textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Warmer than normal temperatures continue today, with dry weather persisting for all areas.

- Other than isolated mountain snow showers Saturday, dry conditions are expected Saturday through Monday.

- Uncertainty exist in pattern evolution next week, with low to medium (30-40%) confidence in ultimate evolution.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 220 AM MST Fri Feb 6 2026

Ridging continues, but begins to flatten, overhead today. This will mean another day of high temperatures in the 10 to 15 degrees warmer than normal range. Afternoon highs in the 60s are expected across the plains, with 50s for mountain valleys. Alamosa may even tie or break their standing record, which currently stands at 59F. They are forecast to hit 58F this afternoon. Relative humidity values are also expected to fall into the mid-teens across the San Luis Valley today. That said, fire weather highlights are not likely given weak winds under the ridge this afternoon. Winds do begin to increase later tonight as the ridge continues to flatten and westerly flow across the top of the ridge moves overhead through the overnight hours though. This will keep mixing going along the lee side of the mountains, and will allow for much warmer than normal overnight low temperatures. Lows look to range from teens and twenties over the high country, to 30s along and north of the Lower Arkansas River Valley, to 40s through the banana belt region of our adjacent plains and our southern plains.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 220 AM MST Fri Feb 6 2026

Saturday: For the start of the weekend, relatively quiet weather will be in place for south central and southeastern Colorado. A messy/weak wave will push across the region throughout the day. While forcing and moisture will remain minimal, enough orographics may develop to allow for isolated light snow showers along the mountains. Elsewhere though, dry conditions continue. Beyond all of that, slightly breezy winds and partly cloudy skies are expected for the region. As for temperatures, a warm and above seasonal day is anticipated given modest downsloping winds, with the plains in the 60s and 70s, the valleys in the 50s, and the mountains in the 30s to 40s.

Saturday Night - Monday: Through the rest of the weekend and into early next week, quiet weather prevails for south central and southeastern Colorado. Messy, broader ridging will be in place over the area, and given the lack of any major forcing, and minimal moisture, dry conditions are anticipated during this period. Otherwise, breezy conditions with mostly clear skies is expected. Looking at temperatures, the warm and above seasonal trend will continue given no major systems and periods of downsloping winds in place.

Tuesday - Thursday: For the midweek period, uncertainty remains in how active weather will become for south central and southeastern Colorado. Originally thinking was that troughing would develop during this period. However latest ensemble and deterministic model guidance are much less amplified and slower with the troughing, with hints that ridging may now remain in place entirely. Given this, confidence has actually lowered to low to medium (30-40%) in the overall pattern evolution. If the troughing solution were to come to fruition, then active weather would return, with precipitation chances increasing area wide, especially for the mountains. If the ridging solutions were to come to fruition, dry conditions would be expected for most, with low coverage of precipitation along the mountains given influences from weak ripples/waves within the flow. Outside of all of that, winds are anticipated to remain breezy, with an uptick in clouds expected. Temperatures during this period will be heavily influenced by troughing or ridging, with cooler temperatures with the troughing pattern, and warmer temperatures with the riding pattern.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1035 AM MST Fri Feb 6 2026

VFR at all taf sites the next 24 hrs, with winds following the typical diurnal cycle under 12 kts.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.