textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 608 AM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

- Hot temperatures will continue on Saturday with thunderstorm chances Saturday evening along a cold front.

- Much cooler and wetter Sunday and Monday.

- Hot temperatures return mid-week with additional chances of thunderstorms during the second half of next week.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Sunday) Issued at 1011 PM CDT Fri Jun 12 2026

Convective activity late tonight into early Saturday morning across the Texas Panhandle is expected to mostly remain in the Panhandle through the early morning hours. A complex of thunderstorms may drift to the south into the southeastern Texas Panhandle following low level flow from the southeast.

Higher chances of convection will emerge Saturday evening in association with a cold front moving southward through the Texas Panhandle. A short wave trough moving from northern New Mexico into the Raton Mesa on Saturday afternoon looks to round the sprawling upper level ridge covering the southern US. Moist upslope flow in eastern New Mexico will likely lead to convection on the higher terrain ahead of the approaching cold front during the afternoon. More widespread convection is expected from northeastern New Mexico into the western Texas Panhandle as the cold front moves southward. Outflow boundary/cold pool interactions may allow storms to grow more upscale into the southern Texas Panhandle and northern South Plains during the evening hours. Convection may have a difficult time making it farther south out of the Panhandles as instability will wane quite a bit during the evening. Nonetheless, any storms that do make it into the FA will primarily be capable of producing strong to severe wind gusts with a lesser threat for large hail.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 1011 PM CDT Fri Jun 12 2026

The front will push through the area early Sunday morning with the assistance of aforementioned convection along the front. This front will bring much cooler and drier conditions to West Texas on Sunday and again on Monday. Another complex of thunderstorms out of eastern New Mexico may drift into the area again on Sunday evening. Surface ridging will ooze into the area on Monday drying out conditions and ending convective chances. Temperatures will again be very cool with daytime highs on the order of 10 to 15 degrees below seasonal averages. Beyond Monday, temperatures will return to seasonal averages on Tuesday with very hot temperatures by mid-week. Another cold front around Thursday and Friday will bring renewed convective chances.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 608 AM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the period. Expect northerly winds to veer out of the south after daybreak, with speeds around 10-20KT. There is low confidence in TSRA late this evening, primarily at KPVW and KCDS. If storms are able to make it into the area, gusty winds will be possible.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.