textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 602 PM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026

- After slightly cooler conditions Saturday (mid 90s), hot weather returns next week (upper 90s to mid 100s). Mostly dry conditions are expected.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Sunday) Issued at 136 PM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026

The cold front is well south and west of the FA as of noon with much of the FA being stabilized. Storms have begun to develop over the Sangre de Cristos and are slowly pushing southward due to the northerly steering current. While additional development is expected across eastern New Mexico through the afternoon and evening, most, if not all, convection should remain west of the FA due to northerly upper flow and a marginally stable atmosphere. There is some potential for storms to cross the Texas/New Mexico state line into our far western zones this evening where we have kept low PoP mention before midnight. Southerly surface flow will return to the region Sunday as thicknesses increase. This will help warm highs into the mid/upper 90s across the FA with a few areas off the Caprock reaching 100 Sunday afternoon.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 136 PM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026

The forecast beyond Sunday remains rather benign with low precip chances. The upper high remains west of the region and centered near the Four Corners while stretching from California eastward to Colorado. This will keep upper flow weak and mostly out of the north over the FA, a not-so-favorable but also not-impossible pattern for storms. Highly isolated diurnal storms could be possible if any weaknesses rotate around the upper high or if any of the weak surface fronts progged to our north mid to late week can push into the FA. Though afternoons will still be hot, they should not be as hot as last week due to the upper high being further westward. Highs will average in the upper 90s on the Caprock and around/just over 100 off the Caprock.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 602 PM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026

VFR conditions continue, with a low chance of TS at LBB/PVW later this evening (02-06z). The expectation is that TS will stay west of those two terminals. Sustained wind speeds will generally be less than 10 kts this period.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.