textproduct: Omaha/Valley

KEY MESSAGES

- Mix of clouds and sun today with highs in the 40s to near 50F west of the Missouri River, and mid 30s to near 40F east.

- Warm temperatures expected Monday and Tuesday (50s to near 60F) with partly to mostly cloudy skies. Gusty northwest winds expected Tuesday.

- Cooler temperatures Wednesday (highs in the mid 30s to low 40s). Next best chance for precipitation expected sometime late Thursday into Friday (20 to 40% chance).

LONG TERM

/TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

One last warm day is expected Tuesday with high temperatures of 60F across our western areas, and widespread mid to upper 50s for the rest of the area. An H5 wave will eject from Saskatchewan and Manitoba southeast into Minnesota and Wisconsin throughout the day. Sfc cyclogenesis ensues with the 992 mb sfc low deepening over the Great Lakes. A tight pressure gradient and strong H8 jet sets up over much of the Northern Plains resulting in gusty northwest winds of 25 to 35 mph, primarily across northeast Nebraska with gusts of 20 to 25 mph expected for the rest of the area. A ribbon of vorticity associated with the H5 low will swing through the area as does a frontal boundary. A few of the ECMWF and GEFS ensembles develop a light band of QPF over the area late in the afternoon and evening tied to these features. NBM extended is currently dry with under 10% unmentionable PoPs at this time.

By Wednesday, the front will have made its way through helping cool temperatures to the mid 30s across northeast Nebraska into southwest Iowa, while highs in the low 40s are expected for the remainder of the area. Dry conditions are currently forecast, but guidance does show a lobe of vorticity and resultant wave ejecting southeast from northern Manitoba into the Plains. Similar to Tuesday, a few ensembles and deterministic guidance develop light QPF early in the day, but this should be somewhat suppressed by an approaching sfc high. Breezy winds may linger too.

Thursday and Friday will see an stronger wave eject from Alberta and Saskatchewan toward the Dakotas. Differences still exist with model guidance regarding exact track, but a sfc low does form and track southeast. Guidance suggests precip developing with the feature, clipping far northeast Nebraska Thursday (15% chance) with lingering precip on Friday (20 to 40% chance of snow) on the backside of the low for most of northeast Nebraska into west central Iowa. Obviously we are still several days out so expect PoP placement to change within the upcoming days. Highs Thursday rebound to the 40s to near 50F but cool to the mid 30s to low 40s Friday. Winds will be gusty too from the northwest both days. Much cooler air at H8 arrives for Saturday with highs in the mid 20s to low 30s for most locations.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/

Issued at 518 AM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail for the duration of the TAF cycle at all three terminals. Winds will turn to the southwest today becoming breezy in the afternoon with gusts up to 20 kts. Winds weaken and turn more westerly after 05z. A period of low level wind shear will affect KOMA after 02z through at least 05z. Recent model guidance tries to develop a few to scattered cloud deck around 1,500 ft, but confidence in that scenario occurring remains rather low (~10% chance).

OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. IA...None.