textproduct: Pueblo
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Dry with Slow warming trend should continue over the next 24 hours.
- A cold snap possible late week into next weekend, though details on the western extent of cold air spreading southward through the plains is still in question.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH Tomorrow/
Issued at 201 PM MST Sun Jan 11 2026
Currently...
With low seasonal sun angle and not much in the way of downslope flow, snow field over the fcst area is not showing much in the way of melting. Temps early this afternoon remain in the 30s and 40s over the plains with 20s in the larger valleys. Warmest temps over the plains were noted along the CO/OK border and immediately east of the Wet mtn range were 40s and around 50 were noted.
Next 24 hours...
From late this afternoon into the early hour tomorrow, a band of cirrus will move across the region. Otherwise, it will continue to be dry over the fcst area. Max temps later today should be a few degrees warmer than yesterdays max temps, and max temps tomorrow are expected warm up some more, although will remain cooler than our surrounding neighbors as the snow field will continue to only slowly melt. Overall should see 40s most areas, but 50s should be noted along the immediate mtns/plains interface and along the edges of snow field. San Luis valley will slowly warm up, especially over the north and west were snow was not noted in the sat pix imagery.
We may see some fog in the San Luis valley as some melting will occur in the valley this afternoon, and this melting may moisten up the low level boundary layer enough to allow for some ground fog to develop. There is also a chance of some ground fog along the immediate Arkansas river late tonight given the moistening of the boundary layer and weak sfc flow. \/Hodanish
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Issued at 207 AM MST Sun Jan 11 2026
The moderation in temperatures continues through early next week as we continue to chip away at the snowfield across the lower elevations. Nudged temperatures down a bit for Tue but let the forecast trend closer to NBM towards mid week as we gradually loose the snow cover. Upper high out west amplifies opening the door for energy to drop south out of Canada, sending a cold front through eastern CO. The first surge comes through Tue night, though it is not overly cold for eastern CO as the core of the colder airmass is progged to stay east. Another system digs down for Fri into Saturday with some variability in how far west the core of colder air will descend through the plains. The more amplified farther west GFS/GEFS solution suggests a much colder Fri and Sat with a chance of light snow for the southeast mountains and plains, while EC/EPS is farther east with the cold airmass and keeps southeast CO dry. Confidence is a strong cold snap is still low, though the 10th percentile of NBM shows high temperatures in the 20s across the plains by Sat with the coldest outlier solutions in the teens. Will need to monitor this closely as a cold snap of some magnitude does look likely given the consensus for deep north to northwesterly flow aloft. But how cold remains difficult to pin down at this point. Maintained the NBM blend for now. -KT
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
Issued at 1029 AM MST Sun Jan 11 2026
VFR is anticipated at all 3 taf sites during the next 24 hours, but there is some uncertainty in that I cannot rule out some ground fog forming at KALS around sunrise, and possibly some GF at KPUB during the same time. Winds will be quite light with weak diurnal flow expected.
PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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