textproduct: Medford

DISCUSSION

Key Points:

* Remaining showers finish this evening, drier conditions return * Gusty conditions this afternoon east of the Cascades * Next chance for rain Saturday in Northern California/Cascades * Warm, above normal temperatures Thursday through Saturday

Current radar shows scattered showers in northern Jackson and Josephine counties and eastern Douglas County. Any remaining showers this afternoon will bring less than 0.10" of rain in these areas and east with less than 2 inches of snow in the Cascades. More mixing has brought stronger winds east of the Cascades through the early evening. Gusts have peaked to 48 mph at Summer Lake so far and general gusts near 30 mph. There is a 45-60% probability to see wind gusts of 35 mph in northern Lake County including at Fort Rock through 6 PM today.

Tonight some clearing will occur, and this includes areas east of the Cascades and in the Illinois Valley. Forecast lows from Selma and through Obrien are in the 32-34 degree range. However, the Illinois Valley has received between 0.50"-0.75" of rainfall in the past 72 hours. This moisture will help lower the frost threat, but precautions should still be taken as the coldest hours will bring temps to 36 or cooler where the clearest skies are.

By Thursday the upper low will move east out of the area and drier conditions return. Slightly above normal temperatures will be present through the long term as well. The latest runs show a slight increase in rain returning Saturday afternoon for Northern California and east side. There is a 30% probability to see 0.10" in parts of Siskiyou and Modoc counties later Saturday. After a dip in temperatures Sunday, a warming trend starts the next work week. Disagreement in the models comes later Sunday, and this will be monitored. -Hermansen

AVIATION...22/18Z TAFs

A mix of VFR/MVFR will prevail through the afternoon with lingering showers becoming more widespread this afternoon. Expect terrain obscurations to prevail as well. Gusty winds will continue east of the Cascades into this evening, with winds increase in the valleys west of the Cascades as well. Winds ease later this evening and showers will diminish as drier air moves into the region. Stratus will likely linger over the valleys tonight, which should limit fog development. For areas that do clear, expect chances (10-15%) for IFR to develop for inland valleys. /BR-y

MARINE...Updated 100 PM PDT Wednesday, April 22, 2026

Below advisory seas continue today as a low pressure system gradually moves inland. Increasing northwest swell follows tonight into Thursday, along with a period of increased west winds which will push conditions just into advisory criteria north of Coos Bay. Additionally, north winds will increase Thursday and Friday as swell persists. This will result in steep seas for most areas, especially south of Cape Blanco Thursday evening into Friday.

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OR...CA...None.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM Thursday to 2 AM PDT Friday for PZZ356-376.

Small Craft Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 2 AM PDT Friday for PZZ350-370.