textproduct: Key West

KEY MESSAGES

-Gentle to moderate northerly winds this morning will gradually decrease and become light to gentle today. -Near seasonable temperatures and a mainly dry pattern are expected to continue through the weekend along with near seasonable humidity levels.

-The next, potentially strong cold front is progged to push through the Florida Keys early next week.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1225 PM EST Fri Dec 26 2025 VFR conditions will prevail at both EYW and MTH through the TAF period. Dry air will continue to dominate the region therefore near nil rain chances are expected for today. Near surface winds will be northeasterly at 5 to 10 knots becoming light and variable late this afternoon.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1102 AM EST Fri Dec 26 2025 Another beautiful, sunny day for the Florida Keys! GOES-19 visible satelitte reveals almost a perfect ring of cloud-free skies surrounding the island chain, with the only presence of clouds sitting just outside our waters on all sides. Temperatures along the island chain are currently in the mid 70s with dew points in the mid 60s making it feel really nice outside! Along the Reef, observation sites are recording northeasterly winds of 10 to 15 knots. This morning's 12z sounding once again measured below the 25 percentile for today, only measuring 0.74 inches of PWAT. A day of mostly sunny skies with near nil rain chances is expected for the Keys. High pressure will weaken this afternoon allowing for breezes to slightly slacken to light to gentle for the next few periods. No changes were needed to the current forecast package.

FORECAST

Issued at 430 AM EST Fri Dec 26 2025 Surface high pressure across the northeastern Gulf will maintain gentle to moderate breezes for today. The high will continue to slowly meander to the southeast over the coming days leading to slackening breezes. By the weekend, breezes will mostly light, though, there may be some periods of light to gentle, potentially becoming variable Monday/Monday night ahead of the next front. Dry air will remain entrenched across the Keys through Tuesday. This will result in nil rain chances for the next several days.

Looking ahead to the final days of 2025, numerical guidance continues to show indications of a potent front moving through the area. The timing of the front remains on track to pass through sometime Tuesday/Tuesday evening next week. The magnitude and strength of this front continues to be uncertain. Therefore, the main takeaway continues to be a cooler regime, dip in humidity, slight chances of showers, and another period of potentially breezy conditions. Stay tuned.

MARINE

Issued at 1102 AM EST Fri Dec 26 2025 No watches, warnings, or advisories are currently in effect for the Florida Keys. From synopsis, high pressure centered over the northeastern Gulf will support gentle to moderate mainly north to northeast breezes. The high will weaken as it drifts slowly southeastward through the weekend, leading to slackening breezes. A potent cold front is expected to move through the Keys towards the middle part of next week. This will lead to freshening northerly breezes throughout all the Florida Keys coastal waters.

KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. GM...None.