textproduct: Los Angeles

SYNOPSIS

09/813 PM.

Cool conditions will continue through Tuesday. A significant warm up is expected to start on Wednesday, likely lasting well into next week.

LONG TERM (FRI-MON)

09/249 PM.

The offshore flow weakens some on Friday - enough to lower the morning offshore winds some, but not enough to affect temps, which will end up very close to Thursday's very warm values.

Over the weekend the ridge will break down while the offshore flow from the north will weaken and the onshore push to the east will increase. Look for a couple of degrees of cooling each day with max temps remaining well above normal with moderate heat impacts potentially continuing through the weekend and even well into next week away from the coast. In fact another more significant round of heat is possible by the middle part of next week.

No rain on the horizon through at least 10 days.

AVIATION

10/0221Z.

At 2240Z, there was no marine layer and no inversion.

High to moderate confidence in VFR TAFs through this afternoon. Low confidence in min flight cats and timing of marine layer return, especially for coastal TAFs from KSBA southward. There is a 30% chance for VLIFR to LIFR conds at KPRB, KSBP, and KSMX once cigs arrive tonight. Arrival of cigs may be off +/- 4 hours.

KLAX...High confidence in VFR TAF through at least 00Z. Then moderate confidence in cigs returning tonight, but low confidence in timing (+/- 4 hours from TAF). There is a 50% chance for IFR conds when cigs are present. Any east wind component is expected to remain below 6-8 kt.

KBUR...High confidence in VFR TAF through at least 06Z. 40% chance for no cigs tonight. Timing of arrival may be off +/- 4 hours, and 40% chance for LIFR conds, 10% chance for VLIFR.

MARINE

09/822 PM.

For the waters southwest through northwest of the Channel Islands and the nearshore waters along the Central Coast, marginal SCA level winds will occur beyond 30 NM offshore of the Central Coast to around Point Conception and continue through early Thursday morning. More widespread SCA conditions will develop from each afternoon and evening with a moderate to high (30-50 percent) chance of affecting the nearshore waters along the Central Coast, highest Tuesday afternoon and evening.

Inside the southern California bight, winds and seas should remain below SCA level through the period, except for a moderate (30-40 percent) chance of SCA level west to northwest winds developing across the Santa Monica Bay and into the San Pedro Channel, and in the Santa Barbara Channel, on Wednesday afternoon and evening.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CA...Wind Advisory in effect from 5 PM Tuesday to 9 AM PDT Wednesday for zones 352-353-376>378-381. (See LAXNPWLOX). PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Thursday for zones 670-673. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Tuesday for zone 676. (See LAXMWWLOX).