textproduct: Elko

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1143 AM PST Sat Nov 29 2025

* A storm system will overspread much of Northern and Central Nevada between 10 PM this evening and 4 PM Sunday

* Heaviest snowfall tonight into Sunday is expected across Elko County where most valley locations will receive between a trace and half an inch of snow, higher amounts across summits

* Coldest temperatures so far this season expected Sunday night * A second storm system is expected Tuesday into Wednesday, with snowfall mainly confined to mountains of Elko County

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through next Saturday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A shortwave trough is still on track to bring widespread flurries and snow across the coverage area through tomorrow. Accumulations have contracted slightly since the previous forecast, with serious accumulations (4-8 inches) limited to mountains in Elko and White Pine counties, up to an inch on mountain passes, and a trace to half an inch in valleys. Snow is mainly expected during the overnight and early morning hours, but may linger in portions of eastern Nevada through the afternoon. Temperatures behind this system will be noticeably colder, with highs in the 30s to low 40s and overnight lows dropping into the teens for tomorrow night. Some of the coldest valleys may even reach single digits. Winds are also expected to pick up, gusting 20-25 mph on Sunday. Cold conditions continue for Monday with highs remaining in the 30s and 40s, but overnight lows will return to the teens and 20s.

A second shortwave is expected Tuesday and Tuesday night, bringing snow showers to northern Nevada, with flurries possible in central Nevada. This system looks much drier than the weekend one, with only a trace expected for valleys and passes and a maximum accumulation of about five inches in the Jarbidge Wilderness. Daytime temperatures behind the system will be in the 30s and low 40s for Wednesday and Thursday. Long range guidance shows upper ridging building for Friday and Saturday, which would allow temperatures to begin to climb again, allowing a few areas to reach the low 50s by next Saturday.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence for snow and much cooler conditions tonight and tomorrow, however there is still a chance for snow totals to increase as the low confidence solution shows totals more in line with the previous forecast. Confidence is also high in cold continuing through the early week. The second storm system remains at moderate confidence due to questions of moisture availability and areal coverage. Moderate confidence for ridging to follow the trough but details will likely depend on how the second shortwave develops.

AVIATION

VFR conditions expected at all sites through the next 12 to 18 hours. An incoming storm system from the north will be bringing increasing chances for -SHSN across all sites except KTPH Sunday morning with reductions to vsby and cigs as a result. Winds will also increase NW10-15G25KT during the late morning and afternoon on Sunday. AMD NOT SKED continues for KTPH due to comms issues.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.


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