textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 149 AM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026

- Daily rain/storm chances continue through the weekend into next week with near normal temperatures.

- Storms will bring a risk for heavy rain and localized flooding.

- Organized severe weather is not anticipated, but a few strong to severe storms with a risk for large hail and damaging winds will be possible most days.

NEAR TERM

(Through Thursday) Issued at 149 AM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026

A few showers and thunderstorms continue to develop across western OK early this morning associated with a decaying MCV, aided by a ~30 kt southerly low level jet. Storms has remained subsevere this evening and expect this to be the case for the rest of the night, with activity likely to wane over time through the morning. Slow storm motions will lead to a risk for heavy rain and localized flooding in a few spots.

Forcing for additional convection later today will likely be tied to diurnal heating and any residual MCVs or outflow boundaries lingering in the area. The mid-upper flow will be quite weak and it appears our area will be somewhat between waves by this afternoon, with one shortwave that will be moving away across KS, while the broader upper trough will still be located well to the west/southwest across northern MX into AZ/NM. Therefore, storm coverage is likely to be rather isolated this afternoon and evening, with most locations staying dry. Similar to the last several days, the stronger storms will be capable of strong, gusty winds, along with a risk for heavy rain and lightning. Temperatures will be right around normal once again, with highs this afternoon in the mid to upper 80s and lows tonight near 70 in most spots.

Ware

SHORT TERM

(Thursday night through Saturday night) Issued at 149 AM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026

The upper low across northern MX will slowly lift northeast into TX on Friday and eventually into OK by Saturday. Initially this will confine better storm chances to our south on Friday, but chances will increase over the area Friday night and especially on Saturday as the trough draws closer. Heavy rain and localized flooding will continue to be the main hazard with storms as the overall severe risk appears to continue to be rather limited. That said, can't rule out strong winds and small hail with the stronger storms. Temperatures will continue to be near seasonal averages.

Ware

LONG TERM

(Sunday through Wednesday) Issued at 149 AM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026

Storm chances will likely continue Saturday night into much of the day on Sunday as the upper low lifts into OK, though we will likely see a gradual transition of rain chances eastward over time as the trough axis translates to our east by Monday. Uncertainty increases for the middle of next week as models which had previously shown continued storm chances associated with another trough over the western/central US are now showing this trough remaining further north and west with ridging building over the southern Plains instead. If this were to occur, decreasing precipitation chances and hotter temperatures would be expected for the middle to latter portion of next week.

Ware

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1054 PM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

A few rounds of showers and thunderstorms are possible for KWWR and KCSM tonight into early Thursday morning, with small hail and gusty winds possible. MVFR conditions are expected at KDUA (chance of IFR) by early morning, with MVFR conditions possible at KSWO and KPNC. There is a chance of showers/storms on Thursday afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 88 70 88 70 / 10 0 10 20 Hobart OK 91 69 92 68 / 10 10 10 30 Wichita Falls TX 91 69 90 68 / 0 0 20 60 Gage OK 89 69 93 69 / 10 10 0 0 Ponca City OK 86 70 89 72 / 30 10 0 0 Durant OK 85 71 85 72 / 40 10 30 40

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.