textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 459 AM CST Fri Nov 6 2026

- Cooler through the weekend, then gradually warming next week.

- Light rain chances Saturday for southern portions of South Plains and Rolling Plains.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Friday) Issued at 1023 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

The cold front has moved through the area and winds will continue to diminish, becoming light and variable overnight. Combined with clear skies, this will lead to our coolest lows in some time. Widespread 30s are expected Friday morning, with a sub-freezing temperatures occurring over the far southwest Panhandle and northern South Plains. A weak ridge along with sunny skies for much of Friday will bring temperatures a degree or two warmer than Thursday, with highs generally in the low-to-mid 60s.

LONG TERM

(Friday night through next Thursday) Issued at 1023 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

A cutoff low will gradually track into the Desert Southwest and eventually northern Mexico by Saturday morning. Cloud cover will increase Friday evening as mid-level moisture increases ahead of the low. Leading shortwaves will reach the area early Saturday morning. ECMWF continues a slightly more northerly QPF trajectory, however both the GFS and the shiny new RRFS indicate a more southern track to the precipitation which has been favored given the best moisture and forcing is present there with the orientation of the low and downstream flow pattern. Rain (mostly light) will track west to east through the morning across the southern South Plains and southern Rolling Plains and should be completely east of the area by evening. Currently totals look to be minimal. The aforementioned upper low will gradually weaken and slowly track across northern Mexico early next week. The associated precipitation looks to remain over South Texas. Another weak upper disturbance may bring rain chances late Wednesday into Thursday. In any case, conditions look mostly dry beyond Saturday, with highs increasing into the upper 60s to low 70s.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 459 AM CST Fri Nov 6 2026

VFR conditions are expected to continue, along with light, variable winds. High clouds will initially be sparse, but gradually increase, becoming broken by late evening (after about 00-03z).

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.