textproduct: Pendleton

KEY MESSAGES

- Cloudy This morning with clearing west to east This Afternoon.

- Patchy Frost possible Tonight

- Rain overspreading the Washington Cascades Tuesday with gusty winds though the Gaps and Columbia Basin

DISCUSSION

GOES satellite showed a southwest to northeast oriented jet- stream across the Eastern Pacific into northern CA and across the southeastern Oregon counties. North of this feature, a low pressure was moving equatorward off the NW Pacific coast with AirMass RGB indicating a swath of cold air across Washington and the offshore region, with reds indicating the broader PV/deformation zones moving toward the southern Oregon coast.

Clouds will continue to thicken through the day Today, with clearing from west to east overnight. Longwave radiation cooling will drop temps possibly as cold as the thirties in the Kittitas Valley ( NBM shows the lower end of what is a reasonable expected lows as the 25th percentiles of low temps in the mid to upper 30s across the Kittitas/Yakima Valleys and across the Lower Columbia Basin into central Oregon). The spread leaves large uncertainty though as the 75th percentile provides lows well into the mid 40s for most of these areas. Its fair to say patchy frost risk overnight is possible given the expected clearing sky.

NBM mean shows broad 20 knot surface winds across the Yakima Valley, Simcoe Highlands and Columbia River Gorge/Lower Columbia Basin of WA/OR Tuesday. This will be mainly a dry weather system passage with the exception of the Washington Cascade crest and Eastern Slopes as NBM shows small (less than 5% confidence) chances for thunder across the Upper slopes, and several tenth of an inch of QPF possible in those zones. Good chances (50-85%) exist for wetting rains across the upper slopes of the Washington Cascades Tuesday with chances for rain in the eastern mountains are much low at level about 10% or so. Low orographic shower chances lingers int he the Washington Cascades through late week, as the flow becomes zonal again across the area. Temperatures remains seasonal into the 60s and 70s.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/

VFR conditions will persist through the forecast period. Winds will be light and variable through the period with mainly high clouds.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs

PDT 63 38 71 45 / 0 0 0 0 ALW 64 43 72 52 / 0 0 0 0 PSC 71 37 75 46 / 0 0 0 0 YKM 67 39 73 47 / 0 0 0 0 HRI 68 36 74 48 / 0 0 0 0 ELN 63 31 68 43 / 0 0 0 0 RDM 63 30 71 35 / 0 0 0 0 LGD 65 38 72 39 / 0 0 0 0 GCD 69 37 72 40 / 0 0 0 0 DLS 71 42 75 48 / 0 0 0 0

PDT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

WA...None. OR...None.