textproduct: Norman

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 544 AM CDT Mon Aug 10 2026

- Hot temperatures continue through at least mid week with triple digit heat and at least a moderate heat risk.

- Elevated fire weather across parts of western Oklahoma Monday and Tuesday.

NEAR TERM

(Through Monday) Issued at 1217 AM CDT Mon Aug 10 2026

Hot again Monday with elevated fire weather in northwest Oklahoma.

The upper ridge will continue to keep us mostly sunny and hot with heat indices in the 100 to 110 range.

Elevated fire weather will be driven by RH's in the mid to upper teens across northwest Oklahoma. Winds across this area will be from the south to south southwest at 15 to 20 mph, gusting to 30 mph. With ERCs near the 95th percentile, we've issued an RFD for this area.

A few of the CAMs hint at producing a few diurnal showers and storms over south central Oklahoma this afternoon. Have included 10% PoPs for this possibility.

Day

SHORT TERM

(Monday night through Wednesday night) Issued at 1217 AM CDT Mon Aug 10 2026

Heat continues into Tuesday and Wednesday. Heat indices will nudge upward as moisture returns. Will likely issue additional heat advisories for most of the area both days. Otherwise, breezy winds (10 to 20 mph) and sunny skies.

Patchy elevated fire weather will be possible in northwest Oklahoma both Tuesday and Wednesday due primarily to RH values in the upper teens.

Day

LONG TERM

(Thursday through Sunday) Issued at 1217 AM CDT Mon Aug 10 2026

Hope continues to dwindle for the long term as models trend toward a stronger ridge keeping us mostly hot and dry. We still have some low chances for rain across the north this weekend, but that's about it. Moisture return will help limit fire concerns, while at the same time keeping those heat indices high.

Day

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 544 AM CDT Mon Aug 10 2026

A couple of areas of patchy cloud cover have developed early this morning in southern Oklahoma/western north Texas, and some cloud debris is possible across northern Oklahoma. Both of these areas will remain VFR though, as will everywhere else over the next 24 hours. Winds will be out of the south and gust up to 20 knots this afternoon. There is a very low (10%) chance of thunderstorms in far southern Oklahoma/western north Texas late this afternoon, as well.

Meister

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 100 77 100 78 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 103 78 103 79 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 102 77 103 78 / 10 0 0 0 Gage OK 103 74 103 76 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 102 78 102 80 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 99 76 100 78 / 10 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for OKZ004>048-050>052.

TX...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for TXZ083>090.


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