textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 640 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

- Several rounds of beneficial rainfall through Saturday morning with rainfall totals of 2 to 3 inches should help alleviate the severe to extreme drought conditions. - Strong northerly winds late Friday night into Sunday over our marine area will create hazardous conditions for small craft.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 300 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

Zonal flow aloft will persist over our region through tonight south a large and broad upper trough extending from the northern Rockies to the New England coast. A mid/upper cut-off low pressure center over northern Baja-California will eject eastward and become absorbed into the northern trough on Friday. This will result in southwesterly flow aloft as the large trough evolves into a slightly positively-tilted medium amplified trough with the axis reaching the lower half of the Mississippi River by noon Saturday. Mid/upper level impulses will continue to traverse the region, with the strongest signal occurring Friday afternoon through the overnight hours due to residual energy from the decaying southern shortwave. Layer lifting and isentropic upglide will persist in the low levels as a frontal boundary just off the coast remains quasi-stationary through Friday evening. An inverted low-level trough across the western Gulf coastline and becomes quite elongated from the southwest Gulf to the Florida Panhandle while developing an internal low pressure area by Saturday morning. Scattered to occasional numerous showers along with a chance of thunderstorms will continue through Friday morning, followed by widespread showers and a chance of thunderstorms Friday afternoon and Friday night. The departures of the low level trough to our east will allow the rain to taper off Saturday morning and then reinforce the northerly wind flow as high pressure builds into the region from the northwest. Overall, we are expecting additional total rainfall amounts to range from 2 to 3 inches. A much drier airmass moves into the area behind the reinforced northerly flow with dry conditions expected through the first half of next week. A LOW risk of rip currents is expected through Monday night. /22

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 654 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

Rain with MVFR conditions periodically affect the area overnight, with IFR ceilings possible during the late night into early morning hours. Periods of showers and thunderstorms with MVFR conditions are expected to move across the area on Friday. Winds will be northerly around 5 knots or less tonight then become northeasterly 5-10 knots on Friday. /29

MARINE

Issued at 300 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

A light northeasterly to northerly flow will resume across the bays, sounds and near shore Gulf waters after midnight as a stalled boundary along the coast moves slightly further offshore. Winds beyond 20 nautical miles will remain light and variable through Friday. Northeasterly to easterly winds will increase to moderate Friday evening as an inverted surface trough approaches from the west, followed by a moderate to strong offshore flow late Friday night through Saturday as the trough moves eastward. A Small Craft Advisory will likely to required starting after midnight Friday night. Winds then diminish late Saturday night and Sunday, followed by a light onshore flow returning Monday afternoon through Tuesday. /22

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 60 70 53 70 / 60 80 100 50 Pensacola 64 72 57 69 / 60 70 100 80 Destin 65 76 59 72 / 60 60 90 90 Evergreen 55 71 51 69 / 50 80 100 60 Waynesboro 54 64 50 69 / 50 80 100 30 Camden 54 66 50 66 / 40 80 100 50 Crestview 60 77 53 71 / 50 70 90 80

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.