textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1226 AM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026 - Summertime heat returns over the weekend into early next week. Heat advisories become possible over portions of the area in the coming week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1055 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026

A weak upper trof over the forecast region moves off to the east on Friday while a weak surface boundary currently over the area becomes increasingly diffuse. Have opted to continue with mainly chance to good chance pops on Friday primarily east of I-65. An upper ridge over Texas and the far western Atlantic expands to encompass the forecast region Friday night then steadily amplifies into a large upper ridge over much of the eastern states by Sunday. The upper ridge persists on Monday, then a series of shortwaves lead to a shortwave trof forming over the Florida peninsula Monday night which looks to progress across the northeast Gulf towards the lower Mississippi River valley going into midweek. Am expecting dry conditions to prevail from Friday night through the weekend, then pops increase to chance to likely by Tuesday with mainly chance pops on Wednesday as the shortwave trof moves across the area.

Highs on Friday will be in the lower 90s then gradually trend to the mid 90s areawide by Monday. Heat index values of 100-105 are expected over much of the area Friday and Saturday. Heat index values then trend to 105-110 on Monday across southeast Mississippi, southwestern Alabama and the western Florida panhandle where a Heat Advisory may eventually become necessary. Heat index values then trend a bit lower through Wednesday as daytime highs moderate a bit to the lower 90s. Lows Friday night range from the lower 70s well inland to near 80 at the coast with similar values following through Wednesday night. A low risk of rip currents is anticipated through Monday. /29

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1226 AM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail over the next 24 hours. Another round of scattered showers and storms are expected to develop later this morning, mainly east of I-65. Expect brief reductions in visibilities and ceilings in some of the heavier activity. Coverage quickly decreases by the evening hours. Light and variable winds this morning will become a light southwesterly flow at around 5-10 knots by the late morning and afternoon hours. /96

MARINE

Issued at 126 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026

A weak stationary boundary along the coast at this time washes out, with a light onshore flow becoming more organized into the weekend. The coming week will see a light to at times moderate nighttime offshore/daytime onshore regime setting up. /16

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 91 75 91 75 / 20 0 0 0 Pensacola 91 79 91 78 / 30 10 0 0 Destin 89 79 89 79 / 20 10 0 0 Evergreen 91 72 92 73 / 40 10 0 0 Waynesboro 93 74 93 74 / 10 0 0 0 Camden 90 73 90 74 / 20 0 0 0 Crestview 92 73 93 73 / 60 10 10 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.