textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- Patchy fog is possible early this morning near bodies of water.

- Daily high temperatures today through Monday will be about 5 degrees above normal, trending closer to normal by the middle of next week.

- Dry weather conditions will prevail into early next week, with only a 10-15% chance of a sprinkle Tuesday night into Wednesday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1215 AM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026

A ridge axis associated with an Omega block is centered over the southern Plains this morning, while sfc high pressure remains in control over the Great Lakes region. Radiational cooling will favor some patchy shallow ground fog, mainly near bodies of water where exceeding the crossover temperature will be more probable. Otherwise, daily high temperatures today through Monday are progged around 5 degrees above normal as ample sunshine is expected each day. As the omega block begins to break down, the ridge axis nudges more east over the FA by Saturday. Uncertainty in the synoptic details increases Tuesday into Wednesday as the deterministic GFS was previously more amplified with southern and northern stream energy phasing over the Plains. Meanwhile, the ECMWF remains more progressive and zonal in line with the LREF, including the GEFS. Given meager 700 mb moisture and questionable 500 mb forcing, only a 10-15% chance of a sprinkle Tuesday night into Wednesday will be possible as a cold front moves through, bringing more seasonable temperatures.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 618 PM CDT Wed Oct 21 2026

Another calm and mainly clear night is expected. Could see some shallow fog develop across portions of the area closer to sunrise (particularly at CGI and OWB based on yesterday). Otherwise VFR conditions expected through the end of the period.

Winds will be mainly calm overnight, and will pick up slightly tomorrow morning and afternoon out of the northeast at around 6 kts.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.