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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
1201 PM PST Wed Mar 4 2026
* Periods of precipitation this afternoon through Thursday afternoon
* Accumulating valley snow tonight and Thursday morning
* Strong, gusty winds in Central Nevada Thursday
* Warming trend Friday through Monday
DISCUSSION
(This afternoon through Tuesday)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Precipitation ahead of a trough of low pressure will overspread Northern and Central Nevada from west to east this afternoon. This trough of low pressure will move through the forecast area tonight through Thursday afternoon, resulting in periods of precipitation. Snow levels will start at around 6,500 feet this afternoon, before dropping to the valley floor tonight. The majority of this precipitation will fall this evening. Here are probabilities of one inch or more of snowfall for select locations in Northern and Central Nevada from 4 PM PST this afternoon until 4 PM PST Thursday afternoon:
Owyhee - 87% Jackpot - 71% Ruby Lake - 69% Lamoille - 68% Jiggs - 55% Spring Creek - 54% Wells - 33% Austin - 32% Elko - 29% Eureka - 29%
Strong, gusty northwest winds will develop on the back side of the aforementioned trough of low pressure Thursday. A Wind Advisory is in effect for Central Nevada from 8 AM PST Thursday morning until 7 PM PST Thursday evening. An upper-level area of low pressure will develop in the base of the trough over the Desert Southwest Friday. This cyclone aloft will progress southwestward this weekend. Farther north, a ridge of high pressure will build eastward across Northern Nevada this weekend. This ridge of high pressure will shift southward early next week. A warming trend is expected Friday through Monday. By Monday afternoon, maximum temperatures across Northern and Central Nevada will be twelve to fourteen degrees above normal for this time of year.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence regarding periods of precipitation this afternoon through Thursday afternoon. High forecast confidence in accumulating valley snow tonight and Thursday morning. Moderate forecast confidence regarding strong, gusty winds in Central Nevada Thursday. Moderate forecast confidence in a warming trend Friday through Monday. No deviations from the NBM model output.
AVIATION
MVFR conditions are likely in and near precipitation this afternoon through Thursday afternoon. The possibility of MVFR conditions is not large enough to place in the terminal forecasts at this time. Westerly wind gusts near 30 knots are expected at KWMC, KENV, and KTPH this afternoon into this evening.
LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories
Winter Weather Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 7 PM PST Thursday NVZ031-034.
Wind Advisory from 8 AM to 7 PM PST Thursday NVZ035-037-039>041.
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