textproduct: Lubbock

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1147 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026

- Above seasonal normal temperatures and dry conditions continue through the weekend. - Upper patter change could bring daily precipitation chances beginning Tuesday.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Saturday) Issued at 1033 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026

Current water vapor imagery shows the persistent upper ridging remains overhead while an upper trough sits well off the coast of California keeping mostly zonal flow aloft. The upper ridging will keep conditions dry and temperatures above normal. Another quiet and cool overnight is expected. Lows will reach the lower 50s across the far southwestern Texas Panhandle to lower 60s across the southern Rolling Plains. Light and variable winds will persist overnight. Friday will be another sunny and pleasant day. Temperatures will warm to the 80s across the Caprock to upper 80s to lower 90s for areas off the Caprock. Winds are expected to remain light through the day, however by late morning, winds will shift to the southwest as a broad lee trough develops across the Central Plains. The lee trough is expected to tighten through the afternoon shifting surface winds to the south. Subsidence below the upper ridging will keep precipitation chances near zero.

LONG TERM

(Saturday night through next Thursday) Issued at 1033 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026

The long term forecast will start off with a couple more days of warm temperatures and dry conditions. Upper ridging will persist overhead through the weekend. This will keep temperatures in the 80s to 90s everyday. At the same time, the upper trough off the coast of California will get absorbed into northerly flow as a secondary upper trough tracks south along the western coast. Concurrently, an upper low will develop just east of Texas and shift northeast towards New England. As these upper systems progress, upper ridging will remain sandwiched between the two upper systems sitting just over the region. By early next week, the upper trough off the western coast will move onshore across SoCal into the Desert Southwest. This will shift flow aloft to the southwest, ushering in plenty of subtropical moisture. Previous model runs indicated a tropical storm would move up the coast of Mexico, aiding in the influx of moisture to our region, however models have backed off on that progression completely. The increase in moisture and multiple passing shortwaves will bring daily precipitation chances beginning Tuesday. Currently, shower and thunderstorm chances remain on the Caprock on Tuesday and become more widespread through the rest of the week. With cloudy skies and daily precipitation chances, we will also see a cool down with highs reaching as low as lower 70s across the far southwestern Texas Panhandle.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1147 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026

VFR and light winds will continue.

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.