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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 523 PM CST Sun Dec 14 2025

- Colder Sunday before a return to warm conditions.

- No chances for precipitation through the next seven days.

NEAR TERM

(Today and tonight) Issued at 1134 AM CST Sun Dec 14 2025

Despite plenty of sunshine today, temperatures are expected to be the coldest of the next 7 days with highs forecast to reach or stay just below freezing in parts of north central and central OK to the upper 30s in western north TX. Wind chills will also continue to be rather cold, especially into the early afternoon hours, with readings currently still in the single digits and teens across much of the fa.

Wind speeds are expected to continue to decrease throughout the day as the sfc ridge moves across the region with winds beginning to shift towards the south later this afternoon. Winds will continue to shift towards the south tonight as the sfc ridge continues to shift southeast.

Another cold night is expected tonight although temperatures are not expected to be quite as low as last night. Temperatures are forecast to fall into the 20s across most of the area by early Monday. There will be a little bit of a breeze tonight which could lead to wind chills in the teens tonight with possibly a few places experiencing single digit wind chills.

SHORT TERM

(Monday through Tuesday night) Issued at 1134 AM CST Sun Dec 14 2025

With south to southwest winds, temperatures are expected to begin to warm up again Monday with highs closer to average for mid December. The exception could be locations generally SE of I-44 where cloud cover is expected to keep temperatures from warming up quite as much. Afternoon highs on Monday are expected to range from the mid 40s near and SE of I-44 to the upper 50s in parts of western OK and western north TX.

The warming trend is expected to continue into Tuesday with warmer temperatures on Tuesday compared to Monday. Afternoon highs are forecast to reach the upper 50s to upper 60s which will mean temperatures are back to ~10 degrees above average.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through Saturday) Issued at 1235 AM CST Sun Dec 14 2025

Wednesday still looks to be the warmest day next week, with signal for another deep upper system to push across the Midwest/Ohio Valley during the midweek. An associated frontal passage is currently captured in our gridded forecast on Thursday, resulting in cooler conditions across the northwestern half of Oklahoma. It appears as though this system will again fail to yield measurable precipitation across the area, with only <5% odds across far eastern Oklahoma.

We will want to keep tabs on potential for fire weather concern on Wednesday and Thursday afternoons, when warmest, driest and windiest conditions are expected. This threat would focus across portions of western Oklahoma and western-north Texas.

The late week period looks to remain highlighted by near to above- average temperatures and dry weather, as quasi-zonal flow looks to dominate across the central CONUS.

Ungar

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 523 PM CST Sun Dec 14 2025

Surface high pressure system shifts eastward and light/variable winds become southerly late tonight, with LLWS possible at KOKC, KOUN, and KPNC. Scattered to broken MVFR ceilings are anticipated to advect northeastward over western north Texas and into parts of south-central Oklahoma on Monday morning and reach KDUA by afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 24 50 36 61 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 22 55 35 63 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 24 53 41 67 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 24 59 27 65 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 21 52 30 59 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 24 44 36 60 / 0 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.


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