textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 547 AM CDT Wed Oct 21 2026

- Above normal temperatures and dry conditions continue through Thursday.

- Rain chances (35% to 45%) increase from west to east Friday through the weekend, with highest rain chances Saturday and Sunday.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Thursday afternoon) Issued at 155 AM CDT Wed Oct 21 2026

Mid level ridging peaks over the region today and Thursday helping to keep the region precipitation-free and very warm. High temperatures will climb into the 80s each afternoon with mild lows in the 50s.

LONG TERM

(Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 155 AM CDT Wed Oct 21 2026

Our weather pattern becomes much more active Friday and beyond as the ridge finally breaks down. Southwesterly flow aloft will increase Friday, especially across the western half of our region. Increasing lift and moisture will lead to the development of showers and thunderstorms along and west of the Pecos River. As convection spreads east overnight Friday into Saturday, it will be met with plenty of resistance as the upper dynamics fade. As troughing remains to our west much of the weekend, several disturbances will cross the region withing southwesterly flow aloft. Expect multiple rounds of rain, especially over the higher terrain and SE NM where flash flooding will be possible.

Temperatures will remain above normal until this weekend when clouds and showers arrive. Models show a cold front arriving early next week, but differ on the strength.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 547 AM CDT Wed Oct 21 2026

VFR prevails through the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 82 57 83 61 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 84 58 82 59 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 79 58 80 62 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 84 59 83 62 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 78 58 76 58 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 81 55 79 58 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 81 51 79 52 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 81 57 81 62 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 81 58 81 62 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 84 59 83 62 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.