textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1126 AM CST Sat Nov 14 2026

-Near normal temperatures will persist into next week.

-Some rain chances return Sunday through early Monday for western and southern Arkansas.

-Dry weather expected otherwise for the region through much of the week ahead.

-More sporadic rain chances may return by late next week, but confidence remains low for now.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 110 AM CST Sat Nov 14 2026

No major wholesale changes to the overall forecast, especially in the near-term. Latest observations of temperatures as of 12 AM CST early Saturday morning shows a large swath of temperatures overtaking the state in the 20s and 30s with many areas of the state already in frost and freeze territory.

A Freeze Warning is in place through later Saturday morning for the entire Little Rock CWA as effective overnight radiational cooling is anticipated as a lack of cloud cover and little to no mixing via wind will allow temperatures to plummet overnight and into the early morning hours on Saturday to values and and below freezing for most of the state.

Lower end rainfall chances are forecast to be present across western and southern Arkansas on Sunday. However, rainfall totals continue to lower with a combination of the newest model guidance advertising most total rainfall forecast to be less than a quarter of an inch.

Into the upcoming workweek, a ridge positions over the state of Arkansas and suppresses any precipitation chances. As the work week progresses from mid-work week into late work week temperatures overall will rebound to values near seasonal averages for this time of the year. Additionally, into late work week, a return to southeasterly flow will bring in adequate warming and moisture into the region. PoPs will return to the end of the forecast period as a series of shortwaves meander through the overall flow pattern, but confidence remains too low this far out to make any forecast regarding potential rainfall coverage or totals, but is a welcomed sign nonetheless.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1126 AM CST Sat Nov 14 2026

VFR condns are expected thru the remainder of Sat, w/ only passing high cloud cover to note, and mainly light Erly winds at area terminals. Overnight Sat night, incrsg covg of high OVC cloud covg is expected to expand Ewrd fm Wrn to SWrn AR, asctd w/ passing rain, though no impacts are expected near terminals thru the PD.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 54 30 57 32 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 57 36 55 38 / 0 0 30 60 Harrison AR 51 31 53 31 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 56 34 55 35 / 0 0 20 60 Little Rock AR 55 36 58 39 / 0 0 0 10 Monticello AR 56 37 57 41 / 0 0 10 20 Mount Ida AR 55 32 53 32 / 0 0 40 90 Mountain Home AR 51 30 54 30 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 54 30 58 32 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 56 33 58 37 / 0 0 0 20 Russellville AR 54 34 55 36 / 0 0 0 20 Searcy AR 54 31 58 34 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 55 34 59 38 / 0 0 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.