textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 150 PM CST Sun Feb 22 2026
- High winds and low relative humidity will create dangerous burning conditions today and again on Monday. - Strong winds with frequent gusts to gale force will create hazardous conditions for small craft today through Monday morning.
- Windy conditions over land will occur today and blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 150 PM CST Sun Feb 22 2026
A much colder and drier airmass continues to move into the region under strong northwest winds. Winds will decrease some this evening and tonight but remain in the 10 to 15 mph range. The wind combined with lows in the upper 20 and low 30s will lead to wind chill values of 15 to 20 degrees inland and 20 to 25 along the coast. A Cold Weather Advisory has been issued for tonight due to the low wind chill values. Highs on Monday will only be in the mid/upper 40s inland to low 50s along the coast. Monday night will be the coldest night with low/mid 20s inland to upper 20s/low 30s along the coast. Temps moderate back into the mid/upper 50s in most areas on Tuesday.
Highs quickly warm back into the lower 70s on Wednesday and the middle 70s on Thursday as southerly winds return to the region. The dry weather conditions will persist through Wednesday evening, followed by increasing rain chances late Wednesday through Thursday night ahead and along another approaching cold front. This weaker front should move across the area Thursday night, with rain ending on Friday. /13
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1114 AM CST Sun Feb 22 2026
VFR conditions will prevail over the next 24 hours. Gusty northwesterly winds will also continue through the period. Winds this afternoon are expected to gust to as high as 30-35 knots, lowering to gusts to around 20-25 knots tonight. /96
MARINE
Issued at 150 PM CST Sun Feb 22 2026
Strong northwesterly to northerly winds will occur today into Monday in the wake of a cold front. Frequent gusts to around 40 knots are expected over the Gulf, and near gale force across the bays and sounds. Offshore flow diminishes Monday afternoon into Tuesday morning, shifting to light to moderate onshore flow by midweek and continuing through Thursday. /13
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 150 PM CST Sun Feb 22 2026
A Red Flag Warning has been issued for southeast Mississippi again on Monday due to the combination of strong winds and low humidity levels. While the requirement of a moderate significant fire potential for the issuance of a Red Flag Warning for southwest Alabama and northwest Florida is not being met, officials should be on the alert as any fires that develops may catch and spread quickly./13
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 31 53 26 58 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 34 51 30 57 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 35 51 31 56 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 28 49 24 58 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 29 49 24 58 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 28 44 23 56 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 29 51 24 58 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...Wind Advisory until 5 PM CST this afternoon for ALZ051>060- 261>266.
Cold Weather Advisory from 3 AM to 8 AM CST Monday for ALZ051>060-261>266.
FL...Wind Advisory until 5 PM CST this afternoon for FLZ201>206.
Cold Weather Advisory from 3 AM to 8 AM CST Monday for FLZ201>206.
MS...Red Flag Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for MSZ067-075-076- 078-079.
Red Flag Warning from 9 AM to 6 PM CST Monday for MSZ067-075-076- 078-079.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until noon CST Monday for GMZ630>636-650- 655.
Gale Warning until noon CST Monday for GMZ670-675.
Small Craft Advisory from noon Monday to midnight CST Monday night for GMZ670-675.
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