textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Some scattered thunderstorms again today, not expected to be severe

- Warm up starting Sunday

- Fire weather concerns possibly Tuesday due to lightning activity in the parched interior mtns.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 1228 AM MDT Fri May 22 2026

Another round of thunderstorms will be possible once again this afternoon, however given less instability and decreased shear, the storms are not anticipated to be severe. Additionally, the activity is expected to be less than yesterdays coverage. Based on guidance, the best chance of storms will be in the greater Pikes Peak region and the greater Raton Mesa region during the early evening hours.

As for temps tomorrow, it will be a bit cooler today as compared to yesterday. Expect temps main around 70 most of the plains and valleys.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 1228 AM MDT Fri May 22 2026

Once again, storm activity on Saturday will mainly be along the Raton Mesa and the Pikes Peak region, There will be a bit more instability down along the NM border and one or two storms could be marginally severe. Temps on Saturday will warm up about 5 degrees more than Fridays max temps.

Temperatures will continue to warm up more on Sunday with upper 80s over most of the plains and 75-80F over the larger valleys. Showers and thunderstorms will be isolated and high based.

For Monday, a fairly stout closed low is fcst to drop into the Pacific northwest. Southernly flow in advance of this system will start to push up into the SW CONUS. This in turn will bring an increasing chance of showers and storms to the interior mountains. Temps over the region will increase 2-3 degrees above Sundays high temperatures.

Tuesday, moisture increases significantly over the entire region, especially over the interior mtns. This could be problematic as the interior areas have been quite dry per drought charts, and any lightning activity will likely lead to the potential of fire starts over all of the higher terrain. It will be noticeably cooler over the higher terrain this day, but the plains will still be well into the 80s. Storms will have the potential to be strong this day as shear will noticeably increase over the region.

Stepping back a bit, the Tuesday weather system will need to be watched very carefully. if this system trends a bit deeper and a bit more farther east, then the weather will have the potential to be quite active over the forecast area. \/Hodanish

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 522 AM MDT Fri May 22 2026

VFR stratus is filling in across southeast CO and will spread into the KCOS and KPUB TAFs near the start of the 12z TAF valid period. Cigs may drop into the MVFR category this morning at both terminals once winds shift around from the southeast. Cigs will likely rise into the low end VFR category towards afternoon with a few breaks possible before -SHRA over the mountains spreads eastward, lowering cigs and bringing some light rain to both terminals. Showers should come to an end by 06z with VFR to MVFR cigs likely to persist into the overnight hours in continued light SE upslope flow.

KALS will stay VFR through the day with VCSH possible at the terminal after 19z as showers move off the mountains and across the valley through the afternoon and early evening. Southwest winds will gust up to 25 kts in the afternoon before shifting from the north to northeast during the late afternoon and evening. VFR cigs will likely persist through the night with some clearing just beyond the 24 hour valid taf period. -KT

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.