textproduct: Los Angeles

SYNOPSIS

01/103 PM.

Quiet weather with near seasonal temperatures will prevail through at least Saturday. A cooling trend will begin Sunday and there is a chance of drizzle or light rain showers late Sunday into Monday. Dry and warmer conditions can be expected starting next Wednesday.

LONG TERM (TUE-FRI)

01/205 PM.

Cool conditions will continue into at least Tuesday as models are indicating the upper low finally getting nudged east. Although most of the ensemble solutions slightly favor Monday as the "best" chance of any precip, Tuesday may actually have a higher chance due to higher moisture content (increasing to 0.8") and slightly better instability with low passing overhead. This isn't really reflected in the current forecast mainly due to lots of uncertainty with the precise track of the low, but certainly can't rule out some scattered light showers Tuesday.

A weak high pressure ridge is expected to move over the West coast by later Wednesday and last more or less into next weekend with warming temperatures, possibly getting close to 90 in the warmer valleys by Friday.

AVIATION

01/2331Z.

At 2234Z at KLAX, the marine layer was 1300 feet deep. The top of the inversion was 3400 ft with a temperature of 21 C.

Overall, moderate confidence in 00Z TAF Package.

Timing of CIG/VSBY restrictions may be off +/- 3 hours and minimums by one category. Excluding KWJF & KPMD where CAVU conds are expected.

KLAX...Moderate confidence in TAF. Timing of flight category changes could be +/- 3 hours from current forecast. There is a 30% chance of cigs as low as OVC006 between 07Z-15Z Saturday. Similar chances that CIGs persist through the fcst period. No significant easterly wind component is expected.

KBUR...Moderate confidence in TAF. Timing of flight category changes could be +/- 3 hours from current forecast. There is a 20% chance of cigs as low as OVC004 between 10Z-16Z Sat.

MARINE

01/225 PM.

For the Outer Waters, high confidence in current forecast. Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level winds will occur across the most northwestern portion into tonight. Otherwise through Tuesday, winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA levels.

For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, high confidence in current forecast. Today through Tuesday, winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA levels.

For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, high confidence in current forecast. Today through Sunday, winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA levels. For Tuesday and Wednesday, winds and seas are expected to continue to remain below SCA levels, but there is a 20% chance of SCA level winds in the afternoon and evening hours.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CA...NONE. PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Saturday for zone 670. (See LAXMWWLOX).