textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Gale warnings have been downgraded to SCA for the local waters.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Gusty winds, areas of blowing snow and areas of black ice into Tuesday morning.

2) A passing warm front will bring some light snow and rain on Wednesday. A stronger low passing close by will bring additional wintry precip Thursday into Thursday night.

KEY MESSAGE 2

As a clipper low passes to the north on Wednesday, an associated warm front should bring some light snow and rain on Wed. Accumulations should be on the light side, ranging from less than an inch across Long Island, to around an inch in NYC and along the CT coastline, to 1-2 inches north/west of there.

A stronger low moving from the OH valley to the lower Great Lakes on Thu could bring more wintry precip. NBM thermal profiles were mainly supportive of snow and/or rain. Any snow amts should be light, no more than an inch or two of snow most places and a light glaze of ice inland NW of NYC. Either way advisories could be needed for parts of the interior north/west of I-287 in NJ/NY and along the I-84 corridor in CT.

High temperatures Tuesday range from the upper 20s to lower 30s, then trend closer to normal the rest of the week. This will allow for gradual snow melt each day, and with mostly sub-freezing temperatures at night into early morning, subsequent re-freeze of snow melt.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

Late Tonight-Wednesday: MVFR/IFR likely with light snow likely developing early Wed AM. Snow may mix with rain for south coastal terminals Wednesday AM, before ending.

Wed aft into Thu aft- VFR

Late Thursday/Thursday Night: MVFR/IFR likely with rain/snow mix possible near coast with snow possible inland.

Friday: Mainly VFR.

Saturday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Intense low pressure will track northeast along the Canadian Maritimes tonight.

Marginal gale gusts will continue to gradually dissipate overnight. Seas of 10-15 feet will steadily subside tonight into Tuesday morning.

Marginal SCA gusts linger into early Tue afternoon on the nearshore waters, with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 5-8 ft on the ocean through the afternoon. Conds on the ocean may briefly fall below SCA Tue eve, before increasing once again late Tuesday Night ahead of approaching low pressure.

An extended period of SCA cond then likely on the ocean from Wed into Fri as a series of frontal systems pass through, mainly for hazardous seas. SW flow 20-25 kt expected on the ocean with warm frontal approaches daytime Wed and again Thu night.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ331- 332-335-338-340-345. Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for ANZ350- 353-355.