textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1210 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

- Cooler than average temperatures through the weekend warming up next week.

- Chance of light rain on Saturday for the southern South Plains and southern Rolling Plains.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Friday) Issued at 1210 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

The surface pressure gradient will remain strong this afternoon resulting in continued breezy north winds through the afternoon hours. The pressure gradient will begin to relax late this afternoon bringing winds down as surface ridging spreads into the area. Short wave ridging will then move overhead tonight and through the day on Friday. With the surface ridge increasing during the overnight hours tonight, winds will become light and will allow temperatures to fall into the 30s on the caprock with 40s off the caprock. Some high level cloud cover will start to move over the area early Friday morning which may keep temperatures from falling even lower. Surface temperatures will remain five to ten degrees below seasonal averages on Friday with winds veering to the east retaining upslope flow. Because of the stratiform rainfall, precipitation amounts will likely be light with forecast amounts as much as a couple tenths of an inch.

LONG TERM

(Friday night through next Wednesday) Issued at 1210 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

The next system to affect the area is currently moving across the Intermountain West and is expected to become a closed off low in the southwestern US by Friday afternoon. Models are in good agreement in showing this system diving into northern Mexico which will take most of the large scale ascent south of the South Plains Saturday into Sunday. An upper level jet streak will track from northern Mexico into Far West Texas late on Friday then into Central Texas on Saturday. The northern edge of the large scale ascent will spread over the southern South Plains and southern Rolling Plains lasting from Saturday morning through Saturday evening. Cool surface temperatures and a lack of instability will result in light stratiform precipitation during this time period. Dry weather is then expected for the first half of next week with increasing temperatures back up to seasonal averages.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1107 AM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

Low end MVFR CIGs will continue at PVW through late afternoon before increasing to VFR. MVFR CIGs have just cleared at LBB Satellite shows additional MVFR CIGs trying to fill in the clearing to the northwest of Lubbock county, but there is uncertainty that these clouds will remain as they reach the terminal. Lubbock will be kept at VFR for the time being and amended if needed. MVFR CIGs should reach CDS by 1830-19Z and remain through 00Z before improving to VFR.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.