textproduct: Little Rock
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 200 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026
- Showers and thunderstorms will continue through mid-morning across the southeast half of Arkansas; severe weather is not expected
- High pressure will move into the region on Sunday and Monday bringing colder and drier conditions to Arkansas
- Gradual warming trend anticipated through mid-week
DISCUSSION
Issued at 200 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026
Regional WSR-88D radars depicted an expansive area of convection, including embedded thunderstorms, situated across a good portion of the Srn MS Valley early this Saturday morning. Across AR, the back edge of precipitation was aligned along and parallel to the I-30/I-57 corridors, with light to moderate rainfall being observed across a good chunk of E and SE AR. This activity will meander Ewrd eventually pushing E of the MS River by mid-to-late morning. This round of unsettled weather is the result of an upper level trough pivoting across the Cntrl CONUS in association with a passing surface low invof ArkLaMiss region.
Skies should gradually clear from NW to SE through the afternoon hours today. NW winds will increase by mid-morning as high pressure approaches the region from the NW in the wake of the frontal passage. While not cold by January standards, temps will feel cooler today compared to the previous several days as highs are only anticipated to top out the upper 40s to near 60 degs.
Upper level winds will transition to NWrly component as a strong closed low dips out of Canada into the Great Lakes region on Sunday. Temps on Sunday should be coolest during the period with readings remaining in the mid 40s to near 50 degs for highs. By early/middle part of next week, NW flow should remain in place however surface winds should switch to return flow as high pressure slides E of the region. Surface temps are anticipated to modify.
Looking towards the middle part of next week, an upper level trough could dive SEwrd across the nations mid-section. This feature should bring another shot of colder air to the region. At this time moisture looks very limited thus no mention of PoPs at the moment. Will continue to monitor this portion of the forecast over the coming days to see if better moisture return can be realized ahead of the cold front. Temps during this period of time should be above average for this time of year.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 545 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026
Winds will slacken this evening as the pressure gradient weakens between a departing cold front and building high pressure. All terminals will be VFR through the period with mainly clear skies.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 30 47 27 58 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 32 51 26 56 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 26 44 28 60 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 34 50 27 56 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 34 48 28 56 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 36 50 29 56 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 33 51 27 59 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 26 45 25 61 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 31 46 27 55 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 34 48 28 55 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 31 50 27 59 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 31 48 25 56 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 33 46 28 53 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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