textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 644 PM CDT Wed Jul 29 2026 - Very hot conditions continue with an Extreme Heat Warning for coastal areas and Heat Advisory for the remainder of the area today. Another Heat Advisory will go into effect Thursday for much of the area.

- High Risk of rip currents is expected to return by this weekend for all area beaches.

- Daily afternoon and evening thunderstorm chances increase through the end of the week and into the weekend. A few storms may produce strong to locally damaging wind gusts, heavy rainfall, and dangerous cloud to ground lightning.

UPDATE

Issued at 644 PM CDT Wed Jul 29 2026

The current forecast is on track and no updates are needed. /13

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1235 PM CDT Wed Jul 29 2026

A couple more days of hot temperatures and high heat indices persist across the region as highs top out in the upper 90's to near 100 today and middle 90's Thursday. An Extreme Heat Warning remains in effect through 9pm this evening for coastal portions of the area where heat indices will remain high near 113. Elsewhere today, a Heat Advisory remains in effect through 9pm with heat indices as high as 112. Isolated to scattered showers and storms may develop later this afternoon into the early evening, providing some temporary relief from the heat for locations that see any storms. Similar to yesterday, any storms that develop will have the potential to produce microbursts with strong to locally damaging wind gusts.

Thursday we will begin to see a pattern change as upper troughing begins to influence the area more and we become better aligned with upper level northerly flow. This should allow for some shortwaves to push their way into the area and serve as a focus for afternoon into evening scattered to numerous shower and thunderstorm development. At least the eastern half of the area stands to see the greatest chances for this, which should help temper afternoon highs and heat indices for portions of south- central Alabama. Elsewhere, hot afternoon temperatures combined with mid-70's dewpoints should allow for one more day of Heat Advisory criteria heat indices near 108. Given this, we have went forward with a Heat Advisory from 11am to 7pm Thursday for all of southeast Mississippi, southwest Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle. Little relief can be expected overnight with lows only falling into the middle to upper 70's, with lower 80's along the immediate coast. Once again, any storms that develop will have the potential to produce microbursts with strong to locally damaging wind gusts.

As we head into Friday and the weekend, upper troughing continues to build in with several shortwaves rounding the base of the trough. Any residual boundaries left over from previous days storms will likely serve as a focus for redevelopment each afternoon with the current anticipation for numerous showers and thunderstorms each day. While shear values aren't amazing, there will be just enough present in combination with ample instability to potentially support some loosely organized thunderstorms in the form of multi-cells and perhaps a couple bowing segments. Primary hazards with storms any given afternoon will be damaging wind gusts in addition to locally heavy rainfall.

We remain under the influence of upper troughing through at least early next week, with upper ridging making an attempt to begin building in once again by the middle of next week. We will likely hang on to scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms each afternoon, gradually tapering in coverage by the middle of next week.

We continue to anticipate the development of numerous strong rip currents as we head into the weekend for our local beaches. A Low risk for the Alabama coast and Moderate risk for the Florida Panhandle coast continues through Thursday evening, becoming a Moderate risk for all beaches Friday. The risk will gradually ramp up to a High Saturday into Sunday. MM/25

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 644 PM CDT Wed Jul 29 2026

VFR conditions prevail through Thursday morning before scattered showers and storms redevelop with brief periods of reduced ceilings and visbys. /13

MARINE

Issued at 1235 PM CDT Wed Jul 29 2026

Light to moderate westerly flow prevails across the marine area through the upcoming weekend. Scattered to numerous showers and storms become possible through late week, with best chances this weekend. Locally higher winds and waves can be expected in or near any thunderstorms. MM/25

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 77 94 75 91 / 20 60 50 80 Pensacola 79 93 78 91 / 20 60 40 70 Destin 80 91 79 90 / 20 60 50 60 Evergreen 76 93 73 91 / 30 60 40 60 Waynesboro 76 95 74 93 / 20 60 30 60 Camden 75 93 73 91 / 30 30 20 40 Crestview 75 94 74 93 / 30 70 40 70

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for ALZ051>060-261>264.

Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 7 PM CDT Thursday for ALZ051>053-059- 261>266.

Extreme Heat Warning until 9 PM CDT this evening for ALZ265-266.

FL...Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for FLZ201-203-205.

Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 7 PM CDT Thursday for FLZ201>206.

Extreme Heat Warning until 9 PM CDT this evening for FLZ202-204- 206.

MS...Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for MSZ067-075-076-078- 079.

Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 7 PM CDT Thursday for MSZ067-075-076- 078-079.

GM...None.