textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Wind speed forecast increased for this afternoon into evening.

Freeze Watch issued for tonight for portions of NYC/NJ metro.

KEY MESSAGES

1. Breezy with scattered shower activity (possibly mixed with sleet/wet snow across interior) early this morning, and then more isolated activity late morning into afternoon.

2. Frost-Freeze conditions for much of the area Tonight and Wednesday Night.

3. A warming trend for late week with above normal temperatures likely Friday into Saturday. Potential for well above normal temps for early next week.

KEY MESSAGE 3

Good model agreement in east coast ridging building in for late week in response to broad troughing settling into the northern plains and Great Lakes. Moderating airmass and retreating Canadian maritimes high should allow temps to warm several degrees above seasonable on Friday (mid to upper 60s), potentially even into the 60s at the coast before afternoon seabreeze development.

Shortwave and weak cold frontal passage Friday night likely not enough to keep temps from running above seasonable on Saturday with gusty NW flow, in fact the offshore flow should allow for milder temps for the coast. Widespread 60s likely across the area, several degrees above seasonable.

Temps falling back towards seasonable for most of the area on Sunday as Canadian high briefly settles in.

Potential for temps rising well above seasonable (20+ degrees above normal) for early next week with deep western troughing and downstream southern ridging building towards the region. 850 hpa temps warming into the lower teens in deep W/SW aloft flow could have temps rising towards 80 for interior and widespread 60 to 70s for the coast.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

Wednesday: VFR. Some afternoon SE wind gusts to 15-20 kt along parts of the coast.

Thursday: VFR. Some afternoon SE wind gusts to 15-20 kt along parts of the coast.

Friday: Mainly VFR.

Saturday: Mainly VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

SCA gusts expected this afternoon/evening for all waters in wake of cold front, gradually diminishing tonight.

Sub-SCA conditions expected Wed into Thu with a weak pressure gradient under high pressure building in.

Easterly swells likely build to SCA levels on the ocean on Fri with persistent easterly fetch between high pressure overhead and offshore low Thu into Fri. These swells should gradually subside heading thru the weekend in wake of Sat AM frontal passage.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...Freeze Watch from late tonight through Wednesday morning for NYZ073-074-177-179. NJ...Freeze Watch from late tonight through Wednesday morning for NJZ006-106-108. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Wednesday for ANZ331-332- 335-338-340-345. Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EDT Wednesday for ANZ350-353- 355.