textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Warm, dry and breezy conditions leading to spotty elevated fire weather conditions through Sunday.

- Increasing moisture through the work week leading to another uptick in daily showers and thunderstorms.

- The potential for severe storms early in the work week.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 219 PM MDT Sat May 30 2026

Current water vapor imagery and upper air analysis has moderate west to southwest flow aloft across the region, as an upper low continues to lift out across the eastern Great Basin and into the Northern Rockies at this time. Much drier air has moved into southern Colorado with current dew pts in the teens and 20s across most of south central and southeast Colorado. Regional satellite imagery and radar data has isolated showers and embedded thunderstorms across the northern mtns, with some cumulus buildups along and north of Palmer Dvd and across the northeast plains, where dew pts remain in the 30s, 40s and low 50s as of 1 pm.

Latest model data remains consistent with keeping the area dry, with flow aloft becoming more westerly through the overnight and into the day on Sunday, as the weakening upper low continues to lift north and east. Still can't rule out a few high based showers across the central mtns mainly north of Cottonwood Pass through the afternoon, with the passing wave and expected convection across northern Colorado send a weak front across southeast Colorado through late evening and overnight hours. The passing front will bring an increase in low level moisture across the plains into the early morning hours, before mixing out again through the afternoon. Breezy westerly winds again on Sunday will bring elevated fire weather conditions, especially across south central Colorado, however recent moisture and green up has led to unreceptive fuels across most of the area. Temperatures to remain at and above seasonal levels, with overnight lows in the 40s to lower 50s across the the plains, and mainly in the 30s and 40s across the higher terrain. High temperatures on Sunday look to be in mainly in the 80s across the plains, and in the 50s, 60s and 70s across the higher terrain.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 219 PM MDT Sat May 30 2026

Latest model data continues to bring increasing moisture to the area within more southwesterly flow aloft, as more energy digs across the Great Basin and then lifts out across the Northern Rockies through the work week. Passing waves will bring a few passing fronts across the eastern plains, allowing for ebbs and flows of low level moisture as well. Model data does indicate increasing instability across the southeast plains on Monday, as rich low level moisture across northern Colorado pushes across the plains. How far south and west this moisture gets remains in question, though the latest SPC Day 3 Outlook has much of southeast Colorado in a marginal risk of severe weather, with a slight risk across Kiowa county into the northeast plains. The potential for severe storms will continue across southeast Colorado through the middle of work week, as low level moisture continues to ebb and flow across the plains. There will also be increasing coverage of daily showers and storms across the rest of south central and southeast Colorado through the upcoming work week, as weak embedded waves within the southwest flow aloft will aid in storm development.

By the end of the work week into next weekend, flow aloft weakens with upper level ridging building across the Desert Southwest into the Rockies. Models do continue to indicate enough moisture to support daily chances of showers and storms, especially over and near the higher terrain.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/

Issued at 522 PM MDT Sat May 30 2026

VFR conditions are anticipated during the next 24 hours at all 3 taf sites, KPUB, KALS and KCOS.

In general, surface Winds will be light and diurnally driven, however for the first 1-3 hrs of this fcst, winds at each of the taf sites will be breezy from a westerly component.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.