textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1236 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

- HIGH risk of rip currents continues through Saturday night for the coastal Alabama and northwest Florida beaches. Surf heights remain 4 to 6 feet through tonight. High surf combined with high tide could lead to overwash and minor inundation issues along the coast this afternoon.

- Small craft conditions continue through this evening. - Rain chances increase this weekend, particularly over the western half of the local area. Heavy rainfall is possible, which could lead to localized flooding concerns.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1054 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

After enjoying our backdoor cold front and residual Cold Air Damming (CAD) we return to the swamp as we head into Saturday and Sunday. A fetch of tropical moisture will move into the region from the south beginning today, overspreading the area tonight through Sunday. This does mean a good chunk of the weekend will feature scattered to numerous showers and storms, but that will likely be primarily confined near and west of the I-65 corridor, with more isolated coverage to the east tonight into Saturday. While the threat for more widespread flash flooding is not currently expected, high PWATs upwards of 2.3" will favor very heavy rainfall with any storms. Latest HREF 6hrly PMM values approach 3 to 5 inches, with 24 hour PMM approaching 5 to 7 inches in spots across southeast Mississippi into far southwestern Alabama Saturday. This could result in some localized flash flooding, particularly in any urban areas or locations that currently have high soil moisture content owing to the past few weeks of heavy rainfall.

We continue to contend with high surf and life threatening rip currents. High surf of 4 to 6 feet will persist through the rest of today into tonight, gradually relaxing as we head into the overnight hours and early Saturday. The High Surf advisory will remain in effect through late tonight for our Alabama and Florida Panhandle beaches. While the current forecast remains below any coastal flood advisory criteria, the combination of high surf and high tide this afternoon may result in minor inundation or overwash of some of our more typical trouble spots across Dauphin Island, Fort Pickens, and northern Mobile Bay. We also continue to deal with numerous strong rip currents. Local beaches continue to fly double red flags signifying the presence of strong rip currents and dangerous surf conditions. Residents and tourists are strongly encouraged to stay out of the surf! The High Risk for rip currents will continue through Saturday night, remaining a high end Moderate risk as we head into Sunday. The risk then quickly drops down to Low for Monday into Tuesday.

After this weekend, we return to a more typical summer-like pattern as rain chances dwindle to at best isolated to scattered any given day and temperatures warm back into the upper 80's and lower 90's, with mid 90's making an appearance once again for some spots as early as Tuesday. MM/25

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1236 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

A general southeast flow is expected through the period. Occasional gusts 20 to 25 knots through the course of the afternoon. Embedded in the southeast flow, passing -shra possible. Lowest cigs generally scattered to upper end broken MVFR bases in the near term. Probabilities of precipitation increase more so during the pre-dawn hours Sat. A prob group for tsra is introduced for MOB/BFM by/after 06/10Z and for JKA/PNS by/after 06.12Z. /10

MARINE

Issued at 1054 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

Moderate to strong southeasterly winds diminish to a moderate flow late tonight into Saturday. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect through through this evening for most of the marine area. A light to moderate southeasterly flow follows for Saturday night through Monday. Light to occasionally moderate flow becomes easterly to southeasterly on Tuesday. Seas of 4 to 7 feet today into tonight gradually relax to 3 to 4 feet by Saturday morning. MM/25

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 73 83 73 85 / 30 80 60 80 Pensacola 75 85 76 86 / 10 50 40 30 Destin 75 86 76 86 / 0 20 10 10 Evergreen 65 88 71 87 / 0 30 10 50 Waynesboro 70 84 73 84 / 10 80 30 90 Camden 66 87 72 84 / 0 30 20 70 Crestview 66 88 71 88 / 0 20 10 20

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday morning for ALZ265-266.

High Surf Advisory until 4 AM CDT Saturday for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday morning for FLZ202-204-206.

High Surf Advisory until 4 AM CDT Saturday for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for GMZ630>634- 655-675.

Small Craft Advisory until midnight CDT tonight for GMZ650-670.