textproduct: Medford

DISCUSSION (Today through Saturday)

Key Points:

* Minor impacts over the next several days

* Temperatures near normal today but turn above normal Monday onward

* Precipitation signal is low but a couple chances this week - Wednesday: very low probabilities - Fri/Sat: Slightly better chance but uncertainty exists

Further Details:

Zonal to northwesterly flow aloft will be common through this next week. There will be an approaching trough on Wednesday which could bring a small chance for precipitation, but uncertainty remains and ensembles continue to show many dry members. Previously coastal areas had a better chances, but now this trough slightly more negatively tilted producing PoPs on the eastside. The takeaway here is that most of the area will likely be dry with this trough. Confidence is low on exactly where these low end chances will exist. As of now, the signal is for eastside areas across both northern Klamath and Lake counties, but it wont take much change in this trough to produce different outcome as we have already seen.

Then a potential stronger upper level trough comes into the region Friday/Saturday which could bring further chances for precipitation. However, the stronger dynamics and better moisture field will be north of our area. That said, there will be chances for rainfall along/near the coast and areas north of the Umpqua divide as well as areas along the Cascades north of Lake of the Woods. Many ensemble members are dry here as well, so this is another uncertain situation with low end PoPs.

-Guerrero

AVIATION (12z TAFs)

VFR conditions will prevail throughout the valid TAF period. Plenty of sunshine expected today with diurnal breezes. Wind speeds along/near the coast (KOTH) will be strongest with winds easing farther inland. Overall, expecting a breezy afternoon across the region.

-Guerrero

MARINE...Updated 400 AM PDT Sunday, May 31, 2026

A thermal trough pattern will maintain gusty north winds and steep to very steep seas through tomorrow. For this morning, hazardous conditions are expected south of Cape Blanco, with very steep seas expected south of Pistol River. North winds will peak this afternoon and evening, reaching gales from Gold Beach southward and beyond 2 nm from shore. This will also bring worsening conditions north of Cape Blanco, with conditions hazardous to small craft expected for all areas and very steep seas expected from Bandon southward.

Winds ease some Sunday night and even moreso on Monday, but steep to very steep seas are likely to continue through Monday. Conditions improve for all areas by Tuesday as the thermal trough pushes inland and north winds weaken below advisory levels. Below advisory conditions likely persist through the remainder of the week with a low west-northwest persistent swell.

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OR...CA...None.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM PDT this evening for PZZ356.

Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 11 PM PDT this evening for PZZ350-370.

Hazardous Seas Warning until 11 AM PDT this morning for PZZ356- 370-376.

Gale Warning from 11 AM this morning to 11 PM PDT this evening for PZZ356-376.

Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM PDT this morning for PZZ376.