textproduct: Los Angeles

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

SYNOPSIS

24/1147 PM.

A slow warming trend will begin today with Santa Ana winds. High temperatures will be 4 to 8 degrees above normal Monday and Tuesday. It will be cooler Wednesday and Thursday with another warming trend Friday through next weekend.

LONG TERM (WED-SAT)

25/308 AM.

Wednesday will be a cloudy and cooler day as a weak trof and front passes just to the north of the area. There is a small risk of an insignificant shower over SLO county. The lift from the trof will generate a healthy marine layer cloud deck and the trof will bring plenty of mid and high clouds to the area. The offshore flow will switch to weak onshore. Max temps will drop 3 to 6 degrees and will end up in the mid 60s to the lower 70s.

Ridging moves into the state on Thursday and will persist through the weekend. Offshore flow will develop as well and will be strongest on Friday where some advisory level gusts are possible. The ridging and offshore flow will combine to bring two days of warming and by Friday max temps will almost all be in the 70s across the csts and vlys which is 4 to 6 degrees above normal. Saturday's temps will be similar to Friday's.

AVIATION

25/1743Z.

At 1740Z at KLAX, there was no marine layer nor an inversion.

High confidence in TAFs, xcp KPRB where there is some uncertainty in flight category of cigs/vsbys overnight, with a 20 percent chance of vfr conditions persisting. KLAX...High confidence in TAF. No significant east wind component is expected.

KBUR...High confidence in TAF.

MARINE

25/928 AM.

For the Outer Waters, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. There is a 30% chance of localized easterly gusts to 25 kts near the Channel Islands this morning to the early afternoon hours. Tonight through Tuesday, winds and seas are expected to remain below Small Craft Advisory (SCA) levels. Expecting winds to increase Wednesday, with lower confidence in when winds will begin reaching SCA levels. Better chances for areas of SCA winds Thursday, extending into the weekend. Seas will also increase late Wednesday into Thursday, reaching 10 to 12 feet.

For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. There is a 30% chance for SCA level northeast winds Thursday morning, and seas may reach 10 feet as early as Thursday morning.

For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, moderate confidence in current forecast. For the near-shore waters from Oxnard to Santa Monica, there is about a 30-40% chance northeast winds nearing SCA level gusts Sunday morning. Winds and seas will remain below SCA levels from Sunday evening through Wednesday.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CA...NONE. PZ...NONE.


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