textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1212 AM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

-Cold conditions this morning as high pressure settles across the region

-Warming condtions expected into Tuesday...with some chances for showers returning to the forecast on Tuesday

-Slight cooler conditions expected by mid-week...but will be short- lived as warmer temperatures will return by late this week this week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1212 AM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

Mostly quiet conditions are ongoing across the Natural State early this Sun morning as SFC high pressure is settling across the region. A weak upper wave is passing just west of AR...which is creating some cloud cover and possibly a few scattered flurries across far WRN sections early this morning. No impacts are expected with this activity. Otherwise...temps will drop into the teens for most areas...with some single digit lows possible across NERN sections where clouds will be more limited.

The SFC high will shift SE by Sun afternoon...with a return of SRLY flow. This will allow for temps to begin a warming trend over the next few days. For today...temps will be about 10 to maybe 15 deg warmer than observed on Sat...with highs in the 30s and 40s.

The SRLY SFC flow will persist into Tue...with temps each day warming further. Highs will warm into the 50s for most areas Mon and Tue...with a few areas approaching the low 60s. The SRLY flow will also allow for some increasing moisture ahead of an approaching upper shortwave that will move east across the region on Tue. Chances for SHRA return to the forecast with this upper wave...with a new cold front progressing east through the region on Tue.

Temps will cool back down some for Wed and Thu behind this new cold front...but not expecting extreme cold like was previously observed. By late in the forecast...temps look to gradually warm above normal by next weekend.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1009 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

Generally light south to variable winds will be seen overnight into Mon morning before SRLY/SWRLY flow increases some by midday Mon. Otherwise...only some mid/high level clouds are expected...with dominant VFR conditions expected.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 24 52 35 54 / 0 0 0 40 Camden AR 25 64 44 60 / 0 0 20 80 Harrison AR 27 56 37 49 / 0 0 10 10 Hot Springs AR 25 57 41 58 / 0 0 20 50 Little Rock AR 25 53 38 55 / 0 0 10 60 Monticello AR 28 61 44 59 / 0 0 0 90 Mount Ida AR 27 60 43 59 / 0 0 20 50 Mountain Home AR 22 53 33 50 / 0 0 0 10 Newport AR 22 47 33 51 / 0 0 0 50 Pine Bluff AR 25 55 40 56 / 0 0 10 80 Russellville AR 23 58 38 58 / 0 0 10 20 Searcy AR 20 52 33 55 / 0 0 10 50 Stuttgart AR 24 51 38 53 / 0 0 0 70

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.