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KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 551 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

- Below-zero wind chills likely tonight into Saturday morning across much of Oklahoma.

- Light snow/flurries/sprinkles possible through Friday evening across parts of OK, no accumulation expected.

- Moderating back to near or slightly above normal for much of next week.

NEAR TERM

(Today and tonight) Issued at 1137 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

Another shot of cold air moves into the area this afternoon and tonight. The cold air along with some cloud cover will cause temperatures to vary this afternoon with highs ranging from the low 30s in north central OK, where cold air comes in first and cloud cover is in place, to the 40s/low 50s in western and southern OK and western north TX. With the cold air continuing to move in, colder temperatures are expected tonight with lows in the single digits (around 0 in north central OK) and teens. Even cold wind chills are expected with below zero wind chills expected across much of Oklahoma. Wind chill values as low as -10 will be possible in north central OK. Will continue with the cold weather advisory for tonight into Saturday morning.

Models show upper trough rotating from NW to SE across the central in SE U.S. today into tomorrow. This trough along with the CAA will bring low chances for some light snow/flurries/sprinkles to parts of the fa this afternoon and evening.

SHORT TERM

(Saturday through Sunday night) Issued at 1137 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

The coldest day of the forecast period will be Saturday. Afternoon temperatures are expected to only climb into the 20s to low/mid 30s with the coldest temperatures expected in north central OK. Another cold night is expected Saturday night but not as cold as tonight with overnight lows in the teens. Wind chills Saturday night are expected to be in the single digits and low teens.

Winds will shift to the south and southwest by Sunday which will lead to the beginning of a warm up. Temperatures on Sunday are expected to be 20 to 25 degrees warmer than on Saturday with highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. These temperatures will certainly help to continue to melt any lingering snow left over from last weekend's winter storm.

LONG TERM

(Monday through Thursday) Issued at 1250 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

The next potential for precipitation will be Tuesday/Tuesday night as a trough approaches in the northwest flow aloft. However the low-level moisture will be a late arrival and the models in general have backed off on how widespread the perception will be. Current NBM confines 20% or higher POPs to areas east of roughly a Shawnee to Madill line which seems reasonable at the moment looking at the dynamic ensemble-based scenarios. Of course some individual runs like the operational ECMWF keep some potential farther west into central Oklahoma, and we will still have a few days to better judge the timing and strength of the system, but the smaller precipitation footprint looks reasonable overall right now.

Overall the forecast for the next work week is for near or above normal temperatures. Fortunately at this time, we do not see a day with an overlap of low humidity and strong winds to raise fire weather concerns over into the middle part of next week.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 551 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

Low clouds will continue to fill in southward across Oklahoma and into western north Texas tonight with MVFR ceilings. The MVFR ceilings will begin to clear from north to south into the early morning hours tomorrow. There is a low (<20%) chance for light snow across northern Oklahoma (WWR, PNC, SWO) and an event lower chance (<10%) for flurries farther south into central Oklahoma through late tonight. North winds will return to the south through the day tomorrow from north to south.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 8 27 18 48 / 10 0 0 0 Hobart OK 9 30 16 53 / 10 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 14 31 19 55 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 9 35 20 61 / 10 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 0 22 14 44 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 12 32 20 49 / 10 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Cold Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to 11 AM CST Saturday for OKZ004>048-050>052.

TX...Cold Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to 11 AM CST Saturday for TXZ083>090.