textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- Pleasant weather with seasonably warm temperatures will continue today and Friday.

- Temperature and humidity levels will begin to creep upward on Saturday, but the forecast now looks to stay dry.

- Increasingly muggy and unsettled conditions arrive Sunday and will continue through the middle next week, with daily chances (25-75%) of showers and thunderstorms.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1159 PM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

High pressure and H5 ridging over the Great Lakes and Midwest will bring continued dry and comfortable conditions to the region today and tomorrow. Thermal profiles remain near typical early June values, so temperatures will be near normal values, with highs in the lower to middle 80s and overnight lows in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

By this weekend, the ridging over the region will begin to become suppressed by deepening troughing over the central Great Plains. A surface cold front will attempt to move into the region as early as Saturday night. The latest model guidance has trended a bit slower with the arrival of the front, so Saturday now looks to be mainly dry and warm with highs in the middle to upper 80s.

Model guidance has come into better agreement with the timing of precipitation chances Sunday into the middle of next week. At this time, PoPs will rise to 25-50% on Sunday, followed by 50-75% chance for Monday, then lingering 25-50% PoPs Tuesday and Wednesday as the cold front gradually washes out. Given the potential for multiple rounds of thunderstorms, total QPF values for the Sunday to Wednesday period have risen around 0.75-1.25" across southeast MO, southwest IL, and the KY Purchase region. Further north and east across the Evansville Tri-State, southeast IL, and the KY Pennyrile, rainfall totals current stand around 0.25-0.75". Depending on mesoscale trends, locally higher values are possible.

Finally, increasing Gulf moisture ahead of the front will bring a return of noticeable humidity levels beginning Saturday, with dew point temperatures rising into the upper 60s and lower 70s through Sunday, then values in the middle to upper 70s values (very gooey!) forecast Monday and Tuesday.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 500 PM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

Strong high pressure at the surface and aloft dominates the forecast, so there exists only subtleties to the otherwise Visual Flight Rules package. FEW-SCT mainly diurnal bases will range from 4-6K FT AGL. Time/height cross sections indicate some sub 30 mb condensation pressure deficits might support temporary CIGS northeast, so gave that an afternoon tempo category just in case. Diurnal flow will be generally 10 kts or less out of developing southerlies tmrw, as the surface high shifts slowly eastward with time.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.