textproduct: Lubbock

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1122 AM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

- Mild conditions expected through the week.

- FROPA Wednesday will bring breezy northerly winds and cooler temperatures to the region and again Friday.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Tuesday) Issued at 1122 AM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

Pleasant and warm conditions continue through the short term. On the upper levels, an upper low will move east across the U.S./Mexico border through today before skirting just south of the region Tuesday. Concurrently, a rex block pattern will set up just off the coast of California. On the surface, light southwesterly winds and slight height increases will warm temperatures to slightly above seasonal normal this afternoon. Another chilly night is expected with lows around or below freezing with light winds and clear skies. The warming trend continues into Tuesday. Similar to Monday, westerly surface flow and slight height increases will warm highs to the upper 60s for much of the region Tuesday.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday night through next Sunday) Issued at 1122 AM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

The main action in the long term forecast are two cold fronts pushing through the region. The first front will arrive early Wednesday. On the upper levels, the low that passed south of the CWA will continue to exit east as an upper trough amplifies over central CONUS at the same time as a low centers over the Great Lakes region bringing northwesterly flow aloft. The upper trough will swing the cold front south through the region bringing breezy northerly winds across much of the region. However, the cold front will not have much impact on temperatures as highs will remain around or slightly above seasonal normal. Breezy winds, above normal temperatures, and dry conditions will bring possible elevated fire weather conditions Wednesday. As the front exits the region, winds will weaken Wednesday evening and shift to the west as a surface trough swings through the Central Plains. Westerly winds and slight thickness increases will warm temperatures back into the 60s across the CWA on Thursday. The aforementioned upper trough will exit to the east towards the end of the week giving way to another amplifying trough that will push a stronger, although still dry, cold front through the region. Breezy north to northeasterly winds and cooler temperatures will follow the secondary FROPA.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 528 PM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

VFR with light winds continues through Tuesday.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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