textproduct: Lubbock

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1201 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026

- Warm and dry weather continues through the weekend. - Chances for rain may return as early as Tuesday and continue through the end of next week.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Friday) Issued at 1201 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026

Another wonderful weather day is taking shape across West TX as a dry and subsident airmass associated with a compact upper ridge remains in place over the region. With the pattern remaining fairly stagnant, a persistence forecast is the rule with mostly clear skies, light winds, and and mild temperatures continuing over the next 24 hours. Through Friday, expect highs in the 80s on the Caprock with low 90s east of the escarpment, and lows mainly in the 50s.

LONG TERM

(Friday night through next Wednesday) Issued at 1201 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026

The synoptic pattern will finally begin to change over the weekend as broad troughing overspreads the western CONUS. At first, this will result in a building of the ridge aloft over our area as Hurricane Isaias makes landfall over the central Gulf Coast and pulls northward. The Sat-Mon period is therefore expected to be even warmer than this past week with highs ranging from the mid 80s to mid 90s under continued clear skies and with stronger SSW surface flow. By the middle of next week, the ridging aloft is progged to shift eastward which will allow an increase in SW flow aloft over West TX. A fairly large subset of ensemble members suggest that this evolution combined with an increasing fetch of Pacific tropical moisture could bring more widespread shower activity to the region during the Tue-Thu timeframe, but with temperatures still likely to remain above average.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1201 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026

VFR conditions will prevail.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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