textproduct: Lubbock
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 541 AM CDT Mon Jul 6 2026
- Showers and storms, some strong, declining after midnight.
- Near-normal highs for Monday turn hotter by midweek with highs around 105 off the Caprock.
- Slight cooling by late week with storm chances returning.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Tuesday) Issued at 1020 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026
Contrary to all CAMs, scattered showers and storms were slow to decline in coverage late this evening ahead of a shortwave trough crawling south from northern Oklahoma and the panhandles. Given the multitude of outflow boundaries still aiding in nocturnal convection at this late hour (particularly from Dimmitt to Amarillo where some strong storms are most likely), PoPs were extended through 1 AM until drier air following the shortwave builds south. This drying aloft combined with a subtle eastward expansion of a ridge parked to our west will make for a quiet Monday and overnight with near-normal temps under clear skies.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday night through next Sunday) Issued at 1020 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026
Dry and hotter weather remains the theme for much of the week as upper ridging remains poised not too far to our west. Stronger zonal flow over the northern CONUS will flatten this ridge by midweek thereby advecting a dome of hotter temps our way. Many triple-digit highs look a good bet for Wednesday and Thursday, complete with Heat Advisories off the Caprock where 105 or hotter is possible. While not a strong signal, there is a small window for evening and overnight storms across our northern zones from Wednesday and Thursday as weakly unsettled N-NW flow unfolds around the parent high to our west. A better chance for precip emerges Friday night through the weekend as the upper high amplifies and relocates north across Wyoming and northern Nebraska. This would open the door to deep and moist easterly flow south of the sprawling high with daily chances for popcorn-type showers and storms and a break from triple-digit highs.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 541 AM CDT Mon Jul 6 2026
VFR and light winds will continue.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.
textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.