textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
Snow is coming to an end. Winter weather advisories have ended.
KEY MESSAGES
1.) Drier air works back into the region as low pressure departs.
2.) Temperatures will remain cold for much of the week.
3.) Potential for snow next weekend.
KEY MESSAGE 3
Forecast shows are hinting at the potential for a snowfall event next weekend. 00z GFS keeps things dry with the low passing to the south, while the CMC models brings a quick moving clipper system across the area and a more robust low passing to the south. The AI models bring the low closer to the region. Its still way to early for any type of specifics, but something we need to keep an eye on.
OUTLOOK FOR 09Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
Late Monday Night: VFR. W winds G20-25kt.
Tuesday: VFR. W winds G20-25kt.
Wednesday: VFR. SW-S winds G20-25kt in the afternoon.
Thursday: A period of MVFR or lower possible with a band of snow. Rain may mix in near the coasts.
Friday: VFR with W winds G20-25kt.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
A strengthening/gusty westerly flow will develop today between a low tracking through SE Canada and high pressure building to the south. This will result in SCA conditions across all waters. The western ocean waters begin early this morning with the non ocean waters reaching SCA conditions around noon. There is a chance that some gusts come close to gale force on the ocean waters east of Moriches tonight. It is likely that the SCA will need to be extended on the the ocean waters into Tuesday night. Then there will be a brief lull later Tuesday night into Wednesday.
Some freezing spray is possible from late Mon night into Tue night on the ocean, sound, and at the harbor entrance.
Longer term, an extended period of SCA conditions is likely mainly for the ocean waters from Wednesday night into Friday night. Some gusts up to 25 kt expected on the ocean Wed night with SW flow 20-25 kt, and then again Thu night on all waters as winds shift WNW after a cold frontal passage, otherwise elevated ocean seas 5-7 ft expected. Elevated seas 5-6 ft may be confined more to the waters E of Fire Island Inlet Fri into Fri night.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from noon today to 6 PM EST Tuesday for ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST Tuesday for ANZ350-353-355.
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