textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 143 AM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

-Rain and isolated thunderstorm potential will remain through early Saturday morning across the southern half of Arkansas. The chance for POPs will increase tracking southward into southern Arkansas near the Arkansas/Louisiana border.

-Temperatures will remain near average to a few degrees below average through Sunday across the state.

-The next opportunity for statewide rainfall will be by the middle of the upcoming workweek.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 143 AM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

THURSDAY (Today)/FRIDAY/FRIDAY NIGHT:

A stationary boundary is progged to reside across the Gulf States to close out the workweek. As a result POP chances will remain elevated across southern Arkansas and be the highest along the Arkansas/Louisiana.

Expect showers and an isolated thunderstorm possible across southern Arkansas, but rain chances will lower considerably northward into central Arkansas, and will be non-existent into northern Arkansas.

Additionally, expect temperatures over this period to be near average to few degrees below normal.

SATURDAY/SUNDAY/MONDAY:

Surface high pressure will move into the region as a second quick moving cold front will traverse Arkansas Friday and assist in ushering the stationary front offshore and far away in proximity that moisture will no longer be able to move into southern Arkansas and keep POP chances present.

Expect a fair weather period over these three days with temperatures beginning to uptick overall as surface winds transition to out of the southwest across the state by Monday.

TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY:

In the upper lvls, a series of shortwaves with a more-defined positively-tilted trof are progged to move in close proximity to Arkansas. At the sfc, a cold front will approach the Arkansas/Missouri border on Monday night and begin a period of unsettled weather for the remainder of the forecast period.

Expect rain and storm chances to increase statewide. At the moment, the potential for severe weather nearly a week out is too low confidence to discern one way or another, but will continue to monitor closely.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 552 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

Dominant VFR conditions should persist as NERLY SFC flow continues to usher in drier/cooler air. A new upper wave will pass over SRN section on Fri afternoon...which may bring some SHRA to the SRN terminals late in the TAF period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 48 67 46 68 / 0 10 10 0 Camden AR 51 64 48 72 / 20 50 50 0 Harrison AR 46 64 42 65 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 50 66 47 71 / 10 30 20 0 Little Rock AR 51 67 49 70 / 10 20 20 0 Monticello AR 52 65 49 70 / 20 50 60 0 Mount Ida AR 49 66 46 70 / 10 30 20 0 Mountain Home AR 47 65 42 66 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 50 67 48 68 / 0 10 10 0 Pine Bluff AR 51 67 49 70 / 10 30 40 0 Russellville AR 49 68 46 70 / 0 10 10 0 Searcy AR 48 68 46 70 / 10 10 10 0 Stuttgart AR 51 67 51 69 / 10 20 30 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.