textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 624 AM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026

- Heat indices may rise into the 100-105 degree mark by the end of next week.

UPDATE

Issued at 624 AM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026

Patchy thick fog has developed mainly across portions of the western Florida panhandle and coastal Alabama. The fog is anticipated to quickly burn off this morning. /29

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1208 AM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026

Through Wednesday...a deep upper level shortwave trough over the Central Plains moves east, eventually absorbing more shortwave energy over the East coast, deepening in the process. An upper level high over the Gulf shifts west to over the Southern Plains in response. A drier airmass moves around the west side of low level ridge stretching west over the Southeast, moving over the forecast area and dropping precipitable h20 values from well over 2" to around 1.6" by Tuesday, mainly over the western half of the forecast area. With decent moisture still over eastern portions of the forecast area combining with the East Coast shortwave energy, isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to creep into eastern portions of the forecast area Tuesday. A lack of shortwave energy near the forecast area and a drop in moisture levels will keep most of the forecast area dry Monday. Wednesday, the upper trough over the East Coast shifts further east. In combination with a drier airmass still over the forecast area, another dry day is expected.

Even with the upper ridge shifting away, the drier airmass will allow for better daytime heating, and high temperatures in the upper 80s to around 90 creep upward a bit to the upper 80s to low 90s by Wednesday. Low temperatures see the same small shift with the drop in moisture levels, with low temperatures dropping a few degrees, to around 70 over most of the forecast area, mid 70s along the coast near the warmer Gulf waters.

Wednesday night through the weekend, the upper ridge over the Southern Plains in combination with a continuous stream of shortwave energy moving over the northern two thirds of the Conus flattens the upper ridge along with helping it build east over the Southeast. The axis of the upper ridge shifts to over the Southeast. With a series of shortwaves swirling around the periphery of the ridge (east over the northern half of the Southeast and west over the northern Gulf) along with moisture levels creeping upwards through the latter half of the week, PoPs creep upward Friday into the weekend, with a daily seabreeze off the Gulf the initiator.

Taking a look at the Rip Current risk on area beaches, consistent onshore flow continues through the forecast, but weakens with the shifting upper pattern. The tidal range decreases through the week, with a current Moderate overnight dropping to low by Monday. By the middle of the coming week, the tidal range begins to increase, bringing a Moderate Risk back to the forecast area. /16

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 624 AM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026

VLIFR to IFR conditions in patchy fog mainly over coastal Alabama and portions of the western Florida panhandle quickly improve to VFR this morning. VFR conditions are otherwise anticipated to prevail through tonight. Southeasterly winds 5-10 knots develop this morning then become light and variable by early this evening. /29

MARINE

Issued at 240 AM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026

A light to moderate southeasterly flow prevails through Thursday. Winds become southerly to southwesterly on Friday. /29

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 87 72 90 72 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 87 75 90 75 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 87 75 89 75 / 0 0 10 0 Evergreen 90 71 90 70 / 10 10 20 0 Waynesboro 88 71 91 71 / 10 10 10 0 Camden 87 72 89 71 / 10 10 10 0 Crestview 91 72 92 70 / 10 10 20 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.