textproduct: Key West
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- High pressure dominant across the area will continue to support relatively unremarkable weather over the next few days. - Generally gentle to moderate easterly breezes will prevail, eventually veering to the southeast by early Thursday. - Moderate drought continues for the entire island chain. Burn bans are possible, trees and bushes begin browning, and water supply decreases. Increasing moisture is anticipated towards late in the week and over the weekend bringing some beneficial rain.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1030 PM EDT Tue Mar 10 2026
Deep layered ridging remains in place across the broader area with a sharp mid to upper level ridge stretching northeastward across the Gulf. At the surface, an Atlantic high extends a robust ridge westward across the Florida Peninsula and across the Gulf. This surface ridge is supporting moderate east to southeasterly breezes across the Keys. Consequently, conditions are warm with temperatures in the mid to upper 70s and dew points near 70. This evenings sounding indicated middling precipitable water with a sliver of inhibition below 900 mb. This, along with little to no lifting, has kept shower activity minimal across the forecast area through the evening hours.
Expect ridging to continue to dominate the region through the night. Expect gentle to moderate east to southeasterly breezes to hold up overnight lows in the mid 70s. Dew points will meander near 70. Rain chances will remain slim to none. No update planned for the ongoing local forecast.
MARINE
Issued at 1030 PM EDT Tue Mar 10 2026
The western flank of an Atlantic high will remain anchored across the Florida Peninsula. This will maintain moderate east to southeasterly breezes, with the strongest breezes seen on the Florida Straits. A marine Caution remains in effect for the Florida Straits and no changes made in the evening marine update.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1030 PM EDT Tue Mar 10 2026
VFR conditions will prevail at the island terminals overnight. Surface winds will be gentle to moderate out of the east to southeast.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. GM...None.
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