textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes to the forecast.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Dangerous rip currents expected at ocean beaches into this evening.

2) Showers and embedded thunderstorms are expected late tonight into early Thursday morning, followed by a another chance Thursday afternoon and evening.

3) Mainly dry, seasonably cool conditions are forecast for the holiday weekend.

KEY MESSAGE 3

The cold front will be south of the area on Friday. A W-NW flow will help boost temperatures into the lower 80s for most and potentially mid 80s in the warmest spots. Model consensus PoPs indicate a slight chance of a shower Friday afternoon as another shortwave rounds the base of the upper trough. Instability and forcing look to pass to our southwest, but a passing shower cannot be ruled out for the southern half of the area.

The air mass becomes much cooler and drier Friday night into the holiday weekend. Temperatures will be close to normal on Saturday, then slightly below normal for Sunday. There may be a slight warming trend on Labor Day. Less humid conditions are also forecast for the holiday weekend. Mainly dry conditions may prevail into the middle of next week.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY

Thursday Afternoon: Becoming VFR. Showers and thunderstorms possible in the afternoon and evening.

Friday: Mainly VFR, chance of MVFR in afternoon showers.

Saturday through Monday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Seas around 4 ft will continue on the ocean through this evening, but should slowly to around 3 ft into Thursday as swells diminish. Otherwise, winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA levels through the upcoming holiday weekend.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...High Risk for Rip Currents until 8 PM EDT this evening for NYZ075- 080-081-178-179. NJ...None. MARINE...None.