textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 230 AM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026 - Summertime heat continues through early this week with heat indices as high as 103 to 107.
- Showers and thunderstorms return to the forecast Tuesday through late week. A strong to severe thunderstorm or two can't be ruled out each afternoon.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1147 PM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026
Surface and upper level ridging will continue to dominate the area through Monday. This will keep the area dry and hot. An isolated shower or storm cannot be completely ruled, however most areas will remain dry. Subsidence under the ridge will also lead to continued hot conditions with highs in the low to mid 90s through Tuesday. Some areas could reach the upper 90s. Heat index values will continue to flirt with heat advisory criteria each afternoon, however most areas will remain in the 103 to 107 range. The upper ridge will move north of the area Tuesday into Wednesday, placing the area in an easterly flow regime. Increased deep layer moisture combined with shortwaves moving through the easterly flow will bring higher rain chances to the area Tuesday into Wednesday with scattered to locally numerous showers and thunderstorms. Little change expected through the end of the week as a deep layer easterly flow continues with isolated to scattered mainly afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will cool slightly midweek with increased rain chances but remain in the low 90s in most areas back into the low to mid 90s by late week. A low risk of rip currents continues through the week. /13
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1226 AM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026
Some very localized patches of fog may attempt to develop over the next few hours, mainly over interior counties. Any fog that does manage to develop will dissipate around sunrise. Otherwise, VFR conditions, along with light southwesterly winds, are expected to prevail over the next 24 hours. /96
MARINE
Issued at 230 AM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026
A light diurnal flow pattern will be in place through Tuesday, with light onshore flow expected during the afternoon hours, becoming a light offshore flow each night. Winds become more variable by midweek. /96
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 94 75 95 75 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 94 78 94 79 / 0 0 0 10 Destin 91 78 92 79 / 0 0 0 10 Evergreen 95 73 96 75 / 0 0 0 10 Waynesboro 95 75 97 75 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 92 74 92 75 / 0 0 0 10 Crestview 97 74 97 76 / 0 0 10 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.
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