textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1253 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

- Skies will clear by the evening while another round of patchy fog is possible Wednesday morning.

- After a mild Wednesday, an unsettled pattern returns Thursday and Friday.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Wednesday) Issued at 1253 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

Cloud cover remains over most of the FA early this afternoon, and that isn't expected to change for at least a few hours. Winds will increase slightly during the overnight hours as a surface low develops over northeastern New Mexico. Surface winds are still expected to remain out of the south and will help to keep moisture in place. This may allow for some patchy fog to redevelop tonight mostly favoring our southern and eastern zones. We should see any fog that develops clear out by 15Z. Wednesday should remain quiet as upper flow remains mostly out of the southwest. Given that skies remain clear, afternoon highs should be warmer as heights increase as shortwave upper ridging begins to develop to our west.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday night through next Monday) Issued at 1253 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

Models remain in good agreement with having a wet Thursday evening/Friday morning. Moisture from Tropical Storm Vance over the eastern Pacific will be pulled northward with an upper shortwave trough and will track over West Texas. Heavy rainfall continues to be the main hazard expected with this next system as PWATs increase to around/just over 1.5 inches. Current forecast storm total QPF sits a 1.5-2.5 inches. Some areas may see more rain than this, others possibly less. No flood watches are currently planned, though some localized flooding will be possible. We should see rainfall exit the region by Saturday morning and, for a short period, be replaced with upper ridging. Another storm system looks to be on tap by late Sunday into early next week. While the potential for rainfall does exist, there will also be some risk for dry slotting.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1215 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

MVFR CIGS will remain entrenched across the region through mid- afternoon. Clearing is slowly moving in from the west and is expected at KLBB and KPVW around mid-afternoon. A CIG may remain later this afternoon but is expected to be VFR CIGS. Fog and low CIGS may return again early Wednesday morning with greatest chances at KLBB and KPVW.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.