textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1130 AM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

- Very warm Thursday, but another cold front will bring cooler weather back to the region on Friday and Saturday.

- Quiet weather continues with no precipitation chances throughout the extended forecast.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Thursday) Issued at 1130 AM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

Late morning satellite imagery highlights a deepening mid/upper level trough axis centered over the MS Valley with an expansive ridge axis in place over CA/NV. Relatively deep diurnal mixing into the resulting strong NNW flow aloft over our region will result in a breezy rest of the day in the wake of the cold front this morning. This evening into tonight, a broad surface ridge will quickly build overhead and shift to our south. Winds will consequently become light after sunset and turn more westerly overnight, which will keep lows relatively mild considering the post-frontal airmass. On Thursday, temperatures will rebound back to values well above normal as west winds strengthen in response to a compact lee surface trough deepening over NE NM. Most locations will see highs in the low to mid 70s on Thursday, with some elevated fire danger looking likely as well given the warm and breezy conditions.

LONG TERM

(Thursday night through next Tuesday) Issued at 1130 AM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

By Friday, models remain in good agreement that a well-defined Rex block will be in place off the West Coast with deep longwave troughing present over central and eastern portions of the CONUS. The block itself is progged to decay through the course of the weekend, but models continue to indicate that mid/upper level troughing will remain unchanged and perhaps even deepen over the east-central CONUS during this period. A strong embedded wave within the already highly amplified pattern will result in another relatively cool and breezy day Friday behind an early-day cold front, with Saturday also looking rather chilly with models placing a cool ~1032mb surface ridge directly over the West TX region. Late this weekend into early next week, the synoptic pattern is expected to remain generally unchanged with deep troughing persisting aloft. This will likely result in a few more cold frontal passages through early next week, but at this time consensus still favors temperatures near normal through this period. The forecast also remains dry into next week with no distinct signals for any meaningful moisture return.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1130 AM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

VFR conditions will continue through the TAF period. Strong northerly winds will decrease late this afternoon but pick up again out of the southwest late Thursday morning.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.