textproduct: Medford

KEY MESSAGES

* High impact marine weather lasting through the weekend, including very large and dangerous surf conditions.

* Inland, low to moderate impacts from strong winds and rainfall; minimal impacts from snow occuring mainly above 5000 feet.

* Another similar front arrives Saturday night into Sunday.

* A third front arrives TUesday night into Wednesday, with lower snow levels likely.

DISCUSSION

The front is passing over the area, and is currently lying right along the Cascades. As the front passes, precipitation will transition to showers, and winds will decrease. Showers will then continue through tonight, mainly along and west of the Cascades, but will not come to a complete end before the next front arrives.

This next front will move in Saturday night into Sunday. This will bring another round of gusty south winds and beneficial rainfall. Right now, the strongest winds look to occur over the coastal waters and the immediate coast with perhaps some advisory level winds over the interior, namely in the Shasta Valley where an Advisory has recently been issued. Confidence is too low for other areas to reach headline criteria, but it may be very close along the coast. Models do show the winds weakening quickly as the front crosses the Cascades, so winds east of the Cascades will be breezy, but are not expected to reach issuance levels. Once again, snow levels will be too high for significant winter impacts.

Things look like they'll settle down a bit on Monday/Tuesday before the next front moves in Tuesday night into Wednesday. This will be another wet and windy front, but will be colder, and snow levels may lower to around 3500 ft. This would result in winter impacts over the higher passes, where several inches of snow are possible. Will need to further evaluate this event as it approaches, but anyone expecting to travel during this time should be prepared for potential winter delays and impacts.

Model solutions and climate outlooks suggest that the active pattern continues through hat least the end of next week.

AVIATION...14/00Z TAFs

Rainfall continues across northern California, with activity more abundant east of the Cascades as a cold front heads out of the area. Observations show gusty winds continuing over elevated areas as well. While area terminals are generally showing VFR levels under mid- to high-level ceilings, periods of lower flight levels will be possible through the night as post-frontal showers continue. These showers can locally lower ceilings and visibilities as well as obscure terrain.

Activity eases by late Saturday morning, but winds over terrain start to develop as another cold front approaches. This front may impact conditions Saturday night into Sunday. -TAD

MARINE...Updated 1100 AM PST Friday, November 13, 2026

A low moving inland to the north, will result in continued strong, gusty winds into this evening. Winds up to gales are expected from Cape Blanco northward. Meanwhile, a long period, very large west swell is building into the waters through tonight. This will bring very steep and very dangerous conditions to the waters. Seas are expected to peak at 25 to 30 feet at 18 to 19 seconds, and will impact all waters this evening into Saturday morning.

A second strong front is expected Saturday afternoon and night. Models have trended higher on winds, indicating southerly winds up to storm force (gusts 50-60 kt) with this front. Long period west swell combined with building wind seas will bring very steep and very hazardous seas of 18 to 23 feet during this period.

Winds lower late Saturday night into early Sunday morning. Then, another long period swell arrives Sunday afternoon and night with seas at or above 20 feet at 18 seconds.

Mariners are urged to remain in port during this period of extremely dangerous weather, secure vessels and continue to monitor forecasts for updates.

BEACH HAZARDS...Updated 200 PM PST Friday, November 13, 2026

Dangerous conditions are expected along area beaches today through Monday evening. Very large long period westerly swell will peak at 25 to 30 feet, causing breaking waves in the surf zone of 30 to 35 feet tonight into Saturday morning. This will cause exceptionally high and dangerous surf conditions, with completely inundated beaches, and potential dune overwash and erosion. Surf heights may lower somewhat Saturday night, but another large long period swell is anticipated behind a second front Sunday. Breakers in the surf zone could reach 25-30 feet and persist Sunday night into Monday evening.

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OR...Wind Advisory from noon Saturday to 1 PM PST Sunday for ORZ029>031.

High Surf Warning until 10 PM PST Monday for ORZ021-022.

CA...Wind Advisory from noon Saturday to 1 PM PST Sunday for CAZ081- 084-085.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Hazardous Seas Warning until 1 PM PST Saturday for PZZ350-356-370-376.

Storm Warning from 1 PM Saturday to 1 AM PST Sunday for PZZ350- 356-370-376.

Gale Warning until 7 PM PST this evening for PZZ350-370.