textproduct: Little Rock
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 153 AM CDT Sat May 23 2026
-A Dense Fog Advisory has been issued until later this morning across portions of western, northern, central, and southern Arkansas for the hazard of patchy, dense fog which may lower visibility to a quarter of a mile or less
-Drier conditions across much of the state for Saturday morning.
-Chances for showers and thunderstorms forecast off and on through much of next week
-Threat for severe weather remains low...and locally heavy rainfall possible over the forecast period
DISCUSSION
Issued at 153 AM CDT Sat May 23 2026
n unsettled weather pattern will continue across the CWA and state of Arkansas over the forecast period. The tandem of a series of upper lvl shortwaves and an upper lvl approaching closed low toward the end of the period coupled with a stationary boundary that will remain draped across Arkansas for the forecast period will keep chances for rain and isolated thunderstorms elevated over the period.
The boundary will meander at times across the state and result in higher POP chances across Arkansas for some days compared to others. Each day will not be a complete washout, but elevated chances for POPs will be present across the state over the forecast period, widespread heavy rainfall chances do remain low. Although, any rainfall which can be added to our statewide totals is overall welcomed news given the drought scenario across Arkansas.
For the Memorial Day Weekend, a small window on Saturday (today) will exist across northeastern Arkansas where POP chances will lower and many location may fail to see appreciable rainfall or any at all.
Looking at Memorial Day Weekend and continuing into the next workweek, POP chances as advertised above will continue to be elevated throughout the entire period. Total rainfall over the period is forecast to range from 1 to 2 inches across the northern half of Arkansas with isolated higher amounts; however, the rainfall will be dispersed over the period of a week. Across the southern portion of Arkansas, forecast total rainfall over the period is forecast to be between 1.5 and 3.5 inches of total rainfall which is anticipated to fall over the 7 day period beginning today.
Temperatures over this period will be near normal for high temperatures, but given the rainfall and overall overcast cloud cover conditions for much of the period, thus low temperatures are expected to be slightly above normal.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 648 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026
Overall, MVFR to VFR conditions appear common across the state right now with light to moderate showers possible through this evening. With that said, some terminals could still see IFR conditions with restrictions related to TSRA and/or low CIGs. Improvements in flying conditions are expected tonight as rain moves away from the area.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 63 80 64 77 / 40 30 50 60 Camden AR 64 80 64 78 / 40 30 60 60 Harrison AR 60 79 62 77 / 60 10 10 30 Hot Springs AR 64 81 65 77 / 30 20 40 50 Little Rock AR 64 80 65 77 / 40 30 50 50 Monticello AR 66 79 66 78 / 40 50 80 80 Mount Ida AR 64 80 66 77 / 30 20 30 60 Mountain Home AR 61 80 62 77 / 60 20 20 40 Newport AR 65 82 65 79 / 40 40 60 70 Pine Bluff AR 66 80 66 78 / 40 30 60 70 Russellville AR 64 82 65 79 / 40 10 20 50 Searcy AR 63 81 63 77 / 40 30 50 60 Stuttgart AR 67 80 67 78 / 40 30 70 60
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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