textproduct: Morristown

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 214 AM EDT Fri Apr 3 2026

- Well above normal temperatures will continue through Saturday.

- Afternoon showers and storms will be isolated today and confined mainly to Northeast Tennessee.

- Scattered showers and storms expected Saturday afternoon becoming more widespread Saturday night into Sunday morning along a cold front.

- Cold front this weekend will bring cooler temperatures early next week. Frost possible each morning.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 214 AM EDT Fri Apr 3 2026

In the upper levels, a ridge is over the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic. A shortwave is moving through the Midwest into the Great Lakes currently. At the surface, a low is moving into the Great Lakes tonight but that cold front will stay well to our north with ridging and high pressure over the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic. Radar will remain quiet tonight although a spotty shower in the Cumberland Plateau cannot be ruled out. This afternoon shower and storm activity will be isolated and confined mainly to Northeast Tennessee. Temps will still be warm today with highs in the lower 80s in the TN Valley. A smidge more cloud cover is likely today.

Tomorrow afternoon, showers and storms will be more scattered as the ridge starts to break down. Saturday night into Sunday morning, widespread showers and storms are expected as a cold front moves through. This system will have good upper level support with a trough making it into the Southeast. At the surface, the parent low will move through the Great Lakes bringing a cold front through the region by Sunday morning. A few strong storms cannot be ruled out but instability looks very low with storm timing late in the evening or overnight. Dew points will only get into the lower 60s in the Tennessee Valley. Much of the region will get a much needed rain with forecast rain totals around one inch.

Rain will start to taper off Sunday morning as a much cooler air mass moves into the region. Highs from Sunday through midweek will be closer to seasonal normals in the 60s. Much cooler than recent weather. Frost will be a concern Monday through Wednesday mornings especially for the northern half of the region and the mountains. Dry weather will continue through midweek.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 214 AM EDT Fri Apr 3 2026

VFR through the period. A low chance for a few showers near KTRI in the afternoon and evening. No thunder expected. Winds should lessen the remainder of the night, then return during the day, with gusts to near 20 knots at KTYS. Wind to follow typical diurnal pattern in intensity.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Chattanooga Airport, TN 84 63 83 56 / 10 10 50 90 Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 83 61 82 55 / 20 10 60 90 Oak Ridge, TN 82 62 82 54 / 20 0 50 100 Tri Cities Airport, TN 80 57 81 56 / 20 0 60 80

MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE.


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