textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- Above normal highs in the upper 80s and low 90s are expected Wednesday and Thursday, followed by cooler temperatures in the low and mid 70s beginning Friday and continuing into the weekend.

- A cold front begins to move in from west to east early Friday morning bringing rain showers with PoPs peaking (80-90%) in the morning and early afternoon afternoon hours. No severe weather is expected but some thunder is possible.

- Small PoPs (10-30%) linger Saturday, but high pressure will build Sunday bringing dry conditions once again.

UPDATE

Issued at 500 PM CDT Tue Sep 29 2026

Updated Aviation discussion for 12Z TAF Issuance.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 155 AM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026

Ridging continues to sit overhead bringing with it unseasonably warm temperatures across the region. Today temperatures are forecast to peak in the upper 80s and low 90s with cloud cover decreasing going into the afternoon. Dewpoints will be slightly higher today especially across SEMO, far western KY and SW IL as the southerly/southwesterly winds advect higher dewpoints into these areas. Similar highs are in the forecast for Thursday as clouds will return with the trough out west beginning to move into the region preventing more significant warming. Dewpoints will continue to climb into the mid and upper 60s with further moisture advection from the southerly flow Thursday.

The cold front associated with the previously discussed trough will begin to make its way through the region early Friday morning. Highs are forecast to only reach the mid to upper 70s at this time. PoPs will peak between 80-90% across the region during the morning and early afternoon hours before tapering off slightly into Friday evening. Instability remains low for this rain event so no severe weather is expected, however, some rumbles of thunder are not out of the question. Probabilistic guidance continues to suggest only a 40-50% chance of an inch or more of rain from this event. Concerns for flooding remain low at this point.

Cooler, seasonable temperatures (lower 70s) will continue into the weekend with low PoPs (10-30%) through Saturday as the system lingers. However, drier conditions will return again Sunday with high pressure moving in once again.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 603 AM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026

VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period for all sites. High clouds will decrease in coverage in the late morning/early afternoon with increasing S/SSW winds between 7-10kts and gusts in the low- to mid-teens for a few hours. High cloud cover will then increase again in the evening with the introduction of some mid-level clouds around 7-8kft at night.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.