textproduct: Key West
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Minor coastal flooding will continue across the Keys around high tide. Moderate coastal flooding will also be possible through early next week, especially in the Upper Keys.
- Rain chances will be at or below normal through the weekend, with dewpoints decreasing to near 70 by Sunday. - The first strong cold front of the season may push through the Keys late next week, with much cooler and very comfortable conditions possible in its wake.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 853 PM EST Sat Nov 7 2026 Another quiet night is unfolding for the Florida Keys. KBYX radar has remained shower-free with Nighttime Microphysics revealing mostly clear skies. Temperatures along the island chain are in the upper 70s with dew points in the lower 70s making for a nice mild night. Tonight's 00z sounding once again measured a dry profile with only 1.24 inches of PWAT. Winds have been light and north to northeasterly across the Reef for a majority of the evening. Rain chances are expected to remain below normal through the weekend with a slight dip in dew point expected by Sunday night. Next week a possible strong cold front will make its way through the Keys with cooler temperatures potentially in its wake!
MARINE
Issued at 853 PM EST Sat Nov 7 2026 A Coastal Flood Statement is in effect for the entire island chain. Elsewhere, no watches, warnings, or advisories are in effect. From synopsis, a robust high pressure system will build across the Southeast United States over the next few days. As a result, light north to northeasterly breezes will gradually shift northeasterly and freshen early next week. As the high slides further southeastward into the west- central North Atlantic, breezes will clock around to the east and modestly slacken by mid week. A strong cold front may push through the Keys marine zones on Thursday night, with winds backing to the northwest and freshening in its wake.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 853 PM EST Sat Nov 7 2026 VFR conditions will prevail at both EYW and MTH through the TAF period. Dry air will limit shower development therefore no mention of VCSH at either terminal. Near surface winds will be northerly at near 5 knots through the overnight period.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. GM...None.
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