textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 122 AM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

- Temperatures should be near average today and Saturday

- Moderating trend expected next week with temperatures well above average

- Rain chances return by middle part of next week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 122 AM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

Weather conditions were quiet across AR this morning. Low stratus was noted streaming Swrd via infrared satellite imagery over Wrn half of AR. Predawn temps ranged from the lower 20s to lower 30s. After Nrly winds and cooler temps were felt yesterday, winds will become Wrly today with temps topping out in the upper 50s (W AR), low/mid 50s (Cntrl AR), to the lower/mid 40s (Ern AR). Clouds will be noted this morning with skies becoming mostly sunny this afternoon.

Looking ahead into Friday, NW flow will be in place aloft between amplified ridge over the Rockies/Srn Plains and trough invof New England. At the surface, Wrly winds during the day should switch to the N in the wake of dry frontal passage. Highs on Friday will be warm with temps climbing into the mid 60s to mid 70s.

Slightly colder conditions will be felt on Saturday thanks to N/NErly winds. High temps will be nearly identical to readings forecast today (Thursday). Afterwards, the aforementioned upper ridge will approach the mid-MS Valley region with surface high to our N departing towards OH Valley region. Surface winds will switch to the SW with temps warming well above average. Temps beyond Saturday should top out in the mid/upper 60s to middle 70s.

Synoptically, ridge axis will pass over the region Tuesday with a developing compact closed low taking shape over Mexico. This upper low will weaken over time becoming an open wave as it passes over the region within background SW flow. PoP chances will increase locally as large scale forcing for ascent overspreads the region. Timing of precip appears to be Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday morning. Dew point temps are expected to climb into the lower/middle 50s, thus currently thinking the threat for severe weather appears low.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 510 PM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

VFR conditions expected to persist through the period with no major concerns for low cigs or reduced vsby. Westerly winds will gradually become NW on Friday as a cold front moves through from north to south across the state. Sustained winds of 10-15 kts will be common along with gusts above 20 kts at times.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 37 67 31 47 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 39 76 36 57 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 40 62 29 53 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 40 74 36 56 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 38 71 34 50 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 42 74 38 53 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 41 75 35 58 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 36 62 28 50 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 32 64 31 45 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 38 72 34 51 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 37 70 33 55 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 33 69 31 48 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 36 69 34 49 / 0 0 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.