textproduct: Elko

KEY MESSAGES

1205 PM PST Sat Feb 21 2026

* Warming trend thru Monday

* Periods of mountain snow and valley rain in Northern Nevada Tuesday thru Wednesday morning

* Unseasonably warm Thursday and Friday

DISCUSSION

(This evening through next Saturday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: High pressure continues to build in the Southwest even as strong low pressure presides over the Pacific Ocean. In the short term, this means warming temperatures across the area, with high temperatures warming to or just above normal for Monday. In the slightly longer term, the location of the high and low will create an upper level jet that will help funnel Pacific moisture into the American West. This moisture drifts south into Nevada, resulting in periods of precipitation for Tuesday and the first half of Wednesday. Model timing for this precipitation has changed slightly since the previous forecast, with the bulk of the precipitation now expected to fall a few hours earlier, during the afternoon and evening. Conditions have also gotten noticeably warmer, with snow levels now approaching 10,000 feet until early Wednesday morning, meaning precipitation is now expected to fall as rain for the vast majority of the area. Precipitation will also be mostly confined to northern Nevada, although central Nevada could still see a trace to 0.05 inches.

Precipitation clears out after Wednesday as ridging rebuilds over the west, allowing temperatures to return to unseasonable heights, with highs reaching the upper 50s and low 60s by the weekend. Model guidance is showing some early indications for wet weather to return next weekend, however its too early to say much about it.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence in warming for tomorrow. Moderate to high confidence regarding precipitation Tuesday and Wednesday but only moderate confidence in rain versus snow. Low to moderate confidence for renewed warming to end the week, and very low confidence for more precipitation next weekend. No deviations from base NBM output.

AVIATION

Winds 10KT or less and VFR conditions expected at all sites through the next 24 hours.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.