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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 159 AM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026
- Seasonable temperatures this weekend before returning to above- average next week.
- Dry conditions persist through Friday; a low chance of showers and storms exists over northwest Oklahoma late Tuesday.
NEAR TERM
(Through Saturday) Issued at 159 AM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026
The extreme heat observed yesterday is gone (for now).. just in time for the weekend.
North winds at 15 mph gusting to 20 mph, sunny skies, and a decrease in air temperatures and dewpoint temperatures will result in more pleasant weather conditions today as a 1015MB surface high expands over the plains. High temperatures will range from the low 90's (north- central to east-central Oklahoma) to the upper 90's (southwest Oklahoma and north Texas).
Thompson
SHORT TERM
(Saturday night through Monday night) Issued at 159 AM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026
The aforementioned surface high will be the primary synoptic feature to influence our weather this weekend as the upper ridge gradually starts shifting eastward once again from the desert southwest. Precipitation chances are zero through Monday night.
Tonight into early Sunday morning, winds become light and temperatures cool into the 60's and low 70's. Temperature-wise, Sunday will be similar to Saturday, with highs rising a degree or two. Light winds will continue during the day on Sunday and begin to veer as the surface high begins to shift eastward.
By mid-day on Monday, winds return to the south with warmer temperatures. Highest temperatures (above 100 degrees) are expected across western Oklahoma and adjacent north Texas.
Thompson
LONG TERM
(Tuesday through Friday) Issued at 153 AM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026
Hot and mostly dry conditions will persist Tuesday through Friday with southerly winds. There is a low chance of showers and thunderstorms over northwest Oklahoma late Tuesday. Dewpoint temperatures will gradually increase with heat indices of 105 becoming more common by end of next week. Thompson
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1027 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026
North winds and VFR conditions are expected to persist through the period with winds becoming gustier from mid morning to late afternoon Saturday. Other than some cirrus overnight from decaying shower activity, mainly clear skies are expected.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Oklahoma City OK 92 68 93 69 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 97 68 97 71 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 98 70 99 72 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 93 64 97 69 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 90 66 91 68 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 97 70 96 69 / 0 0 0 0
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...None. TX...None.
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