textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 136 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

- Temperatures remain below normal through Monday. Low chances of light rain (generally 10-30%) are maintained mainly along/south of the Pecos River this weekend. - Rain chances look low to none through the work week, accompanied by a gradual warming trend.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Sunday night) Issued at 136 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

Current mesoanalysis depicts an upper-level ridge building eastward towards the Four Corners region this afternoon. Meanwhile, a remnant upper-level low/shear zone is evident over west Texas and southeast New Mexico. Light rain/showers pushed southward into the Big Bend and Lower Trans-Pecos this morning. This rain is still ongoing, but will continue to wane through the rest of the afternoon. Remnant cloud cover and continued northerly to northeasterly winds keep highs in the mid 70s for most locations (60s in the higher terrain). Lows tonight drop into the 50s and low 60s across the area. As the ridge continues to edge eastward tomorrow, highs increase a bit across the region. Most locations top out in the upper 70s and low 80s. Nevertheless, these temperatures will still be a couple of degrees below seasonal norms, thanks in part to persistent northeasterly surface winds. Isolated light rain remains possible mainly near and south of the Pecos River (10-20% chances). Monday morning's lows end up similar to Sunday morning's, albeit a degree or two warmer. Temperatures continue to warm through the Long Term period.

Sprang

LONG TERM

(Monday through Friday) Issued at 136 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

A warming trend continues in the Long Term period as mid level ridging lies off to our west. Monday, the ridge is progged to be centered near the Four Corners region. Afternoon highs will be similar to Sunday's, topping out in the upper 70s to low 80s. The ridge builds eastward by midweek, increasing heights over our area. In response, highs in the 80s become more commonplace through the remainder of the work week. Overnight lows are forecast to fall mainly into the 50s Monday night, then upper 50s to low 60s the rest of the period. Rain chances look low to none through the week, given dry northwesterly flow aloft.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1222 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

MVFR CIGs have gradually begun to clear out, and will continue to do so over the next couple of hours. By 19-20Z, VFR conditions are forecast to prevail at all terminals. Northeasterly to easterly winds remain light. By Sunday morning, MVFR ceilings sneak back into eastern portions of the area, but as of right now guidance indicates they will remain east of any terminals.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 60 81 61 82 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 57 80 58 78 / 0 0 0 10 Dryden 63 80 64 80 / 10 10 10 10 Fort Stockton 57 78 60 78 / 10 0 0 10 Guadalupe Pass 55 70 56 68 / 0 0 0 10 Hobbs 56 77 56 77 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 52 72 54 73 / 10 0 0 10 Midland Intl Airport 60 79 61 79 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 61 79 61 79 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 59 82 60 81 / 0 0 0 10

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.