textproduct: Elko
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
* Warming trend today and Friday
* Unseasonably warm weather this weekend
* A storm system will impact Eastern Nevada early next week
* Much cooler Tuesday
DISCUSSION
(Today through Wednesday)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: An upper level ridge will continue to build over our area, bringing with it mostly sunny skies, drier conditions, and warming temperatures. By Friday afternoon, high temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada will be around five degrees above normal for this time of year. Maximum temperatures across Northern and Central Nevada will remain above seasonal values this weekend.
Looking ahead to next week, a polar jet will be making its way to our region, bringing with it the chance for winter weather and colder temperatures. A cold front associated with an upper level trough will reduce our highs back to the 40s and 50s, as well as bring with it the chances for precipitation Tuesday and Wednesday. A colder air mass will also bring our lows down into the 20s and 30s next week. While these lows bring us the slightest bit of hope at building the first snowman of the season, confidence in the timing and intensity of this forecast is still low.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence in the forecast for the remainder of the week. Moderate confidence in the forecast for cooling temperatures early next week. Low confidence remains regarding the timing and intensity of the front and its associated precipitation chances early next week. No deviations from the NBM model output.
AVIATION
VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals for at least the next 24 hours.
FIRE WEATHER
A warming trend is expected today and Friday. By Friday afternoon, high temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada will be around five degrees above normal for this time of year. Maximum temperatures across Northern and Central Nevada will remain above seasonal values this weekend. A storm system will impact Eastern Nevada early next week.
LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories
None.
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