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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1210 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025

- Temperatures plunge into the 30s on Sunday; otherwise near or above-normal conditions for much of the next week.

- No chances for precipitation through the next seven days.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of today and tonight) Issued at 1210 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025

Today features breezy north winds and cooler temperatures (50s / 60s) behind a front that is moving through. Currently the front is draped southeast of the I-44 corridor. Fire weather will be limited by higher RH values (RH minimums in southern OK and north TX are expected to be in the mid 30s).

Winds will decrease later this afternoon, becoming light overnight. Overnight lows will be in the mid 20s to mid 30s.

Day

SHORT TERM

(Saturday through Sunday night) Issued at 1210 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025

Another front is expected to enter northern Oklahoma Saturday afternoon. This will add some uncertainty for high temperatures, depending on how fast the colder airmass moves in. Interquartile ranges range from 5 to 10 degrees across the area. Generally should expect 50s to 60s for highs (with the highest temperatures occurring southwest).

Breezy winds will develop behind the front Saturday night as temperatures drop into the mid teens to mid 20s. Together, this will produce wind chills in the singles digits and teens Sunday morning.

Sunday will be quite chilly with highs in the 30s and lower 40s under mostly clear skies. By Sunday night, winds will shift back around to southerly, setting us up for a quick rebound in temperatures early next week.

Day

LONG TERM

(Monday through Thursday) Issued at 1215 AM CST Fri Dec 12 2025

The cold spell looks to be short-lived, with temperatures returning to a near or above-normal state by Monday. Outside of a more amplified upstream upper ridge, most global and ensemble guidance captures a compact southern stream wave moving across the region on Tuesday. While another frontal passage is possible with this system, sensible impact appears limited (or nil), with near to above-normal temperatures and mostly dry surface weather continuing throughout much of next week.

Ungar

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1058 AM CST Fri Dec 12 2025

VFR conditions are expected through the period with generally clear skies with occasional high cirrus passing through. There is a low probability that MVFR ceilings in the form of stratus could impact KDUA Saturday morning, but greater chances are currently to the south and east of the site. Winds will be gusty from the north through the afternoon, subsiding this evening, and eventually becoming southerly (but light) Saturday morning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 31 54 21 34 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 29 57 20 39 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 32 61 26 41 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 28 58 16 39 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 27 48 18 32 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 36 60 27 42 / 0 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.


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