textproduct: Omaha/Valley

KEY MESSAGES

- Scattered flurries or light snow showers in northeast Nebraska this afternoon into evening. No accumulation expected.

- Dangerous cold late tonight into Monday morning with wind chills as low as -20 to -25. A Cold Weather Advisory is in effect.

- Warmer Monday afternoon with highs in the 20s and 30s.

- A low chance of light snow (15-20%) on Thursday into Friday morning.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 222 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Rest of this afternoon through Monday morning:

Water vapor imagery shows subtle, upper-air disturbance moving through the region this afternoon with an associated surface front advancing through northeast NE as of 2 PM. That front will continue southeast through the remainder of our area this afternoon into evening with winds strengthening from the northwest in the post- frontal environment. Increasing low clouds behind the front are sufficiently cold and deep enough to support a few flurries or light snow showers (per observations), so a mention has been included in northeast NE this afternoon into evening. No accumulation is expected.

Tonight into Monday morning, clearing skies should allow temperatures to fall into the -5 to -10 degree range, which when coupled with winds of 5 to 10 mph, will yield minimum wind chills of -20 to -25. A Cold Weather Advisory is in effect overnight until 9 AM Monday.

Monday afternoon through Wednesday:

The 12z global models remain consistent in the passage of a shortwave trough through the northern Plains and Upper-MS Valley Monday with an associated surface front moving through our area Monday night. Gusty, southwest winds ahead of the front will advect a warmer, low-level air mass into the region Monday afternoon with high temperatures in the 20s to low 30s.

High pressure quickly builds through the area Tuesday ahead of another weak, mid-level disturbance and associated surface front, which are projected to move through the mid-MO Valley Wednesday. The models indicate a swath of light QPF glancing western IA, so low PoPs may eventually need to be added there. Otherwise, temperatures will be a bit cooler Tuesday (i.e., highs in the 20s) with readings warming back into the 20s and 30s ahead of the next front Wednesday.

Thursday through Saturday:

Consensus of latest model guidance indicates a shortwave trough diving south along the Rockies and High Plains Wednesday night and Thursday. However, there is considerable model spread in the location and areal coverage of the associated QPF footprint. This forecast update will maintain areas of low PoPs (15-20%) from Thursday into Friday morning, which seems reasonable given the uncertainty. High temperatures in the teens and 20s on Thursday and Friday are forecast to warm into the 20s to low 30s by Saturday.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1122 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

VFR conditions expected through the period with mostly clear skies. Expect light northwesterly winds overnight to become southwesterly by sunrise with gusts of 20-25 kts starting by late morning/early afternoon and ending toward 00-02Z.

OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...Cold Weather Advisory until 9 AM CST Monday for NEZ030-034- 042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093. Cold Weather Advisory until 9 AM CST Monday for NEZ011-012- 015>018-031>033. IA...Cold Weather Advisory until 9 AM CST Monday for IAZ043-055-056- 069-079-080-090-091.