textproduct: Midland/Odessa
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1228 PM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
- Light to moderate showers and isolated thunderstorms continue through Sunday. The heaviest showers look to impact locations mainly along and south of I-20. Localized ponding of water may occur in urban/poor drainage areas.
- Cool temperatures (50s to 60s F highs) expected during the weekend before temperatures warm back up by Tuesday. Dry weather is expected for much of the upcoming work week.
SHORT TERM
(This afternoon through Sunday night) Issued at 1228 PM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
Widespread showers moved across the entire region earlier today giving most locations ~0.25" of rain. A few locations in the higher terrain were lucky enough to pick up 0.5-1". Temperatures remained chilly in the 50s helping to make it really feel like fall.
The upper low to our west responsible for the rain will slow and gradually weaken over the next couple of days. While rain will become more scattered this afternoon and overnight, expect another round of more widespread activity to develop later tonight across the Big Bend and lift north. Rain amounts with this round will be similar to what we just saw with most locations picking up ~0.25", but it's not out of the question to see double or triple that in the higher terrain. Will need to monitor for flooding, although the threat remains low due to lower intensity of rain and the gaps in- between rounds allowing for runoff. As showers move north of the Pecos River Sunday, they will run into some drier air so not expecting much north of I-20. Temperatures will remain below normal Sunday with the coolest conditions where rain is most widespread, along and south of I-10.
LONG TERM
(Monday through Friday) Issued at 1228 PM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
Light rain will linger into Monday as the upper low slowly moves overhead. Amounts look even lighter than this weekend as large-scale lift weaken even more. Temperatures will begin to rebound with highs back into the 60s.
Weak flow aloft by midweek will allow temperatures to warm back above normal with low generally in the 40s and highs in the 70s. Expect dry conditions mid to late week before another storm system enters the picture around next weekend.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 106 PM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
SHRA/RA will impact terminals throughout the period before tapering off this evening. MVFR CIGs and VIS expected with rain. Brief TS possible as well, but low confidence will preclude it from this issuance. CIGs may degrade to IFR at times with heavier rain and lighter winds after sunset this evening.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Big Spring 48 59 51 63 / 20 50 50 20 Carlsbad 46 58 50 64 / 10 20 20 0 Dryden 53 59 54 63 / 90 90 80 40 Fort Stockton 50 57 52 66 / 80 70 60 20 Guadalupe Pass 44 51 46 57 / 10 30 30 0 Hobbs 44 59 48 62 / 10 0 30 0 Marfa 40 54 42 63 / 90 70 30 20 Midland Intl Airport 48 58 51 62 / 20 80 40 20 Odessa 48 57 51 62 / 20 80 50 20 Wink 48 59 50 64 / 20 60 50 10
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. NM...None.
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