textproduct: Elko
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
* Dry weather conditions throughout central and northern Nevada this week.
* Warming temperature trend through the week reaching to a couple of degrees above normal.
* Unseasonably warm Friday through the weekend.
DISCUSSION
(Today through next Wednesday)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Skies are clear this morning with nothing on radar as the weather pattern remains on the dry and quiet side.
All models are depicting slowly increasing heights across northern and central nevada through Friday as an east Pacific upper level ridge slides eastward during this timeframe. This will result in a continuation of the dry and quiet weather over the forecast area. The ridge axis appears to be at its maximum on Friday, which will lead to very warm temperatures for the area. In fact some locales may see near record temperatures. Winds will be light around 5-10 mph with gusts up to 20 mph each afternoon.
By the start of next week, models show slight cooling as a weak upper level trough moves over the western United States that will help weaken the upper ridge. However, look for conditions to remain dry with above normal temperatures continuing.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence for dry weather conditions over the next 7 days. High confidence for warming temperature trend, becoming unseasonably warm over the weekend with above normal temperatures. Low to moderate confidence on cooler temperatures next week from a weak upper level trough. No changes to NBM grids at this time.
AVIATION
VFR conditions are expected through the next 24 hours. Occasional late morning and afternoon gusts to 20KT possible over the KELY and KTPH terminals.
FIRE WEATHER
There are no elevated fire concerns at this time across all zones. Warming temperature trends throughout the week can be expected as high temperatures reach several degrees above normal with Friday and the weekend seeing unseasonably warmer temperatures reaching around 15 degrees above normal. Minimum relative humidity values trend will lower through the week reaching into the single digits. However, winds remain light and below critical thresholds.
LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories
None.
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