textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 141 AM CDT Mon May 25 2026

-A dry and fair Memorial Day is expected across most of the state of Arkansas

-Unsettled pattern returns to the forecast across Arkansas for the upcoming workweek as a series of frontal boundaries move back over the state

-Temperatures over the forecast period are expected to remain near normal values for this time of the year

DISCUSSION

Issued at 141 AM CDT Mon May 25 2026

MEMORIAL DAY (MONDAY/TODAY):

A dry and fair Memorial Day shaping up across the CWA and state of Arkansas as the frontal boundary which has kept elevated rain and isolated storm chances in the forecast has moved to the southeast of Arkansas and POP chances have been drastically reduced to nil for much of the state to reflect.

TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY:

In the upper lvls, an omega blocking pattern begins to take hold across the CONUS by mid-week. The two closed lows are progged to be positioned over the Southwestern region of the CONUS and the over the Atlantic Ocean off the coast of the Carolinas. Over Arkansas, the upper lvl flow pattern during this timeframe will remain light with winds which will advect moisture into the mid-levels of the atmospheric column, but not have much impact on moving mesoscale feature given the overall positioning of the blocking pattern in place over the CONUS.

Expect a period of increased rain and thunderstorm chances as the frontal boundary off to the south and east of Arkansas will retrograde back into the state as a warm front and then become a stalled stationary front once again as the upper lvl omega block prevents mesoscale features from making progress or moving in their typical west to east movement across the CONUS.

SATURDAY/SUNDAY:

In the upper lvls, the omega block breaks down that was solidified over the CONUS. At the sfc, a back-door cold front will move into Arkansas from the northeast part of the state and track to the southwest. In turn, POP chances overall will lower, but guidance this far out is in some disagreement of the movement of a stationary boundary that may be positioned across the state and how quickly the approaching cold front pushes the boundary away from the state which would diminish POP chances.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 540 AM CDT Mon May 25 2026

Expect VFR flight category for the majority of the forecast period between Monday morning and Tuesday morning. CIGS are expected to lower to MVFR and IFR category across the southern and central terminals early Tuesday morning. VCTS will be possible near and at the sites of KLIT, KPBF, and KLLQ during Monday afternoon into Monday evening. The site of KLIT will see a secondary possibility of VCTS late Monday evening into early Tuesday morning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 81 65 79 65 / 10 40 60 50 Camden AR 83 64 84 66 / 30 30 50 30 Harrison AR 81 61 77 62 / 10 10 60 20 Hot Springs AR 82 65 81 66 / 20 20 50 30 Little Rock AR 81 65 80 66 / 20 40 60 30 Monticello AR 82 66 83 68 / 40 40 60 40 Mount Ida AR 82 65 80 66 / 20 20 50 20 Mountain Home AR 81 62 77 63 / 0 20 70 40 Newport AR 82 66 81 66 / 20 50 70 60 Pine Bluff AR 81 66 82 67 / 30 50 60 30 Russellville AR 83 65 81 66 / 10 20 60 20 Searcy AR 81 64 80 64 / 20 50 60 40 Stuttgart AR 81 67 81 68 / 30 50 60 40

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.