textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1240 AM CDT Tue Apr 28 2026

- Scattered to locally numerous showers and storms are expected to develop each day starting today and lasting through Saturday. Storms on Tuesday and Wednesday could potentially become strong to severe.

- Well above average temperatures will continue through Wednesday, gradually cooling by the end of the week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1218 AM CDT Tue Apr 28 2026

An active weather pattern begins on Tuesday as the upper ridge breaks down as an upper trough moves across the Ohio Valley. An associated trailing cold front will move south and stall well north of the area. Shortwaves moving along this boundary will bring chances for showers and thunderstorms to portions of the area, mainly north of the highway 84, through Wednesday. Several clusters of thunderstorms will be possible through the period with the first one likely weakening as it moves into the area later this morning. Another MCS is expected to develop across Arkansas late this afternoon and move southeast into the area this evening. Damaging winds and large hail will be the main threats with the stronger storms. The front moves into the area on Wednesday and with weak difluence aloft along with disturbances moving along the boundary, showers and storms will increase in coverage Wednesday afternoon and evening. A few strong storms cannot be ruled out with hail and gusty winds. A large spread in guidance remains for the late week system as the next system approaches in the zonal flow aloft. In response to the approaching wave, a sfc low is expected to develop. However, there remains differences on whether the low will move inland or move south of the area. For now, will show increasing rain chances Friday into Saturday. Cooler temps follow this system for early next week. /13

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1240 AM CDT Tue Apr 28 2026

A bit stronger low level winds of 5 to 10 knots overnight will lead to stratus developing over the forecast instead of general fog development. IFR CIGs are likely, with local drops to LIFR possible. CIGs will rise after sunrise to MVFR/VFR levels, as winds rise to 10 to 15 knots. Showers and thunderstorms are possible in the late afternoon evening over areas along and north of Highway 84. These storms could impact operations over those areas. South, the impact of any convection will be minimal, though winds will still be stronger than usual, around 10 knots. /16

MARINE

Issued at 143 PM CDT Mon Apr 27 2026

A light to occasionally moderate onshore flow will prevail through Wednesday. Winds briefly become offshore by Thursday as a cold front moves through, then gradually transition to a predominately easterly flow for Friday. /96

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 68 86 65 82 / 20 20 50 40 Pensacola 69 82 68 81 / 20 20 40 50 Destin 69 80 68 79 / 10 10 40 50 Evergreen 64 89 61 80 / 30 30 60 40 Waynesboro 66 86 61 77 / 40 40 70 30 Camden 65 86 61 77 / 50 50 70 30 Crestview 63 87 63 83 / 20 20 50 50

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.