textproduct: Los Angeles
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
SYNOPSIS
22/106 PM.
Mostly clear skies with warming temperatures are expected through Friday. Cooler over the weekend with a chance of light rain at times. Another weak storm may bring light rain to the area around Tuesday.
LONG TERM (SUN-WED)
22/207 PM.
Sunday is expected to be dry, though there are a few ensemble solutions that have a later arrival of the Saturday storm, resulting in some carry over showers into Sunday morning. Otherwise, generally dry and cool with clearing skies.
Dry and a little warmer Monday. Then Tuesday there is another weak storm expected to move into southwest California with similar or even lighter rain amounts than over the weekend. Some gusty west to northwest post-frontal winds will develop Wednesday, otherwise dry weather expected the rest of next week with slowly warming temperatures.
AVIATION
23/0551Z.
At 0522Z at KLAX, there was no marine layer nor marine inversion.
Overall...high confidence in most TAFs. KLGB has a 40 percent chc of no low clouds. KLAX and KSMO have a 20 percent chc of MVFR cigs 12Z-16Z. KSMX has a 30 percent chc of LIFR cig/vis 11Z-17Z.
KLAX...Good confidence in TAF. There is a 20 percent chc of BKN012 conds 12Z-16Z. Good confidence that any east wind component will be 5kt or less.
KBUR...High confidence in 00Z TAF.
MARINE
22/840 PM.
For the Outer Waters, high confidence in current forecast. Small Craft Advisory (SCA) levels will continue through Friday evening, however winds may drop below advisory levels at times, mainly north of Point Conception overnight tonight and during the late morning hours. For Saturday through Monday, winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA levels.
For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. Through Friday, there is a 50-60% chance of SCA level northwest winds during the afternoon and evening hours. For Saturday through Monday, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA levels.
For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. High confidence in winds diminishing below advisory levels by late tonight. For Thursday through Friday, there is a 60-80% chance of SCA level winds across the western half of the Santa Barbara Channel with high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA levels elsewhere. For Saturday through Monday, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA levels across all of the southern Inner Waters.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...NONE. PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect from 3 PM to 9 PM PDT Thursday for zones 645-650. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Thursday for zones 650-655. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect until 9 PM PDT Thursday for zones 670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).
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