textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1116 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

- Warm and dry conditions through Saturday.

- Slight chances of precipitation Sunday into early next week.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Wednesday) Issued at 1116 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

A cold front has made its way through the FA as of sunrise this morning and will help to keep today's highs in the low 60s area wide. Breezy northerly winds will give way to light easterly winds by mid to late afternoon as surface ridging moves over the FA. Winds will remain relatively light through the night before a second cold front moves into our northern zones shortly before sunrise and through our southern zones by noon Wednesday. Winds will increase to out of the north around 15-25 mph after sunset as mixing is enhanced and an upper shortwave moves overhead. Upper flow will be mostly meridional by this point and will help transport slightly cooler temps than what was seen with this morning's cold front. This will keep afternoon highs in the 50s across most of the FA Wednesday. Winds will begin to steadily decrease around sunset Wednesday evening.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday night through next Monday) Issued at 1116 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

An upper ridge over the Intermountain West will build in between two troughs on Thursday and along with westerly surface flow will bring a return to above average temperatures, with highs generally in the mid-to-upper 60s. The ridge will flatten Friday and Saturday as the trough to the west moves onshore over the California coast with surface high pressure departing to the SE. A shortwave will bring weak lee cyclogenesis on Saturday and breezy SW surface winds over our area will bring highs well into the 70s, with potential 80s off the Caprock. That said, Lubbock's daily record high of 84 appears safe. Model agreement has gotten worse since yesterday with the ECMWF still indicating a cutoff upper low moving over the Desert Southwest and leading to what would be the potential for thunderstorms over portions of the area. GFS now indicates a much weaker low interacting with a positively tilted trough over the Midwest. Respective ensembles are as well indicating continued uncertainty and thus NBM PoPs have been retained. In any case, above average highs near 70 look to continue from Sunday into early next week.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1116 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

VFR conditions will prevail. There is a very low chance for MVFR CIGs at CDS and PVW between 06-12Z. Confidence is too low for a mention in the TAF at this time.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.