textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1123 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
- Patchy fog is expected into Friday morning mainly for areas east of I-65. Areas of fog may develop but widespread dense fog is not expected at this time.
- A much cooler and drier airmass moves into the area this weekend into early next week. Lows in the 40's can be expected widespread across the area, to even mid to upper 30's for inland/northern areas where patchy frost will be possible.
- Moderate to occasional strong northerly winds over the Gulf Friday night into the weekend will create hazardous conditions for small craft.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1010 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
The stalled front over eastern parts of the area will finally move east Friday morning as a strong shortwave moves across the Ohio Valley and strong high pressure builds southward into the area. Areas of dense fog will be possible across areas east of I-65 tonight until the front clears the area. A much cooler and drier airmass will move into the area for the weekend into early next week. This will allow low temperatures to drop mainly into the 40s area-wide both Saturday and Sunday nights, but mid to upper 30s are forecast for inland/northern areas where patchy frost will be possible. Dry weather conditions will persist through the remainder of the forecast. /13
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1123 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
A slow-moving cold front currently resides near the I-65 corridor at issuance time. For locations to the east of this front, dense fog and low stratus have developed, dropping flight categories down to LIFR or VLIFR. Areas to the west are seeing VFR conditions. Throughout the overnight hours, the front will slowly push southeastward, helping to scour out some of these low flight categories. Any residual fog/low ceilings will dissipate a little after sunrise, with VFR conditions prevailing through the remainder of the period. Light and variable winds tonight will become northerly at around 5-10 knots by the late morning/afternoon hours. /96
MARINE
Issued at 115 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
Light southwesterly to westerly winds this evening will shift northwesterly to northerly late tonight into Friday as a cold front slips through the area. Small craft over the Gulf should exercise caution at a minimum late Friday into Saturday as winds increase to 15-20kts with wave/seas responding to 2-3ft (3-4ft outer Gulf). A Small Craft Advisory may become necessary for the Gulf waters beyond 20 NM Friday night into Saturday morning as northerly winds increase well behind the cold front. Winds remain elevated going into Sunday and small craft should continue to exercise caution. /22
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 81 57 77 51 / 0 10 0 0 Pensacola 79 64 78 57 / 10 10 0 0 Destin 79 66 79 58 / 30 20 0 0 Evergreen 79 55 76 46 / 10 10 0 0 Waynesboro 80 48 77 45 / 10 10 0 0 Camden 77 51 73 45 / 10 10 0 0 Crestview 81 61 79 49 / 40 20 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...Dense Fog Advisory until 5 AM CST Friday for ALZ056>060.
FL...Dense Fog Advisory until 5 AM CST Friday for FLZ201>206.
MS...None. GM...None.
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