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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 131 PM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026

- Dry conditions and cooler, seasonable temperatures are expected Saturday and into the middle of next week.

- Becoming windy by the middle of next week increasing fire weather conditions.

- A more active pattern is expected to bring a return of showers and thunderstorms to the area by the end of next week into next weekend.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of today and tonight) Issued at 131 PM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026

Sunny skies and cooler temperatures are in place behind yesterday's system that produced severe weather and heavy rainfall across portions of the area. Some of the biggest winners in terms of rainfall were in a corridor from roughly Lawton to Holdenville, where 2 to as much as 6 inches of rain fell, with 1 to 2 inches measured in many locations north and south of there. Unfortunately, much of northwest OK missed out on appreciable rainfall once again as storms initiated too far east along the cold front yesterday.

For the rest of today, breezy north winds will continue through this afternoon before gradually diminishing overnight as the surface ridge axis moves over the region. Highs should reach into the mid to upper 60s by mid to late afternoon. Clear skies and light winds will allow for temperatures to cool quickly tonight, with lows in the 30s across northern OK and 40s elsewhere.

Ware

SHORT TERM

(Sunday through Monday night) Issued at 131 PM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026

Pleasant conditions are in store for Sunday as the ridge axis continues slowly eastward over the area. Light winds and plenty of sunshine are expected, with highs reaching into the low to mid 70s in most locations by Sunday afternoon. Similar conditions are expected Monday, with highs bumping up a few more degrees over Sunday. Winds will be a bit breezier by the afternoon across western OK which could lead to elevated fire conditions in areas that have not seen much rainfall this past week.

Ware

LONG TERM

(Monday through next Friday) Issued at 1040 PM CDT Fri Apr 3 2026

Our upper trough starts moving out/eastward on Monday as our upper flow becomes zonal into mid-week keeping our weather quiet. A weak shortwave trough may move through our upper flow which could produce some rain across northwest Oklahoma on Wednesday morning. South winds make a slow return early next week becoming much stronger by mid-week becoming windy on Wednesday. Gusty south winds on Wednesday and increasing dry and lowering afternoon RH values will start increasing fire weather conditions to Elevated on both Wednesday and Thursday afternoons.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1215 PM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026

Gusty north winds will continue through the afternoon, then diminish this evening. Overnight and early morning winds will be light, with some variability in direction. VFR conditions will prevail.

Day

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 41 69 43 72 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 39 71 41 73 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 42 70 43 72 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 35 73 41 75 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 37 69 41 73 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 44 69 44 71 / 0 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.


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