textproduct: Morristown

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 644 PM EST Sat Nov 14 2026

- Isolated snow showers in the mountains wrap up this afternoon. Thereafter, dry conditions should continue through the period.

- After a cold weekend, we will see a gradual warming trend next week. Temperatures are expected to swing from 10-15 degrees below normal today, to 5-10 degrees above normal by the end of the coming week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1238 PM EST Sat Nov 14 2026

To be honest, there's not a lot to talk about weather wise over the coming week. While precip comes to an end today, deep upper troughing centered over the northeast CONUS will continue into Sunday, resulting in temperatures remaining some 10-15 degrees below normal. Said upper troughing will gradually eject northeastward Monday, leading way to an expected warming trend as upper ridging builds to our west and eventually shifts this direction by mid week. In fact, as a result of the anomalously strong ridging forecast to build over the southeast CONUS, temperatures will actually rebound to 5-10 degrees above normal by the second half of the week.

On the precipitation side of things, it looks quite dry. A trough ejecting from the Rockies into the upper midwest Thu into Fri may flatten the aforementioned upper ridge enough to allow for some light precip to make it into the region on Fri. However, the overall blocking pattern aloft would suggest that rain has very low probabilities of making it to our CWA. The lack of agreement in models, coupled with very light QPF in the ones that do show it, add confidence to siding with continued dry conditions.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 644 PM EST Sat Nov 14 2026

VFR can generally can be expected at CHA and TYS with Nly to NEly winds. TRI is currently under VFR OVC, but are however forecast to fall to MVFR CIG height during the early morning hours tomorrow, potentially persisting until the early afternoon before becoming VFR again. Cloud cover will be stemming from upslope showers along the eastern WV high terrain.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Chattanooga Airport, TN 33 58 35 60 / 0 0 0 0 Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 30 55 32 58 / 0 0 0 0 Oak Ridge, TN 30 56 32 58 / 0 0 0 0 Tri Cities Airport, TN 29 49 28 57 / 0 0 0 0

MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE.