textproduct: Little Rock

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1202 AM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

- Settled weather, cooler temperatures and dry conditions will prevail through the coming week.

- Low RH values at or below 30% and gusty north winds will lead to elevated wildfire conditions on Monday afternoon.

- Low-end rain chances return by next weekend.

- No other hazardous weather is anticipated.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1202 AM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

Cooler temperatures, drier air, and settled weather condns wl headline the fcst for the week ahead.

Thru the coming week, intermittent H500 ridging remains progged to build acrs the Wrn to Cntrl US. As drier air and sfc high pressure settles over the Mid-South Sun night into Mon, dry and much more seasonable condns are forecast. Mon thru at least Wed mornings, low temps are expected to fall to the 40s to 50s, w/ afternoon highs topping out in the upper 70s to low 80s. Wed thru the remainder of the week, sfc temps wl trend upwards again.

Late in the PD, by next weekend, low-end rain chances return to the fcst as weak and detached upper-lvl cyclonic flow fm the west coast moves Ewrd acrs the Rio Grande valley, and interacts w/ a possible tropical system set to develop in the Gulf. Greatest confidence lies acrs the SErn half of the state for appreciable rain chances, but wl cont to monitor for possible impacts thru the week.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 605 AM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

No sig changes to note for the new TAF PD... VFR condns are fcst thru the new TAF PD. Clear skies wl prevail w/ NErly winds. Cntrl to Srn terminals could see gusts of 15-20 kts Mon aftn.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 81 51 80 51 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 85 56 86 53 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 81 51 81 53 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 84 55 84 55 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 83 55 82 54 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 84 58 85 57 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 83 53 83 51 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 82 50 81 51 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 80 52 80 50 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 84 54 84 52 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 83 54 83 53 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 82 52 82 50 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 84 55 84 54 / 0 0 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.

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