textproduct: Pocatello

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Windy with light rain and high elevation snow today and this evening.

- Precipitation again on Tuesday night through Wednesday night.

- After record highs this past weekend, much cooler but still warmer than normal.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 147 AM MST Mon Feb 9 2026

Cold front moving through the forecast area at forecast time. Besides some light precipitation, mostly rain due to the warm temperatures right now, the wind has increased in locations nearing the front with sustained wind around 25 mph and gusts to around 35 mph, so very close to Wind Advisory levels, but expected to increase only to the point where very limited areas in the boundary region of the Snake River plain/eastern Magic Valley and the mountains bordering to the south and east of that area. This should include portions of the Pocatello Bench areas. It all decreases this evening. At this time, concur with no issuance of a Wind Advisory. The front blows through, and expect a dry late night tonight and most of the day on Tue. On Tue night and Wed another upper level open wave trough is expected to be in the region, with a track farther south than today's storm. This can put some forecast areas in the return easterly flow and this may mean enhanced snow for the eastern and southern highlands, and not as much in the central Idaho mountains. As of this forecast, the Tue Night to Wed Night period does not develop enough snow for even Advisory criteria, staying below to well below 6 inches for nearly everywhere, except limited portions of the Bear River Range and the Centennial Mountains.

After the record breaking warmth that peaked this weekend, temperatures are plummeting a solid 10 to 20 deg F. However, this still keeps afternoon highs slightly above normal and with the cloud cover at night overnight lows are fairly mild.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 147 AM MST Mon Feb 9 2026

The first two days are in the post-trough from Wed, and mainly consist of a return of a low amplitude ridge. These days appear mainly dry but with colder temperatures that area still above normal for the time of year. A fast moving trough is expected for the weekend with chance PoPs in the low elevations and likely for most of the highlands and mountains. Wind should be stronger with the weekend trough, but not overly strong. Thus no need seen for any highlights for this storm at this time.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1034 PM MST Sun Feb 8 2026

Current satellite imagery shows widespread cloud cover over the Central mountains with mostly overcast clouds over the rest of southeast Idaho with only broken cloud cover over our southeast areas by the Utah and Wyoming state lines. The stream of moisture associated with the incoming storm is still in the Central mountains with light to moderate moisture as well as in the Island Park area. This stream of moisture will continue to slowly shift east throughout the evening, impacting KSUN first and then eventually getting into the DIJ. We should see these CIGS lower to MVFR, maybe briefly IFR, along with some rain or rain/snow mix for SUN and DIJ. Models show little moisture in the Eastern Magic valley and the Snake River plain. For the other terminals through the Snake Plain, CIGS will descend coincident with light precipitation onset in the pre- dawn hours Monday.

Outside of any MVFR CIGS, we're looking at breezy surface winds early this evening before becoming windy early Monday morning, especially after the passage of the front. Both afternoons we're looking at wind gusts above 30 to 35 kts, mainly through the Snake Plain. Winds will gradually start to back off by late Monday afternoon/early Monday evening.

PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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