textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 122 AM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

- Temperatures should be near average today and Saturday

- Moderating trend expected next week with temperatures well above average

- Rain chances return by middle part of next week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 122 AM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

Weather conditions were quiet across AR this morning. Low stratus was noted streaming Swrd via infrared satellite imagery over Wrn half of AR. Predawn temps ranged from the lower 20s to lower 30s. After Nrly winds and cooler temps were felt yesterday, winds will become Wrly today with temps topping out in the upper 50s (W AR), low/mid 50s (Cntrl AR), to the lower/mid 40s (Ern AR). Clouds will be noted this morning with skies becoming mostly sunny this afternoon.

Looking ahead into Friday, NW flow will be in place aloft between amplified ridge over the Rockies/Srn Plains and trough invof New England. At the surface, Wrly winds during the day should switch to the N in the wake of dry frontal passage. Highs on Friday will be warm with temps climbing into the mid 60s to mid 70s.

Slightly colder conditions will be felt on Saturday thanks to N/NErly winds. High temps will be nearly identical to readings forecast today (Thursday). Afterwards, the aforementioned upper ridge will approach the mid-MS Valley region with surface high to our N departing towards OH Valley region. Surface winds will switch to the SW with temps warming well above average. Temps beyond Saturday should top out in the mid/upper 60s to middle 70s.

Synoptically, ridge axis will pass over the region Tuesday with a developing compact closed low taking shape over Mexico. This upper low will weaken over time becoming an open wave as it passes over the region within background SW flow. PoP chances will increase locally as large scale forcing for ascent overspreads the region. Timing of precip appears to be Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday morning. Dew point temps are expected to climb into the lower/middle 50s, thus currently thinking the threat for severe weather appears low.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1113 AM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

Widepsread VFR conditions are expected through the period. Surface winds will be out of the west to southwest with some gusts possible. High clouds are expected to filter into towards the end of the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 50 36 69 31 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 57 39 74 38 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 56 38 66 30 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 57 39 74 37 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 53 38 71 35 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 54 41 72 38 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 60 41 75 36 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 54 35 65 29 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 45 32 66 33 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 52 38 71 35 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 57 35 71 34 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 50 32 69 31 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 48 35 68 35 / 0 0 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.