textproduct: Medford

DISCUSSION (Today through Monday)

Key Points:

* Only minor impacts expected the next several days * Warm, above normal temperatures continue this week * Low pressure remains to our south today - Low chance for isolated showers and thunderstorms today * Drying trend starts Wednesday

Further Details:

A closed low remains to our south and will maintain northeast flow aloft. As we reach peak heating and convective temperatures, we could see showers and an isolated thunderstorm this afternoon and early evening. This would be mainly for areas along and near the Cascades/eastside areas, and parts of northern California. These chances are less than yesterday with only around 10%-15% chance for an isolated shower/thunderstorm. We are not expecting severe weather, but an occasional gust around 35-45 mph is possible. Chances are highest through peak heating this afternoon and early evening.

High pressure aloft starts to nudge in tomorrow and will maintain dry conditions through the end of the week. Temperatures near 90 degrees will come to fruition Wed/Thurs for some areas. Slightly cooler temperatures expected on Friday, but warmer temperatures quickly return through the weekend and early next week.

Lastly, will note that on Friday, a weak shortwave will enter the PacNW around Seattle. At this time, it does not appear to have any influence on the weather for our forecast area (outside of cooler temps), but there is an outside chance we could see light rainfall across coastal areas of both Douglas and Coos counties as well as northern Cascades areas north of Crater Lake.

-Guerrero

AVIATION (12 TAFs)

A marine layer will maintain IFR conditions along the coast impacting KOTH through much of this cycle. This has spilled over into the Umpqua Valley and the Rogue Valley which will maintain MVFR conditions at both KRBG and KMFR through this morning. Expecting conditions to clear up today for these inland, but not expecting much relief for North Bend. There is a low end chance for an isolated shower/thunderstorm today with KLMT having the relatively higher chance to see this threat.

-Guerrero

MARINE...Updated 400 AM PDT Tuesday, May 5, 2026.

An extended period of relatively calm conditions will continue through Friday, with west-northwest swell dominated seas likely remaining below 8 ft. A thermal trough will develop this weekend, resulting in moderate north winds and steep seas through early next week.

-Guerrero

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OR...None.

CA...None.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...None.