textproduct: Raleigh
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
* No major forecast changes with the morning update.
KEY MESSAGES
As of 130 AM Thursday...
1) Showers and thunderstorms will be on the increase again, especially Sunday into next week. Temperatures continue to be near average.
DISCUSSION
As of 130 AM Thursday...
KEY MESSAGE 1... Showers and thunderstorms will be on the increase again, especially Sunday into next week. Temperatures continue to be near average.
High pressure will shift from the Upper Mississippi Valley to over the Mid-Atlantic states Friday, then offshore Saturday. Temperatures will continue to be near normal on Saturday, with only a slight chance of a PM thunderstorm in the west. Lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s and highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s.
There is expected to be the development of a mid/upper trough over the Tennessee/Ohio Valley regions Sunday into Monday, then linger into mid-week. Expect rapidly increasing moisture with showers and thunderstorms expected again Sunday into next week with a deep southerly flow expected.
Additional heavy rainfall is possible late in the weekend into next week that may continue to bring big relief with the ongoing drought.
The return of moisture with a trough likely developing just west of the Appalachians will keep the temperatures check Sunday into early next week. Highs should hold in the lower to mid 80s.
AVIATION /11Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 650 AM Thursday...
FEW/SCT fair weather cu is expected by this afternoon around 5-7 kft before gradually diminishing after sunset. Given the absence of lingering stratocu, strong radiational cooling tonight into Fri morning may allow for crossover temperatures to be met at RWI/FAY and provide a short period of mist. If confidence increases in occurrence, vsby temporary vsby restrictions may be added in future forecast updates.
Outlook: Lift and increasing moisture, ahead of a slow-moving mid/upr-level trough that will pivot across the OH and TN Valleys, will favor above average chances of showers/storms and flight restrictions later this weekend through early to mid next week.
RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.
textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.