textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 633 AM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

- Increasing concern for heat stress late this week and into the weekend as hot and humid conditions return.

- Risk for rip currents increases to MODERATE this weekend for the northwest Florida beaches.

UPDATE

Issued at 635 AM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

The forecast is on track with no changes planned at the moment. /29

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1231 AM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

Through Thursday...a deep upper level shortwave trough currently just east of the Mississippi River swings east around the north side of upper level high pressure situated over the Gulf, before reaching the East Coast by Tuesday evening. The upper high shifts west to over the Southern Plains into Wednesday, then begins to build east over the Southeast as the upper trough continues to move east off the coast. Additional shortwave energy passed north or south of the forecast area in response through mid week, keeping any convection north or south of the forecast area, except for isolated storms over the eastern border of the forecast area Tuesday. Temperatures see a slow rise though mid week, with high temperatures topping out in the low to mid 90s by Thursday. Heat indices remain generally 100 or below, as drier air moves over the forecast area through the period. Low temperatures remain steady, bottoming out in the low to mid 70s. Boundary layer moisture remains high enough, though, that when combined with enough mixing, patchy overnight fog formation is possible.

Friday through Monday, shortwave energy passing north of the upper ridge shifts it south, allowing increasing moisture to move back over the forecast area, along with increasing influence of the shortwave energy. Showers and thunderstorms increase in coverage through the weekend in response. Temperatures remain above seasonal norms Friday through the weekend. When combined with the increase in moisture levels, Heat Indices rising into the 100-106 degree range are expected though the weekend.

Taking a look at the Rip Current risk on area beaches, consistent onshore flow continues through the forecast, but weakens with the shifting upper pattern. The tidal range also decreases through the week, with a low risk expected. By the end of the week, the tidal range begins to increase, bringing a Moderate Risk back to the forecast area by the coming weekend, mainly for beaches in the western Florida Panhandle. /16

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 635 AM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

VFR conditions are anticipated to prevail through tonight with the exception of some brief, localized IFR ceilings early this morning. Light and variable winds become south to southeast 5-10 knots today. /29

MARINE

Issued at 240 AM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

A light to occasionally moderate easterly to southeasterly flow persists through Wednesday. A southeasterly to southerly flow on Thursday turns southwesterly to westerly for Friday through the weekend. /29

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 90 72 91 72 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 91 76 89 75 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 89 75 88 76 / 10 0 0 0 Evergreen 92 71 93 71 / 0 10 10 0 Waynesboro 92 71 93 71 / 0 10 0 0 Camden 90 72 91 72 / 0 10 10 0 Crestview 93 71 93 71 / 10 10 10 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.