textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 455 AM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026

- Strong to severe storms continue into Saturday morning.

- Marginal risk of severe storms on Saturday afternoon and evening for far western Oklahoma.

- Hot and dry conditions next week.

NEAR TERM

(Through Saturday) Issued at 126 AM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026

Given strong low-level WAA (RAP) continuing into Saturday morning ahead of the approaching H500 speed max, strong to severe storms remain possible with damaging winds and locally heavy rainfall possible. We will maintain the Flood watch over portions of north- central Oklahoma through 7 AM as a precaution. The complex entering our area from the panhandles should exit our forecast area before or near dawn.

During the day, the stationary front will lift northward into Kansas as a warm front and temperatures will rise across the FA into the mid-90's and low 100's. Heat index values are expected to rise into the triple digits by early afternoon. HREF has high probabilities of heat advisory criteria across north-central and southwest Oklahoma and adjacent north Texas. However, CAMS have not handled ongoing convection very well and there is uncertainty on whether these heat indices will be reached if showers/storms linger on Saturday morning.

There is a marginal risk of severe storms on Saturday afternoon and evening across far western Oklahoma ahead of a diffuse dryline. Damaging wind gusts up to 70 mph are possible.

Thompson

SHORT TERM

(Saturday night through Monday night) Issued at 126 AM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026

Hot and dry conditions are expected with record warm low temperatures possible on both Sunday morning and Monday morning. Breezy southerly winds will help mitigate the hot and humid conditions in the short term.

Thompson

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through Friday) Issued at 126 AM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026

Ridge begins to build over the central CONUS towards the end of the week, with dry conditions expected. Air temperatures creep upwards middle to end of next week and temperatures of 100 to 105 degrees are forecast to be widespread by next weekend.

Thompson

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 455 AM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026

All of our terminals should stay in a VFR category through the entire forecast period. There could be another round of convection later this evening (after 00Z) on the Southern High Plains although storm probabilities are very low to have any impacts on our terminals in western OK and adjacent northern TX. A bit breezy across our terminals as surface winds will veer south-southwest by 15-16Z at 10-15 kts gusting 20-25 kts. By 01Z surface winds will decrease and back more southerly. Another but stronger 40-45 kt low-level jet will increase out of the south by 06Z which could result in low-level wind shear over all of our terminals.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 97 79 96 78 / 10 0 0 0 Hobart OK 101 78 100 78 / 10 10 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 100 77 99 77 / 10 0 0 0 Gage OK 100 79 102 80 / 10 10 0 0 Ponca City OK 93 78 94 79 / 10 10 0 0 Durant OK 94 77 95 78 / 0 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Flood Watch until 7 AM CDT this morning for OKZ007-008-013-020.

TX...None.