textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 100 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

- A cold front moves through the area late Friday into early Saturday, keeping temperatures below normal Saturday through Sunday morning.

- Warming trend begins Sunday afternoon lasting through early next week as ridging over the area increases.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Saturday night) Issued at 100 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

Not much to write home about in the short term, as an upper ridge over the western CONUS will ensure that dry grids persist in northwest flow aloft over West Texas and Southeast New Mexico.

Tonight, although surface winds veer back to return flow, they'll be light. This will combine with mostly clear skies to promote efficient radiational cooling, knocking around 5 F off of this morning's lows. To exacerbate things further, a cold front will backdoor the area beginning around midnight.

Saturday, although surface winds quickly veer back to return flow during the afternoon, that quick, post-frontal shot of CAA will keep highs from around 40 northeast to the 60s in the Presidio Valley. The upside is, Saturday will easily be the coldest day this forecast.

Saturday night, light/variable winds under mostly clear skies will yield a repeat of tonight, with lows Sunday morning ranging from around 20 northern Lea County to the 30s along the Rio Grande.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through Thursday) Issued at 100 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

Temperatures warm up beginning Sunday as upper-level ridging builds in from the west, yielding afternoon highs in the upper 50s to low 60s for most. Highs then rise into the 60s to low 70s Monday and Tuesday for most as the ridge axis moves overhead. However, Tuesday looks to be a little cooler than Monday thanks to the passage of a cold front late Monday night into early Tuesday afternoon. Ensemble guidance shows an upper-level trough over the Central Plains, sending embedded shortwaves within northwest flow aloft by Wednesday next week. This brings low (10%) rain chances across the Presidio Valley and Big Bend region Wednesday night into Thursday. However, the best forcing for ascent and moisture quality looks to be to our east at this time. With that said, uncertainty in the positioning of the aforementioned trough and moisture quality remains. These details will become more evident by early next week. Greening

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 922 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

A cold front will backdoor KMAF/KHOB overnight, bringing a few hours of IFR cigs/vsbys Saturday morning. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail, w/a few high clouds. Winds veer back to return flow at the end of the forecast period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 24 41 25 58 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 27 45 26 56 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 33 53 28 59 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 31 54 30 59 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 32 44 33 51 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 24 42 23 59 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 25 54 25 61 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 26 44 27 59 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 26 44 27 58 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 27 47 27 57 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.