textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Marginal Red Flag Conditions expected today across eastern Fremont and most of Pueblo County.

- 100s expected for a good part of the plains today.

- Heat highlights will likely be needed for several areas for the weekend as it will get quite hot region-wide.

- Mainly dry through Saturday, then moisture will gradually increase day-by-day starting Sunday into mid/late week.

- Heavy rain/Flash Flooding may become a concern most areas by mid week into early next weekend

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 1201 AM MDT Fri Aug 7 2026

Main concern in the short term will be marginal critical fire weather conditions over Pueblo and eastern Fremont county today as winds will be gusting in the 25 mph range and min RH values will be around 10%. Strongest winds will be along the immediate mtns/plains interface from roughly Canon City to Wetmore down to Rye/Colorado City. we may also see some patchy elevated conditions in parts of the San Luis Valley (SLV). Note that the critical fire weather conditions will likely develop later in the day today.

As for precip today, it will mainly dry all areas. Best chance of some scattered storms will be across the southern Sangre De Cristo mountains, with more isolated storms in the southern San Juans and the greater southern Wet Mountain valley region.

100F readings will return to the plains this afternoon as areas from Pueblo to Lamar and down to Springfield will likely see 3 digit max temp reading.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 1201 AM MDT Fri Aug 7 2026

Weekend...HOT. Max temps will be 95 to 105+ across all of the plains both days. The SLV and Mid/upper Ark Rvr valley will see low 90s. It will be mainly dry Saturday (isold along NM border) but we may see a slightly better chance of high elevation convection on Sunday as the monsoon moisture slowly creeps back into the mtns. Hot Weather Highlights (Heat Advisories) will likely be needed for both days across the plains and possibly valleys these two days. W may also need some Fire Weather Hilites over the far eastern plains both days due to winds and low RH.

Monday and Tuesday...moisture will be on the increase each day and we will see pops start to climb up as the week progresses. Temps will also slowly start to cree downwards, although I expect Lamar/LHX regions may see max temps reach 3 digit figures each of these days.

Wed into late week...concern is increasing that we will see a wet period over potentially all of the region as ensemble guidance shows QPF values increasing on most of the EC and GFS members, so confidence is high that it will get wetter. The question is how much wetter will it get, as 6 hourly qpf values off he NBM gridded data are pretty high; more than half inch amounts; over parts of the region WED, THU and FRI. We will have to start to watch for flash flooding potential all areas late next week, especially around the burn scars. \/Hodanish

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1040 PM MDT Thu Aug 6 2026

VFR conditions expected at all three terminals over the next 24 hours with some mid/high cumulus build ups expected during the afternoon. Winds will pick up from the north around 10-15 kts at KCOS in the morning before winds swing around from the east then southeast in the afternoon. KPUB could see a period of gusty winds up to 25 kts in the late afternoon and early evening from the southeast. Winds at all three terminals will trend towards diurnal patterns with speeds under 15 kts after 02-03z. -KT

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Red Flag Warning from 1 PM this afternoon to 8 PM MDT this evening for COZ222-228.