textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- Wind chill readings of 5-10 degrees will be common tonight over the northern half of the Quad State. Farther south, wind chills will be 10-15.

- A warming trend is expected, with temperatures climbing back to normal levels by Wednesday. Temperatures will then be at or above normal through the weekend and into next week.

- The only chance of precipitation over the next week is a 20-50% chance of light rain over the southern half of the Quad State on Friday afternoon and evening. Rainfall amounts will be under a tenth of an inch, with the best chances and greatest amounts in west Kentucky.

UPDATE

Issued at 558 PM CST Mon Dec 29 2025

Updated the aviation discussion for the 00Z TAF issuance.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 237 PM CST Mon Dec 29 2025

Surface high pressure will slip to the southwest of the Quad State tonight, which will keep a west northwest wind going through the night. Low temperatures will range from 15 to 20, but with the winds, the wind chills will range from 5 to 15 degrees from north to south across the region.

Continued northwest flow aloft will bring a weak cold front into the region Wednesday night. The boundary barely makes it through the Quad State, and will have little impact on temperatures, as New Years Day should be similar to Wednesday.

Friday, a storm system moving out of the southern Plains will push a surface low eastward well to the south of the Quad State. However, it will try to spread light rain northward into southern portions of our region, mainly west Kentucky, Friday afternoon into Friday night. 12Z ensembles indicate a 20-50% chance of measurable rainfall with the best chances near the TN border. The ensembles also indicate that there is a 10% or less chance of anywhere in the Quad State receiving as much as a tenth of an inch of rain. It will be some light rain, if anything.

Modest west northwesterly flow is expected for the weekend into early next week. Dry conditions with seasonable temperatures are expected. The NBM has temperatures climbing into the 50s areawide for Monday, and the 8-14 Day outlook has a strong possibility of above normal temperatures. Looks like 2026 will start off on the mild side. Let's hope it stays that way.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 558 PM CST Mon Dec 29 2025

Overcast 2000-4000 ft clouds are moving through the Quad State this evening. Breezy NNW winds trend lighter through the night. Tuesday brings clearing during the day (some high clouds move in from the north late) with winds shifting towards westerly/southwesterly.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.