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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 147 AM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026

- Dangerous heat expected to persist most days into at least the middle of next week.

- Shower and thunderstorm chances this afternoon/evening and again overnight tonight across portions of northern into central Oklahoma. Main hazards will be gusty winds and small hail.

SHORT TERM

(Friday night through Sunday night) Issued at 147 AM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026

Saturday, the upper ridge will build back eastward towards the Colorado Rockies and into Kansas. This will bring widespread warmer temperatures closer to triple digits across much of the area. Dewpoints will continue to linger in the upper 60s to lower 70s and bring widespread heat indices of nearly 105 to 110 degrees across the area and some areas in northern and central Oklahoma may approach 110 to 115 degrees. A Heat Advisory will likely be needed for Saturday with a potential for an Excessive Heat Warning across portions of northern into central Oklahoma. Sunday will be even hotter temperatures as the ridge builds more over Oklahoma, but there will be some relief in the 70s dewpoints due surface troughing developing across the Rockies. Heat indices will still range 100 to 110 degrees across the area. All in all, there is a high to extreme risk for heat related illnesses this weekend.

With the ridge moving eastward towards Oklahoma this weekend, the flow aloft will become east-northeasterly and limit precipitation chances through the weekend.

LONG TERM

(Monday through Thursday) Issued at 147 AM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026

Next week will feature continued heat as the upper level dome of high pressure continues to linger over much of the Southern Plains. Heat indices will likely range from 100 to 105 degrees across most of the area each day through the week, with some areas that may breach 105 to 110 degrees. Therefore, heat will remain the main message through the week with continued risk for heat related illnesses.

Towards the tail end of the week, the ridge may retreat westward and open the door for northwesterly flow aloft. This could bring a return to precipitation chances, but chances remain low at this time.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1110 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026

The storms across northwest Oklahoma will likely continue to move east across northern Oklahoma overnight into Friday morning. Some stratus with MVFR ceilings are likely across the east (especially KPNC and KDUA) with at least some potential at KSWO, KOKC, and KOUN, but not high enough probability to include in the TAFs.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 96 78 100 78 / 10 20 10 0 Hobart OK 100 78 102 77 / 10 20 10 0 Wichita Falls TX 99 78 101 78 / 0 0 10 0 Gage OK 101 75 101 76 / 20 20 0 0 Ponca City OK 94 77 100 79 / 40 20 10 0 Durant OK 95 79 99 79 / 0 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for OKZ004>048-050>052.

TX...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for TXZ083>090.


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