textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 309 AM CDT Sat May 2 2026 - Below normal temperatures are forecast through the weekend before highs rebound near to above normal by next week.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Sunday afternoon) Issued at 309 AM CDT Sat May 2 2026

Surface high pressure continues to settle over the forecast area early this morning, allowing for a cool start to the day with low temperature readings generally ranging from the lower 40s to lower 50s over most of our region. Surface ridging will remain in place over west Texas and southeast New Mexico through this afternoon. Some mid/upper level cloud cover will linger over the day ahead of a weak trough over southern New Mexico and far west Texas. A few sprinkles of light rain cannot be ruled out over our western zones today, but the chance of measurable precipitation will remain 10 percent or less. Temperatures will trend warmer, but will still remain below normal with highs generally ranging in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Weak shortwave ridging aloft will build over our area on Sunday. The surface ridge will shift toward the Gulf Coast states Saturday night into Sunday, allowing for a more southerly flow pattern to return to much of our region. The warming trend continues on Sunday with highs reaching into the 70s to around 80 degrees over most locations, with warmer readings in the mid to upper 80s along the Rio Grande.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through Friday) Issued at 309 AM CDT Sat May 2 2026

Weak shortwave ridging continues to build over the region on Monday while a surface trough develops across west Texas. Temperatures will continue to trend much warmer on Monday with afternoon high temperatures topping out in the mid 80s to around 90 degrees over much of the area, with readings along the Rio Grande in the mid 90s to near 100 degrees. The surface trough axis will remain oriented over our forecast area on Tuesday ahead of a cold front that will be pushing into the northern Texas panhandle. Breezy westerly winds will develop over portions of our area and another warm day is anticipated Tuesday with highs generally near normal in the 80s for much of the area, except 70s in the higher terrain and in the mid 90s to around 103 degrees along the Rio Grande. Lows each morning will generally be in the 50s and 60s through the early to middle part of the week. A shortwave trough may translate over the region Tuesday night, but it currently appears that any meaningful chances of overnight showers and thunderstorms will remain to the east of our forecast area on Tuesday night. Breezy and warm conditions with highs mostly in the 70s and 80s will continue on Wednesday before the cold front finally looks to push through our forecast area on Wednesday night. Overnight lows will be cooler in the 40s to lower 50s over much of the area behind the front Wednesday night, except slightly warmer in the mid 50s to lower 60s over our far southern zones. Dry conditions look to continue into the latter part of the week underneath shortwave ridging overhead. Temperatures mostly in the 70s on Thursday rebound back into the 80s by Friday.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1240 AM CDT Sat May 2 2026

Satellite imagery and surface observations show extensive broken- overcast decks between 4-7 kft AGL over area terminals as of 0530Z. VFR ceilings generally look to continue overnight with broken mid to upper level decks holding into Saturday morning/ afternoon. Confidence in patchy fog development remains low given these broken decks but will monitor observations closely through the night as patchy fog cannot be ruled out if clouds do scatter out overnight or toward sunrise. Winds remain light through the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 72 50 78 57 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 67 47 77 55 / 10 0 0 0 Dryden 71 53 77 57 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 71 50 80 58 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 59 48 70 57 / 10 0 0 0 Hobbs 68 46 75 53 / 10 0 0 0 Marfa 65 41 75 48 / 10 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 70 52 76 58 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 69 51 76 58 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 69 50 78 57 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.