textproduct: Omaha/Valley

KEY MESSAGES

- Low (20-30%) chance of rain tonight in far northeast Nebraska into west-central Iowa.

- A warming trend continues into early next week, with mid 50s to mid 60s through the weekend, and mid 60s to near 70 by Tuesday.

- Low (20-40%) chance of rain late Friday night into Saturday, mainly near and south of I-80. Expect more rain chances through next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1104 PM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

Weak radar returns indicate the approaching shortwave trough late this evening. Dry air in the low-levels has thus far kept any rain from reaching the ground. That said, a low (20-30%) chance of rain remains for portions of far northeast Nebraska and west-central Iowa tonight before the trough departs to the east. Surface temperatures will approach freezing near sunrise, but this period is short, and no impacts are expected with a warm ground. Beyond this, a gradual warming trend closes out the week, continues into the weekend, and through the first half of next week. Temperatures gradually warm through the 50s, into the 60s over the weekend, to near 70 by Tuesday. This pattern is largely dry with the exception of late Friday night into Saturday. On Saturday, a shortwave trough moves across the southern Great Plains. While we are far removed from this system, a low (20-40%) chance of rain remains possible for areas primarily south of Interstate 80. Our next weather system arrives mid to late next week. A long wave trough is forecast to develop across the western half of the US with shortwaves expected ahead of this. The first of these shortwaves is likely on Tuesday and Wednesday. This brings another chance of rain to the region. The main trough is anticipated to follow in the coming days, but timing and location remains uncertain. In general, we can expect continued rain chances and and cooler temperatures with this system late next week.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 1116 AM CST Thu Feb 12 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the period. Winds will veer to the northwest and remain light as a weak boundary move through.

OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. IA...None.