textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 135 PM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026

- Low (10-30%) shower and thunderstorm chances this afternoon and evening in southeast New Mexico. Otherwise, dry conditions prevail through the period for most locations.

- Above normal temperatures expected through the period, with triple digit highs forecast for many locations most days. Persistent heat will present an increasing risk of heat-related illnesses.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Saturday night) Issued at 135 PM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026

The upper-level ridge has shifted westward towards the Four Corners region. Though west Texas and southeast New Mexico will continue to see above normal temperatures, highs do tick down a couple of degrees through the Short Term. For today, the hottest temperatures will be located in the Pecos River Valley (mainly Eddy County, where a Heat Advisory remains in effect through the afternoon for highs around 105 degrees) and along the Rio Grande. Elsewhere, highs in the upper 90s to just over 100 degrees will be commonplace, with slightly cooler temperatures in the mountains. Lows bottom out in the low-to-mid 70s for most tonight. Isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are still expected for portions of southeast New Mexico later this afternoon and evening, with one or two storms also possible (10-15% chance) in the Presidio Valley. Similar to yesterday, a couple of storms may be capable of producing strong winds. Saturday features our coolest temperatures of the forecast, with most locations topping out in the upper 90s and only the typical warm spots hitting 100 degrees. Overnight lows Saturday are similar to, albeit a degree or two cooler than, lows tonight. However, temperatures start to trend up again going into the Long Term period.

Sprang

LONG TERM

(Sunday through Thursday) Issued at 135 PM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026

The forecast hasn't really changed since last forecast package. Upper-level ridging is expected to strengthen aloft, yielding widespread triple digit temperatures each afternoon. As per usual, the hottest locations are anticipated to be in the river Valleys where highs near 105 degrees can be seen along the Pecos River and up to 110 degrees in low-lying spots of the Big Bend. Temperatures fluctuate a degree or two each day depending on where the ridge axis shifts. Additional Heat Advisories will likely be warranted next week as many spots are expected to meet criteria. Rain chances remain minimal and most stay dry throughout the extended. Greening

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1231 PM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026

VFR conditions prevail. Winds remain southeasterly to southerly. Later this afternoon and overnight, some light gusts (mainly in the 18-25 kt range) develop at all terminals. Isolated to scattered showers and storms develop this afternoon and evening in southeast New Mexico. Most activity currently looks to remain north of HOB and CNM, so confidence was too low to include a PROB30 for -TSRA in either TAF at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 75 99 73 101 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 75 100 74 102 / 10 0 0 0 Dryden 74 98 73 101 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 72 97 72 100 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 69 93 69 94 / 0 0 0 10 Hobbs 71 98 70 100 / 10 0 0 0 Marfa 62 93 63 95 / 0 0 0 10 Midland Intl Airport 74 97 73 99 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 74 97 73 99 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 73 99 73 102 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ this evening for Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

NM...Heat Advisory until 8 PM MDT this evening for Eddy County Plains- Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.