textproduct: Midland/Odessa
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 137 AM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026
- Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue across the area through Saturday. Localized heavy rain could produce flash flooding.
- Warmer temperatures and drier weather conditions return late this weekend into early next week.
SHORT TERM
(Today through Friday afternoon) Issued at 137 AM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026
Current radar is quiet in the local area with some isolated storms in far West Texas moving towards our CWA. Models show these storms may briefly reach southeastern New Mexico before dissipating. More storms are expected to develop this afternoon in the higher elevations, then moving east into the adjacent lower elevations. The best rain chances will be west of the Pecos River but a few storms will reach locations farther east. An upper disturbance moves out of Mexico and across West Texas tomorrow spreading good rain chances (40-60%) into the Permian Basin and lower Trans Pecos. Highs today and tomorrow will be in the 80s as climatologically low heights aloft provide little subsidence.
LONG TERM
(Friday night through Wednesday) Issued at 137 AM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026
An upper level low develops over northern Mexico Friday and moves northeast into West Texas Saturday. Lift ahead of the low and abundant low level moisture brings our last good rain chances for the week. NBM has PoPs at 30-60% primarily focused in the eastern Permian Basin where moisture will be deepest.
After the departure of the low pressure system, a ridge builds over Texas ending rain chances and bringing temperatures back up to near to above normal. Highs next week will generally be in the 90s with a few 100s in the Rio Grande and Pecos River valleys.
Hennig
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1203 AM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026
VFR conditions and light southeast winds will continue. Scattered TS will develop after 18Z across the area but coverage is too low to include in the TAFs with the exception of PROB30 at FST.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Big Spring 88 68 84 65 / 20 30 30 70 Carlsbad 88 65 87 63 / 20 10 20 20 Dryden 89 68 84 67 / 20 40 50 50 Fort Stockton 88 66 85 63 / 40 10 50 40 Guadalupe Pass 80 63 78 62 / 20 20 30 30 Hobbs 86 63 84 61 / 20 20 20 40 Marfa 82 54 78 53 / 50 50 40 30 Midland Intl Airport 86 67 82 64 / 20 20 30 60 Odessa 86 66 83 64 / 20 20 20 60 Wink 88 66 86 64 / 20 20 30 50
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. NM...None.
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