textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 655 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

- A MODERATE risk of rip currents will continue the first half of the week for coastal Alabama and northwest Florida beaches, becoming a HIGH risk on Wednesday.

- Coverage of showers and thunderstorms increases significantly for Monday into midweek bringing the potential for heavy rainfall and localized flash flooding.

UPDATE

Issued at 655 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

The forecast remains on track as warm evening temperatures only drop into the middle to upper 70s inland and around 80 degrees along the coast. A broken line of scattered showers and isolated storms will push south into our northern zones starting around mid-evening and dissipate as it reaches the I-10 corridor by late tonight. /22

DISCUSSION

Issued at 142 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

A much wetter pattern sets up for the first half of the new work week as an upper trough trough digs across the eastern states and sends a weak front southward into the region by tomorrow morning. The front will stall across southern Mississippi and Alabama Monday afternoon into Tuesday before moving back north by midweek. Deep layer moisture values will rapidly increase on Monday and continue into midweek with PWATs approaching 2.2 to 2.4 inches. The combination of the approaching boundary, moisture levels and a series of impulses moving through the westerly flow at the base of the trough, will set the stage for a wet start to the week. Periods of heavy rainfall are possible through midweek with widespread total rainfall amounts ranging from 2 to 4 inches, locally as high as 5 to 8 inches. Instances of flash flooding will occur where banding and prolonged training of thunderstorms with high precipitation rates occur near the stalled boundary. A Slight Risk of excessive rainfall continues for interior portions of the area on Monday and the entire area on Tuesday.

Temperatures will not be nearly as hot with the increased cloud cover and rain. Highs Monday will be mainly in the 80s and highs Tuesday in the middle 70s to middle 80s. Temperatures warm back up by the end of the week. /13

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 655 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

VFR conditions will mostly prevail through tonight outside of brief reductions in visibilities and ceilings near a broken line of scattered showers and isolated storms pushes south starting around mid-evening. MVFR ceilings with occasional drops to IFR levels will quickly spread from west to east Monday morning as numerous to widespread showers and scattered storms advance eastward across the region throughout the day, again bringing reductions in visibilities and ceilings in some of the heavier activity along with gusty surface winds. Westerly to southwesterly winds of around 5-10 knots will continue through the period. /22

MARINE

Issued at 142 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

No impacts expected other than locally higher winds and seas possible near thunderstorms. /13

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 78 88 74 82 / 20 80 60 90 Pensacola 80 90 77 85 / 10 80 50 80 Destin 80 89 77 85 / 10 60 40 80 Evergreen 75 86 71 80 / 40 90 80 100 Waynesboro 74 82 70 78 / 60 100 80 100 Camden 73 81 69 77 / 40 90 80 100 Crestview 77 89 72 82 / 10 90 60 90

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.