textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Added key message for minor coastal flood potential from Thursday morning into Friday morning.

KEY MESSAGES

1. A thunderstorm possible through Wednesday as a stationary front to the north tonight moves south into the area daytime Wednesday. Impacts should be limited.

2. Somewhat unsettled weather pattern follows for Wednesday night into early next week, but not anticipating any potential significant impacts. Dry weather returns for Monday and Tuesday.

3. Some minor coastal flooding is possible with the high tides from Thursday morning into Friday morning, especially with the Thursday night high tide cycle.

KEY MESSAGE 3

Bias-corrected blend of ETSS, STOFS, and NYHOPS 50th percentile indicates departures of 1 to 1.5 ft generated by E flow Thu into Fri morning. This will combine with higher astronomical tides associated with Wednesday's full moon to lead to some minor coastal flooding with the high tide cycles from Thu AM into Fri AM. The bigger impacts should occur with the Thu night high tide cycle along the south shore bays of Nassau, along the tidal waters of NE NJ, and along the SW CT coastline.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

Rest of Wednesday: MVFR or lower with N/NE winds.

Thursday: MVFR or lower with NW flow.

Friday: Becoming VFR with SW flow.

Saturday: Mainly VFR. Chances for MVFR or lower Sat night.

Sunday: MVFR or lower possible.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

SCA's remain in effect for NY Harbor until 6 PM, and have been extended for the Long Island south shore bays into much of tonight, where gusts to 25 kt expected. SCA also remains in effect for all ocean waters through daytime Wed as SW flow 20-25 kt gusting up to 30 kt pushes seas up to 6-10 ft, highest late tonight into Wed morning.

Hazardous ocean seas should come down for a time Wed night W of Moriches Inlet. Then SCA cond likely to return to all ocean waters from daytime into early evening Thu in E flow after a back door cold frontal passage, with gusts up to 25 kt and seas 5-6 ft.

SCA conditions develop on the ocean waters Fri night, and linger into early Sat morning, with a strong S-SW flow. Conditions briefly fall below advisory levels later Sat as winds and gusts diminish. Then with the approach of a strong cold front, and deepening low pressure to the west, S winds increase once again Saturday night, with winds and seas reaching SCA levels, with 25 kt gusts also possible on the southern Long Island bays, and possibly into New York Harbor, the eastern Long Island bays, and far eastern Long Island Sound. Gusts on the ocean waters may be near gale force at times early Sunday as the cold front nears the forecast waters. Small craft condition likely continue into Sunday night.

CLIMATE

Record High Temperatures:

March 31: KEWR: 85/1998 KBDR: 74/1998 KNYC: 86/1998 KLGA: 82/1998 KJFK: 74/1986 KISP: 73/1999

April 1: KEWR: 82/1978 KBDR: 71/1955 KNYC: 83/1917 KLGA: 80/1978 KJFK: 75/1978 KISP: 67/1999

April 4: KEWR: 82/1950 KBDR: 71/2025 KNYC: 80/1892 KLGA: 76/2010 KJFK: 73/2010 KISP: 75/2010

Record High Minimum Temperatures:

March 31: KEWR: 63/1998 KBDR: 50/1998 KNYC: 66/1998 KLGA: 59/1998 KJFK: 51/1981 KISP: 52/1998

April 1: KEWR: 62/2016 KBDR: 53/2016 KNYC: 61/2016 KLGA: 56/2016 KJFK: 52/2016 KISP: 54/2016

April 4: KEWR: 61/1981 KBDR: 53/2025 KNYC: 62/1892 KLGA: 57/2025 KJFK: 57/2025 KISP: 54/2025

April 5: KEWR: 55/1981 KBDR: 49/1974 KNYC: 60/1892 KLGA: 53/2010 KJFK: 52/2010 KISP: 50/1981

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ338. Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Wednesday for ANZ345. Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Thursday for ANZ350. Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Thursday for ANZ353. Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Wednesday for ANZ355.