textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1144 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

- A cold front will stall across eastern parts of the area tonight into Thursday, before finally moving east Thursday night.

- A much cooler and drier airmass moves into the area this weekend into early next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1045 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

A cold front will stall across eastern parts of the area tonight into Thursday. A few light showers will remain possible along and ahead of the front through Thursday afternoon. Patchy dense fog will remain possible tonight due to plenty of low level moisture and light winds. A strong shortwave will move from the plains into the midwestern states Thursday afternoon and evening. This will push the front eastward and out of the area and usher in a much cooler and drier airmass for the end of the week into the weekend as strong high pressure builds into the area. Another fast moving system may approach the area late in the weekend into early next week. However, there is a large spread in the models this far out and will maintain a dry forecast for now.

A much cooler and drier airmass moves into the area for the weekend into early next week. High temps on Sunday will be in the mid and upper 60s with upper 60s to around 70 Monday and Tuesday Lows in the mid and upper 30s across far northern areas will be possible Saturday night through Tuesday night. /13

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1144 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

As of issuance time, low-end VFR to MVFR ceilings are in place across most of the area as a weakening line of showers pushes to the east along a cold front. Outside of this, fog and low ceilings are beginning to develop and spread across portions of the area, bringing reductions in visibility and ceilings to LIFR or lower. Expect these lower flight categories to spread across much of the local area throughout the overnight hours. Fog will dissipate a little after sunrise and ceilings will lift to MVFR for the late morning and eventually VFR by the afternoon. VFR conditions should prevail through the remainder of the period. Winds throughout the period will generally be light and variable. /96

MARINE

Issued at 1249 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

Onshore winds continue to weaken, becoming light and variable Thursday as a weakening front stalls near the northern Gulf coast. A light to moderate offshore flow develops Friday as the front moves offshore, becoming a moderate offshore flow over the weekend in the wake of a cold front. Seas 2 to 4 feet today continue to decrease to 1 to 2 feet by Thursday. /16

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 85 64 83 57 / 40 20 0 0 Pensacola 85 70 81 64 / 10 10 10 10 Destin 81 71 78 66 / 20 10 20 20 Evergreen 84 66 80 55 / 40 40 10 10 Waynesboro 81 56 81 49 / 70 0 0 0 Camden 83 60 79 51 / 70 40 0 0 Crestview 85 68 82 59 / 30 10 40 20

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.