textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- Cool conditions are expected today with light rain ending in the morning for most locations.

- Warmer air moves back into the region overnight into early Sunday, with rain chances returning in some locations for Sunday, especially in southeast Kentucky.

- Dry and cooler weather will arrive areawide Sunday night, and last through the first half of the week before a warming trend over the second half of the week.

UPDATE

Issued at 938 AM EDT SAT OCT 3 2026

Refreshed the forecast to incorporate the latest observational data across the area. Low clouds and fog continue to slowly clear from northwest to southeast. Some rain showers also continue just south of the TN-KY and VA-KY borders. Some areas near the border might see shower activity this morning, though much of the steadier rain remains across the state line to the south. The forecast remains on track, with no major changes.

UPDATE Issued at 601 AM EDT SAT OCT 3 2026

An update to PoPs has just been sent out, with a quicker trimming of PoPs from northwest to southeast, which better matches current observed and latest model trends.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through Friday) Issued at 226 AM EDT SAT OCT 3 2026

A cold front will be moving south across the area to begin the period Sunday evening, bringing a prolonged stretch of dry weather lasting through the upcoming week.

Monday will see the return to calm and quiet conditions across the region. High pressure will build across the Great Lakes, before migrating further east with time. A second high pressure system will then build in across the Ohio Valley, sustaining our dry weather through Friday with plentiful sunshine expected. Highs each day through the week should be mostly in the 70s, with a few 80s returning to our southwest counties as early as Thursday. Lows, especially on Monday and Tuesday nights, do look to be pretty chilly in the lower 40s. A few sheltered valleys could dip into the upper 30s, although model guidance does not really support frost quite yet, with fog a better possibility in the river valleys.

AVIATION

(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon) ISSUED AT 244 PM EDT SAT OCT 3 2026

Low clouds and ceilings have stuck around longer than previously expected. However, current satellite imagery does show the back edge of the low clouds and clearing across northwest portions of the forecast area. Currently, clear skies are being reported at KIOB and KSYM. Meanwhile, a mix of MVFR and IFR ceilings persist over the remaining terminals. These ceilings should slowly improve into high-end MVFR or low-end VFR by 00Z this evening. This should last through 06Z overnight, after which fog and low clouds are expected to spread back across the area from the southeast. KIOB and KSYM may see reductions back down to IFR, while terminals farther south may see periods of IFR or LIFR through 14-15Z Sunday morning. Conditions will then gradually improve toward the end of the TAF period. Winds will be light and variable through the period, remaining under 10 kts.

JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.