textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* Moderate risk for heat-related illnesses each afternoon today through Sunday

* Near record heat Saturday afternoon

* Elevated fire weather concerns for central NV on Saturday for hot, dry, windy conditions

* Monsoonal moisture will move northward into Central and Northern Nevada next week

DISCUSSION

(Today through next Saturday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: An upper-level anticyclone will move northeastward into Utah Saturday. High temperatures Saturday afternoon will be around ten degrees above seasonal values. A Heat Advisory is in effect for most of Northern and Central Nevada Saturday. Record heat is expected in Elko Saturday afternoon. Near record heat is anticipated in Ely and Eureka Saturday afternoon. Here are triple digit heat probabilities for select locations in Northern and Central Nevada on Saturday, July 11th, 2026:

Elko - 100% Battle Mountain - 100% West Wendover - 100% Carlin - 99% Winnemucca - 98% Wells - 98% Eureka - 80% Spring Creek - 75% Ely - 70%

Hot conditions will persist Sunday as the aforementioned anticyclone aloft progresses northeastward into Wyoming. Southerly flow will develop Monday, pushing monsoonal moisture northward into the Silver State. The northward progression of monsoonal moisture should persist into at least the middle of next week. Look for a daily chance of afternoon thunderstorms Monday through Thursday, with the highest chances of thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon. Here are thunderstorm probabilities for select locations in Northern and Central Nevada on Tuesday, July 14th, 2026:

Eureka - 48% Ely - 46% Austin - 43% Ruby Lake - 42% Duckwater - 41% Great Basin National Park - 41% Wells - 35% Elko - 34% Carlin - 32%

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence regarding a moderate risk for heat-related illnesses each afternoon today through Sunday. High forecast confidence in near record heat Saturday afternoon. Moderate forecast confidence regarding monsoonal moisture moving northward into Central and Northern Nevada next week. No deviations from the NBM model.

AVIATION

VFR conditions will prevail for at least the next 24 hours. Southwest winds gusts near 20 knots are expected this afternoon into this evening at northern terminals, with the exception of KENV. KTPH and KELY will see wind gusts of 22-25KTs through early evening Saturday.

FIRE WEATHER

Elevated fire weather concerns are possible in northern Nye, southern Lander, and southern Eureka Counties for hot, dry, windy conditions. Single digit RH values coupled wind gusts of 30-33 mph over fire weather zones 426/427 Saturday afternoon may warrant the issuance of a Red Flag Warning for those locations. Beginning Monday a surge of monsoonal moisture is expected to contribute to thunderstorms activity over the eastern two-thirds of the state. Anomalous moisture over the region suggests that the nature of storm activity next week will be more wet than dry.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 11 PM PDT Sunday NVZ031-034-035-038-039.

Heat Advisory until 11 PM PDT Monday NVZ033.

Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 11 PM PDT this evening NVZ036-037-040-041.