textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
No significant changes.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Nor'easter weakening with additional rain today.
2) Minor coastal flooding expected around the times of high tide into early this afternoon.
3) A warmup possible by the end of the week.
KEY MESSAGE 3
The modeling has been in good agreement for some time, including the CPC outlooks, that a quick warming trend will impact the area this week. This timing now looks to be focusing in on Thu and Fri before a cold frontal passage cools things off again. The NBM indicates 70s to near 80, but temps aloft combined with progged wly component winds would support highs near 90, especially the usual warmer spots in NJ and NY.
OUTLOOK FOR 12Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
Tuesday: MVFR cigs in the morning, then VFR.
Wednesday through Friday: VFR.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
SCA remains in effect for the protected waters through this afternoon, and for the ocean through this evening.
High pressure builds in through the middle of the week, keeping winds and seas below SCA levels through Wed. There is a low chance that SW winds increase to SCA lvls on the ocean Thu and/or Fri ahead of the next cold front.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Coastal Flood Advisory until 3 PM EDT this afternoon for CTZ009-010. NY...Coastal Flood Advisory until 3 PM EDT this afternoon for NYZ071-073-078-176-177. Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for NYZ072-074-075-080-178-179. Coastal Flood Advisory until 3 PM EDT this afternoon for NYZ079-081. NJ...Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for NJZ006-104-106-108. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ331- 332-335-338-340-345. Small Craft Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for ANZ350-353- 355.
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