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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

* Warm, above-average temperatures through Friday. Typical westerly breezes with low humidity and poor overnight RH recovery continues across W.Nevada mid-slopes

* A series of cold fronts will bring 10-20 degrees of cooling over the weekend with gusty north winds and chances for light showers along the front on Sunday.

* A warming trend will bring a return of above average temperatures for the middle of next week.

DISCUSSION

Seasonably warm conditions will continue through Friday, with temperatures running about 10 degrees above average. Highs will reach the low to mid-80s in western Nevada valleys and mid-70s in Sierra communities. Dry weather will prevail, with typical afternoon west zephyr winds gusting 20-25 mph and very low humidity in the single digits to low teens. Overnight recoveries will remain limited, around 30-40% across western Nevada mid- slopes through Saturday morning.

A series of cold fronts this weekend will bring a steady cooling trend and increasing winds. Highs drop to near average Saturday (low 70s western Nevada, mid-60s Sierra), then fall another 10 degrees Sunday (low 60s western Nevada, mid-50s Sierra). Winds strengthen from the northwest at 15-20 mph Saturday, shifting north to northeast at 15-25 mph Sunday, with a 60-70% chance of gusts up to 40 mph, strongest south of US-50.

These winds may generate blowing dust downwind of the Carson Sink, reducing visibility along parts of US-50 in Churchill County into Mineral and southern Lyon Counties. Additional impacts include difficult crosswinds for high-profile vehicles, aviation turbulence, and hazardous boating conditions.

A band of showers (10-20% chance) may accompany the main cold front Sunday morning, with light snow showers possible above 6000-6500 ft. Confidence in timing and coverage remains low to moderate. Conditions turn drier and warmer early next week as the trough exits and high pressure builds, with highs returning to the 70s and 80s by Wednesday. Fuentes

AVIATION

VFR conditions will prevail through Friday with dry conditions and typical west breezes each afternoon with gusts near 20kts. Periods of IFR conditions due to areas of fog are possible tonight at KTRK from 12-15 UTC.

A series of cold front may yield increasing northerly winds on Saturday with the gustiest conditions expected by Sunday. Areas of BLDU with 10-20% of showers are possible for W.NV Basin and Range terminals including: KLOL, KNFL, and KHTH. Fuentes

REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories

NV...None. CA...None.


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