textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
No significant changes from the previous forecast.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Areas of fog and black ice this morning, and possibly again tonight.
2) Snow showers expected on Sunday.
3) Multiple waves of low pressure will impact the area Tuesday through Friday of next week. Little to no impacts.
KEY MESSAGE 3
Upper air pattern is forecast to change this period as a trough becomes established across the western half of the country by the end of the period, with broad upper level ridging across the east. This will support a period of mild weather with a storm track generally to the north and west of the forecast area. This supports mainly rain through the week. But with cold air in place Tuesday morning, precipitation ahead of a warm front may initially start off as snow before going over to rain. Transition likely occurs before a steadier precipitation develops. Expect little or no snowfall accumulation at the coast with perhaps and inch or two across the interior. Low pressure passes to the northeast Tuesday night into Wednesday with conditions briefly drying out Wednesday. Another frontal wave approaches from the Mid Mississippi Valley Wednesday night into Thursday bringing chances of rain into the area.
Temperatures trending warmer than normal starting on Wednesday.
OUTLOOK FOR 06Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
Late tonight: Pockets of Sub VFR at times early with light winds, otherwise mainly VFR with winds becoming N.
Sunday: MVFR or lower possible with light snow showers or flurries. N/NW winds G15-20 kt.
Monday: VFR.
Tuesday: MVFR or lower with a rain/snow mix in the morning, becoming plain rain during the afternoon and into the evening south to north.
Wednesday: MVFR, possibly IFR, with a chance of rain, mainly in the morning.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Sub-advisory conditions expected for the most part today through Tuesday. The exception being Sunday night on the ocean when gusts around 25kt will be possible as the pressure gradient tightens with northerly gusts.
There will then be a chance of marginal SCA conditions on the ocean waters next week as multiple waves of low pressure pass to the NW with warm frontal passages. The first chance will be Tuesday night into Wednesday in the warm sector as SW winds strengthen.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.
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