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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 600 PM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026

- Above-average temperatures and dry conditions will persist through Monday.

- Next chance for rain will be next week on Tuesday into mid-week when our next weather system moves through

- Next weeks system will also end our heating trend cooling our temperatures to more seasonably normal.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of today and tonight) Issued at 1232 PM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026

It will be a little warmer today with most locations hitting highs near 90 / low 90s under sunny skies. Southeast Oklahoma, with a bit more humidity and less mixing in place, will stay slightly cooler with highs in the mid 80s.

Temperatures will drop into the 60s tonight with nearly calm winds.

Day

SHORT TERM

(Thursday through Friday night) Issued at 1232 PM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026

With the upper high building over the southern plains, the warm and dry pattern will continue. Thursday and Friday will see light winds, sunny skies, and highs in the upper 80s / lower 90s. Lows will continue in the 60s.

Day

LONG TERM

(Saturday through Tuesday) Issued at 1259 AM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026

Dry & hot this weekend. A tropical system in the Gulf currently Tropical Depression Nine is expected to intensify and make landfall tracking up the Mississippi Delta. The only impact across our forecast area will be increasing pressure heights/ridging building west of this post-tropical systems upper low which could make Sunday & Monday slightly hotter before a potential cooldown starting on Tuesday. Models in fairly good agreement with a trough forming in the main jet stream over the U.S. Pacific Northwest then digging over the eastern Pacific Ocean off the coast of California further interacting with a weakening tropical system (currently Hurricane Rachel). This large amplitude trough will produce an initial split-flow in the main jet stream as it comes ashore early next week advancing eastward across the Southwestern U.S. toward the Southern Plains. This approaching Pacific system pushing a cold front will bring our next return of rain/storms chances and cooler temperatures. Rain/storm chances will be low (20%) on Tuesday but increasing Tuesday night into mid-week when a stronger cooldown may be felt. This far out in time the models are inconsistent with the timing of the cold front with the ECMWF & NBM solutions pushing it through Tuesday verses the GFS solution 48-hours later.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 600 PM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026

VFR conditions to continue.

Mainly clear skies(some high clouds possible) and light winds expected overnight and will continue through the day Thursday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 65 90 65 89 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 63 91 62 89 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 64 92 64 91 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 61 90 60 88 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 63 89 62 89 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 62 89 63 88 / 0 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.


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