textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
No significant changes at this time.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Strong to severe thunderstorms remain possible late this afternoon into tonight.
2) High rip current risk for ocean beaches.
3) Minor coastal flooding for portions of the coast during time of the high tide this evening/night.
4) A robust low pressure system may impact the area later this week.
KEY MESSAGE 4
A strong low pressure system may develop over the center of the country and approach from the west later in the week, possibly impacting the area around Thursday. SPC has portions of the area in a Day 5 15 % chance of severe weather. Details regarding this possible system will come into focus in the coming days.
OUTLOOK FOR 12Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
Monday and Tuesday: VFR.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with a chance of sub VFR conditions in afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
Thursday: Mainly VFR, with a chance of sub VFR conditions in afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Small craft advisory conditions develop by midday on most of the waters and should continue through about midnight as a southerly wind increases. Conditions should then subside from west to east with all zones likely returning to sub advisory conditions by 6 am Monday.
Sub advisory conditions will continue Monday through Wednesday. During the late afternoon hours for both Tuesday and Wednesday a few gusts may approach 20 kt, more so for the western ocean so a few brief periods of marginal small craft gusts cannot be ruled out, however mainly sub advisory conditions are expected to prevail. A low pressure system approaching Thursday may result in an increase in winds and waves.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Coastal Flood Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 1 AM EDT Monday for CTZ009. NY...Coastal Flood Advisory from 6 PM to 10 PM EDT this evening for NYZ074-179. High Risk for Rip Currents through this evening for NYZ075-080-081- 178-179. NJ...Coastal Flood Advisory from 6 PM to 10 PM EDT this evening for NJZ006-106-108. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 3 AM EDT Monday for ANZ331-332-340-345. Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to midnight EDT tonight for ANZ335-338. Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 6 AM EDT Monday for ANZ350-353. Small Craft Advisory from noon today to midnight EDT tonight for ANZ355.
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