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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1200 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025
- Above-average temperatures through Friday; turning cooler by this weekend.
- No chance for precipitation through at least Friday.
NEAR TERM
(Today and tonight) Issued at 1200 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025
An unusually warm and pleasant day of weather is beginning across Oklahoma and north Texas. With a southwesterly surface wind, mostly clear skies and modest downsloped warming, temperatures this afternoon will climb into the low-70s across far western Oklahoma and western-north Texas. While slightly "cooler", temperatures across central and eastern Oklahoma will still run 10-15 degrees above normal (low-60s) for early December.
A weak surface front remains poised to advance southeastward across the forecast area this evening into early Wednesday, as a 90kt+ jet core dives across the Northern Plains. It still appears as though the main sensible impact with the front will be a wind shift (southwest-to-north/northeasterly direction) into Wednesday morning.
Ungar
SHORT TERM
(Wednesday through Thursday night) Issued at 1200 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025
While cooler than today, temperatures during the day on Wednesday still look to run several degrees above average (low-60s south to mid-50s north) across the area. Greater influence from an upstream ridge will be noted with time, as a deep upper system accelerates towards the Eastern Seaboard by Thursday. Similar to Tuesday, breezy southwest winds are expected during the afternoon and evening amidst a locally notable pressure gradient. Combined with at least filtered insolation and weak downsloping, another warm December day is currently anticipated.
Ungar
LONG TERM
(Friday through next Monday) Issued at 1139 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025
NW flow is expected to continue through the weekend with another cold front moving across the area Friday. Cooler temperatures are expected Saturday with highs in the mid 40s in north central OK to around 60 in western north TX. Models show a secondary cold front moving across the area over the weekend bringing a re-enforcing shot of cool air which will lead to even cooler temperatures Sunday with highs in the mid 30s to mid 40s. These colder temperatures currently look short lived with highs returning to the 50s maybe low 60s early next week.
Despite several cold front passages, the forecast continues to be dry into the weekend.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1139 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025
A cold front will shift winds to the north with winds becoming gusty late tonight into Wednesday morning. The main concern is LLWS of 40 to 50 knots expected tonight into tomorrow morning. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Oklahoma City OK 42 57 36 62 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 38 60 34 65 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 42 62 36 67 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 38 56 36 70 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 40 55 34 64 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 43 62 36 62 / 0 0 0 0
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...None. TX...None.
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