textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- Very cold temperatures will last into Sunday, with another small chance of light snow on Sunday (generally northeast of the Cumberland drainage basin).

- A dramatic warming will occur early in the new week, with temperatures reaching the upper 50s to mid 60s Tuesday afternoon.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through Friday) Issued at 327 AM EST SAT FEB 7 2026

Sunday night, a combination of light winds, clearing skies, mostly clear skies (at least to start the night), and lingering snow/ice pack will allow for temperatures to drop into the teens to mid 20s. NBM provided a decent starting point, however local terrain under these conditions can result in a 5-10 degree difference from valley and ridgetop locations. These adjustments have been made.

Monday, light surface winds will become southerly through the day, aligning with 500-mb height rises aloft. In turn, warm air will advect in through the day, leading to temperatures warming into the mid to upper 40s in the northeast, and mid to upper 50s in the southwest. Monday night will be warmer than Sunday night, though similar in the way ridge-valley spits are expected to occur under light southerly winds, clearing skies, and remaining snow/ice pack. Temperatures will generally be in the upper 20s to lower 30s in the valleys, with mid to upper 30s along ridgetops.

Tuesday, a low in the southwest begins to progress eastward across Mexico and Texas. The system approaches the Mid-Mississippi Valley late Tuesday. The area will continue to see warm air advecting in, ahead of showers later that evening and overnight. Temperatures are expected to warm into the upper 50s to mid 60s across Eastern Kentucky on Tuesday. Shower chances remain overnight Tuesday through Wednesday, as the system passes through the area. Overnight lows will generally range anywhere from the low to mid 40s.

Towards the later half of the week (Thursday onward), the wave that previously moved into the area, weakens and stalls a bit. Meanwhile, an upper-level trough passing through the Ohio valley will bring an end to the warming trend, with some cooler air moving back into parts of Kentucky. It bares mentioning that these cooler conditions are still warmer than what we've just experienced. Models and ensembles are hinting that the next active period of active weather could be around the end of the week, we'll just have to monitor how far south that cooler air across the Ohio Valley works down. For nor, temperatures are generally expected to remain in the 40 or low 50s during the day, with lows around 30 at night.

AVIATION

(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday night) ISSUED AT 1210 AM EST SAT FEB 7 2026

At issuance time, reductions ranged from IFR from near KJKL to KSJS and points south, with a mixture of MVFR and VFR elsewhere. A mixture of snow, drizzle, and freezing drizzle was observed from the radar returns across the region, with sub VFR reductions in this activity. This precipitation is occurring along and in advance of a secondary cold front dropping south into the Commonwealth. Winds ranged between west southwest and northwest at generally 10KT or less. Snow showers mixed with drizzle and freezing drizzle are anticipated during the first few hours of the period, before the precipitation tapers off by the 10Z to 12Z timeframe. Once the precipitation tapers off, the sub VFR ceilings should trend to VFR in all areas. Winds behind the boundary should trend more northerly, with gusts up to around 20KT. North to northwest winds linger from 12Z to 00Z with these gradually slackening toward 00Z.

JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Winter Weather Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for KYZ088- 118-120.