textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 136 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

- Severe thunderstorm risk on Thursday evening and again Saturday. Damaging wind gusts and large hail are the primary hazards.

- Hot & muggy conditions continue on Thursday and again by Saturday, with heat indices near and above 100-105 degrees in the afternoon and evening. - Active pattern continues through the weekend, with additional chances for rain and storms. Locally heavy rain/flooding possible.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of today and tonight) Issued at 136 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

A cold front has moved across parts of NW OK so far today with the front extending from near Medford and Enid, to near Taloga and Cheyenne OK at 1 PM. This front is expected to continue to move S and SE across the area the rest of this afternoon into tonight with the front slowing down/stalling somewhere in the Red River vicinity by Friday morning. However, there is some uncertainty in how far south it will actually go. Thunderstorms are expected to develop along the front late this afternoon into this evening with elevated showers/storms remaining possible overnight into Friday morning north of the front. With the moist, unstable airmass ahead of the front, strong to severe storms will be possible late this afternoon and evening with damaging winds and large hail possible. The severe potential is expected to diminish late this evening. However, locally heavy rain/flooding will remain a concern overnight into early Friday.

Hot and humid conditions will continue ahead of the front this afternoon with heat index values >104 possible, especially in an area just ahead of the front where prefrontal "torching" could occur. Will maintain current configuration of the heat advisory which is in effect until 6 PM. North of the front temperatures are slightly "cooler" with drier air moving into the area leading to less humid conditions. Temperatures tonight tonight are expected to be a bit cooler (lows mid 60s to low 70s) compared to the last few nights (mid 70s to around 80).

SHORT TERM

(Friday through Saturday night) Issued at 136 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

Showers/storms are expected to be lingering across portions of the area Friday morning. There could be a relatively dry period for much of the area Friday afternoon/evening before showers/storms become possible again Friday night across at least northern OK. Models are showing some showers/storms developing in the High Plains Friday afternoon/evening that could develop into a eastward moving thunderstorm complex. This complex may diminish/end before making it into parts of the fa, but there is a chance that it could continue into parts of the area Friday night as it weakens.

Rain chances will increase again Saturday afternoon/evening as another cold front moves across the area. Moisture will spread back northward Friday with the area seeing a return to upper 60s and 70s dewpoints. With the moist, unstable airmass, strong to severe storms will be possible again Saturday afternoon/evening. Locally heavy rain/flooding will also be a concern, especially in those areas that receive heavier rain tonight into Friday.

With the frontal passage, linger rain, and cloud cover, "cooler" temperatures are expected Friday with highs in the mid 80s to low 90s. Unfortunately, a return to the hot and humid conditions is expected Saturday with highs in the 90s to low 100s. Heat index values of 100 or greater will likely be common Saturday with some areas potentially seeing heat index values approach or exceed 105 degrees.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through Wednesday) Issued at 150 AM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

Rain and storm potential will linger into Sunday, especially across the southern one-half of Oklahoma and north Texas. Coverage/chance looks to slowly end from north-to-south by Monday. The stronger front/more modified post-frontal airmass will also yield much cooler conditions by Sunday into next week, with low to mid-80s highs and lower humidity.

Ungar

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1245 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

All terminals should remain in a VFR category at least through 00Z. A cold front currently pushing across northwest Oklahoma resulting with a north wind shift behind the front at 20 kt gusting 30 kts. Expecting the front/wind shift to reach the I-40 corridor by 22-23Z eventually stalling out near the Red River by 04-06Z. Meanwhile ahead of the cold front south-southwesterly winds will persist at 20 kts gusting 25-35 kts until the frontal arrival. Strong to severe thunderstorms may initiate along the front by 23Z which could briefly degrade some of our terminals to an MVFR category due to lowering ceilings and/or reduced visibilities in rain.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 69 86 73 94 / 80 40 10 10 Hobart OK 68 90 73 97 / 50 20 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 72 91 74 96 / 70 50 10 0 Gage OK 65 89 71 100 / 20 30 50 30 Ponca City OK 66 86 73 95 / 10 10 20 50 Durant OK 76 89 77 93 / 70 70 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Heat Advisory until 6 PM CDT this evening for OKZ018>020-022>031- 033>040-044.

TX...Heat Advisory until 6 PM CDT this evening for TXZ083>088.