textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 203 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

- Hazardous heat continues today across the region, with highs largely between 100 to 110 degrees. Be sure to drink plenty of fluids and take frequent breaks in the shade if outdoors!

- Isolated storm chances (10-20%) for portions of the Permian Basin, Lower Trans Pecos, and far southeast New Mexico this afternoon and evening. A storm or two may be severe with damaging winds and hail up to size of quarters being the main threats.

- Triple digit heat continues through the extended, with low (< 30%) chance of showers/storms across the higher terrain and northern Permian Basin.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Tuesday night) Issued at 203 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

A remnant outflow boundary has pushed across southeast New Mexico and the Permian Basin and is washing out across the Pecos River Valley this afternoon. Despite this, temperatures are still expected to reach into the 100s for many areas. Thus, a Heat Advisory remains in place as inherited from the previous forecast package. Isolated storms look to develop in an area stretching from Midland/Odessa southward towards Fort Stockton. A storm or two may become strong to severe with damaging winds and large hail the main threats. Any afternoon activity that develops will decay after sunset with the loss of daytime heating.

Overnight lows fall into the upper 60s to mid 70s this evening. Tuesday sees temperatures once again reach into the low 100s for nearly the entire CWA. The high elevations will sit in the mid to upper 90s. Another Heat Advisory will be needed as a number of zones look to reach 105F+ in addition to the mountains zones expected to be between 95-100F. A storm or two may try to organize over the Marfa Plateau or Davis Mountains, but rain chances will be 10% or lower for the whole region. Lows Tuesday night stay just above normal, settling into the upper 60s to low 70s.

-Stickney

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through Sunday) Issued at 203 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

Triple digit heat persists through much of the Long Term period as a meandering upper level ridge remains largely in control of our weather pattern. Widespread highs near or over 100 degrees are progged for most each afternoon across the region, with the exception of the higher terrain and surrounding areas. The hottest conditions shall tend to be found near and along the river valleys, where temperatures shall generally range between 105 and 110 most afternoons. Meanwhile, a few locations along the Rio Grande are looking to reach up to 115 degrees. Overnight lows are forecast to mainly fall to the 70s each night. The main source of variance for our highs will be determined by the exact location and strength of the upper ridge. At the surface, a low near the Panhandle, then eventually a lee trough, steers breezy southerly to southwesterly winds across our area almost each afternoon. During the evenings and overnights, winds become southeasterly and elevated due to the low- level jet. The majority of our region looks to remain dry through the extended forecast. Low (10-30%) chances for isolated showers/ storms overlay the higher terrain west of the Pecos River most afternoons, with the best odds in/near the Davis Mountains. Given this extended duration of above normal temperatures and mostly dry conditions, we advise to find ways to keep cool and hydrated. Drinking plenty of fluids and avoiding strenuous outdoor activities during the hottest parts of the day can significantly reduce the risk of heat stroke or heat -related illnesses.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1218 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

VFR continues through the period. Isolated TS develops near MAF/FST with less confidence of impact at FST this afternoon. Otherwise, northerly winds behind an old outflow boundary gradually shift back to the southeast this evening.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 75 103 74 104 / 20 0 0 0 Carlsbad 72 107 72 106 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 74 100 74 101 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 73 103 71 104 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 71 98 71 97 / 0 10 0 0 Hobbs 70 104 69 104 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 65 98 63 97 / 0 10 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 74 101 73 102 / 10 0 0 0 Odessa 74 101 73 102 / 10 0 0 0 Wink 74 105 72 105 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Heat Advisory until 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ this evening for Andrews-Borden-Central Brewster-Chinati Mountains-Chisos Basin-Crane-Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills- Dawson-Eastern Culberson-Ector-Gaines-Glasscock-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains- Howard-Loving-Lower Brewster County-Marfa Plateau-Martin- Midland-Mitchell-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Reagan-Reeves County Plains-Scurry-Terrell-Upton-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-Winkler.

NM...Heat Advisory until 9 PM MDT this evening for Central Lea-Eddy County Plains-Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Southern Lea.