textproduct: Miami - South Florida

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 631 AM EST Thu Jan 29 2026

- Below average temperatures continue across South Florida. Cold apparent temperatures in the upper 20s to low 30s are forecast for Glades/Hendry/Inland Collier early this morning, with Cold Weather Advisories in effect.

- Freezing temperatures as low as 31 degrees are possible early this morning for Glades County where a Freeze Warning is in effect.

- Low relative humidities each afternoon this week across interior South Florida and Southwest Florida could result in periods of enhanced fire behavior. - A potentially record breaking cold snap is possible late weekend into early next week as another strong cold front passes through the area. Near freezing to sub-freezing low temperatures are possible for a large area of South Florida early Sunday, Monday and Tuesday morning. Lows in the 30s could reach as far South as Miami Dade County with wind chills in the 20s across all of South Florida.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Friday) Issued at 1152 PM EST Wed Jan 28 2026

After a somewhat dreary and cloudy Wednesday, Thursday and Friday should bring more sunshine across all of South Florida. While early morning temperatures are expected to be quite cold again, the afternoon hours should be quite pleasant with most of South Florida warming up into the 70s. Overnight temperatures tonight into Friday will remain warmer than the previous few days as well. Expect upper 50s to low 60s along the east coast with mid 40s to lower 50s for interior and Southwest Florida.

On Friday, a weak area of low pressure will cross the Florida peninsula which could bring a few more clouds and scattered showers during the afternoon hours. Winds will begin to shift from the northeast to the northwest through the day as the next hotly anticipated cold front approaches from the north. Aside from a few showers during the afternoon, Friday should be fairly pleasant as well with highs in the lower 70s. Lows overnight into Saturday will reach the upper 40s to mid 50s.

LONG TERM

(Friday night through next Wednesday) Issued at 1152 PM EST Wed Jan 28 2026

The aforementioned area of low pressure enters the western Atlantic on Saturday and will begin to rapidly deepen as it pushes towards the northeast. This system will send a strong cold front across South Florida on Saturday afternoon which will act to reinforce the cooler air mass across the area. The coolest and driest air mass of the season thus far arrives early Sunday morning with potentially widespread freezing or near freezing low temperatures across South Florida. Northwest flow prevails behind the strong front, which will advect a dry arctic continental air mass down the Florida peninsula all day on Sunday. Sunday night into Monday morning could be even colder as cold air advection is maximized, and maritime modification to the air mass is minimized, or nearly non-existent. Low temperatures could be so cold early Sunday and early Monday that Extreme Cold Warnings may be needed around Lake Okeechobee with potential Freeze Warnings extending much further south than the earlier cold snaps this season. Afternoon high temperatures on Sunday and Monday may not reach much higher than the mid 50s. Trends have been closely monitored and will continue to be monitored through the week although confidence is slowly increasing that this could be the coldest Attic snap across South Florida since December 2010. Temperatures begin to rebound on Tuesday morning but will still dip into the lower 30s to lower 40s across all of South Florida although Tuesday afternoon we may finally be able to reach the 60s during the afternoon. On Wednesday afternoon, high temperatures (finally) are able to climb back into the 70s.

Visit our website for graphical temperature forecasts (hover over 'Forecast' and then click 'Cold Weather' OR 'Other Probabilistic Forecast Graphics'). Describing temperatures across every part of the forecast area through text is a bit clunky and images make the message much clearer.

While the anomalous temperature forecast continues to steal the show, surface winds behind this cold front will be quite significant as well. Winds will increase out of the northwest on Saturday afternoon between 15-25 mph over land with potential gusts to around 40 mph through Sunday morning. A Wind Advisory is not out of the question for this time period, and this potential will continue to be monitored. Regardless, it would be wise to secure any light outdoor objects that may become projectiles prior to this weekend.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 631 AM EST Thu Jan 29 2026

VFR conditions are forecast to prevail for all sites through the period. Generally northwesterly winds this morning will gradually become more northeasterly as the day progresses, later becoming light and variable overnight. A few quick showers could develop along the East Coast later this afternoon, but coverage and probabilities remain too low to be mentionable on the TAFs.

MARINE

Issued at 1152 PM EST Wed Jan 28 2026

Conditions across local waters continue to improve today and Friday before they will once again rapidly deteriorate on Saturday. NNE flow between 15-20 kts will prevail today, weakening to 10-15 kts on Friday. Friday night into early Saturday, winds will veer to a more westerly direction across all local waters increasing to 30-40 kts by late Saturday night. Gusts during this time period could reach 40-50 kts. Gale watches/warnings will be explored over the coming forecast cycles. Wave heights will peak with the winds late Saturday night into early sunday warning with heights of 10-12 feet across both Gulf and Atlantic waters. Winds and waves will slowly subside through the afternoon and evening on Sunday.

BEACHES

Issued at 1152 PM EST Wed Jan 28 2026

A moderate risk of rip currents continues at all Atlantic beaches through the end of the week. Rip current probabilities are poised to increase behind a cold front passage late this weekend into early next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Miami 71 61 70 56 / 0 10 40 20 West Kendall 72 55 72 52 / 0 10 40 20 Opa-Locka 72 58 72 55 / 0 10 40 20 Homestead 72 60 72 55 / 0 20 40 20 Fort Lauderdale 71 61 70 56 / 0 10 40 30 N Ft Lauderdale 71 60 70 55 / 0 10 40 20 Pembroke Pines 72 58 72 55 / 0 10 40 20 West Palm Beach 70 58 70 54 / 0 10 20 20 Boca Raton 71 59 71 55 / 0 10 30 20 Naples 71 53 70 56 / 0 0 10 30

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...Cold Weather Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for FLZ063-066- 070.

Freeze Warning until 9 AM EST this morning for FLZ063.

AM...None. GM...None.