textproduct: Midland/Odessa
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 122 AM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026
- Above normal temperatures and dry conditions continue through most of Friday. - Rain chances increase from west to east late Friday through the weekend, with highest rain chances over our western areas Saturday and Sunday.
SHORT TERM
(Today through Friday afternoon) Issued at 122 AM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026
Mid level ridging continues to dominate the area for one more day. High temperatures peak for the week in the 80s this afternoon with a 90 degree reading not out of the question in the river valleys. Subsidence will keep the region dry once again.
Ridging breaks down and shifts east Friday allowing southwesterly flow to increase aloft. This will bring an increase in clouds helping to keep temperatures a few degrees cooler. Low (20%) rain chances exist late Friday across far western portions of the area with better chances arriving Saturday.
LONG TERM
(Friday night through Wednesday) Issued at 122 AM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026
Saturday really begins an active pattern that looks to take us right through the end of October. A large upper trough to our west will inch closer to the region, increasing southwesterly flow aloft and bringing several disturbances within this flow. Showers and storms will become more numerous by Saturday afternoon along and west of the Pecos River. Locally heavy rainfall is likely with this round of storms, but fast storm motion will help limit amounts. Expect a weakening trend as storms move east into stronger subsidence with only light amounts (less than 0.25") across the Permian Basin.
Rain chances continue into early next week as the main wave lifts into the Plains, but leaves troughing behind over our region. Rainfall amounts look fairly light as much of the lift moves away from our region. Clouds and even a weak cold front Monday/Tuesday will keep temperatures close to if not slightly below normal.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1132 PM CDT Wed Oct 21 2026
VFR prevails through the period.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Big Spring 83 61 82 61 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 83 60 82 61 / 0 10 20 60 Dryden 80 62 80 62 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 84 62 83 61 / 0 0 0 10 Guadalupe Pass 76 59 76 57 / 0 10 30 70 Hobbs 80 58 77 58 / 0 0 10 20 Marfa 80 54 77 55 / 0 0 10 30 Midland Intl Airport 82 62 80 61 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 81 62 79 62 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 83 62 83 62 / 0 0 10 20
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. NM...None.
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