textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 119 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026

-Chances for showers/thunderstorms this evening across northwestern sections...with low end severe weather threat

-Mainly dry on Saturday

-More chances for showers/thunderstorms Sunday into early Monday as a new front moves into region

-Drier/warm conditions early/middle next week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 119 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026

All quiet conditions ongoing across the Natural State early this Fri morning as SFC high pressure is sliding east of the state. SRLY flow will increase later this morning and especially by this afternoon...with warmer conditions expected as a result. Highs will be in the 70s and 80s. While SRLY flow will increase across the state today...moisture levels won't rebound considerably...with dewpts only increasing into the 40s and 50s for most areas by late this afternoon.

A new upper wave will drop SE across the Plains towards AR tonight...with a cold front also dropping SE towards the state. Some convection will be possible along/ahead of this front to the NW of the CWA into this Fri afternoon...but as this activity moves into the state...the front will slow/stall NW of AR. As a result of this...and the limited moisture ahead of the front in AR...the coverage of convection looks to diminish as is progresses SE into AR...and especially the CWA. Even so...think there could be some lingering SHRA/TSRA drop SE into the NWRN zones of the CWA this Fri evening...but the SEWD extent looks fairly limited with this activity. There may also be a pocket of convection fire across far SRN sections later on Fri night into Sat morning as a weak upper wave interacts with better moisture levels across SRN AR. The overall threat for seeing strong/SVR Wx today/tonight looks fairly limited...but some isolated marginally SVR to low end SVR hail may be seen...as well as some isolated strong winds with the most intense activity.

Saturday daytime looks mainly dry and warm...with highs in the mid 70s to mid 80s. A new front will push into the region on Sun/Sun night...with more convection possible with that front. Initially...there may be some convection associated with a possible convective complex dropping SE from the NW Sun morning. Then...additional convection looks possible along the front later on Sun into Sun night. Beyond Sun night/Mon morning...the chances for precip decrease...with mainly dry conditions expected into the middle of next week.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1207 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the remainder of the overnight into much of Friday. Expect S/SW winds through the period with some gusts up to 17kt possible especially across northern terminals with SCT/BKN high level cloudiness with a few lower clouds possible around midday through the afternoon. An approaching cold front will bring some SHRA/TSRA possible late in the period across northern terminals after 00z.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 76 57 82 60 / 0 10 0 10 Camden AR 77 59 82 61 / 0 20 10 10 Harrison AR 77 54 81 57 / 0 60 0 30 Hot Springs AR 77 57 83 61 / 0 20 0 10 Little Rock AR 77 58 82 61 / 0 10 10 10 Monticello AR 76 61 82 62 / 0 30 10 10 Mount Ida AR 77 58 82 61 / 0 30 10 10 Mountain Home AR 78 54 81 56 / 0 50 0 30 Newport AR 77 58 82 59 / 0 10 0 10 Pine Bluff AR 77 58 82 61 / 0 10 10 10 Russellville AR 80 57 84 61 / 0 20 0 20 Searcy AR 76 55 81 58 / 0 10 0 10 Stuttgart AR 76 59 81 63 / 0 10 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.