textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 627 PM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026

- Unsettled weather pattern continues into the weekend with daily opportunities for strong-to-severe thunderstorms.

- Briefly drier Monday into Tuesday before additional storm chances return next week.

- Fire weather possible behind the dryline this weekend, mainly across far western/northwestern Oklahoma.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of today and tonight) Issued at 131 PM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026

Severe storms will be possible again this afternoon and evening.

A front/remnant outflow boundary extends from near Waurika and Pauls Valley to north of Ada, OK early this afternoon. This boundary has either stalled or is just drifting very slowly south. Thunderstorm development will be possible near and south of this boundary this afternoon and evening with several CAMs showing scattered storms developing. The environment south of the boundary is sufficient for severe storms with supercells possible. Large/very large hail and damaging winds are the primary concerns. However, there is a risk for a few tornadoes, especially near the boundary where the low- level wind shear could be enhanced. The storms and severe potential are expected to end this evening with the fa to remain dry overnight.

SHORT TERM

(Saturday through Sunday night) Issued at 131 PM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026

Unsettled weather will continue over the weekend with a risk for severe storms both Saturday and Sunday. There are still some uncertainties this weekend, especially since what happens one day could be somewhat dependent on what happens the day/night before.

SATURDAY: Models show a potential mid-level disturbance/perturbation moving across KS/N OK in the broad west-southwest flow aloft. Meanwhile, at the sfc, the boundary that is across portions of the area today is expected to lift north across at least parts of the fa Saturday. A dryline is also expected to extend across portions of western OK and western north TX.

Thunderstorm development will be possible near and north of the warm front Saturday afternoon into night although there are questions on where this boundary will be when development begins. Models are currently not showing any storm development near the dryline but it is not completely out of the question for a storm to develop near this boundary although the highest chances are definitely near the warm front. A moist, unstable airmass is expected south of the warm front and east of the dryline. With this airmass, severe storms will be possible with large hail and damaging winds the main concerns. There is also a low potential for a tornado, especially near the warm front.

Showers/storms will remain possible into early Sunday although the severe potential is expected to diminish overnight.

SUNDAY: Another day with severe storms possible across portions of the area although Sunday is a bit more conditional due to a cap, the affects from Saturday/Saturday night activity, and whether storms are able to develop.

Models show a shortwave moving into the Central Plains late Sunday. The timing of the shortwave currently is out of phase with peak diurnal heating but if this feature is faster than models are currently showing, the shortwave could aid in storm development and provide some upper level support. At the sfc, a dryline is expected to move east into portions of OK and north TX. However, there is a question on how far east this dryline will move which will have an impact on the potential area for severe storms.

Sfc heating and convergence along the dryline could provide enough lift to overcome the cap for at least isolated to widely scattered storms to develop near the boundary late Sunday afternoon. A moist, unstable airmass is expected to be in place east of the dryline which will make severe storms possible. Large/very large hail and damaging winds will be the main concerns. However, a strengthening low level jet Sunday evening will increase the potential for tornadoes.

LONG TERM

(Monday through Thursday) Issued at 125 AM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026

Drier conditions are expected Monday as surface moisture is shunted to our south and east behind a Pacific front and our area is positioned within a zone of subsidence behind Sunday's wave. However, with broad southwest flow being maintained over the region additional chances for showers/storms (and severe weather) could return as early as Tuesday and continue into midweek as surface moisture lifts back northward into the area.

Ware

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 627 PM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026

Widely scattered thunderstorms will continue to move eastward across southeastern and east central Oklahoma through about 2Z. Satellite indicates some attempts for convection along a surface boundary in southwestern Oklahoma, but storms or showers appear unlikely. MVFR ceilings around OKC and OUN may decrease for a few hours this evening, but as surface winds become more easterly and southeast overnight, IFR ceilings are expected at several TAF sites. Heating on Saturday will lift ceiling heights to MVFR with mainly VFR conditions Saturday afternoon. Widely scattered thunderstorms may impact a few terminal late Saturday afternoon with better storms chances after 00Z Sunday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 58 83 61 87 / 10 30 20 10 Hobart OK 57 89 58 92 / 0 20 10 0 Wichita Falls TX 60 94 63 95 / 10 20 0 0 Gage OK 52 83 53 88 / 10 20 20 20 Ponca City OK 54 77 59 79 / 0 50 50 40 Durant OK 62 87 65 86 / 20 30 50 20

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.