textproduct: Key West
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Breezes will be light to gentle through Wednesday for the island chain and adjacent bay and gulf side waters. For the Hawk Channel, Florida Straits, and western gulf, expect moderate breezes. Thereafter, expect slackening breezes, becoming light and variable at times.
- Temperatures will remain near normal through the end of the week, and slightly above normal this weekend.
- Nil rain chances are expected for the next several days as dry air remains entrenched across the Keys.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 815 AM EST Tue Feb 10 2026
Quiet weather continues this morning across the Keys. The stable and dry conditions are being maintained by surface through lower level ridging across Florida. This along with still cool nearshore waters is keeping breezes light to gentle ranging from northeasterly to southeasterly. Winds are backed over our nearshore gulf waters and more veered elsewhere. This mornings sounding indicated considerable dry air through the lower and mid levels with a relatively strong inversion based way down around 900 mb. In addition, the lower level flow has been persistently backing for the past 18 hour or so. Altogether, this is keeping skies partly to mostly sunny with no precipitation.
High pressure will continue to dominate Keys weather this afternoon. Forecast soundings indicate an inversion will remain based near or below 900 mb with a neutral to backing profile of the lower level winds. As a result, skies will remain mostly sunny with no chance for rain. High temps will range in the lower to mid 70s with dew points possibly picking up a degree or two, nearing 60 F.
MARINE
Issued at 815 AM EST Tue Feb 10 2026
A surface ridge stretching across Florida will result in light to gentle breezes on our gulf and bay side waters this afternoon. Expect stronger moderate breezes on Hawk Channel, Florida Straits, and western gulf waters. Breezes will tend to be backed northeast to east on portions of our nearshore gulf waters adjacent to the Lower and Middle Keys, and more veered east to southeast elsewhere. Only minor changes made in the morning marine update.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 815 AM EST Tue Feb 10 2026
VFR conditions will prevail at the island terminals overnight. Surface winds will be light to gentle east to southeasterly.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. GM...None.
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