textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 613 AM CST Sun Nov 15 2026 - Freezing temperatures continue across the northern portions of the area this morning with frost possible across much of the remainder of the area (north of the immediate coast).

- Strong easterly winds develop over the marine area Monday, resulting in a High Risk of rip currents and potentially hazardous surf conditions through midweek.

UPDATE

Issued at 613 AM CST Sun Nov 15 2026

Forecast remains on track early this morning with temperatures falling into the 30s across much of the area over the past few hours, while remaining in the upper 40s to low 50s along the immediate coastline. No forecast changes were necessary. 07/mb

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1134 PM CST Sat Nov 14 2026

An eastern states upper trof mostly moves off into the western Atlantic through Monday, but in the process absorbs a system from the south central states. The result of this will be an upper trof progressing into the forecast area on Monday which then gradually moves off into the western Atlantic as upper ridging builds into the eastern states. A surface ridge remains over the forecast region through Friday, and am anticipating dry conditions to prevail through the period except for a few possible sprinkles near the coast on Monday as the upper trof moves across the area. A Freeze Warning remains in effect until 8 am Sunday morning well inland with a Frost Advisory for most of the remainder of the area north of the immediate coast. Overnight lows range from the lower 30s well inland to around 40 at the coast. Lows Sunday night and Monday night generally range from the lower/mid 30s well inland to the mid 40s at the coast, and it's possible that a light freeze could occur each night over the northern periphery of the area. Highs on Sunday range from around 60 to the mid 60s, then Monday will be a bit cooler and range from the upper 50s to lower 60s. A warming trend follows for the rest of the week, with highs warming to the mid 70s for Thursday and Friday, and lows trending by Thursday night to range from the lower 40s well inland to the mid 50s at the coast. A low risk of rip currents is expected through Sunday then trends to a High Risk Monday into Monday night which continues through Wednesday. /29

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 613 AM CST Sun Nov 15 2026

VFR conditions prevail through the period. Northeasterly winds persist around 5-10 knots today. Cloud cover will increase tonight area-wide. 07/mb

MARINE

Issued at 613 AM CST Sun Nov 15 2026

Northeasterly winds increase through the afternoon and evening with a moderate to strong flow expected. Strong easterly to northeasterly flow develop tomorrow as seas build to 5-9 feet through the end of the week. Small Craft Advisory conditions are expected for the near and offshore Gulf waters throughout much of the upcoming week in response to the strengthening flow. 07/mb

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 64 41 61 42 / 0 10 10 0 Pensacola 64 46 61 49 / 0 0 10 0 Destin 64 50 62 52 / 0 0 10 0 Evergreen 61 36 59 37 / 0 0 10 0 Waynesboro 62 37 62 36 / 0 10 0 0 Camden 59 33 59 34 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 62 38 59 41 / 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...Freeze Warning until 8 AM CST this morning for ALZ051>058.

Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for ALZ059-060-261- 262.

FL...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for FLZ201-203-205.

MS...Freeze Warning until 8 AM CST this morning for MSZ067.

Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for MSZ075-076.

GM...Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM Monday to 6 AM CST Wednesday for GMZ650-655-670-675.