textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 301 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2026 - A cold front moves across the area today, with several reinforcing shots of cool, dry air through the weekend. This will likely bring a frost/freeze to portions of the area each night Friday night through at least Sunday night.

- Increased winds and seas across the marine area can be expected in the wake of the cold front. Much stronger easterly winds become possible early next week potentially bringing hazardous conditions to small craft.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1034 PM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

Dry weather conditions prevail through the weekend. A cold front pushes across the area today, ushering in cooler, drier air to the region with several reinforcing shots of cool/dry air through the weekend. The coldest temperatures of the season so far are likely Friday night through Sunday night, with coldest overnight temperatures near or below freezing over the interior portions of the area. Elsewhere middle to upper 30's can be expected for overnight lows. Frost/Freeze products will likely be needed in future forecast packages for the late week into weekend timeframe.

Once we get into early next week the forecast gets a bit more complex as a shortwave trough embedded within the subtropical jet transits the southern gulf coast states. Right now it seems things have trended towards keeping this a bit more suppressed, and in combination with a transient shortwave ahead of it moisture return will likely be limited. This would help temper rain chances overall for the area. Still a lot to fine tune in the coming days, but the trend right now is towards a bit drier scenario for early next week. Regardless, a strong surface pressure gradient will set up as high pressure settles into the eastern CONUS and a surface low pressure system tracks across the northern gulf, bringing gusty winds to at least the coastal counties Monday into Tuesday. The rip current risk remains low through the weekend, quickly increasing to a High risk by early next week as strong winds settle in and surf rapidly builds. It's still early at the moment to pinpoint specifics, but a High Surf Advisory or Warning may be needed for the Monday into Tuesday timeframe if the current forecast holds. MM/25

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1034 PM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

VFR conditions prevail through the period. Light southwesterly winds become northwesterly around 10 knots Thursday morning with gusts up to 15-20 knots. SS/97

MARINE

Issued at 301 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

Periods of moderate to strong offshore flow develop today through the weekend behind a cold front moving across the marine waters later today. Strong easterly flow becomes established early next week with advisory level conditions expected and a low-end potential for gusts to gale force. Seas build to greater than 7 feet across the near and offshore Gulf waters in response to the strengthening winds early next week. 07/mb

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 76 45 65 38 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 76 50 65 42 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 75 53 65 45 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 72 40 61 34 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 73 39 62 33 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 69 40 57 34 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 75 42 63 36 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.