textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1233 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

- Hot temperatures continue Monday with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.

- Daily rain chances with cooler temperatures for the remainder of the week.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Tuesday) Issued at 1034 PM CDT Sun May 31 2026

Storms will persist for the next few hours before tapering off in the early morning timeframe and skies will clear from west to east overnight. South to southwest winds persist and mild lows generally in the mid-to-upper 60s remain expected. Hot temperatures will continue Monday under a strong upper ridge, with highs dropping only a few degrees but holding in the mid 90s. The ridge will keep things capped for much of the day, however an upper wave and some semblance of a low-level jet will pass over portions of the area by the afternoon. Combined with the plentiful daytime heating/instability, some isolated to scattered thunderstorms may develop during the late afternoon hours. Highest chances would be along the TX/NM border. While forcing is somewhat lacking, a per usual a few storms could become strong to severe. These should taper off around sunset with SE winds persisting overnight into Tuesday again moderating low in the 60s. An upper low will track into northwestern Mexico through the day Tuesday gradually displacing the aforementioned ridge and leading to upper Pacific moisture moving into our region. SE surface flow will continue through the day as well, however much of the widespread rain should hold off until late-day. Highs will again be slightly cooler in the upper 80s and low 90s.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday night through next Sunday) Issued at 1034 PM CDT Sun May 31 2026

Fairly strong moisture advection signatures both in the upper and lower levels will continue into Wednesday with widespread showers and thunderstorms across the region. Locally heavy rainfall and/or flooding is possible, however it remains a bit too early to pinpoint exact locations. The upper low will pivot across Baja California Thursday and Friday, bringing almost no change to the large-scale pattern. SE surface winds will generally unchanged as well over this time period and as such higher PoPs have been retained. Temperatures will significantly cool to near 80 on the Caprock and mid 80s off the Caprock. Confidence diminishes thereafter, however based on the current track of the upper low, highest rain chances should remain off the Caprock.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1233 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

A few lingering rain showers to the east of KLBB will gradually diminish over the next few hours with VFR expected to prevail at all TAF sites overnight into Monday. Isolated TS may develop on Monday afternoon, but with probability of terminal impacts too low for a TAF mention at this time.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.