textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1222 AM CDT Tue Sep 1 2026

- Hot temperatures through the work week, with very low (less than 20%) chance of isolated showers/storms, mainly for the western higher terrain.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Tuesday night) Issued at 129 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

Persistence rules. WV imagery this afternoon shows the upper ridge centered over the Missouri/Arkansas border, dictating a rather pedestrian forecast for West Texas and Southeast New Mexico. This displacement to the east from 24 hours ago will result in locally decreased thicknesses, shaving a degree or two off of yesterday's highs. Isolated convection is still anticipated in the Davis Mountains.

Tonight, minimums will be very similar to last night's, ~ 10 F above climatology, mainly due to a LLJ approaching 40 kts.

Tuesday, the upper ridge is forecast to continue developing east, centering over the western half of West Virginia by 00Z Wednesday. This will keep thicknesses/temperatures similar to this afternoon's, if not slightly cooler, around 8-10 F above normal. W/the ridge displaced farther east, isolated afternoon convection will again be possible, mainly in the mountains.

Tuesday night looks like a carbon copy of tonight.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through Sunday) Issued at 129 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

The forecast remains unchanged from the previous package. A hot and mostly dry weather pattern is in store throughout the rest of the week. This is thanks to upper-level ridging over the region. Similar high temperatures each day are forecast in the mid 90s to low 100s for most locations. Spots along the river valleys are forecast to range from 103F to 108F. Lows in the upper 60s to mid 70s can be expected each night. Cannot rule out an isolated storm or two (< 20%) over the Davis and Guadalupe Mountains every afternoon through this weekend with continued upslope flow, though sinking motion under the ridge will mainly hinder convective initiation. By Sunday, guidance is in agreement with the upper-level ridge of high pressure being centered across the Central Plains extending into the Southern High Plains. As a result, easterly flow aloft commences which may lower temperatures a few degrees from previous days. Temperatures are expected to remain above normal, with mostly dry conditions continuing into next week.

Lamberson

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1222 AM CDT Tue Sep 1 2026

VFR continues at all terminals. Southeast winds around 10-15kts.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 99 74 101 75 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 100 73 101 74 / 10 0 10 10 Dryden 99 75 101 76 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 97 73 99 74 / 10 0 10 0 Guadalupe Pass 90 70 91 72 / 10 0 10 10 Hobbs 97 71 99 72 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 91 63 91 64 / 20 10 20 0 Midland Intl Airport 97 75 99 76 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 97 75 99 76 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 99 74 100 75 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.