textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 257 AM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

- A heat advisory remains in effect for parts of the forecast area but will not need to be extended until possibly Thursday.

- Additional showers and thunderstorms will be possible through this afternoon and evening but the coverage and intensity will be less than what was seen Saturday.

- Temperatures will average near normal the next few days before warming once again Wednesday and Thursday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 257 AM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

Large MCS from Saturday evening continues to dissipate pretty much on schedule but may still play a role in additional convective development Sunday. Currently only light rain with the occasional rumble of thunder is observed in the FA with temperatures actually below 70 in a few spots, ranging from the upper 60s to mid 70s. Many observation sites are reporting fog which is likely a combination of both fog and smoke from holiday celebrations and patchy fog has been added to the zones/grids through early to mid morning.

Multiple outflow boundaries from the aforementioned convection will likely lead to at least some additional activity Sunday afternoon, aided by an on going MCV. CAMS guidance is not overly excited at this point on the coverage with the best chances of seeing anything in the late afternoon through mid evening hours. Gusty winds will be the primary concern even within the generally weakly sheared environment.

Otherwise, the upper pattern continues to transition with the stout upper ridge that has been dominant of late being replaced with more of a saggy looking trough and northwest flow. Will continue to hold on to the heat advisory for today as guidance is showing criteria being met in some areas although most areas will not reach it and would not be surprised to see future shifts cancel it early.

This will be the last of the heat related headlines for a few days at least as upper ridging builds over the western CONUS resulting in broad NW flow aloft over the FA. Temperatures look to be close to seasonal averages through Wednesday with heat index values below criteria although a few areas do flirt with it on Wednesday. Weak ridging returns for Thursday/Friday with heat related headlines likely being needed once again.

Aforementioned western ridge really locks in next weekend which puts the FA back into some type of northerly upper flow with slightly cooler temperatures returning.

Precipitation beyond today/tonight will be scattered and diurnally driven for the most part with no real organized precipitation seen until next weekend.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1233 AM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

Convection moving in from OK continues to weaken with VCTS sufficient for a few hours early in the period. MVFR to brief IFR visibilities will prevail due to a combination of smoke and fog through early morning but CIGS will be VFR. Addition scattered convection will be possible Sunday afternoon but coverage will not be as widespread as days past. Winds will average under 10 knots through the period, briefly stronger in any convection at or near the terminals.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 89 71 88 70 / 40 20 30 10 Camden AR 92 72 91 71 / 40 40 20 20 Harrison AR 85 69 85 68 / 30 10 20 0 Hot Springs AR 92 72 90 72 / 40 20 30 10 Little Rock AR 91 73 90 73 / 30 20 20 10 Monticello AR 93 73 90 72 / 40 30 20 30 Mount Ida AR 90 71 89 71 / 50 20 30 10 Mountain Home AR 85 69 85 69 / 40 10 20 0 Newport AR 90 72 89 72 / 40 20 20 10 Pine Bluff AR 91 72 89 72 / 40 30 20 20 Russellville AR 91 73 91 72 / 40 10 20 10 Searcy AR 91 71 89 71 / 40 20 30 10 Stuttgart AR 91 73 89 73 / 40 20 20 10

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Heat Advisory from 9 AM this morning to 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ025-032>034-039-043>047-056-057-064-065-069.