textproduct: Twin Cities

KEY MESSAGES

- Quiet weather continues today with above normal temperatures in the upper 50s to low 60s.

- A few light showers possible on Wednesday, with a dry forecast through the rest of the week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 300 AM CST Mon Nov 9 2026

Like the past couple mornings, a few areas of patchy fog are being seen in area observations, however it is not widespread due to the scattered upper level clouds situated over the region. This should remain the case through the rest of the morning, with any patchy fog burning off within a couple hours of sunrise. The rest of today will be beautiful by November standards as a weak boundary slides across the area, resulting in increasing temperatures followed by surface high pressure later in the day. Much of the area should end up in the 60s during the early afternoon even with cloud cover moving across the area associated with the weak frontal boundaries, with mainly western WI staying in the upper 50s as the initial weak warm front arrives a bit later and eats into peak heating hours. The cold front will swing through shortly after the warm front later this evening as temperatures cool back into the 30s tonight as surface high pressure moves in afterwards, clearing skies and allowing for more efficient radiational cooling. Tuesday looks to be a bit cooler with highs generally in the low to mid 50s, but skies will remain mostly clear thanks to the high pressure.

Tuesday night into Wednesday morning will be the main 'active' period within the forecast window as 500mb falling heights will result in weak mid to upper level omega as a surface low begins to form in response to the eastern side of an approaching upper level ridge. Given the lack of overall moisture and the fact the omega will have to compete with upper level cold air advection, the chance for showers will be confined mainly to early Wednesday morning with little to no accumulation expected beyond a few hundredths of an inch, with the vast majority of the area remaining dry. The upper level ridge continues to move eastwards, with strong surface high pressure setting up as the axis moves overhead and the ridge begins to widen over the CONUS. We will remain on the cooler side (at least compared to how warm we have been) as temperatures look to drop below freezing both Thursday and Friday mornings before rebounding back by the end of the weekend. The longer range guidance shows little in the way of active weather through the middle of the month as this ridge remains overhead, and it isn't until we approach the middle to end of next week to see the ridge begin to break down and the chance for active weather to increase. Until that time, expect seasonally moderate temperatures and no precipitation.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 511 AM CST Mon Nov 9 2026

A quiet period is ahead of us with the exception of some fog ongoing across EAU. Upper level SCT/BKN250 clouds will slowly thin and move off through the first 8-10 hours of the period, becoming FEW250 to SKC and remaining as such throughout the rest. Winds will begin VRB03kt but favor 160-180, turning towards 210-240 with speeds around 10kts. After the morning fog in EAU is over, VFR for all sites through the period.

KMSP...No additional concerns.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ WED...VFR. Wind NW 5-10kts. THU...VFR. Wind N 5-10kts. FRI...VFR. Wind N 5kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MN...None. WI...None.