textproduct: Los Angeles

SYNOPSIS

01/148 PM.

After a mostly dry day on Friday, periods of rain will return to southwest California Friday night through next Tuesday, heaviest on Saturday.

LONG TERM (MON-THU)

01/229 PM.

There is at least a 30% chance of lingering showers into Tuesday and even early Wednesday but for the time being it looks like any additional precip after Monday will be light with minimal impacts at most.

From Wednesday on it looks like southwest California could looking at least 10 days of dry weather and possibly as long as two weeks taking us into the middle of January.

AVIATION

01/1757Z.

At 17Z at KLAX, there was no marine layer nor an inversion.

Moderate confidence in the 18Z TAFs. Conds will vary between IFR to VFR thru about 22Z, vary between MVFR and VFR thru about 16Z Fri, then should be VFR at all airfields for the rest of the fcst period. The timing between flight cats may be off +/- 1 to 3 hours.

KLAX...Moderate confidence in the 18Z TAF. Cigs are expected to vary between MVFR and VFR thru about 05Z then should be VFR for the remainder of the fcst period except for a period of MVFR vsbys about 09Z-20Z. The timing between flight cats may be off +/- 1 to 2 hours. Moderate confidence in an east wind component up to 6 kt aft about 05Z this evening.

KBUR...Moderate confidence in the 18Z TAF. Cigs are expected to vary between MVFR and VFR thru about 23Z then should be VFR for the remainder of the fcst period except for a 30%-40% chance of MVFR conds at times. The timing between flight cats may be off +/- 1 to 2 hours.

MARINE

01/158 PM.

There will be a lull in the winds through tonight, but there is a 70-80% chance of additional SCA level southerly winds Friday into at least this weekend, highest north and west of Point Conception as a cold front moves through the area. There is a 30 percent chance of GALES north and west of Point Conception Friday night into Saturday. Periods of SCA level southerly winds will continue into early next week. Rough and hazardous short period seas will be common into early next week.

BEACHES

01/158 PM.

Abnormally large high tides between 6.7 and 7.5 feet MLLW will occur during the morning hours, roughly between 7 am and 10 am Friday through Sunday. The tides could combine with southerly winds at times to bring minor tidal overflows at area beaches. While the major threat would be from pooling from water over normally dry parking lots and walkways, building surf and strong rip currents could increase the risk of minor coastal flooding.

A Beach Hazards Statement has been issued through Sunday afternoon, but there is a 30-50% chance that a Coastal Flood Advisory and/or a High Surf Advisory could be needed over the weekend as another storm will likely generate moderate to strong winds and larger swell. While there is some uncertainty in timing of the highest surf, this would be the best chance for impacts such as shallow flooding of parking lots and roadways, some inundation of harbor walkways, and more significant beach erosion.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CA...Beach Hazards Statement in effect through Sunday afternoon for zones 87-340-346-349-350-354-362-366. (See LAXCFWLOX). PZ...NONE.