textproduct: Los Angeles

SYNOPSIS

16/1125 PM.

A stormy patter will continue for most of the week. There will be lulls in the shower activity this afternoon and most of Wednesday. Afternoon high temperatures will mostly be in the 50s through Thursday. Most of Friday and the weekend look dry with a warming trend.

LONG TERM (FRI-MON)

17/243 AM.

Fairly dry NW flow sets up over the state Thursday night and friday. While there is a slight chc of predawn showers and a small but non zero chc of a shower Friday morning, the days should be dry with skies turning mostly sunny by afternoon. 3 to 6 degrees of warming will bring most max temps into the lower 60s which is still 6 to 12 degrees blo normal.

Saturday will be the nicest day of the next 7 as a weak ridge passes overhead. It will be a mostly sunny and dry day. 3 to 6 degrees of warming will bring max temps up into the 60s.

Another large Gulf of Alaska system moves down and into the PACNW Sunday and bring moist cyclonic flow to Srn CA once again. The ensembles are all over the place and the forecast broad brushes 30-40 percent chances of rain across the entire area Sunday through Tuesday. This reflects mdl confusion and not a three day rain event. This system does not look like it has that much moisture to work with and rainfall amounts at this time do not look that impactful.

AVIATION

17/0617Z.

At 0522Z at KLAX, there was no marine layer or inversion.

Low to moderate confidence in TAFs. Numerous showers will bring frequent cig changes between low VFR and MVFR along with intermittent rain.

KLAX...Low to moderate confidence in TAF. Conditions will mostly be VFR but there will be ocnl 1 to 2 hour periods of BKN CLDS between 015 and 025 usually with showers. Good confidence that there will be no east wind component.

KBUR...Low to moderate confidence in TAF. Conditions will mostly be VFR but there will be ocnl 1 to 2 hour periods of BKN CLDS between 015 and 025 usually with showers.

MARINE

17/125 AM.

For the Outer Waters, moderate confidence in current forecast. Through Wednesday morning, high confidence in GALE FORCE westerly winds (aside from a lull in wind speeds this morning). From Wednesday afternoon through Friday, there is a 60-80% chance of Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level westerly winds. SCA level seas will continue through Friday (peaking on Wednesday). For Friday night and Saturday, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA levels.

For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, moderate confidence in current forecast. Through Wednesday morning, moderate to high confidence in GALE FORCE westerly winds (except for a lull in wind speeds this morning). From Wednesday afternoon through Friday, there is a 30-50% chance of Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level westerly winds. SCA level seas will continue through Thursday night (peaking on Wednesday). For Friday night and Saturday, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA levels.

For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. Through this afternoon, moderate confidence in winds increasing back up to SCA levels. Tonight through Wednesday morning, there is a 50-70% chance of GALE FORCE winds. From Wednesday afternoon through Thursday night, high confidence in SCA level winds. For Friday through Saturday, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA levels.

BEACHES

17/121 AM.

A period of very large waves is expected across the coastal waters through Friday, with surf generally peaking Today and Wednesday across west facing beaches. High Surf Advisories and Beach Hazard Statements are in effect for all coasts, please see the CFWLOX and SRFLOX products for more details.

Elevated high tides as the new moon cycle approaches will coincide with the arrival of the higher surf and swell. This will bring an elevated chance of coastal flooding or minor tidal overflows during the time of the high tides today and especially Wednesday morning. A coastal flood advisory may be needed should swell guidance remain consistent, along with moderate to strong onshore winds.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CA...Wind Advisory in effect from 3 PM this afternoon to 3 AM PST Wednesday for zones 38-340>349. (See LAXNPWLOX). Flood Watch in effect from 3 PM PST this afternoon through late tonight for zones 38-340>353. (See LAXFFALOX). Wind Advisory in effect from 5 PM this afternoon to 6 AM PST Wednesday for zones 88-350-352-354>358-362-366>375-548. (See LAXNPWLOX). Flood Watch in effect from this evening through late tonight for zones 88-354>358-362-366>383-548. (See LAXFFALOX). High Surf Advisory in effect until 10 PM PST Friday for zones 340-346-354-362-366. (See LAXCFWLOX). Beach Hazards Statement in effect through Wednesday morning for zones 349-350. (See LAXCFWLOX). Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from 9 PM this evening to 9 AM PST Thursday for zones 353-376-378-379-381-382. (See LAXWSWLOX). Winter Storm Warning remains in effect until 9 AM PST Thursday for zones 377-380. (See LAXWSWLOX). Wind Advisory in effect from 3 PM this afternoon to 10 PM PST this evening for zone 383. (See LAXNPWLOX). High Wind Warning in effect from 10 PM this evening to 6 AM PST Wednesday for zone 383. (See LAXNPWLOX). PZ...Gale Warning in effect until 8 AM PST Wednesday for zones 645-670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect until 8 PM PST this evening for zones 650-655. (See LAXMWWLOX). Gale Warning in effect from 8 PM this evening to 9 AM PST Wednesday for zones 650-655. (See LAXMWWLOX).