textproduct: North Platte
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- A Dense Fog Advisory remains in effect until 10 am CT / 9 am MT today for portions of north central to southwest Nebraska. Additional patchy fog will be possible Friday night through Saturday morning across portions of northeast Nebraska.
- Dry conditions are expected Saturday night through Thursday.
- Daily highs will be 5 to 10 degrees above normal Sunday through Thursday with readings in the lower to middle 60s.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/
Issued at 310 AM CST Fri Nov 6 2026
A upper trough has continued to move east out of the northern Plains into the Great Lakes region, strong upper ridging starts to build in from the west. Latest forecast soundings suggest a nocturnal inversion continuing to develop beneath a lingering stratus deck across north central to portions of southwest Nebraska this morning. This, along with low-level moisture advecting into the region continues to create patchy to widespread foggy continues this morning. As such, a Dense Fog Advisory has remains in effect until 10 am CT / 9 am MT across portions of north central to southwest Nebraska. Lows should generally remain near freezing to slightly above, which should limit any freezing fog concerns at this time.
Weak northwesterly flow will give way to more zonal, westerly flow by this afternoon, leading way to more mild daytime highs in the 50s. This could fluctuate some as there is some disagreement among CAMs relating to how much cloud coverage remains over the region during peak heating hours, particularity across portions of southwest Nebraska, where cloud breaks could increase highs to the low 60s. Later in the evening through early Saturday morning, cloud cover will start to clear out from west to east, but still should keep lows in the low to mid 30s across the region. Patchy fog could again develop across the far northeast portions of our CWA where sufficient low level moisture and weak winds overlap. However, confidence in exact coverage and visibility drops remain low at this time.
By Saturday, strong upper ridging starts to move across western CONUS and reach the northern Plains by Saturday afternoon. This will promote warmer, drier conditions that will continue through much of the weekend and into early next week as explained further in the long term outlook below. Continued WAA in the low to mid levels, along with clearing cloud cover should support afternoon highs Saturday to the low to mid 60s across the the area, with southwest Nebraska possibly reaching the upper 60s. These temperatures will be 10 to 15 degrees above normal for early November.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
Issued at 310 AM CST Fri Nov 6 2026
Low amplitude ridging across the Rockies and central CONUS, early next week, will transition to higher amplitude ridging midweek. The latest EC and GFS ensemble forecast, along with the NBM and NBM ensemble forecast continue to indicate a dry forecast with no threat for measurable precipitation through Thursday. However, the deterministic GFS soln tonight does drop a clipper system across eastern Montana into the Nebraska Panhandle next Wednesday night, which does result in cooler readings for Thursday and a small threat for pcpn. in the west. This clipper is void in the latest deterministic EC soln. which agrees with the EC, GFS, and NBM ensemble forecasts. That being said, feel confident in a dry forecast going forward. As for temperatures, the NBM ensemble forecast indicates highs generally in the lower to middle 60s Sunday through Thursday. This is in good agreement with the EC and GFS ensembles for next week. With average highs next week typically in the mid to upper 50s for the second week of November, forecast highs will be running 5 to 10 degrees above climo through Thursday. Beyond Thursday, a low amplitude ridge to a more zonal pattern is indicated in the latest deterministic GFS and EC solns. This would lead to a continuation of above normal temperatures and dry conditions into the end of next week.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 515 AM CST Fri Nov 6 2026
Dense fog will continue to impact the KLBF and KVTN terminals through 16z this morning. Visibilities around a quarter mile and ceilings under 200 FT AGL are expected. Fog will begin to burn off after 16z with scattered high clouds expected today. By this evening, broken ceilings around 25000 FT AGL are expected at both terminals.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CST /9 AM MST/ this morning for NEZ005-006-008-009-025>027-037-038-059-071-094.
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