textproduct: Pocatello
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Dry conditions until Wednesday
- Record or near record highs Monday through Wednesday with highs running 20-25 degrees ABOVE AVERAGE
- Breezy conditions starting Monday
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1203 PM MDT Sat May 9 2026
Even with a couple of weak storms clipping eastern Idaho today and Monday, we should stay dry until a bigger low moves inland. Temperatures will rapidly climb through the 80s and into the low 90s, with the warmest day on Tuesday. That will put us at 20-25 degrees ABOVE AVERAGE through the first half of the upcoming week. That also puts many locations within reach of breaking daily record high temperatures Monday-Wednesday. Looking at the full range of temperatures, the current Blend of Models COULD still be coming 1-4 degrees cooler than the high end of the forecast range. The wild card for high temperatures will be on Wednesday, as there is quite a bit of variability in when the first round of showers and storms arrives along with the low itself moving inland. IF things slow down or overall end up with more sunshine aided by downslope winds, we may see warmer spots actually flirting with 95 degrees Wednesday. For the latter half of next week, we do pull in some moisture from the southwest ahead of low pressure that eventually shifts across the state Thursday into Friday. That will push temperatures back down into the 60s and 70s and increasing the chance of showers and thunderstorms.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/
Issued at 953 PM MDT Sat May 9 2026
Expect VFR conditions with mostly clear skies and overall light winds through the period under high pressure. Expect slightly breezy westerly afternoon wind gusts of 15 to 20 kts for IDA and PIH.
PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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