textproduct: Key West

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Chance of showers and thunderstorms continues through tonight with possible afternoon cloud line development. - Mainly light to gentle broadly easterly breezes will continue through the first half of the week.

- The Remnants of Dolly may bring a period of much higher rain chances by the middle of the week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 512 AM EDT Tue Sep 1 2026 A mostly uneventful night has unfolded for the Florida Keys into a peaceful early morning. Only a few light showers are being detected in the offshore waters and the island chain has remained shower free. Temperatures across land are in the mid to lower 80s and dew points are in the mid to upper 70s making for a humid warm morning. Along the Reef, light east to southeasterly breezes have persisted. As ridging continues to be the dominate feature for the Florida Keys, light and primarily easterly breezes will continue through the next few periods. Chances of showers and thunderstorms will remain at near normal through mid week. Mid to late this week, chances for showers and thunderstorms will increase as the remnants of Dolly start to move into the area. At this time, the highest chances for rain are Thursday and Thursday night but that could change as what's left of Dolly continues moving towards our area. Stay tuned.

MARINE

Issued at 512 AM EDT Tue Sep 1 2026 No watches, warnings, or advisories are currently in effect for the Florida Keys waters. From synopsis, the western periphery of an Atlantic high remains in control of the Keys for the next several days. Therefore, expect continued peaking and lulling breezes. The direction will also shift over the next few days with east to southeasterly breezes overnight and in the morning with northeast to east breezes late afternoon and evening. In addition, the overall flow will keep deep moisture in place across the region with daily chances of showers and thunderstorms. Locally hazardous winds and seas are expected in the vicinity of thunderstorm activity.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 512 AM EDT Tue Sep 1 2026 VFR conditions will prevail at both EYW and MTH through the TAF period. Showers and thunderstorms are possible through the afternoon but confidence on exact location and timing leaves mention of VCSH out of the TAFs for the time being. Near surface winds will be easterly at near 5 knots.

KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. GM...None.


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