textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Forecast snow totals have increased slightly mainly across the Lower Hudson Valley into western CT for the light snow event tonight into Saturday. Forecast totals in these areas are now widespread 1 to 2 inches.

KEY MESSAGES

1.) Light snow accumulation expected late tonight into Saturday. 1 to 2 inches for the Lower Hudson Valley and western CT with less than 1 inch expected elsewhere. Rain starts to mix in along the coast Saturday morning. A slight snow forecast increase to Advisory levels (3 inches or higher) can not be completely ruled out.

2.) The chance for snow remains early Sunday morning through Sunday evening. The highest chances are across eastern CT and eastern Long Island.

3.) Cold early next week. High temperatures Monday through Wednesday may not get above freezing for many. Lows Monday night and Tuesday night will likely be in the single digits and teens.

KEY MESSAGE 3

The modeling has been consistently cold for next week - not record breaking - but cold nonetheless. No changes to the NBM, although it is noteworthy that lows Tue ngt and Wed ngt are actually colder in the NBM than the MEX, which is unusual. The MEX might be keying in on the winds as a limiting factor. If there is snow on the ground, would expect the lower NBM numbers to be verify.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

tonight: VFR early. MVFR or lower at times with light snow possible, especially later at night.

Saturday: Mainly VFR. Chance MVFR or lower at times with rain and/or snow.

Sunday: Chance of MVFR or lower in snow, mainly afternoon into night.

Monday: VFR. W wind gusts 20-25 kt.

Tuesday: VFR. W wind gusts 20-25 kt.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Winds peak early this morning out of the west. Marginal gale force expected on the ocean waters with Small Craft Advisories on all other waters. Winds start to lower by mid morning and headlines gradually step down. A Small Craft Advisory will be needed on the ocean waters once the Gale Warning comes down due to lingering elevated seas. While wind gusts will remain below SCA criteria, elevated seas may actually linger through the weekend.

Winds pick up again on Monday gales possible by Monday afternoon and night. Continued windy conditions on Tuesday with SCA conditions possible all waters.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ331- 332-340-345. Small Craft Advisory until noon EST today for ANZ335-338. Gale Warning until noon EST today for ANZ350-353-355.