textproduct: Reno

KEY MESSAGES

* Showers and isolated thunderstorms chances continue through Saturday afternoon, followed by dry weather Sunday into next week.

* A warming trend will return temperatures to seasonal averages this weekend before becoming above normal much of next week.

DISCUSSION

Showers will linger along the Sierra today, with snow levels between 8000-9000 ft. Those showers are expected to dissipate through today, with precip chances decreasing to 10% or less by this evening. Until then, there are also chances (<10%) for isolated thunderstorms, mainly in northern NV along the OR border.

Thunderstorm chances renew tomorrow (10-20%), mainly for NE CA and central Washoe county. There's a slight negative tilt to the upper level heights tomorrow, providing additional forcing for the aforementioned region though model sounding CAPE values show 250 J/kg or less. Isolated thunderstorms will be capable of brief heavy rainfall and small hail/pellet showers.

A warming and drying trend will persist through early next week, with afternoon highs back up to the upper 80s and 70s (lower elevations and Sierra communities, respectively) by mid next week. Additional disturbances in the upper level pattern may bring shower chances next week, though confidence remains low.

-Giralte

AVIATION

VFR conditions will prevail for most terminals through the majority of the period. Sierra terminals (KTRK/KTVL) may see periods of MVFR conditions due to isolated showers and subsequent reductions in CIGS/VIS. Otherwise, mountain obscurations expected for all terminals through around 06Z.

FZFG may impact KTRK/KTVL from 09-15Z tonight, dropping CIGS/VIS to MVFR/IFR conditions.

-Giralte

REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories

NV...None. CA...None.