textproduct: Miami - South Florida

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 626 PM EDT Sat Oct 10 2026

- Minor coastal flooding will remain possible during periods of high tide across all coastal areas of South Florida through Sunday morning.

- Breezy onshore winds will keep a threat of dangerous rip currents at all area beaches today, with the greatest risk along the coast of Collier and Palm Beach counties.

- Hazardous to cautionary marine conditions will continue across the local waters of South Florida today before winds subside overnight into early Sunday.

SHORT TERM

(Rest of today through Sunday) Issued at 356 PM EDT Sat Oct 10 2026

As the remnants of Isaias become absorbed into the larger scale southern stream upper level flow, trailing moisture will linger over a good portion of the peninsula of Florida to close out the weekend. Accordingly, shower and some thunderstorm chances will remain in the forecast through the short term period with the southerly wind component remaining. Accordingly, convection moving from south to north focused along a band could create the risk for a few rounds of heavy rainfall. If coincident with a previously saturated area, this could lead to some ponding of water or even minor flooding. The deeper tropical moisture opens the door for some tricky heat index potential which could see values in the triple digits at times on Sunday afternoon though the breeze does help with comfort compared to a typical summer day.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 356 PM EDT Sat Oct 10 2026

As the remnants of Isaias pull to the north and east, an area of drier air will emerge from the central United States and move into the region by Tuesday. While high temperatures may not see a drastic change behind this frontal boundary, dewpoint values and low temperatures could offer some relief from the tropically support warmth we have experienced over the last few days.

Larger-scale high pressure will build at the surface over a good portion of the southeastern United States by mid-week which will help the drier air linger over the region until late in the week. Eventually the high will shift slightly north and open the door for the return of moist easterly flow from the Caribbean and Atlantic over South Florida. With that shift in pattern also comes a return for shower and thunderstorm chances across South Florida to close out the forecast period.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 626 PM EDT Sat Oct 10 2026

Generally VFR though showers/storms could lead to brief bouts of sub-VFR, particularly at APF. Southerly to southeasterly wind flow that could be gusty at times, particularly around showers and storms. Wind at APF will turn more westerly/onshore with the Gulf breeze in the afternoon.

MARINE

Issued at 356 PM EDT Sat Oct 10 2026

Wind conditions will slowly improve through the rest of afternoon and evening but small craft should continue to exercise caution. Seas across the Atlantic waters will generally range between 2-3 feet today into Sunday while seas across the Gulf waters will reach up to 6-7 feet today before decreasing into the 2-3 feet tomorrow. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible across all local waters through the remainder of the weekend.

BEACHES

Issued at 356 PM EDT Sat Oct 10 2026

An elevated rip current risk will persist at most of the beaches on both coasts of South Florida through the weekend. Minor coastal flooding will remain possible across all coastal locations of South Florida during each high tide cycle for the remainder of the weekend due to King Tides associated with the new moon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Miami 80 91 78 90 / 30 20 10 40 West Kendall 79 91 76 90 / 30 20 10 40 Opa-Locka 80 91 77 90 / 30 20 10 40 Homestead 80 91 77 90 / 30 10 10 40 Fort Lauderdale 80 90 77 88 / 30 20 10 30 N Ft Lauderdale 80 91 77 88 / 30 20 10 30 Pembroke Pines 80 91 77 89 / 30 20 10 30 West Palm Beach 79 91 76 87 / 30 40 10 20 Boca Raton 80 90 77 87 / 30 20 10 20 Naples 78 87 75 88 / 60 50 20 10

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...High Rip Current Risk until 8 PM EDT this evening for FLZ069-168.

AM...None. GM...None.