textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
MVFR conditions are now expected for most terminals late tonight into Saturday morning.
Coastal flood statements issued for portions of the lower NY Harbor, south shore back bays, coastal Westchester and Fairfield for this evenings high tide.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Scattered showers and thunderstorms end early this evening, followed by weak high pressure and dry conditions into Saturday.
2) Minor flood benchmarks may be touched along some coastlines with tonight's high tide cycle. There is a higher likelihood of minor flood benchmarks being met or exceeded at many coastal locations for the Sat. eve / night high tide cycle.
3) Showers on Sunday with a cold front transition to much colder air early next week.
4) A warming trend begins Wednesday leading to above normal temperatures to end the week.
KEY MESSAGE 4
A warming trend commences next Wednesday with temperatures close to seasonable norms. Temperatures may trend even warmer to end the week as ridging is progged to build over the eastern states. Conditions should remain mainly dry, but a weak shortwave and frontal boundary passage early Wednesday could lead to a brief shower.
OUTLOOK FOR 00Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
Saturday night: Widespread MVFR/IFR conditions developing with low clouds and possible fog, especially at the coastal terminals. Chance of showers of showers late.
Sunday: IFR conditions early in low clouds and fog, otherwise MVFR with showers likely, possibly a thunderstorm. NW gusts 20 kt in the afternoon and evening.
Monday-Tuesday: Slight chance of showers Monday, otherwise VFR.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR. Slight chance of showers.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
A cold front passage this evening will be followed by high pressure ridging through Saturday. This will lead to conditions remaining below SCA levels. A cold front approaches Saturday night and moves across the waters Sunday. Marginal SCA conditions are possible, mainly on the ocean waters. Wind gusts could approach 25 kt with seas around 5 ft. 5 ft seas appear more likely out 20-60 nm. Weakening winds and subsiding seas Sunday night will lead to relatively tranquil conditions through the middle of next week.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.
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