textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 104 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

- Cold temperatures in the lower to middle 20s will occur late tonight into early Monday morning.

- Low water levels across most bays and sounds, especially Mobile Bay, will continue through mid-afternoon today. Hazardous marine conditions will likely occur Wednesday afternoon through Thursday behind the passage of the next strong cold front.

- A Moderate Rip Current Risk will occur Tuesday night through Wednesday as southwesterly winds increase over the Gulf.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 104 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

A Cold Weather Advisory has been issued for Coastal Alabama and northwest Florida from 11 PM this evening to 9 AM Monday for temperatures ranging from 20 to 25 degrees. Surface high pressure centered over the northwest Gulf this evening will move slowly eastward over the forecast area late tonight through Monday morning. As the high moves further east, light surface winds will shift to southwesterly Monday afternoon through Tuesday night, bringing a moderation in temperatures. Sub-freezing temperatures will cease to exist Monday, with highs on Tuesday soaring into the middle to upper 60s. Zonal flow aloft will return Monday night as the longwave trough advances eastward over the Atlantic, followed by southwesterly flow by midweek as a shortwave approaches our region from the northwest. A surface low will pass north of the area across the Tennessee and Ohio River regions on Tuesday, with an associated cold front expected to pass through late Tuesday night through Wednesday morning. These features, along with an increase in atmospheric moisture, will bring numerous to widespread showers through the area Tuesday night. Most of these showers will be southeast of the I-65 corridor by Wednesday morning, and taper off from northwest to southeast in the afternoon. Dry weather conditions are expected through the remainder of the forecast. There will be a brief drop in temperatures Wednesday night through Thursday night in the wake of the front, but highs Friday and Saturday are expected to rebound into the lower to middle 60s.

Beach Forecast: A LOW risk of rip currents will occur through Tuesday afternoon, briefly becoming MODERATE Tuesday night through Wednesday afternoon. The MODERATE risk may linger through Wednesday night for the Florida beaches. /22

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1226 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

VFR flight category will prevail through Monday morning. Winds out of the northwest around 10 knots with occasional gusts to 20 knots this afternoon relax to 5 knots or less tonight.

MARINE

Issued at 104 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

A Small Craft Advisory may be required Wednesday afternoon through Thursday behind the passage of the next strong cold front. Ahead of the front, light northwesterly winds tonight become a westerly on Monday and then southwesterly on Tuesday, with winds increasing to moderate over the Gulf Tuesday night. /22

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 25 57 40 67 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 28 55 43 65 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 31 54 45 65 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 23 57 33 67 / 0 0 0 10 Waynesboro 23 58 35 67 / 0 0 0 20 Camden 22 56 35 65 / 0 0 0 20 Crestview 20 57 34 67 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...Cold Weather Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 9 AM CST Monday for ALZ263>266.

FL...Cold Weather Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 9 AM CST Monday for FLZ201>206.

MS...None. GM...None.