textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
No significant changes at this time.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Dry and seasonable through Tuesday.
2) Water levels will be close to minor coastal flood benchmarks through Wednesday for the nighttime high tide cycles.
3) A robust low pressure system may impact the area later this week with another chance for severe thunderstorms.
KEY MESSAGE 3
Warm advection showers, possibly a thunderstorm, will be on tap for Wednesday. Best chance will be from NYC and points north and west. Temperatures remain seasonable, but humidity will be on the increase in a southerly flow.
A strong low pressure system may develop over the center of the country and approach from the west later Wednesday night into Thursday. SPC has portions of the area on Thursday (Day 5) with a 15% chance of severe weather. Details regarding this possible system will come into focus in the coming days.
OUTLOOK FOR 12Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
Tuesday: VFR. NW flow backing to the W then SW thru the day.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with a chance of sub VFR conditions in afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
Thursday: Mainly VFR, with a chances of sub VFR conditions increasing towards afternoon and evening with showers and thunderstorms.
Friday: Sub VFR possible early, otherwise VFR with W winds.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Occasional SCA level wind gusts are forecast for portions of the waters through the early afternoon but on average most conditions are forecast to remain below SCA thresholds. Sub- advisory conditions are forecast from the latter half of this afternoon through Wednesday. During the late afternoon hours for both Tuesday and Wednesday a few southerly gusts may approach 20 kt, more so for the western ocean waters. A low pressure system approaching Thursday is forecast to bring SCA conditions to the waters with increasing southerly winds and building seas.
Rip currents: A moderate risk of rip current development is expected today and Tuesday with a lingering 2 to 3 ft light southerly swell.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.
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