textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Temperatures remain 15 to 20 degrees warmer than normal this afternoon, with dry conditions persisting for most areas.

- Dry and warm conditions expected Sunday and Monday.

- Uncertainty remains in pattern evolution next week, with medium (40%) confidence in ultimate evolution.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 252 AM MST Sat Feb 7 2026

Today and Tonight..

Today is a bit of a transition day, though appreciable weather conditions do not change much over the next couple of days. We sit on the northern periphery of a flattening ridge this morning. By this evening though, subtle northwest flow redevelops, with a low sitting over the Baja peninsula. This will mean that our day starts out with gusty west winds across the top of the ridge, and daytime highs look to soar well above normal once again. Temperatures look to climb close to 20 degrees above normal, but will still be around 6 to 7 degrees below daily records. Highs in the 60s and 70s are expected on the plains, with 50s for mountain valleys. We remain dry, especially east of the Continental Divide, where humidity values in the teens are expected this afternoon. Spotty critical fire weather conditions are likely through our gap flow areas in Huerfano, eastern Fremont, and western Pueblo counties late this morning. With winds weakening through the afternoon hours, highlights are not expected at this time, but trends will need to be closely monitored for these areas. A few flurries may be briefly possible over the San Juans early this afternoon as the ridge decays, but accumulations and impacts are not expected. Overnight lows remain warmer than seasonal normals, with temperatures only falling into the 30s and 40s by tomorrow morning on the plains, with teens and 20s for mountain valleys.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

Issued at 252 AM MST Sat Feb 7 2026

Sunday: For the end of the weekend, quiet weather continues for south central and southeastern Colorado. Broad ridging will be in place, and given the lack of any major forcing, and only minimal moisture in place, dry conditions are expected. Otherwise, relatively light winds and mostly clear skies are anticipated for the region. Looking at temperatures, another warm and above seasonal day is expected, with 60s for the plains, 50s for the valleys, and 30s to 40s for the mountains.

Sunday Night - Monday: Heading into early next week, the quiet weather remains in place for south central and southeastern Colorado. Broad ridging will remain in place across the region, and again given the lack of any major forcing, along with only modest moisture, dry conditions will prevail for the area. Outside of that, mostly clear skies persist, with relatively light winds continuing, though with breezier conditions within typical gap flow prone areas. Temperatures will also continue with the above seasonal values trend, especially across the plains.

Tuesday - Friday: For the rest of the long term period, uncertainty does still exist in how the overall pattern will evolve over south central and southeastern Colorado. The biggest uncertainty lies in how quick and how intensely troughing develops during this period, as model guidance has lessened amplification of the troughing and slowed it down, pushing it now across the region more Thursday and Friday. Given this, confidence is still only medium (40%) in the ultimate pattern evolution. At this point, broad ridging is expected to remain in place Tuesday and Wednesday, with a drier trend anticipated, and only low coverage of precipitation along the mountains. For the end of the week, as troughing to some extent passes over, precipitation chances are expected to become heightened area wide, but especially along the mountains. Beyond all of that, breezy conditions and increased cloud cover will be in place given the unsettled pattern. As for temperatures, Tuesday and Wednesday are anticipated to be near to above seasonal values, with temperatures then becoming cooler Thursday and Friday as the troughing finally pushes over.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1021 AM MST Sat Feb 7 2026

VFR conditions anticipated across the forecast area over the next 24 hours, including the three main TAF sites of KCOS, KPUB and KALS. Weak disturbance passing across the northern half of the state will produce at times gusty W-NW winds along the I-25 Corridor and eastern plains this afternoon, affecting KCOS and KPUB, before a N-NW surface flow at 9-12 kts settles in between 22z-00z and continues into the evening. Moore

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.