textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 138 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

- A weak disturbance will move across the state today and tonight but rain amounts will be minimal.

- A cold front will move through the area Wednesday with a second boundary sweeping through Thursday. Much cooler air will follow the second boundary.

- Temperatures will be close to or below freezing for a good part of the state Saturday morning.

- There will be another chance of showers Sunday night through Monday but rain amounts look to be on the low side once again.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 138 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

All quiet across the FA this morning with the latest satellite imagery and surface observations showing mainly clear skies. The exception is across southern Arkansas where some clouds are seen, courtesy of an upper trough over central and southern Texas.

The surface high that has dominated the region of late continues to move off to the east with guidance remaining steadfast in moving the Texas trough to the east and across the state today, with this feature clearing the Mississippi River Wednesday morning. While the models were never really bullish on this feature producing much in the way of precipitation, they have backed off even more and while a few locations may see some minimal amounts of moisture, most will not. Southerly flow in advance of this trough will help to bring high temperatures into the upper 60s to mid 70s across the FA for today.

A cold front will then follow this system, passing across the state during the day Wednesday. Warmer reading are expected across central and southern sections of the FA for Wednesday before FROPA with a few 80 degree readings not out of the question. The NW part of the state will not likely get out of the 60s.

In the wake of this front, the upper flow becomes highly amplified with a sprawling upper ridge over the Rockies and deep troughing extending from Hudson Bay all the way to the central Gulf Coast. This in turn will drive a second cold front through the region Thursday/Thursday night, followed by high pressure of Canadian origin which will keep precipitation at bay through Saturday.

Temperatures Thursday will range from the upper 50s to lower 70s as the front moves through. Friday and Saturday will struggle to get out of the 50s with the exception of the far south as strong NW flow aloft prevails. Sub freezing or close to freezing temperatures look likely across most of the FA Saturday morning.

The cooler temperatures will continue through the remainder of the period in spite of the upper flow becoming more zonal. The position of the surface high will keep surface winds out of the east to northeast and cloud cover will be extensive from a passing wave. This wave will bring precipitation chances back to the area Sunday into Monday but once again, only minimal amounts of moisture are expected.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1113 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

VFR conds are expected to prevail despite low/mid clouds over Cntrl/Srn terminals tonight in response to a passing short wave trough. Will hold onto VCSH near KPBF and KLLQ for early Wednesday. CIGs should lift from NW to SE on Wed, with high clouds behind a frontal boundary. Winds should switch from W to WNW/NW between 10-20 kts behind the front with the boundary reaching KLLQ late Wednesday morning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 72 51 77 45 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 75 53 79 45 / 0 0 10 0 Harrison AR 70 53 69 42 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 74 55 79 45 / 20 10 0 0 Little Rock AR 73 56 79 48 / 20 20 10 0 Monticello AR 75 54 78 49 / 0 0 10 10 Mount Ida AR 73 53 78 41 / 20 10 0 0 Mountain Home AR 70 50 70 43 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 71 52 78 46 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 74 53 78 46 / 0 10 10 0 Russellville AR 71 52 75 45 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 71 51 77 45 / 10 10 10 0 Stuttgart AR 73 54 79 48 / 0 10 20 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.