textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Light to briefly moderate snow to continue along the Continental Divide tonight into Thursday, and a few sprinkles/flurries/snow showers are possible eastern mountains and Pikes Peak region Thursday afternoon

- Second storm system will bring another round of rain and snow showers to southern CO Friday into Saturday morning, with snow level remaining high, generally above 6500 feet

- Windy conditions early next week with the potential for more Continental Divide snow and high fire danger for the southeast plains Monday and Tuesday

SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 131 PM MST Wed Feb 11 2026

Snow has been slow to get going today over the mountains, though at mid-afternoon radar and obs suggest at least light snow falling along the Continental Divide. Window for best accumulations starts now and lasts through the night, before activity tapers off the flurries by Thursday afternoon. Amounts still don't look high enough for highlights, as NBM probabilities for 6 inches or more remain around 40 percent, and confined to the higher peaks of the Sawatch Range from Independence Pass northward, lighter amounts of 1-4 inches farther south. As wave passes through the region tonight and Thursday, eastern mountains and Pikes Peak region may see some spillover showers, though precip amounts look meager, and lower elevations may see more virga than anything given warm surface temps (50s/60s plains 40s/50s mountains/valleys).

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 131 PM MST Wed Feb 11 2026

Somewhat of a lull in precip Thu night/Fri morning, before upper low over California makes the turn and begins to push eastward through the Desert SW from Friday into Saturday. Precip reaches the ern San Juans by midday Fri, spreading slowly eastward over most of the high terrain/interior valleys Fri afternoon/evening. For the eastern mountains/I-25/southeast plains, best window for precip will be Friday night into Saturday morning, with precip lingering into Saturday afternoon along the the NM border into Baca County. In general, southern half of the area, south of Highway 50 continues to look most favored for significant precip (QPF 0.25-0.50 inches), heaviest may end up over the far southeast plains in Baca County as storm wraps up a bit and elongated trowal develops. Along and north of US50, QPF amounts a little more questionable, as at least a few models/ensemble members show very light precip of only a few hundredths at most, as storm track may be slightly too far south for significant precip here. System continues to look very warm, with snow level well above 7000 feet initially Friday afternoon, falling only very slowly to around 6500 feet Sat morning. Once precip ends Sat, temps shoot back up into the 50s/60s at most lower elevations, even warmer Sunday, with near 70f on the plains, and 50s/60s widespread elsewhere as upper ridge briefly rebuilds.

The weather pattern remains active into early next week with continued chances of snow for the Continental Divide. Temperatures warm back up as southwest flow increases ahead of another storm system moves on shore out west which ejects across CO during the Mon/Tue timeframe. This will be another warm and windy event for the plains with the potential for critical fire weather conditions, especially on Tuesday as the system crosses the mountains. We could be dealing with high wind or near high wind criteria across the plains Tue based on pattern recognition. Meanwhile, the Continental Divide should pick up more snow as southwest funnels Pacific moisture into the Continental Divide. Best orographic forcing should focus heavier amounts across the eastern San Juan mountains. There are still some timing/amplitude differences this far out and details are still murky, so trends will continue to be monitored closely.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 1011 PM MST Wed Feb 11 2026

VFR conditions through the next 24 hours at all three terminals (KALS, KCOS, KPUB). Periods of mid and high level clouds will be possible across the state. There is a low probability (<20%) for patchy low stratus around 6 kft at KPUB and KCOS around daybreak. Mozley

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.