textproduct: Medford

DISCUSSION

Seasonal temperatures across the area and elevated wind over terrain continue this afternoon. Westerly flow aloft is keeping moisture moving onto the coast, bringing intermittent activity. Remote observations indicate some parts of Douglas County have seen around half an inch of rainfall in the past 24 hours, but other coast and coast-adjacent areas have seen less than one tenth of an inch. This general pattern looks to stay in place through Friday as well.

On Saturday morning, a shortwave trough will pass to the north of the area. This will push precipitation chances inland for areas west of the Cascades, although rainfall in Siskiyou County looks to be limited to western terrain. Curry County and the Cascades may see a quarter to half and inch of rain, with the higher amounts limited to elevated terrain. Snow levels of 5500 to 6500 feet will limit snowfall to the highest peaks and ridgelines in the Cascades. Precipitation dissipates into the afternoon. As the shortwave continues traveling to the east, gusty winds are expected in Lake County. The highest gusts may reach 45 to 50 mph, supporting a Wind Advisory on Saturday afternoon into the evening. Please see NPWMFR for more information.

On Sunday, the Pacific ridge looks to strengthen and is expected to guide the weather through the week ahead. Daytime highs may reach 10 to 20 degrees above seasonal averages across the area. For coastal areas, temperatures in the mid to high 60s are expected. Oregon valleys and basins on either side of the Cascades could see mid to high 70s. Low-lying areas in Siskiyou and Modoc counties could reach the low 80s. Considering NBM probabilistic guidance, Alturas has a 50-60% chance to exceed 80 degrees from Tuesday through Friday, while Montague and Medford have a 10-20% chance in that timeframe. Temperatures could cool into next weekend. -TAD

AVIATION (18Z TAFs)

KOTH will likely (50%-70%) remain in MVFR conditions throughout the valid TAF cycle. KOTH will also see intermittent showers through this cycle, especially overnight when chances (50%-60%) are the greatest. KRBG will also see intermittent MVFR conditions early today (improving conditions later today) and then MVFR returns again overnight, but will likely miss out on the shower activity. KMFR will likely (70%) remain in VFR through this cycle, with KLMT even more likely (90%) to remain in VFR through this cycle.

-Guerrero

MARINE...Updated 100 PM PDT Thursday, March 12, 2026

Gusty south to southwest winds and steep to very steep seas are expected today north of Cape Blanco with the strongest winds and steepest seas north of the Umpqua River bar. While conditions improve briefly this evening, a front will move southward and could bring another period of gusty southwest winds and steep seas Friday and Friday night followed by a wind shift to northerly by Saturday. Expect showers across the waters on Saturday, but lightning/thunderstorms are not expected.

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OR...Wind Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM PDT Saturday for ORZ031.

CA...None.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM PDT Saturday for PZZ350-370.