textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 237 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

- Showers and thunderstorms will accompany a cold front as it moves through the state today before settling over northern Louisiana Monday.

- Rain chances will continue over the south Monday and Tuesday with the front in the vicinity but dry condtions will prevail elsewhere.

- Cooler air will spread over the north this afternoon and statewide on Monday before temperatures start to warm again.

UPDATE

Issued at 237 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Strong to severe thunderstorms raked parts of Arkansas on Saturday, mainly driven by outflow boundaries from previous convection. Showers and thunderstorms remain over the north and northwest at this time but have weakened considerably as they move into a much less favorable environment. This precipitation is associated with a cold front that will slowly drop through the state today.

Boundary is located over northern Arkansas at this time with guidance continuing to move it into central Arkansas around lunch time before it settles along the Arkansas/Louisiana border by the end of the day. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will remain possible for a good part of the day as the boundary moves through the state.

The boundary looks to essentially stall out somewhere over northern Louisiana Monday/Tuesday for a chance of lingering showers over the southern part of the FA with weak surface high pressure keeping the majority of the central and north dry. Air mass along and south of this boundary will remain moist and unstable and still could fire off some stronger storms especially during peak heating. Any severe threat Sunday would be conditional with gusty winds the primary concern.

Broad upper troughing will prevail with quazi-zonal upper flow early this morning becoming more northwest through early next week as a rather stout upper ridge builds along the west coast. Northwest flow will bring in some cooler air starting as early as this afternoon over the north where high temperatures are expected to only get into the upper 70s. Elsewhere mid 80/lower 90s are expected. Once the front does make it to the south of the area on Monday, temperatures are expected to only top out in the mid to upper 70s with a few lower 80s in the Arkansas River Valley.

Both temperatures and moisture levels begin to climb back to seasonable levels Tuesday as winds shift back to the south with the aforementioned surface high sliding off to the east. Heat headlines may be needed once again on Thursday as parts of the delta reach criteria.

Western ridge begins to expand over the western CONUS mid week which drives another cold front through on Thursday with rain chances returning statewide through the end of the week.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1209 AM CDT Mon Jun 15 2026

Low pressure will traverse a frontal system that remains stretched out across northern Louisiana. Isolated showers will be possible across the central terminals as the wave passes with better chances of light precipitation across the southern terminals. The best chances of rain will be at KLLQ. Overall VFR conditions will prevail with brief MVFR conditions as moisture increases as the low passes. Winds will be generally light and variable.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 59 85 67 90 / 10 0 10 10 Camden AR 65 87 69 92 / 20 10 0 10 Harrison AR 57 82 65 87 / 0 0 10 0 Hot Springs AR 63 86 69 90 / 10 10 0 0 Little Rock AR 63 86 69 91 / 10 0 0 10 Monticello AR 65 85 70 90 / 20 20 0 10 Mount Ida AR 63 85 69 89 / 10 10 0 0 Mountain Home AR 57 82 64 87 / 0 0 10 0 Newport AR 61 85 68 91 / 0 0 10 10 Pine Bluff AR 64 85 69 90 / 10 10 0 0 Russellville AR 63 86 69 91 / 10 10 0 0 Searcy AR 60 85 67 91 / 10 0 0 10 Stuttgart AR 64 84 70 90 / 10 10 0 10

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.