textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1017 PM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

- Above average temperatures persist into next week.

- Slight chance of thunderstorms Friday evening mainly across the far southern Panhandle.

- Increasing chances of precipitation around the middle of next week.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Saturday) Issued at 1017 PM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

Convection is currently firing over the Raton Mesa into southwestern Kansas this evening and will slowly drift southward through the nighttime hours. Modest winds at 850mb will allow this convection to sustain itself through the nighttime hours southward through the Texas Panhandle. Although this convective activity is unlikely to reach the FA, some light rain showers may remain early Friday morning. By Friday afternoon, several CAMs depict additional convection developing over the southern Texas Panhandle. The forcing for this activity is not clear at the moment but could be from remnant outflow boundaries from overnight convection. Weak flow through the atmospheric column will keep storms pulsy that do develop. Additionally, a hot and dry boundary layer will lead to high cloud bases which will bring the potential for strong wind gusts. A surface trough will be located across eastern New Mexico again on Friday afternoon leading to convection off of the higher terrain. However, upper level flow will turn more northeasterly decreasing chances of this convection making it into the South Plains.

LONG TERM

(Saturday night through next Thursday) Issued at 1017 PM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

Friday may be the only meaningful chance of measurable precipitation through at least early next week. The upper level ridge centered around the four corners through the weekend will begin to weaken by the middle of next week as troughing enters the Pacific Northwest. The upper ridge will then shift into the southeastern US potentially bringing increased chances of precipitation from the middle to late next week. Unfortunately, the weakening of the ridge will not bring any relief in temperatures with values on the order of near average to five degrees above seasonal averages.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1130 PM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

VFR with SSW winds increasing to 12-15 knots by late morning. TS presently in the northern TX Panhandle are scheduled to dissipate in the next couple of hours, but could spread some -RA into CDS by dawn. Any TS Friday night are expected to stay well NW of PVW & LBB.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.