textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* Cool tonight with near freezing temperatures in the coldest valleys

* Warming trend begins Tuesday * Dry conditions are expected through late week

DISCUSSION

(This evening through next Sunday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Current satellite imagery shows clear skies and calm conditions. This is expected to continue through the work week as an exiting trough leaves zonal flow behind it. A warming trend is also expected with this pattern change, with highs climbing from the mid 70s today to the upper 80s by Thursday. Overnight lows will also be at their coldest tonight with lows in the upper 30s and 40s, although a few of the coldest valleys may approach freezing. Widespread frost is not expected but those in the usual colder locations may wish to protect any remaining outdoor plants. After tonight lows in the 30s are not expected until potentially this weekend. Models currently show a strong upper level low swinging southeast into the Pacific Northwest for Saturday and Sunday. Potential impacts from this system are currently expected to be colder temperatures and increased cloud cover.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence in cool temperatures through tomorrow and a warming trend through late week. Low confidence in the weekend weather system. No changes to NBM output.

AVIATION

VFR conditions and winds under 10KT expected at all sites through the next 24 hours.

FIRE WEATHER

No critical fire weather expected over the next several days. Temperatures are expected to increase and humidity to decrease but winds stay below about 20 mph. No storms are expected.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.