textproduct: Memphis

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1109 PM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

- Heat and humidity will persist through the end of the week with daily highs in the low to mid 90s.

- Daily bouts of showers and storms resume Friday and continue into the middle of next week.

DISCUSSION

(Tonight through next Tuesday) Issued at 1109 PM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

A weak shortwave will move just north of the forecast area today, allowing the center of a high pressure ridge to recenter along the TX/LA border. While earlier forecasts predicted heat indices reaching 105 this afternoon, increased cloud cover from the aforementioned shortwave should decrease temperatures by a degree or two. Therefore, a Heat Advisory was not issued. This trend will linger into Thursday with afternoon highs in the low to mid 90s.

On Friday, an upper level trough will move across the Great Lakes Region and eject a weak cold front into the Mid-South. Showers and thunderstorms will accompany this feature. Poor upper level support will negate severe weather probabilities in the region. Instead, expect typical summertime storms throughout the day. A wet and unsettled pattern will continue into the weekend as the frontal boundary stalls over the area. Bouts of showers and storms are anticipated each day with rainfall totals through Sunday around 1.5 inches.

The upcoming work week will remain unsettled as yet another frontal boundary approaches the region. Increased cloud cover and rain chances will allow afternoon highs to decrease to the low and mid 80s by Tuesday. Long range guidance places slightly better shear over the Mid-South on Wednesday as an upper level trough moves over the region. This may be our next shot at organized storms, but it remains too early to tell specifics.

ANS

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1109 PM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

A near persistence aviation forecast over the next 24 to 30 hours. Wednesday should bring a little more cumulus, but CIGs will remain well above MVFR thresholds. South/southwesterly winds will become gusty at MEM and JBR once the nocturnal inversion erodes.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1109 PM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

Fire weather concerns will remain low through the forecast period. Widespread wetting rain is expected across much of the area through Monday, further mitigating fire risk. Even as high heat returns mid-week, elevated humidity levels will prevent significant fire weather concerns.

MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None.