textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Much cooler today, with areas of low clouds on the plains this morning. Hazy conditions expected today.

- Scattered Showers and thunderstorms along the mtns/plains interface this afternoon. We could see thunderstorms over the Aspen burn scar.

- Warming up starting WED (but WED will still be pretty nice); temps in the 100s by Friday lasting until at least the end of this fcst period.

- Some monsoon moisture in the mtns possible next week.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 1201 AM MDT Tue Aug 4 2026

A cool front was pushing across the plains very early this morning. This front will bring much cooler air (and areas of morning stratus clouds over the plains) to the lower elevations today. It will also bring some gusty winds to parts of the plains very early this morning. Later on today, Max temps over the plains will be in the upper 70s across N El Paso county and L/M 80s over the rest of the plains. Unfortunately, this cool air is relatively shallow an the San Luis Valley will likely remain around 90 for tomorrow afternoon. We will see some scattered showers and thunderstorms along the mtns/plains interface by later this afternoon, and we could see some locally heavy rain, and this could cause some issued for the Aspen Acres (AA) burn scar. The rain is not expected to be excessively heavy, but any locally heavy rain the wrong area could cause issues. We may also see some stronger convection over the greater southern Sangres/W Raton Mesa region tomorrow afternoon. Storms may linger over the Raton Mesa area through the mid evening hours.

Along the CONTDVD, Elevated fire weather conditions will occur this afternoon due to marginal gusty winds and RH values in the 15-20% range

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/

Issued at 1201 AM MDT Tue Aug 4 2026

From Wednesday into the weekend, it looks very dry over the area as the 500-700 mb charts are showing little if any moisture in this layer through this period. If we see any precip, it will be along the CO/NM border areas during this time period. Spotty critical fire weather conditions will be possible along the Divide. These spotty critical fire weather conditions may migrate to the plains by the weekend.

Unfortunately, temps will be gradually warming up from Wednesday onwards, and temps will be in the 100s once again by Friday over the plains. 100s are forecast from Friday through the end of this fcst period (TUE)

By Sunday into early next week, we may see some monsoon moisture increase over the higher terrain. \/Hodanish.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1118 AM MDT Tue Aug 4 2026

VFR conditions are mostly expected at KALS, KCOS, and KPUB through 24 hours.

Breezy winds will develop at the terminals this afternoon, southwest at KALS and southeast over KCOS and KPUB. Along with increased mid- level clouds, showers and passing thunderstorms are expected late this afternoon into the evening. While chances for precipitation at the terminals are low, gusty outflow winds will likely move across the area around this time, leading to variable, gusty winds 35-40 knots. Given the scattered coverage of convection today, left as PROB30s for now. Winds weaken overnight across the terminals, with some mid to low-level clouds lingering at KCOS and KPUB.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.