textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Isolated mountain snow showers in the San Juans Saturday, dry elsewhere with warm and breezy conditions

- Breezy, mild and dry Sunday and Monday

- Uncertainty exist in pattern evolution next week, with low to medium (30-40%) confidence in ultimate evolution

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 203 PM MST Fri Feb 6 2026

Upper ridge remains over the Rockies on Saturday, while weak cut-off low drifts across nrn Mexico. Low may push just enough mid-level moisture northward for a few afternoon snow showers in the San Juans, but any accumulations will be spotty and light at best. Mild and dry eleazar, with potential for a few 70 degf max temps over the plains. Weak lee trough along I-25 and increase in winds aloft during the afternoon will generate some breezy gap flows Sat afternoon through the Arkansas Valley and downstream of La Veta Pass, with the potential for elevated fire wearer conditions for a couple hours during the afternoon.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

Issued at 220 AM MST Fri Feb 6 2026

Saturday Night - Monday: Through the rest of the weekend and into early next week, quiet weather prevails for south central and southeastern Colorado. Messy, broader ridging will be in place over the area, and given the lack of any major forcing, and minimal moisture, dry conditions are anticipated during this period. Otherwise, breezy conditions with mostly clear skies is expected. Looking at temperatures, the warm and above seasonal trend will continue given no major systems and periods of downsloping winds in place.

Tuesday - Thursday: For the midweek period, uncertainty remains in how active weather will become for south central and southeastern Colorado. Originally thinking was that troughing would develop during this period. However latest ensemble and deterministic model guidance are much less amplified and slower with the troughing, with hints that ridging may now remain in place entirely. Given this, confidence has actually lowered to low to medium (30-40%) in the overall pattern evolution. If the troughing solution were to come to fruition, then active weather would return, with precipitation chances increasing area wide, especially for the mountains. If the ridging solutions were to come to fruition, dry conditions would be expected for most, with low coverage of precipitation along the mountains given influences from weak ripples/waves within the flow. Outside of all of that, winds are anticipated to remain breezy, with an uptick in clouds expected. Temperatures during this period will be heavily influenced by troughing or ridging, with cooler temperatures with the troughing pattern, and warmer temperatures with the riding pattern.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 432 PM MST Fri Feb 6 2026

VFR conditions at all three terminals (KALS, KCOS, KPUB) through the next 24 hours with light winds. An increase in mid and upper level clouds is forecast overnight into Saturday morning. Mozley

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.