textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1201 AM PST Wed Feb 11 2026

* Strong gusty winds expected in Central Nevada early this morning

* Periods of precipitation today through Thursday afternoon

* A series of storm systems will impact Northern and Central Nevada early next week

UPDATE

Issued at 1201 AM PST Wed Feb 11 2026

No changes were made to the forecast at this time.

DISCUSSION

(Today through Tuesday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: The downstream flow and associated embedded jet of a ULT off the CA coast is responsible for the more vigorous flow overhead today. The system is also the catalyst for increasing precipitation chances today. Lack of significant forcing is keeping the current moisture push limited to increased cloud coverage according to latest satellite imagery. In the warm sector of this system, the area will see predominantly rainfall with especially for valley floors at or below 6500 feet. Snow levels will begin to drop by tonight into Thursday AM when the system makes it exit to the east. For today, precipitation chances will be better thanks to some increased frontogenesis over east-central and northern NV. This is due to the system meandering a bit closer to the area though the LPC will ultimately stay south of the region as it pushes eastward by Thursday PM. Rain accumulations for this system will be 0.1-0.3 inches on today, with better accumulations to the west. Thursday AM 0.05-0.1 inches is forecast for eastern NV as the system pushes to the east. 4-6 inches of new snowfall are possible for northern NV higher elevations and peaks and higher amounts of 8-12 inches are possible for central NV high elevations particularly in northwestern Nye county.

The region enjoys a post frontal regime by Friday though the next system with much stronger dynamics puts the area back into southwesterly flow by Saturday. This is indicated by area temperatures not seeing as much of a drop off between systems. The pressure gradient tightens overhead again Sunday increasing wind speeds over central and east-central NV Sunday afternoon. Current model guidance shows good moisture availability and better precipitation amounts with the next system though the storm track is similar to the current weather system so expected trend is to see a gradual decrease in these values as time grows closer to early next week.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Moderate confidence in strong winds early this morning in central NV. Low confidence in precipitation chances through Thursday as NBM has also handled this system poorly as well. StormTotal grids were moved 24 hours further out as the incoming systems timing has shifted yet again rendering confidence low in next weeks forecast.

AVIATION

VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals through at least the next 24 hours. MVFR conditions are conceivable in and near precipitation today and tonight. This possibility is not high enough for inclusion in the terminal forecasts at this time.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

Wind Advisory until 7 AM PST this morning NVZ035-037-040-041.