textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 624 AM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026
- Patchy dense fog is possible overnight into the pre-dawn hours over the next several nights.
- Strong to Severe storms with large hail possible this afternoon and another round of severe storms possible Wednesday night into Thursday morning.
- Near Gale force sustained winds and frequent gale force gusts possible over the open Gulf Waters Wednesday night into Thursday.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1258 AM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026
Areas of dense fog will continue across the area through the morning hours and a dense fog advisory is in effect through 9am. Once the fog clears, temps will warm into the upper 70s and low 80s. Moisture levels will also increase today ahead a shortwave moving through the zonal flow aloft. This will lead to the development of showers and thunderstorms across northern portions of the area during the afternoon hours. Favorable instability and deep layer shear will create an environment favorable for strong to severe thunderstorms mainly north of Highway 84 where there is a slight risk of severe storms today. The main threat is large hail, potentially up to 2 inches in diameter. The tornado threat is low but cannot be completely ruled out. Dry conditions follow in the wake of the shortwave on Tuesday as upper ridging builds over the area with high temps in the low to mid 80s. The next system approaches Wednesday night into Thursday morning. This will bring another chance for strong to severe storms to the area. A much cooler and drier airmass moves into the area on Thursday with highs in the low to mid 60s inland to near 70 along the coast. Lows Thursday night fall into the low 40s inland to upper 40s along the coast. Temperatures warm back into the upper 70s and low 80s by the weekend. /13
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 624 AM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026
Low ceilings and fog have developed over portions of the local area this morning. Expect fog to dissipate and ceilings to lift over the next couple hours. VFR conditions should become prevalent for the afternoon hours. Scattered storms are expected to develop over interior counties later this afternoon and into the evening hours, bringing temporary reductions in visibility and ceilings in some of the heaviest activity. IFR or lower ceilings look to return to the area tonight, with some patchy fog possible during the overnight hours. Southerly winds will increase to around 5-10 knots this afternoon. Winds become light and variable tonight. /96
MARINE
Issued at 1258 AM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026
A light to moderate southeasterly to southerly flow continues into the middle of next week. Dense fog remains possible near the coastline for the next several nights. Small Craft conditions are likely by Wednesday night into Thursday night and gale conditions are possible as winds turn northerly behind an advancing cold front. /13
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 80 66 82 66 / 20 10 0 0 Pensacola 76 67 78 67 / 10 10 0 0 Destin 75 65 76 65 / 10 10 0 0 Evergreen 82 62 86 62 / 50 20 0 0 Waynesboro 81 65 84 66 / 60 30 0 0 Camden 80 64 83 64 / 60 30 10 0 Crestview 81 62 83 62 / 20 10 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for ALZ051>060- 261>266.
FL...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for FLZ201>206.
MS...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for MSZ067-075- 076-078-079.
GM...Dense Fog Advisory until noon CDT today for GMZ630>636-650-655.
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