textproduct: Midland/Odessa

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 229 PM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

- Hot temperatures continue through the forecast period with little to no chance of rain.

- Drink plenty of fluids and seek shade frequently as heat illnesses due to prolonged exposure to heat may occur.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Sunday night) Issued at 229 PM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

Upper-level high pressure will remain the dominant feature across west Texas and southeast New Mexico through the remainder of the weekend. A weakness embedded in the ridge may initiate isolated to scattered convection along an outflow boundary to our north over the South Plains later this afternoon. CAMs continue to indicate that a few cells could approach our far northern counties late this afternoon or early this evening, so maintained very low POPs between 10-20% roughly from Gaines to Scurry counties, but most locations should remain hot and dry. Any storm that does develop or make it into the northern Basin will be capable of producing brief strong/erratic gusts and a few lightning strikes. The heat wave otherwise continues with highs this afternoon and Sunday afternoon reaching between 100-106 degrees over much of the region, except for readings in the mid to upper 90s over the higher terrain areas. A Heat Advisory remains in effect for the northeast Basin and western Low Rolling Plains through Sunday evening, where afternoon highs range around 105 degrees with early morning lows near 80 degrees. Spend time in air conditioning or in the shade if outdoors, wear loose fitting, light-colored clothing, and drink plenty of water to stay hydrated. Remember to never leave people or pets inside a closed or locked vehicle.

LONG TERM

(Monday through Friday) Issued at 229 PM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

Upper-level high pressure will remain in place across our region through the middle of the week before perhaps retrograding slightly westward over the Desert Southwest by late in the week. Even so, the ridge will continue to extend into southeast New Mexico and west Texas through Friday of next week, so hot temperatures will persist through the extended period. Highs each day will continue to range between 100-106 over much of the region, with the highest readings staying over the northeast Basin/western Low Rolling Plains, along the Pecos River Vally and along the Rio Grande. Overnight lows mostly range in the 70s, except for readings in the 60s over higher elevation areas. Weak shortwave impulses moving over the area within northwest flow aloft on the eastern side of the ridge could at least bring a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms to portions of the area Thursday, but rain chances generally remain 20% or less at this time.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1236 PM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

VFR conditions will continue through the TAF period with light S/SE winds.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 77 104 77 105 / 10 0 0 0 Carlsbad 73 102 74 104 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 76 103 75 103 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 74 101 75 102 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 70 94 70 96 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 72 101 72 103 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 64 95 64 96 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 77 102 76 102 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 77 101 77 102 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 75 103 75 104 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Sunday for Borden-Howard-Mitchell- Scurry.

NM...None.


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