textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 621 PM CDT Wed Apr 22 2026

- A High Risk of Rip Currents is expected tonight into Thursday for local area beaches.

- Rain chances are expected to increase late Friday into Saturday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1110 AM CDT Wed Apr 22 2026

A shortwave trof moving across the region may bring some isolated convection to the area this afternoon, but otherwise dry conditions are expected to prevail through Thursday as an upper ridge builds into the eastern states. A large upper trof meanwhile advances/expands across the western and central states, then becomes oriented mainly from the northwest states to the Great Lakes region for Friday into early next week. The eastern states upper ridge dampens out in response, and an associated surface low brings a frontal boundary into interior portions of the forecast area on Saturday. Have continued with slight chance to chance pops returning to most of the area on Friday, which trend to likely to categorical pops for much of the area on Saturday as the frontal boundary moves into the area.

The frontal boundary lifts off to the north on Sunday as another low pressure system advances across the Plains. This next system brings a weak cold front into interior portions of the forecast area on Tuesday which looks to meander over the general area going into Wednesday. Have stayed with slight chance to chance pops for Sunday, then Monday will have slight chance pops over the interior portion of the forecast area with otherwise dry conditions. Chance pops follow for Tuesday, then have gone with slight chance pops for much of the area on Wednesday. Shear values remain limited except for possibly over the northwestern portion of the forecast area on Monday into Monday night when the 850 mb jet reaches around 25 knots. MLCAPE values look sufficient combined with the relatively marginal shear values in this portion to support the potential for some strong storms and will continue to monitor. A High Risk of rip currents is expected through Thursday, then a moderate risk follows for Friday, with a low risk for Saturday and Sunday. /29

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 621 PM CDT Wed Apr 22 2026

VFR flight category prevails across the region through Thursday. Any lingering isolated showers this evening gradually diminish after sunset. Patchy fog can't be ruled out in a couple localized spots tonight potentially reducing ceiling and visibility by several flight categories. VFR conditions will prevail areawide after daybreak Thursday. Winds remain generally out of the southeast around 5 to 10 knots gusting 15 to 20 knots during the day and relax to near or below 5 knots during the night. MM/25

MARINE

Issued at 1110 AM CDT Wed Apr 22 2026

A light to moderate southeasterly flow prevails through Friday, then becomes southerly to southwesterly for Friday night through the weekend. /29

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 58 81 62 82 / 10 10 0 20 Pensacola 63 78 66 79 / 0 10 0 20 Destin 64 77 66 78 / 0 10 0 10 Evergreen 53 84 55 85 / 20 10 0 20 Waynesboro 55 83 58 84 / 0 10 0 30 Camden 55 83 57 84 / 0 10 0 20 Crestview 53 84 56 84 / 20 10 0 10

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday afternoon for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday afternoon for FLZ202-204- 206.

MS...None. GM...None.