textproduct: Omaha/Valley

KEY MESSAGES

- Flooding continues on the Big Blue River and Turkey Creek.

- Mostly sunny skies, a south breeze, and temperatures in the 70s will dominate the region today.

- Pleasant, dry conditions are expected for the majority of the next 7 days, with a slight warming trend by mid week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1222 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

River flooding continues along the Big Blue and Turkey Creek, with the crest now having passed downstream of Crete but still upstream of Beatrice. The Missouri River continues to fall as the crest has moved south of Rulo.

The large scale weather pattern features rather zonal flow overhead with slight ridging in the southwestern CONUS and nosing up the west coast. A compact short wave trough evident in water vapor imagery was quickly moving across South Dakota today. This trough, with its associated low pressure and trailing cool front, have produced an area of precipitation across eastern SD into MN. This precipitation is moving off to the east, and while the front will move into northeast Nebraska this afternoon, precipitation is unlikely this far south as the sub-cloud layer is very dry. That said, there could be a sprinkle or two, but minimal impact overall. Otherwise, winds will decrease as the afternoon progresses, and will turn out of the northwest this evening as the cool front moves through.

The next few days will be mostly sunny with highs in the 60s to lower 70s through Monday, and a bit warmer after that as the western ridging builds a bit more into our region. We'll keep an eye on the Thursday/Friday time frame for some potential showers in the warm advection regime of a weak storm system, but as of now the forecast through the next 7+ days is a dry one, with a general model consensus in a longer wave trough potentially bringing more unsettled weather to the region as we move into the Day 9-11 period.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1222 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

VFR conditions will persist through the TAF period. Winds will decrease a bit mid to late afternoon, and will turn out of the Northwest as a front moves through later today, but will remain light with the frontal passage.

OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. IA...None.