textproduct: Raleigh
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
* No appreciable changes.
KEY MESSAGES
As of 104 PM Tuesday...
1) Seasonable and dry fall weather through much of the period. Below normal highs expected Friday through Sunday behind reinforcing cool high pressure.
DISCUSSION
As of 104 PM Tuesday...
KEY MESSAGE 1... Seasonable and dry fall weather through much of the period. Below normal highs expected Friday through Sunday behind reinforcing cool high pressure.
A very quiet stretch of weather will persist well into at least the early part of next week. Cool surface high pressure will remain anchored across the northeast and Mid-Atlantic states through much of the week and weekend.
A reinforcing cool high pressure system will build down Friday and persist into early next week. High temperatures will largely hover near normal in the upper 60s to lower 70s each afternoon. The one exception will be this late week and weekend, when highs in the low to mid 60s are favored under that cool high pressure. We may even have some patchy frost Saturday and Sunday mornings as lows range from the upper 30s to middle 40s, with middle 30s in the typical cooler spots.
Due to the pattern, there is virtually no threat of rain. Ensemble data suggest perhaps a chance by the middle of next week, but that chance at this point is fairly low.
AVIATION /17Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 104 PM Tuesday...
24-hour TAF period: VFR conditions and clear skies will prevail across central NC through the next 24 hours. Canadian high pressure and low pressure sitting off the Mid-Atlantic coast will result in continued NNE flow across the area. Winds will gust to 15-20 kts at times for a few more hours, gradually lessening late this afternoon and this evening but remaining around 5 kts through the overnight hours. They will then pick back up again to 7-10 kts in the late morning and early afternoon on Wednesday, potentially gusting to around 15 kts (mainly at FAY and RWI).
Outlook: Fair weather with VFR conditions are expected for Tuesday into the first part of the weekend.
RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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