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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 508 AM CST Fri Jan 9 2026
- Snow likely this afternoon into the evening across northwest Oklahoma. Some snow accumulation and travel impacts possible across the far northwest.
- Near to above normal temperatures and dry conditions expected this weekend into next week with occasional elevated fire weather conditions.
SHORT TERM
(Friday night through Sunday night) Issued at 1255 AM CST Fri Jan 9 2026
A reinforcing cold front will move through in the wake of today's system, which will result in a seasonable day on Saturday with highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s deg F. Drier air behind the front, combined with breezy northerly winds, will result in elevated fire weather conditions across western Oklahoma into north Texas as relative humidity values fall below 20%. These winds will become light on Sunday as the surface high passes by. This should mitigate any fire weather risk on Sunday.
Mahale
SHORT TERM
(Friday night through Sunday night) Issued at 1255 AM CST Fri Jan 9 2026
A reinforcing cold front will move through in the wake of today's system, which will result in a seasonable day on Saturday with highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s deg F. Drier air behind the front, combined with breezy northerly winds, will result in elevated fire weather conditions across western Oklahoma into north Texas as relative humidity values fall below 20%. These winds will become light on Sunday as the surface high passes by. This should mitigate any fire weather risk on Sunday.
Mahale
LONG TERM
(Monday through Thursday) Issued at 1255 AM CST Fri Jan 9 2026
Warmer, above-normal temperatures return early next week as southerly winds return and a downslope-warmed air mass advect into the Southern Plains. Temperatures by Monday and Tuesday are expected to be back into the 60s deg F with some locations potentially near 70 deg F by Tuesday. Elevated fire weather conditions are possible on both days with veered, dry return flow.
By midweek, a cold front is expected to move through as a trough amplifies across the Great Lakes region. At this time, the chance of precipitation looks to be low/near zero with the front. Cooler weather is expected in the front's wake for Thursday and Friday.
Mahale
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 520 AM CST Fri Jan 9 2026
While areawide VFR conditions are expected to begin the period, increasing potential for degraded category (due to post-frontal stratus) will emerge by this afternoon, shifting from northwestern Oklahoma/KWWR to the southeast through the end of the period. A mix of rain and snow will also be possible at northern Oklahoma terminals this afternoon and evening.
Safe travels!
Ungar
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Oklahoma City OK 55 32 50 29 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 53 28 53 26 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 64 33 54 29 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 41 21 50 22 / 60 30 0 0 Ponca City OK 50 28 51 24 / 10 20 0 0 Durant OK 64 37 54 32 / 10 10 0 0
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...Winter Weather Advisory from noon today to 9 PM CST this evening for OKZ004.
TX...None.
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