textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- A cold front moving from northwest to southeast will bring showers to the area through tonight and perhaps a few thunderstorms through early evening. Rain chances will linger through the weekend in some locations, especially in southeast Kentucky.

- Dry and cooler weather will arrive area wide for the new workweek.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through Friday) Issued at 407 PM EDT FRI OCT 2 2026

Rain chances will extend into the start of this period. Higher rainfall totals will likely occur across our southeast, closer to where the better PWATs (1.6-1.8 inches per the latest LREF). There is still quite a bit of spread in the guidance, with the 25th-75th percentile differing by as much as an inch across our southeast. The current forecast has totals on Sunday in the 0.5-0.75 inch range.

Monday will see the return to calm and quiet conditions across the region. Rain will have cleared out from the previous day and high pressure will build across the Great Lakes, before migrating further east with time. A secondary high pressure system will then build in across the Ohio Valley, sustaining our dry weather through Friday with plenty of opportunities for sunshine. Highs each day through the week should be in the 70s until a few 80s could return in our southwest as early as Thursday. Lows, especially on Monday and Tuesday nights, do look to be pretty chilly in the lower 40s. A few sheltered valleys could dip into the upper 30s, although model guidance does not really support frost quite yet, with fog a better possibility in the river valleys.

AVIATION

(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon) ISSUED AT 227 PM EDT FRI OCT 2 2026

Conditions are a mix of VFR and MVFR as showers have begun across the area along and near the passing cold front. Instability is sufficient for a few thunderstorms, handled with PROB30 groups in the TAFs. Ceilings will worsen from northwest to southeast through 06Z or so, with a period of IFR conditions expected through this evening and overnight. Ceilings will then begin to improve through the remainder of the TAF period starting in the northwest (06-18Z). Winds should generally remain under 10 kts behind the front, veering from northwest to northeast over the next few hours.

JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.