textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- Temperatures will approach or exceed records today and Wednesday and again on Friday. Both record high temperatures and record warm minimum temperatures are expected.

- Widespread showers and thunderstorms are likely (70-100%) Thursday morning and afternoon. Beneficial rainfall amounts of 0.50 to 1.0 inches are forecast.

- A cold front will bring another good chance (50-70%) of showers and thunderstorms on Saturday. Rainfall amounts will be around 0.10 to 0.25 of an inch, with locally higher amounts possible.

- Temperatures will cool back to typical mid-April values Sunday and Monday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1257 AM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Stout H5 ridging over the southeast CONUS will keep the region very warm and mainly dry today into most of Wednesday. Cannot rule out a stray shower the far west and northwest parts of the forecast area. As temperatures at 850mb rise to 17-19C (around the 99th percentile), high temperatures today and Wednesday will climb into the middle to upper 80s, with overnight low temperatures only in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Both record high temperatures and record warm minimum temperatures are probable.

Wednesday night into Thursday, numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop to our north and west ahead of an approaching frontal boundary. While the cold front will not quite make it into the area, the latest model guidance is indicating that an inverted trough will pass over the region Thursday, which will act to sustain the precipitation. As a result, rainfall totals have increased a bit from yesterday, now roughly 0.5-1.0" by Thursday evening. The timing and messy storm modes do not appear to be favorable for severe thunderstorms at this time.

Friday will be see another day of near record warmth as the ridging briefly expands over the region. High temperatures will again reach the middle to upper 80s, and a few locations may reach 90 degrees. The ridge will begin to break down more significantly Saturday into next week, as troughing over the Upper Midwest dips southward into the area. A surface cold front will pass through the area Saturday afternoon and evening, bringing another good chance of showers and thunderstorms (too early to tell if this would pose a severe risk) and more beneficial light to moderate rain. Drier and seasonably mild conditions are forecast Sunday into early next week.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1115 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

VFR conditions expected through the end of the period. Mostly high clouds across portions of the area overnight and tomorrow, though some few-sct mid to low VFR clouds can't be ruled out tomorrow. Winds will remain elevated overnight out of the south and southwest at most of the terminals. Winds will be breezy and gusty again tomorrow.

CLIMATE

Issued at 1257 AM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Record high temperatures for today and Wednesday: PAH: 87 (2006) | 88 (1977) EVV: 86 (2010) | 86 (2024) CGI: 86 (1992) | 87 (1992) POF: 89 (1929) | 88 (1936) MDH: 85 (2010) | 87 (2024)

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.