textproduct: Omaha/Valley

KEY MESSAGES

- Highs will reach the upper 50s to low 60s on Wednesday, with northwesterly wind gusts of 25 to 35 mph.

- Cooler weather arrives Thursday, with highs in the 40s through Sunday. Morning lows will fall into the mid to upper 20s Friday and Saturday.

- Dry weather continues through the work week. A 15-30% chance of rain returns Sunday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1012 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

Tonight and Wednesday...

Water vapor imagery and objective analysis this evening reveals mid- level ridging over the Desert Southwest. Closer to home, a shortwave trough is pushing across the northern and into the central Plains before getting swept into an amplifying trough over the eastern 2/3rds of the CONUS. At the surface, an associated low is currently situated in southeast South Dakota before tracking east- southeast into central Iowa by midday Wednesday. This feature will sweep an associated cold front through the area overnight, shifting low- level flow from southerly to northwesterly. Any meaningful moisture and precipitation chances will remain to our north and east. An increasing pressure gradient on the back side of the low will bring northwesterly wind gusts of 25-35 mph to the area through much of the day Wednesday. As cooler air filters into the area, high temperatures will drop 5-10 degrees from the previous day, peaking in the mid 50s to low 60s.

Thursday through Saturday...

Continued northwesterly flow aloft will bring cooler temperatures to the region to end the work week. High temperatures are expected to peak in the 40s daily Thursday through at least Saturday. Mostly clear skies will allow for efficient radiational cooling overnight, allowing Thursday morning lows to drop into the 30s, with temperatures dipping just below freezing across northeast Nebraska. Friday morning continues to trend on the cooler side, with lows dipping into the low to mid 20s across the area. Omaha will likely see it's first freezing temperatures of the season Friday morning, which would tie our record for the latest first freeze set back in 2015. Saturday morning will see freezing temperatures yet again, with lows dipping back into the 20s. While the end of the week will be on the cooler side, calm and dry conditions are expected are expected to prevail thanks to a broad corridor of surface high pressure in place.

Sunday and Beyond...

Late Saturday into Sunday, a fleeting corridor of upper-level ridging will be interrupted by a mid-level low expected to eject from the Desert Southwest into the southern and central Plains. Long- range deterministic guidance continues to track this feature across KS/OK, with a broad precipitation shield grazing far southeast NE/southwest IA. GEFS and EC/EC-AIFS members show some variation in this track, with about 1/3rd of the members bringing the feature further north with increased precipitation chances locally. Nearly all EC/EC-AIFS members keep the precipitation as rain, however, GEFS brings cooler air on the back side of the system, with approx. 1/4th of the members brining some light snow.

With that being said, PoPs currently peak at 15-30% Sunday morning into the afternoon. The latest forecast package continues to bring only rain, though morning temperatures will be just a few degrees above freezing as precipitation moves into southeast NE. We will continue to monitor trends as the system approaches. Overall, moisture appears fairly limited, with QPF topping out at a few hundredths of an inch across southeast NE. High temperatures on Sunday are expected to peak in the mid to upper 40s. High temperatures will warm into the low 50's to start the next work week, though long range guidance has trended a bit cooler on next weeks "warm up". Looking ahead, a more amplified flow pattern with additional precipitation chances is expected to arrive by mid- week.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1123 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

VFR conditions are expected to remain through the TAF period. The primary concern is the cold front pushing into northeast Nebraska which brings northwesterly winds gusting up to 30 knots and the LLWS thanks to stronger winds of 40-48 knots at FL014. Expect those conditions through the night at LNK and OFK and from about 3am through mid-morning at KOMA.

OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. IA...None.