textproduct: Raleigh
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
* Nothing significant.
KEY MESSAGES
As of 242 AM Monday...
1) A typical cool to mild and dry stretch of October weather for NC this week.
DISCUSSION
As of 242 AM Monday...
KEY MESSAGE 1... A typical cool to mild and dry stretch of October weather for NC this week.
Low pressure will remain over the western Atlantic as it wobbles around the next few days. In turn, strong surface high pressure areas will move from the Midwest to New England this week that will reinforce the dry and cool northerly flow at times.
With the northerly flow, the temperatures not flux as they have in the past week. They will remain near or slightly below normal. Lows will generally be in the 40s. Highs will be in the upper 60s to lower 70s.
With moisture sources cut off, no rain is expected this week.
AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 1240 PM Monday...
High confidence of VFR conditions through the 24 hour TAF period.
The combined circulation of surface high pressure over eastern Canada and an area of low pressure that will linger off the mid- Atlantic coast through mid-week will result in a dry northerly flow for much of the week. A few fair weather clouds may move across the Coastal Plain near the KRWI terminal this afternoon but otherwise skies will be largely clear during the TAF period.
North to northeasterly winds this afternoon at 10 to 15 kts with gusts of 20 to 25 kts, strongest to the east, will decrease tonight. Winds tonight will drop off to 5 kts or less across the western Piedmont and 5 to 10 kts across eastern areas. In locations where winds decouple there is the potential for some marginal LLWS but confidence is not great so will omit it from the TAF for now. Winds will pick back up during the mid to late morning hours on Tuesday and by the afternoon will be north to northeasterly at 10 to 15 kts with gusts of 15 to 25 kts.
Outlook: Fair weather with VFR conditions are expected for Tuesday into the first part of the weekend.
RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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