textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 913 PM CST Wed Dec 17 2025

- Elevated to near critical fire danger risk across parts of our area from Thursday into Saturday.

- Warming trend peaks on Saturday with above-average temperatures on every day through early next week.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of today and tonight) Issued at 1213 PM CST Wed Dec 17 2025

Patchy dense fog continues across portions of central and southwestern Oklahoma and adjacent western north Texas. Visibilities with this activity is expected to increase over the next few hours. Low stratus may linger into the afternoon, but afternoon highs should have any issues getting into the upper 50s.

Southerly surface winds tonight will transport moisture northward, ahead of a cold front that will move into the area starting late tonight. That being said, there is some signal for fog (potentially dense at times) to return to the area tonight into Thursday morning across portions of the area. As of right now, confidence in coverage and duration is uncertain at this time, so additional fog products will not be issued with this package. There is a low chance for showers to develop across far southeast Oklahoma this evening into the overnight hours.

Bunker

SHORT TERM

(Thursday through Friday night) Issued at 1213 PM CST Wed Dec 17 2025

Cold front should make its way through the area by mid morning. Winds behind the aforementioned frontal passage will be gusty across much of the area -- with gusts up to 40 mph through the day. Dry air will move in behind the front, fostering afternoon RHs minimums into the single digits out west and into the teens across the rest of the area. With these low RHs, combined with gusty winds and dry fuels, elevated to near critical fire weather conditions are expected Thursday afternoon.

Winds will shift from the north to the south Thursday night into Friday, with breezy winds returning Friday. A dry return flow pattern is favored Friday morning into the afternoon, so RHs will again be in the upper teens to low 20s across much of the area. Elevated fire weather concerns will be favored across at least the western third of the area.

Bunker

LONG TERM

(Saturday through Tuesday) Issued at 1225 AM CST Wed Dec 17 2025

Our upper flow near zonal this weekend through Monday with mild California Pacific-based air overhead. Our warming trend expected to peak on Saturday with near record breaking afternoon temperatures about 20-25 degrees warmer than normal for mid to late December. Unseasonably warm and gusty south winds will increase the fire danger risk Saturday afternoon across southwest Oklahoma and western north Texas where the driest air will be in place. A weather system training along the Canadian/U.S. border will push a cold front through our area late Saturday into Sunday. A bit more robust cooling behind this front for Sunday into Monday yet temperatures will remain above normal. Upper ridging starts building in Tuesday restarting a strong warming trend.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 924 PM CST Wed Dec 17 2025

IFR conditions (both ceilings and visibilities) will persist at KDUA through the overnight hours. KSWO will be on the edge of stratus, so a TEMPO was included there. Elsewhere, generally VFR conditions are expected.

Southerly winds will continue ahead of an approaching cold front/northwesterly wind shift. A strengthening 50 to 55 knot low- level jet will result in low-level wind shear (LLWS) at most terminals. The cold front will move through all the terminals tonight into tomorrow morning (which will clear any ongoing visibility and ceiling restrictions). As the cold front moves through, brief, northerly LLWS is possible. Northerly winds will become gusty by mid morning. These winds will weaken toward late afternoon.

Mahale

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 46 57 31 58 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 42 60 30 62 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 45 64 32 65 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 38 56 28 65 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 44 57 27 57 / 10 0 0 0 Durant OK 55 64 33 60 / 10 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.