textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1140 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

- Warm and dry through the weekend.

- Daily precipitation chances return beginning Tuesday.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Sunday) Issued at 1021 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

An overall quiet pattern will continue through Sunday morning. Upper flow will be out of the southwest with the axis of the upper ridge pushing to our east as hurricane Isaias continues its move inland. Surface winds are expected to be on the low end of breezy through the day Saturday as the gradient along a surface trough tightens with the development of a surface low over Colorado/Wyoming. Afternoon highs should be little changed from Friday's highs, 80s on the Caprock and low 90s off the Caprock.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 1021 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

Southwesterly upper flow will continue to dominate the region through mid week as an upper high builds over the northern Gulf Coast. This is not to say the weather will be fully quiet. The broad upper low currently over British Columbia will push southward along the West Coast, becoming more bowling ball-like with time. It will then push west across the Central Rockies and enhance upper diffluence over the Southern Plains as it moves east. Models are in decent agreement with the potential for some showers and thunderstorms across the FA late Tuesday and possibly Wednesday. Models diverge greatly beyond mid week. The GFS is very progressive with the upper low as it moves across the Central Plains. This is followed by a deep upper low, ~H537, across the Great Lakes that pushes the first strong cold front through the region by late week, bringing H850 temps of 2-6 degrees C. The ECMWF does not allow the upper low to push further east than the Rockies and instead reforms it over the Baja Peninsula. It also brings a cold front into the FA along with rain, but this front is much warmer as the airmass is highly modified and, with upper ridging extending from the Central Plains well into Canada, keeps the coolest air well to our north.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1140 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

VFR and light southerly winds will continue.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.