textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 622 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

-Warm, above-normal temperatures and dry conditions are expected through early next week.

NEAR TERM

(Through Tuesday) Issued at 1249 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

Light variable winds will start increasing southerly by mid-morning then further veering southwesterly by late morning around 10-15 mph gusting 15-20 mph going into the afternoon. Our clear night skies and light winds will enhance cooling into the upper 50s although still slightly warmer than normal for early October nights. Drier surface air is in place across most of our forecast area. However Oklahoma Mesonet & airport terminal observations showing a pool of higher surface moisture to near 60 degree dewpoints across southcentral Oklahoma to south of the Red River into northern Texas, although further moisture advection unlikely during the early morning hours due to light winds. As a result, a "wet" dew to patchy radiation fog may develop over this moister area by mid- morning as it likely cools down to the dewpoints. Some of the ensemble guidance are suggesting fog development although latest CAMs have backed off. Will keep a potential for fog in the forecast during mid-morning in the aforementioned area due to some certainty. Otherwise mostly clear sunny skies and breezy during the afternoon with only thin high Cirrus coming through the ridge scattering over southwest Oklahoma along with unseasonably warm temperatures with highs in the mid to upper 80s.

SHORT TERM

(Tuesday night through Thursday night) Issued at 1249 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

The main upper jet will continue flowing across much of the northern half of the country while the Southern Plains will remain in weak flow under a positively tilted ridge. This will keep our area dry and unseasonably hotter with up to lower 90's high temperatures creeping into parts of our forecast area. The pressure gradient does weaken on Wednesday & Thursday as high surface pressure builds in keeping winds lighter and variable in direction for both days.

LONG TERM

(Friday through Monday) Issued at 1249 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

A fairly persistent unseasonably hot & dry forecast at the end of the week going into the weekend. There will likely be a tropical system coming ashore from the Gulf Coast which may track up the Mississippi Delta Region staying east of our forecast area. The only impact from this post-tropical system may be some cloud cover in eastern Oklahoma. However we could see some weather changes impacting our area around the middle of next week.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 628 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

VFR conditions are expected to continue with the probability of fog at any terminals very low this morning.

Light and variable winds will become south-southwesterly this morning. These winds will become gusty across the western terminals (KWWR and KCSM). Winds will weaken and back around sunset.

Mahale

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 85 63 88 63 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 85 60 88 60 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 89 59 91 58 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 88 60 89 59 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 87 61 88 60 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 83 56 85 58 / 0 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.