textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 556 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

- Highs today reach the 90s, which could cause heat stress for those doing outdoor activities. - Cooler and wetter weather returns Tuesday and remains through the end of next week.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Tuesday afternoon) Issued at 151 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

Current observations show dewpoints in the 40s and 50s across the entire area with no dryline evident. A weak disturbance will not be enough to destabilize the atmosphere enough to create convection, which will be confined to the higher elevations west of the Pecos River where orographics provide that final ingredient needed for convective initiation. Southeasterly low level flow bring in slightly cooler temperatures and highs will hold in the 90s except along the Rio Grande.

Sustained southeasterly flow continues to bring in cooler temperatures Tuesday and highs drop into the lower 90s to upper 80s. A trough over the West Coast approaches our western most counties late in the afternoon helping showers and thunderstorms to develop from the Guadalupe to the Davis mountains.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 151 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

Storms continue overnight and move out of southeastern New Mexico and into the Permian Basin early Wednesday morning. There may be a lull in activity late Wednesday morning and early afternoon before redeveloping late Wednesday afternoon and evening. Good rain chances continue into Thursday as all models show no ridging over much of the United States. Weak high pressure over the eastern U.S. provides unstable, southerly flow continuing showers into at least Friday. NBM shows PoPs decreasing Saturday as weak high pressure tries to become established but some models continue to show enough instability for another day of rainfall. All models show drier and warmer conditions returning Sunday.

Hennig

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 556 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

VFR conditions expected through the period. TS will develop after 18Z Monday but will be more isolated than Sunday. Only have PROB30 for TS at FST though most TAF sites have a slim chance for storms. Outflow boundaries may affect wind directions and speeds well away from any parent storms.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 96 70 93 67 / 0 0 10 60 Carlsbad 99 68 94 64 / 10 10 50 80 Dryden 96 72 94 71 / 0 0 0 30 Fort Stockton 97 68 93 67 / 30 10 20 60 Guadalupe Pass 89 66 84 63 / 20 10 60 70 Hobbs 95 64 91 61 / 0 20 20 80 Marfa 92 57 89 56 / 30 10 60 50 Midland Intl Airport 95 69 92 66 / 0 10 0 70 Odessa 95 69 91 66 / 0 10 0 70 Wink 97 69 93 66 / 10 10 20 70

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.