textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1021 PM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026

- Slightly above average temperatures continue through next week.

- Increasing chances of precipitation by late next week.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Sunday) Issued at 1021 PM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026

The CAM guidance that has been overzealous has finally caught up with the current convection ongoing across the Texas Panhandle and eastern New Mexico. Convection will continue to dissipate across the Texas Panhandle through the late evening hours with only a slight chance of making it into the extreme southern Texas Panhandle. Otherwise, dry conditions will continue for the foreseeable future. Temperatures for Saturday will be nearly identical to Friday's observed temperatures with upper 90s on the caprock and lower 100s off the caprock.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 1021 PM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026

There is not much to write home about in the forecast for the next several days. The upper level ridge currently centered over the four corners will continue to remain nearly stationary through at least the first half of next week. An upper level trough moving onshore on the west coast will weaken the ridge and shift it to the southeastern US starting around mid-week next week. Despite the weakening ridge, temperatures will remain nearly identical day to day slightly above seasonal averages. Because of the movement of the ridge, models have backed off a bit on mid-week precipitation chances. The ridge is now expected to intensify more late week possibly bringing more monsoonal like convection to the area.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1208 AM CDT Sat Aug 8 2026

CAVOK with light winds.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.