textproduct: Paducah

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Rain chances come back on Friday, primarily in the evening and overnight hours where they peak at around 70-80% per the NBM.

- Rain chances pop up each afternoon Saturday through the middle of next week.

UPDATE

Issued at 551 AM CDT Wed Jul 29 2026

Updated Aviation discussion for the 12z TAF issuance.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 159 AM CDT Wed Jul 29 2026

Today a longwave trof aloft sets up over the northeast CONUS keeping us in northwest flow aloft as the upper ridge begins to shift west. Behind the front today we have temperatures back into the mid to upper 80s. Dewpoints will be lower today, in the mid 60s, and the sfc high pressure keeps us dry and mainly clear (though there may be some upper level smoke present). Tomorrow is more of the same while an upper level trof approaches from the northwest and crests over the ridge.

This upper trof begins to descend toward the CWA from the northwest on Friday pushing a sfc low just ahead of it. Rain chances come back on Friday morning in the west and push eastward, peaking in the evening and overnight at around 70-80% in the NBM. Rain chances then continue to pop up each afternoon through the middle of next week.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 551 AM CDT Wed Jul 29 2026

Following the passage of a cold front, winds will be light N to NE around 4-6 kts. Passing mid-level cloud cover gradually wane in coverage during this afternoon across southeast MO, far western KY, and southwest IL. In southeast IL, southwest IN, and northwest KY, limited diurnal CU development is expected this afternoon, with cloud bases between 5-7kft. Will need to watch for patchy shallow fog development overnight, but confidence is too low to include at this time.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.


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