textproduct: Miami - South Florida

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 100 PM EST Sun Mar 1 2026

- Patchy dense fog possible early this morning, mainly across interior South Florida and Southwest Florida. - Smoke from wildfire activity may create dangerous driving conditions across portions of I-75, Tamiami Trail, and SR-29 today.

- Increasing northeasterly flow early next week will lead to an increased rip current risk and potentially hazardous marine conditions across Atlantic waters.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Monday) Issued at 1218 AM EST Sun Mar 1 2026

A decaying frontal boundary sits over the South Florida region early this morning and will remain across the area as it continues to fizzle out. This will lead to a chance for scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms periodically throughout today and tomorrow. Thunderstorm chances will be maximized during the afternoon hours with peak diurnal heating, although coastal showers will be possible through the overnight hours Sunday into Monday as well.

On Monday, the surface pressure gradient begins to tighten as surface high pressure becomes established across the Southeast CONUS. This will lead to breezier northeast winds beginning late Monday afternoon into Monday evening, especially for the immediate east coast.

High temperatures today and tomorrow will reach the low to mid 80s with lows in the 60s overnight.

LONG TERM

(Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 1218 AM EST Sun Mar 1 2026

Breezy northeast flow continues through at least mid-week as the surface pressure gradient remains tight. There will be a chance (30- 40%) for showers each day through the period as ample moisture remains with highest chances across local Atlantic waters and along the immediate east coast due to the breezier east-northeast flow. Surface flow veers more easterly towards the end of the week as surface high pressure across the western Atlantic builds westward.

High temperatures should remain in the low 80s for east coast metro areas, however due to the long duration easterly flow, a warming trend is expected for interior and Southwest Florida and highs could approach the upper 80s to low 90s by the end of the work-week.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 100 PM EST Sun Mar 1 2026

Thunderstorms and associated restrictions will be most likely from OPF through TMB over the next few hours. There after, VFR should prevail at all terminals through a majority of the night. Scattered light showers and MVFR ceilings will be possible down the east coast early tomorrow morning through early afternoon. Winds may gust around 20 knots from time to time tomorrow afternoon as well.

MARINE

Issued at 1218 AM EST Sun Mar 1 2026

Outside of locally elevated seas and winds in and around any shower or thunderstorm activity, conditions will remain benign across all local waters through the remainder of the weekend. Locally dense fog may occur this morning across the nearshore Gulf and Lake Okeechobee waters, which will result in lower visibilities than normal. The development of a pressure gradient next week will act to establish a breezy to at times gusty easterly wind flow across the region during the beginning of next week. This will usher in a duration of likely Advisory conditions across the Atlantic waters during this time frame.

BEACHES

Issued at 1218 AM EST Sun Mar 1 2026

Low risk for rip currents across all local beaches today, however the risk is poised to increase early next week as breezy northeasterly flow develops.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Miami 68 79 70 80 / 30 30 30 30 West Kendall 64 82 65 82 / 30 30 30 20 Opa-Locka 67 81 68 81 / 30 30 30 30 Homestead 68 80 69 81 / 30 30 30 30 Fort Lauderdale 68 77 68 78 / 30 30 40 30 N Ft Lauderdale 68 78 69 78 / 40 30 30 30 Pembroke Pines 68 81 68 82 / 30 30 30 30 West Palm Beach 67 77 68 79 / 30 20 30 30 Boca Raton 67 79 68 80 / 40 30 40 30 Naples 64 83 65 84 / 20 40 30 30

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. AM...None. GM...None.