textproduct: Medford
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
LONG TERM
The last thing that caught our eye in the forecast is both the GFS and ECMWF are showing an upper level wave sliding down the Cascades Saturday or Sunday with some east winds around 10 to 15 knots over our Cascades. After doing some spaghetti and cluster analysis on the 500mb heights, we think this scenario has a 30% chance of happening. Other solutions show a stronger ridge in place, which will still push temperatures higher for locations west of the Cascades. Overall, the take home impacts will be increasing heat and fire weather threats next weekend.
-Smith
AVIATION...08/12Z TAFS
Mid and high level clouds have come ahead of a cold front. The front will bring rain, breezy southerly winds, and a mix of IFR/MVFR conditions to the coast as it arrives this morning. Rain will spread inland to the Cascades this morning with areas of MVFR, local IFR, and mountain obscurations. Guidance supports ceilings lowering to MVFR with periods of reduced visibilities starting around 18z at Roseburg. East of the Cascades, areas of light rain are expected with local MVFR conditions in the afternoon. Lighter showers will linger behind the front tonight, with areas of MVFR ceilings and local IFR continuing west of the Cascades.
MARINE...Updated 300 AM PDT Monday, June 8, 2026
A cold front today will bring gusty, stronger southerly winds and rain through tonight. Steep seas are in all of the Southern Oregon waters through 7 AM. Very steep seas and south winds that will approach gale force will come after 7 AM for areas north of Cape Blanco, and this will continue through this afternoon. Steep seas continue south of Cape Blanco through this time, and northern waters will see steep seas again later this afternoon.
Improved conditions are expected later Tuesday into Wednesday morning with seas dominated by a west-northwest swell at 10 seconds. A thermal trough pattern is likely for the latter half of the week through next weekend. Expect the return of gusty north winds with steep to very steep seas from Thursday onward.
MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...CA...None.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM PDT Tuesday for PZZ356-376.
Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM PDT this morning for PZZ350-370.
Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 11 AM PDT Tuesday for PZZ350-370.
Gale Warning from 8 AM this morning to 7 PM PDT this evening for PZZ350-370.
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