textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- Another arctic cold airmass comes through Thursday night into Friday for the weekend. A Cold Weather Advisory may be needed at times.

- There is a 30-40% chance of seeing some light snowfall (greater than 0.1") Thursday night with the passage of the front and a shortwave aloft.

- Temperatures moderate early next week to mainly above freezing.

UPDATE

Issued at 1034 PM CST Wed Jan 28 2026

Updated aviation discussion for 06z TAFs.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 229 PM CST Wed Jan 28 2026

Moderating temperatures and lots of sunshine continue today, helping to melt and sublimate some of the snowpack. Bitter cold returns Thursday night into Friday with the passage of a cold front and a strong sfc high pressure descending from Canada into the Midwest on Friday. With this front is also the passage of a little shortwave trof axis aloft. There is a 30-40% chance of seeing some light snowfall (greater than 0.1") Thursday night per the NBM. However, soundings are showing hardly any cloud ice Thursday night and saturation at the lower levels. This could end up being a freezing drizzle set up, but could more likely be a seeder-feeder set up where we get snow instead. Something to keep an eye on.

Friday will be colder with highs in the 20s and with northerly winds that will make for single digit wind chills. Friday night into Saturday morning lows will be in the single digits with wind chills below zero ranging from -5 to -12. A Cold Weather Advisory may be needed Friday night into Saturday morning and again for portions of the area Saturday night into Sunday morning. Sunday night another quick disturbance aloft swings through and may bring another light dusting of snow to portions of the area.

High pressure shifts to the east Sunday night and brings back southerly flow at the sfc. This will help temperatures to moderate to above freezing. Monday has mostly a greater than 40% chance to get above freezing except for southwest Indiana. Tuesday is mostly a greater than 50% chance to get above freezing.

There is some model disagreement about the timing and passage of another potential upper level trof Tuesday night through Wednesday. This may bring more precipitation chances to the area (right now we have 30-40% PoPs in the forecast). Given the warmer temperatures precipitation may be a wintry mix. This is still a ways out however and models should come more into agreement with time.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 1034 PM CST Wed Jan 28 2026

Guidance continues to struggle with potential MVFR or lower cigs that may develop on Thursday. Latest trend has been to push back the start time of these to late in the day or evening. Time height cross sections are mixed on the degree of saturation in the low levels owing to lower confidence. KPAH/KCGI are still the most likely terminals to be impacted. A weak disturbance may also lead to some -SN Thursday evening and overnight, which could briefly lower vsbys as well.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.