textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1236 PM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026

- A summer-like pattern with hot temperatures and drier conditions will prevail through the week.

- Heat related concerns will increase over the Pecos River Valley and along the Rio Grande where high temperatures will range between 100-108 degrees through much of this week.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Tuesday afternoon) Issued at 247 AM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026

Upper level ridging continues to build over our area today, keeping hot and mostly dry conditions in the forecast. Highs this afternoon will be similar to Sunday's, if not a touch warmer, ranging in the upper 90s to triple digits. Temperatures beyond the century mark look to overspread most of southeast New Mexico, the Upper Trans Pecos, and the Rio Grande river valley. Those near and along the Pecos River valley are expected to top out in the 100-105 degree range, while some areas along the Rio Grande soar into the 105-112 degree range this afternoon. Although the latter temperatures fall just short of Heat Advisory criteria, it's best to stay hydrated and limit outdoor activity during the hottest part of the day. Despite ridging aloft, the combination of daytime heating and moist, upslope flow from the south/southeast due to surface troughing brings the possibility of isolated shower/storm development. Low (<15%) rain chances are forecast over the higher terrain in west Texas, primarily in and near the Davis Mountains this afternoon. The rest of the region is expected to remain dry. Tonight, temperatures fall into the mid 60s to mid 70s. The upper ridge shifts eastward Tuesday, allowing temperatures to cool off a few degrees. Tuesday's highs will reach into the low 90s to 100s, but triple digit heat looks to be more confined to the Rio Grande and Pecos River valleys.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 247 AM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026

The forecast remains relatively unchanged from the previous package. A weak upper ridge of high pressure settles over much of the region, while quasi-zonal flow aloft takes shape north of the area due to an upper-level system moving across the northern Plains. At the surface, troughing will be positioned over the Rockies. Shortwave impulses from the weak ridge of high pressure along with surface troughing from the west yields low to medium (20-50%) chance of storms over the Davis Mountains and Presidio Valley Wednesday afternoon and evening. Guidance has Precipitable Water (PWAT) values ranging from the 75th to slightly above 90th percentile Wednesday through Saturday, per SPC Sounding Climatology, across the region. This poses a risk of heavy rainfall for storms that develop. A similar weather pattern is in store for the rest of the week heading into the weekend with daily isolated to scattered showers/storms (expanding in coverage Thursday and Friday) where many locations will remain dry. Other than that, summer-like heat continues over portions of west Texas and southeast New Mexico. High temperatures Wednesday and Thursday are forecast to range from the mid 90s to lower triple digits. The warmest temperatures will be in spots along the Pecos River and Rio Grande where temperatures are expected to range between 100-110 degrees. As a result, heat related concerns will increase over these areas. Slightly cooler temperatures (mainly mid to upper 90s for most with 100-108 degrees along Pecos River and Rio Grande locations) are forecast Friday into the weekend as the ridge of high pressure breaks down.

Lamberson

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1236 PM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026

VFR conditions will prevail across the region this afternoon into this evening. Isolated SHRA/TSRA may develop over the western Permian Basin into the Trans Pecos, but probabilities of occurrence are currently too low to mention at any TAF site. MVFR ceilings may develop from far southeast NM into the Permian Basin and Trans Pecos by early Tuesday morning. Our confidence was high enough to include mention of MVFR ceilings at KMAF starting around 12Z. Breezy S/SE winds will persist into Tuesday morning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 97 72 92 72 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 104 71 100 72 / 10 0 0 0 Dryden 98 73 94 73 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 101 70 96 71 / 10 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 93 69 92 70 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 100 67 94 68 / 20 10 0 0 Marfa 95 59 93 62 / 20 10 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 98 71 91 71 / 10 0 0 0 Odessa 98 71 92 71 / 10 0 0 0 Wink 103 71 97 72 / 20 10 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.