textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- Rounds of rain showers continue through Saturday morning as a series of fronts move through the region.

- Locally heavy rainfall and a few thunderstorms are possible on Friday and Friday night.

- Active weather continues into next week, with a strong cold front expected to cross the Commonwealth by mid-week.

- Below normal temperatures are likely for the end of November and the start of December, although the precipitation forecast remains uncertain that far out.

LONG TERM

(Saturday night through Thursday) Issued at 400 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2025

The long-term forecast period commences with the influence of surface high pressure. This pattern will ensure dry conditions for the remainder of the weekend and into the beginning of next week. Temperatures are anticipated to remain seasonal, with maximum temperatures on Sunday in the mid to upper 50s and on Monday in the low to mid 60s degrees. While Sunday and Monday will feature pleasant weather to the west, an upper-level trough will detach from the Rocky Mountains and pivot toward the Great Lakes. Concurrently, a warm front is forecast to advance through the region late Monday into Tuesday, bringing increasing chances for showers and WAA. Maximum temperatures on Tuesday are forecast to climb into the mid to upper 60s with widespread rainfall probabilities. As the upper- level trough and its associated surface features exit the area, a cold front is projected to traverse the region on Wednesday. Showers and thunderstorms are anticipated along and ahead of this frontal boundary on Wednesday. Rapidly following the exiting cold front, surface high pressure and cooler air are forecast to build into the region in time for Thanksgiving.

The extended period will be initially dominated by surface high pressure, but a subsequent upper-level trough and associated surface low pressure system will track across the CONUS, leading to increasing probabilities of showers and storms. Post-frontal surface high pressure will then build into the region for the Thanksgiving holiday.

AVIATION

(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning) ISSUED AT 647 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2025

A combination of LIFR, IFR and MVFR CIGS and VSBY exist across all TAF sites with this issuance. Little improvement in category is expected today as a warm from remains largely stationary over the area. As this warm front remains overhead, shower and thunderstorm chances will exist throughout the day. The first round is moving into the JKL CWA right now. TAFs are forecast to remain below VFR through the whole TAF window. Some improvement to IFR/MVFR is possible this afternoon but later this evening and overnight, sites are expected to see decreases back to LIFR/IFR. Lastly, light and variable winds will be likely throughout the day but some gusty and erratic winds could accompany thunderstorms.

JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.