textproduct: Omaha/Valley

KEY MESSAGES

- Cooler air arrives Thursday through the weekend with highs in the 40s. Morning lows fall into the 20s on Friday and Saturday.

- Forecast has trended drier for Sunday.

- Warming trend occurs for the first half of next week. Next best chance for rain is on Wednesday (20-40% chance).

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

An H5 longwave will move from the Pacific Coast toward the Intermountain West early Saturday. The wave weakens by the time it crosses the Rockies, with a more compact wave taking shape and ejecting toward the Central and Southern Plains areas late Saturday into Sunday. The majority of model guidance suggests precip tied to the disturbance staying to our southwest. LREF guidance shows anywhere from 5 to 15% chance for any precip clipping us, primarily across our far southwest areas. This is in good agreement with the latest NBM run which has trended noticeably drier too as less than 10% PoPs are forecast for that aforementioned area on Sunday. Highs this weekend remain the 40s.

For the upcoming week, will see H5 ridging overspread much of the central CONUS. Expanding thicknesses should lead to a warming trend through Wednesday as highs return to the 50s and low 60s. Dry conditions will prevail through at least late Tuesday. Thereafter, models suggest an H5 wave ejecting from the Rockies toward the Northern Plains. There are still differences apparent with the timing and location of the wave, but for now, NBM depicts our area with a 20 to 40% chance for some rain.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 1125 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

VFR conditions favored through the period, though some MVFR- level clouds will linger in the area through the afternoon and possibly return overnight into early Friday. For now, think they'll remain FEW to SCT, but can't rule out some MVFR ceilings. Otherwise, winds will remain light and northerly to northeasterly.

OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. IA...None.