textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 640 AM CDT Mon Apr 6 2026

- Strong marine winds will remain at advisory-level through early Monday near the coast and persist through tonight over the offshore Gulf waters. Additional rounds rounds of advisory- level conditions with gusts near gale-force are likely this week as winds turn easterly.

- The rip current risk increases to HIGH by mid-week. High surf with breaking waves of 5-8 feet are likely Wednesday and Thursday with the potential for minor coastal inundation.

- Fire weather concerns are possible on Tuesday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 100 AM CDT Mon Apr 6 2026

Well the little bit of rain we got yesterday was a brief reprieve from the ongoing drought; however, looking ahead we will be returning to yet another drier pattern this week. The upper trough that brought storms and a cold front has now lifted off to our northwest and its associated cold front has come to a crawl across our marine waters. This boundary is expected to just sit offshore over the next few days as a couple weak shortwaves move through the flow. With the front sitting just offshore, showers and a few storms may encroach upon the immediate coastline through midweek as each of these shortwaves zips by. The strongest of these waves will arrive on Wednesday into Thursday brining the chance for some light overrunning rain to the area. However, moisture quality will likely be limited and the best chance for any appreciable rain will likely be along the immediate coastline. Once we get past midweek, High p pressure will quickly build into the area by the weekend leading to dry conditions as temperatures warm back into the mid 80s.

Coastal Hazards... One thing to watch throughout the week will be the potential for some coastal hazards including increasing rip currents and high surf. Minor coastal runup will also be possible as winds increase over the open Gulf waters this week. BB-8

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 640 AM CDT Mon Apr 6 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF cycle. Northerly winds will continue to gust to 20-26 knots at the coastal terminals through early afternoon before winds gradually relax late tonight. 07/mb

MARINE

Issued at 100 AM CDT Mon Apr 6 2026

Strong northerly winds will persist tonight behind a cold front passing through the area. This strong offshore flow will then temporarily decrease and turn easterly by Tuesday afternoon before increasing once again late Tuesday night. Moderate to strong easterly winds will persist through Friday, and we expect another round of small craft advisory-level conditions with the potential of gusts nearing gale force during this time. BB-8

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 100 AM CDT Mon Apr 6 2026

We are keeping a close eye on Tuesday for the potential for some dangerous burning conditions. Gusty easterly winds coupled with dry antecedent drought conditions will support some potential for heighten fire danger on Tuesday. Relative humidity values are expected to drop to around 30% or just above critical thresholds but given the soil moistures and gustier winds we might just be close enough to support fire weather products on Tuesday. We will have to keep an eye on conditions over the next few forecasts. BB-8

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 68 49 77 55 / 20 0 0 0 Pensacola 67 54 76 59 / 30 0 0 10 Destin 67 55 75 58 / 40 10 0 10 Evergreen 68 45 77 49 / 10 0 0 0 Waynesboro 68 46 76 51 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 67 45 75 50 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 67 47 77 50 / 20 0 0 10

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for GMZ630>632.

Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT Tuesday for GMZ650-655-670- 675.