textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Flash flood concerns will continue over the burn scars and higher terrain into next week.

- Temperatures will remain hot across the region, hotter this weekend into early next week before cooling down slightly.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 1235 AM MDT Fri Jul 24 2026

Slightly less active today, but still overall wet for large portions of our area. The upper high will settle in over the Four Corners Region, kicking the monsoon plume slightly to the west. However, plenty of leftover low-level moisture will remain in place. This combined with very weak flow aloft, will allow for another round of afternoon showers and storms. Convection will mainly stay over the mountains today, with a more stable airmass in place over the eastern plains and a general lack of forcing keeping things largely dry there. For the mountains, storm motions will be slow, meaning that pockets of moderate to heavy rainfall will pose yet another day of flash flood risk over our burn scars and other vulnerable areas. Meanwhile, high temperatures will continue to be warm, with most of the eastern plains approaching or slightly exceeding 100 degrees.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 1235 AM MDT Fri Jul 24 2026

Saturday-Sunday...

Forecast remains on track for this weekend. The upper high will persist overhead, leading to weakened flow aloft and a general lack of any large-scale forcing. Recycled monsoon moisture beneath the high will allow for continued afternoon showers and thunderstorms, though activity will be confined to the higher terrain. Heavy rainfall and flash flooding will continue to be our primary concern, mainly over burn scar areas. Meanwhile, the eastern plains will remain dry and hot, with high temps increasing above 100 degrees.

Next Week...

Not much change to the long-range forecast at this time. The broad area of high pressure will remain over Colorado and the surrounding states, allowing for more hot temperatures and daily rounds of showers and thunderstorms, thanks to recycling monsoon moisture. Flash flooding will continue to be a primary concern for the burn scars, while the eastern plains will continue to see triple-digit highs for a few more days. Precip coverage will be an upcoming forecast challenge, as long-range guidance has a few weak disturbances passing around the high throughout the week. These could send some weak fronts down across the eastern plains, spreading precip chances over the rest of our CWA for a few afternoons. Will have to wait and see whether the timing of these disturbances remains consistent in later model runs. With the increased chance for widespread precipitation, temperatures may actually decrease a few degrees, bringing us firmly back into the double digits (but it'll still be hot).

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1023 PM MDT Thu Jul 23 2026

Any lingering showers at the beginning of the TAF period should quickly diminish by 07-08z with clearing skies and light winds overnight. Another round of showers and thunderstorms will develop over the mountains in the afternoon but will have a harder time pushing off into the adjacent plains. KPUB and KCOS will stay dry, but may see some increasing mid/high cloudiness during the late afternoon and evening from thunderstorm debris cloudiness over the mountains. KALS will see a better chance of showers and thunderstorms on station during the late afternoon and evening hours and will carry a Prob30 for -TSRA from 22z to 02z with VFR cigs/vis and gusty outflow winds up to 30 kts. -KT

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.