textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 525 AM CST Mon Jan 12 2026 - Cold temperatures are expected over the next 7 days. Monday night, along with several nights late this week and into next weekend, will feature sub-freezing temperatures across much of the area.

- Strong northerly winds will occur over the marine area Wednesday night into Thursday, creating hazardous conditions for small craft.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1143 PM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

A cold and dry airmass continues to filter in from the north as a Canadian high pressure builds into the area. As the high begins to settle in, winds will lighten up as we go through the day today. Highs will top out in the low 50s areawide today. For tonight, light winds and clearing skies will lead to an idealized radiational cooling setup. This will help to allow for lows to plummet into the upper 20s to low 30s across the area, with mid 30s along the immediate coastline. Temperatures will slowly increase through midweek, with highs potentially reaching the low 60s on Wednesday. This brief 'warm up' will be short-lived, however, as a reinforcing arctic cold front sweeps through the area Wednesday night due to an anomalously strong longwave trough amplifying over the eastern US. Ensemble guidance suggests that moisture return ahead of this front should be rather paltry, limiting rain chances to isolated at best. Anything that does manage to develop would likely just be a light, cold rain. After the front's passage, Thursday looks to be the coldest day of the week, with highs in the mid to upper 40s and lows crashing into the low to mid 20s, with upper 20s along the coast. Although winds Thursday night look to be rather light, apparent temperatures may get close to our Cold Weather Advisory criteria. We'll keep an eye on this potential over the coming days. Another reinforcing cold front will push through sometime over the weekend. Similar to the first front, limited moisture return should keep PoPs low. Temperatures for Friday and into the weekend are expected to remain below seasonal averages, with highs generally in the 50s and lows ranging from the upper 20s north to the mid 30s along the coast. A Low Risk of rip currents remains in place through Wednesday, briefly bumping up to a Moderate Risk Wednesday night and into Thursday. /96

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 525 AM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the period. /13

MARINE

Issued at 1143 PM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

Strong offshore flow this morning will gradually decrease throughout the day today, becoming light by Tuesday. Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 9 AM this morning. Winds briefly turn westerly on Wednesday ahead of the next cold front. Moderate to strong offshore winds return Wednesday night into Thursday in the wake of the front. Another Small Craft Advisory may become warranted for midweek. /96

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 53 31 60 41 / 0 0 0 20 Pensacola 53 35 59 45 / 0 0 0 20 Destin 55 39 59 47 / 0 0 0 20 Evergreen 54 29 61 39 / 0 0 0 20 Waynesboro 53 28 59 40 / 0 0 0 20 Camden 51 28 59 39 / 0 0 0 20 Crestview 54 28 61 37 / 0 0 0 20

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for GMZ650-655- 670-675.