textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 104 PM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026
- A Heat Advisory is in effect for southeast Mississippi today for heat indices to around 108 degrees.
- Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms can be expected each afternoon, particularly across the southern half of the area. Storms will be capable of producing gusty winds, heavy rain, and frequent lightning.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1129 AM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026
Hot and humid conditions continue the rest of this afternoon across the area across southeast Mississippi as heat indices soar into the 105 to 110 range. Elsewhere, afternoon mixing is helping to limit higher dewpoints keeping it a bit more tolerable for heat stress. The same can be expected on Monday, although there are some uncertainties in regards to the overall evolution of showers and storms that precludes confidence in issuing a heat advisory at this time. With that said, scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will likely occur across the area both this afternoon and Monday afternoon as several shortwaves track southeast across the area. Strong, potentially damaging wind gusts, heavy rainfall, and frequent lightning can be expected with any storms.
As we head throughout the rest of the week, we remain in a relatively similar pattern with upper troughing remaining in control across the eastern half of the U.S. and upper ridging located across the south-central into southwestern U.S. Tuesday through Friday. This will continue to favor weak shortwaves tracking across the area throughout the period, bringing scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms each afternoon to the forecast area. Similar to prior days, strong, locally damaging wind gusts are possible with any storms. The heat should relax with the increased coverage of storms, with heat indices likely remaining just below heat advisory criteria as we head through the rest of the week. Afternoon temperatures also drop somewhat with highs only in the lower to middle 90's as opposed to the upper 90's to near 100 we've been enduring. A Low risk of rip currents will continue through the late week for our Alabama and Florida Panhandle beaches. MM/25
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 104 PM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026
VFR conditions prevail through the period, outside of isolated thunderstorms that develop late this afternoon near the coast. Light northerly flow will briefly turn southerly along the immediate coastline by late afternoon with light and variable winds expected overnight. 07/mb
MARINE
Issued at 1129 AM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026
A light to occasionally moderate westerly flow pattern continues through this week. Winds are expected to shift from southwesterly each afternoon to northwesterly late each night. Isolated to potentially scattered showers and storms can be expected each morning during next week with locally higher seas and winds near storms. MM/25
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 74 93 73 92 / 20 70 30 60 Pensacola 78 92 76 90 / 10 60 40 70 Destin 79 90 77 89 / 10 50 40 60 Evergreen 72 94 70 93 / 20 50 20 50 Waynesboro 73 94 70 95 / 20 50 20 40 Camden 73 91 69 92 / 20 40 20 30 Crestview 73 93 71 91 / 20 60 40 70
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None. FL...None. MS...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for MSZ067-075-076-078- 079.
GM...None.
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