textproduct: Los Angeles

SYNOPSIS

03/851 PM.

Cloudy and cool conditions will continue through Tuesday, with increasing chances of mostly light rain. Warming and drying to follow Wednesday through the next weekend, with high temperatures approaching 90 degrees in some areas by Friday.

LONG TERM (THU-SUN)

03/1252 PM.

Models continue to favor a return to summer-like weather later next week and especially next weekend into the following week. A strong ridge of high pressure start building over the eastern Pacific Friday and move onshore will move over the region over next weekend and likely peak early the following week (May 11-12). Models are also showing a little north to northeast gradient during that time to provide an additional boost in temps. By next Sunday and Monday there is a 40-50% chance of 90 degree temps in Downtown LA and 100 degrees in the warmer valleys.

AVIATION

04/0607Z.

At 0523Z at KLAX, the marine layer was 5600 ft deep with an inversion top at 6500 feet and a temp of 9 C.

Good confidence in TAFs with VFR cigs 040-060 through most of the period and then improving further. There is a 20-30 percent chc -SHRA along with a 5 percent chc of a -TSRA from 22Z-04Z.

KLAX...Fair confidence in TAF with only a 25 percent chc of BKN025 conds 08Z-16Z. There is a 20-30 percent chance of -SHRA 22Z-04Z. High confidence that any east wind component with be AOB 6kts.

KBUR...Fair confidence in TAF with only a 25 percent chc of BKN025 conds 08Z-16Z. There is a 10-20 percent chance of -SHRA 22Z-04Z.

MARINE

03/922 PM.

For the nearshore waters inside the SoCal Bight, Small Craft Advisory (SCA) west winds are likely (40-60% chance) Tuesday afternoon and evening with a chance (30-40% chance) Wednesday and Thursday nights, mainly in the channel.

For the outer waters, SCA NW winds are likely (40-60% chance) for the waters near Point Conception to the northern Channel Islands, possibly extending south to San Nicolas island. Winds will increase again from the NW Wednesday night (for PZZ676) into Thursday for the remaining outer zones through Thursday night. Stronger winds will be possible Friday into the weekend.

Nearshore along the Central Coast there is a 30% chance for SCA NW winds Tuesday and Wednesday nights, with a 30 to 40% chance of SCA conds Thursday afternoon and night.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CA...NONE. PZ...NONE.