textproduct: Melbourne

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 208 AM EST Fri Mar 6 2026

- Poor boating conditions offshore again today. A High Risk of rip currents will persist at area beaches through the weekend.

- Isolated to scattered showers are forecast to develop each day through this weekend, mainly along the inland moving east coast sea breeze. There is a low (20% or less) chance of lightning storms.

- Temperatures will remain well above normal over the next several days, with high temps reaching the mid to upper 80s across the interior. These will be near record values for inland sites this weekend into early next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 208 AM EST Fri Mar 6 2026

Current-Tonight-Saturday...Will monitor for some early morning low stratus clouds/patchy fog potential. Greatest chances this morning across the I-4 corridor. This trend will continue Fri/Sat overnights. Elevated southeast wind speeds off of the surface should limit the overall fog development a bit. High pressure over the western Atlc with associated ridge axis near to north of the coverage warning area will keep a persistent ESE/SE flow across the area into the weekend. While onshore winds will be light across the interior and occasionally moderate along the coast each night, daytime speeds will average 10-15 mph and sometimes 15-20 mph along the coast with some higher afternoon gusts. With this persistent regime we will see a stray shower or two move onto the coast, esp late night/morning hours and south of the Cape. During the day a diffuse east coast sea breeze will develop and push inland each afternoon. ISOLD to WDLY SCT showers and an ISOLD lightning storm or two will be possible each afternoon in association with the inland- moving ECSB. Convective chances today generally 15-24pct and 25- 40pct on Sat.

Highs will reach the L80s along the coast to M80s into the interior today and Sat. Overnight lows remain mild and in the 60s.

A continued threat exists at ALL central FL beaches for numerous, strong, life-threatening rip currents and occasional rough surf, in part, due to the persistent ENE long period swell. It is strongly discouraged to enter the chilly surf through this weekend! Sun-Thu...Surface high pressure ridging remains near or across the central FL peninsula for much of this period. Surface winds remain mostly consistent, but may veer a bit more SE/S at times, as the mainly onshore flow continues. Periodic onshore-moving showers along the coast and an ISOLD aftn/evening lightning storm cannot be ruled out across the interior, though PWATs will be modest at best until at least Thu. For most days, a 20pct or less chance of precip will exist and much of the forecast area will remain dry as a whole.

Well above normal temperatures continue thru this period. Highs each day in the L80s at the immediate coast with M-U80s into the interior, with a 90F reading or two within reach. These temperatures will flirt with records which run in the U80s to around 90F each of these days across the interior. Overnight lows will remain mild and continue in the 60s areawide.

MARINE

Issued at 208 AM EST Fri Mar 6 2026

A persistent pattern in place as high pressure continues across the western Atlc and associated ridge axis north to near the area thru Sat with the axis much closer to across the central FL peninsula Sun into early next week. Winds continue mainly onshore (ESE/SE), but may veer a bit more SSE/S at times. Wind speeds typically 10-15 kts, but could see a little stronger over the offshore waters at times (14-18 kts). Initial seas 3-5 ft, except 5-6 ft offshore today will become 3-5 ft areawide by this evening thru the extended as the persistent onshore long period swell continues. ISOLD-WDLY SCT shower chances exists for much of this period and an ISOLD lightning storm threat (less than 20pct) cannot be ruled out into this weekend.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFs) Issued at 1229 PM EST Fri Mar 6 2026

Mainly VFR conditions through early tonight, then more stratus/fog possible along and north of I-4. This afternoon, wind gusts 18-23 kts from the ESE have managed to creep inland, and the strato-cu deck has produced BKN020-030 MVFR CIGs from time to time, but has now generally lifted or thinned out to VFR. Some SHRA/TSRA could develop inland on a diffuse east coast sea breeze INVOF KMCO-KLEE after 19Z, but highest chances along the sea breeze collision well west of the ECFL terminals after 23Z. Window for SHRA/TSRA closes by 00Z at KMCO/KISM (and likely sooner), but could see an ISO cell creep back towards KLEE through around 02Z. Chances for MVFR-IFR CIGs from 08Z-14Z at the inland terminals have increased to 20-60% (at KMCO, around 50% for MVFR and 20% for IFR), but only in the most recent runs and would like to get a few more cycles in before committing to TEMPO or prevailing reductions in the TAFs. Mainly VFR conditions after 15Z Saturday. Another day of ESE winds becoming gusty along the coast and possibly inland, and low chances for SHRA/TSRA inland after 19Z.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

DAB 64 81 64 83 / 0 20 10 30 MCO 67 85 66 86 / 0 20 10 30 MLB 67 80 66 81 / 10 20 10 20 VRB 67 81 66 82 / 10 20 10 20 LEE 66 86 65 86 / 10 30 10 30 SFB 66 84 65 86 / 0 20 10 30 ORL 66 84 66 86 / 0 20 10 30 FPR 66 81 64 83 / 10 20 10 20

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. AM...None.