textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Slight Risk (2/5) for severe weather today expanded to include most of the local forecast area.

KEY MESSAGES

1) One last day of dangerous heat and humidity expected today.

2) Slight risk of severe thunderstorms late this afternoon and early this evening.

3) Slight risk of flash flooding for NE NJ and Orange/Rockland counties in NY from late day Sunday into Sunday night, also for the rest of the lower Hudson Valley into NYC and SW CT on Monday.

KEY MESSAGE 3

Additional chances for showers and tstms expected for early next week. The 00Z HREF signals a 30-50% chance of for 1 inch of rain and 20-30% chance of 2 inches in less than 3 hours west of the Hudson for late day Sunday with an initial weak wave of low pressure, then there is potential for an additional 1-2 inches of rain Mon into Mon night with a stronger wave of low pressure. Storm total QPF from 12Z Sunday through 12Z Tue ranges from 1-5-2.5 inches, with locally higher amts possible especially NW of NYC.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

Sunday: Mainly VFR. Showers and thunderstorms possible late in the afternoon and overnight.

Monday and Tuesday: MVFR or lower with periods of showers and possible thunderstorms. SE flow Monday becoming NW on Tuesday.

Wednesday: VFR with S flow.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Wind gusts in persistent E flow Mon-Tue should reach 20 kt and may occasionally 25 kt on the Sound Mon afternoon, and on the ocean Tue afternoon. Ocean seas should also reach 4 ft from Mon Afternoon and continue into Tue night or Wed. No marine hazards issued attm.

Rip Currents...

For area beaches today, the risk of rip currents starts off low, before becoming moderate this afternoon as winds increase a bit, along with some long period swells.

The risk drops to low on Sunday.

CLIMATE

Record High Temperatures:

July 4: KNYC: 102/1949 KEWR: 105/1949 KJFK: 101/2010 KBDR: 98/1949 KLGA:100/1949 KISP: 97/2010

Record High Minimum Temperatures:

July 4: KISP: 76/2002

Record Precipitation:

July 6: KEWR: 1.15/1958 KBDR: 0.75/2024 KJFK: 1.03/2005 KISP: 0.92/2006

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...Heat Advisory until 9 PM EDT this evening for CTZ005>008. Extreme Heat Warning until 9 PM EDT this evening for CTZ009>012. NY...Heat Advisory until 9 PM EDT this evening for NYZ067>070-081. Extreme Heat Warning until 9 PM EDT this evening for NYZ071>075-078>080-176>179. NJ...Extreme Heat Warning until 9 PM EDT this evening for NJZ002- 004-006-103>108. Air Quality Alert until 11 PM EDT Sunday for NJZ002-004-006- 103>108. MARINE...None.