textproduct: Omaha/Valley
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Showers and storms overspread the area into the morning hours today (70 to 90% chance). Storms may be strong with the main threat being large hail.
- More showers and storms develop Friday afternoon and evening (70 to 90% chance). There is a 5 to 15% chance for strong to severe storms, with all hazards possible. The main area of concern is along and southeast of a line from near Red Cloud to Fremont to Denison, IA
- Lingering precipitation late Friday night over northeast Nebraska could lead to a dusting of snow northwest of a line from Albion to Wayne, NE. A few areas could see light icing accumulations.
LONG TERM
/SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Dry conditions continue Sunday with highs warming to the 60s and 70s. Southwesterly flow returns for Monday with 60s and 70s persisting across the area. Our next best chance for precip returns Tuesday into Wednesday (20-40% chance). Highs for the rest of the extended remain in the 50s and 60s.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 1041 PM CST Thu Mar 5 2026
MVFR conditions are in place at all three TAF sites this evening, with broad coverage of showers and storms moving through just to the east of KLNK and over KOMA. Between 05 and 07z, expect shower and storm activity to grow more widespread to the south in northern Kansas, before moving near all three terminals. Latest short-term guidance has backed off on the pessimistic ceilings and visibility that it was showing earlier, but plan on dips into IFR (and potentially LIFR briefly) during the pre dawn hours when shower and storm coverage is greatest. By mid-morning, the main activity will have shifted to the northeast, and we'll see widespread MVFR conditions return along with gusts to 25 kts out of the south, before a wind shift brings winds northwesterly while continuing gusts. For KOMA/KLNK a two hour window of potentially strong storms with winds 40 kts or more and hail will move through the area (50-70% chance), which looks most likely from 22-00z tomorrow evening. Timing on that will shift between now and then, and with many lines ahead of in the TAF, it will be added in with the next TAF issuance.
OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...None. IA...None.
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