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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

* Dry and cool conditions will prevail through the weekend, with temperatures increasing to near average on Sunday.

* Increasing winds are forecast for Monday, with a slight chance of light rain for northeast California and the Surprise Valley.

* Dry and mild conditions are expected for the remainder of next week, with a potential for unsettled weather by next Friday.

DISCUSSION

Stratus clouds across western Nevada will continue to dissipate this afternoon, with cool, dry weather persisting. Mostly clear skies tonight will allow temperatures to fall to near freezing in western Nevada valleys and possibly into the teens in colder Sierra valleys. Areas of patchy fog could develop near Truckee and the Martis valley tonight before high clouds begin moving in early Sunday morning.

Temperatures will return to near average Sunday afternoon as light easterly winds shift westerly and cloud cover increases ahead of an approaching low pressure system. Sierra ridgetop winds will increase Sunday evening, with peak gusts of 70-80+ mph Monday. Surface gusts will generally reach 30-40 mph areawide. These winds may create outdoor recreation impacts, including hazardous boating conditions. Impacts for travel are possible as well with increased chances for aviation turbulence and wind shear, and crosswind impacts for high-profile vehicles.

Light showers may also accompany Mondays low, with a 15-25% chances mainly across eastern Modoc and far northern Washoe counties near the Oregon border. Otherwise, dry conditions and slightly below average temperatures will persist through Thursday. Another upper-level trough is expected to develop along the West Coast next weekend, bringing a cooling trend beginning Friday and a broad 15-30% chance of light rain and mountain snow showers over the weekend. Fuentes

AVIATION

VFR conditions continue through Saturday with light winds prevailing across E.Sierra and W.Nevada terminals. Clearing skies could allow FZFG to develop at KTRK tonight after 11z. Light winds and seasonable temperatures continue through Sunday, but an incoming low pressure system could provide increasing potential for mountain wave turbulence and LLWS Sunday night into Monday with terminal gusts of 25-35 knots Monday afternoon. Fuentes

REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories

NV...None. CA...None.


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