textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1040 AM PST Fri Jan 30 2026

* Warming trend continues through Saturday

* Increasing confidence of near record warmth in parts of Northern and Central Nevada Sunday afternoon

* Very low confidence for light showers in Northern Nevada on Monday followed by a return to quiet weather on Tuesday

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through next Friday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Ridging over the southwest CONUS anchored by an HPC off the SoCal coast remains entrenched over the Great Basin through Sunday. Some moisture associated with a system to the northwest lingering over northern NV has provided cloud cover for the northern half of the state today. The ridge will begin to migrate eastward by the end of the weekend. This will open the area up to southerly flow in the western flank of the ridge expediting the warming trend. This will threaten several high temperature records around the region this weekend as afternoon highs in the 50s and even 60 in central NV will run about 10-15 degrees above normal for this time of year.

A once promising trough pushes into the region Monday behind the exiting ridge. Current model analysis depicts the trough deamplifying with little to no forcing and/or moisture associated with the wave. Northwest flow builds back into the area by Tuesday behind the wave as high pressure yet again takes shape over the southwestern corner of the country. This will persist the warmer weather and subsequent snow drought for the Silver State well into February.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Confidence remains high in the warming trend occurring under continued high pressure over the SW CONUS. No major grid edits needed at this time.

AVIATION

Look for VFR conditions at all terminals over the next 24 hour period. Winds will be generally light and variable. Some lingering high level clouds over the area around FL150 and FL200 throughout the day.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.