textproduct: Miami - South Florida

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 214 PM EST Sun Feb 1 2026

- Dangerously cold temperatures and apparent temperatures are expected again tonight into Monday morning. Members of the general public and agricultural interests are advised to prepare accordingly.

- Hazardous marine conditions continue today. Mariners should stay up to date with the latest marine forecast over the next several days.

UPDATE

Issued at 214 PM EST Sun Feb 1 2026

The strong winds from overnight and this morning continue to decrease, although it remains breezy across the region through the rest of today. Breezy conditions will continue to cease tomorrow as the deep low pressure in the western Atlantic continues to depart further eastward.

Until this low gets far enough away from the general vicinity, winds will remain out of the NNW and keep this colder air mass in place tonight through tomorrow. Low temperatures got into the 30s along the coastal areas and metro areas, with temperatures in the 20s closer to the Lake O area. This is expected to happen again tonight, although coastal locations might perhaps be a couple of degrees warmer.

With cold temperatures expected again tonight, a Cold Weather Advisory has been issued again for the entire region tonight until 10AM Monday. Additionally, a Freeze Warning has been issued for tonight until 9AM Monday for inland locations. The metro locations are not included in the Freeze Warning for tonight. Any further updates to the forecast will continue to be communicated, but in general it will be another anomalously cold night tonight across South Florida.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Monday) Issued at 106 AM EST Sun Feb 1 2026

Strong cold front has crossed South FL and one of the coldest airmasses South FL has experienced since at least 2010 is filtering into the region early this morning. The back-trajectory of this airmass can be traced back to Hudson Bay in Canada. Latest ACARS sounding for MIA shows a PWAT value of 0.5 inches, and guidance suggests that should drop further to around 0.2 inches by daybreak. The 540 thickness line is all the way down to Lake Okeechobee and some guidance suggests it may drop south of the lake by the end of the day. Temperatures continue to plummet early this morning and low temps will bottom out in the mid to upper 20s around the lake and lower 30s across the metro areas. The temperatures will feel even colder though thanks to a tight pressure gradient between the quickly deepening low off the Mid Atlantic coast and strong high pressure over the Southern US. Wind gusts of 40-45 mph are expected through daybreak, which will result in dangerous apparent temps in the teens around the lake region and 20s over the rest of South FL.

As for current headlines, We have Extreme Cold Warning and Freeze Warnings for Glades, Hendry, and Palm Beach. Freeze Warnings and Cold Weather Advisories for metro/inland Broward, metro/inland Miami- Dade, and inland Collier. Cold Weather Advisory for coastal Broward, coastal Miami-Dade, coastal Collier, Mainland Monroe, and far south Miami-Dade. All of the cold weather products are in effect until 10 AM this morning. In addition, the entire area is under a Wind Advisory for wind gusts up to 45 mph until 7 AM.

Despite plenty of sunshine expected today, temperatures will struggle to rebound as the cold airmass continues to filter into the region. High temps will barely reach 50 north of Alligator Alley, and will reach the low to mid 50s over the far southern peninsula. The pressure gradient will start to relax as the day progresses, however wind gusts of 20-30 mph are still expected through sunset tonight.

Tonight will be another extremely cold night across the region. With mainly clear skies and winds continuing to relax, temperatures will plummet quickly tonight and many inland locations will again fall below freezing. Low temps will range from the mid to upper 20s around the lake, to low and mid 30s across the metro. With the lighter winds in place, especially west of the lake, frost will become more of an issue tonight. Frost may even be observed over western portions of the metro, especially in sheltered locations. While the apparent temps won't be as low tonight, they will still fall into the 20s over most of South FL. Cold weather headlines will be issued later today after the current headlines are expired.

While daytime temperatures on Monday will be "warmer" than Sunday, they will still remain well below normal only reaching the upper 50s to around 60.

LONG TERM

(Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 106 AM EST Sun Feb 1 2026

As high pressure slowly shifts over the area on Tuesday and Wednesday, we'll start a slow warm up across South FL. Cold weather headlines will likely be needed again Tuesday morning especially over inland South FL where lows will be in the low to mid 30s. As the high shifts east of the area mid week, the low level winds will become south to southwesterly which will bring temperatures up to near normal for Wednesday. This warmup will be short-lived however as another cold front is expected to cross the area on Thursday, and this will reinforce cooler air into the region for the remainder of the week and into at least the first half of next weekend. The only real rainfall chances in the extended period will be late Wednesday into early Thursday ahead of the approaching front, however QPF values appear to be a tenth of an inch or less so there will be little to no relief for the ongoing drought.

Temperatures overall this upcoming week will remain below normal. Besides Tuesday morning as mentioned above, the only other day this week with potential cold weather headlines will be Friday morning, and that may just end up being over inland SW FL.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1213 PM EST Sun Feb 1 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the period with clear skies across the whole area. NW winds around 10-15 kts gusting to 20-25 kts will continue to lessen but will linger into this evening. For tonight, NW winds decrease to around 8-10 kts.

MARINE

Issued at 106 AM EST Sun Feb 1 2026

Dangerous marine conditions today for all South FL waters. NW winds 30-40 kts with gusts around 45 kts expected through at least early this afternoon. Seas 10-15 ft in the both the Atlantic and Gulf waters today. Gale Warnings are in effect for all area waters. Winds begin to subside this evening although Small Craft winds are likely to remain in the Atlantic through Monday evening. Hazardous seas in the Gulf are expected until late tonight and in the Atlantic until early Tuesday.

BEACHES

Issued at 106 AM EST Sun Feb 1 2026

Increasing swell will result in a high risk of rip currents for all area beaches today. In addition, a high surf advisory is in effect until this afternoon for Collier county beaches for surf heights of 5-8 ft in the surf zone. A high surf advisory may be needed for the Palm Beaches on Monday.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 106 AM EST Sun Feb 1 2026

A very cold and dry airmass is expected today into early this upcoming week. Critically low RH values are expected over much of South FL today and Monday and over SW FL on Tuesday. The min RH values today will coincide with decreasing wind values so fire weather headlines are not expected, however an elevated threat will still exist especially with dry fuels across the area from the prolonged drought.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Miami 36 59 42 68 / 0 0 0 0 West Kendall 31 60 36 69 / 0 0 0 0 Opa-Locka 34 60 42 69 / 0 0 0 0 Homestead 34 60 41 68 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 34 59 42 67 / 0 0 0 0 N Ft Lauderdale 35 58 42 67 / 0 0 0 0 Pembroke Pines 34 60 41 69 / 0 0 0 0 West Palm Beach 33 58 41 67 / 0 0 0 0 Boca Raton 34 60 42 68 / 0 0 0 0 Naples 36 60 39 68 / 0 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...Cold Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Monday for FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174.

Freeze Warning from 7 PM this evening to 9 AM EST Monday for FLZ063-066-067-070-071-073.

High Rip Current Risk until 7 PM EST this evening for FLZ069.

High Rip Current Risk through Monday evening for FLZ168-172-173.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for AMZ610- 630.

Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Monday for AMZ650-651-670- 671.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Monday for GMZ656-657-676.