textproduct: Twin Cities

KEY MESSAGES

- Showers possible throughout the day today for portions of western/ central Minnesota with more widespread rainfall arriving late Sunday through Monday.

- Cooler and drier weather for Tuesday onward with some near or below freezing temperatures possible through Friday morning.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 250 AM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

A southwest to northeast oriented band of rain is cutting across eastern South Dakota into southwestern Minnesota this morning. It appears that this precip is still fighting the low level dry air as is moves into Minnesota based on surface obs. As the layer moistens over the next few hours, expecting shower activity to increase in coverage up into west central Minnesota. Have boosted PoPs and QPF quite a bit for this time period. There looks to be a couple rounds of rain for today with a short break through midday before additional rain arrives. QPF totals during the day today are generally a few hundredths to around a quarter inch, concentrated over western Minnesota. Rain chances ramp up again tonight and shift into central Minnesota where around a quarter inch of rain is possible.

For Sunday into Monday, there will be another break in the rain chances Sunday morning before a low moves across the Central Plains. Ample warm air and moisture advection associated with this low will work to increase rainfall chances area wide. QPF amounts of 1 to 1.5" through early Tuesday still seem reasonable, with a Marginal Risk for excessive rainfall highlighting eastern and southern Minnesota and all of Wisconsin. Cooler air will work in behind this system with highs in the low to mid 50s Tuesday through the end of the week. Temperature wise, it's the overnight/morning lows that will pose a threat to any susceptible vegetation as temps fall to near freezing for some. We'll warm back to near normal by the end of the period with continued dry conditions.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1240 AM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

High clouds have moved in across the western two thirds of Minnesota early this morning. Have introduced -SHRA mentions in this TAF set for KAXN, KRWF, and KSTC with rain already moving into eastern South Dakota. However, there's still some uncertainty so opted to go with more PROB30 than prevailing mentions. Winds are expected to remain below 10kts with direction varying from northwest to northeast.

KMSP...Opted to keep -SHRA west of KMSP again for this TAF period, but will reassess with the 09z AMD.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ SUN...VFR, bcmg MVFR/-SHRA. Wind E 5-10kts. MON...MVFR/RA likely, chc TSRA/IFR. Wind E 10-15G25kts. TUE...MVFR/-SHRA early, then VFR. Wind NW 15-20G30kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MN...None. WI...None.