textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* Thunderstorms chances 10-20% through this early evening and Sunday afternoon

* Unseasonably warm through Memorial Day

* Strong, gusty winds expected Tuesday

* Chance of valley rain and mountain snow Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday night

FIRE WEATHER (previous issuance)

Isolated dry thunderstorms will continue to form during the early evening hours today. These are expected to dissipate after sunset this evening. For tomorrow, sufficient moisture and instability will be present across the central and northeastern fire zones to bring another round of isolated dry thunderstorms (probability of ten to twenty percent). Main threats continue to be cloud to ground lightning strikes and outflow wind gusts to 50 mph. By Monday, an incoming east Pacific trough will be moving into the Pacific Northwest states, aiming to dive to the southeast across northern and central Nevada on Tuesday. However, on Monday, elevated fire conditions are expected across fire zone 437 as wind speeds gust to around 30 mph with minimum relative humidity values hovering between 10 and 15 percent. The strong winds will spread south and east Tuesday, where southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 50 mph are possible across US Highway 50 in central Nevada. Afternoon highs will cool, though minimum relative humidity values will remain around 10 to 15 percent over the central fire zones. Look for increasing chances for valley rain showers and mountain snow showers over much of the area Tuesday night and Wednesday. High temperatures for the mid-week will cool into the 50s and 60s.

AVIATION

VFR conditions are expected through the 24 hour period. VCTS will continue into the early evening hours tonight before dissipating shortly after sunset. For Sunday, a weak trough axis will sit just west of the forecast area. Look for a fifteen to twenty percent probability for afternoon TS development across the KEKO terminal after 20Z with a ten to fifteen percent probability at KENV. Main impacts will be cloud to ground lightning strikes and outflow wind gusts to 45KT.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories