textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1241 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

- Periods of heavy rain are possible across the Florida Panhandle through Saturday that could result in some nuisance flooding.

- There is a moderate risk of life threatening rip currents today in the early evening hours for the beaches of Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1241 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

We saw the bulk of the rain on Thursday across most of the forecast area of this 3 day event as models are now trending downward with PoPs and QPF. The only areas that will receive more rainfall over the next 2 days compared to Thursday will be along and east of a line from Pensacola, FL to Luverne, AL. As it stands now across the entire forecast area, we are expecting additional rainfall amounts to range from 0.2 to 0.7 of an inch northwest of the Interstate-65 corridor, and from 0.7 to 1.3 inches to the southeast. Therefore, we are expecting any additional flooding concerns across the area outside of some possible nuisance flooding along the coast from Navarre Beach to Destin. Light northerly winds will occur today into the evening as a low pressure system just off our coast departs off to our east. Light winds will then occur over the weekend prior to a cold front passing through the area Sunday night ushering in a much cooler and drier airmass as a strong surface high builds in from the north. In fact, we could see some sub-freezing temperatures across the northern half of the forecast area Monday night. Dry weather conditions will prevail through the remainder of the forecast, although a few spotty light showers may occur Wednesday night.

Beach Forecast: A MODERATE risk of rip currents will persist today into the early evening hours, followed by a LOW risk over the weekend through Tuesday night due to northerly winds. /22

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1134 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

Predominately LIFR ceilings/MVFR visibilities are forecast for tonight into Friday morning, with ceilings improving slightly to IFR levels by late morning through the afternoon hours. Northerly winds 5-10 knots will prevail across the entire area by late tonight. /22

MARINE

Issued at 1241 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

Mariners operating small craft on the Gulf from 20-60nm should exercise caution tonight. Otherwise, winds will shift northerly by noon today and relax as a low pressure system across the area departs off to the east. A light offshore flow will follow through Saturday, briefly shift easterly Saturday night, followed by a moderate northerly flow through early next week as a strong surface high builds in from the north. /22

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 55 46 55 48 / 60 60 80 20 Pensacola 58 51 57 53 / 70 50 90 50 Destin 63 51 58 53 / 70 60 90 60 Evergreen 55 43 55 42 / 60 60 80 20 Waynesboro 49 41 53 42 / 40 40 50 10 Camden 51 40 52 40 / 40 40 60 10 Crestview 58 46 55 46 / 70 60 90 40

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.