textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* Fair weather and warmer temperatures are expected through this weekend.

* Very warm temperatures possible early next week

DISCUSSION

(Today through next Friday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:

Fair weather, warming temperatures, and light to breezy afternoon winds continue as upper ridge builds in from the west coast. westerly afternoon winds to run at 10 MPH to 20 MPH with a few gusts up to 30 MPH possible through Saturday. Sunday and Monday a quick moving trough will pass through the WNW flow over the Pacific NW, this will shift winds to the north but at speeds similar to prior days. Winds shift back to the west Tuesday through Friday. Sunday a small weak low will be passing through Arizona, for the most part sensible weather from this system will be south of our area, but enough moisture may make it to far SW White Pine County to trigger a isolated thundershower or two for Great Basin NP. The other notable change will be the warm-up of temperatures this week into the next. High temperatures look to warm from the low 80s to low 90s Thursday, back into the upper 80s to upper 90s by next Wednesday. Overnight lows will also warm, rising back into the upper 40s to upper 50s by Sunday morning.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: There is high confidence for quiet, dry weather conditions with warming temperatures lasting through next weekend.

AVIATION

VFR conditions look to be the primary flight conditions through Friday. Winds will be WNW at 10KT to 20KT with occasional gusts up to 30KT possible.

FIRE WEATHER

Elevated fire weather concerns possible over the next few days as the upper level ridge builds east. Westerly winds of 10 to 20 MPH with a few gusts up to 30 MPH possible. A quick moving trough passing to the north will shift winds out of the north Sunday and Monday, but speeds remain similar. Warming temperatures continue, peeking in the upper 80s to upper 90s by Next Wednesday.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.