textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1226 AM CST Mon Feb 23 2026

- High winds and low relative humidity will create dangerous burning conditions today. - Strong winds will create hazardous conditions for small craft through this morning.

- A HIGH risk of rip currents will return along the beaches Thursday and Friday and create dangerous swimming conditions

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1226 AM CST Mon Feb 23 2026

Moderate northerly winds today will diminish this evening as surface high pressure builds across the region, followed by a light southerly wind returning Tuesday afternoon through Thursday as surface ridge builds across the eastern Gulf. With the cold dry airmass in place along with a persistent north wind, high temps today will struggle to reach the middle to upper 40s along and north of Highway-84, and the lower 50s to the south. The north wind will make it feel even colder today with apparent temperatures (wind chills) this morning as low as 15 to 20 inland and 20 to 25 along the coast, and a Cold Weather Advisory remains in effect until 8 AM. Lows tonight will range from 23 to 27 degrees inland and from 28 to 31 degrees along the coast, but winds will be light. Both these high and low temps are around 15-20 degrees below normal.

Highs quickly warm back into the lower 70s on Wednesday and range from 74 to 79 degrees on Thursday as southerly winds return to the region. The dry weather conditions will persist through Wednesday evening, followed by increasing rain chances late Wednesday through Thursday night ahead and along another approaching cold front. A slight chance to chance of general thunderstorms are possible Thursday afternoon into Friday. This weaker front should move across the area Thursday night, with rain tapering off on Friday.

Beach Forecast: A LOW risk of rip currents will occur through Tuesday night, becoming MODERATE on Wednesday and HIGH on Thursday and Friday as the southerly winds and swells increase. /22

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1131 PM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

VFR flight conditions will persists through Monday evening. Sustained north-northwesterly winds around 12-17 knots with frequent gusts around 21-26 knots through Monday afternoon will decrease to 5-10 knots in the evening. /22

MARINE

Issued at 1226 AM CST Mon Feb 23 2026

Strong northerly winds will gradually diminish this afternoon into Tuesday morning as surface high pressure builds across the region. Winds will shift to an onshore flow Tuesday afternoon and increase to light to moderate Tuesday night and continue through Thursday as surface ridge builds across the eastern Gulf. /22

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1226 AM CST Mon Feb 23 2026

A Red Flag Warning has been issued for southeast Mississippi again today due to the combination of strong winds and low humidity levels. While the requirement of a moderate significant fire potential for the issuance of a Red Flag Warning for southwest Alabama and northwest Florida is not being met, officials should be on the alert as any fires that develops may catch and spread quickly. /22

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 53 27 58 43 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 51 30 57 48 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 52 31 55 48 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 49 24 58 39 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 49 24 58 41 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 45 23 56 39 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 51 25 57 40 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...Cold Weather Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for ALZ051>060- 261>266.

FL...Cold Weather Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for FLZ201>206.

MS...Red Flag Warning from 9 AM this morning to 6 PM CST this evening for MSZ067-075-076-078-079.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until noon CST today for GMZ630>636-650-655.

Gale Warning until noon CST today for GMZ670-675.

Small Craft Advisory from noon today to midnight CST tonight for GMZ670-675.


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