textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- Much colder air will fill in behind a cold front on Saturday with the coldest temperatures being Saturday night into Sunday. Wind Chill values will be below zero. A Cold Weather Advisory is in place.

- The cold is short lived as temperatures moderate mid week and come up to the 50s Wednesday and possibly a few 60s on Thursday.

- PoPs come back into the forecast Wednesday night into Thursday as showers and potentially even thunderstorms.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 303 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025

We remain in northwest flow aloft with troughing to the east as an upper level low pressure system skirts through the Great Lakes. This system will drag a cold front through on Saturday and could bring a quick, grazing shot of snow along our northern and northwestern border. Highs on Saturday will be mainly in the 30s with a few 40s along the southern border.

Behind this front some of the coldest air of the season settles into the region with an ~1045 mb sfc high out west. Wind chills below zero are expected Saturday night into Sunday morning. A Cold Weather Advisory has been issued for Saturday overnight (06Z) into Sunday afternoon (18Z). Overnight there will be a brief window of gustier winds around 20-25 mph due to the airmass transition. Highs on Sunday will be the coldest we've seen, in the teens and 20s. The cold will be short lived however. As the ~1042 mb sfc high shifts overhead Sunday night and then moves off to the southeast, winds will return to southerly and temperatures will begin to moderate. Highs will return to the 30s on Monday.

As we transition to more zonal flow aloft on Tuesday, sfc high pressure continues to the southeast. That warmer southerly flow will bring temperatures up into the 40s on Tuesday, and will continue to climb into the 50s on Wednesday with a few 60s possible on Thursday. During this time another sfc low traverses the Canadian border headed toward the Great Lakes. As it passes over the Great Lakes on Thursday is brings another, but weaker, cold front through with sfc high pressure filling in behind. Highs on Friday will be in the lower 50s. PoPs return to the forecast Wednesday night into Thursday with this system and the WAA at the sfc, expecting some showers and possibly a few thunderstorms.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 506 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025

A primarily MVFR deck is slowly moving southeast on satellite. MVN, EVV, and OWB will likely see some barely IFR cigs for a few hours in the evening/early overnight before they return to MVFR. Winds are expected to remain out of the north and will generally be light until tomorrow afternoon when they will pick up slightly to around 5-10 mph.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...Cold Weather Advisory from midnight Saturday night to noon CST Sunday for ILZ075>078-080>094. MO...Cold Weather Advisory from midnight Saturday night to noon CST Sunday for MOZ076-086-087-111-112. IN...Cold Weather Advisory from midnight CST /1 AM EST/ Saturday night to noon CST /1 PM EST/ Sunday for INZ081-082- 085>088. KY...Cold Weather Advisory from midnight Saturday night to noon CST Sunday for KYZ001>022.