textproduct: Melbourne

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 249 PM EST Sat Feb 7 2026

- Hazardous boating conditions linger in the Gulf Stream tonight through Sunday

- A moderate risk of rip currents exists at area beaches today, followed by a high risk of life-threatening rip currents Sunday into next week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 249 PM EST Sat Feb 7 2026

Current-Sunday... Northerly winds behind a cold front this morning will work to reinforce a persistent dry airmass. Winds should gradually diminish through the remainder of the afternoon becoming light tonight. With clear skies, temperatures will efficiently cool overnight, falling into the low to mid 40s across much of the area. Normally cooler areas of northern Lake, interior Volusia, and rural Osceola counties could fall into the mid to upper 30s, and patchy frost is forecast in vicinity of Lake George and the Ocala National Forest. A sunny Sunday is on tap with afternoon temperatures recovering into the upper 60s and lower 70s, still remaining a few degrees below normal. At the beaches, an onshore swell begins to build, increasing the risk for life-threatening rip currents.

Monday-Friday... High pressure slides southward along the eastern seaboard with the ridge axis settling near central Florida mid week. Afternoon temperatures follow a warming trend through the 70s each day, and areas across the interior, south of the Orlando metro, could touch the 80s beginning on Wednesday. Light and variable winds should shift onshore each afternoon as a weak sea breeze develops. The next cold front approaches the area late week as low pressure develops across the southwest Atlantic. Models hint that this could bring the next chance for rain by next weekend, but confidence remains low with a wide spread of ensemble solutions. For now, dry conditions are expected to persist through at least Friday.

MARINE

Issued at 249 PM EST Sat Feb 7 2026

Northerly winds have developed behind a cold front this morning, continuing a period of poor to hazardous boating conditions. Small craft should exercise caution across nearshore Volusia and nearshore Brevard through tonight as north winds 15-20 kts gradually subside. Elsewhere, across the Gulf Stream, winds 20-25 kts have built seas 5- 8 ft, and Small Craft Advisories continue across the local Gulf Stream waters. Building high pressure will allow winds to subside into Sunday, becoming light through much of the coming week. However, hazardous seas will be slow to subside in the Gulf Stream with the Small Craft Advisory continuing for much of the day Sunday. Although conditions become favorable nearshore, small craft should continue to exercise caution in the Gulf Stream Monday into mid week for seas up to 6 ft.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFs) Issued at 647 PM EST Sat Feb 7 2026

VFR and SKC through the TAF period. Light and variable winds this evening will continue through the overnight. Winds will turn NE and increase to 5-8 KT along the coast by Sunday mid-morning, with the interior sites remaining light and variable through much of Sunday.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 249 PM EST Sat Feb 7 2026

Northerly winds behind a cold front this morning will reinforce a dry airmass across east central Florida. Although minRH will fall near to below critical values across the interior into next week, building high pressure will keep winds light. A warming trend combined with no rainfall will allow drought conditions to likely worsen.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

DAB 41 65 43 69 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 43 70 46 73 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 45 67 47 70 / 0 0 0 0 VRB 47 69 46 72 / 0 0 0 0 LEE 39 68 43 71 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 41 68 44 72 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 43 69 47 72 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 45 70 46 73 / 0 0 0 0

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. AM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Sunday for AMZ555-570-572- 575.