textproduct: Miami - South Florida

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 603 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025

- A high rip current risk continues through Monday for the Atlantic beaches. - Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms through Tuesday before drier conditions return for mid week.

SHORT TERM

(Rest of today through Monday) Issued at 1250 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025

A weak frontal boundary continues to slowly lift northward across the region this afternoon. This, combined with some coastal convergence taking place, has allowed for scattered showers to develop over the eastern half of the region. The heaviest showers continue to push across Broward and northern Miami Dade Counties as of early this afternoon. ACARS data from 1730z does show plenty of dry air across the mid to upper levels. This should keep most of the shower activity low topped for the rest of this afternoon. There is just enough lift and instability in place, however, to support some heavier shower activity and maybe even a rumble of thunder or two as CAPE values currently of 1000-1500 J/kg rise and range from 2000-2500 J/kg as the afternoon progresses due to diurnal heating. As moisture advection continues throughout the day and PWATs continue to rise, heavy downpours will remain possible with the stronger shower activity this afternoon.

Easterly winds will remain rather gusty through the afternoon hours as well with the pressure gradient remaining tight over South Florida. Gusts of 20 to 25 mph will remain possible until early this evening. As the weak frontal boundary pushes further to the north, winds will slowly start to subside as the evening progresses. Some shower activity will remain possible across the east coast through the evening hours, however, it should slowly start to diminish overnight as the frontal boundary pushes further to the north into Central Florida. Low temperatures tonight will generally range from the mid 60s across the Lake Okeechobee region to the lower 70s across the east coast metro areas.

With the frontal boundary continuing to progress northward on Monday, rainfall chances will be lower compared to this afternoon over South Florida. However, some widely scattered coastal showers will remain possible. High temps will again range from the lower 80s across the east coast metro to middle 80s over Southwest Florida.

LONG TERM

(Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 1202 AM EST Sun Nov 30 2025

Tuesday will be the warmest day of the week with southerly flow in place. Some scattered showers are possible late in the day north of Alligator Alley, with most of the SE FL metro remaining dry. A cold front crosses the area early Wednesday, with little to no moisture associated with it. The front will however bring some relief in terms of temps and lower humidity for the remainder of the work week.

High temps on Tuesday will be in the mid to upper 80s, and then low to mid 80s are expected for highs the remainder of the week. Low temps will be in the 60s/70s Tuesday night, and then 50s/60s from mid week through the end of the work week.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 603 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025

SCT to BKN MVFR ceilings across the east coast metro through the overnight hours. Easterly winds 5-10 kts becoming 10-15 kts after 16Z Monday. A brief westerly Gulf breeze is possible at APF in the afternoon. Scattered showers possible through the period across the east coast metro.

MARINE

Issued at 1202 AM EST Sun Nov 30 2025

Hazardous winds and seas will continue through early this morning across the Atlantic waters, with cautionary ENE winds across the area waters through Monday. 6-10 ft waves in the Atlantic early this morning subside to 3-5 ft by this evening. 3-5 ft waves this morning in the Gulf will subside to 1-3 ft by this evening. A brief period of hazardous winds are possible late Tuesday in the northern Atlantic waters ahead of an approaching cold front.

BEACHES

Issued at 1202 AM EST Sun Nov 30 2025

Strong easterly flow continues today which will result in a high risk of rip currents for the Atlantic beaches. The threat may continue through Monday before conditions improve on Tuesday as the low level flow becomes more southerly.

With the strong easterly flow through this morning, waves of 6-8 ft in the surf zone are possible along portions of the Atlantic beaches. As the easterly flow weakens later in the day, waves are projected to subside.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Miami 71 83 73 84 / 20 10 10 20 West Kendall 68 83 70 85 / 20 10 10 10 Opa-Locka 71 83 72 85 / 30 10 10 20 Homestead 71 83 73 84 / 10 10 10 10 Fort Lauderdale 71 81 73 84 / 30 20 10 20 N Ft Lauderdale 71 81 73 85 / 40 20 10 30 Pembroke Pines 70 84 73 86 / 30 20 10 20 West Palm Beach 71 82 72 86 / 30 30 10 30 Boca Raton 71 83 72 86 / 30 30 10 30 Naples 68 85 70 82 / 10 20 0 20

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Monday evening for FLZ168-172-173.

AM...None. GM...None.