textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1108 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

- Cold temperatures in the lower to middle 20s will occur late tonight into early Monday morning.

- Strong winds will likely create hazardous conditions for small craft Wednesday night into Thursday and Friday into Friday night.

- A Moderate Rip Current Risk will occur Tuesday night through Wednesday as southwesterly winds increase over the Gulf.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1102 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

As a large upper trof moves off into the western Atlantic through Monday, another large upper trof pattern forms over the eastern and central CONUS through Tuesday. A series of vigorous embedded systems lead to the large upper trof pattern becoming oriented over the eastern CONUS by Thursday, then progressing into the western Atlantic Thursday night into Saturday. A surface ridge shifts across the forecast region through Monday, then a surface low associated with the large upper trof pattern brings a cold front through the forecast area late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Dry conditions continue through Tuesday morning, then will have likely to categorical pops shift across the area Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, with dry conditions developing from west to east Wednesday afternoon. Instability continues to look limited and looks to support some embedded storms mainly over the marine area with the frontal passage.

An extended dry period follows for Thursday through Monday with a weak cold front meanwhile moving through Friday into Friday evening. Overnight lows drop into the lower to mid 20s for all but the immediate coast where upper 20s are expected. A Cold Weather Advisory remains in effect until 9 am for the coastal counties of Alabama and the western Florida panhandle due to wind chill values as low as 20. Wind chill values further inland will be in the lower 20s, but the criteria for a Cold Weather Advisory over interior areas is lower and ranges from 11 to 20, which will not be met. Temperatures moderate going into Tuesday by which time highs will be in the mid to upper 60s with morning lows in the 30s. Highs on Wednesday will be in the 50s to lower 60s, then Thursday will have highs in the 50s. Highs on Friday through Sunday will be mostly in the 60s, then by Monday highs will be 65-70. Lows Wednesday night and Thursday night will be in the upper 20s to mid 30s, then lows will be in the 30s to lower 40s Friday night through Sunday night. A low risk of rip currents is expected through Tuesday with a moderate risk from Tuesday night through Wednesday. A low risk follows from Wednesday night through Friday, except for a moderate risk for western Florida panhandle beaches on Friday. /29

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1108 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

VFR conditions will persist with light westerly winds becoming southwesterly overnight. Winds will increase tomorrow morning to around 10 knots gusting to around 20 knots out of the south- southwest. BB-8

MARINE

Issued at 1102 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

A light westerly flow develops on Monday then becomes a light to moderate southwesterly flow on Tuesday. Moderate southwesterly winds Tuesday night become northwest on Wednesday as a cold front moves through. A moderate to strong northwesterly to northerly flow follows for Wednesday night into Thursday, diminishes Thursday night, then becomes a moderate to strong westerly flow on Friday. A Small Craft Advisory will likely become necessary for much of the marine area from Wednesday night through Thursday. Another Small Craft Advisory may become necessary on Friday into Friday night. /29

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 38 67 50 61 / 0 0 80 50 Pensacola 41 65 55 61 / 0 0 60 70 Destin 44 65 54 63 / 0 0 60 80 Evergreen 31 68 45 57 / 0 0 90 50 Waynesboro 34 66 43 54 / 0 20 90 20 Camden 33 65 44 53 / 0 10 90 30 Crestview 33 67 49 62 / 0 0 60 70

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.