textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Highlighted potential for strong winds for portions of the region in the Hazardous Weather Outlook for Monday night.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Steepening pressure gradient will bring a very gusty westerly flow today with gusts approaching near 40 mph.

2) Strong frontal system Monday into Monday night with periods of heavy rain, potentially strong winds and a chance of thunderstorms. There is also the possibility of coastal flooding near times of high tide.

3) A mainly dry and colder than normal airmass settles into the area behind the cold front heading into midweek.

KEY MESSAGE 3

Precipitation tapers off late Monday night into early Tuesday morning, potentially changing to or mixing with snow before all precipitation ends. Winds will be gaining a more westerly component, helping to advect in colder air.

Thereafter, a mainly dry and colder than normal airmass settles into the area behind the cold front heading into midweek. Upper level trough of colder air continues to approach Tuesday and then shifts more north of the area Wednesday. High pressure from the south and west approaches Tuesday and settles overhead on Wednesday. Forecast high temperatures mainly in the lower 40s Tuesday and upper 30s to near 40 on Wednesday. The forecast high temperatures are several degrees below normal for mid March. Breezy conditions on Tuesday will make for wind chills that will only rise to the lower 30s for most locations.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

Sunday: VFR. SE wind gusts 15-20 kt.

Sunday night: MVFR early, becoming IFR with rain by late at night. SE wind gusts near 20 kt, increasing to near 30 kt by daybreak Monday.

Monday: IFR, possibly LIFR, with rain, heavy at times in the afternoon. A chance of thunderstorms. Winds become southerly early, with gusts 30-40 kt, highest at the coast. Potential peak gusts a the coast late day into the evening 45-48 kt. Winds decrease slightly and become more westerly late Monday night, gusts 25-35 kt. Rain tapers off, possible mix with snow toward morning.

Tuesday: Rain/snow ends early in the morning. MVFR or lower possible early, otherwise improving conditions to VFR by afternoon. WSW gusts 25- 30 kt.

Wednesday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Expecting W winds to increase the rest of the morning into the afternoon with gale gusts likely into the afternoon. Wind gusts on all waters are expected to get back into SCA range this morning and then gales in the latter half of this morning into the afternoon. For tonight, the winds trend down to SCA range for this evening and then overnight are forecast to fall below SCA thresholds. Ocean seas stay in SCA range this evening and then eventually fall below SCA levels overnight.

After a brief lull in conditions Sunday with widespread below SCA conditions, conditions ramp up Sunday night and further more on Monday into Monday night. Expecting widespread SCA level wind gusts to develop Sunday night followed by potential for gale to storm force winds Monday into Monday night. Ocean seas likely remain at SCA levels through midweek while winds do trend downward going into midweek. SCA potential winds for Tuesday and eventually below SCA levels for Wednesday.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Gale Warning until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ331-332-335- 338-340-345-350-353-355.