textproduct: Twin Cities
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Flurries or a dusting of snow possible across western Wisconsin tonight, though likely more dry than not.
- Above normal temperatures & relative dry conditions continue into next week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 225 AM CST Sat Feb 7 2026
Much cooler air has settled in this morning, with many locations north of I-94 dropping into the single digits already. Winds will increase out of the southeast ahead of a subtle wave on the backside of the exiting high pressure today. This will allow for some rebound in temperatures, though many locations will likely stay in the 20s, outside of southwest MN. There remains a low chance (less than 20 percent) for light precipitation across parts of western WI tonight, though forecast soundings would suggest that we do not saturate enough to support notable snowfall. We expect mostly flurries or a light dusting at best, if any precip even falls at all.
Our warm-up continues into the start of next week with persistent southerly winds and greater heights building aloft through Monday. Surface temperatures will be a solid 10 to 15F above normal, with southwest MN having the best chance to exceed 50F. Primarily zonal flow aloft will moderate conditions through the rest of the week, with several chances for weak waves to produce light precip. There is no signal for a major pattern change through mid-February, with above average temperatures and a thaw likely to continue through next weekend. This is highlighted by the CPC's latest 6-10 and 8-14 Day Outlooks.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/
Issued at 509 AM CST Sat Feb 7 2026
VFR throughout the period, albeit with increasing high clouds to produce ceilings by early afternoon. Ceilings will then gradually lower to the mid-levels tonight through Sunday morning, but not expected to drop into MVFR levels, and potentially clear out prior to daybreak. Winds will remain generally SE throughout, with peak speeds upwards of 15G25kts during the afternoon hours, particularly in central and western MN. Winds will then drop off after sunset this evening, with speeds under 10kts.
KMSP...No additional concerns.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ MON...VFR. Wind SW 5 kts becoming SE. TUE...VFR. Wind NW 5-10 kts. WED...VFR. Wind NW 5-10 kts becoming NE.
MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...None. WI...None.
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