textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- A warming and drying trend begins today and continues through Monday, with isolated showers and thunderstorms remaining possible over and near the higher terrain.

- Another round of wetting rains and accumulating snowfall is forecast for the Tuesday into Wednesday timeframe, which could bring widespread impacts to south central and southeast Colorado.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 1259 PM MDT Sat May 2 2026

Rest of Today and Tonight..

As of 1230, temperatures have climbed into the 50s and 60s across the plains, with mainly clear skies over the plains and some puffy cumulus over the high country. Models continue to push a decaying lobe of energy south through the Four Corners region throughout this afternoon, which will help to keep isolated showers and thunderstorms over the high country. Our lower elevations remain dry though, with afternoon highs climbing into the 60s for mountain valleys, the Pikes Peak region, and the southern I-25 corridor, and 70s for the rest of our plains. Winds look to stay light for all areas. Overnight lows will be near normal for most locations, with 20s and 30s for mountain valleys, and upper 30s to low 40s on the plains.

Tomorrow..

Ridging moves overhead throughout the day tomorrow, but weakens as it does so. Models place us in the northern periphery of the ridge by the afternoon, which will lead to slightly increased westerly flow over the central mountains especially. Gusts to 40 mph or so will be possible over our highest peaks tomorrow, with gusts to 20 mph through our gap flows. At this time, strongest winds are not forecast to overlap with any critical relative humidity values, which should keep fire weather highlights at bay for our Sunday for all areas. A low developing off the California coast begins to pump moisture into the region though, which should help to keep at least slight chances for isolated showers and thunderstorms over the high country Sunday afternoon. All other areas look to remain dry, with afternoon highs climbing back into the warmer than normal range. middle to upper 60s are likely for our mountain valleys, with 70s and 80s on our plains. Increased westerly flow will keep overnight lows a bit warmer as well for Sunday night into Monday, with most locations only cooling into the mid 30s and 40s.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

Issued at 1259 PM MDT Sat May 2 2026

Monday..

Models bring the low onshore over California by Monday, increasing moist southwest flow over our region throughout the day. Chances for showers and thunderstorms look increase in both coverage and intensity, spreading into the I-25 corridor Monday afternoon. Though chances for wetting rains increase on Monday, severe storms are not expected at this time. Spotty elevated fire weather conditions may be possible across the southern I-25 corridor and the San Luis Valley, where gusty southwest winds look to be strongest, though humidity values are likely to remain above critical thresholds. Daytime highs look to be around 10 to 15 degrees warmer than normal, with highs climbing int other 60s and low 70s for mountain valleys, and mid 70s to mid 80s on the plains.

Tuesday and Wednesday..

The main pattern for the middle of next week remains on track, though the system has trended colder over the past couple model runs. General consensus continues to send a large trough southwards across the midwest, while the low to our southwest moves into the desert southwest. By the time this low approaches the Four Corners region, models absorb it into the northern trough. This is an earlier/more northerly/colder progression than what models portrayed at this time yesterday, and so chances for cooler temperatures, lower snow levels, and more snow than rain could be emerging as forecast details become more clear. For now, have continued to trend temperatures cooler for both Tuesday and Wednesday, which has in turn pushed snow chances into the lower elevations for Wednesday night. Timing looks be coming into better agreement, though there is still time for adjustment. Current trends point towards impacts beginning as early as Tuesday afternoon, with heaviest precipitation Tuesday night into the early morning hours of Wednesday, and clearing throughout Wednesday morning and early afternoon. For all elevations, snowfall looks to be very dense with the southwest system dragging in subtropical moisture. This will lead to heavy, wet snow, which may melt off of roads quickly, but could also lead to downed tree branches and power lines in some areas. As models continue to hone in on the details of this approaching system, impacts will become more clear. For now, it seems that another round of very beneficial wetting rains and accumulating snowfall is likely for southeast and south central Colorado. Widespread subfreezing temperatures will also be possible Wednesday night into Thursday morning.

Thursday Onwards..

Models push the system past us by Thursday, leaving us in northwest flow aloft for both Thursday and Friday. Showers and thunderstorms will remain possible through this period, especially over and near the higher terrain. Daytime highs look to be near normal on Thursday behind the departing system, with warmer than normal temperatures returning by Friday into the weekend as flow aloft becomes more westerly.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1119 AM MDT Sat May 2 2026

VFR conditions are expected at all three TAF sites, KCOS, KPUB, and KALS, for the next 24 hours. Sky conditions will be clear at KCOS and KPUB, with scattered mid-level clouds over KALS most of this afternoon. Winds will be light and diurnally driven, with gusts less than 15kt expected. Precipitation is not expected on any station through the period. Some high res models have begun to show chances for another round of IFR visibility and ceiling restrictions at KALS late in the period, though confidence was too low to include in the TAF at this time.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.