textproduct: Medford

KEY MESSAGES

* Slightly above normal (~5 degrees) temperatures continue this weekend

* Below normal to normal temperatures expected for much of next week

* Rainfall chances increase early next week and again middle of the week but amounts have trended downward

DISCUSSION

Overall, the weather continues to showcase an overall low impact forecast through next week. The upper level pattern is noted by mostly zonal flow aloft. We are still anticipating temperatures to be slightly above normal for this time of year even as a cold front passes through the region today. Not expecting any measurable precipitation with this front as it appears to be a dry front. Temperatures will be about 12 degrees cooler today compared to yesterday, but highs across the region will be about 5 degrees above normal through this weekend. Temperatures then trend below normal to near normal for much of next week.

A stronger system moves into the area on Monday. Model consensus stalls the system out over the Pacific right before moving inland becoming a cut-off low. Then a split flow pattern develops with this low sagging south, and eventually making its way inland over southern California. This path is not favorable for rainfall for much of the forecast area. In fact, QPF continues to trend downward with very little rainfall now anticipated Monday/Monday night as the system nudges toward the coast. Only trace amounts to maybe a few hundreths are now expected. There does appear to be better chances for measurable precipitation middle of the week as wrap around moisture advects northward from the low that is progged to move over southern California.

AVIATION (18Z TAFs)

Low clouds impacting both KOTH and KRBG are expected to dissipate this afternoon which will lead to VFR conditions for all terminals through the rest of this TAF cycle. High clouds will be present across the region along typical diurnal wind speeds.

MARINE...Updated 100 AM PDT Saturday, October 17, 2026

Conditions will be hazardous to small craft this afternoon. Then, swells will continue to build with some hazardous seas late this afternoon into Sunday. Seas are expected to briefly lower Sunday night. Then, Monday evening and night, west swell builds into the area. This swell will likely be hazardous to small craft with steep seas Monday night and Tuesday morning.

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OR...CA...None.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM PDT Sunday for PZZ350-356-370-376.

Hazardous Seas Warning until 5 AM PDT Sunday for PZZ356-376.