textproduct: Midland/Odessa

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 245 PM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

- Dry and seasonable weather is expected through late this week.

- A disturbance brings the return of rain chances this weekend ahead of a dry cold front early next week.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Thursday night) Issued at 245 PM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

Foggy conditions across the Permian Basin from earlier today have given way to sunny skies this afternoon, with temperatures in the upper 60s to low 70s. An upper ridge currently over the western CONUS is slowly shifting eastward. Meanwhile, a cold front is sagging its way down into our region. Cooler and drier air filtering in behind the front brings lows mainly into the 40s tonight and tomorrow night, with lower 50s in our southernmost reaches. Patchy fog may develop again tonight along portions of the Pecos River valley and the Lower Trans Pecos, clearing out around mid morning. Temperatures Thursday afternoon are forecast to top out largely in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s will become restricted to the northeastern Permian Basin and areas along the Rio Grande.

LONG TERM

(Friday through Tuesday) Issued at 245 PM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

Friday into Saturday, an upper ridge translates across Texas and is quickly replaced by a shortwave trough, ushering in more active weather. Rain chances begin to increase over our westernmost counties Friday afternoon, spreading eastward into Saturday. The best odds for scattered to numerous showers will be west of the Pecos River Friday evening. Otherwise, coverage looks isolated to scattered. Rain chances shift to the eastern half of the area Saturday, then tapper off over the northeastern Permian Basin Sunday morning. Meanwhile, a secondary trough develops into a cut-off low near the Texas Panhandle. The associated cold front is progged to sweep into our region Sunday afternoon into Monday. In terms of temperatures, highs in the upper 60s to low 70s Friday give way to mainly 60s Saturday and Sunday. Highs in the 50s become more commonplace behind the cold front Monday and Tuesday, then rebound into the 60s Wednesday.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1139 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

CIG/VIS is finally improving at MAF and satellite is showing the stratus dissipating rapidly now and VFR conditions are expected by 19Z. Patchy fog may redevelop tonight, though it should be more isolated and confidence is not high enough to put in the TAFs at this time. Light northerly winds should continue.

Hennig

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 47 70 47 70 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 46 68 46 69 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 53 69 52 69 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 48 68 48 73 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 46 62 46 65 / 0 0 0 30 Hobbs 44 68 44 69 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 41 66 42 67 / 0 0 0 10 Midland Intl Airport 48 68 48 70 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 47 68 48 69 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 48 68 47 71 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.


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