textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
Small craft conditions persist on the ocean tonight into Sunday morning. Otherwise, no significant changes.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Diminishing winds tonight with chilly temperatures expected.
2) More seasonable temperatures through much of the week with the potential for well above normal temperatures towards the end of the week.
3) A moderate rip current risk continues at the ocean beaches through Monday.
KEY MESSAGE 3
For Sunday, the combination of an increasing SW wind and an easterly swell of 3-4 feet at 10s from departing low pressure will result in a moderate risk for all areas. The moderate risk continues on Monday with an easterly flow picking up to 10 kts combined with a southerly swell of 2-3 ft at 5s.
Water levels will be on the rise with the arrival of a full moon later this weekend, and some tidal piling also possible from offshore low pressure despite offshore flow. A few pockets of minor coastal flooding are possible along the tidal waterways of NE NJ and along the south shore back bays of Nassau with the evening high tides Saturday through Sunday per bias- corrected blend of ETSS/STOFS/NYHOPS forecasts. However trends have been inching down, thus holding off on any coastal products / headlines at this time with mainly ETSS only guidance suggesting a few minor benchmarks being met.
OUTLOOK FOR 06Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
Sunday Night: VFR. Brief MVFR possible for KGON with chance showers.
Monday Night: VFR. MVFR is possible with chance showers for points north and east of the city terminals.
Tuesday: Mainly VFR. Chance of showers, brief MVFR possible mainly north of the city terminals.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR. Slight chance of showers, brief MVFR possible.
Thursday: VFR.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Winds have decreased with gusts diminishing and therefore sub- SCA conditions are present on non-ocean waters. Ocean seas have an easterly swell, keeping their seas elevated above SCA thresholds tonight into Sunday morning.
SCA conditions linger on the ocean seas from residual wave heights tonight into early Sunday but should diminish below 5 feet by early afternoon Sunday.
Sub advisory conditions are then expected to follow through Tuesday night. Small craft conditions may return for the end of the week.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until noon EDT today for ANZ350-353-355.
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