textproduct: Pueblo
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Dry conditions persist through tonight and tomorrow.
- Near normal and warmer than normal temperatures, along with mainly dry weather, are expected for Friday night through the weekend.
- A pattern change is possible through the first half of next week, though details are still unclear.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/
Issued at 201 PM MST Thu Jan 29 2026
Tonight: Heading into Thursday night, quiet weather continues for south central and southeastern Colorado. Northwesterly flow will be place over the area, and given the lack of major forcing, and minimal moisture in place, dry conditions are expected. Otherwise, light winds less than 10 mph and mostly clear skies is anticipated. Looking at temperatures, a cold but seasonal night is expected, with the plains falling into the mid 10s to low 20s, and the valleys and mountains into the 10s to single digits.
Tomorrow: For Friday, the quiet weather trend continues for south central and southeastern Colorado. Northwesterly flow will remain in place, and while weak orographics will be ongoing, the minimal moisture and lack of any major forcing will keep dry conditions in place. Beyond that, winds will continue to be light, around and less than 10 mph with slightly higher gusts, with mostly clear skies persisting. As for temperatures, much of the region will warm to around seasonal values, with the plains reaching into the mid to upper 40s, the valleys into the mid 30s to low 40s, and the mountains into the 20s to 30s.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
Issued at 201 PM MST Thu Jan 29 2026
Friday Night Through Sunday..
Northwest flow persists through the weekend, leading to a gradual warming and drying trend as a ridge axis sits to our west. Near normal overnight lows can be expected for Friday night, with most plains locations dipping down into the teens above zero, and the San Luis Valley cooling to just a few degrees above zero. Daytime highs on Saturday remain cool further east, but begin to warm up over and near the mountains. Our mountain adjacent plains look to be the warmest on Saturday, with downsloping winds picking up and heating things up into the mid 50s or so for lower elevations along and and west of the I-25 corridor. We warm up even more efficiently for all areas on Sunday, as the influence of the Great Lakes low moves further east and westerly flow increases over the region. All areas look to remain dry both days, with winds remaining on the weak side.
Monday onwards..
Monday looks to be a transition day, though models still lack consistency on the evolution of our incoming pattern change. Monday could end up being a critical fire weather day, though winds appear to be marginal at this point. Daytime highs on Monday will likely still be warmer than normal, with the cool down holding off until Tuesday. Models show two possible scenarios. The first would be a warmer system coming in around Tuesday from the south, bringing snow chances to the mountains, and possibly both rain and snow to the plains. The second scenario paints a low diving down out of the northern plains toward eastern Colorado closer to the Wednesday timeframe, bringing cooler temperatures and more favorable conditions for snow. This solution is most favored by the GFS and GEFS ensemble members. Confidence in either scenario is low given the amount of model inconsistency, but it does seem likely that a pattern change towards precip chances and cooler temperatures will be possible by the Tuesday or Wednesday timeframe of next week.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 1010 PM MST Thu Jan 29 2026
VFR conditions anticipated across the forecast area over the next 24 hours, which includes the three main TAF sites of KCOS, KPUB and KALS.
PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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