textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1010 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
- Patchy fog is expected into Friday morning mainly for areas east of I-65. Areas of fog may develop but widespread dense fog is not expected at this time.
- A much cooler and drier airmass moves into the area this weekend into early next week. Lows in the 40's can be expected widespread across the area, to even mid to upper 30's for inland/northern areas where patchy frost will be possible.
- Moderate to occasional strong northerly winds over the Gulf Friday night into the weekend will create hazardous conditions for small craft.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1010 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
The stalled front over eastern parts of the area will finally move east Friday morning as a strong shortwave moves across the Ohio Valley and strong high pressure builds southward into the area. Areas of dense fog will be possible across areas east of I-65 tonight until the front clears the area. A much cooler and drier airmass will move into the area for the weekend into early next week. This will allow low temperatures to drop mainly into the 40s area-wide both Saturday and Sunday nights, but mid to upper 30s are forecast for inland/northern areas where patchy frost will be possible. Dry weather conditions will persist through the remainder of the forecast. /13
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 535 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
A nice night of flying is expected as VFR conditions prevail for most of the period. As tomorrow morning's sunrise approaches the final subtle push of a northerly cold front will bring tranquil weather across the area. The uncertainty overnight is whether any areas of sporadic patchy fog may develop across the Gulf Coast, particularly areas at or north and east of PNS. If any such low probability outcome occurs, transient IFR or lower conditions are possible.
KL/31
MARINE
Issued at 115 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
Light southwesterly to westerly winds this evening will shift northwesterly to northerly late tonight into Friday as a cold front slips through the area. Small craft over the Gulf should exercise caution at a minimum late Friday into Saturday as winds increase to 15-20kts with wave/seas responding to 2-3ft (3-4ft outer Gulf). A Small Craft Advisory may become necessary for the Gulf waters beyond 20 NM Friday night into Saturday morning as northerly winds increase well behind the cold front. Winds remain elevated going into Sunday and small craft should continue to exercise caution. /22
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 57 78 51 71 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 64 79 57 72 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 66 79 59 73 / 10 0 0 0 Evergreen 55 78 48 70 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 48 78 46 69 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 51 76 47 67 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 61 79 50 73 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...Dense Fog Advisory until 5 AM CST Friday for ALZ056>060.
FL...Dense Fog Advisory until 5 AM CST Friday for FLZ201>206.
MS...None. GM...None.
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