textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No major changes with the forecast.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Potential light snow accumulation well NW of NYC with minimal impacts for late tonight into Thursday morning.

2) Breezy and cold Thursday night with winds and wind chills short of advisory thresholds.

3) Unsettled weather this weekend with potential of a coastal low pressure Sunday into Sunday night.

4) Much colder air expected Sunday through the middle of next week with temperatures potentially below freezing Monday through Wednesday.

KEY MESSAGE 4

A colder temperature regime begins on Sunday with highs in the lower to middle 30s. Deep upper troughing will then persist over the eastern US allowing for arctic air to funnel down into the region. Highs Monday through next Wednesday should remain below freezing with highs on Tuesday potentially not rising out of the 20s. Nighttime temperatures will likely be in the teens at night. While it is a bit early for specific details on wind chills, there is some potential for winds to combine with the cold temperatures for wind chills in the single digits to around 0 Monday night into Tuesday night. These details will be fine tined as confidence increases with respect to the magnitude of the winds over the next several days.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

Thursday: VFR. W-NW wind gusts 25 to 30 kt.

Friday: VFR. W-SW wind gusts 20-25 kt.

Saturday: Mainly VFR. Low chance MVFR or lower at times with low chance of rain and/or snow.

Sunday: Chance of MVFR or lower in snow.

Monday: VFR W winds gusts 20 kt.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

SCA continues on the ocean waters through tonight and Thursday, primarily for seas through tonight, but winds ramp up on Thursday. Gales then expected as early as around midnight Thurs night through Friday morning, so have upgraded the previous Gale Watch to a Warning. For the other waters, SCA for 14z Thurs through Friday morning. SCA conds likely on the ocean Friday afternoon through the rest of the forecast period. Elevated ocean seas between 5-7 ft are likely to continue through Monday. Winds on Saturday should remain below SCA levels with the next potential period of SCA winds Sunday into Monday.

EQUIPMENT

KOKX Doppler Radar remains out of service.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM Thursday to noon EST Friday for ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST Thursday for ANZ350-353- 355. Gale Warning from 6 PM Thursday to noon EST Friday for ANZ350- 353-355.