textproduct: Omaha/Valley

KEY MESSAGES

- Freeze Warning in effect for the entire area into early Saturday morning. Temperatures could be as low as 29 degrees.

- There is a low chance (20-40%) of fog Saturday morning. With freezing temperatures possible, slick spots may develop.

- Warmer temperatures return next week. Dry conditions continue with our next chance of rain not until Friday-Saturday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1021 PM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026

Clear skies and calming winds this evening allowing for significant radiational cooling. Temperatures are forecast to fall into the low 30s, below freezing for much of eastern Nebraska and southwest Iowa. A freeze warning is in place for our area from 1AM to 9AM. With such rapid cooling with calm winds we could see some patchy fog develop in low-lying areas and near bodies of water. Temperatures near or below freezing could mean we see a few slick spots develop on bridges and overpasses.

Overnight we're going to see the general wind direction shift from northerly to southerly as the surface high slides off to the southeast and ridging builds in overhead. We won't see much warming from this just yet on Saturday with highs only in the 50s, but overnight lows Saturday night into early Sunday will only fall into the upper 30s to low 40s. Going into Sunday a more substantial southwesterly pressure gradient sets up across our area bringing in warm, dry air from the Desert Southwest. This will warm temperatures into the mid 60s Sunday afternoon.

A deepening trough slides down the West Coast early next week leading to amplified southwesterly flow pushing into the Four Corners region. Models continue to delay when this trough ejects eastward toward our area, delaying precipitation chances, now more likely Friday into Saturday. Temperatures will be warming with highs warming into the 70s by Wednesday and near 80 Thursday and Friday.

One concern to monitor next week is the potential for fire weather concerns. With dry weather and warming temperatures, fuels will be drying out more through the week. Right now the windiest period looks to be right as precipitation arrives on Friday, but any windier periods that may develop earlier in the week could mean dangerous fire conditions.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1143 PM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026

VFR conditions and clear skies favored through the period. Some guidance hints at patchy fog development in river valleys and low-lying areas, but chances of impacting TAF sites is below 20%. Winds will remain light overnight, becoming southerly to southwesterly and gusting 20-30 kts by mid to late morning.

OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT Saturday for NEZ011-012-015>018- 030>034-042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093. IA...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT Saturday for IAZ043-055-056-069- 079-080-090-091.