textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1047 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

- Highs today reach the 90s, which could cause heat stress for those doing outdoor activities. - Cooler and wetter weather returns Tuesday and remains through the end of next week.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Tuesday afternoon) Issued at 151 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

Current observations show dewpoints in the 40s and 50s across the entire area with no dryline evident. A weak disturbance will not be enough to destabilize the atmosphere enough to create convection, which will be confined to the higher elevations west of the Pecos River where orographics provide that final ingredient needed for convective initiation. Southeasterly low level flow bring in slightly cooler temperatures and highs will hold in the 90s except along the Rio Grande.

Sustained southeasterly flow continues to bring in cooler temperatures Tuesday and highs drop into the lower 90s to upper 80s. A trough over the West Coast approaches our western most counties late in the afternoon helping showers and thunderstorms to develop from the Guadalupe to the Davis mountains.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 151 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

Storms continue overnight and move out of southeastern New Mexico and into the Permian Basin early Wednesday morning. There may be a lull in activity late Wednesday morning and early afternoon before redeveloping late Wednesday afternoon and evening. Good rain chances continue into Thursday as all models show no ridging over much of the United States. Weak high pressure over the eastern U.S. provides unstable, southerly flow continuing showers into at least Friday. NBM shows PoPs decreasing Saturday as weak high pressure tries to become established but some models continue to show enough instability for another day of rainfall. All models show drier and warmer conditions returning Sunday.

Hennig

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1047 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

VFR conditions should prevail next 24 hours in light return flow. Forecast soundings develop a widespread cu field this afternoon, w/bases 5-9 kft AGL. Another widespread cu field is anticipated near the end of the forecast period, w/bases ~ 4.5 kft AGL.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 69 92 66 85 / 0 10 70 80 Carlsbad 68 93 63 86 / 10 50 60 60 Dryden 71 94 71 90 / 10 0 30 50 Fort Stockton 67 92 66 88 / 10 20 50 70 Guadalupe Pass 66 84 62 79 / 0 50 50 60 Hobbs 64 90 60 82 / 10 20 80 80 Marfa 57 90 56 84 / 0 50 40 80 Midland Intl Airport 68 90 66 84 / 10 0 70 70 Odessa 68 90 66 84 / 10 10 70 70 Wink 68 93 65 86 / 0 10 60 70

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.