textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 555 AM CDT Thu Apr 2 2026

- Cold front brings potential for severe storms and locally heavy rainfall late Friday into Saturday.

- Dry conditions are expected Sunday and into middle of next week.

NEAR TERM

(Through Thursday) Issued at 1244 AM CDT Thu Apr 2 2026

Rest of tonight, rain and thunderstorms will gradually shift eastward with severe storm activity having come to an end. Rain is expected to exit our CWA near dawn or just after dawn. Sunny skies, breezy southwest winds (I-44 & east) are expected as the main surface low exits and a slow- amplitude upper ridge passes over the central plains. High temperatures will be mainly in the 80's to low 90's. Over western Oklahoma, westerly winds are expected in the morning and will diminish by mid-day, before shifting to the south by mid- afternoon. With the rainfall received this past evening over much of western Oklahoma and north Texas, elevated fire weather conditions are expected to be confined to northwest Oklahoma.

Southerly winds will increase on Thursday night as a lee-side trough develops as a strong upper low approaches the northern Rockies. Increased flow aloft will bring increasing high/mid clouds and could see low clouds develop over southeastern Oklahoma by early Friday morning.

Thompson

SHORT TERM

(Thursday night through Saturday night) Issued at 1244 AM CDT Thu Apr 2 2026

A cold front is anticipated to arrive over northwest Oklahoma by mid- morning or mid-day and move slowly during the day. Models suggest by mid-afternoon, the boundary will extend from Blackwell-Watonga-Elk City. Breezy south winds are expected during the day as the front approaches. Showers and thunderstorms are likely by Friday afternoon, with severe storms possible. MLCAPE of 2500 to 3000 J/kg is prog'd over the warm sector with meager low/mid-level shear. The primary hazards with any severe storms that develop are large hail and damaging winds, and cannot rule out a tornado. By the way, HREF PWAT values are prog'd as 1.5-1.6 inches along/east of the I-44 corridor which is above the climatological daily max of 1.31 inches. With abundant moisture and a slow moving front, excessive rainfall is also a concern and could lead to locally heavy rainfall and flash flooding for the duration of the event (late Friday into Saturday). By Saturday afternoon, showers/storms are expected to continue over primarily south-central and southeastern Oklahoma before exiting late afternoon. Storm total QPF amounts of at least 1 inches are anticipated from Vernon to El Reno to Cushing, with scattered locations across southern and southeastern Oklahoma receiving 2 to 2.5 inches of rainfall.

Sunday morning low temperatures will feel quite chilly with upper 30's over north/western Oklahoma to mid-40's elsewhere.

Thompson

LONG TERM

(Sunday through Wednesday) Issued at 1244 AM CDT Thu Apr 2 2026

Mid-level ridging sets up to our west and a surface high will provide for beautiful weather conditions on Easter Sunday with light winds, mostly sunny skies, and temperatures rising into the upper 60's to mid 70's.

Dry conditions are expected through middle of next week with high temperatures remaining in the 70's.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 555 AM CDT Thu Apr 2 2026

MVFR conditions are possible for a few more hours this morning for KPNC, KSWO, and KDUA with rain shield expected to exit our area soon. Breezy S/SW winds gradually diminish today over parts of east-central and southeastern Oklahoma. Winds shift to the W/NW for northern/western Oklahoma as a Pacific front moves through. Winds return to the south by late afternoon and increasing winds along with MVFR ceilings advance northward tonight.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 83 66 80 49 / 0 0 70 80 Hobart OK 86 63 84 47 / 0 0 60 70 Wichita Falls TX 88 66 83 52 / 0 0 70 90 Gage OK 83 59 80 41 / 0 0 10 20 Ponca City OK 79 62 79 44 / 0 0 70 60 Durant OK 85 67 82 54 / 30 10 40 90

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.