textproduct: Los Angeles

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

SYNOPSIS

11/1137 PM.

Moderate rain and a chance of thunderstorms will sweep through the area through this morning. Scattered shower activity is then possible this afternoon into Monday morning. Dry and warmer weather is expected the rest of next week.

LONG TERM (WED-SAT)

12/324 AM.

Not much excitement in the xtnd.

Look for a little ridge overhead on Wed. An inside slider will work its way down the state line on Thu. Followed by dry NW flow on Fri and Sat.

At the sfc there will be mostly onshore flow on Wednesday. Persistent offshore flow from the north will begin on Thursday while the E/W grad will diurnally shift back and forth from weak offshore in the morning and moderate onshore in the afternoon.

Cannot rule out some coastal low clouds but other than that and some ocnl upper level clouds skies will be mostly clear.

The passage of the inside slider will bring a two day north wind event with advisory level gusts likely through the I-5 corridor and the Santa Barbara county mountains.

Max temps will rise 2 to 4 degrees Wed and then change little on Thu. The offshore push on Fri and Sat will result in 2 to 4 degrees of warming each day and will push coastal highs into the 70s and vly highs into the 80s on Saturday (3 to 6 degrees over normal)

AVIATION

12/0616Z.

At 0522Z at KLAX, there was no marine layer or inversion.

Moderate confidence in the TAFs. A cold front will affect all terminals tonight into Sun morning. Low confidence in cig/vis fcst when the rain is occuring. Winds will be southerly ahead of the front and westerly after. There is a 15-30% chance of thunderstorms, highest for northern airfields, tonight into Sun morning. Any thunderstorms could produce gusty and erratic winds and brief lower vsbys in heavy rain.

KLAX...Moderate confidence in TAF. Rain is expected between 11Z-19Z and cig/vis may be as low at 1SM-2SM during rain. Winds will shift rapidly from southerly to westerly as the front passes. There is a 10% chance of thunderstorms from 20Z Sun to 00Z Mon. No significant east wind component expected except during thunderstorms.

KBUR...Moderate confidence in TAF. Rain is expected between 10Z-18Z and cig/vis may be as low at 1SM-2SM during rain. Winds will shift rapidly from southerly to westerly as the front passes. There is a 15% chance of thunderstorms from 18Z Sun to 00Z Mon.

MARINE

12/325 AM.

A strong storm system will affect the southwestern CA coastal waters through this afternoon. This system will sweep a cold front across the waters through this morning, bringing Small Craft level southerly winds, showers and a chance of thunderstorms to the area. Potential hazards include: heavy downpours, dangerous cloud to ocean lightning, small hail, and erratic gusty winds. Boaters, especially those with small vessels, should avoid these conditions.

Seas will build to 8-10 feet today across the central and northern Outer Waters. Additionally, Small Craft level west to northwest winds are likely for all the waters Monday afternoon and night. Then northwest SCA winds are possible for much of the time across the outer waters Tuesday through Thursday night, with a 20% chance of Gale Force winds at times Thursday night.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CA...Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect until 11 AM PDT Monday for zones 353-376>380. (See LAXWSWLOX). Wind Advisory remains in effect until 10 PM PDT this evening for zones 381-382. (See LAXNPWLOX). PZ...NONE.


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