textproduct: Key West

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Small Craft Should Exercise Caution until winds decrease across the Straits of Florida.

- Temperatures will remain on the cooler side of normal, but gradually trend warmer through the weekend and into next week.

- Nil rain chances are expected for the next several days as dry air remains entrenched across the Keys.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1253 PM EST Sat Feb 7 2026

VFR conditions will prevail at EYW and MTH for the TAF period. A late afternoon pulse in winds will result in gusty conditions and stronger winds at EYW than MTH. Overnight, a wind surge from the peninsula is forecast to veer winds from northwesterly to northeasterly. Veering and slackening winds after sunrise will be accompanied by a slight increase in cloud cover.

PREV DISCUSSION

Issued at 310 AM EST Sat Feb 7 2026

As high pressure moves in across the eastern half of the U.S., we will initially see northwest winds continue today but gradually clock to the northeast as the high settles along the Mid-Atlantic region tonight. This will allow for one more decent nocturnal surge overnight before winds undergo a wax and wane undulation through the remainder of the weekend and into early next week.

This high will eventually consolidate just off the east coast of Florida during the week and may allow winds to gradually veer more easterly. This will help to moderate temperatures back into the 70s for daytime highs. While these temperatures will remain below normal for this time of the year, the difference will be less than the 10 to 20 degrees deviations we saw with the two most recent cold front passages.

Looking at the 4-7 day time frame, there appears to be little evidence of any more cold front passages, but that can always change. For now, will maintain a middle of the road approach with generally an east wind and gradually moderate temperatures with near nil rain chances.

MARINE

Issued at 925 AM EST Sat Feb 7 2026 Breezes have freshened during the early morning hours but this will be short lived and expecting breezes to slacken shortly after sunrise today. As a high pressure dives out of the Central Plains and shifts eastward tonight, we will see one more decent nocturnal surge as winds clock around to the northeast. A brief period of moderate to fresh breezes will be possible across a larger swath of our coastal waters tonight. Thereafter, the high will slowly stall along the Mid-Atlantic states and then eventually consolidates off the east coast of Florida. As this occurs, expect breezes to wax and wane, peaking overnight, and gradually becoming more easterly.

CLIMATE

On this day in 1978, the daily record low temperature of 48F was recorded in Key West. Temperature records for Key West date back to 1872.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Key West 71 60 69 62 / 0 0 0 0 Marathon 68 58 68 60 / 0 0 0 0

KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. GM...None.


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