textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Severe thunderstorms likely on the plains TODAY and TOMORROW.

- RED FLAG Warnings in effect over parts of the region today and tomorrow.

- Showers and Thunderstorms likely over the plains this upcoming week, some strong.

- Critical fire weather conditions possible over the higher terrain this upcoming week.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 107 PM MDT Sat Jun 20 2026

For today, severe storms will be likely over the far eastern plains. latest hi rez guidance shows the greatest potential for severe storms over the Baca county region. However, the atmosphere will be quite conducive for severe thunderstorm activity anywhere generally 20-30 miles east of the I-25 corridor region. The primary threats will be large damaging hail and damaging winds, although a tornado can not be ruled out.

Critical fire weather conditons are likely over a large part of the region today, and several stations were already reaching red flag criteria early this afternoon.

Based on latest guidance, the convection should be out of the region by early this evening. The Red Flag conditions may linger well into the evening hours.

Otherwise, it will be hot today regionwide, and 100F readings are likely over parts of the plains with 90s over the remainder of the plains. 80s to around 90 valleys.

Tomorrow will be a repeat of today although the magnitude of the activity will be less. Additionally, it will be several degrees cooler than today. As for severe, SPC now has a good part of the plains under marginal risk tomorrow with slight over the far eastern plains. Red Flag conditions will be possible mainly over the interior mountains, the San Luis valley and Fremont county.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/

Issued at 107 PM MDT Sat Jun 20 2026

Main issued from Monday into late week will be the threat for strong to severe storms over the plains. A favorable upslope pattern will develop and several mid level disturbances in the northwesterly flow aloft will move over the region. Shear and CAPE will be favorable for rotating storms, and expect we may see a few days of severe storms over the plains. With the NW flow, any supercells that develop will have a tendency to turn to the right of the mean flow and this may put the urban corridor cities under the gun for severe storms during this period.

Over the interior mtns and valleys, it will remain hot and dry. Winds will likely be strong enough to warrant red flag conditions and expect we may see several days of fire weather highlights over the higher terrain this upcoming week,

By late week, winds aloft are expected to become weak, and this will decrease the critical fire weather danger over the higher terrain. Additionally, we will start to dry out over the plains and this will decrease the amount of strength of convection over the lower elevations. Temperatures will also warm up quite a bit by the end of the week. \/Hodanish

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1124 AM MDT Sat Jun 20 2026

VFR conditions are anticipated during the next 24 hours at all 3 taf sites, KPUB, KALS and KCOS.

Gusty south to southwest winds are expected this afternoon at all 3 taf sites, decreasing to diurnally driven by this evening.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 107 PM MDT Sat Jun 20 2026

Red Flag warnings are in effect for most of the region today, and mainly for the interior mountains and valleys for tomorrow.

Monday through Thursday: Dry, warm conditions will last throughout most of next week. Critical conditions are expected each day across the higher terrain, with low RH values and frequently gusty winds during the afternoons. At this time, no precipitation is expected over the mountains this week.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Red Flag Warning until 10 PM MDT this evening for COZ220>225- 227>233. Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 10 PM MDT Sunday for COZ220- 222>224.