textproduct: Los Angeles
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
SYNOPSIS
11/913 AM.
Gusty Santa Ana winds will continue into much of next week, mainly across Los Angeles and Ventura Counties. There will be a warming trend into next week with near record temperatures possible.
LONG TERM (WED-SAT)
11/303 AM.
Light to moderate offshore flow with warm weather and clear skies is expected through the forecast period. Above normal heights will combine with these gradient values best on Wednesday and Thursday. Records for coast and valleys generally range from the mid 80s to low 90s during this period and could be challenged. In any case, highs will be around 10-15 degrees above normal most of the week. Upper-level support looks anemic during this period, but areas favored for northeast winds will likely be breezy overnight into the morning hours.
AI mdls indicate a small signal for rain after the 21th of Jan.
AVIATION
11/0932Z.
At 0930Z at KLAX, there was a surface-based inversion. The top of the inversion was 800 feet with a temperature of 17 degrees Celsius.
Overall, high confidence in 12Z TAF package as VFR conditions are expected through the period.
Gusty northeasterly winds will generate light to occasional moderate turbulence and LLWS across the foothills and mountains.
KLAX...High confidence in 12Z TAF. There is a 10% chance of easterly winds reaching 8 knots 12Z-21Z.
KBUR...High confidence in 12Z TAF. There is a chance of light to moderate turbulence and LLWS through the period.
MARINE
11/132 AM.
For the Outer Waters, high confidence in current forecast. Today through Thursday, winds and seas are expected to remain below Small Craft Advisory (SCA) levels from the Channel Islands northward. For the waters south of the Channel Islands, SCA level northeast winds are likely today through Monday with winds and seas expected to remain below SCA levels Tuesday through Thursday.
For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, high confidence in current forecast. For today, SCA level northeast wind are expected through this morning, mainly from Morro Bay northward, but will diminish below SCA levels this afternoon. For tonight through Thursday, winds and seas will remain below SCA levels.
For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. From Ventura southward to Santa Monica, SCA level winds are expected today through Monday with local Gale force gusts today from Point Mugu to Point Dume. For Monday night and Tuesday, there is a 40% chance of SCA level northeast winds from Ventura southward to Santa Monica. Otherwise, winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA levels through Thursday.
The winds will cause choppy hazardous seas, especially farther from shore, and will persist each day through at least Tuesday. Winds will be the strongest winds in the late night through morning hours, especially this morning. The winds will also impact the Channel & Catalina Islands, causing steep easterly seas to affect east facing harbors. In addition, these winds will affect the waters from Santa Cruz Island to San Nicolas Island today and possibly through early this week.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...Wind Advisory remains in effect until 1 PM PST this afternoon for zones 88-354-355-358-362-370>372-374-376>378-381. (See LAXNPWLOX). Wind Advisory in effect until 1 PM PST this afternoon for zone 369. (See LAXNPWLOX). High Wind Warning remains in effect until 1 PM PST this afternoon for zones 375-379-380. (See LAXNPWLOX). PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 11 AM PST this morning for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 PM PST this afternoon for zones 650-655-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).
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