textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 634 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

- Dry weather expected through the weekend, with rain returning in the coming week.

- Below normal overnight lows expected tonight. Highs and lows trend warmer and well above normal by early next week.

UPDATE

Issued at 634 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

Forecast remains on track for tonight. /22

DISCUSSION

Issued at 158 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

An upper ridge will build over the eastern CONUS and western Atlantic through the weekend. This will keep the area mostly dry through early next week as systems are deflected northwest of the region. There may be enough deep layer moisture over western portions of the area on Sunday for a few showers across southeast Mississippi on Sunday, however most areas will remain dry. The building ridge will lead to increasing temperatures, with highs in the mid and upper 80s through much of the period. Lows will remain below normal tonight and Saturday night before warming back above normal for next week as moisture levels increase. Rain chances return to the forecast by midweek as moisture levels increase and the upper ridge weakens. /13

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 634 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through Saturday afternoon. Southerly to southeasterly winds at 5-10 knots become variable overnight, followed by winds returning to southerly to southeasterly at 5-10 knots for Saturday. /22

MARINE

Issued at 158 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

A generally light onshore flow will continue through the weekend. Winds will increase by early next week as another system approaches from the west. /13

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 60 82 63 84 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 64 81 67 82 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 64 80 68 81 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 54 87 57 88 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 59 84 59 86 / 0 0 0 10 Camden 56 85 59 86 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 54 88 60 88 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.