textproduct: Lubbock

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 609 AM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

- Generally hot and dry through Thursday with low storm chances each day.

- Higher storm potential Friday into the weekend.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Wednesday) Issued at 1037 PM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026

Southerly winds will remain breezy overnight keeping lows mild, generally in the mid 60s to low 70s. A broad upper trough over the Intermountain West will shift eastward through the day Tuesday. This will slightly displace the ridge over the area, bringing height falls and relatively cooler temperatures with highs in the low-to- mid 90s. Much of the day should stay capped, however the trough axis moving through in the evening combined with daytime instability should be enough for convective initiation over the far southwest Panhandle and northern South Plains. The severe threat remains minimal, although a few storms may produce brief strong winds and periods of heavy rain. These should taper off after midnight with similarly mild lows as Tuesday morning with breezy southerly winds persisting overnight. Upper flow will weaken Wednesday with hot temperatures returning. Highs will be near 100 across the entire forecast area. Another dryline will develop in the early evening and isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible in the same areas as today. Locally heavy rain and brief strong winds are the main threats.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday night through next Monday) Issued at 1037 PM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026

A secondary trough associated with the same upper low over Canada will move to our north on Thursday. Again the upper ridge to our south should maintain the majority of influence through the day and highs will remain hot at or near triple-digits. A shortwave late-day and its associated surface cold front may trigger some convection over the far southern Panhandle continuing into early Friday morning. More persistent and stronger shortwaves along with a more moist SE surface flow may bring a more active pattern with potentially widespread shower and thunderstorm chances Friday through the weekend. Temperatures over this time period will likewise become relatively cooler in the upper 80s to low 90s.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 609 AM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

MVFR ceilings have filled in over KPVW and KLBB this morning. These low ceilings are expected to linger for the next few hours. VFR conditions will prevail at KCDS. Breezy southerly winds are expected the rest of today at all three TAF sites.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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