textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* Light precipitation possible in parts of Northern and Central Nevada this evening through Wednesday morning

* Dry conditions expected Thursday through at least Monday

* Warming trend Thursday through Sunday

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Monday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: An Eastern Pacific upper-level area of low pressure will move inland over Northern California this afternoon. High temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon will be two to four degrees below normal for this time of year. The aforementioned cyclone aloft will progress eastward across the forecast area this evening into Wednesday morning, resulting in a chance of light precipitation. Snow levels will start at around 7,000 feet this evening, before dropping to about 5,500 feet tonight. The majority of this light precipitation will fall tonight.

A ridge of high pressure will build northward across the Silver State Thursday through Monday. As a result, dry weather is expected in Northern and Central Nevada. A warming trend is anticipated Thursday through Sunday. By Sunday afternoon, high temperatures across Northern and Central Nevada will be six to eight degrees above seasonal values.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence regarding light precipitation in parts of Northern and Central Nevada this evening through Wednesday morning. High forecast confidence in a warming trend Thursday through Sunday. Moderate forecast confidence in dry weather Thursday through at least Monday. No deviations from the NBM model output.

AVIATION

VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals today. MVFR conditions are likely in and near precipitation this evening through Wednesday morning. Low forecast confidence regarding the exact timing and location of the precipitation.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.