textproduct: Medford

AVIATION....02/18Z

Low ceilings are lingering late this morning in the Umpqua Valley, including Roseburg(KRBG). Improvement to VFR is expected around 20-21Z. Otherwise, conditions are VFR with high clouds. Overnight into Tuesday morning, around 11Z through 19Z, LIFR low clouds and fog are expected to develop in the Umpqua Valley. Patches of LIFR are also possible in the Rogue Valley, including the vicinities of Grants Pass and Medford, around sunrise (15Z through 18Z).

MARINE...Updated 800 AM PST Monday, November 2, 2026

Long period west-northwest swell builds into tonight with steep seas in the outer waters. Shorter period southwest swell will then also build tonight into Tuesday with seas also becoming high and steep in the inner waters Tuesday through Tuesday evening. Conditions briefly improve on Wednesday. An active pattern resumes Wednesday night with building seas, including another long period west-northwest swell.

Seas may become high and steep again on Thursday with the long period swell dominated seas forecast to reach a peak on Friday night at around 13 to 17 feet at 15 to 17 seconds. An active weather pattern will likely continue during the weekend into next week.

BEACH HAZARDS...Updated 1100 AM PST Monday, November 2, 2026

Long period WNW swell will continue building into the area into this evening. Originating from near the western Aleutian Islands, these high-energy waves will have the ability to run much farther up the beaches and shorelines than normal and will likely produce dangerous sneaker waves. The swell will build to around 8 to 11 feet at 15 to 17 seconds. The sneaker wave risk will also be enhanced during the incoming high tide early this evening. The risk of sneaker waves will lessen later tonight as wave periods become shorter.

PREV DISCUSSION

/Issued 349 AM PST Mon Nov 2 2026/

KEY MESSAGES...

* Cooler weather and some chances of rain will arrive in northern California Tuesday with lower chances of rain in southern Oregon.

* A weakening cold front will push into the coast Wednesday night.

* Temperatures trend higher by Saturday.

DISCUSSION...

High clouds are currently moving over the forecast area ahead of the next short wave. We'll see mostly cloudy skies this afternoon with temperatures right around the climatological normals for this time of year. Otherwise, not a lot happening through the day weather wise. The bigger change will come on Tuesday when the aforementioned short wave moves into northern California. It's not looking very wet, although the PoP forecast does increase to about 30 to 40% over northern California with 10 to 20% chances here in southern Oregon. Pretty low impact weather continues now through Tuesday.

High pressure will likely build in Wednesday afternoon in the wake of this short wave and temperatures will likely move a bit higher. Valley fog could form in a few valleys by Wednesday morning if there is enough surface moisture and dewpoints are high enough.

By Wednesday night, models are suggesting a cold front and quick moving shortwave will swing into the Oregon coastline. The probability of precipitation increases to 40 to 60% along the coast with probabilities dropping off significantly farther to the south and east. Again, this is just a little rain with only a few hundreths along the coast.

Finally, it looks like yet another deeper wave will be moving into the state of Washington, although the trough axis is not deep and just skids over Oregon. However, the cold front associated with this trough will approach the Oregon coast and bring low chances of precipitation around the Sunday time frame. Again, this isn't a wetting rain, just enough to push the PoP forecast slightly higher.

Overall, the weather pattern is exceptionally active, although most of the moisture is missing us to the north. The weather impacts will remain low and the biggest impacts will be the morning valley fog in some of our valleys.

Lastly, the second week of November 8th to the 15 is looking wetter for our area based on the ensemble forecasts. There are few members still staying very dry for this week, although most are trending wetter with heavier precipitation.

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OR...Beach Hazards Statement until 7 PM PST this evening for ORZ021- 022.

CA...None.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Beach Hazards Statement until 7 PM PST this evening for PZZ350-356.

Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM to 10 PM PST Tuesday for PZZ350- 356-370-376.