textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* Breezy conditions throughout Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon into this evening

* Blowing dust may result in reduced visibilities today

* Below average temperatures will continue through the next several days

* Periods of rain late this weekend into early next week

DISCUSSION

(This evening through next Tuesday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Satellite shows widespread cloud cover today which will assist in keeping temperatures around ten degrees below normal today. A few isolated showers may also be able to form in Humboldt County but no measurable precipitation is expected to reach the surface. A few isolated showers continue along the northern state border due to a low pressure center moving onshore in the Pacific Northwest. Winds will continue to be strong, particularly in White Pine and southeast Elko Counties, and cloud cover will continue to restrict temperatures. The low is expected to meander around the PacNW Friday and Saturday, keeping temperatures lower and winds stronger. For Sunday the low is expected to combine with a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Pacific and bring much stronger moisture into the Southwest. The extent of impacts from this moisture are still in flux, however shower and thunderstorm chances are in place across the entire forecast area for Sunday, with weaker storms anticipated to linger for early next week.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence in below normal temperatures and moderate confidence in precipitation chances for the next several days. Increasing confidence regarding storms this weekend, currently sitting around the moderate level. No changes to NBM output.

AVIATION

Current satellite indicates overcast skies at all sites except KTPH, although ceilings are well above VFR thresholds. VFR conditions are expected to prevail at all sites, although KWMC and KBAM may see some visibility impacts from blowing dust late this afternoon. Gusty winds are also expected at all sites except KENV through this evening and are anticipated to return for tomorrow afternoon as well.

FIRE WEATHER

Elevated winds in zone 437 today may bring blowing dust to the Calico and McConnell fires. On Thursday, winds will be critical in zone 425 and southern zone 470, however sub critical fuels and humidity bring the overall fire weather threat to elevated. Winds are expected to remain elevated through this weekend but increasing moisture is expected to negate any critical fire weather concerns. Below normal temperatures are also expected to continue during this period.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.