textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Quick moving system will bring a period of higher elevation snow and lower elevation rain into tonight.

- Warmer and Drier Monday.

- Cooler and potentially unsettled Tuesday into Wednesday.

- Dry and seasonable Thanksgiving into Friday, then possibly QUITE COLD and unsettled next weekend into early next week.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/

Issued at 210 PM MST Sun Nov 23 2025

Current water vapor imagery and upper air analysis is indicating a distinct circulation across the southern San Luis Valley as of 1 pm, with waa showers and embedded thunderstorms lifting out across the far southeast plains attm, as deformation banded showers continue to fill in across the San Luis Valley, the Upper Arkansas River Valley, the southeast mountains and the I-25 Corridor at this time.

Latest model data in good agreement of said upper circulation lifting out over La Junta this evening, which then continues into west central Kansas overnight. The projected movement of this system will continue to spread deformation banded precipitation across south central and southeast Colorado through the evening, with wrap around precipitation possible across the northern portions of the southeast plains into the overnight hours, with clearing skies from northwest to southeast through early Monday morning. Current snow levels around 8000 to 9000 feet lower to around 7000 feet overnight, with the potential for snow down to 6000 feet in heavier bands.

With the projected movement of the this system, we have extended the the winter weather advisories across the eastern San Juan and La Garita mountains through 11 pm, with an additional 2 to 6 inches expected, greatest across the east and northeastern facing slopes. We and issued a new winter weather advisory for the higher elevations of the Wet Mountains to go along with the current advisories for the higher elevations of Sangres, with 5 to 10 inches possible through 11 pm. Could also see 1 to locally 3 inches of snow across portions of the San Luis Valley into the Wet Mountain Valley and the Mid and Upper portions of the Arkansas River Valley. We have also kept the winter weather advisory for the top of Pikes Peak with 4 to 8 inches possible. 2 to 4 inches remain possible across the rest of the Rampart Range, with 1 to locally 3 inches possible along and south of the Palmer Dvd, mainly on grassy and elevated surfaces. With that said, not expecting much in the way of travel impacts for tonight into Monday morning across the lower elevations, with slushy and briefly snowpacked roads over the higher mountain passes.

Overnight lows are expected to be mainly in the 30s across the plains, with teens and 20s across the higher terrain. Highs tomorrow look to warm back to at and slightly above seasonal levels in the 50s to lower 60s across the plains, and mainly in the 30s and 40s across the higher terrain, under mostly sunny skies.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 200 AM MST Sun Nov 23 2025

For Tuesday and Wednesday, another strong short wave with some cold air with it will move east-southeast to our north. This will bring a cold front down with it and much cooler weather will move into the region Tue and Wed. It will be mainly dry, but we will see some on and off snow showers over the central mtns.

For THU and FRI, ridging builds across the region again and it will be seasonable an dry.

Next weekend into the following week looks possibly quite unsettled and turning much colder with some wintry weather finally affecting the region. It is still too early to know what (if any) impacts there will be, but confidence is increasing that, at minimum, it will be getting much colder, and, at worst, possibly quite wintry. \/Hodanish

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 441 PM MST Sun Nov 23 2025

At KCOS, showers continue this evening, with MVFR/tempo IFR cigs/vis until 03z, then vcsh with gradually improving cigs 03z-05z as downslope north winds strengthen. Precip chance ends by 08z, with clearing skies and VFR conditions through the day on Mon, as north winds persist.

At KPUB, showers continue this evening, with periods of IFR conditions under heaver showers until 04z. Vcsh with gradually improving cigs 04z-08z as downslope north winds strengthen. Precip chance ends by 08z, with clearing skies and VFR conditions through the day on Mon. North winds overnight and through the first half of the day Mon will shift to e-se upslope after 21z.

At KALS, still a risk of IFR conditions this evening, as low cigs and snow are nearby as of 00z, so will include a tempo group with low stratus and snow showers from 00z-04z. Precip ends after 04z, though potential for IFR cigs/vis in stratus/fog develops 08z-16z as higher clouds clear. Fog lifts 16z-18z, with VFR conditions Mon afternoon.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Winter Weather Advisory until 11 PM MST this evening for COZ066-068-073-075-080-082.