textproduct: Midland/Odessa
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1207 PM CDT Sat Sep 5 2026
- Temperatures remain above normal, but very gradually decrease weekend into next week.
- Isolated to scattered (10-40% chance) showers/storms are possible each day, mainly west of the Pecos.
SHORT TERM
(Today through Sunday afternoon) Issued at 137 AM CDT Sat Sep 5 2026
Temperatures decrease a couple of degrees today following two consecutive days of record setting heat at MAF. Upper ridging over West Texas and eastern New Mexico weakens and becomes centered farther north, decreasing subsidence and allowing temperatures to decrease closer to normal. Highs today approach or slightly exceed 100 degrees everywhere except the higher elevations, then decrease closer to the mid 90s on Sunday. Rain chances will be greatest in and around the Davis and Guadalupe mountains and adjacent plains though a few showers may reach the Permian Basin.
LONG TERM
(Sunday night through Friday) Issued at 137 AM CDT Sat Sep 5 2026
Temperatures remain stagnant next week with high pressure to our north advecting in cooler air from the gulf. Temps will remain above normal but highs in the mid 90s should feel a little better than highs in the low 100s. Rain chances remain low in the basin but should be higher west of the Pecos River where the mountains will enhance lift. Uncertainty remains late next week due models having difficulty resolving tropical systems in the eastern Pacific and the high pressure to our north.
Hennig
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1207 PM CDT Sat Sep 5 2026
VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours in light return flow, w/a few high clouds. Forecast soundings develop widespread cu fields this afternoon and Sunday, w/bases ~ 4.5-9 kft AGL. Convection is possible, but chances are too low for a mention attm.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Big Spring 74 99 74 98 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 73 97 72 97 / 20 0 0 0 Dryden 74 97 74 97 / 10 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 72 95 71 95 / 10 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 69 88 68 87 / 20 0 0 0 Hobbs 70 96 70 95 / 20 0 0 0 Marfa 61 88 60 87 / 20 10 0 10 Midland Intl Airport 73 96 74 96 / 10 0 0 0 Odessa 74 96 74 95 / 10 0 0 0 Wink 74 97 74 97 / 20 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. NM...None.
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