textproduct: Los Angeles

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

SYNOPSIS

03/236 AM.

Warm and dry conditions can be expected through most of this week. There will be plenty of morning low clouds and fog across most of the coasts and many valley areas, but otherwise skies will remain mostly clear. Northerly winds will affect areas of southern CA tonight.

LONG TERM (SAT-TUE)

03/236 AM.

Troffing and mdt-stg onshore flow will dominate the xtnd period. This will bring very June like conditions to the area on all 4 days. Onshore flow will be strongest over the weekend and the low clouds will penetrate deep into the vlys and will likely not clear at all from many beach and nearshore areas while the rest of the csts/vlys see slower than normal clearing. 3 to 5 degrees of cooling Saturday will be followed by 1 to 3 additional degrees on Sunday. Sunday's max temps will end up in the upper 60s to mid 70s across the csts and a degree or 2 either side of 80 in the vlys. These max temps are mostly 2 to 4 degrees blo normal.

The onshore flow relaxes some on Mon and Tue and this will bring earlier clearing times for the marine layer stratus as well as a few degrees of warming each day.

AVIATION

03/0948Z.

At 0832Z at KLAX, the marine layer was 1600 feet deep. The top of the inversion was near 4000 feet with a temperature of 22 C.

High confidence in VFR TAFs for KPMD, KWJF, and KPRB.

Moderate confidence in remaining TAFs due to uncertainty in cigs timing. VFR transition could be off by -1 hour or + 90 minutes. Cig hgts could be off by +/- 200 ft.

KLAX...Moderate confidence in TAF. VFR conds may not arrive until 21Z. Cigs may rise to 018 by 15Z. No significant east wind component expected.

KBUR...Moderate confidence in TAF. There is a 20 percent chc of no low clouds. VFR conds could arrive anytime as early as 15Z.

MARINE

03/205 AM.

For the Outer Waters from the Central Coast to San Nicolas Island, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. GALE WARNINGS have been issued starting this afternoon through Thursday morning. Winds will be the strongest across the northern waters (gusts to 40 kt). Seas will peak 12-15 ft during this timeframe. There is a 30-40% chance that Gales may linger Thursday afternoon through Saturday across the northern waters. Otherwise, SCA conditions (winds and/or seas) are likely to persist through the weekend.

For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. Winds will increase to SCA levels early this afternoon, with a 70% chance of Gales by late afternoon into late night hours. Otherwise, SCA winds are likely to persist through Thursday evening. After decreasing some Friday, winds may increase to SCA levels again Saturday, and seas will hover near advisory levels across the western portion.

For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. There is a 50 percent chance of SCA winds Wednesday late afternoon and evening, and again Thursday, and Sunday across the western portion of the Santa Barbara Channel.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CA...Wind Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT early this morning for zones 349-351. (See LAXNPWLOX). PZ...Gale Warning in effect from noon today to 11 PM PDT this evening for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect from 11 PM this evening to 9 PM PDT Thursday for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect until noon PDT today for zones 670-673. (See LAXMWWLOX). Gale Warning in effect from noon today to 9 AM PDT Thursday for zones 670-673. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect from 9 AM to 9 PM PDT Thursday for zones 670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect until 6 PM PDT this evening for zone 676. (See LAXMWWLOX). Gale Warning in effect from 6 PM this evening to 9 AM PDT Thursday for zone 676. (See LAXMWWLOX).


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