textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
Isolated to scattered snow showers put in the forecast for portions of the region early Saturday.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Unseasonably cold conditions to start the weekend trend milder Sunday through next week.
2) Unsettled weather pattern shaping up next week with chances of rain.
KEY MESSAGE 2
Early in the week a frontal system approaches from the north and west. An associated warm front moves through Monday night into early Tuesday. Without much upper level support, rain will be light if any occurs. Chances for rain are relatively low.
Mid to late week, a few shortwaves embedded in the mid level flow. The associated cold front moves in Wednesday into Wednesday night and may stall nearby into the end of the week.
Chances of rain are forecast much of the mid to late part of the forecast period as a result.
Airmass trends warmer than normal for early into midweek and then colder air behind the cold front works in for late week.
Precip type mainly rain, although some more northern locations in Lower Hudson Valley and Southern CT may have a brief mix with snow late Thursday night.
OUTLOOK FOR 00Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
Saturday night: VFR. NW winds 5-10kt, becoming light and variable late.
Sunday and Monday: VFR. SW winds G20kt in the afternoon and early evening.
Monday Night-Wednesday: Chance of rain with MVFR or lower cond possible. Fog may develop at night.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Non advisory conditions return to the eastern ocean waters overnight as seas continue to gradually lower.
Marginal SCA wind gusts possible on the ocean on Saturday with a modestly strong N/NW flow, though should be occasional enough to not warrant issuing an advisory. Otherwise, winds and seas should remain below Advisory levels into Saturday night.
For next week, SCA potential much of the time on the ocean. Aside from around midweek, the non-ocean zones will be mainly below SCA thresholds.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for ANZ350. Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for ANZ353.
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