textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Moisture increases Tuesday, with showers and storms becoming more widespread Weds through the weekend. Flash flooding risk increases as well for burn scar areas.

- Temperatures will remain hot throughout the week.

UPDATE

Issued at 748 PM MDT Mon Jul 20 2026

Quick update to the forecast database for expiration of the Heat Advisory, and to incorporate latest obs and satellite data. Thankfully storm and shower activity has been relatively mild across the central mts and skirting by the Willow Fire. Moore

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/

Issued at 1249 PM MDT Mon Jul 20 2026

High pressure will continue dominating the region through the rest of this afternoon, with near-record temperatures for several areas. Heat Advisory remains through 8pm for El Paso and Fremont Counties. Meanwhile, still expecting isolated showers and thunderstorms over the Continental Divide into this evening, with the main concern being any heavy rain over the Willow fire.

On Tuesday, the upper high will shift east slightly as a trough passes into the Great Lakes, dropping a weak cold front down over the plains by late morning. Moisture east of the mountains will slowly start increasing, with scattered showers and storms expected over the peaks of the mountains and the Pikes Peak Region, with lower but non-zero chances over the rest of the high valleys and I- 25, while the far eastern plains still remain mostly dry. Temperatures will be similarly hot to today, with 90s to low-100s over most of the area.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/

Issued at 1249 PM MDT Mon Jul 20 2026

Wednesday will mostly be a transition day. Temperatures will remain hot across the region, similar to Mon-Tues, but with quickly increasing moisture as a shortwave passes by our area aloft. Convection will become more widespread Wednesday afternoon, increasing in coverage over all of our higher terrain. By evening into Weds Night, another front will come down, spreading showers and thunderstorms to the eastern plains as well. These conditions will last through Friday. Chances for heavy rainfall and flash flooding will continue to increase, and burn scars will need to be monitored closely alongside any other vulnerable areas.

Moving into this weekend, forecast remains on track with previous model runs. Moisture appears to remain trapped under the high pressure, recirculating each day and continuing chances for daily showers and storms. Though most of the activity will still be over the mountains, NBM does keep isolated to low-end scattered pops over I-25 and some of the adjacent plains as well.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 511 PM MDT Mon Jul 20 2026

VFR conditions expected at the TAF sites over the next 24 hours with dry conditions through this evening at KCOS, KALS and KPUB. A frontal boundary will bring a northerly wind shift into KCOS and KPUB around 06z. Gustier winds will spread in after 08z-09z with gusts up to 25-30 kts possible at KCOS. For now, wind gusts don't look as strong at KPUB but this will be monitored closely. Winds will shift out of the east to southeast at all three terminals Tuesday afternoon with the best chance for -TSRA at KALS and KCOS. Will carry a prob30 for both locations with gusty outflow winds up to 30 kts and VFR cigs associated with -TSRA. KPUB is more likely to remain dry. -KT

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.