textproduct: Pocatello

KEY MESSAGES

- Afternoon highs gradually warm over the next several days.

- Dry conditions continue through the weekend.

- Wetter and cooler conditions return by mid-week next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 158 AM MDT Fri Oct 16 2026

High pressure overhead continues to mean warming temperatures and dry conditions across our coverage area. While morning temperatures will generally be in the 30s for the next few mornings, highs return to the 60s each afternoon, pushing towards near 70 degrees around the Burley area by Saturday afternoon, with temperatures just a couple of degrees cooler on Sunday. Overall, it should be a very pleasant end of the week/weekend for anyone with outdoor plans or if you are just looking forward to having the windows open!

An upper level low drops south along the West Coast early next week and will eventually bring us cooler temperatures and wetter conditions. Now, WHEN the precipitation actually arrives is a bit of a toss up at this point. The ECMWF brings some precipitation chances from this low to our area as early as Tuesday morning and then more on Thursday/Friday. The GFS does bring some light precipitation on Tuesday, but it really holds off on the main push of precipitation until almost Friday. We'll see how far south this low actually drops and how quickly it moves eastward and how models continue to change over the next few days. At this point, the NBM brings temperatures back down to the 50s as early as Tuesday and 30 to 40 percent precipitation chances to most of our area almost every day next week after Monday.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 523 AM MDT Fri Oct 16 2026

VFR conditions will continue for the next several days under the influence of high pressure. However, some patchy fog has been in and out of DIJ early this morning, so a TEMPO has been added for the next few hours for MVFR VIS. Winds remain light for the most part with a slight increase in upper level cloud cover overnight into Saturday.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 158 AM MDT Fri Oct 16 2026

Warming temperatures and very dry conditions will continue through at least the weekend thanks to high pressure overhead. Highs will warm into at least the 60s if not pushing towards 70 degrees in the lower elevations, especially in the eastern Magic Valley. Today and tomorrow look to be the driest days as far as min RHs go, around 12 to 20 percent in the Central Mountains and part of FWZ 422. Elsewhere, min RHs will range from 25 to 35 percent. Look for another system to bring cooler, wetter conditions back to the area next week.

PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.