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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
* Upper level ridging and surface high pressure will continue to build into the region bringing dry conditions for next week.
* Temperatures will gradually increase through the week bringing highs above normal for this time of year.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 231 PM EST Sat Nov 14 2026
***Tonight Through Sunday Night***
Upper level ridging will continue to move into the region from the west bringing high pressure to the forecast area. Calm conditions and clear skies tonight will effectively cool temperatures into the upper 20s and low 30s. Winds will remain light (under 10 mph)and predominantly out of the north tomorrow. Sunny skies are here to stick around with high temperatures in the upper 40s and low 50s for the rest of the weekend. Nighttime lows will continue in the upper 20s and low 30s for Sunday night. Some patchy valley fog will be possible tomorrow morning, but is not expected to have substantial impacts.
***Monday Through The End Of The Week***
As we move into the beginning of the work week, the surface high pressure strengthens (over 1030mb) and will move directly over the Ohio Valley. This will bring a wind shift on Tuesday from the NE to the SE, which will help promote some warming. Temperatures will begin to increase daily as we stay in this pattern in the extended period. High temperatures from Tuesday through the end of the period are within the 90th percentile of climatology. Afternoon highs are expected to be in the mid to upper 50s for Monday and Tuesday, with a 60-70% chance of breaking 60 on Wednesday. By late next week, majority of the area will see 70 degrees. Nighttime temperatures will continue to see efficient cooling due to light winds and clear skies overnight. Low temperatures will remain in the 20s and 30s for the first half of the week, while the later half will see low 40s. Dry conditions will continue through the end of the forecast period as high pressure persist.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
Issued at 733 PM EST Sat Nov 14 2026
Mostly VFR flight categories with the one area we need to watch overnight will be for TAF sites RGA and LEX where CIGs will be just just a few thousand feet above MVFR cigs. There may be times where they drop to near 3K ft or lower but likely not very long so confidence is not high. Winds will be light and right now current thinking is that any fog will be limited. Clouds will linger for RGA and LEX for the morning and into the afternoon as winds become more northerly just around 5kts.
LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KY...None. IN...None.
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