textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1141 PM CDT Tue Jul 28 2026 - Extreme Heat Warning in effect for coastal areas with a Heat Advisory for remainder of the area today

- High Risk of rip currents is expected to return by this weekend for all area beaches.

- Daily afternoon and evening thunderstorm chances increase in the middle to latter part of the week. A few storms may produce strong wind gusts, heavy rainfall, and dangerous cloud to ground lightning.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1141 PM CDT Tue Jul 28 2026

One more very hot day today before a pattern change brings cooler temps and higher rain chances. Highs today will again climb into the upper 90s to around 100. The combination of the high temps and high humidity will send heat index values into the 110 to 115 range along the coast and 105 to 110 level across the remainder of the area. An Extreme Heat Warning continues for the immediate coast with a Heat Advisory across the remainder of the area.

Thursday through the end of the week, the upper ridge will weaken as an upper trough over the eastern states digs southward. This will erode the eastern side of the ridge as a weak frontal boundary sinks southward. The cooler mid level temps along with the frontal boundary will bring increased chances of rain for the latter half of the week. Additional impulses moving through the upper trough, cooler mid level temps and weak sfc convergence along a stalled boundary over the area will continue high rain chances through the weekend, with scattered to numerous showers and storms each day. The storms will be moist numerous during peak heating. The additional clouds and rain will knock high temps back into the upper 80s and low 90s for the end of the week into the weekend. /13

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 642 PM CDT Tue Jul 28 2026

VFR conditions prevail through the period. The current generally southwest to west winds at 5-10 knots will increase again tomorrow morning with gusts of 15-20 knots mainly along the coast. Showers and thunderstorms return tomorrow afternoon into the evening. These are accompanied by stronger wind gusts and drops of cigs/vis to MVFR and even locally IFR within the strongest storms. SS/97

MARINE

Issued at 238 PM CDT Tue Jul 28 2026

A diurnal wind pattern will likely persist through the week even as a weak front drops into the area Wednesday night. This front will drift over the coast and into the coastal waters Thursday and Friday but as it stalls the winds will still be mostly dictated by daytime heating and slight cooling at night. With that light to moderate onshore winds each day driven by the sea breeze and light to moderate offshore winds each night driven by the land breeze. Storm coverage will start to increase Wednesday but look for storms to really ramp up by Thursday with widespread coverage by the weekend. Winds and waves will be locally higher near any storms along the increased threat for dangerous cloud to ground lightning.

Small Craft Advisory conditions may develop over the Gulf waters by next weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 78 99 76 94 / 10 20 20 80 Pensacola 81 98 79 93 / 0 20 20 70 Destin 82 95 80 91 / 0 30 20 70 Evergreen 77 96 74 93 / 0 20 40 70 Waynesboro 78 99 75 94 / 0 20 50 70 Camden 78 94 74 91 / 0 30 50 30 Crestview 78 99 76 94 / 10 40 30 80

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...Heat Advisory from 10 AM to 9 PM CDT Wednesday for ALZ051>060- 261>264.

Extreme Heat Warning from 10 AM to 9 PM CDT Wednesday for ALZ265- 266.

FL...Heat Advisory from 10 AM to 9 PM CDT Wednesday for FLZ201-203- 205.

Extreme Heat Warning from 10 AM to 9 PM CDT Wednesday for FLZ202- 204-206.

MS...Heat Advisory from 10 AM to 9 PM CDT Wednesday for MSZ067-075- 076-078-079.

GM...None.