textproduct: Medford

AVIATION...14/06Z TAFs

Showers focused west of the Cascades will gradually taper off through Saturday morning. This will result in a mix of conditions, including predominant VFR but areas of MVFR and terrain obscuration, and also patchy coastal IFR.

Conditions briefly improve late Saturday morning through the afternoon. But, an increase of southerly winds at coast during the afternoon will be the first sign of another cold front approaching. This front will bring deteriorating conditions Saturday evening into Sunday with areas of low level wind shear, west side focused precipitation and lowering ceilings.

MARINE...Updated 800 PM PST Friday, November 13, 2026

A long period, very large west swell is building to a peak overnight with seas of 30 to 35 feet at 17 to 19 seconds expected. Very high and very steep, dangerous conditions are expected through Saturday morning.

A second strong front is expected Saturday afternoon and night. Models indicate southerly wind gusts up to storm force (50-60 kt) with this front. Long period west swell combined with building wind seas will bring very steep and very hazardous seas of 18 to 23 feet at 14 seconds during this period.

Winds lower late Saturday night into early Sunday morning. Then, another long period swell arrives late Sunday morning through Monday afternoon with seas at 20 to 25 feet at 16 seconds.

Seas briefly diminish, then yet another strong front is likely during Tuesday night with storm force winds possible.

Mariners are urged to remain in port during this period of extremely dangerous weather, secure vessels and continue to monitor forecasts for updates.

PREV DISCUSSION

/Issued 347 PM PST Fri Nov 13 2026/

KEY MESSAGES...

* High impact marine weather lasting through the weekend, including very large and dangerous surf conditions.

* Inland, low to moderate impacts from strong winds and rainfall; minimal impacts from snow occuring mainly above 5000 feet.

* Another similar front arrives Saturday night into Sunday.

* A third front arrives TUesday night into Wednesday, with lower snow levels likely.

DISCUSSION...The front is passing over the area, and is currently lying right along the Cascades. As the front passes, precipitation will transition to showers, and winds will decrease. Showers will then continue through tonight, mainly along and west of the Cascades, but will not come to a complete end before the next front arrives.

This next front will move in Saturday night into Sunday. This will bring another round of gusty south winds and beneficial rainfall. Right now, the strongest winds look to occur over the coastal waters and the immediate coast with perhaps some advisory level winds over the interior, namely in the Shasta Valley where an Advisory has recently been issued. Confidence is too low for other areas to reach headline criteria, but it may be very close along the coast. Models do show the winds weakening quickly as the front crosses the Cascades, so winds east of the Cascades will be breezy, but are not expected to reach issuance levels. Once again, snow levels will be too high for significant winter impacts.

Things look like they'll settle down a bit on Monday/Tuesday before the next front moves in Tuesday night into Wednesday. This will be another wet and windy front, but will be colder, and snow levels may lower to around 3500 ft. This would result in winter impacts over the higher passes, where several inches of snow are possible. Will need to further evaluate this event as it approaches, but anyone expecting to travel during this time should be prepared for potential winter delays and impacts.

Model solutions and climate outlooks suggest that the active pattern continues through hat least the end of next week.

BEACH HAZARDS...Updated 200 PM PST Friday, November 13, 2026... Dangerous conditions are expected along area beaches today through Monday evening. Very large long period westerly swell will peak at 25 to 30 feet, causing breaking waves in the surf zone of 30 to 35 feet tonight into Saturday morning. This will cause exceptionally high and dangerous surf conditions, with completely inundated beaches, and potential dune overwash and erosion. Surf heights may lower somewhat Saturday night, but another large long period swell is anticipated behind a second front Sunday. Breakers in the surf zone could reach 25-30 feet and persist Sunday night into Monday evening.

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OR...Wind Advisory from noon Saturday to 1 PM PST Sunday for ORZ026.

High Surf Warning until 10 PM PST Monday for ORZ021-022.

CA...Wind Advisory from noon Saturday to 1 PM PST Sunday for CAZ081.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Hazardous Seas Warning until 1 PM PST Saturday for PZZ350-356-370-376.

Storm Warning from 1 PM Saturday to 1 AM PST Sunday for PZZ350- 356-370-376.