textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1159 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

-Remnants of Isaias to pass east of Arkansas today...with chances for rainfall best over the far eastern portions of the state. Winds may increase along the Mississippi River

-Moisture levels will drop again this afternoon...mainly over western sections...which may create an increased wild fire danger. However...winds should remain less than 10 mph in this region of the state

-Dry and well above normal conditions return late in the weekend into next week

-Front may move into the region during the latter half of next week...with some increased rain chances returning to the forecast

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1159 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

All quiet conditions ongoing across the area early this Sat morning. However...focus turns to Isaias which made landfall late Fri evening. The remnants of this storm will continue lifting north throughout this Sat...with the center of the low staying mainly in AL into tonight. Given this track...most if not all impacts should remain east of the state...with mainly just increased cloud cover expected. Some increased rain chances remain across far ERN AR...but east of the LZK CWA. Winds will also increase some across SERN sections of the CWA this morning...then as the low center lifts north...most increased winds will remain along the MS River corridor into Sat evening.

Fire weather concerns remain fairly limited...mainly due to the lighter winds where the driest air is expected. WRN into central sections of the CWA will see temps warm well above normal once again...and dewpts will struggle to increase...and may dry out this afternoon. This will result in min RH values dipping below 40 percent...maybe even below 30 percent some some areas again this afternoon. However...winds should remain less than 10 mph in this region of the state. Where winds will be a bit higher...cloud cover will be thicker...and temps cooler resulting in significantly higher RH values over ERN sections.

The remnants of Isaias will lift NE of the region on Sun...with a return of the upper level ridge into early next week. This will keep temps well above normal...and precip chances very low. A new cold front and upper shortwave may move into the region by later next week...which may bring increased rain chances...and at some point...a return to more normal temps by the end of the forecast.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1210 PM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026

Widespread VFR conditions are expected through the period. With that said, the remnants of Isaias will continue to track a safe distance away from the state with some high level clouds possible. KLLQ could see gusty winds related to its wind field. By this evening and tonight mostly calm and dry conditions are expected with light and variable winds.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 55 91 63 91 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 57 93 60 93 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 59 89 66 88 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 59 91 62 90 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 59 92 65 91 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 59 92 64 92 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 56 90 61 89 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 55 90 62 90 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 56 91 63 92 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 57 92 62 92 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 57 92 63 92 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 56 92 62 92 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 57 93 63 93 / 0 0 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.