textproduct: Melbourne

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 330 PM EST Mon Mar 2 2026

- Breezy onshore flow will produce rough surf and choppy seas. There will be a Moderate to High risk of rip currents at all area beaches through this week.

- Isolated to scattered showers will begin to push onshore from the Atlantic this evening.

- Temperatures are forecast to trend warmer with afternoon highs reaching 85F-87F over the interior mid to late week. Record highs are not forecast.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 330 PM EST Mon Mar 2 2026

Currently...Hi-res vis sat imagery and radar data show isolated Atlc showers over the Atlc approaching the FL east coast, likely associated with the leading edge of an increase in pres grad/winds. These showers may initially weaken as they approach the coast due to the sea breeze circulation but will have a better chance of holding together and crossing the coast early this evening as the sea breeze circulation weakens. Higher coverage of showers is forecast south of the Cape overnight and into Tue morning where moisture is a little higher.

Mid-level ridge strengthens over the Gulf and shifts eastward across Florida and then the SW Atlantic this week, supporting a broad area of high pressure at the surface. The sfc high center will settle over its climatological position over the SW Atlc with a trailing ridge axis roughly along 30N latitude. Locally, this will result in an extended period of onshore (E to SE) winds across east central Florida. This will produce mild overnight lows along the coast, holding in the 60s and warm afternoon highs especially over the interior where widespread mid 80s will develop by mid week and persist into the weekend. Record highs are in the upper 80s to lower 90s and look out of reach.

Low level moisture combined with the steady and persistent onshore flow will support isolated to scattered showers pushing onshore and well inland this week. Occasional lightning strikes and gusty winds would likely be the primary concerns, with activity likely remaining sub-severe.

Rough surf and an increase in the rip current risk is forecast at the local beaches over the coming days. Entering the surf will not be advised.

MARINE

Issued at 330 PM EST Mon Mar 2 2026

Tightening easterly gradient around high pressure will increase the winds 10-15 knots nearshore and 15-20 knots offshore this evening. Choppy seas will build to 6 FT offshore so a Caution headline is posted there and will likely be needed through mid week. The ridge axis will remain north of the waters with wind flow veering more out of the southeast Thu-Sat. Pressure gradient will support a little stronger winds across the southern waters 15-20 knots and 10-14 knots across the northern waters closer to the ridge axis. The combination of wind wave and swell will produce 5-6 FT offshore and 4-5 FT nearshore. Isolated to scattered showers with a few lightning storms possible south of the Cape.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFs) Issued at 1255 AM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

Mainly VFR with isolated -SHRA at the coast thru the TAF period, particularly MLB southward. NE winds 5-10 kts overnight increase to 10-12+ kts after 15z (gusts around 20 kts MLB to SUA).

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

DAB 77 61 79 63 / 20 10 20 10 MCO 80 65 83 66 / 20 10 30 0 MLB 78 65 79 66 / 30 20 20 10 VRB 79 65 81 66 / 30 20 20 10 LEE 82 63 84 64 / 10 0 20 0 SFB 80 63 83 64 / 20 10 20 0 ORL 80 64 83 66 / 20 10 30 0 FPR 79 64 81 65 / 30 20 20 10

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. AM...None.