textproduct: Paducah
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- A pleasantly cool/dry period will persist thru the weekend, with mostly 70s and 50s slated for highs and lows.
- A warmup to more summer-like 80s and 60s can be expected by the middle of next week, which is when appreciable rain chances likewise return.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1210 PM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026
An almost Rex-like blocking pattern holds thru the weekend, with the influx low level flow pattern maintaining north to northeasterlies for the bulk of that period. Satellite and sounding data shows extensive moisture reinforcents on the way, cited in the soundings lower column up to about 5K (BNA) to 7K (ILN) feet holding firm, so BINOVC may be hard to mix to more abundant sunshine during this at least near term period, and sky condition/temps have been adjusted to account as the NBM hasn't been exceptional with its capture. This pattern peristence will keep pleasantly cooler and drier conditions with 70s and 50s predominant for highs and lows.
That will be followed by a warmup that ensues for the middle part of next week, to more summer-like 80s and 60s for highs and lows as the surface influx flow returns to southerlies coincident with the block breaking down. Developing/approaching troffing from the west will likewise return pcpn chances, though it is a little early to speculate on strong/svr storm chances...but that's the time to look for it as pops start to rise with the building heat/humidity and an approaching system entering the medium to longer range forecast picture. Noted the 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks Above/Above for Temps/Pcpn, so perhaps another prolonged duration warmer period is in store if it pans out.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
Issued at 1210 PM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026
Low level decks with restricted CIGS will maintain but gradually lift thru the course of the afternoon. While BINOVC is anticipated to offer some temporary base improvements at times, we think the models underplay of the reinforcing low level moisture from N-NE inflow keeps a more pessimistic sky condition forecast, certainly in the first half of the forecast, so have adjusted the terminals accordingly.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.
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