textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 649 AM CDT Fri Oct 23 2026

- Moderate to strong northeast winds will create hazardous conditions for small craft over most of the marine area Friday night continuing into early next week.

- A High Risk of rip currents is expected for beach areas from Saturday morning through Monday night.

UPDATE

Issued at 711 AM CDT Fri Oct 23 2026

The current forecast is on track and no updates are needed. /13

DISCUSSION

Issued at 936 PM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026

Dry, seasonable to slightly below seasonable norms continues for the foreseeable future across the region. Temperatures generally stay in the middle to upper 70's most days, with the warmest day being today where some spots may see lower 80's. Overnight lows stay chilly in the middle to upper 40's over the interior and lower 50's near the coast.

We remain on the western periphery of upper troughing the next couple days before upper ridging begins moving in overhead. A reinforcing shot of cool, dry air comes in from the northeast Friday into the weekend as Cold Air Damming sets up across the Carolinas and spills southwest into our area. This will keep things quite dry with some fire weather concerns materializing this weekend as winds strengthen Saturday into Sunday. While winds won't be particularly strong, wind gusts of 20 to 30mph can't be ruled out this weekend across the area which could cause localized issues with any weakened/damaged trees across south- central Alabama into the western Florida Panhandle. Winds and any lingering fire danger should relax into early next week, with more or less the same temperatures and dry forecast anticipated as we head through the first half of the week. A Low risk of rip currents today will become moderate tonight. The risk rapidly increases into daybreak Saturday, with a High risk for rip currents becoming established Saturday morning, lingering through the day Monday. The risk will gradually tape into the middle of the week. MM/25

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 711 AM CDT Fri Oct 23 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours. /13

MARINE

Issued at 936 PM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026

Light to moderate easterly to northeasterly winds this morning gradually become moderate to strong this evening into tonight, remaining that way through at least Monday. Moderate easterly to northeasterly flow prevails Tuesday into the middle of next week. Seas increase to 4 to 8 feet Saturday into Sunday, gradually tapering to 3 to 4 feet by Tuesday. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect from 1am Saturday through 1am Monday. MM/25

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 80 51 75 51 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 79 56 75 57 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 80 55 76 57 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 80 43 74 44 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 81 45 76 43 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 78 44 72 45 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 80 45 76 48 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...High Rip Current Risk from Saturday morning through Monday evening for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk from Saturday morning through Monday evening for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM Saturday to 1 AM CDT Monday for GMZ650-655-670-675.


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