textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1202 AM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

- Dry and gradually warmer conditions are forecast through Thursday, with a return to normal temperatures Friday into next weekend.

SHORT TERM

(Today and tonight) Issued at 1202 AM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

Flow aloft over West TX continues to weaken as sharp upper troughing over the Great Lakes shifts eastward and a weak midlevel low gradually pinches off over the Baja peninsula. This will result in a continuation of quiet weather across the forecast area with dry conditions, light winds, and plenty of sunshine to close out the weekend. Slight midlevel height rises will result in a modest warmup compared to yesterday, with afternoon highs expected to reach the upper 50s to low 60s. Clear skies persist into tonight with lows in the mid to upper 20s, which is right around normal for this time of year.

LONG TERM

(Monday through Saturday) Issued at 1202 AM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

There have been no changes made to the extended forecast. Dry and gradually warmer conditions are expected this week. A Rex Block over the Pacific Coast will continue to amplify ahead of a progressive wave train propagating over the northern Pacific Basin, which will result in a substantial sharpening of the meridional waveguide over the western half of North America. Meanwhile, a cut-off low will rotate from northern Mexico and into the TX Big Bend by Tuesday, with only the high-level cirrus shield eclipsing the CWA. The low will lose its barotropy by mid-week as it becomes absorbed into the backside of an amplifying, longwave trough over the eastern half of the U.S., with the cirrus shield advecting to the east of the CWA Tuesday evening. A modifying Arctic cold front is forecast to move through W TX Wednesday, with blustery, northerly winds to follow post-FROPA. Winds have been raised to align with the NBM 75th percentile, which lies within near the top of the MEX/ECX/ECM guidance, with winds between 20-30 mph forecast Wednesday. The passage of this cold front will be dry due to the large swath of NVA over the Great Plains, although temperatures for Wednesday may need to be lowered in future prognostications. Global NWP guidance continues to indicate that the large-scale blocking pattern will be maintained across North America, with multiple shortwave troughs emanating out of northern Canada and providing additional FROPAs late in the week and into next weekend. PoPs remain NIL otherwise.

Sincavage

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1202 AM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

VFR and light winds will persist through the next 24 hours.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.