textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
No significant changes.
KEY MESSAGES
1) A cold front continues moving offshore, becoming dry and seasonable this afternoon.
2) Unseasonably cold conditions to start the weekend trend milder Sunday through next week.
3) A frontal boundary may set up near the region with potential of showers during the middle of next week.
KEY MESSAGE 3
A frontal boundary will likely set up near or just north of the region next week. There is a chance for showers Tuesday through next Thursday. Some of the model guidance holds the boundary to our north while others bring the front through Wednesday or Thursday. This would support a period of more widespread showers if this were to occur. It does not look like a complete washout during this period and impacts from showers look to be limited at this time.
OUTLOOK FOR 18Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
Saturday afternoon: VFR. NW winds 10-15kt, gusts around 25kt.
Saturday night: VFR. NW winds 5-10kt, becoming light and variable late.
Sunday and Monday: VFR. SW winds G20kt in the afternoon and early evening.
Monday Night-Wednesday: Chance of rain with MVFR or lower cond possible. Fog may develop at night.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
SCA conditions will persist on the ocean into the afternoon. Winds on the ocean will continue subsiding below 25 kt early this morning, but 5 ft seas remain through this afternoon. The seas will subside quickest west of Fire Island Inlet with seas further east taking until this evening to fall below 5 ft.
Marginal SCA wind gusts possible on the ocean on Saturday with a modestly strong northerly flow. Otherwise, winds and seas should remain below Advisory levels into Saturday night. SCA conditions are then possible, mainly on the ocean, Sunday through early next week.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for ANZ350. Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for ANZ353. Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ355.
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