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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Frost or light freeze conditions are expected across most of eastern Kentucky late tonight into early Tuesday morning.

- Below normal temperature will last through early Tuesday, followed by warmer weather to last into the weekend.

- The next expectation of area wide rain is not until the weekend.

UPDATE

Issued at 1050 AM EDT MON APR 20 2026

Secondary cold front is settling across eastern Kentucky late this morning with a period of mid-level cloud cover and even a few sprinkles over far eastern counties. The lingering sprinkles should depart into southwest Virginia within the next 30 minutes. Thereafter, remaining cloud cover should shift southeast and clear the JKL CWA by 2 PM. In the wake of the front, anticipate a dry northwesterly breeze at 5 to 10 mph through the afternoon. Afternoon high temperatures are forecast to range from mid 50s northern foothills to mid 60s in deeper valleys near the KY-TN border while dew points drop back into the 10s and 20s.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 745 AM EDT MON APR 20 2026

The long term period will start with WNW flow aloft while ridging approaches from the west. A cold front will be struggling to make southward progress through IL/IN/OH as it loses momentum ahead of the approaching ridge. Moisture advection will occur ahead of the front, and will probably allow for shower/thunderstorm development near the front. Won't rule out some of these making it into our northeast counties, but they are more likely closer to the front. The front doesn't make it here and mild and dry weather should last from Wednesday night into Friday as the upper ridge arrives.

The ridge aloft is expected to weaken as a couple of shortwaves coming out of a western CONUS trough ripple through it. This should finally allow for some rain during the weekend, but the details of how it unfolds are likely to change.

AVIATION

(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Tuesday morning) ISSUED AT 745 AM EDT MON APR 20 2026

VFR conditions are forecast through the period. A cloud deck in the 5-9K ft AGL range is currently dropping south through the area. A few sprinkles may occur beneath the clouds. Skies will clear as the clouds depart to the south and dry up during the day.

JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Frost Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 9 AM EDT Tuesday for KYZ044-050>052-058>060-069-086>088-104-106>120.


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