textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 633 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026

- Dry weather expected through the weekend.

- Well below normal overnight lows Thursday night. Highs and lows trend warmer and well above normal by early next week.

UPDATE

Issued at 633 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026

No updates are required for tonight's forecast as temperatures in the lower 80s lower into the upper 50s and lower 60s inland, with mid 60s along the coast. A light northerly will continue under clear skies. /22

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1215 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026

Moving into an uneventful weather period. 13.12Z upper air maps indicate a broad upper trof axis is positioned over the eastern US with northwest flow at high levels filtering in a deep layer of drier air. Meanwhile, surface high pressure moves east of the Mississippi River through Thursday before exiting stage right off the Mid-Atlantic coast and into the western Atlantic Saturday. We will remain on the western flank of this ridge into early next week which will result in a more established southerly flow for the latter half of the forecast period. Rain-free conditions look to hold the next several days with small Pops re-entering the forecast late in the forecast, primarily by Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.

Mainly a temperature forecast. Highs in the upper 70's interior to lower half of the 80's coast Thursday will trend warmer with each day thereafter with numbers trending in the mid/upper 80's by early half of next week and a few degrees above normal. A few areas closing in on the 90 degree mark. To close out the week, lows will be cool by mid May standards with Thu night lows the coolest ranging in the lower 50's over the northeast half of the local area and some 6 to 11 degrees below normal. Not out of the question, a few locales may break into the upper 40's Thu night over these areas and may be close to record low territory too. Southwest half generally 57 to 61 Thu. night and around 5 degrees below normal. Overnight lows will then quickly moderate/warm thereafter. Numbers well into the 60's to lower 70's coast by early next week will be well above normal. /10

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 633 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the period along with light northerly winds. /22

MARINE

Issued at 1215 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026

No impacts. High pressure moves east of the Mississippi River through Thursday before moving off the Mid-Atlantic coast and into the western Atlantic Saturday. A light offshore flow through Thursday turns more onshore by Friday afternoon and continues through the weekend. Seas to trend 2 feet or less through much of the period. /10

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 62 83 57 82 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 65 82 61 80 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 66 82 61 79 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 57 80 49 84 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 59 81 54 85 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 58 78 50 82 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 59 83 51 85 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.


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