textproduct: San Francisco Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 141 PM PST Fri Jan 30 2026

- Pleasant, warm and dry weather continues through the next week

- Minor coastal flooding directly along the bayshore for the San Francisco, San Pablo, and Monterey Bays through Sunday

- Hazardous beach conditions due to an increased risk of sneaker waves and rip currents for Pacific Coast beaches through Monday

SHORT TERM

Issued at 141 PM PST Fri Jan 30 2026 (This evening through Saturday)

Pleasant weather continues with warm afternoons and chilly mornings. High clouds continue to drift over the Bay Area and Central Coast which should result in a pretty sunset. Temperatures remain 10 to 15 degrees above normal today and again on Saturday. Temperatures look to warm a degree or two on Saturday compared to today but this doesn't result in too many differences. The majority of the Bay Area (excluding the South Bay) will be in the 60s on Saturday. The Central Coast and South Bay will be warmer, in the upper 60s to mid 70s. The warmest locations look to be in the Southern Salinas Valley where places like King City and Bradley stand a chance of reaching 76/77 degrees. For anyone wondering about records, San Jose has a shot at tying their record (71) while the warmest locations in the interior Central Coast fall short of their records. King City's forecast high of 77 is impressive for winter, but, the daily high temperature record for 1/31 is a whopping 85 degrees in 1976. For Salinas, the forecast has them reaching 75 degrees whereas the record high is 79 degrees in 1976. Heading north, the downtown San Francisco climate site is expected to only reach 63 degrees with the record high being 74 degrees in 2015. We may see a few record highs threatened on Saturday but all in all that should only be at a handful of sites. It really just depends on if you're north or south of the South Bay.

For anyone taking advantage of the unusually warm weather and heading to the coast, a Beach Hazards Statement remains in effect through Monday morning. There is an elevated risk of rip currents and sneaker waves - remember never turn your back on the ocean! There is additionally a Coastal Flood Advisory in effect along the SF Bay Shoreline and Monterey Bay Shoreline for morning high tides on Saturday and Sunday. Any flooding that occurs will be minor and will nowhere as consequential as the coastal flooding experienced in early January. See the BEACHES section below for more information.

LONG TERM

Issued at 141 PM PST Fri Jan 30 2026 (Saturday night through next Thursday)

Over the last few days we've discussed the potential for light rain/drizzle across northern Sonoma County thanks to a shortwave trough passing through. These chances have evaporated to almost nothing with only a 10% chance of drizzle across the far left corner of Sonoma County remaining Sunday night. Any and all rain chances have been pushed well north of us and it is dry as a bone for the foreseeable future. There is the potential for rain to return around February 10th but confidence is low at this time. Models have consistently been showing rain returning at the very end of their runs for the last few weeks without it panning out. Suffice it to say, we need models to both maintain the trend of rain around the 10th as it gets closer in time and for more ensemble members to forecast accumulating rain before forecaster confidence that rain will return increases.

While the shortwave trough won't bring us any rain, it will allow temperatures to cool Sunday and Monday thanks to a weakening of the ridge. Temperatures will drop into the 60s for most of the CWA with the exception being the Salinas Valley. High temperatures across the Salinas Valley will be cooler, but, they will still be in the low 70s. Temperatures rise again Tuesday with highs in the upper 60s to upper 70s as upper level ridging restrengthens. Abnormally warm temperatures continue Wednesday and Thursday before a slight cool down next weekend. Morning temperatures persist in the upper 30s (coldest locations) to 40s/50s across the majority of the region. Otherwise, the forecast for the upcoming week remains similar to what we saw this week. Warmer than usual, drier than usual, and locally foggy particularly along the San Pablo Bay, the Delta, East Bay Valleys, and North Bay Valleys.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 341 PM PST Fri Jan 30 2026

Strong 500 mb high pressure ridging albeit is slowly moving eastward it will continue to result in VFR tonight through Saturday with exception of patchy valley fog /LIFR-IFR/ developing tonight and Saturday morning.

Vicinity of SFO...VFR. Mainly light N-NE wind.

SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.

Monterey Bay Terminals...VFR. Onshore winds 5 to 10 knots becoming E-SE 5 to 15 knots tonight and Saturday morning. Onshore winds near 10 knots Saturday afternoon and early evening, winds shifting back to light E-SE mid to late Saturday evening.

MARINE

(Tonight through next Wednesday) Issued at 335 PM PST Fri Jan 30 2026

Seas will continue to abate through tomorrow to become moderate. Gentle to moderate northerly/offshore breezes will prevail through Saturday. Hazardous marine conditions return Sunday into Monday as seas build to become rough for the inner waters and outer waters and northerly breezes increase to become fresh to strong. Conditions improve Tuesday.

BEACHES

Issued at 333 AM PST Fri Jan 30 2026

Hazardous beach conditions will continue through Monday at all Pacific Coast beaches. Long period westerly swell will bring an increased risk for sneaker waves and strong rip currents with breaking waves of 14 to 19 feet. Remember: stay off of jetties, piers, rocks, and other waterside infrastructure, remain out of the water, and never turn your back on the ocean!

MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CA...Beach Hazards Statement through Monday morning for CAZ006-505- 509-529-530.

Coastal Flood Advisory until noon PST Sunday for CAZ006-506-508- 529-530.

PZ...None.