textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1150 PM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

- High winds and low relative humidity will create dangerous burning conditions on Sunday. - Strong winds will create hazardous conditions for small craft from tonight into Monday night. Gale conditions are possible late tonight into Sunday night.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1240 PM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

Well above normal temps continue today ahead of an approaching strong cold front that will bring much colder temps to the area through Tuesday. A couple of strong storms remain possible this afternoon due to the instability available ahead of the front with temps in the low 80s and dewpoints in the mid/upper 60s. However, weak forcing across the area will keep the threat marginal. A isolated strong wind gust and/or small hail cannot be completely ruled out. Much colder temps return in the wake of the front tonight. Highs tomorrow will only be in the low to mid 50s inland to upper 50s along the coast. A gusty northwest wind will make it feel even colder. Highs on Monday will be in the mid and upper 40s inland to low 50s along the coast. Lows tonight will be in the upper 30s and low 40s. Most areas will see a freeze Sunday night with lows in the upper 20s inland to low/mid 30s along the coast. Monday night looks to be the coldest night with lows in the low/mid 20s inland to near 30 along the coast.

Highs quickly warm back into the low 70s on Wednesday ahead of another approaching cold front. This front will bring rain chances back into the area on Thursday as it moves across the area.

A high risk of rip currents continues through Sunday morning. /13

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1150 PM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through Sunday evening, along with breezy northwesterly winds around 20 knots with frequent gusts to around 30 knots. /22

MARINE

Issued at 1240 PM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

A light to moderate onshore flow will continue today ahead of a strong cold front. This strong cold front moves through the area tonight, with a strong offshore flow developing in the wake of the front. Frequent gusts to gale force are expected late tonight through Sunday night. Offshore flow diminishes late Monday night into Tuesday morning. /13

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1240 PM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

A Red Flag Warning has been issued for southeast Mississippi on Sunday due to the combination of strong winds and low humidity levels. /13

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 42 58 32 53 / 60 0 0 0 Pensacola 46 57 35 51 / 70 0 0 0 Destin 47 58 34 51 / 70 0 0 0 Evergreen 41 55 28 48 / 70 0 0 0 Waynesboro 38 54 29 49 / 20 0 0 0 Camden 38 51 28 45 / 40 0 0 0 Crestview 43 58 28 51 / 80 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...Wind Advisory from 7 AM to 5 PM CST Sunday for ALZ051>060- 261>266.

High Rip Current Risk until 6 AM CST Sunday for ALZ265-266.

FL...Wind Advisory from 7 AM to 5 PM CST Sunday for FLZ201>206.

High Rip Current Risk until 6 AM CST Sunday for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...Red Flag Warning from 9 AM to 6 PM CST Sunday for MSZ067-075-076- 078-079.

GM...Gale Warning until noon CST Sunday for GMZ630>632-650-655.

Small Craft Advisory from noon Sunday to noon CST Monday for GMZ630>632-650-655.

Small Craft Advisory until noon CST Monday for GMZ633>636.

Gale Warning until noon CST Monday for GMZ670-675.


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