textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 231 AM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026 - Summertime heat continues through this week with heat indices as high as 103 to 107 any given day. Heat indices may approach heat advisory criteria around 108 Tuesday for most locations.

- Showers and thunderstorms return to the forecast Tuesday through late week. A strong to severe thunderstorm or two can't be ruled out each afternoon.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1204 AM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026

Surface and upper level ridging will continue to dominate the area today. This will maintain the dry and hot conditions. An isolated shower or storm cannot be completely ruled out this afternoon, however most areas will remain dry. Subsidence under the ridge will also lead to continued hot conditions with highs in the low to mid 90s. Some areas could reach the upper 90s. Heat index values will continue to flirt with heat advisory criteria each afternoon, however most areas will remain in the 103 to 107 range. The upper ridge will move north of the area Tuesday into Wednesday, placing the area in an easterly flow regime. Increased deep layer moisture combined with shortwaves moving through the easterly flow will bring higher rain chances to the area on Tuesday with scattered to locally numerous showers and thunderstorms. Best chances will remain east of the I-65 corridor. Storms on Tuesday may also have the chance to become strong to severe, with primary hazards being gusty to locally damaging winds in addition to heavy rainfall and lightning.

For the remainder of the week, we remain generally under deep layer easterly flow with the ridge centered just north of us. This will continue to promote isolated to scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms each day while highs continue to top out in the lower to middle 90s. Overnight lows stay warm throughout the forecast period in the lower to middle 70s. A Low risk of rip currents continues through this week. /13

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1257 AM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026

Mainly VFR conditions will prevail for the next 24 hours with light and variable winds. However, there is some low-confidence potential for MVFR ceilings in spots this morning and isolated IFR conditions cannot be ruled out inland. Some patchy light inland fog is also possible early this morning. /98

MARINE

Issued at 231 AM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026

A light diurnal flow pattern will be in place through the week, with light onshore flow expected during the afternoon hours, becoming a light offshore flow each night. Expect higher winds and seas in and around thunderstorms, with storm chances increasing on Tuesday afternoon. /98

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 96 75 95 76 / 0 0 40 40 Pensacola 95 79 95 79 / 0 0 50 40 Destin 93 80 93 79 / 10 0 40 30 Evergreen 97 75 95 75 / 0 0 50 20 Waynesboro 97 75 96 75 / 0 0 30 20 Camden 93 75 95 75 / 0 0 30 10 Crestview 97 76 96 76 / 0 0 50 20

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.