textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* There is a marginal risk of excessive rainfall in Southeastern Nevada each afternoon and evening today through Sunday

* There is a marginal risk of excessive rainfall in Eastern Nevada each afternoon and evening Monday and Tuesday

* A few strong thunderstorms possible in Eastern Nevada each afternoon and evening today through at least Tuesday

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Thursday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: An upper-level area of high pressure will be centered over Northwestern Colorado today through Sunday. Monsoonal moisture will remain in place over Southeastern Nevada today through Sunday, resulting in scattered showers and thunderstorms. Farther north, in Northeastern Nevada, atmospheric moisture will not be that robust, resulting in less thunderstorm coverage each afternoon and evening today through Sunday. Regardless of coverage, a few strong thunderstorms are possible in Eastern Nevada each afternoon and evening today through Sunday. The primary thunderstorm hazards will be localized flooding, small hail, wind gusts near 55 mph, and dangerous cloud to ground lightning strikes. Here are thunderstorm probabilities for select locations in Eastern Nevada on Friday, July 17th, 2026:

Great Basin National Park - 50% Ely - 47% Lund - 47% Jackpot - 46% Currie - 42% Eureka - 38% Wells - 38% Ruby Lake - 36% West Wendover - 35% Elko - 26%

The aforementioned anticyclone aloft will move into the South Central United States early next week. This will push monsoonal moisture northward into all of Eastern Nevada, resulting in scattered showers and thunderstorms each afternoon and evening Monday through Thursday. Here are thunderstorm probabilities for select locations in Eastern Nevada on Tuesday, July 21st, 2026:

Currie - 47% Ely - 46% Great Basin National Park - 43% Lund - 43% Ruby Lake - 43% Eureka - 42% Wells - 35% West Wendover - 34% Jackpot - 33% Elko - 32%

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence regarding a marginal risk of excessive rainfall in Southeastern Nevada each afternoon and evening today through Sunday. Moderate forecast confidence in a marginal risk of excessive rainfall in Eastern Nevada each afternoon and evening Monday and Tuesday. High forecast confidence regarding a few strong thunderstorms in Eastern Nevada each afternoon and evening today through at least Tuesday. No deviations from the NBM model output.

AVIATION

VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals through at least the next 24 hours. Thunderstorms will be in the vicinity of KELY and KEKO this afternoon into this evening. Showers will be in the vicinity of KENV this evening.

FIRE WEATHER

A few strong thunderstorms are possible in Eastern Nevada each afternoon and evening today through Sunday. The primary hazards will be small hail, wind gusts near 55 mph, and cloud to ground lightning strikes. Enhanced runoff and localized flooding is possible in storms that form over areas with antecedent rainfall from earlier this week (especially portions of 470 and 425).

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.