textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 609 PM CDT Wed Jul 29 2026

- Hazardous heat continues through Friday, after which a cold front brings slightly cooler temperatures over the weekend, before a warm-up next week. - The weak cold front this weekend will result in a chance of rain, mainly over Southeast New Mexico.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Thursday night) Issued at 208 PM CDT Wed Jul 29 2026

Heat remains the main concern for the area through the short term forecast. Many areas this afternoon are into the 90s and on the way to hitting around 100F or more. Temperatures tonight and tomorrow night settle into the 70s for most with 60s in the higher terrain. Thursday afternoon temperatures reach back into the upper 90s and low 100s nearly areawide. Once again, the hottest areas will be the low desert of Big Bend where temperates look to top out around 110F. Heat products may be necessary once again for some zones on Thursday. Rain chances will continue to be less than 5% for the region.

-Stickney

LONG TERM

(Friday through Tuesday) Issued at 208 PM CDT Wed Jul 29 2026

An upper level ridge continues to track westward across New Mexico and Arizona Friday. Despite the westward shift, the ridge also looks to strengthen Friday, pushing highs a few degrees over Thursday's. Heat Advisories may be needed for at least the higher terrain Friday afternoon. Highs are progged to reach the upper 90s within the higher terrain and Lower Trans Pecos, with triple digits elsewhere. The hottest conditions will be near/along the river valleys, especially the Rio Grande, where highs shall top out at 105-111 degrees. A transient shortwave impulse may trigger isolated shower/ storm development across the northern Permian Basin and SE NM Friday evening.

Slightly cooler temperatures and increased rain chances arrive with a cold front on Saturday. The front sweeps in courtesy of an upper trough expected to dig into the eastern half of the US this weekend. Rain chances across the area Saturday range from 10-40%, with the best odds over SE NM. Low (10-30%) rain chances shift toward the Davis Mountains and Big Bend Sunday afternoon. Meanwhile, highs in the 90s are forecast to be more commonplace Saturday afternoon behind the front. By Sunday, triple digit heat (100-105 degrees) becomes restricted to the Rio Grande Valley. Hot and dry conditions return Monday and Tuesday, as highs rebound into the upper 90s to up to 105F. Highs mainly cool into the 70s each night.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 609 PM CDT Wed Jul 29 2026

VFR conditions and southeasterly to southerly winds are expected to prevail through the period. Occasional gusts up to 25 kts at MAF, FST, and INK sites look to continue before winds decrease after sunset.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 75 101 75 102 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 73 102 74 103 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 75 100 75 101 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 73 99 73 100 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 69 94 70 96 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 71 100 71 101 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 65 96 65 97 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 74 99 74 100 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 74 99 74 101 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 73 100 74 102 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ this evening for Chinati Mountains-Chisos Basin-Davis Mountains-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

NM...Heat Advisory until 8 PM MDT this evening for Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.