textproduct: Pueblo

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Shower and thunderstorm chances continue through the week, with the best coverage today, and again late in the work week into the weekend.

- Spotty critical fire weather conditions Wednesday and Thursday over parts of the region, then potentially more widespread Sunday and Monday across most of the plains.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 1232 AM MDT Tue Apr 7 2026

Today...

A bit cooler day today as max temps will generally be 3 to 6 degrees F cooler today as compared to yesterday. Moisture will be on the increase over parts of the region today, especially south of US50 in the mountains and across the Raton Mesa. Overall best chance of convective showers will be over the San Juans and the southern Sangre De Cristo mountains. The highest elevations of these mountain areas may see an inch or two of snow above treeline this afternoon, along with some lightning activity. Over the remainder of the region we may actually see some passing showers, although any accumulations are expected to be light. No fire weather concerns are anticipated today.

Tonight...

POP chances will quickly diminish as we approach sunset this evening, with the best chance of lingering precip over the southern Sangres this evening. Min temps tonight will fall into the 30s and L40s plains with 20s larger valleys

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/

Issued at 1232 AM MDT Tue Apr 7 2026

Wednesday will be dry and warm over the region, however we should remain 3 to 5 degrees below record values. Showers, if any, will be in the mtns and will likely be virga. Spotty critical fire weather conditions will be possible, mainly in the gap areas in the eastern Fremont county region and Walsenburg region.

Thursday...

Temps will be a 2-3 F warmer than Wednesdays highs. Temps will near record high values this day as mid 80s will occur over the plains with L70s across the larger valleys. Spotty critical fire weather conditions will once again be possible mainly in the gap areas and the San Luis Valley. POPs will be a bit higher this day regionwide but still expect more virga than anything else. The only area which may see some accums will be over the greater Kiowa county region over the plains.

Looking at the DESI guidance, confidence is rather high that it will be a very warm day as spreads in the max temps guidance are very low and overall temps are quite warm.

Friday...

The cold front will likely come across either late Thursday or early Friday, and temps are expected to be much cooler than Thursdays max temps. Fire weather concerns are nil this day. With upslope flow and better moisture pushing into the region POPs increase across the region Fri afternoon and evening, especially across the plains Friday evening. It is not out of the question we may see a few strong storms this day over the plains.

Weekend...

Shower chances remain high over the region for Saturday with the activity over the mtns for Sunday. Temps will remain unseasonable warm over th weekend with temps being a few degrees warmer on Sunday as compared ot Saturday. Critical fire weather conditions will be possible over the far eastern plains Sunday.

Monday...

Scattered storms possible higher terrain with more isolated activity over the plains. Critical fire weather conditions may be more widespread on the plains this day as winds will be on the increase and temps will remain well above normal. \/Hodanish

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 529 AM MDT Tue Apr 7 2026

Conditions will remain VFR with variable mid and high level cloudiness increasing into the afternoon as -SHRA develops over the mountains and spreads into the adjacent plains. Odds of -TSRA are greatest at KALS where gusty outflow winds will be the primary storm risks in the afternoon. KCOS and KPUB have lower odds for -SHRA to impact the terminals, though winds will likely become erratic as showers move off the mountains. Have maintained Prob30 for -SHRA at both KCOS and KPUB for now. Otherwise winds will become light with clearing skies after 00z. -KT

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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