textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 620 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026

- Temperatures will remain well above normal through the middle of next week.

- Moderate to extreme drought along with little to no rain in the forecast through next week will exacerbate wildfire activity.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 132 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026

A rather benign springtime pattern will persist through the remainder of the period with no real sign of rain for a good part of the end of March. A rather anomalous strong upper ridge will be firmly planted over the southwestern US allowing for northwesterly flow aloft to persist for most of the next two weeks or so. The only sign for rain looks to come on Wednesday where a subtle upper shortwave will progress through the northwesterly flow bringing a weak boundary down to the Gulf coast. Moisture and lift will be rather limited but an isolated to possibly scattered shower could occur late Tuesday night into Wednesday. Current ensemble guidance does show at least some rain potential and despite the current forecast being dry, would not be surprised as confidence increases over the coming days to see some rain chances increase Tuesday into Wednesday. Other than that the main concern will be our likely worsening drought conditions across the area. Given the dry conditions, there is some concerns for fire weather over the coming days as dewpoints will be rather low and winds could remain elevated around 10 to 15 mph. Temperatures will remain mild with highs in the low to mid 80s and lows in the upper 50s to low 60s. BB-8

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 622 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026

Patchy fog is possible late tonight, but otherwise VFR conditions prevail through Sunday. Southwesterly winds diminish to 5 knots or less this evening, then increase to 10-15 knots on Sunday. /29

MARINE

Issued at 235 AM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026

A light to moderate westerly to southwesterly flow continues this weekend and into early next week, becoming a light easterly to southerly flow mid to late week. BB-8

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 57 80 58 84 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 61 77 61 80 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 61 73 61 75 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 53 84 55 84 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 56 84 58 83 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 56 84 58 82 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 54 82 55 84 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.