textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 635 AM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026 - Hot conditions continue through the weekend and into next week. Heat advisories remain in effect through late this afternoon and again Saturday afternoon for high heat indices up to 112. Additional heat advisories will likely be needed.

- A Low risk of rip currents continues through the weekend, with a Moderate risk of rip currents returning for Florida Panhandle beaches on Monday.

UPDATE

Issued at 635 AM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026

No updates planned at this time. /16

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1201 AM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026

Hot conditions continue through the middle of next week as a strong mid and upper level ridge remains centered just west of the area. The strong subsidence and warm mid level temps under this ridge will continue to limit the development of showers and storms each day, especially across the western half of the area where subsidence will be strongest. The eastern half of the area will see isolated to scattered storms mainly during the afternoon and early evening hours. The hot conditions will create very steep low level lapse rates that are favorable for gusty winds in any stronger storms. Brief heavy rain and frequent lightning can also be expected with the thunderstorms.

Hot and very muggy conditions will be the main impact through the next week with highs in the mid and upper 90s, with a few areas in the 100 to 102 range across southeast Mississippi. These temps combined with high humidity will create heat index values of 108 to 112 in most areas each afternoon with a few areas briefly reaching around 115. A Heat Advisory has been issued for the entire area on Saturday and will likely be needed each day through the middle of next week. Overnight lows will also remain warm and muggy. /13

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 635 AM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026

MARINE

Issued at 156 AM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026

A light to occasionally moderate diurnal flow pattern persists across the marine waters into the coming week, with light to moderate westerly flow becoming established by mid week. Isolated to scattered showers and storms can be expected each morning. No impacts expected other than locally higher winds and seas possible near thunderstorms. /16

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 97 77 98 77 / 30 10 20 0 Pensacola 95 80 96 80 / 30 10 30 0 Destin 93 82 94 82 / 30 10 30 0 Evergreen 98 76 99 76 / 40 10 10 0 Waynesboro 99 76 99 74 / 10 10 0 0 Camden 97 76 99 77 / 20 10 0 0 Crestview 97 76 98 76 / 50 10 40 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM CDT this evening for ALZ051>060-261>266.

FL...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM CDT this evening for FLZ201>206.

MS...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM CDT this evening for MSZ067-075-076-078-079.

GM...None.