textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Heavy rain threat will develop over the eastern plains on Saturday into Sunday.

- Some accumulation snow possible across the higher peaks Saturday afternoon and evening.

- Mainly dry this upcoming week then another storm possible next weekend.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 111 PM MDT Fri Oct 23 2026

The main concern in the short term will be the threat of heavier precipitation developing over the plains tomorrow afternoon and lasting into Sunday. Deterministic and Statistical guidance products are showing 2 to 3 inches of rain will be possible over the plains, with the heaviest rain occurring generally east of a line from Eads to La Junta and Trinidad. Ingredients are in place for a heavy rain event as a stout cool front will align southwest-northeast across the plains tomorrow and the lift associated with the surface boundary, a mid level closed low lifting northeast across the State and plenty of subtropical moisture will allow for several rounds of showers and thunderstorms to move across the plains. WPC has the area outlines above in a slight risk for flash flooding tomorrow. A flash flood watch may be needed for this region, especially of QPF values continue to increase in later fcst products.

Cooler air will move over the higher terrain on Saturday,and fairly impressive upslope flow is noted over the I-25 corridor during the afternoon. Although it is still relatively warm. we will likely see snow at the higher elevations over the mountains, especially the central mountains, the northern Sangres, and the higher elevations of the Pikes Peak region. We may even see some snowflakes over the Monument Hill region later in the day. Overall expect snow levels AOA ~9000 feet per point soundings.

In the meantime (This afternoon through early tomorrow) only scattered showers are possible over the the entire region. Some of the convection may become strong along the border as plenty of shear and instability are in place over the region.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 111 PM MDT Fri Oct 23 2026

From Monday int late week, the region will dry out as drier mid level west-northwesterly flow develops over the region. It should be noted it will be much cooler this week, with mainly 60s over the plains for max temps and 50s in the valleys.

By next weekend, another surge of moisture will move in from the Pacific and move across the intermountain west, bringing the potential for more precipitation to the high terrain. At this time the deterministic GFS is much more bullish then the EC with regard to this system. The statistical guidance products start to show precip developing (mainly snow), especially over the mtns, by next weekend.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1104 AM MDT Fri Oct 23 2026

Primarily VFR conditions expected through mid morning tomorrow, then we may see MVFR conditions develop at KALS and KPUB due to lowering cigs and precip.

A strong cold front will cross KCOS and KPUB during the 14-15 UTC time period tomorrow morning. Strong gusty winds and showers will impact the region after the front goes by, especially shortly after the end of this fcst period (after 18Z tomorrow).

There will be a chance of a passing shower or thunderstorms this afternoon at all 3 taf sites. A brief period of MVFR conditions will be possible.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Flood Watch until 6 PM MDT this evening for COZ067-068.