textproduct: Twin Cities

KEY MESSAGES

- Cooler for the rest of the week with temperatures near to below normal.

- Heat and humidity return this weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 218 AM CDT Tue Jul 21 2026

Behind the cold frontal passage high pressure and cooler air will drive our pattern through the end of the week. The upper level pattern looks to remain in a northwest flow pattern which means we will be looking towards any small shortwave in this flow to see if we can get some lift. This pattern will shift this weekend as we build into a ridge. This will bring a return to the hot conditions we saw over the past week with a return to the hot weather with temperatures back into the 90s. However we do seem to be at the top of the ridge this time instead of under the main upper high. This will allow for a few ridge riders to give some chance for precipitation.

Looking towards the global ensembles few members show much of any meaningful precipitation chances through Friday. It is over the weekend when the main ridge builds in that we see more members start to show some ridge riders and therefore some meaningful precipitation chances. Still it is farther to our north, near the international border, where the clustering is showing a stronger signal for rain chances. Down here there are fewer members showing QPF and in general a more dispersed signal. In summary no strong signal for rain chances over the next week, but a slightly stronger signal this weekend.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1247 PM CDT Tue Jul 21 2026

Scattered to broken VFR clouds for this afternoon and evening before clearing out tonight. Winds will be NW and gusty today before becoming light and variable tonight, eventually northerly tomorrow.

KMSP...No additional concerns.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ WED PM...VFR. Wind NW 5-10 kts. THU...VFR. Wind SW 5-10 kts. FRI...VFR. Wind SW 10-20 kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MN...None. WI...None.