textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 520 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

- Gusty winds expected this afternoon/early evening (especially in the Guadalupes/Delaware Mountains). There is the potential of patchy blowing dust across portions of southeast New Mexico, much of the Permian Basin, and around the Davis Mountains.

- After a weak front Saturday night/Sunday morning, a warming trend develops early next week. Precipitation chances are nil through the extended.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Sunday afternoon) Issued at 138 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

Another day of gusty, downsloping winds is expected this afternoon/evening as the upper-level system advances and the lee trough brings about a surface low over the Southern Plains. Winds are expected to be a bit breezier than they were on Friday as winds accelerate in response to the surface low. Winds will especially be strong in the Guadalupe/ Davis Mountains (including the Carlsbad Caverns), prompting a High Wind Warning being issued once again. Patchy blowing dust is also possible this afternoon across southeast New Mexico, much of the Permian Basin, and our western counties of west Texas in response to the dry gusty winds. Afternoon highs are forecast to be 2-7 degrees warmer than Friday for most due to clear skies, northwest flow aloft, and stronger downsloping winds.

A cold front pushes through the area Saturday night into early Sunday morning, shifting winds northerly to northeasterly, and dropping Sunday's afternoon highs 7-10 degrees from today's for most. Northwest flow aloft persists on Sunday, keeping skies clear and our area dry.

Greening

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through Friday) Issued at 138 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

Lows Monday morning dip down into the 30s across West Texas and Southeast New Mexico, with upper 20s in the far northern Permian Basin. Nevertheless, southerly winds begin to redevelop by Monday morning at the surface. Meanwhile, our region remains under northwesterly flow aloft. Though Monday's highs will remain in the 60s areawide, as a result of these factors they trend up 2-4 degrees above Sunday's highs. Temperatures continue to tick up daily through next week, topping out in the 70s areawide by Wednesday and Thursday (with some highs topping out near/just above 80F Thursday in the Lower Trans-Pecos and along the Rio Grande). For reference, these temperatures are about 12-18 degrees above normal for this time of year. Guidance continues to indicate a front will enter the area sometime Friday, though details regarding frontal strength and timing continue to remain uncertain (a lot of spread with regard to temperatures exists within ensemble members, and our current high is on the higher end of guidance). In any case, this front will at least knock highs down closer to normal Friday and Saturday (60s across much of the area, 70s along the Rio Grande). Stay tuned for updates! Otherwise, precipitation chances remain near-zero through the period under clear skies.

Sprang

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 520 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

VFR conditions prevail at all terminals the next 24 hours. Westerly winds become gusty (between 20-25kts) this afternoon, beginning around 18Z.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 69 40 61 30 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 69 39 63 32 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 77 48 71 37 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 74 44 64 36 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 57 40 57 37 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 67 36 61 29 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 64 35 63 27 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 68 41 61 33 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 68 42 61 34 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 70 38 63 32 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...High Wind Warning from noon CST /11 AM MST/ today to 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/ this evening for Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

NM...High Wind Warning from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM MST this evening for Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.