textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Widespread moderate to heavy rain will continue through early Monday. Flooding impacts are expected over and near our western mountains.

- Warm and dry this week, with a pattern change coming next weekend.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 1258 AM MDT Sun Oct 25 2026

Widespread moderate to heavy rainfall will continue over portions of the area this morning, mainly lingering over our western mountains and far eastern plains. Latest observations still show high flows and flooding concerns around the Rio Grande and Conejos Rivers, with ongoing impacts on the western side of the San Luis Valley. The high waters will likely continue through the next day or two at least, with downstream impacts delayed as water travels east.

After a brief lull in activity later this morning, more showers and thunderstorms will move up from New Mexico, following the broad upper low moving in from our southwest. Precipitation will spread across the higher terrain and the mountain valleys through this afternoon, moving northeast with time before activity spreads to the plains as well. This will likely result in a secondary surge of moisture across the Rio Grande and Conejos Rivers, with higher waters also moving into the Alamosa area during the afternoon. Conditions will need to be monitored, as several points along the river may meet or exceed flood stages between now and Monday. Forecast updates in regards to flooding potential and impacts will be frequent, so please ensure you have multiple ways of receiving warnings. Do not drive on flooded roads.

More heavy rainfall will also be possible this afternoon over the far southeast plains, with the highest QPF forecast for Kiowa, Prowers, and Baca Counties. Already-saturated areas may see risks for areal flooding, with over an inch of additional moisture possible by Monday morning.

Otherwise, mild and cloudy across the region, with high temperatures in the 50s-60s for most areas. Overnight lows will remain chilly, with 30s-40s for the plains and 20s to low-30s in the valleys.

Several inches of snow are expected for the peaks of the mountains, mainly above 10-11 kft, with some areas seeing a total of 4-8 inches near the peaks. Mountains further east, including Pikes Peak, will see less snow overall, but should still get a few inches at the peaks as well.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 1258 AM MDT Sun Oct 25 2026

The passing system will push east of us by Monday afternoon, leading to warmer and drier conditions across the region for the rest of the week. High temperatures will climb into the 60s to low-70s, with mild overnight lows in the 30s-40s for the plains and 20s for the valleys.

Our next pattern change will come late this week, most likely Friday and into next weekend. Guidance shows a broad upper trough deepening over the Pacific Northwest, with southwest flow moving into our area. This should help return moisture to the mountains, potential spreading more widespread rain into the region over the weekend. As of now, this system also appears to bring some colder air with it, meaning that the mountains at least may see more snow.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1111 PM MDT Sat Oct 24 2026

Not much change to the forecast thinking through the early morning hours, with periods of rain producing low CIGS and VIS to IFR. Expect a break during the early to mid morning hours at each of the three terminals (KALS, KCOS, KPUB), with another round of showers moving across the area. KALS will see them by early afternoon and prevail into the evening, while KPUB and KCOS will see shower by late afternoon to early evening.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.