textproduct: Key West
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Minor saltwater flooding of low elevation streets will continue through tonight due to higher high tides. Don't drive through flooded roadways. Boaters can expect less clearance under fixed bridges.
- Rain and thunder chances will decrease starting today through early next week.
- Breezes will slowly slacken from gentle to moderate to light to gentle across the Keys waters over the next day or so.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 517 AM EDT Sat Oct 3 2026 A much less eventful night unfolded for the Florida Keys last night. Isolated showers have been popping up in various locations throughout the distant Straits and nearshore waters but nothing that has amounted to much. Temperatures along the island chain are in the mid 80s with dew points in the mid to upper 70s making for another muggy morning. Along the Reef, marine locations are recording east to southeast winds at near 15 knots. These moderate east to southeast breezes should start to gradually decrease throughout the day as Atlantic High Pressure settles. A relief from the large amounts of rain we've experienced over the last few days is expected as rain chances settle back to near normal for this time of year over the next few days. Later this week, more moisture could push into the area bringing another period of higher rain chances by mid week.
MARINE
Issued at 517 AM EDT Sat Oct 3 2026 A Coastal Flood Statement is in effect for all of the Florida Keys islands. From synopsis, atlantic high pressure offshore of the southeastern U.S. will remain in place. This feature will maintain moderate east to southeasterly breezes initially across the local waters. In addition, relatively drier conditions will settle in for the weekend. However, an additional push of moisture may come by the middle of next week. Either way, some showers and thunderstorms will be possible through the forecast period.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 517 AM EDT Sat Oct 3 2026 VFR conditions will prevail at both EYW and MTH through the TAF period. Showers are possible throughout the day but confidence on location and timing just leaves broad VCSH through the afternoon. TEMPOs will be included if need be. Near surface winds will be east to southeast at near 10 knots.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. GM...None.
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