textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- Cool conditions are expected today with light rain ending in the morning for most locations.

- Warmer air moves back into the region overnight into early Sunday, with rain chances returning in some locations for Sunday, especially in southeast Kentucky.

- Dry and cooler weather will arrive areawide Sunday night, and last through the first half of the week before a warming trend over the second half of the week.

UPDATE

Issued at 938 AM EDT SAT OCT 3 2026

Refreshed the forecast to incorporate the latest observational data across the area. Low clouds and fog continue to slowly clear from northwest to southeast. Some rain showers also continue just south of the TN-KY and VA-KY borders. Some areas near the border might see shower activity this morning, though much of the steadier rain remains across the state line to the south. The forecast remains on track, with no major changes.

UPDATE Issued at 601 AM EDT SAT OCT 3 2026

An update to PoPs has just been sent out, with a quicker trimming of PoPs from northwest to southeast, which better matches current observed and latest model trends.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through Friday) Issued at 226 AM EDT SAT OCT 3 2026

A cold front will be moving south across the area to begin the period Sunday evening, bringing a prolonged stretch of dry weather lasting through the upcoming week.

Monday will see the return to calm and quiet conditions across the region. High pressure will build across the Great Lakes, before migrating further east with time. A second high pressure system will then build in across the Ohio Valley, sustaining our dry weather through Friday with plentiful sunshine expected. Highs each day through the week should be mostly in the 70s, with a few 80s returning to our southwest counties as early as Thursday. Lows, especially on Monday and Tuesday nights, do look to be pretty chilly in the lower 40s. A few sheltered valleys could dip into the upper 30s, although model guidance does not really support frost quite yet, with fog a better possibility in the river valleys.

AVIATION

(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday morning) ISSUED AT 726 AM EDT SAT OCT 3 2026

Conditions range from MVFR to LIFR as of 11z. Widespread MVFR to LIFR conditions are forecast to slowly improve through the morning and into the afternoon, with the worst conditions lingering longest over southeastern Kentucky. For all TAF sites, winds should generally remain northeasterly or variable at under 10 kts within the post-frontal environment. Widespread fog and/or low stratus formation is expected tonight, but there is considerable uncertainty as to the severity and longevity of sub-MVFR conditions at this time. Future TAF issuances will hopefully be able to hone in on this a bit better.

JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.