textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* Elevated fire weather conditions through Wednesday.

* Light precipitation across northern Nevada possible through this evening

* Fair weather and warmer temperatures are expected during the latter half of the week and into the upcoming weekend

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through next Tuesday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Skies are partly to mostly sunny this afternoon across northern and central Nevada. Isolated, weak echos can be seen across portions of northeast Elko county. No lightning strikes have been detected yet. Winds are breezy with general gusts of 30 mph observed. Look for the clouds to gradually diminish during the overnight period with winds decreasing as well. Low temperatures tonight will be in the 30s and 40s.

Large upper low will be centered across the northern portion of the United States with an upper ridge over the eastern Pacific Ocean. This will keep a northwest flow aloft across the forecast area on Wednesday. Skies will be mainly sunny across the region with highs in the 70s and 80s. Winds will be breezy out of the northwest with sustained winds of 15 to 25 mph and gusts of 30 to 35 mph. Quiet weather with light winds are expected overnight with lows in the 30s and 40s. Because of the light winds and drier air, some locations in Elko county will see lows around freezing by Thursday morning and could affect temperature sensitive plants.

Friday through Tuesday, conditions are expected to remain on the dry side with general afternoon breeziness. High temperatures will be in the 80s with lows in the 30s and 40s Thursday night into Friday. The warm-up continues Friday through the weekend with afternoon high temperatures warming into the 80s and 90s with lows in the 40s and 50s.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Minor updates to the PoP, weather, wind and wind gust grids were made in the short term due to concerns with fire weather. Otherwise no changes were made. Confidence is high in the upcoming dry conditions and warming temperatures that are expected to last through the weekend.

AVIATION

VFR conditions will continue through the 24-hour forecast period. Winds will remain breezy this afternoon and early evening before diminishing before midnight. Expect winds to re-develop Wednesday after 18Z W-NW10-15G25KT at all TAF locations.

FIRE WEATHER

Breezy winds across portions of eastern and northeastern Nevada will bring elevated fire weather conditions to the region for Wednesday afternoon. West to northwest breezes of 25 to 30 mph will combine with afternoon minimum relative humidity values of ten to fifteen percent. Look for afternoon warming on Thursday with highs in the 70s and 80s though winds will relax as afternoon gusts peak around 15 to 20 mph. Afternoon high temperatures will warm into the 80s and 90s by Friday at all locations with dry conditions persisting. Breezes each afternoon will be in the 20 to 25 mph range.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.