textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Virga potential and gusts up to 40 MPH over the I-25 corridor

- Isolated strong to severe storm over Kiowa and Prowers Counties after 3PM possible - 1 inch hail and 60 MPH wind gusts possible

- Dry conditions from Saturday - Monday, with storms returning Tuesday and Wednesday

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 221 AM MDT Fri May 29 2026

A closed low is spinning over the US West and will propagate from southern California to Utah during the short term forecast period. This low pressure system and it's associated emitted waves are causing the overnight showers over the souther plains, but by the early afternoon dry air advected from the SW will reach the region, drying out the atmosphere over the western two thirds of the CWA. Kiowa, Bent, Prowers, and Baca Counties are on the moist side of the dry air boundary, therefore isolated showers and thunderstorms are expected. The best atmosphere for stronger storms will be located over the far eastern plains, primarily over Kiowa and Prowers Counties. Instability over there will be around 1500 J/kg, but the 6km bulk shear values are only around 20kts. There is a bit of an inversion aloft that the air parcel will have to break through, but if it does an isolated severe thunderstorm with 1 inch hail and 60 MPH wind will be possible. Other than the isolated severe thunderstorm chances, high temperatures will be in the 70s to mid 80s over the plains and the 70s over the mountain valleys. During the later morning and afternoon gusty southwesterly winds will form over the mountain valleys and the plains with values around 30 MPH, some isolated weak elevated thunderstorms will create virga and therefore enhancing the surface winds with gusts up to 40 MPH near the elevated storms. During the overnight, dry conditions are expected - low temperatures will be in the upper 40s to low 60s over the plains and the upper 30s to low 40s over the mountain valleys.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 221 AM MDT Fri May 29 2026

Dry conditions will be in place from Saturday through Monday morning with high temperatures increasing to Monday. On Monday high temperatures will be in the upper 80s to low 90s over the plains and the 80s over the mountain valleys. By Tuesday, mountain thunderstorms develop midday and travel over the plains both Tuesday and Wednesday with the main hazards being an isolated severe storm on each day with one inch hail and 60 MPH wind gusts. By Thursday a ridge will develop aloft and dry conditions will return. One thing to note is that critical fire conditions will be possible from Saturday through Monday, however the limiting factor will be if the fuels are deemed critical or not.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 542 AM MDT Fri May 29 2026

Low level winds have come in creating lower visibility and low clouds that have caused flight restrictions over KCOS and KPUB. KCOS has fallen to 2SM with OVC002 and KPUB has 6SM visibility with BKN007 ceilings. These conditions are being reinforced by southeasterly winds and do not appear to dissipate until around 18z. Gusty winds up to 30-40 MPH will be possible during the mid- afternoon over KCOS and KPUB due to virga forming, but confidence is low as of right now. Outside of the morning flight restrictions VFR conditions are expected to follow over all forecast points for the rest of the forecast period.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.