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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
* Winter Storm Warning for the Ruby Mountains
* Periods of valley rain and mountain snow ending this evening
* Quite cool today
* Warming trend Monday and Tuesday
DISCUSSION
(This afternoon through Saturday)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A trough of low pressure will progress eastward across Northern and Central Nevada today, before entering Utah tonight. Periods of valley rain and mountain snow associated with this trough of low pressure will end this evening. A Winter Storm Warning is in effect for the Ruby Mountains and East Humboldt Range until 10 PM PST this evening due to snow amounts as high as 14 inches. High temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon will be eleven to thirteen degrees below normal for this time of year. A warming trend is expected Monday and Tuesday. By Tuesday afternoon, maximum temperatures across Northern and Central Nevada will be two to four degrees below seasonal values.
The next storm system could impact the forecast area Tuesday night into Wednesday, resulting in a chance of precipitation. Snow levels will start at around 7,000 feet Tuesday night, before falling to about 5,500 feet Wednesday morning. Most locations in Northern and Central Nevada will receive less than one tenth of an inch of precipitation Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. Temperatures will rebound to near normal for this time of year by next weekend.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence regarding the Winter Storm Warning for the Ruby Mountains. High forecast confidence in periods of valley rain and mountain snow ending this evening. High forecast confidence regarding quite cool temperatures today. Moderate forecast confidence in a warming trend Monday and Tuesday. No deviations from the NBM model output.
AVIATION
MVFR ceilings are likely in and near precipitation this afternoon and this evening. Low forecast confidence regarding the exact timing and location of the precipitation.
LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories
Winter Storm Warning until 10 PM PST this evening NVZ034.
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