textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1236 AM CDT Wed Jul 1 2026 - A Heat Advisory is in effect Wednesday for southeast Mississippi, with heat indices rising to near 110. Hot and humid conditions continue through the remainder of the week.
- Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday afternoon along the coast.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1236 AM CDT Wed Jul 1 2026
Hot and humid conditions continue across the region today. An upper level ridge is currently centered over the OH/TN River Valleys, putting us on the southern periphery of the ridge and dominated with easterly flow. We have widespread heat index values of 102-110 today with the highest values in the western half of our area. We have issued a Heat Advisory for our Mississippi counties today from 10 AM to 7 PM. For the rest of the week, heat index values look to be below advisory criteria, but still very hot in the 100-107 range each afternoon. Heat index values approach Heat Advisory criteria for the holiday weekend and will be monitored over the coming days. There will be little overnight relief with lows only reaching the low to mid 70s each night and even higher along the coast they may approach 80. Anybody outdoors should drink plenty of water, take breaks in A/C when possible, and monitor for signs of heat illness.
Rain chances decrease over the coming days with drier air starting to funnel in with PWATs dropping to 1.8" today and 1.5" for Thursday and Friday. As the ridge moves off the coast into the Atlantic, we will have increasing pops into the weekend. This will be more of a normal summertime pattern with daily chances for showers and thunderstorms along the sea breeze and resultant outflow boundaries. SS/97
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1236 AM CDT Wed Jul 1 2026
VFR conditions are currently in place at issuance time. Some patchy fog may attempt to develop over the next few hours, mainly over interior portions of south central Alabama and northwest Florida. This could result in localized reductions in visibilities and ceilings to IFR or lower. Any fog that manages to develop will dissipate at around sunrise. VFR conditions should remain prevalent through the remainder of the period. Isolated to scattered showers and storms may also develop during the afternoon hours. Expect brief reductions in flight categories in some of the heavier activity. Light and variable winds this morning will become a light easterly to southeasterly flow by the afternoon. /96
MARINE
Issued at 102 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026
A light offshore flow today will briefly become a light to occasionally moderate easterly to southeasterly flow tonight into Wednesday. A light diurnal pattern returns for late week, with onshore flow expected during the afternoon hours, and offshore flow expected at night. /16
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 94 75 95 74 / 30 0 10 0 Pensacola 93 79 94 78 / 20 0 0 0 Destin 93 79 93 79 / 10 0 0 0 Evergreen 94 73 95 72 / 20 10 0 0 Waynesboro 96 75 96 74 / 30 10 10 0 Camden 92 74 92 74 / 30 10 0 0 Crestview 95 74 96 73 / 10 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None. FL...None. MS...Heat Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening for MSZ067-075-076-078-079.
GM...None.
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