textproduct: Little Rock

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1206 AM CDT Tue Aug 11 2026

-Hot conditions will be the primary story for the next week or so as an upper level ridge expands over the region

-Little to no chances for precipitation expected for next week

-Heat headlines in place today for many areas...which may be extended into the next several days and maybe expanded to include more of the state

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1206 AM CDT Tue Aug 11 2026

A prolonged stretch of well above normal conditions expected over the next week or so...with little chances for rainfall or significant relief expected...

Upper level ridging will continue expanding over the region by the middle part of the week...with the center of the near 600dm 500 mb ridge nearly directly above the state by the weekend. This will keep POPs nearly zero...but more importantly...allow temps to warm into the upper 90s to well over 100 deg for most areas. In fact...many areas may see several days with temps the warmest so far this year. The only slight good news is that without any addition precip and with SWRLY SFC winds each afternoon...dewpts may actually drop some each day. Even so...heat index values will likely remain at or above Heat Adv levels...with some areas maybe needing Extreme Heat Warning headlines at some point.

With drying conditions possible each afternoon as dewpts mix out...this may increase the overall wildfire threat at temps sore well above normal. This will also need to be watched in the next week or so...with areas that saw the locally heavy rainfall recently being the exception.

Some guidance is suggests the center of the upper ridge shifting back to the west early next week...which could bring some slight relief from the persistent heat. There may be even a weak front attempt to drop south into the state next week. However...this potential relief is at least a week out...and the confidence of any significant cooling or precip chances is very low at this time.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1141 PM CDT Mon Aug 10 2026

Expect dominant VFR conditions to persist through this TAF period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 99 78 101 80 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 96 77 98 77 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 98 78 98 78 / 0 0 10 0 Hot Springs AR 97 77 98 78 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 99 79 100 80 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 98 79 100 79 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 96 75 96 76 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 99 76 97 77 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 98 78 101 79 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 98 78 98 78 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 99 77 100 78 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 99 78 102 78 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 98 79 101 80 / 0 0 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Heat Advisory from noon today to 9 PM CDT this evening for ARZ004>008-015>017-024-025-031>034-039-043>047-055>057-063>065- 069-103-113-121>123-130-137-138-203-212-213-230-238.


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