textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 158 AM CDT Tue Apr 7 2026

-Dry conditions and near normal temps to continue in the short term

-Winds shift to southerly late Wednesday, above normal temps and moisture return into the weekend

-Rain and thunderstorm chances increase later in the weekend into next week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 158 AM CDT Tue Apr 7 2026

Synoptic scale weather pattern remains rather benign into the weekend. Temps expected to remain near normal. The surface high centered along the AR/MO line has fully eroded around midnight on Tues. With this erosion any sensible pattern in winds has also dissipated. Light and variable winds will persist until the late morning hours when the surface high begins to reform over the MO bootheel. Easterly flow will build into the area and remain the prevailing pattern until late Weds. Low Min RHs (near 30th percentile) combined with slightly stronger winds could present an elevated fire danger Tues into Weds.

By midweek a weak shortwave will form over the area and push to the East. This will shift the pattern into a southerly flow and allow for moisture to return across much of the state. With this moisture an outside chance for a quick shower exists but will be extremely unlikely. Temps also begin to rise again, highs close to 80 will be possible.

After the shortwave clears the area Thurs evening a weak ridge will build over the area and shift flow to SWRLY. Even more warm and moist air will start to push into the region. Highs in the low to mid 80s likely over the weekend. Rain and thunderstorm chances begin to rise late into the weekend into next week.

Ensembles have been consistent in last few runs of a synoptic pattern that supports several days of severe weather in the region next week. At this time a lot of detail is still needed to be worked out in the mesoscale for timing, impacts, and type of impactful weather.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1206 PM CDT Tue Apr 7 2026

VFR conditions to persist through the period. Easterly winds in place this afternoon will turn more southeasterly through the morning hours Wednesday. Some gusts at or above 15 kts expected through 08/00z.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 47 75 54 78 / 0 0 0 10 Camden AR 51 78 53 80 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 46 74 52 77 / 0 0 0 10 Hot Springs AR 50 77 53 78 / 0 0 0 10 Little Rock AR 49 77 55 79 / 0 0 0 10 Monticello AR 52 78 55 80 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 50 76 53 78 / 0 0 10 10 Mountain Home AR 45 75 52 78 / 0 0 0 10 Newport AR 47 77 53 78 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 50 77 53 79 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 49 77 53 79 / 0 0 0 10 Searcy AR 45 77 51 79 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 50 77 55 78 / 0 0 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.