textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
Small Craft advisory has been cancelled. Otherwise, no significant changes with the forecast.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Heat advisory remains in effect for much of the region Thursday through Friday with hot and humid conditions expected.
2) There is a risk for isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms and localized flash flooding during the late afternoon and evening hours Thursday and Friday.
3) Still hot but not as humid for the weekend, temperatures cool off more early next week. Multiple chances of showers and possible thunderstorms.
KEY MESSAGE 3
Still hot for the weekend with quite a few locations reaching highs in the lower 90s but lower dew points will limit the extent of the heat index values as the airmass will become less humid. Heat indices max values stay near 90 or less. Unsettled weather pattern establishes itself, nearly zonal mid level flow. Periodic low pressure disturbances with periodic chances of showers heading into early next week.
OUTLOOK FOR 12Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY
Friday: VFR initially. Then MVFR or lower possible at times with chances for showers and thunderstorms late afternoon into the night. Again, potential for some thunderstorms to be severe with main threat being damaging winds.
Saturday: VFR.
Sunday: VFR early day, then slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm with brief MVFR or lower possible. Showers likely at night with MVFR or lower possible and a slight chance of a thunderstorm. Southerly wind gusts 15-20 kt afternoon and evening.
Monday: Mainly VFR. Slight chance of a shower with MVFR possible.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
SCA conditions have largely come to an end so the advisories have been cancelled.
Sub-SCA conditions are expected through much of the forecast period with near SCA conditions possible once again for the ocean waters Sunday afternoon through Monday morning.
Rip Currents...
For today, there is a moderate rip current risk with SW winds around 10 kt and surf around 3 ft.
For Friday, the risk is low with with SW-S winds around 10 kt and surf heights around 2 ft
CLIMATE
Record High Temperatures:
June 11: KEWR: 96/2000 KBDR: 93/1984 KNYC: 95/1973 KLGA: 96/1984 KJFK: 93/1984 KISP: 93/1973
June 12: KEWR: 97/2017 KBDR: 93/2017 KNYC: 93/2017 KLGA: 96/2017 KJFK: 92/2017 KISP: 91/2017
Record High Minimum Temperatures:
June 11: KEWR: 77/1984 KBDR: 71/2008 KNYC: 78/1984 KLGA: 76/1973 KJFK: 76/1984 KISP: 71/1984
June 12: KEWR: 74/1973 KBDR: 69/1973 KNYC: 76/2017 KLGA: 76/2017 KJFK: 73/1970 KISP: 70/1973
June 13: KEWR: 74/2005 KBDR: 71/2017 KNYC: 77/2017 KLGA: 80/2017 KJFK: 72/2017 KISP: 70/1969
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM EDT Friday for CTZ005>010. Air Quality Alert from 11 AM this morning to 11 PM EDT this evening for CTZ009>012. NY...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM EDT Friday for NYZ067>075-078-080-176>179. Air Quality Alert from 11 AM this morning to 11 PM EDT this evening for NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179. NJ...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM EDT Friday for NJZ002- 004-006-103>108. MARINE...None.
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