textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- Well above normal temperatures can again be expected today with highs mostly in the upper 80s.

- As the remnants of Isaias move north through Alabama, then east of the PAH forecast area over the weekend, 50-100% chances of showers and some thunderstorms can be expected by Saturday afternoon into Saturday night, ending west to east late Saturday night into Sunday morning.

- Current forecast rainfall totals range from a quarter inch to one and one quarter inches, with the highest totals across west Kentucky, southwest Indiana, and extreme southeast Missouri.

- After a cooler than normal Saturday, a warming trend will begin Sunday, with well above normal temperatures returning Monday through Thursday.

- 20-40% chances of showers and a few storms return to the forecast Wednesday into Thursday.

UPDATE

Issued at 630 AM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

Updated aviation section for 12z TAF issuance.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 126 AM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

High temperatures today will be 10 to 15 degrees above normal with readings mostly in the upper 80s. Increasing clouds tonight will result in warmer overnight lows in the upper 50s to around 60 degrees.

The center of the remnants of Isaias is currently forecast to move through Alabama, into middle Tennessee by 12z Sunday, then into eastern Kentucky by early Monday. The model blend spreads 30-60% chances of showers into most of west Kentucky and extreme southeast Missouri Saturday morning. By Saturday afternoon, 50-100% chances of showers will spread across the entire PAH fa, continuing into Saturday evening. The best potential for some thunderstorms Saturday afternoon will be in west Kentucky, then Saturday evening across west Kentucky, southwest Indiana and southeast Illinois. Shower chances will gradually taper off from west to east late Saturday night into Sunday morning, with dry conditions across the entire area by Sunday afternoon.

The farther east track of Isaias remnants continues to minimize any real concerns across our area. Rain may be briefly heavy at times Saturday afternoon and evening, especially in west Kentucky and southwest Indiana. Peak wind gusts during this time period look to be 25-35mph, mainly across west Kentucky, extreme southeast Missouri, extreme southeast Illinois and southwest Indiana. Any threat of severe thunderstorms will be well off to our southeast.

Temperatures will be significantly cooler Saturday due to the clouds and rain, with highs in the 70s. Clouds decreasing from west to east Sunday will allow temperatures to start warming back up, and by Monday readings will be right back up to 10 to 15 degrees above normal in the middle 80s to near 90 degrees. Well above normal temperatures will continue through the week.

On Wednesday, models lift a warm front into our region, with a cold front approaching from the west on Thursday. The model blend produces 20-40% chances of mainly showers Wednesday into Thursday, with an isolated thunderstorm possible.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 630 AM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

VFR conditions expected through the TAF period with clear skies giving way to increasing high clouds, especially after 00z, and no vsby restrictions. Calm to light winds will become southeast at 5-9kts after 15z, decreasing to less than 5kts after 00z.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.