textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes have been made to the forecast.

KEY MESSAGES

1) A thunderstorm possible today through Wednesday, but impacts appear to be limited.

2)Somewhat unsettled weather pattern follows for Thursday through early next week, but not anticipating any potential significant impacts at this time.

KEY MESSAGE 2

A series of fronts will bring at least a chance of a shower from Thursday through Tuesday. Most of the time will be dry each of the days, so not anticipating any extended periods of rain. Best chance of going rain-free is on Friday and Tuesday with the best chance of rain being on Sunday into Sunday night with the passage of a cold front. A thunderstorm is possible on Friday with any showers that manage to materialize, and inverted-V profiles suggest strong wind gust potential in/near any thunderstorm. NBM/WPC not showing t-storm potential so far on Sunday. However thinking is that guidance may hint more at thunderstorm possibility as Sunday draws nearer, particularly if we remain in the warm sector for most of the day and we can get some clearing of the sky.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

Wednesday: MVFR or lower with showers likely in the afternoon and evening. Isolated thunderstorm possible.

Thursday: Chance of showers. MVFR or lower possible. E wind gusts 20 kt possible.

Friday: VFR.

Saturday: MVFR or lower in the afternoon with potential showers/thunderstorms.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

SCA has been extended on the ocean to include Wednesday night as seas remain elevated. Gusts to 25kt also anticipated on the ocean for today through Weds afternoon. For the non-ocean waters, occasional gusts to 25 kt possible late in the day and tonight, but not warranting an advisory.

Small craft conditions, gusts and seas, continue for Thursday into Thursday evening on the ocean waters, falling below by late Thursday night as easterly winds diminish and shift to south by Friday morning.

CLIMATE

Record High Minimum Temperatures:

March 31: KEWR: 63/1998 KBDR: 50/1998 KNYC: 66/1998 KLGA: 59/1998 KJFK: 51/1981 KISP: 52/1998

April 1: KEWR: 62/2016 KBDR: 53/2016 KNYC: 61/2016 KLGA: 56/2016 KJFK: 52/2016 KISP: 54/2016

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Thursday for ANZ350-353- 355.