textproduct: Miami - South Florida
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1243 PM EST Thu Mar 5 2026
- Scattered showers possible throughout the day.
- High Rip Current Risk along Atlantic beaches continues.
- Hazardous conditions for small craft across Atlantic waters through early this morning.
SHORT TERM
(Today through Friday) Issued at 1206 AM EST Thu Mar 5 2026
Surface high pressure remains anchored in the western Atlantic through the rest of the work week. This will allow a persistent easterly flow to continue across South FL with hit and miss showers today and Friday across the east coast metro. Across SW FL there is a better chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms late in the day this evening and again early Friday evening along the pinned sea- breeze. Did add in some patchy fog early this morning over inland SW FL where winds will be lightest, and there are still a couple of ongoing wildfires in Hendry and Collier counties.
Temperatures today and Friday will remain above normal with highs in the low to mid 80s across the east coast metro, and mid and upper 80s across SW FL. Overnight lows will be in the 60s/70s.
LONG TERM
(Friday night through Wednesday) Issued at 1206 AM EST Thu Mar 5 2026
The overall pattern this weekend and into next week will remain the same with surface high pressure over the western Atlantic in control and upper level ridging over the SE US. Global models are hinting at a cold front possibly arriving late next week but that is beyond the current long term period. Quick moving coastal showers will be possible each day, but overall QPF amounts will be light and certainly not make a significant dent in the ongoing drought.
Temperatures will remain above normal this weekend and into next week with highs in the low to mid 80s across the east coast metro, and mid to upper 80s across SW FL. Overnight lows will remain mild only dropping into the 60s/70s.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1245 PM EST Thu Mar 5 2026
In general, VFR should prevail at all terminals through the next 24 hours, but brief showers or even a vcts could develop around APF this afternoon, with possible MVFR periods through 00Z. ESE winds will continue with gusty periods through around 01Z tonight, then remaining around 10-12 kt overnight. Gusty periods will return Friday after 15Z in the 20-25 kt range. .
MARINE
Issued at 1206 AM EST Thu Mar 5 2026
Hazardous easterly winds remain in the Atlantic waters through early this morning, and then cautionary winds will remain through the end of the week. Moderate easterly winds are expected in the Gulf waters. Seas in the Atlantic waters today will be 3-5 ft, and 2 ft or less in the Gulf.
BEACHES
Issued at 1206 AM EST Thu Mar 5 2026
Persistent easterly flow will result in a high risk of rip currents for the Atlantic beaches through at least the upcoming weekend.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 73 82 72 82 / 10 20 20 20 West Kendall 69 84 68 84 / 10 20 20 10 Opa-Locka 71 83 70 84 / 10 20 10 20 Homestead 73 83 72 83 / 10 20 20 10 Fort Lauderdale 72 81 71 80 / 10 20 20 20 N Ft Lauderdale 72 81 71 81 / 10 20 20 20 Pembroke Pines 71 84 71 84 / 10 20 20 20 West Palm Beach 71 81 70 82 / 10 20 20 20 Boca Raton 71 82 70 81 / 10 20 20 20 Naples 69 86 68 86 / 10 20 10 30
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Friday evening for FLZ168-172-173.
AM...None. GM...None.
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