textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- One more day of organized heavy rain activity, flash flooding likely over parts of the region.

- Drier THU/FRI/SAT, then hot SUN, MON

- Rain chances increase and possibly cooler stating TUE

SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 1227 PM MDT Wed Jul 29 2026

Flash flooding once again will be a threat today. Perusing HREF guidance overall best chance of flash flooding today will be over EL Paso county, as numerous high rest product show substantial QPF moving over this region late this afternoon and especially early this evening. Additionally, this area got quite a bit of rain yesterday and flash flooding did occur over the eastern parts of the county.

Another area will be the Aspen Acres (AA) burn scar region. Quite a bit of rain has fallen over the scar yesterday and any additional rain will quickly run off. However, confidence is not as high as yesterday as qpf forecasted for later this afternoon was not as high as yesterday. However, one small storm producing heavy rain could cause significant problems over the AA region. The best chance for heavier rain over the AA burn scar will be from 4 to 7 pm per latest guidance.

Storms will once again roll slowly across the plains bringing beneficial rain to the lower elevations, with the activity expected to be over the KS/CO border area around midnight.

Of interest, guidance brings another round of showers and storms across the central mtns late this evening into the early morning hours.

Tomorrow, it will be much drier over the region, however we will see a few storms over the plains later tomorrow afternoon and evening. Flash flood threat will be much lower tomorrow, however any rain on a burn scar could be problematic. During the evening, a weak boundary will move across the region, and this may keep the scattered storms ongoing into the early AM hours of Friday. A few of the storms Thursday could be strong as there will be some shear on this day.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/

Issued at 1227 PM MDT Wed Jul 29 2026

Friday.... Some drier air will come down on the plains, and drier air is noted moving into the central mtn area. Likewise, these areas will see little if any precip. However, areas along the mtns/plains interface will see the best instability and moisture, and we may see a localized area of higher pops along the mtn/plains interface, with the best chance across the southern Sangres. Additionally, the AA burn scar will have a chance of some localized heavy convective precip.

Saturday will be similar to Friday, but the precip chances this day will be best over the far southern Sangre De Cristo region.

Of note, temps FRI and SAT, temps on the plains wont be too bad, mainly 90s lower/mid 90s with U80s El Paso county.

For SUN and MON, 100s return to most of the plains with M90s El Paso county. Any storms will be isolated and high based.

Tuesday it will cool off once again with storms in the mtns and isolated on the plains.

WED will be drier with less storms. \/Hodanish

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1118 AM MDT Wed Jul 29 2026

Thunderstorms will once again be likely at KCOS and KPUB late this afternoon and especially this evening. Brief periods of heavy rain and strong gusty outflow winds will be likely with the storms. Otherwise expect VFR conditions and diurnal wind flow outside of the convective activity.

KALS will also have a chance of brief thunder activity late this afternoon and early evening.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Flood Watch until 9 PM MDT this evening for COZ074>078-081>085- 087>089-093>096. Flash Flood Watch until 9 PM MDT this evening for COZ079-080- 086.