textproduct: Midland/Odessa

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 910 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

- Areas of fog are possible again tonight, mainly across the Permian Basin.

- Dry and seasonable weather expected during the middle and latter portions of the week.

- Low rain chances (10-30%) return by the weekend.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Wednesday night) Issued at 104 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

Areas of fog and low clouds continue to dissipate early this afternoon as flow remains weak and rich surface moisture stays in place. The sun will reappear for most later this afternoon helping boost temperatures to near 70 degrees. Expect another night of fog, mostly developing across the Permian Basin this time. With a bit of sun today drying out the ground, it may help the visibilities from getting too low, but we will watch conditions for a possible advisory. Weak ridging will allow for even warmer temperatures tomorrow with highs back in the 70s for most locations outside of the mountains. Fog is a bit more uncertain Thursday morning, but slightly drier air will allow temperatures to fall into the 40s for the majority of the area.

LONG TERM

(Thursday through Monday) Issued at 104 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

A quiet pattern continues through at least Friday with highs generally in the 60s/70s and low in the 40s. Our next storm system is due to arrive this weekend bringing our next chance of rain. An upper trough will weaken over N. Mexico before reaching our area late Friday into Saturday. Even so, lift will increase ahead of the trough with Gulf moisture already in place to bring a good chance (>50%) of showers and isolated storms to the western half of the CWA. This area of rain will move west to east across then entire region through the day Saturday. At this time, amounts look to be generally under 0.5", except for the higher terrain where heavier amounts could fall due to better lift. Temperatures will remain near to above normal with this system bringing Pacific air with it.

A stronger cold front is possible Sunday into Monday as another storm system moves across the Plains. Details with that front uncertain, but it should bring temperatures closer, if not below normal.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 910 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

Sat imagery/observations show that skies have finally scattered out to VFR everywhere, w/light SW flow at the surface. Latest NBM/CAMs are not as suggestive of LIFR cigs at KMAF overnight as they were on the 00Z TAFs. The downside of that is enhanced radiational cooling and increased chances of fog. We'll introduce a mention at KMAF/KINK, which seem the likeliest candidates for FG attm.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 50 72 46 70 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 48 70 46 68 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 53 72 53 70 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 49 69 48 70 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 45 63 46 62 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 46 70 44 68 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 42 68 43 67 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 50 71 47 68 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 49 71 47 68 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 48 72 48 69 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.


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