textproduct: Key West

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Small Craft Should Exercise Caution for increasing winds across the Deep Gulf waters as well as the Florida Straits.

- Temperatures will remain on the cooler side of normal, but gradually trend warmer through the weekend and into next week.

- Nil rain chances are expected for the next several days as dry air remains entrenched across the Keys.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 222 PM EST Fri Feb 6 2026 VFR conditions will prevail at both island terminals with a near zero chance of rain through the TAF period. Northwesterly surface winds will remain near 10 knots, and gusts will be infrequent near 15 knots.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION

Issued at 430 AM EST Fri Feb 6 2026 Winter will continue across the Keys through the weekend. In the wake of yesterdays front, surface high pressure will move in, though, the center of this ridge will remain across the western Gulf. Therefore, breezes are expected to remain northwesterly for an extended period of time from today into the weekend. Another piece of energy will drop southeastward across the eastern United States over the weekend. This may result in a reinforcing weak frontal boundary to push through the Keys sometime Saturday evening or overnight. High pressure will then dominate the pattern for the the remainder of the weekend through much of next week. Moisture remains scarce resulting in near nil rain chances through the extended. Breezes will modestly slacken today and tonight with gentle to moderate breezes prevailing through the period along the Island Chain. However, with the weak frontal passage potentially Saturday evening/night, breezes may increase back to moderate to fresh for a time. Temperatures will slowly moderate each day through the extended, though, we wont fully get back to average till perhaps the middle to latter half of next week. Humidity will also slowly creep up each day, especially mid next week onward, though still remaining quite comfortable.

MARINE

Issued at 1003 AM EST Fri Feb 6 2026 Generally moderate breezes will continue this morning in the wake of a recent cold frontal passage. As the front continues to push away from the Florida Keys today, breezes will somewhat slacken, although marine conditions will remain hazardous. An area of high pressure will build across the Mid- Atlantic over the weekend, supporting moderate northwest breezes. As the high slides southeastward late Sunday through early next week, breezes will slacken and clock around to the northeast.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Key West 66 59 72 59 / 0 0 0 0 Marathon 64 57 72 57 / 0 0 0 0

KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. GM...None.


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