textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 228 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025

-Temperatures of 5 to 10 degrees below average are to be expected across the state from today through the middle of the workweek.

-Into the middle of the workweek, temperatures will become near average to a few degrees above average.

-Rain chances are absent from the forecast across the state of Arkansas over the next seven days.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 228 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025

In the upper lvls, the digging trof positioned over the Great Lakes region of the CONUS extending into the Southeastern region of the CONUS will continue to lift northeastward away from Arkansas in closing out the weekend into the beginning of the workweek. As a result, northwesterly flow will be present over the Natural State through the early workweek. By the middle of the workweek, an upper lvl ridge builds over Texas and northern Mexico and begins to slowly expand into the Central Plains and Mid-South regions of the CONUS including over Arkansas. In response, WAA will take place and temperatures will gradually increase across the state to values which are normal to a few degrees above normal for this time of the year and this trend will begin during the middle of the workweek and last into next weekend.

At the sfc, a center of high pressure will meander across the region and begin by assisting and keeping these below average temperatures by 5 to 10 degrees in place across the state through the middle of the workweek. Into the middle of the workweek and beyond temperatures will gradually increase as mentioned above. A lack of frontal boundaries will be noted as an upper lvl omega block will assist in keeping sfc high pressure in the region solidified across the region. Simply put, rain chances appear to be non-existant through next weekend at least. This forecast package is absent of rain chances as dry and fair conditions look to persist through next weekend.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 536 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025

Expect VFR conditions across all terminals for the duration of the forecast period from Sunday morning through Monday morning with one exception. The one exception will be at the site of KADF where patchy, dense fog has been present for the last several hours and a TEMPO group has been added for this site for VSBY that may drop to IFR flight category until later Sunday morning when VSBY will permanently return to VFR flight category. Surface winds will begin the forecast period light and variable before becoming established out of the northeast to east-northeast later Sunday morning. Surface winds will become light and variable once again across all sites later Sunday evening.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 84 51 81 51 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 82 54 82 51 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 80 51 80 51 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 82 56 81 54 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 82 55 80 55 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 84 56 84 55 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 82 55 81 53 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 83 50 81 51 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 83 50 81 51 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 83 54 81 53 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 84 56 82 54 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 83 53 80 52 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 82 54 80 54 / 0 0 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.