textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1201 AM CDT Sat May 2 2026

- Light frost may be possible in the extreme southwestern Texas Panhandle Saturday morning.

- Temperatures will warm this weekend and through the week with mostly dry conditions. A slight chance of storms is possible Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Sunday) Issued at 1036 PM CDT Fri May 1 2026

Skies will gradually clear overnight tonight, especially off the Caprock, as today's system departs to the east. Along with light northerly winds, chilly lows are expected, falling into the mid 30s across the northern South Plains and far SW Panhandle. Winds will switch out of the SW during the day Saturday, but remain very light. Nonetheless, highs will recover from today, generally reaching the low-to-mid 70s. Quiet conditions will persist overnight into Sunday. An upper ridge axis and increase SW surface flow to near 20 mph will bring highs into the upper 70s to mid 80s under mostly sunny skies. In short, will be a great weekend to get outdoors!

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 1036 PM CDT Fri May 1 2026

Shortwaves moving over the Rockies will lead to the development of low pressure to our north and consequently more breezy westerly winds across the area Monday. Temperatures will further warm as a result with highs in the mid 80s on the Caprock and mid 90s off the Caprock. Some thicker cirrus may develop, but otherwise no precipitation is expected. A stronger upper low will dig into the Rockies on Tuesday. As it transitions from being cutoff over central California to merging with the main flow pattern, it will become very positively tilted and much of the best PVA/forcing will therefore be well downstream of its axis outside of our area. However, if it tracks far enough south, we could see an increase in SW moisture advection and along with favorable upper/lower jet dynamics over portions of the area, convective development cannot completely be ruled out. As of now, this would generally favor the far southern Panhandle, however confidence remains low. NBM dewpoints remain around 40. Winds will veer northerly Wednesday and temperatures will be slightly cooler. The aforementioned trough will finally completely move trough the area by evening and some lingering backside showers may be possible over the far southern Panhandle. A ridge thereafter looks to keep conditions dry into late next week.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1201 AM CDT Sat May 2 2026

VFR is expected through the TAF period with light winds swinging around to the southwest Saturday afternoon.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.