textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 629 AM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026 - Summertime heat returns over the weekend into early next week. Heat advisories become possible over portions of the area in the coming week.

- Rainshowers and thunderstorms return in the coming week, with strong to marginally severe afternoon thunderstorms possible.

UPDATE

Issued at 629 AM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026

Some patchy fog has developed over interior portions of south central Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle this morning. Fog will dissipate within the next hour or two. Otherwise, the forecast remains on track, with no changes needed. /96

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1107 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

The heat is on as high pressure begins to build over the eastern US. Our period of active northwesterly flow will come to an end as a rather stout upper ridge builds eastward over the next couple of days. Things will certainly be dry as subsidence from the ridge overspreads the area the next 3 days resulting in increasing temperatures and heat indices. Sunday and Monday look to be the hottest days of the upcoming period as heat risk will climb to widespread High heat risk levels. Couple this with heat indices in the 103 to 107 range and wet bulb globe temperatures approaching 90 it will certainly feel downright awful across the area. Be sure to take proper actions against the heat and drink plenty of water. While heat indices may not reach our heat advisory criteria, it will certainly be hot enough to cause issues and only a couple degrees increased on the dewpoint or air temperature would be needed to reach criteria.

By mid week, a subtle easterly wave will move under the ridge and across the northern Gulf. As a result, moisture will increase across the area Tuesday. This wave will bring the return of afternoon showers and thunderstorms to the area and with the upper ridge still loitering to our north, there will likely be enough dry air aloft to present a microburst risk with any thunderstorms that do develop. Would not be surprised to see a couple strong to severe storms on Tuesday afternoon given the increased coverage and drier air aloft. This has even been noted in some of the AI guidance that supports an increased risk for damaging winds. As the wave moves west by the end of the week, things should dry back out but the low level moisture should remain leading to continued heat issues as heat indices remain in the mid triple digits. With that my time here at MOB ends as a new adventure begins! It has certainly been a ride the last 7 and a half years. Stay cool Mobile and watch out for those mini-spinnies. BB-8

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 626 AM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026

Some patchy fog has developed over interior portions of south central Alabama and northwest Florida this morning, bringing temporary reductions in visibility to MVFR. Fog will dissipate within the next hour or so and VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the remainder of the period. Light and variable winds this morning will become a light southwesterly flow by the afternoon hours. /96

MARINE

Issued at 239 AM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026

A light southwesterly flow will prevail through tonight, becoming a diurnal pattern Sunday and Monday with light onshore flow during the afternoon hours and a light offshore flow each night. A light and variable flow is expected for midweek. /98

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 92 75 94 75 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 92 79 94 78 / 0 0 10 0 Destin 90 79 92 79 / 10 10 0 0 Evergreen 93 73 94 74 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 94 75 95 74 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 91 74 91 74 / 0 0 10 0 Crestview 94 73 96 74 / 10 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.