textproduct: Omaha/Valley

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Isolated strong storms continue overnight in northeast Nebraska. Most will remain below severe criteria.

- Above-average temperatures continue through Thursday, with highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s.

- Precipitation chances for the second half of the work week and the weekend have been falling.

THURSDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND

Precip chances were expected to be highest on Thursday, but are falling consistently from model run to model run. With the cut- off low beginning to kick- out from the West Coast and a boundary developing just south of there, likely PoPs are expected in central Nebraska and eastern Kansas, but only isolated (10-15%) PoPs are expected in OAX's southern tier of counties. Unfortunately, that drier trend holds true for Friday and the weekend proper, too. Earlier forecasts calling for 50-70% PoPs are long gone. Over the past 24 hours, NBM PoPs at Omaha for Thursday have slipped from 50% to less than 10%. Now PoPs hit their zenith on Friday afternoon at 15-25% for areas southwest of Omaha.

Best chance of precip remain west and south of the area over the course of Saturday and Sunday, too. The cut-off low out west will weaken and eject northeast.

With the flooding threat now negligible, we turn our attention to a severe weather threat. The SPC does not currently have the area highlighted with any convective concerns over the course of the next 8 days while machine-learning forecasts from NCAR and CSU corroborate.

High temps will be slipping over this period from mid-80s on Thursday to lower-80s for Saturday and Sunday.

Longer range forecasts suggest the beginning of June 2026 will be warmer than normal as ridging builds back across the central CONUS. The latest CPC outlook suggests the Omaha metro has a 54% chance that June 2-8 will end up warmer than normal.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 517 AM CDT Tue May 26 2026

VFR conditions will prevail for the duration of the TAF cycle with only high based cloudiness. Southerly winds become gusty at KOFK this afternoon with winds of 12 kts or less at KOMA and KLNK. Winds turn southeasterly after 06z and become less than 5 kts at all terminals.

OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. IA...None.

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