textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- A light round of precip, mainly rain, is expected tonight into Sunday.

- A more significant precip event may come Monday night and Tuesday, with a little bit better potential for wintery precip.

UPDATE

Issued at 1220 AM EST SAT NOV 29 2025

No significant changes were made to the forecast with mainly just the inclusion of the latest obs and trends for the T/Td/Sky grids. These minor adjustments have been sent to the NDFD and web servers along with a freshening of the zones and SAFs.

UPDATE Issued at 945 PM EST FRI NOV 28 2025

02Z sfc analysis shows high pressure in control of the weather over eastern Kentucky. This is working to settle the winds and keep skies mostly clear. Currently, temperatures are running in the low 20s in the sheltered valleys to near 30 degrees on the ridges. Meanwhile, amid light and variable winds, dewpoints are generally in the upper teens to lower 20s in the valleys and near 10 degrees on the ridges. Have updated the forecast mainly to add in the latest obs and trends for the T/Td/Sky grids. These minor adjustments have been sent to the NDFD and web servers along with a freshening of the zones and SAFs.

UPDATE Issued at 526 PM EST FRI NOV 28 2025

There are no changes to the forecast. Temperatures will fall rapidly into the 20s over the next few hours as winds decouple. The latest hourly observations were included for the initialization of the hourly temperature forecast.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through Friday) Issued at 147 PM EST FRI NOV 28 2025

Rain to begin the period Sunday morning winds down and exits east with a cold frontal passage during the daytime hours Sunday, shutting down our short-lived warm-up and bringing a return of dry conditions with surface high pressure. However, the dry weather looks to be brief.

Another upper level wave will drop southeast over the western CONUS during the weekend and then head east. It will prompt surface low development which is expected to track across the Deep South Monday night and then turn up the East Coast on Tuesday. The relatively large system will throw moisture northward over our cooler air, likely bringing another round of precip. With a southerly track, we will remain in colder air and will have a higher threat of wintery precip, especially in our northern counties. At this point it looks like a nuisance type system, but at that time range, changes to the outlook will probably occur.

Once it passes, dry weather looks to occur Wednesday and Thursday, though 15 to 25 PoPs return by Thursday night with another potential system, though overall model agreement on location, timing, and strength of this potential wave, or waves, to end next week is quite poor.

AVIATION

(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday night) ISSUED AT 1230 AM EST SAT NOV 29 2025

VFR skies are found through the area under surface high pressure. These benign conditions will continue through the period, though look for some high and eventually mid-level CIGs to move in from the west later this evening. Winds will be light and variable for most of the period, though up to 10 knots from the southeast during the day. Winds off the sfc late this evening will likely result in some LLWS from the south at up to 45 kts.

JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.