textproduct: Midland/Odessa
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 103 AM CDT Wed Aug 26 2026
- Hot temperatures continue today. Be sure to stay hydrated and take frequent breaks in air conditioning or the shade if possible.
- Temperatures remain above normal through the forecast period, but decrease relative to the past several days.
- Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms may develop over portions of the region late today and Thursday.
SHORT TERM
(Today through Thursday afternoon) Issued at 103 AM CDT Wed Aug 26 2026
We finally see that brief pattern change we've been talking about the last few days. Mid/upper ridging has finally shifted west allowing NW flow to develop aloft. Showers and storms are expected to develop this afternoon across northern and eastern portions of NM before sliding southeast. As this occurs, storms will produce gusty outflow winds and maybe even a bit of rain. Damaging gusts are not out of the question given how hot and dry the subcloud layer will be. Storms will dissipate as they move south through the night.
Temperatures will remain hot today, even though we will see a decrease of a few degrees from Tuesday. Most locations will see the 100 degree mark once again. Clouds and extra moisture in place should help keep temperatures even cooler Thursday with most locations in the mid to upper 90s. Isolated showers and storms will also be possible, almost anywhere.
LONG TERM
(Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 103 AM CDT Wed Aug 26 2026
Ridging moves back east over the area Friday into the weekend. This will help suppress most convection once again outside of maybe an isolated storm in the mountains. Temperatures will climb back up a few degrees, but it's possible much of the region will stay below 100. Model solutions diverge later next week as they struggle with the strength and placement of the upper ridge. Fall is just around the corner as September begins so a pattern change to wetter/cooler becomes more likely in the coming weeks (we hope!).
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1103 PM CDT Tue Aug 25 2026
A weakening outflow boundary will move south into the area over the next few hours, mainly affecting KHOB/KCNM with a wind shift to the northeast. Southerly winds will return after sunrise with VFR prevailing through the period.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Big Spring 103 74 98 72 / 0 30 20 20 Carlsbad 103 73 100 73 / 0 10 10 30 Dryden 103 76 102 75 / 0 0 20 30 Fort Stockton 102 74 99 72 / 0 10 20 20 Guadalupe Pass 95 70 91 69 / 0 0 20 20 Hobbs 101 70 97 69 / 0 30 20 20 Marfa 97 64 94 62 / 0 0 30 10 Midland Intl Airport 102 74 97 73 / 0 30 20 20 Odessa 101 75 97 73 / 0 20 20 20 Wink 104 75 99 73 / 0 20 10 20
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. NM...None.
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