textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 143 AM CDT Wed May 13 2026 - Summer-like heat expected through early next week.

- High temperatures in portions of the Big Bend are forecast to be between 105 and 110 degrees today through at least early next week.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Thursday afternoon) Issued at 143 AM CDT Wed May 13 2026

Water Vapor shows an upper-level ridge axis extending south from Montana to central New Mexico. This ridge is forecast to continue tracking east with its axis becoming centered over our region this afternoon. This allows for afternoon highs to soar into the mid-to- upper 90s for most (upper 80s in higher terrain). Some spots in the Trans Pecos, portions of southeast New Mexico, and especially along the Rio Grande can expect to see temperatures rise to or above the century mark. Highs in low-lying areas of the Big Bend look to top out between 105 F and close to 110 F, yielding dangerous hiking conditions. Be sure to drink plenty of water and take frequent breaks in shade if you go out to avoid heat exhaustion or stroke. Meanwhile, surface troughing brings southerly to southeasterly breezy winds this afternoon and evening.

The upper-level ridge deamplifies Thursday as an upper trough moves across the Northern Great Plains. However, a surface low develops near the Texas Panhandle, setting up for another day of breezy winds (particularly across southeast New Mexico, the Permian Basin, and Lower Trans-Pecos). Southwesterly to westerly downslope winds out west and southerly winds to the east allow for highs to rise a degree or two warmer than today's. Greening

LONG TERM

(Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 143 AM CDT Wed May 13 2026

Hot temperatures, dry conditions, and breezy winds continue to be the dominant theme through the beginning of the Long Term period. Highs top out in the upper 90s and low 100s across much of west Texas and southeast New Mexico Friday and Saturday. Some locations along the Rio Grande will begin to near 110 degrees during this time, and MAF may reach 100 degrees for the first time this year (so far the hottest temperature recorded at KMAF this year is 99 degrees). Temperatures drop a couple of degrees Sunday and Monday thanks to an approaching trough, but nevertheless remain about 5-10 degrees above normal for mid-May. Throughout this weekend and into early next week, winds remain breezy (mainly sustained between 15-25 mph), particularly in southeast New Mexico and portions of the Permian Basin. Because of this and the continued dry weather, we will be keeping a close eye on fire weather conditions and may end up needing fire weather products. Very low shower and thunderstorm chances (10-20%) start to make a reappearance along a retreating dryline in our easternmost counties starting Sunday and Monday evenings thanks to shortwaves embedded in the aforementioned trough. A front Tuesday allows highs to fall closer to seasonal norms (upper 80s and low-to-mid 90s) and brings additional rain chances to mainly the eastern Permian Basin and Lower Trans-Pecos (10-30%).

Sprang

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1221 AM CDT Wed May 13 2026

VFR conditions prevail at all terminals the next 24 hours. Southerly to southeasterly winds of 10 knots or less continue overnight and Tuesday morning. Southeasterly winds become gusty around 18Z/19Z Tuesday afternoon, with gusts up to 25 knots possible.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 96 65 96 69 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 99 65 100 67 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 94 65 97 69 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 98 65 100 70 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 89 66 88 66 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 97 62 97 62 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 92 55 92 59 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 96 65 96 69 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 95 66 96 69 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 98 66 99 67 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.