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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1149 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025
- Above-average temperatures through Friday; turning cooler by this weekend.
- Dry through early next week.
NEAR TERM
(Today and tonight) Issued at 1149 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025
Gusty winds behind the front are expected to gradually come down this afternoon, becoming light by evening. Until then, we may see a few hours of elevated fire weather concerns in southwest Oklahoma and western north Texas where these gusty winds coincide with RH values of 20 to 25 percent. Overnight, winds will be light and coming back around to southerly.
Highs today will be in the 50s and lower 60s under mostly sunny skies. Lows tonight will be in the mid to upper 30s.
Day
SHORT TERM
(Thursday through Friday night) Issued at 1149 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025
Southwest surface flow and sunny skies will bring warmer temperatures tomorrow (highs in the 60s to lower 70s). Some hi-res guidance suggest a brief period of gusty winds in the morning as a low level feature passes eastward over the area. Confidence is lower than normal for the amplitude and duration of these higher winds.
Another cold front will pass through early Friday, bringing temperatures back down into the 50s to mid 60s again. Breezy north winds will again be possible behind the front during the day.
Day
LONG TERM
(Saturday through Tuesday) Issued at 1208 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025
Models show a secondary front moving across the area over the weekend which will bring a re-enforcing shot of cool air leading to the coldest temperatures of the next 7 days on Sunday. Highs Sunday are expected to range from the upper 30s in north central OK to around 50 along the Red River which will be 5 to 10 degrees below average.
Models show a bit of a pattern change next week with a southern stream system moving across the region early/mid next week. This system brings a low chance for some precipitation to at least SE parts of the fa but overall the forecast will remain dry for most into the middle of next week.
Southerly winds and near to above average temperatures are also expected to return early next week with highs in the 50s and 60s although some locations could see temperatures hovering around 70 by the middle of next week.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1122 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025
Gusty north winds subside late afternoon and become light this evening. Winds swing to the south late tonight and become gusty on Thursday morning. LLWS is possible towards morning over KPNC and KSWO. VFR conditions will prevail.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Oklahoma City OK 37 63 42 56 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 35 67 39 61 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 36 68 41 66 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 36 71 38 55 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 34 65 39 52 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 36 63 42 65 / 0 0 0 0
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...None. TX...None.
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