textproduct: New York

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

WHAT HAS CHANGED

SCA issued for the ocean waters Thursday into part of Friday.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Expect mainly dry conditions into Thursday with warming temperatures.

2) Rain Thursday night and Friday morning will be followed by cooler and dry conditions this weekend, then milder and continued dry conditions early next week.

KEY MESSAGE 2

A cold front is progged to move across late late Thursday night into Friday morning. Best chances for associated rainfall will be from about midnight into the early daylight hours. The atmosphere gradually dries out thereafter from late morning into the afternoon, with temps rising into the 50s.

Dry conditions will continue into next Tue with high pressure in control. Daytime temperatures will likely end up well below normal on Saturday in the 40s, before slowly trending milder early next week. High temperatures by Mon/Tue should be in the 50s to near 60. The coldest nights appear to be Friday and Saturday nights with lows from the mid 20s to lower/mid 30s, coldest inland.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

Thursday: VFR. SW winds G15-20 kt on Thursday.

Thursday night: MVFR to IFR conditions with rain developing through the night. SW winds G15-20 kt possible. LLWS possible late.

Friday: MVFR with rain diminishing in the morning, becoming VFR in the afternoon. NW winds G15-20 kt.

Saturday and Sunday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

A SCA has been issued for the ocean waters Thursday into part of Friday. Southerly winds will strengthen ahead of frontal system over the Great Lakes on Thursday. Gusts up to 30 kt can be expected on the ocean waters Thursday into the first half of Thursday night, before weakening ahead of a strong cold front. The latter of which passes through Friday morning. Northerly winds behind the cold front will gusts up to around 20 kt with seas on the ocean gradually subsiding below 5 ft from west to east. The eastern sound and bays may need to be added to the SCA in subsequent forecasts. Confidence was not high enough at this time.

High pressure builds across the waters of the weekend with sub- SCA conditions.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM Thursday to 2 PM EDT Friday for ANZ350-353. Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM Thursday to 8 AM EDT Friday for ANZ355.


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