textproduct: Lubbock
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 601 PM CDT Fri Sep 4 2026
- Hot weather continues through Labor Day and much of next week.
- Another round of afternoon and evening storms today and again Saturday.
SHORT TERM
(This afternoon through Saturday) Issued at 1130 AM CDT Fri Sep 4 2026
Current conditions in the upper levels show ridging stretched across the southern plains up through the Ohio Valley. The center of this area of high pressure is situated over Tennessee, but will redevelop westward over the Missouri area by Saturday morning. This will cut off the monsoonal moisture we've had the past couple of days, and enhance subsidence over the Panhandle going into the weekend.
The current stream of moisture will help to bring some lower end chances of precipitation Friday afternoon for most of the CWA going into the evening, but chances fall off as the high pressure settles in and dries out the area by Saturday morning. The warmest temperatures today will be in the lower 100s off the Caprock and in the Southern Plains, and similar conditions will exist during the day Saturday. Low PoPs were maintained near the Texas and New Mexico border for Saturday afternoon.
The overnight period is expected to be quiet otherwise, with a light southerly wind shifting to the southwest into the morning. Temperatures as cool as 68 are expected in the far northwestern areas of the Caprock, and as warm as 76 in areas off the Caprock.
LONG TERM
(Saturday night through next Thursday) Issued at 1130 AM CDT Fri Sep 4 2026
Moisture will shift further west into New Mexico, which will create a slight chance of precipitation in the extreme Southern Texas Panhandle Saturday evening, but most activity will remain west of the CWA. As the area of high pressure builds over the region thereafter, a persistent dry and hot pattern is expected for the rest of next week.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 601 PM CDT Fri Sep 4 2026
VFR conditions continue with modest winds generally out of the southeast. While an isolated storm can't be ruled out Fri evening, the potential of a terminal being impacted appears quite low. Any storms should stay west of KLBB/KPVW on Saturday.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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