textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- A wind advisory remains in effect for portions of southeast Missouri and southern Illinois this afternoon for 40 mph or great wind gusts. Elsewhere 25 to 35 mph gusts are expected.

- Daily chances of showers and thunderstorms are forecast throughout the region through Saturday. A few severe storms will be possible over southeast Missouri and southern Illinois late this afternoon into this evening. The most widespread rainfall will be ahead of a cold front late Friday night through Saturday, when one to two inches of rain will be possible.

- Temperatures through Friday night will be 15 to 20 degrees above normal. A cold frontal passage Saturday will send temperatures down to near or below normal levels from Sunday through Tuesday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1222 PM CDT Thu Apr 2 2026

An upper trough will lift into the Great Lakes tonight. An area of low pressure will track from Iowa north and east into the Great Lakes with a trailing cold front. This cold front makes it to near the I-64 corridor overnight but will quickly lift north again on Friday. Guidance continues to favor some storm development across southeast Missouri this afternoon and eventually making its way across the area tonight associated with the passage of the upper trough. Think the best area to support the potential for strong to severe storms will be in southeast Missouri into portions of southwest Illinois where instability will be higher. Wind shear seems sufficient for organized convection but there is some uncertainty in the quality of thermodynamics in the lowest few kilometers. Activity should generally wane in intensity as it crosses the Mississippi river and moves east. The current wind advisory is in good shape. Southerly winds will continue to gust upwards of 40 mph in the advisory area through the afternoon.

By Friday morning we are expected to continue to see some shower and thunderstorm activity near the front mainly across the north and east. This activity will lift north with the front through the day. An upper level system will move across the Mississippi Valley Friday night into Saturday with an associated frontal passage. A line of showers and storms are expected to develop ahead of this front and move across the region late Friday night into Saturday. 1-2" of rainfall still seems possible with this activity.

Temperatures will remain a few degrees above normal on Saturday, but will fall to near or below normal Sunday into next week. Low temperatures look to remain above freezing next week with the coolest nights Monday and Tuesday nights where lows could fall into the mid 30s. Next week looks dry as high pressure moves across the midwest and into the Ohio Valley.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 1247 PM CDT Thu Apr 2 2026

South winds gusting up to 30-35 kts will continue this afternoon with gusts diminishing this evening. South winds 8-12 kts will continue overnight and into Friday. Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon first impact CGI and then moving eastward into the evening hours. A few severe storms remain possible. Another round of showers and storms are possible overnight as a front approaches from the north. MVFR cigs are expected by early Friday morning for the terminals.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for ILZ075>078- 080>089-092-093. MO...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for MOZ076-086-087- 109>112-114. IN...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT /8 PM EDT/ this evening for INZ081-082-085. KY...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for KYZ001>004.