textproduct: Little Rock
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 108 AM CDT Tue Sep 22 2026
- Much cooler temperatures expected the next several days
- Little to no rainfall is expected through much of the next 7-day period
- No improvement in wildfire danger and drought conditions expected over the next 7 days
DISCUSSION
Issued at 108 AM CDT Tue Sep 22 2026
The much anticipated cold front has pushed south across the state as of early this morning. The much cooler and drier air is lagging behind the front by several hundred miles, but as sfc ridging builds south over the next couple of days the more pleasant conditions will be observed. For today, a few lingering showers are possible in the wake of the front but coverage is expected to remain limited in nature.
Sfc ridging is expected to persist from the Great Lakes southward across much of the eastern US through the week as an H500 cutoff low continues to rotate off the east coast. This persistent sfc ridging will provide low level flow out of the E/NE across the state and will help keep temperatures steady through much of the period.
Precip chances through the period remain very low and won't appear in the forecast until the weekend. With this in mind, there just isn't much hope in sight for beneficial rainfall that could improve ongoing drought conditions and wildfire danger.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 514 AM CDT Tue Sep 22 2026
MVFR cigs will remain likely at KHRO/KBPK through the morning hours before improvement is expected by 22/18z. Confidence is low in stratus advancing south as far as KHOT/KLIT. Otherwise, VFR conditions expected through the period with low chances for isolated showers/storms today. Sfc winds will become N/NE at generally less than 10 kts through the period.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 87 61 85 57 / 20 0 0 0 Camden AR 94 66 90 62 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 81 60 80 56 / 30 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 89 65 88 62 / 10 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 89 65 87 62 / 10 0 0 0 Monticello AR 92 68 88 64 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 89 63 88 59 / 10 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 83 59 82 56 / 30 0 0 0 Newport AR 87 62 84 59 / 20 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 91 64 88 60 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 88 64 87 61 / 30 0 0 0 Searcy AR 88 61 86 58 / 10 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 92 65 88 61 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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