textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- Very breezy conditions are expected tonight and Wednesday, Wind gusts 30 to 40 mph will be possible. As a result, a mild night with well above normal low temperatures is expected. Highs on Wednesday may struggle to reach normal levels due to cloud cover. Some light rain may sweep across the Evansville Tri State mainly after midnight tonight into early Wednesday morning.

- A chance of rain and snow is forecast over the Tri State once again Thursday night into early Friday. Temperatures will be above freezing, so no impacts are expected.

- A small chance of rain is forecast mainly over west Kentucky Saturday night near and just ahead of an Arctic cold front. This will take the Quad State briefly into the deep freeze Sunday. Wind chills Sunday morning will range from 0-10 degrees, while highs Sunday afternoon will not reach the freezing mark and wind chills may not reach 20 over much of the region.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 213 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

A Clipper storm system will push a deep surface low east across the Upper Midwest tonight and through the Great Lakes Wednesday. This will lead to a very strong pressure gradient over the Quad State tonight through Wednesday. Southwest winds will increase through the night, maximize Wednesday morning and eventually diminish by sunset. The winds will shift to the west and eventually northwest by midday.

A Wind Advisory is not out of the question in the 06Z-18Z period, but confidence is not high enough to go with one at this time. When ECENS has a 100% chance of 35+kt gusts, it is usually right, but it is not there, yet. The main concerns are just how deep mechanical mixing will be tonight, and the strong possibility of cloud cover holding down convective mixing Wednesday. We will issue a Special Weather Statement to cover it for now.

Also tonight, that clipper system will bring a chance of some light rain through at least the Evansville Tri State overnight into early Wednesday. Some of the guidance brings rain farther southwest across the region, possibly all they way to the Mississippi River, but the consensus keeps it up across the Tri State. Temperatures will be well above freezing, so it should be all rain regardless.

Thursday will be cooler after Wednesday's cold frontal passage, but south winds will return in the afternoon and continue through Thursday night, as another disturbance dives southeast from the Upper Midwest to the Ohio Valley by Friday morning. The associated precipitation will mostly stay northeast of the Quad State, but a period of light snow will be possible over Pike County Indiana. A light dusting will be possible on grassy and elevated surfaces, but temperatures are expected to be above freezing, so no travel impacts are expected.

As the disturbance exits the area, a weak cold front will pass through the Quad State, but southwest to west winds for much of the day will lead to a nice warm up to the upper 40s to lower 50s, if clouds cooperate.

A final disturbance may bring another period of rain mainly to the southeast half of the region Saturday afternoon and evening. Behind this disturbance, chilly surface high pressure will surge through the area, briefly plunging the Quad State into the deep freeze. Wind chills Sunday morning will be in the single digits, while high temperatures will struggle to reach 30 degrees. Even during the day, wind chills may not reach 20 degrees over much of the region.

Heading into next week, a warming trend is expected with some very small chances of precipitation. Temperatures will likely remain below normal, but not nearly as cold as Sunday.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 517 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Southwest winds will prevail tonight ahead of a cold front that will cause brief scattered light rain showers in the vicinity of the northern terminals between 09-13z Wednesday. High-level clouds will thicken overnight, eventually lowering to MVFR across the northern terminals Wednesday afternoon behind the front. Westerly winds on Wednesday will be between 15-20 kts with gusts 25-30 kts.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.