textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 519 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

- Unseasonably warm temperatures expected into next week.

- Chance for rain Tuesday and then again late next week.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of today and tonight) Issued at 1238 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

A great weekend of weather is underway across Oklahoma and north Texas at this hour, with very warm temperatures and a breezy south wind. Afternoon highs will peak +10-20 degrees above average across the area, with warmest conditions (in the low-70s) expected across western-north Texas.

A continued south breeze and increasing mid/high cloudiness will foster above-normal temperatures (40s to low-50s) during the predawn hours on Sunday. We can't entirely rule out a few raindrops near and south of the Red River near sunrise on Sunday, as a subtropical disturbance approaches from the southwest. However, the sub-cloud layer is anticipated to be dry enough such that most precipitation will be noted as virga (i.e., not reach the surface).

Ungar

SHORT TERM

(Sunday through Monday night) Issued at 1238 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

A quasi-split flow pattern looks to emerge across the central CONUS on Sunday. A weak surface front will drift southward across the area during the day, as a northern stream wave moves towards the Mississippi Valley. The weak frontal boundary is currently forecast to stall somewhere in vicinity of the I-44 corridor on Sunday afternoon.

While a persistent band of high clouds may dampen our ultimate high temperature potential, an advected warm airmass and weak compressional warming near the front will lead to an even warmer day on Sunday. Locally warmest conditions (~80-degrees) are once again expected across far southwestern Oklahoma and western-north Texas.

Our stretch of unseasonable warmth looks to crescendo on Monday, as another northern stream system begins to emerge across the Rocky Mountains. 70s to low-80s are expected into the afternoon along with a gusty south-southwesterly wind. Bottom line, the next several days look excellent for outdoor activities, especially by early February standards!

Ungar

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through Friday) Issued at 1259 AM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

Models show an upper low moving across Baja California into western Mexico this weekend. This low is expected to eventually open up and move across the southern Plains. There continues to be some uncertainty on the timing of this system with the latest models being a bit slower than last night's which impacts the timing of precipitation. Rain chances now begin late Monday night/early Tuesday and continuing through the day Tuesday. The highest chances for rain are expected across the SE third or so of the area.

Models show another shortwave moving across the area late next week which will bring another chance of rain to the fa. Temperatures are expected remain above normal through the week next week.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 519 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

VFR conditions are expected through the period. Mid to high clouds will increase late tonight and stick around through the day Sunday. A weak front will bring a north/northwest wind shift behind it during the morning to much of the area. No precipitation is expected.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 68 49 71 44 / 0 0 10 0 Hobart OK 68 48 74 42 / 0 10 10 0 Wichita Falls TX 73 51 78 46 / 0 0 10 0 Gage OK 70 42 72 37 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 64 41 69 37 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 67 47 73 46 / 0 0 10 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.