textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes.

A wind advisory and flood watch remain in effect for portions of the tri-state area.

A Gale Warning remains in effect for all waters.

KEY MESSAGES

1) A strong frontal system brings periods of rain and the potential for thunderstorms to the region today into tonight. Urban and poor drainage flooding is possible. Wind gusts 40 to 50 mph are also expected.

2) Isolated minor coastal flooding and beach erosion possible today and into tonight.

3) A drier and colder airmass settles into the area for Tuesday through Thursday.

KEY MESSAGE 3

High pressure gradually builds in Tuesday, settles over the region Wednesday, then departs Thursday. The high will bring in a colder and drier airmass behind the frontal system of Monday. Temperatures Tuesday through Wednesday night will run about 10 degrees below normal for mid-March. Gusty conditions likely continue on Tuesday, and will produce wind chill values in the 30s for much of the day. Warmer temperatures return for the end of the week.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

Monday Night: IFR/LIFR with showers, possibly heavy at times. Thunderstorms also possible. Becoming VFR following the cold frontal passage from about 03Z to 07Z. S winds 15-25 kt with gusts 25-40 kt, highest at the coast. Peak gusts up to 45 kt possible along the coast in the evening. LLWS. Winds decrease slightly and become westerly late, gusts 25-35 kt. Showers taper off overnight with improving conditions.

Tuesday: Becoming VFR. W gusts 25-30 kt.

Wednesday-Friday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

A strong frontal system will bring an increasing, and gusty, southerly flow to the forecast waters today into tonight. While Small craft conditions continue on the waters into early this morning, southerly gusts are expected to reach gales force this morning into early this afternoon. A Gale Warning is now in effect for all the waters today into tonight.

Thunderstorms are possible this morning, and more likely ahead of a strong cold front late this afternoon into this evening. The thunderstorms could bring higher wind gust to the water surface with the potential of local gusts to 50 kt.

Westerly winds behind the cold front passage will begin to diminish especially by late tonight, with gusts on the non-ocean waters potentially lowering to SCA levels. Ocean gusts, especially on the eastern waters fall below gale force by Tuesday morning. Small craft conditions likely linger on all waters through Tuesday with 25 kt gusts, but could potentially continue into Wednesday on the ocean waters with lingering 5ft seas. Sub-SCA conditions then expected thereafter.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...Flood Watch through Tuesday morning for CTZ005>012. Wind Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 4 AM EDT Tuesday for CTZ005>012. NY...Wind Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 4 AM EDT Tuesday for NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179. NJ...Wind Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 4 AM EDT Tuesday for NJZ006-104-106-108. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT early this morning for ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345-350-353-355. Gale Warning from 6 AM this morning to 6 AM EDT Tuesday for ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345-350-353-355.