textproduct: Mobile/Pensacola

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 635 PM CDT Tue Sep 22 2026

- Above normal temperatures continue through Wednesday with heat indices topping out in the 98-104 degree range.

- A cooler and drier airmass moves into the area late this week into the weekend.

UPDATE

Issued at 635 PM CDT Tue Sep 22 2026

Forecast remains on track through tonight. With the rain that occurred this evening and expectation for relatively clear skies and calm winds throughout the low level profile overnight tonight, some patchy shallow fog can't be ruled out in some spots through daybreak generally along and east of I-65. MM/25

DISCUSSION

Issued at 138 PM CDT Tue Sep 22 2026

An upper ridge over the southern plains will amplify through Friday as it remains centered west of the area. Meanwhile, a shortwave moving across the midwest will help carve out a long wave trough off the east coast by Friday. Current visible satellite imagery shows the influence of the upper ridge with most of the cumulus development east of I-65 with stronger subsidence to the west creating clear skies. Radar imagery indicates showers and thunderstorms increasing in coverage across areas east of I-65 moving southwest. A few of these storms could become strong with gusty winds and frequent lightning the main threats. Showers and storms remain isolated on Wednesday ahead of an approaching front. This front will move through the area late Wednesday into Thursday with a much drier and slightly cooler airmass moving into the area. A dry northwest flow aloft prevails through the end of the week. By early next week, the ridge weakens as a shortwave digs across the plains states. Increasing moisture and a weakening upper ridge will bring rain chances back into the area for the start of next week. /13

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 635 PM CDT Tue Sep 22 2026

VFR flight category will prevail through the day Wednesday. Winds will generally calm this evening into the overnight, becoming northerly to northeasterly at around 5 knots after daybreak Wednesday. Some patchy, shallow fog can't be ruled out tonight east of the I-65 corridor. MM/25

MARINE

Issued at 138 PM CDT Tue Sep 22 2026

A light diurnal flow prevails through Wednesday, with winds becoming onshore flow each afternoon then offshore at night. A light to moderate northeasterly flow develops Thursday and briefly becomes a bit stronger on Friday. Seas will be around 1 foot, then slowly build to 2 to 4 feet Thursday into Friday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Mobile 72 93 73 91 / 20 10 10 20 Pensacola 75 92 75 89 / 20 10 10 10 Destin 76 91 74 88 / 10 10 10 10 Evergreen 69 93 69 88 / 20 10 20 10 Waynesboro 70 94 69 91 / 0 0 0 10 Camden 70 93 69 87 / 20 10 20 10 Crestview 70 93 71 89 / 20 10 10 10

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.