textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 137 AM CDT Tue Jul 7 2026

- A few isolated showers and storms may be possible today across southeast/south central Oklahoma.

- Storm chances will increase towards the end of the week and into the weekend with a slight shift in the pattern aloft.

- Hot and humid conditions expected to continue through next weekend with a risk for heat related illnesses.

UPDATE

Issued at 840 AM CDT Tue Jul 7 2026

Some showers have developed in the ACCAS field across south central and southeastern Oklahoma this morning. So have added POPs to the forecast earlier today, and expanded the area where POPs are included this afternoon based on the signal for isolated convection in some of the CAMs.

NEAR TERM

(Through Tuesday) Issued at 137 AM CDT Tue Jul 7 2026

The southern Plains will be sandwiched between a mid-level ridge to the west and a mid-level trough to the east today. Mid- level heights will gradually increase today, which will allow for afternoon high temperatures to be a few degrees above what we saw on Monday. Light southeast winds, with dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s, will help heat indices get into the upper 90s to low 100s. Across south central Oklahoma, where dewpoints are expected to be in the low to mid 70s, heat indices will get up to near 105 F. Given the northeast flow aloft, there is a low chance for showers and thunderstorms to develop in the afternoon, mainly across south central Oklahoma.

Bunker

SHORT TERM

(Tuesday night through Thursday night) Issued at 137 AM CDT Tue Jul 7 2026

Any thunderstorm activity that does develop Tuesday, will likely be diurnally driven, and should diminish after sunset. Overnight lows Tuesday into Wednesday will be in the low 70s across much of the area.

The aforementioned upper trough will continue to move off the east, where a ridge will build in. Afternoon temperatures are expected to increase Wednesday and Thursday to the upper 90s to low 100s. Heat indices during these days will be roughly 100-105 F. Given the ridge moving in, chances for any afternoon Thunderstorms are low at this time. There is, however, a signal for thunderstorms to move into northern Oklahoma late Thursday into Friday.

Bunker

LONG TERM

(Friday through Monday) Issued at 137 AM CDT Tue Jul 7 2026

Temperatures are expected to be cooler into the weekend as the ridge remains across the Desert Southwest, eventually moving northward across the rockies. Although temperatures will be cooler, the low- level moisture will increase as well. In turn, heat indices will remain in the 100-105 F range through the weekend. Widespread rain and thunderstorm chances will be possible through Sunday. Similar temperatures/heat indices are expected into early next week.

Bunker

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 610 AM CDT Tue Jul 7 2026

Few to scattered low clouds will develop through the day, with light south-southeast winds. There is a low chance for an isolated shower or storm near DUA this afternoon, a PROB30 was used for this potential given the uncertainty in exact location of where storms will develop. Any storm that develops will be capable of gusty and erratic winds, along with lightning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 94 73 99 78 / 10 0 0 0 Hobart OK 97 73 100 77 / 10 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 97 74 100 78 / 10 0 0 0 Gage OK 97 72 102 76 / 0 0 0 10 Ponca City OK 90 70 95 77 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 94 75 97 79 / 20 10 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.