textproduct: Reno

KEY MESSAGES

* Gusty to strong winds expected along Sierra ridgetops through much of today and overnight.

* A gradual warming trend starts today, continuing through the weekend.

* Dry conditions and above average temperatures will be the theme through much of the next week.

DISCUSSION

We've entered a relatively benign weather regime today and through this weekend with the main element of note being gusty to strong ridgetop gusts along the Sierra. This is expected to persist through much of today. Model 700 hPa flow shows N/NE gusts of 35 kts, which translates to gusts of 60-70 mph along the peaks today. Winds may mix down to lake level Saturday, as well, bringing concerns for recreation along Lake Tahoe. However, confidence remains low on the strength of said winds. Regardless, expect today and tomorrow to be the windiest days of the week.

A warming trend begins today, kicking temperatures back up to above normal. As of now, there is a 75% chance and a ~90% chance we will hit 70 degrees or higher in Reno on Sunday and Monday, respectively. The record highs for both days is 79, so no record breakers are in sight just yet. Other than those winds, it will be a beautiful weekend to get outdoors.

Another system may be queued up as early as Tuesday or Wednesday, as this period of ridging gives way to a low dropping in from Alaska. However, the 500 hPa pressure gradient doesn't increase too much over our area. Right now, the NBM wants to put light chances (<10%) for precip along the OR border Wednesday. Given this is about 5 days out, confidence remains low.

-Giralte

AVIATION

VFR conditions prevail through the weekend for all terminals. Chances for FZFG at KTRK tonight remains low, due to elevated ridgetop gusts. FL100 winds will remain elevated through much of today, with gusts up to 35 kts, bringing localized areas of LLWS and turbulence along the Sierra.

-Giralte

REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories

NV...None. CA...None.