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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1224 PM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026

- Dangerous heat expected to persist most days into at least the middle of next week.

- Lingering showers and storms this afternoon over portions of northern into central Oklahoma. Additional chances this evening over portions of western Oklahoma.

NEAR TERM

(Today and tonight) Issued at 1122 AM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026

Lingering showers and cloud cover from overnight are making the temperature forecast a bit more complicated for today. Areas near and east of I-35 are unlikely to meet heat advisory criteria. Still may see heat indices near 100 in this area, but cloud cover and a slight breeze will aid in offering relief. Have canceled portions of the advisory where confidence is higher that we will not meet criteria. Meanwhile, northwest Oklahoma, southwest Oklahoma, and western north Texas still look on track to heat up under clearing skies this afternoon.

CAMs suggest some late afternoon convection developing in the panhandles today, possibly nudging over into western Oklahoma this evening (20% chance). A few strong storms with locally damaging wind gusts will be possible with this activity.

Day

SHORT TERM

(Saturday through Sunday night) Issued at 1203 PM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026

Heat comes back front and center as the major headline this weekend. We are issuing an Extreme Heat Warning for parts of north central and central Oklahoma, with a heat advisory covering the rest of our forecast area. Heat indices will be in the 105 to 112 range on Saturday with little in the way of cloud cover or wind to offer relief (This will push WBGT into the extreme category for parts of the area). Sunday will be similar (slightly hotter temperatures, but slightly lower dewpoints with areas northwest of I-44 getting a slight breeze).

With the heat and very moist low levels, a few diurnally driven pop- up showers and storms cannot be ruled out Saturday afternoon across parts of western and northern Oklahoma. These chances will be fighting the upper level ridge moving in over the weekend.

Day

LONG TERM

(Monday through Thursday) Issued at 147 AM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026

Next week will feature continued heat as the upper level dome of high pressure continues to linger over much of the Southern Plains. Heat indices will likely range from 100 to 105 degrees across most of the area each day through the week, with some areas that may breach 105 to 110 degrees. Therefore, heat will remain the main message through the week with continued risk for heat related illnesses.

Towards the tail end of the week, the ridge may retreat westward and open the door for northwesterly flow aloft. This could bring a return to precipitation chances, but chances remain low at this time.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1224 PM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026

MVFR conditions could persist for another hour or two at KSWO and KDUA, but ceilings are expected to become VFR this afternoon and through tomorrow. The complex of light rain with a few embedded thunderstorms continues at this hour over northern and into parts of central Oklahoma. Considerable uncertainty exists on how long the precipitation lasts, but should diminish over the next several hours.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 77 99 78 101 / 10 10 0 0 Hobart OK 77 102 77 103 / 10 10 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 79 100 78 101 / 0 10 0 0 Gage OK 75 102 76 104 / 10 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 77 99 79 102 / 10 10 0 0 Durant OK 79 98 79 100 / 0 10 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for OKZ004>007-009>012- 014>019-021>025-027>029-033>041-043>048-050>052.

Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 9 PM CDT Saturday for OKZ004-009-010- 014>017-021>023-027>048-050>052.

Extreme Heat Warning from 11 AM to 9 PM CDT Saturday for OKZ005>008-011>013-018>020-024>026.

TX...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for TXZ083>090.

Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 9 PM CDT Saturday for TXZ083>090.


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