textproduct: Paducah
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Cooler temperatures are projected to remain through the weekend with Friday and Saturday around 10 degrees below normal; temperatures then moderate for the first half of next week.
- A slight chance of showers is forecast in the north tonight, along with higher chances of showers in the north/east Sunday night, but more widespread shower/storm activity holds off until Tuesday-Wednesday.
UPDATE
Issued at 630 AM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026
Updated the aviation section for the 12Z TAF issuance.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 238 AM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026
A broad area of troughing across most of the country will result in continued below normal temperatures through the weekend for the Quad State. Winds are generally light with northerly components through Saturday. Upper low pressure is positioned in Ontario with smaller disturbances rounding the base. A fairly moisture starved cold front tonight brings a slight chance of showers to the north. A second upper level disturbance moving through Saturday is generally considered dry in most models.
A return to more southerly flow and the beginning of a warming trend commences Sunday. The NBM seems to be overly dismissive of rainfall potential Sunday night (10-25%), so PoPs have been adjusted upwards closer to the LREF (20-50%), though QPF only rises to around a tenth of an inch in the far north.
A pattern shift early next week places high pressure in the southeast and tracks impulses through the middle of the country, joined by Gulf moisture, allowing for more widespread shower and thunderstorm activity during the Tuesday-Wednesday timeframe. Temperatures rise early next week, especially the lows, as breezes keep overnight temperatures elevated. Rainfall amounts around an inch are forecast, though adjustments are possible.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/
Issued at 630 AM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026
VFR conditions remain through the TAF period with light winds and slowly increasing cloud coverage. Lower VFR cigs move in tonight with a chance of showers in the north.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.
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