textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 140 PM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

- Above average temperatures persist into next week.

- Slight chance of thunderstorms Friday evening mainly across the far southern Panhandle.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Friday) Issued at 140 PM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

Hot, benign weather will continue the rest of today through Friday. The broad and elongated upper high remains centered over the Four Corners region and is keeping upper flow weak and mostly out of the north. Afternoon convection is beginning to develop across the higher terrain of northern New Mexico as shown on VIS. This activity is expected to propagate slowly southeastward through the evening before dissipating near the Texas/New Mexico state line. There is a slim chance for storms to cross the state line late tonight before they fully dissipate, but confidence is far to low to include any mentionable PoPs. There is currently a stationary front draped from Colorado into the Oklahoma Panhandle then northeastward to the Great Lakes. This front is expected to remain mostly stationary through Friday. Models are consistent with convective development along the front late Friday afternoon as a weakness rotates around the east side of the upper high. These storms will likely push southward across the Texas Panhandle through the late evening hours, but how far southward they can propagate before being left behind by outflow is uncertain. Some models hint at storms making it as far south as Lubbock before dissipating while others don't have the storms moving out of the Panhandle. Given fairly weak upper flow, it is expected that storms will, at best, only make it as far south as our northern zones.

LONG TERM

(Friday night through next Wednesday) Issued at 140 PM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

The upper high continues to dominate the forecast through next week. The upper high will remain centered over the Four Corners region through mid next week before moving southeastward by late week. While this will continue to suppress most chances for rainfall, there will still be low chances for afternoon isolated storms, especially as a series of weak cold fronts move across the Central Plains into the Southern Plains. Most if not all fronts are progged to at best only make it as far south as the Texas Panhandle, but a few storms could still form from remnant outflow boundaries. Overall chances are too low for a mention in the forecast. Temperatures will be fairly steady in the mid/upper 90s on the Caprock and low 100s off the Caprock through much of the forecast period. Warmer temperatures are expected by late next week as the upper high moves overhead.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1235 PM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

Dry with VFR conditions through the period. Moderately breezy SSW winds this afternoon will back to SSE overnight.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.