textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- Drier weather returns to the area through Monday afternoon.

- A series of frontal boundaries will move across the region between Monday night and Wednesday morning, leading to widespread rain chances on Tuesday.

- A colder, but drier, airmass will settle into the region for the beginning of the Thanksgiving holiday weekend.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through Friday) Issued at 432 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2025

The long-term forecast period begins with the continued influence of surface high pressure as an upper-level ridge begins to build across the southern Plains. Concurrently, an upper-level trough featuring an embedded jet streak to the northeast will help to drive a dry cold front through the CWA Sunday night into Monday. This moisture- starved cold front is expected to pass without significant weather impacts, as surface high pressure remains the dominant feature into early next week. During this same timeframe, a progressive upper- level shortwave trough will track northeastward from the Four Corners region toward the Central Plains by early Monday morning. The CWA is forecast to remain dry for Monday; however, as the associated surface low-pressure system continues its eastward track, increasing chances for showers will arrive late Monday night into early Tuesday. Showers and isolated thunderstorm chances will then be present from the time of the frontal arrival on Tuesday through the subsequent cold frontal passage late Wednesday night. A cold surface high-pressure system will subsequently build back into the region for Thanksgiving Day and remain overhead through Black Friday.

The long-term period will be highlighted by a midweek surface low- pressure system that becomes situated between two centers of high pressure. Temperatures are expected to be pleasant and seasonal up until Thursday, when the cold front ushers in a significantly colder air mass for Thanksgiving and Black Friday. Overnight low temperatures will follow this same trend before bottoming out in the 20s for the mornings of Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday.

AVIATION

(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon) ISSUED AT 1254 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2025

Current conditions range from LIFR, IFR and MVFR as low clouds from earlier rain showers reduced these categories. Throughout the day, there will be very slow and gradual improvement to VFR as surface high pressure builds back into the region. Winds are forecast to be light and variable through the TAF window.

JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.