textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- Temperatures rise to the upper 80s and lower 90s by the end of the work week. - Dry conditions remain in place through Saturday afternoon, but a pattern shift will bring daily shower and thunderstorm chances to the region from late Saturday into next week.

LONG TERM

(Friday through Wednesday) Issued at 357 PM EDT WED JUN 3 2026

An amplified pattern will remain over the majority of the CONUS through the long term forecast period. Ridging will start out aligned over the Appalachians on Friday, with a progressive short wave trough moving over the Great Lakes/Upper Midwest region. Meanwhile, a broader closed low is seen over northern Mexico with a deep closed low nearing the coast of British Columbia. The ridge in the East will temporarily buckle into this weekend, as a trough deepens from eastern Canada down through the Mid-Atlantic region. Meanwhile, as the deep Pacific Northwest system rotates east, and the northern Mexico closed low moves north northeast into the southern/central Plains, a sharper ridge axis will reestablish itself along and east of the Mississippi River into next week. This ridge will then nudge further east and pivot to some degree, depending on the evolution of troughing across the western Atlantic. Either way, temperatures will be above normal across the Ohio and Tennessee valleys, with a more summer-like convective pattern in place after Saturday.

Dry weather will roll on across eastern Kentucky through Saturday, with temperatures gradually increasing each day. Guidance has generally come in a bit cooler on the highs overall, with most locations likely staying just shy of the 90 degree mark. Did continue to add in more of a ridge/valley split on Friday night, with valleys still taking advantage of mid 50s dew points on Friday afternoon. A cold front will approach the area Saturday night, with an uptick in rain chances. Chances will peak on Sunday, as the front attempts to move through the region. Diurnally-driven convective chances will then remain each day through the middle of next week, likely diminishing with time, as the upper level ridge takes control once again. Unfortunately, this will result in less impactful rainfall to help mitigate the ongoing drought conditions across the area.

Temperatures will average several degrees above normal, with highs in the mid to upper 80s and lows in the 60s. A little more discomfort can be expected for Sunday and Monday, as afternoon dew points creep up through the low to mid 60s, before these lower just a tad for Tuesday and Wednesday.

AVIATION

(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon) ISSUED AT 108 PM EDT WED JUN 3 2026

VFR TAFs are expected through the 18z TAF window as surface high pressure builds into region. River valley fog will develop once again tonight, yet will stay clear of the TAF sites. Light and variable winds will be the rule.

JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.