textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes to the forecast.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Unseasonably mild/warmer air expected through Wednesday. Areas of low clouds and fog develop during the evening and night time across coastal locations for the next couple of nights.

2) A strong frontal system impacts the area Wednesday night into Thursday with the next chance for rain, possibly changing to and ending as some wet snow Thursday, followed by noticeably cooler air to end next week.

3) Additional light mixed precipitation is possible late Friday into early Saturday from a passing Alberta Clipper system to our north.

KEY MESSAGE 3

An Alberta clipper low swings out of Canada and into the Great Lakes region Thursday into Friday. This will pass north of the area late Friday into Saturday. This will be a much weaker system compared to the Wednesday-Thursday system.

Not expecting any significant impacts aside from light precipitation and breezy winds. A rain or a rain/snow mix at the coast and a snow or rain/snow mix in the interior.

Some guidance still varies on how far south the precipitation extends. Its possible the precip may be limited to northern interior locations with coastal locations remaining dry, but this forecast remains in flux.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

Tuesday Afternoon: VFR.

Wednesday: Mainly VFR. S winds G20kt late in the afternoon. LLWS also possible late in the afternoon E of the NYC metros.

Wednesday night: Showers likely especially after midnight, with MVFR or lower cond possible at times. S winds 10-15G20-25kt. LLWS likely.

Thursday: Rain showers likely in the morning, then chance of rain or snow showers in the afternoon. MVFR or lower cond possible. SW winds 10-15G20kt early, becoming W-NW 15-20G25kt.

Thursday night: Chance of rain or snow showers at KGON with MVFR cond still possible, otherwise VFR. W-NW winds 15-20G25kt in the evening.

Friday: Mainly VFR. S winds 10-15G20-25kt in the afternoon.

Friday night: Chance of rain or snow showers with MVFR or lower cond. S winds 10-15G20-25kt, becoming SW-W after midnight.

Saturday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Sub advisory conditions expected through Tuesday. A southerly flow increases ahead of a cold front during Wednesday as small craft conditions are expected to return to the ocean waters during the afternoon, and for the remainder of the waters Wednesday night. Small craft conditions should persist across the waters on Thursday as the winds will be gusty out of the NW. Sub advisory conditions should return by late Thursday night into Friday morning. Small craft conditions may return to the waters by Friday evening on a S to SW flow ahead of the next frontal system.

CLIMATE

Below are record high temperatures for Monday March 9th and Tuesday March 10th.

Monday March 9th: EWR: 82/2016 BDR: 64/2021/2026 NYC: 77/2016 LGA: 75/2016,2000 JFK: 67/1973/2026 ISP: 68/2016/2026

Tuesday March 10th: EWR: 81/2016 BDR: 70/2006 NYC: 79/2016 LGA: 78/2016 JFK: 71/2006 ISP: 73/2016

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.