textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 136 AM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

-Warming conditions today...with a new front bringing cooler conditions for Sunday

-Chances for some showers return to the forecast along/ahead of the front this evening into early Sunday

-Drier conditions return briefly for Sunday into Sunday evening...then a warm front lifts north Sunday night into Monday. Precip chances return Monday into Tuesday

-Very warm conditions and little precipitation expected by the middle to latter half of the upcoming week and Christmas Holiday

DISCUSSION

Issued at 136 AM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

SFC high pressure moved east on Fri afternoon...with SRLY flow increasing across the state during the overnight period. As a result...temps ranged significantly across the state from the 40s and 50s where winds were increased...to the 20s and 30s where winds were calm. These SRLY winds will continue into the afternoon hrs this Sat...with moisture levels increasing and temps warming. Highs this afternoon will be in the upper 50s to upper 60s. While mainly dry conditions are expected through the afternoon hrs...some increased clouds and potentially some DZ could be seen for central/SRN sections ahead of a new approaching cold front.

The aforementioned cold front will drop SE into the state late this afternoon from the NW...with cooler and drier air pushing back into the state for Sun. Along/ahead of this front...some increased chances for SHRA will return to the forecast for central and mainly SERN sections of the state tonight into early Sun. Chances for precip then decrease as the front drops south of AR by Sun afternoon. Highs on Sun will drop back into the 40s and 50s for most areas behind this front.

SRLY flow will return for early next week as the front south of AR lifts back north as a warm front. As this happens...some additional chances for SHRA will be seen on Mon into Tue. By the middle of next week...upper level ridging will increase across the region. This will decrease precip chances through much of the rest of the forecast...as well as bringing well above normal conditions to the region. Temps by late next week will be in the 70s...approaching 80 at times for highs. Lows will be in the 50s for most areas as well. Some of the afternoon highs may approach record levels for late Dec.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 520 PM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

Stratus deck continues across mainly southern and central AR this evening with mainly MVFR conditions expected to continue. A cold front will move across the terminals tonight and Sunday with winds veering to the N/NE after it passes with winds approaching 15 knots at times. A few sprinkles may accompany the front but the chances of this occurring are low enough that no precip will be included in the terminals.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 36 51 35 58 / 0 0 0 20 Camden AR 47 58 47 68 / 30 10 20 30 Harrison AR 33 51 36 61 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 43 55 43 63 / 10 0 10 10 Little Rock AR 40 54 41 60 / 10 0 0 30 Monticello AR 49 59 48 67 / 40 20 10 50 Mount Ida AR 43 57 43 65 / 10 0 10 10 Mountain Home AR 33 52 34 59 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 37 51 36 59 / 0 0 0 30 Pine Bluff AR 43 56 44 65 / 20 10 10 40 Russellville AR 39 56 40 61 / 0 0 0 10 Searcy AR 36 53 36 59 / 0 0 0 20 Stuttgart AR 41 54 42 62 / 10 0 0 40

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.