textproduct: Omaha/Valley

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Temperatures will be warmer yet for Monday.

- A few showers and thunderstorms are possible Monday evening in northeast Nebraska. Some storms may be strong or severe with a threat of 1" hail and 60 mph winds.

- A shift in the pattern brings cooler temperatures and daily chances of showers/thunderstorm activity to the region beginning Wednesday.

WEDNESDAY AND THE REST OF THE WEEK

Temperatures on Wednesday will be dependent on how far southwest the backdoor cold front slides as high pressure settles into the Great Lakes. Currently progged to fall shy - laying across IA/MN on Wednesday - it would leave us with highs in the 80s.

The front is expected to continue to sag south and pass through the area leaving temps cooler for Thursday into the weekend. This front stalled just south of the area should help produce some shower/storm activity. A few rounds of precip would be welcomed. Heavy rain concerns seem to be decreasing over the past 24 hours as the heaviest rain chances are narrowing to areas farther south.

Best chances of precip look to be Thursday (80% south) and Friday (60% everywhere).

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 526 AM CDT Mon May 25 2026

VFR conditions are observed for the start of the TAF cycle and should persist throughout the period. Low level wind shear will end within the next hour or two. Southerly winds become gusty by the afternoon with gusts of 20 to 25 kts. The gustiness subsides this evening with winds remaining from the south but less than 12 kts. Model guidance continues to develop an area of scattered showers and storms northwest of a line from KBVN to KOFK to KLCG after 00z. Chances remain at 15 to 30% for storms at this time. If they do develop, a few could be strong with hail and gusty winds. Have only included mentions of lower ceilings to 9,000 ft at KOFK and no -TSRA given low confidence for occurrence. Low level wind shear redevelops at KOFK late tonight as the low level jet overspreads northeast Nebraska.

OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. IA...None.

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