textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 205 PM CDT Sat May 2 2026 - Below normal temperatures are forecast through the weekend before highs rebound near to above normal by next week.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Sunday night) Issued at 205 PM CDT Sat May 2 2026

The latest surface analysis continues to show high pressure over the region, allowing for some clearing. Meanwhile, a weak trough located across southeast New Mexico and far west Texas keeps some mid/upper level clouds overhead throughout the rest of the day. There may be enough forcing and moisture to squeeze out a few sprinkles across our western zones this afternoon (including portions of southeast New Mexico). Surface ridging helps afternoon highs rise into the mid 60s to low 70s for most (50s in higher terrain). Tonight, skies become mostly clear and overnight lows remain in the mid 40s to low 50s. By Sunday, weak ridging aloft returns to the area while the surface ridge moves east. This yields warmer afternoon temperatures, with highs generally in the mid 70s to low 80s. Sunday night, lows look to be 6 to 8 degrees warmer than tonight's as increased cloud cover limits radiational cooling. Greening

LONG TERM

(Monday through Friday) Issued at 205 PM CDT Sat May 2 2026

Weak ridging aloft continues across the area on Monday while surface troughing develops across west Texas and portions of southeast New Mexico. Meanwhile, southwesterly downslope winds return to the area. As a result, afternoon highs trend warmer and top out into the mid 80s to around 90 degrees. Some spots along the Rio Grande can expect temperatures to top out into the mid 90s to around 100 degrees. By Tuesday, guidance shows an upper-level trough with an associated jet max moving over southeast New Mexico and west Texas. However, this looks to be a dry system as westerly winds at the surface bring in drier air. This yields breezy conditions across southeast New Mexico and portions of Permian Basin, with stronger winds in the Guadalupe/Delaware Mountains. However, there may be enough moisture on Tuesday night to bring a couple of showers and storms across portions of our far eastern zones. Though the best chances of receiving any appreciable rainfall currently remains to our east. Breezy winds and warm conditions can also be expected during the day Wednesday ahead of an advancing cold front. Behind the cold front, lows fall into the 40s to mid 50s across most of the area (upper 50s to low 60s near/along the Rio Grande). Temperatures cool into the 70s across much of the region Thursday before rebounding back into the 80s by Friday. Dry conditions continue through the latter part of next week. Greening

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1143 AM CDT Sat May 2 2026

VFR prevails through the period with light winds.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 51 78 58 90 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 48 77 55 86 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 53 77 57 88 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 51 81 58 90 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 49 71 57 77 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 46 75 52 85 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 42 76 48 85 / 0 10 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 52 77 58 88 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 52 77 58 88 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 50 78 56 88 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.