textproduct: Los Angeles

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

SYNOPSIS

22/703 PM.

High pressure will bring warming to the area through Tuesday with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. By Tuesday high temperatures will be 8 to 12 degrees above normal. Additional warming Thursday and Friday will bring high temperatures across the valleys and some interior coastal areas into the 80s.

LONG TERM (THU-SUN)

22/157 PM.

The area will remain under a ridge emanating from 589 dam upper high about 600 miles to south for the entire xtnd period. There will not be much of a sfc gradient push in either direction E or W but there will be a pretty steady offshore push from the N.

The weak flow in the E/W direction will allow for some morning low clouds each morning. There will also be some clouds pushing through the ridge bring partly-mostly cloudy skies to the area at time esp north of Pt Concpetion.

The offshore push from the north may bring some gusty winds to the N/S passes, potentially approaching advisory levels on Wednesday.

Temps are what everyone will be talking about. Wednesday will have similar temps compared to Tuesday with highs mostly in the 70s and a few 80 or 81 degree readings across the csts/vlys. The ridge will strengthen some Thu and Fri and this will lead to 2 to 3 degrees of warming each day for almost all the area. Friday's highs will be 10 to 15 degrees over normal with cst/vly highs in the upper 60s at the beaches, the 70s and lower 80s across the csts and in the 80s to near 90 in the vlys. Saturday will see little change in these very warm values.

Below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures are favored to continue into next week (March 2-8).

AVIATION

23/0630Z.

At 0520Z at KLAX, there was no marine layer. There was a sfc based inversion with a top of 1800 ft and a temperature of 19 C.

Overall, high confidence in TAFs.

KLAX...High confidence in TAF. Any east wind component is expected to remain below 7 kts.

KBUR...High confidence in TAF.

MARINE

22/709 PM.

Moderate to high confidence in the current forecast. Higher confidence exists in seas. Less confidence in winds.

For the waters southwest through northwest of the Channel Islands and the nearshore waters along the Central Coast, there is a moderate to high chance of Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level winds each day through late Wednesday night, highest from near Point Conception south to San Nicolas Island. The strongest winds are expected to Wednesday afternoon and evening.

Inside the southern California bight, local SCA level gusts may occur for brief periods this evening. Otherwise, winds and seas should remain below SCA levels through at least Tuesday morning. From Tuesday afternoon and onward, there is a moderate to high chance of SCA levels winds, highest across the western portions of the bight.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CA...NONE. PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 9 AM PST Monday for zones 673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).


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