textproduct: Midland/Odessa

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 516 PM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026

- Dangerously hot temperatures continue today, followed by relatively cooler weather Friday behind today's front.

- Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms today into tonight (10-30% chances). Low-to-medium rain chances (20-40%) stick around Friday, mainly along and south of I-10.

- Above-normal temperatures redevelop this weekend and continue through the extended forecast.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Friday night) Issued at 150 PM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026

Hot temperatures persist for much of the area today. Many locations across west Texas in particular have already hit (or are very close to hitting) 100 degrees this afternoon. However, a cold front has begun slowly making its way across northern and western portions of our area. This front has brought cooler temperatures and breezy northerly winds to southeast New Mexico and northern portions of the Permian Basin. The front will continue pushing across the region this evening before it stalls around the higher terrain in southern portions of the CWA and begins to wash out. Both the Heat Advisory and Extreme Heat Warning are maintained and will remain in effect through 10pm CDT tonight. Isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are still forecast to develop in the higher terrain this afternoon. Additional development is expected as the front pushes southward into the Trans-Pecos and towards the mountains. Impressive DCAPE values (on the order of 1500-2000 J/kg in general) suggests storms that do develop would be capable of producing damaging downburst winds. Rain chances generally range between 10-30% this evening and tonight areawide.

Behind the front, lows tonight generally stay in the upper 60s and low-to-mid 70s. Friday's highs end up in the low-to-mid 90s for most of the area, with 100s sticking around along the Rio Grande. Moist upsloping winds, a disturbance in the upper-level flow, and the presence of the decaying front helps maintain low to medium rain chances (20-40%) tomorrow afternoon and evening, mainly along and south of I-10. Rain chances taper down that evening. Low temperatures Friday night end up similar to tonight's.

Sprang

LONG TERM

(Saturday through Wednesday) Issued at 150 PM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026

Upper-level ridging begins to build this weekend. This causes temperatures to once again warm through early next week. Highs Saturday top out in the mid-to-upper 90s, with temperatures reaching or exceeding 100 degrees along the Rio Grande and in portions of the Trans-Pecos. Highs near or above 100 degrees become more widespread Sunday and Monday. Low rain chances (10-20%) become confined mainly to the mountains Saturday and beyond. However, some long-range guidance still tries to bring convectively-induced boundaries into northern portions of our area early next week. As a result, low rain chances (10-30%) are maintained for these northernmost counties. Otherwise, above-normal temperatures stick around through the rest of the extended as we remain on the eastern periphery of a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Desert Southwest.

Sprang

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 516 PM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026

VFR conditions will prevail for the next 24 hours, w/the exception of KHOB, which could see a couple of hours of post-frontal MVFR cigs Friday morning. Surface winds will decouple/relax after sundown, then veer to northeast Friday afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 71 91 71 96 / 30 20 10 10 Carlsbad 69 96 71 101 / 20 10 0 0 Dryden 76 98 73 96 / 30 40 20 10 Fort Stockton 71 96 71 98 / 30 20 10 10 Guadalupe Pass 67 88 68 93 / 30 20 0 0 Hobbs 65 91 67 97 / 20 10 0 0 Marfa 62 92 61 94 / 30 40 0 20 Midland Intl Airport 71 92 71 96 / 30 10 10 0 Odessa 70 92 71 96 / 30 10 10 0 Wink 70 96 72 100 / 30 10 10 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Heat Advisory until 10 PM CDT this evening for Andrews-Borden- Central Brewster-Chinati Mountains-Chisos Basin-Crane-Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-Dawson-Ector-Loving- Marfa Plateau-Martin-Midland-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Reeves County Plains-Scurry-Upton-Ward-Winkler.

Extreme Heat Warning until 10 PM CDT this evening for Glasscock- Howard-Lower Brewster County-Mitchell-Reagan-Terrell.

NM...None.


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