textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
No significant changes to the forecast. Precipitation amounts for today and Sunday were adjusted down a bit based on the latest guidance trends.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Cool, wet conditions are expected today through the weekend.
2) An unsettled pattern develops into mid next week with a series of weather systems affecting the area.
KEY MESSAGE 2
The CPC 6-10 day outlook depicts a cooler and wetter pattern into early May for the northeast. This looks to be the result of a series of upper lows and shots of cold air originating from central Canada during this timeframe. With respect to sensible weather for this week, after a dry and warmer day on Monday and Tuesday shower chances return late Tuesday through Thursday as a series of weak frontal systems passes through the region. While it won't be a washout, shower chances remain in the forecast for much of the midweek period.
OUTLOOK FOR 12Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
Sunday: Improvements to VFR possible for inland terminals in the afternoon. ENE wind gusts 15-20 kt.
Monday: Mainly VFR.
Tuesday-Wednesday: Chance of showers and MVFR late Tuesday into Wednesday.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Sub SCA conditions are expected on all waters today. There is a low chance that a few brief gusts may approach 25 kt on the ocean waters west of Fire Island Inlet as low pressure approaches, but confidence is low in occurrence.
Gradient flow will increase over the ocean waters and SCA conditions are expected to develop during Sunday morning and persist into Monday, subsiding late in the day as the low moves well southeast of the waters. SCAs will likely be needed with elevated seas and gusts over 25kts.
Mainly below SCA conditions are expected Monday night through the middle of next week. Only exception would be for the ocean Monday night when SCA conditions of seas near 5 ft and some brief 25 kt NE wind gusts are forecast.
CLIMATE
Record Low Maximum Temperatures for Saturday, April 25:
KEWR: 48/1955 KBDR: 45/1992 KNYC: 43/1919 KLGA: 48/1955 KJFK: 47/1956 KISP: 47/1965
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.
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