textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 220 AM CDT Tue May 12 2026

- High pressure results in quiet conds over the next several days

- Breezy conds are expected to return into the weekend

- Temps should top out above average through the weekend

- Rain chances return late Sunday night into Monday

DISCUSSION

Issued at 220 AM CDT Tue May 12 2026

All was quiet across AR this Tuesday morning beneath high pressure. Temps ranged from the upper 40s to mid 50s under mostly clear skies. Today, skies will remain mostly clear with highs topping out in the upper 70s to lower 80s on light and variable winds.

Synoptically, NW flow aloft will reside over the region between an amplified ridge near the Four Corners region and subtle trough along the Nrn Gulf Coast. A weak cold front will push into the state overnight Tuesday night increasing clouds and bringing perhaps an isolated shower to Nrn AR. Slightly drier air will advect into the region on N/NErly winds through Wednesday with mostly clear skies returning.

Compact upper ridging will advance Ewrd across the Rockies/Plains on Wednesday into Thursday. A series of upper level energy/vort maxima's will pass through the flow, however deep moisture favoring precip appears to be lacking at the moment, thus precluding mentions of PoPs.

By Friday, the pattern in anticipated to become more zonal, with deepening surface lows out over the Plains. Increasing PGF should promote breezy conds on Saturday into Sunday, especially into the afternoon hours. As mentioned in the prior days, upper level energy is set to pass over the region bringing slight chance PoPs favored more to times of the day corresponding with peak daytime heating. Overall, PoPs are sparse with no appreciable QPF expected.

Better PoP chances return across the region late Sunday night into Monday. A shift from quasi-zonal pattern to more meridional component will result from a deepening upper trough over the Four Corners region. Short wave energy is anticipated to eject out over the region on Monday. Given the duration of return flow in place, moisture should be adequate for showers and thunderstorms across AR. Temps through the period should be in the upper 70s to mid 80s for highs and lows in the 50s and 60s. The warmest temps are expected Friday through Sunday where highs may top near 90 or into the lower 90s in places with lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1206 PM CDT Tue May 12 2026

VFR conditions expected through the period. Variable winds across the area this afternoon with occasional gusts to around 15 kts will become light overnight. A dry cold front will move through from north to south Wednesday morning, bringing N winds in its wake.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 58 83 53 80 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 52 87 57 85 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 59 80 52 82 / 20 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 55 86 58 83 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 56 84 56 82 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 55 86 59 83 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 55 85 57 83 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 58 80 49 81 / 10 0 0 0 Newport AR 58 84 54 81 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 54 85 56 82 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 57 86 55 84 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 54 84 52 81 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 56 84 57 81 / 0 0 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.