textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* High pressure will be the dominant weather producer across the Great Basin, signaling a prolonged stretch of dry weather

* Record high temperatures are expected at several climate sites beginning Sunday and thru early next week

* Some locales will observe daytime high temperatures in the low 90s beginning Sunday and thru early next week

DISCUSSION

(This evening through next Thursday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Hot and dry weather conditions in place thru early next as an upper level ridge resides over the western U.S. and Canada. High pressure will build over the desert southwest region with daytime high temperatures warming 15 to 20 degrees warmer than normal by Sunday, persisting thru Tuesday/Wednesday. This will bring readings into the low 90s for some locales with daily high temperature records expected to be tied or broken at some climate sites.

Progressive upper wave pattern brings a trof thru the PacNW Wednesday with the ridge moving east. This will bring a gradual cooling trend thru the latter half of next week though weather looks top remain dry. By Friday, daytime high temperatures will be near to slightly warmer than seasonal values. West- southwesterly breezes indicated Wednesday afternoon in particular, as the trof moves thru the PacNW.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: There is high confidence for warming temperatures and dry conditions thru early next week. Minimal deviation from NBM with temperatures adjusted a few degrees cooler in the typical colder valleys across the forecast area.

AVIATION

VFR conditions remain in place thru tomorrow afternoon under mostly sunny and clear skies with a few high level clouds overhead at times. Breezes ease this evening with generally light winds tomorrow afternoon.

FIRE WEATHER

Relatively benign yet warm weather tomorrow will give way to hot, dry, and breezy conditions thru early next week as high pressure builds across the desert southwest region thru this weekend under the influence of an upper level ridge. Elevated fire weather concerns will be present as temperatures warm 15 to 20 degrees warmer than normal by Sunday, carrying thru early next week. Daily high temperature records are expected to be tied or broken at some climate sites early next week. West- southwesterly afternoon breezes will also be present with gusts around 20 mph. This will combine with minimum afternoon relative humidity values of less than 15%. Accelerated drying of fuels is also expected under the outlined condtions.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.