textproduct: Medford

UPDATE

Aviation Discussion updated.

AVIATION...26/00Z TAFs

Conditions will remain VFR areawide this afternoon into early this evening. Overnight, expect areas of LIFR to develop in valley fog (beginning around 06-09z) in the Umpqua Valley, including Roseburg, and in the Grants Pass area. These conditions will persist Monday morning then improve to VFR early Monday afternoon. Isolated MVFR is possible along the coast tonight and Monday morning, with a low chance 15% at North Bend. Elsewhere, expect VFR through the TAF period.

PREV DISCUSSION

/Issued 134 PM PST Sun Jan 25 2026/

DISCUSSION (Today through Saturday)...

Key Points:

* Temperatures closer to normal starting today

* Precipitation chances west of the Cascades late Tues. thru Sat. - Total amounts generally <0.10" for interior areas - Total amounts around 0.50"-1.00" along/near the coast

Further Details:

Temperatures will start to rebound today and through next week with conditions closer to normal. High clouds will likely increase today and continue into next week as well. These high clouds may limit our fog chances for areas that have seen fog each morning across the Umpqua Basin, lower Rogue Valley, and some other westside valleys.

Middle of next week is still looking like our next chance for precipitation, albeit very light amounts over the course of several days. Much of the westside has a very low probability (10%-25%) of reaching 0.10" in any 6hr timeframe. The coast and areas near the coast have around 25%-50% for 0.10"/6hrs. Areas along/near the coast in central to southern Curry County likely to see the higher rainfall total amounts. Again these amounts are generally light over the course of several days, but totals across Curry County could end up being around 0.50"-1.00" over several days. That said, these precipitation chances/amounts are nothing to write home about, but certainly a welcome after a dry period across the region. This pattern is very progressive, and chances are not looking good for eastside areas to see much--if any--precipitation through this stretch.

What we need to happen is have the long wave trough which is consuming much of central and eastern CONUS to break down. This doesn't look possible anytime soon. Cluster analysis of 500mb indicates this pattern holding on through Feb 3rd which essentially favors a ridge over the PacNW. Guidance from the Climate Prediction Center (as of today) is indicating in their 8-14 day outlook (Feb 2-8) a very strong signal for well above normal temperatures in addition to a signal for below normal precipitation. This completely aligns with the cluster analysis, and may be a telling sign for early parts of February being above normal for temperatures and overall dry.

-Guerrero

MARINE...Updated 115 PM PST Sunday, January 25, 2026...Relatively calm conditions are expected through Monday. A more active pattern is expected to begin by Tuesday, with increasing southerly winds and steep seas, especially in outer and southern waters.

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OR...None.

CA...None.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM Monday to 10 PM PST Tuesday for PZZ370-376.