textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 159 PM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

- Dangerously cold temperatures and wind chills continue through late Sunday morning, with very little heating expected this afternoon.

- Blustery northwesterly winds continue through mid-evening with gusts as high as 40 mph, especially along the coast.

- Hazardous marine conditions continue through mid-morning Sunday. Low water levels across most bays and sounds, especially Mobile Bay, will continue through mid-afternoon Sunday. There is also the possibility of a light freezing spray tonight.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 159 PM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

The cold air advection is definitely winning the battle this afternoon despite the sunny to partly cloudy skies over much of the forecast area. Temperatures at 2 PM remain at or just below freezing interior areas, with the coldest readings north of Highway 84 where skies remain partly sunny to mostly cloudy. The 1 PM temperature at the Mobile Regional Airport did manage to reach 35 degrees, so we were not able to break or match the previous minimum high temperature of 34 degrees set way back in 1949. However, the 2 PM temperature at the Pensacola International Airport was only 35 degrees, so it looks like we have an excellent chance to break or match the previous minimum high temperature of 38 degrees set in 1978. We did received reports of snow flurries in Covington and Crenshaw counties this morning, but those have since moved out of the area.

The Extreme Cold Warning is in effect until 11 AM Sunday for dangerously cold apparent temperatures (wind chills) dropping back into the single digits to around 10 degrees after midnight tonight into Sunday. The Wind Advisory remains in effect for south central and southwest Alabama and northwest Florida until 9 PM this evening, except for the coastal zones where the Wind Advisory is set to expire at midnight when the Gale Warning for the bays and sounds expire. Surface high pressure centered over the northwest Gulf Sunday evening will move slowly eastward over the forecast area late Sunday night through Monday morning. As the high moves further east, light surface winds will shift to southwesterly Monday afternoon through Tuesday night, bringing a moderation in temperatures. Sub-freezing temperatures will cease to exist Monday night, with highs on Tuesday soaring into the middle to upper 60s.

Zonal flow aloft will return Monday night as the longwave trough advances eastward over the Atlantic, followed by southwesterly flow by midweek as a shortwave approaches our region from the northwest. A surface low will pass north of the area across the Tennessee and Ohio River regions Tuesday afternoon and evening, with an associated cold front expected to pass through our area on Wednesday. These features, along with an increase in atmospheric moisture, will bring scattered to numerous showers through the area Tuesday night and during the day Wednesday. Dry weather conditions are expected through the remainder of the forecast. There will be a brief drop in temperatures Wednesday night through Thursday night, but highs Friday are expected to rebound into the lower to middle 60s. /22

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1140 AM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

Strong northwesterly winds will persist through tonight with gusts up to 35 knots at the terminals. Winds will gradually begin to relax by sunrise on Sunday, but gusts of 15-20 knots remain possible through the morning on Sunday. VFR conditions prevail. 07/mb

MARINE

Issued at 159 PM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

Frequent gale force gusts will continue across all bays and sounds through this evening, and over the Gulf through mid-morning Sunday. Low water levels across most bays and sounds, especially Mobile Bay, will continue through mid-afternoon Sunday. There is also the possibility of a light freezing spray tonight. Winds and seas will decrease Sunday and into Monday, followed by a light westerly to southwesterly flow through Tuesday night prior to the passage of the next cold front on Wednesday. /22

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 19 45 26 57 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 22 45 29 55 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 24 45 32 54 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 18 43 22 57 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 18 43 23 58 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 18 41 22 55 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 17 45 21 56 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...Extreme Cold Warning until 11 AM CST Sunday for ALZ051>060- 261>266.

Wind Advisory until 9 PM CST this evening for ALZ051>060-261>264.

Wind Advisory until midnight CST tonight for ALZ265-266.

FL...Extreme Cold Warning until 11 AM CST Sunday for FLZ201>206.

Wind Advisory until 9 PM CST this evening for FLZ201-203-205.

Wind Advisory until midnight CST tonight for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...Extreme Cold Warning until 11 AM CST Sunday for MSZ067-075-076- 078-079.

GM...Gale Warning until midnight CST tonight for GMZ630>636.

Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 9 AM CST Sunday for GMZ630>636.

Gale Warning until 9 AM CST Sunday for GMZ650-655-670-675.