textproduct: Key West

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Winds over the next 24 to 48 hours will tend to lull during the late morning and afternoon hours, then peak in the early evening and overnight. - Little to no measurable rain will maintain continued moderate drought conditions in the Florida Keys through the rest of the week, and into the beginning of next week.

- Temperatures will remain near to slightly above normal, with highs in the lower 80s, and lows in the lower to mid 70s.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 220 PM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026 VFR conditions will prevail with BKN skies based near FL040 and FL050 gradually clearing over the first half of the TAF period. Northeast to east surface winds of 10 to 15 knots will continue to occasionally gust to near 20 knots. An increase in cloud cover may occur during the second half of the TAF period, but categorical changes aren't expected.

MARINE

Issued at 1158 AM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026 There are no watches, warnings, or advisories in effect for the Florida Keys local waters. From synopsis, a high pressure system over the central North Atlantic will maintain moderate northeast to east breezes (except moderate to occasionally fresh Florida Straits) through tonight. Occasional fast- moving light showers cannot be ruled out, especially in the overnight periods. Breezes likely will lull from late morning into the late afternoon across the Gulf/Bayside waters due to the heating of South Florida. As the high moves farther eastward and slowly weakens, easterly breezes will slacken Thursday through Sunday. A new high pressure will slide eastward Sunday night into Monday, allowing for another round of freshening breezes.

PREV DISCUSSION

Issued at 413 AM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026 Towards the end of the week and into the weekend, a broad and weak easterly wave will approach and stall in the vicinity of the Bahamas. Though this feature will not reach the Keys proper, some moisture from this wave will leach and slide westward at times. This may allow for some showers to pass through at times Friday through Sunday. On top of this, the low level steering flow will remain north to northeast and any showers or thunderstorms that develop across the mainland during the afternoons could also slide across the Upper Keys at times.

Early next week a backdoor front looks to slide through the Florida Keys with a slight uptick in rain chances but also a period of freshening breezes.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Key West 83 72 83 74 / 0 10 0 10 Marathon 81 72 82 74 / 10 10 0 10

KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. GM...None.


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