textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Rainfall continues on the plains this morning, with pockets of heavy rain possible.

- Gusty winds to around 40 mph expected over the eastern plains early in the day.

- Drier and warmer this weekend into early next week.

- Occasional passing waves brings chances of precipitation for the middle of next week.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 1252 AM MDT Thu Oct 1 2026

Widespread rainfall will remain in place overnight and into Thursday morning, as a stacked low pressure system continues to push east- northeast through our area. Flash flooding will continue to be a concern, mainly over the Aspen Acres burn scar, but also across the southeast plains, as some areas have already gotten around 3 inches of rain and the ground is saturated. Rainfall rates will largely remain light to moderate, though some heavier bands of precipitation will be possible on the back side of the low as it moves out, mainly just south of the Highway 50 corridor.

Looking ahead into the day, coverage of showers will start decreasing, first over our western and northernmost mountains. By afternoon, only isolated to scattered showers will remain over the Palmer Divide and Pikes Peak Region, though more widespread rain showers will likely persist south of Highway 50 until later in the day. A few heavier showers will be possible over the SE plains during the back-half of the day, with some embedded thunder as well, though mainly just worried about brief periods of heavy rainfall and more flash flooding concerns. With the upslope winds in place over the plains as well, the Aspen Acres Burn scar will need to be monitored as well, with some isolated showers lingering into the afternoon. By this evening, most of the area will be free of precipitation, with slowly clearing skies. Temperatures will be in the 60s across the area today, with cool overnight lows in the 40s out east, and in the 30s over the high valleys.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1252 AM MDT Thu Oct 1 2026

For Friday and this weekend, warmer and drier conditions are expected. Upper ridging will build in over the western CONUS, with weak west to northwest flow settling in over the Rockies. Expecting nothing in terms of precipitation through the weekend, with temperatures climbing back into the 70s to around 80. The upper ridge looks to flatten by the middle of next week, making way for some potential disturbances and some stronger winds. Temperatures look to drop a few degrees, with some slightly higher chances for precip over the mountains.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 547 AM MDT Thu Oct 1 2026

VFR cigs at all taf sites this morning, with a vcsh possible at KPUB and KCOS. Skies will then gradually clear this afternoon and evening as upper level low moves into the central plains. Low chance (10 percent) of some patchy MVFR/IFR stratus at KPUB/KCOS after 06z tonight as winds turn more sely, though haven't included a mention in either taf at this point. Expect a period of gusty north winds at all sites this morning, then gradually diminishing winds this afternoon and overnight.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Flood Watch until noon MDT today for COZ072>075-077>080-083- 086>089-093>099.