textproduct: Pueblo

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Fire Weather Concerns will significantly increase during the next 4 days due to hot temps, very dry RH values, and strong winds; Strongest Winds TUE and WED.

- Slight cooling end of week, with a chance of some precip this weekend.

- 100s likely every day over the lower Ark Rvr Valley over the plains

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 1214 AM MDT Sun Jun 7 2026

Today and Tonight...

100s are expected this afternoon over the lower Arkansas River Valley from roughly Pueblo east to the KS border. 90s elsewhere over the plains with mid 80s across the San Luis Valley (SLV). Probability of rain today is zero to near zeros across the entire region. Critical fire weather conditions due to a combination of low humidity values, gusty winds and DRY FUELS are expected over Fremont and Huerfano counties today. (Note that critical meteorological conditions will be widespread over all of the mtns and valleys, but FUELS are NOT critical)

For tonight, main concern is there will be poor humidity recovery along and just east of the mtns.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 1214 AM MDT Sun Jun 7 2026

It will be hot, dry, and becoming very windy, especially Tuesday and Wednesday. Meteorological Critical fire weather conditions are expected to expand east as the week advances. I do expect that the Rocky Mtn Fuels Status page will be updated during the next day or two, and fire weather watches and Red Flag Warnings will likely be needed to those regions which have critical fuel conditions. The most dangerous days will be Tuesday and Wednesday as it is expected to get very hot (up to 106 over the plains) and very windy (20 - 40 mph with gusts to 50 likely, with stronger winds over the mtns (especially Tuesday)

For later in the week, it will cool off a bit but Critical Fire weather conditions will still be possible. Longer range guidance shows indicates it should cool off a bit more with a chance of precip over the region, especially the plains.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/

Issued at 521 AM MDT Sun Jun 7 2026

VFR conditions expected at all TAF sites the next 24 hrs. Some shallow/weak convection will develop this afternoon, but activity will be be high based and not likely to produce any precipitation, though gusty outflow winds will be possible. Surface winds will become light s-se by mid/late morning, then turn more w-sw and increase this afternoon, with some gusts 20-25 kts until early evening.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1214 AM MDT Sun Jun 7 2026

Meteorological Critical Fire Weather Conditions will become widespread across the region during this 7 day period. Conditions will likely get worse each day through mid week, with the greatest concern occurring on TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY as the strongest winds will occur these days. Winds these two days will be in the 20 to 40 mph range with gusts to 50. Winds will be stronger in the mtns.

Please Note: at this time, the Rocky Mountain Fuels Page has most of the mtns and valleys, and part of the plains in the NO category for critical fuel conditions. The only area in the higher terrain that is critical as of this AFD is Fremont county). If the Rocky Mountain Fuels Page is updated and more areas are deemed to be critical, then the Fire Weather Watch/Red Flag warning areas will likely need to be expanded.

Humidity recovery at night will be poor, especially mid week.

Later this week critical fire weather conditions will continue, but it will not be as hot and winds will are expected to be less.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Red Flag Warning from 11 AM this morning to 9 PM MDT this evening for COZ222-229. Fire Weather Watch from Monday afternoon through Monday evening for COZ222-228-229.


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