textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* Elevated fire weather conditions through this early evening

* Fair weather and warmer temperatures are expected during the latter half of the week and into the upcoming weekend

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through next Wednesday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Skies are sunny across northern and central Nevada this afternoon. West to northwest flow is expected to continue through the next several days. This will keep skies mostly sunny with a mix of clouds and sun for Saturday. An upper ridge will maintain its position across the eastern Pacific with weak troughing trying to set up across California for the weekend. Extreme southeast White Pine county will be on the edge of any shower activity. Winds will be generally breezy during the afternoon with gusts to 20 mph, with slightly stronger wind gusts to 25 mph on Saturday. Afternoon high temperatures will be in the 80s and low 90s on Thursday, rising to the 90s across most locations Friday through next week. Overnight lows will be on the chilly side tonight with 30s and 40s expected. Some of the colder locales across portions of Elko county will see temperatures near 30 to freezing, and as a result, a frost advisory has been issued for northern and south-central Elko county from 11PM PDT to 8AM PDT Thursday morning. Look for morning lows to range in the 40s to even the low 50s through the weekend.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: There is high confidence for quiet, dry weather conditions with warming temperatures lasting through the upcoming weekend.

AVIATION

VFR conditions are expected through the next 24 hours. Strong winds with gusts to 30-35KT will continue later this evening with the KTPH terminal remaining breezy with 20KT gusts during the overnight. Winds will be lighter Thursday afternoon.

FIRE WEATHER

Winds will remain breezy late this afternoon with most gusts around 30 mph, though some localized gusts to 35 mph are possible across portions of fire zones 425, 469, and 470. Northwest flow will continue Thursday afternoon with lighter winds expected. In addition, expect a few more degrees of warming, and even more warming on Friday. Temperatures will be in the 80s to low 90s during the upcoming weekend with minimum relativity values in the single digits to teens. Afternoon gusts on Saturday are expected to be around 20 to 25 mph with elevated fire conditions.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

Frost Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 8 AM PDT Thursday for NVZ031-039.