textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 521 PM CST Sun Jan 11 2026 - Strong northerly winds will occur over the marine area through Monday morning and create hazardous conditions for small craft.

- Sub-freezing temperatures will occur Sunday night and Monday night for most interior areas.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1244 PM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

Just like that winter has returned to the area and looks to stick around for the near future. Deep upper troughing has build over the eastern US as upper ridging builds over the west coast. This has ushered in deep northwesterly flow aloft leading to drier and cooler conditions than the previous week. The only system of note the next week comes on Wednesday as a cutoff upper low moves across the Gulf coast and phases with the large upper trough over the eastern US. Overall moisture will be rather pitiful with this but some light overrunning could be possible as the upper low opens up into a weak shortwave across the area. The main impact of this system will be the deepening of the east coast trough which will allow for a re-enforcing shot of even colder and drier air by the weekend. Temperatures most of the week will range in the low to mid 50s for highs and upper 20s to low 30s for lows. Coldest day of the week will be Friday where lows will likely bottom out in the low to mid 20s with the cold shot. Wind chills tonight, Wednesday and Thursday night look to bottom out in the low to mid 20s. Not the coldest air of the season but will probably be one of the longer cold periods we have had this season. BB-8

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 521 PM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

VFR conditions will prevail over the next 24 hours. Gusty northerly winds this evening will weaken to around 5-10 knots tonight and into Monday. /96

MARINE

Issued at 1244 PM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

Strong offshore flow will continue through Sunday night. Occasional gusts to near gale force cannot be ruled out over the local Gulf waters. Winds gradually decrease on Monday, becoming light by Tuesday. Winds briefly turn westerly on Wednesday ahead of the next cold front. Moderate to strong offshore winds return Wednesday night into Thursday in the wake of the front. With the persistent north wind and low tides, parts of Mobile bay will likely experience low water thresholds each day through most of the week during low tide. BB-8

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 33 53 30 59 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 35 53 35 59 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 36 53 38 59 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 28 53 27 61 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 29 51 27 60 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 28 48 27 59 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 29 53 26 62 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until midnight CST tonight for GMZ630>632.

Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM CST Monday for GMZ650-655-670- 675.


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