textproduct: Elko
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
* Quiet conditions under mostly sunny weather expected through Thursday.
* Potential cold and wet weather system for the upcoming weekend.
DISCUSSION
(Today through next Tuesday)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Conditions are quiet this morning across all of northern and central Nevada. High clouds are moving through the area. There is some patchy freezing fog across extreme southwestern valleys in Humboldt county this morning.
All models are depicting the upper ridge that has been over the area the last several days will continue to reside within the vicinity. This will mean quiet weather conditions and warmer than normal high temperatures. Readings will be in the 50s and 60s through roughly late Thursday. Overnight lows will be in the 20s and 30s. Winds will general remain the light side with a few afternoon gusts in the 20s.
There continues to be the potential for active weather across portions of northern and central Nevada beginning late Friday. Models have had difficulty handling the forecast scenario due to variability in timing and strength of the aforementioned system. It appears the upper ridge will be pushing east on Thursday with low pressure beginning to impact the area late in the Friday timeframe. Cooler weather along with periods of shower activity is expected through roughly the end of this forecast time frame. Current long term will follow this trajectory with temperatures cooling to at or below normal levels during the weekend into early next week.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Minor tweaks were made to the near term grids to account for the patchy freezing fog seen across extreme southwest Humboldt county this morning. Otherwise, no other changes were made to the NBM. Confidence remains high on the ridge maintaining control of the weather for northern and central Nevada through roughly Thursday. Confidence is low to moderate on the first system making its way into the area late Friday, with very low confidence pertaining to the weather after Saturday due to continued run to run variability.
AVIATION
Look for VFR conditions to continue at all locations through the next 24 hours.
KBAM remains AMD NOT SKED due to hardware upgrades.
LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories
None.
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