textproduct: Key West
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Minor saltwater flooding of low elevation streets will continue through this evening due to higher high tides. Some storm drains will overflow. Boaters can expect less clearance under fixed bridges.
- Below normal rain and thunder chances will continue through at least Tuesday.
- Light to gentle east to southeast breezes will prevail through mid-week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 515 AM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026 Another mostly uneventful night unfolded for the Florida Keys with just a few isolated showers in various marine locations pulsing up and down. Temperatures across the island chain are in the lower 80s with dew points in the mid to upper 70s. Nighttime Microphysics depicts mostly clear skies. Dry air in our area will continue to limit shower activity for the day while isolated showers and thunderstorms are still possible. Along the Reef, marine locations are recording east to southeast winds of near 10 knots. These gentle breezes will slacken throughout the day resulting in light to gentle east to southeasterly winds by the afternoon. This pattern will continue through mid-week before moisture returns and brings back slightly elevated rain chances.
MARINE
Issued at 515 AM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026 A Coastal Flood Statement is in Effect for the Florida Keys island chain. Elsewhere, no watches, warnings, or advisories are in effect. From synopsis, Atlantic high pressure centered east of Bermuda will remain in place. Gentle to moderate east to southeasterly breezes will gradually slacken through today. In addition, relatively drier weather conditions have settled in, though isolated to scattered showers and occasional thunderstorms could still occur at times. A cold front is on track to stall across the Florida Peninsula and northern Gulf on Tuesday with the highest rain chances remaining north of the Florida Keys. This will promote a shift to south to southwesterly light to gentle breezes by midweek.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 515 AM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026 VFR conditions will prevail at both EYW and MTH through the TAF period. While showers are possible, low chances leave mention of VCSH out for the time being. Near surface winds will be east to southeast at 5 to 10 knots.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. GM...None.
IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.
textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.