textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1141 AM CST Thu Dec 25 2025

- Dense fog will reduce visibilities across the area each night through the weekend. Dense marine fog will also persist through the remainder of the week.

- Well above average temperatures are expected to continue through the remainder of Christmas week and into the weekend. A strong cold front brings an end to this warmth Sunday night, with A Cold Weather Advisory potentially being needed for Monday night and Tuesday night.

- Strong winds over the marine area may create hazardous conditions for small craft Monday into Tuesday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1141 AM CST Thu Dec 25 2025

Lingering dense fog over southeast Mississippi and portions of southwest Alabama will burn off shortly. The setup for advective fog development remains in place, and expect the return of widespread dense fog to develop again across the area this evening. The fog dissipates mid to late Friday morning, then a repeat event is possible again Friday night into Saturday morning, and even Saturday night into Sunday morning. A positively tilted upper trof advances across the western and central states this weekend, then takes on a meridional orientation while progressing into the interior eastern states on Monday. An associated surface low well off to the north brings a strong cold front through the forecast area on Monday. After an unseasonably warm period with highs in the 70s and lows in the 50s, this cold front will bring a huge change, with highs on Tuesday just in the 40s and cold nights for Monday night and Tuesday night. Lows Monday night range from mid/upper 20s well inland to the mid 30s at the coast, then lows Tuesday night range from the lower/mid 20s inland to around 30 at the coast. The only rain chances of the entire forecast are mainly chance pops Sunday night into Monday (potentially small pops near the coast Monday evening), and instability will be limited so have just gone with showers for now. Will need to continue to monitor for the potential of a Cold Weather Advisory becoming necessary from late Monday night into early Tuesday morning when apparent temperature values drop to the teens well inland to the lower 20s closer to the coast. Apparent temperature values late Tuesday night could approach Cold Weather Advisory criteria and will be monitored. Cool temperatures continue through the remainder of the forecast, with lows Wednesday night ranging from the mid 20s well inland to the mid 30s at the coast, and highs on Thursday will be in the 50s. A low risk of rip currents is expected through Tuesday, except for a moderate risk on Monday. /29

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1141 AM CST Thu Dec 25 2025

VLIFR conditions in dense fog is expected to redevelop across the area this evening and persist until lifting Friday morning. Light and variable wins become southwesterly 5-10 knots this afternoon, with a southwesterly flow at 5 knots or less expected tonight. /29

MARINE

Issued at 1141 AM CST Thu Dec 25 2025

Dense sea fog will continue to develop each night through the remainder of the week across bays, sounds, and nearshore Gulf waters, and may persist well into the afternoon in some portions. A mostly light westerly to southwesterly flow becomes southerly on Sunday. A strong northwest flow develops Monday as a cold front moves through. A Small Craft Advisory will likely become necessary for most of the marine area on Monday into Tuesday. /29

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 56 74 59 76 / 0 10 10 10 Pensacola 57 72 61 73 / 0 0 10 10 Destin 58 70 61 72 / 0 0 10 10 Evergreen 52 75 57 76 / 0 0 10 10 Waynesboro 54 75 58 77 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 53 74 57 76 / 0 0 10 10 Crestview 51 74 56 76 / 0 0 10 10

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...Dense Fog Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 10 AM CST Friday for ALZ051>060-261>266.

FL...Dense Fog Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 10 AM CST Friday for FLZ201>206.

MS...Dense Fog Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 10 AM CST Friday for MSZ067-075-076-078-079.

GM...Dense Fog Advisory until noon CST today for GMZ630-633>636-655.

Dense Fog Advisory from 9 PM this evening to noon CST Friday for GMZ630-633>636-655.

Dense Fog Advisory until noon CST Friday for GMZ631-632-650.