textproduct: Los Angeles

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

SYNOPSIS

02/119 PM.

Small chance of very light rain for the Central Coast Tuesday. Otherwise mostly dry conditions with a general warming trend and periods of offshore winds expected through the week. Warmest and windiest conditions likely Friday-Sunday.

LONG TERM (FRI-MON)

02/119 PM.

The long term period will be characterized by ridging and more expansive Santa Ana Winds, bringing warm, dry, and windy conditions to the region. Winds will likely descend to coastal areas such as the Ventura County coastal plain and Malibu. While these winds will likely reach more locations, wind speeds are still favored to remain just a touch below advisory levels across most areas. However, if upper level support increases some, surface level winds could reach advisory levels.

Temperatures will increase under the influence of the downslope warming effect of the Santa Ana Winds, especially at the coasts. At this point there is an increasing risk of moderate heat related illnesses for coastal areas Saturday and Sunday when warmest temperatures are expected, thus Heat Advisories may be needed.

AVIATION

02/1843Z.

At 18Z at KLAX, there was no marine layer nor an inversion.

High confidence in 18Z TAFs, except moderate confidence for KSMX/KSBP/KPRB with 30-50% chance of low MVFR to IFR cigs 10-18Z and 10-20% of -dz or -shra.

KLAX...High confidence in TAF. VFR conditions will prevail. Good confidence in any east wind component remaining below 8 kt and likely under 6 kt.

KBUR...High confidence in VFR TAF..

MARINE

02/1043 AM.

There is a 40-80% chance (highest southern waters, especially point conception to near Channel Islands) for SCA conds developing Tuesday afternoon and continuing into Wednesday. Finally, over portions of the outer waters, SCA winds may persist through Thursday or Friday.

SCA level seas of 8-12 feet are possible at times Wednesday through the weekend focused across the outer and northern waters.

SCA level offshore winds may develop this weekend, most notably offshore of the coastline from Malibu to Ventura

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CA...Beach Hazards Statement in effect until 6 PM PST this evening for zones 354-362-366. (See LAXCFWLOX). PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect from 1 PM Tuesday to 4 AM PST Wednesday for zones 650-655. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect from 8 AM Wednesday to 8 AM PST Thursday for zone 670. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect from 1 PM Tuesday to 8 AM PST Thursday for zones 673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).


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