textproduct: Lake Charles

KEY MESSAGES

- A light freeze is expected roughly north of the I-10 corridor Wednesday morning.

- Another coastal low developing and moving up the Texas gulf coast will produce showers and a few thunderstorms across the region this evening and tonight. An approaching cold front will keep precipitation chances elevated Thursday and Friday.

- Dry and cool conditions expected Sunday through early next week.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Friday night) Issued at 1203 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

Light, northerly winds and clear skies across much of the region have allowed temperatures to fall into the upper 30s early this morning. Some persistent high clouds that have remained in place across central Louisiana yesterday and tonight may disrupt radiational cooling enough to keep temperatures at or slightly above freezing. The previously forecasted low of 28 at Alexandria is going to struggle to verify if the cloud cover remains in place.

Temperatures this afternoon will warm into the lower 60s across much of the area aided by southeasterly turning winds in advance of an inverted trof and surface coastal low moving up the Texas coastline. This low will initialize widespread showers and a few embedded thunderstorms beginning late this evening and expanding after midnight Thursday morning. This coastal low is still progged to merge into and become absorbed by a southward advancing frontal boundary which will effectively stall an elongated trof across the northern gulf coast providing a focus for more or less continuous stratiform showers along with some embedded heavier rain both Thursday and Friday.

Jones

LONG TERM

(Saturday through Wednesday) Issued at 1203 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

Rain will finally be pushed out of the area Saturday afternoon into Saturday night by a more progressive frontal boundary. Drier and cooler conditions will develop behind the front Sunday into early next week with lows in the upper 30s to lower 40s and highs in the 60s along with some much deserved sunshine.

Jones

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1203 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

A shield of MVFR ceilings continues across AEX although satellite depicts some breaks beginning to develop so this may bounce between MVFR and VFR over the next couple of hours. Elsewhere, mostly clear skies will prevail through the morning. Light northeasterly winds early this morning will turn easterly by late morning and southeasterly this afternoon ahead of a coastal low moving up the Texas gulf coast. This low will produce widespread showers that will push into the region from west to east near the end of the taf period. Ceilings will fall to IFR in the vicinity of these showers late tonight.

Jones

MARINE

Issued at 1203 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

Diminishing offshore flow this morning will turn onshore by this afternoon ahead of a developing coastal low that will bring widespread precipitation across the coastal waters Wednesday night through late Saturday. Strong offshore winds and increasing seas are expected to develop Thursday in the vicinity of the center of the coastal low before abating late Friday as the low pushes off to the east. Drier conditions and light to moderate offshore winds will prevail from Sunday through early next week.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1203 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

Winds will turn southeasterly this morning ahead of an approaching coastal low moving up the Texas coast. Dewpoints will climb from the lower 30s into the 40s and 50s by this evening with widespread showers beginning late this evening and continuing through Friday evening. Precipitation chances gradually diminish Saturday with cooler, drier air pushing back into the region Sunday on northerly winds behind a passing cold front.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

AEX 58 42 50 39 / 0 90 90 80 LCH 62 51 59 45 / 10 90 90 60 LFT 62 50 58 48 / 0 90 90 80 BPT 64 53 62 45 / 10 90 90 60

LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

LA...None. TX...None. GM...None.