textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Scattered showers and thunderstorms into this evening, with fewer tomorrow.

- Drier and warmer conditions set in Friday and into the weekend. Best chance for daily showers will be over the mountains. Temperatures will remain above average.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 1239 PM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

A somewhat disorganized upper trough and low pressure system will pass through the region this afternoon and into tonight, continuing ongoing convection into the early evening before things dissipate. Overnight lows stay pretty mild tonight thanks to lingering low- level moisture, with mostly 50s for the eastern plains and high 30s to 40s for the valleys.

Shower and storm coverage looks lower on Thursday. As the previous trough pushes east, drier air will move in behind it out of the west, limiting us to some isolated-scattered showers in the afternoon, with a few thunderstorms mixed in. Best chances will be over and near the higher terrain, thanks to a mix of daytime heating and weak orographic lift, but with CAPE and shear both on the low side whatever forms shouldn't be very strong. Meanwhile, temperatures heat up a bit, with highs in the 80s-90s across the area, warmest out east over the plains.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1239 PM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

More dry air moves into our region heading into Friday and this weekend, with a broad ridge building in over the region. For Friday, largely just afternoon mountain showers and a few thunderstorms with isolated to scattered coverage. Instability and shear look weak once again, with limited coverage and intensity. Precip chances increase slightly on Saturday as a disturbance translates south of our area, heading northeast throughout the day. Will see more scattered coverage for afternoon mountains showers/storms, with gusty winds, lightning, and some moderate to heavy rain potential. Sunday will be mostly dry across the region as upper ridging builds back in. Will have to keep an eye out for any developing critical fire weather conditions, but as of now winds generally appear too weak for any major concerns this far out. Meanwhile, temperatures will continue to warm this weekend, with the high valleys staying in the low-mid 80s while the eastern plains reach well into the 90s by Sunday.

Looking further ahead and into early next week, model solutions diverge a bit, but the general signal shows an upper low moving into the Pacific Northwest. Meanwhile, we remain beneath the upper ridge for a few more days, with the occasional disturbance bringing some daily shower and storm chances and above average temperatures.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 533 PM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

At KCOS and KPUB, convection fading away quickly this evening as instability east of the mountains is fairly minimal, and other than some briefly gusty/erratic winds, threat of -shra/-tsra at both airports has diminished, and won't include in either taf. Overnight into Thu, VFR conditions expected with isolated afternoon convection mainly over the higher terrain. CAMs suggest a few windy showers possible near KCOS mid/late afternoon, and will carry prob30 for -shra from 20z-24z here.

At KALS, still a threat for a windy -shra until 02z, with some gusts to 35 kts possible. Clearing with VFR conditions overnight into Thu, then isolated convection develops over the higher terrain surrounding the San Luis Valley after 18z. Haven't included a -shra mention yet in the taf given rather sparse convective coverage, but wouldn't' be too surprised to see some gusty outflows to 35 kts in the 20z-24z timeframe.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.