a brief isolated light snow shower or two through this afternoon.

Daytime high temperatures are still on track to range between ~5-15 below seasonal normals today behind the cold front passage. But for tonight into tomorrow morning, chilly temperatures are to be expected to the point of concern that the Freeze Warning still remains in effect for NE CA and W NV portions of the CWA during this time. Please see the warning product for forecast low temperatures and take steps now to protect susceptible plants and vegetation as well as plumbing. Clearing skies may also allow for patches of freezing fog Friday morning, especially around agricultural areas and areas of low-lying water, though confidence still remains low at this time.

As the upper trough continues its trek eastward, the Pacific ridge then begins moving over the W CONUS on Friday and Saturday. This pattern aloft will allow dry conditions to prevail and daytime high temperatures to return to above normal going into the weekend. However, forecast guidance does show an upper low traveling through the PacNW on Saturday and making its way towards the N CA coast on Sunday. Models continue show some good uncertainty in timing and placement of this low, but signs are still pointing at some potential increased winds to begin the week. Daily precipitation chances also expect to return to the region on Monday that may last through Wednesday. Please continue to watch for forecast updates. -078

AVIATION

VFR conditions are expected at all area TAF sites today. Area winds continue to gust out of north to northwest gusting up to around 25- 30 kts this afternoon and evening before decreasing overnight. Winds may cause occasional blowing dust in areas of the W NV Basin and Range south of KLOL. Dry conditions are anticipated today with the exception of a 15-25% chance for an isolated light snow shower or two for areas along the OR border through 17/00Z. -078

REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories

NV...Freeze Warning from 11 PM this evening to 8 AM PDT Friday NVZ001- 003>005.

CA...Freeze Warning from 11 PM this evening to 8 AM PDT Friday CAZ070- 071.


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