textproduct: Morristown

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 707 AM EDT Mon Mar 30 2026

- Warming trend through Tuesday, then remaining around 15 degrees above normal through Saturday.

- Potential for several round of rain in the latter half of this week and into the weekend, which may alleviate near-term drought and wildfire conditions. No severe weather anticipated at this time.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 304 AM EDT Mon Mar 30 2026

Currently still a fairly warm evening as our southerly winds in increasing clouds combine to keep temperatures much warmer than the previous few nights. With a weak round of enhanced vorticity traversing across we could see some isolated showers/sprinkles near the KY/TN/VA borders tomorrow. But if anyone gets rain the accumulations will be minor and no impacts are expected. Biggest weather of note for the first part of the week is the continuing warming temperatures, climbing into the 80's for pretty much all locations in the Valley by Tuesday/Wednesday. With the more southerly flow increasing the temperatures it will also increase the dew points and relative humidities which will help decrease the fire weather conditions.

Pattern becomes more unsettled for the second half of the week into the weekend with multiple systems expected to move through the region. First system is a slow moving front which may stall out over the Mississippi Valley as it acts as a focus for enhanced rainfall, and will eventually move into the eastern Tennessee Valley. The second half of the week is looking to bring multiple rounds of rain and hopefully over an inch of precipitation to all locations when everything is said and done. The systems during the work week do not look like they have very favorable dynamics to produce widespread severe weather, but thunderstorms are definitely a possibility.

Heading into the weekend there's a more pronounced system looking to move through with better synoptic dynamics. This could possibly bring some stronger thunderstorms to the region, but with it being 5+ days out it's difficult to get into the specifics at this point... But the weekend is shaping up to bring more rain to the region.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 707 AM EDT Mon Mar 30 2026

Morning LLWS at CHA and TYS will diminish with low VFR to near MVFR continuing at CHA. Southerly to southwesterly winds will increase through the day with gusts to near 20 kts likely at TYS and potentially CHA. Tonight, winds will weaken again with limited cloud cover. LLWS has been left out at this time, but winds a few thousand feet AGL will reach at least 30 kts again.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Chattanooga Airport, TN 75 60 82 62 / 10 10 20 20 Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 74 58 81 62 / 10 10 30 20 Oak Ridge, TN 73 58 80 61 / 10 0 20 20 Tri Cities Airport, TN 72 52 78 57 / 20 0 30 10

MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE.