textproduct: Twin Cities

KEY MESSAGES

- A mostly quiet week ahead with varying temperatures and a few low chances for snow.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 258 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

Extensive mid level stratus is beginning to break up this morning across western and central MN. This trend should continue for the next several hours, but higher clouds will begin increasing later this morning as the next wave approaches for this afternoon and evening. Scattered flurries will be possible as long as the lower stratus is in place for the next few hours. The next wave will track from MT to eastern SD by this evening and then to southern IA early Tuesday morning. Some light snow is possible across southwestern MN late this afternoon and evening, but amounts will be negligible. A few flurries are possible farther northeast, but dry air under the mid level cloud deck will keep chances low. Another weak system will dive south across MN Tuesday night and early Wednesday, bringing another low chance for light snow or flurries west of I-35.

Moderating temperatures Wednesday and especially Thursday will occur thanks to a clipper tracking across central or southern Canada. Latest guidance is quite a bit farther north than in previous days, so PoPs continue to decline. This shift also increases the chance of breaking 40 for highs Thursday to about 60 percent across southwestern MN. The system will send a cold front south late Thursday night or Friday which will knock temperatures back through Saturday. The ridge will build back early next week and temperatures should rebound back into the 30s or 40s.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 554 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

Clearing is progressing southeast across eastern MN and western WI early this morning. A few mid-high level clouds are streaming across southern MN. Another mid level cloud deck across ND will build southeast later today. Low clouds across northern MN and ND may try to push back in overnight, so included a line to show that possibility. A few snow showers or flurries are possible late this afternoon and evening across southwestern MN.

KMSP...Clearing is imminent and mostly clear skies are expected this morning, followed by increasing mid level clouds this afternoon. There is a low chance some SCT diurnal CU at MVFR levels may develop later this morning, but confidence is not high enough to include in this TAF issuance.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ TUE...VFR. Wind NE 5kts. WED...VFR. Wind W 5-10 kts. THU...VFR, chc MVFR. Wind S 5-10 kts bcmg SW 10-15G20kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MN...None. WI...None.