textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry through Monday and then rain chances come back Tuesday into Wednesday. Forecast is messy after Wednesday due to model discrepancy.

- Tuesday night rainfall amounts look to be measurable (at least 0.01") but less than a quarter of an inch.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 122 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

Kicking off a warming trend today through Tuesday with sfc high pressure over the eastern Great Lakes. Chances of seeing 50 today have come down slightly with the NBM deterministic being right about the 50th percentile now. Western SEMO has about a 60-80% chance of seeing 50 today and the KY Purchase Region has a 50-70% chance of seeing 50 today. Tomorrow looks better though for everywhere but the Evansville Tri-State which only has a 20-40% chance of seeing 50 tomorrow. Tuesday however, 50 is nearly a certainty across the board with majority of the area looking at a greater than 60% chance of seeing 60! The exception being once again the Evansville Tri-State area as well as along and north of the I-64 corridor.

Tuesday night a cold front comes through and brings chances (40-65%) for showers to mainly the southern portions of the area. Measurable (at least 0.01") rainfall is expected for most of the area, but amounts will likely be less than a quarter of an inch. Rain then tapers off to the southeast Wednesday morning.

After Wednesday the rest of the week is more muddy due to model disagreements. Temperatures look to stay above normal though thanks to sfc high pressure generally over the Great Lakes. There could be some various chances for showers but model differences make it difficult to narrow down right now.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/

Issued at 452 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

VFR conditions prevail with SCT-BKN high level clouds. Light easterly winds tonight shift southeast on Sunday between 7-11 kts.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.