textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry conditions and a nice cool down are expected through the weekend. The coolest days will be Friday and Saturday when temperatures will be around 10 degrees below normal.

- Temperatures will moderate to more seasonable levels for the first half of next week. The warmer air will result in increasing chances of showers and thunderstorms Monday through Wednesday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 224 AM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

A few showers may linger past sunrise over southwest Indiana and the Pennyrile, otherwise, the forecast is dry through Sunday. A deep upper low over Ontario will shunt any rainfall Friday to the south of the Quad State, and bring a steady supply of cool surface high pressure through the period.

Heading into next week, cyclonic northwest flow will become a source of impulses which the models feel are sufficiently strong to potentially bring convection south/southeast into the Quad State. These disturbances will be fed by low-level warm advection, and the 00Z GEFS and ECENS have 70% or greater chances of rain over most if not all of the Quad State by Sunday night or Monday. The current NBM PoPs are only 15-30% in that period, and only max out at 30-40% on Wednesday. Gulf moisture return will be extremely limited to start, but should improve through Wednesday. The NBM may be right to limit PoPs through Monday, but it is likely too dry for Tuesday and Wednesday.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 640 AM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

IFR and LIFR visibilities in rain/showers will push east of KEVV around 12Z and KOWB around 13Z. Ceilings will climb to VFR levels at all sites by 16Z. Northwest winds will gust to around 20kts through much of the day, especially after skies scatter out. Clear and calm conditions are expected at most locations late tonight, so some fog development cannot be ruled out.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.