textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
No significant changes were made with this update.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Potential of a brief period of snow showers on Sunday with colder conditions following through Monday. No advisories anticipated.
2) A series of waves of low pressure move nearby next week, bringing multiple chances for precipitation. Little to no impacts.
KEY MESSAGE 2
A series of waves of low pressure pass near the region Monday through Thursday with chances of precipitation.
The snow threat for Monday afternoon/evening continues to be minimal with a model consensus showing a weak wave of low pressure too far to our south for any snow. Left in NBM's slight chance PoPs for the period, but thinking is that NBM is lagging and will probably show a dry forecast within the next run or two.
The next wave passes near the region late Tuesday into Wednesday. Highest PoPs are during Tuesday night, but precip chances begin in the afternoon. S to SW winds could result in temperatures rising a little during Tuesday night. A rain/snow mix would be the most likely case inland with rain at the coast. A chance of rain then lingers across the entire area Wednesday morning. Little to no impacts.
Finally, another wave approaches to the west Wednesday night with a warm front moving north Thursday. Precip type with this system would be rain. Highest overall chances of precip are during Thursday night. Little to no impacts.
OUTLOOK FOR 06Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
Late Friday night: Mainly VFR, however some outlying and perhaps some eastern coastal terminals may have a period of MVFR vsbys in fog. Low confidence in fog occurrence.
Saturday: VFR.
Sunday: MVFR or lower possible with light snow. N/NW winds G15-20 kt.
Monday: MVFR or lower with a chance of snow.
Tuesday: MVFR or lower with a rain/snow mix late.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Sub-advisory conditions are expected across the forecast waters through Tuesday night with a weak pressure gradient over the region for most of the time. The only exception is the possibility of wind gusts up to around 25kt mainly on the ocean waters during Sunday night.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.
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