textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 541 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026 - A Marginal Risk of severe storms exists southeast of the I-65 corridor this afternoon with damaging winds being the primary threat.

- Strong northerly winds will occur over the marine area tonight through Monday morning and create hazardous conditions for small craft.

- Sub-freezing temperatures will occur Sunday night and Monday night for most interior areas.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1239 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

Strong to marginal severe thunderstorms remain possible southeast of the I-65 corridor this afternoon with damaging winds being the primary threat. This line of convection will exit our area by mid- evening as a strong cold front passing through our area brings a colder and drier airmass into the region. Low temperatures tonight will drop into the upper 30s to middle 40s interior areas, with upper 40s to lower 50s along the immediate coast. Overnight lows Sunday and Monday nights are expected to dip into the upper 20s to lower 30s interior and middle 30's along the coast. Expect high temperatures on Sunday and Tuesday to only top out in the middle 50s to lower 60s, with the coldest day (Monday) struggling to range from 50 to 55 degrees. These temperatures are about 5 to 10 degrees below normal. High and low temps then rebound to near climatological norms through midweek before another strong cold front passing through the area late Wednesday night into Thursday brings a few showers and another significant drop in temperatures.

Beach Forecast: A MODERATE rip current risk will continue through tonight for the Alabama beaches, and through noon Sunday for the Florida beaches. A LOW rip current risk follows through midweek. /22

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 541 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

MVFR ceilings are beginning to spread across the local area this evening as a cold front pushes through. Flight categories should return back to VFR around or a little after midnight, and will become prevalent through the remainder of the period. Light winds at issuance time will become gusty out of the northwest later this evening. Wind gusts tonight and into Sunday may reach as high as 25-30 knots in spots. /96

MARINE

Issued at 1239 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for the entire marine area starting at 9 PM this evening in the wake of the strong cold front. Gusts to gale force will be possible offshore tonight through Sunday night. This advisory is set to expire for all bays, except for Mobile Bay, at noon Sunday, for Mobile Bay and the Mississippi Sound at midnight Sunday night, and for the Gulf waters at 9 AM Monday. Offshore flow then diminishes late Sunday night and Monday. Light and variable winds on Tuesday will become westerly Tuesday night and increase to light to moderate through midweek. /22

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 45 59 33 54 / 10 0 0 0 Pensacola 48 59 36 54 / 20 0 0 0 Destin 50 60 37 54 / 30 0 0 0 Evergreen 43 57 29 54 / 10 0 0 0 Waynesboro 39 55 30 52 / 10 0 0 0 Camden 40 53 28 50 / 10 0 0 0 Crestview 46 59 30 55 / 30 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory from 9 PM this evening to midnight CST Sunday night for GMZ630>632.

Small Craft Advisory from 9 PM this evening to noon CST Sunday for GMZ633>636.

Small Craft Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 9 AM CST Monday for GMZ650-655-670-675.


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