textproduct: Pueblo
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Hard freeze most (but not all) of plains tonight.
- Warm dry weather most of plains into late week.
- Quite a bit of beneficial moisture for the Continental Divide (especially San Juans) during most of this period.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
Issued at 1250 PM MDT Fri Oct 16 2026
Main concern in the short term will be cold temperatures early tomorrow morning. Guidances continues to show temperatures falling into the upper 20s to lower 30s over nearly all of the plains. For this reason a Freeze Warning has been issued for the plains. With that said, some of the plains will likely stay above freezing as downslope flow is expected along the mtn/plains interface, and areas just immediately east of the mtns will likes stay above freezing. I should note that the San Luis Valley has had a hard freeze the last couple of night, and thus no more frost/freeze highlights will be issued for the SLV.
For tomorrow, it will start to warm up, and temperature will warm up into the lower 70s most of the plains, with 60s in the valleys. It will be dry across the region tomorrow.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Issued at 1250 PM MDT Fri Oct 16 2026
The good new in the long term forecast is we are likely to see quite a bit of precipitation during this period over the western sections of the forecast area, especially along the San Juan mountains. By Sunday, moisture will increase over the southwest US and push to the northeast. Showers will develop over the San Juans by late Sunday as a weak disturbance over the SW moves over the region. A more substantial trough is forecast to develop over the Pacific Northwest Monday and then slowly amplify and drop south-southeast through the week. This trough promises to bring much more substantial moisture to the San Juans by mid week. This troughiness is expected to continue over the region into next weekend.
For the remainder of the region, especially the plains, It will likely remain dry and unseasonably warm. Expect max temps on the plains to be in the 70s to around 80F during this period, which is about 15 degrees above normal for this time of the year. The best chance of some precip over the lower elevations will not occur until next weekend.
Although the ContDvd is likely to see quite a bit of precip, temps are unseasonably warm, so snow levels will likely be quite high, The best chance for substantial accumulating snow over most of the mtns will not occur until the trough is actually moving over the region, and this will not occur until mid to late week. \/Hodanish
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 1104 AM MDT Fri Oct 16 2026
VFR conditions are anticipated during the next 24 hours at all 3 taf sites, KPUB, KALS and KCOS. Surface Winds will be very light and diurnally driven.
PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 9 AM MDT Saturday for COZ083>089-093>099.
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