textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 536 PM CDT Fri May 1 2026

- Cool temperatures are expected through Saturday, then a warming trend to above normal temperatures into beginning of next week.

- Elevated fire weather conditions are possible Sunday and Monday afternoons across portions of northwest Oklahoma due to breezy, warm, and dry conditions.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of today and tonight) Issued at 112 PM CDT Fri May 1 2026

Below-average temperatures continue today with lingering clouds and northeasterly winds. Very low rain chances exist over far southern portions of western north Texas through the late afternoon as a mid- level shortwave crosses south-central Texas.

A northern-stream shortwave diving southward along the western periphery of the eastern CONUS trough will bring a low chance of rain this evening and tonight to north-central Oklahoma. Moisture will be limited to the 700-600MB layer with this system, and with cloud bases at 8000ft, much of the resulting precipitation will likely evaporate before reaching the ground.

Tonight, expect decreasing mid/high-level clouds and low temperatures in the 40's.

SHORT TERM

(Saturday through Sunday night) Issued at 112 PM CDT Fri May 1 2026

Overall, dry conditions and warming temperatures are expected through Monday.

After a chilly Saturday morning, weather conditions will be superb thanks to an approaching ridge with sunny skies, light winds, high temperatures in the 70's expected. Winds swing to the south on Saturday night as the surface high shifts over the Mississippi River Valley and low temperatures will be slightly warmer than those forecast for tonight.

The upper ridge begins to break down as northern-stream jet dives towards the north-central plains and a closed low skirts the California coast. This will prompt mid-level height falls to shift towards the central CONUS and prompt the formation of a surface trough as the surface high exits our FA. The interaction of these two surface features will yield breezy southwest winds and warmer temperatures on Sunday and Monday with highs in the 80's. Elevated fire weather conditions return to northwest Oklahoma on Sunday and Monday due to the warm, dry and breezy conditions.

LONG TERM

(Monday through Thursday) Issued at 141 AM CDT Fri May 1 2026

Next week will be marked by mild to warm temperatures (70s and 80s). A few waves moving through the northern stream aloft will bring low chances for precipitation late Monday through Wednesday, with the highest chances being in the north. Models continue to show a front moving through sometime on Tuesday (with the latest runs showing a faster progression), though timing remains uncertain as ensemble and run-to-run consistency are both low.

Day

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 536 PM CDT Fri May 1 2026

VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period. Winds out of the east will remain weak and becoming variable starting overnight into Saturday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 45 75 50 83 / 10 10 0 0 Hobart OK 44 78 49 84 / 10 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 45 78 51 84 / 10 0 0 0 Gage OK 39 76 45 84 / 10 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 45 71 47 84 / 20 10 0 0 Durant OK 47 74 50 80 / 10 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.