textproduct: Los Angeles

SYNOPSIS

27/548 PM.

Quiet weather with seasonal temperatures will prevail this week. Breezy west to northwest winds will occur across portions of the area at times. Isolated showers will be possible over the interior and mountains Wednesday afternoon and evening.

LONG TERM (FRI-MON)

27/132 PM.

Ridging will dominate the weather on Friday and Saturday. There will be moderate onshore flow so there may be some night through morning low clouds and fog. The onshore flow will also limit the amount of warming created by the ridge. Look for 2 to 4 degrees of warming (a little less across the Central Coast due to the onshore flow) on Friday with little change on Saturday. Max temps everywhere, save for the beaches, will end up 2 to 4 degrees above normal.

Plenty of disagreement between all mdls starting Sunday. The preponderance of solutions favors a 4 to 8 degree cool down with lowering hgts and strong onshore flow. The onshore flow will also bring gusty winds to the mtns and Antelope Vly in the afternoon.

While still a very low confidence forecast there is some chance of light rain anytime Sunday night through Tuesday or Wednesday.

AVIATION

28/0542Z.

At 0518Z at KLAX, there was no marine layer nor an inversion.

Overall high confidence in the TAFs, except moderate confidence in KPRBis a 30% chance of IFR cigs.

KLAX...High confidence in TAF. No significant east wind component is expected.

KBUR...High confidence in CAVU TAF.

MARINE

27/920 PM.

Moderate confidence in low-end Small Craft Advisory (SCA) W-NW winds Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday Night. Moderate to high confidence in SCA winds expanding to the nearshore and outer waters off the Central Coast Wednesday and Thursday and possibly into Friday. Moderate confidence that conds will remain near but below SCA levels over the weekend.

For the Santa Barbara Channel, SCA winds are possible (30% chance) each afternoon and evening Tuesday and Wednesday over the western Channel. There is a higher chance of SCA winds Thursday afternoon and night, followed by lighter winds through the weekend.

Otherwise, typical winds expected elsewhere which includes gusty (but under SCA winds) nearshore each afternoon.

High confidence in swell remaining rather small through Thursday, but choppy seas will increase with the winds each afternoon and night. Thursday night into the week seas will build, potentially reaching 10 feet over the northern outer waters by Saturday.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CA...NONE. PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 2 AM PDT Tuesday for zones 650-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).