textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1234 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026

- Critical fire danger will persist through this afternoon.

- Monday will be much cooler.

- Hot temperatures will Tuesday through Thursday before another cold front moves through the region Friday.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Monday) Issued at 1234 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026

The cold front is moving through the region as expected and should be fully south of the FA by late afternoon/early evening. This will allow for some areas to have much cooler highs than others, 80s across our northern zones and near 100 across our southern row. Windy conditions are also present behind the front as expected with reported sustained winds of 20-30 mph being common place across the Texas Panhandle. This will keep fire weather conditions critical through the rest of the day as fuels remain extremely dry and will be slow to respond to the higher, albeit still low, relative humidity behind the front. Winds will start to subside after sunset and will eventually become light and out of the east by sunrise Monday as surface ridging moves across the region. Monday morning low temps will range from the upper 30s across the northwest to around 50 across the southeast. Monday will be much cooler compared to the past week and especially Saturday. Winds will remain light and out of the east to southeast through the day and will help limit temps to the low 70s area wide.

LONG TERM

(Monday night through next Saturday) Issued at 1234 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026

The flattened upper high will rebuild to our west by Tuesday as part of a weak block. The low portion of the block will eventually rotate around the upper high, becoming an open wave shortwave, and will partially flatten the high once again as the upper high moves eastward to Texas. The progression of the high will allow temps to warm back into the mid/upper 90s by mid week. Just like Monday's cooldown, the heat will also be temporary as another cold front is progged to move through the Southern Plains late Thursday/early Friday. This will help cool temps into the 60s for Friday and Saturday.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1151 AM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026

VFR conditions will prevail.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1234 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026

Critical fire weather danger will continue through the rest of the afternoon into the early evening as northerly winds behind a cold front remain breezy, 20-30 mph with gusts to 40 mph. Winds will begin to subside after sunset and will out of the east and light for most of Monday. Monday will be much cooler with low fire danger expected.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Red Flag Warning until 9 PM CDT this evening for TXZ021>044.