textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
No significant changes made to the forecast since last update.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Low pressure will impact the region from Thursday into Friday, with a period of prolonged rainfall and a mix with snow possible well inland north and west of NYC late Thursday night into Friday morning, then again inland Friday night.
2) Minor coastal flooding is possible in spots during the daytime high tide cycles on Thursday and Friday.
3) High pressure slowly building to the west will bring a return of dry weather for most of the weekend into the middle of next week.
KEY MESSAGE 3
A large area of high pressure building to the west will bring dry wx for most of the weekend into the middle of next week, with gusty NW winds also prevailing this weekend. Temps a few degrees below avg this weekend should slowly modify next week to near avg by Tue or Wed.
OUTLOOK FOR 00Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY
Thursday night: MVFR/IFR in rain. N-NNE wind gusts 20 kt, especially close to the coast.
Friday-Friday night: MVFR/IFR in rain. Rain/snow mix possible at KSWF Friday morning and then again Friday evening. Rain tapers off Friday night. N-NW winds gusts 20-25 kt, strongest on Friday.
Saturday: Chance of MVFR. NW wind gusts 20-25 kt.
Sunday-Monday: VFR. NW wind gusts 20 kt on Sunday.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Low pressure should bring an extended period of SCA cond to the waters, beginning out east Thu afternoon, then expanding to all waters Thu night into Fri. Cannot yet rule out some gale force gusts especially on the ern ocean waters, and uncertainty remains due to storm track and evolution. So still only forecasting near gales out east.
Mainly quiet cond return to the non ocean waters Fri night, but should continue on the ocean especially out east into daytime Sat or Sat evening. A few gusts to 25 kt may be possible on the near-shore non-ocean waters Sat afternoon.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from noon Thursday to 6 PM EST Friday for ANZ331-332-340-350.
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