textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 608 AM CST Fri Feb 27 2026

- A HIGH risk of rip currents is in effect through Friday for strong rip currents creating dangerous swimming conditions.

- Above normal temperatures have returned for the foreseeable future. Best rain chances are expected late Thursday night into Friday.

UPDATE

Issued at 608 AM CST Fri Feb 27 2026

The current forecast remains well representative as a wide line of showers with embedded isolated thunderstorms along a weak cold front continues to slowly move southeastward. This light to occasional moderate precipitation will bring around one-half inch of rain to most inland locations, but as the front slows down and and eventually slips just south of the coast by mid afternoon, some of our coastal communities could see 1-2 inches of much needed rainfall. With the rain exiting our area around 3pm, it will still be a dreary day until some afternoon sun returns with high temperatures peaking out in the 70-75 degree range. Patchy to areas of fog is expected to form along the stalled front off the coast this evening and spread inland across areas southeast of I-65 through the overnight hours. /22

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1047 PM CST Thu Feb 26 2026

Rain and storm chances continue to increase through the rest of tonight into early Friday morning. Isolated coverage over interior southeast Mississippi will gradually spread into interior southwest Alabama over the next few hours. Scattered to numerous coverage of showers and storms can be expected during the overnight near and north of Highway 84, spreading closer to the coast as we get towards daybreak. While storms should remain tame throughout the night owing to weak MUCAPE and modest forcing. There may be a stronger storm or two nearer the coast near or after daybreak into the morning hours as instability increases and the main trough begins to swing through, with the main hazard being gusty winds. Ahead of the front during the overnight hours, some patchy fog may develop in spots temporarily reducing visibility to around a mile at times.

Overall we will see a transition into a less exciting pattern as upper troughing gives way to more zonal flow late weekend while upper ridging begins to become dominant across the southern U.S. early next week. This will allow for us to not only remain dry, but also to remain quite warm through next week. Temperatures will take a brief dip for lows Friday night into the middle 40's and lower 50's, but the rest of the forecast generally keeps all areas in the 50's for lows. Highs in the lower to middle 70's become upper 70's to lower 80's this weekend into next week. A High risk of rip currents will continue through Friday afternoon, tapering to a Moderate risk Friday evening and a Low risk for this weekend. A High risk of rip currents may return once again as we head into Tuesday and Wednesday of next week. MM/25

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 549 AM CST Fri Feb 27 2026

IFR/MVFR flight categories prevail across the area, with isolated LIFR ceilings and visibilities due to patchy fog. A wide line of showers with embedded isolated thunderstorms along a weak cold front will continue to slowly move southeastward throughout the morning into early afternoon, and should completely exit our area by 3pm as the front moves just south of the coast. Temporary reductions in ceiling and visibility can be expected underneath the heaviest showers and isolated storms. Winds will gradually shift in the wake of the front to northwesterly, becoming northerly by mid to late morning. Winds will remain around 5 to 10 knots for the most part outside of storms. /22

MARINE

Issued at 1047 PM CST Thu Feb 26 2026

A light to moderate onshore flow becomes a light offshore flow this morning into afternoon as a cold front moves through. Some patchy fog may reduce visibility at times across bays and sounds prior to the front moving through. A light easterly to southeasterly flow develops on Saturday and continues into Sunday, becoming light to moderate easterly flow Monday through Wednesday. MM/25

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 75 53 78 50 / 70 10 0 0 Pensacola 71 57 76 55 / 80 10 0 0 Destin 70 57 73 56 / 80 10 10 0 Evergreen 72 49 79 46 / 70 10 0 0 Waynesboro 72 47 77 46 / 20 0 0 0 Camden 70 47 75 47 / 40 0 0 0 Crestview 73 52 79 47 / 80 10 10 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...High Rip Current Risk through this afternoon for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through this afternoon for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None. GM...None.