textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 241 AM CST Mon Nov 9 2026

- Temperatures above average are expected Monday through Wednesday before much colder air arrives Thursday through Saturday behind a fairly strong cold front.

- Precipitation chances will be minimal with little appreciable rain expected Tuesday night and into Wednesday night.

- Temperatures are expected to drop to near freezing across the north Friday morning with sub freezing temperatures over a much larger area Saturday morning.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 241 AM CST Mon Nov 9 2026

Latest data supports the current forecast with only minimal changes needed. Satellite perspective is showing minimal cloud cover over primarily the south, associated with upper troughing over central and southern Texas. Patchy fog is also developing in the usual spots but not expecting it to become it to become widespread enough to warrant the issuance of any headlines.

Surface high pressure centered over the region will dominate today and into Tuesday. Light south to southwest winds will pull in enough warm air to keep temperatures above seasonal averages. Its overall grip will begin to weaken later Tuesday as it begins to drift off to the east.

Upper troughing over Texas this morning will begin to lift through the area Tuesday night and Wednesday. In spite of increased cloud cover and minimal rain chances, temperatures will be the warmest day of the week. Rain chances will be minimal at best as the trough passes through and likely restricted to the east and southern parts of the FA and will offer little if any relief to the ongoing drought situation.

Trough clears the state by Wednesday afternoon and will be followed by a fairly strong cold front whose passage will be marked largely by a wind shift to the northwest. Meanwhile, upper pattern will become highly amplified by the end of the week with strong troughing over the Rockies and subsequent downstream troughing over the Ohio Valley and the eastern Conus. This will place the FA in deep northwest flow aloft with surface high pressure dropping into the plains Friday and pretty much on top of us Friday and into Saturday.

Much cooler air will move into the state with highs Friday/Saturday likely not getting out of the 50s with the exception of the far southern part of the FA. Low temperatures across the far north will likely drop to near freezing with Saturday morning showing the majority of the FA at or below freezing.

The cool down will be brief as the aforementioned surface high moves off to the east Sunday and weak ridging returns to bring southerly flow and high temperatures in the 60s Sunday and Monday.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 550 AM CST Mon Nov 9 2026

Patchy fog is producing IFR to even LIFR conditions at some terminals this morning. The fog will burn off quickly with widespread VFR conditions after. Winds will be generally light and from the south to southwest as surface high pressure will dominate.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 72 40 73 48 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 74 42 76 49 / 0 0 10 20 Harrison AR 71 45 72 52 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 73 43 76 51 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 72 46 75 52 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 73 45 76 50 / 0 0 0 10 Mount Ida AR 72 40 75 48 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 68 41 70 48 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 71 42 72 48 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 72 43 75 49 / 0 0 0 10 Russellville AR 70 41 73 49 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 71 41 73 47 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 72 45 75 51 / 0 0 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.