textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 516 AM CDT Thu Aug 27 2026

- A few storms possible across the west today.

- Less hot weather is expected through today.

- Hot and dry conditions return this weekend and continue next week.

NEAR TERM

(Through Thursday) Issued at 124 AM CDT Thu Aug 27 2026

A complex of storms moving across the northwest Oklahoma and Texas panhandles will continue to drift east and southeast early this morning. This activity will likely hold together long enough to enter western portions of Oklahoma late tonight and linger into the morning hours Thursday. There is a low chance that some light showers may linger through the middle part of the day before daytime heating allows for a few additional thunderstorms to develop during the afternoon. This would likely be confined to southwest Oklahoma and western north Texas. The strongest may be capable of some gusty winds.

Otherwise, another "cooler" day today as again most of the area will remain in the 90s for afternoon highs. A few locations near the Red River, southward into north Texas may see temperatures around 100 degrees, although lingering cloud cover may have something to say about that potential.

SHORT TERM

(Thursday night through Saturday night) Issued at 124 AM CDT Thu Aug 27 2026

Overnight tonight another complex of storms is expected across the central Plains that will move south toward northern Oklahoma during the early morning hours. Quite a range of solutions during this time frame, with some models having nothing to others that bring lingering convection into northern Oklahoma before sunrise, with yet others holding off until later in the day Friday.

With the anticipated expansion of the upper ridge back eastward across the southern Plains overnight into Friday, will hold off on any mention of precip at this point, but will be something to monitor.

Otherwise, temperatures will begin to respond to the building upper ridge overhead and warm back into the mid/upper 90s and low 100s Friday afternoon. This eastward expansion will continue over the weekend with a gradual warming trend occurring. Little to no chance of precip during this time as well.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through Wednesday) Issued at 124 AM CDT Thu Aug 27 2026

By Sunday, most locations will once again see highs in the triple digits as the center of the upper ridge settles overhead. Sunday may also see the return of heat related headlines. Low level temperatures do not warm as much as the last couple of weeks, so even though the area will see triple digit highs, currently do not anticipate the extreme temperatures that were seen this last week. In addition, the upper ridge continues to translate eastward, so by early next week the center of the ridge moves toward the eastern part of the country. Unfortunately, the ridge will continue to have just enough influence over the southern Plains to keep most of the area hot and dry. One exception may be northwest Oklahoma, where proximity to the southwest flow may allow a few showers/storms to occur.

Winds are expected to increase as well Sunday and Monday as a trough sets up across the west with embedded shortwaves ejecting out of the southwest into the central and northern Plains. This will cause lee surface trough to develop aiding in increasing pressure gradient through the Plains. By Tuesday, the upper ridge once again expands through the central and southern Plains, which will push any shortwave troughs farther north away from the area, which should allow winds to relax to some degree. This will also limit any possibility of precip during this time frame.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 516 AM CDT Thu Aug 27 2026

VFR conditions to continue.

An area of showers and storms moving into western Oklahoma this morning may impact WWR/CSM for a couple of hours before dissipating. Otherwise, widespread mid and upper clouds expected through much of the day. There is a chance for a few isolated storms across southwest OK and western north TX this afternoon, but chances remain too low to include at this time. Skies are expected to gradually clear late this afternoon and this evening. Light northeast winds today will become more easterly overnight.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 94 71 96 72 / 10 0 0 0 Hobart OK 96 70 98 72 / 20 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 100 71 101 73 / 20 0 0 0 Gage OK 92 66 96 70 / 50 10 10 0 Ponca City OK 94 69 94 71 / 0 10 10 0 Durant OK 99 72 99 71 / 10 0 10 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.