textproduct: New Orleans/Baton Rouge

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 601 AM CDT Thu May 14 2026

- No significant weather-related hazards expected through the weekend.

- Isolated to scattered afternoon showers and storms will begin returning Sunday, mainly for areas west of the I-55 corridor.

- Temperatures are forecast to be near to above normal through the middle of next week.

SHORT TERM

(Now through Friday night) Issued at 1220 AM CDT Thu May 14 2026

Upper low and trough to our east remain parked over the eastern Great Lakes and upper Ohio River Valley. Ridging has shifted eastward from the Rockies into the Plains States. The next northern stream trough was near the Idaho-Montana border. At the surface, high pressure was centered over Missouri and over the western Gulf. A decaying frontal boundary was near the Louisiana- Arkansas border. Low pressure centers were over Lake Huron and over Montana.

Locally, skies were clear with light winds. Midnight CDT temperatures ranged from the middle 60s to lower and middle 70s.

High pressure will slide eastward over the next couple days and be off the Carolina coast Saturday morning. This will turn our winds from offshore (northerly) today to onshore (southeast to south) Friday and Saturday. Even with winds coming off the Gulf, moisture levels will be slow to respond, with precipitable water values remaining below the 50th percentile for mid-May at most locations. That will mean partly to mostly sunny skies the next couple days. Not expecting to see much day to day temperature change, with afternoon highs expected in the mid and upper 80s. Morning lows will be in the 60s and lower 70s for most areas.

LONG TERM

(Saturday through Wednesday) Issued at 1220 AM CDT Thu May 14 2026

Warm but otherwise benign weather continues through the weekend. High temperatures will generally remain mid 80s to around 90 the whole time and lows will slowly rise from the 60s into the 70s. Southerly flow will also increase the moisture in the area. Chances of showers and thunderstorms enter the forecast again with some low chances on Sunday and Monday, then better chances around Tuesday into Wednesday. As of right now rainfall totals should generally remain low.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 601 AM CDT Thu May 14 2026

VFR conditions in place under high pressure and expected to continue through the forecast period.

MARINE

Issued at 1220 AM CDT Thu May 14 2026

Winds will remain offshore today and tonight. On Friday, the surface high will shift eastward, causing winds to become onshore again. Winds will then generally remain southeastward in the 10 to 15 knot range through the weekend. While one or two thunderstorms will be possible over the waters each day from Sunday into early next week, weather will generally be benign through the period.

LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

LA...None. GM...None. MS...None. GM...None.