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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1154 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

- Light snow/snow flurries possible this afternoon and then again overnight into Monday morning. No additional significant accumulations expected.

- Dangerously cold wind chills will continue through Tuesday, with wind chills below 0F likely each morning.

NEAR TERM

(Today and tonight) Issued at 1132 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

We are not quite done with the snow yet. The main upper system continues to move east of the area this morning with all of the snow ended except for some lingering snow flurries across parts of the fa. However, a shortwave moving across NM has been producing light snow in west TX. This area of light snow is expected to move into parts of southern OK and north TX this afternoon and move out of the area late this afternoon/early evening. No significant additional snowfall is expected but maybe up to an additional half inch or so is not out of the question for a few locations.

Models show another shortwave coming from the NW and moving across the area tonight into Monday. This shortwave will bring a chance for light snow tonight to NW and parts of west central OK. Snow flurries will then be possible across the rest of the fa except for maybe SW OK and western north TX overnight into Monday morning. Little to no additional snow accumulation is expected with this activity.

Otherwise, the dangerous cold conditions will continue this afternoon and tonight with highs in the teens and lows in the -5 to 5 degree range. Single digit to below zero wind chills are expected this afternoon but tonight wind chill values are expected to range from -5 to -20.

Maxwell

SHORT TERM

(Monday through Tuesday night) Issued at 1132 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Some snow flurries will remain possible across parts of the area Monday morning due to the previously mentioned shortwave that will continue to move across the area Monday. Otherwise, cold temperatures will continue to be the story Monday and Tuesday. The snow/sleet pack will make the temperature forecast tricky for at least the next few days, especially since there does not appear to be any push of much warmer air expected to move into the region causing the pack to be slow to melt. Temperatures are currently forecast to climb into the 20s on Monday and 20s/30s on Tuesday. Lows are expected to be in the single digits and teens but the temperature forecasts definitely have some uncertainty.

Maxwell

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through Saturday) Issued at 1220 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Temperatures will remain below normal with highs in the 30s and 40s and lows in the teens mid to late week. An upper low over the northeast CONUS will bring another wave through next weekend. Currently, this appears to be a glancing blow bringing slightly cooler temperatures and low chances for light snow, but there is still a decent amount of spread in the ensemble solutions. Beyond that, ensembles show a gradual warming trend into next week.

Day

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1154 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Scattered to broken mid- and high-level clouds are expected with light snow and MVFR ceilings possible this afternoon and evening. Another round of light snow/flurries could descend over north/central Oklahoma late tonight into Monday morning from western Kansas. Dense freezing fog is possible towards early Monday morning over parts of northwest, western, southwestern Oklahoma and western north Texas.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 1 23 7 30 / 10 10 0 0 Hobart OK -1 24 2 32 / 10 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 1 24 8 37 / 10 0 0 0 Gage OK 0 30 9 40 / 40 0 0 0 Ponca City OK -4 22 6 30 / 10 10 0 0 Durant OK 4 26 8 36 / 10 10 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Extreme Cold Warning until 9 AM CST Monday for OKZ004>048- 050>052.

TX...Extreme Cold Warning until 9 AM CST Monday for TXZ083>090.


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