textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- Rain chances have decreased for this afternoon and into the overnight. Tomorrow's chances are more limited to the northwestern most portions of the area.

- A few of tomorrow's storms could be strong to severe and are limited to mainly the northern most portions of the CWA.

- Cooler conditions are expected Friday through the weekend behind the cold front. Friday will also be breezy with northwest winds gusting up to 30 mph at times.

- Sunday kicks off a warming trend with highs returning back to around or slightly above normal by mid week.

UPDATE

Issued at 529 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

Updated Aviation discussion for 00Z TAF Issuance.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 241 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

Above normal temperatures continue through tomorrow. A frontal boundary is slowly sagging south through the northern portions of the CWA this afternoon. The front will continue to drift south this evening and should end up south of the CWA by the overnight hours. It will then lift back north through the day tomorrow. The remainder of today looks drier than originally forecast with dry air infiltrating the mid levels. Some redevelopment may occur later this afternoon and evening but uncertainty is higher due to the models not picking up on the current situation very well. Some showers and storms could form along and north of the front tomorrow. A small portion of the areas including our northern most counties could see a few strong to severe storms with the main threat being damaging winds.

Tomorrow night a cold front comes through and brings cooler and breezier conditions for Friday. Due to cloud cover and a stronger cold air advection signal, have lowered highs slightly for Friday. Friday's highs look to be in the upper 50s and lower 60s with breezy northwest winds with gusts up to 30 mph (mainly for northwest portions of the area with lesser gusts elsewhere). Saturday highs look to be in the 60s but Saturday night lows could be in the 30s and could bring a first frost for the season. Sunday then kicks off a warming trend with highs coming back up to around normal or even slightly above by midweek.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 529 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

A front's slow sag across the FA will focus shower/storm chances with associated restricted bases/cigs and vsbys. IFR cigs are possible overnight with diminished shower activity with time, and may be slow/stubborn to improve tmrw but should eventually climb thru restricted base categories and approach or reach into VFR by/during the planning phase hours of the forecast.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.