textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 529 PM CST Sat Dec 27 2025

- Dense fog will reduce visibilities across the area tonight and possibly Sunday night.

- Well above average temperatures are expected to continue through the weekend. A strong cold front brings an end to this warmth on Monday, with a Cold Weather Advisory potentially being needed for Monday and Tuesday nights.

- Strong winds over the marine area will create hazardous conditions for small craft Monday into Tuesday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1239 PM CST Sat Dec 27 2025

Above normal temps will continue through the weekend as surface and upper ridging remains across the southeastern states. While dense sea fog is expected again tonight, the areal extent remains uncertain. Coastal web cams show some patchy fog lingering offshore and have opted to issue another marine dense fog advisory for tonight for Mobile Bay and MS Sound. An expansion of the marine area and issuance of an land based dense fog advisory may be required later. The ridge shifts eastward on Sunday as a strong trough moves across the northern plains into the Great Lakes region. This will send a strong cold front through the area early Monday morning, bringing a much colder and drier airmass to the area. Thunderstorms are not expected ahead of the front with only scattered to numerous showers. After highs in the low to mid 70s this weekend, temps will fall rapidly into the 50s during the day on Monday with gusty northwest winds. Highs on Tuesday will only reach the mid and upper 40s. Temperatures remain below normal through Friday under a northwest flow aloft. Lows Monday night will be in the low to mid 20s inland with low 30s along the coast. The coldest night will be Tuesday night with low to mid 20s across much of the area and upper 20s to low 30s near the coast.

The rip current outlook will remain low through much of the period outside of a brief period of moderate risk on Monday. /13

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 529 PM CST Sat Dec 27 2025

Dense fog/stratus is expected to develop tonight, bringing LIFR or lower conditions to most of the forecast area. Guidance is inconsistent in either path for tonight, so am leaning towards a stratus event, with TEMPO drops to VLIFR VISBYs. After sunrise, am expecting the status/fog to mix out, with general VFR conditions by 18z. Higher winds are expected to develop Sunday night ahead of an approaching cold front, with a greater chance of status developing. /16

MARINE

Issued at 1137 AM CST Sat Dec 27 2025

Patchy dense sea fog will develop again this evening and tonight across protected and nearshore Gulf waters, and may persist well into the afternoon in some portions. A mostly light westerly to southwesterly flow becomes southerly on Sunday. A strong northwest flow develops Monday as a cold front moves through. A Small Craft Advisory will likely be needed Monday into mid week. /13

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 60 76 50 64 / 0 0 50 30 Pensacola 62 74 56 66 / 0 0 50 40 Destin 62 72 56 67 / 10 10 40 60 Evergreen 57 76 48 61 / 0 0 50 40 Waynesboro 59 77 43 54 / 0 0 80 20 Camden 58 75 44 56 / 0 0 70 30 Crestview 57 76 53 65 / 0 0 40 50

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...Dense Fog Advisory from 9 PM this evening to noon CST Sunday for GMZ630>632.