textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 135 PM CDT Fri May 1 2026 - Scattered showers and storms will continue across the area into this evening. Locally heavy rainfall may cause flash flooding.

- Below normal temperatures are forecast through the weekend before highs rebound near to above normal by next week.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Saturday night) Issued at 135 PM CDT Fri May 1 2026

A shield of rain continues to move across the Permian Basin early this afternoon after bringing nearly an inch of rain to a good chunk of the region. Temperatures have remain chilly for the first day of May with most locations only in the 40s/50s. Some sun is beginning to peak out west of the Pecos River, but temperatures there have struggled to reach 60 degrees as well. We are monitoring a well- defined MCV located near El Paso moving slowly south. This could help generate another round of storms for far western portions of the region this afternoon into the evening. All rain should be tapering off around sunset.

Northeast winds will subside overnight and skies will slowly clear. This will allow temperatures to fall into he 40s for most locations by morning. With the widespread rain and calm overnight conditions we could see some fog develop. Saturday will be your pick of the week as temperatures remain below normal in the 60s/70s with a mix of sun and clouds and light winds. Temperatures slide back into the 40s Saturday night again with light winds.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through Thursday) Issued at 135 PM CDT Fri May 1 2026

Weak ridging builds in early next week while lee troughing develops at the surface. This will swing winds around to a westerly component helping to boost temperatures back above normal with highs back in the 80s and 90s. Expect dry conditions through at least Tuesday before our next storm system enters the picture. A weakening trough could bring a low chance for rain across northern portions of the region Wednesday. Our next best chance for widespread precipitation appears to be late next week as a deeper trough arrives.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1228 PM CDT Fri May 1 2026

SHRA continue across much of the area, but coverage is lessening compared to this morning. MVFR/IFR cigs will also continue through the afternoon before lifting this evening. A big unknown is the potential for FG given the rainfall and light winds overnight. Will monitor for inclusion in future TAF issuances.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 46 72 49 78 / 10 0 0 0 Carlsbad 48 68 47 77 / 10 10 0 0 Dryden 50 70 52 77 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 47 70 50 80 / 10 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 44 59 48 70 / 20 10 0 0 Hobbs 43 67 45 75 / 10 10 0 0 Marfa 39 66 41 76 / 20 10 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 46 70 51 76 / 20 0 0 0 Odessa 46 69 51 76 / 10 0 0 0 Wink 47 69 49 77 / 20 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Flood Watch until 4 PM CDT /3 PM MDT/ this afternoon for Andrews- Central Brewster-Crane-Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-Dawson-Eastern Culberson-Ector-Gaines-Glasscock- Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Loving-Martin-Midland-Pecos-Reagan-Reeves County Plains-Terrell-Upton-Ward-Winkler.

NM...Flood Watch until 3 PM MDT this afternoon for Central Lea-Eddy County Plains-Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Northern Lea-Southern Lea.