textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 504 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

-A strong cold front moves through today, bringing falling temperatures and gusty north winds.

-Below normal temperatures persist into early next week, with a chance for light wintry precipitation Monday.

- Temperatures moderate Tuesday and Wednesday ahead of a cold front bringing colder temperatures for the middle to end of next week.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of today and tonight) Issued at 1216 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

The much anticipated cold front arrived this morning and has crossed through the northwest 2/3rds of the area as of early afternoon. Temperatures have been steady or fallen behind the front in most areas, along with wind gusts of 35 to 50 mph from the northwest. Expect winds to gradually decrease late this afternoon into this evening as the pressure gradient relaxes and mixing diminishes. Lows tonight will fall into the teens and 20s, with wind chills in the single digits and teens by Sunday morning.

Ware

SHORT TERM

(Sunday through Monday night) Issued at 1216 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

Cold temperatures will persist into Sunday as surface high pressure builds into the area from the north, maintaining northerly winds and cold advection over the region. Some sun is possible during the morning but expect cloud cover to increase through the day ahead of our next system, especially across central and northern Oklahoma, which will also help keep temperatures from rising too quickly.

We continue to watch the potential for wintry precipitation across parts of the area Monday, but several limiting factors are likely to keep impacts rather minimal. First, the surface high will slide eastward Sunday night into Monday, which means we will begin to lose our source of cold advection as winds veer to east and then southeast. This combined with thick cloud cover should lead to steady or slowly rising temperatures Sunday night into Monday. Second, models continue to show the shortwave trough remaining positively tilted and tracking along the OK/KS border, limiting the degree of forcing over our area. That said, it does appear the combination of warm advection and increasing low-level moisture will be enough to produce very light precipitation over the area Monday morning into Monday afternoon. Forecast soundings would suggest the column will be cold enough for mostly snow across northern Oklahoma, with the precipitation type transitioning to a wintry mix across central Oklahoma, with mostly rain across southern Oklahoma and western north TX. A dusting to an inch of snow remains possible near the KS border, while farther south amounts appear light enough and temperatures marginal enough to preclude much in the way of ice accumulation. That said, it does not take much ice to cause slick roads and bridges so we will continue to closely monitor the potential for very light ice accumulation on elevated surfaces Monday morning before temperatures rise above freezing and precipitation transitions to mostly rain.

Ware

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through next Friday) Issued at 1216 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

Sunny skies and moderating temperatures are expected for next Tuesday, with highs returning to the 40s and 50s. Another cold front is then forecast to move into the region Wednesday, with the temperature forecast Wednesday highly dependent on the speed of the front. Colder temperatures are expected Thursday, though models begin to disagree on the magnitude this cold airmass, along with any potential for precipitation in the wake of the front Thursday into Friday as another trough digs across the western US.

Ware

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 504 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

Gusty northerly winds will decrease tonight. Winds will shift to the NE Sunday. VFR ceilings with mid/high clouds expected tonight into Sunday. The exception is at KDUA where MVFR ceilings will occur for the next hour or so before clearing out.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 23 36 30 40 / 0 0 0 20 Hobart OK 20 38 29 45 / 0 10 0 20 Wichita Falls TX 27 42 33 45 / 0 0 10 20 Gage OK 15 32 23 39 / 0 10 0 20 Ponca City OK 20 33 28 37 / 0 0 0 30 Durant OK 28 43 34 40 / 0 0 20 30

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for OKZ004>032-034-035.

TX...None.