textproduct: New York

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes since the last update.

KEY MESSAGES

1) The heat and humidity lowers slightly into mid week, followed by a more meaningful drop late week.

2) Thunderstorm chances lower Tue and Wed, followed by an increase in the thunderstorm chance on Thu.

3) Minor coastal flooding possible for some areas during the middle of this week.

KEY MESSAGE 3

Astronomical tides will increase with an approaching new moon on Wednesday. Winds don't appear to be much of a factor with the evening/nighttime high tide cycles tonight through Wednesday night when minor flooding would be possible. A blend of 50th percentile NAEFS-based PETSS and NYHOPS seemed reasonable given recent trends. Flooding is therefore not anticipated tonight, but levels should come close to minor benchmarks for the south shore bays of Nassau County and Queens as well as Southern Fairfield County. With the astronomical tide a little higher Tuesday night, a Coastal Flood Statement could be needed for these areas. A better chance of an advisory would be during Wednesday night for these spots as flooding would be more widespread, and other spots including parts of NY Harbor and more of Western LI Sound could reach minor benchmarks as well.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

Tuesday Night-Wednesday night: Mainly VFR.

Thursday: Chance of showers and a few thunderstorms along with MVFR, mainly in the afternoon and evening.

Friday-Saturday: VFR. NW wind gusts 15-20 kt Friday afternoon

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA levels this week. Ocean wave heights are not expected to exceed 3 ft or so. A more northerly component to the prevailing wind direction is expected towards Friday and Friday night.

Rip Currents: Waves around 2 ft this week and winds generally 10 kt or less will likely keep the rip risk low through Wednesday.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.

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