textproduct: Reno

KEY MESSAGES

* Warm and dry weather prevails through the weekend with east to southeast breezes this afternoon.

* Increasing south to southwest winds may elevate fire concerns and pose impacts to recreation and travel on Monday.

* Chances of rain and mountain snow increases between Tuesday and Thursday, but confidence is low.

DISCUSSION

East to northeast winds remain strong early this morning along the Sierra crest where gusts of 50-60 mph are noted in 1 AM surface obs. Ridge winds are expected to remain elevated through the morning, but should gradually weaken as the morning progresses. Elsewhere, breezy E/SE winds develop this afternoon with gusts of 25-30 mph posing minor fire concerns in far NE California and NW Nevada. Otherwise, a warm and dry pattern will be in place through the weekend with daytime highs in the upper 60s and 70s each day through Sunday.

A deepening eastern Pacific trough will encourage gusty south to southwest winds Monday afternoon when there is a moderate to high probability of 30+ mph wind gusts. These winds and low humidity will support areas of elevated to critical fire weather conditions in the afternoon, along with impacts to recreation and air/ground travel. Chances of rain and mountain snow increase between Tuesday and Thursday, but differences in trough evolution makes this a lower confidence forecast. Latest blended guidance does favor areas south of I-80 where chances (50-70%) are higher, but exact timing and amounts are still uncertain for now.

-Salas

AVIATION

Easterly FL100 winds of 30-35 kt will maintain mountain wave turbulence concerns along and west of the Sierra crest through 15Z this morning. E/SE surface gusts up to 15 kts are expected this afternoon at all area terminals. Otherwise, expect widespread VFR conditions to prevail through the weekend.

-Salas

REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories

NV...None. CA...None.