textproduct: Omaha/Valley
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Dry and hot conditions are expected Wednesday and Thursday.
- A shift in the weather pattern will bring chances for showers and thunderstorms back to the area Thursday afternoon/evening. There will be a possibility for daily shower/thunderstorm chances through the weekend.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1108 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026
The forecast period starts out fairly quiet with just a few clouds moving across southeastern Nebraska/southwestern Iowa. A ridge is in place over the Dakotas and a broad low pressure system continues to dive south across California and Nevada.
Heading into Wednesday, models show a negatively tilted shortwave trough moving around the broad low, lifting up into the northern Texas Panhandle and western Oklahoma. While not expected to directly impact us on Wednesday/Thursday with precipitation, it will be a feature to keep an eye on heading into the weekend. High pressure will set up over the Dakotas and northeastern Nebraska will give us a pretty quiet and hot forecast the next two days. Expect Wednesday highs to reach the upper 80s to mid-90s. Thursday highs will range from the mid-80s to mid-90s.
Thursday afternoon into Friday morning, the aforementioned trough will slowly shift northeast over northern Oklahoma and eastern Kansas. The system will be able to tap into warm, Gulf air and transport it into our region. Most areas are expected to stay dry overnight Thursday, with shower and thunderstorm chances expected for areas mainly south of I-80 Friday afternoon. This system will lift to the north around the ridge on Friday.
A broad upper trough remains in place over the Western CONUS through the weekend with several shortwaves moving around it into the Central High Plains and Great Plains. There is still some uncertainty into timing and amounts for potential precipitation; however, with the current pattern, it appears we will have daily chances (20-40%) for precipitation across at least a portion of our forecast area.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 1113 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026
VFR conditions prevail at all terminals late this evening and will last for the remainder of the TAF cycle. Winds remain light at less than 12 kts from the southeast overnight, becoming east southeast by mid morning but still under 12 kts. Expect a few high based clouds this afternoon with ceilings at 25,000 ft.
OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...None. IA...None.
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