textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1132 AM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

- Low clouds and fog will persist over western portions of the South Plains and far southwestern Texas Panhandle through early this afternoon. - A quiet and much warmer Sunday is expected, with dry and relatively warm weather continuing through the upcoming week.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Sunday) Issued at 1132 AM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

Areas of dense to patchy fog and low clouds persist over areas on the Caprock at 11 AM. Current satellite imagery shows the low clouds are gradually clearing out from east to west. These conditions are expected to clear out from most of the region around noon today. Current surface observations show winds are out of the southeast as the surface high sits just to the east of the region. These winds will gradually shift to the southwest by this evening as the surface high continues to translate away from the CWA. Nothing of note on the upper levels. Northwesterly flow will prevail aloft as upper ridging persists over the Desert Southwest. Easterly to southeasterly surface flow through the afternoon will keep highs in the 30s for much of the region, although some areas over the far southwestern Texas Panhandle could warm up to lower 40s. Tonight will be quiet with mostly clear skies. Light southwesterly winds will gradually shift to the northwest overnight. Mostly clear skies and light winds will keep temperatures cold with lows in the lower to mid 20s. A much warmer Sunday is expected compared to today. Slight height and thickness increases due to the upper ridging to the west as well as west to southwesterly surface flow, although light, will aid in warming temperatures to the lower 60s across the region.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 1132 AM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

By Monday, the upper air pattern will deamplify as deep troughing exits over the Atlantic and the jet stream remains positioned over the PacNW region with relatively weak flow aloft set to establish over the SW CONUS. During the midweek period, a rex block is still progged to position over CA and the Baja peninsula as mid/upper level troughing deepens once again over the eastern half of the continent, with guidance then in poor agreement regarding how the block and corresponding upstream pattern resolves heading into next weekend. In general, this pattern will favor a continuation of dry and relatively warm weather across our region through the upcoming week. Monday will be quite warm with highs about 10 to 15 degrees above normal, followed by a brief and modest cooldown behind a few weak cold fronts Tuesday into Wednesday. Above normal temperatures then return for the late week period, with precipitation chances remaining near zero through the end of next week.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 523 PM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

VFR with light winds. An area of IFR stratus about 30W-NW of PVW should remain outside of the terminal overnight before dissipating by Sunday morning.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.