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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 131 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

- Scattered showers/storms are expected to continue to develop over northern Oklahoma into the morning hours.

- Severe weather will be possible Thursday night into early Friday morning, and again Friday afternoon.

- Hot and humid conditions expected to continue through the weekend with a risk for heat related illnesses.

NEAR TERM

(Through Thursday) Issued at 131 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible this morning, mainly across northern Oklahoma. A few storms may produce gusty winds and small hail, but overall impacts are expected be very low. The more showery activity may reach as far south as the I-40 corridor by sunrise. Temperatures today will be a few degrees warmer than on Wednesday, where most of us will get up into the low 100s. Ambient surface moisture will remain in the upper 60s to low 70s through the day, especially across the eastern half of the area. That being said, afternoon heat indices are expected to get up to between 105-109 F across these locations. A heat advisory is in effect from noon to 8 PM for much of Oklahoma.

A weak boundary that is expected to stall across northern Oklahoma today, may be the focal point for thunderstorms again this afternoon. Given the moisture in place, gusty winds will be possible with the strongest storms.

Bunker

SHORT TERM

(Thursday night through Saturday night) Issued at 131 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

A more organized line of thunderstorms will move into the area late Thursday night into Friday morning. As these cluster of storms move in, they will be capable of producing strong to severe wind gusts and frequent lightning, along with locally heavy rainfall.

There is a little more uncertainty with the position of the frontal boundary on Friday, which will be largely dictated by convection early Friday morning. This boundary will be the focal point for additional thunderstorms throughout the day. A few of these thunderstorms will be capable of producing large hail and damaging wind gusts. Another warm day is in store on Friday with afternoon temperatures reaching the triple digits for most of us.

A few perturbations within the mid-level flow pattern will help support additional thunderstorm chances through Saturday across much of the area. A few stronger storms may be capable of small hail and gusty winds.

Bunker

LONG TERM

(Sunday through Wednesday) Issued at 131 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

Temperatures through the latter half of the weekend into early next week will be 5-10 degrees cooler than what we will see over the next few days. A mid-level ridge across the Desert Southwest will shift to the north, and move into the central and high Plains. Across our area, we will see mostly dry conditions and a warm up back into the mid to upper upper 90s for the latter half of the week.

Bunker

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1052 PM CDT Wed Jul 8 2026

We continue to generally expect VFR conditions to prevail at all sites...however...confidence is increasing somewhat that we will see scattered convective activity translate across northern Oklahoma during the 06-12z timeframe. Maintained previous 30% probabilities for modest vis restrictions and CBs/TSRA from Woodward to Ponca City/Stillwater. We also maintained tempos at Clinton, Will Rogers/OKC, and Westheimer/OUN for temporally briefer impacts from roughly 08-12z at

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 101 80 100 79 / 20 0 10 10 Hobart OK 101 78 100 77 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 101 79 100 78 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 101 73 99 73 / 30 30 20 40 Ponca City OK 98 77 95 76 / 20 20 20 40 Durant OK 99 80 98 80 / 0 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for OKZ006>008-011>013-017>020-023>032-039>043-045>048-050>052.

TX...None.


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