textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 129 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026

- Unseasonably hot weather will continue each day through the weekend with new record highs possible through Sunday.

- Elevated to critical fire danger is possible Saturday and Sunday.

- A brief cooldown is expected Monday before above normal temperatures return next week.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Friday) Issued at 129 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026

Hot and dry conditions will persist the rest of today through Friday. The upper high currently over Arizona, clearly distinguishable on WV imagery, will remain mostly stationary through Friday evening. A surface trough is currently moving through our northern zones as off noon and is bringing a wind shift with winds on the north side of the trough being northerly and winds south of the trough being southwesterly. Despite winds being out of the north, there is nothing cold about the wind shift. We will still see highs reach into the 90s area wide today. Warm afternoon temps will help to translate to warm overnight lows, upper 40s to mid 50s. Little will change with the pattern Friday with a nearly identical day expected with the exception of highs possibly being a degree or two warmer over today's highs.

LONG TERM

(Friday night through next Wednesday) Issued at 129 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026

The upper high will slowly push eastward through the weekend and will result in afternoon highs reaching the mid/upper 90s on the Caprock and around 100 off the Caprock by Saturday. Some relief from the heat should be on the way starting Sunday afternoon. The upper high will quickly flatten by Sunday afternoon and will be followed by a cold during the late afternoon into the evening. The timing of the front will determine how warm afternoon highs will be Sunday. Currently highs are still expected to range from 90-100 across the FA. Monday will hold a different story as the cold front will keep afternoon highs in the 70s. This will be very short lived as the upper high will be out for revenge and will build over the Desert Southwest once again by Tuesday but will be in a weaker state, H589 vs the current H596. It is expected to move eastward through mid week before flattening once again by late next week.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 110 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026

VFR conditions will prevail this TAF period. Winds will be light and variable at all three TAF sites.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.