textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1222 AM CDT Wed Jul 29 2026

- Triple digit temperatures continue through Friday before a slight cool down over the weekend.

- Chance of thunderstorms return Friday and Saturday.

- Hot triple digit temperatures return early next week.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Thursday) Issued at 1037 PM CDT Tue Jul 28 2026

Although it is a couple hours past sunset, current surface obs indicate temperatures across the region are still in the mid 80s to lower 90s. Temperatures will continue to cool with lows reaching the upper 60s across the far southwestern Texas Panhandle to upper 70s across the southern Rolling Plains.The rest of the overnight period will be quiet with mostly clear skies. Current surface observations indicate winds are from the southeast in response to a surface low across southeastern CO. This surface trough will gradually shift to the east across the Central Plains shifting winds to the southwest by early Wednesday morning. Another surface trough will develop across southern CO and northern NM early Wednesday afternoon shifting winds back to the southeast. Sadly, the ever present upper ridging that resulted in the very hot temperatures the past few days will prevail through Wednesday. Although temperatures will be hot, they will be a few degrees cooler compared to today. High temperatures will reach the upper 90s across the southern South Plains and up to 106 across the far southeastern Texas Panhandle. A Heat Advisory is in effect for 1 PM to 9 PM Wednesday for the far southeastern Texas Panhandle and portions of the Rolling Plains. Highs in that area are expected to reach up to 107 degrees. Subsidence below the ridging will keep precipitation chances near zero.

LONG TERM

(Thursday night through next Tuesday) Issued at 1037 PM CDT Tue Jul 28 2026

Hot temperatures are expected to continue through the long term forecast. The upper ridging mentioned in the short term discussion will remain stagnant across the southwestern CONUS at least through Friday. Heat Advisory high temperatures will be possible, especially off the Caprock, both Thursday and Friday. Therefore, can expect Heat Advisories in the future. An upper pattern change and frontal passage this weekend will bring precipitation chances and slightly cooler temperatures, although only by a few degrees. An upper trough across New England will move away as a secondary upper trough begins to amplify as it translates across the Midwest later in the week. As this upper trough amplifies, the upper ridging will get pushed farther west, although the eastern edge of the upper ridge will remain above the FA. At the same time, the upper trough will swing a weak front through the region Friday. This will "cool" temperatures over the weekend, however highs will remain in the mid 90s to lower 100s over the weekend. NBM has backed off on precipitation chances with thunderstorm chances for Thursday mostly to the north of the CWA. However chances for thunderstorms, mainly on the Caprock, remain forecasted for Friday and Saturday. The upper ridging will push back east across the forecast area early next week bringing triple digit temperatures and dry conditions again.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1222 AM CDT Wed Jul 29 2026

VFR and generally light winds will persist at all sites. Some very isolated -SHRA may develop closer to sunrise, but no impacts are currently expected.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 9 PM CDT this evening for TXZ025-026-031-032-037-038.