textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1126 AM CST Mon Dec 29 2025

- A slight chance of snow remains possible through this evening for the far southwestern South Plains. Very little to no accumulation is expected.

- Gradually warming into the New Year with dry conditions.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Tuesday) Issued at 1126 AM CST Mon Dec 29 2025

The swath of wintry precipitation (not all reaching the ground) is currently tracking completely south of the CWA as was expected. High- res models continue to show it dissipating through the afternoon/evening with only its northern fringes possibly reaching the far southern South Plains. Token chances have been retained in the latest forecast, however little/no accumulation is expected. Otherwise, the cold airmass will remain entrenched behind yesterday's front and in a big change from recent days, mostly cloudy skies and cooler temperatures will prevail today. Highs will only reach the low-to-mid 40s across much of the area. Light northerly winds will become essentially calm overnight and combined with a relatively strong and broad surface high pressure sitting over the area, chilly low temperatures are expected Tuesday morning, falling into the 20s with teens over the far SW Panhandle and northern South Plains. An upper ridge will begin to build in from the west by Tuesday afternoon and southwesterly flow will return, bringing warmer conditions with highs generally in the mid-to-upper 50s.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday night through next Sunday) Issued at 1126 AM CST Mon Dec 29 2025

The aforementioned ridge will continue to build Wednesday, further pushing out the cold airmass. More zonal flow aloft will develop thereafter and well above average temperatures will return by the New Year with highs in the 70s. A shortwave moving over the Rockies will lead to lee cyclogenesis on Friday and bring potentially gusty westerly winds across the area. This will also likely bring the warmest temperatures of the week with the downsloping component. More ridging will develop into the weekend and the mild conditions will persist.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1126 AM CST Mon Dec 29 2025

VFR will be the rule. Plenty of high clouds, and a few mid-level clouds, will continue to stream over the terminals this afternoon before thinning and clearing overnight. Northerly winds, up to 10 to 15 knots early this afternoon, will become light and variable this evening, trending to light westerly early Tuesday.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.