textproduct: Twin Cities

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Light snow ending across Minnesota this afternoon, and across western Wisconsin this evening.

- More weak clippers will bring light snow chances through the week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 219 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

Cold front currently near I-35 is bringing a quick end to the accumulating snow, which ended up near or just under 2 inches for much of the area. Snow will continue across western Wisconsin for a few more hours before coming to an end by mid to late evening. Temperatures near and just ahead of the front have warmed well into the 20s and even near 30s in some areas, but will slide back into the single digits overnight. Below- average temperatures make their return for Monday and Tuesday with highs in the teens.

This ever-persistent northwest flow pattern will continue through the remainder of the week, albeit without the deep surges of cold air that plagued much of the region in January. In fact the latter half of the week will see near- to above- average temperatures with a quick jump to about 10 to 15 degrees above average on Thursday when some areas could push 40 degrees. As expected in such a flow pattern, there will be a few more chances for light snow with light clipper systems that pass through the region. The first will impact mainly southwest Minnesota Monday evening with very light snowfall amounts, if any. A similarly weak system will track a bit further north into central MN on Wednesday, again with very light snow accumulation if anything at all. A slightly stronger system will track even further north and east late Thursday with some minor accumulations possible. Right now the highest snow chances appear to be across northern Minnesota into Wisconsin, but there is still quite a bit of variability in the models with that system.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1105 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

Weak cold advection and widespread MVFR ceilings persist across the entire area in the wake of the Sunday snowfall. Low pressure in northern Ontario is maintaining weak cyclonic curvature and some lift over MN/WI and this is helping keep the MVFR along with some flurries. Short term models suggest this will continue into mid morning Monday, so have kept the MVFR ceilings for the rest of the night and through much of Monday morning. Gusty winds in some areas will decrease as high pressure moves in.

KMSP...Few additional concerns. Ceilings should remain MVFR into mid morning before increasing to VFR. There is some chance ceilings may improve to VFR prior to then, but confidence of that happening is less than average, hence keeping it MVFR for now. Any flurries are unlikely to reduce visibility to MVFR.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ TUE...VFR. Wind NE 5kts. WED...VFR. Wind W 5-10 kts. THU...VFR, chc MVFR. Wind S 5-10 kts bcmg SW 10-15G20kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MN...None. WI...None.


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