textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1251 PM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

- Above-normal temperatures expected through Wednesday, cooling closer to average Friday into the weekend.

- Next chance for rain is late Saturday into Sunday, with most likely amounts of a quarter inch to an inch of rain across the area.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of today and tonight) Issued at 1251 PM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

A "cold" front continues to make its way southward across the area early this afternoon, though it is not expected to bring much more than a wind shift as it brings in a downslope-warmed airmass from the high plains. Some of these winds could be a bit gusty through the afternoon (gusts of 20-30 mph) before diminishing by early evening. A drier airmass behind the front and weakening winds will allow for better radiational cooling tonight, with lows by Thursday morning expected to drop into the low to mid 40s in most spots.

Ware

SHORT TERM

(Thursday through Friday night) Issued at 1251 PM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

Mild temperatures continue on Thursday with a light north wind and sunny skies ahead of another (stronger) cold front that will arrive late in the day into Thursday night. The core of the colder airmass will remain to our northeast associated with a deeper trough developing over the eastern US, but still expect temperatures to drop back closer to or slightly below average By Friday. Suppressive forcing on the backside of the trough and a lack of moisture will keep the area dry through this period.

Ware

LONG TERM

(Saturday through Tuesday) Issued at 1225 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

The weather pattern becomes a bit more active as we move into this weekend and next week. A stout upper wave is set to barrel through the region Saturday night and Sunday bringing widespread rain chances. Synoptic uncertainty is high due to varying tracks for the upper low, with a minority (~10%) of ensemble members keeping the rain footprint entirely southwest of our forecast area; and on the other end, 90th percentile values have 2-3 inches possible at any point in our forecast area. A few embedded thunderstorms may be possible, but instability may be a limiting factor.

That uncertainty will translate into the temperature forecast as well (particularly on Sunday). We're likely looking at 50s and 60s on Saturday; 40s to 60s on Sunday. Low temperatures may approach freezing in northern Oklahoma over the weekend (10-25th percentile), but most members keep us above that threshold (and none have freezing temps coinciding with precipitation right now).

As rain chances move out early Monday, we'll see at least a brief dry period with gradual warming before we transition to more southwesterly flow around mid week.

Day

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1052 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period. A cold front is currently moving through the area this morning. All sites will have winds out of the north, some gusty at times, by the afternoon. Winds will relax later this evening and continue through the remainder of the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 70 46 69 39 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 72 46 72 41 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 76 47 75 45 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 71 42 70 35 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 71 42 66 33 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 80 48 75 42 / 0 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.