textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1240 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026
- Near record highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s are expected through late week. With many areas still without power and recovery efforts from Hurricane Isaias ongoing, these temperatures could lead to an increased risk for heat-related illnesses.
- Strong northerly winds develop over the marine area Friday night, becoming easterly and lasting into the weekend. Gale force wind gusts are possible, with conditions posing a hazard to small craft.
- A High Risk of dangerous Rip Currents return to area beaches over the weekend.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1240 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026
Through Saturday night, a strong upper low over over the Southeast gets an eastward shove the end of the week as an upper trough moves from over the Plains to off the East Coast by Saturday evening. A strong cold front crosses the forecast area beginning mid day Friday and moving south of the coast by Friday evening, and south of area waters by Saturday morning. With a distinct lack of moisture with the strong cold front pushing across the forecast area, a temporary increase in clouds is the most that is expected, weather wise. Near record high temperatures across the forecast area ahead of the frontal passage, with mid to upper 80s, plus a few 90s possible. Behind the front, high temperatures drop into the upper 60s to low 70s for Saturday. Low temperatures in the low to mid 60s(upper 60s along the coast) drop into the upper 40s to low 50s Saturday night.
Sunday on, an upper ridge builds north over the Mississippi River, with a surface ridge building southwest along the Appalachians. The forecast remains dry, with minimal moisture return to counteract the post-frontal airmass that has moved over the forecast area. Temperatures rise back to above seasonal norms in the coming week.
Taking a look at the Rip Current risk on area beaches, a Low Risk is expected the rest of the week. As strong easterly flow sets up over the weekend, a High Risk of Rip Currents returns Sunday on. /16
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1240 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026
VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours. /13
MARINE
Issued at 1240 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026
A light, diurnally variable, the rest of the week becomes a strong to very strong easterly Friday night behind a cold front moving across the forecast area Friday. A surface ridge building south along the Appalachians later in the weekend into the coming week will shift winds to easterly, whilst remaining strong, especially over open Gulf waters. /16
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 90 64 88 65 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 89 67 87 65 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 87 69 85 67 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 92 61 90 60 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 91 60 89 61 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 91 60 90 60 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 91 62 89 62 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.
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