textproduct: North Platte

KEY MESSAGES

- Well below normal temperatures are expected today with afternoon highs ranging from the upper 60s to lower 70s.

- Mainly dry conditions are expected over the next 7 days. There is a minor threat for precipitation across northeastern portions of the FA Tuesday night and across the whole FA on Saturday.

- Temperatures will trend upward beginning Monday with widespread 80s expected for the week. Some lower 90s are possible in southern areas Tuesday, Wednesday, Friday and Saturday.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 316 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Dry conditions will then persist through Sunday night as high pressure gradually returns to the region today. Cold air advection behind the departing trough will bring a return to 850 mb temperatures in the 8 to 11 C range into north central Nebraska. This will keep highs on the cooler side of guidance (5 to 10 degrees below normal) with forecasted temperatures ranging from the mid 60s in the Pine Ridge and the eastern Panhandle to the low 70s across extreme north central Nebraska. Continued CAA into the region into Sunday night will keep overnight lows nearly 10 degrees cooler than normal for this time of year as well. Currently expecting temperatures to drop into the low to mid 40s for most locations.

Strong upper level ridging across the western US will keep high pressure over the region through Monday and into Monday night. This will result in dry conditions persisting across the region. However, as ridging builds to the west, some warmer air will be able to push into Nebraska by Monday. Highs will rise into the upper 70s to low 80s with lows dropping into the upper 40s to low 50s. Despite this warmer air, these temperatures are still slightly below normal.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 316 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Persistent, upper level low pressure will remain entrenched across Hudson Bay, Ontario and northern Manitoba this week. Persistent northwesterly and west- northwesterly flow aloft will remain largely unchanged for Tuesday through Saturday. Within this northwesterly flow aloft there will be periodic chances for light precipitation from the Dakotas into the upper midwest. The first disturbance will track through the Dakotas Tuesday night, bringing modest slight chance pops to the northeastern forecast area Tuesday night. A second, stronger disturbance, will drive a cold front through the forecast area Wednesday night. ATTM, forcing for precipitation remains more favorable off to the northeast of the forecast area. This leads to a dry forecast per the latest NBM soln. The latest NBM ensembles have a zero to 10 percent chance of measurable (0.01") of precipitation across all of western and north central Nebraska Tuesday through Thursday. Looking at the deterministic GFS and EC solns, there is indications of a threat for precipitation Wednesday night with the FROPA over northeastern Nebraska. ATTM, will follow the dry NBM forecast, however wouldn't be surprised if low pops will need to be added in subsequent forecasts. As for temperatures this week, warm air, locked in over the SW CONUS, will drift northeast periodically this week. This will lead to the potential for 90+ degree highs over SW Nebraska. For highs Tuesday and Wednesday, some lower to middle 90s are possible in southwestern areas. Slightly cooler readings in the 80s are expected on Thursday behind the exiting cold front Wednesday night. Readings will warm back into the 90s for Friday and Saturday across SW Nebraska. By next weekend, the upper level low over Hudson Bay, will begin to migrate east. This will place the forecast area in a more zonal pattern aloft. With low level moisture increasing next weekend, the threat for thunderstorms will increase Saturday and beyond.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1202 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Mid level cloud cover will increase overnight across western into southwestern Nebraska. This will result in broken ceilings around 10000 FT AGL for the KLBF terminal after 10z Sunday. Cloud cover will persist into Sunday evening. At the KVTN terminal, expect mainly clear skies over the next 18 hours with a few to scattered high clouds around 25000 FT AGL. Skies will cloud up further Sunday evening with broken ceilings around 25000 FT AGL anticipated after 01z Monday.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 316 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

After cool temperatures today, readings will reach around 80 degrees on Monday. Minimum RH Monday afternoon will fall off to around 15 to 20 percent, generally north of a line from Grant to O'Neill. West winds will become gusty Monday afternoon with gust potential of 30 to 40 MPH in the eastern panhandle and western Sandhills. With fuel partners indicating fuels are ready to burn in zone 204, decided to hoist a fire weather watch for Monday afternoon/early evening for forecast zone 204. Near critical, and possibly critical, fire weather conditions will be possible Tuesday through Friday across the eastern Panhandle and western Sandhills.

LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Fire Weather Watch from Monday afternoon through Monday evening for NEZ204.