textproduct: Pocatello
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Dry and warmer conditions likely through Monday morning - Rain, snow, and wind Tuesday and Wednesday
- Above average temperatures throughout next week
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1206 PM MST Sat Feb 21 2026
Tonight through Monday afternoon...
Dry and warm conditions continue into Monday. Highs for most population centers push into the mid 40s to mid 50s. It will be in the 30s and 40s up in the mountains during this short stretch. We MAY see a shower creep into areas along the Salmon River later Monday afternoon.
Monday evening through Saturday...
Tuesday and Wednesday look pretty wet up in the mountains, but with warmer temperatures persisting...snow accumulations will be higher up on the slope. While light accumulations may fall somewhere between 6000-7000ft, higher accumulations are likely contained to 7500-8000ft and higher. Looking at pure rain/melted snow numbers, favored areas will be the same as they've been all winter...Sawtooths/surrounding ranges, eastern highlands, and the Bear River Range. There is a 30-70% chance of exceeding 1.0" for the Sawtooth area, 30-60% for the Bear River Range, and 35-65% for the eastern highlands including the Tetons. For exceeding 1.5", there is a 20-30% chance for the Sawtooths, 20-40% for the eastern highlands, and 10-20% for the Bear River Range. It does look breezy across the board especially Wednesday. We MAY see some lingering mountain showers for the end of next week. The models continue pretty much bone dry Thursday onward, however our Blend of Models keeps precipitation around. This is indicative of some model ensembles and AI versions of models having some potential for rain or snow showers during that period. Even if we do get some precipitation, temperatures still could run 5-10 degrees above average.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/
Issued at 448 PM MST Sat Feb 21 2026
No major changes to the TAFs. All sites are VFR this evening and expected to remain VFR overnight as mid and upper level cloud cover increases. VFR conditions are in store for the rest of Sunday as a ridge of high pressure moves directly over Eastern Idaho.
PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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