textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1115 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026 - A strong cold front pushes through the area on Thursday, bringing much cooler temperatures. Marine winds will strengthen behind the front along with building seas.

- A light freeze is possible well inland late Friday night and Saturday night, roughly along and north of Highway 84.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1115 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

Rain returns to the forecast today as a shortwave pushes across the area. Light overrunning to start the morning will allow for isolated to scattered showers pushing across the area from west to east. As the shortwave transits the area into the afternoon hours, rain chances increase, particularly nearer the coast. At the moment, any chance for thunder is low but can't rule out a couple rumbles of thunder with more robust convection mid morning into the afternoon hours. Things should dry out fairly quickly in the wake of this system mid to late afternoon, with perhaps a shower or two lingering across areas east of the I-65 corridor through sunset.

A much drier, cooler airmass begins to infiltrate the region from the north in the wake of a powerful cold front Thursday into Friday, with the coldest air of the season looming for Friday night and Saturday night. There is the potential for a frost/freeze those nights, mainly over interior counties near and north of the Highway 84 corridor. Most of the area will see lows in the lower to middle 30's, with upper 30's to lower 40's near the immediate coast. Frost and/or Freeze products may become necessary in future forecast packages for that timeframe. As we head into next week, a large area of high pressure begins to dominate the eastern CONUS with a southern stream shortwave beginning to work its way across the gulf coast states early in the week. There is a lot of variance in the guidance on how this system evolves, but an increase in rain and storm chances is possible early on in the week, particularly if further north solutions on this system come to fruition. The rip current risk remains Low today, becoming a Moderate risk tonight into Thursday. A Low risk returns for area beaches Thursday night into the weekend. MM/25

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1115 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

VFR conditions continue into this morning. Light rain chances begin this morning into the afternoon which could bring ceilings and visibilities down to MVFR, especially in the more intense showers. Otherwise, winds are light and variable overnight and become generally westerly at 5-10 knots by morning and last into the evening. SS/97

MARINE

Issued at 1255 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

High pressure over the area will maintain light winds and calm waves/seas through Wednesday. Winds increase out of the west late Wednesday into early Thursday ahead of an approaching strong cold front, expected to pass the area Thursday morning. This will lead to an increase in offshore moderate to strong flow Thursday and Friday. /13

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 78 54 75 58 / 0 10 30 0 Pensacola 75 58 74 61 / 0 0 20 0 Destin 75 59 73 63 / 10 0 20 0 Evergreen 77 49 72 53 / 0 10 20 0 Waynesboro 78 49 77 53 / 0 0 10 0 Camden 75 47 72 54 / 0 0 10 0 Crestview 78 49 73 54 / 0 0 30 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.