textproduct: Paducah

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- After some areas of early morning drizzle across the eastern portions of our area, clouds will be decreasing from west to east, with sunny conditions across the entire region by this afternoon.

- A quick return to well above normal temperatures can be expected today through Tuesday, with near record to record highs Monday and Tuesday.

- Chances of showers and some thunderstorms arrive late Tuesday night into Wednesday, with 40-70% chances by Wednesday afternoon, continuing into Thursday. Chances decrease to 20-30% Thursday night, ending on Friday.

- Next weekend will start off with well below normal temperatures.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 118 AM CDT Sun Oct 11 2026

As the remnants of Isaias continue on a northeast trajectory, we will see any lingering drizzle in our eastern counties come to an end early this morning and clearing skies through the day. With full sunshine this afternoon, high temperatures will climb right back up to well above normal readings from the upper 70s east to the middle 80s to around 90 degrees west. Mostly sunny to sunny skies will continue into Monday and Tuesday, along with breezy southwest winds. This will result in near record to record highs from around 90 degrees to the middle 90s.

On Tuesday, models continue to show a frontal boundary sinking south toward our region, moving into the PAH forecast area (fa) Wednesday. The model blend brings 20-30% chances of showers and thunderstorms into north and northwest portions of the PAH fa late Tuesday night, with chances increasing and spreading southeast across our entire area Wednesday. 30-70% chances, best chances north and west, persist from Wednesday afternoon into Thursday as the frontal boundary lingers across the middle Mississippi and lower Ohio valleys. The boundary finally moves on through Thursday night into Friday, with chances of showers and a few storms dwindling to 20-30% Thursday night, and just 20% chances of some showers lingering on Friday.

Clouds and precipitation will bring down temperatures a little Wednesday and Thursday, but readings will remain well above normal. Behind the frontal boundary Friday temperatures will come down to seasonable values. By Saturday, under the influence of northwest winds, temperatures could be as much as 10 degrees below normal.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1152 PM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026

Primarily MVFR cigs, with pockets of IFR cigs of vsbys, remain in the eastern half of the Quad State as light rain/drizzle lingers from the remnants of Isaias. The system slowly moves off to the east allowing for clearing skies during the day. Northeasterly winds shift to northwesterly tomorrow, then become calm late in the TAF period.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.


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