textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 536 PM CDT Mon May 11 2026 - Unseasonably warm temperatures begin Tuesday, persisting through the weekend.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Tuesday night) Issued at 156 PM CDT Mon May 11 2026

An upper level shortwave trough, along with a surface high on its backside, shift eastward this evening into tonight. Winds return out of the southeast and lows largely settle into 50s tonight. Temperatures begin to trend upward Tuesday, as an upper ridge approaches from the west and surface winds become southwesterly. Expect highs in the upper 80s within the higher terrain, with 90s for almost everyone else Tuesday afternoon. Lows Tuesday night cool into the 60s.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through Sunday) Issued at 156 PM CDT Mon May 11 2026

Upper level ridging remains in control of our weather Wednesday. Highs Wednesday afternoon are forecast to top out in the mid to upper 90s regionwide, with triple digits near along the river valleys and adjacent areas. South and southeasterly winds become breezy Wednesday evening as a lee trough extends down into eastern New Mexico. Wednesday night, upper ridging begins to give way to an approaching shortwave from the west. Lee troughing over the Plains keeps south and southwesterly winds breezy through Thursday evening. Temperatures Thursday will be relatively similar to Wednesday. Despite upper troughing, triple digit heat expands to include a more portions of the Permian Basin Friday given southwesterly downsloping winds. Highs in the upper 90s and low 100s remain through the weekend. The hottest conditions are forecast along the Rio Grande, where afternoon temperatures may reach near Extreme Heat criteria through the weekend. We will continue to monitor trends as we head through the week. Lows each night are expected to dip into the 60s to low 70s. Long-range guidance hints at another trough approaching our region Saturday evening. Increased moisture and southwesterly flow aloft may aid in the development of shower/storm activity, primarily over the eastern half of our region Sunday afternoon and evening. As of now, rain chances are low (10-20%). We will have to see how this next system evolves heading through the week.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 536 PM CDT Mon May 11 2026

VFR/CAVU conditions will prevail next 24 hours, in light return flow.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 57 93 63 97 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 57 98 63 99 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 61 92 63 94 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 59 96 63 98 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 57 87 64 89 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 54 95 60 97 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 48 90 53 92 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 58 93 63 96 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 59 93 64 96 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 59 95 63 98 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.