textproduct: Midland/Odessa
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 119 PM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026
- Above normal temperatures persist through next week, with rain chances slim-to-none outside of the Davis Mountains.
SHORT TERM
(This afternoon through Thursday night) Issued at 119 PM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026
Persistence rules. WV imagery this afternoon shows the upper ridge centered over eastern Arizona/western New Mexico, and this will continue to dominate the weather in the short term. Highs this afternoon are set to top out ~ 5-7 F above climatology, about a degree cooler than yesterday.
Tonight, unseasonably warm overnight minimums continue, mainly due to a recurring LLJ every night, occasionally assisted by mid/high clouds to retard radiational cooling. Overnight lows will come in similar to today's highs, around 5-7 F above normal. Unfortunately, there's no end in sight to these warmer overnight temperatures.
Thursday, the ridge shifts northwest, allowing thicknesses to decrease a little and shaving perhaps a degree or so off today's highs. CAMs develop isolated afternoon convection in the Davis Mountains, but this looks like a struggle.
Thursday night looks very similar to tonight.
LONG TERM
(Friday through Tuesday) Issued at 119 PM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026
The hot and mainly dry weather pattern persists heading into Friday lasting through the forecast period. This is thanks to the upper ridge of high pressure positioned across the Great Basin to just west of the Four Corners region. Easterly to northeasterly flow aloft on the fringe of the high pressure will keep temperatures in the low to upper 90s. Areas along the Pecos River and Rio Grande will top out in the low 100s. Daily low (10-30%) chances of isolated showers/storms are in store across the higher terrain and far West Texas due to upslope flow and shortwave impulses rounding the periphery of the ridge. Most locations are going to remain dry. Low temperatures are expected to range from the 60s to mid 70s regionwide each night.
Lamberson
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1142 AM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026
VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours in modest return flow, w/a few cu and high clouds at times.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Big Spring 75 99 74 100 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 75 101 75 100 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 76 99 76 99 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 74 97 74 97 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 69 93 70 93 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 71 98 71 98 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 65 93 65 92 / 0 20 20 10 Midland Intl Airport 74 97 74 97 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 74 97 74 97 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 75 99 75 99 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. NM...None.
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