textproduct: Miami - South Florida

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1235 AM EST Mon Jan 5 2026 - Areas of dense fog possible interior and SW Florida early Monday morning.

- Gradual warming trend continues this week.

- Little to no rain expected.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Tuesday) Issued at 1235 AM EST Mon Jan 5 2026

A tranquil weather pattern sets up early this week in the wake of the previous front yesterday. A mid-level and upper-level ridge will form over the area and overspread the Florida Peninsula for at least the next few days while surface high pressure sits over the western Atlantic. The end result of this will be gradually warming temperatures and dry weather conditions for today and tomorrow, which are expected to generally be in the low 80s across the region.

The only mentionable item will be the potential for areas of fog to develop, mainly over interior and Southwest Florida early this morning and again Monday night. Dew points have climbed back into the low to mid 60s and will remain that way since the flow pattern is extremely weak. With high pressure dominance creating a scenario suitable for mostly clear skies and light winds each night, there will be potential for patchy to dense fog development. Latest HREF guidance gives a 40-60% chance for interior and Southwest Florida to see fog development that results in visibilities falling to a half mile or less. Most likely time to see fog will be after 3 AM until about 9 AM both today and again tomorrow. Short-range ensembles highlight that fog tomorrow morning could even get closer to the east coast metro areas, so this will be something to monitor. Otherwise, besides this fog development in the late night hours, an extremely quiet weather pattern will be in place.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 1235 AM EST Mon Jan 5 2026

A stagnant weather pattern looks to persist through the rest of the week and into this next weekend as the ridging pattern continues to amplify and prevent frontal boundaries from pushing southwards and into the South Florida region. As a result, quiet weather will be ongoing through most if not all of the next six to seven days. Just enough low level moisture may stick around to provide low chances of a few isolated showers along the weak sea breezes each day, but overall the chances even for these brief weak showers are very low.

High temperatures each day continue to rebound slowly with temperatures settling into the low to mid 80s for the middle to end of this week and the weekend. Overnight lows will fall to the upper 50s and low 60s for interior and SW Florida each night, with east coast metro areas expected to see lows in the mid 60s.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1200 AM EST Mon Jan 5 2026

Light winds tonight, increasing out of the east for the east coast terminals to around 10 kts after 15-16Z. Areas of patchy to dense fog looks probable tonight, but should form west of the east coast terminals, although KTMB will need to be monitored for possible MVFR/IFR CIGs. KAPF is the other site that could see fog result in lower CIGs. Light and variable winds return again tomorrow night.

MARINE

Issued at 1235 AM EST Mon Jan 5 2026

Light to gentle winds across the local waters for the next several days as high pressure builds over the area. Seas are expected at 2-4 feet in the Atlantic early this week with Gulf seas at 2 feet or less.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Miami 79 65 80 65 / 0 0 0 0 West Kendall 81 59 81 59 / 0 0 0 0 Opa-Locka 80 63 81 63 / 0 0 10 0 Homestead 80 63 80 62 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 78 65 79 64 / 10 10 10 0 N Ft Lauderdale 78 66 80 65 / 10 10 10 0 Pembroke Pines 80 63 80 62 / 10 0 10 0 West Palm Beach 78 64 80 62 / 10 10 10 0 Boca Raton 79 64 80 63 / 10 10 10 0 Naples 79 61 79 60 / 0 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. AM...None. GM...None.