textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 614 PM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026

- Moderate to strong northeast winds will may create hazardous conditions for small craft well offshore through this evening, and again over most of the marine area Friday night into this weekend.

- A High Risk of dangerous rip currents at area beaches is in effect through tonight.

- Dry conditions continue through the forecast period.

UPDATE

Issued at 614 PM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026

Forecast on track, with no updates planned at this time. /16

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1113 AM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026

A highly amplified pattern evolves over the CONUS through Wednesday and Thursday as a large upper trof develops over the easternmost states down into the eastern Gulf and a large upper ridge builds over the central states. The upper ridge advances into the eastern states this weekend as the upper trof moves into the far western Atlantic, just off the East Coast. A surface ridge generally persists over the eastern states through much of the period, with the pressure gradient tightening over the extreme southeast states this weekend as a surface low develops in the vicinity of the Bahamas. Deep layer moisture remains limited through the period and have continued with dry conditions through this weekend and early next week. Highs on Tuesday will be in the mid 70s to lower 80s then trend to mostly range from the upper 70s to lower 80s by Wednesday, with similar values following through Monday of next week. Lows tonight range from the mid 40s well inland to the mid 50s at the coast, and lows each night through Sunday night will be similar, although well inland lows may be closer to mid/upper 40s. A High Risk of rip currents continues through tonight, then a moderate risk follows for Tuesday and Tuesday night. A low risk of rip currents develops Wednesday into Wednesday night and continues into Thursday. A moderate risk of rip currents is expected for Friday. /29

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 614 PM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026

VFR conditions expected through the forecast with northeasterly winds less than 10 knots, around 10 knots along the coast. /16

MARINE

Issued at 1113 AM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026

Moderate to occasionally strong northeasterly winds will slowly decrease through tonight. Small craft should exercise caution well offshore this afternoon into this evening. A light to moderate northeasterly flow will prevail beginning Tuesday, then a moderate to strong easterly to northeasterly flow develops Friday night. A Small Craft Advisory will likely become necessary from Friday night on into the weekend. /29

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 51 77 50 79 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 54 77 54 78 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 55 77 57 79 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 44 77 46 79 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 45 78 46 81 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 43 75 46 77 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 47 77 46 79 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 AM CDT Tuesday for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 AM CDT Tuesday for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None. GM...None.