textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 248 AM CST Tue Feb 17 2026

-Patchy dense fog will be possible again this morning, favoring central to southern Arkansas.

-Dry conditions with warming temperatures nearing record levels by Thursday.

-Rain chances will return to the forecast late week and into the weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 149 AM CST Tue Feb 17 2026

Early morning satellite depicts some low cloud decks meandering northward across central Arkansas, with some higher level clouds circulating around a building ridge across the region. Some dense fog may develop once again for similar areas that had fog last night, although this low-level cloud deck may delay or prevent fog from forming where those ceilings persist. Otherwise, expect breezy to windy southerly flow gusting 20-30 mph late this morning and through the afternoon hours, with highs reaching into the middle to upper 60s, which is 10-15 degrees above normal.

Not much change is anticipated going through the middle of the week, as temperatures warm well into the 70s, peaking on Thursday. Southerly flow will continue with afternoon breeziness continuing through this period as well.

Low end rain chances return late in the week and into the weekend as a mid-level impulse may advect enough low to mid-level moisture into the region to produce some rainy conditions. The best dynamics continue to remain east of the region, so NBM PoP's and probabilities for certain amounts favor central to eastern Arkansas at this time. After this troughing feature exits to the east going into next week, drier conditions should be favored as ensembles show good agreement on mid-level ridging in place.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 542 AM CST Tue Feb 17 2026

A shield of IFR-LIFR ceilings continue to linger across the central and southern terminals. Some visibility restrictions are accompanying these ceilings, but no widespread dense fog anticipated through the morning hours. Any fog will linger into the mid-morning hours before clearing by the afternoon. Aside from the fog issue, VFR conditions with SCT-BKN mid to high clouds and southerly winds with some occasional gusts 20-25 kts possible during the morning and afternoon hours. More MVFR ceilings likely to develop again tonight for the central and southern terminals.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 66 57 73 58 / 0 10 0 10 Camden AR 68 57 73 59 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 69 56 74 54 / 0 10 0 0 Hot Springs AR 67 57 73 59 / 0 0 0 10 Little Rock AR 68 57 73 59 / 0 10 0 10 Monticello AR 68 59 74 61 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 68 57 75 57 / 0 0 0 10 Mountain Home AR 68 54 75 53 / 0 10 0 10 Newport AR 65 57 72 59 / 0 10 0 10 Pine Bluff AR 67 57 73 59 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 70 56 76 57 / 0 10 0 10 Searcy AR 66 54 73 56 / 0 10 0 10 Stuttgart AR 66 57 71 60 / 0 0 0 10

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.