textproduct: New York

SYNOPSIS

High pressure will be in control through early next week with only a weak cold front or trough shifting through during Saturday night into Sunday. A weakening low pressure system then passes nearby for Monday night into Tuesday. A stronger system moving through southeastern Canada then sends a cold front across the local area Wednesday into Wednesday night.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/

Middle level shortwave energy approaches overnight. Moisture advection centered around 700mb will bring increasing clouds overnight. There is some weak lift, but dry subcloud layer will likely prevent anything more than flurries late at night. Anticipating temperatures to become more steady late tonight after falling into teens to mid 20s. Winds diminish through the period, backing to the west, but wind chills still drop to 5 to 15 above.

SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/

Key Point:

* Mainly dry through the period, but with below normal temperatures.

Weak high pressure will be in place during the period, and this will keep us dry through the day Saturday. Temperatures will however remain around 10 degrees below normal. Winds will be weaker, but there should still be gusts 20-25 mph late morning into the afternoon. Wind chills still drop to 5 to 15 above once again on Friday night, with chills averaging closer to 20 Saturday night.

As for Saturday night, a weak cold front or surface trough along with cyclonic flow aloft are progged to move into the region, which may bring snow showers to the area late at night. Not expecting much, if any accumulation, so no impacts anticipated.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

Key Points:

* Moderating temperatures for the mid-week period.

* Conditions potentially meeting advisory or warning criteria are not expected.

Only minor changes made to NBM for the long term. A weak system brings a 20-30% chance of light snow Monday night. A stronger system tracking across southeastern Canada then sends a cold front through the area Wednesday into Wednesday night with a better chance of precipitation, which would be rain showers. Precip chances are still however below 50%.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

Friday Night - Monday: VFR.

Tuesday: Mainly VFR with MVFR or lower possible in showers.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

SCA remains in effect on the ocean through Friday with wind gusts near 25 kt and elevated seas close to 5 ft, especially east of Moriches Inlet. These conditions may persist through Friday night and the Advisory may need to be extended. On the non- ocean waters, winds have weakened this evening and should remain below SCA levels through Friday. Sub-advisory conditions then prevail on all waters from Saturday through early next week.

HYDROLOGY

No hydrologic concerns through next weekend.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST Friday for ANZ350-353-355.