textproduct: Louisville

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

* Dry and pleasant conditions are expected to continue through Wednesday morning.

* Warmer temperatures (upper 80s) and chances for showers and storms return Wednesday and Thursday.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 311 AM EDT Mon Aug 24 2026

Calm winds and clear skies has allowed for river valley fog to develop this morning. As the sun rises, fog will begin to burn off.

High pressure at the surface and northwesterly flow aloft will continue to be the main features over the region through Wednesday morning. Looking to see lows in the upper 50s and low 60s and highs in the low to mid 80s. These below normal temperatures, coupled with dew points in the 50s, will keep conditions quite comfortable to start the week.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 311 AM EDT Mon Aug 24 2026

Moving into Wednesday, ridging over the western CONUS will broaden and approach the mid-Mississippi Valley region. This will increase temperatures back to near normal in the upper 80s. At the surface, high pressure will push off to the east and a warm front will move into the lower Ohio Valley. This front will bring increased moisture and lift to broad upper troughing. Looking to see isolated to scattered chances for showers and storms on Wednesday over southern and central Kentucky. Forecast soundings show PWATs around 1.7-1.8 inches, weak shear, and ample instability Wednesday afternoon. Though, mid-level lapse rates look poor. Given this environment, we could see a strong pulse storm or two, but severe weather is not expected at this time.

On Thursday, a shortwave will swing through the Great Lakes region and bring a weak cold front through the Ohio Valley. Current timing of the front is Thursday into Friday. Given the antecedent environment, would expected to see scattered showers and storms along and ahead of the cold front.

Behind the cold front, we will see drier air move into the region. Though, temperatures look to remain in the upper 80s for Friday. Moving into the weekend, ridging looks to broaden over the southern CONUS, which will lead to increased heights over the lower Ohio Valley and increased temperatures into the low 90s.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 619 AM EDT Mon Aug 24 2026

VFR conditions are expected to continue through this TAF cycle. FEW- SCT clouds around 5kft continue to stream over the region this morning. Some light fog will be possible over the region for the next 2 hours. By mid morning, winds will pick up out of the northwest around 6kts. A thin Cu field around 5kft will be possible in the afternoon. In the evening, skies will clear and winds will become light.

LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KY...None. IN...None.


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