textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 653 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

- Hot and humid conditions return with heat indices of 100-107 this weekend.

- Risk for rip currents increases to MODERATE Thursday through the weekend for the coastal Alabama and northwest Florida beaches.

UPDATE

Issued at 653 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

The forecast remains on track with no changes planned. 98/25

DISCUSSION

Issued at 349 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

Relatively benign pattern remains overhead with generally dry weather and warm temperatures expected to round out the week. The sea breeze continues to push inland across the coastal counties, as seen on satellite and radar imagery. A few spotty showers can't be ruled out as we roll through the late afternoon hours, but the vast majority of the area will remain dry today.

Ridging aloft will continue to suppress convection through Friday with minimal chances for showers and storms late each afternoon. The ridge aloft gets nudged deeper into the Gulf over the weekend due to several shortwaves sliding through the flow aloft. This will ultimately increase the chance for rain over the weekend as we return to a diurnal pattern for showers and storms. The ridge really begins to break down as we head into the early to middle part of next week with higher PoPs along an approaching front. Depending on where the plume of moisture sets up next week, we could be looking at the potential for minor flooding by mid-week across the western half of the area - details in the pattern will become more refined as we get closer in time.

The heat begins to crank in this pattern as we head deeper into the week and toward the weekend. High temperatures will top out in the mid to low 90s across much of the area. The heat index will rise to 100-107 by Saturday.

Beach Forecast - The risk for rip currents increases to MODERATE tomorrow for the coastal Alabama and northwest Florida beaches. Conditions will likely start out okay at the beaches in the morning hours with the risk increasing to MODERATE by early afternoon, according to the probabilistic data. The risk will remain MODERATE through the weekend. The rip current MOS data is now hinting at the possibility of the risk increasing to a HIGH by next Monday night or Tuesday morning as the onshore flow increases. 07/mb

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 653 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the period for most of the area. There is a low confidence potential of patchy fog in the 09-13z timeframe, especially over inland portions of southeast MS, southern AL, and the western FL Panhandle. Light and variable winds tonight will become generally southerly at 5-10 knots on Thursday. 98/25

MARINE

Issued at 349 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

No impacts expected other than locally higher winds and seas possible near thunderstorms this weekend. 07/mb

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 72 90 73 92 / 0 0 10 20 Pensacola 75 89 76 91 / 0 0 0 10 Destin 76 88 77 89 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 72 94 72 94 / 10 0 0 20 Waynesboro 71 94 72 94 / 0 0 0 10 Camden 72 93 72 94 / 10 0 0 10 Crestview 71 94 71 95 / 0 10 0 10

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.