textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 106 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025

-Hazardous heat and humidity will persist through the remainder of the work week, with daily heat headlines likely.

-More widespread rain chances appear possible across the state through the weekend, though any cooldown will be brief.

-Above-normal temperatures and hazardous heat will persist into next week, with triple digit heat possible.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 106 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025

Another hot and sultry aftn is in store for the Natural State today, w/ high temps set to climb to the upper 90s, and some locations flirting with near triple digit heat, particularly acrs Srn AR. Hot and humid condns wl cont to headline the fcst, w/ some ocsnl chcs for rain chcs mixed in over the next seven days, including low-end rain chcs acrs Nrn AR again later this aftn to evng, invof a stalled frnt over the Ozark Plateau, but most precip wl lkly manifest as isolated showers and storms, w/ a lucky few receiving cooling rainfall/outflow.

Thru the weekend, more widespread PoPs remain possible as Gulf moisture fm a weak tropical system moves acrs the Gulf Coast. Uncertainties remain for now regarding the extent of precip covg, and magnitude of rainfall. Any potential relief fm weekend rainfall wl be short-lived though, w/ above-normal heat resuming by early next week. Swrly sfc winds acrs the Srn Cntrl US and H500 high pressure bcmg centered over the FA wl contribute to area temps climbing to the century mark over portions of the FA thru at least the first half of next week.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1215 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025

Expect VFR conditions to be present across all sites for the duration of the forecast period from early Thursday morning through early Friday morning. Surface winds will be light and variable over the period at most terminals. A small window will exist for VCTS across the northern terminals of KHRO and KBPK from Thursday afternoon into Thursday evening as a few isolated thunderstorms will be possible; however coverage and confidence remains low so did keep at VCTS for this TAF forecast package.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 95 76 94 75 / 20 10 30 10 Camden AR 99 76 95 75 / 0 0 30 10 Harrison AR 90 72 92 73 / 40 10 20 0 Hot Springs AR 98 77 97 75 / 10 0 20 10 Little Rock AR 98 78 95 77 / 10 0 20 0 Monticello AR 98 77 93 76 / 0 10 40 10 Mount Ida AR 95 74 96 75 / 10 0 20 10 Mountain Home AR 92 73 92 74 / 40 20 40 0 Newport AR 97 77 95 77 / 10 10 30 10 Pine Bluff AR 98 76 94 76 / 0 0 20 10 Russellville AR 97 77 97 76 / 10 10 20 0 Searcy AR 97 76 94 75 / 10 10 20 0 Stuttgart AR 96 78 94 77 / 0 0 20 10

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ007-008-016-017- 024-025-031>033-039-042>046-052>056-062>064-066>069-121>123-130- 137-138-140-141-230-237-238-240-241-340-341.

Extreme Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ034-047- 057-065.