textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 548 AM CST Thu Feb 26 2026

- A HIGH risk of rip currents is in effect through Friday for strong rip currents creating dangerous swimming conditions.

- Above normal temperatures have returned for the foreseeable future. Best rain chances are expected late Thursday night into Friday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1026 PM CST Wed Feb 25 2026

Rain chances gradually ramp up through the morning into afternoon hours as isolated to scattered showers develop in response to warm air advection across the area. Best rain chances through the afternoon hours will likely remain confined to interior areas. A cold front will gradually work its way into the forecast area late Thursday night into Friday as modest upper forcing overspreads the area, likely resulting in numerous to widespread shower and thunderstorm coverage. Best rain and storm chances will shift nearer the coast Friday morning into afternoon as the cold front slowly works its way through the area. Isolated to scattered showers may linger in the wake of the front into Friday afternoon before dry weather conditions return to the area Friday evening.

Overall we will see a transition into a less exciting pattern as upper troughing the next couple days gives way to more zonal flow late weekend while upper ridging begins to become dominant across the southern U.S. early next week. This will allow for us to not only remain dry, but also to remain quite warm through next week. Temperatures will take a brief dip for lows Friday night into the upper 40's and lower 50's, but the rest of the forecast generally keeps all areas in the 50's for lows. Highs in the lower to middle 70's today and Friday become upper 70's to lower 80's this weekend into next week. A High risk of rip currents will continue through Friday afternoon, tapering to a Moderate risk Friday evening and a Low risk for this weekend. MM/25

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 548 AM CST Thu Feb 26 2026

VFR flight category prevails across the region through early evening outside of temporarily reductions to visibility across interior SE MS and SW AL associated with scattered light showers. A line of numerous showers with embedded scattered thunderstorms approaching from the north will move southward across our area overnight, and likely reach the I-10 corridor by late tonight. IFR/MVFR conditions are expected within this line, with gusty surface winds to 40 knots associated with some of the stronger storms. Winds increase today out of the south to southwest to 10 to 15 knots gusting to 25 knots at times. /22

MARINE

Issued at 1026 PM CST Wed Feb 25 2026

A light to moderate onshore flow prevails today. A light offshore flow develops on Friday as a cold front moves through. A light to occasionally moderate easterly to southeasterly flow develops on Saturday and continues into Sunday. MM/25

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 76 60 75 53 / 10 60 60 10 Pensacola 74 62 73 55 / 20 60 70 20 Destin 71 61 71 56 / 30 60 80 30 Evergreen 76 56 75 49 / 30 80 50 10 Waynesboro 74 57 73 47 / 60 80 30 0 Camden 74 56 71 49 / 60 80 30 10 Crestview 77 58 75 52 / 30 70 80 20

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...High Rip Current Risk through Friday afternoon for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Friday afternoon for FLZ202-204- 206.

MS...None. GM...None.