textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 146 AM CDT Thu May 7 2026

-Drier conditions expected into Friday

-Chances for rainfall return for portions of the state Friday night

-Better chances for showers and thunderstorms expected on Sunday as a new cold front moves south through the region

DISCUSSION

Issued at 146 AM CDT Thu May 7 2026

Cold front has moved well south of the state as of early this Thu morning...with most intense convective activity well south over MS/AL. Some lingering SHRA continues across SERN sections...which should continue to shift east during the early morning hrs this Thu.

SFC high pressure will settle across the state by this Thu afternoon...with a clearing sky expected for most areas. Highs will be in the 60s and 70s this afternoon. Dry conditions will be dominant. These drier conditions will persist into Fri as well...but temps will warm as the SFC high will shift east...and SRLY SFC flow returns. Expect highs on Fri in the 70s and even low 80s.

The warming trend will continue into Sat as well...through a new cold front will attempt to drop south into the state late Fri into Sat. This may bring some increased POPs for portions of the area...mainly across NRN sections Fri night. Highs on Sat will be in the 70s and 80s.

Better chances for convection come on Sun as a stronger cold front moves south through the region. Some strong/SVR convection could be seen with this front given the time of year...but details regarding the exact SVR threat remain uncertain this far out in time. Drier and calmer conditions will be seen behind this front early next week.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1229 PM CDT Thu May 7 2026

Calm and dry conditions are expected through the period, promoting VFR conditions. Winds will remain mostly light through the period, although out of the north early this afternoon then out of the south by the evening hours and into tonight.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 49 77 56 82 / 0 0 10 0 Camden AR 50 76 57 81 / 0 0 20 20 Harrison AR 48 78 54 81 / 0 10 50 0 Hot Springs AR 49 77 56 82 / 0 0 20 10 Little Rock AR 51 77 57 81 / 0 0 20 10 Monticello AR 52 76 59 81 / 0 0 30 30 Mount Ida AR 48 77 56 82 / 0 0 20 10 Mountain Home AR 46 78 54 81 / 0 10 60 0 Newport AR 50 77 57 82 / 0 0 10 0 Pine Bluff AR 50 76 57 80 / 0 0 10 10 Russellville AR 48 80 57 84 / 0 0 20 0 Searcy AR 47 77 55 81 / 0 0 10 0 Stuttgart AR 51 76 59 81 / 0 0 10 10

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.