textproduct: Morristown

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 636 AM EST Sat Nov 14 2026

- Scattered precipitation overnight and into the morning. Storm total snow accumulations of 1 to 4 inches are expected at or above 3,000 feet in the Tennessee mountains, with locally higher amounts along the highest peaks. Some light snow accumulations are also likely over the higher elevations in SW VA.

- Dry weather will return later today and then continue through next week. After a cold weekend, we will see a gradual warming trend next week as well.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 129 AM EST Sat Nov 14 2026

Per latest GOES East mid-level water vapor imagery, shortwave energy is currently advecting through the Ohio Valley into the northern Tennessee valley, with scattered precipitation locally. This is largely light rain for most locations, however, a few surface observations across higher elevations of southwest Virginia and the East Tennessee mountains remain at or just below freezing, promoting snow showers. Latest snow depth sensor readings from Newfound Gap place amounts near 2.3" as of 2 AM. Scattered precipitation will taper off through the mid to late morning as saturation gradually shallows out among continued northwest flow.

Overall, the current SPS/Advisory products look to be in good shape, and no changes are being made. Bulk of the snowfall accumulations are expected to occur at elevations 3000ft or greater, and generally expected to be 4 inches or less. However, localized higher totals cannot be ruled out in the highest peaks of the smokies such as Mt. LeConte or Newfound Gap. The advisory currently extends until 1PM EST. If the latest trends in CAMs hold true, it is possible the advisory may be able to be expired a little earlier, but will hold off on any adjustments to end time at this moment.

While precip comes to an end today, temperatures will remain around 10-15 degrees below normal though Sunday. The upper level trough will gradually eject northeastward Monday and into next week, leading way to an expected warming trend. In fact, temperatures will rebound to well above normal by the second half of the week as guidance agrees on an anomalous ridge building across the southeast. An extended period of dry conditions is also expected for the new work week.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 636 AM EST Sat Nov 14 2026

IR satellite this morning shows clouds are beginning to scatter out across much of the valley. This trend will continue this morning, and VFR conditions will remain predominant. No additional precipitation is expected and winds to remain less than 10 knots.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Chattanooga Airport, TN 54 32 56 33 / 0 0 0 0 Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 50 29 54 30 / 10 0 0 0 Oak Ridge, TN 50 29 55 30 / 0 0 0 0 Tri Cities Airport, TN 45 28 49 26 / 10 0 0 0

MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NC...NONE. TN...Winter Weather Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for Blount Smoky Mountains-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Johnson-Sevier Smoky Mountains-Southeast Carter-Southeast Greene-Southeast Monroe-Unicoi.

VA...NONE.