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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

1205 PM PST Sat Feb 21 2026

* Warming trend Sunday and Monday

* Periods of mountain snow and valley rain in Northern Nevada Tuesday through Wednesday morning

* Unseasonably warm Thursday and Friday

DISCUSSION

(Tonight through Friday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A ridge of high pressure will remain over the Intermountain West tonight through Monday. Low temperatures tonight will be six to eight degrees below normal for this time of year. Minimum apparent temperatures tonight will be near zero degrees in the coldest valleys of White Pine and Southern Eureka Counties. A warming trend is expected Sunday and Monday. By Monday afternoon, high temperatures will be about five degrees above seasonal values.

An Eastern Pacific trough of low pressure will progress eastward over Northern California Monday night. This trough of low pressure will sag southward across Northern Nevada Tuesday through Wednesday morning, resulting in periods of mountain snow and valley rain. Snow levels will start at around 7,000 feet Tuesday morning, before dropping to about 6,000 feet Tuesday night. The majority of this precipitation will fall Tuesday night. Here are probabilities of one tenth of an inch or more of rain for select locations in Northern Nevada Tuesday through Wednesday morning:

Owyhee - 90% Wells - 85% Spring Creek - 75% Elko - 65% Carlin - 65% Jackpot - 65% Orovada - 65% McDermitt - 55% Battle Mountain - 45% Winnemucca - 40%

A ridge of high pressure will amplify over California Thursday and Friday, leading to unseasonably warm weather for the service area. High temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada Thursday afternoon will be around ten degrees above normal for this time of year. Maximum temperatures across Northern and Central Nevada Friday afternoon will be eleven to thirteen degrees above seasonal values. Bottom line warm and dry Thursday and Friday.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence regarding a warming trend Sunday and Monday. Moderate forecast confidence in periods of mountain snow and valley rain in Northern Nevada Tuesday through Wednesday morning. Low forecast confidence regarding unseasonably warm weather Thursday and Friday.

AVIATION

VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals through at least the next 24 hours. Winds will generally be light.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.


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