textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 135 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

- Breezy northwest winds and cooler temperatures today.

- The next chance for rain returns Thursday.

- A warming trend is expected this weekend into next week.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of today and tonight) Issued at 135 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

The parent upper-level low associated with the mid-latitude cyclone that brought yesterday's active weather is lifting to the northeast across Kansas today. Wrap-around cloud cover and light showers are ongoing this afternoon. Any showers will be brief, with minimal rainfall.

A tight surface pressure gradient and 20 to 35 knot 925 to 850 mb flow are resulting in gusty northwesterly winds. The cloud cover, combined with continued cold air advection, will result in steady temperatures this afternoon in the upper 50s and 60s deg F for most locations. Southeast Oklahoma will reach the low 70s deg F.

The surface pressure gradient should relax tonight, which will result in decreasing wind speeds. Combined with decreasing cloud cover, this will create an environment that is prime for radiational cooling with low temperatures in the 40s deg F.

Mahale

SHORT TERM

(Wednesday through Thursday night) Issued at 135 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

Abundant sunshine and lighter winds are expected on Wednesday with high temperatures from the mid 60s to low 70s deg F.

On Thursday, a quick-moving shortwave trough will move across the Southern Plains. Synoptic-scale ascent associated with this wave will result in showers during the day Thursday, with the highest chance across northern Oklahoma. While the chance for rain will be relatively high (~70% to 90% along and north of I-40), rainfall amounts will be relatively light (generally a few hundredths to 0.25"). Western north Texas will likely see little to no rainfall.

A cold front will pass through as the shortwave moves across, which will bring cooler weather in its wake. There will be a north-to-south temperature gradient, with high temperatures ranging from the upper 50s (northern Oklahoma) to the low 70s deg F (southern Oklahoma/western north Texas).

Mahale

LONG TERM

(Friday through Monday) Issued at 1220 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

Another shortwave ridge traverses the plains on Friday, with partly cloudy skies, light north winds and temperatures mainly in the 60's. Then, a warming trend is anticipated into at least Monday, with above-average temperatures predicted for next week.

Thompson

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 534 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

Low clouds generally between 025 and 040 persist across central and eastern Oklahoma but are gradually eroding from west to east as drier low-level air filters into the area. The MVFR ceilings are generally confined to north central Oklahoma (specifically KPNC) this evening, and only have MVFR in the TAFs at KPNC, although MVFR ceilings will be possible briefly at KSWO as well. Gusty winds will diminish this evening becoming light in most areas.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 46 66 49 61 / 0 0 0 80 Hobart OK 45 68 50 62 / 0 0 0 30 Wichita Falls TX 46 70 50 71 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 41 67 46 58 / 0 0 30 60 Ponca City OK 44 63 45 58 / 0 0 0 80 Durant OK 49 71 48 75 / 0 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.