textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* Dry weather will persist today through at least Tuesday night. * Warming trend this weekend.

* Unseasonably warm Monday through Wednesday.

AVIATION UPDATE

VFR conditions are expected to continue at all terminals through the next 24 hours. KTPH will see gusty winds around 20KT again this afternoon. All other terminals can expect winds to stay below 10KT.

KBAM is AMD NOT SKED due to communication disruptions.

DISCUSSION

(Today through next Friday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Skies are clear across Nevada tonight as ridging begins to build over the state. This ridge will keep conditions dry and warm for several days, with temperatures climbing to nearly ten degrees above normal by the weekend. A weak shortwave trough temporarily breaks the ridge Tuesday morning but it builds back quickly, keeping temperatures well above normal through Wednesday afternoon. Daytime highs continue to be in the low 60s with overnight lows in the 30s. Winds remain light, with afternoon gusts still maxing out at 15 mph or less. The atmospheric river event mentioned in yesterdays discussion remains surrounded by questions but is still on track to break the ridge for the end of next week. This would decrease temperatures, with highs in the 50s currently forecast for Friday. It could also cause showers across the forecast area, although the strength of moisture with this system is still highly uncertain.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence in a warming trend and above normal temperatures this weekend and early next week. Low confidence in impacts from the atmospheric river. No changes from NBM output.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.