textproduct: Paducah
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- High pressure will lead to plenty of sunshine but chilly temperatures this weekend with highs only reaching the low to mid 50s and lows falling into the mid to upper 20s.
- Dry conditions are forecast through next Friday along with a gradual warming trend, with temperatures reaching near normal by Tuesday and above normal late in the week. There is a high probability (60-80% chance) of temperatures reaching 70 degrees by next Friday/Saturday.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1219 AM CST Sat Nov 14 2026
A deep 500mb trough centered over the eastern CONUS will gradually shift east this weekend. Meanwhile at the surface, high pressure will sink south and become centered over the Midwest this weekend and then across the Ohio Valley early in the week. This will maintain a chilly northerly flow across our region through Monday, although temperatures will gradually inch upwards a few degrees each day. As the surface high shifts east towards the Appalachians Tuesday into Wednesday, southerly flow returns which boosts temperatures back to near and then above normal heading into mid to late next week.
A prolonged dry period is expected through next Friday. Precipitation this weekend will stay well south of our area as an upper low dives south from the Southern Plains into the lower Mississippi Valley. As upper ridging builds across the Ohio Valley through Wednesday, shortwave energy will propagate through the north central CONUS but should stay well northwest of our area. The upper ridge will then remain in place through the end of the week, resulting in a return of above normal temperatures. NBM probabilities of hitting 70 degrees are above 50% by Friday, peaking in the 70-80% range by next Saturday. Guidance is in decent agreement bringing a cold front through the region next weekend, which would likely be accompanied by our next chance for precipitation.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
Issued at 1107 PM CST Fri Nov 13 2026
The TAFs are VFR. Pesky low stratus has finally diminished, and clear skies are expected for the remainder of the forecast period. Winds will be light from the N to NNW around 3-6 kts.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.
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