textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- Temperatures will rise sharply through Tuesday, with daytime highs reaching the upper 50s to mid-60s across the region.

- Expect light rain chance from Tuesday evening into early Wednesday.

- After a brief dry period Wednesday afternoon through Thursday, there will be repeated chances for rain mixed with snow at times through next weekend.

UPDATE

Issued at 1130 PM EST SUN FEB 8 2026

No significant changes were made to the forecast with mainly just the inclusion of the latest obs and trends for the T/Td/Sky grids - the latter capturing the band of mid level clouds stretched from Lake Michigan southeast through the eastern parts of the JKL CWA. These minor adjustments have been sent to the NDFD and web servers along with a freshening of the SAFs and zones.

UPDATE Issued at 635 PM EST SUN FEB 8 2026

23Z sfc analysis shows high pressure in control of the weather over eastern Kentucky even as it shifts off to the northeast. This is settling the light winds but was not able to clear out the mid and high level clouds in place this evening. Currently, temperatures are running in the mid 20s north to the mid 30s in the far south. Meanwhile, amid light east to northeast winds, dewpoints are generally in the upper single digits to the mid teens. Have updated the forecast mainly to add in the latest obs and trends for the T/Td/Sky grids. These minor adjustments have been sent to the NDFD and web servers along with a freshening of the zones.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through Sunday) Issued at 238 PM EST SUN FEB 8 2026

As the extended forecast period begins, the Commonwealth will reside within the warm sector of an occluding surface low tracking through central Canada. Ahead of an approaching cold front, the area is expected to remain mostly dry to start the day, with temperatures in the wake of a lifting warm front climbing into the upper 50s and mid- 60s. This significant warming precedes a synoptic wave originating in the southern Plains, which is forecast to track along the trailing frontal boundary and into the region by Tuesday evening. As the Canadian cold front dives through the CWA, PoP will increase. While the primary northern low departs, the boundary is forecast to stall or become a focused corridor for the southern Plains feature to traverse before exiting Wednesday afternoon. Thermal profiles will support plain rain through the duration of the frontal passage. However, as the system begins its exit Wednesday morning, a brief transition to frozen precipitation is possible along the I-64 corridor as colder air filters into the region. Any wintry mix will be short-lived, as diurnal warming will favor a transition back to all rain by late morning.

Upper-level height rises and an approaching surface high are forecast to dry the area out from Wednesday night through early Thursday. High temperatures on Thursday will plateau in the upper 30s across the Bluegrass, while warming into the low 50s near the Cumberland Basin. Although dry conditions prevail early Thursday, a series of shortwave perturbations moving through the mean flow will maintain precipitation chances starting late Thursday night and continuing through the end of the period. Temperatures will gradually decline from the Tuesday peak, settling into the 40s from Wednesday onward. While these values primarily support rain, nocturnal cooling will bring temperatures near freezing each night, allowing for a rain-snow mix through sunrise. Little to no accumulation is expected, though an isolated dusting cannot be ruled out where localized snowfall rates are briefly higher.

In summary, the period begins dry with a warming trend through midweek. This trend halts as a series of surface waves traverse the Tennessee Valley, bringing repeated chances for rain starting Tuesday night. A brief break is forecast for late Wednesday before a return to an active, unsettled pattern late Thursday.

AVIATION

(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night) ISSUED AT 1155 PM EST SUN FEB 8 2026

A band of mid level clouds were noted from northwest to southeast across eastern Kentucky at the 06Z TAF issuance. These clouds will gradually thin and break up through the early morning hours. but high clouds are likely to linger at times through the TAF forecast window. Winds will be light and variable overnight and during the day, Monday.

JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.