textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- There is a 20% chance for a few isolated showers today in the Evansville Tri-State region.

- A widespread hard freeze is expected tonight and Saturday night with lows plummeting into the 20s. Temperatures during the day will also be quite chilly with highs only reaching the mid 40s to around 50 degrees.

- Dry conditions are forecast this weekend through the middle of next week with temperatures moderating to near normal by Tuesday and Wednesday.

UPDATE

Issued at 509 AM CST Fri Nov 13 2026

Updated aviation discussion for 12z TAFs.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1230 AM CST Fri Nov 13 2026

A deep 500mb trough across the eastern U.S. will lead to several chilly days ahead for us. 850mb temps drop to around -5C which will set the stage for our first hard freeze each of the next several nights. Today will feature continued breezy conditions as the pressure gradient remains tight before surface high pressure builds south out of Canada and becomes centered across the Midwest over the weekend. We may also have some additional isolated showers in our northeast this afternoon thanks to an additional lobe of vorticity that rotates through the broad trough in place.

Dry conditions are expected this weekend through at least mid next week. A cutoff upper low forms over the Southern Plains on Sunday and slides across the lower Mississippi Valley on Monday. Guidance continues to be in good agreement keeping the precipitation shield with this system south of our cwa. As this system pushes further east, upper ridging builds into the Ohio Valley Tuesday into Wednesday. This results in temperatures pushing back toward normal levels and even above as we head into the latter part of next week. Some solutions point to our next rain chance arriving later next week while others keep us dry and warm through the end of the week before potentially bringing an unsettled period sometime around Nov 22-23.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 509 AM CST Fri Nov 13 2026

MVFR or low VFR stratus deck will persist through the day mainly east of the Mississippi River. KEVV/KOWB may hang onto MVFR levels until at least mid afternoon. Can't rule out an isolated shower at our northeast terminals as well. N-NW winds will gust up to 15-20 kts through the day before subsiding with sunset and becoming light tonight as surface high pressure begins building into the region. Skies will also become mostly clear tonight.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.