textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1236 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026

- Patchy, locally dense fog can't be ruled out again late tonight into early Monday morning.

- A strong storm or two can't be ruled out today, with a strong to severe storm possible Monday afternoon ahead of a cold front.

- Dry weather and above normal high temperatures return to the forecast mid to late week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1042 AM CDT Sun May 10 2026

Our series of shortwaves continue across the region, with today being a brief reprieve as mostly dry conditions prevail. Isolated showers and storms can't be ruled out this afternoon, but most locations will remain dry. As we head into Monday, our main shortwave pushes across the area bringing along with it a cold front across the area during the afternoon hours. Shear and CAPE will be adequate for loosely organized storms potentially producing some strong to locally damaging wind gusts and/or small hail. At the moment, the risk remains rather low for both today and Monday. Temperatures will be warmer today and tomorrow compared to the past couple days, with most locations likely making it into the 80's. Tonight may feature some patchy, locally dense fog across portions of the area, although confidence on coverage of fog and density precludes any dense fog advisory issuance at this time.

In the wake of our front, our wet period comes to an end and we return to the status quo of dry and warm weather to round out the mid to late week period. Temperatures warm into the 80's each day, perhaps even upper 80's to near 90 returning to the forecast by the weekend. Overnight temperatures will generally stay in the middle and upper 50's over the interior and upper 50's to lower 60's nearer the coast each night. A Low risk of rip currents remains in place throughout most of the week, perhaps temporarily bumping up to a Moderate risk for Florida Panhandle beaches Wednesday. MM/25

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1236 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026

A mix of mainly scattered MVFR cig bases this afternoon with vsby ok. At time of writing, radar is void of precipitation, but still could see a scattering of shra/perhaps a few -tsra through the course of the afternoon. Latest short range ensembles suggest an increased probability of developing fog late in the night/early Monday AM, with the latest aviation MOS product primarily suggesting more of a potential issue for the MOB/BFM Terminals. Considering this signal, have added a tempo group by and after 11.08Z for IFR vsby restrictions at these two sites. /10

MARINE

Issued at 1042 AM CDT Sun May 10 2026

A light onshore flow persists through Monday. Winds turn westerly then northerly late in the day Monday behind a cold front. Winds briefly increase Monday night before a light easterly to northeasterly flow develops on Tuesday. Winds become variable, primarily offshore flow, by mid-week before shifting back to onshore flow Friday. MM/25

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 65 84 64 84 / 10 70 30 10 Pensacola 68 82 67 82 / 0 50 40 10 Destin 69 81 68 82 / 0 30 30 10 Evergreen 62 84 60 84 / 10 50 20 20 Waynesboro 64 80 59 82 / 20 50 10 0 Camden 62 80 59 81 / 10 50 20 0 Crestview 63 86 63 86 / 10 60 30 20

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.