textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 230 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

- Moderate to extreme drought, with little to no rain over the next 7 days, will exacerbate wildfire activity.

- Patchy to areas of fog development, some of which could be dense, is possible over the next few nights. Super fog development, which could reduce visibilities to near zero, is possible near and around prescribed burns/wildfires.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 230 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

Deep layer ridging over the southeast states will weaken and shift southeast this weekend as an upper level trough digs across the plains states. Ahead of the trough, a cold front will move through the area late Saturday night into Sunday morning. Ahead of the front, conditions will remain favorable for patchy dense fog development the next few nights. A weakening line of showers and thunderstorms will enter the area Saturday night as the front moves into the area. The highest rain chances will be across northwest portions of the area with lower chances across the southern half of the area. A few showers may linger Sunday morning, but will quickly move east as a cooler and drier airmass moves into the region. Dry conditions return for the reminder of the period.

High temps will be in the mid and upper 80s Friday and Saturday before dropping back into the low to mid 70s for Sunday. Highs will then be in the upper 70s and low 80s through midweek. Much cooler overnight lows can be expected behind the front Saturday and Sunday nights with lows in the mid and upper 40s inland to low 50s near the coast. Lows will slowly moderate through midweek. /13

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1247 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

VFR conditions with southerly winds prevail through this evening. Winds gradually turn southwesterly overnight and become calm. MVFR to IFR visibility due to patchy fog is possible overnight across much of the area, especially near sunrise, with LIFR conditions at JKA overnight. 07/mb

MARINE

Issued at 230 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

A light onshore continues through Saturday evening then shifts westerly by late Saturday night as a strong cold front approaches from the northwest. Moderate to strong offshore flow follows on Sunday into Monday in the wake of the front. /13

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 63 85 62 83 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 65 80 65 80 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 65 78 66 78 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 58 89 57 86 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 62 88 60 85 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 61 88 60 84 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 58 88 57 85 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.