textproduct: Norman
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 133 AM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026
- Heat continues through next week with Saturday featuring conditions contributing to a high risk for heat related illnesses.
- Low chances for showers and storms Friday afternoon across southeast Oklahoma.
- Increasing rain and storm chances will continue through the weekend.
NEAR TERM
(Through Friday) Issued at 133 AM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026
Another hot day today with similar conditions to yesterday, passing high clouds and hot temperatures. Combined with the high clouds, light south breezes may help to take a slight edge off the heat. However, time spent in the sun and outdoors should be limited to reduce any risk of heat-related illnesses.
Diurnally driven afternoon and evening showers and storms are possible across southeast Oklahoma with gusty winds as the primary hazard with high cloud bases due to a dry inverted "V" boundary layer. Additional activity may develop in the weak northwest flow across southwest Kansas this evening, but are not expected to maintain intensity into Oklahoma with a lack of forcing. If a storm can maintain into northwest Oklahoma, the primary hazard would be strong to locally damaging wind gusts.
SHORT TERM
(Friday night through Sunday night) Issued at 133 AM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026
Not much recovery overnight tonight with above normal low temperatures by Saturday morning still in the 70s. Saturday will feature the upper ridge building a bit eastward with height rises across Oklahoma. Mostly light winds and partly cloudy skies will give way to ample heating as temperatures rise above normal into the upper 90s to triple digits. The wet-bulb globe temperature (WBGT) will increase due to the previously mentioned conditions and be a concern for heat-related illnesses on Saturday. Time spent outdoors should be limited and individuals should stay well hydrated. A Heat Advisory may be needed for portions of central into eastern Oklahoma.
Diurnal convection will develop along a front Saturday afternoon and evening across the Texas Panhandle into southwest Kansas. A shortwave in the northwest flow aloft may drive storms across northern Oklahoma into the late evening hours. Shear is meager at about 30 knots with MLCAPE values of 1000-1500 J/kg, which will support a few strong updrafts. DCAPE values up to 2000 J/kg could lead to strong to locally damaging winds with a few storms before decaying.
Sunday will feature continued heat, but slightly cooler than Saturday due to increased cloud cover and a passing surface low. Shower and storm chances will increase Sunday afternoon and evening across the area with a weak surface cold front.
LONG TERM
(Monday through Thursday) Issued at 133 AM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026
The ridge will continue to spin over the Desert Southwest with continued heat through next week. Daily diurnal shower and storm chances may return through the week with weak embedded shortwaves in the northwest flow aloft.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1100 PM CDT Thu Jul 2 2026
VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period with south to southeast winds. These winds will be gusty during the afternoon across the western terminals.
Mahale
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Oklahoma City OK 95 75 100 75 / 0 0 0 10 Hobart OK 97 75 101 74 / 0 0 0 10 Wichita Falls TX 98 77 100 76 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 99 73 102 71 / 0 10 10 30 Ponca City OK 93 75 97 73 / 0 0 10 50 Durant OK 93 77 96 77 / 20 0 10 0
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...None. TX...None.
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