textproduct: Twin Cities

KEY MESSAGES

- Patchy fog this morning, followed by partly cloudy skies and seasonal temperatures.

- Mild weather continues into next week with a brief cool spell mid week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 253 AM CST Sat Nov 7 2026

The line of mid to upper level cloud cover is pushing through eastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin this morning and has led to the emergence of some patchy fog in a few spots mainly in central MN this morning. Temperatures are running close to dew points in the low 30s, with another freeze for pretty much everyone except for those in the urban core of the Twin Cities. Quiet weather is expected once the morning fog passes with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies as a mid level shortwave and weak surface low move eastwards across central Canada giving us just enough lift to produce some high clouds. South to southwest winds in the lower levels will lead to some weak WAA and high temperatures in the low to mid 50s as winds reach around 10mph during peak heating in the early afternoon. The main thing this warm front will do is keep our overnight lows warmer tomorrow night as further cloud cover is expected to build between the leading warm nose and the weak cold front behind it with said cold front reaching central MN by the early morning hours and through southern Minnesota by sunrise. Temperatures will end up similar tomorrow compared to today, with overnight lows dropping back into the 30s for Monday morning behind the cold front.

A better punch of cooler air looks to hold off until the middle of the week with 850mb temperatures dropping below freezing on Wednesday as north-northwesterly flow is evident aloft. The leading edge of an upper level ridge will be entering the lee-side Rockies around this time with a relatively quick rebound in temperatures towards next weekend as the ridge moves through. Highs in the 40s by Wednesday will return to the 50s to end the week with even warmer temperatures teased within the guidance beyond 7 days as the ridge solidifies over the region. Alongside this ridge, a lack of precipitation is expected due to continued dry air and subsidence from the ridge suppressing any omega that may try to form. Overall this quiet and above normal weather pattern looks to continue into the middle of the month, and we will have to see if it continues to hold on towards the later parts of the month as we approach the Thanksgiving holiday.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1111 PM CST Fri Nov 6 2026

Satellite shows some mid to upper level clouds moving across the area, beginning SCT but looking to thin out before the main line pushes through after a few hours bringing about a return to SCT/BKN. There is some uncertainty in just how widespread fog ends up getting this morning, with the CAMs showing enough of a low level dry layer piggybacking off of what has been a more consistent global model forecast. For right now, kept the BR in the TAF for AXN/STC/MKT, and included a mention for EAU given the 30 minutes of sub 2sm BR before 05z. Winds will maintain a 210-240 direction at or below 10kts throughout. VFR is expected for all sites aside from the BR chance this morning.

KMSP...No additional concerns.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ SUN...VFR. Wind NW 5-10kts. MON...VFR. Wind S to W 5-10kts. TUE...VFR. Wind NW 5kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MN...None. WI...None.