textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Warm again Thursday, with chances of showers/storms late afternoon and evening, especially across the plains.

- Chances of showers and storms Friday and Saturday, some strong to severe across the plains.

- Showers across the ContDvd Sunday and Monday, with critical fire weather conditions across the plains.

- Much cooler Tuesday and Wednesday with widespread snow and rain.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 230 PM MDT Wed Apr 8 2026

Current water vapor imagery and upper air analysis has moderate west to northwest flow aloft across the Rockies, with upper level ridging across the Desert Southwest and Great Basin, as a few embedded waves translate across the faster zonal flow across the Northern Tier. One said passing wave across the Northern Rockies is sending a weak front across northeastern Colorado at this time, with DEN...ITR and LIC all indicating east to northeast winds and dew pts in the 30s, as COS...PUB and TAD have westerly winds and dew pts in the teens as of 1 pm MDT. GOES satellite imagery and web cams indicate relatively flat cumulus across the higher terrain, with observations indicating temperatures in the 70s to low 80s across across the plains as of 1 pm, with readings in the 40, 50s and 60s across the higher terrain.

For the rest of the afternoon into tonight, should continue to see weak frontal boundary pushing south and west across the plains into the evening, with the increased moisture and upslope flow possibly helping to produce a few showers. Otherwise any high based showers that can develop over the higher terrain this afternoon to diminish through the evening, with clearing skies into the overnight hours.

Through the day on Thursday...upper ridging builds across the region with flow aloft becoming more westerly through the day. This will allow for lee troughing to develop overnight, and winds becoming more westerly across the plains into early Thursday morning. This, along with the increased low level moisture will lead to mild overnight lows in the 30s and 40s across the plains once again, with lows in the 20s and 30s across the higher terrain. Westerly flow deepens lee trough/dryline across the plains, with latest higher res data indicating CAPE up to 1000 j/kg across the far southeast plains Thursday afternoon. This, along increasing shear will support the potential for a few strong to severe storms, with the latest SPC Day 2 outlook indicating a marginal risk generally east of a line from Eads to Lamar to Springfield. Other- wise, isolated to scattered higher based showers and a few embedded thunderstorms are anticipated across the higher terrain on Thursday, with breezy and warm conditions bringing back spotty critical fire weather across portions of the interior valleys and gap prone areas. Highs look to be in the 70s and 80s across the plains once again, with readings mainly 50s and 60s across the higher terrain.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/

Issued at 230 PM MDT Wed Apr 8 2026

Thursday night and Friday...will feature a cold front pushing back across the plains, leading to increasing low level moisture and clouds across the plains through the morning. Latest model data does indicate a modest to moderate ribbon of cape developing over and near the higher terrain into the afternoon, with scattered showers and few embedded thunderstorms likely developing into the evening, spreading out across the plains late evening and into the overnight hours. While model data does indicate mid level warming and capping in place across the place across the plains through the day Friday, they also indicating increasing elevated instability late Friday afternoon and evening, with the potential for strong to severe storms once again across the far southeast plains.

Southwesterly flow increases aloft on Saturday in advance of a lead short wave coming out of a large Pacific trough off over California. Given the forcing and instability, should see more widespread showers and thunderstorms areawide, with the potential for strong to severe storms once again across the plains, where the best low level moisture and instability will be on place.

Moderate to strong west to southwest flow aloft remains in place across the region Sunday and Monday, leading to increasing fire danger, especially across the eastern plains. Some moisture within the flow will keep precipitation chances in place across the higher terrain, especially along and west of the ContDvd.

A big pattern change with much cooler temperatures and more widespread snow and remains remains in the offing for Tuesday and Wednesday, as the West Coast system is progged to translate across Rockies. There still remains questions on the strength and location of the passing system, though pattern suggests good chances of precipitation through the middle of next week.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1146 AM MDT Wed Apr 8 2026

VFR conditions are expected at COS, PUB and ALS over the next 24 hours. Breezy westerly winds at COS and PUB to become more north to northeast between 20Z-22Z, as a weak front backs across the plains. Upslope flow continues at COS and PUB through the evening, before westerlies redevelop overnight. North to northwest winds at ALS through the afternoon and evening, becomes light overnight.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.