textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 700 AM CDT Fri Sep 11 2026

- High rain chances continue through Saturday with the potential for localized flash flooding. A few strong storms capable of producing strong wind gusts will be possible.

- Waterspouts are possible with any storms over the marine waters today, primarily from the pre-dawn hours through mid- morning.

- High temperature are expected to increase next week with heat indices ranging from 100-107 degrees.

MESOSCALE UPDATE for Localized Flooding Potential

Issued at 700 AM CDT Fri Sep 11 2026

Numerous storms are progressing across the area this morning producing torrential rainfall rates upwards of 2 to 3 inches per hour. As mentioned in prior updates, the atmosphere is primed for heavy rainfall with anomalously high PWATs and a deep, moist atmospheric profile. Recent observations and radar estimates continue to depict the heaviest precipitation across the Florida Panhandle, although this has recently lost some of its intensity over the past half hour. Storms across southwest Alabama have steadily been developing and maturing, and the expectation is for these to continue to increase in coverage and intensity over the next couple of hours. Localized flooding potential will be the main hazard with storms, particularly across our urban areas that don't handle rainfall rates in excess of 2 inches per hour very well. MM/25

..BEACH FORECAST

The rip current risk is now low today and lasts through mid next week for all area beaches in Florida and Alabama. Outside of any storms, surf heights remain generally 1 to 2 feet through the end of next week.

SS/97

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 700 AM CDT Fri Sep 11 2026

Numerous storms this morning will promote generally MVFR or worse flight category across the region. Expect this to remain the case throughout the day as activity gradually shifts further inland with time. VFR flight category should return this evening as storms wane, with perhaps another bout of storms along the coast as we head into the overnight period tonight. Winds will remain generally out of the south to southeast around 5 to 10 knots. MM/25

MARINE

Issued at 216 AM CDT Fri Sep 11 2026

Moderate onshore flow continues today, becoming light this weekend. A diurnal flow pattern sets up Monday before a more established moderate easterly flow becomes established by mid-week. Seas will be around 2 feet today, decreasing to 1 foot for the weekend into early next week. Waterspouts are possible early each morning. MM/25

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 87 73 89 73 / 70 50 80 20 Pensacola 87 77 89 77 / 80 60 80 40 Destin 87 78 88 77 / 90 60 60 50 Evergreen 87 71 90 71 / 80 30 70 10 Waynesboro 88 71 91 71 / 70 30 60 10 Camden 86 71 90 72 / 80 40 70 20 Crestview 87 72 90 72 / 80 50 80 20

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.