textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 321 AM CDT Fri Jun 12 2026

- Isolated to scattered storm chances exist this and tomorrow afternoon, mainly across the higher elevations.

- Cold front approaches the region on Sunday bringing higher rain chances through Monday. Will be monitoring for heavy rainfall leading to flash flooding.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Saturday afternoon) Issued at 321 AM CDT Fri Jun 12 2026

Similar to Thursday, Friday will see near normal temperatures with highs in the 90s for most with 100s down along the Rio Grande and across Big Bend. Little steering flow aloft and continued abundant moisture will provide just enough for storms to develop across the western half of the CWA this afternoon. These storms will mainly be diurnally driven and decay after sunset this evening. Overnight lows settle into the 60s and 70s for many. Saturday sees temperatures move up a few degrees compared to today, but will be a similar day as far as showers and storms are concerned with the best chances for rain (10-20%) remaining across the higher elevations.

-Stickney

LONG TERM

(Saturday night through Thursday) Issued at 321 AM CDT Fri Jun 12 2026

Saturday afternoon convection ends that evening and a cold front approaches from the north later that night and into the day on Sunday. Given the time of year, it will be tough for this front to make it southward into our area during the day on Sunday. With the front stalling near or just north of the Pecos River and a weak upper level disturbance rain chances increase nearly areawide with the best chances (30-60%) existing over the Permian Basin and southeast New Mexico. Medium range guidance keeps things unsettled through Monday with scattered showers and storms remaining through the day. Cloud cover and storms keep temperatures below normal for Monday and Tuesday with most in the 80s and 90s. Beyond Tuesday, a drier and warmer summer pattern takes hold, but longer range guidance has not come into consensus on just how much warmer the region will be.

-Stickney

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1217 AM CDT Fri Jun 12 2026

VFR continues through this morning with MVFR CIGs approaching MAF during the early morning and lifting by mid morning. Winds remaining southerly to southeasterly outside of any convection that develops during the afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 94 73 97 72 / 20 10 0 0 Carlsbad 97 70 101 70 / 30 30 10 10 Dryden 96 74 98 74 / 10 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 95 71 99 71 / 10 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 88 67 92 69 / 40 20 10 10 Hobbs 93 68 97 67 / 20 10 0 20 Marfa 90 61 91 61 / 70 30 20 0 Midland Intl Airport 93 72 96 72 / 10 10 0 0 Odessa 93 72 96 72 / 10 10 0 0 Wink 95 72 100 72 / 10 10 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.