textproduct: Little Rock

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 143 AM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

-Very cold conditions this morning...with temperatures in the single digits and teens...and wind chills below zero for most of central to northern Arkansas

-Flurries will be possible this morning...and again tonight/Sunday morning. No significant impacts expected

-Warmer conditions return early to middle of next week

-Chances for showers return to the forecast with the warmer mid week weather

DISCUSSION

Issued at 143 AM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

A new Arctic front moved through the state this evening...with breezy NRLY winds noted late Fri evening into the early morning hrs this Sat morning. Ahead of the upper shortwave dropping south...some patchy flurries were noted dropping south over the state. While most areas will see only a few flakes...there may be some areas that see a few more intense pockets of light snow where a dusting may accumulate. No significant impacts are expected however.

Temps by around sunrise will plummet behind this Arctic front...with lows in the single digits and teens. With these temps...and the breezy winds...wind chill values will dip well below zero for most areas...with some single digits across SRN sections. Will keep the Cold Wx Adv going for this morning as a result of these cold conditions.

Winds will relax by later today and tonight as SFC high pressure settle across the region. Expect lows in the teens and single digits once again tonight into Sun morning. Another upper disturbance looks to drop south over portions of the state...with some more potential for a few flurries again tonight. No impacts are expected with this activity as well.

SFC high pressure will shift east by early next week...with warmer conditions returning. By late Mon and especially on Tue...SRLY flow will increase ahead of an approaching upper disturbance that will move east over the region. Temps will warm well above freezing...and what precip will be seen with this upper wave will be mainly scattered SHRA...maybe even an isolated TSRA.

Another cold front will drop south through the region by the middle/latter part of next week. Cooler air will then return to the state by late in the forecast...but not as cold as the most recent cold air mass.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 409 AM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

Breezy NRLY winds will continue this morning...gradually decreasing in intensity throughout the day as SFC high pressure approaches from the NW. While some spotty MVFR CIGs could be seen this morning...most areas should see VFR conditions persist.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 28 13 39 24 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 32 17 46 23 / 0 10 0 0 Harrison AR 25 13 43 27 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 30 16 43 25 / 0 10 0 0 Little Rock AR 28 16 41 25 / 0 10 0 0 Monticello AR 30 19 44 27 / 0 10 0 0 Mount Ida AR 31 15 45 26 / 0 10 0 0 Mountain Home AR 26 11 42 22 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 27 10 35 22 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 28 16 42 24 / 0 10 0 0 Russellville AR 31 15 44 22 / 0 10 0 0 Searcy AR 29 12 39 20 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 28 14 37 23 / 0 0 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Cold Weather Advisory until noon CST today for ARZ004>008- 014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-103-112-113- 121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-237-238-240- 241-313-340-341.


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