textproduct: Pueblo
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Critical fire weather conditions are expected across the San Luis Valley and eastern plains tomorrow.
- Showers, both rain and snow, increase in coverage during the week as an unsettled pattern develops.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Issued at 1244 AM MDT Mon Mar 30 2026
Today and Tonight: The start of the week brings a concern for fire weather conditions, but other than that, relatively quiet weather is anticipated for south central and southeastern Colorado. Southwesterly to westerly flow will be in place today and tonight, bringing persistent, though modest, orographic forcing. This orographic forcing, along with minor moisture in place, may allow for isolated showers to blossom during this period. However, given large temperature and dewpoint spreads, very little, if any, precipitation is expected to reach the ground, with primarily just virga under any cores. With that all said though, there may be a brief window along the San Juan Mountains tonight where snow showers are more numerous and pack a little more punch, as a plume of increased moisture advects into this localized region. As alluded to though, fire weather will be the primary concern through Monday. As diurnal mixing develops during the day, gustier winds aloft will mix to the surface, along with drier air, which will help to tank humidity values. This will allow for widespread critical fire weather conditions to materialize across the San Luis Valley and eastern plains, with elevated fire weather danger still elsewhere. Fire weather conditions are expected to lessen heading into the evening though as winds weaken and humidity starts to increase again. Beyond all of that, partly cloudy skies and above seasonal temperatures are expected to continue across the region. Looking at temperatures, given persistent downsloping winds, the area will remain above seasonal values both today and tonight. Highs today will be in the 80s for the plains, the 70s for the valleys, and 40s to 60s for the mountains. As for lows tonight, the plains will be in the mid 40s to mid 50s, the 30s to mid 40s for the valleys, and the mid 20s to 30s for the mountains.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Issued at 1244 AM MDT Mon Mar 30 2026
Tuesday - Sunday: For the long term period, active weather makes a return to south central and southeastern Colorado. Flow will start to increase over the region, and at least a couple of waves will push across the area. This pattern will bring an uptick in both forcing and moisture, and in doing so, will cause precipitation chances to increase through the week. The greatest precipitation chances are expected both Wednesday and Friday-early Saturday, when the aforementioned waves are anticipated to pass over/near the region. Confidence is medium to high (60-70%) in this pattern evolution given agreement between ensemble model guidance. Then for the rest of the upcoming weekend, late Saturday and Sunday, drier conditions return as flow becomes more northwesterly and major forcing lessens. Beyond all of that, partly clouds skies and breezy conditions remain for south central and southeastern Colorado. As for temperatures, a cool down is expected as the unsettled pattern and associated cold fronts push across the region.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
Issued at 959 PM MDT Sun Mar 29 2026
VFR conditions are expected at KALS, KCOS, and KPUB through the next 24 hours. Winds will decrease overnight as mid level clouds increase into early Monday. Starting around 18Z, all three terminals will see gusty west winds setting in, with gusts during the afternoon around 25-30 knots. Gusty winds will last into the evening hours, slowly weakening closer to the end of this forecast period.
CLIMATE
Issued at 113 AM MDT Sun Mar 29 2026
March 30th Records... Pueblo: 83 in 2010, 1986, and 1946 Colorado Springs: 78 in 2010 Alamosa: 71 in 2015
PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Red Flag Warning from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM MDT this evening for COZ221-222-224-227>237.
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