textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1035 PM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026

- Warm and dry expected to continue through the weekend. - Upper patter change may bring precipitation chances and cooler temperatures next week.

SHORT TERM

(Rest of tonight through Friday) Issued at 1035 PM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026

Current mid-to-upper-level water vapor imagery shows the broad upper ridging over much of western CONUS. At the same time, an upper trough is swinging across eastern Canada, impacting much of northeastern CONUS. The upper trough will depart to the east through Thursday, however the upper ridging is expected to persist across southwestern CONUS. Subsidence below the ridging will keep precipitation chances near zero. The overnight period will be quiet with lows in the mid 50s across the far southwestern Texas Panhandle to lower 60s across the southern Rolling Plains. Thursday is looking to be a pleasant day, similar to the past couple of days. Highs will reach the 80s for areas on the Caprock to upper 80s to lower 90s for areas off the Caprock with mostly clear skies. Winds will start off light and variable to start the day, however by the afternoon winds are expected to mostly shift to the southeast as a surface high develops across eastern NM.

LONG TERM

(Friday night through next Wednesday) Issued at 1035 PM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026

The main theme for the long term forecast is warm and dry conditions expected to continue through the weekend with the possible return of precipitation early next week. The upper ridging mentioned in the short term discussion will persist across the region over the weekend. This will keep highs in the 80s to lower 90s and near zero precipitation chances everyday through the weekend. By early next week, an upper pattern change could bring shower and thunderstorm chances. Over the weekend, an upper trough will dig down the western coast before stalling off the coast of SoCal. This will shift flow aloft to the southwest ushering subtropical moisture. Models also indicate a hurricane may track north along Mexico which could in turn aid with increasing moisture to the mid-to-upper levels. The influx of moisture and multiple passing shortwaves could bring widespread precipitation chances daily beginning Tuesday. However, do not get your hopes up just yet. This is still a little less than a week out and can expect changes to the forecast as we get closer. Along with precipitation chances, we could also see cooler temperatures with highs in the 70s to 80s.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1140 PM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026

Great flying weather UFN.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.