textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 128 AM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

-Continued light to moderate rain will be likely through early Sunday morning for parts of the state.

-Patchy fog will be possible across portions of the state early Sunday morning.

-Drying out on Sunday afternoon with warming temperatures through early next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 128 AM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

To begin the period, a surface low pressure system continues to track across the state bringing light to moderate rain showers over mainly the eastern half of the state through early Sunday morning. Rain is expected to gradually come to an end during the morning hours Sunday as the low pressure continues to track towards the east.

Additional rainfall amounts of up to a quarter to half an inch will be possible as this system departs. Even though heavy rain fell much of Saturday afternoon and evening across the state, recent drought conditions will likely keep the chance of any flooding concerns low at this time. Also, patchy fog will be possible across portions of the state early Sunday morning.

A ridge of high pressure will move into the state behind the low pressure system promoting mostly calm and dry conditions. This pattern is expected to last through at the least the middle of the upcoming week.

Temperatures will remain average to slightly above average through the period. High temperatures are likely to top out in the mid 60s to lower 70s Friday through early next week. Overnight low

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 456 PM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

VFR conditions will begin the forecast period across most terminals with the exception of the southeastern site of KLLQ for lowered CIGS in MVFR. The CIGS will quickly lift a few hours into the forecast period. VSBY is expected to lower across most terminals in excess of LIFR flight category beginning early Monday morning and lasting through late Monday morning as dense fog is expected across a large portion of the state. All sites will return to VFR flight category late Monday morning as fog will dissipate. The site of KPBF has been designated as "AMD NOT SKED" due to a lack of observational data due to a communication issue which is the process of being troubleshot.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 39 66 47 70 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 41 68 47 73 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 40 69 47 71 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 41 66 46 70 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 41 66 47 72 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 44 69 50 73 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 40 69 47 70 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 37 68 45 70 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 39 61 47 67 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 40 66 47 71 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 39 68 45 72 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 38 65 44 70 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 41 63 48 68 / 0 0 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.