textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Cloudy and cool the rest of today over the plains, dry in the mountains.

- Warmer and drier conditions set in Thursday and Friday, with a few storms possible over the plains.

- Drier and warmer still this weekend, with an uncertain pattern setup into early next week.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 1251 PM MDT Wed May 27 2026

Closed upper low continues to spin over the CA area, giving us some brisk southerly flow aloft and pushing showers through our area. Through the rest of today, showers and thunderstorms will continue across the plains, pushing north through later this evening. Widespread cloud cover has kept things relatively stable, so we'll be looking at more stratiform precip with some embedded thunder. Best chance for higher instability will be further east around the CO/KS border, where some more discrete thunderstorms will be possible through late afternoon. Even then, a general lack of shear will keep things from intensifying too much, with main impacts being locally heavy rainfall and lightning.

Tonight, cool and mild with lows in the 40s-50s out east and in the high-30s to low-40s over the valleys. Some showers will linger over the plains, slowly dissipating into tomorrow morning as drier air works its way into our region.

Thursday will be noticeably warmer, with highs in the 70s to near 80 over most of our CWA. The main circulation around the upper low will start encroaching into west CO, giving us some slightly better synoptic lift and stronger flow aloft. That being said, conditions will be much drier, greatly limiting the coverage of any precip we see. As of now, only expecting a few isolated to scattered showers over the mountains in the afternoon, thanks to better heating and some orographic support, and a few scattered showers and thunderstorms over the eastern plains. Better moisture will be available in KS, so our best chance for any thunder tomorrow will be close to the state border.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/

Issued at 1251 PM MDT Wed May 27 2026

The low continues slowly pushing east on Friday and into this weekend. Dry air will continue funneling into the mountains as well, dwindling precip chances further. Still expecting a few scattered showers and weak storms in the afternoon, but generally just over the mountains thanks to heating and some orographic support. Some more moisture is expected to linger out near the KS border once again, but recent model trends have cut back on POPs a bit, with the better chance for convection east of our area. Even so, a few isolated afternoon thunderstorms will still be possible. High temperatures will be a bit warmer than Thursday, with 70s over the valleys and higher terrain and mostly low-mid 80s over the eastern plains.

Latest model trends continue to show warm and dry conditions setting in this weekend. Temperatures will climb a few more degrees, with near-zero POPs over most of our CWA. Flow aloft will turn more westerly as the upper low dodges north of us, pushing most of the moisture out of our area. A weak cold front will move through the plains sometime on Sunday, bringing some relatively moist upslope and more chances for isolated-scattered showers and storms. General model trends indicate an uptick in activity heading into next week, though with how inconsistent the data has been the last few days with that time period, confidence is still low in the timing and coverage of any potential precipitation.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1112 AM MDT Wed May 27 2026

KALS: MVFR clouds will last through the day and into tonight as showers move through the area. Currently, no precip is expected at the terminal. Winds remain out of the southeast into tonight, with clearing clouds and weak flow into Thursday.

KCOS and KPUB: MVFR to IFR conditions will persist through most of the period. Widespread rain showers will continue on and off across the area, with a few embedded thunderstorms possible. If thunderstorms do pass over the terminals, brief periods of erratic and gusty outflow to around 30 knots will be possible. Otherwise, rain showers will bring persistent low clouds and periods of lower vis due to mist and IFR cigs. Southeast upslope winds will keep MVFR present well into Thursday as well.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.