textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1125 AM CST Sat Jan 17 2026

- Light snow will be possible across the far southern Texas Panhandle and northern Rolling Plains through the afternoon.

- Overnight lows will drop into the teens tonight.

- A roller coaster of temperatures is expected Sunday into next week as a series of cold fronts pass through the region, but the forecast remains dry.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Sunday) Issued at 1125 AM CST Sat Jan 17 2026

The only areas to rise above freezing as of 11 AM are those south of the stratus. Areas under stratus have struggled so far to reach 30F. Some light snow still continues across the far southern Texas Panhandle and northern Rolling Plains. Snow has only recently begun to reach the ground as dewpoint depressions have finally dropped below 10F. No accumulation is expected. Snow will come to an end by mid to late afternoon as the stratus pushes to our southwest and skies begin to clear. Winds will become light by this evening through the overnight hours as a surface high moves over the region. Surface winds will become more southwesterly through early Sunday morning as the surface high pushes to our south and surface troughing associated with a second cold front develops across the Northern and Central Plains. This cold front will eventually move into the FA by late Sunday/Early Monday. Before this cold front, we will get to enjoy one relatively warm day with highs on Sunday rising into the 60s.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 1125 AM CST Sat Jan 17 2026

The forecast for next week will be dominated by northwesterly upper flow and a series of cold fronts. A backdoor cold front early Monday will along with possible cloud cover will help to keep Monday's highs in the 30s and 40s with lows in the teens expected by Tuesday morning. Winds will veer to the south/southwest by Tuesday afternoon in response to a surface lee trough and will allow highs to warm back into the 50s. Highs will generally fluctuate between the 50s and 60s into late next week. This will be despite a short lived cold front by early Thursday. This front will wash out by Thursday afternoon as another surface lee trough develops ahead of an upper shortwave trough. As was the case yesterday, the GFS transitions the upper flow to zonal roughly one day faster than the ECMWF. The overall evolution of the pattern is generally the same going into the weekend. Though beyond the forecast period, global models show another strong cold front pushing into the region early next week.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1118 AM CST Sat Jan 17 2026

VFR next 24 hours. Winds are expected to slowly subside this afternoon. Variation with direction is expected as the surface pressure gradient weakens.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.