textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 626 AM CDT Tue Jul 21 2026 - Tropical Storm Warning for coastal zones and nearshore waters of Alabama and all offshore waters. Tropical Storm Watch in effect for coastal zones and nearshore waters of Florida. Storm Surge Watch in effect for coastal Alabama. Locally heavy rainfall may be possible near the coast through mid week.

- Dangerous and life-threatening beach conditions expected through mid week. High risk of rip currents for the western Florida Panhandle and Alabama beaches through Thursday. High Surf Warning in effect starting Tuesday afternoon into early evening along all beaches.

- Heat Advisory in effect for southeast Mississippi until 7 pm Tuesday.

UPDATE

Issued at 626 AM CDT Tue Jul 21 2026

Bands of rain swirling around the north side of Bertha are approaching the northern Gulf coast at sunrise. These will move onshore today, with greatest coverage expected to remain south of Highway 84 as Bertha moves west-northwest. Nearby dry air and wind shear is expected to help limit Bertha's strengthening. Looking at the grids, greatest impacts are expected to be along and near the coast. No updates needed at this time. /16

..BEACH FORECAST

Dangerous and life-threatening beach conditions are expected through mid week. The rip current risk is now a HIGH for our Florida and Alabama beaches and will last through at least Thursday. Guidance shows increasing surf above 5 feet by Tuesday morning and quickly rises through the evening to peak at 10 and potentially up to 12 feet by Tuesday evening. A High Surf Warning has been issued for all coastal areas for surf heights up to 11 feet beginning Tuesday morning for Florida beaches and Tuesday afternoon for Alabama beaches.

SS/97

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 626 AM CDT Tue Jul 21 2026

Effects of Bertha passing south of the forecast area later today through tonight are expected to range from low end MVFR with strong winds over our coastal continues to VFR along and north of Highway 84. Strongest winds are expected along and south of I-10, with strong easterly winds, tapering to around 10 knots north of Highway 84. TAF sites are expected to be affected by Bertha's passing. /16

MARINE

Issued at 207 AM CDT Tue Jul 21 2026

Tropical Storm Bertha is located approximately 200 miles southeast of Mobile with maximum sustained winds of 50 mph. The system will gradually turn west and move along the coast in the offshore waters through Wednesday. Tropical storm force winds will impact the Gulf waters Tuesday morning through Wednesday evening. Waves with this system peak at 10 to 15 feet Tuesday morning through Wednesday evening before subsiding. As the system departs Wednesday night, light southerly to southwesterly winds continue through the weekend. SS/97

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 93 76 93 77 / 40 40 60 50 Pensacola 89 78 90 79 / 70 70 50 50 Destin 87 80 89 80 / 90 70 50 50 Evergreen 91 74 92 74 / 50 20 40 20 Waynesboro 96 75 96 76 / 0 10 20 20 Camden 92 75 93 75 / 20 20 20 20 Crestview 89 75 91 76 / 80 60 60 30

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...Tropical Storm Warning for ALZ263>266.

High Rip Current Risk through late Thursday night for ALZ265-266.

Storm Surge Watch for ALZ265-266.

High Surf Warning from 7 PM this evening to 6 AM CDT Thursday for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through late Thursday night for FLZ202-204- 206.

Tropical Storm Watch for FLZ202-204-206.

High Surf Warning from 1 PM this afternoon to 6 AM CDT Thursday for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for MSZ067-075-076-078- 079.

GM...Tropical Storm Warning for GMZ630>633-650-670-675.

Tropical Storm Watch for GMZ634>636-655.


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