textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 143 AM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

-Rain and isolated thunderstorm potential will remain through early Saturday morning across the southern half of Arkansas. The chance for POPs will increase tracking southward into southern Arkansas near the Arkansas/Louisiana border.

-Temperatures will remain near average to a few degrees below average through Sunday across the state.

-The next opportunity for statewide rainfall will be by the middle of the upcoming workweek.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 143 AM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

THURSDAY (Today)/FRIDAY/FRIDAY NIGHT:

A stationary boundary is progged to reside across the Gulf States to close out the workweek. As a result POP chances will remain elevated across southern Arkansas and be the highest along the Arkansas/Louisiana.

Expect showers and an isolated thunderstorm possible across southern Arkansas, but rain chances will lower considerably northward into central Arkansas, and will be non-existent into northern Arkansas.

Additionally, expect temperatures over this period to be near average to few degrees below normal.

SATURDAY/SUNDAY/MONDAY:

Surface high pressure will move into the region as a second quick moving cold front will traverse Arkansas Friday and assist in ushering the stationary front offshore and far away in proximity that moisture will no longer be able to move into southern Arkansas and keep POP chances present.

Expect a fair weather period over these three days with temperatures beginning to uptick overall as surface winds transition to out of the southwest across the state by Monday.

TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY:

In the upper lvls, a series of shortwaves with a more-defined positively-tilted trof are progged to move in close proximity to Arkansas. At the sfc, a cold front will approach the Arkansas/Missouri border on Monday night and begin a period of unsettled weather for the remainder of the forecast period.

Expect rain and storm chances to increase statewide. At the moment, the potential for severe weather nearly a week out is too low confidence to discern one way or another, but will continue to monitor closely.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 558 AM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

Increasing clouds and lowering ceilings ahead of another disturbance will encompass the region by this evening. Rain chances will increase during the evening hours for the central to southern terminals, so introduced VCSH conditions in that general area into the early overnight hours. Ceilings not expected to dip below 5 kft at this time. Winds will prevail out of the northeasterly direction with some afternoon gustiness across the region before subsiding to light and variable tonight.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 67 49 68 47 / 10 10 10 10 Camden AR 69 52 65 47 / 30 40 40 50 Harrison AR 66 46 66 43 / 10 10 0 0 Hot Springs AR 67 51 66 47 / 20 30 20 30 Little Rock AR 67 52 68 49 / 10 20 20 20 Monticello AR 69 53 67 50 / 10 30 40 50 Mount Ida AR 67 49 66 46 / 20 30 20 20 Mountain Home AR 67 47 66 43 / 10 10 0 0 Newport AR 68 51 68 49 / 10 10 10 10 Pine Bluff AR 68 52 67 48 / 10 30 30 40 Russellville AR 69 50 68 47 / 10 10 10 10 Searcy AR 67 49 68 47 / 10 10 10 10 Stuttgart AR 68 52 67 50 / 10 20 20 30

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.