textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Wind Advisory issued for NYC, coastal NE NJ, S Westchester, and all of S CT. Flood Watch issued for S CT. Gale Warning issued for all waters.

KEY MESSAGES

1) A strong frontal system brings periods of rain and the potential for thunderstorms to the region on Monday. This could lead to flooding in urban and poor drainage areas. Wind gusts 40 to 50 mph are also expected, with locally higher gusts.

2) Localized minor coastal flooding and beach erosion possible Monday into Monday night.

3) A drier and colder airmass settles into the area midweek.

KEY MESSAGE 3

High pressure gradually builds in through the middle of the week, bringing a colder and drier airmass to the area. Temperatures Tuesday through Wednesday night will run about 10 degrees below normal for mid-March. Gusty conditions likely continue on Tuesday. This combined with the cooler temperatures will keep wind chill values down in the 30s for much of the day.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

Monday Afternoon-Night: IFR to LIFR with showers, possibly heavy at times. Thunderstorms also possible. S winds 15-25 kt with gusts 25-40 kt, highest at the coast. Peak gusts up to 45 kt possible along the coast in the evening. LLWS. Winds decrease slightly and become more westerly late Monday night, gusts 25-35 kt. Showers taper off overnight with improving conditions.

Tuesday: Becoming VFR. W gusts 25-30 kt.

Wednesday-Friday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Gale Warning on all waters late Monday morning through Monday night.

Conditions remain below Advisory criteria through the rest of the day. Winds increase late this evening with SCA conditions developing overnight on all waters as gusts increase above 25 kt with a warm frontal passage. SCA starts on ocean waters 6pm this evening, with non ocean waters at midnight. Winds increase further on Monday, with gales expected by late morning on all waters. Gusts as high as 40 to 45 kt, with ocean seas 14 to 18 ft likely. Thunderstorms possible Monday night, and could produce locally higher gusts to 50 kt.

Strongest of the winds begin to lighten behind a cold front Monday night, with the Gale Warning set to expire at 10Z Tue, then SCA conditions likely linger on all waters through Tuesday with 25 kt gusts, but could potentially continue into Wednesday on the ocean waters with lingering 5ft seas. Sub-SCA conditions then expected thereafter.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...Flood Watch from late tonight through Tuesday morning for CTZ005>012. Wind Advisory from 2 PM Monday to 4 AM EDT Tuesday for CTZ005>012. NY...Wind Advisory from 2 PM Monday to 4 AM EDT Tuesday for NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179. NJ...Wind Advisory from 2 PM Monday to 4 AM EDT Tuesday for NJZ006- 104-106-108. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 11 AM EDT Monday for ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345. Gale Warning from 11 AM Monday to 6 AM EDT Tuesday for ANZ331- 332-335-338-340-345. Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM EDT Monday for ANZ350-353-355. Gale Warning from 6 AM Monday to 6 AM EDT Tuesday for ANZ350- 353-355.