textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 221 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

- A cold front will move across the state today with a second cold front coming in for Thursday. Precipitation is not expected with either boundary but a few showers can not be ruled out this morning.

- Much cooler air will follow these fronts with highs not getting out of the 50s to lower 60s Thursday through Sunday, Overnight lows will be chilly with Saturday being the coldest morning.

- Another upper level trough will come in Sunday night and Monday but rain amounts will not be very high.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 221 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

Satellite and surface observations indicate a good amount of mid to low level cloud cover across the FA at this time. Cloud cover is associated with a weak mid level trough currently extending from E TX to the MO Bootheel. System will clear the state early this morning but a stray shower can not be discounted over the far E/SE until it does so.

Meanwhile, the upper pattern will become highly amplified over the next couple of days bringing much cooler air to the FA. Guidance remains steadfast in depicting a sprawling upper ridge over the Rockies with the upper trough moving through the state now, undergoing significant deepening over the eastern CONUS by the end of Thursday and placing us in deep northwest flow aloft.

Pattern change will drive a cold front through the state today but it will only be accompanied by some clouds and a wind shift to the northwest. Front is seen on satellite imagery this morning and extends from northern MO to the TX panhandle and will be located over NW AR right around day break. Temperatures will warm to near 80 across central and southern sections of the state today before FROPA while the north will struggle to get out of the upper 60s to lower 70s.

This front will clear the state early this evening with another cold front coming in on its heels and will cross the FA during the day Thursday. High pressure of Canadian origin will follow the second front and settle over the area through Saturday. Behind the second front, high temperatures will likely not get out of the 50s to lower 60s through Tuesday with some very chilly overnight lows. The coldest morning is still shaping up to be Saturday with the northeast half of the state likely dropping to below freezing with the remainder of the state not that far from it.

The surface high will begin to retreat to the east Sunday as the next trough approaches from the west. Rain chances return for Sunday afternoon through early Monday with the best chances over the western and southern parts of the state. Once again, rainfall amounts do not appear to be very high with a tenth to quarter of an inch expected.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1128 PM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

VFR conds are expected through the TAF period with high pressure building in behind a departing cold front. Winds behind the front have shifted to the NW and decreased significantly from earlier today. However, winds are expected to become gusty between 15-25 kts Thursday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 80 45 64 33 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 82 45 71 35 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 72 42 58 31 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 79 45 69 34 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 83 48 68 36 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 79 48 69 37 / 20 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 81 41 67 31 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 75 43 58 33 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 80 47 64 35 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 80 46 68 34 / 20 0 0 0 Russellville AR 80 45 66 35 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 80 46 66 34 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 80 48 67 36 / 20 0 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.