textproduct: Paducah
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- A cold front begins to move in from west to east tonight into Friday bringing rain showers with PoPs peaking (80-100%) in the morning and early afternoon hours. No severe weather is expected, but some rumbles of thunder are possible.
- Small rain chances (10-30%) linger Saturday, but high pressure will build Sunday brining dry conditions once again. Temperatures should be close to seasonal norms.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1252 PM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026
The large swirling upper low over the central Plains is hard to miss when you take a look at our weather picture this morning. Ahead of that low is rich east Pacific and Gulf moisture through a deep column with PWAT values over 2 inches producing areas of rain across eastern Kansas and Oklahoma. A combination of jet level and frontal ascent should keep a fairly broad area of rain and embedded showers and a storm or two going. These will move over the area tonight and through the day Friday. Peak rain chances look to be Friday morning, but expect at least some lingering rain to trail behind the cold front that should get through the area by midday tomorrow. Instability continues too look too meager for severe weather threats, and rainfall coverage and intensity look too limited for much flood risk given the antecedent conditions over the area.
Highs behind the front fall into the mid 70s. A reinforcing front moves through Monday bringing drier and slightly cooler air into the area which should help morning minimum temperatures fall into the 40s. A little bit of a trend to warmer temperatures looks plausible towards the end of next week but nothing to the degree we are seeing today.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
Issued at 1220 PM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026
VFR conditions are anticipated through the remainder of the day today. Poorer flight conditions move in tonight as a front approaches from the west. An initial period of MVFR will likely see IFR visibility in showers and probably fall to IFR ceilings by Friday morning through at least midday.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.
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