textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1115 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

- Sunny but chilly rest of today.

- Gradual warming trend beginning Sunday and continues through much of the work week.

- Multiple FROPAs expected through the latter half of next week.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Sunday) Issued at 1115 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

The rest of today and into Sunday will be mild and quiet. The breezy northerly winds have started to decrease across the region and are expected to continue as the pressure gradient weakens through today. Surface ridging and northerly surface flow will keep temperatures cooler today with highs just below seasonal normal in the upper 40s to lower 50s. Northwesterly flow aloft will prevail through the rest of today and overnight as our region sits between an upper low translating over the Great Lakes region and a secondary low sitting just south of the Desert Southwest. Another clear and cold night is in store with lows in the lower to mid 20s on the Caprock and upper 20s to lower 30s off the Caprock. Sunday will be the start to a gradual warming trend expected through next week. The upper low over the Great Lakes region will track east toward NE CONUS while the secondary upper low remains spinning over NW Mexico bringing mostly zonal flow aloft. Light northerly winds will continue through Sunday morning and early afternoon, however will shift to the southwest by late Sunday afternoon as the surface ridging breaks down. Mostly clear skies and slight height increases will warm highs a few degrees compared to Saturday with highs in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 1115 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

The warming trend that is expected to begin Sunday will continue through much of next week. An upper low sitting over NW Mexico will push east across the U.S./Mexico border reaching central Texas by Tuesday before getting absorbed into northerly flow of an amplifying upper trough over central CONUS by mid-week. Concurrently, a blocking pattern will set up over the Pacific, just off the coast of California. The upper low will pass just south of our region, therefore are not expecting any weather impacts. Northwesterly flow aloft will prevail through next weekend as the upper trough and blocking pattern look to remain stagnant through the long term. The amplifying upper trough will push a front through the region Wednesday bringing breezy northerly winds and cooler temperatures. NBM looks to be underplaying winds for Wednesday and overestimating high temperatures for Thursday compared to MOS guidance, however as this is still a few days out, will keep NBM as is, however can expect changes for future forecast packages. A secondary front is progged to push through the region late Thursday to early Friday, possibly cooling temperatures to below seasonal normal through the weekend.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1115 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. Breezy northerly winds will continue to weaken through the afternoon and will remain light overnight into Sunday.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.