textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry and less humid conditions continue through Saturday.

- Widespread showers and thunderstorms Sunday-Monday; locally heavy rainfall and strong/severe storms will be possible.

- Cooler and drier conditions return for the bulk of next week as highs steady in the lower half 80s with dew points mostly in the lower to middle 60s.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1228 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

As high pressure moves east, we'll see dew points rebound into the mid-upper 60s, and push 70F in our south, tmrw night. That sets the stage for what the models suggest will be some sort of MCS/complex of storms that develops Saturday night and pushes its convection eastward across our area Sunday. By then, we'll have dew points solidly in the lower 70s across the area, but clouds will keep highs mostly in the mid 80s. This will still be good for 4 digit MUCAPE, and with increasing mid level flow in advance of the approaching wave(s), we could see a few strong to potentially severe storms by afternoon/evening. High PW's in a training westerly steering flow will see efficient heavy rains that locally might cause some flooding issues should they repeat over the same areas with excessive rainfall. The parent low shoots east by Monday, so storms will be tapering off north to south as the convection tied with the front diminishes upon its passage. Cooler and drier conditions return thereafter and continue for the bulk of next week as highs steady in the lower half 80s with dew points mostly in the lower to middle 60s.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1038 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

Tranquil conditions will prevail tonight with VFR conditions. South to west winds gradually increase to 5-6 kts by midday Saturday with diurnal cu around 4-6 kft AGL developing in the afternoon.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.