textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 225 PM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

- Hot and humid conditions continue on Sunday with afternoon heat index values between 100 and 106 degrees.

- A MODERATE risk of rip currents will continue through early next week for coastal Alabama and northwest Florida beaches, becoming a HIGH risk by Wednesday.

- Coverage of showers and thunderstorms increases significantly for early to mid next week bringing the potential for heavy rainfall and localized flash flooding.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 225 PM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

Hot and humid conditions continue through Sunday across the area. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will end this evening. Much of the area will remain dry on Sunday with only a few isolated showers possible across eastern portions of the area. This will lead to warmer temps with highs in the low to mid 90s in most areas away from the beach. Heat index values will climb into the 100 to 106 range.

A wetter pattern returns Monday into Tuesday as a broad trough moves across the east and a weak front slowly moves into the southeast. Deep layer moisture will increase on Monday with precipitable water values approaching 2.2 inches. This deep tropical moisture combined with a slow moving boundary will set the stage numerous showers and thunderstorms Monday through Tuesday. The heaviest rain will depend on where the boundary stalls as training cells move along the boundary. WPC has placed the northwestern portion of the forecast area under a slight risk of excessive rainfall on Monday, with nearly the entire area included in a slight risk for Tuesday. The stalled boundary begins to move back northward and wash out Wednesday into Thursday with the highest rain chances across northern areas where a heavy rain risk may continue. Temperatures will be held down by the rain and increased cloud cover with many areas in the 70s and low 80s on Tuesday.

A MODERATE risk of rip currents will continue at all area beaches through early next week. Onshore flow is expected to strengthen by the middle of next week, resulting in a HIGH risk of rip currents by Wednesday. /13

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 107 PM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

VFR conditions prevail through much of the period. Isolated to scattered showers and storms will develop through the afternoon with brief reductions to MVFR/IFR conditions in and around storms. /13

MARINE

Issued at 225 PM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

No impacts expected other than locally higher winds and seas possible near thunderstorms. /13

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 74 95 76 89 / 10 10 20 70 Pensacola 79 94 79 92 / 10 10 10 50 Destin 79 91 79 89 / 10 10 10 40 Evergreen 75 94 74 87 / 10 10 30 80 Waynesboro 74 94 73 83 / 10 0 50 90 Camden 75 92 72 82 / 10 10 50 90 Crestview 74 95 76 91 / 10 20 10 80

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.