textproduct: New York

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

WHAT HAS CHANGED

What remains of the SCA will be allowed to expire at 18Z.

Guidance has been trending further west for showers and storms during the daytime tomorrow.

KEY MESSAGES

1. High rip current risk for today.

2. Potential for scattered afternoon/early evening heavy downpour and thunderstorm activity from Wednesday into the weekend.

3. Very warm and very humid for Thursday into the weekend.

KEY MESSAGE 3

Very warm and very humid for Thursday into the weekend.

Temps should rise to at least to the upper 80s to around 90 for NE NJ/NYC metro and the interior, with dewpoints in the mid 70s, from Thu through Mon. GFS MOS guidance shows lower dewpoints but higher temperatures compared to NBM. Both bring heat index values to 95-100 on Thu, 95-104 Fri, and continuing above 95 in urban/coastal areas and across the interior river valleys from Sat-Mon. If this trend continues, a heat advisory may be needed.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

Wednesday Night through Saturday: MVFR or lower flight cat at times in showers/tstms, highest chance for western terminals. Winds mainly S-SW.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Could see a period of winds/seas approaching 25 kt and 5 ft on the ocean waters W of Moriches Inlet from late day into the evening on Thu.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...High Risk for Rip Currents until 8 PM EDT this evening for NYZ075- 080-081-178-179. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ350.


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