textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Coastal flood advisories added for rest of coastline not in the coastal flood watch for Friday night into early Saturday. Coastal flood statements added for parts of the coastline for early Friday. Otherwise, no other changes from previous forecast.

KEY MESSAGES

1) An early season nor'easter will bring a prolonged period of gusty winds and rainfall. A Wind Advisory has been issued.

2) Coastal flooding impacts expected through early weekend. Greatest impacts expected Friday night through Saturday.

3) High surf and rip current risk through at least Saturday.

KEY MESSAGE 3

High risk of rip currents and high surf through Saturday along ocean shorelines. While ocean swells in outer ocean reach near 13 to 16 ft, surf height of near 7 to 11 ft expected closer to shore. There will be some variation due to swell orientation, with occasionally more ENE vs more ESE swell direction. The lack of orthogonal component to shoreline really limits the surf heights closer to the shore.

However, with current buoy observations running higher than Wavewatch by a few feet, felt wave heights are already within advisory range within the surf zone. Beach flooding and erosion can be expected Friday into Saturday.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

Friday PM through Saturday night: Lowering to MVFR in the evening then MVFR/IFR conds Sat/Sat night in rain as a coastal storm nears the area. N/NE gusts 30 to 40 kt Friday night into Saturday. Winds/gusts may be up to 5-10 kt higher than fcst if the storm is closer to the area. LLWS possible starting Friday evening and lasting through Saturday.

Sunday: MVFR/IFR in rain. N winds 15-20kt, G25-30kt.

Monday: MVFR, possibly IFR early with a chance of showers, improving to VFR in the afternoon. N gusts around 20kt in the morning.

Tuesday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

A nor'easter will impact waters through Monday before high pressure moves back into the area thereafter.

Gale Warnings are currently hoisted or will soon be, on all waters. Ocean and non-ocean. These will run through early Sunday except on outer ocean waters and the inner eastern ocean zone. Here, the Gale Warning will be upgraded to a Storm Warning Friday morning through Sunday morning. Gale Warning areas will see winds up to 35-45 kt and Storm Warning areas will see wind gusts 48-55 kt. Waves on ocean waters during this period will peak 15-22 ft on outer ocean waters and 7-15 ft on inn er ocean waters. LI sound will see waves over 5 ft. SCA conditions should continue on all waters into Sunday then on ocean waters into Sunday night. By Monday, all waters should drop below SCA criteria.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...Wind Advisory from 2 PM Friday to 6 AM EDT Sunday for CTZ007>012. Coastal Flood Advisory from 7 PM Friday to 3 PM EDT Saturday for CTZ009>012. NY...Wind Advisory from 2 PM Friday to 6 AM EDT Sunday for NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179. Coastal Flood Advisory from 7 PM Friday to 3 PM EDT Saturday for NYZ071-073-176. Coastal Flood Advisory from 6 PM Friday to 11 AM EDT Saturday for NYZ072. Coastal Flood Watch from Friday afternoon through Saturday morning for NYZ074-075-080-081-178-179. High Risk for Rip Currents through Saturday evening for NYZ075-080- 081-178-179. High Surf Advisory until 8 PM EDT Saturday for NYZ075-080-081- 178-179. Coastal Flood Watch from Friday evening through Saturday afternoon for NYZ078-079-177. Coastal Flood Advisory until noon EDT Friday for NYZ080-179. NJ...Coastal Flood Advisory from 6 PM Friday to 11 AM EDT Saturday for NJZ006-104-106-108. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Friday for ANZ331-332-335- 338-340-345. Gale Warning from 6 AM Friday to 6 AM EDT Sunday for ANZ331- 332-335-340-345. Gale Warning from 2 PM Friday to 8 PM EDT Saturday for ANZ338. Gale Warning until 6 AM EDT Friday for ANZ350-380-383-385. Storm Warning from 6 AM Friday to 2 AM EDT Sunday for ANZ350- 380-383-385. Gale Warning until 6 AM EDT Sunday for ANZ353-355.