textproduct: Reno

KEY MESSAGES

* High pressure overhead will bring dry conditions, above average afternoon highs, light winds, and valley inversions through this week.

* The high pressure may weaken by this weekend with precipitation chances returning by the second week of February, but confidence is low.

DISCUSSION

We're expecting the 3 C's this week: cool, calm, and collected conditions (4 C's?). High pressure builds over the region, continuing the trend of light winds, cool/mild afternoon highs, valley haze, and dry conditions. Localized areas of freezing fog may also develop for fog-prone Sierra valleys each morning this week before dispersing by late morning. Furthermore, air quality reductions are possible in and around areas of prescribed burns due to strong inversions. Check fire.airnow.gov for local readings.

In other news, this meteorologist (and another, more infamous one) managed to see her shadow today! My winter and snow lovers, rejoice! And looking at long-range guidance, the models look to agree with this statement. The next best chance to get snow along the Sierra is late this weekend (Sunday at the earliest) as a shortwave drops down the coast of California. However, with this low-level feature and the fact that it's about a week out, there's plenty of time for that low to wobble in any direction, leaving confidence low on the extent of impacts. The NBM does hint at snow levels between 5.5-6.5 kft though, so we might just be in luck!

-Giralte

AVIATION

VFR conditions and light winds continue through this week. The only exception will be at KTRK where lower CIGS/VIS is possible due to patchy FZFG development between 09-16Z tonight. Slantwise visibility reductions possible for KRNO/KCXP/KMEV due to valley inversions and haze in the mornings each day this week.

-Giralte

REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories

NV...None. CA...None.