textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 717 AM CST Sat Nov 14 2026 - A light freeze continues across northern portions of the area early this morning with another round expected tonight. Frost is also expected across much of the remainder of the area, away from the immediate coastline.

- Strong easterly winds are expected to develop over the marine area on Monday and persist through much of next week, leading to a High Risk of rip currents and potentially hazardous surf conditions.

UPDATE

Issued at 717 AM CST Sat Nov 14 2026

Forecast remains on track early this morning with temperatures bottoming out in the 30s across much of the area over the past 2 hours with low 40s at the immediate coastline. No changes to the forecast were necessary. 07/mb

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1055 PM CST Fri Nov 13 2026

Cool to cold conditions continue over the area through Saturday night as a large upper trof slowly progresses across the eastern states along with a large surface ridge dominating the eastern CONUS down into the central Gulf. Overnight lows range from the lower 30s well inland to around 40 at the coast, with similar lows anticipated for Saturday night. A Freeze Warning remains in effect well inland both nights, and a Frost Advisory is in effect tonight for the remainder of the area north of the coast. Another Frost Advisory will likely become necessary for Saturday night covering a similar expanse. Highs on Saturday will be cool and range from the upper 50s inland to the lower 60s closer to the coast. The large eastern states upper trof mostly moves off into the western Atlantic through Monday, but in the process merges with a weakening upper low advancing from the south central states. This results in an upper trof which slowly progresses across the southeast states early next week. In response to this evolution, an inverted surface trof develops over the northwestern Gulf by late Sunday afternoon into the evening hours, but is prevented from making much headway eastward through Monday night due to the large, sluggish surface ridge to the east.

Have continued with a dry forecast through Sunday night, then mostly dry conditions follow into Monday night except for slight chance pops over southeast Mississippi on Monday and possibly near the immediate coast Monday evening. Lows Sunday night and Monday night tend to range from the mid 30s well inland to the mid 40s at the coast, and some frost is possible well inland both nights. Highs on Sunday range from around 60 well inland to the lower/mid 60s elsewhere, then highs on Monday range from the upper 50s to lower 60s. For the remainder of the period, an upper ridge advances into the eastern states and for the most part persists through Friday, with dry conditions anticipated over the forecast area. Overnight lows gradually moderate by Thursday night to range from the mid/upper 40s well inland to the mid/upper 50s at the coast, and highs trend to the mid to upper 70s by Friday. A low risk of rip currents is expected through Sunday, then increases to a high risk for Monday and Tuesday. /29

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 717 AM CST Sat Nov 14 2026

VFR conditions prevail through the period with northerly to northeasterly winds around 5-10 knots. 07/mb

MARINE

Issued at 323 AM CST Sat Nov 14 2026

Small craft should exercise caution offshore this morning as periods of moderate to strong offshore flow continues. Strong easterly to northeasterly flow develops early next week with advisory level conditions expected and a potential for gusts to gale force. Seas build to greater than 7 feet Monday afternoon through much of the week across the Gulf waters in response to the strengthening winds. 07/mb

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 61 38 63 42 / 0 0 0 10 Pensacola 61 44 63 47 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 61 45 64 49 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 59 33 61 36 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 59 33 61 37 / 0 0 0 10 Camden 56 31 59 34 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 59 34 62 38 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...Freeze Warning until 8 AM CST this morning for ALZ051>058.

Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Sunday for ALZ051>058.

Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for ALZ059-060- 261>264.

FL...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for FLZ201-203-205.

MS...Freeze Warning until 8 AM CST this morning for MSZ067.

Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Sunday for MSZ067.

Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for MSZ075-076-078- 079.

GM...None.