textproduct: Paducah
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Frigid temperatures and overnight/morning wind chill readings from -10 to -20 will continue through Tuesday morning.
- Light winds overnight Tuesday night and Wednesday night will keep wind chills closer to the actual temperatures.
- Another surge of cold air for Thursday night into Saturday morning along with higher winds could bring wind chills back down into the -5 to -15 range.
- There is potential for slightly warmer temperatures Sunday, but readings will still be well below normal.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 225 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026
Circulation around cold high pressure to our west will continue to bring Arctic air into our region today into tonight. An Extreme Cold Warning remains in effect into Tuesday morning. Along with snowpack across our region and despite lot of sunshine, high temperatures today will struggle to reach 10 to 20 degrees. Our day will start off with wind chills right around -20, improving only to around 0 to +10 degrees. Lows tonight will drop into the -3 to +5 range, and with breezy southwest winds, we will see wind chill readings from around -10 to -15. The southwest winds and sunshine Tuesday will help push high temperatures into the middle 20s to around 30 degrees, with the warmest readings over southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois.
Late Tuesday into Tuesday night, a weak cold front will push through our region. Low temperatures Tuesday night and Wednesday night will be -6 to +10, and light winds will keep wind chill readings near the actual air temperatures. A few snowflakes over our northeast counties is not out of the question Tuesday night with the front, with the forecast ensembles keeping the potential below 20%.
Another surge of cold high pressure will be moving south out of central Canada late in the week. Ahead of it, forecast models bring an upper level trof toward our region. There is some potential for some flurries or maybe light snow Thursday night into Friday, with the ensembles showing a 25% or less chance. The current model blend keeps our region dry through the period for now, and we will continue with a dry forecast.
The late week, early weekend cold air surge, along with increasing winds, will produce wind chills Thursday night/Friday morning of 0 to -8, and Friday night/Saturday morning of -10 to -15 degrees. Winds Saturday night will be light and shifting to the southwest, and this could finally bring a little bit of warming trend Sunday into early next week, although well below normal readings are still likely.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/
Issued at 1115 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026
VFR conditions expected through the end of the period. Clear skies today with northwesterly winds at 5-10 kts. This evening winds will start to switch around to the west and then the southwest. The westerly winds this evening could generate some scattered lower level clouds at MVN, CGI, and PAH.
Overnight skies will be mostly clear but winds will be out of the southwest at around 5-7 kts. This shift will bring in warm air advection which coupled with the snowpack could result in a sneaky fog set up. Models are not indicating fog at this time, so left it out of the TAFs for now, but this set up could be difficult for models to pick up on.
Winds pick up slightly tomorrow during the day out of the southwest to around 7-12 kts. There may also be occasional gusts to around 20 kts.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...Extreme Cold Warning until 10 AM CST Tuesday for ILZ075>078- 080>094. MO...Extreme Cold Warning until 10 AM CST Tuesday for MOZ076-086- 087-100-107>112-114. IN...Extreme Cold Warning until 10 AM CST /11 AM EST/ Tuesday for INZ081-082-085>088. KY...Extreme Cold Warning until 10 AM CST Tuesday for KYZ001>022.
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