textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 207 AM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026

-Well above normal to near record temps leading into the weekend

-Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms through the weekend

-Most widespread rain and thunder Friday night into Saturday, isolated severe storms possible

-Chance for elevated fire weather risk next week as closer to normal temps and dry conditions move in behind cold front.

..Thurs

The low will push off to the N towards the Great Lakes and remove the majority of the forcing from the area until the weekend. This will greatly limit chances for organized development to take advantage of decently buoyant environment (~1250-1500J/kg). Strongest shear will remain off to the N closer to the low, widespread 20-30kt deep shear could sustain a stronger updraft or two but widespread strong to severe storms is not expected. Gusty gradient winds approaching 30kts (40kts in higher elevations possible) across N AR will help mix down some slightly cooler temps in the upper 70s near 80.

..Mon/Tue/Wed

Into next week elevated fire weather risk will be possible. Min RH values will drop below the 30th percentile and winds will slowly get stronger through the week. Temps will return to closer to normal and a weak ridge will build in over the FA by mid week promoting yet another period of dry weather.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 634 PM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026

Expect lowering CIGS to impact all terminals by Thursday morning as the remnant system impacting Texas and Oklahoma will make way into Arkansas which will lower CIGS to MVFR flight category from Thursday morning through midday on Thursday. Surface wind gusts in excess of 25+ knots will be present for the entire forecast period from Wednesday evening through Thursday evening across all sites. Low level wind shear will impact all sites early Thursday morning. Rain will be a possibility across the state from Thursday morning into the afternoon as the leftovers of activity west in Oklahoma is expected to weaken and impact our terminals; however, the confidence is lower end keeping the TAF FM groups to VCSH.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 68 79 67 82 / 10 70 50 60 Camden AR 66 81 65 84 / 20 60 10 50 Harrison AR 65 78 64 80 / 40 80 60 60 Hot Springs AR 65 80 64 82 / 20 70 40 60 Little Rock AR 67 81 67 84 / 20 60 30 60 Monticello AR 67 81 68 85 / 10 50 20 50 Mount Ida AR 64 79 64 81 / 30 80 50 60 Mountain Home AR 67 79 64 82 / 20 80 60 60 Newport AR 69 80 67 84 / 10 60 40 60 Pine Bluff AR 66 81 66 84 / 10 60 20 60 Russellville AR 67 81 65 82 / 30 80 60 60 Searcy AR 65 81 64 83 / 10 60 40 60 Stuttgart AR 67 81 68 84 / 10 60 30 60

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.