textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 109 PM CDT Fri Mar 27 2026

- A cold front moves through the area tonight with a cooler and much drier airmass moving in for Saturday into Sunday

- Increasing concern for wildfire activity on Saturday with very dry air, breezy conditions, and dry fuels. Moderate to extreme drought will continue to exacerbate wildfire activity.

- Strong marine winds are expected late Friday night into mid Saturday afternoon with advisory-level conditions expected. Another bump to advisory-level conditions is possible Saturday night into Sunday as easterly winds increase.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1233 PM CDT Fri Mar 27 2026

A cold front will move through the area this evening bring a cooler and drier airmass into the area. Very little , if any, rain is expected along the front due to the lack any significant moisture return. Gusty northerly winds are expected overnight and into early Saturday afternoon as a tight pressure gradient sets up behind the front. The combination of dry air and gusty northerly winds on Saturday will contribute to extreme fire behavior. Highs on Saturday and Sunday will be 10-15 degrees cooler than today. An upper ridge builds back over the area early next week with increasing temps and moisture levels. A few isolated showers will be possible on Tuesday as moisture levels increase. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected for the latter half of the week as a few shortwaves move through the southwest flow aloft.

The risk for rip currents increases rapidly tomorrow with a High risk expected Sunday through Monday night. /13

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 109 PM CDT Fri Mar 27 2026

VFR conditions will persist throughout the forecast. Winds will be light out of the west becoming strong around 10 to 15 knots gusting to 25 knots out of the north around midnight as a cold front moves through the area. BB-8

MARINE

Issued at 1233 PM CDT Fri Mar 27 2026

A moderate to strong offshore flow develops tonight as a cold front moves through. The offshore flow diminishes somewhat Saturday afternoon, then a moderate to strong easterly flow develops Saturday night. A light to moderate southeasterly flow is expected by Monday. /13

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1233 PM CDT Fri Mar 27 2026

The Significant Fire Potential increases to a HIGH on Saturday due to the combination of low relative humidity and gusty northerly winds, which will result in an elevated chance for significant fires and the potential for significant fire growth on existing fires. The ongoing severe to extreme drought conditions across a good chunk of the area will only exacerbate the concern for wildfires. For these reasons, a Red Flag Warning is now in effect for the entire area on Saturday. Any fires that develop on Saturday will likely spread rapidly.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 57 75 57 74 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 60 75 59 70 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 59 74 55 70 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 51 74 47 73 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 51 70 50 74 / 10 0 0 0 Camden 51 70 49 72 / 10 0 0 0 Crestview 54 77 49 75 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 7 PM CDT Saturday for ALZ051>060- 261>266.

FL...Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 7 PM CDT Saturday for FLZ201>206.

MS...Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 7 PM CDT Saturday for MSZ067-075- 076-078-079.

GM...Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM to 3 PM CDT Saturday for GMZ630>636-650-655-670-675.