textproduct: Miami - South Florida

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 628 PM EDT Sat Apr 11 2026 - Dangerous rip currents will remain in place across the Atlantic Coast beaches through the weekend. - Hazardous marine conditions linger across the Atlantic waters through the weekend due to elevated winds and seas. - Gusty east-northeasterly winds will continue through the weekend and into early next week.

SHORT TERM

(Rest of today through Sunday) Issued at 345 PM EDT Sat Apr 11 2026

Model guidance show broad/widespread ridging dominating the SE CONUS and the Florida peninsula in the wake of a trough/front passage, with a sfc ridge firmly in place around northern Florida. Meanwhile, SoFlo is expected to remain in the SW periphery of the high pressure circulation, keeping the area under a robust NE flow through the short term. Some breezy/gusty periods are possible, especially during the afternoon hours around the Atlantic coastline.

Weather conditions in general should remain benign as drier air and subsidence establish over SoFlo. Latest MFL sounding data show PWATs dropping below 1 inch, a trend that should continue at least through early next week. Any coastal shower that makes it over land should be quick and short-lived.

Afternoon temps are expected to remain in the upper 70s to low 80s for the Atlantic side of SoFlo, while interior and western portions should reach the mid-upper 80s each day. Nighttime lows should remain in the low-mid 60s inland, and around 70 near the coasts.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through Friday) Issued at 145 AM EDT Sat Apr 11 2026

Upper level ridging and surface high pressure will remain stagnant across the region through at least the middle of next week, preventing longwave troughs and frontal boundaries from approaching the local area. Long range ensemble guidance also maintains a lack of deep moisture for South Florida with PWATs below 1 inch and dew points peaking in the low to mid 60s. This will result in mainly dry conditions for South Florida but remaining breezy through Tuesday especially along the Atlantic coast. After Tuesday, the high pressure in the northeast begins to weaken and thus the overall pressure gradient relaxes and results in lighter winds for the middle to end of next week. This stagnant pattern may last all the way through the end of next week.

Daily high temperatures each day through the middle of next week will be on a slow uptick with highs ranging from the upper 70s to low 80s across the east coast metro and mid to upper 80s across SW FL through Tue/Wed. By the end of the week, highs across portions of SW Florida could reach the low 90s with the east coast metro rising into the mid 80s.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 628 PM EDT Sat Apr 11 2026

VFR expected to continue during the next 24 hours at all terminals as high pressure remains in control of the area. Winds remain moderate tonight from the ENE, then gusty again after 14Z.

MARINE

Issued at 145 AM EDT Sat Apr 11 2026

Hazardous marine conditions will continue across the Atlantic through this weekend while dropping off for the Gulf. ENE winds 20- 25 kts with gusts around 30 kts are expected for the next several days for the Atlantic with seas of 6-9 feet. Gulf seas during this same time frame are expected at 2-4 feet for the next few days.

BEACHES

Issued at 145 AM EDT Sat Apr 11 2026

Strong persistent easterly flow will result in a high risk of rip currents for the Atlantic beaches through this weekend.

In addition, dangerous surf conditions may linger today for the Palm Beaches with 6-10 ft waves possible in the surf zone.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Miami 68 80 69 81 / 0 0 0 0 West Kendall 65 82 66 83 / 0 0 0 0 Opa-Locka 68 81 68 82 / 0 0 0 0 Homestead 69 80 69 81 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 69 79 70 79 / 0 0 0 0 N Ft Lauderdale 68 79 69 79 / 0 0 0 0 Pembroke Pines 69 82 69 83 / 0 0 0 0 West Palm Beach 68 79 68 80 / 0 0 0 0 Boca Raton 68 79 69 79 / 0 0 0 0 Naples 65 86 64 87 / 0 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Monday evening for FLZ168-172-173.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Monday for AMZ630-650-651- 670-671.

GM...None.