textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1223 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026
- Moderate to strong northeasterly winds may occasionally create hazardous conditions for small craft mainly well offshore from Wednesday through Saturday.
- A Moderate to High Risk of rip currents is expected for beach areas the rest of the week through the weekend.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1147 AM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026
An upper ridge over the eastern states becomes oriented mostly over the extreme southeast states through Wednesday as a weakening shortwave trof progresses across the interior eastern states. The upper ridge flattens to a zonal flow pattern over the region by Thursday then builds over the area through Friday as a shortwave trof advances into the south central states. The upper trof evolves into a larger feature while progressing across the eastern states through Sunday, then likely moves off into the western Atlantic early next week as a longwave trof advances into the central states. A strong surface ridge persists over the region through Thursday, then gradually shifts east of the area through the remainder of the period, allowing for a prevailing northeasterly surface flow to become easterly to southeasterly this weekend. Dry conditions continue over the area through Friday, then mainly chance pops follow for Saturday and Sunday, with likely pops over interior areas Saturday night. After a long dry spell, beneficial rainfall amounts of 1-2 inches are expected this weekend, with the higher amounts well inland. Dry conditions are anticipated on Monday, then slight chance to chance pops follow for next Tuesday. Highs on Wednesday through next Tuesday will be mostly in the upper 70s to lower 80s. Lows tonight range from the mid/upper 40s well inland to the mid/upper 50s at the coast then trend warmer through Saturday night to range from the lower 60s well inland to the mid/upper 60s at the coast. Lows Sunday night and Monday night tend to range from the upper 50s well inland to the mid 60s at the coast. A moderate risk of rip currents is expected through Thursday, with a High Risk for Friday. A moderate risk follows for Saturday. /29
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1225 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026
VFR conditions will prevail through the period. Rather tranquil flying conditions over the next 24 hours as a progressive high pressure gives way to subtle southwesterly flow aloft. This will aid in a slight uptick for mid and upper-level cloud coverage, but also keep relatively calm easterly surface winds that will fluctuate from ESE to NE throughout the night and tomorrow morning for much of the area.
KL/31
MARINE
Issued at 1147 AM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026
Light to moderate northeasterly winds prevail through Thursday, occasionally becoming stronger well offshore. A moderate to occasionally strong and mostly easterly flow follows for Friday through Saturday. Small craft may need to occasionally exercise caution well offshore Wednesday through Thursday, then a Small Craft Advisory may become necessary mainly well offshore from Friday through Saturday. /29
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 52 81 53 81 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 59 80 61 81 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 61 81 63 82 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 45 79 48 80 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 47 80 45 81 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 46 76 46 78 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 48 81 53 82 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.
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