textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1252 AM PST Sun Nov 16 2025 * Unseasonably warm today

* Periods of rain in the valleys of Northern and Central Nevada Saturday evening through Monday night

* Light snow on passes and summits Sunday evening through Monday night

* Much cooler Sunday and Monday

UPDATE

Issued at 1252 AM PST Sun Nov 16 2025

Light rain showers continue across northern Elko and Humboldt counties this morning with additional scattered showers developing across central Nevada and drifting northward through the morning hours. Current trends remain well defined with no changes to the forecast planned.

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through next Saturday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: The upper-level low pressure system over Southern California will shift northward into northern and central Nevada this evening. This will be the first of several weather impacts through Monday, with models showing greater confidence of more weather impacts late-week. Precipitation will be widespread throughout northern and central by this evening with periods of rain lasting through Monday. No chance of snow this evening as temperatures remain very warm, except for mountain peaks as snow levels will be at 10,000 ft. Snow levels are expected to drop as cooler temperatures move in, dropping to 6000 ft by Monday. Light snow is expected over passes and summits along US-50 and I-80 east of Elko Sunday evening through Monday. Chance of precipitation gradually increases as the system moves north, up to 60-70% for central Nevada this evening, and Sunday afternoon, with northern Nevada up to 25-30% this evening, increasing to 50-70% tomorrow afternoon. Chances are lower Monday, but stay around 25-35% across the region.

Much cooler temperatures expected across central and northern Nevada as the system moves east, giving a more northerly flow. Temperatures Sunday expected to be 10 degrees cooler than today, with Monday temperatures dropping to below normal. Models are showing better agreement of another round of weather impacting the silver state late Wednesday evening into Thursday.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence of unseasonably warm temperatures today, followed by cooler weather Sunday and below normal temperatures Monday. High confidence of intermittent periods of rain over central and northern Nevada this evening through Monday. Moderate confidence of light snow on summits and passes Sunday evening through Monday. Increasing confidence of another weather system impacting Nevada late Wednesday into Thursday.

AVIATION

Expect VFR conditions to be dominant at all northern terminals until this evening. Central terminals KELY and KTPH may see MVFR or lower conditions today as -SHRA and -RA passes over the airports along with possible HZ and BR conditions. This evening, VCSH and light showers are expected to impact all terminals this evening. Cloud levels also expected to impact flight conditions dropping between FL010 and FL050 at all airports. Southerly winds at all airports with speeds at northern terminals at 7-10 kts, while central terminals seeing stronger winds at 12-15 kts, gusts up to 25 kts.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.