textproduct: Paducah
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Dry and mostly sunny conditions will continue today through the first half of the holiday weekend.
- More comfortable humidity levels will persist through Thursday, then slightly above normal temperatures and higher humidity can be expected for the 4th of July through the weekend.
- Chances of showers and thunderstorms will return Sunday afternoon, with an unsettled weather pattern persisting into early next week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 136 PM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025
A relative reprieve in humidity today with dewpoints in the lower 60s on the backside of a departing longer wave trough over the Great Lakes region. Light winds may aid in the development of a little bit of ground fog tonight but soundings suggest moisture decreases with height for now so doubt it does too much overall.
An upper level ridge over the central plains builds to the northeast over the next 3-4 days leaving us in a dry and seasonably hot pattern. Humidity will increase a bit with dewpoints nudging back to around 70 degrees leading to heat index values around 100. The probability of any rain during the Friday-Saturday peak holiday period seems quite low. Some shower/thundershowers start to work back into the forecast later in the afternoon/evening Sunday with relatively weak hard to pin down systems nudging 73-75 degree dewpoint air into scattered convection in the afternoon and evening. Right now though there is no clear period where there is some kind of heightened risk for severe weather or flash flooding. PWAT values Sunday night look to bump against 2.1" so efficient rates seem likely but Corfidi vector orientation doesn't really point to training storms or flooding issues right now.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/
Issued at 1144 PM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025
KMVN already has an MVFR visibility in fog and that will continue through the night. They are not likely to fall through the cross-over temperature, so any lower conditions should be shallow. Used MIFG to handle anything less than MVFR. Cannot rule out similar conditions developing at KCGI and KPAH, but KEVV and KOWB should remain VFR. KMVN may drop to MVFR levels again by the end of the period, as well, but will not insert it in the forecast at this time.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.
IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.
textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.