textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Storms winding down overnight with morning clouds and continued upslope flow keeping temperatures around seasonal levels today.

- Much drier air moves into the region and keeps mainly dry conditions in place today and Friday, though brings elevated fire weather conditions over and near the higher terrain.

- Up and down weather pattern for the weekend into early next week, as a series of passing weather systems brings cooler and then warmer temperatures along with chances of precipitation.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 115 AM MDT Thu Sep 10 2026

Current water vapor imagery and upper air analysis has moderate west to northwest flow aloft across the region, as another short wave trough is translating across the Northern Rockies early this morning. This, combined with moist easterly upslope, has produced bulk and effective shear values to 45-55 kts across the southeast plains, supporting several supercells across portions of the I-25 Corridor and southeast plains late in the evening. Storms are starting to congeal as they are expected to continue to push east across the plains overnight and into western Kansas by day break.

For the rest of today and tonight, moist upslope flow behind convection will spread stratus back across the plains and into the I-25 Corridor through the early morning hours, with skies clearing through mid morning leading to mostly sunny conditions into the afternoon. Lingering moisture and deep layer shear will bring chances of strong storms to southern Sangres, Raton Mesa and along the southeastern Tier, however, latest high res data is keep the bulk of storms south of the region across northeast New Mexico. Otherwise, the drier air filtering across south central Colorado will bring critical rh levels of 5 to 10 percent across portions of the ContDvd and the upper Arkansas River Valley, however winds will remain generally below critical thresholds, leading to elevated fire danger through the day.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 115 AM MDT Thu Sep 10 2026

Flow aloft becomes more westerly through the day Friday, as another embedded wave translates across the Intermountain West. The drier air continues to across the region, with little to no convection expected across the area on Friday. The dry air and downslope flow will bring spotty critical fire weather conditions to areas along the ContDvd into the interior valleys and the portions of the I-25 Corridor on Friday. Temperatures warm back above seasonal levels on Friday, with highs mainly in the 90s across the plains, and int the 60s, 70s and 80s across the higher terrain.

For Saturday, Sunday and Monday, models continue to indicate ebbs and flows of available moisture and forcing as occasional waves translate through the moderate to strong westerly flow aloft across the Northern Tier. This will bring chances of precipitation and cooler temperatures with fronts across the Plains on Saturday and again on Monday.

There looks to be another influx of subtropical moisture across the Desert SW and back into Colorado into the middle of next week, bringing better chances of precipitation areawide, and likely cooler temperatures.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 1144 PM MDT Wed Sep 9 2026

A passing upper wave and moist easterly upslope will keep showers and thunderstorms in place across the southeast plains into the overnight hours...with best chances of storms at the terminals being at PUB through 10Z. Moist easterly upslope continues with MVFR stratus expected at COS and PUB through mid morning, before much drier air withing the west to northwest flow aloft brings clearing skies and VFR conditions through the rest of the taf period. VFR conditions are expected at ALS through the taf period.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.