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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1228 PM CST Fri Jan 9 2026
- Snow likely this afternoon into the evening across northwest Oklahoma. Light accumulation with limited travel impacts possible across the far northwest OK.
- Near to above normal temperatures and dry conditions expected this weekend into next week with occasional elevated fire weather conditions.
NEAR TERM
(Rest of today and tonight) Issued at 1228 PM CST Fri Jan 9 2026
Radar and satellite observations shows the center of an upper low located across the far northwest OK/TX panhandles moving slowly eastward. The system will continue eastward this afternoon, becoming an open wave by early this evening. The heaviest snow bands are currently across southwest KS to the north of the center of the upper low. Current indications are that the heavier/steadier snow is likely to remain largely to our north as the upper low tracks towards the KS/OK border this evening. To the south of the upper low, precipitation is expected to be more scattered in nature, which combined with warm ground temperatures and marginal surface temperatures, will limit accumulating snow chances for our area. That said, a brief period of light to moderate snow is still possible across far northern/western Harper county closer to the track of the upper low, where a half inch to an inch of accumulation remains possible through this evening. Further south and east, warmer temperatures and lighter precipitation rates will limit snow accumulation, with all rain expected on the southern edge of the precipitation shield.
Precipitation will taper off early to mid evening as the shortwave weakens and moves northeast of our area. In the wake of the system, clearing skies later tonight will allow temperatures to drop into the 20s in northern and western OK, with 30s expected elsewhere.
Ware
SHORT TERM
(Saturday through Sunday night) Issued at 1228 PM CST Fri Jan 9 2026
Dry weather with near seasonable temperatures is expected across the area this weekend as surface high pressure build over the region. Breezy northwest winds and dry air are expected to lead to a period of elevated fire weather across western OK and western north TX Saturday afternoon, with highs in the low 50s in most spots. Winds will weaken for Sunday as center of surface high moves overhead, with high temperatures in the upper 50s across southwest parts of the area to upper 40s northeast.
Ware
LONG TERM
(Monday through Thursday) Issued at 1255 AM CST Fri Jan 9 2026
Warmer, above-normal temperatures return early next week as southerly winds return and a downslope-warmed air mass advect into the Southern Plains. Temperatures by Monday and Tuesday are expected to be back into the 60s deg F with some locations potentially near 70 deg F by Tuesday. Elevated fire weather conditions are possible on both days with veered, dry return flow.
By midweek, a cold front is expected to move through as a trough amplifies across the Great Lakes region. At this time, the chance of precipitation looks to be low/near zero with the front. Cooler weather is expected in the front's wake for Thursday and Friday.
Mahale
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1120 AM CST Fri Jan 9 2026
An area of MVFR stratus has developed from just north of KSWO westward to KGAG late this morning. Periodic ceiling reductions are possible in the next few hours at WWR/PNC/SWO from it. Winds will shift to a more uniform northerly by late afternoon, then a reinforcing cold front will arrive shortly after sunset. This will increase winds to 15-20 knots with 25 knot gusts possible. In addition, a period of postfrontal low-MVFR to high-IFR stratus is expected across much of the area tonight. The other potential impediment to aviation that will occur in the next 24 hours is the chance for rain/snow mix at WWR later this afternoon.
Meister
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Oklahoma City OK 31 51 30 51 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 28 53 27 57 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 33 53 30 57 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 21 49 23 56 / 20 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 28 51 25 48 / 20 0 0 0 Durant OK 38 54 33 57 / 10 0 0 0
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...Winter Weather Advisory until 9 PM CST this evening for OKZ004.
TX...None.
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