textproduct: Midland/Odessa
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 625 AM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026
- Warmer than average temperatures persist today before cooler conditions set in early next week.
- Shower/storm chances increase Sunday through early next week, especially south of the I-20 Corridor. The potential for multiple rounds of rain will increase the risk of flooding.
SHORT TERM
(Today through Saturday afternoon) Issued at 140 AM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026
A weak and east/west oriented upper level ridge remains over the area today. Subsidence associated with the ridge keeps temps above normal today with highs reaching the upper 90s to low 100s everywhere below 4KFT. The ridge axis develops a weakness over Central Texas as an easterly wave moves west from off the gulf. Low level moisture increases Saturday beginning a trend of cooler temperatures into the extended.
LONG TERM
(Saturday night through Thursday) Issued at 140 AM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026
It isn't often that a building upper high pressure system causes our temperatures to cool, but that is what will happen over the weekend and into next week. The key is that the high doesn't build over TX/NM, but over the northern Great Plains leaving West Texas and eastern New Mexico under lower heights and increasing southeasterly flow. Cool, moist gulf air advects into the area dropping temps below normal next week with highs in the lower 90s to upper 80s. The moisture also causes rain chances to increase next week with the highest PoPs in the higher elevations west of the Pecos River. More widely scattered hit and miss afternoon showers and thunderstorms are expected in the Permian Basin but hopefully everyone will see a little rain at least one day next week.
Hennig
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 625 AM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026
VFR conditions and modest southeast winds continue this TAF period.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Big Spring 98 73 96 74 / 0 0 0 10 Carlsbad 102 73 98 72 / 0 0 0 20 Dryden 97 73 95 72 / 0 0 10 20 Fort Stockton 98 70 95 71 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 94 68 90 67 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 98 69 95 69 / 0 0 0 10 Marfa 94 61 93 61 / 0 0 10 0 Midland Intl Airport 97 73 94 73 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 97 72 94 73 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 100 72 97 73 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. NM...None.
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