textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 129 AM CST Mon Dec 29 2025

-Much colder high temperatures expected Today and Tuesday across the state.

-Temperatures will moderate quickly by Wednesday and run 7-10 degree above normal through the early next weekend and possibly longer.

- Next chances for rainfall will be late this weekend into the weekend as a disturbance passes over the state.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 129 PM CST Mon Dec 29 2025

Satellite early this morning continues to showed strong surface cyclogenesis beneath a very strong shortwave that is traversing across the Great Lakes region this morning. The aforementioned feature helped drag a strong cold front through Arkansas on Sunday. The front brought windy conditions to the state with a few gusts as high as 50 mph observed to some areas across Arkansas. A thin line of showers formed along the front over parts of north and central into parts of southern Arkansas. Rainfall amounts of one quarter inch or less were observed with the line as it moved across the central, northern, and eastern parts of the state.

An arctic airmass continues to filter into the state early this morning behind the front with temperatures continuing to plummet. Wind chill values this morning around sunrise will likely be in the 20s from Little Rock southward and teens and single digits elsewhere. On Tuesday, northwest flow over the state will keep temperatures cold with highs just a few degrees warmer than Monday. By Wednesday, CAA over the state will be significant weaker coupled with good diurnal heating allowing temperatures to soar well into the 50s.

By Thursday, flow across the state will become more westerly with surface winds veering to the south/southwest allowing warmer air and shallow moisture to advect north into the state. Both deterministic models show the long wave trough over the eastern US continuing to lift north into Canada during the latter part of the work week allowing flow across the state to become westerly. A shortwave will traverse the southern Plains on Thursday and bring the disturbance across the state around the Friday into Saturday time with chances for rain across the eastern half of Arkansas.

High temperatures during the latter part of the work week into the weekend will average around 7 to 10 degrees above normal. Low temperatures overnight will gradually moderate into the 40s by Friday, before dropping back into the 30s behind the front early this weekend.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 525 PM CST Mon Dec 29 2025

SKC conditions will prevail during this forecast period. A northwest surface flow at 4-7kts will prevail through 12z, with the overflow becoming westerly after 18z.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 21 44 31 56 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 23 45 28 58 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 18 45 31 55 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 23 46 30 58 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 24 44 30 57 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 26 45 32 59 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 23 48 30 60 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 18 44 29 54 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 22 41 29 54 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 24 44 30 57 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 23 46 29 57 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 21 42 28 55 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 23 41 30 54 / 0 0 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.