textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 309 PM CDT Mon Jul 6 2026

- Heat indices remain in the 100 to 107 range each afternoon through the end of the week.

- Isolated to scattered showers and storms continue each afternoon. Locally heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and frequent lightning can be expected with any storms.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1251 PM CDT Mon Jul 6 2026

The upper trough to the northwest is slow to move while encountering the subtropical ridge to our east. This upper low centered generally over southern Missouri becomes cutoff tonight and finally begins moving northeast by mid week. We are still influenced by some increased buoyancy leading slightly above average storm coverage through tomorrow. There are very high PWATs of 2.0-2.1" which is around the 90th percentile based on sounding climatology. Moisture remains elevated through the end of the week with PWATs of 1.8-2.0". A ridge slowly builds back in by the end of the week with the area on the western edge dominated by southerly mid to upper level flow. This brings rain chances to a more normal summertime pattern with daily chances for isolated to locally scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially along the sea breeze and resultant outflow boundaries.

Heat index values continue to be just below the Heat Advisory threshold of 108, with maximum values of 100-107 for much of the area. The building ridge by the end of the week will increase temperatures and heat indices close to the aforementioned threshold over the weekend. There continues be little overnight relief with low temperatures through mid next week only reaching the low to mid 70s inland and the upper 70s to near 80 along the coast. Anybody outdoors should drink plenty of water and take breaks in A/C when possible. SS/97

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1251 PM CDT Mon Jul 6 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the period outside of scattered showers and storms with a light westerly flow. Showers and storms are most likely over the interior this afternoon with decreasing confidence at the TAF sites. However, there is increasing confidence in scattered to numerous showers and storms along the immediate coast late tonight into Tuesday morning. Any storms may result in brief reductions to MVFR or lower flight categories. /98

MARINE

Issued at 309 PM CDT Mon Jul 6 2026

A light to occasionally moderate southwest to west flow will prevail through late week. Seas will remain generally 2 feet or less. /73

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 75 93 75 93 / 20 40 20 30 Pensacola 79 94 79 94 / 60 30 30 20 Destin 80 92 81 92 / 60 40 30 20 Evergreen 73 93 73 93 / 20 30 20 20 Waynesboro 73 92 73 92 / 20 30 10 30 Camden 73 90 73 90 / 20 30 30 20 Crestview 75 94 75 94 / 30 50 10 40

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.