textproduct: Paducah
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Rain chances come back into the forecast Friday afternoon and overnight and again Monday night through Wednesday. However beneficial rain looks to elude us until maybe Tuesday night into Wednesday.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 106 PM CDT Wed Apr 8 2026
Sfc high pressure over the northeast today brings us southerly return flow and warming temperatures. Highs on track for the lower to mid 70s today and mid to upper 70s tomorrow. We transition to more zonal flow aloft as an upper level low moves northeast into central and eastern Canada tomorrow. The attendant cold front stretches northeast to southwest through northern IL and northern MO tomorrow morning, then becomes more east to west oriented and stalls out there by Friday morning.
As a secondary broad trof aloft pushes east through the Great Lakes, the front is pushed down into our area Friday night into Saturday morning. This will serve as the focus for some showers and storms Friday afternoon and overnight (20-40% chance) mainly north and west of the Ohio river. NBM chance of greater than 0.1" of precip is 30- 40% northwest of a line from Evansville, IN to Cape Girardeau, MO. The LREF chance of >0.1" of precip is also 30-40% northwest of a line from Evansville, IN to Carbondale, IL. Lingering small chances (15-20%) for showers and storms exist on Saturday. The stalled front lifts back north on Sunday.
Rising heights and ridging aloft for Sunday keeps us dry and warms the temperatures up into the low to mid 80s. Temperatures stay in the 80s through early week as we transition to more active southwest flow aloft. With the return of moisture, a few pockets of energy bring back rain chances (30-50%) Sunday night into Monday morning and again Monday night through Wednesday (30-50%). While it is still too early for specifics, portions of SEMO are outlooked in the 15% region for Day 7 (Tuesday) by SPC. The CSU MLP depicts a broad 5% area through most of the CWA with a spotty 15% area not too far away. This will be something to keep an eye on as it gets closer.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 1223 PM CDT Wed Apr 8 2026
VFR conditions expected through the end of the period. On satellite, some very thin high cirrus streaming across the area today. Winds are modest out of the southeast at around 6-10 kts. Skies will clear overnight and winds will turn more southerly for tomorrow. Winds will pick up tomorrow at around 8-12 kts with occasional gusts to around 20 kts.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.
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