textproduct: Raleigh
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
* Lowered the dew points a few degrees this afternoon and again on Monday afternoon given the continued dry NW flow pattern.
KEY MESSAGES
As of 1245 AM Sunday...
1) Overall dry weather through the upcoming week, with some continued signals for increased shower chances next weekend.
DISCUSSION
As of 1245 AM Sunday...
KEY MESSAGE 1... Overall dry weather through the upcoming week, with some continued signals for increased shower chances next weekend.
The early season Nor'easter presently offshore of the Mid-Atlantic states will continue to move northwest into New Jersey over the next 12-36 hours. It will linger into the early part of this upcoming week, which will keep the NW flow going across NC. This will continue to favor seasonable temperatures the next few days. Highs today and Monday should be around 80. Lows tonight will be in the upper 40s and 50s. It will also keep the cloudiness to a minimum as the mid level moisture will evaporate as it spreads south from VA into NC.
After the low pressure exits the NE coast mid-week, upper ridging will build from the Plains east into the SE states. This will keep dry subsidence all week with temperatures rising to above normal levels during the daytime Wed-Sat. Highs should reach the mid 80s with even a few spots likely near 90 in the Sandhills.
Finally, a mid/upper trough is expected to develop over the Plains late this week into the weekend. This will bring a better chance of showers to our region by sometime next weekend as the trough approaches and the mean flow becomes S-SW.
AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 650 AM Sunday...
VFR conditions will prevail for the 24 hour TAF period. Only some scattered mid/high level clouds are expected to continue moving through the region as they wrap around the Nor'easter located off the northeast coast. Otherwise, gusty northwesterly winds are expected this afternoon, around 16-20 kts.
Outlook: Dry, VFR conditions look to prevail through at least Thursday.
CLIMATE
Record High Temperatures:
September 30: KRDU: 89/1954
October 1: KRDU: 90/1986
RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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