textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- A Frost Advisory and Freeze Warning remain in effect for tonight. Low temperatures Saturday morning will reach the 30s, followed by highs only in the 50s. A Freeze Watch also remains in effect Saturday night, as the growing season likely will come to an end Sunday morning.

- Temperatures trend above normal Monday through Wednesday with highs reaching the upper 60s to near 70 degrees.

- There is a 20-30% chance of sprinkles or light rain showers Wednesday evening into Wednesday night as another cold blast is expected for the latter half of the week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1108 AM CST Fri Nov 6 2026

A 1025 mb sfc high pressure over the central Plains will begin to build in tonight with cold tranquil weather conditions. Skies will quickly clear out by this evening as drier air filters in, favoring robust radiational cooling overnight. Widespread frost is probable over most of the FA with areas of freeze expected across the northwest where the boundary layer will decouple the greatest. Both the CONSShort and MOS guidance are running slightly warmer than the NBM, especially across the eastern half where there will still be a subtle pressure gradient to keep winds at night around 3-4 kts. Given a shallow temperature inversion that is about 1C warmer around 500 ft, have not made any adjustments to the Frost and Freeze headlines for Saturday morning as any additional locations that reach 32 degrees will be very brief. With that said, a Freeze Watch remains in effect for the entire region Saturday night as the growing season will likely come to an end Sunday morning.

The chilly airmass will not last for long as temperatures trend above normal on Monday to start the week. Highs will rise into the upper 60s to near 70 degrees through Wednesday. Mild conditions will not last long as a more amplified trough is progged to dig into the lower Ohio Valley during the latter half of the week. In the wake of 850 mb temperatures plummeting below 0C, a cold front sweeps across the FA Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday evening. While no rain is progged by the NBM, the LREF would support a 20-30% chance of very light anafront precipitation Wednesday evening into Wednesday night. Would also not be surprised to see additional sprinkles or light rain shower chances sneak in to end the week as a potent vort max will be centered over the FA with a prevailing northwest flow regime.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1108 AM CST Fri Nov 6 2026

MVFR stratus will continue to scatter out this afternoon as high pressure begins to build into the region. Drier air will cause skies to turn clear this evening with tranquil weather conditions prevailing through the remainder of the TAF period. Winds will decrease to a light northerly wind around 3-6 kts tonight through Saturday morning.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...Freeze Warning from 11 PM this evening to 8 AM CST Saturday for ILZ075-076-080>082-084>086-088. Freeze Watch from Saturday evening through Sunday morning for ILZ075>078-080>094. Frost Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 8 AM CST Saturday for ILZ077-078-083-087-089>094. MO...Freeze Warning from 11 PM this evening to 8 AM CST Saturday for MOZ076-086-087-100-107>110. Freeze Watch from Saturday evening through Sunday morning for MOZ076-086-087-100-107>112-114. Frost Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 8 AM CST Saturday for MOZ111-112-114. IN...Freeze Watch from Saturday evening through Sunday morning for INZ081-082-085>088. Frost Advisory from 11 PM CST /midnight EST/ this evening to 8 AM CST /9 AM EST/ Saturday for INZ081-082-085>088. KY...Freeze Watch from Saturday evening through Sunday morning for KYZ001>022. Frost Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 8 AM CST Saturday for KYZ001>022.