textproduct: Elko
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
* Cold tonight
* Warming trend Thursday and Friday
* Unseasonably warm this weekend
* A storm system will impact Nevada early next week
DISCUSSION
(Today through Tuesday)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A storm system will move eastward into the Rocky Mountains today. Low temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada tonight will be around five degrees below normal for this time of year. Minimum apparent temperatures in the coldest valleys of Northern and Central Nevada tonight will be in the teens. A ridge of high pressure will build eastward across Southern Idaho Thursday and Friday, leading to a warming trend. High temperatures across Northern and Central Nevada Thursday afternoon will be about five degrees warmer than this afternoon. Maximum temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada Friday afternoon will be a couple of degrees above seasonal values. A pleasant and dry weekend is in store for the Silver State.
Looking at our next set-up, those of us who greatly enjoy winter weather will be very pleased as a polar jet has the potential of working its way back into our area. This will contain a deep low bringing a strong cold front through our area early next week, dropping highs back down to the 40s and 50s, and our lows into the 20s and 30s. This front will have the potential to bring precipitation next Monday and Tuesday, but confidence in timing and amounts are low as we are nearly a full week away.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence in dry and warming conditions starting Thursday. Moderate confidence in temperatures decreasing along the front next week. Low confidence in precipitation types, placement, and timing next week. No deviations from the NBM model output.
AVIATION
VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals through at least the next 24 hours.
FIRE WEATHER
Low temperatures across Northern and Central Nevada tonight will be around five degrees below normal for this time of year. A warming trend is expected Thursday and Friday. By Friday afternoon, high temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada will be a couple of degrees above seasonal values. After an unseasonably warm weekend, a storm system will impact the Silver State early next week.
LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories
None.
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