textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 119 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026

-Chances for showers/thunderstorms this evening across northwestern sections...with low end severe weather threat

-Mainly dry on Saturday

-More chances for showers/thunderstorms Sunday into early Monday as a new front moves into region

-Drier/warm conditions early/middle next week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 119 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026

All quiet conditions ongoing across the Natural State early this Fri morning as SFC high pressure is sliding east of the state. SRLY flow will increase later this morning and especially by this afternoon...with warmer conditions expected as a result. Highs will be in the 70s and 80s. While SRLY flow will increase across the state today...moisture levels won't rebound considerably...with dewpts only increasing into the 40s and 50s for most areas by late this afternoon.

A new upper wave will drop SE across the Plains towards AR tonight...with a cold front also dropping SE towards the state. Some convection will be possible along/ahead of this front to the NW of the CWA into this Fri afternoon...but as this activity moves into the state...the front will slow/stall NW of AR. As a result of this...and the limited moisture ahead of the front in AR...the coverage of convection looks to diminish as is progresses SE into AR...and especially the CWA. Even so...think there could be some lingering SHRA/TSRA drop SE into the NWRN zones of the CWA this Fri evening...but the SEWD extent looks fairly limited with this activity. There may also be a pocket of convection fire across far SRN sections later on Fri night into Sat morning as a weak upper wave interacts with better moisture levels across SRN AR. The overall threat for seeing strong/SVR Wx today/tonight looks fairly limited...but some isolated marginally SVR to low end SVR hail may be seen...as well as some isolated strong winds with the most intense activity.

Saturday daytime looks mainly dry and warm...with highs in the mid 70s to mid 80s. A new front will push into the region on Sun/Sun night...with more convection possible with that front. Initially...there may be some convection associated with a possible convective complex dropping SE from the NW Sun morning. Then...additional convection looks possible along the front later on Sun into Sun night. Beyond Sun night/Mon morning...the chances for precip decrease...with mainly dry conditions expected into the middle of next week.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1235 PM CDT Fri May 8 2026

Mostly VFR conditions are expected through the period. With that said, by late this evening into parts of the overnight hours, showers and thunderstorms could be become possible across western and northern terminals as a disturbance pushes through. This will make MVFR/IFR likely across the state with lowering CIGs and possible VIS restrictions due to SHRA/TSRA.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 57 82 60 77 / 10 0 10 70 Camden AR 59 82 61 81 / 20 10 10 70 Harrison AR 54 81 57 71 / 60 0 30 60 Hot Springs AR 57 83 61 78 / 20 0 10 80 Little Rock AR 58 82 61 78 / 10 10 10 70 Monticello AR 61 82 62 83 / 30 10 10 60 Mount Ida AR 58 82 61 77 / 30 10 10 80 Mountain Home AR 54 81 56 73 / 50 0 30 60 Newport AR 58 82 59 79 / 10 0 10 70 Pine Bluff AR 58 82 61 80 / 10 10 10 70 Russellville AR 57 84 61 77 / 20 0 20 80 Searcy AR 55 81 58 79 / 10 0 10 70 Stuttgart AR 59 81 63 80 / 10 0 0 70

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.