textproduct: Lubbock

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 504 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

- Today will be nice and pleasant once the fog from this morning clears the forecast area.

- Precipitation chances return this weekend.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Wednesday) Issued at 1141 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

The dense fog from this morning has mostly cleared. Some areas across the South Plains will still see patchy fog for the next hour before it completely clears out. Current satellite imagery shows a very positively tilted trough overhead. This upper trough is expected to deamplify and push east through the day as upper ridging builds over the Desert Southwest. Once the fog and low clouds clear the region, the rest of the day is expected to be sunny and pleasant. Temperatures will reach the 60s on the Caprock to upper 60s to lower 70s off the Caprock. Should be another cool and quiet night with lows in the 40s to lower 50s. Light southerly winds during the evening will gradually shift to the north overnight as a very weak front pushes through the region early Wednesday morning. This front will have no impact on temperatures with highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s again. However, breezy north to northeasterly winds will fill in across the forecast area behind the front. These breezy winds are expected to persist through the early afternoon hours before weakening through the rest of Wednesday. There is a small chance for patchy to dense fog across southern portions of the South Plains and Rolling Plains early Wednesday morning. However, models indicate the fog will reach just south of our southern CWA border before retreating as the northerly winds ramp up. Although, this forecaster would not be surprised if some dense fog did sneak into our southern row of counties (Yoakum to Stonewall).

LONG TERM

(Wednesday night through next Monday) Issued at 1141 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

The upper ridging mentioned in the short term discussion will push east across our forecast area through Friday. Subsidence below the ridging will keep conditions dry, however there will be no impact on temperatures with highs in the 60s to lower 70s both Thursday and Friday. Chances for precipitation return this weekend with an upper pattern change. Models indicate an upper trough will swing across the Desert Southwest/northern Mexico shifting flow aloft to the southwest through Saturday. The trough will quickly pass overhead Sunday and deamplify as it exits to the east as a negatively tilted trough swings across the Rockies. As this secondary trough tracks across the Central Plains, upper ridging will build over the Desert Southwest and flow aloft will shift to the northwest effectively cutting off subtropical moisture. Ridging will keep conditions next week dry, however temperatures look to cool with highs possible in the 50s by Monday.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 504 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

VFR conditions will prevail. Fog is currently expected to remain well south of the terminals during the overnight hours.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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