textproduct: Lubbock
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1229 AM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026
- Cooler and very windy Wednesday behind a morning cold front.
- Warm and dry through the weekend, with a cool-down early next week.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Thursday) Issued at 1059 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026
Westerly winds will turn northward early Wednesday morning as a cold front pushes through the area. These will quickly increase as the pressure gradient tightens between a ~1030 high in the lee of the Rockies and a 1010 mb low to our south. A Wind Advisory remains in effect for the entire forecast area from 9 AM to 7 PM Wednesday, with sustained winds up to 40 mph and gusts to 50 mph. These should peak around the noon hour. Temperatures will subsequently fall into the 60s. Winds will diminish through the evening before becoming light and variable overnight into Thursday morning. Northwesterly flow aloft combined with a developing strong surface high pressure and breezy SW surface winds will bring a return of warmer conditions, with highs generally in the low 70s.
LONG TERM
(Thursday night through next Tuesday) Issued at 1059 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026
Upper flow will become more zonal Friday and Saturday with a significant warm up in store. Light west winds will turn north and then become light and variable. Highs in the low-to-mid 80s are expected. Downsloping due westerly winds will persist on Saturday and significantly above-average highs will occur. Lubbock may see its first 90 degree day of the year (easily beating the old record of 86), with mid 90s possible off the Caprock. A cold front will move through Sunday with westerly winds veering northeasterly by the afternoon. Easterly winds will continue into Monday with a large drop in temperatures. Highs will struggle to get out of the 50s in many areas. The cool down however will be short lived as a strong ridge will begin to build in from the west Tuesday into mid-next week. No precipitation is expected.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1229 AM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026
Modest west to northwest winds will continue overnight ahead of the arrival of a strong cold front just prior to 12z. Behind the front, very strong north winds with gusts ranging from 40 to 50 kt are expected to continue through the rest of the day, eventually beginning to weaken this evening. There is nonzero potential for visibility restrictions from BLDU, but confidence in any specifics is too low for TAF mention at this time, and VFR is currently expected to prevail.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Wind Advisory from 9 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ021>044.
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