textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- Above average highs in the upper 80s and low 90s are expected Thursday, followed by cooler temperatures in the low and mid 70s beginning Friday and continuing into the weekend.

- A cold front begins to move in from west to east Thursday night into Friday bringing rain showers with PoPs peaking (80-100%) in the morning and early afternoon hours. No severe weather is expected, but some rumbles of thunder are possible.

- Small rain chances (10-30%) linger Saturday, but high pressure will build Sunday brining dry conditions once again.

UPDATE

Issued at 630 AM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026

Aviation Discussion Update for the 12Z TAFs.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 310 AM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026

Ridging continues overhead for most of the day with the center of surface high pressure sitting to the east off the coast in the Atlantic. High temperatures will once again peak in the upper 80s and low 90s across the region with scattered cloud cover through the morning and early afternoon hours. Afterward, cloud cover will increase ahead of the next low pressure system that will begin to move in during the evening. Winds are forecast to increase during the day with upper values between 10-20 mph and gusts between 15-25 mph before dying down in the evening.

The next trough and associated cold front will begin to push into the region late Thursday night and continue through Friday. On Friday, high temperatures will be cooler, in the upper 60s to mid 70s. PoPs will peak (80-100%) during the morning and early afternoon hours Friday before gradually decreasing through the evening and overnight hours. Though some modest 0-6km bulk shear values exist with these showers, instability remains poor. No severe weather is expected, but some thunderstorms may be possible. QPF storm totals continue to sit between a half inch and an inch for this event. Additionally, the flood threat remains low (5-10%) due to the lack of intensity of these storms and dry prior conditions.

Small (10-30%) chances of rain linger into Saturday. However, high pressure will once again build Sunday allowing for dry conditions to prevail. The cool temperatures from Friday will persist into the weekend and beginning of next week.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 630 AM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026

VFR conditions are forecast through at least the first half of the TAF period starting with high clouds and mid clouds entering throughout the day. SSW/SW Winds are expected to pick up at 15z across sites and persist through the afternoon with gusts between 15-20kts. A cold front is expected move in overnight where lower clouds are forecast to push in from the west with rain showers bringing MVFR and eventually IFR conditions across the sites mainly after 06z. MVN will begin seeing deteriorating conditions after 03z.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.