textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
High risk of rip currents for this weekend. Otherwise, no significant changes for weekend forecast.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Cool, breezy and wet for the Memorial Day weekend. This will be a prolonged soaking stratiform rain. Primary threat will be areas of minor urban and poor drainage flooding.
2) High risk of rip currents Saturday and Sunday, possibly into Monday. High surf potential for Saturday Night into Sunday with minor beach erosion and flooding possible during the times of high tide Sun aft and night.
3) Milder and drier conditions are likely for mid to late next week.
KEY MESSAGE 3
A large mid to upper level ridge may begin to build towards the northeast mid to late week. This would help bring a return to dry and warm conditions (upper 70s to lower/mid 80s for highs).
However, 00Z globals are pointing toward an upper trough closing off over the Northeast into eastern Canada Wed into Fri. Should guidance converge on this scenario in subsequent model runs, more seasonable conditions with chances for diurnal shower activity would be on tap.
OUTLOOK FOR 12Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
Saturday: Becoming MVFR or lower with showers. E-NE wind gusts 20-25 kt.
Sunday: IFR or lower with showers. E-NE wind gusts 20-30 kt, mainly for metro and coastal terminals.
Monday: Chance of MVFR or lower with showers.
Tuesday: VFR.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
E SCA wind gusts likely develop on the ocean this morning, with seas building to 5 ft. Winds likely subside below SCA for a period late today into tonight, before increasing to SCA level on all waters Saturday morning.
A period of marginal gale force gusts likely late Saturday night into Sunday. Seas on the ocean will continue to build to 10-12 Sat Night into Sun.
Winds will gradually subside below SCA levels late Sunday and Sunday night, but ocean seas will likely remain elevated through Monday in residual SE swell.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Saturday for ANZ353-355.
IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.
textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.