textproduct: New York

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Updated Aviation discussion

KEY MESSAGES

1) Lingering light showers through day break behind the cold front passage from last evening.

2) The coolest air mass of the season so far moves in this weekend along with gusty NNW winds late tonight into Saturday.

3) Coastal low to form along the Mid Atlantic coast Sunday and to linger through much of the week.

KEY MESSAGE 3

As the upper trough departs the area Saturday night some of its energy gets left behind along the Mid Atlantic coast, where coastal low formations is becoming increasingly likely. A tight pressure gradient between the low and high pressure to the north will produce a prolonged period of gusty northerly flow. Forecast area also looks to be on the northern periphery of some rain during this time. Coastal flooding likely not an issue early in the week, but with a prolonged system there could be issues late in the week as a full moon approaches.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

Sunday-Monday: VFR.

Monday Night-Tuesday: VFR. N-NE wind gusts 15-25 kt, strongest near the coast.

Wednesday: VFR. NE wind gusts 20-30 kt, strongest near the coast.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Gale watch converted to SCA for all waters, except the outer ocean zones, where the gale watch has been delayed until Saturday night.

Expect a prolonged period of rough conditions, particularly on the ocean waters through the period. A strong cold frontal passage this evening will result in a strong N flow later tonight through Saturday. Winds diminish some Saturday night on the non-ocean waters and the remaining waters on Sunday. However, due to low pressure nearly stationary along the Mid Atlantic Sunday into next week, there is the potential for gales on the ocean and SCA conditions elsewhere.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...Freeze Watch from late tonight through Sunday morning for CTZ005>008. NY...Freeze Watch from late tonight through Sunday morning for NYZ067-068. NJ...Freeze Watch from late tonight through Sunday morning for NJZ002. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ331- 332-335-338-340-345. Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT Sunday for ANZ350-353-355. Gale Watch from this evening through Sunday morning for ANZ380- 383-385.


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