textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 240 AM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026 - Slight Risk of Flash Flooding Saturday. - A HIGH RISK of rip currents continues Saturday for the Alabama and northwest Florida beaches.

..SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK

Challenging pattern over the medium range. A nearly zonal flow aloft in place on Sunday with elongated pressure ridge positioned over Gulf. Will maintain a persistence type approach with a modest chance of showers and storms developing through the day Sunday as the moisture axis holds. There are indications of some drying/lowering of PWAT values Monday and Tuesday which would translate to lower PoPs than what we have seen of late. But by the latter half the week, will have to watch potential of convective systems rolling southeast. These systems would be embedded in a potentially active northwest flow at base of upper trof, east of the MS Valley.

Heat indices trend 102 to 107 Monday and Tuesday and there are some areas along the coastal zones that break into heat advisory criteria at 108+. Plenty of time to watch for heat related products on later forecasts.

A HIGH risk of dangerous to potentially deadly rip currents continues for all Florida and Alabama beaches through Saturday afternoon.

Multiple rivers remain in flood. Most in minor flood. A few at moderate to major levels. /10

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1255 AM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026

An area of light to occasional moderate rain with embedded isolated storms across portions of southeast Mississippi and southwest Alabama should dissipate through the overnight hours. MVFR to occasional IFR ceiling will reform inland areas late tonight into Saturday, with VFR conditions resuming by early in the afternoon. Another round of numerous to widespread showers and scattered thunderstorms will develop over southeast Mississippi and southwest Alabama in the morning and expand northeastward throughout the day. MVFR ceilings and brief LIFR visibilities in the strongest convection are expected along with heavy rain. /22

MARINE

Issued at 240 AM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026

High pressure noses westward across the Florida Peninsula and into the central Gulf through the middle of next week. Light to occasionally moderate southwesterly winds will prevail through Monday then turn more westerly mid week. Seas generally 2 to 3 feet. /10

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 89 75 88 78 / 80 30 50 0 Pensacola 89 78 88 81 / 80 30 40 0 Destin 88 78 87 80 / 70 20 30 0 Evergreen 86 72 87 75 / 90 20 50 10 Waynesboro 86 73 87 75 / 80 20 50 0 Camden 82 71 85 74 / 100 20 60 10 Crestview 88 73 88 76 / 90 20 40 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...High Rip Current Risk through this afternoon for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through this afternoon for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None. GM...None.