textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- A bit cooler, but still above seasonal temperatures through the end of the week.

- Only isolated convective showers over the higher terrain Today, tomorrow and Friday.

- Showers and storms ramp up along the Divide Saturday, Still warm plains.

- Active weather returns to the region starting Sunday, lasting into next week. It could get rather impactful as a fairly high amplitude stout Pacific 500 mb trough moves across the region.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 1200 AM MDT Wed Oct 7 2026

It will be drier today across the region, and only isolated (if any) showers are expected over the higher terrain today. It will be about 4 to 8 degrees cooler today over the region as compared to yesterday as a weak cool front comes across the area later this morning.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/

Issued at 1200 AM MDT Wed Oct 7 2026

Thursday, another dry day is expected. The only change is that it may be a degree or two warm on Thursday as compared to today. Friday will be ditto to Thursday, with maybe another 1 degree or two increase in temperatures.

Saturday, the main change this day will be in the mountains. As for the plains, Saturday will be nearly identical to Friday. However, over the higher terrain, more clouds are anticipated and there will be a better chance of showers over the Divide, and likewise, temps will be several degrees cooler over the higher terrain.

On the large scale, the pattern over the region will change as flow aloft will shift to a southwesterly direction through most of the column as a strong trough moves into the northwestern CONUS and begins to dig southward down the Pacific coast.

By midday Sunday, the trough over the west coast becomes a full longitude trough along the entire coast as the main Pacific trough interacts/merges with tropical cyclone activity off the Mexican coast. Flow over the entire Rocky mountain region becomes south- southwesterly and increases. This will push moisture up into the region and expect quite a few showers to be occurring over the Contdvd region on this day. This is clearly reflected in the statistical guidance as point forecast for the Wolf Creek region shows heavy rain occurring during the latter Sunday/Monday period over the Southwest mountains. The plains on this period will likely remain dry, but temps are expected to cool into the upper 70s to lower 80s across the lower terrain.

From Monday into next week, there is still quite a bit of uncertainty on the track, speed, flow orientation and moisture with this large scale trough. Although all of the long range deterministic guidance shows the trough moving through during the mid week period, there is still lofts of uncertainty. As mentioned yesterday, confidence is high that it will be getting cooler over the entire region next week and it will be wet over the CONTDVD region, but how cool and wet (white) still need to be determined.

Based on the latest deterministic guidance, the trough should move across the state later on Wednesday. \/Hodanish

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 514 AM MDT Wed Oct 7 2026

VFR conditions expected at the TAF sites today with increasing afternoon mid/high cloudiness. Winds may pick up from the north to around 10-15 kts at KCOS early this morning. But winds will weaken and shift around from the southeast at both KCOS and KPUB through the afternoon before returning to light diurnally driven patterns overnight. KALS will see light diurnally driven winds with speeds under 10 kts. -KT

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.