textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
No significant changes.
KEY MESSAGES
1. Cooler than normal and dry today.
2. Frost forecast for tonight.
3. Mainly dry, warmer trends to daytime temperatures Thursday into Friday.
4. A warming trend for late week with above normal temperatures likely Friday into Saturday. Potential for well above normal temps for early next week.
KEY MESSAGE 4
Good model agreement continues on broad troughing over central Canada and then nrn Plains moving ewd across ern Canada and the Northeast Fri into Sat, which should send a cold front through Sat morning. Prior to fropa, temps should already have begun a warming trend, with highs 65-70 from NYC north/west (5-10 degrees above normal), and mid 50s to lower 60s for Long Island and most of S CT (near normal). Air mass behind the front will be only slightly cooler than that for the weekend as strong Canadian high pressure builds across, with highs mostly from the mid 50s to mid 60s, still a few degrees above normal from NYC north/west.
A more appreciable warming trend should take place early next week as a return flow develops on the back side of the high as it departs out into the Atlantic, and as a warm front passes to the N. Highs on Mon should reach the mid/upper 70s from NYC north/west and the 60s east of there. Even warmer temps expected on Tue, upper 70s/lower 80s from NYC north/west and 60 to lower 70s east. These numbers are 15-20 degrees above normal north/west and about 5-10 degrees above normal east.
MARINE
Conditions have lowered below SCA thresholds and are expected to remain below SCA thresholds with high pressure moving overhead with thereby a weak ambient pressure gradient in place for the next few days. There could be some 25 kt gusts for parts of the ocean into today but these are only expected to be occasional.
Next time for potential SCA conditions will be with the cold front as it moves through late Friday into Friday night. This will be mainly due to seas on the ocean, which could linger into the first half of the weekend.
MARINE
Conditions remain below SCA thresholds with high pressure overhead and a weak pressure gradient in place for the next few days. There could be some 25 kt gusts for parts of the ocean into today but these are only expected to be occasional.
Next time for potential SCA conditions will be with the cold front as it moves through late Friday into Friday night. This will be mainly due to seas on the ocean, which could linger into the first half of the weekend.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.
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