textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Strong northerly winds diminishing through the evening.

- Cooler and breezy on Saturday, with elevated fire weather conditions across portions of the Plains.

- Up and down temperatures remain in the forecast into early next week.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 223 PM MST Fri Jan 16 2026

Current water vapor imagery and upper air analysis indicates strong north to northwest flow aloft across the Rockies, with a broad upper trough in place across the Upper Great Lakes through the Central Conus. Water vapor imagery is also indicating secondary energy digging down the backside of the trough across the Northern Tier at this time. Satellite imagery indicating mid and high level moisture spreading in from the north at this time. Strong northerly winds of 20 to 40 mph over and near the higher terrain and 40 to 60 mph across the far southeast plains, has helped to boost temperatures into the 40s this afternoon, with high clouds helping to limit mixing across the I-25 Corridor, where temperatures are still in the upper 20s and lower 30s as of 1 pm. Higher res model data still indicates a period of breezy winds developing this afternoon across the I-25 Corridor, which should help bump up temperatures, however, I did lower previous high temperatures at tad.

Latest model data remains consistent in which strong northerly flow continues tonight before diminishing through the day on Saturday, as said Northern Tier wave continues to translate south and east into the High Plains. With that said, should see strong northerly winds diminishing across the plains, with winds likely remaining breezy across the higher terrain, especially across the central mountains. Moisture associated with the passing wave will continue to lower through the overnight hours, with scattered snow showers expected across the central mountains. Any accumulations are expected to be light and spotty, and mainly across the higher peaks. Further east, NBM is still trying to indicate some precipitation across the eastern mountains and plains. However, with sounding data indicating very dry sub cloud layers, have kept pops silent tonight, save for the central mtns. Lows tonight to remain at and below seasonal levels in the teens across the plains, with lows single digits and teens across the higher terrain. The passing secondary wave will bring colder temperatures to the region on Saturday, along with continued breezy northerly winds of 20 to 40 mph areawide. Latest guidance trends toward cooler temperatures and have lowered NBM a tad, with highs only in the 30s across the plains and high mountain valleys, and mainly in the 20s across the higher terrain. Despite the cooler temperatures, dry air will be in place across the region, leading to areas of elevated fire weather conditions, mainly across the far southeast plains.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/

Issued at 258 AM MST Fri Jan 16 2026

Sunday will be much nicer with temps warming into the 50s most of the plains with 40s valleys. Dry weather will continue.

Monday we will see another surge of cooler air come into the region, but things will recover for the remainder of the week with mainly 50s plains and 40s valleys. Desi statistical guidance shows a bit better chance of some precip next weekend.

\/Hodanish

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 441 PM MST Fri Jan 16 2026

KALS: VFR expected through 24 hours. Gusty winds will continue for a few more hours tonight, with increasing mid-level clouds. Gusts will pick up again late Saturday morning and last into the evening hours.

KCOS: Winds at the surface remain variable, but mostly from the southeast. However, winds just above the deck remain from the north around 30 knots, with some of the data showing those winds mixing down within the next few hours. Put in LLWS for now. Conditions will need to be closely monitored, but expecting breezy north-northwest winds to set in by about 02Z. Winds then weaken a bit overnight before picking up again in the afternoon Saturday, with increasing mid-level cloud cover throughout the period.

KPUB: Winds at the surface will retain a north-northeast component, with strong north flow to around 30 knots aloft, included as LLWS through 03Z. Overnight, winds weaken a bit at the surface while stronger flow should remain above 5 kft or so. Mid-level cloud cover will also linger over the area through late tomorrow morning.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

High Wind Warning until 5 PM MST this afternoon for COZ095-096- 098. Red Flag Warning until 5 PM MST this afternoon for COZ234-236.