textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- A 30-60% chance of showers and thunderstorms will linger across the Evansville Tri State this afternoon and evening. Heavy downpours can be expected, but severe weather is not anticipated.

- After a brief dry period, a 30-70% chance of showers and storms return to the forecast mainly over southern and western portions of the Quad State Thursday afternoon through early Saturday. The greatest chances (50-70%) will be Friday. Severe weather is not anticipated at this time.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 234 AM CDT Wed May 27 2026

Low clouds and some patchy dense fog will be the concern to start the forecast today; however, any fog should burn off quickly after sunrise.

The rest of the day will see a few showers and thunderstorms over the Evansville Tri-State area. The chance of seeing storms up that way will be around 30-60%. Plenty of moisture will continue to lift northward from the Gulf, which will continue to support heavy downpours with slower storm motion. The probability of seeing a quarter inch or greater is only around 20-30% in the Tr-State, while the rest of the area is around 10% or less.

Moisture will linger through Saturday with a frontal boundary and low pressure system meandering nearby. There will likely be a brief break in the precipitation on Thursday before showers and storms focus along/near the frontal boundary on Friday. The chances for showers and storms increase to around 40-70% Thursday night into Friday before dropping to around 30-40% Saturday. The greatest chances will be over SEMO into west KY. In fact, those locations have about a 40-60% chance of seeing greater than one-half inch of rain for Friday through Saturday, while the rest of the area has about a 10-30% chance. The frontal boundary largely remaining to the south of the area and very little wind shear will keep the severe weather threat to a minimum.

The chances for showers diminish Sunday through Tuesday. Temperatures will generally be in the 70s to around 80 degrees through the whole forecast period.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 531 AM CDT Wed May 27 2026

IFR/MVFR ceilings and visibilities will be in place to start this TAF issuance; however, improvement is expected at each TAF site within the first few hours. Otherwise, good flying conditions can be expected through the rest of the issuance with perhaps some additional fog development late tonight.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.