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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1040 PM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

- Unseasonably warm temperatures expected into next week.

- Next chance for rain Monday-Tuesday.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of today and tonight) Issued at 1229 PM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

A reinforcing frontal boundary will usher in drier air, with temperatures this afternoon remaining well-above average. Generally, locations to the north will get up into the 60s, and locations to the south will be in the 70s. Northerly winds will eventually weaken shortly before sunset. Should be a beautiful day to spend outdoors!

SHORT TERM

(Saturday through Sunday night) Issued at 1229 PM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

Overnight lows Friday into Saturday morning will be near freezing for most of us. The shallow cold air mass in the wake of the aforementioned frontal boundary will stick around at least through Saturday. Afternoon temperatures will reflect this by not getting much above the low 60s.

A warming trend will begin Sunday across the area, with highs in the low to mid 70s. Overnight lows Sunday morning will be much warmer than previous mornings, with temperatures ranging from the mid 40s to low 50s.

LONG TERM

(Monday through Thursday) Issued at 1228 AM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

Models show the upper low eventually opening up and moving across the southern Plains as a wave Tuesday. Meanwhile, sfc moisture will be on the increase early next week with a sfc low and cold front expected to move across the area Tuesday. All this will bring a chance for rain starting in SW portions of the fa Monday afternoon with chances spreading north and east Monday night. The rain chances will continue into Tuesday and are expected to end as the upper wave moves out of the area.

The warmer temperatures will continue Monday with highs once again in the 70s. These temperatures will be 20 to 25 degrees above normal for this time of year. The front moving across the area Tuesday will lead to "cooler" (highs in the mid/upper 60s) temperatures in northern OK with highs in the 70s expected across the rest of the fa. The airmass behind the front isn't particularly cold but will lead to highs more in the upper 50s and 60s (10 to 15 degrees cooler than Monday) for the middle of next week.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1040 PM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

The chances for low level clouds tonight has gone down to 10 to 20%, therefore MVFR ceilings have been removed from the TAFs. If low clouds do develop, northwest Oklahoma remains the most likely area to see impacts.

Wind direction will gradually shift from northeasterly to southerly through the TAF period. Gusty winds are expected across western Oklahoma tomorrow afternoon.

Day

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 70 36 60 49 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 74 35 61 47 / 0 0 0 10 Wichita Falls TX 80 39 66 50 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 69 31 62 41 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 65 32 55 41 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 78 39 60 47 / 0 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.


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