textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 138 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

- A weak disturbance will move across the state today and tonight but rain amounts will be minimal.

- A cold front will move through the area Wednesday with a second boundary sweeping through Thursday. Much cooler air will follow the second boundary.

- Temperatures will be close to or below freezing for a good part of the state Saturday morning.

- There will be another chance of showers Sunday night through Monday but rain amounts look to be on the low side once again.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 138 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

All quiet across the FA this morning with the latest satellite imagery and surface observations showing mainly clear skies. The exception is across southern Arkansas where some clouds are seen, courtesy of an upper trough over central and southern Texas.

The surface high that has dominated the region of late continues to move off to the east with guidance remaining steadfast in moving the Texas trough to the east and across the state today, with this feature clearing the Mississippi River Wednesday morning. While the models were never really bullish on this feature producing much in the way of precipitation, they have backed off even more and while a few locations may see some minimal amounts of moisture, most will not. Southerly flow in advance of this trough will help to bring high temperatures into the upper 60s to mid 70s across the FA for today.

A cold front will then follow this system, passing across the state during the day Wednesday. Warmer reading are expected across central and southern sections of the FA for Wednesday before FROPA with a few 80 degree readings not out of the question. The NW part of the state will not likely get out of the 60s.

In the wake of this front, the upper flow becomes highly amplified with a sprawling upper ridge over the Rockies and deep troughing extending from Hudson Bay all the way to the central Gulf Coast. This in turn will drive a second cold front through the region Thursday/Thursday night, followed by high pressure of Canadian origin which will keep precipitation at bay through Saturday.

Temperatures Thursday will range from the upper 50s to lower 70s as the front moves through. Friday and Saturday will struggle to get out of the 50s with the exception of the far south as strong NW flow aloft prevails. Sub freezing or close to freezing temperatures look likely across most of the FA Saturday morning.

The cooler temperatures will continue through the remainder of the period in spite of the upper flow becoming more zonal. The position of the surface high will keep surface winds out of the east to northeast and cloud cover will be extensive from a passing wave. This wave will bring precipitation chances back to the area Sunday into Monday but once again, only minimal amounts of moisture are expected.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1131 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

Generally VFR conditions are expected across area terminals through the period. Sfc winds will remain light/variable through this afternoon and tonight. SW to W/NW winds will increase on Wednesday as a cold front moves through. The strongest winds are expected across northern AR terminals where gusts close to 20 kts will be possible. Some FG development is possible around daybreak Wednesday, but is expected to remain largely tied to valleys/rivers across northern AR.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 72 49 77 46 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 76 51 79 46 / 10 10 10 0 Harrison AR 70 53 69 44 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 75 53 80 47 / 20 10 0 0 Little Rock AR 74 53 80 49 / 0 10 0 0 Monticello AR 76 52 79 50 / 0 10 10 0 Mount Ida AR 74 50 79 43 / 20 10 0 0 Mountain Home AR 70 50 71 45 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 71 50 78 48 / 0 0 10 0 Pine Bluff AR 74 50 79 48 / 0 10 10 0 Russellville AR 72 51 76 45 / 0 10 0 0 Searcy AR 72 49 78 47 / 0 10 10 0 Stuttgart AR 73 53 79 49 / 0 10 10 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.