textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1210 PM CST Wed Dec 24 2025

- Dense fog will reduce visibilities across the area tonight and each night through the weekend. This will result in hazardous travel and motorists are urged to use caution when driving. Dense marine fog will also persist through the remainder of the week.

- Well above average temperatures are expected all week, including Christmas Day. A cold front brings an end to this warmth Sunday night.

- A moderate risk of rip currents will be in place through this evening.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1210 PM CST Wed Dec 24 2025

Latest water vapor imagery shows a rather broad trough encompassing much of the CONUS, with an upper low/trough just off the West Coast. At the surface, high pressure anchored over the northern Gulf has kept light winds and generally stagnant flow. This pattern will remain largely unchanged through Sunday, with upper ridging and surface high pressure keeping above normal temperatures across the area.

The main story for today's forecast package is the potential for dense fog across the area tonight, given the similar set up as last night. As of now, fog that developed overnight has thinned quite a bit over the last couple of hours. The exception will be over Mobile Bay and the MS Sound, where marine fog is expected to linger through the day. Given the similar pattern for the next few days, dense fog is expected to develop again Friday night and Saturday night. Dense fog advisories will likely be needed for these periods, as well as an advisory for tonight which will be issued with this package.

The pattern will begin to shift on Sunday, as the aforementioned trough off the West Coast moves eastward. This trough will move through the Upper Mississippi Valley and Ohio Valley on Sunday, with the base of the trough remaining shunted to the north, limiting the forcing over the area. That said, a rather strong cold front will trail south from its parent surface low, and the trough will be enough to send the front southeastward and through the area. The front is expected to move through the area on Monday, with some timing differences among the models. Aside from the colder temps, not expecting much impact from the front, with only scattered showers as the front passes through. After temps cool through the day on Monday, overnight lows will fall into the 20s to lower 30s and colder temps will linger through the remainder of the week. /73

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1200 PM CST Wed Dec 24 2025

Dense fog is quickly burning off and yielding VFR conditions, and will complete the process by around issuance time. VLIFR conditions in dense fog is expected to quickly develop across the area early this evening and persist until breaking up during mid to late morning on Thursday. Light and variable winds become mostly westerly to southwesterly this afternoon, then a calm or light and variable flow returns this evening. /29

MARINE

Issued at 1210 PM CST Wed Dec 24 2025

Dense sea fog will develop each night through the remainder of the week across local area bays and sounds, as well as the nearshore Gulf waters. Light and variable winds can be expected through Christmas Day. Light southwesterly flow develops Christmas night and continues through the remainder of the week and into the weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 74 54 73 56 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 72 55 72 57 / 0 0 0 10 Destin 72 57 69 57 / 0 0 0 10 Evergreen 77 52 76 52 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 74 52 74 55 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 74 52 74 53 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 76 52 75 51 / 0 0 0 10

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...Dense Fog Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 10 AM CST Thursday for ALZ051>060-261>266.

FL...Dense Fog Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 10 AM CST Thursday for FLZ201>206.

MS...Dense Fog Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 10 AM CST Thursday for MSZ067-075-076-078-079.

GM...Dense Fog Advisory until noon CST Thursday for GMZ630>632.

Dense Fog Advisory from 6 PM this evening to noon CST Thursday for GMZ633>636-650-655.