textproduct: Lubbock

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1204 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

- Showers and thunderstorms through the early morning hours.

- Generally hot and dry through the end of the week.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Monday) Issued at 1049 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

Showers and thunderstorms will continue tracking across portions of the area for the next few hours, with brief strong winds possible. Skies will gradually clear thereafter through the overnight with morning lows falling into the upper 50s to mid 60s. An upper ridge will begin building on Sunday leading to warming temperatures into the mid 90s. The HRRR continues to indicated developing convection over the southern South Plains by late afternoon. However, the atmosphere will be capped due to the aforementioned ridge and upper flow will be very weak. Thus PoPs have been capped at 20%. The upper ridge continues to build into Monday with increased upper heights bringing even warmer temperatures near triple-digits.

LONG TERM

(Monday night through next Saturday) Issued at 1049 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

A broad upper trough will move into the Intermountain West on Tuesday. The ridge still has the majority of the influence through the day with hot and dry conditions persisting, however if the base of the trough tracks far enough south, it may bring enough forcing to bring some brief showers and thunderstorms over the far southern Panhandle and northern South Plains. In any case, severe weather remains unlikely. The trough will become more shallow is it tracks over the Great Plains and flow over our area will become very zonal through Friday. A few embedded shortwaves may lead to additional thunderstorm development during the afternoon/evening, however chances remain quite low overall. More potent shortwaves look to move through Friday and Saturday potentially leading to a more active pattern over that time frame.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1204 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the TAF period. Some IFR clouds will be possible around KCDS early Sunday morning, however ceilings are expected to remain VFR. Patchy fog will be possible around KCDS and KPVW, however the uncertainty of it impacting either terminal is low at the moment, therefore left out of TAF. Light southerly winds will prevail overnight through Sunday morning. Winds will shift to the southwest and ramp up through Sunday afternoon.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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