textproduct: Jackson
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Occasional chances for showers and thunderstorms will return to mainly southern locations from tonight through Monday.
- Temperatures will average within a few degrees of normal over the next week.
LONG TERM
(Saturday night through Thursday) Issued at 220 AM EDT FRI MAY 29 2026
The dry conditions may not continue into Sunday as low level steering flow is supportive of moisture advection into the TN/KY region once again as surface high pressure shifts east of the area. Forecast soundings indicate some meager instability so while thunder cannot be removed from the forecast, coverage is expected to be quite limited, with the best chances once again near the TN/KY border.
A weak shortwave moves into the area Sunday night into Monday, continuing the potential for scattered showers and a few thunderstorms. Broader chances exist for this particular system, but early indications are that the best chances will once again be focused across southern locations.
Finally, a second, much deeper trough, digs into the northeast US and Mid-Atlantic Monday night into Tuesday. A large high pressure moves southward out of the Great Lakes, shifting directly over the region by Tuesday afternoon. Conditions dry out over the region through midweek, with temperatures generally in the upper 70s to lower 80s for highs and 50s for lows.
The next chance for rain appears to be Friday as a shortwave trough ejects eastward out of the Plains.
AVIATION
(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning) Issued at 634 AM EDT FRI MAY 29 2026
All fog remains within lower elevation areas, keeping all sites at VFR. Winds will remain between north and east at less than 10 kts.
Rain chances increase from the south this evening and continue tonight. Maintained a PROB30 mention for showers at KSME and KLOZ. Rain may lead to a period of MVFR CIGs. Chances are lower for the remaining sites, primarily due to drier air in place. Mid clouds between 5kft-8kft gradually increase toward the end of the period for all sites.
Thunder chances are currently too low for a mention at this time.
JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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