textproduct: Key West

KEY MESSAGES

- Minor saltwater flooding of low elevation streets will continue through tonight due to higher high tides. Some storm drains will overflow. Boaters can expect less clearance under fixed bridges.

- Below normal rain and thunder chances will continue through at least tonight. There is low confidence in rainfall chances for the latter part of the work week and the weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 507 AM EDT Tue Oct 6 2026 Another mostly uneventful night with light scattered showers popping up in various locations of the Florida Keys and the waters surrounding. Currently, only a few showers can be seen on KBYX in the distant Straits waters. Temperatures along the island chain are near 80 with dew points in the mid to upper 70s making for a muggy start to the day. Winds have collapsed and are being recorded at marine location along the Reef at near 5 knots. For today, things are not expected to change much with slight chances of showers and thunderstorms continuing through tonight. Light southeasterly winds will slowly slacken southerly by tonight. Lower confidence in the second half of the week's forecast remains as we wait to see where the frontal boundary stalls out. Stay tuned.

MARINE

Issued at 507 AM EDT Tue Oct 6 2026 A Coastal Flood Statement is in Effect for the Florida Keys island chain. Elsewhere, no watches, warnings, or advisories are in effect. From synopsis, ridging across the area will continue to encourage light to gentle southeasterly breezes across the local waters. Occasional, isolated showers are possible, but most of the area will stay dry through today. A cold front is still on track to stall across the Florida Peninsula and northern Gulf during the middle of the week with the highest rain chances remaining north of the Florida Keys. This will promote a shift to light to gentle south to southwesterly breezes by midweek.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 507 AM EDT Tue Oct 6 2026 VFR conditions will prevail at both EYW and MTH through the TAF period. While dry air is limiting a majority of shower activity a few showers are still possible but confidence in timing and location leaves mention of VCSH out for the time being. Near surface winds will be light and southeasterly subtly veering southerly by tonight.

KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. GM...None.