textproduct: New York

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Air quality alerts in effect for portions of the region today into this evening as well as Monday into Monday evening. Otherwise, no other significant changes.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Summer like temperatures within the region early to mid part of this week.

2) A cold front moves across Wednesday bringing showers and thunderstorms. Brief gusty winds and locally heavy rain possible.

3) Much cooler airmass expected Thursday into the holiday weekend.

4) Cold water safety concerns continue this weekend with good boating weather, and water temperatures still in the lower 50s.

KEY MESSAGE 4

Cold water safety concerns today as water temperatures remain in the 50s. The cold water temperatures can quickly cause hypothermia and physical incapacitation to anyone suddenly immersed in the water. Anyone going out on small boats, canoes or kayaks should plan accordingly and use extreme caution to avoid this threat.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

Tuesday: VFR. S/SW winds 10-15g20-25kt day into eve. Isolated thunderstorm potential afternoon into early eve, mainly north of NYC terminals with brief MVFR or lower possible.

Wednesday: VFR, giving way to possible MVFR or lower with potential showers and thunderstorms. Showers likely afternoon into eve with a chance of thunderstorms. S/SW winds 10-15g20-25kt day into eve. Peak gusts to near 30 kt possible. NW windshift in the evening.

Thursday-Friday: MVFR or lower possible with a chance of showers.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Sub-SCA conditions remain on the waters through Monday night. Next chance for SCA will be Tuesday into Tuesday night with increasing southerly flow and fetch, mainly on the ocean. Marginal SCA conditions possible on Wednesday into Wednesday evening with otherwise conditions forecast to be below SCA thereafter through Friday.

Cold water safety concerns today as water temperatures remain in the 50s. The cold water temperatures can quickly cause hypothermia and physical incapacitation to anyone suddenly immersed in the water. Anyone going out on small boats, canoes or kayaks should plan accordingly and use extreme caution to avoid this threat.

CLIMATE

Record High Temperatures:

May 19: KEWR: 98/1962 KBDR: 89/2017 KNYC: 99/1962 KLGA: 96/2017 KJFK: 92/2017 KISP: 89/2017

Record High Minimum Temperatures:

May 17: KEWR: 68/2015 KBDR: 60/2025 KNYC: 70/1906 KLGA: 68/1965 KJFK: 63/1965 KISP: 62/2015

May 18: KEWR: 74/2017 KBDR: 66/2017 KNYC: 75/2017 KLGA: 80/2017 KJFK: 65/2017 KISP: 63/1977

May 19: KEWR: 67/1986 KBDR: 66/2017 KNYC: 68/1986 KLGA: 68/2017 KJFK: 67/2017 KISP: 65/2017

May 20: KEWR: 72/1996 KBDR: 61/2019 KNYC: 74/1996 KLGA: 77/1996 KJFK: 63/1996 KISP: 62/1996

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...Air Quality Alert until 11 PM EDT this evening for NYZ069>075- 078>081-176>179. Air Quality Alert from 11 AM to 11 PM EDT Monday for NYZ069>075-176-178. NJ...None. MARINE...None.


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