textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 705 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026 - Moderate Risk of Flash Flooding today for much of the local area which lessens to Slight Risk on Saturday. - There remains a HIGH RISK of rip currents through Saturday for Alabama and northwest Florida beaches.

- A Heat Advisory has been issued for southern portions of the area today.

MESOSCALE UPDATE

Issued at 705 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

The central Gulf coast remains in chaotic weather pattern with a summer-time high CAPE (SB CAPES 3000-5000 J/KG)/Low Shear (<30 kts) environment and deep moisture with PWAT's 2.0-2.2" contributing to scattered to numerous showers and a few thunderstorms carrying over into the evening. At the same time, the driving force for convective initiation is interaction of numerous mesoscale boundaries. The strongest of storms have been prolific lightning and locally heavy rainfall producers. A few storms this evening could be strong to briefly severe. Although the areal flash flood watch has expired, forecasters will handle any problematic/slow moving heavy rain rate storms with targeted short fused flood advisories and/or flash flood warnings as needed. /10

..BEACH FORECAST

Hazardous beach conditions continue today with lingering impacts from the departing system. All area beaches are flying double red flags again today. The rip current risk is still a HIGH for all Florida and Alabama beaches through Saturday afternoon, becoming moderate through Monday. NWPS shows breakers of 5-6 feet through early evening, especially for our Florida beaches. A High Surf Advisory remains in effect through Friday evening for our Gulf coastline.

SS/97

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 629 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

Scattered to numerous shra/few tsra continues over the region this evening. Cigs lower to MVFR categories and vsby briefly down LIFR in the strongest convection. A diurnal decrease in activity is anticipated as we go into the night with an uptick in coverages again Saturday. Cigs/vsby lowering in and near tsra and brief strong convective wind gusts. /10

MARINE

Issued at 328 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

Small Craft Should Exercise Caution on the Gulf this morning. Light to occasional moderate mainly southwesterly flow will occur through early next week shifting to a more westerly component on Tuesday. Seas around 6 feet this morning will slowly subside to 2 to 3 feet by the end of the week. /22

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 76 89 75 88 / 50 70 30 30 Pensacola 78 89 78 89 / 50 70 30 30 Destin 78 87 78 87 / 50 60 30 40 Evergreen 72 85 72 88 / 50 80 30 70 Waynesboro 73 86 73 88 / 60 90 40 60 Camden 71 83 71 86 / 40 90 30 70 Crestview 74 88 73 89 / 60 80 30 60

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...High Rip Current Risk through Saturday afternoon for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Saturday afternoon for FLZ202-204- 206.

MS...None. GM...None.