textproduct: Lubbock
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 504 AM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
- Rain chances Saturday for the southern South Plains and southern Rolling Plains.
- Cooler this weekend, then warming and dry next week.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Sunday) Issued at 1027 PM CST Fri Nov 6 2026
A cutoff upper low currently centered over western Arizona will continue to move southward into Mexico overnight. Although the track looks to be slightly farther west than yesterday's models, it will not affect the forecast much for our area. Leading shortwaves will approach the southern South Plains early Saturday morning and resultant light showers will track eastward into the southern Rolling Plains through the day. Thunderstorms are unlikely and any rain totals will be minimal. Mostly cloudy skies will overspread the rest of the area and cooler temperatures will result. Highs will only reach the mid 50s to near 60. Gradual clearing is expected Saturday night into Sunday.
LONG TERM
(Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 1027 PM CST Fri Nov 6 2026
The aforementioned low circulation will become more disorganized as it moves into central Texas on Sunday. Much of the southwesterly moisture advection will remain out ahead of it and remain well south and east of our forecast area. More cloud cover is expected over the southern South Plains and Rolling Plains closer to the low center, with skies clearing from south to north. Highs will be slightly warmer in the low-to-mid 60s. An upper ridge will build to the west and become more amplified by mid-to-late week. Temperatures will gradually warm with no precipitation expected at this time.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 515 AM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
Main concern is potential for dense fog/LIFR ceilings at KCDS between 13-15z. Dense fog over western Oklahoma is slowly creeping towards Childress, and while there is some uncertainty as to whether or not it reaches KCDS, still think there is enough signal to warrant a TEMPO group. Elsewhere, variable winds and broken high clouds are anticipated. Light rain should stay south of KLBB today.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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