textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- Low humidities are expected this afternoon, Friday afternoon, and Sunday afternoon. - Temperatures average 5 to 15 degrees through Saturday, and 15 to 20 degrees above normal for Sunday to Wednesday.

- A cold front is forecast to bring isolated to scattered showers or stray storms Friday night to Saturday, but average rainfall from these should be meager.

- Better chances for rainfall may arrive during the middle to end of next week.

UPDATE

Issued at 1100 AM EDT THU APR 9 2026

The forecast remains on track. The only change was to bump hourly temperatures and dewpoints closer to recent observations, but this will still result in warm and dry weather today.

UPDATE Issued at 800 AM EDT THU APR 9 2026

Hourly grids were freshened up based on recent observations and trends. This led to no substantial changes at this time. Temperatures will continue a warming trend, but dewpoints will not climb that much and another day with low afternoon humidity is expected.

LONG TERM

(Friday night through Wednesday) Issued at 430 AM EDT THU APR 9 2026

Friday night, a cold front will sag south from the Ohio Valley into northern portions of Kentucky. Isolated to scattered showers are possible, mainly along and north of the Mountain Parkway by Saturday morning. Isolated showers and perhaps a storm or two may occur further south through the day Saturday, however little to no rain is expected on average. During the day Sunday, the previous mentioned cold front will lift north as a warm front. This will lead to temperatures warming well into 80s. In fact, aside from temperatures warming 15-20 degrees above normal, the Record high temperature of 83 in Jackson is currently forecast to be broken. The warming temperatures will only be accompanied by southerly winds that may again have a downslope component and deep mixing should favor another afternoon of low minimum humidities on Sunday afternoon.

Elsewhere, high pressure continues its stronghold over the Eastern CONUS, while being located off the Carolina coastline. Multiple lows in the Upper Midwest and Central Plains will slowly progress eastward. While most showers and thunderstorms stay north and west of the area, some may work into areas north of the Mountain Parkway on Monday and Tuesday, with little to no accumulations are expected with confidence higher that more southern locations remain rain free. Later Monday a strong upper-level low digs south from the Pacific Northwest into the Desert Southwest. This system will eventually work into Eastern Kentucky on Wednesday and Thursday, potentially bringing better chances of rain.

Temperatures Saturday range from the low to upper 70s across the area before the ridge of high pressure pushes highs into the 80s through Thursday. At night, low temperatures also trend upward in the long-term, starting in the upper 40s to 50s Friday and Saturday nights before trending into the 50s for valleys and 60s for ridges and areas of more open terrain by Monday night and Tuesday night. Wednesday and Thursday nights will be closer to averages in the 50s. It was written earlier that the record high temperature of 83 could be in jeopardy on Sunday at Jackson, but record high minimum temperatures (warm lows) could be in play as well.

The combination of warming, with continued low humidity and rain- free conditions, should result in increased fire weather danger to end the weekend into the first half of next week.

AVIATION

(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Friday morning) ISSUED AT 805 AM EDT THU APR 9 2026

VFR conditions will hold through the period with just passing high and perhaps a few mid clouds from time to time as sfc and upper level ridging dominate. South to southwest winds at generally less than 10KT should prevail through the period.

JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.