textproduct: Paducah

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Sunny skies and near normal temperatures are expected through Tuesday.

- Temperatures will warm 5-10 degrees above normal on Wednesday and Thursday and 10-15 degrees above normal Friday through next weekend.

- A chance of thunderstorms returns to the forecast on Friday (20-40%) and Saturday (15-30%), mainly north and west of the Ohio River. However, significant widespread rainfall is not expected through the weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 105 PM CDT Mon Apr 6 2026

A dry cold will push through the region tonight as cool Canadian high pressure sags southward into the region from the Great Lakes. A lack of forcing and moisture will result in only a brief increase in cloud cover as the main impact. Temperatures will remain seasonably cool through Tuesday. Given the expected cloud cover and light but steady wind forecasts, confidence is not high enough at this time in temperatures falling into the lower to middle 30s (where a Frost Advisory could be needed) either tonight or Tuesday night.

As the surface high translates east of there region, warm and southern return flow will increase beginning Wednesday, and a steady warming trend is forecast through the weekend. Temperatures will warm 5-10 degrees above normal on Wednesday and Thursday and 10-15 degrees above normal Friday through next weekend. Ensemble guidance is in poor agreement, but the expectation is another cold front will try to approach the region Friday into Saturday, but it will encounter resistance from the H5 ridge and surface high to the southeast.

Right now, a chance of thunderstorms is forecast on Friday (20-40%) and Saturday (15-30%), but only north and west of the Ohio River. Additionally, significant widespread rainfall is not expected. Another system looks to develop over the central and southern Great Plains early next week, and this could bring a more appreciable chance of soaking rain, but confidence is low at this range.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 105 PM CDT Mon Apr 6 2026

The TAFs are VFR. A dry frontal passage will shift winds from the NW this afternoon to the N and eventually NE by 6-12z Tuesday. Wind speeds will be 7-12 kts this afternoon with gusts to 20 kts at EVV at OWB. After relaxing to 4-8 kts overnight, winds will again increase to around 8-12 kts after 14z Tuesday, with gusts to 16-20 kts possible at CGI and PAH. Some SCT-BKN mid-level cloud decks will be invof MVN, EVV, and OWB after 09-12z with bases around 8-12kft.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.


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