textproduct: Omaha/Valley

KEY MESSAGES

- 10 to 14% chance for some sprinkles across the forecast area this afternoon. Otherwise most locations stay dry with highs reaching the mid 50s to low 60s.

- Active pattern continues with continued shower and storm chances late tonight into Saturday morning (60-80%). More development is possible later in the afternoon (20-40% chance), and some of these storms may become severe.

- More showers and storms expected for Sunday and the start of next week with a continued threat for severe storms.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms may persist on Sunday morning. Considerable uncertainty exists regarding if more storms will redevelop this day. Models still show dome differences in regards to the timing of an H5 disturbance that tracks through the region. Latest parameterized models and some of the CAMs like the NAMNest suggest some threat for precipitation across the area. With instability lingering in the area, a few strong to severe storms can't be ruled out. A marginal risk of severe weather remains in place for much of the forecast area Sunday. Highs warm to the upper 70s to mid 80s up in far northeast Nebraska as H8 warm air advection takes shape. Southwesterly winds with gusts up to 30 mph may lead to areas of very high fire danger, primarily in far northeast Nebraska toward the South Dakota border where relative humidity drops to the teens to 25%, but this will be largely dependent on any more wetting rainfall we receive.

Monday and Tuesday will see the continued eastward track of a potent H5 trof from the southwest US. The southwest flow over much of the Northern Plains will allow continued shortwaves to eject into the area resulting in continued shower and thunderstorm chances. Severe weather remains probable across much of the forecast area on Monday, and primarily the eastern half of the forecast area Tuesday and Wednesday (15% chance). Those with outdoor plans for early next week will want to keep an eye on the forecast and watch for any potential changes. PoP chances continue into Thursday (20-40% chance). Temperatures remain warm for much of the upcoming week with highs in the 70s and 80s.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 628 PM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026

VFR conditions hold this evening with lower clouds moving into southeast Nebraska. Initially cigs with these clouds will be 4500-5000ft, but as showers and storms start to develop after 06Z we'll see cigs lower to MVFR then IFR at the terminals through the overnight hours. Showers and storms move out by 14-15Z on Saturday, but IFR cigs look to hang around through much of the day, at least through 23Z, with improvement possible starting around 23-00Z. Winds out of the east this evening will be shifting southeasterly with time through the overnight hours, becoming southerly and gusting 20 to 25 kt by 18Z.

OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. IA...None.