textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1058 AM CST Mon Nov 9 2026 - A strong cold front pushes through the area on Thursday, bringing much cooler temperatures. Marine winds will strengthen behind the front along with building seas.
- A light freeze is possible well inland late Friday night and Saturday night, roughly along and north of Highway 84.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1058 AM CST Mon Nov 9 2026
An upper low centered near southwest Texas has been sending abundant cirriform cloudiness downstream across much of the forecast area. The upper low shears out into Tuesday followed by a rather large and deep upper trough developing over the eastern half of the CONUS which brings a strong cold front through the forecast area on Thursday.
Very typical conditions for mid-November with sunshine and highs in the mid-70s and lows around 40. The cold front moving through Wednesday into Thursday drops those temps to the upper 50s and mid-30s with a chance to see lows at or just below freezing by Friday night, generally along and north of Hwy 84. Winds accompanying the front kick up as high as 15-20mph Thursday night and Friday night. No rain is expected through the period due to limited deep layer moisture. [LIX/Schlotz]
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1058 AM CST Mon Nov 9 2026
Currently VFR conditions at all terminals and expected to remain so for the forecast period. Very light northerly to variable winds through the period with possibility of SCT to BKN at FL150 and FL250 and no impacts expected. [LIX/Schlotz]
MARINE
Issued at 1058 AM CST Mon Nov 9 2026
Light northerly to northeasterly winds will continue today through early Tuesday, becoming very light and variable Tuesday afternoon as a high pressure system moves over the Gulf waters. A light northerly flow will resume by late Tuesday night shifting to light westerly Wednesday afternoon. This westerly flow will increase to moderate by late Wednesday night as a strong cold front approaches from the north, followed by a moderate to strong offshore flow Thursday and Friday in the wake of the cold front with gusts up to 30 knots. Waves/seas respond reaching 2-3ft for protected waters, 3-4ft for nearshore Gulf zones and 4-7 ft for outer Gulf zones. Headlines expected as we approach the end of the week. Winds and wave/seas taper going into next weekend. [LIX/Schlotz]
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 50 77 52 77 / 0 0 10 10 Pensacola 57 75 59 75 / 0 0 10 10 Destin 58 74 59 74 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 43 76 45 75 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 45 77 44 77 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 43 74 44 75 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 44 77 47 75 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.
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