textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes have been made to the forecast.

KEY MESSAGES

1. Potential dense fog late tonight into Friday morning mainly for coastal areas.

2. Minimal tidal flooding impacts possible tonight.

3. Showers likely on Sunday with any impacts likely limited.

KEY MESSAGE 3

Forecast trends remain for the timing of a strong cold front that is expected to move through the region Sunday into Sunday night with showers. With limited surface and elevated CAPE, thunderstorms are not included in the forecast at this time. An isolated thunderstorm can not be completely ruled out as a low level jet will provide some lift along with the cold front, and some guidance is indicating stronger convective elements late Sunday morning into the afternoon. Regardless of thunder, brief heavy downpours are possible with isolated minor urban/poor drainage flooding, along with gusty winds with the stronger showers.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY

Thursday Night: IFR. E/NE 10 kt or less. Chance of -DZ. Chance of showers after 04Z.

Friday: Becoming VFR. SW G15-20kt.

Saturday: Mainly VFR. Chance for MVFR or lower Sat night. Chance of showers. SE-S wind gusts 15-20 kt.

Sunday: MVFR or lower possible. Chance of showers. SW gusts to near 20 kt during day. W-NW wind gusts near 20 kt at night.

Monday: VFR. W-NW wind gusts 15-20 kt.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Seas on the ocean are expected to remain at or above 5 ft through most of tonight, so the SCA remains in effect through this time. On the remaining waters, easterly winds should gust to around advisory levels into this afternoon. SCA here remains in effect.

Next chance of advisory conditions would then be Friday night on the ocean with a brief increase in winds and seas. Otherwise, widespread advisory conds for Saturday night into Sunday in association with the passage of a cold front. Still some potential of gales on the ocean, but it does look like it's a relatively brief period for this potential. Seas will take some time to subside behind the cold front, so still a good chance of lingering elevated seas on the ocean into some of Monday.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ331- 332-335-338-340-345. Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Friday for ANZ350-353-355.