textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* Light precipitation through the early morning hours in parts of Northern and Central Nevada.

* Dry conditions expected Thursday through at least next week Monday.

* Warming trend Thursday through Sunday as high pressure builds into the area.

DISCUSSION

(Today through next Wednesday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Radar loop this morning has been active with returns seen across portions of northern and central Nevada. Surface temperature at Eureka airport has been slowly cooling during the overnight, with a changeover to snow noted at about 145am or thereabouts. Nevada Department of Transportation webcams are showing minor accumulations in the Eureka area at this time. Had to drop snow level and temperature grids about 400 to 800 feet and several degrees, respectfully, to account for the minor accumulations across central Nevada.

For today, the upper level system that is currently affecting the forecast area will shove eastward, and in its wake, skies are expected to become partly to mostly sunny through the morning. Winds will be out of the west and northwest this morning with highs in the 40s and 50s. Look for clear skies tonight with the possibility of freezing fog in those locations that have received precipitation, especially across the valleys. Overnight lows will be in the 20s to low 30s.

On Thursday, a weak upper disturbance will quickly move through the forecast area but limited moisture will bring perhaps a few clouds but not much else. High temperatures will be a degree or two warmer than the previous afternoon with readings in the 40s and 50s. Quiet and calm expected through the overnight with lows in the 20s with the possibility of patchy freezing fog in some of the valley locations, especially in the north.

Friday through next week, all models are showing a ridge of high pressure across the southwestern United States. This pattern will be bringing a period of dry and quiet weather to northern and central Nevada. Highs will range in the 50s and 60s through this time with lows in the 20s and 30s. Winds will remain on the light side.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Adjustments to the weather, snow level, and snow amount grids were made for the near term forecast. After this afternoon, no changes were made to the NBM forecast. Confidence is high with the current system exiting with high pressure building from the west. Confidence is also high through the weekend with dry weather continuing and temperatures rising to above normal levels.

AVIATION

A quick moving storm system will bring local IFR conditions during the early morning hours due to -SHRA/-SHSN. Expect clouds scattering out later this morning and afternoon as the storm system exits to the east. Quiet conditions will prevail through the rest of the day with VFR conditions expected at all terminals with light winds.

KBAM TAF remains AMD NOT SKED due to a communications outage.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.