textproduct: Omaha/Valley
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Highs warm to the 60s for today with increasing clouds.
- Warmer temperatures return this week. Dry conditions continue with our next chance of rain not until late Friday-Saturday (40-60%).
- Strong winds gusting 30-40 mph also arrive Friday, increasing fire danger for areas with standing crops.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
The H5 ridge will continue amplifying over most of the central CONUS Wednesday and Thursday. The expanding 1000-500mb thicknesses should lead to the continued warming trend as most areas see highs in the mid to upper 70s those days.
Friday should see one more warm day with highs in the mid 70s. A potent H5 longwave trof will progress from the Intermountain West toward the Northern Plains too. Lee cyclogenesis will occur with the sfc low progged to track primarily over the western Dakotas. However, will likely see a tight pressure gradient across most of OAX. Mixing into a 40 to 45 kt H8 jet may also help drive down some extra momentum resulting in 40 to 50 mph gusts, particularly over far northeast Nebraska. With precip chances largely not expected until early Saturday morning, will need to watch that area for fire weather concerns given the dry fuels in that area, particularly from cured crops. Some portions could flirt with Red Flag Warning criteria, so those with any outdoor plans should keep an eye on the forecast.
PoPs of 40 to 60% return areawide by Saturday morning, tapering off on Sunday with cooler temps in the mid 60s.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
Issued at 1254 AM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026
VFR conditions will prevail through the period with passing high clouds. Southerly to southeasterly winds will hover around 10 kts through the day.
OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...None. IA...None.
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