textproduct: Pocatello

KEY MESSAGES

- Daily chance of showers and thunderstorms through midweek with a mix of wet and dry thunderstorms

- Critical fire weather conditions expected this afternoon across the southern highlands along the Utah border due to thunderstorms

- Drier weather returns for the second half of the week with hot conditions likely for the weekend

DISCUSSION

Issued at 155 AM MDT Tue Jul 7 2026

Another wave of thunderstorms is likely for Tuesday. This will start with virga showers streaming into the southern highlands mid to late morning. These showers will intensify with the heat of the day with scattered thunderstorms expected mainly over the southern highlands for Tuesday afternoon. With dew points ranging from the mid 40s to low 50s, expect a mix of wet and dry storms. Rainfall amounts under heaviest of storms could very well exceed 0.10 inches. Gusty outflow winds are once again expected near storms.

A front will approach the region Wednesday but not arrive until Wednesday Night. Ahead of the front, another round of isolated to scattered thunderstorms is expected. Convection on Wednesday could be a bit more widespread and not contained to the southern highlands. Once again, probably looking at a mix of wet and dry with moisture not expected to change significantly. Temps for Tuesday and Wednesday will remain mild with highs across the Snake Plain and Magic Valley near 90 or in the low 90s.

Drier weather is likely for Thursday behind the front with temps still likely sitting around 90 for the Snake Plain and Magic Valley. Temps climb as we head into the weekend. Potentially looking at widespread 100 degree heat for the Snake Plain and Magic Valley which could result in our first heat alerts of the year.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 155 AM MDT Tue Jul 7 2026

Main concern is scattered thunderstorms this afternoon producing strong, gusty erratic winds near TAF sites. Most sites will carry at PROB30 this afternoon. SUN is the exception with most models keeping convection south of them. There is a slight chance that some showers could work in at SUN in the evening.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 155 AM MDT Tue Jul 7 2026

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected once again this afternoon. Best chances are across the southern highlands where red flag warnings are in effect. Gusty outflow winds are likely near storms with the potential for up to 0.10 inches of rain underneath the core of the storms.

PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Red Flag Warning from 2 PM this afternoon to 9 PM MDT this evening for IDZ413-427.