textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1145 AM CST Fri Feb 13 2026

-Dry conditions and above normal temperatures through this evening.

-The next storm system will provide widespread rain and thunderstorms to the state this weekend. Some locally heavy rainfall is possible, but the flooding threat remains low.

-Drying out on Sunday afternoon with warming temperatures through early next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1252 AM CST Fri Feb 13 2026

Surface high pressure will continue to control the weather pattern Friday with calm and dry conditions expected through much of the day. A pattern change is expected to move in late Friday into the weekend as an upper level trough is ushered in from the west. At the same time, a strong low pressure system will track across the state bringing unsettled weather to the region, mainly Saturday and into Sunday morning.

As mentioned above, unsettled weather is expected this weekend with Saturday as the rainiest day. Much of the state can expect much needed rainfall from this system with one to two inches possible. With that said, localized amounts of 4+ inches of rain cannot be ruled out. Severe weather chances look to be on the low side as much of the instability is expected to stay south of the state into LA/MS. But a few rumbles of thunder is likely.

Temperatures will remain average to slightly above average through the period. High temperatures are likely to top out in the mid 60s to lower 70s Friday through early next week. Overnight low temperatures are expected to drop into the upper 40s to mid 50s.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1145 AM CST Fri Feb 13 2026

Light east winds and VFR conditions will prevail through this evening and into the early morning hours across much of AR. A few light rain showers will move across the region overnight, mainly after 05z, but will have minimal impact. Expect MVFR ceilings to develop near and after 12z with widespread rain showers across northern AR during the morning. Additional rain showers will increase from west to east during the daytime hours. The greatest rain chances (along with the potential for a few rumbles of thunder) will occur between 18z Saturday and 06z Sunday for most of the area, but this is beyond the current TAF period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 65 46 60 52 / 0 60 100 100 Camden AR 73 53 73 57 / 0 20 80 100 Harrison AR 67 48 59 49 / 0 90 100 90 Hot Springs AR 69 51 70 55 / 0 40 100 100 Little Rock AR 67 50 69 55 / 0 50 100 100 Monticello AR 71 55 73 60 / 0 20 60 100 Mount Ida AR 70 52 68 54 / 10 50 100 100 Mountain Home AR 66 46 57 48 / 0 80 100 100 Newport AR 64 47 62 54 / 0 60 90 100 Pine Bluff AR 69 51 72 56 / 0 40 80 100 Russellville AR 69 51 65 54 / 0 70 100 100 Searcy AR 66 46 65 53 / 0 60 90 100 Stuttgart AR 66 51 70 56 / 0 40 90 100

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.