textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 617 AM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026

- Record or near record highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s are expected Thursday with mid to upper 80s for Friday. With many areas still without power and recovery efforts from Hurricane Isaias ongoing, these temperatures could lead to an increased risk for heat related illnesses.

- Strong northerly winds develop over the marine area Friday night, becoming easterly and lasting into the weekend. Gale force wind gusts are possible, with conditions posing a hazard to small craft.

- A High Risk of dangerous rip currents return to area beaches from Saturday night into early next week.

UPDATE

Issued at 617 AM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026

Nighttime Microphysics imagery shows a few isolated areas of patchy fog along the coast. Surface observations in these areas have been reporting fluctuations in visibilities that suggest fog is rather shallow. Given the sporadic nature, have held off on a Dense Fog Advisory, and any lingering fog will dissipate shortly after sunrise. Otherwise, the previous forecast remains on track and no changes were necessary. /73

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1145 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

There is the potential for patchy fog development across much of the area overnight, and it's possible that dense fog will develop across portions of southeast Mississippi and extreme southwest Alabama. Will continue to monitor at this point. A large upper trof progresses across the eastern states late in the week, with an associated surface low bringing a cold front through the forecast area Friday afternoon into the evening hours. Some isolated showers will be possible near the coast of the western Florida panhandle on Friday, but otherwise dry conditions are expected through Tuesday. Record or near record temperatures continue for Thursday with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s, then highs on Friday will be moderated slightly with highs mostly in the mid to upper 80s. Lows Thursday night range from the lower 60s inland to the mid/upper 60s closer to the coast. Here's the current forecast for highs on Thursday along with the record values:

Mobile 89, Record 89 Pensacola 88, Record 89

Much cooler air flows into the area in the wake of the cold front. Highs on Saturday range from the upper 60s well inland to the lower 70s elsewhere, and highs on Sunday will be similar. Lows Saturday night and Sunday night range from the upper 40s well inland to the mid 50s at the coast. A gradual warming trend follows for early next week, with highs on Tuesday reaching the upper 70s to lower 80s, and lows Tuesday night will range from the lower 50s well inland to near 60 at the coast. A low risk of rip currents is expected through Friday then trends to a high risk for Saturday night through Monday. /29

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 617 AM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026

Patchy, and at times dense, fog has been observed along the coast and will impact the terminals through 14Z. LIFR to IFR visibilites will likely persist at KJKA, while MVFR visibilities are expected elsewhere. Fog should dissipate shortly after sunrise with VFR conditions returning through the reminder of the forecast period. /73

MARINE

Issued at 620 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2026

A light, diurnally variable, the rest of the week becomes a strong to very strong easterly Friday night behind a cold front moving across the forecast area Friday. A surface ridge building south along the Appalachians later in the weekend into the coming week will shift winds to easterly, whilst remaining strong, especially over open Gulf waters. /16

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 89 65 86 55 / 0 0 10 0 Pensacola 88 68 84 58 / 0 0 10 0 Destin 85 69 82 59 / 0 0 20 10 Evergreen 90 61 87 52 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 90 62 88 50 / 0 0 0 10 Camden 89 62 86 50 / 0 0 0 10 Crestview 89 63 86 56 / 0 0 10 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.