textproduct: Omaha/Valley

KEY MESSAGES

- A stretch of hot weather is expected this weekend into next week, with highs in the 90s and heat indices approaching 100 degrees.

- Most days are looking dry through the next week, though we could see a few spotty showers and storms produce gusty winds Friday. Severe weather is unlikely.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 133 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

Fairly quiet close to home early this afternoon with just some lingering cloud cover as a weak shortwave was passing through the area. Farther west, stronger shortwave energy was crossing the Rockies and interacting with a north-south oriented boundary to lead to shower and storm development. CAMs are generally in good agreement that these push east across NE overnight and into Friday morning, but mostly dissipate prior to reaching our forecast area. However, a few solutions indicate potential for a lingering MCV to move across northeast NE while the primary shortwave clips far southeast NE and southwest IA. Therefore, wouldn't completely count on a dry morning (10-30% chance of rain). In addition, guidance seems to hint at spotty afternoon storm development, likely along remnant outflow from any morning precip. Very little shear will be in place for storm organization, but dry low levels in model soundings indicate some potential for downbursts/gusty winds, with the 09.12Z HRRR notably showing some 40-45 mph gusts emanating from collapsing storms.

Beyond those storm chances Friday, we're looking at a pretty dry next 7 days as upper level ridging starts to build in and amplify over the center of the CONUS. This will also lead to rising temperatures with highs generally gaining around 2-3 degrees each day into next week, with mid 80s for most on Friday, upper 80s to lower 90s Sunday, and widespread 90s by Tuesday. The "good" news is that trends are toward maybe slightly lower temperatures than previous forecasts and true gulf moisture/humidity looks to be held to our south. Therefore, dewpoints should stay fairly steady in the 60s, though being July in corn country, it'll still feel humid, as heat indices climb into the mid 90s to around 100.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 1227 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

Expect MVFR ceilings early in the period to scatter out with cloud bases generally rising through the afternoon and VFR conditions thereafter. Some guidance hints at some showers and isolated storms pushing toward the area 12-15Z Friday, but chances currently remain below 20%, highest at OFK and LNK, so did not include mention at this time. Otherwise, winds will be light and northerly to northeasterly through most of the period, though should become southeasterly at OFK toward 03Z.

OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. IA...None.