textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- Near-normal temperatures are expected through the middle of this week, followed by temperatures warming to above normal late week into the weekend.

- Dry conditions are expected through the workweek, with the next chance of rain over the weekend mainly across Western Kentucky.

UPDATE

Issued at 617 AM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

Updated the aviation section for the 12Z TAF issuance.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 212 AM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

Dry weather continues to be expected through the workweek. A broad area of high pressure moves through the Ohio River Valley today and tomorrow, with an upper ridge axis moving through Tuesday. Highs generally in the 70s are forecast both days with lows in the upper 40s to near 50. Afterwards, southerly flow brings in warmer air midweek with highs Wednesday rising to the 80s. A weak, dry boundary Wednesday brings a wind shift but rising 500mb heights and a subsequent high pressure area moving through keeps temperatures above normal for the remainder of the week.

PoPs over the weekend remain fairly steady, around 20-35% south of the Ohio River Saturday night into Sunday. Models still differ on the focus for this system, with an upper low over the Rio Grande and the remnants of a tropical system among possible contributors. Areas south/southeast of the Quad State will have higher precipitation potential. Positioning of high pressure off the Mid-Atlantic will influence how far northwestward in the Quad State precipitation is able to reach.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 617 AM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

VFR conditions are expected with clear skies across the entire Quad State region. Daytime winds rise to 6-10kts, then become light again this evening.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.