textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 601 PM CDT Sun Aug 2 2026

- Heat Advisory Monday for the far southeast TX Panhandle and northern Rolling Plains.

- Hot and mostly dry this week with low storm chances Thursday and Friday evenings.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Monday) Issued at 1135 AM CDT Sun Aug 2 2026

Subsidence and much drier air aloft were in full control this afternoon along the eastern extent of an upper ridge spanning from SOCAL to the Hudson Bay. This ridge will flatten and weaken through Monday as a potent trough swings across the Northern Rockies. This will also elongate the ridge axis over West Texas resulting in higher thicknesses/hotter temps for Monday, with Heat Advisory conditions in our northeast zones. Otherwise, lows tonight will be a bit milder thanks to steadier southerly winds around 10 mph.

LONG TERM

(Monday night through next Saturday) Issued at 1135 AM CDT Sun Aug 2 2026

The remainder of the week remains hot, although not quite to the levels we saw last week thanks to lower height, generally between 5920 and 5950 meters at 500 mb. The zonal ridge axis begins to show some weakness by Friday as the high's center retreats toward the Great Basin, so this would allow for some cooler northerly flow aloft supportive of less capping and perhaps some late-day and overnight storms for parts of our area. Until then, the storm chances remain holed up in/near the Oklahoma Panhandle along a weak cold front that stalls out from Tuesday through Thursday.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 601 PM CDT Sun Aug 2 2026

VFR conditions continue through the period. Mildly breezy conditions develop from midday Monday through the end of the period, around 10-15 kts out of the SSW.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Heat Advisory from 1 PM to 8 PM CDT Monday for TXZ024>026-031- 032.