textproduct: New York

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Thunderstorm chances lower Wednesday. Main thunderstorm chances Tuesday and Thursday. Mostly marginal flood and severe risk.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Shower and thunderstorm forecast through Tuesday night. Marginal flood risk and marginal to slight severe weather risk.

2) Fog potential late tonight into early Tuesday.

3) After a lull in shower and thunderstorm activity Wednesday, more showers and thunderstorms forecast Wednesday night through Thursday night. Also, marginal severe and flood risk.

4) Drier conditions expected for the holiday weekend.

KEY MESSAGE 4

A drier pattern setting up Friday into the holiday weekend. High pressure begins to build in from the north. Mainly dry conditions are expected. Temperatures are not expected to deviate too much from normal. Less humid conditions are also forecast.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

Rest of Tuesday-Wednesday: MVFR or lower possible with periods of rain. A chance of thunderstorms.

Thursday: MVFR or lower at times with chances for showers and tstms.

Friday: Mainly VFR. A period of MVFR or lower possible in possible SHRA.

Saturday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

The pressure gradient across the waters this week is not expected to be that steep. Mainly below SCA conditions are forecast. Marginal SCA conditions for eastern parts of the ocean forecast late Tuesday night into Wednesday and late Thursday.

Rip Currents:

There is a low risk for rip current development on Tuesday with light winds and low swells under 2 ft. The risk increases to moderate on Wednesday with 3 to 4 ft E swells at a 7 sec period, and NE winds 10 to 15 kt developing by late afternoon.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.


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