textproduct: Melbourne

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 233 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2026

- Rough surf and a High Risk for life-threatening rip currents will persist at area beaches through early week. Entering the hazardous surf is discouraged.

- Poor to hazardous boating conditions continue across much of the coastal waters this afternoon into tonight as a moderate to fresh onshore breeze maintains seas up to 6-7 feet.

- Remaining dry over the next several days, with temperatures continuing to gradually warm through the upcoming week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 233 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2026

Today-tonight... Upper level high pressure across the Gulf will slowly shift eastward over the Florida peninsula through the day. The surface high pressure over the eastern seaboard will push off the coast and into the western Atlantic today as a low pressure system forms across the northern US and southern Canada and begins to move slightly towards the east. The ridge axis will remain in place across the Florida peninsula, resulting in easterly flow prevailing. Winds will increase to 15 to 20 mph this afternoon, with gusts as high as 25 to 30 mph, as the east coast sea breeze forms and pushes inland before becoming light once again tonight. Drier air continues to filter across the area, with forecast PW values ranging from 0.5-0.7" this afternoon. Due to this drier air, no mentionable rain chances are forecast today, not even in the breezy onshore flow. Temperatures will be near normal today, with afternoon highs in the upper 70s along the coast, and low 80s across the interior. Overnight lows will be in upper 50s to low 60s. At the beaches, rough surf and a High Risk for life-threatening rip currents continue at all area beaches due to the breezy onshore flow maintaining a lingering elevated swell. Entering the surf is not advised.

Monday-Saturday... Upper level high pressure will continue to build over the Gulf and over the Florida peninsula through the period as a trough across the western US/Great Plains region begins to flatten once again as it shifts eastward towards the Midwest and then offshore the eastern US into mid week. Another trough will develop and deepen over the western US into late week as it shifts eastward towards the Midwest into the weekend. Surface high pressure offshore the eastern seaboard on Monday will gradually shift southward through the period with the ridge axis remaining over the Florida peninsula. A surface front across the Midwest extending towards TX that is associated with the second trough (late week) will shift east and southward towards the Florida peninsula into the weekend. However, the trough and the front will likely remain north of the area due to insufficient forcing. Will continue to monitor trends with that system. The drier air, forecast PW values remaining less than 1.0", coupled with light onshore flow and subsidence, will yield very low (10% or less) rain chances through the period. The warming trend continues, with afternoon highs ranging from low to mid 80s on Monday, to mid 80s to low 90s on Saturday. Overnight lows will be in the 60s.

MARINE

Issued at 233 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2026

Today-Tonight... Poor to hazardous boating conditions will persist across the central Florida Atlantic today. High pressure continuing to build over the eastern seaboard and western Atlantic will slacken the pressure gradient and maintains east winds at 15-20 KT. Seas will be 5-7ft today. A Small Craft Advisory continues over the offshore waters of Brevard County and across the Treasure Coast waters where seas up to 7 feet will exist. Small craft will need to continue to exercise caution across the nearshore waters of Brevard County and offshore waters of Volusia County for seas up to 6 feet.

Monday-Thursday... High pressure shifts into the subtropical Atlantic while the ridge axis remains pinned over the Florida peninsula. This will allow the pressure gradient to further loosen, resulting in easterly winds becoming mostly 5-15 KT with occasional pushes towards 15-20 KT south of the Cape. Seas 5-6 feet Monday will continue poor boating conditions for portions of the waters. By Tuesday, more favorable boating conditions are forecast as winds are forecast to range from 5-15 knots, and seas fall to 5 feet or less. Mostly dry conditions forecast.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFs) Issued at 720 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2026

VFR conditions persist. Easterly winds prevail at 5 to 10 knots tonight, picking up tomorrow morning to 10 to 15 knots with gusts to 25 knots possible, especially at the coastal terminals. Dry through the forecast period. No VIS or CIG concerns.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

DAB 64 80 62 81 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 62 82 63 84 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 67 79 67 80 / 0 0 0 0 VRB 65 80 65 80 / 0 0 0 0 LEE 61 85 62 86 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 62 83 62 85 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 62 83 63 85 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 64 80 65 80 / 0 0 0 0

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. AM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Monday for AMZ555-572-575.


IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.

textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.