textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 105 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

-Chances for isolated showers/thunderstorms possible again this Friday

-Chances for more widespread showers and thunderstorms forecast for this weekend into early next week

-Overall threat for organized severe weather low through the period...but some isolated strong to severe weather may be seen

-Oppressive heat may settle across the region next week...with heat headlines becoming possible

DISCUSSION

Issued at 105 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

Moisture levels have increased areawide early this Fri morning as result of the warm front that lifted north on Thu...and the scattered convection seen. While most precip has ended early this Fri morning...weak SW flow aloft will remain over the state for Fri. Another weak upper wave may pass overhead in this SW flow aloft...and additional isolated to widely scattered convection may again develop during the morning and afternoon hrs. Best POPs will remain across WRN/NWRN sections...but some stray SHRA may still be seen across portions of central AR similar to Thu. Most precip should dissipate shortly after sunset with the loss of daytime heating.

Chances for more convection return for Sat...with coverage expected to be more significant. This will be result of an upper low lifting north from TX into OK...and with an upper disturbance passing NE over AR in the SW flow aloft east of the upper low. Similar conditions will be seen again on Sun...with scattered convection expected for a good portion of the CWA.

The unsettled pattern will continue into early next week as SW flow aloft continues...and weak upper waves pass overhead. By the middle of next week...expect the chances for precip to decrease as upper flow become less significant over the region. Even so...enough weakness in the upper flow may exist to see some isolated afternoon convection during the middle of next week.

The overall threat for seeing any organized SVR Wx and widespread heavy rainfall through the period remains low due to no major systems expected to pass through the region. However...some isolated strong/SVR convection may be seen each day...along with the potential for locally heavy rainfall that may result in isolated flash flooding.

With the upper ridge moving overhead...temps will gradually rise into the upper 80s to mid 90s by the middle/latter half of next week. Chances for precip look to remain low...but humidity levels will remain high. This should result in some near critical heat index levels as early as Mon/Tue for portions of the area...and a bit more widespread later next week. If this trend looks to come to fruition...heat headlines may be needed sometime next week as a result of oppressively hot conditions.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1150 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026

while most areas should remain VFR overnight due to some mid/high level clouds...some patchy MVFR conditions may be seen into the morning hrs...especially in areas that saw rainfall recently. Some isolated/scattered SHRA may be seen again on Fri afternoon. Any precip that develops should dissipate shortly after sunset.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 85 69 84 70 / 10 10 30 50 Camden AR 87 71 84 70 / 10 10 30 50 Harrison AR 81 67 79 67 / 30 10 40 60 Hot Springs AR 86 71 83 71 / 20 10 50 70 Little Rock AR 86 70 83 71 / 20 10 30 50 Monticello AR 88 72 85 72 / 0 0 40 50 Mount Ida AR 83 70 82 71 / 20 10 50 70 Mountain Home AR 81 67 80 68 / 30 10 40 60 Newport AR 86 70 85 71 / 10 10 30 40 Pine Bluff AR 86 71 84 71 / 10 0 30 50 Russellville AR 85 71 83 72 / 20 10 40 70 Searcy AR 86 69 85 70 / 10 10 30 50 Stuttgart AR 86 72 85 73 / 10 0 30 40

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.