textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1230 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

- Mild daytime temperatures (60s to 70s F highs) and chilly nighttime temperatures (40s to 50s F lows) today and Friday.

- An upper-level system brings medium to high (40-80%) rain chances this weekend, with the best chances south of I-20.

- Cool temperatures (50s to 60s F highs) expected this weekend before temperatures warm back up early next week.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Friday night) Issued at 1230 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

Water vapor imagery shows an upper-level low moving into the Central Plains. This feature has sent a cold front through our area, bringing breezy (10-20 mph sustained, gusts up to 25 mph) north winds behind it. As a result, afternoon highs only top out in the mid-to-upper 60s across much of southeast New Mexico and northwest portions of the Permian Basin. Farther south, highs remain in the 70s (80s near/along the Rio Grande), cooling approximately 3-5 degrees from yesterday's. Lows bottom out in the 40s for most tonight while highs on Friday reach the 60s.

Greening

LONG TERM

(Saturday through Wednesday) Issued at 1230 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

Another upper-level low digs south towards the AZ/NM/Mexico border early Saturday morning. Models continue to trend towards a deeper low, showing it over northern Mexico and increasing chances (generally 40-80%) of rain mainly south of I-20. Though a few isolated showers may develop to the north. On Sunday the best rain chances (60-80%) become confined to the Big Bend/Presidio Valley/Lower Trans-Pecos region as the low tracks to the south. However, exact timing and coverage remains uncertain at this time. Exactly where the best coverage and rainfall amounts occur strongly depend on the track of the aforementioned upper low. Otherwise, increased cloud cover and rain-cooled air yield high temperatures in the 50s for most on Saturday. Highs in the 50s become confined to the higher terrain Sunday, with 60s elsewhere.

Models show a split jet early next week, with the southern one over our area and the other across the northern CONUS. This will prevent cold Canadian air from filtering into the region. As a result, near- normal temperatures are expected to return next week, particularly on Tuesday and Wednesday where weak ridging tries to build over our area. Meanwhile, some deterministic models show a few disturbances moving through the flow aloft which could bring some isolated showers next week. Details will be clearer in the coming days.

Greening

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1109 AM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

Winds from the north gusting to 15 to 20 knots at times at terminals, decreasing by 00Z-05Z. Winds then shift to from the north to the from the northeast by 14Z-18Z.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 45 64 47 58 / 0 0 10 30 Carlsbad 44 62 50 57 / 0 0 40 50 Dryden 52 69 52 60 / 0 0 10 50 Fort Stockton 46 67 51 59 / 0 0 20 50 Guadalupe Pass 44 59 46 52 / 0 0 60 60 Hobbs 41 62 46 56 / 0 0 30 40 Marfa 44 67 45 55 / 0 0 30 70 Midland Intl Airport 45 64 49 57 / 0 0 10 40 Odessa 45 64 49 56 / 0 0 20 40 Wink 44 66 51 59 / 0 0 20 40

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.