textproduct: Norman

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 151 AM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

- Several days of elevated to near critical fire weather conditions across western Oklahoma mid to late week.

- Dry conditions and mostly above normal temperatures expected into the weekend.

NEAR TERM

(Through Wednesday) Issued at 151 AM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

Northwest flow aloft will begin to dominate the Plains on Wednesday. A strong cold front will begin to move through the area early this morning, which will bring a significant cool down through the middle portions of the week. A wind advisory will remain in effect through this evening for much of the area, as winds behind the front are likely to be between 25-35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. With these strong winds and low RH values behind the front, there is a signal for elevated to near critical fire weather conditions across the western third of the area. That being said, a Red Flag Warning is in effect for these areas until 7 pm. High temperatures this afternoon will be in the 50s across the north to the 60s and low 70s further south.

Bunker

SHORT TERM

(Wednesday night through Friday night) Issued at 151 AM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

Winds will relax overnight Wednesday, but with clear skies, much of the area will be near freezing. Winds will return to the southwest tomorrow, ushering in drier air once again across the western third of the area. Given the lack of appreciable recent rainfall (leading to continued dry fuels), gusty winds, and low RH values, elevated to near critical fire weather conditions will be possible Thursday afternoon across much of the area. A fire weather watch has been issued for Thursday afternoon across the western third of the area, which has the best chance at seeing near critical fire weather conditions during the afternoon.

A weak front will move in Friday, but this frontal boundary will have little affect on temperatures. In fact, afternoon temperatures will be a few degrees warmer than the previous days. Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible during the afternoon, however, the overall area will not be as widespread as the middle of the week.

Bunker

LONG TERM

(Saturday through Tuesday) Issued at 151 AM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

Dry conditions will persist into next week with fire weather potential occurring each day. A warm up is expected Saturday, with temperatures in the 80s for most locations, and potentially in the 90s across western north Texas. A strong cold front will move in Sunday, with gusty to potentially strong winds in its wake. Much drier air will also follow this frontal passage. This in mind, there will be the potential for widespread near critical to potentially critical fire weather conditions Sunday afternoon across the entire area. In terms of fire weather, this will be a day to keep in mind over the coming days, as the ceiling could be high. Below normal temperatures expected Monday, before a mid- level ridge inches closer to the southern Plains, and a warm up ensues into the middle portions of next week.

Bunker

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1211 AM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

The last of today's thunderstorms are exiting south central Oklahoma to the east. A front will move through tonight, bringing strong north winds behind it. Some transient MVFR ceilings may accompany frontal passage. Winds will diminish late Wednesday evening.

Day

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 63 34 64 45 / 10 0 0 0 Hobart OK 65 31 66 43 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 69 35 66 45 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 58 30 69 42 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 58 30 65 43 / 10 0 0 0 Durant OK 74 38 64 44 / 20 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for OKZ004>019-021>025- 027>029-033>041-044>046-050.

Red Flag Warning from noon today to 7 PM CDT this evening for OKZ004>006-009>011-014>017-021>023-033>038-044.

Fire Weather Watch from Thursday afternoon through Thursday evening for OKZ004>006-009>011-014>017-021>023-033>038.

TX...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ083>090.

Red Flag Warning from noon today to 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ083>087.

Fire Weather Watch from Thursday afternoon through Thursday evening for TXZ083>089.