textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1251 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

-Windy conditions continue through this morning

-Very cold wind chills through this morning

-Well below freezing conditions expected this morning and again tonight into Tuesday morning

-Temperatures rebound by the middle of next week...with well above normal conditions by late this week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1251 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

Most precip activity has moved east of the state early this Mon morning. However...some lingering moisture across NRN sections was resulting in some flurries. SFC pressure gradient remains tight over the region...resulting in the windy conditions. There have been some observed non-thunderstorm wind gusts over 50 mph at times earlier on Sun evening. Expect the windy conditions to persist through the morning hrs...with winds slowly relaxing later in the morning and into the afternoon hrs. Keep the Wind Adv in place through around sunrise.

These winds combined with the cold air filtering into the state will result in wind chill values in the single digits and teens this morning for most areas. Lows by just after sunrise will also dip into the upper teens to low 30s. The Freeze Warning remains in effect through this morning. Temps this afternoon will only warm into the low 30s to mid 40s. Winds will become light/variable by tonight into Tue morning. Lows area-wide will be below freezing for all of the CWA. Have posted another Freeze Warning for tonight/Tue morning.

Very dry air will filter into the state for Mon afternoon...and with winds remaining elevated...the wild fire threat will increase significantly. Will see near critical levels regarding winds...but as the winds relax...that is when the lowest RH values below 25 percent will be seen later this afternoon. Temps will remain well below normal...which should help things keep from getting too aggressive wild fire wise. Another very dry day will be seen for Tue as well...but winds will be much lower.

Upper level high pressure will move closer to the region later this week into the weekend. Temps will warm well above normal. Some areas will see highs in the 80s...and there are some indications that a few areas could approach 90 by Sat. Precip chances will also remain low.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1206 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

MVFR cigs and -SN will be common across northern AR terminals through daybreak. Otherwise, VFR conditions will be fairly widespread through the period. Winds will be strongest this morning, out of the NW with gusts between 30-40 kts. Through the day winds will lessen somewhat with winds falling below 15 kts shortly after 17/00z.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 41 24 51 40 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 46 24 56 38 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 35 19 52 41 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 43 25 55 39 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 44 26 53 40 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 47 27 54 39 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 42 23 56 40 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 37 19 51 39 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 41 24 48 40 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 44 25 53 39 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 43 22 56 40 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 43 22 52 38 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 43 26 50 40 / 0 0 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Wind Advisory until 7 AM CDT this morning for ARZ004>008-014>017- 024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-103-112-113-121>123- 130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-237-238-240-241-313- 340-341.

Freeze Warning until 10 AM CDT this morning for ARZ004>008- 014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-103-112-113- 121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-237-238-240- 241-313-340-341.

Freeze Warning from 10 PM this evening to 10 AM CDT Tuesday for ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069- 103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230- 237-238-240-241-313-340-341.