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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
1205 PM PST Fri Feb 20 2026
* Cold Weather Advisory for most of Northern and Central Nevada tonight into early Saturday morning
* Low temperatures tonight around fifteen degrees below normal for this time of year
* Warming trend Sunday and Monday
* Periods of mountain snow and valley rain in Northern Nevada Tuesday and Tuesday night
DISCUSSION
(Tonight through Thursday)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Northwesterly flow will advect a very cold air mass into the service area tonight. Low temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada tonight will be about fifteen degrees below normal for this time of year. Minimum apparent temperatures tonight will be below zero in the coldest valleys of Northern and Central Nevada. A Cold Weather Advisory is in effect for most of Northern and Central Nevada from 9 PM PST this evening until 8 AM PST Saturday morning. Here are probabilities of minimum temperatures of 5 degrees or lower for select locations in Northern and Central Nevada tonight:
Ely - 100% Eureka - 96% McGill - 90% Elko - 80% Winnemucca - 80% Battle Mountain - 75% Carlin - 75% Spring Creek - 70% McDermitt - 55% Wells -50%
A ridge of high pressure will amplify over the Western United States Saturday through Monday. A warming trend is expected Sunday and Monday. By Monday afternoon, high temperatures will be around five degrees above normal for this time of year. A trough of low pressure should pass across Northern Nevada Tuesday and Tuesday night, resulting in periods of precipitation. Snow levels will start at around 7,000 feet Tuesday morning, before dropping to about 6,000 feet Tuesday night. The majority of this precipitation will fall Tuesday night. Forecast confidence is low Wednesday and Thursday regarding the possibility of additional precipitation.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence in the Cold Weather Advisory for most of Northern and Central Nevada tonight into early Saturday morning. High forecast confidence regarding a warming trend Sunday and Monday. Moderate forecast confidence in periods of mountain snow and valley rain Tuesday and Tuesday night. The only deviation to the NBM model output was to adjust POPs downward Wednesday and Thursday.
AVIATION
VFR conditions will prevail at all terminal through at least the next 24 hours.
LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories
Cold Weather Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 8 AM PST Saturday NVZ030-031-034>041.
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