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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 131 AM CDT Wed Jul 8 2026
- A few isolated showers and storms may be possible today across southeast/south central Oklahoma.
- Storm chances will increase towards the end of the week and into the weekend. Severe weather will be possible Thursday evening into early Friday morning.
- Hot and humid conditions expected to continue through next weekend with a risk for heat related illnesses.
NEAR TERM
(Through Wednesday) Issued at 131 AM CDT Wed Jul 8 2026
There continues to be a signal for isolated showers and thunderstorms into early this morning, primarily aided by perturbations within the northwest flow aloft. Increasing mid- level heights today will help temperatures this afternoon get into the low 100s across much of the area. Given the upper 60s to low 70s dewpoints, especially across south central Oklahoma, heat indices will range from 100-105 F for most of the forecast area. Additional showers and thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and evening, with no severe weather expected. The best chance for storms this afternoon will be across south central and southeastern Oklahoma.
Bunker
SHORT TERM
(Wednesday night through Friday night) Issued at 131 AM CDT Wed Jul 8 2026
Storms will likely develop over the High Plains of eastern Colorado and northeast New Mexico Thursday afternoon, and push into the Plains Thursday night. Although the best chances of storms will be farther north, there is still potential for some of these storms to move across northern Oklahoma. These storms will be capable of damaging wind gusts as they move into northern Oklahoma. As storms move into Oklahoma, they are expected to weaken.
Temperatures on Friday will be a few degrees cooler than on Thursday, but overall there won't be much relief from the heat. Hottest heat indices during the afternoon will be across southern and south central Oklahoma. More widespread shower and thunderstorm chances will be possible Friday evening as storms move in from the high Plains.
Bunker
LONG TERM
(Saturday through Tuesday) Issued at 131 AM CDT Wed Jul 8 2026
Aforementioned showers and thunderstorms will continue through Saturday across much of the area. Temperatures will be cooler over the weekend, however, with increasing surface dewpoints, afternoon heat indices will still be in the 100s. Mid-level ridge will shift to the north across the central and high Plains into next week, helping to keep temperatures near average across the southern Plains. As of right now, the overall synoptic pattern next week will support above average temperatures and below average precipitation.
Bunker
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 955 PM CDT Tue Jul 7 2026
Skies are clearing out tonight with VFR conditions expected to continue. Winds will shift to south-southwesterly at most sites tomorrow morning and remain that way during the day. There will be a few showers in southeast Oklahoma, but precipitation chances at DUA of 10-20 percent don't quite justify a PROB30 as of the 06Z TAF issuance.
Meister
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Oklahoma City OK 99 78 100 80 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 100 77 100 78 / 0 0 0 10 Wichita Falls TX 100 78 101 79 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 101 76 101 73 / 10 20 10 40 Ponca City OK 96 77 98 78 / 0 20 10 10 Durant OK 98 80 99 80 / 20 0 0 0
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...None. TX...None.
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