textproduct: Little Rock
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1205 PM CDT Tue Jul 28 2026
- Heat advisories/extreme heat warnings continue through Tuesday, with another 100 degree day possible.
- Make sure to drink plenty of water and take breaks when outside.
- Weak cold front will move through the state Wednesday, bringing rain chances, much needed rainfall and temperature relief.
- More seasonable July/Aug temperatures set to resume by the end of the work week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 143 AM CDT Tue Jul 28 2026
To begin the period, a ridge of high pressure continues to dominate the weather pattern. This will continue those hot and mainly dry conditions through the rest of today. The pattern is expected to breakdown by Wednesday with more widespread rain chances possible through the end of the workweek thanks to NW flow aloft.
Showers and thunderstorms are expected to remain mostly below severe criteria with beneficial rainfall likely Wednesday through Friday. In addition to the rainfall, the increase cloud cover will provide some temperature relief across the state.
The biggest threat Tuesday will be the dangerous temperatures and heat index values. For Tuesday afternoon, it is possible many locations across the state will reach 100 degrees with heat index values much hotter. Heat headlines have been continued all across the state through Tuesday afternoon with a mix of heat advisories for southern and northern locations and an extreme heat warning for eastern and central Arkansas and the AR River Valley.
If you plan to be outdoors for any reason this weekend and next week, make sure you have shade to rest in, take multiple breaks, and drink plenty of water.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 606 PM CDT Tue Jul 28 2026
VFR conditions are expected throughout the period, but lower VFR and mid level clouds with showers will be moving into the state this evening, continuing south into the rest of the state overnight. Most ceilings will stay above FL050, but some guidance does have some MVFR ceilings over central AR in the morning, so I did add a SCT025 to show that potential timing. There may be lightning at times with these storms, but it will be isolated and hard to tell exactly where, so VCTS and TS mentions are left out of all TAFs. Any lighting would be in the late morning to early afternoon for timing and mostly over central and eastern AR.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 78 92 71 91 / 30 40 20 10 Camden AR 76 97 75 93 / 0 30 40 50 Harrison AR 75 90 72 88 / 30 50 40 50 Hot Springs AR 79 97 75 93 / 0 50 50 60 Little Rock AR 82 95 75 92 / 10 40 20 20 Monticello AR 79 96 76 92 / 0 30 40 40 Mount Ida AR 78 95 75 91 / 0 50 40 50 Mountain Home AR 75 89 71 88 / 30 50 20 20 Newport AR 78 92 71 91 / 30 30 10 10 Pine Bluff AR 77 94 73 91 / 0 40 40 20 Russellville AR 79 95 75 92 / 10 60 40 50 Searcy AR 77 92 72 91 / 10 50 20 10 Stuttgart AR 79 93 74 92 / 10 40 40 10
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ004>006-014-015- 042-052>055-062-063-066>068-103-112-113-140-141-203-212-213- 221>223-237-240-241-313-340-341.
Extreme Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ007-008- 016-017-024-025-031>034-039-043>047-056-057-064-065-069-121>123- 130-137-138-230-238.
Heat Advisory from noon to 9 PM CDT Wednesday for ARZ031>034-039- 042>047-052>057-062>069-121-122-130-137-138-140-141-230-237-238- 240-241-340-341.
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