textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 244 AM CDT Mon Jun 15 2026

- Rain chances will be confined to far south Arkansas today as weak low pressure travels along a stalled out boundary.

- Temperatures and dew points will be lower today than days past for a brief respite from the summer heat. temperatures begin to rise again as early as Tuesday.

- A front will move through the state on Thursday and bring precipitation chances back to close out the week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 244 AM CDT Mon Jun 15 2026

Much quieter conditions are in place over the FA this morning versus this time last night. The cold front that was largely responsible for repeated rounds of convection over the weekend is currently over central Louisiana where it is expected to remain through mid week. Partly to mostly cloudy skies are in place this morning with temperatures ranging from the mid 60s to lower 70s across the FA.

Guidance remains steadfast in moving several weak waves of low pressure along said boundary through Tuesday with slight chances of precipitation over the southern two or three rows of counties in the CWA. Precipitation amounts are not expected to be excessive with the heaviest rainfall amounts falling to the south of this boundary where a very moist and unstable air mass will reside.

Remainder of the FA will be dry as weak high pressure passes to our north. The high, working with broad cyclonic flow over the nations mid section, will provide NE winds and a bit of a break from the summer heat and humidity today with highs expected to range from the upper 70s to lower 80s with dew points in the 50s and 60s. Temperatures are set to rise once again as early as Tuesday as the high slides to the east and southerly surface flow returns.

NW flow aloft to start off the forecast period will become more zonal on Wednesday allowing temperatures to climb back into the 90s. Guidance lifts a system out of the gulf on Wednesday and tracks it along the aforementioned boundary to our south keeping the majority of the precipitation east of the Mississippi River. Attention will then turn to a cold front dropping down from the north which will bring a chance of precipitation back to the FA Thursday and Friday. Pattern looks to remain unsettled to close out the period with ongoing precipitation through the weekend.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1154 AM CDT Mon Jun 15 2026

VFR flight category is anticipated across most TAF sites for the entire forecast period of Monday afternoon through Tuesday afternoon with the exception of lowered CIGS at KADF and KLLQ during the early morning hours on Tuesday. All sites will return to VFR flight category by Tuesday late morning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 61 85 67 91 / 0 0 10 0 Camden AR 66 86 69 92 / 40 30 10 10 Harrison AR 58 82 64 87 / 0 0 10 0 Hot Springs AR 66 86 70 91 / 10 10 0 0 Little Rock AR 65 86 70 91 / 10 0 0 0 Monticello AR 67 84 70 90 / 40 30 10 10 Mount Ida AR 65 86 70 89 / 10 10 0 0 Mountain Home AR 58 83 64 88 / 0 0 20 0 Newport AR 63 86 68 91 / 0 0 10 0 Pine Bluff AR 66 85 69 91 / 20 10 0 10 Russellville AR 64 87 70 91 / 10 0 10 0 Searcy AR 62 86 67 92 / 0 0 0 10 Stuttgart AR 66 85 70 91 / 10 0 0 10

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.