textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 105 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

- Temperatures plunge into the upper 20s to low 30s for locations generally north of I-10 by sunrise this morning.

- Breezy conditions are possible Wednesday afternoon ahead of the next front.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 105 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Much drier and colder air continues to filter into the area early this morning behind a potent cold front. Temperatures have already crashed into the 30s inland with low 40s at the beaches as of midnight. Temperatures will continue to tumble down into the upper 20s to low 30s across inland communities with upper 30s at the beaches by around sunrise. The forecast remains on track this morning and through the rest of the period.

High pressure builds into the area in the wake of the cold front today. Expect one more day and night of chilly temperatures before the roller coaster of temperatures begins. The pressure gradient increases across the area on Wednesday between the surface high over the Gulf and a quick-moving surface low pivoting across the Great Lakes region. Onshore flow ramps up with breezy conditions expected in the afternoon on Wednesday, especially across the northern half of our area. Temperatures quickly rebound on Wednesday in this regime with highs topping out in the 60s - a few spots may even approach 70. A weak cold front will sag into the area late Wednesday as the surface low jet sets off to the northeast. Temperatures will nose dive back into the 30s and 40s Wednesday night into early Thursday morning. High pressure moves back into the area on Thursday in the wake of that front. Steady onshore flow develops on the backside of the high as it continues to trek eastward, so expect another moderating trend with the temperatures. The warmest day in the forecast period is Saturday with highs topping out in the upper 60s to low 70s area-wide. Yet another front slides into the area early on Sunday. While moisture return isn't optimal for this front (similar to the previously mentioned front), we cannot rule out some rain showers in the morning hours. The blended forecast is dry right now, but don't be surprised if we see rain chances start to creep up, especially west of I-65. Overnight temperatures crash into the 30s and 40s again Sunday night into Monday morning. The next chance for more substantial rain will probably come in the middle of next week.

Beach Forecast - Rip current risk remains LOW through the weekend in the current pattern. However, the current probabilistic data has started showing the possibility of reaching a MODERATE risk in the late afternoon and evening hours on Wednesday for our Florida beaches, especially Destin. 07/mb

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 105 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

The shield of MVFR ceilings has finally eroded across the area with VFR conditions expected through the rest of the TAF cycle. Northerly winds will continue to gradually relax through the period. 07/mb

MARINE

Issued at 105 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Northerly winds will continue to gradually relax early this morning. Westerly to southwesterly winds are expected in the middle to end of the week. Southerly winds develop on Friday and Saturday ahead of another cold front that slides through late in the weekend. 07/mb

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 56 39 67 40 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 56 45 65 44 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 57 46 66 46 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 57 32 66 36 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 55 34 64 35 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 54 33 63 34 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 57 32 66 38 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.