textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Daily showers and thunderstorms are expected into early next week, though coverage will be spotty and most of the area will remain dry.

- Conditions will continue to warm and dry, with above average temperatures predicted over most of southeast Colorado.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 1209 AM MDT Fri Jun 5 2026

Cool temperatures down to the 50s for the plains and 40s for the mountains are expected early this morning. Winds are relatively calm as well due to minimal atmospheric forcing. The main story in terms of weather through Saturday will be continued high-based rain showers forming over higher terrain beginning around 11am or so. Model soundings show another day of inverted V profiles and DCAPE values >= 1000j/kg. Minimal impacts are expected with these storms besides gusty outflow winds and a lightning possible for the higher terrain. Elsewhere, expect continued above normal temperatures, especially where there is minimal cloud coverage.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 1209 AM MDT Fri Jun 5 2026

To end the weekend, an upper level ridge will increase its impact over SE CO. The impacts will be increasingly warming temperatures peaking on Sunday for all areas. Extended NBM data shows temperatures of >95F are likely for the Lower Arkansas River Valley with some more extreme model outcomes (75th percentile) showing temps closer to 100F for the eastern portions of the valley. Colorado Springs can expect slightly cooler temps peaking around 92F Sunday.

This warming and drying trend will continue and increase even more entering the work week as westerly flow aloft creates warming and drying downslope flow for the area. Winds will be strongest in the mountainous areas whereas the plains should expect slightly lighter gusts. Forecast confidence remains somewhat low to moderate on the strength of these winds due to the fact that global models diverge early week and therefore disagree on the location of the main synoptic drivers of this incoming wind regime. Wind aside, relative humidities will also decrease sharply, likely down to the single digits in the most extreme locations, as these foehn winds materialize. Due to the combination of stronger winds, low RH, and ever curing fuels, critical fire weather conditions are expected to become more and more likely from Sunday through the middle next week.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1111 AM MDT Fri Jun 5 2026

VFR conditions are generally expected at KALS, KCOS, and KPUB through 24 hours. Winds will generally stay diurnally driven, outside of some passing virga this afternoon, mainly at KALS and KCOS. Will be monitoring for outflow, as passing showers may produce gusts upwards of 40 knots at times.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.