textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 453 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

- Rounds of heavy rainfall may result in areas of significant flash flooding and potential river flooding this weekend, especially near the coast.

- HIGH risk of life-threatening rip currents for coastal Alabama and northwest Florida beaches through at least Monday.

- Minor coastal flooding is expected during the early morning high tide cycle on Sunday with water levels up to 2 feet above normally dry ground.

..BEACH FORECAST

Hazardous beach conditions continue with all area beaches flying red flags again today. The rip current risk continues to be HIGH for all beaches in southern Alabama and the northwest Florida Panhandle. The HIGH risk continues to Monday then drops to a MODERATE Monday night through Tuesday before increasing again around Wednesday to HIGH. Increased surf up to 3-4 feet continues into the beginning of next week and by mid week may further increase towards High Surf Advisory criteria.

SS/97

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 453 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

Shower and thunderstorm activity will continue through the evening hours and into Sunday. TEMPO groups are in effect for all TAF sites Saturday night, mainly from 7p through midnight timeframe for MVFR and IFR conditions along with stronger wind gusts. PROB30 groups are in effect for Saturday evening for lower ceilings and visibilities approaching MVFR to IFR conditions. Otherwise, winds will remain generally easterly to southeasterly through Saturday and Sunday morning around 10 knots with periodic gusts up to 20 knots, especially closer to the coast.

MARINE

Issued at 1156 AM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026 Moderate to occasionally strong southeasterly flow continues into Sunday. Winds relax by Monday morning and then become strong and turn northerly to northeasterly behind a cold front on Tuesday. Advisory level conditions are possible Tuesday through Thursday as we get strong easterly winds.Seas increase to 3-5 feet late week into early this weekend with another bump to 5-8 feet possible in the middle of next week with the increasing winds. SS/97

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 71 79 69 83 / 100 90 60 50 Pensacola 73 81 71 82 / 90 100 70 70 Destin 74 82 72 83 / 100 100 90 80 Evergreen 68 77 66 83 / 90 100 70 60 Waynesboro 69 77 67 82 / 60 80 50 30 Camden 69 77 67 82 / 80 100 60 30 Crestview 69 77 67 82 / 90 100 90 70

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...Flood Watch through Sunday evening for ALZ261>266.

Coastal Flood Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM CDT Sunday for ALZ263>266.

High Rip Current Risk through Monday evening for ALZ265-266.

FL...Flood Watch through Sunday evening for FLZ201>206.

Coastal Flood Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM CDT Sunday for FLZ202-204-206.

High Rip Current Risk through Monday evening for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None. GM...None.