textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 207 AM CDT Tue Jul 21 2026 - Tropical Storm Warning for coastal zones and nearshore waters of Alabama and all offshore waters. Tropical Storm Watch in effect for coastal zones and nearshore waters of Florida. Storm Surge Watch in effect for coastal Alabama. Locally heavy rainfall may be possible near the coast through mid week.
- Dangerous and life-threatening beach conditions expected through mid week. High risk of rip currents for the western Florida Panhandle and Alabama beaches through Thursday. High Surf Warning in effect starting Tuesday afternoon into early evening along all beaches.
- Heat Advisory in effect for southeast Mississippi until 7 pm Tuesday.
..BEACH FORECAST
Dangerous and life-threatening beach conditions are expected through mid week. The rip current risk is now a HIGH for our Florida and Alabama beaches and will last through at least Thursday. Guidance shows increasing surf above 5 feet by Tuesday morning and quickly rises through the evening to peak at 10 and potentially up to 12 feet by Tuesday evening. A High Surf Warning has been issued for all coastal areas for surf heights up to 11 feet beginning Tuesday morning for Florida beaches and Tuesday afternoon for Alabama beaches.
SS/97
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1233 AM CDT Tue Jul 21 2026
VFR conditions prevail through the period outside of storms. Northeasterly winds will increase through the period with the approach of the tropical system. These northeasterly winds will be sustained at 10-15 knots today with gusts up to 25-30 knots along the coast and even higher offshore. These will begin to turn more southeasterly as the system moves west parallel to the coast this evening. Scattered to numerous showers and storms move through the area this afternoon, mainly focused along and south of the I-65 corridor. These storms are accompanied by gusty winds and drops of cigs/vis to MVFR and even locally IFR within the strongest storms. There is some guidance suggesting MVFR cigs this evening however confidence is low at this time. SS/97
MARINE
Issued at 207 AM CDT Tue Jul 21 2026
Tropical Storm Bertha is located approximately 200 miles southeast of Mobile with maximum sustained winds of 50 mph. The system will gradually turn west and move along the coast in the offshore waters through Wednesday. Tropical storm force winds will impact the Gulf waters Tuesday morning through Wednesday evening. Waves with this system peak at 10 to 15 feet Tuesday morning through Wednesday evening before subsiding. As the system departs Wednesday night, light southerly to southwesterly winds continue through the weekend. SS/97
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 93 76 93 77 / 40 40 60 50 Pensacola 89 78 90 79 / 70 70 50 50 Destin 87 80 89 80 / 90 70 50 50 Evergreen 91 74 92 74 / 50 20 40 20 Waynesboro 96 75 96 76 / 0 10 20 20 Camden 92 75 93 75 / 20 20 20 20 Crestview 89 75 91 76 / 80 60 60 30
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...Tropical Storm Warning for ALZ263>266.
High Rip Current Risk through late Thursday night for ALZ265-266.
Storm Surge Watch for ALZ265-266.
High Surf Warning from 7 PM this evening to 6 AM CDT Thursday for ALZ265-266.
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late Thursday night for FLZ202-204- 206.
Tropical Storm Watch for FLZ202-204-206.
High Surf Warning from 1 PM this afternoon to 6 AM CDT Thursday for FLZ202-204-206.
MS...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for MSZ067-075-076-078- 079.
GM...Tropical Storm Warning for GMZ630>633-650-670-675.
Tropical Storm Watch for GMZ634>636-655.
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