textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Mainly dry conditions tonight with low clouds and possible fog, especially near the coast.

2) Minor flood benchmarks forecast to be reached or exceeded at many coastal locations for tonight's high tide cycles.

3) Showers on Sunday with a cold front transition to much colder air early next week.

4) A warming trend begins Wednesday leading to above normal temperatures to end the week.

KEY MESSAGE 4

A warm front lifts north of the area on Wednesday and will be quickly followed by a weak cold front late in the day. An isolated shower is possible. The main story will be temperatures beginning to warm closer to normal on Wednesday. Despite the cold front passage, warmer air is expected on Thursday with a NW downslope flow with highs in the 60s for most places and lower 70s in the NYC/NE NJ metro. Similar temperatures are possible to end the week along with dry conditions.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

Late Sunday afternoon: Flight cat improving to VFR. NW winds 15-20G25kt at the NYC metros and 10-15G20kt elsewhere.

Monday: Mainly VFR. Slight chance of showers. NW winds G20kt.

Tuesday: VFR.

Wednesday: Mainly VFR. Slight chance of showers.

Thursday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Fog is possible this evening into tonight. However, confidence in dense fog remains low at this time. Otherwise, conditions will remain below SCA levels through tonight.

A cold front crosses the waters early Sunday. NW flow increases behind the front, leading to marginal SCA wind gusts on the near shore ocean waters, LI Sound, LI Bays, and NY Harbor. Nearshore ocean seas will likely remain below 5 ft. Winds and seas subside Sunday night with conditions remaining below SCA levels through the middle of next week.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...Coastal Flood Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 2 AM EDT Sunday for CTZ009. NY...Coastal Flood Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 2 AM EDT Sunday for NYZ071-078-176-177. Coastal Flood Advisory from 8 PM this evening to midnight EDT tonight for NYZ074-178-179. NJ...Coastal Flood Advisory from 8 PM this evening to midnight EDT tonight for NJZ006-106-108. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM to 6 PM EDT Sunday for ANZ331- 332-335-338-340-345. Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM to 11 PM EDT Sunday for ANZ350. Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM to 6 PM EDT Sunday for ANZ353- 355.