textproduct: New York

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

WHAT HAS CHANGED

A Small Craft Advisory has been issued for all waters beginning Wednesday night.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Chance of a thunderstorm Thursday afternoon and evening with little to no impacts currently anticipated.

2) High rip current risk expected for Thursday.

KEY MESSAGE 2

Southerly winds increasing to 15 to 20 kt Wednesday afternoon and seas building to 3 to 4 ft offshore will increase the rip current risk at the ocean beaches to moderate in the afternoon, possibly even high by evening.

The rip current risk increases to high on Thursday. While winds take on a more westerly component and gradually diminish, a S/SW wind wave of 5 to 7 ft will produce 3 to 6 ft breakers in the surf zone. There could be some slow improvement in the afternoon into early evening hours.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

Wednesday Night: VFR. Winds diminish overnight. MVFR in showers possible late at night, mainly N and W of metro terminals.

Thursday: Chance of MVFR or lower in SHRA, possible TSRA. SW gusts around 20 kt possible.

Friday: VFR.

Saturday: Mainly VFR. MVFR or lower possible late Saturday night in any showers.

Sunday: MVFR or lower in any showers.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Winds and seas will remain below Small Craft Advisory criteria through tonight with high pressure over the waters. SW winds will then increase ahead of an approaching cold front on Wednesday. A SCA has been issued for all waters Wed night as winds hit criteria. There is a low chance that a few gusts hit gale force, particularly on the ocean and back bays.

Winds decrease on Thu invof the front, but seas will linger aoa 5 ft on the ocean most of the day. The SCA continues there thru the day. A few extra hours may need to be added for the remaining waters if winds are a bit slower to subside based on the ultimate timing of the sys.

Conditions likely below SCA levels all waters Fri-Sun.

Rip Currents:

See Key Message 2.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM Wednesday to 6 AM EDT Thursday for ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345. Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM Wednesday to 6 PM EDT Thursday for ANZ350-353-355.


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