textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1259 AM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026

- Above-average temperatures and dry conditions will persist through Monday.

- Next chance for rain will be next week on Tuesday into mid-week when our next weather system moves through

- Next weeks system will also end our heating trend cooling our temperatures to more seasonably normal.

NEAR TERM

(Through Wednesday) Issued at 1259 AM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026

Upper ridging centered across the Southwestern U.S. will continue expanding eastward across the Southern Plains resulting in another dry and unseasonably even hotter day. All of western Oklahoma and adjacent western north Texas will see temperatures reaching the lower 90s this afternoon while portions of central through northcentral Oklahoma will peak near 90. Climatically our temperatures are expected to be about 10 degrees warmer than normal for early October. Higher surface moisture/dew points should keep southcentral through southeast Oklahoma slightly less hot with highs in the mid 80s although it will feel a bit muggier there verses a more drier heat across the rest of our area.

SHORT TERM

(Wednesday night through Friday night) Issued at 1259 AM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026

Heating & dry trend persist through the end of the week with the upper high building over the Southern Plains by Friday. We will continue to see upper 80s to lower 90s high temperatures each afternoon across much of our forecast area.

LONG TERM

(Saturday through Tuesday) Issued at 1259 AM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026

Dry & hot this weekend. A tropical system in the Gulf currently Tropical Depression Nine is expected to intensify and make landfall tracking up the Mississippi Delta. The only impact across our forecast area will be increasing pressure heights/ridging building west of this post-tropical systems upper low which could make Sunday & Monday slightly hotter before a potential cooldown starting on Tuesday. Models in fairly good agreement with a trough forming in the main jet stream over the U.S. Pacific Northwest then digging over the eastern Pacific Ocean off the coast of California further interacting with a weakening tropical system (currently Hurricane Rachel). This large amplitude trough will produce an initial split-flow in the main jet stream as it comes ashore early next week advancing eastward across the Southwestern U.S. toward the Southern Plains. This approaching Pacific system pushing a cold front will bring our next return of rain/storms chances and cooler temperatures. Rain/storm chances will be low (20%) on Tuesday but increasing Tuesday night into mid-week when a stronger cooldown may be felt. This far out in time the models are inconsistent with the timing of the cold front with the ECMWF & NBM solutions pushing it through Tuesday verses the GFS solution 48-hours later.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 607 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

VFR conditions to continue.

Light winds and clear skies expected overnight. Light south to southwest winds will increase slightly during the morning hours Wednesday with some high clouds moving overhead.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 89 66 87 66 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 89 63 88 63 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 89 62 90 64 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 88 61 88 61 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 89 62 86 63 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 84 59 85 63 / 0 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.