textproduct: Miami - South Florida

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1212 PM EST Mon Nov 17 2025

- Mainly dry and seasonable conditions will remain in place across South Florida through at least the early portion of this week. - Patchy fog is possible early Tuesday morning over interior portions of South FL.

- Above normal temperatures may return to portions of South Florida towards the middle and the end of the week as mid level ridging strengthens over the region.

UPDATE

Issued at 1212 PM EST Mon Nov 17 2025

Another beautiful day across South FL with plenty of sunshine and near normal temps. Added patchy fog into the grids for early Tuesday morning over interior South FL, should be another repeat of this morning favoring the typical fog prone locations. Otherwise, no significant changes to the short term or long term forecasts.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Tuesday) Issued at 1203 AM EST Mon Nov 17 2025

Zonal flow remains established over South Florida through the first couple days of the work-week as surface high pressure remains across the Southeast CONUS. To the north, a weakening frontal boundary remains across Northern Florida early this morning and this feature will slowly try to progress southward through Tuesday. In response, north-northwest flow will prevail across the area today, shifting more northerly on Tuesday morning and finally northeasterly by Tuesday afternoon as this weak boundary dissipates over the area. With an abundance of dry air in place throughout most of the atmospheric column, (PWAT values hovering between 0.7 and 0.9 inches), the sensible weather across South Florida will remain dry and pleasant throughout the first half of the week.

High temperatures will remain right around climatological normals today with highs in the lower 80s. On Tuesday, most areas should remain in the lower 80s however portions of interior South Florida may peak in the mid or even upper 80s.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 1203 AM EST Mon Nov 17 2025

Fairly benign and quiet sensible weather prevails through the long term forecast period through next Monday. Mid-level ridging builds across the Gulf by the mid-week timeframe which should keep South Florida firmly in an easterly regime for the Wednesday-Saturday timeframe. Slightly increased moisture associated with an ex-frontal boundary will linger on Wednesday, which could support isolated shower activity embedded in the easterly flow along the immediate east coast. With an abundance of dry air remaining in place across the mid to upper levels, any shower that does develop heading into the middle of the week will remain low topped and rather short lived. As the mid level ridge strengthens across the region, easterly surface flow will increase as the pressure gradient tightens leading to breezy conditions over the local Atlantic waters and along the southeast coastline.

Through the end of the week and weekend timeframe, high pressure remains in control of the sensible weather across South Florida with PWATs remaining around 1 inch or less. This should continue to support dry and mainly sunny conditions through the weekend. Towards the end of the period, the next frontal boundary will be approaching from the north which is expected to bring the next pattern change to shake things up. In the meantime, we enjoy the sunshine and breezy easterly flow (which could very well continue into NEXT week as well).

With the increasing easterly surface wind flow, temperatures will slowly start moderating heading into the middle of the week. High temperatures Wednesday through the weekend will generally range from the lower 80s across the east coast metro areas to the mid to upper 80s across interior portions of Southwest Florida.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1212 PM EST Mon Nov 17 2025

VFR through the 18Z TAF period. Winds this afternoon become NE 5-10 kts across the east coast metro with a westerly Gulf breeze at APF. Light and variable winds late tonight. Some patchy fog possible over interior South FL early Tuesday morning.

MARINE

Issued at 1203 AM EST Mon Nov 17 2025

A gentle northwesterly breeze will prevail across most of the local waters today. Winds are expected to veer to the north-northeast by late Tuesday. Wave heights across all local waters will remain 3 feet or less over the next few days.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Miami 67 83 70 84 / 0 0 0 0 West Kendall 62 84 65 84 / 0 0 0 0 Opa-Locka 66 84 69 84 / 0 0 0 0 Homestead 65 82 68 83 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 66 82 70 82 / 0 0 0 0 N Ft Lauderdale 67 82 70 83 / 0 0 0 0 Pembroke Pines 66 85 69 86 / 0 0 0 0 West Palm Beach 66 83 70 84 / 0 0 0 0 Boca Raton 66 84 70 84 / 0 0 0 0 Naples 63 84 65 85 / 0 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. AM...None. GM...None.