textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- Persistent and breezy, especially in the afternoons, southwest winds will continue pushing warmer-than-average and seasonably moist air into eastern Kentucky through the rest of week.

- Expect several consecutive days with highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s, and mild overnight temperatures bottoming in the 50s and 60s. - Look for daily small chances for showers and storms until a stronger cold front moves through the region later this weekend.

- Any showers and storms will provide some needed rainfall across portions of eastern Kentucky.

UPDATE

Issued at 1002 PM EDT THU APR 2 2026

All is quiet across eastern Kentucky late this evening, except for a rogue shower riding northeast along the KY-VA border from Knott/Letcher into Pike/Floyd counties. This shower should exit dissipate within the next hour or so. Otherwise, anticipate dry conditions and variably cloudy skies for the overnight with low temperatures ranging from the mid 50s in the cooler eastern sheltered valleys to the mid 60s on ridges and exposed terrain of the Bluegrass and Lake Cumberland area.

UPDATE Issued at 557 PM EDT THU APR 2 2026

Isolated to widely scattered showers are lifting northward across the forecast area early this evening. Instability remains minimal, severely limiting convective organization and intensity. Activity should dissipate by 8 to 9 PM with the loss of diurnal heating.

LONG TERM

(Saturday through Thursday) Issued at 258 PM EDT THU APR 2 2026

The extended forecast period begins with the CWA firmly in the warm sector as the primary surface low tracks northeast from the Mid- Mississippi Valley into the Great Lakes. The associated cold front will approach the area on Saturday. PoPs will increase from west to east Saturday morning, with widespread showers and thunderstorms expected throughout the day. Some storms may become strong Saturday afternoon, particularly for areas along and north of the Mountain Parkway where better forcing resides. Forecast soundings ahead of the front indicate marginal severe weather indices, consistent with the SPC Day 3 Marginal Risk across the northeastern CWA. The cold front will progress through the region Saturday night, with FROPA expected to be complete by Sunday morning.

Behind the front, surface high pressure will build into the region and remain the dominant feature through the remainder of the period. Temperatures will return to seasonal normals for the early part of next week, followed by a gradual warming trend toward the middle of the week. Overall, the extended period will be defined by the Saturday cold frontal passage followed by a return to dry conditions and seasonal temperatures under high pressure.

AVIATION

(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday evening) ISSUED AT 755 PM EDT THU APR 2 2026

VFR conditions are noted at all TAF sites with the 00Z issuance. Any leftover diurnally-driven isolated showers are dissipating leaving behind a mixture of mid and high clouds. Marginal LLWS is expected across much of the area tonight as a low-level jet ramps up. Toward 12Z/Friday, the remnants of a convective system to our west will inch closer to the area with light precipitation chances, primarily northwest of SJS-JKL-SME. Otherwise, southerly winds around 10 kts or less tonight will shift southwesterly and strengthen after 12Z, persisting through the rest of the period.

JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.