textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
No significant changes overall.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Next chance of rain Sunday afternoon into Sunday night with no significant impacts.
2) Dry next week and generally cooler than normal.
KEY MESSAGE 2
High pressure will dominate the weather pattern next week with dry weather expected Monday through Friday. High temperatures in the 60s for the most part. Only chance of any headlines would be related to a frost potential in some of the northern suburbs Tuesday night as a clear sky and light to calm winds should help temperatures there fall into the mid 30s.
OUTLOOK FOR 12Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
Sunday: VFR likely in AM. MVFR or lower possible with chance of rain in the afternoon and evening. Best chance for rain will be at the NYC metro and coastal terminals. ENE winds G15-18kt in the morning.
Monday: VFR. NW winds 10-15G20kt in the afternoon and evening.
Tuesday and Wednesday: VFR.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Sub-SCA conditions are expected to prevail this weekend, however there could be occasional gusts to 25kt on the ocean waters today and Sunday. Thinking is that widespread SCA gusts across any of the zones won't prevail for a long enough time to warrant an advisory. There could be more widespread instances of 25kt+ gusts on Sunday, and with an easterly winds, perhaps most of each of the ocean zones could see 5 ft waves. Being it's a 3rd period forecast, there's time to hold off on a SCA issuance and see how models trend.
What appears to be a more certain SCA event is late day Monday through Monday night with a decent shot of cold air advection. Bumped up gusts during this period from NBM as it often is too low with the spread between sustained speeds and gusts in a setup such as this one. After potential lingering gusts early Tuesday, a weak pressure gradient promotes sub-advisory conditions for the rest of the forecast period.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.
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