textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- Near-normal temperatures are expected through the middle of this week, followed by temperatures warming about 5 to 10 degrees above normal by Friday.

- Dry conditions are expected the next several days.

- The next chance of rain will arrive Saturday afternoon and evening, mainly across western Kentucky.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1240 PM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026

Dry NW H5 flow and sprawling surface high pressure will keep the weather quiet across the region for the next several days. Temperatures will remain near normal today through Tuesday. However, as H5 heights rise, temperatures will begin to slowly warm up for the second half of the work week. By Friday, the area will see temperatures about 5-10 degrees above normal.

The only significant adjustment to the forecast from yesterday is the introduction of PoPs (25-40%) for areas south of the Ohio River Saturday night into Sunday. This is in response to better model agreement that tropical Gulf moisture will be drawn north into the OH/TN valleys (possibly remnants of a tropical disturbance?), and it is possible precipitation chances could linger through the second half of next weekend. The details are very muddy at this point, so expect additional changes to the forecast in the coming days for this time period.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1212 PM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026

The TAFs are VFR. Under mostly clear skies, winds will be steady from the N to NE through the forecast period. This afternoon winds will be sustained around 6-10 kts with gusts to around 15 kts possible at CGI and PAH. Tonight, winds will relax to 2-4 kts, then increase from the NE after 15z Monday around 5-10 kts.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.