textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Rainfall forecasts continue to lower compared to previous forecast and flash flooding is no longer expected Sunday.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Widespread rain Sunday into Sunday night.

2) Breezy and cool conditions likely mid to late next week, with periods of unsettled weather possible. Potential for minor to moderate coastal flood and shoreline impacts mid to late next week.

KEY MESSAGE 2

Potential for a period of unsettled weather mainly Wednesday night through Friday night between strong Canadian high pressure anchoring across SE Canada and northern New England while a series of lows that are expected to develop over the SE US coast deepen and head northeast during this time frame. These lows are in response to a closed upper low currently over the PAC NW slowly drifting across the US to the Great Lakes and then east coast during the mid to late week. There is still a fair amount of uncertainty at this time, but the current track takes the low on a slow track northward from Wednesday through Friday, staying east of the region.

Below normal temperatures are expected from mid to late week thanks to cool, Canadian high pressure, mostly cloudy skies, and persistent breezy east to northeast flow (gusts 30-40 mph) during this time frame.

If persistent and long fetch E/NE gales materialize during the mid to late week period, ahead of the approaching full moon next weekend, this will bring potential for minor to moderate coastal flood and shoreline impacts during time of high tide.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

Sunday Afternoon/Night: Rain ends from NW to SE Sunday night with the Lower Hudson Valley terminals possibly going VFR overnight. Southeasterly wind gusts near 15-20 kt in the afternoon/early evening, especially at the coastal terminals.

Monday: Becoming VFR with a low chance for showers at the coast. N-NE wind gusts near 20 kt.

Tuesday through Thursday: Chance of MVFR or lower in showers. NE wind gusts 20-25 kt Tuesday and 20 to 30 kt Wednesday and Thursday, highest at the coastal terminals.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

High pressure builds in through tonight. The high shifts east over southeastern Canada with a frontal system moving in Sunday into Sunday night. Sub SCA conditions are expected through this time frame.

A prolonged period SCA conditions are expected Tuesday through Tuesday night. A prolonged period of gales is possible from late Tuesday night on the ocean waters through the end of the week as a coastal low impacts the waters. Gales are possible on all other non- ocean waters (except the harbor) from Thursday onward. The harbor is likely to remain below gales (SCA likely) through this time frame. This will lead waves to build on the ocean 12-15+ ft and 4-6+ ft on LI sound.

Rip Currents: The rip current risk remains moderate through Monday. Ocean swells will be near 3 to 4 ft with some onshore component, and increasing into midweek.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.