textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 554 AM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

- Very warm to hot temperatures each day with low (less than 20%) shower/storm chances over the western higher terrain each afternoon/evening.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Thursday afternoon) Issued at 114 AM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

A mid to upper ridge located over the Intermountain West through the Southern Great Plains will continue to provide large scale sinking motion over the area through the next two days. This will keep any shower/storm chances low (less than 20%). This will apply even for higher elevations of the Guadalupes through the Davis Mountains, where the best chances for any storms from heating of elevated terrain will exist. Any stronger storms will be capable of heavy rain, frequent lightning, small hail, and strong and variable winds Amid south/southeast upslope winds but dew point temperatures remaining below 60F, 55F western higher terrain, very warm to hot but dry weather is expected across SE NM and W TX. Highs today under mostly clear skies (apparent even early this morning in IR satellite imagery showing absence of much if any even high level cloud cover) rise into the 100F-105F range, 95F-100F higher elevations and southeast Permian Basin, and 105F-110F range for the Big Bend. Due to low dew point temperatures, no heat advisory conditions are expected. However, everyone is still encouraged to take proper heat safety precautions: limit time spent outdoors during the hottest part of the day, drink plenty of water, take frequent breaks in the shade if outdoors, and do not leave people or pets in locked vehicles. Lows tonight fall into the 70F-75F range, 75F-80F range easternmost and southernmost regions, and 65F-70F northern Lea County into northwest Permian Basin as well as western higher terrain. Tomorrow, similar story in terms of high and low temperatures with low (less than 20%) shower/storm chances, but perhaps slightly more humid due to winds having a more upslope/easterly component.

LONG TERM

(Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 114 AM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

The quiet weather pattern prevails for the end of the week and weekend into early next week. Mid to upper disturbances within troughing over the Central Great Plains will largely remain confined farther north E NM and the TX panhandle, with the accompanying lift and moisture convergence remaining away from the area keeping PoPs below 30% and any storm activity isolated. Very warm to hot temperatures similar to the past few days will persist amidst generally south/southeast winds, while apparent temperatures remaining below heat advisory criteria while dew point temperatures remain in the 40s and 50s F for most of the area will likely preclude any issuance of heat products. Everyone is still encouraged to take proper heat safety precautions. Overnight cooling will not change much. Overall, the very uneventful temperatures prevail as we head into the middle to end of August, with no major pattern change yet in sight.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 554 AM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

VFR conditions prevail through the period. Light southerly to southeasterly winds (generally around 10 kts) are expected. Winds will slightly increase again during the afternoon and early evening where occasional gusts up to 20 kts may occur.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 102 75 102 76 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 103 73 102 73 / 10 0 0 0 Dryden 102 75 102 76 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 100 73 100 74 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 94 70 93 70 / 10 0 0 0 Hobbs 101 71 101 71 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 94 63 96 63 / 10 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 100 75 100 75 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 100 75 100 76 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 102 75 102 75 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.