textproduct: Nashville

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1203 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026

- Middle Tennessee will get to enjoy a very warm weekend with near-record high temperatures, especially on Sunday.

- There are low rain and storm chances (<40%) Saturday afternoon and evening, mainly along the Cumberland Plateau.

- There are additional low rain chances at times throughout the upcoming week along with continued above-normal temperatures. There is little chance for any hazardous weather.

SHORT TERM

(Rest of today through Sunday) Issued at 1107 AM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026

A strong surface high remains anchored over The Gulf this afternoon, while a weak surface boundary sits just to our north. The surface boundary is gradually rotating clockwise around the periphery of the surface high and is expected to dip into East Tennessee later today, so there are low rain and storm chances this afternoon and evening, mainly along the Cumberland Plateau. Elsewhere, we can look forward to abundant sunshine today and again tomorrow as temperatures continue to climb to near record values, especially on Sunday.

LONG TERM

(Sunday Night through next Saturday) Issued at 1107 AM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026

Sunday night, a southeastward-moving cold front will slip through Middle Tennesse, perhaps bringing a spotty shower or two to the mid state, but also dropping our temperatures closer to seasonal normals for one whole day before we start to warm right back up. Next week, high pressure will dominate our weather pattern most of the time, although we will also undergo persistent moisture advection, which may interact with a shortwave or two to produce mainly low rain chances, especially from mid-week onward. Overall, 7-day QPF totals are anemic, with most of Middle Tennessee remaining rain-free, while some areas mainly east of I-65 can expect to pick up a few hundredths of an inch of rain along the way. There is very little chance for any hazardous weather for at least the next week.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1203 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026

VFR conditions prevail through the TAF period. Southwesterly winds will occasionally be gusty through this afternoon at 15 to 20 knots. While these winds will diminish around 01Z, they will strengthen again to 15 to 20 knots around 15Z Sunday. Low chance for isolated showers/storms this afternoon across the Plateau and did maintain the PROB30 group for TSRA at CSV. Otherwise, the other terminals should stay dry.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Nashville 62 86 53 66 / 10 0 10 0 Clarksville 63 87 48 64 / 0 0 10 0 Crossville 59 80 53 63 / 20 0 20 0 Columbia 61 84 53 69 / 0 0 10 0 Cookeville 60 81 53 63 / 20 0 30 0 Jamestown 58 81 50 61 / 20 0 50 0 Lawrenceburg 60 84 55 68 / 0 0 10 0 Murfreesboro 61 85 55 67 / 10 0 10 0 Waverly 63 85 48 66 / 0 0 10 0

OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.