textproduct: Miami - South Florida

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 232 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

- Hazardous marine and beach conditions will continue today while gradually improving.

- Temperatures will slowly moderate over the coming week.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Thursday) Issued at 232 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

A weaker, but still present eastern CONUS trough will remain in place through the period. At the surface, high pressure will center over the eastern Gulf and result in a more maritime easterly low-level flow pattern. This will increase dewpoints and moderate overnight lows, while the less anomalous temperatures aloft will allow for diurnal mixing to warm temperatures through the middle and upper 70s by Thursday. Even with these changes, we'll still remain a few degrees below normal on the lows and highs through Thursday.

LONG TERM

(Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 232 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

The upper-level pattern will become more progressive late this week through the weekend. Global ensembles have some large differences wrt the timing of a large northern stream shortwave and just how amplified the trough/ridge pattern becomes. However, it appears that there aren't many sensible weather differences (Temp/Precip) regardless of the evolution. At this time, expect heights across Florida to increase and become mostly zonal by early next week. At the surface, high pressure will continue to dominate, with low-level flow veering from easterly to more southerly as the ridge axis shifts.

All of this will mean continued moderating of high and low temps to near and then above average, and no rain.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1229 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

VFR conditions, under a broken mid-level east coast cloud deck will prevail through the TAF. NNE winds will peak around 10 knots this afternoon.

MARINE

Issued at 232 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

Winds should subside below Advisory level for Gulf and Atlantic waters by sunrise. It will probably take most of the day for seas along the Gulf Stream to fall below Advisory levels though. Beyond today, generally ENE winds will prevail around 10-15 knots through the end of the week. Wind should calm even more by the weekend as high pressure settles south.

BEACHES

Issued at 232 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

As easterly winds and elevated seas and surf slowly subside, a high risk of rip currents will still exist across Atlantic beaches through today.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Miami 76 65 79 65 / 0 0 0 0 West Kendall 77 61 79 61 / 0 0 0 0 Opa-Locka 77 64 79 65 / 0 0 0 0 Homestead 77 64 79 64 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 74 65 77 65 / 0 0 0 0 N Ft Lauderdale 75 65 78 65 / 0 0 0 0 Pembroke Pines 78 64 81 65 / 0 0 0 0 West Palm Beach 75 63 79 64 / 0 0 0 0 Boca Raton 77 64 79 64 / 0 0 0 0 Naples 77 57 79 57 / 0 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday evening for FLZ168-172- 173.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for AMZ630- 650-651-670-671.

GM...None.