textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Heavy rain likely to occur over parts of the southeast plains this afternoon into tonight.

- Low lying agricultural flooding in the western side of the San Luis Valley likely for the next day or two.

- dry weather through next week.

- Another impactful storm possible next weekend (hopefully more snow then rain).

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 123 PM MDT Sat Oct 24 2026

The main concern in the short term will be a slow moving front across the plains. This system. combined with plenty of high quality low level moisture and a stout disturbance moving over the state will allow for heavy rain to occur across parts of the plains, mainly south and east of a line from Haswell to Fowler to Trinidad. 1 to 2 inches, with local 3 inch amounts, of rain will be likely in this region between this afternoon and Sunday evening.

In addition to the heavy rain, some of the storm that occur along this boundary may be on the strong side, with marginal severe weather possible.

Another area of lesser concern this afternoon and evening is over the San Juans and San Luis Valley. Although this area will receive another 0.25 to 0.75 inches (with local higher amounts), the brunt of it above ~9000 fee will be in the form of snow (and thus no run- off) as temperatures over the higher terrain have cooled off to around freezing. In addition, the heavy rainfall rates that occurred with the initial first short wave are not expected due to the much cooler temperatures. Nonetheless, any rain over saturated soils is not good, but the impacts of this new rainfall should be minor (modest rises on area streams/rivers).

By tomorrow morning, showers will still be lingering over the mtns, with steady rain likely still ongoing across the far eastern counties on the plains. This heavier rain over the far southeastern plains may pick up again during the afternoon as another jet streak moves through the longwave trough.

As for snowfall, I wouldn't be too surprised at the very top of the mtns will get some decent 4 to locally 8 inch amounts, especially over the La Garitas, the central mtns and the northern Sangre De Cristo mtns. The tops of Pikes Peak may see a few inches.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

Issued at 123 PM MDT Sat Oct 24 2026

For Monday onward into the end of the week, it should primarily be dry with cooler temperatures over the region (60s/L70s plains).

The next concern will be next weekend. The strong EL NINO over the Pacific is likely to continue to roar as an impressive subtropical jet si forecast to develop and push another round of moisture towards the southwest CONUS. This jet, combined with another impressive Pacific trough should bring another round of impactful precip to the region. This scenarios reflected in both the deterministic and statistical guidance products (see any of the high elevation sites on the NBM-1D viewer for next weekend). The good news is this next weather system should be cooler and more of the precip over our higher elevations should be snow. Of course the details still need to be worked out, but next weekend looks like another active period for the region. \/Hodanish

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1156 AM MDT Sat Oct 24 2026

Bands of showers will move across the region today affecting all of the 3 taf sites, KPUB/KALS and KCOS. The showers will bring lower cigs and vis restrictions, mainly MVFR. Later this evening through tomorrow morning low cigs will likely develop at all of the taf sites, especially KCOS, and IFR/LIFR conditions will be likely.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.