textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1248 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

- Warm and quiet tonight with low-end breezy winds.

- Generally hot and dry through the end of the week with low thunderstorm chances.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Monday) Issued at 1248 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

After many days of needed convection, quiet mosquito growing weather will take hold of the region. Upper ridging is filling in behind the exiting upper shortwave and will leave behind mostly clear skies. Surface lee troughing is helping to keep winds out of the south, though winds are averaging around 10 mph or less thanks to a relatively relaxed gradient. The surface gradient will begin to tighten slightly overnight as the lee trough transitions to a surface low just to our north and, with the LLJ, will help increase winds to the southwest around 15-20 mph. The increase in wind (and higher surface moisture) will keep overnight lows mild, mid to upper 60s on the Caprock and low to mid 70s off the Caprock. The surface low will mostly remain in place through Monday as the upper ridge axis moves east of the region, leaving southwesterly upper flow overhead. Afternoon mixing will allow for slightly breezier southwest winds. Monday afternoon highs will be a degree or two warmer than today. CAMs have begun to show convection along the dryline Monday afternoon as it sets up just to our west, with come convection moving across our western zones. Models are mixed with convective development, and most keep convection weak at best as better lift and surface convergence will be to our north across the central and northern Texas Panhandle. We will keep any mention out of the forecast at this time as confidence is low.

LONG TERM

(Monday night through next Saturday) Issued at 1248 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

Weak southwest upper flow will dominate Tuesday as we remain between the base of an upper trough to the west and broad upper ridge to our east. The upper ridge will begin to be overtaken by the upper trough by late Tuesday and will flatten by mid week. While upper flow will still be mostly unfavorable for mountain convection to push into the FA late Tuesday, it will be improved over southwesterly upper flow and a few storms could briefly make it into our northwestern zones before dissipating. Weak zonal flow will remain in place late week into the weekend. While overall storm chances or low, there will be the potential for at least isolated diurnal storms each afternoon and evening.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1248 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

VFR. LLWS is expected at all sites toward midnight and continuing through the pre-dawn hours.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.