textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- With the remnants of hurricane Isaias we can expect 70-100% rain chances mainly over western KY, southeast IL, and southwest IN tomorrow afternoon and into the overnight. Elsewhere across the area (areas further west) will see 30-60% rain chances.

- Rainfall totals are expected to be up to around an inch with the highest totals across western KY. A few pockets of locally higher amounts may be possible.

- 20-40% rain chances return on Wednesday and Thursday.

UPDATE

Issued at 1144 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

Updated Aviation Discussion for the 06z TAFs.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 148 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

Isaias continues to push further east in its track and is expected to make landfall this evening. High clouds from Isaias are gradually starting to move into the CWA from the southeast. Lows tonight will be slightly warmer due to the cloud cover, generally in the upper 50s to near 60.

As Isaias moves inland the center of the low is expected to move into east KY around Sunday morning. Main impacts for us will be tomorrow mainly over western KY, southeast IL, and southwest IN. Rain chances begin to increase from the southeast around mid morning tomorrow. Rain chances peak around 70-100% over western KY Saturday afternoon with some bands of 70-80% moving into southern IL by Saturday evening. The best chance for any thunderstorms will be Saturday afternoon and evening and any severe threat remains well off to our southeast. Rain may be heavy at times tomorrow with storm totals up to around 1" with a few pockets of locally higher amounts possible. Sustained winds of 15-25 mph are expected with gusts up to 30-35 mph. Rain chances then taper off to the east Sunday morning.

After a cooler day in the 70s tomorrow, temperatures rebound by Monday back into the mid to upper 80s, pushing 90 in some places. Temperatures come down slightly for Wednesday and Thursday with a stationary front turned warm front draped over the northern portions of the area on Wednesday. Rain chances return to the forecast on Wednesday and increase from the west to 20-40% and continue on Thursday as a cold front approaches from the west.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1144 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

VFR conditions remain through the night and morning hours. Winds shift to easterly and then northeasterly and become breezy midday through the evening as remnants from Isaias approach. Rainbands appear less likely to reach western terminals while eastern sites should receive several hours of rain showers in the afternoon-evening hours, especially in the Kentucky Pennyrile. Vsby drops to MVFR are possible with some of the heavier showers. Cigs reduce to MVFR in most areas with evening rain, and to IFR in southern/eastern areas. Lightning is possible, mainly limited to eastern sites late afternoon/early evening.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.