textproduct: Medford

Updated AVIATION Discussion

AVIATION...16/00Z TAFs

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period for most locations. A mix of high and mid level clouds will continue streaming over the region, and this should limit fog development for most areas. There could be a brief period of LIFR conditions in fog at North Bend and Roseburg early Monday morning, but confidence is low in this occurring. /BR-y

PREV DISCUSSION

/Issued 1258 PM PDT Sun Mar 15 2026/

DISCUSSION (Today through Saturday)...

Key Points:

* Relatively quiet conditions the next 7 days - No notable impacts expected - Only very light rainfall along/near the coast next week

* Well above normal temperatures possible this week - 10-20 degrees above normal - Several climate sites have records in jeopardy

Further Details:

High pressure aloft will continue to slowly slide east today and tomorrow, eventually parking over the west coast for several days. This will lead to very warm temperatures for this time of year with several locations potentially breaking previous daily record highs. For perspective, last year in Medford on St Patrick's Day we were 52 for the daytime high, but this year we will be very close to 80. Normal high temperatures for Medford on March 17th is 60 degrees which means we will be about 20 degrees above normal this year, and 30 degrees warmer than last year. Starting Monday, and going through Friday, mid/upper 70s and even low 80s will be common across the area. However, coastal areas will likely only be in the 60s to perhaps low 70s, but this is still above normal for this time of year. Overall, a warm stretch of weather will be noted for the next several days.

We are not expecting much rainfall through this stretch. However, the NBM does bring chances Tuesday onward when we could see very light rainfall/drizzle along and near the coast. That said, very few ensemble members have rainfall next week, so these PoPs from the NBM are likely overdone given the lack of QPF in the individual ensemble members. What is more likely is mostly cloudy skies that stick around to regulate temperatures cooler than inland areas with very little actual QPF produced.

MARINE...Updated 100 PM PDT Sunday, March 15, 2026...North winds ease today under improved conditions and will eventually shift to southerly by tomorrow. Seas build Tuesday as a westerly swell moves through the waters, but conditions are expected to remain below advisory conditions. In fact, conditions are generally expected to remain below advisory conditions through much of next week. However, by Saturday a thermal trough looks to develop and will bring gusty northerly winds with steep seas likely for all waters.

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OR...None.

CA...None.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...None.