textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 118 AM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

- Dense fog will spread across southeast Mississippi overnight. A Dense Fog Advisory is now in effect through 9 AM Wednesday.

- Near record highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s are expected through late week. With many areas still without power and recovery efforts from Hurricane Isaias ongoing, these temperatures could lead to an increased risk for heat-related illnesses.

- Strong northerly winds develop over the marine area Friday night, becoming easterly and lasting into the weekend. Gale force wind gusts are possible, with conditions posing a hazard to small craft.

UPDATE

Issued at 118 AM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

The latest night fog satellite product is showing areas of fog expanding northeastward across southeast Mississippi, and Mississippi Department of Transportation webcams are confirming dense fog across Stone county. In addition, the latest RAP model is showing this fog spreading across the remainder into SE MS, and continuing through 14z. Therefore, a Dense Fog Advisory has been issued to include all of southeast Mississippi. The NPW has been sent with an expiration time of 9 AM. /22

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1127 PM CDT Tue Oct 13 2026

Dry conditions continue through Monday. Record or near record warm temperatures are expected through at least Thursday, with a cold front sweeping through Friday afternoon into Friday night and ushering in cooler air. Highs will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s Wednesday and Thursday. Highs on Friday are less certain and depend on how quickly the front moves through, and for now am anticipating highs in the mid to upper 80s. Lows tonight, Wednesday night and Thursday night typically range from around 60 well inland to the mid 60s at the coast. Here's a look at the current forecast for highs on Wednesday and Thursday along with the record values:

Wednesday (10/14): Mobile 90, Record 90 Pensacola 89, Record 89

Thursday (10/15): Mobile 88, Record 89 Pensacola 87, Record 89

There is the potential for fog development overnight and possibly Wednesday night. For the rest of tonight, the best potential for fog development looks to be over much of southeast Mississippi and extreme southwest Alabama, though patchy fog will also be possible across the remainder of the area north of the coast. It's possible that a Dense Fog Advisory could become necessary, but will need to monitor at this point. For the upcoming frontal passage late Friday afternoon into Friday night, deep layer moisture continues to look too limited to support precipitation. Lows Friday night range from around 50 well inland to the mid 50s at the coast, then lows Saturday night will be similar except for a bit cooler well inland. Overnight lows then moderate going into Monday night when lows range from the mid/upper 50s inland to the lower 60s closer to the coast. Highs on Saturday range from the upper 60s to lower 70s then trend to the mid 70s to around 80 by Monday. A low risk of rip currents is expected through Saturday. /29

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1127 PM CDT Tue Oct 13 2026

Patchy to areas of fog are possible overnight, particularly across much of southeast Mississippi and extreme southwest Alabama, though will also be possible across the remainder of the area north of the coast. Dense fog development is possible mainly across extreme southeast Mississippi and extreme southwest Alabama. The fog dissipates Tuesday morning leaving VFR conditions which continue through Tuesday evening. Calm or light and variable winds overnight become an easterly to southeasterly flow around 5 knots on Tuesday. /29

MARINE

Issued at 1107 AM CDT Tue Oct 13 2026

A diurnal flow cycle continues through Friday with an offshore flow developing late each night into the morning hours then becoming onshore near the coast during the afternoon. Strong northerly winds are forecast for Friday night as a powerful cold front passes through the region, with gusts to gale force possible. Small craft advisories and gale watches/warnings may be needed in future forecast package updates. Strong easterly winds will become established over the weekend into early next week. MM/25

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 90 64 88 65 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 89 67 87 65 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 87 69 85 67 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 92 61 90 60 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 91 60 89 61 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 91 60 90 60 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 91 62 89 62 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for MSZ067-075- 076-078-079.

GM...None.