textproduct: New York

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Higher chances for rain tonight into the weekend.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Multiple lows traverse the local region over the next few days, bringing periodic rain.

2) High pressure builds to close out the weekend and moves offshore into early next week, setting up a drying and warming trend.

3) Rain chances increase mid to late week, possible thunderstorms also with a frontal system moving in with potential multiple waves of low pressure.

KEY MESSAGE 3

Another large upper level trough approaches the region for mid to late next week. At the surface, a complex frontal system approaches with potential for multiple waves of low pressure.

The weather pattern shifts to more rain with decreasing average temperatures. In addition, there is the possibility of some thunderstorms as well. Chances of rain increase Tuesday through midweek. Showers become likely Wednesday and Thursday.

Winds become quite gusty as well with tightening pressure gradient between high pressure offshore and approaching frontal system Tuesday into Wednesday. However, there will likely be some limitations with the low level warm air advection and less favorable mixing environment.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

Saturday: Chance of MVFR with -SHRA possible at times. Light flow.

Sunday: VFR with NW flow 10-15 kt, G20-25 kt.

Monday: VFR with SW flow 10-15 kt, G20-25 kt.

Tuesday: VFR with S flow 10 to around 15 kt, G20 to around 25 kt. MVFR or lower possible after 00Z.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Sub-SCA conditions expected through the first half of this weekend. Some possible SCA level wind gusts Sunday with otherwise sub-SCA conditions continuing through the rest of the weekend.

Early next week, higher chances for SCA with southerly fetch and gusty winds. Some possibility for gales at times as well for parts of the waters towards middle of next week.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.


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