textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* Breezy conditions across east-central Nevada through this evening

* Scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms across northern Humboldt County through the early evening, then partial clearing

* At or just below average temperatures will continue through the next several days

* Periods of rain showers late this weekend into early next week

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through next Friday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Light rain showers continue across portions of Humboldt county this afternoon and are expected into this evening. Rainfall amounts as seen from some remote observation platforms for the morning are coming in with a tenth or so, though twenty-four hour totals of a third of an inch was recorded at Texas Springs and Double H. Further east and south, skies are mostly sunny. There is an upper level low pressure system across northwest Oregon at this time and is responsible for bringing the light precipitation to Humboldt county. Southwest flow across central and northeast Nevada are keeping skies mostly sunny. For tonight, expect any rain showers to diminish during the overnight with skies gradually clearing. Overnight lows will be in the 40s.

Southwest flow will remain over northern and central Nevada Saturday. Skies are expected to be mostly sunny through the day with highs in the 70s and 80s. Winds will again be breezy to locally windy across central Nevada with gusts to 35 mph in the afternoon. Other locales will see occasional breezy conditions. High temperatures will be in the 70s and 80s once again. Overnight lows will be in the 40s.

A piece of energy will move around the base of the trough across northern California and northwest Nevada for Sunday. Some moisture from a tropical cyclone in the eastern Pacific will be picked up by the upper trough, bringing rain showers to the north and central locales. Amounts are expected to be on the light side with amounts of five-hundredths to a tenth. Highs will remain in the 70s and 80s with lows in the 40s and 50s.

From Monday through Friday, generally dry conditions are expected to persist though there are possible opportunities for light rain showers or a thunderstorm each afternoon from roughly Wednesday through the end of the period. Confidence is quite low at this time in this scenario. Afternoon high temperatures will be in the 70s and 80s with lows in the 40s and 50s. Afternoon breezes to 20 to 25 mph will be possible each afternoon.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence in cool temperatures and strong winds through the weekend. Weekend storm confidence continues to be moderate, with low confidence in storm potential next week. No changes were made from the NBM forecast.

AVIATION

VFR conditions will be the predominant flight category for all terminals through the next 24 hours. BLDU may affect KBAM during this period with temporary VSBY restrictions to MVFR. Winds will diminish during the early evening hours but can be expected to become breezy to windy Saturday after 18Z S-SW15-20G35KT.

FIRE WEATHER

Breezy to locally windy conditions will continue across portions of central Nevada through this early evening. Though wind gusts in central Nevada are expected to exceed 30 mph, minimum relative humidity values will hover at or just above critical thresholds. Similar conditions will be expected tomorrow across fire weather zones 425-427. Light rain showers are expected to continue into the early evening across fire zones 437 and portions of 438 this evening before diminishing. Dry conditions are expected Saturday but low pressure will push across the western United States, bringing light rain showers to portions of northern and central Nevada on Sunday. Temperatures through the upcoming week will be at or just below normal with afternoon breezes.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.