textproduct: Miami - South Florida

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 637 AM EST Sun Dec 7 2025 - Areas of fog, some dense, and low cloud decks may again develop early this morning over interior and southern FL.

- Dry and comfortable weather continues through tonight, when chances for rain start to increase ahead a frontal approach.

- Above average temperatures continue through this weekend with highs increasing to the mid to upper 80s again today.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Monday) Issued at 1237 AM EST Sun Dec 7 2025

Patchy fog will once again be of concern early this morning. ACARS sounding data across South Florida show enough remnant moisture below 800mb; this, combined with light winds overnight, could allow for fog to develop across areas of the interior and southwest Florida. SREF and HREF guidance both have about 30 to 50% chance of visibilities dropping below 1 mile between 2-10AM. Any fog that does develop should clear out shortly after sunrise.

A gradual pattern change begins today as a cold front gradually sags southward along the Florida peninsula. Latest observations place the front draped over central Florida this morning, and guidance suggests it will gradually move southward and reach the Lake Okeechobee area tonight, then continue to drift southward on Monday and clear the peninsula late Monday into Tuesday.

Southerly to southwesterly flow ahead of the front will support a gradual warming and moistening trend across the area today, with temperatures this afternoon rising to the mid and upper 80s ( a few degrees above the climo normals), and PWATs in the 1.5-1.8 inch range (above the climatological 90th percentile). Chances for rain start to increase tonight once the front reaches our area, but the bulk of the scattered shower and thunderstorm activity will most likely come between early morning and early afternoon on Monday. Rainfall accumulations should remain below 1 inch for most of the area, but there is a 1 in 10 chances that some spots in the vicinity of Lake Okeechobee could get 1-2 inches of rain throughout the day on Monday. Increased cloudiness and precip on Monday will help moderate temperatures, with highs peaking in the low 80s.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1237 AM EST Sun Dec 7 2025

VFR conditions are forecast to prevail through the period. KAPF could experience periods of MVFR/IFR conditions early this morning as fog and low cigs are forecast to develop across southwest FL. Calm winds overnight become southerly in the late morning.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 637 AM EST Sun Dec 7 2025

VFR conditions are forecast to prevail through the period. KAPF could experience periods of MVFR/IFR conditions early this morning as fog and low cigs are forecast to develop across southwest FL. Calm winds overnight become southerly in the late morning. Winds will veer to the southwest by eary Monday as a frontal boundary passes through the area.

MARINE

Issued at 1237 AM EST Sun Dec 7 2025

Generally benign boating conditions prevail over the weekend as light to moderate southerly to southwesterly breeze persists. Seas are forecast to remain at 1-3 feet across all local waters. As we head into next week, conditions could deteriorate as winds increase and veer from the north with a frontal passage.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Miami 84 72 85 67 / 10 10 30 10 West Kendall 86 69 85 65 / 0 10 30 10 Opa-Locka 86 71 85 67 / 10 20 30 10 Homestead 85 72 85 67 / 0 10 30 10 Fort Lauderdale 83 71 83 67 / 10 20 40 10 N Ft Lauderdale 84 72 84 67 / 10 20 40 10 Pembroke Pines 86 71 85 67 / 10 20 40 10 West Palm Beach 86 70 82 66 / 20 30 40 10 Boca Raton 86 70 85 67 / 10 20 40 20 Naples 83 71 81 62 / 20 40 50 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. AM...None. GM...None.