textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 620 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026 - A HIGH RISK of rip currents is expected through Saturday for Alabama and northwest Florida beaches.
- An increasing risk of flash flooding is expected through Friday as periods of showers and storms affect the area.
- Moderate to strong winds will likely create hazardous conditions for small craft from Wednesday night through Thursday night.
..BEACH FORECAST
The rip current risk is now a HIGH for all Florida and Alabama beaches. NWPS shows increasing wave action to 4-6 feet by Wednesday night into Thursday morning which may need a High Surf Advisory in subsequent forecast packages. SS/97
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 620 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026
A steady stream of overcast continues from the Mid-Atlantic to across the deep south to off the TX coast this evening. Although cig bases are at multiple levels, the majority are at VFR categories (mid to high levels) and will continue these into the short term. Will continue to mention a predominant -shra considering radar trends this evening. Deep convection is skirting east northeast over the coastal waters and south of the terminals. These may trend closer to the coast and may impact JKA/PNS by mid to late evening. Will monitor. Next round of tsra looks to come Wed AM between 09/14Z reducing cigs/vsby to MVFR categories. /10
MARINE
Issued at 1213 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026
Light to moderate southwesterly winds gradually trend to a moderate to strong southerly flow by Wednesday night. The onshore flow transitions to a light to moderate southwesterly flow on Friday. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for most of the marine area from Wednesday evening through Thursday night. /29
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 72 86 77 85 / 80 80 80 90 Pensacola 76 87 80 86 / 80 80 60 80 Destin 76 87 80 86 / 90 70 60 90 Evergreen 69 85 75 83 / 60 80 50 90 Waynesboro 70 86 74 82 / 30 60 70 100 Camden 69 84 73 81 / 50 60 40 100 Crestview 71 85 77 84 / 80 80 60 90
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...Flood Watch through Friday evening for ALZ051>060-261>266.
High Rip Current Risk through late Friday night for ALZ265-266.
FL...Flood Watch through Friday evening for FLZ201>206.
High Rip Current Risk through late Friday night for FLZ202-204- 206.
MS...Flood Watch through Friday evening for MSZ067-075-076-078-079.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM Wednesday to 7 AM CDT Friday for GMZ630>632-634-650-655-670-675.
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