textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 345 AM CDT Tue Jul 21 2026

- Rain chances persist in the forecast through this evening in/ near the higher terrain. Localized flash flooding remains of concern in the event of heavy rainfall.

- Hot and mostly dry weather returns Wednesday onward, with increasing coverage of triple digit highs

SHORT TERM

(Today through Wednesday afternoon) Issued at 345 AM CDT Tue Jul 21 2026

Upper level ridging begins to take hold today and will confine rain chances to across the Davis Mountains and areas to the west. Temperatures move a few degrees higher compared to yesterday with many reaching into the mid to upper 90s. The mountains remain cooler in the 80s. Temperatures fall into the upper 60s to low 70s for most by tonight. Wednesday sees temperatures move another couple degrees higher and rain chances decrease further over the western half of the CWA. Midland may see its first 100F day since July 4th.

-Stickney

LONG TERM

(Wednesday night through Monday) Issued at 345 AM CDT Tue Jul 21 2026

Upper ridging becomes centered over north Texas Wednesday evening. This feature then strengthens and meanders toward the Desert Southwest through the remainder of the week and into the weekend. As a result, hot and mostly dry conditions are expected to persist through the rest of the Long Term period. Triple digit heat expands to include more portions of the Permian Basin, the Upper Trans Pecos, and southeast New Mexico Thursday afternoon compared to Wednesday afternoon. Friday and into early next week, triple digit heat shall dominate most of our region, with the exception of 90s in the higher terrain and adjacent areas. Highs look to reach or exceed 105 degrees near and along the river valleys and portions of the Permian Basin most afternoons. The hottest conditions will be along the Rio Grande in the Big Bend this weekend, where highs could range between 110-115 degrees. Lows generally fall into the 70s each night. Aside from isolated showers/ storms near the elevated terrain in west Texas and portions of southeast New Mexico, most locations will remain dry.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 114 AM CDT Tue Jul 21 2026

VFR conditions continue through the morning with light southerly winds.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 98 73 101 76 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 96 74 99 74 / 10 10 0 0 Dryden 99 74 100 76 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 96 71 98 73 / 10 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 85 68 89 69 / 10 10 10 0 Hobbs 97 71 99 73 / 0 10 0 0 Marfa 88 63 91 62 / 10 10 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 96 73 99 75 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 96 73 99 76 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 98 73 100 75 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.