textproduct: Midland/Odessa
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 617 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026
- Seasonal temperatures expected today.
- Above normal temperatures expected Friday through Sunday with record highs possible Saturday.
- Critical fire weather conditions are possible Sunday as winds increase behind a cold front.
SHORT TERM
(Today through Friday afternoon) Issued at 201 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026
The short term forecast is quiet for the first time in several days. High pressure builds south into Texas today bringing more seasonal temperatures and lighter winds. Lows drop into the 40s tonight before southerly winds advect in warmer temperatures causing highs to quickly rebound into the 80s on Friday.
LONG TERM
(Friday night through Wednesday) Issued at 201 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026
The jet stream edges south on Saturday, increasing downsloping winds and causing temperatures to soar well above normal. In fact there could be some records set on Saturday when most of the area will see highs in the upper 80s to 90s. The record high for MAF on Saturday is 89 which is a record that could be broken with the current forecast being 92. An upper trough moving across the northern plains will send a cold front south on Sunday. The front is currently expected to arrive in the Permian Basin Sunday afternoon limiting its impact on highs Sunday, though some cooling will be seen. It will be very windy again behind the front before the surface high center arrives Monday. Monday is much cooler but this time of year, cooling is usually brief with a quick warm up occurring through the remainder of the week. Very dry air will be in place preventing any chance for rain.
Hennig
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 617 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026
VFR conditions and light southerly winds are expected this TAF period.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Big Spring 70 45 87 48 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 75 48 87 49 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 71 43 90 51 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 74 51 89 55 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 66 50 76 53 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 70 45 84 47 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 68 37 80 42 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 70 46 88 50 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 69 47 87 50 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 73 44 89 46 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. NM...None.
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