textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes made to the forecast.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Gusty winds and chance to slight chance of showers into the morning.

2) Dry and pleasant Friday into the start of the weekend.

3) Wet weather increasingly likely Saturday night into a portion of Sunday. Impacts appear unlikely at this time.

4) High rip current risk with 4 to 6 ft surf expected today at ocean beaches. Minor beach flooding possible during the times of high tide this morning.

KEY MESSAGE 4

Although winds will take on an increasing westerly component today, a residual S/SW wind swell of 5 to 7 ft will produce 4 to 6 ft breakers in the surf zone, highest for eastern LI beaches. The elevated surf, combined with high astronomical tides from today's new moon may result in minor ocean beach flooding during the times of high tide this AM, and perhaps this evening with higher tide but lower waves.

Moderate rip current risk likely on Friday with residual 3 ft southerly wind swells, and 1 ft se swell.

Along the mainland, water levels will approach but expected to fall short of minor flood thresholds during the times of high tide thru Friday evening with offshore flow. Better chance for some localized minor flooding along vulnerable southern bays, NY/NJ harbor, and W LIS shorelines with the Sat/Sun Am high tides in response to onshore flow ahead of an approaching frontal system.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY

Late Tonight through Friday night: VFR. NW winds.

Saturday and Saturday evening: VFR. SW winds G15-20kt at the NYC metros.

Saturday night and Sunday: MVFR or lower possible with showers and thunderstorms.

Sunday night and Monday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Small craft conditions prevail on all waters early this morning. Small craft conditions will end on the non-ocean waters by 8am this morning, and gradually subside from west to east on the ocean. The eastern ocean waters may see 5 ft seas linger into a portion of this evening. Ocean seas return to either side of 3 ft on Friday with sub advisory conditions prevailing and continuing through the weekend. Ocean seas will average closer to 2 ft with tranquil conditions Saturday. A southerly flow increases Sunday morning with seas getting closer to 3 and 4 ft on the ocean late in the weekend.

Rip Currents:

See Key Message 4.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...High Risk for Rip Currents through this evening for NYZ075-080-081- 178-179. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for ANZ331- 332-335-338-340-345. Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for ANZ350. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ353. Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ355.