textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 222 AM CDT Sat Aug 8 2026

- Hot temperatures will continue this weekend and into much of next week.

- Isolated thunderstorms may develop over portions of the Permian Basin, Davis Mountains, Marfa Plateau, and Big Bend this afternoon. Mostly dry Sunday through Tuesday, before isolated to scattered showers and storms develop over the region by mid to late next week.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Sunday afternoon) Issued at 222 AM CDT Sat Aug 8 2026

Convective outflow associated with thunderstorms over east-central New Mexico has pushed into Eddy and Lea counties overnight and produced brief gusty northerly winds up to 35-45 mph. Isolated showers and storms briefly managed to develop over western and northern Eddy County around midnight before dissipating. A strong upper-level ridge otherwise remains centered over the Four Corners early this morning and is expected to move little through the weekend. Hot and mostly subsident conditions will continue over west Texas and southeast New Mexico underneath the ridge axis through Sunday afternoon. Models/CAMs do however indicate a subtle weakness over the Permian Basin along the southeastern periphery of the upper ridge this afternoon and there has been a consistent trend in recent guidance of isolated convection developing by mid to late afternoon over portions of the Permian Basin. We have included a very low POP (10-15%) there this afternoon with mention of isolated showers and thunderstorms, though any cells that develop are expected to be few and far-between. Other isolated showers and storms may also develop over portions of the Davis Mountains, Marfa Plateau, and Big Bend this afternoon. Afternoon highs will once again range in the mid 90s to around 100 degrees over the majority of the area, except for readings around 90 degrees in the mountains and up to 100-105 degrees along the Rio Grande. Isolated convection should diminish during the early evening hours, with mostly clear skies and dry conditions prevailing tonight. Lows will mostly range in the upper 60s to mid 70s. We will maintain a dry forecast across the region on Sunday underneath the dominant ridge axis, though cannot rule out very isolated cells over the vicinity of the Davis Mountains Sunday afternoon. Highs Sunday afternoon should be very similar to today.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through Friday) Issued at 222 AM CDT Sat Aug 8 2026

Upper-level ridging will strengthen with a slight build in heights over west Texas 7and southeast New Mexico Monday and Tuesday. The ridge will become more centered over Texas by Wednesday before this feature becomes more oriented from the southern Plains to the Gulf Coast states by the latter part of the week. The general take-away is that temperatures will stay hot each day through the extended forecast period, with daily highs forecast to reach up to 100-105 degrees over much of the forecast area Tuesday-Thursday. A few locations along the Rio Grande may range between 105-110 degrees. These hot temperatures will bring increased heat-related concerns, so be sure to take frequent breaks and stay hydrated if spending time outdoors during the hottest part of the day next week. Increased moisture along the western periphery of the ridge will bring potential for isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms over the higher terrain areas of the western CWA Wednesday through Friday. Isolated to scattered convection may also develop into portions of southeast New Mexico and the Permian Basin by Friday given weak impulses on the western side of the broad ridge axis. POPs generally remain between 20-30% at best late next week, except slightly higher coverage (30-50%) in the mountains. Temperatures may trend slightly lower in the 90s to around 100 degrees for most by Friday.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1235 AM CDT Sat Aug 8 2026

Regional satellite and radar imagery show an outflow boundary pushing southward across portions of Eddy and Lea NM counties as of 0530Z. Winds will shift northerly and may briefly increase to around 15-25 kt with gusts to 35 kt behind this passing feature around KCNM and possibly KHOB through 07-08Z. A very brief reduction in visibility due to blowing dust may also accompany this outflow boundary. VFR is otherwise anticipated across area terminals through the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 100 73 100 73 / 10 10 0 0 Carlsbad 99 72 99 72 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 98 73 98 74 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 96 72 97 73 / 0 10 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 91 68 92 68 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 98 70 98 70 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 91 62 91 63 / 10 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 98 73 98 74 / 10 10 0 0 Odessa 97 73 97 74 / 10 10 0 0 Wink 98 73 99 73 / 10 10 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.