textproduct: Medford
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
DISCUSSION (Today through Saturday)
Key Points:
* Little to no impacts expected with mostly quiet weather
* Light precipitation chances ending today
* Monday: Morning fog for westside valleys and some eastside areas
* Forecast turns dry with above normal temperatures this week - Warmest days will be Tuesday - Thursday - Record warmth possible for Alturas and Klamath Falls - Brookings may approach 70 degrees on Wednesday
Further Details:
Weak PVA aloft coupled with moisture advection has brought light precipitation to the area. By far and large, little to no impacts are expected with this progressive pattern. The forecast turns largely dry the upcoming week with above normal temperatures. In fact, high temperature records may be met at Alturas (Feb 4th/5th) and Klamath Falls (Feb 5th). Records are 65 (Feb 4th) and 64 (Feb 5th) for Alturas. Record is 59 for Klamath Falls. Each of these days we are forecasting high temperatures within a degree or two of these records.
A Rex Block (high pressure on the poleward side of a closed low) sets up at 500mb over the west coast starting Tuesday. This will keep the pattern stagnant through much of next week. The high of this Rex Block will be centered over the forecast area through middle parts of the week which will help aid our above normal temperatures for this time of year and dry conditions. This pattern does appear to break down Thursday into Friday as a closed low develops over the Pacific and enter the PacNW. This will bring our next chance at precipitation starting Saturday morning. A lot will depend on the strength of the high as this low could get pushed to the north. At this time, we are not seeing any noteworthy impacts, but we will need to keep an eye on snow levels and wind speeds. A lot will depend on the track of the low, but we have several days to analyze these details leading up to next weekend. All that said, not expecting widespread hazardous weather at this time.
-Guerrero
AVIATION (18Z TAFs)
IFR and LIFR conditions are present along the Oregon coast but are expected to clear out before the afternoon. VFR levels are generally expected across the area this afternoon through the end of the TAF period. West side valleys may see some patchy fog late tonight into early Monday morning, with the highest chances in the Umpqua Valley. Anything that develops overnight would most likely clear out on Monday morning.
-TAD
MARINE...Updated 200 PM PST Saturday, January 31, 2026
A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for all of the waters through early Tuesday morning.
Southerly winds continue but ease slightly into Monday. Westerly swell will support steep seas going into the early hours of Tuesday morning. A brief period of below advisory seas is expected until another round of westerly swell arrives during the day Wednesday, which may keep seas steep into the wnd of the week. Active weather could return over the weekend.
-TAD
MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...CA...None.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM PST Tuesday for PZZ350-356-370-376.
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