textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- A significant warming trend will send temperatures rising 15-25 degrees above normal by this weekend.

- A cold front will bring a chance (15-25%) of showers and thunderstorms east of the Mississippi River Sunday evening.

- Temperatures will cool back to near normal late March values early next week.

UPDATE

Issued at 548 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026

Updated Aviation discussion for the 12z TAF issuance.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 133 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026

Temperatures across the region will soar well above normal today through this weekend, as an expansive H5 ridge over the western CONUS extends eastward. High temperatures today will range from 10-15 degrees above normal, but as temperatures at 850 mb rise to 15-18C (around the 95th-100th percentile), some of the warmest temperatures of the season are forecast by Sunday. This will yield highs on Saturday in the upper 70s to lower 80s and the lower to middle 80s on Sunday.

Sunday evening, a potent, but moisture-starved cold front will sweep through the region from north to south. Currently, only a 15-25% chance of showers and thunderstorms are forecast this weekend east of the Mississippi River. Locations further west look to stay dry at this time. Even with the precipitation chance, any rainfall amounts will very light.

Following passage of the cold front, temperatures will return to more typical late March values as high pressure moves southward into the region from the Upper Great Lakes. Humidity levels will be quite low as well, and it is possible that after several dry and warm days, fire weather concerns may arise during this period.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 548 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026

The TAFs are VFR. Passing mid- and upper-level cloud cover this morning will give way to mostly clear skies for the rest of the forecast period. Winds will be generally from the S-SW around 3-6 kts.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.