textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Updated near term along with aviation.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Narrow broken bands of shower and embedded thunderstorm activity along pre-frontal trough and subsequent cold front, west of the Hudson River, expected to move east through late afternoon. Overall this is presenting more of an isolated flash flood and severe threat thru this afternoon. A Flood Watch is in effect for northern New Jersey and NYC through early this evening.

2) High surf and high rip current risk expected for the ocean beaches through this evening.

3) Unsettled weather at times once again Wednesday and Thursday this week.

KEY MESSAGE 3

Scattered showers and thunderstorms return Wednesday through Thursday as the western Atlantic ridge retrogrades, sending the dissipating frontal boundary into the area. PW values will close in on 2 inches. Localized heavy rainfall will be possible.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday night: VFR.

Wednesday through Saturday: MVFR or lower flight cat at times in showers/tstms, highest chance for western terminals. Winds mainly S-SW.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Small craft conditions are forecast for the ocean and some eastern non-ocean zones through this afternoon with south winds of 15 to 25 kt and gusts up to 30 kt. Highest winds will be across the eastern ocean waters.

Winds subside below late afternoon into evening in wake of cold front, but SCA for seas will continue for the western ocean waters thu daybreak and through the morning for eastern ocean waters.

Sub advisory conditions likely Tue afternoon through midweek under weak pressure regime.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for NYZ072>075-176-178. High Risk for Rip Currents until 9 PM EDT this evening for NYZ075- 080-081-178-179. High Surf Advisory until 9 PM EDT this evening for NYZ075-080- 081-178-179. NJ...Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for NJZ002-004-006- 103>108. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for ANZ331- 332-340-345. Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Tuesday for ANZ350-353. Small Craft Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for ANZ355.