textproduct: Twin Cities
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Drier conditions are expected through the period with above average temperatures returning late in the weekend.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 237 AM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
Some lingering showers/drizzle continue across portions of eastern/southern Minnesota and western Wisconsin early this morning. This precip is being pushed to the south-southeast as a Canadian surface high builds in to the northwest. This has led to an uptick in northwesterly winds, with gusts of 20-30 MPH across the eastern Dakotas and Minnesota. Winds will trend down through late morning as the pressure gradient relaxes. This feature will continue to help get the last of the precip out of here (finally!), but clouds will likely be more stubborn. A new bank of stratus is diving south across northwestern Minnesota and eastern North Dakota. Eventually drier air will filter in and we should start to see breaks in the clouds late tonight into Friday. Northwest flow will make today and Friday fairly chilly with highs in the 40s. Saturday will start off in the 20s area wide, but should recover into the upper 40s to mid 50s during the afternoon. Sunday will be a few degrees warmer with low 60s to start off the work week. These warmer temperatures will be accompanied by dry conditions through the remainder of the period.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 1248 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
Steady MVFR ceilings continue into tonight. Ceilings will generally be below 2000 ft this afternoon & evening, rising above 2000 ft tonight into tomorrow morning. Ceilings are eventually expected to scatter out tomorrow morning, but that could range from as early as the overnight hours, to as late as lat morning/early afternoon. General high-resolution model consensus suggest ceilings will hold on a bit longer into the morning., so have stuck to a early-mid morning idea for now. Northerly winds gust to 20-25 kts this afternoon with speeds diminishing through the evening. Winds become more northwesterly overnight & will be light & variable through saturday.
KMSP...Mainly uncertainty is with the ceiling forecast over the next 48 hours. Clearing is expected at some point tomorrow morning, but it's unsure whether they will be able to build back during the afternoon & linger through Friday night.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ FRI...VFR. Wind NE 5 kts. SAT...VFR. Wind SW 5-10 kts. SUN...VFR. Wind W 5 kts.
MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...None. WI...None.
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