textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 132 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

- Dry conditions and seasonable temperatures are expected through early this week.

- Breezy southerly winds will result in elevated fire weather conditions, primarily across northwest Oklahoma, Monday through Wednesday.

- A more active pattern is expected to bring a return of showers and thunderstorms to the area by the end of the week into next weekend.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of today and tonight) Issued at 132 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Light winds and mild temperatures are making for quite the nice Sunday afternoon across the area with high pressure in control across the region. The center of the high will move to our east tonight, bringing a return of light southerly winds. Lows tonight will not be quite as cold as last night, with most areas dropping into the low to mid 40s.

Ware

SHORT TERM

(Monday through Tuesday night) Issued at 132 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Southerly winds and warming mid level temperatures will allow highs to return to the 70s across the area on Monday. Winds will become breezy during the afternoon across western OK, which combine with drier air will lead to elevated fire conditions for areas that have not received appreciable rainfall this past week (mainly north/west of a line from Roger Mills to Alfalfa counties). Similar conditions are expected on Tuesday over the area though increased cloudiness ahead of a weak shortwave will likely keep temperatures a few degrees cooler and temper the fire danger a bit as well.

Ware

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through Saturday) Issued at 230 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Warmer weather will return Wednesday and Thursday as the low- level thermal ridge across the southwest U.S. expands to the east--placing the Southern Plains on the eastern periphery. High temperatures will range from the upper 70s to mid 80s deg F. Increasing moisture advection should offset the higher temperatures, which should keep the relative humidity values from becoming too low. Therefore, fire weather conditions are expected to remain only elevated.

An active synoptic-scale pattern is forecast to develop by late week into next weekend as both deterministic models and the mean of their ensemble members indicate that southwest flow aloft will likely develop across the Southern Plains as a large-scale trough or cutoff low develops across the southwest U.S.

This pattern will be favorable for appreciable moisture advection/increased instability in tandem with synopic-scale ascent/increased vertical wind shear as shortwave troughs eject into the Plains. While the exact details are yet to be determined, this will result in an increasing chance for showers and thunderstorms with some potential for heavy rainfall and/or severe weather.

Mahale

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1215 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

VFR category will continue areawide during the upcoming period. Mostly clear skies and light winds will be commonplace this afternoon into Monday. Prevailing wind direction is expected to begin shifting, from predominately northeast to east-southeast, into early Monday morning.

Safe travels!

Ungar

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 44 72 43 70 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 41 73 42 71 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 44 72 44 72 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 42 75 42 72 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 41 73 41 72 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 44 71 45 70 / 0 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.