textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1230 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026

- Isolated to scattered showers and storms this afternoon, favoring the eastern half of Arkansas.

- Heat Advisories and Extreme Heat Warnings in effect through Tuesday, with multiple 100 degree days possible through mid- week next week

- In addition to daytime heat next week, overnight lows may struggle to fall below 80 degrees in some locations

- Make sure to drink plenty of water and take breaks when outside

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1250 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026

Early this afternoon, partly to mostly cloudy skies encompass the Natural State, with some showery activity across east-central Arkansas. As daytime heating progresses, expect some blossoming showers and storms mainly across the eastern half of the state through this afternoon. Overall, no significant flooding concerns as anticipated earlier this morning, so the Flood Watch was cancelled.

Drier air filtering in from the north and building mid-level heights going into Sunday and early next week will result in drying and warming conditions. Heat Advisories and Extreme Heat Warnings are now in effect through Tuesday due to high confidence in these ambient and apparent temperatures reaching levels that will be impactful for everyone. The hottest conditions will be along the river delta in eastern Arkansas and the Arkansas River Valley through central Arkansas, as heat indexes reach into the 100-115 range and limited overnight recoveries as areas may see lows remaining above 80 degrees. These conditions are due in large part to high amplitude ridging across the Rockies slowly shifting eastward through the middle of next week.

A trend towards cooler temperatures mid to late next week seems likely at this point, as a series of shortwaves riding around the ridge center make their way down into the Natural State. While widespread rain chances aren't likely at this time, lowering mid- level heights and some increasing cloud coverage should provide a reprieve from the early week oppressive heat. We'll have to keep an eye on how quickly the region will cool mid to late week, as advisory level heat may linger into Wednesday and possibly beyond should ridging not weaken as much as consensus currently suggests.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1230 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026

VFR conditions are expected through much of the period. With that said, isolated to scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible through this afternoon, favoring the eastern half of Arkansas. Overall confidence is low that any terminal may be impacted by this activity this afternoon. Otherwise, quiet weather conditions expected across the region.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 77 99 77 100 / 20 0 0 0 Camden AR 75 97 75 98 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 76 98 77 98 / 10 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 77 99 77 99 / 0 10 0 0 Little Rock AR 79 99 79 101 / 10 10 0 0 Monticello AR 77 96 77 99 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 76 97 77 97 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 75 97 75 98 / 20 0 0 0 Newport AR 77 98 77 100 / 20 10 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 75 96 76 98 / 0 10 0 0 Russellville AR 77 101 77 102 / 10 0 0 0 Searcy AR 76 98 76 99 / 30 10 0 0 Stuttgart AR 77 97 77 99 / 20 10 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for ARZ004>008-014>017- 024-025-031>034-039-043>047-103-113-121>123-130-137-138-203-212- 213-230-237-238.

Heat Advisory from 11 AM Sunday to 8 PM CDT Tuesday for ARZ004>006-014-015-042-043-052>056-062>064-066>069-103-113-121- 130-137-140-141-203-212-213-230-237-240-241-340-341.

Extreme Heat Warning from 11 AM Sunday to 8 PM CDT Tuesday for ARZ007-008-016-017-024-025-031>034-039-044>047-057-065-122-123- 138-238.