textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Isolated to scattered showers and storms this afternoon, mainly over the mountains and the plains south of Highway 50.

- Moisture increases this weekend into next week. More showers and storms are expected, with a slowly increasing flash flooding concern for the burn scars.

- Hot temperatures continue into next week.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 1224 PM MDT Fri Sep 4 2026

Rest of Today and Tonight...

Remnant monsoon and tropical moisture will continue moving into our region this afternoon. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will form by mid-afternoon, mainly over the mountains and along our southern border, pushing northeast through this evening. Low-level moisture is still lacking, resulting in our main impact concern largely being gusty outflow winds and lightning once again. A stronger storm could produce some brief moderate to heavy rainfall, but the chance is low overall. Meanwhile, temperatures remain several degrees above average.

Saturday...

The pattern will remain consistent as we head into Saturday, with an upper ridge remaining overhead and a good tap of moisture from the Pacific. Afternoon showers and thunderstorms are expected once again, mainly over our higher terrain and portions of the southern plains. Coverage may be slightly higher than today, particularly over the southern Sangres and around the Raton, where the mid-level moisture increases the most over the next day. Gusty outflow winds will remain our primary impact risk, though chances for heavy rain will start to increase as well as PWAT values slowly start to increase.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 1224 PM MDT Fri Sep 4 2026

Pattern remains consistent on Sunday, with high pressure overhead and steady southwest flow bringing monsoon moisture into our mountains. The model variation Sunday-Monday largely stems from subtle shifts in the position of the monsoon plume, though as of now model consensus continues to place the best moisture heading into our southern mountains and plains. Meanwhile, the north and eastern portions of our CWA remain drier, with temperatures still well above average. Highs will be in the high-90s over the plains and in the 80s in the valleys.

Looking further into next week, model consensus has improved a bit since yesterday, though there is still some variation. An upper low and associated trough will move inland from the Pacific NW, sending a shortwave across our area. The high pressure will remain over our region, but the slight change in the flow, and some enhanced synoptic forcing, will give us a better monsoon tap and a greater spread of showers and thunderstorms. While most of the activity will remain over the mountains, some scattered POPs have spread to the plains as well. Increased storm coverage and intensity will lead to a greater risk of flash flooding over the burn scars. Meanwhile, temps remain above average, though we may cool off a few degrees thanks to some additional cloud cover.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1143 AM MDT Fri Sep 4 2026

VFR conditions are expected at KALS, KCOS, and KPUB through 24 hours. While there will be some scattered showers and storms in the area this afternoon and evening, confidence is too low in coverage to include in the TAFs at this time. KPUB would see the best chance, though activity should remain south and east of the terminal. Outflow winds may still be possible for brief periods, but otherwise winds will be gusty to around 20 knots this afternoon, weakening overnight with some mid-level clouds moving through.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.