textproduct: Midland/Odessa

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 331 AM CDT Wed Sep 9 2026

- Hot temperatures persist through late this week with near record heat possible Friday and Saturday.

- Isolated to scattered showers and storms will be possible over the higher terrain each day through the period. Storm chances increase over portions of southeast New Mexico and the Permian Basin Thursday and again late this weekend into early next week.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Thursday afternoon) Issued at 331 AM CDT Wed Sep 9 2026

Radar this morning is showing convection developing. Some of the CAMS are showing this shower activity continuing for a few hours before dissipating later this morning. There will probably be isolated redevelopment this afternoon and early evening primarily in and around the Davis Mountains though a few stray showers and storms could develop elsewhere as daytime highs reach up into the upper 90s to low 100s. Tomorrow will be much like today on temperatures. We could see more rainfall scattered about the Permian Basin tomorrow though as a weak cold front stalls to the north serving as a focus for convection in the South Plains. A weak disturbance moving southeast could send this activity into the northern and eastern Permian Basin where PoPs increase.

LONG TERM

(Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 331 AM CDT Wed Sep 9 2026

As the disturbance exits southeast, rain chances then diminish through the weekend and southerly low level winds advect in warmer temperatures. Near record temperatures are possible Saturday as most locations exceed 100 degrees. Upper level high pressure then becomes established to our east advecting in cooler gulf moisture to West Texas and eastern New Mexico. Temperatures ease back from the 100s on Saturday to the upper 90s early next week which is still 5 to 10 degrees above normal for this time of year. The gulf air may contain enough moisture to allow for scattered afternoon showers and storms in the higher elevations and adjacent plains west of the Pecos River.

Hennig

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 0640 AM CDT Wed Sep 9 2026

VFR conditions and light southeasterly winds will continue this TAF period. Isolated TS will develop 18-03Z but should remain west of the TAF sites.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 99 74 98 73 / 0 10 20 10 Carlsbad 99 73 98 72 / 0 10 20 10 Dryden 100 75 100 75 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 98 73 97 73 / 0 0 10 0 Guadalupe Pass 90 69 88 68 / 20 10 30 10 Hobbs 97 71 96 70 / 0 0 20 10 Marfa 89 62 89 62 / 20 0 30 10 Midland Intl Airport 97 74 97 74 / 0 0 10 10 Odessa 97 75 97 74 / 0 0 10 10 Wink 99 74 99 74 / 0 0 10 10

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.


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