textproduct: Reno
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
* For today, expect below average temperatures with isolated showers during the afternoon, mainly for Mono and Mineral counties. * After a break between storms Tuesday, another cold front brings a round of gusty winds, valley rain and mountain snow late Wednesday through Thursday.
* Active weather pattern continues later this week.
DISCUSSION
* Looking at the synoptic setup for today, an elongated negative- tilted trough that currently stretches from northern CA into ID will split in two pieces. One piece of energy will break off and track through southern ID, while the other piece will form a closed low over southern CA.
* For our area, there is enough upper divergence aloft and instability to allow for a 40-65% chance for precipitation in Mineral and Mono counties this afternoon. Any snow accumulations will be light, generally 2" or less, with snow levels above 6,000-6,500 feet. There is also a slight 10-20% chance for thunderstorms, which will be capable of lightning, small hail or pellets, and gusts to 30 mph. Otherwise, there is a slight chance (20-30%) for showers in the Tahoe Basin, as well as northern Washoe/Surprise Valley. Temperatures will be around 5-8 degrees below average today, with chilly north to northwest winds.
* We will have a short break between storms on Tuesday with highs rebounding to near mid-April averages with mostly clear skies. But, as we head into Wednesday and Thursday, another fast moving system drops into the region from the Pacific Northwest. Models all show a decently forced cold front passing through Wednesday into Thursday. This will be capable of strong winds ahead of the front, as well as rain/snow showers.
* We'll have a chilly end to the week, followed by a warm start to the weekend. But, the storm door remains open as the synoptic pattern indicates another Pacific storm approaching by the late portion of next weekend. -McKellar
AVIATION
* Light NW winds today with afternoon gusts near 15 kts for all Sierra and western NV terminals. Also, VFR conditions will generally prevail through much of today, with lingering MVFR conditions for KCXP and KMEV this morning.
* For KTVL and KTRK: Spotty MVFR/IFR lingers this morning with either -SHSN or low CIGS to around 12Z.
-McKellar
REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories
NV...None. CA...None.
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