textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1236 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

-Hot and humid conditions will persist with some areas expected to see heat indices of 100 to 105 at times.

-There will be continued chances for rain and thunderstorms in the coming days.

-Some storms will be capable of producing strong wind gusts and heavy downpours.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1236 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

H500 ridging persists across the SW and SE US at this time with a continued weakness noted between the two areas across portions of the Southern Plains/Lower MS River Valley. Another day of above normal temperatures is expected across the state with afternoon highs generally in the lower to mid 90s F. Will see Td values in the 70s F with some drying into the 60s F possible by the mid- afternoon hours. Some locations across eastern Arkansas could approach heat advisory criteria, but lower Td values and increasing cloud cover and isolated showers/storms may limit a more widespread threat.

For this weekend, a mid-level trough will approach the area from the northwest along with a cold front. This will lead to a further increase in rain and thunderstorms, especially across northern portions of the state. This will also lead to slightly cooler temperatures across the N/NW. Rain chances will remain fairly low across the S/SE and there could be some heat-related concerns across those areas this weekend.

While it likely won't remain completely dry across the area next week, it does appear that H500 ridging will attempt to build over the Lower MS River Valley northward toward the Great Lakes. This could lead to an increase in daytime high temperatures into the mid to upper 90s F. Widespread heat indices may climb above heat advisory criteria next week. Precip will generally be limited to afternoon, isolated diurnally driven activity.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 604 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

Generally VFR conditions expected through the period. S-SW winds may increase through the middle of the day Friday at some terminals with gusts above 15 kts possible. Afternoon isolated showers/storms will be possible, but limited coverage is expected.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 93 74 93 72 / 20 10 50 20 Camden AR 96 74 95 73 / 10 10 20 10 Harrison AR 92 73 88 69 / 10 20 60 40 Hot Springs AR 96 74 95 73 / 10 0 30 20 Little Rock AR 96 75 94 75 / 10 0 30 10 Monticello AR 94 76 94 76 / 20 10 20 10 Mount Ida AR 94 74 92 72 / 10 10 40 20 Mountain Home AR 93 71 89 70 / 20 20 60 30 Newport AR 94 73 95 73 / 20 10 40 10 Pine Bluff AR 94 75 95 74 / 10 10 20 10 Russellville AR 96 74 92 73 / 10 10 40 30 Searcy AR 93 72 94 72 / 20 10 40 10 Stuttgart AR 93 75 94 75 / 20 0 30 10

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.