textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 626 AM CDT Sun May 17 2026

- Patchy fog is possible across inland locations early this morning and Monday morning. - Rain chances increase by mid to late next week, especially over the northwestern portion of the forecast area.

- Temperatures will continue to trend warmer through early next week with increasingly humid conditions. Heat indices will climb into low to mid 90s by Monday and Tuesday.

UPDATE

Issued at 626 AM CDT Sun May 17 2026

Forecast remains on track. BB-8

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1043 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026

Dry weather conditions prevail today with perhaps isolated to scattered shower and thunderstorm coverage Monday over interior portions of the area. Rain chances gradually increase into mid and late week as upper ridging weakens and southwest flow aloft works its way into the area along with several weak shortwaves. This should be enough to generate isolated to scattered shower and thunderstorm coverage each day starting Wednesday. Best rain chances will be reserved for the weekend as a weak upper trough pushes across the region. Overall it's looking like beneficial rains across the forecast area through the weekend. This morning and Monday morning may also see some localized patches of fog around daybreak reducing visibility below a mile at times. Fog each morning will be quick to lift.

Outside of the rain chances, temperatures will be warm near or just above normal for this time of year on both highs and lows throughout the week. Highs generally fall in the 85 to 90 range, warmest Wednesday where some spots across the FL panhandle into south-central AL make it to the lower 90's. Lows warm with time from upper 50's to middle 60's this morning to middle 60's to lower 70's by mid week. The rip current risk remains Low today, becoming Moderate Monday through Wednesday. MM/25

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 626 AM CDT Sun May 17 2026

VFR conditions should persist throughout the forecast with light southeasterly winds. Winds should become light and variable overnight with some patchy ground fog possible. BB-8

MARINE

Issued at 131 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026

A light to occasionally moderate southerly to southeasterly flow is expected over the next several days due to high pressure off the southeast Atlantic coast. Seas across the Gulf waters will build to around 3 feet by Monday and Tuesday. 34/JFB

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 85 69 86 70 / 0 0 10 0 Pensacola 84 72 85 72 / 0 0 10 0 Destin 82 72 83 72 / 0 0 10 0 Evergreen 89 64 91 66 / 0 0 30 0 Waynesboro 88 65 88 69 / 0 0 30 0 Camden 88 64 90 67 / 0 0 30 0 Crestview 89 65 91 66 / 0 0 20 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.