textproduct: Melbourne

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 249 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026

- Areas affected by catastrophic flooding across southern Brevard County and the Treasure Coast: Avoid flooded roads, and do not walk or wade through floodwater! - Rain chances decrease to 20-30% today with most areas rain-free from Thursday through the weekend. Meanwhile, high temperatures will be very warm today through Friday reaching the mid 80s.

- A High risk of life-threatening rip currents continues today at all Central Florida Atlantic beaches. Please stay out of the ocean.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 249 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026

Today-Fri...High pressure north of the area will continue an onshore (east) flow today that will gradually decrease through late week as the ridge axis settles over the area. Rain chances decrease to 20-30% today and then drier air will limit rain chances to10% or less Thu and Fri. Max temps will be above normal reaching the mid 80s. Heat indices will reach the upper 80s to near 90 which will produce a minor HeatRisk for those sensitive to the heat and without cooling or hydration.

Sat-Tue...A weak cool front is forecast push through the area Saturday but little moisture looks assocd with the boundary so keeping rain chances out of the forecast. High pressure will build over the area behind the front Sun keeping conditions dry. Models are in disagreement about early next week with the GFS more aggressive showing a deep cut-off low across the deep South generating a sfc low lifting NE out of the Gulf and a cold front sweeping across central FL Tue. The ECMWF is slower and weaker with these features keeping conds dry through Tue then showing increased rain chances mid week. For now, PoPs are limited to 15-20% Mon-Tue. Highs in the low to mid 80s on Saturday fall to the mid 70s to near 80 degrees Mon-Tue. Lows in the upper 50s possible mainly near to NW of I-4 early next week.

MARINE

Issued at 249 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026

Today-Thu...Boating conditions will gradually improve as pressure gradient around high pressure to the north relaxes. This will allow the onshore wind speeds to decrease 10-15 knots today and up to 10 knots Thu. Seas will respond subsiding 4-6 FT today and 3-5 FT Thu. Small craft should exercise caution offshore today. Isolated showers will develop over the Atlc waters and move west and onshore today but Thu looks dry.

Fri-Sun...Low pressure developing south of Bermuda is forecast to send long period swells into the local Atlc waters this weekend which could produce hazardous conditions near inlets. Winds will be light and variable Fri then a weak cool front pushes through Saturday with winds developing a north component (NNW-NNE) but speeds are forecast to remain below 15 knots. Isolated showers and potentially a storm or two will be possible, mainly into the weekend across the offshore waters.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFs) Issued at 1230 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026

VFR conditions prevailing. Light onshore flow through the overnight hours becomes 8-12 kts by around 14Z and persists through the afternoon. Mostly dry, though a few showers will be possible from MCO westward after 19Z. Will monitor for VCSH along the Treasure Coast, though confidence is low. Winds slacken once again after 0Z, remaining onshore.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

DAB 82 72 83 69 / 40 10 0 10 MCO 83 71 85 70 / 40 0 10 10 MLB 83 74 83 71 / 30 10 10 0 VRB 85 74 85 71 / 30 10 20 0 LEE 84 70 86 69 / 40 0 20 10 SFB 84 71 86 69 / 40 0 10 10 ORL 84 71 85 70 / 40 0 10 10 FPR 84 73 84 70 / 30 20 20 0

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. AM...None.