textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1236 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026

- Dry weather expected through the weekend.

- Well below normal overnight lows Thursday night. Highs and lows trend warmer and well above normal by early next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1215 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026

Moving into an uneventful weather period. 13.12Z upper air maps indicate a broad upper trof axis is positioned over the eastern US with northwest flow at high levels filtering in a deep layer of drier air. Meanwhile, surface high pressure moves east of the Mississippi River through Thursday before exiting stage right off the Mid-Atlantic coast and into the western Atlantic Saturday. We will remain on the western flank of this ridge into early next week which will result in a more established southerly flow for the latter half of the forecast period. Rain-free conditions look to hold the next several days with small Pops re-entering the forecast late in the forecast, primarily by Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.

Mainly a temperature forecast. Highs in the upper 70's interior to lower half of the 80's coast Thursday will trend warmer with each day thereafter with numbers trending in the mid/upper 80's by early half of next week and a few degrees above normal. A few areas closing in on the 90 degree mark. To close out the week, lows will be cool by mid May standards with Thu night lows the coolest ranging in the lower 50's over the northeast half of the local area and some 6 to 11 degrees below normal. Not out of the question, a few locales may break into the upper 40's Thu night over these areas and may be close to record low territory too. Southwest half generally 57 to 61 Thu. night and around 5 degrees below normal. Overnight lows will then quickly moderate/warm thereafter. Numbers well into the 60's to lower 70's coast by early next week will be well above normal. /10

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1236 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the period. Generally northerly winds around 5-10 knots are expected this afternoon and Thursday morning. 98/10

MARINE

Issued at 1215 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026

No impacts. High pressure moves east of the Mississippi River through Thursday before moving off the Mid-Atlantic coast and into the western Atlantic Saturday. A light offshore flow through Thursday turns more onshore by Friday afternoon and continues through the weekend. Seas to trend 2 feet or less through much of the period. /10

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 62 83 58 82 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 66 83 61 80 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 67 82 62 79 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 58 81 50 84 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 58 81 54 85 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 58 78 52 83 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 59 83 52 85 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.