textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant forecast changes.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Summer heat (low humidity) builds mid-to-late week.

2) Unsettled conditions likely late Saturday into Sunday, possibly lingering into early next week.

KEY MESSAGE 2

While there is good agreement in taking an upper low over west- central Canada east this week, gradually breaking down the ridge across the east at the end of the week, there is some uncertainty with its interaction with northern branch energy tracking across eastern Canada. There are solutions like the 12Z GFS, taking the trough across the area Sunday, then closing off an upper low over the Mid Atlantic early next week, versus more progressive solutions. What does seem more certain is a break in the heat as a frontal system works across the area next Sunday with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Showers could linger into early next week depending on if and where an upper low closes off.

NBM temperatures heading into early next week are forecast to be close to normal. However, there is quite bit of temperature spread between the 25th and 75th percentiles from next Sunday into Tuesday, especially Sunday with the timing of the cold front.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

Wednesday Night-Friday: VFR. Occasional S-SW winds gust 15-20 kt possible each late afternoon and evening.

Saturday: Mainly VFR. Chance of an late afternoon or evening shower/thunderstorm with MVFR. SW wind gusts 15-20 kt afternoon and early evening.

Sunday: MVFR or lower possible with showers likely. A slight chance of a thunderstorm. SE wind gusts 15-20 kt possible.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Conditions on the coastal waters are expected to largely remain below Small Craft Advisory criteria through at least Friday with a weak pressure gradient field in place.

Marginal SCA conditions are possible Sunday along and ahead of a frontal system.

CLIMATE

Daily Record High Maximum Temperatures:

Friday, June 5

KEWR: 95 (2021) KBDR: 87 (2025) KNYC: 99 (1925) KLGA: 94 (2010) KJFK: 90 (2010) KISP: 88 (2010)

Saturday, June 6

KEWR: 97 (2021) KBDR: 93 (2021) KNYC: 98 (1925) KLGA: 95 (2021) KJFK: 90 (1968) KISP: 90 (2021)

Daily Record High Minimum Temperatures:

Saturday, June 6

KEWR: 71 (2021) KBDR: 67 (2025) KNYC: 77 (1925) KLGA: 76 (2021) KJFK: 69 (2024) KISP: 68 (2024)

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.