textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
Guidance continues to fluctuate with snowfall amounts as the forecast area will reside on the northern periphery of a storm moving off the Carolina coast Sunday night.
A light snow accumulation is still likely, especially across the NY/NJ metro and Long Island. Winter headlines could be needed for a portion of the area.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Guidance continues to support a light accumulating snow. The best chance will be across Long Island and the NYC/NJ metro.
2) Progressive low pressure systems will bring rain/snow/mixed precip chances mid to late next week. Predictability details remain low at this point.
KEY MESSAGE 2
A warm front is progged to approach on Wed, then remain nearby into late week. Continue to carry 50-60 PoP Wed afternoon/night per NBM. Forecast uncertainty increases further beyond that, so chance PoP continues into Friday. There may be higher coverage of wintry precip inland and across eastern Long Island with the second system toward the tail end of next week.
OUTLOOK FOR 06Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
Late Sunday night and Monday: MVFR or lower into Monday morning, with snow likely for at least NYC metro/LI terminals. Light accumulation possible. The snow will end by 12Z Monday.
Tuesday: VFR.
Wednesday: MVFR or lower possible. Rain/snow mix possible, especially inland, Wednesday and Wednesday night.
Thursday: VFR.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
High pressure will be centered south of the waters through tonight, with another high centered north of the waters on Sunday. This will result in sub advisory conditions and mainly 2 to 3 ft ocean seas through the Sunday evening. An offshore low will pass south and east late Sunday night into Monday morning with marginal small craft conditions possible for the far eastern ocean waters later in the day Monday, with more widespread 5 to 6 ft seas likely into Monday night. This should result in small craft conditions across much, if not all of the ocean waters Monday night into Tuesday. Marginal small craft seas may linger into Tuesday night, and through Wednesday-Thursday.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.
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