textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 635 AM CDT Sun Jul 12 2026

- Near to below normal temperatures are expected into next week.

- Shower/storm chances increase this week, especially south of the I-20 Corridor.

- The potential for multiple rounds of rain will increase the risk of flooding, especially on Monday and Tuesday.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Monday afternoon) Issued at 141 AM CDT Sun Jul 12 2026

Deep moisture struggled to reach our area yesterday and as a result, we didn't see any cooling. However models continue to show that dewpoints should be higher today providing better cloud cover and cooler temperatures much closer to average. We should also see isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms developing this afternoon and early evening.

Moisture continues increasing Monday and increasing instability from an approaching easterly wave should increase rain chances significantly. The scattered nature of the storms means some areas will not see any rainfall, this is not a widespread rain event. But those areas that see rainfall could experience very heavy downpours and localized flooding will be a concern. Better rain chances also bring temperatures down and highs Monday should only be in the 80s for most.

LONG TERM

(Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 141 AM CDT Sun Jul 12 2026

Significant rain chances persist through the remainder of the week. High pressure is well removed to the north minimizing subsidence. The addition of gulf moisture and summertime afternoon heating will destabilize the atmosphere enough that afternoon and evening showers and storms can be expected each day. Activity could continue into the overnight and early morning hours but the more significant rainfall will be when daytime heating provides maximum destabilization. Shear is weak so severe storms are not much of a concern, flooding is the main hazard. This is especially true in the Big Bend where campers along creeks could experience sudden rises even if rainfall does not occur directly at that site. Low water crossings in the Big Bend will also be a major concern. The rainfall keeps temperatures in the 80s through the end of the week so even if you miss out on rain, the unseasonably cool temperatures will at least be pleasant.

Hennig

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 635 AM CDT Sun Jul 12 2026

VFR conditions are expected to continue the next 24 hours. Isolated to scattered TS will develop this afternoon across the area. Uncertainty is too high to include in the TAFs but there will be some storms in the local flying area.

Hennig

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 93 71 88 69 / 30 40 70 70 Carlsbad 94 70 88 68 / 20 40 60 60 Dryden 93 73 92 72 / 40 30 50 50 Fort Stockton 91 70 88 69 / 20 20 80 40 Guadalupe Pass 86 65 81 64 / 10 30 60 50 Hobbs 92 67 86 66 / 20 30 60 60 Marfa 87 61 82 60 / 40 30 90 60 Midland Intl Airport 91 71 86 70 / 20 20 70 70 Odessa 91 71 86 69 / 20 20 70 70 Wink 94 71 88 69 / 10 20 60 60

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.