textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 142 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

- A Moderate Risk of Rip Currents is in place for local area beaches across Alabama and Florida today.

- Daily shower/storm chances will persist through the week, with an increase in afternoon coverage on Thursday. Waterspouts will be possible over the Gulf waters mainly during the morning hours each day.

- Heat index values near 100 trend higher through this week, potentially reaching 105-108 in some locations by late in the week on into Saturday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 142 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

The area will remain in an easterly mid/upper flow pattern as an upper ridge remains centered to our north. This will maintain a typical summer pattern with daily isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms through Wednesday. Weak disturbances riding west along the southern periphery of the ridge will bring increased rain chances Thursday into Friday. Highs will increase into the mid 90s, but daily afternoon mixing will drop dewpoints into the low 70s/upper 60s and prevent afternoon heat indices from reaching widespread heat advisory criteria.

The ridge shifts westward and builds across the central plains this weekend. This will result in a north to northwest flow pattern across the area, potentially allowing convective complexes to move southward into the area this weekend into early next week. /13

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 142 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through much of the period. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop during the afternoon. Brief reductions in ceilings and visibilities can be expected in and around showers and storms. /13

MARINE

Issued at 412 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

A light to moderate easterly to southeasterly flow will prevail over the forecast area through Friday with seas of 2 to 3 feet. /13

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 74 92 73 93 / 0 30 10 50 Pensacola 77 90 77 90 / 0 20 10 50 Destin 77 89 77 89 / 10 20 10 50 Evergreen 72 95 73 95 / 10 10 0 20 Waynesboro 73 96 73 97 / 0 10 10 20 Camden 74 95 74 95 / 0 0 0 20 Crestview 72 93 72 93 / 0 20 0 60

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.


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