textproduct: Omaha/Valley

KEY MESSAGES

- A warming trend will begin to take hold and lift temperatures into the low to mid 60s by Wednesday.

- A period of calm weather will persist through the beginning of the week, with our next chance at rain being Wednesday (10-15%). - A strong storm system is on track to bring widespread precipitation to the area next Friday into the weekend, but still lots of details to work out on track and timing.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1056 PM CST Sat Nov 14 2026

Tonight through Sunday...

Winds remained light and southeasterly this evening, as temperatures dipped into the 30s and upper 20s. Overnight and into Sunday, a low pressure system will move through the OK and TX panhandles, bringing showers to parts of the south-central Plains. However, any rain will likely remain well to the south and west of our forecast area. Partly cloudy skies will give way to sunshine by Sunday afternoon, as highs creep back into the upper 40s and low 50s.

Monday through Wednesday...

Dry weather will continue to prevail through mid week, with the help of a ridge building through the central CONUS. High temperatures are forecast to climb a few degrees each day, reaching the lower to mid 60s by Wednesday. Overnight, lows may dip into the low 30s along and east of the Missouri River Sunday night. Otherwise, expect morning lows to generally bottom out in the upper 30s to mid 40s.

The back edge of the ridge approaches Tuesday and Wednesday, tightening the pressure gradient, and causing southwesterly winds to become gusty. Guidance suggests speeds up to 30-40+ mph will be likely at times. While this could increase fire danger concerns in unharvested areas, increasing RH ahead of an approaching shortwave should help mitigate some issues.

The upper level shortwave will move through Wednesday evening and overnight, pushing a cold front through the forecast area. Model solutions continue to trend drier across our CWA with the frontal passage, leaving the better chance for precipitation to our east.

Thursday and Beyond...

Another trough will move into the western CONUS Thursday, with surface low pressure developing east of the Rockies. Increasing warm air and moisture advection ahead of the low is expected to lead to at least some spotty showers by Friday and increasing precipitation chances through the weekend.

The actual surface low and trough then look to start passing through Friday night into Saturday, bringing widespread showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms to the area (80-90% chance of precip). There continues to be some decent spread in timing and track of the system which will significantly impact precip duration and potentially type, as there will be snow on the northwest side of the low. Overall, the majority of ensemble guidance continues to suggest we will see all rain, with only a small chance (10-20%) of snow clipping far northeast Nebraska.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/

Issued at 513 AM CST Sun Nov 15 2026

VFR conditions continue through the period. A few high clouds around FL250 and south to southeast winds can be anticipated.

OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. IA...None.