textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Breezy with a few snow showers across the Pikes Peak region this evening, then clearing skies and decreasing winds overnight.

- Cooler, but seasonal, temperatures are expected on Wednesday, then warm and mostly dry (except for a few mountain flurries/sprinkles Sat/Sun) weather forecast for Thursday through the weekend and on into Mon.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 206 PM MST Tue Feb 3 2026

Upper wave diving south into Colorado this afternoon, with associated cold front dropping quickly southward through the plains. Have seen a few showers develop over the Pikes Peak region at mid-afternoon, as enough upward motion and instability are present to force some weak convection, though surface t/td spreads remain large (25-35 degf), keeping the bulk of the precip as virga/sprinkles/flurries. CAMs suggest window for any showers is from mid-afternoon until roughly 7-8 pm, before activity shifts east and weakens as upward motion fades. Lower levels could moisten just enough for some minor accums early this evening over higher terrain of nrn El Paso and ern Teller counties, though even here accums will be less than an inch. In Colorado Springs, a quick dusting might be possible under any brief snow showers, before activity ends by late evening. Overnight, a few sprinkles/flurries possible on the plains, with most activity ending after midnight.

Dry and seasonably cool in the system's wake on Thu, with some breezy north winds on the plains east of I-25 through the day. Big warm-up starts Thu as upper ridge builds over the wrn U.S., with mountain valleys well into the 50s, and readings deep into the 60s on the plains Thu afternoon.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/

Issued at 216 AM MST Tue Feb 3 2026

Thursday Night Through Saturday..

The second half of the week into the early weekend will be characterized by continued dry conditions and warmer than normal temperatures. Daytime highs look to climb well into the middle and upper 60s on the plains Friday, and Saturday afternoon, with 50s for mountain valleys. Precipitation is not expected, and relative humidity values will be fairly low each afternoon, with values dipping down into the teens and twenties. Winds look to remain on the weak side as the ridge builds and then weakens overhead through this period. Saturday would bring the highest chance for possible fire weather conditions as models break down the ridge by around then, leading to increased westerly flow and warm, downsloping winds, but there is still time for this to change.

Sunday Onwards..

Model diverge significantly by the Saturday into Sunday timeframe, eventually breaking down the ridge and showing a possible change in weather pattern. It seems we may be caught between two systems for the Sunday and Monday timeframe, without too many impacts to speak of here in southeast Colorado. For now, it seems that we may cool back down closer to normal for temperatures Sunday and Monday, but we may also see a miss in precipitation chances. Again though, there is still plenty of time for this forecast to change.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1031 AM MST Tue Feb 3 2026

At KALS, VFR the next 24 hrs. Brief period of gusty north winds (g25kts) and lowering mid-level cloudiness this afternoon and evening, before winds and clouds diminish overnight.

At KCOS and KPUB, VFR the next 24 hrs. A cold front will bring gusty north winds (g25-30kts) and lowering mid-level cigs to both sites this afternoon and evening, before winds diminish and skies gradually clear overnight. Low risk of a vcsh at KCOS 23z-02z, though bulk of activity will stay over the higher terrain farther west and north, and won't include in the taf at this time.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.