textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1227 PM CDT Tue Sep 1 2026

- Warmer than normal temperatures will continue for the rest of this week.

- A few short-lived storms are possible Wednesday and Thursday near the TX/NM state line, but most locations remain dry.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Wednesday) Issued at 1227 PM CDT Tue Sep 1 2026

Above average temperatures have followed us into the first day of September, although most locations should be spared from the triple digits today as the center of ridging aloft remains well to our east. A plume of modestly enhanced monsoonal moisture (separate from TS Edouard) is visible over eastern NM early this afternoon, but our area will nevertheless remain dry today into tonight as strong mid/upper level subsidence suppresses convective growth. Edouard will eventually settle over N TX over the next 24 hours with little direct impact on our area. Midlevel heights will increase just enough to boost high temperatures a couple degrees warmer on Wednesday with low 100s expected off the Caprock. Weak flow aloft is also progged to turn a bit more southwesterly, especially over our western zones where a couple of short-lived isolated afternoon or evening storms are not out of the question near the TX/NM state line. However, for most of the forecast area, it will simply be another dry and unseasonably hot day.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday night through next Monday) Issued at 1227 PM CDT Tue Sep 1 2026

Summer heat continues through at least the next several days as ridging aloft persists and centers closer to our region during the late week period. A few diurnally driven thunderstorms will again be possible near the TX/NM state line on Thursday along the edge of the monsoonal moisture. Some solutions also hint at isolated storms continuing each day into the weekend as moisture remains trapped beneath the upper ridge, but confidence in this occurring is too low for mentionable PoPs at this time. Otherwise, expect above normal highs in the upper 90s to low 100s to continue through the end of the extended forecast period with no indications of any major pattern change on the horizon.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1227 PM CDT Tue Sep 1 2026

VFR conditions will prevail. Breezy south to southwesterly winds will continue through the afternoon hours before decreasing through the overnight hours.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.