textproduct: Omaha/Valley

KEY MESSAGES

- Ice remains on the Loup and Elkhorn, keeping portions of the previous Flood Watch in effect until 1 PM Wednesday.

- Temperatures are on the climb, with highs today in the 40s/50s only set to improve through the next 7 days.

- Chances for rain glance the area Thursday and Saturday, with neither one expected to bring more than 0.1" to any one location.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 908 PM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

Quiet night tonight with a few high clouds and light winds out of the north or northwest. Satellite shows a low pressure system over the Red River Valley with a moisture plume developed along an axis of convergence to the north along the Kansas-Nebraska state line. Out west we see a ridge starting to develop over the Four-Corners Region which will amplify over the next 24 hours across the central CONUS. This will lead to warmer temperatures on Thursday with a shift to southerly winds across the region. This ridge will remain in place through the end of the week, keeping mild temperatures in the forecast going into the weekend.

A weak disturbance will develop a broad area of low pressure across the Central Plains tomorrow night into early Thursday. Confluence in the upper-level flow won't allow for this disturbance to develop into anything strong, but models suggest there may be just enough for low 20-30% chances for rain near the Nebraska-South Dakota Wednesday night as well as a wind shift back to northerly on Thursday evening.

Late in the week the ridge over the region will only build and advect in more warm air as a deepening trough pushes into the Desert Southwest. With this, we'll see daytime highs Friday and Saturday warm into the upper 50s to near 60. The aforementioned trough moves eastward just to our south over the weekend, keeping the bulk of any precipitation to our south. However, several ensemble members suggest portions of southeast Nebraska and far southwest Iowa may get clipped by rain on the north side of this system on Saturday. Rain chances sit around 20-35% mainly south of I-80.

Another ridge builds up over our area behind the trough as we go into early next week. Another strong trough deepens along the coast of California pushing a strong subtropical jet streak northeastward into the Desert Southwest. This will lead to enhanced warm-air advection out ahead of the trough into the Central Plains. With this, we're likely looking at another couple days much warmer than normal, potentially reaching back up to 70 on Tuesday. Though beyond this forecast period, it does look like the warmest day of the week next week at this time will be Wednesday when we could see temperatures get up into the low-to-mid 70s.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 513 AM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

VFR conditions prevail through the period with clear skies this morning. High level clouds begin moving into the region around mid to late morning. Winds are currently calm at KOMA and KLNK and will become southwesterly around 5-10kts by mid-morning. Winds at all three terminals will become southerly by mid to late afternoon. There is a 20% chance of a few light showers after 00Z at KOFK, with little impacts expected. KOMA and KLNK are currently expected to stay dry tonight.

OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...Flood Watch until 1 PM CST this afternoon for NEZ016-017-031- 032-042. IA...None.