textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1108 AM CDT Mon Oct 12 2026

- Record or near record highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s are expected this week. With many areas still without power and recovery efforts from Hurricane Isaias ongoing, these temperatures could lead to an increased risk for heat-related illnesses.

- Strong northerly winds develop over the marine area Friday night and will likely create hazardous conditions for small craft.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1108 AM CDT Mon Oct 12 2026

Dry conditions are expected over the area through Sunday. An upper ridge builds into the region through Wednesday after which a strong upper trof sweeps across the eastern states on Friday. A surface ridge will be oriented over the forecast area for much of the week, then a strong cold front pushes through the area Friday afternoon into Friday night and ushers in cooler air. Record or near record high temperatures are expected through Friday with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Here are the forecast highs and current records for today, Tuesday and Wednesday for Mobile and Pensacola:

For today: Mobile 91, Record 89 Pensacola 90, Record 92

For Tuesday: Mobile 90, Record 92 Pensacola 89, Record 90

For Wednesday: Mobile 90, Record 90 Pensacola 89, Record 89

Despite the passage of the strong cold front, deep layer moisture still looks too limited to support precipitation. Cooler air flows into the area in the wake of the front, and highs on Saturday and Sunday will be mostly in the mid 70s, except for some higher values possible on Sunday over a small portion of southeast Mississippi. Lows for tonight through Wednesday night typically range from around 60 well inland to the mid 60s at the coast, the lows Thursday night will be a bit warmer and range from the lower 60s well inland to the upper 60s at the coast. As the cooler air flows into the area in the wake of the front, by Saturday night lows look to range from the lower 50s well inland to around 60 at the coast, then lows moderate a bit for Sunday night. A low risk of rip currents is expected through Friday. /29

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1108 AM CDT Mon Oct 12 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through Tuesday morning, although some patchy late night fog will be possible mainly over portions of southeast Mississippi. Light northwesterly winds are expected over interior areas this morning, which become southwesterly mainly near the coast this afternoon. Calm or light and variable winds follow for tonight. /29

MARINE

Issued at 1108 AM CDT Mon Oct 12 2026

A diurnal flow cycle will occur through Friday with an offshore flow developing late each night into the morning hours then becoming onshore near the coast during the afternoon. Strong northerly winds are forecast for Friday night as a powerful cold front passes through the region, with gusts to gale force possible. A Small Craft Advisory or possibly a Gale Warning may become necessary for Friday night. /29

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 91 63 90 63 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 90 65 89 65 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 87 67 87 67 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 92 59 93 59 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 92 60 92 60 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 90 59 91 59 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 91 60 92 61 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.