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KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1128 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

- Near to above normal temperatures and dry conditions expected this weekend into next week with occasional elevated fire weather conditions.

NEAR TERM

(Today and tonight) Issued at 1128 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

Cooler post-frontal air will remain in place today with low-end breezy northwest surface winds and gusts up to 20-25 mph possible at times. A patch of lingering stratus across southeast Oklahoma will continue to dive south this morning and clear the area by late this morning. Thus skies will be clear through the peak of daytime heating, which will allow for temperatures to warm to near normal into the lower 50s this afternoon.

Drier air will fill in this afternoon from the west with a potential for a short window of elevated fire weather concerns across parts of west/southwest Oklahoma and adjacent portions of western north Texas. The aforementioned area had the least wetting rainfall (<0.25") earlier this week and thus drier fuels are leading to ERC percentiles remaining higher in that general area.

SHORT TERM

(Sunday through Monday night) Issued at 1128 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

An upper trough will dig into the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys and Mid- Atlantic Sunday with a surface high digging into the Arklatex region. Thus, temperatures will remain near normal and cool in the upper 40s to lower 50s across much of northern, central and into eastern Oklahoma. Elsewhere, mostly sunny skies will bring slightly warmer temperatures in the upper 50s. By Monday, an upper low that was stationary near Baja Cali will begin to rotate eastward but any moisture associated with the system will remain well to the south of our area. Northwesterly flow will persist aloft with a return of southwesterly surface winds and warm air advection. Thus, Monday will feature beautiful weather with mostly sunny skies, light southwest winds and highs in the 60s.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through Friday) Issued at 100 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

Warm, above-normal temperatures will continue on Tuesday with even higher temperatures as the low-level thermal ridge strengthens ahead of the next cold front. High temperatures will be well into the 60s with some locations likely near 70 deg F.

By Wednesday, a cold front is expected to move through as a trough amplifies and digs across the eastern United States. Depending on the timing of the front, a non-diurnal temperature trend is possible in the afternoon with steady and/or falling temperatures across parts of the area. The chance of precipitation looks to be near zero with the front.

The Southern Plains will be on the periphery of the front's colder air mass. As a result, winds are expected to quickly return to the south on Thursday. There will also be a downslope- warmed air mass impinging into western Oklahoma and north Texas by the afternoon. As a result, temperatures across the west look to be warmer on Thursday than on Wednesday.

By Friday into Saturday, a stronger cold front may advance southward across the area as another trough digs southward. This cold front has a higher probability of near normal to below normal temperatures in its wake.

Mahale

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1050 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

Clear skies across the area over the next 24 hours. Winds this afternoon will become gusty (gusts over 20 knots) from the northwest before conditions return to below 10 knots sustained tonight. Expecting tomorrow to be less windy, as well.

Meister

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Oklahoma City OK 30 51 33 62 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 27 56 29 64 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 31 57 31 65 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 24 57 27 63 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 26 48 29 61 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 34 55 32 62 / 0 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OK...None. TX...None.