textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Coastal flood statements are now in effect for a few locations tonight.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Water levels will be close to minor coastal flood benchmarks tonight for the nighttime high tide cycles.

2) Showers are possible mainly west of the Hudson River on Wednesday with a chance of a thunderstorm. Impacts look limited.

3) A storm system brings a threat of severe weather during Thursday into Thursday evening - low confidence. Heat and flooding impacts not anticipated.

4) There is a high risk of rip currents on Thursday.

KEY MESSAGE 4

A high rip current risk appears likely for Thursday for all beaches with strong onshore flow and building seas expected, and this could linger into Fri.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

Wednesday: Chance of MVFR or lower with showers in the afternoon. Low probability of thunderstorms. SE wind gusts 15-20 kt afternoon into early evening.

Thursday: Chances of MVFR/IFR conditions increasing toward afternoon and evening with showers/tstms. SW wind gusts near 25-30kt day into early eve, then gusts near 20kt. Possible LLWS.

Friday: Mainly VFR. W wind gusts near 20kt afternoon into eve.

Saturday: VFR. NW wind gusts near 20-25kt day into eve.

Sunday: VFR. W-NW wind gusts near 20kt day into eve.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Below SCA level conditions are expected through Wednesday night with high pressure influence. SCA level conditions become likely on all waters Thursday into Thursday night with the next storm system approaching and passing through. Maybe even some possible low-end gale force wind gusts, but a low level inversion may prevent widespread gales. Will at least include a mention of the threat over all waters in the HWO for the time being. Not enough confidence for a Gale Watch at this time. SCA conditions otherwise should last into Thu night. SCA conditions are then possible once again on Saturday with a gusty WNW flow.

Rip currents: there remains a moderate risk of rip currents through this evening with a lingering 2-3 ft S swell. As S winds increase the risk could become high late in the afternoon for the NYC and Nassau beaches. There is moderate risk of rip currents for Wednesday (though some beaches may see low risk for part of the day such as at Jones Beach, Ocean Beach, and perhaps East Hampton),

See key message 4 for the high risk of rip currents for Thursday.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.