textproduct: Twin Cities

KEY MESSAGES

- Very cold temperatures continue with wind chills values reaching -25 to -35 degrees tonight.

- A Cold Weather Advisory in effect for all of Minnesota and western Wisconsin until noon Monday.

- Remaining quiet with below normal temperatures next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 345 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Quite a stark temperature difference early this morning across the Minnesota and Wisconsin. In western MN, current temperatures range in the single digits whereas across western WI, obs are reporting teens to lower 20s below zero. This is because western WI resides directly beneath a weakening surface high. With wind speeds at or near zero, wind chills continue to be a not much of a factor in the very near term. A few MnDOT cameras across central MN showing hints of flurries currently falling. A mid- level wave that is approaching form the NW is providing just enough subtle lift to squeeze out a few flakes in the band of current cloud cover on satellite. Given latest forecast soundings, the environment for flurries looks probable thus maintained mentions through this afternoon. Overall, no accumulating snow is expected as temps are colder than the DGZ. The only exception is far western MN where a light dusting could occur. Forecast highs today will reach a few degrees above zero with calm winds becoming NW'ly between 5 to 10 mph.

High pressure moves in tonight which should help keep skies relatively clear and allow for radiational cooling. Thus, nudged MinT values down slightly by blending in NBM25th percentile values. Unlike last night, winds will be a factor tonight with regards to frigid wind chills. Wind chills values are expected to reach 25 to 35 degrees below zero overnight. Its possible that a few localized ares could briefly near 40 below around sunrise tomorrow morning. That being said, a Cold Weather Advisory is in effect for all of central and southern MN and western WI tonight until noon Monday.

A clipper system remains on track to sweep across northern MN through north-central WI Monday night. As for us locally, only portions of western Wisconsin (mainly Polk down to Eau Claire Counties) have the best shot at seeing some light accumulation of snow. As mentioned in the previous discussion, this event appears to be a high PoP/low QPF scenario, thus additional nudging up in PoPs appears increasingly likely.

Beyond that, the forecast remains cold and mainly quiet other than a few shots at some flurries. High temperatures will remain in the single digits and then increase to the low teens by the end of the week. Upper-level flow does look to become more zonal by this weekend which could return temps back into the 20s.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/

Issued at 608 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

VFR with a period of MVFR cigs this afternoon. A band of mid-level stratus currently stretched over RWF and STC will continue to slowly make its way east today. It is expected that additional cloud cover will develop out ahead of a mid-level wave that is approaching from the northwest. As this occurs, there is a slight potential of flurries that could fall between now through early afternoon. Forecast soundings show a lack of support for any snow accumulation to occur. Winds will start out light and variable this morning before becoming NW'ly around 18-20z, then backing westerly late in the period.

KMSP...Slight flurry potential timeframe would be from 14 to 20z this morning. Confidence of occurrence was too low to include in the TAF. Higher confidence about MVFR cigs occurring ~20z before clearing back up to VFR this evening after 02-03z timeframe.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ MON PM...VFR. Wind NW 5-10 kts. TUE...VFR. Wind NW 5-10 kts. WED...VFR, chc -SN/MVFR. Wind NW 5-10 kts

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MN...Cold Weather Advisory from 6 PM this evening to noon CST Monday for Benton-Brown-Carver-Chippewa-Chisago-Douglas- Isanti-Kanabec-Kandiyohi-Lac Qui Parle-McLeod-Meeker- Mille Lacs-Morrison-Nicollet-Pope-Redwood-Renville- Sherburne-Sibley-Stearns-Stevens-Swift-Todd-Watonwan- Wright-Yellow Medicine. Cold Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to noon CST Monday for Anoka-Blue Earth-Dakota-Faribault-Freeborn-Goodhue- Hennepin-Le Sueur-Martin-Ramsey-Rice-Scott-Steele-Waseca- Washington. WI...Cold Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to noon CST Monday for Barron-Chippewa-Dunn-Eau Claire-Pepin-Pierce-Polk- Rusk-St. Croix.