textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

The probability of mainly light rain has increased late Saturday into Saturday night.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Lingering showers across Long Island and S CT early this morning, followed by a cold front passage this afternoon/evening isolated to widely scattered showers.

2) Some light rain is possible late Saturday into Saturday night despite low pressure likely passing well offshore.

3) A warming trend early next week may be accompanied by unsettled conditions next Tuesday or Wednesday.

KEY MESSAGE 3

Cool conditions this weekend will trend warmer early next week. Highs struggling to get out of the 50s Saturday and Sunday should warm into the 60s on Monday and then potentially the 70s away from the immediate coast on Tuesday.

Another frontal system may approach the area Tuesday into next Wednesday bringing the next chance of showers. The best chance of showers is still uncertain as it will revolve around the timing and amplification of the next mid-upper level trough.

OUTLOOK FOR 012 FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

Friday: VFR with NW flow 10-20 kt.

Saturday: Chance of light rain with MVFR cond mainly E of the NYC metros late in the afternoon and at night.

Sunday and Monday: VFR.

Tuesday: Mainly VFR. MVFR or lower in any showers. Highest chances for showers and MVFR or lower conditions across Lower Hudson Valley.

Wednesday: Mainly VFR in the morning. MVFR or lower in any showers. Chances for showers increase from the morning to the afternoon.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

E swells will around 5 ft on the ocean waters through this afternoon. No changes were made to the SCA in effect for the ocean waters out 20 nm. Swells should start subsiding tonight along with increasing NW flow. This will allow wave heights to settle below 5 ft through Friday. Wind gusts are expected to remain below 25 kt.

Low pressure is expected to pass well offshore Saturday night. There is a low chance for seas to build closer to 5 ft and winds gusting closer to 25 kt, especially east of Moriches Inlet, if the low were to track a bit closer to our waters. Confidence is low in this scenario with a higher chance conditions remain below SCA levels through the weekend.

The pressure gradient tightens and winds increase on Monday. SCA conditions are possible Monday into Tuesday.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ350- 353-355.