textproduct: North Platte
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- High confidence in hot, above normal temperatures through Sunday along with dry conditions.
- Low to moderate confidence in a return to precipitation early next week along with cooler, below normal temperatures through Wednesday.
- Low confidence in a return to above normal temperatures for the end of the week.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/
Issued at 341 PM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026
Upper level ridging will remain in place through the weekend allowing for surface high pressure to remain over the central Plains. Dry conditions will persist through Sunday night with near normal temperatures. Warm air advection with 850mb temperatures in the 28 to 32 C will push into the Panhandle region allowing for temperatures to soar into the upper 90s to low 100s in this region. At this time, wind gusts up to 45 mph on Sunday will help to keep heat indices just below 100 degrees keeping any heat headlines at bay for the time being. These dry and windy conditions, though, will allow for a return to critical fire conditions across the eastern Panhandle. See the fire weather section for more details.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
Issued at 341 PM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026
Active weather returns for the beginning of next week bringing increased moisture and precipitation chances. A frontal boundary will push through Nebraska on Monday resulting in some rain and thunderstorm chances by the evening. As this time, the severe threat remains marginal which correlates well to the latest SPC guidance. If thunderstorms can develop, the environment will remain favorable for some stronger to briefly severe thunderstorms. Otherwise, expecting these storms to remain fairly isolated especially to the south and west where less instability is expected. Another round of thunderstorms returns on Tuesday evening with another potential for some severe storms. Storms on Tuesday will have a better chance at become widespread, impacting much of the region. Although the severe risk does remain uncertain at this time, would not be surprised to see some isolated severe storms with large hail and damaging winds as the main threats. Near-daily precipitation chances continue through the rest of next week, but the severe potential as well as development is uncertain.
For temperatures, the cold front pushing through early week will usher in some cooler air into the region. Highs will drop from the low 90s to low 100s on Monday into the low 70s to low 80s on Tuesday. Temperatures will gradually warm through the end of the week, returning to the 90s by Friday. Overnight lows will also drop from the mid 60s to low 70s Monday morning to the 50s by Tuesday morning. They will also slowly increase back into the 60s by Friday morning.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
Issued at 1117 PM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026
VFR conditions will prevail through the day (Sunday). Surface winds will increase from the south by late this morning into the afternoon. The stronger winds will be across western Nebraska where they will be in the 15-25 kt range. Low-level wind shear is expected later tonight (Sunday) as strong winds increase from the south to southwest just off the surface.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Red Flag Warning from 10 AM to 10 PM MDT Sunday for NEZ204-210.
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