textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1044 AM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

- Warmer than normal temperatures expected through the extended forecast.

- An upper-level system brings low to medium (10-50%) rain chances to the area early next week.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Sunday afternoon) Issued at 1243 AM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

Clear skies and temperatures in the 40s are being seen again this morning. Clouds increase this afternoon as an upper level ridge moves east and flow becomes southwesterly ahead of a low pressure system in northwestern Mexico. Warm air advection will counter any cooling effects from increased cloud cover so highs both today and tomorrow will be unchanged from yesterday reaching the 70s in most locations. There may be a few stray showers from the western Big Bend into the Davis Mountains but any rainfall amounts would be very light, less than one tenth of an inch. Lows will stay above freezing everywhere.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through Friday) Issued at 1243 AM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

Rain chances increase west of the Pecos River Sunday night into Monday as the low over Mexico moves east towards West Texas. Rain chances begin along the Rio Grande then spread east into the Davis Mountains and ultimately lower Trans Pecos and southern Permian Basin mainly south of I-20 throughout Monday. Rainfall amounts will be limited to a tenth of an inch to isolated one quarter of an inch. Anything helps but such light amounts will prove little benefit.

Rain chances diminish Tuesday as the low moves across the CWA and into central Texas. The low is disconnected from the main westerlies so there will be no cold front associated with its passage on Tuesday and highs will remain above normal and in the 70s through at least Thursday. There may be a weak cold front on Friday dropping temperatures back down to normal. Zonal upper flow will prevent much cold air from reaching this far south and temps will struggle to even get back down to average. The NBM is putting some low PoPs in the forecast with this front though upper support is well to the north and it would not be surprising to see these rain chances disappear in the next few days.

Hennig

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1044 AM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours. Light south winds will veer to west as high clouds increase.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 76 49 75 47 / 0 10 10 0 Carlsbad 71 47 72 44 / 0 10 0 10 Dryden 77 52 75 52 / 0 10 10 10 Fort Stockton 78 55 75 52 / 0 10 10 10 Guadalupe Pass 65 47 63 47 / 10 10 10 10 Hobbs 73 47 73 42 / 0 10 0 0 Marfa 72 42 67 40 / 0 10 10 10 Midland Intl Airport 76 51 75 48 / 0 10 10 10 Odessa 75 51 74 49 / 0 10 10 10 Wink 74 48 74 45 / 0 10 10 10

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.