textproduct: Miami - South Florida

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 303 PM EST Fri Mar 6 2026

- High Rip Current Risk along Atlantic beaches continues through the weekend.

- Temperatures remain above normal through the next week.

SHORT TERM

(Rest of today through Saturday) Issued at 303 PM EST Fri Mar 6 2026

With ridging expanding both at the sfc and aloft, SoFlo should see minimal shower activity today, especially over the eastern half. The Gulf coast could still see a little more activity during the rest of the afternoon hours, but with less coverage compared to yesterday.

In general, ridging aloft will help in keeping most of the cells in the Cu field fairly shallow, with mainly quick passing showers streaming ESE to WNW. Moderately tight pressure gradients through the afternoon hours will keep gusty periods in place, with locations along the Atlantic coastline experiencing 20-25 mph gusts at times. Latest KEY and MFL sounding data show PWATs remaining in the 1.25- 1.50", enough to keep supporting occasional showers, favoring the west half of SoFlo.

For the afternoon update, the initial NBM solution seems reasonable and no significant updates are required attm with SoFlo remaining under a prevailing ESE wind regime for the rest of the short term. Chances for thunderstorms remain very limited with minimal synoptic forcing available.

Afternoon highs should hit the L-M80s across the east coast metro areas, and into the U80s or even 90 over inland areas. Lows tonight will be in the M-U60s to L70s.

LONG TERM

(Saturday night through Thursday) Issued at 1202 AM EST Fri Mar 6 2026

The overall pattern will remain in place through at least early next week with high pressure in the western Atlantic and upper level ridging over the SE US. Low chances of coastal showers will be possible each day. A frontal boundary approaches the area late next week bringing slightly higher chances for rainfall. Early indications are that the frontal boundary will struggle to reach much further south than the Lake region before stalling and dissipating, so there may not be much if any humidity relief the end of next week.

Temperatures will remain above normal through the extended period, with highs generally in the low/mid 80s across SE FL, and upper 80s to around 90 over SW FL. Lows each night will remain mild in the 60s/70s.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1205 PM EST Fri Mar 6 2026

VFR should prevail at all terminals during the next 24 hours. ESE winds continue through the forecast period, ranging between 10 to 15 kts. Periods of gusts to 25 kts are still expected through around 00-01Z, then remaining around 10kt overnight. Gusty periods will then return after 15Z. An isolated fast moving shower cannot be ruled out through this evening, with better chances around APF.

MARINE

Issued at 1202 AM EST Fri Mar 6 2026

Moderate to fresh easterly winds continue today across the local waters, with winds becoming gentle and more southerly in the Gulf waters late in the day. Seas in the Atlantic will be 2-4 ft and 1-2 ft in the Gulf.

BEACHES

Issued at 1202 AM EST Fri Mar 6 2026

Persistent easterly flow will result in a high risk of rip currents for the Atlantic beaches through at least the weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Miami 72 82 71 82 / 10 20 10 20 West Kendall 68 84 67 85 / 10 10 10 10 Opa-Locka 71 83 70 84 / 10 20 10 20 Homestead 72 83 72 84 / 10 10 10 10 Fort Lauderdale 72 81 71 81 / 10 20 10 10 N Ft Lauderdale 72 81 71 81 / 20 20 10 10 Pembroke Pines 71 83 70 84 / 10 20 10 10 West Palm Beach 71 81 69 82 / 20 30 10 10 Boca Raton 71 81 70 82 / 20 30 10 10 Naples 68 86 66 85 / 10 20 20 30

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday evening for FLZ168-172-173.

AM...None. GM...None.