textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1246 AM CST Sun Dec 14 2025

-Coldest air of the season so far settling across the region today and tonight

-Wind chills in the single digits and teens this morning. Lows tonight in the teens for most areas

-Warming trend starts Monday afternoon...with temperatures back to around or even above normal by mid-week

-Chances for rain may return by Tue night into Wednesday...but better chances expected with a cold front Wednesday into Thursday

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1246 AM CST Sun Dec 14 2025

The next surge of cold air has moved into the state early this Sun morning as a new front pushed south through the state. NRLY winds have increased considerably...with some gusts over 25 kts at times. Temps have already dropped down into the low 20s across NRN sections...but have lingered in the 30s and 40s across central to SRN sections.

Expect the cold air mass to continue approaching the state from north into this Sun afternoon/evening. Temps by just after sunrise this Sun morning will dip into the teens and 20s for most areas...though some 30s may still be possible across SWRN sections. With the winds expected to remain elevated...wind chill values are still forecast to dip into the single digits and teens for most areas...with maybe some 20s possible across the SWRN sections. Highs this Sun afternoon will only be in the 20s and 30s for most areas.

SFC high pressure will drop SE over the region tonight into Mon morning...with winds becoming light. This will allow forecast lows by sunrise Mon morning to be in the teens for most areas. However...the SFC high will shift east by Mon afternoon...with SRLY flow starting to return across the state. This will allow a start of a warming trend for Mon afternoon...with highs back in the 30s and 40s. Expect highs by mid week to be in the 50s and maybe even 60s by Thu.

Chances for precip will remain low into Tue. However...a week upper wave will move east over the region Tue night into Wed...with some limited chances for rain forecast late Tue into Wed. Better chances for precip come Wed night into Thu as a stronger upper shortwave swings east over the region...and a new cold front surges SE through the state. Chances for SHRA and maybe some TSRA will return to the forecast late Wed and Thu as a result.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 414 AM CST Sun Dec 14 2025

Breezy NRLY winds will persist this morning...with some gusts over 20 kts at times. There will also be some MVFR CIGs...though this will transition to VFR levels later this morning. Winds will begin relaxing by this afternoon and evening.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 30 15 41 30 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 36 17 43 26 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 29 18 48 31 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 35 18 43 28 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 32 18 41 29 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 34 19 43 29 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 37 19 46 31 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 29 15 46 29 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 29 16 38 29 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 32 17 42 28 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 36 18 45 30 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 31 14 40 26 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 29 17 38 27 / 0 0 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.