textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

1200 PM PST Wed Feb 25 2026

* Near record warm temperatures Friday and Saturday

* Next round of atmospheric activity possible this weekend with chance of more precipitation

* Periods of active weather patterns expected through next week

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through next Wednesday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Drier weather conditions begin to settle over Nevada as residual rain showers dissipate towards the east. Cloud cover will remain throughout much of northern Nevada but will begin to scatter and clear out overnight. High pressure system over the Baja California coast will strengthen over the next few days keeping the dry weather around while also bringing in unseasonably warm temperatures with some areas seeing near record conditions as highs warm into the 60s Thursday and Friday with Saturday seeing temperatures into the 70s for central Nevada. Overnight lows will also warm into the 30s to 40s with some areas also seeing near record warm lows.

Late Saturday into Sunday, a low pressure system from the Pacific will push into the states which will bring in a slight relief to the warmer temperatures. This system will also bring in moisture with chances reaching up to 40-60% chance for additional precipitation of up to 0.05 inches in the valleys. Due to warmer temperatures, the precipitation is expected as rain as snow levels stay above 7500-8000 feet, with only mountain tops potentially seeing more snow. The system will situate over Nevada through Monday and Tuesday keeping the moisture and cooler temps, then push eastward preventing a Rex Block pattern from fully developing. After this system, another upper trough will push over Nevada late next week, however models begin to diverge on the timing and strength of the system. The main consistency from the models is that an upper trough will impact Nevada late next week.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence of near record warm temperatures Thursday through Saturday. Moderate confidence of another low pressure system impacting Nevada over the weekend bringing more rains. Moderate confidence of another system impacting Nevada next week yet low confidence on the timing. No changes to NBM grids at this time.

AVIATION

Look for VFR conditions at all terminals over the next 24 hour period as residual rain showers clear out. Clouds expected to remain across all terminals between FL050 to FL100 which is expected to improve between FL100 to FL200 this afternoon and evening. Breezy westerly winds expected at all terminals (northerly/northwesterly winds at KTPH and KENV) at 10-15 kts with gusts up to 20-25 kts, dissipating to lighter winds at or below 10 kts this afternoon.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.