textproduct: Midland/Odessa
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 108 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026 - Snow will come to an end this afternoon, but roads will remain slick and hazardous across areas where snow fell.
- Areas of freezing fog may develop across portions of southeast New Mexico and west Texas late tonight into Monday morning.
- Dangerous temperatures and wind chills as low as around 10 below zero tonight into Monday morning could result in hypothermia. Remember to check on family, neighbors, and the elderly, ensure pets and sensitive plants have a warm place, and protect pipes.
- Very cold temperatures will increase the risk of broken pipes and water damage as temperatures remain below freezing over much of the area through early Tuesday morning.
SHORT TERM
(This afternoon through Monday night) Issued at 108 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
KMAF radar imagery shows the last bands of light to moderate snow translating over the Guadalupe Mountains, southeast New Mexico plains, and adjacent Upper Trans Pecos/Permian Basin early this afternoon along the base of an upper-level trough moving over our region. The Winter Storm Warning that was in effect is no longer in effect as of noon CST, but has been replaced with a Winter Weather Advisory over the above mentioned locations through 3 PM CST (2 PM MST) as the last bands of light to moderate snow move over the region. Additional light accumulations up to around 1" will remain possible where heavier bands fall through mid-afternoon. Roads will remain slick and hazardous where snow accumulated as temperatures remain well below freezing.
The trough axis will translate to the east of our region late this afternoon into early this evening, allowing precipitation to finally come to an end over our area. Cold surface high pressure on the order of 1040+ mb will settle across the Texas Panhandle and South Plains tonight, bringing another night of record breaking cold to much of west Texas and southeast New Mexico. Overnight lows are forecast to range from as low as -2 to 8 above across portions of southeast New Mexico, the Van Horn Corridor/ Upper Trans Pecos, and the Permian Basin where snow pack remains on the ground. Lows further south will range in the teens and 20s, except for near 30 along portions of the Rio Grande. Wind chill readings will likely range as low as -5 to -10 F over portions of southeast New Mexico and the Permian Basin, with single digit wind chills extending into the Trans Pecos, Van Horn Corridor, and Guadalupe/Davis Mountains. Extreme cold products are in effect for the region through Monday morning given these dangerously cold temperatures and wind chills. Areas of freezing fog may develop radiational cooling over areas with snow pack and will need to monitor carefully for potential Freezing Fog Advisories overnight into early Monday morning. Highs on Monday are forecast to remain below freezing over much of the region north of I-10. Another very cold night is anticipated Monday night with lows in the single digits and teens over much of the region, except 20s and 30s over the far southern portions of the CWA.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday through Saturday) Issued at 108 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Light northwesterly to westerly surface flow returns on Tuesday as surface high pressure shifts to our east and lee troughing takes shape over New Mexico. Temperatures should finally get above freezing on Tuesday though residual snow cover could still have an impact on highs. We currently expect highs to reach into the mid 30s to mid 40s over much of the region, except in the 50s over southern areas. Temperatures will remain below normal Wednesday and Thursday. Another cold front should push through our region Thursday night, while an associated upper-level trough brings a low chance (20%) of light rain or light snow Friday over locations mainly along and south of I-20. Temperatures remain below normal through the weekend.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1119 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Moderate to light snow is mainly coming to an end across most terminals. This trend is going to continue which will increase VIS and CIGs back to VFR by late this afternoon into the early evening. Northerly winds are forecast to shift to light southerly/variable winds after sunset. There is increasing confidence in freezing fog developing across most terminals overnight tonight into tomorrow morning. Uncertainty exists in when the dense fog begins to develop. The fog is expected to bring CIGs and VIS down to IFR/LIFR conditions. Timing of this will be refined in the next TAF period.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Big Spring 3 28 10 42 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 5 27 8 36 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 15 40 20 50 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 13 34 17 46 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 12 31 19 35 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 2 27 8 41 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 17 42 18 54 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 6 28 14 43 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 7 28 14 42 / 0 0 10 0 Wink 10 30 14 40 / 0 0 10 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Extreme Cold Warning until noon CST /11 AM MST/ Monday for Andrews-Borden-Crane-Dawson-Eastern Culberson-Ector-Gaines- Glasscock-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Howard-Loving-Martin-Midland-Mitchell- Pecos-Reagan-Reeves County Plains-Scurry-Terrell-Upton-Ward- Winkler.
Winter Weather Advisory until 3 PM CST /2 PM MST/ this afternoon for Andrews-Borden-Crane-Dawson-Eastern Culberson-Ector- Gaines-Glasscock-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Howard- Loving-Martin-Midland-Mitchell-Reagan-Reeves County Plains- Scurry-Upton-Ward-Winkler.
Cold Weather Advisory until noon CST Monday for Central Brewster- Chinati Mountains-Chisos Basin-Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-Lower Brewster County-Marfa Plateau- Presidio Valley-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor.
NM...Extreme Cold Warning until 11 AM MST Monday for Central Lea-Eddy County Plains-Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Northern Lea-Southern Lea.
Winter Weather Advisory until 2 PM MST this afternoon for Central Lea-Eddy County Plains-Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Northern Lea-Southern Lea.
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