textproduct: Twin Cities
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Above normal temperatures and dry weather expected through the week.
- Chances for rain are not in the forecast until next weekend.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 245 AM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026
It's another clear morning across much of the country with only a few cirrus clouds streaming across the northern Plains and northern MN. South winds remain occasionally gusty and is helping keep temperatures mild in the mid 40s to lower 50s. A front will approach this afternoon from the northwest which will allow winds to drop off across central MN. Gusty winds will continue across southern MN and WI into afternoon. 925 mb temps will range from +13 to +15C this afternoon, which would equate to highs in the upper 60s, with a few low 70s across southwestern MN.
After slightly cooler temperatures Monday, a warming trend is expected to prevail through the rest of the week. The pattern will feature a ridge across much of the CONUS with troughs on the east and west coasts. Very quiet and warm weather will result, and temperatures well into the 70s are expected from midweek onward. A few 80s possible late week. Normal highs by then will be in the low to mid 50s, which makes this forecast 15 to 25 degrees above normal. Highs through the period were weighted toward the NBM 90th percentile given the recent cool bias of the NBM.
The only chances for rain come next weekend as the western long wave trough finally begins to approach. However, recent trends have been bringing this front through drier and it is not looking like we'll have widespread meaningful precipitation.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
Issued at 555 AM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026
A few passing high clouds expected today, otherwise clear skies and VFR conditions will continue. South/southwesterly winds increase this morning and afternoon, with gusts to 25 kts for some terminals. Expect winds to weaken by sunset at all locations with a shift to more south/southeasterly near the end of the period.
KMSP...No additional concerns.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ MON...VFR. Wind VRB 5 kts. TUE...VFR. Wind SSE 10G20 kts. WED...VFR. Wind SW 10-15 kts.
MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...None. WI...None.
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