textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 133 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

- Near to below normal temperatures today and Saturday before triple digit heat returns to many locations Sunday and Monday.

- Low-to-medium shower and thunderstorm chances (20-50%) this afternoon and evening, mainly in the higher terrain west of the Pecos River. Additional low rain chances west of the Pecos (10-20%) Saturday afternoon as well.

- Above-normal temperatures through the extended forecast.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Saturday night) Issued at 133 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

Current mesoanalysis depicts a mid-to-upper-level disturbance moving across northern and central portions of Texas. This disturbance helped generate this morning's showers and thunderstorms, which have since largely decayed across the area. Additional isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are developing in and around the higher terrain west of the Pecos River and south of I-10 this afternoon, mainly thanks to moist upslope flow. Low chances (10-20%) are also maintained in portions of the Permian Basin mainly to account for isolated convection that may develop with any remnant outflow boundaries. Temperatures today end up markedly cooler than the past several days behind yesterday's front. Highs top out in the upper 80s and low-to-mid 90s for most locations, though temperatures above the century mark are still expected along the Rio Grande. Lows tonight drop into the mid-to-upper 60s and low 70s areawide. 1000-500mb thicknesses begin to increase Saturday as upper-level ridging starts to strengthen again. This allows highs to tick back up into the 90s across the area, with some locations in the Trans-Pecos and along the Rio Grande topping out at or above 100 degrees. Low rain chances (10-20%) are mainly confined to the higher terrain. Lows bottom out a couple of degrees warmer than Saturday morning's.

Sprang

LONG TERM

(Sunday through Thursday) Issued at 133 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

Ridging builds across the Desert Southwest through next week. While west Texas and southeast New Mexico remain mostly on the eastern periphery of this ridge, it will nevertheless cause heat to build across the region. So far, the hottest days appear to be Sunday and Monday, where highs jump back into the upper 90s and above the century mark for most locations. The rest of the week features temperatures roughly 3-7 degrees above normal. Overall, rain chances are low through the extended. The best chances will be in and around the mountains south of I-10 (10-30%). The potential for convectively- induced boundaries brings some additional chances to the northern Permian Basin Monday and Tuesday nights. However, confidence remains low in these showers and thunderstorms developing, so PoPs remain low (10-30%).

Sprang

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1242 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

MVFR CIGs are increasing across the area and should remain VFR through the end of the TAF period. ISOLD SHRA/TS should miss all terminals but could be in the local flying area, especially FST. Light easterly winds will continue.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 71 95 74 102 / 10 0 0 0 Carlsbad 71 101 72 106 / 10 10 0 0 Dryden 73 95 73 100 / 20 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 71 97 72 104 / 20 10 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 68 92 70 95 / 10 20 0 0 Hobbs 67 97 70 104 / 0 10 0 0 Marfa 61 93 62 97 / 20 20 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 71 95 73 103 / 10 0 0 0 Odessa 71 96 73 103 / 10 0 0 0 Wink 72 99 73 105 / 10 10 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.