textproduct: Paducah

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Highs in the 80s and lows near or in the 60s will buoy a warm above normal thermal profile for our next 7 days forecast.

- Spotty almost daily rain chances will see stronger storm chances pick up toward the end of next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1201 PM CDT Sat Apr 11 2026

Current surface analysis shows us on the cool side of what will be a developing/evolving warm frontal boundary that warm sectors us completely by tmrw. Outside of today's slight chance mention with the boundary, we're dry most of this weekend until its passage. The NBM seems overdone with what are effectively some overrunning/elevated pops in the warm sector Sunday night- Monday, so we'll look at that as a potential target of opportunity for adjusting toward lower pops but either way, some chance mention is inevitable. It will remain dry in the low levels with afternoon RH dropping into the 30s percentile in most locations and maybe some upper end 20s RH in the Pennyrile/east of the Lakes. This will heighten fire danger combined with the winds that will become south 10-20 mph with some higher gust potential. Spotty warm sector showers can never be completely ruled out, but after the Sunday night-Monday night chance don't pop up again in more earnest til the middle to latter portion of the week. That's when the models have been developing a more robust low with attendant front(s) that will be making Ohio Valley appearance...where we outlook day 5-6 svr chances. It may be that best chances are ultimately pushed closer to the week's end when the primary trof axis swings thru...but that'll flesh out with more runs as we near in time...just something to watch for now as we continue above normal temps in the 80s with dew points in the 60s for the week, almost feeling summer-like.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1201 PM CDT Sat Apr 11 2026

A warm front will take shape and lift/make passage at all terminals over the course of this forecast package. That'll mean VFR bases generally with small non zero shower chances precluded from mention. Winds today will be light and variable but will ultimately warm sector and pick up a good breeze with some stiffer gusts tmrw.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.

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