textproduct: Little Rock

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 256 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

- Settled weather, cooler morning low temperatures and dry conditions will persist through the week.

- Low-end rain chances return to portions of eastern Arkansas by next weekend.

- No other hazardous weather is anticipated.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 256 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

Recent objective mesoanalysis depicted broad surface high pressure extending over the Midwest and Great Lakes Vcty, w/ the Natural State under the SWrn periphery of anticyclonic sfc flow. Thru the week, H500 ridging is progged to build over the Wrn US, w/ mean NWrly flow persisting acrs the Cntrl to Ern US. This wl keep sfc high pressure in place over the Ern half of the US, w/ local high pressure keeping the pattern settled, dry, and warm. Low temps wl persist in the 40s to 50s, w/ afternoon highs topping out in the upper 70s to low 80s.

By this weekend, low-end rain chances remain possible as weak and detached upper-lvl cyclonic flow fm the west coast moves Ewrd acrs the Rio Grande valley, and interacts w/ a developing tropical system slowly moving Nwrd towards the Gulf coast. Greatest confidence lies acrs the Ern half of the state for appreciable rain chances and rain totals up to a half inch, though most wl lkly see less than that to none over the next 7 days.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 536 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

VFR condns wl prevail thru the PD as sfc high pressure settles over the FA, w/ light northeast winds thru Tues aftn.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 81 52 85 56 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 87 57 90 56 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 80 55 84 59 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 84 56 87 57 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 83 56 85 57 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 86 59 89 59 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 84 53 86 54 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 79 51 84 57 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 81 52 84 57 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 84 55 87 56 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 83 54 86 57 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 82 53 86 56 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 83 56 86 56 / 0 0 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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