textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1206 AM CDT Tue Oct 20 2026

- Moderate to strong northeast winds may create hazardous conditions for small craft over most of the marine area Friday night into this weekend.

- A High Risk of dangerous rip currents at area beaches is in effect through tonight.

- Dry conditions continue through the forecast period.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1053 PM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026

A large upper level trough will amplify off the eastern seaboard through the end of the week as an upper ridge builds from the plains into the upper midwest. Meanwhile, a sfc ridge of high pressure will continue over the area. This pattern will maintain and dry north to northwest upper level flow through the week with an east to northeast sfc flow. The deep layer ridging will maintain strong subsidence across the region, which along with a very dry airmass, will maintain a dry forecast through the period. The dry airmass and light winds will allow strong radiational cooling at night will lows in the 40s and 50s. High temps will be in the low to mid 70s to start the week, gradually warming into the upper 70s and low 80s by next weekend. Humidity levels will remain very low through the week. A high risk of rip continues through late tonight with a moderate risk following for Tuesday. /13

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1206 AM CDT Tue Oct 20 2026

VFR conditions expected through the forecast with northeasterly winds less than 10 knots, around 10 knots along the coast. /16

MARINE

Issued at 1113 AM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026

Moderate to occasionally strong northeasterly winds will slowly decrease through tonight. Small craft should exercise caution well offshore this afternoon into this evening. A light to moderate northeasterly flow will prevail beginning Tuesday, then a moderate to strong easterly to northeasterly flow develops Friday night. A Small Craft Advisory will likely become necessary from Friday night on into the weekend. /29

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 50 79 50 80 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 54 78 54 79 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 57 79 57 78 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 46 79 46 79 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 46 81 46 82 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 46 77 46 77 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 46 79 48 80 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 AM CDT early this morning for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 AM CDT early this morning for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None. GM...None.


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