textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 632 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026 - A HIGH RISK of rip currents continues through this afternoon for the Alabama and northwest Florida beaches.

- Drier conditions and warmer temperatures expected early next week.

UPDATE

Issued at 632 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026

Forecast remains on track as coverage of showers and storms lessens throughout the evening. No updates needed. /96

DISCUSSION

Issued at 200 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026

A remnant MCV continues move across central Mississippi and Alabama this afternoon. As this system moves eastward through the afternoon an area of showers and thunderstorms will continue to spread eastward across mainly interior portions of the area. Additional showers and storms can be expected across the southern half of the area but coverage will be more scattered. Plenty of tropical moisture with PWATs over 2 inches combined with lift from the MCV will lead to a continued risk of heavy rainfall and a risk of flooding. One more day of high rain chances on Sunday before surface and upper ridging build across the area Monday. This increased ridging combined with some drier air moving into the area will cause lower rain chances across much of the area on Monday. By Tuesday into Wednesday the upper ridge will build across the southwest with a broad trough developing across the eastern states. This will place the area in a northwest flow pattern with the possibility of convective complexes from the northwest moving into the area during middle part of the week. Temperatures will warm back into the low 90s with heat index values into the 100 to 105 range for the first park of the work week.

A high rip current risk continues through this afternoon becoming Moderate tonight through Wednesday. /13

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 632 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026

VFR conditions are expected to continue through the evening and into the early morning hours. Prior to daybreak, ceilings should start to lower to MVFR as our next round of scattered showers and storms develop over the Gulf and push northeastward. Expect brief reductions in visibility in some of the heavier activity. Storms are expected to push inland throughout the day, with coverage decreasing along the coast by the afternoon. Light and variable winds tonight will become southwesterly by Sunday morning, increasing to around 5-10 knots inland and 10-15 knots closer to the coast. /96

MARINE

Issued at 200 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026

High pressure builds westward across the Florida Peninsula and into the central Gulf through the middle of next week. Light to occasionally moderate southwesterly winds will prevail through Monday then turn more westerly mid week. Seas generally 2 to 3 feet. /13

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 74 87 77 91 / 30 50 0 0 Pensacola 77 87 80 91 / 20 30 10 10 Destin 77 87 80 88 / 30 40 10 20 Evergreen 71 86 74 91 / 20 60 10 20 Waynesboro 72 86 75 92 / 30 60 0 10 Camden 70 84 73 90 / 20 70 10 20 Crestview 72 87 75 91 / 20 50 10 30

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.