textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 230 AM CDT Sat May 9 2026 - Above normal temperatures return Saturday, and continue through next week. Highs during the middle part of next week should average around 10 F above normal, making it feel more like early July than mid May.

- A cold front is forecast to move through the area Sunday into Sunday night, bringing low (10-30%) chances of showers and thunderstorms across our easternmost counties. A couple of these storms may become strong.

- Breezy conditions can be expected with Sunday's cold frontal passage.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Sunday afternoon) Issued at 230 AM CDT Sat May 9 2026

Westerly to northwesterly flow takes hold today as a ridge begins to push in from the west. This will bring temperatures well above normal with many seeing mid to upper 90s this afternoon. Highs around 100F will be seen across the low desert of Big Bend. This drier flow will also keep rain chances near zero for today and into tonight. The dryline retreats west tonight and keeps lows from falling into the 50s for much of the region with the higher elevations staying a touch cooler. A cold front approaches during the day on Sunday making for a tricky high temperature forecast. Highs south of I-10 will be reaching into the mid to upper 90s with near 90F in the Davis Mountains. Near the I-20 corridor, it becomes tough to gauge just where and when the front will move through, but areas behind the front can expect highs in the 80s. Hi-res guidance is beginning to pick up on a few storms developing with the front in the eastern zones Sunday afternoon. A couple of those storms may be strong, but will be isolated in nature.

-Stickney

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through Friday) Issued at 230 AM CDT Sat May 9 2026

As the upper trough moves to the east, chances of showers and thunderstorms gradually come to an end Sunday night across our far eastern zones. By this time, the cold front is expected to have reached the Big Bend. This yields overnight lows in the 50s for most, with 60s farther south. Meanwhile, breezy conditions continue overnight across the Presidio and Rio Grande Valley thanks to the aforementioned cold front. By Monday morning, surface high pressure develops over the Southern Plains, filtering in cooler air in the post-frontal airmass. By early Monday afternoon, winds shift easterly as the high pressure system moves east, causing a weak upslope component of the wind. These features result in afternoon highs in the 80s areawide, except for 70s in the higher terrain and 90s in some spots along the Rio Grande. However, this is short-lived as long-range ensemble guidance depicts an upper-level ridge building over southeast New Mexico and west Texas by the middle of next week. This looks to result in afternoon highs topping out in the mid-to-upper 90s across most locations through the end of next week. Some spots in the Trans Pecos and along the Rio Grande could even see highs reach the triple digits. Greening

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1226 AM CDT Sat May 9 2026

VFR conditions in place at all terminals. Winds remain light (<10kts) through the morning and remain southerly to southwesterly.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 94 67 90 57 / 0 0 20 10 Carlsbad 97 63 88 57 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 92 66 99 64 / 0 0 10 10 Fort Stockton 95 66 97 60 / 0 0 0 10 Guadalupe Pass 86 63 82 57 / 0 0 10 0 Hobbs 94 61 83 52 / 0 0 10 0 Marfa 88 52 91 50 / 0 0 10 0 Midland Intl Airport 93 66 90 58 / 0 0 10 0 Odessa 93 66 90 58 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 95 63 91 58 / 0 0 0 10

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.