textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1217 AM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026
- Abnormally hot conditions continue with a Heat Advisory in effect for all locations Wednesday as afternoon heat indices rise into the 108 to 112 range. Additional heat advisories will likely be needed through the rest of the week.
- There is a Moderate risk of rip currents for area beaches in Florida Wednesday and Thursday.
- Scattered afternoon thunderstorms will continue to be capable of producing brief heavy rainfall and locally strong to damaging wind gusts.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1133 PM CDT Tue Aug 18 2026
We continue our daily cadence of very hot temperatures and afternoon showers and thunderstorms Wednesday. Upper ridging continues to loosen its grip across the area as upper troughing gradually becomes dominant across the eastern CONUS. With that said, another day of Heat Advisories will exist for the entire area Wednesday as heat indices once again soar into the 108 to 112 range. A similar environment will be in place for strong to damaging wind gusts in any storms during the afternoon hours with some mid-level dry air present and ample surface-based instability.
As we head into Thursday we may see a reprieve from storm coverage but it will cost us with more heat. A few spots will see some storms, but we won't see the widespread relief we have been with afternoon storms. Additional heat advisories and potentially extreme heat warnings may become necessary for Thursday and Friday. Storm coverage is likely to increase Friday as upper troughing influences the area more.
Once we get into the weekend and early next week upper troughing shifts off the east coast and upper ridging lumbers back into the area. We'll likely see a drop in potential for afternoon thunderstorms only to be replaced with more heat. Our heatwave will likely continue through this period as highs stay in the middle to upper 90's, with some spots cracking 100 any given day over southeast Mississippi into interior portions of southwest Alabama.
The rip current risk gradually tapers as we head through the rest of the week, with a moderate risk Wednesday for the Florida Panhandle becoming a low risk by Friday. A low risk will remain for the Alabama coastline through the end of the week. MM/25
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1217 AM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026
General VFR conditions expected overnight into the morning hours. Developing rain showers and thunderstorms late Wednesday morning into the afternoon will bring drops in conditions to low end MVFR/IFR in heavy rains. IMpact to operations may be possible. Coverage and strength will quickly decrease in the evening as the day's heating is lost. Westerly wind 5 to 10 knots during the day will become light overnight. /16
MARINE
Issued at 118 AM CDT Mon Aug 17 2026
A light to occasionally moderate southwest to westerly flow pattern persists across the marine waters in the coming week. Isolated to potentially scattered showers and storms can be expected each morning with locally higher seas and winds near storms. No impacts expected other than locally higher winds and seas possible near thunderstorms. /16
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 76 95 75 95 / 10 40 30 50 Pensacola 79 95 78 94 / 10 40 20 30 Destin 80 93 79 92 / 10 30 20 30 Evergreen 73 98 73 96 / 10 30 30 40 Waynesboro 74 99 71 97 / 20 20 30 40 Camden 74 97 74 95 / 10 20 30 30 Crestview 74 96 74 95 / 10 40 20 40
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM CDT this evening for ALZ051>060-261>266.
FL...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM CDT this evening for FLZ201>206.
MS...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM CDT this evening for MSZ067-075-076-078-079.
GM...None.
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