textproduct: New York

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Updated for 12Z Aviation.

KEY MESSAGES

1. Periods of fog and drizzle possible through late tonight, ending with a period of rain from a cold frontal passage on Sunday.

2. Cooler, quieter conditions settle in mid next week.

KEY MESSAGE 2

Weak front moves through Monday night into Tuesday, with conditions turning cooler and quieter behind it through mid next week. A few scattered showers, perhaps even mixing with wet snow across the interior, are possible with the fropa early Tue AM, but coverage appears spotty and QPF is light.

Surface high pressure then builds over the region in its wake with dry conditions expected. The high ushers in a cool Canadian air mass, with daytime temperatures likely in the 40s and 50s, or about 5 to 10 degrees below normal for early April. These cooler conditions become more seasonable by Thursday with perhaps a warming trend into next weekend.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

Sunday: IFR/LIFR cond with fog and low stratus in the morning, otherwise showers with MVFR cond. Improving to VFR by evening. SW winds G20kt daytime, becoming NW late in the day.

Monday: VFR. W-NW winds G15-20 kt.

Tuesday: Mainly VFR. MVFR or lower possible in any showers. W winds around 10 kt with G15-20 kt.

Wednesday: MVFR or lower possible in any showers. N winds becoming NE at 10 kt or less.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

A Small Craft Advisory on the ocean has been extended through tonight. While conditions may drop below SCA this morning, gusts will once again approach 25 kt this afternoon with seas right around 5 feet through tonight, even as gusts drop off.

An approaching frontal system will lead to climbing seas and stronger winds. Gusts of near 35 kt are possible on Sunday with a Gale Watch remaining in effect for portions of the ocean.

Decreasing winds and seas on Mon, then all waters blw SCA lvls through at least Wednesday.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Sunday for ANZ350-353-355. Gale Watch from Sunday morning through Sunday afternoon for ANZ350-353.


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