textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1025 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026

- Patchy fog is possible late tonight and Monday night. - Rain chances increase by mid to late next week, especially over the northwestern portion of the forecast area.

- Temperatures will continue to trend warmer through early next week with increasingly humid conditions. Heat indices will climb into low to mid 90s by Monday and Tuesday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1025 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026

Dry weather conditions generally prevail for most areas today outside of perhaps an isolated shower or storm over the interior this afternoon, best chances near the Highway 84 corridor. Rain chances gradually increase into mid and late week as upper ridging weakens and southwest flow aloft works its way into the area along with several weak shortwaves. This should be enough to generate isolated to scattered shower and thunderstorm coverage each day starting Wednesday. Rain chances continue to look like they will be best this weekend as a weak upper trough pushes across the region. Overall for those who see storms it will be a beneficial rainfall to continue chipping away at our ongoing drought across the forecast area. We will probably see some patchy fog across portions of the area through daybreak this morning and again Tuesday morning. The better signal for fog, some locally dense, appears to be Tuesday morning. Fog will generally lift pretty quickly after daybreak.

Outside of the rain chances, temperatures will be warm near or just above normal for this time of year on both highs and lows throughout the week. Highs generally fall in the 85 to 90 range, warmest Wednesday where some spots across the FL panhandle into south-central AL make it to the lower 90's. Lows warm with time from upper 50's to middle 60's this morning to middle 60's to lower 70's by mid week. The rip current risk remains Moderate today, becoming High Tuesday before dropping back to a Low to Moderate risk Wednesday into late week. MM/25

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 632 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026

VFR flight category this evening into the early overnight will gradually give way to MVFR and IFR ceilings late overnight into daybreak Monday morning. These ceilings should lift fairly quickly after daybreak, with the area returning to VFR flight category by mid-morning. Winds will remain generally out of the southeast around 5 knots tonight, increasing to around 10 knots gusting 15 to 20 knots during the day Monday. MM/25

MARINE

Issued at 1156 AM CDT Sun May 17 2026

A light to occasionally moderate southeasterly flow will prevail through Thursday. Seas will build slightly by Monday and Tuesday then diminish Wednesday into Thursday. /29

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 84 68 86 70 / 0 0 20 0 Pensacola 82 71 83 71 / 0 0 10 0 Destin 81 71 82 71 / 0 0 10 0 Evergreen 88 62 89 65 / 0 0 20 0 Waynesboro 87 65 88 69 / 0 0 20 0 Camden 86 63 88 67 / 0 0 30 0 Crestview 88 64 89 65 / 0 0 20 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.