textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 256 AM CDT Mon Jun 15 2026

- A few storms may be strong today with the main hazards being small hail, lightning, and heavy rainfall. Will continue to monitor for flash flooding.

- The hottest temperatures of the season so far are possible by the middle of next week with many locations experiencing their first 100 degree day.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Tuesday afternoon) Issued at 256 AM CDT Mon Jun 15 2026

Conditions remain somewhat unsettled this morning as isolated showers and storms continue across portions of the Trans Pecos. With a diffuse front located near or just south of the US/MX border and some available upper level support, isolated convection will be possible at least through this morning. A storm or two may be strong with heavy rainfall and lightning being the primary hazards. WIll continue to monitor for the threat of flash flooding as well. The pattern begins to shift later today as upper level flow becomes northwesterly and begins the process of drying out the region. Cloud cover and rain will keep temperatures well below normal in the 80s this afternoon.

Tonight, rain chances continue to taper off with the loss of daytime heating. Lows settle into the 60s for most. The warm up begins on Tuesday with highs reaching into the 90s nearly areawide. Low chances (10-30%) for rain will persist for the Davis Mountains and Big Bend, but be dry elsewhere.

-Stickney

LONG TERM

(Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 256 AM CDT Mon Jun 15 2026

The long range forecast will be quite hot beginning Wednesday and Thursday. NBM puts the chances of seeing a high temperature of 100F or greater on either of those days at >90%. KMAF has yet to officially record a 100F day this year, but the first one is increasingly going to happen on Wednesday. The heat takes a break for Friday and into this weekend as we shift back to a slightly cooler and unsettled summer pattern. Low (10-30%) rain chances return heading into Friday as a weak disturbance moves across the region. Temperatures move near to above normal on Saturday and Sunday with highs reaching into the mid to upper 90s for most.

-Stickney

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1116 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Expect another round of MVFR stratus overnight all terminals. As light surface winds veer around to southeast Monday, cigs should scatter out around 20Z or so. Convection will be possible overnight, mainly KHOB/KINK/KPEQ.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 83 67 94 72 / 20 10 0 0 Carlsbad 86 66 96 69 / 30 10 0 0 Dryden 86 69 92 70 / 50 10 0 0 Fort Stockton 85 67 95 70 / 30 0 10 0 Guadalupe Pass 81 64 88 69 / 30 20 10 0 Hobbs 82 63 93 67 / 30 20 0 0 Marfa 83 57 89 59 / 50 10 30 0 Midland Intl Airport 83 67 93 71 / 20 20 10 0 Odessa 83 67 93 71 / 20 20 0 0 Wink 86 67 95 70 / 20 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.