textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1201 PM CST Wed Feb 4 2026

- Strong winds will likely create hazardous conditions for small craft Wednesday afternoon into Thursday, and possibly late in the week as well.

- Wind chills tonight will drop into the upper teens to low to mid 20s.

- A Moderate Rip Current Risk is in place for our Florida beaches today, and again on Friday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1201 PM CST Wed Feb 4 2026

Rain has moved out of the area as our next cool down is expected. A series of upper shortwaves will progress across the Great Lakes today. The associated cold front has moved through the I-65 corridor this morning and will continue its march offshore this afternoon and evening. Winds will quickly turn out of the north- northwest as one last cold arctic push surges into the area. The big talk tonight is going to be the cold and wind chills. Temperatures will drop from the 60s right now into the upper 20s to low 30s tonight with a brisk northwesterly wind. This will allow for wind chills to drop into the upper teens well inland and low 20s along the coast. Given these conditions we wen't ahead and issued a cold weather advisory for our coastal communities once again.

The good news is this cold will be short lived and the next week or so looks about as good as we could dial up. High pressure will begin to build over the eastern US through the weekend and into early next week which will keep us dry for the foreseeable future. It will also result in steadily increasing temperatures throughout the weekend and into next week. Highs will mainly be in the 60s with lows in the 40s through Sunday before increasing into the low 70s next week for highs. We will have to keep an eye out by the middle next week for some sea fog to start developing each morning along the coast as Gulf temperatures are quite cool. Until then enjoy the perfect parade weather and try to thaw out from our recent deep freeze! BB-8

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1128 AM CST Wed Feb 4 2026

IFR/MVFR ceilings will prevail over southwest and south central Alabama and northwest Florida this afternoon and tonight, with occasional pockets of VFR conditions. VFR conditions will prevail area-wide on Thursday. North-northwest winds sustained 10 to 15 knots gusting to around 20 knots will continue through the forecast. /22

MARINE

Issued at 1201 PM CST Wed Feb 4 2026

A Light to moderate northwesterly flow will develop this afternoon as a cold front pushes through. Winds increase to a moderate to strong flow tonight, before slowly decreasing throughout the day on Thursday. A Small Craft Advisory is effect from this evening through Thursday evening. A moderate to strong westerly flow develops on Friday, switches back to the northwest Friday night, and then diminishes on Saturday. A second small craft may be needed Friday night into Saturday. BB-8

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 33 51 34 66 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 34 52 36 64 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 35 52 38 63 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 29 50 30 66 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 28 50 32 66 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 28 47 30 64 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 31 53 29 65 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...Cold Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Thursday for ALZ263>266.

FL...Cold Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Thursday for FLZ201>206.

MS...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to noon CST Thursday for GMZ630>636-650-655.

Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 9 PM CST Thursday for GMZ670-675.


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