textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 153 AM CDT Sat May 23 2026

-A Dense Fog Advisory has been issued until later this morning across portions of western, northern, central, and southern Arkansas for the hazard of patchy, dense fog which may lower visibility to a quarter of a mile or less

-Drier conditions across much of the state for Saturday morning

-Chances for showers and thunderstorms forecast off and on through much of next week

-Threat for severe weather remains low...and locally heavy rainfall possible over the forecast period

DISCUSSION

Issued at 153 AM CDT Sat May 23 2026

n unsettled weather pattern will continue across the CWA and state of Arkansas over the forecast period. The tandem of a series of upper lvl shortwaves and an upper lvl approaching closed low toward the end of the period coupled with a stationary boundary that will remain draped across Arkansas for the forecast period will keep chances for rain and isolated thunderstorms elevated over the period.

The boundary will meander at times across the state and result in higher POP chances across Arkansas for some days compared to others. Each day will not be a complete washout, but elevated chances for POPs will be present across the state over the forecast period, widespread heavy rainfall chances do remain low. Although, any rainfall which can be added to our statewide totals is overall welcomed news given the drought scenario across Arkansas.

For the Memorial Day Weekend, a small window on Saturday (today) will exist across northeastern Arkansas where POP chances will lower and many location may fail to see appreciable rainfall or any at all.

Looking at Memorial Day Weekend and continuing into the next workweek, POP chances as advertised above will continue to be elevated throughout the entire period. Total rainfall over the period is forecast to range from 1 to 2 inches across the northern half of Arkansas with isolated higher amounts; however, the rainfall will be dispersed over the period of a week. Across the southern portion of Arkansas, forecast total rainfall over the period is forecast to be between 1.5 and 3.5 inches of total rainfall which is anticipated to fall over the 7 day period beginning today.

Temperatures over this period will be near normal for high temperatures, but given the rainfall and overall overcast cloud cover conditions for much of the period, thus low temperatures are expected to be slightly above normal.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1245 AM CDT Sat May 23 2026

Wide IFR conditions are expected through mid morning for both low visibility and low ceilings although the terminals may clear out briefly at times. Conditions will slowly improve to VFR for all TAF sites with MVFR conditions returning late in the period. Winds will remain light and generally from the south to southeast.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 81 63 81 65 / 10 50 60 60 Camden AR 85 64 81 64 / 70 60 60 70 Harrison AR 80 61 79 63 / 50 40 30 10 Hot Springs AR 83 64 81 65 / 70 30 60 50 Little Rock AR 82 64 81 65 / 40 40 60 50 Monticello AR 85 66 81 66 / 50 50 80 70 Mount Ida AR 82 64 81 66 / 70 40 50 40 Mountain Home AR 81 61 80 63 / 30 50 40 20 Newport AR 82 64 83 66 / 10 40 70 60 Pine Bluff AR 84 65 81 66 / 50 50 70 70 Russellville AR 83 64 82 66 / 50 40 50 40 Searcy AR 82 62 82 64 / 30 40 60 60 Stuttgart AR 83 67 81 67 / 40 50 70 70

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for ARZ004>006- 014-015-024-031-032-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-103-112-113- 121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-237-238-240- 241-313-340-341.