textproduct: Los Angeles
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
SYNOPSIS
20/307 AM.
Light to moderate rain is expected late today through Tuesday, will the highest rain amounts expected for San Luis Obispo County and minimal impacts overall. Temperatures will be mild today, followed by much cooler weather Tuesday and Wednesday. Gusty southwest winds are expected through Tuesday, followed by west to northwest winds Wednesday through Friday.
LONG TERM (THU-SUN)
20/328 AM.
Near normal to slightly below normal temperatures are expected for Thursday and Friday when most highs will be in the low to mid 70s. Then temperatures will fall to several degrees below normal over the weekend, with highs in the 60s common. Starting on Saturday, another low pressure system may impact the region, and rain will be possible again over the weekend. At this point, rain totals, if any, are likely to be light across the area (<0.5 inches). Current model projections of the low pressure system show southwest flow, which would lead to orographic enhancement in rain totals across south- facing foothill slopes.
AVIATION
20/1239Z.
At 12Z at KLAX, the marine layer was 1500 feet deep. The top of the inversion was 1900 feet with a temperature of 14 C.
High confidence in CAVU conditions for KBUR, KVNY, KPMD and KWJF. For KSBP and KSBA, there is a 30% chance of IFR/MVFR cigs from until 16Z. For KSMO, KLAX, and KLGB, cigs may bounce between MVFR and VFR though 17Z this morning. Arrival off MVFR/IFR cigs and light rain may be off by 3 hours tonight.
KLAX...Moderate confidence in TAF. Cigs may bounce between BKN010-BKN015 and VFR though 17Z this morning. No significant easterly wind component is expected.
KBUR...High confidence in TAF.
MARINE
20/123 AM.
A storm system will move over the coastal waters this afternoon through Wednesday morning, bringing a chance of showers to much of the area. Cannot rule out a thunderstorm or two across the northern waters Tuesday morning.
SCA level southerly winds are expected to increase ahead of the cold front, and while SCA level winds are not forecast, there is a 20-30% chance that SCA gusts could occur at times this afternoon and evening, and possibly again Tuesday afternoon. Tuesday evening winds will shift to the northwest behind the front, increasing to SCA level NW winds Wednesday afternoon. These winds will likely expand to include the majority of waters by Thursday afternoon. Wednesday night there is a 40% chance of Gale Force gusts over the southern waters, including portions of the nearshore waters inside the SoCal Bight, especially the Santa Barbara Channel. SCA winds may persist into the weekend at least for some waters.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...NONE. PZ...NONE.
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