textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 545 AM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

- Cold front pushing through the region today will slightly cool temperatures for Wednesday.

- Cooler temperatures and active weather possible this weekend through early next week.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Wednesday) Issued at 1120 PM CST Mon Nov 24 2025

Mostly zonal flow aloft will prevail now that the upper system that resulted in active weather this past weekend has moved away from the region. An upper trough translating over the Dakotas this morning will push a dry cold front through the region early this afternoon. Breezy north to northeasterly winds will prevail through the afternoon following the front. Despite the FROPA, CAA will be delayed until tonight and can expect above normal highs in the 60s for much of the region today. Breezy winds are expected to weaken by this evening. Should be a cold night with lows at or below freezing for much of the Caprock and just above freezing lows for off the Caprock.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday night through next Monday) Issued at 1120 PM CST Mon Nov 24 2025

Quiet weather is expected the first couple of days of the long term forecast. Northwesterly flow aloft will prevail Wednesday and Thursday as a deamplifying ridge sits to the west. By Friday, upper flow will shift back to zonal as the upper ridge is expected to flattened. Cooler air following the FROPA Tuesday will continue into Wednesday keeping temperatures below seasonal normal with highs in the 50s across the region. Temperatures are expected to gradually increase the latter half of the week with highs in the 60s for much of the region as surface winds shift to the south in response to the development of a lee low.

The return of active weather is possible this weekend through early next week. WAA from increasing southwesterly winds during the day Friday will bring chances for showers over the southern Rolling Plains in the evening, however most of that activity will stay to the east of our region. An upper trough translating through the Central Plains will push a cold front through the region Saturday cooling temperatures this weekend through next week as models indicate Arctic air continue to push into our region. The next bout of precipitation chances with the possibility for snow will return early Sunday, however models differ on the upper pattern. ECMWF indicates a drier pattern of a positively tilted trough over western CONUS developing to a closed low southwest of the coast of SoCal by Monday. GFS indicates a wetter pattern with an upper trough near the Pacific Northwest swinging south over the Four Corners region. As this is still a few days out, the NBM widespread slight chance PoPs beginning late Sunday will be kept this package, however can expect changes in future forecasts.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 545 AM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

There remains a very small chance of fog near the KCDS terminal this morning but is highly unlikely. Otherwise, VFR will prevail through the TAF period. A cold front will move through the region early this afternoon shifting winds to the north and becoming breezy.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.