textproduct: Twin Cities

KEY MESSAGES

- Showers possible throughout the day today for portions of western/ central Minnesota with more widespread rainfall arriving late Sunday through Monday.

- Cooler and drier weather for Tuesday onward with some near or below freezing temperatures possible through Friday morning.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 250 AM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

A southwest to northeast oriented band of rain is cutting across eastern South Dakota into southwestern Minnesota this morning. It appears that this precip is still fighting the low level dry air as is moves into Minnesota based on surface obs. As the layer moistens over the next few hours, expecting shower activity to increase in coverage up into west central Minnesota. Have boosted PoPs and QPF quite a bit for this time period. There looks to be a couple rounds of rain for today with a short break through midday before additional rain arrives. QPF totals during the day today are generally a few hundredths to around a quarter inch, concentrated over western Minnesota. Rain chances ramp up again tonight and shift into central Minnesota where around a quarter inch of rain is possible.

For Sunday into Monday, there will be another break in the rain chances Sunday morning before a low moves across the Central Plains. Ample warm air and moisture advection associated with this low will work to increase rainfall chances area wide. QPF amounts of 1 to 1.5" through early Tuesday still seem reasonable, with a Marginal Risk for excessive rainfall highlighting eastern and southern Minnesota and all of Wisconsin. Cooler air will work in behind this system with highs in the low to mid 50s Tuesday through the end of the week. Temperature wise, it's the overnight/morning lows that will pose a threat to any susceptible vegetation as temps fall to near freezing for some. We'll warm back to near normal by the end of the period with continued dry conditions.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1234 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

For the rest of today and much of tonight, we'll see a mostly VFR, nuisance light rain from southwest into central MN. Monday morning, RAP soundings support MVFR cigs developing in this same region and extending east to MKT/MSP/RNH. To go with the MVFR cigs, HRRR reflectivity forecasts show showery activity developing as well. Though, like today, any rain Sunday morning will be of the nuisance variety.

KMSP...Pretty blah weather for the rest of today and much of tonight. Where things get more uncertain is between roughly 10z and 18z Sunday. This is when RAP soundings show potential for MVFR cigs developing, with some scattered showers possible as well. Sunday afternoon, it will be back to VFR and dry conditions as we await the arrival of a more substantial push of moisture Sunday evening.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ MON...MVFR/RA likely, chc TSRA/IFR. Wind SE 10-15G25 kts. TUE...MVFR/-SHRA early, then VFR. Wind NW 10-15G25 kts. WED...VFR. Wind NW 10-15 kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MN...None. WI...None.