textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- Breezy conditions are expected through the weekend with the exception of Thursday. There is a 50-80% chance for gusts over 25 mph tomorrow.

- With the shift to a colder and breezier pattern, wind chills will be a concern several nights. There is a 30-70% chance of wind chills less than 20 Friday morning. There is a 30-60% chance of wind chills less than 5 Saturday night/Sunday morning.

- Several reinforcing shortwaves aloft bring chances for a light dusting of snow a few nights.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 200 PM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

Enjoy today's warmer temperatures because a pattern shift is in store for tonight and colder weather will be here through early next week. Broad and deep upper level troughing will set up over the eastern CONUS which will bring a cold front through the area late tonight/early tomorrow as the deeper trof axis swings through the Great Lakes and Mississippi Valley. A band of showers will likely swing through ahead of the front (30-70% chance) from northwest to southeast tonight and will taper off in the southeast tomorrow morning. Winds will also pick up behind the front with a 50-80% chance of gusts over 25 mph. Breezy and windy conditions will continue through the weekend with the exception of Thursday as sfc high pressure moves through.

Thursday will be a chilly day with highs only in the lower 30s (mid 30s in SEMO). As sfc high pressure moves through winds will turn to the south Thursday evening. Thursday night an upper level disturbance swings through bringing a 20-30% chance of light snow to northern areas of the CWA. Some ensembles show about a 20-30% chance of seeing a dusting (0.1-0.2"). Wind then begin to pick up again Friday with morning wind chills in the teens (30-70% chance of wind chills less than 20 degrees). Friday highs rebound to around normal briefly before another front comes through.

Friday night another shortwave aloft rolls through, reinforcing the cold and brings a roughly 15-20% chance of another light dusting. This parade of reinforcing shortwaves continues through the weekend. The coldest temperatures are currently Saturday night with lows in the teens (greater than 70% chance of lows less than 20 degrees). Saturday night wind chills are expected to be in the single digits south to near 0 north (30-60% chance of wind chills less than 5 degrees). The cold continues through early next week with nightly lows in the teens.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 510 PM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

VFR conditions with decreasing winds are forecast for the next few hours before a cold front approaches from the north. The initial wave of the front will bring an area of light to moderate rain this evening, where stronger winds move in behind with a second push in the early morning hours Wednesday. Gusty northwest winds are then forecast for the rest of the day. Ceilings look to be a bit bouncy in the 2500 to 3500 ft range, but the probability of lower than 3000 ft ceilings is high enough to expect it for now.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.