textproduct: Elko

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1244 AM PST Mon Nov 24 2025

* Light, isolated snow showers for the mountains of N Elko county today.

* Quiet conditions with warming temperatures Tuesday through Thanksgiving day

* Next system possible for Friday into Thanksgiving weekend

UPDATE

Issued at 1244 AM PST Mon Nov 24 2025

Current forecast is tracking well; no changes have been made to the current seven day forecast.

DISCUSSION

(This evening through next Saturday)

Quiet conditions prevail though the overnight into Monday morning. However by Monday midday into the afternoon a fast moving shortwave trough will clip far northern NV. This system will have minimal impacts due to a lack of moisture, but there may be enough orthographic lift to create a low 15% chance of isolated snow showers across the mountains of northern Elko county. Accumulations look to be very light, if any with less than an inch possible for the Jarbidge Ranges. Tuesday through Thanksgiving weak upper level ridging returns with quiet weather and warming temperatures. Friday into the holiday weekend another upper trough looks to clip the Silver State. Models have been really pessimistic with this system of late as the latest runs show precipitation accumulation will be limited to the higher elevations and amounts look to be light at this time. After Saturday model completely disagree on how to evolve the upper level flow with the GFS showing ridging across the west, while the ECMWF favors a large cut-off low off the coast of Baja California.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:

There is moderate confidence in the development and coverage of isolated snow showers over the mountains of N Elko County Monday.

There is high confidence in the passage of a shortwave ridge Tuesday through Thanksgiving day.

There is low confidence in the passage of a upper trough Friday through thanksgiving weekend as model trends are for a weaker system with a track further north.

AVIATION

VFR conditions and light winds expected through the next 24 hours.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.

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