textproduct: Key West
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Breezes will be gentle to moderate over the next few days, peaking in the evenings, and lulling during the day.
- Temperatures will gradually warm, returning closer to normal towards the end of the work week, and slightly above normal this weekend.
- Nil rain chances are expected for the next several days as dry air remains entrenched across the Keys.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1030 AM EST Mon Feb 9 2026
Cool and relatively dry persist across the Keys this morning. Temperatures are in the mid to upper 60s with dew points lingering in the upper 50s. High pressure stretches down the Atlantic Coast and broadens across Florida and the adjacent Gulf and Atlantic waters. This is keeping breezes along the Keys light out of the northeast to east. Cooler bay waters are keeping breezes decoupled and backed northeasterly in portions of the Middle and Upper Keys. Stable post cold front conditions persist with this mornings sounding depicting a robust subsidence inversion based around 875 mb. There is a good amount of low level veering and is contributing to scattered stratocumulus, almost all of which is south and east of the South Florida convergence boundary.
Expect a warming trend today with highs pushing into the lower to mid 70s. The surface through lower levels will continue to be dominated by anticyclonic flow, while zonal flow persists through the mid and upper levels. As a result, expect strong inhibition to remain below 850 mb. This along with limited moisture will keep rain chances nil. Portions of the island chain will be partly cloudy due to stratocumulus.
MARINE
Issued at 1030 AM EST Mon Feb 9 2026
A surface ridge extending down the Atlantic coast flattens out across Florida and the adjacent Gulf and Atlantic. As a result, winds will be gentle to moderate out of the northeast to east. Cooler Gulf and Bay side waters will keep breezes lighter and backed northeasterly.
AVIATION
(15Z TAFS) Issued at 1030 AM EST Mon Feb 9 2026
VFR conditions will prevail at the island terminals. Winds will be light to gentle out of the northeast to east.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. GM...None.
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