textproduct: Medford

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

AVIATION...17/12Z TAFs

A disturbance is bringing a round light showers to the Coast and Umpqua Basin, with some light snow to areas east of the Cascades in Lake County early this morning. Freezing levels are around 3500-4000 feet this morning. Conditions are mainly VFR with local MVFR and higher mountain obscurations. Clouds will gradually clear late this morning and this afternoon and stronger northerly winds are will develop area wide, with gusts peaking around 25-30 kt during the afternoon and evening.

MARINE...Updated 200 AM PDT Sunday, May 17, 2026

Steep seas are continuing for areas south of Cape Blanco this morning due to a mix of northwest swell and wind seas. North winds will strengthen this afternoon and persist on Monday. This will result in steep to very steep seas across the waters, with the strongest winds and highest seas south of Cape Blanco. Initially, today, steep to very steep seas will be due to a mix of northwest swell and wind seas, then seas will transition, becoming dominated by short period wind seas tonight and Monday morning. Another northwest swell arrives Monday afternoon and night, resulting in mixed seas again.

Steep to very steep seas will persist through the week as north winds strengthen and increase wind seas. Through this stretch, winds and waves will peak each afternoon and evening with very steep seas likely for areas south of Cape Blanco and generally steep seas north of Cape Blanco. Ensemble models indicate winds will strengthen Wednesday into Thursday with a potential (50-70% chance) for gales across portions of the southern waters (especially from around Gold Beach south).

PREV EXTENDED RANGE DISCUSSION

/Issued 245 PM PDT Sat May 16 2026/

The models become more progressive towards the tail end of the weekend and there are some hints of some wetter weather on Memorial Day. It looks like 30% of the ensemble members are pushing a cold front through the region with some wetting rain. So definitely hints of rain of a more progressive pattern for the the last week of May.

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OR...CA...None.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM PDT this afternoon for PZZ356-376.

Hazardous Seas Warning from 2 PM this afternoon to 11 PM PDT Monday for PZZ356-376.

Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 11 PM PDT Monday for PZZ350-370.


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