textproduct: Lubbock
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1149 AM CST Fri Dec 12 2025
- Cooler tonight under clear skies and light winds.
- Warm weather will return Saturday and will give way to a quick Arctic blast Sunday, with brisk winds and overcast skies.
- Temperatures will then warm up Monday and beyond, with no chances of precipitation in sight.
SHORT TERM
(This afternoon through Saturday) Issued at 1149 AM CST Fri Dec 12 2025
Quiet conditions will continue through tonight and Saturday. Surface winds will remain out of the northeast around 15 mph and will begin to subside by sunset as a surface ridge builds from the Central Plains into the FA. Clear skies with light winds will allow overnight lows to be roughly 10 degrees cooler (low to mid 30s) than what was observed this morning. Saturday will be warmer than today, reaching into the mid 60s to mid 70s, as surface winds veer to the southwest in response to a surface low over northeastern New Mexico. Winds will initially be on the low end breezy side, 15 to 20 mph on the Caprock, ahead of an approaching cold front. The cold front will begin to move southward through the FA by late Saturday afternoon.
LONG TERM
(Saturday night through next Thursday) Issued at 1149 AM CST Fri Dec 12 2025
Winds will start off breezy Saturday evening/night behind the cold front, averaging 20 mph, but will begin to subside by early Sunday afternoon as surface ridging once again settles over the FA. This stronger cold front will help keep Sunday cool with the Rolling Plains likely remaining in the 30s and the Caprock 'warming' into the low/mid 40s. Cloud cover will be a large factor in helping to keep highs on the cool side. We will quickly warm back into the 60s Monday and the 70s by Tuesday as surface winds veer to the southwest ahead of a broad upper shortwave trough/low. This system, along with its precip, will pass well to the south of the FA into northern Mexico. Models begin to diverge with the overall upper pattern going in to late next week. The GFS keeps zonal flow over the southern half of the CONUS while the ECMWF keeps upper flow more northwesterly. The northwesterly flow would allow for stronger cold fronts compared to the GFS's weak passive fronts.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1149 AM CST Fri Dec 12 2025
VFR conditions prevail throughout the period.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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