textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 153 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026 - A HIGH RISK of rip currents is expected through Saturday for Alabama and northwest Florida beaches.
- An increasing risk of flash flooding is expected through Friday as periods of showers and storms affect the area.
- Moderate to strong winds will likely create hazardous conditions for small craft from Wednesday night through Thursday night.
..BEACH FORECAST
The rip current risk is now a HIGH for all Florida and Alabama beaches. NWPS shows increasing wave action to 4-6 feet by Wednesday night into Thursday morning which may need a High Surf Advisory in subsequent forecast packages. SS/97
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 153 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026
Widespread showers and thunderstorms will continue to cause drops in visibilities to MVFR or lower through the period. A few storms may produce wind gusts in excess of 30 knots this afternoon, especially near the coast. Otherwise mainly VFR to MVFR ceilings are expected through the period. Winds will remain generally light and variable across the area away from thunderstorms, with increasing southwesterly flow around 5-10 knots developing Wednesday morning. JGC/98
MARINE
Issued at 1213 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026
Light to moderate southwesterly winds gradually trend to a moderate to strong southerly flow by Wednesday night. The onshore flow transitions to a light to moderate southwesterly flow on Friday. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for most of the marine area from Wednesday evening through Thursday night. /29
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 72 86 77 85 / 80 80 80 90 Pensacola 76 87 80 86 / 80 80 60 80 Destin 76 87 80 86 / 90 70 60 90 Evergreen 69 85 75 83 / 60 80 50 90 Waynesboro 70 86 74 82 / 30 60 70 100 Camden 69 84 73 81 / 50 60 40 100 Crestview 71 85 77 84 / 80 80 60 90
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...High Rip Current Risk through late Friday night for ALZ265-266.
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late Friday night for FLZ202-204- 206.
MS...Flood Watch through Thursday afternoon for MSZ067-075-076-078- 079.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM Wednesday to 7 AM CDT Friday for GMZ630>632-634-650-655-670-675.
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