textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 618 AM CDT Sat May 30 2026

- Much warmer, drier, and breezier Saturday.

- Hot Sunday and Monday before a cooler and wetter pattern unfolds starting Monday evening.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Sunday) Issued at 930 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

Severe storms were being maintained this evening across the far southeast TX Panhandle along the nose a LLJ and the exit region of an upper jet streak in southwest flow. Once this convection departs toward 11 PM, a quiet and mild night awaits with moistening southerly breezes and dewpoints rising through the 60s for all but our northwestern counties. Aloft meanwhile, a negatively-tilted upper low over Utah will curl into Wyoming during the day on Saturday while spreading deeper southwesterlies over W TX. This process will spur breezy and hotter SW winds that kick a dryline across the Caprock by noon before stalling near or just beyond our eastern column of counties by peak heating. There is a small chance that dryline storms initiate by 5-7 PM as CIN is progged to become very negligible due to such strong heating/mixing, but should storms develop they would likely exit the forecast area before maturing. As such, will keep PoPs silent.

Southwest winds aloft relax Saturday night as heights rise while becoming increasingly anticyclonic. The dryline will retreat once again overnight, but fail to make as much progress this time compared to Saturday morning, so low temps should see a sharper contrast with values near 50 in Friona to the lower 70s in Aspermont.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 930 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

Active weather this evening precluded updates to the extended discussion. Previous long term discussion:

Mid and upper level flow will remain backed out of the southwest on Sunday with ridging moving overhead. They dryline will again be favored to mix off the caprock Sunday afternoon but subsidence aloft from the ridging may keep convective chances at subdued. Mostly southwest flow aloft will continue through much of next week. This will result in broad southeasterly upslope low level flow just about each afternoon and daily chances of thunderstorms. Any short waves aloft are too subtle to discern at this time scale but some afternoons may be favored over others in the presence of any short wave troughs. Increasing moisture by mid-week may keep temperatures shy of the 90s during the second half of next week.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 618 AM CDT Sat May 30 2026

Continuing VFR and south to southwest winds are expected through this TAF period. Some very light rain showers may approach KLBB and KPVW this morning before dissipating by about midday. Later this afternoon and evening there will be a window for isolated TSRA near KCDS, but terminal impacts appear unlikely at this time.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.