textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 625 AM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

- Hazardous heat continues across the westernmost portions of the region, with highs largely between 100 to 110 degrees. Be sure to drink plenty of fluids and take frequent breaks in the shade if outdoors!

- Isolated to scattered storm chances (10-30%) for portions of the Permian Basin, southeast New Mexico, and the higher terrain in west Texas this afternoon and evening. Gusty winds and large hail will be the primary hazards with the strongest storms.

- Triple digit heat continues through the extended forecast, with a low (10-30%) chance of showers/storms across the higher terrain and northern Permian Basin each afternoon and evening.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Thursday afternoon) Issued at 220 AM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

Water vapor imagery shows the upper-level ridge of high pressure over southeast New Mexico and west Texas, extending into northern Mexico and the Desert Southwest. Large-scale sinking motion from this system will bring another day of triple digit heat to most of the area (except for in the mountains). Most locations across the western half of our CWA are forecast to come close or meet Heat Advisory criteria. For this, another Heat Advisory has been issued for this afternoon and early evening. To protect yourself from the heat, be sure to drink plenty of fluids and take frequent breaks under shade or inside a building with air conditioning if you must spend a lot of time outdoors. Disturbances in the flow aloft and remnant outflow boundaries from yesterday's convection yield low (10- 30%) chances of showers/storms across southeast New Mexico and the western Permian Basin in west Texas this afternoon. Additional convection may develop across the higher terrain due to surface heating and southeasterly upslope flow as well. Steep low/mid-level lapse rates (8.7-9.5 C/km) and robust DCAPE (>1500 J/kg) with deep inverted-V sounding profiles favor large hail and damaging winds if a storm were to develop in this environment. Shower and storm chances (10-30%) continue into the evening hours as the nocturnal low-level jet (LLJ) ramps up.

The weather pattern is expected to remain in place Thursday, yielding similar afternoon highs than today's. As such, another Heat Advisory may be warranted for the same locations Thursday afternoon/early evening. Shower and thunderstorm chances (10-20%) are expected again Thursday afternoon, mainly across the same areas as this afternoon. We cannot rule out the potential for one or two storms becoming strong to severe Thursday afternoon, with damaging winds and large hail being the main threats. Greening

LONG TERM

(Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 220 AM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

The forecast remains relatively unchanged from the previous package. Hazardous heat and daily afternoon/evening isolated to scattered storms continue through the upcoming weekend. This is thanks to an upper-level ridge of high pressure hovering over the region. High temperatures Friday through Sunday afternoons will generally range from the mid 90s to triple digits, with the exception of highs in the 110-115F range across the river valleys. Disturbances within the flow aloft, upslope flow, and surface troughing over the southern Rockies promotes low (10-30%) storm chances across the Davis Mountains, southeast New Mexico, northern Permian Basin, and portions of far west Texas each afternoon and early evening. Chances increase Sunday afternoon as the upper ridge shifts eastward due to an upper-level storm approaching from the West Coast.

By early next week, the aforementioned upper storm system shifts further eastward. As a result, slightly cooler temperatures in the low 90s to low 100s are forecast. Weak southwest flow aloft, lee troughing, and upslope flow brings rain/storm chances for the western half of the forecast area, along with breezy southerly to southeasterly winds for many locations in the plains. Low temperatures each night are expected to range from the mid 60s to mid 70s regionwide.

Lamberson

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 625 AM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

VFR conditions expected the next 24 hours. Breezy southeasterly to southerly winds continue throughout the period. There is a low (10- 30%) chance of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon/evening, but have opted to leave out of TAFs or now due to uncertainty in timing and coverage of convection.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 102 74 102 75 / 0 10 10 0 Carlsbad 106 73 105 74 / 30 30 20 20 Dryden 101 73 102 74 / 0 0 10 0 Fort Stockton 104 72 104 74 / 30 20 20 10 Guadalupe Pass 97 72 97 72 / 20 20 20 20 Hobbs 104 70 103 71 / 30 30 20 10 Marfa 98 64 97 66 / 30 30 20 10 Midland Intl Airport 101 73 100 74 / 30 20 20 0 Odessa 101 73 101 74 / 30 30 20 0 Wink 105 73 105 75 / 30 30 20 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Heat Advisory from 2 PM CDT /1 PM MDT/ this afternoon to 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ this evening for Central Brewster-Chinati Mountains-Chisos Basin-Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-Eastern Culberson-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Loving-Lower Brewster County-Marfa Plateau-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Reeves County Plains-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-Winkler.

NM...Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 8 PM MDT this evening for Central Lea-Eddy County Plains-Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Southern Lea.