textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
No significant changes.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Conditions turn cooler and more comfortable for the holiday weekend. A few showers remain possible this afternoon and evening, mainly across southern Connecticut and Long Island.
2) After a tranquil stretch of weather early next week, unsettled conditions return Wednesday.
KEY MESSAGE 2
Surface high pressure continues to settle overhead through Tuesday, maintaining dry weather and light flow. Temperatures gradually warm with ridging aloft building in from the west and afternoon highs get back into the 80s.
By midweek, SW flow develops well ahead of an approaching frontal system and conditions begin to turn more unstable and offer the next chance for rain in the forecast period. At this point, it's too early to discuss specific hazards, but periods of showers and thunderstorms are possible in the late Wednesday into Thursday timeframe.
OUTLOOK FOR 18Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
Sunday Afternoon-Tuesday: Mainly VFR.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR. SW gusts around 20-25 kt and shower possible with MVFR night.
Thursday: VFR. W gusts 20 kt possible.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Winds and seas are expected to remain below Small Craft Advisory criteria through Tuesday.
Thereafter, SW winds increase ahead of an approaching frontal system. Wind gusts on the coastal waters may begin to exceed SCA criteria (25 kt) Wednesday afternoon, which could linger through Thursday. Gale conditions are possible during this time, particularly on the ocean. Ocean seas likely build to 5-8 ft as well. These conditions could linger into at least part of Thursday before subsiding.
Rip Currents:
A lack of significant wind or swell will lead to a low rip current risk through at least Sunday.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.
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