textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* Quiet mostly sunny weather through Thursday.

* Potential cold and wet weather system next weekend.

DISCUSSION

(Today through next Monday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Skies over Nevada range from clear to partly cloudy tonight as upper level ridging continues to dictate our weather patterns. The ridge is forecast to persist through Friday when a trough and associated atmospheric river break it. Until then, high temperatures will be in the upper 50s and low 60s while overnight lows drop into the 30s. The usual cold valleys may see lows drop into the upper 20s. Winds will be light during this period, less than 10 mph. As the trough approaches on Friday winds are expected to pick up, with gusts approaching 30 mph mainly in northern Nevada Friday afternoon. Wind gusts are expected to remain around 30 mph while the trough is over Nevada. Additionally, the AR moisture is forecast to produce precipitation, currently forecast to begin as rain Saturday evening and transition to mostly snow by Monday morning as temperatures drop. High temperatures are currently expected to only reach the 30s on Monday, although this weather system is still in flux and timing, track and intensity all may change as model agreement improves.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence in continued ridging through late week. Moderate confidence in troughing this weekend but low confidence in its strength and impacts. No changes from NBM forecast.

AVIATION

VFR conditions and winds under 10KT are expected to continue at all terminals through the next 24 hours.

KBAM remains AMD NOT SKED due to hardware upgrades.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.