textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
A light snow accumulation is still likely, especially across the NY/NJ metro and Long Island.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Guidance continues to support a light accumulating snowfall tonight into Monday. The best chance will be across Long Island and the NYC/NJ metro.
2) Progressive low pressure systems will bring rain/snow/mixed precip chances mid to late next week. Predictability details remain low at this point.
KEY MESSAGE 2
A warm front approaches Monday night into Tuesday, then the associated cold front remains nearby into late week. POPs have increased to 50 to 80 across the forecast area for Wed afternoon/night as low pressure may form along the boundary and pass over or south of the area. This is still a few day out and there is still a fair amount of uncertainty with the track of the low and where the front will be. With the frontal boundary still in the vicinity slight chance to chance POPs are warranted thereafter until Thursday night. However, much of the area from Thursday morning through the first half of Thursday looks to be dry. Another low may form along the frontal boundary affecting the area for Friday, so chances increase to likely by this point.
OUTLOOK FOR 12Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
Monday: MVFR, or lower, especially east of the NYC terminals, through the morning, with snow ending east around 12Z. Little to no additional accumulation.
Tuesday: VFR.
Wednesday: MVFR or lower possible. Rain/snow mix possible, especially inland, Wednesday and Wednesday night.
Thursday: VFR.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
High pressure will be centered north of the waters today. This will result in sub advisory conditions and mainly 2 to 3 ft ocean seas through this evening. An offshore low will pass south and east late tonight into Monday morning with marginal small craft conditions possible for the ocean waters Monday afternoon, with more widespread 5 to 6 ft seas likely into Monday night into Tuesday night. Marginal small craft seas may linger into Tuesday night, and through Wednesday-Thursday.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.
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