textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 140 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

-Temperatures across the state will remain near normal to a few degrees above normal for the next couple of days.

-Rain and isolated storm chances will become less widespread, but be present from I-40 northward on Thursday and across northern Arkansas on Friday.

-A cold front will dive from the north out of Missouri into Arkansas to finish the out the weekend bringing an increased chance of widespread rain and storms to the Arkansas on Sunday into the day on Monday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 140 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

The state of Arkansas will remain under the eastern edge of a H500 ridge through Friday. Into the weekend, a ridge pattern begins to amplify over the Western region of the CONUS, centered over the Four Corners region which will result in northwest flow over Arkansas. Into the next workweek, the center of the ridge becomes fixated over the Northern Plains region of the CONUS with easterly flow overall for the remainder of the period over Arkansas.

At the sfc, a warm front will remain draped near the Arkansas/Missouri border keeping respectable POP chances in the forecast through Friday across the northern half of the state. Into the weekend, this feature will move northward into Missouri and stall as a stationary front across central Missouri, but remain in close enough proximity to warrant decent POP chances across the far northern tier of Arkansas. Into the late weekend/upcoming workweek, this feature is progged to become a cold front and dive back southward into Arkansas by Monday. As this transition occurs, increased POP chances will be noted statewide Sunday into Monday. For the remainder of the workweek or the middle of next week, POP chances are expected to lower slightly, but remain present as a few upper lvl disturbances meander over the state to close out the period.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1203 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

Expect VFR conditions to prevail across all sites between the forecast period of early Thursday morning and early Friday morning. A few instances of thunderstorms will be possible across northern Arkansas or at the sites of KHRO and KBPK later Thursday morning into Thursday afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 95 77 94 75 / 20 20 20 40 Camden AR 96 76 95 76 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 94 78 93 74 / 30 20 30 50 Hot Springs AR 96 77 95 77 / 0 0 10 0 Little Rock AR 97 79 96 78 / 10 10 10 10 Monticello AR 95 77 95 77 / 10 0 10 0 Mount Ida AR 93 77 92 76 / 0 0 10 0 Mountain Home AR 94 76 92 73 / 30 30 30 40 Newport AR 96 77 95 76 / 20 20 20 40 Pine Bluff AR 96 77 95 77 / 10 10 10 0 Russellville AR 98 78 96 77 / 20 10 10 10 Searcy AR 96 77 95 75 / 20 10 20 20 Stuttgart AR 96 78 95 78 / 10 10 20 10

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.