textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

A Heat Advisory has been extended to all of western Suffolk county for Wednesday.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Hot and humid conditions expected Tuesday and Wednesday.

2) Seasonable warmth returns late this week into the weekend. A frontal system brings our next chance for showers and thunderstorms this weekend.

3) Brief minor tidal flooding expected around the times of high tide this evening. A High risk of rip currents is possible Tuesday afternoon and evening (see marine discussion).

KEY MESSAGE 3

High astronomical tides due to the upcoming new moon on July 14 will once again bring water levels in the most vulnerable coastal locations to around or just above minor coastal flood benchmarks. The locations that are most susceptible are the more vulnerable locales of coastal Fairfield and Westchester, and along the southern bays of Nassau and Queens.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

Tuesday Night: VFR. WSW 10-15 kt.

Wednesday: Mainly VFR. W/SW winds 15-20 kt with gusts 25-30 kt. A slight chance of SHRA/TSRA late Wed.

Thursday and Friday: VFR. W/NW winds.

Saturday: VFR with chance SHRA/TSRA in the afternoon.

MARINE

Sub-SCA conditions until midday/afternoon Tuesday.

A SCA has been issued for the ocean waters Tuesday afternoon and night into a part of Wednesday due to a SW flow increasing to around 20 kt with gusts 25-30kt. Ocean seas will build to 4-7 ft, highest east. S Shore Bays, Peconic/Gardiner Bays and the LI Sound Entrance will carry a SCA for winds Tue afternoon into a part of Tue night.

Sub-SCA conditions are then expected on all waters Wed night through Fri.

Rip Currents:

The rip current risk should start at moderate on Tue, but as SW winds increase to 15-20 kt wind waves will likely build to 3-5 ft by late day. This would increase the rip risk to high by late day just as most lifeguards and beach patrols finish routine daily operations. The higher risk, once again enhanced by greater than usual tidal fluctuations due to the upcoming new moon.

Wednesday looks to be another high risk day for rip currents, especially the morning into midday until winds become more WSW. Eastern locations may hold onto the risk into the afternoon as wind waves remain elevated at 3-5ft through the afternoon.

CLIMATE

Record High Temperatures:

July 15: KEWR: 104/1995 KBDR: 97/1995 KNYC: 102/1995 KLGA: 103/1995 KJFK: 99/1983 KISP: 97/1995

Record High Minimum Temperatures:

July 15: KEWR: 82/1995 KBDR: 76/2013 KNYC: 84/1995 KLGA: 83/1995 KJFK: 79/1995 KISP: 77/1995

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...Heat Advisory from 11 AM Tuesday to 9 PM EDT Wednesday for CTZ005>010. Air Quality Alert from 11 AM to 11 PM EDT Tuesday for CTZ009>012. NY...Heat Advisory from 11 AM Tuesday to 9 PM EDT Wednesday for NYZ067>075-176>179. Air Quality Alert from 11 AM to 11 PM EDT Tuesday for NYZ069>075-078>081-176>179. High Risk for Rip Currents from 8 AM EDT Tuesday through Tuesday evening for NYZ075-080-081-178-179. Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 9 PM EDT Wednesday for NYZ078-080. NJ...Heat Advisory from 11 AM Tuesday to 9 PM EDT Wednesday for NJZ002-004-006-103>108. Air Quality Alert from 11 AM to 11 PM EDT Tuesday for NJZ004- 006-103>108. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM Tuesday to 2 AM EDT Wednesday for ANZ332-340-345. Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM Tuesday to 2 PM EDT Wednesday for ANZ350-353. Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM Tuesday to 2 AM EDT Wednesday for ANZ355.