textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 640 AM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026

- Widespread showers/storms expected across the area today, moving east this afternoon.

- Highest chance (70% or greater) of showers/storms and flash flooding will be in the northern and eastern Permian Basin.

- Drier weather this weekend, followed by windy conditions early next week, accompanied by a return to cooler temperatures.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Saturday afternoon) Issued at 135 AM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026

Current radar shows widespread showers across the area this morning. Reports show areas farther from the radar, near the Guadalupe and Davis mountains and Big Bend, are also getting rainfall but the radar beam is overshooting the echoes. All observation points in the West Texas Mesonet in our CWA have recorded some precipitation in the past 24 hours with many locations getting between one quarter and three quarters of an inch. A few locations have gotten over an inch. Rain will continue early this morning before an approaching upper level trough pushes it to the eastern basin by late morning and mostly out of the area by late this afternoon. There will be a few remaining scattered showers in the afternoon but most of the rain will have fallen. Saturday will be dry.

There will be little diurnal variation with temperatures today due to abundant cloud cover. Lows this morning will be close to what is currently observed with highs less than 10 degrees higher. Decreasing clouds lets Saturday warm up a bit more. The weather for Halloween will be pleasant for trick or treating.

LONG TERM

(Saturday night through Thursday) Issued at 135 AM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026

Southerly flow advects in warmer temperatures Sunday and Monday before a cold front moves through Monday night bringing in cooler temperatures on Tuesday. The upper trough supporting the front will be moving in from the Pacific Ocean and thus lacking cold air. Therefore highs behind the front drop down but only to near climatological norms. The remainder of the extended forecast is dry with highs in the 70s.

Hennig

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 640 AM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026

CIGs vary wildly this morning from VFR to IFR. The TAFs are simplified to show the general trend though keep in mind CIGs will be bouncing around at least through 18Z when SHRA is falling. Once SHRA ends, CIGs may stabilize. Most locations will remain below VFR through the TAF period.

Hennig

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 61 57 70 61 / 90 50 10 0 Carlsbad 69 56 73 58 / 30 10 0 0 Dryden 70 60 72 62 / 30 20 0 10 Fort Stockton 71 59 77 61 / 30 10 20 0 Guadalupe Pass 64 55 66 56 / 20 40 10 0 Hobbs 63 54 70 56 / 60 20 10 10 Marfa 69 53 72 55 / 10 10 10 0 Midland Intl Airport 62 58 71 61 / 70 20 10 10 Odessa 63 59 71 61 / 60 20 10 10 Wink 68 58 73 60 / 50 0 10 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Flood Watch through this evening for Andrews-Borden-Central Brewster-Chinati Mountains-Chisos Basin-Crane-Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-Dawson-Eastern Culberson-Ector-Gaines-Glasscock-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Howard-Loving- Lower Brewster County-Marfa Plateau-Martin-Midland-Mitchell- Pecos-Presidio Valley-Reagan-Reeves County Plains-Scurry- Terrell-Upton-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-Winkler.

NM...Flood Watch through this afternoon for Central Lea-Eddy County Plains-Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Northern Lea- Southern Lea.