textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1100 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026

- A High Risk of rip currents is in effect through Sunday.

- A High Surf Advisory is in effect until 3 pm for the western Florida panhandle.

- Moderate to occasionally strong winds may create hazardous conditions for small craft this morning.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1100 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026

Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaias currently located over central Alabama will continue to weaken while moving to West Virginia on Sunday, then well off to the north through early next week. A ridge of dry surface high pressure builds into the forecast area through Sunday in the wake of this system. A deep low pressure system passes well to the north late in the coming week and brings a cold front through the forecast area Friday into Friday night which ushers cooler air into the region. After some isolated to scattered patches of rain well inland today, dry conditions are expected through the remainder of the forecast as despite the frontal passage, deep layer moisture looks to remain too limited to support precipitation. Highs on Sunday mostly range from the mid to upper 80s then trend to the upper 80s to lower 90s for Monday through Thursday. Highs on Friday will be in the mid to upper 80s, then cooler daytime highs around 80 follow for Saturday. Lows tonight range from the mid 50s well inland to the mid 60s at the immediate coast then trend through Wednesday night to range from the lower 60s inland to the upper 60s at the coast. Similar overnight lows follow for Thursday night, then trend cooler through Saturday night to range from the lower 50s well inland to near 60 at the coast. A High Surf Advisory remains in effect until 3 pm for the western Florida panhandle for surf heights up to around 5 feet. A High Risk of rip currents is in effect through Sunday, then a low risk follows for Monday through Wednesday. /29

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 211 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026

MVFR ceilings will persist through this afternoon along with northwesterly winds of 15-20 knots with frequent gusts to near 30 knots. 2000 foot low-level wind shear around 40-50 knots, mainly over our northern zones will continue through daybreak. /22

MARINE

Issued at 1100 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026

Moderate to occasionally strong northwesterly winds gradually diminish through tonight. Small craft should exercise caution over much of the marine area this morning. Light to occasionally moderate westerly winds on Sunday transition to a diurnal flow cycle for Monday through Wednesday with an offshore flow developing at night then becoming more onshore each day. /29

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 77 59 87 62 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 77 64 84 65 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 78 67 83 68 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 76 56 85 57 / 10 0 0 0 Waynesboro 72 57 87 59 / 30 0 0 0 Camden 72 56 84 58 / 20 0 0 0 Crestview 78 58 84 59 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday afternoon for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday afternoon for FLZ202-204- 206.

High Surf Advisory until 3 PM CDT this afternoon for FLZ202-204- 206.

MS...None. GM...None.


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