textproduct: Little Rock
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1246 AM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
-Overall cool and dry conditions are expected this weekend.
-For Sunday morning, frost will become more widespread across a large portion of the state.
-A warming temperature trend overall will impact the state at the start of the upcoming week and remain through mid-week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1246 AM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
Latest guidance has returned a slightly warmer solution overnight across the state of Arkansas. Patchy frost will be possible in spots, but not widespread enough for the need for product issuance. Additionally, cloud cover has been noted across northern Arkansas which may hinder radiational cooling and keep temperatures from dropping as low as forecasted. As surface high pressure continues to influence the region and a colder airmass overall is noted, the greater chance for a frost and possible isolated areas of freezing temperatures will be present early Sunday morning across a larger portion of Arkansas.
Into the beginning of next week upper lvl ridging will be noted over Arkansas and temperatures will start a warming trend which place temperatures back above average for seasonal normals for this time of the year. Fair and dry conditions look to persist as PoP chances look to remain extremely low or zero over the forecast period in most locations.
A frontal boundary will approach the state going into the latter portion of the upcoming week toward the end of the forecast period; however, this appears to be a dry frontal boundary and will lack moisture. However, the boundary will lower temperatures to around normal for this time of the year.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 412 PM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
Expect dominant VFR conditions to persist...with winds mainly less than 10 kts sustained.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 36 67 38 72 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 36 70 37 74 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 36 66 40 72 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 38 70 38 73 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 39 68 41 73 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 38 68 39 74 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 34 69 34 73 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 37 65 40 70 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 35 66 39 71 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 36 69 37 73 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 39 66 38 71 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 35 66 37 71 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 37 68 38 73 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 9 AM CST Sunday for ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-033-034-103-112-113-123-203-212-213- 223-313.
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