textproduct: Midland/Odessa
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 208 AM CST Mon Nov 9 2026
- Patchy fog and mist will reduce visibilities through this morning across the Permian Basin, Lower Trans Pecos, and Big Bend.
- Dry and seasonable weather expected during the middle of the week.
SHORT TERM
(Today through Tuesday afternoon) Issued at 208 AM CST Mon Nov 9 2026
Radar as of 1 AM CST shows light showers across portions of the southeastern Permian Basin extending into the Lower Trans Pecos. Satellite imagery and weather observations also depict mist and low clouds across much of the region. Showers are expected to mostly diminish by the early morning hours. Evaporative cooling from these showers will aid in patchy fog for locations across the Permian Basin, southeast New Mexico, and Trans Pecos. As of now, widespread coverage of dense fog is not expected, though some locations may have reductions in visibility down to less than 1/2 mile. Be sure to drive with caution when encountering these conditions!
The upper low is expected to move east/northeast of the region by late this afternoon. As a result, a couple of light showers look to stick around across the eastern half of the area. High temperatures rebound back into the 60s for most locations as the upper low exits the region. Tonight, drier air aloft filters in promoting less cloud coverage seen from previous days. Another round of patchy fog may occur tonight through Tuesday morning as abundant surface moisture, light winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies are favorable for development. Lows are expected to range from the 40s to mid 50s regionwide. As the aforementioned low moves farther east, increased heights will bring dry conditions and warmer temperatures in the 60s to low 70s for most Tuesday afternoon.
Lamberson
LONG TERM
(Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 208 AM CST Mon Nov 9 2026
By Wednesday morning, an upper level disturbance will translate to the east across the Great Plains and a cold front will move through the region. The passage of this weak front and upper level ridging building in across the Rockies will provide for drier conditions areawide through the middle of the week. During that time, daytime highs reach into the upper 60s to low 70s and lows settle into the 40s for most, which will be near normal for nearly mid-November. Long range guidance/ensembles continue to suggest an upper low moving in from the Pacific and crossing northern Mexico before making it to West Texas. However, plenty of uncertainty exists with just where this low will track and how that might influence rain chances in the region.
-Stickney
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1100 PM CST Sun Nov 8 2026
SHRA continues to taper off over most of our area late this evening as heavier activity shifts more to our east. MVFR to IFR CIGS are expected to become prevalent over most terminals overnight. IFR will be remain likely at KFST through the night. Patchy fog will also reduce VIS to MVFR to IFR thresholds at times tonight through early Monday morning. MVFR will continue through much of the day over the West TX terminals, with signs of lifting to VFR over southeast NM by 15-16Z.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Big Spring 65 53 69 52 / 10 0 0 0 Carlsbad 66 48 69 47 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 65 53 69 54 / 50 10 0 0 Fort Stockton 66 50 72 52 / 20 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 59 46 61 47 / 10 0 0 0 Hobbs 64 48 67 46 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 62 44 67 43 / 10 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 64 52 68 52 / 10 0 0 0 Odessa 64 52 68 51 / 10 0 0 0 Wink 65 48 70 48 / 10 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. NM...None.
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