textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- Quick-hitting snowfall is expected today. Most locations northeast of Highway 15 can expect some light daytime accumulations.

- Higher terrain near the Virginia border will see heavier snowfall totals of two to four inches through sunrise Saturday. This includes accumulation from additional snow showers associated with an arctic front tonight.

- Cold air lingers Saturday before a major warm-up carries into next week. High temperatures will soar from the 20s on Saturday to the 50s and 60s by Tuesday.

LONG TERM

(Saturday night through Thursday) Issued at 432 AM EST FRI FEB 6 2026

At the onset of the long term period, temperatures are expected to drop into the single digits mid-teens across the area Saturday night. This is due to lingering snow pack, light winds and clear skies under a departing trough.

Sunday, a shortwave passes through the Great Lakes keeping clouds lingering longer across the north. There's a low chances of showers (<10% chance) occurring in the northeastern most counties early Sunday, as this shortwave passes through the Great Lakes and portions of the Ohio Valley. Otherwise, height rises aloft align with low-level winds becoming more southerly through the day. A ridge across the Northern an Central Plains flattens through the day. Warm Air Advection (WAA) will lead to temperatures warming into the low 30s to mid 40s northeast to southwest across the area. Such a strong temperature gradient remains across the area, with the shortwave keeping clouds around, and cooler temperatures, while some clearing across the southwest may lead to stronger diurnal heating through the day. Sunday night, temperatures dip into the low to upper 20s from north to south.

Continued height rises and WAA leads to temperatures climbing into the upper 40s to upper 50s (from northeast to southwest) through Monday under a mix of sun and clouds. At night, temperatures generally range from the upper 20s to low 30s in valleys, with southwesterly winds possibly keeping ridgetops a smidge warmer in the mid to upper 30s.

Throughout the weekend, a Baja-type low will creep further southeast before progressing east into Mexico Monday night, Texas, and the Southern Plains Tuesday morning, before ejecting into the Mid- Mississippi Valley Tuesday afternoon. POP chances increase beginning Tuesday afternoon, peaking in the overnight/predawn hours Wednesday (50-55 POP) before maintaining a scattered shower chance (25-35% POP) through the remainder of the long term period (Friday).

Before shower chances move into the area Tuesday afternoon, strong WAA will result in temperatures climbing into the mid 50s to lower 60s across the area. Rain showers are then expected later Tuesday afternoon continuing through all of Wednesday. Lows Tuesday night will feel balmy compared to late, in the low 40s. As mentioned above, scattered shower chance remain through Friday, with a gradual trend back towards normal temperatures, with 50s on Wednesday, 40s on Thursday and Friday.

AVIATION

(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning) ISSUED AT 746 AM EST FRI FEB 6 2026

A combination of MVFR and VFR conditions was present to start the period, with the VFR conditions generally limited to places southwest of KLOZ. The VFR conditions are forecast to expand further east for a time today, but the improvement will be halted as snow and/or rain arrives from the north during the late morning and afternoon. MVFR conditions, possibly dipping to IFR at times, will overtake the area from north to south this afternoon. Most of the precipitation will taper off by evening, but the sub- VFR conditions will persist. Snow showers are forecast to develop tonight, with the greatest concentration in southeast KY, They should taper off overnight and early Saturday. This will also coincide with the return of VFR conditions which will last through the rest of the period.

JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Winter Weather Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for KYZ044- 050>052-059-060-104-106>110-112-113-119.

Winter Weather Advisory until 7 AM EST Saturday for KYZ088-118- 120.