textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 141 AM CDT Mon May 25 2026

-A dry and fair Memorial Day is expected across most of the state of Arkansas

-Unsettled pattern returns to the forecast across Arkansas for the upcoming workweek as a series of frontal boundaries move back over the state

-Temperatures over the forecast period are expected to remain near normal values for this time of the year

DISCUSSION

Issued at 141 AM CDT Mon May 25 2026

MEMORIAL DAY (MONDAY/TODAY):

A dry and fair Memorial Day shaping up across the CWA and state of Arkansas as the frontal boundary which has kept elevated rain and isolated storm chances in the forecast has moved to the southeast of Arkansas and POP chances have been drastically reduced to nil for much of the state to reflect.

TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY:

In the upper lvls, an omega blocking pattern begins to take hold across the CONUS by mid-week. The two closed lows are progged to be positioned over the Southwestern region of the CONUS and the over the Atlantic Ocean off the coast of the Carolinas. Over Arkansas, the upper lvl flow pattern during this timeframe will remain light with winds which will advect moisture into the mid-levels of the atmospheric column, but not have much impact on moving mesoscale feature given the overall positioning of the blocking pattern in place over the CONUS.

Expect a period of increased rain and thunderstorm chances as the frontal boundary off to the south and east of Arkansas will retrograde back into the state as a warm front and then become a stalled stationary front once again as the upper lvl omega block prevents mesoscale features from making progress or moving in their typical west to east movement across the CONUS.

SATURDAY/SUNDAY:

In the upper lvls, the omega block breaks down that was solidified over the CONUS. At the sfc, a back-door cold front will move into Arkansas from the northeast part of the state and track to the southwest. In turn, POP chances overall will lower, but guidance this far out is in some disagreement of the movement of a stationary boundary that may be positioned across the state and how quickly the approaching cold front pushes the boundary away from the state which would diminish POP chances.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 640 PM CDT Mon May 25 2026

Mainly showers affecting the southern half of Arkansas will dissipate over the next couple of hours, with minimal to no impacts. Southeasterly flow continuing will bring in some enhanced moisture levels overnight, resulting in MVFR ceilings (and some low chance IFR to LIFR ceilings), with the worst conditions favoring the central to southeastern terminals. A weak disturbance may result in some overnight showery activity across northern Arkansas, but nothing advertised at this time. Ceilings should gradually improve through the morning hours tomorrow prior to shower and thunderstorm chances increase again tomorrow afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 65 79 64 83 / 50 80 40 20 Camden AR 64 84 66 85 / 30 30 20 70 Harrison AR 61 77 62 82 / 10 70 20 40 Hot Springs AR 65 81 66 83 / 20 50 30 60 Little Rock AR 65 81 65 84 / 30 60 30 40 Monticello AR 66 83 68 85 / 40 50 30 70 Mount Ida AR 65 80 66 82 / 10 60 30 70 Mountain Home AR 61 77 62 82 / 10 70 40 30 Newport AR 66 81 66 85 / 50 60 40 20 Pine Bluff AR 66 82 67 85 / 30 40 40 50 Russellville AR 66 81 65 84 / 30 80 20 40 Searcy AR 64 80 63 84 / 40 70 40 30 Stuttgart AR 67 81 68 84 / 40 50 40 40

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.