textproduct: Twin Cities

KEY MESSAGES

- Much above normal temperatures today cooling to below normal late this week before returning to above normal this weekend.

- Overall dry forecast outside of a shower chance (30 to 50%) generally along and north of I-94 chance tomorrow night into Wednesday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1251 PM CST Mon Nov 9 2026

Rest of Today into Tonight... Clear skies today have allowed for temperatures to rise and highs are in the lower 60s this afternoon. We have also seen some periods of gusty winds associated with the passage of both a warm and cold front today. Tonight with continued clear skies and a post cold frontal airmass temperatures will fall into the 30s.

Tuesday and Wednesday... Two shortwaves will cross, one to the north and another to the south late tomorrow into Wednesday. This will be the main synoptic driver of the period. The first wave will be across southern Canada and the second will be across Iowa. The one more likely to drive forcing for us is the northern one. This will provide for some broad forcing across northern Minnesota and Wisconsin. More specifically this will generally be along and north of I-94. As mentioned in the past discussion, moisture is limited thanks to this other system to our south cutting off an important moisture source. Also the better setup for now appears to be across northern Minnesota rather than the central Minnesota counties we cover. So the expectation will be for some very light rain adding up to five hundredths or less. This is also reflecting within the global ensembles with central Minnesota to northern parts of west central Wisconsin seeing good agreement on rain, but very low QPF. We will see a cooling trend Tuesday and Wednesday with temperatures still holding above normal. Highs tomorrow in the 50s and then down into the mid 40s to around 50 on Wednesday. The main push of cold air comes late week, when we drop below our normal mid 40s highs.

Thursday into the weekend... High pressure will move in clearing the skies by Friday and continuing into the weekend. This will also bring in cold air to end the week. Cold air advection will be present Thursday and Friday keeping temperatures below normal. This means highs upper 30s to lower 40s and lows in the mid 20s to lower 30s. This cold air mass will move out this weekend allowing for highs to rebound into the mid 40s to lower 50s. As a reminder, normal highs this time of year are in the mid 40s. So this is a return to above normal. Little chance for any precipitation as a ridge moves in from the west.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1117 AM CST Mon Nov 9 2026

Dry cold frontal passage has resulted in a wind shift from southerly to out of the WNW across MN. The front is nearing the MN/WI border and will turn the winds southwesterly and then westerly at RNH/EAU early in the period. Occasional gusts between 20-25kts possible in association with the frontal passage. Winds diminish later this afternoon and set the stage for calm and clear conditions for the remainder of the 18z period.

KMSP...No additional concerns at this time.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ WED...VFR. Wind NE to NW 10-15kts. THU...VFR. Wind N 5-10kts. FRI...VFR. Wind N 5kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MN...None. WI...None.