textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 134 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

-Increased clouds and small chances for light rain/sprinkles/drizzle today

-Well above normal conditions Monday and Tuesday

-Chances for rainfall return to the forecast Tuesday into Wednesday

-Additional chances for showers and possible thunderstorms late this week into the upcoming weekend

DISCUSSION

Issued at 134 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

While cooler temps were noted on Sat compared to Fri...warmer conditions will return for this Sun as SRLY SFC flow increases across the state. However...significant warming will hold off a bit as as a weak upper wave will pass overhead...with mainly increased cloud cover expected. This will keep temps in the 50s and 60s for most areas...though SRN sections may still see some 70s where clouds will be more limited. There may also be a small chance for some sprinkles/light rain or DZ across some portion of the area this Sun as this wave passes overhead. No widespread rainfall is expected however.

While a brief wind shift will be seen tonight into early Mon as SFC high pressure moves over the state...SRLY SFC flow will return on Mon afternoon...along with increasing ridging aloft. This will allow for more substantial warming across the state by Mon afternoon...with highs in most areas in the 70s. This warming trend will continue into Tue as well...though clouds will increase ahead of an approaching cold front and weak upper wave.

The aforementioned front will drop south into the state Tue night into Wed morning...with an upper disturbance moving east in nearly zonal flow aloft. The main energy with this upper wave look to pass just south of AR...with mainly chances for SHRA expected. However...there may be a few TSRA as well...mainly along/south of the SFC front.

There will be a break in the precip by late Wed into Thu ...but yet another upper wave will approach the region late this week into next weekend...with chances for convection returning to the forecast. Right now...details regarding SFC features remain uncertain...but some indications are the SFC low/front will remain over SRN sections or south of AR during this period...with mainly SHRA forecast. However...any adjustments on the path of the SFC low and associated features could bring better instability further north...and increasing chances for TSRA.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1131 PM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

Expect VFR flight category for the entire duration of the forecast period from late Sunday evening through late Monday evening across all terminals.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 39 71 53 74 / 0 0 0 10 Camden AR 47 78 57 75 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 42 74 55 73 / 0 0 0 10 Hot Springs AR 45 76 55 74 / 10 0 0 10 Little Rock AR 42 73 55 75 / 10 0 0 10 Monticello AR 50 77 59 76 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 44 78 56 75 / 10 0 0 20 Mountain Home AR 37 71 50 73 / 0 0 0 10 Newport AR 37 67 51 72 / 0 0 0 10 Pine Bluff AR 45 75 57 75 / 0 0 0 10 Russellville AR 41 75 53 76 / 10 0 0 10 Searcy AR 39 71 50 74 / 10 0 0 10 Stuttgart AR 43 72 57 73 / 0 0 0 10

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.