textproduct: Los Angeles

SYNOPSIS

23/1236 PM.

Temperatures will be near normal Friday before a cooling trend develops over the weekend as a weak storm approaches. The storm will bring scattered light showers to the region Saturday. Dry weather expected most areas Sunday and Monday. Below normal temperatures will continue through the middle of next week with another weak storm possible around late Tuesday or Wednesday.

LONG TERM (MON-THU)

23/140 PM.

A couple of cool but dry and sunny days Monday and Tuesday.

Another weak system with minimal forcing will approach the area Wednesday. Most of the EC ensembles are dry but the GEFS solutions are a little wetter. Still a very low impact system with rain amounts, if any, under a tenth of an inch.

Thursday there is the potential for some gusty post-frontal west to northwest winds, but otherwise dry weather the rest of next week with a warming trend.

AVIATION

23/2357Z.

At 2344Z at KLAX, there was no marine layer nor marine inversion.

Low to moderate confidence in KSMX, KSMO, KLAX, and KLGB TAFs. High confidence in remainder of TAFs. There is a 40% chance of conds remaining VFR at KSMO, KLAX, and KLGB through the period. There is a 30% chance of LIFR-VLIFR conds at KSMX 11-17Z.

KLAX...Low to moderate confidence in TAF. Conds may remain VFR through the period. There is a 50% chance of east wind component reaching 7-8 kts 10-18Z Fri.

KBUR...High confidence in VFR TAF. No wind issues expected.

MARINE

23/141 PM.

For the Outer Waters, high confidence in current forecast. Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level winds will continue across the waters north of Point Conception through Friday morning. SCA winds will likely persist through Saturday night south of Point Conception near the Channel islands. Winds could drop below advisory levels at times through this period. From Saturday afternoon through Monday, winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA levels.

For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. SCA level NW winds are expected this afternoon into the evening. There is a moderate chance for low-end SCA level NW winds Friday afternoon/eve. For Saturday through Monday, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA levels.

For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. SCA level winds are expected this afternoon and evening across the western half of the Santa Barbara Channel and near the Channel Islands. There is a 60-70% chance SCA winds occur across the aforementioned waters Friday afternoon/eve. For Saturday through Monday, winds and seas are generally expected to remain below advisory levels. However, onshore winds could locally reach SCA levels especially nearshore during the afternoon into early evening hours.

A weak system will bring spotty showers across the coastal waters Saturday and Saturday night. This activity may linger into Sunday morning.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CA...NONE. PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 9 PM PDT this evening for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect until 10 PM PDT this evening for zone 650. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect until 9 AM PDT Friday for zones 670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).