textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 135 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

- Cool, below to near normal temperatures expected through early this week before heat and humidity returns.

- Increased widespread rain chances will return late this week.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of today and tonight) Issued at 135 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

The front has pushed southward into Texas this morning and most of the showers and storm activity now remains south of the forecast area. Throughout the day today, additional scattered weak showers may continue to develop through the afternoon hours with weak west northwest flow aloft, but most of the activity will be short-lived with little to no instability or shear. Could a few areas see a brief sprinkle of rain? Yes. Will most areas remain dry the remainder of today? Yes. Mostly cloudy skies will continue through the day with cooler, below normal post frontal temperatures in the 70s and lower 80s.

Scattered shower chances will continue overnight tonight, mostly across southern Oklahoma and western north Texas. Not expecting much in the way of precipitation accumulation at the surface, but there is plenty of mid-level moisture that could reach the surface for a brief sprinkle or light rain. Temperatures tonight will be chilly and below normal in the wake of the recent frontal passage with lows in the upper 50s to 60s.

SHORT TERM

(Monday through Tuesday night) Issued at 135 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Slightly cooler than normal temperatures will persist Monday with some morning low clouds breaking through the day allowing for some peeks of sunshine despite the continued presence of high clouds. Highs will be in the upper 70s to mid 80s. As the surface high digs into the Ozarks, light northeast east winds will veer to the east southeast across the forecast area. A weak shortwave in the northwest flow aloft Monday afternoon may bring scattered showers and storms across southwest Oklahoma and western north Texas. A few storms could be come strong with gusty winds and small hail. Another shortwave later Monday evening along the higher terrain to the west will initiate storms, but with weak steering flow and instability, storms may weaken before reaching western Oklahoma. However, if storms can maintain eastward into Oklahoma, strong storms capable of gusty winds and small hail cannot be ruled out.

Northwesterly flow will persist Tuesday with adiabatic warming bringing temperatures back to normal in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Weak surface troughing will also bring a return of southerly surface winds and low-level moisture advection northward into Oklahoma. Another shortwave Tuesday may bring increased shower and storm chances to portions of northern into central Oklahoma during the afternoon and evening hours.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through Saturday) Issued at 136 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

South winds return in earnest Wednesday as pressure falls occur across the High Plains tightening the pressure gradient across the Plains as large upper trough moves southeast out of the northern Rockies into the northern Plains and upper midwest. Associated surface front will drop south and is expected to move south across the area Thursday and Thursday night with our next chance of more widespread rainfall. Another slight cool down is then expected for Friday with a gradual warming trend into the weekend.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1224 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Expecting MVFR ceilings to scatter and/or broken ceilings lifting at least to a VFR category by 21Z through the rest of the forecast period at terminals KOKC, KOUN, KLAW, KCSM, and KSPS. Terminal KDUA in southeast Oklahoma will likely reduce to an MVFR category through most of the forecast although their ceiling may scatter for brief periods between 18-22Z. Our three remaining terminals (KPNC, KSWO, and KWWR) should persist in a VFR category through the entire forecast period. There is a 30% probability for light rain and/or a thunderstorm at terminal KDUA between 06-12Z. Surface winds will stay out of the north at 10 kts gusting to 15 kts through 01Z then veering northeast at 5-10 kts through the rest of the forecast period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 62 81 62 88 / 10 10 0 0 Hobart OK 61 84 62 91 / 10 10 0 10 Wichita Falls TX 64 84 64 91 / 20 20 0 0 Gage OK 57 82 61 90 / 10 0 10 20 Ponca City OK 59 79 61 87 / 0 0 0 20 Durant OK 67 81 66 87 / 50 30 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.