textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 527 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

- Patchy fog is possible across our interior-most counties in south Alabama and south Mississippi over the next few hours, especially north of Highway 84.

- Additional rounds of light to moderate rain will occur today across coastal counties in Alabama/Florida and south-central Alabama, generally east of I-65.

- A strong cold front sweeps across the area Sunday night into early Monday, which will lead to gusty winds area-wide on Monday. Temperatures fall below freezing for locations generally north of I-10 by sunrise on Tuesday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1255 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

We have somewhat of a break in the rain at this hour as the band of rain showers remains anchored over the Gulf at the moment. While the rain may have briefly stopped, our attention turns to the potential for fog over the next few hours. Probabilistic guidance continues to indicate that our far interior counties in south Alabama/Mississippi, mainly north of the Highway 84 corridor, have the best chance for dense fog. While there are currently no observations of 1/4 mile or less, we can see the fog settling into northern Clarke County (AL) via webcams. The probabilistic guidance indicates that the fog should be short-lived and will shift further north and northwest of our area by 4-5am. For now, we are holding off on an advisory, but will continue to monitor observations, satellite imagery, and webcams.

The rain shield should begin to build back into the area by 9-10am as a subtle mid-level impulse slides through the area. The best chances for rain reside across our coastal counties and parts of south-central Alabama, generally east of I-65. We will likely see another brief period where we dry out in the early evening hours before one last shot for showers ahead of the cold front. A potent cold front will sweep across the area overnight Sunday into early Monday. In the wake of the front, temperatures will fall into the 40s across much of the area (low 50s at the beaches) by sunrise on Monday. Highs on both Monday will struggle to get into the mid to upper 50s with breezy conditions throughout the day. Overnight low temperatures will plunge into the upper 20s to low 30s north of I-10 with mid to upper 30s near the coastline by sunrise on Tuesday. Locations north of Highway 84 can expect around 5 hours of below freezing temperatures early Tuesday morning.

Wednesday and Thursday will generally be transition days with mild temperatures and a dry forecast. Another potent front will likely pivot into the area late in the week with the potential for even colder temperatures in its wake. We could see a few nights with temperatures in the 20s for most of the area (hovering around freezing at the beaches) if this pattern pans out.

Beach Forecast - Rip current risk remains LOW through Friday in the current pattern. 07/mb

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 533 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

IFR/LIFR ceilings with patchy fog predominate through tonight. Rain occasionally affects the portion of the area along and east of I-65 this morning then ends from west to east this afternoon. Additional rain showers are expected to shift across the area tonight. Northeasterly winds around 5 knots today become northerly tonight. /29

MARINE

Issued at 1255 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

Showers will persist through early Monday morning ahead of a strong cold front. Northerly winds will increase to advisory levels on Monday with conditions subsiding by Monday night. Another round of strong northerly winds are expected by next weekend. 07/mb

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 64 49 58 34 / 30 70 0 0 Pensacola 63 52 59 39 / 50 70 10 0 Destin 63 53 61 41 / 70 70 10 0 Evergreen 61 44 58 29 / 30 70 0 0 Waynesboro 61 44 55 29 / 20 70 0 0 Camden 59 42 54 28 / 20 70 0 0 Crestview 60 48 59 32 / 50 70 10 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory from 3 AM Monday to midnight CST Monday night for GMZ630>632-650-655-670-675.