textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Chances for snow showers have been increased to likely for Sunday, with a coating to an inch possible.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Patchy fog and black ice possible tonight and Saturday night.

2) Snow showers expected on Sunday.

3) Multiple waves of low pressure will impact the area Tuesday through Friday of next week. Little to no impacts.

KEY MESSAGE 3

Upper air pattern is forecast to change this period as a trough becomes established across the western half of the country by the end of the period, with broad upper level ridging across the east. This will support a period of mild weather with a storm track generally to the north and west of the forecast area. This supports mainly rain through the week with a transition from snow to rain on Tuesday.

After a shot of arctic air to start the week, high pressure on Monday gives way to low pressure over the Ohio Valley and its associated warm front. With cold air in place, precipitation may initially start off as snow Tuesday morning before going over to rain. Transition likely occurs before a steadier precipitation develops. Expect little or no snowfall accumulation at the coast with perhaps and inch or two across the interior. Low pressure passes to the northeast Tuesday night into Wednesday with conditions briefly drying out Wednesday. Another frontal wave approaches from the Mid Mississippi Valley Wednesday night into Thursday bringing rain into the area.

Monday will feature temperatures 10 to 15 degrees below normal with highs in the 20s and lows Monday night into the lower teens to lower 20s. After that, highs will be in the 40s with lows generally above freezing in the 30s to around 40.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

Saturday afternoon: VFR.

Sunday: MVFR or lower possible with light snow showers or flurries. N/NW winds G15-20 kt.

Monday: VFR.

Tuesday: MVFR or lower with a rain/snow mix in the morning, becoming plain rain during the afternoon and into the evening south to north.

Wednesday: MVFR, possibly IFR, with a chance of rain, mainly in the morning.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Winds and seas are expected to be blw SCA lvls thru Sat. Increasing winds and building seas late Sun behind a cold front may bring the ocean to SCA criteria.

There will be a chance of marginal SCA conditions on the ocean waters next week as multiple waves of low pressure pass to the NW with warm frontal passages. The first chance will be Tuesday night into Wednesday in the warm sector as SW winds strengthen, then again on Thursday.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.