textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1245 AM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026 - A Moderate Risk of rip currents will continue through tonight for all area beaches.

- Drier air filtering into the area will lower rain chances through Tuesday.

- Heat indices will increase the latter half of the week, reaching between 100-107 degrees Thursday into the weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1245 AM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

The cold front that passed through the forecast area on Sunday has moved off the coast as weak surface high pressure builds into the region from the west. The boundary will then waver along the coast as a sea-breeze pushes slightly inland by late this afternoon and then south of the coast by Tuesday morning due to developing land- breeze. Weak synoptic low-level flow continues through Tuesday, but the sea-breeze should push as far north as Highway-84 by early Tuesday evening. A more established southerly flow will occur on Wednesday along the westerly periphery of a high pressure area setting up to our east. The upper trough currently stretching from the eastern Great Lakes to the northern Gulf will slowly push eastward with the axis exiting our area by the end of the day. We still expect this trough to dissipate tonight with an upper cutoff low being left behind centered over northern Georgia that will slowly lift northward over the Tennessee Valley into midweek.

A very dry airmass above 700 mb will continue to filter in from the north-northwest resulting in mainly dry conditions today and Tuesday. However, with moisture lingering below 700 mb through midweek, isolated late afternoon and evening showers and a few storms remain possible across our coastal areas due to low-level forcing along the sea-breeze and across our eastern zones in closer proximity to the upper low. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will return Wednesday afternoon, mainly along and east of I-65 as we return to a diurnal convective pattern. High temperatures today in the upper 80s to lower 90s will warm into the lower to middle 90s Tuesday through the remainder of the week. Apparent temperatures (heat indices) will increase each day as surface boundary moisture is pulled northward from the Gulf, reaching between 100-107 degrees Thursday into the weekend, but should remain below Heat Advisory criteria.

Beach Forecast: A Moderate Risk of Rip Currents through tonight will become Low Tuesday through Thursday. /22

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1245 AM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through Monday evening. Calm or light and variable winds overnight become northwesterly around 5 knots over interior areas on Monday, while closer to the coast a southwesterly flow at 5-10 knots develops in the afternoon. /29

MARINE

Issued at 149 PM CDT Sun Aug 2 2026

Moderate westerly to southwesterly winds gradually weaken tonight, briefly becoming northwesterly to westerly. Small Craft should exercise caution over the Gulf waters this afternoon and into the evening hours. A light to moderate westerly to southwesterly flow develops on Monday, becoming more southerly by Wednesday. Light to moderate southeasterly to easterly flow develops for the latter part of the week. /96

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 91 72 93 74 / 10 10 20 0 Pensacola 90 76 91 77 / 10 10 20 0 Destin 89 77 89 78 / 10 0 10 0 Evergreen 90 69 92 71 / 10 0 10 0 Waynesboro 92 70 94 71 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 89 70 90 71 / 10 10 10 0 Crestview 91 70 92 71 / 10 10 30 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 AM CDT early this morning for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 AM CDT early this morning for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None. GM...None.