textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Freeze Watch issued for areas outside NYC metro for Monday night. Dense Fog advisory issued for all coastal waters until 9 AM this morning.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Rain showers develop this morning and fall intermittently through much of the day.

2) Colder air mass settles in early this week, with subfreezing temperatures likely outside the urban NYC metro Monday night.

3) Milder weather returns mid to late week.

KEY MESSAGE 3

The high shifts offshore Tuesday night as a warm front lifts through the region. Chance for a few showers as it does into Wed AM, but coverage looks scattered at best. A weak cold front follows later Wednesday, but despite the fropa, temperatures nudge upwards into late week with downsloping NW winds.

Afternoon temperatures Wednesday jump 5 to 10 degrees from the previous day, with highs mostly in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Thursday likely the mildest day of the week with ridging building from the west; forecast highs into the 60s and 70s.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

Late Sunday night: VFR.

Monday: Mainly VFR. Chance of showers. NW winds G20kt.

Tuesday: VFR.

Wednesday: Mainly VFR. Slight chance of showers.

Thursday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Areas of fog around this morning, likely under 1 nm given reported surface obs along the coast. Dense Fog Advisory issued for all coastal waters until 9 am this morning. Vsbys should improve by mid morning as rain showers overspread the waters.

Cold front moves through later in the morning, with increasing NW flow behind it. This should produce SCA wind gusts (25 to 30 kt) on the near shore ocean waters, LI Sound, LI Bays, and NY Harbor for the afternoon. Nearshore ocean seas will likely build to around 4 or 5 ft. Winds and seas subside this evening, and conditions then remain below SCA levels through at least midweek.

CLIMATE

Daily record low temperatures:

Tue, April 21

KEWR: 31/1981 KBDR: 29/1956 KNYC: 26/1875 KLGA: 33/1956 KJFK: 34/1956 KISP: 30/1965

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...Freeze Watch from late Monday night through Tuesday morning for CTZ005>012. NY...Freeze Watch from late Monday night through Tuesday morning for NYZ067>071-078>081-177-179. NJ...Freeze Watch from late Monday night through Tuesday morning for NJZ002-004-103>108. MARINE...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for ANZ331-332- 335-338-340-345-350-353-355-380-383-385. Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345. Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM this morning to 11 PM EDT this evening for ANZ350. Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM this morning to 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ353-355.