textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- Another wave of light showers are possible through today, although amounts will be quite light in areas that actually receive rain.

- Much colder conditions arrive tonight through Sunday night with lows in the 20s and highs on Sunday only in the upper 30s to lower 40s.

- Another shot of colder air arrives mid to late next week and likely continues into next weekend. A few small chances for precipitation exist during this time period, but overall looks fairly dry.

UPDATE

Issued at 1144 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

Updated aviation discussion for 18z TAFs.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1254 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

Current radar analysis shows a swath of rain across the lower MS Valley that will spread northeast across the TN Valley through this morning. The northern fringes of this may impact portions of our area, primarily west KY. Meanwhile the primary trough axis across the Midwest will pivot eastward into the mid Mississippi Valley today, resulting in some light rain being possible across other parts of the area through the day. Finally, an upper level low across the Upper Midwest will dive southward into the Ohio Valley tonight into Sunday morning. On the leading edge of this, a narrow band of light rain may push southeastward this evening into the early overnight period. The thermal profile may support some changeover to a few snowflakes with some of this before ending.

Much colder temperatures arrive tonight through Sunday night as the primary trough pivots east into the Northeastern U.S. Moderation is expected Monday into Tuesday despite northwest flow remaining in place. Another piece of energy diving south of Canada on Tuesday will carve out a deep trough across the Eastern U.S. Wednesday into Thursday. This will lead to another bout of colder air surging south into our cwa. On the leading edge of this some light precip will be possible Tuesday night into Wednesday. Likely will be primarily rain, but could mix with some snow before ending as colder air funnels in. Not expecting any accumulations with it though.

While a slighter warmer period may occur next Friday, models are hinting at additional waves moving in that will reinforce the troughing across our region into next weekend. In fact, temperatures may be even colder yet as the latest guidance suggests roughly a 40- 60% chance of high temperatures remaining below freezing next Sunday (Jan 18th). Overall trend in model guidance suggests a fairly dry period as well, although some lighter precip can't be ruled out.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1144 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

MVFR cigs (with very limited localized IFR) are moving through the Quad State at this time with a chance of light showers in the eastern half early afternoon. WNW winds will be breezy during the afternoon. A transition period late afternoon into the evening will see weakening winds and clearing skies. A cold front this evening brings in breezy northwesterly winds and a chance of light rain/snow (the latter mainly in the north).

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.