textproduct: Paducah
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Confidence is high (60%-90%) that a late season heatwave will impact our region next week, with highs reaching the mid to upper 90s. Overnight lows also look quite balmy, remaining in the mid 70s by mid to late week which may threaten some record warm lows. Heat headline will be needed next week.
- Dry weather is expected over the next 7 days, and limited rainfall prospects may continue through Labor Day weekend.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 153 PM CDT Fri Aug 28 2026
A very stout upper-level ridge will build across the area this weekend and then linger through next week. The lack of strong surface flow/moisture advection northward from the Gulf will keep dewpoints from getting too out of hand (in the upper 60s to around 70). Transpiration will be a bit lower as well with harvest ramping up across the area. However, temperatures will increase to the mid to upper 90s! There is a 50-80% chance that temperatures will exceed 95 degree by Monday afternoon, but that increases to a 70-90% chance by Wednesday. Heat index values will increase to 100-105 degrees through much of the week, with the probabilities of heat index values exceeding 100 reaching the 50-70% range by Wednesday. Major to extreme heat risks will is expected to develop from Tuesday through the rest of next week.
This will be a dangerous and prolonged heat event for the area with some of the hottest temperatures experience over the summer. Record high temperatures are not anticipated; however, multiple record minimum temperatures could be observed from Tuesday through at least Friday with lows staying in the mid 70s!!
No major cool downs are in sight through this forecast issuance.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 1219 PM CDT Fri Aug 28 2026
High pressure overhead will lead to good flight conditions through the period. SCT cu will linger through sunset with bases of 4-6kft. Skies will then clear with mainly calm winds overnight. That will lead to some patchy shallow fog, most likely at the western TAF sites (CGI/MVN/PAH). Conditions improve again Saturday morning.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.
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