textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Added in enhanced wording for thunderstorm attributes into today with possible heavy rain, gusty winds, and small hail with some thunderstorms.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Chances for showers and thunderstorms through today with low pressure and cold front moving through. Some thunderstorms could be strong with a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms.

2) Possible lingering showers Monday into early Monday evening. Otherwise mainly dry with high pressure eventually building back in Monday night into midweek.

3) Chances for showers and thunderstorm return Thursday and Friday.

KEY MESSAGE 3

Model guidance continues to show an upper level trough pushing southeast into the Northeast Thursday into Friday. At the surface, areas of low pressure approach from the west. This will be associated with an approaching frontal system.

The forecast has increasing chances of showers Thursday, with showers becoming likely Thursday night for most locations. The forecast showers continue into Friday. There will be possible thunderstorms as well but those probabilities will be less than the showers.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

Monday through Wednesday: VFR. WSW gusts around 20kt on Monday afternoon.

Thursday: VFR AM, chance of sub-VFR and PM -shra.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Conditions on the marine zones are still expected to remain below small craft advisory thresholds during the marine forecast period. Pressure gradient overall remains relatively weak.

Rip Currents: A moderate risk is expected for both today and Monday. The swell will be primarily from the SE.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.