textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* Unseasonably warm today and Friday

* Strong, gusty winds Saturday

* Turning cooler this weekend

* Near freezing temperatures in the coldest valleys of Northern and Central Nevada Sunday night

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through next Thursday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Calm weather conditions expected to be the dominant factor today and tomorrow with unseasonably warm temperatures as highs will be several degrees above normal to near 90 degrees. This evening and overnight, slight chances (10-30%) of some rain showers over northern and central Nevada as tropical moisture from the remnants of the Pacific Hurricanes move across the state today. Trace amounts of precipitation may reach into the valleys overnight as temperatures cool, but much of the rain is expected over mountain peaks. Weather clears out Friday to sunny conditions and above normal temperatures, with winds increasing in the afternoon up to 10-15 mph, gusts 20-25 mph as a low pressure system to the northwest begins to push into northwestern CONUS, tightening weather gradients. By Saturday, strong gusty winds expected as the gradients tighten further with wind speeds up to 20-25 mph, gusts up to 35-45 mph. High temperatures will still be a few degrees above normal, but cooler air begins to move in keeping highs in the 80s with much of the cold air reaching by midnight as lows drop into the 40s with a few valleys into the 30s. Sunday, winds will be much weaker with a few breezy gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoons. Temperatures shift to the opposite spectrum with highs now expected to be several degrees below normal this time of year with highs in the 60s-70s (80s for parts of central Nevada in N. Nye County and White Pine County). Overnight lows drop to near freezing temperatures in the 30s and 40s with some valleys below freezing. Monday is expected to see much the same as Sunday with highs several degrees below normal and overnight lows in the 30s to 40s. By Tuesday and into mid- week, temperatures will slightly warm up but stay within normal.

AVIATION

Look for VFR conditions at all terminals over the next 24 hour periods with some southwesterly winds up to 10-12 kts, gusts 20-25 kts. Tropical moisture from the remnants of the Pacific Hurricanes increasing chances for VCSH and -SHRA conditions across all terminal this evening and overnight.

FIRE WEATHER

Calm weather conditions this afternoon with increasing chances for some isolated showers this evening and overnight as moisture from the remnants of the Pacific Hurricanes move across Nevada. Chance of wetting rain remain low with valleys seeing trace amounts, up to 0.01 inches. A few mountain peaks may see up to 0.1 inch. Fire Weather Watch is in effect for all zones 11 am to 8 pm Saturday afternoon due to strong southwesterly gusty winds reaching up to 40-45 mph and low humidity. Cooling temperature trend this weekend with temperatures being several degrees below normal.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

Fire Weather Watch 18Z Saturday until 9Z Sunday for zones 424, 425, 426, 427, 437, 438, 469, and 470.