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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

SYNOPSIS

20/258 AM.

A drying trend will continue to establish today, but a cold air mass will grip the area today. After a chilly start to the day on Saturday, a warming trend will take shape through the weekend. Temperatures will remain below normal into Saturday but then warm above normal on Sunday. Chances for rain next week continue to fade with an upper-level trough likely taking a track into northern California.

LONG TERM (MON-THU)

20/240 AM.

Offshore flow will firmly establish between Sunday night and Monday and continue a warming trend into early next week. Temperatures will warm well above of seasonal normals for early next week with a few locations possibly breaking the 80 degree mark.

The precipitation chances for next week continue to fade as the ensembles continue to trend farther to the north with the atmospheric river system. WPC cluster analysis keeps some clusters with broad precipitation across the area, but about only 30 percent of solutions that have a wet result over the region. With the ridge aloft starting to win the battle, temperatures could end up warming additionally next week.

AVIATION

20/1726Z.

At 1650Z at KLAX, there was a deep moist layer up to 7000 ft.

High confidence in TAFs with VFR conditions and inconsequential winds through the period. 15% chance for VLIFR conds at KPRB after 10Z.

KLAX...High confidence in VFR TAF. No significant east wind component expected.

KBUR...High confidence in VFR TAF.

MARINE

20/833 AM.

For the Outer Waters, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level winds or seas will last through this evening. For Saturday, there is a 20-30% chance of SCA level winds, highest across PZZ670. For Sunday through Tuesday, moderate to high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA levels.

For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, high confidence in current forecast. Winds have subsided below SCA levels, but seas across the western portion of the zone will remain in the 9 to 11 foot range through this afternoon. For Saturday through Tuesday, winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA levels.

For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, high confidence in current forecast. Conditions have subsided below SCA levels, thus the advisories have been allowed to expire. Conditions will continue to improve through tonight. Then through Tuesday, winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA levels.

BEACHES

20/222 AM.

Large swell will impact the coastal waters through today, though surf will be trending downward. Additionally, minor coastal flooding and tidal overflows will be possible at high tides. High Surf Advisories and Beach Hazard Statements are in effect for all coasts, please see the CFWLOX and SRFLOX products for more details.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CA...High Surf Advisory in effect until 10 PM PST this evening for zones 340-346-354-362-366. (See LAXCFWLOX). Beach Hazards Statement in effect through this evening for zones 349-350. (See LAXCFWLOX). PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until noon PST today for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect until 9 PM PST this evening for zones 670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).


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