textproduct: Los Angeles

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

SYNOPSIS

27/1206 PM.

A low pressure system will bring cool temperatures and a chance of drizzle or light showers, as well as gusty winds to the beaches, mountains, and deserts through Thursday. A warming trend will begin Friday and continue into next week.

LONG TERM (SUN-WED)

27/131 PM.

Neutral or slight offshore flow will continue at least into early next week while a ridge of high pressure starts to build along the West coast. Low 90s are likely across the warmer valleys Sunday or Monday while coastal areas more than 5-10 degrees inland (including Downtown LA) will be in the upper 70s to mid 80s, generally 4-8 degrees above normal. Any offshore flow likely won't have much impact at the coast where highs will be near normal, mostly in the mid 60s to low 70s. And roughly a 60-80 percent chance of marine layer stratus each morning within 10 miles of the coast.

Slight warming into Tuesday then leveling off the rest of the week as high pressure aloft continues.

AVIATION

28/0554Z.

At 0508Z at KLAX, there was a 4500 ft deep moist layer with no inversion.

Overall, moderate confidence in TAFs. There is a 30 percent chc of MVFR cigs at all sites other than KPMD and KWJF through 18Z. MVFR cigs are likely through the day north of Pt Conception. Good confidence in rain north of Pt Conception with a 20 percent chc at sites south of Pt Conception 15Z-00Z.

KLAX...Moderate confidence in TAF. There is a 30 percent chc of BKN020-025 conds 10Z-18Z. There is a 20 percent chc of -RA 15Z-00Z. Any east wind component will occur 11Z-16Z and will be AOB 6kt.

KBUR...Moderate confidence in TAF. There is a 30 percent chc of BKN020-025 conds 10Z-18Z. There is a 20 percent chc of -RA 15Z-00Z.

MARINE

27/839 PM.

Winds have fallen below Small Craft Advisory (SCA) levels this evening, but expecting SCA level seas to linger over the outer waters overnight, falling below SCA levels Thursday morning. Conditions will remain below advisory levels on Thursday. More showers will pass through the coastal waters tonight into Thursday, with activity peaking Thursday morning. The best chance for showers (70-90%) will be north and west of the Channel Islands. Widespread SCA conditions will return Friday afternoon through the weekend, and SCA winds could reach into the inner waters at times. There is also a 30-40% chance for GALE force winds on Saturday through Saturday night.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CA...NONE. PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 8 AM PDT Thursday for zones 670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).


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