textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Potential for 1 to 2 inches of rainfall for the holiday weekend. This will be a prolonged period of stratiform rain. Any flooding will be of the minor nuisance variety.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Cool and wet for the Memorial Day weekend.

2) Warmer and drier conditions are forecast for the middle of next week. There is more uncertainty now.

KEY MESSAGE 2

A large mid to upper level ridge may begin to build towards the northeast midweek. This will help bring a return to dry conditions. Temperatures may reach the upper 70s and lower/mid 80s for highs by next Wednesday. However, 12Z globals are pointing toward an upper trough closing off over the Northeast into eastern Canada Wed into Thu. Should this scenario become the solution in subsequent model runs of the guidance, much cooler conditions will be on tap. This is not reflected in the latest forecast.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

Friday Night: VFR.

Saturday: Becoming MVFR or lower with showers. E-NE wind gusts 15-20 kt.

Sunday: MVFR or lower with showers. E-NE wind gusts 20-25 kt during the day, 20-30 kt overnight, mainly for metro and coastal terminals.

Monday: Chance of MVFR or lower with showers.

Tuesday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Winds and waves will remain below SCA levels through Saturday morning. Conditions will return to SCA levels on all waters with increasing E flow bringing wind gusts to 25-30 kt Saturday afternoon into Sunday. A few gale force gusts late Saturday night into Sunday will be possible. Seas on the ocean will build to to will also build to 7-10 ft. Winds will gradually subside below SCA levels late Sunday and Sunday night, but ocean seas will likely remain elevated through Monday.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.