textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 619 AM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

- A summer-like pattern with hot temperatures and drier conditions prevails through much of the week.

- Heat related concerns increase over the Pecos River Valley and along the Rio Grande where high temperatures will range between 100-110 degrees through much of this week.

- More seasonable but still very warm temperatures with increased shower/storm chances Friday through this weekend.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Wednesday afternoon) Issued at 230 AM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

Temperatures taper down a touch today compared to yesterday as an upper level ridge shifts eastward and an upper trough positions itself over the western US. Highs this afternoon are progged to warm into the low 90s to 100s. Triple digit heat looks to be confined to areas near and along the Rio Grande and the Pecos River valleys, maximizing up to near 110 degrees in portions of the Big Bend. At the surface, a dryline will span from eastern New Mexico down into the western fringes of our region this afternoon. Moist and breezy (15-25 mph) south/southeast winds combine with lift along the dryline and from a shortwave aloft to promote isolated shower/storm development later today. Rain chances remain low (<15%) over southeast New Mexico and near the Davis Mountains this afternoon and evening. Tonight, temperatures cool into the mid 60s to mid 70s.

Wednesday, flow aloft becomes zonal to northwesterly. An upper high sets up over northern Mexico and an upper trough begins to shift from the Rockies into the Great Plains. High temperatures beyond the century mark are forecast for southeast New Mexico, the western half of the Permian Basin, the Upper Trans Pecos, and the Rio Grande valley. Highs near and along the river valleys may top out anywhere between 105 to 110 degrees. Isolated to scattered showers/storms may develop along a dryline extending from southeast New Mexico to just west of the Big Bend Wednesday afternoon. Rain chances range from 10- 40% over the higher terrain west of the Pecos River, with best odds in and near the Davis Mountains.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday night through Monday) Issued at 230 AM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

Similar to Wednesday, the nearby upper high allows hot temperatures to stick around Thursday. Highs top out in the upper 90s and low 100s for much of west Texas and southeast New Mexico. The hottest temperatures will be found near and along the Pecos and Rio Grande, where highs will top out between 104-108 degrees, nearing 110 in some locations along the international border. Otherwise isolated showers and thunderstorms may once again develop Thursday afternoon, with the best chances (around 25%) in/near the higher terrain. By Friday through the remainder of the weekend and into next week, a series of shortwave troughs move across northern portions of the CONUS. This helps dampen the ridge, allowing highs to fall closer to seasonal norms (low-to-mid 90s most days). Meanwhile, quasi-zonal to northwesterly flow aloft develops over our region. Disturbances in the upper-level flow bring better chances of showers and storms back to the area starting Friday (mainly across westernmost portions of the area, between 30-60%). Chances in the 20-50% range continue for most of the area through early next week as disturbances continue to move overhead. Guidance still depicts PWATs between 1.0-1.5 inches across the region through this time period, which ranges between the 75th-90th percentile or higher for this time of year. As a result, flash flooding will be a concern with isolated to scattered storms that do develop. A few strong to severe thunderstorms will also be possible given seasonably strong instability and very marginal deep- layer shear (generally 15-25 kts).

Sprang

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 619 AM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

MVFR CIGs are present at all terminals with the exception of PEQ and FST. However, CIGs may occasionally fall to MVFR at FST this morning. MVFR CIGs should become VFR by mid to late morning. Breezy, south/southeast winds are expected at most sites today.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 91 72 99 74 / 10 0 0 0 Carlsbad 99 71 106 73 / 0 10 10 0 Dryden 95 73 99 75 / 10 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 96 71 103 73 / 0 0 10 0 Guadalupe Pass 92 70 95 72 / 0 0 10 0 Hobbs 93 68 102 70 / 0 0 0 10 Marfa 93 62 96 63 / 0 10 30 20 Midland Intl Airport 90 71 99 73 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 91 71 99 73 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 97 72 104 73 / 0 0 10 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.