textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 643 PM CDT Wed Sep 9 2026
- Moderate risk of rip currents will continue through tonight for coastal Alabama and northwest Florida beaches.
- Rain chances increase Thursday into Saturday with the potential for locally heavy rainfall mainly Friday and Saturday. A few strong storms capable of producing strong wind gusts will be possible.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 145 PM CDT Wed Sep 9 2026
The upper ridge over the area weakens and moves east as a broad trough moves into the central plains. Ahead of this trough, a weak frontal boundary will move into the Tennessee Valley and stall before dissipating Friday night. As the ridge weakens and the trough approaches, deep layer moisture will be pulled back into the area on Thursday with precipitable water values climbing back above 2 inches. Weak troughing persists west of the MS River through the weekend. These factors will combine to generate scattered to locally numerous showers and thunderstorms each day, starting in the morning near the coast and spreading inland through the day. The ridge builds back across the area early next week, resulting in lower rain chances and warming temps.
The clouds and rain will keep temps in the upper 80s and low 90s Thursday through the weekend. Low to mid 90s return for the start of next week. A moderate risk of rip currents continues through tonight with a low risk expected through the remainder of the period. /13
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 643 PM CDT Wed Sep 9 2026
VFR conditions should generally prevail over the next 24 hours. Scattered to numerous showers and storms are expected to begin developing during the morning hours along the coast, and will likely spread inland throughout the afternoon. Expect brief reductions in visibility and ceilings in some of the heavier activity. Light and variable winds tonight will become a more southeasterly to southerly flow at around 5-10 knots by Thursday afternoon. /96
MARINE
Issued at 145 PM CDT Wed Sep 9 2026
No impacts expected other than locally higher winds and seas possible near thunderstorms. /13
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 74 89 74 88 / 20 70 50 90 Pensacola 77 88 77 88 / 40 50 50 80 Destin 78 88 78 88 / 30 60 60 80 Evergreen 73 93 71 91 / 0 70 20 90 Waynesboro 73 94 72 92 / 0 50 20 90 Camden 73 93 72 90 / 0 30 10 80 Crestview 73 91 72 90 / 10 60 40 80
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.
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