textproduct: Miami - South Florida

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 548 PM EST Wed Feb 11 2026

- Benign weather continues, with mostly clear skies and mild temperatures.

- Some patchy fog could develop in areas of Southwest Florida early Thursday morning.

- High rip current risk continues for Palm Beach county beaches through early Thursday morning. .

UPDATE

Issued at 118 PM EST Wed Feb 11 2026

Gorgeous winter weather continues across South Florida and there are no significant changes with this update.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Thursday) Issued at 221 AM EST Wed Feb 11 2026

Generally benign weather conditions will continue across South Florida today as high pressure over the western Atlantic remains dominant. However, a slight pattern change approaches as a disturbance over the Mississippi Valley slowly pushes a front south across the deep South and the peninsula today into tomorrow. The high axis will shift further southeast over the Atlantic in response, and winds will veer from the northwest on Thursday as a prefrontal boundary moves across the area. Unfortunately, meager moisture ahead of the frontal passage (forecast PWATs less than an inch) will mean chances for convection to develop will remain low and mostly confined to the northernmost portions of the CWA.

Guidance continues to show a medium chance of patchy fog developing across the interior of the CWA early this morning. This could result in reduced visibilities; commuters are advised to exercise caution and keep additional distance between vehicles during the morning commute.

Temperatures through the period will remain seasonable and mild. Highs each afternoon will peak in the high 70s and lower 80s, while overnight lows could dip into the mid 50s across the interior and lower 60s along the East Coast.

LONG TERM

(Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 221 AM EST Wed Feb 11 2026

The aforementioned front will have weakened by the time it reaches our region Thursday night into Friday, where it is forecast to stall out into the weekend. Its continued presence over our region may help support some isolated to scattered shower activity over the local Atlantic waters and immediate East Coast areas, but chances remain low (20-30%).

As we approach next weekend, a much deeper synoptic scale trough is anticipated to develop and strengthen in the lee of the Rockies before it sweeps into the Eastern Seaboard. This complex will drag another front across out region late this weekend into early next week. This will provide more of a large scale forcing mechanism that may be enough to force some isolated to scattered shower activity across the entirety of South FL, which is reflected in the consensus forecast package early this morning. Nevertheless, even with this stronger trough, guidance is not keen on deep moisture advection occurring, so shower activity would be expected to be more of the benign variety at this time, and accumulations should remain below an inch for most locations.

Daily high temperatures will continue to reach the upper 70s to low 80s across the region each day. Similarly, overnight lows each night will stabilize to being in the 50s across SW Florida and low 60s for the east coast metro.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 548 PM EST Wed Feb 11 2026

VFR conditions prevail through the period. Light and variable flow overnight, should remain relatively weak through the morning becoming northwesterly Thursday afternoon. A few showers could be possible towards the end of the period but not enough confidence to explicitly include in TAF.

MARINE

Issued at 221 AM EST Wed Feb 11 2026

Benign boating conditions continue as high pressure remains in place over the area. Light to moderate southerly winds will prevail today, with a Gulf breeze forecast to develop over the local Gulf waters each afternoon. Seas will also remain favorable, ranging from 3-5 ft across the local Atlantic waters, and below 3 ft across the Gulf.

BEACHES

Issued at 221 AM EST Wed Feb 11 2026

A high risk of rip currents continues for Palm Beach county beaches today as swell prevails. The risk should decrease overnight.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Miami 60 79 61 78 / 0 0 10 10 West Kendall 55 81 56 80 / 10 0 10 10 Opa-Locka 58 80 60 79 / 0 0 10 10 Homestead 58 79 58 79 / 10 0 0 10 Fort Lauderdale 58 78 61 77 / 0 10 20 20 N Ft Lauderdale 59 79 61 77 / 0 10 20 20 Pembroke Pines 58 80 60 79 / 0 0 20 10 West Palm Beach 57 79 61 77 / 0 10 30 20 Boca Raton 57 79 61 78 / 0 10 30 20 Naples 57 74 58 75 / 0 10 10 10

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...High Rip Current Risk until 1 AM EST Thursday for FLZ168.

AM...None. GM...None.