textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 136 AM CST Fri Nov 21 2025

- Rain chances return Saturday and Sunday. Areas west of Midland/Odessa see PoPs of 10-40% and to the east 40-60%.

- A strong cold front brings near to below average temperatures to the area by Thanksgiving.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Saturday afternoon) Issued at 136 AM CST Fri Nov 21 2025

Cooler temperatures settle in behind an upper-level low tracking northeast through the Great Plains. Highs Friday warm into the mid 60s to mid 70s across the region. With the departing upper trough, surface high pressure develops over the central Plains, sending another cold front into our area Friday night. Temperatures Friday night cool into the mid 30s to mid 40s. Saturday, the front slows down and becomes stalled within the southern portions of our region. Low (10-20%) rain chances accompany the stalled front over the Lower Trans Pecos Saturday afternoon. Saturday's highs again rise into the mid 60s to mid 70s. Flow aloft transitions from zonal to southwesterly ahead of another upper low approaching off the coast of Baja California. More details on this system's impacts in the long term discussion.

LONG TERM

(Saturday night through Thursday) Issued at 136 AM CST Fri Nov 21 2025

A large upper low moves in from the Pacific late Saturday night and gradually moves into the Desert Southwest. Moisture pools across central and west Texas as low level southeast flow develops on Sunday. The proximity of the low and the increased moisture will lead to better rain chances Saturday night through Sunday. The best chances will be across the eastern Permian Basin and tapering off to the west. By Monday, the upper low moves into the Great Plains and begins to move to the northeast. A cold front is ushered into the region by late Tuesday and temperatures tumble below normal with many areas in the 30s and highs on Wednesday struggling to reach 60F in most locations.

This frontal passage will be dry. Beyond the rain chances this weekend, the long term forecast remains dry. Though Thanksgiving is a week away, the ensembles are beginning to show what looks to be like a near normal late November day for West Texas and southeast New Mexico. Highs in the 60s with lows in the 30s and 40s.

-Stickney

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1114 PM CST Thu Nov 20 2025

VFR conditions prevail and winds generally become light overnight.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 72 42 69 51 / 0 0 10 40 Carlsbad 69 38 66 50 / 0 0 0 40 Dryden 78 51 73 58 / 0 0 20 40 Fort Stockton 73 45 73 56 / 0 0 10 30 Guadalupe Pass 57 42 59 47 / 0 0 0 40 Hobbs 67 37 66 47 / 0 0 10 40 Marfa 66 37 70 44 / 0 0 10 30 Midland Intl Airport 69 43 69 53 / 0 0 10 30 Odessa 69 43 69 53 / 0 0 10 30 Wink 69 39 70 53 / 0 0 10 30

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.