textproduct: Morristown
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 602 PM EST Fri Jan 2 2026
- A weak system passing south of our area will bring rain tonight through Saturday morning.
- Warming trend is expected into next week, with temperatures climbing to around 20 degrees above normal by mid-week.
- Next best chance of rain late in the week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1231 PM EST Fri Jan 2 2026
A weak shortwave will slide across to our south tonight into Saturday morning. Areas south of I-40 will have the highest POPs, especially the closer you get to the TN/GA/NC state line. Areas along the I-40 corridor will only have moderate probabilities for some light rain showers. Areas north of I-40 low probabilities and likely dry for southwest VA. Even with the higher POPs down south, QPF will be light and will average between 0.2 and 0.4 inches of rainfall. Precip exits east Saturday morning but clouds linger through much of the day. We should start to see some breaks in the clouds during the afternoon hours though.
Ridging begins to build in from Sunday and onward, with temperatures warming each day thereafter. Temps will climb to around 20 degrees above normal by midweek. Overnight lows during this time period will be comparable to our normal day time highs for this time of year, with lows in the upper 40s to low 50s.
Our next best chance of precip comes late in the week as the pattern becomes more unsettled. Models are in very poor agreement on pattern evolution and specifics with any one system. So while event specific details aren't clear, the overall pattern is conducive for increasing POPs Thursday into Friday.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 602 PM EST Fri Jan 2 2026
Deteriorating aviation conditions are expected at CHA with IFR expected late tonight into the early morning as rain moves in. At TYS, reductions are expected as well, but a minimum of MVFR was maintained. For TRI, showers in the vicinity are expected with SCT just below 3,000 feet included. During the day on Saturday, improvements are expected with light and variable winds.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Chattanooga Airport, TN 48 60 37 55 / 90 20 0 0 Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 44 58 34 52 / 60 20 0 0 Oak Ridge, TN 43 58 32 50 / 50 20 0 0 Tri Cities Airport, TN 39 53 31 47 / 30 40 0 0
MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE.
IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.
textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.