textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 250 AM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026
- Heat indices remain in the 100 to 107 range each afternoon today through late week.
- Rain and thunderstorm chances increase today, becoming likely over much of the area on Monday. Locally heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and frequent lightning can be expected with any storms.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1121 PM CDT Sat Jul 4 2026
Upper ridging continues to gradually break down across the area allowing for a steady increase in rain and thunderstorm chances each afternoon and evening as we head through the early part of the week. Scattered to locally numerous showers and thunderstorms can be expected each day, with greatest coverage likely on Monday. Upper ridging attempts to build back in mid-week, which may temper storm chances somewhat, but still anticipating at least scattered coverage of showers and storms mid to late week.
Temperatures remain near seasonable norms with highs in the lower to middle 90's each afternoon, coolest on the stormier days, and lows in the middle 70's each night. Heat indices any given afternoon will be in the 100 to 107 degree range, warmest towards the late week. The rip current risk remains low throughout the week. MM/25
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 208 AM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026
VFR conditions will prevail through most of the period. Lower ceilings and visibilities are possible in and around scattered showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and early evening. /13
MARINE
Issued at 250 AM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026
No impacts expected other than locally higher winds and seas possible near thunderstorms. /13
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 93 75 91 75 / 60 20 70 40 Pensacola 93 79 92 79 / 30 40 60 60 Destin 92 80 91 80 / 10 50 60 70 Evergreen 93 73 91 73 / 40 20 70 20 Waynesboro 93 73 91 73 / 70 20 60 20 Camden 91 73 88 73 / 50 40 60 30 Crestview 95 74 92 75 / 30 30 70 40
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.
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