textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Warm and dry for most of the week with a brief cool down and chance for showers Tues Night through early Wednesday.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/

Issued at 146 PM MST Sun Feb 1 2026

Flow aloft increases and becomes more west to northwesterly over the 24 hour period as a weak disturbance glances by to the north and east. Lee troughing and increasing high cloudiness overnight will keep temperatures on the mild side for the downslope regions of the lower eastern slopes while cold trapping valleys likely drop into the single digits to around 10 degrees again tonight.

Westerly winds pick up during the morning hours for the gap flow regions around Walsenburg and Canon City. Wind gusts in latest HRRR stay fairly tame with pockets of 20-25 kts near the mountains. However humidity recovery overnight will be poor and there will be a window for some elevated fire weather conditions in the morning as these winds kick up. Meanwhile, the associated cold front will drop south of the Palmer Divide Monday morning and through most of the southeast plains before noon. Deep mixing will offset cold air advection aloft in the afternoon, allowing temperatures warm into the 50s and lower 60s across the plains in spite of cold air advection aloft. Temperatures out west may be a degree or two cooler, but not much cooler than those of today with highs in the 40s and 50s for the valleys and mostly 30s for the mountains. This will be a dry cold front, so no precipitation is expected. Humidity values should see some slow rises in the afternoon behind the front, which will keep them above critical thresholds in spite of the breezy conditions. Therefore no fire weather highlights look necessary at this time. -KT

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 255 AM MST Sun Feb 1 2026

It will be cooler on Tuesday behind the front, with highs in the 50s across most of our forecast area. Models have been coming in drier with the broad passing upper wave, only showing isolated POPS Tuesday evening through Wednesday morning over and near I-25. Currently just expecting brief light snow over Palmer Divide, and potentially the Raton Mesa and portions of the southern Sangres. If anything reaches the ground, accumulations will be light and little to no impacts are expected, outside of the slight chance for briefly slick roads Wed AM. NBM probabilities continue to show less than an inch of snow up to the 75 percentile. Some spotty 1 inch amounts start to show up in the high end outliers of the ensemble members and even these amounts are lower than advertised in runs from yesterday.

Looking further into the week, high pressure will once again build in from the west. Another warming and drying trend will set in, with highs climbing back into the 60s over the plains. Current wind forecast looks too light for any fire weather concerns, but will keep an eye on trends moving forward.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/

Issued at 421 PM MST Sun Feb 1 2026

VFR conditions can be expected at COS, PUB and ALS over the next 24 hours, with increasing mid and high level clouds through the morning. Generally light, diurnal wind regimes can be expected at the terminals through mid Monday morning, with a passing cold front bringing breezy northeast winds 10-20kts to COS and PUB between 16Z-18Z Monday.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.