textproduct: Medford

LONG TERM

With the ridge moving eastward and flattening midweek and beyond, a cooling trend is forecast into next weekend. A dry front looks to pass over the area Wednesday, which would bring elevated winds over higher terrain and east of the Cascades. Upper flow with a slight southwest orientation may support a stray thunderstorm or two east of the Cascades on Wednesday afternoon/evening, but this seems like a slight possibility at best in the current forecast. Long-term guidance generally agrees on a second front reaching the coast between Thursday afternoon and Friday morning. This front may bring some light precipitation, although there's disagreement on if that rainfall will be limited to the coast and Cascades or if it will fall across the west side.

Disagreement continues into next weekend. In GFS imagery, zonal to slightly northwest flow would limit additional precipitation and keep temperatures near or just below seasonal norms. The ECMWF deterministic outcome brings a low presure system down over the area, which would bring additional light rainfall across the area on Saturday and Sunday. ECMWF meteograms show good confidence in the low pressure outcome, while the GFS is more divided in its expectations of weekend rainfall. -TAD

AVIATION...21/12Z TAFs

Onshore flow has produced MVFR/IFR ceilings and visibilities in marine fog and low stratus along the coast and into the coastal valleys, including at North Bend. Lower flight conditions may also make it into the Umpqua Basin, potentially all the way to Roseburg, by sunrise. Conditions should clear to VFR through the morning, with VFR expected into Sunday evening. Beginning around 04Z-06Z this evening, IFR/LIFR stratus and fog is expected to return to the coast, except VFR is likely to persist overnight from Cape Blanco to Gold Beach.

MARINE...Updated 300 AM PDT Sunday, June 21, 2026

North winds will continue to strengthen through Monday evening. The result will be strong northerly winds and very steep seas south of Cape Blanco while steep seas remain across the outer portion of the northern waters. There may be isolated areas of gale force gusts this afternoon through Monday evening for areas south of Cape Blanco. A pattern of northerly winds is likely to continue through mid-week. Conditions are likely to briefly improve Thursday through Friday morning.

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OR...Heat Advisory from 11 AM Monday to 11 PM PDT Tuesday for ORZ023>026.

CA...Heat Advisory from 11 AM Monday to 11 PM PDT Tuesday for CAZ080>082.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM PDT this afternoon for PZZ356-370-376.

Hazardous Seas Warning from 2 PM this afternoon to 5 AM PDT Tuesday for PZZ356-376.