textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- Chances for showers and storms (30-50%) return to the area today for mainly areas north and west of the Ohio River.

- Unsettled weather pattern arrives early next week with chances for showers and storms (30-50%) Sunday night into Monday and again Tuesday night into Wednesday.

- Above normal temperatures will continue through the weekend and into next week. Highs will range from the upper 70s to mid 80s.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 202 AM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026

A front currently extending from north of the KC area, northeast into southern Michigan will push south today. As this front moves into the region, scattered shower and thunderstorms will accompany it. While there is a few hundred joules of CAPE, shear is very limited which will limit storm organization so the threat for severe weather is very low. Temperatures will rise into the upper 70s to lower 80s. The front stalls out Friday night into Saturday before lifting north Sunday. A couple of showers or storms may be possible Saturday as the stalled out front lingers across the area.

The late weekend features increasing upper level heights associated with ridging across the central US and a deepening trough across the west. Most of Sunday looks dry ahead of an unsettled period next week. Storm chances increase Sunday night into Monday due to warm air advection and increasing southwesterly flow aloft. A ridge of high pressure expands across the southeast Monday night into Tuesday bringing drier conditions as activity gets pushed further north. We continue to monitor the midweek system which could bring us more appreciable rain/storm chances. An upper trough will quickly lift across the northern plains Tuesday into Wednesday bringing a front near or through the area.

Well above normal temperatures will remain through the period, with most readings 10-15 degrees above normal. We may see a few locations tie or see records highs and warm lows early next week. The warmest day of the period will be Tuesday when NBM generally shows most of the area with a 50-80% probability of seeing greater than 85 degrees.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1035 PM CDT Thu Apr 9 2026

A weak cold front will sag south on Friday, causing breezy conditions with southerly winds. Sustained winds between 10-15 kts with gusts around 20 kts are expected. Mid-level clouds thicken in the afternoon ahead of a scattered broken line of showers. Heavier downpours and a stray rumble of thunder are possible at KMVN/KEVV, with a 30% chance of showers mentioned at all terminals. Behind the front, winds shift northerly and diminish to 3-6 kts Friday night.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.