textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 514 AM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026

- Mostly dry with a warming trend this coming week.

- Low precipitation chances return late week into next weekend, mainly western/northwestern OK.

NEAR TERM

(Through Monday) Issued at 200 AM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026

South/southeast winds and scattered mid to high clouds are helping keep temperatures a bit milder early this morning compared to previous nights, with readings in the 40s to low 50s. Regional radars show light returns across portions of the panhandles into southern KS and northwest OK though a very dry subcloud layer is likely preventing much more than sprinkles, if that, from reaching the ground. Short range model guidance shows this activity moving off to the northeast through the day today, with another potential round late tonight across a similar area as another weak shortwave passes by to our northwest. However, dry low-levels will likely once again prevent much from reaching the ground.

Even with scattered clouds, continued southerly flow and modest mid-level height rises will help bump highs a bit warmer over yesterday, with readings int the low to mid 70s in most locations this afternoon.

Ware

SHORT TERM

(Monday night through Wednesday night) Issued at 200 AM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026

A warming trend will continue into Tuesday and Wednesday as upper ridging builds further over the region. Very light showers/sprinkles could linger into Tuesday morning across northern OK but activity is expected to mostly move into KS by the afternoon. Highs Tuesday will reach the mid to upper 70s, with upper 70s to low 80s expected by Wednesday. Winds will be from the south both days, generally around 5-15 mph, with some higher gusts each afternoon.

Ware

LONG TERM

(Thursday through Sunday) Issued at 200 AM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026

The upper ridge axis will shift eastward through next weekend as a large trough across the western US makes slow progress closer to the area. Showers and a few thunderstorms could make it into western parts of the area on Saturday but the majority of this activity will be focused to our west across NM into the panhandles.

Troughing is then forecasted to weaken and lift northward later in the weekend with model disagreement increasing thereafter on whether we see ridging return to the region or additional troughing develop across the southwest US. Either way, it appears the above normal temperatures will continue at least into early next week with highs in the 70s and 80s across the area.

Ware

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 514 AM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026

Some mid/high clouds will move across the area with VFR conditions expected this TAF period. Winds will generally be from the south to southeast with speeds increasing a little bit today in parts of Oklahoma.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 70 53 72 54 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 71 53 73 55 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 75 54 77 56 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 70 50 72 53 / 0 10 10 0 Ponca City OK 71 52 73 52 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 78 52 80 52 / 0 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.