textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Scattered showers and thunderstorms into this evening, with fewer tomorrow.

- Drier and warmer conditions set in Friday and into the weekend. Best chance for daily showers will be over the mountains. Temperatures will remain above average.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 1239 PM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

A somewhat disorganized upper trough and low pressure system will pass through the region this afternoon and into tonight, continuing ongoing convection into the early evening before things dissipate. Overnight lows stay pretty mild tonight thanks to lingering low- level moisture, with mostly 50s for the eastern plains and high 30s to 40s for the valleys.

Shower and storm coverage looks lower on Thursday. As the previous trough pushes east, drier air will move in behind it out of the west, limiting us to some isolated-scattered showers in the afternoon, with a few thunderstorms mixed in. Best chances will be over and near the higher terrain, thanks to a mix of daytime heating and weak orographic lift, but with CAPE and shear both on the low side whatever forms shouldn't be very strong. Meanwhile, temperatures heat up a bit, with highs in the 80s-90s across the area, warmest out east over the plains.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/

Issued at 1239 PM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

More dry air moves into our region heading into Friday and this weekend, with a broad ridge building in over the region. For Friday, largely just afternoon mountain showers and a few thunderstorms with isolated to scattered coverage. Instability and shear look weak once again, with limited coverage and intensity. Precip chances increase slightly on Saturday as a disturbance translates south of our area, heading northeast throughout the day. Will see more scattered coverage for afternoon mountains showers/storms, with gusty winds, lightning, and some moderate to heavy rain potential. Sunday will be mostly dry across the region as upper ridging builds back in. Will have to keep an eye out for any developing critical fire weather conditions, but as of now winds generally appear too weak for any major concerns this far out. Meanwhile, temperatures will continue to warm this weekend, with the high valleys staying in the low-mid 80s while the eastern plains reach well into the 90s by Sunday.

Looking further ahead and into early next week, model solutions diverge a bit, but the general signal shows an upper low moving into the Pacific Northwest. Meanwhile, we remain beneath the upper ridge for a few more days, with the occasional disturbance bringing some daily shower and storm chances and above average temperatures.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1130 AM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

VFR conditions are generally expected at KALS, KCOS, and KPUB through 24 hours. Winds will mostly stay diurnally driven, outside of shower and storm influence. Showers will pass through the KALS area between 22-00Z, bringing variable gusts to 30 knots or so and brief periods of rain. For KCOS and KPUB, thunderstorms will move off of the terrain, pushing southeast into early evening. Storms are expected intermittently at KCOS for a few hours starting around 21Z, while confidence is lower at KPUB, so stuck with PROB30 for lower coverage in that area. Outflow gusts will be 30-35 knots with light to briefly moderate rainfall and lightning under any passing storms.

Winds weaken overnight and clouds lessen, with VFR expected into early Thursday.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.