textproduct: Lake Charles
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Slightly cooler and drier conditions will continue Sunday with a quick warm up Monday.
- A stronger cold front is expected on Tuesday with high rain chances late Monday into Tuesday.
- Cooler and more seasonable temperatures is expected for Thanksgiving.
SHORT TERM
(Today through Tuesday night) Issued at 1201 AM CST Sun Nov 23 2025
The weak frontal boundary has cleared the area early this morning with dewpoints in the 50s everywhere but the immediate coastline. High pressure building into the region is producing clear skies and calm winds across much of the region which will be supportive of a few areas of patchy fog in areas that saw earlier rain. Any fog that manages to develop will dissipate by 8 AM. The remainder of the day will be very pleasant with lower humidity and afternoon highs in the low to mid 70s.
High pressure will slide quickly across the region Sunday turning winds back southeasterly by Sunday night into Monday. This will result in a noticeable increase in humidity Monday ahead of a stronger cold front that will approach the area late Monday into early Tuesday.
Jones
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Sunday) Issued at 1201 AM CST Sun Nov 23 2025
Widespread showers and thunderstorms will develop along and ahead of a passing cold front Monday night into Tuesday morning. The significant moisture pooling ahead of the boundary will support some heavy rain producing storms that could lead to some nuisance street flooding in a few locations. While the most supportive severe weather parameters will remain across northeast Texas, a couple of borderline severe storms will be possible prior to the fropa.
Cooler temperatures on Wednesday will be reinforced by a secondary, dry frontal boundary Wednesday evening. This will push overnight lows down into the upper 30s to mid 40s Thanksgiving morning with afternoon highs in the low to mid 60s beneath abundant sunshine. The airmass will begin to moderate Friday afternoon as high pressure slides east of the region and winds turn back out of the southeast.
Jones
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1201 AM CST Sun Nov 23 2025
A few areas of patchy fog will be possible early this morning. Any fog that develops will dissipate by 14Z with VFR conditions to prevail thereafter. Light northerly winds will prevail through the taf period.
Jones
MARINE
Issued at 1201 AM CST Sun Nov 23 2025
A brief period of modest offshore winds can be expected tonight into Sunday behind a weak cold front. Modest onshore winds will develop Monday ahead of a stronger cold front on Tuesday. This front will bring scattered showers and thunderstorms. Strong north winds are expected behind this front Wednesday and Thursday with winds turning back onshore Friday.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 1201 AM CST Sun Nov 23 2025
Slightly drier and cooler conditions tonight into Sunday behind a weak cold front. Gulf moisture will return on Monday with high rain chances late Monday into Tuesday ahead of a stronger cold front.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 72 51 79 62 / 0 0 40 80 LCH 76 58 80 67 / 0 0 40 70 LFT 76 57 80 67 / 0 0 30 60 BPT 76 61 81 66 / 0 10 50 70
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...None. TX...None. GM...None.
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