textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Period of dry and very warm weather on tap from Thursday through Monday of next week.

- Cooler and potentially wetter weather starts to makes a return next Tuesday Tuesday.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/

Issued at 222 PM MST Wed Feb 4 2026

Upper ridge builds tonight and Thursday, as main upper jet shifts well east of the region. Still just enough downslope flow overnight to keep east slopes near/above freezing, with seasonably cool mins elsewhere. On Thu, temps soar as mid- level temps and heights rise, while modest downslope gradient develops by afternoon. NBM max temps seemed a little too cool given temps of 2-5c at 700h, so nudged areas upward a few degf toward the higher end of the guidance envelope. Weak surface surge on the plains possible on Friday, as surface high pressure builds into the upper Midwest. While vast majority of cold air will remain well east, switch to easterly surface winds may put just a brief lid on the warming trend east of I-25, where Fri maxes could end up near/just slightly cooler than Thu. Farther west over the mountains and interior valleys, maxes will likely end up a few degf warmer than Thu as mid level temps rise under the ridge.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 302 AM MST Wed Feb 4 2026

Friday Night - Tuesday. Through much of the rest of the long term period, relatively quiet weather remains for south central and southeastern Colorado, though with a pattern break likely early next week. Broader ridging will remain in place through Monday, keeping descent, and therefore dry conditions, in place. With that said, a cut-off low will develop to the southwest of the area during the weekend period. While uncertainty exist in how much this feature will influence the area, confidence is medium-high (50-60%) in this feature staying to the southwest and south of the area given good agreement between ensemble model guidance. This means minimal influence from this feature, though it may glance by the area enough Saturday to bring isolated light mountain snow showers. Then as alluded to, during the Tuesday timeframe, a pattern break is likely as the ridge breaks down and more troughing develops, bringing increased precipitation chances to south central and southeastern Colorado, especially along the mountains. Beyond all of that, mostly clear to partly cloud skies are expected, with increasing clouds Tuesday, with relatively light winds through Monday, and increasing winds also Tuesday. Looking at temperatures, the above seasonal values trend continues through Monday, with a slight cool down returning Tuesday as the more unsettled pattern arrives.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 406 PM MST Wed Feb 4 2026

VFR conditions anticipated across the forecast area over the next 24 hrs, including the three main TAF sites of KCOS, KPUB and KALS. Surface winds will be generally light under 10 kts and diurnal in direction.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.