textproduct: Omaha/Valley

KEY MESSAGES

- Warm weather continues into the weekend across much of our area with highs in the mid 70s to low 80s.

- Winds gusting to around 40-45 mph on Friday will be a concern for some limited fire impacts in northeast Nebraska.

- Shower and storm chances increase this weekend into next week (60-80%). Expect a cooling trend from Sunday onward with highs reaching the 50s to low 60s by Tuesday.

SUNDAY AND BEYOND

PoPs have been reduced in this CWA as the QPF signal has migrated west over the past 24 hours. (80% in Niobrara quickly fades to 15% in Omaha). It has been vacillating east and west all week. Regardless, best PoPs remain west of this forecast area on Sunday and into next week as the upper low lifts and ejects northeast across the Central Plains.

NBM probabilities suggest a 80% chance of 1" of rain over the course of the weekend in vicinity of Antelope/Knox County (NE Nebraska) and about 5% chance in Omaha and Lincoln where less than 0.2" are presently forecast.

By Tuesday, high temps should be closer to seasonal norms with widespread 60s (they're still a bit too high) as the wave departs and the last of the showers wrap up. It's at this point of the forecast that solutions begin to diverge considerably. The overall gist, though, is zonal or slight southwesterly H5 flow will keep the pattern active. Chance PoPs (25-40%) each day round out days 4-8 and temps are expected to remain autumnal.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 522 AM CDT Fri Oct 23 2026

VFR conditions persist through the forecast period at the terminals. A few lingering showers and isolated thunderstorms continue to move to the northeast, across portions of northeastern Nebraska and northwestern Iowa. KOFK may have a bit of LLWS this morning; however, it should taper off by 16/17Z. Expect breezy southerly winds to gust to around 15-25kts at KOFK and KOMA. LLWS will be possible overnight.

OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. IA...None.