textproduct: New York

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Gale Warnings expanded to the eastern Sound/bays and to most of the outer ocean waters.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Low pressure will impact the region as it passes off the southern New Jersey coast late today and passes slowly south and east of Long Island tonight into Friday. Locally heavy downpours into this evening could lead to brief nuisance flooding. The rain may mix with or change to snow mainly in the higher elevations late tonight into Friday, with little to no accumulation expected.

2) Minor coastal flooding is possible in vulnerable locations along the Long Island south shore during the Friday daytime high tide cycle.

3) High pressure will bring dry conditions into much of next week.

KEY MESSAGE 3

Behind the exiting low this weekend, a sprawling area of high pressure gradually builds to the west into early next week, then settles over the area mid to late next week. Below normal temps this weekend should moderate to near normal Mon-Tue, and then to a few degrees above normal Wed-Thu as heights also rise aloft.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

Friday afternoon and night: MVFR/IFR in rain. Rain/snow mix possible at KSWF in the morning and then again in the evening. Rain tapers off Friday night. N-NW winds gusts 20-25 kt, strongest on Friday.

Saturday: Chance of MVFR. NW wind gusts 20-25 kt.

Sunday and Monday: VFR. NW wind gusts 20 kt on Sunday.

Tuesday: VFR. Light winds.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Gale Warnings expanded to the eastern Sound/Bays of Long Island into daytime Fri, and to most the outer ocean waters E of Fire Island Inlet for tonight. Gale warnings remain in effect on the near shore ocean waters for tonight into Fri afternoon. E flow in these areas should gust to 35-40 kt mainly during the first half of tonight, then as low pressure passing to the S slowly pulls away on Fri winds should back NE-N and gust to 35 kt.

Did not extend the gale warning on the outer ocean waters into daytime Fri due to uncertainty on low track and timing/strength of stronger winds on the back side of the low. It is possible these areas could be S of the low initially and experience SW flow at first, then shift to NE-N later Fri as the low pulls away to the E and could gust to 35 kt.

SCA cond in the form of hazardous ocean seas should linger on the near shore ocean waters into Fri night and possibly into Sat morning.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for ANZ331- 332-340-350-353-355. Gale Warning from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM EST Friday for ANZ331-380-383. Gale Warning from 6 PM this evening to 6 PM EST Friday for ANZ332-340-350-353-355. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST Friday for ANZ335-345. Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST Friday for ANZ338.


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