textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1122 AM CST Tue Feb 24 2026

- Low relative humidity will create dangerous burning conditions again today, with conditions improving through midweek as southerly winds develop.

- A HIGH risk of rip currents will return along the beaches Thursday and Friday and create dangerous swimming conditions.

- Above normal temperatures will return Wednesday through Tuesday, with the next best chances for rain occurring late Thursday afternoon into Friday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1045 AM CST Tue Feb 24 2026

A surface ridge over the area shifts off to the east allowing for a return flow to become established this afternoon and continue into Thursday. A large and broad upper trof meanwhile evolves over the central and eastern states then later moves off into the western Atlantic, with an associated surface low bringing a weak cold front through the forecast area late Thursday night into Friday morning. Dry conditions continue through Wednesday, then as deep layer moisture steadily increases have gone with chance to likely pops for Thursday with likely to categorical pops for Thursday night as the front approaches and moves into the area. Chance to likely pops Friday morning taper off to dry conditions through Friday night as the front exits to the east. Dry conditions then follow for Saturday through Tuesday, except for a slight chance for rain on Monday over the easternmost portion of the area as a series of modest shortwaves move across the region.

Lows tonight range from around 40 inland to the mid/upper 40s at the coast then trend to mild temperatures in the mid 50s to lower 60s for Wednesday night. Highs on Wednesday will be mild and in the lower 70s. Highs will be in the 70s for the remainder of the period, with some spots reaching the lower 80s from Sunday into Tuesday. Mild overnight temperatures mostly in the 50s prevail through Monday night, except for a bit cooler Friday night when upper 40s are expected over interior areas. A low risk of rip currents today trends to a moderate risk tonight, then a high risk is expected for Thursday into Friday. A low risk of rip currents follows for Saturday. /29

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1124 AM CST Tue Feb 24 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail for much of the period, although there is the potential for an MVFR ceiling to develop late tonight generally near the coast. A south to southwest flow at 5-10 knots this afternoon diminishes to 5 knots or less this evening except for persisting at 5-10 knots near the coast. A southwesterly flow at 10-15 knots develops Wednesday morning. /29

MARINE

Issued at 1045 AM CST Tue Feb 24 2026

A light southwesterly flow develops today then becomes moderate to occasionally strong for Tuesday night through Thursday. Winds switch to a light northerly flow Friday morning as a weak cold front moves through. Small craft may need to exercise caution over the open Gulf waters tonight. /29

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1045 AM CST Tue Feb 24 2026

Relative humidity values drop to 20-25% mostly over interior areas this afternoon but will not satisfy other criteria for a Red Flag Warning. /29

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 44 72 60 76 / 0 0 20 30 Pensacola 48 70 62 74 / 0 0 30 30 Destin 48 69 61 71 / 0 0 40 50 Evergreen 38 73 55 77 / 0 0 20 40 Waynesboro 42 73 57 76 / 0 0 20 50 Camden 40 72 57 75 / 0 0 20 50 Crestview 38 73 57 77 / 0 0 30 50

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.