textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 519 AM CST Sat Feb 14 2026

- Scattered showers and storms, a few becoming strong with small hail and lightning, continue across the Permian Basin this morning before moving to the east. - Windy conditions developing across the high terrain of West Texas and southeast New Mexico Tuesday and Wednesday.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Sunday afternoon) Issued at 330 AM CST Sat Feb 14 2026

Showers/storms shall continue to move across the region through Saturday morning, tapering off northwest to southeast. A few storms may be strong, with the main threats remaining flash flooding due to heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and small hail. The upper-level trough responsible for the unsettled weather currently sits off to our west, but will be traversing over our region through the day, dragging a dry cold front along with it. Westerly/northwesterly winds become breezy as the cold front sweeps in this afternoon, but should generally stay below high wind criteria. The strongest winds look to be in and near the Guadalupe/Delaware Mountains. Given recent rainfall, blowing dust doesn't appear to be of high concern. Winds should calm down through the night Saturday. Temperatures this Saturday are mainly forecast to warm into the lower 60s to 70s, then dip into the mid 30s to 40s Saturday night. Sunday, upper riding builds aloft. Winds remain out of the north most of the day, eventually gaining a southerly component during the late afternoon, as a lee trough develops. Temperatures Sunday afternoon top out a few degrees over Saturday, reaching into the upper 60s to 70s.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through Friday) Issued at 330 AM CST Sat Feb 14 2026

Heading into Monday, upper level ridging will be in place across the Plains and keep temperatures above normal with dry conditions for the region. Highs in the 70s and 80s are expected for both Monday and Tuesday with the first 80F+ day of the year possible in Midland on Tuesday. Upper level ridge flattens out on Tuesday and an upper low impinges from the west. Breezy and gusty conditions develop for Tuesday and Wednesday, particularly over the high terrain and portions of southeast New Mexico. By Thursday and Friday, winds decrease and weak fronts look to wash through the region knocking temperatures down slightly, but still remaining above normal. Low (<10%) rain chances return by next weekend, but ensembles continue to have some disagreement on the proximity and track of the next system.

-Stickney

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 519 AM CST Sat Feb 14 2026

Quick moving showers and storms may pass near MAF/FST over the next couple of hours. Cold front moves through the region between 16-18z today. Winds increase to 15-20kts areawide with gusts up to 30kts. VFR prevails at all terminals. Cloud decks will gradually clear out over the course of the day.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 43 70 42 78 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 40 70 41 80 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 50 77 47 81 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 45 71 47 83 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 42 63 45 71 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 38 70 41 77 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 32 68 35 76 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 44 70 45 78 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 43 70 45 77 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 40 71 42 80 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.