textproduct: Midland/Odessa
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1049 PM CST Mon Nov 9 2026
- Areas of fog, possibly dense at times, will likely develop over portions of southeast New Mexico and west Texas late tonight into Tuesday morning.
- Dry and seasonable weather expected during the middle and latter portions of the week.
- Low rain chances (10-30%) return by the weekend.
SHORT TERM
(This afternoon through Tuesday night) Issued at 120 PM CST Mon Nov 9 2026
The persistent upper-level trough that brought widespread rain to west Texas and southeast New Mexico this weekend finally begins to move east of the area tonight into Tuesday. With the best forcing shifting beyond our area, only isolated sprinkles/light rain lingers this afternoon across our far southeastern counties. Highs today top out in the 60s for most locations. Residual moisture keeps lows tonight in the upper 40s and low-to-mid 50s. Like this morning, areas of fog (with some locally dense patches) are once again expected to develop overnight and linger through Tuesday morning. By Tuesday afternoon skies clear and temperatures jump back into the upper 60s and low 70s areawide (which is near to just above normal for this time of year). Lows Wednesday morning will be similar to Tuesday morning's, albeit a degree or two cooler.
Sprang
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Sunday) Issued at 120 PM CST Mon Nov 9 2026
A nearby upper-level system sends a weak front into west Texas and southeast New Mexico Wednesday. This front will do little more than shift winds northerly again, and will not have much cooler air behind it. Highs Wednesday through Friday top out in the upper 60s and low-to-mid 70s, which is near to just above normal for mid- November. Rain chances will be nil through Friday night thanks to the aforementioned dry front and ridging to our west. However, by Friday night, another upper-level system approaches west Texas and southeast New Mexico from the west. Moisture will increase across the area ahead of the system, yielding additional low rain chances (10-30%) Saturday morning into Sunday. Right now, it looks like the relatively better rain chances would be for areas along and south of I-10. Lower heights associated with the incoming trough allow temperatures to drop a couple of degrees Saturday and Sunday, with most locations topping out in the mid-to-upper 60s and low 70s.
Sprang
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1049 PM CST Mon Nov 9 2026
Skies have cleared over most local terminals except near KFST late this evening. Conditions remain very favorable for the development of areas of dense fog with VIS reduced to 1/4SM to 1/2SM at all terminals except KFST, primarily between 08-16Z. CIGs may also be locally reduced to LIFR thresholds. Expect fog to lift with VFR becoming prevalent by 16-17Z. Light winds continue through the period becoming more S/SW by Tuesday afternoon.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Big Spring 53 69 52 73 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 49 69 49 70 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 54 69 54 73 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 50 71 51 70 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 46 62 46 64 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 50 67 47 70 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 44 67 43 70 / 10 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 53 69 51 71 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 52 68 50 71 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 50 70 50 73 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. NM...None.
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