textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 227 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

- Slightly cooler temperatures return Wednesday behind a passing cold front.

- Above normal temperatures are expected Thursday through Saturday before a stronger cold front brings much cooler temperatures on Sunday.

- Dry conditions persist through the weekend.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Wednesday night) Issued at 227 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Sunny skies and dry conditions remain prevalent across West Texas and Southeast New Mexico this afternoon as a deep layer dry airmass continues to settle over our region. A surface trough of low pressure extends from the Texas Panhandle to the Big Bend region this afternoon, allowing for southwesterly to westerly winds, low relative humidity, and mild temperatures in the 60s to lower 70s across the forecast area. Westerly winds have been elevated up to 25-35 mph with a few gusts over 45 mph at times in the Guadalupe, Delaware, and Davis Mountains this afternoon.

No significant weather is expected to impact the area tonight through Wednesday night as dry northwesterly flow aloft remains in place over our region. A shortwave trough clipping across the northern and central Plains will send a cold front southward through most of our forecast area Wednesday morning. Northerly to northeasterly winds will become breezy following frontal passage, especially over far southeast New Mexico and the Permian Basin where speeds up to 20-25 mph and a few gusts over 35 mph will be possible Wednesday morning into early Wednesday afternoon before gradually diminishing. Lows tonight are generally forecast to range in the mid 30s to mid 40s. Highs on Wednesday will trend cooler in the lower to mid 60s over much of the area, except for 50s in the mountains and in the 70s along the southern Big Bend/Rio Grande. Lows by Wednesday night trend a bit colder in the 30s to around 40 degrees over most locations.

LONG TERM

(Thursday through Monday) Issued at 227 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Dry northwesterly flow aloft will prevail over the central and southern Plains through the end of the week while ridging aloft extends across the Desert Southwest. Upper-level ridging then builds over west Texas and southeast New Mexico by Saturday. A weak front may move into the forecast area by Friday, but should generally only feature a northerly to northwesterly wind shift with not much effect on temperatures. Above normal temperatures and dry conditions can be expected Thursday through Saturday. A stronger cold front still looks on track to push through our forecast area late Saturday night into Sunday morning. Temperatures look to be much cooler with highs in the 50s to lower 60s over most of our region on Sunday. Winds should turn southerly again by Monday with temperatures rebounding back into the mid 60s to around 70 degrees.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1102 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the period. Breezy westerly to southwesterly winds are in store across most terminals early this afternoon lasting through the early evening hours. There is medium (40-60%) confidence in sustained winds up to 15 kts along with occasional wind gusts up to 20-25 kts occurring this afternoon, especially across MAF, HOB, and PEQ terminals.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 41 63 35 71 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 42 65 37 72 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 45 72 40 73 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 47 66 39 74 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 42 57 39 63 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 42 62 35 70 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 34 64 30 69 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 41 63 37 69 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 44 62 38 69 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 39 64 34 72 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.