textproduct: Twin Cities

KEY MESSAGES

- Cooler temperatures with mostly cloudy skies persist through the weekend

- Drier conditions return next week with highs in the mid to upper 60s.

- Next chances for rain arrive late in the forecast period, on Thursday.

NEXT WEEK

On Monday, surface high pressure over Canada will promote a drying trend with moisture values decreasing steadily. DP temps will fall back into the 40s across most of the forecast area. 50 degree DP temps remain in place across southern MN where isolated to scattered rain showers will be possible. Crisp and cool nights can be expected starting Monday night/Tuesday morning and Tuesday night/Wednesday with forecast low temperatures dropping into the 40s areawide, with a few areas dropping into the upper 30s. Otherwise, quiet and fair weather conditions persist through Wednesday with afternoon high temperatures in the middle to upper 60s.

By Thursday, the next upper level wave of energy and associated low level moisture will move west to east across the region. Global deterministic models and their respected ensemble suites are in fairly good agreement regarding timing and placement of this system. That said, there's still a degree of uncertainty regarding how far east the associated rain showers will progress. Ahead of this system, the aforementioned dry air that will be in place may inhibit rain chances the further east you go across the CWA.

By next weekend, high pressure aloft moves in across the region with high temperatures increasing back into the low 70s.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1225 AM CDT Sun Sep 20 2026

Somewhat of a complicated setup tonight with a clearing line slowly building south of the US-12 corridor, but a weak front in central MN is bringing a renewed risk of MVFR cigs in its wake. It looks like the HRRR/RAP have a good general handle on cloud trends tonight, with a period of VFR cigs expected at all terminals except MKT and EAU. We followed the idea of the majority of hi-res models in that as mixing deepens Sunday morning, we'll see a bkn-ovc stratocu deck develop, likely at high end MVFR levels before rising back to VFR levels and breaking up during the afternoon. Winds this period will remain out of the northeast, with a modest diurnal uptick in speeds during the morning on Sunday.

KMSP...MSP is on the edge of the stratus deck this period, though may see it pop back in occasional in the first 4 hours or so of this period. High end MVFR chances will be greatest between 16z and 20z on Sunday as the stratocu deck develops.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ MON...VFR. Wind E 5-10 kts. TUE...VFR. Wind E 5-10 kts. WED...VFR. Wind SE 5-10 kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MN...None. WI...None.