textproduct: Pueblo

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Heat advisory remains in effect through 8pm today (Monday).

- Moisture increases Tuesday, with showers and storms becoming more widespread Weds through the weekend. Flash flooding risk increases as well for burn scar areas.

- Temperatures will remain hot throughout the week.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/

Issued at 1249 PM MDT Mon Jul 20 2026

High pressure will continue dominating the region through the rest of this afternoon, with near-record temperatures for several areas. Heat Advisory remains through 8pm for El Paso and Fremont Counties. Meanwhile, still expecting isolated showers and thunderstorms over the Continental Divide into this evening, with the main concern being any heavy rain over the Willow fire.

On Tuesday, the upper high will shift east slightly as a trough passes into the Great Lakes, dropping a weak cold front down over the plains by late morning. Moisture east of the mountains will slowly start increasing, with scattered showers and storms expected over the peaks of the mountains and the Pikes Peak Region, with lower but non-zero chances over the rest of the high valleys and I- 25, while the far eastern plains still remain mostly dry. Temperatures will be similarly hot to today, with 90s to low-100s over most of the area.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 1249 PM MDT Mon Jul 20 2026

Wednesday will mostly be a transition day. Temperatures will remain hot across the region, similar to Mon-Tues, but with quickly increasing moisture as a shortwave passes by our area aloft. Convection will become more widespread Wednesday afternoon, increasing in coverage over all of our higher terrain. By evening into Weds Night, another front will come down, spreading showers and thunderstorms to the eastern plains as well. These conditions will last through Friday. Chances for heavy rainfall and flash flooding will continue to increase, and burn scars will need to be monitored closely alongside any other vulnerable areas.

Moving into this weekend, forecast remains on track with previous model runs. Moisture appears to remain trapped under the high pressure, recirculating each day and continuing chances for daily showers and storms. Though most of the activity will still be over the mountains, NBM does keep isolated to low-end scattered pops over I-25 and some of the adjacent plains as well.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1117 AM MDT Mon Jul 20 2026

VFR conditions are expected at KALS, KCOS, and KPUB through 24 hours. Breezy southeast winds are expected through this afternoon across the terminals, with gusts 20-25 knots. Currently, though isolated convection is expected over the mountains, no impacts are expected at the terminals. Winds lighten overnight and become more diurnally driven.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Heat Advisory until 8 PM MDT this evening for COZ083>085.


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