textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1220 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

- Breezy northwest winds and cooler temperatures today.

- The next chance for rain returns Thursday morning.

- A warming trend is expected this weekend into next week.

NEAR TERM

(Through Tuesday) Issued at 1220 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

Water vapor imagery shows the mid-level low skirting the northwest OK/KS state line with the dryslot pushing into central Oklahoma. This system will pivot northeastward today and the trailing cold front will continue to move across the area. As this occurs, gusty NNW winds (gusts of 35 to 45mph) will continue to surge into northwest, west-central and into north-central Oklahoma this morning. Gusts across western north Texas and central Oklahoma rise to 25 to 35 mph, with lesser speeds over southeastern Oklahoma. With the flow wrapping around the cyclone to our north, expect a southern push of clouds, light rain chances this morning, and CAA to yield cooler temperatures into the afternoon. High temperatures are forecast to range from the upper 50's to near 70 degrees (far southern Oklahoma and western north Texas).

Thompson

SHORT TERM

(Tuesday night through Thursday night) Issued at 1220 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

Mostly clear skies, light northwest winds, and colder conditions are expected tonight as temperatures fall into the 40's from north to south after sunset. Tomorrow, temperatures will rebound some under sunny skies and winds returning to the south as a shortwave ridge passes overhead. Low temperatures on Wednesday night will be in the low 50's.

Another shortwave exits the south-central Rockies by Thursday morning and rain chances increase over north-central Oklahoma, and on the north side of a developing/weak surface cyclone. Instability will be low (up to 400 J/kg) but not zero, and so, there is a slight chance of a few thunderstorms with this activity. With the progressive nature of the shortwave, rain chances shift eastward pretty quickly and exit our CWA by late afternoon on Thursday. Clouds and low-level CAA will provide slightly cooler conditions north of I-40, with slightly warmer temperatures southward. Low temperatures on Thursday night drop into the 40's.

Thompson

LONG TERM

(Friday through Monday) Issued at 1220 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

Another shortwave ridge traverses the plains on Friday, with partly cloudy skies, light north winds and temperatures mainly in the 60's. Then, a warming trend is anticipated into at least Monday, with above-average temperatures predicted for next week.

Thompson

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1111 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

Scattered-to-broken coverage of low stratus remains across much of the area north of the Red River. A sluggish improvement - both in coverage and ceiling height - remains expected as we head towards sunset this evening. A gusty northwesterly wind will also continue across the area during the afternoon and early evening.

Skies will clear from west-to-east, and wind magnitudes diminish, into late Tuesday evening. Widespread VFR conditions are expected by no later than ~23-02 UTC this evening.

Safe travels!

Ungar

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 61 46 68 51 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 62 45 68 52 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 68 48 72 53 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 58 41 67 48 / 0 0 0 30 Ponca City OK 62 44 65 48 / 20 0 0 0 Durant OK 70 49 72 50 / 0 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.