textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- For tomorrow temperatures are trending warmer and precip lighter and later. Impacts (if any) look to be confined to a narrow window where rain may fall on sub-freezing surfaces amid above-freezing temperatures.

- While temperatures will primarily be below normal Wednesday through Saturday, it won't be as cold as what we've experienced lately. Normal highs are in the mid 40s and normal lows are in the upper 20s.

UPDATE

Issued at 550 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

Updated the aviation section for the 00Z TAF issuance.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 103 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

Main focus in the short-term is on a system projected to move through tomorrow. A shortwave trough (currently over MT/ND/SD) will help spin up a weak surface low over the area tomorrow. The trends for precip seem lower than the last 12-24 hours, with slightly later onset times as well. Warming aloft coupled with above freezing surface temperatures across the area result in the majority of precip south of about Marion to Madisonville falling as plain rain, with perhaps a little bit of sleet mixed in north of there. Cold antecedent ground/pavement temperatures might allow for some impacts despite above freezing air temperatures, but the risk for that does still appear to be decreasing given today's temperatures and available data on actual sfc/soil temperatures. Colder air moves in behind this system and we drop back close to freezing for highs on Wednesday.

A warming trend then emerges through the rest of the week with highs near, or slightly above normal. A fairly weak front then works towards the area this weekend with temperatures dropping back closer to 40 for highs but not putting us back too deep into the icebox.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 550 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

VFR conditions continue into the overnight hours. The arrival of high clouds, and eventually lower clouds, will likely limit fog potential overnight. MVFR to IFR cigs move in during the morning with a chance of showers (snow/freezing drizzle in the north, rain/drizzle in the south, better chances in the east) amounting to very limited accumulations. Vsby drops are possible with showers. MVFR cigs linger through the afternoon with northerly winds.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.