textproduct: Memphis
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 602 AM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026
- Dry conditions will continue through Friday, with an isolated chance for showers and thunderstorms on Saturday. High temperatures will remain in the 80s.
- Greater rain chances manifest Sunday with daily bouts of showers and thunderstorms through the upcoming work week.
DISCUSSION
(Tonight through next Wednesday) Issued at 1122 PM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026
An Omega Block continues to impact the United States, placing the Mid-South underneath high pressure at the surface and aloft. Surface winds will veer south today, but moisture return will be limited through the end of the work week. As such, expect bearable dewpoints to persist with afternoon highs in the mid to upper 80s.
The Omega Block will begin to break down on Friday as a shortwave pushes across the Midwest. At the same time, a closed upper level low will form near the Texas and New Mexico border. This system will suppress remaining high pressure over the southeast on Saturday, bringing increased rain chances to north Mississippi. Wet and unsettled weather will impact the Mid-South for the foreseeable future as the aforementioned low stalls just to our north. Daily bouts of showers and thunderstorms are anticipated, though no organized severe weather is forecast due to lackluster shear. Instead, this pattern will favor a typical summertime pulse convection environment. A few strong storms cannot be ruled out with the main concerns being gusty winds and small hail. Otherwise, expect temperatures to be slightly above normal with highs reaching 90 degrees as early as Tuesday.
ANS
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 602 AM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026
VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the next 24- 30 hours, supported by high pressure building over the southeastern US. Winds will be light and southeasterly.
The JBR TAF remains AMD NOT SKED due to an ongoing ASOS communications outage. A technician is expected to be dispatched today.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 1122 PM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026
MinRH values will remain around or just below 40% through Friday, however, fire danger concerns remain low due to light 20ft winds. Additional moisture will return to the region over the weekend with daily wetting rain chances into next week.
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None.
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