textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- Near-normal temperatures are expected through the middle of this week, followed by temperatures warming to above normal late week into the weekend.

- Dry conditions are expected through the workweek, with the next chance of rain starting Sunday mainly across Western Kentucky.

UPDATE

Issued at 613 PM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

Updated Aviation discussion for the 00z TAF issuance.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1233 PM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

The region sits in a relatively dry and benign pattern this afternoon, with light northeast winds pushing out of high pressure centered over Ohio. High temperatures are working into the mid 70s and relatively stable weather looks likely for the next several days. Max temps will creep upwards through the next couple of days, likely pushing above 80 each day but the moderate northeast flow and lack of any return flow should keep humidity levels comfortable.

The tropics may produce the next notable weather element for the region. A system currently in the southern Bay of Campeche has the potential to become more organized over the next few days. A compilation of global models shows something moving into the north central Gulf by Saturday and possibly impacting this area Sunday or Monday. The actual final intensity and organization of any system that forms would have substantial influence on any track or impacts the system brings, particularly for this area. 30-40% rain chances enter the forecast on Sunday and if current model trends hold those would be on track to increase as we get closer.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 613 PM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

Light NE winds around 2-5 kts tonight will shift to the E to SE around 4-7kts after 15z through the rest of the forecast period. Other than some shallow river fog development at CGI around daybreak (10-12z), VFR conditions are expected.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.