textproduct: Omaha/Valley

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Widespread rain chances (80 to 90%) move into the area Wednesday evening into Thursday morning.

- Rain clears by Thursday evening with the rest of the week remaining dry.

- May see some areas of frost for the first time this season on Friday night into Saturday morning.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND

Quick northerly sfc flow with occasional gusts of 30-35 mph on Friday brings the coolest weather in months (May 20) to the forecast area. Despite the subsidence behind the departing wave producing clear skies, temps will struggle to hit the 60F mark. The high pressure axis crosses eastern Nebraska late Friday night leaving winds to fizzle and temps to plummet. Current NBM guidance has Saturday morning lows ranging from the freezing mark in the Platte River Valley to mid-30s. Frost and or the season's first freeze is becoming increasingly likely. Odds for falling below freezing run from 19% at Omaha to 41% near Columbus (NBM). Patchy frost is nearly inevitable (96%) across northeast Nebraska according to a tally of the NBM ensemble members. Barring a dramatic change, the season's first frost advisory may be on the horizon.

A weakening ridge passes over the CWA this weekend, allowing temps to climb into the mid- to upper-60s by Sunday afternoon. Dry conditions are forecast to linger into next week.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 528 AM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

VFR conditions will persist until around 03-06Z this evening, when MVFR ceilings and rain showers begin to move in from the southwest. A few weak thunderstorms will likely be mixed in with the showers this evening, but confidence in whether or not they will actually impact the TAF sites remains low at this time. Northerly winds will gradually veer to the northeast today, with speeds generally remaining under 12kts.

OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. IA...None.


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