textproduct: Medford

KEY MESSAGES

* Mild weather continues for most areas today.

* A cold front will bring coastal rainfall this afternoon, with rain moving inland through the evening and into Monday morning. Snow levels of 5000-6000 feet will keep light snowfall to area peaks and ridgelines.

* Cool temperatures and precipitation chances continue through the week ahead, but with no indication of hazardous conditions.

DISCUSSION

High clouds are moving over northern California and southern Oregon ahead of an approaching low pressure system. This system will flatten the weak ridge that was over the area, keeping forecast temperatures across the area similar today as they were on Saturday. A cold front attached to the low will bring rainfall to the coast this afternoon, then push inland. By Monday afternoon, activity should be mostly post-frontal showers so rainfall will be intermittent and light. In total, coastal cities and ranges are expected to see half an inch to over an inch of rainfall. The Umpqua and Illinois valleys are forecast to see about one-quarter on an inch of rainfall. Most other low-lying areas will see a few hundreths of an inch or stay dry. With snow levels around 5000 to 6000 feet on Monday morning, snow showers over the Cascades are expected. Expected amounts are unimpactful, with forecast amounts in the 2 to 3 inch range. Given lingering warmth on bare surfaces, road accumulation is not expected but areas of slushy wet snow may be possible.

Looking past precipitation, this system looks fairly unimpactful. Southerly winds funnel into the Shasta Valley this afternoon, bringing gusty winds to much of the valley into tonight. Areas east of the Cascades will see gusty winds tonight into Monday night. These winds stay safely short of Advisory thresholds.

The remnants of the low pressure system look to push eastward late Monday, but minor activity looks to keep an upper trough in place through the forecast period. This would keep temperatures at or below seasonal norms across the area. Broadly speaking, areas west of the Cascades will be in the high 50s to low 60s while areas to the east will be in the high 40s to low 50s. Overnight lows in western Siskiyou County could reach freezing temperatures on Monday night and remain there through the week. Colder overnight lows creep into the Rogue, Illinois, and Umpqua valleys through the week. To the east, overnight lows look to stay solidly in the teens to mid 20s.

Medium- to long-term guidance keeps chances of precipitation in the forecast for west side areas, but there is some disagreement in timing and penetration of additional rainfall. Deterministic imagery shows a shortwave trough following the early week low and allowing another round of showers on Tuesday. Towards the end of the week, a cutoff low drops down from the north and brings coastal showers near the end of the week then moves inland to bring more widespread activity over next weekend. The motion of these features is intricate, and any difference in timing or movement could bring a very different outcome. However, there are no significant signals of hazardous conditions in current imagery and guidance. -TAD

AVIATION...25/12Z TAFs

VFR levels persist early this morning under passing high clouds. Southerly winds will increase along the coast, with light rain and MVFR ceilings expected over North Bend and eventually over Roseburg. The front will push south and east this evening into early Monday morning with rain and chances for MVFR ceilings developing in other areas west of the Cascades, including at Medford. East side areas will generally stay at VFR levels, with isolated showers only possible towards the very end of the TAF period. -TAD

MARINE...Updated 330 AM PDT Sunday, October 25, 2026

Seas have become below advisory levels early this morning. Southerly winds increase through the morning as a front passes over the area. A combination of winds and incoming swell will build steep seas into Tuesday morning. Conditions improve late Tuesday, but will remain somewhat unsettled through the week.

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OR...CA...None.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 5 AM PDT Tuesday for PZZ356-376.

Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM this morning to 5 AM PDT Tuesday for PZZ350-370.