textproduct: Norman
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 507 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026
- Conditional but potentially high-impact storm chances across northern Oklahoma this evening with severe/flooding possible.
- Hotter and drier into the weekend and the week beyond.
NEAR TERM
(Rest of today and tonight) Issued at 1235 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026
Thunderstorms and potential severe convection are the main topics for today and again tonight. Mesoscale section has the pertinent details of the features to be watched.
For the next few hours, there's a little bit of a lull in the action. Even so, there will be echoes on radar most of the afternoon. Areas in northwest and north central Oklahoma will be primary area to watch, as the combination of instability, shear and boundaries are maximized there. However, as there are surface boundaries in several locations from earlier storms...severe thunderstorms are possible anywhere within the slight risk area.
Rain / thunderstorm chances begin in the next hour in the north, before drifting west and south by the end of the afternoon.
Fox
SHORT TERM
(Friday through Saturday night) Issued at 1235 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026
After temperatures in the upper 80s today, Friday and Saturday will be days where the warmup will begin. Highs will be rise into the lower 90s on Friday (for most areas) and into the mid to upper 90s by Saturday. Over the past week, we have had dew points in the 70s, and there won't be much relief in the low level moisture, despite the clearing skies. In other words, the humidity will be borderline oppressive for both days, but especially on Saturday.
LONG TERM
(Sunday through Wednesday) Issued at 157 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026
The main long-term story continues to be the potential for a consistent and possibly long-duration heatwave across our area. Global, ensemble, and AI-based guidance all indicate an amplification of the ridge to our east beginning on Sunday and lasting through (beyond) the end of the long-term period. Because of that, precipitation chances are going to be slim to nil during that timeframe. Not only will air temperatures and heat indices approach Heat Advisory criteria most days, but overnight lows will be little relief, sitting near 80 in most spots.
Meister
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 507 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026
Storms are expected to impact most sites between 0-12Z tonight with MVFR ceilings and lower visibilities. Mainly some mid and high clouds during the day Friday with south winds becoming quite gusty across much of the area, lighter winds will continue across the north with lighter north winds behind a front at WWR.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Oklahoma City OK 75 93 77 95 / 50 10 10 10 Hobart OK 74 96 76 99 / 50 10 10 10 Wichita Falls TX 76 97 77 99 / 10 10 10 0 Gage OK 67 90 71 101 / 80 0 30 0 Ponca City OK 70 88 73 92 / 60 10 20 10 Durant OK 77 92 78 94 / 0 10 0 0
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...Flood Watch through Friday morning for OKZ004>013-019-020-026.
TX...None.
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