textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1245 PM CST Mon Nov 2 2026

- Gusty west winds overspread the area today, especially across southeast New Mexico, portions of the Permian Basin, Upper Trans- Pecos, and Davis Mountains. The strongest winds will be in the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

- Low chance (10-30%) of isolated thunderstorms this afternoon in far eastern counties before drier conditions return areawide this evening through the rest of the week.

- Mild daytime temperatures (60s to 70s F highs) and chilly nighttime temperatures (40s to 50s F lows) this week.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Tuesday night) Issued at 1245 PM CST Mon Nov 2 2026

Current Water Vapor Imagery depicts an upper-level trough moving across New Mexico, with a 500mb jet moving along its southern periphery over southeast New Mexico and the Permian Basin. Meanwhile, a pacific front is set to push across the area, bringing with it continued gusty westerly winds and much drier conditions. The Wind Advisory issued earlier this morning remains in effect for southeast New Mexico and portions of west Texas through 6pm CST/5pm MST, while the High Wind Warning for the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains (where 60-70 mph gusts have already been recorded today) remains in effect through 9pm CST/8pm MST. Before the Pac-front sweeps through and scours out moisture across the whole area, isolated thunderstorms may start to develop in our easternmost counties over the next few hours. Should thunderstorms develop and become established, they may begin to become strong to severe before quickly pushing off to the east (should a storm become severe, large hail and damaging wind would be the primary concerns). That being said, recent guidance tends to develop most storms east of our area to begin with, so chances are low overall (10-30%). Downsloping winds keep highs in the mid-to-upper 70s and low 80s for most locations today.

As the center of the aforementioned trough makes its way across northern Oklahoma/southern Kansas this evening and overnight, behind it another front pushes southward across west Texas and southeast New Mexico. Winds become northerly overnight/early Tuesday morning, and temperatures cool once again. Highs fall back into the mid-to- upper 60s and low 70s for most locations Tuesday afternoon. Lows drop into the 50s and upper 40s tonight, while minimums in the mid- to-upper 40s become more commonplace by Wednesday morning. These cooler and drier conditions persist going into the Long Term.

Sprang

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through Sunday) Issued at 1245 PM CST Mon Nov 2 2026

Zonal flow aloft dominates the Long Term forecast period. This results in steady/near-normal temperatures on Wednesday and Thursday, with highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s for most. A cold front arrives sometime on Thursday and again Saturday, yielding afternoon highs in the 60s areawide (low 60s for many possible on Saturday and Sunday). Though it should be noted there is some uncertainty in the timing of the fronts. At this time, the NBM shows low to medium PoPs (10-40%) across the area Friday night into Saturday. However, this is probably overdone as the NBM likely has a wet bias due to recent rains. Additionally, the westerly flow aloft should keep conditions mostly dry during this timeframe. Stay tuned as we will continue to monitor trends and adjust the forecast as needed.

Greening

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1129 AM CST Mon Nov 2 2026

VFR conditions prevail. Gusty southwesterly to westerly winds persist at all sites through this afternoon (gusts will generally be between 30-40 kts). Gusts begin to subside after 00Z, and by 02-04Z northwesterly winds develop at all terminals.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 52 68 48 71 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 50 65 46 73 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 58 74 51 73 / 10 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 52 70 49 78 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 45 60 45 66 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 47 65 46 67 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 46 69 43 73 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 52 67 48 70 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 51 67 48 70 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 51 68 47 73 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...High Wind Warning until 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/ this evening for Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for Andrews-Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-Eastern Culberson-Ector- Gaines-Loving-Reeves County Plains-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-Winkler.

NM...High Wind Warning until 8 PM MST this evening for Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.

Wind Advisory until 5 PM MST this afternoon for Central Lea-Eddy County Plains-Northern Lea-Southern Lea.