textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Aviation discussion updated.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Well above normal temperatures forecast through the rest of the work week. Near-record highs expected Tuesday through Thursday with daily chances for showers and possible thunderstorms.

2) Strong cold front Sunday with temperatures returning to near to slightly below normal Sunday night and Monday.

KEY MESSAGE 2

A strong cold front is forecast to move through the region during Sunday, while there are still some timing difference, consenus is for a cold frontal passage Sunday afternoon. Showers will accompany the passage, with a chance of thunder as well. After a prolonged period of above normal temperatures, the cold front passage will return temperatures to near to slightly below normal Sunday night through Monday night.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

Tuesday night: Mainly VFR. Possible showers/tstms early with brief MVFR possible. SW wind gusts near 20 kt will be diminishing.

Wednesday through Saturday: Mainly VFR but with chance of afternoon and evening showers/tstms each day, mainly NW of the NYC metros, with brief flight cat reduction to MVFR. SW winds could gust 15-20kt each afternoon Wed-Thu as well.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

OCean seas remain elevated tonight therefore the Small Craft Advisory continues. Conditions subside tonight though, first across the western ocean and into late tonight east of Fire Island Inlet. By Tuesday AM sub advisory conditions will prevail across all waters. Sub-SCA conditions will then remain through Thursday.

Sub advisory conditions are expected on all the waters Thursday night through Saturday night.

CLIMATE

Daily record high temperatures that could be reached:

Wed, April 15: KEWR: 88/1960 KBDR: 81/1960 KNYC: 87/1941 KLGA: 86/1941 KJFK: 80/2006 KISP: 78/2024

Daily record high minimum temperatures that could be reached:

Tue, April 14: KEWR: 62/2014 KBDR: 54/2023 KNYC: 70/2023 KLGA: 67/2023 KJFK: 55/2023 KISP: 54/2022

Wed, April 15: KEWR: 60/2023 KBDR: 53/2012 KNYC: 67/1941 KLGA: 64/1941 KJFK: 58/1960 KISP: 56/2023

Thu, April 16: KEWR: 64/2002 KBDR: 53/2002 KNYC: 69/2002 KLGA: 68/2002 KJFK: 57/2002 KISP: 55/2012

Fri, April 17: KEWR: 68/2002 KBDR: 57/2002 KNYC: 74/2002 KLGA: 73/2002 KJFK: 60/2002 KISP: 61/2002

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Tuesday for ANZ350-353. Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Tuesday for ANZ355.