textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 639 PM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026

- Rain tapers off from southwest to northeast from 12 pm through sunset.

- Regions of fog and mist under light and variable winds tonight. Patchy fog and mist for parts of the plains and valleys on Halloween night.

- Drier weather with warmer temperatures (highs in the 70s and 80s this weekend.

- Windy conditions and a cooling trend in temperatures (highs back down to the 60s and 70s F, lows in the 40s and 50s F) by middle of next week.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through Thursday) Issued at 1256 PM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026

A warming trend ensues late weekend into early next as mid-level ridging and accompanying sinking and drying motion briefly spikes ahead of a more zonal and progressive upper air pattern. Highs rise into the mid to upper 70s and 80s F on Sunday for warmer spots over the Upper Trans Pecos into Stockton Plateau and basins of Culberson County into the southern Rio Grande basin. The weather remains quiet with very low rain chances until Sunday night. By then, a more progressive weather pattern and an approaching disturbance bypassing the area to the north results in increased rain chances up to 30% for the northernmost SE NM plains. Lows Sunday night then again drop into the upper 50s to mid 60s F as southerly winds persist.

A slight cooldown begins early next week as Pacific air moves in behind a surface cold front accompanying passage of the upper air disturbance. In response, winds are expected to shift from southerly to westerly and bring in cooler air from west to east. However, the bigger story will be strong winds aloft mixing down the surface. We are monitoring the potential for strong winds at least 35 to 50 mph with higher gusts to develop over the Guadalupes/Delawares Monday morning, with 25 to 35 mph winds elsewhere. Guidance and grids suggest these winds peaking Monday afternoon/evening and continuing through Tuesday. Due to the duration, high wind products and wind advisories may need to be issued for western higher terrain in subsequent shifts. Highs decrease from the upper 60s to lower 70s F western higher terrain, mid 70s to lower 80s F lowlands Monday into the mid 60s to lower 70s F areawide on Tuesday. Lows likewise fall from the upper 40s to mid 50s F Monday night into the lower 40s to lower 50s F by Tuesday night. Temperatures then moderate slightly by mid to late next week, while rain chances remain very low within the mild but dry modified Pacific air mass common leeward of the Rockies during this time of year.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 639 PM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026

MVFR to IFR conditions will continue through at least tomorrow morning across most terminals. After 02Z, conditions will deteriorate mainly to IFR and even LIFR. Patchy FG and CIGs below 500 ft look to occur at times, therefore, TEMPOs were implemented at MAF, HOB, INK, and PEQ sites. Further amendments may be needed for CNM and FST, though left out TEMPOs for now due to lower confidence.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 55 71 61 77 / 40 20 0 0 Carlsbad 55 72 57 78 / 20 20 0 0 Dryden 61 72 63 76 / 30 10 10 10 Fort Stockton 57 76 61 82 / 10 20 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 52 66 56 72 / 50 30 0 0 Hobbs 53 70 56 74 / 30 20 0 0 Marfa 53 72 55 75 / 10 10 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 55 71 61 76 / 20 10 0 0 Odessa 55 71 62 76 / 20 10 0 0 Wink 57 72 60 79 / 10 10 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.