textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 543 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026

- Isolated storms possible off the Caprock Friday and Saturday.

- Multiple days of around triple digit temperatures expected to begin Tuesday.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Saturday) Issued at 1031 PM CDT Thu May 7 2026

Today is expected to be a warm and pleasant day. An upper trough will pass across West and Central Texas through the day today. Sadly, it will be too far south to have any impact on the region. A secondary upper trough will pass across the Central Plains pushing an associated weak surface front across the Texas Panhandle through the first half of today. Models indicate it will stall part way through the CWA by late afternoon. Slight convergence along the frontal boundary and moderate moisture in the mid-levels will bring slight chances for showers and thunderstorms over the far southeastern Texas Panhandle and eastern Rolling Plains. However, the lack of moisture on the lower levels and little to no upper forcing, only a brief isolated thunderstorm or two is expected. With the storms expected to be brief, chances for severe hail will be low, however strong wind gusts will be possible with any storms. Any storms are expected to have cleared the area before midnight. Otherwise, tonight is expected to be quiet with lows in the upper 40s across the far southwestern Texas Panhandle to lower 60s across the southern Rolling Plains where clouds will linger through the early morning hours.

LONG TERM

(Saturday night through next Thursday) Issued at 1031 PM CDT Thu May 7 2026

The long term forecast will start off with a hot Saturday. A shortwave crossing over the Rockies will tripper the development of a lee surface trough early Saturday afternoon. This will tighten the pressure gradient, ramping up southwesterly winds through the evening. Southwesterly surface flow will aide in warming temperatures to the 90s across the region for Saturday. Another round of showers and thunderstorms will be possible Saturday evening due to lingering moderate mid-level moisture and upper forcing from the passing shortwave. However, storm chances are only expected across the far southeastern Texas Panhandle with better storm chances expected to the northeast of the CWA. A cold front is progged to progress southward through the region early Sunday morning. This will slightly cool temperatures to the upper 70s to upper 80s for Sunday. Similar to Saturday, shower and thunderstorms could be possible over eastern portions off the Caprock early Sunday, however confidence is higher in storms occurring to the east of the CWA. The cooler temperatures sadly do not last past Sunday as upper ridging will begin to build over western CONUS. With height and thickness increases due to the ridging as well as predominately southwesterly surface flow during the afternoon hours, we will see multiple days of hot temperatures in the upper 90s to just above 100 beginning Tuesday.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 543 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026

IFR will mostly persist through mid morning at KLBB. A more brief period is possible at KPVW. Otherwise VFR is expected through tonight. Southwest winds will shift generally eastward this evening.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.