textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- Localized heavy rainfall may occur with showers & thunderstorms which last into tonight.

- Most places can expect rain each day through most of the next week.

UPDATE

Issued at 855 PM EDT FRI MAY 22 2026

Adjustments were made to pops to account for recent radar trends while hourly temperatures were freshened up based on recent observations. Locally heavy rainfall remains a threat tonight where rounds of rain move repeatedly over the same locations.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through Friday) Issued at 452 PM EDT FRI MAY 22 2026

The main belt of stronger flow aloft will retreat to the north early in the week and the aforementioned front from the short term section will lose momentum. It is expected to stall in our area and allow for a daily threat of showers/thunderstorms. An upper trough should deepen over the northeast CONUS at the end of the week, which could allow for a southward push of drier air finally making it here. The POP is lower on Friday to allow for this possibility.

AVIATION

(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening) ISSUED AT 835 PM EDT FRI MAY 22 2026

At issuance time, pending whether or not convection was affecting or had recently affected a locations led to ranging conditions. Most places were IFR to MVFR with some instance of LIFR, while where convection was not present VFR was observed. Reductions to MVFR or IFR if not lower in some cases will be commonplace as convection moves across the TAF sites during the first 3 to 5 hours of the period. Thereafter, VFR may be common for the second 6 hours of the period with a relative lull in chances for convection. Sub VFR may linger a bit longer in the north near KIOB and KSYM. Convection should return at times during the last 12 hours of the period, with coverage likely to be peak during the 16Z to 00Z timeframe. Within convection, reductions to MVFR or IFR is anticipated. Winds will generally be light through the period, with brief higher gusts in thunderstorms.

JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Flood Watch until 8 AM EDT Saturday for KYZ044-050>052-104.