textproduct: Twin Cities

KEY MESSAGES

- A dusting of snow possible across western Wisconsin Saturday night.

- Above normal temperatures & relative dry conditions continue into next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 243 PM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

Northerly wind gusts around 30 mph have begun to diminish this afternoon as high pressure slides into the Upper Midwest & weakens the pressure gradient over the region. Light winds from the high pressure overhead along with clear winds will likely lead to a prime radiational cooling night across much of north- central Minnesota & western Wisconsin. Lows below zero are likely here, but could locally approach -10 degrees if radiational cooling conditions are maximized. Elsewhere, temperatures will actually begin to warm slightly into the low to mid teens by early morning as southerly flow returns on the back side of the high.

A weak clipper behind the departing high pressure is still forecast to track across northern Minnesota & Wisconsin Saturday evening. Ensemble & AI guidance does bring at least a low chance for a dusting of snow west to the St. Croix River, so opted to raise PoPs across western Minnesota & far-eastern Minnesota.

Otherwise, ridging & warmer temperatures aloft builds over the central CONUS by Monday & persists through the week. Minnesota & Wisconsin will remain under the flattened northern periphery of the ridge, meaning we will likely miss out on the well-above normal temperatures forecast for the central Plains & Mississippi/Ohio valleys. Still-abover normal temperatures are expected with thawing temperatures in the 30s to low 40s during the day & temperatures in the 20s overnight. Strong zonal flow aloft develops over the region with the jet riding along the northern periphery of the ridge, this could generate a few weak disturbances through the week, but any precipitation from these will remain light.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 512 PM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

A deck of MVFR clouds is moving through MKT to start the period, but once that clears VFR through the period. Winds will calm tonight to light and variable. Winds pick back up tomorrow first from the east then the southeast at 10 to 15 knots sustained with some gusts up to 25 knots.

KMSP... no additional concerns.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ SUN...VFR. Wind SW 5-10 kts. MON...VFR. Wind VRB 0-5 kts. TUE...VFR. Wind NW 5-10 kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MN...None. WI...None.