textproduct: Midland/Odessa

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 524 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

- Slightly cooler temperatures and gusty northeasterly winds return Wednesday behind a passing cold front.

- Above normal temperatures are expected Thursday through Saturday before a stronger cold front brings much cooler temperatures on Sunday.

- Dry conditions persist through the weekend.

UPDATE

Issued at 524 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

Upstream observations depict northeasterly winds gusting 30 to 40 mph behind the incoming cold front. With this in mind, went ahead and increased winds across the area this morning (though it still looks like we will generally remain just below Wind Advisory criteria). Additionally, guidance has been consistent in indicating strong gap winds will occur in the Guadalupe/Delaware Mountains, especially at Guadalupe Pass. As a result, we have issued a High Wind Warning for the Guadalupe/Delaware Mountains (and including Carlsbad Caverns) effective from 8am CST/7am MST until 3pm CST/2pm MST.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Thursday afternoon) Issued at 130 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

Water vapor imagery shows an upper-level trough moving across the Great Lakes area this morning. Meanwhile, West Texas and Southeast New Mexico remain under northwesterly flow aloft. The low pressure system to the north is helping push a front across the Southern Plains. This front will arrive in our area later this morning, bringing with it relatively cooler air and gusty northerly to northeasterly winds (but below advisory criteria). That being said, the front only drops temperatures down closer to normal for this time of year. Most locations top out in the 60s this afternoon, with 50s in the higher terrain and 70s along the Rio Grande (incidentally, this is still about 2-5 degrees above average). Lows tonight generally drop into the mid-to-upper 30s and low 40s. Despite the brief cooldown today, southwesterly winds quickly redevelop Thursday morning, and highs once again jump into the upper 60s and low 70s (about 10-15 degrees above normal). Warm and dry conditions continue into the Long Term period.

Sprang

LONG TERM

(Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 130 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

Northwesterly flow aloft will persist late week through Saturday as upper-level ridging extends across the Desert Southwest. This will keep skies clear Friday and Saturday, with temperatures in the 70s areawide. Saturday looks to be 1-3 degrees warmer than Friday as winds veer to the southwest. This will be short-lived as guidance still suggests that a rather strong cold front will move through the area late Saturday night/early Sunday morning. Increasing clouds behind the front may yield afternoon highs in the 50s for many Sunday afternoon. However, there is a bit of uncertainty in Sunday's highs as there is a lot of spread amongst the ensembles. Sunday's highs depends upon the strength of the cold front and the amount of cloudiness that comes along with it. Guidance indicates southerly winds should return Monday and southwesterly on Tuesday, yielding afternoon highs in the mid 60s and upper 60s to low 70s, respectively. Near-zero precipitation chances remain throughout the extended.

Greening

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 524 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

VFR conditions prevail. A front pushes through the area this morning, yielding gusty northeasterly winds at all TAF sites (gusts of 20-25 kts, up to 30 kts). Winds begin to diminish later this afternoon and veer southerly/southwesterly tonight through the end of the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 63 36 71 40 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 64 37 73 42 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 71 40 72 44 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 66 40 76 47 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 56 39 62 44 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 62 36 71 42 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 63 29 69 36 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 63 38 70 42 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 62 39 70 43 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 64 34 72 39 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...High Wind Warning until 3 PM CST /2 PM MST/ this afternoon for Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

NM...High Wind Warning until 2 PM MST this afternoon for Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.


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