textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 152 AM CST Tue Dec 30 2025

- After a very chilly start to the day today, temperatures will begin to rebound as southerly surface winds return.

- A weak weather system will bring slight chances of rain to eastern Arkansas Thursday and Friday. No other precipitation is expected over the next seven days.

- Slightly cooler air returns for the weekend behind this weak disturbance but temperatures will still average above normal.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 152 AM CST Tue Dec 30 2025

It is a quiet, albeit chilly, start to the day across Arkansas with only some high level moisture evident across the south. Mainly clear skies and the overall lack of winds have allowed for ideal radiational cooling to get established with temperatures already down into the upper teens to lower 30s with several more hours of cooling to go.

Amplified pattern in place across the CONUS this morning with deep troughing extending from New England to the central Gulf Coast and expansive ridging over the west. This pattern has placed the CWA squarely in NW flow aloft which will lessen with time and switching more westerly by Thursday. On the surface, high pressure over Texas this morning will slide to the east through Thursday with winds turning back to the south to southwest with temperatures warming, although not to the extent we saw around Christmas.

Under pretty much full insolation, temperatures will warm into the upper 30s to upper 40s today, the 50s Wednesday and mid 50s to lower 60s on Thursday. However, cloud cover will be more widespread on Thursday.

The pattern amplifies even more with time as the western ridge builds into Canada but the the eastern trough dampens out somewhat. As the upper flow turns more to the west on Thursday/Friday, a weak shortwave will get caught up in the upper flow and move across the CWA bringing just a very slight chance of showers to parts of eastern Arkansas. Moisture return is meager and only minimal pops and QPF can be justified.

Temperatures do not cool off much, if any, behind this short wave on Friday. However, guidance is showing cooler air returning for next weekend as NW flow gets reestablished once again as the aforementioned ridge builds into the central and northern plains. Even so, it looks like temperatures will still average average seasonal norms. Other than the chance of rain over the east previously mentioned, no other chances of precipitation are expected until maybe the middle of next week, maybe.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1125 PM CST Tue Dec 30 2025

VFR and mostly clear sky conditions expected through the period. Winds will be variable out of the NW to SW at less than 10 kts through the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 30 56 35 57 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 29 59 34 64 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 30 55 35 60 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 31 58 35 61 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 30 57 35 60 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 31 60 37 65 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 30 60 36 64 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 29 53 32 57 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 29 54 34 55 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 30 58 35 62 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 29 57 34 62 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 27 55 32 58 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 30 55 35 60 / 0 0 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.