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KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 453 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

- Cold air arrives tonight with drizzle and cooling temperatures through daybreak.

- A mix of snow and sleet is expected across western and central Oklahoma from tomorrow morning to tomorrow afternoon, with brief accumulation and travel impacts possible.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of tonight through Thursday) Issued at 1119 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

In the wake of the reinforcing cold front, colder air continues to filter south across the area overnight. Meanwhile, an upper shortwave across the four corners area will shift east and gradually shear out as it moves into the southern Plains toward morning. This shearing out of the wave will reduce large scale assent. However, models have been depicting frontogenesis occurring around 700MB that gradually shifts south across Oklahoma overnight into Thursday morning. This will likely result in the development of a couple frontogenetical bands of precip. We are already seeing one of those across the central and northern Panhandles into northwest Oklahoma and another is expected to set up from west Texas into southwest and central Oklahoma later tonight and continue into the middle of the day Thursday. These will likely result in some accumulations of snow and sleet in these areas. There is a Winter Weather Advisory for much of western into central Oklahoma through 3 PM Thursday afternoon for the possibility of 1 to 2 inches of accumulations of snow and sleet before the precip ends Thursday afternoon.

Ground temperatures remain rather mild, in the mid/upper 40s and lower 50s, so most roadways are expected to remain wet, with potential for some light accumulations during brief periods of heavier snowfall. Otherwise, most accumulations that do occur will be confined to grassy surfaces as well as elevated surfaces such as bridges and overpasses.

Temperatures will struggle to warm Thursday, but temperatures are expected to climb above freezing across most of the area by afternoon.

SHORT TERM

(Thursday night through Friday night) Issued at 1119 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

Southerly winds return on Friday. That, combined with sunny skies, will allow temperatures to warm into the 50s.

Dry and seasonable conditions will continue on Saturday, albeit with a bit more cloud cover.

LONG TERM

(Saturday through next Wednesday) Issued at 1119 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

Next week is likely mainly dry. A front on Sunday will bring a brief cooldown followed by a warming trend back to seasonable temperatures and possibly above.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 453 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

Restrictions to ceilings and visibilities will continue through the morning. These will improve to VFR by the afternoon. A band of rain/snow will continue along the I-44/I-40 corridors this morning, reducing visibilities. Wintry precipitation will clear the area by the afternoon. Northerly winds will weaken and shift to the south by the end of the period. There is a very low chance for fog Friday morning, but overall confidence in location/impacts are low at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 35 25 49 30 / 50 0 0 0 Hobart OK 37 24 52 26 / 50 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 40 28 58 32 / 30 0 0 0 Gage OK 37 22 50 24 / 30 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 36 22 49 27 / 10 0 0 0 Durant OK 41 30 53 35 / 30 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Winter Weather Advisory until 3 PM CST this afternoon for OKZ009- 010-014>017-021>036-038.

TX...None.