textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry conditions are expected through the rest of the work week along with seasonably warm temperatures. Highs will be slightly above normal in the upper 70s to lower 80s.

- Tropical moisture from the Gulf may bring portions of our region rain over the coming weekend, particularly Saturday night into Sunday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1255 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

Surface high pressure will maintain control of our weather over the next several days. The dry airmass will lead to a larger diurnal range with lows dropping into the 40s early this morning before jumping into the upper 70s to near 80 this afternoon. Did adjust dew points down a little bit from the NBM (similar to yesterday) which results in minimum RH's falling into the 25-30% range in some areas. A slight increase in temperatures is expected through Thursday, but then a wind shift back to northeasterly will usher in slightly cooler temperatures on Friday.

We continue to monitor a disturbance in the southwestern Gulf that is becoming increasingly likely (80% chance) to develop into a tropical system over the next 48 hours. Guidance suggests a possible landfall occurring along the Gulf sometime on Saturday and then the moisture streaming northward into the TN Valley Saturday night into Sunday. There remains some spread amongst guidance on how far northwest to bring the rain shield though. West Kentucky and southwest Indiana seem to be the most favored regions to observe a decent soaking rain at the moment. But this could easily shift east or west in the coming days.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1125 PM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

Calm winds overnight will become the E to SE around 4-7kts after 15z through the rest of the forecast period. Other than some shallow river fog development at CGI around daybreak (10-12z), VFR conditions are forecast.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.