textproduct: North Platte

KEY MESSAGES

- Low to moderate confidence in severe thunderstorms this evening and into the overnight hours with damaging winds and hail being the main threats.

- Moderate confidence in below normal temperatures Thursday and Thursday night.

- Cool temperatures for the weekend, espousal Sunday. Showers will be possible Sunday as well. Temperatures begin to moderate the first of next week with mainly dry conditions.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 229 AM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

Active weather will continue through the short term as showers and thunderstorms are expected again on Wednesday afternoon and evening. Current guidance suggests the best instability will remain to the east across eastern Nebraska. Still, some convection may slide into portions of north central Nebraska. With lesser instability, though, not anticipating widespread severe thunderstorms. However, some of these storms will still be capable of producing some hail and gusty winds. There is some concern that any convection may also not occur until late in the evening and into the overnight hours. If this happens, confidence in getting any severe storms is low as any instability across our region will quickly diminish by late evening. A stronger storm cannot be ruled out though and may still impact portions of north central Nebraska.

By Thursday, the severe threat will have shifted even further to the east and with surface high pressure building into the region, dry conditions return to the region. Cold air advection behind the departing system will push 850 mb temperatures in the 9 to 13 C range into north central Nebraska. This will keep highs on the cooler side of guidance (5 to 10 degrees below normal) with forecasted temperatures only in the mid to upper 70s. A few locations across far southwest Nebraska may rise into the low 80s, but not expecting most locations to see above 80 on Thursday.

Dry conditions continue into Thursday night as high pressure firmly settles over the region. Continued CAA into the region into Thursday night will keep overnight lows nearly 10 degrees cooler than the previous few days. Expect temperatures to drop into the mid 40s Thursday night which are nearly 5 to 10 degrees below normals for this time of year.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/

Issued at 229 AM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

Westerly flow aloft will be in place across the area Friday. A subtle disturbance within the flow will be located across the Rockies. As a result, leeward troughing will deepen with the low-level flow becoming southerly. This will help lift a warm front northward into the area Friday night, with a brief surge of higher theta-e air surging northward into southern NE. Scattered convection is possible overnight as the more moist airmass moves northward and the low- level jet increases. This will be short lived however, as both the GFS and ECMWF are in good agreement, and bring settle cooler surface high pressure into the area Saturday into Sunday.

Ensembles suggest Sunday could be showery and cool. As a strong disturbance drops from the northern Rockies and then turns eastward across the Plains. Official forecast is quite cool, with highs only in the mid 60s across northwest Nebraska and lower 70s to the south and east. Temperatures do moderate the first of next week beneath a mostly dry northwest flow aloft.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 640 AM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

Mainly clear skies are expected during the day Wednesday with gusty west to northwest winds at 10-20 kts. Winds decrease and switch to the east-southeast this evening. A broken mid-level cloud deck develops this evening. Isolated to widely scattered TSTMS are possible late tonight. VFR conditions are expected to prevail across all of the area through the period.

LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.