textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- Cooler temperatures are projected to remain through the weekend with Friday and Saturday around 10 degrees below normal; temperatures then moderate for the first half of next week.

- A slight chance of showers is forecast in the north tonight, along with higher chances of showers in the north/east Sunday night, but more widespread shower/storm activity holds off until Tuesday-Wednesday.

UPDATE

Issued at 508 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

Updated Aviation discussion for 00Z TAF Issuance.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1241 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

A weak front will work through the area tonight. It may spark a shower or two but the overall column appears pretty dry, frontal forcing is limited and it seems unlikely to amount to much. We stay mostly in northwesterly flow aloft in the lower-half of the atmosphere through Saturday. Another weak front kicks through Saturday afternoon again possibly sparking a few showers. For the most part though, dry, cooler than normal, and benign weather appears likely through the end of the weekend into early next week.

A more active pattern then emerges Monday through Wednesday as a zonal jet max precedes a broad shortwave trough that sends as fairly synoptically strong cold front into the area (although the change in airmass is limited). A good chance for rain with a few embedded mainly elevated thunderstorms remains in the forecast. Moisture return still appears limited ahead of this system and the severe weather risk appears low. Total rainfall with the system is hovering around 0.75 to 1.00 inches.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 515 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

Some mid level bases will work down the column as the night progresses, in response to an approaching cold front. Most impacted will be the north (KMVN), where low VFR bases will have about a 3 hour overnight window for -SHRA potential. Upon late night fropa, all terminals experience a wind shift to the north, and some occasional gusts may occur upon its immediate passage. Otherwise, tranquil flight conditions carry forward thence with surface high pressure increasing its hold upon overtop migration, effectively ceasing gust potential into/thru the planning phase hours of the forecast; mostly FEW-SCT diurnal bases averaging around 5K FT AGL may develop then too, with KMVN showing some temporary CIG potential.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.