textproduct: Los Angeles

SYNOPSIS

30/110 PM.

Quiet weather with near seasonal temperatures will prevail the rest of the week. Breezy west to northwest winds will occur across portions of the area at times. Light rain showers are possible late Sunday into Monday.

LONG TERM (MON-THU)

30/152 PM.

Models are in reasonable agreement showing the cut off low just off the Central Coast late Sunday and Monday, then turning inland near the LA/Orange County border Tuesday. PW's with this system peak around 0.7" so moisture is very limited. And there is very little forcing either so if there are any showers between late Sunday and Tuesday they will be very light and in most areas won't even register .01 in the rain gauge. Best chances for that would be southeastern LA County and the Central Coast where high end totals could reach 0.10-0.20".

Temperatures during this period will mostly be in the 60s, except some low 70s in the warmer valleys.

The upper low is finally expected to exit the region Tuesday night, leading to 4-8 degrees of warming both Wednesday and Thursday.

AVIATION

30/1842Z.

At 1818Z at KLAX, the marine layer was 2900 feet deep. The top of the inversion was 4800 feet with a temp of 16 degrees Celsius.

High confidence in KPRB, KWJF and KPMD. For coastal sites, moderate confidence in TAFs as timing of flight category changes could be +/- 3 hours of current forecasts. For KBUR and KVNY, there is a 30% chance of remaining VFR through the period.

KLAX...Moderate confidence in TAF. Timing of flight category changes could be +/- 3 hours of current forecasts. No significant easterly wind component is expected.

KBUR...Moderate confidence in TAF. There is a 30% chance of remaining VFR through the period.

MARINE

30/121 PM.

For the Outer Waters, high confidence in current forecast. Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level winds will continue through tonight. For Friday through Monday, winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA levels.

For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, high confidence in current forecast. SCA level winds are expected this afternoon and evening. For Friday through Monday, winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA levels.

For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. From late this afternoon through tonight, there is a 60-80% chance of SCA level winds across the western half of the Santa Barbara Channel. Otherwise, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA levels for the southern Inner Waters through Monday.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CA...NONE. PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 9 PM PDT this evening for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Friday for zones 650-670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).