textproduct: Newport/Morehead City

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Areas of fog and stratus this morning.

2) Return to more seasonable September temps for the beginning of the week.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...Lingering low level moisture, light winds and recent rainfall have lead to areas of fog and stratus developing across portions of the area this morning. Locally dense fog will be possible along and west of Hwy 17 through sunrise, with vsbys and cigs gradually improving mid morning.

KEY MESSAGE 2...Behind the front, temperatures and humidity will finally get knocked down closer to normal for early September, with more comfortable conditions lasting into early next week. Still some residual moisture lingering today and will likely see sct showers and iso storms this afternoon and early evening. Best chances across the south and southwest forecast area. Then heading into early week, the trend is drier as high pressure builds in from the north. Highs in the mid 80s with lows in the 60s is fcst and is where our temps should be for the first half of September.

AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

Fog and low stratus beginning to develop across the area early this morning. High confidence in widespread IFR or lower conditions developing with low vsbys and cigs through 12-13z. Cigs will slowly lift through day, likely returning to VFR by late morning and early afternoon. Scattered showers and iso storms expected this afternoon and early evening. Any convection should dissipate with loss of heating. Sub-VFR cigs may redevelop overnight and early Mon morning.

NOTE: AMD NOT SKED has been appended to the EWN TAFs as the site is not transmitting through normal channels. The site is still reporting via telephone so it will be monitored, but not as frequently as when it is completely operational. The next closest ASOS is at Cherry Point (KNKT).

Outlook (Monday through Thursday): High pressure will build in from the north through mid week. Pred VFR conditions expected, with potential for periods of sub-VFR conditions.

MARINE

Cold front will continue to sink southward through the southern waters early this morning. Latest obs show N-NE winds 5-15 kt behind the front and W-NW ahead of it, with seas 2-3 ft. NE-ENE winds will increase to 10-20 kt today with seas building to 2-4 ft. Winds will continue to strengthen tonight 15-25 kt with seas building to 4-6 ft. SCAs continue for the coastal waters beginning tonight.

Outlook (Mon through Thu): Moderate to gusty NE winds 15-25 kt will continue into Monday, with seas building to 4-8 ft, highest across the outer waters. SCA conditions expected. Winds and seas will begin to ease Tuesday and Wed as high pressure builds in. SW winds 5-15 kt return Wed night and Thu with seas 2-3 ft.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NC...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 2 AM Monday to midnight EDT Monday night for AMZ150. Small Craft Advisory from 2 AM Monday to noon EDT Tuesday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory from 5 AM Monday to 2 PM EDT Tuesday for AMZ156-158.