textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Today: Warm with isolated showers and spotty critical fire weather conditions mainly gap flow areas and N San Luis Valley.

- Thursday: Warm again, better chance of showers late in the day with approaching frontal system. spotty critical fire weather conditions mainly gap flow areas and San Luis Valley.

- Friday: Much cooler with showers, some isolated thunder along NM border and along mtns/plains interface.

- Saturday: some strong storms possible.

- Sunday and Monday: widespread critical fire weather conditions expected nearly all of the plains.

- Tuesday: Much cooler with a chance of precip all areas.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 106 AM MDT Wed Apr 8 2026

Today...

It will be warm today with L80s across most of plains and temps in the U60s valleys. Some isolated high based showers will be possible today, mainly over the higher terrain. Most precip falling out of the clouds will be virga. Some spotty critical fire weather conditions can be expected, mainly in the gap flow areas (eastern Fremont and Huerfano counties) and the northern San Luis Valley. A weak boundary will push across the region late this afternoon but no significant change is expected in sensible weather.

Tonight...

It will be dry. Min temps will fall into the 35-40F range over the plains with 20s and 30s valleys.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/

Issued at 106 AM MDT Wed Apr 8 2026

Tomorrow...

Weather will very similar to Todays weather (maybe a degree or two warmer), but a stronger cold front will push into the region late in the day. Once again spotty critical fire weather conditions will be possible for mainly gap flow areas and parts of the San Luis Valley. With the front coming through later in the day, there will be a better chance of showers and storms. I cant rule out a stronger storm over the plains late in the day tomorrow.

Friday...

It will be much cooler. We will likely see lots of low clouds over the plains most of the day. It will likely be too stable for widespread thunder this day, but we will likely see some storms along the mtns/plains interface and possibly along the CO/NM border region. Cant rule out a strong storm or two these areas. Otherwise, we may see a chance of showers over the plains throughout the day with this upslope event, although qpf values will generally be light outside of convective activity.

Saturday...

Southwesterly flow increases aloft in advance of a lead short wave coming out of a large Pacific trough over California. Given the forcing and instability, this may be the best chance of us seeing some stronger storms. However, timing of the short wave will likely determine if we see strong storms this day. If it comes across too early then the chance of significant thunder will be less. The atmospheric column is likely to be rather moist across the entire region, so we could see quite a bit of shower activity over the region, especially over the mountains. No fire weather concerns expected this day as RH values will be rather high region-wide.

Sunday and Monday...

Critical fire weather is likely over the plains. Meteorologically, looking at the deep layer RH fields and the overall large scale pattern, this appears to be a "synoptically evident" Critical Fire Weather day, as RH values will be quite low and wind will be in the 30 to 40 mph range.

Monday also looks like a critical fire weather day, but winds will be a bit less and the RH values throughout the column are expected to be somewhat higher.

Tuesday...

A fairly substantial short wave is forecast to move slowly across the region. All guidance shows a trough coming through but there are differences in the depth and orientation of the trough axis. Confidence is somewhat high that it will be much cooler and likely wet in the mtns, but details on how wet and how much precip will fall across the plains still needs to be worked out.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1056 PM MDT Tue Apr 7 2026

KCOS, KPUB, and KALS: VFR conditions are expected over the next 24 hours. Winds will remain relatively light, around and less than 10 knots, through this TAF period, though occasional gusts near 20 knots can't be ruled out for KPUB tomorrow morning and into the afternoon. Otherwise, dry conditions with mid to high level clouds is expected.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.