textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1237 AM CDT Sun May 3 2026 - Below normal temperatures are forecast through the weekend before highs rebound near to above normal by next week.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Sunday night) Issued at 205 PM CDT Sat May 2 2026

The latest surface analysis continues to show high pressure over the region, allowing for some clearing. Meanwhile, a weak trough located across southeast New Mexico and far west Texas keeps some mid/upper level clouds overhead throughout the rest of the day. There may be enough forcing and moisture to squeeze out a few sprinkles across our western zones this afternoon (including portions of southeast New Mexico). Surface ridging helps afternoon highs rise into the mid 60s to low 70s for most (50s in higher terrain). Tonight, skies become mostly clear and overnight lows remain in the mid 40s to low 50s. By Sunday, weak ridging aloft returns to the area while the surface ridge moves east. This yields warmer afternoon temperatures, with highs generally in the mid 70s to low 80s. Sunday night, lows look to be 6 to 8 degrees warmer than tonight's as increased cloud cover limits radiational cooling. Greening

LONG TERM

(Monday through Friday) Issued at 205 PM CDT Sat May 2 2026

Weak ridging aloft continues across the area on Monday while surface troughing develops across west Texas and portions of southeast New Mexico. Meanwhile, southwesterly downslope winds return to the area. As a result, afternoon highs trend warmer and top out into the mid 80s to around 90 degrees. Some spots along the Rio Grande can expect temperatures to top out into the mid 90s to around 100 degrees. By Tuesday, guidance shows an upper-level trough with an associated jet max moving over southeast New Mexico and west Texas. However, this looks to be a dry system as westerly winds at the surface bring in drier air. This yields breezy conditions across southeast New Mexico and portions of Permian Basin, with stronger winds in the Guadalupe/Delaware Mountains. However, there may be enough moisture on Tuesday night to bring a couple of showers and storms across portions of our far eastern zones. Though the best chances of receiving any appreciable rainfall currently remains to our east. Breezy winds and warm conditions can also be expected during the day Wednesday ahead of an advancing cold front. Behind the cold front, lows fall into the 40s to mid 50s across most of the area (upper 50s to low 60s near/along the Rio Grande). Temperatures cool into the 70s across much of the region Thursday before rebounding back into the 80s by Friday. Dry conditions continue through the latter part of next week. Greening

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1237 AM CDT Sun May 3 2026

VFR conditions will continue through the period with southeasterly to southerly winds.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 78 58 90 63 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 77 55 86 60 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 77 57 88 63 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 81 58 90 62 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 71 57 77 58 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 75 52 85 58 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 76 48 85 52 / 10 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 77 58 88 63 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 77 58 88 63 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 78 56 88 61 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.