textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1107 AM CDT Tue Oct 13 2026

- Near record highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s are expected through late week. With many areas still without power and recovery efforts from Hurricane Isaias ongoing, these temperatures could lead to an increased risk for heat-related illnesses.

- Strong northerly winds develop over the marine area Friday night, becoming easterly and lasting into the weekend. Gale force wind gusts are possible, with conditions posing a hazard to small craft.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1107 AM CDT Tue Oct 13 2026

Near-record hot temperatures continue to affect the region over the next few days. Folks that remain without power in the wake of Hurricane Isaias may be more susceptible to heat-related illness given the high temperatures and ongoing storm damage cleanup with little to no access to A/C. Remember to take frequent breaks and to drink plenty of water!

Afternoon highs top out in the upper 80's to lower 90's with overnight lows in the lower to middle 60's through Friday morning. Below is a list of record highs over the next few days, preceded by the forecast high temperatures for Mobile and Pensacola:

This Afternoon (10/13): Mobile 89, Record 92 Pensacola 87, Record 90

Wednesday (10/14): Mobile 88, Record 90 Pensacola 87, Record 89

We may see another round of patchy to areas of fog, locally dense, tonight for similar locations across southeast Mississippi into far southwest Alabama. The environment remains similar, although most forecast guidance remains somewhat hit or miss on dense fog potential. While I am holding off on issuing any advisories at the moment, it is possible we need them later this evening if confidence on dense fog development can increase.

Once we get into late week and the weekend, we see a powerful cold front push its way across through the area bringing a taste of Fall once again. High temperatures plummet Saturday into the upper 60's and lower 70's for all locations, gradually rebounding into the upper 70's by Monday for highs. Lows tank as well, with lower to middle 50's Friday night and perhaps some upper 40's over the interior area Saturday night, lower to middle 50's elsewhere. The front will have some strong winds associated with it, with frequent gusts Friday night into Saturday around 25 to 35mph, highest nearer the coast. No rain is expected with the front, so the forecast remains dry through at least early next week. A Low risk of rip currents continues through the week. While just outside the forecast period, latest RCMOS probabilistic guidance suggests the risk will likely ramp up significantly late Saturday afternoon into Saturday night, going from a Low risk the first half of the day to a High risk by Saturday evening. MM/25

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1107 AM CDT Tue Oct 13 2026

VFR flight category prevails across the region through tonight, with patchy to areas of fog becoming possible overnight tonight once again across southeast Mississippi into far southwest Alabama. The fog may become dense in spots, potentially resulting in IFR or lower flight category at times. Fog should dissipate fairly quickly after sunrise, with most the area returning back to VFR flight category. Winds will be light and variable less than 5 knots through Wednesday morning. MM/25

MARINE

Issued at 1107 AM CDT Tue Oct 13 2026

A diurnal flow cycle continues through Friday with an offshore flow developing late each night into the morning hours then becoming onshore near the coast during the afternoon. Strong northerly winds are forecast for Friday night as a powerful cold front passes through the region, with gusts to gale force possible. Small craft advisories and gale watches/warnings may be needed in future forecast package updates. Strong easterly winds will become established over the weekend into early next week. MM/25

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 61 89 63 88 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 67 87 67 87 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 69 86 70 84 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 58 92 59 90 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 59 92 59 91 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 58 92 59 91 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 59 90 60 89 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.