textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 334 PM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026

- Increasing concern for heat stress late this week and into the weekend as hot and humid conditions return.

- Risk for rip currents increases to MODERATE by Friday for the northwest Florida beaches.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 334 PM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026

Isolated showers continue to develop across parts of southeast Mississippi and southwest Alabama at this hour. These slow-moving showers will continue to generally drift north-northeastward across the aforementioned areas through the early evening hours before dwindling with the loss of daytime heating. While confidence remains low, there is the possibility for another round of patchy fog is possible overnight and into the pre-dawn hours Tuesday.

Ridging aloft remains parked to our south over the Gulf today as the local area remains on the western periphery of a surface high sliding into the western Atlantic. The ridge aloft retrogrades westward (somewhat) tomorrow as a shortwave trough pivots into the Upper Midwest. This will set the stage for a brief period of northerly flow aloft Tuesday into Wednesday. The ridge aloft expands back into the Southeast/Deep South as we roll into the back half of the week and into the weekend. Meanwhile, onshore flow at the surface persists through Thursday as the surface high meanders across the western Atlantic.

Another round of isolated showers and storms is possible Tuesday afternoon, generally east of I-65 across south-central Alabama. Expect tomorrow afternoon's storms to be slow-movers dropping south into the area from the northwest. Much of the high-res guidance keeps the bulk of the convection further to our east as a plume of drier-ish air briefly works its way into the western portion of our area. At this point, both Wednesday and Thursday look to be rain- free area-wide. Scattered, diurnally-driven convection returns late in the week and through the weekend. Temperatures steadily increase as we roll into the middle to latter half of the week with highs topping out in the mid to low 90s for inland areas and upper 80s at the beaches late this week. Heat index will rise to 100-105 once we get late in the week and into the weekend.

Beach Forecast - The risk for rip currents remains low through Thursday for the coastal Alabama and northwest Florida beaches. Probabilistic guidance begins to trend upward late in the week with a MODERATE risk expected by Friday afternoon for the northwest Florida beaches. 07/mb

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 105 PM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026

VFR conditions prevail through much of the period. Isolated showers are expected through early this evening, generally across inland portions of southeast Mississippi and southwest Alabama. Southeasterly winds will become light and variable by 02-03Z. Patchy fog is possible across inland counties, but confidence remains low in fog development at the terminals. If fog does develop at the terminals, it would most likely develop by 10Z. 07/mb

MARINE

Issued at 334 PM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026

No impacts expected other than locally higher winds and seas possible near thunderstorms early next week. 07/mb

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 88 73 90 72 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 87 76 90 75 / 0 0 10 0 Destin 86 76 89 75 / 0 0 10 0 Evergreen 90 72 92 71 / 0 10 10 10 Waynesboro 89 71 92 71 / 20 10 0 0 Camden 88 72 90 72 / 10 10 0 0 Crestview 91 72 92 70 / 0 0 20 10

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.