textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 100 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

- Dangerous Hurricane Isaias approaches the Western Florida Panhandle this evening. - Weather Conditions to deteriorate through the day and into tonight.

- Life threatening storm surge and devastating winds likely along the Florida Panhandle and Alabama coasts as Isaias nears landfall.

..Extended Period

A few lingering bands of light rain across our far eastern and northern zones are expected Saturday afternoon as Isaias continues to lift northward. The remnants of Isaias will have long since phased with an upper trough that ejects across the TN/OH River Valleys Sunday AM while deep layer drier air spreads eastward over the deep south. Short-wave upper ridge of high pressure moving in from the west Monday, amplifies through the middle of next week. Surface high pressure will build across the Gulf, the Lower Mississippi River and Southeastern U.S. into the middle of next week. A surface ridge will follow along the eastern seaboard into the Deep South through late next week. No rain is expected Saturday night through the remainder of the forecast.

Both high and low temperatures will increase through next week and look to be far from October like. High temperatures on Sunday will mainly be in the middle 80s, or about 3 to 7 degrees above normal. Temperatures look to be far from October like. High temperatures through the remainder of the forecast should mostly be in the upper 80s to lower 90s, or about 7 to 12 degrees above normal. Lows Saturday night will be in the upper 50s to lower 60s inland and middle 60s to lower 70s along the coast. These lows are about 3 to 7 degrees above normal. By Thursday night, lows should be in the lower to middle 60s inland and lower to middle 70s along the coast. These lows are about 9 to 14 degrees above normal. /10

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 100 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

Hazardous flight conditions for area TAF's next 24 hrs due to approach and landfall of Hurricane Isaias.

MARINE

Issued at 100 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

Major Hurricane Isaias moving north-northeastward over the central Gulf begins to turn more northward throughout the day. Isaias is expected to approach the northern Gulf coast early this evening as a dangerous hurricane at time of landfall. Weather conditions will continue to deteriorate rapidly today/tonight and seas become very high as Isaias approaches and moves north across the coastal waters. /10

HYDROLOGY

Issued at 100 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

No change to current thinking as relayed from early AM hydrology discussion. For the Rivers, bands of heavy rains will move inland this afternoon as Isaias approaches the northern Gulf coast and moves inland. A decent northerly pace with this storm will help to limit rainfall totals overall, especially along and west of the Tombigbee River. Still, local flash flooding is possible, especially in poor drainage areas. Also, smaller, flashier rivers and creeks south of I-65 can see rapid filling then flooding, with flood warnings issued for flashier rivers in our coastal counties from the Mobile River east. Any shift in the track will shift the greatest area of concern. A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for AL and FL areas of the forecast area. Will need to monitor for any shifting of the track of Isaias, especially westward. Also, with the shifting winds coming with Isaias, will need to monitor area near coastal rivers for added storm surge addition to river flooding. /16

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 62 78 60 85 / 90 0 0 0 Pensacola 68 78 66 84 / 100 0 0 0 Destin 72 80 69 83 / 90 10 0 0 Evergreen 60 79 57 84 / 100 20 0 0 Waynesboro 59 73 57 86 / 100 30 0 0 Camden 58 76 57 83 / 100 30 10 0 Crestview 67 80 59 84 / 100 20 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...Tropical Storm Warning for ALZ051>055-057-058.

Flood Watch through Saturday afternoon for ALZ051>060-261>266.

Hurricane Warning for ALZ056-059-060-261>266.

High Rip Current Risk through Sunday afternoon for ALZ265-266.

High Surf Warning until midnight CDT Saturday night for ALZ265- 266.

Storm Surge Warning for ALZ265-266.

FL...Flood Watch through Saturday afternoon for FLZ201>206.

Hurricane Warning for FLZ201>206.

High Rip Current Risk through Sunday afternoon for FLZ202-204- 206.

High Surf Warning until midnight CDT Saturday night for FLZ202- 204-206.

Storm Surge Warning for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...Tropical Storm Warning for MSZ067-075-076-078-079.

GM...Hurricane Warning for GMZ630>636-650-655-670-675.