textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 644 PM CDT Mon Apr 6 2026

- Medium (40-60%) rain chances Tuesday, mainly across southeast New Mexico, the Permian Basin of west Texas, and in/around the higher terrain.

- Below normal temperatures expected again tomorrow increasing to near normal Wednesday.

- Rain chances return Friday and into the weekend and a few storms could become severe.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Tuesday night) Issued at 202 PM CDT Mon Apr 6 2026

It has been a beautiful day today with temperatures in the 60s and only some high clouds obscuring the sun this afternoon. An upper level disturbance brings increasing clouds and rain chances tomorrow, beginning in southeastern New Mexico and Davis Mountains early in the morning before spreading east into the Trans Pecos and Permian Basin later in the afternoon. Cool temperatures should limit surface based instability as well as the threat for severe thunderstorms. Hopefully we will just see some beneficial wetting rains of up to a quarter of an inch.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through Sunday) Issued at 202 PM CDT Mon Apr 6 2026

Zonal flow brings a brief spell of drier weather and bumps temperatures up to the upper 70s and 80s Wednesday. An upper low moving into the West Coast backs winds from the southwest which continues advecting seasonably warm temperatures into West Texas. Models also show a series of shortwave troughs moving across the area ahead of the approaching low increasing rain chances starting Thursday and continuing into the weekend. Unfortunately, the timing of small scale features in this pattern is not typically handled well and the NBM is painting PoPs across the entire area for a 3 to 4 day period which is undoubtedly too broad in scope for what will actually occur. Confidence in timing details will increase over the coming days so will focus on a message of increasing rain chances late in the week, with a chance for severe storms peaking during the Friday/Saturday time frame.

Hennig

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 648 PM CDT Mon Apr 6 2026

VFR conditions will remain prevalent through the period. Winds become light southeasterly this evening through late tonight before increasing to 10-15 knots with occasional higher gusts over most terminals by Tuesday morning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 48 69 47 78 / 0 40 10 0 Carlsbad 50 72 44 84 / 60 60 20 0 Dryden 52 77 52 81 / 20 30 0 0 Fort Stockton 52 76 50 83 / 40 40 10 0 Guadalupe Pass 47 66 47 75 / 60 30 10 0 Hobbs 46 65 42 81 / 30 60 20 0 Marfa 41 75 40 79 / 30 30 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 50 69 48 80 / 10 50 10 0 Odessa 50 69 48 81 / 10 50 10 0 Wink 50 72 49 83 / 40 60 10 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.