textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1150 AM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

- Elevated fire weather conditions this afternoon across most of the area. - A stronger cold front on Friday will bring gusty winds and potentially more significant fire weather concerns.

- Dry through the middle of next week with occasional fire weather.

NEAR TERM

(Today and tonight) Issued at 1150 AM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

Breezy north winds and scattered to broken low clouds behind this morning's cold frontal passage have held temperatures mostly steady today, with readings only up a few degrees over this morning's low temperatures. These winds, combined with a drier airmass, are also leading to another day of elevated fire weather across most of the area, with elevated conditions likely to continue through much of the afternoon before temperatures cool and winds diminish this evening. Lows tonight will be seasonably cold, with readings dropping into the mid to upper 20s.

Ware

SHORT TERM

(Thursday through Friday night) Issued at 1150 AM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

Winds will quickly return to southerly on Thursday as surface high pressure settles over the Gulf coast. Veered 850mb flow will help advect a downslope-warmed airmass from the High Plains into the region. This will lead to a west-east temperature gradient across the area by Thursday afternoon, with upper 60s-low 70s west to mid- upper 50s east. Winds will be lighter compared to today but should be sufficient for another day of elevated fire weather for our far western counties where minimum relative humidity will drop to near 20%.

Friday appears to offer greater fire weather potential behind yet another dry cold front. Even with temperatures in the 40s and 50s, very dry air (dew points in the single digits) combined with northwest winds gusting to 30-40mph behind the front will create near-critical fire weather conditions for much of western OK, with elevated conditions across the rest of the area.

Ware

LONG TERM

(Saturday through Tuesday) Issued at 1225 AM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

The upcoming weekend and early next week time frame looks to offer generally seasonable (and dry) weather. A prominent longwave upper trough will remain anchored across portions of the Great Lakes, with occasional shortwaves rounding its periphery.

Saturday still looks to be a somewhat cooler day, with potential for realized high temperatures to run a bit below our current gridded forecast with potential for widespread cloudiness, and as a 1024+ millibar surface high moves overhead. Our forecast for Sunday may meet similar pitfalls, with current forecast readings running near the 75th+ percentile of grand ensemble guidance.

Afternoon periods of lowered relative humidity and occasionally gusty winds will continue the trend of fire weather potential through at least Sunday. The continued lack of any appreciable precipitation chance over the next 7 days won't help the ongoing drought/state of fire weather fuels either.

Ungar

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1116 AM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

VFR ceilings are expected with broken to overcast stratus (about 5kft) continuing to move southward across the FA. Breezy north winds with gusts of 30 to 35 mph (occasional 40 mph gusts possible) continue into the early evening hours. Expect winds to become light/variable tonight as the surface high pressure system shifts over the area. Then, winds become southwesterly by mid- morning on Thursday with gusts to 20 mph towards mid-day.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 28 60 36 51 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 27 66 35 53 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 29 67 38 57 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 27 68 30 49 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 23 58 33 49 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 27 56 39 57 / 0 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.