textproduct: Key West
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Light to gentle breezes expected through much of the work week.
- Mainly dry conditions along with near-normal temperatures will continue.
- Despite recent rainfall last week, drought conditions persist for the entire island chain. These conditions may worsen over the next several days.
MARINE
Issued at 243 PM EDT Mon Mar 23 2026
High pressure centered over the southern half of the Florida Peninsula and will remain in place through the next several days while gradually weakening. This will support a stagnant pattern of generally light to gentle north to northeast breezes, gradually veering to the northeast to east later in the work week.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 243 PM EDT Mon Mar 23 2026
VFR conditions will prevail along with light to gentle northerly breezes through the TAF period.
PREV DISCUSSION
Issued at 438 AM EDT Mon Mar 23 2026
Another quiet night as KBYX remains shower-free. Nighttime Microphysics is detecting shallow cumulus clouds mostly in the Straits of Florida, but it is still not amounting to much cloud coverage. Temperatures across the island chain are in the upper 60s with dew points in the lower 60s. Along the Reef, winds are being observed at 5 to 10 knots. Today, another similar day will continue on with mostly sunny skies, near nil rain chances, and north to northeasterly light to gentle breezes that could become variable in the afternoon.
As high pressure continues to be the main feature dominating the weather for the Florida Keys, not much is expected to change over the coming days. Due to the dry air over the area, near nil rain chances are expected with mostly clear skies. In the extended, a front is expected to move towards the Keys on Sunday. Though temperatures aren't expected to change much from this front, another round of fresh to strong breezes is likely. As it gets closer to time details will be ironed out on exact timing. Stay tuned.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Key West 69 80 70 80 / 10 0 10 10 Marathon 67 79 69 79 / 10 0 10 10
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. GM...None.
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