textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1256 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

- A HIGH risk of rip currents continues through this afternoon for coastal Alabama and northwest Florida beaches. The risk returns to HIGH by Wednesday.

- Marine winds will reach advisory-level conditions tonight into early Monday for coastal Alabama, and persist through Monday night for the Gulf waters. Additional rounds rounds of advisory-level conditions with gusts near gale-force are likely this week as marine winds turn easterly.

- Strong easterly winds with gusts near gale-force on Wednesday and Thursday will likely result in high surf advisory conditions with breaking waves of 5-8 feet and possible minor coastal inundation.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1254 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Our long awaited front is arriving as rain has slowly moved into our area from the west this evening and the front has made it to central Mississippi. Overall, weak ascent will continue to overspread our area over the next 6 to 10 hours as showers and the occasional thunderstorm develops along and ahead of the approaching boundary. A few isolated showers have developed well out ahead of the main line this evening and while a few have show some signs of very weak transient rotation these very mini spinnies will likely struggle the remainder of the night. Taking a quick gander at the KMOB vertical wind profile shows really poor and weakening shear as we move further east coupled with paltry instability. All that to say we are not expecting much from any of these storms other than a quick shot of rain. The main line should reach I-65 by around day break and then clear the coast by early to mid-afternoon as it slows to a crawl offshore. The upper trough pushing the front will quickly eject out leading to the front likely stalling just off the coast Sunday into Monday. With the front sitting just offshore, showers and a few storms may encroach upon the immediate coastline through midweek as a series of weak shortwaves progress across the mostly westerly flow aloft. The strongest of these waves will arrive on Wednesday into Thursday brining the chance for some light overrunning rain to the area. However, moisture quality will likely be limited and the best chance for any appreciable rain will likely be along the immediate coastline. High Pressure will then build into the area by the weekend leading to dry conditions as temperatures slowly warm.

Beach Hazards... A HIGH risk of rip currents will likely through today as a moderate onshore flow should persist. While the winds will not be strong, there should be enough of a fetch and increasingly strong tides falling during the afternoons to result in likely hazardous swimming conditions and rip currents. Be sure to continue to swim near lifeguards. BB-8

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1256 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Lingering showers southeast of I-65 will move east out of the area by this evening. MVFR conditions currently prevail over our entire area, and a gradual improvement to VFR will occur from northwest to southeast this afternoon and evening behind a cold front slipping through the region. Winds will turn northerly around 10 knots in the wake of the front and continue through noon Monday, with occasional gusts to near 20 knots possible. /22

MARINE

Issued at 1254 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Winds quickly turn northerly overnight behind a approaching cold front. A moderate to strong offshore flow develops through Monday before winds turn easterly by Tuesday afternoon. These moderate to strong easterly winds will persist through the end of the week. Expect a few rounds of small craft advisory-level conditions throughout the week and the potential gusts nearing gale force by midweek. BB-8

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 74 52 68 50 / 90 20 10 0 Pensacola 76 55 68 55 / 90 30 10 10 Destin 75 56 69 56 / 80 40 20 10 Evergreen 73 47 70 46 / 90 10 0 0 Waynesboro 71 49 68 47 / 60 0 0 0 Camden 70 48 68 46 / 90 0 0 0 Crestview 78 51 70 48 / 90 30 10 10

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM CDT this evening for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM CDT this evening for FLZ202-204- 206.

MS...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM CDT Monday for GMZ630>632.

Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 1 PM CDT Monday for GMZ650-655.

Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 4 PM CDT Monday for GMZ670-675.