textproduct: Medford
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY POINTS
Low chance of thunderstorms in northern Lake and Klamath Counties this afternoon.
Typical summer weather continues through the week.
DISCUSSION
It will be another warm summer day for southern Oregon and northern California. Temperatures will remain a few degrees above seasonal normals and around the mid 90's. There is a low chance of some thunderstorm activity around northern Lake and Klamath Counties this afternoon. The SPC high resolution ensemble forecast is keeping the probability of cloud to ground lightning under 10%, so lightning will not be impossible, yet unlikely.
Otherwise, conditions will change some Wednesday as it appears a dissipating dry cold front slowly moves into the region during Wednesday night. There is also a 500 mb short wave moving across northern California during Wednesday afternoon. Temperatures trend a bit lower Wednesday west of the Cascades compared to Tuesday based on the latest NBM forecast.
By Thursday, the upper level flow becomes more zonal and the weather remains fairly quiet across our forecast area. A stronger more well defined cold front will push into the area around the weekend, although the front will likely be dry. A few ECMWF ensemble members are showing spotty precipitation Saturday in the forecast. The PoP forecast gradually increases by Monday with some ridging well to our east and troughing in the Pacific. This will give us some deeper moisture access and potentially bring thunderstorms to the region.
Lastly, the extreme forecast index isn't picking up on anything exceptional over the next 7 days. Pretty typical weather for southern Oregon and northern California for mid July.
AVIATION...07/12Z TAFs
Marine stratus and fog covers the entire coast this morning. LIFR and IFR ceilings will continue along the coast through the morning hours before burning off in the afternoon. Look for the marine stratus to push inland again later tonight.
MARINE...Updated 300 AM PDT Tuesday, July 7, 2026
A fresh swell will move through the waters through Tuesday. Gusty northerly winds look to develop on Wednesday afternoon and continue on Thursday, which may cause a broader area of steep seas with very steep seas likely south of Port Orford.
MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...CA...None.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Hazardous Seas Watch from Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening for PZZ356-376.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM PDT Wednesday for PZZ356-376.
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