textproduct: Midland/Odessa

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 149 AM CDT Sun Apr 19 2026

- Below normal temperatures persist through Monday, before trending upward by midweek.

- An upper level disturbance brings low to medium (10-40%) rain chances to much of the area late today into Monday. Rainfall totals look light.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Monday afternoon) Issued at 149 AM CDT Sun Apr 19 2026

We've had a much quieter night with only a few high clouds streaming across the region and temperatures falling into the 40s and 50s. Surface high pressure will slide off to the east today allowing winds to return to the southeast. Meanwhile, a shortwave will enter N. Mexico this afternoon and begin to move in our direction. Clouds will quickly increase later today helping keep temperatures below normal, especially south of I-10. Showers and isolated thunderstorms will develop and move into the Big Bend and Davis Mountains region by late afternoon. Rain and storms will spread north with time making it to the Permian Basin after midnight. Rain will initially struggle to reach the ground given a very dry sub-cloud layer, but once the atmosphere moistens we should finally see some light QPF. Most locations will see less than a tenth of an inch, but a few areas could pick up more, especially south of I-20. Rain chances continue into Monday before we dry out by Monday night. Temperatures Monday could stay on the cool side with highs in the low 60s across the Permian Basin and Lower Trans Pecos where rain chances are higher. Further west, highs will top out in the 70s as clouds break late in the day.

LONG TERM

(Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 149 AM CDT Sun Apr 19 2026

Temperatures head back above normal the rest of the week as mid level ridging returns and surface flow veers to the southwest. A storm system lifting into the Plains Thursday is likely to bring our hottest day of the week along with breezy west winds. This will lead to critical fire weather conditions, especially across the western half of the area. Another cold front looks to arrive Friday. The extended looks dry outside of an isolated storm in the Davis Mountains Tuesday afternoon.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1025 PM CDT Sat Apr 18 2026

VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours, as post-frontal northeast flow veers back to southeast, becoming marginally gusty Sunday afternoon. A few mid/high clouds are expected, lower in the southeast. Stratus is forecast to develop after sundown Sunday night, MVFR cigs encroaching from the south into KFST/KPEQ at the end of the forecast period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Big Spring 70 49 62 52 / 0 20 50 10 Carlsbad 70 47 74 51 / 10 30 30 10 Dryden 65 51 63 53 / 30 30 30 10 Fort Stockton 68 49 71 52 / 20 40 30 10 Guadalupe Pass 60 45 68 51 / 10 30 20 10 Hobbs 70 46 68 49 / 0 30 40 10 Marfa 62 40 71 44 / 30 30 30 10 Midland Intl Airport 70 50 63 53 / 0 30 40 0 Odessa 69 49 64 54 / 0 40 40 0 Wink 70 49 71 53 / 10 40 30 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.


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