textproduct: Omaha/Valley
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Isolated slick spots may exist early this morning from lingering moisture refreezing on area roads.
- 20 to 45% chance for rain/snow mix continues this morning into the afternoon for areas primarily north of I-80. A few areas in northeast Nebraska and west-central Iowa could see some sleet/freezing rain before transitioning to rain (10-15% chance). Snowfall amounts remain under an inch.
- Warming trend expected through the weekend with highs in the 80s by Friday and Saturday. Temperature records may be broken Friday.
LONG TERM
/THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
1000-500mb thicknesses are progged to build and track east into much of the Central and Northern Plains areas. Widespread 70s are in store for much of the area Thursday (far southwest areas may hit 80F), while widespread 80s are expected for Friday and Saturday. Records at Norfolk (81F), Lincoln (80F), and Omaha (78F) could be broken Friday. The dry conditions combined with breezy 20 to 25 mph winds may lead to areas of high to very high fire danger for Friday and Saturday.
By Sunday, a shortwave trof will eject southeast from southern Alberta, helping squash the 590dam high over the southwest US. A front moves through the area helping cool temperatures back to the 60s areawide Sunday, and to the 50s for Monday. PoPs for the long term period remain less than 12% with this update so expect the dry weather to persist.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 622 PM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026
VFR conditions are observed at all terminals and will persist for the duration of the TAF cycle. Breezy northwest winds of 20 to 25 kts subside within the next hour or two. Winds then switch direction to southeasterly after 08z but remain under 12 kts. The southeasterly winds ramp up again by the late morning into the rest of the afternoon and persist for the remainder of the TAF period. Expect the strongest 25 to 30 kt gusts at KOFK, while 20 to 25 kt gusts are expected at KOMA and KLNK.
There is a 15 to 30% chance for snow in the late morning, transitioning to rain in the afternoon at all terminals, but confidence remains low for inclusion in TAF at this time. Ceilings will lower to 5,000 to 7,000 ft in the late morning and afternoon.
OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...None. IA...None.
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