textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 134 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

- Several days of elevated to near critical fire weather conditions across western Oklahoma through the weekend.

- Dry conditions and mostly above normal temperatures expected into the weekend.

NEAR TERM

(Through Thursday) Issued at 134 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

Surface high pressure will continue to move off to the south today as a surface low moves across the northern Plains. Sandwiched in between these two features, southwesterly surface flow will return across the whole area. The surface pressure gradient will increase by the afternoon, causing winds to increase across much of the area. Portions of northwest Oklahoma will have the best chance at seeing winds approach wind advisory criteria, but confidence in a long enough duration is low to warrant an advisory at this time. The dry return flow regime today will allow for low RH values to overspread most of the area this afternoon. The best chance for the juxtaposition of gusty winds, low RH values, and dry fuels will be across portions of northern down to southwestern Oklahoma and adjacent western Oklahoma. A Red Flag Warning has been issued for these areas and will be in effect from 12 pm to 8 pm.

Bunker

SHORT TERM

(Thursday night through Saturday night) Issued at 134 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

A weak front will move in Friday, but this frontal boundary will have little affect on temperatures. In fact, afternoon temperatures will be a few degrees warmer than the previous days. Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible during the afternoon, however, the overall area will not be as widespread as the middle of the week.

Warmer temperatures are expected Saturday with the return of southerly winds. Again, elevated fire weather conditions are possible across southwestern portions of the area.

Bunker

LONG TERM

(Sunday through Wednesday) Issued at 134 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

A strong cold front will move in Sunday, with much drier air in its wake. The combination of dry air and strong winds will foster near critical to critical fire weather conditions for most of the area Sunday afternoon. A hard freeze is expected Monday morning which will affect vulnerable vegetation. Below average temperatures expected Monday afternoon before a warm up back to well-above normal by the middle to end of the week.

Bunker

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1059 PM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

VFR conditions expected at all three TAF sites with north winds becoming light and variable overnight before returning to the south tomorrow morning. Winds will pick up through the afternoon at most sites but DUA.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 64 45 74 47 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 66 42 77 43 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 66 45 79 48 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 70 42 71 41 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 65 42 70 43 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 64 44 74 49 / 0 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Red Flag Warning from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for OKZ004>007-009>012-014>018-021>024-033>038.

TX...Red Flag Warning from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for TXZ083>089.