textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1054 PM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

- Daily rain/storm chances continue through the weekend into next week with near normal temperatures.

- Storms will bring a risk for heavy rain and localized flooding.

- Organized severe weather is not anticipated, but a few strong to severe storms with a risk for large hail and damaging winds will be possible most days.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of today and tonight) Issued at 137 PM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

Lingering showers are persisting across northeast Oklahoma this morning with additional showers and weak storms developing into central Oklahoma due to moist isentropic lift. An extensive shield of clouds associated with the shower activity is slowing temperatures from warming this morning across portions of central into south central Oklahoma, but as clouds begins to break temperatures will rise into the 80s and a few strong storms with gusty winds and small hail may be possible. Meanwhile, out west temperatures are rising nicely into the 80s. Expect highs somewhere in the lower 80s to lower 90s today.

An MCV has developed across the northwestern Texas Panhandle this morning with some additional storm develop through the afternoon expected near the circulation. However, the main culprit for storms this afternoon that will move into western Oklahoma will be along a weak trough in West Texas. Storms will develop this afternoon and move eastward off the Southern High Plains towards the 100th meridian by early this evening. Main hazards when storms move into western Oklahoma and western north Texas will be damaging winds associated with potentially strong downbursts and large hail. LCLs will be around 1500-2000 J/kg with steep low-level lapse rates, which could lead to quick accelerations downward. Modest MLCAPE will give way to enough instability for large hail in the stronger updrafts, but weak bulk shear will lead to short-lived, pulse-like storms. The severe threat will diminish late tonight and localized flooding could become the primary hazard.

PWATs in western Oklahoma are around 1.5 inches, which is near the 90th percentile for climatology. Thus, some of these storms may be heavy rain producers with high rainfall rates. Additionally, slow storm speeds could result in several inches of rainfall and flooding concerns over a small footprint. Any training storms over the same area could also pose a risk for flooding. Therefore, localized flooding due to heavy and/or excessive rainfall may be possible across portions of the western third of Oklahoma and into western north Texas this evening into overnight.

SHORT TERM

(Thursday through Friday night) Issued at 137 PM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

Thursday could be another rinse and repeat, similar to today. Isentropic showers and storms may develop across portions of central into eastern Oklahoma during the morning and afternoon hours. This activity could bring in low to mid cloud cover that limits daytime heating and highs may struggle to warm into the 80s (similar to today). Otherwise, highs are expected to be in the lower 80s to lower 90s. A weak shortwave trough helping to drive storm development during the afternoon and evening hours. Conditions will be similar with the main hazards being damaging wind gusts and large hail with some of the stronger storms that develop. The threat for strong to severe storms will diminish late Thursday night. Localized flooding due to heavy rainfall with storms may be possible.

An upper low will develop over the Permian Basin Friday with moisture south southwesterly flow aloft. Rain and storm chances will remain the greatest across southern Oklahoma and into Texas, in alignment with the better dynamics for lift with the incoming system. There also is a low chance for a few storms to develop along the mid-level front across Kansas and push south into northwest Oklahoma. A strong to severe storm may occur with damaging winds and large hail, but the threat remains low at this time.

LONG TERM

(Saturday through Tuesday) Issued at 136 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

The aforementioned trough to our west will slowly lift eastward into the Plains this weekend, maintaining moist southerly flow and periodic storm chances over the area Saturday and Sunday. Models suggest the wave will then move east of the area Monday, shearing out as it does so as it becomes enveloped by a larger trough digging across the western US. Upper flow will then weaken and become more nebulous over the area, but with a moist and unstable airmass remaining in place, daily shower and storm chances and near normal temperatures will continue into at least the early to middle portion of next week.

Ware

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1054 PM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

A few rounds of showers and thunderstorms are possible for KWWR and KCSM tonight into early Thursday morning, with small hail and gusty winds possible. MVFR conditions are expected at KDUA (chance of IFR) by early morning, with MVFR conditions possible at KSWO and KPNC. There is a chance of showers/storms on Thursday afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 84 68 88 70 / 20 10 10 0 Hobart OK 89 67 91 69 / 40 60 10 10 Wichita Falls TX 89 68 91 69 / 20 10 0 0 Gage OK 88 65 89 69 / 70 70 10 10 Ponca City OK 82 67 86 70 / 30 10 30 10 Durant OK 85 71 85 71 / 10 10 40 10

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.