textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 120 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025

- Above normal temperatures are expected through Saturday before a stronger cold front (briefly) brings much cooler temperatures on Sunday.

- Dry conditions persist through the next several days.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Friday night) Issued at 120 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025

Current satellite imagery and latest RAP analysis shows upper-level ridging building in from the Desert Southwest. As a result, northwest flow aloft takes shape, promoting warmer and continued dry conditions. High temperatures this afternoon are forecast to be back in the upper 60s to mid 70s placing these highs 10-15 degrees above normal for this time of year. Tonight, lows dip into the mid 30s to upper 40s for most locations which will be slightly warmer than previous mornings. By tomorrow morning, a weak front makes its way into the region. This front is expected to be weaker than the front that moved through the area on Wednesday. Breezy winds are still expected especially later in the morning into the afternoon hours, though high temperatures are going to remain similar (slightly cooler) as today's temperatures. The persistent northwest flow aloft and lack of surface moisture keeps the area dry. This trend continues heading into the long term period.

Lamberson

LONG TERM

(Saturday through Wednesday) Issued at 120 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025

A pleasant Saturday is on tap before a strong cold front pushes in during the night. Sunny skies and widespread highs in the 70s are expected Saturday. A shortwave aids in the development of a lee trough and a resultant surface low over the central Plains Saturday morning. This low swings a cold front into our region Saturday night into Sunday, bringing breezy, northeasterly winds and morning lows in the upper 20s to 30s (40s in our southernmost counties). The strongest winds can be found in the Guadalupe/ Delaware Mountains. Highs Sunday look to only reach into the 40/50s, accompanied by plentiful cloud coverage. Temperatures fall into the 30s again Sunday night. However, winds also begin to return out of the southeast in response to the surface high behind the front drifting toward the east coast. This works in tandem with an upper ridge building overhead to drive Monday's highs back into the 60s. An upper-level system approaches Tuesday, leading to the development of a lee trough that steers westerly/southwesterly winds and highs in the 70s. Conditions continue to warm Wednesday ahead of a weak cold front, as a mix of 70s and 80s are in the forecast. As of now, this particular front looks to arrive Wednesday evening. Not a drop of rain is there to be found in the long term.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1055 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the period. Light (5-10 kts) southerly to southwesterly winds with occasional gusts up to 20 kts are anticipated through the afternoon. Winds decrease near sunset (23Z). Winds shift to the northwest late tonight as a front approaches the region and will eventually become breezy out of the northeast near the end of the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 39 69 35 72 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 44 72 37 76 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 44 78 43 76 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 47 71 40 77 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 44 64 42 66 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 42 70 34 73 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 37 71 32 72 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 42 70 37 70 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 43 70 38 70 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 39 71 35 73 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.