textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1121 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2026

- Below normal temperatures persist through Monday, before trending upward by midweek.

- An upper level disturbance brings low to medium (10-40%) rain chances to much of the area this evening into Monday. Rainfall totals look light.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Monday night) Issued at 206 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2026

Visible satellite shows another disturbance moving into the region out of the west. With it, low clouds and a chance for isolated to scattered showers will gradually move into the region out of the southwest into this evening and overnight tonight. Increasing clouds and winds out of the southeast will keep temperatures from falling as much as this morning. Many will end up in the 40s with areas along the Pecos River Valley and down across Big Bend in the low 50s. Rain chances will be generally low (10-30%) with rain amounts remaining low with most spots seeing a few hundredths. A rumble of thunder or two cannot be ruled out, but severe storms are not currently expected.

Tomorrow sees isolated showers move to the north and east across the area before decaying or exiting to the east by the evening. Highs will range from the 60s into the 70s depending on cloud and rain coverage. Rain amounts, if measurable, will once again be on the low side, below a tenth of an inch for most.

-Stickney

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through Saturday) Issued at 206 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2026

Warmer temperatures return Tuesday onward, as an upper level disturbance shifts eastward and ridging reestablishes overhead. Highs reach the 70s/80s Tuesday, then the 80s/90s Wednesday. A few showers/storms may develop west of the Pecos River Tuesday afternoon. Rain chances range from 10-30%, with best odds in the vicinity of the Davis Mountains. Midweek, an upper trough progresses over the western US. Southwesterly flow aloft increases Thursday, as the jet streak of this feature approaches. Meanwhile, southwesterly surface winds also increase with the development of a lee trough that looks to extend south through the Plains. Breezy winds are forecast over much of our region Wednesday afternoon through early Friday. The strongest winds would likely be within the Guadalupe/ Delaware Mountains during this timeframe. Aside from gusty winds, warm and dry conditions may contribute to critical fire weather conditions during the latter half of the work week, primarily over the western half of our region. Downsloping westerly winds send Thursday's highs into the 80s and 90s. A weak cold front may sneak into our northern counties Friday, but some models show this quickly mixing out, keeping afternoon temperatures roughly similar to Thursday. Another reinforcing push from an upper trough over the northern and central Plains might finally send this front down late Saturday, bringing slightly cooler temperatures heading into the following week.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1121 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2026

TAFs will be a mess next 24 hours as a stratus deck develops north through the Pecos Rvr Valley/lwr Trans Pecos, resulting in IFR/MVFR cigs, mainly eastern terminals. To further exacerbate the situation, minor impulses moving through southwest flow aloft are bringing widespread, marginal chances of mainly -SHRA into the region. Latest radar loops and hi-res models suggest best chances will be KMAF/KHOB later Monday morning. Stratus will attempt to clear out W-E during the day Monday, but may persist in the east into the overnight hours Monday night.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 69 50 61 53 / 0 30 50 10 Carlsbad 68 48 74 51 / 0 30 20 10 Dryden 60 50 63 54 / 20 50 30 10 Fort Stockton 62 49 72 52 / 10 40 20 10 Guadalupe Pass 55 44 68 50 / 10 30 20 10 Hobbs 67 46 68 50 / 0 40 30 20 Marfa 59 41 70 45 / 30 30 40 10 Midland Intl Airport 69 50 63 54 / 0 40 30 10 Odessa 68 50 64 54 / 0 40 30 10 Wink 68 49 70 53 / 0 40 20 10

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.