textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 656 PM CDT Tue Sep 15 2026

- A High Risk of rip currents is expected for Wednesday and Thursday. A High Surf Advisory may also become necessary as surf heights near 5 feet.

- Moderate to strong easterly winds will create hazardous conditions for small craft over the open Gulf from late tonight through Thursday.

UPDATE

Issued at 656 PM CDT Tue Sep 15 2026

The forecast remains on track and no updates are needed. SS/97

DISCUSSION

Issued at 231 PM CDT Tue Sep 15 2026

A strong upper level ridge over the southeast states will move slowly west through the week. Meanwhile, sfc high pressure will build southward across the mid-Atlantic states. The resultant easterly flow will bring some drier air into the area through the end of the week. Highs will remain in the low to mid 90s, however humidity levels will be much lower. This will keep heat index values in check through this week. The combination of subsidence from the ridge and a drier airmass will keep most areas dry through Friday. An upper low/weak sfc trough moving westward across the northern Gulf late this week into the weekend will bring moisture back into the area, bring scattered showers and thunderstorms back into the area for the weekend into early next week.

A High Risk of rip currents can be expected Wednesday through Thursday at area beaches as easterly flow increases. Surf heights will increase to 4 to 5 feet as well and a high surf advisory may be required. /13

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 656 PM CDT Tue Sep 15 2026

VFR conditions prevail through the evening with light southeasterly winds becoming light and variable after sunset. Some MVFR ceilings may reach inland along the coast, especially during the predawn to sunrise hours. Winds increase from east to west by dawn to 10-15 knots and prevail easterly. Expect wind gusts up to 25 knots, especially along the coast and marine areas. There is low confidence in isolated showers and thunderstorms along the coast and offshore in the morning. SS/97

MARINE

Issued at 231 PM CDT Tue Sep 15 2026

Light to moderate easterly to southeasterly flow becomes strong Wednesday into Thursday. Winds relax to light to occasionally moderate easterlies to end the week. Seas increase to 4 to 7 feet on Wednesday. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for the marine waters late tonight through Thursday afternoon. /13

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 75 91 71 90 / 10 10 0 0 Pensacola 77 91 74 90 / 10 0 0 0 Destin 78 92 74 90 / 10 0 0 0 Evergreen 74 93 67 91 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 73 95 69 94 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 74 93 68 92 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 74 91 69 90 / 10 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...High Rip Current Risk from Wednesday morning through Thursday evening for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk from Wednesday morning through Thursday evening for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM Wednesday to 4 PM CDT Thursday for GMZ650-655-670-675.