textproduct: Key West

KEY MESSAGES

- A Coastal Flood Statement is in effect for the Middle Upper Keys as ponding of salt water over low lying roads will continue, especially around times of high tide.

- Drier and cooler weather expected today with daytime highs about 5 degrees below normal. Breezy conditions will linger a few hours past sunrise and then subside.

- Breezy to windy conditions are expected to quickly return Sunday night as a strong high pressure settles along the Eastern Seaboard and builds south across our area.

SHORT TERM

(Today and tonight) Issued at 434 AM EST Sat Nov 14 2026

It has been an absolute beaut of a night across the Florida Keys, maybe minus the breezy conditions. Yesterday's frontal passage allowed overnight temperatures to tumble well into the 70s and even an upper 60 degree reading sneaked into the Upper Keys! Dew points on the other hand "fell off the cliff" and are sitting comfortably in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

Today will feature a mix of sun and clouds with probably more clouds then sun at times. This is due to the placement of the subtropical jet which is parked nearly right overhead. This will continue to stream in mid and upper level clouds across the region. Meanwhile, cold air advection behind the front will lead to occaisional low level strato-cu to pass through at times. Thankfully, the breezy conditions are expected to only linger on for a few more hours before falling through the mid to late morning. Otherwise, daytime temperatures today will max out in the mid 70s, which is about 5 degrees cooler than normal.

MARINE

Issued at 434 AM EST Sat Nov 14 2026

Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for the far eastern Straits of Florida this morning. Small Craft Exercise Caution headlines are active for the remaining waters. Moderate to fresh breezes this morning will come down through the morning and into the afternoon. Expect a weak nocturnal surge off the mainland tonight, however, most waters should only expect breezes to freshen to moderate breezes overnight. The exception may be across the extreme Southeast Gulf waters where a brief period of moderate to fresh breezes may occur. Breezes will slacken during the day on Sunday but will once again freshen Sunday night as a strong high pressure settles across the Eastern Seaboard. This will lead to a prolonged period of fresh to strong breezes along with very hazardous seas developing by Monday and lasting through much of the week.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 434 AM EST Sat Nov 14 2026

VFR conditions expected with occasional passing strato-cu AOA FL045. A crosswind magnitude of 15 to 20 knots will remain possible across the island terminals this morning and gradually dissipate by the late morning or early afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Key West 77 68 80 73 / 10 10 10 10 Marathon 76 67 79 73 / 10 10 10 10

KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory for GMZ052-072.