textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 624 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026

- Temperatures will remain well above normal through next week.

- Moderate to extreme drought along with little to no rain in the forecast through next week will exacerbate wildfire activity.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 123 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026

Little change in the forecast from yesterday as we likely wont see much rain for the remainder of the period with no real sign of rain for a good part of the end of March. A rather anomalous strong upper ridge continues to be firmly planted over the southwestern US allowing for northwesterly flow aloft to persist for most of the next two weeks or so. The only hint of rain looks to come late Tuesday into Wednesday where a subtle upper shortwave will progress through the northwesterly flow bringing a weak boundary down to the Gulf coast. Moisture and lift will be rather limited but an isolated to possibly scattered shower could occur late Tuesday night into Wednesday. With the weak boundary moving in and increased cloud cover, the only real change was to lower high temperatures on Tuesday as the backdoor front moves through the area. Other than that the main concern will be our likely worsening drought conditions across the area.Temperatures will remain mild with highs in the low to mid 80s and lows in the upper 50s to low 60s. We will likely have to keep an eye on some rounds of patchy fog tonight and possibly later in the week with higher moisture and overall calm clear conditions. BB-8

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 630 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail for much of the period except for the potential for patchy late night fog along with a brief MVFR ceiling early Monday morning. Southwesterly winds near 10 knots diminish to around 5 knots or less this evening. On Monday, winds switch to the northwest at 5-10 knots over much of the area except for near the coast where winds will be westerly to southwesterly around 10 knots is expected. /29

MARINE

Issued at 123 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026

A light to moderate westerly to southwesterly flow continues this weekend and into early next week, becoming a light easterly to southerly flow mid to late week. No hazards are expected. BB-8

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 58 83 58 78 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 61 80 61 76 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 61 75 61 74 / 0 0 0 10 Evergreen 56 83 54 78 / 0 0 0 10 Waynesboro 58 82 56 78 / 0 10 0 0 Camden 58 80 54 75 / 0 10 0 10 Crestview 56 84 56 79 / 0 0 0 10

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.