textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1027 PM CDT Thu Aug 13 2026

- Isolated to scattered thunderstorms Friday evening across portions of the South Plains and far southwest Panhandle.

- Hot and dry this weekend into next week.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Saturday) Issued at 1027 PM CDT Thu Aug 13 2026

Southerly winds will remain elevated near 15 mph overnight again keeping low temperatures on the mild side, ranging from the mid 70s to low 80s. A trough moving over the Pacific Northwest will become less amplified during the day Friday and high pressure over the Southeast will track slightly farther west. Thus mid-level flow will be oriented such that a southwesterly fetch of monsoonal moisture will make its way into the area. Unlike Thursday and due in part to the aforementioned ridge shifting westward, the storms should be confined more to the far southwest Panhandle and western portions of the South Plains. Forecast sounding profiles look almost identical to Thursday's, with DCAPE values exceeding 1500 J/kg in spots. As such, brief strong winds to 60 mph and heavy downpours will be the main threat. Any storms should taper off by late-evening.

LONG TERM

(Saturday night through next Thursday) Issued at 1027 PM CDT Thu Aug 13 2026

The upper ridge will shift farther west by Saturday. Although some isolated storms could still possibly find their way into far northwestern portions of the area Saturday evening, a mostly hot and dry pattern looks to continue well into next week. Highs will increase by a degree or so each day starting Sunday, climbing into the upper 90s on the Caprock and low-to-mid 100s off the Caprock.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 753 PM CDT Thu Aug 13 2026

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible at KCDS over the next couple of hours. Gusty and erratic winds and reduced visibilities may occur within storms. Otherwise VFR and generally light southerly winds will persist.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.