textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 130 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

- Above-normal temperatures through much of this week before a front arrives towards the weekend.

- Precipitation chances remain near-zero through the forecast period.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Tuesday afternoon) Issued at 130 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

The Short Term forecast remains on track. Northwesterly flow aloft is evident over West Texas and Southeast New Mexico this morning. Skies are clear, and winds have generally shifted back to a southeasterly or southerly direction areawide. These factors will help temperatures tick up a couple of degrees today relative to yesterday. Highs in the mid-to-upper 60s will be prevalent across the region this afternoon. Meanwhile, clear skies and light winds help lows bottom out in the 30s for most locations, with temperatures near freezing in the northern Permian Basin and closer to 40F along the Rio Grande. Winds take on more of a downsloping component Tuesday as thicknesses increase over the area. As a result, highs Tuesday end up in the upper 60s and low-to-mid 70s, which is about 8-12 degrees above average for this time of year. Rain chances are nil through the Short Term.

Sprang

LONG TERM

(Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 130 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

The forecast remains on track with dry conditions and a roller coaster ride in temperatures throughout the extended (though temperatures still remain above normal). Afternoon highs on Wednesday cools 3-6 degrees relative to Tuesday's highs for many as a cold front pushes through our northern counties before becoming diffuse. Highs on Thursday climb back into the mid-to-upper 70s for most as winds veer back to the west, creating a downsloping effect. However, ensemble guidance shows a shortwave moving over the Central Rockies during the late Thursday evening/early Friday morning time frame, potentially sending another cold front our way. If this were to verify, temperatures could once again drop into the 60s for most Friday afternoon. The NBM now continues to show temperatures cooling into the upper 50s to low 60s for many behind the front by the weekend. However, ensembles show a lot of spread in the temperature data. For example, the LREF 25th percentile shows highs only in the upper 40s to low 50s on Saturday while the 75th percentile shows highs in the mid 60s. With that said, temperatures are trending near the ensemble mean at this time. What ends up becoming reality all really depends on frontal timing and strength. We will continue to monitor trends in the data and make adjustments in future forecast packages as needed. Greening

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1048 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

No significant weather expected. Breezy southerly winds for terminals over Lea County into Permian Basin 16Z-23Z before winds again decrease. VFR conditions forecast throughout TAF period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 64 35 69 40 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 66 33 71 41 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 65 37 70 44 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 69 38 75 46 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 57 37 60 41 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 63 33 68 41 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 63 29 66 34 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 64 36 68 43 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 63 36 68 43 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 64 31 71 38 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.