textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 546 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

- Patchy fog with the potential for some locally dense fog is ongoing this morning.

- Above-normal temperatures expected through Wednesday with slightly cooler weather Thursday and Friday.

- Next chance for rain is late Saturday into Sunday.

NEAR TERM

(Through Wednesday) Issued at 1225 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

With light winds and mostly clear skies, patchy fog will again be possible in the hours surrounding dawn, particularly near and east of a line from Ponca City to Altus. Much like previous mornings, expect non-uniform coverage with visibilities dropping to a 1/4 mile in places. One feature that's different this time around is the arrival of a weak front which will quickly scour out any fog by early to mid morning.

Temperatures this afternoon will show more of a gradient due to the advancing front with upper 60s / lower 70s along and north of I-40 to near 80 in south central Oklahoma. Behind the front, we should get a gentle northerly breeze.

Day

SHORT TERM

(Wednesday night through Friday night) Issued at 1225 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

With northwesterly flow above, another front is set to arrive late on Thursday bringing cooler air from the northeast. Thursday's highs will depend on the timing of this front, with 60s behind the front to mid 70s ahead. Lows Thursday night will drop into the upper 30s to mid 40s. By Friday, temperatures will drop another 5 to 10 degrees (50s in north central OK to upper 60s along the Red River).

Otherwise, Thursday and Friday will be mostly sunny with winds on the lighter side.

Day

LONG TERM

(Saturday through Tuesday) Issued at 1225 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

The weather pattern becomes a bit more active as we move into this weekend and next week. A stout upper wave is set to barrel through the region Saturday night and Sunday bringing widespread rain chances. Synoptic uncertainty is high due to varying tracks for the upper low, with a minority (~10%) of ensemble members keeping the rain footprint entirely southwest of our forecast area; and on the other end, 90th percentile values have 2-3 inches possible at any point in our forecast area. A few embedded thunderstorms may be possible, but instability may be a limiting factor.

That uncertainty will translate into the temperature forecast as well (particularly on Sunday). We're likely looking at 50s and 60s on Saturday; 40s to 60s on Sunday. Low temperatures may approach freezing in northern Oklahoma over the weekend (10-25th percentile), but most members keep us above that threshold (and none have freezing temps coinciding with precipitation right now).

As rain chances move out early Monday, we'll see at least a brief dry period with gradual warming before we transition to more southwesterly flow around mid week.

Day

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 550 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

Dense fog is ongoing at KPNC this morning. Elsewhere, patchy fog/mist is ongoing with visibilities ranging from 1 mile to 6 miles. Fog should quickly dissipate in the next 1 to 2 hours with VFR conditions returning across all terminals.

Light and variable winds will shift to the north as a cold front passes by. These winds could become gusty, especially across north central Oklahoma (KPNC and KSWO). Winds will become light west- northwest after sunset.

Mahale

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 70 47 68 41 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 72 46 72 43 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 76 48 74 47 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 71 42 70 37 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 71 42 64 35 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 80 50 75 46 / 0 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Dense Fog Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for OKZ007-008.

TX...None.