textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes.

KEY MESSAGES

1) An early season nor'easter will bring a prolonged period of strong winds and rainfall. A Wind Advisory is in place for most of the area.

2) Widespread coastal flooding impacts expected through the weekend. Greatest impacts expected Saturday and Sunday.

3) High surf and rip current risk through at least Sunday.

KEY MESSAGE 3

High risk of rip currents and high surf through Sunday along ocean shorelines. While ocean swells in outer ocean reach near 13-16 ft, surf height of near 7-11 ft expected closer to shore. There will be some variation due to swell orientation, with occasionally more ENE vs more ESE swell direction. The lack of orthogonal component to shoreline really limits the surf heights closer to the shore.

However, with current buoy observations running higher than GFSWave by a few feet, felt wave heights are already within advisory range within the surf zone. Beach flooding and erosion can be expected today and into Sunday.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

Saturday night: Flight cats mainly MVFR, possibly lowering to IFR overnight into Sunday morning. N/NE gusts 30-40 kt with LLWS.

Sunday: MVFR/IFR in rain. N winds 15-20kt, G25-30kt.

Monday: MVFR, possibly IFR early with a chance of showers, improving to VFR in the afternoon. N gusts around 20kt in the morning.

Tuesday and Wednesday: VFR. Light winds.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Storm Warnings remain in effect on the ocean, and there could even be some occasional 50-kt gusts on the non-ocean waters E of Orient Point this morning. Gale Warnings for the non-ocean waters have been extended until 2 PM Sunday.

Winds and seas will then gradually subside through Sunday night. Winds on all waters should be below SCA levels on Monday, but hazardous seas should linger into most of daytime Monday on all the ocean waters, and from late day Monday into Monday evening out east.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...Wind Advisory until 6 AM EDT Sunday for CTZ005>012. Coastal Flood Warning until 6 PM EDT Sunday for CTZ009-010. Coastal Flood Advisory until 6 PM EDT Sunday for CTZ011-012. NY...Wind Advisory until 6 AM EDT Sunday for NYZ069>075-078>081- 176>179. Coastal Flood Warning until 6 PM EDT Sunday for NYZ071>075- 078>081-176>179. High Risk for Rip Currents through Sunday evening for NYZ075-080- 081-178-179. High Surf Advisory until 8 PM EDT Sunday for NYZ075-080-081- 178-179. NJ...Wind Advisory until 6 AM EDT Sunday for NJZ004-006-103>108. Coastal Flood Warning until 6 PM EDT Sunday for NJZ006-104-106- 108. MARINE...Gale Warning until 6 PM EDT Sunday for ANZ331-332-335-338-340- 345. Storm Warning until 6 AM EDT Sunday for ANZ350-353-355-380-383- 385.