textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 551 AM CDT Tue Aug 25 2026

- Hot temperatures continue today with major to extreme heat risk.

- The prolonged period of hot temperatures could result in heat related illnesses. Be sure to stay hydrated and take frequent breaks in air conditioning or the shade if possible.

- Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms may develop over portions of the region late Wednesday and Thursday.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Wednesday afternoon) Issued at 207 AM CDT Tue Aug 25 2026

We've got one more "really hot" day before temperatures decrease to just "hot" as we see a pattern change this week. Model guidance has finally gotten closer to actual temperatures so averaging that with the NBM seems like a good bet. Mixing 850 mb temps of 30-34C will get us highs near 105 across much of the Permian Basin and SE NM once again. While the forecast calls for a decrease of 1-2 degrees today, this will be day 8 in a row of 100 degree heat for much of the area. Thus, a Heat Advisory continues for much of the region.

The upper ridge finally begins to shift west midweek allowing for northwesterly flow to develop aloft. Showers and storms will develop Wednesday across the mountains of northern NM and move southeast with time. Locations with the best chance (40-60%) to see measurable rain will be from Tatum to Lamesa and then trending down as you move south and east as storms are expected to fizzle. While it still looks hot with most locations near 100 again Wednesday, many locations look to stay in the 90s Thursday/Friday with extra clouds and moisture around. We will take what we can get at this point!

LONG TERM

(Wednesday night through Monday) Issued at 207 AM CDT Tue Aug 25 2026

The upper ridge builds back overhead by the weekend bringing 100 degree temperatures back and a return to dry conditions. Models do indicate that the upper ridge will not build back as strong next week which could help keep temperatures lower than what we are seeing this week. Unfortunately, rain chances look to remain low.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 551 AM CDT Tue Aug 25 2026

VFR continues through the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 106 76 102 73 / 0 0 0 30 Carlsbad 106 74 102 73 / 0 0 0 20 Dryden 104 75 103 76 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 104 74 102 74 / 0 0 0 10 Guadalupe Pass 98 71 94 70 / 0 0 0 10 Hobbs 105 72 100 70 / 0 0 0 40 Marfa 98 64 97 64 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 103 76 101 74 / 0 0 0 20 Odessa 103 76 101 75 / 0 0 0 20 Wink 106 75 103 75 / 0 0 0 20

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Heat Advisory from 1 PM CDT /noon MDT/ this afternoon to 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/ this evening for Andrews-Borden-Central Brewster-Chinati Mountains-Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-Dawson-Gaines-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet- Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Howard-Marfa Plateau- Martin-Mitchell-Scurry-Ward-Winkler.

NM...Heat Advisory from noon today to 7 PM MDT this evening for Central Lea-Eddy County Plains-Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Southern Lea.