textproduct: Midland/Odessa

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 135 AM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

- Above normal temperatures and drier conditions return through the week.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Tuesday afternoon) Issued at 135 AM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

The Short Term forecast remains on track. An upper-level ridge is strengthening over the Desert Southwest this morning. As a result, highs are back near or above the century mark across most of west Texas and southeast New Mexico today and Tuesday. Increasing subsidence and drier air will also eliminate rain chances across the area. Lows bottom out in the low-to-mid 70s for most locations tonight (mid-to-upper 60s in typical cool spots).

Sprang

LONG TERM

(Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 135 AM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

The forecast this week is going to be a rinse and repeat each day as the center of the ridge of high pressure sits near the Four Corners region. Daily afternoon highs max out in the mid-to-upper 90s for most, except for lower triple digits along the Pecos River and Rio Grande Valleys. Long-range model guidance suggests the possibility of convection in portions of west Texas and southeast New Mexico next weekend as shortwave impulses round the eastern periphery of the ridge. However, there is a lot of uncertainty in the details at this time. Greening

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1006 PM CDT Sun Aug 2 2026

VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours in light return flow, with a high cloud or two. Latest NAM forecast soundings now suggest convective temps will be too high for a cu field to develop.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 102 73 101 73 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 102 73 102 73 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 100 74 100 75 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 99 73 99 73 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 93 68 95 68 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 100 70 100 70 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 93 62 95 63 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 100 73 99 73 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 100 73 99 73 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 100 73 100 73 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.


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