textproduct: Los Angeles

SYNOPSIS

19/830 PM.

A cooling trend will continue through mid week as an approaching storm brings a return to onshore flow. Light to moderate rain is expected late Monday into Tuesday, focused over San Luis Obispo County with minimal impacts. Widespread gusty west to northwest winds will follow Wednesday through Friday.

LONG TERM (THU-SUN)

19/214 PM.

Thursday and Friday will generally be free of any weather impacts with mostly clear skies and temperatures near to slightly below normal. This may continue through the weekend and into next week, however there are quite a few models indicating at least some very light rain, possibly as early as Saturday night along the Central Coast and Sunday morning in LA County. Most solutions show amounts under a quarter inch, and at least half of those, mainly south of Pt Conception, from nothing to a tenth of an inch.

AVIATION

19/2230Z.

At 2200Z at KLAX, the marine layer was 700 feet deep. The top of the inversion was 2300 feet with a temperature of 17 degrees Celsius.

For 00Z TAF package, high confidence in CAVU conditions for KPRB, KSBA, KBUR, KVNY, KPMD and KWJF.

For KSBP, there is a 30% chance of LIFR/VLIFR conditions 09Z-16Z.

For KSMX, KLAX, KSMO, KLGB, KOXR and KCMA, there is a 30-40% chance that CIG/VSBY restrictions do not develop. If they do arrive, timing could be +/- 3 hours of current forecast and flight categories could be off by 1-2 categories.

KLAX...Moderate confidence in 00Z TAF. There is a 30% chance that CIG/VSBY restrictions do not develop. If they do develop, timing of arrival could be +/- 3 hours of current 08Z forecast and flight category could be +/- 1 category from current forecast. No significant easterly wind component is expected.

KBUR...High confidence in 00Z TAF as CAVU condition are expected through the period.

MARINE

19/831 PM.

A storm system will move over the coastal waters Monday afternoon through Wednesday morning, bringing a chance of showers to much of the area. Cannot rule out a thunderstorm or two across the northern waters Tuesday morning.

SCA level southerly winds are expected to increase ahead of the cold front, and while SCA level winds are not forecast, there is a 20-30% chance that SCA gusts could occur at times Monday into Monday evening, and possibly again Tuesday afternoon. Tuesday evening winds will shift to the northwest behind the front, increasing to SCA level NW winds Wednesday afternoon. These winds will likely expand to include the majority of waters by Thursday afternoon. Wednesday night there is a 40% chance of Gale Force gusts over the southern waters, including portions of the nearshore waters inside the SoCal Bight, especially the Santa Barbara Channel. SCA winds may persist into the weekend at least for some waters.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CA...NONE. PZ...NONE.