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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 548 PM CST Thu Jan 8 2026

- Chance for light snow Friday afternoon and evening across northwest OK, with little accumulation or impact expected.

- Near to above normal temperatures and dry conditions expected this weekend into next week.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of today and tonight) Issued at 1212 PM CST Thu Jan 8 2026

Gusty southwest winds and mild temperatures are in place across the area in the wake of a Pacific front that swept across the area this morning and produced severe weather. Mainly clear skies and gusty southwest winds will continue for the remainder of the afternoon, with winds shifting to northwest this evening which will begin to bring in much cooler air to the area tonight. Lows tonight will dip into the 20s across northwest OK, with 30s elsewhere. Clouds will be on the increase later tonight in advance of a quick moving storm system approaching from the west, but precipitation is expected to begin after sunrise Friday.

Ware (and specifically over KAVK)

SHORT TERM

(Friday through Saturday night) Issued at 1212 PM CST Thu Jan 8 2026

Clouds will thicken through the morning with light precipitation expected to begin by mid to late morning across northwest OK. Model forecast soundings across far NW OK appear supportive for snow shortly after precipitation begins, with a saturated and sub 0C column from just above the surface on upward. Precipitation rates are expected to be generally light, but as is often the case potential remains for mesoscale snow bands that could locally enhance snowfall rates and accumulation potential. The best chance for this is across far NW OK (mainly northern Ellis into Harper county) where about an inch of snow is forecast, with high end amounts near 2" a low probability (~20%). Surface temperatures will be right around or above freezing which is likely to limit accumulations outside of any heavier bands to grassy/elevated surfaces, and even there accumulations will likely be minimal (no more than a dusting). Further south and east, surface temperatures will be warmer and expect more of a rain/snow mix or all rain. Precipitation will taper off and/or exit the area as the shortwave trough weakens and moves east Friday evening. Lows Friday night will range from near 20 degrees in our northwest to upper 30s across our southeast.

Much quieter conditions are forecast for Saturday behind this system, with breezy northwest winds keeping things chilly, mainly upper 40s/low 50s for highs, but plenty of sun helping to take the edge off the chill a bit.

Ware

LONG TERM

(Sunday through Wednesday) Issued at 1242 AM CST Thu Jan 8 2026

Cold/cool surface high pressure is expected to build across the region on Sunday bringing lighter wind speeds. Afternoon highs should be close to average with the bulk of the cold air remaining north and east of our area. A southerly wind will return on Monday bring warmer temperatures with highs mainly in the 60s. With an unusually strong ridge centered over the West Coast early next, the southern Plains will remain in northwest flow aloft. This will allow another frontal passage around Wednesday of next week.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 548 PM CST Thu Jan 8 2026

The gusty winds this afternoon will diminish early this evening. A cold front will continue to move through the area today shifting winds from southwesterly to northwesterly/northerly as it moves through. There are some MVFR ceilings across north central Oklahoma, generally between KWWR and KPNC, and these may affect KPNC for a while early this evening. MVFR ceilings will redevelop across northwest Oklahoma on Friday with the potential for light rain/snow.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 36 52 32 50 / 0 10 20 0 Hobart OK 33 53 29 53 / 0 10 20 0 Wichita Falls TX 38 61 34 54 / 0 0 10 0 Gage OK 27 39 21 50 / 0 50 30 0 Ponca City OK 34 48 29 50 / 0 10 20 0 Durant OK 41 63 37 54 / 0 10 10 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.


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