textproduct: Morristown

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 741 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2026

- Enhanced Fire Danger again tomorrow, across all areas.

- Near to just below freezing temperatures expected across portions of northeast TN and southwest VA for tonight.

- Potential for a rainy period in the latter half of next week and into the weekend, which may alleviate near-term drought and wildfire conditions.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 217 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2026

Winds become less breezy overnight but light winds should remain across most areas. Most areas should be above freezing but near to just below freezing temperatures are expected across portions of northeast TN and southwest VA tonight. Wind Chills will dip into the teens/20s across the highest peaks of the East TN, southwest VA, and the southwest NC mountains.

Elevated Fire Weather concerns continue tomorrow across all areas. Min RH values will once again be in the teens to 20s for most areas. Winds will be less gusty compared to today but still somewhat breezy and out of the south. Most valley locations will see gusts to around 15 mph but isolated spots could see 20 mph. The higher elevations of the East TN mountains will see gusts up to 25 mph. An Enhanced Fire Danger Statement will be issued for all areas once the current statement that is in effect for today expires later this evening.

The first half of next week will feature mainly dry weather and warming temperatures due to a strong ridge of high pressure that will be in place to our east in the Atlantic. On Tuesday, high temps will be back in the 80s. Rain and thunderstorm chances in place Wednesday/Thursday as a cold front moves south across the OH Valley and settles across WV/KY/TN Wednesday night. A series of upper disturbances in the SW flow, combined with the potential for a stationary front near the area, may result in a rainy period through the latter half of next week. Additional rain and storm chances in place Friday and into the weekend as shortwave, and then another cold front, move across the region. This unsettled period will bring several chances for widespread, beneficial, rainfall across the area. Current QPF totals from Wednesday through next weekend range from 1 to 2 inches across the area. These amounts may help to alleviate near-term drought and wildfire conditions. No significant signs of any severe weather seems present at the moment, but a low probability of hazardous weather will be in place from midweek onward.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 741 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2026

Typical diurnal pattern to the gusty winds overnight with relaxation of wind speed as the low level decouples. A resumption of gusty winds at KCHA tomorrow, potentially KTYS but more southerly component overall. Scattered clouds begin to increase across the south late, but remain VFR.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Chattanooga Airport, TN 41 69 53 76 / 0 0 0 0 Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 35 69 49 74 / 0 0 0 10 Oak Ridge, TN 35 68 49 74 / 0 0 0 10 Tri Cities Airport, TN 32 65 44 70 / 0 0 0 10

MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE.