textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1121 AM CST Sat Dec 13 2025

- Much cooler tonight and Sunday.

- Warm and dry weather expected Monday and will continue through late week.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Sunday) Issued at 1121 AM CST Sat Dec 13 2025

The cold front has moved into the northern Texas Panhandle and is continuing to push southward. Temperatures are noticeably cooler behind the front, low to mid 30s behind the front vs upper 40s to low 50s ahead. The lower end of temperatures are is due in part to very low stratus and freezing fog. While the cloud cover is drifting southward from Kansas into the Oklahoma Panhandle, its forward movement is much slower than the front and likely will not reach the FA until late tonight. We will continue to see west to southwesterly winds around 10 to 15 mph ahead of the front. The front is expected to be south of the FA by 00Z this evening with winds becoming northeasterly around 15 to 20 mph. Winds will eventually subside by late Sunday morning as surface ridging extends southwestward from a surface high over the Central Plains. Light CAA will continue through the day Sunday and will keep temps on the cool side, low to mid 40s area wide. Highs on the Caprock could be slightly cooler tomorrow depending on how quickly stratus clears out. Current guidance suggests this should happen around noon Sunday.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 1121 AM CST Sat Dec 13 2025

Quiet weather is mostly expected Monday into late week. Overhead upper ridging on Monday will give way to a broad upper shortwave trough on Tuesday. The bulk of lift from this trough will remain well to our south along the Texas Gulf Coast. A progressive upper system is progged to move quickly along the US/Canada border late Wednesday through Thursday and will push a cold front southward into the region by sunrise Thursday. At the current time, the cold front looks to be quick and short lived and will only cool highs into the low/upper 60s, down from the low/mid 70s Wednesday. We should warm back into the 70s by Friday as upper flow becomes more zonal and surface winds veer to the south.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1121 AM CST Sat Dec 13 2025

VFR conditions will continue this afternoon. Similar to the previous forecast, there remains uncertainty in regards to potential patchy fog and low CIGS behind this evenings cold front, primarily at KLBB and KPVW. Given confidence remains the same from this morning, will opt to leave MVFR to IFR CIGS out, but may be needed in the next TAF package if confidence increases.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.