textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Small Craft Advisories extended until 8 AM Fri for the ocean waters.

KEY MESSAGES

1. Potential dense fog late tonight into Friday morning mainly for coastal areas.

2. Minimal tidal flooding impacts for tonight.

3. Showers likely on Sunday with any impacts likely limited.

KEY MESSAGE 3

Forecast trends remain for the timing of a strong cold front that is expected to move through the region Sunday into Sunday night with showers. With limited surface and elevated CAPE, thunderstorms are not included in the forecast at this time. An isolated thunderstorm can not be completely ruled out as a low level jet will provide some lift along with the cold front, and some guidance is indicating stronger convective elements late Sunday morning into the afternoon. Regardless of thunder, brief heavy downpours are possible with isolated minor urban/poor drainage flooding, along with gusty winds with the stronger showers.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY

Friday: Gradually becoming VFR into the afternoon. SW G15-20kt.

Saturday: Mainly VFR. Chance for MVFR or lower Sat night. Chance of showers. SE-S wind gusts 15-20 kt.

Sunday: MVFR or lower possible. Chance of showers. SW gusts to near 20 kt during day. W-NW wind gusts near 20 kt at night.

Monday: VFR. W-NW wind gusts 15-20 kt.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Ocean seas running up to 2 ft above forecast, so SCA there extended until 8 AM Fri and may eventually have to run even longer into daytime Fri for elevated seas. SCA also remains in effect for the non ocean waters with winds gusting to 25 kt there especially into early this afternoon.

Next chance of advisory conditions would then be Friday night on the ocean with a brief increase in winds and seas. Otherwise, widespread advisory cond for Sat night into Sunday in association with the passage of a cold front. Still some potential for a brief period of gales on the ocean during that time. Seas will take some time to subside behind the cold front, so still a good chance of lingering elevated seas on the ocean into some of Monday.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ331- 332-335-338-340-345. Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Friday for ANZ350-353-355.