textproduct: Little Rock
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 256 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026
- Settled weather, cooler morning low temperatures and dry conditions will persist through the week.
- Low-end rain chances return to portions of eastern Arkansas by next weekend.
- No other hazardous weather is anticipated.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 256 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026
Recent objective mesoanalysis depicted broad surface high pressure extending over the Midwest and Great Lakes Vcty, w/ the Natural State under the SWrn periphery of anticyclonic sfc flow. Thru the week, H500 ridging is progged to build over the Wrn US, w/ mean NWrly flow persisting acrs the Cntrl to Ern US. This wl keep sfc high pressure in place over the Ern half of the US, w/ local high pressure keeping the pattern settled, dry, and warm. Low temps wl persist in the 40s to 50s, w/ afternoon highs topping out in the upper 70s to low 80s.
By this weekend, low-end rain chances remain possible as weak and detached upper-lvl cyclonic flow fm the west coast moves Ewrd acrs the Rio Grande valley, and interacts w/ a developing tropical system slowly moving Nwrd towards the Gulf coast. Greatest confidence lies acrs the Ern half of the state for appreciable rain chances and rain totals up to a half inch, though most wl lkly see less than that to none over the next 7 days.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 650 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026
SKC conds are expected through the TAF period, however some high clouds are possible N and SE Wed afternoon. Winds will be light and variable overnight, remaining light and variable in places on Wed. For NW sites favored W/NW light winds and SE sites favored NE/E light winds on Wed afternoon.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 54 86 59 89 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 57 90 58 91 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 56 86 60 86 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 57 87 59 89 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 57 86 59 89 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 60 89 60 90 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 54 86 56 89 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 53 86 58 88 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 54 85 59 88 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 56 87 57 90 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 55 86 59 90 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 55 86 58 90 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 57 87 58 90 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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