textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1231 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

- Clouds will gradually clear through the afternoon and evening.

- Gradually warming temperatures through next week with dry conditions expected.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Sunday) Issued at 1231 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

Breaks are beginning to develop in the stratus, but much cloud cover remains across the FA. These breaks have allowed for some surface heating, but most areas are still 10 degrees away from forecast highs. Forecast highs for this afternoon will be kept as is with the potential for further clearing of the stratus before the end of peak heating. Skies will ultimately become mostly clear by the nighttime hours. Winds will overall be light and will help for surface cooling, but dewpoints should be high enough to keep lows in the 50s area wide. On the flip side, winds may be strong enough to prevent most areas from seeing radiational fog. Our northwestern zones have the best chance for seeing fog, and models, even the historically bullish NAM, are not excited about the prospect for fog. It will be kept out of the forecast for the time being. Despite this, some slightly reduced visibility is still possible (as low as 5SM). Winds should mostly stay out of the east Sunday, not fully veering to the south until Monday, as surface high pressure remains over the eastern Great Plains into the Midwest. This will help to counteract the building upper high in regards to afternoon highs Sunday, with highs remaining in the 70s on the Caprock and low 80s off the Caprock.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 1231 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

The upper ridge will begin to break down Monday as upper troughing tries to take hold, but this eventually becomes a very weak blocking pattern by mid week. The blocking pattern also breaks by late week with the resulting upper low skirting the Gulf Coast. The resulting pattern for West Texas will be rather benign weather with surface winds remaining mostly out of the south with afternoon highs increasing to the 80s on the Caprock and upper 80s/low 90s off the Caprock.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1132 AM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

Skies are currently clearing, however MVFR CIGs will persist at all sites through around mid-afternoon before becoming VFR. Light winds will continue.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.