textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Red Flag conditions this afternoon, mainly west of I-25 and across Fremont and Teller Counties.

- Continued very nice through the weekend with highs in the 60s and 70s.

- A series of storm systems look to impact the region beginning Tuesday next week with increased chances for precipitation.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 1145 AM MST Fri Feb 27 2026

Currently...mostly clear skies have spread across southern Colorado this afternoon. At the lower levels, areas west of I-25 are seeing gusty winds and low humidity values with areas of Red Flag conditions. Expect this to continue through the afternoon. Temperatures have warmed nicely, with mostly 60s across the Plains, and 50s over the San Luis Valley.

Tonight and Saturday...broad northwesterly flow will continue to prevail across the region through the next 24 hours. Quiet conditions will prevail overnight, with lows falling into the 30s and 40s across the Plains, and teens and 20s over the San Luis Valley.

For Saturday, an embedded wave in the northwesterly flow aloft will move across the region. This will bring an increase in cloud cover across the region by the afternoon. A few light snow showers may be possible, mainly for areas north of Cottonwood Pass. Little if any snow accumulation is forecast. Afternoon highs will warm nicely, with 60s and 70s for the Plains. Humidity values look to remain very low, and there could be a few spotty critical fire weather conditions across the region.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/

Issued at 1145 AM MST Fri Feb 27 2026

Models continue to come into better agreement through the extended period, with active weather across southern Colorado for mid to late next week.

Saturday night into Monday...flat, zonal upper ridging will spread across Colorado late in the weekend into early next week, as an upper storm system approaches the region. A few spotty snow showers will remain possible over the Central Mountains Saturday night and through the day Sunday as embedded energy moves across the region. Snow accumulations look minor, at an inch or two for areas north of Cottonwood Pass. Snow will come to an end by Sunday evening as flow aloft shifts southwesterly ahead of the storm system.

Across the Plains, temperatures look to remain mild, with the warmest highs along the I-25 corridor. Out east near the Kansas border, southeasterly low level flow will likely keep cooler air in place on Sunday and Monday afternoons, with 50s to lower 60s for highs. These southeasterly winds could break the temperature forecast on the Plains, if the colder air happens to work further west into the I-25 corridor. While it looks to remain dry on the Plains into Monday, there are a few model guidance solutions that develop spotty drizzle on Sunday. As flow aloft increases on Monday, a gap wind prone areas along the I-25 corridor could see critical fire weather conditions.

Tuesday through Friday...models have converged with the development and track of an upper system Tuesday into Wednesday. Both the ECMWF and GFS track the upper system east from Utah, straight across Colorado into Kansas. Both models and ensembles develop widespread precipitation across the region Tuesday afternoon, with a trowal feature Tuesday night along the Eastern Mountains and I-25 corridor as the low departs the area. All guidance is warm with this system, with mostly rain below 6500 ft, and snow above. At this time, its still too early to up precipitation and snow amounts for the area, but there could be periods of heavier rain and snow late Tuesday into the overnight hours. This system looks to depart by Wednesday morning.

After a brief break on Wednesday, the next upper system is forecast to move across the region. There are model differences with this system with track and timing. But the good news is we should see another round of precipitation late in the work week.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 428 PM MST Fri Feb 27 2026

VFR conditions are anticipated during the next 24 hours at all 3 taf sites, KPUB, KALS and KCOS. Winds will be light and diurnally driven.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Red Flag Warning until 6 PM MST this evening for COZ221-222- 227>230.