textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 622 AM CDT Sun May 31 2026

- Hot Sunday, with a slight chance of storms over the southern Rolling Plains.

- Active pattern develops next week with daily chances of showers and thunderstorms.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Monday) Issued at 1014 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026

Skies will clear overnight. Winds will become generally light and variable overnight on the Caprock with slightly more elevated SW winds off the Caprock. As such, a wide range of lows are expected from the mid 50s to the northwest to near 70 over the southern Rolling Plains. Upper heights will rise under a ridge Sunday. Combined with the continued generally southerly flow, highs will be even a few degrees warmer than Saturday, topping out in the mid-to- upper 90s. A dryline will develop in the afternoon along with a shortwave and a relatively strong low-level jet. Based on the dryline's latest forecasted position, any thunderstorms should remain confined to the southern Rolling Plains per the CAMs and thus PoPs have been retained there. Storms should taper off after sunset and a quiet overnight into Monday is expected with lows mostly in the 60s. The aforementioned upper ridge should keep the atmosphere mostly capped throughout the day. However, additional shortwaves moving over the region in the afternoon may lead to some more showers and thunderstorms into Monday evening.

LONG TERM

(Monday night through next Saturday) Issued at 1014 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026

An upper low will gradually become cutoff from the main flow pattern and track into northwestern Mexico. This will help displace the aforementioned upper trough and lead to a moist SW flow aloft beginning Tuesday. Daily chances for showers and thunderstorms across most of the region will persist through the week, along with relatively cooler temperatures. Wednesday through Friday may see locally heavy rainfall, particularly with training any thunderstorms. Although it remains a bit too early to determine specific amounts at this time.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 622 AM CDT Sun May 31 2026

VFR is expected to continue through this TAF period. Isolated to scattered TSRA are likely to develop to the south and east of KLBB/KCDS this afternoon, but convective impacts to the terminals appear unlikely at this time. Nevertheless, expect strong downburst winds in vicinity of any TS today.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.