textproduct: Morristown

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 118 AM EDT Tue Jun 2 2026

- A chance of showers and possible thunderstorms this afternoon mainly for the Southern Appalachians, northeast TN, southwest VA, and southwest NC. Small hail and gusty winds are possible.

- A dry weather pattern will and set up across the region for the rest of the week. Slightly below normal temperatures through Thursday with drier air, then a return to near normal temperatures next weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 118 AM EDT Tue Jun 2 2026

A fairly stout backdoor shortwave trough will swing overhead later this morning and afternoon. This will support and help fire isolated to scattered showers and possible thunderstorms, mainly along the Southern Appalachians. That chance also extends over Southwest NC, northeast TN, and southwest VA this afternoon until about sunset. CAPE will be in the neighborhood of a couple of hundred, and lapse rates will be steepening under colder temps aloft. M-L LRs on a couple of forecast soundings indicate near 7 C/Km. So, small hail cannot be ruled out, as well as gusty wind potential with DCAPE in the 700s. Surface temperatures will be a bit cooler today, as well as dew points markedly lower.

Wednesday until the middle of the weekend will be a welcomed change to the weather pattern, especially for areas that have seen copious amounts of rain lately. Ridging aloft will shift over from the west, while surface high pressure near the Great Lakes drifts to the Mid- Atlantic, with time. This will keep the forecast area dry for multiple days. Slightly below normal temperatures can be expected today through Thursday, with a return to near normal temperatures Friday onward. Humidity also won't be as bad as what it has been at the start of the aforementioned days. A slow return to 60s and some 70s dew points can be expected next weekend when return flow tries to develop out ahead of increasing chances for precipitation Sunday.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 118 AM EDT Tue Jun 2 2026

Incoming disturbance aloft will spark off ISOLD to SCT SHRA this afternoon and perhaps a few TSRA as well. This will be primarily over the mountains and in the northern TN valley. Included a PROB30 at KTRI to account for this but it doesn't seem necessary elsewhere. Otherwise, tightening surface pressure gradients will lead to gusty NE winds at KTYS and KCHA later today. Flight categories should remain VFR through the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Chattanooga Airport, TN 82 59 81 59 / 10 0 0 0 Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 81 55 80 57 / 10 10 0 0 Oak Ridge, TN 80 55 80 57 / 0 0 0 0 Tri Cities Airport, TN 78 51 81 53 / 50 10 0 0

MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE.