textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1131 AM CDT Sat Apr 11 2026

- Temperatures will continue to warm through next week and remain above normal.

- Moderate to extreme drought with no rain in the forecast through next week will exacerbate wildfire activity.

- HIGH rip current risk for coastal Alabama and northwest Florida beaches should return Sunday night through Tuesday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1131 AM CDT Sat Apr 11 2026

An upper ridge builds into the region today then becomes oriented across the eastern Gulf to midway up along the East Coast on Sunday. The upper ridge remains close to this position through Wednesday then is deflected partially off into the western Atlantic on Thursday by an upper trof progressing across the eastern states. The upper ridge returns back close to its original position Friday into Saturday while a large upper trof advances into/across the central states. A surface ridge oriented over the southeastern states allows for a light southeasterly to southerly surface flow to become established over the forecast area which becomes predominately southerly for Wednesday through Saturday. Depending on how quickly the large upper trof progresses into/across the central states late in the period, it's possible that an associated surface low could bring a weak frontal boundary into the forecast area as early as Saturday night. We will monitor this upcoming system to see if it brings some respite from the lack of rain, but otherwise subsidence effects from the upper ridge look to maintain dry conditions for the forecast area.

A moderate risk of rip currents is expected through Sunday afternoon, then a HIGH RISK follows for Sunday night through Tuesday. Highs will be mostly in the lower to mid 80s through Thursday, then trend to mostly the mid to upper 80s for Friday and Saturday. Lows tonight range from the mid 50s well inland to around 60 at the coast then gradually trend to the lower to mid 60s by Saturday night. /29

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 653 AM CDT Sat Apr 11 2026

VFR conditions will prevail with a light easterly wind becoming southeasterly to southerly by the late afternoon and early evening. BB-8

MARINE

Issued at 1131 AM CDT Sat Apr 11 2026

A light to moderate southeasterly flow develops this afternoon and eventually turns southerly on Thursday. /29

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 58 82 61 82 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 61 77 63 78 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 62 76 64 75 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 54 87 54 85 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 55 85 59 85 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 55 86 56 84 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 54 85 54 83 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.