textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Except for San Juans, expect only isolated storms over the mtns/valleys rest of today and tomorrow; Slight uptick on Monday.

- Hot Monday over the plains with triple digit reading lower Ark Rvr Valley region.

- Hopefully increasing moisture/precip chances and slightly cooler weather beginning Tuesday into late week. However, Burn scar flooding threat will be ramping up.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 1241 PM MDT Sat Jul 18 2026

Rest of Today...

Continued hot with only isolated storms over the higher terrain. OVerall best chance of storms will be over the San Juans, although guidance is pretty confident we will see some thunder on the south side of the Pikes Peak region later this afternoon. Can't rule out some locally heavy rain over the San Juans as better moisture is noted over this region. Plains will remain hot and dry.

Tomorrow...

Continued mainly dry. Some guidance has no precip anywhere over the fcst area. For now painted isolated storms over the Contdvd region tomorrow afternoon and kept pretty much everyone else dry. Max temps will be 1-2F hotter than todays max temps.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/

Issued at 1241 PM MDT Sat Jul 18 2026

Monday...

100+ degree readings return to the lower parts of the plains with 90s over the remainder of the lower elevations with temps about 90F in the larger valleys. We will likely need some Hot Weather Highlights of parts of the plains this day. Guidance does hint at the moisture plume pushing a bit farther east and we will see a better chance of showers along the CONTDVD this day.

Critical Fire Weather Conditions will be possible in and around the greater Wet Mountain region during Monday afternoon.

Tuesday...

A weak front is fcst to push down across the plains as a stout shortwave moves across the north central part of the CONUS. This causes the ridge aloft to orientate NW-SE across the western half of the CONUS with the center of the ridge pushing over KS. With the sfc flow being a bit more moist and easterly, and southwesterly flow developing at mid levels, we may see a bit better chance of precip over the interior this day, but confidence is not high.

Wednesday into late week...

Ridge aloft is finally forecast to break down as a weak wave in the developing in the weak mid level westerly flow pushes eastward. This change in the pattern will push the moisture plume to the east and we should see a better chance of precip over the fcst area during this time period. HPC precip guidance shows the brunt of the moisture affecting our region late week into next weekend as 0.5 - 1.0 inch amounts are noted over their QPF charts over parts of our region.

Flash Flooding on the burn scars may become a serious concern during this time period.

\/Hodanish

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1119 AM MDT Sat Jul 18 2026

VFR conditions are anticipated during the next 24 hours at all 3 taf sites, KPUB, KALS and KCOS. Surface Winds will be light and diurnally driven. There will be a chance of a passing shra/-tsra at KALS later this afternoon/early evening.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.