textproduct: Medford

DISCUSSION (Today through Thursday)

Key Points:

* Minor/low impacts over the next several days

* Unsettled and cooler weather next couple days - Below/near normal tempreatures today/tomorrow - Isolated to scattered thunderstorms today and tomorrow - Not expecting widespread severe weather - Main threats are lightning and strong gusts (35-45 mph)

Further Details:

The upper levels continue to show a closed low south/southeast of the forecast area. This low will get absorbed into the mean flow tonight into Saturday and exit the region to the east/northeast by Saturday afternoon. As it maintains its position today, this will allow for another round of isolated to scattered thunderstorm, mainly for areas along/near the Cascades and eastside areas. CAPE and DCAPE values are much less than the last two days, so not expecting too much thunderstorm activity, but an isolated storm or two could be strong.

The low will allow for one more day of isolated thunderstorms on Saturday, but this may be confined to northern California with little activity anticipated overall.

We then go into a dry pattern Sunday onward with very little indication for precipitation through middle of next week. There is a potential signal for rainfall along/near the coast Wednesday, but better parameters exist north of our area. Temperatures will also be closer to normal on Sunday, with above normal temperatures expected thereafter next week.

AVIATION (12Z TAFS)

IFR/LIFR will persist along the coast through late this morning impacting KOTH, gradually lifting and improving to MVFR late this morning/early this afternoon with VFR eventally coming to fruition. Umpqua Basin will remain in IFR through early this afternoon improving to VFR through the remainder of this cycle. KMFR will eventually improve to VFR by this afternoon. KLMT should remain in mostly VFR throughout this cycle with rainfall through early this afternoon. Otherwise, typical diurnal breezes expected today.

MARINE...Updated 400 AM PDT Friday, May 29, 2026

Steep west- northwest swell will remain in the waters but conditions will briefly improve this morning. North winds increase by this afternoon and evening with seas becoming high and steep through the weekend. Conditions will remain hazardous to small craft during this time.

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OR...CA...None.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM PDT early this morning for PZZ350-356-370-376.

Small Craft Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 11 AM PDT Sunday for PZZ356-376.