textproduct: Twin Cities

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Rain showers and areas of drizzle continue through the morning.

- More rain chances over the next week with the best chance coming on Tuesday.

- Temperatures will be at or slightly above average through midweek.

REMAINDER OF THE WEEK

Thereafter, the upper level flow regime will remain progressive with upper level jet across southern Canada and far northern CONUS. Guidance is starting to hint at upper level ridge developing across western CONUS, which would promote more zonal to northwesterly flow aloft across the region. NBM guidance is starting lock in on this solution with temperatures cooling slightly below average by next weekend.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1221 AM CDT Sun Sep 27 2026

Satellite shows the story this morning with overcast low clouds everywhere as IR shows little coloration and nighttime microphysics RGB shows the cyan hues indicative of a low level stratus deck. Observations are a mix of LIFR in the west for AXN/RWF, IFR in STC, and low MVFR for the remainder with the expectation being most sites see at least IFR through 14-16z at which point we will slowly begin to scatter out. High pressure sliding in from the west will be slow to arrive such that most locations will see IFR/low MVFR by sunrise, with LIFR expected in RWF/AXN. Winds become light and variable as high pressure approaches, allowing for any low level BR to persist longer than usual as the stratus deck will also prevent us from mixing it out. End of period we should finally see enough scattering for most sites to return to MVFR/VFR.

KMSP...MVFR to start with a brief drop to IFR expected after 12z with lack of wind and mixing to either advect or dissipate the low level cloud cover. Weak subsidence via incoming high pressure will slowly scatter things out after 17z, with VFR late in the period.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ MON...VFR. Wind SE 5kts. TUE...MVFR/-SHRA likely, chc IFR. Wind SE 5-10kts. WED...VFR, chc -SHRA/MVFR. Wind S to SE 5kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MN...None. WI...None.

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