textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes were made.

KEY MESSAGES

1. Areas of frost into this morning for parts of NE NJ and Nassau NY, where growing season active.

2. Mainly dry conditions throughout the forecast period.

3. Temperatures warm up into end of this week with a more substantial warm up next week.

4. Potential fire weather concerns Saturday.

KEY MESSAGE 4

Post cold front Saturday with the lack of wetting rainfall will set up lower RH. With gusty winds from the NW, forecast could trend both higher with wind gusts and lower with RH in subsequent forecasts. This would allow for more brush fire spread if ignition were to occur. Hence, there are more concerns regarding fire weather Saturday.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY

Late Tonight: MVFR-IFR stratus likely for NYC/NJ metro and coastal terminals, possible for KSWF. Patchy fog possible.

Friday: MVFR to IFR stratus likely for morning push, becoming VFR by mid-morning.

Friday Night: Potential for MVFR or lower in rain showers. Highest chances north and west of NYC terminals.

Saturday: VFR. NW gust 20 to 25 kt possible.

Sunday: VFR.

Monday: VFR. SW gusts to 30 kt possible.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

High pressure provides weak pressure gradient today through Friday morning, keeping conditions below SCA thresholds. SCA thresholds could develop Friday afternoon into Friday night as pressure gradient tightens ahead of a cold front. The SCA conditions could linger into Saturday behind the cold front, especially for the ocean. High pressure eventually returns, lowering conditions back below SCA for Saturday night through rest of the weekend. Another chance for SCA conditions early next week with high pressure offshore.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for NYZ177-179. NJ...Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for NJZ006-106-108. MARINE...None.