textproduct: Melbourne

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 254 PM EDT Thu Jun 4 2026

- A High Risk of rip currents continues through at least Friday; entering the surf is strongly discouraged!

- Poor to hazardous boating conditions linger across the local Atlantic today and will continue to improve tonight into the weekend

- Mostly dry conditions are forecast through Saturday before rain chances return on Sunday as temperatures climb back to near or slightly above normal

DISCUSSION

Issued at 254 PM EDT Thu Jun 4 2026

Currently-Friday... KMLB radar imagery shows mostly dry weather across east central Florida with a few light showers/sprinkles over the Volusia and Brevard county waters. GOES-16 satellite imagery shows partly cloudy to partly sunny skies with cumulus clouds generally moving onshore and cirrus clouds moving east across the Florida Peninsula. Analysis charts show high pressure (~1025mb) over the southeastern US to the north of east central Florida. Temperatures are currently in the low to mid 80s with dew points in the 60s. Winds are breezy from the east-northeast at 10-15mph with gusts to 20-25mph.

Dry weather is expected to persist on Friday as high pressure (~1020- 1022mb) remains over the southeastern US and builds near the coast. East winds at 10-15mph gusts to 20mph are forecast with partly cloudy to partly sunny skies. Lows in the mid 60s to mid 70s with afternoon highs in the mid 80s to around 90 degrees are forecast.

Saturday-Sunday... Mostly dry weather is expected to continue. Meanwhile, high pressure over the southeastern US is forecast to weaken and shift offshore over the western Atlantic as a major shortwave trough deepens over the northeastern US and western Atlantic. Isolated onshore moving showers (20-30%) and lightning storms are forecast over the Treasure Coast, southern Osceola, and Okeechobee counties with PWATs in the 1.25-1.60" range over the aforementioned areas. Temperatures in the mid 80s to around 90 degrees are forecast with lows in the mid 60s to mid 70s.

Monday-Wednesday... Moisture is expected to increase further on Monday and into midweek with high pressure over the northeastern Gulf of America and Florida Panhandle. Additionally, a major shortwave trough/low is forecast to deepen over the western Atlantic with onshore flow in place. Rain shower chances (20-60%) increase on Monday and Tuesday with PWATs up to 1.8-2.2". Easterly flow and a weak west coast sea breeze will favor the highest rain chances over the Treasure Coast and southwestern interior of east central Florida on Monday. Temperatures will continue to rise with afternoon highs in the upper 80s to mid 90s on Monday with slightly cooler high temperatures on Tuesday and Wednesday as rain chances increase. Expect warm lows in the 70s.

MARINE

Issued at 254 PM EDT Thu Jun 4 2026

Currently-Friday... Poor to Hazardous boating conditions are expected to continue through this evening with Buoy 41010 indicating wave heights to 6-7 feet. The Small Craft Advisory for the offshore waters (20-60nm) and nearshore Treasure Coast waters is expected to expire at 8PM this evening with conditions expected to gradually improve into Friday. East-northeast winds at 10-15kts with gusts to 20-25kts are forecast to weaken to 10-15kts with gusts to 20kts into Friday with dry conditions.

Saturday-Monday... Favorable boating conditions are expected as high pressure builds to the north of Florida over the southeastern US. Mostly dry weather is expected with isolated generally onshore moving showers and lightning storms on Sunday and Monday, mainly over the southern local Atlantic waters. East winds at 10-15kts with gusts to 20kts are forecast to veer southeast on Monday at 8-12kts with gusts to 14-20kts. Seas to 2-4ft are forecast to reduce to 2- 3ft Sunday and Monday.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFs) Issued at 150 PM EDT Thu Jun 4 2026

VFR conditions are forecast through the TAF period. ENE winds gusting 20-24 knots this afternoon will taper off with sunset settling to 5-10 knots overnight. On Fri, E to ENE winds pick up again after 14Z at 10 to 15 knots, with gusts 20-24 knots. Dry conditions are forecast though brief, isolated -SHRA/--SHRA cannot be ruled out along the coast.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

DAB 71 85 71 86 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 68 88 69 90 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 74 85 75 87 / 0 0 10 0 VRB 72 85 73 87 / 0 0 10 0 LEE 68 88 69 91 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 68 88 69 90 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 69 88 70 91 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 71 84 72 87 / 0 0 10 0

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. AM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for AMZ555-570- 572-575.