textproduct: Pueblo
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Daily showers and thunderstorms continue each day into next week, mostly over the mountains.
- Hot and dry conditions increase fire weather concerns late this weekend into early next week.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/
Issued at 1234 PM MDT Sun Jun 7 2026
Hot and generally dry today. High temperatures will hit triple digits over the far eastern plains this afternoon, with the rest of the plains remaining in the mid-high 90s. Chance for thunderstorms today remains near-zero due to much drier air at the surface compared to yesterday, along with high pressure building in over the region. Generally warm and mild tonight, though the main concern will be poor humidity recovery into Monday morning.
Similarly hot and dry on Monday, with 80s-90s across the CWA and near-100F out east near the KS border. Breezy southwest flow aloft will continue our trend of high fire danger, with a Red Flag Warning now out for Fremont, Pueblo, and Huerfano Counties.
It is worth noting that fuels are considered critical in these zones, meaning that plants are dry enough to support more dangerous fire behavior. Much more of southeast Colorado will be experiencing meteorological critical fire weather conditions, meaning low humidity and gusty winds, but fuels are considered too green for more fire weather highlights at this time. As we move into the work week, that may very well change, so keep an eye out for updates.
LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
Issued at 1234 PM MDT Sun Jun 7 2026
Not much change to the long-term forecast at this time. Hot, dry, and windy conditions will persist across the area as an upper trough amplifies north of Colorado. This will help increase flow and generally limit any significant incoming moisture. Through Wednesday, temperatures are expected to consistently climb into the triple digits over portions of the plains, with RH hovering below critical thresholds for large portions of each day. Based on latest data, winds also look to increase Tues-Weds, sustained 25-30 mph with gusts upwards of 50 mph possible. Critical fire weather conditions are expected over large portions of our CWA each day this week, so the only limiting factor on how many Red Flag Warnings go into effect will be fuels status, which given recent trends, may dry out quickly.
SLIGHTLY cooler, or perhaps just less hot, temperatures appear to move in around the end of the week as the upper pattern flattens out. Long-range guidance hints at some kind of upper wave moving in around days 7-8, but the signal is still unclear, and details are uncertain at this time.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/
Issued at 531 PM MDT Sun Jun 7 2026
VFR conditions expected at all three terminals over the next 24 hours. Breezy southwest to west winds will continue into early evening with gusts to around 25-30 kts depending on the vicinity of high based convective cloud cover where locally stronger gusts could occur. Winds will simmer down towards 02-03z setting from a northerly direction at KCOS and KPUB overnight around 10 kts, and from a light southerly direction for KALS. Winds will increase from the south to southwest at all three terminals Monday afternoon with gusts up to 25 to 30 kts. -KT
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 1234 PM MDT Sun Jun 7 2026
Meteorological Critical Fire Weather Conditions will become widespread across the region during this 7 day period. Conditions will likely get worse each day through mid week, with the greatest concern occurring on TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY as the strongest winds will occur these days. Winds these two days will be in the 20 to 40 mph range with gusts to 50. Winds will be stronger in the mtns.
Please Note: at this time, the Rocky Mountain Fuels Page has most of the mtns and valleys, and part of the plains in the NO category for critical fuel conditions. The only area in the higher terrain that is critical as of this AFD is Fremont county). If the Rocky Mountain Fuels Page is updated and more areas are deemed to be critical, then the Fire Weather Watch/Red Flag warning areas will likely need to be expanded.
Humidity recovery at night will be poor, especially mid week.
Later this week critical fire weather conditions will continue, but it will not be as hot and winds will are expected to be less.
PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Red Flag Warning until 9 PM MDT this evening for COZ222-229. Red Flag Warning from noon to 7 PM MDT Monday for COZ222-228- 229. Fire Weather Watch from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday evening for COZ222-228>231-234-235.
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