textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Small Craft Advisories have been issued for the ocean waters tonight into Sunday night, and on the south shore bays for Sunday. Otherwise, no significant changes to the forecast.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Cool, wet conditions through the weekend.

2) Persistent chances for rain mid to late week with an unsettled pattern in place.

KEY MESSAGE 2

Pattern into the start of May continues to look unsettled.

Upper trough across the Central US translates east midweek. Leading this, surface low pressure drives well north into Hudson Bay, with a weakening warm front lifting through locally Tuesday night into Wednesday. A few showers possible as the boundary comes through. Global ensembles are then in general agreement that additional shortwave energy rounds the base of the incoming trough, spurring a wave of low pressure along the trailing cold front, which eventually tracks over the area Wednesday night into Thursday with a widespread rainfall likely.

The associated upper low may end up cutting off nearby into late week with strong blocking south of Greenland, keeping at least a chance for rain around at times. This should also help restrain temperatures, with daytime highs mid to late week largely in the 50s and low 60s through next weekend.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

Sunday: Improvements to VFR possible for inland terminals in the afternoon. ENE wind gusts 15-20 kt.

Monday: Mainly VFR. ENE winds 10 kt or less.

Tuesday-Wednesday: Chance of showers and MVFR late Tuesday into Wednesday. NE winds shifting to the SE 10 kt or less.

Thursday: Chance of showers and MVFR conditions. NW winds 10 kt or less.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Sub SCA conditions continue on the ocean waters this evening. Then as low pressure begins to move off the mid Atlantic coast tonight, and with high pressure to the north, the gradient E to NE flow will be increasing from west to east late tonight into Sunday, and slowly diminishing Sunday night as the low moves well to the east. As a result, SCA conditions will be developing on the ocean waters late tonight into Sunday, and on the south shore bays during Sunday. Then seas will remain elevated on the ocean waters Sunday night into Tuesday with a persistent NE flow. Small Craft Advisories have been issued beginning late tonight, and into Sunday morning, then continuing through Sunday night at this time. Seas on the ocean may linger aoa 5 ft through at least Wednesday.

CLIMATE

Record Low Maximum Temperatures for Saturday, April 25:

KEWR: 48/1955 KBDR: 45/1992 KNYC: 43/1919 KLGA: 48/1955 KJFK: 47/1956 KISP: 47/1965

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM to 6 PM EDT Sunday for ANZ345. Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM Sunday to 6 AM EDT Monday for ANZ350. Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM Sunday to 6 AM EDT Monday for ANZ353. Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 6 AM EDT Monday for ANZ355.