textproduct: Lake Charles

KEY MESSAGES

- Rain with a few thunderstorms will precede the front this into tonight before coming to an end early Wednesday morning. Precipitation totals of between a quarter and a half inch are expected.

- A brief period of cooler weather expected Thursday with a light freeze possible Thursday morning with mild and seasonable temperatures returning Friday through the weekend.

- Mild and dry weather is anticipated this weekend through early next week.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Thursday night) Issued at 1213 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

A cold front stretches from around Big Bend National Park to southeast Missouri. Moisture is increasing ahead of the front with showers streaming across eastern Texas, LA, south AR, and MS.

Through this evening the cold front will continue to advance southeast. Temperatures will be in the 60s to around 70 across SE TX and SW LA even with ample cloud cover and a scattering of showers. Coverage will continue to increase as the afternoon progresses and the front moves into the region. A thunderstorm or two is also possible. Areal average of rainfall will be from a half an inch to around 1 inch, however localized 2" is not out of the question, especially in any storm.

The front will exit early tomorrow with a Pacific air mass spilling in and rain chances ending. A light freeze may occur tomorrow night in Cen LA and the whole area will run a few degrees below climo norms for Thursday morning.

The flow will veer SW Thursday night into early Friday that will start a warming trend into the weekend.

LONG TERM

(Friday through next Monday) Issued at 1213 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

A gradual warming and moistening trend will start Friday and will last into the middle of next week. Temperatures will rise above climo norms with dewpoints rising in tandem. Sea fog could become an issue by Tuesday as dewpoints rise to around 60.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 539 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

A cold front draped across northeast Texas and northwest Louisiana is producing scattered showers and a few thunderstorms ahead of it which will periodically impact regional terminals this evening. VFR ceilings will gradually fall to MVFR and intermittently IFR as the frontal boundary approaches and moves through late tonight into early Wednesday morning accompanied by a more uniform cluster of showers with a few embedded thunderstorms. Precipitation will end from north to south behind the frontal passage early Wednesday morning with breezy northerly winds developing which will then prevail through the day Wednesday. Ceilings are expected to improve to VFR areawide between 12-15Z Wednesday.

Jones

MARINE

Issued at 1213 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

Onshore winds around 10-15 kt will prevail through the day Tuesday as a cold front approaches. A few rain showers will be possible during the day, but the greatest rain chances will be with the frontal passage overnight Tuesday night. Instability will be limited, but a few thunderstorms are possible especially along the front.

Offshore flow will develop for Wednesday through Thursday morning with winds likely in the 15-25 kt range. Winds diminish and turn more westerly for Thursday night into the weekend.

64/Silas

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1213 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

A cold front will push through the region late this evening into early Wednesday morning. Showers and a few thunderstorms will develop along and ahead of the cold front spreading toward the coast through the afternoon and this evening. Precipitation will come to an end behind the frontal passage late tonight into early Wednesday. Northerly winds will develop in the wake of the frontal passage Wednesday advecting cooler, drier air into the region. The lowest RH's of the week will occur Thursday and Friday afternoons with minimum values falling to 30-40%.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

AEX 40 56 31 55 / 80 0 0 0 LCH 48 60 36 58 / 80 0 0 0 LFT 47 57 33 55 / 90 10 0 0 BPT 48 62 37 60 / 80 0 0 0

LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

LA...None. TX...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM Wednesday to 6 AM CST Thursday for GMZ470-472-475.