textproduct: Morristown
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 546 PM EST Sun Feb 15 2026
- Rain ending this evening.
- Dry and significantly warmer this coming week. Next rain chances appear Thursday and onwards.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1240 PM EST Sun Feb 15 2026
Widespread rain will continue through at least early afternoon across the region as a low moves through AL/GA. Storm Total Precip across the region already has some pockets of 1 to 1.5 inches mainly in the Cumberland Plateau and Southern Tennessee Valley. By mid afternoon, rain will become more light and showery, this is already occurring in the southern half of the region. Rain will end completely this evening as the trough and surface low approach the Southeast Coast.
The Wind Advisory in the East Tennessee mountains and foothills will be allowed to expire at 2 PM EST. Winds are already starting to decrease at the few wind towers available there. Winds are also coming down on the VAD wind profile radar product. Wind gusts above 40 mph were observed at a few of the more wind prone spots but those higher gusts may not have been as widespread as forecast.
Sunday night through midweek will be dry and much warmer as ridging and high pressure dominate the pattern. By Wednesday, the ridge breaks down with nearly zonal flow or weak ridging in the upper levels through Friday or Saturday. Low rain chances return Thursday, increasing Friday into Saturday as chances increase for a system to develop. Highs this workweek will be much warmer in the 60s and lower 70s in the Tennessee Valley. Highs will be 10 to 20 degrees above normal with the warmest days expected to be Thursday and Friday.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 546 PM EST Sun Feb 15 2026
Rain exiting, but MVFR/IFR (or lower) conditions will linger into the night with improvement to VFR likely occurring first at CHA overnight and then at TYS and TRI in the early morning. Winds will generally be from the north and northeast around 10 kts or less.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Chattanooga Airport, TN 44 66 43 69 / 10 0 0 0 Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 41 62 40 67 / 40 0 0 0 Oak Ridge, TN 41 63 40 65 / 20 0 0 0 Tri Cities Airport, TN 39 60 35 64 / 40 0 0 0
MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE.
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