textproduct: Pueblo

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Critical fire weather conditions are expected through the forecast period, with greatest fire weather concern today through Monday.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 113 AM MDT Sat Jun 27 2026

Today and Tonight: Saturday brings the start of an extended period of windy and dry conditions for south central and southeastern Colorado. Southwesterly flow will be in place over the region throughout the day. This flow will advect drier air over south central and southeastern Colorado. Along with that, gusty winds to around 50 mph are expected during the day as diurnal mixing becomes established. With drier and warmer air in place, dropping humidity values to around 12-14%, and the gusty winds, widespread critical fire weather conditions are anticipated during the day. The areas of greatest concern are west of the I-25 corridor, where less rain has been observed over the past handful of days. Beyond that, as alluded to, with drier air, dry conditions are expected throughout the day for south central and southeastern Colorado. Otherwise, mostly clear skies and above seasonal temperatures are expected. For highs, the plains will warm into the mid 90s to low 100s, the valleys into the 80s, and the mountains into the 50s and 70s. For lows, persistent downsloping winds will keep the area well above seasonal lows, with the plains in the 60s, the valleys the upper 40s to 50s, and the mountains in the 30s and 40s.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

Issued at 113 AM MDT Sat Jun 27 2026

Sunday - Friday: For the remainder of the forecast period, a rather persistent pattern will be in place, bringing numerous days of fire weather concerns. The southwesterly flow will remain in place across the region, bringing more dry and windy conditions to south central and southeastern Colorado. With the persistent dry and windy pattern, critical fire weather conditions are expected every day during this forecast period. The strongest winds are expected Sunday and Monday however, when the gradient between troughing to the NW and ridging to the east is tightest. These two days will have the greatest concern for fire weather in terms of severity and coverage across south central and southeastern. Beyond all of that, while an isolated shower or thunderstorm can't be ruled out next week across the region, dry conditions are anticipated to prevail. If a thunderstorm were to develop, it may also bring a dry lightning threat as well. Otherwise, more mostly clear skies and above seasonal temperatures are expected for the area.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 426 AM MDT Sat Jun 27 2026

VFR conditions are anticipated during the next 24 hours at all 3 taf sites, KPUB, KALS and KCOS.

Main concern is it will get windy (G30-40kts) by late morning with the winds lasting into the evening. There could be a period when the winds first pick up that vis may briefly drop to mvfr for a brief period of time.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1255 PM MDT Fri Jun 26 2026

High fire danger will spread across southern Colorado beginning Saturday, and continuing through mid week. A Red Flag Warning is in effect for tomorrow for the Mountains and San Luis Valley due to low humidity values and gusty southwest winds. A Fire Weather Watch is in effect for Sunday for much of the same area. Dangerous fire weather conditions will also exist on the Plains, however, recent spotty heavy rainfall may temper briefly dry fuel conditions. Given the hot temperatures, low humidity values and gusty winds, we will have to monitor conditions on the Plains, especially during this prolonged dry, windy period. All areas on the Plains should be treated with caution with any outdoor burning activities, as not all areas saw rainfall, and high fire danger still exists.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Red Flag Warning from 11 AM this morning to 9 PM MDT this evening for COZ220>225. Fire Weather Watch from Sunday morning through Sunday evening for COZ220>222-224-225.


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