textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 618 AM CDT Mon Apr 6 2026

- Medium to high (40-70%) rain chances for areas south of the I-10 corridor Tuesday.

- Below normal temperatures expected through Tuesday increasing to near normal by Wednesday.

- Rain chances return Friday and Saturday and a few storms could become severe.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Tuesday afternoon) Issued at 349 AM CDT Mon Apr 6 2026

Drier take hold for at least today as upper level ridging has moved nearby. Rain chances will sit near zero for much of the day and temperatures move up a couple degrees into the low 70s for most. By tonight, another upper level disturbance makes its way into the region and brings additional chances for rain. Shower activity begins to move in across the higher elevations to the west and spread eastward overnight and into the Permian Basin during the day on Tuesday. A few embedded thunderstorms will be seen with this convection, but severe weather is not currently expected. Into Tuesday night, daytime activity moves out of the area and decays. Overnight lows fall into the 40s and 50s.

-Stickney

LONG TERM

(Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 349 AM CDT Mon Apr 6 2026

Weak ridging returns for Wednesday and the area dries out for the day with highs reaching into the 80s. Another disturbance moves in across the region by Thursday in combination with a dryline-like pattern. Showers and storms will be possible Thursday and into Friday. The larger scale pattern is looking better for storms and potentially strong to severe storms, but details will become more clear over the next couple of days. Heading into next weekend, long range guidance shows multiple disturbances moving across the region. With that in mind, rain chances are increased, but confidence is still low in regards to what the coverage or amount of rain will be. Temperatures each afternoon look to reach into the 80s with lows in the 50s for most.

-Stickney

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 618 AM CDT Mon Apr 6 2026

VFR conditions at all terminals. Southeasterly winds around 10-15kts through the day today.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 72 48 68 48 / 0 10 50 10 Carlsbad 72 49 73 45 / 10 50 70 20 Dryden 72 52 75 53 / 0 10 40 0 Fort Stockton 72 52 76 51 / 0 40 60 10 Guadalupe Pass 64 47 68 48 / 10 60 50 0 Hobbs 71 45 66 42 / 0 30 70 20 Marfa 67 41 75 40 / 10 30 40 0 Midland Intl Airport 71 49 68 49 / 0 20 60 20 Odessa 71 50 68 49 / 0 20 60 20 Wink 72 50 73 49 / 0 40 60 10

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.