textproduct: Omaha/Valley

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Strong to severe storms are possible (20%) on Saturday morning with the potential for a complex of thunderstorms producing damaging winds and hail across eastern Nebraska and southwest Iowa.

- Wildfire smoke continues to move overhead from the northwest. Most of this smoke remains high in the atmosphere, with only a small amount reaching the surface.

- Regular chances of thunderstorms continue through the forecast with chances every day. Late Wednesday night and late Thursday night bring the best chances (40-70%).

NEXT WEEK

The general pattern remains quasi-zonal and relatively unstable with the front draped across the area through at least mid-week. This will bring chances of thunderstorms in the afternoons and likely PoPs (40-70%) in the overnight hours when the summer nocturnal jet sits perpendicular to that front. This will produce efficient isentropic lift. With the extra clouds and rain, temps are expected to struggle to meet seasonal norms. In fact, early numbers from the NBM suggest day 7 will peak in the 70s (Friday 8/14).

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 514 AM CDT Sat Aug 8 2026

Light winds and clear skies overnight have led to the development of patchy fog, primarily in low lying areas. Any MVFR or IFR visibilities should return to VFR shortly after sunrise. A few showers and storms will be possible between 15-21Z Saturday, however confidence in storms holding together and impacting the TAF sites remains low at this time. Otherwise, light/variable winds will become easterly between 10-15 kts Saturday. Another round of storms could develop between 03-09Z Sunday morning. But again, confidence is low in exactly when and where convection will develop.

OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. IA...None.


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