textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 513 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

- Dry and seasonable weather is expected through late this week.

- A disturbance brings the return of rain chances beginning late Friday and continuing into Saturday.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Friday afternoon) Issued at 133 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

Satellite imagery depicts upper-level ridging across the Great Basin into the Desert Southwest. Surface high pressure situated in the northern half of the TX Panhandle brings drier and cooler conditions this morning. As a result, the areal extent of patchy dense fog will be much more limited than yesterday morning. Locations along the Pecos River and Lower Trans Pecos have the greatest potential of seeing patchy fog. The aforementioned surface high builds farther south into west Texas later today, supplying light winds, clear skies, and slightly cooler temperatures ranging from the mid 60s to low 70s. Tonight, the surface high pushes farther south into portions of South TX. Light southerly to southeasterly flow and clear skies may induce patchy fog development across the Lower Trans Pecos, Pecos River (near Pecos, TX and east), and southern Permian Basin. Lows are forecast in the 40s to low 50s for most. Dry conditions and similar near-seasonable temperatures are in store once again on Friday. Rain chances return to the region heading into the weekend. More on that in the long-term discussion.

Lamberson

LONG TERM

(Friday night through Wednesday) Issued at 133 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

Heading into Friday night, an upper level disturbance will be moving into the region from northern Mexico. Rain coverage will be highest along and south of I-10, but rain will be possible nearly areawide through Saturday. Amounts will vary greatly, but guidance is beginning to come into consensus that amounts will top out around a half inch for areas around the Marfa Plateau as well as south towards the Presidio Valley. Elsewhere, total amounts through Saturday end up between a quarter to a third of an inch. Localized flash flooding remains possible, particularly in the high terrain areas across the Davis Mountains, Chinatis, and portions of Big Bend. Drier conditions prevail for the region from Sunday onward.

A cold front moves through the area late Sunday and this will bring afternoon highs down from the 60s into the 50s for most. These temperatures will be well below normal, but West Texas and southeast New Mexico will see very fall-like conditions through the middle of the coming week. Overnight lows settle into the 40s to low 50s for much of the area. Another system approaches during this time, but long range guidance remains uncertain about its track and subsequent influence on conditions for the region for late next week. Stay tuned!

-Stickney

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 513 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

VFR conditions and light winds are expected to prevail through the period. BR may develop at MAF near and slightly after sunrise (12-14Z). Confidence is very low in VIS dropping to MVFR/IFR at the moment, though further amendments may be necessary.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 70 48 70 52 / 0 0 0 20 Carlsbad 68 46 68 51 / 0 0 0 60 Dryden 69 52 69 54 / 0 0 0 60 Fort Stockton 69 48 73 54 / 0 0 0 70 Guadalupe Pass 62 46 64 48 / 0 0 20 80 Hobbs 69 44 69 50 / 0 0 0 50 Marfa 66 42 68 46 / 0 0 10 90 Midland Intl Airport 69 49 69 53 / 0 0 0 50 Odessa 68 48 69 53 / 0 0 0 50 Wink 68 48 70 53 / 0 0 0 70

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.