textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
No significant changes.
KEY MESSAGES
1) After a warm afternoon, a cold front brings a chance for showers late this afternoon and into this evening. A few locally heavy downpours are possible.
2) Rain chances return on Sunday, with a period of showers possible into Sunday night.
3) The coolest air mass of the season so far moves in early next week.
KEY MESSAGE 3
Conditions turn cooler early to mid next week, with Canadian high pressure dropping south and ushering in the coolest air mass of this early fall season so far.
Cold front moves through Monday ahead of a digging closed low trough over eastern Canada and by Tuesday, daytime highs look to top out within a couple of degrees either side of 60, or about 10 degrees below normal. Tuesday night will likely bring the coolest weather in several months, with 30s across the interior, and 40s down to the coast, including NYC and the urban metros.
OUTLOOK FOR 12Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
Saturday: VFR.
Sunday: MVFR or lower possible with chance of rain in the late afternoon and at night. Best chance for rain will be at the coastal terminals.
Monday: Brief MVFR possible in showers early, otherwise VFR. NW winds G15-20kt developing in the afternoon.
Tuesday: Mainly VFR.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Cold front approaches from the west today, with increasing SW flow and building seas on the ocean. Small Craft Advisory (SCA) remains in place for coastal ocean waters east of Fire Island Inlet from late this morning through this evening. Seas up to 5 ft and wind gusts around 25 kt can be expected here. Otherwise, sub-SCA conditions for Long Island Sound, Long Island Bays, NY Harbor and ocean west of Fire Island Inlet out to 20 nm.
Conditions then generally remain below SCA criteria on the coastal waters this weekend as N flow early Saturday veers E by Sunday.
A cold frontal passage late Monday will likely bring a return to unsettled conditions with gusty NW winds developing behind it. SCA conditions appear likely on at least the ocean, and perhaps all coastal waters Monday night. Conditions improve into midweek.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for ANZ350-353.
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