textproduct: Little Rock
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 117 PM CDT Mon Jul 27 2026
- Heat advisories/extreme heat warnings in effect through Tuesday, with multiple 100 degree days possible through mid-week
- In addition to daytime heat, overnight lows may struggle to fall below 80 degrees in some locations
- Make sure to drink plenty of water and take breaks when outside
DISCUSSION
Issued at 117 PM CDT Mon Jul 27 2026
To begin the period, a ridge of high pressure continues to build back over the region. Sinking air over the state will diminish any chances for rain through the middle of this week. Although, some afternoon thunderstorm chances cannot be completely ruled out.
The biggest threat will be the dangerous temperatures and heat index values. For Monday and Tuesday afternoons, it is possible many locations across the state reach 100 degrees with heat index values much hotter. Heat headlines have been issued all across the state through Tuesday afternoon with a mix of heat advisories for southern and northern locations and an extreme heat warning for eastern and central Arkansas and the AR River Valley.
An additional concern could be the lack of a recovery period overnight where we could see multiple nights where locations struggle to drop below 80 degrees. If you plan to be outdoors for any reason this weekend and next week, make sure you have shade to rest in, take multiple breaks, and drink plenty of water.
Looking beyond early this week, a reprieve from these extremely hot conditions will occur through the middle of the week, as a series of shortwaves dive southward across the Plains downstream of the ridge center. The combination of lowering mid-level heights, increased cloud cover and rain chances as early as Wednesday will result in cooler temperatures.
Consensus heading into late week and even into this weekend indicates a slow westward movement of the ridge center, which would keep the door open for cooler temperatures and more active weather pattern during the extended forecast period.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 117 PM CDT Mon Jul 27 2026
Widespread VFR conditions are expected through the period as high pressure continues to dominate the weather pattern. Winds will be mostly out of the southwest through the evening hours. Some high clouds are possible through the period.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 79 102 77 91 / 0 10 50 40 Camden AR 76 100 77 96 / 0 0 0 10 Harrison AR 77 99 76 90 / 0 10 40 60 Hot Springs AR 78 102 79 96 / 0 0 10 30 Little Rock AR 80 103 80 94 / 0 0 30 40 Monticello AR 78 100 79 95 / 0 0 10 20 Mount Ida AR 77 100 78 95 / 0 0 0 30 Mountain Home AR 77 99 76 89 / 0 10 40 40 Newport AR 79 102 77 91 / 0 0 40 40 Pine Bluff AR 77 99 77 93 / 0 0 20 30 Russellville AR 78 104 79 95 / 0 0 20 50 Searcy AR 78 101 77 92 / 0 10 40 50 Stuttgart AR 78 100 79 93 / 0 0 30 50
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Tuesday for ARZ004>006-014-015-042- 052>055-062-063-066>068-103-112-113-140-141-203-212-213-221>223- 237-240-241-313-340-341.
Extreme Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT Tuesday for ARZ007-008-016- 017-024-025-031>034-039-043>047-056-057-064-065-069-121>123-130- 137-138-230-238.
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