textproduct: Lubbock
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 522 AM CST Mon Nov 2 2026
- Breezy westerly winds today, with gusts up to 45 mph.
- Generally cooler and dry the through next week.
SHORT TERM
(Through Monday night) Issued at 1033 PM CST Sun Nov 1 2026
Showers and thunderstorms are currently tracking near the TX/NM border as a deep upper level trough upstream continues to move eastward. Everything generally remains on track from the previous forecast in that damaging winds are the main threat with these storms (as has verified over New Mexico), however a Tornado Watch remains in effect for Parmer, Castro, and Briscoe counties until 2 AM CST. The trough axis will push through the area Monday, however the good news will be that the dry line should be completely east of the entire forecast area by the afternoon. Thus, breezy westerly winds will still be the main story, potentially gusting up to 45 mph in the afternoon. Winds will gradually diminish Monday evening and turn northerly behind a surface cold front.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday through next Sunday) Issued at 1033 PM CST Sun Nov 1 2026
Weak ridging will build in behind the trough as it departs on Tuesday. This will usher in cooler, dry air in behind it and highs will be slightly below normal in the low-to-mid 60s on the Caprock and near 70 off the Caprock. Wednesday will be a few degrees warmer in a more zonal flow pattern aloft. Another fast moving upper low will move over our area on Thursday. The latest ECMWF shows some precipitation clipping the far southeastern Panhandle, however uncertainty remains and it does not look to be anything significant at this time. Otherwise cooler and dry conditions will round out the work week.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 522 AM CST Mon Nov 2 2026
MVFR CIGs will persist for a few more hours before scattering out with VFR set to return to all TAF sites by midday. Otherwise, the main aviation impact will be the relatively strong surface winds which will initially be southwesterly before veering westerly this afternoon. Gusts around 30 kt are likely today across the region.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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