textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 501 AM CST Sun Nov 30 2025

- Strong gap winds in the Guadalupe Mountains continue with near freezing temperatures for many this morning.

- The coldest day so far this season is expected today, with afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 40s for most.

- Rollercoaster ride of temperatures next week, with warming expected through midweek before another front arrives Thursday.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Monday afternoon) Issued at 1242 AM CST Sun Nov 30 2025

The strongest cold front of the fall passed through here a few hours ago, brrrringing considerably colder temperatures to West Texas and Southeast New Mexico. Latest surface observations/mesoanalysis indicates it's banking up against the higher terrain at 06Z. High gap winds are likely transpiring at KGDP, and although models are a bit warmer than earlier runs, some locations will likely have their first freeze later this morning. This will be from CAA alone (as opposed to radiational cooling)...a testament to the strength of the front.

Unfortunately, today will not see much warming under overcast skies and continued CAA. Today will be the coldest day this forecast, as well as the coldest yet this fall, as highs struggle to climb to ~ 15- 20 F below climatology.

Tonight, surface winds veer back to return flow, arresting CAA, but a freeze is still anticipated, generally along and north of I-20. A little drizzle is possible in the Big Bend.

Monday, temperatures attempt to recover under zonal flow aloft, and should top out on average only a couple of degrees below normal, before a secondary, weaker cold front arrives in the late afternoon.

LONG TERM

(Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 1242 AM CST Sun Nov 30 2025

We've got quite the up-and-down week temperaturewise ahead. After the current cold spell we will see a big warmup midweek with highs rebounding into the 60s Tuesday and 70s Wednesday. This is all ahead of another strong cold front expected to move through late Wednesday. This front will drop temperatures back well below normal, but for only for a day. A weak storm system that will take shape to our west will help increase clouds and even add a chance (40%) for light rain Thursday. This will keep most locations from reaching the 50 degree mark.

Westerly winds return late in the week and temperatures rebound back into the 60s for highs. Another front, although much weaker, is due to arrive early next week helping keep temperatures near normal.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 501 AM CST Sun Nov 30 2025

Strong north winds behind last night's cold front continue to diminish and will veer to the east through the day. MVFR cigs have developed at KFST, but remain VFR at all other terminals. KFST will see VFR return around midday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 40 32 57 28 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 47 27 62 30 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 49 38 64 40 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 46 35 66 35 / 0 0 0 10 Guadalupe Pass 43 33 59 34 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 43 25 61 25 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 52 30 67 30 / 0 0 0 10 Midland Intl Airport 40 32 59 30 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 40 32 59 31 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 44 30 62 31 / 0 0 0 10

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...High Wind Warning until noon CST /11 AM MST/ today for Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

Freeze Warning until 9 AM CST this morning for Crane-Davis Mountains Foothills-Ector-Loving-Midland-Pecos-Reagan- Reeves County Plains-Upton-Ward-Winkler.

NM...High Wind Warning until 11 AM MST this morning for Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.