textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1216 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026

- Unseasonably warm temperatures are expected through next week. Temperatures will gradually increase through Tuesday, then decrease slightly through next Friday.

- Mostly dry conditions are expected this weekend, before rain chances (10-40%) begin to increase early next week.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Saturday night) Issued at 130 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

Mostly clear skies and dry/subsident conditions will largely continue through Saturday night as ridging aloft gradually builds over west Texas and southeast New Mexico. The exception could be a couple of very isolated showers in the vicinity of the Davis Mountains or Big Bend this afternoon (though probabilities are too low to mention in the forecast). Lows tonight will mostly range in the mid 50s to mid 60s. Highs on Saturday will reach into the mid 80s to around 90 degrees for most locations, except around 80 degrees in the mountains and in the lower to mid 90s along the Rio Grande. Lows Saturday night may trend a few degrees warmer, but still generally range in the upper 50s to mid 60s.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through Thursday) Issued at 130 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

Above normal highs continue into the Long Term period as upper-level ridging builds overhead and moves eastward. Afternoon highs in the 90s can be expected for most early next week, with cooler temperatures in the 80s across portions of the higher terrain and southeast New Mexico. Meanwhile, overnight lows in the 60s to low 70s are forecast through Tuesday night. By early Tuesday next week, model guidance shows a change in the weather pattern as an upper- level trough approaches our region from the west. Remnant moisture from what is now Hurricane Simon gets pulled into the aforementioned system early next week. This yields low (10-30%) rain chances across portions of our westernmost zones and southeast New Mexico Monday night. Increasing moisture and lift from the trough bring higher rain chances (20-50%) Tuesday through Friday next week. At this time, the best rain chances look to be Thursday and Friday as a cold front pushes through, providing additional lift. Another hazard we may need to monitor for is the possibility of high winds in the Guadalupe/Delaware Mountains. Though this will depend on the track of the system mid-to-late next week. Naturally, we will continue to monitor trends and adjust the forecast as needed. Otherwise, ensemble guidance indicates a cooling trend during the latter half of next week due to lower heights associated with the trough/cold front. Greening

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1216 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026

VFR conditions prevail. Winds will generally be out of the south and southeast, becoming breezy this afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 89 66 91 69 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 88 63 93 67 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 90 66 91 71 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 89 66 92 69 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 79 62 84 64 / 0 0 0 10 Hobbs 84 62 88 65 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 80 57 85 61 / 10 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 87 66 89 69 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 87 66 89 69 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 90 66 94 70 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.