textproduct: Louisville

KEY MESSAGES

* Windy and warm conditions continue this afternoon and tomorrow. Record high temperatures have a chance to be broken!

* Waves of showers and storms will bring 1-2 inches of rainfall through the weekend.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/

Issued at 327 PM EDT Mon Mar 30 2026

A strong pressure gradient over the Ohio Valley is causing gusty wind conditions this afternoon and tomorrow. Winds will remain oriented south-southwest with the predominantly zonal flow. A deep mixing layer is allowing high winds to make its way down to the surface, leading to gusts ranging 20-25 mph. A warming patterns bring highs today into the mid 70s across the area, and lows tonight in the mid 60s. A period of brief clear skies are expected overnight before another round of low-mid level clouds make its way in by daybreak. The continued synoptic pattern will keep winds out of the south- southwest and gusty tomorrow. The warm air advection will drive temperatures tomorrow into the low 80s across the region. These high temperatures will come close to records for the day.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/

Issued at 327 PM EDT Mon Mar 30 2026

On Tuesday night and into Wednesday, a low pressure will move northeast into New England and drag a cold front south into the Ohio Valley. This front will stall over central Indiana on Wednesday. Could see some light precip Tuesday night over the northern half of the region. On Wednesday within the WAA region and along the stalled frontal boundary, we could see some scattered showers and storms develop. As we are lacking shear, not expecting severe weather, though a storm could become strong and produce gusty winds and some hail.

On Wednesday night and into Thursday, troughing over the southern Plains will strengthen and ridging over the Ohio Valley will develop. Increased heights and WAA will lead to increased temperatures on Thursday. A strong LLJ will move over the region and bring gusty conditions and increased PWATs. Looking to see highs in the low-mid 80s on Thursday. Trough will swing through the Ohio Valley and bring a line of showers and storms Thursday afternoon through the overnight. Shear remains low and best forcing will remain north of the region, so severe threat remains low at this time.

Another trough will quickly swing in behind and bring another low pressure system through the Great Lakes. A cold front will move through over the weekend, bringing another chance for showers and storms. This system looks the best in the extended, as we will see better forcing and shear, with already present moisture. Temperatures will remain above normal through the end of the week and will cool down behind the cold front over the weekend.

Overall, this week will not be a wash-out. We will see periods of rain, with QPF forecasted to be 1-2 inches through the end of the weekend.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1238 PM EDT Mon Mar 30 2026

Gusty SSW winds remain through the evening into tonight with gusts nearing 25 knots for all locations. Low level wind shear will make its way into the region tonight at 20k ft, and will start to clear with daybreak tomorrow. A brief period of clearing skies will occur late this evening into tonight, with a low to mid cloud deck returning tomorrow morning.

CLIMATE

Issued at 327 PM EDT Mon Mar 30 2026

Record Warm Minimum Temperatures Possible Tuesday...

Tue, Mar 31st Rec (Yr) | FCST | Normal

SDF 63 (2007) | 65 | 42 LEX 60 (2016) | 61 | 39

BWG 62 (2006) | 63 | 42

FFT 63 (1910) | 62 | 39

Record Maximum Temperatures Possible Tuesday...

Tue, Mar 31st Rec (Yr) | FCST | Normal SDF 86 (1981) | 83 | 64 LEX 82 (1986) | 79 | 62

BWG 83 (1978) | 83 | 66

FFT 82 (1998) | 81 | 63

LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KY...None. IN...None.