textproduct: Pocatello

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Building Weekend Ridge: Upper-level ridge will become established across the Intermountain West into early next week, supporting a prolonged period of dry and tranquil conditions. - Warmer Temperatures Coming: Temperatures will run near normal again today before climbing 5 to 10 degrees above seasonal averages Sunday into early next week, pushing lower- elevation highs toward 60F.

- Forecast Uncertainty Late Next Week: Model solutions currently differ regarding the upper-level pattern during the latter half of next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 101 PM MST Fri Nov 6 2026

Satellite imagery shows broad ridge folded over across Idaho early this afternoon. Pockets of low clouds continue across the northern portions of the Snake Plain, and into the Divide and Island Park areas, while high cloud is trying to stream in from the northwest. The ridge will continue to build, and the incoming upper moisture is expected to have little impact with dry conditions forecast across the region. Models feature a couple of weak shortwave features that help to flatten the ridge slightly, but recent runs have pulled any potential moisture further north, reducing the chance for showers to near zero. Temperatures throughout much of the week remain above normal. By next weekend, we are still seeing potential for the ridge to break down as moisture and energy work inland around a deep low off the Pacific coast. Ensemble means and the NBM continue to introduce precipitation as early as Friday, but clusters still show quite a bit of variability. Confidence remains low for now.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 427 PM MST Fri Nov 6 2026

No major changes to the aviation forecast with VFR conditions across the area this afternoon and evening. NBM now trying to pick up on some low clouds/patchy fog as the next round of clouds moves through tonight. Low confidence in it at this point, but went ahead and put in TEMPO groups at IDA and DIJ where there looks to be about a 20-30 percent chance of IFR CIGs overnight into early Saturday morning. Winds will remain light and cloud cover looks to diminish by late Saturday morning/early Saturday afternoon.

PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.

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