textproduct: Pueblo

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Critical Fire Weather concerns today due to very, strong winds and low humidities.

- Isolated to scattered high based showers and storms Tuesday afternoon, with potential for a strong/severe storm across the far SE plains.

- Warm, above average high temperatures expected Wednesday before a slight cooling Thursday.

UPDATE

Issued at 557 PM MDT Tue Jun 9 2026

Quick update to take down the Severe Thunderstorm Watch for the plains and Blowing Dust Advisory for the San Luis Valley. Winds will stay up for a couple more hours before decreasing across the mountains and adjacent plains. Far east plains may see gusts up to 40 mph into the overnight hours until the surface trough axis pushes east as the upper wave to the north ejects into the northern and central plains.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 201 PM MDT Tue Jun 9 2026

Southwest flow is dominating across the region today. Moist air is being advected away away from the area, decreasing surface humidities. This drier air will increase its temperature through daytime heating creating a well mixed layer up to the LCL where the air can tap into 500-1000j/kg of CAPE. A fairly deep moist layer aloft with above normal PWAT values increases the likelihood of intense precipitation with these storms. The evaporative cooling of these storms is shown by DCAPE values currently sitting between 1000- 1800J/kg from the foothills towards the eastern plains. These storms will have the ability to create outflow winds of up to 60-80mph through the afternoon. SPC has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for eastern counties. Besides the winds, small hail is possible if updrafts are strong enough. Dry lightning is possible, increasing the threat for wildfire starts.

Elsewhere, the previously mentioned SE flow will be enhanced by terrain. Ridgetops and channeled valleys will experience the bulk of the winds through the day. Already dry air will become even drier to to foehn process along the foothills. Critical wind speeds up to 50- 60mph will be present with humidities in the low teens. Fire districts towards the east will have less threats from foehn winds but a higher threat of strong outflow/downburst winds from high- based storms and maybe even some dry lighting.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/

Issued at 201 PM MDT Tue Jun 9 2026

Drier air, slightly weaker winds, and less chances for storms are expect Wednesday through the remainder of the work week. Temperatures will peak Wednesday, possibly reaching 95-100F in the hottest spots. Colorado Springs is more likely to hit the low 90s. A weak cold front arrives to the area Thursday slightly decreasing temperatures into the weekend. Slight warming is expected Friday and Saturday before an even strong cooling trend takes effect Sunday into the weekend with unsettled weather and the increased possibility for wetting rain across the forecast area.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 518 PM MDT Tue Jun 9 2026

Gusty, convectively driven winds from old thunderstorm outflows will continue through the evening. VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period. Light winds tonight will build tomorrow into strong, gusty westerly for terminals near terrain. At ALS, winds have the potential to kick up dust within the valley, increasing the likelihood of degraded visibilities during the hours of peak wind Wednesday afternoon. Confidence on this is low to moderate in nature and a TEMPO has been added to account for the 50% chance.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 8 PM MDT Wednesday for COZ222>224-229-230-234>236. Red Flag Warning until 8 PM MDT this evening for COZ222-224- 228>231-235.


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