textproduct: Newport/Morehead City

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Dry with above normal temperatures this week.

2) A strong front will move through the area late week into the first part of the weekend. Cooler and drier weather behind the front, along with gusty N-NW winds which could bring dangerous marine conditions and coastal impacts.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...High pressure builds in from the west through most of this week. Temps will gradually warm through the week as heights build. By mid to late week highs will again be back into the 80s for most of the area. A backdoor front will eventually cross the FA THU, but at this time just looks to be a wind shift with the column ahead of, along, and near the front being almost completely devoid of moisture.

KEY MESSAGE 2...A stronger cold front will push through the area Friday night, with strong high pressure building in for the weekend. Front looks moisture starved, but could bring sct shower chances. Cooler and drier airmass will build into the region this weekend, feeling like fall, with highs mainly in the 60s and lows in the 40s/50s. N-NW winds continue to trend a bit stronger behind the front, which could bring dangerous marine conditions along with the potential for minor coastal impacts. Though too soon for any specifics.

AVIATION /09Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

Light winds and mostly clear skies allow for ample radiational cooling and fog formation early this morning. Latest obs show that vsby is already being impacted at EWN, PGV and OAJ. Remaining terminals will likely see IFR vsbys by 10z. Fog should dissipate by 13z, then VFR conditions prevail for the remainder of the 06z/13 TAF period as high pressure continues to build into the area. Light winds forecast. Patchy fog will be possible again overnight and early Wed morning.

Outlook (Wed through Sat): Pred VFR conditions expected through the period as high pressure builds in.

MARINE

Latest obs show variable winds 5-10 kt with seas mainly 2-4 ft. High pressure will continue to build westward over the waters today and tonight. NW-NE winds become SSW this evening and 5-15 kt overnight.

Outlook (Wed through Sat): High pres builds through mid-week with pleasant boating conditions expected. A backdoor front will push through the waters Thursday, then a stronger front Friday night. Strong N-NNW winds expected behind the front this weekend, and will likely see SCA conditions with potential for Gales, along with 6 ft+ seas.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NC...None. MARINE...None.