textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1236 AM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026 - Another round of minor coastal flooding is likely this morning.
- Dangerous and life-threatening beach conditions will persist through Thursday.
- Heat will build over the weekend into early next week and Heat Advisories or Excessive Heat warnings may become necessary.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1236 AM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026
Tropical Storm Bertha continues to move westward and away from the area. This will continue to take the main effects well away from the area, however a moist southerly flow will continue with isolated to scattered showers possible this afternoon. The highest rain chances will be across northwest areas closer to the influence of a weak upper trough. By the end of the week into the weekend, the upper ridge to the west expands eastward and some dryer air moves into the area. This will lead to lower rain chances and warmer temps. This trend continue into next week with isolated showers and storms possible each day. The main weather story will be the return of high heat indices with high temperatures increasing into the middle to upper 90s and apparent temperatures climbing to between 100-107 over the weekend and 105-112 early in the work week.
A HIGH risk of rip currents continues through Thursday night dropping to Moderate Friday through Sunday. /13
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1106 PM CDT Wed Jul 22 2026
Latest radar trends indicate that most SCT -SHRA activity has pushed east of the area, reveling primarily VFR conditions tonight. Otherwise, onshore winds will remain elevated tonight but is expected to diminish steadily going into the daytime hours with VFR prevailing. KLG
MARINE
Issued at 1236 AM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026
Moderate to strong southerly winds will continue to decrease tonight into Thursday morning. Seas 9 to 12 feet this evening will continue to gradually subside through Thursday night. Light southwesterly to westerly winds begin Thursday night and continue through the weekend. /13
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 77 91 74 94 / 40 20 10 10 Pensacola 80 90 77 93 / 20 10 0 0 Destin 81 89 77 91 / 20 0 0 0 Evergreen 74 93 72 95 / 20 20 0 10 Waynesboro 76 93 74 97 / 30 30 10 10 Camden 75 91 74 92 / 20 30 10 20 Crestview 75 93 71 97 / 20 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...Coastal Flood Advisory until 10 AM CDT Thursday for ALZ263>266.
High Rip Current Risk through late Thursday night for ALZ265-266.
High Surf Warning until 3 PM CDT Thursday for ALZ265-266.
FL...Coastal Flood Advisory until 10 AM CDT Thursday for FLZ202-204- 206.
High Rip Current Risk through late Thursday night for FLZ202-204- 206.
High Surf Warning until 3 PM CDT Thursday for FLZ202-204-206.
MS...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT Thursday for GMZ630>632.
Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM CDT Thursday for GMZ650-655-670- 675.
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