textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 220 AM CDT Tue May 12 2026

- High pressure results in quiet conds over the next several days

- Breezy conds are expected to return into the weekend

- Temps should top out above average through the weekend

- Rain chances return late Sunday night into Monday

DISCUSSION

Issued at 220 AM CDT Tue May 12 2026

All was quiet across AR this Tuesday morning beneath high pressure. Temps ranged from the upper 40s to mid 50s under mostly clear skies. Today, skies will remain mostly clear with highs topping out in the upper 70s to lower 80s on light and variable winds.

Synoptically, NW flow aloft will reside over the region between an amplified ridge near the Four Corners region and subtle trough along the Nrn Gulf Coast. A weak cold front will push into the state overnight Tuesday night increasing clouds and bringing perhaps an isolated shower to Nrn AR. Slightly drier air will advect into the region on N/NErly winds through Wednesday with mostly clear skies returning.

Compact upper ridging will advance Ewrd across the Rockies/Plains on Wednesday into Thursday. A series of upper level energy/vort maxima's will pass through the flow, however deep moisture favoring precip appears to be lacking at the moment, thus precluding mentions of PoPs.

By Friday, the pattern in anticipated to become more zonal, with deepening surface lows out over the Plains. Increasing PGF should promote breezy conds on Saturday into Sunday, especially into the afternoon hours. As mentioned in the prior days, upper level energy is set to pass over the region bringing slight chance PoPs favored more to times of the day corresponding with peak daytime heating. Overall, PoPs are sparse with no appreciable QPF expected.

Better PoP chances return across the region late Sunday night into Monday. A shift from quasi-zonal pattern to more meridional component will result from a deepening upper trough over the Four Corners region. Short wave energy is anticipated to eject out over the region on Monday. Given the duration of return flow in place, moisture should be adequate for showers and thunderstorms across AR. Temps through the period should be in the upper 70s to mid 80s for highs and lows in the 50s and 60s. The warmest temps are expected Friday through Sunday where highs may top near 90 or into the lower 90s in places with lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1219 AM CDT Tue May 12 2026

SKC conds are expected at most sites through the TAF period. Winds will be near calm overnight, becoming S/SW at less than 10 kts at all location on Tues except KPBF and KLLQ where winds may be E/NE at less than 10 kts.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 82 58 83 53 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 84 52 87 57 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 83 59 80 52 / 0 20 0 0 Hot Springs AR 82 55 86 58 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 81 56 84 56 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 82 55 86 59 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 81 55 85 57 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 83 58 80 49 / 0 10 0 0 Newport AR 82 58 84 54 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 81 54 85 56 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 84 57 86 55 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 81 54 84 52 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 80 56 84 57 / 0 0 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.