textproduct: New Orleans/Baton Rouge

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 524 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

- Dry weather is expected until at least Tuesday. A quick moving shortwave may bring some light rain chances Tuesday or Wednesday. An additional weather system could move across the area next Friday or Saturday.

- Above normal temperatures are expected for most of the period, especially during the workweek next week.

- Fog potential could return Monday and Tuesday.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Sunday Night) Issued at 1041 AM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

The short term period will be pretty uneventful as upper level ridging builds in from the west and becomes more centered over the area through the weekend. This keeps the forecast dry and heading into a warming trend after Sunday morning. Sunday morning will see some lows touch the mid yo upper 30s for northern and eastern areas. Not quite a freeze, but don't be surprised to see some frost in some areas. While we are a few degrees cooler for high temperatures today compared to Friday, Sunday will see everyone back into the mid 60s to lower 70s. Winds gradually come down through this afternoon and start to turn back to onshore flow. This onshore flow will slowly re- introduce moisture back into the region through the coming days.

LONG TERM

(Monday through Friday) Issued at 1041 AM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

The start to the long term could see some fog issues as we see moisture return continue. Several models are already trying to hint at this potential so it will be something to keep an eye on tomorrow as Monday morning gets into the short term period. Fog concerns look to be a possibility into Tuesday morning as well.

Outside of the potential for fog, our next system looks to come through the area towards mid-week in the form of a shortwave trough. This shortwave shoots out of the Baja California region early in the week and slides across the southern Plains into our area. This system brings our next chance of rain, though currently looking to be rather light. PoPs peak out only around 25-30% mainly for eastern and southern areas. Late in the long term period models start to diverge with another possible system. The globals aren't in great agreement, but the GFS ensembles may be a little more in agreement. Something to watch as we head into Mardi Gras weekend.

In terms of temperatures, those that like the warmer air will be happy to hear that temperatures look to continue the warming trend through the long term period. Afternoon highs reach the mid 70s for all by midweek, possibly even into the upper 70s for some. Morning lows look to be in the mid to upper 50s each day. A possibility for a minor cooldown very late in the period, but with this still 6-7 days out not going to 100% buy into it just yet.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 524 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

VFR conditions expected through the forecast period.

MARINE

Issued at 1041 AM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

Small Craft Exercise Caution conditions will continue into midday today over portions of the open waters before we start to see improving conditions through the afternoon. Winds return to onshore flow Sunday and will likely remain that way through the week. More favorable conditions for marine operations anticipated for late this weekend and into early next week as flow remains light.

LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

LA...None. GM...None. MS...None. GM...None.