textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 128 AM PST Tue Dec 30 2025

* Warming trend is expected to continue through New Years Eve

* Winds will generally remain light through the week

* Precipitation chances return late New Years Eve through the first half of the weekend

UPDATE

Issued at 128 AM PST Tue Dec 30 2025

The quiet and dry weather conditions will continue today with slightly warming temperatures this afternoon. No updates are required for the current forecast package.

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through next Monday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: The first half of this week is going to be quiet weather as upper ridging situates over the southwest with temperatures gradually rising. This upper ridge will quickly break down as a pair of upper level troughs make there way back into Nevada by late New Years Eve. The first trough will have a surge of tropical moisture as it pushes up into southern California, bringing precipitaion chances up to 35-55% returning across the region just before the new year. Greatest amount of precipitation will be on Thursday with much of it being rain as warmer temperatures will keep the snow levels above 8000 feet. Model guidance now has chances for lingering showers to remain through Friday with chances up to 20-30%, again staying much as rain with snow levels above 8000 feet. By Saturday, the second trough will push into and merge with the first along with more tropical moisture, though not as much as the first trough. Chances rise back up to 30-50% across the region along with cooler temperatures, dropping snow levels down between 5500-6500 feet, however much of the moisture is expected to dissipate by Saturday afternoon. Three day total accumulation could see up to 0.1-0.2" of rain in the valleys across the region with some higher elevations and passes seeing up to 0.25" of rain. Total snow amounts will be mainly across the mountains seeing up to 3-6" of snow. Winds are expected to remain fair and light through the week.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence of quiet and warm weather through the first half of the week.

High confidence of upper trough with tropical moisture returning late New Years Eve into New Years Day.

Moderate confidence of lingering showers through Friday.

Moderate confidence of second round of showers through Saturday.

Low confidence of precipitation transitioning to snow Saturday for elevations above 5500 feet.

AVIATION

Look for VFR conditions over all terminals over the next 24 hour period with some light scattered clouds around FL250. Winds will be light at or below 10 kts.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.