textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Small Craft Advisories have been cancelled for the south shore bays.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Drier conditions today with near normal temperatures.

2) Persistent chances for rain with an unsettled, cool pattern in place through late this week.

KEY MESSAGE 2

Global ensemble guidance such as GEFS/EC-AIFS etc. continue to advertise anomalously low h5 heights with a mean trough over the east coast into next weekend. Best chance of rain is Wednesday into early Thursday as sfc low pressure passes to the south and offshore.

The mean trough may end up cutting off nearby into late week with strong blocking south of Greenland, keeping at least a chance for rain around along with cooler temperates.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

Monday afternoon - Tuesday. VFR.

Wednesday - Thursday: MVFR or lower with showers late day into Thursday, tapering off late Thursday. Slight chance of thunder. NW gusts 15-20kt Thursday.

Friday: Mainly VFR, MVFR possible with a slight chance of showers. NW gusts 20-25kt.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

With high pressure building in, winds are expected to diminish today. 25 kt gusts are no longer expected for the south shore bays, and the SCA has been cancelled here.

While occasional gusts to 25 kt are expected for the ocean waters, wave heights are still around 5 ft at times, and SCAs will continue for these waters through early Monday.

Then seas will remain elevated on the ocean waters into Tuesday with a persistent NE flow. Seas on the ocean may linger aoa 5 ft through at least Wednesday.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Monday for ANZ350-353-355.