textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No notable changes to the forecast have been made.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Not as cold for the rest of this week, but temperatures still below normal. Advisories not anticipated.

2) Minor tidal flooding early today, and possibly for Monday morning's high tide cycle as well.

KEY MESSAGE 2

A full moon this afternoon and surge from offshore low pressure will make for minor coastal flooding along parts of the shoreline for high tides into early this afternoon. Around 1.5 to 2 ft of surge needed for minor coastal flooding. Coastal flood advisories and statements remain in effect for portions of the shoreline. The high tide has passed for lower NY Harbor and the South Shore Bays so advisories and statements have been discontinued for those locations.

Minor coastal impacts are expected. and with primary wave direction offshore, and viewing total water level and coastal change forecast viewer from USGS, only localized dune erosion is expected Sunday. Also, ice is complicating factors and may result in water inundation freezing on roadways in some coastal locations where an advisory is in effect.

The flow becomes less conducive for surge Monday morning as winds become more NW. However, key will be how much these NW winds diminish as astronomical tides will still be high and there will still be some residual surge. Minor coastal flooding will still be possible for high tides during this period.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

Monday: VFR. NW wind gusts 15-20 kt during the day.

Tuesday: VFR.

Wednesday: VFR, low chance of MVFR along the coast.

Thursday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Northerly winds through the day today, slowly diminishing tonight. Freezing spray advisories remain in effect for the ocean waters and LI Sound through early afternoon. A Gale Warning is otherwise in effect for all waters today, and for the ocean, this includes the first half of tonight. SCA will be needed for the non-ocean waters tonight, and possibly into a part of Monday morning. Advisory conditions remain on the ocean late tonight through at least some of Monday night. A weak pressure gradient then sustains sub-advisory conditions Tuesday and Wednesday.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 PM EST this afternoon for CTZ009. NY...Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 PM EST this afternoon for NYZ071. Coastal Flood Advisory until noon EST today for NYZ080-081. NJ...None. MARINE...Gale Warning until 6 PM EST this evening for ANZ331-332-335- 338-340-345. Freezing Spray Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ331-332-335-350-353-355. Gale Warning until 1 AM EST Monday for ANZ350-353-355.