textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 650 AM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026 - Summertime heat returns over the weekend into early next week. Heat advisories become possible over portions of the area in the coming week.

UPDATE

Issued at 650 AM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

Scattered showers and storms have developed this morning along the coast and across south central Alabama. Adjusted morning PoPs upward to better represent the current activity. Otherwise, no other changes were needed to the latest forecast package. /96

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1055 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026

A weak upper trof over the forecast region moves off to the east on Friday while a weak surface boundary currently over the area becomes increasingly diffuse. Have opted to continue with mainly chance to good chance pops on Friday primarily east of I-65. An upper ridge over Texas and the far western Atlantic expands to encompass the forecast region Friday night then steadily amplifies into a large upper ridge over much of the eastern states by Sunday. The upper ridge persists on Monday, then a series of shortwaves lead to a shortwave trof forming over the Florida peninsula Monday night which looks to progress across the northeast Gulf towards the lower Mississippi River valley going into midweek. Am expecting dry conditions to prevail from Friday night through the weekend, then pops increase to chance to likely by Tuesday with mainly chance pops on Wednesday as the shortwave trof moves across the area.

Highs on Friday will be in the lower 90s then gradually trend to the mid 90s areawide by Monday. Heat index values of 100-105 are expected over much of the area Friday and Saturday. Heat index values then trend to 105-110 on Monday across southeast Mississippi, southwestern Alabama and the western Florida panhandle where a Heat Advisory may eventually become necessary. Heat index values then trend a bit lower through Wednesday as daytime highs moderate a bit to the lower 90s. Lows Friday night range from the lower 70s well inland to near 80 at the coast with similar values following through Wednesday night. A low risk of rip currents is anticipated through Monday. /29

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 650 AM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

Prevailing VFR conditions are expected through the period. Scattered showers and storms are expected today, mainly east of I-65. Expect brief reductions in visibilities and ceilings with this activity. Any lingering showers and storms will dissipate quickly through the evening hours. Winds will be southwesterly at around 5-10 knots today before becoming light and variable after dark. /98

MARINE

Issued at 246 AM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

A light southwesterly flow will prevail through Saturday night, becoming a diurnal pattern Sunday through Tuesday with light onshore flow during the afternoon hours and a light offshore flow each night. A general light easterly flow is expected to develop midweek. /98

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 91 75 92 75 / 10 0 10 0 Pensacola 91 79 92 78 / 30 10 10 0 Destin 89 80 90 79 / 30 10 10 0 Evergreen 92 73 93 73 / 30 10 0 0 Waynesboro 94 75 94 75 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 90 73 91 74 / 20 10 0 0 Crestview 92 74 94 74 / 60 10 10 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.