textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 137 PM CDT Fri May 8 2026

- Isolated storms possible off the Caprock this evening and again Saturday.

- Windy conditions and cooler temperatures expected behind a cold front Sunday.

- Multiple days of around triple digit temperatures expected to begin Tuesday.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Saturday) Issued at 137 PM CDT Fri May 8 2026

A very weak cold front (mostly just a wind shift) is moving into the central Texas Panhandle as of noon and is expected to continue pushing southward through the afternoon and evening. No noticeable difference in temps is expected, and the front will wash out shortly after sunrise Saturday. Surface winds will veer to the southwest by late Saturday morning as a surface low develops over eastern Colorado ahead of an embedded upper shortwave trough. This shortwave and surface low will bring a stronger cold front southward through Saturday afternoon into the evening with the front moving into our northern zones by early Sunday morning. Southwesterly winds during the day will allow afternoon highs to warm into the 90s area wide. Some models continue to show convection possible across our far eastern zones Saturday afternoon and evening, but confidence is low in upper lift coinciding with the dryline. What little PoPs the NBM had have been lowered to sub-mention for the time being. The biggest threat from any storm that is able to develop would be wind gusts in excess of 60 mph and hail up to 1 inch in diameter.

LONG TERM

(Saturday night through next Thursday) Issued at 137 PM CDT Fri May 8 2026

The cold front will be south of the FA by late Sunday morning and will leave low end windy conditions and cooler temperatures in its wake. While not ready to bite on this yet, there is the potential for light rain showers behind the cold front Sunday afternoon. The cold front and cloud cover will help keep highs in the 70s and low 80s, though slightly cooler temperatures will be possible if showers do occur. Winds will decrease to 10 mph or less after sunset and become more easterly. Upper ridging will build over the region Tuesday through late week and will help to warm highs into the upper 90s/around 100 by mid-week. Precip chances will be low with the upper ridge overhead, but a few storms will be possible north and west of the FA near the edge of the upper ridge.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1203 PM CDT Fri May 8 2026

VFR. Southwesterly winds will transition towards the north this evening at KCDS, KLBB, and KPVW following the passage of a weak cold front. Winds will then become east near 04-05Z tonight, with winds remaining light. There is a slim chance for low clouds at KCDS Saturday morning, but confidence is too low to include in the TAF with this cycle.

Sincavage

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.