textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1137 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026 - A moderate cold front pushes through the area on Thursday, when combined with several reinforcing fronts, will bring much cooler temperatures. Marine winds will strengthen behind the fronts along with building seas.

- A light freeze is possible well inland late Friday night and Saturday night, roughly along and north of Highway 84.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1137 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

Now through Saturday night...An upper level shortwave system moves off with a series of upper level shortwave systems moving into a mean upper trough over the Eastern Conus. The first behind the current system passes over the Southeast tonight, with a moderate cold front moving south over the region tonight into Thursday, ushering in a cooler and drier airmass over the forecast. A few residual rain showers are expected over the forecast area today before the current system moves off. A dry boundary layer will help to limit any rain hitting the ground, with low rainfall amounts expected before the rain moves off by the end of the day. Following the cold front's passage, a drier and colder air mass is expected to move south across the forecast area. The series of shortwaves passing through the upper trough will continually reinforce the drier and cooler airmass over the region into the weekend. The result is high temperatures in the 70 to 75 degree range today dropping into the upper 50s to low 60s for Saturday. Low temperatures in the mid 50s to low 60s tonight drop into the around 30s north of Highway 84 to low 40s south of I-10 for Friday and Saturday night. A light freeze and/or frost is expected over our inland counties as a result.

Sunday through Wednesday, upper level shortwave energy digging south over the Southwestern Conus shifts a modest upper ridge over the Plains quickly east over the Southeast before developing into an upper ridge over the East Coast by Wednesday night. An upper ridge moves over the Mississippi River in its wake. Temperatures remain well below seasonal norms into mid week, though do start to see an upward trend beginning Wednesday as the upper ridge approaches.

Looking at our coastal areas, flow over the beaches and northern Gulf remains offshore the rest of the week, keeping any swell from hitting any of out beaches and the Rip Risk low. Over the weekend, winds over the northern Gulf shift to more easterly. When combined with a large, though starting to decrease, tidal cycle, a high risk of rip currents returns to area beaches early in the coming week. /16

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1137 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

General VFR conditions are expect through the forecast. Light rain showers may bring local drops in conditions to MVFR levels, but a dry boundary layer will help to temper any significant impacts, except for localized downdrafts near virga. Light northerly winds will increase to around 10 knots tonight behind a cold front moving across the forecast area tonight into Thursday. /16

MARINE

Issued at 1137 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

Weak rain showers are possible across the area today, with a light to at times moderate offshore flow. A front crossing the area later tonight into Thursday will bring moderate to at times strong offshore flow into the weekend. The offshore flow will shift to easterly through the weekend, and strengthen early in the coming week as another system approaches area waters. Seas will build in response. A Small Craft Advisory will be needed Sunday night into the coming week. /16

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 73 58 75 45 / 30 0 0 0 Pensacola 72 62 76 49 / 20 0 0 0 Destin 71 64 75 52 / 20 0 0 0 Evergreen 69 52 71 40 / 30 0 0 0 Waynesboro 74 53 73 38 / 20 0 0 0 Camden 70 54 68 38 / 10 0 0 0 Crestview 70 53 75 42 / 20 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.