textproduct: Pocatello
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Isolated to scattered storms this afternoon.
- Stronger wind Saturday and Sunday combines with very low humidity for Red Flag conditions likely.
- Saturday highs will challenge the century mark in lower elevations.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 153 AM MDT Fri Jul 31 2026
High res models show another day of isolated to scattered thunderstorms across central and east Idaho. As has been the case the past few days, strong gusty outflow winds are the main impact. Gusts approaching 50 mph are likely and even exceeding 50 mph in a few instances. Heavy downpours under the core of the storms along with small hail are possible as well. The ridge amplifies over us on Saturday bringing heat of around 100 degrees to much of the area. Good chance that we may see heat products issued once again. Looks like that we get enough dry air that we'll see a break from the thunderstorms.
A dry cold front arrives on Sunday which brings cooler weather to the area for the first half of next week. Weather looks continued dry during this time. Winds over the weekend look breezy but not strong enough for wind advisories.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 153 AM MDT Fri Jul 31 2026
Models show afternoon storms developing once again. Most likely sites to see impacts from storms are DIJ, PIH, and IDA. Gusty outflow winds are the most likely impact. Although a brief heavy downpour reducing visibility is possible as well.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 153 AM MDT Fri Jul 31 2026
Hot, dry and windy conditions are looking more likely across the central mountains into the upper Snake Plain for Saturday. The fire weather watch remains in effect. Temperatures look cooler Sunday but still expecting very dry and breezy conditions. Strong possibility that we could see additional fire products for Sunday.
AIR QUALITY
Issued at 100 PM MDT Thu Jul 30 2026
Air quality alerts continue for Custer and Butte Counties for the next 24 hours due to proximity and ideal trajectory of smoke from wildfires. Blaine, Lincoln, Minidoka, and Cassia County advisories have been lifted.
PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Fire Weather Watch from Saturday afternoon through Sunday evening for IDZ410-422-425-475-476. Air Quality Alert until 3 PM MDT this afternoon for IDZ052- 067>074.
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