textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1040 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

- Strong to severe storms possible Saturday evening into early Sunday.

- Strong to severe storms are possible along a cold front Sunday afternoon and evening.

- Hot temperatures return Sunday.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of today and tonight) Issued at 145 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

The expansive band of showers and thunderstorms will continue to move off to the east today and out of our area. Most of the area is expected to remain dry through the remainder of the day today, as mid-level heights generally increase through the afternoon and evening. Cloud cover will diminish as well, so afternoon highs will get up into the upper 80s to low 90s across the area.

There is a signal for weak isentropic ascent late tonight into early saturday across the southern Plains, which may give way to a few isolated showers and thunderstorms.

Bunker

SHORT TERM

(Saturday through Sunday night) Issued at 145 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

Once again, most locations across the area will remain dry on Saturday through most of the day. A weak disturbance, within the southwesterly flow aloft, will traverse the southern Plains on Saturday. A mesoscale convective system is expected to develop along the southern Rockies Saturday evening, and move into northern Oklahoma by Saturday night. As of right now, the best locations for severe weather associated with this complex would be across northern and northwestern Oklahoma. As this complex moves into our area, it is expected to weaken.

On Sunday, dangerous heat will return across most of the area. Heat indices of 105-109 F are expected for most locations outside of northwestern Oklahoma. Heat headlines will likely be issued with subsequent forecasts, when confidence in location becomes more clear. Severe weather will return Sunday afternoon and evening as a weak cold front enters the area. A very unstable airmass will be in place, and with sufficient shear, severe weather will be possible across much of the area.

Bunker

LONG TERM

(Monday through Thursday) Issued at 200 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

Northwest to west-northwest flow will continue to persist across the Southern Plains as a ~596+ dam mid-level ridge remains entrenched across the southwest U.S. With northwest flow aloft, an active weather pattern will continue into next week with ongoing chances for showers and thunderstorms as MCSs and/or effective cold fronts advance southward. As a result, temperatures should remain in check (i.e., not become too hot) next week. Generally seasonable to slightly below normal temperatures are expected.

Mahale

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1040 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

Most locations are expected to remain dry tonight into Saturday although some isolated showers/storms may develop in a few locations late tonight into Saturday morning. However, chances are too low to mention in TAFs. There is a better chance for storms developing in the High Plains Saturday afternoon to move into NW OK late Saturday evening. VFR/MVFR ceilings expected this TAF period although there is still some guidance showing some potential for IFR ceilings in a few areas late tonight into Saturday morning. E to SE winds expected overnight will shift to S and SE winds Saturday. Wind speeds are expected to increase a bit during the day Saturday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 70 87 73 96 / 20 20 10 10 Hobart OK 68 90 73 99 / 20 20 10 0 Wichita Falls TX 69 91 73 97 / 20 20 0 0 Gage OK 67 91 73 100 / 10 10 40 0 Ponca City OK 69 85 73 93 / 30 30 30 30 Durant OK 73 89 76 94 / 40 30 10 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.