textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 145 AM PST Thu Nov 13 2025 * Unseasonably warm temperatures through Thursday

* Strong, gusty winds in Central Nevada Thursday with patchy blowing dust

* A drier, warmer weather system will impact the state late this week according to latest model runs

UPDATE

Issued at 145 AM PST Thu Nov 13 2025

No changes are planned at this time as forecast remains on track.

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through next Wednesday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Satellite imagery this afternoon is showing a mass of mid and high level clouds over northern and central Nevada this afternoon. Winds are generally below 15 mph this afternoon. Look for quiet conditions during the overnight period with lows in the 30s.

An upper level trough will appear on the west coast of the United States on Thursday. Model simulations depict the system remaining offshore through the day tomorrow. Main impact will be an increase in wind speeds with patchy blowing dust possible. Winds will be out of the south and southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph. The visibility reductions to patchy blowing dust will be around one mile or less in the most dense dust plumes. Light, showery precipitation is expected to develop but it will be in spots and accumulations will be on the light side. Highs will be in the 60s. Look for the light showers to spread east and south during the overnight with lows in the 30s and 40s. Snow levels will be high at or above 8500 feet. Total precipitation is expected to be around a trace to around a tenth of an inch.

Friday through the weekend, the upper level system will push to the south slightly, then take a sharp jig to the northeast and across portions of central Nevada on Saturday, slowly working its way through northern Nevada on Sunday. This will bring cooling into the area each day with on and off showers during the weekend period. Highs will be in the 50s and 60s on Friday and Saturday, cooling into the 50s by Sunday. Lows will be in the 20s and 30s. Winds will be breezy but will not be making it to advisory criteria.

Activity remains for next Monday through the mid-week portion with rain and snow showers and cooler temperatures in the 40s and 50s with lows in the 20s and 30s.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Confidence remains moderate at best with the incoming storm system due to uncertainty of precipitation forecasts.

AVIATION

VFR conditions will persist through the overnight with light winds. However, an incoming storm system will bring increasing south to southwest winds late Thursday morning and afternoon, 10-20G30-35KT. This could cause LCL BLDU across portions of northern and central Nevada with reductions to VSBY of 1SM or less. However, there is a low likelihood of occurrence to warrant placement in the TAFs at this time.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.