textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
No significant changes have been made with this update.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Impacts are not anticipated through at least Saturday. Conditions potentially meeting advisory or warning criteria are not expected.
2) There is a chance for light rain and/or snow Sunday night through Monday, however, uncertainty remains high.
KEY MESSAGE 2
A lot of uncertainty remains among the global models with a deepening low pressure system that is expected to move off the east coast Sunday night and pass to the south then northeast Monday into Monday night. With this uncertainty the NBM was followed for the probabilities and weather. However, precipitation type and amounts are highly dependent on the track that the storm eventually takes.
OUTLOOK FOR 12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY
Thursday: VFR. NW winds G20-25kt.
Friday: VFR.
Saturday: VFR. WNW winds G15-20kt.
Sunday: Mainly VFR. Chance of snow inland and either snow/rain at the NYC metros/coast at night.
Monday: VFR.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
SCA conditions on all waters continue through Thursday. An occasional gust to gale force is possible for the ocean waters this afternoon/evening. For the non-ocean waters, the advisory may be able to be shortened to exclude most of Thursday afternoon, and for the ocean waters, the SCA conditions could last into Thursday evening due to gusts. In both cases, not enough confidence to change the advisory, which currently ends Thursday afternoon on all waters. Sub-advisory conditions otherwise follow through Friday afternoon before marginal gusts return on the ocean Friday night.
Winds and seas are expected to be below advisory levels Saturday through Sunday night. There is uncertainty with the track, and strength, of low pressure passing to the south Sunday night, and to the northeast Monday. Currently there is a chance of borderline SCA conditions on the ocean waters, gusts and seas, Monday into Monday night.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST Thursday for ANZ331-332- 335-338-340-345-350-353-355.
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