textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1233 PM CST Mon Nov 9 2026

- Near normal highs in the 60s and mostly dry conditions are expected through the week.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Tuesday) Issued at 1233 PM CST Mon Nov 9 2026

The center of the upper low remains just to the southwest of the FA. It will gradually transition to a broad open wave trough by this evening before pushing east of the FA by Tuesday afternoon. Any precip with this system will stay well southeast of the FA. A weak gradient with the surface high dominating the southern CONUS will help to keep winds light the rest of today and through much of Tuesday. Winds will generally be out of the southwest to west. Fog stayed south of the FA this morning with only a light reduction in visibility reported across our southern zones. Fog may creep further north tonight. Though a southwest to west surface wind is generally not favorable for fog development, the surface wind will actually advect moisture into the FA instead of being a downsloping wind off the mountains of New Mexico. We have opted to add areas of fog tonight on the Caprock and Patchy fog off the Caprock. Any fog that develops should clear by 9-10 AM Tuesday. Clear skies will then prevail with highs warming into the upper 60s/mid 70s.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday night through next Sunday) Issued at 1233 PM CST Mon Nov 9 2026

Overall quiet weather is expected through late week. Longwave upper troughing will dominate the eastern CONUS and will keep upper flow out of the north to northwest over the FA. This will help to keep afternoon highs in the 60s and 70s each afternoon. Despite a weak cold front by mid week, a freeze is not expected across the FA through the next week. Our next possible storm system will come late Friday into early Saturday, through there is much uncertainty with whether we will see rainfall with this system or if we will be dryslotted. The GFS still keeps us on the dryer side while the ECMWF is more generous with rainfall. Given the pattern will be a neutral tilt open wave trough, the drier forecast is currently favored.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1129 AM CST Mon Nov 9 2026

VFR and light southwest winds will continue through this evening. BR/FG appears likely early Tuesday morning especially at KLBB and KPVW, generally after 10z. There is potential for periods of IFR/LIFR visibility at both sites near sunrise, but confidence in timing and how widespread this will be is uncertain at this lead time. VFR should then return near the end of the TAF period.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.