textproduct: Twin Cities

KEY MESSAGES

- Mild and dry weather continues into next week with a brief cool spell Wednesday to Friday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 119 PM CST Sat Nov 7 2026

Over the next week, we will keep the same general weather pattern in place, which consists of troughs in the eastern Pac and eastern North America, with ridging across the center of the continent. There will be some minor buckles to this pattern over the next week, which will usher in a couple of dry fropas, but otherwise it will result in fairly prolonged period of benign weather conditions.

After another frosty start, we have another beautiful November day out there, with southerly winds already ushering in warmer air, with temperatures well on their way to the 50s, with some 60s expected downwind of the Buffalo Ridge in western MN. These southerly winds have developed ahead of a front that will move across the area overnight. There's no no level moisture for this front to work with, so it will do no more than lead to a period of high cloud cover with winds for Sunday switching over to the northwest. However, there won't be much of an airmass change with these northwest winds, so highs Sunday will be very similar to today, perhaps just a degree or two cooler.

The upcoming work week will bring a couple of frontal passages. The first will be another dry one with minimal airmass change on Monday, with highs Monday and Tuesday expected to be similar to this weekend. The Next front arrives Tuesday night and is associated with an amplification of the central NOAM ridge and eastern NOAM trough. This amplification will result in northerly flow for us for the second half of the work week, which will send temperatures back down close to normal for Wednesday through Friday. This front will again be lacking low level moisture, but there may be enough forcing to scare up some light rain Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, with about half of the EPS members showing measurable precipitation (less than 0.1") at MSP then.

For next weekend, we get on the backside of the late week high, with high temperatures returning to at least the 50s. The warmth even looks to take a step up to start the week of the 16th, with it certainly looking like we're not done with highs in the 60s yet. Eventually this trough/ridge/trough pattern starts to break down during the week of the 16th, with our next shot at wet weather looking to come during the window of the 18th to 20th. Until then, we have 10-12 days of boring weather.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/

Issued at 457 PM CST Sat Nov 7 2026

A cold front will pass through tonight, shifting winds out of the northwest on Sunday. Some gusts to 20 kts are possible, especially for MSP and terminals to its east. Mainly upper clouds are expected, though some low level cloud cover may spread west into western Wisconsin near the end of the period.

KMSP...Main thing to keep on eye will be the post-frontal stratocu late Sunday. Confidence is low, but there is a growing signal that some low clouds will develop as far west as MSP. This would most likely occur after sunset if it occurs.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ MON...VFR. Wind SW to NW 5-10 kts. TUE...VFR. Wind W 5 kts. WED...VFR. Wind N 5-10 kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MN...None. WI...None.