textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

The high temperature and wind gust forecast has increased slightly for today.

Forecast PoPs have increased for Saturday.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Warm, dry and gusty today with a localized elevated risk of fire spread today.

2) Wet and cool conditions for many on Saturday and potentially into Sunday.

KEY MESSAGE 2

A frontal system will slide south of the area on Saturday, bringing unsettled conditions. Guidance is a bit wetter and farther east than 24 hours ago. Stuck with NBM which now extends likely PoPs through all but eastern LI and southeastern CT. There still is a large amount if spread in total QPF. Latest NBM 48 hour QPF 10th percentile for NYC is 0.10 inches with the 90th percentile at 1.40 inches. Additionally, the ECMWF and Canadian now show more of a potential for this low to slow down and linger offshore. This could bring cooler and wetter conditions into Sunday. Given the long duration nature, there are still no flooding concerns at this time..

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY

Friday: Mainly VFR. Chance of showers with MVFR late at night.

Saturday: MVFR or lower at times with showers becoming likely. Far eastern terminals may remain dry much of the day.

Sunday: MVFR or lower possible mainly in the morning with a chance of showers.

Monday: MVFR or lower possible late at night with a chance of showers. Otherwise, mainly VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Forecast winds and waves remain below Small Craft Advisory levels through the middle of next week. However, there is still some uncertainty and a large spread in guidance with the pressure gradient this weekend. An increase in forecast easterly wind gusts up to around Small Craft criteria is not out of the question.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.