textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 140 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

-Temperatures across the state will remain near normal to a few degrees above normal for the next couple of days.

-Rain and isolated storm chances will become less widespread, but be present from I-40 northward on Thursday and across northern Arkansas on Friday.

-A cold front will dive from the north out of Missouri into Arkansas to finish the out the weekend bringing an increased chance of widespread rain and storms to the Arkansas on Sunday into the day on Monday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 140 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

The state of Arkansas will remain under the eastern edge of a H500 ridge through Friday. Into the weekend, a ridge pattern begins to amplify over the Western region of the CONUS, centered over the Four Corners region which will result in northwest flow over Arkansas. Into the next workweek, the center of the ridge becomes fixated over the Northern Plains region of the CONUS with easterly flow overall for the remainder of the period over Arkansas.

At the sfc, a warm front will remain draped near the Arkansas/Missouri border keeping respectable POP chances in the forecast through Friday across the northern half of the state. Into the weekend, this feature will move northward into Missouri and stall as a stationary front across central Missouri, but remain in close enough proximity to warrant decent POP chances across the far northern tier of Arkansas. Into the late weekend/upcoming workweek, this feature is progged to become a cold front and dive back southward into Arkansas by Monday. As this transition occurs, increased POP chances will be noted statewide Sunday into Monday. For the remainder of the workweek or the middle of next week, POP chances are expected to lower slightly, but remain present as a few upper lvl disturbances meander over the state to close out the period.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1211 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

Generally VFR conditions expected through the period along with S-SW winds around 7-10 kts with occasional gusts above 15 kts. Isolated TS development is possible through the period, with the highest chances generally across northern portions of the state. Some wind shear will be in place overnight through 10/13z Friday morning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 78 95 76 91 / 10 20 40 60 Camden AR 76 96 76 93 / 0 0 0 20 Harrison AR 78 94 75 88 / 10 20 30 70 Hot Springs AR 78 95 77 93 / 0 0 10 20 Little Rock AR 79 97 78 93 / 0 0 10 40 Monticello AR 77 96 78 93 / 0 0 0 30 Mount Ida AR 77 93 77 91 / 0 0 10 20 Mountain Home AR 77 93 74 87 / 20 30 40 70 Newport AR 78 96 76 92 / 10 20 30 60 Pine Bluff AR 77 95 77 93 / 10 0 10 40 Russellville AR 79 96 78 93 / 0 10 10 30 Searcy AR 77 96 76 93 / 0 10 10 60 Stuttgart AR 78 96 77 93 / 0 0 10 40

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Friday for ARZ016-025-033-034- 045>047-057-065.