textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Flood watches issued for this afternoon through Monday night.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Multiple rounds of heavy showers and thunderstorms from this afternoon through Monday night could lead to flash flooding.

2) Marginal risk of severe thunderstorms for most of the area except southeastern Connecticut and eastern Long Island for this afternoon and evening.

KEY MESSAGE 2

Given at least some sfc-based instability and marginal unidirectional vertical shear of at least 25 kt before a more maritime E flow commences tonight, a few tstms could produce gusty winds approaching severe limits. Attm do not expect anything on the order of the severe wx that occurred both Fri/Sat.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

Monday and Tuesday: MVFR or lower with periods of showers and possible thunderstorms. SE flow Monday becoming NW on Tuesday.

Wednesday: VFR. N wind turns S in afternoon.

Thursday: VFR. Light S flow.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

An SCA may be needed for most of not all waters Mon into Mon evening as E flow N of a stalled front increases to 15-20 kt with gusts to 25 kt, and ocean seas building to 5-6 ft. Some 5-ft seas likely to linger on the ocean E of Fire Island Inlet later Mon night into daytime Tue.

Rip Currents: A low risk is expected for today. Increasing E flow should increase the risk back to moderate for Monday.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...Flood Watch from noon EDT today through late Monday night for CTZ005>012. NY...Flood Watch from noon EDT today through late Monday night for NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179. Air Quality Alert until midnight EDT tonight for NYZ069>075- 176-178. NJ...Flood Watch from noon EDT today through late Monday night for NJZ002-004-006-103>108. Air Quality Alert until 11 PM EDT this evening for NJZ002-004- 006-103>108. MARINE...None.