textproduct: Melbourne

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 224 PM EST Mon Dec 22 2025

- Poor to hazardous boating conditions, rough surf and a High Risk of rip currents will continue tonight through Tuesday.

- Isolated to scattered onshore moving showers will be possible through Tuesday morning, with breezy conditions continuing tonight along the immediate coast, mainly south of the Cape.

- Dry conditions and slightly above normal temperatures forecast for the remainder of the holiday week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 224 PM EST Mon Dec 22 2025

Tonight-Tuesday...Weak frontal boundary will continue to slide south of the area and fade into tonight, with area of strong high pressure centered across the Mid-Atlantic states continuing a breezy onshore flow through sunset. While winds will diminish inland this evening, along the immediate coast from near the Cape southward, easterly winds up to 15-20 mph will still occur into tonight, with gusts up to 30 mph possible. Isolated to scattered, mostly light onshore moving showers will continue to be possible due to sufficient low level moisture combined with the breezy low level flow. However, PoPs remain rather low, only around 20-30 percent. A few onshore moving showers may continue along the Treasure Coast into Tuesday morning, but otherwise conditions look to remain mostly dry into tomorrow. Lows tonight will range from the upper 50s to low 60s across the interior, and in the mid to upper 60s along much of the coast. However, beachside areas may maintain temperatures in the low 70s where onshore wind speeds remain elevated. Highs into Tuesday will be in the mid to upper 70s across east central Florida.

Wednesday-Monday...High pressure across the northern Gulf will shift gradually eastward and across the region into late week and remain in place through much of the weekend. This will keep calm, dry and overall slightly warmer than normal conditions in place for several days. Highs will be in the upper 70s for most locations each day, with morning lows in the mid 50s to low 60s. With lighter winds forecast, patchy/areas of fog will become the main concern during the overnight and early morning hours. A cold front looks to then approach central Florida Sunday evening, crossing the area Sunday night into early Monday. Rain chances currently look to be limited with this frontal passage, but a few showers may be possible. NBM guidance and official forecast has highs dropping only slightly across northern areas Monday, in the low 70s, but some of the extended MOS guidance is even a little cooler. So there remains some uncertainty in the temperature forecast this far out.

MARINE

Issued at 224 PM EST Mon Dec 22 2025

Tonight-Tuesday...Hazardous boating conditions will exist across the coastal waters tonight, and then range from poor to hazardous Tuesday. A fresh to strong onshore breeze, with speeds up to 20-25 knots, will build seas to 7-9 feet tonight. Easterly winds then diminish to 10-20 knots Tuesday morning and then less than 15 knots Tuesday afternoon, with seas slowly subsiding, but remaining up to 6- 8 feet. The Small Craft Advisory (SCA) offshore expands to include the nearshore waters late this afternoon, and remains in place across the entire waters into tonight. The SCA then is eventually scaled back to only include the Treasure Coast and offshore Brevard County waters into the afternoon.

Isolated to scattered showers will develop across the adjacent Atlantic pushing onshore along the coast through tonight, and potentially continuing across the Treasure Coast waters Tuesday morning.

Wednesday-Saturday...Boating conditions will be more favorable through the remainder of the holiday week into early this weekend as high pressure builds in and remains in place across the area. N/NE winds through Thursday are forecast to become offshore Friday and Saturday, with speeds less than 15 knots. Seas are forecast to diminish from 3-5 feet Wednesday, to 2-4 feet into late week, and then increase back to 3-5 feet on Saturday. It will remain mostly dry over the waters, but can't rule out a few showers at times.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFs) Issued at 1225 PM EST Mon Dec 22 2025

VFR conditions are forecast at all east central Florida terminals through the remainder of today and into tomorrow. Breezy and gusty east-northeast winds persist areawide, with sustained wind speeds of 10 to 15 knots and gusts to 25 knots forecast. Isolated showers will be possible from TIX southward today, diminishing late tonight. Dry conditions then prevail into tomorrow. Winds become more easterly after 15Z tomorrow, with some gusts of 20 to 22 knots possible at the coastal terminals.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

DAB 61 76 55 75 / 20 0 0 0 MCO 62 78 57 78 / 20 0 0 0 MLB 65 77 60 76 / 30 10 0 0 VRB 64 77 60 78 / 30 10 0 0 LEE 59 79 55 78 / 10 0 0 0 SFB 61 78 56 78 / 20 0 0 0 ORL 61 78 57 78 / 20 0 0 0 FPR 65 77 59 78 / 30 20 0 0

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. AM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Tuesday for AMZ550.

Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Tuesday for AMZ552.

Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Tuesday for AMZ555.

Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Tuesday for AMZ570.

Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Tuesday for AMZ572-575.