textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
No significant changes.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Temperatures warming into the weekend.
2) No major storm systems expected in the forecast with just a couple of disturbances Friday night into Saturday morning, and again from Sunday afternoon into Monday.
KEY MESSAGE 2
A couple of relatively weak disturbances will move through the area over the next 3-4 days. The first quick moving frontal system will bring a period of rainfall late this afternoon through tonight. Rain ends by Saturday morning with much of the weekend remaining dry.
Another system approaches the area from the northwest late Sunday, bringing the potential for rainfall once again, mainly late Sunday into Monday, though there remains a bit of uncertainty as to our placement with respect to the passing low. This will determine how long of a chance of rain showers we will see. Either way, not anticipating the event to be particularly impactful.
In between the two systems, high pressure will be largely in control for the weekend with temperatures averaging 5 to 10 degrees above normal. However, following a cold frontal passage late Sunday night into Monday morning, temperatures will cool down to more seasonal levels.
Another more robust system may impact the area late next week.
OUTLOOK FOR 06Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
Friday night: Becoming VFR by daybreak Saturday. NW winds 10 kt or less.
Saturday: VFR with NW winds at 10 kt or less.
Sunday: Chance of MVFR or lower with rain in the late afternoon/evening, possibly mixing with snow at night for the Lower Hudson Valley and CT. SW winds 10 kt or less.
Monday: VFR. N winds G20 kt.
Tuesday: VFR. N winds 10 kt or less.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
High pressure will maintain light S/SW winds through Friday morning.
Small Craft Advisories for all waters this afternoon and evening as S winds increase ahead of an approaching cold front with gusts 25-30kt, before winds become SW and diminish tonight. Seas on ocean will take longer to subside, probably not falling below 5 ft until early Saturday afternoon.
Another round of Small Craft Advisory winds and seas appears likely late Sunday night through Monday night. Much of this will be in the NW flow following a cold frontal passage Monday morning.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to midnight EDT tonight for ANZ331-332-335. Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 11 PM EDT this evening for ANZ338. Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM this afternoon to midnight EDT tonight for ANZ340-345. Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 2 PM EDT Saturday for ANZ350-353-355.
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