textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 140 PM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026

- Turning hot and mostly dry into next week.

- Very low chances for strong-severe storms across far western Oklahoma & western-north Texas each evening Saturday-Monday.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of today and tonight) Issued at 140 PM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026

After several recent stormy/severe weather days, we begin to trend into a more benign (yet warmer) pattern. A trough-ridge pattern will continue to become established across the CONUS today, with our area remaining at the interface of these synoptic features.

A hot Desert Southwest airmass and generally clear skies will contribute to escalating ambient temperatures and associated heat risk this afternoon. 100-107 degree heat indices are expected across most of the area. A breezy south wind may allow conditions to feel a bit more palatable and contribute to modest WBGTs. Still, if you're planning to spend time outdoors, make sure to take precautions.

We are also expecting most (if not all) areas to remain dry today and tonight. There is a very low (<20%) chance for a thunderstorm or two to propagate eastward from the Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles after 5-7 PM this evening. Should thunderstorms sustain, then a limited strong-severe storm risk would emerge across far western Oklahoma, focusing on damaging wind gusts.

Ungar

SHORT TERM

(Sunday through Monday night) Issued at 140 PM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026

The pattern over the next several days looks to be rather predictable, with hot daytime conditions and very low storm chances near the 100th meridian. Afternoon heat indices peaking in the 100- 108 degree range look likely into early next week, with potential for heat headlines should coherent space/time risks emerge. We will also stay quite warm overnight (upper-70s to low-80s) and daily record "warm lows" may be tied or broken Sunday and Monday night.

While the broad synoptic pattern will favor dry weather for Oklahoma and north Texas, non-zero risks for thunderstorms are also likely on Sunday and Monday evenings near the western extremity of the forecast area. Hot and well-mixed boundary layers and a weak dryline feature look to foster scattered thunderstorm development across the Texas Panhandle (despite better forcing being displaced to the north) towards evening. Like Saturday, should activity sustain long enough, then some risk for strong-damaging winds may develop across far western Oklahoma and portions of western-north Texas.

Ungar

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through Friday) Issued at 126 AM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026

Ridge begins to build over the central CONUS towards the end of the week, with dry conditions expected. Air temperatures creep upwards middle to end of next week and temperatures of 100 to 105 degrees are forecast to be widespread by next weekend.

Thompson

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1208 PM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026

Mostly VFR ceilings this TAF period although there could be a short period of MVFR ceilings at a few locations. TAF sites should remain dry. Gusty southwest winds this afternoon will become S to SE this evening then shift back to the SW Sunday. LLWS is also expected tonight.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 79 96 78 96 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 79 100 78 99 / 10 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 78 99 77 99 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 80 103 80 100 / 20 0 10 0 Ponca City OK 79 93 79 94 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 77 95 78 96 / 0 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.