textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Marine dense fog advisory expanded to the eastern Sound and bays.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Through tonight, in addition to ocean dense fog, fog could redevelop once again across other waters and may move into parts of the coastline east of NYC.

2) For early this week, a warmer airmass develops. Expect daytime temperatures to be warmer than normal. Possible fog for night into early morning, particularly Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning.

3) A strong frontal system impacts the area Wednesday Night into Thursday with the next chance for showers followed by more seasonably cool air to end next week.

4) Additional light mixed precipitation is possible Friday night into Saturday from a passing Alberta Clipper system to our north.

KEY MESSAGE 4

An Alberta clipper low swings out of Canada and into the Great Lakes region Thursday into Friday. This will pass north of the area Friday night into Saturday. This will be a much weaker system compared to the Wednesday-Thursday system.

Not expecting any significant impacts aside from light precipitation and breezy winds. A rain or a rain/snow mix at the coast and a snow or rain/snow mix in the interior.

Some guidance still varies on how far south the precipitation extends. Its possible the precip may be limited to northern interior locations with coastal locations remaining dry, but this forecast remains in flux.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

Monday Night: VFR. Light and VRB winds.

Tuesday: VFR.

Wednesday: Mainly VFR, MVFR or lower possible at times, especially at night with a chance of showers. S wind gusts 20-25 kt afternoon into night.

Thursday: MVFR or lower possible at times with showers, mainly in the morning. Isolated thunderstorm possible. W/SW wind gusts 25-30 kt, diminishing at night.

Friday: Chance of MVFR in rain/snow showers, mainly at night. S wind gusts 20-25kt, becoming W at night.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Dense Fog advisory in effect for ocean waters, ern Sound, and ern bays until 8AM EDT Monday morning.

More fog could develop tonight on other waters and also into early Monday morning as well as the next few night into early morning periods. Dense fog will be possible.

Otherwise, winds are expected to remain below SCA thresholds for all waters through Tuesday night. However, there are some higher seas across the ocean zones near 5 to 6 ft and without much of an offshore push, the higher ocean seas will linger into tonight. The SCA from Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY remains until midnight. The SCA from Fire Island Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY remains until 6AM Monday.

For Monday through Tuesday night, seas are forecast to remain below SCA thresholds on all waters.

An approaching frontal system Wednesday begins to increase winds on the ocean, with widespread SCA winds Wednesday night into Thursday. There is low confidence with potential gales due to warm air moving over the colder ocean. Ocean seas will build through the period and potentially range from 8 to 12 ft. Winds and seas may begin subsiding Thursday night.

CLIMATE

Below are record high temperatures for Monday March 9th and Tuesday March 10th.

Monday March 9th: EWR: 82/2016 BDR: 64/2021 NYC: 77/2016 LGA: 75/2016,2000 JFK: 67/1973 ISP: 68/2016

Tuesday March 10th: EWR: 81/2016 BDR: 70/2006 NYC: 79/2016 LGA: 78/2016 JFK: 71/2006 ISP: 73/2016

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Dense Fog Advisory until 8 AM EDT Monday for ANZ332-340-350- 353-355. Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Monday for ANZ350-353. Small Craft Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for ANZ355.