textproduct: Miami - South Florida

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 100 PM EDT Sat Apr 11 2026 - Dangerous rip currents will remain in place across the Atlantic Coast beaches through the weekend. - Hazardous marine conditions linger across the Atlantic waters through the weekend due to elevated winds and seas. - Gusty east-northeasterly winds will continue through the weekend and into early next week.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Sunday) Issued at 145 AM EDT Sat Apr 11 2026

Stout surface high pressure will position itself over the southeast U.S. centered over the Carolinas down towards the Florida Panhandle this weekend. In addition, an upper-level ridging pattern sets up across the region as the previous shortwave trough advects further offshore. With the surface high in the northeast remaining strong, breezy east-northeast winds will continue for the next several days. Given this high pressure regime, mostly dry weather conditions are expected to prevail for this weekend. As of the 00Z upper air observed sounding and latest ACARS soundings, PWATs have fallen below 1" and are expected to remain on this lower end between 0.6- 0.8" through the weekend which is about average for this time of year. Still going to keep low-end chances for a few quick-moving coastal showers today given just enough low level moisture, but the majority of both days this weekend will be dry and breezy.

High temperatures for the weekend are expected in the upper 70s to low 80s for the east coast metro and mid to upper 80s for interior and SW Florida. Low range from the low 69s for SW Florida to the mid to upper 60s for the east coast metro areas.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through Friday) Issued at 145 AM EDT Sat Apr 11 2026

Upper level ridging and surface high pressure will remain stagnant across the region through at least the middle of next week, preventing longwave troughs and frontal boundaries from approaching the local area. Long range ensemble guidance also maintains a lack of deep moisture for South Florida with PWATs below 1 inch and dew points peaking in the low to mid 60s. This will result in mainly dry conditions for South Florida but remaining breezy through Tuesday especially along the Atlantic coast. After Tuesday, the high pressure in the northeast begins to weaken and thus the overall pressure gradient relaxes and results in lighter winds for the middle to end of next week. This stagnant pattern may last all the way through the end of next week.

Daily high temperatures each day through the middle of next week will be on a slow uptick with highs ranging from the upper 70s to low 80s across the east coast metro and mid to upper 80s across SW FL through Tue/Wed. By the end of the week, highs across portions of SW Florida could reach the low 90s with the east coast metro rising into the mid 80s.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 110 PM EDT Sat Apr 11 2026

VFR expected to continue during the next 24 hours aT all terminals. ENE winds will generally range between 10 to 15 kts with gusts between 20 to 25 kts through around 01-02Z, but should remain around 10kt overnight. Gusty periods are again possible Sunday afternoon.

MARINE

Issued at 145 AM EDT Sat Apr 11 2026

Hazardous marine conditions will continue across the Atlantic through this weekend while dropping off for the Gulf. ENE winds 20- 25 kts with gusts around 30 kts are expected for the next several days for the Atlantic with seas of 6-9 feet. Gulf seas during this same time frame are expected at 2-4 feet for the next few days.

BEACHES

Issued at 145 AM EDT Sat Apr 11 2026

Strong persistent easterly flow will result in a high risk of rip currents for the Atlantic beaches through this weekend.

In addition, dangerous surf conditions may linger today for the Palm Beaches with 6-10 ft waves possible in the surf zone.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Miami 68 80 70 80 / 0 0 0 0 West Kendall 65 82 65 82 / 0 0 0 0 Opa-Locka 67 81 68 81 / 0 0 0 0 Homestead 69 81 69 81 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 69 79 70 79 / 0 0 0 0 N Ft Lauderdale 68 79 69 79 / 0 0 0 0 Pembroke Pines 69 83 70 83 / 0 0 0 0 West Palm Beach 67 79 68 80 / 0 0 0 0 Boca Raton 68 79 69 79 / 0 0 0 0 Naples 65 86 64 87 / 0 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Monday evening for FLZ168-172-173.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Monday for AMZ630-650-651- 670-671.

GM...None.