textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 552 AM CDT Mon Jul 6 2026

- A few isolated showers and storms may be possible today and tomorrow across southeast Oklahoma.

- Storm chances will increase towards the end of the week and into the weekend with a slight shift in the pattern aloft.

- Hot and humid conditions expected to continue through next weekend with a risk for heat related illnesses.

NEAR TERM

(Through Monday) Issued at 140 AM CDT Mon Jul 6 2026

Today will feature light south-southeast surface winds with temperatures around or slightly above normal in the 90s. Chances are low for storms this afternoon, but are non-zero (<15%) across central into eastern Oklahoma where a few isolated showers and storms may develop. Lingering outflow boundaries from yesterday's activity will also play a role in where any storms may develop. If a storm or two develops, bulk shear will be modest enough (25-30 knots) to support a strong updraft. Flow aloft will be out of the north with a shortwave trough over Arkansas, which will drive any shower and storm activity south. Main hazards if a storm does develop will be small hail and strong gusty winds.

SHORT TERM

(Monday night through Wednesday night) Issued at 140 AM CDT Mon Jul 6 2026

Temperatures will continue to slowly trend warmer Tuesday into Wednesday as the shortwave pushes east and the ridge builds slightly eastward into Oklahoma. Thus, triple digit heat is likely to make a return to some areas across western Oklahoma and into western north Texas by mid-week. Dry conditions are expected Tuesday, except across far southeast Oklahoma where low chances for an isolated shower or storm may occur during the afternoon hours. Wednesday will also feature dry conditions through much of the day, but chances for precipitation will increase across portions of western into northern Oklahoma late Wednesday night. Diurnal convection along the higher terrain to the west will develop and with northwest flow aloft, storms will push southeast towards northwest Oklahoma. A weak disturbance in the northwest flow may also help to drive storms into the area late Wednesday. However, there is some uncertainty how far east storms will maintain intensity, so chances remain low (<20%) at this time for convection across the area overnight Wednesday.

LONG TERM

(Thursday through Sunday) Issued at 140 AM CDT Mon Jul 6 2026

Hot and humid conditions are expected to remain on track for the end of the work week and into next weekend with Thursday looking to be the hottest. Northwest flow aloft with embedded shortwaves will bring increased chances for storms daily to the area later this week and into the weekend. The pattern aloft will then begin to shift towards the end of the weekend as the ridge lifts northward into the northern Rockies and another ridge builds over the southeast CONUS, bringing in Gulf moisture and a potential for continued chances of precipitation into early next week.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 552 AM CDT Mon Jul 6 2026

MVFR visibilities will continue until sunrise, where they are expected to improve. Weak and variable winds this morning will shift to the east-southesat across the area. Winds will become light to calm towards the end of the period, and with recent rainfall, may help foster reduced visibilities. Confidence in any one TAF site being impacted is low at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 93 70 93 71 / 10 0 0 0 Hobart OK 96 71 97 72 / 0 0 10 0 Wichita Falls TX 96 71 98 73 / 10 10 10 0 Gage OK 95 69 95 71 / 0 0 0 10 Ponca City OK 89 69 89 70 / 10 0 0 0 Durant OK 93 73 93 74 / 10 10 20 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.