textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 628 AM CDT Sat May 30 2026

- Generally hot and dry conditions are expected through Monday with only a few isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms. - Cooler and wetter weather returns Tuesday and remains through the end of next week.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Sunday afternoon) Issued at 134 AM CDT Sat May 30 2026

Generally hot and dry conditions are expected this weekend. Westerly mid and upper level flow today will push a dryline into the Permian Basin helping to push temperatures into the 90s. Hot but not terribly so for this time of year. A mid level cap will suppress most convection though an isolated storm or two is possible east of the dryline, especially in the lower Trans Pecos. Flow backs from a more southwesterly direction Sunday pulling the dryline back farther west. An upper disturbance moving across the region will cause storms to develop along the dryline in the Big Bend extending north to the Pecos River.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through Friday) Issued at 134 AM CDT Sat May 30 2026

Heat and dry conditions continue into Monday before cooler and wetter conditions return. A ridge amplifies over East Texas, backing flow from a more southerly position, and sending a series of disturbances over the CWA from Mexico. In addition, a trough over the West Coast slowly moves east and further destabilizes the atmosphere over the area. Model agreement remains poor so details are difficult to forecast at this time though there is agreement of good rain chances with the best chance being Wednesday and Thursday. Lower heights and abundant clouds should keep highs in the 80s and limit instability needed for severe thunderstorms so the greatest severe weather threat may be localized flash flooding. Despite good rainfall recently, the soils can likely hold a bit more water so the greatest flood threat will be in urban areas. Rain chances diminish late next week but do not disappear completely.

Hennig

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 628 AM CDT Sat May 30 2026

VFR conditions expected through the period. ISOLD TS developing 18-03Z will not impact any terminals.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 94 68 98 69 / 10 0 0 10 Carlsbad 95 61 100 66 / 0 0 0 10 Dryden 96 70 97 71 / 10 10 10 10 Fort Stockton 96 66 98 68 / 10 10 40 20 Guadalupe Pass 83 62 89 66 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 93 61 97 64 / 0 0 0 10 Marfa 90 56 92 56 / 0 0 50 10 Midland Intl Airport 94 67 97 69 / 0 0 10 10 Odessa 94 67 97 69 / 0 0 10 10 Wink 95 66 99 68 / 0 0 10 10

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.