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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

* Unseasonably cool this afternoon

* Valley rain and mountain snow ending this evening

* Warming trend Saturday through Monday

* Slight chance of valley rain and mountain snow in Northern Nevada Monday evening through Tuesday afternoon

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Thursday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: High temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon will be around ten degrees below normal for this time of year. A trough of low pressure will move southward into Southern California this afternoon and this evening. As a result, precipitation chances will decrease this afternoon, before ending this evening. Minimum apparent temperatures in the coldest valleys of Northern and Central Nevada will be in the teens tonight.

A ridge of high pressure will build eastward across Northern Nevada Saturday through Monday, resulting in a warming trend. By Monday afternoon, high temperatures in Northern and Central Nevada will be near seasonal values. A trough of low pressure will move eastward across Northern Nevada Monday evening through Tuesday afternoon. Any precipitation associated with this atmospheric disturbance will remain north of Interstate 80. Dry weather is expected Tuesday night through Thursday.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence regarding unseasonably cool conditions this afternoon. High forecast confidence in valley rain and mountain snow ending this evening. Moderate forecast confidence regarding a warming trend Saturday through Monday. Low forecast confidence in the possibility of valley rain and mountain snow in Northern Nevada Monday evening through Tuesday afternoon. No deviations from the NBM model output.

AVIATION

MVFR conditions are likely in and near showers this afternoon into this evening. Skies will gradually clear tonight. VFR conditions will prevail tonight through at least Saturday morning.

FIRE WEATHER

A trough of low pressure will move southward into Southern California this afternoon and this evening. As a result, precipitation chances will decrease this afternoon, before ending this evening. Minimum apparent temperatures in the coldest valleys of Northern and Central Nevada will be in the teens tonight. A warming trend is expected Saturday through Monday.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.


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