textproduct: Melbourne
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 300 PM EDT Mon Apr 13 2026
- Remaining dry over the next several days with a warming trend; Near record highs in the lower 90s this weekend over the interior.
- Next cold front forecast to cross the area Monday and bring a small chance for showers.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 300 PM EDT Mon Apr 13 2026
Thru Tonight...Mostly pleasant conditions with easterly wind flow, breezy at times with gusts up to 20 mph, decreasing after sunset. Fair weather stratocumulus clouds will push westward while very high (cirrus) clouds stream eastward at 30-35k ft. Near seasonable temps falling into the upper 50s and lower 60s by morning, except holding in the upper 60s along the immediate coast due to the onshore flow.
Tue-Sun...High pressure ridge axis north of the area through mid week will shift southward and reach central FL late this week and into the weekend. This will allow low level onshore winds to weaken. And combined with a persistent high pressure ridge aloft, dry conditions are forecast with a gradual warming trend over the next several days. Highs in the low to mid 80s into midweek, will increase to the mid to upper 80s across the interior Thursday, with near 90/low 90s forecast across inland areas Friday thru Sunday. These above normal temperatures will be near record highs for interior sites, with Leesburg having the best chance to tie or break their daily record on Saturday. Not as warm along the east coast due to the sea breeze which will hold max temps to the mid 80s this weekend.
Mon...The next cool front is forecast to cross the area and knock temperatures back down to seasonable levels in the low to mid 80s. NBM shows rain chances at 20 percent which largely splits the difference between the drier ECMWF (10 percent) and relatively wetter GFS (30-35 percent). Both models show a period of gusty/windy NE to E winds developing behind the front and continuing into Tue.
MARINE
Issued at 300 PM EDT Mon Apr 13 2026
Boating conditions are showing gradual improvement as winds begin to decrease especially across the northern and central waters. A little tighter pressure gradient across the southern (Treasure coast) waters will support 15-20 knots into this eve. And seas 5-6 FT will support a Caution headline for the southern waters to start.
High pressure ridge axis will slowly press southward and reach central FL and adjacent Altc waters late this week. Onshore flow largely prevailing with speeds 5-15 knots. Seas subside 3-5 FT Tue/Wed, 3-4 FT Thu and 2-3 FT Fri/Sat. Dry conditions forecast to continue for the next 5 days.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFs) Issued at 702 PM EDT Mon Apr 13 2026
VFR conditions continue, but may have to monitor for some patchy ground fog north of I-4 early Tue morning. ERLY winds diminish this evening, though stay elevated up to 10 kts along the immediate Space/Treasure coasts with a few higher gusts. E/ESE winds increase to 8-13 kts again on Tue - highest at the coast with some stronger gusts, esp in assoc with the inland moving sea breeze in the afternoon. Dry conditions through the period.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 63 81 61 81 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 63 84 61 84 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 67 79 66 79 / 0 0 0 0 VRB 65 80 63 80 / 0 0 0 0 LEE 61 86 61 86 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 61 84 60 84 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 63 84 62 85 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 65 80 62 80 / 0 0 0 0
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 63 81 61 81 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 63 84 61 84 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 67 79 66 79 / 0 0 0 0 VRB 65 80 63 80 / 0 0 0 0 LEE 61 86 61 86 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 61 84 60 84 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 63 84 62 85 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 65 80 62 80 / 0 0 0 0
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. AM...None.
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