textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1206 PM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

- Another cold day and night this afternoon and tonight.

- Moderating back to near or slightly above normal temperatures for much of next week.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of today and tonight) Issued at 1206 PM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

One more cold day today before temperatures begin to warm up. The cold airmass that came into the area last night will lead to highs in the 20s to maybe low 30s this afternoon. Another cold night is expected tonight but not quite as cold as last night. Temperatures are expected to fall into the teens across the area.

Light winds today will gradually shift towards the south as the sfc high that is over the region this morning gradually shifts east. Wind speeds at 5 to 10 mph tonight will lead to a wind chill in the single digits to low teens tonight into Sunday morning.

Models show a shortwave moving across the area this evening/overnight. Some of the models/CAMs show that this shortwave could produce some very light precipitation. The chances of this are pretty low (~10%) but worth putting a mention of snow flurries in the forecast. Have snow flurry mention in eastern parts of the fa, mainly east of I-35. However, most locations will not see any flakes.

SHORT TERM

(Sunday through Monday night) Issued at 1206 PM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

The warm up begins Sunday across the area with temperatures on Sunday and Monday expected to be near or above average. Models show southwest sfc flow/downslope on Sunday along with mostly sunny skies. This will cause temperatures to warm into the mid/upper 40s in north central OK to low 60s in parts of western OK and western north TX with 50s across the rest of the area. The forecast highs for Sunday are forecast to be as much as 20 to 25+ degrees warmer than today's. On Monday, even warmer temperatures are expected with highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s with much of the fa expected to climb into the 60s.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through Friday) Issued at 1241 AM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

Monday night and Tuesday, an upper wave amplifies in the central Plains in the northwesterly flow aloft. This will bring another front into the area cooling temperatures a bit Tuesday and Wednesday, although not as cold as our current airmass. Models continue to weaken the trend of potential precipitation in our area with this front with mentionable POPs now confined to portions of Atoka and Bryan Counties on Tuesday within our forecast area.

Wednesday will be the coolest day of the work week as the surface ridge moves into Oklahoma and north Texas, but then temperatures warm to much above normal late in the week as an upper-level ridge redevelops to the west and the cold air shifts to the eastern U.S.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1123 AM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

Mid to high clouds will increase through the rest of the day into tonight, mainly across central and eastern OK, but ceilings are expected to remain VFR. Can't rule out a few snow flurries or light snow showers in these areas, but the chance is low (<20%) and no accumulation is anticipated. Light north winds will become southerly this evening, veering further to southwest by mid to late Sunday morning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 19 50 33 60 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 16 55 29 64 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 19 57 32 67 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 20 63 29 67 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 15 46 24 55 / 10 0 0 0 Durant OK 19 50 31 62 / 10 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.