textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
Update to Aviation section for 09z TAFs.
There is a threat for localized flash flooding Saturday Night into Sunday Morning, conditional on track of low pressure.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Dry and seasonably warm today and Saturday.
3) Showers expected Saturday Night into Sunday Morning. A period of heavy downpours and isolated thunderstorms are possible, with a a threat for localized flash flooding.
4) Dry and seasonable conditions early to mid next week.
KEY MESSAGE 3
Canadian high pressure builds in for early next week with temps running slightly below normal and low humidity level.
High pressure moves offshore for midweek with return flow giving way to temps moderating slightly above normal and increase humidity levels for mid to late week.
A cold front may press down on the area late in the week, but overall limited chances for precip till late week.
OUTLOOK FOR 06Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
Tonight through Saturday: VFR.
Saturday night through Sunday morning: MVFR to possibly IFR at times in showers and potential thunderstorms. SE wind gusts 15-20 kt at times for NYC terminals along portions of the coast.
Sunday Afternoon: Improving conditions with an eventual return to VFR.
Monday: VFR. Northerly wind gusts 15-20 kts.
Tuesday: VFR.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Sub SCA conditions expected through Saturday as high pressure builds in and slides across the waters.
S winds could increase to 15 to 20kt and seas to around 4 ft on the ocean waters Sat Night into Sunday AM with a weak frontal wave moving across the ocean waters.
Sub SCA conditions expected once again early next week as high pressure build into the waters.
Surf Zone...A moderate rip current risk today with residual 3 ft southerly wind swells, and 1 ft se swell. The rip current risk becomes low on Saturday with several 1 S/SE wind waves and swells. Rip current risk likely increase to moderate on Sunday with increasing onshore flow and building S/SE wind waves.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.
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