textproduct: Melbourne

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 315 PM EST Fri Jan 9 2026

- Dense fog will be possible across portions of east central Florida late tonight into Saturday morning.

- Warm and mostly dry conditions forecast again Saturday, then turning much cooler behind the next cold front Sunday night into Monday.

- Boating conditions will become hazardous behind the passing cold front Sunday afternoon into Sunday night.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 315 PM EST Fri Jan 9 2026

Currently...The isolated showers that pushed inland from the Treasure coast this morning dissipated early this afternoon. Smoke plumes from several prescribed burns can be seen on KMLB Doppler radar across EC FL. Temperatures have warmed into the lower 80s over the interior with a sea breeze holding coastal temperatures in the upper 70s/near 80.

Thru Sat...High pressure ridge axis will remain draped across central Florida with a light southerly breeze. Isolated showers may redevelop over the Atlc waters tonight and brush portions of the Treasure coast into Sat morning. Temperatures will remain above normal with mild overnight lows mainly in the lower 60s and highs Sat again reaching near record highs in the low-mid 80s interior and holding near 80F coast.

The primary concern will be patchy/areas of fog developing late tonight and early Sat. Lingering smoke from the numerous prescribed burns may mix with the fog and produce visibilities less than one half mile in spots. Sun-Mon...A cold front is forecast to cross the area during Sunday. Model guidance continues to show a small (20%) chance for showers across northern sections (Orlando north) assocd with the front. Rain chances are too low to mention to the south. The front should reach Lake and Volusia counties by late morning so max temps there will hold in the mid 70s. To the south, more heating will occur and max temps will reach the low to mid 80s.

A north wind shift will announce the frontal passage, becoming breezy to windy Sunday afternoon and continuing Sunday night, especially along the coast with gusts around 30 mph and 20-25 mph inland. The north winds will advect noticeably colder temperatures reaching the mid 40s north Lake/NW Volusia and 50s most elsewhere, except Treasure coast may hold in the lower 60s due to the quick veering of onshore flow there. There will be a bit of wind chill Sunday night as low as 40F in far NW sections. Max temps Monday will only reach the mid to upper 60s Orlando north and mid 70s around Lake O. Min temps Monday night look quite similar to the night before but with noticeably less wind.

Tue-Fri (modified)...Front will stall across the Straits of Florida Tuesday, with mostly dry conditions and a lighter onshore flow forecast. Model guidance then has this boundary lifting back northward into the Florida peninsula through midweek before an advancing trough shifts another strong cold front through the area late week. Increasing moisture with the northward moving front will lead to a rise in rain chances across the area, with a chance for showers both Wednesday and Thursday (around 40-50%). Highs on Tuesday warm slightly to the low to mid 70s and then range from the upper 60s to mid 70s Wednesday, before dropping to the mid 60s to low 70s on Thursday. Both GFS and ECMWF show sharply colder temperatures Thu night/Fri behind a strong cold front with lows in the 30s and lower 40s across most of the area Fri morning.

MARINE

Issued at 315 PM EST Fri Jan 9 2026

Favorable boating conditions will continue thru Sat as high pressure ridge axis remains nearby, producing S/SE winds less than 15 knots and seas 1-2 feet. Conditions will deteriorate Sunday behind a cold front. Northerly winds increase to 15-25 knots behind the front through Sunday night, building seas up to 6-9 feet. Poor to hazardous boating conditions will then continue into Monday as winds veer to the NE and gradually diminish from 15-20 knots in the morning to 10-15 knots in the afternoon, with seas holding at 7-9 feet in the Gulf Stream. Boating conditions are then forecast to improve into Tuesday as onshore winds decrease to 5-10 knots and seas fall to 3-5 feet. Winds turn offshore (west) Wed 10-15 knots with seas suppressed nearshore at 2 FT.

Isolated showers should redevelop over the Atlc tonight and early Sat, with an increase in shower coverage forecast with the passage of the front Sunday. A high coverage of showers and possibly isolated storms are forecast mid next week.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFs) Issued at 1253 PM EST Fri Jan 9 2026

VFR this afternoon and evening. Monitoring for fog once again tonight into early Saturday morning, and have included TEMPOs from 10Z/13Z across the interior terminals. South to southeast winds increase to around 7-10 kts across the interior and 9-12 kts along the coast today. Winds diminish to around 5 kts after sunset, becoming light and variable at times late tonight.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

DAB 61 81 59 74 / 10 10 0 20 MCO 62 82 62 79 / 0 0 10 20 MLB 63 79 61 78 / 10 10 10 10 VRB 63 80 60 80 / 20 20 10 10 LEE 61 81 59 73 / 0 0 10 20 SFB 61 82 61 77 / 0 0 0 20 ORL 62 82 62 77 / 0 0 0 20 FPR 62 81 60 80 / 20 20 10 10

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. AM...None.