textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* Elevated fire weather conditions this afternoon

* Critical fire danger Saturday

* Much cooler Sunday

* Chance of precipitation Monday evening through Tuesday night

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Thursday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: High temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon will be around fifteen degrees above normal for this time of year. Near record heat is expected in Ely and Eureka this afternoon. The current record for maximum temperature measured in Ely on June 5th is 91 degrees, set in 2016. The current record for maximum temperature measured in Eureka on June 5th is 93 degrees, set in 2016. Elevated fire weather conditions are expected in most of Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon due to south to southwest wind gusts near 30 mph and minimum relative humidity values as low as 7 percent.

A dry cold front will pass through the service area Saturday. A Red Flag Warning is in effect for Northern and Central Nevada from 11 AM PDT Saturday morning until 11 PM PDT Saturday evening due to sustained southwest wind gusts near 35 mph and minimum relative humidity values as low as 8 percent. Maximum temperatures Saturday afternoon will be seven to nine degrees above seasonal values. High temperatures Sunday afternoon will be around ten degrees cooler than Saturday afternoon.

A storm system will impact Northern and Central Nevada Monday evening through Tuesday night, resulting in a chance of precipitation. Snow levels will start at around 10,000 feet Monday evening, before dropping to about 9,000 feet Tuesday night. The majority of this precipitation will fall in Northern Nevada. Here are probabilities of one tenth of an inch of rain or more for select locations in Northern Nevada from Monday evening through Tuesday night:

Owyhee - 65% Jackpot - 60% Spring Creek - 55% McDermitt - 50% Orovada - 50% Elko - 40% Carlin - 40% Wells - 40% Winnemucca - 35% Battle Mountain - 35%

Dry weather will return to Northern and Central Nevada Wednesday and persist through at least Thursday.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence regarding elevated fire weather conditions this afternoon. High forecast confidence in critical fire danger Saturday. High forecast confidence regarding much cooler weather Sunday. Moderate forecast confidence in a chance of precipitation Monday evening through Tuesday night. No deviations from the NBM model output.

AVIATION

VFR conditions will prevail through at least the next 24 hours. South to southwest wind gusts near 20 knots expected at KEKO, KWMC, KTPH, KELY, and KBAM.

FIRE WEATHER

Elevated fire weather conditions are expected in most of Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon due to south to southwest wind gusts near 30 mph and minimum relative humidity values as low as 7 percent. A Red Flag Warning is in effect for Northern and Central Nevada from 11 AM PDT Saturday morning until 11 PM PDT Saturday evening due to sustained southwest wind gusts near 35 mph and minimum relative humidity values as low as 8 percent.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories