textproduct: Reno

KEY MESSAGES

* Warm and dry weather with a minor to moderate HeatRisk will prevail this holiday weekend.

* Typical afternoon breezes may pose minor impacts to fire and recreation into early next week.

* There is a low chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms in the Sierra each afternoon through Monday.

DISCUSSION

A warm and dry pattern will remain in place through the Independence Day weekend with holiday festivities met with highs in the 80s and 90s. These temperatures will yield a minor HeatRisk across Sierra communities with moderate HeatRisk spreading into lower W NV valleys over the weekend. Warm surface temperatures will continue to support a low chance (10-15%) of isolated showers and thunderstorms each afternoon through Monday -- mainly across the eastern Sierra from Tahoe southward. Thunderstorm activity may increase somewhat on Sunday and Monday as weak low pressure pivots into N California, but details are still uncertain. Otherwise, typical summertime breezes (20-30 mph) should arrive each afternoon, which may result in less favorable boating conditions and elevated fire concerns this weekend.

Minimal change in the weather pattern will sustain seasonably warm and dry weather next week, along with our usual recurrence of breezy afternoon winds. Isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms will remain possible next week, but drier air moving into the region will reduce the likelihood of this occurring.

-Salas

AVIATION

VFR conditions and typical afternoon breezes (20-25 kts) prevail through the holiday weekend. Cumulus build-ups along the higher terrain will continue to be common with only a 10-15% chance of maturing into showers and thunderstorms at KTVL and KMMH.

-Salas

REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories

NV...None. CA...None.