textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Fire Weather concerns and hazards exist for the area through midweek - Thunderstorms are possible this evening for the eastern plains and near the Palmer Divide

- Warm, above average temperatures continue through midweek

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/

Issued at 436 PM MDT Mon Jun 8 2026

Storms are the main threat for the plains today. A dryline boundary has set up across the area with storms developing already. CAPE of 1000-2000j/kg and shear 40-50kts are currently predicted by high- resolution models. The Palmer Divide is the initiation point for early afternoons storms before they drive off the NE. Models are showing a surge of moisture pushing back to the mountains late tonight. This surge of moisture will decrease instability increasing the threat of storms for El Paso Co. late tonight. Fire weather concerns will be confined to the mountains and foothills within the dry air today as single digit RHs and gusty winds continue. Even though slightly more moist air will be present, conditions expand tomorrow due to critical winds up to 35-45mph from the SW. Conditions will be mostly critical for areas exposed to the winds.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/

Issued at 436 PM MDT Mon Jun 8 2026

Entering Wednesday, drier air will dominate. This will increase the fire weather concerns for more of the area. Relative Humidities will drop back into the teens as SW winds continue. Forecast confidence is growing on the strength of the winds, yet as of now, gusts of 30-40 are likely with gusts up to 50mph possible at exposed ridgetops and channeled terrain. Fire weather products have been hoisted for parts of the district with updates to come within the next few forecasts.

A change in the wind regime will cause slightly cooler temperatures and increased RH values. Synoptic forcing will send moisture into the area, increasing the likelihood for a return of storms into the weekend after a few days of dry conditions Wednesday and Thursday.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 525 PM MDT Mon Jun 8 2026

KCOS and KPUB... Storms this evening will stay to the north and east of the KCOS and KPUB terminals but as outflow is expected to surge westward bringing a wind shift from the northeast to east with gusts to around 30-40 kts. Moisture will increase behind this surge and there is a small chance that thunderstorms will fire across the Pikes Peak region or west of Pueblo in the mid to late evening. Confidence is low in this scenario, so there is no thunder in either TAFs in the 03z-06z timeframe. Updates may be needed as we resolve the timing of the westward moving outflow. Stratus in the morning will be dependent on the details of this outflow but looks more likely (50% confidence) at KCOS, and a little more uncertain (30% confidence for PUB. Have a tempo group for MVFR cigs in PUB from 11z-14z. Have a prevailing MVFR cigs group after 06z at KCOS though if moisture returns westward fast enough there is a low end chance cigs could become IFR. Low clouds will be quick to mix out of both KCOS and KPUB Tue morning as strong southwesterlies pick up before 18z.

KALS...Gusty southwest winds will gradually decrease towards 02z though will remain elevated from a southerly direction overnight. Winds will pick up from the southwest by mid morning with gusts up to 40 kts by afternoon. -KT

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Fire Weather Watch from Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday evening for COZ222>224-228>231-234>236. Red Flag Warning until 7 PM MDT this evening for COZ222-228- 229. Red Flag Warning from noon to 7 PM MDT Tuesday for COZ222- 228>231-235.