textproduct: Lubbock
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1241 PM CDT Mon May 11 2026
- Multiple days of hot and dry conditions expected this week beginning Tuesday.
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Tuesday) Issued at 1241 PM CDT Mon May 11 2026
Pleasant conditions are expected to continue through the rest of today as we mark the 56th anniversary of the 1970 Lubbock tornado. Temperatures are still in the 60s area wide as of noon and should only increase to around 80. Winds will remain relatively light as surface ridging keeps the overall pressure gradient relaxed. Winds will remain out of the south tonight and will keep overnight lows in the 50s. Tuesday will not be as kind with temperatures, but, it is May. Upper ridging will begin to push eastward from the Desert Southwest and will result in afternoon highs in the mid/upper 90s. Wind should still be relatively light and out of the south. A progressive upper trough will help to push a cold front southward from the Canadian Rockies during this time, moving into the Oklahoma Panhandle by early evening.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday night through next Sunday) Issued at 1241 PM CDT Mon May 11 2026
The cold front will reach as far south as the central Texas Panhandle by late Tuesday evening before stalling. Unfortunately, this front will be washed out after sunrise as surface high pressure moves from the Central Plains into the Midwest. Upper ridging will instead eastward over the Great Plains, reaching from Texas into Northwest Territories and Nunavut. The upper ridge will dominate the pattern through Thursday before being kicked eastward by an upper trough over the West Coast. Warm and dry conditions will prevail during this time, though there is a very slim chance for a few isolated storms Wednesday afternoon/evening along the dryline. This will be dependent upon any weaknesses within the upper ridge. Upper flow will transition to mostly zonal by late week before another upper trough builds across the western CONUS over the weekend.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1134 AM CDT Mon May 11 2026
Light winds are expected the rest of today and into tonight, with winds becoming breezy late Tuesday morning. VFR.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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