textproduct: Elko
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
* Moderate to major risk for heat-related illnesses for most of Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon
* A few strong thunderstorms possible in parts of Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon into this evening
* Monsoon weather pattern for Central and Eastern Nevada this weekend and into the next week
* Cooling trend Monday through Friday
DISCUSSION
(This afternoon through next Sunday)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Weak returns are noted this morning on radar with sprinkles falling across portions of north-central Nevada. Latest near term progs/CAMS are showing a slightly more unstable atmosphere at this time. Have updated the forecast for today and tonight to depict higher coverage of storms during this period. All grids have been published. Will get the text products out soon.
AVIATION
Look for VFR conditions across all terminals over the next 24 hour period. VCTS conditions this afternoon and evening at KELY and KTPH as monsoonal flow pushes into Nevada. Winds will be light below 10 kts with some breezy gusts up to 10-17 kts over the terminals, however strong gusty erratic winds up to 55 mph from nearby thunderstorms may be present at KELY and KTPH. CIG levels around FL100-120 with some as low as FL050 as cloud develops from increasing monsoon moisture.
FIRE WEATHER
Active isolated dry thunderstorms this afternoon and evening over fire zones 425, 426, and parts of 427 as monsoon moisture pushes into Central Nevada with increasing instability. The storm motion will be slow, which may allow some wetting rains to reach the valleys, however probabilities for ample amount of precipitation is very low. Elevated fire weather conditions today across the northern zones due to dry, hot, and breezy conditions. Active monsoon pattern is expected to be more widespread across central and parts of Eastern Nevada Monday, with a mix of wet/dry thunderstorms. Look for active monsoon thunderstorms to persist through next week.
LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories
Heat Advisory until 11 PM PDT this evening for NVZ031-034-035.
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