textproduct: Omaha/Valley

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- 20 to 30% chance for some scattered showers late this afternoon and evening, mainly along the Kansas/Nebraska border area. Widespread rain chances (80 to 90%) move in late this evening into Thursday morning.

- Rain clears by Thursday evening with the rest of the week remaining dry.

- Frost threat continues for Friday night into Saturday morning.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/

Model guidance depicts a strong push of cold H8 air sinking southward in the late evening. Subsidence should help push some of the 40-50 kt LLJ air downward resulting in gusts increasing to 45 to 50 mph early Friday morning and persisting through most of the daytime. Our upcoming rain event should help tamper down fire weather concerns. Winds gradually decrease in speed late Friday as the H8 jet pivots to the east. Highs only warm to the 50s areawide under partly to mostly cloudy skies.

Late Friday night into early Saturday morning, should see a strong 1040mb sfc high move into most of the Central and Northern Plains. The light winds and clear skies should allow for us to cool efficiently to the low to mid 30s. Expect areas of frost to develop over most of the forecast area and a freeze isn't out of the question either, particularly in far northeast Nebraska.

A warming trend starts for Saturday through Tuesday as 1000-500mb thicknesses expand over the region. Expect highs in the 60s this weekend, eventually hitting the 70s by Tuesday. PoPs remain less than 15% during this timeframe so expect mostly dry conditions.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 627 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

We've seen improving conditions over the last several hours with cigs lifting to VFR. Rain moves in overnight bringing back IFR conditions with winds shifting to northerly. Rain continues into Thursday with IFR cigs and visibility 3-5SM through the morning. Winds start to increase during the afternoon as showers taper off and cigs start to break up and lift.

OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. IA...None.

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