textproduct: Medford

DISCUSSION

Rain and snow will spread into the area from the south late today into Wednesday. Then expect a brief break Thursday before an active and colder pattern develops late Friday into early next week.

Key Points:

* Light Snowfall today into Wednesday - Snow levels mainly 5000 ft west of the Cascades and 4000 to 5000 feet east of the Cascades. - Limited impacts mainly for higher elevations in the Trinity Alps and Mount Shasta area

* Rain: Moderate to heavy rainfall this weekend and Monday - Rainfall greatest along/near the coast, especially Curry CO. - Not expecting widespread flooding but roads could be hazardous

* Snow: Moderate to heavy snowfall this weekend and Monday - Potential widespread hazards for mountains/passes - Snow levels dropping to around 2000-2500 Saturday night - Could see impacts to lower passes and some westside areas Sunday night

* Wind: Moderate winds this weekend and Monday - Wind advisories likely for northern California and eastside

This morning conditions are dry with high clouds spreading over the area. Morning valley fog is expected for valleys west of the Cascades and may be locally dense at times. Local valley fog is possible east of the Cascades as well this morning.

A low centered off the northern and central California coast will move east-northeastward today. As this low moves inland, models and ensembles support southwest flow developing over northern California and portions of southwest Oregon with precipitation spreading into the area. A mix of rain and snow is expected to spread into the area from the south late today into Wednesday with snow levels around 5000 feet or higher west of the Cascades and around 4000 to 5000 feet from the Cascades east. Under this pattern, best chances for precipitation are expected from the Siskiyous south and the Cascades east. Snowfall accumulations will be mainly light with some locally moderate snow over higher elevations in the Mount Shasta area (above 6000 feet). For rainfall, expect highest amounts (0.5 to 1.0 inches) in southern and southeastern Siskiyou County. Elsewhere, expect lighter amounts (around 0.10 to 0.50 inches).

A break in the active pattern is expected on Thursday. Then models and ensembles continue to point toward a deep trough developing over the region late Friday into early next week, bringing wet and cold weather to the area with lowering snow levels. Please see the previous discussion (below) for details.

AVIATION...09/12Z TAFs

Areas of valley fog have developed overnight in valleys west of the Cascades. This is bringing LIFR ceilings and visibilities, including at Medford and Roseburg. Local IFR/LIFR in fog or low stratus is possible for valleys east of the Cascades as well. Low clouds and fog are expected to lift and gradually clear around 18-20z.

A frontal system moving into northern California late this afternoon and tonight will bring light rain and snow to Siskiyou and Modoc. Additionally, areas of light precipitation will spread into southern Oregon overnight with best chances from the Southern Oregon Cascades east. Precipitation is expected to result in areas of MVFR conditions, local IFR and mountain obscurations, including at Mount Shasta City and for areas from the Cascades east. West of the Southern Oregon Cascades, localized rain and mountain snow are possible. Otherwise, expect areas of LIFR/IFR in valley fog late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.

MARINE...Updated 200 AM PST Tuesday, February 10, 2026

West swell will gradually lower today but gusty northerly winds will allow steep seas to persist through at least early Wednesday morning. Additionally, areas of very steep and hazardous seas are expected to develop late today and tonight in the waters south of Cape Blanco beyond 10 nm of shore. Steep seas and areas of gusty north winds may persist Wednesday. Then, conditions improve on Thursday as north winds ease and seas lower. Northwest swell will bring elevated seas Thursday night into the weekend.

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OR...CA...None.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM PST Wednesday for PZZ350-356-370-376.

Hazardous Seas Warning from 8 AM this morning to 4 AM PST Wednesday for PZZ376.