textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 205 PM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026
- Increasing concern for heavy rainfall leading to flash flooding this weekend with multiple rounds of showers and storms, especially near the coast.
- HIGH risk of life-threatening rip currents for coastal Alabama and northwest Florida beaches through at least Monday.
- Minor coastal flooding is expected during early morning high tide cycles this weekend with water levels up to 2 feet above normally dry ground.
..BEACH FORECAST
Hazardous beach conditions continue with all area beaches flying red flags today. The rip current risk continues to be HIGH for all beaches in southern Alabama and the northwest Florida Panhandle. The HIGH risk continues to Sunday night then drops to a MODERATE through Tuesday before increasing again around Wednesday night. Increased surf up to 3-4 feet continues into the beginning of next week and by mid week may further increase towards High Surf Advisory criteria.
SS/97
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1226 PM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026
Main impacts this afternoon/evening will continue to be periods/squalls of SHRA/TSRA introducing periodic lower VIS/CIGs reducing flight categories at times. Timed best approximated windows for area TAF sites mainly this afternoon, but already continuing to impact a few terminals early this afternoon. Outside of this activity, impacts will be limited to breezy mainly east to southeasterly winds a times, higher along the coast. KLG
MARINE
Issued at 205 PM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026
Moderate to occasionally strong southeasterly flow continues into Sunday. Winds relax by Monday morning and then become strong and turn northerly to northeasterly behind a cold front on Tuesday. Advisory level conditions are possible Tuesday through Thursday as we get strong easterly winds.Seas increase to 3-5 feet late week into early this weekend with another bump to 5-8 feet possible in the middle of next week with the increasing winds. SS/97
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 72 82 71 82 / 60 90 80 90 Pensacola 75 83 74 82 / 60 90 80 100 Destin 75 84 74 83 / 50 90 80 100 Evergreen 68 85 68 80 / 20 70 80 90 Waynesboro 69 84 69 79 / 20 70 80 90 Camden 69 87 69 78 / 20 50 80 90 Crestview 69 84 70 80 / 20 90 80 100
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...Coastal Flood Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM CDT Saturday for ALZ263>266.
High Rip Current Risk through Monday evening for ALZ265-266.
FL...Coastal Flood Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM CDT Saturday for FLZ202-204-206.
High Rip Current Risk through Monday evening for FLZ202-204-206.
MS...None. GM...None.
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