textproduct: Twin Cities

KEY MESSAGES

- A west-to-east moving cold front will trigger a couple rounds of showers and storms today and tonight. Locally heavy rainfall is the primary threat

- Slightly cooler temperatures are on the horizon with rain chances returning Friday.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

West/northwesterly flow will resume on Wednesday, with much drier air advecting in from the west. Dew point temperatures will fall back into the middle 50s with highs in the upper 70s, making for a really pleasant day. Much of the same can be expected on Thursday.

On Friday, winds will begin to turn more to the southwest. As a result, moisture values will increase ahead of the next frontal boundary that will move through Friday evening/overnight timeframe. Low-end chances of showers/storms return the the forecast on Friday.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 127 AM CDT Tue Sep 8 2026

One main swath of RA/TSRA moving across much of central-eastern MN at initialization while keeping an eye on a second swath of RA/TSRA over far NW IA/SW MN moving ENE. Both areas will produce RA/TSRA at all TAF sites prior to sunrise, and potentially longer, as the strong LLJ moves over the area in advance of the cold front for later today. Have gone away from the PROB30s given the radar trends, transitions to prevailing and TEMPO groups. Rain will generally push east of all sites by or shortly after daybreak. There is a small chance of lingering showers into early afternoon which may mainly impact MKT/EAU, but will see how models address those trends in the next TAF set. Otherwise, gradually lifting of ceilings and partial clearing will be the trend through the day today with slowly veering winds. Speeds will mainly run as 10-15kts with gusts 20-25kts, though some short-duration bursts of stronger winds during heavier downpours are possible as stronger winds aloft are brought to the surface.

KMSP...Scattered RA/TSRA will continue to drift across the MSP terminal through the overnight hours, likely dropping conditions to MVFR but should a heavy downpour move across then IFR visibility is possible. Rain will gradually diminish going into the morning push but a few lingering showers certainly cannot be ruled out through sunrise. Late morning onward, VFR conditions will prevail will steadily rising ceilings followed by partial clearing. SE winds will prevail through the morning with speeds nearing 15G25kts, then winds will veer to SW with diminishing speeds for the afternoon-evening hours.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ THU...VFR. Wind SW 5-10kts. FRI...Mainly VFR. SHRA/MVFR likely late. Wind SW 15G25-30kts. SAT...VFR. Winds NW 10kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MN...None. WI...None.