textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* Near record heat this afternoon

* Moderate risk for heat-related illnesses both this afternoon and Sunday afternoon

* Monsoonal moisture will move northward into Eastern Nevada early next week

* Marginal risk of excessive rainfall Tuesday and Wednesday

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Friday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: An upper-level anticyclone will move northeastward into Utah this afternoon. High temperatures this afternoon will be around ten degrees above normal for this time of year. A Heat Advisory is in effect for most of Northern and Central Nevada until 11 PM PDT this evening. Record heat is expected in Elko this afternoon. Record-tying heat is anticipated in Ely this afternoon. Near record heat is expected in Eureka this afternoon. Here are triple digit heat probabilities for locations in Northern and Central Nevada on Saturday, July 11th, 2026:

Battle Mountain - 97% West Wendover - 97% Elko - 96% Winnemucca - 96% Carlin - 96% Wells - 95% Spring Creek - 85% Ely - 80% Eureka - 80%

Hot conditions will persist Sunday as the aforementioned anticyclone aloft progresses northeastward into Wyoming. Southerly flow will develop Monday, pushing monsoonal moisture northward into the Silver State. A few strong thunderstorms are possible Monday afternoon into Monday evening. The primary thunderstorm hazards will be wind gusts near 50 mph and dangerous cloud to ground lightning strikes. Precipitable water anomalies should range from the 90th percentile to the 99th percentile Tuesday and Wednesday. Multi-day impacts could spur targeted opportunities for repetition of areas getting impacted by convection in consecutive, resulting in a marginal risk for excessive rainfall Tuesday and Wednesday. Here are thunderstorm probabilities for select locations in Northern and Central Nevada on Tuesday, July 14th, 2026:

Eureka - 46% Ely - 45% Lund - 44% Great Basin National Park - 43% Currie - 42% Ruby Lake - 42% Duckwater - 39% Jackpot - 35% Wells - 34% Elko - 32%

Thunderstorm chances will persist each afternoon and evening Thursday and Friday, but atmospheric moisture should not be as deep as Tuesday and Wednesday.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence regarding near record heat this afternoon. High forecast confidence in a moderate risk for heat-related illnesses both this afternoon and Sunday afternoon. High forecast confidence regarding monsoonal moisture moving northward into Eastern Nevada early next week. Moderate forecast confidence in a marginal risk of excessive rainfall Tuesday and Wednesday.

AVIATION

VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals through at least the next 24 hours. South to southwest winds gusts near 20 knots are expected this afternoon into this evening at all terminals, with the exception of KENV.

FIRE WEATHER

High temperatures this afternoon will be around ten degrees above normal for this time of year, resulting in near record heat. Hot conditions will persist Sunday. Monsoonal moisture will move northward into Eastern Nevada Monday. Deep, atmospheric moisture will remain in place through at least Wednesday, resulting in wetting thunderstorm chances each afternoon and evening.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

Heat Advisory until 11 PM PDT Sunday NVZ031-034-035-038-039.

Heat Advisory until 11 PM PDT Monday NVZ033.

Heat Advisory until 11 PM PDT this evening NVZ036-037-040-041.