textproduct: Paducah

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- After sunset tonight, dry till Sunday.

- 50-80% chance of showers and storms Sunday potentially bringing up to around 2" of rainfall by Monday night.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 306 PM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026

Lingering showers and thunderstorms continue to drift southeast with time this afternoon and evening and should clear the area by around sunset. Broad troughing aloft shifts east by Saturday as a few more shortwaves roll through the trof but do not affect us. Conditions are expected to be dry till Sunday. While high temperatures will remain in the lower to mid 80s, northwest flow will advect in lower dew points, around 60 degrees, which will make it feel slightly more comfortable.

More zonal flow aloft by Sunday will yield to a few embedded shortwaves which will bring a 50-80% chance of showers and storms on Sunday. Severe weather is not anticipated at this time. Total rainfall across Sunday and Monday could bring an additional one to two inches. After a brief break on Tuesday models greatly diverge (particularly the EC vs GFS) in their solutions. A warm front that lifts north on Monday then moves back south as a cold front on Tuesday. The EC brings precip with a shortwave aloft on Wednesday into Thursday. Whereas the GFS has a closed low system that swings through the Great Lakes on Tuesday into Wednesday and keeps us dry, with the potential for brief wrap around showers Wednesday night.

Dewpoints return to the 70s Sunday and Monday with the return of showers and storms and advected moisture. Highs will continue to be in the 80s through the end of the forecast period, but dewpoints will return to the 60s behind the cold front on Tuesday.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 1244 PM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026

A band of showers and a few embedded thunderstorms are moving south of the terminals early this afternoon. No impacts to the terminals are expected. Winds will veer toward the north at all sites this afternoon around 5-9 knots. Otherwise VFR conditions are expected.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.

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