textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

-Light snow activity is tapering off this afternoon into the early evening with light additional accumulations possible mainly in northern/eastern portions of the Quad State, while breezy northwesterly winds allow for blowing and drifting of snow. Although the Winter Storm Warning and Ice Storm Warning products expire early this evening with the end of wintry accumulations, impacts from the significant snow, sleet, and freezing rain will continue well into the early week period, so extreme caution is advised with all travel and outdoor activities as surfaces will be treacherous.

-Sub-freezing temperatures with intervals of dangerous cold windchills below zero will continue through all of next week. The most dangerous cold weather impacts will occur Monday morning and Tuesday morning when wind chills between -10 to -20 are expected. There is a 40-60% chance areas near Van Buren and Greenville, MO rise above freezing on Tuesday and Wednesday, while the rest of the Quad State is very likely to stay below freezing the entire week ahead.

-Flurries and light snow showers may return Wednesday night or Thursday night with a 20-40% chance of a light dusting.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1253 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

As sleet has worked its way east of the Quad State region early this afternoon, what remains is stratiform areas of light snow, and afternoon temperatures of 10-15 degrees. The broad area of low pressure that began the day near Nashville is now well on its way east- northeastward to the Mid-Atlantic, with breezy northwesterly winds streaming from the east side of the Dakotas high pressure to the west side of the departing low.

While the Winter Storm Warning and Ice Storm Warning are set to expire at 6pm CST as accumulation potential afterwards drops to no more than a trace of snow, significant impacts will remain. In northern areas which only received snow (with a few spots receiving over a foot of snow), some blowing and drifting of snow will be possible as wind gusts this evening remain 15-25 mph. Across the Quad State, roads and sidewalks will take quite some time to be cleared so caution is strongly advised today and into the start of the workweek. The southern half of the Quad State, which had received sleet (and freezing rain mainly from around Murray to Greenville in Kentucky and areas to the southeast) further exacerbated hazards. For the Paducah CWA, Todd County has around 5% of the county without power at this time (down from a peak near 15%), with outages more widespread outside the CWA in South-Central KY and in TN. Use caution when shoveling and be careful of any snowy and icy piles sliding off of roofs.

Our ongoing dangerously cold temperatures and wind chills will continue through the week ahead. A large area of high pressure, centered in the Dakotas today as a 1040mb high, will continue to funnel Arctic air into the region. Our current temperatures of 10 to 15 degrees and wind chills in the single digits drop to lows in the 0 to -5 degree range tonight as clearing skies and snowpack provide radiational cooling. While winds will be present, theyll be advecting cold air from the northwest. Wind chills early Monday morning bottom out at a brutally cold -10 to -20 degrees. Highs Monday are forecast to be 10 to 20 degrees (coldest in the Evansville Tri-State/I-64 corridor, warmest in the Ozarks), with wind chills remaining in the single digits for the most part. A transition to southwesterly surface winds Monday night ahead of a low pressure system tracking southeastward to the Great Lakes will likely keep lows and wind chills a little less extreme Monday night into Tuesday. A cold weather advisory for today transitions to an Extreme Cold Warning at 6z tonight which remains until Tuesday morning. Make sure to limit time outdoors, bundle up if outdoor activity is necessary, check in on friends, family, and neighbors (especially in areas with power outages), and never use generators indoors.

With continuing troughing in the eastern half of the country and little in the way of melting snowpack early week (other than mostly sunny skies), very cold conditions are expected to continue through the remainder of the week. The Ozark Foothills remain the one area which could reach 32F on Tuesday and Wednesday during periods of more southwesterly (Tuesday) or westerly (Wednesday) flow. Elsewhere, mid-week high temperatures peak in the mid to upper 20s and return to 20 or below for the end of the week and start of the weekend. Low temperatures are cementing in the model outlook in the single digits for the entire week ahead, with a few spots dipping below 0. More cold weather products may be needed late week, though fairly calm winds will result in minimum wind chills fairly similar to low temperatures.

The NBM continues to hold onto mostly silent PoPs through the week ahead with a limited 15-20% chance of light snow in the northeastern edges of the Quad State Wednesday evening. The LREF continues to carry a 10-20% chance of a light dusting in the northeastern edge Tuesday evening and a 20-40% chance of a light dusting over most of the Quad State Wednesday evening. A broader area low percentage chance shows up again, with contributions from each ensemble, for Thursday as well. The NBM can at times underestimate precipitation in low QPF situations so this will need monitoring. In each of these possible instances of light snow, amounts should be a trace to a few tenths of an inch at the most.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1128 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Moderate snowfall is decreasing in intensity or will shortly for the immediate time being. There is one more band of snow over southwest Missouri that should move over later this afternoon and cause periods of lower cigs and visby reductions before the storm ends. Some ground fog appears possible tonight based on current data.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...Cold Weather Advisory until midnight CST tonight for ILZ075>078-080>094. Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for ILZ075>078-080>094. Extreme Cold Warning from midnight tonight to 10 AM CST Tuesday for ILZ075>078-080>094. MO...Cold Weather Advisory until midnight CST tonight for MOZ076- 086-087-100-107>112-114. Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for MOZ076- 086-087-100-107>112-114. Extreme Cold Warning from midnight tonight to 10 AM CST Tuesday for MOZ076-086-087-100-107>112-114. IN...Cold Weather Advisory until midnight CST /1 AM EST/ tonight for INZ081-082-085>088. Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM CST /7 PM EST/ this evening for INZ081-082-085>088. Extreme Cold Warning from midnight CST /1 AM EST/ tonight to 10 AM CST /11 AM EST/ Tuesday for INZ081-082-085>088. KY...Cold Weather Advisory until midnight CST tonight for KYZ001>022. Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for KYZ001>008-010-011-013>016-018>020. Extreme Cold Warning from midnight tonight to 10 AM CST Tuesday for KYZ001>022. Ice Storm Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for KYZ009-012- 017-021-022.