textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Small craft advisories extended later into today across the area waters. Otherwise, no significant changes made compared to previous forecast.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Showers linger east of NYC Metro today.

2) More showers forecast this weekend, marginal flood risk.

3) More of a dry weather pattern taking shape next week but still initially cooler than normal.

KEY MESSAGE 3

Upper level trough axis remains across Monday but will slowly track northward heading towards midweek. Flow aloft transitions to more quasi-zonal. At the surface, behind the cold front, mainly dry conditions are forecast to prevail. The winds become more westerly. Daytime high temperatures forecast to remain below normal early next week and then trend to near normal levels towards midweek.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

Friday night: VFR. Light N-NE winds.

Saturday: Showers likely. MVFR to IFR at times. Possible thunderstorms towards evening.

Sunday: A chance of showers. Possible thunderstorms. Chance of MVFR or lower at times.

Monday and Tuesday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Small craft conditions for the wind gusts remain across the local waters into this morning. In addition, there are reports of ocean seas of 5 ft also. The NY Harbor expected to lower below SCA range for gusts by 10AM this morning and by 2PM for the rest of the non-ocean waters plus the ocean west of Fire Island Inlet. The rest of the ocean stays with SCA until 6PM this evening.

Thereafter, expecting a period of sub-SCA conditions as a weak pressure gradient will be over the local waters tonight through the weekend. The sub-SCA conditions are forecast to continue into early next week.

Rip Currents: The rip current risk remains moderate for the ocean beaches both for today and Saturday with both NE and southerly swell. Winds will be gusty but from the NE today and then winds will become lighter for Saturday with more onshore component.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ331- 332-335-340-345-355. Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT this morning for ANZ338. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ350- 353.