textproduct: Twin Cities

KEY MESSAGES

- Light snow continues today with total accumulations of 1 to 2 inches.

- Milder today, then a return to below-average temperatures Monday and Tuesday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 256 AM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

A well-developed band of snow continues east across central and western MN early this morning. Visibilities have dropped to less than a mile in some instances, indicating steady snow rates. The snow will reach western WI by sunrise, then begin to weaken. However, an impressive mid level low over eastern SD will continue southeast and light snow will continue into afternoon north and east of it. Rates won't be as impressive, but another several hours of occasional light snow are expected across central/eastern MN and WI into the mid/late afternoon. QPF on CAMs and global models have come in line with the lighter AI models of 0.1-0.15 inches, so a broad 1 to 2 inches are still expected for storm totals. Temperatures will reach the mid 20s to lower 30s today, warmest across southwest MN.

A cold front will pass through this afternoon and bring another shot of modified Arctic air which will bring temperatures back to just below normal levels early this week. Another clipper, although quite weak, will slide southeast across the Dakotas to Nebraska Monday night. There may be some flurries or light snow across southern MN, but accumulations will be negligible.

A stronger clipper will dive southeast toward the Great Lakes Thursday. This one will put us in the warm sector and allow much milder air to flood the region. Highs in the mid 30s to lower 40s are expected. A positively-tilted trough will come through Thursday night and precipitation may develop behind the surface front along a baroclinic zone stretching from northern MN to WI. Some snow accumulation is looking increasingly likely within this corridor.

Impressive ridging across the west and troughing in the east will put us in a strong northwest flow regime late week into next weekend. There is a lot of spread with temperatures during this period and may trend warmer or colder with time depending on how the ridge-trough pattern evolves.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/

Issued at 558 AM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

The band of moderate snow is reaching far western WI and is already pushing east of MSP and MKT. Occasional light snow will continue through the day. A steadier burst may materialize across central and eastern MN later this morning, then push into WI this afternoon. Areas of freezing drizzle are ongoing across western MN. This FZDZ should slide southeast and may impact RWF and MKT this morning. Little or no ice accumulation is expected, however. Winds will shift northwest this afternoon.

KMSP...Occasional snow will persist through mid afternoon. Visibilities could vary quite a bit hour to hour within the snow showers, but the heaviest round of snow is currently ending.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ MON...VFR. Wind VRB to NE 5 kts. TUE...VFR. Wind NE 5kts. WED...VFR. Wind W 5-10 kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MN...None. WI...None.