textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1130 AM CST Mon Nov 9 2026

- Temperatures above average are expected through Wednesday before much colder air arrives Thursday through Saturday behind a fairly strong cold front

- Precipitation chances will be minimal with little appreciable rain expected Tuesday night and into Wednesday night

- Temperatures are expected to drop to near freezing across the north Friday morning with more widespread sub-freezing temperatures by Saturday morning

DISCUSSION

Issued at 241 AM CST Mon Nov 9 2026

Latest data supports the current forecast with only minimal changes needed. Satellite perspective is showing minimal cloud cover over primarily the south, associated with upper troughing over central and southern Texas. Patchy fog is also developing in the usual spots but not expecting it to become it to become widespread enough to warrant the issuance of any headlines.

Surface high pressure centered over the region will dominate today and into Tuesday. Light south to southwest winds will pull in enough warm air to keep temperatures above seasonal averages. Its overall grip will begin to weaken later Tuesday as it begins to drift off to the east.

Upper troughing over Texas this morning will begin to lift through the area Tuesday night and Wednesday. In spite of increased cloud cover and minimal rain chances, temperatures will be the warmest day of the week. Rain chances will be minimal at best as the trough passes through and likely restricted to the east and southern parts of the FA and will offer little if any relief to the ongoing drought situation.

Trough clears the state by Wednesday afternoon and will be followed by a fairly strong cold front whose passage will be marked largely by a wind shift to the northwest. Meanwhile, upper pattern will become highly amplified by the end of the week with strong troughing over the Rockies and subsequent downstream troughing over the Ohio Valley and the eastern Conus. This will place the FA in deep northwest flow aloft with surface high pressure dropping into the plains Friday and pretty much on top of us Friday and into Saturday.

Much cooler air will move into the state with highs Friday/Saturday likely not getting out of the 50s with the exception of the far southern part of the FA. Low temperatures across the far north will likely drop to near freezing with Saturday morning showing the majority of the FA at or below freezing.

The cool down will be brief as the aforementioned surface high moves off to the east Sunday and weak ridging returns to bring southerly flow and high temperatures in the 60s Sunday and Monday.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 433 PM CST Mon Nov 9 2026

Some patchy fog may be seen again tonight...but should be less dense than in previous nights. Otherwise...dominant VFR conditions are expected for most of the period. Winds will remain less than 10 kts sustained.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 41 73 51 77 / 0 0 0 10 Camden AR 44 77 52 79 / 0 10 10 0 Harrison AR 45 71 54 70 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 44 76 54 79 / 0 10 10 10 Little Rock AR 45 75 55 79 / 0 0 10 10 Monticello AR 46 76 54 78 / 0 0 10 10 Mount Ida AR 42 75 51 78 / 0 10 10 0 Mountain Home AR 42 70 51 71 / 0 0 0 10 Newport AR 42 72 51 77 / 0 0 0 10 Pine Bluff AR 43 75 52 78 / 0 0 10 10 Russellville AR 42 73 52 76 / 0 0 10 0 Searcy AR 41 73 51 77 / 0 0 0 10 Stuttgart AR 45 74 54 78 / 0 0 0 10

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.