textproduct: Twin Cities
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Rising temperatures through midweek, falling to end the week.
- No major weather systems over the next 7 days.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 231 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026
Clouds have been slow to clear out this afternoon, resulting in a chilly day after yesterday's record warmth. Temperatures have remained into he 30s this afternoon, & any chance we'll have of reaching the 40s depends on if we can see some breaks in the cloud cover develop before the afternoon is done. Clouds are eventually expected to clear by this evening, leading to a cold night as winds go calm as well & lows fall into the low to mid 20s by tomorrow morning.
Temepratures take on a warming trend through midweek though as strong ridging builds back over the southwest & central CONUS & ensemble guidance suggests temperature anomalies of 10-15 degrees above normal. This ridging pushes the jet stream well north of our area, along with the track of any storm systems, with an area of low pressure skirting along the US-Canada border later in the week the only real upcoming weather system of note. A cold front move through the region overnight Wednesday into Thursday, with a band of showers & light rain likely behind the frontal passage.Temperatures return to below-normal values behind the front for Friday & into the weekend, but ensemble guidance suggests we'll only see temperature anomalies around 5 degrees below normal.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/
Issued at 558 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026
Low level stratus is being as pesky as it tends to be, with overcast skies blanketing much of the region still early this evening. Ceilings have mostly lifted to low end VFR, though some pockets of MVFR will linger to start the period. While the stratus may continue to stick around longer than expected, cigs should only stay VFR after reaching that height. Northerly winds weaken overnight and eventually shift out of the south tomorrow morning and early afternoon. A scattered layer of diurnal cu may develop tomorrow morning and afternoon as well, though confidence is low.
KMSP...Introduced a layer of FEW025 late tomorrow morning with a growing chance for some diurnal cu through the afternoon. Mid level cloudiness increases tomorrow evening associated with a weak frontal boundary.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ TUE...VFR. Wind SE 5-10 kts. WED...VFR. Wind E 5-10 kts. THU...VFR. S Chc -RA/MVFR. Wind NW 10-20 kts.
MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...None. WI...None.
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