textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 432 PM CDT Sun Mar 29 2026

- Increased shower/storm chances Wednesday into Thursday will accompany another cold front.

- Another cold front and low (10-30%) rain chances for Friday through Sunday.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Monday night) Issued at 1252 PM CDT Sun Mar 29 2026

Southerly winds and some already present low level moisture prevent temperatures from falling too far from today's highs with most overnight temperatures settling in the 50s to low 60s. The normal cold spots fall into the upper 40s. Continued low level, southerly to southwesterly flow on Monday will bring temperatures up a few more degrees compared to today with many locations reaching into the upper 80s to low 90s. Low (10-15%) rain chances exist across the high elevations to the west as a weak disturbance moves across New Mexico. Rain amounts, if any, are expected to be low. Any activity from Monday afternoon decays around or just after sunset with overnight lows once again staying well above normal in the upper 50s to low 60s.

-Stickney

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through Saturday) Issued at 1252 PM CDT Sun Mar 29 2026

Southwesterly to southerly winds continue on Tuesday and keep the region well above normal to end March with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s. Medium to long range ensembles are consistent with an upper level trough crossing out of the Rockies and into the Southern Great Plains by late Tuesday and into Wednesday. A cold front associated with this system moves through the area by late Wednesday. The front and aforementioned trough will add lift to the environment combining with present moisture to produce isolated to scattered showers and storms across the region. The best chances for rain remain across the eastern half of the CWA with chances around 30-40% with lower (10-30%) chances for areas generally west of the Pecos River Valley.

By Thursday morning, rain chances will have diminished and a "cooler" day is expected with highs in the 80s, though this is still around 5-10 degrees above normal for early April. Another trough moves into the western US late Friday and into Saturday bringing another front through the area by Saturday. Depending on timing, this front looks to bring temperatures to around normal for the weekend with many near to even below normal for the first weekend of April. Relatively low (10-30%) rain chances exist during this time, but confidence remains low on what shower or storm activity will look like until details become clearer in subsequent forecasts.

-Stickney

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 432 PM CDT Sun Mar 29 2026

VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours in modest return flow. Surface winds will stay elevated in the east overnight, courtesy of a 40 kt LLJ. Monday, forecast soundings develop a cu field everywhere but KMAF, w/bases ~ 4.5-11 kft AGL.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 57 88 59 92 / 0 0 0 10 Carlsbad 52 92 56 90 / 0 10 10 0 Dryden 56 88 59 91 / 0 0 0 20 Fort Stockton 58 91 61 92 / 0 10 10 20 Guadalupe Pass 57 82 57 80 / 0 10 10 0 Hobbs 50 90 53 89 / 0 10 10 0 Marfa 45 84 47 83 / 0 10 10 10 Midland Intl Airport 57 88 59 91 / 0 0 0 10 Odessa 57 88 59 91 / 0 0 0 10 Wink 55 91 58 91 / 0 10 10 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.