textproduct: Omaha/Valley

KEY MESSAGES

- 10 to 14% chance for some sprinkles across the forecast area this afternoon. Otherwise most locations stay dry with highs reaching the mid 50s to low 60s.

- Active pattern continues with continued shower and storm chances late tonight into Saturday morning (60-80%). More development is possible later in the afternoon (20-40% chance), and some of these storms may become severe.

- More showers and storms expected for Sunday and the start of next week with a continued threat for severe storms.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms may persist on Sunday morning. Considerable uncertainty exists regarding if more storms will redevelop this day. Models still show dome differences in regards to the timing of an H5 disturbance that tracks through the region. Latest parameterized models and some of the CAMs like the NAMNest suggest some threat for precipitation across the area. With instability lingering in the area, a few strong to severe storms can't be ruled out. A marginal risk of severe weather remains in place for much of the forecast area Sunday. Highs warm to the upper 70s to mid 80s up in far northeast Nebraska as H8 warm air advection takes shape. Southwesterly winds with gusts up to 30 mph may lead to areas of very high fire danger, primarily in far northeast Nebraska toward the South Dakota border where relative humidity drops to the teens to 25%, but this will be largely dependent on any more wetting rainfall we receive.

Monday and Tuesday will see the continued eastward track of a potent H5 trof from the southwest US. The southwest flow over much of the Northern Plains will allow continued shortwaves to eject into the area resulting in continued shower and thunderstorm chances. Severe weather remains probable across much of the forecast area on Monday, and primarily the eastern half of the forecast area Tuesday and Wednesday (15% chance). Those with outdoor plans for early next week will want to keep an eye on the forecast and watch for any potential changes. PoP chances continue into Thursday (20-40% chance). Temperatures remain warm for much of the upcoming week with highs in the 70s and 80s.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1237 PM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026

VFR conditions are observed at terminals this afternoon. A low level cloud deck at 1,500-3,000 feet will pass over KOMA and KOFK this afternoon, but coverage should remain scattered. After 07z, will see ceilings deteriorate to MVFR with scattered rain showers and a few embedded thunderstorms. Have include mentions of -TSRA for this issuance at KLNK given higher confidence for occurrence at this terminal as well as visibility drops. Ceilings deteriorate to IFR late in the TAF period with continued -SHRA and MVFR visibilities.

Winds from the northeast to start the period will turn southeasterly late this afternoon and evening and remain under 12 kts. 20 to 25 kt gusty southeast winds overspread terminals late in the TAF period.

OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. IA...None.