textproduct: Midland/Odessa
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 518 PM CST Sat Feb 21 2026
- Cooler temperatures return this weekend behind a cold front that passed through the region early this morning.
- A warming trend returns Tuesday through Friday of next week, with near record temperatures and elevated fire weather conditions possible by Wednesday.
SHORT TERM
(This afternoon through Sunday night) Issued at 113 PM CST Sat Feb 21 2026
A cold front moved through the area this morning bringing gusty northerly winds and temperatures 15 to 20 degrees cooler than yesterday. Winds diminish tonight and clear skies yield optimal radiational cooling conditions allowing many locations to drop below freezing. That cool start sets up another cool day Sunday as highs only reach the 50s to lower 60s. There will be another freeze tomorrow night before a warming trend begins for next week.
Hennig
LONG TERM
(Monday through Friday) Issued at 113 PM CST Sat Feb 21 2026
As if last week's fire weather wasn't enough of a hint, the calendar is closing in March which signals the onset of drier and warmer conditions. Models are agreeing with climatology and are showing a westerly flow dominating next week with all upper level systems remaining well to our north. Thus beginning Monday, temperatures warm up to near normal and soar well above normal for Tuesday and Wednesday. In fact the record high for MAF on Wednesday is 86F, which is what is currently forecast so records could certainly fall. A cold front is expected early Thursday which will pull us back away from record highs though temperatures will still be anomalously warm despite the cooler air. No rainfall is expected the next seven days.
Hennig
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 518 PM CST Sat Feb 21 2026
VFR.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Big Spring 28 59 31 63 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 32 57 30 63 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 36 62 38 65 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 34 60 37 66 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 32 51 33 59 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 28 57 29 61 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 25 56 27 62 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 31 59 32 61 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 31 59 33 62 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 31 59 32 64 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. NM...None.
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