textproduct: Los Angeles
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
SYNOPSIS
25/1205 AM.
Cooler weather is expected over the weekend with scattered light showers, mainly this afternoon and evening. Dry weather is then expected for most areas Sunday and Monday. Below normal temperatures will continue through the middle of next week with another weak storm possible around late Tuesday or Wednesday.
LONG TERM (TUE-FRI)
25/243 AM.
Benign weather on tap for Monday as the weekend storm pulls further to the east and a weak ridge moves in from the west. Skies will be, at worst, partly cloudy. 2 to 4 degrees of warming will bring cst/vly max temps into the upper 60s and lower 70s.
Still not the best mdl agreement but there is definite improvement. The trend to lesser chances of rain continues as well as pushing the timing back. Now Wednesday looks dry with only a bare minimum chc of light rain Wednesday night and/or Thursday morning. And even if it does rain, rainfall amounts will be insignificant Skies will be partly cloudy for the most part with a chc for mostly cloudy conds with the rain chances. Look for clearing skies and warming Friday as a ridge builds into the state.
Max temps will rise Tue, Wed and Fri with only minimal cooling on Thursday. Friday's max temps will be 3 to 6 degrees above normal with vly highs reaching into the lower to mid 80s.
AVIATION
25/0948Z.
At 0835Z at KLAX, the marine layer was 1200 ft deep. The top of the inversion was 1900 ft with a temp of 14 C.
Moderate confidence in TAFs. BKN-OVC MVFR to Low VFR conds will develop at all non desert sites and continue through the day. Ocnl light rain is likely from 22Z onward for most sites.
KLAX...Moderate confidence in TAF. Cigs will likely vary between 025 and 040 through the day. On and off again rail will affect the complex aft 22Z. No significant east wind component expected.
KBUR...Moderate confidence in TAF. Cigs will likely vary between 025 and 040 through the day. On and off again rail will affect the complex aft 22Z. There is a 20 percent chc of -RA aft 18Z.
MARINE
25/736 AM.
For the Outer Waters, high confidence in current forecast. From this afternoon through Sunday, winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA levels. Chances for SCA level winds will increase from Monday afternoon onward. Seas will increase Wednesday onward and flirt with advisory levels (10 ft) 30 NM from shore Thursday into Friday.
For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. High confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA levels through Monday morning. Chances for SCA winds will increase each day next week. Seas are likely to remain below advisory levels through this timeframe.
For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. SCA level W winds are expected across the Santa Barbara Channel this afternoon through midnight. Winds will approach advisory levels for the waters south of Point Mugu during this timeframe. These onshore winds will occur again on Sunday for the same waters but could be slightly stronger. Advisories may be needed for both inner waters zones Sunday afternoon through the evening. Generally moderate chances for SCA winds each afternoon and evening across the western half of the SB Channel next week.
A weak system will bring spotty showers across the coastal waters Today into Tonight with a slight chance of showers lingering into Sunday especially through the morning hours.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...NONE. PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect from 1 PM this afternoon to 2 AM PDT Sunday for zone 650. (See LAXMWWLOX).
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