textproduct: Morristown
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 135 PM EST Sun Mar 1 2026
- Rain showers, mainly north of I-40, Monday morning through late afternoon.
- Better chances for widespread rainfall by the end of the week and into the weekend.
- Warming trend this coming week, with high temperatures approaching 20 degrees above normal heading into the weekend. Record high temperatures forecast for most areas on Thursday.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 135 PM EST Sun Mar 1 2026
Mostly zonal flow in place to start the period. A weak shortwave moves through the flow and brings some rain showers into our area tomorrow morning through afternoon. Most of the precip should be north of I-40, with the best chances across northeast TN and into southwest VA. A few light rain showers possible south of I-40 but only slight chance POPs.
Tuesday through Thursday features mostly dry conditions across the area along with warming temperatures as a ridge of high pressure strengthens across the southeastern U.S. There are some slight chance POPs in place on Thursday due to a weakening frontal boundary moving into the area. Additionally, record high temps are currently forecast at CHA and TYS on Thursday.
Model consensus shows the ridge breaking down by the weekend. This will pave the way for an approaching system to make a push through the area, bringing higher chances of more widespread rainfall. Storm total QPF from Friday night through Sunday night shows roughly 0.5 to 0.75 inches across the area.
Overall, no hazardous weather expected at this time.
Daily Record High Maximum Temperatures
Date Chattanooga Knoxville Tri-Cities Oak Ridge 03-05 80(1955) 78(2022) 77(2022) 78(1955) 03-06 82(1956) 79(2022) 79(2022) 81(1956) 03-07 82(2000) 80(1983) 79(1956) 80(1956) 03-08 81(2000) 78(1974) 78(2000) 79(2000)
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1224 PM EST Sun Mar 1 2026
VFR conditions forecast at CHA and TYS through the period. Mostly VFR at TRI until MVFR ceilings tomorrow morning due to the arrival of rain. Light winds less than 10kts also forecast at all sites.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Chattanooga Airport, TN 50 70 51 71 / 30 10 10 0 Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 46 64 48 71 / 40 50 10 10 Oak Ridge, TN 46 62 49 70 / 50 50 10 10 Tri Cities Airport, TN 40 55 43 66 / 30 70 20 10
MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE.
IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.
textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.