textproduct: Little Rock
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1215 PM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026
- Scattered showers will linger across southeast Arkansas through Sunday evening as a stalled front begins to advance southward.
- Much cooler temperatures are forecast over the region into the new work week as drier air filters in behind a cold front.
- Dry and settled weather expected through the coming week, with temperatures at or above normal.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 259 AM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026
Recent radar imgry depicted weak precipitation E-N/E acrs SWrn to Cntrl AR. Expect this precip activity to continue over the Srn half of the state thru early Sun aftn, along and ahead of a cdfrnt that wl be moving SEwrd. Behind this cdfrnt, drier air wl filter into the state, w/ lower stratus and drizzle giving way to clearing skies by the late aftn to early evng timeframe.
Thru the coming week, intermittent H500 ridging remains progged to build acrs the Wrn to Cntrl US. As drier air and sfc high pressure settles over the Mid-South Sun night into Mon, dry and much more seasonable condns are forecast. Mon thru at least Wed mornings, low temps are expected to fall to the 40s to 50s, w/ afternoon highs topping out in the upper 70s to low 80s. Wed thru the remainder of the week, sfc temps wl trend upwards again. Late in the PD, by next weekend, some rain chances return to the forecast, possibly associated w/ a tropical system developing in the Gulf, but confidence remains low attm.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1215 PM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026
Some scattered to broken high level clouds remain across generally central to southern Arkansas. Anticipating skies to gradually scatter out over the forecast period. Otherwise, northerly to northeasterly winds will prevail through the period.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 54 79 50 80 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 57 84 54 85 / 10 0 0 0 Harrison AR 54 80 51 80 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 57 82 54 83 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 58 82 54 82 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 60 83 56 84 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 55 82 51 83 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 54 81 49 80 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 54 79 50 79 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 56 83 52 83 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 56 82 52 82 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 56 81 51 81 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 56 83 53 83 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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