textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1107 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

- Dense fog may become a concern next week as temperatures and humidity levels increase.

- Much above normal temperatures will occur Monday through Friday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1230 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

A weak upper shortwave over the Northern High Plains will move southeast over our area late Monday night through Tuesday morning, but no precipitation is expected with this system. Upper ridging will then build over our region behind the shortwave as an upper cutoff low pressure area over Baja California ejects northeastward evolving into a shortwave over central Texas by midnight Tuesday night. This shortwave will then take a jog eastward over our area the middle part of next week, bringing a low-end chance of showers with perhaps a storm or two across northwest Florida.

There will be a significant rise in temperatures next week as highs interior area on Sunday in the middle to upper 60s increase to the middle 70s on Monday and Tuesday, and then from 75 to 80 degrees Wednesday and Thursday. These temps will be 10-15 degrees above normal by midweek. High temps along the coast will start out around 60 degrees on Sunday, but only warm into middle 60s to around 70 degrees by midweek due to the chilly bay and Gulf waters in the 50s. Lows temperatures will increase to 15-20 degrees above normal by midweek thanks to a light southerly wind flow as a surface ridge sets up across the eastern Gulf. Dense fog will become a concern next week as temperatures and humidity levels increase, so introduced areas of fog Monday night into Tuesday across the entire area, including our near shore waters as dewpoints in the middle 50s move over the chilly waters. The next upper shortwave will approach pass through the region late next week, bringing a slightly better chance of measurable rain to our area.

Beach Forecast: A LOW risk of rip currents will continue through the middle of next week. /22

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1111 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through Sunday evening although some patchy fog may develop late tonight. Calm or light and variable winds overnight transition to a southerly flow at 5-10 knots on Sunday. /29

MARINE

Issued at 1230 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

A light to moderate northeasterly flow will shift easterly by daybreak Sunday. A light onshore flow will prevail for Sunday through at least midweek as a surface ridge sets up across the eastern Gulf. /22

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 37 67 47 72 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 41 62 50 69 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 42 61 51 67 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 32 66 42 74 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 34 68 46 74 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 32 64 44 74 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 32 66 42 73 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.