textproduct: Paducah
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- A gradual warming trend will commence with high temperatures rising a couple of degrees each day back to near normal levels (upper 50s) early in the week, while overnight lows continue dipping below freezing each of the next several nights.
- Dry conditions are forecast through the coming work week with temperatures rising to above normal levels during the latter part of the week.
UPDATE
Issued at 1128 AM CST Sun Nov 15 2026
Updated aviation discussion for 18z TAFS.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1210 PM CST Sun Nov 15 2026
Upper-level troughing in the east continues to drift eastward away from the Quad State. Strong ridging moves over and broadens early week. Dry conditions continue today through much of the week ahead with early morning fog possible in climatologically favored locations (mainly near rivers/lakes). Dew points continue to be significantly lowered away from the NBM which is sharply overestimating surface moisture levels in this dry pattern. Today and tomorrow will see highs in the upper half of the 50s, with lows just below freezing. An embedded upper low drifts from the Southern Plains to the Deep South Sunday night into Monday.
A large surface high continues to keep conditions dry through the workweek. Increasingly southerly flow will allow a gradual warming trend, with near normal temperatures midweek, and above normal temperatures for the end of the week. A shortwave developing in the lee of the Rockies Wednesday quickly moves northeastward to the Dakotas with the surface front nowhere near the Quad State. A second shortwave Friday-Saturday has a track slightly further east which might bring the tail of a cold front through over the weekend, or just fizzle out again with the main system too far north.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
Issued at 1128 AM CST Sun Nov 15 2026
Calm to light winds and mostly clear skies will continue through the TAF period. Some patchy ground fog is possible at climatologically favored sites near rivers early Monday morning.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.
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