textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

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KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 532 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

- A Small Craft Advisory is in effect from this afternoon through late tonight for our local Gulf waters.

- Areas of dense fog will affect south central Alabama until mid morning.

- Warmer temperatures expected for Friday and Saturday followed by another cool down early next week.

UPDATE

Issued at 532 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

Have issued a Dense Fog Advisory until 8 am this morning for south central Alabama due to areas of dense fog. Made other minor adjustments. /29

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1200 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

An upper-level longwave trough is expected to remain in place across the eastern CONUS through much of the forecast period. This will help to keep our local area underneath a dry westerly to northwesterly flow pattern aloft. Two prominent embedded shortwaves look to move within this flow pattern aloft over the next week: the first digging southeastward later today, and the second moving across the Appalachians on Sunday. Both of these troughs will help to send cold fronts southward through the local area, allowing for reinforcing shots of cooler and drier air to filter in. At this time, we should remain dry through at least next Tuesday, although there could be just enough moisture pooling out ahead of the second front to produce a few isolated showers Saturday night into Sunday morning. Ahead of tonight's front, breezy southwesterly to westerly winds will allow for highs to climb into the low to mid 60s today. After the front passes, lows tonight will drop into the 30s and highs on Thursday drop back into the mid to upper 50s. As high pressure pushes off to our east, highs on Friday and Saturday will warm into the upper 60s to low 70s and lows Friday night and Saturday night will range from the mid 40s north to the mid 50s along the coast. Temperatures drop once again on Sunday and into the beginning of next week after the second front pushes through the area. The rip current risk should remain low through the period, although our western Florida Panhandle beaches are expected to see a brief bump to moderate late this afternoon into tonight. /96

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 532 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

Patchy thick fog, with areas of dense fog across south central Alabama, will dissipate by around 8-9 am this morning. VFR conditions are otherwise expected through tonight. A southwesterly flow at 10-15 knots develops this morning, then becomes northwesterly 5-10 knots late this afternoon into the evening hours as a cold front moves through. /29

MARINE

Issued at 1200 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

Light southerly to southwesterly flow this morning will become a moderate to strong westerly to northwesterly flow by late Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect from this afternoon through late tonight for our local Gulf waters. Exercise Caution headlines will likely also be needed for our local bays and sounds. Winds subside on Thursday with a light onshore flow expected for Friday and Saturday. /96

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 65 38 58 41 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 64 42 57 46 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 65 44 59 48 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 64 35 58 35 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 63 33 57 36 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 60 33 54 34 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 65 37 58 36 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...Freezing Fog Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for ALZ054>060.

FL...None. MS...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM this afternoon to 6 AM CST Thursday for GMZ650-655-670-675.


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