textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 245 AM CDT Mon May 11 2026 - Unseasonably warm temperatures beginning Tuesday and lasting through the weekend.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Tuesday afternoon) Issued at 245 AM CDT Mon May 11 2026

Surface high pressure builds in across the Central Texas today and will help keep temperatures near or just below normal in the low to mid 80s for most. Winds gradually shift back to the southeast by tonight and keep low level moisture pooled over the eastern half of the CWA. However, with no upper level support, rain chances remain low (<5%) through the short term forecast. Lows tonight settle in the 50s to low 60s. Upper level ridging moves in from the west for TUesday and temperatures ramp back up well above normal in the low to mid 90s for most.

-Stickney

LONG TERM

(Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 245 AM CDT Mon May 11 2026

Unseasonably warm tempertures kick off the long-term forecast as an upper-level ridge axis moves over southeast New Mexico and west Texas. Afternoon highs on Wednesday are forecast to be in the mid-to- upper 90s for most, with some spots in the Trans Pecos and along the Rio Grande reaching triple digits. Meanwhile, surface troughing associated with an area of low pressure develops over southeast New Mexico. In response, breezy southeasterly winds are expected across much of the region. By Thursday, the upper-level ridge weakens some and moves east, allowing for a shortwave to pass over the area. As a result, we cannot rule out the possibility of a couple showers and thunderstorms, particularly for areas over/near the Davis Mountains and Pecos County. However, chances look to be low (10% or less) at this time. Breezy conditions are expected to continue on Thursday thanks to surface troughing. Widespread highs in the mid-to-upper 90s looks to continue through the weekend. Long-range guidance shows an upper-level low skirting across northern portions of the CWA this weekend, yielding low (10-15%) chances of showers and thunderstorms. However, there is uncertainty in all of the details at this time. Specific details will depend on the exact track of this system and associated moisture quality. Lows each night are forecast to be in the 60s for most each night throughout the extended. Greening

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1105 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026

Latest satellite imagery shows stratus beginning to develop into the Permian Basin/lower Trans Pecos, and expect this to affect mainly Texas terminals overnight. Latest soundings/guidance suggest IFR cigs at KMAF, but MVFR elsewhere. Latest NBM scatters all terminals to VFR by 18Z Monday as surface winds veer to southeast after sundown.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 81 57 93 64 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 82 58 97 64 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 84 61 90 64 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 82 59 94 63 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 75 57 86 64 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 81 55 94 60 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 79 48 89 53 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 81 59 93 64 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 81 59 92 64 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 83 59 95 63 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...High Wind Warning until 4 AM CDT /3 AM MDT/ early this morning for Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

NM...High Wind Warning until 3 AM MDT early this morning for Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.