textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Rainfall totals have gradually lowered for today into tonight, with predominantly dry conditions expected now on Thursday.

KEY MESSAGES

1) The warmer conditions experienced yesterday give way to more seasonable temperatures today, mainly due to more cloud cover. A seasonable air mass settles in behind a cold front for the remainder of this week.

2) Wet at times today into this evening with no impacts.

KEY MESSAGE 2

There appears to be less synoptic scale forcing overall at this point for today into tonight, and thus the rainfall totals have been lowered, with most places seeing no more than a half inch of rainfall. Also the entirety of the rain takes place this afternoon into the first half of tonight, with dry conditions now expected mainly across the entire area by Thursday morning with the cold front now projected to move faster and to get further east into Thursday morning. This is a noticeable change over the past few days of model guidance, with Thursday now forecast to be predominantly dry.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

Thursday: VFR.

Friday: VFR. W/WSW wind gusts near 20 kt, diminishing at night.

Saturday: Chance of showers and MVFR. S wind gusts near 20 kt.

Sunday: VFR early. MVFR or lower possible in showers by evening. S wind gusts near 20 kt.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Small craft conditions will prevail across all waters today, with the perhaps the southern bays of LI and eastern bays of LI having a few occasional gusts approaching gale force. The winds will switch to the NW during tonight from west to east as sub advisory conditions gradually return across the non-ocean waters as small craft seas will persist for the ocean waters through most of tonight. The eastern ocean may experience small craft seas through a portion of Thursday morning. Thereafter, sub advisory conditions are expected to prevail on all waters through Friday night, with a period of marginal small craft conditions for the ocean waters for a period of time on Saturday. Another brief period of small craft conditions may take place on Sunday for the western ocean and western south shore bays of LI, otherwise sub advisory conditions are anticipated much of the time Sunday night into Monday.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for ANZ331-332- 340-345. Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for ANZ335- 338. Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Thursday for ANZ350-353. Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Thursday for ANZ355.