textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* Temperatures will be cold with below normal readings at all locations today

* A slow warmup will start today and persist through the rest of the week

* Storm system will clip NV Thursday and Friday may bring a few isolated showers.

* Memorial Day Holiday Weekend looking Quiet with light winds and highs in the upper 70s to upper 80s.

DISCUSSION

(This evening through next Sunday)

Quiet weather returns this week as NW flow aloft looks to keep NV dry, allowing for temperatures to warm back into the 80s by the Weekend. Overall weak troughing pattern over the interior Mountain west will keep northwesterly flow aloft over the great basin through next weekend. Monday through Wednesday look to be dry with light to breezy NW winds. Thursday a quick moving upper trough will ride the NW flow, bringing a wind shift line through Nevada, but models keep this system far enough to the NE that only the far NE Elko county could see a 10% chance for a light shower Thursday afternoon, this front will stall across central NV and this may be enough to generate a isolated shower for the mountains of N Nye county Friday. After Friday dry conditions return for the weekend lasting through Memorial Day. The main story this week will be the temperatures as the cold air mass left in the wake of Sundays storm system begins to modify and warm. Highs will start cool in the upper 50s to upper 60s Monday afternoon and warm through the week back into the mid 70s to mid 80s by Friday afternoon. Lows will gradually warm as well starting in the low 20s to low 30s Tuesday morning the rising back into the mid 40s to mid 50s by the Saturday morning.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:

There is high confidence for quiet, dry weather conditions with warming temperatures lasting through the Holiday weekend.

There is low confidence for isolated showers across far NE NV Thursday afternoon, and for N Nye county Friday afternoon as a weak upper trough pushes a wind shift line through NV.

AVIATION

VFR conditions are forecast through Tuesday evening with light to breezy afternoon northerly winds.

KEKO remains AMD NOT SKED due to communication disruption.

FIRE WEATHER

Low fire weather concerns over the next few days as northwesterly flow aloft keeps quiet dry conditions with warming temperatures for most of the week. A weak storm system will try and clip NV Thursday afternoon and Friday, however models want to keep this system well to our north, but there could be a low 10% chance for an isolated shower. Saturday through the Memorial Day holiday look to be quiet with highs in the upper 70 to low 80s. Winds will feature light to breezy afternoon winds, generally out of the WNW at 5 to 15 MPH with a few gusts up to 25 MPH possible.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.