textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will continue into the early morning, primarily affecting locations north of the Mountain Parkway.

- Temperatures will soar into the upper 70s and lower 80s on Friday and Saturday, threatening daily record highs. Unusually warm overnight lows are also expected.

- Widespread showers and scattered storms will accompany a cold front Saturday afternoon and evening. A few storms could become strong to severe, with damaging winds as the main threat.

- Unsettled, mild weather persists into next week with additional chances for rain and thunderstorms Monday through Wednesday.

LONG TERM

(Saturday night through Thursday) Issued at 215 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2026

Showers and a few thunderstorms are expected Saturday night as a cold front and associated upper disturbance approach the area, with the upper disturbance lifting through the day Sunday and slowing the eastward progression of the front through far eastern Kentucky. Thus have only gradually lowered PoPs through the day.

An upper low begins to eject slowly out of the Southwest US and northern Mexico the early to middle part of next week, with deep southerly flow ahead of it pushing a warm front from the Gulf Coast states north to the Ohio Valley during the day Monday. Waves of moisture will ride along and south of this boundary the early to middle part of next week and looks to bring an active period of showers and thunderstorms to the forecast area Monday through Wednesday, with lowering PoPs through the day Thursday with most modeling depicting the passage of a cold front through the area.

Temperatures look to remain above normal to well above normal from Sunday through Wednesday, with the potential for a return to normal or slightly below normal temperatures Thursday with the arrival of a colder air mass behind the likely cold front passage.

AVIATION

(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning) ISSUED AT 634 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2026

Mostly VFR conditions are prevailing across all TAF sites minus KIOB and KSYM where overnight rain has caused a reduction in category but improvement to VFR is anticipated over the next few hours. Otherwise, all sites will be under high pressure and diurnal winds will increase with atmospheric mixing this afternoon. Winds diminish overnight but will pick up again toward the end of the period as a cold front approaches the region. Opted to add LLWS since surface winds are gusty and the column is indicative of turbulent mixing versus true LLWS. Increasing and lowering CIGS are anticipated toward the end of the period.

JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.