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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 140 PM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026

- Seasonable temperatures this weekend before returning to above- average next week.

- Mostly dry conditions through the week, with very low chances for showers and storms late through the weekdays.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of today and tonight) Issued at 140 PM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026

In the wake of yesterday's summer cold front, temperatures are already significantly lower this morning than 24 hours prior. Areas across northern into central Oklahoma where pre-frontal torching and extreme heat occurred yesterday are nearly 10-20 degrees colder today than at the same time yesterday. With the recent extreme heat, today should feel like a beautiful summer day with some breezy north winds. Areas near the Red River and southward will still likely warm to near triple digits, but with the front scour some of the low- level moisture, feels like temperatures will be very similar to the ambient air temperatures today. Any precipitation today will keep to the higher terrain to the west with mostly sunny skies.

SHORT TERM

(Sunday through Monday night) Issued at 140 PM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026

The near seasonable airmass will remain in place again Sunday with temperatures mostly in the 90s and approaching triple digits near the Red River in southwest Oklahoma and into western north Texas. Once again the feels like temperatures will not be far from the ambient air temperature and winds will be lighter than today as they veer to the east through the afternoon.

In the wake of the upper trough that brought the front Friday, the upper ridge over the Desert Southwest will begin to expand eastward into the Southern Plains and bring height rises to the area. Meanwhile, a shortwave will track north of the ridge across the northern Rockies into the northern Plains. Weak surface troughing will develop with a return to southerly surface winds and triple digit heat across portions of western Oklahoma into western north Texas. Drier air will once again keep the feels like temperatures near the ambient temperature and the heat risk will at more of a moderate-high than a high-extreme. Low end breezy winds may also help to keep the conditions feeling like a normal summer day in August. There is a low chance for showers and storms to reach northwest Oklahoma from the higher terrain in New Mexico/Colorado with very weak steering flow aloft.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through Friday) Issued at 153 AM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026

Hot and mostly dry conditions will persist Tuesday through Friday with southerly winds. There is a low chance of showers and thunderstorms over northwest Oklahoma late Tuesday. Dewpoint temperatures will gradually increase with heat indices of 105 becoming more common by end of next week. Thompson

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1109 AM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026

VFR conditions will persist through the period. Northerly winds will relax this evening, becoming mostly light and variable through Sunday morning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 68 94 69 98 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 66 98 70 103 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 69 99 70 103 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 63 97 68 102 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 66 92 68 95 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 70 96 69 98 / 0 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.


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