textproduct: Miami - South Florida

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 621 AM EST Tue Jan 6 2026 - Areas of dense fog possible interior and SW Florida early Tuesday morning. Fog may stretch to portions of east coast metro, most likely in Palm Beach County.

- Gradual warming trend continues this week.

- Little to no rain expected.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Wednesday) Issued at 1214 AM EST Tue Jan 6 2026

The benign weather pattern continues into the mid-week period. The mid-level and upper-level ridge presence over the Florida Peninsula remains strong and does not look to break down any time soon. Thus, expect ongoing dry and warm conditions across South Florida through mid-week. Temperatures today and tomorrow are expected in the low 80s.

With the calm weather pattern and weak flow ongoing, the one thing to monitor the next couple of mornings is for areas of fog developing. This remains primarily a concern for interior and Southwest Florida early this morning and again early Wednesday morning. Dew points remain in the low to mid 60s and with clearing skies, radiational cooling gives a high chance for air temperatures to cool to the dew points and lead to fog formation. Latest HREF guidance gives a 50-70% chance for interior and Southwest Florida plus even areas closer to the metro areas of Palm Beach to see fog development that results in visibilities falling to a half mile or less this morning. Most likely time to see fog will be between 3-9 AM again both this morning and tomorrow morning. Dense Fog Advisories may become necessary as conditions develop, which will be monitored closely.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday night through Monday) Issued at 1214 AM EST Tue Jan 6 2026

A stagnant weather pattern looks to persist through the rest of the week and into this upcoming weekend as the ridging pattern continues to amplify and prevent troughs and frontal boundaries from pushing southwards and into the South Florida region. As a result, quiet weather will be ongoing for a while. Just enough low level moisture may stick around to provide low chances for a few isolated showers along the weak sea breezes each day, but overall the chances even for these brief weak showers are very low. Long range guidance is trying to hint at a frontal approach late this weekend, but with this being near the end of the forecast period the uncertainty is high.

High temperatures each day continue to rebound slowly with temperatures settling into the low to mid 80s for the middle to end of this week and the first half of the weekend. Some spots in the interior may reach the upper 80s late this week. Overnight lows during this same time frame will fall to the upper 50s and low 60s for interior and SW Florida each night, with east coast metro areas expected to see lows in the mid 60s.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 621 AM EST Tue Jan 6 2026

Mainly VFR conditions will prevail throughout the forecast period. Areas of fog over the interior portions should stay away from the terminals early this morning, however, periods of MVFR cannot be ruled out through 14z mainly across KTMB and KAPF. Light and variable winds this morning will increase out of the SE after 17z and will range between 5 and 10 kts this afternoon. At KAPF, winds will increase out of the SW after 17z as a Gulf breeze develops.

MARINE

Issued at 1214 AM EST Tue Jan 6 2026

Light to gentle winds continue across the local waters through mid- week and likely into the late week period as high pressure presides over the area. Seas are expected mostly at 2 feet or less across all local waters.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Miami 80 65 80 67 / 0 0 0 0 West Kendall 82 59 81 61 / 0 0 0 0 Opa-Locka 82 63 82 65 / 0 0 0 0 Homestead 80 62 80 64 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 79 63 79 66 / 0 0 0 0 N Ft Lauderdale 80 64 80 67 / 10 0 0 0 Pembroke Pines 81 62 81 64 / 0 0 0 0 West Palm Beach 80 62 81 65 / 10 0 0 0 Boca Raton 81 63 81 65 / 10 0 0 0 Naples 79 60 79 60 / 0 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for FLZ063-066- 067-070-071.

AM...None. GM...None.