textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 142 AM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026

-Dry and warm conditions persist into late this week

-Hurricane Isaias to pass east of Arkansas late this week into the weekend...with chances for rainfall best over the eastern portions of the state Saturday. The threat for seeing any excessive rainfall will remain best east of the state

-Drier and warm conditions return late in the weekend into next week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 142 AM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026

Warm and dry conditions expected to persist into most of Fri as upper level ridging strengthens over the region. Light NERLY winds will persist today...with winds gradually switching to a more ERLY direction for Fri. This will keep low level moisture levels low...and winds will remain light to keep the overall wild fire danger a bit limited...even with the well above normal temps.

Attention turns to Hurricane Isaias in the Gulf...which continues to be projected to lift north and make landfall somewhere along the MS to FL Gulf coast late Fri evening. The storm will move inland into AL/MS...and the remnants likely remaining east of AR through Sat. As the remnants move inland...they look to be ingested into an upper shortwave Sat afternoon/evening. When that happens...the remnants may briefly pivot west some before being ejected NE in the main upper flow by Sun.

Most impacts will remain east of AR...with mainly some increased POPs over ERN sections of the state. Much of central and especially WRN AR should remain dry. However...when the upper trough moves west briefly...POPs may shift west a bit...with more of NERN sections of the state seeing better POPs. Even so...most of the state should see little to no rainfall. Impactful winds look to also remain east of AR as the tighter pressure gradient will remain east of the state. The exception looks to be Sat evening over NERN AR as the low center may move closer to AR before moving back NE. Even so...winds within the CWA should remain below Wind Adv levels.

By Sun into next week...expect a return to the well above normal afternoon temps as upper level ridging returns to the region. Precip chances will remain low until maybe later next week when the next SFC front may approach the region.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 59 90 61 77 / 0 0 0 40 Camden AR 58 93 60 81 / 0 0 0 30 Harrison AR 59 89 58 81 / 0 0 0 10 Hot Springs AR 60 91 60 82 / 0 0 0 20 Little Rock AR 62 91 63 78 / 0 0 0 40 Monticello AR 62 91 64 75 / 0 0 0 50 Mount Ida AR 57 91 57 83 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 59 89 59 80 / 0 0 0 20 Newport AR 61 91 63 76 / 0 0 0 60 Pine Bluff AR 59 92 62 77 / 0 0 0 50 Russellville AR 60 91 60 82 / 0 0 0 10 Searcy AR 61 93 62 77 / 0 0 0 40 Stuttgart AR 61 93 63 76 / 0 0 0 60

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.