textproduct: New York

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

WHAT HAS CHANGED

A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect for Orange, Putnam, and W Passaic counties. No changes were made to the snowfall forecast for this event.

No changes made to the snowfall forecast for the system on Sunday.

KEY MESSAGES

1.) Light snow accumulation expected late tonight into Saturday. 2 to 4 inches for the Lower Hudson Valley and western CT with less than 1 inch expected elsewhere. Rain starts to mix in along the coast Saturday morning.

2.) The chance for snow remains early Sunday morning through Sunday evening. The highest chances are across eastern CT and eastern Long Island.

3.) Cold weather is expected Monday through Friday with the coldest period Monday night through Tuesday night, with sub freezing highs Tuesday. No record cold expected through the period.

KEY MESSAGE 3

Cold weather will remain across the region next week, with, temperatures remaining below normal much of the time. The coldest period will be Monday night through Tuesday night as Canadian cold air moves into the region behind a cold frontal passage Monday night. Temperatures during this period will be as much as 10 to 20 degrees below normal. Despite the anomalously cold air no records are expected to be set. And with windy conditions Monday into Tuesday, wind chill values will remain higher than cold weather advisory criteria. For Wednesday through Friday temperatures will be near normal to near 5 degrees below normal. There will be minimal chances of light snow and/or light rain Wednesday night into Friday as weak low pressure systems pass near the region.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

Late tonight: VFR

Sunday: Chance of MVFR or lower in snow, mainly afternoon into evening with highest chance east of NYC metro terminals.

Monday: VFR. WSW wind gusts 20-25 kt.

Tuesday: VFR. W wind gusts 20-25 kt.

Wednesday: VFR. W to SW winds 15-20 kt.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

All non-ocean waters are now below SCA levels. Its possible ocean waters may hold onto 5 ft seas through the end of the weekend, so a Small Craft Advisory remains in place on ocean waters.

A strong and gusty west to southwest flow will be predominate on the forecast waters Monday through Wednesday night as a strong pressure gradient force remains across the area with high pressure remaining much of the time to the south and weak lows moving across to the north. Small craft advisory conditions are expected on the ocean waters from Monday through Wednesday night, with the possibility of gusts nearing gale force for a brief time Monday night, and mainly east of Fire Island Inlet.

For the non ocean waters with the strongest winds Monday through Tuesday SCA gusts are possible, with seas on Long Island Sound also at SCA levels, of 5 to 6 feet. Then Tuesday night through Wednesday night conditions will be sub SCA for the non ocean waters.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...Winter Weather Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for NYZ067-068. NJ...Winter Weather Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for NJZ002. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Sunday for ANZ350-353-355.


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