textproduct: New York

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes made to forecast.

KEY MESSAGES

1.) Temperatures remain below normal through at least early next week with the exception of Thursday.

2.) Potential for snow late Saturday into Sunday.

KEY MESSAGE 2

We will continue to monitor a low pressure system moving out of the middle portion of the country which is expected to move off the Middle Atlantic coast early Sunday morning and pass south of long island during the day Sunday. With plenty of cold air in place, any precipitation will be in the form of snow. The question is how far north the precipitation field from this low reaches. 00z GFS/CMC has the area seeing a period of snow during this period. Will continue to stick close to the NBM guidance. The forecast carries a chance of snow from Sat night into Sunday night, though it is still way too early to get into specifics.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

Wednesday: VFR. SW-S winds G20-25kt in the afternoon.

Thursday: A period of MVFR or lower possible with a band of rain or snow.

Friday: VFR with W winds becoming NW G25-35kt.

Saturday: MVFR or lower possible depending on the track, timing, and intensity of possible low pres.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE

A gusty west flow will produce SCA conditions across all waters today, persisting on the ocean through the early morning hours Wednesday. Seas on the ocean are expected to build as high as 5 to 9 ft, highest east of Moriches Inlet due to the westerly fetch. Waves on the sound will get up to 3 to 5 ft. Winds and seas will begin to gradually subside tonight.

Some freezing spray is possible from through at least the first part of tonight.

A brief lull Wednesday morning will be replaced by a strengthening SW flow in the afternoon with the return of SCA conditions on the ocean waters. The SCA conditions will continue on the ocean through Friday morning ahead of and behind a cold frontal passage, with SW-W flow gusting to 25 kt and seas 5-7 ft. An Arctic cold frontal passage Friday afternoon should then bring SCA conditions to all waters Friday afternoon/night, with NW flow gusting to 25-30 kt and occasional gusts to 35 kt on the ocean, and seas 5-6 ft.

SCA conditions should continue on the ocean Sat into Sat night, with NW-N flow gusting to 25-30 kt. A few gusts to 25 kt may also be possible on the non ocean waters as well Sat night.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for ANZ331- 332-335-338-340-345. Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Wednesday for ANZ350-353- 355.