textproduct: Paducah
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms (60-100% chances) will persist this morning, ending from northwest to southeast this afternoon into early this evening.
- Conditions will be much cooler today through Sunday night, with a significant warming trend beginning Monday.
- Good chances (45-65%) return to the forecast late Thursday night into Friday.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 113 AM CDT Sat Apr 18 2026
The latest surface map shows a cold front extending from central Illinois into southwest Missouri. This cold front will make its way through the PAH forecast area this morning through midday, followed by an upper level trof late today into this evening. Numerous showers and isolated to scattered thunderstorms will continue out ahead of and along the cold front, with 80-100% chances across the PAH fa through 12z. Chances will gradually taper off from northwest to southeast through the day, with dry conditions pushing into far west/northwest portions of the region by 18z, and across all but the Pennyrile region of west Kentucky by 00z. 20-30% chances of showers will linger in the Pennyrile early this evening.
Skies will clear overnight as cooler air continues to filter into the region. Low temperatures tonight will be 7-10 degrees below normal with readings in the 36 to 43, with the colder readings mainly across portions of southeast Missouri and southern Illinois. Lows Sunday night will be 2-4 degrees warmer. Winds will gradually shift to the south Monday and this will begin a warming trend through most of the week. High temperatures by Tuesday and Wednesday will be from around 80 degrees to the middle 80s.
Models show a late week cold front approaching the middle Mississippi and lower Ohio valleys The model blend spread 20-40% chances of showers and thunderstorms across our counties late Thursday night, increasing to 45-65% chances during the day Friday.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 1040 PM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026
Limited changes for the 06Z issuance. Broken line of waning showers and storms are to the west across central Missouri. This line will continue its eastward movement overnight with a continued weakening trend. Made minor adjustments to timing of TEMPO groups for the line. Additional rounds of shower activity will continue through the day Saturday with MVFR ceiling and visibility restrictions. Improvement from west to east to VFR are expected after 18-00Z. Breezy south winds overnight will continue into Saturday becoming light Saturday night.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.
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