textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Above seasonal temperatures through the end of the week.

- Isolated to scattered afternoon showers and possible thunderstorms over and near the higher terrain, with the best coverage Tuesday and Wednesday.

- Increasing confidence in breezy to windy conditions developing through the tail end of the weekend, along with mainly mountain precipitation and cooler temperatures into early next week.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 129 PM MDT Mon Oct 5 2026

Current water vapor imagery and upper air analysis has a rather amorphous pattern in place across the region, with large upper level ridging across the southern High Plains into the Desert Southwest and Great Basin, with more zonal flow in place across the Pacific Northwest Coast through the Northern Tier at this time. Water vapor imagery also indicates a weakening circulation translating across northern California, with GOES blended total water vapor imagery indicating a slight bump in available moisture across the Great Basin region at this time. Visible satellite data indicating clouds building over the higher terrain, with temperatures well into the 70s across the plains as of noon, and readings mainly in the 50s and 60s across the higher terrain.

Models remain in decent agreement of through Wednesday, as said weak Northern California disturbance continues to translate through the amorphous ridge across the Great Basin, Rockies and into the southern High Plains. This keeps warm temperatures and weak flow aloft across the region through the middle of the week, with the bump in available moisture helping to generate scattered afternoon showers and possible thunderstorms over and near the higher terrain. Near record temperatures in the mid to upper 80s across the plains will be possible, with the best chances besting a record high being at COS on Tuesday, with the current record for October 6th only 82F set in 1993 and again in 2007.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/

Issued at 129 PM MDT Mon Oct 5 2026

Slightly cooler, but still above seasonal temperatures remain in the offing from Thursday into Saturday, as upper level ridging rebuilds across the Rockies ahead of stout upper trough digging across the Pacific Northwest. There will be enough residual moisture to support more isolated afternoon showers over the higher terrain through this period.

By Sunday, models indicate said Pac Northwest system digging into the Great Basin, with increasing southwest flow aloft leading to breezy to possibly windy conditions over and near the higher terrain. This normally would indicate potential fire weather concerns, however, latest fuels updates are coming in non-critical at this time. Increasing moisture within the increasing flow aloft brings increasing chances of precipitation to areas over and near the Continental Divide later Sunday into Monday, with strong west to southwest flow continuing across the Rockies Tuesday and possibly into Wednesday, as the system translates into the Central High Plains. This would spread precipitation chances and cooler temperatures across south central and southeast Colorado Monday night and Tuesday, with the potential for severe weather across the far southeast plains Tuesday, dependent on the movement of secondary energy digging down the back side of the system. While model differences remain on timing and location of this stronger system, cooler and more unsettled weather remains in the offing across south central and southeast Colorado for early next week.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1111 PM MDT Mon Oct 5 2026

VFR conditions are anticipated during the next 24 hours at all 3 taf sites, KPUB, KALS and KCOS. Surface Winds will be light and diurnally driven.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.