textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Warm dry weather most of plains through late week.

- Quite a bit of beneficial moisture for the Continental Divide (especially San Juans) during the latter part of this period.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 1234 PM MDT Sat Oct 17 2026

Weather will be clear and dry the rest of today and most of tonight. Late tonight and into tomorrow, a disturbance over the SW CONUS will continue to progress east and we should see clouds begin to increase from the southwest. Tomorrow we should see partly to mostly sunny conditions over the region, with more clouds over the southwest part of the CWA. We may even see a shower over the San Juans towards sunset tomorrow. Temps will be quite nice tomorrow with 70s plains around 60 in the San Luis Valley.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

Issued at 1234 PM MDT Sat Oct 17 2026

For the CONTDVD region, especially the SW mountains...

It still is looking quite wet over the southwest mountains during the long term forecast period. Persistent moist southwest flow is going to evolve through the period. The first round of precip will start Sunday night and last into early Tuesday. This precip ia associated with the first shortwave moving across the SW mtn region. This system is rather warm and there is not too much forcing with it, so only expect light rain showers (with very high elevation snow showers). A much more substantial trough will evolve along the Pacific west coast and eventually move over the SW mtn region by late week. Precip with this 2nd more significant system will enter the SW mtns late Wednesday and likely last into the weekend. Precip with this 2nd system is likely to be substantial, and we are going to have to be concerned with flooding over the San Juans with this system. The San Juan river basin has been running quite high from the previous storm and the grounds across this region are already saturated, so it is not going to take too much precip for potential flooding problems. Of interest, the National 0-7 day WPC QPF chart issued at 10:29 UTC Saturday shows that the greatest amount of precip to fall over CONUS during the next 7 days will fall over the greater San Juan mountains of Colorado (to be fair, some hefty QPF amounts are also expected over the Outer Banks of NC and far south Florida also). 3-4" of liquid precip are expected. As for snow, I don't think we will see impactful snow until the trough (and associated colder air) gets closer towards the weekend time period.

For the plains...

A weak boundary will push through Sunday night and this will cool down the plains few degrees for Monday. Expect mainly max temps in the 65-70 degree range this day with mostly partly sunny skies.

For the rest of the week, warming up with temps mainly in the 70s through the period and it will likely be dry.

For next Saturday, we should cool down as the trough moves overhead and we may (or may not) see some showers over the lower elevations.

Overall, it is going to be a very nice week over the lower elevations.

For the Valleys and mtns adjacent to the plains...

Can't rule out some spotty shower from Sunday night into mid week. A much better chance of showers will develop by later Wednesday and last into Saturday. \/Hodanish

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1115 AM MDT Sat Oct 17 2026

VFR conditions are anticipated during the next 24 hours at all 3 taf sites, KPUB, KALS and KCOS. Surface Winds will be quite light and diurnally driven.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.