textproduct: Key West
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Near seasonably warm and muggy conditions will continue through the rest of the work week.
- Northeast to east breezes are in the process of modestly freshening to gentle to moderate and will continue through Tuesday morning, then clocking to the east to southeast by Wednesday.
- Rain chances will remain low through next Saturday, exasperating existing moderate drought conditions.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1106 PM EDT Mon Apr 27 2026
This afternoon and evening saw clear skies and fairly light winds. Within the last hour that has changed abruptly. Winds have begun surging in from the northeast with some showers developing along the leading edge of this wind surge. Winds went light and variable in the afternoon and have picked up to 10 to 15 knots across the eastern marine platforms. Showers are very isolated for now and confined mostly to the Florida Bay, but are moving west southwest. Meanwhile, conditions remain muggy along the island chain with temperatures in the upper 80s and dew points in the lower 70s.
For the overnight, didn't need to make any changes to the going forecast. Breezes are freshening as expected and showers are developing along this wind surge boundary. Our chances for showers will be limited to this surge as it pushes through over the next several hours. A few additional showers may develop closer to dawn in the eastern waters but confidence on showers re-firing is low.
MARINE
Issued at 1106 PM EDT Mon Apr 27 2026
Gentle breezes are quickly freshening to gentle to moderate and clocked around from the northeast as a wind surge comes off the mainland. Along the leading edge of the wind surge are some showers that will mainly stay across the nearshore waters north of the island chain. Otherwise, gentle to moderate northeast to east breezes will prevail into Tuesday before gradually slackening and veering around from the east to southeast on Wednesday.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 1106 PM EDT Mon Apr 27 2026
VFR conditions expected outside of any showers that manage to pass over the island terminals overnight. Showers are currently moving from east to west and will have a higher chance of reaching the MTH terminal than the EYW. Very brief MVFR conditions are possible in the heavier showers. Otherwise, northeast winds are in the process of increasing and will maintain strength through Tuesday.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. GM...None.
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