textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 150 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

-Drier and more comfortable conditions today...with low chances for rainfall

-Muggy conditions return starting Thursday...and especially by this weekend

-Chances for rainfall return Thursday over western Arkansas...but more unsettled conditions return by the weekend into next week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 150 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

Drier and cooler air is filtering into the state behind a front that pushed south/SW into the state on Tue. NERLY SFC winds will continue to usher in lower dewpts...and upper level high pressure will settle over WRN TN this afternoon. The lower dewpts will allow for more comfortable conditions today...and combined with the upper ridge just east of the CWA...limited chances for precip are forecast into this afternoon.

The upper ridge over WRN TN this afternoon will shift back east tonight into Thu...and SRLY upper flow will allow a weak upper wave to lift north over WRN sections. As this happens...a warm front will lift north...with SRLY SFC flow returning. Chances for convection will return to the forecast on Thu as a result...especially for WRN sections.

Beyond Thu...flow aloft will become SWRLY over the region...with an upper low lifting north from TX into the Plains this weekend into early next week. This will keep SW flow over AR...and moisture levels will remain high. As a result...an active pattern will return to the forecast...with chances for convection off and on from Fri...through the weekend into next week. While no major systems are currently noted for any focus for organized SVR Wx and widespread heavy rainfall...some day-to-day potential for some isolated SVR convection may develop...as well as some locally heavy rainfall which may result in some isolated flash flooding.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1158 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

VFR conditions expected through the evening hours across all TAF sites. By late tonight, a weak surface low will lift north into far southwest Arkansas bringing deeper moisture with isolated to scattered SHRA and MVFR ceilings overnight into early Wednesday morning. Ceilings are expected to lift to VFR by late Wednesday morning and persist through the remainder of the period. Light east to northeast winds this afternoon/evening will become light and variable overnight then veer to the south/southeast on Wednesday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 63 82 65 84 / 0 0 10 0 Camden AR 69 83 66 86 / 10 20 10 0 Harrison AR 61 79 65 81 / 0 10 10 20 Hot Springs AR 68 80 67 84 / 10 30 10 10 Little Rock AR 67 81 66 84 / 0 10 10 0 Monticello AR 69 84 65 86 / 0 0 0 10 Mount Ida AR 68 79 67 83 / 10 40 10 10 Mountain Home AR 61 80 64 82 / 0 10 10 20 Newport AR 65 83 66 85 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 69 83 66 85 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 67 81 67 84 / 0 40 10 10 Searcy AR 64 83 64 85 / 0 10 10 0 Stuttgart AR 68 83 67 85 / 0 0 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.