textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
Snowfall totals have increased slightly across the area.
The Winter Weather Advisory has been expanded to include Orange and western Passaic Counties. The end times of the Advisories have also been extended to end later tonight.
KEY MESSAGES
1.) Areas of black ice may continue to cause hazardous travel conditions early this morning.
2.) A coastal storm will bring snow to the area today. Winter Weather Advisories are in effect for the entire area this morning through tonight. Widespread 3 to 5 inches is expected.
3.) Below normal temperatures expected Monday through next weekend, with the coldest period being Monday through Tuesday night. Wind chill values Monday and Tuesday night will be in the single digits for most, below zero for parts of the interior.
KEY MESSAGE 3
Cold weather will remain across the region next week, with, temperatures remaining below normal much of the time. The coldest period will be Monday night through Tuesday night as Canadian cold air moves into the region behind a cold frontal passage Monday night. Temperatures during this period will be as much as 10 to 20 degrees below normal. Despite the anomalously cold air no records are expected to be set. And with windy conditions Monday into Tuesday, wind chill values will remain higher than cold weather advisory criteria. For Wednesday and Thursday, temperatures will be near normal to near 5 degrees below normal. Another shot of cold air moves in for Friday and Saturday, with temperatures both days remaining right around or below the freezing mark. There will be minimal chances of light snow and/or light rain Thursday into Friday as weak low pressure systems pass near the region.
OUTLOOK FOR 06Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
Late Sunday night: Conditions gradually improving to MVFR/VFR from west to east at most terminals. Snow with IFR cond should hang on at KGON until 08Z-09Z.
Monday: VFR. WSW winds G20-25kt.
Tuesday: VFR. W winds G20-25kt.
Wednesday: VFR. SW-S winds G15-20 kt in the afternoon.
Thursday: Mainly VFR. Slight chance of light snow, maybe snow/rain along the coast, with MVFR or lower cond. SW-W winds G15-20kt.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
A Small Craft Advisory continues on the central and eastern Ocean zone for lingering 5 ft seas today.
The Advisory gets expanded to include the western ocean zone on Monday when seas and winds increase. There is potential for the Advisory to get expanded to the non ocean waters, but right now forecast wind gusts are too marginal.
Advisories will likely need to be extended beyond Monday as winds come back up on Tuesday and elevated seas linger for several days.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Winter Weather Advisory until midnight EST tonight for CTZ005- 009. Winter Weather Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 4 AM EST Monday for CTZ006>008-010>012. NY...Winter Weather Advisory until midnight EST tonight for NYZ067>075-176>179. Winter Weather Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 4 AM EST Monday for NYZ078>081. NJ...Winter Weather Advisory until midnight EST tonight for NJZ002- 004-006-103>108. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST Monday for ANZ350-353. Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM to 6 PM EST Monday for ANZ355.
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