textproduct: Morristown

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 107 PM EST Thu Nov 5 2026

- Ongoing river flooding along the Ocoee River will continue as the flood crest moves through the Ocoee today. Water levels at Copperhill will continue to drop.

- Dry weather is expected to dominate the next several days.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 107 PM EST Thu Nov 5 2026

Overnight heavy rainfall in northern Georgia has led to significant river flooding on the Ocoee River. The good news is that rain has come to an end, and portions of the Ocoee have already crested. The flood wave is still moving through remaining portions of the river as it heads toward the Hiwassee. Continue to heed all statements from the City of Copperhill and the remaining flood warnings associated with the flood wave.

The rest of today and tomorrow are both mild and dry, with patchy dense fog fairly likely tomorrow morning as we continue to dry out from the rainfall. An upper trough in the Great Lakes will push a weak cold front through the region tomorrow afternoon and evening. This will yield a slightly cooler airmass going forward, with temperatures near normals for November.

The front tomorrow should be a dry or mainly dry front, though I can see some light rain showers or drizzle as the HRRR depicts a saturated, but shallow profile underneath a deeper dry airmass farther aloft. Added some low rain chances along the northern Plateau for this. No significant weather expected with this front. Post front, temperatures will cool to near or just below seasonable averages, and remain mild into next week, with some patchy frost possible for many locations each morning. Dry weather is likely to continue into next week, outside of the already mentioned drizzle/light rain along the cold front tomorrow.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1232 PM EST Thu Nov 5 2026

VFR TAFs will continue the next few hours. Thinking at least patchy, but possibly more widespread, fog is increasingly likely tonight. Didn't go all-in yet in the TAFs but did note the most likely time period for fog to occur with only minor VIS reductions noted. Beyond that, likely to be dry with only light winds through the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Chattanooga Airport, TN 50 70 45 62 / 0 0 0 0 Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 50 68 45 59 / 0 0 0 0 Oak Ridge, TN 46 68 42 59 / 0 0 0 0 Tri Cities Airport, TN 50 67 43 58 / 0 0 0 0

MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE.