textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1230 PM CDT Mon Aug 10 2026 - Isolated to scattered storms are expected through Tuesday.

- Heat indices around 100-107 degrees are expected through Tuesday, increasing mid week on.

- A Moderate risk of rip currents returns to Florida beaches the latter half of the week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1230 PM CDT Mon Aug 10 2026

High pressure will generally dominate the weather pattern through the work week. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will remain possible, generally along and near the coast as the seabreeze moves northward. Given the relatively stagnant upper flow, these storms will remain sub severe, with brief heavy rainfall and gusty winds. Outside of thunderstorms, the heat remains the primary concern, as highs climb into the mid 90s. These will combine with high humidities to produce heat indices between 100 and 106 degrees this afternoon. As we head into the evening hours, any lingering showers/storms will dissipate with the loss of daytime heating. Expect overnight lows to only cool into the lower to mid 70s.

This trend will generally continue through at least midweek, with isolated to scattered thunderstorms along and near the coast. Stronger ridging will build into the region towards the latter half of the week, increasing the threat of dangerous heat while reducing rain chances. High temps will near 100 degrees for portions of the area by the weekend, with heat indices approaching 110 degrees. Heat headlines will likely be needed by Thursday if forecast confidence remains high. At this point, overnight lows will cool into the lower 70s and heat indices are expected to remain below 113 degrees, so extreme heat appears unlikely. We'll reassess as it gets closer. /73

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1230 PM CDT Mon Aug 10 2026

Scattered thunderstorms will continue along coastal Alabama and Florida through the remaining of the afternoon. Confidence on exact timing and location is low and a TEMPO has been included for all sites. This activity will dissipate during the mid to late afternoon hours, leaving VFR conditions for the remainder of the forecast period. /73

MARINE

Issued at 1230 PM CDT Mon Aug 10 2026

Light southerly winds will shift to light southwesterly to westerly late tonight through the remainder of the week as a ridge over the northeast Gulf shifts southward. /73

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 75 92 75 93 / 0 20 0 10 Pensacola 78 91 79 92 / 10 20 0 20 Destin 79 90 80 91 / 0 10 0 10 Evergreen 73 94 74 94 / 10 20 10 30 Waynesboro 74 96 74 97 / 10 20 10 10 Camden 74 92 75 92 / 10 20 10 30 Crestview 73 94 74 94 / 0 20 0 30

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.