textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 615 AM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026 - Cooler temperatures with daily thunderstorm chances through the end of the week and into the weekend.

- Some locally heavy rain is possible Wednesday into Thursday.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Wednesday) Issued at 1017 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

A quiet night should be in order with diminishing SE winds and mild lows generally in the mid 60s. There remains little change in the large-scale pattern from previous forecasts. An upper low will become cutoff and gradually track southward along the California coast. As it moves farther south through the day on Tuesday, upper level SW flow will develop and more Pacific moisture will be advected into our area. SE flow will also aid in saturating the lower levels. That all said, forcing will be lacking during the day and it will take some time for aforementioned saturation to occur. Much of the day will see partly cloudy skies and highs in the low-to- mid 90s. A shortwave along with a low level jet will approach by late Tuesday evening and both CAMs and synoptic models showing precipitation beginning from west to east early Wednesday morning. Rain/storms should persist through much of the day. Highs will significantly cool into the upper 70s to mid 80s.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday night through next Monday) Issued at 1017 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

The upper low will stall over central Baja California Thursday, persisting the favorable wet pattern, although amounts may be lesser overall than Wednesday. It remains difficult to specify exact amounts, however a general 1-2" is possible with locally higher amounts over the two days. The low will begin to slowly track northeastward by Friday. Models are generally consistent from yesterday and if this track were to hold, best chances of showers and thunderstorms would be mostly off the Caprock Friday through Sunday with the exception of late Saturday into early Sunday morning when the low moves directly overhead. A strong ridge looks to build over the western US by early next week. Afternoon storm chances may persist off the Caprock with shortwaves propagating around its periphery.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 615 AM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

VFR and modest southeast winds will prevail through today. Probability of thunder during the daytime hours is very low, although an isolated TS or two will be possible after 20z. After sunset, a complex of TSRA is expected to push eastward out of New Mexico and approach the terminals late tonight. However, confidence in timing and impacts is still too low for TAF mention at this time, and this will be addressed in later issuances.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.