textproduct: Midland/Odessa

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 526 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

- Hot temperatures continue through midweek with record heat possible on Monday.

- The prolonged period of hot temperatures could result in heat related illnesses. Be sure to stay hydrated and take frequent breaks in air conditioning or the shade if possible.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Tuesday afternoon) Issued at 115 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

We will reach the peak of this heatwave today as the upper high centers directly over the region. Model guidance continues to be a bit high given 850 mb temps of 30-34C. With that said, it will still be dangerously hot with almost all locations above 100 degrees. The warmest temperatures will occur across the NE Permian Basin and along the Pecos River where highs will be 105-109 degrees. The Heat Advisory was expanded to include most of the Permian Basin and all of SE NM. The record high temperature for today at Midland is 103 degrees, which was set in 1936 and there is a good chance we will at least tie, if not break that record.

Very little changes Tuesday as the upper ridge slowly begins to slide west. Temperatures may come down a degree, but we will be at day 8 in a row of 100 degree temperatures so the heat is really wearing down folks. Heat Advisories are likely to be extended given this concern.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 115 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

The upper ridge continues to shift west and centers over the AZ/NM state line by Wednesday. This will place our region in NW flow aloft and open the door for thunderstorms to move off the NM mountains and into our area late in the day. Scattered storms are again possible Thursday before the ridge moves back overhead and subsidence increases. Hot conditions will continue, but highs look to stay just under 100 for most locations Thursday/Friday. Hotter conditions return for the weekend.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 526 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

VFR prevails through the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 106 75 105 75 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 106 73 104 73 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 104 73 103 74 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 103 72 102 73 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 96 70 96 70 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 104 71 103 71 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 97 62 97 62 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 103 75 102 75 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 103 75 102 75 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 105 74 104 74 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for Andrews-Borden-Dawson-Ector-Gaines-Glasscock-Howard-Martin- Midland-Mitchell-Scurry-Winkler.

NM...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 7 PM MDT this evening for Central Lea-Eddy County Plains-Northern Lea-Southern Lea.


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