textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 631 PM CDT Sun May 3 2026 - Warm and dry conditions expected through the middle part of the week.

- High winds may impact the Guadalupe/Delaware Mountains at times during the early to middle part of the week, with breezy conditions also developing over southeast New Mexico and the Permian Basin.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Monday night) Issued at 145 PM CDT Sun May 3 2026

Another beautiful day underway with temperatures climbing into the 70s and lots of sunshine. Southerly winds will continue to bring Gulf moisture back into the area keeping low temperatures much warmer than what we saw the last couple of nights. Weak mid-level ridging builds in Monday as lee troughing develops at the surface. This will give us more of a westerly wind component leading to a big boost in temperatures. Highs Monday will reach the upper 80s to near 90 for everyone outside of the higher terrain. Strong subsidence will keep us dry for the next few days.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through Saturday) Issued at 145 PM CDT Sun May 3 2026

An upper-level trough located across the southwestern CONUS sends shortwave impulses over southeast New Mexico and west Texas on Tuesday. Meanwhile, mid-level winds begin to strengthen and bring breezy westerly winds across much of the area. Stronger winds can be expected in the Guadalupe/Delaware Mountains where winds look to reach High Wind criteria for at least a few hours. However, have opted not to issue a Watch for now and let the next shift take another look at the data before making a decision. Otherwise, afternoon highs are forecast to be a few degrees cooler than Monday's. Breezy conditions continue on Wednesday due to an approaching cold front and afternoon highs fall another few degrees. Behind the cold front, lows fall into the 40s and 50s for most Wednesday night. Afternoon highs fall into the 70s for many on Thursday and another upper-level trough approaches the region, bringing low (10-30%) chances of showers and thunderstorms. However, it should be noted that confidence in exact timing, placement/coverage, and rainfall accumulations are low at the moment due to uncertainty in the track of this feature and moisture quality. These low chances of showers and thunderstorms look to continue through Saturday as guidance depicts additional shortwave impulses being sent across the area. Though changes in the forecast are likely going to be made over the next several days as we monitor trends with more data. Greening

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 631 PM CDT Sun May 3 2026

VFR conditions continue the next 24 hours. Light southerly winds become westerly and gusty by 18Z Monday.

Hennig

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 58 90 63 89 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 55 86 62 82 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 58 90 63 94 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 59 91 64 89 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 56 77 59 73 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 53 86 59 81 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 49 84 52 82 / 10 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 59 89 63 86 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 59 88 63 85 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 57 89 62 85 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.