textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- Well below normal temperatures will continue through Monday night, with readings moderating back to seasonable values by Wednesday.

- Small chances (20-30%) of showers and thunderstorms are expected Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night, followed by very breezy conditions Wednesday afternoon and evening.

- Shower and storm chances will gradually spread from north to south while increasing Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning, with the best chances (70-80%) Thursday afternoon into Thursday evening.

- Precipitation will end from northwest to southeast late Thursday night into Friday morning, followed by slightly cooler and less humid air.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1257 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Northwest to north winds will give our region cooler temperatures and decreasing humidity today, with these conditions persisting through Monday night. Winds will shift back to the south Tuesday, resulting in a warming trend and increasing humidity through Wednesday, with these more seasonable conditions continuing into Thursday. Wednesday will become very breezy as the pressure gradient tightens ahead of an approaching cold front. South winds at 15-25mph with gusts to around 35mph are expected Wednesday afternoon and evening.

A few showers and storms are possible Tuesday with a weakening surface boundary moving into our region and washing out. Much better chances will spread south across the PAH forecast area (fa) with the lifting north of a warm front and the subsequent approach of the aforementioned cold front Wednesday. 20-30% chances will move into northern portions of the PAH fa Wednesday afternoon, spreading south Wednesday evening and increasing to 40% south to 85% north by late Wednesday night. Chances will peak at 70-90% Thursday through Thursday evening as the cold front pushes through the area. Chances will end from northwest to southeast late Thursday night through Friday morning. Precipitation forecast totals Tuesday through Friday are currently in the 1.5 to 2.5 inch range, with localized higher amounts possible. SPC includes northern portions of the PAH fa in a Day 4 Severe 15% probability. Based on current timing of the cold front, this would be primarily Wednesday night.

Chances of showers and storms return to the forecast late in the weekend. The model blend produces 20-40% chance in the Saturday night to Sunday time frame. Models solutions vary quite a bit over the weekend, and confidence is not very high at this time, so future adjustments are likely.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1257 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Any lingering MVFR cigs or isolated showers will dissipate by 21z. Low VFR cigs will become SCT, with VFR conditions expected through the TAF period. Wind from the northwest at 7-12kts with gusts of 17-23kts will gradually become light north to northwest between 00z-03z.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.