textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 606 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

- The hottest temperatures of the season so far are likely today and Thursday with many locations reaching 100-105F+.

- Scattered rain chances return Friday and Saturday with the highest chances south of I-10.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Thursday afternoon) Issued at 300 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

Through this morning and into the day today, winds at the surface add a westerly component to the wind directions and this leads to downsloping across the region. These wind directions in addition to ridging over the area send temperatures well into the 100s for nearly the entire CWA. The higher elevations will "escape" the heat by only getting into the mid to upper 90s. A forecast high for 108F for Midland would be the warmest the city has been since July 12th, 2023 when the high that day was 110F. For the heat, a Heat Advisory will be in place and it will be unchanged with this forecast package.

Overnight lows will be near record territory as surface winds remain slightly elevated through the evening. A few areas may not get below 80F with many only dipping into the mid to upper 70s. Similar to today, Thursday will see highs soar back into the 100s for many. However, the temperature forecast becomes somewhat complicated by a developing surface low over the Permian Basin and subsequent cold front that will be pushed southward over the course of Thursday. The timing of this front will make a big difference in high temperatures generally north of I-20. Areas to the south of the front will reach into the 100s with portions of Big Bend once again topping out between 110-115F.

-Stickney

LONG TERM

(Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 300 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

Heading into Thursday night, the passage of the cold front and the approach of an upper level disturbance help temperatures drop into the upper 60s to low 70s. Rain chances increase, but will be somewhat low (10-40%) across the area heading into the day on Friday. The highest coverage of rain will be across the Davis Mountains and Big Bend. Isolated rain chances hang on through Saturday across areas south of I-10. Long range guidance have heat returning to the region beginning Sunday with above normal temperatures continuing at least through the middle of next week.

-Stickney

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 606 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

VFR conditions remain for the TAF period. Winds shift southwesterly behind the dryline with gusts between 20-25kts.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 109 78 108 73 / 0 0 0 20 Carlsbad 107 79 103 72 / 0 0 0 10 Dryden 106 75 110 76 / 10 0 10 20 Fort Stockton 106 78 105 73 / 0 0 0 10 Guadalupe Pass 96 73 94 69 / 0 0 0 20 Hobbs 108 75 102 67 / 0 0 0 10 Marfa 98 67 95 63 / 0 0 0 10 Midland Intl Airport 108 78 106 73 / 0 0 0 10 Odessa 108 78 106 73 / 0 0 0 10 Wink 109 79 106 73 / 0 0 0 20

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Heat Advisory from noon CDT /11 AM MDT/ today to 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ this evening for Andrews-Borden-Central Brewster- Chinati Mountains-Chisos Basin-Crane-Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-Dawson-Eastern Culberson-Ector-Gaines- Glasscock-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Howard-Loving-Lower Brewster County- Marfa Plateau-Martin-Midland-Mitchell-Pecos-Presidio Valley- Reagan-Reeves County Plains-Scurry-Terrell-Upton-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-Winkler.

NM...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 9 PM MDT this evening for Central Lea-Eddy County Plains-Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Northern Lea-Southern Lea.