textproduct: San Francisco Bay Area

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1234 AM PST Mon Nov 2 2026

- Hazardous beach conditions through Tuesday evening and again Thursday through Saturday

- Seasonal to slightly below seasonal temperatures through Thursday

- Light rain for Tuesday except interior Central Coast

SHORT TERM

Issued at 1229 AM PST Mon Nov 2 2026 (Today and tonight)

The system that brought precip over the weekend is now carving its way through the Four Corners region. In its wake upper level ridging is currently building over the CA. As such, expect warmer and drier conditions to kick off the work week. Speaking of the weekend rain, residual low level moisture may lead to some patchy fog, but widespread fog impacts are looking less likely this morning. High clouds associated with the next rain maker are spilling over the ridge, which is limiting radiational cooling potential. Temperatures this afternoon will be a few degrees warmer than Sunday and in the 60s to lower 70s.

The dry weather will be short-lived as the next rain maker will make is presence known after midnight tonight. The ridge weakens and moves eastward. Behind the ridge is another upper level low. This feature will bring precip back to the region. Rain chances initially develop over the North Bay late tonight.

LONG TERM

Issued at 1229 AM PST Mon Nov 2 2026 (Tuesday through Sunday)

Will likely be a wet commute Tuesday morning as the associated surface low begins to move closer to the coast. Precip chances will spread S and E through the day, but loose some steam over the interior Central Coast. In addition to precip, instability increase over the northern coastal waters during the afternoon. Thunderstorms have been added to the forecast. Will leave them out of the forecast over land at this time, but some hi-res models suggest instability does briefly drift into Sonoma county during the afternoon. Thunder may need to be added on the next forecast update. Precip chances linger into early Tuesday before drier weather returns by Wednesday. Rainfall amounts will be greatest over the North Bay 0.10-0.50", Bay Area 0.01-0.25", Central Coast little to no accum.

Wednesday kicks off a warming and drying trend that will last into next weekend with quasi-zonal flow transitioning to ridging aloft. Temperature rebound will be impressive too as highs reach the 70s to lower 80s next weekend.

Looking out into fantasy land the Pacific stays active with additional rain chance on the horizon. Next rain chance return around Nov 10-11.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 902 PM PST Sun Nov 1 2026

VFR and patchy fog /IFR-LIFR/ is forecast for the 06z TAFs. High clouds also moving in from the west tonight and Monday.

Vicinity of SFO...VFR. West to northwest wind 5 knots becoming light southeasterly to easterly early Monday morning. West wind 5 knots redeveloping by early Monday evening.

SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.

Monterey Bay Terminals...VFR. Winds southeasterly 5 to 15 knots late tonight and Monday morning. Winds onshore near 10 knots Monday afternoon and early evening.

MARINE

(Tonight through next Saturday) Issued at 900 PM PST Sun Nov 1 2026

Moderate to fresh northwesterly winds will continue with some fresh to strong gusts lingering through the evening. Hazardous conditions for small craft are expected and will ease from north to south. Gentle to moderate breezes and moderate seas will prevail, building to become rough in the outer waters Tuesday into Wednesday.

BEACHES

Issued at 1229 AM PST Mon Nov 2 2026

Hazardous beach conditions will be present at Pacific Coast beaches Monday and Tuesday as long period (15-19 second) northwesterly swell will bring an increased risk for sneaker waves and strong rip currents. Waves can sweep across the shoreline without warning, pulling people into the sea from beaches, jetties, and rocks. Stay off of jetties, piers, rocks, and other waterside infrastructure. Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous surf and never turn your back on the ocean!

Sarment

MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CA...Beach Hazards Statement from 5 AM PST early this morning through Tuesday evening for CAZ006-505-509-529-530.

PZ...Small Craft Advisory from 3 AM to 3 PM PST Tuesday for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM.