textproduct: Pueblo

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Critical fire weather conditions expected over the next several days.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 113 AM MDT Sun Jun 28 2026

Today and Tonight: Alrighty we're starting to get to the "sounding like a broken record" part of the forecast, with little change in the expected pattern. Dry southwesterly flow will remain in place over south central and southeastern Colorado through Sunday. With the increased flow, another day of windy conditions is expected, particularly during the afternoon hours when diurnal mixing becomes established. Widespread wind gusts of 30-50 mph are expected, with the strongest winds across the mountains and within the San Luis Valley. Along with that, given the drier and warmer air, humidity values are anticipated to tank to around and less than 10% for most areas outside of the mountains, where values will still be between 15-25%. With the dry and windy conditions, another day of areawide critical fire weather conditions is expected, though again with greatest concern along and west of the I-25 corridor, where less rain was observed the previous week. Even with all of that said, fire weather conditions will be dangerous regardless of location, and steps should be taken to avoid starting a wildfire across all of south central and southeastern Colorado. Beyond that, another day of above seasonal temperatures and mostly clear skies is anticipated. For highs, the plains will be in the mid 90s to low 100s, the valleys in the 80s to low 90s, and the mountains in the 50s and 70s. For lows, another mild and warm night is expected given weak downsloping winds, with the plains in the 60s, the valleys in the 40s to mid 50s, and the mountains in the 30s and 40s.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 113 AM MDT Sun Jun 28 2026

Monday - Saturday: And for the rest of the forecast period, not much change from previous forecast. Dry southwesterly flow will persist across south central and southeastern Colorado. This pattern will continue to bring gusty afternoon winds and dry air and low humidity values. Given that, critical fire weather conditions are expected to continue across the area, with greatest coverage west of the I-25 corridor where winds will be breeziest. With that all said, there are hints in ensemble guidance of a pattern change starting to take place Saturday as the stronger flow is pushes further to north and northwest. With that, critical fire weather conditions would be expected to start to lessen with less wind across the region. Otherwise, while an isolated shower or thunderstorm can't be ruled out this week, dry conditions are expected to prevail. If a thunderstorm were to develop, dry lightning would also become a concern for the region. The day that may bring a change in precipitation chances could be Saturday with the pattern chance. There is potential for better moisture to start advecting this way, which would start to increase appreciable precipitation chances. Details are still fuzzy on this though at this time, and details will become more clear over the next several days. Outside of that, more above seasonal temperatures and mostly clear days are expected.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1039 PM MDT Sat Jun 27 2026

VFR conditions are expected at KALS, KCOS, and KPUB through 24 hours. Gusts will back off slightly into the early hours of tomorrow morning, before quickly picking back up to 35-40 knots by early afternoon. These gusts will last past 00Z before weakening, however winds will still remain breezy through the end of this forecast period.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Red Flag Warning from 11 AM this morning to 9 PM MDT this evening for COZ220>222-224-225-228>230. Fire Weather Watch from Monday morning through Monday evening for COZ220>225-227>230.


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