textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 212 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

- Scattered showers and storms are expected through the afternoon with local heavy rainfall and flooding possible.

- Near to above normal temperatures heading into next week with a potential for triple digit heat.

NEAR TERM

(Through Sunday) Issued at 212 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

Unfortunately confidence is not high on how widespread precipitation will be today. Despite the upper low moving over the Plains, the high moisture content in the airmass over the area, and areas with little or no convective inhibition, the convection yesterday and into this morning has been less widespread than anticipated with a very unfortunate minimum in the precipitation that has fallen in OKC/Norman, or more broadly in the Ringling to OKC to Stillwater to Ponca City corridor. Given these trends, have lowered POPs in some areas from the NBM POPs for today. Things are also complicated with the current Flood Watch. Highest precipitation potential will be in southeastern Oklahoma. But even in areas with less widespread precipitation expected, these showers and storms have been very efficient at producing heavy rainfall with our high precipitable water values - as we saw last evening in the Weatherford area. Therefore am reluctant to trim the watch too much at this point with such high PW values over the area. Have at least trimmed the western portion of the watch, and will likely be able to remove some more counties later in this shift. The day shift will likely be able to trim more from west to east through the day as the upper trough and the potential for showers/storms shifts east through the day.

In general, the shower and storm potential will diminish from west to east through the day with some clearing skies behind the upper trough axis. With that, high temperatures will be warmer today in the west, but similar highs to yesterday are expected in the east.

SHORT TERM

(Sunday night through Tuesday night) Issued at 212 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

Some lingering showers may persist in the east this evening before the upper trough moves far enough east to push the convection east of our forecast area. In the wake of this exiting trough, upper ridging builds into the southern and central Plains and we will see the return of hot afternoon temperatures. The ridging even on Monday now looks strong enough to support triple digit temperatures in northwest Oklahoma and the wheat belt of north central Oklahoma. Heights actually decrease a little on Tuesday as the ridge axis shifts to the Mississippi Valley and a trough approaches the High Plains from the southern and central Rockies. This will likely lower high temperatures slightly Tuesday compared to Wednesday, although triple digit highs are still possible in the wheat belt.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through Saturday) Issued at 212 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

The mid/upper level flow flattens and becomes more zonal mid week. But with sunny skies, above average high temperatures are still expected Wednesday and Thursday. A large-scale trough projected to move across the northern and central plains Thursday will help push a cold front down the plains into Oklahoma on Thursday decreasing high temperatures and providing the next significant rain chances on Thursday night.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 556 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

The primary aviation weather issued this morning are areas of MVFR and locally IFR ceilings, and the scattered showers and thunderstorms across the area. The storms will be most likely across southern Oklahoma approaching KDUA, with some potential of scattered storms near the central and north central Oklahoma sites. The precipitation chances will decrease from west to east across the area through the day. Areas of low ceilings across the area will also lift through the day with clearing skies spreading from west to east. There are areas of low visibility (AOB 1/2SM) across the northeastern Texas panhandle, central and eastern Oklahoma panhandle and southwest Kansas. There is some potential for low visibility to develop at KWWR over the next couple of hours, but the potential is too low to mention explicitly in the KWWR TAF.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 85 74 93 75 / 50 10 0 0 Hobart OK 91 74 98 75 / 20 10 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 91 74 95 74 / 60 0 0 0 Gage OK 91 74 102 77 / 10 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 83 73 92 77 / 50 40 20 10 Durant OK 87 76 91 77 / 70 10 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Flood Watch through this afternoon for OKZ012-013-018>020- 024>032-038>048-050>052.

TX...Flood Watch through this afternoon for TXZ086-088>090.