textproduct: Twin Cities
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Scattered to widely numerous showers and embedded storms this afternoon and evening. Dangerous lightning and brief heavy rain are the main impacts.
- Temperatures this weekend and into next will hover right around the seasonal average for the middle of August.
- Next round of showers and storms will be on Tuesday.
NEXT WEEK
On Monday, pleasant weather conditions will continue through most of the day with high temperatures in the low 80s and DP temps in the upper 50s to low 60s. For Tuesday, deepening upper level low over Ontario and Hudson Bay will promote increased S/SWrly low level flow with DP temperatures increasing back into the 60s. This coupled with increasing energy aloft will lead to another round of showers and storms on Tuesday. Latest ensemble guidance and guidance from our colleagues at the Weather Prediction Center paint a corridor of 1-2" of rain across southern MN. Being a handful days out, some of the finer details will need to get ironed out. Temperatures through the remainder of the period will hang out in the upper 70s.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/
Issued at 1159 PM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026
MVFR to IFR conditions continue through the overnight with cigs around 1-3 kft, with areas below 1 kft. This thick layer of low stratus will continue through the morning, with improvement during the late morning and afternoon hours. Winds generally out of the SE at 7-12 knots with gusts to 20 knots will persist through the period with wind direction becoming S to SW during the afternoon and evening. Another round of showers and isolated storms will be possible during the afternoon and evening, confidence is low regarding storm potential so no mention of TS. PROB30 for -SHRA has been added during the late afternoon and evening timeframe.
KMSP...MVFR to IFR cigs prevail through the mid morning hours with improvements by afternoon. Another round of showers will be possible late afternoon and evening timeframe.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ SUN...VFR. Wind NW 10kts. MON...VFR, chc -TSRA late. Wind SW 5-10kts. TUE...MVFR/-SHRA likely, chc IFR/-TSRA. Wind SW 5-10kts.
MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...None. WI...None.
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