textproduct: Omaha/Valley

KEY MESSAGES

- Very High Fire Danger is forecast across the entire forecast area on Tuesday and Wednesday.

- Temperatures remain well above normal through early next week, rising into the 70s Tuesday.

- A more active pattern develops Tuesday through the end of the week, with cooling temperatures and multiple chances for light rain and snow.

END OF THE WEEK

The anomalous warmth comes to an end by Thursday as a surface low passes through Kansas. Cooler air is pulled south into the system with highs ranging from mid-50s at Falls City to near freezing at Niobrara, NE. By Thursday evening, the week's best chance of precip (40-60%) wraps around the back side of the system. P-type forecasts would call for rain changing to snow. A couple of inches of accumulation along the SD state line looks possible by Friday morning.

Another large system sweeps through the Northern Plains over the weekend, keeping slight PoPs in the forecast and keeping temps closer to February averages.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 505 AM CST Mon Feb 16 2026

VFR conditions expected to hold through the TAF period. Low- level wind shear this morning will clear up by around 15Z as winds off the surface weaken. Winds remain generally out of the south or southwest through the day today, turning more southeasterly this evening. Winds will remain out of the southeast around 5kt or less through 12Z Tuesday.

CLIMATE

Issued at 1130 PM CST Sat Feb 14 2026

Tuesday's standing records vs the forecast

Norfolk 72 | 1981 .. 74 | 2026 Lincoln 74 | 2017 .. 77 | 2026 .Offutt 65 | 1970 .. 75 | 2026 .Eppley 75 | 2017... 75 | 2026 Tekamah 66 | 2017 .. 74 | 2026 Falls City 76 | 2017 .. 72 | 2026 Valley NWS 69 | 2017... 74 | 2026

OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...Fire Weather Watch from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday evening for NEZ015>018-030>034-042>045-050>053-065>068- 078-088>093. IA...None.