textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes with this update.

KEY MESSAGES

1)Periods of rain continue into tonight. Locally heavy downpours could lead to nuisance type flooding for far eastern zones.

2) Drier and cooler air returns during the weekend and lasts well into next week. No impacts anticipated.

KEY MESSAGE 2

Closed 500mb low approaches from the west and passes through Saturday night. Showers possible for mainly the northernmost zones with instability due to the cyclonic flow aloft. No impacts with any showers. Relatively weak high pressure then dominates the weather pattern well into next week with only maybe a couple of dry cold front/trough passages. High temperatures generally within 5 degrees of normal Sunday through Friday.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

Saturday Afternoon-Night: Showers possible with MVFR, mainly in the afternoon and evening. WNW-NW winds G20-25kt.

Sunday and Monday: VFR. W-NW winds G20-25kt.

Tuesday and Wednesday: VFR. W winds G15-20kt in the afternoon.

MARINE

Elevated seas on the ocean will continue into tonight, but will be subsiding. A period of sub-sca conds then follows late tonight through Saturday morning before 25kt+ gusts develop in the afternoon on the ocean, then on the other waters Saturday night. After collaboration with WFO BOX, have decided to not stretch the SCA on the eastern ocean waters to cover the 12 hour or so periods of sub- advisory conditions, and allow for the overnight shift to issue SCAs as appropriate (including for the non-ocean waters), figuring ocean seas will be below 5 ft by 06z tonight. SCA will probably need to be extended into Sunday and Monday as the pressure gradient strengthens, producing a gusty westerly flow.

CLIMATE

Record High Minimum Temperatures:

November 6: KEWR: 66/2022 KBDR: 62/2024 KNYC: 66/2022 KLGA: 65/2024 KJFK: 64/2022 KISP: 65/2022

Record Precipitation:

November 6: KEWR: 2.12/1911 KBDR: 0.54/2018 KNYC: 1.47/1911 KLGA: 0.96/1963 KJFK: 1.42/1963 KISP: 0.71/1963

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EST Saturday for ANZ350-353. Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ355.