textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1211 AM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026 - Hot conditions continue through the weekend and into next week. Heat advisories remain in effect through late this afternoon and again Saturday afternoon for high heat indices up to 112. Additional heat advisories will likely be needed.

- A Low risk of rip currents continues through the weekend, with a Moderate risk of rip currents returning for Florida Panhandle beaches on Monday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1201 AM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026

Hot conditions continue through the middle of next week as a strong mid and upper level ridge remains centered just west of the area. The strong subsidence and warm mid level temps under this ridge will continue to limit the development of showers and storms each day, especially across the western half of the area where subsidence will be strongest. The eastern half of the area will see isolated to scattered storms mainly during the afternoon and early evening hours. The hot conditions will create very steep low level lapse rates that are favorable for gusty winds in any stronger storms. Brief heavy rain and frequent lightning can also be expected with the thunderstorms.

Hot and very muggy conditions will be the main impact through the next week with highs in the mid and upper 90s, with a few areas in the 100 to 102 range across southeast Mississippi. These temps combined with high humidity will create heat index values of 108 to 112 in most areas each afternoon with a few areas briefly reaching around 115. A Heat Advisory has been issued for the entire area on Saturday and will likely be needed each day through the middle of next week. Overnight lows will also remain warm and muggy. /13

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1211 AM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026

VFR conditions expected through the forecast. Isolated rainshowers and thunderstorms are possible over and south of the coast starting around sunrise. Local drops to mid level MVFR levels are possible. Afternoon convection is expected, bringing drops in conditions to low end MVFR in the stronger storms, along with locally strong and variable winds. /16

MARINE

Issued at 202 PM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

A light to occasionally moderate southwesterly to westerly flow pattern persists across the marine waters through this weekend, with light to moderate westerly flow becoming established next week. Isolated to potentially scattered showers and storms can be expected each morning with locally higher seas and winds near storms. SS/97

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 76 96 76 96 / 10 50 0 30 Pensacola 79 94 79 95 / 10 30 0 20 Destin 80 93 81 93 / 10 30 0 20 Evergreen 75 97 76 97 / 10 30 0 20 Waynesboro 75 100 73 100 / 10 10 0 20 Camden 75 96 76 97 / 10 10 0 10 Crestview 75 96 76 96 / 10 50 0 30

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM CDT this evening for ALZ051>060-261>266.

FL...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM CDT this evening for FLZ201>206.

MS...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM CDT this evening for MSZ067-075-076-078-079.

GM...None.