textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* Breezy conditions throughout Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon into this evening

* Below average temperatures will continue through the next several days

* Periods of rain late this weekend into early next week

DISCUSSION

(This evening through next Wednesday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: An upper level low continues its journey around the PacNW, bringing cooler temperatures, strong winds and precipitation potential. A strong pressure gradient is developing across the area, resulting in strong winds across the area and temperatures ranging from the upper 60s in northern Nevada to the low 80s in central Nevada. Strong winds are expected to continue through Sunday, particularly in White Pine, northeast Nye and southeast Elko Counties. Moisture availability starting Sunday has been trending downward the last several forecasts and precipitation potential has noticeably decreased along with it. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms continue to be forecast across much of the forecast area for Sunday but accumulation totals have dropped to 0.05 inches at best, with most of the area expecting a trace or less. Precipitation chances dry out by Monday morning, allowing a dry but cool day, with high temperatures in the 70s. Unsettled weather is expected to continue for mid week even as temperatures warm back into the 80s.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence in cool temperatures and strong winds through the weekend. Weekend storm confidence continues to be moderate, with low confidence in storm potential next week. No changes from the NBM.

AVIATION

VFR conditions and gusty winds expected at all sites except KENV which is expected to avoid the gusts. The strongest winds are expected at KELY, with gusts approaching 35KT, and other sites averaging 25 to 30KT. Light showers are possible at KWMC overnight while all other sites are expected to remain dry.

FIRE WEATHER

Critical winds continue to be mitigated by non critical humidity. Winds will be strongest tomorrow in zones 425, 426 and southern 470 with gusts around 40 mph expected, however RH will be 15 to 25 percent. Gusts decrease to 20 to 30 mph for Saturday and Sunday, with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms for Sunday.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.