textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

A Frost Advisory is in effect for interior southern Connecticut late tonight into Saturday morning.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Widespread frost likely across interior southern Connecticut tonight.

2) Wet and cool conditions Saturday through Sunday night.

3) Cooler wetter pattern towards mid to late next week.

KEY MESSAGE 3

Periodic weak low pressure in the vicinity accompanied by periodic mid level trough activity will make for an unsettled weather pattern towards mid to late next week. Overall, on average a cooler and wetter weather pattern is forecast.

Large scale numerical weather prediction forecast models show weak low pressure out in the Atlantic Monday night into Tuesday, with high pressure well to the north and east southeast of Newfoundland. The weak area of low pressure lingers into midweek in the Western Atlantic but another wave of low pressure approaches from the west Wednesday into Wednesday night. This incoming wave of low pressure may very well also linger near the region heading towards the end of next week.

The entire time period is not expected to be a washout. The highest chances of rain relatively speaking are forecast in the Wednesday through Wednesday night as well as Friday through Friday night timeframe. Rain showers are in the forecast and rain could be moderate to possibly briefly heavy at times.

The cooler temperature on average will come from the daytime high temperatures forecast to be several degrees normal. The forecast lows are closer to normal. Therefore, there is expected to be less of a diurnal temperature range.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

Saturday Night: MVFR to IFR in Rain. However, there is low confidence for ceilings getting to IFR at KGON. E-ESE wind gusts 15-20 kt, mainly at the NYC terminals.

Sunday: MVFR or lower with a chance of rain. Improvements to VFR possible for inland terminals in the afternoon. ENE wind gusts 15-20 kt.

Monday: Mainly VFR.

Tuesday-Wednesday: Chance of showers and MVFR late Tuesday into Wednesday.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

With weak high pressure in control tonight, and weak low pressure approaching to the west Saturday winds and seas across the forecast waters will remain below advisory levels. There is a low chance that a few gusts may approach 25 kt on the ocean waters west of Fire Island Inlet Saturday and the low approaches. Then with the low passing to the south Sunday and Sunday night, and high pressure to the north, the gradient flow will increase over the ocean waters and SCA conditions are expected to develop during Sunday morning and persist into Monday, subsiding late in the day as the low moves well southeast of the waters.

Mainly below SCA conditions are expected Monday night through the middle of next week. Only exception would be for the ocean Monday night when SCA conditions of seas near 5 ft and some brief 25 kt NE wind gusts are forecast.

CLIMATE

Record Low Maximum Temperatures for Saturday, April 25:

KEWR: 48/1955 KBDR: 45/1992 KNYC: 43/1919 KLGA: 48/1955 KJFK: 47/1956 KISP: 47/1965

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM EDT Saturday for CTZ005>008. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.