textproduct: Los Angeles

SYNOPSIS

02/1247 PM.

A weak low pressure system will bring cooler weather Sunday with a chance of drizzle or light showers Monday and Tuesday with some gusty winds at times. Dry and warmer conditions can be expected Wednesday through next weekend.

LONG TERM (TUE-FRI)

02/143 PM.

With the upper low exiting the area Tuesday night a warming trend will follow and continue into the weekend. This will coincide with some light offshore flow from the north and east providing an additional boost in high temperatures. Most areas will see at least 4-8 degrees of warming Wednesday and again Thursday then leveling off Friday and through next weekend. By then highs will range from the upper 60s and 70s near the coast to the lower 90s in the warmer valleys. Could be looking at inland highs close to 100 late next weekend into the following week assuming models continue to favor a strong ridge over the West coast.

AVIATION

02/2351Z.

At 2323Z at KLAX, the marine layer was 1100 feet deep. The top of the inversion was 2900 ft with a temperature of 21 C.

High confidence CAVU conditions for KWJF and KPMD.

Moderate confidence in remaining TAFs. Timing of flight cat changes could be off +/- 3 hours from current forecast, and by one cat at times.

KLAX...Moderate confidence in TAF. Timing of flight category changes could be off +/- 3 hours from current forecast. There is a 30% chance of BKN007 CIGs (likely brief if occurs) 03Z-09Z Sun. 2000 ft CIG threshold likely to be approach by 03/12Z. No significant easterly wind component is expected.

KBUR...Moderate confidence in TAF. Timing of flight category changes could be off +/- 3 hours from current forecast. There is a 20% chance of cigs as low as OVC008 or vsby as low as 2SM between 10Z-14Z Sun.

MARINE

02/133 PM.

For the Outer Waters, today through Monday, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below Small Craft Advisory (SCA) levels. For Tuesday and Wednesday, there is a 30-50% chance of SCA level winds, especially south of Point Conception.

For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, today through Monday, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA levels. For Tuesday and Wednesday, there is a 30-40% chance of SCA level winds in the afternoon and evening hours.

For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, today through Monday, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA levels. On Tuesday, there is a 30-50% chance of SCA level winds. On Wednesday, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA levels for most areas except a 20% chance of SCA level winds across the western half of the Santa Barbara Channel.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CA...NONE. PZ...NONE.