textproduct: Melbourne

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 145 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2026

- Rough surf and a High Risk for life-threatening rip currents will persist at area beaches today. Entering the hazardous surf is not advised.

- Poor to hazardous boating conditions will persist across much of the coastal waters today.

- Remaining dry over the next several days, with temperatures continuing to gradually warm through the week and into the weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 145 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2026

Today-Tonight...High pressure centered offshore the northeast U.S. coast will extend across north Florida today, allowing the pressure gradient to relax slightly. Breezy onshore winds around 15 mph will still develop this afternoon along the coast, south of the Cape, but will range from 10-15 mph elsewhere across east central Florida, with gusts up to 20-25 mph. Ridge aloft and dry airmass (PW values 0.5-0.7") will continue to expand across Florida, keeping rain chances out of the forecast. Onshore winds will keep warmest temps inland, with highs in the upper 70s to near 80 degrees along the coast and low 80s for much of the interior, except Lake County where mid 80s are forecast. Winds then diminish into tonight, but will still be 10-15 mph through this evening at coastal locations south of the Cape. Overnight lows will range from the upper 50s/low 60s across the interior and mid to upper 60s at the coast.

A moderate onshore breeze and lingering swells over the waters will maintain rough surf and a High Risk for life-threatening rip currents at area beaches today. Entering the surf is not advised.

Tuesday-Sunday...Ridge axis of high pressure over the Atlantic will remain north of the area through much of the week, gradually settling farther southward across central Florida late week and into the weekend. This will allow low level onshore winds to weaken and will combine with ridge aloft to keep a dry weather pattern in place and also continue a gradual warming trend over the next several days. Highs in the low to mid 80s into midweek, will increase to the mid to upper 80s across the interior Thursday, with low 90s then forecast across inland areas Friday and into the weekend. These temperatures will be near record values for inland sites, and can't rule out a tied or broken max temp, mainly at Leesburg Friday through Sunday. Lows each night will fall into the 60s.

MARINE

Issued at 145 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2026

Today-Tonight...Poor to hazardous boating conditions continue today into tonight, with dry conditions prevailing. Ridge axis of high pressure over the Atlantic will remain just north of the waters today, allowing the pressure gradient to relax slightly. However, easterly winds south of the Cape will still reach as high as 15-20 knots through this morning and again from late afternoon into this evening. Otherwise, onshore winds will generally be 10-15 knots, with seas up to 5-7 feet this morning gradually subsiding to 4-6 feet this afternoon and tonight.

In terms of headlines, a Small Craft Advisory continues across the southern Gulf Stream waters through this morning and has been extended slightly for the offshore marine zones of Brevard County and Treasure Coast waters through 10 AM. Small craft will then need to continue to exercise caution across much of the coastal waters through this afternoon and across the southern Gulf Stream waters tonight for seas up to 6 feet.

Tuesday-Friday...Ridge axis remains near to north of the waters through the remainder of the week, with onshore flow largely prevailing and decreasing to 5-15 knots. Seas diminish to 3-5 feet Tuesday/Wednesday and 3-4 feet into late week leading to more favorable boating conditions. Dry conditions forecast to continue through the next several days.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFs) Issued at 139 PM EDT Mon Apr 13 2026

VFR conditions through the TAF period. Easterly winds of 10-15 KT with gusts to 25 KT this afternoon. Winds then settle back to 5-10 KT after 00Z (closer to 10 KT along the coast from MLB southward). East to southeast winds will increase to 8-12 KT by mid morning with gusts to 15-20 KT, especially along the coast from MLB southward. Dry conditions through the period.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 145 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2026

Onshore winds decrease slightly through early this week as high pressure ridge settles closer to the area. However, easterly winds will still become breezy this afternoon south of the Cape, around 15 mph, with speeds closer to 10-15 mph elsewhere across east central Florida today and again on Tuesday. Wind gusts will reach up to 20- 25 mph today and around 20 mph on Tuesday. Dry conditions are forecast to prevail through the work week, with a gradual warming trend taking place over the next several days. Min RH values as low as 35-40 percent will be possible across Lake County today and Tuesday, and may then drop to more critical values in the low to mid 30s near to west of the I-4 corridor into mid to late week. However, onshore winds will be even weaker across the interior during this time frame, around 5-10 mph. Dispersion values will be Very Good today and Good to Very Good on Tuesday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

DAB 63 81 61 81 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 63 84 61 84 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 67 79 66 79 / 0 0 0 0 VRB 65 80 63 80 / 0 0 0 0 LEE 61 86 61 86 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 61 84 60 84 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 63 84 62 85 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 65 80 62 80 / 0 0 0 0

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. AM...None.


IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.

textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.