textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 610 PM CDT Fri May 1 2026

- Sprinkles to light rain possible the rest of the evening.

- Warmer and dry conditions over the weekend through next week.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Saturday) Issued at 1222 PM CDT Fri May 1 2026

Current water vapor imagery shows the upper low across southeastern NM and West Texas. This low will continue to trek eastward across central Texas keeping the best chances for rain showers to the south of the CWA. Current radar imagery indicates areas on the Caprock and southern portions of the CWA are seeing some light rain showers. Chances for some sprinkles and localized light rain showers will continue through the rest of this afternoon. Although the decent rain will miss much of the region, cloudy skies through the day will keep temperatures cool with highs in the mid 50s to mid 60s. After the upper trough exits away from the region this evening, precipitation chances will die off around sunset. Light northerly winds and clearing skies will give way to a cool overnight with lows in the mid 30s over the far southwestern Texas Panhandle to upper 40s off the Caprock. Upper ridging has begun to build over western CONUS and will move eastward over the Texas Panhandle through the weekend. Saturday will the the start of a gradual multi-day warm up. Slight height and thickness increases from the upper ridging as well as surface winds shifting to the west early in the afternoon will warm temperatures with highs in the 70s across the region. Otherwise, it will be a pleasant and dry Saturday.

LONG TERM

(Saturday night through next Thursday) Issued at 1222 PM CDT Fri May 1 2026

The gradual warming of temperatures as the upper ridge passes overhead will continue through the first couple of days next week. Sunday will be another dry but pleasant day with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s. However, the 80 to 90 degree temperatures are expected to return Monday and possibly Tuesday. The development of a surface low during each day, can expect breezy westerly winds during the afternoon hours each day. With the little to no precipitation we got in the past 24 hours and breezy winds, elevated fire danger will be possible both days. A back-door cold front is progged to push through the region by mid-week, however models disagree with the timing. ECMWF has a faster track with the front pushing through Tuesday afternoon with the GFS giving a slower track with the front pushing through overnight Tuesday through early Wednesday. Either track will cool temperatures slightly for Wednesday, however if ECMWF comes to fruition, temperatures may be cooler and winds lighter on Tuesday than what is currently forecasted. An upper level pattern change could bring cooler temperatures and possible rain chances next weekend, however as this is still a week away, therefore don't get your hopes up.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 610 PM CDT Fri May 1 2026

VFR overcast will continue to gradually lift and eventually erode during the predawn hours at KCDS, KLBB, and KPVW. Light sprinkles will be possible for the next couple of hours. Expect light winds for the entirety of the TAF period.

Sincavage

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.