textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 635 AM CDT Wed Aug 12 2026 - Heat indices around 100-107 degrees are expected Wednesday, increasing to 105-112 degrees for Friday into early next week.

- A Moderate risk of rip currents returns to Florida beaches Wednesday afternoon through Thursday.

UPDATE

Issued at 635 AM CDT Wed Aug 12 2026

The forecast remains on track. /22

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1151 PM CDT Tue Aug 11 2026

An upper ridge builds over the region through Friday and persists into the weekend with only some minor weakening seen early next week. A surface ridge remains oriented mainly over the northern Gulf through early next week and promotes a predominately southwesterly flow. The pattern supports a trend of increasingly hotter temperatures each day along with progressively higher heat index values. Highs on Wednesday will range from the lower 90s at the coast to the mid/upper 90s further inland then trend to the mid 90s to 100 by Friday with a bit higher values anticipated this weekend. Heat index values on Wednesday will range from 100-107 with a few spots reaching 108+, but this looks too limited in coverage to support a Heat Advisory at the moment. This changes going into Friday by which time heat index values look to mostly range from 105-112. Am anticipating that for Thursday a Heat Advisory will likely become necessary for the coastal counties stretching into southeast Mississippi. A Heat Advisory looks indicated for most of the area from Friday through Monday, with the potential for an Extreme Heat Warning becoming necessary for the coastal counties.

Isolated to possibly scattered convection develops on Wednesday mainly along and east of I-65 with the sea breeze, then coverage on Thursday and Friday looks confined to isolated coverage over the easternmost portions of the area. Isolated to possibly scattered convection is anticipated for Saturday and Sunday as better deep layer moisture is advected into the area along with a weak surface trof which may affect the area. Isolated convection at best follows for Monday. A low risk of rip currents is anticipated for beach areas through Saturday, except for a moderate risk for the western Florida panhandle from Wednesday night through Thursday night. /29

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 635 AM CDT Wed Aug 12 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through tonight. /22

MARINE

Issued at 100 PM CDT Tue Aug 11 2026

Light to moderate southwest to westerly flow will persist through the week. Otherwise, there are no marine concerns. /73

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 94 76 94 76 / 20 0 10 0 Pensacola 93 79 94 79 / 20 10 20 0 Destin 91 80 92 80 / 20 10 10 0 Evergreen 95 75 96 76 / 20 0 10 0 Waynesboro 97 76 98 74 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 94 76 95 77 / 10 10 10 10 Crestview 96 75 97 75 / 30 10 20 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.