textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* Warming trend continues today.

* Unseasonably warm Friday through Sunday.

* Near record warmth in most of Northern and Central Nevada both Friday afternoon and Saturday afternoon.

* Near record warmth is parts of Northern and Central Nevada Sunday afternoon.

DISCUSSION

(Today through next Thursday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A ridge of high pressure will continue to build eastward across northern and central Nevada. The result of increasing heights will be a warming trend that will expand south and east this afternoon. High temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada today will be about ten degrees above seasonal values with readings in the 80s. Overnight lows will be in the 40s

The upper ridge axis will be over southern Nevada and southwest Utah Friday. This upper-level area of high pressure will remain across the Desert Southwest this weekend. High temperatures each afternoon Friday through Sunday will be around fifteen degrees above normal for this time of year. Near record warmth is anticipated in Elko, Ely, and Tonopah Friday afternoon. Near record warmth is expected in Elko, Winnemucca, and Ely Saturday afternoon. Near record warmth is anticipated in Elko and Ely Sunday afternoon.

A weak trough of low pressure will pass eastward across the Silver State Monday. This will result in a downward temperature trend and possibly a light shower or two. Be that as it may, high temperatures will remain well above seasonal values both Monday afternoon and Tuesday afternoon.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: No adjustments were made to the NBM model output. High forecast confidence regarding a warming trend this afternoon. High forecast confidence in unseasonably warm weather Friday through Sunday. Moderate forecast confidence regarding near record warmth in most of northern and central Nevada both Friday afternoon and Saturday afternoon. Moderate forecast confidence in near record warmth in parts of northern and central Nevada Sunday afternoon.

AVIATION

Look for VFR conditions to continue at all terminals through the upcoming 24 hour forecast period. Northwest to north wind gusts near 20 knots are expected at KELY and KTPH this afternoon.

FIRE WEATHER

No fire weather concerns are noted at this time. A period of warming temperatures will continue through the weekend. For this afternoon, high temperatures across northern and central Nevada will be around ten degrees above normal for this time of year. Near record warmth is expected in most of northern and central Nevada each afternoon Friday through Sunday. Dry weather will persist for at least the next several days with occasional afternoon breezes to 20 mph.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.