textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 318 PM CST Sun Nov 8 2026

- Patchy frost is likely again late tonight into Monday for northern areas.

- Dry conditions prevail for the start of the week, along with warming temperatures. This could lead to an increased risk for fire weather concerns on Monday and Tuesday. - A strong cold front is expected to pass through the area on Thursday, bringing much cooler temperatures. Marine winds will also strengthen behind the front, along with building seas.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 318 PM CST Sun Nov 8 2026

As the center of a large 1023 MB surface high pressure system centered over the ARKLATEX region migrates southward, we are expecting very chilly conditions tonight across the region. Low temperatures tonight across interior portions of southeast Mississippi and southwest Alabama will again drop into the middle to upper 30s (around 6 to 9 degrees below normal). The combination of clearing skies late tonight and light winds will lead to the development of patchy frost, especially in non-protected and other frost-prone areas. Went ahead and issued another Frost Advisory from 2 AM to 8 AM Monday across all of our northern zones, but our main concern is generally along and north of a line from Waynesboro MS to Monroeville AL to Luverne AL. Persons living in this area should take steps now to protect sensitive outdoor vegetation. Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered. We are expecting similar low temperatures and frost formation for Sunday night.

The center of the surface high pressure system will gradually weaken early in the week, but a surface ridge will remain across the Deep South into midweek. Dry weather conditions will persist through midweek, with high temperatures climbing back into the middle to upper 70s by Tuesday and Wednesday. We are still monitoring a strong upper trough forecast to exit the northern and central Plains Tuesday night and dig southeastward across the entire eastern CONUS by Thursday. A low pressure system is expected to move eastward across the Ohio Vally Wednesday night into Thursday with an associated strong surface cold front approaching our area from the north. At this time, we are not expected any rain associated with this system. The strong cold front will push well south of the coast late in the week and potentially bring sub-freezing temperatures to our northern zones Friday and Saturday nights. /22

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1129 AM CST Sun Nov 8 2026

VFR conditions under north to northeasterly winds 5 to 10 knots expected through the forecast. /16

MARINE

Issued at 318 PM CST Sun Nov 8 2026

Light northerly to northeasterly winds will continue into Tuesday becoming light and variable Tuesday afternoon as a high pressure system moves over the Gulf waters. A light northerly flow will resume by late Tuesday night shifting to light westerly Wednesday afternoon. This westerly flow will increase to moderate by late Wednesday night as a strong cold front approaches from the north, followed by a moderate to strong offshore flow Thursday and Friday in the wake of the cold front with gusts up to 30 knots. Waves/seas respond reaching 2-3ft for protected waters, 3-4ft for nearshore Gulf zones and 4-7 ft for outer Gulf zones. Winds and wave/seas taper going into next weekend. /22

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 45 74 48 77 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 53 74 55 75 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 54 75 56 74 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 38 73 41 77 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 38 74 43 78 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 36 71 40 75 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 40 75 42 77 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...Frost Advisory from 2 AM to 8 AM CST Monday for ALZ051>058.

FL...None. MS...Frost Advisory from 2 AM to 8 AM CST Monday for MSZ067.

GM...None.