textproduct: Twin Cities

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry and comfortable conditions remainder of today with highs into the lower 80s.

- The next best chances for rain comes tonight into Sunday morning, Sunday night into Monday morning, and early Tuesday morning.

- A few storms each of those periods may be strong to severe, mainly over southwestern and southern Minnesota.

- Temperatures to remain very close to normal values into the middle of next week, then drop below normal late next week.

NEXT WORK WEEK

On Monday, generally quiet and fair weather conditions will resume with near seasonal temperatures and mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies. The next chance for showers and storms will be on Tuesday as another lobe of energy rotates and races southeast across the region. Thereafter, the aforementioned Hudson Bay upper low will begin to weaken and move east, giving the area a brief period of quiet weather Thursday and Friday before the next system brings increase rain/storm chances next weekend. Temperatures through the second half of the week will be near to slightly below the seasonal average for the middle of August.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/

Issued at 837 PM CDT Sat Aug 8 2026

The forecast still remains very uncertain regarding the thunderstorm potential overnight into tomorrow morning. Thunderstorms this evening across the Dakotas & western Minnesota have not materialized, meaning the main threat now looks to be from the early morning hours into Sunday morning. High-resolution models remain widely different on how widespread showers & thunderstorms could become, but generally the greatest coverage & best changes for impacts from TSRA looks to be across west-central & southern Minnesota. the ending tome for precipitation also remains uncertain, but generally we looks to be rain free by 10-11 AM, if not earlier if the overnight storms are more sparse.

Mid-level clouds spread eastwards overnight with ceilings possibly approaching MVFR across eastern Mn & western WI tomorrow morning (better chances if rain occurs). Southwesterly winds between 5-10 kts persists into tomorrow morning, but then the wind forecast becomes less certain with the potential for outflow boundaries to linger over the area. Speeds will generally be 5 kts or less during the morning & afternoon.

KMSP... The bulk of thunderstorm activity overnight into tomorrow morning looks to mainly stay southwest of the metro, but could still see some -SHRA with periods of thunder during the morning. Most likely window for thunder looks to be a little later than previous forecasts, generally centered around 5-7 AM

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ MON...VFR. Wind E 5-10 kts. TUE...Mainly VFR. Chc early A.M. -SHRA. Wind NE 5-10 kts. WED...VFR. Wind N 5-10 kts becoming NW.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MN...None. WI...None.