textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1032 AM CDT Mon May 18 2026

- A HIGH risk of rip currents is in effect for all area beaches on Tuesday. - Rain chances increase by mid to late next week, especially over the northwestern portion of the forecast area.

- Localized patchy fog will be possible late tonight into early Tuesday morning.

UPDATE

Issued at 1032 AM CDT Mon May 18 2026

Have updated to increase highs by 2-3 degrees today mainly over a portion of the southern half of the area based on the latest trends. Made other minor adjustments. /29

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1025 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026

Dry weather conditions generally prevail for most areas today outside of perhaps an isolated shower or storm over the interior this afternoon, best chances near the Highway 84 corridor. Rain chances gradually increase into mid and late week as upper ridging weakens and southwest flow aloft works its way into the area along with several weak shortwaves. This should be enough to generate isolated to scattered shower and thunderstorm coverage each day starting Wednesday. Rain chances continue to look like they will be best this weekend as a weak upper trough pushes across the region. Overall for those who see storms it will be a beneficial rainfall to continue chipping away at our ongoing drought across the forecast area. We will probably see some patchy fog across portions of the area through daybreak this morning and again Tuesday morning. The better signal for fog, some locally dense, appears to be Tuesday morning. Fog will generally lift pretty quickly after daybreak.

Outside of the rain chances, temperatures will be warm near or just above normal for this time of year on both highs and lows throughout the week. Highs generally fall in the 85 to 90 range, warmest Wednesday where some spots across the FL panhandle into south-central AL make it to the lower 90's. Lows warm with time from upper 50's to middle 60's this morning to middle 60's to lower 70's by mid week. The rip current risk remains Moderate today, becoming High Tuesday before dropping back to a Low to Moderate risk Wednesday into late week. MM/25

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 608 AM CDT Mon May 18 2026

IFR to MVFR ceilings have developed across the area this morning but will quickly give way to MVFR and VFR ceilings this morning. Winds will be out of the south-southeast around 10 knots gusting to 20 knots. An isolated shower or storm cannot be rule out this afternoon; however, any impacts to aviation will be minimal. MVFR ceilings will develop this evening with some patchy fog possible mainly across inland areas of southeastern Mississippi after midnight. BB-8

MARINE

Issued at 1156 AM CDT Sun May 17 2026

A light to occasionally moderate southeasterly flow will prevail through Thursday. Seas will build slightly by Monday and Tuesday then diminish Wednesday into Thursday. /29

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 87 71 87 70 / 10 0 0 0 Pensacola 85 72 84 72 / 10 10 0 0 Destin 83 71 83 71 / 10 0 0 0 Evergreen 89 66 91 67 / 30 10 20 10 Waynesboro 88 71 90 70 / 10 0 10 10 Camden 88 68 89 69 / 30 0 0 10 Crestview 89 66 91 67 / 20 10 20 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...High Rip Current Risk from Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk from Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None. GM...None.