textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* Warming trend through Sunday with breezy southwesterly winds in central Nevada

* Widespread precipitation returns early next week

* Above normal temperatures mid-late week next week

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through next Friday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Upper ridging over the western CONUS will keep fair weather conditions over Nevada today through the weekend with warming temperature trend set to bring highs just above normal in the 70s. A closed low pressure system over the coast of California will slowly move its way towards the southwest over the weekend. This will bring in a southerly/southwesterly flow over Nevada with some breezy winds across central Nevada with gusts reaching as high as 25-30 mph.

By Sunday afternoon, the low pressure will begin to push into the southwest. This system will bring in more moisture to the area, with chances for precipitation increasing up to 50%. Precipitation is expected to be light below 0.05 inches. Most of the precipitation is expected to fall on Monday as chances increase throughout the day with the greatest amounts near Austin. Chances for areas to see up to a tenth of an inch of rain or greater during the day are as follows:

Austin: 45% Elko: 30% Ely: 40% Eureka: 60% Owyhee: 45% Tonopah: 25% West Wendover: 10% Winnemucca: 30%

Chances up to 30% for isolated thunderstorms Monday as CAPE values climb above 200 J/kg across northern Nevada with greatest chances along US-93 from Wells to Jackpot as CAPE values reach up to 300+ J/kg. Thunderstorm chances also expected to reach across the US-50 corridor with up to a 20-25% chance as CAPE values are a little bit lower between 150-200 J/kg.

Tuesday, periods of precipitation will continue with the majority of rain in central Nevada along the US-50 corridor. Thunderstorm chances remain up to 30% but is now more centralized along US-50. By the afternoon, weather conditions will dissipate as the low pushes eastward out of the state and an upper ridge moves back over the state overnight.

Wednesday through Friday, upper ridging will be the dominant pattern over Nevada, leaving fair weather conditions along with a warming temperature trend that will reach above normal into the 80s by the end of the week.

AVIATION

Look for VFR conditions across all terminals over the next 24 hour period with light winds at or below 10 kts.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.