textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 200 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

-Relatively cooler temperatures will be seen from today through much of the upcoming week, compared to the brutal temperatures felt across Arkansas last week.

-The greatest chance for appreciable rainfall totals across parts of the state will be today looking ahead through Sunday.

-Northwesterly flow will begin to be interrupted by the weekend as the upper lvl ridge begins to elongate and become placed over the Southern Plains leading to an uptick in temperatures and decrease in rain chances statewide.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 200 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

As of just after 1 AM CDT, scattered rain showers with a few weak thunderstorms have entered Arkansas and are impacting portions of northern and central parts of the state moving in a trajectory south- southeastward through Arkansas. Intensity and coverage is expected to expand throughout the morning across the state.

In the upper lvls northwesterly flow over Arkansas continues to be the main weather driver across the CWA as the center of the pronounced upper lvl ridge remains cemented over the Four Corner region of the CONUS. At the sfc, a weak cold front has pushed into Louisiana. The proximity of a low level jet and associated mid-level jet streak has led to the development of the rain and storm activity moving across Arkansas.

Expect isolated to scattered coverage of storms across much of the state this morning, especially the central and southern portions of the state after sunrise. Rain and storms will continue an overall movement of northwest to southeast across corridors of the state. Rain and thunderstorm chances will begin to diminish into the overnight hours across the southeastern part of the state wrapping up the event completely. The main hazard with any storm that does manage to become severe will be damaging wind gusts. A lower-end flash flooding threat does exist, especially as these cells will likely train over the same locations which may lead to appreciable rainfall totals over a quick amount of time in the most efficient convection.

From Tuesday through Sunday, expect a gradual warming of temperatures as POP chances diminish overall (with a few small exceptions) across the state as the week progresses. A stationary boundary will be draped across the state on Wednesday and be pushed southward by a weak cold front during the day on Thursday. However, confidence of widespread activity noted similar to today will likely not be present as any convection will be isolated. Into the weekend, POP chances across the CWA lower to near zero as the upper lvl ridge elongates over both the Four Corners region and Southern Plains regions of the CONUS. In response, overall temperatures will continue to tick upwards and high temperatures in the upper 90s to near 100 degrees are expected across most of the state, especially into the later part of the weekend and early next week.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1233 AM CDT Tue Aug 25 2026

An area of VCTS is moving across parts of western and central Arkansas and will track southeastward impacting the sites of KHOT, KADF, KLIT, KPBF, and KLLQ over the forecast period which may drop CIGS to MVFR category Tuesday morning and be out of the state by midday on Tuesday when all sites will experience flight category return to VFR.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 94 73 95 72 / 20 20 40 40 Camden AR 96 74 97 72 / 20 0 10 40 Harrison AR 90 70 90 68 / 0 20 20 10 Hot Springs AR 97 74 97 73 / 10 10 10 20 Little Rock AR 96 75 96 75 / 10 20 20 30 Monticello AR 94 75 96 73 / 30 10 20 50 Mount Ida AR 98 72 96 69 / 10 10 20 20 Mountain Home AR 91 70 92 69 / 10 20 30 30 Newport AR 94 73 95 73 / 20 30 30 40 Pine Bluff AR 94 73 94 72 / 20 20 20 30 Russellville AR 96 73 96 72 / 0 20 20 20 Searcy AR 94 72 94 72 / 20 30 30 40 Stuttgart AR 94 74 94 74 / 20 20 20 40

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.