textproduct: Pueblo
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Drier and warmer today with best chance of precip along the Continental Divide.
- Wetter period Saturday through Monday mainly along the Continental Divide.
- Drier and hotter all areas mid-week onwards?
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Issued at 1237 AM MDT Fri Aug 28 2026
Flow aloft will transition to southwesterly. This will allow for drier conditions today with warmer temps over the region, especially over the plains. Temps today will run about 6 to 8 degrees warmer today than yesterday. Overall best chance of precip this afternoon will mainly be along the CONTDVD, with the San Juans seeing the best chance of precip. Flash Flooding threat across the Aspen Acres burn scar will be low today.
For this evening, mainly dry. Best chance of some early evening high based showers will be over the Pikes Peak region.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Issued at 1237 AM MDT Fri Aug 28 2026
Strong southwesterly flow will develop over the region during the SAT-SUN-MON time frame. However, within this flow, it will be quite moist as moisture will likely get picked up off the Pacific from the numerous tropical cyclones which are occurring over this area along with the typical monsoon flow which is ongoing. Based on this pattern, the overall best chance of precip during this 3 day period will be over the CONTDVD, especially across the San Juans. The plains may see a better chance of precip on Monday as a boundary is fcst to come down the plain, and the combo of the moisture aloft and enhanced upslope will allow for a better chance of precip on Monday over the lower elevations.
Some of the precip over the CONTDVD during the SAT-SUN-MON time frame may be heavy, and flash flooding along the Divide may become a concern.
Temps on the plains SAT and SUN will be pushing around 100F over the plains along the lower Ark Rvr valley from Pueblo east to the KS border. A bit cooler weather is expected on Monday.
from TUE onward, SW flow aloft continues. Deterministic Models are in agreement with this flow pattern but differ a bit in how much monsoon moisture will be caught up in the flow. Likewise, Mtns will likely see the best chance of precip. NBM seems pretty dry over the mtns with sctd pops, with little if any precip plains. This to me looks a bit underdone given the continued southwesterly flow aloft. \/Hodanish
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 1128 PM MDT Thu Aug 27 2026
VFR conditions anticipated across much of the forecast area over the next 24 hrs, including the three main TAF sites of KCOS, KPUB and KALS. Plan on gusty westerly winds through the afternoon at KALS due to outflow from expected convection along the Continental Divide. KCOS and KPUB may see enhanced westerly surface winds from high- based convection over the eastern mts, but feel that storms will not approach terminal sites.
PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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