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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1151 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026

- A significant winter storm is ongoing and will continue through Sunday. - There is a high chance (at least 80%) of snowfall accumulations of 6+ inches across at least north central and central Oklahoma.

- Lower snowfall totals across southern Oklahoma and northern Texas, with significant sleet accumulations.

- Dangerously cold wind chills will continue through Monday, with wind chills below 0F likely each morning.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of tonight through Saturday) Issued at 1151 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026

Snow and sleet are ongoing across the forecast area. Mping reports and CC on radar both suggest a transition line keeping most of the sleet confined to the southern third of Oklahoma and north Texas. Freezing rain chances have gone down as the cold air has come in stronger. This has also shifted our QPF slightly southeast.

Moderate to heavy snowfall will continue through the morning hours, before tapering off during the afternoon hours. By the end of the first round, we should have around 3 to 6 inches in central Oklahoma and 2 to 4 inches in western and northern Oklahoma, with a steep gradient in snow totals somewhere around an Altus to Ada line.

Wind chills this morning will range from near -20 degrees in northwest Oklahoma to the single digits in southeast Oklahoma. Maximum temperatures will be capped in the single digits and teens for most of the area.

Day

SHORT TERM

(Saturday night through Sunday night) Issued at 1151 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026

Precipitation intensity will pick back up Saturday evening, marking our second round of snow. HREF suggests a low chance for 1 inch per hour rates along the I-44 corridor overnight. Sleet will initially be possible in southeast Oklahoma, but this transition line should shift southeast of our forecast area leaving us with only snow.

Overall, this round will yield additional snowfall totals of 4 to 7 inches near the I-44 corridor, with lesser amounts tapering outward.

Wind chills will again be dangerously cold sunday morning, ranging from near -15 degrees in northwest Oklahoma to -5 in southeast Oklahoma. Maximum temperatures will struggle to get out of the teens.

Cold weather continues into Monday as morning wind chills again fall into the -10 to -20 degree range. Maximum temperatures will rise into 20s.

Day

LONG TERM

(Monday through next Friday) Issued at 1151 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026

Cold and dry weather will dominate most of next week with highs mainly in the 30s and lows in the single digits and teens. Models are showing another wave come down late in the week, allowing a return of low precipitation chances next weekend.

Day

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1140 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026

An area of snow (north) and sleet (south) will continue to move to the east-northeast tonight. Brief reductions in visibility (IFR to LIFR) are possible.

A relative lull in the activity is expected tomorrow morning into the afternoon before another round of heavier precipitation tomorrow evening.

Winds will remain from the north/northeast with a gradual decrease in gusts through the TAF period.

Mahale

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 35 6 10 6 / 30 100 90 100 Hobart OK 36 6 10 6 / 50 100 100 100 Wichita Falls TX 46 12 13 8 / 100 100 100 100 Gage OK 25 0 8 1 / 30 90 100 90 Ponca City OK 26 4 10 5 / 30 100 90 90 Durant OK 46 19 23 11 / 80 100 100 100

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Winter Storm Warning until noon CST Sunday for OKZ004>048- 050>052.

Extreme Cold Warning until 9 AM CST Monday for OKZ004>048- 050>052.

TX...Winter Storm Warning until noon CST Sunday for TXZ083>090.

Extreme Cold Warning until 9 AM CST Monday for TXZ083>090.


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