textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- Warmer-than-average conditions continue tonight before a cold front passes through Eastern Kentucky tomorrow evening.

- This cold front will bring beneficial rainfall and perhaps a few rumbles of thunder to the area tomorrow and tomorrow night. - A cooling trend takes place headed into the weekend.

LONG TERM

(Thursday through Tuesday) Issued at 523 PM EST TUE NOV 3 2026

An amplified long wave pattern will be in store over the CONUS through early next week. A positively tilted trough will start out aligned from the Great Lakes through the southern Plains, with an associated dampening surface low positioned over Lake Superior. The upper trough will gradually migrate eastward, with a cutoff low likely emerging over the Great Lakes. An associated surface cold front will cross the Commonwealth on Friday. Troughing will be reinforced east of the Mississippi River, as additional short wave energy traverses southeast from the central CONUS to the Southeast within the southern stream. In the northern stream, the troughing will be bolstered by energy translating across southeastern Canada. At the surface, broader high pressure will migrate south from the Midwest this weekend to the lower Mississippi Valley by early next week, with cooler and drier conditions seen across the Ohio and Tennessee valleys.

Sensible weather will feature one more day of 70s for highs across most of eastern Kentucky on Thursday. Generally dry weather is expected, besides just enough lingering low level moisture that could promote some light rain showers early across our southeast. As a secondary cold front approaches late Thursday night into Friday, some light rain chances may be renewed across our southeast, although model guidance has been trending drier, so this may be more of a temporary increase in clouds only. Cooler and drier conditions will then be the story as we head into the weekend, with highs returning to the upper 50s and lower 60s, while lows drop back into the 30s. Cloud cover will dictate how cold the valleys get both Saturday and Sunday nights. At this time, Sunday night looks like the colder night, with some of the deeper valleys dipping to near or just below the freezing mark. More modest return flow ensues by next Tuesday, with highs moderating to the lower and middle 60s. Generally dry weather will also continue to hold on through that time.

AVIATION

(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening) ISSUED AT 704 PM EST TUE NOV 3 2026

VFR conditions prevail across the area through tonight, although changes are anticipated during the day on Wednesday. As atmospheric moisture increases ahead of an approaching low pressure system, clouds will thicken, with ceilings gradually lowering towards MVFR thresholds tomorrow afternoon. Expect rain showers to spread from west to east in the latter half of the forecast period, with strengthening southerly winds in this same time frame. Winds will strengthen aloft first, so some marginal LLWS is possible late tonight/early tomorrow morning. Surface winds should be the lightest at northeastern terminals like KJKL tonight, so confidence in LLWS is greatest there. Once the stronger winds start to mix down after dawn tomorrow, any LLWS should give way to surface wind gusts of 15-25 knots. So, in short, expect flight conditions to deteriorate as a storm system approaches the area tomorrow.

JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.