textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

* Unseasonably warm both this afternoon and Thursday afternoon

* Strong wind gusts Friday and Friday night

* Periods of precipitation Friday afternoon into Saturday morning * Periods of precipitation Monday through Tuesday afternoon

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Tuesday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A ridge of high pressure will build northward over the Silver State this afternoon. This ridge of high pressure will progress eastward tonight and Thursday. High temperatures across Northern and Central Nevada both this afternoon and Thursday afternoon will be around ten degrees above normal for this time of year. An Eastern Pacific storm system will approach the west coast of the United States Friday. As a result, the surface pressure gradient will increase. Sustained south winds 20 to 30 mph, with gusts near 50 mph are expected in Northern and Central Nevada Friday and Friday night. A Wind Advisory is in effect from 10 AM PST Friday morning until 3 AM PST early Saturday morning.

A trough of low pressure will pass eastward across Northern and Central Nevada Friday afternoon through Saturday morning, resulting in periods of precipitation. Snow levels will start at around 8,000 feet Friday afternoon, before dropping to about 5,500 feet by Saturday morning. Here are probabilities of one quarter of an inch of liquid precipitation or more Friday afternoon and Friday night:

Winnemucca - 67% Austin - 65% Eureka - 60% Battle Mountain - 57% Carlin - 57% Elko - 55% Spring Creek - 53% Owyhee - 53% Ely - 47% Tonopah - 41%

There will be a brief break in precipitation the remainder of the upcoming weekend, prior to the next storm system Monday morning through Tuesday afternoon. Snow levels will start at around 7,000 feet Monday morning, before dropping to about 5,000 feet Monday night. Here are probabilities of 0.1 inches of snowfall or more for select locations in Northern and Central Nevada Monday night into Tuesday morning: Austin - 75% Ruth - 75% Lamoille - 70% Eureka - 65% McGill - 65% Spring Creek - 60% Owyhee - 60% Ely - 55% Jackpot - 55% Elko - 20%

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence regarding unseasonably warm weather both this afternoon and Thursday afternoon. High forecast confidence in strong wind gusts Friday and Friday night. High forecast confidence regarding periods of precipitation Friday afternoon through Saturday morning. Moderate forecast confidence in periods of precipitation Monday morning through Tuesday afternoon. No deviations from the NBM model output.

AVIATION

VFR conditions will persist at all terminal through at least the next 24 hours. Winds will be light.

KBAM remains AMD NOT SKED due to hardware upgrades.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

Wind Advisory from 10 AM Friday to 3 AM PST Saturday NVZ030-031-033>041.