textproduct: Elko

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

* Periods of valley rain and mountain snow today

* A few strong thunderstorms possible this afternoon * Unseasonably cool today

* Warming trend Tuesday through Saturday

UPDATE

Issued at 1201 AM PDT Mon Apr 27 2026

The current forecast is on track. No updates are planned.

DISCUSSION

(Today through Sunday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: An atmospheric impulse will move eastward across the forecast area today. There is a pesky upper level low hanging around south-central Canada and a persistent trough over northern and central Nevada. This will keep the threat for showers across the area with the highest pops centered in Central Nevada. In addition, surface based CAPE values of 100 to 250J/kg and marginal instability may bring isolated thunderstorms to portions of Northern and Central Nevada. Main threats will be wind gusts to 45 mph and cloud to ground lightning strikes. Highs will be in the 50s for the most part though locales in Central Nevada that will be seeing rain may only make it into the upper 40s. Winds will be light. During the overnight, the light precipitation is expected move off to the east and gradually end. Overnight lows will be in the 20s and 30s.

Expect a brief break in the weather Tuesday morning, but the aforementioned pesky trough will hang over portions of Eastern Nevada. This could be enough to set off instability showers during the late morning and afternoon hours. Not much in the way of precipitation is expected with this feature. Highs will be a bit warmer than today with readings in the 50s and 60s. Winds are expected to remain light. Look for clouds to scatter out during the overnight hours with lows in the 30s.

Northern and Central Nevada will be in between weather systems Wednesday. Some isolated showers will be possible in Eastern Nevada, but for the most part, the weather is expected to remain quiet. Little to no precipitation is expected. Highs will be warming to the mid to upper 60s. Winds will be on the light side. Quiet weather expected for Wednesday night with lows in the 30s.

Thursday through next Sunday, models are hinting at a dry and quiet period through this time frame. The main story will be the warming afternoon highs, reaching the mid to upper 70s Friday and Saturday. Lows will be in the 30s and 40s with light winds.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Confidence is high with the current system bringing precipitation to Central and portions of Northern Nevada today. Confidence is low to moderate with isolated thunderstorms forming this afternoon. Confidence is moderate for the drying out period for the mid to late week with a warming trend by the late week.

AVIATION

VFR conditions will be the predominant flight category across the northern TAF sites of KWMC, KBAM, KEKO, and KENV. Chances for precipitation and lower CIGS/VSBY will be greater over KTPH and KELY. In addition, will keep VCTS across the central terminals due to marginal instability with main threat from -TSRA strong wind gusts to 40KT.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.


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