textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Unsettled weather through Friday with a slow moving area of low pressure over southern New England. Potential for moderate to locally heavy downpours and isolated thunderstorms today.

2) Unseasonably warm this weekend into next week. Cold water safety concerns for this weekend with good boating weather, and water temps still in the lower 50s.

KEY MESSAGE 2

Pattern change coming up for this weekend into next week. Once the trough shifts east, flow becomes zonal with an eventual ridge building in. Once again, the high temperature forecast is a bit tricky as the NBM5.0 continues to look too warm, especially near the coast. Have generally adjusted it downward for high temps a few degrees Saturday and Sunday. In addition, some cloud cover and an isolated shower Sunday with a weak cold frontal passage also favor a slightly cooler forecast.

While temperatures this weekend will likely get into the 70s Saturday and the 80s Sunday, dewpoints stay down in the 40s and 50s. This will give the air a more comfortable feel.

Additionally, there are cold water safety concerns this weekend as water temperatures remain in the lower 50s. The cold water temperatures can quickly cause hypothermia and physical incapacitation to anyone suddenly immersed in the water. Anyone going out on small boats, canoes or kayaks should plan accordingly and use extreme caution to avoid this threat. A Marine Weather Statement will likely be issued at the end of this week.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY

Friday: A chance of showers with MVFR or lower conditions possible, mainly early.

Saturday: VFR. SW wind gusts 15-20 kt afternoon into evening.

Sunday: Mainly VFR. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm with brief MVFR or lower conditions possible.

Monday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Low pressure deepening over the western Atlantic today and heading up into the Canadian Maritimes Friday, will produce a building easterly across the ocean waters tonight into Friday. A SCA for hazardous seas in possible during this time, mainly east of Fire Island Inlet. Confidence is not high enough to issue at this time.

Conditions thereafter generally remain under SCA criteria.

There are cold water safety concerns this weekend as water temperatures remain in the lower 50s. The cold water temperatures can quickly cause hypothermia and physical incapacitation to anyone suddenly immersed in the water. Anyone going out on small boats, canoes or kayaks should plan accordingly and use extreme caution to avoid this threat. A Marine Weather Statement will likely be issued at the end of this week.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.