textproduct: Raleigh

WHAT HAS CHANGED

* Increasing shower and thunderstorm chances over the weekend into next week.

KEY MESSAGES

As of 215 AM Wednesday...

1) It will be drier and rather pleasant much of the week, then increasing showers and thunderstorms over the weekend into next week.

DISCUSSION

As of 215 AM Wednesday...

KEY MESSAGE 1... It will be drier and rather pleasant much of the week, then increasing showers and thunderstorms over the weekend into next week.

High pressure will shift from the Upper Mississippi Valley to over the Mid-Atlantic states by Friday. Expect to see temperatures to be slightly below normal for late July. As the high pressure shifts offshore over the weekend, expect increasing moisture and thunderstorm chances again by Saturday in the west and elsewhere by Sunday into early next week. This return of moisture with a trough likely developing just west of the Appalachians will keep the temperatures check Sunday into early next week. Highs may hold in the 80s. Additional heavy rainfall is possible late in the weekend into next week that may continue to bring relief with the ongoing drought.

AVIATION /11Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

As of 645 AM Wednesday...

TAF period: There is patchy fog in the vicinity of RWI, but otherwise VFR conditions are expected over the next 24 hours. There will be just some spotty high clouds, and the wind will be out of the northwest with some gusts during the day.

Outlook: Dry VFR conditions are forecast through at least Friday night, with isolated showers/storms possible at INT/GSO Saturday and Saturday night. Precipitation coverage will expand on Sunday, with showers/storms likely at INT/GSO/RWI and more scattered coverage at RDU/RWI.

RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.