textproduct: Los Angeles

SYNOPSIS

07/824 PM.

Benign weather will continue through the weekend with a chance of morning low clouds and fog along the Los Angeles coast. A warming trend will continue this week with well above normal temperatures Monday through next Friday, peaking Tuesday through Thursday. Offshore winds will increase Monday into Tuesday, and are expected to persist through much of the week.

LONG TERM (THU-SUN)

07/1258 PM.

Overall, the 12Z models have the same broad idea, but differ in the details. However, the differences will have minimal impact on the overall sensible weather.

Through the period, the upper level ridge is forecast to weaken. At the surface, the offshore flow will weaken with weak diurnal flow expected by the weekend. So, will anticipate a slight and gradual cool down through the period with a decrease in northeasterly winds. By the weekend, there is a decent chance that the marine layer stratus/fog will return to the coastal plain. Overall, just rather benign weather through next week.

AVIATION

08/0637Z.

At 0525Z at KLAX, the marine layer was 500 feet deep. The top of the inversion was 1800 feet with a temperature of 20 C.

High confidence in TAFs for KPRB, KSBP, KSMX, KCMA, KBUR, KVNY, KPMD and KWJF.

Fair confidence in TAFs for KSBA, KOXR with a 15 percent chc of LIFR conds 10Z-16Z.

Moderate confidence in TAFs for KSMO, KLGB (30 percent chc of LIFR conds 10Z-16Z) and KLAX (25 percent chc of no low clouds)

KLAX...Moderate confidence in TAF. There is a 25 percent chance of VFR conds persisting through the period. If low clouds do arrive they could arrive any time between 08Z-12Z. Any easterly winds will be less than 7 knots.

KBUR...High confidence in CAVU TAF.

MARINE

07/839 PM.

For the outer waters, there is a 40-60% chance of low-end Small Craft Advisory (SCA) conditions through the week, especially across the western portions of the waters north of Santa Cruz Island during the afternoon and evening hours.

For the inner waters including the southern California bight and the nearshore waters along the Central Coast, there is a 30-50% of local northeast SCA level wind gusts from Ventura to Santa Monica as well as from Pismo Beach to Point Piedras Blancas each night and morning through Tuesday, and a 30% chance of reoccurring on Wednesday. Otherwise, winds and seas should remain below SCA levels.

There is a moderate chance of dense fog over the coastal waters through Monday morning. Confidence remains low on timing and coverage.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CA...NONE. PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PST Tuesday for zones 670-673. (See LAXMWWLOX).