textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 226 PM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026
- A High Risk of Rip Currents is expected through Friday for local area beaches.
- Rain chances are expected to increase late Friday into Saturday, with a few strong storms possible west of the Alabama River.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 226 PM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026
Rain chances will increase across much of the area over the next few days as a weak front moves into the southeast and stalls. Weak shortwaves moving along this boundary will lead to scattered to locally numerous showers and storms at times through the weekend. The best chance of rain looks to be late Friday night into Saturday as storms that develop northwest of the area on Friday afternoon move into the area. While they are expected to weaken Saturday morning, left over outflow boundaries will lead to additional development through the day on Saturday. The Storm Prediction Center currently has a Marginal Risk for northwest portions of the area for mainly late Friday night into early Saturday. The storms are expected to be weakening, but cannot completely rule out a strong storm with gusty winds. Scattered showers and storms remain possible on Sunday as the boundary lingers across the area. Upper ridging builds over the area on Monday as another system moves across the plains states. This will keep much of the area dry on Monday. Chances for showers and thunderstorms increase again Tuesday into Wednesday as the frontal boundary moves into the area. Unfortunately, there will likely be a sharp gradient in rainfall amounts through next week. The northern half of the area will see the highest totals with amounts decreasing sharply as you move toward the coast.
Temperatures will continue to warm through the period with mid and upper 80s possible next across inland areas.
A high risk of rip currents continues through Friday, dropping to moderate Friday night. A low risk of rip currents is expected this weekend into early next week. /13
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1244 PM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026
VFR conditions prevail through this evening with southerly to southeasterly winds around 10 knots. MVFR visibility is possible overnight, especially near sunrise, at the MOB and BFM terminals. Probability of fog continues to increase across inland communities, especially after 07z, but the probability of dense fog impacting the TAF sites remains low. 07/mb
MARINE
Issued at 226 PM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026
A light to moderate southeasterly flow prevails through Friday, then becomes southerly to southwesterly for Friday night through early next week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 62 81 65 83 / 0 20 20 60 Pensacola 66 78 68 80 / 0 10 20 50 Destin 66 78 68 79 / 0 10 10 50 Evergreen 56 85 60 84 / 0 20 20 80 Waynesboro 58 83 63 83 / 0 30 40 80 Camden 57 83 62 81 / 0 20 40 80 Crestview 57 84 61 84 / 0 10 10 60
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...High Rip Current Risk through Friday afternoon for ALZ265-266.
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Friday afternoon for FLZ202-204- 206.
MS...None. GM...None.
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