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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 215 AM EDT Sun Apr 12 2026
- Rough surf and a High Risk for life-threatening rip currents will persist at area beaches today and into early this week. Entering the hazardous surf is discouraged.
- Poor to hazardous boating conditions continue across much of the coastal waters today into tonight as a moderate to fresh onshore breeze maintains seas up to 6-7 feet.
- Remaining dry over the next several days, with temperatures continuing to gradually warm through the upcoming week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 215 AM EDT Sun Apr 12 2026
Today-Tonight...High pressure center building offshore the northeast U.S. and extending down the eastern U.S. coast will maintain a breezy easterly flow across the area today. Airmass continues to dry out, so even with the gusty conditions not expecting any isolated onshore moving showers today. Wind speeds will increase to 15 to 20 mph this afternoon, with gusts as high as 25 to 30 mph. Highs will continue to be near normal values, ranging from the upper 70s at the coast and low 80s across the interior. Winds diminish into tonight, but may still remain up to 10-15 mph along the coast, south of the Cape. Overnight lows fall to the upper 50s/low 60s inland and remain mild in the mid to upper 60s along the coast.
Main hazard today that will continue into early this week will be rough surf and a High Risk for life-threatening rip currents at area beaches due to the breezy onshore flow maintaining a lingering elevated swell. Entering the surf is not advised.
Monday-Saturday...Warm and dry conditions generally forecast through the work week and into next weekend as high pressure remains in control of the local weather pattern. Onshore winds continue, but gradually decrease as ridge axis settles closer to the area allowing the pressure gradient to relax some. Wind speeds will still increase to 10 to 15 mph each day through midweek, and then are forecast to be closer to 5 to 10 mph late week/early weekend. Ridge aloft settles across Florida Monday and lingers across the area through much of the upcoming week, which will not only keep rain chances out of the forecast, but also allow a gradual warming trend to take hold. Highs early this week range from the upper 70s/low 80s at the coast and low to mid 80s across the interior and by late week and Saturday and forecast to reach the mid 80s at the coast and upper 80s to low 90s west of I-95. This may lead to near record max temps, well inland, mainly for Leesburg Friday and Saturday. Overnight lows will largely remain in the 60s, with some upper 50s possible over more rural inland locations through midweek.
MARINE
Issued at 215 AM EDT Sun Apr 12 2026
Today-Tonight...Strong high pressure extended along the eastern U.S. coast will maintain a moderate to fresh easterly breeze (up to 15-20 knots) across the coastal waters. This will maintain poor to hazardous boating conditions across much of adjacent Atlantic today into tonight, with seas remaining up to 5-7 feet. A Small Craft Advisory continues over the offshore waters of Brevard County and across the Treasure Coast waters where seas up to 7 feet will exist. Small craft will need to continue to exercise caution across the nearshore waters of Brevard County and offshore waters of Volusia County for seas up to 6 feet.
Monday-Thursday...High pressure remains in control of the local weather pattern, generally maintaining an onshore flow through the work week. Wind speeds will gradually decrease as high pressure settles across the West Atlantic and ridge axis extends north of the waters, relaxing the pressure gradient. However, east winds will still reach up to 15-20 knots south of the Cape at times into Monday/Monday night, with seas still up to 5-6 feet, continuing poor boating conditions for portions of the waters. By Tuesday, more favorable boating conditions are forecast as winds are forecast to range from 5-15 knots, and seas fall to 5 feet or less. Dry pattern will continue through the period, with no rainfall forecast.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFs) Issued at 119 AM EDT Sun Apr 12 2026
VFR conditions prevail at all ECFL terminals through the TAF period. Easterly flow continues, decreasing to 5-10 kts tonight then picking back up to 10-15 kts with gusts to 25 kts after 14Z, and settling to 5-10 kts again after 00Z. HREF still indicating low (20-30%) chances for fog development INVOF KLEE, but being driven by only 3 of the 10 members, and LAMP/NBM chances are essentially zero (less than 5%), so keeping FG mention out of the TAF. Mostly dry conditions.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 79 64 80 62 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 81 62 82 63 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 78 67 79 67 / 0 0 0 0 VRB 79 64 79 65 / 0 0 0 0 LEE 84 61 85 62 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 82 62 83 62 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 82 62 83 63 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 79 64 79 65 / 0 0 0 0
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. AM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Monday for AMZ555-572-575.
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