textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 628 AM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026 - Minor coastal flooding is likely through the morning hours, especially across the northern reaches of Mobile Bay.

- Dangerous and life-threatening beach conditions will persist through the day.

- Heat builds over the weekend into early next week and Heat Advisories or Excessive Heat warnings may become necessary.

UPDATE

Issued at 628 AM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026

Forecast is on track with no changes necessary this morning. Minor coastal flooding continues in the northern reaches of Mobile Bay where splashover can be seen on traffic cameras along the Causeway. High tide occurs soon, so water levels will begin receding through the remainder of the morning. 07/mb

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1236 AM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026

Tropical Storm Bertha continues to move westward and away from the area. This will continue to take the main effects well away from the area, however a moist southerly flow will continue with isolated to scattered showers possible this afternoon. The highest rain chances will be across northwest areas closer to the influence of a weak upper trough. By the end of the week into the weekend, the upper ridge to the west expands eastward and some dryer air moves into the area. This will lead to lower rain chances and warmer temps. This trend continue into next week with isolated showers and storms possible each day. The main weather story will be the return of high heat indices with high temperatures increasing into the middle to upper 90s and apparent temperatures climbing to between 100-107 over the weekend and 105-112 early in the work week.

A HIGH risk of rip currents continues through Thursday night dropping to Moderate Friday through Sunday. /13

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 628 AM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026

VFR conditions prevail through the TAF cycle. A few rainbands will continue to rotate onshore through the morning hours with a brief burst of rain possible. Occasional wind gusts to around 20 kts are expected throughout the day across the western half of the area in the wake of Bertha. 07/mb

MARINE

Issued at 1236 AM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026

Tropical Storm Bertha continue to move west across the Gulf this morning. Winds will continue to gradually relax through the day in the wake of Bertha with seas remaining elevated around 7-9 feet through at least mid-morning for the Gulf waters. A diurnal pattern develops later this week through early next week with southwesterly winds during the day becoming westerly to northwesterly overnight and into the pre-dawn hours each day. 07/mb

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 91 74 94 74 / 20 10 10 0 Pensacola 90 77 93 77 / 10 0 0 0 Destin 89 77 91 78 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 93 72 95 73 / 20 0 10 10 Waynesboro 93 74 97 73 / 30 10 10 0 Camden 91 74 92 75 / 30 10 20 0 Crestview 93 71 97 73 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...Coastal Flood Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for ALZ263>266.

High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for ALZ265-266.

High Surf Warning until 3 PM CDT this afternoon for ALZ265-266.

FL...Coastal Flood Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for FLZ202- 204-206.

High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for FLZ202-204-206.

High Surf Warning until 3 PM CDT this afternoon for FLZ202-204- 206.

MS...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT this morning for GMZ630>632.

Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for GMZ650- 655-670-675.