textproduct: Los Angeles
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
SYNOPSIS
22/201 PM.
Hotter than normal conditions will continue through at least early next week, especially starting Thursday. The hot daytime and warm night conditions will bring elevated risks for heat illness. Thursday through Sunday will generally be the hottest of the next seven days. Gusty north winds will affect some areas through Friday.
LONG TERM (SUN-WED)
23/308 AM.
The upper high will begin to move back east on Sunday. More importantly there will be an increase in the onshore flow and possible return of some morning low clouds across the csts. The low but non-zero threat of monsoon convection will remain over the mtns. Max temps will drop a few degrees but advisory level heat will continue.
Hgts fall some on Monday as the upper high continues to move to the east. Onshore flow continues to increase. This will bring a few more degree of cooling. There may be enough cooling to consider dropping a few areas from the heat advisories, but for now its prudent to leave them all in through Monday evening.
More cooling on Tuesday should be enough to eliminate the heat threat. By next Wednesday highs will still be above normal but only by 3 to 5 degrees.
Mdls remain consistent showing another round of heat developing at the end of next week.
AVIATION
23/1010Z.
At 0822Z at KLAX, the marine layer was 800 ft deep. The top of the inversion was at 2300 ft with a max temperature of 27 C.
High confidence in VFR TAFs for KPMD, KWJF, KBUR, & KVNY.
Moderate confidence in TAFs for KSMX and KSBP. VFR transition could be off by 1 hour.
Fair confidence in the remainder of the TAFs with a 25 percent chc of IFR/LIFR conds 12Z-16Z.
KLAX...Fair confidence in TAF. There is a 25% chance of OVC004 conds 12Z-16Z. No significant east wind component expected.
KBUR...High confidence in TAF.
MARINE
23/210 AM.
Widespread Small Craft Advisory (SCA) NW winds will likely continue through the weekend across the Outer Waters, with seas nearing 10 ft at times. There is a 30% chance of Gale Force wind gusts this afternoon and evening across the Outer Waters. SCA winds will spread into the nearshore waters along the Central Coast and SB Channel at times through the forecast period.
BEACHES
23/210 AM.
A long period, southern hemisphere swell will arrive later this week and will add to the continuing swell from Hurricane Fausto.
As a result, Beach Hazard Statements for Los Angeles and Ventura county coastlines remain in effect through the weekend. Refer to CFWLOX & SRFLOX for more details.
The Eastern Pacific looks to remain active over the next couple of weeks. This could result in additional southerly swells to impact the coastline.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...Heat Advisory remains in effect until 8 PM PDT Monday for zones 38-88-342>345-348-351>353-355>358-368>382-548. (See LAXNPWLOX). Heat Advisory now in effect until 8 PM PDT Monday for zones 349-350. (See LAXNPWLOX). Wind Advisory remains in effect until 6 AM PDT early this morning for zones 349-351-352. (See LAXNPWLOX). Beach Hazards Statement in effect through Sunday evening for zones 354-362-366. (See LAXCFWLOX). Heat Advisory in effect from 10 AM this morning to 8 PM PDT Monday for zones 354-362-366-367. (See LAXNPWLOX). Extreme Heat Warning in effect from 10 AM this morning to 8 PM PDT Monday for zone 383. (See LAXNPWLOX). PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect from noon today to 3 AM PDT Saturday for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Friday for zone 650. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect from 3 PM this afternoon to 9 PM PDT this evening for zone 655. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Saturday for zones 670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).
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