textproduct: Lubbock

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1023 PM CDT Tue Aug 4 2026

- Hot temperatures continue through early next week.

- Slight storm chances Friday evening in the far southern TX Panhandle.

SHORT TERM

(Rest of tonight through Wednesday night) Issued at 1023 PM CDT Tue Aug 4 2026

A cold front currently spanning the northern TX Panhandle shows no sign of reaching our area, but rather stalling and meandering north of I40 through Wednesday. This will keep us toasty with occasionally breezy southerlies during the afternoon with large- scale subsidence prevailing aloft along the eastern edge of a broad upper high. Other than some errant high clouds drifting southeast from orographic storms in New Mexico through Wednesday morning, skies will be mostly clear with high temps not too dissimilar from Tuesday.

LONG TERM

(Thursday through next Tuesday) Issued at 1023 PM CDT Tue Aug 4 2026

The UA pattern over the SW CONUS remains largely unchanged through the weekend. The 500 mb high near the Four Corners amplifies to nearly 600 dam by Thursday while keeping us under a zonal extension of its parent ridge. As such, PoPs later this week may be in jeopardy as this ridge axis remains parked keeping the brunt of precip chances well to our north. Friday evening holds the most potential for our panhandle counties to see slight PoPs provided a shortwave trough rotates far enough SW around the ridge securing brief height falls/increased ascent. Thereafter, the mid-level high crawls our way and deamplifies slightly before shifting atop the region early next week. High temps are unlikely to waver too much in this pattern with upper 90s on the Caprock and sub-105 readings elsewhere.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 523 PM CDT Tue Aug 4 2026

VFR and generally light southerly winds will continue.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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