textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1148 PM CST Fri Nov 7 2025

- Breezy to windy conditions and cooler temperatures expected Saturday.

- Cooler Sunday with sub-freezing lows area-wide Monday morning, then gradually warming through mid-week.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Sunday) Issued at 1148 PM CST Fri Nov 7 2025

Water vapor channel imagery highlights broadly cyclonic flow aloft in place over most of the northern half of the CONUS, which is set to amplify considerably over the next 24 hours as a closed upper low over Hudson Bay deepens and expands southward and ridging builds over the CA coast. As this occurs, an additional shortwave trough moving southeastward over the Dakotas will help drive a dry cold front southward through the region, with the front progged to enter the southern TX Panhandle by mid-morning and exit into the Permian Basin by early afternoon. Solidly breezy conditions are expected across the region today, with post-frontal north to northeast winds sustained around 20 mph likely to continue throughout the afternoon hours. Highs will range from the low to mid 60s over northern portions of the Caprock to mid 70s over southern portions of the forecast area. This evening, winds will gradually weaken as the surface pressure gradient relaxes, with a clear and cool overnight period expected with lows mainly in the 30s.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 1148 PM CST Fri Nov 7 2025

A deep upper trough will descend southward and overspread the entire eastern half of CONUS on Sunday. While our area will be on its western edge, an associated surface cold front and northerly winds both aloft and at the surface will bring high temperatures down by about 10-15 degrees from today's highs. Much of the area will struggle to reach 60, although sunny skies will prevail with the dry airmass. The trough will begin to depart eastward Monday, however northerlies aloft will persist between the trough and a building ridge and temperatures will only modestly recover. Upper ridging will become established over much of the western half of the country by Tuesday and the cold airmass will finally depart. As such, a warm and dry pattern is expected from then on through the remainder of next week, with highs generally in the mid 70s to low 80s and mostly sunny skies. Generally light south winds will continue over this period.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1148 PM CST Fri Nov 7 2025

VFR will continue through the next 24 hours. Light winds are set to continue overnight and will increase slightly and turn westerly just after sunrise. A cold front will then pass southward through the region during the mid to late morning hours, with strong post- frontal north to northeast winds continuing through the afternoon. Gusts in excess of 30 kt will be possible at all TAF sites. Winds will gradually decrease this evening.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.