textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes made to the forecast.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Special weather statement for localized slippery spots and black ice across portions of the interior through 9am.

2) Rain expected Thursday into early Friday morning. There remains a low potential for light freezing rain/glaze of ice for interior Lower Hudson Valley and Southern CT at the onset Thursday morning.

3) Showers possible Saturday night with otherwise well above normal temperatures this weekend into early next week.

KEY MESSAGE 3

The frontal boundary that generally remains to our south and west late this week should finally lift north of the area this weekend as a warm front. The front should be pushed north ahead of a fast moving shortwave trough traversing the US/Canada border as well as from building western Atlantic ridging. Low pressure associated with the shortwave will reside well NW of the area on Saturday, but will drag a weak cold front across the area Saturday night. The NBM continues to show likely PoPs Saturday night for showers to accompany the front. A bit concerned this may be over done based on much of the energy passing to our NW. Will leave the PoPs close to the NBM for now. The cold front likely stalls and weakens as it moves to the east late Saturday night into Sunday morning. Some guidance signals the weak front will remain to our south into early next week while others wash out the front due to the Western Atlantic ridging. Mainly dry conditions forecast Sunday into early next week.

Temperatures start to rise on Saturday, but may take until late in the day for the warm front to lift to our north. The warmest temperatures could occur immediately ahead of the cold front Saturday evening/night. Most areas should rise into the 50s with potential of low 60s west of the NYC metro. Highs on Sunday look to be in the 50s areawide. Potential exists for temperatures to rise into the 60s early next week from the NYC metro/Hudson River corridor on west with 50s to the east due to onshore flow influence.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

Thursday: MVFR or lower with periods of rain and fog.

Friday: MVFR or lower possible early with a chance of showers, with VFR more likely by afternoon.

Saturday: MVFR/VFR with a slight chance of showers.

Sunday: Possible MVFR or lower early with a chance of showers, otherwise mainly VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Marginal SCA conditions (5-6 ft seas) are expected on the ocean waters through this evening. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect through 6pm. Otherwise, conditions will remain below SCA levels through Thursday. There is a chance for SCA conditions, mainly on the ocean, Thursday night into Friday morning due to a wave of low pressure developing along a stalled front to the south. Conditions should fall below SCA levels Friday night before increasing again ahead of a cold front late Saturday into Saturday night. 5 ft ocean seas could linger into a portion of Sunday.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for ANZ350- 353-355.