textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1039 PM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

- Thunderstorm chances will continue through this evening, mainly for northern and western portions of the area.

- Storm chances will continue each day during the afternoon/evening hours through early next week.

- Triple-digit high temperatures remain expected through the weekend.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Friday) Issued at 1039 PM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

Showers and thunderstorms will continue across portions of the area over the next few hours. A few storms may become severe producing large hail and strong winds. These will taper off early this morning giving way to partly-to-mostly cloudy skies overnight, with lows ranging from the mid 60s to mid 70s. Surface flow Thursday will switch to south- southwesterly helping to again usher in very warm temperatures. Triple-digit high temperatures are expected for much of the area. A relatively potent upper shortwave and low- level jet will eject from the Rockies by late Thursday afternoon. Models indicate associated convection starting around this time and tracking eastward through the evening. Again, much of the threat should be generally across northern and western portions of the area. A few storms could become severe with strong winds and large hail being the main threats. Storms should weaken after sunset and taper off completely around midnight. Hot temperatures will continue on Friday, with highs again the triple-digits. Rather than potent upper waves propagating through the zonal flow on Thursday, a more ridge-like pattern will develop northwest of high pressure near the Gulf coast. Despite some minor upper waves and another relatively strong low-level jet, overall convective development looks to be somewhat lacking. However it cannot completely be ruled out, particularly across the far southern Panhandle closest to the aforementioned shortwave activity.

LONG TERM

(Friday night through next Wednesday) Issued at 1039 PM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

South-southwesterly winds will increase on Saturday and along with the aforementioned upper ridge, temperatures will be even a few degrees warmer than previous day. Highs off the Caprock may approach 105 degrees. Winds will back more towards a due southerly direction on Sunday. Temperatures will remain hot in the low 100s for much of the area. While our area may see some upper Pacific moisture advection between a ridge to the east and a deep trough over the Intermountain West, the environment looks to remain quite capped without much in the way of significant forcing. Thunderstorms will be possible for portions of the area, but confidence remains low for anything very widespread at this time. The ridge will gradually amplify over the eastern US into early next week. An additional stronger fetch of monsoonal moisture looks to push north northward over this time frame. This may bring additional storm chances, mainly across western portions of the area. Southerly winds will persist, however temperatures should slightly cool on the Caprock into the mid 90s by Tuesday, but remain at or near triple-digits on the Caprock.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1157 PM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

VFR with TS ending shortly at LBB and PVW. Still an outside chance of low CIGs developing at CDS toward daybreak, but this is too conditional for mention at this time.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.