textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 624 PM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026

- Medium to high (40-70%) rain chances continue for areas south of the I-10 corridor Sunday and Tuesday.

- Below normal temperatures expected through Tuesday increasing to near normal by Wednesday.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Sunday night) Issued at 311 PM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026

A cold front has brought temperatures down about 15 degrees from yesterday along with gusty northeast winds. Surface high pressure will only slowly move southeast overnight into Sunday keeping winds from the northeast to east, filtering in the cooler temps from up north and allowing a cool and pleasant day for outdoor activities. The mornings will start off cool both tonight and tomorrow night as lows drop into the 40s to lower 50s.

LONG TERM

(Monday through Friday) Issued at 311 PM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026

A southern stream jet max moves across the area Tuesday creating a low chance for showers and thunderstorms. We probably won't see much in the way of rainfall but any amount helps. A weak ridge/zonal pattern briefly arrives Wednesday giving a warm and dry day before a deep upper low approaches the West Coast on Thursday. Flow aloft backs from the southwest and a surface dryline becomes established, and combined with afternoon heating could allow for scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop Thursday afternoon. Current models indicate that instability and shear will be enough that some storms could become severe so this will have to be a day to monitor for potential impacts. The low continues moving east Friday but little changes in the upper pattern for West Texas and southeastern New Mexico keeping the dryline in place as well as the potential for another day of severe weather. Again, this is still several days out and much could change but we will be keeping an eye for the potential of impactful weather to end next week.

Hennig

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 624 PM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026

VFR conditions will continue through the forecast period with broken to overcast mid/upper level cloud decks spreading over the region. Gusty northeasterly winds will gradually subside through around 01Z. Easterly to southeasterly winds will pick back up to 10-15 knots with occasional gusts up to around 25 knots by mid to late Sunday morning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 45 70 45 71 / 0 0 10 0 Carlsbad 46 68 44 68 / 10 20 20 10 Dryden 53 63 50 67 / 20 40 50 10 Fort Stockton 50 64 48 68 / 10 40 40 10 Guadalupe Pass 45 56 41 60 / 10 40 20 10 Hobbs 41 69 39 69 / 0 10 10 0 Marfa 41 55 37 63 / 30 60 50 10 Midland Intl Airport 47 69 46 69 / 0 10 20 10 Odessa 48 68 47 69 / 0 10 20 10 Wink 47 68 46 68 / 10 20 20 10

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.