textproduct: Elko
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
* Unseasonably warm through today
* Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms across portions of northern and central Nevada through Saturday evening
* Strong, gusty winds in Central Nevada today and Saturday
* Precipitation chances increase this weekend along with cooler temperatures
UPDATE
Issued at 130 AM PDT Fri Apr 10 2026
Current forecast is tracking well at this time and no updates are planned.
AVIATION UPDATE
VFR conditions will be the main flight category over all terminals for the next 12 hours or so. ISOLD -TSRA continue at roughly twenty to thirty percent probability for all sites and so will continue with PROB30 for most terminals this afternoon. Breezy to locally windy conditions will develop over central Nevada with KTPH and KELY terminals seeing S15-25 kts with gusts to 35 kts during the afternoon. After 00Z this evening, conditions will degrade to MVFR/IFR as -SHRA moves into the area as an incoming storm system continues to affect the region.
DISCUSSION
(This evening through next Wednesday)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A series of ongoing storms by a pair of low pressure systems is expected to bring in periods of and chances of thunderstorms this afternoon lasting through Monday with strong southerly winds over central Nevada Friday and Saturday afternoons.
The first of two low pressure systems will bring in chances for precipitation across northern Nevada and parts of the western portions of the US-50 corridor this afternoon. Snow levels remain around 8000 feet through Friday, leaving the precipitation to fall as rain. Overnight into early Friday morning, the front pushes further into Nevada, increasing chances for more precipitation as well as some isolated thunderstorms across northern Nevada and extending into parts of central Nevada towards northwestern Nye County. Northeastern Nye and White Pine County are expected to not receive much precipitation with chances below 20% as the front slowly moves eastward, however they will see strong gusty southerly winds up to 20-25 mph with gusts as high as 40-45 mph. Warmer than normal temperatures will keep snow levels above 8000 feet throughout the day as high temperatures stay in the 70s, but overnight cooler temperatures begin to move in, dropping snow levels around 7000 feet with Humboldt County dropping to 6500 feet, making way for more prevalent mountain snow.
Friday night into Saturday, the second more defined low pressure system will move over the western CONUS, absorbing the first system with increasing chances for precipitation and mountain snow across northern and central Nevada as well as additional chances for some isolated thunderstorms. Northeastern Nye and White Pine counties will start dry with strong gusty southerly winds picking up again in the afternoon with speeds up to 15-25 mph, gusts as high as 40 mph. By late afternoon, the front is expected to push further east, bringing in rain and mountain snow to the areas. Snow levels are expected to stay within 7000-8000 feet (6500 for Humboldt County) throughout the day as high temperatures expected to be slightly above normal in the 60s, until the overnight hours as colder air moves further into Nevada, dropping snow levels below 6000 feet by Sunday morning. High temperatures Sunday are expected to be in the 40s to 50s. Chances for precipitation will continue through Sunday and into Monday morning with cooler overnight temperatures making snow levels drop to around 5000 feet, transitioning valley rain into snow. By Monday, the low pressure system will have pushed east of Nevada with some lingering chances for more precipitation by the afternoon.
Tuesday through Thursday, in the models have some outputs showing an upper ridge strengthening over the western CONUS with other models showing a weak to near zonal trough. The main consensus that the models agree on is a warming trend through the weekend with highs reaching back into the 60s.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence for unseasonably warm temperatures through Friday. Moderate confidence for precipitation activity this afternoon with higher confidence on Friday through Monday. Moderate confidence for isolated thunderstorms Friday and Saturday afternoons. High confidence for strong gusty southerly winds over Northeastern Nye and White Pine counties Friday and Saturday afternoon. High confidence for cooler temperatures over the weekend. Moderate confidence of snow reaching the valleys by Monday morning. High confidence of warmer temperatures next week.
AVIATION
Look for VFR conditions over all terminals for the next 24 hour period. Chances for weather this afternoon over the northern terminals as a low pressure system moves over Nevada that will bring VCSH conditions. PROB30 was added to the grids for KWMC, KEKO, and KBAM as chances for -TSRA possible this evening. Some breezy southerly winds over KTPH and KELY with speeds up to 10-15 kts, gusts as high as 20-25 kts.
LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories
None.
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