textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1203 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026

- Dry weather expected through the weekend, with rain returning in the coming week.

- Well below normal overnight lows expected tonight. Highs and lows trend warmer and well above normal by early next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1116 AM CDT Thu May 14 2026

An eastern states upper trof moves off into the western Atlantic through Friday night. A surface ridge shifts across the forecast region and becomes oriented over the southeastern states on Saturday, with a light onshore surface flow meanwhile becoming established over the forecast area. An upper ridge builds over the eastern half of the CONUS by Sunday as an upper trof advances into the western states. As the upper trof slowly advances into the central states and the upper ridge moves into the western Atlantic, an associated surface low is anticipated to lift well off to the north and eventually bring a weak cold front into central Alabama/Mississippi between Wednesday and Wednesday night. Dry conditions are expected over the forecast area through Sunday, then pops trend to slight chance to chance pops for much of the area by Tuesday, with similar rain chances for Wednesday and Thursday as the weak boundary approaches and likely stalls. A low risk of rip currents is anticipated through Sunday, with a moderate risk for Tuesday. Highs will be in the lower to mid 80s through Saturday then trend to the mid to upper 80s for Monday through Thursday. Lows tonight range from the lower 50s well inland to around 60 at the coast then trend steadily warmer through Monday night to range from the mid 60s well inland to the lower 70s at the coast, with similar values continuing into Thursday night. /29

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1203 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. Winds stay northerly and light around 5-10 knots with periodic gusts around 15-20 knots. Winds will slowly shift through the night to easterly by morning. /SS

MARINE

Issued at 1215 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026

No impacts. High pressure moves east of the Mississippi River through Thursday before moving off the Mid-Atlantic coast and into the western Atlantic Saturday. A light offshore flow through Thursday turns more onshore by Friday afternoon and continues through the weekend. Seas to trend 2 feet or less through much of the period. /10

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 57 82 60 82 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 61 81 64 82 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 62 80 64 80 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 50 84 53 86 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 53 85 59 85 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 50 83 56 85 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 52 86 54 87 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.