textproduct: Paducah

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Temperatures will generally be a few degrees below normal over the next week. Expect highs in the 80s and lows in the 60s.

- Intermittent small chances (15-30%) of showers and thunderstorms are forecast from Saturday through much of next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 207 PM CDT Thu Aug 20 2026

A weak cold front has been slow to move south into/through the Quad State today. A few showers have recently developed along it from near Evansville Indiana to near Benton Illinois. These isolated showers and possibly a few thunderstorms will likely bounce around along the boundary as it slowly moves south, to the east of the Mississippi River this afternoon. It should be done by 00Z. Brief heavy downpours and a few lightning strikes will be the main concerns.

The Quad State will be under northwest flow aloft through the next week. The 12Z guidance brings disturbances through the area with some chance of showers and storms, but there is no agreement on the details of timing and location. It does appear that tonight and Friday will be dry, but after that the NBM has small chance PoPs (15-30%) thrown in somewhere across the Quad State just about every period. Looking at the ensembles, there is a near 100% chance that the entire Quad State will receive measurable rainfall at some point through next Thursday. So, expect PoPs to increase once the individual disturbances show themselves more clearly.

With the northwest flow aloft periodically bringing fresh shots of cooler, drier air through the Quad State, temperatures will generally remain below normal through the next week.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 944 PM CDT Thu Aug 20 2026

The main impact with this TAF issuance will come from fog potential overnight into early Friday morning. Visibilities may drop as low as a quarter to half mile at times, especially where the heaviest rain fell the past couple days. Winds will be light and variable. Improving conditions can be expected after sunrise.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.

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