textproduct: Little Rock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1145 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026

-Drier conditions expected for much of the upcoming work week.

-Dry cold front will move across the state around the middle of the week. -Well above normal temperatures likely by late week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1145 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026

Satellite and radar late this evening shows scattered showers across the northern half of the state. Skies were clear over parts of northwest Arkansas with cloudy skies elsewhere with temperatures in the 50s in far northern Arkansas and 60s elsewhere. The remaining shower activity within the state is expected to move east and decrease in coverage before ending around sunrise.

As we head into Monday, northwest flow aloft will remain in control over the state through at least the middle of the week. A warming trend will commence as temperatures will warm to well above normal values by the end of the work week into next weekend. A dry cold front will drop out of the central Plains on Wednesday but other than a wind shift will not bring any other sensible weather changes.

By Thursday, the upper trough over the Great Lakes region will move toward the eastern seaboard. At the same time, a shortwave over the Great Basin will trek across the Rockies into the northern Plains by Thursday night. A short wave ridge will move in behind the departing upper trough over the eastern US on Thursday afternoon.

By Thursday night, short wave over the northern plains will drag a cold front into the state Friday into Saturday bringing shower and thunderstorm chances to the state. As we head into a Sunday, a short wave trough that will dive south out of British Columbia will trek along the International border as upper troughing deepens across the western US Saturday into Sunday. This will allow southwest flow to set up over the state with multiple disturbances move across the state bringing chances for showers and thunderstorms through the rest of the forecast period.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1208 PM CDT Mon May 11 2026

VFR conditions expected to persist through the period. Winds will generally be NE through this evening at up to 10 kts with occasional gusts. After sunset winds will be light/variable. Sfc winds Tuesday will vary from S to E in direction at less than 10 kts.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Batesville AR 52 82 60 84 / 0 0 10 0 Camden AR 52 84 55 87 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 52 83 61 82 / 0 0 10 0 Hot Springs AR 52 82 57 87 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 52 81 57 85 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 54 82 56 86 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 51 81 57 86 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 51 83 59 82 / 0 0 10 0 Newport AR 53 82 59 85 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 52 81 56 86 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 52 84 59 87 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 50 81 55 85 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 54 80 58 85 / 0 0 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.