textproduct: Omaha/Valley
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Cooler, but above seasonal temperatures are expected today, with highs topping out in the 40s.
- A gradual warm up begins Saturday, continuing through Monday, with highs returning to the 60s Monday afternoon.
- Our next best chance for precipitation will be early next week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 253 AM CST Fri Feb 6 2026
The forecast period starts with an upper ridge over the Rockies, an upper trough over the Mid-Atlantic, and northwest flow over the Great Plains. After a very pleasant, gorgeous afternoon yesterday, lows have remained in the mid-30s to low 40s across the region early this morning.
A cold front is draped across southern South Dakota this morning and will push south as we head further into the morning hours. Soundings continue to show the possibility of maybe a few sprinkles this morning as the front moves through the region with little to no accumulation expected. Colder air will settle in today, with highs primarily in the 40s. While this will be a considerable change compared to yesterday's 60s and low 70s, we will remain with above seasonal temperatures. Seasonal temperatures range from the mid to upper 30s for highs and the low to mid-teens for lows. Wind gusts behind the front may approach 30mph in spots, putting our wind chill values in the mid to upper 30s for areas along and north of a line from Columbus to Nebraska City. A secondary cold front will slip south through the CWA during the evening and into tonight. Precipitation is not expected with the second fropa. Lows tonight will be cooler, ranging from the mid-teens to low 20s in Iowa and the low to mid-20s in Nebraska.
Friday night/Saturday, the ridge will begin to shift to the east of the Rockies, over the Central High Plains. By Saturday morning, the ridge axis will be inching into central Nebraska and north central Kansas. 850mb temps are showing a shifting of the cooler air to the east of the region. Expect mild weather with highs returning to the 40s and 50s.
Heading into Sunday, we see a shift in the pattern, bringing a few shortwaves through the region as split flow shifts east. The northern split brings a ridge over the Dakotas and Montana, with the southern split putting a trough over the Baja Peninsula. A shortwave will move across the region heading into Sunday. Expect dry conditions and warmer temps with highs in the 50s and 60s. The warm weather will persist through Monday.
Cooler air pushes in on Tuesday with another shift to the pattern. Although highs will be cooler (40s) we will be above seasonal temperatures. Precipitation chances (20%) return to the forecast Tuesday and Wednesday.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 532 AM CST Fri Feb 6 2026
VFR to MVFR conditions are expected through the TAF period at the terminals. A cold front continues to move south into Kansas this morning, with gusty winds expected to persist through late morning/early afternoon. KOMA may experience LLWS through around 15Z. North winds gradually decrease to under 10kts by late afternoon, becoming light and variable overnight.
OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...Flood Watch through Monday evening for NEZ016-017-031>033- 042>045-050>053-067. IA...None.
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