textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Trends have been moving toward a weaker and more disorganized system later this week.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Dry with seasonable temperatures through Tuesday night.

2) A series of cold fronts arrives Wednesday into Thursday bringing the chance of rain showers initially, possibly exiting as snow showers. This also brings a return to seasonably cold conditions later this week.

3) Keeping an eye out for another chance of low pressure development possible next weekend into early next week.

KEY MESSAGE 3

Behind the initial trough on Thursday and Friday, another piece of mid-level energy dives in from Canada resulting in a deepening of a trough to the west. This may result in another opportunity for a low pressure development over the area any time between late Saturday and Monday. Trends in this timeframe will be closely monitored in subsequent forecasts for any potential impacts to the area, but variability in the timing, strength of the trough, and presence of cold air is too uncertain to provide any details at this time.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

Tuesday night: VFR.

Wednesday: Showers possible, especially in the afternoon into the night. MVFR or lower possible.

Thursday: Chance of rain and/or snow with MVFR possible. WNW wind gusts 15-20kt during the afternoon and through the night.

Friday: VFR. WNW wind gusts 15-20kt.

Saturday: Mainly VFR, slight chance of light rain and snow late in the day.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

Just the central and eastern ocean zones will continue with SCA conditions tonight, before diminishing around or a little before sunrise Tuesday morning. Sub-advisory conditions are expected during Tuesday, although a SW flow increases later in the day. Small craft conditions are likely to return for the ocean waters, and possibly the south shore bays and far eastern portions of LI Sound Tuesday night. Small craft seas may linger out on the eastern ocean waters during a portion of Wednesday, otherwise sub advisory conditions should prevail late in the day and into Wednesday night.

SCA conditions are expected to return to the ocean waters Thursday with wave heights above 5 feet and some gusts 25-30kt. This persists through Friday with sub-SCA conditions on all waters expected by late Friday night.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EST Tuesday for ANZ350-353.