textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1121 PM CDT Sat Jul 4 2026

- Heat indices remain in the 100 to 107 range each afternoon today through late week.

- Rain and thunderstorm chances increase today, becoming likely over much of the area on Monday. Locally heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and frequent lightning can be expected with any storms.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1121 PM CDT Sat Jul 4 2026

Upper ridging continues to gradually break down across the area allowing for a steady increase in rain and thunderstorm chances each afternoon and evening as we head through the early part of the week. Scattered to locally numerous showers and thunderstorms can be expected each day, with greatest coverage likely on Monday. Upper ridging attempts to build back in mid-week, which may temper storm chances somewhat, but still anticipating at least scattered coverage of showers and storms mid to late week.

Temperatures remain near seasonable norms with highs in the lower to middle 90's each afternoon, coolest on the stormier days, and lows in the middle 70's each night. Heat indices any given afternoon will be in the 100 to 107 degree range, warmest towards the late week. The rip current risk remains low throughout the week. MM/25

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 641 PM CDT Sat Jul 4 2026

VFR flight category prevails across the region outside of some isolated showers and storms in the area early this evening. MVFR visibility may settle in at times for a few hours mid to late evening into the early overnight primarily in the vicinity of larger cities owing to smoke from the 4th of July fireworks celebrations and the decoupled boundary layer. Winds calm for most locations this evening, returning to a southerly to southwesterly wind around 5 knots Sunday morning. MM/25

MARINE

Issued at 1121 PM CDT Sat Jul 4 2026

A light to occasionally moderate southwest flow becomes established today through late week. Seas will remain generally 2 feet or less. No impacts are expected other than locally higher winds and seas possible near thunderstorms. MM/25

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 94 75 92 75 / 20 10 60 20 Pensacola 94 79 93 79 / 20 0 30 30 Destin 93 80 92 80 / 10 0 10 30 Evergreen 95 74 93 72 / 10 10 60 10 Waynesboro 95 75 93 73 / 20 30 70 30 Camden 92 75 91 73 / 10 20 50 20 Crestview 96 75 94 74 / 30 0 40 10

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.