textproduct: Melbourne

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 230 PM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

- Tranquil weather expected this weekend, followed by another cold front late Sunday into Monday that brings breezy and showery conditions early next week.

- Colder tonight with lows in the 40s and 50s, accompanied by slightly above-normal high temperatures this weekend and next week.

- At least a moderate risk of rip currents is forecast to continue at all local east central Florida beaches over the weekend and into early next week; boating conditions deteriorate once again early next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 230 PM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

Current-Tonight...A cold front will continue moving southward across the Florida peninsula this afternoon and into the evening hours, generally passing with little fanfare aside from clearing skies, dropping dewpoints, and breezy winds behind it. Winds veer more northwesterly at 10 to 15 mph through the remainder of this afternoon, with gusts to 25 mph possible in some locations. Temperatures continue to rise this afternoon, with forecast highs remaining on track in the upper 70s to low 80s. Tonight, north to northwest winds are forecast to persist around 5 to 10 mph along with dry conditions as an area of high pressure builds across the southeastern U.S. Temperatures are anticipated to fall into the mid to upper 40s near and north of the I-4 corridor while areas southward fall into the 50s. Some locations along the barrier islands (especially the Treasure Coast) may only fall into the 60s tonight.

Saturday-Sunday...High pressure will remain the dominant feature across the southeastern U.S. this weekend, with a dry air mass settling across the Florida peninsula. This will help keep conditions dry locally, with no rain forecast on Saturday or Sunday. Winds become more east to northeasterly over the weekend, remaining around 10 mph each afternoon. Mostly clear skies are anticipated across east central Florida, with temperatures remaining in the mid 70s to low 80s. Overnight, lows are forecast to fall into the 50s to mid 60s, with the warmer temperatures focused across the Treasure Coast and near Lake Okeechobee. At the beaches, at least a moderate risk of rip currents is forecast through this weekend. As always, visitors to the local beaches should swim near a lifeguard and heed the advice of local beach safety authorities.

Late Sunday, a cold front is forecast to begin a slow approach towards the Florida peninsula. At this time, there is low confidence in any sort of shower development along or ahead of the front during the overnight hours. The most noticeable difference will be an uptick in winds late Sunday night into early Monday morning.

Monday-Thursday (modified previous)...The aforementioned cold front will continue sliding southward across the Florida peninsula into Monday, with the east-northeasterly winds continuing to increase in the wake of the front. The anticipated pattern will favor the development of onshore-moving marine stratocu and some shallow, isolated showers. Models bring light QPF to coastal areas with some activity pushing farther inland during the afternoon and evening hours on Monday. This forecast package continues to reflect a consensus of the global models and NBM06. This shower activity could very well linger into the day on Tuesday, though the current forecast keeps any development primarily out across the adjacent Atlantic waters. Drier conditions resume mid to late week as the pressure gradient unwinds and high pressure settles over (or just north of) the area.

Temperatures from Monday onward will not vary all that much, perhaps warming by a degree or two once we reach Christmas Day. Above-normal values in the mid to upper 70s during the day drop into the 50s for most each night (low/mid 60s along the southern Brevard to Treasure Coasts).

MARINE

Issued at 230 PM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

A cold front is forecast to continue moving southward across the local Atlantic waters this evening into the overnight hours, with high pressure settling across the area into this weekend. This will result in generally favorable boating conditions through the remainder of today and over the weekend, with north-northwest winds veering to out of the east-northeast at 10 to 15 knots. Seas are forecast to generally remain 3 to 5 feet, with the higher seas primarily out across the offshore waters.

Seas begin to deteriorate once again early next week as another cold front moves across the local waters, with northeasterly winds picking up to 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots possible. In response, seas rapidly build to 6 to 9 feet on Monday and 6 to 10 feet on Tuesday. The highest seas are forecast to occur primarily across the Gulf Stream waters. With the persistent northeasterly winds, isolated to scattered shower development will also be possible Monday into Tuesday. Winds and seas are forecast to subside by the middle of next week as high pressure returns, resulting in favorable boating conditions once again across the local Atlantic waters.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFs) Issued at 1255 PM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

Cold front is traversing central FL at 18Z with a gusty west flow up to 20-22 knots. The earlier stratus has largely broken up as daytime heating has increased mixing heights and therefore cloud bases. Ocnl CIGs btwn 030-040AGL will still occur thru 20Z but occurrences should be too brief for TEMPOs. The gusty west winds will produce a minor crosswind issue at MCO this afternoon but gustiness will subside by 22Z. Winds turn N/NW tonight then NE Sat with speeds less than 10 knots.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

DAB 52 73 56 75 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 53 76 59 79 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 59 76 62 78 / 0 0 0 10 VRB 60 78 62 78 / 0 0 10 10 LEE 48 74 54 77 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 51 76 57 78 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 52 76 59 78 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 59 79 62 78 / 0 0 10 10

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. AM...None.