textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* Moderate risk for heat-related illnesses each afternoon today through Sunday

* Near record heat Saturday afternoon

* Monsoonal moisture will move northward into Central and Northern Nevada next week

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Thursday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: High pressure over Southern California will build northward this afternoon. Maximum temperatures this afternoon will be six to eight degrees above normal for this time of year. An upper-level anticyclone will move northeastward into Utah Saturday. High temperatures Saturday afternoon will be around ten degrees above seasonal values. A Heat Advisory is in effect for most of Northern and Central Nevada Saturday. Record heat is expected in Elko Saturday afternoon. Near record heat is anticipated in Ely and Eureka Saturday afternoon. Here are triple digit heat probabilities for select locations in Northern and Central Nevada on Saturday, July 11th, 2026:

Elko - 100% Battle Mountain - 100% West Wendover - 100% Carlin - 99% Winnemucca - 98% Wells - 98% Eureka - 80% Spring Creek - 75% Ely - 70%

Hot conditions will persist Sunday as the aforementioned anticyclone aloft progresses northeastward into Wyoming. Southerly flow will develop Monday, pushing monsoonal moisture northward into the Silver State. The northward progression of monsoonal moisture should persist into at least the middle of next week. Mostly dry convection Monday afternoon should transition to wet convection Tuesday afternoon. Look for a daily chance of afternoon thunderstorms Monday through Thursday, with the highest chances of thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon. Here are thunderstorm probabilities for select locations in Northern and Central Nevada on Tuesday, July 14th, 2026:

Eureka - 48% Ely - 46% Austin - 43% Ruby Lake - 42% Duckwater - 41% Great Basin National Park - 41% Wells - 35% Elko - 34% Carlin - 32%

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence regarding a moderate risk for heat-related illnesses each afternoon today through Sunday. High forecast confidence in near record heat Saturday afternoon. Moderate forecast confidence regarding monsoonal moisture moving northward into Central and Northern Nevada next week. No deviations from the NBM model.

AVIATION

VFR conditions will prevail for at least the next 24 hours. Southwest winds gusts near 20 knots are expected this afternoon into this evening at all terminals, with the exception of KENV.

FIRE WEATHER

Elevated fire weather conditions are anticipated in most of Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon into this evening due to southwest wind gusts near 25 mph and minimum relative humidity values as low as 6 percent. Elevated fire weather conditions could persist in parts of Northern Nevada this weekend. Isolated to scattered dry thunderstorms are possible Monday afternoon.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

Heat Advisory from 11 AM Saturday to 11 PM PDT Sunday NVZ031-034-035-038-039.

Heat Advisory until 11 PM PDT Monday NVZ033.

Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 11 PM PDT Saturday NVZ036-037-040-041.