textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 502 PM CST Thu Nov 12 2026 - A much colder and drier airmass will move into the area today and tonight in the wake of a strong cold front, with several reinforcing shots of cool, dry air through the weekend. - A frost/freeze is possible across portions of the area each night Friday through at least Sunday.

- Increased marine winds and seas are expected behind the cold front. A stronger surge of easterly winds remain possible early next week with the potential for advisory conditions and/or gale-force gusts.

UPDATE

Issued at 502 PM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

The forecast remains on track and no updates are needed. SS/97

DISCUSSION

Issued at 400 PM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

A large upper level trough will continue to dig across the eastern states through Saturday, before gradually lifting out early next week. A cold front ahead of this trough has cleared the area this morning with a cooler and drier airmass now filtering into the area. Several reinforcing shots of cool/dry air will move into the area through the weekend. High temps will remain in the upper 50s and low 60s Friday through Monday. The coldest nights will be Friday night through Sunday night where interior parts of the area generally along and north of Highway 84 will see lows at or just below freezing. A Freeze Watch has been issued for portions of the area Friday night into Saturday morning. Additional Frost/Freeze products will likely be needed. A fast moving southern stream shortwave may bring a few showers to southern portions of the area on Monday, however the highest rain chances look to remain offshore. Due to limited moisture return, any rain amounts will remain very light. Temperatures moderate through the middle of next week as an upper ridge begins to build over the area.

The rip current risk remains low through the weekend, quickly increasing to a High risk by early next week as strong winds settle in and surf rapidly builds.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 502 PM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

VFR conditions prevail through the period. The current northwesterly winds continue to be around 10 knots leading into Friday morning. Expect wind gusts up to 15-20 knots beginning mid Friday morning. SS/97

MARINE

Issued at 400 PM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

Small craft should exercise caution offshore tonight through Saturday morning as periods of moderate to strong offshore flow develop through the weekend behind a strong cold front. Strong easterly flow becomes established early next week with advisory level conditions expected and a low-end potential for gusts to gale force. Seas build to greater than 7 feet across the near and offshore Gulf waters in response to the strengthening winds early next week. /13

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 45 65 36 60 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 50 65 41 60 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 53 65 42 61 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 40 60 33 57 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 39 61 33 58 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 40 57 32 55 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 42 63 35 58 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...Freeze Watch from late Friday night through Saturday morning for ALZ051>058.

FL...None. MS...Freeze Watch from late Friday night through Saturday morning for MSZ067.

GM...None.