textproduct: Twin Cities

KEY MESSAGES

- Above normal temperatures and dry weather expected through the week.

- Chances for rain are not in the forecast until next weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 149 PM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026

It's a very nice end to the weekend with clear skies and temperatures in the 60s areawide. We'll continue to warm up throughout the afternoon as gusty winds mix down warmer air just above the surface. This quiet and warm weather pattern will continue for the majority of the week as high pressure dominates the central US.

It will be interesting to track our average temperature throughout the month as this abnormally warm weather continues. Even with our recent cooldown, MSP is on track to be the warmest October on record. As of Oct 17th, our average temperature this month has been 59.3F and the all time monthly record is 59.2F from 1947. For St Cloud, the record is 58.2F (1900) and it is at 54.3F through Oct 17th. For Eau Claire, the record is 59.2F (1947) and it is at 56.1F through Oct 17th.

By this weekend, a longwave trough is expected to track over the western US and produce a couple chances for rain as is moves eastward. Amounts in our area continue to look unimpressive and the latest NBM PoPs peak around 30 to 50 percent on Saturday.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1215 PM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026

VFR through the period with a few high clouds. Southwest winds gust to 20-25 kts through the afternoon, winds drop to around 5 kts after sunset. Direction becomes more southerly overnight & easterly by tomorrow morning.

KMSP...|No additional concerns.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ MON...VFR. Wind VRB 5 kts. TUE...VFR. Wind SSE 10G20 kts. WED...VFR. Wind SW 10-15 kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MN...None. WI...None.