textproduct: Pueblo

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Clearing and warming throughout the day today with mostly sunny skies.

- Cooler temperatures expected for Tuesday and Wednesday.

- Dry weather with near to slightly warmer than normal temperatures are expected for Thanksgiving Day and for Friday as well.

- Increasing chances for a pattern change through the weekend, which will bring much cooler temperatures and chances for snow, especially for the mountains, but possibly for the plains as well.

UPDATE

Issued at 906 AM MST Mon Nov 24 2025

UPdated to expire the Freezing Fog Advisory for the San Luis Valley. Satellite imagery and area observations have shown improving conditions for much of the Valley. Areas of fog look to continue across northern portions of the valley where snow fell, through around 11 AM. Caution is encouraged for travelers that may encounter fog this morning. Mozley

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 302 AM MST Mon Nov 24 2025

Currently..

As of 1 AM, the circulation continues to push east towards the Colorado state line, and looks to be centered over Bent and Prowers County this hour. Light snow showers linger over the eastern mountains. Radar indicates light rain showers over portions of the eastern plains as well, with a heavier band still persisting over eastern El Paso County. This area may be seeing mixed precipitation as well. Temperatures are in the 30s over and near the mountains, with 40s for most of the plains. Dew points are also in the 40s on the plains, with 20s and 30s for the high country. Clearing is beginning from west to east, though lots of cloud cover remains over the area. It is difficult to see for sure through the mid-level cloud deck, but fog is likely forming in the San Luis Valley. Dewpoint depressions continue to drop.

Today and Tonight..

As mid-level clouds continue to clear over the San Luis Valley, fog is expected to form there early this morning. It is likely to clear around sun rise from the edges first. Models bring whats left of the low east of the state line by around 9 AM or so this morning at the latest, leaving us in northwesterly flow aloft for our Monday, though it becomes slightly more westerly throughout the day as a trough approaches through the northern Rockies. This will allow us to clear out and warm up nicely today, with highs returning to around 5 degrees or so above normal for much of the area. Temperatures look to climb into the mid 40s for mountain valleys and mid 50s to low 60s for our plains under mostly sunny skies. Winds look to remain breezy out of the north and northwest for the high country and across our far eastern plains, with gusts to around 25 mph possible. Winds will remain northerly but will weaken for other areas, eventually falling into normal diurnal patterns for the I-25 corridor later this afternoon. Overnight lows will be around 10 degrees cooler than last night, with temperatures dipping down into the teens for mountain valleys and mid 20s to low 30s for the plains. These temperatures are still a few degrees warmer than normal for this time of year.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 302 AM MST Mon Nov 24 2025

Tomorrow..

A cold frontal passage is expected early Tuesday, as a trough looks to pass to our north. Models push a low through the northern plains and into the Great Lakes region through mid-week, which keeps us in northwest flow aloft behind this cold front. For now, that looks to mean like a very minimal dusting of snow for the highest peaks of our central mountains for tonight and tomorrow, with dry weather expected for all other areas. High temperatures on Tuesday behind the front look to stay slightly cooler than normal for most, topping out in the mid to upper 40s on the plains, with low 40s for mountain valleys. Skies look to be mostly clear.

Tuesday Night and Wednesday..

Tuesday night looks to be one of the coldest nights we've seen so far this season, especially for our plains. The Lower Arkansas River Valley looks to cool down into teens, with low 20s elsewhere on the plains. Mountain valleys are likely to see lows in the low teens, which is typical for this time of year. The main difference between Tuesday and Wednesday is that our flow aloft becomes slightly more westerly as the northern low pushes east towards the Great Lakes, which will help to increase downsloping and warming a bit near the mountains. Temperatures will be a few degrees warmer, especially for our mountain adjacent plains, with highs in the low to mid 50s on Wednesday.

Thanksgiving Day and Friday..

Ridging builds back in across the region for Thursday and Friday, with highs returning to warmer than normal once again. Guidance is not nearing as extreme as our last warm spell though, and for now, highs are likely to remain in the 50s for our plains and 40s for our mountain valleys, which is only 5 to 10 degrees or so warmer than normal for most areas. Though precipitation is not expected though this period and the pattern will be dry overall, critical fire weather is not expected at this time. Humidity values look to stay 20% range or higher both afternoons, and winds look to stay weak as well under this pattern.

Saturday Onwards..

Models continue to favor the development of a trough out west through this weekend, though there seems to be little agreement about what it might do quite yet. Solutions have changed drastically in the past 24 hours, which suggests that there is a pattern change coming from Saturday onwards, but that the extent of our impacts are mostly still unknown at this stage. It does seem likely that we will see much cooler temperatures through the weekend, along with the potential for snow, especially for the high country, but possibly on the plains as well, as early as Saturday. Please come back for more details as the system gets closer in time and models come into more agreement about what impacts we should see here in southeast Colorado.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1013 AM MST Mon Nov 24 2025

KALS...VFR conditions through this evening with light winds. Fog is likely overnight into Tuesday morning with low VIS and reduced CIGS.

KCOS and KPUB...VFR conditions through much of the next 24 hours. A cold front will arrive Tuesday morning with northeasterly winds increasing to near 15 kts, along with some CIGS near 4 kft. Mozley

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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