textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 108 AM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

- Warming temperatures will be seen again across the forecast area this afternoon.

- Very dry air, critically dry short-term fuels, and gusty southwest winds will keep local wildfire danger elevated again this afternoon.

- A cold front on Wednesday will usher in a period of more seasonable to cooler than normal temperatures through the end of the week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 108 AM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

Not many changes to advertise to the forecast, w/ warming trends expected thru mid-week prior to the arrival of an initial cdfrnt on Wed, w/ colder and seasonable temps returning thru the end of the week.

Recent objective sfc analysts depicted sfc high pressure draped acrs the Srn Gulf Coast, w/ strong sfc low pressure moving over the Great Lakes region. Another warm day is on deck for the Natural State, w/ afternoon temps expected to climb to the mid to upper 60s today. In addition to warmer temps, gusty W-SWrly winds wl overspread the region, w/ gusts of 20-25 kts possible over much of Nrn AR. This wl also contribute to an elevated threat of wildfire danger as area short term fuel moisture remain very dry (generally 10%).

Wed, a strong cdfrnt is expected to sweep acrs the state thru the day, ushering in more seasonable air to the Srn Cntrl US. Some low- chc PoPs may accompany the FROPA Wed aftn to evng, mainly acrs Nrn to NErn AR, but overall rainfall amounts are expected to remain minimal, generally less than a few tenths of an inch. In the wake of this frnt, cold morning lows wl overspread the state on Thurs mrng, w/ area temps in the upper teens to low to mid 20s, and wind chill values generally in the teens.

Thru the end of the week, cooler and settled weather will prevail as mean upper troughing stays rooted over the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes regions, driving broad subsidence over the FA. Per the latest suite of GFS/ECMWF guidance, another cdfrnt looks to move thru the Cntrl US on Sat, w/ colder morning temps and wind chills possible on Sun mrng, e.g., low temps in the mid to upper teens and wind chills in the single digits acrs Nrn AR.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 44 48 23 43 / 60 30 0 0 Camden AR 42 58 25 47 / 10 10 0 0 Harrison AR 42 45 20 44 / 40 10 0 0 Hot Springs AR 43 54 25 47 / 20 20 0 0 Little Rock AR 44 53 26 44 / 40 40 0 0 Monticello AR 45 56 27 46 / 10 30 0 0 Mount Ida AR 44 53 24 49 / 10 10 0 0 Mountain Home AR 42 45 20 42 / 50 10 0 0 Newport AR 43 49 23 41 / 60 40 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 44 55 25 44 / 20 40 0 0 Russellville AR 43 52 24 47 / 20 10 0 0 Searcy AR 41 51 22 43 / 50 40 0 0 Stuttgart AR 43 53 25 42 / 30 40 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.