textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1056 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

- Spring-like temperatures persist through the extended forecast.

- An upper-level storm system brings low to medium (10-50%) rain chances to the area early next week. Rainfall totals look light.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Monday afternoon) Issued at 113 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

Current radar shows weak echoes moving across the CWA early this morning. Very little is reaching the ground and no appreciable accumulations are expected today. Rain chances diminish tonight and Monday as upper ridging over the western gulf builds back into West Texas and eastern New Mexico, not that it matters much given the low QPF. Highs remain about 15 degrees above normal reaching well into the 70s for most locations.

LONG TERM

(Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 113 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

Rain chances return Tuesday as an upper low near the Baja of Mexico ejects northeast into Texas. Lift will be better since the core of the upper low moves directly over our area thus rainfall amounts should be higher...even if only marginally. Widespread rainfall amounts should generally be less than a tenth of an inch though isolated areas could see a quarter of an inch.

Since the low moves out of Mexico, it will not have cold air associated with it and temperatures do not decrease after its passage on Wednesday. We will see a break in rainfall as a broad ridge briefly settles over the southern Plains. The NBM has increased PoPs at the end of the week as a trough moves across the western United States. It will be interesting to see if rain showers actually develop since the trough is quick moving and in zonal flow. Typically this results in rain forming just to the east of the area as low level moisture gets pushed east ahead of the system. We may be able to keep low level moisture as some models show a surface front arriving ahead of the trough that could advect in higher dewpoints. This uncertainty needs to be resolved before confidence increases in our extended rain chances. Temperatures also depend on frontal passage (obviously) with 70s remaining through the week and a possible cool down over the weekend if the front arrives.

Hennig

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1056 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours, with plenty of high clouds in light/variable winds.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 78 46 77 54 / 0 0 0 10 Carlsbad 73 43 74 51 / 0 0 0 10 Dryden 79 52 79 57 / 10 0 0 10 Fort Stockton 76 51 77 57 / 0 0 0 20 Guadalupe Pass 64 47 65 49 / 0 0 0 10 Hobbs 74 43 74 50 / 0 0 0 10 Marfa 69 41 71 44 / 0 0 10 30 Midland Intl Airport 77 47 76 55 / 0 0 0 20 Odessa 76 48 75 55 / 0 0 0 20 Wink 76 44 74 52 / 0 0 0 20

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.