textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 440 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

- High winds in the Guadalupe Mountains (breezy conditions elsewhere) and a first freeze for many are expected Sunday morning as a strong cold front moves through the area this evening.

- The coolest day so far this season is expected on Sunday, with afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 40s for most.

- Rollercoaster ride of temperatures next week, with warming expected through midweek before another front arrives later in the week.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Sunday night) Issued at 114 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

Weak ridging overhead will help keep the forecast on track this afternoon with highs in the 70s for most. However, the mild temperatures will not last long as a strong cold front is forecast to begin moving through our area this evening. This will bring strong northeasterly winds, increasing clouds, and cold temperatures behind it. Winds are expected to reach high wind criteria in the Guadalupe Mountains (particularly the Guadalupe Pass) and the Carlsbad Caverns. As such, we are upgrading the High Wind Watch to a High Wind Warning, which is in effect from late this evening through Sunday morning. We have also upgraded the Freeze Watch to a Freeze Warning for portions of the central/southern Permian Basin, Trans Pecos, and Stockton Plateau as many spots are still expected to see their first freeze of the season tonight. Locations further north can expect to see tempertures below freezing, but are not included in the warning since those areas have already had their first freeze. Wind chills will make it feel colder as apparent tempertures in the teens to low 20s are expected across the northern half of the area and higher elevations. Sunday looks to be the coolest day of the season thus far, with afternoon highs forecast to be in the low- to-mid 40s for most. No precipitation is expected during the short term period.

Greening

LONG TERM

(Monday through Friday) Issued at 114 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

The Long Term forecast remains on track. A rollercoaster ride of temperatures is expected to commence by the start of the Long Term period. Highs rebound into the upper 50s and low-to-mid 60s Monday, which is near normal this time of year. A shortwave trough sends another reinforcing shot of cold air down Monday night, yielding lows once again near or below freezing for much of the area (save for our far southern zones). Nevertheless, highs Tuesday afternoon end up similar to highs Monday as winds quickly become southerly again. By Wednesday, compressional warming sends temperatures back into the upper 60s and low 70s ahead of yet another front Wednesday night/Thursday morning. Highs Thursday afternoon continue to trend down behind the front, with most of the area currently forecast to stay in the 50s (and even low 40s for the northern Permian Basin). Additionally, a passing shortwave allows for low (10-30%) rain chances to return to West Texas and Southeast New Mexico Thursday. By the end of the forecast period, temperatures begin to tick up again, topping out in the 60s for much of the area.

Sprang

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 440 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

KMAF 88D, surface obs, and mesoanalysis shows a pre-frontal boundary already through KMAF, w/the main front approaching from the NE. This will allow for a night of blustery winds and cratering cigs. ATTM, all cigs look to remain VFR except KFST/KPEQ, which could see MVFR late tonight/Sunday morning. Winds veer and skies scatter out Sunday night.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 29 41 32 58 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 31 46 28 64 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 39 49 38 63 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 35 46 36 66 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 31 42 32 58 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 26 42 25 59 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 26 51 31 66 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 32 41 33 60 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 33 41 33 60 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 31 43 31 63 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...High Wind Warning from 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/ this evening to noon CST /11 AM MST/ Sunday for Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

Freeze Warning from 3 AM to 9 AM CST Sunday for Crane-Davis Mountains Foothills-Ector-Loving-Midland-Pecos-Reagan- Reeves County Plains-Upton-Ward-Winkler.

NM...High Wind Warning from 8 PM this evening to 11 AM MST Sunday for Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.