textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1145 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026

-Drier conditions expected for much of the upcoming work week.

-Dry cold front will move across the state around the middle of the week. -Well above normal temperatures likely by late week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1145 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026

Satellite and radar late this evening shows scattered showers across the northern half of the state. Skies were clear over parts of northwest Arkansas with cloudy skies elsewhere with temperatures in the 50s in far northern Arkansas and 60s elsewhere. The remaining shower activity within the state is expected to move east and decrease in coverage before ending around sunrise.

As we head into Monday, northwest flow aloft will remain in control over the state through at least the middle of the week. A warming trend will commence as temperatures will warm to well above normal values by the end of the work week into next weekend. A dry cold front will drop out of the central Plains on Wednesday but other than a wind shift will not bring any other sensible weather changes.

By Thursday, the upper trough over the Great Lakes region will move toward the eastern seaboard. At the same time, a shortwave over the Great Basin will trek across the Rockies into the northern Plains by Thursday night. A short wave ridge will move in behind the departing upper trough over the eastern US on Thursday afternoon.

By Thursday night, short wave over the northern plains will drag a cold front into the state Friday into Saturday bringing shower and thunderstorm chances to the state. As we head into a Sunday, a short wave trough that will dive south out of British Columbia will trek along the International border as upper troughing deepens across the western US Saturday into Sunday. This will allow southwest flow to set up over the state with multiple disturbances move across the state bringing chances for showers and thunderstorms through the rest of the forecast period.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1116 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026

All sites will experience VFR flight category for the majority of the forecast period between early Monday morning and early Tuesday morning with only a couple of minimal exceptions. The TAF sites of KLIT and KLLQ may have CIGS lower to MVFR for the first couple hours of the forecast period, but confidence is low, used a TEMPO group to capture this possibility. Surface wind gusts may be present at the TAF sites of KPBF and KLLQ late Monday morning into early Monday afternoon in excess of 20 knots. All TAF sites will become VFR for the majority of the forecast as the cold front has moved across Arkansas and fair weather will occupy the state behind the frontal boundary.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 79 56 79 52 / 50 50 0 0 Camden AR 83 59 80 52 / 40 60 30 0 Harrison AR 74 51 79 52 / 60 30 0 0 Hot Springs AR 78 57 79 52 / 50 30 10 0 Little Rock AR 76 58 78 52 / 50 40 10 0 Monticello AR 78 61 79 54 / 30 50 10 0 Mount Ida AR 74 58 79 51 / 60 40 10 0 Mountain Home AR 72 51 79 51 / 40 20 0 0 Newport AR 79 57 78 53 / 60 60 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 83 59 79 52 / 50 50 10 0 Russellville AR 78 58 81 52 / 60 40 0 0 Searcy AR 81 56 79 50 / 60 40 0 0 Stuttgart AR 80 60 78 54 / 60 50 10 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.