textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1147 AM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

- Hot temperatures through mid week, with very low (less than 20%) chance of isolated showers/storms, mainly for the western higher terrain.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Tuesday afternoon) Issued at 249 AM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

The core of an upper level ridge continues to migrate northeast of our region, headed toward the eastern and southeastern CONUS. Despite the northeastward shift, ridging will remain our primary weather maker to start the work week, thus hot and mostly dry conditions persist. Afternoon highs today and Tuesday are forecast to top out in the upper 90s for most. Meanwhile, portions of the northeastern Permian Basin and those near and along the river valleys are progged to warm beyond the century mark. Temperatures are expected to remain below Heat Advisory criteria. Tonight, lows cool to the 60s within the higher elevations, with low to mid 70s everywhere else. Both afternoons shall also feature a low (10-20%) chance of isolated showers/storms over the higher terrain west of the Pecos River. The best odds will be focused closer to the Davis and Guadalupe Mountains. This courtesy of upslope flow combined with disturbances rounding the western edge of the ridge. Otherwise, most locations look to stay dry during the Short Term period.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 249 AM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

Upper level ridging keeps temperatures above average and near 100F for most locations through Wednesday and Thursday. Overnight lows will remain above normal as well with most in the low to mid 70s with the higher terrain dipping into the 60s. The ridge begins to shift eastward and weaken by the end of the week and into this weekend. Temperatures move down just a few degrees and remain above normal. It does allow for isolated showers and storms to develop over the higher terrain. Rain amounts will be low overall, but very isolated spots may end up with an afternoon/evening downpour leading to higher amounts.

-Stickney

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1147 AM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours in light return flow, with some high clouds. Forecast soundings develop widespread cu fields this afternoon and Tuesday, w/bases ~ 4.5-11 kft AGL. No convection is anticipated.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 99 74 99 74 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 100 73 100 73 / 10 0 10 10 Dryden 99 75 99 75 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 98 73 97 73 / 0 0 10 0 Guadalupe Pass 92 70 91 70 / 10 10 10 0 Hobbs 97 71 97 71 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 91 63 91 64 / 20 10 20 0 Midland Intl Airport 97 74 97 75 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 97 74 97 75 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 99 74 99 75 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.