textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 516 AM CST Wed Feb 25 2026

- A HIGH risk of rip currents will return along the beaches Thursday and Friday and create dangerous swimming conditions.

- Above normal temperatures have returned through Tuesday, with the next best chances for rain occurring late Thursday afternoon into Friday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1204 AM CST Wed Feb 25 2026

Dry weather conditions today give way to scattered to numerous showers and storms Thursday into Friday as a weak cold front pushes across the area. This system will bring mostly beneficial rain to the area with no expectation for any strong to severe storms at this time. Temperatures will remain above normal throughout the entire forecast with highs in the lower to middle 70's this week ultimately giving way to upper 70's and lower 80's this weekend into early next week. Overnight lows in the upper 50's and lower 60's the next couple nights will see a brief dip Friday night and Saturday night in the wake of the cold front into the upper 40's and lower 50's. They slowly rebound as we head into next week.

While the rip current forecast continues to advertise a Moderate risk, it is possible the risk increases if onshore winds are slightly stronger than currently expected today. At a minimum, the risk increases as we head into tonight and Thursday, becoming a High risk through Friday. Given this, a High Risk of rip currents has been issued with this forecast package. The rip current risk gradually decreases in the wake of the cold front back to a Moderate risk by Friday night and a Low Risk for Saturday. MM/25

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 516 AM CST Wed Feb 25 2026

VFR conditions prevail. South-southwesterly winds increase throughout the morning with gusts of 20-25 knots expected this afternoon at the terminals. 07/mob

MARINE

Issued at 1204 AM CST Wed Feb 25 2026

Moderate onshore flow continues through Thursday. Small Craft should exercise caution through Thursday over the open gulf waters. Light offshore flow prevails in the wake of a cold front Friday into Saturday. Light to occasionally moderate easterly to southeasterly flow prevails Sunday into early next week. MM/25

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 73 60 76 59 / 0 10 20 70 Pensacola 71 62 74 62 / 0 10 30 70 Destin 69 61 72 61 / 10 20 50 70 Evergreen 73 55 77 56 / 0 10 40 90 Waynesboro 72 57 75 56 / 0 10 60 90 Camden 72 57 74 55 / 0 10 60 90 Crestview 73 56 78 59 / 0 20 40 80

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...High Rip Current Risk from Thursday morning through Friday afternoon for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk from Thursday morning through Friday afternoon for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None. GM...None.


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