textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- After some light rain across the east half of the area early this evening, patchy light snow showers and flurries (20-25% chances) are possible across all but far southern portions of the region late this evening and overnight. A few light snow showers or flurries (15-20% chances) are possible across mainly west Kentucky Saturday afternoon. An isolated dusting is possible mainly in grassy and elevated surfaces, but road impacts are not expected. - A surge of cold air will push into the region this evening into Saturday, with a second even colder surge Sunday night into Monday. There is a greater than 90% chance of wind chills remaining below freezing throughout the Quad State from late tonight through Wednesday morning.

- The northern half of the area has a greater than 90% chances of winds chills remaining below 20 degree from late Sunday night through early Tuesday morning.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 157 PM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

A cold front is pushing through the region this afternoon, producing patchy light rain mainly along and east of the Mississippi River. Forecast models continue to produce light rain chances (30-50%) early this evening across southwest Indiana, west Kentucky and extreme southeast Illinois with this front. A secondary cold front will move through tonight. Low precipitation chances (15-25%) will spread across all but southern portions of southeast Missouri by late evening, and as colder air surges into the region behind this cold front, this precipitation will be in the form of light snow or flurries. A few flurries will be possible into Saturday mainly in west Kentucky. Overall, accumulations are not expected, but a few isolated locations could see a light dusting with any briefly heavier periods of light snow. Dry conditions and clearing skies can be expected Saturday night, with no precipitation in the forecast through Wednesday.

Much colder air will follow these fronts for the weekend, with lows Saturday night in the middle teens and wind chills in the single digits to around 10 degrees. Yet another cold front will be approaching our region Sunday, and breezy southwest winds will keep wind chills in the teens and 20s through the day. The cold front will move through Sunday night, and lows will be in the teens to around 20 degrees, with wind chills in the single digits to around 10 degrees. Areas along and north of Interstate 64 have a 40-60% chance of wind chill readings just below zero late Sunday night into early Monday morning. The coldest period temperature-wise will be Monday night into Tuesday morning, with lows around 10 degrees. Light winds will keep wind chills just a few degrees below the actual temperatures.

Winds will shift to the southwest Tuesday, resulting in a warming trend through Wednesday, when temperatures will climb to a little above normal readings. Models currently bring a cold front through the area sometime in the Wednesday to Thursday time frame. The latest model blend produces precipitation Wednesday night on into Friday. Uncertainty continues with timing and temperatures with this system, and it will continue to be fine tuned as we get closer.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 157 PM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

Predominant VFR conditions expected through the TAF period, though a brief drop to high MVFR clouds is possible through 00z at KMVN/KEVV/KOWB. Patchy light rain through mid evening and patchy flurries are possible from late evening through the overnight, but vsby restrictions are not expected. Southwest to west winds at 5-12kts with some higher gusts of 15-20kts will decrease to 5-10kts after 00z.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.