textproduct: Midland/Odessa

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 142 PM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

- Hot temperatures continue through midweek with record heat possible this afternoon.

- The prolonged period of hot temperatures could result in heat related illnesses. Be sure to stay hydrated and take frequent breaks in air conditioning or the shade if possible.

- Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms may develop over portions of the region Wednesday and Thursday.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Tuesday night) Issued at 142 PM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

The upper-level high remains centered over west Texas and southeast New Mexico this afternoon. Temperatures have already21 reached between 100-105 degrees over much of the Permian Basin, Upper Trans Pecos, and southeast New Mexico Plains as of 2 PM CDT, and may warm a few more degrees through peak heating. We have reached 102 degrees at Midland Int'l as of 230 PM CDT, which is 1 degree shy of the daily record of 103 set in 1936, so there is a good chance we will at least tie, if not break the record by late this afternoon.

The upper-ridge will remain firmly planted over our forecast area through Tuesday afternoon before a slight westward shift may occur by Tuesday night. Temperatures may trend 1-2 degrees lower on Tuesday, but we still expect another day of high temperature readings above 100 degrees over much of the forecast area. Another Heat Advisory has been posted for the northeastern Permian Basin as well as along the Pecos River Valley in Eddy County New Mexico, where afternoon highs will reach up to 105-108 degrees.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through Sunday) Issued at 142 PM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

The upper-level ridge will continue to shift westward over the Desert Southwest into Wednesday. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms developing over the higher terrain of New Mexico may move into the southeast New Mexico Plains and the Permian Basin Wednesday evening into late Wednesday night within the northwesterly flow aloft. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms may develop over the region again along the eastern fringe of the upper ridge on Thursday. The ridge will build back to the east Friday through the weekend, so expect a return to mostly dry conditions except for a few thunderstorm in the higher terrain areas of our western CWA on Friday. Temperatures remain hot through the weekend, but may only range in the upper 90s to around 103 degrees for most Friday through Sunday.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1202 PM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

VFR conditions with southeasterly to southerly winds at most terminals throughout the TAF period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 76 105 76 103 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 74 104 74 102 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 74 103 75 103 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 74 102 74 102 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 71 96 71 94 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 72 103 71 101 / 0 0 0 10 Marfa 63 97 63 97 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 76 102 76 101 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 76 102 76 101 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 75 104 75 103 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for Andrews-Borden- Dawson-Ector-Gaines-Glasscock-Howard-Martin-Midland- Mitchell-Scurry-Winkler.

Heat Advisory from 1 PM to 8 PM CDT Tuesday for Borden-Dawson- Howard-Martin-Mitchell-Scurry.

NM...Heat Advisory until 7 PM MDT this evening for Central Lea-Eddy County Plains-Northern Lea-Southern Lea.

Heat Advisory from noon to 7 PM MDT Tuesday for Eddy County Plains.


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