textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1103 PM CST Mon Dec 15 2025

- Bitter cold temperatures and wind chills will continue until mid-morning. Wind chills could fall to 10 degrees across interior counties and to 15 degrees along coastal counties. - Rain chances are expected to increase Wednesday night into Thursday before the next cold front moves through the area.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1258 PM CST Mon Dec 15 2025

Cool and dry conditions will persist through Tuesday as weak northwesterly flow continues. Expect the next 48 hours to mainly be a temperature forecast with lows dropping into the mid to upper 20s once again. After tonight, the pattern will quickly begin to flip as troughing to our west begins to develop and northwesterly flow aloft quickly becomes westerly to southwesterly. Expect a gradual warmup through Wednesday and into Thursday as our next system approaches from the west. Moisture should steadily increase and scattered showers and storms will be possible Wednesday night before increasing on Thursday as a surface cold front moves through the area. While we cannot rule out a storm or two getting noisy, the overall setup does look promising for strong to severe storms as most of the forcing will be displaced to our north and west. Overall, the rain will once again be beneficial as we slowly inch our way out of drought.

Once the front moves through on Thursday, temperatures will quickly drop into the 30s once again. However, this cold shot will be temporary as upper ridging will likely develop by the end of the weekend into early next week leading to temperatures increasing steadily through Monday. Highs by Monday should return in to the 70s. BB-8

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1103 PM CST Mon Dec 15 2025

VFR conditions expected through the forecast, with variable winds around 5 knots or less. /16

MARINE

Issued at 1258 PM CST Mon Dec 15 2025

Strong northeasterly winds will diminish this afternoon with a light easterly flow following for Tuesday. A southeasterly flow develops Tuesday night then becomes southerly on Thursday. Winds switch to the north Thursday night as a cold front moves through, then a southeasterly flow develops on Saturday. BB-8

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 30 60 44 63 / 0 0 0 20 Pensacola 35 58 48 66 / 0 0 0 10 Destin 37 59 50 66 / 0 0 0 10 Evergreen 25 60 36 66 / 0 0 0 10 Waynesboro 25 57 37 61 / 0 0 0 20 Camden 24 56 34 61 / 0 0 0 10 Crestview 25 59 38 66 / 0 0 0 10

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.