textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Flood Watch expired for NYC, NE NJ, and the Lower Hudson Valley.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Flooding remains possible this morning as a band of heavy showers and thunderstorms pivots through the area. Chances for additional showers and thunderstorms linger through Thursday.

2) There is a high risk of rip currents at all local ocean beaches today. (See Marine section)

3) Potential for minor coastal flooding during this evening's high tide cycle.

KEY MESSAGE 3

Tides are astronomically elevated from this morning's full moon. Winds shift offshore today as low pressure passes east, which should help to mitigate tidal piling, but can't entirely rule out the more vulnerable locations along the back bays of the south shore of Long Island and coastal Queens and Nassau from touching or briefly exceeding minor flood thresholds during this evening's high tide cycle. Confidence remains too low to warrant a statement issuance at this time.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

Thursday: MVFR or lower possible. Showers possible and a slight chance of a thunderstorm. N-NW wind G15-20kt.

Friday: Mainly VFR, chance of an afternoon shower or tstm.

Saturday: Mainly VFR.

Sunday: Mainly VFR, chance of an afternoon shower or tstm.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

S/SE winds gusts 25 to 30 kt continue early today, subsiding as low pressure passes east through the waters this morning and winds turn W/NW. Ocean seas 5 to 6 feet then gradually lower through the afternoon.

Thereafter, sub SCA conditions expected on all waters through the weekend.

Rip Currents...

There is a high risk of rip currents today at all local ocean beaches. Onshore flow 10 to 20 kt to start the day along with 4 to 5 ft swells at 6 sec periods drive this threat.

The risk lowers to moderate for all beaches on Thursday as swells begin to lower and winds turn offshore.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...Flood Watch until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for CTZ005>012. NY...Flood Watch until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for NYZ078>081-177- 179. High Risk for Rip Currents through this evening for NYZ075-080-081- 178-179. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ331- 332-340-353. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ350.