textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- A warming trend will occur through Tuesday, probably yielding some of the warmest temperatures in weeks.

- The approach and passage of a cold front will bring a possibility of light rain, mainly Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday night, followed by somewhat cooler temperatures to finish out the week.

- The potential for a soaking rain will return as we head toward the weekend.

UPDATE

Issued at 1250 PM EST MON FEB 9 2026

Spring-like warmth is expanding northeast across the forecast area as the mid-level cloud deck retreats into northeast Kentucky. Temperatures at early afternoon range from 61F at the Monticello Airport in the southwest to 34F at Fleming Mason Airport in the north. Afternoon high temperatures were raised into the low/mid 60s for the Lake Cumberland vicinity but remain near 40F for northern Fleming County.

UPDATE Issued at 955 AM EST MON FEB 9 2026

A mid-level cloud deck, roughly along/northeast of KY-15 continues to retreat northeastward very slowly late this morning. Expect it to gradually depart northeast of our area between 1 and 3 PM. Bright sunshine and strong sensible heating should send temperatures soaring into the 50s for most places south of the Mountain Parkway this afternoon. Some locations west of I-75 and also in the deeper valleys along the main forks of the Kentucky River where there is little or no snow cover could flirt with 60F. The coolest temperatures are expected to be over the Bluegrass where snow cover is deeper, mainly 40s for highs there.

UPDATE Issued at 643 AM EST MON FEB 9 2026

Cloud cover continues to be problematic. Have incorporated the latest trends into the forecast, with a bit faster breakup this morning. Early morning temperatures continue warmer than expected due to clouds and warm air advection, and the latest readings have been used as a starting point for the day.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through Monday) Issued at 214 PM EST MON FEB 9 2026

The mid- to late week period will be characterized by west- northwesterly upper flow beneath an active mid-latitude jet stream pushing a series of mostly dry shortwaves across the area. Cold advection behind Tuesday night's cold front passage will result in a modest cooldown for Wednesday through Friday, with highs generally in the 40s for the remainder of the week, and lows returning to the 20s each night.

Attention for the weekend then turns to a southern stream system moving across the southern CONUS, with model uncertainty increasing in the evolution of the system as it moves east of the Mississippi Valley. Some modeling keeps the surface low tracking east-northeast through the Tennessee Valley, with secondary surface low development over the Southeast CONUS just east of the Southern Appalachians, while other modeling keep the inland low moving northeast into the Ohio Valley with a weaker coastal low along the southern Mid-Atlantic coastline. Regardless, there look to be no real p-type concerns with this potential Miller B cyclone, but there is an increasing potential for a soaking rainfall, and possibly a bit more, with current QPF for the weekend system between 1.3 inches in the far eastern part of the CWA to as high as 2.5 inches in the Lake Cumberland area. This will bear watching for some high water and resulting river flooding issues as ground temperatures continue to thaw and residual snow/ice slowly melts.

AVIATION

(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon) ISSUED AT 105 PM EST MON FEB 9 2026

A mid-level cloud layer in the 5-7K ft AGL range is gradually retreating northeast and should clear the rest of the the JKL CWA including SJS by/before 20Z. Otherwise, expect nothing more than some high cloud cover until after 12Z Tuesday when lower ceilings return ahead an approaching cold front.

JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.