textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- We will again see near record to record temperatures with both highs today and warm low readings tonight.

- 60% to 80% chances of showers and some thunderstorms will spread across our entire region Wednesday. 30% to 70% chances will continue Wednesday night and Thursday, ranging from lowest near the Missouri/Arkansas and west Kentucky/Tennesse borders to highest near Interstate 64. 20% to 40% chances will linger across all but southern portions of west Kentucky Thursday night.

- It will be dry, very breezy and much cooler Friday, with temperatures by Saturday into Saturday night 8 to 12 degrees below normal.

- A warming trend will begin Sunday, with readings by Monday several degrees above normal.

UPDATE

Issued at 650 AM CDT Tue Oct 13 2026

Updated aviation section for 12z TAF issuance.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1247 AM CDT Tue Oct 13 2026

Breezy south to southwest winds and lots of sunshine will again help push temperatures to near record to record values in the lower to middle 90s. With a little higher humidity than yesterday, heat index values will generally be 3-6 degrees above the air temperatures. Southwest winds around 5mph will continue into tonight, and this will only allow lows to drop to around 70 degrees, resulting in some record warm lows. Temperatures will remain above normal through Thursday, but clouds and precipitation will bring readings down several degrees.

Models continue to sink a frontal boundary southward toward, then into the PAH forecast area (fa) tonight into Wednesday, lingering across our region into early Thursday. 20-35% chances of showers and some storms will spread into southern Illinois and southeast Missouri late tonight, with 60-80% chances across the entire PAH forecast area Wednesday. 30-70% chances will continue into Wednesday night and Thursday, and the best chances will be along and north of the boundary, so this will focus the highest chances across northern portions of the PAH fa. Low pressure lifting out of the southern Plains into the Great Lakes region will lift the boundary north late Thursday, then it will drag a cold front across the middle Mississippi and lower Ohio valleys Thursday night. Lesser precipitation chances are expected with the cold front, with just 20-40% chances of showers and isolated thunderstorms Thursday night across all but southern portions of west Kentucky.

It will be dry, very breezy and much cooler Friday as we see northwest winds increasing to 15-25mph with gusts near 30mph. High temperatures will be around 5 degrees below normal in the middle 60s to around 70 degrees. The coolest period will be Saturday and Saturday night, with highs in the 60 to 65 degree range, and lows of 35 to 40 degrees. With calm winds, patchy frost is not out of the question Saturday night. On Sunday, a return of southerly winds will begin a warming trend, with near seasonable temperatures Sunday, and a little above normal readings Monday.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 650 AM CDT Tue Oct 13 2026

VFR conditions expected through the TAF period with SKC-SCT070 skies and no vsbys restrictions. Southwest winds will increase to 6-11kts with gusts near 15kts around 15z, then decrease to around 5kts around 00z.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.