textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 607 AM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026 - Scattered storms expected each afternoon into the evening today through mid week with gusty winds being the main threat.

- There is a moderate (60%) probability of tropical development in the northern Gulf over the next 48 hours.

- A warming trend is possible next week with heat indices potentially reaching to 105-111 across portions of the area.

UPDATE

Issued at 607 AM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

No changes were made to the previous forecast. Heat remains the primary concern for today, though heat indices may be a couple of degrees below advisory (108). Despite these lower values, have opted to continue the Heat Advisory as there may be a few isolated locations in SE MS that meet criteria. Otherwise, scattered to numerous afternoon thunderstorms are expected again today. /73

..BEACH FORECAST

The rip current risk will increase to a HIGH for Florida beaches Monday and Alabama beaches on Tuesday which will last through Wednesday.

SS/97

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 607 AM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

VFR conditions are expected through much of the period. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible, mainly during the afternoon hours. Much like previous days, the activity will likely dissipate around sunset. Otherwise, expect winds from the northeast and skies to remain mostly clear. /73

MARINE

Issued at 151 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026

A developing system over the Gulf will bring increasing flow, mainly south of the coast into the coming week. A Small Craft Advisory may be needed in the coming week. /16

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 95 75 95 75 / 60 20 60 30 Pensacola 93 77 94 77 / 70 20 60 30 Destin 90 77 91 78 / 70 20 60 30 Evergreen 93 72 94 73 / 70 20 30 20 Waynesboro 97 75 97 76 / 30 20 20 10 Camden 93 74 94 74 / 70 20 20 10 Crestview 93 72 94 74 / 70 20 60 30

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...Heat Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening for MSZ067-075-076-078-079.

GM...None.