textproduct: San Francisco Bay Area

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1200 PM PDT Sun Jun 28 2026

- Seasonally cool temperatures along with breezy afternoon winds persist into the middle of the week

- Increased risk of sneaker waves and strong rip currents through Wednesday morning along the Pacific coast

- Gradual warming trend begins late week and into next week

SHORT TERM

Issued at 1200 AM PDT Tue Jun 30 2026 (Tonight through Wednesday)

Troughing continues to dominate the upper level pattern across the western U.S. and will continue through the middle to end of the work week. GOES satellite imagery shows the marine stratus continuing to push inland into coastal communities from Point Reyes southward as of 1200 AM PDT. Marine stratus will continue to fill into the area overnight clearing late this morning. Today, high temperatures will be generally within a few degrees of normal with coastal areas forecast to be in the upper 50s to low 60s, warmer for the inland communities in the mid 70s to upper 80s with some areas seeing into the lower 90s.

Long-period southerly swell will continue to increase the risk for sneaker waves and strong rip currents along the Pacific coast, particularly at south and southwest facing beaches. A Beach Hazards Statement remains in effect through Wednesday morning, see the BEACHES section for more details. Never turn your back to the ocean!

LONG TERM

Issued at 1200 AM PDT Tue Jun 30 2026 (Wednesday night through next Monday)

The aforementioned troughing will begin to flatten towards the end of the work week as ridging begins to develop in the south-central U.S., and zonal flow sets in. As the ridging builds into the weekend, high temperatures will rise across the area, but only to Minor HeatRisk levels. There is still a degree of uncertainty the center for the building high pressure and how strong the ridging will be. The Climate Prediction Center guidance shows an increased likelihood of above normal temperatures in the 8 to 14 day outlook.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 347 AM PDT Tue Jun 30 2026

Stratus /MVFR-IFR/ continues to develop with onshore winds ushering stratus inland. Diurnal surface warming will mix stratus out by late morning to early afternoon otherwise VFR prevails today. Coastal stratus redevelops tonight and Wednesday morning.

Vicinity of SFO...Stratus /MVFR-VFR/ mixing out to VFR by 16z today. Stratus /MVFR/ redevelops tonight and Wednesday morning. West wind near 10 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots in the afternoon and evening. West wind decreasing to 10 knots tonight and Wednesday morning.

SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.

Vicinity of SJC and OAK...San Jose Airport VFR, light southeast wind becoming northwest 13 knots in the afternoon. Wind decreasing to near 10 knots then becoming light southeast late tonight and Wednesday morning. Oakland Airport stratus /MVFR/ mixing out to VFR by late morning. Stratus /MVFR/ returns tonight and Wednesday morning. Northwest wind near 10 knots becoming west 15 to 20 knots late morning and afternoon, decreasing to 5 to 10 knots tonight and Wednesday morning.

Monterey Bay Terminals...Stratus /IFR/ mixes out to VFR by late morning and afternoon. Stratus /MVFR-IFR/ redevelops and moves inland tonight and Wednesday morning. West winds 5 to 15 knots with afternoon gusts to 20 knots.

MARINE

(Today through Sunday) Issued at 334 AM PDT Tue Jun 30 2026

Strong northerly breezes will continue through Friday for the outer waters and the coastal jet region of Point Reyes. This will create hazardous conditions for small craft. Frequent gale force gusts are expected across the northern outer waters and along the Point Reyes coastal jet region through Wednesday, a bit weaker Thursday and Friday. Moderate northerly breezes will prevail elsewhere. Rough to very rough seas will continue through Wednesday before abating to become moderate to rough Thursday into Friday.

BEACHES

Issued at 236 PM PDT Mon Jun 29 2026

A Beach Hazards Statement remains in effect for Pacific Coast beaches through 5 AM Wednesday. Long period southerly swell will create an increased risk of sneaker waves and strong rip currents. This will be especially true for south and southwest facing beaches with moderate to steep slopes along the North Bay, San Francisco Peninsula, and Santa Cruz coasts. Sneaker waves can sweep across the shoreline without warning, pulling people into the sea from rocks, jetties and beaches. Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and localized beach erosion can be expected. Stay off of jetties, piers, rocks, and other waterside infrastructure. Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous surf and NEVER turn your back on the ocean. Monitor local weather, surf and tide forecasts at www.weather.gov/mtr.

MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CA...Beach Hazards Statement through late tonight for CAZ006-505-509- 529-530.

PZ...Gale Warning until 9 PM PDT this evening for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm.

Gale Warning until 3 PM PDT Wednesday for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM.

Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM PDT Wednesday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM.


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