textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- Temperatures will generally be a few degrees below normal over the next week. Expect highs in the 80s and lows in the 60s.

- Intermittent small chances (15-30%) of showers and thunderstorms are forecast from Saturday through much of next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 207 PM CDT Thu Aug 20 2026

A weak cold front has been slow to move south into/through the Quad State today. A few showers have recently developed along it from near Evansville Indiana to near Benton Illinois. These isolated showers and possibly a few thunderstorms will likely bounce around along the boundary as it slowly moves south, to the east of the Mississippi River this afternoon. It should be done by 00Z. Brief heavy downpours and a few lightning strikes will be the main concerns.

The Quad State will be under northwest flow aloft through the next week. The 12Z guidance brings disturbances through the area with some chance of showers and storms, but there is no agreement on the details of timing and location. It does appear that tonight and Friday will be dry, but after that the NBM has small chance PoPs (15-30%) thrown in somewhere across the Quad State just about every period. Looking at the ensembles, there is a near 100% chance that the entire Quad State will receive measurable rainfall at some point through next Thursday. So, expect PoPs to increase once the individual disturbances show themselves more clearly.

With the northwest flow aloft periodically bringing fresh shots of cooler, drier air through the Quad State, temperatures will generally remain below normal through the next week.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 1233PM CDT Thu Aug 20 2026

A weak cold front will move southeast across the Quad State this afternoon. MVFR ceilings will prevail at most sites along and just ahead of it this afternoon. All sites should be VFR by 00Z, but with light winds and mostly clear skies, fog or low ceilings are a good bet overnight. Leaned toward the low ceiling at KEVV and KOWB where winds will be a bit more persistent, and went with IFR or lower fog at KPAH and KCGI. MVFR ceilings could linger through much of the morning at KOWB.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.