textproduct: Little Rock
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1249 AM CDT Wed May 27 2026
-Unsettled pattern will provide continued daily rain chances across the state.
-Near to below normal temperatures expected the next several days.
-Severe weather chances are very low, some locally heavy rainfall is possible.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1249 AM CDT Wed May 27 2026
Will be monitoring for the development of dense fog through sunrise across portions of the state. Main concerns will be across northern Arkansas with potential FG development also possible across central portions of the state. These areas saw some of the more widespread, heavy rainfall on Tuesday.
At the H500 level, the Omega Block pattern remains and will persist through the weekend before changes are possible. Mid- level ridging extends from the SE US toward the N/NW across the Upper MS River Valley. This feature is flanked by two cutoff cyclones, one of which is in place over central California while the other is just NE of Maine.
Extending east from the CA cyclone is a mid-level trough oriented from near the OK/TX Panhandles SE toward the Houston area. As this feature lifts north today and Thursday it will become a focus for widespread rain and thunderstorm development across the state and nearby areas. A weak sfc boundary will lift north as well which will help enhance precip coverage as well. Will see an increase in PW values (1.75"-2.25") across the area Wed/Thu which could help provide some localized heavy downpours as storms lift north across the state.
The overall pattern will remain similar through the weekend and in addition to daily chances for rain and thunderstorms, temperatures will be slightly below normal for late May across Arkansas. A pattern shift may be seen near the end of the period, but confidence remains low regarding the timeline and overall evolution of this change.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1238 PM CDT Wed May 27 2026
Mixed VFR to IFR condns were prevalent acrs the FA near 27/18Z, w/ sctd TSRA ongoing near most terminals. Expect convective activity to continue in waves thru Wed night. Intermittent MVFR to IFR condns wl accompany passing precip activity. In the wake of precip Wed night, CIGs are expected to deteriorate to IFR levels at most terminals by 28/12Z Thurs mrng.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 66 79 66 79 / 70 80 70 70 Camden AR 66 81 66 85 / 50 30 40 50 Harrison AR 64 76 64 77 / 70 80 70 80 Hot Springs AR 67 80 66 82 / 60 40 50 60 Little Rock AR 67 80 66 81 / 70 60 70 60 Monticello AR 68 81 68 84 / 50 40 40 60 Mount Ida AR 68 79 67 82 / 60 40 50 70 Mountain Home AR 64 77 64 77 / 70 80 70 80 Newport AR 67 81 67 81 / 60 70 70 70 Pine Bluff AR 68 81 67 83 / 60 50 50 60 Russellville AR 67 80 67 81 / 70 60 60 70 Searcy AR 65 80 65 81 / 70 70 60 70 Stuttgart AR 69 81 68 82 / 60 60 60 60
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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