textproduct: New Orleans/Baton Rouge
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1227 PM CDT Mon Oct 12 2026
- Near record high temperatures are expected for much of the workweek with little or no precipitation.
- A cold frontal passage on Friday will bring cooler weather to the area for next weekend along with potentially hazardous marine conditions.
SHORT TERM
(Now through Thursday night) Issued at 1227 PM CDT Mon Oct 12 2026
High pressure will build over the area and dominate the upper level pattern tonight through Thursday with little to no rainfall is expected. Drier air and low humidities will persist. As a result, temperatures will still be above average for this time of year with highs in the upper 80s and low 90s. The feels like temperatures will be quite close to the actual temperatures, which should feel quite pleasant by comparison to the last few weeks. MSW
LONG TERM
(Friday through Sunday night) Issued at 1227 PM CDT Mon Oct 12 2026
Friday, high pressure will continue to dominate the upper level pattern and little to no rainfall is expected. Southerly surface winds and onshore flow will return by Friday. Highs will be in the low 90s to upper 80s with feels like temperatures close to the actual temperature values. The drier air and lower humidities will be a nice change compared to the last few weeks.
A dry cool front moves through the area Saturday with little to no rain expected at this time looking at the models. We might get a sprinkle out of the front before it moves through the area, but that will be a low chance of occurrence. But it will likely bring cooler temperatures for next weekend. Forecast highs are in the low to mid 80s next weekend briefly Saturday and Sunday before warming again. MSW
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1227 PM CDT Mon Oct 12 2026
VFR conditions prevail at all area airports and will persist through the forecast period for most area airports. Some fog, leading to brief IFR conditions, is forecast for BTR, HUM, and HDC around daybreak for a few hours. MSW
MARINE
Issued at 1227 PM CDT Mon Oct 12 2026
Winds and seas remain rather benign across our local waters. Winds of 5 to 10 knots and seas of 1 to 2 feet can be expected through much of the upcoming workweek as high pressure builds into the region. Toward the end of the week a strong cold front will move into the region increasing winds and seas with likely small craft advisories next weekend.
LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...None. GM...None. MS...None. GM...None.
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