textproduct: Twin Cities

KEY MESSAGES

- Except for possibly a few rain showers Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, dry weather expected for the upcoming week.

- Mild through Tuesday, then cooler and below normal temperatures from Wednesday into next weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 230 PM CST Sun Nov 8 2026

Weak high pressure prevailing across the area this afternoon into tonight will keep clear skies over the WFO MPX coverage area through this evening. However, the clouds noted on visible satellite imagery over the Dakotas and southern Canada will slide across MN/WI from early morning Monday through most of the day Monday, due to the passage of a dry frontal system through the Upper Midwest tomorrow. No appreciable change in airmass will come with this frontal system on Monday, thus highs in the 50s today will nudge upwards to the mid 50s to lower 60s on Monday. In the wake of this Monday frontal system, high temperatures will be bumped back down to the 50s on Tuesday.

Late Tuesday into Wednesday presents us with our only chance for rain throughout this forecast period. An area of low pressure developing over WY Tuesday will shift eastward through the Plains Tuesday night and into the mid-Mississippi River Valley by Wednesday morning. High pressure to the north plus generally zonal flow aloft will keep the low to the south of the Upper Midwest, but enough lift to the north of the system plus height falls with meager moisture advection may be able to squeeze out a few hundredths of an inch of precip here and there. Overall, chances for precipitation are quite low so have kept PoPs generally no higher than Slight Chance range.

By late day Wednesday, Canadian-origin high pressure will slide south towards the international border, moving into the Northern Plains on Thursday and settling atop MN/WI Friday-Sunday. This will result in clearing skies, appreciable cold air advection, and continued dry conditions across the region. Highs will drop to the 40s on Wednesday then to just the 30s on Thursday and Friday, with lows into the mid-20s to lower 30s area-wide in the early mornings Friday and Saturday. Temperatures will start a slow rebound over the weekend into next week, but longer range models continue to show no appreciable systems for our area through at least the next 7-10 days.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1115 PM CST Sun Nov 8 2026

Quiet conditions overnight with light/variable winds and high ceilings. A 30-35 kt LLJ will slide across the region and could result in some weak LLWS up to 2000 ft. Winds pick up out of the S/SW tomorrow, generally between 5-10 kts, then veer more W/NW by Monday evening.

KMSP...No additional concerns.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ TUE...VFR. Wind W 5kts. WED...Mainly VFR. Slgt chc A.M. -SHRA/MVFR. Wind N 5-10kts. THU...VFR. Wind N 5-10kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MN...None. WI...None.