textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 925 PM CST Fri Feb 27 2026

- Temperatures remain well above normal through early next week, with continued dry weather conditions.

- Temperatures start to cool slightly by the middle of next week, with low (generally 20-40%) rain chances returning to mainly eastern portions of the area.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Saturday night) Issued at 130 PM CST Fri Feb 27 2026

An upper level high over the Baja of Mexico will provide steady northwesterly flow over West Texas and eastern New Mexico over the short term period. This pattern favors above normal temperatures and dry conditions which is exactly what we have in the forecast as highs reach well into the 80s for most with some 90s along the Rio Grande. In fact we could see some records fall both Saturday and Sunday at MAF when highs approach 90 degrees.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through Thursday) Issued at 130 PM CST Fri Feb 27 2026

Early next week we begin to see a slow transition in the upper air pattern. The high over northwestern Mexico gets dampened and pushed east as low pressure moves in off the Pacific and into California. Upper wind flow gradually changes from northwesterly to westerly, and ultimately southwesterly as a series of low travels across the western United States. NBM guidance introduces low PoPs in the eastern Permian Basin on Tuesday as the backed flow helps pull moisture northward from the gulf. Exactly how much precipitation develops is very much in question since the main upper forcing remains well to our north and it is possible that the moisture needed will not make it far enough west to impact our CWA. There is also uncertainty in the position of potential dry lines and a cold front that has caused ensemble guidance to spread PoPs from Tuesday all the way into Friday. No doubt successive models runs will be able to trim down the time frame for rain chances better than a four day spread. The previously mentioned cold front will bring temps down a little next week though they should remain above average for this time of year.

Hennig

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 925 PM CST Fri Feb 27 2026

VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours, with a few high clouds. Surface winds will be light and variable.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 53 87 53 89 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 50 85 50 89 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 55 89 56 88 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 56 89 57 93 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 55 79 56 81 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 48 85 48 88 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 45 84 46 86 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 53 87 55 89 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 53 87 55 89 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 48 87 51 92 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.