textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 258 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026

- Scattered showers/storms expected today

- Scattered showers/storms through Saturday (northern AR)

- Dangerous heat expected to build with diminishing rain chances

- Heat headlines likely needed early/middle part of next week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 258 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms were beginning to increase in coverage over portions of SW into Cntrl AR early this Thursday morning. An uptick in precipitation is anticipated towards daybreak over W/SW AR which is the basis of the continued flood watch. If precipitation becomes established (conditional threat), rainfall amounts between one and three inches are possible atop wet soils from Wednesday's rainfall; this could lead to areas of flash flooding in quicker fashion than locations that received little to no rainfall in the last week. High temperatures today should range from the mid 80s over Nrn AR to the lower 90s over Srn AR. Apparent T's should remain below 100 degrees this afternoon over Srn and Cntrl sections of the state. Rain chances will ramp up over Nrn AR later this afternoon and evening with the passage of an upper level disturbance.

Beyond today, rain chances will be confined to Nrn AR on Friday and Saturday as upper level disturbances move through MO. Thereafter, an expansive upper level ridge is expected to build into the region. Large scale forcing for subsidence will inhibit organized rain chances through the period and the heat and humidity will intensify. Temperatures are anticipated to climb into the mid/upper 90s with apparent T's ranging from 105 to 110 degrees through mid week. Heat risk will increase into the Major Risk category next week (mainly driven by warm overnight lows). Low temperatures may struggle to fall below 80 degrees along the AR River Valley, Cntrl AR, into Ern AR Sunday night through Wednesday night. WBGT temperatures are expected to top out in upper 80s/near 90 over portions of Cntrl AR into Ern sections of the state Sunday afternoon through Wednesday afternoon. Long range guidance suggests the upper level ridge could linger over the region beyond the end of the long term. This would prolong the period of dangerous heat anticipated to reside over AR.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1227 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026

Mainly VFR condns were noted around the FA, w/ some MVFR CIGs at select terminals, as recent vissat imgry depicted thickening Cu fields acrs the FA. Higher cirrus was also noted over NWrn AR fm ongoing convection in SErn KS and NErn OK. Thru the PD, expect some precip development acrs Nrn AR Thurs aftn thru 00Z, though covg should be more isolated. An additional round of precip may be possible acrs Nrn AR late in the PD... after 06Z Fri night, but confidence remains low for now. Elsewhere, VFR condns and Srly winds should prevail into Thurs night.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 73 89 75 91 / 30 20 10 10 Camden AR 72 92 76 94 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 71 85 73 88 / 50 40 40 10 Hot Springs AR 73 90 77 92 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 74 91 78 93 / 10 0 0 0 Monticello AR 74 92 77 93 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 73 88 77 90 / 10 0 10 0 Mountain Home AR 71 86 73 89 / 50 50 50 20 Newport AR 73 90 76 93 / 20 10 10 10 Pine Bluff AR 73 92 77 93 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 73 90 77 93 / 20 10 10 0 Searcy AR 72 91 75 93 / 20 0 10 0 Stuttgart AR 75 91 78 93 / 10 0 10 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.