textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes.

KEY MESSAGES

1) A warming trend begins Sunday continuing through the middle of the week.

2) Unsettled weather coming up towards mid to late week with chances of precipitation, mostly rain.

KEY MESSAGE 2

Main upper level jet remains north of the area Tuesday through the rest of the forecast period. Jet gets close Wednesday into Wednesday night moving in from the north. A potential shortwave moves near Friday into Friday night.

At the surface, a warm front moves northeast of the area Tuesday into Tuesday night. The local forecast area gets within the warm sector Tuesday through Wednesday. A cold front then approaches late in the day Wednesday, moving across Wednesday night. The cold front then slowly moves farther south Thursday and could very well stall out through Friday. Another area of low pressure approaches from the west Friday into the start of next weekend.

Chances of precipitation are present for Tuesday through the rest of the week across the region. Most of this expected to be in the form of rain. There is uncertainty with timing of waves of low pressure and fronts so changes in POPs can be expected with subsequent forecasts. Overall though, higher chances of precipitation across more of the region for Wednesday night onward through the rest of the week.

The forecast has likely POPs Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night and into early Thursday morning. Rain is the main precipitation type but for the interior, some snow is forecast to mix in with the rain.

The forecast also has likely POPs Thursday night through Friday night. Interior zones have a wintry mix with otherwise mainly another rain event.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

Late Tonight-Monday: VFR. SW wind gusts around 20 kt Monday afternoon and early evening.

Monday Night-Tuesday: Chance of showers and MVFR/IFR conditions Monday night into early Tuesday. VFR Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night. SW wind gusts 15-25 kt on Tuesday, strongest in the afternoon and evening.

Wednesday: Fog possible near the coast early, then VFR into the afternoon. MVFR or lower with showers likely late day into Wednesday night. Isolated thunderstorm possible, mainly NW of NYC metro terminals Wednesday evening.

Thursday: Chance of MVFR and showers.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Quiet, sub-SCA conditions expected tonight through the first half of today as SW flow increases into the afternoon. SCA conditions begin on at least the ocean late Sunday into Sunday night, likely lingering through at least the middle of the week, mainly due to rising wave heights where waves could reach 10-12 feet on the ocean waters by Tuesday night.

SCA potential expected much of the time on the ocean Tuesday through Friday. For non-ocean waters, SCA potential Tuesday through Wednesday and Thursday night through Friday. Also, some potential for gales Tuesday night through early Wednesday, mainly on the ocean.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.