textproduct: Pocatello
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Afternoon highs gradually warm over the next several days.
- Dry conditions are also expected through the weekend.
- Wetter and cooler conditions return for the second half of next week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 158 AM MDT Thu Oct 15 2026
High pressure is building in over parts of the West today and will move directly over our area on Friday. This means we can expect dry conditions for the next several days and a warming trend is underway. While temperatures will start in the low to mid 30s for most this morning, we warm into the upper 50s and low 60s this afternoon. Highs warm a few more degrees for Friday and Saturday afternoons and Saturday looks the be the warmest day for most with highs in the low to mid 60s. This warm up has backed off a little bit from what it looked like the last few days where now, there's only about a 25 percent chance that areas around Burley reach 70 degrees for the high on Saturday.
During the first half of next week, an upper level low drops southward along the West Coast. Now, the ECMWF and GFS have very different solutions on where exactly this low will track and how quickly it will move. However, it does seem like we will see increasing precipitation chances in the second half of next week thanks to this system along with some cooler temperatures meaning highs back in the 50s.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/
Issued at 921 PM MDT Wed Oct 14 2026
Light winds with some high clouds drifting through for a few more hours. Models look very dry overnight so little chance for low stratus or fog.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 158 AM MDT Thu Oct 15 2026
High pressure will be in control of our forecast for the rest of this week and through the weekend. Highs will continue to gradually warm with most returning to the mid 60s by Saturday afternoon. Dry conditions across the area mean min RHs drop to 15-25 percent in the Central Mountains on Friday, which looks to be the driest day of the next several. It's not until next week that we see highs drop back into the 50s and precipitation chances return to the forecast.
PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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