textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1224 PM CST Fri Nov 28 2025

-Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected tonight into Saturday morning.

-A strong cold front moves through Saturday, bringing falling temperatures during the afternoon and gusty north winds.

-Below normal temperatures persist into early next week, with a chance for light wintry precipitation Monday.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of today and tonight) Issued at 1224 PM CST Fri Nov 28 2025

Satellite/observations around the area show clouds continuing to thicken and ceilings lowering across the central and western parts of the area, with radar showing light echoes expanding out of southwest OK and western NTX. Expect this trend to continue through the afternoon into tonight as ascent increases over the area. Rain showers will become numerous overnight across central and eastern OK with a dryslot quickly shutting of precipitation to the southwest. Given ~500 J/Kg of MUCAPE, can't rule out a few rumbles of thunder tonight into Saturday morning, mainly south and east of I-44. Southerly winds will increase overnight to 20-30 mph with gusts near 40 mph as an intense low-level jet translates eastward overhead. These winds and associated mixing will help keep temperatures mild overnight, with lows in 40s to low 50s.

Ware

SHORT TERM

(Saturday through Sunday night) Issued at 1224 PM CST Fri Nov 28 2025

A strong cold front is still poised to cross the area on Saturday, pushed along by a cold Canadian airmass and strong surface high pressure of ~1040 mb centered across the northern Plains. Expect falling temperatures and strong north winds behind the front through the day, with rain showers gradually ending across eastern parts of the area by early afternoon as the front sweeps southeastward. Sustained winds of 20-30 mph with gusts over 40 mph are expected across the northwest half to 2/3rds of the area through late Saturday afternoon, with winds then slowly decreasing through the evening. Lows Saturday night will drop into the teens and twenties with wind chills in the single digits and teens by Sunday morning.

Sunday continues to look cold but dry with mostly sunny skies through much of the day. Even with sunshine highs will likely only reach into the mid 30s to low 40s across the area given continued northerly winds and cold advection. Clouds will then increase late afternoon into the evening ahead of the next quick moving system.

Ware

LONG TERM

(Monday through next Thursday) Issued at 1224 PM CST Fri Nov 28 2025

Wintry precipitation remains possible on Monday, although amounts continue to look very light and impacts appear rather minimal at this time. The shortwave trough will quickly eject into the Plains Monday morning and track across northern OK and KS by Monday evening. This track places the bulk of the forcing to our north and east, which is where the majority of accumulating snowfall is forecast, but low chances (20-30%) remain for accumulations of a dusting to an inch across the northern 1/3rd of the area. Farther south, forcing will be even weaker and amounts even lower, only a trace to a couple hundredths of QPF. Depending on temperatures, could see some very light freezing rain or freezing drizzle across central OK Monday morning into early afternoon, so will need to watch for this, but as of now amounts appear too light and temperatures too marginal to cause much impact. Precipitation will quickly exit the area Monday evening, with another cold night (teens/20s) expected in the wake of the system.

Temperatures are then expected to quickly moderate back to near seasonal average (40s/50s) for highs Tuesday/Wednesday, with another front forecast to cross the area Thursday. As of now the airmass does not appear as cold as the one slated for this weekend and appears to not have any precipitation accompanying it.

Ware

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1047 PM CST Fri Nov 28 2025

Areas of showers and thunderstorms will continue overnight and into Saturday, especially across southeastern Oklahoma. While there still is a potential of showers farther northwest, the potential appears a little lower than previously forecast and have made this adjustment in the 06Z TAFs. Widespread MVFR and locally IFR ceilings are still expected overnight with gusty southerly winds. Ceilings will improve Saturday as a cold front moves through and brings drier low-level air into the area. This front will also bring strong and gusty northwest winds during the day on Saturday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 46 59 24 37 / 20 60 0 0 Hobart OK 47 59 23 40 / 20 10 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 49 68 26 43 / 40 20 0 0 Gage OK 41 45 18 36 / 10 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 45 53 21 36 / 30 60 0 0 Durant OK 46 61 28 43 / 80 70 10 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Wind Advisory from 6 AM to 6 PM CST Saturday for OKZ004>007- 009>012-014>018-021>024-034-035.

TX...None.