textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 247 AM CDT Mon Jul 20 2026 - Tropical Storm Watch in effect for coastal zones and waters of the western Florida Panhandle. In addition to potential tropical storm force winds, locally heavy rainfall may be possible near the coast through mid week.
- High risk of rip currents begins this evening for western Florida Panhandle and Alabama beaches.
- Heat Advisory in effect for southeast Mississippi from 10 am until 7 pm on today.
..BEACH FORECAST
Dangerous and life-threatening beach conditions are expected tonight through mid week. The rip current risk will increase to a HIGH for our Florida and Alabama beaches Monday night which will last through at Thursday. Guidance shows increasing surf above 5 feet by Tuesday morning and quickly rises through the evening to peak at 10-12 feet which lasts through Wednesday afternoon. A High Surf Warning will be needed in subsequent forecast packages as the event draws closer.
SS/97
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1215 AM CDT Mon Jul 20 2026
VFR conditions prevail through the period outside of storms. Northeasterly winds will begin to increase tomorrow afternoon offshore and along the coastal areas of the Florida panhandle with the approach of the tropical system. Isolated to scattered showers and storms move through the area tomorrow afternoon, mainly focused on the southern half of our area. These storms are accompanied by gusty winds and drops of cigs/vis to MVFR and even locally IFR within the strongest storms. SS/97
MARINE
Issued at 247 AM CDT Mon Jul 20 2026
Tropical Depression Two is located southwest of the Big Bend of Florida, and is forecast to strengthen to a tropical storm today. The system is expected to gradually turn west just south of the northern Gulf coast over the next several days. Moderate northeasterly winds today will shift generally easterly on Tuesday as the tropical system moves west. Waves with this system peak at 10 to 15 feet Tuesday evening through Wednesday evening. Strong winds will impact the nearshore waters and gale force winds offshore. As the system departs Wednesday night, light southerly to southwesterly winds continue through the weekend. SS/97
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 95 75 94 77 / 40 20 50 30 Pensacola 94 77 91 79 / 40 30 70 60 Destin 90 77 89 80 / 60 40 80 70 Evergreen 94 73 91 75 / 20 10 50 20 Waynesboro 96 75 96 76 / 20 10 20 0 Camden 94 74 91 76 / 20 10 30 10 Crestview 92 74 90 76 / 50 30 70 50
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...High Rip Current Risk from this evening through Friday morning for ALZ265-266.
FL...High Rip Current Risk from this evening through Friday morning for FLZ202-204-206.
Tropical Storm Watch for FLZ202-204-206.
MS...Heat Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT Tuesday for MSZ067-075-076-078-079.
GM...Tropical Storm Watch for GMZ634>636-655-675.
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