textproduct: Omaha/Valley

KEY MESSAGES

- Flooding will continue on rivers, creeks, and streams in southeast Nebraska and southwest Iowa into the weekend and possibly early next week.

- Expect dry weather Friday into next week along with temperatures in the 60s and 70s.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1055 PM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026

Much quieter across the region tonight with just a few lingering showers clipping extreme southeast NE as a shortwave trough continued to pass through KS. At the surface, high pressure continued to build in from the north, with the mid to high level clouds tied to the wave to the south slowly, but surely exiting to the southeast. Some lower clouds across SD into northern NE were trying to fill in behind them, but were generally dissipating as they pushed farther southeast. As a result, expecting mostly clear skies for a good chunk of the area overnight. Given how wet we are, can't completely rule out some fog development under the clear skies, but guidance isn't showing much of anything, owing to decently strong winds aloft and drier air moving in. So if anything does develop, it would likely be pretty patchy and/or shallow.

The other news in the short term is continued flooding on area rivers, creeks, and streams. Most locations outside of the Missouri River have or are close to cresting. With no additional rain in the short term forecast, current river forecasts should be in good shape, with minor to moderate flooding continuing.

Otherwise, it's looking like a pretty quiet next 7 days as we remain under zonal to northwest flow aloft. We'll see several frontal passages through the period, starting with a cold front Saturday night into Sunday, a warm front around Tuesday, then another cold front Wednesday into Thursday. Guidance is in pretty good agreement that said frontal passages will be dry, with the best chances being with the cold front toward mid-week, though a vast majority of ensemble members still keep us dry, with chances remaining under 10%. Despite the fronts, temperatures won't fluctuate a whole lot. Expect highs in the 60s to lower 70s through Monday, followed by mostly 70s Tuesday through the remainder of the work week.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 528 AM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026

VFR conditions are favored through the period. Patchy fog has developed across far northeast Nebraska this morning, but is expected to remain north of KOFK. Otherwise, winds will remain calm and out of the north, shifting to southeasterly through the morning hours.

OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. IA...None.