textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- A welcome break from the heat is here! More cooler, seasonable temps will filter in behind the cold front by Tuesday and last throughout the week and weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 203 AM CDT Mon Sep 21 2026

A cold front is slowly sinking south through our area overnight and early this morning then stalling out across our south later today before finally moving south of the CWA this evening. A few scattered showers and thunderstorms are currently just outside our northwest border and should generally stay there. Instability/support for storms falls off sharply the further into the CWA you get. Some models are little more bullish with precip chances later today passing through from SEMO into southern IL and western KY. However, NBM only has some weak 20% ish isolated chances with the front lingering today but overall the day is mainly dry. Best chances are over the Ozark Foothills for a couple hours in the late afternoon. Some of those weak 20% isolated chances linger into Tuesday with a shortwave passing aloft, but again the day is mainly dry. Much cooler and more seasonable temperatures fall into place behind the front with highs in the upper 70s and lower 80s on Tuesday.

Dry and seasonable conditions are in place Wednesday on through the weekend with a slight warm up next Sunday into Monday. Sfc high pressure sets up over the Great Lakes and east of the lakes with upper level ridging over the Midwest.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1040 PM CDT Sun Sep 20 2026

Convection has developed west of the region and may clip KMVN overnight as rain lifts northeast; otherwise, brief MVFR cigs remain possible across the northern terminals. As a cold front sweeps through on Monday, a few additional showers will be possible in the vicinity of KCGI. Winds behind the front will shift northerly between 5-8 kts.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.