textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
The Small Craft Advisory on the ocean has been extended thru the day from Fire Island Inlet to Montauk.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Well above normal temperatures through Friday.
2) Showers and thunderstorms possible through Friday, mainly each afternoon.
3) Strong cold front Sunday with temperatures returning to slightly below normal Sunday night through Tuesday.
KEY MESSAGE 3
A strong cold front is forecast to move through the region during Sunday, while there are still some timing difference, consenus is for a cold frontal passage Sunday afternoon. Showers will accompany the passage, with a chance of thunder as well. After a prolonged period of above normal temperatures, the cold front passage will return temperatures to several degrees below normal Sunday night through Tuesday.
OUTLOOK FOR 18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
Wednesday through Friday: Mainly VFR, with chance of afternoon and evening showers/tstms each day, mainly NW of the NYC metros, with brief flight cat reduction to MVFR. SW winds could gust 15-20kt each afternoon Wed-Thu as well.
Saturday: Mainly VFR. Easterly winds around 10kt.
Sunday: Chance of showers and thunderstorms, with MVFR conditions possible. S-SW winds 5-15kt.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Small craft advisories that were in effect have been cancelled as wave heights have fallen below 5 feet. There may an occasional gust near 25 kt or a wave height near 5 feet into this evening but it will be short lived. Otherwise sub-SCA conditions expected on all the waters through Sunday.
With the passage of a strong cold front Sunday, and high pressure building in from the west, westerly winds and gusts increase Sunday night, with SCA conditions developing on the ocean waters out to 20 nm but late Sunday night, and continuing into Monday. During Monday west to northwest gusts may reach advisory levels across the non ocean waters.
CLIMATE
Daily record high temperatures that could be reached:
Wed, April 15: KEWR: 88/1960 KBDR: 81/1960 KNYC: 87/1941 KLGA: 86/1941 KJFK: 80/2006 KISP: 78/2024
Daily record high minimum temperatures that could be reached:
Tue, April 14: KEWR: 62/2014 KBDR: 54/2023 KNYC: 70/2023 KLGA: 67/2023 KJFK: 55/2023 KISP: 54/2022
Wed, April 15: KEWR: 60/2023 KBDR: 53/2012 KNYC: 67/1941 KLGA: 64/1941 KJFK: 58/1960 KISP: 56/2023
Thu, April 16: KEWR: 64/2002 KBDR: 53/2002 KNYC: 69/2002 KLGA: 68/2002 KJFK: 57/2002 KISP: 55/2012
Fri, April 17: KEWR: 68/2002 KBDR: 57/2002 KNYC: 74/2002 KLGA: 73/2002 KJFK: 60/2002 KISP: 61/2002
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.
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