textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
No significant changes.
KEY MESSAGES
1) A Heat Advisory remains in effect for NYC and northeast New Jersey as hot weather continues through Wednesday.
2) Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible Wednesday afternoon and evening.
3) A much cooler airmass settles over the region Thursday into the holiday weekend with an ongoing chance of showers from time to time.
4) Cold water safety concerns continue this week with good boating weather, and water temperatures still in the 50s.
KEY MESSAGE 4
Cold water safety concerns this week as water temperatures remain in the 50s. The cold water temperatures can quickly cause hypothermia and physical incapacitation to anyone suddenly immersed in the water. Anyone going out on small boats, canoes or kayaks should plan accordingly and use extreme caution to avoid this threat.
OUTLOOK FOR 00Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
Wednesday Night: Winds becoming more NW into Wednesday evening. Thunderstorm chances decrease Wednesday evening with showers could linger along coastal terminals with MVFR or lower possible. Otherwise VFR.
Thursday: MVFR or lower conditions possible early for coastal terminals and NYC terminals at times with a chance of showers. Mainly VFR thereafter.
Friday: Possible showers and MVFR conditions. Chances of showers increase late day into night. Showers become likely at night.
Saturday: MVFR or lower with showers. E-NE wind gusts 15-20 kt.
Sunday: MVFR or lower with chances of showers. NE wind gusts 15-20 kt during the day.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect on the ocean waters through the day on Wednesday. While gusts so far have remained below 25 kt, still expecting seas to build to 5-6 feet and remain elevated through the day on Wednesday. In addition to the elevated seas and marginally gusty winds, a cold frontal passage late Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday evening will bring with it the potential for strong to severe thunderstorms.
Once the front passes, conditions are expected to remain below SCA levels into Saturday morning before an increasing easterly flow brings advisory conditions to the ocean, and potentially to some of the non-ocean waters Saturday afternoon through Sunday.
Cold water safety concerns this week as water temperatures remain in the 50s. The cold water temperatures can quickly cause hypothermia and physical incapacitation to anyone suddenly immersed in the water. Anyone going out on small boats, canoes or kayaks should plan accordingly and use extreme caution to avoid this threat.
CLIMATE
Record High Temperatures:
May 19: KEWR: 98/1962 KBDR: 89/2017 KNYC: 99/1962 KLGA: 96/2017 KJFK: 92/2017 KISP: 89/2017
Record High Minimum Temperatures:
May 19: KEWR: 67/1986 KBDR: 66/2017 KNYC: 68/1986 KLGA: 68/2017 KJFK: 67/2017 KISP: 65/2017
May 20: KEWR: 72/1996 KBDR: 61/2019 KNYC: 74/1996 KLGA: 77/1996 KJFK: 63/1996 KISP: 62/1996
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Air Quality Alert until 11 PM EDT this evening for CTZ005>012. NY...Air Quality Alert until 11 PM EDT this evening for NYZ069>075- 078>081-176>179. Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Wednesday for NYZ072>075-176-178. NJ...Air Quality Alert until 11 PM EDT this evening for NJZ004-006- 103>108. Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Wednesday for NJZ002-004-006- 103>108. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Wednesday for ANZ350-353- 355.
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