textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 252 PM CDT Thu May 28 2026

- Any isolated storms that develop Friday will carry a risk of damaging winds, large hail, and brief heavy rainfall. - Warmer conditions with isolated to scattered showers/storms expected through early next week.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Friday night) Issued at 252 PM CDT Thu May 28 2026

An upper level ridge is sliding toward our region, while an upper trough looms over the western US, placing our area under southwesterly flow aloft. Some cumulus clouds are currently percolating over the Davis Mountains, where a couple of showers and storms are expected to develop later today. Friday, a dryline develops over the higher terrain in the western portion of our region. Moisture within the southwesterly flow aloft and lift from the trough and ahead of the dryline will aid in isolated to scattered shower/storm development Friday. Rain chances Friday afternoon and evening will range from 10-30% over the Permian Basin and the Lower Trans Pecos. A storm or two may be severe, capable of producing large hail and damaging winds. The greatest rain chances and best potential for severe storms will be over our eastern counties Friday evening. Aside from rain chances, temperatures Friday are forecast to top out in the upper 80s to low 90s, with triple digit heat near and along the Rio Grande. Overnight lows both tonight and Friday night generally cool into the 60s.

LONG TERM

(Saturday through Wednesday) Issued at 252 PM CDT Thu May 28 2026

The jet streak that helped trigger showers and storms Friday begins shifts northeast Saturday. The dryline also sharpens up along our eastern fringes Saturday afternoon, allowing for low (10-20%) rain chances over the Trans Pecos while most others remain dry. Despite a weak upper ridge building overhead, rain chances improve Sunday as lift from shortwave impulses aloft combines with moisture ahead of a westward retreating dryline. A similar set up looks to take shape Monday afternoon and evening. Rain chances both days are progged to range from 10-40% over the Permian Basin, the Lower Trans Pecos, and east toward the Davis Mountains, where rain chances will be best. Another disturbance traverses our region Tuesday, bringing 20-50% rain chances areawide (best over our northern counties during the evening. Wednesday and heading toward the end of the week, long- range models show an upper level system approaching out of northwestern Mexico, then passing over our region, bring daily rain chances. Of course, details on this system currently remain uncertain, but this bears some consideration as we head further into the future. Otherwise, temperatures trend upward into the 90s for most Saturday through Monday. Highs in the 80s begin to make a come back Tuesday, then become more dominant Wednesday and Thursday. Most nights are expected to fall into the 60s.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 110 PM CDT Thu May 28 2026

VFR prevails through the period with gusty southeast winds this afternoon subsiding around sunset.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 66 90 68 95 / 0 10 20 0 Carlsbad 65 92 65 95 / 20 10 0 0 Dryden 70 96 72 95 / 0 20 20 10 Fort Stockton 66 93 68 95 / 0 10 10 10 Guadalupe Pass 63 83 63 84 / 10 0 0 0 Hobbs 62 87 61 93 / 10 20 10 0 Marfa 56 88 57 89 / 0 0 10 10 Midland Intl Airport 66 89 68 94 / 0 10 10 0 Odessa 66 89 68 93 / 0 10 10 0 Wink 66 91 66 95 / 10 10 10 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.