textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 126 AM CST Sun Mar 8 2026

- Cool and mainly dry weather today, then warmer Monday and Tuesday.

- Low to medium (20-50%) rain/storm chances return Monday afternoon through Tuesday evening. Rainfall amounts and coverage remain uncertain at this time.

- Cooler temperatures and gusty winds expected mid-week.

- Warm and dry weather returns by late next week into next weekend.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Monday afternoon) Issued at 126 AM CST Sun Mar 8 2026

There are a few weak echoes showing up on radar this morning west of the Pecos River that models are not handling very well. There is cool and dry air at the surface so instability is elevated and likely weak so do not anticipate showers to increase in coverage or intensity over the next few hours. A few models are showing a disturbance moving north out of Mexico that could cause showers to develop this afternoon in the lower Trans Pecos and Big Bend. 850mb winds veer around out of the southeast and begin advecting low level moisture into this area so cannot rule out some scattered light convection developing with peak heating. Highs remain near normal today though slightly warmer than yesterday, then increase back into the 80s Monday.

LONG TERM

(Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 126 AM CST Sun Mar 8 2026

An approaching upper low increases rain chances beginning Monday evening and continuing overnight Tuesday. There will be no surface features to focus convection, so a general destabilization of the atmosphere will cause scattered showers and thunderstorms to form across the area. Models agree coverage will be sparse so chances of anyone getting appreciable rainfall are low. This could change late Tuesday as models show convection developing along a dryline in the eastern Permian Basin. Finally having a focus for convection, we may see a line of storms producing decent rain in the far eastern counties of our CWA before exiting off to the east.

The departing upper low pushes a cold front through Wednesday bringing temperatures back down to normal for a couple of days. The departing low also ushers in a period of zonal flow to end the week that brings drier conditions. Downsloping winds also cause temps to spike back up above normal with the potential of upper 80s to low 90s in the Permian Basin by the weekend.

Hennig

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1030 PM CST Sat Mar 7 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the period. Light winds tonight are expected to veer southeast/southerly by late tomorrow morning across most terminals.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 73 53 83 61 / 10 10 10 30 Carlsbad 72 45 82 52 / 10 0 20 30 Dryden 71 54 81 61 / 30 0 10 20 Fort Stockton 72 52 84 61 / 20 0 20 20 Guadalupe Pass 66 50 74 50 / 10 0 20 20 Hobbs 73 46 82 53 / 10 10 20 40 Marfa 70 42 78 45 / 10 10 20 20 Midland Intl Airport 72 53 83 61 / 10 10 10 30 Odessa 72 53 82 61 / 10 10 10 30 Wink 72 49 83 56 / 10 10 20 30

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.