textproduct: Miami - South Florida

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 625 AM EST Wed Dec 3 2025 - Dry and comfortable weather for the middle to end of this week.

- Above average temperatures continue into the end of the week with highs increasing to the mid to upper 80s by week's end.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Thursday) Issued at 120 AM EST Wed Dec 3 2025

The weak frontal boundary will push through South Florida this morning, ushering in some drier air into the local atmospheric column. Additionally, the upper level ridge centered over the Caribbean and extending into the Eastern CONUS will provide subsidence and inhibit any shallow moist layers from having enough lift to produce weak showers. Surface high pressure will also be centered over the SE states and further provide inhibition. As a result, a quiet and comfortable weather pattern is setting up for the next few days.

High temperatures are expected in the low to mid 80s today and tomorrow with overnight lows ranging from the mid to upper 50s and low 60s for the interior and Gulf coast to the mid to upper 60s for the east coast metro areas.

LONG TERM

(Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 120 AM EST Wed Dec 3 2025

Mid-level and upper-level ridging will remain over the Caribbean and western Atlantic through Saturday before beginning to break down as longwave troughing enhances across the central and eastern CONUS. This will lead to ongoing tranquil weather through Saturday before we begin to see indications of a pattern change in the latter half of Sunday and heading into next week. With high pressure dominance through Saturday, temperatures will trend higher than normal in the mid to upper 80s for Friday through this weekend.

The mid-level ridge will eventually get pushed away from the area as the strengthening trough over the central and eastern U.S. breaks up into an overall elongated trough and a deeper shortwave forming over the southeast and Mid-Atlantic states. An attendant cold front will advect southwards from this disturbance and ahead of its arrival the low level wind flow will shift to the south and southwest over the weekend, leading to an increase in moisture advection back into South Florida. As a result, with this cold front expected to be a more robust one compared to the last couple, the front will be able to lift this warm and moist air out ahead of it and increase the chances for some rain showers and thunderstorms mainly for the second half of Sunday as well as Monday. Despite the increase in moisture, model soundings this far out do suggest that there will not be an overwhelming amount of instability as the frontal passage occurs. Thus, most showers and storms that occur during this time frame could end up being of the garden variety with a couple of heavier localized pockets. Overall, any QPF forecast is still highly uncertain at this time but will begin to be more refined in the next few days. In general, not expecting much in the way of impactful weather with this system at this time. Behind this front that right now looks to pass through the region on Monday, overall quiet weather returns for the end of the forecast period heading into the middle of next week as a substantially drier air mass returns to the region.

Temperatures for early next week will drop into the 70s on Monday behind the aforementioned front and will struggle to rebound for a couple of days. Overnight lows will also get chillier behind the front with chances for most areas to fall into the 50s Monday night and even a few areas into the upper 40s.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 625 AM EST Wed Dec 3 2025

A low cloud deck will bring IFR to MVFR ceilings to the east coast terminals through 15z out ahead of a weak frontal boundary pushing through the region. This low cloud deck will gradually lift which will allow for VFR conditions to return to all terminals early this afternoon. Light and variable winds this morning will increase out of the NNW after 15z and will range between 5 to 10 kts this afternoon.

MARINE

Issued at 120 AM EST Wed Dec 3 2025

A gentle to moderate northerly breeze is expected today as a frontal boundary passes through the area this morning into the afternoon. Winds then increase for the end of the week to a moderate breeze and shift easterly on Thursday and southeasterly on Friday. Seas across all local waters for the next couple of days are expected at 2-3 feet.

BEACHES

Issued at 120 AM EST Wed Dec 3 2025

A moderate risk for rip currents continues for the Palm beaches the next couple of days, with a low risk for the rest of the local beaches. An elevated risk may continue through the end of the week and this weekend for portions of the Atlantic coast.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Miami 84 68 81 70 / 0 0 0 0 West Kendall 85 65 84 66 / 0 0 0 0 Opa-Locka 85 67 83 69 / 0 0 0 0 Homestead 84 67 82 69 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 82 66 80 69 / 0 0 0 0 N Ft Lauderdale 82 67 81 69 / 0 0 0 0 Pembroke Pines 85 67 83 68 / 0 0 0 0 West Palm Beach 82 65 81 68 / 0 0 0 0 Boca Raton 84 66 81 69 / 0 0 0 0 Naples 81 61 82 64 / 0 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. AM...None. GM...None.