textproduct: Elko
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
* Next round of precipitation is expected this weekend with generally unsettled weather into early next week
* Cooling trend this weekend
* A few strong thunderstorms possible both this afternoon and Sunday afternoon
UPDATE
Issued at 1208 AM PDT Sat Apr 25 2026
The current forecast is on track. No updates are planned.
DISCUSSION
(Today through Friday)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: An Eastern Pacific trough will be moving through the flow today. Moisture will creep into the area as well. Afternoon highs will be in the 50s and 60s for the most part. Winds will be breezy from time to time but will only gust to about 25 mph. Isolated thunderstorms are expected in parts of Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon, with the best chances seen in Central Nevada. CAPE values are quite low at about 100 to 150J/kg, with marginal instability mainly from US Highway 50 northeast to northeast Elko County. Main threats from storms will be wind gusts to 45 mph and dangerous cloud to ground lightning strikes. Thunderstorm probability for the day is coming in at around ten to fifteen percent. Best chances for shower activity will be across central Nevada, along the US Highway 50 corridor. Snow levels are going to be quite high today at around 7000 feet. Look for the chances for showers to continue through the overnight with lows in the 30s and 40s. Snow levels will continue to remain rather high at around 6000 feet in the north and 7000 feet in Central Nevada.
For Sunday, the shortwave will come across central Nevada. Rainfall amounts look fairly robust over portions of Central Nevada, with a half to three-quarter inches of total accumulation possible. Through the weekend, the probability of Ely seeing a quarter-inch or more of rainfall is ninety-six percent with Eureka coming in at sixty-six percent. At a half-inch or more of accumulation, Ely is showing seventy-one percent and Eureka is at twenty-nine percent. Amounts of about a tenth or so are more probable in the north. Highs on Sunday will be in the 50s for the most part. Winds will be breezy out of the west with gusts to 25 mph. The upper trough hangs around Sunday night and Monday with additional light accumulations possible with lows in the 30s.
Monday through Friday, models are showing light precipitation hanging around the area Monday with breezy conditions and cool temperatures continuing in the 50s. Overnight lows will be in the 20s and 30s. Tuesday through the rest of the week, showers will hang around but will not amount to too much. Have kept the showery forecast mostly isolated in nature with highs in the 50s and 60s and lows in the 20s and 30s.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: No changes were made to the NBM forecast. Confidence continues to remain high on rain showers with any snow accumulations remaining along the higher elevation mountain ranges.
AVIATION
VFR conditions will continue through the next 24 hour period, with an incoming storm system bringing increasing chances for precipitation and MVFR/IFR conditions late in the forecast period. Winds will be breezy with gusts not expected to be greater than 30KT.
LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories
None.
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