textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1207 PM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

- Warmer than normal temperatures expected through the extended forecast.

- An upper-level system brings low to medium (10-50%) rain chances to the area early next week.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Saturday night) Issued at 1240 PM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

Warm conditions are ahead this weekend. Upper ridging extends over our region, with the ridge axis passing overhead this evening, then drifting eastward through the day Saturday. Temperatures tonight settle into the upper 30s to 40s. Saturday, southwesterly flow increases aloft while a weak cold front sneaks into the northeastern Permian Basin. However, a surface low develops near the Panhandle during the afternoon and steers winds back out of the south and southwest. Highs top out in the 70s, with increasing cloud coverage through the day. Saturday night, temperatures fall into the 40s, with low 50s in our southern counties. A few isolated showers may also develop over the western half of our region Saturday night, especially near the Big Bend and the Davis Mountains. These courtesy of an upper level low beginning to approach out of northwestern Mexico. Rain chances look low (10-20%) and rainfall totals, if any, light.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through Thursday) Issued at 1240 PM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

The long term forecast features generally above normal temperatures and a few chances at some rainfall. Ensembles depict an upper-level cut off low lingering over northwestern Mexico through Monday morning. Monday through Tuesday afternoons, the low opens up and lifts northeastward. This system brings rain chances to our region Sunday through Tuesday afternoons. Rain chances Sunday mainly lie west of the Pecos River, spreading northeastward during the overnight hours. Lift increases with the approaching low Monday, allowing rain chances to span areawide. Monday evening, rain chances across the region range from 10-50%, with best (40-50%) odds near and south of the I-20 corridor. Heading through Monday night and into early Tuesday afternoon, rain chances taper off west to east. Rainfall totals look meager, with many locations receiving only a few hundredths of an inch, and up to roughly a quarter of an inch near the Davis' and the Big Bend. Upper-level ridging returns Wednesday and Thursday before another trough approaches on Friday. Temperatures each afternoon warm into the 70s for most, with 80s creeping into the forecast for areas near and along the Rio Grande Tuesday through Thursday. Overnight lows in the 40s and 50s will be common throughout much of the week.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1137 AM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

VFR conditions remain at all terminals. Winds shift to the southeast by this evening. Cold front moves through the region around sunrise on Saturday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 39 75 48 74 / 0 0 10 0 Carlsbad 41 70 45 71 / 0 10 10 10 Dryden 44 77 51 74 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 44 78 53 73 / 0 0 10 10 Guadalupe Pass 46 63 47 63 / 0 10 10 20 Hobbs 41 70 45 73 / 0 0 10 0 Marfa 36 71 42 68 / 0 0 10 20 Midland Intl Airport 42 75 50 73 / 0 0 10 10 Odessa 43 74 50 73 / 0 0 10 10 Wink 39 73 46 73 / 0 0 10 10

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.