textproduct: Pueblo
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- A few showers and storms this afternoon and evening, with gusty winds and heavy rain.
- Cold front tonight brings wetter and slightly cooler conditions Tues/Weds.
- Hotter and drier later this week and into the weekend.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
Issued at 1240 PM MDT Mon Aug 3 2026
As a disturbance passes through the flow aloft, a cold front will make its way onto the plains this evening and into the overnight hours. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected just ahead of and along the boundary as it moves through, which could temporarily result in a few stronger to severe storms. Main impact concerns will be gusty outflow winds and briefly heavy rainfall.
For tomorrow, a much cooler airmass will be in place, with highs only expected to reach into the 80s over most of our CWA. Meanwhile, post-frontal upsloping winds over the plains, coupled with some stronger forcing aloft as a shortwave moves through, will allow for a better chance at precipitation over portions of the area. Best chance for showers and storms will be where the upslope is focused, so mainly the southeast mountains and the Pikes Peak Region. Gusty outflow winds are a given, and with the largely scattered nature of expected storms, pockets of heavy rainfall will be possible as well. Will need to closely monitor the Aspen Acres burn scar for any storms that form overhead.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
Issued at 1240 PM MDT Mon Aug 3 2026
Temperatures will warm a bit on Wednesday, hovering around seasonal averages. Meanwhile, some upsloping into the southeast mountains will continue, helping keep a bit of moisture in our region. However, the majority of the large-scale forcing will move south and east of our CWA, taking a good amount of our precip chances with it. For Wednesday afternoon, isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible over the southeast mountains, while some scattered showers will be possible over the Pikes Peak area, Raton Mesa/southern Sangres, and portions of the eastern San Juans. Otherwise, the rest of our area will remain mostly dry.
Looking towards the end of the week, high pressure begins to build in across the region once more. Hotter and drier conditions will resume dominating SE Colorado, with highs back in the 90s. While a few isolated afternoon showers will be possible, the area will also largely remain dry. This trend looks to persist into this weekend, with temps over the plains climbing back into the triple digits.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/
Issued at 1122 AM MDT Mon Aug 3 2026
VFR conditions are expected at KALS, KCOS, and KPUB through 24 hours.
For KALS, breezy west winds this afternoon, and lighter winds overnight tonight.
For KCOS and KPUB, a front will move in shortly after 02Z, bringing north to northeast winds gusting over 30 knots. Gusty winds and mid- level clouds will last into Tuesday.
At all terminals, isolated showers are possible later this afternoon, mainly between 20Z and 02Z. Little to no rain is expected, but if showers do form outflow winds to 40 knots or so will be possible. Given isolated coverage, left as PROB30 group in all TAFs for now.
PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Heat Advisory until 8 PM MDT this evening for COZ069>071- 083>086-093-096>098.
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