textproduct: Twin Cities

KEY MESSAGES

- Above normal temperatures will persist through early next week, with highs rising from the 30s/40s on Thursday to the 40s/50s Friday through Tuesday. Possible record warm highs on Saturday.

- Dry conditions are expected through the weekend, with the next chance for precipitation not until the middle of next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 228 PM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

A scattered deck of mid-level clouds remains across eastern Minnesota and far western Wisconsin this afternoon. Where snowpack remains, temperatures are about 10 degrees cooler than where snow has melted. This means temperatures in the mid 30s for the Twin Cities Metro and as warm as mid 40s for areas as near as Mankato.

The front to the west of our coverage area will weakly move east through Thursday, with little support for any weather activity. With no upper level support for precipitation, the only impact will be an increase in cloud cover later tonight. With Thursday's system falling apart and trending south, the only mention of precipitation now comes next week Tuesday into Wednesday in the form of mostly rain given the antecedent warmth and lack of significant airmass change to bring strong cooling.

Looking at temperatures, the first, of what is likely to be several, thaw of the year will soon be in full swing. High pressure our east will reinforce ridging out west. This ridge will shift eastward and bring a warm air mass with it. The result will be temperatures 20-30 degrees above normal, with highs reaching the mid 50s over the weekend into early next week. Saturday's warm high temperatures will result in MSP, STC, and EAU all approaching 90+ year old records. With this in mind, Tuesday could be the warmest of the period with highs in the mid 50s south of I-94 and potentially low 60s in SW MN near I-90. The days surrounding Saturday will all be above normal for high temperatures as well, but the records will be harder to reach with higher thresholds. See the climate section below for a listing of daily records Friday through Tuesday.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 558 PM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

Scattered to broken high clouds will stream overhead through Thursday morning, then clear out. Winds will be light, less than 6 kts.

KMSP...No concerns.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ FRI-SAT...VFR. Wind SW 5 kts. SUN...VFR. Wind W 5 kts becoming S late.

CLIMATE

Issued at 228 PM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

Record high temperatures for February 13th through 17th can be found in the table below. Period of records began: MPX (1996), MSP (1872), STC (1894), EAU (1893).

FRI SAT SUN MON TUE 2/13 2/14 2/15 2/16 2/17

MPX 47 (2017) 46 (2002) 45 (1999) 54 (2011) 62 (2017) MSP 51 (1890) 50 (1882) 63 (1921) 60 (1981) 63 (2017) STC 47 (2011) 52 (1921) 55 (1921) 53 (1981) 59 (2017) EAU 47 (1921) 49 (1934) 58 (1921) 58 (1931) 55 (1981)

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MN...None. WI...None.