textproduct: Memphis
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1210 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
- Winter precip is winding down as drier air filters in behind the winter storm.
- Travel conditions will remain hazardous for several days. Subfreezing temperatures will continue through next weekend, which will not help melt any snow/sleet/ice on the roads.
- Bitterly cold air will persist into next week, with temperatures and wind chills dropping below zero at times. Another cold blast is on tap for next weekend.
DISCUSSION
(This evening through next Saturday) Issued at 1210 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
A devastating ice storm continues for north Mississippi while snow/sleet is coming to a close for the remainder of the Mid- South. Clearing is evident on the back side of the precipitation shield on KNQA radar, which marks the end of the accumulating precipitation. As drier air filters in, the large rain/snow shield will transition to more isolated wraparound showers as the system pulls away. No more than a dusting of additional sleet/snow is expected, but with that axis of FZRA still ongoing, areas of north MS and West TN may still see up to an additional tenth inch of ice through this afternoon. Current plan is to let the Winter Storm and Ice Storm Warnings expire at their originally scheduled time at 6PM tonight just given these wraparound showers and the ongoing FZRA axis in the southeastern CWA.
Though things are winding down, impacts from this winter storm will linger long after the precip ends. There have been widespread power outages reported across north MS, particularly in the Oxford and New Albany areas. Ice accretion reports have ranged from a half to three-quarters of an inch along the freezing rain axis already, creating an absolute mess of downed trees and power lines due to the added weight of ice. Roads in these areas are extremely dangerous and at times, impassible. Travel conditions elsewhere are not much better under the compacted snow, sleet, and ice. Unfortunately, these conditions will not be aided by temperatures at all. Extremely efficient CAA will allow for wind chills to drop into the negatives overnight into Monday and Tuesday mornings. As such, an Extreme Cold Warning is in effect areawide through Tuesday morning.
The bitter cold extends well into the work week and even into next weekend. Forecast afternoon temperatures will not rise above freezing for most locations (with the exception of our far southern zones) for the next 7 days, at least. Another blast of cold air is on the horizon for next weekend with wind chills in the single digits and negatives again. However, on the bright side, we have a dry forecast until the end of next weekend. After today, we do not expect any more liquid or frozen precipitation through the extended forecast.
CAD
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1210 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
The majority of wintry precipitation is tapering off and will continue that trend. There are a couple of snow bands that will rotate through MEM, MKL, and JBR over the next 2 hours. There is high enough confidence to carry a tempo group for -SN for a couple of hours.
CIGs will remain MVFR and slowly lift to VFR through midnight, except for TUP where CIGs will lift tomorrow morning. North winds 8 to 12 kts will persist through the end of the period.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 1210 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Precipitation is coming to an end this afternoon. Very cold air is expected to persist through the week, especially Monday and Tuesday mornings. Fire weather concerns are minimal through the period.
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...Cold Weather Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for ARZ009-018- 026>028-035-036-048-049-058.
Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for ARZ009-018- 026>028-035-036-048-049-058.
Extreme Cold Warning from 6 PM this evening to noon CST Tuesday for ARZ009-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058.
MO...Cold Weather Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for MOZ113-115.
Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for MOZ113-115.
Extreme Cold Warning from 6 PM this evening to noon CST Tuesday for MOZ113-115.
MS...Cold Weather Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for MSZ001-007- 010.
Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for MSZ001-007- 010.
Extreme Cold Warning from 6 PM this evening to noon CST Tuesday for MSZ001>017-020>024.
Ice Storm Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for MSZ002>006-008- 009-011>017-020>024.
TN...Cold Weather Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for TNZ001>004- 019>022-048>052-088-089.
Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for TNZ001>004- 019>022-048>052-088-089.
Extreme Cold Warning from 6 PM this evening to noon CST Tuesday for TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092.
Ice Storm Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for TNZ053>055- 090>092.
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