textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Strong convection is no longer expected late tonight into early Wednesday. A few showers or isolated thunderstorm can not be completely ruled out.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Showers and thunderstorms possible mid to late week. Some strong thunderstorms are possible Thursday night into early Friday.

2) Some minor coastal flooding for some of the coastline for night time high tide cycles through Thursday night with recent new moon.

KEY MESSAGE 2

A recent new moon has allowed for astronomical tides to increase. With some onshore flow, total water levels will increase tonight through Thursday night. This will bring potential for minor coastal flooding during the evening/nighttime high tides tonight through Thursday for some portions of the coastline, mainly for the South Shore Bays of Long Island and Western Long Island Sound shorelines adjacent to Westchester NY and Fairfield CT.

Model guidance still indicates a threat for more widespread minor coastal flooding during the Wednesday night high tide along the south shore of Nassau and Queens and coastal Westchester and Fairfield as astronomical tides peak. Localized minor flooding still possible for vulnerable locations along NY/NJ Harbor and tidally affected NE NJ rivers during this time as well.

Minor coastal flooding thresholds are forecast to be met for some sites for tonight's high tide, just over the minor benchmarks, which is covered by a coastal flood statement.

The coastal flood statements cover the South Shore Bays of Long Island and Southern Fairfield CT as well as Southern Westchester NY shorelines for this evening.

The highest total water level forecasts will be Wednesday night during the high tide, with more widespread minor coastal flood potential.

The astronomical levels lower Thursday night so total water level forecasts slightly decrease compared to the previous night. Minor coastal flooding will still be possible but less above the minor benchmark and less coverage.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

Wednesday evening and night: Slight chance of thunderstorms.

Thursday Afternoon: VFR most of the time, chance at sub VFR in scattered showers and thunderstorms primarily in the evening. S- SW winds, with W / NW winds at night.

Friday-Saturday: VFR. NW windS with gusts 20-25kt Friday. N to NW winds up to 10 kt Saturday.

Sunday: VFR likely for much of the day. Sub VFR possible late in the day and at night in showers and a chance of thunderstorms.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Conditions on the waters are forecast to remain below SCA thresholds through much of the weekend as the forecast pressure gradient will not become too steep.

Conditions Sunday night into Monday trend more towards SCA levels for mainly the ocean as high pressure moves offshore and low pressure approaches from the west. Some non-ocean zones will have SCA potential for wind gusts as well.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.