textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 244 AM CDT Wed May 13 2026

- Dry weather and near seasonal temperatures much of mid to late week trend well above normal by early next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1133 PM CDT Tue May 12 2026

Through Friday, a mean upper trough that has set up over the Eastern Seaboard will bring dry northwesterly upper flow to the forecast area into the weekend. A reinforcing front will move across the area Thursday morning, bringing a drier and a bit cooler airmass to the forecast area. With the drier air moving over the area, have dropped dewpoints across the forecast area for Thursday. The northerly low level flow over the Southeast through Friday will keep temperatures at or below seasonal norms, with high temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s. Low temperatures see a drop, with the drier and a bit cooler airmass allowing for better overnight cooler and low temperatures dropping into the upper 50s to low 60s over most of the forecast area Wednesday night dropping into the low 50s well inland, mid to upper 50s closer to the coast.

Saturday through Tuesday, shortwave energy digging south over the western Conus shifts and upper ridge over the Plains westward to over the eastern Conus, with temperatures rising back into the upper 80s to around 90 in the coming week.

Taking a look at the Rip Current risk on area beaches, general northerly flow will keep any swell on area beaches low, with a Low Risk of Rip Currents expected through the weekend. /16

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1239 AM CDT Wed May 13 2026

Low-end MVFR ceilings are currently spread across coastal Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle at issuance time. Expect these low ceilings to continue expanding across the rest of the area throughout the remainder of the overnight hours, potentially dropping to IFR in spots by around 09-10z. VFR conditions should return by the late morning hours and will prevail through the remainder of the period. Northeasterly winds of around 5-10 knots should turn more northerly to northwesterly by the afternoon hours. /96

MARINE

Issued at 244 AM CDT Wed May 13 2026

Moderate to occasionally strong northeasterly flow will subside throughout the day today, becoming a light to occasionally moderate northerly to northwesterly flow tonight. Small craft should exercise caution over our Gulf waters through the remainder of the morning. Winds gradually turn more easterly Thursday night and eventually southeasterly by Friday and into the upcoming weekend. /96

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 84 62 83 58 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 83 66 83 61 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 82 67 82 62 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 83 58 81 50 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 84 58 81 54 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 81 58 78 52 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 84 59 83 52 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.