textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 234 AM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026 - A few storms may produce strong to locally damaging wind gusts, heavy rainfall, and frequent cloud to ground lightning.

- A High Risk of rip currents is expected through the weekend for all area beaches.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1223 AM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026

A strong shortwave will move into the Ohio Valley today helping a carve out a trough over the eastern states. This will send a cold front southward toward the area late today into tonight. The front will likely stall along the I-65 corridor on Sunday afternoon before being pushed east on Monday. As the trough and front move into the area, the deeper moisture will be pushed eastward today with some drier air slowly moving into northwest area. As a result, the highest rain chances will be mainly east of I-65. As the front moves in overnight into Sunday, scattered pops are expected across the entire area before moving east of I-65 during the late afternoon. A few storms could produce gusty winds and small hail. however the main threat will be locally heavy rainfall and frequent lightning. A drier airmass moves across the entire area Monday into Tuesday with upper level ridging builds back into the area, resulting in mostly dry conditions through midweek. Moisture levels return late in the week with increasing chances for showers and thunderstorms. /13

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1223 AM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026

Isolated convection will be possible overnight over eastern portions of the area, then isolated to scattered convection is expected on Saturday mainly along/east of the Alabama/Mobile Rivers. MVFR conditions will be possible with the stronger storms, and some patchy overnight fog will be possible over interior areas as well. Light and variable winds overnight become southwesterly 5-10 knots on Saturday, potentially 10-15 knots near the coast. /29

MARINE

Issued at 235 AM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026

Moderate westerly winds become a moderate to occasionally strong southwesterly flow for tonight through Sunday before diminishing Sunday night. Small craft should exercise caution mainly over the open Gulf waters today. Have issued a Small Craft Advisory from 7 pm this evening until 10 am Sunday for the open Gulf waters, which may need to be extended into early Sunday evening if the southwesterly flow maintains a strength near 20 knots. /29

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 93 77 92 72 / 10 40 30 10 Pensacola 91 80 90 77 / 20 60 70 30 Destin 90 81 89 79 / 30 60 80 50 Evergreen 91 74 91 70 / 30 30 30 10 Waynesboro 95 73 91 69 / 10 40 0 0 Camden 91 73 89 70 / 20 60 10 0 Crestview 92 76 90 72 / 40 50 60 30

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...High Rip Current Risk from 1 PM CDT this afternoon through late Sunday night for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk from 1 PM CDT this afternoon through late Sunday night for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM CDT Sunday for GMZ650-655-670-675.