textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 139 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2026
- Temperatures are expected to warm by the end of this week and will remain above average through the weekend and into early next week.
- No hazards are anticipated over the next 7 days.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 139 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2026
Northwesterly flow aloft will continue through much of the period as our local area remains sandwiched between upper-level troughing over the eastern US and strong upper ridging over the western US. At the surface, high pressure currently centered overhead this afternoon, will eventually settle over the northern Gulf starting Friday. With the high in place, along with the dry northwesterly flow pattern aloft, no rain is expected through the remainder of the week and into the weekend. By early next week, some guidance suggests that a weak cold front may approach and pass across the area. Although the current forecast maintains dry conditions through next Wednesday, probabilistic guidance does suggest a modest increase in moisture values (20-30% chance of PWATs exceeding 1.2 inches) early next week. Therefore, I would not be surprised to see rain chances come up slightly over the next few forecast cycles for early next week if this solution does pan out. Otherwise, temperatures will quickly warm over the coming days. After highs in the 60s today and lows in the upper 30s to low 40s tonight, highs by the weekend will reach the low to mid 80s (upper 70s along the coast) and lows will only drop into the upper 50s to low 60s. A Low Risk of rip currents continues through the week and into the upcoming weekend. /96
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 139 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2026
VFR conditions, along with light and rather variable winds, is expected over the next 24 hours. /96
MARINE
Issued at 619 AM CDT Wed Mar 18 2026
Light to moderate offshore flow will become light and variable tonight into Thursday. A light to moderate westerly to southwesterly flow becomes prevalent on Friday and into the upcoming weekend. /13
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 42 73 50 78 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 44 69 52 74 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 47 68 53 72 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 36 74 44 80 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 40 74 48 80 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 38 73 46 79 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 34 73 43 79 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.
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