textproduct: Midland/Odessa
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 541 PM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026
- Hot temperatures continue through midweek with record heat possible on Monday.
- The prolonged period of hot temperatures could result in heat related illnesses. Be sure to stay hydrated and take frequent breaks in air conditioning or the shade if possible.
SHORT TERM
(This afternoon through Monday night) Issued at 216 PM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026
Upper-level high on the order of 597-598 dm has become centered over southern New Mexico and far west Texas this afternoon. This feature will remain firmly planted over our region through Monday and will result in continued hot temperatures and dry conditions with near record heat possible Monday afternoon. High temperatures will range between 103-108 degrees across the western Low Rolling Plains, much of the Permian Basin, southeast New Mexico, Trans Pecos, and areas along the Rio Grande. These readings will be within our Heat Advisory criteria range over portions of southeast New Mexico and the Permian Basin, and once again into the western Low Rolling Plains, so we have issued a Heat Advisory product for these locations from noon-8 PM CDT (11 AM - 7 PM MDT) Monday. The August 24th record high temperature at Midland is 103 degrees, which was set in 1936 and there is a good chance we will at least tie, if not break that record (the latest forecast calls for 103-104 degrees in the Midland/Odessa area). Early morning lows may briefly drop into the mid to upper 70s, but a few places may not get below 80. Stay hydrated and keep in the air conditioning or shade if possible.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday through Saturday) Issued at 216 PM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026
Upper-level high pressure will remain in place across our region through Tuesday before perhaps retrograding slightly westward over the Desert Southwest by mid to late week. Hot temperatures will persist through Wednesday with highs each day continuing to range between 100-106 over much of the region. The highest readings will impact the northeast Basin/western Low Rolling Plains and locations along the Pecos River Valley and Rio Grande. Overnight lows mostly range in the 70s, except for readings in the 60s over higher elevation areas. Shortwave impulses embedded within the northwest flow aloft on the eastern side of the ridge could bring isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms to portions of the area Wednesday into Thursday, with rain chances up to 30-40% over portions of southeast New Mexico and the northwestern Permian Basin by Wednesday evening. Temperatures remain above normal Thursday-Saturday with some locations near or above the century mark.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 541 PM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026
VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours in weak return flow, w/a few high clouds. A few high-based cu are anticipated beginning late Monday morning invof KHOB.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Big Spring 79 106 76 105 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 73 105 75 104 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 76 104 74 103 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 75 103 74 102 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 70 96 72 97 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 73 104 72 103 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 65 97 64 97 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 78 103 76 102 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 78 104 77 102 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 76 106 76 104 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM CDT Monday for Andrews-Borden- Dawson-Ector-Gaines-Glasscock-Howard-Martin-Midland- Mitchell-Scurry-Winkler.
Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for Borden-Howard- Mitchell-Scurry.
NM...Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 7 PM MDT Monday for Central Lea-Eddy County Plains-Southern Lea.
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