textproduct: Los Angeles

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

SYNOPSIS

02/806 PM.

Significant warming is expected Friday through Sunday as gusty Santa Ana winds return. Winds will be strongest Friday and Saturday across Los Angeles and Ventura Counties. A cooling trend will begin Monday with temperatures back to near normal around mid week.

LONG TERM (MON-THU)

02/158 PM.

With onshore flow returning next week temperatures across coast and valleys will be cooling down, but building high pressure aloft Tuesday and Wednesday will keep temperatures at least 3-6 degrees above normal through mid week.

For the second half of the week, models are showing an approaching trough that could result in a return of light rain as early as next Wednesday night or as late as next Friday, but most likely Thursday or Thursday night. Most of the model solutions are under a third of an inch, but there are few as high as an inch.

AVIATION

03/0312Z.

At 0119Z at KLAX...there was no marine layer or marine inversion.

Overall...high confidence in 00Z TAFs as VFR conditions are expected for all sites through the period. Good confidence in gusty north to northeast winds, especially for KOXR, KCMA, KBUR and KVNY. Light LLWS and wind shear will be likely across the foothills and mountains.

KLAX...High confidence in 00Z TAF as VFR conditions are expected through the period. Brief north winds are possible around 05Z to 08Z. There is a 10% chance of an easterly wind component near 8 knots 15Z-21Z.

KBUR...High confidence in 00Z TAF as VFR conditions are expected through the period. With developing offshore flow, there is a chance of light LLWS and turbulence around the airfield after 15Z.

MARINE

02/805 PM.

For the Outer Waters, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. Through this morning, high confidence in a combination of Small Craft Advisory (SCA) winds and seas. From this afternoon through Sunday, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA levels. For Monday through Tuesday, there is a 50-70% chance of SCA level winds, especially over the southern zones from west of Point Conception down to San Nicolas Island (PZZ673-676).

For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. Today through Monday, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA levels. On Tuesday, there is a 50% chance of SCA level winds in the afternoon and evening hours.

For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, moderate confidence in current forecast. High confidence in SCA level northeast winds from Ventura south to Santa Monica today, with winds remaining below SCA levels elsewhere. For tonight and Saturday, there is a 50-70% chance of SCA level northeast winds from Ventura south to Santa Monica. For Sunday and Monday, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA levels. On Tuesday, there is a 50-70% chance of SCA level W-NW winds, mainly across western portions.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CA...Wind Advisory in effect from 8 AM to 2 PM PDT Friday for zones 88-354-355-358-371-372-374. (See LAXNPWLOX). Wind Advisory remains in effect until 11 PM PDT this evening for zones 349-351-381-383. (See LAXNPWLOX). Wind Advisory remains in effect until 5 AM PDT Friday for zones 352-353. (See LAXNPWLOX). High Wind Warning in effect from 6 AM to 6 PM PDT Friday for zones 369-375-379. (See LAXNPWLOX). Wind Advisory remains in effect until 6 AM PDT Friday for zones 375>378. (See LAXNPWLOX). Wind Advisory in effect from 6 AM to 6 PM PDT Friday for zone 380. (See LAXNPWLOX). PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Friday for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 PM PDT Friday for zones 650-655. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect until 9 AM PDT Friday for zones 670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).


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