textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 530 PM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

- Hazardous boating conditions continue across the coastal waters this evening, but winds and seas will begin to gradually diminish overnight into Monday morning.

- High surf heights up to 4 to 6 feet will impact coastal portions of Alabama and the Florida Panhandle through this evening, with strong rip currents continuing through late tonight.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 130 PM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

likely to definite showers with perhaps a storm or two associated with the upper low pressure area moving over the central Alabama will spread mainly eastward throughout the afternoon. A few showers could slip south toward the I-10 corridor by late afternoon, but no strong storms are expected. Lingering showers across our far eastern zones early this evening will then exit east of the area as a cold front passes through the region. Dry conditions will then follow through midweek as a surface ridge sets up across the southeast states and a broad upper ridge builds over Gulf and Deep South. Isolated to scattered showers will return to our region the latter half of the week as over-running sets up along the western periphery of the surface ridge eventually setting up across the eastern Gulf that allows southerly winds to bring low-level moisture northward.

Temperatures will return to well above normal throughout the week with highs Monday around 70 degrees climbing into the lower to middle 80s inland on Thursday and Friday, with middle to upper 70s along the coast. Lows in the upper 40s to middle 50s tonight and Monday night will climb into the middle 60s by Thursday night.

Beach Forecast: A High Surf Advisory remains in effect until midnight for large breaking waves of 4 to 6 feet in the surf zone. A High Risk of Rip Currents remains through tonight before returning back to a Low Risk by Tuesday. /22

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 530 PM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

An expansive stratocumulus deck will result in predominate MVFR ceilings through the TAF period. It's possible ceilings may approach IFR levels at times overnight, but confidence is currently not high enough to include in the terminal forecasts. Strong and gusty west to northwest winds will diminish later this evening into the overnight hours, becoming light out of the northeast by Monday morning. 34/JFB

MARINE

Issued at 130 PM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

Moderate to strong westerly flow will shift northwesterly this evening as a cold front passes through the region. Small Craft Advisories for all marine zones this afternoon will expire through the overnight hours as winds gradually decrease and shift northerly, with seas subsiding. Light offshore flow on Monday will shift to a light onshore flow Tuesday and continue through the remainder of the week. /22

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for ALZ265-266.

High Surf Advisory until midnight CST tonight for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for FLZ202-204-206.

High Surf Advisory until midnight CST tonight for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for GMZ630- 633>636.

Small Craft Advisory until midnight CST tonight for GMZ631-632- 650-655.

Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM CST Monday for GMZ670-675.