textproduct: Little Rock
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 238 PM CDT Tue Aug 11 2026
-Hot conditions will be the primary story for the next week or so as heat headlines are now in effect through Friday
-Little to no chances for precipitation expected through this week
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
Issued at 1206 AM CDT Tue Aug 11 2026
A prolonged stretch of well above normal conditions expected over the next week or so...with little chances for rainfall or significant relief expected...
Upper level ridging will continue expanding over the region by the middle part of the week...with the center of the near 600dm 500 mb ridge nearly directly above the state by the weekend. This will keep POPs nearly zero...but more importantly...allow temps to warm into the upper 90s to well over 100 deg for most areas. In fact...many areas may see several days with temps the warmest so far this year. The only slight good news is that without any addition precip and with SWRLY SFC winds each afternoon...dewpts may actually drop some each day. Even so...heat index values will likely remain at or above Heat Adv levels...with some areas maybe needing Extreme Heat Warning headlines at some point.
With drying conditions possible each afternoon as dewpts mix out...this may increase the overall wildfire threat at temps sore well above normal. This will also need to be watched in the next week or so...with areas that saw the locally heavy rainfall recently being the exception.
Some guidance is suggests the center of the upper ridge shifting back to the west early next week...which could bring some slight relief from the persistent heat. There may be even a weak front attempt to drop south into the state next week. However...this potential relief is at least a week out...and the confidence of any significant cooling or precip chances is very low at this time.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1221 PM CDT Tue Aug 11 2026
Expect dominant VFR conditions to persist through this TAF period, with afternoon gustiness nearing 20 kts, especially for tomorrow.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 79 100 79 100 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 76 96 76 97 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 78 97 78 97 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 77 98 77 98 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 79 99 80 100 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 78 98 79 99 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 75 96 75 96 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 76 97 77 97 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 78 99 79 100 / 0 10 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 77 97 78 98 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 77 100 78 101 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 78 100 78 100 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 79 99 79 100 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for ARZ004>008-014>017- 024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-103-112-113-121>123- 130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-237-238-240-241-313- 340-341.
Heat Advisory from 11 AM Wednesday to 8 PM CDT Friday for ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069- 103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230- 237-238-240-241-313-340-341.
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