textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1133 AM CST Mon Dec 29 2025

- Elevated fire weather conditions expected this afternoon across the west (and potentially Tuesday) due to low humidity.

- Above normal temperatures and dry conditions expected midweek though the weekend.

NEAR TERM

(Today and tonight) Issued at 1133 AM CST Mon Dec 29 2025

Cold afternoon across the area as Canadian surface high settles south through the Plains. As this occurs, winds should gradually decrease through the remainder of the day. However, very dry airmass in place will allow afternoon RH values to drop below 20% across the west, resulting in a brief period of elevated fire weather conditions.

Otherwise, for tonight, center of the high settles overhead with light winds and clear skies. This along with the dry airmass will allow temperatures to fall quickly this evening and bottom out in the teens and low 20s by Tuesday morning.

SHORT TERM

(Tuesday through Wednesday night) Issued at 1133 AM CST Mon Dec 29 2025

Surface high shifts east Tuesday with south/southwest surface winds returning along with warmer temperatures. Most of the area will see daytime highs in the 50s with low 60s not out of the question in southwest Oklahoma and western north Texas. With the dry airmass still in place and warmer temperatures elevated fire weather conditions may develop by afternoon across parts of the area. Currently lower wind speeds will limit the overall risk, but if stronger wind speeds are realized, more widespread elevated conditions may occur.

The southwest low level flow will continue to bring warmer air into the area Tuesday night keeping overnight lows not quite as cold with mid/upper 20s and lower 30s. A surface trough/weak front will also drop south through portions of the area Tuesday night, but will be little more than a wind shift as the colder air remains confined further north and east.

South winds return quickly on Wednesday with warming trend continues as highs climb above normal once again, topping out in the upper 50s and low/mid 60s Wednesday afternoon. Winds will remain rather light, limiting any fire weather concerns.

LONG TERM

(Thursday through Sunday) Issued at 109 AM CST Mon Dec 29 2025

In general, above normal temperatures and dry conditions are expected to continue through the rest of the week into the weekend as mid-upper level flow remains northwesterly or westerly. A weak shortwave will cross the area Thursday night into Friday with the associated surface low expected to traverse northern TX and southern OK. No significant airmass change is expected behind this system as winds quickly return to southerly. A more significant warmup may then be in store by Sunday as southerly flow strengthens and upper ridging builds into the area from the west.

Ware

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1129 AM CST Mon Dec 29 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through 18Z Monday. A mix of mid and high clouds this afternoon will gradually dissipate and/or move southward by early evening. Otherwise, a breezy northerly wind will become light and variable around 23Z.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 21 53 31 58 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 19 55 27 61 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 22 56 31 62 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 19 58 25 61 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 16 52 27 56 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 23 51 33 61 / 0 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.