textproduct: Reno

KEY MESSAGES

* Isolated showers continue this afternoon, with freezing fog in the Sierra and NE California posing impacts to the Monday morning commute.

* Low pressure will bring gusty winds and increased shower chances on Tuesday.

* Dry and mild weather prevails after Tuesday with signs of a more unsettled weather pattern around Veteran's Day.

DISCUSSION

Colder air aloft and daytime heating will maintain isolated rain and snow showers this afternoon south of I-80, especially in the E Sierra south of Tahoe and the W NV Basin and Range. Elsewhere, today will be a much drier day with passing low clouds and cool temperatures. Pockets of freezing fog will likely develop tonight across Sierra and NE CA valleys, reducing visibilities and creating slick roads in time for the Monday AM commute. The rest of Monday will be dry with daytime highs warming to the 50s.

An eastern Pacific low will quickly pass through the region on Tuesday, increasing winds and shower chances as it does so. Ridge winds first respond to the approaching low, with S/SW gusts reaching 60-80 mph at times Tuesday morning. With time, winds will mix down to E Sierra valleys and far W Nevada where S/SW gusts reach 25-35 mph -- locally up to 40 mph in wind-prone locales. Shower chances increase to 40-60% along the Sierra Tuesday afternoon with lesser chance (30% or less) elsewhere. Accumulations are leaning on the lighter side as showers appear to be shadowed out, limiting highest totals near and west of the Sierra crest from Tahoe northward. Snow totals follow suit, although light accumulations (of a trace to 1") may present minor travel disruptions along Donner Pass Tuesday evening.

After Tuesday, ensembles remain keen on a several day stint of dry and mild weather leading up to Veteran's Day. A couple trough passages to the north may produce occasional breezy periods during this times, but nothing too significant. There is still a consistent signal for a windier and wetter pattern to emerge around and after Veteran's Day, so certainty worth keeping in mind if you have travel or outdoor plans around the middle of the month.

-Salas

AVIATION

Isolated showers may occasionally pass over airfields -- KMEV, KTVL, KMMH have the best chances of 20-30% -- which may briefly reduce CIGS/VIS to MVFR conditions at KMEV and MVFR/IFR conditions at KTVL- KMMH. Otherwise, low clouds and periods of mountain obscuration will remain a concern for all terminals.

FZFG and periods of IFR conditions will be possible overnight at KTRK and KTVL (lesser likelihood), particularly between 06Z and 16Z. Elsewhere, VFR conditions prevail Monday.

-Salas

REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories

NV...None. CA...None.