textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1256 PM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026

- Rain tapers off from southwest to northeast from 12 pm through sunset.

- Regions of fog and mist under light and variable winds tonight. Patchy fog and mist for parts of the plains and valleys on Halloween night.

- Drier weather with warmer temperatures (highs in the 70s and 80s this weekend.

- Windy conditions and a cooling trend in temperatures (highs back down to the 60s and 70s F, lows in the 40s and 50s F) by middle of next week.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through Thursday) Issued at 1256 PM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026

A warming trend ensues late weekend into early next as mid-level ridging and accompanying sinking and drying motion briefly spikes ahead of a more zonal and progressive upper air pattern. Highs rise into the mid to upper 70s and 80s F on Sunday for warmer spots over the Upper Trans Pecos into Stockton Plateau and basins of Culberson County into the southern Rio Grande basin. The weather remains quiet with very low rain chances until Sunday night. By then, a more progressive weather pattern and an approaching disturbance bypassing the area to the north results in increased rain chances up to 30%vfor the northernmost SE NM plains. Lows Sunday night then again drop into the upper 50s to mid 60s F as southerly winds persist.

A slight cooldown begins early next week as Pacific air moves in behind a surface cold front accompanying passage of the upper air disturbance. In response, winds are expected to shift from southerly to westerly and bring in cooler air from west to east. However, the bigger story will be strong winds aloft mixing down the surface. We are monitoring the potential for strong winds at least 35 to 50 mph with higher gusts to develop over the Guadalupes/Delawares Monday morning, with 25 to 35 mph winds elsewhere. Guidance and grids suggest these winds peaking Monday afternoon/evening and continuing through Tuesday. Due to the duration, high wind products and wind advisories may need to be issued for western higher terrain in subsequent shifts. Highs decrease from the upper 60s to lower 70s F western higher terrain, mid 70s to lower 80s F lowlands Monday into the mid 60s to lower 70s F areawide on Tuesday. Lows likewise fall from the upper 40s to mid 50s F Monday night into the lower 40s to lower 50s F by Tuesday night. Temperatures then moderate slightly by mid to late next week, while rain chances remain very low within the mild but dry modified Pacific air mass common leeward of the Rockies during this time of year.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1209 PM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026

IFR or worse continues for most of the terminals with minor improvements possible this afternoon. Conditions will again deteriorate after sunset back to IFR/LIFR due to low cigs and visibilities potentially <1SM.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 57 70 61 77 / 50 10 0 0 Carlsbad 56 73 58 81 / 10 0 0 0 Dryden 60 72 62 78 / 20 0 10 10 Fort Stockton 59 77 61 83 / 10 20 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 55 66 56 73 / 40 10 0 0 Hobbs 54 70 56 76 / 20 10 10 0 Marfa 53 72 55 76 / 10 10 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 58 71 61 77 / 20 10 10 0 Odessa 59 71 61 77 / 20 10 10 0 Wink 58 73 60 81 / 0 10 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Flood Watch until 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ this evening for Andrews- Borden-Central Brewster-Chinati Mountains-Chisos Basin- Crane-Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-Dawson- Eastern Culberson-Ector-Gaines-Glasscock-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains- Howard-Loving-Lower Brewster County-Marfa Plateau-Martin- Midland-Mitchell-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Reagan-Reeves County Plains-Scurry-Terrell-Upton-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-Winkler.

NM...Flood Watch until 6 PM MDT this evening for Central Lea-Eddy County Plains-Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Northern Lea-Southern Lea.