textproduct: Midland/Odessa

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1108 PM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026

- A cold front has brought cloudy skies, cooler temperatures, and a chance for isolated to scattered showers to our area as we end the week.

- Temperatures slowly increase this weekend into next week, rising back above normal by the middle of the week. Rain chances tend to decrease, with 10-20% chances being confined to the higher terrain through the first half of the week.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Saturday night) Issued at 133 PM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026

Fall is in the air! Temperatures look to top out in the upper 60s to mid 70s for most locations this afternoon, under mostly cloudy to cloudy skies. However, should cloudy skies prevail, highs could end up being cooler than the current forecast. The cooler weather comes courtesy of a cold front that swept through earlier. The upper level low that ushered in the front lingers near our region through the Short Term period. Lift associated with the low, combined with moisture, allows for continued isolated to scattered showers across much of the region through tonight. Rain chances this evening and into tonight range from 10-50% almost areawide. For the Permian Basin and most of SE NM, chances will be between 10-30%. Meanwhile, areas west of the Pecos River have 30-50% rain chances, with the best odds favoring the higher terrain, especially near the Davis'. Tomorrow and tomorrow night, rain chances shift toward the eastern and southern portions of our region. Tomorrow morning, isolated to scattered showers will be possible over the southeastern half of the Permian Basin, the Trans Pecos, and the Big Bend. Rain chances diminish through the day, then return to the Big Bend and Lower Trans Pecos tomorrow night. Lows tonight are expected to fall to the 40s in the mountains, 50s for most locations, and 60s mainly along the Rio Grande. Highs tomorrow are forecast to reach into the 60s within the higher terrain, 70s elsewhere.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through Thursday) Issued at 133 PM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026

By Sunday, upper-level ridging builds into the Four Corners region. Due to our relative proximity to this ridge, temperatures begin to warm again across west Texas and southeast New Mexico, despite persistent northeasterly winds. Highs in the upper 70s and low 80s will be commonplace, though these temperatures are still a couple of degrees below normal. Generally low rain chances (10-40%) are maintained for the Trans-Pecos and southeastern portions of the Permian Basin. As far as temperatures go, Monday looks similar to Sunday, with low PoPs (10-25%) becoming more confined to the higher terrain and parts of the Upper Trans-Pecos. Surface winds become southeasterly again Monday night which, along with the nearby ridge, will cause temperatures to warm again through at least the middle of next week. Most locations top out in the low-to-mid 80s Tuesday, and by Wednesday and Thursday most of the area will see highs in the mid- to-upper 80s (which would be about 5-8 degrees above normal). While low PoPs (10-20%) are maintained in the higher terrain south of the Pecos through early next week (thanks to upslope flow), atmospheric moisture will tend to decrease daily. As a result, by the latter half of the week rain chances fall below 10% areawide.

Sprang

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1108 PM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026

MVFR/IFR cigs will continue all terminals for the next 12 hours or so, before light surface winds veer to east, scattering out skies to VFR by 21Z Saturday. _SHRA is possible next 12 hours, but chances are too low/random for a mention attm.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 58 78 60 82 / 30 20 10 10 Carlsbad 56 74 56 79 / 30 10 0 0 Dryden 62 77 63 80 / 60 60 20 20 Fort Stockton 58 74 59 78 / 60 40 10 20 Guadalupe Pass 51 66 54 70 / 20 10 0 0 Hobbs 54 74 56 78 / 20 10 0 10 Marfa 51 70 52 71 / 20 20 10 10 Midland Intl Airport 59 77 61 81 / 20 20 0 10 Odessa 60 77 62 81 / 20 10 0 10 Wink 59 78 60 83 / 20 10 0 10

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.