textproduct: Reno
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
* Gusty to strong winds along Sierra ridgetops through tonight.
* A warming trend continues through the weekend, along with breezy valleys each afternoon.
* Dry conditions and above average temperatures will be the theme through much of the next week, except for a quick cool down on Tuesday.
DISCUSSION
The main weather we have going on today is gusty east to northeast winds at ridgetop level due to a 40-45kt 700mb jet streak. Sierra ridge winds will peak around 60-80 mph this afternoon, then decrease throughout the evening. Otherwise, it's just going to be high pressure and light to breezy winds through next week.
As the high pressure bubble sets in, our high temperatures will slowly warm up. Tomorrow, we'll be seeing close to 70 degrees in western NV valleys and monday, Fallon could be pushing 75 degrees. Temperatures will stay well above average all throughout next week with just a slight dip in temps on Tuesday. 70's will become the new norm next week as most valley locations will exceed 70. Sierra valleys will be warm too with highs around 60 or a few degrees above 60. Morning low temperatures will see a comfortable increase as well. Lower valley locations are expected to only get down to 35-40 degrees and 25-30 for Sierra valleys tomorrow and early next week. Later in the upcoming week, those morning low temps could even increase by a few degrees more.
Looking ahead, long range models and ensembles show our area dry through mid-month. However, there are signals now for additional precipitation around the 15th-18th. The IVT plumes have a little indication of some Pacific moisture moving our way around that time, and roughly 10-20% of EC/GFS ensemble members are showing measurable precip in the Sierra. But as always, there is very low confidence on everything that far out. But for now, things are starting to green up nicely outside - time to enjoy this revitalizing warmth!
-Justin
AVIATION
VFR conditions prevail through the weekend for all terminals. Chances for FZFG at KTRK remain low tonight due to elevated ridgetop gusts, although clear skies. FL100 winds remain elevated through much of today, with gusts of 30-40 kts, bringing localized areas of LLWS and turbulence along the Sierra.
-Giralte/Justin
REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories
NV...None. CA...None.
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