textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 124 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

- A quiet weather pattern persists with near to slightly warmer than normal temperatures and dry conditions throughout the week.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Tuesday night) Issued at 124 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

A rather pedestrian short term forecast persists, as another upper ridge strengthens over the west coast this afternoon. Between there and here are a couple of shortwaves in northwest flow aloft, but these look to do little more than increase mid/high clouds. The KMAF 12Z raob came in with a pwat of 0.21", which is only around the 15th percentile. Needless to say, no precipitation is in the forecast anytime soon. Meanwhile, highs this afternoon are still on tap to top out around 10 F above where they ended up yesterday.

Tonight, another cold front arrives, with buffer soundings putting fropa at KMAF at around 08Z. Fortunately, CAA doesn't look to arrive in time to much affect overnight minimums. Warmer temperatures today will combine with lingering cloud cover to keep lows over 5 F warmer than last night, as well as over 5 F above normal.

Tuesday, unfortunately, the post-frontal CAA affects will be felt, as highs drop to around normal, which would be the 60s most locations.

Tuesday night, post-frontal lows will drop, despite lingering cloud cover. Lows should be similar to last night's, if not a degree or so warmer.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through Sunday) Issued at 124 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

Cooler temperatures continue Wednesday, with much of the area topping out near/a couple of degrees below normal (upper 50s and low 60s for most), with breezy northeasterly winds. Winds quickly shift back to the southwest Thursday, yielding highs right around normal (low 60s for most locations, mid-to-upper 50s in the higher terrain). Around the same time, an elongated northwest-to-southeast oriented ridge axis develops over the western CONUS and stretches down into our area. As a result, temperatures climb into the upper 60s and low-to-mid 70s through the weekend (with 70s across much of the area by Saturday). By Sunday, a shortwave trough dampens the ridge and pushes it farther to the east. This causes highs to decrease a couple of degrees Sunday, though they remain 5-10 degrees above normal. Additionally, low (10-20%) rain chances sneak back into the area early next week thanks to lift from the incoming system (though lots of disagreement remains within ensemble members concerning the timing/placement of the system). Otherwise, the forecast remains dry.

Sprang

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1055 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours, with a few high clouds. A cold front will intrude upon the area overnight, hitting NM terminals around 5Z, and all Texas terminals by 11Z.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 37 62 31 58 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 38 60 34 58 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 40 69 38 65 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 41 62 35 60 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 39 53 34 48 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 34 60 30 57 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 33 61 29 55 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 38 62 33 58 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 38 61 34 58 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 36 62 31 59 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.