textproduct: Midland/Odessa
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 116 PM CST Sun Feb 22 2026
- Cool and dry conditions will continue through Monday.
- Temperatures warm back to well above normal Tuesday through Saturday. Record warmth and elevated fire weather conditions will be possible on Wednesday.
SHORT TERM
(This afternoon through Monday night) Issued at 116 PM CST Sun Feb 22 2026
Below normal temperatures hold on for tonight as lows dip into the upper 20s to low 30s for much of the region. Big Bend remains relatively warmer in the 30s to around 40F. Highs rebound into the 60s for most Monday afternoon as upper level ridging moves over the Southwest US. Lows heading into Tuesday morning end up a few degrees warmer in the 30s as part of a warming trend. The nearby ridging and a very dry airmass spell rain chances near zero for the short term forecast.
-Stickney
LONG TERM
(Tuesday through Saturday) Issued at 116 PM CST Sun Feb 22 2026
An upper-level ridge axis positioned across the west coast brings northwest flow aloft to the region, yielding well above normal temperatures next week. Tuesday, afternoon highs are expected to range from the upper 70s to low 80s. Near record highs are expected on Wednesday due strong, westerly downslope flow. This yields afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 80s for most, with 90s along the Rio Grande and 70s in the higher terrain. For reference, the previous record high of 86F at Midland International Air and Space Port (MAF) was set back in 2009. Breezy conditions are currently expected on Tuesday and Wednesday, thanks to surface lee troughing situated across eastern New Mexico. The aforementioned downslope flow concurrent with well above normal temperatures and dry conditions bring increased fire weather concerns on Wednesday. Ensemble guidance depicts a cold front moving through the region Thursday, bringing afternoon highs down into the 70s for most. However, this "cool-down" may be short-lived as cluster analysis shows the upper-level ridge axis shifting east towards our area. This may yield afternoon highs in the 80s again on Friday and Saturday. No rain is expected in the extended forecast. -Greening
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1123 AM CST Sun Feb 22 2026
VFR remains at all terminals. Wind gusts between 20-25kts may occasionally be seen. Winds become light after sunset.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Big Spring 31 62 38 79 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 30 63 36 81 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 38 64 38 79 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 36 65 42 83 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 33 59 42 71 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 29 61 33 80 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 26 62 30 75 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 33 62 38 79 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 33 62 38 79 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 33 63 35 82 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. NM...None.
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