textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Several degrees cooler tomorrow, but still warm and dry all areas.

- A pattern change arrives Sunday, bringing cooler temperatures, and chances for rain and snow, especially to the high country, for Sunday into Monday

- An active pattern looks to remain in place through much of next week.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 124 PM MST Fri Nov 14 2025

Another warm day was occurring over the region this afternoon, and this will likely be the warmest day of this entire fcst period. Although it will start to cool off starting tomorrow as a weak backdoor cool front moves into the region, the cooling will only be gradual initially, with afternoon temperatures tomorrow only a few degrees cooler than todays max temps. With the ridge aloft over the area, it will continue to be dry, but increasing mid and upper level moisture will bring a return to clouds in our skies tomorrow.

Wind flow tomorrow should be diurnal and relatively light, so fire meteorological fire weather concerns tomorrow will be low.

As for tonight, it will be mild with lows in the 40s plains and 20s San Luis Valley. 30s will predominate in the mtns. \/Hodanish

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/

Issued at 300 AM MST Fri Nov 14 2025

Saturday Night Through Monday..

Overnight lows on Saturday look to remain warmer than normal, thanks to increasing southwesterly flow aloft and mixing ahead of the incoming low. The San Luis Valley is likely to still drop down into the 20s, with much of our plains only cooling down into the upper 30s and low 40s. The banana belt may see locations remaining in the upper 40s. Models suggest a secondary push of cooler air Sunday morning, though highs don't look much colder for Sunday afternoon. Our plains look to warm back into the low 70s or so on Sunday. There is still a high amount of uncertainty with the incoming system, but the general consensus does still favor snow for our mountains and at least a small chance for rain for much of our plains. At this time, models bring an open and weaker wave into the Great Basin by Sunday evening, spreading best chances for accumulating snowfall into the San Juans through Sunday evening and the overnight hours. There looks to be an 80% chance for at least 6 or so inches of snow for the San Juans, with lower end probabilities showing totals in the 8 to 10 inch range. Totals of closer to 2 to 4 inches or less look to be the most likely scenario for the rest of our ranges. The Wets and the Ramparts look to miss out on accumulating snowfall for the most part, and will likely be too warm for snow at that time. Rain chances spread into the mountain adjacent plains late Sunday evening and taper off through Monday morning. Timing and track changes could drastically change precip timing and totals, so stand by for updated forecasts! Cooler temperatures does seem to be a certainty, with highs looking to remain in the 50s and 60s on Monday.

Tuesday Onwards..

Our pattern remains active throughout the rest of our work week, with a series of lows passing through the region and a continued lack of model consistency on the subject. Our temperatures look to remain near normal or slightly cooler than normal, with highs generally in the upper 40s and 50s. Best chances for precipitation are likely to remain over the high country, though changes in timing, track, and moisture associated with incoming systems may lead to increased chances for moisture on our plains throughout the week.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1022 PM MST Fri Nov 14 2025

KCOS, KPUB, and KALS: VFR conditions are expected over the next 24 hours. Light winds around 6-8 knots are expected through this period for all three TAF sites. A weak cold front is slowly pushing southward, which may briefly increase winds at KCOS and KPUB overnight to around 10 knots. Beyond all of that, pockets of high level clouds and dry conditions will prevail through tomorrow evening.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.