textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1222 AM CDT Wed Sep 17 2025

Now through Monday... A closed upper low over the East Coast opens, leaving a weakening upper trough centered along the East Coast into the weekend. This will keep the Southeast under dry northeasterly upper flow into the weekend in the process. Shortwave energy moving east of the Mississippi River digs an upper trough over the river through the weekend into the coming week, with the trough shifting east to over the Eastern Conus in the coming week. A surface ridge develops over the Appalachians, then builds southwest through the rest of the week into the weekend, bringing east to southeast low level flow to the Southeast, moving Gulf and Atlantic moisture inland over the region. The forecast area will see an increasing chance of showers and thunderstorms in the coming week.

A weak ridge building over the Southeast the rest of the week will bring high temperatures rising to well above seasonal norms through the forecast, with around 90s expected over most of the forecast area Wednesday, then rising to the low to mid 90s by Saturday. The advancing upper trough will drop high temperatures back into the upper 80s to around 90 by Monday. More seasonal low temperatures in the mod 60s to near 70 Wednesday night to the upper 60s to low 70s for the rest of the forecast.

Weak, diurnally driven flow and decreasing tidal cycle will keep the risk of Rip Currents Low through the weekend into the coming week. /16

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1222 AM CDT Wed Sep 17 2025

VFR conditions will prevail over the next 24 hours. Light and variable winds during the overnight hours will become a light easterly to southeasterly flow later today. Winds over coastal counties will turn more southerly during the afternoon. /96

MARINE

Issued at 1222 AM CDT Wed Sep 17 2025

No impacts expected other than locally higher winds and seas possible near thunderstorms. /16

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 66 91 68 93 69 94 70 91 / 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 10 Pensacola 70 90 71 92 72 92 73 89 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Destin 71 88 73 89 73 89 73 89 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Evergreen 64 94 66 95 65 95 67 93 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Waynesboro 64 92 67 93 67 93 67 92 / 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 Camden 66 93 68 93 67 94 68 91 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Crestview 64 93 65 94 65 93 67 91 / 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 10

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.