textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 100 PM CDT Tue Aug 11 2026 - Heat indices around 100-107 degrees are expected today, increasing to 105-111 degrees by Friday.

- A Moderate risk of rip currents returns to Florida beaches Wednesday afternoon through Thursday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 100 PM CDT Tue Aug 11 2026

Latest water vapor imagery shows zonal flow over the southeast, with upper ridging building over the southern Plains. Isolated thunderstorms have continued to develop along the coast, but have remained relatively short-lived given the week subsidence aloft. Enough moisture is in place in the lower levels for partly to mostly cloudy skies, which has tempered our daytime heating somewhat. That said, high temperatures will likely max out in the mid 90s areawide. Heat indices remain below advisory criteria (>107 degrees), but caution should still be used if spending a lot of time outdoors.

Upper ridging will continue to build through the end of the week while surface high pressure settles along the Gulf. This will keep mostly dry conditions through the remainder of the week, the exception being along the immediate coast where the seabreeze may spark very isolated thunderstorms. The main threat will continue to be the heat as temps rise each day, eventually topping out in the triple digits by the weekend. As the actual air temp approaches 102 to 103 degrees, heat indices will climb into the 110-113 range for the majority of the area and heat headlines will likely be needed by the end of the week. /73

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 100 PM CDT Tue Aug 11 2026

Aside from very isolated and short-lived thunderstorms along the coast, VFR conditions will prevail through the period. There may be some instances when cigs briefly drop to MVFR but confidence is too low to add prevailing MVFR cigs in the forecast. /73

MARINE

Issued at 100 PM CDT Tue Aug 11 2026

Light to moderate southwest to westerly flow will persist through the week. Otherwise, there are no marine concerns. /73

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 76 93 77 94 / 0 20 0 10 Pensacola 79 93 79 93 / 10 20 0 10 Destin 80 91 80 92 / 0 10 0 10 Evergreen 75 94 75 95 / 10 30 10 20 Waynesboro 75 97 75 98 / 0 10 10 10 Camden 75 93 76 94 / 0 20 0 10 Crestview 75 95 75 96 / 0 30 0 20

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.


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