textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 603 AM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

- Moderate to strong northeasterly winds may create hazardous conditions for small craft mainly well offshore from Wednesday through Saturday.

- A Moderate to High Risk of rip currents is expected for beach areas the rest of the week through the weekend.

UPDATE

Issued at 603 AM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

No changes were needed to the forecast. Dry conditions persist today, with highs warming into the upper 70s to lower 80s this afternoon. /73

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1129 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026

Now through Thursday night, An upper ridge stretching north over the Eastern Conus shifts south to become centered over the Gulf. An upper level shortwave trough off the East Coast shifts south organizing into a closed upper low over the Caribbean, where it remains into the end of the week. The upper ridge over the Gulf builds north over the Southeast the end of the week as a weak upper trough develops off the west coast of the US/Mex. Surface high pressure meanders around over the eastern Conus, and in combination with a surface low developing near southern Fl, a tight pressure gradient develops Wednesday on over the open Gulf.

Subsidence from the upper ridge will help high temperatures to remain above seasonal norms, overriding cooler northeasterly flow over the forecast area. High temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s expected through mid week. Low temperatures remain around seasonal Tuesday and Wednesday nights, ranging from the upper 40s north of Highway 84 to mid 50s over the I-10 corridor. There is an uptick Thursday night with guidance advertising an uptick in moisture moving over the forecast area Thursday into Thursday night. Low temperatures in the mid 50s to around 60 expected Thursday night.

Friday through the weekend...A shortwave trough moves over the Southeast, bringing rain back to the region for the weekend. Temperatures see a bit of a downward trend, but otherwise remain above seasonal norms.

Taking a look at the Rip Risk on area beaches, a Moderate Risk of rip currents is maintain into the coming week, with some guidance advertising occasional upticks to a low High. /16

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 603 AM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours. Winds will generally remain from the northeast and below 10kts. /73

MARINE

Issued at 1129 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026

Light to occasionally moderate northeasterly flow is maintained over protected waters, with moderate to strong winds over open Gulf waters. /16

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 79 52 81 53 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 79 59 80 61 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 80 61 81 63 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 79 45 79 48 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 79 47 80 45 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 76 46 76 46 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 80 48 81 53 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.


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