textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- Much colder air will fill in behind a potent cold front today with the coldest temperatures being tonight into tomorrow morning. Wind Chill values will be below zero. A Cold Weather Advisory is in place.

- The cold is short lived as temperatures moderate mid week and come up to the 50s Wednesday and possibly a few 60s on Thursday.

- Rain chances come back into the forecast Wednesday night into Thursday as showers and potentially even thunderstorms.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 126 PM CST Sat Dec 13 2025

A potent cold front is moving through the area today. This will bring extra cold temperatures to the region tonight. Wind chills are expected to be below zero tonight with a Cold Weather Advisory in place from midnight tonight till noon tomorrow. There is also the potential for some drizzle and/or light snow this afternoon that is present in some model soundings mainly for the western half of the area. Chances for drizzle/light snow decrease after 00Z this evening. Highs are expected to be in the teens and 20s tomorrow with lows in the 10s and single digits tomorrow night. The cold will be short lived however as an ~1042 mb sfc high passes overhead.

Temperatures start to moderate on Monday and warm up on Tuesday and Wednesday, and peak on Thursday as the sfc high moves off to the southeast. Southwesterly return flow will help us to warm up along with more zonal flow aloft by Tuesday. Highs will be in the 30s Monday, the 40s Tuesday, 50s Wednesday, and pushing 60 by Thursday.

A couple disturbances aloft bring back precip chances to the forecast starting Wednesday evening and peaking on Thursday morning. Precip will mainly be showers with a few thunderstorms possible. The EC and the GFS are now in better agreement with a ~982 mb sfc low over northern MN Thursday morning. There are still differences in the progression of this low and how much QPF we may or may not see. There is agreement, however, in a cold front being pulled through on Thursday. Highs go from pushing 60 on Thursday back to the 40s on Friday.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1112 AM CST Sat Dec 13 2025

MVFR and occasional IFR cigs are in place today and won't scatter out until around midnight and later. Some model soundings are showing the potential for some light snowfall around MVN later this afternoon/evening, but right now that is lower confidence, so only went with a PROB30. Dry air also seems to be impeding any drizzle formation across the area, so removed any mention of drizzle or freezing drizzle from the TAFs.

Winds will shift slightly from northeasterly to more northerly and will be northerly overall. Winds could pickup briefly later this evening at the western terminals with gusts around 15-20 kts.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...Cold Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to noon CST Sunday for ILZ075>078-080>094. MO...Cold Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to noon CST Sunday for MOZ076-086-087-110>112-114. IN...Cold Weather Advisory from midnight CST /1 AM EST/ tonight to noon CST /1 PM EST/ Sunday for INZ081-082-085>088. KY...Cold Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to noon CST Sunday for KYZ001>022.