textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 156 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

- A much warmer and drier weather pattern settles over the region today continuing into the upcoming week.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Monday afternoon) Issued at 156 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

Stormy conditions come to an end for our area as an upper low continues to lift northward over the Great Plains through this afternoon. Current satellite imagery shows the upper low situated over Kansas. With the departing trough, a mid level ridge begins to build overhead. Meanwhile, surface lee troughing extending from eastern New Mexico south into the Big Bend steers winds out of the south and southwest this afternoon. This combination sends today's highs soaring into the upper 90s to triple digits across our region, roughly 10-15 degrees above Saturday's highs. Triple digit heat is expected in portions of southeast New Mexico, the Upper Trans Pecos, and within the Big Bend, generally near and along the river valleys. A few locations in the Big Bend are forecast to top out near 110 degrees. Tonight, breezy south/southeast winds bring lows into the mid 60s to mid 70s. Monday, the mid level ridge and surface trough gradually slide over our area, headed eastward. This allows highs beyond the century mark to expand into more portions of southeast New Mexico and the Upper Trans Pecos compared to Sunday. Some areas along the Rio Grande are expected to warm into the 105-111 degree range.

LONG TERM

(Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 156 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

The upper-level ridge stays over the region on Tuesday which will continue the warmer and drier weather pattern. High temperatures are expected to be slightly cooler than Monday in the low 90s to low 100s due to mid-level moisture aloft producing cloud cover, thus reducing daytime heating. Cannot rule out a shower/storm forming near the Big Bend region Tuesday afternoon due to surface troughing over the southern Rockies and upper-level moisture rounding the ridge axis. By Wednesday, an upper-level storm system remains north of the region, keeping the upper ridge in a similar position. Shortwave impulses from the flow aloft yield low to medium (20-40%) chance of storms over the Davis Mountains and Presidio Valley Wednesday afternoon and evening. The North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) has Precipitable Water (PWAT) values nearing the 90-99th percentile across areas previously mentioned, signaling anomalously high PWATs, therefore the potential for heavy rainfall with any storms Wednesday through Friday. A similar weather pattern is in store for the rest of the week with daily isolated to scattered showers/storms (expanding in coverage Thursday and Friday) where many locations will remain dry. Temperatures are forecast to range from the mid 90s to lower 100s for most locations. Lows each night span in the 60s to mid 70s.

Lamberson

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1153 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

VFR conditions and generally light south/southeasterly winds are expected through the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 97 71 97 72 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 102 69 104 71 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 100 72 98 73 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 101 70 100 70 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 91 68 93 68 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 99 67 100 68 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 94 59 96 59 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 98 71 97 71 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 98 71 98 71 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 101 71 102 71 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.