textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 529 AM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

- Dangerously cold temperatures and wind chills continue through late this morning.

- Hazardous marine conditions come to an end this morning as northerly winds diminish. Low water levels across most bays and sounds, especially Mobile Bay, will continue through mid- afternoon today.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1046 PM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

An Extreme Cold Warning remains in effect until 11 am Sunday due to wind chill values dropping mostly into the 5-10 degree range. Overnight lows will be in the teens over interior areas and the lower 20s near the coast. Highs on Sunday will be in the mid 40s. Going into early next week, a rather large upper trof which spans both the eastern half of the CONUS and the Gulf moves off into the western Atlantic, with another upper trof meanwhile advancing into the Plains. This next upper trof amplifies substantially before progressing into the eastern half of the CONUS Wednesday into Wednesday night. A surface ridge shifts across the forecast region through early next week which allows for a light southwesterly flow to develop on Monday and continue into Tuesday. This brings a gradual warming trend with lows trending to the mid 30s to lower 40s by Monday night, and highs by Tuesday will be in the mid to upper 60s. In response to the second upper trof, a surface low is expected to bring a cold front through the forecast area late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Dry conditions are expected through Tuesday morning, then a slight chance of rain returns to interior southeast Mississippi and interior southwest Alabama Tuesday afternoon. Will have likely to categorical pops shift across the area Tuesday night into Wednesday morning with the frontal passage, then dry conditions develop from west to east Wednesday afternoon into the evening. Instability will be limited, but could allow for some isolated embedded thunderstorms to develop near the coast with the frontal passage.

Dry conditions are expected from Thursday through Sunday. Low temperatures Wednesday night and Thursday night tend to range from the upper 20s to lower 30s, then the remaining nights will be in the 30s. Highs on Wednesday will be in the mid 50s to mid 60s, and highs on Thursday will be in the lower 50s. Friday will be warmer with highs in the lower to mid 60s, and similar values follow for Saturday and Sunday. A low risk of rip currents is expected through Tuesday, then a moderate risk is in effect from Tuesday night through Wednesday night. A low risk of rip currents follows for Thursday. /29

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 529 AM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

VFR flight category prevails through the day into tonight. Winds out of the northwest around 10 to 15 knots gusting 20 knots this morning relax late this afternoon into evening to around 5 to 10 knots. MM/25

MARINE

Issued at 1046 PM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

Strong northerly winds with gusts to gale force gradually diminish through Sunday. There is the possibility of a light freezing spray tonight. Light to moderate northwesterly winds Sunday night become a light westerly flow on Monday. Light to moderate southwesterly winds on Tuesday increase Tuesday night then switch to the northwest on Wednesday as a cold front moves through. /29

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 46 26 59 40 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 45 29 56 43 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 45 33 54 45 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 43 22 57 33 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 44 23 59 36 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 40 22 55 35 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 45 22 56 34 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...Extreme Cold Warning until 11 AM CST this morning for ALZ051>060- 261>266.

FL...Extreme Cold Warning until 11 AM CST this morning for FLZ201>206.

MS...Extreme Cold Warning until 11 AM CST this morning for MSZ067-075- 076-078-079.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for GMZ630>636- 650-655.

Gale Warning until 6 AM CST early this morning for GMZ670-675.

Small Craft Advisory until noon CST today for GMZ670-675.