textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 140 AM CDT Sun Mar 29 2026

- A warming trend begins today and continues through Tuesday. Slightly cooler temperatures are ahead with a cold front Wednesday.

- Increased shower/storm chances Wednesday into Thursday will accompany another cold front.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Monday afternoon) Issued at 140 AM CDT Sun Mar 29 2026

Subtle ridging is evident over west Texas and southeast New Mexico this morning. Meanwhile, a surface trough is evident in the lee of the Rockies. The cool-down following Friday's front effectively ends today. Highs shoot back into the low-to-mid 80s areawide by this afternoon. Meanwhile, southerly winds become breezy (generally 15-20 mph sustained) in the eastern Permian Basin and Lower Trans-Pecos thanks to the aforementioned surface trough. Low temperatures also warm Monday morning relative to this morning as moisture increases and winds remain breezy overnight. Most locations bottom out in the mid-to-upper 50s, with mid-to-upper 40s in typical cool spots. Highs inch up a couple of degrees Monday, and breezy winds continue for the eastern Basin and Lower Trans-Pecos. Much of the area tops out in the mid-to-upper 80s and low 90s Monday afternoon. Outside of low (10%) shower chances for far southern portions of the Big Bend, the Short Term period remains dry overall.

Sprang

LONG TERM

(Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 140 AM CDT Sun Mar 29 2026

Breezy (15-20 mph) southerly winds continue over the Permian Basin and Trans Pecos through much of Monday night. These the result of a lee trough extending from the central Great Plains down to just west of the Big Bend. Temperatures Monday night settle into the 50s to low 60s. The surface low associated with this trough deepens overnight Monday as a shortwave approaches the Plains. By Tuesday morning, a cold front begins to drop down through the Plains. Breezy west winds develop over our region ahead of the advancing front Tuesday afternoon. Winds will be strongest in/near the Guadalupe/ Delaware Mountains Tuesday evening. Downslope flow pushes Tuesday's highs into the 90s for the Permian Basin, Trans Pecos, and areas along the Rio Grande. Those elsewhere are expected to reach the upper 80s. Given warm, dry, and breezy winds, Tuesday looks to be our next day to monitor for potential fire weather conditions. The aforementioned cold front sweeps into our region late Tuesday night into Wednesday. Lows Tuesday night will depend on frontal timing, with those behind the front falling to the 50s, and those ahead of it dipping to the lower 60s. West winds will again be gusty over the Guadalupe/Delawares, Davis Mountains, and surrounding plains Wednesday. Temperatures largely warm into the 80s Wednesday afternoon, despite the cold front. Rain chances enter the forecast Wednesday afternoon and evening as the upper trough responsible for the cold front digs into our region. This system may produce isolated to widely scattered shower activity over much of the region. This trough departs Thursday, but another one begins to approach late Friday. Elevated west/southwest winds are forecast for both Thursday and Friday, along with highs in the 80s, then 80s/90s respectively. Another cold front looks to push into our region Friday night into Saturday, dropping Saturday's highs back into the 70s.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1222 AM CDT Sun Mar 29 2026

VFR conditions prevail. Light southeasterly to southerly winds persist through the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 85 57 89 60 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 88 53 92 58 / 0 0 10 10 Dryden 84 56 88 59 / 0 0 10 0 Fort Stockton 88 57 92 62 / 0 0 10 0 Guadalupe Pass 78 58 82 57 / 0 0 10 0 Hobbs 85 50 90 54 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 82 44 85 48 / 0 0 10 10 Midland Intl Airport 85 56 89 60 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 84 56 89 61 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 87 54 92 58 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.