textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1242 AM CST Mon Feb 16 2026

-Dense fog will be possible across much of the state for Monday morning.

-Dry conditions are expected with warming temperatures through the middle of this week.

-Rain chances will return to the forecast later this week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1242 AM CST Mon Feb 16 2026

To begin the period, a ridge of high pressure has moved over the area and will control the weather pattern through at least the middle part of this week. This will usher in calm and dry conditions with rain chances staying on the low end. The next chance for rain will be Friday.

Given recent heavy rainfall and calm winds, widespread dense fog will be possible across portions of the state through Monday morning. Make sure to give yourself extra time to get to where you are going this morning.

Temperatures will remain average to slightly above average through the period. High temperatures are likely to top out in the mid 60s to upper 70s through the middle of this week. Overnight low temperatures are expected to drop into the upper 40s to upper 50s.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1103 AM CST Mon Feb 16 2026

The forecast period will begin on midday Monday with most terminals in VFR flight category. A few sites to begin the forecast period may be in MVFR to IFR flight category for lowered CIGS for a few hours into the early afternoon hours on Monday. The northern sites of KHRO and KBPK; additionally the southeastern site of KLLQ will enjoy VFR flight category for the entire forecast period from Monday midday through Tuesday midday. However, the sites of KHOT, KADF, KLIT, and KPBF are expected to once again into Monday night and early Tuesday morning have a potential for fog lowering VSBY between MVFR and LIFR flight category as patchy, dense fog will again be present across parts of the state, but will become VFR flight category as VSBY will improve by late Tuesday morning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 46 67 56 74 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 46 71 57 75 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 47 70 56 75 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 46 69 57 74 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 46 69 58 73 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 49 72 59 75 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 46 69 57 75 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 44 68 56 75 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 46 65 58 73 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 47 69 57 74 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 45 70 56 76 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 44 68 55 73 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 48 67 58 72 / 0 0 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.