textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1038 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

- Spring-like temperatures persist through the extended forecast.

- An upper-level storm system brings low to medium (10-50%) rain chances to the area early next week. Rainfall totals look light.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Sunday night) Issued at 1240 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

WV imagery this afternoon shows an upper ridge over central Texas, leaving West Texas and Southeast New Mexico under southwest flow aloft, buttressed by a cut-off low off the coast of Baja. This pattern will send subtle shortwaves up through southwest flow, resulting in isolated shower activity through Sunday night. Increased thicknesses will continue, ensuring unseasonably warm temperatures persist. Highs this afternoon and Sunday will feel more like late March than early February, as highs top out ~ 12-14 F above normal. Abundant cloud cover will keep overnight lows warm, as well. Lows overnight should average 16-18 F above climatology, but will cool 2-3 F Sunday night due to a little less cloud cover/wind.

LONG TERM

(Monday through Friday) Issued at 1240 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

An upper-level cut off low makes a march from Mexico toward our region Monday. Today's ensembles have trended for a slightly slower and more southerly progression of this system compared to yesterday's. As per recent data, the upper low swings from the coast of Baja California Sur and heads northeast toward our CWA Monday into Tuesday, becoming an open trough as it does so. The approaching system brings moisture and a source of lift along with it, spelling increasing rain chances over the next couple of days. Isolated to scattered shower activity looks to start in our southwestern counties late Sunday night, spreading east and northeast through the day Monday before tapering off west to east by Tuesday evening. At our peak, PoPs Monday night into Tuesday range anywhere from 10-50% areawide, with best (30-50%) odds generally being found over West Texas. The trough departs to our east Tuesday night, rejoining the general flow and allowing for ridging to return aloft, thus ending our rain chances. Rainfall totals still look scant, at only a few hundredths of an inch to about a quarter of an inch (in the Big Bend).

Temperatures through much of the upcoming week are forecast to remain Spring-like, topping out in the 70s at most locations each afternoon and slipping into the 40s and 50s each night. Highs in the 80s are ahead for the Lower Trans Pecos and Big Bend area Wednesday and Thursday. Rain chances and cooler temperatures may return Friday as another upper trough and associated cold front arrives.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1038 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

A few very light SHRA continue to shift east and out of the region. No impacts are expected. VFR will prevail with winds becoming more westerly with time, but staying generally under 12 kts.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 50 78 46 75 / 10 10 0 0 Carlsbad 47 73 44 72 / 10 0 0 10 Dryden 52 77 52 75 / 10 10 0 0 Fort Stockton 55 76 52 75 / 10 10 0 10 Guadalupe Pass 46 65 47 64 / 10 0 0 20 Hobbs 47 74 43 73 / 10 0 0 0 Marfa 42 70 41 68 / 20 10 10 20 Midland Intl Airport 51 76 47 75 / 10 10 0 10 Odessa 51 76 48 74 / 10 10 0 10 Wink 48 76 44 74 / 10 0 0 10

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.