textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- Low humidities are expected Friday afternoon and Sunday afternoon. - Temperatures average 5 to 15 degrees above normal through Saturday, and 15 to 20 degrees above normal for Sunday to Wednesday.

- A cold front is forecast to bring isolated to scattered showers Friday night to Saturday, but average rainfall from these should be meager.

- Better chances for some rainfall may arrive during the middle to end of next week.

UPDATE

Issued at 1150 PM EDT THU APR 9 2026

No significant changes were made to the forecast with mainly just the inclusion of the latest obs and trends for the T/Td/Sky grids. These minor adjustments have been sent to the NDFD and web servers along with a freshening of the SAFs and zones.

UPDATE Issued at 725 PM EDT THU APR 9 2026

23Z sfc analysis shows high pressure, though centered well to the east, remains in firm control of the weather over eastern Kentucky. This is again working to settle the winds early this evening and keep skies nearly completely clear. Currently, temperatures are running in the low to mid 70s. Meanwhile, amid light and variable winds, dewpoints vary from the low to mid 40s west to the mid 30s east. Have updated the forecast mainly to add in the latest obs and trends for the T/Td/Sky grids. These minor adjustments have been sent to the NDFD and web servers along with a freshening of the zones.

LONG TERM

(Saturday through Thursday) Issued at 255 PM EDT THU APR 9 2026

The models continue to be in general agreement with a mainly amplified long wave pattern to be in place across the CONUS through the middle of next week. Persistent ridging will setup over the southeastern CONUS, while a deeper closed low rotates onshore from the eastern Pacific by Sunday. This feature will then gradually shift east and dampen with time through next week. The models continue to show some variability with this feature after Monday, especially regarding timing. The GFS is more progressive, while the ECMWF is slower. Additional energy will also move in onshore across the Pacific Northwest by Wednesday, helping to reinforce mean troughing west of the Rockies, while maintaining west southwest flow across the center of the CONUS.

Mainly dry and particularly warm conditions will continue to be the main story for eastern Kentucky through the majority of the extended forecast. A weakening cold front will cross the area on Saturday, with perhaps a few showers initiating south of the Mountain Parkway. Instability looks more limited and given the diminishing forcing, have kept out the mention of thunder. Temperatures will cool off a bit behind the cold front, with highs ranging from the lower 70s north to the upper 70s south. This boundary will then shift northeast of the area through Sunday as a warm front. Temperatures will rebound well into the 80s, threatening record highs for the date. Drier conditions will also return, with RH values likely dipping to below 30 percent at most locations by Sunday afternoon.

Warmer readings will continue into next week, with highs mainly in the 80s, modulated by an increase in cloud cover at times, as short wave activity brushes by to our northwest. Lows will moderate from the 50s to the 60s through the period. Small rain chances (20-30%) will also threaten at times from the northwest Monday through Wednesday, but confidence in any meaningful rainfall remains very low. Somewhat better rain chances will arrive by Thursday, as a cold front attempts to move into the area. The trend has been to delay this front and it will likely arrive in a more weakened condition, limiting rainfall amounts.

AVIATION

(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday) ISSUED AT 145 AM EDT FRI APR 10 2026

VFR conditions will hold through the period with just passing high clouds, mainly on Friday. Light and variable winds tonight will pick up from the southwest on Friday at 7 to 13 mph by afternoon with some higher gusts possible.

A weakening cold front will approach from the northwest Friday afternoon and cross the area Friday night. Cigs will thus lower from northwest to southeast to low-VFR between 00z/Sat and the end of the TAF period.

JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.