textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 211 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

- The hottest temperatures of the season so far are likely today and Thursday with many locations reaching 100-110F.

- A front brings low rain chances to portions of the area Thursday (10-30%). Additional scattered rain chances return Friday and Saturday with the highest chances south of I-10.

- Temperatures largely remain above normal through the extended forecast.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Thursday night) Issued at 211 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

Hot temperatures dominate the Short Term Period. Winds have taken on a more downsloping westerly component today. This, combined with ridging aloft, allows temperatures to shoot above the century mark across most of the area (with the exception of the mountains, which top out between 95 and 100 degrees). The Heat Advisory remains in effect for the whole area through this evening. Lows tonight only dip down into the mid-to-upper 70s (nearing 80 degrees in some spots). The heat persists Thursday as well. The main difference is tomorrow a surface low sets up over the Permian Basin. This helps bring a front southward across the area. While it does look like this will help at least keep southeast New Mexico, Culberson County, and the far northwestern Permian Basin relatively cooler, another Heat Advisory has been issued for most other locations, where highs will generally look similar to today's before the front can make it through. Because temperatures are expected to reach or exceed 110 degrees in the far eastern Permian Basin and Lower Trans-Pecos, an Extreme Heat Warning has been issued for these locations tomorrow. Isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms develop in and around the higher terrain tomorrow afternoon. Additional convection is also expected to develop along the front as it moves into southern portions of the Permian Basin and towards the Trans- Pecos later tomorrow evening. A couple of storms may manage to become strong to severe, posing mainly a strong/damaging wind threat (given the "inverted V" soundings depicted by forecast soundings). Behind the front, Thursday night's lows fall back down into the mid-to-upper 60s and low 70s.

Sprang

LONG TERM

(Friday through Tuesday) Issued at 211 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

An upper-level disturbance, coupled with the presence of the decaying front, allows rain chances to stick around Friday. The best chances (40-60%) will generally be in/around the higher terrain, with lower chances (10-40%) elsewhere. Highs top out in the low-to- mid 90s. Temperatures start to warm again over the weekend as ridging starts to strengthen, with highs on Sunday once again nearing the century mark for large portions of the area. Rain chances (generally between 10-20%) become confined mainly to the higher terrain this weekend thanks to moist upslope flow. Temperatures in the mid-to-upper 90s and approaching 100 degrees stick around through the remainder of the extended forecast as ridging continues to strengthen west of our area. Some long-range guidance does attempt to bring shower and thunderstorm chances back to the northern Permian Basin thanks to a boundary Monday night into Tuesday morning. However, confidence remains low at this time, and as a result PoPs are generally between 10-30% (closer to 40% in our northeasternmost counties).

Sprang

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1214 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

VFR remains through the period. Check density altitude with the very hot temperatures today and Thursday. Expect southwest winds occasionally gusting to 25 kts.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 79 108 73 93 / 0 0 20 30 Carlsbad 79 103 71 97 / 0 0 20 20 Dryden 76 110 76 98 / 0 10 20 40 Fort Stockton 79 105 73 96 / 0 10 20 40 Guadalupe Pass 73 94 69 89 / 0 10 10 20 Hobbs 75 101 66 93 / 0 0 30 20 Marfa 67 96 63 91 / 0 20 20 50 Midland Intl Airport 79 107 72 94 / 0 0 10 20 Odessa 79 106 72 94 / 0 0 20 20 Wink 80 106 72 97 / 0 0 30 20

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Heat Advisory until 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ this evening for Andrews-Borden-Central Brewster-Chinati Mountains-Chisos Basin-Crane-Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills- Dawson-Eastern Culberson-Ector-Gaines-Glasscock-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains- Howard-Loving-Lower Brewster County-Marfa Plateau-Martin- Midland-Mitchell-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Reagan-Reeves County Plains-Scurry-Terrell-Upton-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-Winkler.

Heat Advisory from noon to 10 PM CDT Thursday for Andrews-Borden- Central Brewster-Chinati Mountains-Chisos Basin-Crane-Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-Dawson-Ector-Loving- Marfa Plateau-Martin-Midland-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Reeves County Plains-Scurry-Upton-Ward-Winkler.

Extreme Heat Warning from noon to 10 PM CDT Thursday for Glasscock-Howard-Lower Brewster County-Mitchell-Reagan- Terrell.

NM...Heat Advisory until 9 PM MDT this evening for Central Lea-Eddy County Plains-Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Northern Lea-Southern Lea.