textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Had and mostly dry through Monday. Heat Advisories are in effect for portions of the area.

- Briefly cooler with some showers and thunderstorms mid week.

- Warmer and drier conditions return late this week and into the weekend.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/

Issued at 1239 PM MDT Sun Aug 2 2026

Rest of Today and Tonight...

Minimal storm coverage and warm temperatures will continue across the area through the rest of the afternoon. Latest CAMs do show the potential for some high-based, isolated showers over the Continental Divide, though the chance for any precipitation hitting the ground is still quite low. Main impact concerns will be outflow gusts to around 40-45 mph, lightning, and perhaps some brief light to moderate rainfall.

Monday...

Upper high remains over the Four Corners Region as the upper ridge is slowly flattened by a trough passing along the Canadian border. A little bit of passing energy, combined with an abundance of daytime heating and southerly winds over the plains, will allow for some isolated to scattered showers during the late afternoon hours, mainly over the southeast mountains and portions of the eastern plains. Given the dry conditions at the low-levels, not expecting much precipitation to hit the ground, meaning that the main impact concerns from any showers or storms would be gusty outflow winds and some occasional lightning. Meanwhile, temperatures will increase and remain hot. Highs over the plains will reach upwards of 105, while the high valleys remain in the 90s. Heat Advisories look good. Please continue to take precautions to protect yourself and pets from the heat.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 1239 PM MDT Sun Aug 2 2026

Tuesday-Wednesday.

Approaching midweek, the upper high will slowly shift east as a broad trough passes by to our north. That being said, the downtick in expected activity has continued with the latest batch of model runs. A now-dry cold front will move onto the plains fairly early in the day, which will significantly lower temperatures across the region. Highs will only be in the 80s to low-90s for most areas. Over the mountains, post-frontal upsloping will combine with diurnal heating, along with some synoptic forcing from a passing shortwave to allow for showers and thunderstorms through the late afternoon on Tuesday. Main area of focus will be along the southeast mountains, followed by portions of the Continental Divide. Once again, the Aspen Acres burn scar will be a primary concern when looking at flash flooding potential.

For Wednesday, the shortwave will quickly push off to the southeast, taking most of the activity along with it. As of now, only isolated afternoon showers are expected over the mountains and I-25, with more scattered showers and a few thunderstorms over the Raton Mesa, southern Sangres, and portions of the southeast plains. High temperatures will warm a few degrees on Wednesday as well, but will still remain at or below the mid-90s.

Thursday Onwards...

Through the end of this week, the upper high builds back in over the Desert Southwest. As a result, our region will largely dry out, though some isolated afternoon convection will still be possible, mainly over our southern mountains. Coverage may manage to increase a bit if any embedded energy travels around the center of the upper high, but as of now model solutions continue to trend towards this drier solution. Temperatures will also continue to rebound, increasing back into the triple digits out east by the end of the weekend.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1113 AM MDT Sun Aug 2 2026

VFR conditions are expected at KALS, KCOS, and KPUB through 24 hours. Gusty southeast winds, to around 20 knots, are expected at KCOS and KPUB this afternoon. Otherwise, winds weaken tonight and remain under 10 knots with some passing mid to high-level clouds.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Heat Advisory from 9 AM to 8 PM MDT Monday for COZ069>071- 083>086-093-097-098. Heat Advisory until 8 PM MDT this evening for COZ083>086.