textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- Isolated areas of frost cannot be ruled out in low-lying, sheltered locations early Monday morning.

- A gradual warming trend in temperatures is forecast, with near-normal temperatures early this week warming to around 10 degrees above normal by next weekend.

- No precipitation is forecast for the next seven days.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 105 PM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026

The primary concern with the forecast will the potential for more frost development overnight. Opted to hold off on issuing another Frost Advisory because low temperatures tonight will be a few degrees warmer across the board, with most locations seeing overnight lows in the upper 30s to lower 40s. NBM ensemble probabilities of temperatures falling below 37F are only 10-20% for Monday morning, compared to 60-100% for this morning. However, winds do look to become calm overnight, so isolated frost is possible in climatologically-favored cool spots that are low-lying and sheltered. Will message this risk in the HWO and forecast graphics.

The rest of the forecast period through next weekend looks to be tranquil. Increasing H5 ridging over the central and northern Great Plains will drive a gradual warming trend in temperatures. Temperatures will be near typical mid-October values through Tuesday. Afterwards, they will trend to around 8-12 degrees above normal by the weekend. This would yield high temperatures in the upper 70s to lower 80s and overnight lows in the middle to upper 40s for next weekend.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1145 AM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026

The TAFs are VFR. Steady E-SW winds around 4-8 kts will become light and variable overnight through the remainder of the forecast period. Skies will remain clear.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.