textproduct: Pueblo

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Near normal temperatures and lots of sunshine expected today, with hardly any wind by springtime in Colorado standards.

- Winds increase across our southern plains on Monday, which has led to a Fire Weather Watch for Baca County. Fire danger increases in coverage on Wednesday.

- Off and on chances for showers and thunderstorms are expected next week, with highest chances for Thursday through Saturday.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 1258 AM MDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Ridging to our west weakens and flattens overhead today, leading to slightly increased westerly flow and a bit more downsloping. Temperatures look to be a few degrees warmer than yesterday for most locations, and still very near normal for this time of year. Highs look to climb into the 60s for our mountain valleys and the I-25 corridor, with low 70s across the far eastern plains. Skies will be mostly clear. Winds will be fairly light for most locations, though southerly gusts to around 25 mph may be possible across our southern plains. This may lead to brief, spotty, elevated fire weather conditions across southern Las Animas and southern Baca counties. At this time, conditions are not expected to be long-lived or widespread enough to warrant fire weather highlights. Precipitation is not expected across the forecast area today or tonight. Overnight lows look to drop to near normal ranges, with most of the plains cooling into the 30s and low 40s overnight, and mountain valleys dipping down into the 20s.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 1258 AM MDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Monday Through Wednesday..

Our flow aloft remains zonal for Monday, which will help to warm us up into the upper 60s for mountain valleys and middle to upper 70s across the plains. Humidity values in the low to mid teens are also likely, though winds look to remain fairly light for most areas. The most likely area to see persistent gusts to 25 mph will be over Baca County, where a Fire Weather Watch has been issued for Monday afternoon and evening. Prowers and Las Animas may needed to be added as well, but both were too marginal to be included at this time. On Tuesday, a weak wave passes to our south, spreading chances for showers, thunderstorms, and slightly cooler temperatures back across the area. Best chances for moisture look to stay over and near the mountains at this time. On Wednesday, a stronger system passes to our north, increasing westerly downsloping flow over our area. This will mean warmer than normal highs, with much of the plains shooting back up into the 80s. We'll also see increased chances for critical fire weather conditions, especially for the San Luis Valley and the I-25 corridor.

Thursday Onwards..

The northern plains low sends a cold front across our plains sometime Wednesday night into Thursday morning, which will help to cool us back down closer to seasonal norms and bring humidity values up slightly as well with easterly winds behind the frontal push. At this time, critical fire weather conditions look to persist over the San Luis Valley on Thursday, while thunderstorm chances increase over the plains. Thunderstorm chances increase further for Friday and Saturday as models bring a low onshore over California. This system will increase moist southwest flow aloft over Colorado, helping to improve out chances for snow over the high country, and rain and thunderstorms over the plains.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1052 PM MDT Sat Apr 4 2026

KCOS, KPUB, and KALS: VFR conditions are expected over the next 24 hours. Winds will continue to remain light and around and less than 10 knots through this TAF period. Beyond that, dry conditions with mostly clear skies continue through this TAF period.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Fire Weather Watch from Monday morning through Monday evening for COZ237.


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