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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 226 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025
- Offshore flow develops today but poor boating conditions will continue in the Gulf Stream. Conditions deteriorate in the Gulf Stream by Thu behind the next cold front. - Mostly dry weather is expected to continue through Sat, with coldest temperatures Thursday night dropping into the 40s most areas.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 226 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025
Today-Saturday... High pressure weakens locally today as a cold front moves into the eastern U.S. The front is forecast to pass central Florida Thursday with high pressure then rebuilding into late week. Past XMR soundings have shown a persistent layer of low level moisture below 700mb. This low level moisture column is forecast to slowly erode today allowing low clouds to clear. A drying trend continues Thursday as northerly winds develop behind the cold front. Outside of a few sprinkles early today, there is no mentionable precip forecast through late week. Afternoon highs near to just below seasonal today fall below average Thursday, ranging the mid 60s north of Orlando with upper 60s and lower 70s further south. This cool down will be brief as the area of high pressure rebuilds, and highs reach the mid to upper 70s across much of central Florida by Saturday. Lows in the mid 40s to low 50s Thursday morning cool into the low to mid 40s across the interior Friday morning with mid to upper 40s spreading much of the coast and across Martin county. Lows nudge back into the upper 40s and low 50s for most areas Saturday morning.
Sunday-Tuesday... The next cold front is forecast to pass the area late Sunday night or early Monday, and a strong area of high pressure is expected to quickly build in its wake. Increasing moisture from the south will allow low rain chances to return Sunday, primarily across Okeechobee and the Treasure Coast counties. Breezy northeast winds increase Monday behind the front with isolated to scattered showers forecast along the coast. Highs continue above average Sunday, ranging the mid to upper 70s. Cooler air builds Monday and Tuesday with afternoon temperatures falling into the low to mid 70s, but areas north of Orlando may only top out in the upper 60s Monday. Mid to upper 50s on Sunday morning fall into the low to mid 50s across much of the area Monday and Tuesday mornings. Slightly warmer along the coast and across Martin county.
MARINE
Issued at 226 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025
Small craft should exercise caution across the offshore waters today for seas up to 6 ft in the Gulf Stream. Light offshore winds increase 15-20 kts tonight, further increasing 20-25 kts offshore Volusia and offshore Brevard as a cold front approaches the waters. Winds then shift north-northwest behind the front early Thursday. Hazardous conditions build across the Gulf Stream tonight with seas increasing up to 7 ft. A Small Craft Advisory has been issued for all offshore zones beginning 1 AM Thursday. North-northwest winds diminish to 10-15 kts Thursday evening, becoming light and variable Friday as high pressure rebuilds across the waters. Seas up to 6 ft linger across the Gulf Stream Thursday night before favorable boating returns across the local Atlantic waters late week and into the weekend. Outside of widely isolated showers across the waters today, mostly dry conditions are forecast through the remainder of the week.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFs) Issued at 620 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025
High pressure will settle southward across the area today bringing drier air with it. Starting off with IFR CIGs MCO northward in very shallow and moist north flow. VFR conds will return later this morning as wind flow becomes uniformly westerly. Cannot rule out brief -SHRA/--SHRA at coastal terminals this morning. West wind speeds this afternoon near 10 knots so no significant crosswind forecast for MCO.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 70 50 65 43 / 10 0 0 0 MCO 71 52 66 45 / 10 0 0 0 MLB 74 52 69 48 / 10 0 0 0 VRB 76 50 70 48 / 10 0 0 0 LEE 69 50 65 42 / 10 0 0 0 SFB 72 50 66 44 / 10 0 0 0 ORL 71 52 66 45 / 10 0 0 0 FPR 77 50 71 47 / 10 0 0 0
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. AM...Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM to 7 PM EST Thursday for AMZ570- 572-575.
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