textproduct: Reno

KEY MESSAGES

* Drier and warmer conditions expected for the weekend, with temperatures climbing to near-average.

* Isolated showers and storms remain possible over Mineral County this weekend.

* High pressure builds over the Great Basin next week, leading to a prolonged period of warm and dry conditions with above- average temperatures.

DISCUSSION

An upper shortwave trough will continue to exit to the north, leading to a much drier and more stable atmosphere across the region as high pressure builds in. Most areas will stay dry this weekend, although latest HRRR guidance does have some showers and storms popping up over Mineral County this evening and Sunday evening. Chances remain low around 15%, with low concern for flash flooding or strong outflow winds. High pressure will remain overhead this upcoming week, keeping our region warm and dry.

Temperatures will begin a warming trend this weekend that will last into next week. Highs are forecast to be in the 70s to low 80s for the Sierra and 80s to low 90s for western Nevada valleys through the end of next week. Afternoon winds next week will feature our typical zephyr breeze each afternoon with gusts up to 20-25 mph.

Looking ahead to next weekend (8/22), the GEFS is showing our stout ridge breaking down and shifting east, allowing more monsoonal moisture to be drawn up north. The EC Ens is a little drier, bringing the ridge and peripheral moisture further east - out of western NV. We'll keep an eye on this next week, as we could potentially see another few days straight of storms.

-Justin

AVIATION

VFR conditions are expected today and next week with light/variable winds turning westerly each afternoon with scattered mid/high altitude clouds.

-Justin

REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories

NV...None. CA...None.