textproduct: Twin Cities

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Isolated strong storms possible this afternoon, but confidence on coverage remains low. - Continued above normal temperatures and dry conditions expected through next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 203 PM CDT Wed May 27 2026

It's another warm and humid day across the region with some Cu finally starting to pop in northern Wisconsin along a weak backdoor cold front. This front will be the focus for isolated showers and thunderstorms, much like yesterday. Guidance keeps development even more scattered/isolated than yesterday, with central Wisconsin still under a Marginal Risk. Further west, CAMs are suggesting a few storms may initiate over the Dakotas and western Minnesota this evening. Hail and damaging winds are the primary threats should any storms get a little feisty. Outside of this, there's very little to talk about in the extended as our omega block remains in place. Highs will continue to run some 10 to 15 degrees above normal as we close out our last month of meteorological spring.

Dew points are a little high (low to mid 60s) and are expected to come down into the 50s following the weak FROPA today. This will lead to RH values falling to around 25-30% by Friday/through the weekend. Things are plenty green now, but with very little precip recently and virtually none in the forecast, may need to monitor for fire weather concerns. Little change in the forecast is expected heading into early next week. Models hint that our omega block may begin to break down by the middle of next week, but precip chances remain low at this point in time.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1149 AM CDT Wed May 27 2026

Mostly clear skies and light easterly winds expected to continue through the period. Low chance for some isolated showers and storms this afternoon, but confidence is still too low to throw it into the TAFs. Winds become more southeasterly by tomorrow.

KMSP...No additional concerns.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ FRI...VFR. Wind S 5-10 kts. SAT...VFR. Wind SE 5-10 kts. SUN...VFR. Wind SE 5-10 kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MN...None. WI...None.

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