textproduct: Melbourne

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 303 AM EST Sun Mar 8 2026

- High risk of rip currents continues at area beaches this weekend, entering the surf is strongly discouraged.

- Scattered showers and isolated lightning storms are possible this afternoon and evening along the sea breeze collision.

- Above normal temperatures and near record highs possible today into next week, particularly across the interior.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 303 AM EST Sun Mar 8 2026

Current-Tonight...Will have to remain mindful of some patchy (locally) dense fog and low stratus clouds early this morning. Any fog that does develop will burn off through mid-morning. High pressure continues across the western Atlc with associated ridge near the central FL peninsula. This will provide a S/SE flow with speeds increasing to 10-15 mph and a little higher along the coast and gusty at times. The ECSB will develop and push inland this afternoon, and a collision with the WCSB late in the day is expected near a Deland-Sanford-Orlando-central Osceola County line. Highest PoP chances (40-50%) will result from this interaction and a 5-10 mph SWRLY steering flow will bring some of this activity back towards the coast, esp Volusia/Brevard counties. Storm threats include lightning strikes, gusty winds locally to around 40-50 mph, heavy downpours, and small hail. Activity should wind down thru mid to late evening, with highest coverage between 5-9pm.

Highs will reach the L80s along the coast to M-U80s into the interior. Overnight lows remain mild and in the 60s. Some areas along the immediate Space/Treasure coasts and adjacent barrier islands may realize values closer to 70F.

A continued threat exists at ALL central FL beaches for numerous, strong, life-threatening rip currents and occasional rough surf, in part, due to the persistent easterly long period swell. It is strongly discouraged to enter the chilly surf through this weekend!

Mon-Sat...Surface pressure ridging remains near or across the central FL peninsula into Wed, then gets shunted south/east in favor of an advancing cold front that will push across ECFL on Thu. Weak high pressure builds behind the front as winds veer onshore (NE/E) Thu night/Fri, continuing onshore into the weekend. Leading up to this into mid-week with a weaker pressure gradient in place, variable morning winds will transition gradually to onshore with daily sea breeze formation. Lighter winds in the low-levels will likely promote a better chance for patchy (dense) fog development across the area Mon/Tue/Wed mornings. A 15-24% chance for showers will exist on Mon - no thunder yet, but cannot rule out an ISOLD lightning storm if late day collisions are strong enough. Mostly dry conditions Tue/Wed. SCT-NMRS showers and ISOLD storms (40-60%) forecast with aforementioned boundary on Thu. Residual moisture behind the front remains with a 15-25% chance for showers on Fri south of Orlando, with sea breeze activity promoting a 15-30% convective shot areawide on Sat.

Well above normal temperatures continue thru Thu. Highs each day thru Wed in the L-M80s near the immediate coast and M-U80s into the interior, with a 90F reading or two within reach. These temperatures will flirt with records which run in the U80s to around 90F each of these days across the interior. For Thu, pre-frontal, with clouds/precip chances increasing we expect L80s across the I-4 corridor with M-U80s southward. Fri will be closer towards seasonal values with mainly 70s, except L80s across our far western coverage warning area. Sat will see temps bounce upward again with U70s at the coast and L80s to a few M80s across the interior. Overnight lows will remain mild and continue generally in the 60s areawide thru Thu morning. Fri morning, post-frontal, L-M50s N/W of I-4 with U50s to L60s southward, except M60s for the Martin County coast. Lows in the U50s to L60s generally for Sat/Sun mornings.

MARINE

Issued at 303 AM EST Sun Mar 8 2026

Few showers around this morning, with the threat for offshore- moving convection late today/evening as a sea breeze collision takes place across the eastern peninsula with light SW storm steering flow. Storm threats late today/evening will be lightning strikes, locally gusty winds in excess of 34 kts, heavy downpours, and small hail.

A high pressure ridge axis will settle southward closer to central FL today into early next week. Winds will be predominately SE/S at 10-15 kts, becoming offshore this evening/overnight. Generally onshore winds during the day thru mid-week ahead of a cold front that will pass across the local waters on Thu with an increase in precip chances and deteriorating boating conditions (winds/seas).

Primary contribution to wave height continues to be a 3-4 ft east swell with a bit of a wind chop added. Combined seas 3-5 ft today thru Mon and 3-4 ft Tue-Wed, then gradually building seas Thu/Thu night, slowly subsiding thru the day on Fri.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFs) Issued at 103 AM EST Sun Mar 8 2026

Continuing to monitor for fog/stratus early this morning with current probabilities around 30% for MVFR impacts across the interior and at DAB. Some models indicate that any fog/stratus that does develop could linger 2-3 hours beyond sunrise. South to southeast winds increase to 6-9 kts across the interior and 10-14 kts along the coast. VCTS/VCSH is forecast from ISM/MLB northward this afternoon. A sea breeze collision should occur near the I-4 corridor late in the day, and have included TSRA TEMPOs at ISM/MCO/SFB/DAB. Some lingering showers look to persist through the evening hours.

CLIMATE

Issued at 303 AM EST Sun Mar 8 2026

Record Highs for the next few days for east central Florida climate sites. Normal highs for this time of year range from the mid to upper 70s. Interior sites will have the best chance to approach/break records.

RECORD RECORD RECORD DATE HIGH DATE HIGH DATE HIGH DAB 8-Mar 87 1991 9-Mar 87 2024 10-Mar 86 2023 LEE 8-Mar 87 1974 9-Mar 88 2024 10-Mar 87 1974 SFB 8-Mar 87 1961 9-Mar 89 2024 10-Mar 90 1974 MCO 8-Mar 90 1935 9-Mar 90 2024 10-Mar 90 1918 MLB 8-Mar 90 1961 9-Mar 89 2022 10-Mar 90 1964 VRB 8-Mar 88 1956 9-Mar 90 2024 10-Mar 89 2022 FPR 8-Mar 91 1992 9-Mar 90 2022 10-Mar 90 2022

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

DAB 85 63 84 63 / 50 50 20 10 MCO 86 66 87 66 / 50 50 20 0 MLB 83 65 84 66 / 20 30 20 10 VRB 83 64 84 65 / 20 20 20 0 LEE 85 64 87 65 / 40 30 20 0 SFB 87 65 87 66 / 50 50 20 0 ORL 87 66 87 67 / 50 50 20 0 FPR 83 63 84 64 / 20 20 20 0

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. AM...None.