textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 157 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

- A warming trend continues through at least tomorrow, after which temperatures will decrease slightly Thursday into the weekend. Another warming trend is expected late this weekend into early next week. - There is a 10-30% chance of showers and thunderstorms south of I-10 Thursday and Friday.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Wednesday night) Issued at 157 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

Current satellite imagery shows a dry airmass hovered over the region aloft. This is thanks to an upper-level ridge positioned over the Four Corners region allowing dry, northwest flow aloft to take shape. This pattern is expected through the short-term period, promoting dry conditions and near to slightly warmer temperatures for this time of year. Highs today span mainly in the mid 70s to mid 80s. Subtle surface troughing extending across portions of New Mexico into southwest Texas combined with daytime heating may allow a few showers to develop this afternoon across the Davis Mountains and Presidio Valley. Tonight, lows are forecast to range from the mid 50s to low 60s. A similar weather day is in store as upper-level ridging persists. Highs are expected to be a touch warmer in the upper 70s to mid 80s for most locations.

Lamberson

LONG TERM

(Thursday through Monday) Issued at 157 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

Slightly cooler weather and low rain chances (10-30%) for areas south of Interstate 10 kick off the long-term period. This is due to an inverted upper-level trough developing over the forecast area on Thursday. A tropical disturbance in the southwest Gulf along with southeasterly to easterly winds bring surface moisture to the far southernmost portions of the region. As a result, low chances for isolated to scattered showers/storms are in store Thursday and Friday across the Big Bend, Lower Trans Pecos, and Davis Mountains. PWATs are forecast to hover near the 75th climatological percentile indicating the potential for heavy rainfall. Given the limited shower/storm coverage, the flash flood threat remains very low. Surface high pressure from the Rockies will keep dry air in the lower levels for areas north of the aforementioned areas, resulting in slim to none rain/storm chances (< 10%). Slightly cooler temperatures are expected through Saturday ranging from the mid 70s to mid 80s for most locations, thanks to the aforementioned inverted trough. By Saturday, the trough lifts northeast of the region and subtle upper-level ridging builds back in from the west. This sets up a warming trend late in the weekend into early next week with temperatures rebounding back into the mid 80s to low 90s regionwide.

Lamberson

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1201 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

VFR conditions throughout TAF period, with light winds from the south/southeast below 10 mph at all TAF sites. Low confidence in any development of mist or lower cloud ceilings at any terminals overnight.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 61 87 62 87 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 60 85 61 84 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 65 86 65 85 / 0 0 0 10 Fort Stockton 63 87 63 85 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 58 77 59 74 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 59 82 60 82 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 55 81 57 79 / 0 0 0 30 Midland Intl Airport 62 85 63 85 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 62 85 63 84 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 63 88 64 87 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.