textproduct: Omaha/Valley

KEY MESSAGES

- Above average temperatures continue on Tuesday, with highs in the low to mid 60s.

- Cooler weather arrives Wednesday, with highs in the 40s Thursday and Friday. Lows are expected to dip into the mid to upper 20's Friday and Saturday morning.

- Dry weather is expected through the work week, with temperatures gradually warming over the weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1010 PM CST Mon Nov 9 2026

Tonight and Tuesday...

Water vapor imagery and objective analysis this evening depicts a broad mid- to upper-level ridge over the central and western CONUS, keeping conditions calm locally. A cold front pushed southward across the area this afternoon, shifting low-level flow from southerly to northerly. Clear skies overnight will allow low temperatures to dip into the mid 30s to low 40s. Calm winds overnight may also bring patchy areas of fog. However, model soundings depict a very shallow near-saturated layer near the surface, likely limiting fog to patchy and low-lying areas.

Otherwise, expect daybreak to bring another calm and mostly sunny day. Low-level flow will transition back to southerly, pushing high temperatures into the low to mid 60s, a slight decrease from previous days but still approximately 10 degrees above average for early November.

Wednesday through Friday...

Tuesday night into Wednesday, a shortwave disturbance will eject into the northern Plains and get swept into an amplifying trough over the eastern 2/3rds of the CONUS. In response, a surface low is expected to develop across the northern Plains, traversing to the southeast and pulling into central Iowa by early Wednesday. Moisture will be fairly limited with this system as it traverses our area, increasing as it pulls east into Iowa, limiting PoPs locally. However, an increasing pressure gradient and strong northwesterly flow on the back side of the system will help usher in cooler air to the region through the remainder of the work week. High temperatures on Wednesday are expected to peak in the 50s, with brisk northwesterly wind gusts of 25-35 mph.

As cooler air continues to filter into the area, high temperatures will drop into the low to mid 40s on Thursday and Friday. Low temperatures Thursday morning are expected to dip into the 30s, with temperatures near freezing across northeast Nebraska. Friday looks to be the coolest morning of the week, with widespread lows in the mid- to upper-20s. Omaha will likely see it's first freezing temperatures of the season Friday morning, which would tie our record for the latest first freeze set back in 2015. Another shot at freezing temperatures, with some locations dipping back into the upper 20s, will be present Saturday morning.

Saturday and Beyond...

By this weekend, a narrow corridor of mid-level ridging will work into the central Plains, introducing a warming trend. Highs are expected to peak in the upper 40s Saturday, low 50s Sunday, and upper 50s on Monday and Tuesday. Long range guidance depicts a mid- level low traversing the southern into central Plains late Saturday into Sunday. While the bulk of deterministic long range guidance keeps this feature just south of the forecast area, approximately 1/3rd of GEFS and EC/EC-AIFS ensemble members track this feature further north, bringing precipitation chances (and a few members with light snow) to the area. We'll have to watch how this feature trends as it approaches, with PoPs of 15-30% in place south of Interstate-80 for the time being. The latest forecast package keeps all precipitation as rain, which appears reasonable given the limited cooling expected to keep temperatures just above freezing into Sunday morning.

Looking ahead, a brief period of ridging and mild temperatures will return to start the next work week before a more amplified flow pattern and additional precipitation chances return by mid-week.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 544 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

VFR conditions will continue all day today as mostly sunny skies give way to partly cloudy skies this afternoon and evening as a cold front approaches. Northwesterly winds become southeasterly this afternoon and then northwesterly again around midnight tonight. They'll remain rather slow until they pick up behind the cold front. Expect 13 knot winds at KOFK after midnight tonight.

OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. IA...None.