textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 142 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

-Warming conditions expected into Tuesday...with some chances for showers returning to the forecast on Tuesday

-Slight cooler conditions expected by mid-week...but will be short- lived as warmer temperatures will return by late this week through the weekend

DISCUSSION

Issued at 142 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

SRLY flow had started returning across the state on Sun...which will continue through this Mon and into part of Tue...allowing for the warming trend to continue...and moisture levels to increase. Highs today will be in the 50s and 60s...though some NERN areas may remain in the 40s this afternoon. Lows tonight will remain above freezing for most areas.

A new upper disturbance will move east over the region on Tue...with the approach of a new cold front. This front will drop SE through the state by mid/late afternoon on Tue. Along/ahead of this front...some increased chances for rain will be seen...mainly across the SERN half/two-thirds of the state. Best POPs will be across SERN sections Tue afternoon. Widespread heavy rainfall is not expected as deep moisture return will be limited. QPF estimates look to remain less than a half inch...with the heavier precip falling across far SERN sections.

Cooler air will move back into the area briefly for Wed...but SRLY flow will return by Thu. Warmer conditions will be seen again for Thu...and upper ridging will develop by the weekend. This will allow for more persistent above normal temps late this week through the upcoming weekend.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1048 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

The forecast period between Monday midday and Tuesday midday will begin with VFR CIGS, but all sites will experience MVFR to IFR CIGS early Tuesday morning which will remain through the period as a cold front approaches the state of Arkansas. Low level wind shear will also be present across all sites during the early morning hours on Tuesday. VCSH has been entered into FM GROUPS across the central and southern terminals across Arkansas for the possibility of showers during the morning through the remainder of Arkansas across those sites. KBPK and KHOT both remain designated "AMD NOT SKED" due to a communication issue that is being troubleshot at the current time, but expect the site to remain "AMD NOT SKED" until observations return to the site.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 35 53 27 44 / 0 30 0 0 Camden AR 44 59 31 52 / 30 80 10 0 Harrison AR 37 48 25 43 / 10 10 0 0 Hot Springs AR 41 57 30 50 / 30 50 0 0 Little Rock AR 38 54 30 46 / 20 50 0 0 Monticello AR 44 58 33 48 / 10 80 10 0 Mount Ida AR 43 58 30 51 / 30 50 0 0 Mountain Home AR 33 49 25 43 / 0 10 0 0 Newport AR 33 50 27 42 / 10 40 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 40 55 31 46 / 10 70 0 0 Russellville AR 38 57 29 50 / 10 30 0 0 Searcy AR 33 54 27 45 / 10 50 0 0 Stuttgart AR 38 52 30 44 / 10 70 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.