textproduct: Morristown

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 141 PM EST Wed Nov 4 2026

- Strong and gusty winds continue until this evening across the higher elevations and foothills of the East Tennessee mountains. A Wind Advisory remains in effect until 7 PM this evening.

- Showers and a few isolated storms move through until this evening, with rain continuing thereafter.

- We dry out for the end of the week and into the weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 141 PM EST Wed Nov 4 2026

Showers and a few isolated storms continue this afternoon across the area. The threat for severe weather is still in place, albeit low. The environment has plenty of shear, it's just a matter of whether we can generate enough instability. There is currently a narrow core of weak instability across northern AL and middle TN. This is where a weak QLCS currently exists. SPC RAP analysis shows this CAPE corridor moving east into our area over the next few hours. Current thinking, any appreciable instability will remain confined generally south of I-40. This includes the southern Cumberland Plateau, southern TN Valley, and southwest NC. In these areas, the threat for an isolated, brief and weak, tornado remains in place. The main window of concern will be from 2 PM this afternoon through 8 PM this evening.

Elsewhere, a few instance of gusty winds are possible. Any heavier shower, or thunderstorm, could bring the higher winds aloft down to the surface. Scattered rain showers continue through the night and linger into Thursday morning. We dry out through the day as dry air moves in behind the front.

Friday through the weekend is dry as high pressure will move back in from the west. Cooler temperatures over the weekend with below normal highs and lows expected.

NBM keeps no POPS through the rest of the extended with temperatures returning closer to normal by early next week.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1228 PM EST Wed Nov 4 2026

Rain showers, and a few storms, are moving across the forecast area. MVFR ceilings will be in place at CHA through the period, though brief periods of IFR are possible. TYS begins VFR, but a mix of MVFR and some IFR expected thereafter and through the rest of the period. Periods of gusty winds this afternoon at TYS and CHAT with southerly gusts to around 18kts. TRI remains VFR the longest but will go MVFR later tonight. Then IFR fog and ceilings tomorrow morning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Chattanooga Airport, TN 60 73 51 71 / 30 0 0 0 Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 62 72 50 69 / 90 0 0 0 Oak Ridge, TN 59 71 47 69 / 90 0 0 0 Tri Cities Airport, TN 60 72 50 68 / 100 20 0 10

MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NC...NONE. TN...Wind Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for Blount Smoky Mountains-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Johnson-Sevier Smoky Mountains-Southeast Carter-Southeast Greene-Southeast Monroe-Unicoi.

VA...NONE.