textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1000 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

- Mild daytime temperatures (60s to 70s F highs) and chilly nighttime temperatures (40s to 50s F lows) the rest of this week.

- An upper-level system brings low to medium (20-60%) rain chances this weekend, with the best chances south of I-10.

- Cool temperatures (50s to 60s F highs) expected this weekend before temperatures warm back up early next week.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Thursday night) Issued at 1245 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

Water vapor imagery shows an upper-level trough located over the western CONUS, with zonal flow over southeast New Mexico and west Texas. The trough will send a cold front through the area on Thursday, dropping afternoon highs a few degrees from today's. Cooler temperatures and bringing breezy conditions behind it. Nevertheless, temperatures remain seasonal as cooler air lags to the north behind the cold front.

Greening

LONG TERM

(Friday through Tuesday) Issued at 1245 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

Temperatures fall below climatology (highs below 70 F) to kick off the long term period as heights decrease slightly behind the cold front. The upper-level trough digs south Friday night into Saturday. Lift from this feature and its associated jet max bring chances (generally 20-60%) of scattered showers and storms through Sunday. The best chances (40-60%) look to be south of I-10, though a couple of showers/storms may develop to the north. However, it should be noted there is much uncertainty in rainfall amounts/coverage due to model discrepancies regrading the placement of the trough.

Increasing cloud cover in addition to surface high pressure over the Central Plains filters cooler air into the region this weekend, yielding highs in the 50s and 60s. Saturday looks to be the coolest day in the forecast as highs dip into the 50s for most. Some frost may be possible on cooler nights across the higher terrain of the Guadalupes, Marfa Plateau, and northern Lea County. By early next week, long-range guidance has an upper ridge building over the region, bringing warmer and drier conditions.

Greening

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1000 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours. A weak cold front will move through the terminals overnight/Thursday morning, with a few high clouds.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 53 70 44 63 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 52 64 43 61 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 53 78 50 68 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 55 74 46 66 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 51 64 44 59 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 50 64 40 61 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 49 73 43 66 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 53 69 44 63 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 53 69 45 63 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 52 71 44 65 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.