textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1217 PM CDT Tue Sep 22 2026

- Cooler temperatures expected the next several days

- Low (20-30%) rain chances return late this weekend into early next week.

- No improvement in wildfire danger and drought conditions expected over the next 7 days

DISCUSSION

Issued at 108 AM CDT Tue Sep 22 2026

The much anticipated cold front has pushed south across the state as of early this morning. The much cooler and drier air is lagging behind the front by several hundred miles, but as sfc ridging builds south over the next couple of days the more pleasant conditions will be observed. For today, a few lingering showers are possible in the wake of the front but coverage is expected to remain limited in nature.

Sfc ridging is expected to persist from the Great Lakes southward across much of the eastern US through the week as an H500 cutoff low continues to rotate off the east coast. This persistent sfc ridging will provide low level flow out of the E/NE across the state and will help keep temperatures steady through much of the period.

Precip chances through the period remain very low and won't appear in the forecast until the weekend. With this in mind, there just isn't much hope in sight for beneficial rainfall that could improve ongoing drought conditions and wildfire danger.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 622 PM CDT Tue Sep 22 2026

Satellite this evening shows another shield of low stratus over eastern and central Missouri moving south toward the state. Hi- res models shows the low stratus deck moving into and across parts of northern Arkansas after 06z impacting parts of northern Arkansas early Wednesday morning. Model guidance shows KHRO being the most likely of the terminals to see impacts from low status early Wednesday. Ceilings are expected to lift by mid morning on Wednesday with isolated showers and thunderstorms possible mainly over western Arkansas. Light east to northeast winds are expected through the forecast period. Otherwise, VFR conditions will persist through the forecast period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 61 84 57 83 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 66 90 61 87 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 60 81 55 80 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 65 88 60 86 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 66 87 61 85 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 68 89 63 86 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 63 88 58 86 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 59 81 55 81 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 62 83 58 82 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 64 87 59 85 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 64 87 60 86 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 62 85 58 84 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 65 88 60 86 / 0 0 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.