textproduct: Twin Cities

KEY MESSAGES

- Sunny & dry this weekend. Areas of fog overnight.

- Next chance for rain comes Monday afternoon into Tuesday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1110 AM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026

Pleasant seasonable weather as we start August this weekend with afternoon highs generally in the low 80s today & tomorrow. Areas of mist & fog are likely to develop again overnight into tomorrow morning, with the most widespread fog likely in low- lying areas of western Wisconsin & southeast Minnesota. The upper level pattern becomes more active early next week as a shortwave trough deepens as it moves eastwards along the US- Canada border. Most of the widespread rain & thunderstorms of this system will be tied to the stronger upper-level forcing across northern Minnesota, but we will likely see scattered showers & thunderstorms develop along the surface cold front extending southwards through the area. Most model guidance brings the timing of the front through the area during the overnight hours Monday into tuesday, not the most favorable time of day for instability & thunderstorm development. Thus we should see some sort of rain across at least western Minnesota late Monday night into Tuesday, but any widespread thunderstorms or a good soaking rain will likely be waning by the time the front reaches our area.

We return back to a seasonable early-Agugust pattern for midweek with weak high pressure over the upper midwest. A slow- moving front south of this region of high pressure will light up with thunderstorms & potentially heavy rain later in the week, but the general model consensus keeps this activity south of the area across Iowa & the mid-Missippi valley. It's still a ways out but there appears to be a better shot at more widespread rain across MN/WI late next week into next weekend as most guidance depicts another shortwave passing through the Upper Midwest.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 609 PM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026

VFR conditions through the period. Skies FEW at 5-8 kft, becoming SKC around sunset. Breezy north winds of 8-13 knots with gusts to 18-23 knots through the remainder of the evening, decreasing after sunset to around 5 knots. Winds will turn northeast to east on Sunday.

KMSP...no additional concerns.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ MON...VFR. Wind S 10-15G20 kts. TUE...VFR. Chc am -TSRA. Wind W/NW 7-12 kts. WED...VFR. Winds light and VRB.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MN...None. WI...None.