textproduct: Miami - South Florida

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 541 AM EST Wed Feb 4 2026

- High risk of rip currents today for the Palm Beaches.

- Hazardous marine conditions return Thursday with the passage of a cold front.

- Colder weather returns Thursday into Friday in the wake of a passing cold front, followed by warmer temperatures this weekend.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Thursday) Issued at 126 AM EST Wed Feb 4 2026

Dry weather continues across South FL today as high pressure sits over the state early this morning and then will shift off to the east as the day progresses. Some patchy fog is possible over the interior this morning. Plenty of sunshine expected today with partly cloudy skies. With the high shifting to the east, winds will become southerly this afternoon but remaining rather light only 5-10 mph. With the southerly flow developing, temperatures will be much closer to normal with high this afternoon ranging from the low to middle 70s.

Fairly comfortable night expected, especially by the standards of this past week. Overnight lows will range from the upper 40s around the lake, to mid and upper 50s closer to the coasts. Some patchy fog will be possible over interior and SW FL.

On Thursday a cold front associated with a system moving through the SE US will slowly cross South FL, while at the upper levels a deep trough will dig south across the area, with the trough axis crossing Florida late in the day. Moisture will be diminishing as it progresses across South FL, with the best chances of measurable rainfall around the lake region and SW FL. QPF amounts are only about a tenth of an inch, with 90th percentile amounts only about 0.2-0.4 inches, so certainly nothing that will put a dent into the regions ongoing drought. High temperatures on Thursday will be highly variable. With the front crossing the lake region early in the day highs up there will only reach the low to mid 60s, where low to mid 70s are expected over SE FL with the front not fully crossing there until the afternoon hours.

LONG TERM

(Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 126 AM EST Wed Feb 4 2026

Behind the frontal passage, strong high pressure over the western Gulf will build in and allow colder air to filter into the region. The deep upper level trough will quickly move off to the east with upper level ridging starting to build in over the weekend. A dry backdoor front crosses the area this weekend, but will have little impact on temperatures. This means that the cold air won't stick around long with Friday being the coldest day of the week. Some cold headlines will likely be needed for Friday morning with lows in the mid to upper 30s across interior SW FL, and upper 30s to lower 40s across the east coast metro. High temps on Friday will only reach the middle 60s.

Moderating trend will be swift this weekend with slightly below normal high temps on Saturday, and then right around normal for Sunday into early next week. Overnight lows will remain a bit chilly, especially over inland areas and around the lake. Lows each night this weekend through early next week will generally be in the 40s/50s. No rainfall is expected Friday through early next week.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 625 AM EST Wed Feb 4 2026

VFR prevails during the next 24 hours at all terminals. Light and variable winds will shift SE 5-10 kts after 16-17Z, except for westerly flow at APF with afternoon Gulf breezes. Winds tonight will return to light and variable.

MARINE

Issued at 126 AM EST Wed Feb 4 2026

Gentle southerly winds develop in the Atlantic waters by this afternoon, with light and variable winds in the Gulf waters. Seas 1- 2 ft in the Gulf and 2-4 ft in the Atlantic.

Hazardous winds and seas return on Thursday as a strong cold front moves across the area. The hazardous conditions will last in the Gulf waters through early Friday, and will linger into the weekend for the Atlantic waters.

BEACHES

Issued at 126 AM EST Wed Feb 4 2026

Lingering swell will result in a high risk of rip currents today for the Palm Beaches, and an elevated risk for the Broward and Miami- Dade beaches. The threat of rip currents for the Collier beaches will increase on Thursday as a cold front moving through the area will result in a strong onshore flow.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Miami 74 57 73 44 / 0 0 30 0 West Kendall 75 52 74 38 / 0 0 30 0 Opa-Locka 75 56 73 42 / 0 0 30 0 Homestead 74 55 74 42 / 0 0 20 0 Fort Lauderdale 73 56 72 43 / 0 0 40 0 N Ft Lauderdale 73 57 72 43 / 0 0 40 0 Pembroke Pines 75 55 74 42 / 0 0 30 0 West Palm Beach 74 54 70 42 / 0 0 40 0 Boca Raton 74 55 72 42 / 10 0 40 0 Naples 73 56 68 44 / 0 20 70 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday morning for FLZ168.

AM...None. GM...None.