textproduct: Twin Cities
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Breezy northwest winds today with a few light rain showers.
- Chances for thunderstorms return this weekend.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 249 AM CDT Wed Aug 26 2026
Clear skies overnight, but cloud cover streaming southwards out of northern Minnesota will lead to a mostly cloudy morning & afternoon. Northwest winds increase through the morning with wind gusts of 20-25 mph expected through sunset. Cyclonic flow & cold advection aloft will result in prime conditions for widely scattered dirunally-driven rain showers to develop this afternoon, although the drought conditions may limit how much precip we actually see. Best chances for a brief rain shower this afternoon will be across western Wisconsin.
High pressure holds over the region through Friday leading to continued dry conditions with seasonable temperatures. A more active upper air pattern develops over the weekend as the jet stream strengthens along the US- Canada border & a number of shortwaves traverse through the Upper Midwest. These look to be relatively weak over the weekend, but supportive of at least scattered thunderstorm chances. The best chance for rain this weekend looks to be overnight Friday night into Saturday morning. A stronger wave looks possible early next week, but still low confidence on the track/timing & location of the heaviest rain potential.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 1234 AM CDT Wed Aug 26 2026
Clear overnight, but MVFR stratus is expected to spread southwards across area terminals through the morning. MVFR ceilings will linger for a few hours before ceilings lift close to noon. Northwest winds increase along with the arrival of the stratus, with gusts of 20-25 kts continuing through sunset. Winds diminish after sunset along with clearing skies.
KMSP...Expect arrival of MVFR-level clouds by 8-9 AM. Clouds could remain more scattered by the time they approach MSP but for now confidence is higher in BKN/OVC ceilings & MVFR conditions.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ THU...VFR. Wind NW 5-15 kts. FRI...VFR. Chc TSRA late night. Wind SW 5 kts. SAT...VFR. Chc -TSRA. Wind S 10-15G20 kts.
MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...None. WI...None.
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