textproduct: New York

SYNOPSIS

The area remains behind a cold front tonight with low pressure remaining to the north bringing a long-lasting cold airmass. A cold front moves through Wednesday night. High pressure builds back in to end the week. Thereafter, another low pressure system may impact the area late in the weekend or early next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Key Messages:

* A Wind Advisory is now in effect for the entire CWA from 4PM through 6PM Tuesday for wind gusts up to 50 mph.

* Dry and cold air filters in overnight and remains in place.

A strong cold front pushes through into this evening. In its wake, a strong pressure gradient sets up over the area with the potential for gusts upwards of 50 mph through the night. As such, a wind advisory has been issued for the area through 6 PM Tuesday.

Any remaining rainfall pushes east tonight with drying conditions and clearing skies thereafter. Strong W/WNW flow behind the cold front will bring some strong cold air advection. Temperatures in the middle to upper 40s for much of the area earlier today will drop into the 20s tonight.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/

Key Messages:

* Wind Advisory in effect until 6PM Tuesday with wind gusts up to 50 mph.

* Cold and mostly dry conditions expected through Wednesday with a cold front bringing a chance of snow showers late Wednesday into Wednesday night.

Strong winds continue during the day on Tuesday with a Wind Advisory in effect until 6PM. The day is expected to be dry with a mix of sun and clouds, though it may be more cloudy than not with an upper trough and strong WNW flow allowing for deep mixing and development of fairly widespread cloud cover. A stray snow showers can't be entirely ruled out for the far NW portions of the area.

Aside from the wind, the most noticeable feature will be the significantly colder temperatures. Highs on Tuesday will struggle to rise above freezing for the coast with upper 20s expected for the interior. Wind chills will be in the teens and low 20s across the CWA during the day.

The winds slowly diminish to below advisory thresholds by Tuesday night but may remain gusty with gusts 20-30 mph possible. Cold temperatures persist with lows in the low to middle 20s.

Another shortwave rounds the base of the trough over the area on Wednesday which will force a cold front through area late in the day and into Wednesday night. Cold and breezy conditions are expected Wednesday and Wednesday night with highs in the low to middle 30s and lows at night in the teens for the interior and low 20s for the coast.

A chance of snow showers remains possible with the cold frontal passage late Wednesday and into Wednesday night. No significant impacts are anticipated with this chance of snow showers.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/

What's Changed: There have been no significant changes to the long term period, and the NBM was closely followed for this upcoming cold and dry period.

* A cold and dry airmass encompasses the local area for the period. Expect temperatures to be about 5-10 degrees below normal through the weekend, with some moderation early next week.

* There is a chance of precipitation late Sunday into the overnight with a fast moving clipper system. This looks to be an all snow event, with perhaps some rain mixing in at coastal locations.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

Tuesday: VFR. W winds G25-35kt, peaks to 40 kt. Winds decrease towards evening and at night.

Wednesday: VFR. W winds G20-25kt.

Thursday: MVFR or lower possible in -SN, mainly early. NW winds G15- 20kt.

Friday: VFR. W winds G15-20kt.

Saturday: Mainly VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

HYDROLOGY

No hydrologic concerns through next weekend.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...Wind Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 6 PM EST Tuesday for CTZ005>012. NY...Wind Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 6 PM EST Tuesday for NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179. NJ...Wind Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 6 PM EST Tuesday for NJZ002-004-006-103>108. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for ANZ331- 332-335-338-340-345. Gale Warning from 6 PM this evening to 6 PM EST Tuesday for ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345. Gale Warning until 1 AM EST Wednesday for ANZ350-353-355.