textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1212 AM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

-Warming condtions expected into Tuesday...with some chances for showers returning to the forecast on Tuesday

-Slight cooler conditions expected by mid-week...but will be short- lived as warmer temperatures will return by late this week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1212 AM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

Mostly quiet conditions are ongoing across the Natural State early this Sun morning as SFC high pressure is settling across the region. A weak upper wave is passing just west of AR...which is creating some cloud cover and possibly a few scattered flurries across far WRN sections early this morning. No impacts are expected with this activity. Otherwise...temps will drop into the teens for most areas...with some single digit lows possible across NERN sections where clouds will be more limited.

The SFC high will shift SE by Sun afternoon...with a return of SRLY flow. This will allow for temps to begin a warming trend over the next few days. For today...temps will be about 10 to maybe 15 deg warmer than observed on Sat...with highs in the 30s and 40s.

The SRLY SFC flow will persist into Tue...with temps each day warming further. Highs will warm into the 50s for most areas Mon and Tue...with a few areas approaching the low 60s. The SRLY flow will also allow for some increasing moisture ahead of an approaching upper shortwave that will move east across the region on Tue. Chances for SHRA return to the forecast with this upper wave...with a new cold front progressing east through the region on Tue.

Temps will cool back down some for Wed and Thu behind this new cold front...but not expecting extreme cold like was previously observed. By late in the forecast...temps look to gradually warm above normal by next weekend.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 521 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

No major aviation concerns are anticipated through the period. There are some low end LLWS concerns for mainly the overnight period. Winds will be generally out of the southwesterly to southerly direction, with periods of variability overnight. FEW to BKN mid-level decks will clear out by the overnight hours, with SKC into the afternoon hours tomorrow.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 24 51 32 49 / 0 0 0 40 Camden AR 26 63 44 59 / 0 0 10 70 Harrison AR 27 56 35 49 / 0 0 0 20 Hot Springs AR 26 57 40 57 / 0 0 10 50 Little Rock AR 25 53 36 53 / 0 0 10 60 Monticello AR 28 60 45 58 / 0 0 0 80 Mount Ida AR 27 60 41 58 / 0 0 10 40 Mountain Home AR 22 52 32 47 / 0 0 0 20 Newport AR 23 47 33 49 / 0 0 0 50 Pine Bluff AR 25 57 39 55 / 0 0 10 70 Russellville AR 24 57 37 55 / 0 0 10 30 Searcy AR 21 50 32 51 / 0 0 10 50 Stuttgart AR 25 52 37 52 / 0 0 0 60

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.