textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 233 AM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026

- Moderate to strong northeast winds will create hazardous conditions for small craft through Monday.

- A High Risk of dangerous rip currents at area beaches is in effect through Monday night.

- Dry conditions continue through the forecast period.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1152 PM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026

A large upper level trough will amplify off the eastern seaboard through the end of the week as an upper ridge builds from the plains into the upper midwest. Meanwhile, a sfc ridge of high pressure will continue over the area. This pattern will maintain and dry northwest upper level flow through the week with an east to northeast sfc flow. The deep layer ridging will maintain strong subsidence across the region, which along with a very dry airmass, will maintain a dry forecast through the period. The dry airmass and light winds will allow strong radiational cooling at night will lows in the 40s and 50s. High temps will be in the low to mid 70s to start the week, gradually warming into the upper 70s and low 80s by next weekend. Humidity levels will remain very low through the week. A high risk of rip continues through Monday night with a moderate risk following for Tuesday. /13

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1229 AM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail over the next 24 hours. Winds through the period will generally be northeasterly at around 5-10 knots. /96

MARINE

Issued at 233 AM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026

Moderate to strong northeasterly winds will slowly decrease throughout the day today. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for our local nearshore Gulf waters through noon today, and through 4PM for our offshore Gulf waters. Small craft should exercise caution over local area bays and sounds. A light to moderate northeasterly flow, occasionally stronger well offshore during the overnight hours, will be prevalent for the remainder of the week. /96

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 74 53 75 49 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 75 55 76 55 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 76 57 76 58 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 75 46 76 46 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 74 46 76 44 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 72 44 74 44 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 74 48 74 48 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until noon CDT today for GMZ650-655.

Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM CDT this afternoon for GMZ670- 675.