textproduct: New York

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes to forecast.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Gradual warming trend through the end of the week.

2) Showers and thunderstorms are possible both Thursday and Friday afternoon and evenings.

3) Mainly dry conditions for the upcoming weekend with seasonably warm temperatures.

KEY MESSAGE 3

The ensemble mean synoptic pattern across the CONUS indicates ridging across the west and NW flow/troughing over the east and Western Atlantic. This pattern should keep conditions mainly dry through the weekend with temperatures near seasonably warm levels. The general synoptic pattern could persist into early next week with only a slight uptick in temperatures.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY

Thursday afternoon through Friday: Mainly VFR. Chance of afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms each day with brief MVFR to IFR conditions possible.

Saturday through Monday: VFR.

MARINE

SCA remains in effect on the ocean waters east of Moriches Inlet through 2 pm due to lingering 4-5 ft seas. Seas will diminish on all waters today with high pressure returning. A frontal system passes across the waters late Friday into Friday night. Conditions should remain below SCA levels through the upcoming weekend.

Rip Currents: A moderate risk of rip currents persists through Friday, due to a mixture of 1-3 ft S wind wave and lingering 1-3 ft SE/E swells.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ350.


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