textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 147 PM CST Sat Nov 7 2026

- A much cooler and drier airmass moves into the area tonight into early next week. Lows in the 40's can be expected widespread across the area, to even mid to upper 30's for inland/northern areas where patchy frost will likely occur.

- Moderate to occasional strong northerly winds over the Gulf this weekend will create hazardous conditions for small craft.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 147 PM CST Sat Nov 7 2026

As the center of a large 1025 MB surface high pressure system centered over Missouri migrates southward, we are expecting very chilly conditions tonight across the region as cold air advection ramps up after sunset. Low temperatures tonight across interior portions of southeast Mississippi and southwest Alabama will drop into the middle to upper 30s (around 6 to 9 degrees below normal). The combination of mostly clear skies and light winds will lead to the development of patchy frost, especially in non-protected and other frost-prone areas. Went ahead and issued a Frost Advisory from 2 AM to 7 AM Sunday across all of our northern zones, but our main concern is generally along and north of a line from Waynesboro MS to Monroeville AL to Luverne AL. Persons living in this area should take steps now to protect sensitive outdoor vegetation. Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered. We are expecting similar low temperatures and frost formation for Sunday night.

The center of the surface high pressure system will gradually weaken early next week, but a surface ridge will remain across the Deep South through midweek. Therefore, the dry weather conditions will persist through midweek, with high temperatures climbing back into the middle to upper 70s by Tuesday and Wednesday. We are still monitoring a strong upper trough forecast to exit southeast Canada and dig southward across the entire eastern CONUS. At this time, we are not expected much, if any, significant rain associated with this system, but there could be enough moisture return for at least isolated showers mainly on Thursday. A strong surface cold front associated with this trough will push well south of the coast and potentially bring even colder low temperatures by the next weekend compared to this weekend. /22

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1112 AM CST Sat Nov 7 2026

VFR conditions under northerly winds of 5 to 10 knots expected. /16

MARINE

Issued at 129 AM CST Sat Nov 7 2026

Persistent offshore northerly flow continue this morning, reaching 08 to 14kts for protected waters to 14 to 18kts for offshore Gulf zones. Small craft should exercise caution for Gulf waters through noon today. Winds will taper some going into the afternoon but remain light at 08-12 knots, increasing to 12-16kts Saturday night/early Sunday morning. Thereafter, high pressure builds into the region reducing winds to light and variable. Waves will remain light ranging 1-2ft for nearshore Gulf waters to 2-3ft for outer Gulf waters. KLG

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 44 71 44 74 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 50 72 52 74 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 52 73 53 75 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 38 70 38 74 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 38 70 37 74 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 37 68 36 72 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 41 73 40 76 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...Frost Advisory from 2 AM to 7 AM CST Sunday for ALZ051>058.

FL...None. MS...Frost Advisory from 2 AM to 7 AM CST Sunday for MSZ067.

GM...None.