textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 923 PM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026

- Another round of severe storms possible Wednesday night into Thursday morning.

- Patchy dense fog is possible overnight into the pre-dawn hours over the next several nights.

- Near Gale force sustained winds and frequent gale force gusts possible over the open Gulf Waters Wednesday night into Thursday.

MESOSCALE UPDATE

Issued at 923 PM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026

The risk of severe storms has ended across the area as atmosphere stabilizes across the regions and the already weak forcing continues to pull away from the area. The current forecast is on track. /13

DISCUSSION

Issued at 207 PM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026

Two periods of potentially impactful weather are expected through the remainder of the week. The first instance will occur from the mid-afternoon today into early evening, with the potential of strong to severe storms with large hail and gusty winds, mainly across the northern portions of our forecast area. The second instance will occur Wednesday and Thursday, with increasing beach and marine hazards and the potential for strong to severe storms Wednesday night into Thursday, though the details of the severe impacts remains highly uncertain at this time.

Synopsis...The overall synoptic patterns between the models are in good agreement going into midweek as an upper trough over the southern Plains and northern Mexico around noon Wednesday moves eastward over the lower Mississippi River region late Wednesday night into Thursday. A light southerly flow continues through Wednesday afternoon ahead of a strong cold front approaching from the northwest. Gusty northerly winds are possible in the wake of the front on Thursday, followed by dry weather conditions through the remainder of the week as surface high pressure builds across the region. This front will also usher in a much cooler and drier airmass highs in the middle to upper 60s inland to near 70 along the coast on Thursday, followed by temperatures falling into the lower 40s inland to upper 40s along the coast Thursday night. Temperatures then quickly warm back into the upper 70s and low 80s by the weekend.

Beach Forecast: A LOW risk of rip currents will occur through Tuesday night, briefly becoming MODERATE and then HIGH Wednesday through Thursday. A LOW risk of rip currents will follow through the remainder of the week. /22

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 659 PM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026

Scattered showers and storms will likely remain north of the primary TAF sites tonight. However, dense fog and low ceilings will again develop overnight. VLIFR to LIFR conditions will again be possible tonight into Tuesday morning. /13

MARINE

Issued at 207 PM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026

Small Craft conditions are likely late Wednesday night into Thursday night and gale conditions are possible as winds turn northerly in the wake of a strong cold front. Until then, a light southerly flow continues through Wednesday afternoon, followed by a moderate southwesterly flow Wednesday evening ahead of the front. Periods of dense fog remain possible near the coastline for the next several nights. /22

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 66 83 66 81 / 10 0 0 20 Pensacola 67 78 67 78 / 10 0 0 10 Destin 65 75 66 76 / 10 0 0 0 Evergreen 63 85 62 85 / 20 10 0 10 Waynesboro 65 84 66 84 / 20 10 0 30 Camden 64 84 64 84 / 20 10 0 10 Crestview 63 83 62 83 / 10 0 0 10

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.