textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 702 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026
- Warm temperatures will occur throughout the week with both highs and lows about 5 to 10 degrees above normal.
- Moderate to extreme drought with no rain in the forecast throughout the week will exacerbate wildfire activity.
- A moderate rip current risk is expected for coastal Alabama and northwest Florida beaches through midweek.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1248 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026
The northern portion of an upper ridge over the eastern CONUS will become flattened before moving out over the western Atlantic as shortwave energy passes over the Great Lakes. Upper ridging, however, will persist over the southeast states and Gulf will persist through the remainder of the forecast. A large 1032mb surface high pressure area across much of North America will move out over the western Atlantic, but a surface ridge will remain across the southeast states and much of the Gulf through the remainder of the forecast with no rain expected. High temperatures inland will reach the middle 80s today through Thursday and likely reach the upper 80s on Friday and Saturday. These highs will be about 5 to 10 degrees above normal today through Thursday and 7 to 12 degrees above normal on Friday and Saturday. Lows inland will be in the middle 50s to around 60 degrees through Tuesday night and in the upper 50s to lower 60s Wednesday night through the remainder of the forecast. Coastal lows will range from 60 to 65 degrees through Tuesday night and then in the middle 60s through the remainder of the forecast. Patchy to areas of fog are expected tonight and Monday night. Visibilities are expected to lower to between 1 to 2 miles across much of the area late overnight into early morning, with scattered dense fog possible.
Beach Forecast: A MODERATE risk of rip currents is expected through midweek. /22
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 702 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026
Mostly VFR with very patchy VLIFR to LIFR visbys have developed across the area this morning. Observations show that most of the fog resulting in VLIFR to LIFR visbys is confined to the northwestern Florida Panhandle and parts of extreme southwestern Alabama. Visbys should improve to VFR over the next couple of hours with VFR conditions prevailing through midnight. Another round of patchy fog will be possible across southcentral Alabama and the northwestern Florida Panhandle after midnight tonight. Winds will be out of the south around 10 to 15 knots becoming light and variable overnight. BB-8
MARINE
Issued at 1131 AM CDT Sat Apr 11 2026
A light to moderate southeasterly flow develops this afternoon and eventually turns southerly on Thursday. /29
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 82 61 82 60 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 77 63 77 61 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 76 64 76 62 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 87 54 85 54 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 85 59 85 59 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 86 56 84 55 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 85 54 83 54 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.
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