textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
A coastal flood statement has been issued for Wednesday evening for southern Nassau County.
KEY MESSAGES
1) A coastal storm could impact the area from Friday into Sunday.
2) Coastal flooding, high surf and beach erosion could become a concern this week, especially with the approach of the storm Friday into Sunday.
3) A high rip current risk will persist into the weekend.
KEY MESSAGE 3
There is a high risk of rip currents along all local ocean beaches through Wednesday. Increasing E swells 8-10 ft at a 9 sec period, and strengthening NE flow above 20 kt drive this risk.
The high risk persists through late this week with further building ocean swells and winds as low pressure passes nearby. Surf heights along the coastline increase through mid week as well, potentially topping 6 ft by Thursday.
OUTLOOK FOR 00Z THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
Wednesday night and Thursday: VFR. NE winds G25-30kt, highest at the coastal terminals.
Friday and Saturday: MVFR or lower cond in showers as a coastal storm nears the area. N-NE winds 15-20 kt with gusts 25-35 kt, highest east of NYC metros and along the coast. Winds/gusts may be up to 10 kt higher than fcst if the storm is closer to the area.
Sunday: MVFR or lower in showers. N-NE winds 20-25G30kt.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
No changes to the headlines, however thinking is that some of the non-ocean waters could fall short of gale force gusts during the currently warned period of Wednesday. Not enough confidence to downgrade to an advisory however. SCA conds otherwise for the non- ocean waters through Wednesday night, and probably continuing into Thursday. Gales expected on all ocean waters tonight through Thursday and probably continue for a few periods thereafter. Have not extended any headlines in time yet - in line with surrounding offices.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None. NY...High Risk for Rip Currents through Wednesday evening for NYZ075-080- 081-178-179. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Wednesday for ANZ331-332- 340-345. Gale Warning from 6 AM to 6 PM EDT Wednesday for ANZ331-332- 340-345. Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Thursday for ANZ335-338. Gale Warning until 6 PM EDT Thursday for ANZ350-353-355-380- 383-385.
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