textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* Record warmth is expected in most of Northern and Central Nevada each afternoon through Wednesday

* Dry weather will persist through the upcoming weekend

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through next Monday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Current satellite imagery is depicting mid and high level clouds moving over portions of northern and central Nevada this afternoon. Some peaks of sun from time to time are noted. For tonight, expect quiet and clear conditions with lows in the 30s and 40s.

Look for the upper ridge axis to be at its maximum Tuesday afternoon. This will result in a repeat of warm afternoon temperatures with readings in the 70s to low 80s. Winds will be a bit breezy during the afternoon, with southwest to west winds of 15 to 25 mph, with gusts to 40 mph. Here are some probabilities for high temperatures greater than 80 degrees for select locations across Northern and Central Nevada Tuesday:

Austin - 0% Battle Mountain - 85% Elko - 70% Ely - 25% Eureka - 10% Jackpot - 25% Jarbidge - 0% Owyhee - 0% Ruth - 0% Spring Creek - 25% Tonopah - 60% Wells - 25% West Wendover - 80% Wildhorse Res - 0% Winnemucca - 55%

The overnight hours on Tuesday will remain dry and quiet with lows in the 40s and 50s with light winds.

Models continue to depict the upper level ridge to shift to the east and be across the southern portions of New Mexico and northern Mexico. Look for some afternoon breezes to pick up across northern and central Nevada out of the west with wind speeds of 10 to 20 mph and gusts to 40 mph. Highs during the afternoon hours will rise into the 70s to low 80s. Here are some probabilities for high temperatures greater than 80 degrees for select locations across Northern and Central Nevada for Wednesday:

Austin - 0% Battle Mountain -70% Elko - 65% Ely - 45% Eureka - 45% Jackpot - 25% Jarbidge - 2% Owyhee - 5% Ruth - 0% Spring Creek - 35% Tonopah - 45% Wells - 50% West Wendover - 85% Wildhorse Res - 0% Winnemucca - 15%

More of the same is expected Wednesday night with dry and calm weather with lows in the 30s and 40s.

Heights are expected to decrease, with west to east flow dominating Northern and Central Nevada Thursday. A rather distinct cool down is looking increasingly likely, with afternoon high temperatures in the 60s and 70s. Though this cool down is expected to bring readings ten to fifteen degrees lower than Wednesday`s highs, it is still above normal for this time of year. Winds will be occasionally breezy, with northwest to north winds gusting to 25 mph. Look for quiet and dry to continue Thursday night with lows in the 20s and 30s.

On Friday, models are showing weak troughing over the west coast, but conditions remain dry and warm for this time of year. Winds will be light and temperatures will continue to remain above normal levels with highs in the 70s and lows in the 30s and 40s. A few high temperature records across central Nevada are possible as forecast highs are currently within three degrees. Quiet weather is expected for the overnight with lows in the 30s and 40s.

It continues to look rather uneventful for Saturday. The area will be under southwest flow aloft with another opportunity for recording setting high temperatures at all locations. Highs will be in the mid 70s to low 80s with lows in the 30s and 40s.

Though well off in the distance, models are trying to work moisture into the forecast area on Sunday and Monday. Though highs on Sunday will be in the 70s, it will be a few degrees cooler on Monday. Lows will be in the 30s and 40s.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Confidence in the forecast is very high. No changes were made to the NBM forecast.

AVIATION

VFR conditions will persist through the next 24 hours. Winds across the northern terminals during the afternoon will increase out of the southwest 10-20G30KT. Winds across the central Nevada terminals are expected to be much less, staying below 15KT.

CLIMATE

Records continue to fall across Northern and Central Nevada and the next two days will keep this trend intact. Here is the current round of forecast versus record high temperatures (including the year they were set) for March 24 and 25:

March 24: KEKO: 72/1956 79 KELY: 72/1908 80 KP68: 71/2022 81 KTPH: 75/2022 84 KWMC: 76/2022 81

March 25: KEKO: 77/2022 80 KELY: 74/2022 81 KP68: 76/2022 80 KTPH: 79/2022 83 KWMC: 80/2022 79

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.