textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1254 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

- Unseasonably warm temperatures expected throughout the week.

- Chance for rain Tuesday and then again late in the week.

NEAR TERM

(Through Sunday) Issued at 1254 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

Upper low will continue to slowly approach Baja California the rest of this weekend. Clouds are expected to increase across the area overnight into Sunday morning as a subtropical disturbance approaches the area. Meanwhile, a shortwave is expected to move SE across the central and southern Plains. At the sfc, models show a weak front moving across portions of the fa Sunday. With these features, there is a low chance (10-20%) for sprinkles/light rain showers overnight into Sunday. There is a dry subcloud layer so much of the activity is expected to reach the ground with many locations remaining dry. However, enough moistening might occur for some sprinkles/light rain showers to make it to the ground in some locations.

With the increasing cloud cover and southerly winds, warmer temperatures are expected with lows in the 40s to around 50 across the fa by Sunday morning. Despite a frontal boundary moving into parts of the fa, warmer temperatures compared to Saturday are expected Sunday afternoon with highs in the 70s to around 80 across the area. The cloud cover may temper the warm up some but temperatures are still expected to be 20 degrees give or take a few degrees above normal.

SHORT TERM

(Sunday night through Tuesday night) Issued at 1254 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

Models show the previously mentioned upper low continuing to slowly move across Baja into Mexico into the early part of the week. This upper low is expected to open up as a wave that will move across the southern Plains. There is still some uncertainty with the timing of this wave. Meanwhile, at the sfc models show a sfc low and cold front moving across the fa Tuesday. Sfc moisture will also be on the increase at least across parts of the fa during the early part of the week. With the upper wave and front, there is a chance (20-40%) for rain showers Tuesday with the highest chances across the SE third to half of the fa. Currently, parts of northern and west central OK are expected to remain dry. The timing and area of rain chances will be dependent on the timing and path of the upper low/wave.

As for temperatures, the warmest day of the week is expected Monday for many locations with highs in the mid/upper 70s across the fa. Temperatures are expected to be cooler Tuesday across much of the area with the exception in maybe SE parts of the fa where temperatures could be very similar to Monday. Highs are expected to range from the low 60s in NW OK to the mid/upper 70s in SE parts of the fa Tuesday afternoon. The highs Tuesday will be anywhere from 0 to as much as 17 degrees cooler than Monday but still as much as 10 to 20 degrees above normal.

The warm overnight lows will also continue Sunday and Monday nights across most of the fa with lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s Sunday night and in the upper 30s to mid/upper 50s Monday night. The lows Tuesday night will have a wider range as some cooler air moves into the region behind the front. Temperatures Tuesday night are expected to range from the upper 20s in NW OK to the upper 40s/low 50s in south central OK.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through Saturday) Issued at 1254 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

Models show another upper trough could move across the region towards the end of the week into next weekend which will bring a chance for rain to the entire fa. The above average temperatures are also expected to continue through the rest of the week into next weekend.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 946 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

VFR conditions are expected through the period. Mid to high clouds will increase late tonight and stick around through the day Sunday. A weak front will bring a north/northwest wind shift behind it during the morning to much of the area. No precipitation is expected. Clouds will decrease Sunday evening with winds becoming light and variable.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 73 45 78 56 / 20 0 0 0 Hobart OK 75 41 77 50 / 10 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 79 46 80 58 / 10 0 0 0 Gage OK 74 38 79 40 / 10 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 72 39 77 48 / 10 0 0 0 Durant OK 74 46 77 59 / 10 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.