textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1241 AM CDT Tue May 19 2026
- A HIGH risk of rip currents is in effect for all area beaches today. - Rain chances increase by mid to late next week, especially over the western half of the forecast area.
- Localized patchy fog will be possible this morning and again late tonight into Wednesday morning.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1031 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026
An isolated shower or storm is possible today mainly across south-central Alabama with isolated to scattered showers and storms possible Wednesday. Thursday isolated to scattered rain and storm chances shift west of I-65, becoming scattered to locally numerous west of the I-65 corridor Friday. Best chances Friday will likely remain confined to southeast Mississippi and interior southwest Alabama. As we head into the weekend, rain chances remain elevated as a series of weak shortwaves round the northern periphery of upper ridging with scattered to locally numerous showers and thunderstorms possible. Patchy fog can't be ruled out through this morning and again Wednesday morning, with a few spots potentially seeing locally dense fog. Better chances for fog appear to be Wednesday morning across the area. Any fog will develop late into the overnight hours before lifting fairly quickly after sunrise.
Outside of the rain chances, temperatures will be warm near or just above normal for this time of year on both highs and lows throughout the week and into the weekend. Highs generally fall in the 85 to 90 range, with some localized lower 90's possible any given day. Lows will remain in the upper 60's to lower 70's for most locations each night through the weekend. A High risk of rip currents today becomes a Moderate risk Wednesday. A Low to Moderate risk of rip currents will exist Thursday into Friday. MM/25
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1241 AM CDT Tue May 19 2026
MVFR to IFR ceilings should become IFR to possibly LIFR ceilings over the next few hours. Best chance for reduced ceilings will be mainly west of I-65 and along the I-10 corridor. Low ceilings will quickly return to MVFR then VFR tomorrow with a light southeasterly flow for the remainder of the forecast. BB-8
MARINE
Issued at 111 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026
A light to occasionally moderate southeasterly flow will prevail through Saturday. Seas will build slightly through tonight then diminish Wednesday into Thursday. /29
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 87 70 87 70 / 0 0 10 0 Pensacola 84 72 85 72 / 0 0 10 0 Destin 83 71 84 71 / 0 0 10 0 Evergreen 91 67 90 67 / 20 10 30 20 Waynesboro 90 70 89 69 / 10 10 30 20 Camden 89 69 88 68 / 0 10 30 20 Crestview 91 67 91 67 / 20 0 30 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...High Rip Current Risk from 7 AM CDT this morning through this evening for ALZ265-266.
FL...High Rip Current Risk from 7 AM CDT this morning through this evening for FLZ202-204-206.
MS...None. GM...None.
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