textproduct: Miami - South Florida

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1208 AM EST Wed Jan 7 2026 - Areas of dense fog will be possible across SW Florida and the Lake Okeechobee region on Wednesday morning. An extended period of dense marine fog will be possible across the nearshore Gulf waters.

- Gradual warming trend continues this week with a quiet weather pattern.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Thursday) Issued at 1208 AM EST Wed Jan 7 2026

Large scale ridging remains spread over most of the south-central and southeastern U.S., which will maintain a quiet weather pattern and predominantly dry conditions in place. Temperatures for today and tomorrow are expected to reach the low to mid 80s.

With this rinse and repeat pattern in place, fog development becomes the focus again in the short term period. Interior and Southwest Florida will continue to be the focus area for fog development as radiational cooling looks to be maximized in those areas. Can't rule out some pockets of dense fog forming closer to the east coast metro though either. The latest HREF guidance gives a 50-70% chance for interior and Southwest Florida to see fog development that results in visibilities falling to a half mile or less between 2-9 AM and about 20-30% for the western edges of the east coast metro. Therefore, Dense Fog Advisories may become necessary again, which will be monitored closely. Otherwise, expect a calm and pleasant couple of days in this mid-to-late week period.

LONG TERM

(Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 1208 AM EST Wed Jan 7 2026

The stagnant weather pattern will persist through the rest of the week and into this weekend as the ridging pattern continues to amplify over the Eastern Seaboard and the western Atlantic waters, which is preventing troughs and frontal boundaries from pushing southwards and into the South Florida region. As a result, quiet weather will be ongoing at least through Saturday and perhaps most of Sunday. Long range ensemble guidance (EPS/GEFS and AI ensembles) continues to hint at the next frontal boundary approaching the region in the Sunday-Monday time frame. The GEFS suite of members seems to be the most progressive, although 50% or more of its members don't have the front crossing into the South Florida region until Sunday night or Monday morning. Other ensembles don't have nearly as many of their members pushing the front through until early Monday or Monday afternoon, so as of now a solution with the front arriving Monday morning is in the forecast.

Regardless of how quickly this frontal boundary approaches, it does appear to be another predominantly dry one as it weakens in its approach. Current 90th percentile QPF for this time frame (Sun- Mon) is only up to 0.25", so no impactful weather is expected through the forecast period. High temperatures each day through the weekend will reach the low to mid 80s. Once the front arrives, temperatures will drop back into the 70s for a couple days.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1208 AM EST Wed Jan 7 2026

Light and variable winds are expected the rest of tonight with VFR prevailing overnight at most east coast terminals. BR/FG is forecast to develop across coastal SW Florida between 06-09Z and overspread most inland areas between 09-15Z. A prolonged period of IFR/LIFR conditions is possible at KAPF. Winds increase slightly after 17-18Z to 5-7 kts out of the SE for the east coast and westerly at KAPF.

MARINE

Issued at 1208 AM EST Wed Jan 7 2026

Light to gentle winds continue across the local waters through mid- week and likely into the late week period as high pressure presides over the area. Seas are expected mostly at 2 feet or less across all local waters.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Miami 80 67 80 69 / 10 0 0 0 West Kendall 82 61 82 64 / 10 0 0 0 Opa-Locka 82 65 82 67 / 10 0 0 0 Homestead 81 65 81 67 / 10 0 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 80 66 80 69 / 10 0 0 0 N Ft Lauderdale 80 67 80 69 / 10 0 0 0 Pembroke Pines 81 64 81 67 / 10 0 0 0 West Palm Beach 81 65 80 68 / 10 0 0 0 Boca Raton 81 65 81 69 / 10 0 0 0 Naples 79 60 82 64 / 0 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. AM...None. GM...None.