textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Scattered showers and thunderstorms redevelop over the southeast plains, the Pikes Peak region and the central mountains today and this evening, with at least a few storms (a couple potentially strong) lingering well into the overnight hours tonight. - Warmer and drier Friday through the weekend, with just some isolated storms possible over mainly the mountains and far southeast plains Friday afternoon.

- Potential for a return of scattered showers and thunderstorms to the eastern mountains and southeast plains early next week, though confidence in the forecast past Sunday remains rather low.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 1223 AM MDT Thu May 28 2026

Still a few showers on the plains early this morning as upper low over sern CO continues to slowly lift northward, while farther west just some sprinkles and drizzle noted along I-25, where weak upslope was generating areas of stratus and very light precip. For today, upper low weakens as it lifts into nern CO by afternoon, though still enough moisture and lift for scattered showers and thunderstorms along the KS border through the day. Late this afternoon and overnight, most models have been consistent in developing an area of showers/thunderstorms over the central mountains and Pikes Peak region, with activity apparently forced by lift ahead of weak short wave moving northward out of NM late in the day. Storms could last well into the night in the Pikes Peak region as CAPE in the 500-1000 J/KG range lingers into the evening, before gradually ending after midnight. While new SWODY1 has marginal risk clipping Teller/El Paso/Pueblo counties, best forcing doesn't arrive until late evening, well after peak instability. Also some concern about lingering stratus limiting instability, plus 0-6km shear is rather marginal in the 20-30 kt range, Suppose we could see a stronger storm near the Palmer Divide toward evening, but rather low confidence at this point on severe given the above negative factors, though if we can clear quick enough, storms could be stronger than currently forecast. Clouds over eastern mountains and plains this morning will gradually break this afternoon, though max temps will still remain slightly below seasonal averages.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1223 AM MDT Thu May 28 2026

Upper low slips into the Great Basin Friday, with increasing sw flow across CO. Pattern in general looks drier and warmer across the region, though perhaps just enough low level moisture lingers for some isolated/weak storms over the eastern plains in the afternoon. Saturday and Sunday look even warmer and drier, as upper low lifts into the nrn Rockies and dry w-sw flow aloft persists over srn CO. Max temps both days will climb back to above seasonal averages, while pockets of gusty sw winds develop (especially across the San Luis Valley) in the afternoon.

Still a weak trend toward slightly cooler and potentially wetter weather early next week, as cold front eventually drops south through the area and upslope flow replenishes low level moisture over the eastern mountains and plains. Still a rather low confidence forecast however, as most models are struggling with the timing and location of various weak short waves rotating through the main wrn trough.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 529 AM MDT Thu May 28 2026

Conditions will remain VFR at KALS today with southerly winds increasing at 10-15 kts in the afternoon. Convective cloudiness will spread over the terminal in the late afternoon and evening but cigs will remain VFR and chances of -SHRA are too low to depict in TAF.

KPUB and KCOS will see IFR cigs and MVFR to VFR vis in fog through 16 to 17z before cigs lift and clouds decrease between 18-21z. KCOS will see MVFR cloud cover persist the longest in that time range. Showers and thunderstorms will develop over the mountains in the late afternoon and evening and could push off the mountains and affect the KCOS terminal after 23z and KPUB after 00z. Cigs will lower at both terminals again after 07z with the potential for IFR to even LIFR cigs/vis in fog returning overnight, especially for KCOS. -KT

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.