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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

SYNOPSIS

03/221 AM.

Partly cloudy skies today will turn mostly clear by Wednesday. Otherwise it will be dry conditions with a general warming trend and periods of offshore winds through the week. Warmest and windiest conditions likely Friday-Sunday.

LONG TERM (SAT-TUE)

03/115 PM.

Weak to moderate Santa Ana conditions will continue into Saturday or Sunday, possibly even continuing into early next week. Low end wind advisories may be needed for windiest areas with elevated fire weather concerns potentially continuing.

Moderate heat impacts may continue near the coast through Sunday or Monday with highs in the 80s and maybe some low 90s during the peak of the event.

A pattern shift is looking more likely for the middle to end of next week when wet weather is likely to return. While details remain fuzzy that far out, we will keep you updated as we learn more about the potential pattern shift.

AVIATION

03/2358Z.

At 2326Z at KLAX, there was no marine layer. There was an elevated inversion between 6000-8000 ft, with a max temp of 10 C.

Moderate confidence in KPRB/KSBP/KSMX with a chance of scattered MVFR CIGs and showers through 06Z.

For all other sites, high confidence in VFR TAFs and moderate to high confidence in winds.

KLAX...Moderate to high confidence in TAF. Any easterly wind component tonight is expected to remain below 6 knots.

KBUR...High confidence in VFR TAF.

MARINE

03/120 PM.

For the Outer Waters, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. Through tonight, high confidence in Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level winds developing across PZZ673/676, but remaining below SCA levels across PZZ670. For Wednesday through Saturday, high confidence in combination of SCA level winds and seas across all of the Outer Waters. On Sunday, winds and seas are expected to drop below SCA levels.

For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. Through tonight, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA levels. For Wednesday through Friday, there is a 50-60% chance of SCA level winds in the afternoon and evening hours. For Saturday and Sunday, there is a 20-30% chance of SCA level northeast winds, mainly in the overnight and morning hours.

For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. Through tonight, there is a 60-80% chance of SCA level winds across all of the southern Inner Waters. For Wednesday through Thursday, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA levels. For Friday through Saturday, there is a 20-30% chance of SCA level northeast winds from Ventura south to Santa Monica in the night and morning hours. On Sunday, winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA levels.

Today through Thursday, the gusty winds will likely result in choppy, short-period, seas.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CA...NONE. PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PST Wednesday for zones 650-655. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect from 3 AM Wednesday to 8 AM PST Thursday for zone 670. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect until 8 AM PST Thursday for zones 673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).


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