textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Heavy rain likely to occur over parts of the southeast plains this afternoon into tonight.

- Low lying agricultural flooding in the western side of the San Luis Valley likely for the next day or two.

- dry weather through next week.

- Another impactful storm possible next weekend (hopefully more snow then rain).

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 123 PM MDT Sat Oct 24 2026

The main concern in the short term will be a slow moving front across the plains. This system. combined with plenty of high quality low level moisture and a stout disturbance moving over the state will allow for heavy rain to occur across parts of the plains, mainly south and east of a line from Haswell to Fowler to Trinidad. 1 to 2 inches, with local 3 inch amounts, of rain will be likely in this region between this afternoon and Sunday evening.

In addition to the heavy rain, some of the storm that occur along this boundary may be on the strong side, with marginal severe weather possible.

Another area of lesser concern this afternoon and evening is over the San Juans and San Luis Valley. Although this area will receive another 0.25 to 0.75 inches (with local higher amounts), the brunt of it above ~9000 fee will be in the form of snow (and thus no run- off) as temperatures over the higher terrain have cooled off to around freezing. In addition, the heavy rainfall rates that occurred with the initial first short wave are not expected due to the much cooler temperatures. Nonetheless, any rain over saturated soils is not good, but the impacts of this new rainfall should be minor (modest rises on area streams/rivers).

By tomorrow morning, showers will still be lingering over the mtns, with steady rain likely still ongoing across the far eastern counties on the plains. This heavier rain over the far southeastern plains may pick up again during the afternoon as another jet streak moves through the longwave trough.

As for snowfall, I wouldn't be too surprised at the very top of the mtns will get some decent 4 to locally 8 inch amounts, especially over the La Garitas, the central mtns and the northern Sangre De Cristo mtns. The tops of Pikes Peak may see a few inches.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 123 PM MDT Sat Oct 24 2026

For Monday onward into the end of the week, it should primarily be dry with cooler temperatures over the region (60s/L70s plains).

The next concern will be next weekend. The strong EL NINO over the Pacific is likely to continue to roar as an impressive subtropical jet si forecast to develop and push another round of moisture towards the southwest CONUS. This jet, combined with another impressive Pacific trough should bring another round of impactful precip to the region. This scenarios reflected in both the deterministic and statistical guidance products (see any of the high elevation sites on the NBM-1D viewer for next weekend). The good news is this next weather system should be cooler and more of the precip over our higher elevations should be snow. Of course the details still need to be worked out, but next weekend looks like another active period for the region. \/Hodanish

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/

Issued at 546 PM MDT Sat Oct 24 2026

KALS...showers will continue to move north across the San Luis Valley this evening, becoming light steady rain through much of the overnight period. VIS will run 3-5 SM and CIGS around 1200 to 2000 feet through around 09z. Overcast CIGS near 4 kft will prevail into Sunday morning with slight improvements into early afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible through Sunday afternoon.

KCOS and KPUB...multiple rounds of rain will move across both terminals this evening into the overnight period. Model guidance has the last wave ending around 10-11z with activity shifting east of the terminals. Rain will be heaviest at KPUB through around 04z, with more steady rain through late tonight into Sunday morning. CIGS will be low, less than 1200 feet, and VIS reduced due to rain and fog into Sunday morning. CIGS will remain near 2000-4000 feet through much of Sunday, with another round moving up around 00z/Mon.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.