textproduct: Twin Cities

KEY MESSAGES

- Record high temperatures today, cooler Sunday

- No major weather systems expected over the next 7 days.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1226 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026

We're well on our way to record high temperatures this afternoon, with most locations already seeing temperatures in the 70s, except over the snowpack of southeast MN & western WI where they still remain warm in the low to mid 60s. temperatures are expected to top out in the mid to upper 70s everywhere without snow in the ground, & likely will reach 80 across southwest Minnesota where westerly winds will be down- sloping off of the Buffalo Ridge. A cold front does move through this evening however, quickly cooling temepratures into the 50s & 40s this evening & eventually into the 30s by morning. Scattered rain showers are expected behind the frontal passage during the overnight hours but dry air near the surface will keep any rainfall amounts below 0.1"

Temperatures will be much cooler behind the front on Sunday, although still close to normal, with daytime highs in the low to mid 40s expected. Temepratures quickly return to above-normal values through midweek though, as strong ridging builds back over the southwest & central CONUS & ensemble guidance suggests temperature anomalies of 10-15 degrees above normal. This ridging pushes the jet stream well north of our area, along with the track of any storm systems, with an area of low pressure skirting along the US-Canada border later in the week the only real upcoming weather system of note. Cooler temperatures do arrive behind this system & into next weekend, but will still feel more spring-like as opposed to winter-like.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 618 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026

VFR conditions persist this evening. A band of light rain showers is possible overnight into the early morning, though a stout layer of dry air in the mid-levels may limit how much rain develops. A period of MVFR cigs is likely at all sites tomorrow morning following the rain. Winds shift out of the north this evening, remaining gusty around 20 kts. Overall, winds are expected to calm tomorrow, though they may become gusty again as clouds scatter out around midday.

KMSP...No additional concerns.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ MON...VFR. Wind S 5-10 kts. TUE...VFR. Wind SE 5-15 kts. WED...VFR. S Chc -RA/MVFR. Wind S 5-15 kts.

CLIMATE

Issued at 1227 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026

With the warmest temperatures so far this year forecast today here are the comparisons between record highs and our forecast highs for our primary climate sites.

Site | Forecast High | Record High ----------------------------------- MSP | 79 | 76 (1938) STC | 73 | 75 (1911) EAU | 74 | 77 (1911)

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MN...None. WI...None.