textproduct: Lubbock
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 604 AM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026
- Generally hot and dry this week with low storm chances.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Tuesday) Issued at 1042 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026
Breezy southerly winds persisting overnight will bring very mild lows in the mid 60s to low 70s. An upper ridge will continue to build Monday and persistent southerly flow will bring highs even a couple degrees hotter than Sunday into the mid-to-upper 90s. A dryline looks to develop during the afternoon hours generally west of I-27. Although there is a notable shortwave propagating around the aforementioned ridge, much of that forcing will remain well off the west over New Mexico. Nonetheless CAM do show convective initiation along the line and there will certainly be enough instability. Should any storm form, the overall severe weather threat is low. Southerly winds will persist overnight and as such Tuesday morning lows will be similar to that of Monday. A broad upper trough will track eastward across the Intermountain West through the day Tuesday. Hot and dry conditions should persist across the entire area through the daytime hours as the ridge will remain the primary large-scale influence. However as the trough axis continues to shift eastward through the day, the associated forcing may move far enough south to trigger some thunderstorm development, mainly over the far southern Panhandle and northern South/Rolling Plains. A few storms may become severe, but again the overall threat remains low.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday night through next Sunday) Issued at 1042 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026
Any lingering storms should taper off after sunset on Tuesday with a more upper zonal flow developing Wednesday. Again, low chances of storms remain during later in the evening with shortwaves moving across the area. Another slightly stronger wave from a secondary trough will move through Thursday evening and storm chances may be slightly higher. More potent waves look to potentially develop this weekend but it remains too early too determine specifics. Otherwise, expect mainly hot and dry conditions with breezy southerly winds through the week and highs well into the 90s.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 604 AM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026
VFR conditions will prevail. Southerly winds will ramp up early this afternoon and prevail through the day. Winds should weaken later this evening.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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