textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 133 AM CST Sun Nov 8 2026

-A frost will be likely across much of northern and parts of central Arkansas early Sunday morning

-A warming temperature trend overall will impact the state at the beginning of the upcoming workweek through mid-workweek

-A strong cold front is expected to move across Arkansas on Wednesday and will present a brief opportunity for a low end chance at rainfall

-The coldest air of the season will likely reside in the wake of the cold front and be noted Friday and Saturday mornings

DISCUSSION

Issued at 133 AM CST Sun Nov 8 2026

TODAY:

As of just after 12 AM CST early Sunday morning, surface observations present a lack of an established cloud deck across much of Arkansas allowing effective radiational cooling to take place temperatures begin to tumble towards frost territory between 33 and 36 degrees across much of northern and parts of central Arkansas. High temperatures this afternoon will begin the process of rebounding from the mid 60s to low 70s statewide.

MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY:

Light southwesterly winds will advect warmer temperatures into the region through the middle of the work week as surface high pressure will remain in place across the region. Temperatures with respect to both low and high temperatures will be above average compared to seasonal normals over this period.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY:

The combination of an upper lvl trof and cold front which is progged to move across the state during the day on Wednesday will being lower end rain chances to the state later Wednesday and into the overnight timeframe. Any rainfall would be appreciated to offset drought induced deficits; however, this is expected to be a quick moving frontal boundary with limited moisture to advect into the state. Although, a few locations may pick-up between a tenth and a quarter of an inch of total rainfall in isolated areas, but most guidance contains rainfall totals across the state between a trace amount and a tenth of an inch.

The most noted result of the cold front forecasted to move across the state on Wednesday will not be felt until Friday and Saturday mornings where temperatures will be well within frost advisory criteria across a large portion of the state as a much colder airmass is ushered into the Natural State. A few locations across northern Arkansas will likely fall below the freezing mark.

Temperatures on both Friday and Saturday will be near average to slightly below average compared to seasonal normals for this time of the year.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1055 PM CST Sat Nov 7 2026

Expect VFR conditions to be present across all sites for the entire duration of the forecast period from early Sunday morning through early Monday morning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 67 37 71 40 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 70 37 72 41 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 65 40 71 44 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 70 39 73 44 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 68 40 72 45 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 68 38 72 43 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 69 35 72 40 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 64 39 69 41 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 66 40 71 43 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 68 37 72 41 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 66 37 70 41 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 66 36 71 40 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 67 39 72 44 / 0 0 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Frost Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for ARZ004>008- 014>017-024-025-033-034-103-112-113-123-203-212-213-223-313.