textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1124 PM CST Sun Dec 14 2025

- Freezing fog may result in a light glaze of ice across western portions of the Caprock early Monday morning.

- Much warmer temperatures return Monday afternoon.

- Warm and dry conditions continue through the rest of the week.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Tuesday) Issued at 1124 PM CST Sun Dec 14 2025

Another chilly early morning period is on the way with low cloud cover again spreading across the region. Lows across most locations will range in the mid to upper 20s, with areas of freezing fog looking more and more likely across western portions of the Caprock near sunrise as the airmass saturates. Fog and cloud cover are expected to dissipate by mid-morning as deepening surface troughing to our northwest strengthens, with otherwise quiet weather expected. Dry and relatively mild conditions are expected through the rest of the day with increasing high-level cloud cover associated with a diffuse mid/upper level trough, with highs generally in the upper 50s to low 60s. Seasonably cool overnight lows are expected Monday night, with gradually clearing skies as the upper level wave exits.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday night through next Sunday) Issued at 1124 PM CST Sun Dec 14 2025

Unseasonably warm temperatures and dry conditions will continue through the long term package. An upper trough will set up overhead Tuesday, however will have no effect on conditions with no moisture return and any lift from the system will remain south of our region. A weak front will push through the region Tuesday afternoon with the only impact being westerly winds shifting to the north. The upper trough will depart to the southeast of the region by early Wednesday where mostly zonal flow aloft will prevail through the rest of the week. An upper trough translating over the U.S./Canada border will push a stronger cold front through the region late Wednesday through early Thursday cooling temperatures to the upper 50s to lower 60s compared to upper 60s to lower 70s expected Wednesday. Temperatures will warm again through the weekend with record breaking highs possible Saturday. Another front is progged to push southward through the region late Saturday through early Sunday, slightly cooling temperatures for the start of next week, although remain well above seasonal normal.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1124 PM CST Sun Dec 14 2025

Low stratus will continue to expand in coverage, with IFR or MVFR CIGs expected to persist at all TAF sites through most of the overnight period. KLBB and KPVW have the highest probability of IFR/LIFR CIGs, with KCDS currently more likely to remain MVFR. Visibility restrictions from BR/FG are also likely closer to sunrise especially at KPVW, with lesser impacts at KLBB, but the precise magnitude of visibility reductions overnight is still uncertain. Flight conditions will gradually improve beginning about mid- morning, with VFR expected to return to all TAF sites by Monday afternoon.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.