textproduct: Key West
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for all Florida Keys coastal waters overnight. Breezy conditions will persist through at least Tuesday evening. - Little to no measurable rain will maintain continued moderate drought conditions in the Florida Keys for the next week.
- Temperatures will remain near normal, with highs in the lower 80s, and lows in the lower 70s.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 133 PM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026 VFR and gusty easterly breezes will prevail at the EYW and MTH terminals through the evening. Nocturnal stabilization will result in decreased gusts after 04Z, only to return by mid morning (~14Z) on Wednesday.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 959 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026 High pressure centered between the Atlantic Bight and Bermuda supports fresh northeast to east breezes across the Florida Keys this morning. Dewpoints are in the upper 50s to near 60, making for a relatively comfortable mid-April morning. The 12Z KKEY RAOB sampled a 6.0 degC inversion near 820 mb, with a shallow mixed layer barely capable of small patches of drizzle. The forecast calls for slight rain chances (10% or less) and highs in the lower 80s. The only needed modification this morning was an update to the Fire Weather Forecast that highlights moderate Fire Danger Risk and 20 ft winds greater than 15 mph. With dewpoints in the upper 50s, some areas may see RH values fall into the upper 30s.
MARINE
Issued at 959 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026 A high pressure system over the central North Atlantic will maintain fresh northeast to east breezes. Occasional fast- moving light showers cannot be ruled out, especially in the overnight periods. Breezes may briefly lull during the late afternoon and early evening across the Gulf waters due to the heating of South Florida. As the high moves farther eastward and slowly weakens, easterly breezes will modestly slacken for Thursday and Friday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Key West 82 73 82 73 / 10 10 10 10 Marathon 80 72 80 73 / 10 10 10 10
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EDT this afternoon for GMZ052>055-072>075.
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