textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1200 AM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026

- Isolated thunderstorms possible near the TX/NM border Saturday evening and over the far southwest Panhandle Sunday evening.

- Hot and dry through next week.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Sunday) Issued at 1033 PM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

Southerly winds will persist overnight keeping lows mild, similar to what they have been previous nights. A broad upper ridge over the Southeast will expand farther westward Saturday. Much of the monsoonal moisture will subsequently also be pushed farther west, however CAMs continue to indicate convection crossing the TX/NM border into the western South Plains and far southwest Panhandle. These should be fairly isolated and short lived, although sounding profiles look very similar as the past 2 evenings. As such, locally strong wind gusts of 60-70 mph and brief downpours are possible. Any storms should taper off by late evening and another quiet and mild overnight is expected into Sunday.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 1033 PM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

The aforementioned ridge will continue to broaden over the region Sunday. Isolated storms may still clip the far southwest Panhandle, otherwise hot and dry conditions will prevail. The general pattern remains the same through around the mid-week time frame. Temperatures will increase 1-2 degrees each day starting Sunday, possibly returning to Heat Advisory levels off the Caprock. The latest GFS indicates a front and associated rain/thunderstorms tracking through the entire area Wednesday evening into Thursday. However other synoptic models and ensembles are not quite as bullish with this solution yet and confidence remains low.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1200 AM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026

VFR conditions continue, with moderate southerly winds around 15 kts with higher gusts.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.