textproduct: Twin Cities
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Temperatures continue to hover right around the seasonal average for the middle of August.
- Next round of showers and storms will come Monday into Tuesday with another cold front passage.
TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
On Monday, pleasant weather conditions will continue through most of the day with high temperatures in the low 80s. The next mid/upper level piece of energy will lead to isolated to scattered showers and storms Monday night into Tuesday morning. SW low level flow will increase through the day on Tuesday, allowing for better moisture and instability to advect in across the southern half of MN. This coupled with sufficient forcing associated with southeastward advancing cold front will promote an increase in shower and storm chances Tuesday evening/night. Current guidance has the focus for activity across southern MN where the best moisture and instability resides, along with better timing/advancement of the aforementioned cold front.
Thereafter, the flattened upper level high pressure over southern half of CONUS will shift westward over the southern Rockies and Four Corners Region. This will induce more amplified NW flow aloft across MN through the second half of the week. Quiet and fair weather conditions will resume with low-end chances of rain Thursday afternoon/evening. Temperatures through the remainder of the work week and into the weekend will hover around 80 degrees.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/
Issued at 1226 AM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Like mentioned in previous aviation forecast discussion, FROPA will be the main feature through forecast period. The frontal boundary will promote lowering cigs through the morning hours with MVFR cigs likely, isolated instances of IFR cigs possible. The main threat for showers/weak storms is focused now over western WI, specifically for EAU through 08z.
Winds will continue to shift NWrly through the night behind FROPA, at 5-10 knots. By late morning and afternoon, winds will be NW at 8-13 knots with gusts to 20 knots possible. Cigs will improve during the late morning and afternoon, becoming SKC by late afternoon and evening timeframe.
KMSP...The main concern through mid morning will be cigs, MVFR cigs are likely with isolated instances of IFR cigs.Cigs will improve by late morning and afternoon, becoming SKC by 21z.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ MON...VFR, MVFR/-SHRA likely late. Wind SW 5-10kts. TUE...VFR. Chc MVFR/-SHRA. Wind SW to NW 5-10kts. WED...VFR. Wind NW 5-10kts.
MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...None. WI...None.
IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.
textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.