textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1145 PM CST Mon Jan 12 2026 - Cold temperatures are expected over the next 7 days. Sub- freezing temperatures are forecast across much of the area, especially Thursday night and over the weekend.

- Strong northerly winds will occur over the marine area Wednesday night and Thursday, creating hazardous conditions for small craft.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1145 PM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

Another cool and dry day is expected for today as high pressure lingers across the area. This high will push southward into the Gulf and weaken as our next reinforcing cold front sweeps through the area Wednesday night. Looking aloft, a southern stream shortwave trough, located over western Texas will quickly approach the local area by tonight. Winds aloft will briefly turn southwesterly as it approaches. Although moisture return is still quite limited (PWATs remain below an inch), there may be enough forcing to squeeze out a few isolated to widely scattered showers as the trough passes overhead during the overnight hours. With the cold airmass still in place, expect a very light, overrunning rain. By the afternoon, longwave troughing diving southward from Canada will phase with the southern stream shortwave and push to our east by Wednesday night. This trough will help to send the aforementioned cold front through our area. Once again, a few light rain showers cannot be ruled out as the front pushes through. Behind it, another cold, dry airmass filters in from the north as high pressure builds in. Highs for today and Wednesday will be in the upper 50s to low 60s. Lows tonight will dip into the upper 30s to low 40s. After the front passes through Wednesday night, temperatures on Thursday will crash into the mid to upper 40s for highs and the low to mid 20s for lows Although winds Thursday night look to be rather light, apparent temperatures may get close to our Cold Weather Advisory criteria. We'll keep an eye on this potential over the coming days.

The second half of the period will be strikingly similar to the first half. By Friday and Saturday, highs will rebound to the upper 50s to low 60s, with lows Friday night ranging from the mid 30s inland to the low 40s along the coast. Another longwave trough is set to dig southward from Canada, helping to send yet another reinforcing cold front through our local area Saturday into Saturday night. Limited moisture return should keep PoPs low, although would not be surprised to see a few isolated showers pop up. After the front passes through temperatures drop once again, with highs Sunday and Monday in the upper 40s to low 50s and lows dropping into the 20s. A Low Risk of rip currents remains in place through much of the period, with a brief bump to Moderate expected Wednesday night for our western Florida Panhandle beaches. /96

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1145 PM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

VFR conditions will prevail over the next 24 hours, along with light winds. /96

MARINE

Issued at 1145 PM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

Light to occasionally moderate northeasterly to northerly flow will shift westerly tonight. This westerly flow will increase on Wednesday ahead of the next cold front, followed by a moderate to strong offshore flow Wednesday night through Thursday in the wake of the front. A Small Craft Advisory will likely be needed for Wednesday night through Thursday. Winds will gradually decrease Thursday night, becoming a light to moderate onshore flow on Friday. /96

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 54 32 59 41 / 0 0 0 20 Pensacola 53 36 58 45 / 0 0 0 20 Destin 54 40 59 47 / 0 0 0 20 Evergreen 52 29 60 38 / 0 0 0 20 Waynesboro 52 29 58 39 / 0 0 0 20 Camden 49 28 57 39 / 0 0 0 20 Crestview 53 28 61 37 / 0 0 0 20

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.