textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 154 PM CDT Tue Sep 1 2026

-A Heat Advisory is in effect through Friday across eastern Arkansas, a large part of central Arkansas, the Arkansas River Valley, and a portion of west-central Arkansas

-Hot and dry conditions continue, with near zero rain chances until ate this week and into the weekend

DISCUSSION

Issued at 219 AM CDT Tue Sep 1 2026

TUESDAY (TODAY) through THURSDAY:

The upper level ridge continues to persist over Arkansas which will favor the continued trend of hot and dry conditions. Tropical Storm Edouard is expected to make landfall this afternoon along the coastline between the Houston/Galveston metro and the Texas/Louisiana border. However, this topical feature is expected to have no bearing upon the weather conditions across Arkansas due to the weak tropical system and competing solidified center of the ridge over Arkansas which has been providing a source of dry-air entrainment or weakening the tropical system overall. Additionally, the remnants of the tropical system are expected to remain on a northwesterly course as it enters Texas and approaches the I-35 corridor in central Texas before dissipating altogether.

Expect hot and dry conditions to continue across Arkansas with no relief forecast from the eventual remnants of Tropical Storm Edouard which will remain well west of the state.

FRIDAY through MONDAY:

The upper level ridge broadens over the entire region, from over the Southern Plains region of the CONUS extending eastward to over the Southeastern region of the CONUS, this includes remaining over Arkansas. The strongest or center portion of the upper level ridge will transition over this period from over the Southeastern region of the CONUS back westward over the Southern Plains region of the CONUS. Arkansas will remain under the ridge and not much chance in temperatures are expected. However, the combination of a stationary boundary positioned across the Mid-West region of the CONUS and a center of surface high pressure positioned across the Mid-Atlantic region of the CONUS will provide southerly moisture return at the surface which may coerce a few isolated showers or thunderstorms, but POPs or chances overall remain very low in the 10% to 30% range and would likely impact southern portions of the state.

Expect hot and dry conditions to continue overall with very low chances for a few isolated showers and thunderstorms over this period, with those limited chances being reserved to southern Arkansas.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 154 PM CDT Tue Sep 1 2026

Expect VFR flight category for the entire forecast period from Tuesday morning through Wednesday morning across all TAF sites. Hot and dry conditions will continue to be present across Arkansas.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 77 100 77 101 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 73 97 73 97 / 0 0 0 10 Harrison AR 74 95 73 95 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 75 98 75 97 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 77 99 77 100 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 76 96 76 96 / 0 0 0 10 Mount Ida AR 72 97 72 97 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 74 96 74 97 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 76 98 76 99 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 74 97 74 97 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 75 99 75 99 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 74 98 74 99 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 76 98 76 98 / 0 0 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Friday for ARZ007-008-016-017-025- 031>034-039-042>047-054>057-064-065-069-121-122-130-138-230-238.