textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry through the weekend and then rain chances come back Tuesday into Wednesday. Forecast remains messy after Wednesday due to model discrepancy.

- Tuesday night rainfall amounts look to be measurable (at least 0.01") but less than a quarter of an inch.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 112 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

One more shot of cold air is sneaking across from the northeast this afternoon. Skies are mostly clear with temperatures ranging from the low 40s across SEMO to the lower 30s across SWIN. Surface ridging over OH/WV should work with weak low pressure over the northern Plains to shift a northerly wind today to a more easterly, but persistent breeze through the overnight. This should keep overnight mins a little bit warmer, although we should still go below freezing tonight.

The main element of interest in the forecast period is a pretty marked warmup into early next week that culminates in shower and thunderstorm chances as a cold front approaches from the north on Tuesday. The timing of the front and position of the lift looks to preclude any surface-based instability and the current maxima of heavier rain are progged on all guidance to be to our south over west Tennessee.

A large area of surface high pressure then sets up over the eastern Great Lakes region through the end of the week keeping things dry. Temperatures look to stay a little above normal through the remainder of the week although the specifics remain a little muddy as the weakly amplified jet pattern provides several different solutions in guidance, but most all solutions still look fairly above-normal temperature wise and benign as far as sensible weather.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/

Issued at 452 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

VFR conditions prevail with SCT-BKN high level clouds. Light easterly winds tonight shift southeast on Sunday between 7-11 kts.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.