textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 155 AM CDT Tue Sep 8 2026
- Moderate risk of rip currents today and Wednesday for coastal Alabama and northwest Florida beaches.
- Increasing chances for showers and storms late this week into the weekend with potential for locally heavy rainfall.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1058 PM CDT Mon Sep 7 2026
A much tamer pattern sets up for the next couple days as drier air filters into the area. Overall temperatures will be closer to seasonable norms with highs in the upper 80's to lower 90's and lows in the lower to middle 70's. Rain chances will be minimal the next couple days, with perhaps an isolated shower or storm across southeast Mississippi today. With increasing easterly flow along the coast the rip current risk increases to a Moderate risk Tuesday into Wednesday, gradually relaxing back to a Low risk for Thursday into the weekend.
The latter part of the week we will see a pattern change with upper troughing gradually pushing into the region and upper ridging breaking down. This will allow for scattered to numerous showers and storms to return to the forecast areawide each afternoon into the weekend. With deep layer moisture increasing and much higher PWATs settling in, we'll likely see storms that are efficient rainfall producers. While there isn't a clear signal for any potential of flash flooding, I can't rule out isolated instances of flooding where any storms can train or sit over the same areas for prolonged periods. MM/25
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 155 AM CDT Tue Sep 8 2026
Expect VFR conditions for all area terminals through the daybreak and morning period. Will monitor for possible isolated SHRA across KJKA early this morning, but will be a small/brief window. Otherwise, mainly dry through the afternoon with the exception of an isolated TSRA/SHRA for areas mainly west into Mississippi or along the coast, then turning overall dry tonight with VFR prevailing. KLG
MARINE
Issued at 1058 PM CDT Mon Sep 7 2026
LIght to moderate easterly flow becomes established overnight tonight through Wednesday. Small craft should exercise caution through early this afternoon and again Wednesday morning into early Wednesday afternoon. Light to occasionally moderate onshore flow returns for the rest of the week into the weekend. Seas increase to around 2 to 3 feet today, relaxing back to 1 to 2 feet late Wednesday through the rest of the week. Waterspouts are possible early each morning. MM/25
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 90 74 90 73 / 10 10 30 10 Pensacola 90 77 90 77 / 10 10 20 20 Destin 91 77 90 78 / 10 10 30 30 Evergreen 93 72 94 71 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 94 72 95 72 / 10 0 0 0 Camden 93 73 94 72 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 92 73 92 73 / 0 0 20 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.
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