textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Mild and dry through Friday.

- Showers move into the area Friday Night through early Sunday. Expect accumulating snow over the mountains and rain showers over the plains.

- After a brief lull Sun-Mon, cooler and more active weather looks to set in the rest of next week.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/

Issued at 1157 AM MST Thu Nov 12 2026

Mild and dry conditions will persist across the area through the next 24 hours. Temperatures over the plains will reach into the mid- high 60s this afternoon, with high-50s in the valleys. Meanwhile, mostly clear skies and relatively light winds are expected across the region.

Tomorrow will be a few degrees cooler, thanks to increased cloud cover and a weak backdoor cool front this evening. Winds will also pick up a bit out east, with gusty east-southeast flow closer to the Kansas border. POPs start to increase over the San Juans later in the day, though as of now no precip is expected to move into our CWA until Friday Night.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 1157 AM MST Thu Nov 12 2026

A quick-moving system will move through the area right at the start of the weekend, beginning late Friday Night and lasting into early Sunday. An upper low will pass just south of us, moving in from the west, bringing precipitation chances to most of our CWA. Snow showers will start over the southwest mountains late Friday Night, with the heaviest accumulations falling into Saturday morning. Expected snowfall totals have come down slightly since yesterday, with the system having sped up from previous model runs. The San Juans can expected widespread 3-6 inches or so, though a few areas at the peaks may see slightly higher amounts. The lower slopes of the southwest mountains, along with the rest of our higher terrain, will generally see 2 inches or less, with some portions of the Sangres maybe seeing 4-6 at the peaks.

Snow levels look to remain above 8 kft, so the lower elevations will be seeing all rain from this one. Most of the eastern plains should see passing rain showers by the end of the day on Saturday, with the heaviest rainfall over our southeast counties thanks to the low passing overhead. Meanwhile, the system will also bring in some cooler air, with high temperatures falling into the 50s over most of the area, with 40s over some of the valleys and colder temps for the mountains.

The system departs our area on Sunday, leaving drier and cool conditions through Monday.

Tuesday and onwards, model solutions continue to show a high degree of uncertainty. A stronger upper low and associated trough will move through our area around the middle of next week, bringing more widespread chances for precipitation and cooler temperatures. Snow levels suggest the possibility for snow at lower elevations as well. However, the path, strength, and speed of the system still varies considerably between models and individual model runs. Some solutions take the system north or south of us by a considerable margin, while others move the low directly overhead. In general, we can expect the mid-late parts of next week to be colder and more active weather-wise, but beyond that the details are not yet clear in the data. Latest trends show the system lasting through at least Thursday, with another potential system in the works for next weekend.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 443 PM MST Thu Nov 12 2026

Upper level ridging will translate across the region overnight, with increasing southwest flow aloft expected across the area through the day tomorrow, as an upper trough translates across the Great Basin. This will bring increasing high clouds to the terminals through the day tomorrow, with generally light diurnal winds at the terminals overnight, becoming more south to southeast wind after 18Z Friday.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.