textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1255 AM CST Fri Dec 19 2025
- A high risk of rip currents remains in effect for all area beaches through this afternoon.
- Hazardous conditions for small craft across Coastal Alabama and the Gulf and will occur overnight into Friday morning.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1255 AM CST Fri Dec 19 2025
A dry and cool air mass will filter into the region from the north today in the wake of a cold front as surface high pressure builds in from the west. Although it will be bright and sunny, highs today will be about 2 to 6 degrees below normal, ranging from 55 to 60 degrees inland with lower 60s along the coast. Lows tonight will be slightly below normal, ranging from 33 to 38 degrees inland and from 38 to 43 degrees along the coast. With the surface high pressure progressing quickly off to out east by the weekend, high temps over the weekend will moderate back above normal in the middle 60s to lower 70s. Lows over the weekend will be well above normal, ranging from the middle 40s to middle 50s. A dry period will resume through the end of the week, followed by a 24 hour period (Sunday and Sunday night) with light showers possible, mainly along and northwest of the I-65 corridor as a weak cold front slips into our area. Zonal flow aloft will persist into Monday followed be upper ridging slowly building in from the west, thus keeping our forecast area dry and very warm through the Christmas Holiday season. A light southeasterly to southerly on Saturday will bring boundary layer moisture northward, so we do expect some patchy fog late each night through the weekend, mainly across southeast Mississippi and southwest Alabama.
Beach Forecast: A HIGH risk of rip currents will occur through this afternoon, dropping to LOW over the weekend, and then should become moderate into Tuesday due to an increasing easterly flow over the Gulf. /22
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1058 PM CST Thu Dec 18 2025
A cold front that has been crossing the forecast area this evening will bring a quick shot of rain to areas where it crosses before moving south of the coast by 09z. Post frontal northerly winds of 10 to 15 knots will usher in a drier airmass, with VFR conditions expected the rest of the forecast. /16
MARINE
Issued at 1255 AM CST Fri Dec 19 2025
A Small Craft Advisory is effect from 2 am tonight until 9 am Friday for Mobile Bay and the Mississippi Sound, and until noon for the Gulf. The moderate to strong northerly early this morning in the wake of a cold front will decrease throughout the day. A light to moderate northeasterly flow this evening will quickly shift to a light southeasterly to southerly on Saturday. A light easterly flow prevails on Sunday, increasing to light to moderate on Monday before decreasing back to light easterly flow on Tuesday. /22
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 60 39 68 53 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 60 43 65 56 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 62 44 64 54 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 58 33 66 45 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 56 34 68 49 / 0 0 0 10 Camden 54 33 64 45 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 60 33 65 44 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...High Rip Current Risk through this afternoon for ALZ265-266.
FL...High Rip Current Risk through this afternoon for FLZ202-204-206.
MS...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for GMZ630>632.
Small Craft Advisory until noon CST today for GMZ650-655-670-675.
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