textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 623 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2026

- Chances of light rain on Monday with a return to fire weather conditions by mid-week.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Monday) Issued at 1242 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2026

Surface winds are beginning to respond to a lee surface trough and are veering to the south and southwest. Wind speeds should increase to 15-20 mph by early/mid afternoon as the surface pressure gradient tightens. The southerly wind will help to bring higher dewpoints back into the region. The axis of the upper ridge currently to our west will begin to move over the FA tonight into early Monday morning and will be accompanied by a weakness and weak upper jet and that will bring increased shower and thunderstorm chances across western and central Texas. While a few showers and thunderstorms may move into the FA from our south Monday afternoon, most lift and instability will remain south of the FA. Storms that do manage to work themselves into the FA are not expected to be severe due to weak instability and a lack of wind shear.

LONG TERM

(Monday night through next Saturday) Issued at 1242 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2026

The upper shortwave embedded within the upper ridge will push east of the region by early Tuesday with the upper ridge building back over the FA by Tuesday evening. This will bring warmer temps back to the region, mid 70s and low 80s Tuesday and around 90 by Wednesday. The upper ridge will be east of the region by late Wednesday as it is kicked eastward by and upper low over the Pacific Northwest. This will help to bring a dryline through the FA late Wednesday, but most lift will remain to our north and east resulting in a truly dry dryline. There will be a near repeat Thursday with slightly breezier conditions and will result in elevated to critical fire weather danger. A cold front is progged to move through the FA early Friday as the upper low moves across the Northern Plains into south-central Canada. This cold front will be relatively weak and only result in a slight cooling of temperatures for the weekend.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 623 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2026

Moisture will surge northward tonight into early Monday morning. This will bring low CIGS which are anticipated around mid-morning at KLBB and late morning at KPVW. Confidence in the timing of these expected MVFR CIGS are low at the moment.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.