textproduct: Memphis

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1130 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

- Gusty winds will continue through this evening. A short-lived Wind Advisory may be considered if sustained winds exceed 25 mph.

- Much colder temperatures are forecast from Saturday night through Monday night. Monday morning will be the coldest as lows drop to the mid teens and low 20s.

- Temperatures will warm up by the middle of next week, approaching near normal by Wednesday.

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through next Tuesday) Issued at 1130 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

A potent upper level low continues to churn over the Great Lakes region this morning, bringing Winter Storm conditions to portions of northern CONUS. A large-scale troughing pattern is in place with an embedded shortwave and attendant cold front trekking across Missouri. A dry frontal passage is anticipated for the Mid- South, with the greater impact being gusty winds. A few areas in northeast Arkansas and the Missouri Bootheel may experience sustained winds in excess of 25 mph this afternoon. A short-lived Wind Advisory may be considered later today if surface winds reach this criteria. Benign weather returns Thursday and will persist through the end of the work week.

Frigid conditions are on tap for the weekend as an Arctic cold front pushes across the United States on Saturday. This boundary will reach the Mid-South by midday with ample CAA taking place overnight. Sunday morning lows will vary from north to south as this air continues to settle into the area. For areas near Kentucky, lows will be in the upper teens. Further south into Mississippi, temperatures will be in the upper 20s to low 30s. Minimal warming is anticipated Sunday with highs ranging from the mid 20s to upper 30s areawide. Monday morning will be the coldest as lows fall into the mid teens to low 20s. There is a 30 percent chance of temperatures falling below 15 degrees near the TN/KY border at this time. Take the time now to winterize your home by covering exposed pipes and caulking windows.

Fortunately, the brutal cold will not last long as a shortwave pushes across the Plains on Monday. Southerly surface winds will bring increased temperatures and moisture with afternoon highs reaching the upper 30s to mid 40s. This warming trend will continue through midweek with rain chances returning on Tuesday.

ANS

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1130 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

A dry cold front has passed, marking a gradual shift to northwesterly winds. The gradient behind the front remains tight and thus surface winds will stay elevated with gusts around 25 kts through at least 00Z this evening. This is the main impact of this period; ceilings are expected to remain well above VFR criteria. As the surface high slides over the airspace overnight, winds will quickly subside to light and variable early Thursday morning.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1130 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

Strong southwesterly winds will continue through most of the day Wednesday, filtering in moisture to raise minimum humidity levels to 40 to 55 percent. This pattern will generally persist through the rest of the week before an Arctic cold front passes this weekend.

MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None.