textproduct: Newport/Morehead City

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Earlier patchy fog has dissipated at this time and will be fleeting the rest of the morning.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Patchy fog dissipating this morning.

2) Scattered typical summertime afternoon and evening shower and storm chances return on Monday through the coming week.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...Earlier concerns about fog in areas that received rain yesterday were realized for a couple of hours, especially along highway 17. At this time, fog has dissipated and all observations remain clear at this time. Do not anticipate further fog this morning but some fleeting patchy fog can't be ruled out.

KEY MESSAGE 2...High pres shifts offshore early next week, while another shortwave swings ewrd acrs the Great Lakes and Mid Atlantic region. This will drag a cold front into the Southeast, but as is typical this time of year, the front gets hung up inland from the coast. Returning rich low level moisture in tandem with the inland front and sea breeze will act to kick off showers and storms Monday afternoon, mainly inland zones along and west of the sea breeze. Hot and humid conditions return as well, though heat indices should remain below the 105 degree threshold attm. The daily shower/storm chances remain through mid week with no higher than chc/sct mention (30-50%). Little shear in place so any storms should remain sub severe. Temps will be slightly above climo. Breeziest day looks to be Monday with aforementioned front to the west and tightened thermal gradient.

AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

VFR conditions through the rest of this morning as ridging brings a period of light to calm winds inland, which will be paired with generally clear skies. Light winds below 10 kt will cont this afternoon with high pressure in the vicinity.

Outlook (Sun through Wed): Overnight fog and stratus threat possible each morning. Weekend will be dry with high pres and predominant VFR expected. Next rain chances will be on Monday afternoon evening in form of typical diurnal thundershowers. The daily shower/storm threat will cont through mid week.

MARINE

All Marine hazard products have expired at this time.

Winds will turn nwrly then nerly this morning behind the departing low. For this weekend, light winds and low seas bring pleasant boating conditions with high pres in vicinity.

Outlook (Sun through Wed): On Mon, s to swrly gradient inc due to front approaching from the west and tightening of the thermal gradient. This will kick up nearshore winds to 25+ kt with SCA's likely needed for much of the marine domain including inland sounds and rivers. By Tue winds and seas return to below SCA levels, with just a typical uptick in late afternoon, early evening winds due to daily weak thermal gradient.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NC...None. MARINE...None.