textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1123 PM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

- Cooler Sunday, but still above seasonal normals.

- Warm and dry conditions return Monday through Saturday.

- Elevated fire weather concerns possible Monday.

SHORT TERM

(Today and tonight) Issued at 1123 PM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

Much cooler conditions are on tap for Sunday compared to what we have seen in previous days. As of 10 PM CST Saturday, the front has made its way through the entire FA, and is currently tracking through the Big Country. As a result, winds have turned northeasterly while calming in speeds from the breezy conditions earlier today. These post frontal northerly winds will work to drawl in cooler air from the north into the region overnight into Sunday. As winds continue to calm and skies remain mostly clear, max radiational cooling will allow for lows overnight Saturday to dip into the 20s and 30s. Winds will remain northerly through the afternoon, before veering out of the south by the afternoon in response to a lee cyclone developing across southeastern CO. Regardless, the cooler airmass in place, combined with a decrease in thickness values will allow for temperatures several degrees cooler from Saturday in the 50s and 60s.

LONG TERM

(Monday through next Saturday) Issued at 1123 PM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

Despite a cooler start to the holiday week, temperatures will climb back above normal Monday through Saturday as an upper level ridge and associated area of high pressure sets up over the region. The FA will find itself under the influence of this upper level ridge through much of the week, with little to no change in the synoptic pattern expected. Given this, heights and thickness values will remain near stationary while southerly surface flow prevails through much of the week. These warm downsloping winds, combined with subsidence beneath he upper level ridge will support the continuation of above normal temperatures. In fact, chances for record breaking heat are possible each afternoon at KLBB Monday through Saturday as temperatures climb into the 70s and 80s. Winds will become breezy some afternoons, around 15 to 20 mph, but nothing out of the ordinary for West Texas standards. Additionally, no precipitation is expected, not even a dusty sprinkle, through the work week as the ridge suppresses any precipitation chances. The good news, Santa should have no problems finding the houses of all those nice this Christmas, woohoo! As we look towards the weekend and new year, ensembles continue to hint at the chance of cooler and wetter conditions returning as a cutoff low dives through the western CONUS, shifting the ridge to the east. However, details remain murky given this is still several days out, but it will be something to watch closely in the coming days.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1123 PM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

There is a very small chance of low CIGS for all terminals beginning Sunday evening, however, chances are too low to mention in the TAF. Otherwise, VFR is expected. Light winds will slowly swing around to the south by Sunday afternoon.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.