textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1146 PM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025

Upper ridging continues to be dominant over the south-central CONUS through the weekend. Upper troughing splits over the southeastern CONUS with part of this retrograding westward across the forecast area this weekend. Upper ridging then builds in across the region for next week. As better moisture returns to the area throughout the atmospheric column, more typical afternoon scattered showers and storms are expected to become established by late this weekend into next week as better moisture returns to the area. Hot temperatures can be expected each day with highs topping out in the lower to middle 90's and overnight lows in the lower to middle 70's. Heat indices will generally stay below heat advisory criteria in the 95 to 105 range, perhaps sneaking to near advisory criteria by the middle of next week in the 100 to 107 range. A Low risk of rip currents remains through the weekend and early next week. MM/25

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1237 PM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025

VFR conditions will prevail over the next 24 hours. However, we are expecting brief drops in visibility and gusty/variable winds up to 25 knots near scattered afternoon and early evening storms. Added PROB30 groups to our coastal TAFs through late afternoon before storms move inland in the evening. Light easterly winds inland (southerly close to the coast) will become light northerly tonight. /22

MARINE

Issued at 1146 PM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025

No impacts are expected other than locally higher winds and seas possible near thunderstorms. A light diurnal flow pattern this weekend becomes a light to occasionally moderate southwesterly to westerly flow for next week with showers and thunderstorms increasing in coverage across the marine waters. MM/25

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 72 93 73 92 73 93 74 94 / 10 30 10 50 10 50 10 60 Pensacola 75 93 76 91 77 92 77 92 / 10 30 10 50 10 40 20 60 Destin 78 93 79 92 79 92 80 92 / 20 30 20 40 10 40 20 50 Evergreen 71 96 71 96 72 95 73 94 / 10 20 10 40 10 30 10 50 Waynesboro 70 96 71 94 70 95 72 94 / 10 20 10 40 10 40 10 50 Camden 71 95 72 94 72 94 73 93 / 0 10 10 30 10 30 10 50 Crestview 72 95 72 94 72 94 73 94 / 10 30 10 60 10 50 10 70

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.