textproduct: Omaha/Valley

KEY MESSAGES

- A warming trend continues into early next week, with mid 50s to mid 60s through the weekend, and mid 60s to near 70 by Tuesday.

- Rain returns late Friday night into Saturday, mainly near and south of I-80. There is a low (20-40%) chance of precipitation for east-central Nebraska and southwest Iowa with a medium (50-70%) chance for southeast Nebraska

- An active weather pattern arrives by the middle of next week. Periodic rain chances with cooler temperatures can be expected.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1056 PM CST Thu Feb 12 2026

Temperatures continue their gradual warming trend on Friday with upper 50s to low 60s expected during the afternoon. This will be despite increasing mid to high level cloud cover ahead of our next weather system. This weather system is a trough and associated low pressure system that moves across the southern Great Plains and Lower Mississippi River Valley late Friday into Saturday. With our region being far removed from this system and limited low-level moisture, precipitation chances are mainly confined to areas along and south of Interstate 80. There will be a low (20-40%) chance of rain for east-central Nebraska and southwest Iowa. Rain chances increase (50-70%) across southeast Nebraska with closer proximity to the weather system. Precipitation amounts are anticipated to be meager with perhaps a tenth of an inch or two for portions of southeast Nebraska. Temperatures will be a touch cooler where it does end up raining on Saturday with nearly identical temperatures to Friday elsewhere.

Temperatures continue to warm into early next week as upper-level ridging helps to push temperatures through the 60s to near 70 by Tuesday ahead of our next weather system. At this time, forecast guidance is depicting a two-part system. The first shortwave is forecast to quickly lift out of the southwestern US towards the northern Plains late Tuesday into early Wednesday. With this system lifting north of the area, the best chance of any rain is focused over northeast Nebraska with limited rain chances elsewhere. A brief lull may arrive Wednesday afternoon before the main trough approaches the region late Wednesday into Thursday. Cooler temperatures and rain chances are expected during this time with the low track forecast to be just south of the area currently. Overall precipitation chances remain relatively low and uncertain at this time due to differences in the strength and speed of this second system. Stay tuned to the latest forecasts as rain chances will likely change. Much colder air is anticipated behind this system late in the week and a brief period of snow is in the realm of possibilities heading into Friday. It is too soon for exact details on this, but given warm ground temperatures ahead of this system, impacts should be minimal.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 452 AM CST Fri Feb 13 2026

VFR conditions through the TAF period. Winds will be light generally out of the west or northwest this morning, shifting more southerly this afternoon. We'll see winds continue shifting more to the southeast toward the end of the TAF period.

OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. IA...None.