textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1229 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

- Rain is likely over northwest and north-central Oklahoma on Thursday.

- Above-average temperatures return early next week.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of today and tonight) Issued at 1229 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

Sitting in between systems, today will be mild (upper 60s / lower 70s) and mostly sunny. Winds will remain light and gradually come back around to southerly. Lows tonight will fall into the mid 40s to lower 50s.

Day

SHORT TERM

(Thursday through Friday night) Issued at 1229 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

Another upper wave will dive into the region from the northwest on Thursday, bringing a cold front along with it. Associated showers (mainly light) will start in the predawn hours over NW Oklahoma and expand southeastward through the day Thursday. A lack of instability will keep our lightning chances low.

With the frontal progression, expect a temperature gradient with highs in the 50s across northern Oklahoma to highs in the 70s along the Red River into north Texas. We'll also see some gusty winds in southwest Oklahoma and western north Texas during the afternoon.

This system will pass through rather quickly allowing for clearing skies from the northwest by Thursday night. Lows will fall into the upper 30s in northwest Oklahoma both Thursday and Friday night (40s elsewhere). Temperatures start to homogenize again on Friday with highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s.

Day

LONG TERM

(Saturday through Tuesday) Issued at 120 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

Another trough is prog'd to move reach the Pacific Northwest on Thursday, which will lead to a questionable upper-level pattern this weekend with guidance showing varying solutions of evolution and placement. Slight chance of rain returns to southern and southeastern Oklahoma on Saturday night, but rain appears more likely over Texas. Then, a warming trend appears likely by Monday.

Thompson

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1114 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

VFR conditions are expected through most of the period. MVFR ceilings, in addition to rain showers, are expected to move in from the north late tonight into early tomorrow morning. This activity will spread southward through the period. Otherwise, winds will try to rebound to the south today, but will quickly shift to the east and northeast as a cold front moves into the area beginning early Thursday morning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 49 64 43 58 / 0 70 50 0 Hobart OK 50 64 42 61 / 0 30 10 0 Wichita Falls TX 50 73 45 64 / 0 0 10 0 Gage OK 46 56 36 58 / 20 80 0 0 Ponca City OK 46 57 41 57 / 0 70 20 0 Durant OK 49 76 48 67 / 0 0 30 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.