textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 520 AM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

- Blustery, northerly winds are expected today, with another cold front Friday.

- Temperatures to bounce between near normal or just above normal the remainder of the week into the weekend.

SHORT TERM

(Today and tonight) Issued at 1103 PM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

Most area temps at 1030 PM were running 5-10 degrees warmer than 24 hours ago thanks to a 850 mb thermal ridge and pre-frontal trough draped W-E across our area. A cold front from southeast CO to near Wichita is on pace to enter our panhandle counties around 1-2 AM ahead of a shortwave trough in swift NNW flow. Models and upstream obs indicate brief gusty winds immediately following the front and this should be driven not by cold near-surface temps (temps are mild for January all the way to the Dakotas) but rather a jump in dewpoints from the single digits and teens into the 30s. However, these winds will find their stride by late morning as deeper mixing ensues and supports sustained northerly winds of 20 to 25 mph with gusts near 40 mph - highest off the Caprock under a broader footprint of 30+ mph winds at 850 mb. A lowering of 850 mb temps from 14C on Monday to the single digits suggests highs in the 50s are in order for most areas under diminishing high clouds. Even as winds decline Tuesday evening ahead of a surface high and clear skies, low temps should fair around normal as dewpoints hold in the mid 20s.

LONG TERM

(Thursday through next Tuesday) Issued at 1103 PM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

The blocking pattern setup across the CONUS will dismantle by the start of the extended, as the cutoff low absorbs into the main flow of a large scale trough dominating over the eastern United States. As a result of this, the upper level ridge and associated high will begin to deamplify while slowly shifting east closer to the region. Despite northerly flow aloft prevailing overhead, as the FA finds itself sandwiched between the two systems, temperatures will rebound quickly from Wednesday. This will be in part to the fact that heights along with thickness will increase, as subsidence provided from the upper high to our west expands just far enough east into the region. Additionally, a surface trough centered over northeastern NM will aid in southwest flow transporting WAA into the area which will also help highs climb back into the 60s and 70s. Speeds will become a bit breezy Thursday afternoon as well, as the surface trough tracks into the Panhandle and the pressure gradient becomes slightly packed. These breezy and warms southwest winds, combined with the unseasonably warm highs will lead to a few localized areas of elevated fire weather concerns during peak heating hours. As we turn to the end of the work week into the weekend, the pattern remains similar with the upper trough to our east continuing to dominate as a series of shortwaves round the southern periphery of the low over the Great Lakes and Upper Midwest. In turn, a front will pass through Friday morning, which will help return afternoon highs back to near normal and cooler in the 50s and 60s through the weekend. Temperatures will then begin to climb back above normal Monday, as the trough to our east departs and heights increase. Overall, a pretty quiet extended is expected as temperatures bounce back and forth while we remain dry with no PoPs in sight.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 520 AM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

VFR. A cold front has moved through W TX this morning, with brisk winds in its wake. Winds will increase to around 20 kt later this morning, with gusts to 30-35 kt through late afternoon at KCDS, KLBB, and KPVW. Expect significant cross winds on RWY 8/26 at KLBB today. Winds will diminish by dusk and become calm thereafter.

Sincavage

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.