textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 207 AM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026

-Well above normal to near record temps leading into the weekend

-Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms through the weekend

-Most widespread rain and thunder Friday night into Saturday, isolated severe storms possible

-Chance for elevated fire weather risk next week as closer to normal temps and dry conditions move in behind cold front.

..Thurs

The low will push off to the N towards the Great Lakes and remove the majority of the forcing from the area until the weekend. This will greatly limit chances for organized development to take advantage of decently buoyant environment (~1250-1500J/kg). Strongest shear will remain off to the N closer to the low, widespread 20-30kt deep shear could sustain a stronger updraft or two but widespread strong to severe storms is not expected. Gusty gradient winds approaching 30kts (40kts in higher elevations possible) across N AR will help mix down some slightly cooler temps in the upper 70s near 80.

..Mon/Tue/Wed

Into next week elevated fire weather risk will be possible. Min RH values will drop below the 30th percentile and winds will slowly get stronger through the week. Temps will return to closer to normal and a weak ridge will build in over the FA by mid week promoting yet another period of dry weather.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 623 AM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026

Widespread VFR conditions will prevail through most of the period. Showers will start to push in from the west and with them lower CIGs near the very end of the period but remain VFR. Winds will remain out of the S and gusty. LLWS will be present ahead of the rain tomorrow in N and W AR.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 85 68 80 66 / 20 10 80 50 Camden AR 86 66 80 65 / 10 20 60 20 Harrison AR 83 65 79 63 / 30 40 80 60 Hot Springs AR 86 66 80 64 / 10 20 70 40 Little Rock AR 86 67 81 66 / 10 20 60 40 Monticello AR 86 67 83 68 / 10 10 50 20 Mount Ida AR 84 64 80 64 / 10 30 80 50 Mountain Home AR 84 66 80 63 / 30 20 80 60 Newport AR 85 68 81 67 / 10 10 70 50 Pine Bluff AR 86 66 81 65 / 10 10 50 30 Russellville AR 86 66 82 65 / 10 30 80 60 Searcy AR 86 65 81 64 / 10 10 70 50 Stuttgart AR 85 68 81 67 / 10 10 60 40

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.