textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1201 PM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

- Cooler temperatures through Monday.

- Warmer and windy, with possible elevated to critical fire weather conditions Wednesday and Thursday.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Sunday) Issued at 1201 PM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

The cold front has pushed through the FA on schedule this morning, leaving cooler temps and breezy winds in its wake. Winds will gradually decrease from west to east as the surface pressure gradient relaxes this afternoon. Winds will become light and variable after sunset as broad surface ridging takes hold, and this will help overnight lows to drop into the 20s area wide. Winds will veer to the south by mid day Sunday as surface riding moves to the east and lee surface troughing develops across Colorado and New Mexico ahead of an upper ridge. Veering of the surface winds should hold off long enough to allow highs to remain in the 50s Sunday. Wind speeds should generally remain around 15 mph or less through the day Sunday.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 1201 PM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

Northwesterly upper flow will dominate the FA through Tuesday as upper ridging dominates the western CONUS. The upper flow will begin to gradually flatten Tuesday as a progressive shortwave trough moves across the Pacific Northwest into Big Sky country. A second, more subtle shortwave will move across the Four Corners Tuesday afternoon, ahead of which a surface low will develop. This surface low is progged to move from northeastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle Saturday afternoon/evening. This could create low end windy conditions Tuesday afternoon into early Wednesday morning and lead to elevated fire weather conditions. The aforementioned upper shortwave across the Big Sky country is progged to push a cold front southward across the Great Plains mid week, moving through the FA by late Wednesday into early Thursday. Windy conditions seem more likely with this front as pressure rises behind the front are progged around 15 mb in 6 hours, with winds subsiding by Thursday afternoon as surface high pressure moves across the region. The front should help cool highs from the 80s on Wednesday to the 60s/low 70s Thursday. Warmer temps will return by late week ahead of another potential cold front bringing additional windy conditions and cool temperatures.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1116 AM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

VFR condition expected for the next 24 hours. N-NE winds 15G25KT expected through at least 03Z followed by VRB05KT at all three terminals.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.