textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 655 AM CDT Wed Jul 1 2026 - A Heat Advisory is in effect Wednesday for southeast Mississippi, with heat indices rising to near 110. Hot and humid conditions continue through the remainder of the week.

- Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon along the coast.

UPDATE

Issued at 655 AM CDT Wed Jul 1 2026

Patchy fog has developed across interior portions of south central Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle this morning. Updated the current forecast to add mention of this patchy fog. Fog should dissipate within the next hour or two. Otherwise, no other changes were needed to the latest forecast package. A Heat Advisory remains in effect for our southeast Mississippi counties from 10 AM through 7 PM for heat indices up to around 108-110. Outside of this advisory, heat indices should generally range from 100 to 107. Isolated to widely scattered storms are also possible this afternoon, mainly over the western half of the local area. Due to the highly unstable environment in place, cannot rule out a few stronger storms capable of producing gusty winds to around 40-60 mph. /96

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1236 AM CDT Wed Jul 1 2026

Hot and humid conditions continue across the region today. An upper level ridge is currently centered over the OH/TN River Valleys, putting us on the southern periphery of the ridge and dominated with easterly flow. We have widespread heat index values of 102-110 today with the highest values in the western half of our area. We have issued a Heat Advisory for our Mississippi counties today from 10 AM to 7 PM. For the rest of the week, heat index values look to be below advisory criteria, but still very hot in the 100-107 range each afternoon. Heat index values approach Heat Advisory criteria for the holiday weekend and will be monitored over the coming days. There will be little overnight relief with lows only reaching the low to mid 70s each night and even higher along the coast they may approach 80. Anybody outdoors should drink plenty of water, take breaks in A/C when possible, and monitor for signs of heat illness.

Rain chances decrease over the coming days with drier air starting to funnel in with PWATs dropping to 1.8" today and 1.5" for Thursday and Friday. As the ridge moves off the coast into the Atlantic, we will have increasing pops into the weekend. This will be more of a normal summertime pattern with daily chances for showers and thunderstorms along the sea breeze and resultant outflow boundaries. SS/97

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 655 AM CDT Wed Jul 1 2026

Patchy fog over portions of south central AL and northwest FL is quickly dissipating at issuance time. Prevailing VFR conditions are expected through the period outside of a few isolated to scattered showers and storms this afternoon. The greatest chances for storms (around 30%) exists along the I-10 corridor and southeast MS, a few of which may cause brief reductions in flight categories. A light easterly to southeasterly flow is expected today, becoming light and variable after sunset. /98

MARINE

Issued at 240 AM CDT Wed Jul 1 2026

A light to occasionally moderate easterly to southeasterly flow will continue through Thursday. A light diurnal pattern returns for Friday and Saturday, with onshore flow expected during the afternoon hours, and offshore flow expected at night. Light southwesterly flow becomes prevalent for Sunday and into early next week. /96

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 94 75 95 74 / 30 0 20 0 Pensacola 93 79 95 78 / 10 0 0 0 Destin 92 79 93 79 / 10 0 0 0 Evergreen 95 73 95 73 / 20 0 0 0 Waynesboro 95 75 96 74 / 20 20 0 10 Camden 93 75 92 74 / 20 10 0 0 Crestview 96 74 96 73 / 10 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...Heat Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening for MSZ067-075-076-078-079.

GM...None.


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