textproduct: Key West
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
-Light to gentle breezes will prevail through the next few days before a cold front on Tuesday.
-Near seasonable temperatures and a dry pattern are expected to continue through Tuesday along with dew points in the lower to mid 60s. -The next, cold front is forecast to push through the Florida Keys early next week. The front will bring only slim rain chances and a modest step down in temperatures and moisture to round out the year.
-Postal frontal conditions will be near nil rain chances, drop in humidity, and a period of below normal temperatures for the last day of 2025 and the first couple of days of the New Year 2026.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1229 PM EST Sun Dec 28 2025 VFR conditions will prevail at both EYW and MTH through the TAF period. Near nil rain chances are expected and near surface winds will be northeasterly at near 5 knots through tonight.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1104 AM EST Sun Dec 28 2025 Not much has changed today in comparison to the last few days for the Florida Keys, as high pressure continues to sit in the Gulf waters dominating our sensible weather. Temperatures are in the mid 70s with dew points in the mid 60s, which is the same as it was yesterday at this time making it another lovely day to be outside. Along the Reef, observation sites are recording 5 to 10 knots. This morning's 12z sounding looks very similar to last nights with the majority of any moisture (still lower than 25 percentile per SPC Climatology) below 910 mb. For the rest of the day our area will remain rain-free and breezes will continue to be light to gentle. All this to say, since not much has changed, the forecast is on track and no updates were needed.
MARINE
Issued at 1104 AM EST Sun Dec 28 2025 No watches, warnings, or advisories are currently in effect for the Florida Keys waters. From synopsis, high pressure will meander in the eastern Gulf over the next few days, resulting in light to gentle breezes. Mainland nocturnal land breezes may drive brief bouts of gentle to moderate northerlies through the early morning hours. A cold front is expected to push southeastwards across Keys waters Tuesday through Tuesday night. This will lead to freshening northerly breezes throughout all the Florida Keys coastal waters. While Small Craft Advisories cannot be ruled out, they are not expected at this time.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. GM...None.
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