textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1135 PM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

- A strong system could bring gusty winds and strong storms to the area Saturday night into Sunday.

- Strong marine winds are anticipated Saturday night into Sunday night with the potential for occasional gusts to gale force resulting in hazardous boating conditions.

- High Surf may cause issues, particularly in trouble spots across coastal Alabama and the Florida Panhandle with potential for overwash and beach erosion Saturday night into Sunday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1135 PM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

A slightly cooler and drier airmass will move into the area tonight in the wake of a cold front. Above normal temps will continue through the remainder of the week with highs in the low to mid 70s. Moisture levels increase rapidly on Saturday ahead of an approaching cold front. A line of showers and thunderstorms is expected to develop ahead of the front and move across the area Sunday morning. The severe threat remains in question due to weak instability, however plenty of deep layer shear will be present. This will continue to be monitored as an increase in instability levels would lead to a greater severe threat. Windy conditions are expected to develop ahead of the system on Saturday due to an increasing pressure gradient as the sfc low approaches and a strong low level jet develops.

A High Surf Advisory or Warning may be needed this weekend for Saturday night into Sunday as surf heights rapidly increase into the 5 to 9 foot range along coastal Alabama and the Florida Panhandle. In the wake of the system, above normal temps continue through next week. A Low risk of rip currents today becomes a Moderate risk by Thursday and a High risk for Saturday into Sunday. /13

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1135 PM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

VFR to MVFR conditions across the forecast area are expected to become general VFR as a weak cold front moves south across the area and stalls near the coast tonight into early Thursday morning. Northerly winds around 5 knots will follow the front's passage for Thursday, then become light Thursday evening. /16

MARINE

Issued at 1135 PM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

A light to occasionally moderate offshore flow will prevail tonight into Thursday in the wake of a weak cold front. Light onshore flow returns late Friday, becoming moderate Saturday morning and strong Saturday night into Sunday. Occasional gusts to gale force are possible Sunday. A moderate to strong offshore flow becomes established Sunday night in the wake of a cold front, gradually waning to a light to moderate offshore flow by Monday afternoon. /13

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 78 53 73 49 / 20 20 0 0 Pensacola 76 55 71 50 / 30 30 0 0 Destin 68 54 68 51 / 20 30 0 0 Evergreen 77 46 71 42 / 30 30 0 0 Waynesboro 76 47 70 45 / 20 10 0 0 Camden 75 44 67 42 / 40 10 0 0 Crestview 78 49 73 43 / 20 20 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.


IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.

textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.