textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 230 AM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

- Hazardous heat continues today across the westernmost portions of the region, with highs largely between 100 to 110 degrees. Be sure to drink plenty of fluids and take frequent breaks in the shade if outdoors!

- Isolated storm chances (10-20%) for portions of the southeast New Mexico, Guadalupe, Davis Mountains, and Marfa Plateau this afternoon and evening. Gusty winds will be the primary hazard with the strongest storms.

- Triple digit heat continues through the extended forecast, with a low (10-30%) chance of showers/storms across the higher terrain and northern Permian Basin each afternoon and evening.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Wednesday afternoon) Issued at 230 AM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

Current satellite imagery and latest RAP analysis shows the upper ridge of high pressure over the region. This feature will bring more hot weather to the area, with hazardous heat over the westernmost portions this afternoon and early evening. High temperatures are forecast to range from the upper 90s to triple digits. There exists a low chance (10-20%) of isolated storms developing mainly over the Guadalupe, Davis Mountains, Marfa Plateau, and southeast New Mexico during the afternoon into the early evening due to shortwave disturbances from the flow aloft. These storms are not expected to hold the severe weather threat compared to yesterday, though gusty winds will be prevalent with the strongest storms.

Tonight, a low-level jet develops once again bringing breezy southeasterly winds and slightly warmer than normal low temperatures in the mid 60s to mid 70s. Carbon copy weather conditions are anticipated tomorrow as the aforementioned upper ridge stays over the region. Similar highs in the upper 90s to triple digits and low isolated storm chances (10-20%) for the same areas are in store. As a result, heat products will likely be needed for similar locations.

Lamberson

LONG TERM

(Wednesday night through Monday) Issued at 230 AM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

The upper-level weather pattern that has been supplying much of the area with triple digit heat continues as ridging aloft dominates the latter half of this week and into the weekend. As a result, expect afternoon highs between 100 and 105 degrees each day across the Permian Basin and much of southeast New Mexico. Whereas, locations in the Upper Trans Pecos and along the Pecos River/Rio Grande Valleys look to see highs top out between 105 and 108 degrees (110- 115 in portions of the Big Bend) each afternoon. By early next week, model guidance is suggesting that a broad upper trough will dig into the Desert Southwest, weakening the ridge over southeast New Mexico/west Texas. This could give provide some relief from the triple digit heat for many, though it'll still be hot. Aside from the heat, weak disturbances in the upper-level flow and southeasterly upslope flow near the surface yield daily chances (generally 10-30%) of showers and thunderstorms each afternoon, mainly in/around the Davis Mountains and Presidio Valley. Breezy conditions are also forecast each afternoon across the eastern half of our CWA as winds accelerate in response to a relatively tight pressure gradient. These winds remain elevated each evening due to the nocturnal low-level jet (LLJ). In addition to the LLJ, remnant outflow boundaries could yield further development in portions of the Trans Pecos and the northern Permian Basin each evening as well. Greening

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1154 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

VFR conditions are anticipated to prevail through the period. A deck of low clouds looks to form and stay east of all sites later tonight. Breezy southerly to southeasterly winds are expected again especially for MAF and FST terminals through much of the period. Occasional gusts up to 25-30 kts may occur overnight and during the afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 102 74 104 74 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 106 73 106 73 / 20 10 0 0 Dryden 99 73 102 73 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 101 71 104 72 / 10 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 97 71 97 72 / 20 10 0 0 Hobbs 102 69 104 70 / 10 20 0 10 Marfa 97 63 97 64 / 10 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 100 73 102 73 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 100 73 102 73 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 103 72 105 73 / 10 10 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Heat Advisory from 2 PM CDT /1 PM MDT/ this afternoon to 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ this evening for Chinati Mountains-Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-Eastern Culberson- Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Loving-Marfa Plateau-Reeves County Plains-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor.

NM...Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 8 PM MDT this evening for Eddy County Plains-Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.