textproduct: Pocatello

KEY MESSAGES

- Breezy conditions are possible through Tuesday, but not as strong as Saturday

- Light rain and snow possible across the mountains tonight through Tuesday

- A major warming trend follows this system, with potential record-breaking temperatures in the 70s and lower 80s expected next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1137 PM MDT Sat Mar 14 2026

Winds continue across central and eastern Idaho this morning, but the widespread high winds are done. That said, we will be breezy on occasion through at least Tuesday. Even with high pressure eventually building north, we never get completely out from under the edge of stronger flow off the surface. At the moment, we are not seeing anything imminent that would cause concern for headline-worthy winds or bigger issues with blowing dust. We will need to watch how things trend. We should be dry until this evening and tonight. That is when the next surge of moisture slides across the state. Amounts will be light and mainly impacting the central mountains, eastern, and southeastern mountains. We do dry out beyond that, although our Blend of Models insists on keeping some occasional light precipitation across Lemhi County and flirting with the Frank Church. Even with that potential, above average temperatures are still coming our way. Before that though, it will be chilly today. Highs will not get out of the low to mid 40s today, which is about 10 degrees colder than ahead of the front Saturday, and below average. That is quickly erased as we are back into the 50s and 60s tomorrow. Deterministic Blend temperatures push highs well into the 70s for most of the Snake Plain and surrounding lower elevation areas by mid week. Probabilistic data still supportive of temperatures potentially reaching 80 by the latter half of the week, especially for the southern extent of the Snake Plain between roughly Pocatello and the Magic Valley. Deterministic values are running several degrees below the ensemble spreads for Tuesday through Saturday.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1037 PM MDT Sat Mar 14 2026

Winds have backed off, for the most part. IDA, PIH and DIJ have winds from the north currently. IDA has wind gusts of around 40 knots currently, with slightly reduced visibility from blowing dust. Winds for IDA and other TAF sites will likely back off by around 9Z. Clouds will mostly clear out for most TAF sites this evening into tomorrow morning with high pressure building in from the west. Models do show a weak wave moving through the high pressure late tomorrow afternoon into tomorrow evening. Expect gusts of around 20 knots for IDA, PIH and BYI in the afternoon tomorrow. Winds will back off some in the early evening. Have put in VCSH for all TAF sites currently for the early evening and have lowered CIGS for the late afternoon into the early evening tomorrow. All TAF sites look to remain VFR.

PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.