textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

1201 PM PST Mon Mar 2 2026

* Patchy fog possible across the valley portions of northern Nevada this morning

* Periods of precipitation expected Wednesday afternoon through Thursday evening

* Increasing chances of accumulating valley snow Wednesday night and Thursday morning

* Breezy to windy conditions will develop Wednesday and Thursday across the forecast area

UPDATE

Issued at 1243 AM PST Tue Mar 3 2026

No updates were made to the near term forecast. The only changes made in the short term were to the winds. Models are depicting breezy to windy conditions for both Wednesday and Thursday. A blend of the last forecast and the 90th percentile winds were made to this current forecast. No other changes were made.

UPDATED AVIATION

Localized patchy fog may affect the interior TAF sites KBAM, KEKO, and KBAM during the early morning hours. Will therefore keep VCFG in the forecast. Otherwise, VFR conditions to continue for the rest of the day with light winds.

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Sunday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A trough of low pressure will move eastward into the Mountain West tonight. Mountain snow showers and valley rain showers associated with this atmospheric disturbance will linger in the service area this afternoon and this evening. Clearing skies tonight could lead to fog formation in the typical valley locations. A ridge of high pressure will pass eastward across the Silver State Tuesday and Tuesday night.

Precipitation ahead of a trough of low pressure will overspread Northern and Central Nevada from west to east Wednesday afternoon. This trough of low pressure will move through the forecast area Wednesday night through Thursday evening, resulting in periods of precipitation. Snow levels will start at around 6,500 feet Wednesday afternoon, before dropping to about 4,500 feet Wednesday night. The majority of this precipitation will fall Wednesday evening. Probabilities of accumulating valley snow Wednesday night and Thursday morning are increasing. Here are probabilities of one inch or more of snowfall for select locations in Northern and Central Nevada Wednesday night and Thursday morning:

Lamoille - 90% Owyhee - 80% Spring Creek - 75% Eureka - 70% Jackpot - 65% Austin - 65% Ely - 60% Wells - 60% Carlin - 30% Elko - 25%

The service area will remain between a large upper-level area of low pressure off the coast of the Baja Peninsula and zonal flow aloft over the Pacific Northwest Friday through the upcoming weekend. A warming trend is expected Friday through Sunday. By Sunday afternoon, maximum temperatures across Northern and Central Nevada will be around ten degrees above seasonal values.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence regarding lingering mountain snow showers and valley rain showers this afternoon and this evening. Moderate forecast confidence in periods of precipitation expected Wednesday afternoon through Thursday evening. Low forecast confidence regarding accumulating valley snow Wednesday night and Thursday morning. No deviations from the NBM model output.

AVIATION

MVFR or lower conditions are likely in and near showers this afternoon and this evening. VFR conditions and clearing skies are expected at all terminals tonight. VFR conditions will persist at all terminals Tuesday.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.