textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 200 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

-Relatively cooler temperatures will be seen from today through much of the upcoming week, compared to the brutal temperatures felt across Arkansas last week.

-The greatest chance for appreciable rainfall totals across parts of the state will be today looking ahead through Sunday.

-Northwesterly flow will begin to be interrupted by the weekend as the upper lvl ridge begins to elongate and become placed over the Southern Plains leading to an uptick in temperatures and decrease in rain chances statewide.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 200 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

As of just after 1 AM CDT, scattered rain showers with a few weak thunderstorms have entered Arkansas and are impacting portions of northern and central parts of the state moving in a trajectory south- southeastward through Arkansas. Intensity and coverage is expected to expand throughout the morning across the state.

In the upper lvls northwesterly flow over Arkansas continues to be the main weather driver across the CWA as the center of the pronounced upper lvl ridge remains cemented over the Four Corner region of the CONUS. At the sfc, a weak cold front has pushed into Louisiana. The proximity of a low level jet and associated mid-level jet streak has led to the development of the rain and storm activity moving across Arkansas.

Expect isolated to scattered coverage of storms across much of the state this morning, especially the central and southern portions of the state after sunrise. Rain and storms will continue an overall movement of northwest to southeast across corridors of the state. Rain and thunderstorm chances will begin to diminish into the overnight hours across the southeastern part of the state wrapping up the event completely. The main hazard with any storm that does manage to become severe will be damaging wind gusts. A lower-end flash flooding threat does exist, especially as these cells will likely train over the same locations which may lead to appreciable rainfall totals over a quick amount of time in the most efficient convection.

From Tuesday through Sunday, expect a gradual warming of temperatures as POP chances diminish overall (with a few small exceptions) across the state as the week progresses. A stationary boundary will be draped across the state on Wednesday and be pushed southward by a weak cold front during the day on Thursday. However, confidence of widespread activity noted similar to today will likely not be present as any convection will be isolated. Into the weekend, POP chances across the CWA lower to near zero as the upper lvl ridge elongates over both the Four Corners region and Southern Plains regions of the CONUS. In response, overall temperatures will continue to tick upwards and high temperatures in the upper 90s to near 100 degrees are expected across most of the state, especially into the later part of the weekend and early next week.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1200 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

VFR flight category is expected over the majority of the forecast period from early Monday morning through early Tuesday morning across all TAF sites. A complex of isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be moving across Arkansas from north to south across the state. However, coverage is not anticipated to be widespread, therefore TEMPO and PROB30 groups along with periods of VCTS and VCSH are introduced across all sites. If a TAF site does become directly impacted by a shower or thunderstorm, then VSBY may drop to MVFR or IFR. Surface wind gusts in excess of 30 knots have been introduced within the TEMPO and PROB30 groups.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 89 71 95 72 / 60 20 10 40 Camden AR 92 73 98 73 / 40 20 10 10 Harrison AR 86 69 92 70 / 80 10 0 30 Hot Springs AR 90 73 98 74 / 40 20 10 10 Little Rock AR 89 74 97 75 / 80 20 10 20 Monticello AR 89 72 95 74 / 80 30 30 10 Mount Ida AR 91 71 99 72 / 40 20 10 10 Mountain Home AR 86 69 92 70 / 60 10 10 20 Newport AR 89 72 94 72 / 30 20 10 40 Pine Bluff AR 88 72 95 73 / 80 20 20 20 Russellville AR 90 72 97 73 / 70 20 10 20 Searcy AR 89 71 95 72 / 80 20 20 30 Stuttgart AR 89 73 95 74 / 80 20 20 30

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.