textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- Continued warm and mainly dry through the end of the week (except Tuesday we may see a better chance of a shower or two).

- Confidence is increasing in a cooler(colder?)/active weather pattern early NEXT week.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 1202 AM MDT Mon Oct 5 2026

For today, temperatures will once again warm up, and expect max temps over the plains to warm up 2 to 4 degrees as compared to yesterdays max temps. Over the mtns and valleys, temps this afternoon will be similar to yesterdays max temps. Once again we may see some isolated POPs over the higher terrain, with the mtns along the NM border being favored.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 1202 AM MDT Mon Oct 5 2026

Tuesday, we will see a better chance of showers and isolated thunder over the mtns. On this day, a weak disturbance will cross the region and this will allow for some upward lift to move across the region assisting in convective development. We may even see some weak convection move over the N El Paso county region. Tuesday will likely be the warmest day of the week, with mid 80s over the plains and 70-75F over the valleys.

From Wednesday through Saturday, Not much change expected these days. we will see isolated showers/-tsra over the higher terrain in the afternoon. Temps over the plains will generally be in the upper 70s to lower 80s. with 65-70F in the valleys.

Things start to change Sunday. Statistical guidance indicate temps will decrease several degrees region wide on this day with a better chance of showers over the higher terrain. What is uncertain is HOW much cooler it will be over the region as the variability in the max temp fcst data show a rather large range. This large range in temps continues into early next week. Additionally, POP chances increase significantly over the higher terrain early/mid week with scattered pops over the plains. Perusing the deterministic guidance products shows a stout progressive mid level trough swinging across the region during the Tuesday/Wednesday time frame. However, the deterministic guidance products vary in the intensity of the trough moving through. However, at this time it appears that we could see some heavier snow fall amounts over the CONTDVD region during this time period with cooler (much cooler?) temps over the plains. \/Hodanish

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 451 AM MDT Mon Oct 5 2026

VFR conditions expected at the KCOS, KALS and KPUB TAF sites over the next 24 hours with some scattered mid/high cloudiness at times in afternoon and evening. Winds will be diurnally driven with speeds under 15 kts. -KT

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.