textproduct: Melbourne

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 240 AM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

- Summer-like sea breeze pattern, with scattered (locally numerous) afternoon and evening showers and lightning storms, will persist into next week. Main threats will be lightning strikes, gusty winds 40-50 mph, and locally heavy rainfall from slow-moving storms.

- Hot and humid conditions will lead to heat indices 100-107 and a Moderate to Major HeatRisk. Residents and visitors should remain well-hydrated and seek breaks in the shade or A/C during the heat of the day. For more info about HeatRisk and heat safety tips, visit Heat.gov.

- A moderate risk of life-threatening rip currents persists at all central Florida Atlantic beaches. Always swim near a lifeguard and never enter the water alone!

DISCUSSION

Issued at 240 AM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Current-Tonight...Very warm and humid conditions continue with scattered (locally numerous) afternoon and evening showers and lightning storms. High pressure ridging remains situated south of central FL. Light SW/W flow with winds eventually "backing" onshore at the coast with sea breeze formation and slow inland push. The late day/early evening sea breeze collision will occur across the eastern peninsula with a light westerly storm steering flow which may bring storms back to at least the Volusia/Space coasts during the evening hours. Primary storm impacts remain frequent lightning strikes, torrential downpours, gusty winds 40-50 mph, and small hail. Quick 2-3" (localized 4") downpours are possible with stronger and slower-moving storms. This will produce considerable ponding of water on roadways and other poorly drained surfaces. Activity will gradually diminish mid-late evening with mostly dry conditions overnight as skies slowly thin.

Afternoon highs ahead of precipitation will reach the L-M90s. Peak heat indices 101-107F. If you will be engaged in any outdoor activities, drink plenty of water, take frequent breaks indoors or in the shade, and protect yourself from the sun by wearing sunscreen and a hat. NEVER leave children or pets unattended in a hot vehicle for any length of time! Mild and muggy conditions continue at night with lows mostly in the M-U70s.

Mon-Sat...There remains little change to the weather pattern across ECFL, with high pressure ridging well southward into late week. Daily light SW/W winds transition onshore each afternoon at the coast with sea breeze formation. Fairly deep moisture remains across the region. Storm steering flow remains either light westerly or light/variable at times. Late day/early evening sea breeze collisions favor the eastern FL peninsula. SCT to locally numerous showers/storms will develop in the afternoon, then gradually diminish thru the evening and/or push off of the east coast. Lightning strikes, torrential downpours with minor/nuisance flooding, and locally gusty winds will continue to be the primary concerns.

High temps continue in the L-M90s with overnight lows in the 70s with conditions humid. A Moderate to Major HeatRisk will occur each day. Peak heat indices will average between 100-107F areawide. For more info about HeatRisk and heat safety tips, visit Heat.gov.

MARINE

Issued at 240 AM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

The surface ridge axis remains shunted across the southern FL peninsula/FL Straits thru next week. This will promote an offshore flow, though winds will "back" south in the afternoons and SE/ESE along the immediate coast with sea breeze formation. Wind speeds generally 10-15 kts, but could surge higher briefly in the evenings offshore (15-18 kts). Seas 2-3 ft.

Of primary concern will be a persistent pattern of offshore-moving showers and lightning storms each late afternoon/evening. Storm threats will be frequent cloud-to-water lightning, gusty winds in excess of 34 kts, and torrential downpours. Winds/seas locally higher invof storms.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFs) Issued at 655 AM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Light southwest winds areawide this morning, becoming more southeasterly this afternoon after 17Z along the coast as the east coast sea breeze develops. Increasing coverage of showers and storms is forecast beyond 17Z, peaking around 20Z as the sea breeze collision occurs. TEMPOs have been added at DAB, TIX, MCO, and SFB for VIS and CIG reductions due to TSRA between 20-24Z. Additional terminals may need to be added, so will continue to monitor. Activity diminishes after 03Z areawide with light southwest winds prevailing overnight.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

DAB 93 76 92 76 / 50 30 50 20 MCO 93 76 93 76 / 40 20 30 10 MLB 91 77 93 77 / 60 50 50 40 VRB 92 75 93 75 / 60 40 50 40 LEE 93 78 92 78 / 30 10 30 10 SFB 95 77 94 77 / 50 20 40 10 ORL 93 77 93 77 / 40 20 30 10 FPR 91 75 92 74 / 60 40 50 30

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. AM...None.