textproduct: Omaha/Valley
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Rain moves in late tonight into early Thursday morning. Chances peak at 50 to 85% across much of the forecast area early Thursday morning.
- Strong winds of 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph overspread much of the forecast area Thursday. A High Wind Warning and Wind Advisory remain in effect.
- A few snow showers may develop Thursday (15-20% chance), and combined with the winds, a few areas may see poor visibilities.
- Temperatures cool to the 40s for the weekend and warm back to the mid 40s to low 50s for Monday and Tuesday.
LONG TERM
/FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
The cold air will be short lived as another H8 baroclinic zone lifts northeast bringing warmer temperatures behind it for Friday. As a result, temperatures warm to the upper 30s across far western Iowa and upper 40s to low 50s across eastern Nebraska. Dry conditions are also expected, while winds become breezy from the south. Late Friday into Saturday we'll see a weak cold front move through, but dry conditions are expected.
As we head into the weekend, the H5 flow becomes zonal to slightly northwesterly across the Central Plains. Guidance shows a few waves riding this flow that pass through the area on Saturday and Sunday, but a strengthening sfc high in the vicinity should help suppress any mentionable chances for precip. It's worth noting that a small number of members from the GEFS and EPS try to develop a band of precip somewhere across the forecast area Sunday. At this time, NBM deterministic remains dry for this weekend. Temperatures Saturday and Sunday remain in the mid to upper 40s, while slightly warmer temperatures in the upper 40s to low 50s are expected for Monday and Tuesday.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/
Issued at 1052 PM CST Wed Dec 17 2025
Strong winds remain on track with current gusts of 20-30 kts expected to pick up into the 40-55 kt range on Thursday with any remaining southerly winds becoming northwesterly early in the period. Could also see some low level wind shear early in the period, especially at OFK with 50 kt winds at 2000 ft agl, but with stronger surface gusts moving in, that threat should diminish. As the winds shift, could also see some light rain showers along with MVFR ceilings. A few pieces of guidance also continue to hint at snow shower potential from 12 to 18Z, though confidence remains low on if it develops (15-20% chance). If it does, could see some brief MVFR to IFR visibility, depending how heavy it is. Otherwise, outside of precipitation, expect VFR conditions with winds diminishing Thursday evening.
OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...High Wind Warning from 6 AM to 6 PM CST Thursday for NEZ011- 012-015>018-030>034-042>045-050>053-065-066-078-088. Wind Advisory from 6 AM to 6 PM CST Thursday for NEZ067-068- 089>093. IA...High Wind Warning from 6 AM to 6 PM CST Thursday for IAZ043- 055. Wind Advisory from 6 AM to 6 PM CST Thursday for IAZ056-069- 079-080-090-091.
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