textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* A few strong thunderstorms are expected in Eastern Elko County this afternoon into this evening

* Breezy conditions throughout Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon into this evening

* Cooling trend today and Wednesday

* Periods of rain late this weekend into early next week

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Monday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: An Eastern Pacific trough of low pressure will approach the coast of Northern California this afternoon. This will tighten the surface pressure gradient, resulting in sustained south to southwest winds 15 to 20 mph, with gusts near 30 mph this afternoon into this evening. A few strong thunderstorms are anticipated in Eastern Elko County this afternoon into this evening. The primary thunderstorm hazards will be wind gusts near 45 mph and dangerous cloud to ground lightning strikes. A cooling trend is expected today and Wednesday. By Wednesday afternoon, high temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada will be around ten degrees below normal for this time of year.

An upper level area of low pressure will make landfall along the coast of the Pacific Northwest Thursday. This cyclone aloft will meander around the coast of the Pacific Northwest Friday into the upcoming weekend. Meanwhile, a tropical cyclone will be located in the Eastern Pacific, just west of the Baja Peninsula this weekend. There are indications that these two storm systems may interact with each other, drawing atmospheric moisture northward. Forecast confidence is slowly increasing regarding this scenario. Regardless, timing, coverage, and extent of any precipitation late this weekend into early next week will need to be further refined in the upcoming few days. Here are probabilities of one tenth of an inch of rain or more fore select locations in Northern and Central Nevada from 5 AM PDT Sunday, September 6th, 2026 until 5 AM PDT Tuesday, September 8th, 2026:

Ely - 65% Wells - 55% Jackpot - 55% West Wendover - 50% Elko - 45% Spring Creek - 45% Tonopah - 45% Eureka - 45% Carlin - 45% Owyhee - 40%

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Forecast confidence is moderate regarding a few strong thunderstorms in Eastern Elko County this afternoon into this evening. Forecast confidence is high in breezy conditions throughout Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon into this evening. Forecast confidence is high regarding a cooling trend today and Wednesday. Forecast confidence is slowly increasing regarding periods of rain late this weekend into early next week. No deviations from the NBM model output.

AVIATION

VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals through at least the next 24 hours. South to southwest wind gusts near 25 knots are expected at all terminals this afternoon into this evening.

FIRE WEATHER

A few strong thunderstorms are possible in Eastern Elko County this afternoon into this evening. The primary hazards will be erratic wind gusts near 45 mph and dangerous cloud to ground lightning strikes. Elevated fire weather conditions are expected in Northern Humboldt County today due to southwest wind gusts near 30 mph and minimum relative humidity values as low as 11%.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.