textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 706 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026 - Moderate Risk of Flash Flooding today for much of the local area, lessens to Slight Risk over the interior Saturday. - There remains a HIGH RISK of rip currents through Saturday for Alabama and northwest Florida beaches.
- A few storms could become marginally severe today.
UPDATE
Issued at 706 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026
Area radars are only detecting spotty showers at the moment, but high resolution models are picking up on numerous to widespread showers with scattered thunderstorms redeveloping around mid- morning and continuing until mid-evening. Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible. Nearly the entire area remains under a Moderate Risk of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance today. Widespread 1-2 inches with locally higher amounts of 2-4 inches are expected. /22
..BEACH FORECAST
A HIGH risk of dangerous to potentially deadly rip currents continues for all Florida and Alabama beaches through Saturday afternoon. Breakers of 5 to 8 feet through AM subside to 4 to 6 feet by afternoon. High surf advisory continues through 6 PM this evening. /10
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 706 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026
Numerous to widespread showers with scattered thunderstorms are expected to redevelop around mid-morning and continue until mid- evening. While mod of the convection will remain across inland areas, it is possible that some of storms will move closer to the coast and affect the TAF sites mainly later this morning through early afternoon. LIFR visibilites with perhaps instances of VLIFR visibilities due to very heavy rain are possible. Ceilings will be variable, hovering between MVFR/to IFR categories. /22
MARINE
Issued at 328 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026
Small Craft Should Exercise Caution on the Gulf this morning. Light to occasional moderate mainly southwesterly flow will occur through early next week shifting to a more westerly component on Tuesday. Seas around 6 feet this morning will slowly subside to 2 to 3 feet by the end of the week. /22
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 90 76 89 75 / 70 60 70 50 Pensacola 90 78 88 78 / 50 60 70 40 Destin 88 78 87 78 / 60 70 70 30 Evergreen 86 72 86 72 / 90 60 80 40 Waynesboro 87 73 86 73 / 90 60 90 50 Camden 83 71 83 71 / 90 50 80 30 Crestview 88 74 88 73 / 80 70 80 20
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...Flood Watch until 6 PM CDT this evening for ALZ051>060-261>266.
High Rip Current Risk through Saturday afternoon for ALZ265-266.
High Surf Advisory until 6 PM CDT this evening for ALZ265-266.
FL...Flood Watch until 6 PM CDT this evening for FLZ201>206.
High Rip Current Risk through Saturday afternoon for FLZ202-204- 206.
High Surf Advisory until 6 PM CDT this evening for FLZ202-204- 206.
MS...Flood Watch until 6 PM CDT this evening for MSZ067-075-076-078- 079.
GM...None.
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