textproduct: Melbourne

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 537 AM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

- NEW: Dense Fog ADVISORY until 9 am for most of east central Florida. Visibilities down to a quarter mile or less in dense fog early this morning.

- Warm temperatures this weekend, with record highs forecast for Sunday.

- A High Risk of rip currents continues at local beaches this weekend.

- A series of fronts will bring colder than normal temperatures next week.

UPDATE

Issued at 537 AM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

Cameras, area observation stations, and satellite imagery all indicate areas of dense fog forming early this morning. This has necessitated a Dense Fog ADVISORY until 9 a.m.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 159 AM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

Today-Sunday...Patchy dense fog has developed early this morning and will continue through sunrise, with a few locations already seeing reductions to one mile or less. Use caution on the roads early this morning and be prepared for rapid changes in visibility. Fog is forecast to linger through around 9 AM before diminishing.

A stalled frontal boundary remains draped across north Florida today, with onshore flow persisting south of the front at around 10 mph this afternoon. Into Sunday, a developing potent low pressure system over the Southeast will drag the stalled boundary farther northward, leading to widespread winter weather concerns for a majority of the eastern US. Locally, winds Sunday become south to southwesterly as the front lifts, with the tightening pressure gradient producing breezy conditions and gusts up to 20-25 mph in the afternoon. Mostly dry through the daytime hours on Sunday, though CAMs suggest a few showers along the Treasure Coast and possibly the Volusia Coast this afternoon, as a shortwave passes aloft. PoPs remain around 20% or less for land areas.

Instead of winter weather concerns, the Florida peninsula will see southerly flow lead to well above normal temperatures. Highs this afternoon are forecast in the 70s for most areas, with lower 80s inland south of Orlando. By Sunday, record to near-record high temperatures are expected, as temperatures rise into the mid to upper 80s for all but the immediate coast. At the coast, will see a battle between nearshore water temperatures in the mid 60s to near 70 attempting to develop a sea breeze and breezy southwesterly flow. Any sea breeze that manages to form is forecast to be pinned to or offshore from the coast, providing minimal relief. All local climate sites, with the exception of Daytona Beach, are forecast to warm to within 2 degrees of their daily record highs. A few monthly record highs for January will also be threatened. See the Climate section for more details. Regardless, high temperatures Sunday are forecast near 15 degrees above average.

Don't let the warm temperatures and limited rain fool you, conditions at the beaches will be dangerous. A High Risk of rip currents is expected to continue through Sunday. Entering the water is strongly discouraged!

Monday-Friday...As the aforementioned low lifts northeastward and offshore from the Mid-Atlantic coast, it will drag a strong cold front through the Florida peninsula late Sunday night and into Monday. Scattered showers are expected along the frontal boundary, beginning after midnight on Monday. PoPs 30-50%, diminishing from north to south into the late morning and early afternoon hours. Limited CAPE is forecast to prevent any lightning formation. Breezy winds continue, though veer northwesterly through the day. This will put an end to the heat wave, producing a temperature gradient across the county warning area. Locations along and north of the I-4 corridor are forecast to remain in the upper 60s to lower 70s, while areas to the south warm into the mid-70s to lower 80s.

High pressure builds into the area Tuesday, with another cold front forecast to move southward through the peninsula Thursday. Dry conditions prevail through the work week, despite the front. Cold temperatures return, beginning Monday night into Tuesday morning, as lows fall into the 30s for all but the Treasure Coast. Below normal highs in the 50s to lower 60s Tuesday afternoon will have limited recovery through the remainder of the period, thanks to the reinforcing frontal boundary. In fact, overnight lows in the 30s and lower 40s will remain a concern each night. Will need to monitor the potential for near freezing temperatures in the colder locations, especially Tuesday night and Thursday night. Cold Weather Advisories may be needed, with wind chills returning to the 20s for at least portions of the area most nights.

MARINE

Issued at 159 AM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

Isolated to scattered showers today over the Atlantic waters, as a stalled frontal boundary remains north of the local area. Onshore winds 8-12 kts and seas 3-5 ft.

Boating conditions will then deteriorate tonight and remain poor to hazardous through at least mid-week next week. First, swell from developing low pressure off of the Carolina coast will build seas to up to 7-8ft over the offshore waters through Sunday. In addition, increasingly southerly winds due to an approaching cold front will strengthen to 15-20 kts by Sunday afternoon. Then, a strong cold front will push through the local waters Sunday night into Monday, bringing scattered showers and perhaps a lightning strike or two over the Gulf Stream. Winds veer northwesterly behind the front and increase to 20-25 kts into Monday night. While northerly winds are expected to diminish Tuesday, seas in the Gulf Stream will remain up to 10-13 ft. Small Craft Advisories have been issued for the offshore waters beginning this evening and will likely need to continue and expand through at least Tuesday, before winds and seas briefly subside Wednesday ahead of yet another front late week.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFs) Issued at 537 AM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

MCO IMPACT: - Intermittent IFR-LIFR conds due to patchy dense fog and stratus through at least 14z.

Early issuance of the Aviation Discussion this morning to update trends for dense fog. We now have visibilities as low as a quarter mile at multiple airfields including MCO. In addition, very low stratus is developing. IFR/LIFR conds are likely to persist longest at Orlando/Daytona area terminals this morning, but lifting to VFR all sites late morning into the afternoon. Light E breezes, up to 10 KT today.

CLIMATE

Issued at 159 AM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

Forecast high temperatures compared to the daily and monthly records for Sunday, January 25th.

FCST DAILY MONTHLY DAB 83 87 87 LEE 85 85 86 SFB 85 85 89 MCO 86 86 88 MLB 84 85 88 VRB 85 86 88 FPR 84 86 89

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

DAB 74 60 83 62 / 10 10 0 30 MCO 79 62 86 67 / 10 10 0 30 MLB 76 62 83 64 / 10 10 10 20 VRB 78 63 85 64 / 20 10 10 10 LEE 77 60 85 63 / 10 10 0 50 SFB 78 61 86 65 / 10 10 0 30 ORL 78 62 86 66 / 10 10 10 30 FPR 78 63 85 64 / 20 10 10 10

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for FLZ041- 044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159-247-254-259-264-347-447-547- 647.

AM...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for AMZ550.

Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 1 AM EST Monday for AMZ570.

Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM Sunday to 1 AM EST Monday for AMZ572.

Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM Sunday to 1 AM EST Monday for AMZ575.