textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1215 AM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

- Shower and thunderstorm chances continue through Saturday evening.

- Hot and dry conditions return Sunday into next week.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Sunday) Issued at 1047 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

An upper low will continue to slowly track over the region overnight. Storms should diminish in coverage and intensity, however favorable moisture parameters including PWATs up to 1.5" off the Caprock and at least some marginal forcing from the low will be enough to keep them going to some capacity through the overnight hours. Locally heavy rain/flooding may not be as widespread as previous hours, however will remain a slight threat. Overcast skies will persist through the day Saturday as the low continues to move directly overhead. Greatest chances of showers and thunderstorms will shift generally off the Caprock by the afternoon downstream of the low center. As with previous days, steering flow will remain weak and PWATs high, thus the localized flooding threat continues despite the severe threat staying on the lower end. Precipitation should taper off Saturday evening as the low departs to the northeast. Skies will clear overnight into Sunday. Ridging will begin to build during the day Sunday and along with southerly winds will lead to an increase in temperatures into the mid 90s.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 1047 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

The aforementioned ridge will continue to build into early next week leading to continued hot and dry conditions. Monday will see widespread highs in the upper 90s. After slightly falling on Tuesday and Wednesday, they will again increase to near triple-digits on Thursday and remain hot through the end of the week. A broad upper trough remains expected to move into the western US around mid-week. However latest long-range models now indicate it as slightly farther north and less amplified. This would mean little to no precipitation chances for our area.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1215 AM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

Showers are currently slowly moving north through the CWA. They are expected to reach the terminals in the next few hours. Severe potential with these showers is very low and only expect light rain. Storm chances will continue through Saturday evening. MVFR ceilings will fill in over all three terminals early Saturday morning. IFR ceilings are possible for both KCDS and KPVW, however very uncertain at the moment, therefore kept MVFR in TAF. This low cloud ceiling is expected to clear early Saturday afternoon. VFR conditions will prevail after.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.