textproduct: Los Angeles

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

SYNOPSIS

25/709 PM.

Temperatures will remain above normal across all valleys and interior locations through this weekend. A persistent marine layer will keep temperatures on the cooler side for coastal areas south of Point Conception through at least Thursday. A warming trend Friday through the weekend will push temperatures to 10 to 20 degrees above normal. Cooler conditions are likely early next week with rain possible by Tuesday or Wednesday.

LONG TERM (SUN-WED)

25/201 PM.

One last hot day Sunday, though likely with an earlier sea breeze arrival for coastal areas as offshore gradients trend onshore by afternoon, if not sooner.

A cooling trend will begin in earnest Monday and continue through all of next week. Still looking at a high probability of rain locally, roughly a 60 to 80% chance, though timing and amounts are fluctuating. The AI models that for several days were leading the charge on this next system have lowered amounts quite a bit and now are mostly under a half inch across the area. Timing could be as early as late Monday night or as late as Wednesday, though the majority is still Tuesday.

AVIATION

25/2344Z.

At 2205Z at KLAX, the marine layer was 900 feet deep. The top of the inversion was at 1700 feet with a temperature of 21 C.

High confidence TAFs for KPRB, KPMD, & KWJF.

Moderate confidence in remaining TAFs. Timing of CIG/VSBY restrictions may be off +/- 2 hours. Cig hgt could be off by +/- 200 ft.

There is a 30% chance of V/LIFR conditions 10Z-15Z at KSMX.

KLAX...Moderate confidence in TAF. Arrival and clearing times of CIGs may be of +/- 2 hours. Generally expecting CIGs 005-010 with VSBYs 3-5SM. There is 30% chance of LIFR conditions OVC004 with 2SM through 26/10Z. Additionally, CIGs could scatter out briefly from 26/00Z-03Z. Low clouds could return as early as 27/00Z. No significant east wind component is expected.

KBUR...Moderate confidence in TAF.

MARINE

25/753 PM.

High confidence in Small Craft Advisory (SCA) winds and steep seas increasing rapidly through this evening over the offshore waters from the Central Coast down to San Nicolas Island. It will remain windy through Thursday Night and will likely weaken quickly and significantly on Friday. The winds peak tonight through Thursday morning. Low-end Gales are expected to continue across the northernmost outer waters (PZZ670) through the pre-dawn hours on Thursday. Moderate to hi confidence conds will be generally below SCA levels Friday night through Monday night.

Moderate to hi confidence in the rest of the waters being without a SCA through Monday night.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CA...NONE. PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 9 PM PDT Thursday for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Friday for zones 670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).


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