textproduct: Omaha/Valley

KEY MESSAGES

- Continued potential for ice movement is expected for the Platte, Loup, and Elkhorn Rivers. A Flood Watch remains in effect through at least Tuesday morning.

- A cold front has brought cooler weather to the area. Despite this, temperatures remain above normal through this week.

- Periodic rain chances are expected on Wednesday night into Thursday morning, on Saturday, and again early next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1045 PM CST Mon Feb 9 2026

The record warm temperatures on Monday were short-lived. A cold front is continuing south through the area late this evening. The front will result in significantly cooler temperatures on Tuesday. Despite the cold front, temperatures are forecast to remain above normal. This is true not only for Tuesday, but for the entire forecast period as largely zonal flow keeps the weather steady. Temperatures briefly fall to near freezing this morning before climbing into the 40s to near 50 this afternoon. With these continued warm temperatures, potential ice movement on area rivers, especially the Loup, Platte, and Elkhorn Rivers, remains possible.

The coldest temperatures of the forecast are anticipated Wednesday morning, as surface high pressure helps temperatures plummet into the 20s. Temperatures rebound nicely into the lower 50s by Wednesday afternoon. A weak disturbance quickly moves over the central and northern Great Plains Wednesday night into Thursday morning. At the moment, much of the precipitation is forecast to remain north of the region, but a low (15-30%) chance of rain remains for northern portions of northeast Nebraska and west-central Iowa. Precipitation is likely to remain a cold rain, as clouds should keep surface temperatures just above freezing through Thursday morning. Beyond this, temperatures warm slightly through the end of the week.

Our next weather system arrives on Saturday. The latest forecast guidance is coming into agreement that the main shortwave and low-pressure center will remain across the southern Great Plains. This will keep the majority of any precipitation south of the area. As a result, rain chances have lowered with this forecast to only a low to medium (20-50%) chance of rain for much of the area. The best chance of rain will be with southern extent, closer to the low pressure center. With less precipitation expected, the slow warming of late week continues through the weekend. Our next weather maker after this is not currently anticipated until sometime early next week.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 455 AM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

VFR conditions persist through the forecast period at the terminals. Northwest winds may be a little breezy at times through mid-afternoon, before decreasing to under 10kts. Winds will become light and variable after sunset.

OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...Flood Watch until noon CST today for NEZ016-017-031>033- 042>045-050>053-067. IA...None.