textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 511 AM CST Sat Mar 7 2026

- Severe weather potential returns next Tuesday.

NEAR TERM

(Through Saturday) Issued at 115 AM CST Sat Mar 7 2026

A cold front pushing through the forecast area is initiating a few thunderstorms along itself, though it's quickly undercutting those storms, limiting any severe potential. Some small hail (occasionally up to quarter size) will be possible with these storms. This activity will be exiting southeast Oklahoma early this morning. Additionally, a few elevated showers may linger into late morning behind the front.

Saturday will be much cooler behind the front with highs mainly in the upper 50s and lower 60s. Gusty north winds will persist through the morning, then diminish through the afternoon.

Temperatures will drop into the 30s tonight, though clear skies and light winds could result in a few localized areas dropping just below freezing (via radiational cooling).

Day

SHORT TERM

(Saturday night through Monday night) Issued at 115 AM CST Sat Mar 7 2026

Southwesterly to southerly surface flow will allow Sunday to rapidly warm back up into the 70s. By Monday, temperatures will be in the 80s.

Fire weather will be a concern both days in western Oklahoma as southwest winds bring dry air (RHs in the teens) into the region. Monday in particular is showing a low level thermal ridge nudging into western Oklahoma with ideal downslope / mixing conditions (near westerly 850mb flow with clear skies).

A shortwave moving through will bring low precipitation chances to southeast Oklahoma on Monday as well.

Day

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through Friday) Issued at 115 AM CST Sat Mar 7 2026

Rain chances ramp up on Tuesday as an upper low is forecast to lift through the southern plains. With a well established warm moist air mass in place, a dryline pushing eastward Tuesday afternoon and a cold front surging south Tuesday night, this period will be one to watch for severe weather potential.

Cooler temperatures will fill in behind the front Wednesday and Thursday, and rain chances will drop off as well. Once the upper low shifts eastward, we'll enter a dry period late next week.

Day

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 511 AM CST Sat Mar 7 2026

Mostly VFR conditions will prevail. Showers and thunderstorms and associated lower ceilings are ongoing across the Red River this morning. Conditions should gradually improve this morning. There is a low chance for showers to redevelop along/south of the Red River this morning into the afternoon. Otherwise, northerly winds will continue today, before weakening and shifting back to the south by the end of the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 58 38 71 53 / 10 0 0 0 Hobart OK 61 34 72 50 / 10 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 62 38 72 54 / 50 10 0 0 Gage OK 58 32 76 48 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 59 33 71 50 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 67 43 71 55 / 80 30 0 10

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.