textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Warmer temperatures return with elevated fire weather conditions increasing this weekend into next week as fuels dry out again

SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/

Issued at 1256 PM MDT Thu May 7 2026

Northwest flow remains over the area for Friday with heights aloft rising as the western U.S. upper ridge nudges eastward. This should bring continued warming to the area with highs in the 70s across the plains, 60s to lower 70s across the valleys, and 40s and 50s for the mountains...with higher peaks staying in the mid to upper 30s until we lose our recent snowpack. The forecast will remain dry with some passing cloudiness at times. Some cumulus build ups will be possible in the afternoons, but chances of any precipitation look nil. Winds remain low enough and humidity values high enough to negate any critical fire weather concerns. Recent fuel conditions across most mountain zones have been deemed not critical which is a nice reprieve. -KT

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1256 PM MDT Thu May 7 2026

Next trough in northwest flow drops in for late Saturday. Saturday will be another unseasonably warm day with winds on the increase ahead of this system. This raises concerns for critical fire weather conditions across northern portions of the district Sat afternoon. Fuels in and near the mountains are no longer in critical status thanks to the last couple storms, so fire weather highlights do not look necessary at this time, though we may quickly erase our recent moisture gains.

As this upper trough passes, a cold front will move through the southeast plains bringing a chance for showers to the eastern portions of the district. The upper wave dampens out as it passes to the north and east and forcing looks weak...but it will bring some low clouds and perhaps some sprinkles to eastern slopes of the southeast mountains overnight Sunday into Sunday morning due to upslope flow. Temperatures drop back down to near normal across the plains but remain above normal west of the mountains where there front will have little/no influence.

Ridging returns for next week along with unseasonably warm temperatures and increasing fire weather concerns. Flow aloft doesn't look all that substantial, but there could be some marginal critical fire weather days on Monday, and again Wednesday and Thursday as lee troughing redevelops. Temperatures will climb back into the 90s across the southeast plains for Monday before cooling getting knocked back a few degrees for Tuesday behind another wave/cold front. Temperatures pop right back up into the 90s again for Wednesday. Eventually a more active southern stream brings some increasing moisture to the area for late next week with chances for showers and thunderstorms increasing, especially over the mountains. Systems look pretty weak and any precipitation will be spotty and/or light. -KT

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 1125 AM MDT Thu May 7 2026

VFR conditions expected over the next 24 hours. West winds will remain gusty at KPUB for another hour before becoming light and southeasterly. Otherwise, expect diurnally driven winds at all three terminals with speeds under 15 kts under variable mid/high cloudiness.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.