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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
* Smoke from area wildfires will cause respiratory issues over Northern Nevada today
* Near record heat in most of Northern and Central Nevada each afternoon Friday through Sunday
* Moderate risk of heat-related illnesses for heat-sensitive groups each afternoon Friday through Sunday
* Heat will persist into at least the middle of next week
DISCUSSION
(This afternoon through Wednesday)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: An anticyclone aloft over the Desert Southwest will slowly move westward into Southern California today through Sunday. The air quality will be unhealthy for sensitive groups at times today due to smoke from area wildfires. As the aforementioned upper-level area of high pressure creeps closer to the Silver State Friday through Sunday, the heat will build. Record heat is expected in Ely Friday afternoon. Near record heat is anticipated in Elko and Eureka Friday afternoon. A Heat Advisory is in effect for most of Northern and Central Nevada from 11 AM PDT Friday morning until 9 PM PDT Friday evening. Record heat is expected in Ely and Eureka Saturday afternoon. Near record heat is anticipated in Elko, Winnemucca, and Tonopah Saturday afternoon. Record heat is expected in Ely and Eureka Sunday afternoon. Near record heat is anticipated in Tonopah Sunday afternoon. Heat Advisories will likely be required for most of the forecast area Saturday and Sunday. Here are probabilities of triple digit heat for select locations in Northern and Central Nevada on Saturday, August 1st, 2026:
Battle Mountain - 95% Carlin - 95% Elko - 90% Winnemucca - 90% West Wendover - 90% Wells - 90% Spring Creek - 85% Tonopah - 80% Eureka - 70% Ely - 50%
High temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada Monday afternoon will be around five degrees above normal for this time of year. Maximum temperatures across the forecast area Tuesday afternoon will be seven to nine degrees above seasonal values. High temperatures through Northern and Central Nevada Wednesday afternoon will be around ten degrees above normal for this time of year. Heat Advisories may be required for parts of Northern and Central Nevada Monday through Wednesday.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Medium forecast confidence regarding smoke from area wildfires causing respiratory issues over Northern Nevada today. High forecast confidence in near record heat in most of Northern and Central Nevada each afternoon Friday through Sunday. High forecast confidence regarding a moderate risk of heat-related illnesses for heat-sensitive groups each afternoon Friday through Sunday. High forecast confidence in heat persisting into at least the middle of next week.
AVIATION
VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals through at least the next 24 hours. Smoke from regional wildfires will result in periods of hazy skies today. Be that as it may, the visibility is expected to remain above six statue miles at all terminals.
FIRE WEATHER
A warming trend is expected throughout Northern and Central Nevada Friday and Saturday. By Saturday afternoon, high temperatures will be around ten degrees above normal for this time of year. High temperatures will remain above seasonal values Sunday through at least Wednesday. Dry weather will persist across Northern and Central Nevada for the foreseeable future.
LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories
Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 9 PM PDT Friday NVZ031-033-035>039.
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