textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 639 AM CDT Mon Jul 6 2026

- Heat indices remain in the 100 to 107 range each afternoon through the end of the week.

- Isolated to scattered showers and storms continue each afternoon. Locally heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and frequent lightning can be expected with any storms.

UPDATE

Issued at 639 AM CDT Mon Jul 6 2026

The current forecast is on track and no updates are needed. /13

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1105 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms continue to be expected each afternoon through late week, with best chances today and Tuesday. The area remains under southerly to southwesterly flow aloft on the periphery of upper troughing located across the ArkLaTex region helping foster our increased storm chances. Ample moisture and instability will allow for any storms to have the potential to become strong with gusty winds, small hail, heavy rainfall, and frequent lightning.

Upper ridging gradually begins to build back into the area mid to late week, tempering rain chances somewhat and bringing hotter temperatures back to the area. Highs in the upper 80's to lower 90's today and Tuesday warm back to lower and middle 90's for most locations by mid to late week. Overnight lows remain in the middle 70's each night. Heat indices will generally reside in the 100 to 107 range each afternoon throughout the forecast period, warmest as we get into late week. A Low risk of rip currents remains in place through the week. MM/25

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 639 AM CDT Mon Jul 6 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through much of the period outside of scattered afternoon and early evening showers and storms. Brief periods of IFR/MVFR conditions will be possible in and around showers and thunderstorms. /13

MARINE

Issued at 335 AM CDT Mon Jul 6 2026

A light to occasionally moderate southwest to west flow will prevail through late week. Seas will remain generally 2 feet or less. /13

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 92 75 93 75 / 30 20 40 10 Pensacola 93 79 93 80 / 30 50 30 10 Destin 91 81 91 81 / 40 60 30 20 Evergreen 91 73 92 73 / 20 20 30 10 Waynesboro 92 73 92 73 / 30 30 40 20 Camden 89 73 90 74 / 30 30 20 20 Crestview 92 75 94 75 / 40 30 50 10

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.


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