textproduct: Paducah
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Above normal highs ranging from the upper 70s to lower 80s continues through Friday. A cool down follows by Sunday with temperatures closer to seasonal for early next week. - Returning late week rain chances look best Thursday night into Friday, and Friday night into Saturday; just shy of 1 inch to just shy of 2 inches are the cumulative average storm total forecast rainfall amounts expected thru the weekend.
UPDATE
Issued at 633 PM CDT Tue Mar 31 2026
Updated Aviation discussion for the 00z TAF issuance.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1215 PM CDT Tue Mar 31 2026
Rain chances will soon creep back into the forecast, as a frontal boundary draped to our north starts to sink our direction. We'll be in a strictly warm advection environ finishing out the work week, so warm/juicy return flow sees daily highs in the upper 70s to lower half 80s while dew points climb to around 60F. A first wave lifts out of the Plains Thursday and offers more or less a glancing shot here, something to watch but best thermodynamics with it look mainly to our north and west. After a brief pause, the next and more robust wave drops into the forecast picture this weekend. It will drive a strong cold front thru the region, offering perhaps the best chance for ingredients to come together for stronger storms/better rainfall Saturday. Its main impact thereafter will be a strong cooldown closer to seasonal norms or even just below as we begin the new week in the 50s/60s for highs and 30s/40s for lows. The combo of clearing sky/diminishing wind with falling/coldest temps in the 30s Sunday night offers perhaps the best chance for frost headlines.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 633 PM CDT Tue Mar 31 2026
High clouds will thicken and lower (but remain VFR) overnight through the day Wednesday as a cold front sags southward towards the area. Cannot rule out a few isolated showers invof MVN and EVV after 15-18z. Handled this with a mix of PROB30 and VCSH groups for now. SW gradient winds will relax to around 5-10 kts overnight, then pick up after daybreak, sustained at 10-14 kts with gusts of 18-22 kts through the afternoon.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.
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