textproduct: New York
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
No significant changes.
KEY MESSAGES
1. A weak area of low pressure passes to the north Monday night into Tuesday, bringing a low end chance for precipitation for the interior.
2. Temperatures warm to near seasonable levels Thursday, followed by an increasing probability of above normal temperatures for later in the week.
KEY MESSAGE 2
Temperatures will remain below average through the middle of the week, with the coldest readings on Wednesday. Highs will only be in the middle 40s to lower 50s.
THe high moves offshore Wednesday night into Thursday allowing for a more moderate airmass to advect into the area toward the end of the week. Temperature uncertainty increases Thursday, mainly due to uncertainty around the sfc wind direction. With water temperatures still quite cold a more southerly or easterly component to the wind as opposed to a more westerly component will have a big effect on temperatures. Thus, have stayed with the NBM temperature guidance through Thursday night. However, with a cold front that likely washes out with rising heights just upstream look for the potential for noticeably warmer temperatures than consensus guidance is currently indicating for Friday, and on Saturday as well. For now staying close to the NBM, but there is a higher than average chance for adjustments going forward in time.
OUTLOOK FOR 00Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
Monday Night: VFR.
Tuesday: Mainly VFR. Low chance MVFR or lower possible in any showers. W-NW winds around 10 kt with gusts around 20 kt.
Wednesday-Friday: VFR.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Small Craft Advisory for the ocean was extended through the day Monday as wave heights remain above 5 ft, though waves diminish through the day and SCA may come down for Sandy Hook to Fire Island inlet before the day's end.
Marginal small craft conditions are possible in NW flow Tuesday, possibly lingering on the eastern ocean waters Tuesday night. Otherwise, sub advisory conditions prevail for mid week during Wednesday into Thursday.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Monday for ANZ350-353-355.
IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.
textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.