textproduct: Louisville

KEY MESSAGES

* Dry weather expected through the end of the week, with afternoon highs in the low to mid 80s.

* Warmer and more humid this weekend into early next week. Gradually increasing shower and thunderstorm chances through this weekend into early next week.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 306 PM EDT Wed Jun 3 2026

Surface high pressure and upper level ridging is currently over the Ohio Valley region, continuing our dry pattern today and tonight. Overnight winds become very light to calm across the area with clear skies. This will provide some radiational cooling overnight and bring nighttime temperatures down into the mid to upper 50s.

As the high pressure starts to shift east, winds will shift to a southwesterly flow by tomorrow. The southerly flow will bring a slightly warmer temperature pattern and moisture from the Gulf into the area. Maximum temperatures tomorrow will warm into the low to mid 80s. High level clouds will start to move back in tomorrow evening with low temperatures in the low to upper 60s.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 306 PM EDT Wed Jun 3 2026

By Saturday, the center of high pressure will be to the southeast putting a pressure gradient over the Ohio Valley region, leading to some gusty winds. Wind gusts are expected to be 20 to 25 mph out of the SW throughout the day. Temperatures over the weekend into early next week will warm into the mid to upper 80s.

Once the surface high pressure completely moves east out of the area, a couple shortwave disturbances will move through bring rain chance back. A cold front will develop to the NE and start to drape down into the region. Southern IN has a 10-20% chance of seeing light scattered rain shower Saturday morning. By Sunday afternoon a broader area of scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will move across the area. The greatest chance for thunderstorms across the area is 40% Sunday afternoon into evening. At this point, no severe threats are expected. Showers are expected to lingering into early next week as several shortwaves move through the area. QPF totals from Saturday through Tuesday are expected to be on the lower side with roughly 0.50" across the Kentucky/Tennessee border and 0.10" in the northern two thirds of the CWA.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 718 PM EDT Wed Jun 3 2026

VFR conditions will continue through the forecast period. Skies remain mostly clear heading into the overnight with scattered high cirrus moving in from the northwest. Winds remain calm throughout the night before switching to a variable southwest flow by tomorrow afternoon.

LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KY...None. IN...None.