textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 611 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026

- Temperatures will gradually increase through Tuesday, then decrease slightly through next Friday.

- Mostly dry conditions are expected this weekend, before rain chances (10-40%) begin to increase early next week.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Sunday afternoon) Issued at 235 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026

An upper level ridge continues to build over our region and slide eastward through the weekend. Increasing heights aloft promote a warming trend and prevailing dry conditions. Highs this afternoon are forecast to reach the 80s at most locations, with low 90s expected near and along the river valleys. Sunday afternoon's highs trend slightly warmer, reaching the mid to upper 80s over much of the region. Highs in the 90s expand to include most of the Upper Trans Pecos, Eddy County in New Mexico, and more areas near and along the Rio Grande. Isolated highs at or near 100 degrees will be likely in the Big Bend Sunday afternoon. Lows tonight generally fall to the 60s, with 50s expected in the Davis Mountains and surrounding areas. South and southeasterly winds this afternoon into Sunday will be breezy due to a surface trough developing across the Plains and extending southwestward into eastern New Mexico. Otherwise, dry conditions look to persist through the weekend.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through Friday) Issued at 235 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026

By late Sunday and into Monday morning, a large upper low encroaches from the west and moisture pooling in from Mexico begins increasing rain chances over the western reaches of the region. Additional moisture from what is now Hurricane Simon is slated to follow the same path north through Mexico and stream across West Texas. Weak shortwave troughs ahead of the main low bring broad, but somewhat low (10-40%) rain chances to the area for Tuesday and Wednesday. Details remain sparse on just which areas will receive the most rain and how much as it is dependent on where the low over the western US is located as the moisture from Hurricane Simon moves into the area.

Despite the better rain chances, highs will remain well above normal with most locations in the 80s to low 90s. Overnight lows stay in the 60s to low 70s. Thursday sees the low to the west move east into the Plains and brings temperatures down to normal into the 70s and 80s. Similar rain chances from Tuesday and Wednesday continue into Thursday and Friday, but shift to the eastern and southern portions of the CWA. A cold front looks to move through the area on Thursday and brings the first batch of cooler air of the season. Highs in the 70s with lows dipping into the 50s for most.

-Stickney

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 611 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026

VFR conditions prevail. Winds will generally be out of the south and southeast, becoming breezy this afternoon into the evening.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 88 66 89 69 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 87 63 92 67 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 89 67 90 70 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 89 66 91 68 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 79 62 83 64 / 0 0 0 10 Hobbs 84 62 87 65 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 80 56 84 60 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 86 66 88 69 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 86 66 88 69 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 90 66 93 69 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.