textproduct: Los Angeles

SYNOPSIS

29/236 AM.

Skies will be clear the next several days except for some high clouds at times. High temperatures will climb today and Friday and then will change little on Saturday, with temperatures warming into the 70s and 80s. Locally breezy Santa Ana winds are likely late tonight into the weekend.

LONG TERM (SUN-WED)

29/235 AM.

Some changes are on tap for Sunday. A trof will motor through the northern half of the state and push the ridge to the east while dropping hgts over Srn CA to 574 dam. There will still be offshore flow but it will only be half a strong as it was on Saturday. The reduction in offshore flow will allow for a better sea breeze. Some marine layer clouds will likely cover the Central Coast in the morning. All of these items will combine to bring 4 to 8 locally 10 degrees of cooling to the area. Despite this cooling max temps will end up 6 to 12 degrees above normal.

Actual onshore flow develops on Monday. This will likely bring morning low clouds to most of the csts and some of the lower vlys. The cooler air and onshore flow will combine to knock 2 to 4 locally 6 degrees off of the max temps and most csts and vlys will end up with max temps in the 70s (some upper 60s at the beaches)

Increasing offshore flow and another ridge will bring warmer temps both Tuesday and Wednesday with plenty of readings in the 80s on Wednesday.

Looking at the AI-Long Range Mdls the next possible signal for rain will be on the 11th of Feb.

AVIATION

29/1010Z.

Around 0735Z, there was no marine layer depth at KLAX. There was a surface-based inversion up to around 800 feet with a temperature around 20 degrees Celsius.

Moderate to high confidence in the current forecast. Higher confidence exists in flight categories. Less confidence in winds and wind impacts.

VFR conditions are expected through the period, except for a moderate chance of VLIFR conditions between 13Z and 17Z. There is a moderate to high chance of moderate turbulence and low-level wind shear through 20Z, and again after 03Z Friday.

KLAX...VFR conditions are expected through the period. Any easterly winds should remain less than 7 knots.

KBUR...VFR conditions are expected through the period. There is a 20 percent chance of moderate turbulence and low-level wind shear between 14Z and 18Z, and again after 03Z Friday.

MARINE

29/209 AM.

Moderate to high confidence in the current forecast. Higher confidence exists in the forecast for winds relative to forecast for seas.

For the waters southwest through northwest of the Channel Islands and including the nearshore waters along the Central Coast, there is a likely (60-80 percent) chance of Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level north to northeast winds through this morning, decreasing to a high to likely (40-60 percent) chance thereafter through late tonight or Friday morning. SCA level seas will likely be the primary driver after this morning, potentially reaching 9 to 11 feet this afternoon and evening. Winds and seas should drop below SCA levels for Friday through Saturday, then winds and seas will start to increase again with a moderate to high (30-50 percent) chance on Saturday night through Tuesday.

Inside the southern California bight, areas of SCA level north to northeast winds are expected for the nearshore coastal waters off the Ventura County Coast to Malibu each morning through Saturday. There is a likely (60-80 percent) chance of SCA level winds from late this evening through Friday mornings, with the highest chance from around Point Mugu south and east to Pacific Palisades early Thursday morning. Winds and seas should drop below SCA levels on Friday and continue at or below SCA levels through the weekend.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CA...Wind Advisory in effect until 2 PM PST this afternoon for zones 88-369-374. (See LAXNPWLOX). Wind Advisory remains in effect until 2 PM PST this afternoon for zones 342-375-379. (See LAXNPWLOX). PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 9 AM PST this morning for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect until 9 AM PST Friday for zones 655-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PST Friday for zone 670. (See LAXMWWLOX).