textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

A Coastal Flood Watch has been issued for southern Nassau County with the Friday evening and Saturday morning high tide cycles.

For the Thursday evening and Friday morning high tide cycles, a Coastal Flood Advisory has been issued for southwest Suffolk and southern Nassau and a Coastal Flood Statement has been issued for southern portions of NYC and NJ along the NY Harbor

The High Risk for Rip Currents has been extended through Friday.

KEY MESSAGES

1) A coastal storm likely brings rainfall and gusty winds Friday into the upcoming weekend. Any rain impacts expected to be limited. Mostly minor wind impacts possible, primarily for coastal areas.

2) Coastal flooding and beach flooding/erosion expected this week, with the greatest impacts expected Friday through Saturday.

3) A high rip current risk will persist into the weekend. High surf can not be ruled out, mainly Friday through Saturday.

KEY MESSAGE 3

Swell from the approaching coastal storm will bring a high rip current risk into the weekend. An 11-12ft swell around 11-12s is expected out of the east. Because of the easterly direction, surf heights are expected to top out right around 6-7 ft. If confidence in 7 ft surf increases, a High Surf Advisory may be needed.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY

Thursday night: VFR. NE winds 10-15G20-30kt, highest at the coastal terminals.

Friday and Saturday: MVFR or lower cond in showers as a coastal storm nears the area. N-NE winds 15-20 kt with gusts 25 to around 35 kt Friday, highest east of NYC metros and along the coast. 30 to 40 kt possible Saturday, highest east. Winds/gusts may be up to 10 kt higher than fcst if the storm is closer to the area.

Sunday: MVFR or lower in showers. N-NE winds 15-20 kt, G25-30kt.

Monday: Mainly VFR, Sub VFR possible early east. N-NW winds 7-15kt, G20 kt.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

After collaboration with the surrounding offices, headlines have not been changed from the previous forecast due to uncertainty surrounding the track of low pressure approaching the waters late this week. It appears that somewhere in the forecast area could be the dividing line from storm force wind gusts and gales during the Friday-Saturday period. Being that storm force gusts on the outer ocean waters wouldn't begin until some point in the 4th period, have left the storm watch up. In coordination WFO PHI, have not extended the Gale Warning for the inner ocean waters during the daytime on Friday as there's still time to see if storm force gusts likely remain out of the waters. With that said, Gales are likely here through at least Friday afternoon. For the non-ocean waters, the Gale Watch remains posted for late Thursday night for the eastern Sound and bays, but it's appears it could fall short of criteria. Gales look more probable for Friday into Friday night on the non- ocean waters.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...High Risk for Rip Currents through Friday afternoon for NYZ075-080- 081-178-179. Coastal Flood Advisory from 7 PM Thursday to 9 AM EDT Friday for NYZ080-179. Coastal Flood Watch from Friday evening through Saturday morning for NYZ179. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until midnight EDT Thursday night for ANZ331-332-340-345. Gale Watch late Thursday night for ANZ331-332-340-345. Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Friday for ANZ335-338. Gale Warning until 6 AM EDT Friday for ANZ350-353-355. Gale Warning until 6 PM EDT Thursday for ANZ380-383-385. Storm Watch from Thursday evening through Friday afternoon for ANZ380-383-385.