textproduct: Memphis

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1246 PM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

- Dry conditions will continue through Friday, with an isolated chance for showers and thunderstorms on Saturday. High temperatures will remain in the 80s.

- Scattered thunderstorm chances will return by Sunday, with increasing chances through at least the middle of next week.

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through next Tuesday) Issued at 1039 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

Sunny conditions prevail across the Mid-South with temperatures currently spanning the 70s and dew point temperatures in the low 60s. Temperatures are expected to rise a few more degrees by the afternoon, reaching the low to mid 80s. With dew points on the lower end, conditions will continue to feel fairly nice outside and not the typical oppressiveness of early June. Generally dry and pleasant conditions are expected to continue through the end of the work week, with high pressure remaining in place over the region. This high pressure will begin to break down by Saturday, allowing for an isolated chance of a few afternoon thunderstorms mainly across north MS. High temperatures will remain in the mid 80s through Thursday, increasing to the mid to upper 80s for Friday and Saturday.

Into next week, a generally warmer and wetter weather pattern is expected to move into the Mid-South. By Sunday, an upper-level low pressure system will move off the Rockies, but ultimately stall to the north due to a high pressure system developing across the northeast. This will keep the Mid-South in a somewhat unsettled pattern for the foreseeable future, with daily, scattered thunderstorm chances. This pattern will be fairly reminiscent of a typical, summertime pattern, with afternoon thunderstorms carrying the potential for a few stronger storms. Organized severe weather is not anticipated, but a stronger storm with damaging wind gusts or small hail cannot be ruled out. Total rainfall amounts will be fairly variable across the area, depending on where afternoon convection is greatest. High temperatures will likely remain in the mid to upper 80s through this period, which is around to just above normal for early to mid June.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1246 PM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

VFR conditions continue to prevail with a surface high to our east. Some scattered midlevel Cu and high cirrus is evident on satellite this afternoon, which will continue through about sunset tonight. Winds remain pretty consistent from the east/southeast between 5-10 kts during daylight hours, going light overnight.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1039 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

MinRH values will remain around or just below 40% through Friday, however, fire danger concerns remain low due to generally light winds. Additional moisture will return to the region over the weekend with increasing rain chances into next week.

MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None.