textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1204 PM CDT Tue Oct 20 2026

- Dry conditions through Thursday with near-normal conditions.

- Cooler and wetter late-week through the beginning of next week.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Wednesday) Issued at 1204 PM CDT Tue Oct 20 2026

Isolated showers will continue to gradually taper off through the afternoon as a weak upper shortwave departs eastward. Conditions into the evening will be pleasant, with highs in the mid 70s and light southerly winds. Lows will be a few degrees higher than last night, generally in the mid 50s across the area. A strong upper low approaching the California coast will help to amplify a ridge out ahead of it on Wednesday which will build over our area. This will bring dry conditions and warmer temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s. Winds will remain light out of the south.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday night through next Monday) Issued at 1204 PM CDT Tue Oct 20 2026

The aforementioned low will continue to track north and eastward across the Intermountain West on Friday. Much of the day should remain dry, however by the late afternoon/evening time frame its influence should encompass much of the area with embedded leading shortwaves combined with an increasing Pacific moisture fetch bringing the potential for showers and thunderstorms near the TX/NM border. A secondary cutoff low will develop over the Desert Southwest on Saturday and track across the Four Corners region into Sunday. Showers and thunderstorms will slowly shift eastward during this time, although remain generally confined to areas on the Caprock. Locally heavy rainfall may be possible, particularly with training storms. The cutoff low will phase with the main synoptic flow pattern on Monday creating a broad, positively tilted trough will result. As it shifts southeastward along with the associated surface cold front, the plume of Pacific moisture will overspread the entire forecast area. Forecast confidence decreases after that point, however it looks to be a wet start to next week at least through Tuesday afternoon. Highs behind the front look to only reach the low-to-mid 60s.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1204 PM CDT Tue Oct 20 2026

VFR conditions will prevail. A few isolated rain showers will be possible near PVW and CDS through 00Z but should have little impact on the terminals.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.