textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 511 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

- Dry and very warm weather continues through Monday.

- Two cold fronts this week will cool temperatures slightly, however they will remain around or above normal.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Monday) Issued at 1123 AM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

The upper level troughing currently in place over the eastern half of the continent will continue to quickly shift eastward through the rest of today resulting in weakening flow aloft and continued dry weather for our region. Later today, a flattening shortwave ridge axis is progged to briefly move over the West TX region ahead of more diffuse mid/upper level troughing which will move over the NM high terrain by Monday afternoon. Broad surface lee troughing will allow southwesterly surface flow to persist today, which combined with fairly dramatic midlevel height rises will boost temperatures into the 60s this afternoon, with lows tonight also forecast to be relatively mild given the continuing SW winds. On Monday, the approach of the above-mentioned upper shortwave trough will result in the deepening and southward expansion of lee surface troughing. This will in turn bring us a relatively breezy and even warmer day on Monday with highs across the region ranging from the mid 60s to low 70s, although with generally increasing cloud cover given a stronger southerly component to the flow aloft.

LONG TERM

(Monday night through next Saturday) Issued at 1123 AM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

Not much change to the long term forecast with two separate cold fronts progged to track through the region this week. On the upper levels, northwesterly flow will prevail aloft Tuesday as a rex blocking pattern develops with a high over the coast of northern California and a low off the coast of Baja Mexico. Concurrently, a shortwave translating through the Midwest will push the first cold front through the region early Tuesday morning. Winds will increase and shift to the north following the front. Temperatures will slightly cool, although remain unseasonably warm with highs in the lower 60s for much of the region. By mid-week, an amplifying trough will swing over Central CONUS, pushing the second cold front through the region late Tuesday through early morning Wednesday. Breezy northerly winds will once again prevail following the front. Temperatures will slightly cool to the upper 50s to lower 60s Wednesday. For the latter half of the week, the rex blocking pattern will break down and upper ridging will fill in over western CONUS. This pattern will give way to well above seasonal normal temperatures for the weekend. Otherwise, conditions are expected to remain dry.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 511 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

VFR and light winds through the rest of the night. Southwesterly winds will become breezy by late Monday morning.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.