textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1105 AM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

- Strong winds will create hazardous conditions for small craft today. Winds will pick up once again on Friday.

- Wind chills by daybreak this morning will drop into the upper teens to low to mid 20s.

- A Moderate Rip Current Risk is in place for our Florida beaches on Friday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1201 AM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

Cool, dry air continues to filter into the local area this morning as high pressure builds in behind a cold front which passed through yesterday afternoon. Most areas are currently in the upper 30s to low 40s at issuance time. As skies begin to clear out, expect temperatures to continue to drop over the next few hours, with temperatures bottoming out in the upper 20s inland to the low to mid 30s closer to the coast. Factoring in continued breezy conditions, wind chills by daybreak should generally be in the low to mid 20s. A Cold Weather Advisory remains in effect for coastal zones through 8 AM. Highs today will only top out in the upper 40s to low 50s

Northwesterly flow aloft will continue through early next week as our local area remains in between an upper-level trough over the eastern US/western Atlantic and an upper ridge over the central US. A strong shortwave, embedded within the northwesterly flow aloft, will pass across the Mid Atlantic states Friday night into Saturday. This will allow for a cold front to push into our area from the northeast. With how quick this trough will be moving, the front may stall out and wash out over our coastal counties on Saturday. By Sunday, high pressure will build in across the northeast Gulf, allowing for a light onshore wind to develop. This will help to give way to increasing temperatures for early next week. We will likely remain dry through most of the period, although rain chances may increase by midweek as a southern stream trough approaches from the west.

After another cold night tonight, with lows once again ranging from the upper 20s to the mid 30s, temperatures will quickly rebound on Friday, with highs topping out in the mid to upper 60s and lows in the upper 30s to low 40s. Depending on how far south the aforementioned cold front makes it on Saturday, highs will generally range from the mid to upper 50s north of the boundary to the low to mid 60s south of the boundary. Lows Saturday night drop into the 30s areawide. Our expected warmup then commences on Sunday and especially into early next week, with highs by Tuesday reaching the mid to upper 70s and lows in the mid to upper 50s. These warmer temperatures, along with light onshore winds and higher humidity values, may lead to sea fog concerns next week. We'll keep an eye on trends over the coming days. The rip current risk should remain low for much of the period, although a brief bump to moderate is possible over our Florida beaches Friday afternoon and into Friday night. /96

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1105 AM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

VFR conditions will persist with a strong northwesterly wind around 15 knots gusting to 25 knots. Winds will diminish overnight and turn westerly through tomorrow. BB-8

MARINE

Issued at 1201 AM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

Moderate to strong northwesterly flow will continue through this afternoon. Winds reduce slightly for tonight before becoming a moderate to strong westerly flow for Friday. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect through this evening. A second advisory will likely be needed for Friday. Winds turn back to an offshore flow by Saturday and weaken. Light onshore flow returns for Sunday and into early next week. /96

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 34 68 43 64 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 37 65 45 63 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 38 64 44 62 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 30 66 37 60 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 32 67 39 59 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 30 64 37 57 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 29 66 38 64 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until noon CST today for GMZ630>636-650-655.

Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM CST this evening for GMZ670-675.