textproduct: Midland/Odessa

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 619 PM CDT Tue May 5 2026 - Warm and dry conditions expected through tomorrow before a cold front brings cooler temperatures Thursday.

- Winds remain strong over the Guadalupe Mountains and adjacent plains of SE NM and portions of west Texas through this evening. Breezy conditions continue into Wednesday, with strong gap winds possible in the Guadalupe Mountains Wednesday night behind a cold front.

- A cold front brings cooler temperatures Thursday. Warmer conditions return for the weekend.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Wednesday night) Issued at 210 PM CDT Tue May 5 2026

As expected, wind gusts are picking up across southeast New Mexico where Wind Advisories and a High Wind Warning are currently in effect through early this evening. Will leave these products as inherited for the afternoon forecast package. Winds decrease this evening across the area with some gusts still seen across the higher elevations. Continued westerly to southwesterly flow and thick, high cloud cover will keep temperatures above normal with most in the 60s and some in the upper 50s. The upper level disturbance bringing the breezy conditions will move closer and winds increase once again mainly across the higher elevations and adjacent foothills in the western half of the CWA on Wednesday. Highs reach near normal in the mid 80s as cloud cover keeps it cooler than today. A cold front approaches late Wednesday evening and pushes across the region. Lows by Thursday morning fall into the 40s and 50s for many. Rain chances remain low for the short term.

-Stickney

LONG TERM

(Thursday through Monday) Issued at 210 PM CDT Tue May 5 2026

A cold front continues to sweep southward Thursday morning, with surface high pressure setting in behind the front. Breezy northeast winds in the morning settle down by the afternoon. Highs Thursday generally top out in the 70s, with upper 60s in the higher elevations and 80s near the Rio Grande. Thursday into Friday night, an upper low swings across our area. Despite lift associated with this system, moisture looks scant. Our easternmost counties will have low (10-20%) rain chances Thursday, with lower chances Thursday evening. Lows Thursday night fall into the mid 40s to 50s. Southwesterly winds return Friday, promoting highs in the 80s. Temperatures warm further Saturday, in the 90s for most, as heights increase and lee troughing develops. Another cold front begins to drop down through our region Sunday, driven by a surface high over the Plains. Cooler air establishes itself over our region Monday, with temperatures largely reaching the 80s. Aside from Thursday's rain chances, the remainder of the Long Term period looks dry.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 619 PM CDT Tue May 5 2026

VFR conditions are expected to continue this TAF period. Gusty winds will subside shortly and remain light overnight, increasing again and becoming gusty around 18Z.

Hennig

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 61 85 48 74 / 0 0 0 10 Carlsbad 58 81 47 74 / 0 0 0 10 Dryden 67 92 60 76 / 10 0 10 20 Fort Stockton 65 86 52 74 / 10 0 10 20 Guadalupe Pass 54 71 45 67 / 0 0 0 10 Hobbs 56 80 43 73 / 0 0 0 10 Marfa 52 80 45 74 / 0 0 0 10 Midland Intl Airport 64 83 49 74 / 0 0 0 10 Odessa 64 83 49 74 / 0 0 0 10 Wink 61 83 49 75 / 0 0 0 10

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...High Wind Warning until 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ this evening for Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

Wind Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for Eastern Culberson.

NM...High Wind Warning until 9 PM MDT this evening for Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.

Wind Advisory until 8 PM MDT this evening for Central Lea-Eddy County Plains-Northern Lea-Southern Lea.


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