textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 701 PM CDT Mon Jul 27 2026 - Dangerous heat continues areawide. Heat Advisories are in effect through Tuesday and an Extreme Heat Warning goes into effect for our coastal areas on Tuesday.

- A High Risk of rip currents is expected to return midweek for our Florida beaches.

- Daily afternoon and evening scattered thunderstorm chances increase in the middle to latter part of the week.

UPDATE

Issued at 701 PM CDT Mon Jul 27 2026

Isolated showers and thunderstorms continue to develop as of early evening as they move south, particularly as outflow interacts with the Mobile Bay breeze. This activity is expected to diminish within the next few hours with the loss of daytime heating. JGC/98

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1156 AM CDT Mon Jul 27 2026

Very hot and humid conditions will persist across the area through at least mid week. High temperatures will top out in the upper 90's to near 100 Tuesday, with heat indices near 110 over interior portions of the area while areas nearer the coast may see heat indices locally up to 115. This in combination with very warm overnight temperatures in the middle to upper 70's will result in significant heat stress for any individuals spending prolonged periods of time outside or have limited access to air conditioning. Given the potential for heat indices up to 115, we have opted to go with an Extreme Heat Warning for coastal portions of Mobile/Baldwin counties eastward through coastal Escambia, Santa Rosa, and Okaloosa counties Tuesday. Elsewhere, a Heat Advisory will be in effect Tuesday for heat indices to near 110. Drink plenty of fluids and limit time outdoors if possible by taking frequent breaks! We will have to contend with at least one more day of high heat indices Wednesday, particularly across the western half of the area as heat indices once again rise to near 110. Additional heat advisories will likely be needed as we move forward in time.

As we head into mid to late week temperatures and heat indices will begin to relax some as upper ridging shifts west and we get upper troughing to begin influencing the area. This will in turn bring a much wetter pattern to the area with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms possible, particularly as we head into late week and the weekend. While it's difficult to pinpoint any particular day for elevated chances for strong to severe storms, the potential for locally damaging wind gusts associated with any microbursts will exist each afternoon in addition to brief, heavy rainfall and frequent lightning in storms.

Persistent westerly flow across the marine waters will help to build surf and swell which will likely cause issues with rip currents. A low risk for rip currents across the Alabama coast today and Tuesday becomes a Moderate risk Wednesday through Friday. Likewise, a Moderate risk of rip currents today and tomorrow becomes a High risk Wednesday through Friday. MM/25

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 701 PM CDT Mon Jul 27 2026

Generally VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the period. Isolated showers and storms will gradually diminish through the evening hours, but could still cause brief drops in visbys to MVFR or lower and brief gusty winds. A 10-20% chance of a shower or storm also exists over coastal counties Tuesday afternoon. Winds will be mainly light and variable tonight, becoming northwesterly around 5- 10 knots in the morning and turning southwesterly near the coast with the sea breeze in the afternoon. JGC/98

MARINE

Issued at 1156 AM CDT Mon Jul 27 2026

A diurnal wind pattern is expected early in the week with a light to moderate northwesterly flow early each morning turning westerly to occasionally southwesterly through the afternoon and evening. Light to moderate westerly flow becomes established the latter half of the week. Storm coverage will increase by mid week with winds and waves locally higher near any storms. Small craft should exercise caution over the gulf through much of the week. MM/25

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 77 99 77 98 / 20 20 10 40 Pensacola 81 98 81 97 / 30 20 0 40 Destin 80 94 82 95 / 20 20 0 40 Evergreen 76 98 76 96 / 20 10 10 30 Waynesboro 77 100 77 98 / 10 0 0 20 Camden 77 98 77 93 / 10 0 0 30 Crestview 76 100 78 99 / 30 20 0 50

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for ALZ051>060-261>266.

Heat Advisory from 10 AM to 9 PM CDT Tuesday for ALZ051>060- 261>264.

Extreme Heat Warning from 10 AM to 9 PM CDT Tuesday for ALZ265- 266.

FL...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for FLZ201>206.

Heat Advisory from 10 AM to 9 PM CDT Tuesday for FLZ201-203-205.

Extreme Heat Warning from 10 AM to 9 PM CDT Tuesday for FLZ202- 204-206.

MS...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for MSZ067-075-076-078- 079.

Heat Advisory from 10 AM to 9 PM CDT Tuesday for MSZ067-075-076- 078-079.

GM...None.