textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Showers and thunderstorms continue this week across the higher terrain, especially over the Continental Divide.

- Eastern plains remain warm and dry for now.

- Still some hints of Monsoonal moisture possibly working into all of the region early next week as upper level high pressure wanders through the Rockies.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/

Issued at 1229 PM MDT Mon Jul 13 2026

High pressure continues to build overhead, slowly shifting north and east. Through the rest of today, we'll see a slight increase in available moisture across the higher terrain, leading to scattered, high-based convection into this evening and part of tonight. No major changes to expected impacts, with gusty outflow winds and lightning being our main concerns. Any rain that falls should be light, only posing risks to vulnerable burn areas. I-25 and the eastern plains are expected to remain dry. Tonight will be mild with lows in the 50s-60s, with pretty good RH recovery.

For Tuesday, a near-idtentical setup is expected, with the best moisture remaining a bit southwest of our CWA. Best chance for storms will again be over the Continental Divide, particularly the San Juans. Meanwhile, temperatures will be similar to today, if a few degrees lower over the plains.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 1229 PM MDT Mon Jul 13 2026

Broad upper ridge will continue building in over the CONUS through the end of the week, with a weak upper low moving beneath into TX. Weakening high pressure over our region will allow for more moisture to move into the mountains, especially over the Continental Divide. Chances for afternoon convection will increase each afternoon, with PWATs indicating better chances for wetting rains over the higher terrain by this weekend. Steering flow will keep storms moving, albeit slowly, but in a more west direction, meaning that the plains and most of the southeast mountains will stay dry.

Late this week and into the weekend, the center of high pressure will reorganize somewhere around the Four Corners as an upper low moves into the Pacific Northwest. This will allow for some better moisture transport into the Continental Divide this weekend, with QPF potential and PWATs noticeably increasing for some areas. Will have to keep an eye on flash flood concerns throughout the next 7 days, possibly beyond, depending on how much moisture we get. Otherwise, temperatures decrease a few degrees on average over the area, but mostly steady, warm conditions near or above seasonal normals through this weekend.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1106 AM MDT Mon Jul 13 2026

VFR conditions are expected at KALS, KCOS, and KPUB through 24 hours. Though there will be some isolated to scattered storms over the mountains this afternoon, currently no impacts are expected at KCOS or KPUB. There is a low-end chance for some showers to move close to KALS, mainly producing some gusty outflow winds prior to 02Z or so. Winds will generally keep an E to SE component across the area tonight into early Tuesday, with some gusts this afternoon 20- 25 knots.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.