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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1259 AM CDT Fri Mar 27 2026
- Strong winds Friday, especially behind a strong cold front coming through early this morning - Light rain showers or drizzle possible today
- Pattern change may bring thunderstorms to the area in the middle to late part of next week.
NEAR TERM
(Rest of tonight through Friday) Issued at 1259 AM CDT Fri Mar 27 2026
As of 1 AM, the cold front stretched from Sayre to Perry, with the strongest winds concentrated in the Oklahoma and Texas panhandles. Ahead of the front, there is a brief lull in the wind speeds, with southeast winds going nearly calm about 50 miles to the south of the front. This won't last too terribly long, with northeast winds along and behind the front increasing to 30 to 40 mph.
Latest CAMs remain consistent in bringing the front through much of Oklahoma between 10-12Z, and keeping strong winds at least through the morning hours. With the north winds, there will be a distinct cooldown compared to the past few days. Some areas will struggle to get out of the 50s in the north, with lower 60s being common in the south.
Maybe more importantly, some of us will be lucky to see a few raindrops, but any rain will not amount to much. In fact, the rain may fall as drizzle or virga, which would accelerate some air downward, increasing localized areas of gusty winds...on top of the already gusty winds behind the front.
SHORT TERM
(Friday night through Saturday night) Issued at 1259 AM CDT Fri Mar 27 2026
Tonight and Saturday will be pretty nice. Any lingering rain or drizzle from Friday afternoon will move south by Friday night, allowing the winds to relax finally. Early Saturday morning will actually feel like March, with near freezing temperatures across the northern third of Oklahoma. Temperatures rebound into the mid 60s once again Saturday afternoon.
LONG TERM
(Sunday through next Thursday) Issued at 1259 AM CDT Fri Mar 27 2026
The longer term forecast is looking active. The good news is that by Wednesday and Thursday will begin to bring back some chances for rain and thunderstorms across the area. The bad news is that the chances will be focused on the dry line. As the dry line progresses eastward on the 1st and 2nd, there will likely be two active areas, fire weather potential behind the dry line, and strong thunderstorms to the east of the dry line.
Extended models and their ensembles are in relatively good agreement in this progression, so confidence is increasing that a much needed pattern change to more active systems may indeed be in the works.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1044 PM CDT Thu Mar 26 2026
A cold front continues to move across northern OK, shifting winds to north-northeast. The front will continue across the rest of the area tonight, with winds of 25-35 mph with gusts of 40-50 mph expected behind the front and continuing for much of the day Friday. MVFR ceilings and are possible behind the front and could last into Friday afternoon along and south of I-40 before lifting. Very light showers are also possible Friday into Friday evening for these areas, but should have no impact.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Oklahoma City OK 92 49 60 40 / 0 20 30 0 Hobart OK 95 47 59 39 / 0 10 10 0 Wichita Falls TX 93 53 63 46 / 0 10 20 10 Gage OK 99 41 59 34 / 0 20 0 0 Ponca City OK 94 46 61 36 / 0 40 20 0 Durant OK 87 58 71 49 / 0 0 20 20
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT Friday for OKZ004>031-033>042- 044>046-050.
Red Flag Warning from 10 AM to 9 PM CDT Friday for OKZ004>030- 033>042-044>047-050-051.
TX...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT Friday for TXZ083>090.
Red Flag Warning from 10 AM to 9 PM CDT Friday for TXZ083>090.
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