textproduct: Melbourne

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 335 AM EST Sun Feb 1 2026

- Blustery and very cold conditions to start this morning. A Freeze Warning and a rare Extreme Cold Warning are in effect for all of east central Florida through this morning and again tonight into Monday morning. Dangerous wind chill values of 9 to 15 degrees and a hard freeze with low temperatures in the 20s are forecast this morning, and wind chill values of 14 to 20 degrees and a hard freeze with low temperatures in the 20s are forecast Monday morning.

- Dangerous boating conditions continue this morning, with a Gale Warning persisting through early this afternoon. Mariners should remain in port. Poor to hazardous boating conditions will linger into early next week.

- A High Risk for rip currents and rough surf exists at area beaches and will continue through early this week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 335 AM EST Sun Feb 1 2026

Currently...Gusty northwest winds continue to transport the cold and much drier arctic airmass into the region this morning. Temperatures have fallen below freezing and have already broke daily records for most locations. Wind chills are already in the teens to low 20s. Lows are forecast to bottom out around the low to mid 20s, threatening coldest temperatures on record for the month of February! Wind chills as low as 9 to 15 degrees are forecast around daybreak. The Extreme Cold Warning continues through 10 AM this morning and the Freeze Warning for hard freeze conditions continues through 11 AM this morning. If heading outdoors this morning, make sure to dress warmly as these dangerously cold conditions can lead to frostbite and hypothermia.

Today-Monday...Strong nor'easter off the Mid-Atlantic coast will continue to lift north-northeast today, with west-northwest winds gradually decreasing. However, winds will still remain breezy around 15-20 mph, with gusts up to 25-30 mph. Temperatures will remain much colder than normal, with highs not making it out of the 40s for most areas. Northwest winds will diminish further into tonight, but still reside around 5-10 mph (highest along the coast). Another very cold night is in store, with damaging hard freeze conditions again forecast as lows fall into the 20s. While winds will be lighter they will still produce very cold wind chills as low as 14 to 20 degrees. A Freeze Warning for the hard freeze conditions and an Extreme Cold Warning for the dangerously low wind chills remains in place for all of east central Florida tonight from 7 PM this evening through 10 AM Monday morning. People and pets with inadequate shelter or heat will face a risk of frostbite and hypothermia. Exposed pipes may freeze, and some non-native plants and trees will succumb to the elements if not properly protected.

High pressure builds in from the west into tomorrow, with northwest winds around 5-15 mph. Temperatures will rise a little more, but still be well below normal, with highs in the 50s. Lows Monday night/early Tuesday morning look to again reach freezing for many locations, as they fall into the upper 20s to low 30s. Lighter winds and clear skies will also make for more favorable conditions for areas to widespread frost to form, even for locations that don't quite reach the freezing mark.

Tuesday-Sunday...High pressure across the area Tuesday shifts eastward through midweek, with ridge axis remaining across the area. Temperatures will continue to gradually climb, with highs reaching into the 60s Tuesday and 70s (near normal values) into Wednesday. Patchy/areas of frost may still be possible into Wednesday morning, mainly across the interior where lows are forecast to fall as low as the mid to upper 30s. Lows Wednesday night are then forecast to at least remain above the 40 degree mark. However, another cold front will approach and move through the area Thursday. While this front will not be as potent as the one that just moved through the area, it will still lead to another round of much colder/potentially freezing temperatures for some inland rural spots into Thursday night/Friday morning. Rain chances will also increase ahead of the front into Wednesday night, up to 30-60%, with rain chances lingering through Thursday. Instability looks too low to mention any thunderstorm potential at this time.

Another cold front looks to move through during the weekend, but may be even weaker. Still, temperatures look to remain near to below normal, with dry conditions generally forecast.

MARINE

Issued at 335 AM EST Sun Feb 1 2026

Today-Tonight...Gale Warning continues across the entire coastal waters through 1PM this afternoon as dangerous boating conditions persist. A tight pressure gradient produced by the strong nor'easter off the Mid-Atlantic coast will continue to generate strong NW winds around 30-40 knots, with gusts up to 40-45 knots through daybreak. Winds gradually decrease through the day out of the NW as strong low pressure shifts farther north-northeast. Wind speeds drop to around 25-35 knots this morning and then 15-25 knots into the afternoon. The Gale Warning transitions to a Small Craft Advisory for the entire waters after 1PM, with hazardous boating conditions continuing through tonight. Seas this morning will continue to build up to 11-17 feet offshore, with seas closer to 6-10 feet nearshore. Wave heights will only slow fall through the day into tonight, with seas decreasing to 8-14 feet offshore this afternoon and 7-11 feet into tonight.

Monday-Thursday...High pressure builds in from the west and across Florida early this week. This will allow N/NW winds and seas to continue to gradually decrease. Still, poor to hazardous boating conditions will continue into Monday and Monday night. Wind speeds will decrease from 15-25 knots in the morning to 10-20 knots in the afternoon and then generally less than 15 knots into the overnight hours Monday night. The Small Craft Advisory across the entire waters will gradually trim back to just the Gulf Stream waters into the afternoon, as winds/seas continue to gradually diminish.

Boating conditions will continue to gradually improve through Tuesday and Wednesday as high pressure shifts eastward, with ridge axis remaining across central FL. Another cold front will then approach the waters Wednesday night and through the waters Thursday, with boating conditions once again becoming poor to hazardous.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFs) Issued at 620 AM EST Sun Feb 1 2026

VFR conditions prevail through the TAF period. Breezy/gusty conditions through the afternoon with northwest winds 10-15 kts gusting to 25 kts. Winds and gusts subside in the evening, dropping to 12 kts or less between 20Z-00Z, and 5-10 kts overnight. Winds remain out of the northwest Monday picking up to 10-15 kts with a few gusts to 20-25 kts in the afternoon.

CLIMATE

Issued at 335 AM EST Sun Feb 1 2026

Sunday, February 1st: RECORD NORMAL RECORD NORMAL DATE LOWS LOWS COOL-HIGHS HIGHS Daytona Beach (DAB) 1-Feb 30 1936 49 47 1980 70 Leesburg (LEE) 1-Feb 30 1979 50 52 1978 71 Sanford (SFB) 1-Feb 30 1965 51 46 1977 72 Orlando (MCO) 1-Feb 28 1936 51 48 1936 73 Melbourne (MLB) 1-Feb 32 1966 52 55 1948 72 Vero Beach (VRB) 1-Feb 29 1966 53 56 1966 74 Fort Pierce (FPR) 1-Feb 32 1909 52 54 1936 74

Monday, February 2nd: RECORD NORMAL RECORD NORMAL DATE LOWS LOWS COOL-HIGHS HIGHS Daytona Beach (DAB) 2-Feb 32 1980 50 51 1980 70 Leesburg (LEE) 2-Feb 29 1980 50 48 1980 71 Sanford (SFB) 2-Feb 33 1980 51 49 1980 72 Orlando (MCO) 2-Feb 32 1980 51 54 1951 73 Melbourne (MLB) 2-Feb 33 1980 52 55 1994 73 Vero Beach (VRB) 2-Feb 34 1980 53 55 1980 74 Fort Pierce (FPR) 2-Feb 34 1980 52 57 1994 74

All Time February Records: RECORD RECORD LOWS COOL-HIGHS Daytona Beach (DAB) 24 02/18/1958 43 02/09/1947 Leesburg (LEE) 23 02/26/1967 42 02/05/1996 Sanford (SFB) 25 02/18/1958 38 02/03/1951 Orlando (MCO) 19 02/07/1895 39 02/08/1895 Melbourne (MLB) 27 02/26/1967 43 02/09/1947 Vero Beach (VRB) 28 02/24/1989 46 02/09/1947 Fort Pierce (FPR) 25 02/05/1996 43 02/04/1917

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

DAB 44 25 54 31 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 46 28 55 34 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 47 25 56 34 / 0 0 0 0 VRB 48 26 57 32 / 0 0 0 0 LEE 45 26 55 32 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 44 26 55 32 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 45 29 55 35 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 49 25 57 31 / 0 0 0 0

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...Wind Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for FLZ041-044>046-053- 058-141-144-154-159-164-247-254-259-264-347-447-547-647-747.

Extreme Cold Warning until 10 AM EST this morning for FLZ041- 044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159-164-247-254-259-264-347-447- 547-647-747.

Extreme Cold Warning from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Monday for FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159-164-247-254-259- 264-347-447-547-647-747.

Freeze Warning until 11 AM EST this morning for FLZ041-044>046- 053-058-141-144-154-159-164-247-254-259-264-347-447-547-647- 747.

Freeze Warning from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Monday for FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159-164-247-254-259-264- 347-447-547-647-747.

AM...Gale Warning until 1 PM EST this afternoon for AMZ550-552-555- 570-572-575.

Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 10 AM EST Monday for AMZ550.

Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 1 PM EST Monday for AMZ552.

Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 10 PM EST Monday for AMZ555-570-572-575.