textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 626 AM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026

- Moderate to extreme drought will exacerbate wildfire activity.

- Patchy to areas of fog, some of which could be dense, is possible tonight and Friday night. Super fog development, which could reduce visibilities to near zero, is possible near and around prescribed burns/wildfires.

- Strong marine winds may create hazardous conditions for small craft mainly from Sunday into early Monday afternoon.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1043 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

An upper trof over the interior eastern states exits off into the western Atlantic through Friday while a large upper trof advances across the western half of the CONUS. This next upper trof amplifies while continuing into the eastern states this weekend, then moves off into the western Atlantic early next week. Dry conditions are expected over the forecast area through Saturday afternoon, then a chance for rain returns for Saturday night into Sunday as a surface low brings a cold front through the area. For Saturday night, have gone with slight chance to likely pops, with the higher pops over interior southwest Alabama and interior southeast Mississippi. Slight chance to chance pops follow for Sunday morning, then dry conditions are expected for Monday through Thursday.

Highs on Friday mostly range from the lower 80s at the coast to the upper 80s well inland, then Saturday will have highs in the lower to mid 80s. Highs on Sunday will be cooler and tend to range from around 70 well inland to the lower 70s elsewhere. Highs gradually trend warmer going into next week, with highs on Thursday expected to be mostly in the lower to mid 80s. Lows Friday night range from around 60 inland to the mid 60s at the coast then trend much cooler by Sunday night to range from the mid 40s well inland to the lower 50s at the coast. Overnight lows then slowly trend warmer going into Thursday night when lows are expected to range from the mid/upper 50s inland to the lower 60s closer to the coast. A low risk of rip currents is expected from Friday through Sunday, then a moderate risk follows for Monday. /29

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 626 AM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026

VFR to MVFR flight categories currently prevail across the area outside of isolated reductions to LIFR for both ceiling and visibility due to localized dense fog. Any remaining fog will erode quickly by mid-morning, with VFR conditions remaining through this evening. MVFR visibilities due to patchy fog is possible late tonight. Light and variable winds become southerly to southwesterly at 5 to 10 knots today. /22

MARINE

Issued at 333 AM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026

Light onshore continues through Saturday evening then shifts westerly by late Saturday night as a strong cold front approaches from the northwest. Moderate to strong offshore will occur Sunday into Monday in the wake of the front, and a Small Craft Advisory will be required. Light to moderate easterly to southeasterly flow follows into midweek. /22

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 84 62 83 55 / 0 0 0 40 Pensacola 80 66 80 60 / 0 0 0 20 Destin 79 66 78 63 / 0 0 0 10 Evergreen 90 57 86 53 / 0 0 0 30 Waynesboro 88 60 85 50 / 0 0 10 60 Camden 88 60 85 51 / 0 0 0 50 Crestview 88 57 85 57 / 0 0 0 10

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.