textproduct: San Francisco Bay Area
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1139 PM PDT Sun Apr 5 2026
- Cooler into the work week
- Beneficial rain arrives in the mid week and lasts into the weekend
- Slight chances for storms Thursday and Friday
SHORT TERM
Issued at 1139 PM PDT Sun Apr 5 2026 (Tonight through Tuesday)
It was the warmest day of the week with highs mostly in the 80s and a daily high temperature record broken at Livermore. Temperatures look to steadily cool into the night with the dropping pressure allowing the marine layer to rebuild. Low stratus has been slowly building along the coast and spreading from the North to South since sunset. Most coastal areas and some of the interior valleys look to see low clouds and fog chances into the early morning through the mid morning. Low temperatures will be slightly cooler tonight.
The increase in moisture from the rebuilding marine layer and better onshore flow will make for a much cooler Monday. High temperatures in most areas will be around 10 degrees cooler than Sunday afternoon! The immediate coast looks to peak around 60 degrees while the inland areas span the 60s and 70s. Only the far interior areas look to break the 80 degree mark, but just barely.
The cooling trend will affect Monday night's temperatures as well, with lows falling back into the 40s for the more inland areas and around 50 for the coastal areas.
LONG TERM
Issued at 1139 PM PDT Sun Apr 5 2026 (Tuesday night through next Sunday)
High temperatures stay mostly the same for Tuesday and Wednesday as onshore flow says fairly persistent and the marine continues to deepen. Wednesday night does see a bit of warm up in a few areas as the warm-sector ahead of the next low pressure system begins to affect the area.
The evening model updates have slowed the arrival of the low pressure and trough combo heading our way in the . The warmer air ahead of it will foster some drizzle chances into Wednesday evening along the coast and across the northern portions of the North Bay counties. These chances become more widespread later into that night. Measurable, but still very light, rain has mostly been pushed back to the mid to late morning on Thursday for the Bay Area and Central Coast. These chances for light showers look to be off and on through Saturday morning, but there is still potential for the low to slow and precip chances lingering into that night.
The mixing environment around the low will offer slight chances for storms both Thursday afternoon and Friday afternoon. Friday shows more widespread chances than Thursday, but it will be something for forecasters to keep an eye on as the low can still change trajectory and shift around these storm chances.
Even though the low pressure exits Saturday, cloud cover and onshore flow look to last into the next work week. This will keep things on the cool side into the end of the forecast period.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 953 PM PDT Sun Apr 5 2026
MVFR-IFR stratus is developing along the Pacific coast, spreading inland through the early morning hours on Monday. High confidence in stratus impacts at the immediate coast and the northern SF Bay terminals, moderate confidence in stratus impacts at SJC and the interior terminals. Stratus will retreat to the immediate coast through Monday morning, with onshore flow resuming in the afternoon. Stratus will return to the coastal regions Monday evening, with more inland expansion after the end of the 24-hour TAF period.
Vicinity of SFO... MVFR-IFR stratus will begin to flow through the Golden Gate in the next several hours, with moderate confidence in the exact timing of the stratus impacts, with the high resolution models suggesting that the terminal will be socked in by 10-12Z. Stratus will dissipate Monday morning around 18-20Z, with breezy west-northwest winds in the afternoon. Some stratus will flow through the Golden Gate Monday evening, but the highest confidence for impacts at SFO comes after midnight into early Tuesday morning.
SFO Bridge Approach... Similar to SFO.
Monterey Bay Terminals... Light winds continue through the night. IFR ceilings develop in the next couple of hours, with the stratus clearing through Monday morning before breezy northwest winds develop in the afternoon. High resolution models are depicting stratus returning on Monday evening around 02-03Z.
MARINE
(Tonight through next Saturday) Issued at 953 PM PDT Sun Apr 5 2026
Light to moderate winds persist over the coastal waters for much of next week. Locally fresh winds will briefly develop early to midweek across the coastal waters with locally stronger winds possible along the Big Sur Coast. Unsettled weather returns mid to late week, bringing light showers, a slight chance of thunderstorms, and moderate seas. Winds increase next weekend with a fresh breeze expected over the northern coastal waters.
MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...None. PZ...Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM Monday to 3 AM PDT Tuesday for Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.
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