textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1118 PM CST Sun Nov 8 2026

- Patchy frost is possible late tonight into early Monday morning for northern areas. - A strong cold front pushes through the area on Thursday, bringing much cooler temperatures. Marine winds will strengthen behind the front along with building seas.

- A light freeze is possible well inland late Friday night and Saturday night, roughly along and north of Highway 84.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1033 PM CST Sun Nov 8 2026

An upper low centered near southwest Texas has been sending abundant cirriform cloudiness downstream across much of the forecast area. A Frost Advisory remains in effect from 2 am until 8 am Monday for the northern portion of the forecast area, although it's possible that this upper level cloudiness may make it difficult for temperatures to get cold enough for frost to develop. It's not yet clear from the current temperature trends how this will play out, so have opted to leave the advisory as is for now and let the next shift reassess. The upper low shears out Monday into Tuesday followed by a rather large and deep upper trof developing over the eastern half of the CONUS which brings a strong cold front through the forecast area on Thursday. Temperatures moderate ahead of the approaching front, with highs trending to the mid to upper 70s for Tuesday and Wednesday, and overnight lows trending to the 50s by Wednesday night. The cold front ushers in much cooler air with lows by Friday night and Saturday night ranging from the lower 30s well inland to the lower 40s at the immediate coast. This could bring a light freeze to roughly Highway 84 northward both Friday night and Saturday night. Dry conditions are expected through the period as deep layer moisture remains too limited to support precipitation. A low risk of rip currents is expected through Thursday, except for a moderate risk returning to the western Florida panhandle beaches on Thursday. /29

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1118 PM CST Sun Nov 8 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the period with generally light northerly winds less than 10 knots, becoming light and variable by early evening. JGC/98

MARINE

Issued at 318 PM CST Sun Nov 8 2026

Light northerly to northeasterly winds will continue into Tuesday becoming light and variable Tuesday afternoon as a high pressure system moves over the Gulf waters. A light northerly flow will resume by late Tuesday night shifting to light westerly Wednesday afternoon. This westerly flow will increase to moderate by late Wednesday night as a strong cold front approaches from the north, followed by a moderate to strong offshore flow Thursday and Friday in the wake of the cold front with gusts up to 30 knots. Waves/seas respond reaching 2-3ft for protected waters, 3-4ft for nearshore Gulf zones and 4-7 ft for outer Gulf zones. Winds and wave/seas taper going into next weekend. /22

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 71 45 74 48 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 71 53 74 55 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 73 54 75 56 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 70 38 73 41 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 70 38 74 43 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 68 36 71 40 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 73 40 75 42 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST Monday for ALZ051>058.

FL...None. MS...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST Monday for MSZ067.

GM...None.


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