textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
No significant changes with this update.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Unseasonably mild and humid today through Friday.
2) Wet weather makes a return, with a period of steadier rain, possibly heavy at times across eastern sections on Friday.
3) Drier and cooler air returns during the weekend into early next week, but temperatures will remain slightly above average for early November.
KEY MESSAGE 3
Less humid air and cooler conditions works in from the west behind a cold front towards early Saturday morning as the winds become more NW and W. Despite temperatures being cooler, overall temperatures should still remain somewhat above normal for early November to begin the weekend. A series or weak cold fronts / sfc troughs pivot through for late in the weekend into early Monday morning. This should get temperatures a touch cooler into Sunday and Monday, but overall temperatures are likely to remain slightly above average for early November with daytime highs around 60, and night time minimums on either side of 40.
OUTLOOK FOR 18Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
Friday Afternoon-Night: IFR-MVFR with rain continuing, especially east of the NYC terminals. Rain should taper off for KGON late. Becoming VFR NYC terminals on NW.
Saturday: Showers possible with MVFR, mainly in the afternoon and first half of Saturday night. WNW-NW wind gusts 20-25 kt Saturday night.
Sunday-Monday: VFR. W-NW wind gusts 20-25 kt.
Tuesday: VFR. W wind gusts 15-20 kt.
MARINE
An increasing long S-SW fetch ahead of an approaching cold front develops today and will remain in place through tonight. This will lead to small craft conditions with seas of mainly 4-5 ft, and gusts to 25 kt on the ocean waters this afternoon and through at least this evening. Small craft, or at least marginal small craft conditions are expected to linger for much of tonight and may linger into a good portion of Friday on the eastern ocean waters. Conditions should then relax some with sub advisory conditions return for a short while to begin the weekend Friday night into Saturday.
Seas begin to climb late Saturday, with small craft conditions return with 5 to 7 ft seas on the ocean by early Sunday morning. Marginal small craft conditions develop for the non-ocean waters late Saturday night into Sunday. 5 ft seas are likely to linger on the ocean waters into early next week with small craft gusts likely on most of the non-ocean waters.
CLIMATE
Record High Temperatures:
November 5: KEWR: 79/2022 KBDR: 73/2022 KNYC: 78/1961 KLGA: 75/2022 KJFK: 75/1975 KISP: 74/2022
Record High Minimum Temperatures:
November 5: KEWR: 61/2022 KBDR: 59/1961 KNYC: 64/2022 KLGA: 63/2022 KJFK: 60/2022 KISP: 62/2022
November 6: KEWR: 66/2022 KBDR: 62/2024 KNYC: 66/2022 KLGA: 65/2024 KJFK: 64/2022 KISP: 65/2022
Record Precipitation:
November 6: KEWR: 2.12/1911 KBDR: 0.54/2018 KNYC: 1.47/1911 KLGA: 0.96/1963 KJFK: 1.42/1963 KISP: 0.71/1963
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM EST Friday for ANZ350. Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM EST Friday for ANZ353-355.
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