textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* Temperatures are trending warmer with highs this afternoon generally in the 60s.

* Increasing clouds this afternoon across Elko County, with a 10% chance of thunderstorms up near Jackpot.

* Memorial Day Weekend will be warm with highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s.

* Probability of thunderstorms Saturday are trending higher with some models suggesting a 20% chance across Elko county.

UPDATE

Issued at 1254 AM PDT Tue May 19 2026

No changes have been made to the forecast.

DISCUSSION

(This evening through next Sunday)

Quiet weather returns this week as NW flow aloft looks to keep NV dry, allowing for temperatures to warm back into the 80s by the Weekend. Overall weak troughing pattern over the interior Mountain west will keep northwesterly flow aloft over the great basin through next weekend. Monday through Wednesday look to be dry with light to breezy NW winds. Thursday a quick moving upper trough will ride the NW flow, bringing a wind shift line through Nevada, but models keep this system far enough to the NE that only the far NE Elko county could see a 10% chance for a light shower Thursday afternoon, this front will stall across central NV and this may be enough to generate a isolated shower for the mountains of N Nye county Friday. After Friday dry conditions return for the weekend lasting through Memorial Day. The main story this week will be the temperatures as the cold air mass left in the wake of Sundays storm system begins to modify and warm. Highs will start cool in the upper 50s to upper 60s Monday afternoon and warm through the week back into the mid 70s to mid 80s by Friday afternoon. Lows will gradually warm as well starting in the low 20s to low 30s Tuesday morning the rising back into the mid 40s to mid 50s by the Saturday morning.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:

There is moderate confidence for quiet, dry weather conditions with warming temperatures lasting through the Holiday weekend.

There is low confidence (5-10% chance) for isolated thunderstorms across NE Elko county both this afternoon and again on Wednesday. Thursday afternoon there is low confidence (10-15% chance) of thunderstorms across Northern Nye and White Pine counties.

AVIATION

VFR conditions are expected at all TAF terminals today and Wednesday with winds generally 5 to 10 mph gusting to 15 mph each afternoon.

KEKO remains AMD NOT SKED due to communication disruption.

FIRE WEATHER

Light winds of 5 to 10 mph gusting to 15 mph in valleys this afternoon. Expect increasing clouds over FW zones 469 and 470 this afternoon, with a 5-10% chance of dry thunderstorms across the northern portions those two zones (thunderstorm chances this low are not included in the FWF zone forecasts).

Looking a little farther out, temperatures will trend warmer through the week. Chances for thunderstorms on Saturday are trending higher in some models, with a 20-25% chance across Elko county in one model. The lightest winds of the week are expected today and Wednesday. Thursday through Sunday afternoon wind gusts are expected to rise into the 15 to 25 mph range. Strongest winds over the next 7 days are expected next Monday where afternoon gusts of 20 to 30 mph are currently forecast.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.