textproduct: Twin Cities
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Quiet weather remainder of today and tomorrow. Active weather returns Friday with a chance of strong to severe thunderstorms.
- Extended forecast features additional rain chances Sunday and Monday, along with slightly below average temperatures.
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY
Quiet and fair weather conditions resume on Saturday as west/northwesterly flow advects cooler temperatures and drier air across the area. High temperatures on Saturday will top out in the low to middle 70s with DP temperatures dropping to around 50 degrees. Pressure gradient at the surface will relax as high pressure settles in over southern Canada, thus winds become light.
The next upper level system will quickly race across the PacNW and Northern Rockies before moving east off the Rockies and towards the Upper Midwest on Sunday. Deep south/southwesterly flow will transport more moisture across the area. This coupled with widespread mid to upper level ascent will promote widespread showers and embedded weak thunderstorms across the region Sunday through Monday timeframe. As we're still a handful of days out from this event, some notable run-to-run model differences and discrepancies are present. ECMWF and GFS models and their respected AI and ensemble suites have been fairly consistent over the past few days regarding timing and amounts. However, recent runs show some discrepancies regarding the placement of heaviest rain. That said, although confidence is increasing regarding widespread rain across the region on Sunday and Monday, the exact placement in the axis of heaviest rainfall still needs to be resolved.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/
Issued at 639 PM CDT Wed Sep 9 2026
VFR through the period with clear skies overnight & a few diurnal cumulus tomorrow afternoon. WNW winds will remain gusty up to 20 mph through 8-9 PM, then drop below 5 kts into tomorrow morning. Direction generally shifts from westerly tonight to southwesterly through the overnight hours. Speeds increase through mid to late morning with southerly winds around 10 kts through the afternoon & a few gusts up to 20 mph.
KMSP...No additional concern.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ FRI...Mainly VFR. TSRA/MVFR likely late. Wind S 15G25-30kts. SAT...VFR. Winds NW 8-12kts. SUN...Chance SHRA/MVFR. Wind NE 8-12kts.
MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...None. WI...None.
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