textproduct: Pocatello
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Breezy to windy conditions continue today and will combine with very low humidity for dangerous fire weather conditions. Red Flag Warnings remain in effect through 9 pm.
- No precipitation expected through next week with significantly cooler temperatures Monday through Wednesday.
- Temperatures warm back up to the upper 80s to mid 90s by the end of the week and continue into next weekend when very hot conditions are expected once again.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 140 PM MDT Sun Aug 2 2026
Main impact through tomorrow will be smoke impact with Air Quality Alerts in effect for several counties. Strong west to southwest flow has brought in the smoke and expect it to remain Monday as flow aloft shifts more northwesterly with several western wildfires ongoing. Many Red Flag warnings still in effect as well due to wind and humidity through this evening. Will see significant cooling on Monday as an upper level trof works east through Idaho. Highs only in the lower 80s low elevations and 70s mountains. The below normal temperatures will continue through Tuesday then another warming trend begins Wednesday with low elevation high temperatures well into the 90s again by thursday with very hot conditions expected through next weekend once again. Will likely see upper 90s by next weekend in the lower elevations. Forecast grids have no precipitation anywhere through next Sunday.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/
Issued at 522 PM MDT Sun Aug 2 2026
VFR conditions are not expected through the next 24 hours. Currently, smoke has mostly cleared up across the area and all TAF sites are currently VFR. Winds are still elevated but expected to drop becoming slightly breezy overnight into mid to late tomorrow morning. Winds aloft are expected to become more northwesterly by late tomorrow morning into tomorrow afternoon.
The HRRR smoke model is showing smoke moving back in overnight with 2 to 4SM expected mainly for IDA, PIH, and BYI. Models then suggest some clearing by late tomorrow morning into early to mid afternoon tomorrow. However, when fires kick back up to our west tomorrow afternoon, models show widespread smoke moving into our area in light northwest flow aloft impacting the area by late afternoon into tomorrow evening.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 140 PM MDT Sun Aug 2 2026
Red flag warnings continue today for low humidity and gusty winds. Wind gusts of 25 to 40 mph look likely across the warning area today. Lighter winds are expected for Monday into Tuesday along with cooler temperatures. Humidity levels will be a touch higher due to the cooler temps. The heat will return mid to late week with above normal temperatures expected once again.
AIR QUALITY
Issued at 140 PM MDT Sun Aug 2 2026
Extensive wildfire smoke has infiltrated Idaho today and an air quality alert has been issued for Caribou, Oneida, Bingham, Bannock and Power Counties through Tuesday. Air Quality Index is forecast to be in the unhealthy level due to the wildfire smoke.
PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Red Flag Warning until 9 PM MDT this evening for IDZ410-422- 425-475-476. Air Quality Alert until 3 PM MDT Tuesday for IDZ052-054-055- 057>059-062-063.
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