textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Cooler with another passing dry cold front bringing breezy northerly winds across the southeast plains today.

- Dry conditions persist Sunday through Thursday for the region.

- A pattern change is expected for the end of the week, bringing increased precipitation chances for the higher terrain Friday.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 202 AM MST Sat Nov 8 2025

Current water vapor imagery and upper air analysis continues to indicate moderate northwest flow aloft across the region, with another embedded short wave translating across the Northern Rockies at this time. Regional radar and satellite data as of 1 AM has generally clear skies across southern Colorado, with some mid and upper level moisture translating across northern Colorado, along with a few showers across south central Wyoming spreading into north central Colorado at this time. The passing wave has help to develop breezy northwest winds over and near the higher terrain early this morning, with the passing system's backdoor cold front moving across southeastern Wyoming into northeastern Colorado, with northerly winds of 25 to 35 mph being realized across southeastern Wyoming at this time.

For today and tonight...the backdoor cold front pushes across the Palmer Divide between 10Z-12Z and then continues south through mid morning. The strongest northerly winds will persist across the far southeast plains through the afternoon, where the best pressure rises will reside, as winds weaken and become more east to southeast across the I-25 Corridor. Breezy northwest winds will also persist over the higher terrain through the morning, before subsiding into the late afternoon, as flow aloft slowly weakens from west to east. Temperatures cool behind the passing system, with highs mainly in the 50s across the plains, and in the 30s, 40s and 50s across the higher terrain. Cooling aloft, along with subsiding winds, will lead to chilly overnight lows in the 20s across the plains, and mainly in the teens and 20s across the higher terrain.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

Issued at 202 AM MST Sat Nov 8 2025

Sunday: For the end of the weekend, quiet weather continues for south central and southeastern Colorado. Northwesterly flow will be in place over the region, and given the lack of any major forcing, along with drier air filtering into the area, dry conditions are anticipated. Outside of that, light winds and occasional mid to high level clouds are expected areawide. Temperatures Sunday will be cool, with much of the region falling to below seasonal values thanks to a cold front passage Saturday.

Sunday Night - Thursday: For much of the long term period, quiet weather is anticipated to prevail for south central and southeastern Colorado. The northwesterly flow in place from Sunday will transition to ridging Monday through Thursday. Given the increasing subsidence with the ridging, and overall lack of any major forcing, dry conditions are expected areawide Sunday night through Thursday. A few weak waves/vort maxes may drift over the region Monday through Thursday, but any influence from these is anticipated to minimal, with a brief uptick in cloud cover at most from them. Otherwise, relatively lights winds around and less than 10-15 mph, with pockets of mid to high level clouds, is expected through this period. As for temperatures, a quick warmup is anticipated, with temperatures returning back to above seasonal values for much of south central and southeastern Colorado.

Friday: For the end of the week, active weather may start to make a return to portions of south central and southeastern Colorado as a pattern change begins to materialize. Synoptically, troughing is anticipated to start developing across the western US and make a push towards the Colorado area during this period. Confidence on this is medium (~50%) at this time, as ensemble models are in fairly good agreement about the troughing developing, though have differences in timing and ultimate strength. With that all said, with troughing in place, precipitation chances will start to increase, particularly for western portions of the forecast area and primarily along the higher terrain. Elsewhere though, dry conditions are still expected. Beyond all of that, winds will start to become breezier and clouds will start to increase as the system approaches. Looking at temperatures, the warm trend continues ahead of the main troughing.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1033 PM MST Fri Nov 7 2025

VFR conditions are expected at COS, PUB and ALS over the next 24 hours. A cold front will move across the eastern plains through the early morning hours, with breezy north to northeast 10-20kts winds expected at COS between 10Z-12Z Saturday. Winds become east to southeast at COS and PUB through the late morning and afternoon, as the front continues to push south and west across the plains. Winds at ALS to be generally light wind through out the taf period.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.