textproduct: Midland/Odessa

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 549 AM CDT Wed Aug 26 2026

- Hot temperatures continue today. Be sure to stay hydrated and take frequent breaks in air conditioning or the shade if possible.

- Temperatures remain above normal through the forecast period, but decrease relative to the past several days.

- Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms may develop over portions of the region late today and Thursday.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Thursday afternoon) Issued at 103 AM CDT Wed Aug 26 2026

We finally see that brief pattern change we've been talking about the last few days. Mid/upper ridging has finally shifted west allowing NW flow to develop aloft. Showers and storms are expected to develop this afternoon across northern and eastern portions of NM before sliding southeast. As this occurs, storms will produce gusty outflow winds and maybe even a bit of rain. Damaging gusts are not out of the question given how hot and dry the subcloud layer will be. Storms will dissipate as they move south through the night.

Temperatures will remain hot today, even though we will see a decrease of a few degrees from Tuesday. Most locations will see the 100 degree mark once again. Clouds and extra moisture in place should help keep temperatures even cooler Thursday with most locations in the mid to upper 90s. Isolated showers and storms will also be possible, almost anywhere.

LONG TERM

(Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 103 AM CDT Wed Aug 26 2026

Ridging moves back east over the area Friday into the weekend. This will help suppress most convection once again outside of maybe an isolated storm in the mountains. Temperatures will climb back up a few degrees, but it's possible much of the region will stay below 100. Model solutions diverge later next week as they struggle with the strength and placement of the upper ridge. Fall is just around the corner as September begins so a pattern change to wetter/cooler becomes more likely in the coming weeks (we hope!).

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 549 AM CDT Wed Aug 26 2026

Seeing light northeast winds behind a dying outflow boundary. These winds will shift back to the southeast later this morning. TS are possible after 27/00Z, but confidence in timing and coverage is too low to include in current TAFs.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 102 73 98 72 / 0 30 10 20 Carlsbad 102 72 99 72 / 0 20 0 20 Dryden 103 75 101 74 / 0 0 20 20 Fort Stockton 102 73 98 72 / 0 10 20 10 Guadalupe Pass 94 70 90 68 / 0 10 30 10 Hobbs 100 69 96 69 / 10 40 20 30 Marfa 97 63 93 62 / 0 0 30 0 Midland Intl Airport 101 73 97 72 / 0 40 20 20 Odessa 101 74 96 73 / 0 40 20 20 Wink 103 73 98 73 / 0 20 0 10

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.


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