textproduct: Twin Cities

KEY MESSAGES

- Continued above average temperatures with chances for showers and thunderstorms late Wednesday into the weekend.

- Temperatures late in the forecast period look to be in the mid to upper 80s with dew points in the mid 60s.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 105 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

This morning's isolated showers and storms have cleared and temperatures are sitting in the low to mid 70s. Conditions will remain dry through tomorrow before widespread shower and thunderstorm chances return. An upper low will track across the North Dakota/Canadian border Wednesday, with showers and storms developing out ahead of the associated cold front. The eastern Dakotas will see the bulk of any stronger thunderstorm activity with the timing of the front lining up with peak daytime heating. In any case, this front will continue to move eastward into Thursday morning before stalling out across central Minnesota. Thursday and Friday will see continued chances for widespread showers and storms. A broad swath of QPF amounts around a half inch are expected through this time period with embedded higher totals nearing an inch. This cloud cover and rainfall should also work to tamp down highs, particularly Thursday, but overall temperatures should still end up slightly above normal. Will need to watch for the potential for some strong to severe storms Friday with ample instability and another shortwave passing through, but there's still a fair amount of spread in the guidance for the timing of this feature.

Heading into the second half of the weekend, ridging slowly builds back in, allowing for drier and warmer conditions to return. Highs in the mid to upper 80s to near 90s are expected by the end of the forecast period, along with Tds well into the 60s. Looking ahead, the pattern will likely remain fairly active with a chance to make some progress on rainfall deficits across the region.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 615 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

Some diurnal cumulus have formed in the afternoon and has held high enough to remain VFR. These cumulus are near their peak and will dissipate as we head towards sunset. Winds will be light overnight and pick up to around 10 knots sustained with a few gusts possible up to 20 knots across western Minnesota. VFR ceilings will start to build in across western Minnesota late this period.

KMSP...No additional concerns.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ WED...VFR. Wind S 10-15G25 kts. THU...-RA likely. Chc TSRA/MVFR. Wind SW 10-15G20 kts. FRI...Mainly VFR. Chc SHRA/TSRA/MVFR. Wind S 5-10 kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MN...None. WI...None.