textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
No significant changes as no impactful weather is expected. Only added a low end shower chance for portions of the area for late tonight.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Briefly drying out for the most part late this week, before another round of mainly light rain moves through during the first half of the weekend.
2) A frontal wave passes nearby and just to the southeast Sunday night into Monday night bringing another round of rainfall.
KEY MESSAGE 2
Another frontal system approaches late in the weekend after a warmer day on Sunday. There are some timing difference with NWP and AI guidance. Going with a mainly dry day on Sunday with shower chances increasing very late Sunday afternoon further west, and then further east into the evening as the front draws closer. Widespread likely PoPs get introduced later Sunday night and carry into Monday morning before the front pushes offshore for late Monday. This looks like another non impactful, but beneficial rainfall for the region.
OUTLOOK FOR 06Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY
Thursday night: VFR.
Friday: Mainly VFR. SW to W wind gusts 15-20 kt. Gusts diminish at night.
Saturday: MVFR or lower with showers. Southerly wind gusts 15-20 kt. Gusts diminish at night.
Sunday: Chance of MVFR or lower with showers north and west of NYC terminals during the day, otherwise VFR. Chance of MVFR or lower at night for all terminals with showers likely. Southerly wind gusts 15- 20 kt. Gusts diminish at night.
Monday: Showers likely early, chance of showers afternoon into evening. MVFR or lower possible day into early eve. Mainly VFR thereafter at night. SW to NW wind gusts 15-20 kt.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
5 ft seas may linger briefly on the eastern most ocean waters until midday, otherwise sub advisory conditions should prevail for the late week period. An occasional gust of 20 to 25 kt cannot be ruled out during the day on Friday on a W wind for some of the nearshore zones. Relatively light winds can be expected Friday night, followed by an increasing S wind during Saturday. This will likely result in small craft conditions developing by Saturday afternoon on the ocean waters, along with the southern and eastern bays of LI and eastern portions of LI Sound. More marginal small craft gusts are likely elsewhere. Sub advisory conditions should then follow into Sunday for the majority of the waters, with perhaps the eastern ocean waters flirting with marginal small craft seas at times. Behind a cold front during the second half of Monday a period of small craft conditions are possible on a N to NW wind.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for ANZ350- 353.
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