textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1134 PM CST Sat Nov 14 2026 - Another round of freezing temperatures is expected across northern portions of the area tonight, with frost possible across much of the remainder of the area away from the immediate coast.

- Strong easterly winds develop over the marine area Monday, resulting in a High Risk of rip currents and potentially hazardous surf conditions through midweek.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1134 PM CST Sat Nov 14 2026

An eastern states upper trof mostly moves off into the western Atlantic through Monday, but in the process absorbs a system from the south central states. The result of this will be an upper trof progressing into the forecast area on Monday which then gradually moves off into the western Atlantic as upper ridging builds into the eastern states. A surface ridge remains over the forecast region through Friday, and am anticipating dry conditions to prevail through the period except for a few possible sprinkles near the coast on Monday as the upper trof moves across the area. A Freeze Warning remains in effect until 8 am Sunday morning well inland with a Frost Advisory for most of the remainder of the area north of the immediate coast. Overnight lows range from the lower 30s well inland to around 40 at the coast. Lows Sunday night and Monday night generally range from the lower/mid 30s well inland to the mid 40s at the coast, and it's possible that a light freeze could occur each night over the northern periphery of the area. Highs on Sunday range from around 60 to the mid 60s, then Monday will be a bit cooler and range from the upper 50s to lower 60s. A warming trend follows for the rest of the week, with highs warming to the mid 70s for Thursday and Friday, and lows trending by Thursday night to range from the lower 40s well inland to the mid 50s at the coast. A low risk of rip currents is expected through Sunday then trends to a High Risk Monday into Monday night which continues through Wednesday. /29

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1134 PM CST Sat Nov 14 2026

VFR conditions prevail through the period. The current light northerly winds become northeasterly to easterly around 5-10 knots Sunday morning. Gusts up to 15 knots are possible Sunday morning into the afternoon, especially near the coast. SS/97

MARINE

Issued at 121 PM CST Sat Nov 14 2026

Light to moderate northeast flow increases to moderate to strong on Sunday. Strong high pressure to the north and lower pressure over the Gulf will result in an increasing pressure gradient over the northern Gulf early next week. In response, strong easterly to northeasterly flow and seas locally greater than 7 feet are expected to develop on Monday with advisory level conditions expected through much of the week over the Gulf waters. JGC/98

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 36 64 41 61 / 0 0 10 10 Pensacola 43 64 46 61 / 0 0 0 10 Destin 44 64 50 62 / 0 0 0 10 Evergreen 32 61 36 59 / 0 0 0 10 Waynesboro 33 62 37 62 / 0 0 10 0 Camden 31 59 33 59 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 33 62 38 59 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...Freeze Warning until 8 AM CST Sunday for ALZ051>058.

Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST Sunday for ALZ059-060-261-262.

FL...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST Sunday for FLZ201-203-205.

MS...Freeze Warning until 8 AM CST Sunday for MSZ067.

Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST Sunday for MSZ075-076.

GM...Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM Monday to 6 AM CST Wednesday for GMZ650-655-670-675.


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