textproduct: Miami - South Florida
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1202 AM EST Sun Nov 30 2025
- Hazardous marine conditions continue through this morning for the Gulf waters and early this afternoon for the Atlantic waters.
- A high rip current risk continues through Monday for the Atlantic beaches. - Scattered light rain showers possible throughout the day.
SHORT TERM
(Today through Monday) Issued at 1202 AM EST Sun Nov 30 2025
Warm front will lift north across the area today before settling over northern FL on Monday. Latest 00Z MFL sounding shows a PWAT value of 1.21 inches, with much of the moisture confined below 800 MB. Latest HREF shows moisture slowly surging north across the state throughout the day. Scattered showers will be more likely across the entire east coast metro today, with fairly low chances over inland and SW FL. Rainfall amounts will be fairly meager, with most areas seeing a tenth of an inch or less. With the pressure gradient relaxing today, winds won't be nearly as breezy as the past couple days, but could still see some afternoon gusts in the 20-25 mph range especially close to the Atlantic coast. High temps this afternoon will range from the lower 80s across the east coast metro to mid 80s over SW FL. Some coastal showers will continue into this evening along the Atlantic coast, with fairly dry conditions expected inland. Low temps will be mild ranging from the lower 60s around the lake to the lower 70s over SE FL.
With the frontal boundary over northern FL on Monday, rainfall chances will be diminished over South FL, however some widely scattered coastal showers will remain possible. High temps will again range from the lower 80s across the east coast metro to middle 80s over SW FL.
LONG TERM
(Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 1202 AM EST Sun Nov 30 2025
Tuesday will be the warmest day of the week with southerly flow in place. Some scattered showers are possible late in the day north of Alligator Alley, with most of the SE FL metro remaining dry. A cold front crosses the area early Wednesday, with little to no moisture associated with it. The front will however bring some relief in terms of temps and lower humidity for the remainder of the work week.
High temps on Tuesday will be in the mid to upper 80s, and then low to mid 80s are expected for highs the remainder of the week. Low temps will be in the 60s/70s Tuesday night, and then 50s/60s from mid week through the end of the work week.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1202 AM EST Sun Nov 30 2025
ENE winds 10-15 kts with gusts of 20-25 kts through early this evening. SCT showers possible throughout the day across the east coast metro. MVFR ceilings will be prevailing for the east coast terminals.
MARINE
Issued at 1202 AM EST Sun Nov 30 2025
Hazardous winds and seas will continue through early this morning across the Atlantic waters, with cautionary ENE winds across the area waters through Monday. 6-10 ft waves in the Atlantic early this morning subside to 3-5 ft by this evening. 3-5 ft waves this morning in the Gulf will subside to 1-3 ft by this evening. A brief period of hazardous winds are possible late Tuesday in the northern Atlantic waters ahead of an approaching cold front.
BEACHES
Issued at 1202 AM EST Sun Nov 30 2025
Strong easterly flow continues today which will result in a high risk of rip currents for the Atlantic beaches. The threat may continue through Monday before conditions improve on Tuesday as the low level flow becomes more southerly.
With the strong easterly flow through this morning, waves of 6-8 ft in the surf zone are possible along portions of the Atlantic beaches. As the easterly flow weakens later in the day, waves are projected to subside.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 82 72 82 73 / 30 10 10 10 West Kendall 82 68 84 70 / 20 10 10 0 Opa-Locka 82 70 83 72 / 30 10 10 10 Homestead 81 71 82 73 / 30 10 10 0 Fort Lauderdale 80 71 81 73 / 30 10 10 10 N Ft Lauderdale 81 72 81 73 / 30 10 10 10 Pembroke Pines 83 70 84 72 / 30 10 10 10 West Palm Beach 81 70 81 71 / 20 10 10 10 Boca Raton 82 71 83 72 / 30 10 10 10 Naples 85 67 85 69 / 10 0 0 0
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Monday evening for FLZ168-172-173.
High Surf Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for FLZ168-172- 173.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for AMZ630.
Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for AMZ650- 651-670-671.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for GMZ656-657- 676.
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