textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
A bit cooler Wednesday due to faster cold front timing.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Summer-like warmth continues into Wednesday.
2) An approaching cold front will bring showers and thunderstorms to the the area Wednesday. More seasonable weather to follow behind the cold front for the end of the week.
3) Cold water safety concerns continue this weekend with good boating weather, and water temps still in the lower 50s
KEY MESSAGE 3
Cold water safety concerns today as water temperatures remain in the 50s. The cold water temperatures can quickly cause hypothermia and physical incapacitation to anyone suddenly immersed in the water. Anyone going out on small boats, canoes or kayaks should plan accordingly and use extreme caution to avoid this threat.
OUTLOOK FOR 12Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
Monday: VFR. SE winds 10-15g20kt afternoon into early eve.
Tuesday: VFR. S/SW winds 10-15g20-25kt day into eve. Isolated thunderstorm potential afternoon into early eve, mainly north of NYC terminals with brief MVFR or lower possible.
Wednesday: VFR, giving way to possible MVFR or lower with potential showers and thunderstorms. Showers likely afternoon into eve with a chance of thunderstorms. S/SW winds 10-15g20-25kt day into eve. Peak gusts to near 30 kt possible. NW windshift in the evening.
Thursday: MVFR or lower possible with a chance of showers.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
A SCA remains in effect for the oceans through early this afternoon.
Seas are a bit lower this morning and based on trends in the guidance, seas are likely to fall below 4 ft on the nearshore ocean zones by early this afternoon.
Cold water safety concerns today as water temperatures remain in the 50s. The cold water temperatures can quickly cause hypothermia and physical incapacitation to anyone suddenly immersed in the water. Anyone going out on small boats, canoes or kayaks should plan accordingly and use extreme caution to avoid this threat.
Sub-SCA conditions are anticipated Sunday night through Monday night as flow temporarily weakens under high pressure. SCA conditions likely redevelop on the ocean water Tue into Tue night with strengthening SW flow, potentially for all waters by Wednesday.
CLIMATE
Record High Temperatures:
May 17: KEWR: 94/1974 KBDR: 85/1974 KNYC: 92/1974 KLGA: 94/2017 KJFK: 89/1974 KISP: 85/1974
May 19: KEWR: 98/1962 KBDR: 89/2017 KNYC: 99/1962 KLGA: 96/2017 KJFK: 92/2017 KISP: 89/2017
Record High Minimum Temperatures:
May 17: KEWR: 68/2015 KBDR: 60/2025 KNYC: 70/1906 KLGA: 68/1965 KJFK: 63/1965 KISP: 62/2015
May 18: KEWR: 74/2017 KBDR: 66/2017 KNYC: 75/2017 KLGA: 80/2017 KJFK: 65/2017 KISP: 63/1977
May 19: KEWR: 67/1986 KBDR: 66/2017 KNYC: 68/1986 KLGA: 68/2017 KJFK: 67/2017 KISP: 65/2017
May 20: KEWR: 72/1996 KBDR: 61/2019 KNYC: 74/1996 KLGA: 77/1996 KJFK: 63/1996 KISP: 62/1996
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ350- 353-355.
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