textproduct: Lubbock
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1039 PM CST Fri Feb 20 2026
- Cooler temperatures through Monday.
- Warmer and windy, with possible elevated to critical fire weather conditions mid-next week.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Sunday) Issued at 1039 PM CST Fri Feb 20 2026
A cold front will push through the area overnight and winds will shift to northerly by Saturday morning. Very cold morning lows in the low 20s are expected across the far SW Panhandle. These winds will peak with gusts potentially to 25 mph along and east of I-27. Despite this, fire weather concerns will be minimal with higher humidities and cooler temperatures. Highs will only be in the low-to- mid 50s, however sunny skies will prevail with the associated drier airmass. Winds will become light and variable overnight as high pressure builds in from the north weakening the pressure gradient.
LONG TERM
(Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 1039 PM CST Fri Feb 20 2026
The aforementioned high pressure will remain east of the region on Sunday with only a weak low over the Rockies. As such, we will get a reprieve from the breezy winds as of late, with light southerlies. This will likewise bring highs around 5-8 degrees warmer than Saturday. The upper level jet lifts northward on Monday and southerly winds will increase as relatively lower pressure develops in the lee of the Rockies during the afternoon hours. Flow aloft will become more zonal Tuesday and winds will further increase out of the southwest, bringing well-above average temperatures in the low 80s. This will also lead to elevated to possibly critical fire weather concerns with humidities likewise falling to near 10%. Wednesday will see the warmest conditions of the week with widespread mid 80s and continued fire concerns. A cold front will move through Thursday, however the cooler temperatures look to be short-lived as the pattern favors the warm weather to continue into next weekend. No precipitation is expected through the forecast period.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1039 PM CST Fri Feb 20 2026
VFR is expected to prevail at all TAF sites. Modest northwest winds overnight will increase after sunrise on Saturday and remain breezy through most of the day.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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