textproduct: Twin Cities

KEY MESSAGES

- A band of light rain showers pushing through this afternoon.

- Colder than normal through Tuesday with warmer temperatures returning Wednesday. Several rain chances arrive with the warmup, centered on next weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 216 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Another upper level disturbance is sliding southeast across the Upper Midwest this afternoon. A band of rain showers is accompanying this feature. The band is narrow and shouldn't last long with how quickly the wave will swing through. Some weak instability across southern MN may allow an isolated storm to develop late this afternoon. High pressure will build in tonight and Monday, bringing what should be the coldest air for the rest of the season. Highs will only be in the 20s or 30s Monday. Lows Monday night should drop into the teens area wide.

The pattern midweek and beyond will feature the polar jet returning to Canada and a broad trough across the western U.S. Warm air advection will begin Tuesday as a system tracks east along the U.S./Canadian border. Rain and snow showers may break out Tuesday night in advance of a warm front/occluded boundary. By Wednesday, strong southerly flow ahead of a cold front will bring much milder air northward with highs in the 60s. Additional showers are possible throughout Wednesday and Wednesday evening until the cold front works through, but amounts will be light.

Finer scale details beyond this point are more uncertain. Ensemble spread remains large, but generally next weekend continues to show a good signal for an active pattern to return. Several various disturbances may interact with a quasi-stationary boundary from the central Plains to Upper Midwest and Great Lakes to bring chances for showers and storms. Temperatures will also trend warmer, possibly 70s to low 80s, if the front sets up to the north and we can find some dry hours.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/

Issued at 109 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Clear skies will give way to increasing mid level clouds early this afternoon. A band of showers will push southeast through afternoon, likely remaining east of AXN and RWF. A few TS are possible across southern MN late this afternoon. Clouds will linger tonight, possibly at MVFR levels, then clearing Monday morning.

KMSP...Showers likely pushing through in the 20-22Z timeframe with the best chance for TS developing to the south after 21Z.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ MON...VFR. Wind NW 10-15kts. TUE...VFR. Wind SE 5-10kts. WED...MVFR/-SHRA likely, IFR possible. Wind SE to SW 10-15G25kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MN...None. WI...None.