textproduct: Medford

DISCUSSION (Today through Sunday)

Key Points:

* Little to no impacts expected until this weekend - Precipitation chances increase Sat/Sun - Snow levels dropping to 4500 Sun night - No hazards expected at this time

* Morning fog thru Thurs for westside valleys and some eastside areas

* Above normal temperatures and dry conditions will persist - Warmest days will be Tuesday - Thursday - Record warmth midweek for Alturas and Klamath Falls - Brookings may approach 70 degrees on Wednesday

Further Details:

The forecast turns largely dry the upcoming week with above normal temperatures. In fact, high temperature records may be met at Alturas and Klamath Falls midweek. Records are 65 (Feb 4th) and 64 (Feb 5th) for Alturas. Record is 59 for Klamath Falls on Feb 5th. Each of these days we are forecasting high temperatures within a degree or two of these records.

A Rex Block (high pressure on the poleward side of a closed low) sets up at 500mb over the west coast starting tomorrow. This will keep the pattern stagnant through much of next week. The high of this Rex Block will be centered over the forecast area through middle parts of the week which will help aid our above normal temperatures for this time of year. This pattern does appear to break down Thursday into Friday as a closed low develops over the Pacific and enter the PacNW. This will bring our next chance at precipitation starting Saturday morning. A lot will depend on the strength of the high as this low could get pushed to the north. At this time, we are not seeing any noteworthy impacts from rainfall, but we will need to keep an eye on snow levels and wind speeds. Currently, the probability for 6.0" of snowfall in 24hrs is around 40% through Sunday night for a small area around Crater Lake. Otherwise, light snowfall possible at similar elevations. Again, at this time, we are not expecting widespread hazardous weather.

-Guerrero

AVIATION...03/00Z TAFs

VFR levels continue across northern California and southern Oregon this afternoon. Periods of fog development are in the forecast for North Bend, Roseburg, and Klamath Falls. There's some additional uncertainty with North Bend, as offshore flow is forecast which tends to reduce fog development. Periods of patchy fog are possible for Medford, but drier air looks to limit fuller development. Any overnight fog looks to dissipate before Tuesday afternoon, allowing VFR levels to return to these areas. -TAD

MARINE...Updated 200 PM PST Monday, February 2, 2026

Steep west seas will persist into tonight, then lower below advisory criteria for a brief time on Tuesday. Steep seas are likely to return Wednesday as another building west swell arrives and combines with a persistent southwest swell. These steep seas may continue through Friday. High pressure will maintain dry conditions through Friday. Then a front may move into the area and bring rain along with a potential for steep west-southwest seas on the weekend.

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OR...CA...None.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM PST Tuesday for PZZ350-356-370-376.