textproduct: Reno

KEY MESSAGES

* Cooler conditions remain in place with a gradual warming trend through the week, reaching near normal temps by the holiday weekend.

* Typical afternoon breezes along with dry conditions -- stay fire safe.

* There's a 10% chance for afternoon showers or a thunderstorm to form from this weekend into next week.

DISCUSSION

* We're still running about 10 degrees below normal in the wake of the cold trough that settled over the region, but a gradual warming trend through the week will continue. Expect highs today in the low to mid 80s in warmer valleys, and in the 70s for Sierra valleys. By the 4th of July weekend, these will climb about 10 degrees, closer to normal for this time of the year.

* Winds overall will be diurnally driven, with the usual afternoon westerly breezes gusting 20-25 mph. While not an enhanced fire risk, the very dry brush can easily ignite and quickly spread with the wind, so continue to be cautious and not do anything that could create a spark as we go through the holiday weekend. In addition, if you plan to recreate on area lakes, be prepared for winds to increase each day between 2 and 4 pm.

* Overall, conditions will remain dry, with decreasing humidity recoveries. Despite this, there may be just enough instability through surface heating for isolated showers and even a stray thunderstorm to form (a 10% chance) from Sunday into next week. The most likely locations would be along the Sierra, marching northward along the western Nevada Sierra front, including the Pine Nut Mountain Range. -Dawn

AVIATION

No major aviation concerns with widespread VFR conditions and SW FL100 winds around 15 kts. Typical westerly afternoon winds will increase between 21-23z at terminal sites with gusts reaching up to 20 kts. There is less than a 5% chance for any showers or storms to develop today or Wednesday. -Dawn

REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories

NV...None. CA...None.