textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Chances for showers and thunderstorms has decreased for this afternoon. Only isolated activity is expected with minimal to no impacts.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Mainly dry and seasonable this weekend.

2) Periods of unsettled weather next week.

KEY MESSAGE 2

At the start of next week, a quasi-stationary backdoor front will set up across or just north of the area. Simultaneously, several mid- level shortwaves will traverse the region. These two features will be the focus of several shots of showers and thunderstorms at the beginning to the middle of next week.

Global model guidance varies on the magnitude and timing of the shortwaves and the location of the quasi-stationary front. When and where we see showers and thunderstorms will depend greatly on the timing and placement of these two features.

Otherwise, next week will see ample cloud cover given the unsettled weather pattern and temperatures remaining close seasonal averages.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

Saturday-Sunday: VFR.

Monday-Tuesday: Mainly VFR. Chance of MVFR or lower in showers and/or thunderstorms.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Sub-SCA conditions will remain in place on all waters today through this weekend and into the first part of next week.

Rip Currents:

Swell weakens over the next few days. There is generally no significant wind component. There is a moderate risk for rip currents today. There is a low risk for rip currents Saturday..

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.