textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- Warm and dry weather is expected for most of the day.

- Showers are likely from this evening/tonight into Saturday, with a few general thunderstorms possible.

- A stronger system brings another chance for widespread showers and storms late Monday into Tuesday, but the severe weather potential is still uncertain in Eastern Kentucky.

UPDATE

Issued at 730 AM EDT FRI APR 24 2026

No significant changes were made to the forecast with mainly just the inclusion of the latest obs and trends for the T/Td/Sky grids. These minor adjustments have been sent to the NDFD and web servers along with a freshening of the zones.

LONG TERM

(Saturday night through Thursday) Issued at 300 AM EDT FRI APR 24 2026

Late Saturday evening there is a slight chance of lingering showers along the KY-VA-WV borders, as a system continues to depart the area. Otherwise, clearing skies under light northerly winds may result in patchy areas of fog through early Sunday morning. Temperatures will likely remain split between the cooler decoupled valleys in the upper 40s, to ridge tops in the low to mid 50s.

Some ridging will still remain across portions of the Ohio Valley through Sunday. This will lead to remaining mostly dry. Some isolated shower chances will develop along the Tennessee-Kentucky border ahead of an approaching warm front. During the day, another area of low pressure will lift north out of the Southern Plains into the Central Plains. As the system evolves, the trough becomes negatively tilted over the Mississippi Valley. The evolution of the frontal passage in respect to a potential 40-50 knot LLJ is worth watching. This could be the areas second crack at needed area wide rainfall. A series of weaker frontal passages could lead to scattered shower and storm chances Wednesday Thursday, and Friday.

Temperatures generally range from the upper 70s to low 80s through the extended period, with lows generally remaining in the 50s.

AVIATION

(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning) ISSUED AT 800 AM EDT FRI APR 24 2026

VFR conditions will hold through the first couple of periods of the 12Z TAF cycle, then after 00Z Saturday some PROB30 groups have been added to the northern and western sites for low chances of showers and/or thunderstorms, with MVFR or lower conditions possible if the convection hits any of those terminals. By 06Z Saturday we have PROB30s for showers at all sites through dawn.

Light and variable winds will carry the first part of the morning before increasing into the 6 to 12 kt range, sustained, from the southwest toward 15Z, with a few gusts reaching to 20 kts in the afternoon - during peak mixing. These winds will settle again to light and variable this evening, though possibly higher in and around convection.

JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.