textproduct: Twin Cities

KEY MESSAGES

-Pleasant this weekend with seasonable temperatures.

-Low chances for thunderstorms overnight Sunday, & again on Tuesday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 119 AM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

A pleasant & quiet weekend is expected as high pressure continues to settle over the Upper Midwest. Mostly sunny skies are expected both Saturday & Sunday with highs generally in the upper 70s to around 80, while lower dew points will make for comfortable late-August conditions. Northwest winds will become breezy this morning with gusts around 20-25 mph before winds diminish after sunset. Lighter winds return Sunday as the surface high moves overhead. Clear skies & light winds will also allow for good radiational cooling at night, with lows generally in the 50s and a few upper 40s possible across the typical cooler locations of central Minnesota & western Wisconsin.

The surface high begins shifting east Monday, with southerly flow returning ahead of the next weak cold front. This front looks to move through sometime late Monday into Tuesday, bringing our next chance for scattered showers & thunderstorms. Moisture return ahead of the front looks fairly limited though, and considerable spread remains within the ensemble guidance regarding precipitation coverage, so rain chances remain fairly low at this point. The first round of thunderstorms looks possible late Sunday night into Monday morning, but guidance generally keep the shortwave & bulk of the precipitation off to the west over the Dakotas. Another cold front moves through the region on Tuesday, but current model timing consensus brings the front through during the early morning hours, which would mean that any widespread convection & appreciable rainfall could be limited. Otherwise, temperatures look to remain steady through next week with highs generally around 80 & lows in the 50s to low 60s. Overall, were looking at a fairly quiet & seasonable stretch of late- August weather over the next seven days.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1208 AM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

VFR through the period with passing mid-level clouds overnight. Northwest winds increase after sunrise with gusts of 20-25 kts developing by mid-morning. Winds diminish by sunset with light northerly winds tomorrow night.

KMSP...Northwest wind gusts of 20-25 kts could develop as early as 8 AM, but are more likely to begin around 9-10 AM.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ SUN...VFR. Wind N 5 kts. MON...VFR, chc -SHRA late night. Wind S 5-10 kts. TUE...VFR, chc -SHRA early. Wind SW 10-15 kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MN...None. WI...None.