textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Winter Weather Advisory is now in place between 10 AM and 10 PM today. The following are included, NJ: western Passaic. NY: Orange and Putnam. CT: N Fairfield, N Middlesex, N New Haven, and N New London counties.

KEY MESSAGES

1) A wintry mix to rain is expected today into tonight.

2) Above normal temperatures and generally rainy late week into early next week.

KEY MESSAGE 2

Offshore high pressure, and northern branch systems tracking near and north of the region will allow for a prolonged period with above normal temperatures from Thursday through the beginning of next week. While no records are expected to be set during this period temperatures, in general, will be around 10 degrees above normal Thursday through Saturday, and above normal by as much as 20 degrees Sunday and Monday. There is the potential for a couple of record high minimum temperatures Sunday, March 8. The Temperatures will be especially mild inland, while coastal areas will be several degrees cooler with a southerly flow off the cold ocean, with sea surface temperatures in the mid to upper 30s.

A frontal boundary will be in the vicinity of the area Thursday into Saturday with a couple of waves of low pressure moving along the boundary. With mild conditions plain rain is expected across the forecast area. There will be a brief lull in the chances of precipitation Friday night into Saturday after the second wave departs. Then with a cold front slowly approaching Saturday night into the beginning of next week another round of plain rain/showers will be possible.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

Late Tuesday night: IFR/LIFR to start. Possible improvement to MVFR late. Winds becoming W-NW.

Wednesday: Mainly VFR.

Wednesday night: MVFR cond possible. Chance of rain after midnight. Freezing rain possible at KGON.

Thursday and Friday: MVFR or lower cond with periods of rain and fog.

Saturday: MVFR or lower cond at night with rain likely.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

A weak wave of low pressure will impact the area beginning Tuesday. Marginal SCA conditions (5-6 ft seas) are possible on the ocean waters Tuesday night into Wednesday morning due to a period of southwesterly winds. A Small Craft Advisory has been issued for this. High pressure follows on Wednesday.

Small craft advisory seas are possible on the ocean waters, mainly east of Fire Island Inlet, Friday into Friday night. A strengthening southerly flow ahead of an approaching cold front Saturday will allow for more widespread 5 foot ocean seas at SCA levels Saturday into Sunday. Additionally, gusts on the ocean will be near 25 kt Saturday night. For the non ocean waters winds and seas remain below SCA levels Thursday through Sunday.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...Winter Weather Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 10 PM EST this evening for CTZ005>008. NY...Winter Weather Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 10 PM EST this evening for NYZ067-068. NJ...Winter Weather Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 10 PM EST this evening for NJZ002. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 6 PM EST Wednesday for ANZ350-353-355.