textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 650 PM CDT Tue Aug 25 2026

- Hot temperatures continue today with major to extreme heat risk. Be sure to stay hydrated and take frequent breaks in air conditioning or the shade if possible.

- Temperatures remain above normal through the forecast period, but decrease relative to the past several days starting Wednesday.

- Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms may develop over portions of the region late Wednesday and Thursday.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Wednesday night) Issued at 132 PM CDT Tue Aug 25 2026

Very hot temperatures are in store once again today thanks to an upper-level ridge sitting over our area. Highs top out between 100 and 108 degrees for much of west Texas and southeast New Mexico this afternoon, with highs largely between 95 to 99 degrees in the higher terrain. As a result, a Heat Advisory remains in effect through 7 PM MDT/8 PM CDT this evening for portions of the Permian Basin, southeast New Mexico, the Trans-Pecos, and in the higher terrain. Lows tonight only bottom out in the mid-to-upper 70s, with 60s in the higher terrain.

The ridge shifts westward Wednesday, centering somewhere south of the Four Corners. As a result, temperatures finally start to decrease a bit. Most locations still top out near or above 100 degrees (90s in the mountains), but will at least remain below Heat Advisory criteria. Additionally, by Wednesday afternoon, showers and storms will develop off the higher terrain in eastern New Mexico. These storms will track southeastward, moving into northern portions of the area and across the Permian Basin (dissipating as they do so). Rain chances mainly range between 20-40%, with the highest chances across our far northern counties overnight Wednesday night into early Thursday morning. Strong outflow winds may accompany these storms as they move across the area. Lows Thursday morning will be in the low-to-mid 70s for most locations (60s in the mountains).

Sprang

LONG TERM

(Thursday through Monday) Issued at 132 PM CDT Tue Aug 25 2026

Temperatures decrease a bit more on Thursday as the ridge remains west of our forecast area. Highs top out in the mid-to-upper 90s for most, with 100 degree temperatures confined mainly to the river valleys. Remnant outflow from previous overnight convection and upslope flow allows low (generally 10-30%) rain chances to stick around for portions of the Permian Basin, Lower Trans-Pecos, and in the higher terrain Thursday afternoon. Additional showers and storms may move into our southeast New Mexico counties that evening from the west. Over the weekend, the ridge starts to shift back towards west Texas and southeast New Mexico. However, by this time the ridge will have become relatively weaker and more broad thanks to passing shortwaves to the north. So, while temperatures remain above normal by late August standards, they also will not be as hot as the past few days. Highs generally top out in the upper 90s and right around 100 degrees for most locations through early next week. After Thursday, besides some lingering rain chances in and around the higher terrain Friday (10-30%), most locations will stay dry with the ridge moving back this way over the weekend.

Sprang

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 650 PM CDT Tue Aug 25 2026

VFR conditions are forecast to continue through the period. S/SE winds with occasional gusts around 20 knots will persist through 01-02Z before diminishing. Winds may turn northerly to northeasterly over the southeast NM and northern Permian Basin late tonight into early Wednesday morning following the passage of a weak boundary but should otherwise remain light.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 76 103 74 98 / 0 0 30 20 Carlsbad 74 103 73 100 / 0 0 10 10 Dryden 76 103 76 102 / 0 0 0 20 Fort Stockton 74 102 74 99 / 0 0 10 20 Guadalupe Pass 71 95 70 91 / 0 0 0 20 Hobbs 72 101 70 97 / 0 0 30 20 Marfa 63 97 64 94 / 0 0 0 30 Midland Intl Airport 76 102 74 97 / 0 0 30 20 Odessa 76 101 75 97 / 0 0 20 20 Wink 75 104 75 99 / 0 0 20 10

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/ this evening for Andrews- Borden-Central Brewster-Chinati Mountains-Davis Mountains- Davis Mountains Foothills-Dawson-Eastern Culberson-Gaines- Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Howard-Loving-Marfa Plateau-Martin-Mitchell- Reeves County Plains-Scurry-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-Winkler.

NM...Heat Advisory until 7 PM MDT this evening for Central Lea-Eddy County Plains-Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Southern Lea.