textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 450 AM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

- Areas of fog are expected west of the Tombigbee River late tonight into Sunday with visibilities down to one-half mile possible.

- A moderate rip current risk will return Monday into the middle of next week as easterly winds increase over the Gulf.

- Well above normal temperatures are expected for all of next week, including Christmas Day.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1251 AM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

Zonal flow above 700 mb will prevail over our region through Monday north of an upper ridge fixed over the northern Gulf, southern Texas, and northern Mexico. A few mini-shortwaves are expected to move along the northern periphery of this ridge on Sunday as a very broad upper shortwave moves eastward over the Ohio River and Great Lakes regions. When combined with increasing moisture in the lower levels and a weak cold front slipping into our area, a small chance of light showers are forecast the latter half of this weekend, mainly northwest of the I-65 corridor. Dry weather conditions will otherwise prevail through the forecast period. A light southeasterly to southerly today will bring boundary layer moisture northward, so we do expect fog development late tonight into Sunday. Areas of fog should form west of the Tombigbee River with visibilities down to one-half mile possible. Patchy fog is expected elsewhere. The upper ridge to our south will slowly build northward Monday night into midweek, thus keeping our forecast area dry and very warm through the Christmas holiday, with highs rising into the lower to middle 70s, with upper 70s definitely possible inland areas.

Beach Forecast: A LOW risk of rip currents will occur over the weekend, and then become a MODERATE risk Monday through midweek due to an increasing easterly flow over the Gulf. /22

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 450 AM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

VFR conditions will prevail throughout the forecast today with a light easterly wind becoming southerly. Patchy fog may develop inland after midnight tonight leading to localized instances of IFR to LIFR visbys. BB-8

MARINE

Issued at 1251 AM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

Mariners operating small craft over the Gulf may need to exercise caution on Monday. Otherwise, a ridge of high pressure will remain positioned over the eastern seaboard through the middle of next week, maintaining and light mainly easterly to southeasterly flow, with the exception of a moderate easterly flow over the Gulf on Monday. /22

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 69 54 71 54 / 0 0 20 20 Pensacola 66 58 70 56 / 0 0 10 10 Destin 65 56 69 55 / 0 0 10 10 Evergreen 68 47 71 50 / 0 0 20 20 Waynesboro 69 50 68 52 / 0 20 30 30 Camden 65 46 66 49 / 0 10 30 20 Crestview 66 46 72 49 / 0 0 10 10

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.