textproduct: Los Angeles

SYNOPSIS

31/1258 PM.

Cool and cloud conditions with periods of light rain will continue through tonight. Gusty north to northeast winds are favored Wednesday night through Saturday with a moderate Santa Ana event possible Friday and Saturday. Much warmer temperatures with mostly sunny skies are expected this weekend.

LONG TERM (SAT-TUE)

31/1256 PM.

Ridging and weak to moderate offshore flow will continue through the weekend with advisory level winds potentially continuing for Santa Ana prone areas into Saturday. Temperatures will respond with about 6 degrees of warming on Saturday and another 1 to 2 degrees on Sunday. Max temps will be 6 to 12 degrees above normal both days with highs in the 80s to near 90 across the csts and vlys.

The ridge breaks down early next week. Onshore flow returns as well and this will bring 3 to 6 degrees of cooling to most areas. Max temps, however, will remain above normal.

Both the AI-GFS and AI-EC show no significant rain in the day 8 to 14 outlook period and favored continued above normal temperatures.

AVIATION

01/0137Z.

At 2223Z over KLAX, the marine layer was 4000 ft deep. The top of the inversion was at 5200 feet with a temperature of 13 C.

Overall, moderate confidence in 00Z TAF Package. MVFR to VFR generally expected with a 20-50% chance of -SHRA. Lower confidence showers will affect KPMD, KWJF and KPRB.

KLAX...Moderate confidence in TAF. MVFR CIGs with VFR VSBYs and short-lived -SHRA/VCSH expected. No significant east wind component expected.

KBUR...Moderate confidence in TAF. There is a 20% chc of -RA through 05Z.

MARINE

31/1049 PM.

High confidence in winds and seas staying under Small Craft Advisory (SCA) levels through Wednesday morning. The weak frontal system continues to bring light showers the coastal waters tonight. A few isolated light showers could linger Wednesday into Thursday.

Strong SCA winds with a moderate chance of low-end GALES is expected to develop for the coastal waters south of Point Conception (including nearshore and the Santa Barbara Channel) Wednesday afternoon to Wednesday night. These winds will become widespread Thursday and will last through Friday morning.

Expecting seas to build quickly on Thursday, peaking Thursday night. Seas could reach SCA levels 10-12 feet over the outer waters and inner waters north of Point Sal. Seas for the southern inner waters could peak around 4 to 7 feet. Wave heights should drop off rather quickly as winds shift to the northeast Friday morning.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CA...NONE. PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect from 9 AM Thursday to 3 AM PDT Friday for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect from 2 PM Wednesday to 3 AM PDT Friday for zone 650. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect from 3 AM Thursday to 11 AM PDT Friday for zones 670-673. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect from 6 PM Wednesday to 11 AM PDT Friday for zone 676. (See LAXMWWLOX).