textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1254 AM CST Fri Nov 28 2025

- Breezy winds today, especially in the Permian Basin. Low (10-20%) rain chances for these same areas.

- Strong cold front to bring gap winds to the Guadalupe Mountains and much below normal temperatures along with a first freeze to many Sunday.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Saturday afternoon) Issued at 1254 AM CST Fri Nov 28 2025

Southerly winds have returned along with Gulf moisture as evidenced by dewpoints in the 40s. A weak shortwave moving across the Plains will induce leeside surface troughing across the S. Plains. This will lead to windy conditions today, especially across the Permian Basin where gusts could reach 30 mph. Rain chances have decreased, but a few very light showers are possible across the Lower Trans Pecos through the day. Nevertheless, thick cloud cover will limit high temperatures from warming much above 60 degrees for many locations. Further west where less cloud cover will exist, temperatures will climb to near 70. Expect mild temperatures in the 50s tonight across the eastern half of the region due to cloud cover sticking around, while low drop into the 30s/40s out west.

Saturday will be a big transition day with our strongest cold front of the season on deck. Ahead of this front, low level moisture could lead to areas of fog in the morning before a prefrontal trough veers wind to the northwest sweeping moisture east. Clearing skies along with compressional warming ahead of the front will boost high temperatures into the 70s for most locations. The strong cold front arrives quickly after peak heating with the boundary reaching the I- 20 corridor by mid afternoon and then the Rio Grande by midnight. Gusty northeast winds are expected behind the front, especially across the Guadalupe Mountains where gap winds will develop. Have gone ahead with a High Wind Watch with gusts up to 65 mph expected Saturday night into Sunday morning.

LONG TERM

(Saturday night through Thursday) Issued at 1254 AM CST Fri Nov 28 2025

Temperatures drop quickly behind the front with lows near freezing for many locations outside of the Rio Grande by Sunday morning. Will be monitoring for possible Freeze products for locations that have not had a freeze yet this season. Westerly flow aloft will help keep clouds in place Sunday and combined with northerly winds will make it fell pretty chilly. Highs are likely to top out in the 40s, but winds will make it feel much colder. Our coldest night of the season so far is expected Monday morning with lows in the 20s/30s.

Another quick moving shortwave moves across the Plains Monday dragging another cold front through the region. This will keep cooler conditions (temperatures near normal) in place through midweek. We briefly warm Wednesday before another front arrives later in the week.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1121 PM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

MVFR CIGs are currently moving up towards MAF. Models are uncertain when exactly they will arrive at MAF but could be from 11-17Z. Once they arrive they will stay through the end of the TAF period perhaps even dropping to IFR after 00Z with light fog developing as well. HOB could also briefly see MVFR CIGs but it should burn off after a few hours. Other TAF sites should remain VFR through the end of the TAF period.

Hennig

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 60 52 69 29 / 10 10 0 0 Carlsbad 68 45 69 32 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 62 52 75 40 / 30 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 68 51 73 35 / 30 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 61 45 60 30 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 64 41 68 27 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 63 38 68 29 / 10 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 60 51 70 32 / 10 0 0 0 Odessa 60 50 70 32 / 10 0 0 0 Wink 66 43 71 32 / 10 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...High Wind Watch from Saturday evening through Sunday morning for Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

NM...High Wind Watch from Saturday evening through Sunday morning for Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.