textproduct: Reno

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

* Dry and cool conditions will prevail through the weekend, with a notable increase in temperatures on Sunday.

* Increasing winds are forecast for Monday, with a slight chance of light rain for northeast California and the Surprise Valley.

* Dry and mild conditions are expected for the remainder of next week, with a potential for unsettled weather by next Friday.

DISCUSSION

The Lake Wind Advisory for Lake Tahoe remains in effect until 8 AM PDT Saturday for NE/E winds gusting up to 50 mph along ridges and 30 mph at lake level. These winds are expected to gradually diminish through the morning. A ridge of high pressure will build across the Western U.S. through the weekend, allowing the region to stay dry with temperatures warming to above normal Sunday through early next week.

A weak shortwave is then expected to move across the northern tier of the forecast area on Monday, bringing increased winds and a 15-25% chance of precipitation to northeast CA and far northwest NV Monday afternoon. Gusts up to 30-35 mph are possible in valleys, with Sierra ridges potentially reaching 50-60 mph.

Tuesday through Thursday will be dominated by a generally dry and mild pattern. Late next week, long-range guidance suggests potential for a pattern shift by next Friday. Rain and snow showers may return to the forecast area, particularly the Sierra and northeast California. Confidence in specific timing and amounts remains low at this time, but it bears watching. Temperatures will cool slightly with the increased chance of precipitation, with highs in the low to mid 50s for the Sierra and mid 50s to low 60s for valleys.

-Justin

AVIATION

VFR conditions areawide today. Wind may be a limiting factor for FG/FZFG development at KTRK this morning. Lingering moisture from the recent rain showers will promote FG tonight, however, if the winds stay strong overnight, this could limit the development. Additionally, lower cloud decks this morning will likely produce mountain obscurations. Otherwise, dry and calm conditions persist for the remainder of the weekend.

-Giralte/Justin

REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories

NV...Lake Wind Advisory until 8 AM PDT Saturday NVZ002.

CA...Lake Wind Advisory until 8 AM PDT Saturday CAZ072.


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