textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- Gusty southwest winds of 30-40mph shifting to the northwest can be expected through midday today with the passage of a cold front, gradually decreasing during the afternoon.

- There are small chances of light snow Thursday night in southwest Indiana, northwest Kentucky, and portions of southern Illinois north of Route 13. Light accumulations, mainly in grassy areas, are possible north of Interstate 64, especially in southwest Indiana.

- After a brief warm up Friday, much colder air will spread across the region for the weekend, with the coldest conditions Saturday night into Sunday. Wind chills late Saturday night into early Sunday morning will be in the single digits down to around zero.

- A gradual warming trend will begin early next week, with small chances of light rain and/or snow Monday night.

UPDATE

Issued at 621 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

Updated aviation section for 12z TAF issuance.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 206 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

The latest surface map shows a cold front extending through northwest Missouri into southeast Kansas. This front will move through the PAH forecast area between 12z-18z. Gusty southwest winds are expected ahead of the front, with peak gusts of 35-40mph right along and just behind the front as winds shift to the northwest. We may see a few gusts just above advisory criteria, but the window of peak gusts will be very brief. We will continue to highlight gusts in an SPS, and will make adjustments if necessary. Small chances of light rain will accompany the cold front through mid to late morning, mainly in southwest Indiana, southern Illinois and northwest Kentucky south through the Pennyrile.

A weak warm front will lift into through our region late Thursday, followed by a weak surface low moving through the middle Mississippi and lower Ohio valleys Thursday night into Friday. Chances of light snow are expected late Thursday night into early Friday morning ahead of the surface low, mainly across southwest Indiana, northwest Kentucky and portions of southern Illinois north of Route 13. The best chances of some light accumulations, primarily in grassy areas, will be north of Interstate 64 where low temperatures will drop to around 32 degrees. Temperatures Friday will quickly climb through the 30s during the morning hours, so any accumulations will be short- lived.

Winds will shift back to the northwest behind the Friday surface low. Colder air will spread across the PAH forecast area Friday night into Saturday. Another cold front will move through our region Saturday, bringing in a surge of even colder air, and potentially some flurries to far northern and eastern portions of the PAH forecast area Saturday afternoon and evening. Low temperatures Saturday night will range from the upper single digits near Interstate 64, to the upper teens near the southern borders of west Kentucky and southeast Missouri. Minimum wind chills late Saturday night into early Sunday morning will range from around zero north 5 to 10 degrees south. Lows Sunday night will be a couple of degrees warmer, and with light to calm winds, wind chills will be near the actual air temperatures.

Temperatures will begin to moderate early next week as high pressure moves off to our east and winds shift to the south Monday and continue through Tuesday. The model blend persists in producing some very low chances of rain or a wintry mix Monday night, but there continue to be a wide variety of model solutions, some of which keep our region dry through Tuesday.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 621 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

Southwest winds at 10-20kts with gusts of 20-25kts will shift to the west and northwest, increasing to 15-25kts with gusts to 25-35kts between 13z-18z. Winds will gradually decrease after 20z, with speeds at 5-10kts by 00z. Conditions at KPAH/KCGI will be VFR through the TAF period. At KMVN/KEVV/KOWB, patchy light rain is possible through 16z and conditions will be VFR, with cigs becoming MVFR at KMVN around 17z, and at KEVV/KOWB between 20z-22z, and persisting through the end of the TAF period.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.