textproduct: Twin Cities

KEY MESSAGES

- Below normal temperatures through Saturday, warmer next week.

- Dry weather continues into next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 144 AM CST Fri Nov 13 2026

Clear skies & calm winds are leading to a chilly night as Canadian high pressure settles over the region. Lows have dropped into the low 20s across much of the area, except across potions of western Wisconsin where stratus coming off of Lake Superior has limited radiational cooling & kept temperatures steady around 30 degrees. The chilly start to the day means we'll see another day where afternoon highs remain in the 30s despite plenty of sunshine, & another cold night is expected with low in the upper teens to low 20s for Sunday morning. Temperatures begin to warm Sunday as southerly flow returns on the backside of departing high pressure. The warmup really commences early next week as upper-levl ridging builds over the central CONUS & ensemble guidance continues to high light temperature anomalies of 15-20 degrees above normal by mid- week. Much of this temperature signal will be felt during the overnight hours with overnight lows expected to remain in the 40s, but we could see some 60s across the area Wednesday & thursday afternoons deepening on the extent of cloud cover. Dry weather continues through at least midweek until a deepening trough over the western US pushes the ridging off to our east. Models are still spread on the strength & track of any disturbances that round the trough & pass through the Upper Midwest, & thus on the extent of precipitation chances for later in the week. While it's hard to pin down exact precipitation chances, we'll be in a more active pattern beginning Thursday & continuing into next weekend so at least some amount of precipitation, likely rain given forecast temperatures, is likely through this period.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1118 AM CST Fri Nov 13 2026

Main focus early in the 18z period are MVFR cigs reported across western WI. Satellite loop depicts erosion of morning stratus over EAU, along with blossoming Cu to the west near the MN/WI line. It looks like the Cu may continue developing to the west of the state line, which prompted the inclusion of FEW030 at MSP. Cu decreases in coverage later this afternoon and will turn the skies clear for the remainder of the period. Light NNE winds diminish this evening before turning SE under 10kts Saturday.

KMSP...No additional concerns.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ SUN...VFR. Wind S 5-10kts. MON...VFR. Wind S 5-10kts. TUE...VFR. Wind SSW 10-15G20kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MN...None. WI...None.