textproduct: Paducah

KEY MESSAGES

- Below normal temperatures will continue thru the week's end and carry over into next week. - Small precipitation chances exist late this weekend and again by the middle to end of next week, but amounts and impacts look to remain negligible.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1234 PM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

Tonight...

Quiet weather ongoing as we enter the first part of the weekend under the influence of surface high pressure. Cold temperatures continue tonight with lows in the mid to upper 20s. Could see some fog development across south central KY toward dawn on Sunday where mid and upper sky cover has less coverage and is slower to arrive. This area will also see light overall surface winds, so radiational cooling will be a bit better. Won't hit this too hard just yet, but something to monitor as we go through the PM hours.

Saturday - Sunday Night...

Saturday brings slightly milder conditions with highs mostly in the low to mid 40s under variable cloudiness. Dry conditions persist Saturday into Saturday evening before our next precipitation chance arrives early Sunday morning. A fast moving clipper system will quickly move into the mid Mississippi River Valley by early Sunday, with some light warm advection / overrunning precipitation through the morning hours. Temperatures do look to be marginal for some brief freezing rain potential, mainly along and north of the I-64 corridor, however given the short window and very light overall QPF, not expecting this to have impacts. In a lot of cases, warm advection ahead of a weak clipper usually wins out. Any lingering light precipitation through the rest of Sunday should be liquid with small diurnal ranges peaking in the 40s. Then, a trailing cold front sweeps through by Sunday night as the clipper departs the area. This reinforcing shot of cold air allows temps to drop into the upper teens and low 20s by Monday morning, along with a few lingering flurries or very light snow overnight.

Monday - Tuesday...

Cold and dry high pressure take hold again through the early week time frame with temps barely making it to freezing on Monday. The pressure gradient tightens over the area by Tuesday between retreating surface high pressure off the SE CONUS, and a stronger upstream clipper approaching. Milder temps for Tuesday with highs in the mid to upper 40s thanks to steady, to occasionally gusty, SW winds.

Tuesday Night - Friday...

A stronger clipper passes through the Great Lakes region Tuesday night through Wednesday, with the southern fringes of the precipitation shield possibly skirting our NE CWA. Another situation where QPF looks light and temperatures will be warming. Keeping a dry forecast for now, and even if there were some brief precipitation, it would likely be liquid. Another reinforcing shot of cold air arrives for late week. Could see some light wintry mixes with any lingering low level moisture Wednesday through Thursday night, but overall confidence lowers by this time frame.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1153 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

VFR conditions are expected to prevail for the remainder of the afternoon and into the overnight. Look for light SSW winds during this time, with mostly clear skies until after sunset. Mid and upper level clouds begin to increase overnight, before some MVFR ceilings potentially return in the pre-dawn through mid morning time frame. Not real confident in this scenario just yet so will only hint at some lower conditions. Some data suggests fog toward dawn over western KY, but given the increase cloud cover not sure how confident that signal is either.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.