textproduct: Pocatello
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Seasonable Temperatures Early This Week: High temperatures today and Wednesday will hover near seasonal averages, reaching the upper 60s to lower 70s across lower elevations.
- Unseasonably Warm Early October: Upper-level ridging builds over the Intermountain West starting Thursday, bringing high confidence in dry weather and temperatures 7 to 10 degrees above normal (mid-to-upper 70s, with localized spots touching 80F).
DISCUSSION
Issued at 214 AM MDT Tue Sep 29 2026
High pressure will build in from the west beginning today and remain in control of the pattern through the first part of next week. 500 mb ensemble clusters solidly support this upper-level pattern during this timeframe. This will mean dry conditions for the next week at least and gradual warming. Temperatures will run near climatological normal over the next couple of days before warming several degrees above normal on Thursday. Another several degree warm up on Friday will mean daytime highs nearing 10 degrees above average with some locations reaching 80 degrees, lasting into the first part of next week.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 503 AM MDT Tue Sep 29 2026
VFR conditions forecast at all terminals under building high pressure and clear skies. Winds will largely remain under 10 kts.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 214 AM MDT Tue Sep 29 2026
High pressure will build in from the west beginning today and remain in control of the pattern through the first part of next week. This will mean dry conditions for the next week at least and gradual warming. Temperatures will run near climatological normal over the next couple of days before warming several degrees above normal on Thursday. Another several degree warm up on Friday will mean daytime highs nearing 10 degrees above average with some locations reaching 80 degrees, lasting into the first part of next week. Minimum humidity is forecast to remain above 15 percent through the duration of the forecast period and winds generally light outside of occasional breezy afternoon wind gusts.
PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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