textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 645 AM CDT Thu Sep 10 2026

- Hot temperatures persist through late this week with near record heat possible Friday and Saturday.

- Isolated to scattered showers and storms will be possible over the higher terrain each day through the period. Storm chances increase over portions of southeast New Mexico and the Permian Basin today and again late this weekend into early next week.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Friday afternoon) Issued at 159 AM CDT Thu Sep 10 2026

Current radar shows outflow from earlier convection moving into the Permian Basin early this morning. Hi-res models show this boundary becoming stationary later this morning and washing out, having little effect on our weather other than a brief wind shift. A cold front farther north will move south later today and enter the basin this evening. Unlike the earlier outflow boundary, the front will provide enough lift that convection forms and moves along with the front bringing some rain to the northeastern basin. High pressure builds in tomorrow ending rain chances in the Permian Basin and only leaving rain chances in the Davis Mountains. Highs tomorrow also rise into the upper 90s to low 100s.

LONG TERM

(Friday night through Wednesday) Issued at 159 AM CDT Thu Sep 10 2026

Temperatures increase into the low 100s for many on Saturday as upper level high pressure moves across New Mexico and West Texas. Record or near record temperatures are expected Saturday before the high shifts to the east and cooler air from the gulf is advected into the area next week. Highs beginning Sunday will drop slightly into the 90s, cooler than Friday and Saturday but still at least 5 degrees above normal for this time of year. Little changes through the rest of the week as high pressure remains nearly stationary to our east. There will be a chance for afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms in the higher elevations west of the Pecos River, more of a summertime pattern than a fall pattern. We are still looking for our first strong fall cold front here.

Hennig

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 645 AM CDT Thu Sep 10 2026

VFR conditions and light winds will continue this TAF period. Any TS should remain west of the TAF sites and not expected to directly impact any of them.

Hennig

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 99 74 101 75 / 10 20 0 0 Carlsbad 99 73 102 74 / 10 10 10 10 Dryden 100 76 101 76 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 97 74 100 75 / 10 0 10 0 Guadalupe Pass 88 69 91 70 / 20 10 10 10 Hobbs 96 71 99 72 / 20 10 0 0 Marfa 89 63 91 65 / 30 10 30 10 Midland Intl Airport 97 75 99 76 / 0 10 0 0 Odessa 97 76 99 77 / 0 10 0 0 Wink 99 75 102 76 / 0 10 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.