textproduct: Pueblo

KEY MESSAGES

- High Fire Danger continues Monday into Tuesday.

- Rain and high mountain snow showers expected late Monday night into Tuesday night, with light to moderate snow accumulations along the Continental Divide

- Fire danger increases again Wednesday through Friday, with another chance of precipitation Friday into Saturday.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/

Issued at 237 PM MDT Sun Apr 12 2026

Current water vapor imagery and upper air analysis is indicating moderate west to southwest flow aloft across the region, as an upper low is spinning across Northern California at this time. Water vapor and satellite imagery is indicating some mid and high level moisture streaming across the region, with latest observational data indicating warm, breezy and dry conditions areawide, with temperatures in the 60s to low 80s across the plains, and mainly in the 50s and 60s across the higher terrain, as of 1 pm. Breezy southwest winds of 20 to 40 mph has helped to mix out low level moisture, with dew pts in the single digits and teens over and near the higher terrain, save for in the 20s to low 30s across the far southeast plains at this time.

This afternoon into Tonight...Critical fire weather conditions are expected to continue into the early evening, with winds decoupling there after, except for the highest terrain. Current Red Flag Warning for most of the area through 9 pm remains on track.

Tonight and Monday...Latest model runs continue to indicate increasing southwest flow aloft through the day on Monday, as an embedded shortwave ejects off the West Coast low across the Great Basin and into the Northern Rockies. The increasing orographic flow and slow increase in mid level moisture will bring slight chances of showers along and west of the ContDvd through the day Monday, with warm, dry and breezy conditions expected once again across south central and southeast Colorado. Lows tonight to remain mild once again, mainly in the 40s across the plains, and in the 20s and 30s across the higher terrain. High temperatures on Monday to be around Sunday's readings.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 237 PM MDT Sun Apr 12 2026

Monday night-Tuesday night...Model data has been consistent with increasing moisture within the increasing southwest flow Monday night, as said West Coast upper low weakens and translates across the Great Basin. Latest model trends continue to indicate an open wave translating across northern Colorado through the day Tuesday, before continuing into the Northern High Plains Tuesday night. The more northern trend to this passing wave will keep the systems associated jet stream translating across south central and into southeast Colorado through the day Tuesday, leading to another day of breezy and dry conditions expected across the southeast plains, where we have issued a Fire Weather Watch on Tuesday. Further west, will see periods of rain and high mountain snow showers, with low end advisory accumulations possible across the higher terrain along the ContDvd Monday night through Tuesday. North to northwest flow aloft developing behind the passing Tuesday wave will keep the best chances of precipitation across the central mountains and northern portions of the southeast plains Tuesday night, as the systems cold front pushes south overnight.

Wednesday-Thursday...Moderate northwest flow across the region Wednesday becomes more west to southwest Thursday, ahead of another PacNW system progged to translate across the Intermountain West through mid week. Warm, breezy and dry conditions point to spotty critical fire weather conditions developing across interior valleys and gap flow areas on Wednesday, with more widespread critical fire conditions expected across most of south central and southeast Colorado once again on Thursday.

Friday-Sunday...Said upper system across the Intermountain West looks to translate across the Rockies on Friday, with latest model data indicating a northern track across the region, which would keep the best chances of precipitation along and the ContDvd and northern portions of the southeast plains Friday and Friday night, with the potential for critical fire weather conditions continuing across the southern plains on Friday. Cool and breezy conditions behind the passing system on Saturday gives way to warmer and breezy conditions on Sunday.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1211 PM MDT Sun Apr 12 2026

VFR conditions are expected at COS, PUB and ALS over the next 24 hours. Breezy south to southwest winds of 15-30kts will impact the terminals through the late afternoon and evening. Winds to decouple through the evening, though with increasing southwest flow aloft, may remain breezy southerly, especially at ALS. There could also be llws at COS and PUB overnight, before winds mix out again through the end of this taf period.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Red Flag Warning until 9 PM MDT this evening for COZ220>222- 224>237. Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 9 PM MDT Monday for COZ220>222- 224>237. Fire Weather Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening for COZ227>237.