textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 608 AM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

- Continued rain chances through the holiday weekend.

- Cooler temperatures continue.

- Couple of cold fronts expected later this week.

NEAR TERM

(Through Sunday) Issued at 1232 AM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

The more widespread precip that was anticipated overnight has not materialized and precip chances have been lowered for the remainder of the night as was mentioned in earlier update. Will continue this trend for Sunday as last few runs of NBM have been much too high with regards to rain chances.

Weak surface front, currently moving into northwest Oklahoma will continue to move southeast early this morning into the day Sunday. This boundary or effective boundary from morning convection should be near or just north and west of I-44 corridor around or shortly after sunrise. This along with drier air filtering into the area from the northwest should limit rain chances across the northwest by midday. Highest chances should be near and southeast of the I-44 corridor by afternoon with a gradual shift to the southeast.

The drier air and some sunshine across the northwest and west should help temperatures to warm into the 80s across the west, while further east along and east of the I-35 corridor will hang onto another day in the 70s.

SHORT TERM

(Sunday night through Tuesday night) Issued at 1232 AM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

A few lingering showers appear possible Sunday night into Monday, although much of the area will remain dry with more sunshine and temperatures warming into the 80s.

A stronger shortwave will drop south through the central Plains into the Ozarks region late Monday into Monday night bringing a better chance of rain to eastern Oklahoma. Central and western Oklahoma down into western north Texas remains dry Tuesday with more sunshine. Temperatures will be stunted in their warm-up as a weak cold front moves south across the area associated with a stronger shortwave trough dropping through the mid-Mississippi river valley. Still most areas, with the abundant sunshine that is anticipated, should warm into the upper 70s to upper 80s Tuesday afternoon.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through Saturday) Issued at 1232 AM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

Models continue to show a large upper low swinging through the upper midwest and Great Lakes region Wednesday into Thursday. As this occurs another, slightly stronger cold front will push south through the Plains and through the area Wednesday night. This front will bring another chance of rain to much of the area during this time frame. Only a slight cool down is expected for Thursday as after highs in the 80s Wednesday, Thursday will see much of Oklahoma back down in the 70s. A few 80s will remain across the south. Temperatures will then warm back into the 80s for the end of the week into the following weekend. Some. low rain chances may continue late week.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 608 AM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

Ceilings will vary from VFR to LIFR this morning with ceilings overall improving this afternoon and evening. Visibilities will also be reduced for a few hours this morning in some locations. Showers and maybe some storms will continue to move across the area this morning. Additional development of scattered showers/storms will be possible this afternoon into tonight across eastern and southern parts of the fa. Gusty winds will be possible with some of the storms.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 79 66 83 64 / 70 20 20 20 Hobart OK 84 66 88 63 / 40 10 0 10 Wichita Falls TX 82 68 87 67 / 40 20 10 0 Gage OK 81 61 86 58 / 10 10 0 0 Ponca City OK 78 64 83 62 / 50 30 40 20 Durant OK 79 68 84 65 / 40 30 20 10

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.