textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 130 AM CDT Tue Apr 7 2026

- Seasonable temperatures are expected through the middle part of the week.

- Breezy southerly winds will result in elevated fire weather conditions across northwest Oklahoma today and Wednesday.

- A more active pattern is expected to bring a return of showers and thunderstorms by the end of the week into early next week.

NEAR TERM

(Through Tuesday) Issued at 130 AM CDT Tue Apr 7 2026

It will be another cool start to the day with temperatures expected to fall into the upper 30s to low/mid 40s across the area by Tuesday morning. Another nice spring day is expected Tuesday with highs in the upper 60s to low 70s. There might be just a bit more of a breeze Tuesday compared to Monday, especially in NW OK where the pressure gradient is expected to increase leading to southerly winds at 15 to 25 mph. These breezy winds will lead to mainly a wind driven (RH in the 25-35% range) elevated fire weather concern in NW OK which did not receive any rain last week.

SHORT TERM

(Tuesday night through Thursday night) Issued at 130 AM CDT Tue Apr 7 2026

The seasonable temperatures will continue into Wednesday with highs in the low/mid 70s and lows mainly in the 40s. Elevated fire weather conditions could be possible again in NW OK Wednesday afternoon mainly due to wind (15-25 mph with higher gusts) and the lack of rain. Models show gulf moisture beginning to spread northward across the region the middle part of this week as well which is expected to begin to mitigate any fire weather concerns later this week.

On Wednesday, models show a shortwave moving across the northern Plains into the Great Lakes region. This shortwave will lead to a cold front moving into KS. Models show showers/storms developing near this front Wednesday afternoon/evening. Most of this activity is expected to remain north of the area in KS. However, a few showers/storms could develop far enough south to move into northern parts of the fa Wednesday night although chances of this are low (15- 20%).

Showers/storms will be possible again Thursday afternoon into the overnight hours mainly across parts of western into northern OK. Models show storms developing near a dryline in the OK/TX panhandles. This activity could then move west into and across portions of the area Thursday evening/night. Some strong/severe storms could be possible with instability of 1000-1500 J/kg forecasted.

LONG TERM

(Friday through Monday) Issued at 130 AM CDT Tue Apr 7 2026

Rain chances are expected to increase at the end of the week into the weekend as an active pattern develops and continues into at least early next week. Models show SW flow developing aloft towards the end of the week into the weekend with gulf moisture continuing to advect northward at the surface. Shortwaves moving through the SW flow and the moist airmass that will be in place over the region will continue the chances for showers/storms into early next week. Strong/severe storms will remain possible through at least the weekend.

PWATs are also expected to increase through the weekend. With the increasing PWATs and potentially multiple rounds of rain, locally heavy rain/flooding could also become an increasing concern late this week into at least early next week.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1036 PM CDT Mon Apr 6 2026

A light south to southeast wind will become gusty by late Tuesday morning. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected with increasing high clouds.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 71 47 75 55 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 71 45 76 53 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 72 47 77 55 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 72 44 77 52 / 0 0 0 10 Ponca City OK 72 46 75 53 / 0 0 0 10 Durant OK 73 50 76 55 / 0 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.