textproduct: Omaha/Valley

KEY MESSAGES

- A few lingering storms continue overnight with little-to-no risk for severe weather.

- Dry conditions expected for most locations Friday with highs in the mid 50s to low 60s.

- Storm chances return over the weekend into next week. Severe weather may return Monday areawide and again for Tuesday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1043 PM CDT Thu Apr 9 2026

We may continue to see a few lingering storms along the secondary front associated with the upper-level trough overnight across southeast Nebraska and southwest Iowa. These storms are elevated in nature and won't be tapping into the enhanced low- level shear which should keep severe potential very low with these storms overnight. CAMs clear them mostly out of our area by 1AM, with a few lingering showers possible across far southeast Nebraska into early Friday morning.

With storms clearing out of the area, we look ahead to Friday with higher pressure sliding across the region. This will lead to clearer skies, but the stationary front to our south will be blocking any tap into the warmer air to our south. This will keep temperatures cooler under the High with daytime high temperatures only peaking in the upper 50s.

As this High starts to clear to the east Friday night into Saturday, we see the cooler air mass get picked up and pushed east on the northern fringe of the Subtropical Ridge over the Southeast, leading to enhanced southerly flow across the Great Plains. This will bring temperatures up as well as bring back in moisture from the Gulf. With the return of warm, moist, unstable air to the region, as well as volatile southwesterly flow ejecting shortwaves through ahead of an approaching trough, we'll see shower and thunderstorms return to the forecast on Saturday. These chances hold through most of the day with a marginal risk for severe storms (level 1 of 5), main threats being large hail and strong winds.

Rain chances lessen, but don't completely clear on Sunday depending on how quickly the upper-level trough can push the cold front through Saturday night into Sunday. While the primary deterministic models clear us out by Sunday afternoon, some of the ensembles hold onto some lingering showers through Sunday evening. Ahead of the cold front on Sunday we do continue to see strong southerly flow bringing temperatures Sunday afternoon up into the mid 70s to low 80s.

Next Week...

We're watching potential for a couple rounds of severe storms Monday and Tuesday next week as we continue to tap into the warm, moist, unstable air mass from the Gulf as a couple more shortwaves eject out of the deep upper-level trough over the West Coast. While details remain hazy this far out, there does appear to be a broad area of shear and instability forecast to set up ahead of these system Monday into Tuesday, leading to potential for all hazards including tornadoes, hail, and damaging winds across a good portion of the Great Plains from central Texas north into eastern Nebraska northeast toward the Great Lakes. The severe threat shifts off to the east on Wednesday as the deep upper-level trough over the West Coast finally kicks free and moves through our area. While we will continue to see chances for rain on Wednesday, the low-level jet which has been advecting in the unstable environment shifts off to the east leading to lower chances for anything severe.

The upper-level pattern continues to remain unsettled going into the latter half of next week. Though temperatures trend back closer to normal, we'll continue to see additional low chances for showers and storms through the end of the week.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1222 AM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026

Showers and storms have pushes southeast of the TAF sites, though MVFR ceilings will linger at OMA for a short time to start the period. Can't completely rule out a few additional showers or an isolated storm popping up overnight through tomorrow, though chances are currently under 10 percent. Otherwise, VFR are conditions expected through the remainder of the period with some passing mid-level clouds. Northeasterly winds overnight will gradually turn clockwise, becoming easterly to southeasterly Friday afternoon/evening and generally hover on either side of 10 kts.

OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. IA...None.