textproduct: Pocatello
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Daytime temperatures and heat risk peak today with Heat Advisories and Excessive Heat Warnings in effect for much of Southeast Idaho through Monday. - Red Flag Warnings in effect for central Idaho again today for combination of low humidity and wind.
- A return to daily isolated to scattered convection beginning Tuesday.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1217 PM MDT Sun Jul 12 2026
Above-normal warmth will persist for the foreseeable future with daytime temperatures and heat risk peaking today across Southeast Idaho. HEAT ADVISORIES and EXTREME HEAT WARNINGS remain in effect through Monday evening. We still stand a chance of breaking all-time records for daytime highs today at Pocatello and Idaho Falls. The all-time record high temperatures for our official climate sites are as follows: 104 in Pocatello, 102 in Idaho Falls, 107 in Burley, 103 in Challis, and 96 in Stanley. Vulnerable populations or anyone exposed to the elements for long periods of time could experience heat-related illness if precautions are not taken. Overnight lows tonight will span the upper-50s to low-60s across the lower elevations.
Beginning tomorrow, a trough descending out of Canada will shift the area of high pressure slightly further east for the remainder of next week. This will mean a return to daily isolated to scattered convection and slightly cooler, fairly stable temperatures under increased cloud cover. Isolated showers and thunderstorms will arrive as early as Monday evening. Storms will trend wetter and more scattered in coverage heading into the middle of next week as PWATs begin to approach 0.75" on Monday and just over an inch by Wednesday.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
Issued at 1116 AM MDT Sun Jul 12 2026
Widespread VFR conditions expected through Monday. Expect some wind gusts 20 to 25 knots at SUN, PIH, IDA and DIJ after 19Z today will die down after 03Z.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 152 AM MDT Sun Jul 12 2026
Red flag warning is in effect for 410, 411 and 476 where combinations of breezy conditions and low humidity will result in dangerous fire weather conditions. Expect lighter winds for Monday but critically low humidity will remain until Tuesday.
PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Extreme Heat Warning until 9 PM MDT Monday for IDZ051>059-064- 065. Red Flag Warning until 9 PM MDT this evening for IDZ410-411- 476. Heat Advisory until 9 PM MDT Monday for IDZ060>063-066>068-070- 075.
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