textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
No significant changes.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Summer-like warmth builds this weekend into Wednesday. Potential for isolated tstm activity Mon and Tue aft/eve west of the Hudson R, with scattered activity with cold frontal approach Wed aft/eve.
2) Cold water safety concerns for this weekend with good boating weather, and water temps still in the lower 50s.
KEY MESSAGE 2
There are cold water safety concerns this weekend as water temperatures remain in the lower 50s. The cold water temperatures can quickly cause hypothermia and physical incapacitation to anyone suddenly immersed in the water. Anyone going out on small boats, canoes or kayaks should plan accordingly and use extreme caution to avoid this threat.
OUTLOOK FOR 00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
Saturday: VFR. S/SW winds subsiding to 5 to 10kt. Isolated shra potential Sat Night.
Sunday: VFR. W/SW winds 10-15g20kt, giving way to late afternoon seabreeze for south coastal terminals.
Monday: VFR. SE winds 10-15g20kt. Isolated tsra potential Monday Night.
Tuesday: VFR. S/SW winds 10-20g25kt. Isolated tsra potential late Monday aft/eve, mainly west of Hudson terminals.
Wednesday: VFR, giving way to possible MVFR or lower in scattered SHRA/TSRA in the late afternoon/evening. S/SW winds 15-20g25-30kt. NW windshift in the evening.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
SE swell from low pressure heading up into the Canadian Maritime will continue SCA seas across the ocean waters into the first half of tonight. The respite will be short-lived, as high pressure quickly builds across the waters late tonight into Saturday morning, then to the east.
A strengthening southerly flow is likely to bring a return to SCA conditions on the ocean late Saturday afternoon/early evening. as well as 25 kt gusts in Lower NY Harbor and south shore bays of W LI. Winds will gradually subside the second half of Saturday night into Sunday. However, ocean seas could linger around 5 ft on the ocean waters for much of Sunday with residual S swell.
There are cold water safety concerns this weekend as water temperatures remain in the lower 50s. The cold water temperatures can quickly cause hypothermia and physical incapacitation to anyone suddenly immersed in the water. Anyone going out on small boats, canoes or kayaks should plan accordingly and use extreme caution to avoid this threat.
Sub-SCA conditions are anticipated Sunday night through Monday night as flow temporarily weakens under high pressure. SCA conditions likely redevelop on the ocean water Tue into Tue night with strengthening SW flow, potentially for all waters by Wednesday.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM to 11 PM EDT Saturday for ANZ338-345. Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ350-353- 355. Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM Saturday to 8 PM EDT Sunday for ANZ350-353-355.
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