textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1202 AM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026

- Moderate to strong northeast winds will create hazardous conditions for small craft over most of the marine area this morning, potentially returning mid to late week.

- A High Risk of rip currents is expected for beach areas today, and potentially again Thursday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1035 PM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

Dry weather conditions continue to prevail across the region this week. Highs remain in the middle to upper 70's today, with upper 70's to lower 80's becoming common the remainder of the week. Overnight lows stay just below normal for this time of year, with middle to upper 40's over the interior and lower 50's nearer the coast through midweek. Lows more noticeably warm to well above normal late week into the weekend with middle and upper 50's over the interior and lower to middle 60's near the coast.

Upper ridging over the area through Tuesday gives way to southwest flow aloft Wednesday. After this, ridging will once again attempt to build in as we head into late week before a more pronounced trough approaches the area this weekend. Warm air advection will begin across the area late week ushering in well above normal overnight temperatures and ample moisture into the area. Some solutions are a bit intriguing with a more pronounced southern stream shortwave that might try to bring a semi-favorable overlap of shear and CAPE to the region, although this is a bit of an outlier solution at this point. Regardless, rain chances are going to increase this weekend with isolated to scattered showers and storms possible, particularly west of the I-65 corridor. A High risk of rip currents continues today, tapering to a Moderate risk Tuesday into Wednesday before potentially increasing once again to a High risk Thursday. MM/25

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1202 AM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026

VFR conditions prevail through the period. The current light northeasterly winds increase this morning to around 10 knots with periodic gusts up to 15-20 knots, especially closer to the coast. SS/97

MARINE

Issued at 1035 PM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

Moderate to strong northeasterly winds prevail this morning, then diminishing to a moderate northeasterly flow this afternoon. The offshore flow begins to strengthen again Tuesday night, with a moderate to occasionally strong northeasterly flow following for Wednesday through Friday. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect through 1pm today for all the open gulf waters. Additional advisories may become necessary later this week for the open gulf waters. MM/25

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 53 79 53 80 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 59 79 60 79 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 60 79 62 79 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 47 80 47 79 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 48 81 47 80 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 47 78 46 77 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 49 80 51 79 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...High Rip Current Risk through this afternoon for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through this afternoon for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for GMZ650- 655-670-675.