textproduct: Miami - South Florida

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 536 PM EST Sun Feb 8 2026

- Hazardous marine conditions will continue across the northern Atlantic waters through early Monday.

- Enhanced fire behavior remains possible this afternoon across inland portions of South Florida.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Monday) Issued at 1211 AM EST Sun Feb 8 2026

Calm weather will continue for all of South Florida to end the weekend and begin next week as an abundantly dry air mass combined with both an upper level ridge and surface high pressure expanding over the area will create a setup that favors mostly sunny skies. As winds shift east-northeast today with the high pressure circulation shifting over the region, a few harmless clouds may stream in from the local water but that is about it. High temperatures today and Monday will reach the mid to upper 70s across the region.

One thing to monitor today will be the ongoing containment of a wildfire named the 'Buggy Fire' which is centered near the HoleyLand Wildlife Management Area. This location is near the Broward and Palm Beach County line. As the fire continues to be worked on for containment, smoke may continue to drift and reduce visibilities and/or lower air quality. Transport winds will be out of the NE today, so any smoke will drift to a southwest direction. Additionally, with an overnight inversion remaining in place through the mid-morning, trapped smoke near the ground can significantly reduce visibilities along I-75 and Alligator Alley.

LONG TERM

(Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 1211 AM EST Sun Feb 8 2026

The ridge pattern over the Gulf and southeast U.S. will remain in place through the first half of next week with the surface high pressure expected to settle over the Florida Peninsula through Wednesday. This will keep extremely quiet weather in place through the middle of next week despite a mid-level shortwave trough attempting to advect through the region on Tuesday into Wednesday. This shortwave will not be able to cause an increase in rain chances as the air mass remains dry and the trough will have a positive tilted, which correlates to less instability. This will also be occurring with strong surface high pressure over the region, so expect dry conditions to continue through mid-week and temperatures gradually rising each day. By Wednesday, most of the region could see temperatures back into the low 80s. By the end of the week, temperatures have a chance to reach the mid 80s for most areas.

Heading into late this week, a potent shortwave trough is modeled to advect eastward which will weaken the ridge and eventually force the ridge out of the area. With that said, even with this trough providing forcing for ascent, moisture advection looks to be lacking and the trough itself will lose some of its power as it breaks down the ridge in its approach to South Florida. Therefore, rain chances are still very low to non-existent for this time frame and heading into next weekend. However, uncertainty remains on this and PoPs can be adjusted if necessary in the next few days. For now, mostly dry conditions are expected to continue through the end of next week and into next weekend with perhaps just some increases in cloud cover at times.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 605 PM EST Sun Feb 8 2026

VFR prevails at all terminals during the next 24 hours. Light variable winds tonight, then SE in the 8-10kt range after 16Z. APF will again see westerly flow after 17Z with Gulf breezes. Winds become light and variable again Monday night.

MARINE

Issued at 1211 AM EST Sun Feb 8 2026

Hazardous conditions linger across the Atlantic waters today despite winds decreasing because of a northeast swell. Seas in these waters will be 6-8 feet. Conditions should improve early this coming week. Gulf seas will be 3-5 feet today before falling to 2 feet or less early this week.

BEACHES

Issued at 1211 AM EST Sun Feb 8 2026

An elevated risk for rip currents will return to the Atlantic beaches this weekend with a high risk expected for most of them as winds shift to an onshore direction and remain breezy. Additionally, a northeast swell will contribute to the high risk potential.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Miami 58 74 58 75 / 0 0 0 0 West Kendall 52 76 53 77 / 0 0 0 0 Opa-Locka 56 75 57 77 / 0 0 0 0 Homestead 56 74 57 76 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 57 73 58 74 / 0 0 0 0 N Ft Lauderdale 57 73 58 75 / 0 0 0 0 Pembroke Pines 55 75 56 77 / 0 0 0 0 West Palm Beach 55 74 56 76 / 0 0 0 0 Boca Raton 55 74 57 76 / 0 0 0 0 Naples 53 73 53 75 / 0 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Monday evening for FLZ168-172.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Monday for AMZ650-670.

GM...None.