textproduct: Reno
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
* Dry weather with cold mornings and gusty ridge winds will prevail this weekend.
* There is a slight chance of showers Sunday night into Monday near the Oregon border.
* Fair weather is expected leading up to and including Thanksgiving with a winter storm possible during the following weekend.
DISCUSSION
A slow warming and drying trend is well underway now that our latest winter storm has departed and allowed high pressure to nudge into the region. This weekend is expected to be dry and mild as a result with gusty E/NE winds along the Sierra crest. Clearing skies will yield rather cold mornings as temperatures fall near or below freezing regionwide. Be sure to bundle up this weekend if you plan on being outdoors during the evening or early morning hours!
The upcoming week will feature more of the same as we'll be devoid of significant winter storms through Thanksgiving. Sunday night into Monday presents the sole opportunity for showers as weak low pressure and an attendant cold front quickly pass by the region. However, chances are low (10-20%) and will be confined to areas near the Oregon border closer to the low. Elsewhere, SW/W winds may become a bit breezy Sunday afternoon -- particularly from Lassen County into N Washoe County -- with 40-60 winds along Sierra ridges posing impacts to aviation.
The days leading up to and including Thanksgiving are shaping up to be quite ideal for holiday travel and festivities, owing to broad high pressure developing overhead. There is the potential for a winter storm to impact the region next Friday into the following weekend as 70% of solutions feature a low pressure passage of some flavor/intensity after the holiday. The storm's trajectory and strength are still uncertain at this point, and thus so are the timing and impact details, but it's certainly worth paying close attention to as we get closer.
-Salas
AVIATION
Low clouds and mountain obscuration will continue to be the main concern today, but further clearing should mitigate this issue through the evening. E/NE FL100 winds of 20-30 kts may pose mountain wave turbulence impacts from the Sierra crest westward into California through Saturday morning.
-Salas
REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories
NV...None. CA...None.
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