textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No notable changes to the forecast have been made.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Cold Weather Advisories for Orange and Putnam counties tonight into Monday morning. Cold temperatures persist through the week.

2) A cold front will bring a re-enforcing shot of cold air next weekend.

3) Minor tidal flooding possible for Monday morning's high tide cycle, most likely for the South Shore Bays of Long Island.

KEY MESSAGE 3

Astronomical levels are still high with recent full moon. Surge forecast to increase tonight into early Monday but NW flow will be a negative offset to this, with total water levels near the same levels as experienced today as a result.

Total water levels observed with earlier high tide cycle were less than forecast. With NW gusty flow continuing through much of tonight and redeveloping Monday, thinking here that surge forecasts will end up being on the lower side with primary offshore flow.

The only places that reached minor coastal flood benchmarks were a few sites in the South Shore Bays and these areas are in coastal flood statement for Monday morning. This includes Southern Queens and Southern Nassau.

Isolated minor coastal impacts are expected Monday morning within the South Shore Bays but will be less probable for other shorelines with water levels forecast to fall short of minor coastal flood benchmarks.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

Monday night-Thursday: VFR.

Friday: MVFR or lower with a chance of snow.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Northerly winds slowly diminish tonight. A Gale Warning remains in effect for the ocean waters into the first half of tonight. For the non-ocean waters a SCA has replaced the Gale Warning that had expired, and continues through tonight, and possibly into a part of Monday morning. Advisory conditions remain on the ocean late tonight through at least some of Monday night, and a SCA will be needed once the Gale Warning expires.

A weak pressure gradient will result in relatively tranquil conditions through the mid-week period. Low pressure is expected to pass south of the waters on Wednesday, however conditions right now are forecast to remain below SCA conditions. Another chance for SCA conditions come late in the week or next weekend with the passage of a cold front.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...Cold Weather Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Monday for NYZ067-068. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EST Monday for ANZ331-332-335- 338-340-345. Gale Warning until 1 AM EST Monday for ANZ350-353-355.