textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 619 AM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

- Isolated to scattered storm chances exist this afternoon, mainly across the higher elevations.

- Cold front approaches the region on Sunday bringing higher rain chances through Monday. Will be monitoring for heavy rainfall leading to flash flooding.

- The hottest temperatures of the season so far are possible by the middle of next week with many locations experiencing their first 100 degree day.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Sunday afternoon) Issued at 328 AM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

Today sees temperatures move a few degrees higher compared to yesterday with many areas reaching into the low to mid 90s. Temperatures near 100F will be seen along the Pecos and Rio Grande River valleys. With slightly less upper level support available, shower and storm chances will be slightly lower across the region overall with the highest chances remaining over the Davis Mountains. Convection should mostly decay overnight tonight, but a cold front will approach Sunday morning. Rain chances will increase with and behind the front as it acts as a focus for activity to develop along. Temperatures south of the front will stay near to above normal in the 90s. North of the front where cloud cover keeps it cooler, temperatures may only reach into the 80s.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through Friday) Issued at 328 AM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

The cold front mentioned in the short term above stalls out across the Permian Basin or as far south as the Pecos River Valley. Scattered showers and storms will continue through Sunday evening and into Monday morning. Moderate to heavy rainfall will be seen with some of the more organized storms making flash flooding a threat once again. A few storms may become strong to severe with large hail and damaging winds being the main hazards. Rain and clouds keep the region cooler with many areas only making it into the low 80s. By that evening, rain chances decrease as a drier northwest flow aloft takes hold. Tuesday will be drier with temperatures moving back into the upper 80s to low 90s. The heat is on for Wednesday and Thursday as low level flow shifts more southerly to southwesterly. Wednesday looks to be the first day of the year where Midland reaches 100F for the first time this year. The average first 100F day at MAF is May 31st, so this is later in the year than normal, but not unprecedented.

-Stickney

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 619 AM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

VFR continues through the day. Southeasterly winds between 10-15kts. TS not included with this issuance as confidence is too low on probability of timing or impact at terminals.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 95 72 87 63 / 0 0 40 80 Carlsbad 100 71 89 64 / 10 10 50 80 Dryden 97 74 96 71 / 0 0 10 40 Fort Stockton 97 71 94 66 / 0 0 50 70 Guadalupe Pass 91 70 83 63 / 10 10 50 80 Hobbs 96 67 83 60 / 0 10 60 70 Marfa 89 61 89 59 / 20 10 60 20 Midland Intl Airport 94 71 88 64 / 0 0 30 80 Odessa 94 71 88 64 / 0 0 30 80 Wink 97 72 91 64 / 0 0 50 80

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.