textproduct: Medford

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

DISCUSSION

The main update was to issue a Wind Advisory /PDXNPWMFR/ for far eastern Klamath County and Lake County from 9 AM PST Sunday through 5 PM PST Sunday. This hazard is for gusty south to southwest winds which should peak at 50 to 55 mph during Sunday afternoon from Valley Falls to Silver Lake.

First, most of our area will have thickening mid and high level clouds with a few to several degrees of cooling today. But, rain will spread to the coast this afternoon. It will then develop across southwest Oregon tonight, including the Rogue Valley toward sunrise on Sunday. Precipitation is expected across all of the area Sunday into Sunday night with snow levels falling from around 8000 feet to around 5000 feet, locally to 4500 feet north of both Crater Lake and Chiloquin. Precipitation amounts through Sunday night will have a wide range across our area with around 2 to 3 inches at the coast, around an inch for most of Douglas, Josephine, and western Siskiyou counties, and a tenth to a half inch for the Rogue Valley, Shasta Valley, and east of the Cascades.

Seasonably colder temperatures will persist next week. Models are trending toward better agreement that the next frontal system will move into northern California on Tuesday into Tuesday night with light (to possibly moderate at around a half inch) precipitation and snow levels around 4500 to 5000 feet.

A break follows Wednesday into Thursday, then a return to active weather begins on Friday with a broad, cold upper level trough tracking southeastward from the Gulf of Alaska. Snow levels look to be around 4000 to 4500 feet with a relatively weak front on Friday. The track of the colder core of the trough has a wide range of solutions, possibly affecting our area on Saturday, holding off until Sunday/Day 8, or even remaining offshore far enough such that the eventual main impacts will be south of our area. The mean ensemble solution would indicate snow levels of around 2000 to 3000 feet with light precipitation next Sunday.

AVIATION...07/12Z TAFs

There are patches of LIFR near Brookings early this morning, otherwise conditions are VFR with increasing mid and high level clouds. Low level wind shear is expected near the coast from around 17Z this morning to 02Z this evening, with rain and MVFR developing in the afternoon. MVFR and light to moderate rain (with freezing levels around 9000 ft) will spread inland to the Cascades tonight into Sunday morning, while VFR persists east of the Cascades.

MARINE...Updated 200 AM PST Saturday, February 7, 2026

A cold front will produce rain with gusty south winds and steep seas through Sunday, except very steep seas north of Cape Blanco today. Also, rainfall will bring lower visibilities. Active weather eases on Monday morning. But, elevated seas are likely to linger through Tuesday. Improving conditions are likely for Wednesday into Thursday.

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OR...Wind Advisory from 9 AM to 5 PM PST Sunday for ORZ030-031.

CA...None.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM PST Sunday for PZZ350-356-370-376.

Hazardous Seas Warning until 4 PM PST this afternoon for PZZ350- 370.


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