textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- A pleasantly cool/dry period will persist thru the weekend, with mostly 70s and 50s slated for highs and lows.

- A warmup to more summer-like 80s and 60s can be expected by the middle of next week, which is when appreciable rain chances likewise return.

UPDATE

Issued at 617 PM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026

Updated aviation discussion for 00z TAFs.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1210 PM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026

An almost Rex-like blocking pattern holds thru the weekend, with the influx low level flow pattern maintaining north to northeasterlies for the bulk of that period. Satellite and sounding data shows extensive moisture reinforcents on the way, cited in the soundings lower column up to about 5K (BNA) to 7K (ILN) feet holding firm, so BINOVC may be hard to mix to more abundant sunshine during this at least near term period, and sky condition/temps have been adjusted to account as the NBM hasn't been exceptional with its capture. This pattern persistence will keep pleasantly cooler and drier conditions with 70s and 50s predominant for highs and lows.

That will be followed by a warmup that ensues for the middle part of next week, to more summer-like 80s and 60s for highs and lows as the surface influx flow returns to southerlies coincident with the block breaking down. Developing/approaching troffing from the west will likewise return pcpn chances, though it is a little early to speculate on strong/svr storm chances...but that's the time to look for it as pops start to rise with the building heat/humidity and an approaching system entering the medium to longer range forecast picture. Noted the 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks Above/Above for Temps/Pcpn, so perhaps another prolonged duration warmer period is in store if it pans out.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 617 PM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026

Guidance continues to struggle with the persistent stratus deck stuck across our region. Tend to think it will remain in place for much of the region through the night and into the morning on Friday, although bases may remain low VFR levels most of the time. Northern and western portions of the region (KCGI/KMVN) seem to have the highest probability of MVFR cigs returning late tonight into the morning. Confidence isn't overly high, but the low level stratus deck may finally erode away tomorrow, being replaced by BKN mid cloud.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.