textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1254 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

- Gusty winds expected into early this evening (especially in the Guadalupes/Delaware Mountains). There remains the potential of patchy blowing dust across portions of southeast New Mexico, much of the Permian Basin, and around the Davis Mountains.

- After a weak front Saturday night/Sunday morning, a warming trend develops early next week. Precipitation chances are nil through the extended.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Sunday night) Issued at 1254 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

WV imagery this afternoon show an upper level trough extending from the southeast CONUS to off the Baja coast, running right through West Texas and Southeast New Mexico at 18Z. At the surface, leeside troughing on the Front Range has induced southwest to west winds across the area. High winds are expected in the Guadalupes/Delawares this afternoon, and this will add a downslope warming component to today's highs, which should top out a pleasant 8-10 F above normal.

Tonight, the trough moves very little...slightly east-southeat at best. Despite mostly clear skies, higher dewpoints, elevated mixing, and today's highs will yield warmer overnight minimums... around 5-10 F above normal. A weak cold front arrives after midnight, but doesn't look to have much effect on lows.

However, it will put a dent in Sunday's highs, shaving around 5-6 F off today's highs.

Sunday night, surface winds will veer back to return flow, but they'll be light, combining with mostly clear skies to promote efficient radiational cooling and allowing overnight lows within a degree or so of normal.

LONG TERM

(Monday through Friday) Issued at 1254 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

Northwesterly flow resides aloft Monday as a trough departs to the east and a ridge begins to build to the west. Much of the upcoming week looks to feature upper-level troughing over the eastern CONUS and ridging over the western CONUS. This keeps most of the cold air at bay and allows us to see a warming trend. Monday, winds return out of the south and southwest, resulting in highs in the 60s and lows in the 30s. Tuesday, westerly and southwesterly winds become a touch breezy as a surface low develops off the lee of the Rockies. Highs are forecast to top out in the upper 60s to low 70s, with lows in the 40s. A weak cold front attempts to push into our area Wednesday, but becomes diffuse by the afternoon and highs still warm into the 70s. Our next cold front begins to take shape early Thursday, when a shortwave trough rolls over the northern Plains and kicks up another surface low near the lee of the Rockies. Highs Thursday warm up a few degrees more, with 70s for most and 80s spreading further into our southern counties. Cooler temperatures arrive Friday behind a cold front ushered in by the aforementioned surface low. However, long-range models are in disagreement in terms of timing for this front, whether it arrives sometime Thursday afternoon or Friday. For now, highs Friday are forecast to reach the 50s and 60s.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 955 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours. Gusty west winds this afternoon will give way to a weak cold front overnight. A few high clouds are expected.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 39 61 31 63 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 38 62 32 65 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 47 71 38 65 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 44 64 36 69 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 39 56 37 58 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 35 61 31 62 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 33 62 28 64 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 40 61 33 63 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 41 61 35 62 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 38 63 32 64 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...High Wind Warning until 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/ this evening for Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

NM...High Wind Warning until 8 PM MST this evening for Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.