textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 242 AM CST Wed Dec 31 2025

- Temperatures will continue to slowly rebound as southerly winds return and push the rest of the Arctic air out.

- A weak weather system will bring slight chances of rain Thursday and Friday. No other precipitation is expected over the next seven days.

- Slightly cooler air returns for the weekend behind this weak disturbance but temperatures will still average above normal with additional warming early next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 242 AM CST Wed Dec 31 2025

Not a lot of appreciable changes will be forth coming this morning as guidance has not deviated much over the past few runs. Skies are basically clear across the state this morning with temperatures on the chilly side but 10 degrees warmer versus this time last night as winds have switched to more of a west to southwest direction.

Highly amplified upper pattern remains in place across the lower 48 with deep trough along the east coast and an expanding upper ridge over the west. These synoptic scale features have placed AR directly in a pronounced NW flow aloft. On the surface, high pressure is situated along the Texas coast this morning and forecast to slide to the east through Wednesday and into Thursday. This will turn surface flow back to the southwest with a noticeable uptick in temperatures.

High temperatures on the last day of 2025 will top out in the 50s with the first day of 2026 a touch warmer with widespread upper 50s to mid 60s expected. Sunny skies are expected today but clouds will be on the increase for Thursday.

Western ridge does amplify as eastern trough moves off into the western Atlantic Thursday but guidance contuse to show a weak impulse caught up in the now westerly upper flow. Impulse appears to have a little more moisture to tap into but precipitation chances will remain on the low side Thursday night into Friday night as it moves through. Precipitation amounts will not be significant with those areas that receive rain likely seeing less than a tenth of an inch. In spite of the clouds and precipitation chances, Friday will remain on the mild side.

A dry cold front will then pass through the CWA Friday night and introduce some cooler air back to the region. Even with this cooler air, temperatures still look to average above seasonal norms. Even this cool down in brief as temperatures start to climb again early next week with the next chance of precipitation after Thursday night and Friday next Thursday.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 537 PM CST Wed Dec 31 2025

VFR conditions and mostly clear sky conditions are expected through the period. Winds will be generally W/NW at less than 10 kts.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 35 60 42 54 / 0 0 10 50 Camden AR 34 65 48 69 / 0 0 10 20 Harrison AR 37 63 43 55 / 0 0 10 20 Hot Springs AR 37 64 47 61 / 0 0 20 20 Little Rock AR 36 63 46 59 / 0 0 20 40 Monticello AR 38 67 50 68 / 0 0 10 40 Mount Ida AR 38 66 48 62 / 0 0 20 20 Mountain Home AR 34 59 40 53 / 0 0 0 30 Newport AR 34 58 43 52 / 0 0 0 50 Pine Bluff AR 37 64 48 64 / 0 0 20 40 Russellville AR 34 63 45 58 / 0 0 10 30 Searcy AR 32 61 42 56 / 0 0 10 50 Stuttgart AR 36 62 47 59 / 0 0 10 50

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.