textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- A cold and dry airmass will settle into the region into Saturday.

- A light round of precip, mainly rain, is expected Saturday night into Sunday.

- A more significant precip event may come Monday night and Tuesday, with a little bit better potential for wintery precip.

UPDATE

Issued at 951 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2025

The morning surface analysis shows high pressure pressing east to the Ohio Valley. This along with passing cold front has provided solid northwest flow across the area. There are some weak returns across the far east toward Martin and Pike Counties this morning and given the COOP in Inez reported flurries added this to the forecast for the far east. Also, blended sky cover toward NBM and HRRR which seem to have a bit better handle on the low clouds in the far southeast areas this morning.

UPDATE Issued at 800 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2025

Radar shows that a few flurries may be continuing to skirt the northeast edge of the area early this morning. Latest obs/trends have been blended into the forecast without any significant changes.

LONG TERM

(Saturday night through Thursday) Issued at 744 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2025

A shortwave trough aloft currently over the northern Rockies will dive quickly southeast to the central plains on Saturday. It will pick up a lee surface low over CO and the combo will move quickly east northeast over the Midwest. Warm air advection and its lift will probably bring precipitation to our area Saturday night into Sunday. Some of this could come as snow before the column warms up enough for all rain. However, precip amounts should remain light and temperatures above freezing, so no problems are expected.

High pressure begins to build in from the northwest behind the system's cold front on Sunday, shutting down our short-lived warm-up and bringing a return of dry conditions. However, the dry weather looks to be brief.

Another upper level wave will drop southeast over the western CONUS during the weekend and then head east. It will prompt surface low development which is expected to track across the Deep South Monday night and then turn up the East Coast on Tuesday. The relatively large system will throw moisture northward over our cooler air, likely bringing another round of precip. With a southerly track, we will remain in colder air and will have a stronger threat of wintery precip, especially in our northern counties. At this point it looks like a nuisance type system, but at that time range, changes to the outlook will probably occur. Once it passes, dry weather looks to finish out the long term period on Wednesday and Thursday.

AVIATION

(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon) ISSUED AT 1221 PM EST FRI NOV 28 2025

Most sites are seeing VFR skies under surface high pressure. However, we have had some passing cumulus clouds that are sitting at around 3 kt. This might cause some brief lowering to MVFR cigs at times but predominantly VFR. West winds of 5-10 knots will be story this afternoon before diminishing this evening to less than 5 knots.

JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.