textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* Southwest winds of 20 to 30 mph gusting to 50 mph across portions of Northern NV today

* Strong cold front moves in from the northwest tonight. Gusty winds and snowfall will produce minor travel impacts, primarily across northern Nevada.

* Generally fair weather in place Friday thru Sunday, though breezes will be present Sunday

* Next weather system moves in early next week

DISCUSSION

(This evening through next Tuesday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: An upper level trough and associated surface cold front will pass through northern Nevada tonight and tomorrow, bringing cooler temperatures as well as showers and snow. Strong surface winds are also associated with the front, gusting up to 50 mph in northern Nevada today and around 40 mph in central Nevada tomorrow. Precipitation will begin as rain in Humboldt and northern Elko county before quickly transitioning to snow as it spreads south and east. Snowfall totals have decreased since this time yesterday with up to an inch now forecast for lower elevations and four to six inches forecast for mountain peaks. Minor travel impacts remain possible during the morning commute tomorrow, however ground temperatures remain relatively warm. Dry and warming weather begins on Friday, with high temperatures beginning in the 40s on Friday and warming to the upper 60s and low 70s by Sunday. Another strong upper level low is expected to approach the area by Sunday, however models are split on timing, with a faster solution bringing local impacts starting Monday while the slower solution holds off until Tuesday. The current forecast reflects the faster solution. What is consistent at this time is another cool wet and windy system that will need to be watched as it develops.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence in showers, snow and cold today and tomorrow. Additional high confidence in calm and warming conditions through the weekend. No deviations from base NBM input at this time.

AVIATION

Strong winds at all sites and sporadic showers at KWMC/KBAM/KEKO will be the main story through the next 24 hours. Strong winds gusting up 25-35KT will be present at all sites during daylight hours, dying back to 10-20KT overnight before picking back up tomorrow. A line of showers and snow is expected to begin at KWMC overnight and spread east over the next several hours to impact KBAM and KEKO.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

Wind Advisory until 11 PM PDT this evening NVZ030-031-034.