textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1259 AM CST Tue Mar 3 2026

- Well above normal temperatures will continue through the week.

- Fog development is possible each night this week, especially the middle to latter part of the week. Fog could become dense in spots.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1259 AM CST Tue Mar 3 2026

An upper-level southwesterly flow pattern will develop by Wednesday as an anomalously strong upper ridge builds over the eastern US/western Atlantic. This ridge will likely anchor itself in place through the remainder of the week and into the upcoming weekend. Similarly at the surface, high pressure over the Appalachians today will shift eastward and settle over the western Atlantic by Wednesday. With its ridge axis draped across northern to central GA/AL/MS, a persistent southeasterly flow pattern will prevail over the local area throughout the period. This onshore flow, both aloft and at the surface, will help to advect better moisture values into the area from the Gulf (PWATs increasing from 0.8-1.0 inches to around 1.2-1.4 inches). This will allow for rain chances to increase as we get to the latter part of the week and into the weekend, primarily during the afternoon hours. However, with subsidence from the nearby ridge in place and the best forcing remaining to our west, convective coverage looks to remain isolated to scattered at this point.

With the increase in moisture, as well as ridging aloft, and light surface winds at night, fog development (some of which could be dense) will continue to be possible each night throughout the period. It is also possible that sea fog may develop each night starting Wednesday night as dew points rise into the mid to upper 60s overtop low 60 water temperatures. If sea fog does manage to develop, cannot rule out that some coastal spots could see low visibilities linger longer into the daytime hours.

Temperatures will be very warm for this time of year. Highs by late week and into the weekend will range from the upper 70s along the coast to the low to mid 80s elsewhere. These temperatures are roughly 12-18 degrees above average. Similarly, lows starting Thursday night will only drop into the low to mid 60s (some upper 60s possible). These temperatures are an impressive 18-23 degrees above average. A Moderate Risk of rip currents will be in place through the week. /96

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1259 AM CST Tue Mar 3 2026

IFR to LIFR ceilings are currently pushing across southeast Mississippi and southwest Alabama. Additionally, fog is developing over the western Florida Panhandle, bringing visibilities down to LIFR in spots. Expect these lower ceilings/visibilities to continue throughout the overnight hours across much of the area. The only area that will probably remain VFR is interior south central Alabama. Fog should dissipate a little after sunrise and ceilings should begin to lift throughout the late morning hours. VFR conditions should once again become prevalent by the afternoon hours. Light southeasterly flow tonight will increase to around 10-15 knots by the afternoon. /96

MARINE

Issued at 1259 AM CST Tue Mar 3 2026

A light to moderate southeasterly flow pattern will prevail throughout the week. Winds will generally be lighter at night and stronger during the day. Sea fog development may become possible during the latter half of the week and into the weekend, primarily over Mobile Bay and the Mississippi Sound.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 77 57 79 61 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 72 58 74 61 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 72 59 73 61 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 81 53 83 56 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 80 57 81 59 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 80 55 82 57 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 80 52 81 56 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.