textproduct: Twin Cities

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Light rain likely Tuesday night along & north of Interstate 94.

- Much cooler to end the week under dry Canadian high pressure.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1226 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

Quiet & mild weather continues today with temepratures again approaching 60 degrees this afternoon. Clouds will be increasing through the afternoon as a pair of upper level disturbances approach the Upper Midwest this evening through Wednesday. The stronger of these arrives tonight, and is expected to generate a swath of light rain across northern & central Minnesota into western Wisconsin. rainfall amounts will be light, on the order of 0.1" or less. The second moves over the area Wednesday & brings a string cold front through the region along with falling temperatures late Wednesday afternoon into Thursday morning. In fact, it's a possible some spots could see their first snowflakes of the season early Thursday morning if the cyclonic flow aloft behind the front is strong enough to generate some isolated showers.

A much cooler airmass settles over the region Thursday into the weekend as Canadian high pressure persists over the Upper Midwest. Highs Thursday through Sunday are only expected to reach the mid 30s to low 40s with overnight lows falling well into the 20s. Typical temperatures for mid-November are the low to mid 40s for highs & around 30 for lows, & we have to go back to mid- October to find our last stretch of below-normal temperatures. No precipitation is expected through the weekend wit dry high pressure overhead, with our next chance at widespread precipitation likely not arriving until the middle of next week.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1048 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

VFR conditions persist for much of the 18z period. High clouds captured on satellite over the Dakotas will translate eastward across the Upper Midwest through tonight. A brief period of VFR rain showers is possible at AXN, STC, MSP, & RNH, so have maintained PROB30s for this inclusion overnight. Light westerly winds turn southerly this afternoon and then become very light through daybreak Wednesday. Winds increase out of the north between 5-10kts by the end of the 18z period.

KMSP...A few raindrops are possible between 8-12z, however the precipitation should be light enough to limit any visibility reductions.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ THU...VFR. Wind N 5-10kts. FRI...VFR. Wind N 5kts. SAT...VFR. Wind SE 5kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MN...None. WI...None.


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