textproduct: Morristown

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 652 AM EDT Thu Jun 4 2026

- The dry weather pattern will persist for the rest of the week. Low dew points and a touch below normal temperatures to start, then gradually warming temperatures and increasing humidity.

- Rain chances return as we head into next week, but certainty is lower due to model discrepancies.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 121 AM EDT Thu Jun 4 2026

The center of the upper level ridge is nearly vertically stacked above the surface high pressure, at this time. The upper level ridge will slowly meander to the southeast, while the surface high will slowly edge off of the Carolina coasts by this weekend. As a result of the blocking high, our area will be in a dry pattern with gradually increasing temperatures and dew points.

Early next week, a southwest upper level low will try to phase in with the mean flow draped across the northern tier of the US. Odds are good that precipitation chances return to the area as early as Sunday, but the weak flow paired with a possible west to east frontal boundary over us or to the north, makes any details at this time fairly uncertain. Return flow will bring increased atmospheric moisture, decreasing the stability next week.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 652 AM EDT Thu Jun 4 2026

VFR conditions with mostly clear skies and light winds will prevail through the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Chattanooga Airport, TN 85 60 85 63 / 0 0 0 0 Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 84 61 86 63 / 0 0 0 0 Oak Ridge, TN 84 59 84 61 / 0 0 0 0 Tri Cities Airport, TN 83 57 86 60 / 0 0 0 0

MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE.