textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Winds advisory extended till 8am for entire area. Otherwise, improving conditions this morning in wake of strong cold frontal passage

KEY MESSAGES

1) Strong wind gusts will diminish through 8am from west to east.

2) An unseasonably cold airmass settles into the area for Tuesday through Thursday.

3) A frontal boundary will move across the region this weekend bring another chance of precipitation.

KEY MESSAGE 2

Anomalously deep polar trough across the Ohio Valley this morning, shears NE through the region thru tonight, with mean troughing continuing through the week. At the surface, intense low pressure moves north through Quebec with polar high pressure sinking into the southern US today and then gradually retreating up the eastern seaboard through mid week.

Gusty NW winds of 15-25G30-35 mph through Tuesday will diminish Tuesday Night, but no before ushering in temps Tuesday through Wednesday night running about 10 degrees below normal for mid-March. Windchills in the 30s Tue and Wed and into the teens Tue Night. Gradual moderation for the end of the week, with temps returning toward normal Thursday, and perhaps slightly above normal by Friday ahead of approaching frontal system.

Key Message 3...

A series of frontal systems are likely to approach Friday and move across the region through this weekend. There remains inherent timing issues with exactly when the front moves across the area. Expect at least some chance POPs this weekend, with rain across the southern half of the CWA and some light snow or a rain/snow across the northern half as the fronts moves through.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

Late tonight: VFR.

Wednesday-Thursday: VFR.

Friday-Friday night: VFR during the day, with possible sub VFR in SHRA at night.

Saturday: Sub VFR and SHRA possible, mainly in the morning.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Westerly gales behind the cold front passage will gradually subside to SCA through this morning. SCA gusts likely on all water through today, lingering into tonight for the ocean waters. Ocean seas, mainly in southerly swells, will be slow to subside below SCA through Wednesday AM.

Sub-SCA conditions then expected for midweek as high pressure builds over the waters.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...Wind Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for CTZ005>012. NY...Wind Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for NYZ067>075- 078>081-176>179. NJ...Wind Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for NJZ002-004-006- 103>108. MARINE...Gale Warning until 8 AM EDT this morning for ANZ331-332-335- 338-340-345. Gale Warning until 11 AM EDT this morning for ANZ350-353-355.