textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* Expect slightly cooler temperatures today as a cold front passes eastward

* Winds will be strong and gusty this afternoon especially across northern Nevada. Wind advisories and a high wind warning are in effect

* A cooling trend commences today and will last through the weekend

UPDATE

Issued at 1157 PM PDT Tue May 12 2026

Current forecast was updated slightly across northeastern Nevada. NBM runs are showing an increased probability for strong sustained winds of 40 mph and gusts to 58 mph. Looking at the latest numbers, the NBM is showing approximately a seventy percent chance for wind speeds greater than 40 mph and roughly a fifty- five percent probability for wind gusts exceeding 58 mph. Have therefore upgraded zone 033 to a high wind warning with the 17Z Wed-06Z Thu time frame continuing for all wind headlines. Otherwise, gridded forecast continues as-is.

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through next Tuesday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Upper ridge is still on track to keep dry weather with potential for record breaking high temperatures today. High temperatures today is expected to reach above 80s degrees across the region with an 80-100% chance that northern Nevada will see above 85 degrees. Tomorrow, the chances for high temperatures to reach above 80 degrees drop to 40% for northern Nevada (except for West Wendover expected to see 90 degrees). Some breezy winds expected over central Nevada with speeds up to 10-15 mph, gusts 20-25 mph.

Wednesday, low pressure to the northwest will weaken the upper ridge and push to a more zonal flow by the evening. Main concerns is high winds across the region with stronger winds in northern Nevada up to 20-25 mph, gusts 35-45 mph which prompted a Wind Advisory for northern Nevada from 10 AM to 11 PM. High winds may cause blowing dust throughout much of the region which may limit visibility. Recent model trends are now showing no chance for showers over northern Nevada, as the low pressure stays to the north. Some clouds may develop as there will be mid-level moisture in the atmosphere, but not enough to produce wetting rains. There is still a 15% chance for some dry thunderstorms over northeastern Elko County Wednesday afternoon.

Zonal flow is expected to stay in place over Nevada for the rest of the week and into next week, keeping the upper ridge from building back up. This will aid in starting a cooling temperature trend through the weekend, bringing temperatures down to slightly above normal through Saturday with highs in the 70s, and to near normal by Sunday. Temperatures will start back on a warming trend by Monday, but stay relatively in the 70s.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence for warm temperatures today with potential record breaking temps. High confidence for strong gusty winds tomorrow prompting a Wind Advisory for northern Nevada. Low confidence for dry thunderstorm activity over northeastern Nevada. Moderate confidence for cooling temperature trend Thursday through the weekend. Adjust winds grids in the NBM to better reflect recent model runs.

AVIATION

Look for VFR conditions will continue across all terminals through this afternoon. Windy SW-W winds will develop later this morning 20-30G40KT at all terminals, though stronger winds of 30-35G45-50KT are possible at the KENV terminal. Due to the strong winds, areas of BLDU may form with local MVFR/IFR restrictions to VSBY/CIGS. Probability/confidence of occurrence and areal coverage is too low to place in any terminal forecast.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

Wind Advisory from 10 AM to 11 PM PDT Wednesday NVZ030-031-034-036-038-039.

High Wind Warning from 10 AM to 11 PM PDT Wednesday NVZ033.