textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* Damaging wind gusts in Eastern Elko County this afternoon and this evening

* Strong, gusty winds in the remainder of Northern Nevada this afternoon and this evening

* Elevated fire weather conditions are expected in most of Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon and this evening

* A few strong to marginally severe thunderstorms are possible in Northeastern Elko County this afternoon into this evening

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Tuesday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A trough of low pressure will move eastward across the Pacific Northwest this afternoon and this evening. This will result in the surface pressure gradient tightening across Northern Nevada. A High Wind Warning is in effect for Eastern Elko County until 11 PM PDT this evening. A Wind Advisory is in effect for the remainder of Northern Nevada until 11 PM PDT this evening. Elevated fire weather conditions are expected in most of Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon and this evening due to southwest to west wind gusts near 50 mph and minimum relative humidity values as low as 8 percent. A few strong to marginally severe thunderstorms are conceivable in Northeastern Elko County, particularly from Jackpot to West Wendover, this afternoon into this evening.

Broad cyclonic flow aloft will prevail Thursday into the upcoming weekend. A cold front will swing through Northern and Central Nevada Sunday, resulting in a slight chance of precipitation. A cooling trend is expected Thursday through Sunday. By Sunday afternoon, high temperatures will be twelve to fourteen degrees below normal for this time of year. A ridge of high pressure will slowly build eastward across the Silver State Monday and Tuesday, resulting in a warming trend.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence regarding damaging wind gusts in Eastern Elko County this afternoon and this evening. High forecast confidence in strong, gusty winds in the remainder of Northern Nevada this afternoon and this evening. High forecast confidence regarding elevated fire weather conditions in most of Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon and this evening. Low forecast confidence in a few strong to marginally severe thunderstorms in Northeastern Elko County this afternoon into this evening. No deviations from the NBM model output.

AVIATION

Northwest wind gusts near 45 knots anticipated at KENV this afternoon into this evening. Southwest to west wind gusts near 35 knots expected at KWMC, KEKO, and KBAM this afternoon into this evening. Southwest to west wind gusts near 30 knots anticipated at KELY and KTPH this afternoon into this evening. VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals through at least the next 24 hours.

FIRE WEATHER

Elevated fire weather conditions are expected in most of Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon and this evening due to southwest to west wind gusts near 50 mph and minimum relative humidity values as low as 8 percent. A cooling trend is anticipated Thursday through Sunday. By Sunday afternoon, high temperatures will be 12 to 14 degrees below seasonal values.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

Wind Advisory until 11 PM PDT this evening NVZ030-031-034-036-038-039.

High Wind Warning until 11 PM PDT this evening NVZ033.