textproduct: Los Angeles

SYNOPSIS

22/916 AM.

Showers with a chance of thunderstorms will continue today. A weak Santa Ana will develop in the storm's wake by the weekend for dry and warmer conditions.

LONG TERM (SUN-WED)

22/235 AM.

A low grade Santa Ana event will continue into next week continuing the dry and warmer pattern. Onshore flow is expected to return around mid week with temperatures returning to normal levels. There are some model solutions indicating a return of wet weather just after Halloween.

AVIATION

22/1754Z.

At 1715Z at KLAX, there was no marine layer nor an inversion.

Overall, moderate confidence in 18Z TAF package. Under any showers and thunderstorms MVFR conds is likely. Otherwise VFR conds are expected for the most part.

KLAX...Moderate confidence in 18Z TAF. Conditions should mostly remain VFR with MVFR possible at times. Isolated to widely scattered showers across the area through 23/18Z. Low chance of a thunderstorm or two (10-15%) through this afternoon. Good confidence that any east wind component remains below 8 kts.

KBUR...Moderate confidence in 18Z TAF. Isolated to widely scattered showers across the area through 23/12Z. Low chance of a thunderstorm or two (10-15%) through this afternoon. VFR CIGs expected except MVFR conds possible under any activity.

MARINE

22/848 AM.

For the Outer Waters, high confidence in current forecast. Gusty Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level winds likely at times before winds shift more to NW and become more widespread on Friday. For Saturday through Monday morning, winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA levels.

For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. There is a 30-40% chance of SCA level winds Friday afternoon and evening. Otherwise, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA levels through Monday morning.

For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. For today through Monday, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA levels for most areas. The only exception will be the western half of the Santa Barbara Channel with a 50-70% chance of SCA level winds late Friday afternoon and evening.

Through today, showers and isolated thunderstorms will impact all of the coastal waters. Any thunderstorms that develop will be capable of producing gusty/erratic winds, locally rough seas and even waterspouts.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CA...Flood Watch in effect until 6 PM PDT this evening for zones 348>353. (See LAXFFALOX). Beach Hazards Statement in effect through late tonight for zones 354-362-366. (See LAXCFWLOX). Flood Watch in effect until 4 PM PDT this afternoon for zones 362-369-370. (See LAXFFALOX). PZ...NONE.