textproduct: Elko
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
* Cold Temperatures tonight
* Warming Trend this week leads to above normal temperatures this weekend
* storm system expected to impact area early next week
DISCUSSION
(This evening through next Tuesday)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Clear skies and drier conditions will continue to cool temperatures tonight. Low temperatures tonight will remain around 5 degrees below normal with lows hovering around the low 20s. An upper level ridge will continue to build over our area bringing with it mostly sunny skies, drier conditions, and above normal temperatures. Highs for the rest of the week will remain in the upper 60s, with some areas peaking in the low 70s this weekend.
Looking ahead in to next week, a polar jet will be making its way in to our region, bringing with it the chance for winter weather and colder temperatures. A cold front associated with an upper level trough will reduce our highs back to the 40s and 50s, as well as bring with it the chances for precipitation on Monday into Tuesday. These cooler temperatures will also bring our lows down into the 20s and 30s next week. While these lows bring us the slightest bit of hope at building the first snowman of the season, confidence in the timing and intensity of this forecast is still low as it is still beyond the forecast period.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence is in the forecast for the remainder of the week. Moderate confidence is in the forecast for the cooling temperatures early next week. Low confidence remains in the timing and intensity of the front and its associated precipitation chances early next week. No deviations from the NBM at this time.
AVIATION
North/northwest gusty winds Wednesday afternoon ranging 2225KTs, will diminish after sunset at KTPH, KELY, and KENV terminals. VFR conditions will prevail across all terminals for the next 24 hours. No precipitation in the forecast through Thursday afternoon
FIRE WEATHER
Dry conditions will continue across the area through this weekend. Wind speeds and relative humidity will remain well below fire weather thresholds.
LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories
None.
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