textproduct: Nashville

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1043 PM CST Thu Dec 18 2025

- Breezy northwest winds of 15 to 25 mph will continue through Friday.

- Cooler temperatures on Friday will warm to above normal values this weekend and into Christmas Day.

- Low to medium rain chances return Monday and Tuesday. No hazardous weather expected.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Sunday) Issued at 1006 PM CST Thu Dec 18 2025

A potent cold front has tracked through Middle TN this evening, and the main line of showers and storms has exited to the east along with it. Lingering light rain will continue mainly across the Plateau overnight, but by morning, drier conditions will return to the area. In the wake of the front, high temperatures Friday will generally be in the upper-30s along the Plateau and into the mid-40s elsewhere - a difference of 10 to 15 degrees compared to Thursday. West to northwest winds will remain breezy through the afternoon with gusts of 15 to 25 mph.

Cool temperatures Friday will quickly rebound back into the mid and upper-50s Saturday, and dry, quiet weather will persist under zonal flow. A weak front will push south Saturday night, bringing a low chance (around 10%) for rain showers into Sunday morning. Temperatures will cool a few degrees into the upper-40s to low-50s behind the front Sunday, but overall, a nice weekend is ahead with no hazardous weather expected.

LONG TERM

(Monday through next Friday) Issued at 1006 PM CST Thu Dec 18 2025

Ridging gradually builds over the area next week, allowing temperatures to warm to above normal values for the holiday week. By Christmas Eve, highs will be in the 60s, and some locations may even warm into the low-70s for Christmas Day. NBM probabilities for reaching at least 70 degrees Thursday are around 40-50% west of the Plateau. A couple weak shortwaves passing through the area will keep low to medium rain chances (20-40%) in the forecast for Monday and Tuesday. Nothing hazardous looks to be ahead next week though for the holiday.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1043 PM CST Thu Dec 18 2025

A cold front has cleared Middle Tennessee and what's left of the active weather is soon to exit the region. Overnight, look for MVFR ceilings to re-develop mainly along the Cumberland Plateau, with VFR wx staying put elsewhere. Winds will remain gusty from the W/NW during the overnight period and Friday morning, then diminishing during the afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Nashville 30 44 31 59 / 100 0 0 0 Clarksville 28 42 30 58 / 90 0 0 0 Crossville 26 38 25 53 / 100 0 0 0 Columbia 30 45 29 58 / 100 0 0 0 Cookeville 27 39 28 56 / 100 0 0 0 Jamestown 25 38 26 55 / 100 0 0 0 Lawrenceburg 30 45 29 57 / 100 0 0 0 Murfreesboro 30 44 29 58 / 100 0 0 0 Waverly 27 42 30 57 / 90 0 0 0

OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.