textproduct: Miami - South Florida

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 146 PM EST Sat Mar 7 2026

- A high risk of rip currents will continue for the Atlantic Coast beaches through the rest of the weekend.

- Temperatures will remain above normal through most of the upcoming week.

- Chances of showers and thunderstorms will increase towards the second half of the week as a cold front approaches the region.

UPDATE

Issued at 146 PM EST Sat Mar 7 2026

No major changes were made to the previous forecast as everything remains on track. The pressure gradient will begin to relax across the region this evening which will allow for the east southeasterly wind flow to begin to subside tonight. With winds subsiding, this may allow for some patchy fog to develop overnight into early Sunday morning across interior portions of Southwest Florida. Some of this fog does have a low chance, (20 to 30 percent) of becoming locally dense mainly west of Lake Okeechobee. This could reduce visibility to a quarter of a mile or less in spots just before sunrise. Any fog that does develop will lift shortly after sunrise on Sunday morning. Low temperatures tonight will generally range from the lower 60s across interior portions of Southwest Florida to the lower 70s across the east coast metro areas.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Sunday) Issued at 1205 AM EST Sat Mar 7 2026

Overall pattern will continue to hold this weekend with surface high pressure over the western Atlantic and mid/upper level ridging over the state of Florida. This will result in a breezy ESE flow continuing through the weekend. With PWAT values running 1.2-1.4 inches, occasional coastal showers will continue across the east coast metro, with some late day showers and isolated thunderstorms late in the day across SW FL. Some patchy fog is possible early this morning and again early Sunday morning over interior SW FL.

Temperatures this weekend will remain above normal with highs ranging from the low to mid 80s across the east coast metro to upper 80s and around 90 over inland SW FL. Lows tonight will be in the 60s/70s.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through Friday) Issued at 1205 AM EST Sat Mar 7 2026

High pressure will remain in the western Atlantic through the middle of next week. Mainly dry conditions will prevail with just a slight chance of coastal showers. A better chance of rain is expected towards the end of the work week as a frontal boundary slides south across FL, with some uncertainty regarding how far south the front reaches before stalling out. Regardless, this will increase the chances of showers and thunderstorms over the area for Thursday and Friday.

Temperatures will remain above normal through the extended period, with highs generally in the low/mid 80s across SE FL, and upper 80s to around 90 over SW FL. Lows each night will remain mild in the 60s/70s.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1224 PM EST Sat Mar 7 2026

Mostly VFR conditions will prevail throughout the forecast period. SE winds will continue and range from 10 to 15 kts this afternoon across the east coast terminals. Wind gusts of 20 to 25 kts will remain possible through 22z and then winds will gradually subside through the evening. At KAPF, winds will shift and become SW after 20z as a Gulf breeze develops.

MARINE

Issued at 1205 AM EST Sat Mar 7 2026

Moderate to fresh easterly winds expected today over the Atlantic waters, with light to gentle variable winds expected across the Gulf waters. Seas in the Atlantic will be 2-4 ft, and 2 ft or less in the Gulf.

BEACHES

Issued at 1205 AM EST Sat Mar 7 2026

Persistent easterly flow will result in a high risk of rip currents for the Atlantic beaches through at least the weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Miami 71 82 71 83 / 0 0 10 10 West Kendall 67 85 67 86 / 0 0 10 10 Opa-Locka 71 84 69 85 / 0 0 10 10 Homestead 71 84 70 84 / 0 0 10 10 Fort Lauderdale 71 82 70 82 / 0 0 10 10 N Ft Lauderdale 71 82 70 82 / 0 0 10 10 Pembroke Pines 71 84 70 86 / 0 0 10 10 West Palm Beach 70 82 69 83 / 10 10 10 10 Boca Raton 71 82 70 83 / 10 0 10 10 Naples 67 85 67 86 / 20 20 30 20

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday evening for FLZ168-172-173.

AM...None. GM...None.