textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes. Updated for 12Z TAFs.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Conditions remain dry and gradually warm the next few days with high pressure in place.

2) Cooler weather returns this weekend, with a chance for rain into early next week.

KEY MESSAGE 2

Behind the frontal passage, surface high pressure quickly builds east from the Great Lakes, ushering in a cooler air mass for the weekend.

With cool, dry northerly flow, temperatures Saturday likely struggle to reach 70 in most areas. Winds veer E by Sunday as the high shifts into New England.

Forecast confidence then lowers a bit by late in the weekend with uncertainty around a possible wave of low pressure that could develop and pass to the south. Global NWP and AI guidance has generally backed away from wetter solutions previously offered, but being 4 to 5 days out, will still need to monitor. For now, went with the national blend's 20 to 30% chance for showers Sunday and Sunday night. Otherwise, remaining cooler in the 60s with high pressure once again building in from the Great Lakes into early next week.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

Tonight-Thursday night: VFR.

Friday-Saturday: MVFR possible with possible showers. Otherwise, mainly VFR.

Saturday night-Sunday: Chance of showers. MVFR or lower possible.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Light SW flow continues through Thursday with high pressure settling offshore. Winds and seas increase with an approaching cold front Friday and this could lead to a brief period of SCA conditions on some of the coastal ocean waters by Friday evening.

Behind the fropa, winds turn N on Saturday, then E by Sunday, but conditions are expected to remain below SCA criteria through the weekend.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.