textproduct: Omaha/Valley

KEY MESSAGES

- Rain overspreads the area this morning (70-90% chance). Southerly winds become gusty at 35 to 45 mph, with the strongest gusts in northeast Nebraska.

- Rain tapers off a bit early Monday afternoon with more storm redevelopment in the evening (40-60% chance) lasting through Tuesday. Storms Monday evening could be strong to severe with strong winds, heavy rain, and tornadoes, mainly southeast of a line from Albion to Wayne, NE.

- Rain clears out Wednesday, with low rain chances through the end of the week (20% or less). Temperatures remain in the 50s and 60s for most areas Wednesday through Saturday.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

Lingering showers finally exit on Wednesday as the H5 stacked low retrogrades a bit to the west. Expect a cool day with most areas having highs in the 50s to near 60F. Areas in northeast Nebraska remain cooler in the upper 40s. Thursday could still see some influence from the disturbance with some models suggesting some light showers affecting our far northeast areas, but chances remain less than 20%. An H5 shortwave will eject from the NV/UT region toward the Central Plains that day too, but model guidance keeps the feature and any precip activity farther south into Kansas.

Sfc high pressure moves in for Friday with dry weather expected and highs in the 50s and 60s. By Saturday and Sunday, models are suggestive of another H5 shortwave ejecting from southwest Canada toward the Northern Plains. Significant model spread is seen though, so confidence and timing on any precip chances for any specific areas remains low at this time.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1135 PM CST Sun Nov 1 2026

A lot of moving parts in the forecast ahead. Winds will be increasing overnight out of the southeast becoming more southerly by mid-morning. A period of LLWS is likely as winds around 1800ft strengthen to near 50kt while surface winds are ramping up more slowly. Once we see surface sustained winds reach 20kt, LLWS should be diminishing. Cigs have mostly fallen to around 1300ft across the area and should fall to mostly 800ft overnight as bands of showers move across the area. Expect reductions in visibility with heavier showers. Cigs will be lifting to around 1600ft late Monday morning at KOFK and KLNK, lifting last at KOMA toward 20Z. Cigs will become broken, possibly improving to VFR between 20-02Z as we get a break in the showers/storms. This will set us up for the next line of storms along the cold front, potentially strong to severe, moving into KLNK around 02Z. These may not hold together to make it in to KOMA, though I expect we will see storms at KOMA toward 04-06Z at some point. Winds will be shifting to north- northwesterly behind the front. KOFK should miss most of the evening showers/storms to the southeast, seeing the front move through earlier around 23Z.

OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. IA...None.