textproduct: Miami - South Florida

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1218 AM EST Sun Mar 1 2026

- Patchy dense fog possible early this morning, mainly across interior South Florida and Southwest Florida. - Smoke from wildfire activity may create dangerous driving conditions across portions of I-75, Tamiami Trail, and SR-29 today.

- Increasing northeasterly flow early next week will lead to an increased rip current risk and potentially hazardous marine conditions across Atlantic waters.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Monday) Issued at 1218 AM EST Sun Mar 1 2026

A decaying frontal boundary sits over the South Florida region early this morning and will remain across the area as it continues to fizzle out. This will lead to a chance for scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms periodically throughout today and tomorrow. Thunderstorm chances will be maximized during the afternoon hours with peak diurnal heating, although coastal showers will be possible through the overnight hours Sunday into Monday as well.

On Monday, the surface pressure gradient begins to tighten as surface high pressure becomes established across the Southeast CONUS. This will lead to breezier northeast winds beginning late Monday afternoon into Monday evening, especially for the immediate east coast.

High temperatures today and tomorrow will reach the low to mid 80s with lows in the 60s overnight.

LONG TERM

(Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 1218 AM EST Sun Mar 1 2026

Breezy northeast flow continues through at least mid-week as the surface pressure gradient remains tight. There will be a chance (30- 40%) for showers each day through the period as ample moisture remains with highest chances across local Atlantic waters and along the immediate east coast due to the breezier east-northeast flow. Surface flow veers more easterly towards the end of the week as surface high pressure across the western Atlantic builds westward.

High temperatures should remain in the low 80s for east coast metro areas, however due to the long duration easterly flow, a warming trend is expected for interior and Southwest Florida and highs could approach the upper 80s to low 90s by the end of the work-week.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1218 AM EST Sun Mar 1 2026

Generally VFR for the period. Another round of low CIGs will be possible for KAPF early this morning, along with an outside chance for lower CIGs for some of the east coast terminals. Confidence is fairly low for impacts at east coast sites, but was comfortable keeping FEW005 for the chance for isolated patchy fog. By 15-16Z, winds increase out of the NE to around 10 kts for the day. Thunderstorms develop around eastern terminals between 17-18Z.

MARINE

Issued at 1218 AM EST Sun Mar 1 2026

Outside of locally elevated seas and winds in and around any shower or thunderstorm activity, conditions will remain benign across all local waters through the remainder of the weekend. Locally dense fog may occur this morning across the nearshore Gulf and Lake Okeechobee waters, which will result in lower visibilities than normal. The development of a pressure gradient next week will act to establish a breezy to at times gusty easterly wind flow across the region during the beginning of next week. This will usher in a duration of likely Advisory conditions across the Atlantic waters during this time frame.

BEACHES

Issued at 1218 AM EST Sun Mar 1 2026

Low risk for rip currents across all local beaches today, however the risk is poised to increase early next week as breezy northeasterly flow develops.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Miami 81 68 79 69 / 40 40 20 20 West Kendall 83 64 82 66 / 40 40 20 20 Opa-Locka 82 67 81 68 / 50 40 20 20 Homestead 82 68 80 69 / 40 30 20 20 Fort Lauderdale 78 68 77 68 / 50 40 20 20 N Ft Lauderdale 78 68 78 68 / 50 30 20 20 Pembroke Pines 83 67 82 68 / 50 40 20 20 West Palm Beach 78 67 78 68 / 40 30 20 30 Boca Raton 79 67 79 68 / 50 30 20 20 Naples 81 63 82 64 / 20 20 20 20

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. AM...None. GM...None.