textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* Unseasonably cool this afternoon

* Warming trend Sunday and Monday

* Slight chance of valley rain and mountain snow in Northern Nevada Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Friday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: High temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon will be six to eight degrees below normal for this time of year. A ridge of high pressure will build eastward across Northern Nevada Sunday into Monday. As a result, a warming trend is expected Sunday and Monday. By Monday afternoon, maximum temperatures across Northern and Central Nevada will be near normal for this time of year.

A trough of low pressure will move eastward across Northern Nevada Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning, resulting in a slight chance of valley rain and mountain snow. Any precipitation associated with this atmospheric disturbance will remain north of Interstate 80. Precipitation chances will be highest near the Nevada/Idaho border. Zonal flow aloft is anticipated Wednesday and Thursday. This will result in dry weather and seasonal temperatures. The next storm system may begin to impact Northern and Central Nevada as early as Thursday night.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence regarding unseasonably cool conditions this afternoon. High forecast confidence in a warming trend Sunday and Monday. Low forecast confidence in the possibility of valley rain and mountain snow in Northern Nevada Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning. No deviations from the NBM model output.

AVIATION

VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals through at least the next 24 hours.

FIRE WEATHER

High temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon will be six to eight degrees below normal for this time of year. A warming trend is expected Sunday and Monday. A trough of low pressure will move eastward across Northern Nevada Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning, resulting in a slight chance of valley rain and mountain snow.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.